Viewport Size Code:
Login | Create New Account
picture

  MENU

About | Classical Genetics | Timelines | What's New | What's Hot

About | Classical Genetics | Timelines | What's New | What's Hot

icon

Bibliography Options Menu

icon
QUERY RUN:
HITS:
PAGE OPTIONS:
Hide Abstracts   |   Hide Additional Links
NOTE:
Long bibliographies are displayed in blocks of 100 citations at a time. At the end of each block there is an option to load the next block.

Bibliography on: Climate Change

The Electronic Scholarly Publishing Project: Providing world-wide, free access to classic scientific papers and other scholarly materials, since 1993.

More About:  ESP | OUR CONTENT | THIS WEBSITE | WHAT'S NEW | WHAT'S HOT

ESP: PubMed Auto Bibliography 17 Jul 2025 at 01:58 Created: 

Climate Change

The world is warming up, with 2023 being by far the hottest year since record keeping began and 2024 shaping up to be hotter yet. But these changes only involve one or two degrees. What's the big deal?

The amount of energy required to raise the temperature of one liter of water by one degree is one kilocalorie (kcal). Scaling up, the amount of energy required for a one-degree increase in the water temperature of the Gulf of Mexico is 2,434,000,000,000,000,000 kcals. That's 25 million times more energy than released by the WW-II atomic bomb that destroyed the city of Hiroshima and killed more than 100,000 people.

So, for every one degree increase in water temperature, the Gulf of Mexico takes on 25-million atomic bombs worth of new energy, which is then available to fuel hurricanes and other storms. Maybe a one-degree rise in temperature is a big deal.

Created with PubMed® Query: (( "climate change"[TITLE] OR "global warming"[TITLE] )) NOT pmcbook NOT ispreviousversion

Citations The Papers (from PubMed®)

-->

RevDate: 2025-07-14

Panchen ZA, Doubt J, Saarela JM, et al (2025)

Digitised herbarium specimen data reveal a climate change-related trend to an earlier, shorter Canadian Arctic flowering season, and phylogenetic signal in Arctic flowering times.

The New phytologist [Epub ahead of print].

The Arctic is experiencing some of the world's most rapid changes in climate. Arctic plant flowering time responses to climate change are understudied. Globally, conflicting evidence exists on whether flowering time responses to temperature are evolutionarily conserved. We scored the reproductive phenology of 17 000 digitised herbarium specimens of 97 plant species collected across the Canadian Arctic since the 1900s to determine whether and how flowering times in the Canadian Arctic have shifted over the past century; how responsive flowering times are to temperature; and whether flowering times and flowering time responses to temperature are evolutionarily conserved. We found that flowering times in the Canadian Arctic are converging, with later-flowering species shifting their flowering times to a greater degree than earlier-flowering species, resulting in a shorter flowering season. We detected a significant phylogenetic signal associated with Arctic flowering times but no phylogenetic signal in flowering time responses to temperature. A shorter flowering season in the Arctic has implications for tundra food webs and species interactions, with fitness consequences across tundra trophic levels. Digitised records allowed citizen scientists to become virtual collaborators in this project, and the research provided opportunities to improve digitised record quality for future research.

RevDate: 2025-07-16
CmpDate: 2025-07-13

La Corte C, Barnay-Verdier S, Furla P, et al (2025)

Integrated approach to explore Anemonia viridis regeneration under a climate change scenario.

Scientific reports, 15(1):25298.

This study investigates the mechanisms of regeneration in Anemonia viridis under natural conditions and thermal stress, addressing the question: "Does an anthozoan subjected to thermal stress regenerate similarly to one experiencing only a wound?". Oxidative stress markers (protein carbonylation, total antioxidant capacity) and symbiont photosynthetic efficiency (via Pulse Amplitude Modulation) were analyzed. Key proteins related to inflammation and tissue regeneration, including toll-like receptor, nuclear factor kappa B, heat shock proteins, and interleukin-1β, were examined using blotting techniques. Observations revealed higher antioxidant capacity at 20 °C than 27 °C after 6- and 24-hours post-injury. Thermal stress disrupted redox balance, as indicated by decreased symbiont photosynthetic efficiency. Protein expression analyses (proliferating cell nuclear antigen, heat shock protein 90, collagen Type XXIV α1) showed activation of compensatory mechanisms, but oxidative stress biomarkers highlighted significant cellular stress. These results suggest that elevated temperatures may impair regeneration in Anemonia viridis, highlighting a potential vulnerability of anthozoans to thermal stress associated with climate change.

RevDate: 2025-07-13

Chen Z, Rose A, Roberts F, et al (2025)

Regional supply-chain impacts of Mississippi River fertilizer shipments disrupted by climate change.

Risk analysis : an official publication of the Society for Risk Analysis [Epub ahead of print].

The Mississippi River commercial navigation system faced unprecedented challenges in 2022-2023 due to severe heat and drought disrupting barge traffic. This caused a 400% surge in barge rates, disproportionately affecting the delivered price of key commodities. Our study analyzes the compound impact of low water levels and two potential additional sources of supply-chain disturbance-lock damage and import disruptions-both of which can also emanate from climate change. We combined an empirical analysis of the effect of low water levels on barge rates and productivity with a computable general equilibrium model to estimate their effects on the US economy and Upper Mississippi regional economy. These disruptions notably decreased GDP and increased inflation, especially affecting the five Upper Mississippi River states. This research underscores the river's vulnerability to compound disruptions and highlights its crucial role in regional and national economies.

RevDate: 2025-07-12

Tan X, Peng Z, Cheng Y, et al (2025)

Leveraging artificial intelligence for research and action on climate change: opportunities, challenges, and future directions.

Science bulletin pii:S2095-9273(25)00670-X [Epub ahead of print].

Research and action on climate change (RACC) represent a complex global challenge that requires a systematic and multi-dimensional approach. Although progress has been made, persistent limitations in data processing, modeling, and scenario evaluation continue to hinder further advances. Artificial Intelligence (AI) is emerging as a powerful tool to address these challenges by integrating diverse data sources, enhancing predictive modeling, and supporting evidence-based decision-making. Its capacity to manage large datasets and facilitate knowledge sharing has already made meaningful contributions to climate research and action. This paper introduces the RACC theoretical framework, developed through a systematic integration of the research paradigms of the three IPCC Working Groups (WGI, WGII, and WGIII). The RACC framework provides a comprehensive structure encompassing four key stages: data collection, scenario simulation, pathway planning, and action implementation. It also proposes a standardized approach for embedding AI across the climate governance cycle, including areas such as climate modeling, scenario development, policy design, and action execution. Additionally, the paper identifies major challenges in applying AI to climate issues, including ethical concerns, environmental costs, and uncertainties in complex systems. By analyzing AI-supported pathways for mitigation and adaptation, the study reveals significant gaps between current practices and long-term objectives-especially regarding content, intelligence levels, and governance structures. Finally, it proposes strategic priorities to help realize AI's full potential in advancing global climate action.

RevDate: 2025-07-12

Zhang T, Yan T, Li H, et al (2025)

Assessing climate change impact on watershed hydrological processes and stream temperature by considering CO2 emissions.

Water research, 286:124161 pii:S0043-1354(25)01068-1 [Epub ahead of print].

Carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions are a critical indicator influencing climate change and have significant impacts on the health of riverine ecosystems. The effects of CO2 emissions on streamflow and stream temperature have not been explicitly considered in process-based models, which limits the models' capability to simulate streamflow and stream temperature under varying CO2 concentration scenarios. This study modified an equilibrium temperature model and a CO2 effect model to overcome this limitation, which were subsequently coupled with the Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) model. The coupled model was tested and applied in the Chaohe River basin in China from 2021 to 2080, and daily streamflow and stream temperature were simulated under the RCP8.5 and RCP4.5 scenarios based on the ACCESS and HadGEM climate models. The study showed that the coupled model performs well in simulating streamflow and stream temperature, with the PBIAS of less than ±10 %, and both the NSE and R[2] exceeding 0.85. Under both the ACCESS and HadGEM climate models, the simulations of streamflow and stream temperature exhibit a consistent pattern: increased CO2 concentration leads to higher air temperatures, which in turn elevates stream temperatures and changes streamflow mainly through evapotranspiration process. However, the lower CO2 concentrations or where snowmelt is significant in regions, streamflow and stream temperature exhibit greater variability. When CO2 levels are high to induce stomatal closure in plants, decreased evapotranspiration can lead to increased streamflow. In addition, headwater tributaries, primarily fed by rainfall, snowmelt, and groundwater, are located in high-altitude areas influenced by natural factors, while the main stem, mainly supplied by tributary inflows and precipitation, is situated in low-altitude areas affected by both natural and anthropogenic factors. This difference in water sources and influencing factors leads to distinct patterns in streamflow and stream temperature. Therefore, it is essential to develop algorithms that explicitly account for the impacts of CO2 concentration on hydrological processes and stream temperature dynamics, to accurately simulate the effects of climate change on streamflow and stream temperature, enabling the prediction of future climate change impacts on the thermal regime of river basins. The coupled model developed in this study provides a valuable tool for simulating the effects of CO2 on streamflow and stream temperature, offering insights into the complex interactions between climate change and hydrological processes.

RevDate: 2025-07-12

Chen X, McGowan S, Huang X, et al (2025)

Diatom-inferred water pH variability in response to climate change and acid deposition in subtropical peatlands.

Water research, 286:124153 pii:S0043-1354(25)01060-7 [Epub ahead of print].

Lake acidification emerged as one of the most pressing environmental issues in the 20th century, while peatland acidification is less investigated. Diatom assemblages in one hundred fourteen surface samples of eleven peatlands in South China and in peat cores of two peatlands covering a 200-year period were investigated. Ordination analyses revealed that water pH was the most important variable influencing diatom distribution in surface samples. Accordingly, a diatom-based pH transfer function was developed using a weighted averaging model with tolerance downweighting and inverse deshrinking, and applied to diatom records of two [210]Pb-dated sediment cores from Dajiuhu Peatland (Hubei Province) and Niangniangshan Peatland (Guizhou Province). Before the 1950s, declines in acid-tolerant diatom taxa coincided with rising diatom-inferred pH in both peatlands, indicating a regional shift toward less acidic conditions. This regional shift probably resulted from warming-accelerated bedrock weathering and alkalinity generation. Thereafter, the expansion of acid-tolerant diatoms mainly responded to enhanced atmospheric acid deposition, suggesting that its impacts outweigh those of climate warming. Temporal changes in diatom assemblages showed similar trends in the two distant peatlands, suggesting that acidification might be a widespread phenomenon in subtropical peatlands of South China after the 1950s. In spite of recent reductions in atmospheric deposition from 2010, diatom-inferred water pH continued to decline, indicative of delayed recovery from anthropogenic acidification in these headwater peatlands. The results provide novel insight into the timing and extent of peatland acidification in South China, and can inform sustainable management of semi-aquatic ecosystems under a changing environment.

RevDate: 2025-07-12

Wang X, Dai Y, Xu YJ, et al (2025)

Dual-quantification of the different contributions of climate change and anthropogenic activities to eutrophication of rivers and lakes in Asia's largest river basin (Yangtze River).

Journal of hazardous materials, 496:139205 pii:S0304-3894(25)02121-1 [Epub ahead of print].

The impact of anthropogenic activities and climate change on surface water eutrophication has been of great concern. However, the contribution proportions of anthropogenic activities and climate change to the lakes and rivers' eutrophication in large basins has not been clearly revealed. This study employed Geographically Weighted Regression (GWR) and Structural Equation Modeling (SEM) to conduct a dual quantification of the differential contributions of anthropogenic activities and climate change to the eutrophication of rivers and lakes in the Yangtze River Basin (YRB). Regression coefficients of GWR variables demonstrated the spatial heterogeneity of eutrophication drivers. Shapley additive explanations showed that nutrients and land use intensity were the main drivers during wet seasons. Combining the direct and indirect path results from SEM, the relative contribution of anthropogenic activities and climate change was 92.1 % and 7.9 % to river eutrophication, respectively, and was 67.1 % and 32.9 % to lake eutrophication, respectively. Anthropogenic activities consistently exacerbate eutrophication in both rivers and lakes, whereas climate change intensifies lake eutrophication but exerts seasonally variable effects on rivers. These findings revealed that intensive anthropogenic activities continue to dominate the eutrophication of the YRB. This study can provide a scientific reference for the integrated management of aquatic ecosystems in large basins.

RevDate: 2025-07-12

Sumon KA, Kanok NJR, Sadat MA, et al (2025)

A comprehensive review on the negative impacts on Sundarbans fisheries: Insights from the hydrological changes modulated by climate change and anthropogenic activities.

Marine pollution bulletin, 220:118409 pii:S0025-326X(25)00884-7 [Epub ahead of print].

The Sundarbans, the largest single block of transboundary mangrove that provides habitat, breeding and nursery grounds for fish and many other aquatic species, and livelihood for 3.5 million people, is currently under threat due to various reasons. In this review, we demonstrated the potential causes of alterations of the Sundarbans' hydrology and their likely impacts on its fisheries. Significant alterations in the Sundarbans' hydrology are induced by climatic variables (e.g., elevated temperature, cyclones, sea level rise, salinity fluctuation, erratic rainfall, floods, and droughts) and anthropogenic factors (e.g., pesticides, heavy metals, microplastics and oil spills, aquaculture, deforestation, harmful fishing practices, etc.). The interwoven impacts of climate change include destruction of habitats, crucial breeding and nursery grounds of fishes, degradation of water, shifting migration patterns, physiological disruption, loss of fish species, etc. Furthermore, human activities like deforestation, shrimp farming, oil spills, etc. produce both short- and long-term consequences on fisheries, such as poor water quality, chemical bioaccumulation, mortality, etc. Heavy metals and pesticides exceeded the acceptable limit in the edible tissues of fish and other aquatic organisms and may pose carcinogenic risk upon consumption. We identified major research gaps for future studies, including a lack of long-term assessment of climatic variables, insufficient data on pollutants, advanced climate modelling, etc. Lastly, we recommend reducing carbon footprint, forcing industries to use Effluent Treatment Plants (ETPs), declaring more conserved areas, initiating community-based management, etc. to address the issues brought on by climate change and anthropogenic activities that will ultimately help improve the overall fisheries resources in Sundarbans.

RevDate: 2025-07-12

Guigard L, Nazaret F, Almario J, et al (2025)

The connections of climate change with microbial ecology and their consequences for ecosystem, human, and plant health.

Journal of applied microbiology pii:8197886 [Epub ahead of print].

The climate crisis presents an urgent challenge for Earth's living creatures and the habitats in which they have been adapted to thrive. Climate-related stress presents risks to microorganisms, the stability of the functions they provide, and their maintenance of beneficial interactions with their hosts and ecosystems. Microbes move across the continuum of anthropogenic influence on Earth's ecosystems, from pristine to human-managed to fully urbanized environments. Because microbial feedback within and across this continuum exists at multiple, connected scales from molecules to ecosystem-level processes, predicting microbial responses to climate stress and their potentially wide-ranging consequences remains difficult. Here, we discuss the broad implications of microbial and microbiome responses to climate change as they interface with human, plant, and ecosystem health. For each section on human, plant and ecosystem health, we briefly discuss the state of knowledge for each and follow with proposed future research, including some directions that are promising but require more work to evaluate. We end by considering overarching microbial ecology research needs across these systems and microbial solutions under investigation as possible climate-resilient interventions to maintain human, plant, and ecosystem health. This work draws on diverse expertise to identify broad research directions across typically separated disciplines and builds a holistic framework for considering their interrelationships.

RevDate: 2025-07-14

Korai SK, Korai PK, Jaffar MA, et al (2025)

Leveraging Biochar Amendments to Enhance Food Security and Plant Resilience Under Climate Change.

Plants (Basel, Switzerland), 14(13):.

Climate change poses significant risks to food security and contributes to widespread soil degradation. Effective strategies are urgently needed to mitigate its impacts and ensure stable crop production and food quality. Biochar has shown strong potential to reduce greenhouse gas emissions, enhance carbon sequestration, and immobilize soil contaminants such as heavy metals and organic pollutants. These benefits can lead to increased crop yields, improved nutritional quality, and reduced uptake of harmful substances by plants. This review summarizes the possible mechanisms through which biochar influences the biochar-soil-plant interface, aiming to provide a comprehensive understanding of its multifaceted roles. Although positive effects of biochar on crop production are frequently reported, neutral or even negative outcomes have also been observed. Such adverse effects may be attributed to the presence of volatile organic compounds, free radicals, or heavy metals in certain biochars that inhibit plant growth. Additionally, biochar application has been found to reduce plant infections caused by pathogens, likely due to the presence of organic compounds that act as microbial inhibitors. A deeper understanding of the mechanisms by which biochar affects plant growth is essential for its effective use as a tool to combat climate change and enhance food security.

RevDate: 2025-07-14

Sun S, Z Deng (2025)

Analysis of a Potentially Suitable Habitat for Solanum aculeatissimum in Southwest China Under Climate Change Scenarios.

Plants (Basel, Switzerland), 14(13):.

Solanum aculeatissimum is a herbaceous to semi-woody perennial plant native to the Brazilian ecosystem. It has naturalized extensively in southwestern China, posing significant threats to local biodiversity. This study systematically screened and integrated 100 distribution records from authoritative databases, including the Chinese Virtual Plant Specimen Database, the Global Biodiversity Information Facility, and Chinese Natural Museums. Additionally, 23 environmental variables were incorporated, comprising 19 bioclimatic factors from the World Climate Dataset, 3 topographic indicators, and the Human Footprint Index. The objectives of this research are as follows: (1) to simulate the plant's current and future distribution (2050s/2070s) under CMIP6 scenarios (SSP1-2.6, SSP2-4.5, and SSP5-8.5); (2) to quantify changes in the distribution range; and (3) to determine the migration trajectory using MaxEnt 3.4.4 software. The findings reveal that human pressure (contributing 79.7%) and isothermality (bioclimatic factor 3: 10.1%) are the primary driving forces shaping its distribution. The core suitable habitats are predominantly concentrated in the provinces of Yunnan, Guizhou, and Sichuan. By 2070, the distribution center shifts northeastward to Qujing City. Under the SSP5-8.5 scenario, the invasion front extends into southern Tibet, while retreat occurs in the lowlands of Honghe Prefecture. This study underscores the synergistic effects of socioeconomic development pathways and bioclimatic thresholds on invasive species' biogeographical patterns, providing a robust predictive framework for adaptive management strategies.

RevDate: 2025-07-14

Miao J, Zhang X, Yang Z, et al (2025)

Global Warming Impacts Suitable Habitats of the Subtropical Endemic Tree Acer pubinerve Rehder, Newly Recorded in Jiangsu Province, China.

Plants (Basel, Switzerland), 14(13):.

Global warming has caused the change of the geographical distribution of many species and threatened the living of species on earth. It is important to describe and predict the response of these species to current and future climate changes to conserve and utilize the endemic forest species. Acer pubinerve of the Sapindaceae is an important forest tree species endemic to China, our recent fieldwork recorded A. pubinerve in the Jiangsu province for the first time, representing the northernmost known occurrence of the species. In this study, we compiled an occurrence dataset of A. pubinerve based on field investigation, herbarium specimen data and literature, and mapped the resource distribution of this endemic forest species in China. Then, we used the optimized MaxEnt model to predict the potential suitable areas of the species under current climate conditions and future climate change scenarios and studied the impacts of environmental variables on the suitable areas of the species. The MaxEnt model, optimized with a regularization multiplier of 0.5 and a feature combination of linear and quadratic terms, exhibited the best predictive performance. The prediction accuracy of the model was extremely high and the AUC values of training and test data were 0.995 and 0.998, respectively. We found that the leading environmental variables affecting the potential distribution of A. pubinerve include the mean temperature of warmest quarter, the mean temperature of driest quarter, and the annual precipitation. Under the current climatic condition, the suitable distribution area of A. pubinerve is 165.68 × 10[4] km[2], mainly located in the provinces of Zhejiang, Fujian, Jiangxi, Hunan, Guangdong, and Guangxi. Compared with the suitable area under the current climate, the total suitable areas of A. pubinerve is projected to expand toward the north under the future climate change scenarios SSP126, SSP370, and SSP585, while its center shows a general trend of westward migration. Our study lays the foundation for conservation and resource utilization of this endemic tree species in China.

RevDate: 2025-07-14
CmpDate: 2025-07-12

Sharma G, Khan Z, Das D, et al (2025)

Thermal influence on development and morphological traits of Aedes aegypti in central India and its relevance to climate change.

Parasites & vectors, 18(1):279.

BACKGROUND: The geographic expansion of Aedes aegypti, an arboviral disease vector of global importance, is driven by urbanization, global travel, and climate change. Temperature significantly impacts the life cycle, distribution, and vectorial capacity of disease vectors. This study investigates the effects of temperature on the developmental biology, survival, reproductive traits, and wing morphometry of Ae. aegypti populations from central India (Bhopal, Madhya Pradesh).

METHODS: Larvae collected from the field were reared at controlled temperatures, on the basis of the historical and projected temperature changes, ranging from 10 ℃ to 40 ℃. Aedes stage-specific developmental times and survivorship rates were determined and compared. The right wings of male and female mosquitoes reared at 20 °C, 26 °C, and 32 °C were used for morphometric analysis on the basis of the digitized coordinates of 18 landmarks on the wing veins.

RESULTS: Higher temperature (32 °C) significantly accelerated life cycle completion, whereas 37 ℃ led to larval survival but high pupal mortality. In contrast, moderate temperatures (26 °C) optimized survival, reproductive output, and extended oviposition periods. Life table analysis revealed that elevated temperatures, particularly at 32 ℃, increased the intrinsic rate of population growth (rm) and shortened generation times, indicating faster population turnover under warmer conditions. However, this rapid life cycle presents trade-offs, including lower survival and reproductive success, which could significantly impact vector population dynamics in the context of climate-driven temperature fluctuations. Wing morphometric analysis further revealed that mosquitoes reared at 32 °C and 26 °C had significantly smaller wings compared with those reared at 20 °C. Although smaller wings may limit dispersal capacity, previous studies suggest a possible link with increased host-seeking and enhanced vectorial potential at 32 °C.

CONCLUSIONS: This study highlights that Ae. aegypti populations from Central India exhibit thermal tolerance and developmental plasticity under elevated temperatures, suggesting their potential to thrive in warm climates. Rapid development and smaller wing size at higher temperatures may influence survival, fecundity, and biting behavior. Such traits can enhance disease transmission risks by supporting more frequent human-vector contact and sustaining mosquito populations in broader geographic areas.

RevDate: 2025-07-11

Beier FD, Dietrich JP, Heinke J, et al (2025)

Planetary boundaries under a land-based climate change mitigation scenario with a food demand transformation: a modelling study.

The Lancet. Planetary health pii:S2542-5196(25)00087-7 [Epub ahead of print].

BACKGROUND: Ambitious climate change mitigation in all economic sectors is crucial for limiting global warming. Cost-effective mitigation pathways to keep global average temperature increases below 1·5°C by the end of the 21st century often rely on land-based greenhouse gas (GHG) emission reductions, increased land-based carbon uptake and biomass supply to other sectors (eg, energy and transport), and demand-side changes in the food system. To evaluate the broader sustainability of land-based climate change mitigation action, we evaluated synergies and trade-offs of individual and combined supply-side mitigation measures across five planetary boundaries. We also examined the role of a food demand transformation aligned with the dietary recommendations of the updated planetary health diet defined in the forthcoming EAT-Lancet Commission 2.0 report in shaping planetary boundary outcomes.

METHODS: In this modelling study, we used the dynamic land-system modelling framework MAgPIE to assess the consequences of land-based GHG reductions, increased land-based carbon uptake, increased biomass supply to other sectors, and a food-system transformation towards the planetary health diet including food waste reductions on five planetary boundary domains (climate change, nitrogen, land-system change, freshwater use, and biosphere integrity) relative to a reference scenario without land-system mitigation throughout the century. For each planetary boundary control variable, we calculated the level of planetary boundary transgression (ie, the extent to which scenario outcomes exceeded the defined safe operating space) and assessed the contributions of land-based mitigation strategies to reducing planetary boundary transgressions projected for the reference scenario.

FINDINGS: Our projections show that a food-system transformation together with ambitious land-system and energy-system climate change mitigation can limit global warming to below 1·5°C by 2100, while also reducing planetary boundary transgression (particularly for the climate change, land-system change, biosphere integrity, and nitrogen planetary boundaries). However, a safe operating space was not achieved through these mitigation measures, as most planetary boundaries were still projected to remain transgressed by the end of the 21st century. Increased bioenergy supply alone worsened planetary boundary transgression when only looking at land-system impacts, but combining increased bioenergy supply with GHG pricing in the land system alleviated these trade-offs. Food waste reductions and dietary shifts towards the planetary health diet were projected to ease pressures on the land system and reduce planetary boundary transgression of all assessed planetary boundaries.

INTERPRETATION: This research highlights the importance of considering multiple planetary boundaries and the interactions between various mitigation strategies when assessing climate mitigation action in the land system to avoid negative consequences for other aspects of the environment. Following an ambitious climate change mitigation pathway compatible with the Paris Agreement results in a transgression of all assessed five planetary boundaries by 2100. However, the combination of the land-system mitigation measures included in this study produced a substantial shift towards the safe operating space for humanity.

FUNDING: EAT-Lancet Commission 2.0.

RevDate: 2025-07-11

Lin E, Hussain MJ, Hunter K, et al (2025)

Addressing climate change concerns in pediatric health care settings: exploring parental and physician perspectives.

Environment international, 202:109661 pii:S0160-4120(25)00412-X [Epub ahead of print].

INTRODUCTION: In 2015, the American Academy of Pediatrics released a policy statement on pediatricians' role in battling the damaging effects of the climate crisis on children, a particularly vulnerable population. However, pediatric healthcare providers report difficulties integrating these discussions into their clinical practices. We designed a survey to evaluate the perceptions of parents and pediatricians regarding the health impacts of climate change, with the goal of identifying key opportunities for education and engagement.

METHODS: In this cross-sectional study, anonymous surveys were distributed to parents at 5 pediatric outpatient clinics in Southern New Jersey. A second anonymous survey was digitally distributed to physicians at the same outpatient clinics. We measured responses using a 4-point Likert scale and conducted a descriptive analysis, including frequencies, percentages, and 95 % confidence intervals.

RESULTS: We collected 111 parent surveys and 37 physician surveys. Many parents and physicians reported feeling worried (somewhat or very much) about the impact of climate change on their child's and patient's physical (57.4 % for parents, 83.8 % for physicians) and mental (30.0 % for parents, 64.8 % for physicians) health. The top three areas of climate health concern among parents were air pollution, vector-carried diseases, and allergens and pollen. The top three concerns for physicians were air pollution, allergens and pollen, and food security. Pediatricians reported that a lack of time (89.2 %) and knowledge (70.3 %) reduced their willingness (somewhat or very much) to discuss climate change during visits. When asked about solutions, they responded that patient education materials (75.6 %), communication training (70.2 %), and continuing professional education (78.3 %) would facilitate climate counseling (somewhat or very much).

CONCLUSIONS: Our results suggest that parents and pediatricians alike are concerned about the impact of climate change on child health. Additionally, pediatricians feel ill-equipped to integrate climate change education into their daily practices. Future efforts to provide additional resources to pediatricians can help both parents and patients face a worsening ecological climate.

RevDate: 2025-07-11

Goplakrishnan V, Saravanan V, Mahendran MIMS, et al (2025)

Climate Change and the Microbial Shift: Unveiling Hidden Risks for Cancer Progression.

Cancer epidemiology, biomarkers & prevention : a publication of the American Association for Cancer Research, cosponsored by the American Society of Preventive Oncology pii:763548 [Epub ahead of print].

Climate change can lead to constant dysbiosis of the human microbiota, disrupting the delicate balance essential for maintaining good health. Climate change and its associated health risks are a growing area of research, yet its impact on human health, particularly for cancer patients and their relationship with microbes, remains largely unclear. While much attention is given to the effects of climate change on flora and fauna, its influence on microbes-both within the human body and in the environment deserves greater focus. Climate shifts can lead to constant dysbiosis of the human microbiota, disrupting the delicate balance, essential for maintaining good health. This interplay between host and environmental microbes is crucial for a healthy life. As climate change accelerates, it creates a favourable niche for pathogens, often exacerbated by antimicrobial resistance. Cancer patients, already immunocompromised, may be especially vulnerable to these microbial fluctuations driven by changing climates. Our review explores the existing studies that link climate change with microbial disturbances and how these shifts may contribute to cancer progression and accompanied comorbidities. Future research is essential to unravel the connection between climate change, microbial dysbiosis, and cancer development, shedding light on an often-overlooked threat to human health.

RevDate: 2025-07-12

Temmerman M, Peeters E, Delacroix C, et al (2025)

The impact of implementing the women's reproductive rights agenda on climate change.

Frontiers in global women's health, 6:1594066.

The 1994 International Conference on Population and Development (ICPD) established sexual and reproductive health and rights (SRHR) as foundational to sustainable development. Thirty years later, advancing women's reproductive rights (WRR), encompassing agency, decision-making autonomy, and universal access to family planning-remains critical not only for health and gender equity but also for mitigating environmental degradation. By reducing unintended pregnancies and empowering women to align childbearing with personal and ecological capacity, WRR alleviates ecological stressors such as deforestation while enhancing health resilience in climate-vulnerable communities. Yet, despite well-documented linkages between population dynamics and environmental change, contemporary climate policies and funding mechanisms persistently exclude WRR. This oversight undermines the potential of reproductive justice to enhance climate resilience. Additionally, claims that integrating WRR into climate agendas covertly promotes population control or represses women in low- and middle-income countries are fundamentally misleading. Crucially, research is needed to quantify the specific environmental impacts of WRR, underscoring the urgent need for robust global models to predict and validate these co-benefits. Strengthening this evidence base is imperative to inform policies that integrate WRR indicators into climate financing frameworks, ensuring gender-responsive programming. Bridging this gap requires interdisciplinary collaboration to develop metrics that capture WRR's role in reducing resource consumption and enhancing adaptive capacity. Embedding WRR within climate agendas would harmonize reproductive justice with environmental action, unlocking synergies between gender equity, health resilience, and sustainability. Fulfilling the ICPD's vision demands centering WRR in global climate strategies, thereby advancing a just and livable future for all.

RevDate: 2025-07-12
CmpDate: 2025-07-11

Omar K, Mohamed A, Shaltout M, et al (2025)

Future habitat dynamics of critically endangered endemic plants in the St. Catherine protected area, South Sinai, Egypt: climate change perspectives on mountain ecosystems.

BMC ecology and evolution, 25(1):68.

BACKGROUND: Mountain ecosystems provide crucial insights into species distribution, yet their fragility, especially in the warming Mediterranean, puts many species at high extinction risk. This study, focusing on four critically endangered plants in Egypt's St. Catherine Protected Area (Primula boveana, Rosa arabica, Micromeria serbaliana, and Silene oreosinaica), uses Species Distribution Models (MaxEnt) and the IUCN Red List to assess climate change impacts and enhance future conservation strategies.

RESULTS: Field observations from 2024 to 2025 revealed changes in Extent of Occurrence (EOO) and Area of Occupancy (AOO) when compared to historical records. EOO increased for all species: P. boveana (72.8 km², + 280%), R. arabica (102 km², + 117%), M. serbaliana (88.5 km², + 30%), and S. oreosinaica (61 km², + 15%) as discovery of new and rehabilitated sites. This reclassified R. arabica from Critically Endangered (CR) to Endangered (EN), although the other species remain CR. Despite these geographical increases, both human and natural threats continue to cause declines in individual numbers and habitat quality. High predictive model accuracy was recorded (AUC ≥ 0.97, TSS ≥ 0.85). Under current conditions, P. boveana and R. arabica exhibit wider potential distributions (11.3% and 12.1% of the total area, respectively) than M. serbaliana (5.2%) and S. oreosinaica (5.4%). Areas with high probability of occurrence are primarily found in the northwestern mountains, often fragmented by topography. MaxEnt projected a decline in suitable habitats for these species, with new suitable areas emerging in SCPA's southern mountains. Future habitat reduction rates for the years 2050 and 2070 varied: S. oreosinaica (2-23%), P. boveana (7-32%), and M. serbaliana (2-41%), while R. arabica demonstrated high stability (> 96%).

CONCLUSIONS: Our findings show an altitudinal shift, with species moving to higher, southern mountains, experiencing habitat fragmentation and losses elsewhere. Effective conservation needs ongoing monitoring, in-situ/ex-situ efforts, and addressing threats like overgrazing. Raising environmental awareness is crucial.

RevDate: 2025-07-10

Fry J (2025)

Projecting stock market impacts of climate change via rational bubble models.

Risk analysis : an official publication of the Society for Risk Analysis [Epub ahead of print].

In this paper, we develop a rational bubble model to quantify the susceptibility of global stock markets to future temperature rises. The approach builds on existing theory incorporating the unpredictable timing of future Black-Swan events alongside price risks that increase in line with global temperature. An alternative specification where climate-change risks are instead linked to atmospheric carbon dioxide levels is also given. The approach offers simplicity, transparency and allows national-level effects to be estimated. In the short term, prices are artificially inflated and volatility artificially deflated as temperatures rise. This is in-line with previous work suggesting carbon-related risks are underpriced by markets. We use our model to estimate stock market exposure to future climate-change risks given future global temperature rises and increases in atmospheric C O 2 $CO_2$ . The potential effects are considerable once global temperatures increases beyond 2 ∘ C $2^\circ {\rm C}$ above preindustrial levels. We find that climate-change risks are priced in by certain G7 stock markets but not in smaller markets. Estimates of stock market losses directly attributable to global temperature rises up to 2 ∘ C $2^\circ {\rm C}$ above preindustrial levels are also given.

RevDate: 2025-07-13

Mamodiya U, Kishor I, Ganguly P, et al (2025)

A machine learning approach to assess the climate change impacts on single and dual-axis tracking photovoltaic systems.

Scientific reports, 15(1):24910 pii:10.1038/s41598-025-10831-3.

Solar tracking system efficiency is affected by climate variability, and adaptive mechanisms must be employed to maximize energy output. Conventional fixed-tilt, single-axis, and dual-axis tracking techniques are not real-time adaptive, resulting in energy loss. This paper introduces COMLAT (Climate-Optimized Machine Learning Adaptive Tracking), an AI solar tracking system that employs climate prediction using CNN-LSTM for climate prediction, XGBoost for estimation of energy yield, and Deep Q-Learning (DQL) for real-time tracking control for solar efficiency optimization. One-year experimental research from January 2024 to January 2025 was conducted at Sitapura, Jaipur, India, with comparative studies of COMLAT and traditional tracking systems for seasonal variations and cloud cover conditions. Results confirm the 55% increase in energy production compared to fixed-tilt installations and 15-20% compared to dual-axis tracking due to its AI-based flexibility. The constructed model achieved 10-day solar irradiance forecasting with an RMSE of 23.5 W/m[2], outperforming the conventional LSTM and GRU baselines. XGBoost made predictions of energy output with an R[2] score of 0.94. COMLAT's reinforcement learning controller optimized tracking angles with sub-second latency while minimizing mechanical movement. The integration of hybrid artificial intelligence models allows COMLAT to continuously update its tracking angles in real time and is a scalable and industrially viable solution for smart grids, solar farms, and hybrid renewable energy systems. Increasing computational efficiency, integrating energy storage mechanisms, and optimizing self-learning algorithms will be areas of focus for future research to make it more applicable.

RevDate: 2025-07-13

Hassoun AER, Mojtahid M, Merheb M, et al (2025)

Climate change risks on key open marine and coastal mediterranean ecosystems.

Scientific reports, 15(1):24907.

Mediterranean open marine and coastal ecosystems face multiple risks that impact their unique biodiversity, with climate change representing a major ongoing threat. While these ecosystems are also under pressure from non-climatic anthropogenic drivers (e.g., overfishing, pollution), this study primarily focuses on risks related to climate change. To assess these risks and evaluate their confidence levels, we adopt the scenario-based approach of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), relying on a review of literature projecting changes in Mediterranean Sea ecosystems. The main drivers of environmental change are sea level rise, ocean warming and acidification. Similar to global conditions, all Mediterranean ecosystems face high risks under all climate scenarios, with coastal ecosystems being more strongly impacted than open marine ecosystems. For these coastal ecosystems, risk levels are expected to become very high already once global warming exceeds 0.8 °C with respect to the 1976-2005 period. A few Mediterranean ecosystems (e.g., coralligenous and rocky coasts) are relatively more resilient compared to others, probably because of their long evolutionary history and the presence of a variety of climatic and hydrological conditions. However, high-emission scenarios in specific sub-basins, in addition to acidification impacts, could reduce this resilience, decreasing both habitat extent and ecosystem function dramatically. Overall, due to the higher observed and projected rates of climate change in the Mediterranean, compared to global trends, for variables such as seawater temperature and pH, marine ecosystems (particularly coastal) are projected to be under higher risks compared to the global ocean.

RevDate: 2025-07-13

Abatzoglou JT, Kolden CA, Cullen AC, et al (2025)

Climate change has increased the odds of extreme regional forest fire years globally.

Nature communications, 16(1):6390.

Regions across the globe have experienced devastating fire years in the past decade with far-reaching impacts. Here, we examine the role of antecedent and concurrent climate variability in enabling extreme regional fire years across global forests. These extreme years commonly coincided with extreme (1-in-15-year) fire weather indices (FWI) and featured a four and five-fold increase in the number of large fires and fire carbon emissions, respectively, compared with non-extreme years. Years with such extreme FWI metrics are 88-152% more likely across global forested lands under a contemporary (2011-2040) climate compared to a quasi-preindustrial (1851-1900) climate, with the most pronounced increased risk in temperate and Amazonian forests. Our results show that human-caused climate change is raising the odds of extreme climate-driven fire years across forested regions of the globe, necessitating proactive measures to mitigate risks and adapt to extreme fire years.

RevDate: 2025-07-10

Zhang L, Yang C, Wang P, et al (2025)

Climate change and geographic barriers exacerbate the spread and threat of Psacothea hilaris (Pascoe, 1857) in China: Insights from ensemble model, geographic barrier simulations, and niche analysis.

The Science of the total environment, 994:180032 pii:S0048-9697(25)01672-9 [Epub ahead of print].

Climate change is a key driver affecting global ecosystems and biodiversity, particularly influencing the spread and distribution of forest pests in forest ecosystems. Psacothea hilaris (Pascoe, 1857), an important forestry pest, poses a serious threat to the mulberry industry and the health of forest ecosystems. This study integrated an ensemble model, geographic barrier analysis, and niche modelling to evaluate habitat suitability and future range shifts of P. hilaris under different climatic scenarios, and formulated corresponding prevention and control strategies. The results indicated that the ensemble model exhibited high accuracy (AUC = 0.97; TSS = 0.81). Mean diurnal range, precipitation seasonality, and precipitation of warmest quarter were the key drivers affecting the distribution of P. hilaris, and the response curves further revealed the existence of a non-linear pattern of these factors on its survival probability. Currently, P. hilaris is mainly distributed in central and southern China, while in the future, the area of its suitable habitat is expected to increase by 13.61 % to 64.04 %, and the centre of its distribution will move to higher latitudes. Multivariate environmental similarity surface (MESS) confirmed that the bioclimatic conditions in the future expansion area are highly similar to the current conditions. Moreover, the ecological niche overlap of P. hilaris will exceed 0.81 in the future periods. Additionally, topographic barriers did not significantly limit the dispersal ability of P. hilaris. This study not only provides data support for the development of refined control measures and ecological risk assessment for P. hilaris, but also provides valuable reference for the optimization of forest pest control strategies and ecosystem protection in China.

RevDate: 2025-07-10
CmpDate: 2025-07-10

Nhuong BH, Truong DD, Huan LH, et al (2025)

Factors influencing farming households' climate change adaptation strategies in Central Vietnam.

PloS one, 20(7):e0328058.

This study investigates the determinants of household-level adaptation strategies to climate variability and saltwater intrusion in the coastal regions of Central Vietnam. Using a Multinomial Logistic Regression (MNL) model, the analysis is based on a cross-sectional survey of 356 farming households, focusing on four primary adaptation measures: vegetable production, shrimp farming, adoption of salt-tolerant rice varieties, and the lotus-fish farming model. The results reveal that socio-economic, demographic, environmental, and institutional factors significantly influence the adoption of specific adaptation strategies. Key determinants include gender, education, age, farming experience, household income, land characteristics, access to information, credit services, membership in civic organizations, and participation in training programs. Male-headed households and those with greater access to climate information and social networks were more likely to adopt diverse and complex adaptation strategies. In contrast, households with limited land resources, lower incomes, or lacking institutional support were less adaptive. The findings highlight the heterogeneity of adaptive behaviors and the need for tailored interventions. From a policy perspective, enhancing institutional capacity-especially through targeted training, increased access to subsidized credit, and support for community-based organizations-can significantly strengthen farmers' adaptive capacities. Moreover, the study contributes to filling key research gaps in the Southeast Asian context by integrating socio-economic and environmental variables into a unified analytical framework. These insights are critical for designing inclusive and effective climate adaptation policies aimed at safeguarding rural livelihoods and promoting sustainable agricultural development in climate-vulnerable regions.

RevDate: 2025-07-11

Khadka RB, Manandhar HK, Shrestha S, et al (2025)

Defending rice crop from blast disease in the context of climate change for food security in Nepal.

Frontiers in plant science, 16:1511945.

Blast, caused by Pyricularia oryzae (teleomorph Magnaporthe oryzae), is one of the most devastating diseases in rice, causing 10-30% yield losses and threatening Nepal's food and nutritional security. The Himalayan foothills are hotspots for blast fungus diversity, leading to the rapid emergence of pathotypes that overcome resistance in mega rice varieties. In 2022, a neck blast epidemic devastated 5,000 hectares of Hardinath-1, a dry winter/spring rice variety in Chitwan, causing nearly 100% yield loss. The changing climate, especially during panicle initiation stages, has become more favourable for neck blast development. We reviewed 40 years of research and development on rice blast in Nepal, analysing historical weather patterns and mapping the incidence and severity of the disease across the country based on empirical observations and field experiments. Using historical data on rice blast incidence and climate information, we show that rice blast pressure is increasing intensively and changing weather patterns are becoming more favourable for rice blast epidemics. We identify emerging issues in rice blast and propose integrated strategies for effective management in Nepal. Key approaches include developing durable blast-resistant and climate-resilient rice varieties using molecular markers and genomic tools and speed breeding, forecasting disease and pathotype emergence, and combining these with careful use of modern fungicides, plant defence activators, and biological control. Additionally, adjusting planting times, managing weeds, optimising agronomic practices, and ensuring proper water and nutrient management are essential for sustainable blast management.

RevDate: 2025-07-11

Qian Q, Zhuo Z, Peng Y, et al (2025)

Changes in the Distribution of Botrytis cinerea Pers. Fr. In China Under Climate Change.

Ecology and evolution, 15(7):e71640.

Botrytis cinerea Pers. Fr. is capable of infecting many horticultural plants and agricultural products with gray mold, which causes great losses to the world economy. MaxEnt is a probabilistic model for classification and prediction. In this study, the MaxEnt model was used to predict the current and future potential geographic distribution of B. cinerea in China, and key environmental variables affecting its distribution were identified. The results showed that under the current climatic conditions, the central area of suitable distribution of B. cinerea is in Gande County, Guoluo Tibetan Autonomous Prefecture, Qinghai Province, China (99.63° E, 33.92° N). The highly suitable areas are mainly concentrated in tropical and subtropical regions, including Tianjin, Shandong, Anhui, Hubei, and Henan in China. Under the future climate conditions, the center of the suitable distribution of B. cinerea did not shift significantly. The areas of both the high and low suitable areas of B. cinerea decreased, but the areas of the medium suitable areas increased. Key environmental variables affecting the distribution of B. cinerea included isothermality (bio3), mean temperature of wettest quarter (bio8), mean temperature of driest quarter (bio9), precipitation seasonality (bio15), precipitation of coldest quarter (bio19), and elevation. This study has the potential to be utilized to understand the changing patterns of B. cinerea distribution and to promote ecological conservation and agricultural management.

RevDate: 2025-07-11

Wang P, Zhang L, Li J, et al (2025)

Using Ecological Modeling to Study the Response of Distribution Dynamics of Paraglenea fortunei (Coleoptera: Cerambycidae) to Human Activities and Climate Change to in Northeast Asia.

Ecology and evolution, 15(7):e71782.

Invasive species pose an increasing threat to biodiversity, agriculture, and ecosystem stability, especially under accelerated climate change. Paraglenea fortunei, a longhorn beetle native to East Asia, has emerged as a potential pest, warranting urgent attention to its possible range expansion. This study aims to predict the current and future potential distribution of P. fortunei using an optimized MaxEnt ecological niche model under various climate change scenarios across Northeast Asia. The results indicate that climatic factors, such as temperature stability, precipitation, and human activities are key drivers influencing its distribution. These findings suggest that P. fortunei prefers to live in ecosystems with cooler climates, more consistent changes, and abundant precipitation. Meanwhile, P. fortunei may expand to many countries and regions in the future, including central and western China, Sakhalin in Russia, the Hokkaido Islands in Japan, Vietnam, Myanmar, India, Nepal, and Bangladesh. In addition, P. fortunei may migrate to higher latitudes as climate conditions change. These findings contribute to a better understanding of climate-driven distribution dynamics and offer scientific guidance for pest risk management and regional ecological planning.

RevDate: 2025-07-10

Hall SJ, Frankenberger JR, Christianson LE, et al (2025)

Can conservation drainage practices contribute to climate change mitigation?.

Journal of environmental quality [Epub ahead of print].

Conservation drainage practices can mitigate water quality impacts of subsurface drainage, but their potential for climate change mitigation remains poorly understood. We summarized processes by which tile-drained croplands impact climate and assessed potential of conservation drainage practices to alter emissions of the greenhouse gases nitrous oxide (N2O) and methane (CH4) and stocks of soil organic carbon (SOC), compared using carbon dioxide equivalents (CO2e). Controlled drainage, bioreactors, saturated buffers, and water quality wetlands can decrease nitrate leaching with little or no increase in on-site N2O emissions, thereby decreasing indirect N2O emissions that would otherwise occur from downstream waters. However, under some conditions, CH4 emissions from bioreactors and especially from wetlands can counteract climate benefits of decreased indirect N2O emissions. Drainage water recycling could potentially increase direct soil N2O emissions while decreasing indirect N2O emissions, but these impacts might be mitigated through sub-irrigation and increased drainage intensity. Many conservation drainage practices are unlikely to markedly increase SOC, aside from saturated buffers. Expressed relative to the area of cropland treated by a given practice, saturated buffers may have the largest climate mitigation potential of examined practices due to the combination of efficient nitrate removal with low N2O emissions, lower risk of CH4 emissions, and high potential for SOC accrual. In sum, available data suggest that several conservation drainage practices can plausibly contribute to climate change mitigation as well as water quality improvement, although more comprehensive studies are needed to better constrain their effectiveness.

RevDate: 2025-07-12
CmpDate: 2025-07-09

Natnael T (2025)

Knowledge about the health impact of climate change and associated factors among women in Northeastern Ethiopia.

Scientific reports, 15(1):24768.

Globally, climate change (CC) is a major challenge to the health and lives of people especially in developing countries like Ethiopia. CC is an issue of great importance for public health and socioeconomic equity due to its diverse consequences. In developing nations, women still make up approximately half of the agricultural labor force. SDGs 13 and 5 would be achieved and CC mitigation efforts would rise if more women took part in it. Women should therefore be adequately informed about mitigating measures. However, there is no study regarding the issue among women. Therefore, this study attempted to fill this gap. A cross-sectional study was conducted from June 1 to 30, 2024 among systematically selected 401 women in Northeastern Ethiopia. Binary logistic regression models at 95% confidence interval (CI) were used to determine the factors affecting the knowledge about the health impacts of CC. From the bi-variable analysis, variables having a P-value < 0.25 were retained into the multivariable analysis. In multivariable analysis, variables with a p-value of less than 0.05 were considered statistically significant. Of the total women, 47.4% were between 18 and 30 years, with a mean age of 31 years. This study uses the mean to determine participants knowledge level; those who score the mean or higher are seen as having good knowledge, while those who score below the mean were regarded as having poor knowledge. In the research area, women had good knowledge prevalence about the health impact of CC at 34.4% (95% CI: 29.7-39.4). This research revealed that higher educational level (AOR = 3.46, 95%CI = 1.75-6.85) and using TV/radio as source of information (AOR = 2, 95%CI = 1.24-3.24) were significantly correlated with having good knowledge about the health impact of CC. In the current study, women's good knowledge about the health impact of CC was very low. This implies the need to support the women through intensive and continuous health information through radio and television.

RevDate: 2025-07-09

Dong X, Gong J, Li FY, et al (2025)

Positive contributions of China's protected areas in biodiversity conservation and carbon storage under future climate change.

The Science of the total environment, 994:180035 pii:S0048-9697(25)01675-4 [Epub ahead of print].

Protected areas are crucial for sustaining species populations and minimizing habitat loss. However, climate change poses a global threat that introduces uncertainties to the effectiveness of existing protected areas and future conservation planning. Here, we analyzed the impact of climate change on protected area effectiveness in China by assessing species richness (mammals, reptiles, amphibians, birds, and plants) and carbon storage under current and future (2050s) climate scenarios. By integrating both current and future potential key areas, forward-looking priority conservation areas were identified to address the gaps in existing protected areas and to enhance climate change adaptation. The results showed spatial heterogeneity in the climate-change velocity, with higher rates in protected areas in eastern, northern, and northeastern China. Under climate change, changes in species richness in existing protected areas differ among taxonomic groups; the largest number of protected areas showed decreasing bird and mammal species richness. However, the number of protected areas with increased species richness exceeded that with declined, and the number of effectively protected species increased by 1 % to 4 %. In addition, 52 % of protected areas showed an increase in carbon storage capacity; thus, protected areas can remain effective under future climate change. Despite these positive trends, 62 % to 92 % of species and 88 % of carbon storage were not effectively protected. Expanding priority areas could conserve >80 % of species and 30 % of carbon storage, both currently and in 2050. Our framework will help to assess the effectiveness of protected areas and to identify nearly optimal areas for future expansion.

RevDate: 2025-07-11
CmpDate: 2025-07-09

Teng Y, Li W, Wang X, et al (2025)

Integrating population genomics and environmental data to predict adaptation to climate change in post-bottleneck Tibetan macaques.

Science advances, 11(28):eadw0562.

Rapid climate change represents a profound threat to biodiversity. Understanding the local adaptations and their vulnerabilities to climate change are imperative for developing conservation measures. Here, we combined a multidisciplinary approach to determine the local adaptations of an endemic and near-threatened primate, aiming to reveal its potential to cope with future climate change. Results suggest that climatic fluctuations played an important role in shaping its demographic trajectory and genetic structure. In addition, Tibetan macaques have experienced a severe bottleneck in the recent past, with highly deleterious mutations partially removed, but moderately deleterious mutations accumulating. The severe bottleneck and lower genetic diversity may have reduced their potential to adapt to environmental change, which will compromise long-term viability. Furthermore, we found that the eastern group exhibited higher genomic offsets and loss of suitable habitat in response to climate change. Overall, we emphasize the importance of integrating population genomics and environmental data to predict the adaptation of post-bottleneck populations to rapid climate change.

RevDate: 2025-07-11
CmpDate: 2025-07-09

Ghafouri E, Ghanbarian G, Cerdà A, et al (2025)

Tecomella undulata under threat: The impact of climate change on the distribution of a valuable tree species using a machine learning model.

PloS one, 20(7):e0326609.

Climate change has emerged as a significant driver of biodiversity loss, with profound implications for species distribution. This study assessed the current and future distribution of Tecomella undulata (Desert teak), an economically and medicinally valuable species facing threats from climate change. MaxEnt model, built using 44 occurrence points and environmental data including bioclimatic factors and Digital Elevation Model (DEM), demonstrated an impressive Area Under the Curve (AUC) value of around 0.91 and a True Skill Statistic (TSS) value of 0.79, indicating excellent predictive performance. Temperature seasonality (Bio4) emerged as the most crucial variable, contributing 35.9% to the modeling, followed by the mean temperature of the wettest quarter (Bio8) and precipitation seasonality (Bio15). The habitat suitability maps showed a strong presence of T. undulata in the southern regions of Iran, with Fars and Bushehr provinces being particularly conducive to its growth. Future projections under Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSP) scenarios SSP245 and SSP585 for 2030, 2050, 2070, and 2090 suggested a decline in suitable habitats for T. undulata, with high-suitability areas projected to decrease by up to 98% and unsuitable habitats predicted to increase. The study underscores the urgency for tailored conservation measures to mitigate the impacts of climate change on this valuable species.

RevDate: 2025-07-09
CmpDate: 2025-07-09

Lefcort H, Brockman SM, Hopkins JW, et al (2025)

Ramification of relaxed thermoregulation by disease vectors under climate change.

Experimental & applied acarology, 95(2):14.

Understanding how vector species such as ticks respond behaviorally to thermal and host-related cues is critical for predicting the effects of climate change on disease transmission. Ticks employ distinct questing strategies-ranging from static sit-and-wait behavior to active host seeking-that influence their exposure to abiotic stressors. We investigated whether Dermacentor andersoni and Dermacentor similis, two sit-and-wait tick species native to Eastern Washington, USA, exhibit behavioral plasticity in response to temperature gradients and host stimuli. We conducted three experiments to assess (1) thermal preferences of D. andersoni under host (dog) scent conditions, (2) thermotactic responses of both species to infrared (IR) radiation in the presence of dog odor, and (3) D. andersoni's approach behavior toward human hosts at various distances, i.e., a host emitting a combination of IR, CO2, and odors. In thermal gradient assays, D. andersoni showed significantly increased movement toward warmer zones following CO2 exposure and exhibited wide thermal preferences depending on specific dog odors. However, when exposed to an IR source, we found strong sit-and-wait behaviors by D. andersoni and D. similis regardless of temperature or radiation. The ticks were not attracted to infrared radiation and did not move toward the stationary exposed hand of an observer. Ticks may prioritize optimal locations to encounter potential hosts, over enzymatically optimal temperatures. Rather than evolving to detect hosts at a distance, Haller's organs may have evolved to differentiate warm attachment sites from cooler fur. Our results suggest that Dermacentor questing behavior (remaining on station despite a different preferred temperature) may make them particularly vulnerable to future rises in temperature.

RevDate: 2025-07-11
CmpDate: 2025-07-09

Goedkoop W, Adler S, Huser B, et al (2025)

Climate Change-Induced Landscape Alterations Increase Nutrient Sequestration and Cause Severe Oligotrophication of Subarctic Lakes.

Global change biology, 31(7):e70314.

We combined decadal data (23-35 y) on nutrient concentrations for nine subarctic lakes with satellite imagery of vegetation (NDVI) to link the ongoing nutrient declines to the climate change-induced greening of landscapes. Total phosphorus water concentrations (Total-P) showed declining trends for all nine lakes, ranging from 1.5%-3.6%/y over the last decades. For most of the lakes' drainage areas, NDVI showed a dramatic increase during the 1990s and leveled off between 2001 and 2020. P sequestration in the lakes' drainage areas generally increased by 12%-30% between 1983-1994 and 2001-2020, with an exception of one high-elevation lake for which P sequestration more than doubled. Area-specific P-sequestration estimates for 1983-1994 averaged 1.04 ± 0.10 tons P/km[2] among all lakes but increased by 12%-33% for eight of the nine lakes during 2001-2020. Similar trends were found for nitrogen (N) sequestration, although these were an order of magnitude higher. These estimates illustrate long-term changes in the sequestration of N and P by terrestrial vegetation in the region. Total-P and DIN water concentrations showed negative correlations with both the NDVImax of their drainage areas and plot-scale measurements of tundra dwarf shrub cover. These correlations explained 51.8%-75.4% of the variability in declining nutrient water concentrations and showed the strong links between terrestrial vegetation development and declines in nutrient inputs to downstream lakes. Similar processes are likely ongoing in other parts of the Arctic where vegetation development is progressing, but are either not detected due to the lack of long-term monitoring data or compensated for by nutrients released from thawing permafrost and/or thermokarst slumps. Upscaling our P- and N-sequestration estimates for the nine lakes to the entire Arctic/alpine ecoregion in Sweden showed an average increase of 12.0 ± 1.7 Mtons P and 122.6 ± 17.5 Mtons N between the periods 1982-1994 and 2001-2020.

RevDate: 2025-07-10
CmpDate: 2025-07-09

Amin MN, Hossain MA, Islam MR, et al (2025)

The health impact of climate change on the women in reproductive age: a study of coastal communities in Satkhira, Bangladesh.

Frontiers in public health, 13:1560498.

BACKGROUND: Climate change and health issues pose a global threat, particularly in developing countries like Bangladesh. Within the socio-economic structure in coastal regions, women played a crucial role in contributing livelihood and living resources, while new climatic ecology creates chaotic relationships between environment and human health. The emerging adverse climatic ecology is directly and indirectly affecting them in the sphere of their both outdoor and indoor activism. This study explores the health impacts of climate change on the women of reproductive age (ages between 14 and 49 from the Bangladeshi perspective) living in coastal communities, i.e., Satkhira, Bangladesh.

METHODS: To choose study locations, this study conducted a literature survey to find out the most vulnerable coastal region of Bangladesh. The study has selected the five most vulnerable unions of Shyamnagar upazila in Satkhira district. This study adopted a multi-method approach combining in-depth interviews and KIIs. Based on this methodological guide, this study interviewed 25 women and 5 married men, while their responses have further been supplemented and validated by KIIs with health workers and medical officers.

RESULTS: Findings show that climate change posture to new climatic ecology facilitating adverse situations that lead to the intrusion of saline water within communities, lack of fresh and drinkable water, women exposure to waterborne diseases resulting from both salinity and scarcity of fresh usable water, skin disorders, gynaecological and reproductive illnesses, and vector-borne diseases. Women also bear an encountered burden in their struggle to acquire water and good health, including limited hygiene facilities and maternal care. This dilemma is even worsened during the summer season, which exposes women to heat waves, resulting in physical complications such as anaemia, pregnancy risks, heat stroke, dehydration, hypertension and psychological complications like anxiety, stress and depression.

CONCLUSION: Breaches in awareness and prevention practices were outlined from the study, as there is a need to realize integrated solutions to address the environmental and health challenges of the populations. Further, there is an absolute need to continue improving access to safe water, healthcare services, and education as a way to build resilience in affected communities.

RevDate: 2025-07-11

Zhang P, X Gao (2025)

The role of novel photovoltaic materials in climate change mitigation based on numerical simulations.

Scientific reports, 15(1):24516 pii:10.1038/s41598-025-10327-0.

Global climate change is an urgent environmental challenge demanding solutions that address both greenhouse gas emissions and local temperature regulation. In this study, we utilize a numerical simulation approach to investigate how novel photovoltaic (PV) materials with selective transmission and reflection capabilities can simultaneously lower surface temperatures and reduce CO2 emissions. By conducting a parametric analysis that varies coverage ratios, reflectivity, and climate sensitivity, we quantify the potential for local cooling and emission reductions under different deployment scenarios. Results indicate that large-scale adoption of these advanced PV systems can substantially mitigate heat buildup while decreasing CO2 levels, thereby highlighting the dual climate benefits of solar radiation reflection and clean energy generation. This work underscores the importance of optimizing both thermal and carbon footprints in future PV installations to effectively contribute to global warming mitigation.

RevDate: 2025-07-10

Jahangiri M, Asghari M, Niksokhan MH, et al (2025)

BiLSTM-Kalman framework for precipitation downscaling under multiple climate change scenarios.

Scientific reports, 15(1):24354.

Traditional downscaling techniques often fail to accurately represent critical extremes necessary for effective adaptation planning. This paper introduces the first application of Bidirectional Long Short-Term Memory (BiLSTM) networks with an adaptive Kalman filter for multi-scenario, high-resolution precipitation downscaling. We applied our methodology to Tehran, Iran, and systematically compared and ranked the performance of different CMIP6 projections, with the best performing model being MIROC (NSE: 0.902, R[2]: 0.91, RMSE: 7.76). The optimized BiLSTM network alone demonstrated strong performance (R[2]: 0.638, KGE: 0.684), with the adaptive Kalman filter dynamically adjusting its parameters according to precipitation intensity. Our novel contributions are a symmetric dependence loss for predicting extremes and graduated correction using percentiles. Examination of the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs) 1 to 5 revealed surprising findings: the SSP1-2.6 (more sustainable) pathway predicted the highest extremes, with a 24.3% increase in 99th percentile intensity over the past. SSP2-4.5, SSP3-7.0, and SSP5-8.5 had increases of 17.8%, 16.5%, and 21.1%, respectively. Generated Intensity-Duration-Frequency curves indicated dramatic changes for short-duration events (10-30 min) under SSP5-8.5 with essential implications for infrastructure planning. Extreme precipitation events (> 95th percentile) revealed a frequency increase from 2.1 to 3.5% for SSP1-2.6 for events exceeding 20 mm/day. The integrated framework effectively translates coarse climate model outputs into practical engineering tools, providing the required quantitative information for planning climate-resilient infrastructure.

RevDate: 2025-07-08
CmpDate: 2025-07-08

Gerlich HS, Loboda S, Simpson GL, et al (2025)

Species' traits modulate rapid changes in flight time in high-Arctic muscid flies under climate change.

Proceedings. Biological sciences, 292(2050):20250970.

Insects are experiencing notable phenological shifts owing to climate change, with substantial interspecific variability. However, our understanding is limited by a shortage of long-term studies, beyond Lepidoptera. This study presents a hierarchical modelling framework to analyse the phenological distribution of 11 muscid fly species across three vegetation types over 18 years (1996-2014) in Zackenberg, Northeast Greenland. We examined species-specific changes in phenology and assessed ecological traits for explaining interspecific variation. Additionally, we investigated the associations between phenological shifts and timing of snowmelt and temperature. We found consistent trends of earlier flight activity and interspecific variation in responses, with smaller species shifting their end-of-the-season activity at faster rates than larger species. Flight activity was strongly associated with the timing of snowmelt, while warming was linked to an earlier end-of-the-season activity. Late-active species exhibited more pronounced shifts in response to climate variations than early-active species. This study highlights that the species-specific climate sensitivity of high-Arctic muscid flies potentially has demographic effects if temporal overlap among interacting species changes. We advocate for prioritizing species-specific insect population studies, ideally analysed within the context of interacting species, to understand better and address disparities in responses to climate change.

RevDate: 2025-07-08
CmpDate: 2025-07-08

Zhu X, Zhang H, Lu Z, et al (2025)

Common gardens reveal genomic susceptibility and vulnerability to climate change in Eucalyptus.

The Plant journal : for cell and molecular biology, 123(1):e70336.

Accelerated global climate change and increased species introduction across international scales have raised concerns about the potential for trees to experience maladaptation or lagging adaptation in response to these environmental shifts. However, our knowledge regarding the relationship between the genomic metrics used to predict maladaptation and actual fitness proxies in trees remains limited. Here, we present a population genomic analysis of 295 families from 28 provenances of Eucalyptus pellita, a widely cultivated fast-growing tree species, and conducted two common garden experiments. Genomic susceptibility encompassing individual heterozygosity (H), genomic inbreeding (FROH), and genomic load (inferred from deleterious mutations) exhibited distinct geographic patterns, shedding light on the origin and evolutionary history of E. pellita. The genetic basis of local adaptation was elucidated through genotype-environment associations and genome-wide association studies, including 198 loci associated with climate and 2388 loci regulating different traits. Furthermore, Australian provenances have higher genomic vulnerability under prospective climate alterations than Papua New Guinea and Indonesia provenances. By integrating phenotypic data across two common gardens, the relationship between leaf functional traits and predicted metrics of maladaptation was closer than growth attributes. Notably, pronounced natural selection signals linked to leaf morphogenesis have been identified by comparing two lineages spanning the oceans. This study underscores the immense potential of leveraging genomic susceptibility and genomic vulnerability to decipher the local (mal)adaptation of forest trees.

RevDate: 2025-07-08

Gao D, Fu G, Wan X, et al (2025)

Future water stress in China: Projections under socioeconomic and climate change scenarios.

Journal of environmental management, 391:126486 pii:S0301-4797(25)02462-4 [Epub ahead of print].

Estimating future water stress under socioeconomic and climate change is crucial for sustainable management. However, previous studies in China normally rely on assumptions, lack region-specific calibration, or apply inconsistent scenarios for water resources and demand. This study develops a new modelling framework integrating machine learning with a land surface model to evaluate Water Stress Index (WSI) by water demand and resources in China. After calibration and validation, the framework projects future WSI under two coupled climate-socioeconomic scenarios: SSP2-RCP4.5 and SSP5-RCP8.5. Results show that the framework accurately simulates surface water resources (R[2] = 0.96) and sectoral water demand (mean R[2] = 0.96). Nationally, WSI is expected to fluctuate between 0.20 and 0.31 from 2022 to 2100, showing no significant improvement or deterioration. Regionally, water stress varies widely, with severe stress projected to increase in the northwest and central regions, particularly under SSP5-RCP8.5, while some northern and northeastern provinces are expected to experience a decrease in water stress. These findings highlight the need for targeted, region-specific water management strategies. In areas where increased WSI is primarily driven by declining water resources alongside rising demand, such as north-central China, policies should focus on both demand management and inter-provincial water allocation strategies. In southeastern China, where water resources are projected to increase but could be offset by higher demand, water-use efficiency improvements and water-saving technologies should be prioritised. Temporal trends across the 2030s, 2060s, and 2090s offer a roadmap for phased policy responses, allowing policymakers to prioritise immediate concerns while planning for long-term challenges.

RevDate: 2025-07-08

Oswald F, Wahl HW, C Becker (2025)

[Age and climate change].

Zeitschrift fur Gerontologie und Geriatrie, 58(4):251-253.

RevDate: 2025-07-10
CmpDate: 2025-07-07

Maleknia R, K Svobodova (2025)

Predictors of female students' intentions toward urban forest conservation for climate change mitigation in Iran.

Scientific reports, 15(1):24260.

Urban forests serve as a nature-based solution for mitigating climate change. The active participation of diverse community groups, especially women in the conservation of these resources is essential for effectively addressing climate-related challenges. Female high school students, as a critical demographic within the community, can significantly contribute to the management of urban forests, thereby facilitating the achievement of multiple sustainable development goals including SDG 5, SDG 11, SDG 13, SDG 15, and SDG 17. This study explores the behavioral intentions of female high school students in conserving urban forests for climate change mitigation, addressing a critical research gap in understanding the role of youth, particularly females, in environmental conservation. Employing an extended Theory of Planned Behavior (TPB) model, this research integrates Environmental Awareness (EA) and Social Responsibility (SR) alongside traditional TPB constructs to enhance explanatory power. Data was collected from 370 students through a structured questionnaire and analyzed using structural equation modeling. Results reveal that attitudes, perceived behavioral control, EA, and SR significantly influence students' intentions, while subjective norms show no significant effect. The extended model explains 64.9% of the variance in behavioral intentions, a 21.2% improvement over the initial TPB model. These findings underscore the importance of fostering environmental awareness, cultivating a sense of responsibility, and equipping female students with the skills necessary to contribute to urban forest conservation. The study offers actionable insights for policymakers and educators to design targeted initiatives that empower female youth as agents of change in climate action.

RevDate: 2025-07-07

Burkybile F (2025)

How climate change is threatening Africa by supercharging Rift Valley fever.

BMJ (Clinical research ed.), 390:r1342.

RevDate: 2025-07-07

Anderson DG (2025)

Ancient forests help document the long-term impacts of climate change.

Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 122(28):e2512729122.

RevDate: 2025-07-07

Kuiter SG, Freese N, S Salloch (2025)

Where and How to Address Climate Change in Clinical Consultations? A Challenge for Clinical Medical Ethics.

The American journal of bioethics : AJOB, 25(7):36-37.

RevDate: 2025-07-07

Reichert J, J Tepavčević (2025)

Growing Apart: Global Warming Severely Impacts the Symbiosis of the Hawaiian Bobtail Squid and Bioluminescent Bacteria.

Global change biology, 31(7):e70308.

RevDate: 2025-07-09

Zenner D, Guinto RR, H Legido-Quigley (2025)

Connecting the dots: The triangle of migration, health and climate change.

Journal of migration and health, 11:100209.

RevDate: 2025-07-06

Chen L, Liu D, Guo Y, et al (2025)

Impact of Climate Change and Extreme Temperature on the Incidence of Infectious Disease Among Children and Adolescents in China: A Nationwide Case-crossover Study with over 8.7 million cases between 2008 and 2019.

The Journal of infection pii:S0163-4453(25)00141-0 [Epub ahead of print].

BACKGROUND: The relationship between ambient temperature and infectious disease incidence lacks comprehensive documentation. Our study, therefore, sought to systematically determine the national association between temperature and the incidence of infectious diseases, categorized into respiratory, gastrointestinal and enterovirus, and vector-borne categories. We aimed to study the association between extreme cold and heat extreme temperature on infectious disease occurrence among children and teenagers, and to evaluate the secular trends in these diseases in relation to temperature extremes.

METHODS: We accessed the dataset encompassing 8,731,930 cases of 27 distinct infectious diseases, spanning respiratory, gastrointestinal and enterovirus infections, and vector-borne categories, across 507 Chinese cities from 2008 to 2019. Employing a time-stratified case-crossover design, we quantified the association between temperature exposure and the risk of infectious diseases specific to each city. The attributable fractions for temperature-related risks were determined by identifying extreme temperatures exceeding the 90th percentile and falling below the 10th percentile of the respective city-specific temperature distributions, indicative of heat and cold effects. A comparative analysis of these attributable fractions between the periods 2008-2010 and 2017-2019 was conducted to evaluate the secular changes of infectious diseases associated with cold and heat.

FINDINGS: Our analysis revealed significant non-linear associations between temperature and the incidence of specific infectious diseases. Cold temperatures were found to be responsible for 1.35% (95% CI: 1.18 to 1.51%) of respiratory infectious disease cases. In contrast, heat was attributed to a lower proportion, with 0.29% (95% CI: 0.25 to 0.33%) of such cases. Among gastrointestinal and enterovirus diseases, a more substantial 4.93% (95% CI: 4.82 to 5.04%) of cases were linked to heat exposure. Notably, vector-borne diseases demonstrated the highest attributable fraction to heat, with 22.12% (95% CI: 21.82 to 22.41%) of cases affected. Specifically, five diseases-scarlet fever, tuberculosis, mumps, leprosy, and typhus-exhibited an increased incidence associated with cold temperatures. Notably, for scarlet fever, leprosy, and typhus, the attributable fraction escalated from the period 2008-2010 to 2017-2019. However, findings for leprosy should be interpreted with caution due to its low incidence. As for heat-related diseases, thirteen were identified, with the attributable fraction for nine diseases-tuberculosis, pertussis, hand, foot, and mouth disease, infectious diarrhea, dysentery, hepatitis A, typhoid and paratyphoid, dengue, and Japanese encephalitis-showing a marked increase over the same comparative timeframes.

INTERPRETATION: The temperature increase observed from 2008-2010 to 2017-2019 has been accompanied by a rising trend in heat-related infections. Among all infectious diseases in Chinese children and adolescents, more than half (13 out of 24) are heat-related, compared to five infections linked to extreme cold. The risk of gastrointestinal and enterovirus infections was associated with extreme hot temperatures, with vector-borne diseases particularly responsive to extreme heat. These findings highlight an urgent requirement for proactive public health measures to address the potential impact of temperature variability on infectious disease outbreaks, safeguarding vulnerable demographics in the context of climate change.

RevDate: 2025-07-06

Calabrese C, Arduini D, Portacci G, et al (2025)

Farming strategy under climate change: Growth performances and quality of Mytilus galloprovincialis in an Integrated Multi-Trophic Aquaculture system (North-West Mediterranean Sea).

Marine pollution bulletin, 220:118377 pii:S0025-326X(25)00852-5 [Epub ahead of print].

European aquaculture mussel production of the species Mytilus galloprovincialis is in decline and this also concerns Italy with a long tradition in Taranto. This decrease can be due to multiple stresses linked to climate change. Here, to overcome the high summer temperatures of the Mar Grande of Taranto, the growth performance and mortality of mussels were compared, during a production cycle, in different farming conditions: i) inside and outside an integrated multitrophic aquaculture system, where some bioremediators were placed around cages with the fish species Sparus aurata, and ii) at two different depths, (0-4 m) and (8-12 m). Biochemical, microbiological and chemical analyses were performed on the final product. Mussel growth performances were significantly different only in relation to the depth. Due to the high temperatures recorded in July (max. 31.01 °C at the surface) the reared mussels did not reach the requested condition index for the marketing. Moreover, mussels reared on the surface resulted more vulnerable to air exposure. Mussel's nutritional and chemical values, reported as lipid and protein content, fatty acids profile, Polycyclic Aromatic Hydrocarbons (PAHs) and Polychlorinated Biphenyls (PCBs) concentrations, showed that proximity to the mariculture plant and greater depths, did not influence the overall good quality of the product. Moreover, mussels resulted safe from a microbiological point of view. Considering that extreme temperatures will likely intensify in the future, further efforts are needed to design new farming strategies, such as an IMTA system in an offshore wind farm, to overcome this challenge.

RevDate: 2025-07-05

Vinueza-Chérrez R, Carpio AJ, Sánchez-Flores E, et al (2025)

Global insights from a decade of nesting data for olive ridley, green, hawksbill, and leatherback turtles: Implications for conservation in the face of climate change.

Journal of thermal biology, 131:104196 pii:S0306-4565(25)00153-6 [Epub ahead of print].

Sea turtles have existed on Earth for approximately 150 million years, during which time they have adapted to various environmental and oceanographic changes. However, the effects of current climate change on these reptiles are of concern due to the direct impact of temperature on sex ratio and hatching success. Low temperatures generally produce male offspring, while high temperatures favor the development of females, with an upper limit of thermal tolerance ranging between 33 and 35 °C. Global warming poses both a long-term risk of feminization of sea turtle populations and a short- and medium-term risk of decreased hatching success. The objective of this study was to evaluate the reproductive parameters of four species of sea turtles (Lepidochelys olivacea, Chelonia mydas, Dermochelys coriacea and Eretmochelys imbricata) during the last decade by carrying out a systematic review, in which 100 published articles were analyzed following the PRISMA methodology. The results revealed a significant bias towards female offspring in all species, with recorded values of up to 100 % (Lepidochelys olivacea) and 98 % (Chelonia mydas). When analyzing hatching success, it was observed that no species reaches 100 % success and that Chelonia mydas has the highest average (68.9 %), while Dermochelys coriacea records the lowest values (50.4 %). It important to note that reproductive parameters vary between species and populations. The undeniable tendency towards female offspring in all species is evident. However, this dynamic may result not only from recorded temperatures but also from the evolutionary history of sea turtles.

RevDate: 2025-07-05

Sauer J, H Chang (2025)

Watershed management may overcome effects of climate change on stream water quality in the Portland metropolitan area.

Journal of environmental management, 391:126304 pii:S0301-4797(25)02280-7 [Epub ahead of print].

Urbanization and climate change may alter stream temperature and turbidity such that they become stressful or deadly for salmonids and important freshwater species. Cities are responding by improving watershed development practices and pursuing restoration activities but few empirical studies have compared their effects to those induced by urbanization and climate change. In our study, we combined data on stream water quality from thirteen USGS stations between the water years 2008-2022 throughout the Portland metropolitan area in Oregon, United States, with data on land cover, watershed restoration, low-impact development, and beaver activity; we sought to clarify their effects on water quality and to contextualize them given regional trends in climate and urbanization. While improved water quality metrics were positively correlated with forest cover, wetland and open water cover, and human- and beaver-related watershed management, we found that year-to-year change in water quality was more strongly and frequently attributable to climate factors. Across all watersheds, we nonetheless found evidence that watershed management efforts may mitigate pressures from climate on longer timescales and benefit salmonid conservation efforts. We discussed study results with regional watershed councils and managers to identify possible causes for detected correlations and to refine future watershed management efforts to match changes driven by climate change. The framework developed in the current study could be applicable to other watersheds' restoration and infrastructure construction in tackling similar challenges of climate change and urbanization.

RevDate: 2025-07-05

Tang Y, Yu J, Ma Y, et al (2025)

Optimal nitrogen fertilizer rates combined with alternating wet and dry irrigation effectively reduce greenhouse gas emissions in rice-wheat rotation system under climate change scenarios.

Journal of environmental management, 391:126472 pii:S0301-4797(25)02448-X [Epub ahead of print].

Water and nitrogen management practices have important effects on crop yields and greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions [including methane (CH4) and nitrous oxide (N2O)] in rice-wheat rotation system. However, research on the effects of water and nitrogen management practices on GHG emissions and crop yields (especially CH4 emissions) lacks consideration of climate change. In this study, we chose the Yangtze River Delta region (YRD) as the study area, and used the Denitrification-Decomposition (DNDC) model and 25 global change models (GCMs) to simulate the effects of different water and nitrogen management practices on crop yields and GHG emissions in the rice-wheat rotation system under climate change scenarios. Water and nitrogen management practices included (1) traditional nitrogen fertilizer rate (CK), (2) alternating wet and dry irrigation + traditional nitrogen fertilizer rate (AWD), (3) optimum nitrogen fertilizer rate (OF), and (4) the combination of AWD and OF (AWDOF). The climate change scenarios included three Shared Socio-economic Pathways scenarios (SSP-126, SSP-245, and SSP-585). We validated the DNDC model using crop yields data from statistical yearbooks and GHG emissions data from the published literature. The results indicated that DNDC simulation results were consistent with the measured values for the simulated crop yields (R[2]: 0.71-0.77), CH4 emissions (R[2]: 0.77-0.92) and N2O emissions (R[2]: 0.65-0.92), respectively. Moreover, climate change increased crop yields and GHG emissions in rice-wheat rotation system, with GHG emissions increasing significantly faster than crop yields. The AWD treatment decreased CH4 emissions but increased N2O emissions. The OF treatment decreased N2O emissions but was less effective in extreme climate scenarios (SSP-585-2080s). The AWDOF treatment was most effective in decreasing GHG emissions. In the AWDOF treatment, CH4 emissions and GWP decreased compared to historical period (1985-2016). AWDOF treatment was effective in the southeastern part of the YRD region due to the heterogeneity of climate change. Our study demonstrated the importance of water and nitrogen management practices to cope with future climate change in rice-wheat rotation systems, and they will be useful to policy makers in establishing smart agricultural systems.

RevDate: 2025-07-05

Monteiro GDS, Ribeiro MAT, Tardelli VS, et al (2025)

Substance use and climate change: Warming up the debate.

RevDate: 2025-07-05
CmpDate: 2025-07-05

Tayyaba S, Puppala H, MK Arora (2025)

Foreseeing drought-prone regions in India under climate change: a comprehensive analysis through the development of Drought Prone Index.

Environmental monitoring and assessment, 197(8):866.

Droughts are one of the most severe natural hazards, and its occurrences are increasingly exacerbated due to climate change. While numerous studies have analyzed drought occurrences using multi-model ensembles (MME) developed considering uniform weights to general circulation models (GCMs), biases inherent in these models impeded the attainment of reliable predictions. Also, studies conducted were region specific and were limited to considering a specific socio-economic pathway (SSP). The inconsistency in findings drawn across different SSPs limits the applicability of these results to implement best management practices to combat drought effectively. In this study, Drought Prone Index (DPI) built on the mathematical framework of Technique for Order of Preference by Similarity to Ideal Solution (TOPSIS) has been proposed. This index represents the frequency and severity of the possible drought events considering near future (2024-2060) and far future (2061-2100). Further, to overcome the limitation of bias, a multi-criteria decision-making (MCDM) framework integrating CRiteria Importance Through Intercriteria Correlation (CRITIC) and analytical hierarchy process (AHP) methods has been proposed to create differential weighted multi-model ensemble. The proposed framework is demonstrated considering India as study area. Findings of our study indicate a significant increase in rainfall and temperature ranging between 100-440 mm, and 0.75-3.5 °C across different SSP scenarios. Alongside a decline in rainfall in certain regions of Northeast India and the Western Ghats is observed from the derived spatial maps created using the data of developed MME. Spatial variation of DPI computed at a district level indicates that though the frequency of drought occurrences in the near and far future periods does not substantially increase, the severity of droughts is found to be intense. Findings highlight that it is imperative to consider the influence of climate change while assessing the droughts. These findings can assist policymakers and stakeholders in prioritizing resource allocation and implementing targeted mitigation strategies.

RevDate: 2025-07-05

Wagatsuma K (2025)

Future Projections of Temperature-related Excess Morbidity due to Influenza under Climate Change Scenarios: A Case Study in a Temperate Japanese City.

Biomedical and environmental sciences : BES, 38(6):768-772.

RevDate: 2025-07-07
CmpDate: 2025-07-05

Su S, Luo Z, Kang J, et al (2025)

How Does Climate Change Influence the Regional Ecological-Social Risks of Harmful Dinoflagellates? A Predictive Study of China's Coastal Waters.

Global change biology, 31(7):e70323.

Harmful dinoflagellates are widely distributed in coastal waters worldwide, posing multiple ecological and socioeconomic threats. Climate change may alter the biogeography of these species; however, few studies have linked shifts in harmful dinoflagellates' ecological distribution to their socioeconomic impacts. This study developed a framework to assess the spatiotemporal ecological-social risks posed by harmful dinoflagellates, identifying these algae as risk sources and considering mariculture and coastal populations as the primary risk receptors. China is the world's largest mariculture producer, with approximately 600 million residents living in coastal areas. Focusing on 14 key harmful dinoflagellate species in Chinese coastal waters, we evaluated ecological-social risks under present conditions and two projected climate scenarios for 2100. Our findings indicate that climate change may lead to reductions in suitable habitats for harmful dinoflagellates in tropical and subtropical regions, while habitats in higher-latitude areas are likely to remain stable or expand. Risk area expansion is projected for four species and increased average risk intensity for three, with two species experiencing both. Nationally, total risk area is projected to remain stable, while cumulative risk intensity may decline by 16.64%. Regionally, risk intensity is expected to rise in northern provinces (up to 30.46%) and decline across most southern provinces. Importantly, we reveal a potential spatial "decoupling" of risk sources and receptors along the coast of China in the future. This decoupling demonstrates a reduced overlap between harmful dinoflagellate distributions and areas with dense mariculture or populations. Our findings suggest that, contrary to the common assumption that climate change universally exacerbates harmful algal impacts, these effects may vary across regions and species, highlighting the importance of localized adaptation strategies in risk assessment. This study provides a robust tool for understanding harmful dinoflagellate risks under climate change, thereby supporting the sustainable management of coastal ecosystems.

RevDate: 2025-07-08
CmpDate: 2025-07-04

Donger E, Bhatia A, Pegram J, et al (2025)

Inclusion of children and youth in the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change Assessment Reports (AR1-AR6).

Nature communications, 16(1):6159.

Climate change disproportionately impacts the health and wellbeing of children and youth, who are often excluded from climate policy, legislation, and finance frameworks. This article quantifies how frequently children and youth are referenced in the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) Assessment Reports (AR1-AR6) and analyses related evidence in AR6. We find references to children and youth in the IPCC reports increased substantially in AR6. The frequency of references varies considerably across Working Group (WG) reports and chapters, with most references appearing in two WG II chapters: 'Health and Wellbeing', and 'Africa'. The vast majority of content on children pertains to climate risks; most commonly to physical health, with few references to other key risks including education, migration and violence. Conversely, the majority of references to youth relate to climate responses, highlighting research on climate activism more often than risks to youth or evidence on procedural inclusion. Relatedly, children are commonly framed as vulnerable and youth as climate activists. This framing obscures the intersectional, complex needs and capabilities of children and youth. To enhance the comprehensiveness of future IPCC reports, there is a critical need for funding and inclusion of more research on climate change, children and youth.

RevDate: 2025-07-04

Oyarzabal G, PAV Borges (2025)

The Ripple Effects of Climate Change on Tibetan Alpine Arthropods.

Global change biology, 31(7):e70333.

RevDate: 2025-07-04
CmpDate: 2025-07-04

Nyzhnyk T, S Kots (2025)

Chelated Forms of Trace Elements as a Promising Solution for Improving Soybean Symbiotic Capacity and Productivity Under Climate Change.

Frontiers in bioscience (Elite edition), 17(2):33505.

BACKGROUND: The tolerance and productivity of soybeans under the current climate change conditions can be increased by providing these crops with the necessary macro- and microelements. This can be achieved using effective Bradyrhizobium strains for seed inoculation and adding chelated trace elements.

METHODS: Soybean Bradyrhizobium japonicum symbioses were cultivated by adding chelates of trace elements, such as iron (Fe), germanium (Ge), and molybdenum (Mo), to the culture medium, after which microbiological and biochemical analyses were performed.

RESULTS: The addition of chelated forms of Fe or Ge to the Bradyrhizobium culture medium promoted a change in the pro-oxidant-antioxidant balance in soybean nodules under different water supply conditions. This is due to the production of hydrogen peroxide in the nodules (an increase of 12.9%), as well as a twofold increase in the ascorbate peroxidase activity and a decrease in the levels of superoxide dismutase (by 40%) and catalase (by 50%) under water stress. Stimulation of nodulation and nitrogen fixation in soybeans (by 40.1 and 73.0%) and an increase in grain productivity (by 47.5 and 58%) were observed when using Bradyrhizobium inoculant containing Fe or Ge chelates. The inoculation of soybeans with Bradyrhizobium modified using Mo chelate causes similar changes in antioxidant processes as Fe or Ge chelates, but the soybean symbiotic capacity decreases under water stress.

CONCLUSION: Chelated forms of Fe or Ge as additional components in the Bradyrhizobium culture medium are effective in regulating the antioxidant status of soybeans under drought conditions and can simultaneously contribute to increased nitrogen fixation and grain productivity. These findings are important in expanding the current technologies used to grow this legume in risky farming areas caused by climate change.

RevDate: 2025-07-05

Turner MC, Basagaña X, Albin M, et al (2025)

Occupational health in the era of climate change and the green transition: a call for research.

The Lancet regional health. Europe, 54:101353.

Work and working conditions are fundamental social determinants of health. Climate change poses an urgent and growing threat to workers' health, through both direct exposure to environmental hazards and indirect exacerbation of social and health inequalities. Occupational health, which focusses on the promotion of mental and physical health and well-being of workers, is a key but often overlooked area in this context. Research at the intersection of climate change and occupational health remains limited. At the same time, climate change mitigation and adaptation efforts are driving rapid transformations in the workplace, including shifts towards sustainability and circular economy models. These transitions are creating new occupational hazards, including in renewable energy and circular economy sectors. We argue for increased investment in occupational health research and surveillance to address the evolving impacts of both climate change and the green transition, to better promote and protect workers' health and rights.

RevDate: 2025-07-05

Shan Y, Shen H, Huang L, et al (2025)

Optimized MaxEnt analysis revealing the change of potential distribution area of Lygodium japonicum in China driven by global warming.

Frontiers in plant science, 16:1601956.

Lygodium japonicum is a valuable medicinal plant with increasing demand in China, yet large-scale cultivation remains limited, relying heavily on wild populations. As climate change accelerates, its potential distribution is expected to shift, affecting suitable growth areas. Despite its medicinal importance, research on its adaptability and future habitat changes is limited. This study used an optimized MaxEnt ecological niche model and Geographic Information System (GIS) to predict the potential suitable habitats of L. japonicum under current and future climate conditions (2041-2060 and 2061-2080) across three greenhouse gas emission scenarios (SSP126, SSP245, SSP585). Results show that under current climatic conditions, the potential habitat of L. japonicum spans approximately 216.31 × 10[4] km[2], with high suitability areas concentrated in southern and eastern China. In future climate scenarios, While the total suitable habitat area remains stable, the area of high suitability is significantly reduced. Specifically, under the SSP126 scenario, high suitability areas are projected to decrease by 44.1% during 2041-2060. The centroid of high suitability areas is expected to shift northward, though a localized southward shift is observed under the SSP126 scenario. Key environmental factors influencing the species' distribution include temperature seasonality (bio4), May precipitation (prec5), and mean diurnal temperature range (bio2). These findings highlight the potential impacts of climate change on L. japonicum's distribution and are crucial for the conservation and sustainable utilization of the species in China, particularly under changing climatic conditions.

RevDate: 2025-07-04
CmpDate: 2025-07-04

Olsson C, Gräns A, J Brijs (2025)

Beyond ecology: the importance of gut motility in predicting the responses of species to climate change.

The Journal of experimental biology, 228(14):.

This Review explores the impact of environmental factors, with temperature as a starting point, on gut motility and digestive function in non-mammalian vertebrates, with a focus on species that are likely to be affected by climate change. Understanding gut physiology, particularly motility, is crucial in allowing us to predict how animals will respond to changing environmental conditions, as it plays a key role in nutrient absorption, immune defence and overall health. Rising temperatures and heatwaves pose significant challenges, especially for ectothermic species, the gut functions of which may be compromised under conditions outside their thermal tolerance. Here, we provide examples of how temperature-induced changes in gut motility affect gut transit time and digestive efficiency, and discuss their effects on the balance of energetic cost and gain. Although higher temperatures generally accelerate motility, further research is needed to assess how these changes impact digestion across species and under fluctuating environmental conditions. This Review emphasizes the need for integrated studies on motility patterns, digestive efficiency and energetic costs - along with the neural and cellular mechanisms controlling motility - to better predict the resilience of species in a warming world.

RevDate: 2025-07-04
CmpDate: 2025-07-04

Smith RA, Nelson WA, Yamanaka T, et al (2025)

Decades of historical outbreak cycles in a multivoltine insect reveal a plastic phenological response to climate change.

Ecology, 106(7):e70149.

Many organisms overwinter in a specific life stage, which means their phenology must be well-timed with seasonal changes in the environment. As environments warm, we expect a delay in the onset of winter. For organisms where temperature is the primary driver of development rate, warming environments also mean faster development. If temperature dependence in the development rate of individuals does not also change, this will cause a mismatch between the seasonal timing of the critical overwintering stage and the onset of winter. There are two biological mechanisms by which ectotherms can adjust their phenology in the face of climate change to maintain correct timing: (1) organisms undergo evolution of the development thermal reaction norm and (2) organisms have a plastic response in their development to multiple environmental cues. Here, we use high-resolution records of densities of the smaller tea tortrix (Adoxophyes honmai) over multiple decades across nine locations in Japan to infer temperature-dependent changes in development rates over both time and space. The pest insect displays regular single-generation limit cycles, which provides a unique opportunity to infer changes in developmental rates directly from historical records of natural populations. The last half century has seen a temperature increase of about 1°C across Japan, and our analyses show that populations slowed development on average by 16% to maintain the correct timing of the overwintering stage. Development rates measured from common garden experiments reveal that the change is not due to evolution. Our results build on recent laboratory studies to suggest that there is substantial plasticity in developmental thermal reaction norms that may explain how the phenology of ectotherms could respond to climate warming in natural systems.

RevDate: 2025-07-04

Jin YS, Shen Z, Alhur AA, et al (2025)

Leveraging the environmental health literacy framework for effective assessment and practice in the era of climate change crisis.

Health information and libraries journal [Epub ahead of print].

This article is part of a research project aimed at leveraging environmental health literacy (EHL) to enhance public health in developing countries. EHL is an emerging concept that integrates elements from information literacy, health literacy, and environmental literacy. It equips individuals with a wide range of skills and competencies to evaluate and understand the relationship between their environment and their health, enabling them to make informed decisions. Based on a proposed four-dimensional conceptual framework-comprising accessing, understanding, appraising, and applying information-a tool called EHL-Q25 was developed for assessing EHL. This article focuses on how the proposed framework and the validated EHL-Q25 tool can be utilized to inform the provision of services and practices in health sciences libraries.

RevDate: 2025-07-06

Aronsson J, Elf M, Warwick P, et al (2025)

The relevance of climate change and sustainability in nursing education: a cross-sectional study of students' perspectives.

BMC nursing, 24(1):834.

BACKGROUND: As climate change continues to challenge global health, nursing education must evolve to prepare future nurses for the impacts on care delivery and promote sustainable practices within the healthcare system which is itself a contributor to the climate crisis through emissions and waste. In this study we aimed to i) explore undergraduate nursing students' attitudes towards and awareness of climate change and sustainability issues and its inclusion in nursing education at a Swedish university, and ii) explore differences in awareness and attitudes across student groups in different semesters.

METHODS: In this cross-sectional descriptive research study, nursing students from six groups (semester 1,2,3,4,5,6) of a three-year BSc Nursing programme were asked to complete the Sustainability Attitudes in Nursing Survey (SANS_2) questionnaire. Descriptive statistics were used to present mean scores for each item, and the Kruskal-Wallis test was used to identify differences in responses between different student groups. The Strengthening the Reporting of Observational Studies in Epidemiology (STROBE) statement has been used to report this research.

RESULTS: A total of 211 (32%) students completed the questionnaires. The findings showed that nursing students across the six semesters had relatively good awareness of, and positive attitudes towards, sustainability and climate change (no mean rating below 4 on a scale 1-7). Statistically significant differences between student groups were found in four out of nine items of the SANS_2 questionnaire, with students in their second semester consistently providing the highest ratings (p < 0.05). Notably, the lowest ratings across these four items were provided by students in their last year of the programme.

CONCLUSIONS: This study found that whilst students initially felt equipped to address sustainability issues and climate change in practice, this confidence appears to diminish by the programme's end, raising concerns about the preparedness of the future workforce. This underscores the urgency and importance of continuous reinforcement of sustainability concepts in nursing education, aligning with a spiral curriculum approach which advocates for reiterating themes throughout the curriculum to deepen understanding.

CLINICAL TRIAL NUMBER: Not applicable.

RevDate: 2025-07-06
CmpDate: 2025-07-04

Carrión D, Prasanth S, Hurtado I, et al (2025)

A mixed methods evaluation of an online climate change and health certificate program for working professionals.

BMC public health, 25(1):2308.

BACKGROUND: Climate change is one of the greatest public health challenges of the 21st century, and a diverse cadre of professionals are increasingly pursuing opportunities to learn about this issue. Our goal was to evaluate an online climate change and health (CCH) certificate program for working professionals as a case study.

METHODS: We utilized structured and free-text elements from course and overall program evaluations across seven cohorts of participants from 2018 to 2022 for a mixed-methods assessment of the program.

RESULTS: A total of 579 enrollees' data were analyzed. The program completion rate was 90.0% and participants were diverse in their professional and geographic representation, but disproportionately from North America (82.4%). The program was rated favorably; i.e., 98.6% of participants would recommend the program to others. Qualitative analysis identified themes that were grouped as program strengths and opportunities for improvement. Strengths included (1) valuable curriculum, (2) peer-to-peer learning, and (3) a call to action. Opportunities for improvement included: (1) irrelevant course content, (2) challenges with course structure, and (3) insufficient opportunities for networking.

CONCLUSIONS: The evaluations demonstrate the overall importance of educational offerings in CCH. Our case study demonstrated that working professionals in public health, allied health professions, and non-health professions express desire, benefit, and appreciation for educational opportunities on this important intersection. They especially valued strong, relevant course content, professional networking and peer-to-peer learning, and acquisition of effective skills for use in their work. We have used lessons learned from this case study to improve our program and encourage others to use them to improve their programs or to develop new ones. A workforce that is highly educated on CCH issues is essential to confront the existential public health challenge of climate change.

RevDate: 2025-07-06
CmpDate: 2025-07-04

Wang W, Mensah IA, Atingabili S, et al (2025)

The nexus between food security, health outcomes, and climate change: a multisectoral approach to sustainable development in Africa.

BMC public health, 25(1):2319.

BACKGROUND: In Africa, where climatic unpredictability exacerbates food shortages and raises health risks, food security and climate change are crucial determinants influencing health outcomes. The present research investigates the significant relationship among food security, health outcomes, and climate change in African nations, and provides policy recommendations for sustainable development. Specifically, while considering the effect of climate change, the study examines how the pillars of food security proportionately affect the corresponding dimensions of health outcomes using a regional-based panel analysis.

METHOD: The study utilized a strongly-balanced panel times series data consisting of 45 counties which are sub-divided into the various regions in Africa (Northern, Eastern, Central, Western and Southern) from 2010 to 2022. Taking into account potential issues of residual cross-sectional correlations and slope heterogeneity in panel data settings, the Augmented Mean Group (AMG) estimation method is executed. The robustness of the AMG outcomes is further examined using Common Correlated Mean Group approach (CCEMG).

FINDINGS: Results from the study reveals a clear relationship where food security and health outcome are positively linked in the aggregated, Central, and Western African regional panels whereas the vice versa is evidenced in Northern, Eastern and Southern Africa. Further, the respective food security pillars (food utility, accessibility, availability and utility) were evidenced to have diverse effects on health outcome dimensions (life expectancy, infant and maternal mortality, infectious disease and burden disease rates) across the regional panels in Africa, while climate change consistently worsened health outcomes and its respective dimensions among all utilized regional panels of African countries.

CONCLUSION: The study highlights the need for region-specific food security strategies in Africa, integrating robust climate adaptation measures to mitigate the negative effects of climate change on health. These insights are essential for guiding policy-makers towards sustainable solutions that address both food security and health vulnerabilities.

RevDate: 2025-07-03

Xi Q, Gao H, Wang-Erlandsson L, et al (2025)

Terrestrial ecosystems enhanced root zone water storage capacity in response to climate change over the past four decades.

Science bulletin pii:S2095-9273(25)00653-X [Epub ahead of print].

Adaptation of ecosystems' root zones to climate change critically affects drought resilience and vegetation productivity. However, a global quantitative assessment of this mechanism is missing. In this study, we analyzed high-quality observation-based data to find that the global average root zone water storage capacity (SR) increased by 11%, from 182 to 202 mm in 1982-2020. The total increase of SR equals to 1652 billion m[3] over the past four decades. SR increased in 9 out of 12 land cover types, while three relatively dry types experienced decreasing trends, potentially suggesting the crossing of ecosystems' tipping points. Our results underscore the importance of accounting for root zone dynamics under climate change to assess drought impacts.

RevDate: 2025-07-03

Vasiliev D, Hamlet L, Stevens RL, et al (2025)

Optimising geopark networks for biodiversity conservation under climate change.

Journal of environmental management, 391:126351 pii:S0301-4797(25)02327-8 [Epub ahead of print].

Geopark and geoheritage site networks are expanding globally, creating opportunities for sustainable development. Geoparks can deliver economic benefits through stimulation of tourism, making their establishment attractive to local governments and communities. However, the potential contribution of geoparks to sustainable development is not limited to socio-economic benefits. Geoparks, which are often in areas of geomorphic and soil variability, can contribute to biodiversity conservation and the provision of ecosystem services under climate change. These networks could play a pivotal role in biodiversity adaptation to global heating if designed and managed as climate-change refugia. Here we propose to optimise the value of geoparks and geoheritage sites as Nature-based Climate Solutions by considering them as part of the larger landscape and regional scale habitat networks, adjusting management practices and developing policy frameworks to better support Geoparks for biodiversity conservation.

RevDate: 2025-07-03

Voosen P (2025)

Glacial melt due to global warming is triggering earthquakes.

Science (New York, N.Y.), 389(6755):15-16.

Study provides first solid link between climate change and increased earthquake hazard.

RevDate: 2025-07-04

Silva JP, Macassa G, Barros H, et al (2024)

Local Climate Change Adaptation under the Lenses of Public Health: A Case Study from Porto, Portugal.

Portuguese journal of public health, 42(3):169-183.

INTRODUCTION: Climate change is a pressing public health issue. Urban populations, especially in coastal areas, are highly vulnerable. As climate change progresses, local adaptation becomes increasingly important. We present a case study about the inclusion of public health concerns in local climate change adaptation in Porto (Portugal).

METHODS: We analysed two local adaptation plans using qualitative content analysis and conducted semi-structured interviews with a purposeful sample of 6 key stakeholders with different profiles. We did a qualitative content analysis of the respective transcripts.

RESULTS: Porto is undergoing health-relevant consequences of climate change, which are expected to worsen further in the future. Porto's geographical and demographic characteristics and urban environment make its population highly vulnerable to climate change-related health risks. Public health is recognized as a central element in local adaptation efforts. Drivers for integrating health concerns include growing climate change awareness, a sense of urgency, social capital, institutional networks, access to resources, and political commitment. Nevertheless, challenges like data limitations, resource constraints, climate knowledge gaps, communication issues, and political cycles hinder both local adaptation and the integration of health considerations.

DISCUSSION/CONCLUSION: In Porto, health seems both a powerful mobilizing issue and a central topic concerning local adaptation. However, the complex and long-term nature of climate change and the associated uncertainty hinder adaptation efforts. High-quality data about both the local climate and population health are thus essential. The transversal nature of risk is recognized and multi-sectorial approaches, public participation, mainstreaming, and policy integration are necessary to prevent imbalances. Local adaptation efforts, including health-related efforts, are shaped by the international (belonging to the European Union), national, and local contexts. Successful local adaptation and inclusion of health aspects require mainstreaming and policy integration across different areas and involvement of multiple stakeholders, including the population, in order to maximize resources and avoid undesired trade-offs.

RevDate: 2025-07-04

Blöbaum A, Schmidt K, Böcher M, et al (2025)

Overcoming heuristics that hinder people's acceptance of climate-change-mitigation technologies.

Frontiers in psychology, 16:1433280.

The overall research objective of the present study is the investigation of the effects of a strongly expressed restriction-oriented climate change mitigation heuristic (SER heuristic) on people's attitude toward and acceptance of climate change mitigation technologies such as Carbon Capture and Utilization (CCU). Furthermore, we want to examine the effects of a scenario-based communication intervention approach on the promotion of a supportive attitude toward and acceptance of CCU, especially referring to people characterized by a SER heuristic. Against this background, we present empirical findings based on an online experiment including a scenario-based intervention in an initial sample of 401 German participants. In line with our expectations, our findings show that participants characterized by a SER heuristic report a significantly lower supportive attitude toward CCU as well as a lower acceptance of CCU, compared to participants who are not characterized by a SER heuristic. Furthermore, our findings imply the examined scenario-based communication intervention approach to be an effective tool for the promotion of participants' supportive attitude toward CCU and acceptance of CCU. Taken together, the present study provides further valuable insights for the promotion of people's supportive attitude toward as well as of their acceptance of necessary new climate change mitigation technologies such as CCU.

RevDate: 2025-07-04

Chen L, Guo X, Zou H, et al (2025)

Future climate change will drive expansion of suitable planting areas for Fructus Aurantii in Jiangxi Province, China.

Frontiers in plant science, 16:1579546.

Fructus Aurantii (FA) is a valuable medicinal material used in traditional China medicine. Predicting the suitable distribution areas of FA and identifying its potential distribution patterns driven by various environmental factors are crucial for the selection of planting sites and maintenance of medicinal quality. Here, the maximum entropy model was used to predict the potential distribution of FA in Jiangxi Province, China under current and future climate conditions. A total of 105 geographical distribution data of FA were collected through field investigation and 32 environmental variables were obtained from public databases. The maximum entropy model showed high prediction accuracy when 16 environmental variables were selected (AUC = 0.932). The habitat suitability of FA was prominently affected by climate, which surpassed topography and soil factors. Maximum temperature of the warmest month, annual temperature range, precipitation of the wettest month, precipitation coefficient of variation, elevation, aspect, and soil organic carbon were the key factors shaping the geographic distribution of FA. Among them, maximum temperature of the warmest month (16.9%), followed by annual temperature range (16.1%), made the greatest contribution to model predictions. In the current climate background, the total potential suitable area for FA covered 6.30 × 10[4] km[2] of garden land. Under future climate warming scenarios (shared socioeconomic pathways 245, 585), the potential suitable area was predicted to move southward and expand twice in 2040-2080, with notable increase in moderately and poorly suitable areas. Low hilly areas at higher elevations with moist cool conditions and gentle undulations would become more suitable for future introduction and planting of FA. Regionalized strategies for different suitable planting areas were proposed taking into account future climate change. All data are available in Mendeley Data (DOI: 10.17632/s9wsnn2xcn.1). Code is available at https://github.com/mrmaxent/Maxent.

RevDate: 2025-07-04

Fraser S (2025)

Climate Change and Health.

Journal of multidisciplinary healthcare, 18:3763-3764.

RevDate: 2025-07-05
CmpDate: 2025-07-03

Wright CY, Naidoo N, Anand N, et al (2025)

"SCALE-up" - a new framework to assess the effectiveness of climate change adaptation interventions for human health and health systems.

BMC public health, 25(1):2247.

Climate change is a grave threat to human health and wellbeing. Adaptation is one mechanism (the other is mitigation) by which we can intervene to increase adaptive capacity and preparedness to protect people. Adaptation interventions (evidence-based adjustment of programs/practices that lead to improved response and resilience to climate change) are being conducted around the world. However, existing conceptual frameworks to assess the effectiveness of these interventions, especially with respect to improving health outcomes and systems are not readily applied in areas where these are needed. This is applicable to both interventions intended to improve health as well as those without a health-focus but which may have health co-benefits. To address this gap, we conducted a multi-vocal review comprised of a scoping review and key informant interviews, which informed the development of an initial assessment framework. We included 21 academic articles and 12 reports (from the grey literature) for data collation and synthesis. Of the 21 articles analyzed, only seven presented primary evidence of health improvement outcomes, such as reduction in neo-natal care unit admissions was partially attributed to moving the maternity ward to the cooler, lower floor of the hospital. From the 10 interviewees, we learnt that most existing tools to assess the effectiveness of adaptation are for country or regional (several countries sharing borders within a large section of a continent) scales (e.g., Notre Dame Global Adaptation Initiative Index) and none focused specifically on health / health co-benefits. From these learnings together with a guiding concept, we crafted the first iteration of an assessment framework, SCALE-up, comprising six steps that prompt a researcher to consider the effectiveness of their adaptation intervention at a project-scale, including from a health benefit perspective. We apply the framework in four scenarios: hot days-heat; floods; droughts; and vector-borne diseases, to illustrate how the framework may help guide the researcher to think about effectiveness from project proposal stage. The next steps are to implement and pilot the framework in the four proposed scenarios and refine the framework.

RevDate: 2025-07-04
CmpDate: 2025-07-02

Tran BL, Tseng WC, CC Chen (2025)

Climate change impacts on crop yields across temperature rise thresholds and climate zones.

Scientific reports, 15(1):23424.

This study quantifies the projected impacts of climate change on crop yields across temperature rise regimes and climatic zones, using the latest global dataset of site-level process-model simulations of crop responses to climate scenarios. We employed a threshold regression technique to identify and estimate temperature change thresholds and used linear mixed-effects models to assess the climate impacts on crop yields across different levels of temperature rise. The results indicated that warmer temperatures are detrimental to crop yields across countries, with negative impacts exacerbated when temperature increase exceeds threshold values. For instance, for wheat, a 1 °C temperature increase would result in a 6.1% yield loss when the temperature rise is below 2.38 °C; however, when it exceeds 2.38 °C, yield loss would rise to 8.2% per 1 °C warming. Similarly, the loss in rice yields for each °C increase in temperature would increase from 1.1 to 7.1% per °C when the temperature rise surpasses the 3.13 °C threshold. For maize, no threshold effect is found; instead, temperature increase would reduce yields by an average of 4.03% per °C. We also conducted impact assessments by climate zone, categorizing studied sites according to the Köppen climate classification system. We found that crop yields in arid regions are most adversely affected by global warming compared to other zones, while adaptive potential is higher for rice and wheat in temperate zones and for maize in continental zones. This study highlights the existence of threshold effects of temperature rise on crop yields and the varying yield impacts among climate zones, informing effective adaptation strategies to enhance global food security.

RevDate: 2025-07-04
CmpDate: 2025-07-02

Díaz Tautiva JA, Barros-Celume S, Lecuna A, et al (2025)

Navigating climate change: Climate change awareness and strategies in micro, small, and medium-sized enterprises in a developing economy.

PloS one, 20(7):e0327165.

Given the limited research on climate change (CC) awareness and strategies among micro, small, and medium-sized enterprises (MSMEs), this study aims to address three key questions: To what extent are MSMEs aware of CC and decarbonization? How do MSMEs strategize to address CC and achieve carbon neutrality? What factors shape MSMEs' attention to CC and decarbonization? Drawing on theoretical insights from the Attention-Based View, we analyze CC awareness and strategies among 1,453 Colombian ventures to identify common patterns and traits between them. Our findings reveal a significant gap in MSMEs' understanding of essential concepts such as carbon neutrality, decarbonization, and the overall impacts of CC on their businesses. Moreover, the results indicate that most MSMEs exhibit greater awareness of CC-related strategies at the corporate practice level than those aimed at operational processes. On average, respondents estimate that achieving carbon-neutral emissions will take between five to twenty years. Based on our findings, we propose scholarly, managerial, and policy recommendations to enhance CC awareness and promote effective CC-related strategies across MSMEs from different economic sectors.

RevDate: 2025-07-02

Le Tong Y, Cifuentes-González C, Agrawal K, et al (2025)

Climate Change and the Impact on Ocular Infectious Diseases: A Narrative Review.

Ophthalmology and therapy [Epub ahead of print].

Climate change and global warming significantly affect the incidence and distribution of infectious ocular diseases. This narrative review explores how climate-related factors-including extreme weather events, precipitation, temperature fluctuations, humidity, wind patterns, ultraviolet radiation, and air pollution-can directly and indirectly influence the burden of ocular infections. By synthesizing evidence from the published literature, we examine how these environmental variables impact disease mechanisms such as pathogen survival, transmission dynamics, and host susceptibility. Increased precipitation has been associated with a higher incidence and recurrence of ocular toxoplasmosis (OT), likely due to the enhanced spread of Toxoplasma gondii oocysts through contaminated water and soil. Rainfall also creates breeding habitats for mosquitoes, facilitating the transmission of vector-borne diseases such as dengue fever and Rift Valley fever. Rising temperatures and humidity have been linked to increased rates of fungal infections, particularly fungal keratitis in tropical regions. Wind has been implicated in the airborne dispersal of pathogens, including fungal spores, T. gondii oocysts, and insect-derived particles such as moth setae, potentially contributing to OT and seasonal hyperacute panuveitis. Air pollution further exacerbates dry eye disease, which influences the vulnerability to microbial keratitis. These climate-related shifts disproportionately affect vulnerable populations-particularly those living in rural, low-income, and tropical areas. This review highlights the urgent need for further research into climate-sensitive mechanisms of ocular infections and the development of targeted adaptation strategies to mitigate their impact on global eye health.

RevDate: 2025-07-03

Wu R, Song Y, Head JR, et al (2025)

Fungal Spore Seasons Advanced Across the US Over Two Decades of Climate Change.

GeoHealth, 9(7):e2024GH001323.

Phenological shifts due to climate change have been extensively studied in plants and animals. Yet, the responses of fungal spores-organisms important to ecosystems and major airborne allergens-remain understudied. This knowledge gap limits our understanding of their ecological and public health implications. To address this, we analyzed a long-term (2003-2022), large-scale (the continental US) data set of airborne fungal spores collected by the US National Allergy Bureau. We first pre-processed the spore data by gap-filling and smoothing. Afterward, we extracted 10 metrics describing the phenology (e.g., start and end of season) and intensity (e.g., peak concentration and integral) of fungal spore seasons. These metrics were derived using two complementary but not mutually exclusive approaches-ecological and public health approaches, defined as percentiles of total spore concentration and allergenic thresholds of spore concentration, respectively. Using linear mixed-effects models, we quantified annual shifts in these metrics across the continental US. We revealed a significant advancement in the onset of the spore seasons defined in both ecological (11 days, 95% confidence interval: 0.4-23 days) and public health (22 days, 6-38 days) approaches over two decades. Meanwhile, total spore concentrations in an annual cycle and in a spore allergy season tended to decrease over time. The earlier start of the spore season was significantly correlated with climatic variables, such as warmer temperatures and altered precipitations. Overall, our findings suggest possible climate-driven advanced fungal spore seasons, highlighting the importance of climate change mitigation and adaptation in public health decision-making.

RevDate: 2025-07-03

Queenan K, B Häsler (2025)

Climate change and campylobacteriosis from chicken meat: The changing risk factors and their importance.

Food control, 173:111193.

Globally, chicken meat is currently the highest consumed meat per capita, and it continues to rise. Campylobacteriosis is one of the most reported gastrointestinal conditions, typically associated with chicken meat consumption. Cases are seasonal with summer and early autumn peaks. Similar seasonal peaks in Campylobacter prevalence in broilers and in retailed chicken meat have also been shown. Climate change impacts include increased ambient temperatures, rainfall, and humidity, and more frequent extreme weather events. These are likely to impact the risks associated with warmer-season foodborne diseases like campylobacteriosis. A literature review was conducted to identify the chicken related Campylobacter risk factors from farm to fork. Expert opinion was gathered using a modified Delphi survey in two rounds: 1) to identify risk factors whose likelihood of occurring would be impacted by climate change, 2) to determine the likelihood of the proposed change and the impact on campylobacteriosis from chicken meat consumption. Likert scores were used to calculate a mean risk level value. The latter was used together with a respondent agreement cut-off of over 66% to highlight risk factors most likely to change and to impact the risk of campylobacteriosis from chicken meat under climate change. Increasing temperatures and humidity and the extension of summer and early autumn seasons had the overall highest Mean Risk Level value (19/25). The increased prevalence of pests, especially flies had the second highest (16/25), and the highest respondent agreement level (94%). Several water-related risk factors were found likely to increase, including water drinker contamination, use of non-mains water sources, and those associated with water-based broiler house hygiene. Heat stress related risks were also highlighted, including the increased likelihood of on-farm Campylobacter positive animals and recent in-flock mortalities, a high degree of caecal colonisation, and faecal shedding of Campylobacter, and contaminating drinkers and carcase washing water. Other risk factors affected included higher consumption volumes and frequency of chicken meals, and broiler farmers having under 10 years of experience. These findings provide insights on how climate change may affect risk factor occurrence in the future and highlights those risks that decisionmakers should consider more closely in the future.

RevDate: 2025-07-04
CmpDate: 2025-07-02

Jones AE, O'Donnell MJ, Regish AM, et al (2025)

Salmonid sensory system development is affected by climate change driven temperature increases.

Scientific reports, 15(1):20901.

Increases in water temperature due to global climate change are known to alter the course and timing of fish development. The mechanosensory lateral line (LL) system mediates flow-sensing behaviors vital for survival in fishes, but the effects of increased water temperatures resulting from climate change on its development have not been examined. Here LL development was documented in a cold-water salmonid (brook trout, Salvelinus fontinalis) reared at the thermograph of a long-term study stream (ambient) and two higher temperatures (+ 2 and + 4 °C) that reflect projected increases within their native range. At these two higher temperatures, fish reach crucial early life history transitions earlier (e.g., hatch, "swim-up" from gravel nests into the water column) and are larger in size through the parr (juvenile) stage. Early forming canal neuromast receptor organs are larger, and the process of canal morphogenesis is also accelerated suggesting potential consequences for neuromast function and presumably for LL-mediated behaviors. A potential mismatch between the timing of transitions in early life history stages, the ability to carry out LL-mediated behaviors (e.g., prey detection), and the timing of the seasonal emergence of their preferred prey, could have serious implications for cold-water salmonid ecology and survival.

RevDate: 2025-07-04
CmpDate: 2025-07-02

Kolanowska M (2025)

Climate change will cause the spatial mismatch between sexually deceptive beetle daisy (Gorteria diffusa, Asteraceae) and its pollinator.

Scientific reports, 15(1):21740.

Climate change is a major driver of biodiversity loss, affecting complex ecological relationships. Plants that rely on animal pollen vectors for reproduction are more sensitive to habitat disturbance, as any change in local pollinator species composition, abundance or foraging behaviour can affect the reproductive success of a plant population. This study used ecological niche modelling to investigate the effects of global warming on the spatial overlap between the South African beetle daisy (Gorteria diffusa) and its sole pollen vector (Megapalpus capensis, beetledaisy fly). Gorteria diffusa is one of the few non-Orchidaceae species that can be pollinated by sexual deception. As predicted in this study, the general coverage of suitable niches of G. diffusa will not be significantly reduced in two of the climate change scenarios studied - SSP1-2.6 and SSP2-4.5. However, about 10% reduction of the potential range of the beetle daisy is expected to occur in SSP5-8.5. Based on the direction of range contraction, populations from the north-eastern part of the geographical range of the species seem to be most endangered due to the habitat loss. At the same time the geographical range of M. capensis will be significantly reduced in all climate change scenarios analysed. Even if global CO2 emissions reach net zero after 2050, the coverage of suitable niches of the insect will be over 20% smaller than currently estimated. Given the decline in pollinator availability due to the spatial mismatch between G. diffusa and the bee fly, the survival of north-western and south-eastern populations may be threatened as the insect will not be present in the areas suitable for beetle daisy occurrence. The maps produced in this study indicate areas that will be climatically suitable for the co-occurrence of beetle daisy and its pollinator in the future. These regions should be considered by local conservation authorities in developing more effective conservation strategies especially within South African Namaqualand.

RevDate: 2025-07-04

Geng W, Wang D, Meng S, et al (2025)

Characteristics of climate change and monsoon circulation factors of Yarkant River Basin, China.

Scientific reports, 15(1):21490.

Under the background of global warming, frequent monsoon activities significantly influence global climate change, yet their impact mechanisms on non-monsoon regions remain unclear. This study analyzes the abrupt change characteristics of temperature and precipitation in the Yarkant River Basin using data from four meteorological stations from 1961 to 2019, employing Pearson correlation analysis and M-K mutation test. It further investigates the influence of monsoon circulations on the regional climate and predicts future climate trends. The results indicate: (1) The temperature (0.25 °C/10a) and precipitation (6.01 mm/10a) in the Yarkant River Basin exhibit overall increasing trends. (2) Both temperature and precipitation show distinct abrupt changes, with the mutation year identified as 1997. (3) The circulation indices exhibit substantial influences on temperature but only affect precipitation in specific seasons. The East Asian Monsoon and Arctic Oscillation (AO) show significant positive correlations with temperature, while the South Asian Monsoon and El Niño Index demonstrate significant positive correlations with winter temperature. (4) Future projections suggest continued upward trends in temperature and precipitation in the Yarkant River Basin.

RevDate: 2025-07-04

Cao X, Zhao Z, Zheng Y, et al (2025)

Climate change threatens water resources over the Qinghai-Tibetan plateau.

Scientific reports, 15(1):21996.

The availability and transport of water resources across the Qinghai-Tibetan Plateau (QTP), a water tower in Asia, is vital in affecting downstream region. Significant climate warming has altered the water balance of QTP and influenced downstream water resources, and the dynamics of water resources and its key influencing factors remain unknown in this region. To deepen our understanding of water resource status over the QTP, here we comprehensively summarized the variations in precipitation and water resources (glaciers, lakes, runoff and terrestrial water storage) in the past few decades by integrating long-term multi-source remote sensing and monitoring data. Annual precipitation displayed a significant increase over the QTP from 1961 to 2023 (4.3 mm per decade; P < 0.05). The decrease of glacial area was the dominant trend on the QTP from 1976 to 2024, and the decline rate has reached 58.37%. The area of lakes increased from 960 km[2] in 1960 to 1919 km[2] in 2020, indicating a clear expansion. The surface runoff increased from 4089.73 × 10[8] m[3] in 1961 to 5788.63 × 10[8] m[3] in 2018, with a growth rate of 11.94 × 10[8] m[3]/yr. Terrestrial water storage change (TWSC) showed a decreasing trend from 2019 to 2023 (R[2] = 0.3636*, P < 0.05), which suggested that future expansion of the terrestrial water storage (TWS) deficit may occur. Affected by climate warming, the outcome that the lakes will display a continuous expansion and glacier also will continue to retreat on the QTP could be expected. If melting water from glaciers ablation cannot offset the demand for water resources, this may have serious socio-economic and ecological threats to the region. Thus, it is essential to take the continuous monitoring of water resources over the QTP as a pressing priority, providing adaptation strategies for these highly fragile areas.

RevDate: 2025-07-04

da Silva Bezerra D (2025)

Nature-based solutions to climate change.

Scientific reports, 15(1):22095.

RevDate: 2025-07-04
CmpDate: 2025-07-02

Luo M, Yang P, Yang L, et al (2025)

Predicting potentially suitable Bletilla striata habitats in China under future climate change scenarios using the optimized MaxEnt model.

Scientific reports, 15(1):21231.

Bletilla striata, an important traditional Chinese medicine resource, holds high medicinal and ornamental value. However, unscientific habitat selection for its cultivation has led to low yields and poor quality as medicinal materials in China. The optimized MaxEnt model is a powerful tool for analyzing the potential impacts of environmental factors on species distribution and predicting habitat changes under climate change. It offers great significance for the protection and development of B. striata in China. Based on 269 B. striata distribution records in China and 15 major environmental factors, this study simulated the distribution patterns of potentially suitable B. striata habitats under four different climate change scenarios (SSP1.26, SSP2.45, SSP3.70, and SSP5.85) and three time periods (the current period, 2050s, and 2070s). The analysis was conducted using the MaxEnt model which exhibited high predictive accuracy and minimal overfitting. Solar radiation, annual temperature range and mean diurnal range were revealed as the dominant factors affecting B. striata distribution, and their thresholds were ≤ 16,265.39 kJ/m[2]·d[-1], ≤ 39.7 ℃ and ≤ 12.6 ℃, respectively. The results showed that the total potentially suitable B. striata habitats in China were 30.07 × 10[5] km[2] under current climate conditions, mainly distributed in 14 provinces or regions in southern China. Under future climate change conditions, the predicted potentially suitable B. striata habitats will decrease significantly over time, and the centroid of the predicted potentially suitable habitats at all levels will shift northward. The research results can guide future B. striata resource conservation, variety selection, and cultivation.

RevDate: 2025-07-01

Liang YJ, Chiang BL, Kang CM, et al (2025)

Influence of climate change on prevalence of pollen sensitization in northern Taiwan.

Journal of microbiology, immunology, and infection = Wei mian yu gan ran za zhi pii:S1684-1182(25)00129-X [Epub ahead of print].

BACKGROUND: Pollen sensitization is not as common as mite sensitization in Taiwan. The dearth of regional aeropalynological studies and relevant clinical analyses has, therefore, led to an underestimation of the prevalence of pollen allergies. To investigate this impact, we evaluated the alteration of pollen sensitization and its association with climate change in northern Taiwan.

METHODS: We enrolled the patients from National Taiwan University Hospital who lived in Taipei and New Taipei City, tested positive for pollen-specific immunoglobulin E (IgE) on an OPTIGEN® allergen-specific IgE assay, and had relevant symptoms. Their data were cross-referenced with climate data from the Central Weather Bureau for the same period.

RESULTS: In total, 11,895 patients were enrolled, of whom 930 (7.8 %) tested positive for pollen-specific IgE. Black willow was the most common pollen allergen identified. According to the Cochran-Armitage test, the annual sensitization to Bermuda grass, Japanese cedar, pigweed, ragweed mix, and black willow pollen varied significantly. According to Spearman's correlation test, the annual sensitization to Bermuda grass, white mulberry, ragweed mix, timothy grass, and black willow positively correlated with the mean winter temperature, whereas that to white mulberry and timothy grass negatively correlated with mean winter rainfall.

CONCLUSION: The pollen sensitization pattern has changed gradually in northern Taiwan over recent years. Warm mean temperatures and low mean rainfall in winter significantly correlated with annual sensitization to some pollen allergens. Climate change may have exacerbated the prevalence of pollen sensitization, and the emerging burden of pollen allergies should not be neglected in Taiwan.

RevDate: 2025-07-02

Liu Q, Zhuo Z, Wang Z, et al (2025)

Assessing the climate change impact on Epimedium brevicornu in China with the MaxEnt model.

Frontiers in plant science, 16:1534608.

Epimedium brevicornu is a traditional medicinal plant in China, containing rich and medically valuable extracts. In recent years, the widespread development and application of its extracts have threatened the wild population of E.brevicornu. In order to protect the population of E. brevicornu, this research employed the Maxent model to examine the influence of climate change on the geographical distribution of E. brevicornu and to forecast its potential suitable distribution in China in light of climate change scenarios. The suitable habitat for E. brevicornu is located between 25.13°-39.50°N and 102.46°-118.13°E, mainly distributed across Loess Plateau. Climate change has a significant impact on the geographic distribution of E. brevicornu, with its high suitability zone expected to increase in the future and its centroid shifts towards the southeast direction. The 2050s projections under the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSP) 1-2.6 and SSP2-4.5 scenarios indicated a significant expansion of highly suitable habitats. The analysis of key environmental variables showed that the seasonal variation coefficient of temperature (bio4), the lowest temperature in the coldest month (bio6), annual precipitation (bio12), seasonal variation of precipitation (bio15), human activity (hf), and the average ultraviolet radiation (UV-B3) in the highest month were the key factors affecting E. brevicornu selection of suitable habitats. This study provided important reference for the protection of the wild population of E. brevicornu and the selection of artificial planting areas in the future.

RevDate: 2025-07-02

Paudel R, Acharya D, TM Adhikari (2025)

Sexual and reproductive health and rights and climate change about menstrual discrimination: a policy review in the context of Nepal.

Frontiers in global women's health, 6:1560404.

The conversation around climate, sexual and reproductive health and rights (SRHR), and menstruation is increasing more than ever in Nepal. The discussion between climate and SRHR is more visible and it endeavors to develop the relationship between them. The claim of the role of menstrual discrimination (MD) is the construction and reinforcement of power and patriarchal demands unveiling MD as an underlying barrier for gender-responsive climate or SRHR interventions. In this vein, this study reviewed the national policies of climate change (CC) and SRHR with MD. It aims to examine the positioning of MD in ongoing policies around SRHR and CC. It is crucial to accelerate the impact of interventions related to SRHR and CC to achieve broader gender justice and human rights. The policy-related documents regarding CC and SRHR are reviewed. The visible and invisible MD is rampant across the country regardless of class, caste, region, or religion. The Government of Nepal started to work on SRHR in 2000, although the specific policies on dignified menstruation were made in 2017. MD is missed across all the conversations of CC although it talks about gender equality and social inclusion policies (GESI). The GESI policies and programs do not spell out the discrimination related to menstruation and its impact throughout life, and the SRHR policy has a similar impact. MD is one of the missing dimensions regarding power relations, patriarchy, climate, and SRHR. This study recommends a thorough unpacking of MD, including its impact, incorporating the strategies to dismantle MD in both SRHR and ensuring CC-related policies and programs for real equality and inclusion. The findings of this research become helpful to policymakers during intervention planning to overcome the situation.

RevDate: 2025-07-02
CmpDate: 2025-07-01

Ferrari GN, Leal GCL, Ossani PC, et al (2025)

Investigation of the usage of machine learning to explore the impacts of climate change on occupational health: a systematic review and research agenda.

Frontiers in public health, 13:1578558.

Occupational accidents can be potentialized by factors related to the workplace or the environment, such as climatic conditions. Air temperature, wind speed, and humidity can be used to monitor occupational heat stress, leading to cramps, exhaustion, stroke, and even death. Under the climate change scenario, measuring these variables is fundamental to developing adaptation strategies for maintaining the workers' well-being. However, when dealing with this high data volume from distinctive factors, traditional techniques are insufficient to extract all information effectively. Therefore, computational intelligence and data analytics tools can enhance data processing and analysis. Machine learning techniques have been successfully applied to occupational health and climate contexts. This paper explores the literature regarding applying these techniques to investigate the effects of climate change on occupational health. We conducted a systematic review through five scientific databases guided by three research questions, resulting in 24 selected papers. 75% of the papers screened used primary data collected from wearable sensors to monitor the well-being of workers, where we identified a trend of using supervised machine learning techniques, especially classification and regression algorithms, such as SVM, RF, and KNN. The remaining focus is on using secondary data from national databases to investigate the risk, with a trend of using feature selection techniques and classification tasks. Considering this topic is relatively new, we developed an agenda to guide future research, with suggestions to follow the trends found in this review and highlight the potential of expanding to multiple future research paths.

RevDate: 2025-07-01
CmpDate: 2025-07-01

Andreassen JI, A Babic (2025)

Visualizing the Intersection of Climate Change Concerns, Health, Attitudes and Demographic Factors.

Studies in health technology and informatics, 328:545-549.

Effective data visualization is essential for translating complex information into accessible insights that support interpretation and decision-making. This study explores the use of dashboards and infographics in visualizing climate change concern, using data from the 2023 Norwegian Quality of Life Survey. Infographics offered clear, narrative snapshots for public understanding, while dashboards enabled interactive exploration of regional and demographic variations. Key predictors of climate concern included attitudes, general worry, and urbanization, with urban residents expressing the most concern. Visualization tools also contributed to early-stage digital twin modeling by making abstract data structures more relatable and actionable. By combining visual formats, this study enhances user engagement and demonstrates how tailored communication tools can bridge the gap between research and public awareness. Dashboards and infographics serve complementary roles in health and climate communication, supporting both exploration and understanding.

RevDate: 2025-06-30

Wani MD, Dar SN, PP Mohanty (2025)

Integrating the Value Belief Norm Theory and Theory of Planned Behavior to Predict the Climate Change Mitigation and Adaption Behaviors in Agriculture Production.

Environmental management [Epub ahead of print].

Climate change poses a critical threat to global agriculture, particularly in climate-sensitive regions like the Kashmir Valley, India. Despite increasing attention to climate-related agricultural risks, limited research has examined how farmers' psychological and behavioral responses shape adaptation and mitigation efforts. Addressing this gap, the present study investigates how two prominent behavioral frameworks-the Theory of Planned Behavior (TPB) and Value-Belief-Norm (VBN) theory-explain the pro-environmental behaviors of rice farmers in response to climate change. Rather than identifying the direct impact of climate change itself, the study aims to predict and explain farmers' adaptation and mitigation behaviors using an integrated theoretical model grounded in the TPB and VBN frameworks. Based on data collected from 759 rice farmers via a multi-stage stratified sampling method, the study employs structural equation modeling (SEM) to test the hypothesized relationships. The analysis reveals that TPB constructs explain 40.6% of the variance in adaptation behaviors and 23.6% in mitigation behaviors, while VBN constructs account for 57.4% of variance in mitigation and 25.7% in adaptation behaviors. These findings demonstrate that adaptation behaviors are primarily driven by self-interest and volitional control (TPB), whereas mitigation behaviors are more closely linked to moral and normative commitments (VBN). The study concludes that differentiated behavioral drivers must inform climate policy, particularly by incorporating farmers' perspectives to foster more sustainable agricultural practices in vulnerable regions.

RevDate: 2025-06-30
CmpDate: 2025-06-30

Ramírez-Cando LJ, Alvarez CI, D Gualotuña (2025)

Overview based on latent dirichlet allocation: the case of study climate change research efforts in Latin America.

Environmental monitoring and assessment, 197(7):829.

This study analyzes climate change research efforts in Latin America using Latent Dirichlet Allocation (LDA) for cluster topic modeling. Latin America, characterized by its rich biodiversity and dependence on natural resources, confronts urgent challenges posed by climate change. The region's vulnerabilities are further aggravated by extreme weather events, deforestation, and shifts in precipitation patterns, directly threatening ecosystems, public health, and local economies. The LDA model identifies critical themes, including environmental risks, health impacts, biodiversity loss, and socio-economic responses. This research highlights the necessity of localized adaptation strategies, contrasting sharply with global research that overly focuses on large-scale policy and technological innovations. In Latin America, it is imperative to prioritize practical solutions that address immediate risks, such as involving local communities in disaster risk reduction efforts and effective early warning systems for extreme weather. Moreover, the study underscores the disproportionate impact of climate change on vulnerable populations, particularly indigenous groups and rural communities. By identifying thematic trends and regional disparities, this research provides essential insights into the scientific landscape that will drive future climate change adaptation efforts in Latin America. Tailored policies that consider regional contexts are critical for effectively confronting the specific challenges faced by the region.

RevDate: 2025-07-03
CmpDate: 2025-06-30

Sherman ACL, Aligne CA, JD Matthews (2025)

Malaria prevention in the age of climate change: A community survey in rural Senegal.

PloS one, 20(6):e0313456.

BACKGROUND: Malaria results in over 600,000 deaths per year, with 95 percent of all cases occurring in sub-Saharan Africa. Insecticide treated mosquito nets have long been proven to be the most effective prevention method to protect at-risk people from malaria. Temperature increases may now be changing sleeping habits and how people use available mosquito nets. Based on observations of increasing outdoor sleeping and fragility of the mosquito nets, this study evaluated a rural west African population to determine barriers to mosquito net use, including net fragility, heat and outdoor sleeping.

METHODS: This study used a social ecological framework used by the Peace Corps to determine this community's barriers to malaria prevention. We practiced community-based participatory research by developing and implementing a survey in rural southeast Senegal. Local village health workers received special training to implement this survey. Observations of the mosquito nets and sleeping spaces were performed by surveyors. 164 households in 20 villages were surveyed from October to November of 2012.

RESULTS: There was a 100% response rate, with 164 of the 164 selected households surveyed, representing 21% of this local population. For the 1806 family members, respondents assessed a total need of 1565 nets, implying that each individual in this area needs 0.86 nets (95% CI: 0.77-0.95). Survey responses gave rich, informative responses about mosquito net use. For example: 'If it's in the room set up properly under the mattress then it will be fine. But if it's outside with the beds that don't have mattresses, then it will deteriorate quickly.' The main reasons for not using an available net were heat and fragility of the nets. This population had very positive attitudes regarding mosquito nets and appreciated the work of local malaria educators.

CONCLUSIONS: In a rural Senegalese population with a high malaria burden, our survey indicated a need for 0.86 insecticide treated nets per person. This is 54% higher than the current WHO recommendation of 0.56 ITNs per person. Our findings suggest that there are not enough nets because routine village conditions lead to considerable net damage, and because the heat leads people to sleep outdoors, where they likely do not have mosquito nets. With global warming, we suspect this population will spend even more time sleeping outside, aggravating the current insufficiency. Further research should investigate optimal interventions to address this challenge, including nets designed for outside use and for higher durability.

RevDate: 2025-06-30

Carlson JM, Fang L, Weiler M, et al (2025)

Are we attending to climate change? A systematic review of the cognitive science literature.

Cognitive processing [Epub ahead of print].

Climate change poses immense global challenges. To meet these challenges, there has been increased research interest in climate change psychology. An emerging field of research has studied the degree to which attention is captured by different types of climate change relevant information. The current review aims to provide a comprehensive overview of the research that focuses on the capture of attention by climate change relevant information and the factors that moderate this capture of attention. We thoroughly examined 12 empirical studies (18 experiments, 2164 participants) from the literature that investigated the relationship between attention and various types of climate-relevant information. The results revealed that climate change information is captured by attention in the majority of the experiments included in the review. This finding is consistent across different types of stimuli (such as images, text, and graphs) and measurements (such as reaction time, eye movement, and accuracy). Moreover, individual differences, such as implicit climate attitudes, liberal political orientation, and dispositional optimism may moderate the level of attentional capture by climate-relevant information. The review also provides insight and directions for future research and calls for action to translate the current findings at the cognitive level into impactful changes at the public level.

RevDate: 2025-07-02

Samara A, Hanton T, Thakar R, et al (2025)

Impact of climate change and environmental adversities on maternal and fetal health: the role of clinical practices and providers in mitigating effects and prioritising women's health in the UK.

Frontiers in global women's health, 6:1483938.

The climate crisis poses profound risks to women particularly during pregnancy. With rising global temperatures and increasing frequency of extreme weather events, there is an urgent need for health initiatives and guidelines tailored to the unique vulnerabilities of pregnant individuals. We conducted a review of English-language literature from 2000-2024 using PubMed, Scopus, and Web of Science, focusing on "climate change," "pregnancy," and "maternal health," and included original studies, reviews. Relevant policy documents, including some published in 2025 were also included. We examine the multifaceted challenges posed by climate change, such as extreme weather events, water scarcity, malnutrition, and exposure to environmental pollutants like contaminated air and water, which directly and indirectly affect maternal and fetal health. The review explores the associations between these environmental stressors and adverse pregnancy outcomes, including preterm births, low birth weight, and developmental complications. These challenges are compounded in low-resource settings where healthcare infrastructure is limited, exacerbating inequities in maternal care. Furthermore, we focus on key areas for further investigation, including the long-term health effects of in-utero exposure to pollutants. The review addresses evidence-based strategies to reduce the environmental impact of healthcare through early interventions, innovation, and strengthened initiatives. It emphasises empowering healthcare professionals to educate others, raise awareness among policymakers, advocate for climate-conscious policies, and promote sustainable practices reducing the carbon footprint of the healthcare system, with a focus on the UK. In response to these pressing concerns, leading professional organizations, such as the Royal College of Obstetricians and Gynaecologists (RCOG) in the UK, and the American College of Obstetricians and Gynaecologists (ACOG) in the US, are prioritizing the intersection of climate change and women's health. Their initiatives, which aim to mitigate the climate-change impacts on pregnancies and fetal health by promoting research, raising awareness, and developing actionable strategies, are also highlighted. By amplifying awareness and global collaboration, the suggested strategies aim to protect maternal and fetal health in the face of an escalating climate crisis.

RevDate: 2025-07-02

Patterson J, Anisimova K, Logg-Scarvell J, et al (2025)

Reactions to policy action: socio-political conditions of backlash to climate change policy.

Policy sciences, 58(2):287-320.

Public policymaking on issues requiring ambitious yet socially and economically costly action can face backlash from target groups and wider audiences, threatening policy adoption and durability. As an abrupt negative reaction to policy action, backlash is challenging to study and requires distinctive analytical approaches. This is especially pressing for climate change mitigation policy, which faces growing yet dispersed empirical experiences of backlash. We develop a framework to study the socio-political conditions (economic, cultural, practical) under which backlash to climate policy occurs to enable comparative empirical analysis. We posit that backlash arises from significant incongruence between policy action and its socio-political context across one or more of these dimensions. We illustrate this approach using three cases of backlash to carbon pricing policy in Canada, France, and Mexico, revealing different ways in which incongruence can arise. Our analysis highlights the need for configurational explanations and a policy-in-context perspective when studying contentious reactions to policy action.

RevDate: 2025-06-30

Wang MB, H Akin (2025)

Effects of epistemic beliefs, science populism, and social media use on climate change misperceptions.

Public understanding of science (Bristol, England) [Epub ahead of print].

While much research has revealed the prevalence of climate change misinformation on social media, there is no conclusive evidence about its impact on cultivating public misperceptions. Even less work has been done to examine how social media use may condition the relationships between cognitive orientations, such as epistemic and science populism beliefs, and climate change misperceptions. This study fills this gap by analyzing data from a national representative survey of 1405 US adults. Results confirmed the relationships between cognitive orientations and climate change misperceptions. While neither mainstream nor alternative social media use had a direct impact, both types of social media use conditioned the relationships between cognitive orientations and climate change misperceptions. This study's findings suggest that social media use's adverse impact on climate change misperceptions may have been overstated.

RevDate: 2025-06-29
CmpDate: 2025-06-29

Zhang YJ, Li P, Zhang M, et al (2025)

[Response of Vegetation Dynamics to Climate Change and Human Activities in Shaanxi Province from 2000 to 2020].

Huan jing ke xue= Huanjing kexue, 46(6):3619-3631.

Clarifying the impacts of climate changes and human activities on vegetation dynamics is of significant importance to environmental resource managements, as vegetation undergoes notable changes under the dual influences of the two factors. Based on MODIS NDVI data, meteorological data, and human activity intensity (HAI) characterized by land cover data from 2000 to 2020, this study used methods such as trend analysis, Hurst index, partial correlation analysis, bivariate spatial autocorrelation, and random forest modeling. The impact mechanisms and contributions of climate changes and human activities on vegetation dynamics in Shaanxi Province as a whole and in its three regions (northern Shaanxi, central Shaanxi, and southern Shaanxi) were investigated. The results showed as follows: ① From 2000 to 2020, the average NDVI value in Shaanxi Province was 0.71, with a higher value in southern Shaanxi, followed by those in central and northern Shaanxi. During the study period, the overall NDVI of Shaanxi Province and its three regions showed an increasing trend, with a significant improvement in vegetation covering 87.1% of the area, of which 32.7% had a sustainable improvement trend. The most noticeable improvement in vegetation was observed in northern Shaanxi. ② The NDVI responded differently to various climatic factors. Precipitation and average temperature primarily promoted vegetation, while solar radiation had an inhibitory effect. ③ From 2000 to 2020, the average HAI value in Shaanxi Province was 0.06, with a higher value in central Shaanxi, followed by those in northern and southern Shaanxi, and exhibited an increasing trend over time. The cluster patterns were mainly described as high-low, low-high, and low-low in the northern, central, and southern Shaanxi regions, respectively. ④ The NDVI change rates under climate change and human activities were 0.005 4 a[-1] and 0.000 5 a[-1], respectively, with their contribution rate being 91.5% and 8.5%, in Shaanxi Province. In the three regions, climate change contributed positively to vegetation change, with the highest contribution observed in northern Shaanxi. Human activities contributed positively in northern and southern Shaanxi, with the highest contribution in northern Shaanxi, while in the central region, human activities showed a negative contribution. The vegetation dynamics in Shaanxi Province were influenced by both climate change and human activities, but the impact mechanisms varied across different regions. It is essential to develop scientifically tailored ecological protection plans based on the specific conditions of each region.

RevDate: 2025-06-29

Wang S, Qin B, Wen B, et al (2025)

Climate change influences on algal bloom intensity in lakes in the Yangtze River Basin, China from 1985 to 2022.

Journal of hazardous materials, 495:139027 pii:S0304-3894(25)01943-0 [Epub ahead of print].

This study investigates the long-term influence of climate change on the spatiotemporal dynamics of harmful algal blooms in lakes larger than 10 km[2] across the Yangtze River Basin from 1985 to 2022. Using Landsat satellite imagery, we quantified bloom activity using three indices: annual average bloom area, maximum annual bloom area, and annual bloom frequency percentage, and assessed their relationships with climate drivers using a boosted regression tree model. Among the 90 lakes analysed, 40.00 % showed significant decadal decreases in annual average bloom area (p < 0.05), 55.56 % exhibited no significant change, and 4.44 % showed significant increases. While most small and medium-sized lakes (10-100 km[2]) displayed stable or decreasing trends, a subset of super-large lakes (>500 km[2]), including Lakes Taihu and Chaohu, exhibited increasing maximum bloom area trends under warmer and wetter conditions. Temperature emerged as the primary climatic driver, explaining 45.5 % of the variance in bloom proportion. Smaller lakes were more sensitive to temperature fluctuations, whereas larger lakes exhibited more persistent blooms, likely due to their complex hydrodynamics and catchment-scale influences. Interactions among temperature, wind speed, and precipitation minus evaporation further modulated bloom patterns, with two-way interaction strengths in the model peaking at 27.41. These findings underscore the need to integrate lake-specific climate sensitivity and nutrient management into adaptive bloom mitigation strategies under future climate scenarios.

LOAD NEXT 100 CITATIONS

ESP Quick Facts

ESP Origins

In the early 1990's, Robert Robbins was a faculty member at Johns Hopkins, where he directed the informatics core of GDB — the human gene-mapping database of the international human genome project. To share papers with colleagues around the world, he set up a small paper-sharing section on his personal web page. This small project evolved into The Electronic Scholarly Publishing Project.

ESP Support

In 1995, Robbins became the VP/IT of the Fred Hutchinson Cancer Research Center in Seattle, WA. Soon after arriving in Seattle, Robbins secured funding, through the ELSI component of the US Human Genome Project, to create the original ESP.ORG web site, with the formal goal of providing free, world-wide access to the literature of classical genetics.

ESP Rationale

Although the methods of molecular biology can seem almost magical to the uninitiated, the original techniques of classical genetics are readily appreciated by one and all: cross individuals that differ in some inherited trait, collect all of the progeny, score their attributes, and propose mechanisms to explain the patterns of inheritance observed.

ESP Goal

In reading the early works of classical genetics, one is drawn, almost inexorably, into ever more complex models, until molecular explanations begin to seem both necessary and natural. At that point, the tools for understanding genome research are at hand. Assisting readers reach this point was the original goal of The Electronic Scholarly Publishing Project.

ESP Usage

Usage of the site grew rapidly and has remained high. Faculty began to use the site for their assigned readings. Other on-line publishers, ranging from The New York Times to Nature referenced ESP materials in their own publications. Nobel laureates (e.g., Joshua Lederberg) regularly used the site and even wrote to suggest changes and improvements.

ESP Content

When the site began, no journals were making their early content available in digital format. As a result, ESP was obliged to digitize classic literature before it could be made available. For many important papers — such as Mendel's original paper or the first genetic map — ESP had to produce entirely new typeset versions of the works, if they were to be available in a high-quality format.

ESP Help

Early support from the DOE component of the Human Genome Project was critically important for getting the ESP project on a firm foundation. Since that funding ended (nearly 20 years ago), the project has been operated as a purely volunteer effort. Anyone wishing to assist in these efforts should send an email to Robbins.

ESP Plans

With the development of methods for adding typeset side notes to PDF files, the ESP project now plans to add annotated versions of some classical papers to its holdings. We also plan to add new reference and pedagogical material. We have already started providing regularly updated, comprehensive bibliographies to the ESP.ORG site.

Electronic Scholarly Publishing
961 Red Tail Lane
Bellingham, WA 98226

E-mail: RJR8222 @ gmail.com

Papers in Classical Genetics

The ESP began as an effort to share a handful of key papers from the early days of classical genetics. Now the collection has grown to include hundreds of papers, in full-text format.

Digital Books

Along with papers on classical genetics, ESP offers a collection of full-text digital books, including many works by Darwin and even a collection of poetry — Chicago Poems by Carl Sandburg.

Timelines

ESP now offers a large collection of user-selected side-by-side timelines (e.g., all science vs. all other categories, or arts and culture vs. world history), designed to provide a comparative context for appreciating world events.

Biographies

Biographical information about many key scientists (e.g., Walter Sutton).

Selected Bibliographies

Bibliographies on several topics of potential interest to the ESP community are automatically maintained and generated on the ESP site.

ESP Picks from Around the Web (updated 28 JUL 2024 )