@article {pmid36936644, year = {2023}, author = {Beckmann-Wübbelt, A and Türk, L and Almeida, I and Fricke, A and Sotirov, M and Saha, S}, title = {Climate change adaptation measures conflicted with the recreational demands on city forests during COVID-19 pandemic.}, journal = {npj urban sustainability}, volume = {3}, number = {1}, pages = {17}, pmid = {36936644}, issn = {2661-8001}, abstract = {Recurrent droughts in southwest Germany threaten the city and community-owned forests (CCF). At the same time, the COVID-19 pandemic has increased the demand for recreation in CCF of southwest Germany. We interviewed stakeholders from different interest groups to critically analyze their opinion on how the high recreation demand on CCF due to the pandemic can be ensured along with implementing climate change adaptation measures in CCF in Karlsruhe, Germany. We found that stakeholders particularly highlighted the importance of the recreational function of the CCF during the pandemic. However, the behavior of visitors was criticized by the stakeholders. We showed that demand for the recreational use of CCF conflicted with climate change adaptation measures such as sanitary and forest restoration actions, creating a dilemma among stakeholders. Therefore, enhancing citizens' knowledge of forests' recreation functions and the need for climate change adaptation through communication and education should be prioritized.}, } @article {pmid36936481, year = {2023}, author = {Conrad, K}, title = {The Era of Climate Change Medicine-Challenges to Health Care Systems.}, journal = {The Ochsner journal}, volume = {23}, number = {1}, pages = {7-8}, pmid = {36936481}, issn = {1524-5012}, } @article {pmid36934927, year = {2023}, author = {Xu, W and Jiang, J and Lin, HY and Chen, TY and Zhang, S and Wang, T}, title = {Assessment of the impact of climate change on endangered conifer tree species by considering climate and soil dual suitability and interspecific competition.}, journal = {The Science of the total environment}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {162722}, doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2023.162722}, pmid = {36934927}, issn = {1879-1026}, abstract = {Climate change results in the habitat loss of many conifer tree species and jeopardizes species biodiversity and forest ecological functions. Delineating suitable habitats for tree species via climate niche model (CNM) is widely used to predict the impact of climate change and develop conservation and management strategies. However, the robustness of CNM is broadly debated as it usually does not consider soil and competition factors. Here we developed a new approach to combine soil variables with CNM and evaluate interspecific competition potential in the niche overlapping areas. We used an endangered conifer species - Chamaecyparis formosensis (red cypress) - as a case study to predict the impact of climate change. We developed a novel approach to integrate the climate niche model and soil niche model predictions and considered interspecific competition to predict the impacts of climate change on tree species. Our results show that the suitable habitat for red cypress would decrease significantly in the future with an additional threat from the competition of an oak tree species. Our approach and results may represent significant implications in making conservation strategies and evaluating the impacts of climate change, and providing the direction of the refinement of the ecological niche model.}, } @article {pmid36934916, year = {2023}, author = {Vo, TPT and Ngo, HH and Guo, W and Turney, C and Liu, Y and Nguyen, DD and Bui, XT}, title = {Influence of the COVID-19 pandemic on climate change summit negotiations from the climate governance perspective.}, journal = {The Science of the total environment}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {162936}, doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2023.162936}, pmid = {36934916}, issn = {1879-1026}, abstract = {The COVID-19 pandemic has caused significant disruptions to the world since 2020, with over 647 million confirmed cases and 6.7 million reported deaths as of January 2023. Despite its far-reaching impact, the effects of COVID-19 on the progress of global climate change negotiations have yet to be thoroughly evaluated. This discussion paper conducts an examination of COVID-19's impact on climate change actions at global, national, and local levels through a comprehensive review of existing literature. This analysis reveals that the pandemic has resulted in delays in implementing climate policies and altered priorities from climate action to the pandemic response. Despite these setbacks, the pandemic has also presented opportunities for accelerating the transition to a low-carbon economy. The interplay between these outcomes and the different levels of governance will play a crucial role in determining the success or failure of future climate change negotiations.}, } @article {pmid36934871, year = {2023}, author = {Garcia-Bustos, V and Cabañero-Navalon, MD and Ruiz-Gaitán, AC and Salavert, M and Tormo-Mas, MÁ and Pemán, J}, title = {Climate change, animals, and Candida auris: insights into the ecological niche of a new species from a one health approach.}, journal = {Clinical microbiology and infection : the official publication of the European Society of Clinical Microbiology and Infectious Diseases}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, doi = {10.1016/j.cmi.2023.03.016}, pmid = {36934871}, issn = {1469-0691}, abstract = {BACKGROUND: One of the most puzzling traits of Candida auris is the recent simultaneous and independent emergence of five genetically distinct clades on three continents. Global warming has been proposed as a contributing factor for this emergence due to C. auris high thermotolerance compared to phylogenetically close Candida species. This hypothesis postulates that climate change induced an environmental ancestor to become pathogenic through thermal adaptation and was then globally disseminated by an intermediate host.

OBJECTIVES: The aim of this review is to compile the current knowledge on the emergence and ecological environmental niches of C. auris, and highlight the potential role of animals in transmission.

SOURCES: A literature search was conducted using PubMed, MEDLINE, Google Scholar, and Web of Science from May 2022 to January 2023.

CONTENT: We discuss the up-to-date data on the ecological niches of this fungus and its mechanisms of emergence, transmission cycle in nature, and worldwide dissemination. We highlight the possibility of an originally intermediate host possibly related to marine or freshwater ecosystems on the basis of recent molecular and microbiological evidence from a One Health perspective. The consequences of harmful human impacts on the environment in the raise of new fungal pathogenic species such as C. auris are also analysed and compared to other animal precedents.

IMPLICATIONS: The present knowledge can prompt the generation of new evidence on the ecological reservoirs of C. auris and its original mechanisms of environmental or interspecies transmission. Further research on the highlighted gaps will help to understand the importance of the relationships between human, animal, and ecosystem health, as factors involved in the raise and spread of emerging fungal pathogenic species.}, } @article {pmid36933729, year = {2023}, author = {Gumuła-Kawęcka, A and Jaworska-Szulc, B and Szymkiewicz, A and Gorczewska-Langner, W and Angulo-Jaramillo, R and Šimůnek, J}, title = {Impact of climate change on groundwater recharge in shallow young glacial aquifers in northern Poland.}, journal = {The Science of the total environment}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {162904}, doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2023.162904}, pmid = {36933729}, issn = {1879-1026}, abstract = {We investigated the influence of climate change in the period 1951-2020 on shallow aquifers in the Brda and Wda outwash plains (Pomeranian Region, Northern Poland). There was a significant temperature rise (0.3 °C/10 years), which accelerated after 1980 (0.66 °C/10 years). Precipitation became increasingly irregular - extremely rainy years occurred right after or before extremely dry years, and intensive rainfall events became more frequent after 2000. The groundwater level decreased over the last 20 years, even though the average annual precipitation was higher than in the previous 50 years. We carried out numerical simulations of water flow in representative soil profiles for the years 1970-2020 using the HYDRUS-1D model, developed and calibrated during our earlier work at an experimental site in the Brda outwash plain (Gumuła-Kawęcka et al., 2022). We used a relationship between the water head and flux at the bottom of the soil profiles (the third-type boundary condition) to reproduce groundwater table fluctuations caused by recharge variability in time. The calculated daily recharge showed a decreasing linear trend for the last 20 years (0.05-0.06 mm d[-1]/10 years), and dropping trends in water table level and soil water content in the entire profile of vadose zone. Field tracer experiments were performed to estimate impact of extremely rain events on water flux in vadose zone. The results suggest that tracer travel times are strongly determined by water content in the unsaturated zone which is determined by precipitation amount in span of weeks, rather than extremely high precipitation events.}, } @article {pmid36932861, year = {2023}, author = {Baustian, MM and Liu, B and Moss, LC and Dausman, A and Pahl, JW}, title = {Climate change mitigation potential of Louisiana's coastal area: Current estimates and future projections.}, journal = {Ecological applications : a publication of the Ecological Society of America}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {e2847}, doi = {10.1002/eap.2847}, pmid = {36932861}, issn = {1051-0761}, abstract = {Coastal habitats can play an important role in climate change mitigation. As Louisiana implements its climate action plan and the restoration and risk reduction projects outlined in its 2017 Louisiana Coastal Master Plan, it is critical to consider potential greenhouse gas (GHG) fluxes in coastal habitats. This study estimated the potential climate mitigation role of existing, converted, and restored coastal habitats for years 2005, 2020, 2025, 2030, and 2050, which align with the Governor of Louisiana's GHG reduction targets. An analytical framework was developed that considered 1) available scientific data on net ecosystem carbon balance fluxes per habitat and 2) habitat areas projected from modeling efforts used for the 2017 Louisiana Coastal Master Plan to estimate the net GHG flux of coastal area. The coastal area was estimated as net GHG sinks of -38.4 ± 10.6 and - 43.2 ± 12.0 Tg CO2 equivalents (CO2 e) in 2005 and 2020, respectively. The coastal area was projected to remain a net GHG sink in 2025 and 2030, both with and without implementation of Coastal Master Plan projects (means ranged from -25.3 to -34.2 Tg CO2 e). By 2050, with model-projected wetland loss and conversion of coastal habitats to open water due to coastal erosion and relative sea level rise, Louisiana's coastal area was projected to become a net source of greenhouse gas emissions both with and without the Coastal Master Plan projects. However, at year 2050, Louisiana Coastal Master Plan project implementation was projected to avoid the release of +8.8 ± 1.3 Tg CO2 e compared to an alternative with no action. Reduction in current and future stressors to coastal habitats, including impacts from sea level rise, as well as the implementation of restoration projects could help to ensure coastal areas remain a natural climate solution.}, } @article {pmid36932168, year = {2023}, author = {Colelli, FP and Wing, IS and Cian, E}, title = {Air-conditioning adoption and electricity demand highlight climate change mitigation-adaptation tradeoffs.}, journal = {Scientific reports}, volume = {13}, number = {1}, pages = {4413}, pmid = {36932168}, issn = {2045-2322}, support = {756194/ERC_/European Research Council/International ; }, abstract = {We elucidate mid-century climate change impacts on electricity demand accounting for endogenous adoption of residential air-conditioning (AC) in affluent, cooler countries in Europe, and in poorer, hotter states in India. By 2050, in a high-warming scenario (SSP585) AC prevalence grows twofold in Europe and fourfold in India, reaching around 40% in both regions. We document a mitigation-adaptation tradeoff: AC expansion reduces daily heat exposures by 150 million and 3.8 billion person degree-days (PDDs), but increases annual electricity demand by 34 TWh and 168 TWh in Europe and India, respectively (corresponding to 2% and 15% of today's consumption). The increase in adoption and use of AC would result in an additional 130 MMTCO2, of which 120 MMTCO2 in India alone, if the additional electricity generated were produced with today's power mix. The tradeoff varies geographically and across income groups: a one PDD reduction in heat exposure in Europe versus India necessitates five times more electricity (0.53 kWh vs 0.1 kWh) and two times more emissions (0.16 kgCO[Formula: see text] vs 0.09 kgCO[Formula: see text]), on average. The decomposition of demand drivers offers important insights on how such tradeoff can be moderated through policies promoting technology-based and behavioral-based adaptation strategies.}, } @article {pmid36932162, year = {2023}, author = {Camacho, AM and Perotto-Baldivieso, HL and Tanner, EP and Montemayor, AL and Gless, WA and Exum, J and Yamashita, TJ and Foley, AM and DeYoung, RW and Nelson, SD}, title = {The broad scale impact of climate change on planning aerial wildlife surveys with drone-based thermal cameras.}, journal = {Scientific reports}, volume = {13}, number = {1}, pages = {4455}, pmid = {36932162}, issn = {2045-2322}, abstract = {Helicopters used for aerial wildlife surveys are expensive, dangerous and time consuming. Drones and thermal infrared cameras can detect wildlife, though the ability to detect individuals is dependent on weather conditions. While we have a good understanding of local weather conditions, we do not have a broad-scale assessment of ambient temperature to plan drone wildlife surveys. Climate change will affect our ability to conduct thermal surveys in the future. Our objective was to determine optimal annual and daily time periods to conduct surveys. We present a case study in Texas, (United States of America [USA]) where we acquired and compared average monthly temperature data from 1990 to 2019, hourly temperature data from 2010 to 2019 and projected monthly temperature data from 2021 to 2040 to identify areas where surveys would detect a commonly studied ungulate (white-tailed deer [Odocoileus virginianus]) during sunny or cloudy conditions. Mean temperatures increased when comparing the 1990-2019 to 2010-2019 periods. Mean temperatures above the maximum ambient temperature in which white-tailed deer can be detected increased in 72, 10, 10, and 24 of the 254 Texas counties in June, July, August, and September, respectively. Future climate projections indicate that temperatures above the maximum ambient temperature in which white-tailed deer can be detected will increase in 32, 12, 15, and 47 counties in June, July, August, and September, respectively when comparing 2010-2019 with 2021-2040. This analysis can assist planning, and scheduling thermal drone wildlife surveys across the year and combined with daily data can be efficient to plan drone flights.}, } @article {pmid36931737, year = {2023}, author = {Rodway, GW}, title = {Climate Change in and Around the High Ranges of Asia: Consequences for Human Health.}, journal = {Wilderness & environmental medicine}, volume = {34}, number = {1}, pages = {1-2}, doi = {10.1016/j.wem.2023.02.003}, pmid = {36931737}, issn = {1545-1534}, } @article {pmid36930310, year = {2023}, author = {Li, Q}, title = {Green financing role on climate change-supportive architectural design development: directions for green architectural designs.}, journal = {Environmental science and pollution research international}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {1-14}, pmid = {36930310}, issn = {1614-7499}, abstract = {The purpose of the study is to study the role of green financing in developing climate change supportive architectural design development to shift the modern world towards the idea of green architectural designs. Thus, the research estimated the nexus among green financing, green architectural development, and climate change mitigation by using the unit root analysis technique, co-integration analysis technique, bound-test estimates, auto-regressive distributive lag-error correction modeling (ARDL-ECM) technique to predict different short-run and long-run relationships, and robustness analysis technique. Following the previous study, modeling green financing index and green architectural design index are used to measure the variables. The findings of the study confirmed that green financing has significant role in supporting the climate change induction in architectural design development both in short run and long run. Moreover, green financing supports in promoting green architectural designs. By this, the viability of green financing in climate change that induces architecturally designed building is confirmed. Correspondingly, empirical results have shown that green financing contributes in climate change with 0.66, green infrastructure development with 0.72, and economic development with 0.31. While in long-run, green financing role in changing inside of climate of the architectural design is 0.74, supports in green infrastructure development with 0.67, and holds the 0.29 percent potential of contributing in economic development. These findings are robust with the 0.74 value of F-statistics, 1.89 value of t-statistics, and 110 value of Narayan standard estimate. In last, the study suggested way forward for stakeholders to promote green architectural designs to achieve SDG 8, SDG 11, and SDG 13.}, } @article {pmid36930030, year = {2022}, author = {Turner, G and de'Donato, F and Kovats, S and Hoeben, A and Nordeng, Z}, title = {Implementation of adaptation to climate change in public health in Europe: qualitative thematic analysis.}, journal = {Lancet (London, England)}, volume = {400 Suppl 1}, number = {}, pages = {S81}, doi = {10.1016/S0140-6736(22)02291-7}, pmid = {36930030}, issn = {1474-547X}, abstract = {BACKGROUND: Increasingly, climate change policies are emerging across Europe. Policies addressing adaptation (adjusting the effects of climate change on public health) are being implemented after the COVID-19 pandemic. This study aims to identify issues in climate adaptation implementation for public health and understand the health implications from responses after COVID-19.

METHODS: Key informant interviews were undertaken with decision makers in international, national, and local governments across 20 European countries (Norway, England, Cyprus, Spain, Ireland, Finland, Lithuania, Belgium, the Netherlands, Sweden, Latvia, Italy, Estonia, Austria, Croatia, France, Germany, Hungary, Denmark, and Scotland). A WHO stakeholder analytical framework was followed for developing the interview themes. Participants were recruited if based in European governments, working in public or environmental health, and involved in climate adaptation policy. Participants were recruited through known networks and geographical coverage was obtained (eight per European region). An interview schedule with key themes (barriers, public health agenda, levers, networks, evidence needs, and COVID-19 recovery) was used. Interviews were conducted online, recorded, transcribed, and analysed through Nvivo.

FINDINGS: 32 interviews were completed between June and October, 2021; four international stakeholders, five national-level decision makers, 23 city-level decision makers or network representatives. Most reported inadequate resources for health adaptation implementation (funding, training, and personnel) and the marginal role of health in climate adaptation policy. A key reported challenge was limited departmental cross-collaboration across governance levels, because city-level stakeholders were less aware of the public health role in climate change policy. COVID-19 recovery strategies were not perceived as opportunistic for future adaptation. However, several respondents identified benefits for health system resilience, for example improved emergency planning and disaster management.

INTERPRETATION: Across Europe, there is varied progress in the implementation of climate change and health adaptation. Providing appropriate resource, inter-departmental collaboration, knowledge mobilisation, and multi-level governance support will facilitate climate and health policy implementation. Overcoming these barriers and learning from COVID-19 through strengthened emergency planning and responses to climate events can strengthen UK public health system resilience and beyond.

FUNDING: This project has received part-funding from the Enhancing Belmont Research Action to support EU policy making on climate change and health project, which is part of the EU's Horizon 2020 research and innovation programme (grant agreement number 101003966). The research was part-funded by the National Institute for Health Research Health Protection Research Unit in Environmental Change and Health at the London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine in partnership with Public Health England, the Met Office, and University College London (grant number PHSEZT6210). The views expressed are those of the author(s) and not necessarily those of the NHS, the NIHR, the Department of Health and Social Care or PHE.}, } @article {pmid36924950, year = {2023}, author = {Bethke, K and Kropidłowska, K and Stepnowski, P and Caban, M}, title = {Review of warming and acidification effects to the ecotoxicity of pharmaceuticals on aquatic organisms in the era of climate change.}, journal = {The Science of the total environment}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {162829}, doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2023.162829}, pmid = {36924950}, issn = {1879-1026}, abstract = {An increase in the temperature and the acidification of the aquatic environment are among the many consequences of global warming. Climate change can also negatively affect aquatic organisms indirectly, by altering the toxicity of pollutants. Models of climate change impacts on the distribution, fate and ecotoxicity of persistent pollutants are now available. For pharmaceuticals, however, as new environmental pollutants, there are no predictions on this issue. Therefore, this paper organizes the existing knowledge on the effects of temperature, pH and both stressors combined on the toxicity of pharmaceuticals on aquatic organisms. Besides lethal toxicity, the molecular, physiological and behavioral biomarkers of sub-lethal stress were also assessed. Both acute and chronic toxicity, as well as bioaccumulation, were found to be affected. The direction and magnitude of these changes depend on the specific pharmaceutical, as well as the organism and conditions involved. Unfortunately, the response of organisms was enhanced by combined stressors. We compare the findings with those known for persistent organic pollutants, for which the pH has a relatively low effect on toxicity. The acid-base constant of molecules, as assumed, have an effect on the toxicity change with pH modulation. Studies with bivalves have been were overrepresented, while too little attention was paid to producers. Furthermore, the limited number of pharmaceuticals have been tested, and metabolites skipped altogether. Generally, the effects of warming and acidification were rather indicated than explored, and much more attention needs to be given to the ecotoxicology of pharmaceuticals in climate change conditions.}, } @article {pmid36923961, year = {2023}, author = {García-Portela, L and Maraun, D}, title = {Overstating the effects of anthropogenic climate change? A critical assessment of attribution methods in climate science.}, journal = {European journal for philosophy of science}, volume = {13}, number = {1}, pages = {17}, pmid = {36923961}, issn = {1879-4912}, abstract = {Climate scientists have proposed two methods to link extreme weather events and anthropogenic climate forcing: the probabilistic and the storyline approach. Proponents of the first approach have raised the criticism that the storyline approach could be overstating the role of anthropogenic climate change. This issue has important implications because, in certain contexts, decision-makers might seek to avoid information that overstates the effects of anthropogenic climate change. In this paper, we explore two research questions. First, whether and to what extent the storyline approach overstates the effects of anthropogenic climate change. Second, whether the objections offered against the storyline approach constitute good reasons to prefer the probabilistic approach. Concerning the first question, we show that the storyline approach does not necessarily overstate the effects of climate change, and particularly not for the reasons offered by proponents of the probabilistic approach. Concerning the second question, we show, independently, that the probabilistic approach faces the same or very similar objections to those raised against the storyline approach due to the lack of robustness of climate models and the way events are commonly defined when applying the probabilistic approach. These results suggest that these objections might not constitute good reasons to prefer the probabilistic approach over the storyline approach.}, } @article {pmid36923025, year = {2023}, author = {Huang, P and Zheng, XT and Li, X and Hu, K and Zhou, ZQ}, title = {More complex interactions: Continuing progress in understanding the dynamics of regional climate change under a warming climate.}, journal = {Innovation (Cambridge (Mass.))}, volume = {4}, number = {2}, pages = {100398}, pmid = {36923025}, issn = {2666-6758}, } @article {pmid36922095, year = {2023}, author = {Schneider, A and Atar, D and Agewall, S}, title = {RESPONSE: Climate Change and Health: Challenges, Opportunities, and the Need for Action.}, journal = {Journal of the American College of Cardiology}, volume = {81}, number = {11}, pages = {1130-1132}, doi = {10.1016/j.jacc.2022.10.041}, pmid = {36922095}, issn = {1558-3597}, } @article {pmid36922094, year = {2023}, author = {Khraishah, H and Ganatra, S and Al-Kindi, SG}, title = {Climate Change, Environmental Pollution, and the Role of Cardiologists of the Future.}, journal = {Journal of the American College of Cardiology}, volume = {81}, number = {11}, pages = {1127-1132}, doi = {10.1016/j.jacc.2022.10.040}, pmid = {36922094}, issn = {1558-3597}, } @article {pmid36921561, year = {2023}, author = {Jurgilevich, A and Käyhkö, J and Räsänen, A and Pörsti, S and Lagström, H and Käyhkö, J and Juhola, S}, title = {Factors influencing vulnerability to climate change-related health impacts in cities - A conceptual framework.}, journal = {Environment international}, volume = {173}, number = {}, pages = {107837}, doi = {10.1016/j.envint.2023.107837}, pmid = {36921561}, issn = {1873-6750}, abstract = {Climate change will have adverse impacts on human health, which are amplified in cities. For these impacts, there are direct, indirect, and deferred pathways. The first category is well-studied, while indirect and deferred impacts are not well-understood. Moreover, the factors moderating the impacts have received little attention, although understanding these factors is critical for adaptation. We developed a conceptual framework that shows the pathways of climate impacts on human health, focusing specifically on the factors of urban environment moderating the emergence and severity of these health impacts. Based on the framework and literature review, we illustrate the mechanisms of direct, indirect, and deferred health impact occurrence and the factors that exacerbate or alleviate the severity of these impacts, thus presenting valuable insights for anticipatory adaptation. We conclude that an integrated systemic approach to preventing health risks from climate change can provide co-benefits for adaptation and address multiple health risks. Such an approach should be mainstreamed horizontally to all sectors of urban planning and should account for the spatiotemporal aspects of policy and planning decisions and city complexity.}, } @article {pmid36919472, year = {2023}, author = {Sales, LP and Pires, MM}, title = {Identifying climate change refugia for South American biodiversity.}, journal = {Conservation biology : the journal of the Society for Conservation Biology}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, doi = {10.1111/cobi.14087}, pmid = {36919472}, issn = {1523-1739}, abstract = {Refugia-based conservation strategies offer long-term effectiveness and minimize uncertainty on strategies for climate change adaptation. Here, we use distribution modelling to identify climate change refugia for 617 terrestrial mammals and quantify the role of protected areas in safeguarding these zones across South America. Moist tropical forests located in high-elevation areas with complex topography concentrated the highest local diversity of species refugia, although regionally important refugia centers were also found elsewhere. Andean Amazon forests were revealed as "Anthropocene museums", hosting climate change refugia for more than half the continental species' pool and up to 87 species locally (17×17 km[2] grid cell). The highland zones of the Southern Atlantic Forest also included megadiverse refugia, safeguarding up to 76 species per cell. Almost half of the species that may find refugia in the Atlantic Forest will do so in a single region - the Serra do Mar and Serra do Espinhaço. Most of the refugia highlighted here, however, are not covered by protected areas, which may shelter less than 6% of the total area of climate change refugia, leaving 129 to 237 species with no refugia inside the territorial limits of protected areas of any kind. Those results reveal a dismal scenario on the level of refugia protection in some of the most biodiverse regions of the world. Nonetheless, because refugia areas tend to be located in high-elevation, topographically complex and remote areas, with lower economic pressure, formally protecting them may require a comparatively modest investment. This article is protected by copyright. All rights reserved.}, } @article {pmid36918954, year = {2023}, author = {Ferguson, T and Curtis, R and Fraysse, F and Olds, T and Dumuid, D and Brown, W and Esterman, A and Maher, C}, title = {Weather associations with physical activity, sedentary behaviour and sleep patterns of Australian adults: a longitudinal study with implications for climate change.}, journal = {The international journal of behavioral nutrition and physical activity}, volume = {20}, number = {1}, pages = {30}, pmid = {36918954}, issn = {1479-5868}, abstract = {BACKGROUND: Weather is a potentially important influence on how time is allocated to sleep, sedentary behaviour and physical activity across the 24-h day. Extremes of weather (very hot, cold, windy or wet) can create undesirable, unsafe outdoor environments for exercise or active transport, impact the comfort of sleeping environments, and increase time indoors. This 13-month prospective cohort study explored associations between weather and 24-h movement behaviour patterns.

METHODS: Three hundred sixty-eight adults (mean age 40.2 years, SD 5.9, 56.8% female) from Adelaide, Australia, wore Fitbit Charge 3 activity trackers 24 h a day for 13 months with minute-by-minute data on sleep, sedentary behaviour, light physical activity (LPA), and moderate-to-vigorous physical activity (MVPA) collected remotely. Daily weather data included temperature, rainfall, wind, cloud and sunshine. Multi-level mixed-effects linear regression analyses (one model per outcome) were used.

RESULTS: Ninety thousand eight hundred one days of data were analysed. Sleep was negatively associated with minimum temperature (-12 min/day change across minimum temperature range of 31.2 °C, p = 0.001). Sedentary behaviour was positively associated with minimum temperature (+ 12 min/day, range = 31.2 oC, p = 0.006) and wind speed (+ 10 min/day, range = 36.7 km/h, p< 0.001), and negatively associated with sunshine (-17 min/day, range = 13.9 h, p < 0.001). LPA was positively associated with minimum temperature (+ 11 min/day, range = 31.2 °C, p = 0.002), cloud cover (+ 4 min/day, range = 8 eighths, p = 0.008) and sunshine (+ 17 min/day, range = 13.9 h, p < 0.001), and negatively associated with wind speed (-8 min/day, range = 36.7 km/h, p < 0.001). MVPA was positively associated with sunshine (+ 3 min/day, range = 13.9 h, p < 0.001) and negatively associated with minimum temperature (-13 min/day, range = 31.2 oC, p < 0.001), rainfall (-3 min/day, range = 33.2 mm, p = 0.006) and wind speed (-4 min/day, range = 36.7 km/h, p < 0.001). For maximum temperature, a significant (p < 0.05) curvilinear association was observed with sleep (half-U) and physical activity (inverted-U), where the decrease in sleep duration appeared to slow around 23 °C, LPA peaked at 31 oC and MVPA at 27 °C.

CONCLUSIONS: Generally, adults tended to be less active and more sedentary during extremes of weather and sleep less as temperatures rise. These findings have the potential to inform the timing and content of positive movement behaviour messaging and interventions.

TRIAL REGISTRATION: The study was prospectively registered on the Australian New Zealand Clinical Trial Registry (Trial ID: ACTRN12619001430123).}, } @article {pmid36918722, year = {2023}, author = {DeAngelo, J and Saenz, BT and Arzeno-Soltero, IB and Frieder, CA and Long, MC and Hamman, J and Davis, KA and Davis, SJ}, title = {Author Correction: Economic and biophysical limits to seaweed farming for climate change mitigation.}, journal = {Nature plants}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, doi = {10.1038/s41477-023-01393-1}, pmid = {36918722}, issn = {2055-0278}, } @article {pmid36918577, year = {2023}, author = {Del Ponte, A and Masiliūnas, A and Lim, N}, title = {Information about historical emissions drives the division of climate change mitigation costs.}, journal = {Nature communications}, volume = {14}, number = {1}, pages = {1408}, pmid = {36918577}, issn = {2041-1723}, abstract = {Despite worsening climate change, the international community still disagrees on how to divide the costs of mitigation between developing countries and developed countries, which emitted the bulk of historical carbon emissions. We study this issue using an economic experiment. Specifically, we test how information about historical emissions influences how much participants pay for climate change mitigation. In a four-player game, participants are assigned to lead two fictional countries as members of either the first or the second generation. The first generation produces wealth at the expense of greater carbon emissions. The second generation inherits their predecessor's wealth and negotiates how to split the climate change mitigation costs. Here we show that when the second generation knows that the previous generation created the current wealth and mitigation costs, participants whose predecessor generated more carbon emissions offered to pay more, whereas the successors of low-carbon emitters offered to pay less.}, } @article {pmid36918292, year = {2023}, author = {Dunne, H and Jones, A and Okorie, M}, title = {Combatting climate change using education and training in pharmacology and therapeutics.}, journal = {British journal of clinical pharmacology}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, doi = {10.1111/bcp.15705}, pmid = {36918292}, issn = {1365-2125}, abstract = {The climate crisis has implications for the physical and mental health of people worldwide, while, paradoxically, healthcare itself contributes significant greenhouse gas emissions. Healthcare professionals need to be prepared to both mitigate the impacts of climate change and also manage the health effects of the climate crisis. Widespread adoption of sustainable healthcare models is required, with sustainability-driven improvements in clinical pharmacology intrinsically linked to this. Recognizing that education and training are essential steps to equip medical professionals with the knowledge to face the unprecedented challenges that the climate crisis presents, here, with reference to pharmacology and therapeutics, we discuss how the theme of Education for Sustainable Healthcare (ESH) can be integrated into undergraduate and postgraduate teaching programmes and how barriers to successful implementation can be tackled. We support the use of the Principles of Sustainable Clinical Practice as a framework to guide educational interventions and draw upon examples of our own practice at Brighton and Sussex Medical School where ESH has become a core component of medical education in our undergraduate curriculum.}, } @article {pmid36917602, year = {2023}, author = {Weber, D and McGrail, RK and Carlisle, AE and Harwood, JD and McCulley, RL}, title = {Climate change alters slug abundance but not herbivory in a temperate grassland.}, journal = {PloS one}, volume = {18}, number = {3}, pages = {e0283128}, doi = {10.1371/journal.pone.0283128}, pmid = {36917602}, issn = {1932-6203}, abstract = {Climate change will significantly impact the world's ecosystems, in part by altering species interactions and ecological processes, such as herbivory and plant community dynamics, which may impact forage quality and ecosystem production. Yet relatively few field experimental manipulations assessing all of these parameters have been performed to date. To help fill this knowledge gap, we evaluated the effects of increased temperature (+3°C day and night, year-round) and precipitation (+30% of mean annual rainfall) on slug herbivory and abundance and plant community dynamics biweekly in a pasture located in central Kentucky, U.S.A. Warming increased slug abundance once during the winter, likely due to improving conditions for foraging, whereas warming reduced slug abundance at times in late spring, mid-summer, and early fall (from 62-95% reduction depending on month). We found that warming and increased precipitation did not significantly modify slug herbivory at our site, despite altering slug abundance and affecting plant community composition and forage quality. Climate change will alter seasonal patterns of slug abundance through both direct effects on slug biology and indirect effects mediated by changes in the plant community, suggesting that pasture management practices may have to adapt.}, } @article {pmid36917187, year = {2023}, author = {D'Amato, G and D'Amato, M}, title = {Climate change, air pollution, pollen allergy and extreme atmospheric events.}, journal = {Current opinion in pediatrics}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, doi = {10.1097/MOP.0000000000001237}, pmid = {36917187}, issn = {1531-698X}, abstract = {PURPOSE OF REVIEW: Respiratory allergy correlates strictly with air pollution and climate change. Due to climate change, the atmospheric content of trigger factors such as pollens and moulds increase and induce rhinitis and asthma in sensitized patients with IgE-mediated allergic reactions.Pollen allergy is frequently used to evaluate the relationship between air pollution and allergic respiratory diseases. Pollen allergens trigger the release of immunomodulatory and pro-inflammatory mediators and accelerate the onset of sensitization to respiratory allergens in predisposed children and adults. Lightning storms during pollen seasons can exacerbate respiratory allergy and asthma not only in adults but also in children with pollinosis. In this study, we have focalized the trigger (chemical and biologic) factors of outdoor air pollution.

RECENT FINDINGS: Environmental pollution and climate change have harmful effects on human health, particularly on respiratory system, with frequent impact on social systems.Climate change is characterized by physic meteorological events inducing increase of production and emission of anthropogenic carbon dioxide (CO2) into the atmosphere. Allergenic plants produce more pollen as a response to high atmospheric levels of CO2. Climate change also affects extreme atmospheric events such as heat waves, droughts, thunderstorms, floods, cyclones and hurricanes. These climate events, in particular thunderstorms during pollen seasons, can increase the intensity of asthma attacks in pollinosis patients.

SUMMARY: Climate change has important effects on the start and pathogenetic aspects of hypersensitivity of pollen allergy. Climate change causes an increase in the production of pollen and a change in the aspects increasing their allergenic properties. Through the effects of climate change, plant growth can be altered so that the new pollen produced are modified affecting more the human health. The need for public education and adoption of governmental measures to prevent environmental pollution and climate change are urgent. Efforts to reduce greenhouse gases, chemical and biologic contributors to air pollution are of critical importance. Extreme weather phenomena such as thunderstorms can trigger exacerbations of asthma attacks and need to be prevented with a correct information and therapy.}, } @article {pmid36916733, year = {2023}, author = {Brennan, MM and Herlihy, A and Kelly, S and Lawlor, C and Heavey, L}, title = {Treat Climate Change like the Public Health Emergency it is.}, journal = {Irish medical journal}, volume = {116}, number = {No.1}, pages = {4}, pmid = {36916733}, issn = {0332-3102}, } @article {pmid36915081, year = {2023}, author = {Petrescu-Mag, RM and Petrescu, DC and Ivan, A and Tenter, A}, title = {An intergenerational reading of climate change-health concern nexus: a qualitative study of the Millennials' and Gen Z participants' perceptions.}, journal = {BMC public health}, volume = {23}, number = {1}, pages = {484}, pmid = {36915081}, issn = {1471-2458}, abstract = {BACKGROUND: The study of climate change through a generational lens is meaningful when one considers the distinct attitudes, behaviors, values, and motivations of each generation. Individuals born between 1980 and 1999, referred to as the Millennial Generation (Millennials) and individuals born up to five years before or after 2000, referred to as Generation Z (Gen Z), may differ widely in their views, values, attitudes, and behaviors. This may lead to conflicts between these two cohorts. As Gen Z enters the labor market, their first-level supervisors will be, in many cases, the Millennials, who may view the topic of climate change-health concern nexus very differently than their Gen Z subordinates. Considering the perspectives of each generation may offer insights on how to engage them to act in an environmentally responsible way to counteract climate change effects.

OBJECTIVE: The study reveals similarities and differences in how Millennials and Gen Z perceive the climate change-health concern nexus, which illuminates the understanding of the potential generational conflicts and the critical points where intervention is needed.

METHOD: Interview data from 41 participants were analyzed via thematic analysis using the Quirkos software program. Reporting is in accordance with the COREQ guidelines.

RESULTS: The interview questions elicited responses related to five dimensions: (i) Views of individual and community health; (ii) Knowledge around climate change; (iii) Perceived health impact; (iv) Attitudes towards climate change; (v) Behaviors related to climate change. The findings revealed a set of commonalities and differences in understanding the climate change-health concern nexus between the participants representative of each of the generations examined. One main result is that while most interviewees perceived changes in summer and winter temperatures, they failed to articulate how climate change affected their health.

CONCLUSION: Thematic analysis revealed that the commonalities of views outweigh the differences between the two generations. A relevant remark is that participants can be described rather as "observers" than "players" since they do not tend to see themselves (through their behavior and their contribution) as active participants in the goal to fight climate change. Consequently, both generations undergo what Stephen Gardiner [1] called "intergenerational buck-passing."}, } @article {pmid36914770, year = {2023}, author = {Bagambilana, FR and Rugumamu, WM}, title = {Determinants of Farmers' Adaptation Intent And Adoption of Adaptation Strategies To Climate Change And Variability In Mwanga District, Tanzania.}, journal = {Environmental management}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, pmid = {36914770}, issn = {1432-1009}, abstract = {Pegged on Protection Motivation Theory, a modified socio-cognitive model of private adaptation to climate change and variability was deployed in order to provide a better understanding of the determinants of small-scale farmers' adaptation intent and adoption of adaptation strategies in semi-arid lowlands of Mwanga District. In this regard, adaptation was conceptualized as a two-step process encompassing farmers' perceptions that climate was changing and farmers' response to changes. Basing on a pragmatic philosophy, a cross-sectional sequential explanatory mixed methods research design was deployed. During the first step-process, categorical data were collected through administration of a closed-ended survey questionnaire to 328 household heads. Binary and proportional odds logistic regressions were run through IBM SPSS (Version 20) in order to analyze categorical data for testing nine (9) null hypotheses. Statistically significant results were established when p values were < 0.05 at 95% confidence intervals. During the second step-process, qualitative data were generated through focus group discussions with 30 participants, in-depth interviews with 16 key informants, and participant observations and subjected to iterative thematic content analysis. The findings revealed that income, village's geographical location, farming system, membership to farmer-based group, competitive price for produce, credit, age, education, and extension service positively influenced farmers' adoption of adaptation strategies while workforce and perceived risk of rain on crop yields negatively influenced farmers' adoption of adaptation strategies. Thus, it was concluded that farmers' adaptation intent and adoption of adaptation strategies in the study area were largely explained by objective adaptive capacity rather than cognitive factors.}, } @article {pmid36914628, year = {2023}, author = {Mi, C and Ma, L and Yang, M and Li, X and Meiri, S and Roll, U and Oskyrko, O and Pincheira-Donoso, D and Harvey, LP and Jablonski, D and Safaei-Mahroo, B and Ghaffari, H and Smid, J and Jarvie, S and Kimani, RM and Masroor, R and Kazemi, SM and Nneji, LM and Fokoua, AMT and Tasse Taboue, GC and Bauer, A and Nogueira, C and Meirte, D and Chapple, DG and Das, I and Grismer, L and Avila, LJ and Ribeiro Júnior, MA and Tallowin, OJS and Torres-Carvajal, O and Wagner, P and Ron, SR and Wang, Y and Itescu, Y and Nagy, ZT and Wilcove, DS and Liu, X and Du, W}, title = {Global Protected Areas as refuges for amphibians and reptiles under climate change.}, journal = {Nature communications}, volume = {14}, number = {1}, pages = {1389}, pmid = {36914628}, issn = {2041-1723}, abstract = {Protected Areas (PAs) are the cornerstone of biodiversity conservation. Here, we collated distributional data for >14,000 (~70% of) species of amphibians and reptiles (herpetofauna) to perform a global assessment of the conservation effectiveness of PAs using species distribution models. Our analyses reveal that >91% of herpetofauna species are currently distributed in PAs, and that this proportion will remain unaltered under future climate change. Indeed, loss of species' distributional ranges will be lower inside PAs than outside them. Therefore, the proportion of effectively protected species is predicted to increase. However, over 7.8% of species currently occur outside PAs, and large spatial conservation gaps remain, mainly across tropical and subtropical moist broadleaf forests, and across non-high-income countries. We also predict that more than 300 amphibian and 500 reptile species may go extinct under climate change over the course of the ongoing century. Our study highlights the importance of PAs in providing herpetofauna with refuge from climate change, and suggests ways to optimize PAs to better conserve biodiversity worldwide.}, } @article {pmid36913583, year = {2023}, author = {Jouberton, A and Miles, ES and Shaw, TE and McCarthy, M and Fugger, S and Pellicciotti, F}, title = {Reply to Yang et al.: Global warming and black carbon simultaneously lead to glacier mass decline over the southeastern Tibetan Plateau.}, journal = {Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America}, volume = {120}, number = {12}, pages = {e2301467120}, doi = {10.1073/pnas.2301467120}, pmid = {36913583}, issn = {1091-6490}, } @article {pmid36913312, year = {2023}, author = {Gaston, SA and Singh, R and Jackson, CL}, title = {The Need to Study the Role of Sleep in Climate Change Adaptation, Mitigation, and Resiliency Strategies across the Life Course.}, journal = {Sleep}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, doi = {10.1093/sleep/zsad070}, pmid = {36913312}, issn = {1550-9109}, } @article {pmid36912708, year = {2023}, author = {Choi, SH and Beer, J and Charrow, A}, title = {Climate change and the displaced person: how vectors and climate are changing the landscape of infectious diseases among displaced and migrant populations.}, journal = {International journal of dermatology}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, doi = {10.1111/ijd.16636}, pmid = {36912708}, issn = {1365-4632}, abstract = {BACKGROUND: As the climate crisis grows, so does the global burden of displacement. Displacement, whether a direct or indirect consequence of natural disaster, can lead to dire health sequelae. Skin health is no exception to this, with dermatologic disease being a leading concern reported by those who care for displaced persons. Health professionals who provide dermatologic care for displaced persons benefit from understanding how climate change impacts the global profile of infectious agents.

METHODS: This review was performed using PubMed and Google Scholar. Search terms included climate change, displaced person, internally displaced person, and refugee, as well as searches of infectious disease dermatology and the specific diseases of interest. Case reports, case series, reviews, and original research articles were included in this review. Non-English studies were not included.

RESULTS: In this manuscript several key infectious agents were identified, and we discuss the skin manifestations and impact of climate change on cutaneous leishmaniasis, dengue, chikungunya, zika, malaria, pediculosis, cutaneous larva migrans, cholera, and varicella zoster.

CONCLUSIONS: Climate change plays a significant role in the challenges faced by displaced persons, including their skin health. Among the many consequences of climate change is its altering of the ecological profile of infectious agents and vectors that impact displaced persons. Being familiar with this impact can improve dermatologic care for this vulnerable population.}, } @article {pmid36912581, year = {2023}, author = {Lubin, RE and Edmondson, D and Otto, MW}, title = {Climate change views examined through a behavioral medicine frame: are there potential target mechanisms for change beyond political ideology?.}, journal = {Psychology, health & medicine}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {1-12}, doi = {10.1080/13548506.2023.2185644}, pmid = {36912581}, issn = {1465-3966}, abstract = {The threat of climate change is associated with both profound health consequences and failures by many individuals to take preventive actions. Behavioral science research on health behavior engagement may serve as a lens through which to better understand attitudes associated with the threat of climate change. This study was designed to examine individual differences in attitudinal responses to climate change, understanding the degree to which these responses can be predicted by both political beliefs and more readily modified psychological factors commonly associated with health behavior engagement: locus of control, anxiety sensitivity, delay discounting, and intolerance of uncertainty. Participants (N = 234) were US adults (62% male; 57% Non-Hispanic White; 44% Democrat) who completed an online survey. Stepwise multiple linear regressions examined which variables provided non-redundant prediction in models of climate change beliefs and concerns. In addition to providing support for the role of political affiliation and related ideology in climate change views (9-23% variance), this study underscores the importance of a behavioral health frame in understanding climate change concerns and beliefs. Known risk factors for negative health behaviors - prominently, locus of control, anxiety sensitivity, and delay discounting - contributed strongly to the understanding of these views, accounting for 4-28% of variance. Our findings encourage greater attention to health behavior-related constructs for understanding attitudes relevant to climate change action.}, } @article {pmid36911296, year = {2022}, author = {Atwoli, L and El Adawy, M and Erhabor, GE and Gbakima, AA and Haileamlak, A and Ntumba, JK and Kigera, J and Laybourn-Langton, L and Malaudzi, FM and Mash, R and Muhia, J and Ofori-Adjei, D and Okonofua, F and Rashidian, A and Mohammad, SY and Sidibe, S and Snouber, A and Tumwine, J and Yonga, P and Zakhama, L and Zielinski, C}, title = {COP27 Climate Change Conference: Urgent Action Needed for Africa and the World.}, journal = {Advanced genetics (Hoboken, N.J.)}, volume = {3}, number = {4}, pages = {2200028}, pmid = {36911296}, issn = {2641-6573}, } @article {pmid36911170, year = {2023}, author = {Posocco, L and McNeill, JR}, title = {Climate change: Comparing "green" and "polluting" nation-states.}, journal = {Frontiers in sociology}, volume = {8}, number = {}, pages = {1133333}, pmid = {36911170}, issn = {2297-7775}, abstract = {Some nation-states, i.e., Norway, Sweden, and Denmark, repeatedly score the highest in environmental indicators such as the Environmental Performance Index (EPI) and the Climate Change Performance Index (CCPI). Their cities win environmental awards; they have well-developed recycling systems; they perform well with biodegradable waste; and their citizens show awareness of environmental problems, protesting publicly and even sueing their governing bodies if they don't do the same. For these and other reasons, recent scholarship defined these countries as "exemplary" green nation-states. The question is, which factors pushed them toward the green transition faster than others? And overall, what stops top polluting countries such as China, the United States and Russia from walking the same path? This article attempts to answer these questions by looking at climate change through a theoretical framework based on theories of nationalism and case studies of green nation-states. It compares three of said top polluting countries, China, the United States, and Russia, with "exemplary" green nation-states, and argues that the pace of greener nation-states rests on (1) a tradition of ecologism and environmentalism rooted in the long run, (2) the lock in of "green nationalism," a form of nationalism grounded on sustainability, (3) free and effective environmental movements, (4) inclusivity and welfare, and (5) a sense of national pride in environmental achievements. The available evidence seems to suggest that top polluting nation-states lack one or more of these factors.}, } @article {pmid36910944, year = {2023}, author = {Naguib, HM and Zaki, EG and Abdelsattar, DE and Dhmees, AS and Azab, MA and Elsaeed, SM and Kandil, UF}, title = {Environmentally Friendly Polymer Concrete: Polymer Treatment, Processing, and Investigating Carbon Footprint with Climate Change.}, journal = {ACS omega}, volume = {8}, number = {9}, pages = {8804-8814}, pmid = {36910944}, issn = {2470-1343}, abstract = {Climate change is being currently faced globally; controlling the plastic waste and gas emission is aimed to reduce their hazardous effects. In this work, polyethylene terephthalate (PET) and polyvinyl chloride (PVC) polymer wastes are used as fillers to calcium silicate. Chemical treatment was performed to get the best efficiency of the binder material with the treated PET (TPET) and treated PVC (TPVC). The used silicate, new nonhydraulic dicalcium silicate, was synthesized by sintering. A new environmentally friendly polymer concrete, based on different concentrations of PET-/TPET-/PVC-/TPVC-dicalcium silicate composites, was prepared and cured by carbonation. FTIR analysis confirms that the treatment gave functional groups on the polymer surface; also, the hydrophilicity was increased after treatment. SEM photos show that the treated polymers have a rougher surface, which led to improved attachment with cement. The structures of the prepared and cured cement materials are proved by XRD, FTIR analysis, and SEM, through the change of calcium silicate to carbonate. Carbon footprint is used to analyze the environmental implications of the prepared composites. After the treatment reaction, the TPET-cement and TPVC-cement composites showed improved compression and flexural properties and more stability against water absorption. The novelty arises from recycling this plastic waste in the proposed low-energy dicalcium silicate cement, for the first time, to give improved environmentally friendly composites after converting CO2 gas to carbonates, with the reduced carbon footprint.}, } @article {pmid36910396, year = {2022}, author = {Atwoli, L and Erhabor, GE and Gbakima, AA and Haileamlak, A and Ntumba, JK and Kigera, J and Laybourn-Langton, L and Mash, B and Muhia, J and Mulaudzi, FM and Ofori-Adjei, D and Okonofua, F and Rashidian, A and El-Adawy, M and Sidibé, S and Snouber, A and Tumwine, JK and Yassien, MS and Yonga, P and Zakhama, L and Zielinski, C}, title = {COP27 Climate Change Conference: urgent action needed for Africa and the world.}, journal = {African health sciences}, volume = {22}, number = {3}, pages = {vi-viii}, pmid = {36910396}, issn = {1729-0503}, } @article {pmid36908811, year = {2023}, author = {Pereira Campos, C and Bitar, SDB and Freitas, C}, title = {Uncertainties regarding the natural mortality of fish can increase due global climate change.}, journal = {PeerJ}, volume = {11}, number = {}, pages = {e14989}, pmid = {36908811}, issn = {2167-8359}, abstract = {The increase in temperature resulting from global climate change can directly affect the survival of fish and therefore population parameters such as natural mortality (M). The estimation of this parameter and the understanding of the uncertainties in its estimates are enormous challenges for studies that evaluate fish stocks. In addition, the effects of increases in temperature may be associated with life strategies. Therefore, the fuzzy set theory was used to evaluate the effects of temperature increase on the natural mortality of fish, considering different life strategies. The model showed that the increase in temperature increased the uncertainties in M estimates for all species, regardless of the life strategy. However, opportunistic species present greater uncertainties in estimates of M compared to equilibrium species. The patterns found in uncertainties of M associated with species groupings by life strategies can be used in holistic approaches for the assessment and management of recently exploited fisheries resources or for those with limited biological data.}, } @article {pmid36908379, year = {2022}, author = {D'Amore, C and Grimaldi, P and Ascione, T and Conti, V and Sellitto, C and Franci, G and Kafil, SH and Pagliano, P}, title = {West Nile Virus diffusion in temperate regions and climate change. A systematic review.}, journal = {Le infezioni in medicina}, volume = {31}, number = {1}, pages = {20-30}, pmid = {36908379}, issn = {2532-8689}, abstract = {West Nile virus (WNV) is a member of the Japanese encephalitis serocomplex, which was first described in 1937 as neurotropic virus in Uganda in 1937. Subsequently, WNV was identified in the rest of the old-world and from 1999 in North America. Birds are the primary hosts, and WNV is maintained in a bird-mosquito-bird cycle, with pigs as amplifying hosts and humans and horses as incidental hosts. WNV transmission is warranted by mosquitoes, usually of the Culex spp., with a tendency to spill over when mosquitoes' populations build up. Other types of transmissions have been described in endemic areas, as trough transplanted organs and transfused blood, placenta, maternal milk, and in some occupational settings. WNV infections in North America and Europe are generally reported during the summer and autumn. Extreme climate phenomena and soil degradation are important events which contribute to expansion of mosquito population and consequently to the increasing number of infections. Draught plays a pivotal role as it makes foul water standing in city drains and catch basins richer of organic material. The relationship between global warming and WNV in climate areas is depicted by investigations on 16,298 WNV cases observed in the United States during the period 2001-2005 that showed that a 5°C increase in mean maximum weekly temperature was associated with a 32-50% higher incidence of WNV infection. In Europe, during the 2022 season, an increase of WNV cases was observed in Mediterranean countries where 1,041 cases were reported based on ECDC data. This outbreak can be associated to the climate characteristics reported during this period and to the introduction of a new WNV-1 lineage. In conclusion, current climate change is causing an increase of mosquito circulation that supports the widest spread of some vector-borne virus including WNV diffusion in previously non-permissible areas. This warrant public health measures to control vectors circulation to reduce WNV and to screen blood and organ donations.}, } @article {pmid36907391, year = {2023}, author = {Mesquita, AF and Jesus, F and Gonçalves, FJM and Gonçalves, AMM}, title = {Ecotoxicological and biochemical effects of a binary mixture of pesticides on the marine diatom Thalassiosira weissflogii in a scenario of global warming.}, journal = {The Science of the total environment}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {162737}, doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2023.162737}, pmid = {36907391}, issn = {1879-1026}, abstract = {Under the current scenario of global warming, it is ecologically relevant to understand how increased temperature influences the combined toxicity of pesticides to aquatic species. Hence, this work aims to: a) determine the temperature effect (15 °C, 20 °C and 25 °C) on the toxicity of two pesticides (oxyfluorfen and Copper (Cu)), on the growth of Thalassiosira weissflogii; b) assess whether temperature affects the type of toxicity interaction between these chemicals; and c) assess the temperature effect on biochemical responses (fatty acids (FA) and sugar profiles) of the pesticides on T. weissflogii. Temperature increased the tolerance of the diatoms to the pesticides with EC50 values between 3.176 and 9.929 μg L[-1] for oxyfluorfen and 42.50-230.75 μg L[-1] for Cu, respectively, at 15 °C and 25 °C. The mixtures toxicity was better described by the IA model, but temperature altered the type of deviation from dose ratio (15 °C and 20 °C) to antagonism (25 °C). Temperature, as well as the pesticide concentrations, affected the FA and sugar profiles. Increased temperature increased saturated FA and decreased unsaturated FA; it also affected the sugar profiles with a pronounced minimum at 20 °C. Results highlight effects on the nutritional value of these diatoms, with potential repercussion on food webs.}, } @article {pmid36907078, year = {2023}, author = {Freitas, D and Borges, D and Arenas, F and Pinto, IS and Vale, CG}, title = {Forecasting distributional shifts of Patella spp. in the Northeast Atlantic Ocean, under climate change.}, journal = {Marine environmental research}, volume = {186}, number = {}, pages = {105945}, doi = {10.1016/j.marenvres.2023.105945}, pmid = {36907078}, issn = {1879-0291}, abstract = {Mapping species' geographical distribution is fundamental for understanding current patterns and forecasting future changes. Living on rocky shores along the intertidal zone, limpets are vulnerable to climate change, as their range limits are controlled by seawater temperature. Many works have been studying limpets' potential responses to climate change at local and regional scales. Focusing on four Patella species living on the rocky shores of the Portuguese continental coast, this study aims to predict climate change impacts on their global distribution, while exploring the role of the Portuguese intertidal as potential climate refugia. Ecological niche models combine occurrences and environmental data to identify the drivers of these species' distributions, define their current range, and project to future climate scenarios. The distribution of these limpets was mostly defined by low bathymetry (intertidal) and the seawater temperature. Independent of the climate scenario, all species will gain suitable conditions at the northern distribution edge while losing in the south, yet only the extent of occurrence of P. rustica is expected to contract. Apart from the southern coast, maintenance of suitable conditions for these limpets' occurrence was predicted for the western coast of Portugal. The predicted northward range shift follows the observed pattern observed for many intertidal species. Given the ecosystem role of this species, attention should be given to their southern range limits. Under the current upwelling effect, the Portuguese western coast might constitute thermal refugia for limpets in the future.}, } @article {pmid36906142, year = {2023}, author = {Johnson, DM and Haynes, KJ}, title = {Spatiotemporal dynamics of forest insect populations under climate change.}, journal = {Current opinion in insect science}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {101020}, doi = {10.1016/j.cois.2023.101020}, pmid = {36906142}, issn = {2214-5753}, abstract = {Effects of climate on forest insect populations are complex, often involving drivers that are opposing, nonlinear, and nonadditive. Overall, climate change is driving an increase in outbreaks and range shifts. Links between climate and forest insect dynamics are becoming clearer; however, the underlying mechanisms remain less clear. Climate alters forest insect population dynamics directly through life history, physiology, and voltinism, and indirectly through effects on host trees and natural enemies. Climatic effects on bark beetles, wood-boring insects, and sap suckers are often indirect, through effects on host tree susceptibility, whereas climatic effects on defoliators are comparatively more direct. We recommend process-based approaches to global distribution mapping and population models to identify underlying mechanisms and enable effective management of forest insects.}, } @article {pmid36906057, year = {2023}, author = {Barbosa, H and Soares, AMVM and Pereira, E and Freitas, R}, title = {Are the consequences of lithium in marine clams enhanced by climate change?.}, journal = {Environmental pollution (Barking, Essex : 1987)}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {121416}, doi = {10.1016/j.envpol.2023.121416}, pmid = {36906057}, issn = {1873-6424}, abstract = {Coastal areas, such as estuaries and coastal lagoons, are among the most endangered aquatic ecosystems due to the intense anthropogenic activities occurring in their vicinity. These areas are highly threatened by climate change-related factors as well as pollution, especially due to their limited water exchange. Ocean warming and extreme weather events, such as marine heatwaves and rainy periods, are some of the consequences of climate change, inducing alterations in the abiotic parameters of seawater, namely temperature and salinity, which may affect the organisms as well as the behaviour of some pollutants present in water. Lithium (Li) is an element widely used in several industries, especially in the production of batteries for electronic gadgets and electric vehicles. The demand for its exploitation has been growing drastically and is predicted a large increase in the next years. Inefficient recycling, treatment and disposal results in the release of Li into the aquatic systems, the consequences of which are poorly understood, especially when combined with climate change. Considering that a limited number of studies exist about the impacts of Li on marine species, the present study aimed to assess the effects of temperature rise and salinity changes on the impacts of Li in clams (Venerupis corrugata) collected from the Ria de Aveiro (coastal lagoon, Portugal). Clams were exposed for 14 days to 0 of Li (CTL) and 200 μg/L of Li (Li), both conditions under different climate scenarios: 3 different salinities (20, 30 and 40) at 17 °C (control temperature); and 2 different temperatures (17 and 21 °C) at salinity 30 (control salinity). Bioaccumulation capacity and biochemical alterations regarding metabolism and oxidative stress were investigated. Salinity variations had a higher impact on biochemical responses than temperature increase, even when combined with Li. The combination of Li with low salinity (20) was the most stressful treatment, provoking increased metabolism and activation of detoxification defences, suggesting possible imbalances in coastal ecosystems in response to Li pollution under extreme weather events. These findings may ultimately contribute to implement environmentally protective actions to mitigate Li contamination and preserve marine life.}, } @article {pmid36905992, year = {2023}, author = {Andrianarivo Andriandafiarisoa Ralison Ny, A and Ahsan, N}, title = {Asymmetric impact of transportation on carbon emissions influencing SDGs of climate change.}, journal = {Chemosphere}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {138301}, doi = {10.1016/j.chemosphere.2023.138301}, pmid = {36905992}, issn = {1879-1298}, abstract = {Transportation facilities have expanded globally because of rapid industrialization and economic growth. Transportation involves substantial use of energy therefore strongly linked with environmental pollution. This study intends to explore linkages among transport from air mode, combustible renewable energy and waste, GDP, energy use, oil prices, trade expansion, and carbon releases from airline transport. The data covered in the study ranged from 1971 to 2021. For the empirical analysis, the non-linear autoregressive distributed lag (NARDL) methodology has been applied in order to explore the asymmetric impact of the variables of interest. Prior to this, the augmented Dickey-Fuller (ADF) unit root test is applied whose results demonstrate that variables included in the model contain mixed order of integration. The NARDL estimates show that the "positive shock to air transport and positive and negative shock to energy usage results in the increase of CO2 emissions per capita in the long run. While, a "positive (negative) shock" to renewable energy use and trade expansion reduces (increases) transport-related carbon discharge. The Error Correction Term (ECT) carries a negative sign implying a stability adjustment in the long run. These asymmetric components in our study can be employed in cost-benefit analysis and encompass the environmental repercussions (asymmetric) of government and management actions. The study suggests that the government of Pakistan should promote financing for renewable energy consumption and clean trade expansion to achieve the sustainable development goals (SDGs) objective 13.}, } @article {pmid36900886, year = {2023}, author = {Stankov, U and Filimonau, V and Vujičić, MD and Basarin, B and Carmer, AB and Lazić, L and Hansen, BK and Ćirić Lalić, D and Mujkić, D}, title = {Ready for Action! Destination Climate Change Communication: An Archetypal Branding Approach.}, journal = {International journal of environmental research and public health}, volume = {20}, number = {5}, pages = {}, doi = {10.3390/ijerph20053874}, pmid = {36900886}, issn = {1660-4601}, abstract = {At the destination level, destination branding may coexist with climate change communication. These two communication streams often overlap because they are both designed for large audiences. This poses a risk to the effectiveness of climate change communication and its ability to prompt a desired climate action. The viewpoint paper advocates the use of archetypal branding approach to ground and center climate change communication at a destination level while concurrently maintaining the uniqueness of destination branding. Three archetypes of destinations are distinguished: villains, victims, and heroes. Destinations should refrain from actions that would make them appear to be climate change villains. A balanced approach is further warranted when portraying destinations as victims. Lastly, destinations should aim at assuming the heroic archetypes by excelling in climate change mitigation. The basic mechanisms of the archetypal approach to destination branding are discussed alongside a framework that suggests areas for further practical investigation of climate change communication at a destination level.}, } @article {pmid36899717, year = {2023}, author = {Lu, G and Zhang, X and Li, X and Zhang, S}, title = {Immunity and Growth Plasticity of Asian Short-Toed Lark Nestlings in Response to Changes in Food Conditions: Can It Buffer the Challenge of Climate Change-Induced Trophic Mismatch?.}, journal = {Animals : an open access journal from MDPI}, volume = {13}, number = {5}, pages = {}, doi = {10.3390/ani13050860}, pmid = {36899717}, issn = {2076-2615}, abstract = {Passerine nestlings frequently suffer from sub-optimal food conditions due to climate change-induced trophic mismatch between the nestlings and their optimal food resources. The ability of nestlings to buffer this challenge is less well understood. We hypothesized that poor food conditions might induce a higher immune response and lower growth rate of nestlings, and such physiological plasticity is conducive to nestling survival. To test this, we examined how food (grasshopper nymphs) abundance affects the expression of interferon-γ (IFN-γ), tumor necrosis factor-α (TNF-α), interleukin-1 β (IL-1β) genes, plasma IGF-1 levels, body mass, and fledging rates in wild Asian short-toed lark (Alaudala cheleensis) nestlings. Linear mixed models revealed that nymph biomass significantly influenced the expression of IFN-γ, TNF-α, and IL-1β genes, and the level of plasma IGF-1. The expressions of IFN-γ, TNF-α, and IL-1β genes were negatively correlated with nymph biomass and plasma IGF-1 level. Plasma IGF-1 level, nestling body mass growth rate, was positively correlated with nymph biomass. Despite a positive correlation between the nestling fledge rate and nymph biomass, more than 60% of nestlings fledged when nymph biomass was at the lowest level. These results suggest that immunity and growth plasticity of nestlings may be an adaptation for birds to buffer the negative effects of trophic mismatch.}, } @article {pmid36899712, year = {2023}, author = {Fu, A and Gao, E and Tang, X and Liu, Z and Hu, F and Zhan, Z and Wang, J and Luan, X}, title = {MaxEnt Modeling for Predicting the Potential Wintering Distribution of Eurasian Spoonbill (Platalea leucorodia leucorodia) under Climate Change in China.}, journal = {Animals : an open access journal from MDPI}, volume = {13}, number = {5}, pages = {}, doi = {10.3390/ani13050856}, pmid = {36899712}, issn = {2076-2615}, abstract = {Global climate change has become a trend and is one of the main factors affecting biodiversity patterns and species distributions. Many wild animals adapt to the changing living environment caused by climate change by changing their habitats. Birds are highly sensitive to climate change. Understanding the suitable wintering habitat of the Eurasian Spoonbill (Platalea leucorodia leucorodia) and its response to future climatic change is essential for its protection. In China, it was listed as national grade II key protected wild animal in the adjusted State List of key protected wild animals in 2021, in Near Threatened status. Few studies on the distribution of the wintering Eurasian Spoonbill have been carried out in China. In this study, we simulated the suitable habitat under the current period and modeled the distribution dynamics of the wintering Eurasian Spoonbill in response to climate change under different periods by using the MaxEnt model. Our results showed that the current suitable wintering habitats for the Eurasian Spoonbill are mainly concentrated in the middle and lower reaches of the Yangtze River. Distance from the water, precipitation of the driest quarter, altitude, and mean temperature of the driest quarter contributed the most to the distribution model for the wintering Eurasian Spoonbill, with a cumulative contribution of 85%. Future modeling showed that the suitable distribution of the wintering Eurasian Spoonbill extends to the north as a whole, and the suitable area shows an increasing trend. Our simulation results are helpful in understanding the distribution of the wintering Eurasian Spoonbill under different periods in China and support species conservation.}, } @article {pmid36898237, year = {2023}, author = {Kashyap, R and Kuttippurath, J and Kumar, P}, title = {Browning of vegetation in efficient carbon sink regions of India during the past two decades is driven by climate change and anthropogenic intrusions.}, journal = {Journal of environmental management}, volume = {336}, number = {}, pages = {117655}, doi = {10.1016/j.jenvman.2023.117655}, pmid = {36898237}, issn = {1095-8630}, abstract = {Accurate estimation of carbon cycle is a challenging task owing to the complexity and heterogeneity of ecosystems. Carbon Use Efficiency (CUE) is a metric to define the ability of vegetation to sequester carbon from the atmosphere. It is key to understand the carbon sink and source pathways of ecosystems. Here, we quantify CUE using remote sensing measurements to examine its variability, drivers and underlying mechanisms in India for the period 2000-2019, by applying the principal component analyses (PCA), multiple linear regression (MLR) and causal discovery. Our analysis shows that the forests in the hilly regions (HR) and northeast (NE), and croplands in the western areas of South India (SI) exhibit high (>0.6) CUE. The northwest (NW), Indo-Gangetic plain (IGP) and some areas in Central India (CI) show low (<0.3) CUE. In general, the water availability as soil moisture (SM) and precipitation (P) promote higher CUE, but higher temperature (T) and air organic carbon content (AOCC) reduce CUE. It is found that SM has the strongest relative influence (33%) on CUE, followed by P. Also, SM has a direct causal link with all drivers and CUE; reiterating its importance in driving vegetation carbon dynamics (VCD) for the cropland dominated India. The long-term analysis reveals that the low CUE regions in NW (moisture induced greening) and IGP (irrigation induced agricultural boom) have an increasing trend in productivity (greening). However, the high CUE regions in NE (deforestation and extreme events) and SI (warming induced moisture stress) exhibit a decreasing trend in productivity (browning), which is a great concern. Our study, therefore, provides new insights on the rate of carbon allocation and the need of proper planning for maintaining balance in the terrestrial carbon cycle. This is particularly important in the context of drafting policy decisions for the mitigation of climate change, food security and sustainability.}, } @article {pmid36898187, year = {2023}, author = {Magda, LN and Chan, K and Bin-Hasan, S and Gringras, P}, title = {Endorsement of the International Pediatric Association's declaration on the impact of climate change on children by the International Pediatric Sleep Association and World Sleep Society.}, journal = {Sleep medicine}, volume = {104}, number = {}, pages = {56-57}, doi = {10.1016/j.sleep.2023.01.029}, pmid = {36898187}, issn = {1878-5506}, } @article {pmid36897946, year = {2023}, author = {Zhou, S and Yu, B and Zhang, Y}, title = {Global concurrent climate extremes exacerbated by anthropogenic climate change.}, journal = {Science advances}, volume = {9}, number = {10}, pages = {eabo1638}, doi = {10.1126/sciadv.abo1638}, pmid = {36897946}, issn = {2375-2548}, abstract = {Increases in concurrent climate extremes in different parts of the world threaten the ecosystem and our society. However, spatial patterns of these extremes and their past and future changes remain unclear. Here, we develop a statistical framework to test for spatial dependence and show widespread dependence of temperature and precipitation extremes in observations and model simulations, with more frequent than expected concurrence of extremes around the world. Historical anthropogenic forcing has strengthened the concurrence of temperature extremes over 56% of 946 global paired regions, particularly in the tropics, but has not yet significantly affected concurrent precipitation extremes during 1901-2020. The future high-emissions pathway of SSP585 will substantially amplify the concurrence strength, intensity, and spatial extent for both temperature and precipitation extremes, especially over tropical and boreal regions, while the mitigation pathway of SSP126 can ameliorate the increase in concurrent climate extremes for these high-risk regions. Our findings will inform adaptation strategies to alleviate the impact of future climate extremes.}, } @article {pmid36897640, year = {2023}, author = {Uddin, MM and Abdul Aziz, A and Lovelock, CE}, title = {Importance of mangrove plantations for climate change mitigation in Bangladesh.}, journal = {Global change biology}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, doi = {10.1111/gcb.16674}, pmid = {36897640}, issn = {1365-2486}, abstract = {Mangroves have been identified as blue carbon ecosystems that are natural carbon sinks. In Bangladesh, the establishment of mangrove plantations for coastal protection has occurred since the 1960s, but the plantations may also be a sustainable pathway to enhance carbon sequestration, which can help Bangladesh meet its greenhouse gas (GHG) emission reduction targets, contributing to climate change mitigation. As a part of its Nationally Determined Contribution (NDC) under the Paris Agreement 2016, Bangladesh is committed to limiting the GHG emissions through the expansion of mangrove plantations, but the level of carbon removal that could be achieved through the establishment of plantations has not yet been estimated. The mean ecosystem carbon stock of 5 to 42 years aged (average age: 25.5 years) mangrove plantations was 190.1 (± 30.3) Mg C ha[-1] , with ecosystem carbon stocks varying regionally. The biomass carbon stock was 60.3 (± 5.6) Mg C ha[-1] and the soil carbon stock was 129.8 (± 24.8) Mg C ha[-1] in the top one meter of which 43.9 Mg C ha[-1] was added to the soil after plantation establishment. Plantations at age 5 to 42 years achieved 53% of the mean ecosystem carbon stock calculated for the reference site (Sundarbans natural mangroves). Since 1966, the 28,000 ha of established plantations to the east of the Sundarbans have accumulated approximately 76,607 Mg C yr[-1] sequestration in biomass and 37,542 Mg C yr[-1] sequestration in soils, totaling 114,149 Mg C yr[-1] . Continuation of the current plantation success rate would sequester an additional 664,850 Mg C by 2030, which is 4.4% of Bangladesh's 2030 GHG reduction target from all sectors described in its NDC, however, plantations for climate change mitigation would be most effective 20 years after establishment. Higher levels of investment in mangrove plantations and higher plantation establishment success could contribute up to 2,098,093 Mg C to blue carbon sequestration and climate change mitigation in Bangladesh by 2030.}, } @article {pmid36897509, year = {2023}, author = {Akyol, A and Örücü, ÖK and Arslan, ES and Sarıkaya, AG}, title = {Predicting of the current and future geographical distribution of Laurus nobilis L. under the effects of climate change.}, journal = {Environmental monitoring and assessment}, volume = {195}, number = {4}, pages = {459}, pmid = {36897509}, issn = {1573-2959}, abstract = {Today, climate change affects all living things on earth. It also leads to serious losses in terms of biodiversity, ecosystem services, and human welfare. In this context, Laurus nobilis L. is a very important species for Turkey, and the Mediterranean countries. This research aimed to simulate the current distribution of the suitable habitat for L. nobilis in Turkey and to predict its possible range shifts in future climate scenarios. To predict the geographical distribution of L. nobilis, the study used the maximum-entropy algorithm-based MaxEnt 3.4.1 with seven bioclimatic variables created using the Community Climate System Model 4.0 (CCSM4) and the prediction models RCP4.5-8.5 for the years 2050-2070. The results indicated that the most important bioclimatic variables that shape the distribution of L. nobilis are BIO11-mean temperature of coldest quarter, and BIO7-annual temperature range. Two climate change scenarios predicted that the geographical distribution of L. nobilis would increase slightly and then decrease in the future. However, the spatial change analysis showed that the general geographical distribution area of L. nobilis did not change significantly, but the "moderate," "high," and "very high" suitable habitats changed towards "low" suitable habitats. These changes were particularly effective in Turkey's Mediterranean region, which shows that climate change is instrumental in determining the future of the Mediterranean ecosystem. Therefore, suitability mapping and change analysis of potential future bioclimatic habitats can help in planning for land use, conservation, and ecological restoration of L. nobilis.}, } @article {pmid36897456, year = {2023}, author = {Huang, S and Zhang, W and Hong, Z and Yuan, Y and Tan, Z and Wang, Y and Chen, Z and Zheng, J and Zhang, Z and Zhang, L and Chen, M}, title = {Geographic distribution and impacts of climate change on the suitable habitats of Glycyrrhiza species in China.}, journal = {Environmental science and pollution research international}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, pmid = {36897456}, issn = {1614-7499}, abstract = {Climate change has a major impact on the growth and distribution of plants. Glycyrrhiza is widely used in the treatment of many diseases in China. However, with the overexploitation and the growing demand for medicinal uses in of Glycyrrhiza plants. The investigation of the geographical distribution of Glycyrrhiza plants and the analysis of future climate change are of great significance for the conservation of Glycyrrhiza. In this study, combined with administrative maps of Chinese provinces, the present and future of geographical distribution and richness of six Glycyrrhiza plants in China were studied by using DIVA-GIS and MaxEnt software. A total of 981 herbarium records of these six species of Glycyrrhiza were collected to research. Results show that the change of climate in the future will lead to an increase in habitat suitability for some Glycyrrhiza species as follows: Glycyrrhiza inflata by 61.6%, Glycyrrhiza squamulosa by 47.5%, Glycyrrhiza pallidiflora by 34.0%, Glycyrrhiza yunnanensis by 49.0%, Glycyrrhiza glabra by 51.7%, and Glycyrrhiza aspera by 65.9%. Glycyrrhiza plants have considerable medicinal and economic value, so it is necessary to adopt targeted development and rational management strategies for it.}, } @article {pmid36897442, year = {2023}, author = {Fu, L and Xu, Y and Zhao, D and Wu, B and Xu, Z}, title = {Analysis of coniferous tree growth gradients in relation to regional pollution and climate change in the Miyun Reservoir Basin, China.}, journal = {Environmental science and pollution research international}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, pmid = {36897442}, issn = {1614-7499}, abstract = {Forests play a crucial role in regulating regional climate and mitigating local air pollution, but little is known about their responding to such changes. This study aimed to examine the potential responses of Pinus tabuliformis, the major coniferous tree species in the Miyun Reservoir Basin (MRB), along an air pollution gradient in Beijing. Tree rings were collected along a transect, and ring width (basal area increment, BAI) and chemical characteristics were determined and related to long-term climatic and environmental records. The results showed that Pinus tabuliformis showed an overall increase in intrinsic water-use efficiency (iWUE) at all sites, but the relationships between iWUE and BAI differed among the sites. The contribution of atmospheric CO2 concentration (ca) to tree growth was significant at the remote sites (> 90%). The study found that air pollution at these sites might have caused further stomatal closure, as evidenced by the higher δ[13]C levels (0.5 to 1‰ higher) during heavy pollution periods. The analysis of tree ring δ[15]N also revealed the potential of using δ[15]N to fingerprint major nitrogen (N) deposition, as shown in the increasing tree ring δ[15]N, and major nitrogen losses due to denitrification and leaching, as shown in the higher δ[15]N in tree rings during heavy rainfall events. Overall, the gradient analysis indicated the contributions of increasing ca, increasing water deficit and elevated air pollution to tree growth and forest development. The different BAI trajectories suggested that Pinus tabuliformis has the ability to adapt to the harsh environment in the MRB.}, } @article {pmid36897273, year = {2023}, author = {Mathias, JM and Smith, KR and Lantz, KE and Allen, KT and Wright, MJ and Sabet, A and Anderson-Teixeira, KJ and Thomas, RB}, title = {Differences in leaf gas exchange strategies explain Quercus rubra and Liriodendron tulipifera intrinsic water use efficiency responses to air pollution and climate change.}, journal = {Global change biology}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, doi = {10.1111/gcb.16673}, pmid = {36897273}, issn = {1365-2486}, abstract = {Trees continuously regulate leaf physiology to acquire CO2 while simultaneously avoiding excessive water loss. The balance between these two processes, or water use efficiency (WUE), is fundamentally important to understanding changes in carbon uptake and transpiration from the leaf to the globe under environmental change. While increasing atmospheric CO2 (iCO2) is known to increase tree intrinsic water use efficiency (iWUE), less clear are the additional impacts of climate and acidic air pollution and how they vary by tree species. Here, we couple annually-resolved long-term records of tree ring carbon isotope signatures with leaf physiological measurements of Quercus rubra (Quru) and Liriodendron tulipifera (Litu) at four study locations spanning nearly 100 km in the eastern United States to reconstruct historical iWUE, net photosynthesis (Anet), and stomatal conductance to water (gs) since 1940. We first show 16 - 25% increases in tree iWUE since the mid-20[th] century, primarily driven by iCO2 , but also document the individual and interactive effects of nitrogen (NOx) and sulfur (SO2) air pollution overwhelming climate. We find evidence for Quru leaf gas-exchange being less tightly regulated than Litu through an analysis of isotope-derived leaf internal CO2 (Ci), particularly in wetter, recent years. Modeled estimates of seasonally-integrated Anet and gs revealed a 43 - 50% stimulation of Anet was responsible for increasing iWUE in both tree species throughout 79 - 86% of the chronologies with reductions in gs attributable to the remaining 14 - 21%, building upon a growing body of literature documenting stimulated Anet overwhelming reductions in gs as a primary mechanism of increasing iWUE of trees. Finally, our results underscore the importance of considering air pollution, which remains a major environmental issue in many areas of the world, alongside climate in the interpretation of leaf physiology derived from tree rings.}, } @article {pmid36895654, year = {2023}, author = {Duan, H and Ming, X and Zhang, XB and Sterner, T and Wang, S}, title = {China's adaptive response to climate change through air-conditioning.}, journal = {iScience}, volume = {26}, number = {3}, pages = {106178}, pmid = {36895654}, issn = {2589-0042}, abstract = {Studies have shown that the soaring demand for air conditioners in recent years is closely related to the worsening global warming; however, little evidence has been provided for China. This study uses weekly data of 343 Chinese cities to investigate how air conditioner sales respond to climate variability. We detected a U-shaped relationship between air-conditioning and temperature. An additional day with average temperature above 30°C increases weekly sales by 16.2%. Heterogeneity analysis shows that the adoption of air-conditioning is different for south and north China. By combining our estimates with shared socioeconomic pathway scenarios, we project China's mid-century air conditioner sales and the resulting electricity demand. Under the fossil-fueled development scenario, air conditioner sales in the Pearl River Delta would rise by 71% (65.7%-87.6%) in summer. On average, the per capita electricity demand for air-conditioning will surge by 28% (23.2%-35.4%) in China by mid-century.}, } @article {pmid36895343, year = {2023}, author = {Wubneh, MA and Worku, TA and Chekol, BZ}, title = {Climate change impact on water resources availability in the kiltie watershed, Lake Tana sub-basin, Ethiopia.}, journal = {Heliyon}, volume = {9}, number = {3}, pages = {e13941}, pmid = {36895343}, issn = {2405-8440}, abstract = {Climate change's influence on water resource availability in watersheds must be evaluated to ensure food and water security. Using an ensemble of two global climate models (MIROC and MPI) and one regional climate model (RCA4), the impact of climate change on the availability of water in the Kiltie watershed was evaluated under the RCP4.5 and RCP8.5 scenarios for the year 2040s and 2070s. The flow was simulated using the HBV hydrological model, which needs fewer data and is typically employed in data-scarce settings. The model calibration and validation result, show RVE (relative volume error) of -1.27% and 6.93%, and NSE of 0.63 and 0.64 respectively. Seasonal Water Supply in the Future Under the RCP4.5 Scenario for the 2040s increased between 1.1 mm and 33.2 mm showing maximum incremental in August and a decrease in a range from 0.23 mm to 6.89 mm with a maximum decrease in September. While in the 2070s, water availability increases between 7.2 mm and 56.9 mm, with the largest increases occurring in October and the smallest reductions occurring in July by 9 mm. Future water availability increases under the RCP8.5 scenario during the 2040s period between 4.1 mm and 38.8 mm, with the highest increase occurring in August, and falls between 9.8 mm and 31.2 mm, with the maximum declines occurring in the spring seasons. Water availability in the 2070s, according to the RCP8.5 scenario, increases between 2.7 mm and 42.4 mm with the highest increments in August, and it decreases between 1.8 mm and 80.3 mm with maximum decreases in June. According to this study, climate change would make it easier to access water during the rainy season, necessitating the construction of water storage facilities so that surplus water can be used for dry farming. A watershed-level integrated water resource management strategy should be created quickly as future water supply will decline during the dry seasons.}, } @article {pmid36894073, year = {2023}, author = {Worischka, S and Schöll, F and Winkelmann, C and Petzoldt, T}, title = {Twenty-eight years of ecosystem recovery and destabilisation: Impacts of biological invasions and climate change on a temperate river.}, journal = {The Science of the total environment}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {162678}, doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2023.162678}, pmid = {36894073}, issn = {1879-1026}, abstract = {Most river ecosystems are exposed to multiple anthropogenic stressors affecting the composition and functionality of benthic communities. Identifying main causes and detecting potentially alarming trends in time depends on the availability of long-term monitoring data sets. Our study aimed to improve the knowledge about community effects of multiple stressors that is needed for effective, sustainable management and conservation. We conducted a causal analysis to detect the dominant stressors and hypothesised that multiple stressors, such as climate change and multiple biological invasions, reduce biodiversity and thus endanger ecosystem stability. Using a data set from 1992 to 2019 for the benthic macroinvertebrate community of a 65-km stretch of the upper Elbe river in Germany, we evaluated the effects of alien species, temperature, discharge, phosphorus, pH and abiotic conditional variables on the taxonomic and functional composition of the benthic community and analysed the temporal behaviour of biodiversity metrics. We observed fundamental taxonomic and functional changes in the community, with a shift from collectors/gatherers to filter feeders and feeding opportunists preferring warm temperatures. A partial dbRDA revealed significant effects of temperature and alien species abundance and richness. The occurrence of distinct phases in the development of community metrics suggests a temporally varying impact of different stressors. Taxonomic and functional richness responded more sensitively than the diversity metrics whereas the functional redundancy metric remained unchanged. Especially the last 10-year phase, however, showed a decline in richness metrics and an unsaturated, linear relationship between taxonomic and functional richness, which rather indicates reduced functional redundancy. We conclude that the varying anthropogenic stressors over three decades, mainly biological invasions and climate change, affected the community severely enough to increase its vulnerability to future stressors. Our study highlights the importance of long-term monitoring data and emphasises a careful use of biodiversity metrics, preferably considering also community composition.}, } @article {pmid36893542, year = {2023}, author = {Nourani, V and Ghareh Tapeh, AH and Khodkar, K and Huang, JJ}, title = {Assessing long-term climate change impact on spatiotemporal changes of groundwater level using autoregressive-based and ensemble machine learning models.}, journal = {Journal of environmental management}, volume = {336}, number = {}, pages = {117653}, doi = {10.1016/j.jenvman.2023.117653}, pmid = {36893542}, issn = {1095-8630}, abstract = {To evaluate the long-term climate change impacts on groundwater fluctuations of the Ardabil plain, Iran, a groundwater level (GWL) modeling was proposed in this study. Accordingly, the outputs of Global Climate Models (GCMs) under the sixth report of Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP6) and future scenario of the Shared Socioeconomic Pathway 5-8.5 (SSP5-8.5), were used as climate change forcing to the Machine learning (ML) models. The GCM data were first downscaled and projected for the future via Artificial Neural Networks (ANNs). Based on the results, compared to 2014 (the last year of the base period), the mean annual temperature may increase by 0.8 °C per decade until 2100. On the other hand, the mean precipitation may decrease by about 8% compared to the base period. Then, the centroid wells of clusters were modeled by Feedforward Neural Network (FFNN), examining different input combination sets to simulate both autoregressive and non-autoregressive models. Since each of the ML models can extract different kinds of information from a dataset, after finding the dominant input set via FFNN, GWL time series were modeled via various ML methods. The modeling results indicated that the ensemble of shallow ML models could lead to a 6% more accurate outcome than the individual shallow ML models, and 4% than the deep learning models. Also, the simulation results for future GWLs illustrated that temperature can impact groundwater oscillations directly, whereas precipitation may not have uniform impacts on the GWLs. The uncertainty evolving in the modeling process was quantified and observed to be in acceptable range. Modeling results showed that the main reason for the declining GWL in the Ardabil plain could be primarily linked to the excessive exploitation of the water table, while climate change impact could be also notable.}, } @article {pmid36893538, year = {2023}, author = {Brilli, L and Martin, R and Argenti, G and Bassignana, M and Bindi, M and Bonet, R and Choler, P and Cremonese, E and Della Vedova, M and Dibari, C and Filippa, G and Galvagno, M and Leolini, L and Moriondo, M and Piccot, A and Stendardi, L and Targetti, S and Bellocchi, G}, title = {Uncertainties in the adaptation of alpine pastures to climate change based on remote sensing products and modelling.}, journal = {Journal of environmental management}, volume = {336}, number = {}, pages = {117575}, doi = {10.1016/j.jenvman.2023.117575}, pmid = {36893538}, issn = {1095-8630}, abstract = {Over the last century, the management of pastoral systems has undergone major changes to meet the livelihood needs of alpine communities. Faced with the changes induced by recent global warming, the ecological status of many pastoral systems has seriously deteriorated in the western alpine region. We assessed changes in pasture dynamics by integrating information from remote-sensing products and two process-based models, i.e. the grassland-specific, biogeochemical growth model PaSim and the generic crop-growth model DayCent. Meteorological observations and satellite-derived Normalised Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) trajectories of three pasture macro-types (high, medium and low productivity classes) in two study areas - Parc National des Écrins (PNE) in France and Parco Nazionale Gran Paradiso (PNGP) in Italy - were used as a basis for the model calibration work. The performance of the models was satisfactory in reproducing pasture production dynamics (R[2] = 0.52 to 0.83). Projected changes in alpine pastures due to climate-change impacts and adaptation strategies indicate that: i) the length of the growing season is expected to increase between 15 and 40 days, resulting in changes in the timing and amount of biomass production, ii) summer water stress could limit pasture productivity; iii) earlier onset of grazing could enhance pasture productivity; iv) higher livestock densities could increase the rate of biomass regrowth, but major uncertainties in modelling processes need to be considered; and v) the carbon sequestration potential of pastures could decrease under limited water availability and warming.}, } @article {pmid36893164, year = {2023}, author = {Villa, V and Bermeo, N and Zazzo, A and Lefèvre, C and Béarez, P and Correa, D and Dufour, E and Manin, A and Dausse, L and Gutiérrez, B and Vásquez, S and Christol, A and Bahain, JJ and Goepfert, N}, title = {Settlement dynamics, subsistence economies and climate change during the late Holocene at Nunura Bay (Sechura Desert, Peru): A multiproxy approach.}, journal = {PloS one}, volume = {18}, number = {3}, pages = {e0281545}, doi = {10.1371/journal.pone.0281545}, pmid = {36893164}, issn = {1932-6203}, abstract = {Long considered on the margins, far from the major cultural traditions, the Sechura Desert is situated at the crossroads between the cultures of southern Ecuador and those of the northern Peruvian coast and preserves a large number of varied archaeological sites. Despite this evidence, little is known about the societies that inhabited this region during the Holocene. Exposed to natural hazards, including El Niño events, and to major climatic changes, they were able to adapt and exploit the scarce resources that this extreme environment offered them. Because of this rich history, we have been conducting archaeological research in this region since 2012 in order to clarify the dynamics of human occupation and their links with climate oscillations and environmental changes. This paper present the results of a multidisciplinary study of Huaca Grande, a mound located on Nunura Bay, 300 m from the Pacific Ocean. The nature of the human occupations at Huaca Grande was varied, and several adjustments occurred over time. The subsistence economy was based mainly on local marine resources and a continual use of terrestrial vegetal resources. However, a major change occurred in the more recent occupations, with the apparition of non-local resources (maize and cotton) indicating that Huaca Grande was connected to trade networks. The results show two main phases of occupation separated by a long abandonment (mid-5th century CE to mid-7th century CE and mid-13th century to mid-15th century CE). The occupation of the site appears to have been influenced by changes in the local climate and by extreme El Niño events. Our results highlight the great adaptability of these human groups over the span of a millennium and their capacity to react to the climatic changes and hazards that characterise this region.}, } @article {pmid36890141, year = {2023}, author = {Liang, H and You, F}, title = {Reshoring silicon photovoltaics manufacturing contributes to decarbonization and climate change mitigation.}, journal = {Nature communications}, volume = {14}, number = {1}, pages = {1274}, pmid = {36890141}, issn = {2041-1723}, abstract = {The globalized supply chain for crystalline silicon (c-Si) photovoltaic (PV) panels is increasingly fragile, as the now-mundane freight crisis and other geopolitical risks threaten to postpone major PV projects. Here, we study and report the results of climate change implications of reshoring solar panel manufacturing as a robust and resilient strategy to reduce reliance on foreign PV panel supplies. We project that if the U.S. could fully bring c-Si PV panel manufacturing back home by 2035, the estimated greenhouse gas emissions and energy consumption would be 30% and 13% lower, respectively, than having relied on global imports in 2020, as solar power emerges as a major renewable energy source. If the reshored manufacturing target is achieved by 2050, the climate change and energy impacts would be further reduced by 33% and 17%, compared to the 2020 level. The reshored manufacturing demonstrates significant progress in domestic competitiveness and toward decarbonization goals, and the positive reductions in climate change impacts align with the climate target.}, } @article {pmid36889865, year = {2023}, author = {Henritze, E and Goldman, S and Simon, S and Brown, AD}, title = {Moral injury as an inclusive mental health framework for addressing climate change distress and promoting justice-oriented care.}, journal = {The Lancet. Planetary health}, volume = {7}, number = {3}, pages = {e238-e241}, doi = {10.1016/S2542-5196(22)00335-7}, pmid = {36889865}, issn = {2542-5196}, abstract = {The unequal exposure to clinical conditions and other psychological responses associated with climate change and ecological degradation is due to resource access, geographical location, and other systemic factors. Ecological distress is further determined by values, beliefs, identity presentations, and group affiliations. Current models, such as climate anxiety, have made helpful distinctions between impairment and cognitive-emotional processes but obscure underlying ethical dilemmas and fundamental inequalities, restricting our understanding of accountability and the distress emerging from intergroup dynamics. In this Viewpoint, we argue that the concept of moral injury is essential because it foregrounds social position and ethics. It identifies spectrums of both agency and responsibility (guilt, shame, and anger) and powerlessness (depression, grief, and betrayal). The moral injury framework thus goes beyond an acontextual definition of wellbeing to identify how differential access to political power influences the diversity of psychological responses and conditions related to climate change and ecological degradation. A moral injury lens supports clinicians and policy makers to transform despair and stasis into care and action by delineating both the psychological and structural elements that determine the possibilities (and limits) of individual and community agency.}, } @article {pmid36889409, year = {2023}, author = {Zhao, G and Tian, S and Wang, Y and Liang, R and Li, K}, title = {Quantitative assessment methodology framework of the impact of global climate change on the aquatic habitat of warm-water fish species in rivers.}, journal = {The Science of the total environment}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {162686}, doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2023.162686}, pmid = {36889409}, issn = {1879-1026}, abstract = {Global climate change (GCC), with global warming as the main characteristic, has become a global issue widely concerned by people. GCC impacts the hydrological regime at the watershed scale and affects the hydrodynamic force and the habitat conditions of freshwater ecosystems at the river scale. The impact of GCC on water resources and the water cycle is a research hotspot. However, there are few studies on water environment ecology related to hydrology and the influence of changes in discharge and water temperature on warm-water fish habitats. This study proposes a quantitative assessment methodology framework for predicting and analyzing the impact of GCC on the warm-water fish habitat. This system integrates GCC, downscaling, hydrological, hydrodynamic, water temperature and habitat models and was applied to the middle and lower reaches of the Hanjiang River (MLHR), where there are four major Chinese carps resource reduction problems. The results showed that the calibration and validation of the statistical downscaling model (SDSM) and the hydrological, hydrodynamic, and water temperature models were carried out using the observed meteorological factors, discharge, water level, flow velocity and water temperature data. The change rule of the simulated value was in good agreement with the observed value, and the models and methods used in the quantitative assessment methodology framework were applicable and accurate. The rise of water temperature caused by GCC will ease the problem of low-temperature water in the MLHR, and the weighted usable area (WUA) for spawning of the four major Chinese carps will appear in advance. Meanwhile, the increase in future annual discharge will play a positive role in WUA. In general, the rise in confluence discharge and water temperature caused by GCC will increase WUA, which is beneficial to the spawning ground of four major Chinese carps.}, } @article {pmid36889403, year = {2023}, author = {Sharma, S and Sharma, V and Chatterjee, S}, title = {Contribution of plastic and microplastic to global climate change and their conjoining impacts on the environment - A review.}, journal = {The Science of the total environment}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {162627}, doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2023.162627}, pmid = {36889403}, issn = {1879-1026}, abstract = {Plastics are fossil fuel-derived products. The emissions of greenhouse gases (GHG) during different processes involved in the lifecycle of plastic-related products are a significant threat to the environment as it contributes to global temperature rise. By 2050, a high volume of plastic production will be responsible for up to 13 % of our planet's total carbon budget. The global emissions of GHG and their persistence in the environment have depleted Earth's residual carbon resources and have generated an alarming feedback loop. Each year at least 8 million tonnes of discarded plastics are entering our oceans, creating concerns regarding plastic toxicity on marine biota as they end up in the food chain and ultimately affect human health. The unsuccessful management of plastic waste and its presence on the riverbanks, coastlines, and landscapes leads to the emission of a higher percentage of GHG in the atmosphere. The persistence of microplastics is also a significant threat to the fragile and extreme ecosystem containing diverse life forms with low genetic variation, making them vulnerable to climatic change. In this review, we have categorically discussed the contribution of plastic and plastic waste to global climate change covering the current plastic production and future trends, the types of plastics and plastic materials used globally, plastic lifecycle and GHG emission, and how microplastics become a major threat to ocean carbon sequestration and marine health. The conjoining impact of plastic pollution and climate change on the environment and human health has also been discussed in detail. In the end, we have also discussed some strategies to reduce the climate impact of plastics.}, } @article {pmid36889019, year = {2023}, author = {Lamy, K and Tran, A and Portafaix, T and Leroux, MD and Baldet, T}, title = {Impact of regional climate change on the mosquito vector Aedes albopictus in a tropical island environment: La Réunion.}, journal = {The Science of the total environment}, volume = {875}, number = {}, pages = {162484}, doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2023.162484}, pmid = {36889019}, issn = {1879-1026}, abstract = {The recent expansion of Aedes albopictus across continents in both tropical and temperate regions and the exponential growth of dengue cases over the past 50 years represent a significant risk to human health. Although climate change is not the only factor responsible for the increase and spread of dengue cases worldwide, it might increase the risk of disease transmission at global and regional scale. Here we show that regional and local variations in climate can induce differential impacts on the abundance of Ae. albopictus. We use the instructive example of Réunion Island with its varied climatic and environmental conditions and benefiting from the availability of meteorological, climatic, entomological and epidemiological data. Temperature and precipitation data based on regional climate model simulations (3 km × 3 km) are used as inputs to a mosquito population model for three different climate emission scenarios. Our objective is to study the impact of climate change on the life cycle dynamics of Ae. albopictus in the 2070-2100 time horizon. Our results show the joint influence of temperature and precipitation on Ae. albopictus abundance as a function of elevation and geographical subregion. At low-elevations areas, decreasing precipitation is expected to have a negative impact on environmental carrying capacity and, consequently, on Ae. albopictus abundance. At mid- and high-elevations, decreasing precipitation is expected to be counterbalanced by a significant warming, leading to faster development rates at all life stages, and consequently increasing the abundance of this important dengue vector in 2070-2100.}, } @article {pmid36884328, year = {2023}, author = {Morello-Frosch, R and Obasogie, OK}, title = {The Climate Gap and the Color Line - Racial Health Inequities and Climate Change.}, journal = {The New England journal of medicine}, volume = {388}, number = {10}, pages = {943-949}, doi = {10.1056/NEJMsb2213250}, pmid = {36884328}, issn = {1533-4406}, } @article {pmid36883779, year = {2023}, author = {Ferreira, IJM and Campanharo, WA and Fonseca, MG and Escada, MIS and Nascimento, MT and Villela, DM and Brancalion, P and Magnago, LFS and Anderson, LO and Nagy, L and Aragão, LEOC}, title = {Potential aboveground biomass increase in Brazilian atlantic forest fragments with climate change.}, journal = {Global change biology}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, doi = {10.1111/gcb.16670}, pmid = {36883779}, issn = {1365-2486}, abstract = {Fragmented tropical forest landscapes preserve much of the remaining biodiversity and carbon stocks. Climate change is expected to intensify droughts and increase fire hazard and fire intensities, thereby causing habitat deterioration, and losses of biodiversity and carbon stock losses. Understanding the trajectories that these landscapes may follow under increased climate pressure is imperative for establishing strategies for conservation of biodiversity and ecosystem services. Here, we used a quantitative predictive modelling approach to project the spatial distribution of the above-ground biomass density (AGB) by the end of the 21st century across the Brazilian Atlantic Forest (AF) domain. To develop the models, we used the maximum entropy method with projected climate data to 2100, based on the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) Representative Concentration Pathway (RCP) 4.5 from the fifth Assessment Report (AR5). Our AGB models had a satisfactory performance (AUC> 0.75 and p value <0.05). The models projected a significant increase of 8.5% in the total carbon stock. Overall, the projections indicated that 76.9% of the AF domain would have suitable climatic conditions for increasing biomass by 2100 considering the RCP 4.5 scenario, in the absence of deforestation. Of the existing forest fragments, 34.7% are projected to increase their AGB, while 2.6% are projected to have their AGB reduced by 2100. The regions likely to lose most AGB - up to 40% compared to the baseline - are found between latitudes 13° and 20 ° south. Overall, although climate change effects on AGB vary latitudinally for the 2071-2100 period under the RCP 4.5 scenario, our model indicates that AGB stocks can potentially increase across a large fraction of the AF. The patterns found here are recommended to be taken into consideration during the planning of restoration efforts, as part of climate change mitigation strategies in the AF and elsewhere in Brazil.}, } @article {pmid36880894, year = {2023}, author = {Belgrano, A and Lindmark, M}, title = {Biodiversity transformations in the global ocean: a climate change and conservation management perspective.}, journal = {Global change biology}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, doi = {10.1111/gcb.16665}, pmid = {36880894}, issn = {1365-2486}, } @article {pmid36876093, year = {2023}, author = {Kim, HH and Laufkötter, C and Lovato, T and Doney, SC and Ducklow, HW}, title = {Projected 21st-century changes in marine heterotrophic bacteria under climate change.}, journal = {Frontiers in microbiology}, volume = {14}, number = {}, pages = {1049579}, pmid = {36876093}, issn = {1664-302X}, abstract = {Marine heterotrophic Bacteria (or referred to as bacteria) play an important role in the ocean carbon cycle by utilizing, respiring, and remineralizing organic matter exported from the surface to deep ocean. Here, we investigate the responses of bacteria to climate change using a three-dimensional coupled ocean biogeochemical model with explicit bacterial dynamics as part of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6. First, we assess the credibility of the century-scale projections (2015-2099) of bacterial carbon stock and rates in the upper 100 m layer using skill scores and compilations of the measurements for the contemporary period (1988-2011). Second, we demonstrate that across different climate scenarios, the simulated bacterial biomass trends (2076-2099) are sensitive to the regional trends in temperature and organic carbon stocks. Bacterial carbon biomass declines by 5-10% globally, while it increases by 3-5% in the Southern Ocean where semi-labile dissolved organic carbon (DOC) stocks are relatively low and particle-attached bacteria dominate. While a full analysis of drivers underpinning the simulated changes in all bacterial stock and rates is not possible due to data constraints, we investigate the mechanisms of the changes in DOC uptake rates of free-living bacteria using the first-order Taylor decomposition. The results demonstrate that the increase in semi-labile DOC stocks drives the increase in DOC uptake rates in the Southern Ocean, while the increase in temperature drives the increase in DOC uptake rates in the northern high and low latitudes. Our study provides a systematic analysis of bacteria at global scale and a critical step toward a better understanding of how bacteria affect the functioning of the biological carbon pump and partitioning of organic carbon pools between surface and deep layers.}, } @article {pmid36875405, year = {2023}, author = {Korfanty, G and Heifetz, E and Xu, J}, title = {Assessing thermal adaptation of a global sample of Aspergillus fumigatus: Implications for climate change effects.}, journal = {Frontiers in public health}, volume = {11}, number = {}, pages = {1059238}, pmid = {36875405}, issn = {2296-2565}, mesh = {Humans ; *Aspergillus fumigatus ; *Climate Change ; Canada ; China ; Costa Rica ; }, abstract = {Aspergillus fumigatus is a common environmental mold and a major cause of opportunistic infections in humans. It's distributed among many ecological niches across the globe. A major virulence factor of A. fumigatus is its ability to grow at high temperature. However, at present, little is known about variations among strains in their growth at different temperatures and how their geographic origins may impact such variations. In this study, we analyzed 89 strains from 12 countries (Cameroon, Canada, China, Costa Rica, France, India, Iceland, Ireland, New Zealand, Peru, Saudi Arabia, and USA) representing diverse geographic locations and temperature environments. Each strain was grown at four temperatures and genotyped at nine microsatellite loci. Our analyses revealed a range of growth profiles, with significant variations among strains within individual geographic populations in their growths across the temperatures. No statistically significant association was observed between strain genotypes and their thermal growth profiles. Similarly geographic separation contributed little to differences in thermal adaptations among strains and populations. The combined analyses among genotypes and growth rates at different temperatures in the global sample suggest that most natural populations of A. fumigatus are capable of rapid adaptation to temperature changes. We discuss the implications of our results to the evolution and epidemiology of A. fumigatus under increasing climate change.}, } @article {pmid36874965, year = {2023}, author = {Gonçalves, GSR and Cerqueira, PV and Silva, DP and Gomes, LB and Leão, CF and de Andrade, AFA and Santos, MPD}, title = {Multi-temporal ecological niche modeling for bird conservation in the face of climate change scenarios in Caatinga, Brazil.}, journal = {PeerJ}, volume = {11}, number = {}, pages = {e14882}, pmid = {36874965}, issn = {2167-8359}, abstract = {BACKGROUND: Global shifts in climatic patterns have been recorded over the last decades. Such modifications mainly correspond to increased temperatures and rainfall regime changes, which are becoming more variable and extreme.

METHODS: We aimed to evaluate the impact of future changes in climatic patterns on the distribution of 19 endemic or threatened bird taxa of the Caatinga. We assessed whether current protected areas (PAs) are adequate and whether they will maintain their effectiveness in the future. Also, we identified climatically stable areas that might work as refugia for an array of species.

RESULTS: We observed that 84% and 87% of the bird species of Caatinga analyzed in this study will face high area losses in their predicted range distribution areas in future scenarios (RCP4.5 and RCP8.5, respectively). We also observed that the current PAs in Caatinga are ineffective in protecting these species in both present and future scenarios, even when considering all protection area categories. However, several suitable areas can still be allocated for conservation, where there are vegetation remnants and a high amount of species. Therefore, our study paves a path for conservation actions to mitigate current and future extinctions due to climate change by choosing more suitable protection areas.}, } @article {pmid36873423, year = {2023}, author = {Limaye, VS and Magal, A and Joshi, J and Maji, S and Dutta, P and Rajput, P and Pingle, S and Madan, P and Mukerjee, P and Bano, S and Beig, G and Mavalankar, D and Jaiswal, A and Knowlton, K}, title = {Air quality and health co-benefits of climate change mitigation and adaptation actions by 2030: an interdisciplinary modeling study in Ahmedabad, India.}, journal = {Environmental research, health : ERH}, volume = {1}, number = {2}, pages = {021003}, pmid = {36873423}, issn = {2752-5309}, abstract = {Climate change-driven temperature increases worsen air quality in places where coal combustion powers electricity for air conditioning. Climate solutions that substitute clean and renewable energy in place of polluting coal and promote adaptation to warming through reflective cool roofs can reduce cooling energy demand in buildings, lower power sector carbon emissions, and improve air quality and health. We investigate the air quality and health co-benefits of climate solutions in Ahmedabad, India-a city where air pollution levels exceed national health-based standards-through an interdisciplinary modeling approach. Using a 2018 baseline, we quantify changes in fine particulate matter (PM2.5) air pollution and all-cause mortality in 2030 from increasing renewable energy use (mitigation) and expanding Ahmedabad's cool roofs heat resilience program (adaptation). We apply local demographic and health data and compare a 2030 mitigation and adaptation (M&A) scenario to a 2030 business-as-usual (BAU) scenario (without climate change response actions), each relative to 2018 pollution levels. We estimate that the 2030 BAU scenario results in an increase of PM2.5 air pollution of 4.13 µg m[-3] from 2018 compared to a 0.11 µg m[-3] decline from 2018 under the 2030 M&A scenario. Reduced PM2.5 air pollution under 2030 M&A results in 1216-1414 fewer premature all-cause deaths annually compared to 2030 BAU. Achievement of National Clean Air Programme, National Ambient Air Quality Standards, or World Health Organization annual PM2.5 Air Quality Guideline targets in 2030 results in up to 6510, 9047, or 17 369 fewer annual deaths, respectively, relative to 2030 BAU. This comprehensive modeling method is adaptable to estimate local air quality and health co-benefits in other settings by integrating climate, energy, cooling, land cover, air pollution, and health data. Our findings demonstrate that city-level climate change response policies can achieve substantial air quality and health co-benefits. Such work can inform public discourse on the near-term health benefits of mitigation and adaptation.}, } @article {pmid36872918, year = {2022}, author = {Kandikuppa, S and Gray, C}, title = {Climate Change and Household Debt in Rural India.}, journal = {Climatic change}, volume = {173}, number = {3-4}, pages = {}, pmid = {36872918}, issn = {0165-0009}, abstract = {Climate change and indebtedness have been repeatedly highlighted as major causes of distress for rural households in India. However, despite the close connection between climate conditions and rural livelihoods, there has been little attempt to systematically examine the association between the two. To address this gap, we combine national-level longitudinal data from IHDS, MERRA-2, and the Indian Ministry of Agriculture to study the impact of climate anomalies on household indebtedness across rural India. Using a longitudinal approach that accounts for potential confounders at household, village, and district levels, we find pervasive effects of season-specific, five-year climate anomalies on multiple dimensions of household debt, particularly in arid and semi-arid areas. Most notably, temperature anomalies in the winter cropping season in arid and semi-arid areas are associated with increasing household indebtedness. We further find that climate change interacts with existing socioeconomic differences-caste and landholding in particular-to deepen both the size and the depth of indebtedness for rural households.}, } @article {pmid36872915, year = {2023}, author = {Cubelo, F}, title = {Internationally educated nurses' role in climate change: sustainability and mitigation practices.}, journal = {Public health nursing (Boston, Mass.)}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, doi = {10.1111/phn.13185}, pmid = {36872915}, issn = {1525-1446}, abstract = {BACKGROUND: There are three related factors affecting climate change and its relationship to the migration of IENs: 1) corporate social responsibility; 2) the code of ethics for nurses; and 3) nursing education. As the highest producer of carbon dioxide emissions, the Global North especially the Nordic Region must also consider its climate change responsibilities when recruiting nurses from the Global South.

AIM: The aim of this article is to discuss the factors affecting climate change and its relationship to the migration of IENs, as well as possible solutions to mitigate its impact.

RESULTS: Climate change is impacted indirectly by the movement of internationally educated nurses (IENs). The Nordic countries need to consider checking climate change measures in the sustainability plans for recruitment companies when approving permits allowing the recruitment of nurses.

CONCLUSION: Policymakers and decision-makers need to consider climate change and GHG emissions factors when collaborating with recruitment agencies to recruit IENs from the Global South. International nurse recruitment policies must be ethical, economically sustainable, and planet-centered.}, } @article {pmid36872563, year = {2023}, author = {Baecher, JA and Johnson, SA and Roznik, EA and Scheffers, BR}, title = {Experimental evaluation of how biological invasions and climate change interact to alter the vertical assembly of an amphibian community.}, journal = {The Journal of animal ecology}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, doi = {10.1111/1365-2656.13899}, pmid = {36872563}, issn = {1365-2656}, abstract = {While biotic-abiotic interactions are increasingly documented in nature, a process-based understanding of how such interactions influence community assembly is lacking in the ecological literature. Perhaps the most emblematic and pervasive example of such interactions is the synergistic threat to biodiversity posed by climate change and invasive species. Invasive species often out-compete or prey on native species. Despite this long-standing and widespread issue, little is known about how abiotic conditions, such as climate change, will influence the frequency and severity of negative biotic interactions that threaten the persistence of native fauna. Treefrogs are a globally diverse group of amphibians that climb to complete life-cycle processes, such as foraging and reproduction, as well as to evade predators and competitors, resulting in frog communities that are vertically partitioned. Furthermore, treefrogs adjust their vertical position to maintain optimal body temperature and hydration in response to environmental change. Here, utilizing this model group, we designed a novel experiment to determine how extrinsic abiotic and biotic factors (changes to water availability and an introduced predator, respectively) interact with intrinsic biological traits, such as individual physiology and behaviour, to influence treefrogs' vertical niche. Our study found that treefrogs adjusted their vertical niche through displacement behaviours in accordance with abiotic resources. However, biotic interactions resulted in native treefrogs distancing themselves from abiotic resources to avoid the non-native species. Importantly, under altered abiotic conditions, both native species avoided the non-native species 33 $$ 33 $$ %- 70 % $$ 70\% $$ more than they avoided their native counterpart. Additionally, exposure to the non-native species resulted in native species altering their tree climbing behaviours by 56 % - 78 % $$ 56\%\hbox{--} 78\% $$ and becoming more vertically dynamic to avoid the non-native antagonist. Our experiment determined that vertical niche selection and community interactions were most accurately represented by a biotic-abiotic interaction model, rather than a model that considers these factors to operate in an isolated (singular) or even additive manner. Our study provides evidence that native species may be resilient to interacting disturbances via physiological adaptations to local climate and plasticity in space-use behaviours that mediate the impact of the introduced predator.}, } @article {pmid36871708, year = {2023}, author = {Sapkota, Y and Bargu, S and White, JR}, title = {Temporally-displaced Mississippi River spring flood pulse shows muted aquatic ecosystem response in estuarine waters: A climate change warning for coastal foodwebs.}, journal = {The Science of the total environment}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {162623}, doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2023.162623}, pmid = {36871708}, issn = {1879-1026}, abstract = {Mississippi River water levels typically rise in the early spring after snow melt in the extensive watershed. However, in 2016, warm air temperatures coupled with high precipitation led to a historically early river flood pulse, resulting in the opening of a flood release valve (Bonnet Carré Spillway) in early January to protect the city of New Orleans, Louisiana. The goal of this research was to determine the ecosystem response of this wintertime nutrient flood pulse on the receiving estuarine system and compare it to historical opening responses, which are generally several months later. Nutrients, TSS, and Chl a were measured along a 30 km transect in the Lake Pontchartrain estuary, before, during, and after the river diversion event. In the past, NOx concentrations were quickly reduced to below detection in the estuary in <4 weeks post-event accompanied by a moderate phytoplankton bloom. However, due to seasonal limitations (cold water temperatures and light limitation) during the 2016 event, NOx remained elevated for >2 months post-closure and Chl a values were low, indicating limited assimilation of nutrients into phytoplankton biomass. Consequently, much of the bioavailable nitrogen was denitrified by sediments and dispersed to the coastal ocean over time, limiting the transfer of nutrients into the food web by means of a spring phytoplankton bloom. An increasing warming trend in temperate and polar river watersheds is leading to earlier spring flood pulses, altering the timing of coastal nutrient transport, decoupled from conditions supporting primary production, which could significantly affect coastal food webs.}, } @article {pmid36871610, year = {2023}, author = {Heffernan, ME and Menker, C and Bendelow, A and Smith, TL and Davis, MM}, title = {Parental Concerns about Climate Change in a Major US City.}, journal = {Academic pediatrics}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, doi = {10.1016/j.acap.2023.02.015}, pmid = {36871610}, issn = {1876-2867}, abstract = {OBJECTIVES: To examine climate change concerns among parents in Chicago - a large and diverse urban setting that experiences climate change-related weather events and rising water levels, which have the potential to affect more than 1 million children living in the city.

METHODS: We collected data through the Voices of Child Health in Chicago Parent Panel Survey from May-July 2021. Parents indicated their personal level of worry about climate change, concern about the impact of climate change on themselves and their family, and how well they understood the issue of climate change. Parents also provided demographic information.

RESULTS: Parents reported high levels of concern about climate change in general and specifically about the impact on their family. Logistic regression indicated that parents who were Latine/Hispanic (vs. White) and those who felt they understood climate change well (vs. less well) had higher odds of reporting high levels of concern. Parents with some college (vs. high school education or below) had lower odds of high concern.

CONCLUSIONS: Parents indicated high levels of concern about climate change and its potential impact on their family. These results can help inform pediatricians' discussions with families about child health in the context of a changing climate.}, } @article {pmid36871205, year = {2023}, author = {Heenan, M and Rychetnik, L and Howse, E and Beggs, PJ and Weeramanthri, TS and Armstrong, F and Zhang, Y}, title = {Australia's political engagement on health and climate change: the MJA-Lancet Countdown indicator and implications for the future.}, journal = {The Medical journal of Australia}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, doi = {10.5694/mja2.51857}, pmid = {36871205}, issn = {1326-5377}, } @article {pmid36870720, year = {2023}, author = {Mondal, N}, title = {The resurgence of dengue epidemic and climate change in India.}, journal = {Lancet (London, England)}, volume = {401}, number = {10378}, pages = {727-728}, doi = {10.1016/S0140-6736(23)00226-X}, pmid = {36870720}, issn = {1474-547X}, } @article {pmid36869730, year = {2023}, author = {Zhang, X and Comes, HP and Qiu, Y}, title = {Did Late Quaternary climate change trigger shifts in mating system in temperate plant species of the Sino-Japanese Floristic Region? A commentary on 'Genetic and demographic signatures accompanying the evolution of the selfing syndrome in Daphne kiusiana, an evergreen shrub'.}, journal = {Annals of botany}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, doi = {10.1093/aob/mcad026}, pmid = {36869730}, issn = {1095-8290}, } @article {pmid36869138, year = {2023}, author = {Mohammadi, S and Rydgren, K and Bakkestuen, V and Gillespie, MAK}, title = {Impacts of recent climate change on crop yield can depend on local conditions in climatically diverse regions of Norway.}, journal = {Scientific reports}, volume = {13}, number = {1}, pages = {3633}, pmid = {36869138}, issn = {2045-2322}, abstract = {Globally, climate change greatly impacts the production of major crops, and there have been many attempts to model future yields under warming scenarios in recent years. However, projections of future yields may not be generalisable to all crop growing regions, particularly those with diverse topography and bioclimates. In this study, we demonstrate this by evaluating the links between changes in temperature and precipitation and changes in wheat, barley, and potato yields at the county-level during 1980-2019 in Norway, a Nordic country with a range of climates across a relatively small spatial scale. The results show that the impacts of climate variables on yield vary widely by county, and that for some crops, the strength and direction of the link depends on underlying local bioclimate. In addition, our analysis demonstrates the need for some counties to focus on weather changes during specific crucial months corresponding with certain crop growth stages. Furthermore, due to the local climatic conditions and varying projected climate changes, different production opportunities are likely to occur in each county.}, } @article {pmid36868279, year = {2023}, author = {Uniyal, B and Kosatica, E and Koellner, T}, title = {Spatial and temporal variability of climate change impacts on ecosystem services in small agricultural catchments using the Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT).}, journal = {The Science of the total environment}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {162520}, doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2023.162520}, pmid = {36868279}, issn = {1879-1026}, abstract = {Climate change and anthropogenic activities alter the ecosystem which affects the ecosystem services (ES) associated with it. Therefore, the objective in this study is to quantify the impact of climate change on different regulation and provisioning ecosystem services. For this, we propose a modelling framework to simulate the impact of climate change on streamflow, nitrate loads, erosion, and crop yield in terms of ES indices for two agricultural catchments (Schwesnitz and Schwabach) located in Bavaria, Germany. The agro-hydrologic model Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) is used to simulate the considered ES in past (1990-2019), near future (2030-2059) and far future (2070-2099) climatic conditions. Three different bias-corrected (Representative Concentration Pathway, RCP 2.6, 4.5, and 8.5) climate projections from five different climate models retrieved from the Bavarian State Office for Environment (~5 km) are used in this research to simulate the impact of climate change on ES. The developed SWAT models were calibrated for the major crops (1995 to 2018) present in the respective watersheds as well as for daily streamflow (1995 to 2008), which gave promising results with good PBIAS and Kling-Gupta Efficiency. The impact of climate change on erosion regulation, food and feed provisioning, and water quantity and water quality regulation were quantified in terms of indices. When using the ensemble of the five climate models, no significant impact on ES was seen due to climate change. Furthermore, the impact of climate change on different ES services from the two catchment is different. The findings of this study will be valuable for devising suitable management practices for sustainable water management at the catchment level to cope with climate change.}, } @article {pmid36867183, year = {2023}, author = {Chambers, JE}, title = {From Mourning and Melancholia to Neurobiology in an Era of Global Warming, Pandemic Disease, and Social Chasms: Grief as a Requisite for Change.}, journal = {Psychodynamic psychiatry}, volume = {51}, number = {1}, pages = {45-62}, doi = {10.1521/pdps.2023.51.1.45}, pmid = {36867183}, issn = {2162-2604}, abstract = {We find ourselves in a unique time in history with the confluence of a pandemic, global warming, and social chasms felt throughout the world. In this article, it is suggested that the grieving process is necessary for progress. The article addresses grief from a psychodynamic lens and progresses through the neurobiological changes that occur in the grieving process. The article discusses grief as both a result of and a necessary response to COVID-19, global warming, and social unrest. It is argued that grief is a vital process in order to fully change as a society and move forward. The role of psychiatry, and specifically psychodynamic psychiatry, is integral in paving the way to this new understanding and a new future.}, } @article {pmid36865473, year = {2023}, author = {Gno-Solim Ela, N and Olago, D and Akinyi, AD and Tonnang, HEZ}, title = {Assessment of the effects of climate change on the occurrence of tomato invasive insect pests in Uganda.}, journal = {Heliyon}, volume = {9}, number = {2}, pages = {e13702}, pmid = {36865473}, issn = {2405-8440}, abstract = {The shift in the geographical spread of invasive pests in Africa has rarely been linked directly to climate change. However, it is predicted that environmental changes play a significant role in spreading and expanding pests. The occurrence of new tomato invasive insect pests has been increasing in Uganda during the past century. Assessing the impact of temperature, rainfall, relative humidity, and windspeed on the occurrence of invasive tomato insect pests, gives a better understanding of managing and limiting the bio-invasion process sustainably. We used the Mann Kendall trend Test to establish trends in climate variables from 1981 to 2020 and to document the trend in the occurrence of new invasive pests. The relationship between climate variables and pests occurrence is analyzed using Pearson's correlation and the Generalized Linear Model (GLM-quasi-Poisson) in R-software. The results showed that temperature and windspeed have significantly increased in both Kampala and Namutumba by 0.049 °C, 0.005 m [s-1]and by 0.037 °C, 0.003 m [s-1] per year respectively while in Mbale there was no change in wind speed pattern and a non-significant decrease in temperature. There was an overall rainfall increase in Kampala (p = 0.029) by 0.241 mm, Mbale (p = 0.0011) by 9.804 mm, and Namutumba (p = 0.394) by 0.025 mm. On the other hand, humidity has decreased both in Kampala (p = 0.001) by 13.3% and in Namutumba (p = 0.035) by 13.2% while there was a no significant change in Mbale. The results of GLM showed that each variable, taken individually, had a direct effect on the pests' occurrence in all three districts. However, with all these climate variables taken together, the effect on the pests' occurrence varied with each of the three districts; Kampala, Mbale, and Namutumba. This study demonstrated that pest occurrence is different from one agroecology to another. Our findings suggest that climate change is a driver that favors bio-invasion of tomato invasive insect pests occurrence in Uganda. It calls for awareness to policymakers and stakeholders to consider climate-smart pest management practices and policies to deal with bio-invasion.}, } @article {pmid36860184, year = {2023}, author = {Xin, Y and Yang, Z and Du, Y and Cui, R and Xi, Y and Liu, X}, title = {Vulnerability of protected areas to future climate change, land use modification and biological invasions in China.}, journal = {Ecological applications : a publication of the Ecological Society of America}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {e2831}, doi = {10.1002/eap.2831}, pmid = {36860184}, issn = {1051-0761}, abstract = {Anthropogenic climate change, land use modifications, and alien species invasions are major threats to global biodiversity. Protected areas (PAs) are regarded as the cornerstone of biodiversity conservation, however, few studies have quantified the vulnerability of PAs to these global change factors together. Here, we overlay the risks of climate change, land use change, and alien vertebrate establishment within boundaries of a total of 1,020 PAs with different administrative levels in China to quantify their vulnerabilities. Our results show that 56.6% of PAs will face at least one stress factor, and 21 PAs are threatened under the highest risk with three stressors simultaneously. PAs designed for forest conservation in Southwest and South China are most sensitive to the three global change factors. In addition, wildlife and wetland PAs are predicted to mainly experience climate change and high land use anthropogenetic modifications, and many wildlife PAs can also provide suitable habitats for alien vertebrate establishment. Our study highlights the urgent need for proactive conservation and management planning of Chinese PAs by considering different global change factors together.}, } @article {pmid36858223, year = {2023}, author = {Xu, H and Zhong, T and Chen, Y and Zhang, J}, title = {How to simulate future scenarios of urban stormwater management? A novel framework coupling climate change, urbanization, and green stormwater infrastructure development.}, journal = {The Science of the total environment}, volume = {874}, number = {}, pages = {162399}, doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2023.162399}, pmid = {36858223}, issn = {1879-1026}, abstract = {Climate change, urbanization, and green stormwater infrastructure (GSI) planning policies lead to uncertainties in future urban sustainability. Coupling multiple influencing factors such as climate change, urbanization, and GSI development, this study proposes a novel framework for simulating future scenarios of urban stormwater. Subsequently, the changes in annual surface runoff and runoff pollutants in Shanghai's new and old urban areas were compared and analyzed based on 35 typical future and seven baseline scenarios. The following results were obtained: 1) The runoff control rate of the new urban area was significantly higher than that of the old urban area before GSI construction. After GSI construction, both areas could control stormwater runoff and pollutants, while the decline in efficiency in GSI facilities enormously impacted the old area. 2) Surface runoff in the new urban area was mainly affected by urbanization, while climate change was a major factor in the old urban area; runoff pollutants in new and old urban areas were mainly affected by urbanization, and the change in pollutants in new areas was more pronounced. 3) GSI facilities were unlikely to guarantee the quantity and quality of water resources, especially in scenarios where the efficiency of GSI facilities decreases. In old urban areas, the more extreme climate change and urbanization were, the more significant the effect of improving stormwater management facilities. Our findings showed that future studies on stormwater management should specifically consider the different characteristics of new and old urban regions, pay attention to the maintenance and management of GSI facilities, and build adaptive strategies to cope with climate change, urbanization, and GSI facility destruction.}, } @article {pmid36857389, year = {2023}, author = {Ramadani, L and Khanal, S and Boeckmann, M}, title = {Climate change and health in school-based education: A scoping review protocol.}, journal = {PloS one}, volume = {18}, number = {3}, pages = {e0282431}, pmid = {36857389}, issn = {1932-6203}, abstract = {Taking into account the adverse impacts of climate change on human health, the importance of increasing knowledge and gaining essential skills is necessary to mitigate and adapt to its impacts and protect human health. Researchers and experts are urging for more research in the climate-health nexus, as well as calling for efforts that establish climate and health educational goals. They encourage the development of agreed upon, articulated science-based curricula and resources addressing climate-health issues. This review aims to map out the current state of integration of climate change education in school-based education across the world and identify the human health topics included. Furthermore, it aims to explore the extents to which levels of prevention and health co-benefits of climate mitigation and adaptation are covered within the framework of school-based climate change education. Five electronic databases will be searched for peer reviewed articles in English, from year 2000-to May 2022. The findings from the study will be useful to school curricula developers looking to expand climate change education. This review will also highlight potential research gaps in education on climate change-related health in schools. The scoping review was preregistered with the Open Science Framework [registration DOI: https://doi.org/10.17605/OSF.IO/8U5GK].}, } @article {pmid36856927, year = {2023}, author = {Biswas, SS}, title = {Potential Use of Chat GPT in Global Warming.}, journal = {Annals of biomedical engineering}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, pmid = {36856927}, issn = {1573-9686}, abstract = {Climate change is a major global challenge that requires the integration of many different scientific disciplines, including atmospheric science, oceanography, and ecology. The complexity and scale of the problem require sophisticated tools and techniques to understand, model, and project future climate conditions. Artificial intelligence and natural language processing technologies, such as ChatGPT, have the potential to play a critical role in advancing our understanding of climate change and improving the accuracy of climate projections. ChatGPT can be used in a variety of ways to aid climate research, including in model parameterization, data analysis and interpretation, scenario generation, and model evaluation. This technology provides researchers and policy-makers with a powerful tool for generating and analyzing different climate scenarios based on a wide range of data inputs, and for improving the accuracy of climate projections. The author acknowledges asking chatGPT questions regarding its uses for Climate Change Research. Some of the uses that it states are possible now and some are potentials for the future. The author has analyzed and edited the replies of chat GPT.}, } @article {pmid36854780, year = {2023}, author = {Souza, PGC and Aidoo, OF and Farnezi, PKB and Heve, WK and Júnior, PAS and Picanço, MC and Ninsin, KD and Ablormeti, FK and Shah, MA and Siddiqui, SA and Silva, RS}, title = {Author Correction: Tamarixia radiate global distribution to current and future climate using the climate change experiment (CLIMEX) model.}, journal = {Scientific reports}, volume = {13}, number = {1}, pages = {3397}, doi = {10.1038/s41598-023-30319-2}, pmid = {36854780}, issn = {2045-2322}, } @article {pmid36853937, year = {2023}, author = {Bretter, C and Schulz, F}, title = {Why focusing on "climate change denial" is counterproductive.}, journal = {Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America}, volume = {120}, number = {10}, pages = {e2217716120}, doi = {10.1073/pnas.2217716120}, pmid = {36853937}, issn = {1091-6490}, } @article {pmid36853851, year = {2023}, author = {Liebig, MA and Bergh, EL and Archer, DW}, title = {Variation in methodology obscures clarity of cropland global warming potential estimates.}, journal = {Journal of environmental quality}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, doi = {10.1002/jeq2.20467}, pmid = {36853851}, issn = {1537-2537}, abstract = {Global warming potential (GWP) estimates from agroecosystems are valuable for understanding management effects on climate regulation services. However, GWP estimates are complex, including attributes with high spatiotemporal variability. Published GWP estimates from cropland were compiled and methodological attributes known to influence GWP were extracted. Results revealed considerable variation in approaches to estimate GWP. Among carbon balance methods, respiration methods were used most frequently (33%), followed by soil carbon stock change over time (30%). Twenty six percent of studies did not account for carbon change in GWP estimates. Duration of gas flux measurements ranged from 0.5 to 60 months, with weekly and sub-weekly sampling most common (34 and 33%, respectively). Carbon dioxide equivalent conversion factors generally aligned with IPCC recommendations through 2014 but diverged thereafter. This review suggests the need for increased transparency in how GWP estimates are derived and communicated. Presentation of key metadata alongside GWP estimates are recommended. This article is protected by copyright. All rights reserved.}, } @article {pmid36853687, year = {2023}, author = {Lu, K and Ban, J and Wang, Q and Li, T}, title = {Protocol for estimating exposure to compound heat wave and ozone pollution under future climate change.}, journal = {STAR protocols}, volume = {4}, number = {1}, pages = {102090}, doi = {10.1016/j.xpro.2023.102090}, pmid = {36853687}, issn = {2666-1667}, abstract = {Here we describe the procedure for estimating exposure to the compound heatwave and ozone pollution under future climate scenarios. We first apply the daily-level temperature and ozone concentration across the world and perform bias correction by comparing the distribution of the modeled temperature and ozone concentration to the distribution of historical observation. Then we identify the heatwaves, ozone pollution events, and compound events. Finally, we combine the future exposure and population to identify the high-risk regions and populations. For complete details on the use and execution of this protocol, please refer to Ban et al. (2022).[1].}, } @article {pmid36852379, year = {2023}, author = {Kariuki, T and Omumbo, J and Ciugu, K and Marincola, E}, title = {The interconnected global emergencies of climate change, food security and health: a call to action by the Science for Africa Foundation.}, journal = {Open research Africa}, volume = {6}, number = {}, pages = {1}, pmid = {36852379}, issn = {2752-6925}, abstract = {The evidence is clear that climate change is the greatest challenge facing mankind today. Africa is disproportionately burdened by multiple direct and cascading impacts of the climate crisis. Global investments for climate change adaptation, however, have not prioritized Africa adequately and there is a significant knowledge gap in understanding the context and science of climate change and sustainable solutions for the continent's adaptation. Solutions for adaptation and resilience are made complex by an urgent need for accelerated economic growth, rapid population expansion and urbanization, habitat and biodiversity loss and dwindling financing. There are also challenges in matching policies, wavering commitments and actions with good science that focuses on sustainable lives, livelihoods and ecosystem preservation. The solutions must come from where the impacts are felt. The Science for Africa Foundation supports African researchers and institutions to lead in the science that addresses African priority development areas and has set climate change as a strategic priority. This call to action, by the SFA Foundation, outlines key areas that its strategy addresses through programs that support African scientific excellence, leadership and the best of Africa's research to understand the science of climate change and its impacts; collate and assess evidence for policy; grow high level technical capacity on the continent; and create innovative priority actions for Africa.}, } @article {pmid36852169, year = {2023}, author = {Azeem, S and Cheema, HA and Shahid, A and Al-Mamun, F and Rackimuthu, S and Ur Rehman, ME and Essar, MY and Lee, KY}, title = {Devastating floods in South Asia: The inequitable repercussions of climate change and an urgent appeal for action.}, journal = {Public health in practice (Oxford, England)}, volume = {5}, number = {}, pages = {100365}, pmid = {36852169}, issn = {2666-5352}, } @article {pmid36848574, year = {2023}, author = {Derville, S and Torres, LG and Newsome, SD and Somes, CJ and Valenzuela, LO and Vander Zanden, HB and Baker, CS and Bérubé, M and Busquets-Vass, G and Carlyon, K and Childerhouse, SJ and Constantine, R and Dunshea, G and Flores, PAC and Goldsworthy, SD and Graham, B and Groch, K and Gröcke, DR and Harcourt, R and Hindell, MA and Hulva, P and Jackson, JA and Kennedy, AS and Lundquist, D and Mackay, AI and Neveceralova, P and Oliveira, L and Ott, PH and Palsbøll, PJ and Patenaude, NJ and Rowntree, V and Sironi, M and Vermeuelen, E and Watson, M and Zerbini, AN and Carroll, EL}, title = {Long-term stability in the circumpolar foraging range of a Southern Ocean predator between the eras of whaling and rapid climate change.}, journal = {Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America}, volume = {120}, number = {10}, pages = {e2214035120}, doi = {10.1073/pnas.2214035120}, pmid = {36848574}, issn = {1091-6490}, abstract = {Assessing environmental changes in Southern Ocean ecosystems is difficult due to its remoteness and data sparsity. Monitoring marine predators that respond rapidly to environmental variation may enable us to track anthropogenic effects on ecosystems. Yet, many long-term datasets of marine predators are incomplete because they are spatially constrained and/or track ecosystems already modified by industrial fishing and whaling in the latter half of the 20th century. Here, we assess the contemporary offshore distribution of a wide-ranging marine predator, the southern right whale (SRW, Eubalaena australis), that forages on copepods and krill from ~30°S to the Antarctic ice edge (>60°S). We analyzed carbon and nitrogen isotope values of 1,002 skin samples from six genetically distinct SRW populations using a customized assignment approach that accounts for temporal and spatial variation in the Southern Ocean phytoplankton isoscape. Over the past three decades, SRWs increased their use of mid-latitude foraging grounds in the south Atlantic and southwest (SW) Indian oceans in the late austral summer and autumn and slightly increased their use of high-latitude (>60°S) foraging grounds in the SW Pacific, coincident with observed changes in prey distribution and abundance on a circumpolar scale. Comparing foraging assignments with whaling records since the 18th century showed remarkable stability in use of mid-latitude foraging areas. We attribute this consistency across four centuries to the physical stability of ocean fronts and resulting productivity in mid-latitude ecosystems of the Southern Ocean compared with polar regions that may be more influenced by recent climate change.}, } @article {pmid36847944, year = {2023}, author = {Urhan, B and Hoştut, S and Güdekli, İA and Aydoğan, H}, title = {Climate change and marketing: a bibliometric analysis of research from 1992 to 2022.}, journal = {Environmental science and pollution research international}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, pmid = {36847944}, issn = {1614-7499}, abstract = {Climate change with adverse impacts on the environment, economy, and society requires marketing to change current attitudes and behaviors towards sustainable production and consumption, and thus climate change is interrelated to marketing. However, no body of literature has comprehensively investigated the connections and relationships between climate change and marketing. This study examined such connections and relationships from a bibliometric approach using Web of Science and Scopus databases from 1992 to 2022. The search strategy utilized topic and title/abstract/keyword search. The search query retrieved 1723 documents. VOSviewer and Biblioshiny were utilized to analyze data on authors, keywords, institutions, countries, sources, citations, and co-citations. The findings showed an upward trend in the annual number of publications with the top three most productive countries being the USA, the UK, and Australia and the most productive institutions in the USA, New Zealand, and the UK. The top three author keywords were climate change, sustainability, and marketing. The Sustainability journal ranked first in terms of productivity while Energy Policy in terms of citations. International collaborations were mostly between developed countries also known as Global North Countries, and collaborations between these countries and developing and developed countries should be encouraged. During the COVID-19 pandemic, the number of documents increased, and research themes altered. Research on energy, innovation, insect farming, and carbon management is a top priority. The results proved that most studies were conducted outside the field of marketing.}, } @article {pmid36847615, year = {2023}, author = {Qin, SY and Zuo, ZY and Guo, C and Du, XY and Liu, SY and Yu, XQ and Xiang, XG and Rong, J and Liu, B and Liu, ZF and Ma, PF and Li, DZ}, title = {Phylogenomic insights into the origin and evolutionary history of evergreen broadleaved forests in East Asia under Cenozoic climate change.}, journal = {Molecular ecology}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, doi = {10.1111/mec.16904}, pmid = {36847615}, issn = {1365-294X}, abstract = {The evergreen versus deciduous leaf habit is an important functional trait for adaptation of forest trees and has been hypothesized to be related to the evolutionary processes of the component species under paleoclimatic change, and potentially reflected in the dynamic history of evergreen broadleaved forests (EBLFs) in East Asia. However, knowledge about the shift of evergreen versus deciduous leaf with the impact of paleoclimatic change using genomic data remains rare. Here, we focus on the Litsea complex (Lauraceae), a key lineage with dominant species of EBLFs to gain insights into how evergreen versus deciduous trait shifted, providing insights into the origin and historical dynamics of EBLFs in East Asia under Cenozoic climate change. We reconstructed a robust phylogeny of the Litsea complex using genome-wide single-nucleotide variants (SNVs) with eight clades resolved. Fossil-calibrated analyses, diversification rate shifts, ancestral habit, ecological niche modeling and climate niche reconstruction were employed to estimate its origin and diversification pattern. Taking into accounts of studies on other plant lineages dominating EBLFs of East Asia, it was revealed that the prototype of EBLFs in East Asia probably emerged in the Early Eocene (55-50 Ma), facilitated by the greenhouse warming. As a response to the cooling climate in the Middle to Late Eocene (48-38 Ma), deciduous habits were evolved in the dominant lineages of the EBLFs in East Asia. Up to the Early Miocene (23 Ma), the prevailing of East Asian monsoon increased the extreme seasonal precipitation and accelerated the emergence of evergreen habits of the dominant lineages, and ultimately shaped the vegetation resembling that of today.}, } @article {pmid36847605, year = {2023}, author = {Lee, AS and Aguilera, J and Efobi, JA and Jung, YS and Seastedt, H and Shah, MM and Yang, E and Konvinse, K and Utz, PJ and Sampath, V and Nadeau, KC}, title = {Climate change and public health: The effects of global warming on the risk of allergies and autoimmune diseases: The effects of global warming on the risk of allergies and autoimmune diseases.}, journal = {EMBO reports}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {e56821}, doi = {10.15252/embr.202356821}, pmid = {36847605}, issn = {1469-3178}, support = {R38 HL143615/HL/NHLBI NIH HHS/United States ; }, abstract = {Global climate change and extreme weather events are associated with epigenetic modifications in immune cells, leading to the possible increased risk and prevalence of allergies and autoimmune diseases.}, } @article {pmid36846558, year = {2022}, author = {Atwoli, L and Erhabor, GE and Gbakima, AA and Haileamlak, A and Kayembe Ntumba, JM and Kigera, J and Laybourn-Langton, L and Mash, B and Muhia, J and Mulaudzi, FM and Ofori-Adjei, D and Okonofua, F and Rashidian, A and El-Adawy, M and Sidibé, S and Snouber, A and Tumwine, J and Yassien, MS and Yonga, P and Zakhama, L and Zielinski, C}, title = {COP27 Climate Change Conference: urgent action needed for Africa and the world: Wealthy nations must step up support for Africa and vulnerable countries in addressing past, present and future impacts of climate change.}, journal = {Oxford open immunology}, volume = {3}, number = {1}, pages = {iqac008}, pmid = {36846558}, issn = {2633-6960}, } @article {pmid36844976, year = {2023}, author = {Fahad, S and Nguyen-Anh, T and To-The, N and Nguyen-Thi-Lan, H and Nassani, AA and Haffar, M}, title = {A study evaluating the extrinsic and intrinsic determinants of farmers' adoption of climate change adaptation strategies: A novel approach for improving farmers' health.}, journal = {One health (Amsterdam, Netherlands)}, volume = {16}, number = {}, pages = {100501}, pmid = {36844976}, issn = {2352-7714}, abstract = {Small-scale farmers living in mountainous areas are particularly vulnerable to climate change. Although governments have implemented various support programs and policies to support a range of farmers to tackle climatic changes, there are still several difficulties in the implementation of these adaptation strategies. Using the survey data of 758 small-scale farmers this paper employs Multivariate Probit (MVP) and Poisson regression models to measure the effects of intrinsic and extrinsic factors affecting farmers adaptation decision in rural Vietnam. The results reveal that the extrinsic factors such as annual rainfall variations and farm size motivate farmers' adoption of their adaptations. The findings also reveal that the political connection has a significantly positive impact on the respondents' selection, while government interference such as extension training programs has a negative association with the farmers adaptation choice. Public extension programs should be simultaneously redesigned to support farmers in mitigating the impacts of climate change.}, } @article {pmid36844079, year = {2023}, author = {Adão, F and Campos, JC and Santos, JA and Malheiro, AC and Fraga, H}, title = {Relocation of bioclimatic suitability of Portuguese grapevine varieties under climate change scenarios.}, journal = {Frontiers in plant science}, volume = {14}, number = {}, pages = {974020}, pmid = {36844079}, issn = {1664-462X}, abstract = {INTRODUCTION: Climate change has been driving warming trends and changes in precipitation patterns and regimes throughout Europe. Future projections indicate a continuation of these trends in the next decades. This situation is challenging the sustainability of viniculture and, thus, significant efforts towards adaptation should be then carried out by local winegrowers.

METHOD: Ecological Niche Models were built, using the ensemble modelling approach, to estimate the bioclimatic suitability of four main wine-producing European countries, namely France, Italy, Portugal, and Spain, in the recent past (1989-2005), for the cultivation of twelve Portuguese grape varieties. The models were then used to project the bioclimatic suitability to two future periods (2021- 2050 and 2051-2080) to better understand the potential shifts related to climate change (modeled after Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change's Representative Concentration Pathways 4.5 and 8.5 scenarios). The models were obtained with the modeling platform BIOMOD2, using four bioclimatic indices, namely the "Huglin Index", the "Cool Night index", the "Growing Season Precipitation index", and the "Temperature Range during Ripening index" as predictor variables, as well as the current locations of the chosen grape varieties in Portugal.

RESULTS: All models performed with high statistical accuracy (AUC > 0.9) and were able to discriminate several suitable bioclimatic areas for the different grape varieties, in and around where they are currently located but also in other parts of the study area. The distribution of the bioclimatic suitability changed, however, when looking at future projections. For both climatic scenarios, projected bioclimatic suitability suffered a considerable shift to the north of Spain and France. In some cases, bioclimatic suitability also moved towards areas of higher elevation. Portugal and Italy barely retained any of the initially projected varietal areas. These shifts were mainly due to the overall rise in thermal accumulation and lower accumulated precipitation in the southern regions projected for the future.

CONCLUSION: Ensemble models of Ecological Niche Models were shown to be valid tools for winegrowers who want to adapt to a changing climate. The long-term sustainability of viniculture in southern Europe will most likely have to go through a process of mitigation of the effects of increasing temperatures and decreasing precipitation.}, } @article {pmid36843496, year = {2023}, author = {Jiang, ZW and Ma, L and Mi, CR and Tao, SA and Guo, F and Du, WG}, title = {Distinct responses and range shifts of lizards populations across an elevational gradient under climate change.}, journal = {Global change biology}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, doi = {10.1111/gcb.16656}, pmid = {36843496}, issn = {1365-2486}, abstract = {Ongoing climate change has profoundly affected global biodiversity, but its impacts on populations across elevations remain understudied. Using a mechanistic niche model incorporating species traits, we predicted ecophysiological responses (activity times, oxygen consumption and evaporative water loss) for lizard populations at high-elevation (< 3600 m asl) and extra-high-elevation (> 3600 m asl) under recent (1970-2000) and future (2081-2100) climates. Compared with their high-elevation counterparts, lizards from extra-high-elevations are predicted to experience a greater increase in activity time and oxygen consumption, but a similar increase in evaporative water loss. By integrating these ecophysiological traits into a hybrid species distribution model (HSDM), we were able to make the following predictions under two warming scenarios (SSP1-2.6, SSP5-8.5). By 2081-2100 we predict that lizards at both high- and extra-high-elevations will shift upslope; lizards at extra-high-elevations will gain more and lose less habitat than will their high-elevation congeners. We therefore advocate the conservation of high-elevation species in the context of climate change, especially for those populations living close to their lower elevational range limits. In addition, by comparing the results from HSDM and traditional species distribution models, we highlight the importance of considering intraspecific variation and local adaptation in physiological traits along elevational gradients when forecasting species' future distributions under climate change.}, } @article {pmid36841782, year = {2023}, author = {Greibe Andersen, J and Kallestrup, P and Karekezi, C and Yonga, G and Kraef, C}, title = {Climate change and health risks in Mukuru informal settlement in Nairobi, Kenya - knowledge, attitudes and practices among residents.}, journal = {BMC public health}, volume = {23}, number = {1}, pages = {393}, pmid = {36841782}, issn = {1471-2458}, abstract = {BACKGROUND: Residents of informal settlements in Sub-Sahara Africa (SSA) are vulnerable to the health impacts of climate change. Little is known about the knowledge, attitudes and practices (KAP) of inhabitants of informal settlements in SSA regarding climate change and its health impacts. The aim of this study was to investigate how inhabitants of an informal settlement in SSA experience climate change and its health impacts and assess related knowledge, attitudes and practices. The study was conducted in Mukuru informal settlement in Nairobi City County, Kenya.

METHODS: A cross-sectional study was conducted in September 2021 using a structured, semi-closed KAP questionnaire. Inclusion criteria were ≥ 18 years of age and living in one of the three main sections in Mukuru: Kwa Njenga, Kwa Reuben or Viwandani. By spinning a pen at the geographic centre of each section, a random direction was selected. Then, in every second household one individual was interviewed, creating a representative mix of ages and genders of the local community. To assess participant characteristics associated with climate change knowledge multivariable logistic regression was used. Thematic content analysis was performed for qualitative responses.

RESULTS: Out of 402 study participants, 76.4% (n = 307) had heard of climate change before the interview, 90.8% (n = 365) reported that climate change was affecting their community, and 92.6% (n = 372) were concerned with the health-related impact of climate change. Having lived in Mukuru for more than 10 years and living in a dwelling close to the riverside were factors significantly associated with having heard of climate change before (aOR 3.1, 95%CI 1.7 - 5.8 and aOR 2.6, 95%CI 1.1 - 6.1, respectively) and experiencing a climate change related impact on the community (aOR 10.7, 95%CI 4.0 - 28.4 and aOR 7.7; 95%CI 1.7 - 34.0, respectively). Chronic respiratory conditions, vector-borne diseases, including infectious diarrhoea, malnutrition and cardiovascular diseases were identified by respondents as climate related health risks.

CONCLUSIONS: Most respondents were knowledgeable about climate change and were experiencing its (health-related) impact on their community. This study provides insights which may prove useful for policy makers, intervention planners and researchers to work on locally adapted mitigation and adaption strategies.}, } @article {pmid36841730, year = {2023}, author = {Li, Y and Hou, Z and Zhang, L and Song, C and Piao, S and Lin, J and Peng, S and Fang, K and Yang, J and Qu, Y and Wang, Y and Li, J and Li, R and Yao, X}, title = {Rapid expansion of wetlands on the Central Tibetan Plateau by global warming and El Niño.}, journal = {Science bulletin}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, doi = {10.1016/j.scib.2023.02.021}, pmid = {36841730}, issn = {2095-9281}, } @article {pmid36841729, year = {2023}, author = {Jia, B and Wang, L and Xie, Z}, title = {Increasing lake water storage on the Inner Tibetan Plateau under climate change.}, journal = {Science bulletin}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, doi = {10.1016/j.scib.2023.02.018}, pmid = {36841729}, issn = {2095-9281}, } @article {pmid36840227, year = {2023}, author = {Marteau, A and Fourmaux, M and Mevy, JP}, title = {The Role of Gorse (Ulex parviflorus Pourr. Scrubs) in a Mediterranean Shrubland Undergoing Climate Change: Approach by Hyperspectral Measurements.}, journal = {Plants (Basel, Switzerland)}, volume = {12}, number = {4}, pages = {}, doi = {10.3390/plants12040879}, pmid = {36840227}, issn = {2223-7747}, abstract = {The goal of this study was to observe the neighbor effect of Gorse, a plant of the Fabaceae family, on three typical species of Mediterranean shrubland: kermes oak, white Cistus and rosemary. For this purpose, a hyperspectral analysis and the application of vegetation indices (VIs) were carried out. We provide the spectral signature of Gorse, which differs mainly from that of its companion species in the band between 700 and 1350 nm. This supposed Gorse effect was tested in natural conditions and in conditions of forced drought to simulate the effects of the climate change predicted for the Mediterranean Basin. Field spectrometry demonstrated the existence of such interactions between the four species. In control stands, the presence of Gorse significantly modifies the spectral responses of kermes, white Cistus and rosemary, mainly in the near-infrared region (700-1350 nm). Both tri- and tetra-specific plant assemblages also exhibited spectral changes, suggesting an indirect effect of Gorse. Under drought conditions, one-way ANOVA followed by Fisher's LSD test led us to identify the features involved in plants' coexistence with Gorse. The Cistus albidus reflectance spectrum was clearly increased in the presence of Gorse in rain-exclusion conditions. The application of several VIs allowed us to extract new information on the variation of spectral signatures. Unexpectedly, nitrogen supply by Gorse was not shown, except for Cistus, as shown by the VI NDVI (N) analysis. However, this study proved that Gorse can modify the behavior of its companion species in controls, but also in drought conditions, by increasing their photosynthesis activity (NIRvP) and water content (ratio R975/R900). Gorse therefore appears as a key species in the ecosystem of the Mediterranean shrubland, but its high vulnerability to drought leaves a vacant ecological niche in plant communities. While the spectral reflectance increases linearly with the specific richness in the lack of any disturbance, by contrast, climate aridification imposes a double reciprocal profile. This clearly means that multispecific plant communities cope better with climate change. Nevertheless, knowledge of the underlying mechanisms requires further structural, chemical, and biochemical investigation.}, } @article {pmid36840215, year = {2023}, author = {Pulvento, C and Bazile, D}, title = {Worldwide Evaluations of Quinoa-Biodiversity and Food Security under Climate Change Pressures: Advances and Perspectives.}, journal = {Plants (Basel, Switzerland)}, volume = {12}, number = {4}, pages = {}, doi = {10.3390/plants12040868}, pmid = {36840215}, issn = {2223-7747}, abstract = {Quinoa (Chenopodium quinoa Willd [...].}, } @article {pmid36840065, year = {2023}, author = {Shen, L and Deng, H and Zhang, G and Ma, A and Mo, X}, title = {Effect of Climate Change on the Potentially Suitable Distribution Pattern of Castanopsis hystrix Miq. in China.}, journal = {Plants (Basel, Switzerland)}, volume = {12}, number = {4}, pages = {}, doi = {10.3390/plants12040717}, pmid = {36840065}, issn = {2223-7747}, abstract = {Climate warming poses a great threat to ecosystems worldwide, which significantly affects the geographical distribution and suitable growth area of species. Taking Castanopsis hystrix Miq. as the research object, the potentially suitable cultivation regions under present and future climatic emission scenarios in China were predicted based on the MaxEnt model with 360 effective individual distributions and eight environmental variables. The min temperature of coldest month (bio6), precipitation of driest month (bio14), and precipitation of warmest quarter (bio18) are three leading factors affecting the geographical distribution area of C. hystrix Miq. The suitable cultivation regions of C. hystrix Miq. range from 18°-34° N, 89°-122° E in central and southern China and cover an area of 261.95 × 10[4] km[2]. The spatial pattern of C. hystrix Miq. will migrate to the southern region of low latitudes with a decreasing suitable area when in ssp1-2.6, and to the southwestern region of low latitudes or expand to the northeast region at high latitudes in ssp5-8.5, with an increasing suitable area; no significant change on the spatial pattern in ssp2-2.4. For ssp1-2.6 or ssp2-4.5 climate scenarios, the southern region of high latitudes will be appropriate for introducing and cultivating C. hystrix Miq., and the cultivation area will increase. For ssp5-8.5, its cultivation will increase and expand to the northeast of high-latitude areas slightly.}, } @article {pmid36835704, year = {2023}, author = {Zhao, M and Duan, Q and Shen, X and Zhang, S}, title = {Climate Change Influences the Population Density and Suitable Area of Hippotiscus dorsalis (Hemiptera: Pentatomidae) in China.}, journal = {Insects}, volume = {14}, number = {2}, pages = {}, doi = {10.3390/insects14020135}, pmid = {36835704}, issn = {2075-4450}, abstract = {Hippotiscus dorsalis is the main pest of Phyllostachys edulis in South China. The relationship between climate change and outbreak of H. dorsalis, and the current and future distribution of H. dorsalis are unknown. This study aimed to confirm the effect of climate on population density and the attacked bamboo rate of H. dorsalis, using field survey data from 2005 to 2013 in Huzhou, Zhejiang Province, and to reveal the potential distribution of H. dorsalis under current and future climate conditions using the MaxEnt model. The damage investigation and distribution forecast revealed the following: (1) The mean monthly temperature and maximum temperatures were main factors affecting the population density and the attacked bamboo rate in April in the Anji county of Zhejiang Province; they are all significantly and positively correlated. (2) High suitable area will significantly expand in Anhui and Jiangxi Provinces under the future climate circumstances, and the total suitable area will present a decrease because of the precipitation restriction. The significant expansion of high suitable area in the Anhui and Jiangxi Provinces under future climate circumstances means that the affected provinces will face even greater challenges. These findings provide a theoretical basis for the early forecasting and monitoring of pest outbreaks.}, } @article {pmid36834330, year = {2023}, author = {Nezlek, JB and Cypryańska, M}, title = {Prosociality and Personality: Perceived Efficacy of Behaviors Mediates Relationships between Personality and Self-Reported Climate Change Mitigation Behavior.}, journal = {International journal of environmental research and public health}, volume = {20}, number = {4}, pages = {}, doi = {10.3390/ijerph20043637}, pmid = {36834330}, issn = {1660-4601}, abstract = {The included studies examined the relationship between climate change mitigation behavior (CCB) and personality. In Study 1, 1089 US collegians completed a measure of the Big Five and indicated how often they engaged in five CCBs. Engaging in each CCB was regressed on the Big Five. These analyses found openness was positively related to all five CCBs, neuroticism was positively related to four of five CCBs, and extraversion was positively related to three CCBs. In Study 2, 1688 US collegians completed the same measures as in Study 1 with two additional CCBs. They also indicated how efficacious they thought each CCB was. Each CCB was regressed on the Big Five. These results largely replicated those of Study 1 and also found that conscientiousness was positively related to five of seven CCBs. Mediational analyses found that all relationships between personality factors and CCB were mediated by the perceived efficacy of the CCB. The present results suggest that efforts to increase climate change mitigation behavior need to take into account the perceived efficacy of such behaviors.}, } @article {pmid36834118, year = {2023}, author = {Khine, MM and Langkulsen, U}, title = {The Implications of Climate Change on Health among Vulnerable Populations in South Africa: A Systematic Review.}, journal = {International journal of environmental research and public health}, volume = {20}, number = {4}, pages = {}, doi = {10.3390/ijerph20043425}, pmid = {36834118}, issn = {1660-4601}, abstract = {Climate change poses numerous threats to human life, including physical and mental health, the environment, housing, food security, and economic growth. People who already experience multidimensional poverty with the disparity in social, political, economic, historical, and environmental contexts are more vulnerable to these impacts. The study aims to identify the role of climate change in increasing multidimensional inequalities among vulnerable populations and analyze the strengths and limitations of South Africa's National Climate Change Adaptation Strategy. A systematic review was applied, and literature from Google, Google Scholar, and PubMed, as well as relevant gray literature from 2014-2022 were reviewed. Out of 854 identified sources, 24 were included in the review. Climate change has exacerbated multidimensional inequalities among vulnerable populations in South Africa. Though the National Climate Change Adaptation Strategy has paid attention to health issues and the needs of vulnerable groups, the adaptation measures appear to focus less on mental and occupational health. Climate change may play a significant role in increasing multidimensional inequalities and exacerbating health consequences among vulnerable populations. For an inclusive and sustainable reduction in inequalities and vulnerabilities to the impact of climate change, community-based health and social services should be enhanced among vulnerable populations.}, } @article {pmid36834034, year = {2023}, author = {Lin, Z and Yang, Z and Ye, X}, title = {Immersive Experience and Climate Change Monitoring in Digital Landscapes: Evidence from Somatosensory Sense and Comfort.}, journal = {International journal of environmental research and public health}, volume = {20}, number = {4}, pages = {}, doi = {10.3390/ijerph20043332}, pmid = {36834034}, issn = {1660-4601}, abstract = {In this study, the virtual engine software (Unity 2019, Unity Software Inc., San Francisco, California, the U.S.) was used to generate a digital landscape model, forming a virtual immersive environment. Through field investigation and emotional preference experiments, the ancient tree ecological area and the sunlight-exposed area were respectively monitored, and the somatosensory comfort evaluation model was established. The subjects showed the highest degree of interest in the ancient tree ecological area after landscape roaming experience, and the mean variance in SC fluctuation was 13.23% in experiments. The subjects were in a low arousal state and had a significant degree of interest in the digital landscape roaming scene, and there was a significant correlation between positive emotion, somatosensory comfort and the Rating of Perceived Exertion index; moreover, the somatosensory comfort of the ancient tree ecological area was higher than that of the sunlight-exposed area. Meanwhile, it was found that somatosensory comfort level can effectively distinguish the comfort level between the ancient tree ecological area and the sunlight-exposed area, which provides an important basis for monitoring extreme heat. This study concludes that, in terms of the goal of harmonious coexistence between human and nature, the evaluation model of somatosensory comfort can contribute to reducing people's adverse views on extreme weather conditions.}, } @article {pmid36833902, year = {2023}, author = {Booth, A and Jager, A and Faulkner, SD and Winchester, CC and Shaw, SE}, title = {Pharmaceutical Company Targets and Strategies to Address Climate Change: Content Analysis of Public Reports from 20 Pharmaceutical Companies.}, journal = {International journal of environmental research and public health}, volume = {20}, number = {4}, pages = {}, doi = {10.3390/ijerph20043206}, pmid = {36833902}, issn = {1660-4601}, abstract = {The pharmaceutical industry produces a large proportion of health system greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions, contributing to climate change. This urgently needs to be addressed. We aimed to examine pharmaceutical company climate change targets, GHG emissions, and strategies to reduce them. We performed content analysis of the 20 largest pharmaceutical companies' publicly available 2020/2021 reports, focusing on extracting information on their reported climate change targets, GHG emissions (and whether companies had demonstrated any reduction in emissions over their reporting period), and strategies being implemented to reduce company emissions and meet their targets. Nineteen companies have committed to reducing GHG emissions, ten to carbon neutrality and eight to net zero emissions between 2025 and 2050. Companies showed largely favorable reductions in scope 1 (in-house) and scope 2 (purchased energy), with variable results in scope 3 (supply chain) emissions. Strategies to reduce emissions included optimizing manufacturing and distribution, and responsible sourcing of energy, water, and raw materials. Pharmaceutical companies are setting climate change targets and reporting reduced emissions via a range of strategies. This varies, with scope to track actions and accountability to targets, improve consistency of reporting, especially of scope 3 emissions, and collaborate on novel solutions. There is need for further mixed methods research on progress with achieving reported climate change targets, as well as implementation of strategies to reduce emissions within the pharmaceutical industry.}, } @article {pmid36833780, year = {2023}, author = {Innocenti, M and Santarelli, G and Lombardi, GS and Ciabini, L and Zjalic, D and Di Russo, M and Cadeddu, C}, title = {How Can Climate Change Anxiety Induce Both Pro-Environmental Behaviours and Eco-Paralysis? The Mediating Role of General Self-Efficacy.}, journal = {International journal of environmental research and public health}, volume = {20}, number = {4}, pages = {}, doi = {10.3390/ijerph20043085}, pmid = {36833780}, issn = {1660-4601}, abstract = {While it has been shown that climate change anxiety (emotional distress response to climate change) can enhance pro-environmental behaviours (PEBs) in some subjects, in others it can induce eco-paralysis, thus leading individuals to avoid any form of engagement in actions against climate change. This study aims to clarify which factors influence the relationship between climate change anxiety and the disposition to PEBs, focusing on the role of self-efficacy as a mediating factor. A cross-sectional study was conducted on 394 healthy subjects living in Italy who completed the Pro-Environmental Behaviours Scale (PEBS), the General Self-Efficacy scale (GSE), and the Climate Change Anxiety Scale (CCAS). As a result, the mediation model showed a positive direct effect of the cognitive impairment subscale of CCAS on PEBS and an indirect negative effect of the cognitive impairment subscale of CCAS on PEBS mediated by GSE. These findings show that climate change anxiety has simultaneously two different effects on individuals: it directly encourages PEBs, and indirectly may have detrimental effects on PEBs such as eco-paralysis. Consequently, therapeutic approaches to treat climate change anxiety should not be aimed at rationalising irrational thoughts but rather at helping patients develop coping strategies such as PEBs which, in turn, foster self-efficacy.}, } @article {pmid36832796, year = {2023}, author = {Galanakis, CM}, title = {The "Vertigo" of the Food Sector within the Triangle of Climate Change, the Post-Pandemic World, and the Russian-Ukrainian War.}, journal = {Foods (Basel, Switzerland)}, volume = {12}, number = {4}, pages = {}, doi = {10.3390/foods12040721}, pmid = {36832796}, issn = {2304-8158}, abstract = {Over the last few years, the world has been facing dramatic changes due to a condensed period of multiple crises, including climate change, the COVID-19 pandemic, and the Russian-Ukrainian war. Although different, these consecutive crises share common characteristics (e.g., systemic shocks and non-stationary nature) and impacts (e.g., disruption of markets and supply chains), questioning food safety, security, and sustainability. The current article analyses the effects of the noted crises in the food sector before proposing target mitigation measures to address the different challenges. The goal is to transform the food systems to increase their resilience and sustainability. This goal can only be achieved if all relevant actors within the supply chain (e.g., governments, companies, distributors, farmers, etc.) play their role by designing and implementing target interventions and policies. In addition, the transformation of the food sector should be proactive concerning food safety, circular (valorizing several bioresources under the principles of climate neutral economy and blue bioeconomy), digital (based on Industry 4.0 applications), and inclusive (ensuring that all citizens are actively engaged). Food production modernization (e.g., by implementing emerging technologies) and developing shorter and more domestic supply chains are also critical to achieving food resilience and security.}, } @article {pmid36829503, year = {2023}, author = {Liao, J and Wu, Z and Wang, H and Xiao, S and Mo, P and Cui, X}, title = {Projected Effects of Climate Change on Species Range of Pantala flavescens, a Wandering Glider Dragonfly.}, journal = {Biology}, volume = {12}, number = {2}, pages = {}, doi = {10.3390/biology12020226}, pmid = {36829503}, issn = {2079-7737}, abstract = {Dragonflies are sensitive to climate change due to their special habitat in aquatic and terrestrial environments, especially Pantala flavescens, which have extraordinary migratory abilities in response to climate change on spatio-temporal scales. At present, there are major gaps in the documentation of insects and the effects of climatic changes on the habitat and species it supports. In this study, we model the global distribution of a wandering glider dragonfly, P. flavescens, and detected the important environmental factors shaping its range, as well as habitat shifts under historical and future warming scenarios. The results showed a global map of species ranges of P. flavescens currently, including southern North America, most of South America, south-central Africa, most of Europe, South, East and Southeast Asia, and northern Oceania, in total, ca. 6581.667 × 10[4] km[2]. BIO5 (the max temperature of warmest month) and BIO13 (the precipitation of wettest month) greatly explained its species ranges. The historic refugia were identified around the Great Lakes in the north-central United States. Future warming will increase the total area of suitable habitat and shift the type of suitable habitat compared to the current distribution. The habitat suitability of P. flavescens decreased with elevation, global warming forced it to expand to higher elevations, and the habitat suitability of P. flavescens around the equator increased with global warming. Overall, our study provides a global dynamic pattern of suitable habitats for P. flavescens from the perspective of climate change, and provides a useful reference for biodiversity research and biological conservation.}, } @article {pmid36828391, year = {2023}, author = {Wieczynski, DJ and Yoshimura, KM and Denison, ER and Geisen, S and DeBruyn, JM and Shaw, AJ and Weston, DJ and Pelletier, DA and Wilhelm, SW and Gibert, JP}, title = {Viral infections likely mediate microbial controls on ecosystem responses to global warming.}, journal = {FEMS microbiology ecology}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, doi = {10.1093/femsec/fiad016}, pmid = {36828391}, issn = {1574-6941}, abstract = {Climate change is affecting how energy and matter flow through ecosystems, thereby altering global carbon and nutrient cycles. Microorganisms play a fundamental role in carbon and nutrient cycling and are thus an integral link between ecosystems and climate. Here, we highlight a major black box hindering our ability to anticipate ecosystem climate responses: viral infections within complex microbial food webs. We show how understanding and predicting ecosystem responses to warming could be challenging-if not impossible-without accounting for the direct and indirect effects of viral infections on different microbes (bacteria, archaea, fungi, protists) that together perform diverse ecosystem functions. Importantly, understanding how rising temperatures associated with climate change influence viruses and virus-host dynamics is crucial to this task, yet is severely understudied. In this perspective, we 1) synthesize existing knowledge about virus-microbe-temperature interactions and 2) identify important gaps to guide future investigations regarding how climate change might alter microbial food web effects on ecosystem functioning. To provide real-world context, we consider how these processes may operate in peatlands-globally significant carbon sinks that are threatened by climate change. We stress that understanding how warming affects biogeochemical cycles in any ecosystem hinges on disentangling complex interactions and temperature responses within microbial food webs.}, } @article {pmid36825785, year = {2023}, author = {Slater, M and Bartlett, S}, title = {Climate change: What healthcare professionals can do.}, journal = {The journal of the Royal College of Physicians of Edinburgh}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {14782715231158878}, doi = {10.1177/14782715231158878}, pmid = {36825785}, issn = {2042-8189}, abstract = {Climate change is the biggest threat to global health. The National Health Service (NHS) has committed to 'net zero' and significant inroads have been made into reducing the carbon footprint of some areas of healthcare. The Royal College of Physicians of Edinburgh (RCPE) has produced a resource outlining steps we can all take. It is incumbent on us all to act as doctors and citizens of the planet.}, } @article {pmid36825635, year = {2023}, author = {Rollins, AM and Wheeler, M and Frazier, T}, title = {A Marshall Plan for the 21st century: Addressing climate change in the Asia-Pacific through diplomacy, development, and defense.}, journal = {Journal of emergency management (Weston, Mass.)}, volume = {20}, number = {8}, pages = {103-122}, doi = {10.5055/jem.0684}, pmid = {36825635}, issn = {1543-5865}, abstract = {The inevitable climate challenges facing the Asia-Pacific territory require a massive whole-of--government approach comparable to the Marshall Plan of 1948. While many political leaders have called for such a plan, no policy currently exists for this region or purpose. With nearly eight trillion dollars in trade revenue passing through crucially strategic straits daily, seven of the 10 largest militaries in the world (five of which are nuclear capable) operating throughout this territory, and a forecast for nearly exponential population growth, the geopolitical provenance of the United States (US), ties inextricably to this portion of the globe. A document analysis assessing existing diplomatic, developmental, and defensive policies concludes that a modern-day Marshall Plan for the 21st century Asia-Pacific is achievable by realigning lines of effort within current frameworks. As long as the US continues to deny climate change, other nation-state actors within the area will rise to fill the void. The US must commit to the funding, development, and proliferation of clean and sustainable energy solutions, which evolve past current fossil-fuel reliant technologies and, most importantly, be open-source in description and shared with other large polluters throughout the world. Finally, the nations of the Asian-Pacific realm should contemplate a theater-specific treaty organization. As climate change threatens to destabilize the region, a unified force intent on providing stabilization efforts, preventing internal conflict and escalation, and enforcing international law deserves consideration and deliberation.}, } @article {pmid36825371, year = {2023}, author = {Zhan, Y and Yao, Z and Groffman, PM and Xie, J and Wang, Y and Li, G and Zheng, X and Butterbach-Bahl, K}, title = {Urbanization can accelerate climate change by increasing soil N2 O emission while reducing CH4 uptake.}, journal = {Global change biology}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, doi = {10.1111/gcb.16652}, pmid = {36825371}, issn = {1365-2486}, abstract = {Urban land use change has the potential to affect local to global biogeochemical carbon (C) and nitrogen (N) cycles and associated greenhouse gas (GHG) fluxes. We conducted a meta-analysis to 1) assess the effects of urbanization-induced land-use conversion on soil nitrous oxide (N2 O) and methane (CH4) fluxes, 2) quantify direct N2 O emission factors (EFd) of fertilized urban soils used e.g., as lawns or forests, and 3) identify the key drivers leading to flux changes associated with urbanization. On average, urbanization increases soil N2 O emissions by 153%, to 3.0 kg N ha[-1] yr[-1] , while rates of soil CH4 uptake are reduced by 50%, to 2.0 kg C ha[-1] yr[-1] . The global mean annual N2 O EFd of fertilized lawns and urban forests is 1.4%, suggesting that urban soils can be regional hotspots of N2 O emissions. On a global basis, conversion of land to urban greenspaces has increased soil N2 O emission by 0.46 Tg N2 O-N yr[-1] and decreased soil CH4 uptake by 0.58 Tg CH4 -C yr[-1] . Urbanization driven changes in soil N2 O emission and CH4 uptake are associated with changes in soil properties (bulk density, pH, total N content and C/N ratio), increased temperature, and management practices, especially fertilizer use. Overall, our meta-analysis shows that urbanization increases soil N2 O emissions and reduces the role of soils as a sink for atmospheric CH4 . These effects can be mitigated by avoiding soil compaction, reducing fertilization of lawns, and by restoring native ecosystems in urban landscapes.}, } @article {pmid36825187, year = {2023}, author = {Ali, F and Khan, N and Khan, AM and Ali, K and Abbas, F}, title = {Species distribution modelling of Monotheca buxifolia (Falc.) A. DC.: Present distribution and impacts of potential climate change.}, journal = {Heliyon}, volume = {9}, number = {2}, pages = {e13417}, doi = {10.1016/j.heliyon.2023.e13417}, pmid = {36825187}, issn = {2405-8440}, abstract = {Species distribution modelling (SDM) is an important tool to examine the possible change in the population range and/or niche-shift under current environment and predicted climate change. Monotheca buxifolia is an economically and ecologically important tree species inhabiting Pakistan and Afghanistan in dense patches, and species range is contracting rapidly. This study hypothesize that predicted climate change might remarkably influence the existing distribution pattern of M. buxifolia in the study area. A total of 75 occurrence locations were identified comprising M. buxifolia as a dominant tree species. The Maximum Entropy (MaxEnt) algorithm was utilized to perform the SDM under current (the 1970s-2000s) and two future climate change scenarios (shared socioeconomic pathways: SSPs 245 and 585) of two time periods (the 2050s and 2070s). The optimal model settings were assessed, and simulation precision was assessed by examining the partial area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (pAUC-ROC). The results showed that out of 39 considered bio-climatic, topographic, edaphic, and remote sensing variables which were utilized in the preliminary model, 6 variables including precipitation of warmest quarter, topographic diversity, global human modification of terrestrial land, normalized difference vegetation index, isothermality, and elevation (in order) were the most influential drivers, and utilized in all reduced SDMs. A high predictive performance (pAUC-ROC; >0.9) of all the considered SDMs was recorded. A total of about 67,684 km[2] of geographical area was predicted as suitable habitat (p > 0.8) for M. buxifolia, and Pakistan is the leading country (with about 54,975 km[2] of suitable land area) under the current climate scenario. Overall, the existing distribution of the tree species in the study area might face considerable loss (i.e. rate of change %; -27 to -107) in future, and simultaneously a northward (high elevation) niche shift is predicted for all the considered future climate change scenarios. Hence, development and implementation of a coordinated conservation program is required on priority basis to save the tree species in its native geographic range.}, } @article {pmid36824019, year = {2023}, author = {Eya, LI and Adam, IM and Ruvaisha, A and Adam, IM}, title = {Readiness of the Maldivian Health System to Climate Change.}, journal = {Asia-Pacific journal of public health}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {10105395231158683}, doi = {10.1177/10105395231158683}, pmid = {36824019}, issn = {1941-2479}, } @article {pmid36822432, year = {2023}, author = {Zheng, S and Li, J and Ye, C and Xian, X and Feng, M and Yu, X}, title = {Microbiological risks increased by ammonia-oxidizing bacteria under global warming: The neglected issue in chloraminated drinking water distribution system.}, journal = {The Science of the total environment}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {162353}, doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2023.162353}, pmid = {36822432}, issn = {1879-1026}, abstract = {A rising outbreak of waterborne diseases caused by global warming requires higher microbial stability in the drinking water distribution system (DWDS). Chloramine disinfection is gaining popularity in this context due to its good persistent stability and fewer disinfection byproducts. However, the microbiological risks may be significantly magnified by ammonia-oxidizing bacteria (AOB) in distribution systems during global warming, which is rarely noticed. Hence, this work mainly focuses on AOB to explore its impact on water quality biosafety in the context of global warming. Research indicates that global warming-induced high temperatures can directly or indirectly promote the growth of AOB, thus leading to nitrification. Further, its metabolites or cellular residues can be used as substrates for the growth of heterotrophic bacteria (e.g., waterborne pathogens). Thus, biofilm may be more persistent in the pipelines due to the presence of AOB. Breakpoint chlorination is usually applied to control such situations. However, switching between this strategy and chloramine disinfection would result in even more severe nitrification and other adverse effects. Based on the elevated microbiological risks in DWDS, the following aspects should be paid attention to in future research: (1) to understand the response of nitrifying bacteria to high temperatures and the possible association between AOB and pathogenic growth, (2) to reveal the mechanisms of AOB-mediated biofilm formation under high-temperature stress, and (3) to develop new technologies to prevent and control the occurrence of nitrification in drinking water distribution system.}, } @article {pmid36822002, year = {2023}, author = {Cole, R and Hajat, S and Murage, P and Heaviside, C and Macintyre, H and Davies, M and Wilkinson, P}, title = {The contribution of demographic changes to future heat-related health burdens under climate change scenarios.}, journal = {Environment international}, volume = {173}, number = {}, pages = {107836}, doi = {10.1016/j.envint.2023.107836}, pmid = {36822002}, issn = {1873-6750}, abstract = {Anthropogenic climate change will have a detrimental impact on global health, including the direct impact of higher ambient temperatures. Existing projections of heat-related health outcomes in a changing climate often consider increasing ambient temperatures alone. Population growth and structure has been identified as a key source of uncertainty in future projections. Age acts as a modifier of heat risk, with heat-risk generally increasing in older age-groups. In many countries the population is ageing as lower birth rates and increasing life expectancy alter the population structure. Preparing for an older population, in particular in the context of a warmer climate should therefore be a priority in public health research and policy. We assess the level of inclusion of population growth and demographic changes in research projecting exposure to heat and heat-related health outcomes. To assess the level of inclusion of population changes in the literature, keyword searches of two databases were implemented, followed by reference and citation scans to identify any missed papers. Relevant papers, those including a projection of the heat health burden under climate change, were then checked for inclusion of population scenarios. Where sensitivity to population change was studied the impact of this on projections was extracted. Our analysis suggests that projecting the heat health burden is a growing area of research, however, some areas remain understudied including Africa and the Middle East and morbidity is rarely explored with most studies focusing on mortality. Of the studies pairing projections of population and climate, specifically SSPs and RCPs, many used pairing considered to be unfeasible. We find that not including any projected changes in population or demographics leads to underestimation of health burdens of on average 64 %. Inclusion of population changes increased the heat health burden across all but two studies.}, } @article {pmid36821586, year = {2023}, author = {Santos, F and Calle, N and Bonilla, S and Sarmiento, F and Herrnegger, M}, title = {Impacts of soil erosion and climate change on the built heritage of the Pambamarca Fortress Complex in northern Ecuador.}, journal = {PloS one}, volume = {18}, number = {2}, pages = {e0281869}, doi = {10.1371/journal.pone.0281869}, pmid = {36821586}, issn = {1932-6203}, abstract = {The Pambamarca fortress complex in northern Ecuador is a cultural and built heritage with 18 prehispanic fortresses known as Pucaras. They are mostly located on the ridge of the Pambamarca volcano, which is severely affected by erosion. In this research, we implemented a multiscale methodology to identify sheet, rill and gully erosion in the context of climate change for the prehistoric sites. In a first phase, we coupled the Revised Universal Soil Loss Equation (RUSLE) and four CMIP6 climate models to evaluate and prioritize which Pucaras are prone to sheet and rill erosion, after comparing historical and future climate scenarios. Then, we conducted field visits to collect geophotos and soil samples for validation purposes, as well as drone flight campaigns to derive high resolution digital elevation models and identify gully erosion with the stream power index. Our erosion maps achieved an overall accuracy of 0.75 when compared with geophotos and correlated positively with soil samples sand fraction. The Pucaras evaluated with the historical climate scenario obtained erosion rates ranging between 0 and 20 ton*ha-1*yr-1. These rates also varied from -15.7% to 39.1% for four future climate change models that reported extreme conditions. In addition, after identifying and overflying six Pucaras that showed the highest erosion rates in the future climate models, we mapped their gully-prone areas that represented between 0.9% and 3.2% of their analyzed areas. The proposed methodology allowed us to observe how the design of the Pucaras and their concentric terraces have managed to reduce gully erosion, but also to notice the pressures they suffer due to their susceptibility to erosion, anthropic pressures and climate change. To address this, we suggest management strategies to guide the protection of this cultural and built heritage landscapes.}, } @article {pmid36821486, year = {2023}, author = {Naughton, M and Payne, RA}, title = {The fight against climate change in primary care: a prescription for change.}, journal = {Family practice}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, doi = {10.1093/fampra/cmac119}, pmid = {36821486}, issn = {1460-2229}, } @article {pmid36820855, year = {2023}, author = {Heinz, A and Meyer-Lindenberg, A and , }, title = {[Climate change and mental health. Position paper of a task force of the DGPPN].}, journal = {Der Nervenarzt}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, pmid = {36820855}, issn = {1433-0407}, abstract = {Climate change and the resulting higher frequency of extreme weather events have a direct negative impact on mental health. Natural disasters are particularly associated with an increase in the prevalence of depression, anxiety and posttraumatic stress disorder. Indirect consequences of climate change, such as food shortages, economic crises, violent conflicts and forced migration, additionally represent severe psychological risk and stress factors. Climate anxiety and solastalgia, the distress induced by environmental change, are new psychological syndromes in the face of the existential threat posed by the climate crisis. Accordingly, a sustainable psychiatry must prepare for increasing and changing demands. The principles of psychiatric treatment need to focus more on prevention to reduce the overall burden on the healthcare system. Waste of resources and CO2 emissions in psychiatric treatment processes as well as infrastructure must be perceived and prevented. Psychiatric education, training and continuing education concepts should be expanded to include the topic of climate change in order to comprehensively inform and sensitize professionals, those affected and the public and to encourage climate-friendly and health-promoting behavior. More in-depth research is needed on the impact of climate change on mental health. The DGPPN becomes a sponsor and aims for climate neutrality by 2030 by committing to climate-friendly and energy-saving measures in the area of finance, in relation to the DGPPN congress as well as the DGPPN office.}, } @article {pmid36820201, year = {2023}, author = {da Silva Tavares, P and Acosta, R and Nobre, P and Resende, NC and Chou, SC and de Arruda Lyra, A}, title = {Water balance components and climate extremes over Brazil under 1.5 °C and 2.0 °C of global warming scenarios.}, journal = {Regional environmental change}, volume = {23}, number = {1}, pages = {40}, pmid = {36820201}, issn = {1436-3798}, abstract = {UNLABELLED: This work aimed to evaluate changes in water balance components (precipitation, evapotranspiration, and water availability) and precipitation extremes projected under global warming levels (GWLs) of 1.5 °C and 2 °C, in Brazil. An ensemble of eight twenty-first-century projections with the Eta Regional Climate Model and their driving Global Climate Models (CanESM2, HadGEM2-ES, MIROC5, and BESM) were used. Projections of two Representative Concentration Pathway scenarios, RCP4.5 and RCP8.5, considered intermediate and high concentration, respectively, were used. The results indicate that the RCP8.5 scenario under 2 °C GWL is likely to have a higher impact on the water balance components, amplifying trends in drier conditions and increasing the number of consecutive dry days in some regions of Brazil, particularly in the North and Northeast regions. On the other hand, the projections indicate the opposite sign for the South region, with trends toward wetter conditions and significant increases in extreme rainfall. The 0.5 °C difference between the GWLs contributes to intensifying reductions (increases) from 4 to 7% in water availability, mainly in the North-Northeast (South) regions. The projected changes could have serious consequences, such as increases in the number of drought events in hydrographic regions of the Northeast region of Brazil and increases in flood events in the South of the country. The results here presented can contribute to the formulation of adaptive planning strategies aimed at ensuring Brazil's water security towards climate change.

SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION: The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1007/s10113-023-02042-1.}, } @article {pmid36818897, year = {2022}, author = {Mahmood, J and Rajaram, NN and Guinto, RR}, title = {Addressing Food Insecurity and Climate Change in Malaysia: Current Evidence and Ways Forward.}, journal = {The Malaysian journal of medical sciences : MJMS}, volume = {29}, number = {6}, pages = {1-5}, pmid = {36818897}, issn = {1394-195X}, } @article {pmid36818883, year = {2023}, author = {He, P and Li, Y and Huo, T and Meng, F and Peng, C and Bai, M}, title = {Priority planting area planning for cash crops under heavy metal pollution and climate change: A case study of Ligusticum chuanxiong Hort.}, journal = {Frontiers in plant science}, volume = {14}, number = {}, pages = {1080881}, pmid = {36818883}, issn = {1664-462X}, abstract = {INTRODUCTION: Soil pollution by heavy metals and climate change pose substantial threats to the habitat suitability of cash crops. Discussing the suitability of cash crops in this context is necessary for the conservation and management of species. We developed a comprehensive evaluation system that is universally applicable to all plants stressed by heavy metal pollution.

METHODS: The MaxEnt model was used to simulate the spatial distribution of Ligusticum chuanxiong Hort within the study area (Sichuan, Shaanxi, and Chongqing) based on current and future climate conditions (RCP2.6, RCP4.5, RCP6.0, and RCP8.5 scenarios). We established the current Cd pollution status in the study area using kriging interpolation and kernel density. Additionally, the three scenarios were used in prediction models to simulate future Cd pollution conditions based on current Cd pollution data. The current and future priority planting areas for L. chuanxiong were determined by overlay analysis, and two levels of results were obtained.

RESULTS: The results revealed that the current first- and secondary-priority planting areas for L. chuanxiong were 2.06 ×10[3] km[2] and 1.64 ×10[4] km[2], respectively. Of these areas, the seven primary and twelve secondary counties for current L. chuanxiong cultivation should be given higher priority; these areas include Meishan, Qionglai, Pujiang, and other regions. Furthermore, all the priority zones based on the current and future scenarios were mainly concentrated on the Chengdu Plain, southeastern Sichuan and northern Chongqing. Future planning results indicated that Renshou, Pingwu, Meishan, Qionglai, Pengshan, and other regions are very important for L. chuanxiong planting, and a pessimistic scenario will negatively impact this potential planting. The spatial dynamics of priority areas in 2050 and 2070 clearly fluctuated under different prediction scenarios and were mainly distributed in northern Sichuan and western Chongqing.

DISCUSSION: Given these results, taking reasonable measures to replan and manage these areas is necessary. This study provides. not only a useful reference for the protection and cultivation of L. chuanxiong, but also a framework for analyzing other cash crops.}, } @article {pmid36818660, year = {2023}, author = {Matiiuk, Y and Krikštolaitis, R and Liobikienė, G}, title = {The Covid-19 pandemic in context of climate change perception and resource-saving behavior in the European Union countries.}, journal = {Journal of cleaner production}, volume = {395}, number = {}, pages = {136433}, pmid = {36818660}, issn = {0959-6526}, abstract = {The resource-saving behavior in the recent period is escalating particularly due to the energy and prices crises in all of the European Union (EU). The COVID-19 pandemic not only caused changes in health concerns but also in environmental awareness and behavior. Thus, this paper aims to reveal whether the COVID-19 pandemic contributed to the resource-saving behavior, and how this pandemic changed the climate change perception and personal responsibility in the EU countries. Referring to two surveys conducted in all EU countries in 2019 and 2021, the results revealed that the level of climate change perception during this period significantly decreased in all EU. Meanwhile, the level of responsibility placed on the government to solve the climate change problem increased the most. A level of the personal responsibility increased negligibly. Considering resource-saving behaviors, only the lesser usage of disposable items from 2019 to 2021 increased statistically significantly. The results of an analysis of the main determinants of resource-saving behavior during the COVID-19 pandemic period revealed that personal responsibility and the climate change solution's benefit for health positively and significantly determined all the analyzed actions. The climate change perception and climate change solution's benefit for the economy statistically significantly influenced waste reduction, the purchase of efficient appliances, and the usage of pro-environmental transportation mode instead of personal cars. Health benefits instead of the economic benefits statistically significantly contributed to the resource-saving behaviors, except for actions that require more monetary investments. The satisfaction with the COVID-19 pandemic management had an insignificant negative impact on all resource-saving actions. Thus, the tools assigned to manage this pandemic did not motivate people to save natural resources.}, } @article {pmid36818294, year = {2023}, author = {Goldstein, E and Erinjery, JJ and Martin, G and Kasturiratne, A and Ediriweera, DS and Somaweera, R and de Silva, HJ and Diggle, P and Lalloo, DG and Murray, KA and Iwamura, T}, title = {Climate change maladaptation for health: Agricultural practice against shifting seasonal rainfall affects snakebite risk for farmers in the tropics.}, journal = {iScience}, volume = {26}, number = {2}, pages = {105946}, pmid = {36818294}, issn = {2589-0042}, abstract = {Snakebite affects more than 1.8 million people annually. Factors explaining snakebite variability include farmers' behaviors, snake ecology and climate. One unstudied issue is how farmers' adaptation to novel climates affect their health. Here we examined potential impacts of adaptation on snakebite using individual-based simulations, focusing on strategies meant to counteract major crop yield decline because of changing rainfall in Sri Lanka. For rubber cropping, adaptation led to a 33% increase in snakebite incidence per farmer work hour because of work during risky months, but a 17% decrease in total annual snakebites because of decreased labor in plantations overall. Rice farming adaptation decreased snakebites by 16%, because of shifting labor towards safer months, whereas tea adaptation led to a general increase. These results indicate that adaptation could have both a positive and negative effect, potentially intensified by ENSO. Our research highlights the need for assessing adaptation strategies for potential health maladaptations.}, } @article {pmid36818118, year = {2023}, author = {Alvi, S and Salman, V and Bibi, FUN and Sarwar, N}, title = {Intergenerational and intragenerational preferences in a developing country to avoid climate change.}, journal = {Frontiers in psychology}, volume = {14}, number = {}, pages = {1098382}, pmid = {36818118}, issn = {1664-1078}, abstract = {Intergenerational and intragenerational approaches to climate change take into account the actions taken by the current generation to maintain or improve the climate, which is advantageous to both the present and future generations. Climate-friendly initiatives primarily benefit future generations, with current generations receiving lesser benefits. Self-interest can hinder the management of shared resources, as seen in the "tragedy of the commons" concept, where individuals benefit from defecting, but society bears the consequences of it. This study used three different time horizons to determine the inter- and intra-generational preferences of groups of human subjects for preventing hazardous climate change. We looked at how groups of participants responded in scenarios that varied in motivation, income, social pressure, and learning opportunities. For this purpose, we conducted two group experiments framed around climate change where participants could choose to cooperate for a noble cause: tree plantations. Its rewards are delayed by several years and probably a few decades (intergenerational discounting), where future generations will be the big beneficiaries. There were two more options: the first one delayed the reward by 1 week, and the second was delayed by seven weeks (intragenerational discounting). We found that intergenerational discounting was high when the groups had free will and motivation. Further, it is revealed that having more money does not play a significant positive role in long-term climate sustainability in a developing country; however, it does, but not as much as motivation and free will do.}, } @article {pmid36814931, year = {2023}, author = {Niedrist, GH}, title = {Substantial warming of Central European mountain rivers under climate change.}, journal = {Regional environmental change}, volume = {23}, number = {1}, pages = {43}, pmid = {36814931}, issn = {1436-3798}, abstract = {UNLABELLED: Water bodies around the world are currently warming with unprecedented rates since observations started, but warming occurs highly variable among ecoregions. So far, mountain rivers were expected to experience attenuated warming due to cold water input from snow or ice. However, air temperatures in mountain areas are increasing faster than the global average, and therefore warming effects are expected for cold riverine ecosystems. In decomposing multi-decadal water temperature data of two Central European mountain rivers with different discharge and water source regime, this work identified so far unreported (a) long-term warming trends (with river-size dependent rates between +0.24 and +0.44 °C decade[-1]); but also (b) seasonal shifts with both rivers warming not only during summer, but also in winter months (i.e., up to +0.52 °C decade[-1] in November); (c) significantly increasing minimum and maximum temperatures (e.g., temperatures in a larger river no longer reach freezing point since 1996 and maximum temperatures increased at rates between +0.4 and +0.7 °C decade[-1]); and (d) an expanding of warm-water periods during recent decades in these ecosystems. Our results show a substantial warming effect of mountain rivers with significant month-specific warming rates not only during summer but also in winter, suggesting that mountain river phenology continues to change with ongoing atmospheric warming. Furthermore, this work demonstrates that apart from a general warming, also seasonal shifts, changes in extreme temperatures, and expanding warm periods will play a role for ecological components of mountain rivers and should be considered in climate change assessments and mitigation management.

SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION: The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1007/s10113-023-02037-y.}, } @article {pmid36814429, year = {2023}, author = {Kleebayoon, A and Wiwanitkit, V}, title = {COVID-19, Monkeypox, Climate change and Surgery: Correspondence.}, journal = {Perioperative care and operating room management}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {100310}, pmid = {36814429}, issn = {2405-6030}, } @article {pmid36811356, year = {2023}, author = {Carey, N and Chester, ET and Robson, BJ}, title = {Loss of functionally important and regionally endemic species from streams forced into intermittency by global warming.}, journal = {Global change biology}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, doi = {10.1111/gcb.16650}, pmid = {36811356}, issn = {1365-2486}, abstract = {Climate change is altering hydrological cycles globally, and in mediterranean (med-) climate regions it is causing the drying of river flow regimes, including the loss of perennial flows. Water regime exerts a strong influence over stream assemblages, which have developed over geological timeframes with the extant flow regime. Consequently, sudden drying in formerly perennial streams is expected to have large, negative impacts on stream fauna. We compared contemporary (2016/17) macroinvertebrate assemblages of formerly perennial streams that became intermittently flowing (since the early 2000s) to assemblages recorded in the same streams by a study conducted pre-drying (1981/82) in the med-climate region of southwestern Australia (the Wungong Brook catchment, SWA), using a multiple before-after, control-impact design. Assemblage composition in the stream reaches that remained perennial changed very little between the studies. In contrast, recent intermittency had a profound effect on species composition in streams impacted by drying, including the extirpation of nearly all Gondwanan relictual insect species. New species arriving at intermittent streams tended to be widespread, resilient species including desert-adapted taxa. Intermittent streams also had distinct species assemblages, due in part to differences in their hydroperiods, allowing establishment of distinct winter and summer assemblages in streams with longer-lived pools. The remaining perennial stream is the only refuge for ancient Gondwanan relict species and the only place in the Wungong Brook catchment where many of these species still persist. The fauna of SWA upland streams is becoming homogenised with that of the wider Western Australian landscape, as drought tolerant, widespread species replace local endemics. Flow regime drying caused large in situ alterations to stream assemblage composition and demonstrates the threat posed to relictual stream faunas in regions where climates are drying.}, } @article {pmid36758747, year = {2023}, author = {Caldeira, D and Dores, H and Franco, F and Baptista, SB and Cabral, S and Cachulo, MDC and Peixeiro, A and Rodrigues, R and Santos, M and Timóteo, AT and Campos, L and Vasconcelos, J and Nogueira, PJ and Gonçalves, L}, title = {Global warming and heat waves risks for cardiovascular diseases: A position paper of the Portuguese Society of Cardiology.}, journal = {Revista portuguesa de cardiologia : orgao oficial da Sociedade Portuguesa de Cardiologia = Portuguese journal of cardiology : an official journal of the Portuguese Society of Cardiology}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, doi = {10.1016/j.repc.2023.02.002}, pmid = {36758747}, issn = {2174-2030}, abstract = {Global warming is a result of the increased emission of greenhouse gases. This climate change consequence threatens society, biodiversity, food and resource availability. The consequences in health involve the increased risk of cardiovascular (CV) disease and cardiovascular mortality. In this position paper we summarize the data from the main studies that assessed the risks of temperature increase or heat waves in CV events (CV mortality, myocardial infarction, heart failure, stroke, and CV hospitalizations), as well as the data concerning air pollution as an enhancer of temperature-related CV risks. The data currently supports that global warming/heat waves (extreme temperatures) are cardiovascular threats. Achieving the neutrality in the emissions to prevent global warming is essential and it is likely to have an effect in the global health, including the cardiovascular health. Simultaneously, urgent step is required to adapt the society and individual to this new climate context potentially harmful for the cardiovascular health. Multidisciplinary teams should plan and intervene in heat-related healthcare and advocate for environmental health policy change.}, } @article {pmid36810764, year = {2023}, author = {Tjiputra, JF and Negrel, J and Olsen, A}, title = {Early detection of anthropogenic climate change signals in the ocean interior.}, journal = {Scientific reports}, volume = {13}, number = {1}, pages = {3006}, pmid = {36810764}, issn = {2045-2322}, abstract = {Robust detection of anthropogenic climate change is crucial to: (i) improve our understanding of Earth system responses to external forcing, (ii) reduce uncertainty in future climate projections, and (iii) develop efficient mitigation and adaptation plans. Here, we use Earth system model projections to establish the detection timescales of anthropogenic signals in the global ocean through analyzing temperature, salinity, oxygen, and pH evolution from surface to 2000 m depths. For most variables, anthropogenic changes emerge earlier in the interior ocean than at the surface, due to the lower background variability at depth. Acidification is detectable earliest, followed by warming and oxygen changes in the subsurface tropical Atlantic. Temperature and salinity changes in the subsurface tropical and subtropical North Atlantic are shown to be early indicators for a slowdown of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation. Even under mitigated scenarios, inner ocean anthropogenic signals are projected to emerge within the next few decades. This is because they originate from existing surface changes that are now propagating into the interior. In addition to the tropical Atlantic, our study calls for establishment of long-term interior monitoring systems in the Southern Ocean and North Atlantic in order to elucidate how spatially heterogeneous anthropogenic signals propagate into the interior and impact marine ecosystems and biogeochemistry.}, } @article {pmid36808228, year = {2023}, author = {Ozkan, J}, title = {Too hot to handle? Mitigating the effects of climate change on cardiovascular health.}, journal = {European heart journal}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, doi = {10.1093/eurheartj/ehad051}, pmid = {36808228}, issn = {1522-9645}, } @article {pmid36807829, year = {2023}, author = {Lutz, V and Chidiak, M and Frouin, R and Negri, R and Dogliotti, AI and Santamaria-Del-Angel, E and Berghoff, CF and Rojas, J and Filipello, C and Astor, Y and Segura, V and Gonzalez-Silvera, A and Escudero, L and Ledesma, J and Ueyoshi, K and Silva, RI and Ruiz, MG and Cozzolino, E and Allega, L and Tan, J and Kampel, M}, title = {Regulation of CO2 by the sea in areas around Latin America in a context of climate change.}, journal = {Environmental monitoring and assessment}, volume = {195}, number = {3}, pages = {417}, pmid = {36807829}, issn = {1573-2959}, abstract = {Anthropogenic activities are increasing the atmospheric carbon dioxide (CO2); around a third of the CO2 emitted by these activities has been taken up by the ocean. Nevertheless, this marine ecosystem service of regulation remains largely invisible to society, and not enough is known about regional differences and trends in sea-air CO2 fluxes (FCO2), especially in the Southern Hemisphere. The objectives of this work were as follows: first to put values of FCO2 integrated over the exclusive economic zones (EEZ) of five Latin-American countries (Argentina, Brazil, Mexico, Peru, and Venezuela) into perspective regarding total country-level greenhouse gases (GHG) emissions. Second, to assess the variability of two main biological factors affecting FCO2 at marine ecological time series (METS) in these areas. FCO2 over the EEZs were estimated using the NEMO model, and GHG emissions were taken from reports to the UN Framework Convention on Climate Change. For each METS, the variability in phytoplankton biomass (indexed by chlorophyll-a concentration, Chla) and abundance of different cell sizes (phy-size) were analyzed at two time periods (2000-2015 and 2007-2015). Estimates of FCO2 at the analyzed EEZs showed high variability among each other and non-negligible values in the context of greenhouse gas emissions. The trends observed at the METS indicated, in some cases, an increase in Chla (e.g., EPEA-Argentina) and a decrease in others (e.g., IMARPE-Peru). Evidence of increasing populations of small size-phytoplankton was observed (e.g., EPEA-Argentina, Ensenada-Mexico), which would affect the carbon export to the deep ocean. These results highlight the relevance of ocean health and its ecosystem service of regulation when discussing carbon net emissions and budgets.}, } @article {pmid36805358, year = {2023}, author = {Beggs, PJ and Clot, B and Sofiev, M and Johnston, FH}, title = {Climate change, airborne allergens, and three translational mitigation approaches.}, journal = {EBioMedicine}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {104478}, doi = {10.1016/j.ebiom.2023.104478}, pmid = {36805358}, issn = {2352-3964}, abstract = {One of the important adverse impacts of climate change on human health is increases in allergic respiratory diseases such as allergic rhinitis and asthma. This impact is via the effects of increases in atmospheric carbon dioxide concentration and air temperature on sources of airborne allergens such as pollen and fungal spores. This review describes these effects and then explores three translational mitigation approaches that may lead to improved health outcomes, with recent examples and developments highlighted. Impacts have already been observed on the seasonality, production and atmospheric concentration, allergenicity, and geographic distribution of airborne allergens, and these are projected to continue into the future. A technological revolution is underway that has the potential to advance patient management by better avoiding associated increased exposures, including automated real-time airborne allergen monitoring, airborne allergen forecasting and modelling, and smartphone apps for mitigating the health impacts of airborne allergens.}, } @article {pmid36805062, year = {2023}, author = {Sun, F and Chang, R and Tariq, A and Sardans, J and Penuelas, J and Jiang, H and Zhou, X and Li, N}, title = {Livestock grazing-exclusion under global warming scenario decreases phosphorus mineralization by changing soil food web structure in a Tibetan alpine meadow.}, journal = {The Science of the total environment}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {162313}, doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2023.162313}, pmid = {36805062}, issn = {1879-1026}, abstract = {The exclusion of grazing has been used extensively in alpine meadows on the Tibetan Plateau. Studies, however, have shown reported recent trends of decreasing concentrations of soil nutrients because of grazing exclusion and climate change. The effects of excluding grazing on the soil biogeochemical process of phosphorus cycling in alpine meadows are unclear, especially under climatic warming. We conducted a 5-year grazing-exclusion and warming-manipulation experiment to examine the effects of excluding grazing on fractions of soil phosphorus, microbial and nematode communities and enzymatic activities in treatments of low grazing intensity, grazing exclusion, and combined grazing exclusion and warming. Our results indicated that excluding grazing significantly decreased bacterivore and omnivore-predator densities, phoD gene abundance and alkaline phosphomonoesterase activity (in the 0-5 cm layer by -34, -41, -38 and -42 %) at altitudes of 3850 m, 4000 m, 4150 m and 4250 m, respectively. Structural equation modeling indicated that bacterivores positively affected phoD gene abundance, alkaline phosphomonoesterase activity and inorganic‑phosphorus fractions. Combined grazing exclusion and warming significantly decreased bacterivore and omnivore-predator densities but significantly increased fungivore density (in the 0-5 cm layer by 238, 172, 119 and 65 %) at altitudes of 3850, 4000, 4150 and 4250 m, respectively. Structural equation modeling also indicated that the combined grazing-exclusion and warming treatment increased the soil fungi and fungivores, but the higher abundances of fungi and fungivores did not significantly affect acid phosphomonoesterase activity or inorganic‑phosphorus fractions. Alternatively, the combined grazing-exclusion and warming treatment significantly increased the concentrations of amorphous and free aluminum, which were positively correlated with the maximum adsorption of phosphorus. The combined grazing-exclusion and warming treatment thus significantly decreased the availability of resin phosphorus (-63, -51, -81 and -67 %) in the 0-5 cm layer at altitudes of 3850, 4000, 4150 and 4250 m, respectively. Our results suggested that light grazing (0.5 yak ha[-1] year[-1]) could increase phosphorus mineralization and the activity of soil enzymes in alpine meadows under global warming. An adequate load of livestock pressure at each altitude can be an effective management technique, mainly under warming, to maintain an adequate, sustainable and equilibrated phosphorus cycle in the plant-soil system.}, } @article {pmid36804960, year = {2023}, author = {Nainggolan, D and Abay, AT and Christensen, JH and Termansen, M}, title = {The impact of climate change on crop mix shift in the Nordic region.}, journal = {Scientific reports}, volume = {13}, number = {1}, pages = {2962}, pmid = {36804960}, issn = {2045-2322}, abstract = {Growing evidence of anthropogenic climate change suggests marked changes in agricultural ecosystems and crop suitability across the globe. Northern Europe is primarily predicted to see beneficial impacts through crop shifts towards the North of the region. However, studies that quantify the magnitude of climate induced past shifts and the likely future shifts in the agricultural land use patterns are lacking. We use a rich municipality level longitudinal data set from the Nordic region from 1979 to 2012 to study farmers' adaptation to climate change in terms of crop mix shift. We model four land use classes, namely, cereal, grass, oil seed, and 'others', a category summing the remaining agricultural land uses. On top of climatic variables, we include biophysical and economic variables as controls in the regression. We utilize a multinomial fractional logit regression to estimate changes in the land use mix. The projection results indicate that both the near future (2041-2070) and the far future (2071-2100) projected climate are likely to increase the area share of cereal and at the same time decrease the share of grass in the Nordic region relative to the baseline climate (1981-2010). However, these results vary across the region. The results generally suggest a moderate climate induced impact on the spatial crop distributions. Our projection results show a moderate shift in agricultural crop distributions depending on the climate scenario and the time-horizon. Depending on the climate change scenario, grass and cereal are expected to shift by up to 92.8 and 178.7 km, respectively, towards opposite directions; grass towards the South-West and cereal towards the North-East. Overall, the projected areal expansion of cereal towards the North-East is expected to lead to increased environmental pressure.}, } @article {pmid36804885, year = {2023}, author = {Tian, C and Yue, X and Zhu, J and Liao, H and Yang, Y and Chen, L and Zhou, X and Lei, Y and Zhou, H and Cao, Y}, title = {Projections of fire emissions and the consequent impacts on air quality under 1.5 °C and 2 °C global warming.}, journal = {Environmental pollution (Barking, Essex : 1987)}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {121311}, doi = {10.1016/j.envpol.2023.121311}, pmid = {36804885}, issn = {1873-6424}, abstract = {Fire is a major source of atmospheric aerosols and trace gases. Projection of future fire activities is challenging due to the joint impacts of climate, vegetation, and human activities. Here, we project global changes of fire-induced particulate matter smaller than 2.5 μm (PM2.5) and ozone (O3) under 1.5 °C/2 °C warming using a climate-chemistry-vegetation coupled model in combination with site-level and satellite-based observations. Compared to the present day, fire emissions of varied air pollutants increase by 10.0%-15.4% at the 1.5 °C warming period and 15.1%-22.5% at the 2 °C warming period, with the most significant enhancements in Amazon, southern Africa, and boreal Eurasia. The warmer climate promotes fuel dryness and the higher leaf area index increases fuel availability, leading to escalated fire flammability globally. However, moderate declines in fire emissions are predicted over the Sahel region, because the higher population density increases fire suppressions and consequently inhibits fire activities over central Africa. Following the changes in fire emissions, the population-weighted exposure to fire PM2.5 increases by 5.1% under 1.5 °C warming and 13.0% under 2 °C warming. Meanwhile, the exposure to fire O3 enhances by 10.2% and 16.0% in response to global warming of 1.5 °C and 2 °C, respectively. As a result, limiting global temperature increase to 1.5 °C can greatly reduce the risks of exposure to fire-induced air pollution compared to 2 °C.}, } @article {pmid36802450, year = {2023}, author = {Yang, H and Macario-González, L and Cohuo, S and Whitmore, TJ and Salgado, J and Peréz, L and Schwalb, A and Rose, NL and Holmes, J and Riedinger-Whitmore, MA and Hoelzmann, P and O'Dea, A}, title = {Mercury Pollution History in Tropical and Subtropical American Lakes: Multiple Impacts and the Possible Relationship with Climate Change.}, journal = {Environmental science & technology}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, doi = {10.1021/acs.est.2c09870}, pmid = {36802450}, issn = {1520-5851}, abstract = {Sediment cores obtained from 11 tropical and subtropical American lakes revealed that local human activities significantly increased mercury (Hg) inputs and pollution levels. Remote lakes also have been contaminated by anthropogenic Hg through atmospheric depositions. Long-term sediment-core profiles revealed an approximately 3-fold increase in Hg fluxes to sediments from c. 1850 to 2000. Generalized additive models indicate that c. 3-fold increases in Hg fluxes also occurred since 2000 in the remote sites, while Hg emissions from anthropogenic sources have remained relatively stable. The tropical and subtropical Americas are vulnerable to extreme weather events. Air temperatures in this region have shown a marked increase since the 1990s, and extreme weather events arising from climate change have increased. When comparing Hg fluxes to recent (1950-2016) climatic changes, results show marked increases in Hg fluxes to sediments during dry periods. The Standardized Precipitation-Evapotranspiration Index (SPEI) time series indicate a tendency toward more extreme drier conditions across the study region since the mid-1990s, suggesting that instabilities in catchment surfaces caused by climate change are responsible for the elevated Hg flux rates. Drier conditions since c. 2000 appear to be promoting Hg fluxes from catchments to lakes, a process that will likely be exacerbated under future climate-change scenarios.}, } @article {pmid36801933, year = {2023}, author = {Motamedi, A and Gohari, A and Haghighi, AT}, title = {Three-decade assessment of dry and wet spells change across Iran, a fingerprint of climate change.}, journal = {Scientific reports}, volume = {13}, number = {1}, pages = {2888}, pmid = {36801933}, issn = {2045-2322}, abstract = {Extended periods of hydro-climate extremes with excessive or scarce rainfall associated with high or low temperatures have resulted in an imbalanced water cycle and inefficient socio-economic systems in several regions of Iran. However, there is a lack of comprehensive investigations on short-term to long-term variations in timing, duration, and temperature of wet/dry spells. This study bridges the current gap through a comprehensive statistical analysis of historical climatic data (1959-2018). Results indicated that the negative tendency of the accumulated rainfall (- 0.16/ - 0.35 mm/year during the past 60/30 years) in 2- to 6-day wet spells had made significant contributions to the ongoing downward trend in annual rainfall (- 0.5/ - 1.5 mm/year during the past 60/30 years) owing to a warmer climate condition. Warmer wet spells are likely responsible for precipitation patterns changes in snow-dominated stations since their wet spells temperature has more than threefold growth with increasing distance to coasts. The most detected trends in climatic patterns have started in the last two decades and become more severe from 2009 to 2018. Our results confirm the alteration of precipitation features across Iran due to anthropogenic climatic change, and suggest expected increase in air temperature would likely result in further dry and warm conditions over the coming decades.}, } @article {pmid36801608, year = {2023}, author = {Wright, ML and Drake, D and Link, DG and Berg, JA}, title = {Climate change and the adverse impact on the health and well-being of women and girls from the Women's Health Expert Panel of the American Academy of Nursing.}, journal = {Nursing outlook}, volume = {71}, number = {2}, pages = {101919}, doi = {10.1016/j.outlook.2023.101919}, pmid = {36801608}, issn = {1528-3968}, abstract = {Climate change has measurable adverse impact on the general and reproductive health of women and girls. Multinational government organizations, private foundations, and consumer groups identify anthropogenic disruptions in social and ecological environments as the primary threats to human health this century. Drought, micronutrient shortage, famine, mass migration, conflict over resources, and effects on mental health resulting from displacement and war are challenging effects to manage. The most severe effects will be felt by those with the least resources to prepare for and adapt to changes. Climate change is a phenomenon of interest to women's health professionals because women and girls are more vulnerable to the effects due to a combination of physiologic, biologic, cultural, and socioeconomic risk factors. Nurses, with our scientific foundation, human-centered approach, and position of trust in societies can be leaders in efforts at mitigation, adaptation, and building resilience in response to changes in our planetary health.}, } @article {pmid36801235, year = {2023}, author = {Jia, R and Li, P and Chen, C and Liu, L and Li, ZH}, title = {Shellfish-algal systems as important components of fisheries carbon sinks: Their contribution and response to climate change.}, journal = {Environmental research}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {115511}, doi = {10.1016/j.envres.2023.115511}, pmid = {36801235}, issn = {1096-0953}, abstract = {In the context of global climate change, ocean acidification and warming are becoming increasingly serious. Adding carbon sinks in the ocean is an important part of efforts to mitigate climate change. Many researchers have proposed the concept of a fisheries carbon sink. Shellfish-algal systems are among the most important components of fisheries carbon sinks, but there has been limited research on the impact of climate change on shellfish-algal carbon sequestration systems. This review assesses the impact of global climate change on shellfish-algal carbon sequestration systems and provides a rough estimate of the global shellfish-algal carbon sink capacity. This review evaluates the impact of global climate change on shellfish-algal carbon sequestration systems. We review relevant studies that have examined the effects of climate change on such systems from multiple levels, perspectives, and species. There is an urgent need for more realistic and comprehensive studies given expectations about the future climate. Such studies should provide a better understanding of the mechanisms by which the carbon cycle function of marine biological carbon pumps may be affected in realistic future environmental conditions and the patterns of interaction between climate change and ocean carbon sinks.}, } @article {pmid36800404, year = {2023}, author = {Poindexter, K}, title = {Global Code Red: Nursing Education's Call to Climate Change.}, journal = {Nursing education perspectives}, volume = {44}, number = {2}, pages = {73-74}, pmid = {36800404}, issn = {1536-5026}, mesh = {Humans ; *Climate Change ; *Education, Nursing ; }, } @article {pmid36799390, year = {2023}, author = {Wang, J and Li, G and Yan, LJ and Liu, Q and Nie, ZG}, title = {Variation characteristics of climatic potential yield and resources utilization efficiency of maize under the background of climate change in agro-pastoral transitional zone of Gansu, China.}, journal = {Ying yong sheng tai xue bao = The journal of applied ecology}, volume = {34}, number = {1}, pages = {160-168}, doi = {10.13287/j.1001-9332.202301.023}, pmid = {36799390}, issn = {1001-9332}, abstract = {To evaluate the effects of changes in radiation, accumulative temperature, precipitation and climate resources on climate resource utilization efficiency in the agro-pastoral transitional zone of Gansu Province, we analyzed the variations of climate potential yield loss rate, light, heat, precipitation and comprehensive utilization efficiency of climate resources in the agro-pastoral transitional zone of Gansu Province by the step-by-step correction and indexation method, with the 1971-2020 weather data from 45 meteorological sites and the maize phenology data. The results showed that solar radiation showed fluctuating downward trend at a rate of -22.03 MJ·m[-2]·(10 a)[-1], the accumulative ≥11 ℃ temperature showed significant upward trend at a rate of 60.89 ℃·(10 a)[-1], the precipitation showed slow upward trend at a rate of 2.05 mm·(10 a)[-1] during the study period. The climate potential yield loss rate due to temperature and precipitation limitations was relatively high in Gannan and the northern part of Longzhong, while it was relatively low in the most areas of Longdong. Except for the central part of the study area and part of Longdong, the climate potential yield loss rate due to temperature and precipitation limitations in other regions of the study area showed decreased trend at the rate of -2.0%·(10 a)[-1] and -0.6%·(10 a)[-1]. The low-value areas of light and heat utilization efficiency distributed in the northern and southern parts of Longzhong and part of Gannan, the low-value area of precipitation utilization efficiency distributed in Gannan, and the low value of comprehensive utilization efficiency distributed in Lanzhou and Baiyin which were 0.41 and 0.47, respectively. Longdong was the most suitable for maize planting, where the climate resources utilization efficiency of maize was highest, followed by Gannan and Longzhong. The average tendency rate of light, heat, precipitation and climate resources comprehensive utilization efficiency in the study area showed increased trend, which were 0.1%·(10 a)[-1], 0.07 kg·hm[-2]·℃[-1]·d[-1]·(10 a)[-1], 1.17 kg·hm[-2]·mm[-1]·(10 a)[-1] and 0.05 ·(10 a)[-1], respectively, showing a good potential to increase maize yield.}, } @article {pmid36798836, year = {2023}, author = {Martínez-Valderrama, J and Ibáñez, J}, title = {Implementing climate change projections in System Dynamics models.}, journal = {MethodsX}, volume = {10}, number = {}, pages = {102044}, pmid = {36798836}, issn = {2215-0161}, abstract = {Desertification is the degradation of drylands, which occupy an increasing proportion of the Earth's surface due to global warming. It is currently the most extensive biome on Earth, occupying 45% and one out of every three inhabitants of the planet live in them. One of the most effective ways to face desertification, as Land Degradation Neutrality points out, is prevention. For this purpose, simulation models are very useful tools. Specifically, System Dynamics models are particularly effective, since they allow bringing together the biophysical and socioeconomic variables involved in the formation of the problem. These integrative models, coupled with other tools such as sensitivity analyses, are used to generate desertification early warning indicators. The objective of this programming routine is to implement climate change scenarios in these simulation models. The script presented here was used to evaluate the sensitivity of dehesa rangelands productivity to the increase in the frequency and intensity of droughts due to climate change.•Integrated simulation models are useful tools to understand complex socioecosystems.•Land-use changes foster the alteration of key hydro-bio-geochemical processes.•By means of automated import processes and data analysis programming, it is possible to implement desertification early warning systems.}, } @article {pmid36798595, year = {2023}, author = {Fonseca, C and Wood, LE and Andriamahefazafy, M and Casal, G and Chaigneau, T and Cornet, CC and Degia, AK and Failler, P and Ferraro, G and Furlan, E and Hawkins, J and de Juan, S and Krause, T and McCarthy, T and Pérez, G and Roberts, C and Trégarot, E and O'Leary, BC}, title = {Survey data of public awareness on climate change and the value of marine and coastal ecosystems.}, journal = {Data in brief}, volume = {47}, number = {}, pages = {108924}, pmid = {36798595}, issn = {2352-3409}, abstract = {The long-term provision of ocean ecosystem services depends on healthy ecosystems and effective sustainable management. Understanding public opinion about marine and coastal ecosystems is important to guide decision-making and inform specific actions. However, available data on public perceptions on the interlinked effects of climate change, human impacts and the value and management of marine and coastal ecosystems are rare. This dataset presents raw data from an online, self-administered, public awareness survey conducted between November 2021 and February 2022 which yielded 709 responses from 42 countries. The survey was released in four languages (English, French, Spanish and Italian) and consisted of four main parts: (1) perceptions about climate change; (2) perceptions about the value of, and threats to, coasts, oceans and their wildlife, (3) perceptions about climate change response; and (4) socio-demographic information. Participation in the survey was voluntary and all respondents provided informed consent after reading a participant information form at the beginning of the survey. Responses were anonymous unless respondents chose to provide contact information. All identifying information has been removed from the dataset. The dataset can be used to conduct quantitative analyses, especially in the area of public perceptions of the interlinkages between climate change, human impacts and options for sustainable management in the context of marine and coastal ecosystems. The dataset is provided with this article, including a copy of the survey and participant information forms in all four languages, data and the corresponding codebook.}, } @article {pmid36797719, year = {2023}, author = {Pan, Z and Yu, L and Shao, M and Ma, Y and Cheng, Y and Wu, Y and Xu, S and Zhang, C and Zhu, J and Pan, F and Sun, G}, title = {The influence of meteorological factors and total malignant tumor health risk in Wuhu city in the context of climate change.}, journal = {BMC public health}, volume = {23}, number = {1}, pages = {346}, pmid = {36797719}, issn = {1471-2458}, abstract = {With the increasing severity of the malignant tumors situation worldwide, the impacts of climate on them are receiving increasing attention. In this study, for the first time, all-malignant tumors were used as the dependent variable and absolute humidity (AH) was innovatively introduced into the independent variable to investigate the relationship between all-malignant tumors and meteorological factors. A total of 42,188 cases of malignant tumor deaths and meteorological factors in Wuhu City were collected over a 7-year (2014-2020) period. The analysis method combines distributed lagged nonlinear modeling (DLNM) as well as generalized additive modeling (GAM), with prior pre-analysis using structural equation modeling (SEM). The results showed that AH, temperature mean (T mean) and diurnal temperature range (DTR) all increased the malignant tumors mortality risk. Exposure to low and exceedingly low AH increases the malignant tumors mortality risk with maximum RR values of 1.008 (95% CI: 1.001, 1.015, lag 3) and 1.016 (95% CI: 1.001, 1.032, lag 1), respectively. In addition, low and exceedingly low T mean exposures also increased the risk of malignant tumors mortality, the maximum RR was 1.020 (95% CI: 1.006, 1.034) for low T mean and 1.035 (95% CI: 1.014, 1.058) for exceedingly low T mean. As for DTR, all four levels (exceedingly low, low, high, exceedingly high, from low to high) of exposure increased the risk of death from malignant tumors, from exceedingly low to exceedingly high maximum RR values of 1.018 (95% CI: 1.004, 1.032), 1.011 (95% CI: 1.005, 1.017), 1.006 (95% CI: 1.001, 1.012) and 1.019 (95% CI: 1.007, 1.031), respectively. The results of the stratified analysis suggested that female appear to be more sensitive to humidity, while male require additional attention to reduce exposure to high level of DTR.}, } @article {pmid36796967, year = {2023}, author = {Dhimal, M and Bhandari, D}, title = {Climate change and imperatives to ascertain causes of infectious diarrhoea in low-income and middle-income countries.}, journal = {The Lancet. Global health}, volume = {11}, number = {3}, pages = {e308-e309}, doi = {10.1016/S2214-109X(23)00012-8}, pmid = {36796967}, issn = {2214-109X}, } @article {pmid36796921, year = {2023}, author = {Santos, MA and Antunes, MA and Grandela, A and Carromeu-Santos, A and Quina, AS and Santos, M and Matos, M and Simões, P}, title = {Past history shapes evolution of reproductive success in a global warming scenario.}, journal = {Journal of thermal biology}, volume = {112}, number = {}, pages = {103478}, doi = {10.1016/j.jtherbio.2023.103478}, pmid = {36796921}, issn = {0306-4565}, abstract = {Adaptive evolution is critical for animal populations to thrive in the fast-changing natural environments. Ectotherms are particularly vulnerable to global warming and, although their limited coping ability has been suggested, few real-time evolution experiments have directly accessed their evolutionary potential. Here, we report a long-term experimental evolution study addressing the evolution of Drosophila thermal reaction norms, after ∼30 generations under different dynamic thermal regimes: fluctuating (daily variation between 15 and 21 °C) or warming (daily fluctuation with increases in both thermal mean and variance across generations). We analyzed the evolutionary dynamics of Drosophila subobscura populations as a function of the thermally variable environments in which they evolved and their distinct background. Our results showed clear differences between the historically differentiated populations: high latitude D. subobscura populations responded to selection, improving their reproductive success at higher temperatures whereas their low latitude counterparts did not. This suggests population variation in the amount of genetic variation available for thermal adaptation, an aspect that needs to be considered to allow for better predictions of future climate change responses. Our results highlight the complex nature of thermal responses in face of environmental heterogeneity and emphasize the importance of considering inter-population variation in thermal evolution studies.}, } @article {pmid36796891, year = {2023}, author = {Cetin, M and Sevik, H and Koc, I and Zeren Cetin, I}, title = {The change in biocomfort zones in the area of Muğla province in near future due to the global climate change scenarios.}, journal = {Journal of thermal biology}, volume = {112}, number = {}, pages = {103434}, doi = {10.1016/j.jtherbio.2022.103434}, pmid = {36796891}, issn = {0306-4565}, abstract = {It is inevitable that the global climate change, which has important effects on the climate throughout the world, would have significant effects on the biocomfort zones. Hence, how global climate change will change the biocomfort zones should be determined and the data to be obtained should be used in urban planning projects. In the current study, SSPs 245 and SSPs 585 scenarios were taken as a basis, and the potential effects of global climate change on the biocomfort zones in Muğla province, Türkiye were investigated. Within the scope of the present study, the current status of biocomfort zones in Muğla and their possible conditions in years 2040, 2060, 2080, and 2100 were compared using DI and ETv methods. At the end of the study, it was estimated that, according DI method, 14.13% of Muğla province are in cold zone, 31.96% in cool zone, and 53.71% in comfortable zone. According to the SSPs 585 scenario, together with the increase in temperature, the cold and cool zones will totally disappear in year 2100, comfortable zones will decrease to 31.22%, and approx. 68.78% of the province will be in hot zone. According to the calculations made using ETv method, Muğla province currently consists of moderately cold zones by 2%, quite cold zones by 13.16%, slightly cold zones by 57.06%, and mild zones by 27.79%. Based on the SSPs 585 scenario for the year 2100, it is projected that Muğla will consist of slightly cool zones by 1.41%, mild zones by 14.42%, and comfortable zones by 68.06%, besides warm zones by 16.11% which are not present at this moment. This finding suggests that especially the cooling costs will increase and the air-conditioning systems to be used will negatively affect the global climate change through the energy consumption and the gases used.}, } @article {pmid36796398, year = {2023}, author = {The Lancet Respiratory Medicine, }, title = {Climate change crisis goes critical.}, journal = {The Lancet. Respiratory medicine}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, doi = {10.1016/S2213-2600(23)00056-5}, pmid = {36796398}, issn = {2213-2619}, } @article {pmid36794773, year = {2023}, author = {Seiler, LY and Stalker, GJ}, title = {Canadian climate change attitudes and energy policy.}, journal = {Canadian review of sociology = Revue canadienne de sociologie}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, doi = {10.1111/cars.12424}, pmid = {36794773}, issn = {1755-618X}, abstract = {This paper uses original Canadian survey data to compare support for and opposition to five energy-related climate policies. Results show that Canadians were very concerned about climate change and supportive of the policies. Variation in support and opposition was investigated using logistic regression. We tested models that associate climate policy support with a combination of one's ecological worldview, climate change attitudes, personal capabilities, contextual influences, and ascription of responsibility to take action on climate change, applying elements of Stern's (2000) theory of environmentally-significant behaviour and Patchen's (2010) model of climate change behaviour. We found that the more abstract policies attracted a different set of predictors than the more concrete policies. Females and parents showed increased support for the more abstract policies. Having an ecological worldview was a significant predictor of support for all policies but was obscured by other factors in a combined model. Cet article utilise des données d'enquête canadiennes originales pour comparer le soutien et l'opposition à cinq politiques climatiques liées à l'énergie. Les résultats montrent que les Canadiens étaient très préoccupés par le changement climatique et appuyaient les politiques. La variation du soutien et de l'opposition a été étudiée à l'aide de la régression logistique. Nous avons testé des modèles qui associent le soutien à la politique climatique à une combinaison de vision du monde écologique, d'attitudes face au changement climatique, de capacités personnelles, d'influences contextuelles et d'attribution de la responsabilité d'agir sur le changement climatique, en appliquant des éléments de la théorie de Stern (2000) sur le comportement significatif pour l'environnement et le modèle de comportement face au changement climatique de Patchen (2010). Nous avons constaté que les politiques plus abstraites attiraient un ensemble différent de prédicteurs que les politiques plus concrètes. Les femmes et les parents ont montré un soutien accru pour les politiques plus abstraites. Avoir une vision du monde écologique était un prédicteur significatif du soutien à toutes les politiques, mais était obscurci par d'autres facteurs dans un modèle combiné.}, } @article {pmid36794619, year = {2022}, author = {Zielinski, C and , }, title = {COP27 climate change conference: urgent action needed for Africa and the world.}, journal = {BMJ leader}, volume = {6}, number = {4}, pages = {251-252}, doi = {10.1136/leader-2022-000696}, pmid = {36794619}, issn = {2398-631X}, } @article {pmid36794470, year = {2023}, author = {Powlson, DS and Galdos, MV}, title = {Challenging claimed benefits of soil carbon sequestration for mitigating climate change and increasing crop yields: heresy or sober realism?.}, journal = {Global change biology}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, doi = {10.1111/gcb.16640}, pmid = {36794470}, issn = {1365-2486}, } @article {pmid36793894, year = {2023}, author = {Arikan, A and Cakir, N}, title = {Climate change and future infectious diseases: A growing threat.}, journal = {New microbes and new infections}, volume = {52}, number = {}, pages = {101088}, pmid = {36793894}, issn = {2052-2975}, } @article {pmid36792531, year = {2023}, author = {Wang, BX and Hof, AR and Matson, KD and Langevelde, FV and Ma, CS}, title = {Climate change, host plant availability, and irrigation shape future region-specific distributions of the Sitobion grain aphid complex.}, journal = {Pest management science}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, doi = {10.1002/ps.7409}, pmid = {36792531}, issn = {1526-4998}, abstract = {BACKGROUND: Understanding where species occur using species distribution models has become fundamental to ecology. Although much attention has been paid to invasive species, questions about climate change related range shifts of widespread insect pests remain unanswered. Here, we incorporated bioclimatic factors and host plant availability into CLIMEX models to predict distributions under future climate scenarios of major cereal pests of the Sitobion grain aphid complex (Sitobion avenae, S. miscanthi, and S. akebiae). Additionally, we incorporated the application of irrigation in our models to explore the relevance of a frequently used management practice that may interact with effects of climate change of the pest distributions.

RESULTS: Our models predicted that the area potentially at high risk of outbreaks of the Sitobion grain aphid complex would increase from 41.3% to 53.3% of the global land mass. This expansion was underlined by regional shifts in both directions: expansion of risk areas in North America, Europe, most of Asia, and Oceania, and contraction of risk areas in South America, Africa, and Australia. In addition, we found that host plant availability limited the potential distribution of pests, while the application of irrigation expanded it.

CONCLUSION: Our study provides insights into potential risk areas of insect pests and how climate, host plant availability, and irrigation affect the occurrence of the Sitobion grain aphid complex. Our results thereby support agricultural policy makers, farmers, and other stakeholders in their development and application of management practices aimed at maximizing crop yields and minimizing economic losses.}, } @article {pmid36792419, year = {2023}, author = {Cockrell, HC and Hansen, EE and Gow, K and Fecteau, A and Greenberg, SLM}, title = {The intersection of pediatric surgery, climate change, and equity.}, journal = {Journal of pediatric surgery}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, doi = {10.1016/j.jpedsurg.2023.01.017}, pmid = {36792419}, issn = {1531-5037}, abstract = {Climate change is occurring at an unprecedented rate. Recent years have seen heatwaves, wildfires, floods, droughts, and re-emerging infectious diseases fueled by global warming. Global warming has also increased the frequency and severity of surgical disease, particularly for children, who bear an estimated 88% of the global burden of disease attributable to climate change. Health care delivery itself weighs heavily on the environment, accounting for nearly 5% of global greenhouse gas emissions. Within the health care sector, surgery and anesthesia are particularly carbon intensive. The surgical community must prioritize the intersection of climate change and pediatric surgery in order to address pediatric surgical disease on a global scale, while reducing the climate impact of surgical care delivery. This review defines the current state of climate change and its effects on pediatric surgical disease, discusses climate justice, and outlines actions to reduce the climate impact of surgical services. LEVEL OF EVIDENCE: Level V.}, } @article {pmid36791106, year = {2023}, author = {Brodie, JF and Watson, JEM}, title = {Human responses to climate change will likely determine the fate of biodiversity.}, journal = {Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America}, volume = {120}, number = {8}, pages = {e2205512120}, doi = {10.1073/pnas.2205512120}, pmid = {36791106}, issn = {1091-6490}, } @article {pmid36791074, year = {2023}, author = {Gregersen, T and Doran, R and Böhm, G and Pfister, HR}, title = {Expected climate change consequences and their role in explaining individual risk judgments.}, journal = {PloS one}, volume = {18}, number = {2}, pages = {e0281258}, doi = {10.1371/journal.pone.0281258}, pmid = {36791074}, issn = {1932-6203}, abstract = {This study examines what individuals expect will be the most important impacts of climate change on their respective countries, and how these expectations relate to individual risk judgments. Open-ended responses from representative samples in four European countries (each n > 1000), were sorted into six categories: expectations of climate change leading to changes in attitudes and goals, human activities, emissions and pollution, environmental changes, impacts on humans, or few or no impacts. The results showed that the most frequently mentioned climate change impacts were related to environmental changes. Although most results were consistent across the UK, Norway, Germany, and France, some differences were identified. For example, respondents in the UK and Norway more frequently mentioned changes in human actions and activities among the most important climate change impacts. We also found differences between demographic groups; men, those in the oldest age groups, and those placing themselves further right on the political spectrum were more likely to expect few or no consequences of climate change on their country. Additional analyses examined relationships between the six impact categories and two different measures of individual risk judgments. Those expecting climate change to lead to changes in attitudes and goals, environmental changes, or impacts on humans reported higher levels of worry about climate change and expected more negative effects on their country. Climate change worry, but not the evaluation of how positive or negative effects will be on one's country, was further related to the number of consequences mentioned in response to the open-ended question and the specificity conveyed.}, } @article {pmid36790303, year = {2023}, author = {Sokolova, IM}, title = {Ectotherm mitochondrial economy and responses to global warming.}, journal = {Acta physiologica (Oxford, England)}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {e13950}, doi = {10.1111/apha.13950}, pmid = {36790303}, issn = {1748-1716}, abstract = {Temperature is a key abiotic factor affecting ecology, biogeography and evolution of species. Alterations of energy metabolism play an important role in adaptations and plastic responses to temperature shifts on different time scales. Mitochondrial metabolism plays a key role in bioenergetics and redox balance making these organelles an important determinant of organismal performances such as growth, locomotion or development. Here I analyze the impacts of environmental temperature on the mitochondrial functions (including oxidative phosphorylation, proton leak, production of reactive oxygen species and ATP synthesis) of ectotherms and discuss the mechanisms underlying negative shifts in the mitochondrial energy economy caused by supraoptimal temperatures. Due to the differences in the thermal sensitivity of different mitochondrial processes, elevated temperatures (beyond the species- and population-specific optimal range) cause reallocation of the electron flux and the protonmotive force (Δp) in a way that decreases ATP synthesis efficiency, elevates the relative cost of the mitochondrial maintenance, causes excessive production of reactive oxygen species (ROS) and raises energy cost for antioxidant defense. These shifts in the mitochondrial energy economy might have negative consequences for the organismal fitness traits such as the thermal tolerance or growth. Correlation between the thermal sensitivity indices of the mitochondria and the whole organism indicate that these traits experience similar selective pressures but further investigations are needed to establish whether there is a cause-effect relationship between the mitochondrial failure and loss of organismal performance during temperature change.}, } @article {pmid36789726, year = {2023}, author = {Hodapp, D and Roca, IT and Fiorentino, D and Garilao, C and Kaschner, K and Kesner-Reyes, K and Schneider, B and Segschneider, J and Kocsis, ÁT and Kiessling, W and Brey, T and Froese, R}, title = {Climate change disrupts core habitats of marine species.}, journal = {Global change biology}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, doi = {10.1111/gcb.16612}, pmid = {36789726}, issn = {1365-2486}, abstract = {Driven by climate change, marine biodiversity is undergoing a phase of rapid change that has proven to be even faster than changes observed in terrestrial ecosystems. Understanding how these changes in species composition will affect future marine life is crucial for conservation management, especially due to increasing demands for marine natural resources. Here, we analyse predictions of a multiparameter habitat suitability model covering the global projected ranges of >33,500 marine species from climate model projections under three CO2 emission scenarios (RCP2.6, RCP4.5, RCP8.5) up to the year 2100. Our results show that the core habitat area will decline for many species, resulting in a net loss of 50% of the core habitat area for almost half of all marine species in 2100 under the high-emission scenario RCP8.5. As an additional consequence of the continuing distributional reorganization of marine life, gaps around the equator will appear for 8% (RCP2.6), 24% (RCP4.5), and 88% (RCP8.5) of marine species with cross-equatorial ranges. For many more species, continuous distributional ranges will be disrupted, thus reducing effective population size. In addition, high invasion rates in higher latitudes and polar regions will lead to substantial changes in the ecosystem and food web structure, particularly regarding the introduction of new predators. Overall, our study highlights that the degree of spatial and structural reorganization of marine life with ensued consequences for ecosystem functionality and conservation efforts will critically depend on the realized greenhouse gas emission pathway.}, } @article {pmid36788932, year = {2023}, author = {Fila, D and Fünfgeld, H and Dahlmann, H}, title = {Climate change adaptation with limited resources: adaptive capacity and action in small- and medium-sized municipalities.}, journal = {Environment, development and sustainability}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {1-21}, pmid = {36788932}, issn = {1573-2975}, abstract = {Administrations in small- and medium-sized municipalities (SMM) are confronted with the impacts of climate change while having inadequate resources to adapt. In order to establish the current state of research on climate change adaptation in SMM, a systematic literature review was conducted. Using reported SMM adaptation in the peer-reviewed literature as our data base, we documented 115 adaptation initiatives between 2015 and 2021 matching our criteria, with substantial geographical and thematic differences. The qualitative analysis of highly relevant articles has shown that the specific understanding about the challenges and barriers of climate change adaptation in SMM remains limited. We highlight recent key trends and challenges and conclude by offering a refined research agenda for addressing identified knowledge gaps as well as key barriers in relation to SMM adaptation.}, } @article {pmid36787720, year = {2022}, author = {Temple, DH}, title = {Transforming the climate? Towards an emerging bioarchaeological synthesis of global climate change.}, journal = {American journal of biological anthropology}, volume = {177}, number = {4}, pages = {794-796}, doi = {10.1002/ajpa.24463}, pmid = {36787720}, issn = {2692-7691}, } @article {pmid36787064, year = {2023}, author = {Usman, M and Ali, A and Bashir, MK and Baig, SA and Mushtaq, K and Abbas, A and Akram, R and Iqbal, MS}, title = {Modelling wellbeing of farmers by using nexus of climate change risk perception, adaptation strategies, and their drivers on irrigation water in Pakistan.}, journal = {Environmental science and pollution research international}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, pmid = {36787064}, issn = {1614-7499}, abstract = {This study aimed to determine the farmers' perceived impact of climate change on irrigation water and the adaptation measure adopted to mitigate its adverse effects. A binary logistic regression model was used to identified factors affecting the selection of adaptation measures. Partial Least Square-Structural Equation Modelling (PLS-SEM) was employed to compute the benefits of adaptation strategies. The study was conducted in two major cropping systems, i.e., the Cotton Wheat Cropping System (CWCS) and Rice Wheat Cropping System (RWCS) of Punjab, Pakistan, using primary data of 1080 farmers collected through a multistage sampling technique. Due to climate change there was deterioration in surface water and groundwater quality in CWCS than in RWCS. The farmer uses different adaptation strategies like water harvesting, crop diversification, increasing use of irrigation, laser land leveling to save water, making ridges, building a water harvesting scheme, changing irrigation time, high-efficiency irrigation system and water-saving technologies. Adaptation strategies used by farmer were affected by different socioeconomic, demographic and agronomic factors. Results of the binary logistic regression showed that age, farming experience, education, household size, farm size, tenancy status of owner, access to farm credit, information on weather forecasting, soil quality, tube well ownership, remittances, off-farm income, agricultural extension services provided for irrigation water, and information on climatic and natural hazards played a significant role in the selection of adaptation strategies for irrigation water. Results of PLS-SEM showed that adaptation strategies mitigate the adverse effects of climate change on irrigation water. Farmers' awareness regarding the impact of climatic variability on irrigation water should be enhanced. Availability of credit to farmers should be improved on easy terms to facilitate the adoption of interventions for better irrigation water management. It is high time for policymakers to design effective, affordable, and workable policies to mitigate climate change vulnerabilities against irrigation water to improve the wellbeing of the farmers.}, } @article {pmid36781961, year = {2023}, author = {Mitchell Crow, J}, title = {Searching the ocean for secrets to help fight climate change.}, journal = {Nature}, volume = {614}, number = {7948}, pages = {586}, doi = {10.1038/d41586-023-00404-7}, pmid = {36781961}, issn = {1476-4687}, } @article {pmid36781882, year = {2023}, author = {Irwandi, H and Rosid, MS and Mart, T}, title = {Effects of Climate change on temperature and precipitation in the Lake Toba region, Indonesia, based on ERA5-land data with quantile mapping bias correction.}, journal = {Scientific reports}, volume = {13}, number = {1}, pages = {2542}, pmid = {36781882}, issn = {2045-2322}, abstract = {Climate change is a serious problem that can cause global variations in temperature and rainfall patterns. This global variation can affect the water availability of lakes. In this study, trends in temperature and rainfall in the Lake Toba area for 40 years (1981-2020) were analyzed using ERA5-Land data corrected with observation station data utilizing the quantile mapping bias correction method. Corrected ERA5-Land data were used in this study to show spatial patterns and trends. The Mann-Kendall and Sen slope tests were carried out to see the magnitude of the trend. A comparison of temperature and rainfall against their baseline period (1951-1980) was also investigated. The results of this study show that climate change has affected the trend of increasing temperature and rainfall in the Lake Toba area, with an increase in temperature of 0.006 °C per year and an average rainfall of 0.71 mm per year. In general, significant changes in the increase of temperature and rainfall occurred in the last decade, with an increase in temperature of 0.24 °C and rainfall of 22%. The study of the impact of climate change expected to be useful for policymakers in managing water resources in the Lake Toba area.}, } @article {pmid36778933, year = {2022}, author = {Ellwanger, JH and Chies, JAB}, title = {Candida auris emergence as a consequence of climate change: Impacts on Americas and the need to contain greenhouse gas emissions.}, journal = {Lancet regional health. Americas}, volume = {11}, number = {}, pages = {100250}, pmid = {36778933}, issn = {2667-193X}, } @article {pmid36778704, year = {2023}, author = {Broccanello, C and Bellin, D and DalCorso, G and Furini, A and Taranto, F}, title = {Genetic approaches to exploit landraces for improvement of Triticum turgidum ssp. durum in the age of climate change.}, journal = {Frontiers in plant science}, volume = {14}, number = {}, pages = {1101271}, pmid = {36778704}, issn = {1664-462X}, abstract = {Addressing the challenges of climate change and durum wheat production is becoming an important driver for food and nutrition security in the Mediterranean area, where are located the major producing countries (Italy, Spain, France, Greece, Morocco, Algeria, Tunisia, Turkey, and Syria). One of the emergent strategies, to cope with durum wheat adaptation, is the exploration and exploitation of the existing genetic variability in landrace populations. In this context, this review aims to highlight the important role of durum wheat landraces as a useful genetic resource to improve the sustainability of Mediterranean agroecosystems, with a focus on adaptation to environmental stresses. We described the most recent molecular techniques and statistical approaches suitable for the identification of beneficial genes/alleles related to the most important traits in landraces and the development of molecular markers for marker-assisted selection. Finally, we outline the state of the art about landraces genetic diversity and signature of selection, already identified from these accessions, for adaptability to the environment.}, } @article {pmid36778687, year = {2023}, author = {Marigliano, LE and Yu, R and Torres, N and Medina-Plaza, C and Oberholster, A and Kurtural, SK}, title = {Overhead photoselective shade films mitigate effects of climate change by arresting flavonoid and aroma composition degradation in wine.}, journal = {Frontiers in plant science}, volume = {14}, number = {}, pages = {1085939}, pmid = {36778687}, issn = {1664-462X}, abstract = {INTRODUCTION: Overhead photoselective shade films installed in vineyards improve berry composition in hot grape-growing regions. The aim of the study was to evaluate the flavonoid and aroma profiles and composition of wines from Cabernet Sauvignon grapes (Vitis vinifera L.) treated with partial solar radiation exclusion.

METHODS: Experimental design consisted in a randomized experiment with four shade films (D1, D3, D4, D5) with differing solar radiation spectra transmittance and compared to an uncovered control (C0) performed over two seasons (2021 and 2022) in Oakville (CA, USA). Berries were collected by hand at harvest and individual vinifications for each treatment and season were conducted in triplicates. Then, wine chemical composition, flavonoid and aromatic profiles were analyzed.

RESULTS: The wines from D4 treatment had greater color intensity and total phenolic index due to co-pigmentation with anthocyanins. Shade film wines D5 and D1 from the 2020 vintage demonstrated increased total anthocyanins in the hotter of the two experimental years. In 2021, reduced cluster temperatures optimized total anthocyanins in D4 wines. Reduced cluster temperatures modulated anthocyanin acylation, methylation and hydroxylation in shade film wines. Volatile aroma composition was analyzed using gas chromatography mass spectroscopy (GCMS) and D4 wines exhibited a more fruity and pleasant aroma profile than C0 wines.

DISCUSSION: Results provided evidence that partial solar radiation exclusion in the vineyard using overhead shade films directly improved flavonoid and aroma profiles of resultant wines under hot vintage conditions, providing a tool for combatting air temperatures and warmer growing conditions associated with climate change.}, } @article {pmid36778685, year = {2023}, author = {Shen, M and Cai, C and Song, L and Qiu, J and Ma, C and Wang, D and Gu, X and Yang, X and Wei, W and Tao, Y and Zhang, J and Liu, G and Zhu, C}, title = {Elevated CO2 and temperature under future climate change increase severity of rice sheath blight.}, journal = {Frontiers in plant science}, volume = {14}, number = {}, pages = {1115614}, pmid = {36778685}, issn = {1664-462X}, abstract = {Sheath blight (ShB), caused by Rhizoctonia solani, is one of the major threats to rice (Oryza sativa L.) production. However, it is not clear how the risk of rice ShB will respond to elevated CO2 and temperature under future climate change. Here, we conducted, field experiments of inoculated R. solani under combinations of two CO2 levels (ambient and enriched up to 590 μmol mol[-1]) and two temperature levels (ambient and increased by 2.0°C) in temperature by free-air CO2 enrichment (T-FACE) system for two cultivars (a susceptible cultivar, Lemont and a resistant cultivar, YSBR1). Results indicate that for the inoculation of plants with R. solani, the vertical length of ShB lesions for cv. Lemont was significantly longer than that for cv. YSBR1 under four CO2 and temperature treatments. The vertical length of ShB lesions was significantly increased by elevated temperature, but not by elevated CO2, for both cultivars. The vertical length of ShB lesions under the combination of elevated CO2 and elevated temperature was increased by 21-38% for cv. Lemont and by -1-6% for cv. YSBR1. A significant increase in MDA level was related to a significant increase in the vertical length of ShB lesions under the combination of elevated CO2 and elevated temperature. Elevated CO2 could not compensate for the negative effect of elevated temperature on yield of both cultivars under future climate change. Rice yield and biomass were further decreased by 2.0-2.5% and 2.9-4.2% by an increase in the severity of ShB under the combination of elevated CO2 and elevated temperature. Thus, reasonable agronomic management practices are required to improve both resistance to ShB disease and grain yield for rice under future climate change.}, } @article {pmid36778535, year = {2023}, author = {Watts, T and Brugger, SO}, title = {The intersection between climate change, COVID-19, and future pandemics - Perspectives among American transportation network drivers.}, journal = {Journal of transport & health}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {101582}, pmid = {36778535}, issn = {2214-1405}, abstract = {INTRODUCTION: Drivers of Transportation Network Companies (TNC) are an essential workforce that is affected by extreme weather events and high exposure risk to airborne infectious diseases due to their proximity with customers. The purpose of this study was to understand TNC drivers' professional experience during the COVID-19 pandemic and their opinions about climate change and the development of future pandemics.

METHODS: Open- and closed-ended responses were collected during TNC rides and analyzed with content analysis and descriptive statistics.

RESULTS: We found more participants believed in the COVID-19 pandemic compared to participants who believed in climate change. Overall, participants were less concerned about COVID-19 than climate change. However, several participants felt that the pandemic had a positive impact on the climate system, specifically by reducing air pollution from traffic. Few participants felt that climate change could lead to the development of future pandemics.

CONCLUSIONS: The TNC essential workforce could be integral for identifying transportation and public health sectors solutions for addressing the occupational health needs of an essential workforce, and response to climate change and pandemics.}, } @article {pmid36778073, year = {2022}, author = {Atwoli, L and Erhabor, GE and Gbakima, AA and Haileamlak, A and Kayembe Ntumba, JM and Kigera, J and Laybourn-Langton, L and Mash, R and Muhia, J and Mulaudzi, FM and Ofori-Adjei, D and Okonofua, F and Rashidian, A and Adawy, ME and Sidib, S and Snouber, A and Tumwine, J and Yassien, MS and Yonga, P and Zakhama, L and Zielinski, C}, title = {COP27 Climate Change Conference: Urgent action needed for Africa and the world.}, journal = {Lancet regional health. Americas}, volume = {15}, number = {}, pages = {100386}, pmid = {36778073}, issn = {2667-193X}, } @article {pmid36777765, year = {2022}, author = {Campbell, E and Uppalapati, SS and Kotcher, J and Maibach, E}, title = {Communication research to improve engagement with climate change and human health: A review.}, journal = {Frontiers in public health}, volume = {10}, number = {}, pages = {1086858}, pmid = {36777765}, issn = {2296-2565}, abstract = {Because of the world's dependence on fossil fuels, climate change and air pollution are profoundly harming both human and planetary health. Fortunately, climate solutions are also health solutions, and they present both local and global opportunities to foster cleaner, healthier, and safer communities. In this review, we briefly discuss the human health harms of climate change, climate and health solutions, and provide a thorough synthesis of social science research on climate and health communication. Through our review, we found that social science research provides an evidence-based foundation for messaging strategies that can build public and political will for climate and health solutions. Specifically, messages that convey the health harms of climate change and highlight the health benefits of climate solutions may be especially effective in building this public and political will. We also found that health professionals are trusted sources of information about climate change, and many have shown interest in engaging with the public and policymakers about the health relevance of climate change and clean energy. Together, the alignment between message strategies and the interest of highly trusted messengers strongly suggests the potential of health students and health professionals to create the conditions necessary to address climate change as a public health imperative. Therefore, our review serves as a resource for those interested in communicating about climate change and health and suggests that social scientists can continue to support practitioners with research and advice on the most effective communication strategies.}, } @article {pmid36777712, year = {2023}, author = {Muralidhar, M and Srikanth, AS and Pinmangkorn, S and Santosh, M and Milos, J}, title = {Role of Superconducting Materials in the Endeavor to Stop Climate Change and Reach Sustainable Development.}, journal = {Journal of superconductivity and novel magnetism}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {1-10}, pmid = {36777712}, issn = {1557-1939}, abstract = {Progress in the mass production of newly developed bulk (Gd0.33Y0.13Er0.53)Ba2Cu3Oy "(Gd,Y,Er)123" and MgB2 systems is presented. Two batches of (Gd,Y,Er)123 pellets of 20 mm diameter and 7 mm thick were prepared in air by an infiltration growth "IG" process. Trapped field distribution profiles of fully grown bulk samples clearly showed that all samples were single-grain and the trapped field values were more than 0.5 T at 77 K, 1.3 mm above top surface. The best bulk exhibited the trapped field value of 0.63 T at 77 K. Ultra-sonication technique was employed for refining precursors of both (Gd,Y,Er)211 and boron. TEM studies revealed that boron powder subjected to ultrasonication was refined up to nanoscale. The micron-sized particles were reduced to nanoscale, which led to improvement of critical current by up to 36% in bulk MgB2 at 20 K and self-field. This progress in fabrication of high-performance LREBa2Cu3Oy and MgB2 superconducting bulks further promotes commercialization of superconductors' production as a mode of sustainable technology.}, } @article {pmid36777420, year = {2022}, author = {Atwoli, L and Erhabor, GE and Gbakima, AA and Haileamlak, A and Kayembe Ntumba, JM and Kigera, J and Laybourn-Langton, L and Mash, B and Muhia, J and Mavis Mulaudzi, F and Ofori-Adjei, D and Okonofua, F and Rashidian, A and El-Adawy, M and Sidibé, S and Snouber, A and Tumwine, J and Sahar Yassien, M and Yonga, P and Zakhama, L and Zielinski, C}, title = {COP27 Climate Change Conference: urgent action needed for Africa and the world: Wealthy nations must step up support for Africa and vulnerable countries in addressing past, present and future impacts of climate change.}, journal = {Crohn's & colitis 360}, volume = {4}, number = {3}, pages = {otac037}, pmid = {36777420}, issn = {2631-827X}, } @article {pmid36777085, year = {2022}, author = {Latkin, C and Dayton, L and Scherkoske, M and Countess, K and Thrul, J}, title = {What predicts climate change activism?: An examination of how depressive symptoms, climate change distress, and social norms are associated with climate change activism.}, journal = {The journal of climate change and health}, volume = {8}, number = {}, pages = {}, pmid = {36777085}, issn = {2667-2782}, abstract = {BACKGROUND: The current and future harms caused by climate change are highly distressing. Different theoretical models suggest diverse impacts of distress on behavior. We examined how psychological distress, climate change distress, and social norms may foster or impede climate change activism.

METHODS: As part of an ongoing online longitudinal study in the US beginning in March 2020, respondents were assessed on their depressive symptoms (CES-D 10), climate change distress, climate change mitigation social norms, and six outcomes of the climate change activism behaviors of writing letters, e-mailing, or phoning government officials; voting for candidates who support measures to reduce climate change; signing petitions; volunteering with organizations; donating money to organizations; and attending protests.

RESULTS: Of the 775 respondents, 53% were female, 72% white, 12% Black, 7% Hispanic, and 6% Asian. Climate change social norms predicted all six climate change actions in the bivariate and multivariable cross-sectional logistic regression models. A similar finding was observed with the brief climate change distress scale (BCCDS), except it was not associated with volunteering in the multivariable model. Depressive symptoms were associated with greater odds of contacting government officials and signing petitions in the bivariate models but did not retain significance in the multivariable models. Longitudinal models indicated a weak association between depressive symptoms and climate change activism.

CONCLUSIONS: Climate change distress and social norms are positively associated with climate change activism. Although climate change distress may not usually impede climate change activism, organizations addressing climate change should consider providing social support to members and assisting those with high levels of psychological and climate change distress. Social norms around climate change activism should be fostered.}, } @article {pmid36774776, year = {2023}, author = {Aledo-Serrano, A and Battaglia, G and Blenkinsop, S and Delanty, N and Elbendary, HM and Eyal, S and Guekht, A and Gulcebi, MI and Henshall, DC and Hildebrand, MS and Macrohon, B and Madaan, P and Mifsud, J and Mills, JD and Neill, KH and Romagnolo, A and Vezzani, A and Sisodiya, SM}, title = {Taking action on climate change: Testimonials and position statement from the International League Against Epilepsy Climate Change Commission.}, journal = {Seizure}, volume = {106}, number = {}, pages = {68-75}, doi = {10.1016/j.seizure.2023.02.003}, pmid = {36774776}, issn = {1532-2688}, abstract = {The release of the 2021 Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) report makes clear that human activities have resulted in significant alterations in global climate. There is no doubt that climate change is upon us; chronic global warming has been punctuated by more frequent extreme weather events. Humanity will have to mitigate climate change and adapt to these changing conditions or face dire consequences. One under-appreciated aspect of this global crisis is its impact on healthcare, particularly people with epilepsy and temperature-sensitive seizures. As members of the inaugural International League Against Epilepsy (ILAE) Climate Change Commission, we recount the personal motivations that have led each team member to decide to take action, in the hope that our journeys as ordinary clinicians and scientists will help persuade others that they too can act to foster change within their spheres of influence.}, } @article {pmid36777089, year = {2020}, author = {Gössling, S and Humpe, A}, title = {The global scale, distribution and growth of aviation: Implications for climate change.}, journal = {Global environmental change : human and policy dimensions}, volume = {65}, number = {}, pages = {102194}, pmid = {36777089}, issn = {0959-3780}, abstract = {Prior to the COVID-19 crisis, global air transport demand was expected to triple between 2020 and 2050. The pandemic, which reduced global air travel significantly, provides an opportunity to discuss the scale, distribution and growth of aviation until 2018, also with a view to consider the climate change implications of a return to volume growth. Industry statistics, data provided by supranational organizations, and national surveys are evaluated to develop a pre-pandemic understanding of air transport demand at global, regional, national and individual scales. Results suggest that the share of the world's population travelling by air in 2018 was 11%, with at most 4% taking international flights. Data also supports that a minor share of air travelers is responsible for a large share of warming: The percentile of the most frequent fliers - at most 1% of the world population - likely accounts for more than half of the total emissions from passenger air travel. Individual users of private aircraft can contribute to emissions of up to 7,500 t CO2 per year. Findings are specifically relevant with regard to the insight that a large share of global aviation emissions is not covered by policy agreements.}, } @article {pmid36774753, year = {2023}, author = {Wang, M and Liu, M and Zhang, D and Qi, J and Fu, W and Zhang, Y and Rao, Q and Bakhshipour, AE and Tan, SK}, title = {Assessing and optimizing the hydrological performance of Grey-Green infrastructure systems in response to climate change and non-stationary time series.}, journal = {Water research}, volume = {232}, number = {}, pages = {119720}, doi = {10.1016/j.watres.2023.119720}, pmid = {36774753}, issn = {1879-2448}, abstract = {Climate change has led to the increased intensity and frequency of extreme meteorological events, threatening the drainage capacity in urban catchments and densely built-up cities. To alleviate urban flooding disasters, strategies coupled with green and grey infrastructure have been proposed to support urban stormwater management. However, most strategies rely largely on diachronic rainfall data and ignore long-term climate change impacts. This study described a novel framework to assess and to identify the optimal solution in response to uncertainties following climate change. The assessment framework consists of three components: (1) assess and process climate data to generate long-term time series of meteorological parameters under different climate conditions; (2) optimise the design of Grey-Green infrastructure systems to establish the optimal design solutions; and (3) perform a multi-criteria assessment of economic and hydrological performance to support decision-making. A case study in Guangzhou, China was carried out to demonstrate the usability and application processes of the framework. The results of the case study illustrated that the optimised Grey-Green infrastructure could save life cycle costs and reduce total outflow (56-66%), peak flow (22-85%), and TSS (more than 60%) compared to the fully centralised grey infrastructure system, indicating its high superior in economic competitiveness and hydrological performance under climate uncertainties. In terms of spatial configuration, the contribution of green infrastructure appeared not as critical as the adoption of decentralisation of the drainage networks. Furthermore, under extreme drought scenarios, the decentralised infrastructure system exhibited an exceptionally high degree of removal performance for non-point source pollutants.}, } @article {pmid36774013, year = {2022}, author = {Atwoli, L and Erhabor, GE and Gbakima, AA and Haileamlak, A and Ntumba, JK and Kigera, J and Laybourn-Langton, L and Mash, B and Muhia, J and Mulaudzi, FM and Ofori-Adjei, D and Okonofua, F and Rashidian, A and El-Adawy, M and Sidibé, S and Snouber, A and Tumwine, J and Yassien, MS and Yonga, P and Zakhama, L and Zielinski, C}, title = {COP27 Climate Change Conference: Urgent Action Needed for Africa and the World: Wealthy nations must step up support for Africa and vulnerable countries in addressing past, present and future impacts of climate change.}, journal = {Advances in nutrition (Bethesda, Md.)}, volume = {13}, number = {6}, pages = {2067-2069}, doi = {10.1093/advances/nmac106}, pmid = {36774013}, issn = {2156-5376}, } @article {pmid36773915, year = {2023}, author = {Dong, H and Erdenegerel, A and Hou, X and Ding, W and Bai, H and Han, C}, title = {Herders' adaptation strategies and animal husbandry development under climate change: A panel data analysis.}, journal = {The Science of the total environment}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {162144}, doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2023.162144}, pmid = {36773915}, issn = {1879-1026}, abstract = {The frequent occurrence of extreme climate events has become an indisputable fact. However, the role of adaptation to extreme climate change in the development of livestock husbandry is still insufficiently understood. This study empirically analyzed the impact of herders' adaptation strategies to extreme drought on livestock husbandry development and aimed to explore the optimal grassland management path under continuous climate change. A panel dataset of surveyed herders from the Xilingol League, a traditional pastoral area in China, was used. The results indicated that the average frequency of extreme drought in the Xilingol League from 1980 to 2020 was 4.94 months/year, and the occurrence of extreme drought showed a slightly upward trend. The average technical efficiency of livestock husbandry was 0.721, which can still be improved. Hay purchases can effectively promote livestock technical efficiency (p<0.01) and is the main adaptation strategy of herders to extreme drought. Further analysis showed that non-farming and pastoral employment has a positive regulatory effect in the impact of purchased hay on livestock technical efficiency. The results of this study deepen the understanding of effective adaptation to extreme weather events in pastoral areas due to climate change and provide useful information to policymakers engaged in grassland management.}, } @article {pmid36773906, year = {2023}, author = {Santurtún, A and Shaman, J}, title = {Work accidents, climate change and COVID-19.}, journal = {The Science of the total environment}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {162129}, doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2023.162129}, pmid = {36773906}, issn = {1879-1026}, abstract = {The effects brought by climate change and the pandemic upon worker health and wellbeing are varied and necessitate the identification and implementation of improved strategic interventions. This review aims, firstly, to assess how climate change affects occupational accidents, focusing on the impacts of extreme air temperatures and natural disasters; and, secondly, to analyze the role of the pandemic in this context. Our results show that the manifestations of climate change affect workers physically while on the job, psychologically, and by modifying the work environment and conditions; all these factors can cause stress, in turn increasing the risk of suffering a work accident. There is no consensus on the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on work accidents; however, an increase in adverse mental effects on workers in contact with the public (specifically in healthcare) has been described. It has also been shown that this strain affects the risk of suffering an accident. During the pandemic, many people began to work remotely, and what initially appeared to be a provisional situation has been made permanent or semi-permanent in some positions and companies. However, we found no studies evaluating the working conditions of those who telework. In relation to the combined impact of climate change and the pandemic on occupational health, only publications focusing on the synergistic effect of heat due to the obligation to wear COVID-19-specific PPE, either outdoors or in poorly acclimatized indoor environments, were found. It is essential that preventive services establish new measures, train workers, and determine new priorities for adapting working conditions to these altered circumstances.}, } @article {pmid36771640, year = {2023}, author = {Pantović, JP and Božović, DP and Sabovljević, MS}, title = {Possible Effects of Climate Change on the Occurrence and Distribution of the Rare Moss Buxbaumia viridis in Serbia (SE Europe).}, journal = {Plants (Basel, Switzerland)}, volume = {12}, number = {3}, pages = {}, doi = {10.3390/plants12030557}, pmid = {36771640}, issn = {2223-7747}, abstract = {The distribution range and occurrence of the rare and threatened epixylic moss Buxbaumia viridis have been reviewed in Serbia. Climatic conditions of its recent distribution in Serbia were involved in species distribution modeling and analyzed with the aim of obtaining a projection of unknown potential sites and future scenarios of its distribution dynamics. The results achieved suggest potential distribution range of the species will be significantly reduced. According to the climate change models, the habitat changes including the range loss of this species are predicted to be drastic, i.e., between 93% and 97% by the year 2050, and between 98% and 99.9% by the year 2070, affecting primarily lower elevations of its current range in Serbia. A major reason for the projected decline of the species is climate change combined with continued poor forest management.}, } @article {pmid36771581, year = {2023}, author = {Rumler, R and Bender, D and Schoenlechner, R}, title = {Mitigating the Effect of Climate Change within the Cereal Sector: Improving Rheological and Baking Properties of Strong Gluten Wheat Doughs by Blending with Specialty Grains.}, journal = {Plants (Basel, Switzerland)}, volume = {12}, number = {3}, pages = {}, doi = {10.3390/plants12030492}, pmid = {36771581}, issn = {2223-7747}, abstract = {Due to the effect of climate change, wheat flour qualities with extremely high dough extensibility or dough strength are becoming more common, which impairs the production of selected wheat products such as pastries. The aim of this study was to investigate the effect of sorghum, millet, amaranth, or buckwheat addition to such a strong gluten common wheat flour (Triticum aestivum) on its rheological and baking properties. Raw materials were analyzed chemically (ash, protein, fat, starch, total dietary fiber) and physically (water absorption index, water solubility index, and pasting properties). Selected rheological analyses (Farinograph® and Extensograph[®]) were carried out on wheat blends, including up to 30% alternative grains. The baking properties of the blends were evaluated on standard bread and sweet milk bread recipes. Results showed that low amounts (5%) of sorghum and millet improved the dough stability of the high-gluten wheat flour. For optimum dough extensibility, additions of 30% sorghum, 15% millet, or 20% amaranth were needed. The use of gluten-free grains increased bread volume and decreased crumb firmness of the sweet milk breads when added at lower levels (5-15%, depending on the grain). In conclusion, cereal blending is a supportive tool to mitigate the effects of ongoing climate change and can enhance biodiversity and nutrition.}, } @article {pmid36768054, year = {2023}, author = {Kocur-Bera, K and Czyża, S}, title = {Socio-Economic Vulnerability to Climate Change in Rural Areas in the Context of Green Energy Development-A Study of the Great Masurian Lakes Mesoregion.}, journal = {International journal of environmental research and public health}, volume = {20}, number = {3}, pages = {}, doi = {10.3390/ijerph20032689}, pmid = {36768054}, issn = {1660-4601}, abstract = {Green energy production has become a common and recognized method of electricity generation. Giving up reliance on non-renewable energy sources is an important trend in the economies of many countries. The paper presents an analysis of the impact of indicators like increased green energy production on the level of vulnerability to climate change. The model of the Climate Change Vulnerability Index (VCC) recommended by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (considering three aspects: exposure, vulnerability, and adaptive capacity of the studied spatial unit/society) was applied. Sensitivity analysis, spatial heterogeneity, and temporal dynamics of indicators characterizing changes in electricity consumption, renewable energy production, greenhouse gas emissions, and variability of financial losses due to extreme weather events and their number were implemented. Several findings arose. First, the vulnerability to climate change (the level of the VCC index), does not decrease after the implementation of a single action, like the development of green energy production. The level of index of vulnerability to climate change (VCC1) from the reference year (2017) relative to VCC2 (2021) has changed slightly, despite the development of RES. The variation does not exceed a 1% reduction in the value of the VCC1 index. Second, the decrease in the level of the vulnerability requires global, coordinated action. The value of the VCC3 index, reflecting, including changes in green energy production (X15), electricity consumption/inhabitant (X38), and green-house gas emissions (X14), exhibited more favorably the impact of these indicators on vulnerability to climate change, compared to the VCC1 reference value. In eleven poviats, the VCC3 index decreased between 1 and 4%. In seven of these poviats, green energy production increased, resulting in an average 10% decrease in the X15 indicator, the X14 indicator representing green-house gas emissions decreased by an average of 7%, while the X38 indicator describing electricity consumption/per capita decreased by an average of 16%. Third, harmonized and inclusive action by the population holds the potential to be the clue to reducing vulnerability to climate change.}, } @article {pmid36768006, year = {2023}, author = {Ishiwatari, M and Sasaki, D}, title = {Special Issue "Disaster Risk Reduction and Climate Change Adaptation: An Interdisciplinary Approach".}, journal = {International journal of environmental research and public health}, volume = {20}, number = {3}, pages = {}, doi = {10.3390/ijerph20032641}, pmid = {36768006}, issn = {1660-4601}, abstract = {The UN member states adopted three international agreements for the post-2015 agenda: the Sendai Framework for Disaster Risk Reduction 2015-2030, the Paris Agreement of the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change, and the 2030 Agenda for Sustainable Development [...].}, } @article {pmid36767843, year = {2023}, author = {Chau, JY and Dharmayani, PNA and Little, H}, title = {Navigating Neighbourhood Opposition and Climate Change: Feasibility and Acceptability of a Play Street Pilot in Sydney, Australia.}, journal = {International journal of environmental research and public health}, volume = {20}, number = {3}, pages = {}, doi = {10.3390/ijerph20032476}, pmid = {36767843}, issn = {1660-4601}, abstract = {BACKGROUND: Play Streets are community-led initiatives that provide opportunities for outdoor play and recreation when parks or other facilities may not be easily accessible. This pragmatic evaluation aims to determine the feasibility and acceptability of a pilot Play Street in Inner West Sydney.

METHODS: We used a post-only mixed methods design. Brief intercept surveys with pilot Play Street visitors assessed their reasons for attending the event and perceptions thereof. Semi-structured interviews explored stakeholders' experiences related to planning and implementing Play Streets.

RESULTS: Approximately 60 adults and children attended the pilot Play Street. The majority of survey respondents (n = 32) were female, aged 35-54, lived in the Play Street's postcode, and visited in groups consisting of adults and children. Overall respondents rated the pilot positively in enjoyment (100%), safety (97%), and organisation (81%), although there were significant differences between certain demographic subgroups in the perception of organisation and the children's enjoyment of the pilot Play Street. Stakeholder interviews (n = 2) highlighted the importance of community consultation and reaching compromises, noting concerns about safety and insurance costs, and emphasised the role of Council as a facilitator to help residents take ownership of Play Streets. Delays due to community concerns, poor air quality arising from bushfires, heavy rain on the event day, and COVID-19 lockdowns hindered pilot Play Street implementation and evaluation.

CONCLUSION: This pilot demonstrated that Play Streets are a feasible and acceptable way to use streets as outdoor recreation spaces in Sydney's Inner West. The evaluation highlights two elements for future sustainability: managing neighbourhood opposition and adapting to climate change.}, } @article {pmid36767836, year = {2023}, author = {He, J and Xie, X and Luo, F and Zhong, Y and Wang, T}, title = {The Effectiveness of Local Governments' Policies in Response to Climate Change: An Evaluation of Structure Planning in Arden, Melbourne.}, journal = {International journal of environmental research and public health}, volume = {20}, number = {3}, pages = {}, doi = {10.3390/ijerph20032469}, pmid = {36767836}, issn = {1660-4601}, abstract = {It is widely acknowledged that climate change has caused serious environmental issues, including drought, bushfires, floods, and heatwaves, and urban sustainability is currently seriously threatened as a result. Arden is one of the key urban regeneration areas set to experience dramatic residential changes under Melbourne's development blueprint within the next 20 years. The Arden Structure Plan (2022) outlines specific implementation steps but does not go into detail about the strategies and tactics used to address climate change and urban sustainability. Therefore, there are still problems with the plan, including a lack of information and time-bound development targets, ambiguous public engagement, little focus on urban crime, and insufficient climate change adaptation measures. The plan also considers affordable housing, a mixed-use development pattern that will significantly decrease environmental harm, and active transportation options, primarily walking and bicycling. Considering climate change, this plan will make Arden a suitable location for population growth. This paper aims to evaluate the Arden Structure Plan and make recommendations on how to improve the plan's urban sustainability and climate change considerations. Furthermore, it provides guidance on whether Arden is a suitable location for Melbourne's population growth in light of the climate change impacts anticipated to occur by 2100.}, } @article {pmid36767546, year = {2023}, author = {Zhang, J and Qi, Y and Yang, R and Ma, X and Zhang, J and Qi, W and Guo, Q and Wang, H}, title = {Impacts of Climate Change and Land Use/Cover Change on the Net Primary Productivity of Vegetation in the Qinghai Lake Basin.}, journal = {International journal of environmental research and public health}, volume = {20}, number = {3}, pages = {}, doi = {10.3390/ijerph20032179}, pmid = {36767546}, issn = {1660-4601}, abstract = {The Qinghai Lake Basin acts as a natural barrier, preventing the western desert from spreading eastward. This is an important link in preserving the ecological stability of the northeastern region of the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau (QTP). Therefore, quantitative research into the net primary productivity (NPP) of vegetation and its driving force in the Qinghai Lake Basin is required. The effects of land use/cover change (LUCC) and climate change on NPP in the Qinghai Lake Basin were studied using R-contribution ratio and partial correlation analysis methods using MOD17A3H products, Land Use/Land Cover (LULC) data, and meteorological data. (1) The LULC of the Qinghai Lake Basin showed a trend that "the area of grassland, cultivated land, and unused land continued to decrease, while the area of other LULC types increased" from 2000 to 2020, according to the study's findings. Grassland, water bodies, construction land, and unused land dominated the mutual transformation of LULC types. (2) The NPP of the basin showed a growing trend, with a growth rate of 3.93 gC·m[-2]·a[-1] before 2010 and 0.88 gC·m[-2]·a[-1] after 2010. Significant regional heterogeneity was found in NPP, with gradients decreasing from southeast to northwest. (3) The impact of LUCC on overall NPP changes had gradually increased. Climate change has been the primary driver of NPP changes in the Qinghai Lake Basin over the last 20 years.}, } @article {pmid36767299, year = {2023}, author = {Shendell, DG and Black, LF and Way, Y and Aggarwal, J and Campbell, MLF and Nguyen, KT}, title = {Knowledge, Attitudes, and Awareness of New Jersey Public High School Students about Concepts of Climate Change, including Environmental Justice.}, journal = {International journal of environmental research and public health}, volume = {20}, number = {3}, pages = {}, doi = {10.3390/ijerph20031922}, pmid = {36767299}, issn = {1660-4601}, abstract = {Increasing acknowledgement of climate change (CC) has encouraged various responses, such as education standard mandates. In 2021, New Jersey (NJ) became the first U.S. state to require K-12 CC education across subjects, effective fall 2022. This necessitated introductory science courses on CC to support high school (HS) curricula. Thus, NJ Safe Schools Program (NJSS) created a new course titled, "Introduction to HS Students to CC, Sustainability, and Environmental Justice (EJ)." Given that the COVID-19 pandemic continues (2020-2023 school years) and vaccination coverage varies, this course was developed and approved in an asynchronous online format. Its five modules cover environmental science, CC, natural disasters and extreme weather events, sustainability, including energy conservation and efficiency definitions, and EJ. A 20-question survey included at the end, modified/adapted from a larger nationwide U.S. Student Conservation Association (SCA) survey 2019-2020, examined the perspectives of HS students concerning CC. Selected volunteer NJ HS enlisted students (n = 82/128 finished) to pilot this course February-April 2022. Results such as average scores ≥90% suggested success regarding initial knowledge and awareness gained; for individual modules, two knowledge checks >80% and three knowledge checks >90%. The SCA survey results, overall and by region in NJ, highlighted how most students felt about CC and extreme weather events, plus issues such as EJ. This NJSS introductory course opened in July 2022 for NJ public county secondary school districts and comprehensive HS with approved career-technical education programs, and potentially elsewhere.}, } @article {pmid36767114, year = {2023}, author = {Smith, JC and Whiley, H and Ross, KE}, title = {Climate Change and Health: Local Government Capacity for Health Protection in Australia.}, journal = {International journal of environmental research and public health}, volume = {20}, number = {3}, pages = {}, doi = {10.3390/ijerph20031750}, pmid = {36767114}, issn = {1660-4601}, abstract = {Climate change is the greatest global health threat of the 21st century, with numerous direct and indirect human health consequences. Local governments play a critical role in communities' response to climate change, both through strategies to reduce emissions and adaption plans to respond to changing climate and extreme weather events. Australian local government environmental health officers (EHOs) have the relevant skills and expertise to inform and develop adaptation plans for health protection in the context of climate change. This study used an online survey followed by phone interviews of local government management to determine the extent to which EHOs are involved in adaptation planning in health protection climate change plans. Questions were also asked to determine whether local councils are aware of EHOs' capability to contribute and to gauge the willingness of management to provide EHOs with the workload capacity to do so. The findings demonstrated that although climate adaptation and mitigation planning is occurring in local government, it is not including or considering the public health impacts on the community. Primarily, it was found that this oversight was due to a lack of awareness of the health impacts of climate change outside of a disaster or emergency scenario. Currently, EHOs are an untapped source of knowledge and skills that can contribute to climate change adaption planning. To support this, a framework of local environmental health practice was developed to assist the reconceptualization of the scope of practice required for the planning and response to climate change.}, } @article {pmid36767043, year = {2023}, author = {Magnano San Lio, R and Favara, G and Maugeri, A and Barchitta, M and Agodi, A}, title = {How Antimicrobial Resistance Is Linked to Climate Change: An Overview of Two Intertwined Global Challenges.}, journal = {International journal of environmental research and public health}, volume = {20}, number = {3}, pages = {}, doi = {10.3390/ijerph20031681}, pmid = {36767043}, issn = {1660-4601}, abstract = {Globally, antimicrobial resistance (AMR) and climate change (CC) are two of the top health emergencies, and can be considered as two interlinked public health priorities. The complex commonalities between AMR and CC should be deeply investigated in a One Health perspective. Here, we provided an overview of the current knowledge about the relationship between AMR and CC. Overall, the studies included pointed out the need for applying a systemic approach to planetary health. Firstly, CC increasingly brings humans and animals into contact, leading to outbreaks of zoonotic and vector-borne diseases with pandemic potential. Although it is well-established that antimicrobial use in human, animal and environmental sectors is one of the main drivers of AMR, the COVID-19 pandemic is exacerbating the current scenario, by influencing the use of antibiotics, personal protective equipment, and biocides. This also results in higher concentrations of contaminants (e.g., microplastics) in natural water bodies, which cannot be completely removed from wastewater treatment plants, and which could sustain the AMR spread. Our overview underlined the lack of studies on the direct relationship between AMR and CC, and encouraged further research to investigate the multiple aspects involved, and its effect on human health.}, } @article {pmid36767030, year = {2023}, author = {Veenema, RJ and Hoepner, LA and Geer, LA}, title = {Climate Change-Related Environmental Exposures and Perinatal and Maternal Health Outcomes in the U.S.}, journal = {International journal of environmental research and public health}, volume = {20}, number = {3}, pages = {}, doi = {10.3390/ijerph20031662}, pmid = {36767030}, issn = {1660-4601}, abstract = {PURPOSE: Climate change poses one of the greatest risks to human health as air pollution increases, surface temperatures rise, and extreme weather events become more frequent. Environmental exposures related to climate change have a disproportionate effect on pregnant women through influencing food and water security, civil conflicts, extreme weather events, and the spread of disease. Our research team sought to identify the current peer-reviewed research on the effects of climate change-related environmental exposures on perinatal and maternal health in the United States.

DESIGN AND METHODS: A systematic literature review of publications identified through a comprehensive search of the PubMed and Web of Science databases was conducted using a modified Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses (PRISMA) approach. The initial search across both databases identified a combined total of 768 publications. We removed 126 duplicates and 1 quadruplet, and the remaining 639 publications were subjected to our pre-set inclusion and exclusion criteria. We excluded studies outside of the United States. A total of 39 studies met our inclusion criteria and were retained for thematic analysis.

FINDINGS: A total of 19 studies investigated the effect of either hot or cold temperature exposure on perinatal and maternal health outcomes. The effect of air pollution on perinatal outcomes was examined in five studies. A total of 19 studies evaluated the association between natural disasters (hurricanes, flash floods, and tropical cyclones) and perinatal and maternal health outcomes. High and low temperature extremes were found to negatively influence neonate and maternal health. Significant associations were found between air pollutant exposure and adverse pregnancy outcomes. Adverse pregnancy outcomes were linked to hurricanes, tropical cyclones, and flash floods.

CONCLUSIONS: This systematic review suggests that climate change-related environmental exposures, including extreme temperatures, air pollution, and natural disasters, are significantly associated with adverse perinatal and maternal health outcomes across the United States.}, } @article {pmid36766342, year = {2023}, author = {van Hassel, F and Bovenkerk, B}, title = {How Should We Help Wild Animals Cope with Climate Change? The Case of the Iberian Lynx.}, journal = {Animals : an open access journal from MDPI}, volume = {13}, number = {3}, pages = {}, doi = {10.3390/ani13030453}, pmid = {36766342}, issn = {2076-2615}, abstract = {Climate change and related shifts in weather conditions result in massive biodiversity declines and severe animal suffering. This article explores the measures that can be taken to decrease animal suffering and prevent species from going extinct. Taking the Iberian lynx as a case study, we assess the extent to which it is beneficial for animal welfare and species conservation to do nothing or reduce other threats, provide food or shelter, relocate the species via assisted migration, or bring the population into captivity. We argue that, given the Iberian lynx's non-invasive characteristics, assisted migration may be the best way to protect the species while ensuring animal welfare and protecting wildness and other ecosystem values.}, } @article {pmid36766076, year = {2023}, author = {Pleadin, J and Kos, J and Radić, B and Vulić, A and Kudumija, N and Radović, R and Janić Hajnal, E and Mandić, A and Anić, M}, title = {Aflatoxins in Maize from Serbia and Croatia: Implications of Climate Change.}, journal = {Foods (Basel, Switzerland)}, volume = {12}, number = {3}, pages = {}, doi = {10.3390/foods12030548}, pmid = {36766076}, issn = {2304-8158}, abstract = {Aflatoxins (AFs) represent the most important mycotoxin group, whose presence in food and feed poses significant global health and economic issues. The occurrence of AFs in maize is a burning problem worldwide, mainly attributed to droughts. In recent years, Serbia and Croatia faced climate changes followed by a warming trend. Therefore, the main aim of this study was to estimate the influence of weather on AFs occurrence in maize from Serbia and Croatia in the 2018-2021 period. The results indicate that hot and dry weather witnessed in the year 2021 resulted in the highest prevalence of AFs in maize samples in both Serbia (84%) and Croatia (40%). In maize harvested in 2018-2020, AFs occurred in less than, or around, 10% of Serbian and 20% of Croatian samples. In order to conduct a comprehensive study on the implications of climate change for the occurrence of AFs in maize grown in these two countries, the results of available studies performed in the last thirteen years were searched for and discussed.}, } @article {pmid36766065, year = {2023}, author = {Tang, L and Wu, A and Li, S and Tuerdimaimaiti, M and Zhang, G}, title = {Impacts of Climate Change on Rice Grain: A Literature Review on What Is Happening, and How Should We Proceed?.}, journal = {Foods (Basel, Switzerland)}, volume = {12}, number = {3}, pages = {}, doi = {10.3390/foods12030536}, pmid = {36766065}, issn = {2304-8158}, abstract = {More than half of the people on Earth get their calories, proteins, and minerals from rice grains. Staple increases in the quantity and quality of rice grains are key to ending hunger and malnutrition. Rice production, however, is vulnerable to climate change, and the climate on Earth is becoming more fluctuating with the atmospheric change induced by human activities. As a result, the impacts of climate change on rice grain (ICCRG) have sparked widespread concern. In order to reveal the development and the trend in the study on the ICCRG, a bibliometric analysis was conducted. The results showed that both the model simulations and the field experiment-based observations, as reflected by APSIM (the Agricultural Production Systems sIMulator) and free-air carbon dioxide (CO2) enrichment, are of concern to researchers worldwide, especially in China, India, the United States, and Japan. Different types of warming include short-term, nighttime, soil and water, and canopy, and their interactions with other climate factors, such as CO2, or agronomic factors, such as nitrogen level, are also of concern to researchers. Spatiotemporal variations in changing weather and regional adaptations from developed and developing countries are challenging the evaluation of ICCRG from an economic perspective. In order to improve the efficacy of breeding adaptable cultivars and developing agronomic management, interdisciplinary studies integrating molecular biology, plant physiology, agronomy, food chemistry, ecology, and socioeconomics are needed.}, } @article {pmid36765064, year = {2023}, author = {Kim, H and Lim, H and Kim, J and Roh, S}, title = {Propriety assessment model for life cycle operational global warming potential of apartment buildings in Korea using energy efficiency and energy effective area data.}, journal = {Scientific reports}, volume = {13}, number = {1}, pages = {2420}, pmid = {36765064}, issn = {2045-2322}, abstract = {In response to global warming, researchers worldwide are actively investigating various techniques and institutional frameworks to reduce the emission of greenhouse gases. Despite numerous life cycle assessment (LCA) studies indicating that global warming effects due to lifetime energy consumption are the greatest in the building operation stage, the absence of a standard global warming potential (GWP) report based on building energy usage makes it difficult to examine realistic GWP reduction directions. In South Korea, energy data for numerous buildings were collected through the Building Energy Efficiency Certification (BEEC) for several years, with data from apartment buildings receiving the most attention. GWP emissions were evaluated using the data through Green Standard for Energy and Environmental Design LCA. Here, we developed a model for apartment buildings to assess mutual propriety for GWP emissions (E) and energy effective area ratio (RE) during building operation to support the reduction of GWP emissions caused by lifetime operational energy consumption resulting from planning and design. We collected apartment BEEC data and used them to calculate the energy effective area ratio and GWP emissions of each building, which were then classified by energy use and source. Linear regression analysis was performed between RE and E for each classification, and the derived regression equation was developed as a GWP assessment model for apartments. The applicability of the proposed model was examined through a case study, which confirmed that the model can be used to determine design directions for reducing GWP emissions for every energy in apartments.}, } @article {pmid36765059, year = {2023}, author = {Song, S and Ding, Y and Li, W and Meng, Y and Zhou, J and Gou, R and Zhang, C and Ye, S and Saintilan, N and Krauss, KW and Crooks, S and Lv, S and Lin, G}, title = {Mangrove reforestation provides greater blue carbon benefit than afforestation for mitigating global climate change.}, journal = {Nature communications}, volume = {14}, number = {1}, pages = {756}, pmid = {36765059}, issn = {2041-1723}, abstract = {Significant efforts have been invested to restore mangrove forests worldwide through reforestation and afforestation. However, blue carbon benefit has not been compared between these two silvicultural pathways at the global scale. Here, we integrated results from direct field measurements of over 370 restoration sites around the world to show that mangrove reforestation (reestablishing mangroves where they previously colonized) had a greater carbon storage potential per hectare than afforestation (establishing mangroves where not previously mangrove). Greater carbon accumulation was mainly attributed to favorable intertidal positioning, higher nitrogen availability, and lower salinity at most reforestation sites. Reforestation of all physically feasible areas in the deforested mangrove regions of the world could promote the uptake of 671.5-688.8 Tg CO2-eq globally over a 40-year period, 60% more than afforesting the same global area on tidal flats (more marginal sites). Along with avoiding conflicts of habitat conversion, mangrove reforestation should be given priority when designing nature-based solutions for mitigating global climate change.}, } @article {pmid36765048, year = {2023}, author = {Pérez-Invernón, FJ and Gordillo-Vázquez, FJ and Huntrieser, H and Jöckel, P}, title = {Variation of lightning-ignited wildfire patterns under climate change.}, journal = {Nature communications}, volume = {14}, number = {1}, pages = {739}, pmid = {36765048}, issn = {2041-1723}, abstract = {Lightning is the main precursor of natural wildfires and Long-Continuing-Current (LCC) lightning flashes are proposed to be the main igniters of lightning-ignited wildfires (LIW). Previous studies predict a change of the global occurrence rate and spatial pattern of total lightning. Nevertheless, the sensitivity of lightning-ignited wildfire occurrence to climate change is uncertain. Here, we investigate space-based measurements of LCC lightning associated with lightning ignitions and present LCC lightning projections under the Representative Concentration Pathway RCP6.0 for the 2090s by applying a recent LCC lightning parameterization based on the updraft strength in thunderstorms. We find a 41% global increase of the LCC lightning flash rate. Increases are largest in South America, the western coast of North America, Central America, Australia, Southern and Eastern Asia, and Europe, while only regional variations are found in northern polar forests, where fire risk can affect permafrost soil carbon release. These results show that lightning schemes including LCC lightning are needed to project the occurrence of lightning-ignited wildfires under climate change.}, } @article {pmid36764535, year = {2023}, author = {Rafalska, A and Walkiewicz, A and Osborne, B and Klumpp, K and Bieganowski, A}, title = {Variation in methane uptake by grassland soils in the context of climate change - A review of effects and mechanisms.}, journal = {The Science of the total environment}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {162127}, doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2023.162127}, pmid = {36764535}, issn = {1879-1026}, abstract = {Grassland soils are climate-dependent ecosystems that have a significant greenhouse gas mitigating function through their ability to store large amounts of carbon (C). However, what is often not recognized is that they can also exhibit a high methane (CH4) uptake capacity that could be influenced by future increases in atmospheric carbon dioxide (CO2) concentration and variations in temperature and water availability. While there is a wealth of information on C sequestration in grasslands there is less consensus on how climate change impacts on CH4 uptake or the underlying mechanisms involved. To address this, we assessed existing knowledge on the impact of climate change components on CH4 uptake by grassland soils. Increases in precipitation associated with soils with a high background soil moisture content generally resulted in a reduction in CH4 uptake or even net emissions, while the effect was opposite in soils with a relatively low background moisture content. Initially wet grasslands subject to the combined effects of warming and water deficits may absorb more CH4, mainly due to increased gas diffusivity. However, in the longer-term heat and drought stress may reduce the activity of methanotrophs when the mean soil moisture content is below the optimum for their survival. Enhanced plant productivity and growth under elevated CO2, increased soil moisture and changed nutrient concentrations, can differentially affect methanotrophic activity, which is often reduced by increasing N deposition. Our estimations showed that CH4 uptake in grassland soils can change from -57.7 % to +6.1 % by increased precipitation, from -37.3 % to +85.3 % by elevated temperatures, from +0.87 % to +92.4 % by decreased precipitation, and from -66.7 % to +27.3 % by elevated CO2. In conclusion, the analysis suggests that grasslands under the influence of warming and drought may absorb even more CH4, mainly because of reduced soil water contents and increased gas diffusivity.}, } @article {pmid36762921, year = {2023}, author = {Saunders, NR and Habgood, MD}, title = {Misunderstanding of the contribution of climate change to inspired CO2 and acid-base balance in pregnant women: It is not a hazard to their offspring.}, journal = {The Journal of physiology}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, doi = {10.1113/JP284217}, pmid = {36762921}, issn = {1469-7793}, } @article {pmid36762647, year = {2023}, author = {Cianconi, P and Hanife, B and Hirsch, D and Janiri, L}, title = {Is climate change affecting mental health of urban populations?.}, journal = {Current opinion in psychiatry}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, pmid = {36762647}, issn = {1473-6578}, abstract = {PURPOSE OF REVIEW: In this article, we outline an up-to-date overview of the climate change impact on mental health of urban population, conducted by searching the PubMed database for relevant studies published in the past 12-18 months, in English.

RECENT FINDINGS: Climate change is part of a larger systemic ecological problem in which human demands are exceeding the regenerative capacity of the biosphere. We are witnessing a 'climate chaos', a phase of instability and transformation, which is leading humans into a psychological condition of 'systemic insecurity' and a shared feeling of uncertainty. Currently, one of the places where our species is particularly exposed to climate change are cities, due to build-up in urban infrastructure, rapid and chaotic urbanization, high densities and recent rapid growth, social inequality, and 'heat island effect'.The impact of climate change on cities exposes vulnerable groups to the worse mental health consequences. These groups include the homelessness, slum dwellers for whom the 'neighbourhood effects' are being discussed, climate refugees and migrants, young people, and finally those who assist these people.

SUMMARY: In order to realize broader mental health prevention in cities exposed to climate change phenomena, public health approaches are needed. Institutions must avoid reinforcing inequalities among the more vulnerable groups or create new inequalities.}, } @article {pmid36762175, year = {2022}, author = {Ling, Z and Shi, Z and Gu, S and Wang, T and Zhu, W and Feng, G}, title = {Corrigendum: Impact of climate change and rubber (Hevea brasiliensis) plantation expansion on reference evapotranspiration in Xishuangbanna, Southwest China.}, journal = {Frontiers in plant science}, volume = {13}, number = {}, pages = {1092168}, doi = {10.3389/fpls.2022.1092168}, pmid = {36762175}, issn = {1664-462X}, abstract = {[This corrects the article DOI: 10.3389/fpls.2022.830519.].}, } @article {pmid36762096, year = {2022}, author = {Loi, M and Logrieco, AF and Pusztahelyi, T and Leiter, É and Hornok, L and Pócsi, I}, title = {Advanced mycotoxin control and decontamination techniques in view of an increased aflatoxin risk in Europe due to climate change.}, journal = {Frontiers in microbiology}, volume = {13}, number = {}, pages = {1085891}, pmid = {36762096}, issn = {1664-302X}, abstract = {Aflatoxins are toxic secondary metabolites produced by Aspergillus spp. found in staple food and feed commodities worldwide. Aflatoxins are carcinogenic, teratogenic, and mutagenic, and pose a serious threat to the health of both humans and animals. The global economy and trade are significantly affected as well. Various models and datasets related to aflatoxins in maize have been developed and used but have not yet been linked. The prevention of crop loss due to aflatoxin contamination is complex and challenging. Hence, the set-up of advanced decontamination is crucial to cope with the challenge of climate change, growing population, unstable political scenarios, and food security problems also in European countries. After harvest, decontamination methods can be applied during transport, storage, or processing, but their application for aflatoxin reduction is still limited. Therefore, this review aims to investigate the effects of environmental factors on aflatoxin production because of climate change and to critically discuss the present-day and novel decontamination techniques to unravel gaps and limitations to propose them as a tool to tackle an increased aflatoxin risk in Europe.}, } @article {pmid36761564, year = {2022}, author = {Pazmiño-Palomino, A and Reyes-Puig, C and Del Hierro, AG}, title = {How could climate change influence the distribution of the black soldier fly, Hermetiaillucens (Linnaeus) (Diptera, Stratiomyidae)?.}, journal = {Biodiversity data journal}, volume = {10}, number = {}, pages = {e90146}, pmid = {36761564}, issn = {1314-2828}, abstract = {The black soldier fly, Hermetiaillucens (Linnaeus, 1758), is a saprophagous species used to decompose organic matter. This study proposes a distribution model of H.illucens to illustrate its current and future distribution. The methodology includes data collection from the Global Biodiversity Information Facility (GBIF), complemented with iNaturalist, manual expert curation of occurrence records, six species distribution models algorithms and one ensemble model. The average temperature of the driest annual quarter and the precipitation of the coldest annual quarter were the key variables influencing the potential distribution of H.illucens. The distribution range is estimated to decrease progressively and their suitable habitats could change dramatically in the future due to global warming. On the other hand, current optimal habitats would become uninhabitable for the species, mainly at low latitudes. Under this scenario, the species is projected to move to higher latitudes and elevations in the future. The results of this study provide data on the distribution of H.illucens, facilitating its location, management and sustainable use in current and future scenarios.}, } @article {pmid36761538, year = {2022}, author = {Lhoumeau, S and Cardoso, P and Boieiro, M and Ros-Prieto, A and Costa, R and Lamelas-Lopez, L and Leite, A and Amorim do Rosário, I and Gabriel, R and Malumbres-Olarte, J and Rigal, F and Santos, AMC and Tsafack, N and Ferreira, MT and Borges, PAV}, title = {SLAM Project - Long Term Ecological Study of the Impacts of Climate Change in the natural forests of Azores: V - New records of terrestrial arthropods after ten years of SLAM sampling.}, journal = {Biodiversity data journal}, volume = {10}, number = {}, pages = {e97952}, pmid = {36761538}, issn = {1314-2828}, abstract = {BACKGROUND: A long-term study monitoring arthropods (Arthropoda) is being conducted since 2012 in the forests of Azorean Islands. Named "SLAM - Long Term Ecological Study of the Impacts of Climate Change in the natural forest of Azores", this project aims to understand the impact of biodiversity erosion drivers in the distribution, abundance and diversity of Azorean arthropods. The current dataset represents arthropods that have been recorded using a total of 42 passive SLAM traps (Sea, Land and Air Malaise) deployed in native, mixed and exotic forest fragments in seven Azorean Islands (Flores, Faial, Pico, Graciosa, Terceira, São Miguel and Santa Maria). This manuscript is the fifth data-paper contribution, based on data from this long-term monitoring project.

NEW INFORMATION: We targeted taxa for species identification belonging to Arachnida (excluding Acari), Chilopoda, Diplopoda, Hexapoda (excluding Collembola, Lepidoptera, Diptera and Hymenoptera (but including only Formicidae)). Specimens were sampled over seven Azorean Islands during the 2012-2021 period. Spiders (Araneae) data from Pico and Terceira Islands are not included since they have been already published elsewhere (Costa and Borges 2021, Lhoumeau et al. 2022). We collected a total of 176007 specimens, of which 168565 (95.7%) were identified to the species or subspecies level. For Araneae and some Hemiptera species, juveniles are also included in this paper, since the low diversity in the Azores allows a relatively precise species-level identification of this life-stage. We recorded a total of 316 named species and subspecies, belonging to 25 orders, 106 families and 260 genera. The ten most abundant species were mostly endemic or native non-endemic (one Opiliones, one Archaeognatha and seven Hemiptera) and only one exotic species, the Julida Ommatoiulusmoreleti (Lucas, 1860). These ten species represent 107330 individuals (60%) of all sampled specimens and can be considered as the dominant species in the Azorean native forests for the target studied taxa. The Hemiptera were the most abundant taxa, with 90127 (50.4%) specimens. The Coleoptera were the most diverse with 30 (28.6%) families.We registered 72 new records for many of the islands (two for Flores, eight for Faial, 24 for Graciosa, 23 for Pico, eight for Terceira, three for São Miguel and four for Santa Maria). These records represent 58 species. None of them is new to the Azores Archipelago. Most of the new records are introduced species, all still with low abundance on the studied islands. This publication contributes to increasing the baseline information for future long-term comparisons of the arthropods of the studied sites and the knowledge of the arthropod fauna of the native forests of the Azores, in terms of species abundance, distribution and diversity throughout seasons and years.}, } @article {pmid36761513, year = {2022}, author = {Lhoumeau, S and Cardoso, P and Costa, R and Boieiro, M and Malumbres-Olarte, J and Amorim, IR and Rigal, F and Santos, AMC and Gabriel, R and Borges, PAV}, title = {SLAM Project - Long Term Ecological Study of the Impacts of Climate Change in the natural forest of Azores: IV - The spiders of Terceira and Pico Islands (2019-2021) and general diversity patterns after ten years of sampling.}, journal = {Biodiversity data journal}, volume = {10}, number = {}, pages = {e96442}, pmid = {36761513}, issn = {1314-2828}, abstract = {BACKGROUND: Long-term studies are key to understand the drivers of biodiversity erosion, such as land-use change and habitat degradation, climate change, invasive species or pollution. The long-term project SLAM (Long Term Ecological Study of the Impacts of Climate Change in the natural forest of Azores) started in 2012 and focuses on arthropod monitoring, using SLAM (Sea, Land and Air Malaise) traps, aiming to understand the impact of the drivers of biodiversity erosion on Azorean native forests (Azores, Portugal). This is the fourth contribution including SLAM project data and the second focused on the spider fauna (Arachnida, Araneae) of native forests on two islands (Pico and Terceira). In this contribution, we describe data collected between 2019 and 2021 and we analyse them together with a previously published database that covered the 2012-2019 period, in order to describe changes in species abundance patterns over the last ten years.

NEW INFORMATION: We present abundance data of Azorean spider species for the 2019-2021 period in two Azorean Islands (Terceira and Pico). We also present analyses of species distribution and abundance of the whole sampling period. In the period of 2019-2021, we collected a total of 5110 spider specimens, of which 2449 (48%) were adults. Most juveniles, with the exception of some exotic Erigoninae, were also included in the data presented in this paper, since the low diversity of spiders in the Azores allows a relatively precise species-level identification of this life-stage. We recorded a total of 45 species, belonging to 39 genera and 16 families. The ten most abundant species were composed mostly of endemic or native non-endemic species and only two exotic species (Tenuiphantestenuis (Blackwall, 1852) and Dysderacrocata C. L. Koch, 1838). They included 4308 individuals (84%) of all sampled specimens and were the dominant species in Azorean native forests. The family Linyphiidae was the richest and most abundant taxon, with 15 (33%) species and 2630 (51%) specimens. We report Cheiracanthiummildei L. Koch, 1864, a non-native species, from Pico Island for the first time. We found no new species records on Terceira Island. This publication contributes to increasing the baseline information for future long-term comparisons of the spiders on the studied sites and the knowledge of the arachnofauna of the native forests of Terceira and Pico, in terms of species abundance, distribution and diversity across seasons for a 10 years period.}, } @article {pmid36761500, year = {2022}, author = {Borges, PAV and Lamelas-López, L and Tsafack, N and Boieiro, M and Ros-Prieto, A and Gabriel, R and Nunes, R and Ferreira, MT}, title = {SLAM Project - Long Term Ecological Study of the Impacts of Climate Change in the Natural Forest of Azores: III - Testing the impact of edge effects in a native forest of Terceira Island.}, journal = {Biodiversity data journal}, volume = {10}, number = {}, pages = {e85971}, pmid = {36761500}, issn = {1314-2828}, abstract = {BACKGROUND: The data we present are part of the long-term project "SLAM Project - Long Term Ecological Study of the Impacts of Climate Change in the Natural Forest of Azores" that started in 2012, aiming to understand the impact of biodiversity erosion drivers on Azorean native forests (Azores, Macaronesia, Portugal). The data for the current study consist in an inventory of arthropods collected in three locations of a native forest fragment at Terra-Brava protected area (Terceira, Azores, Portugal) aiming to test the impact of edge effects on Azorean arthropod communities. The three locations were: (i) the edge of the forest, closer to the pastures; (ii) an intermediate area (100 m from edge); and (iii) the deepest part of the native forest fragment (more than 300 m from edge). The study was carried out between June 2014 and December 2015. A total of nine passive flight interception SLAM (Sea, Land and Air Malaise) traps were deployed (three in each of the studied locations), during 18 consecutive months. This study provides the raw data to investigate temporal and edge effect variation for the Azorean arthropod communities.

NEW INFORMATION: The collected arthropods belong to a wide diversity of taxonomic groups of Arachnida, Diplopoda, Chilopoda and Insecta classes. We collected a total of 13,516 specimens from which it was possible to identify to species level almost all specimens (13,504). These identified specimens belong to 15 orders, 58 families (plus three with only genus or family level identification) and 97 species of arthropods. A total of 35 species are considered introduced, 34 native non-endemic and 28 endemic. Additionally, a total of 10 taxa (12 specimens) were recorded at genus, family or order level. This dataset will allow researchers to test the impact of edge effect on arthropod biodiversity and to investigate seasonal changes in Azorean arthropod native forest communities.}, } @article {pmid36759239, year = {2023}, author = {Gallagher, A and Smyth, B and Jha, V}, title = {Climate Change, Heat-Related Acute Kidney Disease, and the Need for Action.}, journal = {American journal of kidney diseases : the official journal of the National Kidney Foundation}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, doi = {10.1053/j.ajkd.2022.11.002}, pmid = {36759239}, issn = {1523-6838}, } @article {pmid36756845, year = {2023}, author = {Garcia-Costoya, G and Williams, CE and Faske, TM and Moorman, JD and Logan, ML}, title = {Evolutionary constraints mediate extinction risk under climate change.}, journal = {Ecology letters}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, doi = {10.1111/ele.14173}, pmid = {36756845}, issn = {1461-0248}, abstract = {Mounting evidence suggests that rapid evolutionary adaptation may rescue some organisms from the impacts of climate change. However, evolutionary constraints might hinder this process, especially when different aspects of environmental change generate antagonistic selection on genetically correlated traits. Here, we use individual-based simulations to explore how genetic correlations underlying the thermal physiology of ectotherms might influence their responses to the two major components of climate change-increases in mean temperature and thermal variability. We found that genetic correlations can influence population dynamics under climate change, with declines in population size varying three-fold depending on the type of correlation present. Surprisingly, populations whose thermal performance curves were constrained by genetic correlations often declined less rapidly than unconstrained populations. Our results suggest that accurate forecasts of the impact of climate change on ectotherms will require an understanding of the genetic architecture of the traits under selection.}, } @article {pmid36756817, year = {2023}, author = {Stefanski, A and Butler, EE and Bermudez, R and Montgomery, RA and Reich, PB}, title = {Stomatal behavior moderates water cost of CO2 acquisition for 21 boreal and temperate species under experimental climate change.}, journal = {Plant, cell & environment}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, doi = {10.1111/pce.14559}, pmid = {36756817}, issn = {1365-3040}, abstract = {The linkage of stomatal behavior with photosynthesis is critical to understanding water and carbon cycles under global change. The relationship of stomatal conductance (gs) and CO2 assimilation (Anet) across a range of environmental contexts, as represented in the model parameter (g1), has served as a proxy of the marginal water cost of carbon acquisition. We use g1 to assess species differences in stomatal behavior to a decade of open-air experimental climate change manipulations, asking whether generalizable patterns exist across species and climate contexts. Anet -gs measurements (17,727) for 21 boreal and temperate tree species under ambient and +3.3°C warming, and ambient and ~40% summer rainfall reduction, provided >2,700 estimates of g1 . Warming and/or reduced rainfall treatments both lowered g1 because those treatments resulted in lower soil moisture, and because stomatal behavior changed more in warming when soil moisture was low. Species tended to respond similarly, although in species from warmer and drier habitats g1 tended to be slightly higher and to be the least sensitive to the decrease in soil water. Overall, both warming and rainfall reduction consistently made stomatal behavior more conservative in terms of water loss per unit carbon gain across 21 species and a decade of experimental observation. This article is protected by copyright. All rights reserved.}, } @article {pmid36755693, year = {2023}, author = {Santos, CS and Habyarimana, E and Vasconcelos, MW}, title = {Editorial: The impact of climate change on nutrient composition of staple foods and the role of diversification in increasing food system resilience.}, journal = {Frontiers in plant science}, volume = {14}, number = {}, pages = {1087712}, pmid = {36755693}, issn = {1664-462X}, } @article {pmid36755589, year = {2023}, author = {Garba, I and Abdourahamane, ZS}, title = {Extreme rainfall characterisation under climate change and rapid population growth in the city of Niamey, Niger.}, journal = {Heliyon}, volume = {9}, number = {2}, pages = {e13326}, pmid = {36755589}, issn = {2405-8440}, abstract = {Since recent years, the Sahel semiarid region has experienced devastating floods-causing significant losses and damages. The present paper attempts to characterise extreme rainfalls responsible for pluvial floods in the city of Niamey, in Niger, under climate change and rapid population growth. Past damaging rainfall records spanning 1992-2015 were used to estimate the optimal temporal scale and to define a threshold for extreme rainfall. The characteristics of extreme rainfalls were then assessed under stationary and non-stationary conditions using peaks over threshold (POT) with the generalised pareto distribution (GDP). In the non-stationary POT, population data was used as threshold covariate whereas air temperature was used as scale parameter covariate. A suitable temporal scale of 3 h was found, whereas the threshold depth was 28.71 mm under stationary conditions and between 21 and 27 mm for the time dependent threshold. The analysis of the extreme rainfall series revealed no significant trend neither in the magnitude nor in the frequency. The influence of air temperature in the characterization of extreme rainfall were less compared to rapid urbanisation, represented herein by population growth. By 2040, 3-hourly rainfall depths of 20 mm could be considered as extreme rainfall.}, } @article {pmid36755176, year = {2023}, author = {Vaidyanathan, G}, title = {How India is battling deadly rain storms as climate change bites.}, journal = {Nature}, volume = {614}, number = {7947}, pages = {210-213}, pmid = {36755176}, issn = {1476-4687}, } @article {pmid36754361, year = {2023}, author = {Venegas Hargous, C and Strugnell, C and Allender, S and Orellana, L and Corvalan, C and Bell, C}, title = {Double- and triple-duty actions in childhood for addressing the global syndemic of obesity, undernutrition, and climate change: A scoping review.}, journal = {Obesity reviews : an official journal of the International Association for the Study of Obesity}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {e13555}, doi = {10.1111/obr.13555}, pmid = {36754361}, issn = {1467-789X}, abstract = {Obesity, undernutrition, and climate change constitute a global syndemic that disproportionately affects vulnerable populations, including children. Double- and triple-duty actions that simultaneously address these pandemics are needed to prevent further health, economic, and environmental consequences. Evidence describing the implementation and evaluation of such actions is lacking. This review summarized the literature on whole-of-population actions targeting children that were designed or adapted to be double or triple duty. Six academic databases were searched (January 2015-March 2021) using terms related to 'children', 'intervention', 'nutrition', 'physical activity', and 'climate change'. Data were extracted from 43/15,475 studies, including six randomized controlled trials. Most (58%) described triple-duty actions targeting food systems in schools such as implementing guidelines for healthier and environmentally sustainable school meals programs, and 51% reported engaging community in the design, implementation, and/or evaluation of actions. Changes in dietary intake, diet composition, greenhouse gas emissions, and food waste were the most frequently reported outcomes and 21 studies (three randomized controlled trials) showed positive double- or triple-duty effects. This review is the first to demonstrate that double- and triple-duty actions for addressing the global syndemic in childhood have been implemented and can have a positive impact on obesity, undernutrition, and climate change.}, } @article {pmid36753893, year = {2023}, author = {Yuan, W and Liu, Q and Song, S and Lu, Y and Yang, S and Fang, Z and Shi, Z}, title = {A climate-water quality assessment framework for quantifying the contributions of climate change and human activities to water quality variations.}, journal = {Journal of environmental management}, volume = {333}, number = {}, pages = {117441}, doi = {10.1016/j.jenvman.2023.117441}, pmid = {36753893}, issn = {1095-8630}, abstract = {Water quality safety has attracted global attention and is closely related to the development of the social economy and human health. It is widely recognized that climate change and human activities significantly affect water quality changes. Therefore, quantifying the contributions of factors that drive long-term water quality changes is crucial for effective water quality management. Here, we built a climate-water quality assessment framework (CWQAF) based on climate-water quality response coefficients and trend analysis methods, to achieve this goal. Our results showed that the water quality improved significantly by 4.45%-20.54% from 2011 to 2020 in the Minjiang River basin (MRB). Human activities (including the construction of ecological projects, stricter discharge measures, etc.) were the main driving factors contributing 65%-77% of the improvement effect. Notably, there were differences in the contributions of human activities to water quality parameter changes, such as DO (increase (I): 0.12 mg/L, human contribution (HC): 66.8%), CODMn (decrease (D): 0.71 mg/L, HC: 67.2%), BOD5 (D: 1.10 mg/L, HC: 77.7%), CODCr (D: 4.20 mg/L, HC: 81.2%), TP (D: 0.13 mg/L,HC: 72.8%) and NH3-N (D: 0.40 mg/L, HC: 63.0%). Climate change explained 23%-35% of the variation in water quality. The water quality response to climate change was relatively significant with precipitation. For example, the downstream region was more susceptible to climate change than was the upstream region, as the downstream movement of precipitation centers strengthened the process of climatic factors affecting water quality changes in the MRB. Generally, although human activities were the main driving factor of water quality changes at the basin scale, the contribution of climate change could not be ignored. This study provided a manageable framework for the quantitative analysis of the influence of human activities and climate change on water quality to enable more precise and effective water quality management.}, } @article {pmid36753554, year = {2023}, author = {Qin, S and Yuan, H and Hu, C and Li, X and Wang, Y and Zhang, Y and Dong, W and Clough, T and Luo, J and Zhou, S and Wrage-Mönnig, N and Ma, L and Oenema, O}, title = {Anthropogenic N input increases global warming potential by awakening the "sleeping" ancient C in deep critical zones.}, journal = {Science advances}, volume = {9}, number = {6}, pages = {eadd0041}, doi = {10.1126/sciadv.add0041}, pmid = {36753554}, issn = {2375-2548}, abstract = {Even a small net increase in soil organic carbon (SOC) mineralization will cause a substantial increase in the atmospheric CO2 concentration. It is widely recognized that the SOC mineralization within deep critical zones (2 to 12 m depth) is slower and much less influenced by anthropogenic disturbance when compared to that of surface soil. Here, we showed that 20 years of nitrogen (N) fertilization enriched a deep critical zone with nitrate, almost doubling the SOC mineralization rate. This result was supported by corresponding increases in the expressions of functional genes typical of recalcitrant SOC degradation and enzyme activities. The CO2 released and the SOC had a similar [14]C age (6000 to 10,000 years before the present). Our results indicate that N fertilization of crops may enhance CO2 emissions from deep critical zones to the atmosphere through a previously disregarded mechanism. This provides another reason for markedly improving N management in fertilized agricultural soils.}, } @article {pmid36753551, year = {2023}, author = {Seltzer, AM and Blard, PH and Sherwood, SC and Kageyama, M}, title = {Terrestrial amplification of past, present, and future climate change.}, journal = {Science advances}, volume = {9}, number = {6}, pages = {eadf8119}, doi = {10.1126/sciadv.adf8119}, pmid = {36753551}, issn = {2375-2548}, abstract = {Terrestrial amplification (TA) of land warming relative to oceans is apparent in recent climatic observations. TA results from land-sea coupling of moisture and heat and is therefore important for predicting future warming and water availability. However, the theoretical basis for TA has never been tested outside the short instrumental period, and the spatial pattern and amplitude of TA remain uncertain. Here, we investigate TA during the Last Glacial Maximum (LGM; ~20 thousand years) in the low latitudes, where the theory is most applicable. We find remarkable consistency between paleotemperature proxies, theory, and climate model simulations of both LGM and future climates. Paleoclimate data thus provide crucial new support for TA, refining the range of future low-latitude, low-elevation TA to [Formula: see text] (95% confidence interval), i.e., land warming ~40% more than oceans. The observed data model theory agreement helps reconcile LGM marine and terrestrial paleotemperature proxies, with implications for equilibrium climate sensitivity.}, } @article {pmid36753023, year = {2023}, author = {Bornman, JF and Barnes, PW and Pandey, K}, title = {Environmental effects of stratospheric ozone depletion, UV radiation, and interactions with climate change: 2022 Quadrennial Assessment.}, journal = {Photochemical & photobiological sciences : Official journal of the European Photochemistry Association and the European Society for Photobiology}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, doi = {10.1007/s43630-023-00374-9}, pmid = {36753023}, issn = {1474-9092}, } @article {pmid36752238, year = {2022}, author = {Šklebar, T and Rudež, KD and Rudež, LK and Likić, R}, title = {Global Warming and Prescribing: A Review on Medicines' Effects and Precautions.}, journal = {Psychiatria Danubina}, volume = {34}, number = {Suppl 10}, pages = {5-12}, pmid = {36752238}, issn = {0353-5053}, abstract = {INTRODUCTION: Global warming is slowly but surely becoming one of the greatest problems of the modern world. Heatwaves with extremely high temperatures and humidity changes are particularly dangerous as they can lead to increased mortality rates and increased side effects of certain medications. The goal of this study was to give a short review of the most critical issues healthcare professionals should be mindful of when it comes to prescription of medicines during high temperature periods.

METHODS: A PubMed literature search was conducted in January 2021 in order to identify studies showing stability changes of most prescribed drugs in high temperatures as well as studies demonstrating impact of some drugs on human thermoregulation.

RESULTS: A vast majority of the commonly prescribed drugs, including Simvastatin, Levothyroxine, Omeprazole and Atorvastatin aren't susceptible to heat. However, some studies found that Amlodipine and Lansoprazole degrade following heat exposure. A study demonstrated the effects of low relative humidity environment on Levothyroxine tablets. While Levothyroxine remained stable at high temperatures, it significantly degraded with the decrease in humidity. Since all vaccines, both viral and bacterial, are most stable at exactly 2-8 °C, providing adequate storage has turned out to be an immense challenge. In general, killed whole-cell bacterial vaccines, like pertussis vaccine, show a higher degree of stability of potency compared to live attenuated vaccines, such as BCG. However, when tested in high-temperature conditions, BCG vaccine has proven to be more stable than Pertussis vaccine. Also, diphtheria and tetanus toxoids have proven to be most stable during exposure to various conditions. Many medicines can potentially have their side effects enhanced during heatwaves and cause serious health issues. Using the percutaneous form of nitroglycerin could lead to an additional decrease in blood pressure in warm weather. Subdermally injected insulin could create a severe hypoglycemia in diabetic patients. Studies have shown that schizophrenic patients on antipsychotic treatment have much lower heat tolerance, with a higher possibility of developing hyperthermic syndromes such as febrile catatonia or neuroleptic malignant syndrome.

CONCLUSION: Heatwave periods are not to be taken lightly and should be approached with utmost caution when prescribing therapy. It is of critical importance to inform and educate vulnerable populations early in the season and promote proper hydration throughout the periods when temperatures exceed local averages.}, } @article {pmid36751969, year = {2023}, author = {Jiang, D and Zhao, X and López-Pujol, J and Wang, Z and Qu, Y and Zhang, Y and Zhang, T and Li, D and Jiang, K and Wang, B and Yan, C and Li, JT}, title = {Effects of climate change and anthropogenic activity on ranges of vertebrate species endemic to the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau over 40 years.}, journal = {Conservation biology : the journal of the Society for Conservation Biology}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, doi = {10.1111/cobi.14069}, pmid = {36751969}, issn = {1523-1739}, abstract = {Over the past 40 years the climate has been changing and human disturbance has increased in the vast Qinghai-Tibet Plateau (QTP). These 2 factors are expected to affect the distribution of a large number of endemic vertebrate species. However, quantitative relationships between range shifts and climate change and human disturbance of these species in the QTP have rarely been evaluated. We used occurrence records of 19 terrestrial vertebrate species (birds, mammals, amphibians, and reptiles) occurring in the QTP from 1980 to 2020 to quantify the effects of climate change and anthropogenic impacts on the distribution of these 4 taxonomic groups and estimated species range changes in each species. The trend in distribution changes differed among the taxonomic groups, although, generally, ranges shifted to central QTP. Climate change contributed more to range variation than human disturbance (the sum of the 4 climatic variables contributed more than the sum of the 4 human disturbance variables for all 4 taxonomic groups). Suitable geographic range increased for most mammals, amphibians, and reptiles (+27.6%, +18.4%, and +27.8% on average, respectively), whereas for birds range decreased on average by 0.9%. Quantitative evidence for climate change and human disturbance associations with range changes for endemic vertebrate species in the QTP can provide useful insights into biodiversity conservation under changing environments. Article impact statement: Climate change and anthropogenic impacts on vertebrates in the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau may affect future conservation efforts. This article is protected by copyright. All rights reserved.}, } @article {pmid36750677, year = {2023}, author = {}, title = {Global pandemic treaty: what we must learn from climate-change errors.}, journal = {Nature}, volume = {614}, number = {7947}, pages = {195-196}, doi = {10.1038/d41586-023-00339-z}, pmid = {36750677}, issn = {1476-4687}, } @article {pmid36750639, year = {2023}, author = {Rodriguez-Ruano, V and Toth, LT and Enochs, IC and Randall, CJ and Aronson, RB}, title = {Upwelling, climate change, and the shifting geography of coral reef development.}, journal = {Scientific reports}, volume = {13}, number = {1}, pages = {1770}, pmid = {36750639}, issn = {2045-2322}, abstract = {The eastern tropical Pacific is oceanographically unfavorable for coral-reef development. Nevertheless, reefs have persisted there for the last 7000 years. Rates of vertical accretion during the Holocene have been similar in the strong-upwelling Gulf of Panamá (GoP) and the adjacent, weak-upwelling Gulf of Chiriquí (GoC); however, seasonal upwelling in the GoP exacerbated a climate-driven hiatus in reef development in the late Holocene. The situation is now reversed and seasonal upwelling in the GoP currently buffers thermal stress, creating a refuge for coral growth. We developed carbonate budget models to project the capacity of reefs in both gulfs to keep up with future sea-level rise. On average, the GoP had significantly higher net carbonate production rates than the GoC. With an estimated contemporary reef-accretion potential (RAP) of 5.5 mm year[-1], reefs in the GoP are projected to be able to keep up with sea-level rise if CO2 emissions are reduced, but not under current emissions trajectories. With an estimated RAP of just 0.3 mm year[-1], reefs in the GoC are likely already unable to keep up with contemporary sea-level rise in Panamá (1.4 mm year[-1]). Whereas the GoP has the potential to support functional reefs in the near-term, our study indicates that their long-term persistence will depend on reduction of greenhouse gases.}, } @article {pmid36749521, year = {2023}, author = {Chen, M and Yao, T and Wang, K}, title = {The economic impact of climate change: a bibliometric analysis of research hotspots and trends.}, journal = {Environmental science and pollution research international}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, doi = {10.1007/s11356-023-25721-2}, pmid = {36749521}, issn = {1614-7499}, abstract = {Climate change has been a widely concerned issue for decades. As the key policy target, the economic impact caused by climate change has received general attention from scholars and governments around the world. For the number of literatures is huge and the relationships among the literatures are not clear, we aim to clarify the research hotpots and the research trends of current literatures and provide inspiration for the development directions of future research in this paper. Using the bibliometric method, this paper characterizes the literatures on the economic impact of climate change based on the Web of Science (WoS) Core Collection. The results reveal that the USA occupies the leading position of the studies, which publishes most documents, and contains the most productive institutes and well-known scholars. From 2009, the number of documents published by a Chinese scholar started to increase rapidly, which makes China the second most productive country in recent years. The journals both belong to the WoS Categories of economics and environmental sciences and tend to publish more literatures than others. Adaptation, vulnerability, uncertainty, economic growth, climate policy, ecosystem service, energy consumption, renewable energy, food security, and land use are the representative keywords that have both high frequency and high centrality. Potential benefits, fat-tailed risk, social cost, international migration, and sustainable intensification are the top five main research hotspots. Based on the citation network of the top 50 documents with the highest local citation score, four research trends are sorted out: (i) the methodological innovation to monetized estimate the economic impact of climate change, (ii) the effect of current and future adaptive measures on agriculture, (iii) the interactional relationship between induced technological change and carbon tax, and (iv) the effect on labor market caused by climate change.}, } @article {pmid36749427, year = {2023}, author = {Singh, N and Mina, U}, title = {An assessment of methane emission from the CNG cylinder testing stations in Delhi and its implication for global warming.}, journal = {Environmental monitoring and assessment}, volume = {195}, number = {3}, pages = {369}, pmid = {36749427}, issn = {1573-2959}, abstract = {Methane is an important greenhouse gas, which constitutes minimum 90% of automotive grade compressed natural gas (CNG) used in India. The use of CNG as automotive fuel has been implemented in almost all major tier I to tier III cities of the country. Delhi, the capital city of India, has world largest CNG-fuelled public transport system. The cylinders fitted to the CNG-fuelled vehicles are required to be subjected to hydrostatic stretch test every 3 years at Government of India approved CNG cylinder testing stations, as mandated under Rule 35 of Gas Cylinders Rules, 2016. During the testing of cylinders, CNG present in the cylinders are discharged in the atmosphere at the degassing point of CNG testing stations. This study estimates annual methane emissions from the CNG cylinder testing stations of Delhi. The annual average methane emission from the CNG cylinder testing stations of Delhi was found to be 30.8 tons during the year 2019. The uncertainties in the emission estimate are also identified and discussed.}, } @article {pmid36747958, year = {2023}, author = {Bibi, TS and Kara, KG}, title = {Evaluation of climate change, urbanization, and low-impact development practices on urban flooding.}, journal = {Heliyon}, volume = {9}, number = {1}, pages = {e12955}, pmid = {36747958}, issn = {2405-8440}, abstract = {The Personal Computer Storm Water Management Model was used in this study to evaluate the potential impacts of climate change, urbanization, and low-impact developments (LIDs) on urban flooding in Robe town, Ethiopia. To achieve the objective, four scenarios were developed in order to simulate changes in peak runoff, inundated volume, and the performance of existing drainage systems. The findings revealed that as urbanization increased from 10% to 70%, the inundated volume of nodes and peak runoff increased from 35,418 to 52,118 × 10[3] m[3] and 89.4-111.96 m[3]/s, respectively. Furthermore, the peak runoff in response to climate change is increased by 46.9%, 34.8%, and 37.5%, respectively, as a result of the Rossby Centre Regional Climate Model version 4 (RCA4), Regional Atmospheric Climate Model (RACMO22T), and the hydrostatic version of the regional model (REMO2009). Overall, the findings showed that existing drainage systems were unable to collect and convey the amplified inundation from different simulated scenarios, and the Welmel sub-city to roundabout was threatened by increased flooding, causing significant damage to properties and infrastructure. The implemented LIDs are capable of reducing the expected peak runoff, flooding magnitude, and flooded junctions in climate change and urbanization scenarios; however, combining both mitigation measures can further reduce the study area. The implementation of a mitigation strategy with adequate drainage systems will be required to mitigate the flooding risks in Robe town.}, } @article {pmid36745810, year = {2023}, author = {Kiessling, W and Smith, JA and Raja, NB}, title = {Improving the relevance of paleontology to climate change policy.}, journal = {Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America}, volume = {120}, number = {7}, pages = {e2201926119}, doi = {10.1073/pnas.2201926119}, pmid = {36745810}, issn = {1091-6490}, abstract = {Paleontology has provided invaluable basic knowledge on the history of life on Earth. The discipline can also provide substantial knowledge to societal challenges such as climate change. The long-term perspective of climate change impacts on natural systems is both a unique selling point and a major obstacle to becoming more pertinent for policy-relevant bodies like the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC). Repeated experiments on the impacts of climate change without anthropogenic disturbance facilitate the extraction of climate triggers in biodiversity changes. At the same time, the long timescales over which paleontological changes are usually assessed are beyond the scope of policymakers. Based on first-hand experience with the IPCC and a quantitative analysis of its cited literature, we argue that the differences in temporal scope are less of an issue than inappropriate framing and reporting of most paleontological publications. Accepting that some obstacles will remain, paleontology can quickly improve its relevance by targeting climate change impacts more directly and focusing on effect sizes and relevance for projections, particularly on higher-end climate change scenarios.}, } @article {pmid36747431, year = {2020}, author = {Yang, F and Huang, J and Zhou, C and Yang, X and Ali, M and Li, C and Pan, H and Huo, W and Yu, H and Liu, X and Zheng, X and Han, D and He, Q and Meng, L and Chang, J}, title = {Taklimakan desert carbon-sink decreases under climate change.}, journal = {Science bulletin}, volume = {65}, number = {6}, pages = {431-433}, doi = {10.1016/j.scib.2019.12.022}, pmid = {36747431}, issn = {2095-9281}, } @article {pmid36745797, year = {2023}, author = {Wang, Y and Pineda-Munoz, S and McGuire, JL}, title = {Plants maintain climate fidelity in the face of dynamic climate change.}, journal = {Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America}, volume = {120}, number = {7}, pages = {e2201946119}, doi = {10.1073/pnas.2201946119}, pmid = {36745797}, issn = {1091-6490}, abstract = {Plants will experience considerable changes in climate within their geographic ranges over the next several decades. They may respond by exhibiting niche flexibility and adapting to changing climates. Alternatively, plant taxa may exhibit climate fidelity, shifting their geographic distributions to track their preferred climates. Here, we examine the responses of plant taxa to changing climates over the past 18,000 y to evaluate the extent to which the 16 dominant plant taxa of North America have exhibited climate fidelity. We find that 75% of plant taxa consistently exhibit climate fidelity over the past 18,000 y, even during the times of most extreme climate change. Of the four taxa that do not consistently exhibit climate fidelity, three-elm (Ulmus), beech (Fagus), and ash (Fraxinus)-experience a long-term shift in their realized climatic niche between the early Holocene and present day. Plant taxa that migrate longer distances better maintain consistent climatic niches across transition periods during times of the most extreme climate change. Today, plant communities with the highest climate fidelity are found in regions with high topographic and microclimate heterogeneity that are expected to exhibit high climate resilience, allowing plants to shift distributions locally and adjust to some amount of climate change. However, once the climate change buffering of the region is exceeded, these plant communities will need to track climates across broader landscapes but be challenged to do so because of the low habitat connectivity of the regions.}, } @article {pmid36744564, year = {2023}, author = {Jiranek, J and Miller, IF and An, R and Bruns, E and Metcalf, CJE}, title = {Mechanistic models to meet the challenge of climate change in plant-pathogen systems.}, journal = {Philosophical transactions of the Royal Society of London. Series B, Biological sciences}, volume = {378}, number = {1873}, pages = {20220017}, doi = {10.1098/rstb.2022.0017}, pmid = {36744564}, issn = {1471-2970}, abstract = {Evidence that climate change will impact the ecology and evolution of individual plant species is growing. However, little, as yet, is known about how climate change will affect interactions between plants and their pathogens. Climate drivers could affect the physiology, and thus demography, and ultimately evolutionary processes affecting both plant hosts and their pathogens. Because the impacts of climate drivers may operate in different directions at different scales of infection, and, furthermore, may be nonlinear, abstracting across these processes may mis-specify outcomes. Here, we use mechanistic models of plant-pathogen interactions to illustrate how counterintuitive outcomes are possible, and we introduce how such framing may contribute to understanding climate effects on plant-pathogen systems. We discuss the evidence-base derived from wild and agricultural plant-pathogen systems that could inform such models, specifically in the direction of estimates of physiological, demographic and evolutionary responses to climate change. We conclude by providing an overview of knowledge gaps and directions for future research in this important area. This article is part of the theme issue 'Infectious disease ecology and evolution in a changing world'.}, } @article {pmid36744450, year = {2023}, author = {Ezeruigbo, CF and Ezeoha, A}, title = {Climate change and the burden of healthcare financing in African households.}, journal = {African journal of primary health care & family medicine}, volume = {15}, number = {1}, pages = {e1-e3}, doi = {10.4102/phcfm.v15i1.3743}, pmid = {36744450}, issn = {2071-2936}, abstract = {Climate change is a mounting pressure on private health financing in Africa - directly because of increased disease prevalence and indirectly because of its negative impact on household income. The sources and consequences of the pressure constitute an important area of policy discourse, especially as it relates to issues of poverty and inequality. Relying on a panel dataset involving 49 African countries and the period 2000-2019, as well as a random effect regression analysis, this report shows that climate change has a positive and significant impact on the level of out-of-pocket health expenditure (OPHE) in Africa, and an increase in the level of greenhouse (CO2) emissions by 1% could bring about a 0.423% increase in the level of OPHE. Indirectly, the results show that, compared with the regional average, countries that have higher government health expenditure levels, above 1.7% regional average, and face higher climate change risk may likely record an increase in OPHE. Alternatively, countries with higher per capita income (above the regional annual average of $2300.00) are likely to record a drop in OPHE. Countries with lower climate change risk and a lower than the regional average age dependency (above the regional average of 80.4%) are also likely to record a drop in OPHE. It follows that there is a need for policy alignment, especially with regard to how climate change influences primary health care funding models in Africa.Contribution: The results of this research offer policymakers in-depth knowledge of how climate change erodes healthcare financing capacity of government and shifts the burden to households. This raises concerns on the quality of accessible healthcare and the link with poverty and inequality.}, } @article {pmid36744217, year = {2023}, author = {D'Uggento, AM and Piscitelli, A and Ribecco, N and Scepi, G}, title = {Perceived climate change risk and global green activism among young people.}, journal = {Statistical methods & applications}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {1-29}, pmid = {36744217}, issn = {1618-2510}, abstract = {In recent years, the increasing number of natural disasters has raised concerns about the sustainability of our planet's future. As young people comprise the generation that will suffer from the negative effects of climate change, they have become involved in a new climate activism that is also gaining interest in the public debate thanks to the Fridays for Future (FFF) movement. This paper analyses the results of a survey of 1,138 young people in a southern Italian region to explore their perceptions of the extent of environmental problems and their participation in protests of green movements such as the FFF. The statistical analyses perform an ordinal classification tree using an original impurity measure considering both the ordinal nature of the response variable and the heterogeneity of its ordered categories. The results show that respondents are concerned about the threat of climate change and participate in the FFF to claim their right to a healthier planet and encourage people to adopt environmentally friendly practices in their lifestyles. Young people feel they are global citizens, connected through the Internet and social media, and show greater sensitivity to the planet's environmental problems, so they are willing to take effective action to demand sustainable policies from decision-makers. When planning public policies that will affect future generations, it is important for policymakers to know the demands and opinions of key stakeholders, especially young people, in order to plan the most appropriate measures, such as climate change mitigation.}, } @article {pmid36743159, year = {2022}, author = {Williams, PCM and Beardsley, J and Isaacs, D and Preisz, A and Marais, BJ}, title = {The impact of climate change and biodiversity loss on the health of children: An ethical perspective.}, journal = {Frontiers in public health}, volume = {10}, number = {}, pages = {1048317}, pmid = {36743159}, issn = {2296-2565}, abstract = {The reality of human induced climate change is no longer in doubt, but the concerted global action required to address this existential crisis remains inexcusably inert. Together with climate change, biodiversity collapse is increasingly driving the emergence and spread of infectious diseases, the consequences of which are inequitable globally. Climate change is regressive in its nature, with those least responsible for destroying planetary health at greatest risk of suffering the direct and indirect health consequences. Over half a billion of the world's children live in areas vulnerable to extreme weather events. Without immediate action, the health of today's children and future generations will be compromised. We consider the impact of biodiversity collapse on the spread of infectious diseases and outline a duty of care along a continuum of three dimensions of medical ethics. From a medical perspective, the first dimension requires doctors to serve the best interests of their individual patients. The second dimension considers the public health dimension with a focus on disease control and cost-effectiveness. The neglected third dimension considers our mutual obligation to the future health and wellbeing of children and generations to come. Given the adverse impact of our ecological footprint on current and future human health, we have a collective moral obligation to act.}, } @article {pmid36742193, year = {2023}, author = {Adepoju, OA and Afinowi, OA and Tauheed, AM and Danazumi, AU and Dibba, LBS and Balogun, JB and Flore, G and Saidu, U and Ibrahim, B and Balogun, OO and Balogun, EO}, title = {Multisectoral Perspectives on Global Warming and Vector-borne Diseases: a Focus on Southern Europe.}, journal = {Current tropical medicine reports}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {1-24}, pmid = {36742193}, issn = {2196-3045}, abstract = {PURPOSE OF REVIEW: The climate change (CC) or global warming (GW) modifies environment that favors vectors' abundance, growth, and reproduction, and consequently, the rate of development of pathogens within the vectors. This review highlights the threats of GW-induced vector-borne diseases (VBDs) in Southern Europe (SE) and the need for mitigation efforts to prevent potential global health catastrophe.

RECENT FINDINGS: Reports showed astronomical surges in the incidences of CC-induced VBDs in the SE. The recently (2022) reported first cases of African swine fever in Northern Italy and West Nile fever in SE are linked to the CC-modified environmental conditions that support vectors and pathogens' growth and development, and disease transmission.

SUMMARY: VBDs endemic to the tropics are increasingly becoming a major health challenge in the SE, a temperate region, due to the favorable environmental conditions caused by CC/GW that support vectors and pathogens' biology in the previously non-endemic temperate regions.}, } @article {pmid36741948, year = {2023}, author = {Yeh, KB and Parekh, FK and Mombo, I and Leimer, J and Hewson, R and Olinger, G and Fair, JM and Sun, Y and Hay, J}, title = {Climate change and infectious disease: A prologue on multidisciplinary cooperation and predictive analytics.}, journal = {Frontiers in public health}, volume = {11}, number = {}, pages = {1018293}, pmid = {36741948}, issn = {2296-2565}, abstract = {Climate change impacts global ecosystems at the interface of infectious disease agents and hosts and vectors for animals, humans, and plants. The climate is changing, and the impacts are complex, with multifaceted effects. In addition to connecting climate change and infectious diseases, we aim to draw attention to the challenges of working across multiple disciplines. Doing this requires concentrated efforts in a variety of areas to advance the technological state of the art and at the same time implement ideas and explain to the everyday citizen what is happening. The world's experience with COVID-19 has revealed many gaps in our past approaches to anticipating emerging infectious diseases. Most approaches to predicting outbreaks and identifying emerging microbes of major consequence have been with those causing high morbidity and mortality in humans and animals. These lagging indicators offer limited ability to prevent disease spillover and amplifications in new hosts. Leading indicators and novel approaches are more valuable and now feasible, with multidisciplinary approaches also within our grasp to provide links to disease predictions through holistic monitoring of micro and macro ecological changes. In this commentary, we describe niches for climate change and infectious diseases as well as overarching themes for the important role of collaborative team science, predictive analytics, and biosecurity. With a multidisciplinary cooperative "all call," we can enhance our ability to engage and resolve current and emerging problems.}, } @article {pmid36741611, year = {2023}, author = {Cundiff, DK}, title = {Connecting Climate Change Mitigation to Global Land Regeneration, Doubling Worldwide Livestock, and Reduction of Early Deaths from Noncommunicable Diseases.}, journal = {Cureus}, volume = {15}, number = {1}, pages = {e33253}, pmid = {36741611}, issn = {2168-8184}, abstract = {Aim and background This article aims to link early deaths due to diet-related noncommunicable diseases at the global level, low animal food intake, primarily in developing countries, regenerative/organic agriculture, worldwide food security, and global warming mitigation. On statistically modeling Global Burden of Disease (GBD) risk factor and health outcome data, the unexpected finding was that early deaths (death before age 70) per year per 100k population due to noncommunicable diseases (NCDs, such as coronary artery disease, emphysema, liver failure, kidney failure, and cancers) were much higher in cohorts with low consumption of animal-sourced foods (processed meat, red meat, dairy, fish, poultry, eggs, and saturated fats). Relatively low NCD rates are associated with high animal food consumption. This unexpected finding led to exploring the implications of climate change. Methods I critiqued the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change's (IPCC's) definitions of "sustainability in land management, sustainable intensification (of agriculture), climate-smart agriculture," and "sustainability-focused socioeconomic pathway 1 (SSP1)"-the most climate-favorable scenario that the IPCC modeled. I modeled doubling the global livestock together with global regenerative/organic agriculture compared with the IPCC's SSP1, using the IPCC's mean 2010-2019 global anthropogenic greenhouse gas emissions (GHGs) as the baseline for comparison. Results This study found that all the IPCC's agricultural land-related definitions of interest were aspirational without detailing the farming methods used and those not allowed. The IPCC's land management-related definitions differed from the same or similar terms in the literature. The status quo net global agriculture and other land use GHGs (2010-2019) totaled 11.9 ± 4.4 gigatonnes (GT) carbon dioxide equivalent per year (11.9 ± 4.4 GTCO2-eq yr[-1]). The IPCC's modeling of the SSP1 scenario reduced GHGs to 3 GTCO2-eq yr[-1] by 2050. Transitioning to global regenerative/organic agriculture (5 billion hectares) and doubling the global livestock for human consumption and agricultural land fertilization corresponded to net global GHGs = -24.1 GTCO2-eq yr[-1] for 2-3 decades, totaling -482 to -723 GTCO2-eq of CO2 sequestration. Conclusions Doubling global livestock combined with worldwide regenerative/organic agriculture has the potential to mitigate climate change significantly more than SSP1 while providing global food security by reversing land degradation. Worldwide transitioning from intensive industrial agriculture that degrades land to regenerative/organic agriculture that sequesters CO2 in soil and doubling global livestock would require initial support with finances, resources, and additional workers for farms in both developing and developed countries. Subsequently, farms and farmers would be sustainably self-supporting with food sales. Retaining the existing farm workers and attracting hundreds of millions more workers would likely require transitioning most agricultural lands into worker-owned cooperatives.}, } @article {pmid36738446, year = {2023}, author = {Forester, BR and Day, CC and Ruegg, K and Landguth, EL}, title = {Evolutionary potential mitigates extinction risk under climate change in the endangered southwestern willow flycatcher.}, journal = {The Journal of heredity}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, doi = {10.1093/jhered/esac067}, pmid = {36738446}, issn = {1465-7333}, abstract = {The complexity of global anthropogenic change makes forecasting species responses and planning effective conservation actions challenging. Additionally, important components of a species' adaptive capacity, such as evolutionary potential, are often not included in quantitative risk assessments due to lack of data. While genomic proxies for evolutionary potential in at-risk species are increasingly available, they have not yet been included in extinction risk assessments at a species-wide scale. In this study, we used an individual-based, spatially explicit, dynamic eco-evolutionary simulation model to evaluate the extinction risk of an endangered desert songbird, the southwestern willow flycatcher (Empidonax traillii extimus), in response to climate change. Using data from long-term demographic and habitat studies in conjunction with genome-wide ecological genomics research, we parameterized simulations that include 418 sites across the breeding range, genomic data from 225 individuals, and climate change forecasts spanning 3 generalized circulation models and 3 emissions scenarios. We evaluated how evolutionary potential, and the lack of it, impacted population trajectories in response to climate change. We then investigated the compounding impact of drought and warming temperatures on extinction risk through the mechanism of increased nest failure. Finally, we evaluated how rapid action to reverse greenhouse gas emissions would influence population responses and species extinction risk. Our results illustrate the value of incorporating evolutionary, demographic, and dispersal processes in a spatially explicit framework to more comprehensively evaluate the extinction risk of threatened and endangered species and conservation actions to promote their recovery.}, } @article {pmid36738416, year = {2023}, author = {Puertas, R and Marti, L and Calafat, C}, title = {Agricultural and innovation policies aimed at mitigating climate change.}, journal = {Environmental science and pollution research international}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, pmid = {36738416}, issn = {1614-7499}, abstract = {The EU supports agricultural policies to help farmers meet the challenges of climate change (CC) by promoting more sustainable and environmentally friendly practices. This study focuses on the European primary sector (agriculture, forestry, and fisheries), productive activities that meet humanity's basic needs, although this sector does not account for a dominant share of GDP. The analysis uses a panel data sample of 22 European countries for the period 2012-2019, and seeks to answer the following research questions: Is there a direct relationship between agricultural innovation efficiency and the technological advances implemented? What effect do GHG emissions and innovation efficiency have on CC? Which agricultural practices have the greatest effect on the volume of GHG emissions? The results indicate that the European primary sector has registered an average rise in productivity of 4%, mainly driven by technological improvements. This underscores the need for agricultural innovation policies that focus not only on improving aspects related to technology but also on making better use of existing resources. In addition, the econometric models estimated confirm that efficiency levels are the most influential determinants of temperature change, while GHG emissions are primarily explained by their own historical values. Ultimately, research and development is a tool that can be used to curb CC, along with the proper use of land and fertilizers. There is thus a need to foster novel agricultural practices that help reduce emissions while ensuring the efficiency of the sector.}, } @article {pmid36738314, year = {2023}, author = {Varaldo, L and Guerrina, M and Dagnino, D and Minuto, L and Casazza, G}, title = {Dealing with disjunct populations of vascular plants: implications for assessing the effect of climate change.}, journal = {Oecologia}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, pmid = {36738314}, issn = {1432-1939}, abstract = {Species distribution models are the most widely used tool to predict species distributions for species conservation and assessment of climate change impact. However, they usually do not consider intraspecific ecological variation exhibited by many species. Overlooking the potential differentiation among groups of populations may lead to misplacing any conservation actions. This issue may be particularly relevant in species in which few populations with potential local adaptation occur, as in species with disjunct populations. Here, we used ecological niche modeling to analyze how the projections of current and future climatically suitable areas of 12 plant species can be affected using the whole taxa occurrences compared to occurrences from geographically disjunct populations. Niche analyses suggest that usually the disjunct group of populations selects the climatic conditions as similar as possible to the other according to climate availability. Integrating intraspecific variability only slightly increases models' ability to predict species occurrences. However, it results in different predictions of the magnitude of range change. In some species, integrating or not integrating intraspecific variability may lead to opposite trend in projected range change. Our results suggest that integrating intraspecific variability does not strongly improve overall models' accuracy, but it can result in considerably different conclusions about future range change. Consequently, accounting for intraspecific differentiation may enable the detection of potential local adaptations to new climate and so to design targeted conservation strategies.}, } @article {pmid36736753, year = {2023}, author = {Pastorino, P and Colussi, S and Varello, K and Meletiadis, A and Alberti, S and Di Blasio, A and Tedde, G and Begovoeva, M and Peano, A and Rossi, L and Renzi, M and Acutis, PL and Barceló, D and Prearo, M}, title = {Interdisciplinary approach to solve unusual mortalities in the European common frog (Rana temporaria) in two high-mountain ponds affected by climate change.}, journal = {Environmental research}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {115411}, doi = {10.1016/j.envres.2023.115411}, pmid = {36736753}, issn = {1096-0953}, abstract = {The global decline in amphibian populations is a major environmental issue. Chytridiomycosis, Ranaviruses and the red-leg syndrome have been identified in unusual mortality events. However, these infections do not account for all causes of declining amphibian populations. Moreover, several cases of amphibian mortality are difficult to solve without resorting to an interdisciplinary approach. Two cases of unusual mortality in Rana temporaria occurred at two high-mountain ponds (northwest Italy) in April and May 2021. Water and frog samples were analysed to understand the possible causes responsible for the unusual mortalities. Results of the main physicochemical (pH, conductivity, dissolved oxygen, chemical and biochemical oxygen demand) and nutrient (ammonia/ammonium, nitrite, nitrate, total phosphorus) parameters revealed a good condition of the water quality, with the absence of the main cyanotoxins (microcystins/nodularins). However, unseasonably high spring water temperatures were recorded in both ponds (12.73 °C and 14.21 °C for Frog Pond and Selleries Pond, respectively). Frogs (n = 50; snout-vent length: 7.0-9.8 cm; body mass: 85-123 g) collected from Frog Pond mainly presented bumps on the ventral cavity and dermal ulceration associated with the isolation of Carnobacterium maltaromaticum. On the other hand, frogs (n = 5; snout-vent length: 8.0-9.1 cm; body mass: 87-92 g) from Selleries Pond presented petechiae and dermal ulcerations on the rear limbs associated with the isolation of Aeromonas salmonicida and A. sobria. In both mortality events, the interdisciplinary approach revealed an association between frog mortalities and the isolation of bacteria. Isolated bacteria are considered opportunistic pathogens, and the high values of the water temperature has certainly led a stress on the frogs, favouring the spread of bacteria and the death of the frogs. Further studies are needed to assess the pathophysiological effects of the opportunistic bacteria here isolated, clarifying the interactions between emerging pathogens and climate change.}, } @article {pmid36736567, year = {2023}, author = {Firmino, VC and Martins, RT and Brasil, LS and Cunha, EJ and Pinedo, RB and Hamada, N and Juen, L}, title = {Do microplastics and climate change negatively affect shredder invertebrates from an amazon stream? An ecosystem functioning perspective.}, journal = {Environmental pollution (Barking, Essex : 1987)}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {121184}, doi = {10.1016/j.envpol.2023.121184}, pmid = {36736567}, issn = {1873-6424}, abstract = {Pollution and climate change are among the main threats to the biodiversity of freshwater ecosystems in the 21st century. We experimentally tested the effects of microplastic and climate change (i.e., increase in temperature and CO2) on the survival and consumption by an Amazonian-stream shredder invertebrate. We tested three hypotheses. (1) Increased microplastic concentrations and climate change reduce shredder survival. We assumed that the combined stressors would increase toxic stress. (2) Increased concentrations of microplastics have negative effects on shredder food consumption. We assumed that blockage of the digestive tract by microplastics would lead to reduced ability to digest food. In addition, increased temperature and CO2 would lead to an increase in metabolic cost and reduced consumption. (3) The interaction between microplastics and climate change have greater negative effects on survival and consumption than either alone. We combined different concentrations of microplastic and climate change scenarios to simulate in real-time increases in temperature and CO2 forecast for 2100 for Amazonia. We found that both stressors had lethal effects, increasing mortality risk, but there was no interaction effect. Shredder consumption was negatively affected only by climate change. The interaction of microplastics and climate change on shredder consumption was dose-dependent and more intense in the extreme climate scenario, leading to reduced consumption. Our results indicate that microplastic and climate change may have strong effects on the consumption and/or survival of insect shredders in Amazonian streams. In addition, microplastic and climate change effects may affect not only populations but also ecosystem functioning (e.g., nutrient processing). Integrative approaches to better understand and mitigate the effects of both stressors are necessary because plastic pollution and climate change co-occur in environments.}, } @article {pmid36736392, year = {2023}, author = {Han, Y and Bu, H}, title = {The impact of climate change on the water quality of Baiyangdian Lake (China) in the past 30 years (1991-2020).}, journal = {The Science of the total environment}, volume = {870}, number = {}, pages = {161957}, doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2023.161957}, pmid = {36736392}, issn = {1879-1026}, abstract = {Climate change significantly influenced the water quality of lakes in recent decades. This study investigated the effects of climate change on the water quality of Baiyangdian Lake (China) in the past 30 years (1991-2020) using correlation analysis, regression analysis, and the generalized additive model (GAM). The results show that water quality grade, chemical oxygen demand (COD), total phosphorus (TP) concentrations, and annual average and minimum air temperatures of the lake showed significant differences (p < 0.05) in the one-way ANOVA during the studied period. The concentration of dissolved oxygen (DO) and TP, annual average and minimum air temperatures, and annual precipitation decreased, while the COD and total nitrogen (TN) concentration, annual maximum temperature, and monthly maximum precipitation increased. The annual average and minimum air temperature affected all water quality variables and explained 12.3 %-54.5 % of variation deviation in correlation and GAM analyses, indicating that the changes of air temperature influenced the water temperature, which then affected the biochemical reaction rates leading to changes in water quality. The precipitation factors explained 10.5 % (TN) to 54.8 % (TP) of variation deviation, implying that the increase in precipitation improved water quality by diluting the COD concentration. However, excessive precipitation also accelerated the endogenous release of phosphorus in sediments by increasing the TP concentration. Additionally, extreme climate factors correlated with some water quality variables and explained 57.7 %-95.9 % of the total variances in correlation and regression analyses, suggesting that the extreme temperatures changed the nitrogen and DO concentration to aggravate lake pollution. However, the extreme precipitation purified the water through dilution. This study will facilitate to understand the impacts of climate change on water quality and find appropriate adaptation measures for ecosystem management of shallow lakes.}, } @article {pmid36735650, year = {2023}, author = {Rojas-Botero, S and Teixeira, LH and Kollmann, J}, title = {Low precipitation due to climate change consistently reduces multifunctionality of urban grasslands in mesocosms.}, journal = {PloS one}, volume = {18}, number = {2}, pages = {e0275044}, doi = {10.1371/journal.pone.0275044}, pmid = {36735650}, issn = {1932-6203}, abstract = {Urban grasslands are crucial for biodiversity and ecosystem services in cities, while little is known about their multifunctionality under climate change. Thus, we investigated the effects of simulated climate change, i.e., increased [CO2] and temperature, and reduced precipitation, on individual functions and overall multifunctionality in mesocosm grasslands sown with forbs and grasses in four different proportions aiming at mimicking road verge grassland patches. Climate change scenarios RCP2.6 (control) and RCP8.5 (worst-case) were simulated in walk-in climate chambers of an ecotron facility, and watering was manipulated for normal vs. reduced precipitation. We measured eight indicator variables of ecosystem functions based on below- and aboveground characteristics. The young grassland communities responded to higher [CO2] and warmer conditions with increased vegetation cover, height, flower production, and soil respiration. Lower precipitation affected carbon cycling in the ecosystem by reducing biomass production and soil respiration. In turn, the water regulation capacity of the grasslands depended on precipitation interacting with climate change scenario, given the enhanced water efficiency resulting from increased [CO2] under RCP8.5. Multifunctionality was negatively affected by reduced precipitation, especially under RCP2.6. Trade-offs arose among single functions that performed best in either grass- or forb-dominated grasslands. Grasslands with an even ratio of plant functional types coped better with climate change and thus are good options for increasing the benefits of urban green infrastructure. Overall, the study provides experimental evidence of the effects of climate change on the functionality of urban ecosystems. Designing the composition of urban grasslands based on ecological theory may increase their resilience to global change.}, } @article {pmid36735649, year = {2023}, author = {Farsi, M and Kalantar, M and Zeinalabedini, M and Vazifeshenas, MR}, title = {First assessment of Iranian pomegranate germplasm using targeted metabolites and morphological traits to develop the core collection and modeling of the current and future spatial distribution under climate change conditions.}, journal = {PloS one}, volume = {18}, number = {2}, pages = {e0265977}, doi = {10.1371/journal.pone.0265977}, pmid = {36735649}, issn = {1932-6203}, abstract = {Pomegranate has been considered a medicinal plant due to its rich nutrients and bioactive compounds. Since environmental conditions affect the amount and composition of metabolites, selecting suitable locations for cultivation would be vital to achieve optimal production. In this study, data on the diversity of targeted metabolites and morphological traits of 152 Iranian pomegranate genotypes were collected and combined in order to establish the first core collection. The multivariate analyses were conducted including principal component analysis (PCA), and cluster analysis. In addition, the current and future geographical distribution of pomegranate in Iran was predicted to identify suitable locations using the MaxEnt model. The results showed high diversity in the studied morphological and metabolic traits. The PCA results indicated that FFS, NFT, JA, and AA are the most important traits in discriminating the studied genotypes. A constructed core collection using maximization strategy consisted of 20 genotypes and accounted for 13.16% of the entire collection. Shannon-Weaver diversity index of a core collection was similar or greater than the entire collection. Evaluation of the core collection using four parameters of MD, VD, CR, and VR also indicated the maintenance of the genetic diversity of the original set. According to the MaxEnt model, altitude, average temperature of coldest quarter, and isothertmality were the key factors for the distribution of pomegranate. The most suitable areas for pomegranate cultivation were also determined which were located in arid and semi-arid regions of Iran. The geographic distribution of pomegranate in the future showed that the main provinces of pomegranate cultivation would be less affected by climatic conditions by the middle of the century. The results of this study provide valuable information for selection of elite genotypes to develop the breeding programs to obtain the cultivars with the highest levels of metabolic compounds for pharmaceutical purposes, as well as identification of the most suitable agro-ecological zones for orchard establishment.}, } @article {pmid36734041, year = {2023}, author = {Somani, R}, title = {Global Warming in Pakistan and Its Impact on Public Health as Viewed Through a Health Equity Lens.}, journal = {International journal of social determinants of health and health services}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {27551938231154467}, doi = {10.1177/27551938231154467}, pmid = {36734041}, issn = {2755-1946}, abstract = {Pakistan is extremely vulnerable to the negative impacts of climate change. The recent monsoon season caused widespread, deadly flooding, affecting 15% of the total population when extreme heat waves were followed by the worst rains and floods in the country's history. But Pakistan was not the cause of its own misfortune. The atmospheric buildup of carbon dioxide (CO2) is the greatest contributor to climate change. If we look at the increase of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere, we find that Pakistan is, like all developing nations, essentially a non-contributor of the problem, contributing considerably less than 1% of global greenhouse gas emissions. Moreover, although significant factors exacerbating the effects of climate change in Pakistan include an inadequate sewage system, air pollution from industrial waste, and deforestation, the country could not afford to proactively fix these, nor prepare for flooding and heavy rains. It lacks the funding for climate resilience efforts. As a result, Pakistan is suffering from a high prevalence of poor health outcomes. Children, the elderly, women, and the homeless, especially those living with poverty and disease, are at a high risk of morbidity and mortality. Since mitigating the devastating effects of climate change will continue to be an ongoing challenge for Pakistan, it urgently needs financial investment so that it can build climate-resilient infrastructures and institute mechanisms to deal with global warming's worst effects. Industrialized nations are responsible for global warming, and they must take responsibility for fighting global warming by helping developing countries cultivate greater public health emergency preparedness.}, } @article {pmid36731411, year = {2023}, author = {Mo, C and Lai, S and Yang, Q and Huang, K and Lei, X and Yang, L and Yan, Z and Jiang, C}, title = {A comprehensive assessment of runoff dynamics in response to climate change and human activities in a typical karst watershed, southwest China.}, journal = {Journal of environmental management}, volume = {332}, number = {}, pages = {117380}, doi = {10.1016/j.jenvman.2023.117380}, pmid = {36731411}, issn = {1095-8630}, abstract = {The Chengbi River Basin is a typical karst watershed in Southwest China. Understanding the effects of climate change (CC) and human activities (HAs) on hydrological process is important for regional water resources management and water security. However, a comprehensive assessment of the effects of CC and HAs on runoff dynamics at different time scales in the Chengbi River Basin is still lacking. To address these needs, we used Budyko Mezentsev-Choudhurdy-Yang and Slope change ratio of accumulative quantity methods to assess the contribution of the changing environment to annual and intra-annual runoff changes in the Chengbi River Basin. The results indicated that annual runoff time series was divided into the base phase Ta (1980-1996) and the change phase Tb (1997-2019). Compared to the natural status in Ta, the relative contributions of CC and HAs to the runoff increase in Tb were 154.86% and -54.86%. In addition, the shift in intra-annual runoff occurred in 2007 and was mainly caused by HAs, with a contribution rate of 76.22%. The increase in annual runoff in Tb could be attributed to the positive contribution of rainfall. Changes in rainfall and reservoir construction altered the original state of intra-annual runoff. Furthermore, the high degree of heterogeneity in the surface karst zone increased the runoff coefficient. The spatial unsaturation of the subsurface water-bearing media and rainfall patterns caused a significant lag effect in the response of surface runoff to rainfall. This study can help researchers and policy makers to better understand the response of karst runoff to changing environment and provide insights for future water resources management and flood control measures.}, } @article {pmid36731185, year = {2023}, author = {Tee Lewis, PG and Chiu, WA and Nasser, E and Proville, J and Barone, A and Danforth, C and Kim, B and Prozzi, J and Craft, E}, title = {Characterizing vulnerabilities to climate change across the United States.}, journal = {Environment international}, volume = {172}, number = {}, pages = {107772}, doi = {10.1016/j.envint.2023.107772}, pmid = {36731185}, issn = {1873-6750}, abstract = {Climate change will cause a range of related risks, including increases in infectious and chronic disease, intensified social and economic stresses, and more frequent extreme weather events. Vulnerable groups will be disproportionately affected due to greater exposure to climate risks and lower ability to prepare, adapt, and recover from their effects. Better understanding of the intersection of vulnerability and climate change risks is required to identify the most important drivers of future climate risks and effectively build resilience and deploy targeted adaptation efforts. Incorporating community stakeholder input, we identified and integrated available public health, social, economic, environmental, and climate data in the United States (U.S.), comprising 184 indicators, to develop a Climate Vulnerability Index (CVI) composed of four baseline vulnerabilities (health, social/economic, infrastructure, and environment) and three climate change risks (health, social/economic, extreme events). We find that the vulnerability to and risks from climate change are highly heterogeneous across the U.S. at the census tract scale, and geospatially cluster into complementary areas with similar climate risks but differing baseline vulnerabilities. Our results therefore demonstrate that not only are climate change risks both broadly and variably distributed across the U.S., but also that existing disparities are often further exacerbated by climate change. The CVI thus lays a data-driven, scientific foundation for future research on the intersection of climate change risks with health and other inequalities, while also identifying health impacts of climate change as the greatest research gap. Moreover, given U.S. government initiatives surrounding climate and equity, the CVI can be instrumental in empowering communities and policymakers to better prioritize resources and target interventions, providing a template for addressing local-scale climate and environmental justice globally.}, } @article {pmid36730175, year = {2023}, author = {Le Moyne, C and Roberts, P and Hua, Q and Bleasdale, M and Desideri, J and Boivin, N and Crowther, A}, title = {Ecological flexibility and adaptation to past climate change in the Middle Nile Valley: A multiproxy investigation of dietary shifts between the Neolithic and Kerma periods at Kadruka 1 and Kadruka 21.}, journal = {PloS one}, volume = {18}, number = {2}, pages = {e0280347}, doi = {10.1371/journal.pone.0280347}, pmid = {36730175}, issn = {1932-6203}, abstract = {Human responses to climate change have long been at the heart of discussions of past economic, social, and political change in the Nile Valley of northeastern Africa. Following the arrival of Neolithic groups in the 6th millennium BCE, the Northern Dongola Reach of Upper Nubia witnessed a cultural florescence manifested through elaborate funerary traditions. However, despite the wealth of archaeological data available from funerary contexts, including evidence for domesticated animals and plants as grave goods, the paucity of stratified habitation contexts hinders interpretation of local subsistence trajectories. While it is recognised archaeologically that, against the backdrop of increasing environmental deterioration, the importance of agriculture based on Southwest Asian winter cereals increased throughout the Kerma period (2500-1450 BCE), the contribution of domesticated cereals to earlier Neolithic herding economies remains unclear. This paper presents direct dietary data from a total of 55 Middle Neolithic and Kerma period individuals from Kadruka 21 and Kadruka 1. Microbotanical data obtained from human dental calculus and grave sediments are integrated with human and faunal stable isotopes to explore changes in dietary breadth over time. The combined results demonstrate the consumption of wild plant species, including C4 wetland adapted grasses, by Middle Neolithic individuals at Kadruka 1. Despite existing evidence for domesticated barley in associated graves, the results obtained in this study provide no clear evidence for the routine consumption of domesticated cereals by Middle Neolithic individuals. Rather, direct microparticle evidence for the consumption of Triticeae cereals is only associated with a single Kerma period individual and corresponds with an isotopic shift indicating a greater contribution of C3-derived resources to diet. These results provide evidence for Neolithic dietary flexibility in Upper Nubia through the persistence of foraging activities and support existing evidence linking increased agricultural reliance to the development of the Kerma culture.}, } @article {pmid36729985, year = {2022}, author = {Errett, NA and Dolan, K and Hartwell, C and Vickery, J and Hess, JJ}, title = {Climate Change Adaptation Activities and Needs in US State and Territorial Health Agencies.}, journal = {Journal of public health management and practice : JPHMP}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, doi = {10.1097/PHH.0000000000001674}, pmid = {36729985}, issn = {1550-5022}, abstract = {OBJECTIVE: To characterize US State and Territorial Health Agencies' (S/THA) climate change adaptation activities and priorities to facilitate appropriate investments, skills development, and support that will strengthen health sector capacity in response to a changing climate.

DESIGN: In 2021, we conducted an online survey of S/THA staff requesting information on current activities related to climate change and health, the state of climate and health programming, and anticipated needs and priorities for assistance. We analyzed survey results using descriptive statistics.

SETTING: US State and Territorial Health Agencies.

PARTICIPANTS: We received responses from 41 of 59 S/THAs (69.5%).

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Implementation of S/THA climate and health programs (CHPs); engagement in climate and health activities; maintenance of hazard early warning systems and action plans; employment of climate and health communications strategies; capability to assess risks and adaptation needs related to various climate-sensitive conditions; priorities and plans for climate change adaptation in relation to climate-sensitive health risks; climate change adaptation-related partnerships and collaborations; requests of the Association of State and Territorial Health Officials (ASTHO) for advancing climate change adaptation activities; and the impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic on climate change work.

RESULTS: Nineteen S/THAs reported having CHPs, the majority of which are federally funded. On average, S/THAs without CHPs reported engagement in fewer climate and health activities and more early warning activities. The S/THAs reported the highest levels of concerns regarding non-vector-borne infectious disease (66%), vector-borne infectious diseases (61%), and extreme heat (61%) hazards.

CONCLUSIONS: As S/THAs with CHPs report substantially greater climate and health capacity than those without, additional federal and state investments (eg, Building Resilience Against Climate Effects [BRACE]) are urgently needed to catalyze climate and health capacity.}, } @article {pmid36729624, year = {2022}, author = {}, title = {Climate Change and Vectorborne Diseases.}, journal = {The Pediatric infectious disease journal}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, doi = {10.1097/INF.0000000000003806}, pmid = {36729624}, issn = {1532-0987}, } @article {pmid36727294, year = {2023}, author = {Winter, N and Marchand, R and Lehmann, C and Nehlin, L and Trapannone, R and Rokvić, D and Dobbelaere, J}, title = {The paradox of the life sciences: How to address climate change in the lab: How to address climate change in the lab.}, journal = {EMBO reports}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {e56683}, doi = {10.15252/embr.202256683}, pmid = {36727294}, issn = {1469-3178}, abstract = {Addressing climate change and sustainability starts with individuals and moves up to institutional change. Here is what we as scientists in the life sciences can do to enact change.}, } @article {pmid36726592, year = {2022}, author = {De Toni, L and Finocchi, F and Jawich, K and Ferlin, A}, title = {Global warming and testis function: A challenging crosstalk in an equally challenging environmental scenario.}, journal = {Frontiers in cell and developmental biology}, volume = {10}, number = {}, pages = {1104326}, pmid = {36726592}, issn = {2296-634X}, abstract = {Environmental pollution, accounting for both chemical and physical factors, is a major matter of concern due to its health consequences in both humans and animals. The release of greenhouse gases with the consequent increase in environmental temperature is acknowledged to have a major impact on the health of both animals and humans, in current and future generations. A large amount of evidence reports detrimental effects of acute heat stress on testis function, particularly on the spermatogenetic and steroidogenetic process, in both animal and human models, wich is largely related to the testis placement within the scrotal sac and outside the abdomen, warranting an overall scrotal temperature of 2°C-4°C lower than the core body temperature. This review will provide a thorough evaluation of environmental temperature's effect on testicular function. In particular, basic concepts of body thermoregulation will be discussed together with available data about the association between testis damage and heat stress exposure. In addition, the possible association between global warming and the secular decline of testis function will be critically evaluated in light of the available epidemiological studies.}, } @article {pmid36725902, year = {2023}, author = {Souza, PGC and Aidoo, OF and Farnezi, PKB and Heve, WK and Júnior, PAS and Picanço, MC and Ninsin, KD and Ablormeti, FK and Shah, MA and Siddiqui, SA and Silva, RS}, title = {Tamarixia radiata global distribution to current and future climate using the climate change experiment (CLIMEX) model.}, journal = {Scientific reports}, volume = {13}, number = {1}, pages = {1823}, pmid = {36725902}, issn = {2045-2322}, abstract = {The phloem-limited bacteria, "Candidatus Liberibacter asiaticus" and "Ca. L. americanus", are the causal pathogens responsible for Huanglongbing (HLB). The Asian citrus psyllid Diaphorina citri Kuwayama (Hemiptera: Liviidae) is the principal vector of these "Ca. Liberibacter" species. Though Tamarixia radiata Waterston (Hymenoptera: Eulophidae) has been useful in biological control programmes against D. citri, information on its global distribution remains vague. Using the Climate Change Experiment (CLIMEX) model, the potential global distribution of T. radiata under the 2050s, 2070s, and 2090s for Special Report on Emissions Scenarios A1B and A2 was defined globally. The results showed that habitat suitability for T. radiata covered Africa, Asia, Europe, Oceania, and the Americas. The model predicted climate suitable areas for T. radiata beyond its presently known native and non-native areas. The new locations predicted to have habitat suitability for T. radiata included parts of Europe and Oceania. Under the different climate change scenarios, the model predicted contraction of high habitat suitability (EI > 30) for T. radiata from the 2050s to the 2090s. Nevertheless, the distribution maps created using the CLIMEX model may be helpful in the search for and release of T. radiata in new regions.}, } @article {pmid36725397, year = {2023}, author = {Kou, W and Gao, Y and Zhang, S and Cai, W and Geng, G and Davis, SJ and Wang, H and Guo, X and Cheng, W and Zeng, X and Ma, M and Wang, H and Wang, Q and Yao, X and Gao, H and Wu, L}, title = {High downward surface solar radiation conducive to ozone pollution more frequent under global warming.}, journal = {Science bulletin}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, doi = {10.1016/j.scib.2023.01.022}, pmid = {36725397}, issn = {2095-9281}, } @article {pmid36723260, year = {2023}, author = {Roberts, HP and Willey, LL and Jones, MT and Akre, TSB and King, DI and Kleopfer, J and Brown, DJ and Buchanan, SW and Chandler, HC and deMaynadier, P and Winters, M and Erb, L and Gipe, KD and Johnson, G and Lauer, K and Liebgold, EB and Mays, JD and Meck, JR and Megyesy, J and Mota, JL and Nazdrowicz, NH and Oxenrider, KJ and Parren, M and Ransom, TS and Rohrbaugh, L and Smith, S and Yorks, D and Zarate, B}, title = {Is the future female for turtles? Climate change and wetland configuration predict sex ratios of a freshwater species.}, journal = {Global change biology}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, doi = {10.1111/gcb.16625}, pmid = {36723260}, issn = {1365-2486}, abstract = {Climate change and land-use change are leading drivers of biodiversity decline, affecting demographic parameters that are important for population persistence. For example, scientists have speculated for decades that climate change may skew adult sex ratios in taxa that express temperature-dependent sex determination (TSD), but limited evidence exists that this phenomenon is occurring in natural settings. For species that are vulnerable to anthropogenic land-use practices, differential mortality among sexes may also skew sex ratios. We sampled the spotted turtle (Clemmys guttata), a freshwater species with TSD, across a large portion of its geographic range (Florida to Maine), to assess the environmental factors influencing adult sex ratios. We present evidence that suggests recent climate change has skewed the adult sex ratio of spotted turtles, with samples following a pattern of increased female-bias concomitant with warming trends, but only within the warmest areas sampled. At intermediate temperatures, there was no relationship with climate, while in the coolest areas we found the opposite pattern, with samples becoming more male-biased with increasing temperatures. These patterns might be explained in part by variation in relative adaptive capacity via phenotypic plasticity in nest site selection. Our findings also suggest that spotted turtles have a context-dependent and multi-scale relationship with land use. We observed a negative relationship between male proportion and the amount of crop cover (within 300 m) when wetlands were less spatially aggregated. However, when wetlands were aggregated, sex ratios remained consistent. This pattern may reflect sex-specific patterns in movement that render males more vulnerable to mortality from agricultural machinery and other threats. Our findings highlight the complexity of species' responses to both climate change and land use, and emphasize the role that landscape structure can play in shaping wildlife population demographics.}, } @article {pmid36723077, year = {2023}, author = {Lennon, JT and Frost, SDW and Nguyen, NK and Peralta, AL and Place, AR and Treseder, KK}, title = {Microbiology and Climate Change: a Transdisciplinary Imperative.}, journal = {mBio}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {e0333522}, doi = {10.1128/mbio.03335-22}, pmid = {36723077}, issn = {2150-7511}, abstract = {Climate change is a complex problem involving nonlinearities and feedback that operate across scales. No single discipline or way of thinking can effectively address the climate crisis. Teams of natural scientists, social scientists, engineers, economists, and policymakers must work together to understand, predict, and mitigate the rapidly accelerating impacts of climate change. Transdisciplinary approaches are urgently needed to address the role that microorganisms play in climate change. Here, we demonstrate with case studies how diverse teams and perspectives provide climate-change insight related to the range expansion of emerging fungal pathogens, technological solutions for harmful cyanobacterial blooms, and the prediction of disease-causing microorganisms and their vector populations using massive networks of monitoring stations. To serve as valuable members of a transdisciplinary climate research team, microbiologists must reach beyond the boundaries of their immediate areas of scientific expertise and engage in efforts to build open-minded teams aimed at scalable technologies and adoptable policies.}, } @article {pmid36721991, year = {2023}, author = {Varghese, R and Patel, P and Kumar, D and Sharma, R}, title = {Climate change and glacier melting: risks for unusual outbreaks?.}, journal = {Journal of travel medicine}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, doi = {10.1093/jtm/taad015}, pmid = {36721991}, issn = {1708-8305}, } @article {pmid36721739, year = {2023}, author = {Burbank, AJ}, title = {Risk Factors for Respiratory Viral Infections: A Spotlight on Climate Change and Air Pollution.}, journal = {Journal of asthma and allergy}, volume = {16}, number = {}, pages = {183-194}, pmid = {36721739}, issn = {1178-6965}, abstract = {Climate change has both direct and indirect effects on human health, and some populations are more vulnerable to these effects than others. Viral respiratory infections are most common illnesses in humans, with estimated 17 billion incident infections globally in 2019. Anthropogenic drivers of climate change, chiefly the emission of greenhouse gases and toxic pollutants from burning of fossil fuels, and the consequential changes in temperature, precipitation, and frequency of extreme weather events have been linked with increased susceptibility to viral respiratory infections. Air pollutants like nitrogen dioxide, particulate matter, diesel exhaust particles, and ozone have been shown to impact susceptibility and immune responses to viral infections through various mechanisms, including exaggerated or impaired innate and adaptive immune responses, disruption of the airway epithelial barrier, altered cell surface receptor expression, and impaired cytotoxic function. An estimated 90% of the world's population is exposed to air pollution, making this a topic with high relevance to human health. This review summarizes the available epidemiologic and experimental evidence for an association between climate change, air pollution, and viral respiratory infection.}, } @article {pmid36721132, year = {2023}, author = {Casson, N and Cameron, L and Mauro, I and Friesen-Hughes, K and Rocque, R}, title = {Perceptions of the health impacts of climate change among Canadians.}, journal = {BMC public health}, volume = {23}, number = {1}, pages = {212}, doi = {10.1186/s12889-023-15105-z}, pmid = {36721132}, issn = {1471-2458}, abstract = {BACKGROUND: Understanding public perceptions of the health risks of climate change is critical to inform risk communication and support the adoption of adaptive behaviours. In Canada, very few studies have explored public understandings and perceptions of climate impacts on health. The objective of this study was to address this gap by exploring perceptions of the link between climate change and health.

METHODS: We conducted a survey of Canadians (n = 3,014) to address this objective. The 116-question survey measured prior consideration of the link between climate change and health, affective assessment of climate health impacts, unprompted knowledge of climate health impacts, and concern about a range of impacts. ANOVA tests were used to assess differences among sociodemographic groups.

RESULTS: Overall, Canadian's have a similar level of concern about health impacts of climate change compared with concern about other impacts (e.g. biophysical, economic, and national security). Among health-related impacts, respondents were more concerned about impacts on water, food and air quality, compared with impacts on mental health, infectious diseases and heat-related illnesses. There were differences among sociodemographic groups; women were significantly more concerned than men about all of the health-related impacts; respondents with a high school level of education were significantly less concerned about all health-related impacts compared with respondents with more education; and respondents on the political left were more concerned with those in the political centre, who were more concerned than those on the political right.

CONCLUSION: There is emerging literature suggesting that framing communication around climate change in terms of the health risks it poses may increase perceptions of the proximity of the risks. These results suggest that it is important to be specific in the types of health risks that are communicated, and to consider the concerns of the target sociodemographic groups. The differential knowledge, awareness, and concern of climate health impacts across segments of the Canadian population can inform targeted communication and engagement to build broader support for adaptation and mitigation measures.}, } @article {pmid36720921, year = {2023}, author = {Erhart, S and Erhart, K}, title = {Environmental ranking of European industrial facilities by toxicity and global warming potentials.}, journal = {Scientific reports}, volume = {13}, number = {1}, pages = {1772}, pmid = {36720921}, issn = {2045-2322}, abstract = {We present a methodology to develop the integrated toxicity and climate change risk assessment of Europe based facilities, industries and regions. There is an increasingly important need for large scale sustainability measurement solutions for company reporting with high granularity. In this paper we measure key aspects of Sustainable Development Goals in terms of human, cancer and non-cancer toxicity, ecotoxicity together with global warming impact potentials from point source pollutant releases of more than 10,000 companies and their 33,000 facilities in Europe from 2001 to 2017, by using the European Pollutant Release and Transfer Register. For our assessment, we deploy a scientific consensus model, USEtox for characterizing human and ecotoxicological impacts of chemicals and the global warming potential values from the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. We discuss water and air emissions of dozens of pollutants in urban, rural, coastal and inland areas. Companies in the electricity production sector are estimated to have the largest human toxicity impact potential (46% of total) and the largest global warming impact potential (50%), while companies in the sewerage sector have the largest ecotoxicity impact potential (50%). In the overall economy, the correlation between facilities' global warming and toxicity impact potentials is positive, however, not very strong. Therefore, we argue that carbon footprint of industrial organizations can be only used as a climate change risk indicator, but not as an overall environmental performance indicator. We confirm impact potentials of major pollutants in previous research papers (Hg accounting for 76% of the total human toxicity and Zn accounting for 68% of total ecotoxicity), although we draw the attention to the limitations of USEtox in case of metals. From 2001 to 2017 total human toxicity dropped by 28%, although the downward trend reversed in 2016. Ecotoxicity and global warming impact potentials remained unchanged in the same period. Finally, we show that the European pollutant release monitoring data quality could be further improved, as only three quarters of the toxic releases are measured in the Member States of the European Union, and a high share of toxic pollutant releases are only estimated in some countries. Of the measured or calculated toxic releases, only one third is reported according to the most robust CEN/ISO standards and about one fifth according to the least preferred other methods, like engineering judgements.}, } @article {pmid36720578, year = {2023}, author = {Diallo, T and Roberge, M and Bérubé, A and Audate, PP}, title = {Integrating climate change into nursing curricula and continuing education: a scoping review protocol.}, journal = {BMJ open}, volume = {13}, number = {1}, pages = {e068520}, doi = {10.1136/bmjopen-2022-068520}, pmid = {36720578}, issn = {2044-6055}, abstract = {INTRODUCTION: Climate change constitutes a major threat to human health. Nurses have an essential role to play in protecting populations from this threat, and to fulfil this role, they must be properly prepared. The purpose of this scoping review is to examine studies on the integration of climate change into the academic curriculum or continuing education of nurses so as to identify issues and opportunities related to this integration.

METHODS AND ANALYSIS: The method being used is the methodological framework proposed by Arksey and O'Malley and Levac et al. First, a search strategy using keywords and their combinations will be developed. This strategy will be applied in four bibliographic databases: MEDLINE (PubMed), CINAHL, Embase, Web of Science. Second, an initial selection of studies based on titles and abstracts will be carried out by two members of the research team using the software Covidence. They will conduct this selection process independently, with the aim of identifying relevant studies that meet the inclusion criteria for our scoping review. Third, the second stage in the selection process will be carried out by examining the full text of each article to determine which studies to include in the review. Finally, data on year of publication, authors, geographical area, article type, study objectives, methodology and key findings will be extracted from selected articles for analysis. A search of the grey literature will also be conducted to supplement the results of the bibliographic database search. The scoping review is currently ongoing. Identification of relevant literature began in the first quarter of 2022 and is expected to be completed in the first quarter of 2023.

ETHICS AND DISSEMINATION: Ethical approval is not required for this review. The results of this study will be presented in workshops and conferences and be submitted for publication to a peer-reviewed journal.}, } @article {pmid36719685, year = {2023}, author = {Smith, MW and O'Shea, AMJ and Wray, CM}, title = {Health Care and Climate Change-Telemedicine's Role in Environmental Stewardship.}, journal = {JAMA network open}, volume = {6}, number = {1}, pages = {e2253794}, doi = {10.1001/jamanetworkopen.2022.53794}, pmid = {36719685}, issn = {2574-3805}, } @article {pmid36716568, year = {2023}, author = {Le, CTU and Paul, WL and Gawne, B and Suter, P}, title = {Integrating simulation models and statistical models using causal modelling principles to predict aquatic macroinvertebrate responses to climate change.}, journal = {Water research}, volume = {231}, number = {}, pages = {119661}, doi = {10.1016/j.watres.2023.119661}, pmid = {36716568}, issn = {1879-2448}, abstract = {Climate change is projected to threaten ecological communities through changes in temperature, rainfall, runoff patterns, and mediated changes in other environmental variables. Their combined effects are difficult to comprehend without the mathematical machinery of causal modelling. Using piecewise structural equation modelling, we aim to predict the responses of aquatic macroinvertebrate total abundance and richness to disturbances generated by climate change. Our approach involves integrating an existing hydroclimate-salinity model for the Murray-Darling Basin, Australia, into our recently developed statistical models for macroinvertebrates using long-term monitoring data on macroinvertebrates, water quality, climate, and hydrology, spanning 2,300 km of the Murray River. Our exercise demonstrates the potential of causal modelling for integrating data and models from different sources. As such, optimal use of valuable existing data and merits of previously developed models in the field can be made for exploring the effects of future climate change and management interventions.}, } @article {pmid36716544, year = {2023}, author = {Vacek, Z and Vacek, S and Cukor, J}, title = {European forests under global climate change: Review of tree growth processes, crises and management strategies.}, journal = {Journal of environmental management}, volume = {332}, number = {}, pages = {117353}, doi = {10.1016/j.jenvman.2023.117353}, pmid = {36716544}, issn = {1095-8630}, abstract = {The ongoing global climate change is challenging all sectors, forestry notwithstanding. On the one hand, forest ecosystems are exposed to and threatened by climate change, but on the other hand, forests can influence the course of climate change by regulating the water regime, air quality, carbon sequestration, and even reduce climate extremes. Therefore, it is crucial to see climate change not only as a risk causing forest disturbances and economic consequences but also as an opportunity for innovative approaches to forest management, conservation, and silviculture based on the results of long-term research. We reviewed 365 studies evaluating the impact of climate change on European forest ecosystems, all published during the last 30 years (1993-2022). The most significant consequences of climate change include more frequent and destructive large-scale forest disturbances (wildfire, windstorm, drought, flood, bark beetle, root rot), and tree species migration. Species distribution shifts and changes in tree growth rate have substantial effects on ecosystem carbon storage. Diameter/volume increment changed from -1 to +99% in Central and Northern Europe, while it decreased from -12 to -49% in Southern Europe across tree species over the last ca. 50 years. However, it is important to sharply focus on the causes of climate change and subsequently, on adaptive strategies, which can successfully include the creation of species-diverse, spatially and age-wise structured stands (decrease drought stress and increase production), prolongation of the regenerative period, or the use of suitable introduced tree species (e.g., Douglas fir, black pine, and Mediterranean oaks). But the desired changes are based on increasing diversity and the mitigation of climate change, and will require significantly higher initial costs for silviculture practices. In conclusion, the scope and complexity of the topic require further comprehensive and long-term studies focusing on international cooperation. We see a critical gap in the transfer of research results into actual forest practice, which will be the key factor influencing afforestation of forest stands and forest growth in the following decades. What our forests will look like for future generations and what the resulting impact of climate change will be on forestry is in the hands of forest managers, depending on supportive forestry research and climate change policy, including adaptive and mitigation strategies.}, } @article {pmid36716539, year = {2023}, author = {Shen, C and Wang, Y}, title = {Concerned or Apathetic? Exploring online public opinions on climate change from 2008 to 2019: A Comparative study between China and other G20 countries.}, journal = {Journal of environmental management}, volume = {332}, number = {}, pages = {117376}, doi = {10.1016/j.jenvman.2023.117376}, pmid = {36716539}, issn = {1095-8630}, abstract = {G20 countries, account for the majority of global carbon emissions, need to take the lead in mitigating climate change. However, there are differences in economic, political and sociocultural backgrounds amongst G20 countries, especially between China and other G20 countries. Since the implementation of climate policies largely require domestic public support, it is vital to explore similarities and differences of public opinions on climate issues between China and other G20 countries. However, little research has investigated the micro-level climate concerns from the perspective of cross-country differences. Therefore, based on big data and text mining analysis, this study crawled user-generated data on Sina Weibo (N = 271,487) and Twitter (N = 4,874,546) from 2008 to 2019 to comprehensively catalog and compare climate opinions. Results show that climate change has become a salient issue in China and other G20 countries, with climate-related surges in public opinions always occurring after major natural, social and political events. Moreover, in China, there has been a significant shift in public attention from climate impacts to climate mitigation strategies, but in other G20 countries, people are more radical by emphasizing the climate movement and calling for authoritative actions. This study provides "snapshots" of climate communication and offers a quantification-based reference for promoting climate actions and collaborative governance.}, } @article {pmid36716485, year = {2022}, author = {Mahanes, SA and Bracken, MES and Sorte, CJB}, title = {Climate Change Amelioration by Marine Producers: Does Dominance Predict Impact?.}, journal = {The Biological bulletin}, volume = {243}, number = {3}, pages = {299-314}, doi = {10.1086/721229}, pmid = {36716485}, issn = {1939-8697}, abstract = {AbstractClimate change threatens biodiversity worldwide, and assessing how those changes will impact communities will be critical for conservation. Dominant primary producers can alter local-scale environmental conditions, reducing temperature via shading and mitigating ocean acidification via photosynthesis, which could buffer communities from the impacts of climate change. We conducted two experiments on the coast of southeastern Alaska to assess the effects of a common seaweed species, Neorhodomela oregona, on temperature and pH in field tide pools and tide pool mesocosms. We found that N. oregona was numerically dominant in this system, covering >60% of habitable space in the pools and accounting for >40% of live cover. However, while N. oregona had a density-dependent effect on pH in isolated mesocosms, we did not find a consistent effect of N. oregona on either pH or water temperature in tide pools in the field. These results suggest that the amelioration of climate change impacts in immersed marine ecosystems by primary producers is not universal and likely depends on species' functional attributes, including photosynthetic rate and physical structure, in addition to abundance or dominance.}, } @article {pmid36716375, year = {2023}, author = {Diffenbaugh, NS and Barnes, EA}, title = {Data-driven predictions of the time remaining until critical global warming thresholds are reached.}, journal = {Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America}, volume = {120}, number = {6}, pages = {e2207183120}, doi = {10.1073/pnas.2207183120}, pmid = {36716375}, issn = {1091-6490}, abstract = {Leveraging artificial neural networks (ANNs) trained on climate model output, we use the spatial pattern of historical temperature observations to predict the time until critical global warming thresholds are reached. Although no observations are used during the training, validation, or testing, the ANNs accurately predict the timing of historical global warming from maps of historical annual temperature. The central estimate for the 1.5 °C global warming threshold is between 2033 and 2035, including a ±1σ range of 2028 to 2039 in the Intermediate (SSP2-4.5) climate forcing scenario, consistent with previous assessments. However, our data-driven approach also suggests a substantial probability of exceeding the 2 °C threshold even in the Low (SSP1-2.6) climate forcing scenario. While there are limitations to our approach, our results suggest a higher likelihood of reaching 2 °C in the Low scenario than indicated in some previous assessments-though the possibility that 2 °C could be avoided is not ruled out. Explainable AI methods reveal that the ANNs focus on particular geographic regions to predict the time until the global threshold is reached. Our framework provides a unique, data-driven approach for quantifying the signal of climate change in historical observations and for constraining the uncertainty in climate model projections. Given the substantial existing evidence of accelerating risks to natural and human systems at 1.5 °C and 2 °C, our results provide further evidence for high-impact climate change over the next three decades.}, } @article {pmid36716334, year = {2023}, author = {El Atfy, H and Coiffard, C and El Beialy, SY and Uhl, D}, title = {Vegetation and climate change at the southern margin of the Neo-Tethys during the Cenomanian (Late Cretaceous): Evidence from Egypt.}, journal = {PloS one}, volume = {18}, number = {1}, pages = {e0281008}, doi = {10.1371/journal.pone.0281008}, pmid = {36716334}, issn = {1932-6203}, abstract = {Changes in terrestrial vegetation during the mid-Cretaceous and their link to climate and environmental change are poorly understood. In this study, we use plant macrofossils and analysis of fossil pollen and spores from the Western Desert, Egypt, to assess temporal changes in plant communities during the Cenomanian. The investigated strata have relatively diverse sporomorph assemblages, which reflect the nature of parent vegetation. Specifically, the palynofloras represent ferns, conifers, monosulcate pollen producers, Gnetales, and a diverse group of angiosperms. Comparisons of both, dispersed palynoflora and plant macrofossils reveal different characteristics of the palaeoflora owing to a plethora of taphonomical and ecological biases including the depositional environment, production levels, and discrepancies between different plant organs. A combination of detailed records of sporomorphs, leaves, and charcoal from the studied successions provide new understandings of the palaeoclimate and palaeogeography during the Cenomanian and Albian-Cenomanian transition in Egypt. The mixed composition of the palynofloral assemblages reflects the presence of different depositional situations with a weak marine influence, as evidenced by a minor dinoflagellate cysts component. The local vegetation comprised various categories including herbaceous groups including ferns and eudicots, fluvial, open environments, and xeric arboreal communities dominated by Cheirolepidiaceae and perhaps including drought- and/or salt-tolerating ferns (Anemiaceae) and other gymnosperms (Araucariaceae, Ginkgoales, Cycadales, and Gnetales) as well as angiosperms. The presence of riparian and freshwater wetland communities favouring aquatic and/or hygrophilous ferns (of Salviniaceae and Marsileaceae), is noted. The wide variation of depositional settings derived from the palynological data may be attributed to a prevalent occurrence of producers in local vegetation during the early Cenomanian of Egypt. For the purpose of this work on the studied Bahariya Formation and its equivalent rock units, where iconic dinosaurs and other fossil fauna roamed, we attempt to improve the understanding of Egypt's Cenomanian climate, which is reconstructed as generally warm and humid punctuated by phases of considerably drier conditions of varying duration.}, } @article {pmid36716308, year = {2023}, author = {Kolanowska, M and Michalska, E}, title = {The effect of global warming on the Australian endemic orchid Cryptostylis leptochila and its pollinator.}, journal = {PloS one}, volume = {18}, number = {1}, pages = {e0280922}, doi = {10.1371/journal.pone.0280922}, pmid = {36716308}, issn = {1932-6203}, abstract = {Ecological stability together with the suitability of abiotic conditions are crucial for long-term survival of any organism and the maintenance of biodiversity and self-sustainable ecosystems relies on species interactions. By influencing resource availability plants affect the composition of plant communities and ultimately ecosystem functioning. Plant-animal interactions are very complex and include a variety of exploitative and mutualistic relationships. One of the most important mutualistic interactions is that between plants and their pollinators. Coevolution generates clustered links between plants and their pollen vectors, but the pollination and reproductive success of plants is reduced by increase in the specialization of plant-animal interactions. One of the most specialized types of pollination is sexual deception, which occurs almost exclusively in Orchidaceae. In this form of mimicry, male insects are attracted to orchid flowers by chemical compounds that resemble insect female sex pheromones and pollinate the flowers during attempted copulations. These interactions are often species-specific with each species of orchid attracting only males of one or very few closely related species of insects. For sexually deceptive orchids the presence of a particular pollen vector is crucial for reproductive success and any reduction in pollinator availability constitutes a threat to the orchid. Because global warming is rapidly becoming the greatest threat to all organisms by re-shaping the geographical ranges of plants, animals and fungi, this paper focuses on predicting the effect of global warming on Cryptostylis leptochila, a terrestrial endemic in eastern Australia that is pollinated exclusively via pseudo copulation with Lissopimpla excelsa. As a species with a single pollinator this orchid is a perfect model for studies on the effect of global warming on plants and their pollen vectors. According to our predictions, global warming will cause a significant loss of suitable niches for C. leptochila. The potential range of this orchid will be 36%-75% smaller than currently and as a result the Eastern Highlands will become unsuitable for C. leptochila. On the other hand, some new niches will become available for this species in Tasmania. Simultaneously, climate change will result in a substantial expansion of niches suitable for the pollinator (44-82%). Currently ca. 71% of the geographical range of the orchid is also suitable for L. excelsa, therefore, almost 30% of the areas occupied by C. leptochila already lack the pollen vector. The predicted availability of the pollen vector increased under three of the climate change scenarios analysed. The predicted habitat loss is a serious threat to this orchid even with the potential colonization of Tasmania by this plant. In the reduced range of C. leptochila the pollen vector will also be present assuring fruit set in populations of this orchid. The genetic pool of the populations in New South Wales and Queensland will probably be lost.}, } @article {pmid36715961, year = {2023}, author = {Gershoni, M}, title = {Transgenerational transmission of environmental effects in livestock in the age of global warming.}, journal = {Cell stress & chaperones}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, pmid = {36715961}, issn = {1466-1268}, abstract = {Recent decades provide mounting evidence for the continual increase in global temperatures, now termed "global warming," to the point of drastic worldwide change in the climate. Climatic change is a long-term shift in temperatures and weather patterns, including increased frequency and intensity of extreme environmental events such as heat waves accompanied by extreme temperatures and high humidity. Climate change and global warming put several challenges to the livestock industry by directly affecting the animal's production, reproduction, health, and welfare. The broad impact of global warming, and in particular heat stress, on-farm animals' performance has been comprehensively studied. It has been estimated that the US livestock industry's loss caused by heat stress is up to $2.4 billion annually. However, the long-term intergenerational and transgenerational effects of climatic change and global warming on farm animals are sparse. Transgenerational effects, which are mediated by epigenetic mechanisms, can affect the animal's performance regardless of its immediate environment by altering its phenotypic expression to fit its ancestors' environment. In many animal species, environmental effects are epigenetically encoded within a narrow time interval during the organism's gametogenesis, and these epigenetic modifications can then be intergenerationally transmitted. Several epigenetic mechanisms mediate intergenerational transmission of environmental effects, typically in a parent-dependent manner. Therefore, exposure of the animal to an extreme climatic event and other environmental stressors during gametogenesis can undergo epigenetic stabilization in the germline and be passed to the offspring. As a result, the offspring might express a phenotype adjusted to fit the stressors experienced by their ancestors, regardless of their direct environment. The purpose of this perspective is to review current evidence for intergenerational and transgenerational transmission of environmental stress effects, specifically in the context of global warming and climate change, and to offer viewpoints on the possible impacts on the livestock industry.}, } @article {pmid36715682, year = {2023}, author = {David-Schwartz, R}, title = {Pine breeding programs in the face of climate change: Do we need to change direction?.}, journal = {Tree physiology}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, doi = {10.1093/treephys/tpad011}, pmid = {36715682}, issn = {1758-4469}, } @article {pmid36714727, year = {2022}, author = {Qin, M and Gao, X and Feng, M and Jin, N and Wang, C and Cheng, W}, title = {Modeling of the potential geographical distribution of naked oat under climate change.}, journal = {Frontiers in plant science}, volume = {13}, number = {}, pages = {1009577}, pmid = {36714727}, issn = {1664-462X}, abstract = {INTRODUCTION: Naked oat (Avena sativa L.), is an important miscellaneous grain crop in China, which is rich in protein, amino acids, fat and soluble dietary fiber. The demand for functional foods is gradually increasing as living standards rise, and the output of minor cereals in China is increasing annually. The planting layout of naked oat is scattered and lacks planning, which seriously restricts the development of the naked oat industry. The increase in miscellaneous grain production will not only be impacted by cultivation methods and management techniques, but the potential impact of global climate change needs to be considered. North China is the main area for naked oat production, worldwide.

METHODS: In this study, the potential distribution range of naked oat in North China was forecast based on historical distribution data and the Maxent model under climate change conditions. The performance of the model was relatively high.

RESULTS: The results indicated that the most suitable area for the potential geographic distribution of naked oat in North China was 27.89×104 km[2], including central and northeastern Shanxi, and northeastern and western Hebei and Beijing, gradually moving northward. The core suitable area increased, and the distribution of naked oat had an obvious regional response to climate warming; the main environmental factors affecting the potential geographic distribution were precipitation factor variables (precipitation seasonality (variation coefficient)), terrain factor variables (elevation) and temperature factor variables (temperature seasonality (Standard Deviation*100)).

DISCUSSION: In this study, the Maxent model was used to analyze and predict suitable areas for naked oat in North China, and the distribution of suitable areas was accurately divided, and the main climatic factors affecting the distribution of naked oat were identified. This research provides data support and theoretical support for the optimal planting zone of naked oat in North China.}, } @article {pmid36714699, year = {2022}, author = {Yahya, M and Rasul, M and Hussain, SZ and Dilawar, A and Ullah, M and Rajput, L and Afzal, A and Asif, M and Wubet, T and Yasmin, S}, title = {Integrated analysis of potential microbial consortia, soil nutritional status, and agro-climatic datasets to modulate P nutrient uptake and yield effectiveness of wheat under climate change resilience.}, journal = {Frontiers in plant science}, volume = {13}, number = {}, pages = {1074383}, pmid = {36714699}, issn = {1664-462X}, abstract = {Climate change has a devastating effect on wheat production; therefore, crop production might decline by 2030. Phosphorus (P) nutrient deficiency is another main limiting factor of reduced yield. Hence, there is a dire need to judiciously consider wheat yield, so that human requirements and nutrition balance can be sustained efficiently. Despite the great significance of biostimulants in sustainable agriculture, there is still a lack of integrated technology encompassing the successful competitiveness of inoculated phosphate-solubilizing bacteria (PSB) in agricultural systems in the context of climatic conditions/meteorological factors and soil nutritional status. Therefore, the present study reveals the modulation of an integrated P nutrient management approach to develop potential PSB consortia for recommended wheat varieties by considering the respective soil health and agro-climatic conditions. The designed consortia were found to maintain adequate viability for up to 9 months, verified through field emission scanning electron microscopy and viable count. Furthermore, a significant increase in grain yield (5%-8%) and seed P (4%) content was observed in consortia-inoculated wheat plants with 20% reduced Diammonium phosphate (DAP) application under net house conditions. Fluorescence in situ hybridization analysis of roots and amplification of the gcd gene of Ochrobactrum sp. SSR indicated the survival and rhizosphere competency of the inoculated PSB. Categorical principal component analysis (CAT-PCA) showed a positive correlation of inoculated field-grown wheat varieties in native soils to grain yield, soil P content, and precipitation for sites belonging to irrigated plains and seed P content, soil organic matter, and number of tillers for sites belonging to Northern dry mountains. However, the impact of inoculation at sites belonging to the Indus delta was found significantly correlated to soil potassium (K) content, electrical conductivity (EC), and temperature. Additionally, a significant increase in grain yield (15%) and seed P (14%) content was observed in inoculated wheat plants. Thus, the present study demonstrates for the first time the need to integrate soil biological health and agro-climatic conditions for consistent performance of augmented PSB and enhanced P nutrient uptake to curtail soil pollution caused by the extensive use of agrochemicals. This study provides innovative insights and identifies key questions for future research on PSB to promote its successful implementation in agriculture.}, } @article {pmid36714211, year = {2023}, author = {Ongoma, V and Epule, TE and Brouziyne, Y and Tanarhte, M and Chehbouni, A}, title = {COVID-19 response in Africa: impacts and lessons for environmental management and climate change adaptation.}, journal = {Environment, development and sustainability}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {1-23}, pmid = {36714211}, issn = {1573-2975}, abstract = {UNLABELLED: The COVID-19 pandemic adds pressure on Africa; the most vulnerable continent to climate change impacts, threatening the realization of most Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs). The continent is witnessing an increase in intensity and frequency of extreme weather events, and environmental change. The COVID-19 was managed relatively well across in the continent, providing lessons and impetus for environmental management and addressing climate change. This work examines the possible impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on the environment and climate change, analyses its management and draws lessons from it for climate change response in Africa. The data, findings and lessons are drawn from peer reviewed articles and credible grey literature on COVID-19 in Africa. The COVID-19 pandemic spread quickly, causing loss of lives and stagnation of the global economy, overshadowing the current climate crisis. The pandemic was managed through swift response by the top political leadership, research and innovations across Africa providing possible solutions to COVID-19 challenges, and redirection of funds to manage the pandemic. The well-coordinated COVID-19 containment strategy under the African Centers for Disease Control and Prevention increased sharing of resources including data was a success in limiting the spread of the virus. These strategies, among others, proved effective in limiting the spread and impact of COVID-19. The findings provide lessons that stakeholders and policy-makers can leverage in the management of the environment and address climate change. These approaches require solid commitment and practical-oriented leadership.

SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION: The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1007/s10668-023-02956-0.}, } @article {pmid36713958, year = {2023}, author = {Thrippleton, T and Temperli, C and Krumm, F and Mey, R and Zell, J and Stroheker, S and Gossner, MM and Bebi, P and Thürig, E and Schweier, J}, title = {Balancing disturbance risk and ecosystem service provisioning in Swiss mountain forests: an increasing challenge under climate change.}, journal = {Regional environmental change}, volume = {23}, number = {1}, pages = {29}, pmid = {36713958}, issn = {1436-3798}, abstract = {UNLABELLED: Climate change severely affects mountain forests and their ecosystem services, e.g., by altering disturbance regimes. Increasing timber harvest (INC) via a close-to-nature forestry may offer a mitigation strategy to reduce disturbance predisposition. However, little is known about the efficiency of this strategy at the scale of forest enterprises and potential trade-offs with biodiversity and ecosystem services (BES). We applied a decision support system which accounts for disturbance predisposition and BES indicators to evaluate the effect of different harvest intensities and climate change scenarios on windthrow and bark beetle predisposition in a mountain forest enterprise in Switzerland. Simulations were carried out from 2010 to 2100 under historic climate and climate change scenarios (RCP4.5, RCP8.5). In terms of BES, biodiversity (structural and tree species diversity, deadwood amount) as well as timber production, recreation (visual attractiveness), carbon sequestration, and protection against gravitational hazards (rockfall, avalanche and landslides) were assessed. The INC strategy reduced disturbance predisposition to windthrow and bark beetles. However, the mitigation potential for bark beetle disturbance was relatively small (- 2.4%) compared to the opposite effect of climate change (+ 14% for RCP8.5). Besides, the INC strategy increased the share of broadleaved species and resulted in a synergy with recreation and timber production, and a trade-off with carbon sequestration and protection function. Our approach emphasized the disproportionally higher disturbance predisposition under the RCP8.5 climate change scenario, which may threaten currently unaffected mountain forests. Decision support systems accounting for climate change, disturbance predisposition, and BES can help coping with such complex planning situations.

SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION: The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1007/s10113-022-02015-w.}, } @article {pmid36712830, year = {2023}, author = {Trummer, U and Ali, T and Mosca, D and Mukuruva, B and Mwenyango, H and Novak-Zezula, S}, title = {Climate change aggravating migration and health issues in the African context: The views and direct experiences of a community of interest in the field.}, journal = {Journal of migration and health}, volume = {7}, number = {}, pages = {100151}, pmid = {36712830}, issn = {2666-6235}, abstract = {UNLABELLED: Climate change is an increasingly important theme in Africa, where a large majority of its people depend on livestock and agricultural activities for livelihood. Concurrently, the topic of health of migrants and people on the move is rapidly raising both in the health debate and migration governance agenda in the Region. The link with climate change from the perspective of health and migration experts needs to be systematically addressed.

OBJECTIVES: The article aims to contribute to the discourse on the interrelation of climate change, migration, and health by providing contributions of experts in the field of health and migration directly working with migrant and refugee communities in Africa.

METHODS: A webinar was conducted to collect and discuss first-hand experience with 25 participants from a postgraduate online course on health and migration funded by the Austrian Government and implemented in a co-operation of the Center for Health and Migration, Austria, with Makerere University, Uganda, the International Organization for Migration - UN Migration, and Lancet-Migration. As a result from the discussions, two cases from Sudan and Zimbabwe were selected to be further analysed with desk research to illustrate and underpin the points made.

RESULTS: All webinar participants reported to encounter climate change effects on health and migration in their professional practice. In their experience, climate change aggravates issues of health and migration by fueling forced migration and displacement, increasing health care needs, and deteriorating access to health care. Specific health challenges were identified for mental health problems caused by effects of climate change-induced migration, which remain widely undiagnosed and untreated, and the special affectedness of women and girls, with their mental, sexual and reproductive health severely deteriorated in insecure environments. The case studies from Sudan and Zimbabwe underline these observations.

CONCLUSIONS: The interplay of effects of climate change, (internal) migration, and health is reported by a community of experts in the field of health and migration who are residing in Africa and working with migrant communities. Webinars prove to be an easy to implement tool to collect first hand evidence from practice experts, to foster exchange of experiences, and to get people engaged in further collaboration and discussion.}, } @article {pmid36712809, year = {2022}, author = {Rodrigues, RR and Shepherd, TG}, title = {Small is beautiful: climate-change science as if people mattered.}, journal = {PNAS nexus}, volume = {1}, number = {1}, pages = {pgac009}, pmid = {36712809}, issn = {2752-6542}, abstract = {There is a widely accepted gap between the production and use of climate information. It is also widely accepted that at least part of the reason for this situation lies in the challenge of bridging between what may be characterized as ''top-down'' approaches to climate information on the global scale, and local decision contexts, which necessarily take a ''bottom-up'' perspective, in which climate change is just one factor among many to consider. We here reflect on the insights provided in a different context-that of economics-by E.F. Schumacher in his celebrated book Small is Beautiful (1973), to see what light they might shed on this challenge, with a focus on climate-change science for adaptation. Schumacher asked how economics might look if it was structured "as if people mattered". We ask the same question of climate-change science, and find many parallels. One is the need to grapple with the complexity of local situations, which can be addressed by expressing climate knowledge in a conditional form. A second is the importance of simplicity when dealing with deep uncertainty, which can be addressed through the use of physical climate storylines. A third is the need to empower local communities to make sense of their own situation, which can be addressed by developing ''intermediate technologies'' that build trust and transparency. Much of climate-change science is necessarily big science. We argue that in order to make climate information useable for adaptation, it is also necessary to discover the beauty of smallness.}, } @article {pmid36712170, year = {2023}, author = {Lee, EY and Kim, YB and Goo, S and Oyama, O and Lee, J and Kim, G and Lim, H and Sung, H and Yoon, J and Hwang, J and Chung, S and Kang, HJ and Kim, JY and Kim, KI and Kim, Y and Lee, MY and Oh, JW and Park, H and Song, W and Yi, K and Kim, YS and Jeon, JY}, title = {Corrigendum to "Physical activity in the era of climate change and COVID-19 pandemic: Results from the South Korea's 2022 Report Card on physical activity for children and adolescents" [J Exercise Sci Fitness 21(1) (2023) 26-33].}, journal = {Journal of exercise science and fitness}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, doi = {10.1016/j.jesf.2023.01.003}, pmid = {36712170}, issn = {1728-869X}, abstract = {[This corrects the article DOI: 10.1016/j.jesf.2022.10.014.].}, } @article {pmid36710892, year = {2022}, author = {Atwoli, L and Erhabor, GE and Gbakima, AA and Haileamlak, A and Ntumba, JK and Kigera, J and Laybourn-Langton, L and Mash, B and Muhia, J and Mulaudzi, FM and Ofori-Adjei, D and Okonofua, F and Rashidian, A and El-Adawy, M and Sidibé, S and Snouber, A and Tumwine, J and Yassien, MS and Yonga, P and Zakhama, L and Zielinski, C}, title = {COP27 Climate Change Conference: urgent action needed for Africa and the world: Wealthy nations must step up support for Africa and vulnerable countries in addressing past, present and future impacts of climate change.}, journal = {European heart journal. Digital health}, volume = {3}, number = {4}, pages = {496-498}, pmid = {36710892}, issn = {2634-3916}, } @article {pmid36710831, year = {2022}, author = {Carlson, JM and Fang, L and Coughtry-Carpenter, C and Foley, J}, title = {Reliability of attention bias and attention bias variability to climate change images in the dot-probe task.}, journal = {Frontiers in psychology}, volume = {13}, number = {}, pages = {1021858}, pmid = {36710831}, issn = {1664-1078}, abstract = {Climate change is one of the most pressing issues of the 21st century, which is perhaps why information about climate change has been found to capture observers' attention. One of the most common ways of assessing individual differences in attentional processing of climate change information is through the use of reaction time difference scores. However, reaction time-based difference scores have come under scrutiny for their low reliability. Given that a primary goal of the field is to link individual differences in attention processing to participant variables (e.g., environmental attitudes), we assessed the reliability of reaction time-based measures of attention processing of climate change information utilizing an existing dataset with three variations of the dot-probe task. Across all three samples, difference score-based measures of attentional bias were generally uncorrelated across task blocks (r = -0.25 to 0.31). We also assessed the reliability of newer attention bias variability measures that are thought to capture dynamic shifts in attention toward and away from salient information. Although these measures were initially found to be correlated across task blocks (r = 0.17-0.67), they also tended to be highly correlated with general reaction time variability (r = 0.49-0.83). When controlling for general reaction time variability, the correlations across task blocks for attention bias variability were much weaker and generally nonsignificant (r = -0.25 to 0.33). Furthermore, these measures were unrelated to pro-environmental disposition indicating poor predictive validity. In short, reaction time-based measures of attentional processing (including difference score and variability-based approaches) have unacceptably low levels of reliability and are therefore unsuitable for capturing individual differences in attentional bias to climate change information.}, } @article {pmid36710698, year = {2023}, author = {Arnout, BA}, title = {An epidemiological study of mental health problems related to climate change: A procedural framework for mental health system workers.}, journal = {Work (Reading, Mass.)}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, doi = {10.3233/WOR-220040}, pmid = {36710698}, issn = {1875-9270}, abstract = {BACKGROUND: The Arab region has witnessed different biological hazards, including cholera, yellow fever, and the COVID-19 pandemic. In addition, changes in rainfall and increased vegetation cover led to locust outbreaks in Tunisia, Libya, Morocco, and Saudi Arabia. This problem still exists and affects more than 20 countries and concerns indicate food shortages and food insecurity for more than 20 million people.

OBJECTIVE: This study aimed to detect mental health problems related to climate change in the Arab world.

METHODS: A cross-sectional descriptive survey was applied to determine the prevalence of mental health problems related to climate change (MHPCC). A random sample consisted of 1080 participants (523 male and 557 female), residents in 18 Arab countries; their ages ranged from 25 to 60 years. The Mental Health Problems related to Climate Change Questionnaire (MHPCCQ) was completed online.

RESULTS: The results indicated average levels of MHPCC prevalence. The results also revealed no significant statistical differences in the MHPCC due to gender, educational class, and marital status except in climate anxiety; there were statistical differences in favor of married subgroup individuals. At the same time, there are statistically significant differences in the MHPCC due to the residing country variable in favor of Syria, Yemen, Algeria, Libya, and Oman regarding fears, anxiety, alienation, and somatic symptoms. In addition, Tunisia, Bahrain, Sudan, and Iraq were higher in climate depression than the other countries.

CONCLUSION: The findings shed light on the prevalence of MHPCC in the Arab world and oblige mental health system workers, including policymakers, mental health providers, and departments of psychology in Arab universities, to take urgent action to assess and develop the system for mental health to manage the risks of extreme climate change on the human mental health.}, } @article {pmid36708838, year = {2023}, author = {Mayembe, R and Simpson, NP and Rumble, O and Norton, M}, title = {Integrating climate change in Environmental Impact Assessment: A review of requirements across 19 EIA regimes.}, journal = {The Science of the total environment}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {161850}, doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2023.161850}, pmid = {36708838}, issn = {1879-1026}, abstract = {The contribution of human activities to climate change is well understood. Yet the integration of climate change considerations into local decision making tools designed to govern activities affecting the environment, such as Environmental Impact Assessments (EIAs), remains underdeveloped and inconsistently applied for proposed policies, programs, plans and projects. This study reviews progress across a range of 19 EIA regimes and identifies and assesses regulations and guidelines that have been established to promote the integration of climate change considerations within EIAs. A typology of levels of integration is developed to guide analysis across multiple EIA regimes. The findings identify a global and growing requirement for climate change aspects to be considered within EIAs and describe the range of ways this is done across the regimes selected. Climate change is typically concerned with the mitigation of greenhouse gas emissions from proposed developments in EIAs. Fewer regimes are concerned with climate change adaptation, and in general, an integration deficit is identified for regimes where climate change is only partially considered. Examples of high integration indicate that EIA holds the potential to play a substantive role in climate change governance at project level decision making, suggesting the tools hold promise for local level climate governance. However, many domestic obstacles can militate against integration, including political, socio-technical, and economic imperatives, particularly for exemptions of sector and scope. Nevertheless, examples also indicate advances can be made through jurisprudence during the EIA review stage to establish new precedents of how climate should be considered in EIAs. Potential future research and practice directions are identified, and recommendations include the development of regulations and practice guidelines; inclusion of climate change adaptation; strengthening post-decision monitoring; application to all relevant sectors and activities; alignment with SEA; and integration across all stages of the EIA process.}, } @article {pmid36708471, year = {2023}, author = {Zhang, J and Deng, M and Han, Y and Huang, H and Yang, T}, title = {Spatiotemporal variation of irrigation water requirements for grain crops under climate change in Northwest China.}, journal = {Environmental science and pollution research international}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, pmid = {36708471}, issn = {1614-7499}, abstract = {Clarifying the spatiotemporal variation of crop irrigation water requirement (IWR) under the background of climate change is an essential basis for water resource management, determining the irrigation quota and adjusting the planting structure. Using 61 years of climate data from 205 stations in Northwest China, this study investigated the spatiotemporal variations of climatic factors and IWR during the growth period of five main grain crops (spring wheat, winter wheat, spring maize, summer maize, and rice) and explored the dominant climatic driving factors of IWR variation. Results showed that (1) the IWR of grain crops showed distinct differences. Rice was the highest water consumption crop (mean of 753.78 mm), and summer maize was the lowest (mean of 452.90 mm). (2) The variation trends and average values of IWR of different grain crops have spatial heterogeneity across Northwest China. For most crops, high values and increasing trends of IWR were mainly located in eastern Xinjiang, western Gansu, and western Inner Mongolia. (3) Tmax (maximum temperature), Tmin (minimum temperature), and Peff (effective precipitation) showed an increasing trend during the growth period of each grain crop, while U10 (wind speed at 10 m height), SD (solar radiation), and RH (relative humidity) presented decreasing trends. (4) SD, Tmax, and U10 promoted the increase of grain crops' IWR, while Peff and RH inhibited it. The impacts of climatic factors on the grain crop IWR differed among different regions. Peff was the most influential factor to the IWR of all grain crops in most areas. Therefore, under the premise of a significant increase in T and uncertain precipitation mode in the future, it is urgent to take effective water-saving measures according to the irrigation needs of the region. To cope with the adverse impact of climate change on the sustainable development of agriculture in the northwest dry area, to ensure regional and national food security.}, } @article {pmid36707878, year = {2023}, author = {Dembedza, VP and Chopera, P and Mapara, J and Mpofu-Hamadziripi, N and Kembo, G and Macheka, L}, title = {The relationship between climate change induced natural disasters and selected nutrition outcomes: a case of cyclone Idai, Zimbabwe.}, journal = {BMC nutrition}, volume = {9}, number = {1}, pages = {19}, pmid = {36707878}, issn = {2055-0928}, abstract = {BACKGROUND: The increased frequency of climate induced natural disasters has exacerbated the risks of malnutrition in the already vulnerable regions. This study was aimed at exploring the effects of Cyclone Idai on nutrition outcomes of women of child-bearing age and children under 5 years.

METHOD: The household-based cross-sectional study was conducted in Eastern Zimbabwe. Data were collected through face-to-face interviews to determine food consumption score (FCS) and household dietary diversity (HDDS), minimum dietary diversity for women (MDD-W) and minimum dietary diversity for children (MDD-C). Severity of Cyclone Idai was grouped into five categories based on the extent of damage to infrastructure and loss of human lives. Association between continuous and categorical variables was tested using Pearson correlation test and Chi square test, respectively. Linear and binary logistic regression was performed to investigate determinants of food security.

RESULTS: A total of 535 households were interviewed. There was a significant correlation between severity of Cyclone Idai and MDD-W (p = 0.011), HDDS (p = 0.018) and FCS (p = 0.001). However, severity of Cyclone Idai was not a determinant of any nutrition outcome, but gender of household head was a negative predictor of HDDS (β = - 0.734, p = 0.040), and marital status of household head was a positive predictor (β = 0.093, p = 0.016) of FCS.

CONCLUSION: The findings provide a good baseline to inform future programming of food aid activities during disasters. More so, our findings call for evidence-based policies regarding composition of a food aid basket and targeting of beneficiaries. The main strength of this study is that it is the first to investigate the effects of cyclones on food and nutrition security indicators and is based on a large sample size thus making our results generalisable.}, } @article {pmid36707823, year = {2023}, author = {Kamel Boulos, MN and Wilson, JP}, title = {Geospatial techniques for monitoring and mitigating climate change and its effects on human health.}, journal = {International journal of health geographics}, volume = {22}, number = {1}, pages = {2}, pmid = {36707823}, issn = {1476-072X}, abstract = {This article begins by briefly examining the multitude of ways in which climate and climate change affect human health and wellbeing. It then proceeds to present a quick overview of how geospatial data, methods and tools are playing key roles in the measurement, analysis and modelling of climate change and its effects on human health. Geospatial techniques are proving indispensable for making more accurate assessments and estimates, predicting future trends more reliably, and devising more optimised climate change adaptation and mitigation plans.}, } @article {pmid36706871, year = {2023}, author = {Neumann, I and Antó, JM and Bousquet, J and Schünemann, HJ}, title = {The impact of climate change on health needs structured evidence assessment and an evidence to action framework to make decisions: A proposal to adopt the GRADE approach.}, journal = {Journal of clinical epidemiology}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, doi = {10.1016/j.jclinepi.2023.01.006}, pmid = {36706871}, issn = {1878-5921}, abstract = {OBJECTIVE: To highlight how using the GRADE approach to understand the certainty in the evidence about the impact of climate change in health outcomes increases transparency. Also, how GRADE can enhance communication and decisions about adaptation and mitigation strategies.

STUDY DESIGN: We developed a narrative review based on an assessment of exiting systematic reviews adressing the effect of climate change on health outcomes and the impact of mitigation and adaptation strategies.

RESULTS: Adopting structured approaches such as GRADE to tackle the impact of climate change on health may help to: 1. Define the specific question to be addressed; 2. Summarize the evidence in a structured way and assess uncertainty; 3. Provide a systematic framework to move from evidence to action and to offer recommendations of different strength; 4. Provide a systematic way to adapt recommendations to specific settings; and 5. Provide a framework to assess the certainty of modeled evidence.

CONCLUSION: In this article, we describe epidemiologic principles that could be utilized to move decision making in climate change forward.}, } @article {pmid36705828, year = {2023}, author = {Adraoui, I and Jaafar, B}, title = {Sustainable management of water resources and assessment of the vulnerability of Moroccan oases to climate change.}, journal = {Environmental science and pollution research international}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, pmid = {36705828}, issn = {1614-7499}, abstract = {In the oases of Morocco, climate trends show an increase in average temperatures of 2.2 °C and exacerbated precipitation by + 20% between 2020 and 2050 according to climate change scenarios. The consequences of these changes have a clear decrease in water availability and an increase in water needs. Therefore, analyzing water resource capacity and searching for adequate solutions to water scarcity in oases are essential for developing drylands. In this study, we assess the possible effects of climate change on water scarcity and the oasis ecosystem and its components. The calculated water stress index (WSI) remains very low due to a decrease in the resource impacted by the combined increase in precipitation and temperature. The obtained results indicate that for scenario 1 the WSI varies from 904 to 699 m[3]/inhab/year in 2030 and for scenario 2 the WSI varies between 583 in 2030 and 451 m[3]/inhab/year in 2050. The water availability indicator takes a value in scenario 1 of 75% for Zagora and 50% for Ouarzazate at the horizons 2030 and 2050, then increase in scenario 2 to 89% for Zagora and 78% for Ouarzazate at the horizons2030 and 2050. These results were used to develop the adaptation process, which aims to identify needs, activities, and projects in the short, medium, and long term at the horizons 2030 and 2050. In addition, it could shed light on sustainable development in this region. In addition, this study could be a reference for researchers and a decision-support document for decision-makers to place economic development within an environmental management framework.}, } @article {pmid36704448, year = {2023}, author = {Mulyasari, G and Trisusilo, A and Windirah, N and Djarot, IN and Putra, AS}, title = {Assessing Perceptions and Adaptation Responses to Climate Change among Small-Scale Fishery on the Northern Coastal of Bengkulu, Indonesia.}, journal = {TheScientificWorldJournal}, volume = {2023}, number = {}, pages = {8770267}, pmid = {36704448}, issn = {1537-744X}, abstract = {Small-scale fisheries are facing significant challenges from climate change. Fishers feel the impact of climate change, which forces them to adapt. We, therefore, analyzed local climatic changes, fishers' perceptions regarding climate change and its impacts, adaptation responses, and determinants. Three decades of meteorological data were analyzed (1985-2020). A total of 300 fishermen were selected using quota sampling and interviewed using a structured questionnaire. Data were analyzed using the descriptive and binary logit regression models to explain the determinants of adaptation responses. The findings indicate that fishers' perceptions of climatic changes align with historical climatic data. Typologies of adaptation responses used in the study showed that time fishing adjustment was the most widely used adaptation option by fishermen. For this reason, fishermen are very active in looking for information about climate change to help them find the right time to go to sea and reduce the risk of climate change. Analysis using the binary logit regression model showed that fishing income, boat power, and climate change perceptions were the significant (p < 0.1) factors significantly influencing adaptation responses. Therefore, to strengthen the adaptation responses in small-scale fisheries, fishers' perceptions should be considered.}, } @article {pmid36702932, year = {2023}, author = {Kaniewski, D and Marriner, N and Morhange, C and Khater, C and Terral, JF and Besnard, G and Otto, T and Luce, F and Couillebault, Q and Tsitsou, L and Pourkerman, M and Cheddadi, R}, title = {Climate change threatens olive oil production in the Levant.}, journal = {Nature plants}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, pmid = {36702932}, issn = {2055-0278}, abstract = {The olive tree (Olea europaea L.) is one of the species best adapted to a Mediterranean-type climate[1-8]. Nonetheless, the Mediterranean Basin is deemed to be a climate change 'hotspot' by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change[9,10] because future model projections suggest considerable warming and drying[11,12]. Within this context, new environmental challenges will arise in the coming decades, which will both weaken and threaten olive-growing areas, leading to a loss of productivity and changes in fruit and oil quality[13-15]. Olive growing, a core of the Mediterranean economy, might soon be under stress. To probe the link between climate and olive trees, we here report 5,400 years of olive tree dynamics from the ancient city of Tyre, Lebanon. We show that optimal fruiting scales closely with temperature. Present-day and palaeo data define an optimal annual average temperature of 16.9 ± 0.3 °C for olive flowering that has existed at least since the Neolithic period. According to our projections, during the second half of the twenty-first century, temperature increases in Lebanon will have detrimental consequences on olive tree growth and olive oil production, especially in the country's southern regions, which will become too hot for optimal flowering and fruiting. These data provide a template to understand present and future thresholds of olive production under climate change.}, } @article {pmid36702640, year = {2023}, author = {Müller, L and Schneider, A and Kühl, M and Kühl, SJ}, title = {[The Climate Change Challenge: How to get research into society through an online workshop].}, journal = {Zeitschrift fur Evidenz, Fortbildung und Qualitat im Gesundheitswesen}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, doi = {10.1016/j.zefq.2022.10.003}, pmid = {36702640}, issn = {2212-0289}, abstract = {BACKGROUND: According to the World Health Organisation, climate change poses the greatest health threat to humanity. At the same time, an environmentally friendly lifestyle has a positive impact on our health, such as a plant-based diet. In order to counter climate change, society needs to be informed about climate-friendly and health-promoting measures. Therefore, an online workshop was initiated at the Medical Faculty of Ulm. In an accompanying study, it was determined whether this leads to changes in environmental knowledge and awareness among the participants.

METHODS: The online workshop consisted of four 2-hour sessions. Scientific basics on climate change and possible solutions were discussed. Other focuses were on health and the health system as well as environmental psychology and climate change denial. Participants could take part in an anonymous and voluntary online survey before (pretest) and after (posttest) the workshop.

RESULTS: 86 participants took part in the workshop, of whom 24 attended all appointments and completed both surveys. While hardly any changes were observed in the subsection of environmental emotion, perception and behavior, there was a significant increase in environmental knowledge in the posttest. The workshop was evaluated very positively. Furthermore, many participants were motivated to make a personal contribution to climate protection after the workshop.

CONCLUSION: The workshop serves as a good example of how medical scientific findings can be shared at a societal level. The participants already showed a high level of environmental awareness in the pretest, which is why the question remains open as to how people can be sensitized to the (health) threats posed by climate change who do not proactively sign up for such an offer themselves.}, } @article {pmid36702286, year = {2023}, author = {Viñals, E and Maneja, R and Rufí, M and Martí, M and Puy, N}, title = {Reviewing social-ecological resilience for agroforestry systems under climate change conditions.}, journal = {The Science of the total environment}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {161763}, doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2023.161763}, pmid = {36702286}, issn = {1879-1026}, abstract = {Global change is shaping social-ecological systems, threatening both natural and socio-economic ecosystems as a whole. Landscapes with combined nature-human interactions are particularly vulnerable to changing climatic conditions. Therefore, there is a need to find viable and practical solutions for the preservation and recovery of the affected systems. A relevant way to cope with disturbances is to promote social-ecological resilience through the use of strategies targeting the social-ecological system as a whole, in order to ensure an efficient self-reorganization of a landscape. This study presents a research innovation by clarifying the concept of social-ecological resilience while being focused on providing a useful tool for landscape managers. For doing so, the research first defines social-ecological resilience and aims to give a clear idea of its characteristics and application features. Second, it explains the importance of social-ecological resilience for landscapes, focusing on the relationship of humans with nature and traditional ecological knowledge (TEK) for biodiversity conservation. Third, it proposes guidelines and measures for the promotion and enhancement of social-ecological resilience. The outcomes of the study show a broad perspective on the concept of social-ecological resilience to understand the necessary adaptation to global change. As findings, this research highlights the significance of nature-human interactions for agroforestry systems, citing also the potential contribution that digital innovation can play for the conservation of those interactions in a sustainable way. Moreover, it uncovers the key role of local communities in building social-ecological resilience through the application of a variety of described strategies that can have a relevant impact and be useful for landscape management practices to face upcoming challenges linked to climate change.}, } @article {pmid36701185, year = {2023}, author = {Hensher, M}, title = {Climate change, health and sustainable healthcare: The role of health economics.}, journal = {Health economics}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, doi = {10.1002/hec.4656}, pmid = {36701185}, issn = {1099-1050}, abstract = {Healthcare systems around the world are responding with increasing urgency to rapidly evolving ecological crises, most notably climate change. This Perspective considers how health economics and health economists can best contribute to protecting health and building sustainable healthcare systems in the face of these challenges.}, } @article {pmid36700347, year = {2023}, author = {McCoy, KD and Toty, C and Dupraz, M and Tornos, J and Gamble, A and Garnier, R and Descamps, S and Boulinier, T}, title = {Climate change in the Arctic: testing the poleward expansion of ticks and tick-borne diseases.}, journal = {Global change biology}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, doi = {10.1111/gcb.16617}, pmid = {36700347}, issn = {1365-2486}, abstract = {Climate change is most strongly felt in the polar regions of the world, with significant impacts for the species that live there. The arrival of parasites and pathogens from more temperate areas may become a significant problem for these populations, but current observations of parasite presence often lack a historical reference of prior absence. Observations in the high Arctic of the seabird tick Ixodes uriae suggested that this species expanded poleward in the last two decades in relation to climate change. As this tick can have a direct impact on the breeding success of its seabird hosts and vectors several pathogens, including Lyme disease spirochaetes, understanding its invasion dynamics is essential for predicting its impact on polar seabird populations. Here, we use population genetic data and host serology to test the hypothesis that I. uriae recently expanded into Svalbard. Both Black-legged kittiwakes (Rissa tridactyla) and Thick-billed murres (Uria lomvia) were sampled for ticks and blood in Kongsfjorden, Spitsbergen. Ticks were genotyped using microsatellite and population genetic analyses were performed using data from 14 reference populations from across the tick's northern distribution. In contrast to predictions, the Spitsbergen population showed high genetic diversity and significant differentiation from reference populations, suggesting long-term isolation. Host serology also demonstrated a high exposure rate to Lyme disease spirochaetes (Bbsl). Targeted PCR and sequencing confirmed the presence of Borrelia garinii in a Spitsbergen tick, demonstrating the presence of Lyme disease bacteria in the high Arctic for the first time. Taken together, results contradict the notion that I. uriae has recently expanded into the high Arctic. Rather, this tick has likely been present for some time, maintaining relatively high population sizes and an endemic transmission cycle of Bbsl. Close future observations of population infestation/infection rates will now be necessary to relate epidemiological changes to ongoing climate modifications.}, } @article {pmid36699565, year = {2023}, author = {Liu, Y and Shen, X and Zhang, J and Wang, Y and Wu, L and Ma, R and Lu, X and Jiang, M}, title = {Spatiotemporal variation in vegetation phenology and its response to climate change in marshes of Sanjiang Plain, China.}, journal = {Ecology and evolution}, volume = {13}, number = {1}, pages = {e9755}, pmid = {36699565}, issn = {2045-7758}, abstract = {Sanjiang Plain is the largest marsh distribution area of China, and marshes in this region significantly affect regional carbon cycle and biodiversity protection. The vegetation phenology of marsh significantly affects the energy exchange and carbon cycle in that region. Under the influence of global climatic change, identifying the changes in phenology and their responses to climatic variation in marshes of Sanjiang Plain is essential for predicting the carbon stocks of marsh ecosystem in that region. Using climate and NDVI data, this paper analyzed the spatiotemporal variations in the start (SOS), end (EOS), and length (LOS) of vegetation growing season and explored the impacts of climatic variation on vegetation phenology in marshes of Sanjiang Plain. Results showed that the SOS advanced by 0.30 days/a, and EOS delayed by 0.23 days/a, causing LOS to increase significantly (p < .05) by 0.53 days/a over marshes of Sanjiang Plain. Spatially, the large SOS advance and EOS delay resulted in an obvious increasing trend for LOS in northern Sanjiang Plain. The rise of spring and winter temperatures advanced the SOS and increased the LOS, and the rise in temperature in autumn delayed the EOS in marshes of Sanjiang Plain. Our findings highlight the necessity of considering seasonal climatic conditions in simulating marsh vegetation phenology and indicate that the different influences of climatic variation on marsh vegetation phenology in different regions should be fully considered to assess the marsh ecosystem response to climatic change in Sanjiang Plain.}, } @article {pmid36699123, year = {2023}, author = {Maier, PA and Vandergast, AG and Bohonak, AJ}, title = {Using landscape genomics to delineate future adaptive potential for climate change in the Yosemite toad (Anaxyrus canorus).}, journal = {Evolutionary applications}, volume = {16}, number = {1}, pages = {74-97}, pmid = {36699123}, issn = {1752-4571}, abstract = {An essential goal in conservation biology is delineating population units that maximize the probability of species persisting into the future and adapting to future environmental change. However, future-facing conservation concerns are often addressed using retrospective patterns that could be irrelevant. We recommend a novel landscape genomics framework for delineating future "Geminate Evolutionary Units" (GEUs) in a focal species: (1) identify loci under environmental selection, (2) model and map adaptive conservation units that may spawn future lineages, (3) forecast relative selection pressures on each future lineage, and (4) estimate their fitness and likelihood of persistence using geo-genomic simulations. Using this process, we delineated conservation units for the Yosemite toad (Anaxyrus canorus), a U.S. federally threatened species that is highly vulnerable to climate change. We used a genome-wide dataset, redundancy analysis, and Bayesian association methods to identify 24 candidate loci responding to climatic selection (R [2] ranging from 0.09 to 0.52), after controlling for demographic structure. Candidate loci included genes such as MAP3K5, involved in cellular response to environmental change. We then forecasted future genomic response to climate change using the multivariate machine learning algorithm Gradient Forests. Based on all available evidence, we found three GEUs in Yosemite National Park, reflecting contrasting adaptive optima: YF-North (high winter snowpack with moderate summer rainfall), YF-East (low to moderate snowpack with high summer rainfall), and YF-Low-Elevation (low snowpack and rainfall). Simulations under the RCP 8.5 climate change scenario suggest that the species will decline by 29% over 90 years, but the highly diverse YF-East lineage will be least impacted for two reasons: (1) geographically it will be sheltered from the largest climatic selection pressures, and (2) its standing genetic diversity will promote a faster adaptive response. Our approach provides a comprehensive strategy for protecting imperiled non-model species with genomic data alone and has wide applicability to other declining species.}, } @article {pmid36697415, year = {2023}, author = {Ma, L and Conradie, SR and Crawford, CL and Gardner, AS and Kearney, MR and Maclean, IMD and McKechnie, AE and Mi, CR and Senior, RA and Wilcove, DS}, title = {Author Correction: Global patterns of climate change impacts on desert bird communities.}, journal = {Nature communications}, volume = {14}, number = {1}, pages = {407}, doi = {10.1038/s41467-023-36191-y}, pmid = {36697415}, issn = {2041-1723}, } @article {pmid36696423, year = {2023}, author = {Azeem, MI and Alhafi Alotaibi, B}, title = {Farmers' beliefs and concerns about climate change, and their adaptation behavior to combat climate change in Saudi Arabia.}, journal = {PloS one}, volume = {18}, number = {1}, pages = {e0280838}, doi = {10.1371/journal.pone.0280838}, pmid = {36696423}, issn = {1932-6203}, abstract = {Climate change threatens the existence of humankind on the planet Earth. Owing to its arid climate and poor natural resources base, Saudi Arabia is particularly susceptible to the negative impact of ongoing climate change. Farmers' understanding of this global phenomenon is extremely important as it may help determine their adaptation behavior. This study was designed to analyze farmers' beliefs and concerns about climate change as well as their views about adaptation different obstacles. Data were collected from 80 randomly farmers of the Al-Ahsa region in Eastern Province using structured interviews. The findings revealed that farmers believed that climate change is mainly occurring due to anthropogenic activities. Drought, insects, crop diseases, and heat stress were their main concerns regarding adverse impacts of climate change. Lack of knowledge about adaptation practices, and poor government and financial support are perceived as the major obstacles to adaptation. The results of non-parametric analysis identified no significant differences in farmers' climate change beliefs and concerns, and their views about obstacles to adaptation in relation to their demographic characteristics. Based on the findings, we suggest that capacity building programs should be undertaken by the government for enhancing the adaptive capacity of the farmers as well the provision of financial incentives wherever deemed necessary for promoting the adoption of sustainable agricultural practices and building a resilient national food system.}, } @article {pmid36694710, year = {2023}, author = {Skinner, MK}, title = {Environmental epigenetics and climate change.}, journal = {Environmental epigenetics}, volume = {9}, number = {1}, pages = {dvac028}, pmid = {36694710}, issn = {2058-5888}, } @article {pmid36693827, year = {2023}, author = {Johnson, TF and Isaac, NJB and Paviolo, A and González-Suárez, M}, title = {Socioeconomic factors predict population changes of large carnivores better than climate change or habitat loss.}, journal = {Nature communications}, volume = {14}, number = {1}, pages = {74}, pmid = {36693827}, issn = {2041-1723}, abstract = {Land-use and climate change have been linked to changes in wildlife populations, but the role of socioeconomic factors in driving declines, and promoting population recoveries, remains relatively unexplored. Here, we evaluate potential drivers of population changes observed in 50 species of some of the world's most charismatic and functionally important fauna-large mammalian carnivores. Our results reveal that human socioeconomic development is more associated with carnivore population declines than habitat loss or climate change. Rapid increases in socioeconomic development are linked to sharp population declines, but, importantly, once development slows, carnivore populations have the potential to recover. The context- and threshold-dependent links between human development and wildlife population health are challenges to the achievement of the UN Sustainable development goals.}, } @article {pmid36693468, year = {2023}, author = {Thasneem S, A and Thampi, SG and R, CN}, title = {Uncertainties in future monsoon flow predictions in the context of projected climate change: A study of the Chaliyar River Basin.}, journal = {Environmental research}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {115301}, doi = {10.1016/j.envres.2023.115301}, pmid = {36693468}, issn = {1096-0953}, abstract = {A major part of the annual rainfall in most parts of India is received during the monsoon. The Chaliyar River Basin in the state of Kerala is no exception with more than 85% of the annual rainfall occurring during the monsoon season. Evidences pointing towards the influence of anthropogenic activities on climate change have been reported from all over the world in recent years. One of the major problems encountered in the projection of future climate is the accumulation of uncertainties arising from different sources. This, in turn, would result in uncertainties in the predicted future streamflows. In this work, uncertainties in the monsoon flow predictions for a future period (2070-2099), stemming from the use of different climate models, hydrological models, and representative concentration pathways are analyzed. Uncertainty due to each of these sources and their interactions are partitioned by performing three-way analysis of variance. Results of the study indicate that the major source of uncertainty in the monsoon flow predictions is uncertainty from the climate models, which is about 83.73% of the total uncertainty in future monsoon flow predictions. Hydrological models account for about 5.38% and RCPs account for about 4.3% of the total uncertainty. About 6.57% is attributed to interactions between these three factors. Evaluation of the uncertainties in future monsoon flow predictions would facilitate informed decision making while formulating strategies for water management in the future.}, } @article {pmid36692693, year = {2023}, author = {Fathian, M and Bazrafshan, O and Jamshidi, S and Jafari, L}, title = {Impacts of climate change on water footprint components of rainfed and irrigated wheat in a semi-arid environment.}, journal = {Environmental monitoring and assessment}, volume = {195}, number = {2}, pages = {324}, pmid = {36692693}, issn = {1573-2959}, abstract = {Climate change is one of the biggest environmental challenges that significantly impact water resources and the quantity and quality of agricultural products. Assessment of these impacts during the historical period and under future climate is essential for achieving a sustainable agricultural system in the face of climate change threats and water scarcity. In this research, we evaluated the yield and water footprint of rainfed and irrigated wheat during the historical period (1986-2015) and two future periods (2016 to 2055) in a semi-arid environment in Fars province, Iran. The future climate data was selected from the CanESM2 model outputs (bias-corrected and downscaled using the SDSM model) under the RCP4.5 scenario, and the yield projection was made using the AquaCrop model. Our result showed that for both irrigated and rainfed wheat, the yield significantly increases in southern parts of the study area in future climates, primarily because of an increase in effective precipitation. Other regions will experience a marginal yield decrease or no yield changes (in the case of irrigated wheat). Our assessments of the water footprint of wheat production showed a significant reduction in green and blue water footprints in the southern regions. In other regions, various patterns emerged for irrigated and rainfed wheat, but an overall increase was observed. The southern regions of the study area will be more suitable for wheat production owing to the higher yield and lower water footprint.}, } @article {pmid36691655, year = {2023}, author = {Yu, P and Xu, R and Yang, Z and Ye, T and Liu, Y and Li, S and Abramson, MJ and Kimlin, M and Guo, Y}, title = {Cancer and Ongoing Climate Change: Who Are the Most Affected?.}, journal = {ACS environmental Au}, volume = {3}, number = {1}, pages = {5-11}, pmid = {36691655}, issn = {2694-2518}, abstract = {Cancer has become the leading cause of premature death in many counties in recent decades. Previous studies showed plenty of evidence that control of modifiable risk factors would reduce the cancer burden. Since modifiable risk factors could be eliminated by changing the lifestyles of individuals, a greater uptake of modifiable risk factors is critical to reducing cancer burden and inequality in cancer survival. However, climate change will widen cancer inequities through its complex connections with modifiable risk factors. In this perspective, complex connections between climate change and cancer risks via modifiable risk factors, including abnormal temperature, UV, air pollution, natural disasters, food (diet), water, infections, and inefficient physical activities, have been summarized. The associations between climate change and modifiable risk factors have no doubt expanded the inequities. People who face overlapping modifiable risk factors, but who are unable to change or adapt, are at the highest risk in the climate change-cancer linkage. Though individual actions to avoid exposure to modifiable risk factors have been recommended, limited benefits would be achieved unless the nations strive to ensure the basic needs of the people. No choice makes avoiding exposure to risk factors an empty phrase. Thus, government actions should be taken to reduce the expanded inequities in cancer risks.}, } @article {pmid36691567, year = {2023}, author = {Filho, WL and Minhas, A and Schmook, B and Mardero, S and Sharifi, A and Paz, S and Kovaleva, M and Albertini, MC and Skouloudis, A}, title = {Sustainable development goal 13 and switching priorities: addressing climate change in the context of pandemic recovery efforts.}, journal = {Environmental sciences Europe}, volume = {35}, number = {1}, pages = {6}, pmid = {36691567}, issn = {2190-4707}, abstract = {The COVID-19 pandemic has had many deep social and economic impacts that go beyond health issues. One consequence is that the pandemic has made it even harder to mobilize the financial resources needed to pursue SDG 13 (Climate Action) as a whole and to fund climate change mitigation and adaptation efforts in particular. This is especially acute in respect of the efforts to achieve the targets set by the Paris Agreement and by the recent decisions in Glasgow. This paper looks at how the COVID-19 pandemic has accelerated poverty and undermined climate change mitigation and adaptation efforts, as a result of the switches in priorities and funding. Using a review of the recent literature, an analysis of international trends, and a survey among climate scientists, it identifies some of the impacts of the pandemic on climate change mitigation and adaptation efforts and discusses their implications. The findings indicate a decrease in funding to climate change research since the pandemic crisis. The bibliometric analysis reveals that a greater emphasis has been placed on the relationship between COVID-19 and poverty when compared to the interrelations between COVID-19 and climate change. Addressing climate change is as urgent now as it was before the pandemic crisis started, and efforts need to be made to upkeep the levels of funding needed to support research in this field.}, } @article {pmid36690643, year = {2023}, author = {Nimbs, MJ and Wernberg, T and Davis, TR and Champion, C and Coleman, MA}, title = {Climate change threatens unique evolutionary diversity in Australian kelp refugia.}, journal = {Scientific reports}, volume = {13}, number = {1}, pages = {1248}, pmid = {36690643}, issn = {2045-2322}, abstract = {Climate change has driven contemporary decline and loss of kelp forests globally with an accompanying loss of their ecological and economic values. Kelp populations at equatorward-range edges are particularly vulnerable to climate change as these locations are undergoing warming at or beyond thermal tolerance thresholds. Concerningly, these range-edge populations may contain unique adaptive or evolutionary genetic diversity that is vulnerable to warming. We explore haplotype diversity by generating a Templeton-Crandall-Sing (TCS) network analysis of 119 Cytochrome C Oxidase (COI) sequences among four major population groupings for extant and putatively extinct populations only known from herbarium specimens of the dominant Laminarian kelp Ecklonia radiata in the south-western Pacific, a region warming at 2-4 times the global average. Six haplotypes occurred across the region with one being widespread across most populations. Three unique haplotypes were found in a deep-water range-edge population off Moreton Island, Queensland, which likely represents both a contemporary and historic refuge during periods of climatic change. Hindcasting E. radiata cover estimates using extant data, we reveal that this region likely supported the highest kelp cover in eastern Australia during the last glacial maximum. The equatorward range edge, deep-water kelp populations off Moreton Island represent a genetically diverse evolutionary refuge that is currently threatened by warming and requires prompt ex-situ conservation measures.}, } @article {pmid36688970, year = {2023}, author = {Stelzner, S and Keller, G and Gockel, I and Herrmann, M}, title = {[Climate change and (surgical) health in context].}, journal = {Chirurgie (Heidelberg, Germany)}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, pmid = {36688970}, issn = {2731-698X}, abstract = {BACKGROUND: The impacts of the climate crisis will result in a health crisis in addition to loss of habitats and increasing supply uncertainty. In this context, the health sector and especially surgery are relevant emitters of greenhouse gases, thus contributing to the magnitude of the climate crisis. Many reviews regarding the impacts on human health are available; however, a view from the surgical perspective has so far been underrepresented.

MATERIAL AND METHODS: This narrative review summarizes the relevance of climate-related changes for the surgical disciplines based on a literature search.

RESULTS: Immediate impacts are expected by the increasing number of extreme weather events, e.g., floods, droughts and wildfires. In these settings, surgery is a part of the disaster medicine chain but simultaneously the functionality of surgical departments can be impaired or even break down when they are themselves affected by extreme weather events. Heat waves cause an increase in surgical site infections, which may lead to postponement of elective surgery for patients at high risk. Collateral impacts are mirrored by an increase in the incidence of lung and skin cancers, which often need surgical treatment within a multidisciplinary setting. Additionally, there are indirect impacts that are of a very different nature, e.g., inadequate diet which leads to further deterioration of the greenhouse gas footprint of the health sector due to the necessity of bariatric surgical capacities.

CONCLUSION: The climate crisis represents a major challenge in surgery and all other medical disciplines. At the same time is it indispensable that the health sector and therefore surgery, take steps towards a zero emission pathway.}, } @article {pmid36686050, year = {2022}, author = {Chattu, VK}, title = {"Digital global health diplomacy" for climate change and human security in the Anthropocene.}, journal = {Health promotion perspectives}, volume = {12}, number = {3}, pages = {277-281}, pmid = {36686050}, issn = {2228-6497}, abstract = {The COVID-19 pandemic has now affected everyone, threatening every aspect of our well-being with over 617597680 confirmed cases, including 6532705 deaths globally. The context of the Anthropocene is the backdrop for the novel, interlinked, systemic, and global threats. Anthropocene is a term proposed to designate the era in which human beings have become predominant drivers of planetary change, drastically altering the planet's biosphere. The concept of global health diplomacy (GHD), which connects the domains of health and international relations, has a critical role in advancing human security. Thus, there is a need for new forms of diplomacy, which is critically important in this complex intermestic and interdependent Anthropocene era, where globalization has inevitably linked nations and population health. This paper introduces, analyzes, and attempts to define "Digital Global Health Diplomacy" (DGHD), which has gained great momentum during this COVID-19 pandemic with concurrent health and human security threats. The application of digital formats to the existing traditional structures for dialogue has become a more popular tool recently. Furthermore, digital means are being used during the COVID-19 pandemic to share the health diplomacy discourse at subnational, supranational, international, regional, and global platforms. DGHD reminds us again of the criticality of this multidisciplinary concept involving the contributions of diplomats, global health specialists, digital technology experts, economists, trade specialists, international law, political scientists, etc., in the global policymaking process. If used effectively by trained global health diplomats through innovative digital platforms, DGHD has a great scope of delivering results faster and has more reach than the traditional approach.}, } @article {pmid36685945, year = {2022}, author = {Mogilicherla, K and Roy, A}, title = {Epigenetic regulations as drivers of insecticide resistance and resilience to climate change in arthropod pests.}, journal = {Frontiers in genetics}, volume = {13}, number = {}, pages = {1044980}, pmid = {36685945}, issn = {1664-8021}, abstract = {Arthropod pests are remarkably capable of rapidly adapting to novel forms of environmental stress, including insecticides and climate change. The dynamic interplay between epigenetics and genetics explains the largely unexplored reality underlying rapid climatic adaptation and the development of insecticide resistance in insects. Epigenetic regulation modulates gene expression by methylating DNA and acetylating histones that play an essential role in governing insecticide resistance and adaptation to climate change. This review summarises and discusses the significance of recent advances in epigenetic regulation that facilitate phenotypic plasticity in insects and their symbiotic microbes to cope with selection pressure implied by extensive insecticide applications and climate change. We also discuss how epigenetic changes are passed on to multiple generations through sexual recombination, which remains enigmatic. Finally, we explain how these epigenetic signatures can be utilized to manage insecticide resistance and pest resilience to climate change in Anthropocene.}, } @article {pmid36685930, year = {2022}, author = {Meng, G and Rasmussen, SK and Christensen, CSL and Fan, W and Torp, AM}, title = {Molecular breeding of barley for quality traits and resilience to climate change.}, journal = {Frontiers in genetics}, volume = {13}, number = {}, pages = {1039996}, pmid = {36685930}, issn = {1664-8021}, abstract = {Barley grains are a rich source of compounds, such as resistant starch, beta-glucans and anthocyanins, that can be explored in order to develop various products to support human health, while lignocellulose in straw can be optimised for feed in husbandry, bioconversion into bioethanol or as a starting material for new compounds. Existing natural variations of these compounds can be used to breed improved cultivars or integrated with a large number of mutant lines. The technical demands can be in opposition depending on barley's end use as feed or food or as a source of biofuel. For example beta-glucans are beneficial in human diets but can lead to issues in brewing and poultry feed. Barley breeders have taken action to integrate new technologies, such as induced mutations, transgenics, marker-assisted selection, genomic selection, site-directed mutagenesis and lastly machine learning, in order to improve quality traits. Although only a limited number of cultivars with new quality traits have so far reached the market, research has provided valuable knowledge and inspiration for future design and a combination of methodologies to achieve the desired traits. The changes in climate is expected to affect the quality of the harvested grain and it is already a challenge to mitigate the unpredictable seasonal and annual variations in temperature and precipitation under elevated [CO2] by breeding. This paper presents the mutants and encoded proteins, with a particular focus on anthocyanins and lignocellulose, that have been identified and characterised in detail and can provide inspiration for continued breeding to achieve desired grain and straw qualities.}, } @article {pmid36685809, year = {2023}, author = {Shiiba, N and Singh, P and Charan, D and Raj, K and Stuart, J and Pratap, A and Maekawa, M}, title = {Climate change and coastal resiliency of Suva, Fiji: a holistic approach for measuring climate risk using the climate and ocean risk vulnerability index (CORVI).}, journal = {Mitigation and adaptation strategies for global change}, volume = {28}, number = {2}, pages = {9}, pmid = {36685809}, issn = {1573-1596}, abstract = {UNLABELLED: Coastal cities are under severe threat from the impacts of climate change, such as sea-level rise, extreme weather events, coastal inundation, and ecosystem degradation. It is well known that the ocean, and in particular coastal environments, have been changing at an unprecedented rate, which poses increasing risks to people in small island developing states, such as Fiji. The Greater Suva Urban Area, the capital and largest metropolitan area of Fiji, is expected to be largely impacted by climate-related risks to its socio-economic, cultural, and political positions. In the face of these threats, creating a resilient city that can withstand and adapt to the impacts of climate change and promote sustainable development should be guided by a holistic approach, encompassing stakeholders from the government, the private sector, civil society organizations, and international institutions. This study assesses the risk profile of Suva city using an innovative risk information tool, the climate and ocean risk vulnerability index (CORVI), which applies structured expert judgment to quantify climate-related risks in data-sparse environments. Through comparative quantification of diverse risk factors and narrative analysis, this study identifies three priority areas for Suva's future climate-resilient actions: development of climate risk-informed urban planning, harmonized urban development and natural restoration, and enhancing the climate resilience to the tourism sector.

SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION: The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1007/s11027-022-10043-4.}, } @article {pmid36685463, year = {2023}, author = {Tofu, DA and Wolka, K}, title = {Climate change induced a progressive shift of livelihood from cereal towards Khat (Chata edulis) production in eastern Ethiopia.}, journal = {Heliyon}, volume = {9}, number = {1}, pages = {e12790}, pmid = {36685463}, issn = {2405-8440}, abstract = {Global climate change affects smallholders in sub-Saharan Africa. To cope with the changing situation, farmers employ adaptation strategies such as adjusting their livelihoods. The objective of this research was to evaluate the effects of climate change on the gradual transition in livelihood from cereal production to Khat plantation in west Harareghe, Ethiopia. Data was gathered through interviews with 273 households, 8, focus groups, and 12 key informants. Descriptive statistics and an econometric model were used to analyze quantitative data, whereas content analysis with step preprocesses was utilized to analyze and report qualitative data. . The farm households responded that climatic extremes are posing severe impacts on soil fertility (80%), crop production (93%), livestock production (91%), water scarcity (92%), and adaptive capacity of the farmers (81%). As a result, about 86% of the farmers' have been putting more emphasis and progressively shifting their livelihood from cereal to Khat (Chata edulis) crop plantation. Asides from the shrinking livelihood due to climatic shocks, high market access with better price and profitability, drought and water scarcity tolerance, ability to grow in degraded land, suitability for intercropping and three to five times harvest in a year are mentioned as the blessings attracted farmers' to shift to Khat production. To reduce susceptibility to climate change impacts, approximately 81%, 78%, and 77% of framers, respectively, used managerial (e.g., intercropping and petty trade), technological (e.g., terracing and improved crop variety), and policy-driven (i.e., productive safety net program) strategies. In addition to this, agro-ecology, yield reduction, wealth, perceived on set of rain, soil infertility, access to markets and credit, institutional participation, land size, dependency ratio, irrigation, and access to early warning systems were found to significantly influence the adoption decision of farmers in the study area. Therefore, policy makers and planners are advised to design techniques to manage climate-induced extreme episodes and produce area specific strategies capable to increase the productivity of cereal crop and livestock.}, } @article {pmid36684875, year = {2022}, author = {Li, H and Liang, Y and Dong, L and Li, C and Zhang, L and Wang, B and Ma, D and Mu, Q and Wang, J and Hou, H and Liu, Q}, title = {Predicting global potential distribution of Peromyscopsylla hesperomys and Orchopeas sexdentatus and risk assessment for invading China under climate change.}, journal = {Frontiers in public health}, volume = {10}, number = {}, pages = {1018327}, pmid = {36684875}, issn = {2296-2565}, abstract = {BACKGROUND: Peromyscopsylla hesperomys and Orchopeas sexdentatus are regarded to be representative plague vectors in the United States. The incidence of plague is rising globally, possibly due to climate change and environmental damage. Environmental factors such as temperature and precipitation have a significant impact on the temporal and spatial distribution of plague vectors.

METHODS: Maximum entropy models (MaxEnt) were utilized to predict the distributions of these two fleas and their trends into the future. The main environmental factors influencing the distribution of these two fleas were analyzed. A risk assessment system was constructed to calculate the invasion risk values of the species.

RESULTS: Temperature has a significant effect on the distribution of the potentially suitable areas for P. hesperomys and O. sexdentatus. They have the potential to survive in suitable areas of China in the future. The risk assessment system indicated that the risk level for the invasion of these two species into China was moderate.

CONCLUSION: In order to achieve early detection, early interception, and early management, China should perfect its monitoring infrastructure and develop scientific prevention and control strategies to prevent the invasion of foreign flea vectors.}, } @article {pmid36681338, year = {2023}, author = {Sah, SS and Maulud, KNA and Karim, OA and Sharil, S and Yaseen, ZM}, title = {Extensive assessment of climate change impacts on coastal zone paddy growth using multispectral analysis and hydrodynamic modeling.}, journal = {The Science of the total environment}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {161585}, doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2023.161585}, pmid = {36681338}, issn = {1879-1026}, abstract = {Global warming has led to sea levels raise (SLRs) and Malaysia is no exception to this problem. Especially for low-lying coastal areas including the Kuala Kedah area which is active in agricultural and fisheries activities. Farmers have had to bear up to 75 % of yield losses due to seawater breaches since 2016. Therefore, this study is designed to assess the impact of seawater encroachment on water quality through spatial technology approaches and hydrodynamic modeling related to the growth of paddy trees. The study was conducted during two different paddy cultivation seasons namely Season 1-2019 and Season 2-2019 which take place in the southwest and northeast monsoon in Kuala Kedah, Malaysia. The study involved three phases, which are the assessment of salinity and pH concentration levels, the assessment of the health of paddy crops through multispectral image analysis involving three plant indices (VI), namely Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI), Blue Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (BNDVI) and Normalized Difference Red Edge (NDRE), and finally, the assessment of the impact of SLR through the numerical method in MIKE 21 for hydrodynamic modeling considering two conditions that are without mitigation factor (K1) and with existing mitigating factor (K2). According to the findings, the salinity concentration trend is decreasing across the growth stage during Season 1-2019, whereas it is the contrary during Season 2-2019. It was discovered that during the study period for both tidal events, 73 % of the 44 sampling points in Season 1-2019, as opposed to just 3 % in Season 2-2019, were categorized as Class 4 and Class 5. Even though there were fluctuations throughout the observation, the pH reading is still within the allowed range of 6.5 to 9.0 for the estuary area. Following that, the ANOVA analysis proved that salinity concentration a statistically significant difference with tidal variations and pH levels. Moreover, the multispectral image analysis findings revealed that the VI value was correlated with both the yield and the health of the rice crop, with R-square values of 0.842 compared to 0.706 and 0.575 for NDVI and BNDVI values, respectively. It confirmed that NDRE granted a more accurate and reliable measurements. Additionally, the hydrodynamic simulation results demonstrated that, if the mitigation factors were considered in the modeling, overflow seawater to the mainland could be reduced by up to 20 %, reducing the impact of coastal flooding on the local area as well as the nearby rice cultivation area. Ultimately, these three elements-water quality, vegetation index, and hydrodynamic modeling-can assist in identifying the underlying cause of the problem and develop short and long-term solutions.}, } @article {pmid36680915, year = {2023}, author = {Ward, N and Nichols, M and Moodie, M and Brown, V}, title = {Is climate change action present in obesity prevention policy?.}, journal = {Australian and New Zealand journal of public health}, volume = {47}, number = {1}, pages = {100015}, doi = {10.1016/j.anzjph.2022.100015}, pmid = {36680915}, issn = {1753-6405}, } @article {pmid36679046, year = {2023}, author = {Pollastri, S and Velikova, V and Castaldini, M and Fineschi, S and Ghirardo, A and Renaut, J and Schnitzler, JP and Sergeant, K and Winkler, JB and Zorzan, S and Loreto, F}, title = {Isoprene-Emitting Tobacco Plants Are Less Affected by Moderate Water Deficit under Future Climate Change Scenario and Show Adjustments of Stress-Related Proteins in Actual Climate.}, journal = {Plants (Basel, Switzerland)}, volume = {12}, number = {2}, pages = {}, doi = {10.3390/plants12020333}, pmid = {36679046}, issn = {2223-7747}, abstract = {Isoprene-emitting plants are better protected against thermal and oxidative stresses, which is a desirable trait in a climate-changing (drier and warmer) world. Here we compared the ecophysiological performances of transgenic isoprene-emitting and wild-type non-emitting tobacco plants during water stress and after re-watering in actual environmental conditions (400 ppm of CO2 and 28 °C of average daily temperature) and in a future climate scenario (600 ppm of CO2 and 32 °C of average daily temperature). Furthermore, we intended to complement the present knowledge on the mechanisms involved in isoprene-induced resistance to water deficit stress by examining the proteome of transgenic isoprene-emitting and wild-type non-emitting tobacco plants during water stress and after re-watering in actual climate. Isoprene emitters maintained higher photosynthesis and electron transport rates under moderate stress in future climate conditions. However, physiological resistance to water stress in the isoprene-emitting plants was not as marked as expected in actual climate conditions, perhaps because the stress developed rapidly. In actual climate, isoprene emission capacity affected the tobacco proteomic profile, in particular by upregulating proteins associated with stress protection. Our results strengthen the hypothesis that isoprene biosynthesis is related to metabolic changes at the gene and protein levels involved in the activation of general stress defensive mechanisms of plants.}, } @article {pmid36678935, year = {2023}, author = {Grigore, MN and Vicente, O}, title = {Wild Halophytes: Tools for Understanding Salt Tolerance Mechanisms of Plants and for Adapting Agriculture to Climate Change.}, journal = {Plants (Basel, Switzerland)}, volume = {12}, number = {2}, pages = {}, doi = {10.3390/plants12020221}, pmid = {36678935}, issn = {2223-7747}, abstract = {Halophytes, wild plants adapted to highly saline natural environments, represent extremely useful-and, at present, underutilised-experimental systems with which to investigate the mechanisms of salt tolerance in plants at the anatomical, physiological, biochemical and molecular levels. They can also provide biotechnological tools for the genetic improvement of salt tolerance in our conventional crops, such as salt tolerance genes or salt-induced promoters. Furthermore, halophytes may constitute the basis of sustainable 'saline agriculture' through commercial cultivation after some breeding to improve agronomic traits. All these issues are relevant in the present context of climate emergency, as soil salinity is-together with drought-the most critical environmental factor in reducing crop yield worldwide. In fact, climate change represents the most serious challenge for agricultural production and food security in the near future. Several of the topics mentioned above-mainly referring to basic studies on salt tolerance mechanisms-are addressed in the articles published within this Special Issue.}, } @article {pmid36678287, year = {2023}, author = {Agostoni, C and Baglioni, M and La Vecchia, A and Molari, G and Berti, C}, title = {Interlinkages between Climate Change and Food Systems: The Impact on Child Malnutrition-Narrative Review.}, journal = {Nutrients}, volume = {15}, number = {2}, pages = {}, doi = {10.3390/nu15020416}, pmid = {36678287}, issn = {2072-6643}, abstract = {The pandemics of obesity, undernutrition, and climate change represent severe threats to child health. They co-occur; interact with each other to produce sequelae at biological, psychological, or social levels; and share common underlying drivers. In this paper, we review the key issues concerning child diet and nutritional status, focusing on the interactions with climate and food systems. Inadequate infant and young child feeding practices, food insecurity, poverty, and limited access to health services are the leading causes of malnutrition across generations. Food system industrialization and globalization lead to a double burden of malnutrition, whereby undernutrition (i.e., stunting, wasting, and deficiencies in micronutrients) coexists with overweight and obesity, as well as to harmful effects on climate. Climate change and the COVID-19 pandemic are worsening child malnutrition, impacting the main underlying causes (i.e., household food security, dietary diversity, nutrient quality, and access to maternal and child health), as well as the social, economic, and political factors determining food security and nutrition (livelihoods, income, infrastructure resources, and political context). Existing interventions have the potential to be further scaled-up to concurrently address undernutrition, overnutrition, and climate change by cross-cutting education, agriculture, food systems, and social safety nets. Several stakeholders must work co-operatively to improve global sustainable nutrition.}, } @article {pmid36674273, year = {2023}, author = {Sattler, DN and Graham, JM and Whippy, A and Atienza, R and Johnson, J}, title = {Developing a Climate Change Risk Perception Model in the Philippines and Fiji: Posttraumatic Growth Plays Central Role.}, journal = {International journal of environmental research and public health}, volume = {20}, number = {2}, pages = {}, doi = {10.3390/ijerph20021518}, pmid = {36674273}, issn = {1660-4601}, abstract = {BACKGROUND: This two-study paper developed a climate change risk perception model that considers the role of posttraumatic growth (i.e., a reappraisal of life priorities and deeper appreciation of life), resource loss, posttraumatic stress, coping, and social support.

METHOD: In Study 1, participants were 332 persons in the Philippines who experienced Super Typhoon Haiyan. In Study 2, participants were 709 persons in Fiji who experienced Cyclone Winston. Climate change can increase the size and destructive potential of cyclones and typhoons as a result of warming ocean temperatures, which provides fuel for these storms. Participants completed measures assessing resource loss, posttraumatic stress, coping, social support, posttraumatic growth, and climate change risk perception.

RESULTS: Structural equation modeling was used to develop a climate change risk perception model with data collected in the Philippines and to confirm the model with data collected in Fiji. The model showed that climate change risk perception was influenced by resource loss, posttraumatic stress, coping activation, and posttraumatic growth. The model developed in the Philippines was confirmed with data collected in Fiji.

CONCLUSIONS: Posttraumatic growth played a central role in climate change risk perception. Public health educational efforts should focus on vividly showing how climate change threatens life priorities and that which gives life meaning and can result in loss, stress, and hardship. Disaster response organizations may also use this approach to promote preparedness for disaster threats.}, } @article {pmid36674220, year = {2023}, author = {van Baal, K and Stiel, S and Schulte, P}, title = {Public Perceptions of Climate Change and Health-A Cross-Sectional Survey Study.}, journal = {International journal of environmental research and public health}, volume = {20}, number = {2}, pages = {}, doi = {10.3390/ijerph20021464}, pmid = {36674220}, issn = {1660-4601}, abstract = {Climate change is inseparably linked to human health. Although there is growing awareness of the threats to human health caused by climate change, it remains unclear how the German population perceives the relevance of climate change and its health consequences. Between May and September 2022, German residents were invited to participate in a cross-sectional online survey that explored three content areas: (1) the relevance of climate change, (2) health risks in connection with climate change and (3) collective and individual options for action against climate change. A total of 697 full data sets were collected for analysis (72% female, 51% ≥55 years old). The majority of participants agreed that human-induced climate change exists (85%), and that it has an impact on human health (83%). They also perceived the global population to be more strongly impacted by climate change than themselves (89% versus 68%). Most participants (76%) claimed to personally contribute to climate protection and 23% felt that their city or council contributed to climate protection. Although the majority of participants saw climate change as a threat to human health, they perceived other population groups to be most strongly affected. Cognitive dissonance might explain this lack of individual concern and one approach to addressing such distorted perceptions might be the dissemination of appropriate risk communication with health professionals involved in the communication.}, } @article {pmid36673946, year = {2023}, author = {Corvetto, JF and Helou, AY and Dambach, P and Müller, T and Sauerborn, R}, title = {A Systematic Literature Review of the Impact of Climate Change on the Global Demand for Psychiatric Services.}, journal = {International journal of environmental research and public health}, volume = {20}, number = {2}, pages = {}, doi = {10.3390/ijerph20021190}, pmid = {36673946}, issn = {1660-4601}, abstract = {Climate Change (CC) imposes important global health risks, including on mental health (MH). They are related mostly to psychological suffering caused by climate-related events and to the heat-vulnerability caused by psychiatric disorders. This growing burden may press MH services worldwide, increasing demand on public and private systems in low-, middle-, and high-income countries. According to PRISMA, two independent reviewers searched four databases for papers published before May 2022 that associated climate-related events with healthcare demand for psychiatric conditions. Of the 7432 papers retrieved, we included 105. Only 29 were carried out in low- and middle-income countries. Twelve related the admission numbers to (i) extreme events, while 93 to (ii) meteorological factors-mostly heat. Emergency visits and hospitalizations were significantly higher during hot periods for MH disorders, especially until lag 5-7. Extreme events also caused more consultations. Suicide (completed or attempted), substance misuse, schizophrenia, mood, organic and neurotic disorders, and mortality were strongly affected by CC. This high healthcare demand is evidence of the burden patients may undergo. In addition, public and private services may face a shortage of financial and human resources. Finally, the increased use of healthcare facilities, in turn, intensifies greenhouse gas emissions, representing a self-enforcing cycle for CC. Further research is needed to better clarify how extreme events affect MH services and, in addition, if services in low- and middle-income countries are more intensely demanded by CC, as compared to richer countries.}, } @article {pmid36673505, year = {2023}, author = {Wang, F and Zhan, C and Zou, L}, title = {Risk of Crop Yield Reduction in China under 1.5 °C and 2 °C Global Warming from CMIP6 Models.}, journal = {Foods (Basel, Switzerland)}, volume = {12}, number = {2}, pages = {}, doi = {10.3390/foods12020413}, pmid = {36673505}, issn = {2304-8158}, abstract = {Warmer temperatures significantly influence crop yields, which are a critical determinant of food supply and human well-being. In this study, a probabilistic approach based on bivariate copula models was used to investigate the dependence (described by joint distribution) between crop yield and growing season temperature (TGS) in the major producing provinces of China for three staple crops (i.e., rice, wheat, and maize). Based on the outputs of 12 models from the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (CMIP6) under Shared Socioeconomic Pathway 5-8.5, the probability of yield reduction under 1.5 °C and 2 °C global warming was estimated, which has great implications for agricultural risk management. Results showed that yield response to TGS varied with crop and region, with the most vulnerable being rice in Sichuan, wheat in Sichuan and Gansu, and maize in Shandong, Liaoning, Jilin, Nei Mongol, Shanxi, and Hebei. Among the selected five copulas, Archimedean/elliptical copulas were more suitable to describe the joint distribution between TGS and yield in most rice-/maize-producing provinces. The probability of yield reduction was greater in vulnerable provinces than in non-vulnerable provinces, with maize facing a higher risk of warming-driven yield loss than rice and wheat. Compared to the 1.5 °C global warming, an additional 0.5 °C warming would increase the yield loss risk in vulnerable provinces by 2-17%, 1-16%, and 3-17% for rice, wheat, and maize, respectively. The copula-based model proved to be an effective tool to provide probabilistic estimates of yield reduction due to warming and can be applied to other crops and regions. The results of this study demonstrated the importance of keeping global warming within 1.5 °C to mitigate the yield loss risk and optimize agricultural decision-making in vulnerable regions.}, } @article {pmid36673211, year = {2022}, author = {Swedan, NH}, title = {Thermodynamic Analysis of Climate Change.}, journal = {Entropy (Basel, Switzerland)}, volume = {25}, number = {1}, pages = {}, doi = {10.3390/e25010072}, pmid = {36673211}, issn = {1099-4300}, abstract = {The climate change assessment of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate change is based on a radiative forcing methodology, and thermodynamic analysis of the climate does not appear to be utilized. Although equivalent to the radiative model, the thermodynamic model captures details of thermodynamic interactions among the earth's subsystems. Carbon dioxide emission returns the net chemical energy exchanged with the climate system to the surface of the earth as heat. The heat is equal to the sum of the heat produced by fossil fuels and deforestation minus the heat of surface greening. Accordingly, trends of climate parameters are calculated. Nearly 51.40% of carbon dioxide production has been sequestered by green matter, and surface greening is approximately 3.0% per decade. Through 2020, the heat removed by surface greening has approached 12.84% of the total heat. Deforestation on the other hand has contributed nearly 22.85% of the total heat of carbon conversion to carbon dioxide. The increase in sea and average land surface air temperatures are 0.80 °C and 1.39 °C, respectively. Present annual sea level rise is nearly 3.35 mm, and the calculated reductions in the temperature and geopotential height of the lower stratosphere are about -0.66 °C and -67.24 m per decade, respectively. Unlike natural sequestration of carbon dioxide, artificial sequestration is not a photosynthetic heat sink process and does not appear to be a viable methodology for mitigating climate change.}, } @article {pmid36671811, year = {2023}, author = {Dvoretsky, VG and Vodopianova, VV and Bulavina, AS}, title = {Effects of Climate Change on Chlorophyll a in the Barents Sea: A Long-Term Assessment.}, journal = {Biology}, volume = {12}, number = {1}, pages = {}, doi = {10.3390/biology12010119}, pmid = {36671811}, issn = {2079-7737}, abstract = {The Arctic climate strongly affects phytoplankton production and biomass through several mechanisms, including warming, sea ice retreat, and global atmospheric processes. In order to detect the climatic changes in phytoplankton biomass, long-term variability of chlorophyll a (Chl-a) was estimated in situ with the changes in the surface sea temperature (SST) and salinity (SSS) in the Barents Sea and adjacent waters during the period of 1984-2021. Spatial differences were detected in SST, SSS, and Chl-a. Chl-a increased parallel to SST in the summer-autumn and spring periods, respectively. Chl-a peaks were found near the ice edge and frontal zones in the spring season, while the highest measures were observed in the coastal regions during the summer seasons. SST and Chl-a demonstrated increasing trends with greater values during 2010-2020. Generalized additive models (GAMs) revealed that SST and Chl-a were positively related with year. Climatic and oceanographic variables explained significant proportions of the Chl-a fluctuations, with six predictors (SST, annual North Atlantic Oscillation index, temperature/salinity anomalies at the Kola Section, and sea ice extent in April and September) being the most important. GAMs showed close associations between increasing Chl-a and a decline in sea ice extent and rising water temperature. Our data may be useful for monitoring the Arctic regions during the era of global changes and provide a basis for future research on factors driving phytoplankton assemblages and primary productivity in the Barents Sea.}, } @article {pmid36671803, year = {2023}, author = {Daly, EZ and Gerlich, HS and Frenot, Y and Høye, TT and Holmstrup, M and Renault, D}, title = {Climate Change Helps Polar Invasives Establish and Flourish: Evidence from Long-Term Monitoring of the Blowfly Calliphora vicina.}, journal = {Biology}, volume = {12}, number = {1}, pages = {}, doi = {10.3390/biology12010111}, pmid = {36671803}, issn = {2079-7737}, abstract = {The isolated sub-Antarctic islands are of major ecological interest because of their unique species diversity and long history of limited human disturbance. However, since the presence of Europeans, these islands and their sensitive biota have been under increasing pressure due to human activity and associated biological invasions. In such delicate ecosystems, biological invasions are an exceptional threat that may be further amplified by climate change. We examined the invasion trajectory of the blowfly Calliphora vicina (Robineau-Desvoidy 1830). First introduced in the sub-Antarctic Kerguelen Islands in the 1970s, it is thought to have persisted only in sheltered microclimates for several decades. Here, we show that, in recent decades, C. vicina has been able to establish itself more widely. We combine experimental thermal developmental data with long-term ecological and meteorological monitoring to address whether warming conditions help explain its current success and dynamics in the eastern Kerguelen Islands. We found that warming temperatures and accumulated degree days could explain the species' phenological and long-term invasion dynamics, indicating that climate change has likely assisted its establishment. This study represents a unique long-term view of a polar invader and stresses the rapidly increasing susceptibility of cold regions to invasion under climate change.}, } @article {pmid36671776, year = {2023}, author = {Adhikari, P and Lee, YH and Poudel, A and Lee, G and Hong, SH and Park, YS}, title = {Predicting the Impact of Climate Change on the Habitat Distribution of Parthenium&nbsp;hysterophorus around the World and in South Korea.}, journal = {Biology}, volume = {12}, number = {1}, pages = {}, doi = {10.3390/biology12010084}, pmid = {36671776}, issn = {2079-7737}, abstract = {The global climate change, including increases in temperature and precipitation, may exacerbate the invasion by P. hysterophorus. Here, MaxEnt modeling was performed to predict P. hysterophorus distribution worldwide and in South Korea under the current and future climate global climate changes, including increases in temperature and precipitation. Under the current climate, P. hysterophorus was estimated to occupy 91.26%, 83.26%, and 62.75% of the total land area of Australia, South America, and Oceania, respectively. However, under future climate scenarios, the habitat distribution of P. hysterophorus would show the greatest change in Europe (56.65%) and would extend up to 65°N by 2081-2100 in South Korea, P. hysterophorus currently potentially colonizing 2.24% of the land area, particularly in six administrative divisions. In the future, P. hysterophorus would spread rapidly, colonizing all administrative divisions, except Incheon, by 2081-2100. Additionally, the southern and central regions of South Korea showed greater habitat suitability than the northern region. These findings suggest that future climate change will increase P. hysterophorus distribution both globally and locally. Therefore, effective control and management strategies should be employed around the world and in South Korea to restrict the habitat expansion of P. hysterophorus.}, } @article {pmid36670273, year = {2023}, author = {Sapkota, A and Kotanko, P}, title = {Climate change-fuelled natural disasters and chronic kidney disease: a call for action.}, journal = {Nature reviews. Nephrology}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, pmid = {36670273}, issn = {1759-507X}, } @article {pmid36670135, year = {2023}, author = {Richardson, LM and Thaker, J and Holmes, DC}, title = {Comparative analysis of Australian climate change and COVID-19 vaccine audience segments shows climate skeptics can be vaccine enthusiasts.}, journal = {Scientific reports}, volume = {13}, number = {1}, pages = {1118}, pmid = {36670135}, issn = {2045-2322}, abstract = {Denialism and the spreading of misinformation have occurred regarding both climate change and COVID-19, delaying uptake of urgent actions. Audience segmentation analysis identifies audience subgroups likely to have similar responses to messaging, and is a valuable tool for effective campaigns encouraging critical behaviors in both contexts. This study compared audience segmentations based on a representative sample of 1054 Australians. One segmentation was based on the 'Global Warming's Six Americas' online SASSY tool. The second segmentation applied the Theory of Planned Behavior and found five distinct COVID-19 vaccine segments. Both studies showed those most concerned and those most skeptical in the climate change segmentation tended to be in more enthusiastic COVID-19 vaccine segments, while those in the center on climate change were more skeptical on COVID-19 vaccines. Differences identified relating to age, gender, and political views may be explained by a combination of the specific nature and histories of these issues. These findings have implications for effective communication on science and health issues across diverse disciplines.}, } @article {pmid36670117, year = {2023}, author = {Ballarin, AS and Sone, JS and Gesualdo, GC and Schwamback, D and Reis, A and Almagro, A and Wendland, EC}, title = {CLIMBra - Climate Change Dataset for Brazil.}, journal = {Scientific data}, volume = {10}, number = {1}, pages = {47}, pmid = {36670117}, issn = {2052-4463}, abstract = {General Circulation and Earth System Models are the most advanced tools for investigating climate responses to future scenarios of greenhouse gas emissions, playing the role of projecting the climate throughout the century. Nevertheless, climate projections are model-dependent and may show systematic biases, requiring a bias correction for any further application. Here, we provide a dataset based on an ensemble of 19 bias-corrected CMIP6 climate models projections for the Brazilian territory based on the SSP2-4.5 and SSP5-8.5 scenarios. We used the Quantile Delta Mapping approach to bias-correct daily time-series of precipitation, maximum and minimum temperature, solar net radiation, near-surface wind speed, and relative humidity. The bias-corrected dataset is available for both historical (1980-2013) and future (2015-2100) simulations at a 0.25° × 0.25° spatial resolution. Besides the gridded product, we provide area-averaged projections for 735 catchments included in the Catchments Attributes for Brazil (CABra) dataset. The dataset provides important variables commonly used in environmental and hydroclimatological studies, paving the way for the development of high-quality research on climate change impacts in Brazil.}, } @article {pmid36668972, year = {2023}, author = {Ivanescu, LM and Bodale, I and Grigore-Hristodorescu, S and Martinescu, G and Andronic, B and Matiut, S and Azoicai, D and Miron, L}, title = {The Risk of Emerging of Dengue Fever in Romania, in the Context of Global Warming.}, journal = {Tropical medicine and infectious disease}, volume = {8}, number = {1}, pages = {}, doi = {10.3390/tropicalmed8010065}, pmid = {36668972}, issn = {2414-6366}, abstract = {(1) Background: Few studies to date have assessed the influences induced by climate change on the spatial distribution and population abundance of Aedes albopictus using the latest climate scenarios. In this study, we updated the current distribution of Ae. albopictus mosquitoes and evaluated the changes in their distribution under future climate conditions, as well as the risk of dengue virus emergence in Romania. (2) Methods: Under the two scenarios: High scenario (HS) when no drastic measures to reduce the effects of global warming will be taken, or they are not effective and low scenario (LS) when very stringent greenhouse control measures will be implemented. (3) Results: The results estimate an increase in temperatures in Romania of up to 2.6 °C in HS and up to 0.4 °C in LS, with an increase in the period of virus replication within the vector from June to October in HS and from May to September in LS. Moreover, in 2022, Ae. albopictus was reported in a new county, where it was not identified at the last monitoring in 2020. (4) Conclusions: The rapid spread of this invasive species and the need to implement monitoring and control programs for the Aedes population in Romania are emphasized.}, } @article {pmid36668829, year = {2022}, author = {Borges, FO and Lopes, VM and Santos, CF and Costa, PR and Rosa, R}, title = {Impacts of Climate Change on the Biogeography of Three Amnesic Shellfish Toxin Producing Diatom Species.}, journal = {Toxins}, volume = {15}, number = {1}, pages = {}, doi = {10.3390/toxins15010009}, pmid = {36668829}, issn = {2072-6651}, abstract = {Harmful algal blooms (HABs) are considered one of the main risks for marine ecosystems and human health worldwide. Climate change is projected to induce significant changes in species geographic distribution, and, in this sense, it is paramount to accurately predict how it will affect toxin-producing microalgae. In this context, the present study was intended to project the potential biogeographical changes in habitat suitability and occurrence distribution of three key amnesic shellfish toxin (AST)-producing diatom species (i.e., Pseudo-nitzschia australis, P. seriata, and P. fraudulenta) under four different climate change scenarios (i.e., RCP-2.6, 4.5, 6.0, and 8.5) up to 2050 and 2100. For this purpose, we applied species distribution models (SDMs) using four abiotic predictors (i.e., sea surface temperature, salinity, current velocity, and bathymetry) in a MaxEnt framework. Overall, considerable contraction and potential extirpation were projected for all species at lower latitudes together with projected poleward expansions into higher latitudes, mainly in the northern hemisphere. The present study aims to contribute to the knowledge on the impacts of climate change on the biogeography of toxin-producing microalgae species while at the same time advising the correct environmental management of coastal habitats and ecosystems.}, } @article {pmid36662011, year = {2023}, author = {Zhao, H and Xian, X and Liang, T and Wan, F and Shi, J and Liu, W}, title = {Constructing an Ensemble Model and Niche Comparison for the Management Planning of Eucalyptus Longhorned Borer Phoracantha semipunctata under Climate Change.}, journal = {Insects}, volume = {14}, number = {1}, pages = {}, doi = {10.3390/insects14010084}, pmid = {36662011}, issn = {2075-4450}, abstract = {Phoracantha semipunctata is a destructive invasive alien forest pest worldwide. It primarily damages the eucalyptus via adults, affecting almost all parts of the eucalyptus. Its larvae develop in almost all major tissues of the plant. Phoracantha semipunctata spreads both via the migration of adults and global trade in intercontinental translocation. Currently, this pest has spread to six continents worldwide, except Antarctica, resulting in substantial economic losses. Based on global occurrence data and environmental variables, the potential global geographical distribution of P. semipunctata was predicted using an ensemble model. The centroid shift, overlap, unfilling, and expansion scheme were selected to assess niche dynamics during the global invasion process. Our results indicated that the AUC and TSS values of the ensemble model were 0.993 and 0.917, respectively, indicating the high prediction accuracy of the model. The distribution pattern of P. semipunctata is primarily attributed to the temperature seasonality (bio4), mean temperature of the warmest quarter (bio10), and human influence index variables. The potential geographical distribution of P. semipunctata is primarily in western and southwestern Asia, western Europe, western and southern North America, southern South America, southern Africa, and eastern and southern Oceania. The potential geographical distribution of P. semipunctata showed a downward trend in the 2030s and the 2050s. The distribution centroid showed a general tendency to shift southward from the near-current to future climate. Phoracantha semipunctata has largely conserved its niche during the global invasion process. More attention should be paid to the early warning, prevention, and control of P. semipunctata in the countries and regions where it has not yet become invasive.}, } @article {pmid36661979, year = {2023}, author = {Régnier, B and Legrand, J and Calatayud, PA and Rebaudo, F}, title = {Developmental Differentiations of Major Maize Stemborers Due to Global Warming in Temperate and Tropical Climates.}, journal = {Insects}, volume = {14}, number = {1}, pages = {}, doi = {10.3390/insects14010051}, pmid = {36661979}, issn = {2075-4450}, abstract = {While many insects are in decline due to global warming, the effect of rising temperatures on crop insect pests is uncertain. A capacity to understand future changes in crop pest populations remains critical to ensure food security. Using temperature-dependent mathematical models of the development of four maize stemborers in temperate and tropical regions, we evaluated the potential impacts of different climate change scenarios on development time. While recognizing the limitations of the temperature-dependent development rate approach, we found that global warming could either be beneficial or detrimental to pest development, depending on the optimal temperature for the development of the species and scenarios of climate change. Expected responses range from null development to 1.5 times faster development than expected today. These results suggest that in the medium term, the studied species could benefit from global warming with an accelerated development, while in the long term, their development could either be delayed or accelerated, which may impact their dynamics with implications on maize cultivation.}, } @article {pmid36661976, year = {2023}, author = {Laporta, GZ and Potter, AM and Oliveira, JFA and Bourke, BP and Pecor, DB and Linton, YM}, title = {Global Distribution of Aedes aegypti and Aedes albopictus in a Climate Change Scenario of Regional Rivalry.}, journal = {Insects}, volume = {14}, number = {1}, pages = {}, doi = {10.3390/insects14010049}, pmid = {36661976}, issn = {2075-4450}, abstract = {Arboviral mosquito vectors are key targets for the surveillance and control of vector-borne diseases worldwide. In recent years, changes to the global distributions of these species have been a major research focus, aimed at predicting outbreaks of arboviral diseases. In this study, we analyzed a global scenario of climate change under regional rivalry to predict changes to these species' distributions over the next century. Using occurrence data from VectorMap and environmental variables (temperature and precipitation) from WorldClim v. 2.1, we first built fundamental niche models for both species with the boosted regression tree modelling approach. A scenario of climate change on their fundamental niche was then analyzed. The shared socioeconomic pathway scenario 3 (regional rivalry) and the global climate model Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory Earth System Model v. 4.1 (GFDL-ESM4.1; gfdl.noaa.gov) were utilized for all analyses, in the following time periods: 2021-2040, 2041-2060, 2061-2080, and 2081-2100. Outcomes from these analyses showed that future climate change will affect Ae. aegypti and Ae. albopictus distributions in different ways across the globe. The Northern Hemisphere will have extended Ae. aegypti and Ae. albopictus distributions in future climate change scenarios, whereas the Southern Hemisphere will have the opposite outcomes. Europe will become more suitable for both species and their related vector-borne diseases. Loss of suitability in the Brazilian Amazon region further indicated that this tropical rainforest biome will have lower levels of precipitation to support these species in the future. Our models provide possible future scenarios to help identify locations for resource allocation and surveillance efforts before a significant threat to human health emerges.}, } @article {pmid36661975, year = {2023}, author = {Zhao, JQ and Gao, T and Du, JJ and Shi, J}, title = {Future Trends in Obolodiplosis robiniae Distribution across Eurasian Continent under Global Climate Change.}, journal = {Insects}, volume = {14}, number = {1}, pages = {}, doi = {10.3390/insects14010048}, pmid = {36661975}, issn = {2075-4450}, abstract = {Obolodiplosis robiniae was discovered in Eurasia at the beginning of the 21st century. In this study, we explore the present and future (in the years 2050 and 2070) trends in the potential distribution of O. robiniae in Eurasia under diverse climate change scenarios based on a maximum entropy model. Our findings indicated that the current potential distribution area of O. robiniae is within the range of 21°34' and 65°39' N in the Eurasian continent. The primary factor controlling the distribution of O. robiniae is temperature. The highly and moderately suitable areas are mainly distributed in the semi-humid and semi-arid regions, which also happen to be the locations where the host black locust (Robinia pseudoacacia L.) grows at its fastest rate. The forecast of the potential distribution area of O. robiniae revealed that the species would benefit from global warming. The region suitable for the habitat of O. robiniae is characterized by a large-scale northward expansion trend and an increase in temperature. This information would help the forestry quarantine departments of Asian and European countries provide early warnings on the probable distribution areas of O. robiniae and provide a scientific basis for the prevention and control of O. robiniae spread and outbreaks.}, } @article {pmid36661406, year = {2023}, author = {Silverstein, MR and Segrè, D and Bhatnagar, JM}, title = {Environmental microbiome engineering for the mitigation of climate change.}, journal = {Global change biology}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, doi = {10.1111/gcb.16609}, pmid = {36661406}, issn = {1365-2486}, abstract = {Environmental microbiome engineering is emerging as a potential avenue for climate change mitigation. In this process, microbial inocula are introduced to natural microbial communities to tune activities that regulate the long-term stabilization of carbon in ecosystems. In this review, we outline the process of environmental engineering and synthesize key considerations about ecosystem functions to target, means of sourcing microorganisms, strategies for designing microbial inocula, methods to deliver inocula, and the factors that enable inocula to establish within a resident community and modify an ecosystem function target. Recent work, enabled by high-throughput technologies and modeling approaches, indicate that microbial inocula designed from the top down, particularly through directed evolution, may generally have a higher chance of establishing within existing microbial communities than other historical approaches to microbiome engineering. We address outstanding questions about the determinants of inocula establishment and provide suggestions for further research about the possibilities and challenges of environmental microbiome engineering as a tool to combat climate change.}, } @article {pmid36661082, year = {2023}, author = {Gatto, CR and Williamson, SA and Reina, RD}, title = {Mitigating the effects of climate change on the nests of sea turtles with artificial irrigation.}, journal = {Conservation biology : the journal of the Society for Conservation Biology}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, doi = {10.1111/cobi.14044}, pmid = {36661082}, issn = {1523-1739}, abstract = {For sea turtles, like many oviparous species, increasing temperatures during development threaten to increase embryonic mortality, alter offspring quality, and potentially create suboptimal primary sex ratios. Various methods are being implemented to mitigate the effects of climate change on reproductive success, but these methods, such as breeding programs, translocations, and shading, are often invasive and expensive. Irrigation is an alternative strategy for cooling nests that, depending on location, can be implemented relatively quickly and cheaply. However, multiple factors, including ambient conditions, nest substrate, and species characteristics can influence irrigation success. Additionally, irrigation can vary in duration, frequency, and the volume of water applied to nests, which influences the cooling achieved and embryonic survival. Thus, it is critical to understand how to maximize cooling and manage risks before implementing irrigation as a nest-cooling strategy. We reviewed the literature on nest irrigation to examine whether artificial irrigation is feasible as a population management tool. Key factors that affected cooling were the volume of water applied and the frequency of applications. Embryonic responses varied with species, ambient conditions, and the timing of irrigation during development. Nest inundation was the key risk to a successful irrigation regime. Future irrigation regimes must identify clear targets, either primary or adult sex ratios, that maximize population viability. Monitoring population responses and adjusting the irrigation regime in response to population characteristics will be critical. Most studies reported on the manipulation of only 1 or 2 variables, further research is required to understand how altering multiple factors in an irrigation regime influences the cooling achieved and embryonic responses. This article is protected by copyright. All rights reserved.}, } @article {pmid36661061, year = {2023}, author = {Ma, L and Hou, C and Jiang, ZW and Du, WG}, title = {Divergent effects of climate change on the egg-laying opportunity of species in cold and warm regions.}, journal = {Conservation biology : the journal of the Society for Conservation Biology}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, doi = {10.1111/cobi.14056}, pmid = {36661061}, issn = {1523-1739}, abstract = {Climate warming can substantially impact embryonic development and juvenile growth in oviparous species. Estimating the overall impacts of climate warming on oviparous reproduction is difficult because egg-laying events happen throughout the reproductive season. Successful egg-laying requires the completion of embryonic development as well as hatching timing conducive to offspring survival and energy accumulation. We propose a new metric - egg-laying opportunity (EO) - to estimate the annual hours during which a clutch of freshly laid eggs yields surviving offspring that store sufficient energy for overwintering. We estimated the EO within the distribution of a model species, Sceloporus undulatus, under recent climate condition and a climate-warming scenario by combining microclimate data, developmental functions, and biophysical models. We predicted that EO will decline as the climate warms at 74.8% of 11407 sites. Decreasing hatching success and offspring energy accounted for more lost EO hours (72.6% and 72.9%) than the occurrence of offspring heat stress (59.9%). Nesting deeper (at a depth of 12 cm) may be a more effective behavioral adjustment for retaining EO than using shadier (50% shade) nests because the former fully mitigated the decline of EO under the considered warming scenario at more sites (66.1%) than the latter (28.3%). We advocate for the use of EO in predicting the impacts of climate warming on oviparous animals because it encapsulates the integrative impacts of climate warming on all stages of reproductive life-history. This article is protected by copyright. All rights reserved.}, } @article {pmid36660456, year = {2023}, author = {Baral, K and Adhikari, B and Bhandari, S and Kunwar, RM and Sharma, HP and Aryal, A and Ji, W}, title = {Impact of climate change on distribution of common leopard (Panthera pardus) and its implication on conservation and conflict in Nepal.}, journal = {Heliyon}, volume = {9}, number = {1}, pages = {e12807}, pmid = {36660456}, issn = {2405-8440}, abstract = {Climate change is projected to create alterations in species distributions over the planet. The common leopard (Panthera pardus) serves an important ecological function as a member of the big carnivore guild, but little is known about how climate change may affect their distribution. In this study, we use MaxEnt to simulate the geographic distributions by illustrating potential present and future ranges of common leopard by utilizing presence records alongside important topographic and bioclimatic variables based on two shared socioeconomic pathways (SSP2-4.5 and SSP5-8.5) scenarios. The goals of this study was to look into possible distribution ranges of common leopards due to climate change, as well as explore the implications for conservation and potential conflict with humans. At present, 4% of Nepal was found to be highly suitable for common leopards, 43% suitable, 19% marginally suitable, and 34% unsuitable. A large portion of the climatically suitable habitat was confined to non-protected areas, and the majority of the highly suitable habitat was encompassed by forest land, followed by agricultural areas. Elevation, mean temperature of driest quarter, annual precipitation, and precipitation seasonality were the variables influencing habitat suitability for the common leopard. A significant increase in marginally suitable habitat was observed in the high mountain region, indicating a shift of habitat in upper elevation areas due to the effects of climate change. We recommend timely management of these potential habitats to expand the range of this vulnerable species. At the same time, a combination of expanding new habitats and poor management practices could escalate human-leopard conflict. Therefore, further study on the impact of climate change on the distribution of prey species and proper habitat management techniques should be prioritized to mitigate conflicts.}, } @article {pmid36658205, year = {2023}, author = {Kazemi Garajeh, M and Salmani, B and Zare Naghadehi, S and Valipoori Goodarzi, H and Khasraei, A}, title = {An integrated approach of remote sensing and geospatial analysis for modeling and predicting the impacts of climate change on food security.}, journal = {Scientific reports}, volume = {13}, number = {1}, pages = {1057}, pmid = {36658205}, issn = {2045-2322}, abstract = {The agriculture sector provides the majority of food supplies, ensures food security, and promotes sustainable development. Due to recent climate changes as well as trends in human population growth and environmental degradation, the need for timely agricultural information continues to rise. This study analyzes and predicts the impacts of climate change on food security (FS). For 2002-2021, Landsat, MODIS satellite images and predisposing variables (land surface temperature (LST), evapotranspiration, precipitation, sunny days, cloud ratio, soil salinity, soil moisture, groundwater quality, soil types, digital elevation model, slope, and aspect) were used. First, we used a deep learning convolutional neural network (DL-CNN) based on the Google Earth Engine (GEE) to detect agricultural land (AL). A remote sensing-based approach combined with the analytical network process (ANP) model was used to identify frost-affected areas. We then analyzed the relationship between climatic, geospatial, and topographical variables and AL and frost-affected areas. We found negative correlations of - 0.80, - 0.58, - 0.43, and - 0.45 between AL and LST, evapotranspiration, cloud ratio, and soil salinity, respectively. There is a positive correlation between AL and precipitation, sunny days, soil moisture, and groundwater quality of 0.39, 0.25, 0.21, and 0.77, respectively. The correlation between frost-affected areas and LST, evapotranspiration, cloud ratio, elevation, slope, and aspect are 0.55, 0.40, 0.52, 0.35, 0.45, and 0.39. Frost-affected areas have negative correlations with precipitation, sunny day, and soil moisture of - 0.68, - 0.23, and - 0.38, respectively. Our findings show that the increase in LST, evapotranspiration, cloud ratio, and soil salinity is associated with the decrease in AL. Additionally, AL decreases with a decreasing in precipitation, sunny days, soil moisture, and groundwater quality. It was also found that as LST, evapotranspiration, cloud ratio, elevation, slope, and aspect increase, frost-affected areas increase as well. Furthermore, frost-affected areas increase when precipitation, sunny days, and soil moisture decrease. Finally, we predicted the FS threat for 2030, 2040, 2050, and 2060 using the CA-Markov method. According to the results, the AL will decrease by 0.36% from 2030 to 2060. Between 2030 and 2060, however, the area with very high frost-affected will increase by about 10.64%. In sum, this study accentuates the critical impacts of climate change on the FS in the region. Our findings and proposed methods could be helpful for researchers to model and quantify the climate change impacts on the FS in different regions and periods.}, } @article {pmid36659049, year = {2020}, author = {Jiao, N and Chen, F and Hou, Z}, title = {Combating climate change in a post-COVID-19 era.}, journal = {Science bulletin}, volume = {65}, number = {23}, pages = {1958-1960}, doi = {10.1016/j.scib.2020.08.017}, pmid = {36659049}, issn = {2095-9281}, } @article {pmid36659242, year = {2020}, author = {Li, Q and Sun, W and Huang, B and Dong, W and Wang, X and Zhai, P and Jones, P}, title = {Consistency of global warming trends strengthened since 1880s.}, journal = {Science bulletin}, volume = {65}, number = {20}, pages = {1709-1712}, doi = {10.1016/j.scib.2020.06.009}, pmid = {36659242}, issn = {2095-9281}, } @article {pmid36659099, year = {2020}, author = {Yu, Y and Chen, X and Disse, M and Cyffka, B and Lei, J and Zhang, H and Brieden, A and Welp, M and Abuduwaili, J and Li, Y and Zeng, F and Gui, D and Thevs, N and Ta, Z and Gao, X and Pi, Y and Yu, X and Sun, L and Yu, R}, title = {Climate change in Central Asia: Sino-German cooperative research findings.}, journal = {Science bulletin}, volume = {65}, number = {9}, pages = {689-692}, doi = {10.1016/j.scib.2020.02.008}, pmid = {36659099}, issn = {2095-9281}, } @article {pmid36659232, year = {2020}, author = {Zhang, F and Shi, X and Zeng, C and Wang, L and Xiao, X and Wang, G and Chen, Y and Zhang, H and Lu, X and Immerzeel, W}, title = {Recent stepwise sediment flux increase with climate change in the Tuotuo River in the central Tibetan Plateau.}, journal = {Science bulletin}, volume = {65}, number = {5}, pages = {410-418}, doi = {10.1016/j.scib.2019.12.017}, pmid = {36659232}, issn = {2095-9281}, abstract = {The riverine sediment flux (SF) is an essential pathway for nutrients and pollutants delivery and considered as an important indicator of land degradation and environment changes. With growing interest in environmental changes over the Tibetan Plateau (TP), this work investigated the variation of the SF in response to climate change in the headwater of the Yangtze River over the past 30 years. Annual time series of hydro-meteorological variables during 1986-2014 indicate significantly increasing trends of air temperature, precipitation, ground temperature, river discharge, suspended sediment concentration and SF. Stepwise changes were identified with significantly higher values of the above variables in 1998-2014 compared with 1986-1997, which could potentially be attributed to the strong 1997 El Niño event. Double-mass plots indicated that both meltwater and rainfall contributed to the increased river discharge while the increased SF mostly resulted from enhanced erosive power and transport capacities of the increased discharge. However, it was buffered by a decrease in sediment source due to the shift of maximum monthly rainfall from June/July to July/August during which period a denser vegetation cover prevents soil erosion. Partial least squares structural equation modeling analysis confirmed the dominance of warming on the increase of discharge amplified by increased precipitation. It also confirmed that the increased precipitation drives the increase in suspended sediment concentration. Both processes conspire and equally contribute to the stepwise increase of SF. This study provides important insights into the controlling processes for recent SF changes and gives guidance for water and soil conservation on the TP.}, } @article {pmid36659085, year = {2020}, author = {Li, F and Liu, J and Chen, G and Kong, L and Zhang, X}, title = {A rapid late Holocene lake ecosystem shift driven by climate change: evidence from the first cladoceran record from an alpine lake in northern China.}, journal = {Science bulletin}, volume = {65}, number = {4}, pages = {253-256}, doi = {10.1016/j.scib.2019.12.010}, pmid = {36659085}, issn = {2095-9281}, } @article {pmid36659178, year = {2020}, author = {Zhang, W and Zhou, T}, title = {Increasing impacts from extreme precipitation on population over China with global warming.}, journal = {Science bulletin}, volume = {65}, number = {3}, pages = {243-252}, doi = {10.1016/j.scib.2019.12.002}, pmid = {36659178}, issn = {2095-9281}, abstract = {Precipitation-related extremes are among the most impact-relevant consequences of a warmer climate, particularly for China, a region vulnerable to global warming and with a large population. Understanding the impacts and risks induced by future extreme precipitation changes is critical for mitigation and adaptation planning. Here, extreme precipitation changes under different levels of global warming and their associated impacts on populations in China are investigated using multimodel climate projections from the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 and population projections under Shared Socio-economic Pathways. Heavy precipitation would intensify with warming across China at a rate of 6.52% (5.22%-8.57%) per degree of global warming. The longest dry spell length would increase (decrease) south (north) of ~34°N. The low warming target of the Paris Agreement could substantially reduce the extreme precipitation related impacts compared to higher warming levels. For the area weighted average changes, the intensification in wet extremes could be reduced by 3.22%, 9.42% and 16.70% over China, and the lengthening of dry spells could be reduced by 0.72%, 4.75% and 5.31% in southeastern China, respectively, if global warming is limited to 1.5 °C as compared to 2, 3 and 4 °C. The Southeastern China is the hotspot of enhanced impacts due to the dense population. The impacts on populations induced by extreme precipitation changes are dominated by climate change, while future population redistribution plays a minor role.}, } @article {pmid36659651, year = {2019}, author = {He, Q and Zhou, G and Lü, X and Zhou, M}, title = {Climatic suitability and spatial distribution for summer maize cultivation in China at 1.5 and 2.0 °C global warming.}, journal = {Science bulletin}, volume = {64}, number = {10}, pages = {690-697}, doi = {10.1016/j.scib.2019.03.030}, pmid = {36659651}, issn = {2095-9281}, abstract = {Evaluating climatic suitability of crop cultivation lays a foundation for agriculture coping with climate change scientifically. Herein, we analyse changes in the climatically suitable distribution of summer maize cultivation in China at 1.5 °C (GW1.5) and 2.0 °C (GW2.0) global warming in the future according to the temperature control targets set by the Paris Agreement. Compared with the reference period (1971-2000), the summer maize cultivation climatically suitable region (CSR) in China mainly shifts eastwards, and its acreage significantly decreases at both GW1.5 and GW2.0. Despite no dramatic changes in the CSR spatial pattern, there are considerable decreases in the acreages of optimum and suitable regions (the core of the main producing region), indicating that half-a-degree more global warming is unfavourable for summer maize production in China's main producing region. When the global warming threshold increases from GW1.5 to GW2.0, the centres-of-gravity of optimum areas shift northeastward under RCP4.5 and RCP8.5, the centres-of-gravity of both suitable and less suitable areas shift northwestward, though the northward trend is more prominent for the less suitable areas, and the centre-of-gravity of unsuitable areas shifts southeastward. Generally, half-a-degree more global warming drives the cultivable areas of summer maize to shift northward in China, while the west region shows a certain potential for expansion of summer maize cultivation.}, } @article {pmid36659721, year = {2019}, author = {Cooper, OR}, title = {Detecting the fingerprints of observed climate change on surface ozone variability.}, journal = {Science bulletin}, volume = {64}, number = {6}, pages = {359-360}, doi = {10.1016/j.scib.2019.02.013}, pmid = {36659721}, issn = {2095-9281}, } @article {pmid36659714, year = {2019}, author = {Ding, Y and Zhang, S and Zhao, L and Li, Z and Kang, S}, title = {Global warming weakening the inherent stability of glaciers and permafrost.}, journal = {Science bulletin}, volume = {64}, number = {4}, pages = {245-253}, doi = {10.1016/j.scib.2018.12.028}, pmid = {36659714}, issn = {2095-9281}, abstract = {The Cryosphere has been undergoing a worldwide retreat, as seen in the decrease in the areal extent and volume of glaciers and in the areal extent of permafrost. This paper presents a systematic examination of the inherent stability changes of glaciers and permafrost caused by warming. Various study results suggest that over the past 30 years, the internal temperature of glaciers and permafrost exhibits an overall accelerating warming trend. The warming rate peaked in the mid-2000s and slowed slightly for several years afterward. In recent years, however, the warming rate has seemed to pick up again. The warming of glaciers and permafrost has exerted great impact on their stability, displayed as intensified melting, increased glacier surging, enlargement of supraglacial lakes, and increased permafrost degradation. Even without a future temperature increase, some glaciers will continue to shrink, and the number of surging glaciers will increase. The transition from low-temperature to high-temperature permafrost is a noticeable warning sign of a comprehensive degradation of permafrost. These results indicate that "warming" glaciers and permafrost will exert significant impacts on the hydrology, ecology, and stability of engineering in cold regions.}, } @article {pmid36658819, year = {2018}, author = {Zhou, T and Ren, L and Liu, H and Lu, J}, title = {Impact of 1.5 °C and 2.0 °C global warming on aircraft takeoff performance in China.}, journal = {Science bulletin}, volume = {63}, number = {11}, pages = {700-707}, doi = {10.1016/j.scib.2018.03.018}, pmid = {36658819}, issn = {2095-9281}, abstract = {Associated with global warming, climate extremes such as extreme temperature will significantly increase. Understanding how climate change will impact the airflights is important to the planning of future flight operations. In this study, the impacts of 1.5 and 2 degree's global warming on the aircraft takeoff performance in China are investigated using a unique climate projection data from an international collaboration project named HAPPI. It is found that the mean summer daily maximum temperature, which is a major factor that affects the flight through changing the aircraft's takeoff weight, will increase significantly with magnitude less than 1.5 °C over most parts of China except for the Tibetan Plateau. The half a degree additional global warming will lead to higher extreme temperature in the arid and semi-arid western China, the Tibetan Plateau and the northeastern China, while the change in eastern China is weak. Five airports including Beijing, Shanghai, Kunming, Lasa and Urumqi will see ∼1.0°-2.0 °C (1.4°-3.0 °C) higher daily maximum temperature under 1.5 °C (2.0 °C) scenario. The half-degree additional warming will lead to a shift toward higher extreme temperature in these five sites. For both 1.5° and 2.0 °C scenarios, the number of weight-restriction days will increase significantly at 3 airports including Beijing, Shanghai, and Lasa. Urumqi will witness an increase of weight-restriction days only in 2.0 °C future.}, } @article {pmid36658884, year = {2018}, author = {Hu, Y and Huang, H and Zhou, C}, title = {Widening and weakening of the Hadley circulation under global warming.}, journal = {Science bulletin}, volume = {63}, number = {10}, pages = {640-644}, doi = {10.1016/j.scib.2018.04.020}, pmid = {36658884}, issn = {2095-9281}, abstract = {The Hadley circulation is one of the most important atmospheric circulations. Widening of the Hadley circulation has drawn extensive studies in the past decade. The key concern is that widening of the Hadley circulation would cause poleward shift of the subtropical dry zone. Various metrics have been applied to measure the widening of the tropics. What are responsible for the observed widening trends of the Hadley circulation? How anthropogenic and natural forcings caused the widening? How the widening results in regional climatic effects? These are the major questions in studing the widening of the Hadley circulation. While both observations and simulations all show widening of the Hadley circulation in the past few decades, there are no general agreements of changes in the strength of the Hadley circulation. Although some reanalysis datasets show strengthening of the Hadley circulation, it was shown that the strengthening trend could be artificial, and simulations show weakening of the Hadley circulation for global greenhouse warming. In the present paper, we shall briefly review the major progresses of studies in trends in width and strength of the Hadley circulation. We address answers to these questions, clarify inconsistent results, and propose ideas for future studies.}, } @article {pmid36659011, year = {2018}, author = {Li, W and Jiang, Z and Zhang, X and Li, L and Sun, Y}, title = {Additional risk in extreme precipitation in China from 1.5 °C to 2.0 °C global warming levels.}, journal = {Science bulletin}, volume = {63}, number = {4}, pages = {228-234}, doi = {10.1016/j.scib.2017.12.021}, pmid = {36659011}, issn = {2095-9281}, abstract = {To avoid dangerous climate change impact, the Paris Agreement sets out two ambitious goals: to limit the global warming to be well below 2 °C and to pursue effort for the global warming to be below 1.5 °C above the pre-industrial level. As climate change risks may be region-dependent, changes in magnitude and probability of extreme precipitation over China are investigated under those two global warming levels based on simulations from the Coupled Model Inter-Comparison Projects Phase 5. The focus is on the added changes due to the additional half a degree warming from 1.5 °C to 2 °C. Results show that regional average changes in the magnitude do not depend on the return periods with a relative increase around 7% and 11% at the 1.5 °C and 2 °C global warming levels, respectively. The additional half a degree global warming adds an additional increase in the magnitude by nearly 4%. The regional average changes in term of occurrence probabilities show dependence on the return periods, with rarer events (longer return periods) having larger increase of risk. For the 100-year historical event, the probability is projected to increase by a factor of 1.6 and 2.4 at the 1.5 °C and 2 °C global warming levels, respectively. The projected changes in extreme precipitation are independent of the RCP scenarios.}, } @article {pmid36659388, year = {2017}, author = {Wang, X and Jiang, D and Lang, X}, title = {Future extreme climate changes linked to global warming intensity.}, journal = {Science bulletin}, volume = {62}, number = {24}, pages = {1673-1680}, doi = {10.1016/j.scib.2017.11.004}, pmid = {36659388}, issn = {2095-9281}, abstract = {Based on the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 (CMIP5) daily dataset, we investigate changes of the terrestrial extreme climates given that the global mean temperature increases persistently under the Representative Concentration Pathways 8.5 (RCP8.5) scenario. Compared to preindustrial conditions, more statistically significant extreme temperatures, precipitations, and dry spells are expected in the 21st century. Cold extremes decrease and warm extremes increase in a warmer world, and cold extremes tend to be more sensitive to global warming than the warm ones. When the global mean temperature increases, cold nights, cold days, and warm nights all display nonlinear relationships with it, such as the weakening of the link projected after 3 °C global warming, while the other indices generally exhibit differently, with linear relationships. Additionally, the relative changes in the indices related to extreme precipitation show significantly consistent linear changes with the global warming magnitude. Compared with the precipitation extremes, changes in temperature extremes are more strongly related to the global mean temperature changes. For the projection of the extreme precipitation changes, models show higher uncertainty than that in extreme temperature changes, and the uncertainty for the precipitation extremes becomes more remarkable when the global warming exceeds 5 °C.}, } @article {pmid36657677, year = {2023}, author = {Filho, WL and Nagy, GJ and Setti, AFF and Sharifi, A and Donkor, FK and Batista, K and Djekic, I}, title = {Handling the impacts of climate change on soil biodiversity.}, journal = {The Science of the total environment}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {161671}, doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2023.161671}, pmid = {36657677}, issn = {1879-1026}, abstract = {Land as a whole, and soil, in particular, plays a critical function in the climate system. The various types of land use, especially agriculture and forestry, account for nearly a quarter of the greenhouse gas emissions. On the other hand, the world's soil is under pressure from many factors, including climate change and land use change. Increases in temperature, prolonged drought and floods put pressure on the soil. In order to contribute to a better understanding of these interactions, we conducted a review combining a narrative-focused approach, selecting examples worldwide, and a bibliometric analysis (VosViewer software). This review reports on a study that analyses how climate change and land use change may negatively influence soil biodiversity and related services. It also outlines some of the actions needed to increase the resilience of soil biodiversity in the context of a changing climate. Some key findings are: 1) Well-managed soils are critical for resilient production systems. 2) Integrated agricultural production systems have gained prominence as climate-resilient production systems. 3) Agricultural zoning may be a valuable tool in integrated systems to minimise the effects of climate change. However, it is vital to continuously monitor environmental variations so producers can be more prepared for climate change and extreme events. Finally, adequate water management is essential for soil functioning under climate change aggravating water scarcity. An intersectoral approach between critical sectors facilitates comprehensive water management.}, } @article {pmid36657672, year = {2023}, author = {Zhang, Y and An, CB and Zheng, LY and Liu, LY and Zhang, WS and Lu, C and Zhang, YZ}, title = {Assessment of lake area in response to climate change at varying elevations: A case study of Mt. Tianshan, Central Asia.}, journal = {The Science of the total environment}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {161665}, doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2023.161665}, pmid = {36657672}, issn = {1879-1026}, abstract = {Changes in lake area (water surface area) are often considered accurate and sensitive representations of climate change. However, the role that elevation plays in this dynamic is somewhat unclear; studies remain inconclusive as to whether lake responses are consistent across elevation gradients. Here, we used Landsat and keyhole satellite images to quantify lake area changes from the 1960s to 2020 at different elevations in Central Asia's Tianshan Mountains and relate them to both climatic and anthropogenic factors. The results revealed that all low-elevation lakes showed a decreasing trend, and the total area of all monitored low-elevation lakes was reduced by 18.50 %. The total area of the mid-elevation lakes decreased by 0.16 %, while the total area of the high-elevation glacial lakes increased by 4.35 %. Lakes are recharged by a variety of influxes including glacial meltwater and precipitation. Notably, human activities (urban and agricultural water consumption) were the dominant factors in the shrinkage of low-elevation lakes. Climatic factors were the main driving factors of mid-elevation lake changes, and these lakes appeared to be more sensitive to temperature changes than lakes at other elevations. In addition, significant warming dominated area changes in high-elevation proglacial and unconnected glacial lakes. Overall, those results emphasized that when using lakes to reconstruct paleoclimates or predict lake evolution, it is necessary to consider how elevation gradients and recharge types may affect lake sensitivity to variations in climatic and anthropogenic activity.}, } @article {pmid36657338, year = {2023}, author = {Snell, M and Baillie, A and Berrow, S and Deaville, R and Penrose, R and Perkins, M and Williams, R and Simmonds, MP}, title = {An investigation into the effects of climate change on baleen whale distribution in the British Isles.}, journal = {Marine pollution bulletin}, volume = {187}, number = {}, pages = {114565}, doi = {10.1016/j.marpolbul.2022.114565}, pmid = {36657338}, issn = {1879-3363}, abstract = {Climate change is predicted to impact the distribution of many marine species. In the North-East Atlantic and elsewhere in the world, studies indicate that climate change is leading to poleward shifts in cetacean distribution. Here, strandings data collected in the British Isles from 1990 to 2020 were used to assess whether there is evidence of a shift in baleen whale distribution. Linear regression models were used to compare the number of strandings over time between six regions of the British Isles and, whilst the results indicate no significant change in the number of strandings in the most southerly region of the British Isles, there have been significant increases in more northern regions. Data related to stranded minke whales is the primary driver of these increases, with a number of potential variables affecting this trend, including observer effort. These variables are discussed and further research to explore this potential association is suggested.}, } @article {pmid36657268, year = {2023}, author = {Réalis-Doyelle, E and Cottin, N and Daufresne, M and Naffrechoux, E and Reynaud, S and Guillard, J}, title = {Evolution of pace-of-life syndrome under conditions of maternal PCB contamination and global warming in early life stages of cold stenothermic fish (Arctic char).}, journal = {Aquatic toxicology (Amsterdam, Netherlands)}, volume = {255}, number = {}, pages = {106396}, doi = {10.1016/j.aquatox.2023.106396}, pmid = {36657268}, issn = {1879-1514}, abstract = {The end of the 20th century was characterised by rapid modifications of ecosystem functioning under different pressures (such as eutrophication and toxic pollution). Increasing temperatures in the context of global warming could have indirect consequences, such as increased bioavailability of hydrophobic organic pollutants amongst aquatic species. According to the "pace-of-life syndrome" (POLS) theory, these stressors could lead to covariations in many life traits. Lake Bourget is the largest natural lake in France and has been highly polluted from the fifties to the eighties both with a high load of nutrients (wastewater discharge) and polychlorinated biphenyls (PCBs) (industrial effluent discharge). Despite improvements in water quality since the 21st century, PCB levels are still higher than the United States Environmental Protection Agency cut-off for wildlife protection. The population of Arctic char, a cold stenothermic salmonid, has remained low in Lake Bourget for the last ten years despite restocking efforts and complete re-oligotrophication. We hypothesised that PCB pollution can affect the Arctic char population and that the increase in water temperature could magnify the effects of PCB. Thus, this study aimed to investigate the effects of maternal PCB contamination on offspring using a multiparametric and multiscale approach. Female Arctic char were contaminated with PCB before spawning, and each fertilised spawn was incubated at two temperatures (4 and 8.5 °C). The results showed that co-exposure to increased temperature and maternal PCB contamination influenced biodemographic, physiological, and behavioural parameters. The effects were highly dependant on the developmental stage. Based on the POLS theory, a continuum of life traits that may reflect potential physiological and behavioural modifications in response to these concurrent stressors is highlighted.}, } @article {pmid36657186, year = {2023}, author = {Wang, W}, title = {Integration of mathematical modeling of vegetation patterns with data and climate changes: Comments on "Impacts of climate change on vegetation pattern: Mathematical modeling and data analysis" by Gui-Quan Sun et al.}, journal = {Physics of life reviews}, volume = {44}, number = {}, pages = {148-149}, doi = {10.1016/j.plrev.2022.12.020}, pmid = {36657186}, issn = {1873-1457}, } @article {pmid36656483, year = {2023}, author = {Cao, Y and Qi, F and Cui, H and Yuan, M}, title = {Correction to: Knowledge domain and emerging trends of carbon footprint in the field of climate change and energy use: a bibliometric analysis.}, journal = {Environmental science and pollution research international}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, doi = {10.1007/s11356-023-25426-6}, pmid = {36656483}, issn = {1614-7499}, } @article {pmid36655296, year = {2023}, author = {Scanes, E and Byrne, M}, title = {Warming and hypoxia threatens a valuable scallop fishery; a warning for commercial bivalve ventures in climate change hotspots.}, journal = {Global change biology}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, doi = {10.1111/gcb.16606}, pmid = {36655296}, issn = {1365-2486}, abstract = {Marine molluscs constitute the second largest marine fishery and are often caught in coastal and estuarine habitats. Temperature is increasing in these habitats at a rate greater than predicted, especially in warming "hotspots". This warming is accompanied by hypoxia in a duo of stressors that threatens coastal mollusc fisheries and aquaculture. Collapses of the northern bay scallop (Argopecten irradians irradians) fisheries on the Atlantic coast of the USA are likely to be driven by rapid rates of coastal warming and may provide an ominous glimpse into the prospects of other coastal mollusc fisheries in climate warming hotspots.}, } @article {pmid36653604, year = {2023}, author = {}, title = {Global warming has reached the top of the Greenland ice sheet.}, journal = {Nature}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, pmid = {36653604}, issn = {1476-4687}, } @article {pmid36653418, year = {2023}, author = {Fajardo, J and Lessmann, J and Devenish, C and Bonaccorso, E and Felicísimo, ÁM and Rojas-Runjaic, FJM and Rojas, H and Lentino, M and Muñoz, J and Mateo, RG}, title = {The performance of protected-area expansions in representing tropical Andean species: past trends and climate change prospects.}, journal = {Scientific reports}, volume = {13}, number = {1}, pages = {966}, pmid = {36653418}, issn = {2045-2322}, abstract = {Protected area (PA) extent has increased significantly over the last 150 years globally, but it is yet unclear whether progress in expanding coverage has been accompanied by improved performance in ecological representation. Here, we explore temporal trends in the performance of PA networks in representing > 16,000 vertebrate and plant species in tropical Andean countries based on species bioclimatic niche modelling. We use a randomization analysis to assess whether representation gains over time (1937-2015) are the expected consequence of increasing the overall area of the network or the result of better designed networks. We also explore the impact of climate change on protected-area representation based on projected species distributions in 2070. We found that PAs added in the last three to four decades were better at representing species diversity than random additions overall. Threatened species, amphibians and reptiles are the exception. Species representation is projected to decrease across PAs under climate change, although PA expansions over the last decade (2006-2015) better represented species' future bioclimatic niches than did sites selected at random for most evaluated groups. These findings indicate an unbalanced representation across taxa, and raises concern over under-represented groups, including threatened species, and species' representation under climate change scenarios. However, they also suggest that decisions related to locating protected areas have become more strategic in recent decades and illustrate that indicators tracking representativeness of networks are crucial in PA monitoring frameworks.}, } @article {pmid36653254, year = {2023}, author = {Dentel, A and Koch, E}, title = {Keratitis due to global warming.}, journal = {Journal francais d'ophtalmologie}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, doi = {10.1016/j.jfo.2022.09.016}, pmid = {36653254}, issn = {1773-0597}, } @article {pmid36652937, year = {2023}, author = {Lachkar, S and Crombag, LMM and Musani, AI}, title = {How Interventional Pulmonologists Can Address Climate Change.}, journal = {Respiration; international review of thoracic diseases}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {1-4}, doi = {10.1159/000528764}, pmid = {36652937}, issn = {1423-0356}, } @article {pmid36652872, year = {2023}, author = {Rawson, T and Doohan, P and Hauck, K and Murray, KA and Ferguson, N}, title = {Climate change and communicable diseases in the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) countries.}, journal = {Epidemics}, volume = {42}, number = {}, pages = {100667}, doi = {10.1016/j.epidem.2023.100667}, pmid = {36652872}, issn = {1878-0067}, abstract = {A review of the extant literature reveals the extent to which the spread of communicable diseases will be significantly impacted by climate change. Specific research into how this will likely be observed in the countries of the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) is, however, greatly lacking. This report summarises the unique public health challenges faced by the GCC countries in the coming century, and outlines the need for greater investment in public health research and disease surveillance to better forecast the imminent epidemiological landscape. Significant data gaps currently exist regarding vector occurrence, spatial climate measures, and communicable disease case counts in the GCC - presenting an immediate research priority for the region. We outline policy work necessary to strengthen public health interventions, and to facilitate evidence-driven mitigation strategies. Such research will require a transdisciplinary approach, utilising existing cross-border public health initiatives, to ensure that such investigations are well-targeted and effectively communicated.}, } @article {pmid36652646, year = {2023}, author = {Levy, JI and Bowleg, L}, title = {New Frameworks for Engaging Communities to Confront HIV, COVID-19, and Climate Change Health Inequities.}, journal = {American journal of public health}, volume = {113}, number = {2}, pages = {175-176}, doi = {10.2105/AJPH.2022.307188}, pmid = {36652646}, issn = {1541-0048}, } @article {pmid36654138, year = {2021}, author = {Christidis, N and Stott, PA}, title = {The influence of anthropogenic climate change on wet and dry summers in Europe.}, journal = {Science bulletin}, volume = {66}, number = {8}, pages = {813-823}, doi = {10.1016/j.scib.2021.01.020}, pmid = {36654138}, issn = {2095-9281}, abstract = {Understanding the role of anthropogenic forcings in regional hydrological changes can help communities plan their adaptation in an informed manner. Here we apply attribution research methods to investigate the effect of human influence on historical trends in wet and dry summers and changes in the likelihood of extreme events in Europe. We employ an ensemble of new climate models and compare experiments with and without the effect of human influence to assess the anthropogenic contribution. Future changes are also analysed with projections to year 2100. We employ two drought indices defined relative to the pre-industrial climate: one driven by changes in rainfall only and one that also includes the effect of temperature via changes in potential evapotranspiration. Both indices suggest significant changes in European summers have already emerged above variability and are expected to intensify in the future, leading to widespread dryer conditions which are more extreme in the south. When only the effect of rainfall is considered, there is a distinct contrast between a shift towards wetter conditions in the north and dryer in the south of the continent, as well as an overall increase in variability. However, when the effect of warming is also included, it largely masks the wet trends in the north, resulting in increasingly drier summers across most of the continent. Historical index trends are already detected in the observations, while models suggest that what were extremely dry conditions in the pre-industrial climate will become normal in the south by the end of the century.}, } @article {pmid36652298, year = {2023}, author = {Meza, F and Darbyshire, R and Farrell, A and Lakso, A and Lawson, J and Meinke, H and Nelson, G and Stockle, C}, title = {Assessing temperature-based adaptation limits to climate change of temperate perennial fruit crops.}, journal = {Global change biology}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, doi = {10.1111/gcb.16601}, pmid = {36652298}, issn = {1365-2486}, abstract = {Temperate perennial fruit and nut trees play varying roles in world food diversity - providing edible oils and micronutrient, energy, and protein dense foods. In addition, perennials reuse significant amounts of biomass each year providing a unique resilience. But they also have a unique sensitivity to seasonal temperatures, requiring a period of dormancy for successful growing-season production. This paper takes a global view of five temperate tree fruit crops - apples, cherries, almonds, olives, and grapes - and assesses the effects of future temperature changes on thermal suitability. It uses climate data from five earth system models for two CMIP6 climate scenarios, develops temperature related indices of stress indicating potential future areas where crops cannot be grown and highlighting potential new suitable regions. The loss of currently suitable areas and new additions in new locations varies by scenario. In the southern hemisphere (SH), end century (2081-2100) suitable areas under the SSP 5-8.5 scenario decline by more than 40% compared to a recent historical period (1991-2010). In the northern hemisphere (NH) suitability increases by 20% to almost 60%. With SSP1-2.6, however, the changes are much smaller with SH area declining by about 25% and NH increasing by about 10%. The results suggest substantial restructuring of global production for these crops. Essentially, climate change shifts temperature-suitable locations towards higher latitudes. In the SH, most of the historically recent suitable areas were already at the southern end of the landmass limiting opportunities for adaptation. If breeding efforts can bring chilling requirements for the major cultivars closer to that currently seen in some cultivars, suitable areas at the end of the century are greater, but higher summer temperatures offset the extent. The high value of fruit crops provides adaptation opportunities such as cultivar selection, canopy cooling using sprinklers, shade netting, and precision irrigation.}, } @article {pmid36652233, year = {2023}, author = {Grunst, AS and Grunst, ML and Grémillet, D and Kato, A and Bustamante, P and Albert, C and Brisson-Curadeau, É and Clairbaux, M and Cruz-Flores, M and Gentès, S and Perret, S and Ste-Marie, E and Wojczulanis-Jakubas, K and Fort, J}, title = {Mercury Contamination Challenges the Behavioral Response of a Keystone Species to Arctic Climate Change.}, journal = {Environmental science & technology}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, doi = {10.1021/acs.est.2c08893}, pmid = {36652233}, issn = {1520-5851}, abstract = {Combined effects of multiple, climate change-associated stressors are of mounting concern, especially in Arctic ecosystems. Elevated mercury (Hg) exposure in Arctic animals could affect behavioral responses to changes in foraging landscapes caused by climate change, generating interactive effects on behavior and population resilience. We investigated this hypothesis in little auks (Alle alle), a keystone Arctic seabird. We compiled behavioral data for 44 birds across 5 years using accelerometers while also quantifying blood Hg and environmental conditions. Warm sea surface temperature (SST) and low sea ice coverage reshaped time activity budgets (TABs) and diving patterns, causing decreased resting, increased flight, and longer dives. Mercury contamination was not associated with TABs. However, highly contaminated birds lengthened interdive breaks when making long dives, suggesting Hg-induced physiological limitations. As dive durations increased with warm SST, subtle toxicological effects threaten to increasingly constrain diving and foraging efficiency as climate change progresses, with ecosystem-wide repercussions.}, } @article {pmid36652002, year = {2023}, author = {Hájková, L and Možný, M and Oušková, V and Musilová, A and Vlach, V and Dížková, P and Bartošová, L and Žalud, Z}, title = {Common snowdrop as a climate change bioindicator in Czechia.}, journal = {International journal of biometeorology}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, pmid = {36652002}, issn = {1432-1254}, abstract = {The phenological response to climate change differs among species. We examined the beginning of flowering of the common snowdrop (Galanthus nivalis) in connection with meteorological variables in Czechia in the period 1923-2021. The long-term series were analyzed from phenological and meteorological stations of the Czech Hydrometeorological Institute (CHMI). Temporal and spatial evaluation (using Geographic Information System) in timing of beginning of flowering (BBCH 61) of G. nivalis was investigated under urban and rural settings. Furthermore, the detailed analysis of selected meteorological variables to onset of G. nivalis flowering was performed. Moreover, the trends (using Mann-Kendall test) and Pearson's correlation coefficients between phenological phase and meteorological variable were calculated. The main finding of this study was that the trend of the beginning of flowering of the common snowdrop during the studied period (1923-2021) is negative, and it varies in urban and rural environments. The results showed most significant acceleration of the beginning of flowering of G. nivalis by - 0.20 day year[-1] in urban area and by - 0.11 day year[-1] in rural area. Above that, a major turning point occurred between 1987 and 1988 (both, in phenological observations and meteorological variables), and the variability of the beginning of flowering is significantly higher in the second period 1988-2021. On top of, the study proved that the beginning of flowering of G. nivalis closely correlated with number of days with snow cover above 1 cm (December-March) at both types of stations (urban and rural), and with mean air temperature in February, maximum air temperature in January, and minimum air temperature in March. The Mann-Kendall test showed a reduction in the number of days with snow cover above 1 cm (December-March) during 99 years period at Klatovy station (a long-term time series) by - 0.06 day year[-1], i.e., by - 5.94 days per the whole period. Conversely, air temperatures increase (maximum and minimum air temperature by 0.03 °C year[-1] (2.97 °C per the whole period) and average air temperature by 0.02 °C year[-1] (1.98 °C per the whole period)). Thus, our results indicate significant changes in the beginning of flowering of G. nivalis in Czechia as a consequence of climate change.}, } @article {pmid36649426, year = {2023}, author = {Robbins Schug, G and Buikstra, JE and DeWitte, SN and Baker, BJ and Berger, E and Buzon, MR and Davies-Barrett, AM and Goldstein, L and Grauer, AL and Gregoricka, LA and Halcrow, SE and Knudson, KJ and Larsen, CS and Martin, DL and Nystrom, KC and Perry, MA and Roberts, CA and Santos, AL and Stojanowski, CM and Suby, JA and Temple, DH and Tung, TA and Vlok, M and Watson-Glen, T and Zakrzewski, SR}, title = {Climate change, human health, and resilience in the Holocene.}, journal = {Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America}, volume = {120}, number = {4}, pages = {e2209472120}, doi = {10.1073/pnas.2209472120}, pmid = {36649426}, issn = {1091-6490}, abstract = {Climate change is an indisputable threat to human health, especially for societies already confronted with rising social inequality, political and economic uncertainty, and a cascade of concurrent environmental challenges. Archaeological data about past climate and environment provide an important source of evidence about the potential challenges humans face and the long-term outcomes of alternative short-term adaptive strategies. Evidence from well-dated archaeological human skeletons and mummified remains speaks directly to patterns of human health over time through changing circumstances. Here, we describe variation in human epidemiological patterns in the context of past rapid climate change (RCC) events and other periods of past environmental change. Case studies confirm that human communities responded to environmental changes in diverse ways depending on historical, sociocultural, and biological contingencies. Certain factors, such as social inequality and disproportionate access to resources in large, complex societies may influence the probability of major sociopolitical disruptions and reorganizations-commonly known as "collapse." This survey of Holocene human-environmental relations demonstrates how flexibility, variation, and maintenance of Indigenous knowledge can be mitigating factors in the face of environmental challenges. Although contemporary climate change is more rapid and of greater magnitude than the RCC events and other environmental changes we discuss here, these lessons from the past provide clarity about potential priorities for equitable, sustainable development and the constraints of modernity we must address.}, } @article {pmid36649076, year = {2023}, author = {Woodruff, TJ and Charlesworth, A and Zlatnik, MG and Pandipati, S and DeNicola, N and Latif, I}, title = {Code OB: We need urgent action on climate change and toxic chemicals.}, journal = {International journal of gynaecology and obstetrics: the official organ of the International Federation of Gynaecology and Obstetrics}, volume = {160}, number = {2}, pages = {363-365}, doi = {10.1002/ijgo.14566}, pmid = {36649076}, issn = {1879-3479}, } @article {pmid36648733, year = {2023}, author = {Shah, MI and Khan, Z and Moise, ML and Abbas, S}, title = {Correction to: Tourism adaptability amid the climate change and air pollution in BRICS: a method of moments quantile regression approach.}, journal = {Environmental science and pollution research international}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, doi = {10.1007/s11356-023-25364-3}, pmid = {36648733}, issn = {1614-7499}, } @article {pmid36647584, year = {2023}, author = {Walinski, A and Sander, J and Gerlinger, G and Clemens, V and Meyer-Lindenberg, A and Heinz, A}, title = {The Effects of Climate Change on Mental Health.}, journal = {Deutsches Arzteblatt international}, volume = {}, number = {Forthcoming}, pages = {}, doi = {10.3238/arztebl.m2022.0403}, pmid = {36647584}, issn = {1866-0452}, abstract = {BACKGROUND: All over the world, climate change is exerting negative and complex effects on human living conditions and health. In this narrative review, we summarize the current global evidence regarding the effects of climate change on mental health.

METHODS: A systematic literature search concerning the direct effects of acute extreme weather events (floods, storms, fires) and chronic stresses (heat, drought) due to climate change, as well as the indirect effects of climate change (food insecurity, migration), on the diagnoses of mental disorders, psychological distress, and psychiatric emergency admissions was carried out in PubMed and PsychInfo, and supplemented by expert selection. 1017 studies were identified, and 128 were included.

RESULTS: The heterogeneity of study methods does not permit any overall estimate of effect strength. The available evidence shows that traumatic experiences due to extreme weather events increase the risk of affective and anxiety disorders, especially the risk of post-traumatic stress disorder. Heat significantly increases the morbidity and mortality attributable to mental illness, as well as the frequency of psychiatric emergencies. Persistent stressors such as drought, food insecurity, and migration owing to climate change can also be major risk factors for mental illness.

CONCLUSION: The consequences of climate change are stress factors for mental health. Therefore, as global warming progresses, an increasing incidence and prevalence of mental illness is to be expected. Vulnerable groups, such as the (already) mentally ill, children, and adolescents, need to be protected. At the same time, there is a need for further systematic research on the mechanisms of action and effects of climate change on mental function.}, } @article {pmid36646454, year = {2023}, author = {Ortega Chamorro, LC and Cañón Barriga, JE}, title = {Urban risks due to climate change in the Andean municipality of Pasto, Colombia: A Bayesian network approach.}, journal = {Risk analysis : an official publication of the Society for Risk Analysis}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, doi = {10.1111/risa.14086}, pmid = {36646454}, issn = {1539-6924}, abstract = {The current trends of climate change will increase people's exposure to urban risks related to events such as landslides, floods, forest fires, food production, health, and water availability, which are stochastic and very localized in nature. This research uses a Bayesian network (BN) approach to analyze the intensity of such urban risks for the Andean municipality of Pasto, Colombia, under climate change scenarios. The stochastic BN model is linked to correlational models and local scenarios of representative concentration trajectories (RCP) to project the possible risks to which the municipality of Pasto will be exposed in the future. The results show significant risks in crop yields, food security, water availability and disaster risks, but no significant risks on the incidence of acute diarrheal diseases (ADD) and acute respiratory infections (ARI), whereas positive outcomes are likely to occur in livestock production, influenced by population growth. The advantage of the BN approach is the possibility of updating beliefs in the probabilities of occurrence of events, especially in developing, intermediate cities with information-limited contexts.}, } @article {pmid36646218, year = {2023}, author = {Guo, L and Lin, W and Cao, C and Li, C}, title = {Integrated rice-crayfish farming system does not mitigate the global warming potential during rice season.}, journal = {The Science of the total environment}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {161520}, doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2023.161520}, pmid = {36646218}, issn = {1879-1026}, abstract = {Integrated rice-crayfish farming system (RCS) has become increasingly popular in China. However, previous research has largely ignored the effect of trench around the paddy field on GHG emissions, which may cause inaccurate estimation of the global warming potential (GWP) from the system. This study compared the GWP between rice monoculture (RM) and RCS. The results indicated that the field of RCS had significantly lower CH4 emissions compared with RM due to lower mcrA abundance and higher pmoA abundance, while there was no difference in N2O emissions. In addition, the trench resulted in remarkably more CH4 emissions due to higher mcrA abundance and lower pmoA abundance and less N2O emissions than the field in RCS. In general, RCS seems not to mitigate GWP compared with RM due to more CH4 emissions from the trench in the current mode. Furthermore, our results indicate that RCS can reduce GWP relative to RM only when the area ratio of the trench to the system is controlled to be lower than 13.9 %.}, } @article {pmid36645797, year = {2022}, author = {Zielinski, C and , }, title = {COP27 climate change conference: urgent action needed for Africa and the world.}, journal = {BMJ paediatrics open}, volume = {6}, number = {1}, pages = {}, doi = {10.1136/bmjpo-2022-001711}, pmid = {36645797}, issn = {2399-9772}, } @article {pmid36645589, year = {2023}, author = {Ahmed, N and Padda, IUH and Khan, A and Otil, MD and Cismas, LM and Miculescu, A and Rehman, A}, title = {Climate change adaption strategies in urban communities: new evidence from Islamabad, Pakistan.}, journal = {Environmental science and pollution research international}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, pmid = {36645589}, issn = {1614-7499}, abstract = {Pakistan is urbanizing at the fastest pace in South Asia, and if left unplanned, it will not only reduce adaptive capacity of its residents rather it will be a chaos for its residents. The aim of this study is to answer the question on how urbanites of Pakistan are coping with climate change and which part of the society required support to cope with changing climate? To answer this questions, this study conducted survey through a structured questionnaire, from the urban residents of Islamabad, to explore their coping mechanisms towards climate change. Survey collected information on demographic, social, economic, and physical aspects, using Hackman's Treatment effect model. The sample selection equation is conditional on the adaptations to climate change in the outcome equation. Main independent variables are income, age, education, and occupation. Selection equation is based on perceptions of individuals about climate change which contains dependent variables of changes in temperature of summers and winters, changes in rain fall pattern, fog, hailstorm, and information received from social media and peer groups. With the result of 57.55, the Wald test shows that overall, there exists goodness of fit at the 99 percent confidence level. The value of rho in the Heckman model is 0.40 which implies the Heckman model provides more consistent and more efficient estimates. The results are suggesting that increasing age enhances the likelihood of adaptations as the positive and significant coefficient of age implies that age has probability to adapt to climate change. The positive and significant coefficient of income, education, and occupation implies that urbanites have higher probability to adapt to climate change. Perception is the essential foundation of adaptation, and differences in perception can be transferred to the adapted strategies. Households that experience a greater variation in annual mean temperature are more likely to adopt any adaptation strategy to cope with climate change. Essentially, poverty encompasses the majority of the characteristics that reduce respondents' adaptation capacity and increase their susceptibility to climate change. The major contextual disparities were discovered across union councils in the form of financial, personal, social, physical, and natural capitals of families. Therefore, obligation is on government to offer greater support for individuals who are less affluent in terms of these assets. For this city, officials must offer subsidy schemes to less privileged and marginalized people of urban dwellers to enhance their adaptive capacity.}, } @article {pmid36645233, year = {2023}, author = {Tedeschi, LO and Beauchemin, KA}, title = {GALYEAN APPRECIATION CLUB REVIEW: A holistic perspective of the societal relevance of beef production and its impacts on climate change.}, journal = {Journal of animal science}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, doi = {10.1093/jas/skad024}, pmid = {36645233}, issn = {1525-3163}, abstract = {This paper provides a data-driven perspective on the relevance of the beef herd in the U.S. to our society and greenhouse gas (GHG) contribution to climate change. Cattle operations are subject to criticism for their environmental burden, often based on incomplete information disseminated about their social, economic, nutritional, and ecological benefits and detriments. The 2019 data published by the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency reported that U.S. beef cattle emitted 22.6% of the total agricultural emissions, representing about 2.2% of the total anthropogenic emissions of CO2 equivalent (CO2e). Simulations from a computer model developed to address global energy and climate challenges, set to use extreme improvements in livestock and crop production systems, indicated a potential reduction in global CO2e emissions of 4.6% but without significant enhancement in the temperature change by 2030. There are many natural and anthropogenic sources of CH4 emissions. Contrary to the increased contribution of peatlands and water reservoirs to atmospheric CO2e, the steady decrease in the U.S. cattle population is estimated to have reduced its methane (CH4) emissions by about 30% from 1975 to 2021. This CH4 emission deacceleration of 2.46 Mt CO2e/yr 2 might be even more significant than reported. Many opportunities exist to mitigate CH4 emissions of beef production, leading to a realistic prospect of a 5% to 15% reduction in the short term after considering the overlapping impacts of combined strategies. Reduction strategies include feeding synthetic chemicals that inactivate the methyl-coenzyme M reductase (the enzyme that catalyzes the last step of methanogenesis in the rumen), red seaweed or algae extracts, ionophore antibiotics, phytochemicals (e.g., condensed tannins and essential oils), and other manipulations. The proposed net-zero concept might not solve the global warming problem because it will only balance future anthropogenic GHG emissions with anthropogenic removals, leaving global warming on a standby state. Recommendations for consuming red meat products should consider human nutrition, health, and disease and remain independent of controversial evidence of causational relationships with perceived negative environmental impacts of beef production that are not based on scientific data.}, } @article {pmid36644909, year = {2023}, author = {Naylor, RL}, title = {The Bryson synthesis: The forging of climate change narratives during the World Food Crisis.}, journal = {Science in context}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {1-17}, doi = {10.1017/S0269889722000266}, pmid = {36644909}, issn = {0269-8897}, abstract = {During the first half of the 1970s, climate research gained a new significance and began to be perceived within political and academic circles as being worthy of public support. Conventional explanations for this increased status include a series of climate anomalies that generated awareness and heightened concern over the potentially devastating effects of climate change. Controversial climatologist Reid Bryson was one of the first to publicly promote what he saw as a definitive link between these climate anomalies and unidirectional climate change in the fall of 1973, and rising food prices in the same year gave him a platform on which to air his views to receptive senior members of the US Congress. Bryson's testimony before a US Senate subcommittee offers a unique glimpse into how he was able to successfully resonate his agenda with that of senior politicians in a time of crisis, as well as the immediate responses of those senior US politicians upon first hearing climate change arguments. Bryson was one of the most prominent US climatologists to break a taboo against making bold climatological predictions and de-facto policy recommendations in public. As a result, although Bryson was criticized by many in the climatological community, his actions instigated the involvement of other scientists in the public arena, leading to an important elevation in US public climate discourse.}, } @article {pmid36643289, year = {2023}, author = {Zummo, L}, title = {Climate Change and the Social World: Discourse Analysis of Students' Intuitive Understandings.}, journal = {Science & education}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {1-20}, pmid = {36643289}, issn = {0926-7220}, abstract = {With the continued unfolding of major climatic shifts, questions continue to emerge about how to approach climate change in the science classroom, at least in the USA where it is often perceived as socio-politically controversial. Broadly, research in science education has shown that the learning process around climate change is highly complex and variable, and our understanding of it remains emergent. This study argues that when designing learning experiences for issues like climate change, we must consider students' prior knowledge of the social world. Using ideology as a theoretical lens, this study then examines discourse data of several classroom elicitation discussions in two sections of a 9th grade US classroom to clarify what intuitive understandings of the social world and assumptions students bring to their classroom learning about climate change. Moment-by-moment discourse analysis shows the emergence of assumptions of a sharply divided social world and the making material of an ideology that reflects these divisions. This study considers implications for such prior knowledge on scientific sensemaking and offers implications for science teaching and future research.}, } @article {pmid36639925, year = {2023}, author = {Kam, S and Hwang, BJ and Parker, ER}, title = {The impact of climate change on atopic dermatitis and mental health comorbidities: a review of the literature and examination of intersectionality.}, journal = {International journal of dermatology}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, doi = {10.1111/ijd.16557}, pmid = {36639925}, issn = {1365-4632}, abstract = {Climate change, fueled by increasing concentrations of greenhouse gases, is associated with rising temperatures, extreme weather events, increased aeroallergen production, and air pollution. Our understanding that many inflammatory cutaneous diseases carry important mental health comorbidities is expanding. Simultaneously, the detrimental impacts of climate change on human health are now widely recognized as a global public health crisis. Importantly, these climate-associated phenomena exacerbate the environmental triggers of atopic dermatitis (AD) and are also associated with amplification of comorbid mental health conditions in AD including depression, anxiety, trauma-related disorders, and psychotic spectrum disorders. This review is the first to examine the nexus of climate change, atopic dermatitis, and mental health comorbidities and emphasizes the disproportionate impacts of climate change in vulnerable and marginalized populations.}, } @article {pmid36639376, year = {2023}, author = {Ma, L and Conradie, SR and Crawford, CL and Gardner, AS and Kearney, MR and Maclean, IMD and McKechnie, AE and Mi, CR and Senior, RA and Wilcove, DS}, title = {Global patterns of climate change impacts on desert bird communities.}, journal = {Nature communications}, volume = {14}, number = {1}, pages = {211}, pmid = {36639376}, issn = {2041-1723}, abstract = {The world's warm deserts are predicted to experience disproportionately large temperature increases due to climate change, yet the impacts on global desert biodiversity remain poorly understood. Because species in warm deserts live close to their physiological limits, additional warming may induce local extinctions. Here, we combine climate change projections with biophysical models and species distributions to predict physiological impacts of climate change on desert birds globally. Our results show heterogeneous impacts between and within warm deserts. Moreover, spatial patterns of physiological impacts do not simply mirror air temperature changes. Climate change refugia, defined as warm desert areas with high avian diversity and low predicted physiological impacts, are predicted to persist in varying extents in different desert realms. Only a small proportion (<20%) of refugia fall within existing protected areas. Our analysis highlights the need to increase protection of refugial areas within the world's warm deserts to protect species from climate change.}, } @article {pmid36638213, year = {2023}, author = {Guzman, J and Joohyun Oh, J and Sen, A}, title = {Climate change framing and innovator attention: Evidence from an email field experiment.}, journal = {Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America}, volume = {120}, number = {3}, pages = {e2213627120}, doi = {10.1073/pnas.2213627120}, pmid = {36638213}, issn = {1091-6490}, abstract = {Drawing the attention of innovators to climate change is important for green innovation. We report an email field experiment with MIT using messages about the impact of climate change to invite innovators (SBIR grantees) to apply to a technology competition. We vary our messages on the time frame and scale of the human cost of climate change across scientifically valid scenarios. Innovator attention (clicks) is sensitive to climate change messaging. These changes in clicks also predict higher application rates. The response varies by individual characteristics such as location-based exposure to climate change risks and whether innovators have climate-related innovations. Finally, using a structural model of innovator attention, we provide estimates of the implied discount rate of time and the elasticity of attention to lives at stake.}, } @article {pmid36634777, year = {2023}, author = {Zhang, M and Schwarz, C and Lin, W and Naing, H and Cai, H and Zhu, Z}, title = {A new perspective on the impacts of Spartina alterniflora invasion on Chinese wetlands in the context of climate change: A case study of the Jiuduansha Shoals, Yangtze Estuary.}, journal = {The Science of the total environment}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {161477}, doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2023.161477}, pmid = {36634777}, issn = {1879-1026}, abstract = {Spartina alterniflora, an invasive plant, was introduced to the Chinese coastal zone in the early 90s. As an eco-engineering species, S. alterniflora not only alters saltmarsh species distributions, previously described as habitat degradation, but it also plays a vital role in coastal protection, especially for the development of recently emerged intertidal shoals. To provide a reference for coastal management under global change, we quantified the impact of the invasion process on provided ecological and coastal protection functions, exemplified at the emerging Jiuduansha Shoals (JDS) in the Yangtze Estuary. Results obtained by high-precision satellite monitoring and numerical modelling showed that the establishment and growth of S. alterniflora can exert considerable changes on local environment. The invasion of S. alterniflora to JDS wetland can be divided into three distinct phases, (1) establishment 1998-2003, (2) expansion 2003-2009, and (3) dominant 2009-2018 stages according to the changes in saltmarsh composition. Spatially, S. alterniflora continuously replaced Scirpus mariqueter, forcing S. mariqueter and Phragmites australis slowly to the lower and higher intertidal habitats, respectively. Notably, S. alterniflora expansion was the main driver that contributed to over 70 % of recent JDS wetland expansion even under sediment deficit conditions. Established S. alterniflora marsh (directly) dampens more waves because of aboveground stems, but it also causes more accretion and indirectly leads to higher "morphological" wave dampening. Thus, it increases coastal defense provided by the saltmarsh in the context of sea-level rise and strengthening storms. In conclusion, the role of S. alterniflora invasion to the local environment under global changes is controversial. For sustainable coastal management, we need context-dependent S. alterniflora management to maximize the benefit of coastal protection and minimize the impact on local ecology, especially in sediment-starving estuaries with expected coastline retreat.}, } @article {pmid36634558, year = {2023}, author = {Zhang, L and Shen, C and Xue, SJ and Xu, C}, title = {From regular to irregular: Unveiling climate change imprints from vegetation patterns: Comment on "Impacts of climate change on vegetation pattern: Mathematical modelling and data analysis" by Sun et al.}, journal = {Physics of life reviews}, volume = {44}, number = {}, pages = {119-121}, doi = {10.1016/j.plrev.2022.12.022}, pmid = {36634558}, issn = {1873-1457}, } @article {pmid36634176, year = {2023}, author = {Supran, G and Rahmstorf, S and Oreskes, N}, title = {Assessing ExxonMobil's global warming projections.}, journal = {Science (New York, N.Y.)}, volume = {379}, number = {6628}, pages = {eabk0063}, doi = {10.1126/science.abk0063}, pmid = {36634176}, issn = {1095-9203}, abstract = {Climate projections by the fossil fuel industry have never been assessed. On the basis of company records, we quantitatively evaluated all available global warming projections documented by-and in many cases modeled by-Exxon and ExxonMobil Corp scientists between 1977 and 2003. We find that most of their projections accurately forecast warming that is consistent with subsequent observations. Their projections were also consistent with, and at least as skillful as, those of independent academic and government models. Exxon and ExxonMobil Corp also correctly rejected the prospect of a coming ice age, accurately predicted when human-caused global warming would first be detected, and reasonably estimated the "carbon budget" for holding warming below 2°C. On each of these points, however, the company's public statements about climate science contradicted its own scientific data.}, } @article {pmid36633633, year = {2023}, author = {Niebel, D and Hofmann, SC and Saha, S}, title = {[Development of strategies for climate change mitigation and adaptation is an urgent task for dermatology].}, journal = {Dermatologie (Heidelberg, Germany)}, volume = {74}, number = {1}, pages = {1-2}, pmid = {36633633}, issn = {2731-7013}, } @article {pmid36631297, year = {2023}, author = {Cook, C and Magan, N and Robinson-Boyer, L and Xu, X}, title = {Effect on microbial communities in apple orchard soil when exposed short-term to climate change abiotic factors and different orchard management practices.}, journal = {Journal of applied microbiology}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, doi = {10.1093/jambio/lxad002}, pmid = {36631297}, issn = {1365-2672}, abstract = {AIM: We assessed the effect of exposing apple orchard soil to different temperatures and CO2 levels on the resident microbiome of soils from a conventionally managed and an organically managed apple orchard. The key difference between these two orchards was that synthetic fertilizers and pesticides are routinely used in the former one.

METHODS AND RESULTS: To investigate the effect of CO2 and temperature soil samples from each site at two depths were exposed to elevated temperature (29°C) at either 5,000 or 10,000 ppm for 5 weeks or control conditions (25°C + 400 ppm). Both bacterial and fungal communities were profiled with amplicon-sequencing. The differences between the two orchards were the most significant factor affecting bacterial and fungal communities contributing to 53.7% and 14.0% of variance in Bray-Curtis β diversity respectively. Elevated CO2 concentration and increased temperature affected organic orchard microbial diversity more than the conventionally managed orchard. A number of candidate beneficial and pathogenic microorganisms had differential abundance when temperature and CO2 were elevated, but their effect on the plant is unclear.

CONCLUSIONS: This study has highlighted that microbial communities in bulk soils are most significantly influenced by crop management practice compared to the climate conditions used in the study. The studied climate conditions had a more limited effect on microbial communitiy diversity in conventionally managed soil samples than in organically managed soils.}, } @article {pmid36630170, year = {2023}, author = {Diallo, T and Bérubé, A and Roberge, M and Audate, PP and Larente-Marcotte, S and Jobin, É and Moubarak, N and Guillaumie, L and Dupéré, S and Guichard, A and Goupil-Sormany, I}, title = {Nurses' Perceptions of Climate Change: Protocol for a Scoping Review.}, journal = {JMIR research protocols}, volume = {12}, number = {}, pages = {e42516}, doi = {10.2196/42516}, pmid = {36630170}, issn = {1929-0748}, abstract = {BACKGROUND: Climate change is a major threat to human health. Nurses are in contact with patients suffering from the effects of climate change in their daily work. Therefore, they need to be involved in combating it at both the individual and collective levels. However, there is still very little known about nurses' perception of climate change and their role toward it. A few recent studies have embarked on the process of examining the perceptions of these health professionals relative to climate change, but no exploratory review of the literature has been conducted on nurses' perception of this phenomenon.

OBJECTIVE: The purpose of this protocol is to develop a research strategy for an exploratory review of the literature focused on identifying nurses' perceptions of climate change.

METHODS: Firstly, with the help of a specialized librarian, we defined keywords and their combinations, using an iterative process, to develop a documentary search strategy. This strategy was tested in the following four bibliographic databases: MEDLINE (PubMed), CINAHL, Embase, and Web of Science. A search of the grey literature will also be conducted to supplement the results of the bibliographic database search. The next step will be for 2 members of the research team to carry out a 2-stage selection process using the web-based systematic review software Covidence. They will carry out this selection process independently, with the aim of identifying relevant studies that meet the inclusion criteria for our exploratory review. Finally, data on year of publication, authors, geographic area, article type, study objectives, methodology, and key findings will be extracted from selected articles for analysis. The data will be analyzed by the research team based on an in-depth examination of the findings and will be directed toward answering the research question and fulfilling the study's objective.

RESULTS: The results will help in defining nurses' perceptions of climate change more clearly as well as the role they can play and what they need to be able to bring forward solutions to this phenomenon. The findings should also serve to guide the health sector and nursing faculty's interventions aimed at preparing health professionals to act on the potential threats associated with climate change.

CONCLUSIONS: The preliminary search suggests a possible gap between the importance of the nursing role in addressing the health impacts of climate change and the nurses' lack of knowledge and awareness on this matter. The results will allow for raising nurses' awareness of their role in the fight against climate change and the ways to address its health effects. This study will also open up new research perspectives on how to equip nurses to better integrate response to climate change issues into their professional practice.

DERR1-10.2196/42516.}, } @article {pmid36628376, year = {2022}, author = {Atwoli, L and Erhabor, GE and Gbakima, AA and Haileamlak, A and Kayembe Ntumba, JM and Kigera, J and Laybourn-Langton, L and Mash, B and Muhia, J and Mavis Mulaudzi, F and Ofori-Adjei, D and Okonofua, F and Rashidian, A and Sidibé, S and Snouber, A and Tumwine, J and Sahar Yassien, M and Yonga, P and Zakhama, L and Zielinski, C}, title = {COP27 Climate Change Conference: Urgent action needed for Africa and the World.}, journal = {Alpha psychiatry}, volume = {23}, number = {6}, pages = {266-267}, pmid = {36628376}, issn = {2757-8038}, } @article {pmid36626991, year = {2023}, author = {Le Hen, G and Balzani, P and Haase, P and Kouba, A and Liu, C and Nagelkerke, LAJ and Theissen, N and Renault, D and Soto, I and Haubrock, PJ}, title = {Alien species and climate change drive shifts in a riverine fish community and trait compositions over 35 years.}, journal = {The Science of the total environment}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {161486}, doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2023.161486}, pmid = {36626991}, issn = {1879-1026}, abstract = {Alien fish substantially impact aquatic communities. However, their effects on trait composition remain poorly understood, especially at large spatiotemporal scales. Here, we used long-term biomonitoring data (1984-2018) from 31 fish communities of the Rhine river in Germany to investigate compositional and functional changes over time. Average total community richness increased by 49 %: it was stable until 2004, then declined until 2010, before increasing until 2018. Average abundance decreased by 9 %. Starting from 198 individuals/m[2] in 1984 abundance largely declined to 23 individuals/m[2] in 2010 (-88 %), and then consequently increased by 678 % up to 180 individuals/m[2] until 2018. Increases in abundance and richness starting around 2010 were mainly driven by the establishment of alien species: while alien species represented 5 % of all species and 0.1 % of total individuals in 1993, it increased to 30 % (7 species) and 32 % of individuals in 2018. Concomitant to the increase in alien species, average native species richness and abundance declined by 26 % and 50 % respectively. We identified increases in temperature, precipitation, abundance and richness of alien fish driving compositional changes after 2010. To get more insights on the impacts of alien species on fish communities, we used 12 biological and 13 ecological traits to compute four trait metrics each. Ecological trait dispersion increased before 2010, probably due to diminishing ecologically similar native species. No changes in trait metrics were measured after 2010, albeit relative shares of expressed trait modalities significantly changing. The observed shift in trait modalities suggested the introduction of new species carrying similar and novel trait modalities. Our results revealed significant changes in taxonomic and trait compositions following alien fish introductions and climatic change. To conclude, our analyses show taxonomic and functional changes in the Rhine river over 35 years, likely indicative of future changes in ecosystem services.}, } @article {pmid36626136, year = {2023}, author = {Yuan, S and Shi, Y and Zhou, BF and Liang, YY and Chen, XY and An, QQ and Fan, YR and Shen, Z and Ingvarsson, PK and Wang, B}, title = {Genomic vulnerability to climate change in Quercus acutissima, a dominant tree species in East Asian deciduous forests.}, journal = {Molecular ecology}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, doi = {10.1111/mec.16843}, pmid = {36626136}, issn = {1365-294X}, abstract = {Understanding the evolutionary processes that shape the landscape of genetic variation and influence the response of species to future climate change is critical for biodiversity conservation. Here, we sampled 27 populations across the distribution range of a dominant forest tree, Quercus acutissima, in East Asia, and applied genome-wide analyses to track the evolutionary history and predict the fate of populations under future climate. We found two genetic groups (East and West) in Q. acutissima that diverged during Pliocene. We also found a heterogeneous landscape of genomic variation in this species, which may have been shaped by population demography and linked selections. Using genotype-environment association analyses, we identified climate-associated SNPs in a diverse set of genes and functional categories, indicating a model of polygenic adaptation in Q. acutissima. We further estimated three genetic offset metrics to quantify genomic vulnerability of this species to climate change due to the complex interplay between local adaptation and migration. We found that marginal populations are under higher risk of local extinction because of future climate change, and may not be able to track suitable habitats to maintain the gene-environment relationships observed under the current climate. We also detected higher reverse genetic offsets in northern China, indicating that genetic variation currently present in the whole range of Q. acutissima may not adapt to future climate conditions in this area. Overall, this study illustrates how evolutionary processes have shaped the landscape of genomic variation, and provides a comprehensive genome-wide view of climate maladaptation in Q. acutissima.}, } @article {pmid36625463, year = {2023}, author = {Lokmic-Tomkins, Z and Borda, A and Humphrey, K}, title = {Designing digital health applications for climate change mitigation and adaptation.}, journal = {The Medical journal of Australia}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, doi = {10.5694/mja2.51826}, pmid = {36625463}, issn = {1326-5377}, } @article {pmid36623928, year = {2022}, author = {Salvador, C and Nieto, R and Vicente-Serrano, SM and García-Herrera, R and Gimeno, L and Vicedo-Cabrera, AM}, title = {Public Health Implications of Drought in a Climate Change Context: A Critical Review.}, journal = {Annual review of public health}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, doi = {10.1146/annurev-publhealth-071421-051636}, pmid = {36623928}, issn = {1545-2093}, abstract = {Extreme weather events are expected to increase due to climate change, which could pose an additional burden of morbidity and mortality. In recent decades, drought severity has increased in several regions around the world, affecting health by increasing the risk of water-, food-, and vector-borne diseases, malnutrition, cardiovascular and respiratory illness, mental health disorders, and mortality. Drought frequency and severity are expected to worsen across large regions as a result of a decrease in precipitation and an increase in temperature and atmospheric evaporative demand, posing a pressing challenge for public health. Variation in impacts among countries and communities is due to multiple factors, such as aging, socioeconomic status, access to health care, and gender, affecting population resilience. Integrative proactive action plans focused on risk management are required, and resources should be transferred to developing countries to reduce their vulnerability and risk. Expected final online publication date for the Annual Review of Public Health, Volume 44 is April 2023. Please see http://www.annualreviews.org/page/journal/pubdates for revised estimates.}, } @article {pmid36622620, year = {2023}, author = {Saad-Hussein, A and Helmy, MA and Ellaithy, LS and Wheida, A and Nazer, ME and Alfaro, SC and Siour, G and Borbon, A and Wahab, MMA and Mostafa, AN}, title = {Correction to: Temporal trend of diarrhea morbidity rate with climate change: Egypt as a case study.}, journal = {Environmental science and pollution research international}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, doi = {10.1007/s11356-023-25225-z}, pmid = {36622620}, issn = {1614-7499}, } @article {pmid36622605, year = {2023}, author = {Ali, S and Basit, A and Makanda, TA and Inamullah, and Khan, FU and Sajid, M and Riaz, T and Abbasi, HF and Manzoor, and Sohail, A}, title = {Improving drought mitigation strategies and disaster risk reduction through MODIS and TRMM-based data in relation to climate change over Pakistan.}, journal = {Environmental science and pollution research international}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, pmid = {36622605}, issn = {1614-7499}, abstract = {Drought is an extreme climatic event that mostly occurs as a result of low rainfall, which leads to lack of water in various agro-ecological conditions of Pakistan. The condition could be further exacerbated by the prevailing dry weather. Therefore, accurate, timely, and efficient drought monitoring is crucial to ensure that its adverse effects are mitigated. In this study, Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) and TRMM-based data were used together with remote sensing techniques to improve drought mitigation and disaster risk reduction strategies. In order to monitor drought mitigation and disaster risk reduction strategies in Pakistan, the crop water stress index (CWSI), vegetation condition index (VCI), normalized vegetation supply water index (NVSWI), vegetation health index (VHI), and temperature vegetation drought index (TVDI) were chosen as the instrument. Due to low rainfall and significantly low vegetation, CWSI, NDVI, TVDI, and VHI are useful in characterizing drought mitigation strategies in Pakistan. Monthly NDVI, NAP, NVSWI, TVDI, VCI, and VHI values and heat map analysis show that Pakistan suffered from drought in years 2001, 2002, and 2006. Seasonal CWSI, NDVI, VHI, and TVDI confirmed that Pakistan was affected by severe drought in 2001, which continued and led to severe drought in 2002 and 2006. We generate spatial correlation coefficients between NDVI and NVSWI, VCI, and VHI, and NVSWI and VCI and VHI, while the VCI and VHI values are significantly positively correlated. CWSI, NDVI, VHI, and TVDI show positive signs of effective climate change drought mitigation and disaster risk reduction strategies in Pakistan. Thus, these drought indices have been confirmed to be a complete drought monitoring indicator and reduce the risk of drought in Pakistan.}, } @article {pmid36622601, year = {2023}, author = {Xu, Z}, title = {Water-climate change extended nexus contribution to social welfare and environment-related sustainable development goals in China.}, journal = {Environmental science and pollution research international}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, doi = {10.1007/s11356-023-25145-y}, pmid = {36622601}, issn = {1614-7499}, abstract = {Climate change exacerbates uncertainties in water resource management, water supply, and treatment that are energy intensive and then exert great pressure on climate change mitigation; hence, interrelated and contradictory characteristics within the water-climate change (WC) nexus system are needed to be studied. The nexus thinking and coordination of WC would impact many realistic practices and assist in sustainable socioeconomic development since traditional single-target policies have sometimes been out of function. Hence, the ability to direct water production and use as well as climate change mitigation has become a hotspot recently. Furthermore, we find that there has been no complete research on reviewing the impacts of the WC nexus in different areas on the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs). Hence, this paper builds a core nexus of WC and then analyzes those effects on social and environmental aspects in many areas, including sewage treatment, energy transition, waste treatment, land management, and ocean management. This paper discusses how WC interlinkages are utilized to realize SDGs in those areas. Moreover, uncertainties derived from exogenous hydrology, climate change, and anthropogenic endogenous systems for realistic problems appeal to gradually increasing concern. Finally, implications offer valuable guidelines for integrated management of water and carbon emissions, as well as sustainable socioeconomic development in the future.}, } @article {pmid36621311, year = {2023}, author = {Yang, S and Tan, ML and Song, Q and He, J and Yao, N and Li, X and Yang, X}, title = {Coupling SWAT and Bi-LSTM for improving daily-scale hydro-climatic simulation and climate change impact assessment in a tropical river basin.}, journal = {Journal of environmental management}, volume = {330}, number = {}, pages = {117244}, doi = {10.1016/j.jenvman.2023.117244}, pmid = {36621311}, issn = {1095-8630}, abstract = {Global climate change has led to an increase in both the frequency and magnitude of extreme events around the world, the risk of which is especially imminent in tropical regions. Developing hydrological models with better capabilities to simulate streamflow, especially peak flow, is urgently needed to facilitate water resource planning and management as well as climate change mitigation efforts in the tropics. In view of the need, this paper explores the feasibility of improving streamflow simulation performance in the tropical Kelantan River Basin (KRB) of Peninsular Malaysia through coupling a conceptual process-based hydrological model - Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) with a deep learning model - Bidirectional Long Short-Term Memory (Bi-LSTM) in two ways. All SWAT parameters were set as their default values in one hybrid model (SWAT-D-LSTM), whereas three most sensitive SWAT parameters were calibrated in the other hybrid model (SWAT-T-LSTM). Comparison of daily streamflow simulation results have shown that SWAT-T-LSTM consistently performs better than SWAT-D-LSTM as well as the stand-alone SWAT and Bi-LSTM model throughout the simulation period. Particularly, SWAT-T-LSTM performs considerably better than the other three models in simulating daily peak flow. Based on the latest projection results of five GCMs from the Sixth Phase of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP6) under three emission scenarios (SSP1-2.6, SSP2-4.5, SSP5-8.5), the best-performed SWAT-T-LSTM was run to assess the potential impacts of climate change on streamflow in the KRB. Ensemble assessment results have concluded that both average and extreme streamflow is much likely to increase considerably in the already wet northeast monsoon season from November to January, which has surely raised the alarm for more frequent flood occurrence in the KRB.}, } @article {pmid36621303, year = {2023}, author = {Manríquez, PH and González, CP and Jara, ME and Watson, SA and Torres, R and Domenici, P and Duarte, C}, title = {Combined effects of climate change stressors and predators with contrasting feeding-digestion strategies on a mussel species.}, journal = {Marine pollution bulletin}, volume = {187}, number = {}, pages = {114554}, doi = {10.1016/j.marpolbul.2022.114554}, pmid = {36621303}, issn = {1879-3363}, abstract = {We investigated the combined effects of Ocean Warming (OW), Acidification (OA) and predator cues (Non-Consumptive Effects; NCEs) of two predators with contrasting feeding-digestion strategies on the mussel Perumytilus purpuratus. We considered starfish-NCEs (partially external digestion) and snail-NCEs (internal digestion). Mussels were exposed for 13 weeks to cross-factored OA (~500 and ~1400 μatm, pCO2) and OW (~15 and ~20 °C) conditions, in the presence/absence of NCEs from one or both predators. Mussels exposed to both NCEs exhibited smaller length and buoyant weight growth than those under control or snail-NCEs conditions. Mussels exposed to starfish-NCEs exhibited smaller wet mass than control mussels. OW and starfish-NCEs in isolation or combined with snail-NCEs increased mussel oxygen consumption. Byssal biogenesis was affected by the three-factors interaction. Clearance rates were affected by the OW × OA interaction. We suggest that mainly starfish-NCEs, in isolation or interacting with OA or/and OW, can threat mussel traits and the associated community.}, } @article {pmid36621275, year = {2022}, author = {Gogien, F and Dechesne, M and Martinerie, R and Lipeme Kouyi, G}, title = {Assessing the impact of climate change on Combined Sewer Overflows based on small time step future rainfall timeseries and long-term continuous sewer network modelling.}, journal = {Water research}, volume = {230}, number = {}, pages = {119504}, doi = {10.1016/j.watres.2022.119504}, pmid = {36621275}, issn = {1879-2448}, abstract = {The evolution of the climate in the future will probably lead to an increase in extreme rainfall events, particularly in the Mediterranean regions. This change in rainfall patterns will have impacts on combined sewer systems operation with a possible increase of spilled flows, leading to an increase of untreated water volumes released to the receiving water. Due to the impact of overflows on the water cycle, local authorities managing combined sewer systems are wondering about the extent of these changes and the possibility of taking it into account in stormwater management structure design. To do this, rainfall data with a fine time step are required to better master the shape of the hyetographs that are crucial to get a relevant rainfall/runoff relationship in an urban environment. However, there are currently no simulations of future rainfall series available at a time step compatible with the needs in urban drainage field. In this work, future rainfall time series with a fine time step are elaborated with the aim to be used in urban hydrology. The proposed approach is based on simulations results from five regional climate models in the framework of the Euro-Cordex program. It consists in a spatial downscaling step followed by a temporal disaggregation. The rainfall time series obtained are then used as input for a calibrated and validated hydrological model to investigate the evolution of annual CSO volumes and frequencies by 2100. The results show an increase of annual spilled volumes between 13% and 52% according to the considered climate model. This increase will most likely be a problem regarding compliance of sewer networks in line with the water framework directive, particularly the current French regulations. No clear trends were observed on the CSO frequencies. If there is a consensus for all the carried-out simulations to conclude that the CSO volumes will increase, we must remember that actual regional climate models suffer from limited spatial and temporal resolution and don't explicitly solve convection processes. Due to this point uncertainty concerning the evolution rate remains important particularly for intense rainfall episodes. New generations of climate models are needed to accurately predict intense episodes.}, } @article {pmid36620746, year = {2023}, author = {Wang, Z and Zhao, X and Wang, J and Song, N and Han, Q}, title = {Agricultural water allocation with climate change based on gray wolf optimization in a semi-arid region of China.}, journal = {PeerJ}, volume = {11}, number = {}, pages = {e14577}, pmid = {36620746}, issn = {2167-8359}, abstract = {BACKGROUND: We quantified and evaluated the allocation of soil and water resources in the Aksu River Basin to measure the consequences of climate change on an agricultural irrigation system.

METHODS: We first simulated future climate scenarios in the Aksu River Basin by using a statistical downscaling model (SDSM). We then formulated the optimal allocation scheme of agricultural water as a multiobjective optimization problem and obtained the Pareto optimal solution using the multi-objective grey wolf optimizer (MOGWO). Finally, optimal allocations of water and land resources in the basin at different times were obtained using an analytic hierarchy process (AHP).

RESULTS: (1) The SDSM is able to simulate future climate change scenarios in the Aksu River Basin. Evapotranspiration (ET0) will increase significantly with variation as will the amount of available water albeit slightly. (2) To alleviate water pressure, the area of cropland should be reduced by 127.5 km[2] under RCP4.5 and 377.2 km[2] under RCP8.5 scenarios. (3) To be sustainable, the allocation ratio of forest land and water body should increase to 39% of the total water resource in the Aksu River Basin by 2050.}, } @article {pmid36619610, year = {2023}, author = {Rendana, M and Idris, WMR and Rahim, SA and Rahman, ZA and Lihan, T}, title = {Predicting soil erosion potential under CMIP6 climate change scenarios in the Chini Lake Basin, Malaysia.}, journal = {Geoscience letters}, volume = {10}, number = {1}, pages = {1}, pmid = {36619610}, issn = {2196-4092}, abstract = {Climate change and soil erosion are very associated with environmental defiance which affects the life sustainability of humans. However, the potency effects of both events in tropical regions are arduous to be estimated due to atmospheric conditions and unsustainable land use management. Therefore, several models can be used to predict the impacts of distinct climate scenarios on human and environmental relationships. In this study, we aimed to predict current and future soil erosion potential in the Chini Lake Basin, Malaysia under different Climate Model Intercomparison Project-6 (CMIP6) scenarios (e.g., SSP2.6, SSP4.5, and SSP8.5). Our results found the predicted mean soil erosion values for the baseline scenario (2019-2021) was around 50.42 t/ha year. The mining areas recorded the highest soil erosion values located in the southeastern part. The high future soil erosion values (36.15 t/ha year) were obtained for SSP4.5 during 2060-2080. Whilst, the lowest values (33.30 t/ha year) were obtained for SSP2.6 during 2040-2060. According to CMIP6, the future soil erosion potential in the study area would reduce by approximately 33.9% compared to the baseline year (2019-2021). The rainfall erosivity factor majorly affected soil erosion potential in the study area. The output of the study will contribute to achieving the United Nations' 2030 Agenda for Sustainable Development.}, } @article {pmid36619335, year = {2022}, author = {Zielinski, C}, title = {COP27 climate change conference: urgent action needed for Africa and the world.}, journal = {BMJ nutrition, prevention & health}, volume = {5}, number = {2}, pages = {367-369}, pmid = {36619335}, issn = {2516-5542}, } @article {pmid36618885, year = {2022}, author = {Momsen, K and Ohndorf, M}, title = {Expressive voting versus information avoidance: experimental evidence in the context of climate change mitigation.}, journal = {Public choice}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {1-30}, pmid = {36618885}, issn = {0048-5829}, abstract = {UNLABELLED: We theoretically and experimentally investigate the effect of self-serving information avoidance on moral bias in democratic and individual decisions in the context of climate change mitigation. Subjects choose between two allocations that differ in payoffs and contributions to climate change mitigation. We vary the observability of the environmental contribution, as well as the decision context associated with different levels of pivotality. If the contribution is directly observable, we find evidence for lower pivotality leading to higher levels of "green" decisions, as predicted by the low-cost theory of voting. This effect disappears if subjects can avoid information on the contribution. Instead, we find evidence for the exploitation of moral wiggle room via information avoidance in larger democracies as well as in the consumption context. Our results indicate that information avoidance substitutes expressive voting as an instrument to manage cognitive dissonance on the part of the voter. Hence, moral biases in elections might be less likely than previously thought.

SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION: The online version of this article (10.1007/s11127-022-01016-x) contains supplementary material, which is available to authorized users.}, } @article {pmid36618643, year = {2022}, author = {Cortés-Molino, Á and Linares, JC and Viñegla, B and Lechuga, V and Salvo-Tierra, AE and Flores-Moya, A and Fernández-Luque, I and Carreira, JA}, title = {Unexpected resilience in relict Abies pinsapo Boiss forests to dieback and mortality induced by climate change.}, journal = {Frontiers in plant science}, volume = {13}, number = {}, pages = {991720}, pmid = {36618643}, issn = {1664-462X}, abstract = {Acute and early symptoms of forest dieback linked to climate warming and drought episodes have been reported for relict Abies pinsapo Boiss. fir forests from Southern Spain, particularly at their lower ecotone. Satellite, orthoimages, and field data were used to assess forest decline, tree mortality, and gap formation and recolonization in the lower half of the altitudinal range of A. pinsapo forests (850-1550 m) for the last 36 years (1985-2020). Field surveys were carried out in 2003 and in 2020 to characterize changes in stand canopy structure and mortality rates across the altitudinal range. Time series of the Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) at the end of the dry season (derived from Landsat 5 and 7 imagery) were used for a Dynamic Factor Analysis to detect common trends across altitudinal bands and topographic solar incidence gradients (SI). Historical canopy cover changes were analyzed through aerial orthoimages classification. Here we show that extensive decline and mortality contrast to the almost steady alive basal area for 17 years, as well as the rising photosynthetic activity derived from NDVI since the mid-2000s and an increase in the forest canopy cover in the late years at mid and high altitudes. We hypothesized that these results suggest an unexpected resilience in A. pinsapo forests to climate change-induced dieback, that might be promoted by compensation mechanisms such as (i) recruitment of new A. pinsapo individuals; (ii) facilitative effects on such recruitment mediated by revegetation with other species; and (iii) a 'release effect' in which surviving trees can thrive with fewer resource competition. Future research is needed to understand these compensation mechanisms and their scope in future climate change scenarios.}, } @article {pmid36618637, year = {2022}, author = {Rogiers, SY and Greer, DH and Liu, Y and Baby, T and Xiao, Z}, title = {Impact of climate change on grape berry ripening: An assessment of adaptation strategies for the Australian vineyard.}, journal = {Frontiers in plant science}, volume = {13}, number = {}, pages = {1094633}, pmid = {36618637}, issn = {1664-462X}, abstract = {Compressed vintages, high alcohol and low wine acidity are but a few repercussions of climate change effects on Australian viticulture. While warm and cool growing regions may have different practical concerns related to climate change, they both experience altered berry and must composition and potentially reduced desirable wine characteristics and market value. Storms, drought and uncertain water supplies combined with excessive heat not only depress vine productivity through altered physiology but can have direct consequences on the fruit. Sunburn, shrivelling and altered sugar-flavour-aroma balance are becoming more prevalent while bushfires can result in smoke taint. Moreover, distorted pest and disease cycles and changes in pathogen geographical distribution have altered biotic stress dynamics that require novel management strategies. A multipronged approach to address these challenges may include alternative cultivars and rootstocks or changing geographic location. In addition, modifying and incorporating novel irrigation regimes, vine architecture and canopy manipulation, vineyard floor management, soil amendments and foliar products such as antitranspirants and other film-forming barriers are potential levers that can be used to manage the effects of climate change. The adoption of technology into the vineyard including weather, plant and soil sensors are giving viticulturists extra tools to make quick decisions, while satellite and airborne remote sensing allow the adoption of precision farming. A coherent and comprehensive approach to climate risk management, with consideration of the environment, ensures that optimum production and exceptional fruit quality is maintained. We review the preliminary findings and feasibility of these new strategies in the Australian context.}, } @article {pmid36618235, year = {2022}, author = {Bhaumik, S and Beri, D and Jagnoor, J}, title = {The impact of climate change on the burden of snakebite: Evidence synthesis and implications for primary healthcare.}, journal = {Journal of family medicine and primary care}, volume = {11}, number = {10}, pages = {6147-6158}, pmid = {36618235}, issn = {2249-4863}, abstract = {INTRODUCTION: Snakebite is a public health problem in rural areas of South Asia, Africa and South America presenting mostly in primary care. Climate change and associated extreme weather events are expected to modify the snake-human-environment interface leading to a change in the burden of snakebite. Understanding this change is essential to ensure the preparedness of primary care and public health systems.

METHODS: We searched five electronic databases and supplemented them with other methods to identify eight studies on the effect of climate change on the burden of snakebite. We summarised the results thematically.

RESULTS: Available evidence is limited but estimates a geographic shift in risk of snakebite: northwards in North America and southwards in South America and in Mozambique. One study from Sri Lanka estimated a 31.3% increase in the incidence of snakebite. Based on limited evidence, the incidence of snakebite was not associated with tropical storms/hurricanes and droughts in the United States but associated with heatwaves in Israel.

CONCLUSION: The impact of climate change and associated extreme weather events and anthropogenic changes on mortality, morbidity and socioeconomic burden of snakebite. Transdisciplinary approaches can help understand these complex phenomena better. There is almost no evidence available in high-burden nations of South Asia and sub-Saharan Africa. Community-based approaches for biodiversity and prevention, the institution of longitudinal studies, together with improving the resilience of primary care and public health systems are required to mitigate the impact of climate change on snakebite.}, } @article {pmid36618101, year = {2023}, author = {Sosa, JE and Malheiro, C and Castro, PJ and Ribeiro, RPPL and Piñeiro, MM and Plantier, F and Mota, JPB and Araújo, JMM and Pereiro, AB}, title = {Exploring the Potential of Metal-Organic Frameworks for the Separation of Blends of Fluorinated Gases with High Global Warming Potential.}, journal = {Global challenges (Hoboken, NJ)}, volume = {7}, number = {1}, pages = {2200107}, pmid = {36618101}, issn = {2056-6646}, abstract = {The research on porous materials for the selective capture of fluorinated gases (F-gases) is key to reduce their emissions. Here, the adsorption of difluoromethane (R-32), pentafluoroethane (R-125), and 1,1,1,2-tetrafluoroethane (R-134a) is studied in four metal-organic frameworks (MOFs: Cu-benzene-1,3,5-tricarboxylate, zeolitic imidazolate framework-8, MOF-177, and MIL-53(Al)) and in one zeolite (ZSM-5) with the aim to develop technologies for the efficient capture and separation of high global warming potential blends containing these gases. Single-component sorption equilibria of the pure gases are measured at three temperatures (283.15, 303.15, and 323.15 K) by gravimetry and correlated using the Tóth and Virial adsorption models, and selectivities toward R-410A and R-407F are determined by ideal adsorption solution theory. While at lower pressures, R-125 and R-134a are preferentially adsorbed in all materials, at higher pressures there is no selectivity, or it is shifted toward the adsorption R-32. Furthermore, at high pressures, MOF-177 shows the highest adsorption capacity for the three F-gases. The results presented here show that the utilization of MOFs, as tailored made materials, is promising for the development of new approaches for the selective capture of F-gases and for the separation of blends of these gases, which are used in commercial refrigeration.}, } @article {pmid36617490, year = {2023}, author = {Martin, C}, title = {Biospheric values as predictor of climate change risk perception: A multinational investigation.}, journal = {Risk analysis : an official publication of the Society for Risk Analysis}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, doi = {10.1111/risa.14083}, pmid = {36617490}, issn = {1539-6924}, abstract = {Climate change is one of the big challenges of our time. A better understanding of how individuals form their evaluation of the risk related to climate change seems to be key to win broad support for climate change mitigation efforts. Extant research indicates that biospheric values (BV) are an important antecedent of individuals' perception of the risk and consequences related to climate change. However, risk perception scholars have only recently started to study how BV relate to individuals' climate change risk perception (CCRP) and much is still to be learned about this relationship. The present study contributes to this growing literature by studying the BV-CCRP relationship in a multinational context. The results suggest that the BV - CCRP relationship varies in strength between different countries. These differences can be explained in part by societies' cultural leanings (i.e., individualism vs. collectivism) and societies' wealth. The present research adds to our understanding of why individuals in different countries perceive climate change related risk differently and how this perception is shaped differently by biospheric values in different countries. In this way, the findings help to build a more nuanced theory of how CCRP are formed. The presented results also have implications for policymakers and NGOs who wish to increase individuals' engagement with climate change and its consequences in different populations. In particular, the findings suggests that it might be necessary to use different strategies in different societies to achieve a greater awareness of climate change related risks.}, } @article {pmid36619247, year = {2020}, author = {Xu, SY and Weng, JK}, title = {Climate change shapes the future evolution of plant metabolism.}, journal = {Advanced genetics (Hoboken, N.J.)}, volume = {1}, number = {1}, pages = {e10022}, pmid = {36619247}, issn = {2641-6573}, abstract = {Planet Earth has experienced many dramatic atmospheric and climatic changes throughout its 4.5-billion-year history that have profoundly impacted the evolution of life as we know it. Photosynthetic organisms, and specifically plants, have played a paramount role in shaping the Earth's atmosphere through oxygen production and carbon sequestration. In turn, the diversity of plants has been shaped by historical atmospheric and climatic changes: plants rose to this challenge by evolving new developmental and metabolic traits. These adaptive traits help plants to thrive in diverse growth conditions, while benefiting humanity through the production of food, raw materials, and medicines. However, the current rapid rate of climate change caused by human activities presents unprecedented new challenges to the future of plants. Here, we discuss the potential effects of modern climate change on plants, with specific attention to plant specialized metabolism. We explore potential avenues of future scientific investigations, powered by cutting-edge methods such as synthetic biology and genome engineering, to better understand and mitigate the consequences of rapid climate change on plant fitness and plant usage by humans.}, } @article {pmid36617439, year = {2023}, author = {Casal, JJ and Fankhauser, C}, title = {Shade avoidance in the context of climate change.}, journal = {Plant physiology}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, doi = {10.1093/plphys/kiad004}, pmid = {36617439}, issn = {1532-2548}, abstract = {When exposed to changes in the light environment caused by neighbouring vegetation, shade-avoiding plants modify their growth and/or developmental patterns to access more sunlight. In Arabidopsis (Arabidopsis thaliana), neighbour cues reduce the activity of the photo-sensory receptors phytochrome B (phyB) and cryptochrome 1 (cry1), releasing photoreceptor repression imposed on PHYTOCHROME INTERACTING FACTORs (PIFs) and leading to transcriptional reprogramming. The phyB-PIF hub is at the core of all shade-avoidance responses, whilst other photo-sensory receptors and transcription factors contribute in a context-specific manner. CONSTITUTIVELY PHOTOMORPHOGENIC1 (COP1) is a master regulator of this hub, indirectly stabilising PIFs and targeting negative regulators of shade avoidance for degradation. Warm temperatures reduce the activity of phyB, which operates as a temperature sensor, and further increases the activities of PIF4 and PIF7 by independent temperature sensing mechanisms. The signalling network controlling shade avoidance is not buffered against climate change; rather, it integrates information about shade, temperature, salinity, drought, and likely flooding. We therefore predict that climate change will exacerbate shade-induced growth responses in some regions of the planet while limiting the growth potential in others.}, } @article {pmid36616851, year = {2022}, author = {Kaewunruen, S and AbdelHadi, M and Kongpuang, M and Pansuk, W and Remennikov, AM}, title = {Digital Twins for Managing Railway Bridge Maintenance, Resilience, and Climate Change Adaptation.}, journal = {Sensors (Basel, Switzerland)}, volume = {23}, number = {1}, pages = {}, doi = {10.3390/s23010252}, pmid = {36616851}, issn = {1424-8220}, abstract = {Innovative digital twins (DTs) that allow engineers to visualise, share information, and monitor the condition during operation is necessary to optimise railway construction and maintenance. Building Information Modelling (BIM) is an approach for creating and managing an inventive 3D model simulating digital information that is useful to project management, monitoring and operation of a specific asset during the whole life cycle assessment (LCA). BIM application can help to provide an efficient cost management and time schedule and reduce the project delivery time throughout the whole life cycle of the project. In this study, an innovative DT has been developed using BIM integration through a life cycle analysis. Minnamurra Railway Bridge (MRB), Australia, has been chosen as a real-world use case to demonstrate the extended application of BIM (i.e., the DT) to enhance the operation, maintenance and asset management to improve the sustainability and resilience of the railway bridge. Moreover, the DT has been exploited to determine GHG emissions and cost consumption through the integration of BIM. This study demonstrates the feasibility of DT technology for railway maintenance and resilience optimisation. It also generates a virtual collaboration for co-simulations and co-creation of values across stakeholders participating in construction, operation and maintenance, and enhancing a reduction in costs and GHG emission.}, } @article {pmid36616279, year = {2022}, author = {Sampayo-Maldonado, S and Ordoñez-Salanueva, CA and Mattana, E and Way, M and Castillo-Lorenzo, E and Dávila-Aranda, PD and Lira-Saade, R and Téllez-Valdés, O and Rodríguez-Arévalo, NI and Flores-Ortiz, CM and Ulian, T}, title = {Potential Distribution of Cedrela odorata L. in Mexico according to Its Optimal Thermal Range for Seed Germination under Different Climate Change Scenarios.}, journal = {Plants (Basel, Switzerland)}, volume = {12}, number = {1}, pages = {}, doi = {10.3390/plants12010150}, pmid = {36616279}, issn = {2223-7747}, abstract = {Cedrela odorata is a native tree of economic importance, as its wood is highly demanded in the international market. In this work, the current and future distributions of C. odorata in Mexico under climate change scenarios were analyzed according to their optimal temperature ranges for seed germination. For the present distribution, 256 localities of the species' presence were obtained from the Global Biodiversity Information Facility (GBIF) database and modelled with MaxEnt. For the potential distribution, the National Center for Atmospheric Research model (CCSM4) was used under conservative and drastic scenarios (RCP2.6 and RCP8.5 Watts/m[2], respectively) for the intermediate future (2050) and far future (2070). Potential distribution models were built from occurrence data within the optimum germination temperature range of the species. The potential distribution expanded by 5 and 7.8% in the intermediate and far future, respectively, compared with the current distribution. With the increase in temperature, adequate environmental conditions for the species distribution should be met in the central Mexican state of Guanajuato. The states of Chihuahua, Mexico, Morelos, Guerrero, and Durango presented a negative trend in potential distribution. Additionally, in the far future, the state of Chihuahua it is likely to not have adequate conditions for the presence of the species. For the prediction of the models, the precipitation variable during the driest month presented the greatest contribution. When the humidity is not limiting, the thermal climatic variables are the most important ones. Models based on its thermal niche for seed germination allowed for the identification of areas where temperature will positively affect seed germination, which will help maximize the establishment of plant populations and adaptation to different climate change scenarios.}, } @article {pmid36616231, year = {2022}, author = {Bilen, C and El Chami, D and Mereu, V and Trabucco, A and Marras, S and Spano, D}, title = {A Systematic Review on the Impacts of Climate Change on Coffee Agrosystems.}, journal = {Plants (Basel, Switzerland)}, volume = {12}, number = {1}, pages = {}, doi = {10.3390/plants12010102}, pmid = {36616231}, issn = {2223-7747}, abstract = {Coffee production is fragile, and the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) reports indicate that climate change (CC) will reduce worldwide yields on average and decrease coffee-suitable land by 2050. This article adopted the systematic review approach to provide an update of the literature available on the impacts of climate change on coffee production and other ecosystem services following the framework proposed by the Millenium Ecosystem Assessment. The review identified 148 records from literature considering the effects of climate change and climate variability on coffee production, covering countries mostly from three continents (America, Africa, and Asia). The current literature evaluates and analyses various climate change impacts on single services using qualitative and quantitative methodologies. Impacts have been classified and described according to different impact groups. However, available research products lacked important analytical functions on the precise relationships between the potential risks of CC on coffee farming systems and associated ecosystem services. Consequently, the manuscript recommends further work on ecosystem services and their interrelation to assess the impacts of climate change on coffee following the ecosystem services framework.}, } @article {pmid36615016, year = {2022}, author = {Picano, E and Mangia, C and D'Andrea, A}, title = {Climate Change, Carbon Dioxide Emissions, and Medical Imaging Contribution.}, journal = {Journal of clinical medicine}, volume = {12}, number = {1}, pages = {}, doi = {10.3390/jcm12010215}, pmid = {36615016}, issn = {2077-0383}, abstract = {Human activities have raised the atmosphere's carbon dioxide (CO2) content by 50% in less than 200 years and by 10% in the last 15 years. Climate change is a great threat and presents a unique opportunity to protect cardiovascular health in the next decades. CO2 equivalent emission is the most convenient unit for measuring the greenhouse gas footprint corresponding to ecological cost. Medical imaging contributes significantly to the CO2 emissions responsible for climate change, yet current medical guidelines ignore the carbon cost. Among the common cardiac imaging techniques, CO2 emissions are lowest for transthoracic echocardiography (0.5-2 kg per exam), increase 10-fold for cardiac computed tomography angiography, and 100-fold for cardiac magnetic resonance. A conservative estimate of 10 billion medical examinations per year worldwide implies that medical imaging accounts for approximately 1% of the overall carbon footprint. In 2016, CO2 emissions from magnetic resonance imaging and computed tomography, calculated in 120 countries, accounted for 0.77% of global emissions. A significant portion of global greenhouse gas emissions is attributed to health care, which ranges from 4% in the United Kingdom to 10% in the United States. Assessment of carbon cost should be a part of the cost-benefit balance in medical imaging.}, } @article {pmid36613407, year = {2023}, author = {Sgouros, G and Mallouchos, A and Dourou, D and Banilas, G and Chalvantzi, I and Kourkoutas, Y and Nisiotou, A}, title = {Torulaspora delbrueckii May Help Manage Total and Volatile Acidity of Santorini-Assyrtiko Wine in View of Global Warming.}, journal = {Foods (Basel, Switzerland)}, volume = {12}, number = {1}, pages = {}, doi = {10.3390/foods12010191}, pmid = {36613407}, issn = {2304-8158}, abstract = {Non-Saccharomyces (NS) yeasts are gaining popularity in modern winemaking for improving wine quality. Climate change is one of the biggest challenges winegrowing now faces in warm regions. Here, Lachancea thermotolerans LtS1 and Torulaspora&nbsp;delbrueckii TdS6 combined with Saccharomyces cerevisiae ScS13 isolated from Assyrtiko grapes from Santorini island were evaluated in grape must fermentation with the aim to mitigate major consequences of temperature rise. Different inoculation protocols were evaluated, including simultaneous and sequential mixed-strain inoculations, displaying significant variation in the chemical and kinetic characteristics. Both LtS1 and TdS6 could raise the titratable acidity (TA). TdS6 also reduced the volatile acidity (VA) and was thus chosen for further evaluation in microvinifications and pilot-scale fermentations. Consistent with lab-scale trials, sequential inoculation exhibited the longest persistence of TdS6 resulting in minimum VA levels. Diethyl succinate, ethyl propanoate, and ethyl isobutyrate were significantly increased in sequential inoculations, although a decline in the net total ester content was observed. On the other hand, significantly higher levels of TA, succinic acid, and 2-methylpropanoic were associated with sequential inoculation. The overall performance of TdS6 coupled with a high compatibility with S. cerevisiae suggests its use in the fermentation of Santorini-Assyrtiko or other high sugar musts for the production of structured dry or sweet wines.}, } @article {pmid36612940, year = {2022}, author = {Ling, J and Xue, Y and Yang, C and Zhang, Y}, title = {Effect of Farmers' Awareness of Climate Change on Their Willingness to Adopt Low-Carbon Production: Based on the TAM-SOR Model.}, journal = {International journal of environmental research and public health}, volume = {20}, number = {1}, pages = {}, doi = {10.3390/ijerph20010619}, pmid = {36612940}, issn = {1660-4601}, abstract = {The COVID-19 pandemic highlighted the intricate relationships between human health and the social-ecological system in an era of climate and global change. Widespread COVID-19 adversely affected farmers' employment, production practices, and livelihood resilience. At the same time, climate change is a key issue limiting agricultural production worldwide. Emissions of greenhouse gases, such as carbon dioxide, are a major factor leading to global climate change. Greenhouse gas emissions from agricultural production are receiving increasing attention. Therefore, it is particularly important to develop low-carbon agriculture. Based on data from 920 family farms in Jiangsu province and Shaanxi province, this study constructs a structural equation model and empirically tests the relationship between the variables using the bootstrap method. The results show that: (1) climate change awareness did not directly stimulate farmers' willingness to pursue low-carbon production; (2) climate change awareness has an impact on low-carbon production willingness through perceived ease of use and consequence awareness; and (3) anti-risk ability can effectively moderate the impact of climate change awareness on low-carbon production behavior in agriculture. The theoretical model framework proposed in this study provides a reference for research in the field of low-carbon agriculture and also provides some insights and suggestions for environmentalists and governments. In addition, policymakers should effectively raise the sense of responsibility of farmers to address climate change and promote low-carbon agricultural production to achieve healthy and sustainable agricultural development.}, } @article {pmid36612812, year = {2022}, author = {Zong, L and Yang, F and Pei, X}, title = {Implementing Climate Change Adaptation in Territory Spatial Planning Systems: Challenges and Approaches Based on Practices in Guiyang.}, journal = {International journal of environmental research and public health}, volume = {20}, number = {1}, pages = {}, doi = {10.3390/ijerph20010490}, pmid = {36612812}, issn = {1660-4601}, abstract = {Integrating climate change adaptation into spatial planning has become a global goal in the field of spatial planning. Despite the various relevant policies proposed by governments, there is still a lack of common practice in the field of climate change research and territory spatial planning preparation and research in China. In this study, climate change adaptation planning in the territory spatial planning system (TSPS), based upon risk assessment, is explored using downscaled climate change prediction data (derived from CMIP5) and prefectural master territory spatial planning (MTSP) data from Guiyang. The study found that such practices, despite their feasibility, still face systemic challenges given the current planning system in China, e.g., the deficiency of climate change impact data and analyses, the absence of essential planning tools, and the unsuitability of the current planning system for the integration of adaptation actions. We propose corresponding approaches based on our empirical planning experience and discuss prospects for relevant research and planning.}, } @article {pmid36612413, year = {2022}, author = {Zhang, C and Huang, N and Wang, L and Song, W and Zhang, Y and Niu, Z}, title = {Spatial and Temporal Pattern of Net Ecosystem Productivity in China and Its Response to Climate Change in the Past 40 Years.}, journal = {International journal of environmental research and public health}, volume = {20}, number = {1}, pages = {}, doi = {10.3390/ijerph20010092}, pmid = {36612413}, issn = {1660-4601}, abstract = {Net ecosystem productivity (NEP), which is considered an important indicator to measure the carbon source/sink size of ecosystems on a regional scale, has been widely studied in recent years. Since China's terrestrial NEP plays an important role in the global carbon cycle, it is of great significance to systematically examine its spatiotemporal pattern and driving factors. Based on China's terrestrial NEP products estimated by a data-driven model from 1981 to 2018, the spatial and temporal pattern of China's terrestrial NEP was analyzed, as well as its response to climate change. The results demonstrate that the NEP in China has shown a pattern of high value in the west and low value in the east over the past 40 years. NEP in China from 1981 to 2018 showed a significantly increasing trend, and the NEP change trend was quite different in two sub-periods (i.e., 1981-1999 and 2000-2018). The temporal and spatial changes of China's terrestrial NEP in the past 40 years were affected by both temperature and precipitation. However, the area affected by precipitation was larger. Our results provide a valuable reference for the carbon sequestration capacity of China's terrestrial ecosystem.}, } @article {pmid36610196, year = {2023}, author = {Roy, P and Pal, SC and Chakrabortty, R and Chowdhuri, I and Saha, A and Shit, M}, title = {Effects of climate change and sea-level rise on coastal habitat: Vulnerability assessment, adaptation strategies and policy recommendations.}, journal = {Journal of environmental management}, volume = {330}, number = {}, pages = {117187}, doi = {10.1016/j.jenvman.2022.117187}, pmid = {36610196}, issn = {1095-8630}, abstract = {On a first-order basis, the global "sea level rise" induced by climate change magnifies coastal land subsidence. Various research related to this discipline is associated with estimated sea level vulnerability in various spatial scales. But the potential impact of climate change on sea level rise and its amalgamated vulnerability to the species remain undiscovered with appropriate procedures. So, in this perspective, our main objective of this research is to estimate the potential impact of climate change on sea level rise and it is associated with vulnerability to coastal habitat. From this research, it is established that the increasing tendency of sea level from the base period to the projected period. The major port city of India has been considered in this research. The qualitative "coastal vulnerability index (CVI)" is based on quantitative estimates to characterize the physical setting, including "geomorphology (G), sea level change (SLC), coastal slope (CS), relative sea-level change (RSLC), mean wave height (MWH), mean tide range (MTR), shoreline change rate (SCR), land use and human activities (LU), and population (P)". The projected sea level rise (SLR) is increasing at the highest rate under the higher RCP (Representative Concentrations Pathways) scenario. This information is very helpful to the decision maker for considering the most appropriate development strategies to maintain the sustainable development of coastal ecology in India.}, } @article {pmid36609891, year = {2023}, author = {Vilakazi, BS and Mukwada, G}, title = {Curbing land degradation and mitigating climate change in mountainous regions: a systemic review.}, journal = {Environmental monitoring and assessment}, volume = {195}, number = {2}, pages = {275}, pmid = {36609891}, issn = {1573-2959}, abstract = {Human population is envisaged to continue to grow, with a tremendous contribution to land degradation and climate change. Climate change and land degradation are intertwined, thus tackling climate change means mitigating land degradation. Climate change is a worldwide problem that affects lives and livelihoods; henceforth, mitigating measures are urgently required. With their unique, rich biodiversity, mountain areas are severely sensitive to climate change and land degradation; therefore, a speedy need to curb land degradation in mountain areas is needed. The aim of this systematic review was to appraise different strategic methods used globally to minimise land degradation and sustain mountainous areas in a frequently changing climate. The Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses (PRISMA) was utilised in this systematic review. The Scopus data base was utilised for document search, with a selection of articles limited between the years 2012 and 2021. Only articles written in English were considered. After assessing the abstracts, 703 articles were retained for a full review, leading to the final selection of 84 articles. The results show that soil erosion, overgrazing and construction of infrastructure are major causes of land degradation. The human population increase is also an enormous contributing factor to activities leading to land degradation and climate change. A conspicuous intensification of agricultural activities is expected to continue due to rising food demand. Curbing land degradation and climate change in mountain areas can be enforced by the government through stricter regulations. However, regulations and policies must be locally initiated, instead of globally initiated, with local communities being the main stakeholders. Hence, bottom-up rather than top-down policies would encourage local communities to embrace mitigation policy initiatives.}, } @article {pmid36609508, year = {2023}, author = {Feng, Y and Negrón-Juárez, RI and Romps, DM and Chambers, JQ}, title = {Amazon windthrow disturbances are likely to increase with storm frequency under global warming.}, journal = {Nature communications}, volume = {14}, number = {1}, pages = {101}, pmid = {36609508}, issn = {2041-1723}, abstract = {Forest mortality caused by convective storms (windthrow) is a major disturbance in the Amazon. However, the linkage between windthrows at the surface and convective storms in the atmosphere remains unclear. In addition, the current Earth system models (ESMs) lack mechanistic links between convective wind events and tree mortality. Here we find an empirical relationship that maps convective available potential energy, which is well simulated by ESMs, to the spatial pattern of large windthrow events. This relationship builds connections between strong convective storms and forest dynamics in the Amazon. Based on the relationship, our model projects a 51 ± 20% increase in the area favorable to extreme storms, and a 43 ± 17% increase in windthrow density within the Amazon by the end of this century under the high-emission scenario (SSP 585). These results indicate significant changes in tropical forest composition and carbon cycle dynamics under climate change.}, } @article {pmid36608941, year = {2023}, author = {Aasheim, ET and Bhopal, AS and O'Brien, K and Lie, AK and Nakstad, ER and Andersen, LF and Hessen, DO and Samset, BH and Banik, D}, title = {Climate change and health: a 2-week course for medical students to inspire change.}, journal = {The Lancet. Planetary health}, volume = {7}, number = {1}, pages = {e12-e14}, pmid = {36608941}, issn = {2542-5196}, } @article {pmid36608940, year = {2023}, author = {Prats, EV and Neville, T and Nadeau, KC and Campbell-Lendrum, D}, title = {WHO Academy education: globally oriented, multicultural approaches to climate change and health.}, journal = {The Lancet. Planetary health}, volume = {7}, number = {1}, pages = {e10-e11}, doi = {10.1016/S2542-5196(22)00252-2}, pmid = {36608940}, issn = {2542-5196}, } @article {pmid36608610, year = {2023}, author = {Paul, C and Bartkowski, B and Dönmez, C and Don, A and Mayer, S and Steffens, M and Weigl, S and Wiesmeier, M and Wolf, A and Helming, K}, title = {Carbon farming: Are soil carbon certificates a suitable tool for climate change mitigation?.}, journal = {Journal of environmental management}, volume = {330}, number = {}, pages = {117142}, doi = {10.1016/j.jenvman.2022.117142}, pmid = {36608610}, issn = {1095-8630}, abstract = {Increasing soil organic carbon (SOC) stocks in agricultural soils removes carbon dioxide from the atmosphere and contributes towards achieving carbon neutrality. For farmers, higher SOC levels have multiple benefits, including increased soil fertility and resilience against drought-related yield losses. However, increasing SOC levels requires agricultural management changes that are associated with costs. Private soil carbon certificates could compensate for these costs. In these schemes, farmers register their fields with commercial certificate providers who certify SOC increases. Certificates are then sold as voluntary emission offsets on the carbon market. In this paper, we assess the suitability of these certificates as an instrument for climate change mitigation. From a soils' perspective, we address processes of SOC enrichment, their potentials and limits, and options for cost-effective measurement and monitoring. From a farmers' perspective, we assess management options likely to increase SOC, and discuss their synergies and trade-offs with economic, environmental and social targets. From a governance perspective, we address requirements to guarantee additionality and permanence while preventing leakage effects. Furthermore, we address questions of legitimacy and accountability. While increasing SOC is a cornerstone for more sustainable cropping systems, private carbon certificates fall short of expectations for climate change mitigation as permanence of SOC sequestration cannot be guaranteed. Governance challenges include lack of long-term monitoring, problems to ensure additionality, problems to safeguard against leakage effects, and lack of long-term accountability if stored SOC is re-emitted. We conclude that soil-based private carbon certificates are unlikely to deliver the emission offset attributed to them and that their benefit for climate change mitigation is uncertain. Additional research is needed to develop standards for SOC change metrics and monitoring, and to better understand the impact of short term, non-permanent carbon removals on peaks in atmospheric greenhouse gas concentrations and on the probability of exceeding climatic tipping points.}, } @article {pmid36605073, year = {2022}, author = {Atwoli, L and Erhabor, GE and Gbakima, AA and Haileamlak, A and Kayembe, JN and Kigera, J and Laybourn-Langton, L and Mash, R and Muhia, J and Mulaudzi, FM and Ofori-Adjei, D and Okonofua, F and Rashidian, A and El-Adawy, M and Sidibé, S and Snouber, A and Tumwine, J and Yassien, MS and Yonga, P and Zakhama, L and Zielinski, C}, title = {COP27 Climate Change Conference: urgent action needed for Africa and the world.}, journal = {Cardiovascular diagnosis and therapy}, volume = {12}, number = {6}, pages = {943-946}, pmid = {36605073}, issn = {2223-3652}, } @article {pmid36604582, year = {2023}, author = {Peng, S and Wang, C and Li, Z and Mihara, K and Kuramochi, K and Toma, Y and Hatano, R}, title = {Climate change multi-model projections in CMIP6 scenarios in Central Hokkaido, Japan.}, journal = {Scientific reports}, volume = {13}, number = {1}, pages = {230}, pmid = {36604582}, issn = {2045-2322}, abstract = {Simulation of future climate changes, especially temperature and rainfall, is critical for water resource management, disaster mitigation, and agricultural development. Based on the category-wise indicator method, two preferred Global Climate Models (GCMs) for the Ishikari River basin (IRB), the socio-economic center of Hokkaido, Japan, were examined from the newly released Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (CMIP6). Climatic variables (maximum/minimum temperature and precipitation) were projected by the Statistical DownScaling Model (SDSM) under all shared socioeconomic pathway-representative concentration pathway (SSP-RCP) scenarios (SSP1-1.9, SSP1-2.6, SSP2-4.5, SSP3-7.0, SSP4-3.4, SSP4-6.0, SSP5-3.4OS, and SSP5-8.5) in two phases: 2040-2069 (2040s) and 2070-2099 (2070s), with the period of 1985-2014 as the baseline. Predictors of SDSM were derived from CMIP6 GCMs and the reanalysis dataset NOAA-CIRES-DOE 20th Century Reanalysis V3 (20CRv3). Results showed that CMIP6 GCMs had a significant correlation with temperature measurements, but could not represent precipitation features in the IRB. The constructed SDSM could capture the characteristics of temperature and precipitation during the calibration (1985-1999) and validation (2000-2014) phases, respectively. The selected GCMs (MIROC6 and MRI-ESM-2.0) generated higher temperature and less rainfall in the forthcoming phases. The SSP-RCP scenarios had an apparent influence on temperature and precipitation. High-emission scenarios (i.e., SSP5-8.5) would project a higher temperature and lower rainfall than the low-emission scenarios (e.g., SSP1-1.9). Spatial-temporal analysis indicated that the northern part of the IRB is more likely to become warmer with heavier precipitation than the southern part in the future. Higher temperature and lower rainfall were projected throughout the late twenty-first century (2070s) than the mid-century (2040s) in the IRB. The findings of this study could be further used to predict the hydrological cycle and assess the ecosystem's sustainability.}, } @article {pmid36603904, year = {2023}, author = {Kotsila, P and Anguelovski, I}, title = {Justice should be at the centre of assessments of climate change impacts on health.}, journal = {The Lancet. Public health}, volume = {8}, number = {1}, pages = {e11-e12}, doi = {10.1016/S2468-2667(22)00320-6}, pmid = {36603904}, issn = {2468-2667}, } @article {pmid36603263, year = {2023}, author = {Wu, H and Fang, S and Yu, L and Hu, S and Chen, X and Cao, Y and Du, Z and Shen, X and Liu, X and Ma, K}, title = {Limited co-benefits of protected areas in southwest China under current climate change and human modification.}, journal = {Journal of environmental management}, volume = {330}, number = {}, pages = {117190}, doi = {10.1016/j.jenvman.2022.117190}, pmid = {36603263}, issn = {1095-8630}, abstract = {An ambitious new Post-2020 Global Biodiversity Framework "Kunming-Montreal Global Biodiversity Framework" has been developed. However, the combined effects of climate change and human modification can undermine the potential benefits of the global post-2020 conservation efforts. The co-benefits of stabilizing the climate, conserving biodiversity, and maintaining intact wilderness areas may help to persuade the general public of the need to quickly expand existing protected areas (PAs). To maximize the co-benefits after 2020, the careful optimization of existing (PAs) network and scientific identification of conservation targets are both essential. Here, we mapped hotspots of biodiversity, climate vulnerability, and wilderness in Southwest China (SWC). By analyzing the representativeness and gaps of the existing PAs network in SWC, we devised post-2020 conservation targets and highlighted their implications for decision-makers. Our results showed that the incongruence between hotspots of different species exists, indicating that habitats suitable for one taxon may not fully harbor other taxa. According to our assessment, the five jurisdictions of SWC have warmed on average by 0.4°C-1.1 °C over the past 60 years alone. In particular, biodiversity hotspots in SWC are undergoing stark climatic changes. We uncovered prominent conservation gaps in SWC's network of PAs, especially in terms of climate vulnerability and biodiversity. Due to their insufficient number and unreasonable spatial distribution, the PAs network in SWC may be not capable of meeting its biodiversity, climate vulnerability, and wilderness conservation objectives. To rectify this, we proposed a 3-step mission: milestone 2025, milestone 2030, and goal 2050, which aims to protect 23%, 28%, and 60% of the terrestrial area in SWC, respectively. Taken together, our study derived conservation priority areas with relatively clear spatial boundaries and importance levels, thus providing detailed, timely information for decision-makers to expand the PAs network and implement conservation measures varying in strictness in post-2020 conservation practice.}, } @article {pmid36602984, year = {2023}, author = {Reyes-García, V and Álvarez-Fernández, S and Benyei, P and García-Del-Amo, D and Junqueira, AB and Labeyrie, V and Li, X and Porcher, V and Porcuna-Ferrer, A and Schlingmann, A and Soleymani, R}, title = {Local indicators of climate change impacts described by indigenous peoples and local communities: Study protocol.}, journal = {PloS one}, volume = {18}, number = {1}, pages = {e0279847}, doi = {10.1371/journal.pone.0279847}, pmid = {36602984}, issn = {1932-6203}, abstract = {INTRODUCTION: In the quest to improve the understanding of climate change impacts on elements of the atmospheric, physical, and life systems, scientists are challenged by the scarcity and uneven distribution of grounded data. Through their long history of interaction with the environment, Indigenous Peoples and local communities have developed complex knowledge systems that allow them to detect impacts of climate change in the local environment. The study protocol presented here is designed 1) to inventory climate change impacts on the atmospheric, physical, and life systems based on local knowledge and 2) to test hypotheses on the global spatial, socioeconomic, and demographic distribution of reported impacts. The protocol has been developed within the framework of a project aiming to bring insights from Indigenous and local knowledge systems to climate research (https://licci.eu).

METHODS: Data collection uses a mixed-method approach and relies on the collaboration of a team of 50 trained partners working in sites where people's livelihood directly depend on nature. The data collection protocol consists of two steps. Step 1 includes the collection of secondary data (e.g., spatial and meteorological data) and site contextual information (e.g., village infrastructure, services). Step 1 also includes the use of 1) semi-structured interviews (n = 20-30/site) to document observations of environmental change and their drivers and 2) focus group discussions to identify consensus in the information gathered. Step 2 consist in the application of a household (n from 75 to 125) and individual survey (n from 125 to 175) using a standardized but locally adapted instrument. The survey includes information on 1) individual and household socio-demographic characteristics, 2) direct dependence on nature, 3) household's vulnerability, and 4) individual perceptions of climate change impacts. Survey data are entered in a specifically designed database.

EXPECTED RESULTS: This protocol allows the systematic documentation and analysis of the patterned distribution of local indicators of climate change impacts across climate types and livelihood activities. Data collected with this protocol helps fill important gaps on local climate change impacts research and can provide tangible outcomes for local people who will be able to better reflect on how climate change impacts them.}, } @article {pmid36602729, year = {2023}, author = {Kandalai, S and John, NJ and Patel, A}, title = {Effects of Climate Change on Geotechnical Infrastructures - state of the art.}, journal = {Environmental science and pollution research international}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, pmid = {36602729}, issn = {1614-7499}, abstract = {Geotechnical infrastructures, like slopes and embankments, retaining walls, foundations, engineered landfills, overburden dumps, and pavements, get continuously exposed to various environmental factors which are climate dependent. Fate/stability of these infrastructures due to extreme and abrupt change in precipitation, temperatures, humidity, and wind/airflow is quite questionable. Some of the issues related to climate change on soils include increase in infiltration rate, high pore-water pressure, decrease in effective stress, soil liquefaction, seepage failures, frost heaving, changes in soil suction potential, swelling and shrinkage in fine-grained soils, differential settlement, and damage to vegetation cover and thereby causing slope failures, waterlogged conditions, floods, soil erosion and/or internal erosion of fines, damage to landfill liners and soil covers, desertification, desiccation cracks on the ground surface, and groundwater table pollution due to contaminant migration. Therefore, studies on the impact of climate change on geotechnical infrastructures have gained attention of many researchers in the recent times. In present study, an up-to-date review of the works related to the influence of various climatic factors on geotechnical properties and thereby on geotechnical projects is carried out. Topics related to climate data downscaling using global climate models (GCM), climate change-induced slope instability, acid rains, desiccation cracking in soils with changing temperatures, impacts of dry-wet cycles and freeze-thaw cycles, and vegetation effects on soils are emphasized in this paper. Furthermore, to address the challenges, need-based research related to resilient infrastructures, thermo-hydro-mechanical models, bioremediation methods, innovative sustainable composite materials, and incorporation of climatic factors in design is highlighted and discussed.}, } @article {pmid36602438, year = {2023}, author = {Xiong, T and Du, S and Zhang, H and Zhang, X}, title = {Satellite observed reversal in trends of spring phenology in the middle-high latitudes of the Northern Hemisphere during the global warming hiatus.}, journal = {Global change biology}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, doi = {10.1111/gcb.16580}, pmid = {36602438}, issn = {1365-2486}, abstract = {The start of the growing season (SOS) is essential to track the responses of vegetation to climate change. However, recent findings on whether the SOS in the middle-high latitudes of the Northern Hemisphere (NH) continued to advance or reversed during the global warming hiatus were not consistent. It is necessary to investigate the causes of this controversy and to examine the relationship between the SOS and preseason temperature trends. To this end, we first applied four widely used phenology extraction methods to derive the SOS from the GIMMS NDVI3g dataset, and then used the ensemble empirical modal decomposition (EEMD) method to extract the nonlinear trends of the SOS and preseason temperature. Our results clarify, for the first time, that the limitations of the linear assumption-based trend analysis methods are an important but overlooked cause of the discrepancies among existing studies on whether the SOS was advanced or delayed in the NH (>30°N) during the global warming hiatus. We further revealed the range of the mismatches between the SOS and preseason temperature trends at the latitude, altitude and biome levels. Specifically, we discovered that the SOS in the NH (>30°N) obtained by the four phenology extraction methods showed a significant reversal from advance to delay during the global warming hiatus, and the corresponding average rate of change was very small. The area showing increasing preseason temperatures decreased during the global warming hiatus, but it always occupied most of the NH (>30°N). However, delayed SOS trends were dominant in the NH from 50°N to 60°N, above 3000 m and in biomes other than TBMF and BF. Accordingly, using an EEMD-like approach to evaluate the changes in the SOS and preseason temperature is necessary for improving our understanding of the changes in the SOS and their association with climate.}, } @article {pmid36598974, year = {2023}, author = {Otto, C and Kuhla, K and Geiger, T and Schewe, J and Frieler, K}, title = {Better insurance could effectively mitigate the increase in economic growth losses from U.S. hurricanes under global warming.}, journal = {Science advances}, volume = {9}, number = {1}, pages = {eadd6616}, doi = {10.1126/sciadv.add6616}, pmid = {36598974}, issn = {2375-2548}, abstract = {Global warming is likely to increase the proportion of intense hurricanes in the North Atlantic. Here, we analyze how this may affect economic growth. To this end, we introduce an event-based macroeconomic growth model that temporally resolves how growth depends on the heterogeneity of hurricane shocks. For the United States, we find that economic growth losses scale superlinearly with shock heterogeneity. We explain this by a disproportional increase of indirect losses with the magnitude of direct damage, which can lead to an incomplete recovery of the economy between consecutive intense landfall events. On the basis of two different methods to estimate the future frequency increase of intense hurricanes, we project annual growth losses to increase between 10 and 146% in a 2°C world compared to the period 1980-2014. Our modeling suggests that higher insurance coverage can compensate for this climate change-induced increase in growth losses.}, } @article {pmid36596865, year = {2023}, author = {}, title = {Textbooks cut climate-change content - and more of this week's best science graphics.}, journal = {Nature}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, doi = {10.1038/d41586-023-00006-3}, pmid = {36596865}, issn = {1476-4687}, } @article {pmid36596150, year = {2023}, author = {Park, E and Yu, H and Lim, JH and Hee Choi, J and Park, KJ and Lee, J}, title = {Seaweed metabolomics: A review on its nutrients, bioactive compounds and changes in climate change.}, journal = {Food research international (Ottawa, Ont.)}, volume = {163}, number = {}, pages = {112221}, doi = {10.1016/j.foodres.2022.112221}, pmid = {36596150}, issn = {1873-7145}, abstract = {Seaweed, an important food resource in several Asian countries, contains various metabolites, including sugars, organic acids, and amino acids; however, their content is affected by prevailing environmental conditions. This review discusses seaweed metabolomics, especially the distribution of primary and functional secondary metabolites (e.g., carotenoids, polyphenols) in seaweed. Additionally, the effects of global warming on seaweed metabolite profile changes are discussed. For example, high temperatures can increase amino acid levels in seaweeds. Overall, understanding the effects of global warming on seaweed metabolite profiles can be useful for evaluating the nutritional composition of seaweeds as food. This review provides an overview of recent applications of metabolomics in seaweed research as well as a perspective on the nutrient content and cultivation of seaweeds under climate change scenarios.}, } @article {pmid36595091, year = {2023}, author = {Paul, TT and Sarkar, UK and C, AA and D, VG and Das, BK}, title = {Exploring vulnerabilities of inland fisheries in Indian context with special reference to climate change and their mitigation and adaptation: a review.}, journal = {International journal of biometeorology}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, pmid = {36595091}, issn = {1432-1254}, abstract = {Tropical inland capture fisheries are susceptible to a series of vulnerabilities such as habitat destruction, biodiversity loss, pollution, overfishing, invasive species and anthropogenic climate change. A comprehensive review of the impact of climatic uncertainties on Indian inland fisheries has not been adequately attempted yet. Recent approaches emphasizing ecosystem-based management in a regional context, specific to inland fisheries for combating climatic changes, have not been reported to date. The paper presents a critical bibliometric review of the climatic vulnerabilities faced by Indian inland fishery resources and various adaptive and mitigation strategies put forward by the country for the sustainability of the resources. In this communication, a systematic review of the impact of climate change and other stressors on various inland ecosystems of the subcontinent and the ecosystem-based management strategies adopted in India is presented and discussed.}, } @article {pmid36593138, year = {2022}, author = {Yang, LN and Ren, M and Zhan, J}, title = {Modeling plant diseases under climate change: evolutionary perspectives.}, journal = {Trends in plant science}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, doi = {10.1016/j.tplants.2022.12.011}, pmid = {36593138}, issn = {1878-4372}, abstract = {Infectious plant diseases are a major threat to global agricultural productivity, economic development, and ecological integrity. There is widespread concern that these social and natural disasters caused by infectious plant diseases may escalate with climate change and computer modeling offers a unique opportunity to address this concern. Here, we analyze the intrinsic problems associated with current modeling strategies and highlight the need to integrate evolutionary principles into polytrophic, eco-evolutionary frameworks to improve predictions. We particularly discuss how evolutionary shifts in functional trade-offs, relative adaptability between plants and pathogens, ecosystems, and climate preferences induced by climate change may feedback to future plant disease epidemics and how technological advances can facilitate the generation and integration of this relevant knowledge for better modeling predictions.}, } @article {pmid36592919, year = {2022}, author = {Watts, M and Mpanda, M and Hemp, A and Peh, KS}, title = {The potential impact of future climate change on the production of a major food and cash crop in tropical (sub)montane homegardens.}, journal = {The Science of the total environment}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {161263}, doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2022.161263}, pmid = {36592919}, issn = {1879-1026}, abstract = {Tropical agroforestry systems support the wellbeing of many smallholder farmers. These systems provide smallholders with crops for consumption and income through their ecological interactions between their tree, soil, and crop components. These interactions, however, could be vulnerable to changes in climate conditions; yet a reliable understanding of how this could happen is not well documented. The aim of this study is to understand how tree-soil-crop interactions and crop yield are affected by changes in climate conditions, which has implications for recognising how these systems could be affected by climate change. We used a space-for-time climate analogue approach, in conjunction with structural equation modelling, to empirically examine how warmer and drier climate conditions affects tree-soil-crop interactions and banana yield in Mt. Kilimanjaro's homegarden agroforest. Overall, the change in climate conditions negatively affected ecological interactions in the homegardens by destabilizing soil nutrient cycles. Banana yield, however, was mainly directly influenced by the climate. Banana yields could initially benefit from the warmer climate before later declining under water stress. Our findings imply that under increasingly warmer and drier climate conditions, homegarden agroforestry may not be a robust long-term farming practice which can protect smallholder's wellbeing unless effective irrigation measures are implemented.}, } @article {pmid36590233, year = {2022}, author = {Johnson, T and Butcher, J and Santell, S and Schwartz, S and Julius, S and LeDuc, S}, title = {A review of climate change effects on practices for mitigating water quality impacts.}, journal = {Journal of water and climate change}, volume = {13}, number = {}, pages = {1684-1705}, pmid = {36590233}, issn = {2408-9354}, abstract = {Water quality practices are commonly implemented to reduce human impacts on land and water resources. In series or parallel in a landscape, systems of practices can reduce local and downstream pollution delivery. Many practices function via physical, chemical, and biological processes that are dependent on weather and climate. Climate change will alter the function of many such systems, though effects will vary in different hydroclimatic and watershed settings. Reducing the risk of impacts will require risk-based, adaptive planning. Here, we review the literature addressing climate change effects on practices commonly used to mitigate the water quality impacts of urban stormwater, agriculture, and forestry. Information from the general literature review is used to make qualitative inferences about the resilience of different types of practices. We discuss resilience in the context of two factors: the sensitivity of practice function to changes in climatic drivers, and the adaptability, or relative ease with which a practice can be modified as change occurs. While only a first step in addressing a complex topic, our aim is to help communities incorporate consideration of resilience to climate change as an additional factor in decisions about water quality practices to meet long-term goals.}, } @article {pmid36589906, year = {2022}, author = {Tsagkaris, C and Eleftheriades, A and Matiashova, L}, title = {COVID-19, Monkeypox, Climate change and Surgery: A syndemic undermines the right to be operated in a clean, healthy and sustainable environment.}, journal = {Perioperative care and operating room management}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {100305}, pmid = {36589906}, issn = {2405-6030}, abstract = {The compounding effect of infectious outbreaks and climate change has put a strain on surgical care. Adverse weather conditions derail preoperative planning, postoperative recovery, supply chains and equipment. The COVID-19 pandemic has restricted elective surgical care for the past two years. It is expected that novel SARS-CoV-2 strains and the emergence of Monkeypox can also put barriers to surgical care. Consecutively, mounting surgical morbidity and strenuous efforts to adhere to infection control further increase the ecological footprint of surgical care fueling a vicious circle of clinical and environmental challenges. Multilevel action from the side of surgeons and surgical societies is required. This includes creating contingency plans for sustainable surgical practice amidst public health emergencies, informing stakeholders and the public about the cumulative ramifications of the syndemic on surgery and promoting social participation among surgeons.}, } @article {pmid36587668, year = {2022}, author = {Díaz, PA and Pérez-Santos, I and Basti, L and Garreaud, R and Pinilla, E and Barrera, F and Tello, A and Schwerter, C and Arenas-Uribe, S and Soto-Riquelme, C and Navarro, P and Díaz, M and Álvarez, G and Linford, PM and Altamirano, R and Mancilla-Gutiérrez, G and Rodríguez-Villegas, C and Figueroa, RI}, title = {The impact of local and climate change drivers on the formation, dynamics, and potential recurrence of a massive fish-killing microalgal bloom in Patagonian fjord.}, journal = {The Science of the total environment}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {161288}, doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2022.161288}, pmid = {36587668}, issn = {1879-1026}, abstract = {Harmful algal blooms (HABs) in southern Chile are a serious threat to public health, tourism, artisanal fisheries, and aquaculture in this region. Ichthyotoxic HAB species have recently become a major annual threat to the Chilean salmon farming industry, due to their severe economic impacts. In early austral autumn 2021, an intense bloom of the raphidophyte Heterosigma akashiwo was detected in Comau Fjord, Chilean Patagonia, resulting in a high mortality of farmed salmon (nearly 6000 tons of biomass) within 15 days. H. akashiwo cells were first detected at the head of the fjord on March 16, 2021 (up to 478 cells mL[-1]). On March 31, the cell density at the surface had reached a maximum of 2 × 10[5] cells mL[-1], with intense brown spots visible on the water surface. Strong and persistent high-pressure anomalies over the southern tip of South America, consistent with the positive phase of the Southern Annular Mode (SAM), resulted in extremely dry conditions, high solar radiation, and strong southerly winds. A coupling of these features with the high water retention times inside the fjord can explain the spatial-temporal dynamics of this bloom event. Other factors, such as the internal local physical uplift process (favored by the north-to-south orientation of the fjord), salt-fingering events, and the uplift of subantarctic deep-water renewal, likely resulted in the injection of nutrients into the euphotic layer, which in turn could have promoted cell growth and thus high microalgal cell densities, such as reached by the bloom.}, } @article {pmid36587220, year = {2022}, author = {Thomas, I and Martin, A and Wicker, A and Benoit, L}, title = {Understanding youths' concerns about climate change: a binational qualitative study of ecological burden and resilience.}, journal = {Child and adolescent psychiatry and mental health}, volume = {16}, number = {1}, pages = {110}, pmid = {36587220}, issn = {1753-2000}, abstract = {BACKGROUND: Climate change has been shown to have long-term effects on mental health, yet, to date, there have been few studies on how children and adolescents experience and respond to ecological changes and how and why they engage in climate action. We explored empirically young people's views about climate change and how distinct cultural contexts influence individual climate action.

METHODS: We invited children and adolescents (ages 7 to 18) and their caregivers from the general population in the United States and France to participate in semi-structured focus groups. We recruited 74 participants, 39 in the U.S. (33 children and adolescents, 6 parents) and 35 in France (32 children and adolescents, 3 parents). Focus groups with participants centered on their emotions, beliefs, and actions around climate change. We analyzed the focus group data and developed themes via grounded theory and symbolic interactionist approaches.

RESULTS: Many participants described experiencing anger, hopelessness, guilt, and sadness in response to climate change, and a smaller number endorsed significant anxiety symptoms; many described frustration about needing to fix the mistakes of earlier generations. Younger participants frequently misunderstood the purpose of their parents' eco-conscious behaviors unless they were provided with age-appropriate explanations. Participants described a spectrum of experiences when trying to discuss climate change with peers and family, ranging from genuine support to apathy to hostility. Between the two samples, U.S. participants experienced more conflict with adults about climate change than French participants, but French participants described a greater lack of political agency compared to U.S.

PARTICIPANTS: Participants in both samples expressed a relatively balanced view of climate action, recognizing the significance of individual actions while acknowledging the limits of their power in the face of systemic issues. Some found hope and empowerment through climate action and building communities around it.

CONCLUSION: Discussing with children and adolescents what adults are doing to mitigate climate change can provide reassurance, model prosocial behaviors, and inspire their own investment in climate action. Adults seeking to support the psychological well-being of young people should both support their concerns and actions around climate change and create avenues for young people to meaningfully engage in climate action.}, } @article {pmid36585762, year = {2022}, author = {Leisner, CP and Potnis, N and Sanz-Saez, A}, title = {Crosstalk and trade-offs: Plant responses to climate change-associated abiotic and biotic stresses.}, journal = {Plant, cell & environment}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, doi = {10.1111/pce.14532}, pmid = {36585762}, issn = {1365-3040}, abstract = {As sessile organisms, plants are constantly challenged by a dynamic growing environment. This includes fluctuations in temperature, water availability, light levels, and changes in atmospheric constituents such as carbon dioxide (CO2) and ozone (O3). In concert with changes in abiotic conditions, plants experience changes in biotic stress pressures, including plant pathogens and herbivores. Human-induced increases in atmospheric CO2 levels have led to alterations in plant growth environments that impact their productivity and nutritional quality. Additionally, it is predicted that climate change will alter the prevalence and virulence of plant pathogens, further challenging plant growth. A knowledge gap exists in the complex interplay between plant responses to biotic and abiotic stress conditions. Closing this gap is crucial for developing climate resilient crops in the future. Here, we briefly review the physiological responses of plants to elevated CO2 , temperature, tropospheric O3 , and drought conditions, as well as the interaction of these abiotic stress factors with plant pathogen pressure. Additionally, we describe the crosstalk and trade-offs involved in plant responses to both abiotic and biotic stress, and outline targets for future work to develop a more sustainable future food supply considering future climate change. This article is protected by copyright. All rights reserved.}, } @article {pmid36585578, year = {2022}, author = {Chen, S and Zhu, Z and Yang, L and Liu, X}, title = {Vegetation cover variations associated with climate change and human activities in Nanjing metropolitan area of China.}, journal = {Environmental science and pollution research international}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, pmid = {36585578}, issn = {1614-7499}, abstract = {Quantify the relative effects of climate change and human activities on vegetation cover can help us understand the vegetation cover change and its drivers. Residual analysis, defined as the difference between potential normalized difference vegetation index (NDVIpot) and observed normalized difference vegetation index (NDVIact), was used to solve this problem. The estimation of NDVIpot is one of the important issues faced by ecologists. Due to the strictly protection of environment and ecosystems, the ecosystems in nature reserves are rarely disturbed by human activities. Therefore, establishing NDVIpot estimation model based on nature reserves can improve the estimation accuracy of NDVIpot. However, the estimation of NDVIpot based on nature reserves has not yet been reported. In this paper, the NDVIpot estimation model was established based on nature reserves, and residual analysis was used to quantify the impact of human activities on NDVIact. The results show that the NDVIact in Nanjing metropolitan area (NJMA) showed a significant upward trend from 2000 to 2019, and 74.20% of NJMA showed greening trends, while 24.47% showed browning trends. The temperature and precipitation were positively correlated with normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI), and the impact of the temperature on NDVI was greater than that of precipitation. The promotion of human activities on NDVI had become more and more significant. There was 51.88% of NJMA where the human activities had a positive promotion effect on NDVI, while there was 46.29% of the regional where the human activities had a negative inhibitory effect on NDVI. The population density (POP) and gross domestic product (GDP) were mainly positively correlated with NDVI, and the impact of the POP on NDVI was greater than that of GDP. The conversion of cropland to forests and the increase of the sown area of crops also caused the NDVI to increase, while the disorderly expansion of urban land caused the NDVI to decrease.}, } @article {pmid36583369, year = {2022}, author = {Chatzimentor, A and Doxa, A and Katsanevakis, S and Mazaris, AD}, title = {Are Mediterranean marine threatened species at high risk by climate change?.}, journal = {Global change biology}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, doi = {10.1111/gcb.16577}, pmid = {36583369}, issn = {1365-2486}, abstract = {Rapid anthropogenic climate change is driving threatened biodiversity one step closer to extinction. Effects on native biodiversity are determined by an interplay between species' exposure to climate change and their specific ecological and life-history characteristics that render them even more susceptible. Impacts on biodiversity have already been reported, however, a systematic risk evaluation of threatened marine populations is lacking. Here, we employ a trait-based approach to assess the risk of 90 threatened marine Mediterranean species to climate change, combining species' exposure to increased sea temperature and intrinsic vulnerability. One-quarter of the threatened marine biodiversity of the Mediterranean Sea is predicted to be under elevated levels of climate risk, with various traits identified as key vulnerability traits. High-risk taxa including sea turtles, marine mammals, Anthozoa and Chondrichthyes are highlighted. Climate risk, vulnerability and exposure hotspots are distributed along the Western Mediterranean, Alboran, Aegean, and Adriatic Seas. At each Mediterranean marine ecoregion, 21% to 31% of their threatened species have high climate risk. All Mediterranean Marine Protected Areas host threatened species with high risk to climate change, with 90% having a minimum of 4 up to 19 species of high climate risk, making the objective of a climate-smart conservation strategy a crucial task for immediate planning and action. Our findings aspire to offer new insights for systematic, spatially strategic planning and prioritization of vulnerable marine life in the face of accelerating climate change.}, } @article {pmid36583139, year = {2022}, author = {Karandish, F and Nouri, H and Schyns, JF}, title = {Agricultural Adaptation to Reconcile Food Security and Water Sustainability Under Climate Change: The Case of Cereals in Iran.}, journal = {Earth's future}, volume = {10}, number = {9}, pages = {e2021EF002095}, pmid = {36583139}, issn = {2328-4277}, abstract = {In this study, we simulate the crop yield and water footprint (WF) of major food crops of Iran on irrigated and rainfed croplands for the historical and the future climate. We assess the effects of three agricultural adaptation strategies to climate change in terms of potential blue water savings. We then evaluate to what extent these savings can reduce unsustainable blue WF. We find that cereal production increases under climate change in both irrigated and rainfed croplands (by 2.6-3.1 and 1.4-2.3 million t yr[-1], respectively) due to increased yields (6.6%-78.7%). Simultaneously, the unit WF (m[3] t[-1]) tends to decrease in most scenarios. However, the annual consumptive water use increases in both irrigated and rainfed croplands (by 0.3-1.8 and 0.5-1.7 billion m[3] yr[-1], respectively). This is most noticeable in the arid regions, where consumptive water use increases by roughly 70% under climate change. Off-season cultivation is the most effective adaptation strategy to alleviate additional pressure on blue water resources with blue water savings of 14-15 billion m[3] yr[-1]. The second most effective is WF benchmarking, which results in blue water savings of 1.1-3.5 billion m[3] yr[-1]. The early planting strategy is less effective but still leads to blue water savings of 1.7-1.9 billion m[3] yr[-1]. In the same order of effectiveness, these three strategies can reduce blue water scarcity and unsustainable blue water use in Iran under current conditions. However, we find that these strategies do not mitigate water scarcity in all provinces per se, nor all months of the year.}, } @article {pmid36582830, year = {2023}, author = {Tang, Y and Duan, H and Yu, S}, title = {Mitigating climate change to alleviate economic inequality under the Paris Agreement.}, journal = {iScience}, volume = {26}, number = {1}, pages = {105734}, pmid = {36582830}, issn = {2589-0042}, abstract = {Understanding the implications of global climate governance is critical for achieving sustainable economic development, given that the economic impacts of climate change and policies are disproportionately distributed across regions. We estimate the updated damage functions and construct an uncertainty analysis framework to assess whether stringent climate policies entail economic benefits in terms of growth and inequality. The findings show that although climate policies slow the pace of economic growth, the benefits of avoided damage may overweight policy costs in the long run. Moreover, pursuing the 1.5°C goal slows economic catch-up of poor countries in the short to medium term relative to 2°C, but improves global inequality in the long run. This situation may, however, change when moving to a fast-growing and fossil-fueled world, in which inequalities gradually decline but start to rise after 2065. This study highlights the importance of synergizing the stringent 1.5°C goal with economic inequality alleviation.}, } @article {pmid36582642, year = {2022}, author = {Jung, JY and Kim, JH and Baek, M and Cho, C and Cho, J and Kim, J and Pavan, W and Kim, KH}, title = {Adapting to the projected epidemics of Fusarium head blight of wheat in Korea under climate change scenarios.}, journal = {Frontiers in plant science}, volume = {13}, number = {}, pages = {1040752}, pmid = {36582642}, issn = {1664-462X}, abstract = {Fusarium head blight (FHB) of wheat, mainly caused by Fusarium graminearum Schwabe, is an emerging threat to wheat production in Korea under a changing climate. The disease occurrence and accumulation of associated trichothecene mycotoxins in wheat kernels strongly coincide with warm and wet environments during flowering. Recently, the International Panel for Climate Change released the 6th Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP6) climate change scenarios with shared socioeconomic pathways (SSPs). In this study, we adopted GIBSIM, an existing mechanistic model developed in Brazil to estimate the risk infection index of wheat FHB, to simulate the potential FHB epidemics in Korea using the SSP245 and SSP585 scenarios of CMIP6. The GIBSIM model simulates FHB infection risk from airborne inoculum density and infection frequency using temperature, precipitation, and relative humidity during the flowering period. First, wheat heading dates, during which GIBSIM runs, were predicted over suitable areas of winter wheat cultivation using a crop development rate model for wheat phenology and downscaled SSP scenarios. Second, an integrated model combining all results of wheat suitability, heading dates, and FHB infection risks from the SSP scenarios showed a gradual increase in FHB epidemics towards 2100, with different temporal and spatial patterns of varying magnitudes depending on the scenarios. These results indicate that proactive management strategies need to be seriously considered in the near future to minimize the potential impacts of the FHB epidemic under climate change in Korea. Therefore, available wheat cultivars with early or late heading dates were used in the model simulations as a realistic adaptation measure. As a result, wheat cultivars with early heading dates showed significant decreases in FHB epidemics in future periods, emphasizing the importance of effective adaptation measures against the projected increase in FHB epidemics in Korea under climate change.}, } @article {pmid36581281, year = {2022}, author = {Takhellambam, BS and Srivastava, P and Lamba, J and McGehee, RP and Kumar, H and Tian, D}, title = {Projected mid-century rainfall erosivity under climate change over the southeastern United States.}, journal = {The Science of the total environment}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {161119}, doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2022.161119}, pmid = {36581281}, issn = {1879-1026}, abstract = {Recent observations and climate change projections indicate that changes in rainfall energy, intensity, duration, and frequency, which determine the erosive power of rainfall, will amplify erosion rates around the world. However, the magnitude and scope of these future changes in erosive power of rainfall remain largely unknown, particularly at finer-resolutions and local scales. Due to a lack of available projected future sub-hourly climate data, previous studies relied on aggregates (hourly, daily) rainfall data. The erosivity for the southeastern United States in this study was calculated using the RUSLE2 erosivity calculation method without data limitation and a recently published 15-min precipitation dataset. This precipitation data was derived from five NA-CORDEX climate models' precipitation products under the Representative Concentration Pathway (RCP) 8.5 scenario. In this dataset, hourly climate projections of precipitation were bias-corrected and temporally downscaled to 15-min resolution for 187 locations with collocated 15-min precipitation observations. Precipitation, erosivity (R-factor), and erosivity density (ED) estimations were provided for historical (1970-1999) and future (2030-2059) time periods. Ensemble results for projected values (as compared to historical values) showed increase by precipitation, erosivity, and erosivity density by 14 %, 47 %, and 29 %, respectively. The future ensemble model showed an average annual R-factor of 11,237±1299 MJ mm ha[-1]h[-1]yr[-1]. These findings suggest that changes in rainfall intensity, rather than precipitation amount, may be driving the change in erosivity. However, the bias correction and downscaling limitations inherent in the original precipitation dataset and this study's analyses obscured this particular result. In general, coastal and mountainous regions are expected to experience the greatest absolute increase in erosivity, while other inland areas are expected to experience the greatest relative change. This study offers a novel examination of projected future precipitation characteristics in terms of erosivity and potential future erosion.}, } @article {pmid36579431, year = {2022}, author = {Alryalat, SA and Toubasi, AA and Patnaik, JL and Kahook, MY}, title = {The impact of air pollution and climate change on eye health: a global review.}, journal = {Reviews on environmental health}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, doi = {10.1515/reveh-2022-0209}, pmid = {36579431}, issn = {2191-0308}, abstract = {Climate change has important implications on human health, affecting almost every system in the body. Multiple studies have raised the possibility of climate change impacting eye health. In this review, we aimed to summarize current literature on the impact of air pollution and climate change on eye health. We performed a search in four different databases, including Medline, Scopus, Cochrane, and Web of Sciences databases. The search strategy combined terms regarding eye health and environmental/climate changes. The outcome of interest included all eye conditions. The search yielded 2,051 unique articles. After applying inclusion and exclusion criteria, 61 articles were included in this systematic review with data covering 2,620,030 participants. Most studies originated from China, India, South Korea, and USA. Climate change adversely affected different eye conditions, with ocular surface diseases (e.g., conjunctivitis and dry eye) being most affected. Moreover, higher particulate matter (PM) was the most widely assessed pollutant and was adversely associated with the majority of eye conditions, increasing the burden on patients and healthcare providers. We found a low frequency of publications related to the delivery of eye care and its impact on climate change in countries with high air pollution and climate change burden.}, } @article {pmid36578348, year = {2022}, author = {Wang, H and Yin, Z and Zhang, L and Zhao, F and Huang, W and Wang, X and Gao, Y}, title = {Irrigation modulates the effect of increasing temperatures under climate change on cotton production of drip irrigation under plastic film mulching in southern Xinjiang.}, journal = {Frontiers in plant science}, volume = {13}, number = {}, pages = {1069190}, pmid = {36578348}, issn = {1664-462X}, abstract = {INTRODUCTION: Warming and drought brought about by climate change seriously harm sustainable agricultural production in southern Xinjiang. It is still unclear how irrigation can improve the ability of crops to cope with climate change.

METHODS: Therefore, in this study, we calibrated and validated the AquaCrop model using data collected in cotton production from 2017 to 2018. The model effectively simulated the growth, biomass, and yield of cotton plants at the experimental site under different warming and irrigation conditions. The meteorological data collected from 1987 to 2016 were used in a simulation to predict cotton production under 3 temperature scenarios (temperature increased by 0°C, 1°C, and 2°C) and 6 levels of irrigation (198, 264, 330, 396, 495, and 594 mm) to explain the modulating effect of plastic film mulching-coupled drip irrigation on cotton production in terms of increasing temperatures under climate change in southern Xinjiang.

RESULTS AND DISCUSSION: Model prediction showed that an increase in temperature reduced cotton yield under a low irrigation level, while an increase in irrigation mitigated the impact of climate change on cotton yield. An increase of 1°C did not significantly reduce cotton yield at 198-330 mm of irrigation. Under a 2°C increase, 396-594 mm of irrigation was required to ensure plant growth and yield formation. Both aboveground biomass and yield increased with the rise in the irrigation level at the same temperature. High water use efficiency was achieved at 495 mm of irrigation without significant yield loss. Therefore, in the low-temperature scenario, it can be preferentially considered to achieve sustainable water use through water management, while in the high-temperature scenario innovative agricultural measures are required to avoid yield loss. Optimizing irrigation strategies can reduce warming-induced damage to crops under climate change.}, } @article {pmid36575965, year = {2022}, author = {Kim, J and Waugh, DW and Zaitchik, BF and Luong, A and Bergmark, R and Lam, K and Roland, L and Roland, L and Levy, J and Levy, J and Lee, JT and Cho, DY and Ramanathan, M and Baroody, F and Takashima, M and O'Brien, D and Lin, SY and Joe, S and Chaaban, MR and Butrymowicz, A and Smith, S and Mullings, W}, title = {Climate Change, The Environment, And Rhinologic Disease.}, journal = {International forum of allergy & rhinology}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, doi = {10.1002/alr.23128}, pmid = {36575965}, issn = {2042-6984}, abstract = {The escalating negative impact of climate change on our environment has the potential to result in significant morbidity of rhinologic diseases. Examples include, but are not limited to, allergic and nonallergic rhinitis, chronic rhinosinusitis, and allergic fungal rhinosinusitis. The lower socioeconomic population, including historically oppressed groups, will be disproportionately affected. We need a systematic approach to improve healthcare database infrastructure and funding to promote diverse scientific collaboration to address these healthcare needs. This article is protected by copyright. All rights reserved.}, } @article {pmid36574899, year = {2022}, author = {Dinulos, JE and Dinulos, JG}, title = {Present and Future: Infectious Tropical Travel Rashes and the Impact of Climate Change.}, journal = {Annals of allergy, asthma & immunology : official publication of the American College of Allergy, Asthma, & Immunology}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, doi = {10.1016/j.anai.2022.12.025}, pmid = {36574899}, issn = {1534-4436}, abstract = {In this paper, we discuss pertinent cutaneous findings that patients may present following travel to tropical destinations. We address arthropod-borne infectious diseases such as Cutaneous Leishmaniasis, Chagas Disease, Cutaneous Larvae Migrans, Myiasis, and others. We discuss other relevant diseases with cutaneous signs such as Monkey Pox and SARS-CoV-2. We provide clinicians with information regarding the background, diagnosis, treatment, and prevention of these tropical rashes. Additionally, we address the impact that climate change will have on the temporal and geographic incidence of these rashes. Viral, fungal, and vector-borne diseases have seen a geographic expansion into more northern latitudes. Among these are tick-borne Lyme disease, aquatic-snail-related Sea bather's eruption, and atopic dermatitis. As these diseases spread, we believe the updated information within this article is significant to the practicing physician in today's warming world.}, } @article {pmid36574767, year = {2022}, author = {Stibel, JM}, title = {Climate Change Influences Brain Size in Humans.}, journal = {Brain, behavior and evolution}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, doi = {10.1159/000528710}, pmid = {36574767}, issn = {1421-9743}, abstract = {Brain size evolution in hominins constitutes a crucial evolutionary trend, yet the underlying mechanisms behind those changes are not well understood. Here, climate change is considered as an environmental factor using four paleoclimate records testing temperature, humidity, and precipitation against changes to brain size in 298 Homo specimens over the past fifty thousand years. Across regional and global paleoclimate records, brain size in Homo averaged significantly lower during periods of climate warming as compared to cooler periods. Geological epochs displayed similar patterns, with Holocene warming periods comprising significantly smaller brained individuals as compared to those living during glacial periods at the end of the Late Pleistocene. Testing spaciotemporal patterns, the adaptive response appears to have started roughly fifteen thousand years ago and may persist into modern times. To a smaller degree, humidity and precipitation levels were also predictive of brain size, with arid periods associated with greater brain size in Homo. The findings suggest an adaptive response to climate change in Homo brain size that is driven by natural selection in response to environmental stress.}, } @article {pmid36574248, year = {2022}, author = {Wolfson, JA and Musicus, AA and Leung, CW and Gearhardt, AN and Falbe, J}, title = {Effect of Climate Change Impact Menu Labels on Fast Food Ordering Choices Among US Adults: A Randomized Clinical Trial.}, journal = {JAMA network open}, volume = {5}, number = {12}, pages = {e2248320}, doi = {10.1001/jamanetworkopen.2022.48320}, pmid = {36574248}, issn = {2574-3805}, abstract = {IMPORTANCE: There is increasing interest in strategies to encourage more environmentally sustainable food choices in US restaurants through the use of menu labels that indicate an item's potential impact on the world's climate. Data are lacking on the ideal design of such labels to effectively encourage sustainable choices.

OBJECTIVE: To test the effects of positive and negative climate impact menu labels on the environmental sustainability and healthfulness of food choices compared with a control label.

This randomized clinical trial used an online national US survey conducted March 30 to April 13, 2022, among a nationally representative sample of adults (aged ≥18 years) from the AmeriSpeak panel. Data were analyzed in June to October 2022.

INTERVENTIONS: Participants were shown a fast food menu and prompted to select 1 item they would like to order for dinner. Participants were randomized to view menus with 1 of 3 label conditions: a quick response code label on all items (control group); green low-climate impact label on chicken, fish, or vegetarian items (positive framing); or red high-climate impact label on red meat items (negative framing).

MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES: The main outcome was an indicator of selecting a sustainable item (ie, one without red meat). Secondary outcomes included participant health perceptions of the selected item and the Nutrition Profile Index (NPI) score of healthfulness.

RESULTS: Among 5049 participants (2444 female [51.6%]; 789 aged 18-29 years [20.3%], 1532 aged 30-44 years [25.9%], 1089 aged 45-59 years [23.5%], and 1639 aged ≥60 years [30.4%]; 142 Asian [5.3%], 611 Black [12.1%], and 3197 White [63.3%]; 866 Hispanic [17.2%]), high- and low-climate impact labels were effective at encouraging sustainable selections from the menu. Compared with participants in the control group, 23.5% more participants (95% CI, 13.7%-34.0%; P < .001) selected a sustainable menu item when menus displayed high-climate impact labels and 9.9% more participants (95% CI, 1.0%-19.8%; P = .03) selected a sustainable menu item when menus displayed low-climate impact labels. Across experimental conditions, participants who selected a sustainable item rated their order as healthier than those who selected an unsustainable item, according to mean perceived healthfulness score (control label: 3.4 points; 95% CI, 3.2-3.5 points vs 2.5 points; 95% CI, 2.4-2.6 points; P < .001; low-impact label: 3.7 points; 95% CI, 3.5-3.8 points vs 2.6 points; 95% CI, 2.5-2.7 points; P < .001; high-impact label: 3.5 points; 95% CI, 3.3-3.6 points vs 2.7 points; 95% CI, 2.6-2.9 points; P < .001). Participants in the high-climate impact label group selected healthier items according to mean (SE) NPI score (54.3 [0.2] points) compared with those in the low-climate impact (53.2 [0.2] points; P < .001) and control (52.9 [0.3] points; P < .001) label groups.

CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE: This randomized clinical trial's findings suggest that climate impact menu labels, especially negatively framed labels highlighting high-climate impact items (ie, red meat), were an effective strategy to reduce red meat selections and encourage more sustainable choices.

TRIAL REGISTRATION: ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT05482204.}, } @article {pmid36572721, year = {2022}, author = {Krämer, WE and Iglesias-Prieto, R and Enríquez, S}, title = {Evaluation of the current understanding of the impact of climate change on coral physiology after three decades of experimental research.}, journal = {Communications biology}, volume = {5}, number = {1}, pages = {1418}, pmid = {36572721}, issn = {2399-3642}, abstract = {After three decades of coral research on the impacts of climate change, there is a wide consensus on the adverse effects of heat-stress, but the impacts of ocean acidification (OA) are not well established. Using a review of published studies and an experimental analysis, we confirm the large species-specific component of the OA response, which predicts moderate impacts on coral physiology and pigmentation by 2100 (scenario-B1 or SSP2-4.5), in contrast with the severe disturbances induced by only +2 °C of thermal anomaly. Accordingly, global warming represents a greater threat for coral calcification than OA. The incomplete understanding of the moderate OA response relies on insufficient attention to key regulatory processes of these symbioses, particularly the metabolic dependence of coral calcification on algal photosynthesis and host respiration. Our capacity to predict the future of coral reefs depends on a correct identification of the main targets and/or processes impacted by climate change stressors.}, } @article {pmid36572702, year = {2022}, author = {Kirby, M and Mainuddin, M}, title = {The impact of climate change, population growth and development on sustainable water security in Bangladesh to 2100.}, journal = {Scientific reports}, volume = {12}, number = {1}, pages = {22344}, pmid = {36572702}, issn = {2045-2322}, abstract = {There are concerns that groundwater use for irrigation and for urban water supply is unsustainable in some parts of Bangladesh, particularly in the agriculturally productive northwest region. We use an integrated population - GDP - food - water model to examine water demand to 2100 in Bangladesh in development scenarios relevant to food and water security. The results indicate that irrigation water demand is projected to increase in coming decades, but later in the century it may decrease due to increasing crop yields and a falling population. The increased demand is greatest in the northwest region and, if unchecked, would increase concerns there about the unsustainable use of groundwater. The growth in demand is determined particularly by growth in crop yields, population growth and the fraction of food demand satisfied by imports. An extreme hot-dry climate change scenario has a lesser impact. This suggests that, in principle, Bangladesh can offset the impacts of climate change on irrigation water demand through its domestic policies. Urban water use currently also leads to concerns over unsustainable groundwater use. Our results suggest that urban water demand is likely to grow proportionately significantly more than irrigation water demand. Alternative sources for urban water are therefore urgently required.}, } @article {pmid36572663, year = {2022}, author = {Brunel-Muguet, S and Vetukuri, RR and Testillano, PS}, title = {Epigenetics for crop adaptation to climate change.}, journal = {Physiologia plantarum}, volume = {174}, number = {6}, pages = {e13835}, doi = {10.1111/ppl.13835}, pmid = {36572663}, issn = {1399-3054}, } @article {pmid36572558, year = {2022}, author = {Dhar, S and Lee, JY}, title = {How Does Global Warming Sabotage Plant Immunity?.}, journal = {Molecules and cells}, volume = {45}, number = {12}, pages = {883-885}, doi = {10.14348/molcells.2022.0150}, pmid = {36572558}, issn = {0219-1032}, } @article {pmid36571748, year = {2022}, author = {Atwoli, L and Erhabor, GE and Gbakima, AA and Haileamlak, A and Ntumba, JK and Kigera, J and Laybourn-Langton, L and Mash, B and Muhia, J and Mulaudzi, FM and Ofori-Adjei, D and Okonofua, F and Rashidian, A and Sidibé, S and Snouber, A and Tumwine, J and Yassien, MS and Yonga, P and Zakhama, L and Zielinski, C}, title = {COP27 Climate Change Conference: urgent action needed for Africa and the world.}, journal = {La Tunisie medicale}, volume = {100}, number = {10}, pages = {656-658}, pmid = {36571748}, issn = {2724-7031}, } @article {pmid36570639, year = {2023}, author = {Adewole, O}, title = {CSR-brand relationship, brand positioning, and investment risks driven towards climate change mitigation and next perspectives emerging from: "Litigation, projections, pathway, and models".}, journal = {SN business & economics}, volume = {3}, number = {1}, pages = {18}, pmid = {36570639}, issn = {2662-9399}, abstract = {UNLABELLED: This study delineates the relationship between CSR and brands, unveiling pragmatic steps towards achieving the sustainable business environment, while unveiling its potential towards climate changes mitigation cognizant of investment risks, leading to an action plan-framework for proffering practical solutions coupled with establishing future paths and projection towards addressing climatic changes consequences, risen incidences in litigation trends and environmental issues. Trends manifesting in risen litigation incidences linked to industrial and economic activities that adversely impact the climate, environment and society makes it imperative to look extensively beyond prediction models while establishing and building on brand relationship with CSR, while strategically establishing a practically realistic business model for translating this relationship to value-creation and applied in abating climate change, addressing all environmental concerns, redressing litigation incidences, among other issues resulting from impacts of business and socio-economic pursuits of humans. The twenty-first century realities towards a green planet demands doing business strategically, optimize resources by imbibing investment risks as a trend and organizational culture-strategic fit, adopting brand as a potential tool for addressing climate change and environmentally related activities and adversaries from business activities and negligent practices from such, while achieving climate change mitigation as outlined and extensively inundated.

SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION: The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1007/s43546-022-00374-4.}, } @article {pmid36569773, year = {2022}, author = {Matimolane, S and Chikoore, H and Mathivha, FI and Kori, E}, title = {Maize producers' vulnerability to climate change: Evidence from Makhuduthamaga Local Municipality, South Africa.}, journal = {Jamba (Potchefstroom, South Africa)}, volume = {14}, number = {1}, pages = {1165}, pmid = {36569773}, issn = {1996-1421}, abstract = {Climate change is predicted to impact agricultural production and affect food security in poor communities of developing countries due to the likely negative impacts on rainfall characteristics. South Africa is one of the largest producers of maize crops in the Southern African Development Community (SADC) region. The majority of crop production is rainfed with precipitation received during the summer growing season. This study evaluated the impact of climate change on maize yields using trend and multiple regression analysis in northern South Africa. Exposure and vulnerability of maize farmers to the impacts of climate change were also evaluated. Rainfall characteristics showed variability of 20.35% with rain days standard deviation of 10.25 days and coefficient of variation of 18.57%. The results revealed a weak relationship between annual rainfall and rainy days, and annual rainfall and maize yields, both showed an r[2] and p-values of less than 0.5 and 0.005, respectively. The study found that variations in rainfall did not significantly influence variation in maize yields. Despite a clear fluctuation in yields, the results demonstrate a rising trend that can be attributed to agricultural practices such as the use of fertilisers and planting drought resistant cultivars as opposed to climate variables. The study further found that maize producers were proactively adapting to climate change, thus, reducing their vulnerability to its impacts.}, } @article {pmid36569398, year = {2022}, author = {Sohrabizadeh, S and Bahramzadeh, A and Hanafi-Bojd, AA}, title = {Climate Change and Gender: Mapping Drought and Gender Gap in Literacy and Employment Sections in Iran between 2011 and 2016.}, journal = {Medical journal of the Islamic Republic of Iran}, volume = {36}, number = {}, pages = {146}, pmid = {36569398}, issn = {1016-1430}, abstract = {Background: Drought is one of the most frequent natural hazards in Iran. Gender analysis can highlight the different needs and capacities of men and women to manage drought hazards. Thus, the present study aimed to map drought and the gender gap in drought data based on the provincial zones in 2011 and 2016. Methods: This cross-sectional study was conducted in 2 stages establishing a database and spatial analysis. Data mapping was done based on provincial divisions, sex-disaggregated distribution of literacy, and employment rate as well as drought patterns in Iran in 2011 and 2016 using ArcGIS software. Descriptive statistics were applied to analyze and report the sex-disaggregated literacy and employment data. Results: About 80.73% and 75.27% of women and 80.89% and 74.74% of men experienced severe and very severe droughts in 2011 and 2016, respectively. Gender inequality in the aspects of literacy and employment in drought-affected regions was found in 2011 and 2016. Conclusion: Community-based planning and management in regions exposed to climate change are suggested for reducing the consequences of climatic disasters such as droughts. Women need to be empowered and trained for innovative livelihood activities in rural and urban areas in Iran and other developing countries affected by long-term droughts.}, } @article {pmid36569242, year = {2022}, author = {Hyland, CJ and Yates, EF and Broyles, JM}, title = {A Narrative Review of Plastic Surgery and Climate Change: Context and Considerations.}, journal = {Plastic and reconstructive surgery. Global open}, volume = {10}, number = {12}, pages = {e4703}, pmid = {36569242}, issn = {2169-7574}, abstract = {Climate change poses significant threats to human health and society. Although healthcare will bear a large burden of the downstream effects of climate change, the healthcare industry is simultaneously a major contributor to climate change. Within hospitals, surgery is one of the most energy-intensive practices. There is a growing body of literature describing ways to mitigate and adapt to climate change in surgery. However, there is a need to better understand the unique implications for each surgical subspecialty. This review contextualizes plastic and reconstructive surgery within the climate change discussion. In particular, this review highlights the specific ways in which plastic surgery may affect climate change and how climate change may affect plastic surgery. In light of growing public demand for change and greater alignment between industries and nations with regard to climate change solutions, we also offer a conceptual framework to guide further work in this burgeoning field of research.}, } @article {pmid36568317, year = {2022}, author = {Brown, I and Berry, P}, title = {National Climate Change Risk Assessments to inform adaptation policy priorities and environmental sustainability outcomes: a knowledge systems perspective.}, journal = {Climatic change}, volume = {175}, number = {3-4}, pages = {13}, pmid = {36568317}, issn = {0165-0009}, abstract = {National Climate Change Risk Assessments (CCRAs) have a key role in informing priorities for adaptation policy but face significant challenges due to multiple facets of risk and adaptation. Issues are especially pronounced for meeting goals of environmental sustainability due to the complex dynamics of socio-ecological systems. In practice, a CCRA can therefore differ from its original conceptual blueprint. These challenges are explored from a knowledge systems perspective, focusing on the role of stakeholders/policymakers, risk descriptors, methods, evidence sources, and scientists. A UK case study evaluates recent developments (CCRA3) including identification of policy urgency through adaptation shortfalls and its application to the natural environment. Important science-policy issues are also highlighted regarding inclusion of opportunities, systemic risks, residual risks, and risk tolerance. A general conclusion is that CCRAs inevitably leave open questions which lead back to their evolving role in the science-policy interface. A knowledge systems perspective identifies CCRAs as open, adaptive, reflexive processes that help redefine interpretations of risk and adaptation, rather than just providing a specific policy-relevant product. This perspective identifies scope for progressive refinement of CCRAs to enhance collective science-policy adaptive capacity whilst also engaging wider society. For environmental sustainability, this open process can be used to iteratively redefine robust future pathways and system reference conditions that also better reflect evolving societal perceptions and tolerance on sustainability risk in the face of climate change.}, } @article {pmid36566963, year = {2022}, author = {Ghimire, S and Shrestha, S and Hok, P and Heng, S and Nittivattanaon, V and Sabo, J}, title = {Integrated assessment of climate change and reservoir operation on flow-regime and fisheries of the Sekong river basin in Lao PDR and Cambodia.}, journal = {Environmental research}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {115087}, doi = {10.1016/j.envres.2022.115087}, pmid = {36566963}, issn = {1096-0953}, abstract = {This study assesses the cumulative impact of climate change and reservoir operation on flow regime and fisheries in the Sekong River Basin. Ensemble of five selected Regional Climate Models (RCMs) were used to project the future climate under RCP4.5 and RCP8.5 scenarios. The projected future climate was used to simulate the future hydrology using the SWAT model while HEC-ResSim was utilized for reservoir simulation. Finally fish-flow relationship was developed to estimate the fish catch and productivity in future. Upon investigation we found that, Sekong River Basin is likely grow warmer and drier in future under climate change. The basin is expected to face 1.3-3.6 °C rise in mean annual temperature and receive 0-6% less annual rainfall in future. The wet season in the basin is anticipated to be drier (0% to -6%) while the dry season rainfall shows no particular trend (-3%-10%). Such a change in climate is likely to alter the mean annual flow in future between -3 and 5% at Attapeu, -6-2% at Ban Veunkhane, Lao PDR, and -7 to 1% at Siempang, Cambodia (basin outlet). Under climate change, we expect decrement in minimum flow but increment in the maximum flow while opposite is anticipated under reservoir operation. Operation of Xekaman 1 and Sekong 4 A are likely to increase the minimum flow at river outlet by 32-59% and 13-18% respectively whereas maximum flow is expected to decrease by 28-5%. In addition, climate change is likely to have crucial impact on fisheries with up to 19% and 12% reduction in fish catches and fish productivity respectively. However, reservoirs tend to have negligible impact on fisheries.}, } @article {pmid36569520, year = {2021}, author = {Loureiro, ML and Alló, M}, title = {How has the COVID-19 pandemic affected the climate change debate on Twitter?.}, journal = {Environmental science & policy}, volume = {124}, number = {}, pages = {451-460}, pmid = {36569520}, issn = {1462-9011}, abstract = {Climate change and the COVID-19 pandemic share many similarities. However, in the past months, concerns have increased about the fact the health emergency has put on hold during the pandemic many climate adaptation and mitigation policies. We focus our attention on understanding the role of the recent health emergency on the transmission of information related to climate change, jointly with other socio-economic variables, social norms, and cultural dimensions. In doing so, we create a unique dataset containing the number of tweets written with specific climate related keywords per country worldwide, as well as country specific socio-economic characteristics, relevant social norms, and cultural variables. We find that socio-economic variables, such as income, education, and other risk-related variables matter in the transmission of information about climate change and Twitter activity. We also find that the COVID-19 pandemic has significantly decreased the overall number of messages written about climate change, postponing the climate debate worldwide; but particularly in some vulnerable countries. This shows that in spite of the existing climate emergency, the current pandemic has had a detrimental effect over the short-term planning of climate policies in countries where climate action is urgent.}, } @article {pmid36568567, year = {2021}, author = {Haase, D}, title = {COVID-19 pandemic observations as a trigger to reflect on urban forestry in European cities under climate change: Introducing nature-society-based solutions.}, journal = {Urban forestry & urban greening}, volume = {64}, number = {}, pages = {127304}, pmid = {36568567}, issn = {1618-8667}, abstract = {COVID-19 pandemic observations triggered a reflection by the author on urban forests in European cities under climate change as nature-society-based solutions. This commentary introduces a complementary triad of approaches that are all known but might lead to a novel view of urban nature, including forests, regarding changes in pandemic diseases and/or related to urbanization and climate change: Hybridity, succession, and flexibility: First, allowing for green spaces used by humans and nature but also those that are exclusively for ecosystems to provide space for undisturbed development and thus better control pests and diseases. Second, allow for succession at urban open spaces to let nature experiment on solutions for a drier and hotter climate that urban society can implement in urban forestry. And third, allow planning to set targets in efficiency assessment and monitoring that are matching time periods which natural ecosystems need to adapt to climate change acknowledging nature as a real 'partner' in nature-society-based solutions in one-health cities.}, } @article {pmid36569371, year = {2021}, author = {Chen, CF and Nelson, H and Xu, X and Bonilla, G and Jones, N}, title = {Beyond technology adoption: Examining home energy management systems, energy burdens and climate change perceptions during COVID-19 pandemic.}, journal = {Renewable & sustainable energy reviews}, volume = {145}, number = {}, pages = {111066}, pmid = {36569371}, issn = {1879-0690}, abstract = {The COVID-19 pandemic has rapidly changed our lives. While the global impacts of the pandemic are shocking, the implications for energy burdens, climate policy, and energy efficiency are salient. This study examines income differences in the acceptance of and willingness to pay for home energy management systems during the COVID-19 pandemic among 632 residents in New York. Additionally, this study examines energy profiles, energy burdens, climate change issues, risk perceptions, and social-psychological factors. Compared with low-income households, our findings suggest that high-income households use more energy, have higher utility bills during quarantine mandates, perceive a higher risk of COVID-19 infection, and perceive climate change issues to be better than before. Low-income households, however, experience the highest energy burdens. Regarding HEMS acceptance, high-income households are more willing to adopt energy and well-being-promoting features of HEMS and more willing to pay a higher monthly fee for all the features than other income groups. Overall, participants were more willing to pay a higher price for the energy features than the well-being-promoting features. Low-income households indicate lower social norms, personal norms, and perceived behavioral control over adopting HEMS; they also perceive HEMS to be more difficult to use and less useful. Higher-income households express a higher trust in utilities than low-income households. Surprisingly, cost concerns, technology anxiety, and cybersecurity concerns relating to HEMS do not differ across income groups. This paper addresses the interactions among technology attributes and social-psychological and demographic factors, and provides policy implications and insights for future research.}, } @article {pmid36568359, year = {2021}, author = {Kallbekken, S and Sælen, H}, title = {Public support for air travel restrictions to address COVID-19 or climate change.}, journal = {Transportation research. Part D, Transport and environment}, volume = {93}, number = {}, pages = {102767}, pmid = {36568359}, issn = {1361-9209}, abstract = {An improved understanding of public support is essential to design effective and feasible climate policies for aviation. Our motivation is the contrast between high support for air travel restrictions responding to the COVID-19 pandemic and low support for restrictions to combat climate change. Can the same factors explain individuals' support for restrictive measures across two different problems? Using a survey, we find that largely the same factors explain support. Support increases with expected effectiveness, perceived threat and imminence of the problem, shorter expected duration of the measure, knowledge, and trust, while support decreases with expected negative consequences for self and the poor. When controlling for all perceptions, there is no significant residual difference in support depending on whether the measures address climate change or COVID-19. The level of support differs because COVID-19 is perceived as a more imminent threat, and because measures are expected to be shorter-lasting and more effective.}, } @article {pmid36566960, year = {2022}, author = {Martikainen, MV and Tossavainen, T and Hannukka, N and Roponen, M}, title = {Pollen, respiratory viruses, and climate change: Synergistic effects on human health.}, journal = {Environmental research}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {115149}, doi = {10.1016/j.envres.2022.115149}, pmid = {36566960}, issn = {1096-0953}, abstract = {In recent years, evidence of the synergistic effects of pollen and viruses on respiratory health has begun to accumulate. Pollen exposure is a known risk factor for the incidence and severity of respiratory viral infections. However, recent evidence suggests that pollen exposure may also inhibit or weaken viral infections. A comprehensive summary has not been made and a consensus on the synergistic health effects has not been reached. It is highly possible that climate change will increase the significance of pollen exposure as a cause of respiratory problems and, at the same time, affect the risk of infectious disease outbreaks. It is important to accurately assess how these two factors affect human health separately and concurrently. In this review article, for the first time, the data from previous studies are combined and reviewed and potential research gaps concerning the synergistic effects of pollen and viral exposure are identified.}, } @article {pmid36566765, year = {2022}, author = {Richie, C and Kesselheim, AS and Jones, DS}, title = {Climate change and the prescription pad.}, journal = {Lancet (London, England)}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, doi = {10.1016/S0140-6736(22)02545-4}, pmid = {36566765}, issn = {1474-547X}, } @article {pmid36566588, year = {2022}, author = {Atwoli, L and El Adawy, M and Erhabor, GE and Gbakima, AA and Haileamlak, A and Ntumba, JK and Kigera, J and Laybourn-Langton, L and Malaudzi, FM and Mash, R and Muhia, J and Ofori-Adjei, D and Okonofua, F and Rashidian, A and Mohammad, SY and Sidibe, S and Snouber, A and Tumwine, J and Yonga, P and Zakhama, L and Zielinski, C}, title = {COP27 Climate Change Conference: Urgent action needed for Africa and the world.}, journal = {International journal of nursing studies}, volume = {138}, number = {}, pages = {104374}, doi = {10.1016/j.ijnurstu.2022.104374}, pmid = {36566588}, issn = {1873-491X}, } @article {pmid36565879, year = {2022}, author = {Motlaghzadeh, K and Eyni, A and Behboudian, M and Pourmoghim, P and Ashrafi, S and Kerachian, R and Hipel, K}, title = {A multi-agent decision-making framework for evaluating the water and environmental resources management scenarios under climate change.}, journal = {The Science of the total environment}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {161060}, doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2022.161060}, pmid = {36565879}, issn = {1879-1026}, abstract = {This paper introduces a hierarchical multi-agent decision-making framework for Water and Environmental Resources Management Scenarios (WERMSs) under uncertain conditions of climate change and complex agent characteristics. The proposed framework utilizes three Game Theory concepts: the Stackelberg, Bayesian (Incomplete), and Imperfect games, by which the hierarchical structure of the agents and the temporal distribution and accuracy of information between agents are incorporated. The methodology is applied to the Zarrinehroud River Basin (ZRB), the largest hypersaline lake in the Middle East. The area of the lake has decreased dramatically (about 50 %) during past decades causing various environmental, social, and economic problems. WERMSs were evaluated using qualitative and quantitative hydrological, social, economic, and ecological criteria under different climate change scenarios. The proposed methodology provides equilibriums in the decision-making process while considering different climate change scenarios. Applying the selected WERM results in an accumulated value of 2995 million m[3] of water flow to the lake until 2049. Moreover, the lake's elevation reaches a new level of 1272.6 m above sea level at the end of the following 30 years, compared to the elevation of 1271.3 at the beginning of the evaluation period.}, } @article {pmid36565865, year = {2022}, author = {Aidoo, OF and Souza, PGC and Silva, RS and Júnior, PAS and Picanço, MC and Heve, WK and Duker, RQ and Ablormeti, FK and Sétamou, M and Borgemeister, C}, title = {Modeling climate change impacts on potential global distribution of Tamarixia radiata.}, journal = {The Science of the total environment}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {160962}, doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2022.160962}, pmid = {36565865}, issn = {1879-1026}, abstract = {The Asian citrus psyllid (ACP), Diaphorina citri Kuwayama (Hemiptera: Liviidae), is an efficient vector of "Candidatus Liberibacter" species, the causative agents implicated in citrus greening or huanglongbing (HLB). HLB is the most devastating citrus disease and has killed hundreds of millions of citrus trees worldwide. Classical biological control using Tamarixia radiata Waterston (Hymenoptera: Eulophidae) against ACP has been successful in some regions. Climatic conditions are critical in determining suitable areas for the geographical distribution of T. radiata. However, paucity of information on climate change impacts on the global spread of T. radiata restricts international efforts to manage ACP with T. radiata. We investigated the potential global distribution of T. radiata using 317 native and non-native occurrence records and 20 environmental data sets (with correlation coefficients (|r| > 0.7)). Using the Maximum Entropy model, these data were analyzed for two shared socioeconomic pathways (SSPs) and two time periods (2030s and 2050s). We showed that habitat suitability for T. radiata occurred in all continents except Antarctica. However, the highly suitable areas for T. radiata were found in parts of the Americas, Asia, Africa and Oceania. The climate suitable areas would increase until 2050s. The predictions showed that mean temperature of coldest quarter and precipitation of warmest quarter were the most important environmental variables that influenced the distribution of T. radiata. The model reliably predicted habitat suitability for T. radiata, which can be adapted in classical biological control programs to effectively manage ACP in an environmentally friendly manner.}, } @article {pmid36565251, year = {2022}, author = {Drews, SJ and Wendel, S and Leiby, DA and Tonnetti, L and Ushiro-Lumb, I and O'Brien, SF and Lieshout-Krikke, RW and Bloch, EM and , }, title = {Climate change and parasitic risk to the blood supply.}, journal = {Transfusion}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, doi = {10.1111/trf.17234}, pmid = {36565251}, issn = {1537-2995}, } @article {pmid36564631, year = {2022}, author = {DeAngelo, J and Saenz, BT and Arzeno-Soltero, IB and Frieder, CA and Long, MC and Hamman, J and Davis, KA and Davis, SJ}, title = {Economic and biophysical limits to seaweed farming for climate change mitigation.}, journal = {Nature plants}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, pmid = {36564631}, issn = {2055-0278}, abstract = {Net-zero greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions targets are driving interest in opportunities for biomass-based negative emissions and bioenergy, including from marine sources such as seaweed. Yet the biophysical and economic limits to farming seaweed at scales relevant to the global carbon budget have not been assessed in detail. We use coupled seaweed growth and technoeconomic models to estimate the costs of global seaweed production and related climate benefits, systematically testing the relative importance of model parameters. Under our most optimistic assumptions, sinking farmed seaweed to the deep sea to sequester a gigaton of CO2 per year costs as little as US$480 per tCO2 on average, while using farmed seaweed for products that avoid a gigaton of CO2-equivalent GHG emissions annually could return a profit of $50 per tCO2-eq. However, these costs depend on low farming costs, high seaweed yields, and assumptions that almost all carbon in seaweed is removed from the atmosphere (that is, competition between phytoplankton and seaweed is negligible) and that seaweed products can displace products with substantial embodied non-CO2 GHG emissions. Moreover, the gigaton-scale climate benefits we model would require farming very large areas (>90,000 km[2])-a >30-fold increase in the area currently farmed. Our results therefore suggest that seaweed-based climate benefits may be feasible, but targeted research and demonstrations are needed to further reduce economic and biophysical uncertainties.}, } @article {pmid36564208, year = {2022}, author = {Junck, L and Malow, BA}, title = {Climate Change and Air Pollution: Neurologists Should Educate Themselves and Get Involved.}, journal = {Neurology}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, doi = {10.1212/WNL.0000000000206754}, pmid = {36564208}, issn = {1526-632X}, } @article {pmid36563477, year = {2022}, author = {Mohammed, M and Wang, H}, title = {Climatic conditions drive vegetation patterns: A theoretical and practical evidence: Comments on "Impacts of climate change on vegetation pattern: Mathematical modelling and data analysis" by Sun et al. (2022).}, journal = {Physics of life reviews}, volume = {44}, number = {}, pages = {89-90}, doi = {10.1016/j.plrev.2022.12.008}, pmid = {36563477}, issn = {1873-1457}, } @article {pmid36563443, year = {2022}, author = {Moore, D and Bach, V and Finkbeiner, M and Honkomp, T and Ahn, H and Sprenger, M and Froese, L and Gratzel, D}, title = {Offsetting environmental impacts beyond climate change: the Circular Ecosystem Compensation approach.}, journal = {Journal of environmental management}, volume = {329}, number = {}, pages = {117068}, doi = {10.1016/j.jenvman.2022.117068}, pmid = {36563443}, issn = {1095-8630}, abstract = {Since the Paris Agreement entered into force, climate neutrality and associated compensation schemes are even more on the agenda of politics and companies. Challenges of existing offsetting schemes include the rather theoretical saving scenario and the limited scope of considered impacts. To address some of these limitations, this paper proposes the Circular Ecosystem Compensation (CEC) approach based on monetization of LCA results and Ecosystem Valuation. CEC consists of six steps: i) carrying out a life cycle assessment, ii) reducing the environmental impacts, iii) determining environmental costs applying monetization methods, iv) deriving the environmental value based on restoration costs methods, v) implementing the ecological restoration of ecosystems and vi) monitoring of the renaturation measures. Thus, CEC allows to offset a broad set of environmental impacts beyond climate change (e.g., acidification, eutrophication, land use, water use) in a real ecosystem by renaturation of degraded ecosystems. Environmental burdens and environmental benefits are balanced on a monetary basis, as the renaturation measures are monetized and used to compensate the monetized LCA results, e.g., of a product, organization or individual. In a case study, the implementation of the approach is presented to show the practical implementation of the CEC. The challenges of CEC include the integration of further impact categories, the availability of up-to-date and reliable monetization methods, the asynchrony and time-lag of the compensation from an ecosystem and biodiversity perspective and the proof of cost-efficiency of the renaturation measures. It is further discussed, if CEC can be a step beyond "climate neutrality" towards "environmental neutrality". The proposed approach should be further tested and is intended to foster progress in more comprehensive and robust offsetting of environmental impacts beyond climate change.}, } @article {pmid36560944, year = {2022}, author = {Yang, G and Tian, J and Chen, J}, title = {Editorial: Soil microbes in polar region: Response, adaptation and mitigation of climate change.}, journal = {Frontiers in microbiology}, volume = {13}, number = {}, pages = {1086822}, pmid = {36560944}, issn = {1664-302X}, } @article {pmid36556385, year = {2022}, author = {Rasheed, A and Rasool, SG and Soriano, P and Estrelles, E and Gul, B and Hameed, A}, title = {Ecophysiological and Biochemical Responses Depicting Seed Tolerance to Osmotic Stresses in Annual and Perennial Species of Halopeplis in a Frame of Global Warming.}, journal = {Life (Basel, Switzerland)}, volume = {12}, number = {12}, pages = {}, doi = {10.3390/life12122020}, pmid = {36556385}, issn = {2075-1729}, abstract = {Plant abundance and distribution are regulated by subtle changes in ecological factors, which are becoming more frequent under global climate change. Species with a higher tolerance to such changes, especially during early lifecycle stages, are highly likely to endure climate change. This study compared the germination adaptability of Halopeplis amplexicaulis and H. perfoliata, which differ in life-form and grow in different environments. Optimal conditions, tolerances and the biochemical responses of seeds to osmotic stresses were examined. Seeds of H. perfoliata germinated in a wider range of temperature regimes and were more tolerant to osmotic stresses than H. amplexicaulis seeds. Neither NaCl nor PEG treatment invoked the H2O2 content in germinating seeds of the tested species. Consequently, unaltered, or even decreased activities of H2O2 detoxification enzymes and non-enzymatic antioxidants were observed in germinating seeds in response to the aforementioned stresses. High and comparable levels of recovery from isotonic treatments, alongside a lack of substantial oxidative damage indicated that the osmotic stress, rather than the ionic toxicity, may be responsible for the germination inhibition. Hence, rainy periods, linked to water availability, may act as a key determinant for germination and H. perfoliata could be less affected by global warming owing to better germinability under high temperatures compared with H. amplexicaulis. Such studies involving biochemical analysis coupled with the germination ecology of congeneric species, which differ in life-form and occurrence are scarce, therefore are important in understanding the impacts of global changes on species abundance/distribution.}, } @article {pmid36555057, year = {2022}, author = {Ouyang, X and Chen, A and Li, Y and Han, X and Lin, H}, title = {Predicting the Potential Distribution of Pine Wilt Disease in China under Climate Change.}, journal = {Insects}, volume = {13}, number = {12}, pages = {}, doi = {10.3390/insects13121147}, pmid = {36555057}, issn = {2075-4450}, abstract = {The primary culprits of pine wilt disease (PWD), an epidemic forest disease that significantly endangers the human environment and the world's forest resources, are pinewood nematodes (PWN, Bursaphelenchus xylophilus). The MaxEnt model has been used to predict and analyze the potential geographic spread of PWD in China under the effects of climate change and can serve as a foundation for high-efficiency monitoring, supervision, and prompt prevention and management. In this work, the MaxEnt model's criteria settings were optimized using data from 646 PWD infestation sites and seven climate variables from the ENMeval data package. It simulated and forecasted how PWD may be distributed under present and future (the 2050s and 2070s) climatic circumstances, and the key climate factors influencing the disease were examined. The area under AUC (area under receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve) is 0.940 under the parameters, demonstrating the accuracy of the simulation. Under the current climate conditions, the moderately and highly suitable habitats of PWD are distributed in Anhui, Jiangxi, Hubei, Hunan, Guangdong, Guangxi, Sichuan, and other provinces. The outcomes demonstrated that the fundamental climate variables influencing the PWD distribution were rainfall and temperature, specifically including maximum temperature of warmest month, mean temperature of driest quarter, coefficient of variation of precipitation seasonality, and precipitation of wettest quarter. The evaluation outcomes of the MaxEnt model revealed that the total and highly suitable areas of PWD will expand substantially by both 2050 and 2070, and the potential distribution of PWD will have a tendency to spread towards high altitudes and latitudes.}, } @article {pmid36554991, year = {2022}, author = {Xue, Y and Lin, C and Wang, Y and Liu, W and Wan, F and Zhang, Y and Ji, L}, title = {Predicting Climate Change Effects on the Potential Distribution of Two Invasive Cryptic Species of the Bemisia tabaci Species Complex in China.}, journal = {Insects}, volume = {13}, number = {12}, pages = {}, doi = {10.3390/insects13121081}, pmid = {36554991}, issn = {2075-4450}, abstract = {Middle East-Asia Minor 1 (MEAM1) and Mediterranean (MED) are two invasive cryptic species of the Bemisia tabaci species complex (Hemiptera: Aleyrodidae) that cause serious damage to agricultural and horticultural crops worldwide. To explore the possible impact of climate change on their distribution, the maximum entropy (MaxEnt) model was used to predict the potential distribution ranges of MEAM1 and MED in China under current and four future climate scenarios, using shared socioeconomic pathways (SSPs), namely SSP1-2.6, SSP2-4.5, SSP3-7.0, and SSP5-8.5, over four time periods (2021-2040, 2041-2060, 2061-2080, and 2081-2100). The distribution ranges of MEAM1 and MED were extensive and similar in China under current climatic conditions, while their moderately and highly suitable habitat ranges differed. Under future climate scenarios, the areas of suitable habitat of different levels for MEAM1 and MED were predicted to increase to different degrees. However, the predicted expansion of suitable habitats varied between them, suggesting that these invasive cryptic species respond differently to climate change. Our results illustrate the difference in the effects of climate change on the geographical distribution of different cryptic species of B. tabaci and provide insightful information for further forecasting and managing the two invasive cryptic species in China.}, } @article {pmid36554985, year = {2022}, author = {Standen, JC and Spencer, J and Lee, GW and Van Buskirk, J and Matthews, V and Hanigan, I and Boylan, S and Jegasothy, E and Breth-Petersen, M and Morgan, GG}, title = {Correction: Standen et al. Aboriginal Population and Climate Change in Australia: Implications for Health and Adaptation Planning. Int.&nbsp;J. Environ. Res. Public Health 2022, 19, 7502.}, journal = {International journal of environmental research and public health}, volume = {19}, number = {24}, pages = {}, doi = {10.3390/ijerph192416378}, pmid = {36554985}, issn = {1660-4601}, abstract = {In the original publication [...].}, } @article {pmid36554974, year = {2022}, author = {Bao, S and Yang, F}, title = {Influences of Climate Change and Land Use Change on the Habitat Suitability of Bharal in the Sanjiangyuan District, China.}, journal = {International journal of environmental research and public health}, volume = {19}, number = {24}, pages = {}, doi = {10.3390/ijerph192417082}, pmid = {36554974}, issn = {1660-4601}, abstract = {One of the biggest dangers to the degradation of biodiversity worldwide is climate change. Its oscillations in the future could result in potential alterations to species populations and habitat structure. With Sanjiangyuan District as the study site, an uncrewed aerial vehicle (UAV) was utilized to investigate the number and location of the bharal (Pseudois nayaur). The Maximum Entropy model and the Minimum Cumulative Resistance model (MaxEnt-MCR) were coupled to simulate the distribution of wildlife. On this basis, the future geographical distribution of bharal under different climate scenarios was simulated, and the ecological corridor and habitat centroid of bharal were revealed. The results showed that the suitable area of the bharal habitat was 4669 km[2], which was mainly concentrated in the Maduo, Qumalai, and Gonghe counties. The potential distribution of the species under different future climate scenarios had a decreasing trend. Under the SSP-245 scenario, the habitat area of bharal in 2030 and 2050 decreased by 25.68 and 44.61% compared with the present situation and cumulatively decreased by 1199 and 2083 km[2], respectively. Under the SSP-585 scenario, the habitat area of bharal in 2030 and 2050 decreased by 27.5 and 48.44%, with a total reduction of 1284 and 2262 km[2], respectively. Furthermore, a complete loss of habitat was predicted in Gonghe County by 2050. In addition, it was observed that the landscape structure in Sanjiangyuan District would be more fragmented and complex. The continued climate change will seriously affect the habitat distribution of this species. Therefore, preventive measures, such as protecting habitat areas and establishing ecological corridors for bharal, should be implemented in the Sanjiangyuan District. Such measures should not focus solely on the potential degradation but should also be extended to include potential distribution areas for future migration.}, } @article {pmid36554966, year = {2022}, author = {Al-Jawaldeh, A and Nabhani, M and Taktouk, M and Nasreddine, L}, title = {Climate Change and Nutrition: Implications for the Eastern Mediterranean Region.}, journal = {International journal of environmental research and public health}, volume = {19}, number = {24}, pages = {}, doi = {10.3390/ijerph192417086}, pmid = {36554966}, issn = {1660-4601}, abstract = {The Eastern Mediterranean Region (EMR) is considered among the world's most vulnerable to the dire impacts of climate change. This review paper aims at (1) characterizing climate change in countries of the EMR; (2) examining the potential effects of climate change on the nutritional and health status of the population; and (3) identifying the most vulnerable population groups. The paper explored several climate change indicators including daily temperatures, extreme temperature, daily precipitation, extreme precipitation (flooding, drought, storms, etc.), humidity, CO2 concentrations and sea surface temperature in EMR countries. Findings suggest that climate change will exert a significant adverse effect on water and food security and showed that the nutritional status of the population, which is already characterized by the triple burden of malnutrition, is likely to worsen via three main pathways mediated by climate change, namely, its impact on food security, care and health. Women, infants, children, those living in poor households and those experiencing displacement will be among the most vulnerable to the nutritional impacts of climate change. The paper concludes with a set of recommendations from the Initiative on Climate Action and Nutrition, which can support the region in tackling the critical nexus of climate change and nutrition.}, } @article {pmid36554920, year = {2022}, author = {Falak, F and Ayub, F and Zahid, Z and Sarfraz, Z and Sarfraz, A and Robles-Velasco, K and Cherrez-Ojeda, I}, title = {Indicators of Climate Change, Geospatial and Analytical Mapping of Trends in India, Pakistan and Bangladesh: An Observational Study.}, journal = {International journal of environmental research and public health}, volume = {19}, number = {24}, pages = {}, doi = {10.3390/ijerph192417039}, pmid = {36554920}, issn = {1660-4601}, abstract = {The year 2022 has served as a recall for the impact that climate change has in the South Asian region, which is one of the most vulnerable regions to climate shock. With a paucity of climate-based and geospatial observational studies in South Asia, this paper (i) links power sectors and carbon dioxide emissions, (ii) maps nitrogen dioxide density across three countries (Pakistan, India, and Bangladesh), (iii) understands electricity generation trends and projects weather changes through 2100. We monitored data monitored between 1995 and 2021. The following databases were used: the International Energy Agency, the World Bank, the UN Food and Agricultural Organization. Raw data was obtained for climate indicators, which were entered into Microsoft Excel. Geospatial trends were generated in the ArcGIS geostatistical tool by adopting the ordinary kriging method to interpolate and create continuous surfaces depicting the concentration of nitrogen dioxide in the three countries. We found increased usage of coal and fossil fuels in three countries (Pakistan, India, and Bangladesh). Both were significant contributors to carbon dioxide emissions. The geographic localities in South Asia were densely clouded with nitrogen dioxide as reported with the tropospheric column mapping. There are expected to be increased days with a heat index >35 °C, and consecutive dry days from 2020 and 2100. We also found increased chances of flooding in certain regions across the three countries. This study monitored climate change indicators and projects between 1995 and 2100. Lastly, we make recommendations to improve the relationship of the environment and living beings.}, } @article {pmid36554919, year = {2022}, author = {Boncu, Ș and Prundeanu, O and Holman, AC and Popușoi, SA}, title = {Believing in or Denying Climate Change for Questionable Reasons: Generic Conspiracist Beliefs, Personality, and Climate Change Perceptions of Romanian University Students.}, journal = {International journal of environmental research and public health}, volume = {19}, number = {24}, pages = {}, doi = {10.3390/ijerph192417038}, pmid = {36554919}, issn = {1660-4601}, abstract = {People's perceptions of climate change represent a growing concern, especially when these perceptions entail the denial of climate change. Past studies have highlighted the detrimental role of conspiracist beliefs concerning climate change regarding people's perceptions on this matter. However, the effects of generic conspiracy beliefs and the different types of beliefs determining skepticism about climate change, as well as that of an individual's personality, are still an open area of inquiry. Our cross-sectional study (N = 842) explored the relationships between the degree to which people hold different generic conspiracy beliefs, their personality characteristics (as defined within the Big Five taxonomy), and climate change beliefs (i.e., in its occurrence and anthropogenic causation). Results indicated common predictors of these dimensions of climate change beliefs, specifically three of the five types of generic conspiracy beliefs, extraversion, agreeability, and intellect/imagination as personality factors. While conspiracy beliefs related to personal well-being emerged as related to climate change skepticism, those in government malfeasance and information control were found to be associated with more acceptance of climate change and its anthropogenic causation. These findings reveal a mixed pattern of relationships between different conspiracist beliefs and climate change perceptions and suggest the complex psychological and ideological underpinnings of the attitudes towards climate change.}, } @article {pmid36554749, year = {2022}, author = {Sanni, O and Salami, B and Oluwasina, F and Ojo, F and Kennedy, M}, title = {Climate Change and African Migrant Health.}, journal = {International journal of environmental research and public health}, volume = {19}, number = {24}, pages = {}, doi = {10.3390/ijerph192416867}, pmid = {36554749}, issn = {1660-4601}, abstract = {INTRODUCTION: Climate change exacerbates existing sociopolitical and economic vulnerabilities, undermining livelihoods, inflating the risk of conflict, and making it difficult for people to remain stable. In 2019, around 25 million new displacements occurred due to natural disasters. This review aims to summarize the existing evidence regarding the impact of climate change on the health of African immigrants.

METHODS: Nine databases were systematically searched using a strategy developed in collaboration with a subject librarian. Potentially relevant articles were identified, screened, and reviewed by at least two reviewers, with a third reviewer resolving conflicts where necessary. Data were extracted from relevant articles using a standardized form.

RESULTS: Seven studies (three cross-sectional, two qualitative, one cohort, and one need assessment report) were identified; they included different categories of African migrants and reported on various aspects of health. The included articles report on climate change, e.g., flooding, drought, and excess heat, resulting in respiratory illness, mental health issues, malnutrition, and premature mortality among African immigrants.

CONCLUSION: This review suggests climate change adversely affects the physical, mental, and social health of African immigrants. It also highlights a knowledge gap in evidence related to the impact of climate change on the health of African immigrants.}, } @article {pmid36554567, year = {2022}, author = {Ramalho, M and Ferreira, JC and Jóia Santos, C}, title = {Climate Change Adaptation Strategies at a Local Scale: The Portuguese Case Study.}, journal = {International journal of environmental research and public health}, volume = {19}, number = {24}, pages = {}, doi = {10.3390/ijerph192416687}, pmid = {36554567}, issn = {1660-4601}, abstract = {Coastal areas are home to more than 2 billion people around the globe and, as such, are especially vulnerable to climate change consequences. Climate change adaptation has proven to be more effective on a local scale, contributing to a bottom-up approach to the problems related to the changing climate. Portugal has approximately 2000 km of coastline, with 75% of the population living along the coast. Therefore, this research had the main objective of understanding adaptation processes at a local scale, using Portuguese coastal municipalities as a case study. To achieve this goal, document analysis and a questionnaire to coastal municipalities were applied, and the existence of measures rooted in nature-based solutions, green infrastructures, and community-based adaptation was adopted as a variable. The main conclusion from this research is that 87% of the municipalities that answered the questionnaire have climate change adaptation strategies implemented or in development. Moreover, it was possible to conclude that 90% of the municipalities are familiar with the concept of nature-based solutions and all the municipalities with adaptation strategies include green infrastructure. However, it was also possible to infer that community-based adaptation is a concept that most municipalities do not know about or undervalue.}, } @article {pmid36554551, year = {2022}, author = {Lai, K and Yang, Y and Na, Y and Wang, H}, title = {The Relationship between Bullshit Receptivity and Willingness to Share Misinformation about Climate Change: The Moderating Role of Pregnancy.}, journal = {International journal of environmental research and public health}, volume = {19}, number = {24}, pages = {}, doi = {10.3390/ijerph192416670}, pmid = {36554551}, issn = {1660-4601}, abstract = {Widespread dissemination of misinformation about climate change has seriously harmed the health of future generations and the world. Moreover, misinformation-sharing behaviors exhibit strong individual characteristics. However, research is limited on the antecedents of and mechanism underlying the willingness to share misinformation about climate change in terms of individual personalities and physiological states. Accordingly, we surveyed 582 women (224 pregnant) using a questionnaire and constructed a moderated mediation model to explore the relationships among individuals' bullshit receptivity, belief in misinformation about climate change, willingness to share misinformation about climate change, and pregnancy. The results showed that: (1) bullshit receptivity is positively related to the willingness to share misinformation about climate change; (2) belief in misinformation about climate change mediates the relationship between bullshit receptivity and willingness to share misinformation about climate change; and (3) for individuals with higher bullshit receptivity, pregnancy exacerbates the detrimental effects of bullshit receptivity on belief in misinformation about climate change.}, } @article {pmid36554518, year = {2022}, author = {Jia, K and Zhang, W and Xie, B and Xue, X and Zhang, F and Han, D}, title = {Does Climate Change Increase Crop Water Requirements of Winter Wheat and Summer Maize in the Lower Reaches of the Yellow River Basin?.}, journal = {International journal of environmental research and public health}, volume = {19}, number = {24}, pages = {}, doi = {10.3390/ijerph192416640}, pmid = {36554518}, issn = {1660-4601}, abstract = {With increasing water resources stress under climate change, it is of great importance to deeply understand the spatio-temporal variation of crop water requirements and their response to climate change for achieving better water resources management and grain production. However, the quantitative evaluation of climate change impacts on crop water requirements and the identification of determining factors should be further explored to reveal the influencing mechanism and actual effects thoroughly. In this study, the water requirements of winter wheat and summer maize from 1981 to 2019 in the lower reaches of the Yellow River Basin were estimated based on the Penman-Monteith model and crop coefficient method using daily meteorological data. Combined with trends test, sensitivity and contribution analysis, the impacts of different meteorological factors on crop water requirement variation were explored, and the dominant factors were then identified. The results indicated that the temperature increased significantly (a significance level of 0.05 was considered), whereas the sunshine duration, relative humidity and wind speed decreased significantly from 1981 to 2019 in the study area. The total water requirements of winter wheat and summer maize presented a significant decreasing trend (-1.36 mm/a) from 1981 to 2019 with a multi-year average value of 936.7 mm. The crop water requirements of winter wheat was higher than that of summer maize, with multi-year average values of 546.6 mm and 390.1 mm, respectively. In terms of spatial distribution patterns, the crop water requirement in the north was generally higher than that in the south. The water requirements of winter wheat and summer maize were most sensitive to wind speed, and were less sensitive to the minimum temperature and relative humidity. Wind speed was the leading factor of crop water requirement variation with the highest contribution rate of 116.26% among the considered meteorological factors. The results of this study will provide important support for strengthening the capacity to cope with climate change and realizing sustainable utilization of agricultural water resources in the lower reaches of the Yellow River Basin.}, } @article {pmid36554413, year = {2022}, author = {Allias Omar, SM and Wan Ariffin, WNH and Mohd Sidek, L and Basri, H and Moh Khambali, MH and Ahmed, AN}, title = {Hydrological Analysis of Batu Dam, Malaysia in the Urban Area: Flood and Failure Analysis Preparing for Climate Change.}, journal = {International journal of environmental research and public health}, volume = {19}, number = {24}, pages = {}, doi = {10.3390/ijerph192416530}, pmid = {36554413}, issn = {1660-4601}, abstract = {Extensive hydrological analysis is carried out to estimate floods for the Batu Dam, a hydropower dam located in the urban area upstream of Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia. The study demonstrates the operational state and reliability of the dam structure based on hydrologic assessment of the dam. The surrounding area is affected by heavy rainfall and climate change every year, which increases the probability of flooding and threatens a dense population downstream of the dam. This study evaluates the adequacy of dam spillways by considering the latest Probable Maximum Precipitation (PMP) and Probable Maximum Flood (PMF) values of the concerned dams. In this study, the PMP estimations are applied using comparison of both statistical method by Hershfield and National Hydraulic Research Institute of Malaysia (NAHRIM) Envelope Curve as input for PMF establishments. Since the PMF is derived from the PMP values, the highest design flood standard can be applied to any dam, ensuring inflow into the reservoirs and limiting the risk of dam structural failure. Hydrologic modeling using HEC-HMS provides PMF values for the Batu dam. Based on the results, Batu Dam is found to have 200.6 m[3]/s spillway discharge capacities. Under PMF conditions, the Batu dam will not face overtopping since the peak outflow of the reservoir level is still below the crest level of the dam.}, } @article {pmid36553731, year = {2022}, author = {Tajudeen, TT and Omotayo, A and Ogundele, FO and Rathbun, LC}, title = {The Effect of Climate Change on Food Crop Production in Lagos State.}, journal = {Foods (Basel, Switzerland)}, volume = {11}, number = {24}, pages = {}, doi = {10.3390/foods11243987}, pmid = {36553731}, issn = {2304-8158}, abstract = {Climate change is set to be particularly disruptive in poor agricultural communities. This study examines the effects of, and farmer's perceptions of, climate change on farming practices for cassava and maize in Lagos, Nigeria. Analysis of weather data from 1998 to 2018 (the most recent available) reveals little impact on cassava yield but a significant impact on maize yield. Furthermore, survey results indicate that farmers in this area are currently implementing techniques to adapt to changes in climate based on the type of crop grown. Agriculture in Lagos, Nigeria, is largely rain-fed and climate change negatively impacts crop productivity by decreasing crop yield and soil fertility, limiting the availability of soil water, increasing soil erosion, and contributing to the spread of pests. A decline in crop production due to climate change may be further exasperated by a lack of access to farming technology that reduces over-reliance on the rain-fed farming system and subsistence agriculture. This study indicates that there is a need for initiatives to motivate young and older farmers through access to credits, irrigation facilities, and innovative climate change adaptive strategies.}, } @article {pmid36552317, year = {2022}, author = {Mu, T and He, D and Zhu, R and Sui, X and Chen, Y}, title = {Changes in the Suitable Habitats of Three Endemic Fishes to Climate Change in Tibet.}, journal = {Biology}, volume = {11}, number = {12}, pages = {}, doi = {10.3390/biology11121808}, pmid = {36552317}, issn = {2079-7737}, abstract = {As one of the most sensitive regions to global climate change, Tibet is subject to remarkable changes in biota over the past decades, including endemic fish species. However, no study has attempted to predict the changes in the distribution of Tibetan fishes, leaving a great blank for aquatic conservation in Tibet. Based on the Maximum Entropy model (MaxEnt), this study predicted the changes in the suitable habitats of three endemic fish species, including two species mainly inhabiting the rivers (Glyptosternon maculatum, Oxygymnocypris stewartii) and one species mainly inhabiting lakes (Gymnocypris selincuoensis) in Tibet under two representative concentration pathways (RCP2.6 and RCP8.5) under two future scenarios (2050 and 2090), and explored the impact of the barrier effects of hydropower projects on the suitable habitats of fish. The results showed that under the four scenarios, the net change in the suitable habitats of the G. maculatum was negative (-2.0--18.8%), while the suitable habitats of the O. stewartii and G. selincuoensis would be expanded, with the net change of 60.0-238.3% and 46.4-56.9%, respectively. Under different scenarios, the suitable habitats of the three species had a tendency to migrate to a higher elevation, and the largest expansion in the range of migration was projected to occur under the 2090-RCP8.5 scenario. In addition, due to the impact of the hydropower projects, the ability of G. maculatum to obtain new suitable habitats from climate change would be reduced by 2.0-8.1%, which was less than the loss induced by climate change (5.5-25.1%), while the suitable habitats of O. stewartii would be reduced by 3.0-9.7%, which was more than the impact of climate change (about 1%). The results of this study have guiding significance for the conservation and management of fish resources diversity in the Yarlung Tsangpo River basin and Siling Co basin of Tibet, and also provide a reference for the coordination and scientific planning of hydropower projects in Tibet.}, } @article {pmid36549538, year = {2022}, author = {da Silva, CRB and Beaman, JE and Youngblood, JP and Kellermann, V and Diamond, SE}, title = {Vulnerability to climate change increases with trophic level in terrestrial organisms.}, journal = {The Science of the total environment}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {161049}, doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2022.161049}, pmid = {36549538}, issn = {1879-1026}, abstract = {The resilience of ecosystem function under global climate change is governed by individual species vulnerabilities and the functional groups they contribute to (e.g. decomposition, primary production, pollination, primary, secondary and tertiary consumption). Yet it remains unclear whether species that contribute to different functional groups, which underpin ecosystem function, differ in their vulnerability to climate change. We used existing upper thermal limit data across a range of terrestrial species (N = 1701) to calculate species warming margins (degrees distance between a species upper thermal limit and the maximum environmental temperature they inhabit), as a metric of climate change vulnerability. We examined whether species that comprise different functional groups exhibit differential vulnerability to climate change, and if vulnerability trends change across geographic space while considering evolutionary history. Primary producers had the broadest warming margins across the globe (μ = 18.72 °C) and tertiary consumers had the narrowest warming margins (μ = 9.64 °C), where vulnerability tended to increase with trophic level. Warming margins had a nonlinear relationship (second-degree polynomial) with absolute latitude, where warming margins were narrowest at about 33°, and were broader at lower and higher absolute latitudes. Evolutionary history explained significant variation in species warming margins, as did the methodology used to estimate species upper thermal limits. We investigated if variation in body mass across the trophic levels could explain why higher trophic level organisms had narrower warming margins than lower trophic level organisms, however, we did not find support for this hypothesis. This study provides a critical first step in linking individual species vulnerabilities with whole ecosystem responses to climate change.}, } @article {pmid36549530, year = {2022}, author = {Guo, Y and Zhao, Z and Zhu, F and Gao, B}, title = {The impact of global warming on the potential suitable planting area of Pistacia chinensis is limited.}, journal = {The Science of the total environment}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {161007}, doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2022.161007}, pmid = {36549530}, issn = {1879-1026}, abstract = {Pistacia chinensis Bunge. is one of the main woody oil crops with a large artificial planting area in China and has important economic and ecological value. Here, based on 237 occurrence data and 22 environmental variables, we explored the potential planting area of P. chinensis in China in the present and future climate change scenarios by using a comprehensive model method. To fully consider the potential planting area of P. chinensis under specific climate change conditions and the limitations of soil conditions, we separately built two niche models to simulate the climate niche and soil demand niche, and then used the intersection of the two models as the result of the comprehensive habitat suitability model, finally, we used land-use data to filter the CHS model result. Our results showed, that under the baseline condition, the potential planting area of P. chinensis covers approximately 0.74 × 10[6] km[2] in China. The future projection showed that the impact of global warming on the potentially suitable planting area of P. chinensis is limited, and most of the existing suitable habitats are not affected by climate change. With increasing temperature, the potential planting area will expand northward and slightly contract in the south margin, and its area will be slightly increased. Therefore, this species has great planting potential in China and should be given priority in the future afforestation plan.}, } @article {pmid36548924, year = {2022}, author = {Rahimi, M and Fatemi, F and Rezaei Mohammdi, Z}, title = {Impacts of climate change on occupational health indicators in the three climatic regions of Iran.}, journal = {International journal of environmental health research}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {1-12}, doi = {10.1080/09603123.2022.2158179}, pmid = {36548924}, issn = {1369-1619}, abstract = {Climate change has increased the exposure risk of workers to occupational health risk factors and diseases. This study aims to investigate the impacts of climate change on the occupational health indicators at the workplaces in Iran. This study was conducted during 2021 in three climatic regions of Iran. Required data was collected from Health Deputies of Medical Universities and Iran Meteorological Organization. Stepwise linear regression model used for data analysis and predictions were done based on three scenarios of SSP1-2.6, SSP3-7.0, and SSP5-8.5 during the period of 2021-2100. This indicated 2.6 and 2.9 times higher percentage of workers who were exposed to heat stress and Ultra Violet (UV) radiation, respectively, in the provinces understudy. This study suggests a holistic approach to address potential impacts of climate change on workers' health and safety that would benefit in making decisions on climate-related planning and developing the adaptation strategies at workplaces.}, } @article {pmid36548686, year = {2022}, author = {Wang, G and Zhang, D and Khan, J and Guo, J and Feng, Q and Sun, Y and Li, B and Wu, Y and Wu, Z and Zheng, X}, title = {Predicting the Impact of Climate Change on the Distribution of a Neglected Arboviruses Vector (Armigeres&nbsp;subalbatus) in China.}, journal = {Tropical medicine and infectious disease}, volume = {7}, number = {12}, pages = {}, doi = {10.3390/tropicalmed7120431}, pmid = {36548686}, issn = {2414-6366}, abstract = {The geographic boundaries of arboviruses continue to expand, posing a major health threat to millions of people around the world. This expansion is related to the availability of effective vectors and suitable habitats. Armigeres&nbsp;subalbatus (Coquillett, 1898), a common and neglected species, is of increasing interest given its potential vector capacity for Zika virus. However, potential distribution patterns and the underlying driving factors of Ar. subalbatus remain unknown. In the current study, detailed maps of their potential distributions were developed under both the current as well as future climate change scenarios (SSP126 and SSP585) based on CMIP6 data, employing the MaxEnt model. The results showed that the distribution of the Ar. subalbatus was mainly affected by temperature. Mean diurnal range was the strongest predictor in shaping the distribution of Ar. subalbatus, with an 85.2% contribution rate. By the 2050s and 2070s, Ar. subalbatus will have a broader potential distribution across China. There are two suitable expansion types under climate change in the 2050s and 2070s. The first type is continuous distribution expansion, and the second type is sporadic distribution expansion. Our comprehensive analysis of Ar. subalbatus's suitable distribution areas shifts under climate change and provides useful and insightful information for developing management strategies for future arboviruses.}, } @article {pmid36547743, year = {2022}, author = {Andreasson, F and Nord, A and Nilsson, JÅ}, title = {Variation in breeding phenology in response to climate change in two passerine species.}, journal = {Oecologia}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, pmid = {36547743}, issn = {1432-1939}, abstract = {Increasingly warmer springs have caused phenological shifts in both plants and animals. In birds, it is well established that mean laying date has advanced to match the earlier food peak. We know less about changes in the distribution of egg-laying dates within a population and the environmental variables that determine this variation. This could be an important component of how populations respond to climate change. We, therefore, used laying date and environmental data from 39 years (1983-2021) to determine how climate change affected laying date variation in blue tits (Cyanistes caeruleus) and marsh tits (Poecile palustris), two sympatric passerines with different life histories. Both species advanced mean laying date (0.19-0.24 days per year) and mean laying date showed a negative relationship with maximum spring temperature in both blue and marsh tits. In springs with no clear temperature increase during the critical time window (the time-window in which mean laying date was most sensitive to temperature) start of breeding in blue tits was distributed over a longer part of the season. However, there was no such pattern in marsh tits. Our findings suggest that temperature change, and not necessarily absolute temperature, can shape the variation in breeding phenology in a species-specific manner, possibly linked to variation in life-history strategies. This is an important consideration when predicting how climate change affects timing of breeding within a population.}, } @article {pmid36546650, year = {2022}, author = {Glicksman, RL}, title = {Protecting the Public Health with the Inflation Reduction Act - Provisions Affecting Climate Change and Its Health Effects.}, journal = {The New England journal of medicine}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, doi = {10.1056/NEJMms2212981}, pmid = {36546650}, issn = {1533-4406}, } @article {pmid36546499, year = {2022}, author = {Michael, GC and Dankyau, M}, title = {Climate change and primary health care in Sahelian Kano, Nigeria.}, journal = {African journal of primary health care & family medicine}, volume = {14}, number = {1}, pages = {e1-e2}, doi = {10.4102/phcfm.v14i1.3745}, pmid = {36546499}, issn = {2071-2936}, abstract = {Climate change (CC) is a global phenomenon that impacts several aspects of human existence. The Sustainable Development Goal 13 implores stakeholders to take action to mitigate the effects of CC. However, its impact on health, particularly primary health care, has not been thoroughly studied. Here, we share anecdotal experiences of the impact of CC on health and primary care presentations in Kano, Northwest, Nigeria. We observed consistent clinical presentations logically associated with high temperatures and excessive flooding in certain months of the year. Presentations range from skin and water-borne diseases to malnutrition and stress-related disorders. Our experience in Kano, Nigeria could be a valuable exposition of the diversity of the impact of CC on primary health care presentation in Africa, considering geographical and cultural differences. It also exposes the paucity of data regarding the impact of CC on primary care activities in Africa.Contribution: In conclusion, CC has potential impacts on primary health care and practice. The full implications of CC on this vital level of care will require future research (quantitative and qualitative studies). This will help strategic intervention planning by stakeholders.}, } @article {pmid36546141, year = {2022}, author = {Li, T and Wang, Y and Wang, B and Ting, M and Ding, Y and Sun, Y and He, C and Yang, G}, title = {Distinctive South and East Asian monsoon circulation responses to global warming.}, journal = {Science bulletin}, volume = {67}, number = {7}, pages = {762-770}, doi = {10.1016/j.scib.2021.12.001}, pmid = {36546141}, issn = {2095-9281}, abstract = {The Asian summer monsoon (ASM) is the most energetic circulation system. Projecting its future change is critical for the mitigation and adaptation of billions of people living in the region. There are two important components within the ASM: South Asian summer monsoon (SASM) and East Asian summer monsoon (EASM). Although current state-of-the-art climate models projected increased precipitation in both SASM and EASM due to the increase of atmospheric moisture, their circulation changes differ markedly-A robust strengthening (weakening) of EASM (SASM) circulation was projected. By separating fast and slow processes in response to increased CO2 radiative forcing, we demonstrate that EASM circulation strengthening is attributed to the fast land warming and associated Tibetan Plateau thermal forcing. In contrast, SASM circulation weakening is primarily attributed to an El Niño-like oceanic warming pattern in the tropical Pacific and associated suppressed precipitation over the Maritime Continent.}, } @article {pmid36544879, year = {2022}, author = {Zulfiqar, F and Moosa, A and Nazir, MM and Ferrante, A and Ashraf, M and Nafees, M and Chen, J and Darras, A and Siddique, KHM}, title = {Biochar: An emerging recipe for designing sustainable horticulture under climate change scenarios.}, journal = {Frontiers in plant science}, volume = {13}, number = {}, pages = {1018646}, pmid = {36544879}, issn = {1664-462X}, abstract = {The interest in sustainable horticulture has recently increased, given anthropogenic climate change. The increasing global population will exacerbate the climate change situation induced by human activities. This will elevate global food demands and the vulnerability of horticultural systems, with severe concerns related to natural resource availability and usage. Sustainable horticulture involves adopting eco-friendly strategies to boost yields while maintaining environmental conservation. Biochar (BC), a carbon-rich material, is widely used in farming to improve soil physical and chemical properties and as an organic substitute for peat in growing media. BC amendments to soil or growing media improve seedling growth, increase photosynthetic pigments, and enhances photosynthesis, thus improving crop productivity. Soil BC incorporation improves abiotic and biotic stress tolerance, which are significant constraints in horticulture. BC application also improves disease control to an acceptable level or enhance plant resistance to pathogens. Moreover, BC amendments in contaminated soil decrease the uptake of potentially hazardous metals, thus minimizing their harmful effects on humans. This review summarizes the most recent knowledge related to BC use in sustainable horticulture. This includes the effect of BC on enhancing horticultural crop production and inducing resistance to major abiotic and biotic stresses. It also discuss major gaps and future directions for exploiting BC technology.}, } @article {pmid36544832, year = {2022}, author = {Al-Atroush, ME}, title = {Structural behavior of the geothermo-electrical asphalt pavement: A critical review concerning climate change.}, journal = {Heliyon}, volume = {8}, number = {12}, pages = {e12107}, pmid = {36544832}, issn = {2405-8440}, abstract = {Particularly for asphalt pavement, where the temperature is a crucial driver in selecting construction materials, premature infrastructure failure and higher maintenance costs might be highly expected with the recently witnessed dramatic changes in climate. Numerous studies highlighted how the recent climate change might result in hazards to transportation infrastructure and affect all types of transportation modes. On the flip side, flexible pavement also contributes to global warming; various studies referred to the significant emissions percentages released by asphalt pavement upon subjection to solar radiation. With that in mind, several studies showed that the environmentally-friendly geothermal systems that mainly depend on heat exchanging with the soil have positive influences on reducing energy consumption, melting the ice on roadways in cold climates, or reducing the ambient temperature and the induced latent heat from the pavement in hot climates. However, very limited studies explored the influence of those geothermal systems on the structural behavior of the pavement concerning the associated distresses with extreme climate changes. In this paper, a critical review concerning climate change has been performed to investigate the structural performance and the associated distress of both conventional and geothermal asphalt pavement. This review underlines several advantageous physical and mechanical characteristics of geothermal pavement, which may recommend this system as a worthwhile alternative to conventional asphalt pavement. The paper also identified future research needs to overcome the shortcomings associated with the structural performance of the geothermo-electrical asphalt pavement.}, } @article {pmid36544823, year = {2022}, author = {Belay, A and Oludhe, C and Mirzabaev, A and Recha, JW and Berhane, Z and Osano, PM and Demissie, T and Olaka, LA and Solomon, D}, title = {Knowledge of climate change and adaptation by smallholder farmers: evidence from southern Ethiopia.}, journal = {Heliyon}, volume = {8}, number = {12}, pages = {e12089}, pmid = {36544823}, issn = {2405-8440}, abstract = {Climate change has the greatest negative impact on low-income countries, which burdens agricultural systems. Climate change and extreme weather events have caused Ethiopia's agricultural production to decline and exacerbated food insecurity over the last few decades. This study investigates whether farmers' awareness and perceptions of climate change play a role in climate change adaptation using climate-smart agricultural practices. To collect data, 385 households in Southern Ethiopia were sampled using a multistage sampling. A Heckman probit two-stage selection model was applied to investigate the factors influencing farmers' perceptions to climate change and adaptation measures through adoption of climate-smart agriculture practices, complemented with key informant interviews and focused group discussions. The results indicated that most farmers (81.80%) perceived that the local climate is changing, with 71.9% reporting increased temperature and 53.15% reporting decreasing rainfall distribution. Therefore, farmers attempted to apply some adaptation practices, including soil and water conservation with biological measures, improved crop varieties, agroforestry, improved breeds, cut and carry system, controlled grazing, and residue incorporation. The empirical results revealed that farmers adaptation to climate change through adoptions of CSA practices was significantly influenced by education, family size, gender, landholding size, farming experience, access to climate information, training received, social membership, livestock ownership, farm income and extension services. The study found that farmers' perceptions of climate change and variability were significantly influenced by their age, level of education, farming experience, and access to climate information, hence, the need to focus on enhancing the accuracy of weather information, strengthening extension services, and considering a gender-sensitive adaptation approach toward improving farmers' knowledge and aspirations. Agricultural policies should support the efforts of farmers to increase the reliance on climate risk and alleviate farmers' difficulties in adopting climate-smart agriculture practices.}, } @article {pmid36544194, year = {2022}, author = {Bhattarai, S and Blackburn, JK and Ryan, SJ}, title = {Malaria transmission in Nepal under climate change: anticipated shifts in extent and season, and comparison with risk definitions for intervention.}, journal = {Malaria journal}, volume = {21}, number = {1}, pages = {390}, pmid = {36544194}, issn = {1475-2875}, abstract = {BACKGROUND: Climate and climate change affect the spatial pattern and seasonality of malaria risk. Season lengths and spatial extents of mapped current and future malaria transmission suitability predictions for Nepal were assessed for a combination of malaria vector and parasites: Anopheles stephensi and Plasmodium falciparum (ASPF) and An. stephensi and Plasmodium vivax (ASPV) and compared with observed estimates of malaria risk in Nepal.

METHODS: Thermal bounds of malaria transmission suitability for baseline (1960-1990) and future climate projections (RCP 4.5 and RCP 8.5 in 2030 and 2050) were extracted from global climate models and mapped for Nepal. Season length and spatial extent of suitability between baseline and future climate scenarios for ASPF and ASPV were compared using the Warren's I metric. Official 2010 DoHS risk districts (DRDs) and 2021 DoHS risk wards (DRWs), and spatiotemporal incidence trend clusters (ITCs) were overlaid on suitability season length and extent maps to assess agreement, and potential mismatches.

RESULTS: Shifts in season length and extent of malaria transmission suitability in Nepal are anticipated under both RCP 4.5 and RCP 8.5 scenarios in 2030 and 2050, compared to baseline climate. The changes are broadly consistent across both future climate scenarios for ASPF and ASPV. There will be emergence of suitability and increasing length of season for both ASPF and ASPV and decreasing length of season for ASPV by 2050. The emergence of suitability will occur in low and no-risk DRDs and outside of high and moderate-risk DRWs, season length increase will occur across all DRD categories, and outside of high and moderate-risk DRWs. The high and moderate risk DRWs of 2021 fall into ITCs with decreasing trend.

CONCLUSIONS: The study identified areas of Nepal where malaria transmission suitability will emerge, disappear, increase, and decrease in the future. However, most of these areas are anticipated outside of the government's current and previously designated high and moderate-risk areas, and thus outside the focus of vector control interventions. Public health officials could use these anticipated changing areas of malaria risk to inform vector control interventions for eliminating malaria from the country, and to prevent malaria resurgence.}, } @article {pmid36544010, year = {2022}, author = {Prillaman, M}, title = {Climate-change content shrinks in US university textbooks.}, journal = {Nature}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, pmid = {36544010}, issn = {1476-4687}, } @article {pmid36543358, year = {2022}, author = {Mahase, E}, title = {Climate change: "Loss and damage" fund payouts could take decades, scientists warn.}, journal = {BMJ (Clinical research ed.)}, volume = {379}, number = {}, pages = {o3050}, doi = {10.1136/bmj.o3050}, pmid = {36543358}, issn = {1756-1833}, } @article {pmid36542562, year = {2022}, author = {Ansari, RA and Landin, JM}, title = {Coverage of climate change in introductory biology textbooks, 1970-2019.}, journal = {PloS one}, volume = {17}, number = {12}, pages = {e0278532}, doi = {10.1371/journal.pone.0278532}, pmid = {36542562}, issn = {1932-6203}, abstract = {Climate change is a potent threat to human society, biodiversity, and ecosystem stability. Yet a 2021 Gallup poll found that only 43% of Americans see climate change as a serious threat over their lifetimes. In this study, we analyze college biology textbook coverage of climate change from 1970 to 2019. We focus on four aspects for content analysis: 1) the amount of coverage, determined by counting the number of sentences within the climate change passage, 2) the start location of the passage in the book, 3) the categorization of sentences as addressing a description of the greenhouse effect, impacts of global warming, or actions to ameliorate climate change, and 4) the presentation of data in figures. We analyzed 57 textbooks. Our findings show that coverage of climate change has continually increased, although the greatest increase occurred during the 1990s despite the growing threats of climate change. The position of the climate change passage moved further back in the book, from the last 15% to the last 2.5% of pages. Over time, coverage shifted from a description of the greenhouse effect to focus mostly on effects of climate change; the most addressed impact was shifting ecosystems. Sentences dedicated to actionable solutions to climate change peaked in the 1990s at over 15% of the passage, then decreased in recent decades to 3%. Data figures present only global temperatures and CO2 levels prior to the year 2000, then include photographic evidence and changes to species distributions after 2000. We hope this study will alert curriculum designers and instructors to consider implicit messages communicated in climate change lessons.}, } @article {pmid36541571, year = {2022}, author = {Berger, M}, title = {Climate change impacts blood supply resilience.}, journal = {Vox sanguinis}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, doi = {10.1111/vox.13390}, pmid = {36541571}, issn = {1423-0410}, } @article {pmid36541280, year = {2022}, author = {Blane, DN and Basu, N}, title = {Tackling climate change and health inequalities in primary care.}, journal = {Family practice}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, doi = {10.1093/fampra/cmac146}, pmid = {36541280}, issn = {1460-2229}, abstract = {The Climate Emergency is now widely accepted as the biggest public health crisis facing humanity. Previous research has highlighted how social and health inequalities shape the health impacts of climate change in the UK, but there has been little attention to the role of general practice in deprived areas. This Brief Report summarises a roundtable discussion of Scottish 'Deep End' GPs - family doctors working in the most socio-economically deprived areas - which took place weeks before the 26th UN Climate Change Conference (COP26), held in Glasgow in November 2021. The report highlights the need for urgent action to make general practice more sustainable, including recommendations for community engagement, (de)prescribing, medical education, digital inclusion, and investment in premises and capacity building.}, } @article {pmid36540311, year = {2023}, author = {Mu, L and Janmaat, J and Taylor, J and Arnold, L}, title = {Attitudes and opportunities: comparing climate change adaptation intentions and decisions of agricultural producers in Shaanxi, China, and British Columbia, Canada.}, journal = {Mitigation and adaptation strategies for global change}, volume = {28}, number = {1}, pages = {8}, pmid = {36540311}, issn = {1573-1596}, abstract = {Climate change poses a major challenge for agricultural producers. There are a variety of adaptation strategies producers can use to enhance their resilience to the changing climate. The theory of planned behavior is applied as a framework to compare the adaptation intentions and choices of producers in Cariboo and Okanagan regions of the province of British Columbia (BC), Canada, and Baoji and Xi'an city prefectures of Shaanxi (SX) province, China. In BC, producers are more likely to explore the use of new crop varieties, and BC producers also seem to have a stronger intention to invest in irrigation efficiency. In contrast, producers in SX are far more likely to use online marketing methods to connect directly with consumers. Based on transcripts from a set of focus groups, community meetings, and interviews, differences in attitudes, social norms, and perceived behavioral control between SX and BC producers are identified that may contribute to their different adaptation choices. Multiple barriers to adaptation existed in both areas. Limited technical knowledge and doubts about adaptation effectiveness were more serious in BC, while limited support from local government and normative expectations were notable in SX. Education, targeted research, and public investments in irrigation and marketing may contribute to addressing some of these differences, improving the resilience of agricultural climate adaptation in both provinces.}, } @article {pmid36540304, year = {2023}, author = {García-Del-Amo, D and Mortyn, PG and Reyes-García, V}, title = {Local reports of climate change impacts in Sierra Nevada, Spain: sociodemographic and geographical patterns.}, journal = {Regional environmental change}, volume = {23}, number = {1}, pages = {14}, pmid = {36540304}, issn = {1436-3798}, abstract = {UNLABELLED: While we know that climate change is having different impacts on various ecosystems and regions of the world, we know less how the perception of such impacts varies within a population. In this study, we examine patterns of individual variation in climate change impacts reports using data from a sample (n = 238) drawn from 33 mountainous municipalities of Sierra Nevada, Spain. Sierra Nevada inhabitants report multiple climate change impacts, being the most frequently reported changes in snowfall and snow cover, abundance of terrestrial fauna, freshwater availability, and extreme temperatures. Reports of climate change impacts vary according to informants' sociodemographic characteristics and geographical location. People with life-long bonds with the environment and higher connection and dependence upon ecosystem services report more climate change impacts than other informants, as do people with lower level of schooling. We also found that reports of climate change impacts vary according to geographic areas, which reinforces the idea that climate change generates differentiated impacts even at small geographical scales. Understanding intracultural variation in reports of climate change impacts not only gives an enriched picture of the human dimensions of climate change but might also help design more targeted mitigation and adaptation responses.

SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION: The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1007/s10113-022-01981-5.}, } @article {pmid36540079, year = {2022}, author = {Hamilton, NM and Morrison, ML and Harris, LS and Szewczak, JM and Osborn, SD}, title = {Predicting habitat suitability for Townsend's big-eared bats across California in relation to climate change.}, journal = {Ecology and evolution}, volume = {12}, number = {12}, pages = {e9641}, pmid = {36540079}, issn = {2045-7758}, abstract = {Effective management decisions depend on knowledge of species distribution and habitat use. Maps generated from species distribution models are important in predicting previously unknown occurrences of protected species. However, if populations are seasonally dynamic or locally adapted, failing to consider population level differences could lead to erroneous determinations of occurrence probability and ineffective management. The study goal was to model the distribution of a species of special concern, Townsend's big-eared bats (Corynorhinus townsendii), in California. We incorporate seasonal and spatial differences to estimate the distribution under current and future climate conditions. We built species distribution models using all records from statewide roost surveys and by subsetting data to seasonal colonies, representing different phenological stages, and to Environmental Protection Agency Level III Ecoregions to understand how environmental needs vary based on these factors. We projected species' distribution for 2061-2080 in response to low and high emissions scenarios and calculated the expected range shifts. The estimated distribution differed between the combined (full dataset) and phenologically explicit models, while ecoregion-specific models were largely congruent with the combined model. Across the majority of models, precipitation was the most important variable predicting the presence of C. townsendii roosts. Under future climate scenarios, distribution of C. townsendii is expected to contract throughout the state, however suitable areas will expand within some ecoregions. Comparison of phenologically explicit models with combined models indicates the combined models better predict the extent of the known range of C. townsendii in California. However, life-history-explicit models aid in understanding of different environmental needs and distribution of their major phenological stages. Differences between ecoregion-specific and statewide predictions of habitat contractions highlight the need to consider regional variation when forecasting species' responses to climate change. These models can aid in directing seasonally explicit surveys and predicting regions most vulnerable under future climate conditions.}, } @article {pmid36538137, year = {2022}, author = {Wani, BA and Wani, SA and Magray, JA and Ahmad, R and Ganie, AH and Nawchoo, IA}, title = {Habitat suitability, range dynamics, and threat assessment of Swertia petiolata D. Don: a Himalayan endemic medicinally important plant under climate change.}, journal = {Environmental monitoring and assessment}, volume = {195}, number = {1}, pages = {214}, pmid = {36538137}, issn = {1573-2959}, abstract = {In the current era of the anthropocene, climate change is one of the main determinants of species redistribution and biodiversity loss. Worryingly, the situation is alarming for endemic and medicinally important plant species with a narrow distributional range. Therefore, it is pivotal to inspect the influence of accelerated climate change on medicinally important threatened and endemic plant species. Using an ensemble approach, the current study aims at modelling the present distribution and predicting the future potential distribution coupled with the threat assessment of Swertia petiolata-a medicinally important endemic plant species in the Himalayan biodiversity hotspot. Our study revealed that under current climatic scenarios, the suitable habitats for the species occur across the western Himalayan region which includes the north-western Indian states (Jammu and Kashmir, Himachal Pradesh, and southern Uttarakhand), northern Pakistan, and north-western Nepal. Also, temperature seasonality (BIO4) and precipitation seasonality (BIO15) are the most significant bioclimatic variables determining the distribution of S. petiolata. Furthermore, the study projected a reduction in the suitable habitats for the species under future changing climatic scenarios with a reduction ranging from - 40.298% under RCP4.5 2050 to - 83.421% under RCP8.5 2070. Most of the habitat reduction will occur in the western Himalayan region. In contrast, some of the currently unsuitable Himalayan regions like northern Uttarakhand will show increasing suitability under climate change scenarios. The current study also revealed that S. petiolata is classified as Near Threatened (NT) following the IUCN criterion B. Hopefully, the present study will provide a robust tool for predicting the cultivation hotspots and devising scientifically effective conservation strategies for this medicinally important plant species in the Himalaya and similar environments elsewhere in the world.}, } @article {pmid36537301, year = {2022}, author = {Corsolini, S and Ademollo, N}, title = {Correction: POPs in Antarctic ecosystems: is climate change affecting their temporal trends?.}, journal = {Environmental science. Processes & impacts}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, doi = {10.1039/d2em90046g}, pmid = {36537301}, issn = {2050-7895}, abstract = {Correction for 'POPs in Antarctic ecosystems: is climate change affecting their temporal trends?' by Simonetta Corsolini et al., Environ. Sci.: Processes Impacts, 2022, 24, 1631-1642, https://doi.org/10.1039/D2EM00273F.}, } @article {pmid36536202, year = {2022}, author = {Cao, Y and Qi, F and Cui, H and Yuan, M}, title = {Knowledge domain and emerging trends of carbon footprint in the field of climate change and energy use: a bibliometric analysis.}, journal = {Environmental science and pollution research international}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, pmid = {36536202}, issn = {1614-7499}, abstract = {Carbon footprint (CF) research has attained tremendous popularity for improving the climate environment purposes. In particular, current energy use has been identified as the main cause of climate change. CF plays an irreplaceable role in managing energy use, reducing gas emissions, and improving climate change. The objective of this study was to review studies that have developed CF and to perform a bibliometric analysis using two key terms: "climate change" and "energy use". From bibliometric analysis using CiteSpace and VOSviewer, it was possible to establish a knowledge map of cooperative network structure and research evolution. We are aiming to reveal the main logical chain of CF research leading to climate change, to make up for the lack of current literature, and provide research inspiration for researchers. The research findings mainly focus on four aspects. First, the relevant research began in 2008 and is in a state of continuous rise. Second, due to the law of research development and the prominence of practical problems, related research has experienced a stage from conceptual methods to specific problems. Third, China and the USA assume an important role in which international cooperation is the overall trend. Fourth, related research can be divided into CF algorithm research, ecological environment management research, and specific cross-industry fields. In addition, possible opportunities for change in related research are explored. It is also suggested that the integration of CF with other footprints, when energy use and environmental change are fully considered, may become an important future research trend by providing a more comprehensive environmental impact.}, } @article {pmid36535793, year = {2022}, author = {Wang, P and Chan, EYY and Lee, TC and Tong, HW and Goggins, WB}, title = {Projecting future temperature-related mortality in Hong Kong under climate change scenarios: abridged secondary publication.}, journal = {Hong Kong medical journal = Xianggang yi xue za zhi}, volume = {28 Suppl 6}, number = {6}, pages = {19-22}, pmid = {36535793}, issn = {1024-2708}, } @article {pmid36534408, year = {2022}, author = {Triviño, M and Morán-Ordoñez, A and Eyvindson, K and Blattert, C and Burgas, D and Repo, A and Pohjanmies, T and Brotons, L and Snäll, T and Mönkkönen, M}, title = {Future supply of boreal forest ecosystem services is driven by management rather than by climate change.}, journal = {Global change biology}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, doi = {10.1111/gcb.16566}, pmid = {36534408}, issn = {1365-2486}, abstract = {Forests provide a wide variety of ecosystem services (ES) to society. The boreal biome is experiencing the highest rates of warming on the planet and increasing demand for forest products. To foresee how to maximize the adaptation of boreal forests to future warmer conditions and growing demands of forest products, we need a better understanding of the relative importance of forest management and climate change on the supply of ecosystem services. Here, using Finland as a boreal forest case study, we assessed the potential supply of a wide range of ES (timber, bilberry, cowberry, mushrooms, carbon storage, scenic beauty, species habitat availability and deadwood) given seven management regimes and four climate change scenarios. We used the forest simulator SIMO to project forest dynamics for 100 years into the future (2016-2116) and estimate the potential supply of each service using published models. Then, we tested the relative importance of management and climate change as drivers of the future supply of these services using generalized linear mixed models. Our results show that the effects of management on the future supply of these ES were, on average, eleven times higher than the effects of climate change across all services, but greatly differed among them (from 0.53 to 24 times higher for timber and cowberry, respectively). Notably, the importance of these drivers substantially differed among biogeographical zones within the boreal biome. The effects of climate change were 1.6 times higher in northern Finland than in southern Finland, whereas the effects of management were the opposite - they were three times higher in the south compared to the north. We conclude that new guidelines for adapting forests to global change should account for regional differences and the variation in the effects of climate change and management on different forest ES.}, } @article {pmid36533640, year = {2022}, author = {Aitken, WW and Brown, SC and Comellas, AP}, title = {Climate Change and Cardiovascular Health.}, journal = {Journal of the American Heart Association}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {e027847}, doi = {10.1161/JAHA.122.027847}, pmid = {36533640}, issn = {2047-9980}, } @article {pmid36533199, year = {2022}, author = {Del Lesto, I and De Liberato, C and Casini, R and Magliano, A and Ermenegildi, A and Romiti, F}, title = {Is Asian tiger mosquito (Aedes albopictus) going to become homodynamic in Southern Europe in the next decades due to climate change?.}, journal = {Royal Society open science}, volume = {9}, number = {12}, pages = {220967}, pmid = {36533199}, issn = {2054-5703}, abstract = {The Asian tiger mosquito, Aedes albopictus, competent vector of several arboviruses, poses significant impact on human health worldwide. Although global warming is a driver of A . albopictus range expansion, few studies focused on its effects on homodynamicity (i.e. the ability to breed all-year-round), a key factor of vectorial capacity and a primary condition for an Aedes-borne disease to become endemic in temperate areas. Data from a 4-year monitoring network set in Central Italy and records from weather stations were used to assess winter adult activity and weekly minimum temperatures. Winter oviposition occurred in 38 localities with a seasonal mean photoperiod of 9.7 : 14.3 (L : D) h. Positive collections (87) occurred with an average minimum temperature of the two and three weeks before sampling of approximately 4°C. According to these evidences and considering the climate projections of three global climate models and three shared socio-economic pathways for the next three 20-year periods (from 2021 to 2080), the minimum temperature of January will increase enough to allow an all-year-round oviposition of A . albopictus in several areas of the Mediterranean Basin. Due to vector homodynamicity, Aedes-borne diseases could become endemic in Southern Europe by the end of the twenty-first century, worsening the burden on human health.}, } @article {pmid36532997, year = {2022}, author = {Arnout, BA}, title = {Climate values as predictor of climate change perception in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia.}, journal = {Frontiers in psychology}, volume = {13}, number = {}, pages = {1044697}, pmid = {36532997}, issn = {1664-1078}, abstract = {BACKGROUND: Understanding public perceptions of climate change and how individuals perceive it is critical to developing effective communication strategies, policies, and socially robust technologies to relieve the risks of climate change. Despite the growing literature on climate change, until now, researchers in Arab countries have not been interested in studying citizens' perceptions of climate change or identifying the factors that predict it. This study aimed to identify and understand the nature and dynamics of public perceptions of climate change among Arab citizens and detect the level of climate change perception (CCP) and climate values (CV). Also, to detect the predictability of CCP from CV. As well as to reveal the differences between CCP and CV.

METHODS: A random sample consisted of 465 participants (236 male and 229 female), residents of the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia; their ages ranged from 30 years and over. The Climate Change Perception Questionnaire (CCPQ) and Climate Values Questionnaire (CVQ) were applied online.

RESULTS: The results found average levels of CCP and CV among the study sample. The results also revealed significant statistical differences in the CCP and CV due to gender in favor of females. As well as, there were significant statistical differences in the CCP due to the career field in favor of agriculture, engineering, and construction workers. Also, there were statistical differences in the emotional subscale of climate perception and CV due to age groups in favor of individuals whose ages ranged from 30 to 45 years. The results also found that the CV were a statistically significant predictor (1.2% of total variance) of climate perception.

CONCLUSION: The current study showed an average level of CCP and CV among individuals in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabian. The findings also concluded that individuals' perceptions of climate change are an individual response determined by the individual's gender, age, and career field and are affected by his values about climate. These findings shed light on the need for climate communications to increase the level of CCP and CV, especially among males and individuals in the age group over 45 years and individuals working in various career fields, whether education, engineering and construction, and commerce and business, etc.; to improve the engagement in mitigation and adaptation measures to climate change.}, } @article {pmid36532484, year = {2022}, author = {Chen, JH and Shen, S and Zhou, LW}, title = {Modeling current geographic distribution and future range shifts of Sanghuangporus under multiple climate change scenarios in China.}, journal = {Frontiers in microbiology}, volume = {13}, number = {}, pages = {1064451}, pmid = {36532484}, issn = {1664-302X}, abstract = {The genus Sanghuangporus is well-known for its edible and medicinal values. In this study, the most comprehensive occurrence records of Sanghuangporus with accurate species identification are subjected to MaxEnt, to model the current geographic distribution and future range shifts under multiple climate change scenarios in China. The current potential distribution model of Sanghuangporus is excellently predicted as indicated by the value of Area Under Receiver Operator Characteristic Curve. The current potential distribution basically corresponds to the known occurrence records of Sanghuangporus, and provides clues to new suitable habitats. The critical environmental variables to the distribution are annual precipitation, host plant, annual mean temperature and elevation. Host plant is not the most critical contribution to the model, but it indeed plays a decisive role in restricting the distribution of Sanghuangporus. This role is further confirmed by the distribution area of the highly suitable habitat increasing by 155.468%, when excluding host plant from environmental variables. For future scenarios, generally the area of highly suitable habitat for Sanghuangporus extremely increases, but the locations do not change a lot. In conclusion, this study provides important ecological information for the utilization and conservation of the edible and medicinal fungus Sanghuangporus.}, } @article {pmid36532437, year = {2022}, author = {Yun, MS and Sun, J and Lovejoy, C and Lee, SH}, title = {Editorial: Microbial Response to a Rapidly Changing Marine Environment: Global Warming and Ocean Acidification, Volume II.}, journal = {Frontiers in microbiology}, volume = {13}, number = {}, pages = {1094511}, pmid = {36532437}, issn = {1664-302X}, } @article {pmid36532094, year = {2022}, author = {Trivedi, A and Jolly, S}, title = {Construing Climate Change Adaptation as Global Public Good Under International Law: Problems and Prospects.}, journal = {The Liverpool law review}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {1-26}, pmid = {36532094}, issn = {0144-932X}, abstract = {Article 7 of the Paris Agreement recognizes that adaptation is a 'global challenge faced by all with local, regional and international dimensions.' It further establishes the 'global goal on adaptation focusing on enhancing adaptive capacity, strengthening resilience and reducing vulnerability to climate change, with a view to contributing to sustainable development.' However, the lack of international cooperation between the global north and global south challenge the formulation and implementation of climate change adaptation strategies. This paper brings in the concept of global public goods (GPGs) to the lexicon of climate adaptation and highlights that adverse impacts of climate change such as climate-induced global migration are global public bad. Hence, the measures taken to respond to such impacts, which consequently enhance the resilience of affected countries, make them more adaptive to those adverse impacts, and deliver common values of universal character, should be construed as the global public good. The paper argues that that the idea of GPGs with its universality offers a normative and practical foundation for understanding, addressing, and strengthening the international community's climate adaptation actions and cooperation.}, } @article {pmid36531631, year = {2022}, author = {Abazinab, H and Duguma, B and Muleta, E}, title = {Livestock farmers' perception of climate change and adaptation strategies in the Gera district, Jimma zone, Oromia Regional state, southwest Ethiopia.}, journal = {Heliyon}, volume = {8}, number = {12}, pages = {e12200}, pmid = {36531631}, issn = {2405-8440}, abstract = {The aim of this study is to assess livestock farmers' perception of climate change (CC)/variability and adaptation strategies in the Gera district. Rainfall and temperature were the variables taken in the CC perception study. A total of 190 smallholder livestock farmers were sampled for the survey. Primary data were collected through semi-structured questionnaire interviews, focus group discussions (FGDs) and meteorological data series of 2001-2020. The Statistical Package for Social Sciences (SPSS) version 20.0 was used to analyze the data. The results revealed that 79.17% of respondents perceived climate change over the past 20 years. About 84.9% and 82.9% of respondents perceived increasing temperature and decreasing rainfall over the past 20 years, respectively. Farmers' perception was consistent with meteorological data of the area, which also showed increasing trend in temperature and decreasing trend in rainfall. Farmers' perceived that anthropogenic action and natural processes, anthropogenic action, natural processes, and God's anger against human sins were the main causes of CC, in decreasing order. No statistical difference (p > 0.05) was found between AEZs regarding effects of CC except for incidence of trypanosomiasis. Decreased quality and quantity of feeds, water availability, milk production, and animal fertility, and increased calving interval, number of services per conception, incidence of animal disease, and parasite were perceived as the major impacts (indicators) of CC on livestock production and productivity in their order of importance. Diversification of mixed crop-livestock, diversification of livestock species, feed conservation, reducing herd sizes, water harvesting, provision of supplementary feeds, and forage production were the most practiced adaptation strategies. Lack of technical know-how about water harvesting, shortage of land for forage production, lack of improved forage seeds, lack of supplementary feed, poor livestock management skill, lack of feed conservation practices and poor access to market were the most important barriers to CC adaptation. It is concluded that there is a need for policy makers and livestock development stakeholders to formulate and implement intervention that promote farmers' perception and adaptation abilities to CC impacts and address the identified barriers for improving livestock productivity in the study area.}, } @article {pmid36530541, year = {2022}, author = {Milinski, M and Marotzke, J}, title = {Economic experiments support Ostrom's polycentric approach to mitigating climate change.}, journal = {Humanities & social sciences communications}, volume = {9}, number = {1}, pages = {442}, pmid = {36530541}, issn = {2662-9992}, abstract = {The late Nobel laureate Elinor Ostrom envisioned a polycentric approach to mitigating climate change rather than a centralised solution. Debating about global efforts to solve climate-change problems has yet not led to an effective global treaty. Ostrom argued that instead of focusing only on global efforts, it is better to encourage polycentric efforts to reduce the risks associated with the emission of greenhouse gases. Many problems conceptualised as 'global problems' are the cumulative results of actions taken by individuals, families, small groups, private firms, and local, regional, and national governments. Ostrom and colleagues pointed to many examples of successfully managing a common good through interaction within a community. Energy-saving actions undertaken by individuals, families and actors at a small-scale pay off and, when multiplied, may reduce emissions globally. The incentive to achieve an individual net gain may trigger human investment decisions. Here we provide experimental support for Ostrom's basic ideas using methods of experimental economics. By subdividing experimental populations in subgroups that approach sub-goals of mitigating simulated dangerous climate change combined with incentives, the 'global' solution is achieved by combined subgroup contributions exceeding the 'global' threshold for averting simulated dangerous climate change. Incentives from refunded saved energy motivate reaching sub-goals, as Ostrom suggested. By contrast, coercing free-riding subgroups through sanctioning at a cost fails, because sanctioning also hits fair individuals who then reduce their contributions. However, the power of polycentricity with numerous successful units can help mitigate climate change.}, } @article {pmid36528941, year = {2022}, author = {Sandoval-Martínez, J and Badano, EI and Guerra-Coss, FA and Flores Cano, JA and Flores, J and Gelviz-Gelvez, SM and Barragán-Torres, F}, title = {Selecting tree species to restore forest under climate change conditions: Complementing species distribution models with field experimentation.}, journal = {Journal of environmental management}, volume = {329}, number = {}, pages = {117038}, doi = {10.1016/j.jenvman.2022.117038}, pmid = {36528941}, issn = {1095-8630}, abstract = {The long-term success of forest restoration programs can be improved using climate-based species distribution models (SDMs) to predict which tree species will tolerate climate change. However, as SDMs cannot estimate if species will recruit at these habitats, determining whether their predictions apply to early life-cycle stages of trees is critical to support such a usage. For this, we propose sowing seeds of the focal tree species under the current climate and simulated climate change conditions in target restoration sites. Thus, using of SDMs to design climate-adaptive forest restoration programs would be supported if the differences in habitat occupancy probabilities of species they predict between the current and future climate concurs with the observed differences in recruitment rates of species when sowed under the current climate and simulated climate change conditions. To test this hypothesis, we calibrated SDMs for Vachellia pennatula and Prosopis laevigata, two pioneer tree species widely recommended to restore human-degraded drylands in Mexico, and transferred them to climate change scenarios. After that, we applied the experimental approach proposed above to validate the predictions of SDMs. These models predicted that V. pennatula will decrease its habitat occupancy probabilities across Mexico, while P. laevigata was predicted to keep out their current habitat occupancy probabilities, or even increase them, in climate change scenarios. The results of the field experiment supported these predictions, as recruitment rates of V. pennatula were lower under simulated climate change than under the current climate, while no differences were found for the recruitment rates of P. laevigata between these environmental conditions. These findings demonstrate that SDMs provide meaningful insights for designing climate-adaptive forest restoration programs but, before applying this methodology, predictions of these models must be validated with field experiments to determine whether the focal tree species will recruit under climate change conditions. Moreover, as the pioneer trees used to test our proposal seem to be differentially sensitive to climate change, this approach also allows establishing what species must be prescribed to restore forests with a view to the future and what species must be avoided in these practices.}, } @article {pmid36528749, year = {2022}, author = {Marjakangas, EL and Santangeli, A and Johnston, A and Michel, NL and Princé, K and Lehikoinen, A}, title = {Effects of diversity on thermal niche variation in bird communities under climate change.}, journal = {Scientific reports}, volume = {12}, number = {1}, pages = {21810}, pmid = {36528749}, issn = {2045-2322}, abstract = {Climate change alters ecological communities by affecting individual species and interactions between species. However, the impacts of climate change may be buffered by community diversity: diverse communities may be more resistant to climate-driven perturbations than simple communities. Here, we assess how diversity influences long-term thermal niche variation in communities under climate change. We use 50-year continental-scale data on bird communities during breeding and non-breeding seasons to quantify the communities' thermal variability. Thermal variability is measured as the temporal change in the community's average thermal niche and it indicates community's response to climate change. Then, we study how the thermal variability varies as a function of taxonomic, functional, and evolutionary diversity using linear models. We find that communities with low thermal niche variation have higher functional diversity, with this pattern being measurable in the non-breeding but not in the breeding season. Given the expected increase in seasonal variation in the future climate, the differences in bird communities' thermal variability between breeding and non-breeding seasons may grow wider. Importantly, our results suggest that functionally diverse wildlife communities can mitigate effects of climate change by hindering changes in thermal niche variability, which underscores the importance of addressing the climate and biodiversity crises together.}, } @article {pmid36528366, year = {2023}, author = {Gona, PN and More, AF}, title = {Bacterial pathogens and climate change.}, journal = {Lancet (London, England)}, volume = {400}, number = {10369}, pages = {2161-2163}, doi = {10.1016/S0140-6736(22)02424-2}, pmid = {36528366}, issn = {1474-547X}, } @article {pmid36527777, year = {2022}, author = {Hupponen, M and Havukainen, J and Horttanainen, M}, title = {Long-term evolution of the climate change impacts of solid household waste management in Lappeenranta, Finland.}, journal = {Waste management (New York, N.Y.)}, volume = {157}, number = {}, pages = {69-81}, doi = {10.1016/j.wasman.2022.11.038}, pmid = {36527777}, issn = {1879-2456}, abstract = {Waste management processes have developed significantly in recent decades and will continue to change alongside the associated environmental impacts. This paper examines the climate change impacts of historical development in waste management, which has not received significant attention in the existing literature, while also exploring possible future developments. The city of Lappeenranta in Finland was selected as a case study, and the climate impacts of household waste (HW) management were calculated for the actual situations in 2009 and 2019 and the foreseen situation in 2029. Separately collected waste fractions of mixed residual waste (MRW), biowaste, cardboard, plastic, metal, and glass were included in the analysis. The results show that the net climate change impact decreased considerably from 945 kgCO2-eq./tHW in 2009 to -141 kgCO2-eq./tHW in 2019 mainly by directing the MRW to energy recovery instead of landfill. The emissions responsible for climate change could be further reduced in 2029 by directing biowaste to digestion instead of composting and by directing more fractions to recycling; e.g., plastic, the impact of which is affected by the demand for recycled plastic. For the year 2029, the net climate change impact was -181 kgCO2-eq./tHW when heat produced from MRW displaced natural gas and was as high as 142 kgCO2-eq./tHW if the heat substituted biomass heat. The findings reveal that as energy production mixes and materials become less fossil carbon intensive, they have a significant impact on the net climate impacts of waste management.}, } @article {pmid36527558, year = {2022}, author = {Abdi, AH and Warsame, AA and Sheik-Ali, IA}, title = {Modelling the impacts of climate change on cereal crop production in East Africa: evidence from heterogeneous panel cointegration analysis.}, journal = {Environmental science and pollution research international}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, pmid = {36527558}, issn = {1614-7499}, abstract = {Climate change has become an issue of concern for sustainable agriculture production. East African nations are heavily reliant on the agriculture sector, which accounts for a substantial amount of their gross domestic product (GDP) and employment. Due to climatic fluctuations, the output of the sector became very unpredictable. Hence, this study investigates the effects of climate change on cereal crop production in nine East African nations between 1990 and 2018. The study implemented pooled mean group (PMG) approach to examine the long-run and short-run dynamic impacts of the varying climatic circumstances on the output of cereal crops. The results reveal that rainfall and carbon emissions have favourable and significant long-run effects on cereal crop output, even though their short-run impacts are negligible. Additionally, cultivated land area and rural population have a constructive role in enhancing agricultural output both in the long-run and short-run. However, average temperatures have negative repercussions on cereal crop production in the long-run and short-run, even though the magnitude of sensitivity is greater in the short-run. Dynamic ordinary least squares (DOLS) and fully modified ordinary least squares (FMOLS) validated the robustness of the long-run findings of the PMG technique. Besides, the Dumitrescu-Hurlin panel causality outcomes indicate that cereal crop output has a bidirectional causality with temperature, carbon emissions, and cropped area. The study further demonstrated unidirectional causation from rural population to cereal crop yield. The study recommends that East African policymakers improve the quality of farm inputs, the adoption of climate-resilient farming practices, the development of water retention facilities and the establishment of crop diversification initiatives.}, } @article {pmid36526907, year = {2022}, author = {Powell, K}, title = {Building a living shoreline to help combat climate change.}, journal = {Nature}, volume = {612}, number = {7941}, pages = {806}, doi = {10.1038/d41586-022-04468-9}, pmid = {36526907}, issn = {1476-4687}, } @article {pmid36524933, year = {2023}, author = {Calabrese, GM and Pfennig, KS}, title = {Climate Change Alters Sexual Signaling in a Desert-Adapted Frog.}, journal = {The American naturalist}, volume = {201}, number = {1}, pages = {91-105}, doi = {10.1086/722174}, pmid = {36524933}, issn = {1537-5323}, abstract = {AbstractClimate change is altering species' habitats, phenology, and behavior. Although sexual behaviors impact population persistence and fitness, climate change's effects on sexual signals are understudied. Climate change can directly alter temperature-dependent sexual signals, cause changes in body size or condition that affect signal production, or alter the selective landscape of sexual signals. We tested whether temperature-dependent mating calls of Mexican spadefoot toads (Spea multiplicata) had changed in concert with climate in the southwestern United States across 22 years. We document increasing air temperatures, decreasing rainfall, and changing seasonal patterns of temperature and rainfall in the spadefoots' habitat. Despite increasing air temperatures, spadefoots' ephemeral breeding ponds have been getting colder at most elevations, and male calls have been slowing as a result. However, temperature-standardized call characters have become faster, and male condition has increased, possibly due to changes in the selective environment. Thus, climate change might generate rapid, complex changes in sexual signals with important evolutionary consequences.}, } @article {pmid36524750, year = {2022}, author = {Rodgers, RF and Paxton, SJ and Nagata, JM and Becker, AE}, title = {The impact of climate change on eating disorders: An urgent call for research.}, journal = {The International journal of eating disorders}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, doi = {10.1002/eat.23876}, pmid = {36524750}, issn = {1098-108X}, abstract = {Climate change affects many of the documented risk factors for eating disorders (EDs) through direct and indirect pathways, yet to date the research in this area is nonexistent. Our aim is to identify the specific mechanisms through which climate change might be associated with increased risk for EDs, an exacerbation in symptoms, or poor clinical outcomes; highlight limited empirical data addressing these issues; and propose directions for a research program in this important area. Pathways for the impact of climate change on eating disorders and related data were reviewed. Four main pathways for the effects of climate change on EDs were identified including (1) decreased food access and security; (2) changes in mean temperature; (3) concerns related to food safety and eco-anxiety; and (4) indirect pathways through trauma, adversity, and increased mental health concerns. Except for the relationship between increased food insecurity and EDs, these pathways remain largely uninvestigated. Numerous factors may be implicated in the relationship between climate change and EDs. Future work in this area is imperative and should be conducted through a social justice lens with particular attention paid to the global areas most impacted by climate change and related vulnerabilities. Climate change will likely have adverse impacts on individuals with eating disorders and increase the risk for eating disorders. This paper reviews the different ways in which climate change may have these effects and calls for researchers to pay attention to this important area.}, } @article {pmid36523631, year = {2022}, author = {Son, S and Park, SR}, title = {Climate change impedes plant immunity mechanisms.}, journal = {Frontiers in plant science}, volume = {13}, number = {}, pages = {1032820}, pmid = {36523631}, issn = {1664-462X}, abstract = {Rapid climate change caused by human activity is threatening global crop production and food security worldwide. In particular, the emergence of new infectious plant pathogens and the geographical expansion of plant disease incidence result in serious yield losses of major crops annually. Since climate change has accelerated recently and is expected to worsen in the future, we have reached an inflection point where comprehensive preparations to cope with the upcoming crisis can no longer be delayed. Development of new plant breeding technologies including site-directed nucleases offers the opportunity to mitigate the effects of the changing climate. Therefore, understanding the effects of climate change on plant innate immunity and identification of elite genes conferring disease resistance are crucial for the engineering of new crop cultivars and plant improvement strategies. Here, we summarize and discuss the effects of major environmental factors such as temperature, humidity, and carbon dioxide concentration on plant immunity systems. This review provides a strategy for securing crop-based nutrition against severe pathogen attacks in the era of climate change.}, } @article {pmid36523536, year = {2022}, author = {Fan, ZF and Zhou, BJ and Ma, CL and Gao, C and Han, DN and Chai, Y}, title = {Impacts of climate change on species distribution patterns of Polyspora sweet in China.}, journal = {Ecology and evolution}, volume = {12}, number = {12}, pages = {e9516}, pmid = {36523536}, issn = {2045-7758}, abstract = {Climate change is an important driver of species distribution and biodiversity. Understanding the response of plants to climate change is helpful to understand species differentiation and formulate conservation strategies. The genus Polyspora (Theaceae) has an ancient origin and is widely distributed in subtropical evergreen broad-leaved forests. Studies on the impacts of climate change on species geographical distribution of Chinese Polyspora can provide an important reference for exploring the responses of plant groups in subtropical evergreen broad-leaved forests with geological events and climate change in China. Based on the environmental variables, distribution records, and chloroplast genomes, we modeled the potential distribution of Chinese Polyspora in the Last Glacial Maximum, middle Holocene, current, and future by using MaxEnt-ArcGIS model and molecular phylogenetic method. The changes in the species distribution area, centroid shift, and ecological niche in each periods were analyzed to speculate the response modes of Chinese Polyspora to climate change in different periods. The most important environmental factor affecting the distribution of Polyspora was the precipitation of the driest month, ranging from 13 to 25 mm for the highly suitable habitats. At present, highly suitable distribution areas of Polyspora were mainly located in the south of 25°N, and had species-specificity. The main glacial refugia of the Chinese Polyspora might be located in the Ailao, Gaoligong, and Dawei Mountains of Yunnan Province. Jinping County, Pingbian County, and the Maguan County at the border of China and Vietnam might be the species differentiation center of the Chinese Polyspora. Moderate climate warming in the future would be beneficial to the survival of P. axillaris, P. chrysandra, and P. speciosa. However, climate warming under different shared socio-economic pathways would reduce the suitable habitats of P. hainanensis and P. longicarpa.}, } @article {pmid36520538, year = {2022}, author = {Balbus, J}, title = {Observations from COP27: Health Care Is Becoming a Bigger Part of the Climate Change Solution.}, journal = {Environmental health perspectives}, volume = {130}, number = {12}, pages = {121001}, doi = {10.1289/EHP12549}, pmid = {36520538}, issn = {1552-9924}, } @article {pmid36519411, year = {2022}, author = {Almiron, N and Moreno, JA and Farrell, J}, title = {Climate change contrarian think tanks in Europe: A network analysis.}, journal = {Public understanding of science (Bristol, England)}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {9636625221137815}, doi = {10.1177/09636625221137815}, pmid = {36519411}, issn = {1361-6609}, abstract = {Drawing from network theory and previous findings from US-based analyses, we measure the structure and interconnectedness of climate contrarian think tanks in Europe. This exploratory analysis can illustrate European organizations' capacity to promote or disrupt political discourse. To this end, we use social network analysis to conduct actor-focused research. We identify the individuals bridging European think tanks, as well as their ties with the US climate change contrarian network. Our analysis reveals a discernible network structure for European climate change contrarian think tanks, with a profile connected to neoliberal organizations, including a few, but highly relevant links, with the US countermovement. We also find that the European think tanks' institutional structure is very much shaped by a strong predominance of men, which aligns with previous research on masculinity and climate contrarianism.}, } @article {pmid36516413, year = {2022}, author = {Bäurle, I and Laplaze, L and Martin, A}, title = {Preparing for an uncertain future: molecular responses of plants facing climate change.}, journal = {Journal of experimental botany}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, doi = {10.1093/jxb/erac493}, pmid = {36516413}, issn = {1460-2431}, } @article {pmid36516354, year = {2022}, author = {Dupont, L and Le Mézo, P and Aumont, O and Bopp, L and Clerc, C and Ethé, C and Maury, O}, title = {High trophic level feedbacks on global ocean carbon uptake and marine ecosystem dynamics under climate change.}, journal = {Global change biology}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, doi = {10.1111/gcb.16558}, pmid = {36516354}, issn = {1365-2486}, abstract = {Despite recurrent emphasis on their ecological and economic roles, the importance of high-trophic levels on ocean carbon dynamics, through passive (fecal pellet production, carcasses) and active (vertical migration) processes, is still largely unexplored, notably under climate change scenarios. Additionally, high trophic levels impact the ecosystem dynamics through top-down effects on lower trophic levels, which might change under anthropogenic influence. Here we compare two simulations of a global biogeochemical-ecosystem model with and without feedbacks from large marine animals. We show that these large marine animals affect the evolution of low-trophic level biomasses, hence net primary production and most certainly ecosystem equilibrium, but seem to have little influence on the 21st century anthropogenic carbon uptake under the RCP8.5 scenario. These results provide new insights regarding the expectations for trophic amplification of climate change through the marine trophic chain and regarding the necessity to explicitly represent marine animals in Earth System Models.}, } @article {pmid36516018, year = {2022}, author = {Sheahan, M and Gould, CA and Neumann, JE and Kinney, PL and Hoffmann, S and Fant, C and Wang, X and Kolian, M}, title = {Erratum: "Examining the Relationship between Climate Change and Vibriosis in the United States: Projected Health and Economic Impacts for the 21st Century".}, journal = {Environmental health perspectives}, volume = {130}, number = {12}, pages = {129002}, doi = {10.1289/EHP12437}, pmid = {36516018}, issn = {1552-9924}, } @article {pmid36515542, year = {2022}, author = {Briscoe, NJ and Morris, SD and Mathewson, PD and Buckley, LB and Jusup, M and Levy, O and Maclean, IMD and Pincebourde, S and Riddell, EA and Roberts, JA and Schouten, R and Sears, MW and Kearney, MR}, title = {Mechanistic forecasts of species responses to climate change: the promise of biophysical ecology.}, journal = {Global change biology}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, doi = {10.1111/gcb.16557}, pmid = {36515542}, issn = {1365-2486}, abstract = {A core challenge in global change biology is to predict how species will respond to future environmental change and to manage these responses. To make such predictions and management actions robust to novel futures, we need to accurately characterize how organisms experience their environments and the biological mechanisms by which they respond. All organisms are thermodynamically connected to their environments through the exchange of heat and water at fine spatial and temporal scales and this exchange can be captured with biophysical models. Although mechanistic models based on biophysical ecology have a long history of development and application, their use in global change biology remains limited despite their enormous promise and increasingly accessible software. We contend that greater understanding and training in the theory and methods of biophysical ecology is vital to expand their application. Our review shows how biophysical models can be implemented to understand and predict climate change impacts on species' behavior, phenology, survival, distribution, and abundance. It also illustrates the types of outputs that can be generated, and the data inputs required for different implementations. Examples range from simple calculations of body temperature at a particular site and time, to more complex analyses of species' distribution limits based on projected energy and water balances, accounting for behavior and phenology. We outline challenges that currently limit the widespread application of biophysical models relating to data availability, training, and the lack of common software ecosystems. We also discuss progress and future developments that could allow these models to be applied to many species across large spatial extents and timeframes. Finally, we highlight how biophysical models are uniquely suited to solve global change biology problems that involve predicting and interpreting responses to environmental variability and extremes, multiple or shifting constraints, and novel abiotic or biotic environments.}, } @article {pmid36515441, year = {2022}, author = {Atwoli, L and Erhabor, GE and Gbakima, AA and Haileamlak, A and Ntumba, JK and Kigera, J and Laybourn-Langton, L and Mash, B and Muhia, J and Mulaudzi, FM and Ofori-Adjei, D and Okonofua, F and Rashidian, A and El-Adawy, M and Sidibé, S and Snouber, A and Tumwine, J and Yassien, MS and Yonga, P and Zakhama, L and Zielinski, C}, title = {COP27 Climate Change Conference: urgent action needed for Africa and the world.}, journal = {Eastern Mediterranean health journal = La revue de sante de la Mediterranee orientale = al-Majallah al-sihhiyah li-sharq al-mutawassit}, volume = {28}, number = {11}, pages = {785-787}, doi = {10.26719/2022.28.11.785}, pmid = {36515441}, issn = {1687-1634}, mesh = {Humans ; *Climate Change ; *Ecosystem ; Biodiversity ; Temperature ; Africa ; }, abstract = {Wealthy nations must step up support for Africa and vulnerable countries in addressing past, present and future impacts of climate change. The 2022 report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) paints a dark picture of the future of life on earth, characterised by ecosystem collapse, species extinction, and climate hazards such as heatwaves and floods. These are all linked to physical and mental health problems, with direct and indirect consequences of increased morbidity and mortality. To avoid these catastrophic health effects across all regions of the globe, there is broad agreement-as 231 health journals argued together in 2021-that the rise in global temperature must be limited to less than 1.5[o]C compared with pre-industrial levels.}, } @article {pmid36515206, year = {2023}, author = {Iglesias-Rios, L and O'Neill, MS and Handal, AJ}, title = {Climate Change, Heat, and Farmworker Health.}, journal = {Workplace health & safety}, volume = {71}, number = {1}, pages = {43}, doi = {10.1177/21650799221135581}, pmid = {36515206}, issn = {2165-0969}, mesh = {Humans ; Farmers ; Climate Change ; Hot Temperature ; *Occupational Diseases ; *Occupational Health ; *Transients and Migrants ; }, } @article {pmid36514555, year = {2022}, author = {Xie, C and Tian, E and Jim, CY and Liu, D and Hu, Z}, title = {Effects of climate-change scenarios on the distribution patterns of Castanea henryi.}, journal = {Ecology and evolution}, volume = {12}, number = {12}, pages = {e9597}, doi = {10.1002/ece3.9597}, pmid = {36514555}, issn = {2045-7758}, abstract = {Castanea henryi, with edible nuts and timber value, is a key tree species playing essential roles in China's subtropical forest ecosystems. However, natural and human perturbations have nearly depleted its wild populations. The study identified the dominant environmental variables enabling and limiting its distribution and predicted its suitable habitats and distribution. The 212 occurrence records covering the whole distribution range of C. henryi in China and nine main bioclimatic variables were selected for detailed analysis. We applied the maximum entropy model (MaxEnt) and QGIS to predict potentially suitable habitats under the current and four future climate-change scenarios. The limiting factors for distribution were accessed by Jackknife, percent contribution, and permutation importance. We found that the current distribution areas were concentrated in the typical subtropical zone, mainly Central and South China provinces. The modeling results indicated temperature as the critical determinant of distribution patterns, including mean temperature of the coldest quarter, isothermality, and mean diurnal range. Winter low temperature imposed an effective constraint on its spread. Moisture served as a secondary factor in species distribution, involving precipitation seasonality and annual precipitation. Under future climate-change scenarios, excellent habitats would expand and shift northwards, whereas range contraction would occur on the southern edge. Extreme climate change could bring notable range shrinkage. This study provided a basis for protecting the species' germplasm resources. The findings could guide the management, cultivation, and conservation of C. henryi, assisted by a proposed three-domain operation framework: preservation areas, loss areas, and new areas, each to be implemented using tailor-made strategies.}, } @article {pmid36512339, year = {2022}, author = {Abbas, F and O'Neill Rothenberg, D and Zhou, Y and Ke, Y and Wang, HC}, title = {Volatile Organic Compounds as Mediators of Plant Communication and Adaptation to Climate Change.}, journal = {Physiologia plantarum}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {e13840}, doi = {10.1111/ppl.13840}, pmid = {36512339}, issn = {1399-3054}, abstract = {Plant volatile organic compounds are the most abundant and structurally diverse plant secondary metabolites. They play a key role in plant lifespan via direct and indirect plant defenses, attracting pollinators, and mediating various interactions between plants and their environment. The ecological diversity and context-dependence of plant-plant communication driven by volatiles are crucial elements that influence plant performance in different habitats. Plant volatiles are also valued for their multiple applications in the food, flavor, pharmaceutical, and cosmetics industries. In the current review, we summarize recent advances that have elucidated the functions of plant volatile organic compounds as mediators of plant interaction at community and individual levels, highlighting the complexities of plant receiver feedback to various signals and cues. This review emphasizes volatile terpenoids, the most abundant class of plant volatile organic compounds, highlighting their role in plant adaptability to global climate change and stress-response pathways that are integral to plant growth and survival. Lastly, we identify research gaps and suggest future research directions. This article is protected by copyright. All rights reserved.}, } @article {pmid36512184, year = {2022}, author = {Sahu, M and Chattopadhyay, B and Das, R and Chaturvedi, S}, title = {Measuring Impact of Climate Change on Indigenous Health in the Background of Multiple Disadvantages: A Scoping Review for Equitable Public Health Policy Formulation.}, journal = {Journal of prevention (2022)}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, pmid = {36512184}, issn = {2731-5541}, abstract = {How climate change is uniquely affecting Indigenous health remains a very less explored area in the existing research literature. The imperative of inclusive climate action to protect indigenous health multiplies manifolds due to their unique vulnerabilities owing to predominant dependence on natural resources and multiple disadvantages faced. The current article attempted to add to the evidence pool regarding climate change impacts on the indigenous population by systematically collecting, processing, and interpreting data as a scoping literature review for effective and inclusive climate policymaking. Twenty-Nine articles of varied study designs were identified employing a systematically organized search strategy using PubMed (Field, MeSH, and advanced search) and Google scholar; relevant data were extracted for further analysis. The Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis for Scoping Reviews (PRISMA-ScR) guidelines were followed. Changing climate scenarios had both direct and indirect health-related impacts on indigenous health, and altered the epidemiological triad for various health-related events, causing the emergence and re-emergence of infectious diseases, and increased prevalence of chronic diseases and mental disorders. An expanded framework was developed showcasing the variability of climate change events, multiple disadvantages, and its impacts on indigenous populations. Few studies also reported a wide range of adaptation responses of indigenous peoples towards climate change. It was substantiated that any climate-change mitigation policy must take into account the trials and tribulations of indigenous communities. Also, due to the complexity and large variability of the impacts and differences in mitigation capabilities, policies should be contextualized locally and tailored to meet the climate need of the indigenous community.}, } @article {pmid36511294, year = {2022}, author = {Porada, P and Bader, MY and Berdugo, MB and Colesie, C and Ellis, CJ and Giordani, P and Herzschuh, U and Ma, Y and Launiainen, S and Nascimbene, J and Petersen, I and Raggio Quílez, J and Rodríguez-Caballero, E and Rousk, K and Sancho, LG and Scheidegger, C and Seitz, S and Van Stan, JT and Veste, M and Weber, B and Weston, DJ}, title = {A research agenda for nonvascular photoautotrophs under climate change.}, journal = {The New phytologist}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, doi = {10.1111/nph.18631}, pmid = {36511294}, issn = {1469-8137}, abstract = {Nonvascular photoautotrophs (NVP), including bryophytes, lichens, terrestrial algae, and cyanobacteria, are increasingly recognized as being essential to ecosystem functioning in many regions of the world. Current research suggests that climate change may pose a substantial threat to NVP, but the extent to which this will affect the associated ecosystem functions and services is highly uncertain. Here, we propose a research agenda to address this urgent question, focusing on physiological and ecological processes that link NVP to ecosystem functions while also taking into account the substantial taxonomic diversity across multiple ecosystem types. Accordingly, we developed a new categorization scheme, based on microclimatic gradients, which simplifies the high physiological and morphological diversity of NVP and world-wide distribution with respect to several broad habitat types. We found that habitat-specific ecosystem functions of NVP will likely be substantially affected by climate change, and more quantitative process understanding is required on (1) potential for acclimation, (2) response to elevated CO2 , (3) role of the microbiome, and (4) feedback to (micro)climate. We suggest an integrative approach of innovative, multimethod laboratory and field experiments and ecophysiological modelling, for which sustained scientific collaboration on NVP research will be essential.}, } @article {pmid36066233, year = {2022}, author = {Riise, G and Fell, AKM and Røed, MA}, title = {[Climate change and health].}, journal = {Tidsskrift for den Norske laegeforening : tidsskrift for praktisk medicin, ny raekke}, volume = {142}, number = {12}, pages = {}, doi = {10.4045/tidsskr.22.0326}, pmid = {36066233}, issn = {0807-7096}, mesh = {*Climate Change ; Humans ; }, } @article {pmid36510028, year = {2022}, author = {Goyette, JO and Savary, S and Blanchette, M and Rousseau, AN and Pellerin, S and Poulin, M}, title = {Setting Targets for Wetland Restoration to Mitigate Climate Change Effects on Watershed Hydrology.}, journal = {Environmental management}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, pmid = {36510028}, issn = {1432-1009}, abstract = {How much wetland we should protect or restore is not a simple question, such that conservation targets are often set according to political agendas, then standardized globally. However, given their key regulating hydrological functions, wetlands represent nature-based solutions to the anticipated, exacerbating effect of climate change on drought and flood events, which will vary at the regional scale. Here, we propose a science-based approach to establishing regional wetland restoration targets centered on their hydrological functions, using a case study on several sub-watersheds of a northern temperate basin in south-eastern Canada. We posit that restoration targets should minimally mitigate the negative effects of climate change on watershed hydrology, namely peak and low flows. We used a semi-distributed hydrological model, HYDROTEL, to perform a hydroclimatic assessment, including 47 climate projections over the 1979-2099 period, to test the effect of wetland restoration scenarios on peak and low flows. The results showed that hydrological responses to climate change varied among sub-watersheds (even at the scale of a relatively small region), and that, to mitigate these changes, increases in wetland coverage should be between 20% and up to 150%. At low restoration levels, increasing wetland coverage was more effective in attenuating floods than alleviating droughts. This study indicates that a no-net-loss policy is insufficient to maintain current hydrological cycles in the face of climate change; rather, a 'net gain' in wetland cover is needed.}, } @article {pmid36509796, year = {2022}, author = {Nazeer, A and Maskey, S and Skaugen, T and McClain, ME}, title = {Changes in the hydro-climatic regime of the Hunza Basin in the Upper Indus under CMIP6 climate change projections.}, journal = {Scientific reports}, volume = {12}, number = {1}, pages = {21442}, pmid = {36509796}, issn = {2045-2322}, abstract = {The Upper Indus Basin (UIB) heavily depends on its frozen water resources, and an accelerated melt due to the projected climate change may significantly alter future water availability. The future hydro-climatic regime and water availability of the Hunza basin (a sub-basin of UIB) were analysed using the newly released Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (CMIP6) climate projections. A data and parameter parsimonious precipitation-runoff model, the Distance Distribution Dynamics (DDD) model, was used with energy balance-based subroutines for snowmelt, glacier melt and evapotranspiration. The DDD model was set up for baseline (1991-2010), mid-century (2041-2060) and end-century (2081-2100) climates projections from two global circulation models (GCM), namely EC-Earth3 and MPI-ESM. The projections indicate a substantial increase in temperature (1.1-8.6 °C) and precipitation (12-32%) throughout the twenty-first century. The simulations show the future flow increase between 23-126% and the future glacier melt increase between 30-265%, depending on the scenarios and GCMs used. Moreover, the simulations suggest an increasing glacier melt contribution from all elevations with a significant increase from the higher elevations. The findings provide a basis for planning and modifying reservoir operation strategies with respect to hydropower generation, irrigation withdrawals, flood control, and drought management.}, } @article {pmid36509607, year = {2022}, author = {Candal-Pedreira, C and Ruano-Ravina, A and Martínez-González, C}, title = {Atmospheric Episodes Linked to Climate Change and Their Impact on Respiratory Health.}, journal = {Archivos de bronconeumologia}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, doi = {10.1016/j.arbres.2022.11.011}, pmid = {36509607}, issn = {1579-2129}, } @article {pmid36508147, year = {2022}, author = {Howard, E}, title = {Linking gender, climate change and security in the Pacific Islands Region: A systematic review.}, journal = {Ambio}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, pmid = {36508147}, issn = {1654-7209}, abstract = {This systematic review aims to address gaps in understanding how concepts of gender, climate change and security are given meaning and linked in empirical scholarship within the Pacific Islands Region. The review assesses the 53 articles returned through Web of Science, SCOPUS and ProQuest databases that are derived from empirical research and refer to gender, climate change and security. The findings indicate that this is an emerging topic in a region that is one of the most vulnerable to climate change across the globe. Most frequently gender analysis is given superficial treatment; there is limited literature that connects gendered vulnerabilities to historical legacies and structural inequalities; and women's critical roles that create security are often overlooked and devalued. The review indicates that greater work is needed to question perceived threats to security and to reveal how climate change, gendered institutions, systems and spaces, historical legacies and politics interact to construct security in the Pacific Islands Region.}, } @article {pmid36508038, year = {2022}, author = {Solís, I and Álvarez, E and Barba, E}, title = {Global warming modifies the seasonal distribution of clutches on a Mediterranean great tit population.}, journal = {International journal of biometeorology}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, pmid = {36508038}, issn = {1432-1254}, abstract = {Global warming has multiple effects on phenological events on a wide range of plants and animals. Specifically, many bird species have advanced the start of their breeding season, which could also imply an extension in its duration and also a change in the distribution of clutches throughout the breeding season. We have tested whether this occurred in a population of Great Tits (Parus major), in Sagunto (eastern Spain). The increase of March temperatures between 1986 and 2019 was related to an advancement of the breeding season. Although the breeding season was longer in years with higher June temperatures, the length did not show a temporal trend throughout the study period. The clutches were more concentrated at the beginning of the season (increase in the skewness), while the kurtosis ("tailedness" of the distribution) or the modality did not change significantly. Finally, the number of "equally good months" for breeding (a combined measure of length and distribution) has not changed throughout the years. Overall, all these phenological changes probably caused the observed increased proportion of pairs laying two clutches per year. It remains to be studied whether this increase in reproductive effort has positive or negative impact on fitness.}, } @article {pmid36507411, year = {2022}, author = {Lian, Y and Wang, A and Peng, S and Jia, J and Yang, X and Li, J and Yang, S and Zheng, R and Zhou, S}, title = {Potential global distribution area projections of the aphid Lipaphis erysimi and its predator Eupeodes corollae in the context of climate change.}, journal = {Frontiers in plant science}, volume = {13}, number = {}, pages = {1019693}, pmid = {36507411}, issn = {1664-462X}, abstract = {Climate change affects the population distribution of pests and their natural enemies, and predicting these effects is necessary for pest monitoring and green control. Lipaphis erysimi is an important vegetable pest, and its natural enemy, the Eupeodes corollae Fabricius has a strong predatory effect on the L. erysimi. To assess the spread trends of L. erysimi and its natural enemy, the hoverfly, E. corollae under current (1970-2000) and future climates (2041-2060), based on the MaxEnt model, this paper uses data on the geographical distribution of the historical occurrence of L. erysimi and E. corollae to speculate on their potential distribution areas worldwide and analyze the key environmental factors affecting the survival and spread of both. The results showed that the Representative Concentration Pathway (RCP) 2.6 and RCP4.5 climatic conditions are favorable for the spread of L. erysimi, the RCP8.5 climatic conditions are unfavorable for the spread of L. erysimi, and all three future climatic conditions are unfavorable for the spread of E. corollae. The highest fitness of L. erysimi was found at the annual average temperature of 18 °C and the annual average precipitation of 900 mm, while the highest fitness of E. corollae was found at the annual average temperature of 10 °C and the lowest temperature in the coldest month of 0 °C. This study can provide a reference basis for monitoring and early warning and biological control of L. erysimi.}, } @article {pmid36507380, year = {2022}, author = {Yan, Z and Xu, J and Wang, X and Yang, Z and Liu, D and Li, G and Huang, H}, title = {Continued spring phenological advance under global warming hiatus over the Pan-Third Pole.}, journal = {Frontiers in plant science}, volume = {13}, number = {}, pages = {1071858}, pmid = {36507380}, issn = {1664-462X}, abstract = {The global surface temperature has witnessed a warming hiatus in the first decade of this century, but how this slowing down of warming will impact spring phenology over Pan-Third Pole remains unclear. Here, we combined multiple satellite-derived vegetation indices with eddy covariance datasets to evaluate the spatiotemporal changes in spring phenological changes over the Pan-Third Pole. We found that the spring phenology over Pan-Third Pole continues to advance at the rate of 4.8 days decade[-1] during the warming hiatus period, which is contrasted to a non-significant change over the northern hemisphere. Such a significant and continued advance in spring phenology was mainly attributed to an increase in preseason minimum temperature and water availability. Moreover, there is an overall increasing importance of precipitation on changes in spring phenology during the last four decades. We further demonstrated that this increasingly negative correlation was also found across more than two-thirds of the dryland region, tentatively suggesting that spring phenological changes might shift from temperature to precipitation-controlled over the Pan-Third Pole in a warmer world.}, } @article {pmid36507369, year = {2022}, author = {Hoffman, NE}, title = {USDA's revised biotechnology regulation's contribution to increasing agricultural sustainability and responding to climate change.}, journal = {Frontiers in plant science}, volume = {13}, number = {}, pages = {1055529}, pmid = {36507369}, issn = {1664-462X}, abstract = {Biotechnology can provide a valuable tool to meet UN Sustainable Development Goals and U.S. initiatives to find climate solutions and improve agricultural sustainability. The literature contains hundreds of examples of crops that may serve this purpose, yet most remain un-launched due to high regulatory barriers. Recently the USDA revised its biotechnology regulations to make them more risk-proportionate, science-based, and streamlined. Here, we review some of the promising leads that may enable agriculture to contribute to UN sustainability goals. We further describe and discuss how the revised biotechnology regulation would hypothetically apply to these cases.}, } @article {pmid36507088, year = {2022}, author = {Atwoli, L and Erhabor, GE and Gbakima, AA and Haileamlak, A and Kayembe Ntumba, JM and Kigera, J and Laybourn-Langton, L and Mash, R and Muhia, J and Mulaudzi, FM and Ofori-Adjei, D and Okonofua, F and Rashidian, A and Adawy, ME and Sidibé, S and Snouber, A and Tumwine, J and Yassien, MS and Yonga, P and Zakhama, L and Zielinski, C}, title = {COP27 Climate Change Conference: Urgent action needed for Africa and the world.}, journal = {The Lancet regional health. Western Pacific}, volume = {28}, number = {}, pages = {100622}, pmid = {36507088}, issn = {2666-6065}, } @article {pmid36506931, year = {2022}, author = {Wong-Parodi, G and Rose Garfin, D}, title = {Hurricane adaptation behaviors in Texas and Florida: exploring the roles of negative personal experience and subjective attribution to climate change.}, journal = {Environmental research letters : ERL [Web site]}, volume = {17}, number = {3}, pages = {}, pmid = {36506931}, issn = {1748-9326}, abstract = {Understanding motivation to adopt personal household adaptation behaviors in the face of climate change-related hazards is essential for developing and implementing behaviorally realistic interventions that promote well-being and health. Escalating extreme weather events increase the number of those directly exposed and adversely impacted by climate change. But do people attribute these negative events to climate change? Such subjective attribution may be one cognitive process whereby the experience of negative climate change-related events may increase risk perceptions and motivate people to act. Here we surveyed a representative sample of 1,846 residents of Florida and Texas, many who had been repeatedly exposed to hurricanes on the Gulf Coast, facing the 2020 Atlantic hurricane season. We assessed prior hurricane negative personal experience, climate change-related subjective attribution (for hurricanes), risk appraisal (perceived probability and severity of a hurricane threat), hurricane adaptation appraisal (perceived efficacy of adaptation measures and self-efficacy to address the threat of hurricanes), and self-reported hurricane personal household adaptation. Our findings suggest that prior hurricane negative personal experiences and subjective attribution are associated with greater hurricane risk appraisal. Hurricane subjective attribution moderated the relationship between hurricane negative personal experiences and risk appraisal; in turn, negative hurricane personal experience, hurricane risk appraisal, and adaptation appraisal were positively associated with self-reported hurricane personal adaptation behaviors. Subjective attribution may be associated with elevated perceived risk for specific climate hazards. Communications that help people understand the link between their negative personal experiences (e.g., hurricanes) and climate change may help guide risk perceptions and motivate protective actions, particularly in areas with repeated exposure to threats.}, } @article {pmid36506638, year = {2022}, author = {Atwoli, L and Erhabor, GE and Gbakima, AA and Haileamlak, A and Ntumba, JK and Kigera, J and Laybourn-Langton, L and Mash, B and Muhia, J and Mavis Mulaudzi, F and Ofori-Adjei, D and Okonofua, F and Rashidian, A and El-Adawy, M and Sidibé, S and Snouber, A and Tumwine, J and Yassien, MS and Yonga, P and Zakhama, L and Zielinski, C}, title = {COP27 Climate Change Conference: Urgent action needed for Africa and the world.}, journal = {Canadian journal of respiratory therapy : CJRT = Revue canadienne de la therapie respiratoire : RCTR}, volume = {58}, number = {}, pages = {185-186}, pmid = {36506638}, issn = {1205-9838}, } @article {pmid36506393, year = {2022}, author = {Siddique, MAB and Ahammad, AKS and Bashar, A and Hasan, NA and Mahalder, B and Alam, MM and Biswas, JC and Haque, MM}, title = {Impacts of climate change on fish hatchery productivity in Bangladesh: A critical review.}, journal = {Heliyon}, volume = {8}, number = {12}, pages = {e11951}, pmid = {36506393}, issn = {2405-8440}, abstract = {Bangladesh is among the countries most vulnerable to climate change due to its geographical location. Climate change issues have become major concerns in aquaculture industry, particularly for fish hatchery productivity. Fish production in Bangladesh is mainly steered by the aquaculture sector, which is dependent on private hatchery-based fish seed production to a great extent. This review aimed to present the impacts of climate change on fish hatcheries, particularly during different stages of hatchery production, and the economic loss from the onset of disease and other impairments due to environmental causes. Geographically, most hatcheries in Bangladesh are operated within a narrow range of temperature (22.8-23.1 °C, equivalent to 73-73.5 °F) and rainfall (1750-2000 mm). Thus, slightest fluctuations in these parameters affect seed production in fish hatcheries. The broodstock, produced in natural and captive conditions, is severely affected by flash flooding, water quality deterioration, river siltation, erratic rainfall, and temperature fluctuations. Based on our review, temperature fluctuation is the main factor hampering maturation and breeding performances of broodstock. Temperature has also been reported to affect embryonic development and cause stunted growth of larvae and juvenile. In shrimp and prawn hatcheries, fluctuations in temperature, pH, and salinity are responsible for post-larval disease outbreaks. In some instances, storms and heavy rainfall wash away reared broodfish and fish seed from the hatcheries, causing massive socioeconomic losses. This review presents indisputable negative impacts of climate change on hatchery production. As of now, no cost-effective proven strategies have been developed to minimize the effects of climate change on Bangladesh's fish hatchery production, on which the aquaculture industry is inextricably dependent. For sustainable fish hatchery production, basic research on climate impacts on hatcheries is inevitable, as well as improving capacity of hatchery owners are needed for resilient hatchery operations in Bangladesh and similar environments worldwide.}, } @article {pmid36506340, year = {2022}, author = {Atwoli, L and Erhabor, GE and Gbakima, AA and Haileamlak, A and Kayembe Ntumba, JM and Kigera, J and Laybourn-Langton, L and Mash, R and Muhia, J and Mulaudzi, FM and Ofori-Adjei, D and Okonofua, F and Rashidian, A and Adawy, ME and Sidibé, S and Snouber, A and Tumwine, J and Yassien, MS and Yonga, P and Zakhama, L and Zielinski, C}, title = {COP27 Climate Change Conference: Urgent action needed for Africa and the world.}, journal = {The Lancet regional health. Europe}, volume = {23}, number = {}, pages = {100535}, pmid = {36506340}, issn = {2666-7762}, } @article {pmid36505760, year = {2022}, author = {Moore, G}, title = {Virtuous organizations: Desire, consumption and human flourishing in an era of climate change.}, journal = {Frontiers in sociology}, volume = {7}, number = {}, pages = {960054}, pmid = {36505760}, issn = {2297-7775}, abstract = {The notion of virtuous organizations has an established place in the business ethics/organization studies literature. But this conceptualization drew principally on Alasdair MacIntyre's After Virtue. His more recent work Ethics in the Conflicts of Modernity, with its focus on desire, consumption and human flourishing, demands a revisiting of the original concept. The first aim of this paper, therefore, is to provide an extended theory of the notion of the virtuous organization. An obvious application of this extended theory is to the issue of climate change. In exploring this, the paper has a further aim which is to respond to Banerjee et al.'s call for more theory building that articulates post-growth possibilities at the organization level in relation to the multiple challenges which society faces in response to the changing climate. The paper begins by summarizing the current conceptual framework of the virtuous organization while recognizing critiques of MacIntyre's work and its organizational application. It then turns to the issues of desire and consumption highlighted in MacIntyre's latest book, drawing also on an extended literature in these areas including insights from Girard's work, and concluding with MacIntyre's contentions in relation to human flourishing. This leads to the extended conceptual framework which is then applied to the issue of climate change. The particular theoretical contribution of the paper is to understand virtuous organizations as playing an important role in the redirection and re-education of desires, leading to the pursuit of goods that we have good reason to desire, and so to the good for individuals and communities, and ultimately to human flourishing within ecological limits. The similarities with and differences from the degrowth/post-growth movement are explored to demonstrate the distinctive contribution a MacIntyrean approach makes. The practical implications of this theoretical contribution are then spelled out, including a consideration of the potential ubiquity or otherwise of this approach, before conclusions are drawn.}, } @article {pmid36504412, year = {2022}, author = {Queirós, AM and Tait, K and Clark, JR and Bedington, M and Pascoe, C and Torres, R and Somerfield, PJ and Smale, DA}, title = {Identifying and protecting macroalgae detritus sinks toward climate change mitigation.}, journal = {Ecological applications : a publication of the Ecological Society of America}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {e2798}, doi = {10.1002/eap.2798}, pmid = {36504412}, issn = {1051-0761}, abstract = {Harnessing natural solutions to mitigate climate change requires an understanding of carbon fixation, flux and sequestration across ocean habitats. Recent studies suggest that exported seaweed particulate organic carbon is stored within soft sediment systems. However, very little is known about how seaweed detritus disperses from coastlines, or where it may enter seabed carbon stores, where it could become the target of conservation efforts. Here, focusing on regionally dominant seaweed species, we surveyed environmental DNA (eDNA) of natural coastal sediments, and studied their connectivity to seaweed habitats using a particle tracking model parameterized to reproduce seaweed detritus dispersal behavior based on laboratory observation of seaweed fragment degradation and sinking. Experiments showed seaweed detritus density changing over time, differently across species. This, in turn, modified distances travelled by released fragments until they reached the seabed for the first time, during model simulations. Dispersal pathways connected detritus from the shore to the open ocean but, importantly, also to coastal sediments, and this was reflected by field eDNA evidence. Dispersion pathways were also affected by hydrodynamic conditions, varying in space and time. Both the properties and timing of released detritus, individual to each macroalgal population, and short-term near-seabed and medium-term water-column transport pathways, are thus seemingly important in determining the connectivity between seaweed habitats and potential sedimentary sinks. Studies such as this one, supported by further field verification of sedimentary carbon sequestration rates and source partitioning, are still needed to help quantify the role of seaweed in the ocean carbon cycle. Such studies will provide vital evidence to inform on the potential need to develop blue carbon conservation mechanisms, beyond wetlands. This article is protected by copyright. All rights reserved.}, } @article {pmid36503737, year = {2022}, author = {Atwoli, L and Erhabor, GE and Gbakima, AA and Haileamlak, A and Kayembe Ntumba, JM and Kigera, J and Laybourn-Langton, L and Mash, B and Muhia, J and Mulaudzi, FM and Ofori-Adjei, D and Okonofua, F and Rashidian, A and El-Adawy, M and Sidibé, S and Snouber, A and Tumwine, J and Yassien, MS and Yonga, P and Zakhama, L and Zielinski, C}, title = {COP27 Climate Change Conference: urgent action needed for Africa and the world.}, journal = {Veterinary anaesthesia and analgesia}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, doi = {10.1016/j.vaa.2022.11.001}, pmid = {36503737}, issn = {1467-2995}, } @article {pmid36502819, year = {2022}, author = {The Lancet Infectious Diseases, }, title = {Twin threats: climate change and zoonoses.}, journal = {The Lancet. Infectious diseases}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, doi = {10.1016/S1473-3099(22)00817-9}, pmid = {36502819}, issn = {1474-4457}, } @article {pmid36502815, year = {2022}, author = {Wyns, A}, title = {COP27 establishes loss and damage fund to respond to human cost of climate change.}, journal = {The Lancet. Planetary health}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, doi = {10.1016/S2542-5196(22)00331-X}, pmid = {36502815}, issn = {2542-5196}, } @article {pmid36502586, year = {2022}, author = {Ojala, M}, title = {Hope and climate-change engagement from a psychological perspective.}, journal = {Current opinion in psychology}, volume = {49}, number = {}, pages = {101514}, doi = {10.1016/j.copsyc.2022.101514}, pmid = {36502586}, issn = {2352-2518}, abstract = {This article reviews recent research about climate-change hope and engagement. Cognitive climate-change hope is consistently positively related to engagement, while the results are less consistent regarding hope as an emotion. It is argued that when conducting research about hope as an emotion sources of hope need to be considered, since they can be both constructive and less constructive seen from a climate-change engagement perspective. Additionally, collective climate-change action can lead to constructive hope. The conclusion is that in future research there is a need to go beyond the dichotomy between cognition and emotion and in interventions to go beyond optimistic messages and take into account preconditions for constructive hope.}, } @article {pmid36501310, year = {2022}, author = {Fedorov, N and Kutueva, A and Muldashev, A and Verkhozina, A and Lashchinskiy, N and Martynenko, V}, title = {Analysis of the Potential Range of Anticlea sibirica L. (Kunth) and Its Changes under Moderate Climate Change in the 21st Century.}, journal = {Plants (Basel, Switzerland)}, volume = {11}, number = {23}, pages = {}, doi = {10.3390/plants11233270}, pmid = {36501310}, issn = {2223-7747}, abstract = {The study shows the analysis of the current potential range and the modeling of its changes in the hemiboreal species Anticlea sibirica. The models show the habitat suitability for A. sibirica under moderate climatic changes (RCP4.5) in the middle and second half of the 21st century. For modeling, we used MaxEnt software with the predictors being climate variables from CHELSA Bioclim and a digital elevation model. The modeling has shown that climate change can be favorable for the spread of A. sibirica to the northeastern part of its range by expanding highly suitable habitats in mountainous landscapes along the coast of the Sea of Okhotsk. In the rest of the range, the total area of suitable habitats will decrease. In areas with extremely deteriorating growing conditions, the species will persist in low-competition habitats such as rocky outcrops, riverbanks, and screes. The predicted change in the distribution of A. sibirica indicates a possible strong transformation of the vegetation cover in Siberia and the Urals, even under moderate climate change.}, } @article {pmid36501288, year = {2022}, author = {Qi, Y and Xian, X and Zhao, H and Wang, R and Huang, H and Zhang, Y and Yang, M and Liu, W}, title = {Increased Invasion Risk of Tagetes minuta L. in China under Climate Change: A Study of the Potential Geographical Distributions.}, journal = {Plants (Basel, Switzerland)}, volume = {11}, number = {23}, pages = {}, doi = {10.3390/plants11233248}, pmid = {36501288}, issn = {2223-7747}, abstract = {Tagetes minuta L., a member of the Tageftes genus belonging to the Asteraceae family, is a well-documented exotic plant native to South America that has become established in China. In this study, 784 occurrence records and 12 environmental variables were used to predict the potential geographical distributions (PGDs) of T. minuta under current and future climatic changes using an optimized MaxEnt model. The results showed that (1) three out of the twelve variables contributed the most to the model performance: isothermality (bio3), precipitation in the driest quarter (bio17), and precipitation in the warmest quarter (bio18); (2) the PGDs of T. minuta under the current climate covered 62.06 × 10[4] km[2], mainly in North, South, and Southwest China; and (3) climate changes will facilitate the expansion of the PGDs of T. minuta under three shared socioeconomic pathways (SSP 1-2.6, SSP2-4.5, and SSP5-8.5) in both the 2030s and 2050s. The centroid of suitable habitats under SSP2-4.5 moved the longest distance. T. minuta has the capacity to expand in China, especially in Yunnan, where there exist no occurrence records. Customs, ports, and adjacent regions should strengthen the quarantine of imported goods and mobile personnel for T. minuta, and introduced seedlings should be isolated to minimize their introduction risk.}, } @article {pmid36501233, year = {2022}, author = {Mendoza-Fernández, AJ and Fernández-Ceular, Á and Alcaraz-Segura, D and Ballesteros, M and Peñas, J}, title = {The Fate of Endemic Species Specialized in Island Habitat under Climate Change in a Mediterranean High Mountain.}, journal = {Plants (Basel, Switzerland)}, volume = {11}, number = {23}, pages = {}, doi = {10.3390/plants11233193}, pmid = {36501233}, issn = {2223-7747}, abstract = {Mediterranean high-mountain endemic species are particularly vulnerable to climatic changes in temperature, precipitation and snow-cover dynamics. Sierra Nevada (Spain) is a biodiversity hotspot in the western Mediterranean, with an enormous plant species richness and endemicity. Moehringia fontqueri is a threatened endemic plant restricted to north-facing siliceous rocks along a few ridges of the eastern Sierra Nevada. To guide conservation actions against climate change effects, here we propose the simultaneous assessment of the current reproductive success and the possible species' range changes between current and future climatic conditions, assessing separately different subpopulations by altitude. Reproductive success was tested through the seed-set data analysis. The species' current habitat suitability was modeled in Maxent using species occurrences, topographic, satellite and climatic variables. Future habitat suitability was carried out for two climatic scenarios (RCP 2.6 and 8.5). The results showed the lowest reproductive success at the lowest altitudes, and vice versa at the highest altitudes. Habitat suitability decreased by 80% from current conditions to the worst-case scenario (RCP 8.5). The lowest subpopulations were identified as the most vulnerable to climate change effects while the highest ones were the nearest to future suitable habitats. Our simultaneous assessment of reproductive success and habitat suitability aims to serve as a model to guide conservation, management and climate change mitigation strategies through adaptive management to safeguard the persistence of the maximum genetic pool of Mediterranean high-mountain plants threatened by climate change.}, } @article {pmid36498371, year = {2022}, author = {Wang, G and Huang, S and Zhang, Y and Zhao, S and Han, C}, title = {How Has Climate Change Driven the Evolution of Rice Distribution in China?.}, journal = {International journal of environmental research and public health}, volume = {19}, number = {23}, pages = {}, doi = {10.3390/ijerph192316297}, pmid = {36498371}, issn = {1660-4601}, abstract = {Estimating the impact of climate change risks on rice distribution is one of the most important elements of climate risk management. This paper is based on the GEE (Google Earth Engine) platform and multi-source remote sensing data; the authors quantitatively extracted rice production distribution data in China from 1990 to 2019, analysed the evolution pattern of rice distribution and clusters and explored the driving effects between climatic and environmental conditions on the evolution of rice production distribution using the non-parametric quantile regression model. The results show that: The spatial variation of rice distribution is significant, mainly concentrated in the northeast, south and southwest regions of China; the distribution of rice in the northeast is expanding, while the distribution of rice in the south is extending northward, showing a spatial evolution trend of "north rising and south retreating". The positive effect of precipitation on the spatial distribution of rice has a significant threshold. This shows that when precipitation is greater than 800 mm, there is a significant positive effect on the spatial distribution of rice production, and this effect will increase with precipitation increases. Climate change may lead to a continuous northward shift in the extent of rice production, especially extending to the northwest of China. This paper's results will help implement more spatially targeted climate change adaptation measures for rice to cope with the changes in food production distribution caused by climate change.}, } @article {pmid36498239, year = {2022}, author = {Feng, S and Zhang, Y and Gao, F and Li, M and Zhu, L and Wen, H and Xi, Y and Xiang, X}, title = {Inhibitory Effects of Antipsychotic Chlorpromazine on the Survival, Reproduction and Population Growth Other Than Neurotransmitters of Zooplankton in Light of Global Warming.}, journal = {International journal of environmental research and public health}, volume = {19}, number = {23}, pages = {}, doi = {10.3390/ijerph192316167}, pmid = {36498239}, issn = {1660-4601}, abstract = {Global warming and environmental pollution have created a unique combination of abiotic and biotic stresses to zooplankton. However, little information is available on the effects of antipsychotic drugs commonly used to treat psychosis, such as chlorpromazine (CPZ), on non-target aquatic organisms in light of global warming. This study investigated how dopamine concentrations (DAC), acute toxicity and chronic toxicity of Brachionus calyciflorus changed in response to CPZ and gradually increasing temperatures. The results showed that the concentration range of rotifer DAC was 1.06~2.51 ng/g. At 18, 25 and 32 °C, the 24 h LC50 was 1.795, 1.242 and 0.833 mg/L, respectively. Compared to the control, exposure to CPZ significantly decreased life expectancy at hatching, the net reproduction rate, generation time, population growth rate and dopamine concentration of B. calyciflorus in all three temperatures (p < 0.05). The toxicity of CPZ to rotifers was increased by high temperature. These findings indicated that CPZ is highly toxic to rotifers, displaying high ecological risks to aquatic ecosystems.}, } @article {pmid36497906, year = {2022}, author = {Chawdhery, MRA and Al-Mueed, M and Wazed, MA and Emran, SA and Chowdhury, MAH and Hussain, SG}, title = {Climate Change Impacts Assessment Using Crop Simulation Model Intercomparison Approach in Northern Indo-Gangetic Basin of Bangladesh.}, journal = {International journal of environmental research and public health}, volume = {19}, number = {23}, pages = {}, doi = {10.3390/ijerph192315829}, pmid = {36497906}, issn = {1660-4601}, abstract = {The climate change impacts of South Asia (SA) are inextricably linked with increased monsoon variability and a clearly deteriorating trend with more frequent deficit monsoons. One of the most climate-vulnerable nations in the eastern and central Indo-Gangetic Basin is Bangladesh. There have been numerous studies on the effects of climate change in Bangladesh; however, most of them tended to just look at a small fraction of the impact elements or were climatic projections without accounting for the effects on agriculture. Additionally, simulation studies using the CERES-Rice and CERES-Wheat models were conducted for rice and wheat to evaluate the effects of climate change on Bangladeshi agriculture. However, up to now, Bangladesh has not implemented farming system ideas by integrating cropping systems with other income-generating activities. This study was conducted as part of the Indo-Gangetic Basin (IGB) regional evaluations using the protocols and integrated assessment processes of the Agricultural Model Intercomparison and Improvement Project (AgMIP). It was also done to calibrate crop models (APSIM and DSSAT) using rice and wheat. To assist policymakers in creating national and regional plans for anticipated future agricultural systems, our work on the integrated evaluation of climate change impacts on agricultural systems produced realistic predictions. The outcome of this research prescribes a holistic assessment of climate change on future production systems by including all the relevant enterprises in the agriculture sector. The findings of the study suggested two major strategies to minimize the yield and increase the profitability in a rice-wheat cropping system. Using a short-term HYV (High Yielding Variety) of rice can shift the sowing time of wheat by 7 days in advance compared to the traditional sowing days of mid-November. In addition, increasing the irrigation amount by 50 mm for wheat showed a better yield by 1.5-32.2% in different scenarios. These climate change adaptation measures could increase the per capita income by as high as 3.6% on the farm level.}, } @article {pmid36497842, year = {2022}, author = {Chen, D and Guo, Y and Wang, C and Xu, Y and Zhang, H}, title = {Dispersion and Disparity: Bibliometric and Visualized Analysis of Research on Climate Change Science Communication.}, journal = {International journal of environmental research and public health}, volume = {19}, number = {23}, pages = {}, doi = {10.3390/ijerph192315766}, pmid = {36497842}, issn = {1660-4601}, abstract = {Research on climate change science communication began in the 1980s and is showing continued vitality and a wider interest at present. In order to track the development of global research on the communication of climate change hot topics and frontier progress since the 21st century, methods such as bibliometrics and co-word network analysis were used to analyze the publication of research papers in this field, and a total of 1175 valid papers published in 2000-2021 in the WOS core database were counted. Different dimensions such as temporal trend, spatial distribution, and author collaboration network were analyzed. The results show that, (1) climate change communication research has become a relatively independent research field and has entered a rapid development stage, and this field still has a broad research prospect in the new understanding of climate change and new international context. (2) At present, research in this field is still dominated by developed countries, but developing countries are actively building their unique climate communication discourse. (3) Public understanding and media information presentation have been hot topics in climate communication research in recent years. In the context of changing international situations and the development of global epidemics and new climate policies, changes in national actions will likely lead to new research topics and dialogues. Research shows that climate change science communication research is increasingly showing a trend of decentralization and differentiation.}, } @article {pmid36497723, year = {2022}, author = {Wang, Y and Zhang, X and Li, Y and Liu, Y and Sun, B and Wang, Y and Zhou, Z and Zheng, L and Zhang, L and Yao, X and Cheng, Y}, title = {Knowledge, Attitude, Risk Perception, and Health-Related Adaptive Behavior of Primary School Children towards Climate Change: A Cross-Sectional Study in China.}, journal = {International journal of environmental research and public health}, volume = {19}, number = {23}, pages = {}, doi = {10.3390/ijerph192315648}, pmid = {36497723}, issn = {1660-4601}, abstract = {BACKGROUND: Children are disproportionately affected by climate change while evidence regarding their adaptive behavior and relevant influencing factors is limited.

OBJECTIVES: We attempted to investigate health-related adaptive behavior towards climate change for primary school children in China and explore potential influencing factors.

METHODS: We conducted a survey of 8322 primary school children in 12 cities across China. Knowledge, attitude, risk perception, and adaptive behavior scores for children were collected using a designed questionnaire. Weather exposures of cities were collected from 2014 to 2018. We applied a multiple linear regression and mixed-effect regression to assess the influencing factors of adaptive behavior. We also used the structural equation model (SEM) to validate the theoretical framework of adaptive behavior.

RESULTS: Most children (76.1%) were aware of climate change. They mainly get information from television, smartphones, and the Internet. A 1 score increase in knowledge, attitude, and risk perception was associated with 0.210, 0.386, and 0.160 increase in adaptive behavior scores, respectively. Females and children having air conditioners or heating systems at home were positively associated with adaptive behavior. Exposure to cold and rainstorms increased the adaptive behavior scores, while heat exposure had the opposite effects. The SEM showed that knowledge was positively associated with attitude and risk perception. Knowledge, attitude, and risk perception corresponded to 31.6%, 22.8%, and 26.1% changes of adaptive behavior, respectively.

CONCLUSION: Most primary school children in China were aware of climate change. Knowledge, attitude, risk perception, cold, and rainstorm exposure were positively associated with health-related adaptive behavior towards climate change.}, } @article {pmid36497722, year = {2022}, author = {Feng, Y and Zhao, T}, title = {Exploring the Nonlinear Relationship between Renewable Energy Consumption and Economic Growth in the Context of Global Climate Change.}, journal = {International journal of environmental research and public health}, volume = {19}, number = {23}, pages = {}, doi = {10.3390/ijerph192315647}, pmid = {36497722}, issn = {1660-4601}, abstract = {In recent years, the impact of global climate change has increasingly revealed that energy transformation has become an indispensable part of achieving carbon neutrality. Thus, the relationship between energy transformation and economic growth has become the focus of academic attention. This study examines energy transition issues by using the panel threshold method. It explores the nonlinear impact of renewable energy consumption on economic growth, identifies various factors that lead to this nonlinear impact, and verifies its threshold effect. A comprehensive analysis reveals the following. (1) Overall, renewable energy consumption inhibits real gross domestic product (GDP) growth, but, in the long run, the negative impact becomes positive. (2) The threshold effect of energy consumption intensity (EI) is significant, with a threshold value of approximately 3.213. This means that when EI ≤ 3.213, renewable energy consumption promotes economic growth. However, EI > 3.213 indicates that this impact is significantly negative, which means that advancing the energy transition at this time may occur at the expense of real GDP growth. (3) There is also a significant threshold effect in energy transformation, with a threshold value of approximately 6.456. Similarly, when energy consumption transition (ET) ≤ 6.456, renewable energy consumption dampens real economic growth, and the economic cost of promoting renewable energy consumption is greater at this time. Alternatively, when ET > 6.456, this impact is significant at the 1 percent level and significantly positive. (4) There is also a significant threshold effect for emerging technologies, with a threshold value of approximately 1.367. When ET ≤ 1.367, renewable energy consumption dampens real economic growth, and the economic cost of promoting renewable energy consumption is greater. When ET > 1.367, the impact is significantly positive at the 1% level. To promote the positive development of economic growth, climate change, and energy transition, the nonlinear relationship studied in this paper can fill the gaps in existing research in theory and provide a theoretical basis for the government to adopt different policies at different stages of the energy transition to lay the foundation for improving global climate change in practice.}, } @article {pmid36497689, year = {2022}, author = {Mansouri, A and Wei, W and Alessandrini, JM and Mandin, C and Blondeau, P}, title = {Impact of Climate Change on Indoor Air Quality: A Review.}, journal = {International journal of environmental research and public health}, volume = {19}, number = {23}, pages = {}, doi = {10.3390/ijerph192315616}, pmid = {36497689}, issn = {1660-4601}, abstract = {Climate change can affect the indoor environment due to heat and mass transfers between indoor and outdoor environments. To mitigate climate change impacts and adapt buildings to the changing environment, changes in building characteristics and occupants' behavior may occur. To characterize the effects of climate change on indoor air quality (IAQ), the present review focused on four aspects: (1) experimental and modeling studies that relate IAQ to future environmental conditions, (2) evolution of indoor and outdoor air concentrations in the coming years with regard to temperature rise, (3) climate change mitigation and adaptation actions in the building sector, and (4) evolution of human behavior in the context of climate change. In the indoor environment, experimental and modeling studies on indoor air pollutants highlighted a combined effect of temperature and relative humidity on pollutant emissions from indoor sources. Five IAQ models developed for future climate data were identified in the literature. In the outdoor environment, the increasing ambient temperature may lead directly or indirectly to changes in ozone, particle, nitrogen oxides, and volatile organic compound concentrations in some regions of the world depending on the assumptions made about temperature evolution, anthropogenic emissions, and regional regulation. Infiltration into buildings of outdoor air pollutants is governed by many factors, including temperature difference between indoors and outdoors, and might increase in the years to come during summer and decrease during other seasons. On the other hand, building codes in some countries require a higher airtightness for new and retrofitted buildings. The building adaptation actions include the reinforcement of insulation, implementation of new materials and smart building technologies, and a more systematic and possibly longer use of air conditioning systems in summer compared to nowadays. Moreover, warmer winters, springs, and autumns may induce an increasing duration of open windows in these seasons, while the use of air conditioning in summer may reduce the duration of open windows.}, } @article {pmid36496757, year = {2022}, author = {Villero, D and Montori, A and Llorente, GA and Roura-Pascual, N and Geniez, P and Brotons, L}, title = {Global Warming and Long-Distance Spread of Invasive Discoglossus pictus (Amphibia, Alytidae): Conservation Implications for Protected Amphibians in the Iberian Peninsula.}, journal = {Animals : an open access journal from MDPI}, volume = {12}, number = {23}, pages = {}, doi = {10.3390/ani12233236}, pmid = {36496757}, issn = {2076-2615}, abstract = {Discoglossus pictus is a North African amphibian that was introduced in southern France early the 20th century and has spread south and north along the Mediterranean coastal plains up to 170 km. In order to disentangle the conservation implications of the spread of D. pictus for sensitive native species, we examined the impact of long-term climate warming on the basis of niche overlap analysis, taking into account abiotic factors. The study area covered the distribution ranges of all genus Discoglossus species in northwestern Africa (659,784 km[2]), Sicily (27,711 km[2]), the Iberian Peninsula, and southern France (699,546 km[2]). Niche overlap was measured from species environmental spaces extracted via PCA, including climate and relief environmental variables. Current and future climatic suitability for each species was assessed in an ensemble-forecasting framework of species distribution models, built using contemporary species data and climate predictors and projected to 2070's climatic conditions. Our results show a strong climatic niche overlap between D. pictus and native and endemic species in the Iberian Peninsula. In this context, all species will experience an increase in climatic suitability over the next decades, with the only exception being Pelodytes punctatus, which could be negatively affected by synergies between global warming and cohabitation with D. pictus.}, } @article {pmid36495889, year = {2022}, author = {Steenmeijer, MA and Rodrigues, JFD and Zijp, MC and Waaijers-van der Loop, SL}, title = {The environmental impact of the Dutch health-care sector beyond climate change: an input-output analysis.}, journal = {The Lancet. Planetary health}, volume = {6}, number = {12}, pages = {e949-e957}, doi = {10.1016/S2542-5196(22)00244-3}, pmid = {36495889}, issn = {2542-5196}, abstract = {BACKGROUND: Studies suggest that the Dutch health-care sector is responsible for 4-8% of the national carbon footprint, but the environmental footprint of this sector beyond climate change is not well understood. Therefore, we aimed to estimate the environmental footprint of the Dutch health-care sector for a range of environmental impact categories.

METHODS: In this input-output analysis, we used Exiobase (version 3), which contains data on global trade flows and their associated environmental impact, in combination with health-care expenditure data from Statistics Netherlands. We covered the impact categories: climate change, blue water consumption, abiotic material extraction, land use, and total waste generation. The calculated sectoral footprint was the sum of all impacts associated with the operational phase (direct impact) and impacts occurring in the value chain of purchased goods and services (indirect impact) given an expenditure vector. The expenditure vector was the sum of three elements of health-care expenditure: health-care services; pharmaceuticals and chemical products; and medical appliances. We calculated the impact share of health care on the total Dutch consumption footprint. We evaluated the contribution to the impact categories from the categories that composed the expenditure vector. We did a hotspot analysis in which the indirect impact was split according to where (sector, geography, or both) the impact physically occurred. These top-down results were complemented with bottom-up data on emissions from pressurised metered-dose inhalers, anaesthetic gases, and private travel.

FINDINGS: The health-care sector's share of the national footprint was highest for material extraction (13·0%), followed by blue water consumption (7·5%), climate change (7·3%), land use (7·2%), and waste generation (4·2%). Pharmaceuticals and other chemical products were the biggest contributors to all impacts. The sectors contributing to climate change were more evenly distributed than the sectors contributing to the other impact categories. The mining sector mostly contributed to material extraction and the agricultural sector contributed largely to blue water consumption and land use. The mining sector and the agricultural sector were the main contributors to waste generation. Climate change occurred mainly in the Netherlands, whereas the other impacts mainly occurred abroad.

INTERPRETATION: The Dutch health-care sector contributes to a broad set of environmental impact categories beyond climate change. Our results will help stakeholders involved in the health-care sector to pinpoint topics that need to be prioritised and to prevent trade-offs by addressing multiple environmental issues simultaneously.

FUNDING: Dutch Ministry of Health, Welfare and Sport.}, } @article {pmid36483507, year = {2022}, author = {Atwoli, L and Erhabor, GE and Gbakima, AA and Haileamlak, A and Kayembe Ntumba, JM and Kigera, J and Laybourn-Langton, L and Mash, R and Muhia, J and Mulaudzi, FM and Ofori-Adjei, D and Okonofua, F and Rashidian, A and El-Adawy, M and Sidibé, S and Snouber, A and Tumwine, J and Yassien Mohammad, S and Yonga, P and Zakhama, L and Zielinski, C}, title = {COP27 Climate Change Conference: Urgent action needed for Africa and the world.}, journal = {Health SA = SA Gesondheid}, volume = {27}, number = {}, pages = {2218}, doi = {10.4102/hsag.v27i0.2218}, pmid = {36483507}, issn = {2071-9736}, } @article {pmid36483320, year = {2022}, author = {Atwoli, L and Erhabor, GE and Gbakima, AA and Haileamlak, A and Ntumba, JK and Kigera, J and Laybourn-Langton, L and Mash, R and Muhia, J and Mulaudzi, FM and Ofori-Adjei, D and Okonofua, F and Rashidian, A and El-Adawy, M and Sidibé, S and Snouber, A and Tumwine, J and Yassien Mohammad, S and Yonga, P and Zakhama, L and Zielinski, C}, title = {COP27 Climate Change Conference: Urgent action needed for Africa and the world.}, journal = {African journal of laboratory medicine}, volume = {11}, number = {1}, pages = {2080}, doi = {10.4102/ajlm.v11i1.2080}, pmid = {36483320}, issn = {2225-2002}, } @article {pmid36482670, year = {2022}, author = {Barkin, JL and Philipsborn, RP and Curry, CL and Upadhyay, S and Geller, PA and Pardon, M and Dimmock, J and Bridges, CC and Sikes, CA and Kondracki, AJ and Buoli, M}, title = {Climate Change is an Emerging Threat to Perinatal Mental Health.}, journal = {Journal of the American Psychiatric Nurses Association}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {10783903221139831}, doi = {10.1177/10783903221139831}, pmid = {36482670}, issn = {1532-5725}, abstract = {OBJECTIVE: In this discussion, we build the case for why climate change is an emerging threat to perinatal mental health.

METHOD: A search of current literature on perinatal and maternal mental health and extreme weather events was conducted in PubMed/MEDLINE and Web of Science databases. Only articles focusing on maternal mental health were included in this narrative review.

RESULTS: The perinatal period represents a potentially challenging timeframe for women for several reasons. Necessary role adjustments (reprioritization), changes in one's ability to access pre-birth levels (and types) of social support, fluctuating hormones, changes in body shape, and possible complications during pregnancy, childbirth, or postpartum are just a few of the factors that can impact perinatal mental health. Trauma is also a risk factor for negative mood symptoms and can be experienced as the result of many different types of events, including exposure to extreme weather/natural disasters.

CONCLUSION: While the concepts of "eco-anxiety," "climate despair," and "climate anxiety" have garnered attention in the mainstream media, there is little to no discussion of how the climate crisis impacts maternal mental health. This is an important omission as the mother's mental health impacts the family unit as a whole.}, } @article {pmid36482280, year = {2022}, author = {Fradgley, NS and Bacon, J and Bentley, AR and Costa-Neto, G and Cottrell, A and Crossa, J and Cuevas, J and Kerton, M and Pope, E and Swarbreck, SM and Gardner, KA}, title = {Prediction of near-term climate change impacts on UK wheat quality and the potential for adaptation through plant breeding.}, journal = {Global change biology}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, doi = {10.1111/gcb.16552}, pmid = {36482280}, issn = {1365-2486}, abstract = {Wheat is a major crop worldwide, mainly cultivated for human consumption and animal feed. Grain quality is paramount in determining its value and downstream use. While we know that climate change threatens global crop yields, a better understanding of impacts on wheat end-use quality is also critical. Combining quantitative genetics with climate model outputs, we investigated UK-wide trends in genotypic adaptation for wheat quality traits. In our approach, we augmented genomic prediction models with environmental characterisation of field trials to predict trait values and climate effects in historical field trial data between 2001 and 2020. Addition of environmental covariates, such as temperature and rainfall, successfully enabled prediction of genotype by environment interactions (G×E), and increased prediction accuracy of most traits for new genotypes in new year cross validation. We then extended predictions from these models to much larger numbers of simulated environments using climate scenarios projected under Representative Concentration Pathways (RCP) 8.5 for 2050-2069. We found geographically varying climate change impacts on wheat quality due to contrasting associations between specific weather covariables and quality traits across the UK. Notably, negative impacts on quality traits were predicted in the East of the UK due to increased summer temperatures while the climate in the North and South-west may become more favourable with increased summer temperatures. Furthermore, by projecting 167,040 simulated future genotype - environment combinations, we found only limited potential for breeding to exploit predictable G×E to mitigate year-to-year environmental variability for most traits except Hagberg falling number. This suggests low adaptability of current UK wheat germplasm across future UK climates. More generally, approaches demonstrated here will be critical to enable adaptation of global crops to near-term climate change.}, } @article {pmid36481854, year = {2022}, author = {de Moura, FR and da Silva Júnior, FMR}, title = {2030 Agenda: discussion on Brazilian priorities facing air pollution and climate change challenges.}, journal = {Environmental science and pollution research international}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, pmid = {36481854}, issn = {1614-7499}, abstract = {The advance of human activities in a disorderly way has accelerated in recent decades, intensifying the environmental impacts directly linked to these practices. The atmosphere, essential for the maintenance of life, is increasingly saturated with pollutants, offering risks to practically all the inhabitants of the planet, a process that, in addition to causing illness and early mortality, is related to serious financial losses (including in the production of goods), dangerous temperature increase and severe natural disasters. Although this perception is not recent, the global initiative to control the different mechanisms that trigger the commitment of biodiversity and irreversible climate changes arising from pollution is still very incipient, given that global initiatives on the subject emerged just over 50 years ago. Brazil is a territory that centralizes many of these discussions, as it still faces both political and economic obstacles in achieving a sustainable growth model as it was agreed through the United Nations 2030 Agenda. Even though there is little time left for the completion of these goals, much remains to be done, and despite the fulfillment of this deadline, the works will certainly need to be extended for much longer until an effective reorientation of consciousness occurs. Scientific researches and discussions are fundamental tools to the understanding of issues still little explored in this field.}, } @article {pmid36481704, year = {2022}, author = {Zhang, J and Shi, K and Paerl, HW and Rühland, KM and Yuan, Y and Wang, R and Chen, J and Ge, M and Zheng, L and Zhang, Z and Qin, B and Liu, J and Smol, JP}, title = {Ancient DNA reveals potentially toxic cyanobacteria increasing with climate change.}, journal = {Water research}, volume = {229}, number = {}, pages = {119435}, doi = {10.1016/j.watres.2022.119435}, pmid = {36481704}, issn = {1879-2448}, abstract = {Cyanobacterial blooms in freshwater systems are a global threat to human and aquatic ecosystem health, exhibiting particularly harmful effects when toxin-producing taxa are present. While climatic change and nutrient over-enrichment control the global expansion of total cyanobacterial blooms, it remains unknown to what extent this expansion reflected cyanobacterial assemblage due to the scarcity of long-term monitoring data. Here we use high-throughput sequencing of sedimentary DNA to track ∼100 years of changes in cyanobacterial community in hyper-eutrophic Lake Taihu, China's third largest freshwater lake and the key water source for ∼30 million people. A steady increase in the abundance of Microcystis (as potential toxin producers) during the past thirty years was correlated with increasing temperatures and declining wind speeds, but not with temporal trends in lakewater nutrient concentrations, highlighting recent climate effects on potentially increasing toxin-producing taxa. The socio-environmental repercussions of these findings are worrisome as continued anthropogenic climate change may counteract nutrient amelioration efforts in this critical freshwater resource.}, } @article {pmid36480945, year = {2022}, author = {Abid, MA and Abid, MB}, title = {Climate change and the increased burden of dengue fever in Pakistan.}, journal = {The Lancet. Infectious diseases}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, doi = {10.1016/S1473-3099(22)00808-8}, pmid = {36480945}, issn = {1474-4457}, } @article {pmid36480087, year = {2022}, author = {Das, S and Mishra, AJ}, title = {Climate change and the Western Himalayan community: Exploring the local perspective through food choices.}, journal = {Ambio}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, pmid = {36480087}, issn = {1654-7209}, abstract = {The local belief systems are crucial for climate change adaptation. Even climate experts are unanimous about the fundamental association between local beliefs and climate change adaptation strategies. However, the local perspective is missing from the significant policy dialog platforms. The local beliefs can potentially serve as both objective and psychological refuge for local societies during climate-related emergencies. Similarly, only limited studies have acknowledged the significance of local food choices, providing a model for global responses to climate change. The objective of the study is (i) to explore the local community's insights and awareness of climate change and (ii) to assess the impact on local food choices affecting their food security in the face of climate change in the Western Himalayan Region, India. The study is based on 210 in-depth household interviews and surveys in 10 villages of Uttarakhand, India. The exploratory factor and thematic analysis results highlight the significance of local perception of climatic variabilities, food choices, and beliefs in climate change adaptation policies. Hence, the current study's outcomes emphasize on the integration and promotion of both scientific methods and local knowledge for inclusive climate change adaptation and food security policies in the Himalayan Region.}, } @article {pmid36479418, year = {2022}, author = {Atwoli, L and Erhabor, GE and Gbakima, AA and Haileamlak, A and Kayembe Ntumba, JM and Kigera, J and Laybourn-Langton, L and Mash, R and Muhia, J and Mulaudzi, FM and Ofori-Adjei, D and Okonofua, F and Rashidian, A and El-Adawy, M and Sidibé, S and Snouber, A and Tumwine, J and Yassien Mohammad, S and Yonga, P and Zakhama, L and Zielinski, C}, title = {COP27 Climate Change Conference: Urgent action needed for Africa and the world.}, journal = {Southern African journal of HIV medicine}, volume = {23}, number = {1}, pages = {1467}, doi = {10.4102/sajhivmed.v23i1.1467}, pmid = {36479418}, issn = {2078-6751}, } @article {pmid36478846, year = {2022}, author = {Ghaffari, A and Nasseri, M and Pasebani Someeh, A}, title = {Assessing the economic effects of drought using Positive Mathematical Planning model under climate change scenarios.}, journal = {Heliyon}, volume = {8}, number = {12}, pages = {e11941}, doi = {10.1016/j.heliyon.2022.e11941}, pmid = {36478846}, issn = {2405-8440}, abstract = {In recent decades, regions all around the world have experienced severe droughts adversely affecting their agricultural production. Climate change, along with limited access to water will alter future production and agricultural development. The purpose of this study is to provide a perspective for the future cultivation regime in the Divandarre region in the Sepidrood catchment in Iran, using historical climatic, agricultural, and economic information. Future precipitation values are determined for three climate scenarios, then downscaled and converted to pixel-based precipitation maps using the Moving Least Squares method. Future droughts are identified using the Standardized Precipitation Index at 3, 6, and 9-month intervals based on precipitation values and the relationship between different types of droughts (meteorological, agricultural and hydrological). We introduce a new coefficient, the water cost coefficient, derived from drought characteristics that captures the added irrigation cost in drought years because of increased water price. Using the Positive Mathematical Planning method and considering limited land and water, predicted future prices and costs based on a linear regression of supply-demand, and the annual water cost coefficient values, an agroeconomic model is built. After prediction of future price and cost based on historical data from 2005 to 2018, we run future scenarios based on various price and cost values to determine the optimal annual cultivation area for each crop from 2020 to 2040. All scenarios indicate a decline in cultivation area for all crops making agriculture less beneficial in the future. The cultivation regime moves away from more water-consuming products with less economic value (e.g. watermelon) toward less water-consuming, more expensive products (e.g. lentils). The findings of this model along with expert economic judgments help determine the economic effects of climate change on irrigation, farmers' decisions, and water policies, including water markets, and improving irrigation efficiency. Authorities and farmers could adapt to drought shocks and changes in the market while experiencing less revenue loss.}, } @article {pmid36478681, year = {2023}, author = {Nyiwul, L}, title = {Climate change adaptation innovation in the water sector in Africa: Dataset.}, journal = {Data in brief}, volume = {46}, number = {}, pages = {108782}, doi = {10.1016/j.dib.2022.108782}, pmid = {36478681}, issn = {2352-3409}, abstract = {The dataset covers the determinants of adaptation innovation in the water sector in Africa over the period 1990-2016. The data is collected from secondary sources; namely the World Bank, Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development databases and the University of Notre Dame's Global Adaptation Initiative. The data is focused on susceptibility to water stress caused by climate change and the public response in the form of technology development. The analysis performed on the data focused on the degree to which exposure to the risk of water insecurity is a motivating factor in the public response. In the analysis, an econometric model was specified for a relationship between a measure of water stress induced by climate change and adaptation innovation, along with a series of socio-economic and socio-political indicators as controls. Sustainable development practitioners, environmental and social scientists with research and teaching interests on Africa will find the dataset very useful. Sustainable development practitioners can use the data to chart simple trends and for other summative purposes. The data can also be used to make regional or geopolitical comparisons on the same subject of our analysis. Furthermore, with similar technology innovation data on other sectors exposed to climate change risks, comparisons of public responses can be undertaken to understand relative effectiveness of climate change adaptation responses. Crucially, the simple format of the data makes it a very convenient teaching tool in a statistics or econometrics class.}, } @article {pmid36477074, year = {2022}, author = {Leal Filho, W and Alam, GMM and Nagy, GJ and Rahman, MM and Roy, S and Wolf, F and Kovaleva, M and Saroar, M and Li, C}, title = {Climate change adaptation responses among riparian settlements: A case study from Bangladesh.}, journal = {PloS one}, volume = {17}, number = {12}, pages = {e0278605}, doi = {10.1371/journal.pone.0278605}, pmid = {36477074}, issn = {1932-6203}, abstract = {As transition areas between aquatic ecosystems and the adjacent terrestrial ones, riparian regions are highly exposed to coastal climate hazards. This article describes how climate change and extreme weather impact vulnerable riparian communities and settlements. The analysis is done by reviewing past research and empirical case studies from riparian rural communities of the impact zone of the Sundarbans in Bangladesh, the world's most extensive mangrove forest. The article discusses the climate-related impacts on households through a Severity Index of Vulnerability and assesses the adaptation responses they may pursue. The principal climate-related vulnerabilities and impacts due to increases in temperature, storm surges, sea flooding, and sea-level rise are seawater intrusion and riverbank erosion. Many households have adopted several autonomous reactive adaptation strategies rather than planned ones, to cope with these impacts. However, government organisations and NGOs provide less than optimal technical and financial support to households for planned and anticipatory adaptive responses. The main barriers to adaptation were the high cost of improved crop varieties, inadequate agricultural extension services, and a lack of knowledge on effective climate adaptation. The restoration of the mangrove ecosystem may increase its resilience and, among other things, make local communities less exposed. The article also presents some adaptation measures proper to reduce the climate-related vulnerability of riparian settlements.}, } @article {pmid36475262, year = {2022}, author = {Atwoli, L and Erhabor, GE and Gbakima, AA and Haileamlak, A and Ntumba, JK and Kigera, J and Laybourn-Langton, L and Mash, B and Muhia, J and Mulaudzi, FM and Ofori-Adjei, D and Okonofua, F and Rashidian, A and El-Adawy, M and Sidibé, S and Snouber, A and Tumwine, J and Yassien, MS and Yonga, P and Zakhama, L and Zielinski, C}, title = {COP27 Climate Change Conference: Urgent Action Needed for Africa and the World.}, journal = {Ethiopian journal of health sciences}, volume = {32}, number = {6}, pages = {1057-1060}, doi = {10.4314/ejhs.v32i6.1}, pmid = {36475262}, issn = {2413-7170}, } @article {pmid36474541, year = {2022}, author = {Mahmood, J and Guinto, RR}, title = {Impacts of Climate Change on Human Health: Emerging Evidence and Call to Action.}, journal = {The Malaysian journal of medical sciences : MJMS}, volume = {29}, number = {5}, pages = {1-4}, doi = {10.21315/mjms2022.29.5.1}, pmid = {36474541}, issn = {1394-195X}, } @article {pmid36474092, year = {2022}, author = {Londe, DW and Joshi, O and York, BC and Davis, CA and Loss, SR and Robertson, EP and Hovick, TJ}, title = {Climate Change and Wetlands in the Southern Great Plains: How Are Managers Dealing with an Uncertain Future?.}, journal = {Environmental management}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, pmid = {36474092}, issn = {1432-1009}, abstract = {Little guidance is available to assist wetland managers in developing climate adaptation plans. To facilitate development of recommendations for adaptation strategies, it is essential to first determine if or how wetland managers are addressing these challenges. We used an online survey to solicit feedback from wetland managers and biologists in the Southern Great Plains of North America to gain information on perceptions of wetland managers regarding climate change; assess how the effects of climate change are being addressed through management; and identify barriers to implementing climate change adaptation. The majority of wetland managers (63%) agreed they are currently experiencing effects of climate change in wetlands, and most respondents (76%) reported that changes in the timing of water availability throughout the year was the most likely impact. Managers reported using a diversity of approaches in managing for changing precipitation, with management of native and invasive plant species being the two most common practices. Lack of funding and personnel were the most commonly identified factors limiting manager's response to changing precipitation patterns. In addition, >50% of managers indicated uncertainty about the effects of climate change on wetlands as a barrier to management, which may relate to limited access to peer-reviewed science. While most of the management practices reported were short-term measures and may not reflect long-term adaptation for climate change, the fact that many managers are considering climate change in their management suggests that there is considerable opportunities to continue developing capacity for climate change adaptation in the region.}, } @article {pmid36473499, year = {2022}, author = {Bonnin, L and Tran, A and Herbreteau, V and Marcombe, S and Boyer, S and Mangeas, M and Menkes, C}, title = {Predicting the Effects of Climate Change on Dengue Vector Densities in Southeast Asia through Process-Based Modeling.}, journal = {Environmental health perspectives}, volume = {130}, number = {12}, pages = {127002}, doi = {10.1289/EHP11068}, pmid = {36473499}, issn = {1552-9924}, abstract = {BACKGROUND: Aedes aegypti and Ae. albopictus mosquitoes are major vectors for several human diseases of global importance, such as dengue and yellow fever. Their life cycles and hosted arboviruses are climate sensitive and thus expected to be impacted by climate change. Most studies investigating climate change impacts on Aedes at global or continental scales focused on their future global distribution changes, whereas a single study focused on its effects on Ae. aegypti densities regionally.

OBJECTIVES: A process-based approach was used to model densities of Ae. aegypti and Ae. albopictus and their potential evolution with climate change using a panel of nine CMIP6 climate models and climate scenarios ranging from strong to low mitigation measures at the Southeast Asian scale and for the next 80 y.

METHODS: The process-based model described, through a system of ordinary differential equations, the variations of mosquito densities in 10 compartments, corresponding to 10 different stages of mosquito life cycle, in response to temperature and precipitation variations. Local field data were used to validate model outputs.

RESULTS: We show that both species densities will globally increase due to future temperature increases. In Southeast Asia by the end of the century, Ae. aegypti densities are expected to increase from 25% with climate mitigation measures to 46% without; Ae. albopictus densities are expected to increase from 13%-21%, respectively. However, we find spatially contrasted responses at the seasonal scales with a significant decrease in Ae. albopictus densities in lowlands during summer in the future.

DISCUSSION: These results contrast with previous results, which brings new insight on the future impacts of climate change on Aedes densities. Major sources of uncertainties, such as mosquito model parametrization and climate model uncertainties, were addressed to explore the limits of such modeling. https://doi.org/10.1289/EHP11068.}, } @article {pmid36472741, year = {2022}, author = {Tasnim, Z and Saha, SM and Hossain, ME and Khan, MA}, title = {Perception of and adaptation to climate change: the case of wheat farmers in northwest Bangladesh.}, journal = {Environmental science and pollution research international}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, pmid = {36472741}, issn = {1614-7499}, abstract = {Climate change's impact on crop production is a global concern. A better understanding of farmers' perceptions of climate change and adaptation strategies will benefit farmers and policymakers in outlining an effective adaptation mechanism to climate change. Therefore, this study assessed wheat farmers' perceptions of climate change, identified major adaptation strategies, factors influencing adaptations, and barriers to effective adaptation by surveying 160 wheat farmers in northwest Bangladesh. The results revealed that farmers experienced more frequent droughts due to higher temperatures, decreased and irregular precipitation, reduced ground and surface water availability, and shorter winter seasons over the last two decades. Key adaptation strategies identified were more irrigation, switching to other crops, and changing fertilizer and insecticide usage. Multinomial logit model results indicate that farming experience, access to climate information and extension services, access to subsidies, farm size, family size, and electricity for irrigation were the significant factors influencing farmers' adaptation decisions. Limited access to climate information, inadequate knowledge of appropriate adaptation measures, and low price of wheat represented major adaptation barriers. The study recommends strengthening agricultural research and extension services to farmers, including education and training, to develop effective adaptation strategies to climate change.}, } @article {pmid36471841, year = {2022}, author = {Arifah, and Salman, D and Yassi, A and Bahsar-Demmallino, E}, title = {Climate change impacts and the rice farmers' responses at irrigated upstream and downstream in Indonesia.}, journal = {Heliyon}, volume = {8}, number = {12}, pages = {e11923}, pmid = {36471841}, issn = {2405-8440}, abstract = {The responses of farmers have become a concern in research on climate change and its adaptation in developing countries. Several analyses have been carried out on farmers' responses of rainfed or irrigated rice fields. However, there is no research on the adaptation strategy of farmers in the downstream part of irrigation, which limits the decision-making process. Despite the irrigation facilities, the downstream rice fields are more susceptible to drought because the opportunity to get water is very small, especially during a long dry season due to climate change. Therefore, this research aims to analyze and compare the farmers' knowledge, perceptions, and adaptation efforts in the downstream and upstream irrigation areas of the Bulukumba Regency, South Sulawesi Province, Indonesia. The grounded theory method was used when the data were collected iteratively which facilitate the process of forming new concepts. A total of 55 in-depth interviews were conducted with farmers using two languages, namely Bugis (local language) and Indonesian to easily understand the research questions. The basic theory as a finding from this study showed that the concept of climate change impacts for farmers in the downstream is different from farmers in the upstream area, in terms of causal conditions, action/reaction and consequences. Farmers in the downstream perceived that the causes of climate change impacts were water shortages and rising temperatures. Adaptation strategy were carried out through the use of local and non-local knowledge in order to reduce the vulnerability of farmers' livelihood systems. Meanwhile, farmers in upstream areas revealed that pest explosions and rising temperatures were the causal conditions caused by climate change. To deal with these impacts, farmers tend to use non-local knowledge such as chemical pesticides and pest-resistant seeds. Through this adaptation, farmers could reduce the problem of pest explosions. Based on the results, the adoption of an adaptive climate change impact management policy with a participatory approach was recommended.}, } @article {pmid36471796, year = {2023}, author = {Wanjala, G and Kusuma Astuti, P and Bagi, Z and Kichamu, N and Strausz, P and Kusza, S}, title = {A review on the potential effects of environmental and economic factors on sheep genetic diversity: Consequences of climate change.}, journal = {Saudi journal of biological sciences}, volume = {30}, number = {1}, pages = {103505}, pmid = {36471796}, issn = {1319-562X}, abstract = {Climate change has a significant effect on the productivity of livestock including milk, meat, and reproduction. This could be attributed to the internal diversion of energy resources towards adaptive mechanisms. Among the climate change variables, thermal stress seems to be the major limiting factor in animal agriculture. A better understanding of the effects of climate change-influenced ecological factors on the genetic diversity of livestock species is warranted. Sheep is an ideal livestock species to be used in investigating environmental adaptation due to its wide range of agroecological habitats, genetic and phenotypic variability. There is a heavy reliance on sheep genetic diversity for future animal protein security, but the implications of climate change on their genetic diversity receive less attention. Here, the potential environmental factors influencing natural selection in sheep populations are presented. We argue that prolonged exposure to these factors plays a major role in influencing the development of adaptation traits in indigenous sheep breeds, consequently leading to the alteration of genetic diversity at specific loci. The factors discussed include hot temperatures (heat stress), insufficient water, low quantity and quality of forage, and prevalence of parasites, pests, and diseases. In addition, genetic diversity, some signatures of selection for adaptation and economic angles of selection are also briefly discussed. A better understanding of environmental factors influencing the genetic diversity of sheep populations will inform breeding and management programs and may offer an opportunity for greater production efficiency with low input costs.}, } @article {pmid36470391, year = {2022}, author = {Zhao, Q and Huang, H and Costello, MJ and Chu, J}, title = {Climate change projections show shrinking deep-water ecosystems with implications for biodiversity and aquaculture in the Northwest Pacific.}, journal = {The Science of the total environment}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {160505}, doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2022.160505}, pmid = {36470391}, issn = {1879-1026}, abstract = {The increased availability of environmental data with depth deriving from remote-sensing-based datasets permits more comprehensive modelling of the distribution of marine ecosystems in space and time. This research tests the potential of such objective modelling of marine ecosystems in four dimensions, spatial and temporal, to provide projections of how climate change may affect biodiversity, including aquaculture. This approach could be replicated for any regional seas. The Bohai Sea, Yellow Sea, and East China Sea (BYECS) are marginal seas in the Northwest Pacific bounded by China, Korea, and Japan. Despite providing important ecological and economic services, their ecological conditions and ecosystems distribution have not yet been systematically mapped. This analysis used 13 marine environmental variables, measured on a three-dimensional and monthly basis during 1993-2019, to classify and map the BYECS region by k-means clustering using cosine similarity as distance function. There were 13 distinct areas identified that fit the definition of "ecosystems" that is, enduring regions demarcated by environmental characteristics. Of these 13 ecosystems, the Yellow Sea Cold Water (YSCW) Ecosystem is significant in relation to seasonal species composition and the newly developing deep-sea salmon caging aquaculture in the region. Projections of the potential size of this water mass under various climate-change scenarios based on analysis using the Non-Parametric Probabilistic Ecological Niche (NPPEN) model show that its volume may decrease 31 %-66 % in the future. Such a decrease would have impacts on the seasonal species' abundances in the BYECS marginal sea region and threaten the deep-sea cold-water salmon farming.}, } @article {pmid36470390, year = {2022}, author = {Ramezani, MR and Helfer, F and Yu, B}, title = {Individual and combined impacts of urbanization and climate change on catchment runoff in Southeast Queensland, Australia.}, journal = {The Science of the total environment}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {160528}, doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2022.160528}, pmid = {36470390}, issn = {1879-1026}, abstract = {Assessing the impacts of climate change and land-use change is of critical importance, particularly for urbanized catchments. In this study, a novel framework was used to examine and quantify these impacts on the runoff in six catchments in Southeast Queensland, Australia. For each catchment, temporal variations in impervious areas were derived from six satellite images using a sub-pixel classification technique and incorporated into the SIMHYD hydrological model. This model was satisfactorily calibrated and validated with daily runoff observations (0.63 ≤ Nash-Sutcliffe efficiency coefficient ≤ 0.94, percent bias ≤ ±18 %) and was used to produce baseline runoff for 1986-2005 in these six catchments. The projected population increase was used to predict future imperviousness based on the linear relationship between the two. The projected rainfall and evapotranspiration were derived from the ensemble means of the eight general circulation models. Catchment runoff was projected under two climate change scenarios (RCP4.5 and 8.5), three urbanization scenarios (low, medium, and high), and six combined scenarios for two future periods (2026-2045 and 2046-2065). Comparing with the baseline, it was found that (1) climate change alone would lead to a -3.8 % to -17.6 % reduction in runoff among the six catchments, for all scenarios and both future periods; (2) a 11.8 % to 78 % increase in runoff was projected under the three urbanization scenarios, and (3) a decrease in runoff due to climate change would moderate the increase in runoff caused by urbanization. For example, the combined effect would be a 54 % increase in runoff, with a -17.2 % decrease due to climate change and 78 % increase due to urbanization. Overall, runoff in the six catchments may be significantly affected by urban expansion. From this study, decision makers could gain a better understanding of the relative importance of the effects of climate and land-use change, which can be applied when developing future long-term water management plans at the catchment scale.}, } @article {pmid36469139, year = {2022}, author = {Barik, SK and Behera, MD and Shrotriya, S and Likhovskoi, V}, title = {Monitoring climate change impacts on agriculture and forests: trends and prospects.}, journal = {Environmental monitoring and assessment}, volume = {195}, number = {1}, pages = {174}, doi = {10.1007/s10661-022-10754-w}, pmid = {36469139}, issn = {1573-2959}, mesh = {*Climate Change ; *Environmental Monitoring ; Forests ; Agriculture ; }, } @article {pmid36468357, year = {2022}, author = {Isaacs, D and Kiang, K and Skinner, JR}, title = {Time to act on climate change.}, journal = {Journal of paediatrics and child health}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, doi = {10.1111/jpc.15793}, pmid = {36468357}, issn = {1440-1754}, } @article {pmid36468222, year = {2022}, author = {Wenda, C and Gaitán-Espitia, JD and Solano-Iguaran, JJ and Nakamura, A and Majcher, BM and Ashton, LA}, title = {Heat tolerance variation reveals vulnerability of tropical herbivore-parasitoid interactions to climate change.}, journal = {Ecology letters}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, doi = {10.1111/ele.14150}, pmid = {36468222}, issn = {1461-0248}, abstract = {Assessing the heat tolerance (CTmax) of organisms is central to understand the impact of climate change on biodiversity. While both environment and evolutionary history affect CTmax, it remains unclear how these factors and their interplay influence ecological interactions, communities and ecosystems under climate change. We collected and reared caterpillars and parasitoids from canopy and ground layers in different seasons in a tropical rainforest. We tested the CTmax and Thermal Safety Margins (TSM) of these food webs with implications for how species interactions could shift under climate change. We identified strong influence of phylogeny in herbivore-parasitoid community heat tolerance. The TSM of all insects were narrower in the canopy and parasitoids had lower heat tolerance compared to their hosts. Our CTmax-based simulation showed higher herbivore-parasitoid food web instability under climate change than previously assumed, highlighting the vulnerability of parasitoids and related herbivore control in tropical rainforests, particularly in the forest canopy.}, } @article {pmid36467460, year = {2022}, author = {Atwoli, L and Erhabor, GE and Gbakima, AA and Haileamlak, A and Kayembe Ntumba, JM and Kigera, J and Laybourn-Langton, L and Mash, R and Muhia, J and Mulaudzi, FM and Ofori-Adjei, D and Okonofua, F and Rashidian, A and Adawy, ME and Sidibé, S and Snouber, A and Tumwine, J and Yassien, MS and Yonga, P and Zakhama, L and Zielinski, C}, title = {COP27 Climate Change Conference: Urgent action needed for Africa and the world.}, journal = {EClinicalMedicine}, volume = {53}, number = {}, pages = {101721}, pmid = {36467460}, issn = {2589-5370}, } @article {pmid36466010, year = {2022}, author = {P Lama, A and Tatu, U}, title = {Climate change and infections: lessons learnt from recent floods in Pakistan.}, journal = {New microbes and new infections}, volume = {49-50}, number = {}, pages = {101052}, pmid = {36466010}, issn = {2052-2975}, } @article {pmid36465718, year = {2022}, author = {Wang, Y and Wang, H and Wang, P and Zhang, X and Zhang, Z and Zhong, Q and Ma, F and Yue, Q and Chen, WQ and Du, T and Liang, S}, title = {Cascading impacts of global metal mining on climate change and human health caused by COVID-19 pandemic.}, journal = {Resources, conservation, and recycling}, volume = {190}, number = {}, pages = {106800}, pmid = {36465718}, issn = {0921-3449}, abstract = {The coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic has significantly disrupted global metal mining and associated supply chains. Here we analyse the cascading effects of the metal mining disruption associated with the COVID-19 pandemic on the economy, climate change, and human health. We find that the pandemic reduced global metal mining by 10-20% in 2020. This reduction subsequently led to losses in global economic output of approximately 117 billion US dollars, reduced CO2 emissions by approximately 33 million tonnes (exceeding Hungary's emissions in 2015), and reduced human health damage by 78,192 disability-adjusted life years. In particular, copper and iron mining made the most significant contribution to these effects. China and rest-of-the-world America were the most affected. The cascading effects of the metal mining disruption associated with the pandemic on the economy, climate change, and human health should be simultaneously considered in designing green economic stimulus policies.}, } @article {pmid36464619, year = {2022}, author = {Inglis, SC and Ferguson, C and Eddington, R and McDonagh, J and Aldridge, CJ and Bardsley, K and Candelaria, D and Chen, YY and Clark, RA and Halcomb, E and Hendriks, JM and Hickman, LD and Wynne, R}, title = {Cardiovascular Nursing and Climate Change: A Call to Action From the CSANZ Cardiovascular Nursing Council.}, journal = {Heart, lung & circulation}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, doi = {10.1016/j.hlc.2022.10.007}, pmid = {36464619}, issn = {1444-2892}, abstract = {This Call to Action aims to provide key considerations for cardiovascular nursing, related to climate and environmental impacts. Strategies to optimise nursing preparation, immediate response and adaptation to climate emergencies are crucial to ensure those at greatest risk, including First Nations peoples, are protected from potentially avoidable harm. Professionals who manage climate consequences must also understand the impact of their care on the root cause of the problem.}, } @article {pmid36462488, year = {2022}, author = {Guo, H and Jiang, J and Li, Y and Long, X and Han, J}, title = {An aging giant at the center of global warming: Population dynamics and its effect on CO2 emissions in China.}, journal = {Journal of environmental management}, volume = {327}, number = {}, pages = {116906}, doi = {10.1016/j.jenvman.2022.116906}, pmid = {36462488}, issn = {1095-8630}, abstract = {Revealing the complex correlation between population aging and CO2, and projecting their future dynamics are fundamentally necessary to inform effective policies toward a low-carbon and sustainable development in China. Differing from the existing studies, this study highlighted a quantitative investigation on the impact of aging on CO2 emissions across the different stages of regional development in China through a STIRPAT model based on balanced provincial panel data from 1995 to 2019, and projected the demographic change and CO2 emissions till 2050 by employing cohort model and scenario analysis. It is found that CO2 emissions in China has witnessed a significant growth during 1995-2019, and will exhibit an inverted U-shaped growth till 2050 with its peak appears between 2030 and 2040. Statistically, every 1% growth of aging population will cause a 0.62% increase in CO2 emissions in China. However, a big regional difference was also detected as aging contributed to CO2 reduction in the eastern region, but stimulated CO2 emissions in the central and western regions. Policy implications for achieving a low-carbon and aging-oriented sustainable development may include the integration of aging into the decision-making in industrial structure upgrading and CO2 emission reduction at both national and region levels, the promotion of further transition to low-carbon consumption and green products in the eastern region, and strengthening the deep fusion of aging-oriented industries with local resource and environmental endowment in the central and western regions such as the development of eco-agriculture and green pension industries.}, } @article {pmid36462162, year = {2022}, author = {McGain, F}, title = {Climate change and child health.}, journal = {Journal of paediatrics and child health}, volume = {58}, number = {12}, pages = {2327-2328}, doi = {10.1111/jpc.16281}, pmid = {36462162}, issn = {1440-1754}, mesh = {Child ; Humans ; *Child Health ; *Climate Change ; }, } @article {pmid36461915, year = {2022}, author = {Temte, JL and Barrett, B and Erickson, R and Bell, C}, title = {Developing a research agenda on climate change and health in primary care.}, journal = {Family practice}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, doi = {10.1093/fampra/cmac130}, pmid = {36461915}, issn = {1460-2229}, } @article {pmid36461570, year = {2023}, author = {Qiu, J and Shen, Z and Xie, H}, title = {Drought impacts on hydrology and water quality under climate change.}, journal = {The Science of the total environment}, volume = {858}, number = {Pt 1}, pages = {159854}, doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2022.159854}, pmid = {36461570}, issn = {1879-1026}, mesh = {*Hydrology ; *Droughts ; Climate Change ; Water Quality ; Ecosystem ; Soil ; }, abstract = {The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) has predicted that droughts are projected to affect global hydrology and water quality in varying ways, resulting in a considerable challenge to water availability for society, environment, and ecosystems. This study employed the Soil and Water Assessment Tool to evaluate how drought affects hydrology and water quality in the Miyun Reservoir watershed, coupled with bias-corrected climate projections in the Representative Concentration Pathway 8.5 scenario, accommodating the intercoupling effects of precipitation shifts and rising temperatures. The standardized precipitation index (SPI), standardized runoff index (SRI), and standardized soil moisture index (SSWI) were used to characterize meteorological, hydrological, and agricultural droughts that occur in the different phases in the hydrological cycle. Climate change had the most significant impact on agricultural drought. SSWI were projected to considerably increase in intensity, frequency, and duration in most subbasins by up to 15 %, 55 %, and 45 %, respectively, and showed a strong correlation with meteorological and hydrological droughts (correlation coefficients r = 0.54, 0.57, and 0.60 with SPI for the baseline, near future and far future periods, and 0.91, 0.87, and 0.89 with SRI for the three periods, respectively). Hydrological components, sediment export, and nutrient loss were highly correlated with changes in drought indexes, with r ranging between -0.68 and 0.34 in the near future period and -0.62 and 0.53 in the far future period. Drought conditions of surface runoff and soil water dominated the changes in sediment export, and hydrological drought was the major cause for reduced nutrient loads. In addition to drought impacts, the synergistic effects of increasing precipitation and rising temperature led to a certain degree of increase in sediment and nutrient exports. The results of this study emphasize the need to enhance the resilience of watershed systems to the predicted increases in the intensity, frequency, and duration of droughts.}, } @article {pmid36461297, year = {2022}, author = {Koutsoumanis, KP and Misiou, OD and Kakagianni, MN}, title = {Climate change threatens the microbiological stability of non-refrigerated foods.}, journal = {Food research international (Ottawa, Ont.)}, volume = {162}, number = {Pt A}, pages = {111990}, doi = {10.1016/j.foodres.2022.111990}, pmid = {36461297}, issn = {1873-7145}, mesh = {*Climate Change ; *Global Warming ; Temperature ; Food Chain ; Fast Foods ; }, abstract = {Most studies on the impact of climate change on foods focus on the consequences to security and safety. In the present study we provide scientific evidence on an overlooked aspect of climate change related to the microbiological stability of foods. Most microbiologically stable processed foods are contaminated with spores of thermophilic spoilage bacteria which are highly heat-resistant and can survive thermal processing. Current temperatures during distribution and storage in temperate climates do not allow growth of thermophilic bacteria to levels that can cause spoilage, ensuring their microbiological stability. Our findings suggest that the latter limiting condition can be eliminated by global warming. By assessing different global warming scenarios for 38 European cities in a case study with canned milk, we show that failing to limit the increase of global mean surface temperature below 2 °C can lead to a very high risk of spoilage and subsequently cause a collapse of the shelf-stable food chain.}, } @article {pmid36460912, year = {2022}, author = {Thompson, B}, title = {Gaia Vince on how climate change will shape where people live.}, journal = {Nature}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, doi = {10.1038/d41586-022-04132-2}, pmid = {36460912}, issn = {1476-4687}, } @article {pmid36460891, year = {2022}, author = {Ding, J and Wang, Y and Wang, S and Mohsin, M}, title = {Correction to: Role of climate fund raising under fiscal balance on climate change mitigation: an analysis from Pareto optimality.}, journal = {Environmental science and pollution research international}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, doi = {10.1007/s11356-022-24284-y}, pmid = {36460891}, issn = {1614-7499}, } @article {pmid36460108, year = {2022}, author = {Ma, M and Wang, Q and Liu, R and Zhao, Y and Zhang, D}, title = {Effects of climate change and human activities on vegetation coverage change in northern China considering extreme climate and time-lag and -accumulation effects.}, journal = {The Science of the total environment}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {160527}, doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2022.160527}, pmid = {36460108}, issn = {1879-1026}, abstract = {Quantifying the contributions of climate change (CC) and human activities (HA) to vegetation change is crucial for making a sustainable vegetation restoration scheme. However, the effects of extreme climate and time-lag and -accumulation effects on vegetation are often ignored, thus underestimating the impact of CC on vegetation change. In this study, the spatiotemporal variation of fractional vegetation cover (FVC) from 2000 to 2019 in northern China (NC) as well as the time-lag and -accumulation effects of 15 monthly climatic indices, including extreme indices, on the FVC, were analyzed. Subsequently, a modified residual analysis considering the influence of extreme climate and time-lag and -accumulation effects was proposed and used to attribute the change in the FVC contributed by CC and HA. Given the multicollinearity of climatic variables, partial least squares regression was used to construct the multiple linear regression between climatic indices and the FVC. The results show that: (1) the annual FVC significantly increased at a rate of 0.0268/10a from 2000 to 2019 in all vegetated areas of NC. Spatially, the annual FVC increased in most vegetated areas (∼81.6 %) of NC, and the increase was significant in ∼54.6 % of the areas; (2) except for the temperature duration (DTR), climatic indices had no significant time-lag effects but significant time-accumulation effects on the FVC change. The DTR had both significant time-lag and -accumulation effects on the FVC change. Except for potential evapotranspiration and DTR, the main temporal effects of climatic indices on the FVC were a 0-month lag and 1-2-month accumulation; and (3) the contributions of CC and HA to FVC change were 0.0081/10a and 0.0187/10a in NC, respectively, accounting for 30.2 % and 69.8 %, respectively. HA dominated the increase in the FVC in most provinces of NC, except for the Qinghai and Neimenggu provinces.}, } @article {pmid36459482, year = {2022}, author = {Fu, YH and Geng, X and Chen, S and Wu, H and Hao, F and Zhang, X and Wu, Z and Zhang, J and Tang, J and Vitasse, Y and Zohner, CM and Janssens, I and Stenseth, NC and Peñuelas, J}, title = {Global warming is increasing the discrepancy between green (actual) and thermal (potential) seasons of temperate trees.}, journal = {Global change biology}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, doi = {10.1111/gcb.16545}, pmid = {36459482}, issn = {1365-2486}, abstract = {Over the past decades, global warming has led to a lengthening of the time window during which temperatures remain favorable for carbon assimilation and tree growth, resulting in a lengthening of the green season. The extent to which forest green seasons have tracked the lengthening of this favorable period under climate warming, however, has not been quantified to date. Here, we used remote sensing data and long-term ground observations of leaf-out and coloration for six dominant species of European trees at 1773 sites, for a total of 6060 species-site combinations, during 1980-2016 and found that actual green season extensions (GS: 3.1 ± 0.1 d decade[-1]) lag four times behind extensions of the potential thermal season (TS: 12.6 ± 0.1 d decade[-1]). Similar but less pronounced differences were obtained using satellite-derived vegetation phenology observations, i.e., a lengthening of 4.4 ± 0.13 d decade[-1] and 7.5 ± 0.13 d decade[-1] for GS and TS, respectively. This difference was mainly driven by the larger advance in the onset of the thermal season compared to the actual advance of leaf-out dates (spring mismatch: 7.2 ± 0.1 d decade[-1]), but to a less extents caused by a phenological mismatch between GS and TS in autumn (2.4 ± 0.1 d decade[-1]). Our results showed that forest trees do not linearly track the new thermal window extension, indicating more complex interactions between winter and spring temperatures and photoperiod and a justification of demonstrating that using more sophisticated models that include the influence of chilling and photoperiod are needed to accurately predict spring phenological changes under warmer climate. They urge caution if such mechanis