@article {pmid40112255,
year = {2025},
author = {Kerth, G and Wolf, JM},
title = {In-situ responses of temperate-zone bats to climate change.},
journal = {Annals of the New York Academy of Sciences},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1111/nyas.15317},
pmid = {40112255},
issn = {1749-6632},
abstract = {There is growing evidence that human-induced climate change poses a major threat to bats. As climate change progresses, we can only hope to mitigate its negative effects on bat populations by gaining a more comprehensive understanding of the complex interactions of all the factors involved. Drawing on recent evidence, largely from long-term field studies of individually marked bats, we discuss the multiple impacts-positive and negative-of climate change on temperate heterothermic bats and their responses to climate change in situ. For example, there is increasing evidence that warmer summers and milder winters are leading to changes in the seasonal phenology of bats, which in turn may lead to species-specific changes in demography, morphology, physiology, food availability, and roost use. We also highlight open research questions on the responses of bats to climate change. This includes better data on population trends and the underlying direct and indirect climate-related causes for changes in mortality and reproductive success. In order to assess the long-term impacts of climate change on bats, more information is needed about the relative importance of phenotypic plasticity and evolutionary adaptation in the responses of bats to climate change.},
}
@article {pmid40112232,
year = {2025},
author = {Sun, BJ and Lu, HL and Cheng, KM and Liu, WL and Han, XZ and Cui, LX and Li, XH and Li, SR and Hao, X and Li, F and Wu, DY and Li, T and Zhang, YP and Wang, JC and Liu, P and Du, WG},
title = {The Semi-Natural Climate Chambers across Latitudes: A Broadly Applicable Husbandry and Experimental System for Terrestrial Ectotherms under Climate Change.},
journal = {Advanced science (Weinheim, Baden-Wurttemberg, Germany)},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {e2414185},
doi = {10.1002/advs.202414185},
pmid = {40112232},
issn = {2198-3844},
support = {2022YFF0802300//National Key Research Development Program of China/ ; 31720103904//National Natural Science Foundation of China/ ; 32271572//National Natural Science Foundation of China/ ; 32071511//National Natural Science Foundation of China/ ; ZDYF2023RDYL01//Hainan Province Science and Technology Special Fund/ ; KY-24ZK02//Hainan Institute of National Park/ ; 2024IOZ0107//Initiative Scientific Research Program, Institute of Zoology, CAS/ ; Y2023021//Youth Innovation Promotion Association of the Chinese Academy of Sciences/ ; },
abstract = {With limited resources and efforts, assessing species' vulnerabilities across various geographic regions before the conservation practice is essential for biodiversity conservation in the context of climate change. One pressing challenge has been establishing natural temperature-manipulated research systems across latitudes. To address this challenge, an innovative infrastructure is developed named the semi-natural climate chambers across latitudes (SCCAL), consisting of semi-natural climate chambers at three latitudes, spanning 27° and 3393 km from tropical to temperate regions. Each latitude features eight medium-sized patches for temperature manipulation, organisms rearing, and ecological experiments. Independent of external water and electricity supplies, the SCCAL allows to simulate thermal environments under different climate change scenarios with natural soil moisture. Ecological experiments with Grass lizards successfully are conducted, demonstrating that the SCCAL effectively supports species rearing, responses determining, and the vulnerability assessing. The widespread adoption or development of similar infrastructures is encouraged, which can facilitate the assessment of latitudinal animal vulnerabilities under climate change.},
}
@article {pmid40111312,
year = {2025},
author = {Levinson, W and Chang, I and Ward, S},
title = {Minimizing the Effects of Surgical Care on Climate Change.},
journal = {JAMA},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1001/jama.2025.0883},
pmid = {40111312},
issn = {1538-3598},
}
@article {pmid40110622,
year = {2025},
author = {Miroshnyk, N and Grabovska, T and Roubík, H},
title = {The spread of the invasive species Reynoutria japonica Houtt. will both expand and contract with climate change: results of climate modelling for 14 European countries.},
journal = {Pest management science},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1002/ps.8732},
pmid = {40110622},
issn = {1526-4998},
support = {//The Research Institute for Sustainability (RIFS) Potsdam, Germany/ ; },
abstract = {BACKGROUND: The study of invasive plant species distribution involves changes in their ranges and ecological niches under the projected global temperature increase until 2100. However, climate modeling of habitat suitability for Reynoutria japonica in Europe remains limited, hindering risk assessment and effective management of its spread. We used the MaxEnt model to assess the potential distribution of R. japonica in 14 European countries.<br><br>RESULTS: It was found that the range of the taxon will expand into northern regions by 13.6% or 17.0%, depending on the scenario. However, range contraction in southern and central regions is expected to reach 26%. As a result, by 2100, a slight overall reduction in range (by 9-13%) is projected due to the decrease in distribution areas in southern parts of Europe, where maximum air temperatures will rise. Temperature variability throughout the year and precipitation during the warmest quarter are limiting factors for the spread. The minimum temperature of the growing season will influence distribution projections for 2060, whereas under current climate conditions, this parameter does not have a limiting effect. A general framework for controlling invasions of Reynoutria Houtt. taxa has been developed for both national and international levels.<br><br>CONCLUSION: The study identified the dynamics of the invasive species' spread in Europe in relation to global climate change, assessed the risks of colonization in new areas, and provided tools for regulation and management to improve the prediction of potential distribution. &#xa9; 2025 The Author(s). Pest Management Science published by John Wiley &amp; Sons Ltd on behalf of Society of Chemical Industry.},
}
@article {pmid40109392,
year = {2025},
author = {Abir, M and Vardavas, R and Tariq, ZH and Hoch, E and Lawson, E and Cortner, S},
title = {Impact of Climate Change on Health and Drug Demand.},
journal = {Rand health quarterly},
volume = {12},
number = {2},
pages = {13},
pmid = {40109392},
issn = {2162-8254},
abstract = {It is anticipated that extreme weather events due to climate change will increase the prevalence of a number of acute and chronic diseases. As a result, the demand for drugs to prevent or treat those conditions is likely to increase. If the anticipated increase in demand for these drugs is not planned for, already strained medical supply chains will be further strained, resulting in poor health outcomes among affected patient populations and additional costs to health systems. The authors of this study estimated how the anticipated effects of climate change on the prevalence of a sample of four chronic conditions-cardiovascular disease (CVD), asthma, end-stage renal disease (ESRD), and Alzheimer's disease-will affect demand for the drugs needed to treat them (metoprolol, albuterol, heparin, and donepezil, respectively). To generate these estimates, the authors conducted an environmental scan of the peer-reviewed and gray literature and developed a medical condition-specific systems dynamics model. The model can help inform policies for ensuring drug supply under various climate scenarios.},
}
@article {pmid40108348,
year = {2025},
author = {Nguyen, TT and Hayashi, T and Iwayama, H and Ishikawa, K},
title = {Valence fragmentation dynamics of a promising low global warming etching gas CF3CHCF2.},
journal = {Scientific reports},
volume = {15},
number = {1},
pages = {9507},
doi = {10.1038/s41598-025-94119-6},
pmid = {40108348},
issn = {2045-2322},
support = {21H01073//JSPS-KAKENHI/ ; 21H01073//JSPS-KAKENHI/ ; JPMJAP2321//JST ASPIRE/ ; JPMJAP2321//JST ASPIRE/ ; },
abstract = {C3HF5 (CF3CHCF2, KSG14), a promising low global warming potential (GWP < 1) alternative to traditional perfluorocarbon etching gases for advanced integrated circuit manufacturing, particularly for high-aspect-ratio SiO2/SiN stacked layers in 3D flash memory. This study investigates the dissociative photoionization dynamics of C3HF5 across 10.0-26.0 eV. Ion yield curves and breakdown diagrams reveal that C3HF5 primarily fragments into C3HF5[+], C3F5[+], C3HF4[+], C3F4[+], C2F3[+], and CF3[+] ions. Appearance Energies of these fragments, determined from the ion yield curves, indicate fragmentation pathways at low electronic transitions. These findings underscore C3HF5's potential as an environmentally friendly etching gas with excellent performance characteristics.},
}
@article {pmid40106997,
year = {2025},
author = {Trabelsi, E},
title = {Sustainable tourism for climate change and environmental sustainability in Tunisia: Evidence from a novel measure, nonlinear modeling, and wavelet coherence.},
journal = {Journal of environmental management},
volume = {380},
number = {},
pages = {124991},
doi = {10.1016/j.jenvman.2025.124991},
pmid = {40106997},
issn = {1095-8630},
abstract = {This study examines the asymmetric impact of international tourism on CO2 emissions and environmental sustainability in Tunisia. Using the Nonlinear Autoregressive Distributed Lag (NARDL) model within a Stochastic Impacts by Regression on Population, Affluence, and Technology (STIRPAT) framework, we construct a composite index via Principal Component Analysis (PCA). Robustness checks include Fully Modified Ordinary Least Squares (FMOLS), Bias-corrected Wavelet coherence, and asymmetric causality analysis through Vector Autoregression (VAR). Findings reveal that tourism traffic asymmetrically affects environmental sustainability, except for carbon emissions, even under nonlinear Granger causality analysis. Trade openness also exerts asymmetric effects, supporting the Pollution Haven hypothesis. Policy recommendations highlight the need for smart strategies such as mobile applications and taxation to track tourism-related carbon footprints, foster youth-led tourism businesses, address brain drain, and advance a circular economy. Sustainable tourism, alongside key structural factors, plays a vital role in shaping long-term environmental quality. Strategic agricultural development, improved governance, and the efficient use of renewable energy are crucial. Enhancing energy security, reducing fossil fuel dependence, and promoting green technology investments are necessary steps. This study contributes uniquely by compiling and updating a dataset based on six environmental criteria-air quality, energy management, biodiversity, health, population pressure, and water resources-while employing advanced econometric techniques.},
}
@article {pmid40106459,
year = {2025},
author = {Gil-Clavel, S and Wagenblast, T and Filatova, T},
title = {Incremental and transformational climate change adaptation factors in agriculture worldwide: A comparative analysis using natural language processing.},
journal = {PloS one},
volume = {20},
number = {3},
pages = {e0318784},
pmid = {40106459},
issn = {1932-6203},
mesh = {*Climate Change ; *Agriculture ; Humans ; *Natural Language Processing ; Farmers/psychology ; },
abstract = {Climate change is projected to adversely affect agriculture worldwide. This requires farmers to adapt incrementally already early in the twenty-first century, and to pursue transformational adaptation to endure future climate-induced damages. Many articles discuss the underlying mechanisms of farmers' adaptation to climate change using quantitative, qualitative, and mixed methods. However, only the former is typically included in quantitative metanalysis of empirical evidence on adaptation. This omits the vast body of knowledge from qualitative research. We address this gap by performing a comparative analysis of factors associated with farmers' climate change adaptation in both quantitative and qualitative literature using Natural Language Processing and generalized linear models. By retrieving publications from Scopus, we derive a database with metadata and associations from both quantitative and qualitative findings, focusing on climate change adaptation of farmers. We use the derived data as input for generalized linear models to analyze whether reported factors behind farmers' decisions differ by type of adaptation (incremental vs. transformational) and across different global regions. Our results show that factors related to adaptive capacity and access to information and technology are more likely to be associated with transformational adaptation than with incremental adaptation. Regarding world regions, access to finance/income and infrastructure are uneven, with farmers in high-income countries having an advantage, whereas farmers in low- and middle-income countries require these the most for effective adaptation to climate change.},
}
@article {pmid40106423,
year = {2025},
author = {Bebeley, JF and Tofa, AI and Kamara, AY and Jibrin, JM and Solomon, R and Adeleke, MA and Omoigui, LO and Eseigbe, OB and Peter-Jerome, H and Ademulegun, TD},
title = {Modelling the potential impact of climate change on the productivity of soybean in the Nigeria Savannas.},
journal = {PloS one},
volume = {20},
number = {3},
pages = {e0313786},
pmid = {40106423},
issn = {1932-6203},
mesh = {*Climate Change ; *Glycine max/growth &amp; development ; Nigeria ; Grassland ; Temperature ; Seasons ; Crops, Agricultural/growth &amp; development ; Rain ; },
abstract = {A well-calibrated and evaluated GROPGRO module of the Decision Support System for Agro-technological Transfer (DSSAT) was used to simulate productivity of soybean in northern Nigeria under climate change. Both historical (1990-2019) and projected climate scenarios from 5 general circulation models (GCMs) under two representative concentration pathways (RCP 4.5 and RCP 8.5) in the mid-century (2040-2069) and end of the century (2070-2099) periods were used. Depending on climate scenario, the minimum temperature is expected to rise by 1.7-4.4oC at Kano in the Sudan savanna (SS) agroecological zone (AEZ) and 1.4-4.0oC at Zaria in the northern Guinea savanna (NGS) AEZ, while maximum temperatures are projected to increase by 1.7-4.1oC in the SS and 1.3-3.6oC in the NGS. Seasonal average rainfall will increase by 4.8-14.5% in the SS and decrease by 2.6-3.8% in the NGS, relative to the baseline climate. The model predicted delaying trends for days to flowering and maturity for both varieties in all climate scenarios in the two AEZs. Despite the delay in flowering and increase in crop cycle length, climate change will result in grain yield reduction in most of the future scenarios. Across location, variety and time slice, the grain yield will decline by between 8.4 and 23.6% under RCP4.5 scenario, with much higher decline by between 28.7 and 51.4% under RCP 8.5 scenario. However, using the early maturing variety can reduce the adverse effects of climate change on grain yield. On average, the yield of the early-maturing TGX1835-10E is predicted to be 15.2% higher under RCP4.5 scenario and up to 21.7% under RCP8.5 than that of the medium-maturing TGX1951-3F for both centuries in the SS AEZ. In the NGS, the average yield of TGX1835-10E is predicted to be 9.0% and 7.5% higher than that of TGX1951-3F under RCP4.5 and RCP8.5 scenarios, respectively. Using early-maturing soybean varieties is a key management strategy to boost the resilience of soybean production in Nigeria's savannas under climate change conditions.},
}
@article {pmid40104966,
year = {2025},
author = {Sames, KM},
title = {Impact of climate change on winter occupations in Minnesota.},
journal = {Work (Reading, Mass.)},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {10519815251319223},
doi = {10.1177/10519815251319223},
pmid = {40104966},
issn = {1875-9270},
abstract = {BackgroundClimate change impacts everyone, but the warmer and snow starved winter of 2023-2024 in Minnesota has had devastating impacts on people all over the state. It severely limited participation in typical winter outdoor recreational and leisure activities and resulted in unemployment or underemployment of thousands of Minnesotans.ObjectiveThe aim of this article is to draw attention to the direct impact climate change has on human occupations and suggest ways that occupational therapy practitioners and others can contribute to efforts to mitigate the effects of climate change.MethodsThe author reviewed of publicly available data, news stories, and had conversations with people directly affected by the winter that was unusually warm and dry. This information was then synthesized into this article.ResultsIn Minnesota, the climate in winters is changing faster than in summers. The lack of snow and ice, directly resulted in unemployment or underemployment of thousands of Minnesotans. It cost businesses, clubs, and communities untold dollars in lost revenue. Further, thousands of Minnesotans lost opportunities to ski, skate, snowmobile, ice fish, snowshoe, dogsled, and engage in many other outdoor activities.ConclusionEngagement in outdoor activities is an important part of life in Minnesota. When climate change interferes with these outdoor activities, it is cause for concern. It impacts paid work, volunteer work, recreation, and leisure. This is of particular concern to occupational therapy practitioners. More must be done to reduce the human causes of climate change.},
}
@article {pmid40102427,
year = {2025},
author = {Li, G and Törnqvist, TE and Dangendorf, S},
title = {Author Correction: Real-world time-travel experiment shows ecosystem collapse due to anthropogenic climate change.},
journal = {Nature communications},
volume = {16},
number = {1},
pages = {2661},
doi = {10.1038/s41467-025-57833-3},
pmid = {40102427},
issn = {2041-1723},
}
@article {pmid40102021,
year = {2025},
author = {Colozza, D and Guo, I and Sukotjo, SW and Padmita, AC and Galera, RG and Sulastri, E and Wikanestri, I and Ndiaye, M},
title = {The impact of climate change on child nutrition in Indonesia: a conceptual framework and scoping review of the available evidence.},
journal = {BMJ paediatrics open},
volume = {9},
number = {1},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1136/bmjpo-2024-002980},
pmid = {40102021},
issn = {2399-9772},
mesh = {Humans ; Indonesia ; *Climate Change ; *Child Nutrition Disorders/epidemiology ; Child ; Child, Preschool ; Nutritional Status ; },
abstract = {BACKGROUND: Climate change is expected to significantly impact child nutrition, worsening global health inequities. Indonesia, a country highly vulnerable to climate change, also faces substantial child malnutrition challenges. However, comprehensive knowledge on climate change's impacts on child nutrition in Indonesia is limited. This study addresses this gap through a scoping review of the scientific evidence on the effects of climate change on child nutrition in Indonesia.<br><br>METHODS: We developed a conceptual framework based on global literature to guide our systematic search, linking climate change to child nutrition and its determinants in Indonesia. Systematic searches were conducted in English and Indonesian on Scopus, Web of Science and PubMed, supplemented by Google Scholar and citation screening. We included peer-reviewed, Scopus-indexed studies focused on Indonesia, examining either direct or indirect impacts of climate change on child nutrition. A narrative synthesis was performed, structured around outcomes identified in our framework: (1) nutrition-associated conditions, (2) diets and disease, (3) social dynamics and (4) food system shocks.<br><br>RESULTS: From 3025 records, 134 studies met the inclusion criteria. Studies were either multicountry including Indonesia (23%, n=31), Indonesia-specific across multiple regions (26%, n=35) or region-specific, mainly focused on Java (22%, n=29), Sumatra (11%, n=14), Kalimantan (7%, n=9) and Sulawesi (7%, n=9). Other regions were under-represented (5%, n=7). Most studies used quantitative methods (87%, n=116). Few studies assessed direct links between climate change and nutritional outcomes (n=5), food security or dietary quality (n=7); more focused on indirect pathways such as disease (n=49), social dynamics (n=18) and food system disruptions (n=55).<br><br>CONCLUSIONS: Evidence suggests significant impacts of climate change on child nutrition in Indonesia, highlighting the need for urgent action. Further localised studies that consider contextual factors, and actions focused on strengthening health and nutrition systems, are critical, especially in regions most vulnerable to both climate change and child malnutrition.},
}
@article {pmid40101618,
year = {2025},
author = {Harmon O'Driscoll, J and Healy, MG and Siggins, A and McGinley, J and O'Brien, E and Wang, J and Holloway, P and Mellander, PE and Morrison, L and Scannell, S and Ryan, PC},
title = {Quantifying the influence of climate change on pesticide risks in drinking water.},
journal = {The Science of the total environment},
volume = {972},
number = {},
pages = {179090},
doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2025.179090},
pmid = {40101618},
issn = {1879-1026},
abstract = {Climate change can influence pesticide contamination and resulting human health risks due by altering weather conditions that drive pesticide fate and transport. However limited research has examined these effects, leaving regulatory frameworks and adaptation strategies unable to address future pesticide risks. This study develops a novel probabilistic model to quantify climate change impacts on pesticide-related human health risks under two different climate scenarios, using study locations in the north-east and south-west of Ireland. Results indicate that pesticide concentrations in drinking water are projected to exceed legal limits more frequently, and by greater amounts, under all climate scenarios, with associated health risks increasing by an average of 18 % under RCP 4.5 (2050) and 38 % under RCP8.5 (2100). The model results also indicate significant regional variation in health risk, with risk 48 % higher in the south-west than the north-east under baseline conditions. Climate change effects intensify these regional variances with risk up to 70 % higher under RCP4.5 (2050), and 85 % higher under RCP8.5 (2100). Despite these increases, overall pesticide human health risks are likely to remain low in Ireland under future climates. This study presents a probabilistic framework that may be applied internationally to quantify the impact of climate change on human health risk at a local-scale and may be adapted for different site conditions and climate projections to suit users' needs. This approach can inform future pesticide management programmes by identifying vulnerable areas and key pesticides under changing climate conditions, emphasizing the importance of incorporating climate change into pesticide risk mitigation and public health strategies.},
}
@article {pmid40101495,
year = {2025},
author = {Besarra, I and Opdyke, A and Mendoza, JE and Delmendo, PA and Santiago, J and Evangelista, DJ and Francisco A Lagmay, AM},
title = {The cost of flooding on housing under climate change in the Philippines: Examining projected damage at the local scale.},
journal = {Journal of environmental management},
volume = {380},
number = {},
pages = {124966},
doi = {10.1016/j.jenvman.2025.124966},
pmid = {40101495},
issn = {1095-8630},
abstract = {While the Philippines has made significant strides in proactive disaster risk reduction measures, current planning actions are undertaken primarily based on historical flood risk. There are gaps in understanding how the escalating impacts of climate change will alter flood dynamics. This study examines shifting local flood risk patterns in the Municipality of Carigara in Leyte. We quantify probabilistic flood damage on residential structures for early, mid-, and late-term flood scenarios under RCP4.5 and RCP8.5 pathways. By utilising localised housing vulnerability functions, we assess risk trends at a household level, considering concrete, light material, and elevated light material housing typologies. Our results indicate a 3 % decrease in future flood damages to residential structures under RCP 4.5 and a 34 % decrease in damages under RCP 8.5 by 2100 attributable to climate change for 100-year flood events. These shifts highlight the nuances of regional changes in flood damages over the next century. The findings provide insights into how localised climate-risk assessments for municipalities might be established as entry points to inform climate change policies and projects. Through established mechanisms such as Local Disaster Risk Reduction Management Funds (LDRRMF) in the Philippines, we propose methods of climate-informed decision-making for local government units to minimise damage for future climate scenarios.},
}
@article {pmid40101489,
year = {2025},
author = {Chen, W and Hu, S and Liu, Y},
title = {Synergistic policy effects of digitization in reducing air pollution and addressing climate change in China.},
journal = {Journal of environmental management},
volume = {380},
number = {},
pages = {124730},
doi = {10.1016/j.jenvman.2025.124730},
pmid = {40101489},
issn = {1095-8630},
abstract = {Given the increasing constraints of climate change and air pollution on economic growth, constructing a comprehensive policy system that promotes the coordinated development of pollution reduction, carbon mitigation, and economic growth has become the key to resolving current contradictions. However, the synergistic effects of the policy combination between digitalization, pollution reduction and carbon mitigation remain insufficiently evaluated. Based on panel data from 239 Chinese cities spanning 2014 to 2024, this study employs a fixed effects model to comprehensively analyze the effects of atmospheric, climate, and digital policy combinations from multiple perspectives. The results indicate that the synergistic effects of policy combinations surpass those of single policies. In the case of single policies, they demonstrate synergy while effectively achieving policy goals. Regarding policy interactions, the interplay between two policies entails both complementary and substitution effects. When considering policy combinations, an appropriate number of policies can maximize the overall policy effect, while excessive combinations may trigger substitution effects between policies. From the perspective of policy actors, collaborative efforts among policy actors strengthen the synergistic effects of policies, though an increasing number of policy actors does not necessarily enhance the synergy. This study provides theoretical references for designing collaborative policy mechanisms and establishing a collaborative development policy network system.},
}
@article {pmid40101480,
year = {2025},
author = {Li, H and Zhang, H and Feng, Z and Zhao, J and Chen, H and Guo, X and Wang, T and Liu, Y},
title = {Climate change influences on vegetation photosynthesis in the Northern Hemisphere.},
journal = {Journal of environmental management},
volume = {380},
number = {},
pages = {124976},
doi = {10.1016/j.jenvman.2025.124976},
pmid = {40101480},
issn = {1095-8630},
abstract = {Changes in ecosystem productivity affect terrestrial carbon sequestration. In previous research on the effects of climate change, it has been determined that prolonged growing season length (LOS) increases vegetation productivity in ecosystems. In addition to the duration of vegetation growth, the intensity of photosynthesis is another factor influencing the annual accumulated vegetation productivity. Nevertheless, the impact of climate change on productivity through photosynthetic intensity of vegetation remains uncertain. Here, we utilized the photosynthetic phenology extracted from solar-induced chlorophyll fluorescence (SIF) to investigate the influence of climate change on the annual peak value of vegetation photosynthesis (SIFmax), as well as the contribution of SIFmax to annual accumulated gross primary productivity (GPPann) in the Northern Hemisphere (>30° N). Furthermore, the influence of changes in LOS and SIFmax on GPPann were compared. The results showed that vegetation SIFmax increased in 73.0% of the areas, and that different climatic factors (radiation, precipitation and temperature), and the advanced start of the growing season (SOS) contributed to an increase in SIFmax. GPPann was more sensitive to the peak of photosynthesis than LOS, with SIFmax being the dominant factor affecting GPPann in 39.9% of the study area, compared to 13.7% of the area dominated by LOS. Our results demonstrated that climate change increases GPPann primarily by increasing SIFmax rather than by extending LOS. While temperature was the largest contributor to GPPann among all climate factors, precipitation and radiation can also have an obvious effect on GPPann through SIFmax. Our study highlights the important mediating role of peak photosynthesis in the influence of climatic factors on the annual accumulated productivity of vegetation. The results provide implications for understanding the characteristics of vegetation response to climate change, and for the development of ecosystem restoration and carbon management strategies.},
}
@article {pmid40100629,
year = {2025},
author = {Feng, K and Lin, N and Kopp, RE and Xian, S and Oppenheimer, M},
title = {Reinforcement learning-based adaptive strategies for climate change adaptation: An application for coastal flood risk management.},
journal = {Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America},
volume = {122},
number = {12},
pages = {e2402826122},
doi = {10.1073/pnas.2402826122},
pmid = {40100629},
issn = {1091-6490},
support = {2103754//National Science Foundation (NSF)/ ; 1652448//National Science Foundation (NSF)/ ; 62088101//MOST | National Natural Science Foundation of China (NSFC)/ ; 2021SHZDZX0100//Shanghai Municipal Science and Technology Major Project/ ; },
abstract = {Conventional computational models of climate adaptation frameworks inadequately consider decision-makers' capacity to learn, update, and improve decisions. Here, we investigate the potential of reinforcement learning (RL), a machine learning technique that efficaciously acquires knowledge from the environment and systematically optimizes dynamic decisions, in modeling and informing adaptive climate decision-making. We consider coastal flood risk mitigations for Manhattan, New York City, USA (NYC), illustrating the benefit of continuously incorporating observations of sea-level rise into systematic designs of adaptive strategies. We find that when designing adaptive seawalls to protect NYC, the RL-derived strategy significantly reduces the expected net cost by 6 to 36% under the moderate emissions scenario SSP2-4.5 (9 to 77% under the high emissions scenario SSP5-8.5), compared to conventional methods. When considering multiple adaptive policies, including accomodation and retreat as well as protection, the RL approach leads to a further 5% (15%) cost reduction, showing RL's flexibility in coordinatively addressing complex policy design problems. RL also outperforms conventional methods in controlling tail risk (i.e., low probability, high impact outcomes) and in avoiding losses induced by misinformation about the climate state (e.g., deep uncertainty), demonstrating the importance of systematic learning and updating in addressing extremes and uncertainties related to climate adaptation.},
}
@article {pmid40099534,
year = {2025},
author = {Karapli-Petritsopoulou, A and Heckelmann, JJ and Becker, D and Anderson, NJ and Frisch, D},
title = {Altered Phenotypic Responses of Asexual Arctic Daphnia After 10 Years of Rapid Climate Change.},
journal = {Global change biology},
volume = {31},
number = {3},
pages = {e70119},
pmid = {40099534},
issn = {1365-2486},
support = {033W034A//Bundesministerium f&#xfc;r Bildung und Forschung/ ; 407495230//Deutsche Forschungsgemeinschaft/ ; 423957469//Deutsche Forschungsgemeinschaft/ ; 461099895//Deutsche Forschungsgemeinschaft/ ; },
mesh = {Animals ; *Daphnia/physiology/genetics ; *Climate Change ; *Phenotype ; Arctic Regions ; Greenland ; Lakes ; Adaptation, Physiological ; Reproduction, Asexual ; },
abstract = {Understanding the fates of organisms and ecosystems under global change requires consideration of the organisms' rapid adaptation potential. In the Arctic, the recent temperature increase strongly impacts freshwater ecosystems which are important sentinels for climate change. However, a mechanistic understanding of the adaptive capacity of their key zooplankton grazers, among them polyploid, obligate parthenogenetic Daphnia, is lacking. Theory suggests low adaptation potential of asexual animals, yet examples exist of asexuals persisting through marked environmental changes. Here, we studied asexual Daphnia pulicaria from a meromictic lake in South-West Greenland. Its oxycline hosts purple sulfur bacteria (PSB), a potential food source for Daphnia. We tested two key phenotypic traits: (1) thermal tolerance as a response to rapid regional warming and (2) hypoxia tolerance tied to grazing of PSB in the hypoxic/anoxic transition zone. To assess Daphnia's adaptive capacity, we resurrected Daphnia from dormant eggs representing a historical subpopulation from 2011, sampled modern subpopulation representatives in 2022, and measured phenotypic variation of thermal (time to immobilization-Timm) and hypoxia tolerance (respiration rate and critical oxygen limit-Pcrit) in clonal lineages of both subpopulations. Whole genome sequencing of the tested clonal lineages identified three closely related genetic clusters, one with clones from both subpopulations and two unique to each subpopulation. We observed significantly lower Timm and a trend for higher Pcrit and respiration rates in the modern subpopulation, indicating a lower tolerance to both high temperature and hypoxia in comparison with the historical subpopulation. As these two traits share common physiological mechanisms, the observed phenotypic divergence might be driven by a relaxed selection pressure on hypoxia tolerance linked to variation in PSB abundance. Our results, while contrary to our expectation of higher thermal tolerance in the modern subpopulation, provide evidence for phenotypic change within a decade in this asexual Daphnia population.},
}
@article {pmid40098292,
year = {2025},
author = {Tang, BL},
title = {Mitigating global climate change and its environmental impact is a key social responsibility of scientists and should be part of research ethics policies and guidelines.},
journal = {Accountability in research},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {1-19},
doi = {10.1080/08989621.2025.2479494},
pmid = {40098292},
issn = {1545-5815},
abstract = {Scientists have both epistemic and social responsibilities. Doing good science and reproducible research work would be a scientist's epistemic responsibility, but what might constitute social responsibility is perhaps broader and more subjective. Here, I posit that mitigation of global climate change (CC) and its environmental impact would be a key contemporary social responsibility of scientists. In their research, diligence in reducing the contribution of their work to greenhouse gas emissions and CC would be morally normative. Furthermore, contributing to tackling CC and its detrimental effects would be befitting of scientists' technical expertise, and is thus an appropriate reciprocative return for the training and resources afforded to them by society (and the environment). Scientists being responsible for tackling CC and its effects can be adequately described by the terms of dimensions of responsibility alluded to by de Melo-Martin and Intemann. As such, there would be no convincing reasons to reject these as important notions that should be incorporated into research ethics guidelines and policies.},
}
@article {pmid40097521,
year = {2025},
author = {He, Z and Gu, X and Wang, M and Xu, M},
title = {The coupled effect of climate change and LUCC on meteorological drought in a karst drainage basin, Southwest China.},
journal = {Scientific reports},
volume = {15},
number = {1},
pages = {9134},
pmid = {40097521},
issn = {2045-2322},
support = {QKHJ-ZK[2023] Key028//Natural Science Foundation of Guizhou Province, China/ ; KT202237//Natural and scientific research fund of Guizhou Water Resources Department/ ; u1612441; 41471032//Natural Science Foundation of China/ ; QKH J [2010] No. 2026, QKH J [2013] No. 2208//Natural and scientific fund of Guizhou Science and Technology Agency/ ; 2015//2015 Doctor Scientific Research Startup Project of Guizhou Normal University/ ; },
abstract = {With global warming and the acceleration of the water cycle, the frequency and severity of droughts have progressively increased. Although Southwest China is located inland, the combined effects of global climate change, regional climate anomalies, and human activities have led to a diversified set of driving mechanisms for meteorological droughts. Based on monthly global and regional meteorological factors (10 global factors and 8 regional factors) and land use/land cover data from 1948 to 2023, this study employs classical correlation analysis, wavelet analysis, and Bayesian principles to explore the temporal and spatial evolution characteristics of meteorological droughts in Southwest China, as well as their driving mechanisms. The results show that: (1) between 1948 and 2023, meteorological droughts in Southwest China exhibited a north-south (annual average, spring, and winter) or east-west decreasing trend (autumn) and alternating east-west intensity in summer. The drought frequency ranged from 0.35 to 0.39, generally showing a decreasing trend from southwest to northeast. (2) Global atmospheric circulation significantly influences meteorological droughts in Southwest China, especially during El Niño years, when global atmospheric circulation factors such as Nino 3.4 and SOI have a more prominent impact on drought, particularly in the summer and autumn. In contrast, during La Niña years, drought intensity and frequency are more pronounced in spring and autumn. Regional climate factors, particularly temperature and evapotranspiration, also have a significant effect on drought across different seasons, especially in winter and spring, when higher temperatures and evapotranspiration exacerbate droughts, and precipitation has a relatively weaker effect. (3) Land use changes significantly affect meteorological droughts in Southwest China, with a driving probability ranging from 0.39 to 0.42. Under different climate conditions, the driving probabilities of land use changes are ranked as follows: El Niño years (0.32-0.52) > Normal years (0.31-0.51) > La Niña years (0.27-0.50). In particular, land use changes such as the expansion of built-up areas and the reduction of farmland could intensify the frequency and severity of meteorological droughts in drought-prone areas. Additionally, the reduction of green spaces or forests may also exacerbate droughts, especially during the urbanization process. Notably, during El Niño years, the driving effect of various landforms on drought shows different skewed distributions. Therefore, this study clarifies, to some extent, the evolution and mechanisms of meteorological droughts in Southwest China and provides technical guidance and theoretical support for drought prevention and disaster relief efforts in the Karst region.},
}
@article {pmid40097480,
year = {2025},
author = {Tanaya, T and Iwamura, S and Okada, W and Kuwae, T},
title = {Artificial structures can facilitate rapid coral recovery under climate change.},
journal = {Scientific reports},
volume = {15},
number = {1},
pages = {9116},
pmid = {40097480},
issn = {2045-2322},
mesh = {*Climate Change ; Animals ; *Anthozoa/physiology ; *Coral Reefs ; *Ecosystem ; Coral Bleaching ; Seawater ; Conservation of Natural Resources/methods ; },
abstract = {Rising seawater temperatures from climate change have caused coral bleaching, risking coral extinction by century's end. To save corals, reef restoration must occur alongside other climate-change mitigation. Here we show the effectiveness of habitat creation on artificial structures for rapid coral restoration in response to climate change. We use 29 years of field observations for coral distributions on breakwaters and surrounding reefs (around 33,000 measurements in total). Following bleaching in 1998, breakwaters had higher coral cover (mainly Acropora spp.) than did surrounding natural reefs. Coral recovery times on breakwaters matched the frequency of recent bleaching events (~ every 6 years) and were accelerated by surface processing of the artificial structures with grooves. Corals on breakwaters were more abundant in shallow waters, under high light, and on moderately sloped substrate. Coral abundance on breakwaters was increased by incorporating shallow areas and surface texture. Our results suggest that habitat creation on artificial structures can increase coral community resilience against climate change by increasing coral recovery potential.},
}
@article {pmid40097418,
year = {2025},
author = {Guan, X and Huang, H and Ke, X and Cheng, X and Zhang, H and Chen, A and Qiu, G and Wu, H and Wei, C},
title = {Monitoring, modeling, and forecasting long-term changes in coastal seawater quality due to climate change.},
journal = {Nature communications},
volume = {16},
number = {1},
pages = {2616},
pmid = {40097418},
issn = {2041-1723},
support = {No. U1901218//National Natural Science Foundation of China (National Science Foundation of China)/ ; No. 42277379//National Natural Science Foundation of China (National Science Foundation of China)/ ; },
abstract = {As climate change affects the physicochemical properties of coastal water, the resulting element re-exposure may override the emission reductions achieved by human pollution control efforts. Here, we conduct an analysis the water quality-climate effect over eight consecutive years from 2015 to 2022 along the South China coast combined with CMIP6 Scenario Model Intercomparison Project. Then we utilized a data-driven model to predict the concentrations of trace metals and nutrients over the next 80 years. It is suggested that the acidification process carries the risk of triggering the ocean's buffering mechanisms. During this alkalinity replenishment process, trace metals, such as Cd, Cr, Cu, Fe, Hg, Mn, Pb, and Zn, in the sediment are released into the water phase, along with Ca[2+] and Mg[2+]. Here, the aim of this study is to show that the nexus of re-exposure-eutrophication-emission reduction with human activities and climate feedback, cannot be ignored in the pursuit of effective environmental governance.},
}
@article {pmid40096566,
year = {2025},
author = {Mayer, DK and McCabe, M},
title = {Climate Change and Cancer Care.},
journal = {Clinical journal of oncology nursing},
volume = {29},
number = {2},
pages = {110-111},
doi = {10.1188/25.CJON.110-111},
pmid = {40096566},
issn = {1538-067X},
mesh = {Humans ; *Climate Change ; *Neoplasms/therapy/nursing ; *Oncology Nursing ; },
abstract = {To commemorate ONS's 50th anniversary in 2025, throughout the year, we will be reprinting seminal editorials written by former editors of the Oncology Nursing Forum and the Clinical Journal of Oncology Nursing that have.},
}
@article {pmid40095155,
year = {2025},
author = {Mohamed, AF and Mohamed, AS and Abdel-Khalek, AA and Badran, SR},
title = {Synergistic impact of temperature rises and ferric oxide nanoparticles on biochemical and oxidative stress biomarkers in Oreochromis niloticus: relevant environmental risk assessment under predicted global warming.},
journal = {Environmental monitoring and assessment},
volume = {197},
number = {4},
pages = {409},
pmid = {40095155},
issn = {1573-2959},
mesh = {Animals ; *Global Warming ; *Oxidative Stress ; *Cichlids/metabolism ; *Biomarkers/metabolism ; *Ferric Compounds/toxicity ; Risk Assessment ; Water Pollutants, Chemical/toxicity ; Temperature ; Magnetic Iron Oxide Nanoparticles/toxicity ; Environmental Monitoring ; Nanoparticles/toxicity ; },
abstract = {Global warming and contamination of freshwater environments with nanoparticles (NPs) pose a global threat to biodiversity. Numerous studies demonstrated the effects of increasing temperatures and NPs separately, but their combined impact on aquatic life remains poorly understood or unstudied, particularly under predicted rising temperatures resulting from global warming (+ 2 and + 4 °C). So, the present study aims to determine how the temperature rises affect the toxicological characteristics of ferric oxide nanoparticles (Fe2O3 NPs) on the prevalent freshwater fish, Nile tilapia (Oreochromis niloticus). Fish samples were randomly put into six glass aquaria groups: 0 mg/L Fe2O3 NPs and 25 mg/L Fe2O3 NPs groups at 30 °C, 32 °C, and 34 °C with duplicated aquaria per group for 4 days. Hydrodynamic size and zeta potential evaluations revealed that Fe2O3 NPs' aggregation in water decreases with high temperature. Additionally, increasing the temperature and exposure to Fe2O3 NPs led to a significant rise in total proteins, albumin, globulin, plasma aspartate aminotransferase (AST), plasma alanine aminotransferase (ALT), plasma alkaline phosphatase (ALP), creatinine, and uric acid. We also noticed alterations in the amounts of malondialdehyde (MDA), glutathione reduced (GSH), and catalase (CAT) in the fish's liver and gills. Finally, our findings indicated that Fe2O3 NPs' toxicity in fish escalated with increasing temperature, peaking at 34 °C due to particle property changes caused by temperature elevation. Therefore, it should not ignore the impact of the projected global increasing temperatures on NPs toxicity in freshwater habitats.},
}
@article {pmid40094769,
year = {2025},
author = {Khwarahm, NR},
title = {MaxEnt-Based Distribution Modeling of the Invasive Species Phragmites australis Under Climate Change Conditions in Iraq.},
journal = {Plants (Basel, Switzerland)},
volume = {14},
number = {5},
pages = {},
pmid = {40094769},
issn = {2223-7747},
abstract = {Phragmites australis (common reed), a recently introduced invasive species in Iraq, has swiftly established itself as a vigorous perennial plant, significantly impacting the biodiversity and ecosystem functions of Iraqi ecoregions with alarming consequences. There is an insufficient understanding of both the current distribution and possible future trends under climate change scenarios. Consequently, this study seeks to model the current and future potential distribution of this invasive species in Iraq using machine learning techniques (i.e., MaxEnt) alongside geospatial tools integrated within a GIS framework. Land-cover features, such as herbaceous zones, wetlands, annual precipitation, and elevation, emerged as optimal conditioning factors for supporting the species' invasiveness and habitat through vegetation cover and moisture retention. These factors collectively contributed by nearly 85% to the distribution of P. australis in Iraq. In addition, the results indicate a net decline in high-suitability habitats for P. australis under both the SSP126 (moderate mitigation; 5.33% habitat loss) and SSP585 (high emissions; 6.74% habitat loss) scenarios, with losses concentrated in southern and northern Iraq. The model demonstrated robust reliability, achieving an AUC score of 0.9 ± 0.012, which reflects high predictive accuracy. The study area covers approximately 430,632.17 km[2], of which 64,065.66 km[2] (14.87% of the total region) was classified as the optimal habitat for P. australis. While climate projections indicate an overall decline (i.e., SSP126 (5.33% loss) and SSP585 (6.74% loss)) in suitable habitats for P. australis across Iraq, certain localized regions may experience increased habitat suitability, reflecting potential gains (i.e., SSP126 (3.58% gain) and SSP585 (1.82% gain)) in specific areas. Policymakers should focus on regions with emerging suitability risks for proactive monitoring and management. Additionally, areas already infested by the species require enhanced surveillance and containment measures to mitigate ecological and socioeconomic impacts.},
}
@article {pmid40094718,
year = {2025},
author = {Zhu, X and Jiang, X and Chen, Y and Li, C and Ding, S and Zhang, X and Luo, L and Jia, Y and Zhao, G},
title = {Prediction of Potential Distribution and Response of Changium smyrnioides to Climate Change Based on Optimized MaxEnt Model.},
journal = {Plants (Basel, Switzerland)},
volume = {14},
number = {5},
pages = {},
pmid = {40094718},
issn = {2223-7747},
support = {2024SF-GJHX-4//Key research and Development Program of Shaanxi/ ; },
abstract = {Changium smyrnioides, an endangered herb known for its medicinal roots, contains essential amino acids that are vital for human health but cannot be synthesized by the body. However, wild populations of this species have been steadily declining due to the combined impacts of climate change and anthropogenic activities. In this study, we employed an optimized MaxEnt model to predict the potential distribution of C. smyrnioides under different climate scenarios and to evaluate its responses to climate change. Our findings demonstrated that the MaxEnt model achieved optimal performance with a regularization multiplier of 0.5 and a feature combination of linear and quadratic terms. Among the environmental variables, three emerged as the most critical factors shaping the species' potential distribution: elevation, precipitation of the driest month (bio14), and isothermality (bio2/bio7 × 100, bio3). Currently, the primary suitable habitats for C. smyrnioides are concentrated in Jiangsu Province, with an estimated 21,135 km[2] classified as highly suitable. The analysis further indicated that, in response to rising temperatures, C. smyrnioides is likely to shift its distribution northeastward across China. Notably, the results suggested that the total area of suitable habitats would increase over time under projected climate scenarios. Based on the predicted centroid migration of suitable habitats, Anhui Province was identified as a critical future conservation zone for C. smyrnioides. This region could serve as a vital refuge, ensuring the long-term survival of the species under changing climatic conditions. Overall, this study provides key insights into the ecological responses of C. smyrnioides to climate change, offering evidence-based guidance for the development of effective conservation strategies aimed at safeguarding this endangered herb.},
}
@article {pmid40094567,
year = {2025},
author = {Luo, Y and Yang, J and Liu, L and Zhang, K},
title = {MaxEnt Modeling and Effects of Climate Change on Shifts in Habitat Suitability for Sorbus alnifolia in China.},
journal = {Plants (Basel, Switzerland)},
volume = {14},
number = {5},
pages = {},
pmid = {40094567},
issn = {2223-7747},
support = {32471591//National Natural Science Foundation of China/ ; SJCX21_1614.//Postgraduate Research &amp; Practice Innovation Program of Jiangsu Province/ ; },
abstract = {Anthropogenic climate change stands out as one of the primary forces expected to reshape Earth's ecosystems and global biodiversity in the coming decades. Sorbus alnifolia, which occurs in deciduous forests, is valued for its ornamental appeal and practical uses but is reported to be declining in the wild. Nevertheless, the distribution of this species' suitable range, along with the key ecological and environmental drivers that shape its habitat suitability, remains largely unknown. By analyzing 198 occurrence records and 54 environmental factors, we employed MaxEnt to project S. alnifolia's current and future habitat suitability. Our results showed that annual precipitation (37.4%), normalized difference vegetation index (30.0%), August water vapor pressure (20.8%), and temperature annual range (3.4%) were the most significant variables explaining S. alnifolia's environmental requirements. The suitable habitats were primarily scattered across eastern and central China. Under projected future climatic conditions, the total expanse of potential habitat is expected to increase. However, most of this expansion involves low-suitability habitats, whereas moderately and highly suitable habitats are likely to shrink, especially in southern and lower-altitude regions of China. Based on these findings, we propose several conservation strategies to support the long-term sustainability of S. alnifolia.},
}
@article {pmid40092619,
year = {2025},
author = {Bhandari, D and Robinson, E and Pollock, W and Watterson, J and Su, TT and Lokmic-Tomkins, Z},
title = {Mapping multilevel adaptation response to protect maternal and child health from climate change impacts: A scoping review.},
journal = {iScience},
volume = {28},
number = {3},
pages = {111914},
pmid = {40092619},
issn = {2589-0042},
abstract = {Anthropogenic climate change attributed increases in air pollution, rising temperatures, and extreme weather events are linked to a higher risk of adverse pregnancy and birth outcomes, necessitating interventions to protect maternal and child health. This scoping review mapped multilevel adaptation strategies implemented to protect maternal and child health from climate change effects. Eighteen unique adaptation strategies we identified included educational interventions, risk communication, air purifiers, air cleaning strategies, nutrition supplementation, cash transfer, employment guarantee scheme, community health worker program, chemoprophylaxis, insecticide-treated nests, home and environmental remediation, and bioethanol cooking fuel. Our findings suggest that these adaptation strategies are generally nonspecific and fail to address the specialized needs and unique health risks faced by pregnant women and young children. Prioritizing the involvement of pregnant women, mothers of young children and local healthcare services in developing tailored adaptation interventions is crucial to support climate change adaptation, resilience, and reducing maternal and child health risks.},
}
@article {pmid40091659,
year = {2025},
author = {Moslehi, S and Narimani, S and Soleimanpour, S},
title = {Challenges and Adaptive Measures for the Potential Next Pandemic Caused by Climate Change.},
journal = {Disaster medicine and public health preparedness},
volume = {19},
number = {},
pages = {e59},
doi = {10.1017/dmp.2025.56},
pmid = {40091659},
issn = {1938-744X},
mesh = {Humans ; *Climate Change ; *Pandemics ; Global Health ; Animals ; Public Health/methods/trends ; },
abstract = {Climate change is increasingly recognized as a significant driver of emerging infectious diseases, with the potential to catalyze the next global pandemic. This paper explores the complex interplay between climate change and the emergence of novel pathogens, emphasizing the environmental, ecological, and socio-economic factors that contribute to disease transmission. Rising temperatures, altered precipitation patterns, and habitat destruction are reshaping ecosystems, bringing humans into closer contact with zoonotic reservoirs and vectors. These changes amplify the risk of spillover events, as seen in recent outbreaks. The study identifies key challenges, including inadequate surveillance systems, limited global cooperation, and the disproportionate impact on vulnerable populations. Furthermore, it proposes adaptive measures such as enhanced early warning systems, integrated One Health approaches, and climate-resilient public health infrastructure. By addressing these challenges and implementing proactive strategies, the global community can mitigate the risk of a climate-driven pandemic and strengthen preparedness for future health crises. This paper underscores the urgent need for interdisciplinary collaboration and policy innovation to safeguard global health in the face of a changing climate.},
}
@article {pmid40090514,
year = {2025},
author = {Rony, F and Pittelli, MG and Contursi, C and Pacchetti, I and Calabrò, ER and Viganò, LV and Mathews, KS and Poli, G and Van Leuven, K and Martini, M},
title = {Impact on beclometasone dipropionate pharmacokinetics when switching to a low global warming potential propellant in a pressurised metered-dose inhaler.},
journal = {Pulmonary pharmacology &amp; therapeutics},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {102356},
doi = {10.1016/j.pupt.2025.102356},
pmid = {40090514},
issn = {1522-9629},
abstract = {INTRODUCTION: Use of high global warming potential propellants (e.g., HFA-134a) for pressurised metered-dose inhalers (pMDIs) is being phased down. Beclometasone dipropionate (BDP) is approved for the treatment of asthma in several countries via an HFA-134a propellant pMDI. This is being reformulated using the low global warming potential propellant HFA-152a. Two studies compared BDP pharmacokinetics delivered via pMDI using HFA-152a vs HFA-134a.<br><br>METHODS: Both studies (N=71/study) were single-dose (four inhalations of BDP), randomised, double-blind, crossover (Study 1, four-way; Study 2, two-way), in healthy volunteers. In Study 1, subjects inhaled BDP via HFA-134a pMDI in two periods (200 &#x3bc;g/actuation in one period, 100 &#x3bc;g/actuation in the other) and HFA-152a pMDI in the other two (200 or 100 &#x3bc;g/actuation). In Study 2, subjects inhaled BDP 200 &#x3bc;g/actuation via HFA-134a or HFA-152a pMDI using a spacer device. pMDIs containing HFA-152a and HFA-134a were compared in terms of lung availability (BDP comparisons) and total systemic exposure (beclometasone-17-monopropionate comparisons [B17MP; active metabolite of BDP]), with bioequivalence concluded if the 90% confidence intervals (CIs) of the geometric mean ratios of maximum plasma concentration (Cmax) and area under the plasma concentration-time curve between time zero and the last quantifiable timepoint (AUC0-t) were between 80-125%.<br><br>RESULTS: BDP Cmax and AUC0-t were equivalent for the two BDP 200 &#x3bc;g formulations, without (Study 1) and with spacer (Study 2). BDP 100 &#x3bc;g AUC0-t met the bioequivalence criteria, but the Cmax lower 90% CI was marginally below the bioequivalence limit (79.46%). B17MP Cmax and AUC0-t were bioequivalent with both propellants in all three comparisons.<br><br>CONCLUSIONS: Overall, bioequivalence was confirmed of HFA-152a and HFA-134a for BDP 200 &#x3bc;g/actuation, with and without a spacer. Although bioequivalence of the two formulations cannot be formally concluded for BDP 100 &#x3bc;g, the minimal difference suggests the two formulations can be considered therapeutically equivalent.},
}
@article {pmid40090145,
year = {2025},
author = {Yang, W and Schmidt, C and Wu, S and Zhao, Z and Li, R and Wang, Z and Wang, H and Hua, P and Krebs, P and Zhang, J},
title = {Exacerbated anthropogenic water pollution under climate change and urbanization.},
journal = {Water research},
volume = {280},
number = {},
pages = {123449},
doi = {10.1016/j.watres.2025.123449},
pmid = {40090145},
issn = {1879-2448},
abstract = {Anthropogenic water pollution severely threatens human society worldwide, yet the water pollution induced by combined sewer overflow (CSO) remains unclear within climate change and urbanization. Hence, this study integrated the general circulation model (GCM) and shared socioeconomic pathway (SSP) projections with water quality modeling, to analyze spatiotemporal patterns and future trends of CSO-induced water pollution under changing environments. Results demonstrated that the given area (Dresden, Germany) encountered significant CSO-induced pollution, with 14,860 kg (95 % confidence interval, CI: 9,040-15,630 kg) of particulate matter (SS), organic compounds (COD, TN, TP), and pharmaceuticals (Carbamazepine, Gabapentin, Ciprofloxacin, Sulfamethoxazole) being discharged annually. Climate change and urbanization exacerbated the severity of CSO-induced pollution, causing the discharged pollutants to reach a maximum annual load of 34,900 kg (CI: 21,400-44,100 kg), with up to 82.19 % of organic compounds and 75.28 % of pharmaceuticals being discharged by the top 25 % of extreme CSOs. GIS-based spatial analysis indicated the regional heterogeneities of CSO-induced pollution, the high-frequency CSOs were predominantly located in highly-impervious areas, while the high-load discharges mainly occurred in densely-populated areas. Scenario analysis revealed stronger temporal variabilities of CSO-induced pollution in the future, with the seasonal anomalies of discharged loads ranging from -86.18 % to 76.89 %. In addition, pharmaceutical pollution exhibited significant uncertainties under changing environments, and the CI of discharged load expanded by up to 131.71 %. The methods and findings herein yielded further insights into water quality management in response to changing environments.},
}
@article {pmid40089667,
year = {2025},
author = {Kürklü, A and Pearson, S and Felek, T},
title = {Climate change impacts on tomato production in high-tech soilless greenhouses in Türki̇ye.},
journal = {BMC plant biology},
volume = {25},
number = {1},
pages = {339},
pmid = {40089667},
issn = {1471-2229},
mesh = {*Solanum lycopersicum/growth &amp; development ; *Climate Change ; Turkey ; Crops, Agricultural/growth &amp; development ; Agriculture/methods ; Crop Production/methods ; },
abstract = {Climate change and its impact on agricultural production due to the occurrence of extreme weather events appear to be more imminent and severe than ever, presenting a global challenge that necessitates collective efforts to mitigate its effects.There have been many practical and modelling studies so far to estimate the extent of climate change and possible damages on agricultural production, suggesting that water availability may decrease by 50% and agricultural productivity between 10 and 30% in the coming years ahead. Though there have been many studies to estimate the possible level of damage by the climate change on the production of many agricultural crops, no study has been conducted on the greenhouse tomato production. Therefore, this study was conducted to discover the effects of extreme high temperatures during the 2022-2023 growing season on the high-tech Turkish tomato greenhouse industry through a survey. The results showed that all greenhouses lost yield, ranging from 6 to 53%, with an average of 12.5%. Survey data revealed that irrigation and fog system water consumption increased by 29.32% and 31.42%, respectively, while fertilizer and electricity consumption rose by 23.66% and 19%. Some 76.5% of the growers declared difficulty in climate control, 11.7% reported tomato cluster losses with no information on yield loss, 9% experienced yield losses despite no cluster losses, and 61.7% observed a decline in tomato quality, leading to reduced sales prices. Considering these findings, it is recommended that greenhouses must adopt advanced climate control technologies, expand fog system capacities, and integrate renewable energy sources to enhance resilience against climate-induced challenges. Additionally, improving water-use efficiency, optimizing cooling strategies, using new and climate-resistant varieties and adjusting cropping seasons could help mitigate yield losses due to extreme temperatures. The study results offer extremely valuable insights into greenhouse production for researchers, technology developers, and policymakers for the mitigation of climate change effects and the development of more sustainable production systems.},
}
@article {pmid40088636,
year = {2025},
author = {Wang, J and Liu, X and Mu, X and Li, H and Li, B and Zhang, Y},
title = {Ensemble predictions of high trophic-level fish distribution and species association in response to climate change in the coastal waters of China.},
journal = {Marine pollution bulletin},
volume = {214},
number = {},
pages = {117800},
doi = {10.1016/j.marpolbul.2025.117800},
pmid = {40088636},
issn = {1879-3363},
abstract = {As climate change shifts marine ecosystems, understanding distribution changes of high trophic-level fish is critical for ecological and fisheries management. This study examined the distribution changes of five high trophic-level fish species in China's coastal waters from 1990 to 2023, using species distribution models (SDMs) combined in an ensemble modeling framework to predict future trends under RCP26 and RCP85 scenarios. The ensemble approach integrated multiple SDM algorithms to reduce uncertainty and improve predictive accuracy. The analysis incorporated ecological metrics like niche breadth, niche overlap, and species association indices to assess habitat suitability and interspecies interactions. The ensemble model performed well, particularly for monkfish (Lophius litulon) and whitespotted conger (Conger myriaster), both of which are demersal species. Key environmental factors influencing habitat distribution included bottom water temperature and depth. Under climate change scenarios, the spatial niche breadth of only the largehead hairtail (Trichiurus lepturus) was expected to increase, while the niche breadth of the other species was projected to decrease, especially under high emissions. Fish habitats were predicted to shrink under future climate scenarios, especially under high emissions, with significant losses projected by 2100, ranging from -47 % for the Slender lizardfish (Saurida elongata) to -24 % for the Monkfish, although habitat suitability was expected to improve in southern coastal areas and near the Korean Peninsula. This study emphasizes the profound effects of climate change on the distribution and ecological niches of high trophic-level fish, offering insights for future fisheries management and climate adaptation strategies.},
}
@article {pmid40087311,
year = {2025},
author = {Kumar, A and Mohanasundari, T},
title = {Assessment of livelihood vulnerability to climate change among tribal communities in Chhindwara and Dhar district, Central India.},
journal = {Scientific reports},
volume = {15},
number = {1},
pages = {8843},
pmid = {40087311},
issn = {2045-2322},
mesh = {*Climate Change ; India ; Humans ; *Vulnerable Populations/statistics &amp; numerical data ; Rural Population ; Female ; Family Characteristics ; Male ; Rain ; },
abstract = {Climate change poses significant challenges to marginalised communities, particularly in regions with highly vulnerable populations like rural and tribal communities. This study aims to assess the livelihood vulnerability of tribal households to climate change impacts in the Chhindwara and Dhar districts in Central India, identifying key determinants and geographical variations in vulnerability. Primary data collection involved a multistage sampling procedure where a household survey was conducted across both districts, yielding a sample size of 535 respondents. The climatic data was collected from the India Meteorological department from 1954 to 2023. This study employs a mixed method, including innovative trend analysis for shifts in climatic patterns, standardised precipitation index-1 (SPI-1) for evaluating wet and dry conditions, LVI-IPCC framework applied using survey data to assess vulnerability, and multiple linear regression (MLR) model to determine the determinants of vulnerability. The results indicate significant changes in rainfall and temperature patterns in both regions, indicating increased vulnerability among tribal communities. SPI-1 analysis highlights the shift in precipitation patterns, with implications for agriculture and water availability. The LVI-IPCC results reveal a moderate level of vulnerability among surveyed households, with Dhar exhibiting higher vulnerability than Chhindwara. Furthermore, LVI-IPCC results were validated using other vulnerability assessment approaches. The MLR analysis highlights the significant influence of key determinants, such as primary income source, extreme weather events, access to safe drinking water, and livelihood strategies, on vulnerability, emphasising the importance of addressing socioeconomic disparities and enhancing adaptive capacity. Integrating primary and secondary data enables an inclusive investigation of vulnerability determinants and geographical variations within the study area. It offers evidence-based policy recommendations for augmenting resilience and encouraging sustainable development among tribal communities facing climate change challenges.},
}
@article {pmid40086574,
year = {2025},
author = {Anagha, KS and Kuttippurath, J},
title = {Surface ozone pollution-driven risks for the yield of major food crops under future climate change scenarios in India.},
journal = {Environmental research},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {121390},
doi = {10.1016/j.envres.2025.121390},
pmid = {40086574},
issn = {1096-0953},
abstract = {This study provides a comprehensive assessment of surface ozone (SurfO3) evolution in India under the future shared socio-economic pathway scenarios (SSPs) of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project phase-6 (CMIP6), and its implications for changes in relative yield loss (RYL) of wheat, rice and maize. Scenarios with insufficient efforts to reduce the emission of precursors (e.g. SSP3-7.0) lead to significant increases in RYL (∼20% for wheat and ∼7% for rice and maize) post-2050. Conversely, SSP1-2.6 and SSP2-4.5 help to minimise RYL by controlling emissions. Accumulated ozone above a threshold of 40 (AOT40) in the growth stages of crops may surpass safer limits (3 ppm.h) by six-fold in the Indo-Gangetic Plain (IGP) for rice and maize, and in Central India for wheat in the SSP3-7.0 and SSP5-8.5 scenarios. Furthermore, climate penalty on SurfO3 is observed in rabi (winter, December-February) and post-kharif (post-monsoon, October-November) seasons, whereas kharif (summer, June-September) shows climate benefit in one model. Positive trends in climate penalties are observed in IGP during most seasons and in Central India during post-kharif and rabi. Wheat is most sensitive to emission pathways with high variability, while rice shows more stable projections. Maize exhibits a mix of resilience and growing uncertainty under high emission scenarios. Undoubtedly, comprehensive strategies are required for crop yield enhancement, including stringent air pollution regulations, widespread adoption of clean energy, land use management and advancements in low-emission agricultural practices. Safeguarding agriculture productivity requires coordinated efforts to manage air quality and climate, ensuring a transition away from pathways like SSP3-7.0 and toward more sustainable, low-emission futures. Furthermore, efforts to address SurfO3-induced crop yield losses in India are vital for informing strategies to ensure global food security.},
}
@article {pmid40085979,
year = {2025},
author = {Sikdar, D and Shahir, A and Mandal, S},
title = {Evaluating the global sea snake diversity and distribution under climate change scenario.},
journal = {Marine environmental research},
volume = {207},
number = {},
pages = {107055},
doi = {10.1016/j.marenvres.2025.107055},
pmid = {40085979},
issn = {1879-0291},
abstract = {Anthropogenically accelerated climate change has wreaked havoc on marine ecosystems, particularly affecting marine reptiles such as sea snakes. These reptiles are highly sensitive to climate change induced coral reef degradation and environmental fluctuations, leading to habitat expansion and increased human-sea snake interactions. Despite this, till date no comprehensive investigation of global sea snake diversity and distribution has been conducted. In this study, we used MaxEnt Species Distribution Modelling (SDM) to assess effects of climate change on sea snake distribution from 1993 to 2024. This analysis integrates occurrence data sourced from exhaustive literature reviews and biogeographic databases with environmental predictors like seawater temperature, salinity, and chlorophyll a concentration. The study identifies 74 species across 11 genera and 3 families. Among 14 biogeographic habitats examined, the South Pacific and Indian Oceans exhibit highest species richness, while the Atlantic Ocean shows the lowest. Notably, species in the Bay of Bengal and Arafura Sea demonstrate significant taxonomic distinctness. Furthermore, our findings reveal a substantial expansion of sea snake habitats from equatorial to temperate regions, primarily driven by increase in seawater temperature. Optimal habitat suitability is associated with temperatures of approximately 30 °C, chlorophyll a concentration of around 0.3 mg m[-3], and salinity levels between 35 and 40 g L[-1]. These insights into sea snake diversity and distributional shifts induced by global climate change are critical for formulating evidence-based management strategies, including implementation of sustainable fishing practices, preservation of critical habitats, and establishment of rigorous bycatch mitigation protocols to ensure conservation of these ecologically significant marine reptiles.},
}
@article {pmid40084048,
year = {2025},
author = {Meo, SA and Shafi, KM and Hussain, A},
title = {The psychological cost of climate change: anxiety among adolescents and young adults - a cross-sectional study.},
journal = {Frontiers in psychiatry},
volume = {16},
number = {},
pages = {1422338},
pmid = {40084048},
issn = {1664-0640},
abstract = {OBJECTIVES: Climate change is an undeniable reality that has never before been experienced at such a higher scale of social, physical, and mental levels. Its impact has been studied at environmental, health, economic and sustainable survival levels, but the toll that it takes on the mind, especially among the youth, needs further studies to highlight the impact. Therefore, this study aimed to investigate the impact of climate change on anxiety among adolescents and young adults in the Global South.<br><br>METHODS: This questionnaire-based cross-sectional survey was conducted among students from all levels of education in the Global South. A total of 760 respondents including 202 from schools, 158 from colleges, and 400 from degree-awarding institutes and universities, (200 were undergraduates and 200 were graduates) voluntarily participated in the study. Based on their age and gender distribution, the average age was 18.56 years, 363 (47.7%) were males, and 397 (52.3%) were females. The Hogg Eco-Anxiety Scale (HEAS) was used to investigate the level of ecological anxiety among the youth in the Global South. The three categories of anxiety symptoms in terms of affective symptoms, behavioural symptoms, and personal impact were investigated.<br><br>RESULTS: The results revealed that the affective symptom shows a moderate positive and statistically significant relationship with age, higher the age higher the affective symptom of anxiety. The impact of income on affective symptoms, the respondents with a higher income have the highest mean (M=1.61), the higher the income the higher the affective symptoms of anxiety. To assess the difference in the anxiety symptoms based on the education level of respondents, the highest mean value was found among those with graduate (M=1.78), followed by college (M=.88), university (M=.83) and school (M=.82), which means that the highest affective symptoms are faced by graduate students.<br><br>CONCLUSIONS: The results show a moderate positive and statistically significant relationship between age and income on anxiety symptoms, the higher the age and income higher the affective symptom of anxiety. The youth of the global south feel little anxiety due to climate change; this is detrimental and needs urgent remedial measures. To combat climate change requires a multi-pronged approach, with solutions ranging from personal responsibilities and actions to large-scale systemic changes to tackle this critical challenge.},
}
@article {pmid40083284,
year = {2025},
author = {Banerjee, A and Verma, U and Lewis, MT and Parshad, RD},
title = {Two species competition with a "non-smooth" Allee mechanism: applications to soybean aphid population dynamics under climate change.},
journal = {Mathematical biosciences and engineering : MBE},
volume = {22},
number = {3},
pages = {604-651},
doi = {10.3934/mbe.2025023},
pmid = {40083284},
issn = {1551-0018},
mesh = {*Aphids/physiology ; Animals ; *Climate Change ; *Glycine max/parasitology ; *Population Dynamics ; Models, Biological ; Computer Simulation ; Competitive Behavior ; Introduced Species ; Ecosystem ; Floods ; },
abstract = {The soybean aphid (Aphis glycines) is an invasive insect pest that continues to cause large-scale damage to soybean crops in the North Central United States. Recent empirical evidence points to differential fitness in the pestiferous aphid biotypes under abiotic stresses such as flooding. As climate change predicts increased flooding in the North Central United States, mathematical models that incorporate such factors are required to better inform pest management strategies. Motivated by these empirical results, we considered the effect of non-smooth Allee type mechanisms, for the two species Lotka-Volterra competition model. We showed that this mechanism can alter classical competitive dynamics in both the ordinary differential equation (ODE) as well as the spatially explicit setting. In particular, an Allee effect present in the weaker competitor could lead to bi-stability dynamics, as well as competitive exclusion reversal. We discuss applications of our results to pest management strategies for soybean aphids in the context of a changing climate.},
}
@article {pmid40082304,
year = {2025},
author = {Shimwela, N and Katera, L},
title = {Strengthening Link between National Adaptation Plans (NAPs), Sector Policies and National Development Plans: Implications for Climate Change Governance.},
journal = {Environmental management},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
pmid = {40082304},
issn = {1432-1009},
abstract = {Climate change alignment across national climate change adaptation planning frameworks, sector policies and national development plans is a crucial component of climate change governance and supports synergy that contributes greater effectiveness and efficiency in addressing the impacts of climate change. However, studies that assess climate change coherence between national climate change adaptation planning frameworks and policy frameworks have been inadequate. This study intended to understand the extent of climate change coherence across national climate change adaptation planning frameworks, sector policies and national development plans in Tanzania. A mixed research design employing sequential methods was adopted. Both primary and secondary data was used. Primary data were collected through interviews with key policy experts from government ministries and climate change focal point authorities. Secondary data was collected through a content review of sector policies, national development plans and climate change adaptation planning documents. Purposive sampling was used to select key informants and policy documents. Qualitative content analysis was used to assess text data using a scoring matrix to generate descriptive information. The descriptive information was further standardised using percentages for each sector as well as the percentage score for the overall plans. The findings revealed a weak alignment between national development plans and national climate change response strategies that were attributed to weak alignment between sector policies. However, the study found a moderate extent of climate change consideration in national development plans. Consequently, the study recommended strategies to strengthen the alignment between national climate change response strategies, sector policies and national development plans.},
}
@article {pmid40081447,
year = {2025},
author = {Omary, RA and DiLullo, J and Estrampes, C and Hess, CP and Pacitti, D and Grist, TM},
title = {Partnerships Between Radiology and Industry Are Essential to Address Climate Change.},
journal = {Journal of the American College of Radiology : JACR},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1016/j.jacr.2025.02.049},
pmid = {40081447},
issn = {1558-349X},
abstract = {Radiology and industry partnerships are essential to scale environmentally sustainable practices that will protect the health of current and future generations.},
}
@article {pmid40081033,
year = {2025},
author = {Mou, W and Jin, C and Hu, S and Zhou, L and Luo, M and Long, Y and Yang, Y},
title = {Human activities affect the future suitability of alien urban landscape species in China under climate change.},
journal = {Journal of environmental management},
volume = {380},
number = {},
pages = {124899},
doi = {10.1016/j.jenvman.2025.124899},
pmid = {40081033},
issn = {1095-8630},
abstract = {Ecologists have paid considerable attention to the adaptation and distribution of urban landscape species in China amid rapid urbanization and climate change, given the essential role of urban species in human activities, urban planning, and sustainable development. However, existing studies primarily concentrate on the effects of climate change on the distribution of native species, creating a research gap regarding alien species. We compiled 5261 distribution data points for 538 alien woody landscape species (WLS) (non-native to China) from 179 cities with populations over one million in China and utilized the MaxEnt model to assess the future distribution and migration patterns of 27 most commonly introduced evergreen broad-leaved, evergreen coniferous, and deciduous broad-leaved species under present, 2041-2060, and 2081-2100 periods according to the Representative Concentration Pathway (RCP) 4.5 and RCP 8.5 climate scenarios. The results indicated that deciduous broad-leaved species were widely distributed in Southwest China, East China, Central China and North China regions, had a broad climate niche and greater adaptability to climate change, while the suitable area of evergreen species were expected to be lower than that of the present stage after 2100. The preserved suitable areas of evergreen species were mainly concentrated in the East China and Central China regions, and the lost suitable areas of evergreen coniferous species were in South China and southern East China regions. We also noted that human activities were the most important factor influencing the species distribution, not only in terms of the differences in suitable areas, but also the spatial diversity patterns. Our study revealed the future distribution patterns of three vegetation types and highlighted the importance of preventing the transformation of alien WLS into invasive species, which can provide valuable guidance for urban planning and development.},
}
@article {pmid40080487,
year = {2025},
author = {Ziska, LH},
title = {The Impact of Climate Change on Plant Physiology and Human Health.},
journal = {Physiology (Bethesda, Md.)},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1152/physiol.00067.2024},
pmid = {40080487},
issn = {1548-9221},
abstract = {There is a fundamental need to consider plant physiology in relation to human health as it encompasses a number of often overlooked issues, from plant based medicines, to nutrition. The goal here is to provide a historical narrative of plant physiological and biological responses to rising CO2 and climate variability while addressing current controversies. Finally a "next steps" overview of current links between plants and human health, and crucial, unmet research needs.},
}
@article {pmid40079945,
year = {2025},
author = {Montoro, J and Antolín-Amérigo, D and Izquierdo-Domínguez, A and Zapata, JJ and García-Gallardo, MV and González, R and Armentia, A and Rondón, C and Fernández, MM and Pedrero, SG and Valero, A},
title = {Climate Change-Associated Environmental Factors and Pollutants: Impact on Allergic Diseases, Epidemiology, Severity, and Health Care Burden.},
journal = {Journal of investigational allergology &amp; clinical immunology},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {0},
doi = {10.18176/jiaci.1067},
pmid = {40079945},
issn = {1018-9068},
abstract = {BACKGROUND: Allergic diseases affect up to 40% of adults worldwide, a percentage that is increasing with environmental changes related to global warming.<br><br>METHODS: A systematic review of the literature was performed to identify and evaluate current evidence of the effect of climate change-related environmental factors on the prevalence, incidence, and severity of allergic diseases in terms of the impact on patients with allergy. PECO criteria for 2 research questions were established and guided the literature searches of the PubMed and Cochrane databases (January 1, 2016 to December 31, 2021). Study outcomes were categorized and grouped to facilitate data synthesis. Outcomes were classified as significant (P<.05), nonsignificant (P>.05), or undetermined (P value not reported).<br><br>RESULTS: Assessment of the 2 questions enabled us to identify 609 publications. Of these, 96 were assessed for eligibility and 42 provided data. Environmental factors, including the presence of pollutants, influenced patients' conditions in terms of effects on allergy, exposure to allergen(s), and the immune system. The pollutants most frequently reported to have an impact were nitrogen dioxide (NO2) and particles <2.5 &#x3bc;m in diameter. The allergic diseases most frequently reported to be affected by environmental factors were respiratory disease (asthma and rhinitis) and atopic dermatitis, with an impact on epidemiology and health care burden.<br><br>CONCLUSION: Environmental pollution increased the frequency and health care burden of allergic diseases. The effect of environmental pollution was predominantly caused by pollutants such as NO2 and particles <2.5 &#x3bc;m in diameter and was observed across allergic diseases, including respiratory disease (asthma and rhinitis) and atopic dermatitis.},
}
@article {pmid40079527,
year = {2025},
author = {Rao, S and Gutzkow, KB and Hyllestad, S and Jore, S and Thomsen, C and Andersen, GD and Rautio, A and Abass, K and Berner, J and Brantsæter, AL and Dirven, H and Låg, M and Meltzer, HM and Aakra, &#xc5; and Øvrevik, J and Instanes, C},
title = {Climate change and health in the Arctic.},
journal = {Scandinavian journal of public health},
volume = {53},
number = {2},
pages = {207-214},
doi = {10.1177/14034948241296309},
pmid = {40079527},
issn = {1651-1905},
mesh = {Humans ; *Climate Change ; Arctic Regions ; Health Status ; },
abstract = {AIM: Adverse human-driven environmental change, including the climate, is having an increasing impact on the Arctic environment and its ecosystems. There has been immense interest in understanding the health risks related to climate change in the Arctic region. In this article, we review recent evidence related to climate change and its impacts on the health of the Arctic population.<br><br>METHODS: We summarize current evidence related to primary, secondary and tertiary health effects in the Arctic. We explore a broad range of effects on health including increased exposure to extreme weather, impacts from changes in water quality, air quality, contaminant exposure, food systems and patterns of infectious diseases. We also briefly discuss mental health effects in the Arctic. We conclude by examining further challenges and opportunities for research in this field and advocate the need for adaptation options in the Arctic.<br><br>RESULTS: We find that there is a large amount of literature that is focusing on the human health effects in the Arctic but there are still research gaps in terms of understanding these compared with those at lower latitudes. We point out the need for filling several of these knowledge gaps to project future health effects of climate change in the Arctic.<br><br>CONCLUSIONS: There is a need for integrated adaptation strategies in the Arctic that fully account for the health impacts and consider indigenous perspectives.},
}
@article {pmid40078926,
year = {2025},
author = {Hurlstone, MJ and White, B and Newell, BR},
title = {Threshold uncertainty, early warning signals and the prevention of dangerous climate change.},
journal = {Royal Society open science},
volume = {12},
number = {3},
pages = {240425},
pmid = {40078926},
issn = {2054-5703},
abstract = {The goal of the Paris Agreement is to keep global temperature rise well below 2°C. In this agreement-and its antecedents negotiated in Copenhagen and Cancun-the fear of crossing a dangerous climate threshold is supposed to serve as the catalyst for cooperation among countries. However, there are deep uncertainties about the location of the threshold for dangerous climate change, and recent evidence indicates this threshold uncertainty is a major impediment to collective action. Early warning signals of approaching climate thresholds are a potential remedy to this threshold uncertainty problem, and initial experimental evidence suggests such early detection systems may improve the prospects of cooperation. Here, we provide a direct experimental assessment of this early warning signal hypothesis. Using a catastrophe avoidance game, we show that large initial-and subsequently unreduced-threshold uncertainty undermines cooperation, consistent with earlier studies. An early warning signal that reduced uncertainty to within 10% (but not 30%) of the threshold value catalysed cooperation and reduced the probability of catastrophe occurring, albeit not reliably so. Our findings suggest early warning signals can trigger action to avoid a dangerous threshold, but additional mechanisms may be required to foster the cooperation needed to ensure the threshold is not breached.},
}
@article {pmid40078853,
year = {2025},
author = {Aborode, AT and Otorkpa, OJ and Abdullateef, AO and Oluwaseun, OS and Adegoye, GA and Aondongu, NJ and Oyetunji, IO and Akingbola, A and Scott, GY and Kolawole, BO and Komakech, JJ},
title = {Impact of Climate Change-Induced Flooding Water Related Diseases and Malnutrition in Borno State, Nigeria: A Public Health Crisis.},
journal = {Environmental health insights},
volume = {19},
number = {},
pages = {11786302251321683},
pmid = {40078853},
issn = {1178-6302},
abstract = {Climate change-induced flooding has caused public health crises in Borno State, Nigeria, which influence the increase of waterborne diseases and malnutrition. Flooding disrupts water and sanitation systems, creating breeding grounds for waterborne diseases such as cholera, malaria, and diarrheal illnesses. The displacement of communities and destruction of agricultural infrastructure due to flooding further increase food insecurity, leading to malnutrition. This paper examines the interplay between flooding, waterborne diseases, and malnutrition in Borno State, highlighting the urgent need for climate adaptation strategies and strengthened healthcare systems to mitigate these public health challenges. Additionally, it highlights the double burden of conflict and climate change where ongoing conflicts impede efforts to mitigate and adapt to climate change. Finally, this paper outlines the socio-economic impacts of flooding and proposes interventions to mitigate the effects of flooding.},
}
@article {pmid40078807,
year = {2024},
author = {Fordham, DA},
title = {Identifying species traits that predict vulnerability to climate change.},
journal = {Cambridge prisms. Extinction},
volume = {2},
number = {},
pages = {e21},
pmid = {40078807},
issn = {2755-0958},
abstract = {Accurately predicting the vulnerabilities of species to climate change requires a more detailed understanding of the functional and life-history traits that make some species more susceptible to declines and extinctions in shifting climates. This is because existing trait-based correlates of extinction risk from climate and environmental disturbances vary widely, often being idiosyncratic and context dependent. A powerful solution is to analyse the growing volume of biological data on changes in species ranges and abundances using process-explicit ecological models that run at fine temporal and spatial scales and across large geographical extents. These simulation-based approaches can unpack complex interactions between species' traits and climate and other threats. This enables species-responses to climatic change to be contextualised and integrated into future biodiversity projections and to be used to formulate and assess conservation policy goals. By providing a more complete understanding of the traits and contexts that regulate different responses of species to climate change, these process-driven approaches are likely to result in more certain predictions of the species that are most vulnerable to climate change.},
}
@article {pmid40075907,
year = {2025},
author = {Lin, T and Meegaskumbura, M},
title = {Fish MicroRNA Responses to Thermal Stress: Insights and Implications for Aquaculture and Conservation Amid Global Warming.},
journal = {Animals : an open access journal from MDPI},
volume = {15},
number = {5},
pages = {},
pmid = {40075907},
issn = {2076-2615},
abstract = {In the context of global warming, heat tolerance is becoming a crucial physiological trait influencing fish species' distribution and survival. While our understanding of fish heat tolerance and stress has expanded from behavioral studies to transcriptomic analyses, knowledge at the transcriptomic level is still limited. Recently, the highly conserved microRNAs (miRNAs) have provided new insights into the molecular mechanisms of heat stress in fish. This review systematically examines current research across three main reference databases to elucidate the universal responses and mechanisms of fish miRNAs under heat stress. Our initial screening of 569 articles identified 13 target papers for comprehensive analysis. Among these, at least 214 differentially expressed miRNAs (DEMs) were found, with 15 DEMs appearing in at least two studies (12 were upregulated and 13 were downregulated). The 15 recurrent DEMs were analyzed using DIANA mirPath v.3 and the microT-CDS v5.0 database to identify potential target genes. The results suggest that multiple miRNAs target various genes, forming a complex network that regulates glucose and energy metabolism, maintains homeostasis, and modulates inflammation and immune responses. Significantly, miR-1, miR-122, let-7a, and miR-30b were consistently differentially expressed in multiple studies, indicating their potential relevance in heat stress responses. However, these miRNAs should not be considered definitive biomarkers without further validation. Future research should focus on experimentally confirming their regulatory roles through functional assays, conducting transcriptomic comparisons across different species, and performing target validation studies. These miRNAs, conserved across species, could be valuable for monitoring wild fish health, enhancing aquaculture breeding, and guiding conservation strategies. However, the specific regulatory mechanisms of these miRNAs need clarification to confirm their reliability as biomarkers for thermal stress.},
}
@article {pmid40074172,
year = {2025},
author = {Burbank, AJ and Penrice, AJ and Rorie, AC and Oh, JW},
title = {Climate Change and Allergens: Current and Future Impacts.},
journal = {The journal of allergy and clinical immunology. In practice},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1016/j.jaip.2025.02.039},
pmid = {40074172},
issn = {2213-2201},
abstract = {Climate change will continue to impact allergic diseases in direct and indirect ways. Rising global temperatures are contributing to increased duration of pollen seasons, altered aeroallergen production and potency of allergens, and changes in the geographic distribution of allergenic plants that drive increased human exposure to aeroallergens and increased allergic disease morbidity. Climate change is inextricably linked with air pollution, the latter of which was shown to act as an adjuvant for allergic inflammatory processes promoting allergic sensitization. Pollutant exposure is also linked with higher prevalence of childhood asthma and exacerbation of existing asthma and allergic disease. Increased exposure, or co-exposure, to aeroallergens and air pollution as a result of climate change will result in higher rates of sensitization and incident allergic disease remains uncertain. Vulnerable populations, including children, the elderly, and marginalized groups, are likely to be disproportionately affected. This review summarizes the current knowledge of the effects of climate change on aeroallergens, and by extension, allergic disease. Addressing these health challenges requires a comprehensive understanding of the interaction between climate change, allergens, pollution and public health, alongside proactive measures to mitigate these effects.},
}
@article {pmid40073480,
year = {2025},
author = {Nong, X and Tang, R and Chen, L and Wei, J},
title = {Contribution identification of climate change and hydro-project operation for dammed-river water level responses: A sixty-year observation study of Hanjiang River.},
journal = {Journal of environmental management},
volume = {380},
number = {},
pages = {124712},
doi = {10.1016/j.jenvman.2025.124712},
pmid = {40073480},
issn = {1095-8630},
abstract = {Understanding the patterns of hydrological responses and identifying the driving factors under the combined influences of hydro-engineering and climate change is crucial for optimizing the utilization of surface water resources. This study focuses on the middle and lower reaches of the Hanjiang River (MLHR), using long-term monthly monitoring hydro-climatic data (1964-2022) from 10 national hydrometeorological stations. Integrated statistical approaches, including the Mann-Kendall (M-K) test, Standard Normal Homogeneity Test (SNHT), Worsley Likelihood Ratio Test (WLRT), and Empirical Orthogonal Function (EOF) analysis, were applied to systematically analyze the spatiotemporal characteristics of water levels and the quantitative contributions of various factors in the MLHR. The results demonstrate that, since the 1960s, significant downward trends in water levels have been observed at most of monitoring stations in the MLHR, and mutation points occurring at all stations except only one station. Fluctuations in water levels due to climatic factors such as precipitation and temperature are short-term and show relatively low correlations. The average water levels increased with mutation points emerging midstream of the Hanjiang River, primarily due to the influence of reservoir operations, while the water level at the lower reaches of the Hanjiang River exhibited a sustained decrease under similar influences. This study verified that water level variation in the MLHR is primarily attributed to hydro-engineering operations rather than climatic factors. By comprehensively evaluating the long-term trends in water level changes and quantitatively assessing the combined contributions of the operation of cascade reservoirs and climate change, this research provides valuable scientific evidence and practical guidance for managing river water resources.},
}
@article {pmid40072246,
year = {2025},
author = {Halpin, DMG and Balmes, J and Han, MK and Papi, A and Martinez, FJ and Montes de Oca, M and Ozoh, OB and Salvi, S and Sin, DD and Zheng, J and Agusti, A and Vogelmeier, C},
title = {Climate Change &amp; COPD: A GOLD Science Committee Review.},
journal = {American journal of respiratory and critical care medicine},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1164/rccm.202410-2058PP},
pmid = {40072246},
issn = {1535-4970},
}
@article {pmid40071991,
year = {2025},
author = {Anjum, G and Aziz, M},
title = {Climate change and gendered vulnerability: A systematic review of women's health.},
journal = {Women's health (London, England)},
volume = {21},
number = {},
pages = {17455057251323645},
pmid = {40071991},
issn = {1745-5065},
mesh = {Humans ; *Climate Change ; Female ; *Women's Health ; Mental Health ; Vulnerable Populations ; Gender Role ; Developing Countries ; Sanitation ; Water Supply ; },
abstract = {BACKGROUND: Climate change is an urgent global threat, with women in low- and middle-income countries (LMICs) disproportionately facing adverse health outcomes. Gendered roles, combined with socioeconomic, cultural, and environmental factors, exacerbate women's vulnerabilities, increasing the burden of mental health issues, water insecurity, sanitation challenges, and caregiving responsibilities.<br><br>OBJECTIVES: This review seeks to systematically examine the intersection between climate change and gendered health vulnerabilities, with a particular focus on women. It explores how climate change intensifies gender-specific risks and identifies pathways for integrating gender-responsive policies to mitigate both short- and long-term health impacts.<br><br>DESIGN: Following Arksey and O'Malley's methodological framework, this systematic review mapped key concepts and evidence from studies conducted between January 2011 and January 2024. The review focuses on identifying the multifaceted health impacts of climate change on women, particularly in LMICs and marginalized communities.<br><br>DATA SOURCES AND METHODS: A systematic search was conducted in Web of Science and Scopus databases using key terms and Medical Subject Headings related to climate change, women's health, gender inequality, mental health, water security, sanitation, and caregiving burdens. Studies were screened and selected based on relevance to the predefined criteria, with data extracted on study design, key findings, and limitations.<br><br>RESULTS: From 2163 citations screened, 61 studies were included in the final analysis. The review highlights that climate change disproportionately affects women, exacerbating pre-existing gender inequalities. Specific impacts include heightened mental health challenges, adverse maternal and newborn health outcomes, increased water insecurity, and an intensified caregiving burden. Women in LMICs are particularly vulnerable due to reduced access to resources, healthcare, and decision-making platforms, further limiting their adaptive capacities.<br><br>CONCLUSION: The findings underscore the critical need for gender-responsive climate policies that address both immediate health impacts and the broader socioeconomic and environmental determinants affecting women. Effective climate adaptation strategies must integrate gender perspectives, ensuring that women's specific vulnerabilities are accounted for in policy frameworks. This review advocates for the empowerment of women through increased access to resources and decision-making, thus enhancing their resilience and adaptive capacity in the face of climate change.},
}
@article {pmid40071778,
year = {2025},
author = {Bulut, M and Karakas, E and Fernie, AR},
title = {Adjustments of plant primary metabolism in the face of climate change.},
journal = {Journal of experimental botany},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1093/jxb/eraf116},
pmid = {40071778},
issn = {1460-2431},
abstract = {Plant metabolism is profoundly affected by various abiotic stresses. Consequently, plants must reconfigure their metabolic networks to sustain homeostasis while synthesizing compounds that mitigate stress. This aspect, with the current intensified climate impact results in more frequent abiotic stresses on a global scale. Advances in metabolomics and systems biology in the last decades have enabled both a comprehensive overview and a detailed analysis of key components involved in the plant metabolic response to abiotic stresses. This review addresses metabolic responses to altered atmospheric CO2 and O3, water deficit, temperature extremes, light intensity fluctuations including the importance of UV-B, ionic imbalance, and oxidative stress predicted to be caused by climate change, long-term shifts in temperatures and weather patterns. It also assesses both the commonalities and specificities of metabolic responses to diverse abiotic stresses, drawing on data from the literature. Classical stress-related metabolites such as proline, and polyamines are revisited, with an emphasis on the critical role of branched-chain amino acid metabolism under stress conditions. Finally, where possible, mechanistic insights into the regulation of metabolic processes and further outlook on combinatory stresses are discussed.},
}
@article {pmid40071152,
year = {2025},
author = {},
title = {Correction to "The Influence of Climate Change on the Potential Distribution of Ageratum conyzoides in China".},
journal = {Ecology and evolution},
volume = {15},
number = {3},
pages = {e70895},
doi = {10.1002/ece3.70895},
pmid = {40071152},
issn = {2045-7758},
abstract = {[This corrects the article DOI: 10.1002/ece3.11513.].},
}
@article {pmid40070355,
year = {2025},
author = {Atalay-Şahar, E and Yildiz-Ozturk, E and Özgür, S and Aral, A and Dayanc, E and Goksel, T and Meuwissen, R and Yesil-Celiktas, O and Goksel, O},
title = {Novel Approach Methodologies in Modeling Complex Bioaerosol Exposure in Asthma and Allergic Rhinitis Under Climate Change.},
journal = {Expert reviews in molecular medicine},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {1-29},
doi = {10.1017/erm.2025.7},
pmid = {40070355},
issn = {1462-3994},
}
@article {pmid40070155,
year = {2025},
author = {Zhang, H and Hu, Z and Chen, X and Li, J and Zhang, Q and Zheng, X},
title = {Global Greening Major Contributed by Climate Change With More Than Two Times Rate Against the History Period During the 21th Century.},
journal = {Global change biology},
volume = {31},
number = {3},
pages = {e70126},
pmid = {40070155},
issn = {1365-2486},
mesh = {*Climate Change ; Algorithms ; Models, Theoretical ; Plant Leaves ; Climate Models ; Plant Development ; },
abstract = {Future variations of global vegetation are of paramount importance for the socio-ecological systems. However, up to now, it is still difficult to develop an approach to project the global vegetation considering the spatial heterogeneities from vegetation, climate factors, and models. Therefore, this study first proposes a novel model framework named GGMAOC (grid-by-grid; multi-algorithms; optimal combination) to construct an optimal model using six algorithms (i.e., LR: linear regression; SVR: support vector regression; RF: random forest; CNN: convolutional neural network; and LSTM: long short-term memory; transformer) based on five climatic factors (i.e., Tmp: temperature; Pre: precipitation; ET: evapotranspiration, SM: soil moisture, and CO2). The optimal model is employed to project the future changes in leaf area index (LAI) for the global and four sub-regions: the high-latitude northern hemisphere (NH), the mid-latitude NH, the tropics, and the mid-latitude southern hemisphere. Our results indicate that global LAI will continue to increase, with the greening rate expanding to 2.25 times in high-latitude NH by 2100 against the 1982-2014 period. Moreover, RF shows strong applicability in the global and NH models. In this study, we introduce an innovative model GGMAOC, which provides a new optimal model scheme for environmental and geoscientific research.},
}
@article {pmid40069415,
year = {2025},
author = {Fernandes, S and Ranjan, P},
title = {COP30 must deliver binding mechanisms to address climate change, not empty promises.},
journal = {Nature},
volume = {639},
number = {8054},
pages = {306},
doi = {10.1038/d41586-025-00714-y},
pmid = {40069415},
issn = {1476-4687},
}
@article {pmid40069196,
year = {2025},
author = {Khurshid, N and Gohar, AM},
title = {Integrated analysis of local agricultural practices, community-led interventions, and climate change impacts on food insecurity in rural Azad Kashmir.},
journal = {Scientific reports},
volume = {15},
number = {1},
pages = {8375},
pmid = {40069196},
issn = {2045-2322},
mesh = {Humans ; *Climate Change ; *Rural Population ; Female ; Male ; *Food Insecurity ; *Agriculture ; Pakistan/epidemiology ; Adult ; Family Characteristics ; Surveys and Questionnaires ; Middle Aged ; Food Supply ; },
abstract = {Food insecurity impacts 2.3 billion individuals worldwide, with the Asia-Pacific region representing more than 50% of the global undernourished population. In Pakistan, approximately 37% of the population experiences food insecurity, with rural Azad Jammu and Kashmir (AJK) exhibiting concerning rates of stunting, wasting, and overweight individuals. This research examines the correlation between food insecurity, household factors, agricultural practices, and climate change in rural AJK. Data were collected from 470 respondents via a self-administered questionnaire utilizing convenience sampling, and Structural Equation Modeling (SEM) was applied for analysis. Household size, gender, income, education, and climate change influence food insecurity significantly. An increase of one person in household size is associated with a 0.499-unit rise in food insecurity, whereas a one-unit increase in income results in a 0.582-unit reduction. Females exhibit greater levels of food insecurity compared to males, while educational attainment is associated with a reduction in food insecurity. Furthermore, the implementation of sustainable agricultural practices mitigates food insecurity, whereas climate change intensifies it. The findings highlight the necessity for targeted interventions that address the specific challenges faced by rural AJK, particularly about climate-resilient agricultural practices and sustainable livelihoods.},
}
@article {pmid40068323,
year = {2025},
author = {Yang, S and Park, HS and Kwon, BO and Khim, JS and Lee, J and Sharesh, G and Thi Dang, NY and Kim, S},
title = {Assessing the contribution of Tidal Flats to climate change and carbon neutrality through modeling approaches.},
journal = {Marine environmental research},
volume = {207},
number = {},
pages = {107067},
doi = {10.1016/j.marenvres.2025.107067},
pmid = {40068323},
issn = {1879-0291},
abstract = {Tidal coastal ecosystems show promising potential as natural carbon sinks in mitigating climate change. Under the combined effect of carbon deposition, capturing, converting, and storing atmospheric CO2 into coastal sediments over a long period, tidal flats are of great significance to the ecology. In addition to preventing coastal erosion, the organic carbon buried in tidal flats should play an important role in mitigating climate change and achieving the carbon neutrality target. However, although the growing interest in tidal flat carbon has prompted studies to estimate carbon stocks at the global level in general and Korea in particular, comprehensive assessments of the role of carbon stocks in climate change have yet to be made. Therefore, the present study aims to quantify and simulate organic carbon stocks in tidal flats habitats of the Korean coast through a carbon balance model, thereby assessing their role in climate change and carbon neutrality. Biomass vegetation, meteorological, and sedimentary data up to 70 cm depth were sampled from 37 sites representing tidal flats along the Korean coast and then applied to the model to simulate the carbon sequestration rate as well as to provide predictions of sediment carbon stocks until 2050. The study revealed that the average total organic carbon (TOC) storage in vegetated and non-vegetated tidal flats reach 53.41 Mg C ha[-1] and 45.48 Mg C ha[-1] up to a depth of 70 cm in 2050, respectively, of which vegetation on the ground accounts for 3.06 ± 3.01 MgC.ha[-1]. Carbon mass is found to increase linearly over time in nearly all areas studied, with carbon sequestration rates ranging from 0.037 to 0.71 (MgC ha[- 1] yr[- 1]). The Korean tidal flats contain 11,200,000 MgC (∼4.13 × 10[7] tCO2 eq) of organic carbon (70 cm depth). This clearly reflects their potential for inclusion in the Nationally Determined Contribution (NDC) under the Paris Agreement. Model simulation result indicated that the topsoil carbon mass of Tidal Flats in the year 2050 could contribute 7.64 × 10[6] tons CO2eq towards the "2050 carbon neutral strategy of the Republic of Korea". The findings of this study shall strengthen the knowledge base regarding Korea's Tidal flat carbon stocks as well as their potential role in mitigating climate change and contributing to future carbon neutrality goals.},
}
@article {pmid40067764,
year = {2025},
author = {Richard-Greenblatt, M and Omosule, CL and Owusu Agyare, B and Das, S and Devine, C and Mokomane, M and Scott, S and Vongsouvath, M},
title = {The Impact of Climate Change on Laboratory Medicine: A Global Health Perspective.},
journal = {Clinical chemistry},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1093/clinchem/hvaf012},
pmid = {40067764},
issn = {1530-8561},
}
@article {pmid40066101,
year = {2025},
author = {Oyinlola, MA and Khorsandi, M and Penman, R and Earhart, ML and Arsenault, R and McAdam, S and Brauner, CJ and St-Hilaire, A},
title = {Assessing the impact of climate change and a water management programme on white sturgeon physiology in the Nechako River, British Columbia.},
journal = {Conservation physiology},
volume = {13},
number = {1},
pages = {coaf014},
pmid = {40066101},
issn = {2051-1434},
abstract = {Climate change is impacting river ecosystems, underlining the need for water management strategies to protect native species within these ecosystems. Here, we evaluate the impact of climate change and water management on the physiology of white sturgeon (Acipenser transmontanus) in the Nechako River, British Columbia (Canada). Using the CEQUEAU hydrological-thermal model, we simulated daily water temperatures from 1980 to 2099 under two climate scenarios (SSP2-4.5 and SSP5-8.5). We assessed thermal exposure risk (Te) for different developmental stages of white sturgeon, focusing on the warmest 6-month period. Our findings show that embryos and yolk-sac larvae exhibit resilience, with Te values consistently <1 under both scenarios, signifying low thermal stress. In contrast, feeding larvae and juveniles experience elevated Te values, indicating significant future thermal stress. For feeding larvae, Te values exceeded 1 under both scenarios, reaching up to 1.5 by the mid-century (2050s) and up to 1.8 by the end of the century (2090s) under SSP5-8.5. Juvenile white sturgeon also faced increased thermal risks, with Te values rising >1 during July and August, reaching 1.4 and 1.8 by the 2050s and 1.8 and 2.0 by the 2090s under SSP5-8.5, compared to the 1980s. These results underscore the need to evaluate the existing water management programme to better accommodate the projected changes in thermal conditions associated with climate change. Additionally, regulated river discharge, which can both increase and decrease downstream temperatures, offers a strategic opportunity to mitigate some climate impacts through strategic dam discharge management.},
}
@article {pmid40064712,
year = {2025},
author = {Favero, A and Baker, J and Sohngen, B and Daigneault, A and Wade, C and Ohrel, S and Ragnauth, S},
title = {Investing in U.S. forests to mitigate climate change.},
journal = {Carbon balance and management},
volume = {20},
number = {1},
pages = {4},
pmid = {40064712},
issn = {1750-0680},
support = {Contract #68HERH19D0030, Call Order #68HERH23F0146//U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA)/ ; },
abstract = {In recent years several U.S. federal policies have been adopted to support forest-based climate mitigation actions. This study focuses on current federal funds allocated to forest for climate change mitigation activities to assess how much they could deliver in terms of net sequestration under a best-case (optimized) scenario where the cheapest abatement options are implemented first and if these funds are in line to achieve domestic targets for 2030 and 2050. Multiple investments pathways are tested under two different assumptions on CO2 fertilization to provide a range of future mitigation projections from forests. Results show that under annual investments in line with current federal funds (around $640 million), the expected net carbon flux of U.S. forests is around 745 MtCO2/yr in 2030 (+ 12% increase from baseline) and if the investments expand after 2030 the net flux is expected to be 786 MtCO2/yr in 2050 (+ 17% increase from baseline). When CO2 fertilization is accounted for, the projections of net forest carbon sequestration increase by 17% in 2030 and about 1 GtCO2 net sequestration achieved under federal funds in 2050, increasing the likelihood of meeting both short-term and long-term domestic targets.},
}
@article {pmid40063822,
year = {2025},
author = {Yan, Y and Liu, Z and Chen, L and Chen, X and Lin, K and Zeng, Z and Lan, X and Huang, L and Wang, Y and Yao, L and Cheng, L and Ma, Z},
title = {Earth greening and climate change reshaping the patterns of terrestrial water sinks and sources.},
journal = {Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America},
volume = {122},
number = {11},
pages = {e2410881122},
doi = {10.1073/pnas.2410881122},
pmid = {40063822},
issn = {1091-6490},
support = {52179031//MOST | National Natural Science Foundation of China (NSFC)/ ; },
mesh = {*Climate Change ; China ; India ; Water Resources ; Water Supply ; Conservation of Natural Resources ; Climate Models ; Earth, Planet ; Ecosystem ; Water ; Hydrology ; Conservation of Water Resources/methods ; },
abstract = {While vegetation brings positive benefits for climate mitigation and adaptation, the impact of ongoing global greening remains controversial due to its uncertain effects on hydrological cycle. Here, we quantitatively assess the impact of vegetation dynamics on global water availability by proposing a comprehensive framework to quantify the terrestrial water sink and source scores associated with vegetation dynamics. These scores serve as indicators of whether large alterations in water resources have occurred in the lands due to either the greening or degradation of surface vegetation. We use multisource datasets from climate model projections, remote sensing, and local measurements to examine the impact of vegetation dynamics on water availability over the periods of 1982 to 2019 and 2015 to 2100. During historical observation periods, regions such as India and northern China experienced large depletion of water resources as a result of vegetation greening, leading to water scarcity. In the future, a shift is projected for India and northern China, transforming them into regions capable of meeting water demands arising from vegetation greening. This transition is largely attributed to wetting and warming climates. It indicates that trade-off effects between climate and underlying vegetation dynamics may result in strengthening regional hydrological resilience and ensuring the stable status of local water resources. Furthermore, tropical rainforests (except for the Amazon Rainforest) are experiencing greening with minimal impact on local water resources consistently. These insights are valuable for globally identifying optimal locations to implement ecological restoration, facilitating the balance of sustainable water resources and vegetation greening.},
}
@article {pmid40063761,
year = {2025},
author = {Khan, A and Berenji, M and Cloeren, M and Goldman, R and Wheat, S and Ogunseitan, O and Ayoub, S and Rabinowitz, P and Chekuri, B and Solomon, G},
title = {The Imperative to Incorporate Climate Change Competencies into Occupational and Environmental Medicine Training to Safeguard Worker Health.},
journal = {Journal of occupational and environmental medicine},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1097/JOM.0000000000003354},
pmid = {40063761},
issn = {1536-5948},
abstract = {OBJECTIVES: Identify relevant gaps and suggest modifications to OEM Graduate Medical Education to increase knowledge about potential climate change impacts, teach practical skills, and promote relevant actions to protect workers.<br><br>METHODS: ACOEM competencies were aligned to the Global Consortium on Climate and Health Education (GCCHE) physician competencies. ACGME OEM milestones were re-examined using a milestone curricular guide based on the peer-reviewed GCCHE competencies.<br><br>RESULTS: Climate-change related OEM knowledge and skills are proposed for each OEM core competency domain. Nine residency milestones mapped to the ten ACOEM core competencies are highlighted by incorporating a climate-related activity along with a call to action.<br><br>CONCLUSION: OEM training already provides more climate-relevant content than other specialties. Nonetheless, OEM residents need more climate change education to help employers, workers, and their communities to anticipate, mitigate, and adapt to climate change.},
}
@article {pmid40063037,
year = {2025},
author = {Hess, JJ and Ebi, KL},
title = {An Evidence-Based Approach to Climate Change and Health.},
journal = {JAMA},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1001/jama.2024.27927},
pmid = {40063037},
issn = {1538-3598},
}
@article {pmid40062716,
year = {2025},
author = {},
title = {Correction to: Chromosome-Level Genome Assembly and Annotation of Corallium rubrum: A Mediterranean Coral Threatened by Overharvesting and Climate Change.},
journal = {Genome biology and evolution},
volume = {17},
number = {3},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1093/gbe/evaf036},
pmid = {40062716},
issn = {1759-6653},
}
@article {pmid40061836,
year = {2025},
author = {Lustig, AR and Crimmins, AR and Snyder, MO and Tanner, L and van Coller, I},
title = {Bringing art and science together to address climate change.},
journal = {Climatic change},
volume = {178},
number = {3},
pages = {47},
doi = {10.1007/s10584-025-03861-3},
pmid = {40061836},
issn = {0165-0009},
abstract = {Art x Climate was the first-ever gallery of visual art to be included in the National Climate Assessment. This letter outlines the purpose and process of Art x Climate and highlights three Art x Climate artists and their work. The letter concludes with lessons learned from this project: the need for cross-disciplinary respect among the arts and sciences, the wide range of themes and artworks centered around climate change, and the ability of art to facilitate new collaborations and bring more people into the climate change conversation.},
}
@article {pmid40061488,
year = {2025},
author = {Etongo, D and Bristol, U and Cetoupe, D and Landry, J and Labrosse, JC},
title = {Integrating disaster risk reduction and climate change adaptation in Seychelles: Challenges and proposed strategies.},
journal = {Jamba (Potchefstroom, South Africa)},
volume = {17},
number = {2},
pages = {1808},
pmid = {40061488},
issn = {1996-1421},
abstract = {UNLABELLED: Integrating disaster risk reduction (DRR) and climate change adaptation (CCA) has gained traction among scientists and development practitioners, given their complementary benefits of reducing vulnerabilities and enhancing the resilience of ecosystems, livelihoods and protection of assets while concomitantly enabling the achievements of the Paris Agreement, Sustainable Development Goals and the Sendai Framework on DRR. However, guidance on integrating climate and disaster risk is poorly understood because of insufficient scholarship. Although common concerns exist, the effective integration of DRR and CCA faces diverse challenges in various countries and contexts, and no study has addressed this topic in the Indian Ocean Region and Seychelles. To address this knowledge gap, a content analysis of relevant policies and strategies and in-depth interviews with 40 stakeholders were conducted to identify the challenges of integrating DRR and CCA alongside their proposed strategy for improvement. Barriers that impede the effective mainstreaming of DRR and CCA include issues about (1) governance and politics; (2) policy integration; (3) competing actors and institutions; (4) coordination and collaboration; (5) resources and funding mechanism; (6) scale mismatches; (7) implementation and mainstreaming; (8) community involvement; and (9) information, communication and knowledge sharing. This study reveals that structural coherence was weak on the strategic rather than conceptual levels, leading to poor institutional, operational and financial coordination. This led to incidental integration and collaboration happening on an ad hoc basis with the Disaster Risk Management Division positioned towards emergency preparedness and response. Proposed recommendations to enhance DRR and CCA integration are provided.<br><br>CONTRIBUTION: This study serves as a guide for Seychelles and other countries on how to effectively link DRR and CCA to minimise duplication of efforts and enhance the efficient use of human and financial resources while concomitantly achieving the objectives of DRR - to reduce vulnerability and enhance resilience.},
}
@article {pmid40060720,
year = {2025},
author = {Chen, Y and Chai, S and Chen, W and Xia, J},
title = {The Effects of Climate Change and Greening of Vegetation on Spatiotemporal Variation of Evapotranspiration in the Haihe River Basin, China.},
journal = {Ecology and evolution},
volume = {15},
number = {3},
pages = {e71092},
pmid = {40060720},
issn = {2045-7758},
abstract = {Highly accurate evapotranspiration (ET) estimation and understanding the impacts of climatic and land use change on ET are essential for water resources management in the Haihe River Basin (HRB). This study estimated spatial and temporal changes of ET and its drivers over the period 2000-2020, using the Priestley-Taylor Jet Propulsion Laboratory (PT-JPL) model. Validation performed with the observations of 11 eddy covariance sites showed that the PT-JPL model can simulate ET with high accuracy (R [2] = 0.64, RMSE = 1.32 mm/day, NSE = 0.57). During the 21-year study period, the mean annual ET in HRB was 583 mm/year and showed an insignificant increasing trend (0.45 mm/year). Canopy transpiration (ETc, 2.96 mm/year) and interception evaporation (ETi, 0.74 mm/year) significantly increased whereas soil evaporation (ETs, -3.25 mm/year) significantly decreased. The mean annual net radiation (Rn), relative humidity (Rh), and wind speed (Ws) showed insignificant decreasing trends. In contrast, mean annual air temperature (Tm), vapor pressure deficit (VPD), and precipitation showed insignificant increasing trends. The significantly increased leaf area index (LAI) demonstrated that vegetation in the HRB is greening. We explored the relationship between ET and its components to climate and vegetation parameters. The results showed that net radiation was the most important parameter for ET variations. Vegetation and temperature had large impacts on ETc. Vegetation greening in HRB dominates the increasing trend in ETc. Net radiation and relative humidity showed an important role in changes in ETs. Temperature and vegetation were key impact parameters for ETi. The increase in ETi is mainly located in the region of forests, which is due to the forest protection and afforestation projects in HRB. This study highlights the importance of isolating the contributions of vegetation and climate changes to the changes in ET and its components, which is useful for water resources management in HRB and other regions of the world.},
}
@article {pmid40060409,
year = {2025},
author = {Caldwell, JM and Grenfell, B and Vecchi, G and Rosser, JI},
title = {Drought dynamics explain once in a century yellow fever virus outbreak in Brazil with implications for climate change.},
journal = {bioRxiv : the preprint server for biology},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1101/2025.02.25.640139},
pmid = {40060409},
issn = {2692-8205},
abstract = {While excess rainfall is associated with mosquito-borne disease because it supports mosquito breeding, drought may also counterintuitively increase disease transmission by altering mosquito and host behavior. This phenomenon is important to understand because climate change is projected to increase both extreme rainfall and drought. In this study, we investigated the extent to which seasonally-driven mosquito and primate behavior drove the first urban yellow fever virus (YFV) epidemic in Brazil in a century, coinciding with an equally rare drought, and to assess the role of interventions in ending the outbreak. We hypothesized that drought triggered the outbreak by driving the forest mosquitoes and non-human primates towards the city in search of water and that the mosquitoes were biting more frequently to avoid desiccation. A dynamical YFV model supports these hypotheses, showing that increased mosquito biting can explain the second peak in transmission while primate movement determined the timing and magnitude of transmission. Further, a combination of vector control, vaccination, and conservation measures likely contributed to ending the outbreak. Together, these results suggest that drought-likely to become more frequent in this region in the coming decades-can significantly influence mosquito-borne disease transmission, and that sustained control will require multiple interventions.},
}
@article {pmid40059886,
year = {2025},
author = {Sacristán-Bajo, S and Lara-Romero, C and García-Fernández, A and Prieto-Benítez, S and Morente-López, J and Rubio Teso, ML and Torres, E and Iriondo, JM},
title = {Assisted Gene Flow Management to Climate Change in the Annual Legume Lupinus angustifolius L.: From Phenotype to Genotype.},
journal = {Evolutionary applications},
volume = {18},
number = {3},
pages = {e70087},
pmid = {40059886},
issn = {1752-4571},
abstract = {Climate change may hinder species' ability to evolutionarily adapt to environmental shifts. Assisted gene flow, introducing adaptive alleles into target populations, could be a viable solution for keystone species. Our study aimed to evaluate the benefits and limitations of assisted gene flow in enhancing the evolutionary potential of Lupinus angustifolius L. (Fabaceae), considering both phenotypic and genomic perspectives. We collected seeds from four populations in Spain at two latitudes (north and south), and grew them in a common garden. We used pollen from southern individuals to pollinate northern plants and create an F1 gene flow line that would advance its flowering onset. In the next season, we allowed F1 plants to self-pollinate creating an F2 self-pollination line. We also created a backcross line by pollinating control northern plants with pollen from F1 plants. We measured flowering onset, reproductive success, and other plant traits in all resulting lines. In parallel, we sequenced genes related to reproduction, growth, stress, nitrogen, and alkaloids. All gene flow-derived lines flowered significantly earlier than the control lines from the northern populations. F1 gene flow line plants produced heavier seeds and had a lower shoot growth than those from the northern control lines. Genomic analyses identified 36 outlier SNPs between the control and the F1 gene flow lines, associated with differences in flowering onset, seed weight, and shoot growth. These results underscore that assisted gene flow can enhance a population's evolutionary potential by altering specific traits. However, altering one trait may impact others in a way that depends on the intrinsic characteristics of each population.},
}
@article {pmid40059412,
year = {2025},
author = {Eweida, RS and O'Connell, MA and Zoromba, M and Mahmoud, MF and Altheeb, MK and Selim, A and Atta, MHR},
title = {Video-Based Climate Change Program Boosts Eco-Cognizance, Emotional Response and Self-Efficacy in Rural Nursing Students: Randomised Controlled Trial.},
journal = {Journal of advanced nursing},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1111/jan.16790},
pmid = {40059412},
issn = {1365-2648},
abstract = {BACKGROUND: The Munich Security Conference 2024 highlighted the complex connections between climate change and global security risks. Engaging students in fighting climate change is a stepping stone to achieving the Sustainable Development Goals.<br><br>AIM: To investigate the effect of a video-based climate change program on revitalising eco-cognizance, emotional response, and self-efficacy among nursing students in rural communities.<br><br>DESIGN: A randomised controlled trial research design was adopted.<br><br>METHOD: A total of 140 nursing students completed a survey related to the Climate Change Perceptions, the Climate Change Anxiety Scale, and the Environmental Self-Efficacy Scale. The study group engaged in the video-based climate change program, while the comparison group received flyers related to climate change across the globe.<br><br>RESULTS: The intervention group significantly improved climate change perception and environmental self-efficacy compared to the control group, with large effect sizes. On the other hand, significantly lower levels of cognitive impairment due to climate change anxiety were recorded among the intervention group compared to the control group.<br><br>CONCLUSION: Our intervention improved nursing students' climate change literacy, pro-environmental attitudes, environmental self-efficacy, and anxiety. Future research may target a variety of university majors and use RCTs nested in a mixed-method design to capture the student experience with climate change before and after the RCT.<br><br>IMPACT: This study demonstrated that a comprehensive educational program significantly improved climate literacy, pro-environmental attitudes, and environmental self-efficacy among undergraduate nursing students while reducing climate anxiety. The findings of this study offer valuable insights for enhancing student nurses' ability to translate their scientific understanding into informed decision-making regarding issues like climate change.<br><br>Drastic natural disasters, including extreme temperatures, flooding, wildfires and snow and sandstorms, significantly affect populations, including nursing students. Early screening and management of climate change anxiety among university students is recommended as a buffer against upcoming mental health issues. Student counselling services are urged to consider the effect of climate change as a mental health parameter that significantly affects students' psychological and, consequently, academic life and progress. A video-based climate change program (VBCCP) is beneficial for equipping students with climate change literacy. The revitalization of the participant's overall eco-emotional response, pro-environmental behaviour and cognizance signalled the potential of VBCCP as a simulation teaching tool that might be integrated into nursing curriculums. Additionally, VBCCP is a cost-effective strategy that complies with International Nursing Association for Clinical Simulation and Learning (INACSL) requirements. The VBCCP can be delivered in the conventional classroom environment or through the digital platform without incurring additional costs and in alignment with the definition of simulation provided by the Agency for Healthcare Research and Quality.<br><br>No public or patient contributions.<br><br>TRIAL REGISTRATION: RCT registration: NCT06223412, on 23rd January 2024.},
}
@article {pmid40058504,
year = {2025},
author = {Momčilović, S and Jovanović, A and Gasser, RB},
title = {Human dirofilariasis - a potentially significant nematode zoonosis in an era of climate change.},
journal = {The Journal of infection},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {106460},
doi = {10.1016/j.jinf.2025.106460},
pmid = {40058504},
issn = {1532-2742},
abstract = {Dirofilariasis is a mosquito-borne zoonosis caused by several species of the genus Dirofilaria. This disease can manifest as nodular lesions in subcutaneous tissues, various structures of the eye, the lungs and/or visceral organs. The Dirofilaria species and the vectors responsible for transmitting infection differ among various geographical regions. The most competent reservoirs of infection are domestic and wild canids (for Dirofilaria repens and Dirofilaria immitis), raccoons (for Dirofilaria tenuis) and bears (for Dirofilaria ursi), and humans represent aberrant or accidental hosts. Recently, there has been an increasing number of reported clinical cases of dirofilariasis in both animals and humans. It is known that changes in climatic conditions, including increased temperature, relative humidity and rainfall, can contribute to favorable conditions for the development of mosquitoes and larval stages of filarial parasites within the vector. Despite advances in our knowledge of nematodes of the genus Dirofilaria and the pathological changes that they can induce in different hosts, many clinicians are unfamiliar with dirofilariasis. Thus, in clinical settings, nodules associated with dirofilariasis are often misdiagnosed as neoplastic lesions. Often, physicians surgically excise such nodules from affected patients, sometimes in very sensitive or difficult-to-reach anatomical locations, which may be accompanied by complications or serious consequences for the patients' health, including a stressful experience in the period from the discovery of a nodule to a definitive diagnosis.},
}
@article {pmid40057557,
year = {2025},
author = {Duque, TS and Barroso, GM and Borges, CE and Mendes, DS and da Silva, RS and Evaristo, AB and Dos Santos, JB},
title = {Current and future development of Acrocomia aculeata focused on biofuel potential and climate change challenges.},
journal = {Scientific reports},
volume = {15},
number = {1},
pages = {8120},
pmid = {40057557},
issn = {2045-2322},
mesh = {*Biofuels ; *Climate Change ; Biomass ; Brazil ; Indonesia ; },
abstract = {The search for sustainable alternatives to petroleum has driven research on biofuels, with a focus on those derived from organic biomass. This study centres on macaúba (Acrocomia aculeata), a promising oilseed for biodiesel production. Advances in cultivation techniques and the mapping of climatically suitable areas are essential to consolidate the use of this species in the energy sector. This work aimed to utilise predictive modelling with the CLIMEX software to assess the current and future climatic suitability of macaúba in the context of climate change. Data on the global distribution of macaúba, growth and stress parameters, as well as climatic variables, were collected. The modelling was conducted based on the A2 SRES scenario for the present, 2050, 2080, and 2100, including the generation of the Weekly Growth Index. Results indicated high suitability in tropical regions, particularly in Brazil and Indonesia. However, future projections highlight significant challenges due to rising temperatures and reduced rainfall. The study provides a critical perspective to guide sustainable policies in the energy sector, underscoring the potential of macaúba as a viable biodiesel source while warning of the challenges posed by climate change.},
}
@article {pmid40056786,
year = {2025},
author = {Back, D and Han, K and Kim, J and Baek, H},
title = {Climate change perceptions and behaviors among Korean nurses: The role of organizational initiatives.},
journal = {Nursing outlook},
volume = {73},
number = {3},
pages = {102383},
doi = {10.1016/j.outlook.2025.102383},
pmid = {40056786},
issn = {1528-3968},
abstract = {BACKGROUND: Climate change poses significant risks to global health, requiring engagement from healthcare professionals, including nurses.<br><br>PURPOSE: To assess Korean nurses' climate change-related perceptions and behaviors, and examine their associations with organizational climate change initiatives.<br><br>METHODS: A cross-sectional online survey was conducted from March to April 2024, involving 1,022 Korean nurses.<br><br>DISCUSSION: Korean nurses demonstrated moderate levels of climate change-related perceptions and behaviors. They were more motivated by global citizenship than professional accountability in addressing climate change. Nurses working in organizations with climate initiatives showed higher levels of climate change-related knowledge, motivation, efficacy, social norms, and behaviors than those in organizations without such initiatives.<br><br>CONCLUSION: Organizational climate initiatives play a crucial role in shaping nurses' engagement with climate change issues. Integrating climate change education into nursing curricula and implementing workplace initiatives are recommended to enhance nurses' professional engagement in addressing climate change-related health risks.},
}
@article {pmid40056263,
year = {2025},
author = {Sahoo, S and Singha, C and Govind, A and Sharma, M},
title = {Leveraging ML to predict climate change impact on rice crop disease in Eastern India.},
journal = {Environmental monitoring and assessment},
volume = {197},
number = {4},
pages = {366},
pmid = {40056263},
issn = {1573-2959},
mesh = {India ; *Climate Change ; *Oryza ; *Machine Learning ; Plant Diseases/statistics &amp; numerical data ; Agriculture/methods ; Crops, Agricultural ; Environmental Monitoring/methods ; Soil/chemistry ; },
abstract = {Rice crop disease is critical in precision agriculture due to various influencing components and unstable environments. The current study uses machine learning (ML) models to predict rice crop disease in Eastern India based on biophysical factors for current and future scenarios. The nine biophysical parameters are precipitation (Pr), maximum temperature (Tmax), minimum temperature (Tmin), soil texture (ST), available water capacity (AWC), normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI), soil-adjusted vegetation index (SAVI), normalized difference chlorophyll index (NDCI), and normalized difference moisture index (NDMI) by Random forest (RF), Gradient Boosting Machine (GBM), Extreme Gradient Boosting (XGB), Artificial Neural Net (ANN), and Support vector Machine (SVM). The multicollinearity test Boruta feature selection techniques that assessed interdependency and prioritized the factors impacting crop disease. However, climatic change scenarios were created using the most recent Climate Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (CMIP6) Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSP) 2-4.5 and SSP5-8.5 datasets. The rice crop disease validation was accomplished using 1105 field-based farmer observation recordings. According to the current findings, Purba Bardhaman district experienced a 96.72% spread of rice brown spot disease due to weather conditions. In contrast, rice blast diseases are prevalent in the north-western region of Birbhum district, affecting 72.38% of rice plants due to high temperatures, water deficits, and low soil moisture. Rice tungro disease affects 63.45% of the rice plants in Bankura district due to nitrogen and zinc deficiencies. It was discovered that the link between NDMI and NDVI is robust and positive, with values ranging from 0.8 to 1. According to SHAP analysis, Pr, Tmin, and Tmax are the top three climatic variables impacting all types of disease cases. The study's findings could have a substantial impact on precision crop protection and meeting the United Nations Sustainable Development Goals.},
}
@article {pmid40054246,
year = {2025},
author = {Rouhani, A and Ben-Salem, N and D'Oria, M and Silva, RCG and Viglione, A and Copty, NK and Rode, M and Barry, DA and Gómez-Hernández, JJ and Jomaa, S},
title = {Direct impact of climate change on groundwater levels in the Iberian Peninsula.},
journal = {The Science of the total environment},
volume = {970},
number = {},
pages = {179009},
doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2025.179009},
pmid = {40054246},
issn = {1879-1026},
abstract = {The Iberian Peninsula is a water-scarce region that is increasingly reliant on groundwater. Climate change is expected to exacerbate this situation due to projected irregular precipitation patterns and frequent droughts. Here, we utilised convolutional neural networks (CNNs) to assess the direct effect of climate change on groundwater levels, using monthly meteorological data and historical groundwater levels from 3829 wells. We considered temperature and antecedent cumulative precipitation over 3, 6, 12, 18, 24, and 36 months to account for the recharge time lag between precipitation and groundwater level changes. Based on CNNs performance, 92 location-specific models were retained for further analysis, representing wells spatially distributed throughout the peninsula. The CNNs were used to assess the influence of climate change on future groundwater levels, considering an ensemble of eight combinations of general and regional climate models under the RCP4.5 and RCP8.5 scenarios. Under RCP4.5, an average annual temperature increase of 1.7 °C and a 5.2 % decrease in annual precipitation will result in approximately 15 % of wells experiencing >1-m decline between the reference period [1986-2005] and the long-term period [2080-2100]. Under RCP8.5, with a 3.8 °C increase in temperature and a 20.2 % decrease in annual precipitation between the same time periods, 40 % of wells are expected to experience a water level drop of >1 m. Notably, for 72 % of the wells, temperature is the main driver, implying that evaporation has a greater impact on groundwater levels. Effective management strategies should be implemented to limit overexploitation of groundwater reserves and improve resilience to future climate changes.},
}
@article {pmid40053583,
year = {2025},
author = {Westerhold, T and Dallanave, E and Penman, D and Schoene, B and Röhl, U and Gussone, N and Kuroda, J},
title = {Earth orbital rhythms links timing of Deccan trap volcanism phases and global climate change.},
journal = {Science advances},
volume = {11},
number = {10},
pages = {eadr8584},
pmid = {40053583},
issn = {2375-2548},
abstract = {At the end of the Cretaceous, the massive Deccan trap (DT) volcanic eruptions are regarded as the primary driver of global climate deterioration. Accurate age models are key to unravel the sequence of events related to DT volcanism onset and effects on the global climate system. We establish a direct geochemical link between DT volcanism as recorded in marine osmium isotopic data and global climate change documented in benthic foraminifera carbon and oxygen isotope records. Based on our state-of-the-art astronomically calibrated age model, two major shifts in marine [187]Os/[188]Os at 66.49 and 66.28 million years ago are contemporaneous with major eruption phases of the DT and disruptions of the global carbon cycle. Geochemical records and modeling suggest larger erupted volumes with high volatile emissions for the early phase of DT volcanism and point to differing emissions of SO2 and CO2 during the observed marine osmium shifts with diverse effects on the global climate system.},
}
@article {pmid40050949,
year = {2025},
author = {Lv, Z and Jiu, S and Wang, L and Xu, Y and Wang, J and Liu, X and Xu, J and Wang, Y and Haider, MS and Liu, R and Zhang, C},
title = {Climate change affects the suitability of Chinese cherry (Prunus pseudocerasus Lindl.) in China.},
journal = {Molecular horticulture},
volume = {5},
number = {1},
pages = {26},
pmid = {40050949},
issn = {2730-9401},
abstract = {The rapid development of Prunus pseudocerasus related industry has increasingly contributed to rural vitalization in China. This study employed a biomod2 ensemble model, utilizing environmental and species occurrence data from 151 P. pseudocerasus germplasm wild/local samples, to predict potential geographical distribution, suitability changes, climate dependence, and ecological niche dynamics. The optimized maximum entropy (MaxEnt) model yielded the most accurate predictions. The climate variables with the greatest impact on suitability were precipitation of warmest quarter and mean diurnal temperature range. The total potential suitable area for P. pseudocerasus was approximately 2.78 × 10[6] km[2], increasing with CO2 concentration. The highly suitable area was primarily concentrated in basin terrains, plateaus, and plains of Sichuan Province. The current centroid in Lichuan exhibited gradual latitudinal and longitudinal movement. The predicted (2090s) ecological niche trends of P. pseudocerasus varied under different pathways and periods, with higher CO2 concentration associated with lower niche overlap. The CO2 emission concentration in the SSP246 scenario emerged as the most suitable climate model. Climate change is driving both the expansion of geographical distribution and the contraction of overlapping geographical distribution areas of P. pseudocerasus. These findings provide a theoretical basis for wild resource conservation, site selection for production, and introduction of allopatry for P. pseudocerasus.},
}
@article {pmid40050809,
year = {2025},
author = {Mousavi, A and Ardalan, A and Takian, A and Naddafi, K and Mesdaghinia, A},
title = {A policy context and process analysis to implement the Paris Agreement on climate change in the health system of Iran.},
journal = {BMC public health},
volume = {25},
number = {1},
pages = {893},
pmid = {40050809},
issn = {1471-2458},
mesh = {*Climate Change ; Iran ; Humans ; *Policy Making ; *Health Policy ; *Qualitative Research ; Interviews as Topic ; Politics ; International Cooperation ; },
abstract = {BACKGROUND: Ensuring public health is crucial in any policy debate on climate change. Paris Agreement on Climate Change is a global contract through which countries have committed themselves to a public health treaty. This study was conducted to identify the challenges that lie ahead for policymakers and provide an evidence-informed framework for policymaking to increase the resilience of Iran's health system to health consequences of climate change.<br><br>METHODS: A qualitative study using semi-structured interviews was conducted with 25 experts. Purposeful and snowball sampling techniques were used for data gathering. Thematic content analysis was conducted with a deductive-inductive approach. Leichter's model, the stage's heuristic framework, and Kingdon's models were used for analyzing the context and process analysis respectively. MAXQDA 20 software was used.<br><br>RESULTS: A total of four main themes and twelve sub-themes were identified concerning various contextual factors, including political, economic, international, and cultural/social challenges. The primary obstacles to implementing adaptation measures were found to be political considerations, economic sanctions, and the low-risk perception held by both the public and policymakers. Additionally, fifteen themes and forty-eight sub-themes related to the process were identified across several areas: agenda setting, which includes the problem stream, policy stream, and politics stream; policy formulation, encompassing governmental and managerial aspects, research, evidence-informed policymaking, and the role of Non-Governmental Organizations; policy implementation, which covers early warning systems, education, inter-sectoral coordination, architecture and engineering, and integrated databases; and policy evaluation, focusing on inadequate evaluation methods.<br><br>CONCLUSIONS: The study identifies key challenges in implementing the Paris Agreement within Iran's health system, categorized into four main themes: political, economic, international, and cultural/social. Political issues stem from the politicization of climate change and national security concerns. Economically, reliance on oil and sanctions hinder progress, while high technology costs strain resources. Internationally, a lack of binding commitments and technological sanctions impede efforts. Culturally, low public awareness and inadequate inter-organizational collaboration limit engagement. The study emphasizes the need for cohesive policies, enhanced public education, and improved coordination among sectors to effectively address climate change impacts on health.},
}
@article {pmid40050665,
year = {2025},
author = {Shmuel, A and Lazebnik, T and Glickman, O and Heifetz, E and Price, C},
title = {Global lightning-ignited wildfires prediction and climate change projections based on explainable machine learning models.},
journal = {Scientific reports},
volume = {15},
number = {1},
pages = {7898},
pmid = {40050665},
issn = {2045-2322},
abstract = {Wildfires pose a significant natural disaster risk to populations and contribute to accelerated climate change. As wildfires are also affected by climate change, extreme wildfires are becoming increasingly frequent. Although they occur less frequently globally than those sparked by human activities, lightning-ignited wildfires play a substantial role in carbon emissions and account for the majority of burned areas in certain regions. While existing computational models, especially those based on machine learning, aim to predict lightning-ignited wildfires, they are typically tailored to specific regions with unique characteristics, limiting their global applicability. In this study, we present machine learning models designed to characterize and predict lightning-ignited wildfires on a global scale. Our approach involves classifying lightning-ignited versus anthropogenic wildfires, and estimating with high accuracy the probability of lightning to ignite a fire based on a wide spectrum of factors such as meteorological conditions and vegetation. Utilizing these models, we analyze seasonal and spatial trends in lightning-ignited wildfires shedding light on the impact of climate change on this phenomenon. We analyze the influence of various features on the models using eXplainable Artificial Intelligence (XAI) frameworks. Our findings highlight significant global differences between anthropogenic and lightning-ignited wildfires. Moreover, we demonstrate that, even over a short time span of less than a decade, climate changes have steadily increased the global risk of lightning-ignited wildfires. This distinction underscores the imperative need for dedicated predictive models and fire weather indices tailored specifically to each type of wildfire.},
}
@article {pmid40050659,
year = {2025},
author = {Varma, V and Mosedale, JR and Alvarez, JAG and Bebber, DP},
title = {Socio-economic factors constrain climate change adaptation in a tropical export crop.},
journal = {Nature food},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
pmid = {40050659},
issn = {2662-1355},
support = {BB/N020847/1//RCUK | Biotechnology and Biological Sciences Research Council (BBSRC)/ ; 727624//EC | Horizon 2020 Framework Programme (EU Framework Programme for Research and Innovation H2020)/ ; },
abstract = {Climate change will alter the geographical locations most suited for crop production, but adaptation to these new conditions may be constrained by edaphic and socio-economic factors. Here we investigate climate change adaptation constraints in banana, a major export crop of Latin America and the Caribbean. We derived optimal climatic, edaphic and socio-economic conditions from the distribution of intensive banana production across Latin America and the Caribbean, identified using remote sensing imagery. We found that intensive banana production is constrained to low-lying, warm aseasonal regions with slightly acidic soils, but is less constrained by precipitation, as irrigation facilitates production in drier regions. Production is limited to areas close to shipping ports and with high human population density. Rising temperatures, coupled with requirements for labour and export infrastructure, will result in a 60% reduction in the area suitable for export banana production, along with yield declines in most current banana producing areas.},
}
@article {pmid40050616,
year = {2025},
author = {Kim, GY and Lee, WH},
title = {Prediction of the spatial distribution of vine weevil under climate change using multiple variable selection methods.},
journal = {Scientific reports},
volume = {15},
number = {1},
pages = {7845},
pmid = {40050616},
issn = {2045-2322},
mesh = {Animals ; *Climate Change ; *Weevils/physiology ; Ecosystem ; Algorithms ; Animal Distribution ; Europe ; North America ; },
abstract = {The vine weevil (Otiorhynchus sulcatus) is a polyphagous pest that affects various economically important crops, but its potential distribution has not been studied. This research developed multiple species distribution models (SDMs) using different variable selection methods, including correlation, biological considerations, and principal component analysis, and integrated them into an ensemble model to predict the pest's distribution under climate change. The MaxEnt algorithm was used to develop the models, showing robust performance with raw bioclimatic variables (TSS 0.34-0.37, F1 score 0.60-0.67), while lower performance and different distribution patterns were observed with reconstructed variables (TSS 0.13, F1 score 0.48). The vine weevil was predicted to be primarily distributed in North America and Europe, with the highest invasion risk in Far East Asia and northern India. Climate change could shift its habitat northward, particularly in areas where it currently occurs, and human activities may help spread the pest to new regions. This study offers a potential distribution map to aid in monitoring and controlling the vine weevil, emphasizing the importance of variable selection methods in predictive modeling.},
}
@article {pmid40050395,
year = {2025},
author = {Nardi, RU and Mazzini, PLF and Walter, RK},
title = {Climate change and variability drive increasing exposure of marine heatwaves across US estuaries.},
journal = {Scientific reports},
volume = {15},
number = {1},
pages = {7831},
pmid = {40050395},
issn = {2045-2322},
abstract = {Marine heatwaves (MHWs) are among the greatest threats to marine ecosystems, and while substantial advances have been made in oceanic MHWs, little is known about estuarine MHWs. Utilizing a temperature dataset spanning over two decades and 54 stations distributed across 20 estuaries in the United States National Estuarine Research Reserve System, we present a comprehensive analysis of estuarine MHW characteristics and trends. Long-term climate-change-driven warming is driving more frequent MHWs along the East Coast, and if trends continue, this region will be in a MHW state for ~ 1/3 of the year by the end of the century. In contrast, the vast majority of the West Coast showed no trends, highlighting the potential for future thermal refugia. The West Coast was more strongly influenced by climate variability through the enhancement/suppression of MHWs during different phases of climate modes, suggesting long-term predictability potential. These results can provide guidance for management actions and planning in these critical environments.},
}
@article {pmid40050307,
year = {2025},
author = {Jihan, MAT and Popy, S and Kayes, S and Rasul, G and Maowa, AS and Rahman, MM},
title = {Climate change scenario in Bangladesh: historical data analysis and future projection based on CMIP6 model.},
journal = {Scientific reports},
volume = {15},
number = {1},
pages = {7856},
pmid = {40050307},
issn = {2045-2322},
abstract = {During the last two decade, Bangladesh has been experienced a critical climatic anomalies which lead to an increment in enormity and repeat of diverse climate relate extraordinary events. Climate analysts substantiate that around the world temperature and precipitation plan is expected to change, which may result in significant influence on cultivation, work, and organic framework. Bangladesh is subsequently likely to confront critical challenges within the coming decades. In orchestrate to sufficient get it this complex, lively wonders, Analyzing chronicled Climate modify scenarios as well as anticipating its future designs may be a exceptional concern for examiner. This consider focuses to analyzes irrefutable climatic data from (1901-2020), and expect future temperature and precipitation plans in Bangladesh utilizing CMIP6 data. The data utilized in this think-around (Observed data is from CRU TS 4.05 and future data is from CMIP6) have been obtained from WorldClim v2.1. Distinctive techniques tallying relationship, relapse, standard deviation, relationship system, percentiles, cell bits of knowledge, and IDW presentation were performed to analyze the designs, changeability and spatial plans of temperature and precipitation. This think around revealed that Over the irrefutable consider period (1901-2020) Bangladesh has been experienced a vital warming drift with an normal increase in temperature 2 °C and with annually decay of the in general precipitation 607.26 mm adjacent to a move towards drier conditions in show disdain toward of frail relationship with more smoking a long time. Projected climate models talks to that Bangladesh slightest temperature is expected to expand from 1 °C to 4.4 °C as well as most extreme temperatures from 1 °C to 4.1 °C by 2100. In expansion, anticipated precipitation is expected to amplify by 480.38 mm, with the most prominent rises amid storm months. Regional assortments in temperature and precipitation are once more expected, with the Southeast (SE) likely experiencing the first vital warming and the Northeast (NE) seeing the preeminent critical increase in precipitation. In this study highlights the significant impacts of climate change on vulnerable communities in Bangladesh's southwestern coastal region, emphasizing the need for targeted adaptation strategies, local knowledge integration, and proactive national and global level policies to address and manage climate-related challenges.},
}
@article {pmid40048518,
year = {2025},
author = {Aguirre-Gutiérrez, J and Díaz, S and Rifai, SW and Corral-Rivas, JJ and Nava-Miranda, MG and González-M, R and Hurtado-M, AB and Revilla, NS and Vilanova, E and Almeida, E and de Oliveira, EA and Alvarez-Davila, E and Alves, LF and de Andrade, ACS and Lola da Costa, AC and Vieira, SA and Aragão, L and Arets, E and Aymard C, GA and Baccaro, F and Bakker, YV and Baker, TR and Bánki, O and Baraloto, C and de Camargo, PB and Berenguer, E and Blanc, L and Bonal, D and Bongers, F and Bordin, KM and Brienen, R and Brown, F and Prestes, NCCS and Castilho, CV and Ribeiro, SC and de Souza, FC and Comiskey, JA and Valverde, FC and Müller, SC and da Costa Silva, R and do Vale, JD and de Andrade Kamimura, V and de Oliveira Perdiz, R and Del Aguila Pasquel, J and Derroire, G and Di Fiore, A and Disney, M and Farfan-Rios, W and Fauset, S and Feldpausch, TR and Ramos, RF and Llampazo, GF and Martins, VF and Fortunel, C and Cabrera, KG and Barroso, JG and Hérault, B and Herrera, R and Honorio Coronado, EN and Huamantupa-Chuquimaco, I and Pipoly, JJ and Zanini, KJ and Jiménez, E and Joly, CA and Kalamandeen, M and Klipel, J and Levesley, A and Oviedo, WL and Magnusson, WE and Dos Santos, RM and Marimon, BS and Marimon-Junior, BH and de Almeida Reis, SM and Melo Cruz, OA and Mendoza, AM and Morandi, P and Muscarella, R and Nascimento, H and Neill, DA and Menor, IO and Palacios, WA and Palacios-Ramos, S and Pallqui Camacho, NC and Pardo, G and Pennington, RT and de Oliveira Pereira, L and Pickavance, G and Picolotto, RC and Pitman, NCA and Prieto, A and Quesada, C and Ramírez-Angulo, H and Réjou-Méchain, M and Correa, ZR and Reyna Huaymacari, JM and Rodriguez, CR and Rivas-Torres, G and Roopsind, A and Rudas, A and Salgado Negret, B and van der Sande, MT and Santana, FD and Maës Santos, FA and Bergamin, RS and Silman, MR and Silva, C and Espejo, JS and Silveira, M and Souza, FC and Sullivan, MJP and Swamy, V and Talbot, J and Terborgh, JJ and van der Meer, PJ and van der Heijden, G and van Ulft, B and Martinez, RV and Vedovato, L and Vleminckx, J and Vos, VA and Wortel, V and Zuidema, PA and Zwerts, JA and Laurance, SGW and Laurance, WF and Chave, J and Dalling, JW and Barlow, J and Poorter, L and Enquist, BJ and Ter Steege, H and Phillips, OL and Galbraith, D and Malhi, Y},
title = {Tropical forests in the Americas are changing too slowly to track climate change.},
journal = {Science (New York, N.Y.)},
volume = {387},
number = {6738},
pages = {eadl5414},
doi = {10.1126/science.adl5414},
pmid = {40048518},
issn = {1095-9203},
mesh = {*Climate Change ; *Tropical Climate ; *Forests ; *Biodiversity ; Trees ; Americas ; },
abstract = {Understanding the capacity of forests to adapt to climate change is of pivotal importance for conservation science, yet this is still widely unknown. This knowledge gap is particularly acute in high-biodiversity tropical forests. Here, we examined how tropical forests of the Americas have shifted community trait composition in recent decades as a response to changes in climate. Based on historical trait-climate relationships, we found that, overall, the studied functional traits show shifts of less than 8% of what would be expected given the observed changes in climate. However, the recruit assemblage shows shifts of 21% relative to climate change expectation. The most diverse forests on Earth are changing in functional trait composition but at a rate that is fundamentally insufficient to track climate change.},
}
@article {pmid40044953,
year = {2025},
author = {Kargbo, A and Dafka, S and Osman, AM and Koua, HK and Vieira, RFC and Rocklöv, J},
title = {Impact of climate change and variability on the occurrence and distribution of Trypanosoma vectors in The Gambia.},
journal = {Parasitology research},
volume = {124},
number = {3},
pages = {29},
pmid = {40044953},
issn = {1432-1955},
support = {002019//West African Service Centre of Climate Change and Adapted Land-Use Scholarship program funded by the German Federal Ministry for Education and Research, WASCAL-Graduate Research Program in Climate Change/ ; },
mesh = {Animals ; Gambia/epidemiology ; *Climate Change ; *Humidity ; *Temperature ; Insect Vectors/parasitology/physiology/classification ; Trypanosoma/classification ; Tsetse Flies/parasitology/physiology ; },
abstract = {Extreme weather events can lead to infectious disease outbreaks, especially those spread by hematophagous flies, and The Gambia is particularly vulnerable to climate change. To the best of our knowledge, no one has ever documented the relationship between climate variability and change and the distribution of the hematophagous flies belonging to the families Glossinidae, Tabanidae, and Stomoxyinae. This paper aims to study the association of temperature and humidity on the distribution of the above species and their families in The Gambia in the recent past and to provide predictions of species abundance and occurrence in the future. A line transect survey was carried out in all the administrative regions of The Gambia to study the prevalence of the flies. Generalized additive models were used to analyze the relationships between the distribution of the insects and their families and the variability in climate conditions in the recent past and in three different future periods. Regarding the recent past, our results show that temperature has significantly impacted the presence of Glossinidae and Tabanidae species, with maximum temperature being the most important factor. Relative humidity was also statistically significantly associated with Tabanidae species. None of the climate variables was found to be associated with the Tabanus par and Tabanus sufis. Minimum temperature and relative humidity were statistically significantly associated with Glossina morsitan submorsitan, while maximum temperature was statistically significantly associated with Atylotus agrestis and Stomoxys calcitrans. Only relative humidity was statistically significantly associated with the Glossina palpalis gambiense. As for the future projections, the results show that rising temperatures impacted the distribution of Tabanus species, Glossina species, and Stomoxys calcitrans in The Gambia. The distribution of Trypanosoma vectors in The Gambia is mostly influenced by maximum temperature. The research's conclusions gave climate and public health policymakers crucial information to take into account.},
}
@article {pmid40044855,
year = {2025},
author = {Pottier, P and Kearney, MR and Wu, NC and Gunderson, AR and Rej, JE and Rivera-Villanueva, AN and Pollo, P and Burke, S and Drobniak, SM and Nakagawa, S},
title = {Vulnerability of amphibians to global warming.},
journal = {Nature},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
pmid = {40044855},
issn = {1476-4687},
abstract = {Amphibians are the most threatened vertebrates, yet their resilience to rising temperatures remains poorly understood[1,2]. This is primarily because knowledge of thermal tolerance is taxonomically and geographically biased[3], compromising global climate vulnerability assessments. Here we used a phylogenetically informed data-imputation approach to predict the heat tolerance of 60% of amphibian species and assessed their vulnerability to daily temperature variations in thermal refugia. We found that 104 out of 5,203 species (2%) are currently exposed to overheating events in shaded terrestrial conditions. Despite accounting for heat-tolerance plasticity, a 4 °C global temperature increase would create a step change in impact severity, pushing 7.5% of species beyond their physiological limits. In the Southern Hemisphere, tropical species encounter disproportionally more overheating events, while non-tropical species are more susceptible in the Northern Hemisphere. These findings challenge evidence for a general latitudinal gradient in overheating risk[4-6] and underscore the importance of considering climatic variability in vulnerability assessments. We provide conservative estimates assuming access to cool shaded microenvironments. Thus, the impacts of global warming will probably exceed our projections. Our microclimate-explicit analyses demonstrate that vegetation and water bodies are critical in buffering amphibians during heat waves. Immediate action is needed to preserve and manage these microhabitat features.},
}
@article {pmid40043656,
year = {2025},
author = {Marroquin, I and Oh, H and Ghosh, T and Hu, Z and Salehi, S and Nygaard, R},
title = {Dynamic life cycle assessment for evaluating the global warming potential of geothermal energy production using inactive oil and gas wells for district heating in Tuttle, Oklahoma.},
journal = {The Science of the total environment},
volume = {970},
number = {},
pages = {178932},
doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2025.178932},
pmid = {40043656},
issn = {1879-1026},
abstract = {Repurposing abandoned oil and gas infrastructure for geothermal energy production has great potential to reduce greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions. This study quantified the life cycle global warming potential of geothermal energy production using four inactive oil and gas wells repurposed for district heating in Tuttle, Oklahoma. A cradle-to-grave prospective life cycle assessment was performed to compare GHG emissions between the geothermal district heating system and conventional natural gas-fired heating system from 2020 to 2050. For initial implementation of the geothermal system, we investigated two approaches: 1) repurposing abandoned infrastructure from a nearby oil and gas well site, and 2) production and injection well drillings including new construction of a central heat exchange station. Environmental impacts from the geothermal system were estimated for five scenarios where a natural gas peaking boiler is incorporated to supply peak heat demand. The prospective results indicated that cumulative reduction in GHG emissions from transitioning to the geothermal district heating system increase over time as a function of future renewable resource penetration and technological advancements within electricity, fuel, and steel production. Over 30 years, the global warming potential associated with the district heating demand will have been reduced by up to 24 % with the repurposed system. These results imply that repurposing existing oil and gas infrastructure for geothermal energy systems of district heating will bring future climate benefits.},
}
@article {pmid40043580,
year = {2025},
author = {Li, Y and Liu, Y and Yu, S and Xing, B and Xu, X and Yu, H and Wang, L and Wang, D and Liu, C and Yu, D},
title = {Vigilance against climate change-induced regime shifts for phosphorus restoration in shallow lake ecosystems.},
journal = {Water research},
volume = {278},
number = {},
pages = {123397},
doi = {10.1016/j.watres.2025.123397},
pmid = {40043580},
issn = {1879-2448},
abstract = {The dual pressure of anthropogenic activities and frequent extreme weather events has triggered a transition from macrophyte to algal dominance in shallow lakes. Phosphorus (P) is the key driver of regime shifts that can lead to a decline in the stability and resilience of lake ecosystems. However, the mechanisms underlying such regime shifts, and the effects of state transitions on internal P loading during macrophyte restoration in large shallow eutrophic lakes, remain to be fully elucidated. This study utilised long-term in situ monitoring data, across three distinct lake states (bare ground, macrophyte-dominated stage, and algae-dominated stage) to elucidate the accumulation and release mechanisms of sedimentary P during regime shifts. The findings demonstrated that the rehabilitation of submerged plants efficiently reduced internal P loading (water column P, sediment P fractions, and P flux), while the persistence of algal blooms was driven by the reductive release of Fe-P from sediments and the dissolution of Al-P from suspended particulate matter. High temperature, low dissolved oxygen, and high pH largely modulate the pathways and mechanisms of P supply during regime shifts. The combined pressures of extreme weather (heavy rainfall, strong winds, and extreme heat) and trophic cascades from fish stocking can trigger a shift from macrophytes to algae in shallow lakes. Appropriate management of the structure and biomass of aquatic animal communities (e.g., small-bodied or omnibenthivorous fish) and optimization of the food web structure can effectively improve water quality and maintain ecosystem stability. These findings enrich the theoretical understanding of regime-shift mechanisms from an ecosystem perspective and offer novel insights into P remediation in large shallow eutrophic lakes.},
}
@article {pmid40043133,
year = {2025},
author = {Cai, Z and You, Q and Screen, JA and Chen, HW and Zhang, R and Zuo, Z and Chen, D and Cohen, J and Kang, S and Zhang, R},
title = {Lessened projections of Arctic warming and wetting after correcting for model errors in global warming and sea ice cover.},
journal = {Science advances},
volume = {11},
number = {10},
pages = {eadr6413},
pmid = {40043133},
issn = {2375-2548},
abstract = {Credible projections of Arctic warming and wetting (AWW) are essential for informed decision-making in a changing climate. However, current AWW projections from state-of-the-art climate models carry uncertainties. Using observational datasets and CMIP6 model simulations, we demonstrate that the observed historical global warming trend and the climatological mean pattern of Arctic sea ice can serve as effective constraints on AWW projections. Under SSP2-4.5, the constrained warming by the end of the century is reduced from 5.5° to 4.6°C. Similarly, the projected wetting decreases from 6.8 to 5.7 millimeter per month. The inter-model spread in warming and wetting is reduced by 25 and 15%, respectively. The reduction is the largest in the Barents-Kara seas, reducing warming by 1.2°C, lessening wetting by 1.7 millimeter per month, and decreasing the inter-model spread by one-third. Our findings suggest that unconstrained CMIP6 projections overestimate future AWW, particularly in the Barents-Kara seas, due to an overestimation of historical global warming and excessive sea ice in the models.},
}
@article {pmid40042412,
year = {2025},
author = {Hicks, LC and Leizeaga, A and Cruz Paredes, C and Brangarí, AC and Tájmel, D and Wondie, M and Sandén, H and Rousk, J},
title = {Simulated Climate Change Enhances Microbial Drought Resilience in Ethiopian Croplands but Not Forests.},
journal = {Global change biology},
volume = {31},
number = {3},
pages = {e70065},
pmid = {40042412},
issn = {1365-2486},
support = {2016-06327//Vetenskapsr&#xe5;det/ ; 2020-03858//Vetenskapsr&#xe5;det/ ; CTS 22:2131//Carl Tryggers Stiftelse f&#xf6;r Vetenskaplig Forskning/ ; 2022-00672//Svenska Forskningsr&#xe5;det Formas/ ; 2023-02438//Svenska Forskningsr&#xe5;det Formas/ ; KAW 2022.0175//Knut och Alice Wallenbergs Stiftelse/ ; KAW 2023.0384//Knut och Alice Wallenbergs Stiftelse/ ; },
mesh = {*Droughts ; Ethiopia ; *Climate Change ; *Soil Microbiology ; *Forests ; Soil/chemistry ; Fungi/physiology ; Bacteria ; Microbiota ; Crops, Agricultural/growth &amp; development ; Rain ; },
abstract = {Climate change and land-use change represent a dual threat to terrestrial ecosystem functioning. In the tropics, forest conversion to agriculture is occurring alongside warming and more pronounced periods of drought. Rainfall after drought induces enormous dynamics in microbial growth (potential soil carbon storage) and respiration (determining carbon loss), affecting the ecosystem carbon budget. We investigated how legacies of drought and warming affected microbial functional (growth and respiration) and structural (16S and ITS amplicon) responses after drought. Rain shelters and open-top chambers (OTCs) were used to simulate drought and warming in tropical cropland and forest sites in Ethiopia. Rain shelters reduced soil moisture by up to 25 vol%, with a bigger effect in the forest, while OTCs increased soil temperature by up to 6°C in the cropland and also reduced soil moisture but had no clear effect in the forest. Soils from these field treatments were then exposed to a standardized drought cycle to test how microbial community traits had been shaped by the different climate legacies. Microbial growth started increasing immediately after rewetting in all soils, reflecting a resilient response and indicating that microbial communities perceived the perturbation as relatively mild. Fungi recovered faster than bacteria, and the recovery of fungal growth was generally accelerated in soils with a legacy of drought. Microbial community functions and structures were both more responsive in the cropland than in forest soils, and a legacy of drought particularly enhanced microbial growth and respiration responses in the cropland but not the forest. Microbial communities in cropland soils also used carbon with a higher efficiency after rewetting. Together, these results suggest contrasting feedbacks to climate change determined by land use, where croplands will be associated with mitigated losses of soil carbon by microorganisms in response to future cycles of drought, compared to forests where soil carbon reservoirs remain more sensitive.},
}
@article {pmid40041730,
year = {2024},
author = {Sadeghi, MR and Ghannadi, P and Lotfi, A and Ashayeri, H},
title = {Climate change's impact on the nervous system: A review study.},
journal = {Health promotion perspectives},
volume = {14},
number = {4},
pages = {336-342},
pmid = {40041730},
issn = {2228-6497},
abstract = {BACKGROUND: Global warming is caused by increased carbon dioxide and other industrial gases, which shift the climate of human habitat and environment, impacting human health globally. In this review, we tried to overview the current knowledge of climate change's impact on neurological disease.<br><br>METHODS: A comprehensive search on PubMed, Web of Science (WOS), and Scopus was conducted to find the relevant original studies. Language, sex, age, date, or country of study were not restricted. Included studies report increased Alzheimer's disease mortality and hospital admission.<br><br>RESULTS: This increase was seen from the first day with high temperature to 3-4 days later. Parkinson's disease (PD) subjects were more vulnerable to high temperatures compared to dementia patients (RR for dementia: 1.29 and for PD: 1.41). Global warming was linked to the increase in the incidence of Tick-borne encephalitis (TBE) (from 0.1% to 5.4%), Japanese encephalitis (OR: 2 when floods occur), and ciguatera fish poisoning (CFP) (RR: 1.62 for each 1 [&#x25e6;]C increase per month).<br><br>CONCLUSION: Health-related consequences of climate change are inevitable. The burden of medical problems related to the elderly population (especially the elderly with dementia), infectious diseases, and CFP on the healthcare system will naturally increase. Studying global warming trends could empower us with more precise predictions of the future and better planning to face climate change-related challenges.},
}
@article {pmid40041161,
year = {2025},
author = {Romanovsky, AA},
title = {Global warming, Arctic exploration, and imprisonment of political opponents: Temperature is ubiquitous.},
journal = {Temperature (Austin, Tex.)},
volume = {12},
number = {1},
pages = {1-3},
pmid = {40041161},
issn = {2332-8940},
}
@article {pmid40040447,
year = {2025},
author = {Paintsil, E},
title = {Synchronicity of climate change and outbreaks of infectious diseases in children.},
journal = {Current opinion in pediatrics},
volume = {37},
number = {2},
pages = {113-115},
doi = {10.1097/MOP.0000000000001443},
pmid = {40040447},
issn = {1531-698X},
}
@article {pmid40039338,
year = {2024},
author = {Cala, F and Tarchi, P and Frassineti, L and Gursesli, MC and Guazzini, A and Lanata, A},
title = {Expectancy Violation: Climate Change Associations May Reveal Underlying Brain-Evoked Responses of Implicit Attitudes.},
journal = {Annual International Conference of the IEEE Engineering in Medicine and Biology Society. IEEE Engineering in Medicine and Biology Society. Annual International Conference},
volume = {2024},
number = {},
pages = {1-4},
doi = {10.1109/EMBC53108.2024.10781635},
pmid = {40039338},
issn = {2694-0604},
mesh = {Humans ; *Climate Change ; *Evoked Potentials/physiology ; Male ; *Electroencephalography ; Female ; *Brain/physiology ; Adult ; *Attitude ; Young Adult ; },
abstract = {The development of programs and campaigns to promote climate change awareness and actions should account for implicit attitudes to make them effective. Alongside behavioural measures, it is important to investigate and understand the neural mechanisms underlying unconscious beliefs, and opinions and how external factors can influence them. Therefore, this study administered a Single-Category Implicit Association Test to 22 healthy volunteers while acquiring EEG signals. After an automatic preprocessing pipeline was applied, 1000ms-long epochs were extracted from cleaned EEG data for target words only. Latencies and amplitudes were computed in specific brain regions and time intervals for the P1, N1, P2 (both occipital and frontal), P3, and N4 (both frontal and frontocentral) event-related potentials (ERPs). Statistical analysis has highlighted that incongruent associations elicited significantly shorter N1 latencies, which may be due to stimuli familiarisation, longer P3 latencies, which can be related to the allocation of more attentional resources, and larger N4 amplitudes, which suggest greater cognitive efforts. Correlation analysis has also found a significant relationship between the amplitude of the N4 and explicit behaviour. These results suggest that ERPs can highlight different mental processes involved in violating social expectations towards climate change and that their features may be used to support behavioural measures in assessing implicit attitudes more reliably.},
}
@article {pmid40038529,
year = {2025},
author = {Heikonen, S and Heino, M and Jalava, M and Siebert, S and Viviroli, D and Kummu, M},
title = {Climate change threatens crop diversity at low latitudes.},
journal = {Nature food},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
pmid = {40038529},
issn = {2662-1355},
support = {339834//Academy of Finland (Suomen Akatemia)/ ; 339834//Academy of Finland (Suomen Akatemia)/ ; 339834//Academy of Finland (Suomen Akatemia)/ ; 339834//Academy of Finland (Suomen Akatemia)/ ; 819202//EC | EU Framework Programme for Research and Innovation H2020 | H2020 Priority Excellent Science | H2020 European Research Council (H2020 Excellent Science - European Research Council)/ ; 819202//EC | EU Framework Programme for Research and Innovation H2020 | H2020 Priority Excellent Science | H2020 European Research Council (H2020 Excellent Science - European Research Council)/ ; 819202//EC | EU Framework Programme for Research and Innovation H2020 | H2020 Priority Excellent Science | H2020 European Research Council (H2020 Excellent Science - European Research Council)/ ; 450058266//Deutsche Forschungsgemeinschaft (German Research Foundation)/ ; 365512//Suomen Akatemia | Strategic Research Council (Strategisen Tutkimuksen Neuvosto)/ ; },
abstract = {Climate change alters the climatic suitability of croplands, likely shifting the spatial distribution and diversity of global food crop production. Analyses of future potential food crop diversity have been limited to a small number of crops. Here we project geographical shifts in the climatic niches of 30 major food crops under 1.5-4 °C global warming and assess their impact on current crop production and potential food crop diversity across global croplands. We found that in low-latitude regions, 10-31% of current production would shift outside the climatic niche even under 2 °C global warming, increasing to 20-48% under 3 °C warming. Concurrently, potential food crop diversity would decline on 52% (+2 °C) and 56% (+3 °C) of global cropland. However, potential diversity would increase in mid to high latitudes, offering opportunities for climate change adaptation. These results highlight substantial latitudinal differences in the adaptation potential and vulnerability of the global food system under global warming.},
}
@article {pmid40038383,
year = {2025},
author = {Kamel, BK and Abdelaziz, AY and Attia, MA and Khamees, AK},
title = {A novel approach to wind energy modeling in the context of climate change at Zaafrana region in Egypt.},
journal = {Scientific reports},
volume = {15},
number = {1},
pages = {7548},
pmid = {40038383},
issn = {2045-2322},
abstract = {Global warming, driven by the excessive emission of greenhouse gases from the combustion of fossil fuels, has emerged as a critical environmental challenge which is considered as a motivation for this research. Where, the switch to sustainable energy sources is crucial because of the pressing need to slow down climate change and lower carbon footprints. Of all the renewable energy sources, wind energy is particularly important as a means of reducing carbon emissions from the generation of electricity. With the increase in the penetration of renewable energy resources in electrical power systems, the stochastic behavior of the renewable energy resources has to be taken into account for better analysis in power systems. However, the stochastic behavior of the renewable energy is also affected by the environmental conditions. In this context, The main objective of this paper is to present a novel wind energy modeling that includes the effect of ambient temperature on the wind turbine capabilities. This effect is presented as the de-rating curve for wind turbine output power to respect the thermal capabilities of the electrical components of the wind turbine. That's why this novel model is developed to consider the effect of ambient temperature to represent the practical limitations of wind turbines which wasn't considered by previous literature although the temperature has a siginicant impact on the wind turbine output power. In this Paper, Gamesa G80 wind turbine is used to perform the numerical analysis of the proposed new model. Moreover, Exponential Distribution Optimizer (EDO), Aquila Optimizer (AO), and Equilibrium Optimizer (EO) algorithms are used to find various probability distribution functions (PDFs) parameters to model wind speed data from Zaafrana region in Egypt using Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) and Coefficient of Correlation (R^2) as judging criteria. In addition, real temperature data from the same site are used to validate the proposed model compared to the manufacturer's capabilities. The results show that mixed PDFs provide a better representation for the wind speed data. Moreover, the study demonstrates that ambient temperature cannot be neglected in wind power modeling, as the wind turbine output power varies significantly. Additionally, this work highlights the impact of climate change on the efficiency of renewable energy sources like the wind energy. The proposed wind energy model could be valuable to system operators as a decision-making aid when dealing with and analyzing complex power systems.},
}
@article {pmid40037784,
year = {2025},
author = {Abdel-Dayem, MS and Al Dhafer, HM and Soliman, AM and Al Ansi, AN and El-Sonbati, SA and Ishag, AAE and Mohamed, A and Soliman, M},
title = {Climate change and geographical distribution projections for major leaf beetles (Coleoptera: Chrysomelidae) in Saudi Arabia.},
journal = {Journal of economic entomology},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1093/jee/toaf046},
pmid = {40037784},
issn = {1938-291X},
support = {2-17-01-001-0013//MAARIFAH/ ; },
abstract = {Climate change has a substantial impact on the quality and diversity of insect pests, which may have adverse ecological and economic effects. The family Chrysomelidae represents one of the most economically and ecologically important groups within Coleoptera, with species acting as agricultural pests and contributing substantially to biodiversity in arid regions. Based on bioclimatic, topographic, and vegetation data, the current and future distributions of 4 chrysomelids (Caryedon acaciae (Gyllenhal, 1833), Chaetocnema pulla Chapuis, 1879, Phyllotreta cheiranthi Weise, 1903, and Spermophagus sericeus (Geoffroy, 1785)) in Saudi Arabia were predicted using MaxEnt modeling for 2050 under 2 Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs), SSP126 (low emission) and SSP585 (high emission) scenarios. The leaf beetle models showed strong performance, with average area under the curve (AUC) values ranging from 0.86 to 0.96 and average TSS values ranging from 0.52 to 0.65. Five predictors were chosen for each species from 21 environmental variables. The results show that the key ecological factors that influence species distributions varied, with vegetation being the most influential. According to habitat suitability maps, in the future, such distribution will be severely altered, mostly by climate change. More precisely, C. acaciae will face minor range shifts, while C. pulla, P. cheiranthi, and S. sericeus will expand their ranges substantially, especially in the Eastern Province. Our results confirm the importance of implementing adaptive pest-management strategies to address the potential range expansions of various agricultural pests, which could intensify local ecological challenges and pose a heightened threat to agricultural systems.},
}
@article {pmid40037476,
year = {2025},
author = {Sripa, B and Yurlova, N and Suwannatrai, AT and Serbina, E and Tangkawattana, S and Sayasone, S and Varnakovida, P},
title = {Potential impact of climate change on Opisthorchis viverrini and Opisthorchis felineus transmission in Eurasia.},
journal = {Acta tropica},
volume = {263},
number = {},
pages = {107574},
doi = {10.1016/j.actatropica.2025.107574},
pmid = {40037476},
issn = {1873-6254},
abstract = {Human liver flukes of the family Opisthorchiidae, particularly Opisthorchis viverrini and Opisthorchis felineus, are major foodborne trematode parasites endemic to the Lower Mekong River Basin (Southeast Asia) and the Ob-Irtysh Basins (southern Western Siberia, Russian Federation), respectively. Together, these parasites infect over 14 million people, with an estimated 300 million at risk. Their transmission cycles involve Bithynia snails and Cyprinidae fish as first and second intermediate hosts, respectively, with humans and other fish-eating mammals serving as definitive hosts. The geographical distribution of these flukes is shaped by specific Bithynia species: B. siamensis, B. s. goniomphalos, and B. funiculata for O. viverrini, and B. troschelii, B. leachi, and B. inflata for O. felineus. Climate change directly influences liver fluke transmission by affecting parasite survival, host biology, and environmental conditions. Bithynia snails are highly temperature-sensitive, and O. viverrini transmission is notably temperature-dependent, with a 1 °C increase raising infection odds by 5.4 %. Temperatures exceeding 30 °C reduce cercarial survival and infectivity. In Western Siberia, favorable water temperatures for O. felineus transmission start at +15 °C, with higher temperatures leading to an increased infection rate in snails while permafrost regions lack Bithynia snails entirely. Projections from the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) indicate that warming will exceed the global average in northern Asia (affecting O. felineus) and approach the global average in Southeast Asia (impacting O. viverrini). These trends suggest that climate change may have a more pronounced impact on O. felineus transmission in Siberia than on O. viverrini transmission in Southeast Asia. This review provides an in-depth discussion of Bithynia biology and the effects of temperature on snail growth, cercarial release, survival, infection, and aestivation, emphasizing how global warming could influence the transmission dynamics of these liver flukes.},
}
@article {pmid40037109,
year = {2025},
author = {Feng, F and Du, F and Li, Q and Zhang, L and Yu, X and Liu, C},
title = {Understanding the ternary interaction of crop plants, fungal pathogens, and rhizobacteria in response to global warming.},
journal = {Microbiological research},
volume = {296},
number = {},
pages = {128113},
doi = {10.1016/j.micres.2025.128113},
pmid = {40037109},
issn = {1618-0623},
abstract = {Climate change is altering the equilibrium of the Earth's biosphere, imposing unpredictable survival dynamics on terrestrial organisms. This includes the intricate interactions between fungal pathogens and crop plants, which are pivotal for global food security. Rising temperatures are expected to exacerbate the prevalence of crop-pathogenic fungi worldwide, yet research on how crops respond to this imminent threat remains limited. Here, we identified predominant potential pathogens and antagonistic bacteria in vegetable fields in Shandong Province, China, revealing the near-ubiquitous presence of Fusarium oxysporum and Bacillus species in sampled soils of cucumber, tomato, chili, and ginger. Through simulated warming experiments within a temperature range of 20-40 °C and an experimental period of 3 days, we investigated the ternary interaction among vegetables and isolated F. oxysporum strain 05, and Bacillus sp. strain 31. Elevated temperatures enhanced F. oxysporum biomass and virulence, yet also stimulated vegetables to allocate more nutrients via root exudates. This enriched rhizospheric antagonistic Bacillus populations, it also boosted the expression of antifungal lipopeptide biosynthetic genes (bamb and ItuA) and auxin production in Bacillus sp. strain 31. This enrichment promoted plant growth and maintained a relatively stable level of pathogenic fungi. Our study unveiled a nuanced and complex interplay among crop plants, fungal pathogens, and rhizobacteria, that could inform future agricultural practices, and advance our understanding of crop survival strategies to bolster crop resilience and safeguard global food security under ongoing climate change.},
}
@article {pmid40036180,
year = {2025},
author = {Li, C and Wang, C and Yang, X and Wang, D and Wang, F},
title = {Modeling the potential global distribution of the invasive Jack Beardsley mealybug (Hemiptera: Pseudococcidae) under climate change.},
journal = {Journal of economic entomology},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1093/jee/toaf029},
pmid = {40036180},
issn = {1938-291X},
support = {BJ2020052//Science and Technology Project of Hebei Education Department/ ; },
abstract = {The Jack Beardsley mealybug, Pseudococcus jackbeardsleyi Gimpel &amp; Miller (Hemiptera: Pseudococcidae), is a dangerous invasive pest that feeds on plants more than 115 genera from 54 families, and has spread over 59 countries or regions, often causing direct and indirect damage to host plants, and resulting in significant economic losses. In this study, we assessed the potential global distribution of P. jackbeardsleyi using a Maximum Entropy (MaxEnt) model under current and future climate scenarios. Here, we obtained prediction models with high credibility and accuracy, which showed that isothermality (Bio 3) and annual precipitation (Bio 12) were the environmental variables with the largest contribution on the potential distribution of this pest. The potential distribution areas predicted by this study were mainly located in South America, Central Africa, the southern regions of Asia and the eastern coast of Australia. Under future climate scenarios, the total geographical distribution of this pest will contract to varying degrees by the end of this century, but the highly suitable areas will increase. This study provides a reference for the development of control strategies, but also offers a scientific basis for the effective biological control of this pest.},
}
@article {pmid40035376,
year = {2025},
author = {Alibudbud, RC and Aruta, JJBR and Sison, KA and Guinto, RR},
title = {Artificial intelligence in the era of planetary health: insights on its application for the climate change-mental health nexus in the Philippines.},
journal = {International review of psychiatry (Abingdon, England)},
volume = {37},
number = {1},
pages = {21-32},
doi = {10.1080/09540261.2024.2363373},
pmid = {40035376},
issn = {1369-1627},
mesh = {Humans ; *Artificial Intelligence ; Philippines ; *Climate Change ; *Mental Health Services/organization &amp; administration ; *Mental Health ; },
abstract = {This review explores the transformative potential of Artificial Intelligence (AI) in the light of evolving threats to planetary health, particularly the dangers posed by the climate crisis and its emerging mental health impacts, in the context of a climate-vulnerable country such as the Philippines. This paper describes the country's mental health system, outlines the chronic systemic challenges that it faces, and discusses the intensifying and widening impacts of climate change on mental health. Integrated mental healthcare must be part of the climate adaptation response, particularly for vulnerable populations. AI holds promise for mental healthcare in the Philippines, and be a tool that can potentially aid in addressing the shortage of mental health professionals, improve service accessibility, and provide direct services in climate-affected communities. However, the incorporation of AI into mental healthcare also presents significant challenges, such as potentially worsening the existing mental health inequities due to unequal access to resources and technologies, data privacy concerns, and potential AI algorithm biases. It is crucial to approach AI integration with ethical consideration and responsible implementation to harness its benefits, mitigate potential risks, and ensure inclusivity in mental healthcare delivery, especially in the era of a warming planet.},
}
@article {pmid40034780,
year = {2025},
author = {Saunders, MJ and Boccia, D and Khan, PY and Goscè, L and Gasparrini, A and Clark, RA and Pescarini, JM and White, RG and Houben, RM and Zignol, M and Gebreselassie, N and Finn McQuaid, C},
title = {Climate change and tuberculosis: an analytical framework.},
journal = {medRxiv : the preprint server for health sciences},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1101/2025.02.18.25322451},
pmid = {40034780},
abstract = {Climate change is likely to exacerbate a range of determinants which drive tuberculosis, the world's leading infectious disease killer. However, tuberculosis is often neglected in wider climate health discussions. Commissioned by the World Health Organization, we developed an analytical framework outlining potential causal relationships between climate change and tuberculosis. We drew on existing knowledge of tuberculosis determinants, identified which are likely to be sensitive to the effects of climate change, and conceptualised the mechanistic pathways through which this might occur. We collated evidence for these pathways through literature reviews. Our reviews found no studies directly linking climate change and tuberculosis, warranting research to build evidence for action. The available evidence supports the existence of plausible links between climate change and tuberculosis, and highlights the need to include tuberculosis in climate risk adaptation and mitigation programmes, and climate-resilient funding and response mechanisms. Further evidence is urgently needed to quantify the effects of climate change on tuberculosis.},
}
@article {pmid40034663,
year = {2025},
author = {Ames-Martínez, FN and Capcha Romero, I and Guerra, A and Inga Guillen, JG and Quispe-Melgar, HR and Galeano, E and Rodríguez-Ramírez, EC},
title = {Climate change and tree cover loss affect the habitat suitability of Cedrela angustifolia: evaluating climate vulnerability and conservation in Andean montane forests.},
journal = {PeerJ},
volume = {13},
number = {},
pages = {e18799},
pmid = {40034663},
issn = {2167-8359},
mesh = {*Climate Change ; *Conservation of Natural Resources ; *Cedrela ; *Ecosystem ; *Forests ; South America ; Trees/growth &amp; development ; Endangered Species ; },
abstract = {BACKGROUND: Because of illegal logging, habitat fragmentation, and high value timber Andean montane forest Cedrela species (such as Cedrela angustifolia), is endangered in Central and South America. Studying the effects of climate change and tree cover loss on the distribution of C. angustifolia will help us to understand the climatic and ecological sensitivity of this species and suggest conservation and restoration strategies.<br><br>METHODS: Using ecological niche modeling with two algorithms (maximum entropy (MaxEnt) and Random Forest) under the ecological niche conservatism approach, we generated 16,920 models with different combinations of variables and parameters. We identified suitable areas for C. angustifolia trees under present and future climate scenarios (2040, 2070, and 2100 with SSP 3-7.0 and SSP 5-8.5), tree cover loss, and variables linked to soil and topography.<br><br>RESULTS: Our results demonstrated 10 environmental variables with high percentage contributions and permutation importance; for example, precipitation seasonality exhibited the highest contribution to the current and future distribution of Cedrela angustifolia. The potential present distribution was estimated as 13,080 km[2]with tree cover loss and 16,148.5 km[2]without tree cover loss. From 2040 to 2100 the species distribution will decrease (from 22.16% to 36.88% with tree cover loss variation). The results indicated that Bolivia displayed higher habitat suitability than Ecuador, Peru, and Argentina. Finally, we recommend developing conservation management strategies that consider both protected and unprotected areas as well as the impact of land-use changes to improve the persistence of C. angustifolia in the future.},
}
@article {pmid40034425,
year = {2025},
author = {Liu, Y and Shi, X and Du, H and Jiang, M and Li, F and Wang, J and Zhang, X},
title = {Spatiotemporal Distribution of Wine Grape Under Climate Change in Northwestern China.},
journal = {Ecology and evolution},
volume = {15},
number = {3},
pages = {e70826},
pmid = {40034425},
issn = {2045-7758},
abstract = {The favorable terroir of China's northwest region provides an ideal environment for the cultivation and thriving growth of grapes. However, climate change threatens to alter the optimal grape-growing regions, presenting considerable challenges to the local wine making industry. To enhance the utilization of regional climate resources and refine the wine grape industry's spatial distribution, this study assessed the performance of nine climate models from the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (CMIP6) in Northwestern China, simulated the future spatiotemporal distribution of wine grape. Results showed that EC-Earth3 performed well in simulating temperature, precipitation, and interannual changes. Under the historical periods (1980-2014), the highly suitable areas for wine grapes were predominantly found in the eastern foothills of Helan Mountain in Ningxia, along the Yellow River in Wuhai and Linhe of Inner Mongolia, along the Qilian Mountains in Wuwei, Zhangye and Jiayuguan of Gansu, and along rivers and oases in the northern foothills of Tianshan Mountains, Ili River Valley, Tuha Basin, Yanqi Basin, Aksu, Muzart, and Kashgar of Xinjiang. Compared with historical periods, the highly and moderately suitable areas were expected to expand under SSP245 and SSP585. Nevertheless, the overall pattern of spatial distribution was not anticipated to experience substantial alterations. In the next 50 years (2055-2085), the suitable areas under SSP245 scenario would be higher than SSP585. Precipitation from July to September (pr79), soil pH (ph), elevation (dem), and near-surface air temperature in January (tas1) were the main factors affecting the suitable areas of wine grapes. Further analysis revealed that a certain level of the near-surface air temperature in January (tas1) contributed positively to the expansion of suitable areas. However, excessively high average temperatures in January and July tended to have a detrimental effect. A rise in winter temperature can foster a more favorable environment for wine grapes to overwinter. However, frequent summer heat waves and high winter temperatures caused by climate warming may have adverse effects.},
}
@article {pmid40034296,
year = {2025},
author = {Henri Aurélien, AB},
title = {Vulnerability to climate change in sub-Saharan Africa countries. Does international trade matter?.},
journal = {Heliyon},
volume = {11},
number = {4},
pages = {e42517},
pmid = {40034296},
issn = {2405-8440},
abstract = {In a global context of climate vulnerability, characterized by populations' exposure to extreme temperatures, floods, and droughts, we highlight the role of international trade in Sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) countries resilience to climate shocks. Therefore, this paper examines the direct and indirect role of international trade in climate change vulnerability using a country-time fixed effects model and a panel of 39 sub-Saharan African countries over the period 2000 to 2021. The results obtained using the Two-Way Fixed Effects (TWFE) method indicate that international trade, as a vector of wealth creation, directly reduces climate change vulnerability in SSA. We also find that international trade reduces climate change vulnerability through the channels of GDP, water availability, renewable energy and ICT. However, we show that food insecurity reduces the effect of international trade on climate change vulnerability. We recommend: intensifying trade practices to generate wealth, especially trade in environmental goods and services that allow for measuring, preventing, limiting, and reducing environmental damages. We also propose the implementation of government strategies to prepare for climate change, such as environmental policies. From the above, we have given this study implications not only in scientific terms but also in terms of commercial practice by the state and companies.},
}
@article {pmid40033115,
year = {2025},
author = {},
title = {Net increase in temperature-related deaths under climate change in Europe.},
journal = {Nature medicine},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
pmid = {40033115},
issn = {1546-170X},
}
@article {pmid40029887,
year = {2025},
author = {Kim, DJ and Han, NY and Choi, MN and Jang, MJ and Shin, MS and Seo, CW and Lee, DH and Kwon, YS},
title = {Assessment of climate change impact on landscape tree distribution and sustainability in South Korea using MaxEnt-based modeling.},
journal = {PloS one},
volume = {20},
number = {3},
pages = {e0316393},
pmid = {40029887},
issn = {1932-6203},
mesh = {*Climate Change ; Republic of Korea ; *Trees/growth &amp; development ; Conservation of Natural Resources/methods ; Betula ; Models, Theoretical ; Taxus ; Ecosystem ; },
abstract = {The rapidly changing climate is impacting species globally at an unprecedented rate, including humans. Consequently, extensive research is being conducted on the impacts of climate change on indigenous and vulnerable species. However, landscape trees, which are cultivated and managed by humans, receive less attention despite their significant role in urban environments. Landscape tree also have specific climatic ranges and environmental requirements, making them susceptible to climate change. In this study, we predicted the future sustainability of three native landscape trees (Stewartia koreana, Betula ermanii, and Taxus cuspidata) using maximum entropy (MaxEnt) models under SSP2-4.5 and SSP5-8.5 climate scenarios. A time-series analysis of suitability was conducted, and the resulting maps were overlaid to classify regions of suitability. The findings indicate a general northward shift in climate suitability and a potential reduction in long-term suitable areas for all three species. Under the SSP2-4.5 scenario, potential suitable area for S. koreana increased, while those for B. ermanii, T. cuspidata decreased by the 2090s. Under the SSP5-8.5 scenario, suitable areas for S. koreana, B. ermanii, T. cuspidata decreased by 33.6%, 98.9%, and 90.1%, respectively. The climate suitability classification ("Sustainable suitability", "Risk", "Inflow", "Lost", and "Variable" regions) effectively identified areas of sustainability and risk, as well as regions requiring management. A notable decline in "Sustainable suitability" regions, which remained suitable from the present to the 2090s, was observed under the SSP5-8.5 scenario relative to SSP2-4.5. The methods utilized in this study offer valuable insights for future landscape planning and conservation. This research underscores the need for adaptive strategies to mitigate potential economic and ecological impacts of climate change by utilizing species distribution models for sustainable landscape planning and tree conservation.},
}
@article {pmid40029469,
year = {2025},
author = {Naderi, M},
title = {Projections of major climate change indicators over Iran from 2021 to 2080.},
journal = {Environmental science and pollution research international},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
pmid = {40029469},
issn = {1614-7499},
support = {No Number//Institute for Advanced Studies in Basic Sciences/ ; },
abstract = {This study addresses the impact of climate change (2021-2080) on the seasonal distribution of rainfall, temperature, and season lengths over Iran under three Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs) of the low (SSP1-1.9), moderate (SSP2-4.5), and high (SSP5-8.5) levels of global warming, based on the 29 model ensemble of the Coupled Model Inter-comparison Project Phase 6 (CMIP6). Results reveal that spring and autumn lengths are ~ 90 days during the baseline period (1980-2014), while summer (~ 97 days) is longer than winter (~ 87 days) by 10 days. However, global warming will result in longer summer and winter and shorter spring and autumn seasons in the future. The temperature will increase during all four seasons of spring and autumn (1.5-2.7 ∘ C), winter (1.1-2.2 ∘ C), and summer (2.0-3.2 ∘ C) consistently with the level of global warming scenarios. Meanwhile, minimum and maximum temperature enhancement will occur during winter and summer, respectively, under a given climate change scenario. Rainfall over Iran will increase during all seasons (6-36%) under SSP1-1.9 but will reduce under warmer scenarios SSP2-4.5 (12-24%) and SSP5-8.5 (8-24%). The contributions of the spring, summer, autumn, and winter seasons to the annual rainfall are 32%, 5%, 20%, and 43%, respectively, implying winter and spring as wet seasons during the baseline period. However, climate change may shift the wet season from winter to spring or autumn, depending on the station and SSP, under climate change. Water managers and policymakers need to consider the highlighted issues for future sustainable management in Iran.},
}
@article {pmid40028955,
year = {2025},
author = {Piarroux, R and Piarroux, M and Rebaudet, S},
title = {[Global cholera upsurge: Global warming and what else?].},
journal = {Medecine sciences : M/S},
volume = {41},
number = {2},
pages = {166-172},
doi = {10.1051/medsci/2025013},
pmid = {40028955},
issn = {1958-5381},
}
@article {pmid40028951,
year = {2025},
author = {Dupuis, B and Brézillon-Dubus, L and Failloux, AB},
title = {[The effects of climate change on the emergence of dengue].},
journal = {Medecine sciences : M/S},
volume = {41},
number = {2},
pages = {137-144},
doi = {10.1051/medsci/2025009},
pmid = {40028951},
issn = {1958-5381},
mesh = {*Dengue/epidemiology/transmission ; *Climate Change ; Humans ; Animals ; Mosquito Vectors/virology ; Communicable Diseases, Emerging/epidemiology/transmission/virology ; Aedes/virology/physiology ; Dengue Virus/physiology ; Mosquito Control/methods ; },
abstract = {In recent decades, dengue has become a global issue due to its rapid spread and significant public health impact. Climate change is recognized as a key factor in the geographical spread of dengue and its vectors. Climate change affects dengue transmission through changes in temperature and precipitation, which affect both vectors and arboviruses. Climate change can also disrupt human migration patterns facilitating the spread of the virus and the invasion of vectors into new regions. Understanding the impact of climate change on dengue and its vectors is essential for developing strategies to prevent and control the disease. Appropriate mosquito control strategies, enhanced epidemiological surveillance and tailored public health systems are needed to mitigate the increasing burden of dengue in the context of climate change.},
}
@article {pmid40027413,
year = {2025},
author = {Deng, R and Xiao, K and Chen, X and Huang, B and Li, H and Wu, L and Ning, H and Chen, H},
title = {Impact of Climate Change on the Narrow Endemic Herb Psilopeganum sinense (Rutaceae) in China.},
journal = {Ecology and evolution},
volume = {15},
number = {3},
pages = {e71042},
pmid = {40027413},
issn = {2045-7758},
abstract = {Psilopeganum sinense is a perennial herb endemic to the Three Gorges Reservoir Area (TGRA) of the Yangtze River and its surrounding regions. This species is crucial for ecological conservation and regional socioeconomic development. Recent extreme weather events in the TGRA have directly and indirectly caused local losses of numerous wild populations of P. sinense. Given the severe survival crisis induced by climate change, it is essential to explore the effects of climate change on the potential distribution of P. sinense. Although there is a general awareness of the adverse effects of climate change on various species, there is a lack of comprehensive studies focusing on the long-term effects and detailed climatic variables influencing the distribution of P. sinense. In this study, we aimed to use the random forest (RF) algorithm to analyze the redistribution of P. sinense across several critical climatic periods. The results indicated that the main variables limiting the present geographical distribution of P. sinense were precipitation seasonality and the mean diurnal range. Currently, P. sinense is mainly distributed in the riparian zone of the TGRA and its surrounding areas, exhibiting a relatively narrow climatic niche and habitat fragmentation pattern. Historically, distributions under past climatic conditions were relatively intact and more extensive than the current distribution area. During the last interglacial period, a broad distribution of highly suitable areas was observed in eastern Sichuan Province, northern Chongqing, and central Hubei Province, exhibiting a continuous distribution pattern. Future climate scenarios indicated a projected 32.84% decrease in suitable areas under RCP4.5-2050s. In northern Chongqing, the ecological corridors established in highly suitable habitats would fragment and gradually separate. Some previously unsuitable areas for P. sinense could transform into potentially suitable habitats because of climate change; however, these suitable areas might exhibit fragmented and discrete distribution patterns. In general, both the shrinkage of suitable habitats and habitat fragmentation would compress the already limited survival space of P. sinense, leading some populations to prematurely confront critical survival decisions under severe climate pressures. Our results not only provide a scientific basis for managing P. sinense resources in the context of climate change but also serve as an important reference for restoring wild P. sinense populations.},
}
@article {pmid40026640,
year = {2025},
author = {Rahman, MS and Anika, AA and Raka, RA and Muratovic, AK},
title = {Impact of Climate Change on Emerging Infectious Diseases and Human Physical and Mental Health in Bangladesh.},
journal = {Health care science},
volume = {4},
number = {1},
pages = {62-65},
pmid = {40026640},
issn = {2771-1757},
abstract = {This study aims to give possible solutions to the impact of climate change on the nation's physical and mental health and emerging infectious diseases. Improving Bangladesh's healthcare, response, and data collection systems is a public health emergency.},
}
@article {pmid40026276,
year = {2025},
author = {Lin, X and Hu, W and Hii, KS and Xiao, W and Tan, H and Ma, L and Mohamed, HF and Cai, R and Kang, J and Luo, Z},
title = {Climate Change Drives Long-Term Spatiotemporal Shifts in Red Noctiluca scintillans Blooms Along China's Coast.},
journal = {Molecular ecology},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {e17709},
doi = {10.1111/mec.17709},
pmid = {40026276},
issn = {1365-294X},
support = {2022J06029//Natural Science Foundation of Fujian Province/ ; 42276219//National Natural Science Foundation of China/ ; },
abstract = {Climate change has significantly altered the spatiotemporal distribution and phenology of marine organisms, yet the long-term trends and mechanisms driving these changes remain insufficiently understood. In this study, we analysed historical Noctiluca scintillans bloom data from coastal China (1933, 1952, 1981-2023), sea surface temperature (SST) records from the past 40 years, and 509 field samples using Single Molecule Real-Time (SMRT) sequencing (2019-2024). Our results indicate that SST is the primary driver of N. scintillans blooms, exhibiting a nonlinear unimodal correlation. Long-term SST warming has caused a northward shift in bloom locations, aligning with the 21.9°C-22.7°C isotherms, as reflected by the increasing average latitudes of bloom occurrences. Over the past 4 decades, bloom frequency and duration have followed an overall increasing trend, displaying an approximate 10-year cyclical pattern. Ocean warming has also contributed to earlier bloom initiation, extended peak bloom periods and delayed bloom termination, shaping the long-term dynamics of N. scintillans blooms. SMRT sequencing confirmed that local N. scintillans populations persist year-round, serving as latent seed sources that can rapidly bloom when environmental conditions become favourable. These findings provide critical insights into the dynamics of harmful algal blooms in the context of climate change and lay a foundation for future ecological and environmental research.},
}
@article {pmid40025766,
year = {2025},
author = {Day, L},
title = {Climate change and the environmental impact of asthma inhalers: advice for children, young people and families.},
journal = {Nursing children and young people},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.7748/ncyp.2025.e1545},
pmid = {40025766},
issn = {2046-2344},
abstract = {Climate change is an ever-increasing threat that is having significant detrimental effects on the planet and people's health and well-being. This article explores these effects and examines the environmental impact of different types of inhalers, demonstrating the vast difference between certain types. It also discusses how children's nurses can implement inhaler changes in children and young people effectively, using change management theory and recognised change tools as a guide. With reference to the latest research and studies, the author demonstrates how making inhaler changes can significantly reduce their impact on the environment, thereby protecting the lives of children today and future generations.},
}
@article {pmid40025469,
year = {2025},
author = {Tardieu, L and Driscoll, MA and Jones, KR},
title = {Neo-tropical species production: a sustainable strategy for climate change adaptation in neo-tropical regions.},
journal = {BMC veterinary research},
volume = {21},
number = {1},
pages = {134},
pmid = {40025469},
issn = {1746-6148},
mesh = {Animals ; *Climate Change ; *Tropical Climate ; Caribbean Region ; Latin America ; Animal Husbandry/methods ; Animals, Wild ; Livestock ; },
abstract = {This opinion piece clarifies the impact of climate change on animal production in the Latin America and Caribbean (LAC) region and proposes a sustainable solution. Anthropogenic climate change has resulted in higher ambient temperatures, rainfall, humidity, storms and desertification. These events have direct and indirect effects on conventional animal performance and this piece will highlight the impact of increased temperatures on their welfare, health and production in the LAC. Alternative species such as neo-tropical wildlife animals have been proposed as climate resilient animals for use in the LAC, as they are well adapted to the climate and environment in the tropics. Some of these animals include capybara, lappe, agouti, caiman, cocrico and collared peccary. Neo-tropical animal production has the potential to produce nutritious meat, quality leather, reduce pollution and serve as a form of sustainable production. These animals can be inserted into a sustainable production system as their feed resources can be supplied through the use of local feedstuff, they also require less water and energy for maintenance, as they are well adapted to the high temperature and humidity in comparison to domesticated animals such as cattle, pigs and chickens. Finally, the key challenges including the legal use of the animals throughout the year, lack of technical experience and limited knowledge on the biology of these animals are discussed.},
}
@article {pmid40025403,
year = {2025},
author = {Murea, M and Avesani, CM and Torreggiani, M},
title = {Understanding drivers of climate change action among nephrology professionals.},
journal = {Journal of nephrology},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
pmid = {40025403},
issn = {1724-6059},
}
@article {pmid40024984,
year = {2025},
author = {Chávez-Bustamante, F and Rojas, CA},
title = {Diverse experiences, diverse adaptations: A multidimensional look at climate change responses.},
journal = {Ambio},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
pmid = {40024984},
issn = {1654-7209},
support = {Vicerrector&#xed;a de Investigaci&#xf3;n y Postgrado [Project VIPUCT-2022PI-CR-1].//Universidad Cat&#xf3;lica de Temuco/ ; },
abstract = {Human behavioral adaptation to climate change has gained increasing attention from multiple disciplines; behavioral literature, for instance, has studied people's responses to climate change when physically experiencing a specific climate event. Our research builds on that literature and incorporates a multidimensional approach to experiences and adaptation: rather than studying one physical manifestation and a particular response, we test whether different climate events relate to different forms of adaptation. Based on a national environmental survey, we employ Bayesian regression modeling to comprehend whether adaptation actions (changes in clothing, diet, occupation, house infrastructure, and water and energy consumption) relate to various reported experiences (droughts, floods, rains, heatwaves, forest fires, problems in food supply, biodiversity loss, and rise in sea level). Our results highlight the heterogeneous nature of behavioral responses to perceived climate change events: not all climate change manifestations relate to adaptation actions, thereby providing a multidimensional view of the action-experience relation.},
}
@article {pmid40021939,
year = {2025},
author = {Seymour, JR and McLellan, SL},
title = {Climate change will amplify the impacts of harmful microorganisms in aquatic ecosystems.},
journal = {Nature microbiology},
volume = {10},
number = {3},
pages = {615-626},
pmid = {40021939},
issn = {2058-5276},
support = {DP210101610//Department of Education and Training | Australian Research Council (ARC)/ ; },
abstract = {More than 70% of the human population lives within five kilometres of a natural water feature. These aquatic ecosystems are heavily used for resource provision and recreation, and represent the interface between human populations and aquatic microbiomes, which can sometimes negatively impact human health. Diverse species of endemic aquatic microorganisms, including toxic microalgae and pathogenic bacteria, can be harmful to humans. Aquatic ecosystems are also subject to intrusions of allochthonous pathogenic microorganisms through pollution and runoff. Notably, environmental processes that amplify the abundance and impact of harmful aquatic microorganisms are occurring with increasing frequency owing to climate change. For instance, increases in water temperature stimulate outbreaks of pathogenic and toxic species, whereas more intense precipitation events escalate microbial contamination from stormwater discharge. In this Perspective we discuss the influence of aquatic microbiomes on the health and economies of human populations and examine how climate change is increasing these impacts.},
}
@article {pmid40021917,
year = {2025},
author = {Sangsefidi, Y and Rios, A and Bagheri, K and Carroll, MW and Davani, H},
title = {Integrating social data and engineering solutions for developing resilient water infrastructure against coastal climate change.},
journal = {Scientific reports},
volume = {15},
number = {1},
pages = {7241},
pmid = {40021917},
issn = {2045-2322},
support = {2113987//National Science Foundation/ ; 2113984//National Science Foundation/ ; 2239602//National Science Foundation/ ; },
abstract = {This study combines responses from a social survey with compound flood modeling in a marginalized coastal community to assess implementation of green infrastructure, such as rain barrels and rain gardens, in a city scale. This research focuses on the City of Imperial Beach, CA, which is an underserved coastal community located near the border with Mexico. A principal objective of the present research was analyzing social survey responses and the public's perceptions to estimate the extent to which decentralized water infrastructure might be accepted by and feasible for the target underserved coastal community. The feasibility of the proposed solution is strengthened through a collaboration with the City of Imperial Beach, which has led to the results of this study being presented in various public sources and forums. The social survey revealed that more than 4/5 of respondents are interested in receiving a rain barrel for free, and the needed financial incentives for rain barrel and rain garden installation can be the whole cost of the practice. Results of the social survey provide promising prospects for the community's adoption of decentralized water infrastructure, but public awareness and engagement still need to be improved through appropriate outreach activities, particularly in areas at risk of future flooding and sewer overflows. The effectiveness of our proposed solution is assessed through hydrologic-hydraulic model outputs, deploying a fine resolution 2-dimensional overland flow model, present that for a stormdrain system with typical defects (e.g. 0.25% porosity), working under current sea levels (i.e., sea level rise = 0 m), and a typical storm (e.g., 1-year rainfall), the flood volume may decrease 56-99% after implementing a rain barrel system and adding a rain garden system.},
}
@article {pmid40020586,
year = {2025},
author = {Dondini, G and Vergari, S and Mori, E and Bertonelli, S and Ancillotto, L},
title = {Are bats tracking climate change? Long-term monitoring reveals phenology shifts and population trends of forest bats.},
journal = {The Science of the total environment},
volume = {969},
number = {},
pages = {178995},
doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2025.178995},
pmid = {40020586},
issn = {1879-1026},
abstract = {Climate change is altering wildlife assemblages, although limited long-term data hinders understanding of its impacts. Bats are widely reported to be good models for studying climate change effects due to their sensitivity to temperature and migration patterns. Here we use forest bats as models to investigate how climate and interspecific interactions may affect wildlife species in the long-term, by monitoring populations of sympatric noctules over three decades. We aimed at understanding how climate influences fluctuations in population size and phenology, as well as assessing the role of interactions among sympatric species in shaping population trends. We investigated the long-term effects of climate change on forest bat species coexisting in the same mountainous area in central Italy. Through bat-box monitoring analysis, we examined population trends, phenological changes, and potential interspecific interactions. Overall, populations of all three species exhibited a significant increase, although fluctuations were largely driven by precipitation patterns. Specifically, cumulative yearly precipitation affected population sizes of all species, with N. leisleri additionally influenced by minimum yearly temperatures and by the presence of N. lasiopterus. We also documented phenological shifts, particularly in N. leisleri, with males advancing their arrival as early as February, and females delaying to late summer and autumn, leading to a significant decline in seasonal intersex overlap. Interspecific interactions also apparently shaped population trends, with N. lasiopterus showing a positive association with N. noctula, and N. leisleri being displaced from areas with increasing presence of N. lasiopterus. These findings indicate that forest bats may alter their ecology in response to climate change, yet inconsistently among species and between sexes, with potentially negative effects upon interspecific interactions and individual reproductive success. Besides, we highlight the importance of long-term monitoring programs in understanding the multifaceted effects of climate change on bat populations in forest ecosystems, particularly in mountain habitats.},
}
@article {pmid40020370,
year = {2025},
author = {Rizzo, D and Vinatier, F and Jacob, F and Ferchichi, I and Mekki, I and Albergel, J and Bailly, JS},
title = {A framework for the sustainable maintenance of permanent runoff management structures in rainfed agriculture under climate change.},
journal = {Journal of environmental management},
volume = {377},
number = {},
pages = {124718},
doi = {10.1016/j.jenvman.2025.124718},
pmid = {40020370},
issn = {1095-8630},
abstract = {Rainfed agriculture supports a significant share of global food production, balancing water storage with competing demands through runoff management. Human interventions to manage runoff range from temporary practices (e.g., tillage adjustments, crop residue retention) to permanent structures such as terraces and ditches. While practices are adaptable, structures are less flexible but critical for climate resilience. Their life-cycle comprises design/construction, maintenance, abandonment/destruction, and rehabilitation. Despite extensive research on design, rehabilitation, and abandonment, the description, understanding, and impact of maintenance practices remain understudied. This paper addresses this gap through a configurative review (1954-2024), integrating scattered knowledge. We show that rainfall variability, driven by climate change, accelerates biophysical degradation (e.g., terrace deformation, ditch occlusion), requiring adaptation and knowledge sharing to ensure structural stability and hydrological connectivity. Results highlight how regional inconsistencies in structure names hinder cross-regional comparisons and research consolidation. Our contributions include a framework for standardizing: (1) a context-specific evaluation of maintenance practices and (2) an assessment of runoff management structure efficiency under climate change. By integrating biophysical durability, socioeconomic feasibility, and adaptive governance, this framework provides stakeholders and academic actors with a common basis for systematically evaluating and improving runoff management. In practice, we urge policymakers and practitioners to adopt proactive, climate-adaptive maintenance, and to incentivize local community involvement for hybridizing traditional knowledge and technical innovation. By integrating maintenance into farming system design and management, these structures may effectively mitigate the impacts of an increasingly unpredictable climate, ensuring long-term resilience and sustainability in rainfed agriculture.},
}
@article {pmid40018556,
year = {2024},
author = {Arunda, MO and Sorcher, R and Canabarro, APF and Svallfors, S and Endler, M and Gemzell-Danielsson, K and Kågesten, A and Ali, M and Bahamondes, L and Barreix, M and Chou, D and Gonsalves, L and Johnston, HB and Kiarie, J and Kim, CR and Narasimhan, M and Pallitto, C and Shah, MG and Say, L and Thorson, A and Ekström, AM and Larsson, EC and Brizuela, V},
title = {Climate change and sexual and reproductive health and rights research in low-income and middle-income countries: a scoping review.},
journal = {BMJ public health},
volume = {2},
number = {2},
pages = {e001090},
pmid = {40018556},
issn = {2753-4294},
abstract = {INTRODUCTION: This study aimed to provide an overview of the research landscape and to identify research gaps linking climate change events and sexual and reproductive health and rights (SRHR) in low-income and middle-income countries (LMICs), where the negative impacts of climate change are most severe.<br><br>METHODS: We conducted a scoping review to map research studies that link climate change events or factors and SRHR aspects in LMICs. We performed a structured literature search across six databases to identify relevant peer-reviewed publications between January 1994 and 6 September 2023. The literature search yielded 14&#x2009;674 peer-reviewed articles. After screening, 75 articles were included, spanning 99 countries across the globe.<br><br>RESULTS: Climate change events such as extreme temperatures, drought, rainfall shocks, cyclones and floods were found to be associated with negative maternal and newborn health outcomes ranging from reduced or low birth weight, preterm births and low Apgar scores, to lack of pregnancy care, pregnancy complications, stillbirths, and newborn and maternal deaths. Associations were also found between climate-related events and increased gender-based violence and HIV prevalence, as well as fertility decisions and harmful practices such as female genital mutilations and early and forced marriages. About two-thirds (48/75) of the articles were from the African or Western Pacific regions. The main research gaps on climate change-related events and SRHR included abortion, reproductive cancers and contraception use.<br><br>CONCLUSION: Complementing existing evidence with targeted research to fill these knowledge gaps could enhance mitigation programmes and policies.},
}
@article {pmid40016244,
year = {2025},
author = {Kumar, A and Mohanasundari, T},
title = {Assessing climate change risk and vulnerability among Bhil and Bhilala tribal communities in Madhya Pradesh, India: a multidimensional approach.},
journal = {Scientific reports},
volume = {15},
number = {1},
pages = {7096},
pmid = {40016244},
issn = {2045-2322},
mesh = {India/epidemiology ; Humans ; *Climate Change ; Risk Assessment ; Vulnerable Populations/statistics &amp; numerical data ; Female ; Male ; Rain ; Family Characteristics ; },
abstract = {Climate change presents significant risks to marginalized communities, particularly in tribal groups like the Bhil and Bhilala communities of Madhya Pradesh, India. Limited empirical studies have focused on the effects of climate change on tribes in India. This study aims to assess climate change risk and vulnerability among tribal communities, employing the modified Mann-Kendall (MMK) test to identify climate trends, a risk assessment framework based on the Intergovernmental panel on climate change sixth assessment report (IPCC-AR6), and multiple linear regression (MLR). The MMK test indicates an increasing trend in rainfall (MMK = 1.099) and temperature. However, household perceptions reveal a high awareness of climatic changes, with 97% of respondents reporting irregularity in rainfall and 98% documenting increased summer hot days. The risk assessment shows that Bhil households face higher risk (0.107) than Bhilala households (0.068), which is determined by higher exposure and sensitivity. MLR results further emphasize that 12 of 23 indicators significantly affect risk assessment (R-squared = 0.698), with climatic events (β = 0.015), housing structure (β = 0.07), and food security being key contributors. The findings indicate that long-term climate trends are already affecting tribal livelihoods. It calls for targeted adaptation strategies, incorporating enhanced infrastructure, crop diversification, and better access to climate information and government schemes.},
}
@article {pmid40015965,
year = {2025},
author = {Wang, Y and Shuai, C and Chen, X and Huang, W and Sun, J and Zhao, B},
title = {Estimating water scarcity risks under climate change: A provincial perspective in China.},
journal = {Water environment research : a research publication of the Water Environment Federation},
volume = {97},
number = {3},
pages = {e70031},
doi = {10.1002/wer.70031},
pmid = {40015965},
issn = {1554-7531},
support = {52200209//National Natural Science Foundation of China/ ; 52370192//National Natural Science Foundation of China/ ; 52200221//National Natural Science Foundation of China/ ; 2023CDSKXYGK11//Fundamental Research Funds for the Central Universities/ ; },
mesh = {China ; *Climate Change ; *Water Supply ; Models, Theoretical ; },
abstract = {Water is a crucial raw material in economic production activities. Research indicates that water scarcity can lead to significant economic output losses (water scarcity risk, WSR), affecting not only the local area (referred to as local water scarcity risk, LWSR) but also causing economic losses to other regions through trade networks (referred to as virtual water scarcity risk, VWSR). With climate change exacerbating this challenge, understanding the water scarcity risk under changing climatic conditions is essential. However, few studies have addressed this issue comprehensively. To fill this gap, we developed a comprehensive model incorporating environmental flow requirements, water withdrawal, supply, economic output, and trade networks to assess LWSR and VWSR among China's provinces under climate change. Our analysis reveals a growth in China's WSR from $4.6 trillion in 2020 to $5 trillion in 2030. Specifically, both local water scarcity risk (LWSR) and virtual water scarcity risk (VWSR) amounted to $0.9 trillion and $3.7 trillion, respectively, in 2020, increasing to $1.0 trillion and $4.0 trillion by 2030. We also identified hot-spot provinces and sectors with high WSR and proposed relevant policy implications. Our findings contribute to China's climate change mitigation efforts, particularly in formulating strategies to address water scarcity risk. PRACTITIONER POINTS: Spatial heterogeneity-based environmental flow requirement is considered. The water scarcity risk of the Chinese agricultural sector in 2017 amounted to $1.1 trillion. LWSR and VWSR are 0.3 and 0.8 $trillion, respectively. Hotspot Chinese provinces and sectors are identified.},
}
@article {pmid40015125,
year = {2025},
author = {Vigren, C and Vospernik, S and Morin, X and Toïgo, M and Bielak, K and Bravo, F and Heym, M and Löf, M and Pach, M and Ponette, Q and Pretzsch, H},
title = {Divergent regional volume growth responses of Scots Pine and Oak stands to climate change in Europe.},
journal = {The Science of the total environment},
volume = {969},
number = {},
pages = {178858},
doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2025.178858},
pmid = {40015125},
issn = {1879-1026},
abstract = {European climatic change has been proposed to induce many changes to forests, about factors such as tree species distributions, site productivity, groundwater availability, outbreaks of forest pests, and damage from wind-breakage of trees. Novel approaches to empirical tree growth modelling using re-measurements over large climatic gradients capture variability associated with long-term climatic conditions as well as weather during the growth period. Using the latest version of the individual tree-based forest simulator, PrognAus, which has been outfitted with a climate-sensitive basal area increment module, we forecast growth of trees in pure and mixed stands of Pinus sylvestris L. and Quercus spp. across a network of 23 European sites between 2017 and 2100 under current climate and RCP 4.5 and RCP 8.5 climatic scenarios. By training a stand-level static reduced model (SRM) from these local level results, we forecast widespread future growth changes for stands of Pinus sylvestris and Quercus spp. across Europe. Our SRM predicts stand gross-volume relative growth (ratio of the gross volume production in a given growth year to the gross volume production until the start of the growth year) with a generalized additive mixed model (GAMM). We decomposed overall growth into tensors capturing variation associated with stand species mixture type (pure P. sylvestris, mixed P. sylvestris- Q. spp., pure Q. spp.), age, and weather conditions during the growth year and the preceeding year. Wall-to-wall predictions based on the SRM are presented for a high-resolution 30-arcsecond grid spanning most parts of Europe.},
}
@article {pmid39832547,
year = {2025},
author = {Zhang, Y and Zhang, X and Fang, W and Cai, Y and Zhang, G and Liang, J and Chang, J and Chen, L and Wang, H and Zhang, P and Wang, Q and Zhang, Y},
title = {Carbon sequestration potential of wetlands and regulating strategies response to climate change.},
journal = {Environmental research},
volume = {269},
number = {},
pages = {120890},
doi = {10.1016/j.envres.2025.120890},
pmid = {39832547},
issn = {1096-0953},
mesh = {*Wetlands ; *Climate Change ; *Carbon Sequestration ; Greenhouse Gases/analysis ; },
abstract = {Wetlands are important carbon sinks for mitigating climate warming. In this paper, greenhouse gas (GHG) fluxes and carbon sequestration capacity of freshwater wetlands, coastal wetlands and constructed wetlands around the world are evaluated, and strategies to improve carbon sequestration by wetlands are proposed based on the main influencing factors. Air temperature and average annual rainfall are significantly positively correlated with CH4 flux and N2O flux in freshwater wetlands and coastal wetlands. While chemical oxygen demand (COD) and total nitrogen (TN) concentrations of influent are found to be the main factors affecting GHG fluxes in constructed wetlands. The main factors affecting wetland carbon storage include the presence and species of wetland vegetation, ecological water level, and ecological pattern. Strategies for protecting and restoring existing wetlands, creating new wetlands, and strengthening the carbon sequestration capacity of wetlands are proposed. Fully realizing the carbon sequestration potential of wetlands holds the prospect of a more effective and sustainable response to global climate change.},
}
@article {pmid40015090,
year = {2025},
author = {Paul, S and Chakraborty, D and Tripathi, AK},
title = {Frontline extension services as a buffer against social vulnerability to climate change: A case study of shifting cultivators in Northeast India.},
journal = {Journal of environmental management},
volume = {377},
number = {},
pages = {124607},
doi = {10.1016/j.jenvman.2025.124607},
pmid = {40015090},
issn = {1095-8630},
abstract = {The frontline extension system (FES) can play a key role in helping shifting cultivator (jhumia) communities adapt to climate change. Providing essential farming knowledge and critical resources can help these communities reduce social vulnerabilities. The present study in this specific regard assesses the social vulnerability of shifting cultivators using the social vulnerability index (SVI) approach in the difficulty-prone Northeastern region of India (NEI). Then it also analyses the effect of the FES in reducing their social vulnerability. Cross-sectional primary data on adaptive capacity and sensitivity indicators generated through household surveys and temperature and precipitation data on exposure parameters helped us to develop the SVI. The results of a sensitivity test suggest that the constructed SVI is not sensitive to changes in indicator-weighting schemes therefore, can be considered to have produced credible results. Results of the study indicate that FES interventions could decrease the social vulnerability of shifting cultivators by enhancing their adaptive capacity and thereby reducing their dependence on shifting cultivation. Education, resourcefulness, locational advantages, progressiveness, and alternate sources of information were the key determinants of contact with the FES. Since the vulnerability of the jhumia households can be reduced through FES interventions and contact with the FES can be improved by better equipping the FES machinery to extend their outreach, we recommend that investment in infrastructure, working resources, and manpower engaged in FES may be optimized. Commensurate with the results, it is further recommended that the FES should comprise specialized programmes on easy-to-adopt, low-cost, and low-skill-requiring alternate income generating activities, prioritize mixed farming options with animal components, ensure a higher rate of seed replacement with HYVs, and multiple stress-tolerant-crops and varieties for reducing the social vulnerability of the shifting cultivators.},
}
@article {pmid40014607,
year = {2025},
author = {Hafilah Wan Ariffin, WN and Sidek, LM and Basri, H and Idros, N and Adrian, MT and Abd Ghani, NH and Khambali, HM and Allias Omar, SM and Azhar Khebir, MI and Ahmed, AN},
title = {Overtopping risk of high-hazard embankment dam under climate change condition.},
journal = {PloS one},
volume = {20},
number = {2},
pages = {e0311181},
pmid = {40014607},
issn = {1932-6203},
mesh = {*Climate Change ; Malaysia ; Rain ; Floods ; Climate Models ; Hydrology ; },
abstract = {Climate change poses an escalating threat to the safety of high-hazard embankment dams, increases flood discharge impacting dam overtopping risk by altering the hydrological load of the original dam designed capacity. This paper's primary aims are to evaluate climate change's influence on extreme rainfall events and their impact on dam safety and to assess the overtopping risk of Batu Dam under various climate scenarios. This study focusses on assessing the overtopping risk of Batu Dam in Malaysia, utilizing regional climate model projections from the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project 5 (CMIP5) spanning 2020 to 2100. Three Representative Concentration Pathways (RCPs)-RCP4.5, RCP6.0, and RCP8.5 as the scenario and divide into 3 period of study: early century (2020-2046), mid (2047-2073) and late-century (2074-2100) evaluated with hydrological analysis to access the dam safety. Using the Linear Scaling Method (LSM), we corrected the bias projection rainfall data from three Regional Climate Models (RCMs) for the RCPs. Future Probable Maximum Precipitation (PMP) was estimated using statistical analysis techniques developed by the National Hydraulic Research Institute of Malaysia (NAHRIM). Additionally, Rainfall Intensity-Duration-Frequency (IDF) curves were updated based on climate scenarios outlined in the Hydrological Procedure 2021 and the associated Climate Change Factors. The HEC-HMS hydrological model was employed to simulate PMF and IDF for ARIs ranging from 1 to 100,000 years, providing a comprehensive analysis of risks under future climatic conditions. Across all future climate scenarios, inflow events were projected to exceed the dam design inflow, with RCP8.5 indicating the highest inflow values, particularly later in the century, highlighting probability of overtopping risks. Late-century projections show inflow for ARI 50 under RCP8.5 exceeding PMF by 20%, while mid-century RCP6.0 results indicate a 15% higher inflow for ARI 50000. Early-century RCP4.5 shows a 10% increase for ARI 100000 compared to PMF. The study advocates adaptive dam safety management and flood protection measures. This research provides crucial insights for embankment dam owners, stressing the urgent need to address Batu Dam's vulnerability to extreme flooding amidst climate change and emphasizing proactive measures to fortify critical infrastructure and protect downstream communities.},
}
@article {pmid40012865,
year = {2025},
author = {Parzniewski, S and Luo, X and Ru, S and Ozbilge, N and Breen, K and Wu, H},
title = {Factors affecting the risk of gender-based violence among 2SLGBTQIA+ adolescents and youth: a scoping review of climate change-related vulnerabilities.},
journal = {Frontiers in sociology},
volume = {10},
number = {},
pages = {1541039},
pmid = {40012865},
issn = {2297-7775},
abstract = {UNLABELLED: Gender-based violence (GBV) is a pervasive and growing issue that affects diverse populations worldwide. This study aimed to synthesize the factors affecting the risk of GBV among 2SLGBTQIA+ adolescents and youth. A scoping review was conducted using international databases (Web of Science, Scopus, Proquest, PubMed, Embase, EBSCOhost) since 2009. The studies were independently appraised by two reviewers guided by the PRISMA approach. Ninety-nine articles focusing on the 2SLGBTQIA+ community, GBV, and adolescents or youth were included for the review. The factors affecting the risk of GBV among 2SLGBTQIA+ adolescents and youth were categorized into (1) Wellbeing and mental health; (2) Disparities compared to cisgender youth; (3) Perpetration and victimization; (4) Different types of violence; and (5) Differences among 2SLGBTQIA+ subgroups. The studies further showed relevance to climate-related stressors such as displacement and resource scarcity, and how those can further amplify the vulnerabilities of 2SLGBTQIA+ youth to GBV. The findings revealed the necessity for multi-level strategies that account for the compounded risks faced by 2SLGBTQIA+ adolescents and youth, including those introduced by environmental crises. These five factors related to GBV among 2SLGBTQIA+ adolescents and youth should be considered by social work professionals when working with at-risk populations. Due to limited robust evidence (from countries outside the US) and the diverse contexts of the selected studies, future research is needed to minimize GBV among 2SLGBTQIA+ adolescents and youth, especially as climate change introduces new layers of vulnerability.<br><br>10.37766/inplasy2024.4.0008.},
}
@article {pmid40012175,
year = {2025},
author = {Balshi, A},
title = {Climate change and multiple sclerosis: Clinical challenges and strategies.},
journal = {Multiple sclerosis (Houndmills, Basingstoke, England)},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {13524585251322664},
doi = {10.1177/13524585251322664},
pmid = {40012175},
issn = {1477-0970},
abstract = {Climate change poses significant challenges for people with multiple sclerosis (PwMS), exacerbating symptoms such as heat sensitivity. Increasing levels of air pollution contribute to neuroinflammation and has been associated with symptom flares, and mobility impairments complicate resource access for PwMS during climate-related weather emergencies. This paper explores the broad implications of climate change on multiple sclerosis (MS) and offers strategies for clinicians to address these emerging challenges, as understanding the broad impacts of climate change on MS is crucial to provide effective care in a changing world.},
}
@article {pmid40011720,
year = {2025},
author = {Hu, A},
title = {Atlantic circulation could be more resilient to global warming than was thought.},
journal = {Nature},
volume = {638},
number = {8052},
pages = {893-894},
pmid = {40011720},
issn = {1476-4687},
}
@article {pmid40011324,
year = {2025},
author = {Matturro, A and Zambelli, E and Cuoghi, E and Copelli, D and Usberti, F and Fioni, A and Labadini, L},
title = {Innovative Drug Development Approach to Address the Transition to Low Global Warming Potential Propellant Using Hydrofluoroalkane-152a, for Triple Combination Pressurized Metered-Dose Inhaler Products Targeting Small Airways.},
journal = {AAPS PharmSciTech},
volume = {26},
number = {3},
pages = {72},
pmid = {40011324},
issn = {1530-9932},
mesh = {*Metered Dose Inhalers ; *Hydrocarbons, Fluorinated/chemistry/administration &amp; dosage ; *Aerosol Propellants/chemistry ; Administration, Inhalation ; *Drug Development/methods ; Particle Size ; Humans ; Aerosols ; Pulmonary Disease, Chronic Obstructive/drug therapy ; Asthma/drug therapy ; Chemistry, Pharmaceutical/methods ; Fluorocarbons ; },
abstract = {Recent and emerging environmental policies have boosted the investigation of pressurized metered-dose inhalers (pMDI) that have a minimal impact on climate change. There is a current move away from existing hydrofluorocarbon (HFC)-based propellants, specifically the hydrofluoroalkane (HFA)-134a and HFA-227ea based pMDI products that are approved for the treatment of asthma and chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD), towards those that use low global warming potential (LGWP) propellants. Changing the propellant to, for example, the less environmentally-damaging HFA-152a, is a focus for many manufacturers. In this paper, we report an innovative approach to developing new pMDI drug products with a LGWP propellant. Moreover, proof of the hypothesis that products containing the current propellant and those using a LGWP propellant can achieve equivalent performance is reported, by showing comparability of a triple combination pMDI (Trimbow®) formulated using the LGWP HFA-152a propellant compared with HFA-134a. This paper will present the use of in silico mathematical modelling, leveraging on Chiesi proprietary Modulite® principles to predict and validate in vitro performances of the drug product under development. Validation is carried out using realistic aerodynamic particle size distribution (rAPSD), a novel approach that offers a more accurate prediction of aerosol distribution by incorporating variations compared to the standard aerodynamic particle size distribution (APSD). Additional in vitro testing validates the prediction of in silico models and confirms good comparability in terms of aerodynamic performance between HFA-152a and HFA-134a, which translates in vivo as evidenced by the preliminary pharmacokinetics (PK) in animal models and the formal clinical PK bioequivalence (BE) studies. (Rony et al. in Pulm Pharmacol Ther 85, 2024).},
}
@article {pmid40011143,
year = {2025},
author = {Turpin, A and Matte, P and Delaye, M and Piffoux, M},
title = {[Towards a more "sustainable" oncology in the era of global warming?].},
journal = {Bulletin du cancer},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1016/j.bulcan.2025.01.005},
pmid = {40011143},
issn = {1769-6917},
}
@article {pmid40010253,
year = {2025},
author = {Potier, M and Savina-Rolland, M and Belloeil, P and Gascuel, D and Robert, M},
title = {How will the cumulative effects of fishing and climate change affect the health and resilience of the Celtic Sea ecosystem?.},
journal = {The Science of the total environment},
volume = {969},
number = {},
pages = {178942},
doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2025.178942},
pmid = {40010253},
issn = {1879-1026},
abstract = {Ecosystems are subject to increasing anthropogenic pressures worldwide. Assessing cumulative effects of multiple pressures and their impacts on recovery processes is a daunting scientific and technical challenge due to systems' complexity. However, this is of paramount importance in the context of ecosystem-based management of natural systems. Our study provides major insights into the assessment of cumulative effects on Northeast Atlantic ecosystems. Using an Ecopath with Ecosim (EwE) tropho-dynamic model for the Celtic Sea ecosystem including 53 functional groups, we (1) assess individual and cumulative effects of fishing and climate change and (2) explore the impact of fishing intensity and climate change on ecosystem resilience. Various levels of increasing fishing intensities are simulated over the whole 21st century, by forcing the EwE model with time series of sea temperature, primary production and secondary producer's biomass from the regional POLCOMS-ERSEM climate model, under both RCP4.5 and RCP8.5 scenarios. Cumulative impacts on the ecosystem's health and its capacity to recover after the cessation of fishing activities were assessed through a set of 45 indicators (biomass-based, diversity, trait-based and habitat-based indicators), using a theoretical non-fishing and climate-constant scenario as a reference. Our results reveal climate change impacts on Boreal, pelagic species and on ecosystem stability. Fishing preferentially removes apex predators and is predicted to increase the likelihood of a regime shift by decreasing ecosystems' capacity to recover. Predicted cumulative effects are mainly additive and antagonistic but synergies are observed for high fishing effort levels, and finally climate change had minor impacts on ecosystem recovery to fishing. Fishing is shown to be the main driver of cumulative impacts and of ecosystem resilience over the next decades. Our results suggest that slight reduction in fishing effort is enough to compensate the impact of climate change. Future research should then be directed towards exploring and evaluating ecosystem-based climate-adaptive fisheries management strategies.},
}
@article {pmid40010122,
year = {2025},
author = {Zhang, S and Arhonditsis, GB and Ji, Y and Bryan, BA and Peng, J and Zhang, Y and Gao, J and Zhang, J and Cho, KH and Huang, J},
title = {Climate change promotes harmful algal blooms in China's lakes and reservoirs despite significant nutrient control efforts.},
journal = {Water research},
volume = {277},
number = {},
pages = {123307},
doi = {10.1016/j.watres.2025.123307},
pmid = {40010122},
issn = {1879-2448},
abstract = {The increasing frequency and magnitude of harmful algal blooms (HABs) threatens the integrity of aquatic ecosystem functioning and human health worldwide. Nutrient reduction strategies have been widely used to mitigate HABs, but their efficiency in light of on-going changes in climate remains unclear. Here, we assembled an 18-year (2005-2022) national water quality dataset for 97 lakes across China. We examined the dynamics of HABs and their response to nutrient reduction under historical climate change trends using a combination of statistical and process-based modeling. The results revealed an increase in HABs despite a widespread decline in ambient nutrient levels, with 80.5 % of lakes experiencing a decline in phosphorus but 61.8 % displaying an increase in Chlorophyll a concentrations. We attributed this counterintuitive trend to climatic warming, which can hinder the mitigation of HABs until the ambient nutrients reach sufficiently low levels. The extent of HAB promotion by warming varied spatially, with a distinctly greater proliferation in China's lower-latitude lakes (<35°N), primarily due to the prevailing warmer temperatures. Notwithstanding the persistence of HABs in China's lakes, national-scale modeling suggests that nutrient loading control remains valuable in protecting our water resources, as the HAB risk would have been 32.6 % higher due to climate change. The anticipated future nutrient reduction efforts in China are expected to alleviate higher latitude lakes from frequent HAB occurrences, but lower latitude lakes will still face considerable HAB risks. Our national-scale assessment demonstrates a variant efficiency of nutrient reduction in offsetting HAB risks amid rapid climate change, and highlights the need of adaptively enhancing our mitigation strategies in response to the ever-changing ecological conditions.},
}
@article {pmid40009688,
year = {2025},
author = {Li, C and Zwiers, FW and Zhang, X and Fischer, EM and Du, F and Liu, J and Wang, J and Liang, Y and Li, T and Yuan, L},
title = {Constraining the entire Earth system projections for more reliable climate change adaptation planning.},
journal = {Science advances},
volume = {11},
number = {9},
pages = {eadr5346},
pmid = {40009688},
issn = {2375-2548},
abstract = {The warming climate is creating increased levels of climate risk because of changes to the hazards to which human and natural systems are exposed. Projections of how those hazards will change are affected by uncertainties in the climate sensitivity of climate models, among other factors. While the level-of-global-warming approach can circumvent model climate sensitivity uncertainties in some applications, practitioners faced with specific adaptation responsibilities often find such projections difficult to use because they generally require time-oriented information. Earth system projections following specified emissions scenarios can, however, be constrained by applying the level-of-global-warming approach to observationally constrained warming projections to yield more reliable time-oriented projections for adaption planning and implementation. This approach also allows individual groups to produce consistent and comparable assessments of multifaceted climate impacts and causal mechanisms, thereby benefiting climate assessments at national and international levels that provide the science basis for adaptation action.},
}
@article {pmid40009574,
year = {2025},
author = {Degioanni, A and Cabut, S and Condemi, S and Smith, RS},
title = {Climate change in Europe between 90 and 50 kyr BP and Neanderthal territorial habitability.},
journal = {PloS one},
volume = {20},
number = {2},
pages = {e0308690},
pmid = {40009574},
issn = {1932-6203},
mesh = {*Neanderthals ; Animals ; *Climate Change ; Europe ; Humans ; Fossils ; Ecosystem ; },
abstract = {After having lived as the dominant human species in Europe for over 200 kyr, Homo neanderthalensis (the Neanderthals) disappeared around 40 kyr BP (Before Present) Higham T (2014). Competition with Homo sapiens, who arrived in Europe around the same time, is often invoked to explain this extinction. Others have argued that climate change may have reduced the living space of this population making its disappearance more rapid. In order to test the climate change hypothesis we modelled the Neanderthals' ecological niches in Europe between 90 and 50 kyr BP through paleoenvironmental reconstructions and Eco-Cultural Niche Modelling. We selected five environmental variables (orographic height, mean annual precipitation, mean temperature of the coldest month, carrying capacity and friction, see below) from climate model simulations of 5 periods between 90 and 50 kyr BP in Europe. We used Structural Similarity (SSIM) index to compare the probability maps of suitable niches to Neanderthals performed by Maxent. After a strong initial environmental change between the first (P1 = 90 to 83 kyr BP) and second (P2 = 83 to 69 kyr BP) periods, our results show that large areas highly suitable for Neanderthal occupation persisted across Europe. As our results show an increase/stability of the areas suitable to Neanderthals, the question of the cause of the decrease or displacement of the Neanderthal population towards southern Europe after this climatic change remains open.},
}
@article {pmid40007908,
year = {2025},
author = {Mayrhofer, M and Ammer, M and Wladasch, K},
title = {The concept of vulnerability and its relation to equality in the context of human rights: cases from climate change, anti-discrimination and asylum.},
journal = {Frontiers in sociology},
volume = {10},
number = {},
pages = {1522402},
pmid = {40007908},
issn = {2297-7775},
abstract = {The article analyzes the concept of vulnerability and its relation to the principles of equality and non-discrimination based on a theoretical discussion and the analysis of the concept in three case studies in different human rights areas. First, an overview of the development of the legal norms of the right to equality and non-discrimination in the context of social and political developments is given, including contextualizing and embedding the concept of vulnerability in this debate. Second, the results of three case studies from different policy and legal fields will be presented. The first case study focuses on the role of vulnerability in UN human rights documents on climate change and mobility, the second case study on the role of vulnerability in the anti-discrimination case law of European courts, and the third case study on the concept of vulnerability in Austrian asylum procedures. The objective is to study the concept in different settings and, subsequently, comparatively carve out common themes across the case studies. The case studies show that vulnerability is a fuzzy concept, which often ends up being attached to 'special-needs groups' and which frequently mobilizes stigmatizing and stereotyping narratives. The concept does not have equality-promoting connotations, emphasizes individual and group-specific deficit accounts, and often fails to grasp structural factors of discrimination and inequality.},
}
@article {pmid40007788,
year = {2025},
author = {Eldos, HI and Tahir, F and Athira, UN and Mohamed, HO and Samuel, B and Skariah, S and Al-Ghamdi, SG and Al-Ansari, T and Sultan, AA},
title = {Mapping climate change interaction with human health through DPSIR framework: Qatar perspective.},
journal = {Heliyon},
volume = {11},
number = {3},
pages = {e42455},
pmid = {40007788},
issn = {2405-8440},
abstract = {This study investigates the interactions between climate change and human health with a particular focus on Qatar, using the DPSIR (Driving Forces, Pressures, States, Impacts, Responses) framework. Key drivers, including economic development and population growth, contribute to increased greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions, exerting pressure on Qatar's climate through rising temperatures and altered precipitation patterns, as modeled by the MIT Regional Climate Model (MRCM). The findings reveal critical gaps in understanding the state of climate-health interactions, including insufficient disease data, incomplete climate-health linkages, and significant research gaps. These limitations hinder targeted responses to climate-sensitive diseases, which have shown an increase over the years. The study identifies the pathways through which climatic shifts contribute to immediate health risks, such as heat-related illnesses and respiratory conditions, as well as long-term impacts, including chronic diseases and mental health challenges. Despite Qatar's efforts through national and international strategies, the DPSIR analysis highlights the urgent need for enhanced research, improved data collection, and tailored actions to address these challenges. Strengthened adaptation, resilience-building, and emission reduction strategies remain essential for safeguarding public health in the face of accelerating climate change.},
}
@article {pmid40007469,
year = {2025},
author = {Poinas, I and Meynard, CN and Fried, G},
title = {Plant Species Better Adapted to Climate Change Need Agricultural Extensification to Persist.},
journal = {Ecology letters},
volume = {28},
number = {2},
pages = {e70030},
pmid = {40007469},
issn = {1461-0248},
support = {ANR-21-CE32-006-01//Agence Nationale de la Recherche/ ; OFB-24-0505//Office Fran&#xe7;ais de la Biodiversit&#xe9;/ ; //Institut National de Recherche pour l'Agriculture, l'Alimentation et l'Environnement/ ; //Agence Nationale de S&#xe9;curit&#xe9; Sanitaire de l'Alimentation, de l'Environnement et du Travail/ ; },
mesh = {*Climate Change ; *Agriculture ; France ; Plants ; Biodiversity ; Adaptation, Physiological ; },
abstract = {Agricultural intensification and climate change have led to well-known vegetation shifts in agricultural landscapes. However, concomitant plant functional changes in agroecosystems, especially at large scales, have been seldom characterised. Here, we used a standardised yearly monitoring of > 400 agricultural field margins in France to assess the temporal response of vegetation diversity and functional traits to variations in climate and intensity of agricultural practices (herbicides, fertilisation and mowing) between 2013 and 2021. We observed clear temporal trends of increasing warming and aridity, but trends towards agricultural extensification were weak or nonsignificant. Our results showed functional changes in plant communities over time, driven mostly by climate change and suggested selective forces opposing climate change to agricultural intensification. This translated as a temporal decline of competitive and ruderal species in favour of stress-tolerant species, putting plant communities in agroecosystems in a difficult position to escape both climate and agricultural pressures at the same time.},
}
@article {pmid40005813,
year = {2025},
author = {Gargano, F and Brunetti, R and Buonanno, M and De Martinis, C and Cardillo, L and Fenizia, P and Anatriello, A and Rofrano, G and D'Auria, LJ and Fusco, G and Baldi, L and De Carlo, E and Ottaiano, M},
title = {Temporal Analysis of Climate Change Impact on the Spread and Prevalence of Vector-Borne Diseases in Campania (2018-2023).},
journal = {Microorganisms},
volume = {13},
number = {2},
pages = {},
pmid = {40005813},
issn = {2076-2607},
abstract = {Vector-borne infections (Arbovirosis) represent a significant threat to public health worldwide. Climate change, currently a global problem, seems to contribute to the incidence and prevalence of autochthonous and imported cases of arbovirosis in Europe. The aim of this work is to evaluate the impact of climate change on the occurrence and spread of arbovirosis in order to offer concrete ideas to the competent authorities and modulate surveillance plans on the basis of risk assessment. The results of official controls carried out from 2018 to 2023 on animals subjected to the Surveillance Plans for Blue Tongue, West Nile and Usutu viruses in the Campania Region were analyzed. Statistical analyses were performed using R software (version 4.5.0). The possible correlation between the prevalence of infections and climate parameters was evaluated with the "cross-correlation time series" (p-value < 0.05). The generalized linear mixed model showed that for each unit increase in humidity and temperature, the probability of disease spread increased by 4.56% and 7.84%, respectively. The univariate logistic regression model and the odds ratio were necessary to evaluate the possible risk related to the proximity to wetlands or to bodies of water: in the past few years, these have represented a risk for the persistence and spread of arbovirosis in the Campania region.},
}
@article {pmid40005529,
year = {2025},
author = {Anstead, GM},
title = {A One Health Perspective on the Resurgence of Flea-Borne Typhus in Texas in the 21st Century: Part 1: The Bacteria, the Cat Flea, Urbanization, and Climate Change.},
journal = {Pathogens (Basel, Switzerland)},
volume = {14},
number = {2},
pages = {},
pmid = {40005529},
issn = {2076-0817},
mesh = {Animals ; Texas/epidemiology ; Cats/microbiology ; *Typhus, Endemic Flea-Borne/epidemiology ; *Climate Change ; Humans ; *Urbanization ; *Rickettsia typhi ; Dogs/microbiology ; One Health ; Siphonaptera/microbiology ; Rickettsia felis ; Opossums/microbiology ; },
abstract = {Flea-borne typhus (FBT), due to Rickettsia typhi and R. felis, is an infection typically causing fever, headache, rash, hepatitis, and thrombocytopenia. About one quarter of patients suffer pulmonary, neurologic, hematologic, renal, hepatic, cardiac, ocular or other complications. In the 21st century, the incidence of FBT has increased in both Texas and California compared to the 1990s. In this paper, county-level epidemiological data for the number of cases of FBT occurring in Texas for two decades, 1990-1999 and 2010-2019, were compared with respect to county of residence, urbanization, and climatic region. Human population growth in Texas has promoted FBT by increased urbanization and the abundance of pet dogs and cats, stray/feral dogs and cats, and opossums. Increasing temperatures in Texas in the new millennium have increased the flea-borne transmission of FBT by promoting host infestation and flea feeding and defecation, accelerating the flea life cycle, and increasing rickettsial replication within the flea. Increased numbers of opossums and stray cats and dogs in the urban/suburban landscape have increased the risk of flea transfer to humans and their pets.},
}
@article {pmid40005005,
year = {2025},
author = {Latruffe, N and Lizard, G},
title = {Influence of Mediterranean Diet and Incidence of Global Warming on Food Habits and Plant Growth in Northern Mediterranean Latitudes: Narrative Review.},
journal = {Nutrients},
volume = {17},
number = {4},
pages = {},
pmid = {40005005},
issn = {2072-6643},
mesh = {Humans ; *Diet, Mediterranean/statistics &amp; numerical data ; *Feeding Behavior ; *Global Warming ; Mediterranean Region ; Plant Development ; Climate Change ; Agriculture/methods ; },
abstract = {BACKGROUND: Climate change has consequences for farming, food diversity and availability, and diet habits. There is now evidence that the Mediterranean climate is rapidly spreading to the Northern European latitudes.<br><br>OBJECTIVE: This narrative review aims to identify relevant studies related to climate change that could favor the progression of the Mediterranean climate in the northern latitudes of Europe, mainly in France, and to predict what the consequences of these changes on the human diet could be, especially using the concept of the Mediterranean diet, with subsequent impacts on health, farming, and eating habits.<br><br>METHODS: This narrative review was realized by consulting the PubMed, Scopus, Science Direct, and Google Scholar databases.<br><br>RESULTS: The key points developed in this review are as follows: investigating the Mediterranean diet as a healthy diet, with evidence supporting health benefits and perspectives; similarities with other places in the world at the same Mediterranean latitudes; climate change and the resulting consequences on plant growth, farming, and food habits; and perspectives on the need for societal adaptations of populations towards agriculture, food, and cooking changes. As climate change facilitates the development of new farming practices with more or fewer environmental impacts, the growth of Mediterranean plants in the highest latitudes of Europe, such as olive trees, pomegranates, and almonds, has already begun for economic reasons.<br><br>FUTURE PERSPECTIVES: In the near future, besides economic interests, climate change will favor the consumption of several products associated with the Mediterranean diet in the Northern European latitudes. In this context, producers and consumers play major roles.},
}
@article {pmid40003761,
year = {2025},
author = {Liu, Q and Wang, Z and Xu, D and Peng, Y and Wu, J and Liu, Z and Li, X and Zhuo, Z},
title = {Effects of Climate Change on the Distribution of Papilio xuthus.},
journal = {Insects},
volume = {16},
number = {2},
pages = {},
pmid = {40003761},
issn = {2075-4450},
support = {2022YFE0115200//National Key R&amp;D Program of China/ ; 20A007;20E051; 21E040 and 22kA011//undamental Research Funds of China West Normal University/ ; },
abstract = {The Papilio xuthus is a widely distributed species in the genus Papilio of the family Papilionidae, possessing ecological, ornamental, and socio-economic service values. To determine the ecological role of P. xuthus and assess its population distribution under future climate change scenarios, this study utilized the MaxEnt model to predict the geographic distribution of P. xuthus in the future and evaluate its population dynamics. The results indicated that P. xuthus is currently widely distributed in East Asia, with a high suitability area of 1827.83 × 10[3] km[2], primarily in China, Japan, North Korea, and South Korea. Climate change has a significant impact on the geographic distribution of P. xuthus, with its high suitability areas decreasing in the future, particularly within China, where the change is projected to be as high as 46.46% under the SSP126 scenario by the 2050s. The centroid of its high-suitability area is expected to shift northeastward. Key environmental variable analysis revealed that Temperature Seasonality, Mean Temperature of the Wettest Quarter, Precipitation of the Wettest Month, and Precipitation of the Warmest Quarter are critical factors influencing the selection of suitable habitats by P. xuthus. This study assessed the distribution of P. xuthus and provided conservation recommendations, offering a reference for future population control and conservation efforts.},
}
@article {pmid40003483,
year = {2025},
author = {Tamire, M and Mor, SM and Baylis, M and Kaba, M},
title = {Perceived Impacts of Climate Change in Pastoralist Regions of Ethiopia: A Qualitative Study Applying the Concept of One Health.},
journal = {International journal of environmental research and public health},
volume = {22},
number = {2},
pages = {},
pmid = {40003483},
issn = {1660-4601},
support = {BB/P027954/1//the Global Challenges Research Fund (GCRF), One Health Regional Network for the Horn of Africa (HORN) Project, UK Research, and Innovation (UKRI), and Biotechnology and Biological Sciences Research Council (BBSRC)/ ; },
mesh = {Ethiopia ; *Climate Change ; Humans ; One Health ; Male ; Qualitative Research ; Female ; Focus Groups ; Adult ; Animals ; Middle Aged ; Animal Husbandry ; },
abstract = {Ethiopia is highly vulnerable to the effects of climate change, with the increasing geographic extent, intensity, and frequency of drought. This study aimed to examine how pastoralist communities understand climate change and its impacts. We conducted a qualitative study among pastoral communities in Ethiopia using focus group discussions with community representatives and key informant interviews with human and animal health and agriculture experts. The collected data were analyzed using qualitative content analysis. Participants viewed deforestation and population growth as the main causes of climate change. They found that climate change caused high temperatures, a shortage of rainfall, and drought. These changes affected the environment, food security, and animal health, impacting their livelihoods, health, and social systems. Coping strategies included engaging in new economic activities, environmental recovery attempts, migration, and seeking food aid for survival. They suggested providing food aid, improving access to human and animal health care, and implementing early warning systems at the community level. The pastoralists perceived that climate change destroyed the natural environment, increased food insecurity, and negatively affected social systems and health. Collaborative actions are needed to mitigate these effects, initiate local environmental adaptation mechanisms, enhance water and food security, and improve animal and human health services.},
}
@article {pmid40003459,
year = {2025},
author = {Gkouliaveras, V and Kalogiannidis, S and Kalfas, D and Kontsas, S},
title = {Effects of Climate Change on Health and Health Systems: A Systematic Review of Preparedness, Resilience, and Challenges.},
journal = {International journal of environmental research and public health},
volume = {22},
number = {2},
pages = {},
pmid = {40003459},
issn = {1660-4601},
mesh = {*Climate Change ; Humans ; *Delivery of Health Care ; },
abstract = {Climate change has a significant impact on the population's health and negatively affects the functioning of healthcare systems. Health systems must be operationally prepared to handle the challenges posed by environmental change. Resilience is required to adapt quickly to critical environmental conditions and reduce carbon emissions. In this systematic review strategies, for health system preparedness and resilience are examined to address the impacts of climate change, and the barriers and challenges faced when implementing them. To identify studies, the Scopus, PubMed and Google Scholar databases were searched three times (from April to October 2024, 21 April, 15 June, and 9 September) for the years 2018 to 2024, using the PRISMA (Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses) methodology. Specifically, the search identified 471 articles, of which the specified inclusion and exclusion criteria (secondary studies with inclusion criteria, being in English, etc.) were met by sixteen (16) studies. According to the findings of the studies reviewed, adaptation strategies focus on structural changes, the development of training programs, the development of surveillance systems, and appropriate operational plans. The leader's ability to motivate employees to achieve defined goals, continuous evaluation of goals and interventions, and learning from previous disasters play an important role in their implementation. Similarly, key policies and strategies for mitigation include the adoption of sustainable practices, such as recycling and cultural change. However, lack of resources (human, material, financial) and increased demand for health services make it difficult to implement adaptation and mitigation strategies. The findings of the review are mainly theoretical in nature and are confirmed by other studies. It is suggested that further research on resilience and preparedness of health systems should be pursued, leading to their sustainability and the formulation of appropriate policies.},
}
@article {pmid40003380,
year = {2025},
author = {Ni, Q and Dong, H and Kaniadakis, A and Wang, Z and Ge, C},
title = {Investigating Older Adults' Response to Climate Change.},
journal = {International journal of environmental research and public health},
volume = {22},
number = {2},
pages = {},
pmid = {40003380},
issn = {1660-4601},
support = {101135803//UK research and Innovation/ ; },
mesh = {Humans ; *Climate Change ; Aged ; Male ; Female ; Middle Aged ; Aged, 80 and over ; *Focus Groups ; London ; },
abstract = {Older adults are both vulnerable to the impacts of climate change and uniquely positioned to contribute to climate action. However, their ability and willingness to engage vary significantly due to health disparities, financial constraints, and cultural factors. To ensure inclusivity, climate policies must reflect these differences and empower older adults to participate effectively. This research focused on 30 London-based older adults aged 60-85 (18 women, 12 men) selected via purposive sampling and stratified by gender and climate awareness. All participants were interested in climate issues and engaged in seven small focus groups facilitated by two researchers. Discussions addressed climate perceptions, low-carbon behaviors, and policy recommendations. The findings reveal that tailored communication, featuring simplified language and visual materials, resonates deeply with older adults, fostering better understanding and emotional connection. Participants highlighted practical low-carbon actions they already undertake, such as energy conservation, food waste reduction, and public transport use. They also proposed innovative strategies for promoting climate awareness, including integrating cultural and emotional elements, encouraging intergenerational learning, and providing economic incentives for green practices. To enhance the engagement of older adults in climate action, governments and corporations should develop inclusive communication strategies, provide financial support for adopting green technologies, and foster intergenerational collaboration to share knowledge and experiences in the communities. This study amplifies the voices of older adults in climate discourse, offering actionable insights for shaping communication strategies and policies. While this study provides valuable insights into older adults' contributions to climate action, future research could expand the sample size and geographic diversity to enhance the generalizability of findings.},
}
@article {pmid40003365,
year = {2025},
author = {Steinmetz-Wood, S and Kennedy, AG and Hitt, JR and Barrett, K and Gilbert, MP},
title = {Perceptions of Endocrine Clinicians Regarding Climate Change and Health.},
journal = {International journal of environmental research and public health},
volume = {22},
number = {2},
pages = {},
pmid = {40003365},
issn = {1660-4601},
mesh = {*Climate Change ; Humans ; Adult ; Male ; Female ; Middle Aged ; Surveys and Questionnaires ; Health Knowledge, Attitudes, Practice ; Attitude of Health Personnel ; Endocrinology ; Endocrinologists/psychology ; },
abstract = {The effects of climate change on the endocrine system are increasingly recognized. We aimed to evaluate endocrine clinicians' perspectives on climate change awareness and knowledge, motivation for action, and the need for climate health curricula. We designed an online questionnaire with endocrine-specific questions about climate change, which was shared through social media and email. Study data were collected between 9/2022 and 11/2022. Analyses were primarily descriptive. There were 164 responses; 98% were physicians, with a median age of 41 years. The majority (95%) reported that climate change is happening; 52% reported that they are very worried. Knowledge about climate change and health was variable (6.7% very, 40% moderately, 35% modestly, 17.7% not at all), with variable concerns regarding patient effects. The top endocrine climate-health concerns were reduced exercise, malnutrition, and weather-related disruptions. Most respondents agreed that climate change and health topics should be integrated into medical education (72.8% strongly agree or agree). The three resources perceived as most helpful were continuing medical education, patient resources, and policy statements. Endocrine clinicians are aware of and worried about climate change, with varying levels of knowledge and concern about climate change and health effects. We also exposed an untapped interest in developing endocrine-specific climate and health curricula.},
}
@article {pmid40003054,
year = {2025},
author = {Wen, L and Zhang, H and Fang, Z and Chen, X},
title = {The Effects of Climate Change on Sthenoteuthis oualaniensis Habitats in the Northern Indian Ocean.},
journal = {Animals : an open access journal from MDPI},
volume = {15},
number = {4},
pages = {},
pmid = {40003054},
issn = {2076-2615},
support = {NSFC42306117//Zhou Fang/ ; LOF 2021-01//Zhou Fang/ ; },
abstract = {The northern Indian Ocean is located in a typical monsoon region that is also influenced by climate events such as the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD), which makes Sthenoteuthis oualaniensis habitat highly susceptible to changes in climate and marine environmental conditions. This study established a suitability index (SI) model and used the arithmetic average method to construct a comprehensive habitat suitability index (HSI) model based on S. oualaniensis production statistics in the northern Indian Ocean from 2017 to 2019. Variations in the suitability of S. oualaniensis habitat during different IOD events were then analyzed. The results indicate that the model performed best when year, month, latitude, longitude, sea surface temperature (SST), wind speed (WS), and photosynthetically active radiation (PAR) variables were included in the generalized additive model (GAM). SST, WS, and PAR were identified as the most important key environmental factors. The HSI model showed that the most suitable habitat during a positive IOD event was smaller than during a negative IOD event and that the suitable habitat's center was located west of the positive IOD event and east of the negative IOD event. There was a significant inverse relationship between the area, suitable for habitation, and the north-south shift in the latitudinal gravity center and the Dipole modal index (DMI). The results indicate significant differences in the habitat of S. oualaniensis in the northern Indian Ocean during different IOD events, as well as differences in suitable habitat ranges and the spatial distribution of the species.},
}
@article {pmid40001948,
year = {2025},
author = {Li, Z and Ji, Q and Yang, Y and Gao, Y and Xu, M and Guan, Y},
title = {Predicting the Potential Suitable Distribution of Albizia odoratissima (L. f.) Benth. Under Climate Change Based on the Biomod2 Model.},
journal = {Biology},
volume = {14},
number = {2},
pages = {},
pmid = {40001948},
issn = {2079-7737},
abstract = {Albizia odoratissima (L. f.) Benth. is a highly valuable tree species, both economically and ecologically. It has great potential for development. To conserve, develop, and use its genetic resources sustainably, it is crucial to evaluate the potential habitat of A. odoratissima and identify the key environmental factors that affect its distribution. In this study, the Biomod2 model was used to predict the potential distribution of A. odoratissima in China, using 65 occurrence points and 11 environmental variables for both current and future climate scenarios. The distribution of A. odoratissima is mainly influenced by three temperature-related factors: bio4, bio8, and bio11. Our prediction shows that the suitable habitats for A. odoratissima are mostly located in several southern provinces of China, totaling 136.98 × 10[4] km[2]. Under different climate scenarios, the suitable habitat area is expected to shift northward in the future, although the highly suitable areas will remain relatively stable. These findings have important implications for the conservation, development, and sustainable utilization of A. odoratissima resources.},
}
@article {pmid40001936,
year = {2025},
author = {Ren, J and Liu, Q and Ma, Y and Ji, Y and Xu, B and Xue, Y and Zhang, C},
title = {Spatio-Temporal Distribution of Four Trophically Dependent Fishery Species in the Northern China Seas Under Climate Change.},
journal = {Biology},
volume = {14},
number = {2},
pages = {},
pmid = {40001936},
issn = {2079-7737},
support = {2022YFD2401301//National Key R&amp;D Program of China/ ; },
abstract = {Climate change is a major challenge affecting marine environments, making it essential to understand species distribution responses in both time and space for effective conservation strategies. Meanwhile, varying responses of species to climate change may lead to changes in interspecific relationships and future spatial distributions. This study assessed spatial and temporal distributions of four trophically dependent species of economic importance in the China seas, including largehead hairtail (Trichiurus lepturus), Spanish mackerel (Scomberomorus niphonius), chub mackerel (Scomber japonicus), and anchovy (Engraulis japonicus). By incorporating fishery-dependent survey data and environmental variables, we developed a spatio-temporal mixed-effects model to analyze the distributional correlations among these species and predicted their distributions by the end of the century under different climate change scenarios. The results showed that the selected environmental factors influenced encounter probability and catch rates differently. Predictions for the end of the century under representative concentration pathways (RCPs) 2.6 and RCP8.5 suggested significant shifts in population densities, with species like T. lepturus and S. niphonius experiencing reduced densities and altered spatial patterns, while E. japonicus may benefit from climate change. The center of gravity for most species was projected to shift northward by the year 2050, with notable variations under RCP8.5. Additionally, spatial overlap among species was expected to decrease significantly by the year 2100, indicating increasing divergence in their distributions. This study underscores the effects of climate change on species habitat distribution and offers a scientific basis for future habitat protection.},
}
@article {pmid40001894,
year = {2025},
author = {Yang, Y and Gao, W and Han, Y and Zhou, T},
title = {Predicting the Impact of Climate Change on the Distribution of North China Leopards (Panthera pardus japonensis) in Gansu Province Using MaxEnt Modeling.},
journal = {Biology},
volume = {14},
number = {2},
pages = {},
pmid = {40001894},
issn = {2079-7737},
support = {20JR10RA658//the Ziwuling Ecosystem Field Scientific Observation and Research Station project in Gansu Province/ ; 22JR10K22//Gansu Province Science Popularization Project/ ; XYBYZK2211//Longdong University Doctoral Fund/ ; },
abstract = {Climate change has a profound impact on the phenology and growth of vegetation, which in turn influences the distribution and behavior of animal communities, including prey species. This dynamic shift significantly affects predator survival and activities. This study utilizes the MaxEnt model to explore how climate change impacts the distribution of the North China leopard (Panthera pardus japonensis) in the Ziwuling region of Gansu Province, China. As an endemic subspecies and apex predator, the North China leopard is vital for maintaining the structure and function of local ecosystems. Unfortunately, its population faces several threats, including habitat change, interspecies competition, and human encroachment, all of which are compounded by the ongoing effects of climate change. To assess the requirement and quality of habitat for this species, we conducted a population survey in the Ziwuling area from May 2020 to June 2022, utilizing 240 infrared cameras, which identified 46 active leopard sites. Using the MaxEnt model, we simulated habitat suitability and future distribution under different climate change scenarios based on nine environmental variables. Our results indicate that the population distribution of North China leopards is primarily influenced by the mean diurnal range (Bio2), with additional sensitivity to isothermal conditions (Bio3), temperature seasonality (Bio4), maximum temperature of the warmest month (Bio5), and annual temperature range (Bio7). We also evaluated habitat suitability across three socioeconomic pathways (SSP126, SSP245, and SSP585) for three time intervals: the 2050s (2041-2060), the 2070s (2061-2080), and the 2090s (2081-2100). The findings suggest a significant decline in high-suitability habitat for North China leopards, while areas of medium and low suitability are projected to increase. Understanding these distributional changes in North China leopards will enhance our comprehension of the region's biogeography and inform conservation strategies aimed at mitigating the impacts of climate change.},
}
@article {pmid39999736,
year = {2025},
author = {Bakul, F and Heanoy, EZ and Antu, AD and Khandakar, F and Ahmed, S},
title = {Assessing the relationship between climate change anxiety, ecological coping, and pro-environmental behavior: Evidence from Gen Z Bangladeshis.},
journal = {Acta psychologica},
volume = {254},
number = {},
pages = {104847},
doi = {10.1016/j.actpsy.2025.104847},
pmid = {39999736},
issn = {1873-6297},
abstract = {Climate change has been speculated to cause frequent, long-lasting, and adverse weather events and would affect people's lives-and-well-being. Bangladesh, a low-lying delta is vulnerable to climate change, experiencing natural disasters each year with physical, mental, and economical impact on the population. The primary objective of the present study was to investigate the relationship between climate change anxiety (CCA), climate change-related coping strategies, and pro-environmental behavior (PEB) among Gen-Z Bangladeshis. The secondary objective was to assess CCA level and its associated coping approach among different disaster types witnessed by the respondents, and in disaster-affected vs. non-affected group. A total 557 participants between 18- and 25 years old participated in a cross-sectional survey including 13-items CCA Scale (CCAS), 15-items Ecological Coping Scale (ECS), demographics, and PEB questions. Results demonstrated that functional-impairment subscale and cognitive-impairment subscale of CCAS, MFC (meaning-focused coping), denial, and problem-focused coping (PFC) subscale of ECS, and PEBs were reliably correlated to varying degrees. Moreover, the disaster-affected group had significantly higher cognitive-impairment, functional-impairment, denial, and PFC use than non-affected group. Also, flood-witnessed people demonstrated more cognitive-impaired, functional-impaired, and used more MFC and PFC than storm and drought witnessed people. These findings highlight the awareness level of climate change impact among Gen-Z Bangladeshis, assisting professionals to formulate a tailored intervention.},
}
@article {pmid39998494,
year = {2025},
author = {Ang, SP and Chia, JE},
title = {Climate change and cardiovascular risk.},
journal = {Current opinion in cardiology},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1097/HCO.0000000000001207},
pmid = {39998494},
issn = {1531-7080},
abstract = {PURPOSE OF REVIEW: This review explores the complex relationship between climate change and cardiovascular health. It examines the mechanisms through which climate change impacts cardiovascular risk, highlights recent findings on regional trends, and discusses mitigation strategies.<br><br>RECENT FINDINGS: Climate change significantly contributes to cardiovascular morbidity and mortality through mechanisms such as temperature extremes, air pollution, and food insecurity. Heatwaves increase risks of dehydration, electrolyte imbalance, and acute cardiovascular events, while cold spells exacerbate myocardial stress and pollution-related cardiovascular risks. Air pollution, including fine particulate matter (PM2.5), induces systemic inflammation, endothelial dysfunction, and atherosclerosis. Emerging data highlight regional variations, with urbanization exacerbating risks in Asia-Pacific and Middle Eastern populations, while extreme heat and cold challenge resilience in Europe and Latin America. Studies also link socioeconomic stress from climate-induced displacement and resource shortages to chronic cardiovascular conditions. Notably, urban greening and air quality regulations demonstrate potential for reducing cardiovascular risks.<br><br>SUMMARY: Climate change amplifies cardiovascular risks through diverse mechanisms, disproportionately affecting vulnerable populations. Targeted strategies, including public health campaigns, sustainable urban planning, and technological innovations, can mitigate these risks. Advances in generative artificial intelligence and big data analytics offer opportunities to tailor interventions and enhance predictive modeling. A multidisciplinary approach integrating public health, environmental science, and clinical expertise is critical to addressing these challenges. Urgent action is required to mitigate the long-term cardiovascular impacts of climate change and foster resilient health systems globally.},
}
@article {pmid39997762,
year = {2025},
author = {Humayun, M and Naseem, S and Goodman, RE and Ali, Z},
title = {Broussonetia papyrifera Pollen Metabolome Insights, Allergenicity, and Dispersal in Response to Climate Change Variables.},
journal = {Metabolites},
volume = {15},
number = {2},
pages = {},
pmid = {39997762},
issn = {2218-1989},
support = {HEC-NRPU-8231//Higher Education Commision, Pakistan/ ; },
abstract = {Background/Objectives: Broussonetia papyrifera is a tree-producing allergenic pollen that grows in varied climatic conditions worldwide and causes pollen allergies in susceptible humans. This study aimed to investigate B. papyrifera pollen morphology, pollen metabolome, pollen allergenicity, and climate change's impact on the plant habitat suitability in the future. Methods: Tree pollen was collected in spring from different regions of Pakistan. Pollen samples were subjected to morphological analysis, Fourier transform infrared spectroscopy (FTIR), liquid chromatography-mass spectrometry (LC-MS/MS), and immunoblotting. Results: MaxEnt modeling predicted the tree's future-growth invasion into new regions. Scanning electron microscopy (SEM) and FTIR displayed regional differences in pollen morphology and metabolome correlated to shifts in climatic variables. LC-MS/MS analysis detected four lipids that can potentially stimulate inflammatory responses. Pollen protein immunoblotting studies identified a putative 15 kDa novel allergen and verified previously known 40 kDa, 33 kDa, and 10 kDa allergens. B. papyrifera MaxEnt modeling through ACCESS1.0 and CCSM4 under 2-greenhouse gas emissions scenarios {representative concentration pathway (RCP) 4.5 and 8.5}
projected the tree invasion by the years 2050 and 2070. Conclusions: The study findings demonstrate that differences in climatic variables affect B. papyrifera-pollen metabolome and predict the habitat suitability of the tree for invasion in the future. The study results provide a model system for studying other species' pollen morphology, metabolome, future habitat suitability for plant invasion, and associated allergies in response to climate change.},
}
@article {pmid39996366,
year = {2025},
author = {Martén-Rodríguez, S and Cristobal-Pérez, EJ and de Santiago-Hernández, MH and Huerta-Ramos, G and Clemente-Martínez, L and Krupnick, G and Taylor, O and Lopezaraiza-Mikel, M and Balvino-Olvera, FJ and Sentíes-Aguilar, EM and Díaz-Infante, S and Aguirre Jaimes, A and Novais, S and Cortés-Flores, J and Lobo-Segura, J and Fuchs, EJ and Delgado-Carrillo, O and Ruiz-Mercado, I and Sáyago-Lorenzana, R and Pérez-Arroyo, K and Quesada, M},
title = {Untangling the Complexity of Climate Change Effects on Plant Reproductive Traits and Pollinators: A Systematic Global Synthesis.},
journal = {Global change biology},
volume = {31},
number = {2},
pages = {e70081},
pmid = {39996366},
issn = {1365-2486},
support = {2021-LN315810//Consejo Nacional de Humanidades, Ciencias y Tecnolog&#xed;as/ ; PAPIITIN226423//Direcci&#xf3;n General de Asuntos del Personal Acad&#xe9;mico, Universidad Nacional Aut&#xf3;noma de M&#xe9;xico/ ; PAPIIT IN224920//Direcci&#xf3;n General de Asuntos del Personal Acad&#xe9;mico, Universidad Nacional Aut&#xf3;noma de M&#xe9;xico/ ; PAPIITIN219021//Direcci&#xf3;n General de Asuntos del Personal Acad&#xe9;mico, Universidad Nacional Aut&#xf3;noma de M&#xe9;xico/ ; PAPIIITIN225924//Direcci&#xf3;n General de Asuntos del Personal Acad&#xe9;mico, Universidad Nacional Aut&#xf3;noma de M&#xe9;xico/ ; LaboratorioBinacionalUNAM-UCR//Universidad Nacional Aut&#xf3;noma de M/ ; },
mesh = {*Climate Change ; *Pollination ; Animals ; Reproduction ; Ecosystem ; Flowers/physiology ; Plants ; Insecta/physiology ; },
abstract = {Climate change is expected to affect the morphological, physiological, and life-history traits of plants and animal pollinators due to more frequent extreme heat and other altered weather patterns. This systematic literature review evaluates the effects of climate change on plant and pollinator traits on a global scale to determine how species responses vary among Earth's ecosystems, climate variables, taxonomic groups, and organismal traits. We compiled studies conducted under natural or experimental conditions (excluding agricultural species) and analyzed species response patterns for each trait (advance vs. delay or no change for phenology, decrease vs. increase or no change for other traits). Climate change has advanced plant and animal phenologies across most Earth's biomes, but evidence for temporal plant-pollinator mismatches remains limited. Flower production and plant reproductive success showed diverse responses to warming and low water availability in Alpine and Temperate ecosystems, and a trend for increased or neutral responses in Arctic and Tropical biomes. Nectar rewards mainly experienced negative effects under warming and drought across Alpine and Temperate biomes, but scent emissions increased or changed in composition. Life form (woody vs. nonwoody species) did not significantly influence trait response patterns to climate change. Pollinator fecundity, size, life-history, developmental, and physiological traits mostly declined with warming across biomes; however, animal abundance and resource acquisition traits showed diverse responses. This review identified critical knowledge gaps that limit our understanding of the impacts of climate change, particularly in tropical/subtropical biomes and southern latitudes. It also highlights the urgent need to sample across a greater range of plant families and pollinator taxa (e.g., beetles, wasps, vertebrates). The diversity of climate change effects should be assessed in the context of other anthropogenic drivers of global change that threaten critically important pollination interactions.},
}
@article {pmid39996198,
year = {2025},
author = {Zavaleta-Monestel, E and Rojas-Chinchilla, C and Molina-Sojo, P and Murillo-Castro, MF and Rojas-Molina, JP and Martínez-Vargas, E},
title = {Impact of Climate Change on the Global Dynamics of Vector-Borne Infectious Diseases: A Narrative Review.},
journal = {Cureus},
volume = {17},
number = {1},
pages = {e77972},
pmid = {39996198},
issn = {2168-8184},
abstract = {Climate change has significantly altered the dynamics of vector-borne infectious diseases, favoring their proliferation and geographic expansion. Factors such as rising temperatures, the frequency of extreme weather events, and uncontrolled urbanization have increased the incidence of diseases such as dengue, Zika, chikungunya, malaria, and Lyme disease, especially in vulnerable regions with limited infrastructure. This article presents a narrative review based on recent scientific literature (2018-2025) to assess the impact of climate change on vector distribution, co-infections, and control strategies. The evidence collected highlights how changing climate conditions, combined with socioeconomic, political, and demographic factors, exacerbate public health crises and complicate mitigation efforts. It is concluded that facing this challenge requires a comprehensive strategy that combines environmental management, technological innovation, epidemiological surveillance, and community educational programs, promoting a coordinated global response to reduce the associated risks.},
}
@article {pmid39995912,
year = {2025},
author = {Yesuph, DS and Dalka, DD and Tadesse Baye, M},
title = {Underutilized and neglected crop species and their role in enhancing household food security amid climate change, Wolaita Zone, Ethiopia.},
journal = {Heliyon},
volume = {11},
number = {3},
pages = {e42345},
pmid = {39995912},
issn = {2405-8440},
abstract = {Neglected and underutilized crop species (NUCS) are those that have been largely overlooked in mainstream agriculture, despite their potential to contribute to food security, nutritional diversity, and resilience to climate change. These crops are often undervalued, resulting in limited research and underproduction, despite their significant potential for enhancing agricultural sustainability. The study addresses the need for crop and food diversification due to food insecurity, monotonous diets, and climate change. It focuses on NUCS, which are at risk of genetic loss or negative perceptions by growers and consumers. The research aimed to document these crops, assess farmers' opinion, identify challenges in their production and consumption, and analyse their contribution to household food security. Through a multi-stage sampling method, 246 households were interviewed, along with focus group discussions and key informant interviews. The study documented 32 NUCS, which are used as supplements to staple crops and help mitigate food crises caused by climate change. However, producing and consuming these crops is often associated with poverty. The analysis revealed that 50 % of respondents have poor food consumption, 30 % are at the borderline, and only 20 % are at an acceptable level. Factors such as age, sex, farming experience, household size, and farm size significantly impact the production and consumption of these crops. The study concludes that proper documentation and seed multiplication by research and extension institutions are crucial for preserving these crops as climate change threatens staple crop production.},
}
@article {pmid39994006,
year = {2025},
author = {Parker, ER and Rosenbach, M and Davis, MDP},
title = {The American Dermatological Association's 2025 Official Policy Statement on Climate Change: a bold commitment toward health equity and sustainability.},
journal = {Archives of dermatological research},
volume = {317},
number = {1},
pages = {480},
pmid = {39994006},
issn = {1432-069X},
}
@article {pmid39993203,
year = {2025},
author = {Zhang, SY and Zhang, YY and Yang, F and Zhou, C and Shen, HM and Wang, BB and Zeng, J and Reynolds, DR and Chapman, JW and Hu, G},
title = {Climate change is leading to an ecological trap in a migratory insect.},
journal = {Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America},
volume = {122},
number = {9},
pages = {e2422595122},
doi = {10.1073/pnas.2422595122},
pmid = {39993203},
issn = {1091-6490},
support = {2022YFD1400400//MOST | National Key Research and Development Program of China (NKPs)/ ; KJJQ2024015//Fundamental Research Funds for the Central University/ ; 31772155 and 31822043//National Natural Science Foundation of China/ ; },
mesh = {Animals ; *Animal Migration/physiology ; *Climate Change ; *Moths/physiology ; China ; *Seasons ; *Wind ; Population Dynamics ; Oryza/parasitology ; Ecosystem ; },
abstract = {Many insect migrants rely on favorable seasonal winds to carry out long-range latitudinal migrations. In East China, the annual advance and retreat of the East Asian summer monsoon produces ideal conditions for seasonal range expansion and contraction of many migratory crop pests. However, climate-induced changes in the strength, timing, and location of the monsoon are impacting wind systems which may, in turn, affect migration patterns. We investigated these questions in the rice leafroller (RLR) moth, a severe pest of rice that annually invades the Lower Yangtze River Valley (LYRV) of China from winter-breeding areas further south. Using a 24-y dataset of RLR population dynamics from 31 monitoring stations across Southeast China, we investigated the impact of changes in monsoon wind regimes on fall migration patterns of the pest. Historically, RLR emigrated from the LYRV to South China on the favorably directed winds produced by the retreat of the monsoon at the end of the outbreak season (from mid-August onward). We show that in the recent 12-y period, prevailing late-season winds remain northward for longer than previously, preventing locally produced moths from emigrating southward. Additionally, winds now facilitate mass late-season immigrations into the LYRV, creating an ecological trap, as immigrants do not have time to produce another generation. As a consequence of the changing wind patterns, pest pressure is declining, and climate-induced changes to the East Asian summer monsoon result in seasonal migration becoming a riskier strategy. Such changes in insect migration patterns have severe implications for the population dynamics of windborne migrants, ecosystem functioning, and pest management strategies.},
}
@article {pmid39990961,
year = {2025},
author = {Vattioni, S and Peter, T and Weber, R and Dykema, JA and Luo, B and Stenke, A and Feinberg, A and Sukhodolov, T and Keutsch, FN and Ammann, M and Vockenhuber, C and Döbeli, M and Kelesidis, GA and Chiodo, G},
title = {Injecting solid particles into the stratosphere could mitigate global warming but currently entails great uncertainties.},
journal = {Communications earth &amp; environment},
volume = {6},
number = {1},
pages = {132},
pmid = {39990961},
issn = {2662-4435},
abstract = {Stratospheric aerosol injection could mitigate harmful effects of global warming, but could have undesirable side effects, such as warming the stratosphere and depleting the ozone layer. We explore the potential benefits of solid alumina and calcite particles as alternatives to sulfate aerosols by using an experimentally informed aerosol-chemistry-climate model. Compared to sulfur dioxide, injection of solids reduces stratospheric warming by up to 70% and diffuse radiation by up to 40%, highlighting their potential benefits. Achieving -1 W m[-2] of radiative forcing would likely result in very small ozone changes, but sizable uncertainties remain. These arise from poorly understood heterogeneous chemical and microphysical processes, which, under less likely assumptions, could lead to larger global ozone column changes between -14% and +4%. Our work provides recommendations for improving the understanding of stratospheric aerosol injection using materials other than sulfur dioxide, and underscores the need for kinetic laboratory studies.},
}
@article {pmid39990578,
year = {2025},
author = {Eskew, EA and Clancey, E and Singh, D and Situma, S and Nyakarahuka, L and Njenga, MK and Nuismer, SL},
title = {Projecting climate change impacts on inter-epidemic risk of rift valley fever across east africa.},
journal = {medRxiv : the preprint server for health sciences},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1101/2025.02.08.25321747},
pmid = {39990578},
abstract = {BACKGROUND: Rift Valley fever (RVF) is a zoonotic disease that causes sporadic, multi-country epidemics. However, RVF virus (RVFV) also circulates during inter-epidemic periods. There is limited understanding of how climate change will affect inter-epidemic RVF. Here, we project inter-epidemic RVF risk under future climate scenarios, focusing on the East African countries of Kenya, Tanzania, and Uganda.<br><br>METHODS: We combined data on inter-epidemic RVF outbreaks and spatially-explicit predictor variables to build a predictive model of inter-epidemic RVF risk. We validated our model using RVFV serological data from humans. We then projected inter-epidemic RVF risk for three future time periods (2021-2040, 2041-2060, 2061-208) under three climate scenarios (SSP126, SSP245, SSP370). Finally, we combined risk projections with human population projections to estimate the future population at risk of inter-epidemic RVF across the study region.<br><br>FINDINGS: Our model showed seasonality in inter-epidemic RVF, with risk peaking May-July following the long rains (March-May). Projections for future climate scenarios suggested that disease risk will increase January-March, with the present-day hotspots of east Kenya, southeast Tanzania, and southwest Uganda remaining high-risk. By 2061-2080, > 117 million people in the study region may be at risk from inter-epidemic RVF, a fourfold increase relative to the historical (1970-2000) estimate of &#x223c;25 million people.<br><br>INTERPRETATION: Climate change will shift the inter-epidemic RVF risk landscape, with increasing short rains (October-December) driving increased risk January-March. Mitigating the future health impacts of RVF will require increased disease surveillance, prevention, and control effort in risk hotspots.<br><br>FUNDING: US National Institutes of Health.<br><br>RESEARCH IN CONTEXT: Evidence before this study: As for arboviruses generally, global climate change may shift the geographic distribution, timing, and severity of disease burden imposed by Rift Valley fever (RVF). To review the existing evidence for climate change impacts on RVF while adopting a specific geographic focus on East Africa, we searched Web of Science using the query string "ALL=(climate change) AND ALL=(Rift Valley fever) AND ALL=('East Africa' OR Kenya OR Tanzania OR Uganda)". Our search returned 39 results published between 2007 and 2024. We reviewed these contents to identify work with a substantive focus on understanding how future climate change will affect RVF (as opposed to investigations discussing any connection between climatic factors and RVF occurrence). We identified a total of ten papers that met this criterion: two were reviews, four analyzed mechanistic compartmental models, and four were empirical papers adopting other modeling and analysis methods. These studies highlighted the key role of precipitation and temperature in RVF epidemiology. Heavy precipitation is a well- known RVF driver given that rainfall can cause large amounts of surface water to become available for mosquito vector breeding. As such, expected wetting trends in East Africa under climate change scenarios could fuel increased frequency and severity of RVF. Temperature influences on RVF are underappreciated relative to precipitation, but climate-driven compartmental models emphasize that RVFV transmission is likely to be highest in areas that maintain optimal temperatures for mosquito development (&#x223c;22-26&#xb0;C).Added value of this study: Adopting a machine learning approach, we found that precipitation, goat density, soil silt, and elevation were among the most important predictors of inter-epidemic RVF. Our model, which was trained on monthly climatic data, showed seasonally-varying RVF risk, with risk peaking following the long rains season (March-May) and, to a lesser degree, following the short rains (October-December). We used our trained model, which was validated against serological data from humans, to project RVF risk for three future time periods (2021- 2040, 2041-2060, 2061-208) under three climate scenarios (SSP126, SSP245, SSP370) using 11 climate models from the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP6). As a result, our multi-model projections of inter-epidemic RVF risk explicitly incorporate multiple sources of climate uncertainty. Projections suggested that RVF risk will increase January-March across the study region, particularly under high-emissions scenarios (i.e., SSP370). Although there are some anticipated changes in the spatial distribution of RVF risk, future risk hotspots largely mirror the present-day, with high risk in east Kenya, southeast Tanzania, and southwest Uganda.Implications of all the available evidence: Precipitation, the major driver of RVF, shapes both the temporal and spatial patterning of RVF risk across East Africa. Projections of future RVF risk are also strongly influenced by precipitation, with projected increases in disease risk January-March arising from projected increases in short rains (October-December) precipitation under future climate scenarios. Accurate projections of future precipitation, including a better understanding of potential changes to climatic linkages like the El Ni&#xf1;o-Southern Oscillation and Indian Ocean Dipole, will enable meaningful prediction of future RVF risk that can inform disease interventions. Greater consideration of population-level host immunity and climate adaptation behaviors in East Africa (i.e., changing livestock management practices) would also allow for more realistic RVF risk projections.},
}
@article {pmid39990145,
year = {2025},
author = {He, Z and Ali, H and Wu, J and Liu, Z and Wei, X and Zhuo, Z},
title = {Impact of climate change on the distribution of Isaria cicadae Miquel in China: predictions based on the MaxEnt model.},
journal = {Frontiers in microbiology},
volume = {16},
number = {},
pages = {1509882},
pmid = {39990145},
issn = {1664-302X},
abstract = {INTRODUCTION: Isaria cicadae, a historically valued edible and medicinal fungus in China, has been experiencing a critical decline in abundance due to ecological degradation and overexploitation. Understanding its potential distribution is essential for promoting sustainable harvesting practices.<br><br>METHODS: This study utilizes the MaxEnt model, combined with known distribution records and 22 environmental variables, to predict the potential distribution of I. cicadae under three representative emission scenarios (CMIP6: SSP1-2.6, SSP2-4.5, and SSP5-8.5) for the 2050s and 2070s.<br><br>RESULTS: The analysis identifies seven key environmental variables influencing the habitat suitability of I. cicadae: the mean temperature of the driest quarter (bio09), the mean temperature of the wettest quarter (bio08), precipitation in the wettest month (bio16), the mean diurnal range (bio02), isothermality (bio03), elevation, and slope. Currently, I. cicadae is mainly found in the provinces of Yunnan, Sichuan, Hunan, Hubei, Guizhou, Jiangxi, Guangxi, Fujian, Anhui, and Zhejiang, with Yunnan and Sichuan having the largest areas of high suitability at 25.79&#x202f;&#xd7;&#x202f;10[4]&#x202f;km[2] and 21.36&#x202f;&#xd7;&#x202f;10[4]&#x202f;km[2], respectively.<br><br>DISCUSSION: Jiangxi, Hunan, Yunnan, Guizhou, Fujian, and the Guangxi Zhuang Autonomous Region are identified as primary regions of high suitability. This study aims to further elucidate the impact of the environment on the distribution of I. cicadae from a geographical perspective and provide theoretical insights for the future cultivation and conservation strategies of this species.},
}
@article {pmid39988524,
year = {2025},
author = {Bai, Y and Li, D and Wangchuk, S and Kettner, A and Zhao, Y and Deng, R and Liu, Y and Xiao, C and Ni, J and Cui, P},
title = {Flood complexity and rising exposure risk in High Mountain Asia under climate change.},
journal = {Science bulletin},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1016/j.scib.2025.01.055},
pmid = {39988524},
issn = {2095-9281},
}
@article {pmid39988020,
year = {2025},
author = {Bousema, T and van Asten, SAV and Ramjith, J and Buhl, MEJ and Tack, B and Whitfield, KE and Friedrich, AW and Kantele, A},
title = {Corrigendum to "Transforming ESCMID in a time of climate change: a call for sustainable conferencing" [Clin Microbiol Infect 30 (2024) 1347-1350].},
journal = {Clinical microbiology and infection : the official publication of the European Society of Clinical Microbiology and Infectious Diseases},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1016/j.cmi.2025.02.023},
pmid = {39988020},
issn = {1469-0691},
}
@article {pmid39987871,
year = {2025},
author = {Gerberding, K and Schirpke, U},
title = {Mapping the probability of forest fire hazard across the European Alps under climate change scenarios.},
journal = {Journal of environmental management},
volume = {377},
number = {},
pages = {124600},
doi = {10.1016/j.jenvman.2025.124600},
pmid = {39987871},
issn = {1095-8630},
abstract = {Forest fires are increasing in frequency and intensity worldwide due to the anthropogenic climate change, threatening people's lives and causing huge economic and environmental damages. Recent forest fire events suggest that forest fires are also an urgent issue in the European Alps, but studies assessing the forest fire hazard under future climate scenarios are still rare. Thus, this study aims to analyse the impacts of climate change on the probability of forest fire hazard across the European Alps and surrounding areas. In specific, we (1) explain the current forest fire hazard based on a set of environmental and anthropogenic parameters, and (2) map the forest fire hazard under current and future conditions across the study area using geographically weighted regression. Our results suggest that the fire hazard mainly depends on the frequency of lightning strikes, the annual mean temperature, and the precipitation seasonality. Overall, our results indicate a future increase in forest fire hazard, which is already significant under the SSP126 (+15.5%), while highest increases occur under the SSP370 (30.6%) and the SSP585 (35.4%). However, while the impacts are less pronounced in already fire-prone regions in the southwestern regions in France, the probability of forest fire hazard will greatly increase in the Northern and Eastern regions. Our findings emphasize the urgent need to address these climate-related challenges by decision-making and management through fire-smart forest management. Nevertheless, further efforts are needed to overcome current limitations related to data availability and uncertainties in future scenarios.},
}
@article {pmid39987869,
year = {2025},
author = {Andrista, S and Utami, NP and Hukom, V and Nielsen, M and Nielsen, R},
title = {Responses to climate change: Perceptions and adaptation among small-scale farmers in Indonesia.},
journal = {Journal of environmental management},
volume = {377},
number = {},
pages = {124593},
doi = {10.1016/j.jenvman.2025.124593},
pmid = {39987869},
issn = {1095-8630},
abstract = {Climate change poses challenges to the global agricultural systems. The threat is more significant for small-scale farmers who constitute 40% of global and 29% of Indonesian farmers, playing a pivotal role in rural economies. Understanding how small-scale farmers adapt to climate change is crucial for developing targeted policy interventions because there is no "one size fits all" policy. This paper explores perceptions and driving forces of adaptation responses to climate change among small-scale farmers in Indonesia, while putting emphasis on the role of perceptions and socioeconomic factors at a local level. Employing both qualitative and quantitative research methods, the study analyzed perceptions and adaptation strategies among farmers in six districts representing Indonesia's varied climate patterns: Mentawai, West Tanjung Jabung, West Kotawaringin, Buton, Sikka, and Fakfak. The qualitative method involved in-depth interviews with 125 farmers to understand how climate variability, socioeconomic conditions, knowledge levels, technological resources, and institutional capabilities influence adaptation strategies such as crop diversification, land maintenance, and livelihood diversification. The quantitative method employed logistic regression to identify the driving factors behind these adaptation decisions. The findings reveal significant variations in climate change perceptions across different climatic regions, highlighting the considerable influence of gender, access to government support, and access to information on climate change adaptation strategies. Gender positively influences land management practices, where males are more likely to perform land maintenance activities compared to females. Government support and information access positively affect crop diversification, land management practices, and livelihood diversification. These insights suggest important policy implications for enhancing climate change adaptation strategies within communities which include region-specific climate adaptation plans, climate education programs, enhancing climate information accuracy and accessibility, gender-sensitive climate adaptation policies, and support for livelihood diversification.},
}
@article {pmid39987228,
year = {2025},
author = {Benoit, L and R Lowe, S and Thomas, I and Amsalem, D and Martin, A},
title = {Climate change hopefulness, anxiety, and behavioral intentions among adolescents: randomized controlled trial of a brief "selfie" video intervention.},
journal = {Child and adolescent psychiatry and mental health},
volume = {19},
number = {1},
pages = {13},
pmid = {39987228},
issn = {1753-2000},
support = {R25 MH077823/MH/NIMH NIH HHS/United States ; 5R25 MH077823/MH/NIMH NIH HHS/United States ; },
abstract = {AIM: We tested the utility of showing "selfie" videos to increase adolescents' climate change hope, agency, and behavioral intentions, and to decrease their climate anxiety.<br><br>METHODS: We conducted a randomized controlled trial among healthy volunteers, ages 14 to 18, enrolled through a crowdsourcing platform. We randomly assigned participants (N&#x2009;=&#x2009;1039) to view one of three 110-s-long video interventions featuring the same adolescent protagonist: positive (depicting an action-oriented stance); negative (defeatist stance); and control (neutral stance and unrelated content). The primary outcome was climate change hope; secondary outcomes were climate change anxiety, behavioral intention scales, and 100-point sliders about hopefulness and agency.<br><br>RESULTS: Viewing positive "selfie" videos proved effective among adolescents in increasing hopefulness and a sense of agency regarding climate change (<&#x2009;0.001), but not in decreasing climate anxiety or increasing intentions to engage in pro-environmental behaviors.<br><br>CONCLUSION: Brief video-based interventions featuring adolescent protagonists showed potential to increase hope and agency regarding climate change. While this single exposure did not directly affect anxiety levels or behavioral intentions, future research should examine whether repeated exposure and different "doses" of such interventions might influence these outcomes. The ubiquity and reach of social media hold promise to scale these inexpensive and specifically tailored interventions.},
}
@article {pmid39986317,
year = {2025},
author = {Litchman, E},
title = {Climate change effects on the human gut microbiome: complex mechanisms and global inequities.},
journal = {The Lancet. Planetary health},
volume = {9},
number = {2},
pages = {e134-e144},
doi = {10.1016/S2542-5196(24)00332-2},
pmid = {39986317},
issn = {2542-5196},
mesh = {*Climate Change ; Humans ; *Gastrointestinal Microbiome/physiology ; Diet ; },
abstract = {Ongoing global climate change is affecting all aspects of life on Earth, including human health. The gut microbiota is an important determinant of health in humans and other organisms, but how climate change affects gut microbiota remains largely unexplored. In this Review, I discuss how the changing climate might affect gut microbiota by altering the quantity and quality of food, as well as environmental microbiomes, such as enteric pathogen pressure and host physiology. Climate change-induced variability in food supply, shifts in elemental and macromolecular composition of plant and animal food, the proliferation of enteric pathogens, and the direct effects of high temperatures on gut physiology might alter gut microbiota in undesirable ways, increasing the health burden of climate change. The importance of different pathways might depend on many geographical, economic, and ecological factors. Microbiomes of populations in low-income countries might be disproportionally affected through greater climate change effects and poor mitigation on diet, pathogen burden, and host physiology.},
}
@article {pmid39985278,
year = {2025},
author = {Hayes, C and Mitchell, A and Huerlimann, R and Jolly, J and Li, C and Booth, DJ and Ravasi, T and Nagelkerken, I},
title = {Stomach Microbiome Simplification of a Coral Reef Fish at Its Novel Cold-Range Edge Under Climate Change.},
journal = {Molecular ecology},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {e17704},
doi = {10.1111/mec.17704},
pmid = {39985278},
issn = {1365-294X},
support = {DP170101722//Australian Research Council/ ; OIST Kick-start fund//Okinawa Institute of Science and Technology Graduate University/ ; },
abstract = {Climate-driven range extensions of animals into higher latitudes are often facilitated by phenotypic plasticity. Modifications to habitat preference, behaviour and diet can increase the persistence of range-extending species in novel high-latitude ecosystems. These strategies may be influenced by changes in their gut and stomach microbial communities that are critical to host fitness and potentially adaptive plasticity. Yet, it remains unknown if the gut and stomach microbiome of range-extending species is plastic in their novel ranges to help facilitate these modifications. Here, we categorised stomach microbiome communities of a prevalent range-extending coral reef fish along a 2000-km latitudinal gradient in a global warming hotspot, extending from their tropical core range to their temperate cold range edge. At their cold range edge, the coral reef fish's stomach microbiome showed a 59% decrease in bacterial diversity and a 164% increase in the relative abundance of opportunistic bacteria (Vibrio) compared to their core range. Microbiome diversity was unaffected by fish body size, water temperature, physiology (cellular defence and damage) and habitat type (turf, barren, oyster, kelp and coral) across their range. The observed shifts in microbiome composition suggest dysbiosis and low plasticity of tropical range-extending fishes to novel environmental conditions (e.g., temperate prey and lower seawater temperature) at their novel range edges, which may increase their susceptibility to disease in temperate ecosystems. We conclude that fishes extending their ranges to higher latitudes under ocean warming can experience a simplification (i.e., reduced diversity) of their stomach microbiome, which could restrict their current rate of range extensions or establishment in temperate ecosystems.},
}
@article {pmid39984516,
year = {2025},
author = {Morozov, A and Ageel, A and Bates, A and Galyov, E},
title = {Modelling the effects of climate change on the interaction between bacteria and phages with a temperature-dependent lifecycle switch.},
journal = {Scientific reports},
volume = {15},
number = {1},
pages = {6428},
pmid = {39984516},
issn = {2045-2322},
support = {EP/W522326/1//Engineering and Physical Sciences Research Council/ ; },
mesh = {*Climate Change ; *Bacteriophages/physiology ; *Burkholderia pseudomallei/virology ; *Temperature ; Thailand ; Soil Microbiology ; Models, Theoretical ; Melioidosis/microbiology/transmission ; Lysogeny ; Agriculture/methods ; Humans ; },
abstract = {Ongoing climate change and human activities alter the population dynamics of pathogenic bacteria in natural environments, increasing the risk of disease transmission. Among the key mechanisms of amplification of bacteria in the environment is the alteration of the natural control by their enemies, bacteriophages. Using mathematical modelling, we explore how climate change and implementation of certain agricultural practices affect interactions of bacteria with phage exhibiting condition-dependent lysogeny, where the type of phage infection lifecycle is determined by the ambient temperature. As a case study, we model alteration to the control of the pathogenic bacteria Burkholderia pseudomallei by its dominant phage. B. pseudomallei causes melioidosis, which is among the deadliest infections in Southeast Asia and across the tropics. We use historical records for UV radiation and temperature in Thailand covering the period 2009-2023 to assess the density of the phage-free pathogen, capable of causing infection. We also predict phage-pathogen dynamics for the period 2024-2044. We apply both non-spatial and spatial models to mimic B. pseudomallei population dynamics in the surface water of rice fields and in soil. Our models predict a drastic increase in pathogen density due to less efficient control by the phage which is caused by global warming. We also find that some of the current agricultural practices would enhance the risk of acquisition of melioidosis by altering densities of the pathogen in the environment.},
}
@article {pmid39984227,
year = {2025},
author = {Maritano, S and Richiardi, L and Quaglia, S and Rusconi, F and Maule, M and Moirano, G},
title = {Exposure to climate change-related extreme events in the first year of life and occurrence of infant wheezing.},
journal = {Environment international},
volume = {196},
number = {},
pages = {109303},
doi = {10.1016/j.envint.2025.109303},
pmid = {39984227},
issn = {1873-6750},
mesh = {Humans ; *Climate Change ; Infant ; *Respiratory Sounds ; Female ; Italy/epidemiology ; *Environmental Exposure/statistics &amp; numerical data/adverse effects ; Male ; Adult ; Droughts ; Particulate Matter/analysis ; Wildfires ; Extreme Heat/adverse effects ; Infant, Newborn ; Prevalence ; Pregnancy ; Cohort Studies ; },
abstract = {INTRODUCTION: Climate change increases the intensity and frequency of extreme events, which will most impact younger generations. Within the NINFEA birth cohort, we investigated the relationship between exposure to such events during the first year of life and infant respiratory health.<br><br>METHODS: The NINFEA cohort study recruited pregnant women across 11&#xa0;years in Italy, allowing for climatic variability exploitation by birth place and time. We combined geocoded addresses with climate data, to derive children's cumulative exposure to the following extreme events during their first year: (i) heatwaves (i.e. 3&#xa0;+&#xa0;consecutive days, with maximum temperature&#xa0;>&#xa0;35&#xa0;&#xb0;C); (ii) days with wildfire PM2.5 >15&#xa0;&#x3bc;g/m3 and (iii) daily precipitation&#xa0;>&#xa0;100&#xa0;mm; (iv) months with exceptional drought. Logistic regression models estimated the relationship between each exposure and wheezing at 6-18&#xa0;months, adjusting for individual and contextual factors.<br><br>RESULTS: Wheezing prevalence in the cohort was 17.6%. The exposure to each additional heatwave in the first year of life increased wheezing risk by 16%, with an odds ratio (OR) of 1.16 and a 95% Confidence Interval (CI) of 1.00;1.35. The OR for each month of extreme drought exposure was 1.10, 95%CI 0.95; 1.26. Results for wildfire PM2.5 were unclear with wider confidence intervals (OR for each high exposure day:1.36, 95% CI 0.85; 2.16). Wheezing was not associated with extreme precipitation.<br><br>CONCLUSIONS: Exposure to multiple extreme events, especially heatwaves, in the first year of life is associated with later infant respiratory health suggesting the need to implement climate change mitigation policies to protect long-term health.},
}
@article {pmid39983967,
year = {2025},
author = {Chen, Z and Zhang, K and Peng, S and Tan, Y and Tong, J and Wang, B and Cai, H and Liu, F and Xiang, H},
title = {Climate change and air pollution can amplify vulnerability of glucose metabolism: The mediating effects of biological aging.},
journal = {Environmental research},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {121183},
doi = {10.1016/j.envres.2025.121183},
pmid = {39983967},
issn = {1096-0953},
abstract = {Climate change and air pollution pose significant global health threats, including impacts on diabetes risk; however, their long-term effects on insulin resistance (IR), a key determinant in diabetes pathophysiology, remain unclear. This study investigated whether exposure to heatwaves, temperature fluctuations, and warm-season ozone (O3) contributes to or exacerbates IR and explored the potential mediating role of biological aging. The study enrolled 6,901 participants and assessed both traditional and novel IR indicators: estimated glucose disposal rate (eGDR), triglyceride-glucose (TyG) index, triglyceride to high-density lipoprotein cholesterol ratio (TG/HDL-c), metabolic score for IR (METS-IR), TyG-body mass index (TyG-BMI), TyG-waist circumference (TyG-WC), waist-to-height ratio (WHtR), TyG-WHtR, and lipid accumulation product (LAP). Ordinary least squares regression models were applied to evaluate the long-lasting effects of heatwaves, temperature fluctuation, and warm-season O3 on IR, incorporating Huber-White robust standard errors for model stability. Causal mediation analysis was utilized to investigate the mediating effects of biological aging. We found that exposure to heatwaves and higher concentrations of warm-season O3 was associated with elevated IR levels, with males, smokers, drinkers, and low-income individuals being more vulnerable. Accelerated biological aging (including body age, metabolomic aging rate, etc.) could significant mediate the long-lasting effects of heatwaves and warm-season O3. Our findings suggest that climate change and air pollution could amplify the vulnerability of glucose metabolism, particularly in males, smokers, drinkers, and individuals with low-income. More importantly, our findings reveal the importance of mitigating biological aging to prevent IR in the future, as global diabetes prevalence escalates rapidly.},
}
@article {pmid39983579,
year = {2025},
author = {Zhou, W and Chen, L and Cheng, W and Li, Y and Li, T and Smith, P and Cheng, K},
title = {Synergistic effects of climate change and nitrogen use on future nitric oxide emissions from China's croplands.},
journal = {Journal of environmental management},
volume = {377},
number = {},
pages = {124643},
doi = {10.1016/j.jenvman.2025.124643},
pmid = {39983579},
issn = {1095-8630},
abstract = {Accurate quantification of soil nitric oxide (NO) emissions can establish a scientific foundation for developing targeted strategies to mitigate emissions, thereby reducing their environmental impact. Using a database with 476 field measurements across China, a NO emission model was constructed by employing four machine learning algorithms including Extreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost), Random Forest (RF), Support Vector Machine (SVM), and Artificial Neural Network (ANN). Our validation with independent observational data revealed that the XGBoost model performed the best, achieving a R[2] of 0.67. The most important management, soil, and meteorological variables affecting the NO model were mineral nitrogen input, soil organic carbon content, and air temperature, respectively. This study also found that NO emissions exhibited nonlinear responses to different variables. NO emissions from China's farmland were estimated to be approximately 204.48 kt NO-N in 2020. By 2050, we predicted that NO emissions could increase by 2.9%-9.9% under various climate change scenarios, with the highest increment of 9.9% occurring under the RCP8.5 scenario. The southern agricultural region, which was particularly vulnerable to climate change, experienced the largest increase, ranging from approximately 15%-31%. The implementation of nitrogen management strategies that are adapted to future climate conditions could potentially reduce NO emissions by 15%-16.2%.},
}
@article {pmid39983574,
year = {2025},
author = {Li, S and Nie, J and Liang, H and Zhou, G and Zhang, J and Liao, Y and Lu, Y and Tao, Y and Gao, S and Cao, W},
title = {Paddy fields can gain high productivity with low net global warming potential by utilizing green manure.},
journal = {Journal of environmental management},
volume = {377},
number = {},
pages = {124596},
doi = {10.1016/j.jenvman.2025.124596},
pmid = {39983574},
issn = {1095-8630},
abstract = {The use of milk vetch as winter green manure is common in paddy fields across southern China. The greenhouse effect of co-utilizing milk vetch and rice straw has not yet been reported. In this study, we investigated net greenhouse gas emissions and related environmental factors over two years based on a long-term experiment. The results showed that the application of milk vetch increased rice yields and soil productivity, especially in combination with rice straw utilization. The application of milk vetch increased annual soil carbon sequestration rate by 492 kg/ha without rice straw returning and by 1115 kg/ha with rice straw returning. Compared to rice straw returning, cumulative CO2 and N2O emissions decreased by 3.5% and 16.9%, CH4 emissions increased by 13.3%, and the net global warming potential and greenhouse gas emission intensity reduced by 2135 kg CO2-eq/ha and 0.16 kg CO2-eq/grain yield in co-utilization of milk vetch and rice straw. Compared to winter fallow, the utilization of milk vetch did not significantly increase CH4 emissions, and reduced greenhouse gas emission intensity by 0.13 kg CO2-eq/grain yield. In conclusion, the application of milk vetch mitigated net greenhouse gas emissions by increasing soil carbon sequestration, making it an effective strategy for reducing the carbon footprint and potentially contributing to broader efforts toward carbon neutrality.},
}
@article {pmid39983493,
year = {2025},
author = {Gebremedhn, H and Gebrewahid, Y and Hadgu, G and de Graaf, DC},
title = {Projecting the impacts of climate change on habitat distribution of Varroa destructor in Ethiopia using MaxEnt ecological modeling.},
journal = {The Science of the total environment},
volume = {968},
number = {},
pages = {178904},
doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2025.178904},
pmid = {39983493},
issn = {1879-1026},
abstract = {Globally, Varroa destructor has been identified as a major drivers of honeybee colony losses. Climate change may worsen its effects by creating conducive conditions for its reproduction, although our understanding of their interaction remains limited. This study hypothesizes that climate change alters the suitable habitat for V. destructor in Ethiopia. It investigated its habitat distributions under current and future climate change scenarios (ssp126, ssp245, and ssp585) using the Maximum Entropy Model (MaxEnt) across the study area (1.16 million Km[2]), based on 62 occurrence points and 22 predictor variables (19 climatic, 2 topographic and 1 agroecological). Habitats were classified into five categories using natural breaks: unsuitable (<0.10), low suitability (0.10-0.28), moderate suitability (0.28-0.48), high suitability (0.48-0.69), and very high suitability (>0.69). The average AUC and TSS values were 0.908 and 0.7, respectively, indicating excellent model performance and strong agreement between observations and predictions. Under current climatic conditions, approximately 46.4 % of Ethiopia's land mass (538,046.35 km[2]) is classified as having low to very high suitability for V. destructor. The most significant factors influencing its distribution are annual temperature (43.2 %), agroecology (14.7 %), precipitation of the driest quarter (12.1 %) and annual precipitation (10.2 %). The annual temperature favorable for V. destructor incidence ranges from 5 °C to 16.5 °C, with a notable decline in incidence as temperatures increase to 30 °C. This aligns with the predicted high concentration of suitable habitats in the cool-humid and sub-humid agroecological zones. However, suitable habitats are expected to decline under future climatic conditions. Under ssp585, suitable habitat for V. destructor is projected to decline by 13.72 % by the 2030s and by 31.66 % by the 2090s. Overall, under current and future climate conditions, suitable habitats are concentrated in the cool-humid and sub-humid agroecological zones. Therefore, research and management interventions should target these areas to contain the mite's spread and impact.},
}
@article {pmid39982052,
year = {2025},
author = {Parzniewski, S and Fackelmann, E and Ru, S and Breen, K and Wu, H},
title = {Climate Change-Related Risks of Gender-Based Violence (GBV) Among 2SLGBTQIA+ University Students and Emergent Adults: A Scoping Review.},
journal = {Journal of homosexuality},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {1-25},
doi = {10.1080/00918369.2025.2465417},
pmid = {39982052},
issn = {1540-3602},
abstract = {A scoping review was conducted using international databases, including Web of Science, Scopus, ProQuest, PubMed, Embase, and EBSCOhost, covering studies since 2009. Sixty-three articles focusing on gender-based violence (GBV) among 2SLGBTQIA+ university students and emergent adults were analyzed, incorporating climate change-related vulnerabilities that exacerbate GBV risks for marginalized students. Key factors were categorized into bullying, violence, and victimization; intersectionality; lack of awareness; disclosure of violence; and well-being and mental health implications. The findings reveal that discrimination, lack of support, and structural inequalities heighten vulnerability to GBV, compounded by climate-induced stressors such as displacement and resource scarcity. Practical implications include integrating intersectional approaches, tailored mental health support, climate resilience strategies, and anti-discrimination training into institutional policies, while public policy should strengthen safety nets, improve housing and healthcare access, and address compounded risks for marginalized groups during climate crises. Social work should prioritize culturally competent, trauma-informed interventions and foster community resilience. The study identifies critical research gaps, emphasizing the need to expand beyond US-focused studies to explore global intersections of GBV, climate change, and marginalized identities. These findings underscore the urgency of comprehensive strategies to mitigate GBV risks and enhance resilience for 2SLGBTQIA+ students.},
}
@article {pmid39981843,
year = {2025},
author = {Zeng, Q and Hu, HW and Ge, AH and Xiong, C and Zhai, CC and Duan, GL and Han, LL and Huang, SY and Zhang, LM},
title = {Plant-microbiome interactions and their impacts on plant adaptation to climate change.},
journal = {Journal of integrative plant biology},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1111/jipb.13863},
pmid = {39981843},
issn = {1744-7909},
support = {42277289//National Natural Science Foundation of China/ ; 42207142//National Natural Science Foundation of China/ ; 2023YFD1700801//National Key Research and Development Program of China/ ; },
abstract = {Plants have co-evolved with a wide range of microbial communities over hundreds of millions of years, this has drastically influenced their adaptation to biotic and abiotic stress. The rapid development of multi-omics approaches has greatly improved our understanding of the diversity, composition, and functions of plant microbiomes, but how global climate change affects the assembly of plant microbiomes and their roles in regulating host plant adaptation to changing environmental conditions is not fully known. In this review, we summarize recent advancements in the community assembly of plant microbiomes, and their responses to climate change factors such as elevated CO2 levels, warming, and drought. We further delineate the research trends and hotspots in plant-microbiome interactions in the context of climate change, and summarize the key mechanisms by which plant microbiomes influence plant adaptation to the changing climate. We propose that future research is urgently needed to unravel the impact of key plant genes and signal molecules modulated by climate change on microbial communities, to elucidate the evolutionary response of plant-microbe interactions at the community level, and to engineer synthetic microbial communities to mitigate the effects of climate change on plant fitness.},
}
@article {pmid39981658,
year = {2025},
author = {Sheng, X and Zuo, X and Luo, L and Pang, G and Zhang, H and Chew, KW and Fang, D and Chen, B and Wu, M},
title = {Impact of Carbon and Nitrogen Assimilation in Sargassum fusiforme (Harvey) Setchell due to Marine Heatwave Under Global Warming.},
journal = {Global change biology},
volume = {31},
number = {2},
pages = {e70074},
doi = {10.1111/gcb.70074},
pmid = {39981658},
issn = {1365-2486},
support = {2018YFD0901500//National Key Research and Development Program of China/ ; N20220005//Wenzhou Science and Technology Plan Project/ ; ZX2024003-4//Wenzhou Science and Technology Plan Project/ ; 41706147//National Natural Science Foundation of China/ ; 2024YS005//Zhejiang Research Institute Special Project/ ; },
mesh = {*Sargassum/physiology/metabolism/growth &amp; development ; *Nitrogen/metabolism ; *Global Warming ; *Carbon/metabolism ; *Hot Temperature ; *Photosynthesis ; Hydrogen Peroxide/metabolism ; Malondialdehyde/metabolism/analysis ; Glutamate Dehydrogenase/metabolism ; Edible Seaweeds ; },
abstract = {Because of the rising global temperatures, Sargassum fusiforme (Harvey) Setchell, a commercially valuable seaweed, has experienced reduced yield and quality due to high temperatures from marine heatwave events. However, the mechanisms underlying the effects of heatwave stress on S. fusiforme remain unclear. In this study, the mechanisms of heatwave stress on the carbon and nitrogen assimilation processes in S. fusiforme were analyzed. These results indicated that heatwave stress, especially at 30°C for 12 days, significantly increased the levels of hydrogen peroxide (83%), malondialdehyde (84.7%), and relative conductivity (16.5%) in algae, which suggested an increase in algal damage. Morphologically, heatwave stress damaged the thylakoid structure and reduced the photosynthetic efficiency of algae and accumulated NADPH, ATP, and α-ketoglutarate significantly, resulting in decreased content of mannitol, the photosynthetic product. Additionally, physiological and transcriptomic results revealed that heatwave stress inhibited the rate of nitrate absorption rate and the activities of the most enzymes associated with nitrogen accumulation, while significantly upregulating glutamate dehydrogenase (GDH), suggesting a crucial role for GDH in S. fusiforme's adaptation to heatwave stress. In terms of amino acid composition, proline and alanine were the most sensitive to heatwave treatment. Moreover, under the natural heatwave environment simulation validation experiment, the algae showed the same physiological performance as under laboratory conditions. The results indicated that marine heatwave events increased oxidative damage in S. fusiforme and inhibited carbon and nitrogen absorption and assimilation, ultimately leading to negative effects on the growth of algae. Thus, in the context of rapid global warming exacerbating marine heatwave events, our study provides valuable insights for high-temperature-resistant breeding and ecological management in coastal aquaculture.},
}
@article {pmid39981598,
year = {2025},
author = {Knight, K},
title = {Inside the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, with Hans-Otto Pörtner.},
journal = {The Journal of experimental biology},
volume = {228},
number = {4},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1242/jeb.250158},
pmid = {39981598},
issn = {1477-9145},
mesh = {*Climate Change ; History, 20th Century ; History, 21st Century ; Animals ; *Carbon Dioxide/analysis/metabolism ; Germany ; Physiology/history ; Aquatic Organisms/physiology ; },
abstract = {Hans-Otto Pörtner is a leading animal physiologist based at the University of Bremen and the Alfred Wegener Institute, Helmholtz Centre for Polar and Marine Research, Germany, who first published in Journal of Experimental Biology in 1986. Since then, he has specialised in the physiology of marine vertebrates and invertebrates, with an interest in the impact of hypoxia and temperature on survival, developing the concept of oxygen- and capacity-limited thermal tolerance. It was Pörtner's work on the impact of rising CO2 levels on marine organisms that brought him to the attention of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) when governments were considering storing CO2 in the deep oceans. Contributing to the IPCC Special Report on Carbon Dioxide Capture and Storage in 2005, Pörtner was part of the team that led to the prohibition of CO2 dumping in the oceans in 2007. This resulted in Pörtner being invited to contribute to the planning process for the IPCC's Fifth Assessment Main Report, approved by the IPCC in 2014, which stated that human CO2 emissions are 'extremely likely' to be the dominant cause of global warming and its impacts. In 2015, Pörtner was voted co-chair of the IPCC Working Group II, assessing the planet's vulnerability to climate change, culminating in the Sixth Assessment Synthesis Report released in 2023. Pörtner is co-presenting the Climate and Biodiversity Plenary Lecture on 25 March 2025 at the Biologists @ 100 conference, hosted by The Company of Biologists. Here, he reflects on his career, his contribution to the IPCC and how to minimise our impact on the planet.},
}
@article {pmid39980578,
year = {2025},
author = {Kõlves, K and Shaw-Williams, D and Krishnamoorthy, S and Bayliss, L and Hawgood, J and Reifels, L},
title = {From rising temperature to eco-emotions: exploring the impact of climate change on suicidality.},
journal = {The Lancet regional health. Western Pacific},
volume = {55},
number = {},
pages = {101491},
pmid = {39980578},
issn = {2666-6065},
}
@article {pmid39979264,
year = {2025},
author = {Barry, SM and Davies, GR and Forton, J and Williams, S and Thomas, R and Paxton, P and Moore, G and Davies, CR},
title = {Trends in low global warming potential inhaler prescribing: A UK-wide cohort comparison from 2018-2024.},
journal = {NPJ primary care respiratory medicine},
volume = {35},
number = {1},
pages = {9},
pmid = {39979264},
issn = {2055-1010},
mesh = {Humans ; Retrospective Studies ; *Nebulizers and Vaporizers ; United Kingdom ; *Global Warming ; *Practice Patterns, Physicians'/statistics &amp; numerical data/trends ; Asthma/drug therapy ; },
abstract = {We performed a retrospective cohort analysis comparing trends in low global warming potential (GWP) inhaler prescribing in primary care in England, Scotland, Wales and Northern Ireland between 2018 and 2024 using national prescribing data. There was little change in England, a reduction from 36.6-31.0% in Scotland, a reduction from 36.7-33.2% in Northern Ireland, and an increase from 30.8-41.1% in Wales. Only in Wales was there a simultaneous reduction in high GWP inhalers and an increase in low GWP inhalers. Over the time period of the study there has been a saving of 20,303 tonnes of carbon dioxide equivalent in Wales.},
}
@article {pmid39977899,
year = {2024},
author = {Jaffry, K and Karpenos, S and Lin, J and Matos, J and Jaffry, N and Islam, S and Mandava, K and Souayah, N},
title = {Climate Change Associated with Declining Clinical Outcomes in Myasthenia Gravis for US States with the Greatest Temperature Increase (P4-14.004).},
journal = {Neurology},
volume = {102},
number = {7_supplement_1},
pages = {6313},
doi = {10.1212/WNL.0000000000206388},
pmid = {39977899},
issn = {1526-632X},
mesh = {Humans ; *Myasthenia Gravis/epidemiology/mortality ; Male ; Female ; Middle Aged ; Retrospective Studies ; Aged ; *Climate Change ; United States/epidemiology ; Adult ; Global Warming ; Temperature ; Aged, 80 and over ; Disease Progression ; },
abstract = {OBJECTIVE: To investigate the effect of climate change and global warming on myasthenia gravis (MG) mortality and exacerbation in US states with the greatest and least increase in temperature.<br><br>BACKGROUND: The effect of temperature changes on neuromuscular junction transmission in MG is well known. The effect of global warming inducing ambient temperature increase over time is less understood.<br><br>DESIGN/METHODS: A retrospective analysis was conducted from EPIC Electronic Medical Record System data. 5,538 MG patients were identified from 2007-2009 (P1 period) and 85,008 MG patients from 2020-2022 (P2 period). The 5 states (SHT: Alaska, Florida, West Virginia, Ohio, Pennsylvania) with the greatest temperature increase and 5 states (SLT: Oklahoma, North Dakota, Missouri, Kansas, Arkansas) with the lowest temperature increase between P1 and P2 were identified from the National Centers for Environmental Information database.<br><br>RESULTS: P2 patients had a higher mortality rate (P2/P1: 6.5%&#xb1;0.16% vs 1.7%&#xb1;0.33%; p<0.05), rate of MG exacerbation (P2/P1: 16.9%&#xb1;0.25% vs 12.2%&#xb1;0.86%; p<0.05) and were younger (P2/P1: 67&#xb1;0.12 years vs 71&#xb1;0.48 years; p<0.05) than P1 patients. There was no significant difference in average length of hospitalization between P1 and P2 (P2/P1:6.7&#xb1;0.18 days vs 6&#xb1;0.87 days). The average increase in temperature from P1 to P2 was 0.28&#xb0;C. In SLT, from P1 to P2, there was no significant increase in MG exacerbation rate (P2/P1:18.0%&#xb1;1.2% vs 16.5%&#xb1;4.7%). In SHT, from P1 to P2, there was a significant increase in the rate of MG exacerbation (P2/P1:18.5%&#xb1;0.52 vs 15.9%&#xb1;1.9%; p<0.05). The mean temperature increases were SHT: 0.86&#xb0;C&#xb1;0.13&#xb0;C and SLT: 0.14&#xb0;C&#xb1;0.07&#xb0;C.<br><br>CONCLUSIONS: Despite progress in MG management with the availability of more disease modifiers, there was a significant increase in MG mortality and in MG exacerbation rate in P2 compared to P1. Notably, this was greater in SHT than SLT. Work is in progress to adjust to socioeconomic and demographic factors, comorbid conditions, other climate factors, and MG disease modifiers. Disclosure: Mr. Jaffry has nothing to disclose. Mr. Karpenos has nothing to disclose. Mr. Lin has nothing to disclose. Mr. Matos has nothing to disclose. Miss Jaffry has nothing to disclose. Mr. Islam has nothing to disclose. Mr. Mandava has nothing to disclose. Dr. Souayah has received publishing royalties from a publication relating to health care.},
}
@article {pmid39976999,
year = {2025},
author = {Lee, PS and Swain, DL and Johnson, R},
title = {Climate Change and Coccidioidomycosis.},
journal = {JAMA},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1001/jama.2024.27274},
pmid = {39976999},
issn = {1538-3598},
}
@article {pmid39976755,
year = {2025},
author = {Chowdhary, MA and Sharma, V and Gadri, HS and Roy, S and Bhardwaj, P},
title = {Spatio-temporal mapping and climate change impact on current and future expansion of P. roxburghii in the Himalayan Biodiversity Hotspot.},
journal = {Environmental monitoring and assessment},
volume = {197},
number = {3},
pages = {316},
pmid = {39976755},
issn = {1573-2959},
mesh = {*Climate Change ; *Biodiversity ; *Pinus ; Ecosystem ; Environmental Monitoring/methods ; Conservation of Natural Resources ; },
abstract = {The global proliferation of Pinus species poses significant threats to biodiversity, ecosystem functioning, and environmental stability. Pinus roxburghii, in particular, has demonstrated a strong potential to encroach upon the indigenous biodiversity of the Himalayan Biodiversity Hotspot (HBH), an area already vulnerable to the impacts of climate change. This study utilized the MaxEnt model, chosen for its robust performance in species distribution modelling, to predict the geographical distribution and actual extent of P. roxburghii for the period 2001-2021 and project its future expansion under two shared socioeconomic pathways (SSP-126 and SSP-585) for 2050 and 2070. The model high predictive accuracy (AUC > 0.9) and metrics (κ and TSS > 0.7) demonstrate its reliability and strong performance. The results reveal a notable expansion of P. roxburghii across the HBH, with a 1.61% spatio-temporal increase (11,142.16 km[2]) and a 0.65% rise in habitat suitability (4478.47 km[2]) under future scenarios. Key bioclimatic variables influencing its distribution include BIO6 (minimum temperature of the coldest month) and BIO17 (precipitation of the driest quarter), contributing 69.54% and 85.28% to the model under current and future scenarios, respectively. These findings highlight the urgent need for targeted adaptive management strategies, such as early detection systems and habitat restoration initiatives, to mitigate the encroachment of P. roxburghii and safeguard native biodiversity.},
}
@article {pmid39975822,
year = {2025},
author = {Abdul-Nabi, SS and Al Karaki, V and Khalil, A and El Zahran, T},
title = {Climate change and its environmental and health effects from 2015 to 2022: A scoping review.},
journal = {Heliyon},
volume = {11},
number = {3},
pages = {e42315},
pmid = {39975822},
issn = {2405-8440},
abstract = {BACKGROUND: The rise in environmental pollutants has become a pressing global concern of international magnitude. Substantial evidence now demonstrates that escalating global temperatures and rising sea levels might exacerbate release of chemical pollutants into the environment which amplifies their toxicity. Existing research underscores the linkage between climate change and air pollution as driving forces, with increased mortality and morbidity.<br><br>PURPOSE OF REVIEW: This review explores the reciprocal relationship between climate change and its impact on health, as well as the environment. We conducted an in-depth analysis of all relevant published studies, encompassing studies conducted across various regions worldwide, including the Eastern Mediterranean Regional Office (EMRO)[1] region.<br><br>SUMMARY: The environmental consequences of climate change have widespread impacts on various health systems and populations. Knowledge gaps remain in understanding the full scope of climate change effects, particularly through environmental pollution. The findings of this review highlight the need for global strategies to mitigate diverse health risks to protect from the growing threats of climate change.},
}
@article {pmid39974856,
year = {2025},
author = {Iqbal, B and Alabbosh, KF and Jalal, A and Suboktagin, S and Elboughdiri, N},
title = {Sustainable food systems transformation in the face of climate change: strategies, challenges, and policy implications.},
journal = {Food science and biotechnology},
volume = {34},
number = {4},
pages = {871-883},
pmid = {39974856},
issn = {2092-6456},
abstract = {Climate change-induced disruptions to agricultural systems and other socio-economic and geopolitical factors threaten food supply availability, access, and stability. The paper examines the crisis and explores the strategies, challenges, and policy implications of transforming food systems towards sustainability. It highlights the undeniable impact of climate change on agriculture, discussing how it affects crop yields and contributes to the increased frequency of extreme weather events. The paper discusses the extent and causes of food loss and waste in the supply chain, presents various technologies and initiatives to reduce it, and highlights models for efficient food distribution and surplus food redistribution. Lastly, it shifts its attention to food policy and governance, assessing the effectiveness of national and international policies in addressing food security and climate change. Conclusively, it underscores the pressing need for a holistic and sustainable approach to food systems transformation in the face of climate change.},
}
@article {pmid39974556,
year = {2025},
author = {Sengupta, P and Dutta, S},
title = {Eco-fertility: examining the climate change-total fertility rate nexus in the context of sustainable developmental goals in a systematic review approach.},
journal = {Medical review (2021)},
volume = {5},
number = {1},
pages = {35-43},
pmid = {39974556},
issn = {2749-9642},
abstract = {Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) are paramount as the global community confronts the ramifications of climate alterations, especially its implications on population dynamics. Initial studies suggest an intricate relationship between environmental determinants and reproductive choices. This systematic review elucidates the complex interplay between climate-related challenges and observed global fertility rate variations. A comprehensive search and analysis of literature published in the last 10 years (2013-2023), available in the PubMed database, delineates the relationship between environmental changes and fertility patterns in both human and animal populations. The review highlighted significant effects of climatic fluctuations on reproductive health, manifested as either adaptive or maladaptive responses to environmental stressors. This relationship not only influences population trajectories but may also have complications for the SDGs, specifically those pertaining to health, well-being, and gender equality. The study emphasizes the importance of intertwining demographic insights with ecological considerations. A deeper understanding of the nexus between climate and fertility can augment strategies aimed at global sustainability. The synthesized evidence underscores the urgency for further research, which seeks to seamlessly incorporate eco-fertility perspectives into wider climate and sustainability discussions.},
}
@article {pmid39974337,
year = {2025},
author = {Niyi-Odumosu, F and Ozoh, OB and Ope, VO and Ale, BM and Akinnola, O and Iseolorunkanmi, A and Adeloye, D},
title = {Exploring the impact of climate change on respiratory health in Nigeria: a scoping review of current research, government policies and programs.},
journal = {Climatic change},
volume = {178},
number = {3},
pages = {35},
pmid = {39974337},
issn = {0165-0009},
abstract = {UNLABELLED: Climate change significantly impacts health globally, especially in densely populated, rapidly industrialising and ecologically diverse countries like Nigeria. We analysed climate change policies, studies, programs, and events at the national and subnational levels in Nigeria and explored their effects on public and respiratory health. Using the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic reviews and Meta-Analyses extension for Scoping Reviews (PRISMAScR) checklist, we searched PubMed, African Journals Online (AJoL), Google Scholar and government data repositories on January 10, 2024. We synthesised results using an adapted sector-level framework based on the World Health Organization (WHO) guidelines. Our searches returned 262 items, of which 32, including research studies, reports and grey documents, were retained for synthesis. Although some policies and programmes, like the Climate Change Act and Nigerian Climate and Health Observatory, exist, implementation is limited across many settings. Key reported respiratory pollutants in Nigeria include particulate matter (PM2.5, PM10), gaseous emissions (CO, SO2, NOx), agricultural by-products (NH3, H2S), greenhouse gases (CH4, CO2), and microbial contaminants, which collectively increase the risk of respiratory inflammation, infections, and exacerbations of chronic respiratory symptoms and diseases. Our findings underscore a clear link between climate change and worsening respiratory health in many Nigerian settings. The current policies and programmes' have limited impact, calling for comprehensive reforms, including improved enforcement and targeted action against major pollution sources, recognition of environmental rights, and stronger public health initiatives and community action.<br><br>SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION: The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1007/s10584-025-03880-0.},
}
@article {pmid39973764,
year = {2025},
author = {Liu, M and Zhang, Y},
title = {Impact of climate change on dengue fever: a bibliometric analysis.},
journal = {Geospatial health},
volume = {20},
number = {1},
pages = {},
doi = {10.4081/gh.2025.1301},
pmid = {39973764},
issn = {1970-7096},
mesh = {*Climate Change ; *Dengue/epidemiology ; *Bibliometrics ; Humans ; Asia, Southeastern/epidemiology ; Aedes ; Animals ; Global Health ; },
abstract = {Dengue is the most widespread and fastest-growing vectorborne disease worldwide. We employed bibliometric analysis to provide an overview of research on the impact of climate change on dengue fever focusing on both global and Southeast Asian regions. Using the Web of Science Core Collection (WoSCC) database, we reviewed studies on the impact of climate change on dengue fever between 1974 and 2022 taking into account study locations and international collaboration. The VOS viewer software (https://www.vosviewer.com/) and the Bibliometrix R package (https://www.bibliometrix.org/) were used to visualise country networks and keywords. We collected 2,055 relevant articles published globally between 1974 and 2022 on the impact of climate change on dengue fever, 449 of which published in Southeast Asia. Peaking in 2021, the overall number of publications showed a strong increase in the period 2000-2022. The United States had the highest number of publications (n=558) followed by China (261) and Brazil (228). Among the Southeast Asian countries, Thailand had most publications (n=123). Global and Southeast Asian concerns about the impact of climate change on dengue fever are essentially the same. They all emphasise the relationship between temperature and other climatic conditions on the one hand and the transmission of Aedes aegypti on the other. A significant positive correlation exists between the number of national publications and socioeconomic index and between international collaboration and scientific productivity in the field. Our study demonstrates the current state of research on the impact of climate change on dengue and provides a comparative analysis of the Southeast Asian region. Publication output in Southeast Asia lags behind that of major countries worldwide, and various strategies should be implemented to improve international collaboration, such as increasing the number of international collaborative projects and providing academic resources and research platforms for researchers.},
}
@article {pmid39972015,
year = {2025},
author = {Zhang, Y and Hu, J and Wang, C and Wan, Y and Ji, M and Ma, F and Lu, Y},
title = {Author Correction: Estimating global geographical distribution and ecological niche dynamics of Ammannia coccinea under climate change based on Biomod2.},
journal = {Scientific reports},
volume = {15},
number = {1},
pages = {6090},
doi = {10.1038/s41598-025-90521-2},
pmid = {39972015},
issn = {2045-2322},
}
@article {pmid39970537,
year = {2025},
author = {Roopnarine, R and Webb, TL and Riles, A and Tucker, C and Watson, B and Chun, R},
title = {Can interprofessional education that embeds One Health be an effective platform for climate change education in veterinary and medical curricula?.},
journal = {American journal of veterinary research},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {1-8},
doi = {10.2460/ajvr.24.12.0385},
pmid = {39970537},
issn = {1943-5681},
abstract = {Climate change has been recognized as a significant public health threat, and education is needed to allow health professionals to better care for their patients affected by climate-related conditions. Medical students concerned about their lack of preparedness to respond to its effects on patient health, created the Planetary Health Report Card, calling for the inclusion of planetary health education into curricula. Veterinary students similarly express their lack of readiness in this area for practice. In alignment with the United Nations, the American Medical Association (AMA) and AVMA, promulgate educators' development of climate education to prepare graduates for future practice. Implementing interprofessional education is a critical paradigm for closing the gaps on climate education in these curricula. Incorporating One Health related competencies into an interprofessional education curriculum would prepare future graduates to effectively respond to this threat.},
}
@article {pmid39970380,
year = {2025},
author = {Echendu, AJ},
title = {It has not always been like this: public opinion of climate change in Port Harcourt, Nigeria.},
journal = {Integrated environmental assessment and management},
volume = {21},
number = {2},
pages = {314-325},
doi = {10.1093/inteam/vjae022},
pmid = {39970380},
issn = {1551-3793},
mesh = {*Climate Change ; Nigeria ; *Public Opinion ; Humans ; Floods ; },
abstract = {Climate change is affecting weather and climate extremes globally. It has been a subject of debate and controversy leading to the emergence of climate deniers and skeptics. It is a subject of great relevance because of its wide-ranging impacts on socioeconomic and natural systems. This necessitates long-term strategic decisions and response measures. There is a gap between the general public and the scientific community in terms of their awareness, understanding, and perception of climate change. Responding to the global climate crisis requires different actions at various levels, including individual. However, the manner in which the public and societies at large act in response to climate change is dependent on their perceptions and beliefs of climate change. This makes understanding the common opinion on climate change salient. There is an overrepresentation of climate change public opinion research in western nations in comparison with developing countries. This work thus contributes to filling this gap by engaging with members of the public who experience flooding in Nigeria to understand their perceptions and opinions on climate change. Qualitative research was carried out with focus group interviews and semistructured one-on-one interviews as primary data collection tools. The research findings indicate that there is a consensus that climate change is occurring, as evidenced by changes in weather patterns over the years. However, there were differences in opinion among the participants on how it was presenting. This work thus yields key insights on the level of awareness of the climate phenomena in a developing African city. Knowledge of climate change can encourage the public to engage more with the climate crisis, act in their own way, and even mobilize to influence and support government policies towards mitigating climate change.},
}
@article {pmid39969169,
year = {2025},
author = {Schmidt, DA and Russello, MA},
title = {Genomic Vulnerability of a Sentinel Mammal Under Climate Change.},
journal = {Molecular ecology},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {e17688},
doi = {10.1111/mec.17688},
pmid = {39969169},
issn = {1365-294X},
support = {RGPIN-2019-04621//Natural Sciences and Engineering Research Council of Canada/ ; },
abstract = {Climate change poses a significant threat to biodiversity, particularly in alpine ecosystems where species have already undergone elevational range shifts. Genomics can be used to estimate the adaptive potential of species, as well as the shift in adaptive genomic composition necessary for populations to adjust to climate change (e.g., genomic offset). Here, we investigated patterns of climate-mediated adaptive genetic variation and predicted the degree of genomic offset under multiple climate change scenarios for a sentinel alpine mammal, the American pika (Ochotona princeps). We collected genome-wide data (29,709 SNPs) from 363 individuals spanning the entire range in western North America and employed genotype-environment association analyses to identify 924 robust outlier SNPs, several of which were linked to genes previously associated with high elevation and hypoxia responses in various pika species (Ochotonidae). Adaptive genomic variation was most strongly influenced by mean warmest month temperature, followed by precipitation of the coldest quarter. Spatial patterns of genomic offset were heterogeneous, significantly predicted by levels of adaptive genetic variation, elevation and latitude. Sites within the Northern Rocky Mountains exhibited the highest genomic offset under projected climate change despite possessing high levels of adaptive genetic variation. As such, while our study provides an example of how genomic data can be used to explore the potential consequences of climate change, it further highlights the need for careful consideration of genomic offset values within their proper ecological context.},
}
@article {pmid39968629,
year = {2025},
author = {Bas, M and Ouled-Cheikh, J and Fuster-Alonso, A and Julià, L and March, D and Ramírez, F and Cardona, L and Coll, M},
title = {Potential Spatial Mismatches Between Marine Predators and Their Prey in the Southern Hemisphere in Response to Climate Change.},
journal = {Global change biology},
volume = {31},
number = {2},
pages = {e70080},
doi = {10.1111/gcb.70080},
pmid = {39968629},
issn = {1365-2486},
support = {2021 SGR 00435//Ag&#xe8;ncia de Gesti&#xf3; d'Ajuts Universitaris i de Recerca/ ; CNS2022-135631//Ministerio de Ciencia, Innovaci&#xf3;n y Universidades/ ; FJC2020-043762-I//Ministerio de Ciencia, Innovaci&#xf3;n y Universidades/ ; PID2020-118097RB-I00//Ministerio de Ciencia, Innovaci&#xf3;n y Universidades/ ; PID2021-124831OA-I00//Ministerio de Ciencia, Innovaci&#xf3;n y Universidades/ ; PRE2021-099287//Ministerio de Ciencia, Innovaci&#xf3;n y Universidades/ ; RYC2020-030078-I//Ministerio de Ciencia, Innovaci&#xf3;n y Universidades/ ; CIDEGENT/2021/058//Generalitat Valenciana/ ; //Universitat de Barcelona/ ; },
mesh = {*Climate Change ; Animals ; *Food Chain ; *Predatory Behavior ; *Ecosystem ; New Zealand ; Australia ; Fishes/physiology ; South America ; Aquatic Organisms/physiology ; Crustacea/physiology ; Spheniscidae/physiology ; Africa, Southern ; },
abstract = {Global change is rapidly reshaping species' habitat suitability ranges, hence leading to significant shifts in the distribution of marine life. Contrasting distributional responses among species can alter the spatial overlap between predators and prey, potentially disrupting trophic interactions and affecting food web dynamics. Here, we evaluate long-term changes in the spatial overlap of habitat suitability ranges for trophically related species, including crustaceans, fish, penguins, and pinnipeds across 12 Large Marine Ecosystems from the Southern Hemisphere, merged into three primary regions: South America, Southern Africa, Australia and New Zealand. To this aim, we first use Boosted Regression Trees (BRTs) to hindcast and project species-specific changes in suitable habitat from 1850 to 2100 under two future climate scenarios: SSP1-2.6 (low climate forcing) and SSP5-8.5 (high climate forcing). We then analyze changes in species habitat suitability and potential predator-prey spatial overlaps. Findings reveal that marine species generally exhibit changes in their suitable habitats, with pronounced shifts towards higher latitudes under the SSP5-8.5 scenario. However, contrasting trends emerge among predators across functional groups and regions of South America, Southern Africa, Australia and New Zealand. These variations highlight the need for species and regional-specific management responses. We also project contrasting spatial mismatches between predators and prey: predators experiencing declines in suitable habitat tend to exhibit greater overlap with their prey in future scenarios, whereas those with expanding suitable habitat show reduced spatial overlap with their prey. This study provides valuable insights that can inform spatial management strategies in response to climate change and illustrate how climate change may weaken species' ability to adapt to climate-driven environmental changes due to trophic disruptions.},
}
@article {pmid39968228,
year = {2025},
author = {Colombi, G and Vineis, P},
title = {Editorial: The relationship between health and environment under the lens of climate change: insights for policy makers.},
journal = {Frontiers in public health},
volume = {13},
number = {},
pages = {1548553},
pmid = {39968228},
issn = {2296-2565},
}
@article {pmid39968133,
year = {2025},
author = {Ardie, SW and Nugroho, RB and Dirpan, A and Anshori, MF},
title = {Foxtail millet research in supporting climate change resilience efforts: Bibliometric analysis and focused literature review.},
journal = {Heliyon},
volume = {11},
number = {3},
pages = {e42348},
pmid = {39968133},
issn = {2405-8440},
abstract = {Foxtail millet is part of the millet group but is less popular than sorghum and pearl millet. Nevertheless, the potential of this plant is considered promising for diversifying food nutrition, health products, feed, biofuel, and several other uses, as indicated by various publications, including review articles. However, studies, analyses, and development trends of foxtail millet are lacking, and the current development status of foxtail millet and future projections cannot be systematically identified. Bibliometric analysis offers a method to clarify the current state of the development and interaction of a study topic for systematic analysis. Therefore, this study conducted a bibliometric review to examine the development, interaction, and projections of foxtail millet research regarding publication trends, countries involved, and keywords. Publications related to foxtail millet were first mined from the Scopus database and analyzed using Biblioshiny R Studio and VOSviewer software, with 2091 Scopus documents identified as being associated with the topic of foxtail millet. A significant development occurred in 2012 when the entire foxtail millet genome was explored. The main countries that focus on developing foxtail millet are China and India. The development of foxtail millet is focused on optimizing omics-based approaches to support the use of its potential, especially in research efforts involving climate change tolerance systems. Therefore, innovation, exploration, and potential use of foxtail millet in the future will continue to develop along with submarginal land and public health problems, including in Indonesia, which has the fourth largest population globally.},
}
@article {pmid39967323,
year = {2025},
author = {Van der Meersch, V and Armstrong, E and Mouillot, F and Duputié, A and Davi, H and Saltré, F and Chuine, I},
title = {Paleorecords Reveal Biological Mechanisms Crucial for Reliable Species Range Shift Projections Amid Rapid Climate Change.},
journal = {Ecology letters},
volume = {28},
number = {2},
pages = {e70080},
doi = {10.1111/ele.70080},
pmid = {39967323},
issn = {1461-0248},
support = {//Universit&#xe9; de Montpellier/ ; 101003890//European Union's Horizon 2020/ ; CE230100009//Australian Research Council Centre of Excellence for Indigenous and Environmental Histories and Futures/ ; },
mesh = {*Climate Change ; Europe ; *Models, Biological ; Trees/physiology ; Forests ; Plant Dispersal ; },
abstract = {The recent acceleration of global climate warming has created an urgent need for reliable projections of species distributions, widely used by natural resource managers. Such projections have been mainly produced by species distribution models with little information on their performances in novel climates. Here, we hindcast the range shifts of forest tree species across Europe over the last 12,000 years to compare the reliability of three different types of models. We show that in the most climatically dissimilar conditions, process-explicit models (PEMs) tend to outperform correlative species distribution models (CSDMs), and that PEM projections are likely to be more reliable than those made with CSDMs by the end of the 21st century. These results demonstrate for the first time the often promoted albeit so far untested idea that explicit description of mechanisms confers model robustness, and highlight a new avenue to increase model projection reliability in the future.},
}
@article {pmid39966449,
year = {2025},
author = {Van de Vuurst, P and Gohlke, JM and Escobar, LE},
title = {Future climate change and the distributional shift of the common vampire bat, Desmodus rotundus.},
journal = {Scientific reports},
volume = {15},
number = {1},
pages = {5989},
pmid = {39966449},
issn = {2045-2322},
support = {2116748//National Science Foundation Human-Environment and Geographical Sciences Program/ ; 2116748//National Science Foundation Human-Environment and Geographical Sciences Program/ ; 2235295//National Science Foundation CAREER/ ; 2235295//National Science Foundation CAREER/ ; K01AI168452//National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases/ ; K01AI168452//National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases/ ; },
mesh = {Animals ; *Chiroptera/virology ; *Climate Change ; *Rabies virus ; *Rabies/epidemiology/transmission/veterinary ; Disease Reservoirs/virology ; Ecosystem ; },
abstract = {Interactions among humans, livestock, and wildlife within disturbed ecosystems, such as those impacted by climate change, can facilitate pathogen spillover transmission and increase disease emergence risks. The study of future climate change impacts on the distribution of free-ranging bats is therefore relevant for forecasting potential disease burden. This study used current and future climate data and historic occurrence locations of the vampire bat species Desmodus rotundus, a reservoir of the rabies virus to assess the potential impacts of climate change on disease reservoir distribution. Analyses included a comprehensive comparison of different climate change periods, carbon emission scenarios, and global circulation models (GCMs) on final model outputs. Models revealed that, although climatic scenarios and GCMs used have a significant influence on model outputs, there was a consistent signal of range expansion across the future climates analyzed. Areas suitable for D. rotundus range expansion include the southern United States and south-central portions of Argentina and Chile. Certain areas in the Amazon Rainforest, which currently rests at the geographic center of D. rotundus' range, may become climatically unsuitable for this species within the context of niche conservatism. While the impacts of rabies virus transmitted by D. rotundus on livestock are well known, an expansion of D. rotundus into novel areas may impact new mammalian species and livestock with unexpected consequences. Some areas in the Americas may benefit from an assessment of their preparedness to deal with an expected D. rotundus range expansion.},
}
@article {pmid39966212,
year = {2025},
author = {Dohmeier, D and Sen, A and Cavecchi, A and Matos, J and Lostritto, R and Nagao, L},
title = {Materials Compatibility Considerations for the Transition to Low Global Warming Potential Propellants for Pressurized Metered Dose Inhalers.},
journal = {AAPS PharmSciTech},
volume = {26},
number = {3},
pages = {65},
pmid = {39966212},
issn = {1530-9932},
mesh = {*Metered Dose Inhalers ; *Aerosol Propellants/chemistry ; Humans ; Global Warming ; Aerosols ; Administration, Inhalation ; Chlorofluorocarbons/chemistry ; Asthma/drug therapy ; },
abstract = {Pressurized metered dose inhalers (pMDI) are a vital therapy for the treatment of lung diseases such as asthma and chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD). In pMDI, the propellants used to deliver the drug to the lungs are hydrofluorocarbons (HFC). However, the current HFCs in use have large global warming potential (GWP). In order to reduce or eliminate the use of propellants with large global warming potential, efforts are underway within the pharmaceutical industry to transition to the use of low GWP propellants in pMDI, while maintaining their effectiveness in treating disease. The current switch from higher GWP propellants mirrors the switch from chlorofluorocarbon (CFC) propellants to HFCs undertaken in the 1990's, which was driven by ozone depletion concerns. In this paper, the International Pharmaceutical Aerosol Consortium on Regulation and Science (IPAC-RS) discusses aspects of the switch to low GWP propellants from the perspective of materials compatibility of pMDI components with low GWP propellants. Leveraging the learnings and advances in pMDI component materials implemented following the switch from CFCs, industry is well positioned to make the change. This paper describes the utility of the low GWP propellants being developed for use in pMDI and the learnings from the previous transition that are being leveraged by industry. The current state of development will be described, including a review of available literature supporting the transition to low GWP propellants.},
}
@article {pmid39966149,
year = {2025},
author = {Walkowiak, MP and Bandurski, K and Walkowiak, J and Walkowiak, D},
title = {Outpacing climate change: adaptation to heatwaves in Europe.},
journal = {International journal of biometeorology},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
pmid = {39966149},
issn = {1432-1254},
abstract = {Current predictions of climate change impacts rely on conservative assumptions about a lack of adaptation, projecting significantly increased heatwave mortality. However, long-term studies have shown a decline in actual heatwave deaths, raising questions about the underlying mechanisms. We combined Eurostat weekly mortality data (baseline extracted via Seasonal-Trend decomposition by Loess and smoothed through Principal Component Analysis dimension reduction and reconstruction) with economic indicators, Copernicus temperature data since 1950, and ENTSO-E electricity demand data. Panel regression analyzed mortality patterns during weeks with daily temperatures exceeding 22 °C for 2000-2022. During the analyzed period, Europe outpaced climate change, with the capacity to tolerate an additional 1 °C rise every 17.9 years [95% CI 15.3-22.7]. Extending the temperature indicators beyond the prior 3 years did not enhance predictive accuracy, suggesting swift adaptations and historical climate lacked any predictive value. Additionally, increasing economic output, likely driven by infrastructural improvements, especially greater affordability of air conditioning, enabled tolerating each additional 1 °C due to a per capita GDP increase of 19.7 thousand euros [95% CI 14.6-30.3]. Consistently, the increase in cooling energy demand was the strongest in eastern Europe. The findings shed light on the mechanisms driving the observed reduction in heatwave mortality despite the warming climate trend, offering a more plausible basis for extrapolation than assuming a lack of adaptation. The model emphasizes the role of long term economic growth and addressing energy poverty.},
}
@article {pmid39965495,
year = {2025},
author = {Fan, W and Luo, Y},
title = {Conservation methods for Trollius mountain flowers in Xinjiang, China under climate change: Habitat networks construction based on habitat suitability and protected areas optimization response.},
journal = {Journal of environmental management},
volume = {376},
number = {},
pages = {124519},
doi = {10.1016/j.jenvman.2025.124519},
pmid = {39965495},
issn = {1095-8630},
abstract = {Mountain flower species tend to be more climate-sensitive. Trollius is a mountain flower species of ecological and cultural significance in Xinjiang, China, but climate change has caused habitat fragmentation, which is the dominant threat to their survival. However, the precise mechanism of how climate change affects their distribution and the extent of habitat fragmentation remains unclear. Accordingly, Modeling was employed to obtain Trollius's habitat changes and fragmentation indices under different periods and climate scenarios. Based on this, the study identified potential corridors, evaluated habitat network patterns, and performed spatial optimization. The results demonstrated that Trollius species don't have the same climate adaptation ability. T. asiaticus exhibits exceptional climate adaptation with habitat expansion and minimal fragmentation, but the other species' habitat area and connectivity index dropped markedly. The Tien Shan and Altay Mountains represent the primary habitat sources of Trollius, while the Western Junggar Mountains serve as a crucial stepping stone. Habitat clusters are predominantly connected by short but efficient primary corridors, which showed stability when facing climatic fluctuation. Highly centralized "source-corridor" systems require enhanced identifying of pinch points and removing barrier points to ensure high connectivity. Furthermore, the protected areas system is inadequate in its protective function, with less than 7% of habitat areas covered by nature reserves and less than 15% covered by nature parks. The findings can provide scientific basis and methodological support for regional climate strategy making on biodiversity conservation and the optimization of protected areas.},
}
@article {pmid39965227,
year = {2025},
author = {Stark, KA and Clegg, T and Bernhardt, JR and Grainger, TN and Kempes, CP and Savage, V and O'Connor, MI and Pawar, S},
title = {Toward a More Dynamic Metabolic Theory of Ecology to Predict Climate Change Effects on Biological Systems.},
journal = {The American naturalist},
volume = {205},
number = {3},
pages = {285-305},
doi = {10.1086/733197},
pmid = {39965227},
issn = {1537-5323},
mesh = {*Climate Change ; *Models, Biological ; Ecosystem ; Ecology ; Temperature ; },
abstract = {AbstractThe metabolic theory of ecology (MTE) aims to link biophysical constraints on individual metabolic rates to the emergence of patterns at the population and ecosystem scales. Because MTE links temperature's kinetic effects on individual metabolism to ecological processes at higher levels of organization, it holds great potential to mechanistically predict how complex ecological systems respond to warming and increased temperature fluctuations under climate change. To scale up from individuals to ecosystems, applications of classical MTE implicitly assume that focusing on steady-state dynamics and averaging temperature responses across individuals and populations adequately capture the dominant attributes of biological systems. However, in the context of climate change, frequent perturbations from steady state and rapid changes in thermal performance curves via plasticity and evolution are almost guaranteed. Here, we explain how some of the assumptions made when applying MTE's simplest canonical expression can lead to blind spots in understanding how temperature change affects biological systems and how this presents an opportunity for formal expansion of the theory. We review existing advances in this direction and provide a decision tree for identifying when dynamic modifications to classical MTE are needed for certain research questions. We conclude with empirical and theoretical challenges to be addressed in a more dynamic MTE for understanding biological change in an increasingly uncertain world.},
}
@article {pmid39963731,
year = {2025},
author = {Cohen-Rengifo, M and Noel, C and Ytteborg, E and Bégout, ML and Lazado, CC and Le Blay, G and Hervio-Heath, D},
title = {The nasal microbiota of two marine fish species: diversity, community structure, variability and first insights into the impacts of climate change-related stressors.},
journal = {FEMS microbiology ecology},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1093/femsec/fiaf018},
pmid = {39963731},
issn = {1574-6941},
abstract = {Vertebrate nasal microbiota (NM) plays a key role regulating host olfaction, immunity, neuronal differentiation, and structuring the epithelium. However, little is known in fish. This study provides the first comprehensive analysis of the NM in two marine fish species, the European seabass and the Atlantic cod. Given its direct environmental exposure, fish NM is likely influenced by seawater fluctuations. We analysed the community structure, specificity regarding seawater, and interindividual variability of 32 to 38 fish reared under ambient conditions. Additionally, we conducted an experiment to investigate the influence of acidification and a simplified heatwave on cod NM (3 fish per replicate). High-throughput 16S rRNA sequencing revealed species-specific NM communities at the genus-level with Stenotrophomonas and Ralstonia dominating seabass and cod NM, respectively. This suggests potential habitat- or physiology-related adaptations. The most abundant bacterial genera in seabass NM were also present in seawater, suggesting environmental acquisition. Alpha diversity was highest in Brest seabass NM and variability greatest in Tromsø cod NM. Simulated climate change-related scenarios did not significantly alter cod NM structure. We propose a minimum of 13 cod rosettes per replicate for future studies. This research establishes a foundation for understanding marine fish NM and its response to environmental changes.},
}
@article {pmid39963365,
year = {2024},
author = {Mykhailenko, O and Jalil, B and McGaw, LJ and Echeverría, J and Takubessi, M and Heinrich, M},
title = {Climate change and the sustainable use of medicinal plants: a call for "new" research strategies.},
journal = {Frontiers in pharmacology},
volume = {15},
number = {},
pages = {1496792},
pmid = {39963365},
issn = {1663-9812},
abstract = {Climate change and human activities severely impact the viability of plants and ecosystems, threatening the environment, biodiversity, and the sustainable development of plant-based products. Biotic and abiotic (ecosystem) determinants affect species distribution and long-term survival, which in turn influence the quality of plants used as herbal medicines and other high-value products. In recent decades, diverse anthropogenic impacts have significantly affected these quality aspects. Climate change, excessive plant exploitation, habitat loss, species vulnerability, and other factors have adversely affected the growth, reproduction, and adaptation of species populations, as well as the quality and volume of primary plant materials supplied to pharmaceutical markets. Despite these growing challenges, there is limited knowledge of potential strategies to prevent or mitigate these impacts, particularly for vulnerable species collected from the wild or harvested from traditional production systems. Hence, effective strategies for preserving and increasing plant populations are urgently needed. In this study, we propose a new framework including the main sustainability factors to better understand and address the vulnerability of a species, hence mitigate the impact of climate change. We assess the applicability of our proposed framework via seven case studies of vulnerable species (i.e., Aquilaria malaccensis Lam., Boswellia sacra Flück., Crocus sativus L., Panax quinquefolius L., Pilocarpus microphyllus Stapf ex Wardlew., Rhodiola rosea L., and Warburgia salutaris (G.Bertol.) Chiov.) from main biogeographic realms, all widely used as medicinal plants. These species present various challenges related to the sustainability of their use, impacting their current and future status locally and globally. Their economic importance, combined with rising demands and specific risks of overexploitation, are also key factors considered here. The suggested framework for the sustainability of medicinal and other high-value plant-based products in the phytopharmaceutical industry emphasises strategies that promote conservation and sustainable resource use. It can also be adapted for other vulnerable species requiring urgent attention.},
}
@article {pmid39962523,
year = {2025},
author = {Peralta, LR and Forsyth, R and Lapi, N and Amon, KL and Metsan, P and Wattelez, G and Chen, J and Galy, O and Caillaud, C},
title = {Health literacy of adolescents' responses to a workshop focusing on food, nutrition, climate change and digital technology solutions in Oceania: a multi-site pilot study in Vanuatu.},
journal = {BMC public health},
volume = {25},
number = {1},
pages = {648},
pmid = {39962523},
issn = {1471-2458},
support = {7573217403//The University of Sydney International Program Development Fund and the World Universities Network/ ; 7573217403//The University of Sydney International Program Development Fund and the World Universities Network/ ; 7573217403//The University of Sydney International Program Development Fund and the World Universities Network/ ; 7573217403//The University of Sydney International Program Development Fund and the World Universities Network/ ; 7573217403//The University of Sydney International Program Development Fund and the World Universities Network/ ; 7573217403//The University of Sydney International Program Development Fund and the World Universities Network/ ; H2020-MSCA-RISE-2019 grant agreement no. 873&#x2009;185//European Commission through the RISE program (Research and Innovation Staff Exchange)/ ; H2020-MSCA-RISE-2019 grant agreement no. 873&#x2009;185//European Commission through the RISE program (Research and Innovation Staff Exchange)/ ; H2020-MSCA-RISE-2019 grant agreement no. 873&#x2009;185//European Commission through the RISE program (Research and Innovation Staff Exchange)/ ; H2020-MSCA-RISE-2019 grant agreement no. 873&#x2009;185//European Commission through the RISE program (Research and Innovation Staff Exchange)/ ; H2020-MSCA-RISE-2019 grant agreement no. 873&#x2009;185//European Commission through the RISE program (Research and Innovation Staff Exchange)/ ; },
mesh = {Humans ; Adolescent ; *Climate Change ; *Health Literacy ; Female ; Pilot Projects ; Male ; *Digital Technology ; Vanuatu ; Health Knowledge, Attitudes, Practice ; Students/psychology/statistics &amp; numerical data ; Health Education/methods ; },
abstract = {BACKGROUND: Non-communicable diseases (NCD) have become the leading cause of premature death and disability in the Pacific region, with the development of health literacy an important factor for the prevention and control of NCD. Health literacy is an important lifelong asset that can be developed in adolescents through engagement in schooling and curriculum. The aim of this study was to explore Ni-Van adolescents' health literacy knowledge and capabilities regarding food and nutrition, climate change and digital technology solutions.<br><br>METHODS: Two Ni-Van schools participated in the study (one urban (School A) and one rural school (School B)), with 44 students (68% female) comprising 14 small groups participating in one workshop and booklet activities in April 2023. The 14 workshop booklet responses were deductively analysed using Nutbeam's health literacy hierarchy.<br><br>RESULTS: School &#x2009;A's booklet responses showed that interactive health literacy responses were dominant (54%), followed by functional (34%) and critical learning activities (12%), whereas School B's responses showed that functional health literacy responses were dominant (65%), followed by interactive (28%) and critical (5%).<br><br>CONCLUSION: The findings show that students in both schools were less likely to engage in critical, compared with functional and interactive health literacy levels. This is an important consideration for future workshops, as well as curriculum and teacher training in Vanuatu, as Vanuatu (and other PICTs) are more susceptible to the effects of climate change and food sustainability issues.. Without a focus on developing critical health literacy knowledge and capabilities throughout the schooling years, this is a missed opportunity to create enabling environments that reduce youth exposures to NCD risk factors.},
}
@article {pmid39962350,
year = {2025},
author = {Clark, TA and Russell, A and Greenwood, JL and Devitt, D and Stanton, D and Stark, LR},
title = {Can biocrust moss hide from climate change? Fine-scale habitat sheltering improves summer stress resistance in Syntrichia caninervis.},
journal = {American journal of botany},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {e16464},
doi = {10.1002/ajb2.16464},
pmid = {39962350},
issn = {1537-2197},
abstract = {PREMISE: Mosses provide many ecosystem functions and are the most vulnerable of biocrust organisms to climate change due to their sensitive water relations stressed by summer aridity. Given their small size, moss stress resistance may be more dependent on fine-scale habitat than macroclimate, but the sheltering role of habitat (i.e., habitat buffering) has never been compared to macroclimate and may have important implications for predicting critical biocrust moss refugia in changing climates.<br><br>METHODS: We located three populations of a keystone biocrust moss, Syntrichia caninervis, spanning 1200&#x2009;m of altitude, which comprised three macroclimate (elevation) zones of characterized plant communities in the Mojave Desert. We stratified 92 microsites along three aridity gradients: elevation zone, topography (aspect), and microhabitat (shrub proximity). We estimated summer photosynthetic stress (Fv/Fm) and aridity exposure (macroclimate, irradiance, and shade).<br><br>RESULTS: Microsite aridity exposure varied greatly, revealing exposed and buffered microhabitats at all three elevation zones. Moss stress did not differ by elevation zone despite the extensive macroclimate gradient, failing to support the high-elevation refugia hypothesis. Instead, stress was lowest on northerly-facing slopes and in microhabitats with greater shrub shading, while the importance of (and interactions between) topography, irradiance, and shade varied by elevation zone.<br><br>CONCLUSIONS: Fine-scale habitat structure appears physiologically more protective than high-elevation macroclimate and may protect some biocrust mosses from the brunt of climate change in widespread microrefugia throughout their current ranges. Our findings support a scale-focused vulnerability paradigm: microrefugia may be more important than macrorefugia for bolstering biocrust moss resistance to summer climate stress.},
}
@article {pmid39962216,
year = {2025},
author = {Saxena, S and Sharma, H},
title = {Prediction and assessment of optimal concrete compositions for overall radiation protection and reduced global warming potential.},
journal = {Scientific reports},
volume = {15},
number = {1},
pages = {5785},
pmid = {39962216},
issn = {2045-2322},
abstract = {Developing an efficient radiation-shielding concrete composition holds paramount importance for nuclear, medical, and defence facilities. The intricate interactions between various radiation particles and materials across different energy ranges present challenges in designing effective and resilient overall shielding structures. This study presents a novel approach that integrates machine learning and genetic algorithms (GA) to optimize concrete compositions for enhanced radiation shielding against gamma and neutron rays across a wide energy spectrum. By leveraging these advanced techniques, six compositions (concrete_1-concrete_6) spanning different density ranges were derived from an extensive database developed from the previous experimental researches. Subsequently, the shielding effectiveness of these compositions against all radiation particles was evaluated and compared using the OpenMC Code. The findings revealed that the proposed concrete_5 and concrete_6 compositions, comprising iron, boron, nickel, and tungsten at specified weight fractions, outperform other state-of-the-art compositions in overall radiation shielding. Furthermore, the analysis indicated a 65.89% reduction in Global Warming Potential (GWP) with the adoption of concrete_6 composition compared to conventional concrete composition.},
}
@article {pmid39961006,
year = {2025},
author = {McDermott-Levy, R and Mariani, B},
title = {The Critical Role of Environmental Health and Climate Change in Nursing Education Research.},
journal = {Nursing education perspectives},
volume = {46},
number = {2},
pages = {77-78},
doi = {10.1097/01.NEP.0000000000001388},
pmid = {39961006},
issn = {1536-5026},
}
@article {pmid39960630,
year = {2025},
author = {Primack, RB and Vaughn, S and Terry, C},
title = {Local soil temperature advances flowering phenology of Canada mayflower (Maianthemum canadense), with implications for climate change assessment.},
journal = {Oecologia},
volume = {207},
number = {2},
pages = {36},
pmid = {39960630},
issn = {1432-1939},
support = {1936877//Division of Environmental Biology/ ; },
mesh = {*Climate Change ; *Flowers ; *Temperature ; *Soil ; Seasons ; Massachusetts ; },
abstract = {Local soil temperature has the potential to affect plant phenology, which is a key indicator of the biological effects of climate change. Many existing analyses, however, ignore local temperatures and focus only on temperature at larger scales measured by weather stations. Ignoring local temperature adds noise to analyses, creating the need for longer time series, and may also bias results. Over four years, we investigated the effects of local soil temperature, sun exposure, and soil depth on flowering phenology for 35 populations of Canada mayflower (Maianthemum canadense) in an 82-hectare mixed deciduous forest in Newton, Massachusetts (USA). Flowering dates varied by 5-7 days among sites. Soil temperatures varied by about 5 °C across sites before and during the flowering season. Among the populations, plants flowered earliest at sites with the warmest local climates-around one day earlier for each 1 °C warmer temperature. Sun exposure and soil depth did not affect flowering times. Differences in temperature and flowering times among sites were consistent over the four years of the study. In most other published phenology studies, spring wildflowers flower 2-5 days earlier for each 1 °C of warming of air temperatures. This study demonstrates that the effects of local temperature on phenology can be investigated over relatively short periods of time and that these effects may bias estimates of phenological responses to temperature that rely solely on temperature data from weather stations.},
}
@article {pmid39959832,
year = {2025},
author = {Al-Malki, ES},
title = {The impacts of climate change on the global range of Culicoides punctatus (Meigen, 1804) with notes on its status in Saudi Arabia.},
journal = {PeerJ},
volume = {13},
number = {},
pages = {e18916},
pmid = {39959832},
issn = {2167-8359},
mesh = {*Ceratopogonidae/physiology ; *Climate Change/statistics &amp; numerical data ; *Animal Distribution ; Saudi Arabia ; *Insect Vectors/physiology ; *Models, Biological ; Virus Diseases/transmission ; Animals ; Horse Diseases/transmission/virology ; Humans ; },
abstract = {Biting midges, particularly Culicoides species, pose significant health risks to humans and animals due to their biting behavior and ability to transmit diseases. Understanding their behavior and distribution patterns is crucial for predicting and controlling the spread of viral infections. This study employs species distribution modeling to assess the environmental suitability and potential future distribution of Culicoides punctatus, a species known for causing allergic reactions in horses and acting as a vector for bluetongue virus (BTV) and African horse sickness virus (AHSV). Species occurrence records for C. punctatus were collected from the Global Biodiversity Information Facility (GBIF), and environmental data representing climate variables were obtained from WorldClim. The data were used to develop species distribution models and predict the potential distribution of C. punctatus in the Old World under different emission scenarios. The results indicate that C. punctatus has a wide occurrence across the Old World, with the highest number of records in Europe. The species distribution models highlight the influence of climate on the distribution of C. punctatus, suggesting that climate change could impact its range and potentially expand regions with endemic viral infections. The study emphasizes the need for proactive measures to monitor and manage the spread of viral infections associated with Culicoides midges. The integration of geographic information systems (GIS) and remote sensing technology has facilitated high-throughput analysis techniques, eliminating the need for invasive experiments and enabling the remote assessment of species' habitats, land cover changes, and meteorology. Species distribution modeling, a powerful tool in ecological research, has been employed to predict the potential distribution of C. punctatus and assess its vulnerability to climate change. This study contributes to our understanding of the ecological implications of climate change on Culicoides midges and the associated viral infections. It provides valuable insights for designing effective management strategies, conservation efforts, and mitigation measures to minimize the impact of biting midges on human and animal health. Further research and monitoring are necessary to continuously update and refine these models in the face of changing environmental conditions.},
}
@article {pmid39959778,
year = {2024},
author = {Kum, CT and Ngwabie, NM and Tening, AS and Tsamo, C},
title = {Soil greenhouse gas fluxes and net global warming potential from two maize farming practices in the Bamenda highlands, Cameroon.},
journal = {Heliyon},
volume = {10},
number = {15},
pages = {e34855},
pmid = {39959778},
issn = {2405-8440},
abstract = {Farming practices used in maize crop production are thought to modify greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions from the soil particularly methane (CH4), carbon dioxide (CO2), and nitrous oxide (N2O). The quantities of these GHG fluxes have rarely been estimated from smallholder farms in Sub-Saharan Africa. We estimated the quantities of GHG fluxes and Global Warming Potential (GWP) from the Push-Pull Technology (PPT) and Tillage with the Formation of Ridges (TFR) farming systems at the University of Bamenda, Cameroon. Greenhouse gases were sampled bi-monthly from April to Early August 2020 using the static chamber technique. The experiment followed a split-plot randomized complete block design with two replicates and three planting distances (1 m, 1.5 m, and 2 m) used as treatments. Mean cumulative CH4 (5.39 kgCH4-Cha[-1]) and N2O (1.03 kgN2O-Nha[-1]) emissions under TFR were significantly higher (P < 0.05) than mean CH4 (3.59 kgCH4-Cha[-1]) and N2O (0.52 kgN2O-Nha[-1]) emissions under PPT system. Mean net-GWP under PPT followed the trend 2 m (-267.61 tCO 2 -eqha [-1]) < 1.5 m (-75.76 tCO 2 -eqha [-1]) < 1 m (-24.95 tCO 2 -eqha [-1]) while under TFR, net-GWP was ordered 1 m (0.38 tCO 2 -eq ha [-1]) < 1.5 m (85.29 tCO 2 -eq ha [-1]) < 2 m (288.41 tCO 2 -eq ha [-1]) with significant differences between them. Maize grain yields under PPT were in the trend 1 m (0.81 tha [-1]) < 2 m (0.85 tha [-1]) < 1.5 m (0.92 tha [-1]) with a significant difference (P < 0.05) between 1 m and 1,5 m treatments. While under TFR, the trend was 2 m (0.56 tha [-1]) < 1 m (0.77 tha [-1]) < 1.5 m (0.80 tha [-1]) with significant difference between 1.5 m and 2 m (P < 0.05). On average, PPT was a sink to GWP (-122.77 tCO 2 -eqha [-1]) and revealed higher (P < 0.05) yields (0.86 tha [-1]) than TFR (0.71 tha [-1]) which was a source of GWP (124.69 tCO 2 -eqha [-1]). Therefore, a PPT practice of 1.5 m planting distance is recommended in Sub-Saharan Africa to enhance food productivity while mitigating global warming by minimizing soil greenhouse gas emissions.},
}
@article {pmid39958437,
year = {2025},
author = {Akpensuen, TT and Cartmill, AD and Pérez-Márquez, S and Sheridan, H and Lee, MRF and Rivero, MJ},
title = {Make African grasslands climate-change resilient.},
journal = {Communications earth &amp; environment},
volume = {6},
number = {1},
pages = {111},
pmid = {39958437},
issn = {2662-4435},
abstract = {Climate change has negatively impacted grassland productivity in Africa. Climate-smart technologies such as forage grass, legume, and herb mixtures could enhance grassland productivity and resilience, offering a sustainable solution for African pasture-based livestock systems.},
}
@article {pmid39957734,
year = {2024},
author = {Stockport, B and Yang, P and Kimani, J and Leonard, A and Hirmer, S},
title = {Climate Change Adaptation, Social Resilience, and Perceived Values Data from Turkana, Machakos and Narok Counties, Kenya.},
journal = {Data in brief},
volume = {57},
number = {},
pages = {110978},
pmid = {39957734},
issn = {2352-3409},
abstract = {This dataset provides socioeconomic and value perception interview data collected from 1,021 individuals living across three counties in Kenya: Turkana, Machakos and Narok. The data are made available with sub-county level geospatial attribution. Socioeconomic data were collected on housing, healthcare, water sources, electricity access, experience of extreme weather events, community services, and access to information. Value perception data were collected using the user-perceived value (UPV) method - a perception-based surveying approach which requires interviewees to select their most valued household items in different circumstances, and explain their choice through 'why'-probing. For this dataset, the UPV method was used to identify the most valued household items in daily life and in the event of an extreme weather event, e.g. a drought, floor or heatwave. Together, the socioeconomic and interview data can be used to better understand the views of different communities and demographic groups across Kenya concerning climate change and extreme weather events. They also provide insight about the intrinsic, social, emotional, epistemic, functional, and indigenous value associated with everyday household items. The data can be used by policymakers to inform development planning and to identify gaps in the available infrastructure. Additionally, researchers and development practitioners can use these data to design interventions which reflect the needs and values of communities in Kenya.},
}
@article {pmid39957242,
year = {2025},
author = {Allison, S and Bastiampillai, T and Kisely, S and Cornell, H and Looi, JCL},
title = {Psychiatrists should champion the care of those with severe mental illnesses experiencing climate change-related heat stress.},
journal = {Australasian psychiatry : bulletin of Royal Australian and New Zealand College of Psychiatrists},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {10398562251319921},
doi = {10.1177/10398562251319921},
pmid = {39957242},
issn = {1440-1665},
abstract = {OBJECTIVE: The Australian climate has warmed by 1.51°C since preindustrial times, and the Commonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organisation (CSIRO) predicts further warming with an increased risk of extreme heat events. This article discusses how the most recent Royal Australian and New Zealand College of Psychiatrists' (RANZCP) position statement dealt with the impact of climate change-related heat stress on people living with severe mental illness.<br><br>CONCLUSIONS: The RANZCP statement focuses on the impact of climate change on common mental disorders and suicide rates without specific mention of severe mental illnesses such as schizophrenia, bipolar disorder and severe major depression. However, people with severe mental illness face higher risks of morbidity and mortality in a hotter Australian climate. Based on equity for those with greater needs and higher levels of risk, we argue that psychiatrists should advocate for enhanced social and psychiatric care to improve heat-resilience amongst patients with severe mental illness. Future research is needed on the biopsychosocial mechanisms of increased heat-related morbidity and mortality for people with severe mental illness.},
}
@article {pmid39955942,
year = {2025},
author = {Hertzog, LR and Piedallu, C and Lebourgeois, F and Bouriaud, O and Bontemps, JD},
title = {Turning point in the productivity of western European forests associated with a climate change footprint.},
journal = {The Science of the total environment},
volume = {967},
number = {},
pages = {178843},
doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2025.178843},
pmid = {39955942},
issn = {1879-1026},
}
@article {pmid39955903,
year = {2025},
author = {Ma, D and Peng, S and Lin, Z},
title = {Towards a more comprehensive scenario analysis: Response of soil erosion to future land use and climate change in the Central Yunnan Urban Agglomeration, China.},
journal = {Journal of environmental management},
volume = {376},
number = {},
pages = {124523},
doi = {10.1016/j.jenvman.2025.124523},
pmid = {39955903},
issn = {1095-8630},
abstract = {Rapid urbanization and climate change exacerbate soil erosion globally, threatening ecosystem services and sustainable development. However, current predictive studies on future soil erosion often lack comprehensive consideration of the interactions between land use and climate change. This study proposed a comprehensive scenario analysis framework that integrated four Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs) from CMIP6 with four bespoke land-use scenarios (Inertial Development (IDS), Urban Development Priority (UDPS), Ecological Protection Priority (EPPS), and Farmland Protection Priority (FPPS)) to create 16 future scenarios, allowing for a more nuanced understanding of potential soil erosion trajectories. The results indicated that (1) compared to the baseline period (2000-2020), future soil erosion in the Central Yunnan Urban Agglomeration (CYUA) would improve, albeit with significant differences among the scenarios. The most notable improvement was under EPPS + SSP1-2.6 scenario (ScC1). (2) The lower Jinsha, upper Nanpan, and Red river basins were high-risk areas for soil erosion in the CYUA, each dominated by different factors, necessitating differentiated soil erosion control measures. (3) Land-use and climate change jointly influenced the direction of erosion development, with the lightest erosion occurring under the EPPS and heaviest erosion occurring under the FPPS. The largest decrease in erosion occurs under SSP1-2.6, whereas the smallest decrease occurs under SSP5-8.5. (4) Climate change had a more significant impact on soil erosion than land-use change, with the reduction rates of the soil erosion modulus and area between different climate change scenarios relative to the past 20 years being 9% and 3.77%, respectively, approximately eight and four times the magnitude of change under different land-use scenarios. This study recommends reducing carbon emissions, enhancing vegetation cover, and controlling slope land development to effectively mitigate the soil erosion risk in CYUA and promote regional sustainable development. The proposed comprehensive scenario analysis method provides new insights into future global small-scale regional predictions.},
}
@article {pmid39955462,
year = {2025},
author = {Ghazi, B and Salehi, H and Przybylak, R and Pospieszyńska, A},
title = {Projection of climate change impact on the occurrence of drought events in Poland.},
journal = {Scientific reports},
volume = {15},
number = {1},
pages = {5609},
pmid = {39955462},
issn = {2045-2322},
support = {2020/37/B/ST10/00710//Narodowym Centrum Nauki/ ; 2020/37/B/ST10/00710//Narodowym Centrum Nauki/ ; },
abstract = {In the era of human-induced climate change, droughts are one of the extreme events that can severely impact water resources, regional agriculture and the ecological environment. A reliable projection of droughts for the future is crucial with the rapid global increase in the frequency and intensity of droughts. This research aims to project the future of droughts in Poland by the end of the 21st century. To achieve this, we use a multi-model mean ensemble of 26 downscaled and bias-corrected high-resolution general circulation models (GCMs) under Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSP1-2.6, SSP2-4.5, SSP3-7.0, and SSP5-8.5) scenarios from Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (CMIP6) to project changes in temperature and precipitation. Then, estimation of droughts was completed for the periods 2031-2060 and 2071-2100 according to the Standardized Precipitation Evapotranspiration Index (SPEI) at three-time scales of 1, 6 and 12 months to address three types of droughts (i.e., meteorological, agricultural and hydrological, respectively). The temperature and precipitation projection revealed that temperature will increase in both future periods, which is dramatic under the SSP3-7.0 and SSP5-8.5 scenarios. However, precipitation fluctuates based on scenarios with a slight increase, excluding far-future periods under SSP3-7.0, and SSP5-8.5 scenarios. The projected changes in droughts based on SPEI under SSP scenarios showed a decrease in frequency in the near-future, but an increase under SSP2-4.5, SSP3-7.0 and SSP5-8.5 in the far-future. The number of severe and moderate droughts is expected to rise, with a notable increase in agricultural and hydrological droughts (SPEI-6 and SPEI-12) under SSP3-7.0 and SSP5-8.5.},
}
@article {pmid39954572,
year = {2025},
author = {Reis, J and Öztürk, &#x15e; and Ayta, S and Tülek, Z and Siva, A and Can, G and Spencer, PS},
title = {Health challenges of climate change in the Eastern Mediterranean and Middle East region, with a focus on Türkiye. An environmental neurological and brain health perspective.},
journal = {Journal of the neurological sciences},
volume = {470},
number = {},
pages = {123423},
doi = {10.1016/j.jns.2025.123423},
pmid = {39954572},
issn = {1878-5883},
abstract = {The Eastern Mediterranean and Middle East region, where both natural and anthropogenic disasters have occurred, is particularly vulnerable to the effects of climate change. This article aims to alert and inform the neurological community about the many health risks linked to climate change, including some more specific ones, such as the mucilage phenomenon, heat waves and dust storms, and the spread of vector-borne infections. We describe the potential adverse effects of such climate-related exposures and advocate for more research to promote Brain Health.},
}
@article {pmid39954090,
year = {2025},
author = {Bhardwaj, SS and Jha, MK and Uniyal, B},
title = {Impact of climate change on hydrological fluxes in the Upper Bhagirathi River Basin, Uttarakhand.},
journal = {Environmental monitoring and assessment},
volume = {197},
number = {3},
pages = {299},
pmid = {39954090},
issn = {1573-2959},
mesh = {*Climate Change ; *Rivers/chemistry ; *Environmental Monitoring ; *Hydrology ; India ; Water Movements ; Models, Theoretical ; },
abstract = {The Himalayan rivers are the major source of freshwater resources and have a tremendous potential for hydroelectric generation. However, assessing the water availability under climate change is challenging due to data scarcity, undulating topography, and complex climatic conditions. SWAT modeling investigates all potential consequences of variations in climate on the hydrological fluxes in the Upper Bhagirathi River Basin. Two global circulation models (GCMs) with three different climatic scenarios were employed. Quantile mapping has been used to correct the bias of GCM data. The developed model accurately simulated streamflow during calibration and validation at daily (NSE = 0.79 - 0.74, r = 0.89-0.87, and RMSE = 61.95 m[3]/s-79.75 m[3]/s) and monthly (NSE = 0.92 - 0.93, r = 0.96-0.97, and RMSE = 34.19 m[3]/s-37.39 m[3]/s) time steps. The analysis of the outcomes from MIROC6 and NorESM2-LM revealed that the rise in streamflow, surface runoff, lateral flow, and baseflow is more pronounced in MIROC6 across all three climatic scenarios. Under all scenarios, both MIROC6 and NorESM2-LM models show significant variations in snowfall and snowmelt patterns, with the area under snowfall reaching up to 51.65% for MIROC6 under SSP1-2.6 and snowmelt area peaking at 64.30% for MIROC6 under SSP2-4.5. This study's findings will offer essential insights for policymakers, practitioners, and water resource managers in developing climate-resilient strategies for sustainable water management in Himalayan catchments.},
}
@article {pmid39953364,
year = {2025},
author = {Somkuwar, RG and Dhole, AM},
title = {Understanding the photosynthesis in relation to climate change in grapevines.},
journal = {Theory in biosciences = Theorie in den Biowissenschaften},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
pmid = {39953364},
issn = {1611-7530},
abstract = {Due to predicted global climate change, there have been significant alterations in agricultural production patterns, which had a negative impact on ecosystems as well as the commercial and export prospects for the production of grapevines. The natural biochemistry of grapevines, including their chlorophyll content, net photosynthetic rate, Fv/Fm ratio, photorespiration, reduced yield, and quality is also anticipated to be negatively impacted by the various effects of light, temperature, and carbon dioxide at elevated scales. Grapevine phenology, physiology, and quality are impacted by the inactivation of photosystems (I and II), the Rubisco enzyme system, pigments, chloroplast integrity, and light intensity by temperature and increasing CO2 levels. Grape phenological events are considerably altered by climatic conditions; in particular, berries mature earlier, increasing the sugar-to-acid ratio. In enology, the sugar-to-acid ratio is crucial since it determines the wine's final alcohol concentration and flavour. As light intensity and CO2 levels rise, the biosynthesis of anthocyanins and tannins declines. As the temperature rises, the production of antioxidants diminishes, affecting the quality of raisins. Table grapes are more sensitive to temperature because of physiological problems like pink berries and a higher sugar-to-acidity ratio. Therefore, the systemic impact of light intensity, temperature, and increasing CO2 levels on grapevine physiology, phenology, photosystems, photosynthesis enzyme system, and adaptive strategies for grape producers and researchers are highlighted in this article.},
}
@article {pmid39953161,
year = {2025},
author = {Levy, A},
title = {'Researching climate change feels like standing in the path of an approaching train'.},
journal = {Nature},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1038/d41586-025-00487-4},
pmid = {39953161},
issn = {1476-4687},
}
@article {pmid39952222,
year = {2025},
author = {Ryu, YK and Hong, HK and Park, A and Lee, WK and Kim, T and Heo, SJ and Park, HS and Kim, D and Oh, C and Yang, HS},
title = {Effect of diet changes in benthic ecosystems owing to climate change on the physiological responses of Turbo sazae in waters around Jeju Island, Korea.},
journal = {Marine environmental research},
volume = {205},
number = {},
pages = {107001},
doi = {10.1016/j.marenvres.2025.107001},
pmid = {39952222},
issn = {1879-0291},
abstract = {The benthic ecosystem in temperate regions is becoming barren owing to the replacement of macroalgae by calcareous algae as a result of climate change-induced increases in water temperature. The aim of this study was to observe how the top shell, Turbo sazae, an invertebrate that feeds on macroalgae, adapts to a benthic environment with a reduced macroalgae population owing to replacement by calcareous algae. Using tank experiments, the top shells were cultured for 18 weeks. Within this period, they were fed a diet comprising either Eclonia cava or Corallina officinalis. Thereafter, hemocyte response, reproductive development, and the levels of biochemical compounds in the individuals under investigation were analyzed. The results obtained showed no significant differences in immunological responses, gonad development, and general body weight between the two feeding groups. However, amino acid profiling showed a decreasing trend in amino acid contents in both feeding groups, but no significant differences were observed with respect to overall protein content. These findings indirectly suggested that even in a macroalgae-depleted environment, the top shells can survive by consuming crustose calcareous algae, but with the change in diet affecting the levels of some amino acids in their bodies. Therefore, this study provides valuable insights into the adaptability of the top shells inhabiting the waters around Jeju Island to changes in their feeding environment and may also serve as basis for enhancing resource management strategies in response to climate change-induced changes in the benthic ecosystem.},
}
@article {pmid39949618,
year = {2025},
author = {Hubab, M and Lorestani, N and Al-Awabdeh, RAM and Shabani, F},
title = {Climate change-driven shifts in the global distribution of tomato and potato crops and their associated bacterial pathogens.},
journal = {Frontiers in microbiology},
volume = {16},
number = {},
pages = {1520104},
pmid = {39949618},
issn = {1664-302X},
abstract = {INTRODUCTION: Climate change is increasingly affecting the global distribution and productivity of critical food crops, including Solanum lycopersicum (tomato) and Solanum tuberosum (potato). In particular, bacterial pathogens such as Clavibacter michiganensis and Ralstonia solanacearum are expected to shift their geographic ranges, posing new risks to these crops. This study hypothesizes that under future climate scenarios, the geographic overlap between these crops and their pathogens will increase in certain regions, leading to heightened agricultural risks, especially in areas currently considered safe from these pathogens.<br><br>METHODS: To test our hypotheses, the objective was to evaluate the potential impact of climate change on the geographic distribution of two key food crops (tomato and potato) and their bacterial pathogens for the current time and by 2050. This study used four species distribution models (SDMs) to predict current and future habitat suitability for both tomato and potato crops, as well as their associated pathogens, under two shared socioeconomic pathways (SSP4.5 and SSP8.5) and four global circulation models (GCMs).<br><br>RESULTS: The models projected significant poleward shifts in suitable habitats for tomatoes and potatoes, with notable expansions in higher-latitude regions such as Canada, northern Europe, and Russia, and contractions in current major production zones such as the United States (US), Brazil, parts of Africa, and China. For Clavibacter michiganensis, the overlap with tomatoes was substantial, whereas the overlap between potatoes and Ralstonia solanacearum was comparatively smaller.<br><br>DISCUSSION: Our hypothesis was partially supported by the results. While the overall overlap between crop and pathogen habitats remains limited, the risk areas for both pathogens are expected to expand under future climate conditions in regions such as eastern Australia, Japan, Spain, and France. These findings underscore the importance of region-specific agricultural planning and pathogen management strategies to mitigate the risks posed by climate change. Future efforts should focus on vulnerable areas to prevent significant economic losses and ensure food security.},
}
@article {pmid39949519,
year = {2025},
author = {Aksit, D and Laenen, T},
title = {Settlement deservingness perceptions of climate change, economic, and political migrant groups across partisan lines.},
journal = {Frontiers in sociology},
volume = {10},
number = {},
pages = {1510672},
pmid = {39949519},
issn = {2297-7775},
abstract = {International migration is a prevailing issue of our times. With opponents of multicultural societies becoming more vocal across Europe, it is pivotal to strengthen our knowledge of how migrants are popularly perceived in receiving countries. Prior research suggests that there is remarkable agreement within different countries as to which types of migrants are seen as deserving of settlement, cutting across deep-rooted partisan divides. Building on the CARIN deservingness theory, this article sheds new light on this so-called "hidden immigration consensus" by investigating Americans' original perceptions of different migrant groups rather than following the standard practice of assessing how they react to a set of pre-defined migrant characteristics in a conjoint experiment. Based on a split-sample experiment, our results show that liberals and conservatives significantly differ in their perceptions of political, economic, and climate change migrants on four of the five CARIN criteria. Liberals differentiate between migrants on control, attitude, and identity criteria, whereas conservatives only distinguish on the control criterion. Liberals rate all migrant groups twice as deserving as conservatives. The implications for the settlement deservingness model and the hidden consensus hypothesis are discussed.},
}
@article {pmid39946393,
year = {2025},
author = {Singh, MK},
title = {Men deny more than they believe about climate change on Twitter (X).},
journal = {PloS one},
volume = {20},
number = {2},
pages = {e0303007},
pmid = {39946393},
issn = {1932-6203},
mesh = {*Climate Change ; Humans ; *Social Media ; Male ; Female ; },
abstract = {Climate change and twitter have been in scholarly and academic attention for study of human behaviour expressed on the popular social media platform. The sentiment of the tweets has been the subject of previous studies, and the most recent study used Twitter texts to examine seven aspects of climate change: denier/believer stance, sentiment, aggressiveness, temperature, gender, subjects and disasters, and their relationships. Amid the big pictures across these vital variables, we know very little about the extent to which the comparative gendered differences in views exist in the climate denier and believer groups shaping the climate change discussion. Using the large scale global twitter data from the past 13 years, this paper has examined the differences in the views of deniers and believers on climate change in comparison to the people neutral to climate change. Based on the expression on twitter, results of a sound multinomial regression model of this study indicates a globally strong climate denier stance of men.},
}
@article {pmid39946319,
year = {2025},
author = {Phuyal, P and Kramer, IM and Kadel, I and Wouters, E and Magdeburg, A and Groneberg, DA and Kuch, U and Ahrens, B and Dhimal, ML and Dhimal, M and Müller, R},
title = {On people's perceptions of climate change and its impacts in a hotspot of global warming.},
journal = {PloS one},
volume = {20},
number = {2},
pages = {e0317786},
pmid = {39946319},
issn = {1932-6203},
mesh = {Humans ; Nepal ; *Climate Change ; Male ; Female ; *Global Warming ; Perception ; Adult ; Middle Aged ; Surveys and Questionnaires ; Seasons ; Young Adult ; },
abstract = {The Hindu Kush Himalayan region is a global hotspot for climate change and highly vulnerable to its direct and indirect impacts. Understanding people's perception of climate change is crucial for effective adaptation strategies. We conducted a study by using quantitative (Household survey, n = 660) and qualitative data collection tools (Focus group discussion, n = 12; In-depth interviews, n = 27) in central Nepal encompassing three altitudinal regions: Lowland (<1000 m amsl; Terai region), Midland (1000-1500 m amsl; hilly region) and Highland (1500-2100 m amsl; mountainous region). We analyzed 37 years (1981-2017) of climatic data from respective districts (Lowland: Chitwan, Dhading; Midland: Kathmandu, Lalitpur; Highland: Nuwakot, Rasuwa). People's perception was compared with climate extreme indices measured along these regions and evaluated if they accurately recognized the impacts on the environment and human health. Our findings show significant climate changes, including rising summer temperature, region-specific winter temperatures and extended monsoon seasons in Nepal. Participants in our study accurately perceived these trends but misperceived heavy precipitation patterns. Reported impacts are rise in crop diseases, human diseases, vector expansion and climate induced disasters like floods, landslides, and water resource depletion, with perception accuracy varying by region. These insights highlight the importance of understanding regional and cross-regional perceptions in relation to climate data in order to develop tailored climate adaptation strategies. Policymakers can use this information to establish region-specific educational and communication initiatives, addressing communities' distinctive vulnerabilities and needs across diverse landscapes. Such approaches can enhance equitable and effective climate resilience in subtropical to alpine regions.},
}
@article {pmid39946300,
year = {2025},
author = {Marin, L and Kleinberg, RL},
title = {Climate Change, Emissions of Volatile Anesthetics, and Policy Making: The Case of Desflurane.},
journal = {Anesthesia and analgesia},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
pmid = {39946300},
issn = {1526-7598},
}
@article {pmid39945749,
year = {2025},
author = {Duncan, C and Berrian, A and Sander, WE},
title = {Integrating Climate Change into Competency-Based Veterinary Education.},
journal = {Journal of veterinary medical education},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {e20240102},
doi = {10.3138/jvme-2024-0102},
pmid = {39945749},
issn = {0748-321X},
abstract = {There is an urgent need for the expansion of climate change education for all health professionals, including veterinarians. Recognizing this, the American Association of Veterinary Medical Colleges released a position statement in 2023 urging the incorporation of climate change education into veterinary curriculums. However, there are currently no guidelines on how to implement this. Here we propose an educational framework, developed through a review of the literature and expert input, upon which to build veterinary-specific climate content. The framework includes four complementary domains: animal health management, resilient veterinary systems, mitigation of veterinary-related climate hazards, and broad community engagement on climate change. These domains are connected by two important threads, foundational knowledge and continuous learning, that highlight the dynamic nature of climate science and current and anticipated health impacts. The framework aims to serve as a starting point for developing, and sharing, climate change educational resources in veterinary medicine.},
}
@article {pmid39944519,
year = {2025},
author = {George, ME and Gaitor, TT and Cluck, DB and Henao-Martínez, AF and Sells, NR and Chastain, DB},
title = {The impact of climate change on the epidemiology of fungal infections: implications for diagnosis, treatment, and public health strategies.},
journal = {Therapeutic advances in infectious disease},
volume = {12},
number = {},
pages = {20499361251313841},
pmid = {39944519},
issn = {2049-9361},
abstract = {Anthropogenic climate change, primarily driven by greenhouse gas emissions, is reshaping ecosystems and creating conditions that affect 58% of all known human infectious diseases, including fungal infections. Specifically, increasing temperatures, changing precipitation patterns, and extreme weather events are influencing fungal growth, distribution, and virulence. These factors may expand the geographic range of pathogenic fungi, exposing populations to novel, potentially more virulent, or drug-resistant strains. Simultaneously, human factors such as declining immunity, aging populations, and increased use of immunosuppressive therapies are enhancing host susceptibility. This review explores the intricate relationship between climate change and fungal infections, highlighting pathogens that may demonstrate increased virulence and antifungal resistance, along with emerging novel pathogens. The clinical implications are profound, with increased morbidity, mortality, and the spread of fungal infections into new regions. Immediate action is required to develop policies, educational initiatives, and novel antifungal therapies, enhance early diagnostic capabilities, and address healthcare disparities to mitigate the growing burden of fungal infections.},
}
@article {pmid39942897,
year = {2025},
author = {Marques, T and Ferreira-Pinto, A and Fevereiro, P and Pinto, T and Gomes-Laranjo, J},
title = {Current Biological Insights of Castanea sativa Mill. to Improve Crop Sustainability to Climate Change.},
journal = {Plants (Basel, Switzerland)},
volume = {14},
number = {3},
pages = {},
pmid = {39942897},
issn = {2223-7747},
support = {UIDB/04033/2020//FCT - Portuguese Foundation for Science and Technology/ ; LA/P/0126/2020//FCT - Portuguese Foundation for Science and Technology/ ; },
abstract = {The sustainability of agriculture is seriously threatened by climate change. In Europe, chestnut ecosystems, which are growing mainly in Mediterranean climate, are facing during summertime increasing of heat and drought stresses. These induce fragilities on trees, leading to a reduction in productivity and predisposing them to pest and disease attacks. The plasticity of chestnut species under contrasting climate is known. Understanding the specific adaptation of cultivars to different climate features is now important to anticipating climate changes. Caucasian Region is considered the origin center of chestnut (Castanea sativa), which is characterized by climatic transition from the Mediterranean to the Euro-Siberian area. Mostly, areas of chestnut are concentrated in the countries around the Mediterranean Basin, thriving in regions with humid and Pré-Atlantic bioclimates. In Portugal, more than 95% of the chestnut area is located in the Center and North side of Portugal. This is an anisohydry species, characterized by good hydroplasticity: 90% reduction in A occurs when Ψwstem drops to -1.25 MPa, and a 50% reduction in A occurs at values of -1.7 MPa. The highest fatty acid contents in chestnut chloroplasts are a-linolenic acid (18:3), ranging between 40 and 50% of the total amount and being the unsaturated/saturated 2.27 for Longal. New strategies are being investigated in order to increase tolerance against those abiotic factors in chestnut species. They include the use of innovative irrigation techniques, which can increase production 22-37%. Fertilization with silicone (Si) has been investigated to promote the tolerance of plants against heat and drought stresses. Breeding programs, mostly (in Europe) against ink disease, have been performed since the middle of the XX century to create new genotypes (such the Portuguese ColUTAD[®]). ClimCast, a network of orchards, was created in Portugal with the aim of responding to the new challenges facing orchards in the context of climate change.},
}
@article {pmid39942868,
year = {2025},
author = {Liu, Y and Li, Y and Wang, R and Guo, L and Ji, Y and Chen, Y and Hao, L and Lin, K},
title = {Impacts of Human Activity and Climate Change on the Suitable Habitats for Xanthium spinosum in China.},
journal = {Plants (Basel, Switzerland)},
volume = {14},
number = {3},
pages = {},
pmid = {39942868},
issn = {2223-7747},
support = {2021YFD1400300//Earmarked Fund for the National Key Research and Development Program of China/ ; CARS-34//China Forage and Grass Research System CARS/ ; 2022LHQN03002//Inner Mongolia Natural Science Foundation/ ; 2024MD753998//China Postdoctoral Science Foundation under Grant Number/ ; },
abstract = {Xanthium spinosum (X. spinosum) is a highly invasive weed native to South America and distributed in 17 provinces (municipalities) of China. It has severely negative influences on ecosystems, agriculture, and husbandry. However, few studies have reported on the impact of human activity and climate change on the future distribution and centroid shift of X. spinosum. This study aimed to investigate the potential geological distribution of X. spinosum in China, as well as the distribution pattern, centroid shift, and key environmental factors influencing its distribution, under four future climate scenarios (SSP1-26, SSP2-45, SSP3-70, and SSP5-85) based on the biomod2-integrated model. The results indicated that the suitable habitats for X. spinosum would expand in the future, mainly in Inner Mongolia, Northeast China, and the plateau regions (e.g., Xinjiang and Xizang). Under future climate scenarios, the centroid would shift toward the northwest or northeast part of China, with the SSP2-45-2050s scenario showing the maximum shift distance (161.990 km). Additionally, the key environmental variables influencing the distribution of X. spinosum, including human impact index, bio5, bio7, and bio12, were determined, revealing that most of them were related to human activities, temperature, and precipitation. This study enhances the understanding of the influence of human activity and climate change on the geographic range of X. spinosum. It provides references for early warning and management in the control of X. spinosum.},
}
@article {pmid39942008,
year = {2025},
author = {Šola, I and Poljuha, D and Pavičić, I and Jurinjak Tušek, A and Šamec, D},
title = {Climate Change and Plant Foods: The Influence of Environmental Stressors on Plant Metabolites and Future Food Sources.},
journal = {Foods (Basel, Switzerland)},
volume = {14},
number = {3},
pages = {},
pmid = {39942008},
issn = {2304-8158},
support = {IP-2020-02-7585; IP-2020-02-6899; UIP-2019-04-1018//Croatian Sceince Foundation/ ; },
abstract = {Climate change is reshaping global agriculture by altering temperature regimes and other environmental conditions, with profound implications for food security and agricultural productivity. This review examines how key environmental stressors-such as extreme temperatures, water scarcity, increased salinity, UV-B radiation, and elevated concentrations of ozone and CO2-impact the nutritional quality and bioactive compounds in plant-based foods. These stressors can modify the composition of essential nutrients, particularly phytochemicals, which directly affect the viability of specific crops in certain regions and subsequently influence human dietary patterns by shifting the availability of key food resources. To address these challenges, there is growing interest in resilient plant species, including those with natural tolerance to stress and genetically modified variants, as well as in alternative protein sources derived from plants. Additionally, unconventional food sources, such as invasive plant species and algae, are being explored as sustainable solutions for future nutrition.},
}
@article {pmid39940322,
year = {2025},
author = {Neale, E and Balvert, T and Crinnion, H and Craddock, J and Lambert, K and Charlton, K},
title = {Application of Global Warming Potential Star (GWP*) Values to the AUSNUT 2011-13 Food Composition Database: Creation of the GWP*-AUSNUT 2011-13 Database.},
journal = {Nutrients},
volume = {17},
number = {3},
pages = {},
pmid = {39940322},
issn = {2072-6643},
mesh = {*Global Warming ; Australia ; *Databases, Factual ; Humans ; Food Analysis ; Diet ; Carbon Dioxide/analysis ; Carbon Footprint ; Food ; },
abstract = {BACKGROUND/OBJECTIVES: The Global Warming Potential Star (GWP*) refers to the amount of carbon dioxide equivalents produced by food items, with values available for n = 232 Australian food products. The aim of this study was to apply GWP* values to the AUSNUT 2011-13 food composition database to facilitate the calculation of the climate footprint of Australian dietary data.<br><br>METHODS: To create the GWP*-AUSNUT 2011-13 database, all n = 5740 food and beverage items in AUSNUT 2011-13 were reviewed and GWP* values applied or calculated via a systematic approach. Direct or approximate matches to a single GWP* value were prioritised. GWP* values were then calculated for composite foods with multiple ingredients. Finally, GWP* values were approximated based on food group, adjusted using other GWP* values, or foods were excluded if no appropriate match could be found.<br><br>RESULTS: A total of n = 5502 (95.85%) AUSNUT 2011-13 foods were matched to a GWP* value, with the majority requiring calculation based on multiple ingredients. Mean &#xb1; standard deviation GWP* values ranged from 0.18 &#xb1; 0.12 kg CO2e/kg ('Dairy and meat substitutes') to 5.63 &#xb1; 7.55 kg CO2e/kg ('Meat, poultry and game products and dishes').<br><br>CONCLUSIONS: The GWP*-AUSNUT 2011-13 database can be applied to Australian dietary data to identify the climate footprint of different dietary patterns or to provide insight into dietary changes required to decrease greenhouse gas emissions. Future research is now required to develop new GWP* values for a broader range of foods and to update this database when new Australian food composition databases are released.},
}
@article {pmid39939710,
year = {2025},
author = {Ogunbode, TO and Esan, VI and Ayegboyin, MH and Ogunlaran, OM and Sangoyomi, ET and Akande, JA},
title = {Analysis of farmers' perceptions on sustainable sweet orange farming in nigeria amid climate change.},
journal = {Scientific reports},
volume = {15},
number = {1},
pages = {5205},
pmid = {39939710},
issn = {2045-2322},
mesh = {*Climate Change ; Nigeria ; *Farmers ; *Citrus sinensis ; Humans ; Male ; Female ; Agriculture/methods ; Surveys and Questionnaires ; Middle Aged ; Adult ; Perception ; },
abstract = {This study evaluates sweet orange farmers' understanding of climate change impacts on sweet orange farming in Nigeria. A survey was conducted among 480 farmers across six key sweet orange-producing states, with 418 completed questionnaires analysed using descriptive and inferential statistical methods. The findings revealed that 78% of sweet orange farmers were male, 61% used pesticides for pest control, and 34.92% managed between 1 and 3 acres of sweet orange farms. The data underwent rigorous validation using the Kaiser-Meyer-Olkin and Bartlett's tests (p < 0.05), confirming its suitability for factor analysis. Six key factors shaping farmers' perceptions of climate change impacts were identified: production volume, high-temperature effects, prolonged dry seasons, shifting rainfall patterns, flooding incidence, and poor seedling performance. To mitigate climate change impacts, three major adaptation strategies were highlighted: (i) regular and timely dissemination of climate-related information to farmers (36.33%), (ii) enhanced government support through access to credit, extension services, public lectures, outreach programmes, and agrochemical subsidies (23.38%), and (iii) promotion of heat-resistant seeds and seedlings (11.50%). Policy recommendations include the establishment of a climate-resilient agricultural framework that integrates climate-smart farming techniques into extension services. The government should prioritise subsidies and financial support for smallholder farmers to enhance adaptive capacity. Additionally, investment in agricultural research to develop and distribute climate-resilient sweet orange seedlings should be intensified. Collaboration between meteorological agencies and agricultural extension officers should be strengthened to ensure farmers receive accurate, timely weather forecasts. Lastly, policymakers should design region-specific climate adaptation policies to support sustainable sweet orange production. Further research is recommended to assess the long-term effectiveness of these adaptation strategies in sustaining sweet orange farming under changing climatic conditions.},
}
@article {pmid39937798,
year = {2025},
author = {Schön, J and Gentsch, N and Breunig, P},
title = {Correction: Cover crops support the climate change mitigation potential of agroecosystems.},
journal = {PloS one},
volume = {20},
number = {2},
pages = {e0319516},
pmid = {39937798},
issn = {1932-6203},
abstract = {[This corrects the article DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0302139.].},
}
@article {pmid39937142,
year = {2025},
author = {Czajkowski, R and Roca, A and Matilla, MA},
title = {Harnessing Bacteriophages for Sustainable Crop Protection in the Face of Climate Change.},
journal = {Microbial biotechnology},
volume = {18},
number = {2},
pages = {e70108},
pmid = {39937142},
issn = {1751-7915},
support = {RYC2019-026481-I//Spanish Ministry for Science and Innovation/ ; 2020/38/E/NZ9/00007//Polish National Science Center/ ; PID2023-146281NB-I00//Spanish Ministry for Science, Innovation and Universities/ ; },
mesh = {*Bacteriophages/physiology ; *Climate Change ; *Plant Diseases/prevention &amp; control/microbiology/therapy ; *Crops, Agricultural/microbiology ; *Crop Protection/methods ; Phage Therapy/methods ; Biological Control Agents ; Agriculture/methods ; },
abstract = {Crop pathogens represent a major challenge to global food security, causing over 40% yield losses in key crops and annual economic impacts estimated at up to US$290 billion. Microbial-based alternatives to synthetic agrochemicals offer sustainable solutions aligned with global initiatives like the European Union's Green Deal. Among these, bacteriophage (phage) therapy has gained attention for its specificity, effectiveness against plant pathogens and safety for crops. Here, we highlight recent research on phage therapy strategies and their potential utility in sustainable agriculture, showcasing its effectiveness in reducing phytopathogen densities, delaying plant disease onset, and enriching plant-associated bacterial taxa with biocontrol potential. Phage cocktails improve biocontrol, mitigate resistance, and synergize with other biological and chemical agents. Emerging technologies like engineered phages also promise enhanced efficacy. Addressing challenges like phytopathogen resistance, field inconsistencies, and regulatory hurdles is crucial to integrating phage therapy into sustainable agriculture under climate stress.},
}
@article {pmid39936594,
year = {2025},
author = {Levy, SB and Pirtle, S and Bastien, R and Cruz, K and Vernon, J},
title = {The wintertime brown adipose tissue thermogenesis of New York City residents amidst climate change.},
journal = {Annals of human biology},
volume = {52},
number = {1},
pages = {2455685},
doi = {10.1080/03014460.2025.2455685},
pmid = {39936594},
issn = {1464-5033},
mesh = {Humans ; Male ; Female ; *Thermogenesis/physiology ; Adult ; New York City ; *Adipose Tissue, Brown/physiology ; *Climate Change ; *Seasons ; Young Adult ; Energy Metabolism ; Cold Temperature ; Adolescent ; },
abstract = {BACKGROUND: The built environment buffers residents of large cities, such as New York (NYC), from exposure to low temperatures. Furthermore, average winter temperatures are rising in NYC due to climate change. The degree to which NYC residents exhibit metabolic adaptations to cold stress is currently unclear.<br><br>AIM: This study quantified variation in brown adipose tissue (BAT), energy expenditure (EE), and ambient temperature among NYC residents.<br><br>SUBJECTS AND METHODS: We recruited 46 adults (31 females; 15 males) and quantified anthropometrics, change in EE, and BAT thermogenesis after a cooling condition in the lab. A subsample of 21 participants wore temperature loggers for three days in order to quantify ambient temperature exposure.<br><br>RESULTS: BAT thermogenesis was not significantly associated with change in EE. Participants that were exposed to lower average temperatures exhibited greater BAT thermogenesis (p&#x2009;=&#x2009;0.013). Change in EE, however, was not significantly associated with time spent outside nor average temperature exposure.<br><br>CONCLUSION: Our study provides mixed evidence for the role of BAT thermogenesis in metabolic adaptations to cold stress among NYC residents. Many young adults in NYC are exposed to minimal amounts of cold stress, and this trend is likely to be exacerbated by climate change.},
}
@article {pmid39935732,
year = {2025},
author = {Shomuyiwa, DO and Lucero-Prisno, DE},
title = {Climate change trauma and collective dissociation: Unraveling the impact on mental health and advocating for collective action.},
journal = {Global mental health (Cambridge, England)},
volume = {12},
number = {},
pages = {e5},
pmid = {39935732},
issn = {2054-4251},
abstract = {The climate change crisis is a complex global challenge that has far- reaching implications for public health and well-being. Rising temperatures and more frequent extreme weather events are impacting physical health, mental well-being, and ecological balance. Vulnerable communities are disproportionately affected, especially in terms of food security. Furthermore, climate-related disasters have profound and lasting effects on mental health, leading to trauma responses and dissociation as coping mechanisms. This perspective delves into the concept of collective dissociation, a subconscious defense mechanism that hinders effective action in the face of the overwhelming climate crisis. Understanding and characterizing this phenomenon is essential to promote meaningful climate action. To combat collective dissociation and facilitate effective collective action, several strategies are proposed. Responsible information management for advocacy, local moral support, strategic policy development, and research on climate trauma processing are highlighted as vital approaches. By addressing the mental health implications of climate change, raising awareness, and prioritizing resilience and cooperation, societies can transcend collective dissociation and work together towards a more sustainable future for both the planet and its inhabitants. This call to action underscores the need for comprehensive and guided measures to safeguard planetary and population health in the face of this pressing crisis.},
}
@article {pmid39935685,
year = {2024},
author = {Botes, J and Ma, X and Chang, J and Van de Peer, Y and Berger, DK},
title = {Flavonoids and anthocyanins in seagrasses: implications for climate change adaptation and resilience.},
journal = {Frontiers in plant science},
volume = {15},
number = {},
pages = {1520474},
pmid = {39935685},
issn = {1664-462X},
abstract = {Seagrasses are a paraphyletic group of marine angiosperms and retain certain adaptations from the ancestors of all embryophytes in the transition to terrestrial environments. Among these adaptations is the production of flavonoids, versatile phenylpropanoid secondary metabolites that participate in a variety of stress responses. Certain features, such as catalytic promiscuity and metabolon interactions, allow flavonoid metabolism to expand to produce novel compounds and respond to a variety of stimuli. As marine environments expose seagrasses to a unique set of stresses, these plants display interesting flavonoid profiles, the functions of which are often not completely clear. Flavonoids will likely prove to be effective and versatile agents in combating the new host of stress conditions introduced to marine environments by anthropogenic climate change, which affects marine environments differently from terrestrial ones. These new stresses include increased sulfate levels, changes in salt concentration, changes in herbivore distributions, and ocean acidification, which all involve flavonoids as stress response mechanisms, though the role of flavonoids in combatting these climate change stresses is seldom discussed directly in the literature. Flavonoids can also be used to assess the health of seagrass meadows through an interplay between flavonoid and simple phenolic levels, which may prove to be useful in monitoring the response of seagrasses to climate change. Studies focusing on the genetics of flavonoid metabolism are limited for this group, but the large chalcone synthase gene families in some species may provide an interesting topic of research. Anthocyanins are typically studied separately from other flavonoids. The phenomenon of reddening in certain seagrass species typically focuses on the importance of anthocyanins as a UV-screening mechanism, while the role of anthocyanins in cold stress is discussed less often. Both of these stress response functions would be useful for adaptation to climate change-induced deviations in tidal patterns and emersion. However, ocean warming will likely lead to a decrease in anthocyanin content, which may impact the performance of intertidal seagrasses. This review highlights the importance of flavonoids in angiosperm stress response and adaptation, examines research on flavonoids in seagrasses, and hypothesizes on the importance of flavonoids in these organisms under climate change.},
}
@article {pmid39935589,
year = {2025},
author = {Karimi-Malekabadi, F and Sachdeva, S and Dehghani, M},
title = {A value-based topography of climate change beliefs and behaviors.},
journal = {PNAS nexus},
volume = {4},
number = {2},
pages = {pgae590},
pmid = {39935589},
issn = {2752-6542},
abstract = {While research has documented clear regional differences in environmental attitudes and behaviors, less is understood about the role of shared moral values in shaping these variations. This gap poses a critical challenge to designing effective climate action strategies. Many environmental initiatives rely on "moral framing" to promote proenvironmental behavior, often targeting specific geographical areas like cities or counties. However, these strategies may falter if they fail to account for the unique moral landscapes that shape climate beliefs and actions in different regions. To maximize the success of these interventions, it is crucial to understand how collective moral values influence environmental engagement across diverse communities. Across two studies, we offer insights at the collective level into the moral psychology of climate change by investigating how county-level moral values can predict (i) green attitudes and (ii) household carbon emissions within those counties after accounting for political behavior and region-specific factors. Using Bayesian geospatial modeling, we find that counties that endorse purity and fairness show higher environmental concerns and lower emissions across 3,102 US counties in 48 states. While political orientation strongly predicts environmental attitudes, moral values appear to be a more important factor in predicting carbon footprints. We discuss how county-level dynamics deviate from individual-level dynamics. Our community-level evidence can be leveraged to enhance green interventions on a regional scale by aligning them with the local populace's prevailing values and lived experiences, thus bolstering public support and increasing the likelihood of successful climate action initiatives.},
}
@article {pmid39935274,
year = {2025},
author = {Augustyniak, M and Preiszner, B and Kobak, J and Czeglédi, I and Kakareko, T and Erős, T and Cuthbert, RN and Jermacz, &#x141;},
title = {Global warming affects foraging efficiency of fish by influencing mutual interference.},
journal = {The Journal of animal ecology},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1111/1365-2656.70003},
pmid = {39935274},
issn = {1365-2656},
support = {2020/39/D/NZ8/01226//Narodowe Centrum Nauki/ ; OTKA PD 138296//National Research, Development and Innovation Office/ ; },
abstract = {Predator-prey interactions underpin ecological dynamics from population to ecosystem scales, affecting population growth and influencing community stability. One of the classic methods to study these relationships is the functional response (FR) approach, measuring resource use across resource densities. Global warming is known to strongly mediate consumer-resource interactions, but the relevance of prey and predator densities remains largely unknown. Elevated temperature could increase consumer energy expenditure, which needs to be compensated by greater foraging activity. However, such greater activity may concurrently result in a higher encounter rate with other consumers, which potentially affects their total pressure on resource populations because of synergistic or antagonistic effects among multiple predators. We performed a laboratory experiment using three densities of a fish predator (pumpkinseed, Lepomis gibbosus) (one, two and four specimens), two temperatures (25 and 28°C) and six prey densities. Using the FR approach, we investigated the combined effects of elevated temperature and predator and prey density on the consumer's foraging efficiency. We observed a reduced maximum feeding rate at the higher temperature for single predators. However, the foraging efficiency of predators in groups was negatively affected by antagonistic interactions between individuals and further mediated by the temperature. Specifically, we observed a general decrease in antagonistic interactions at elevated compared to the ambient water temperature for multiple predator groupings. Irrespective of temperature, antagonistic multiple predator effects increased with predator density and peaked unimodally at intermediate prey densities, indicating multiple dimensions of density-dependence that interact to supersede the effects of warming. This study shows that conspecific presence negatively affects the per capita performance of predators, but that this effect is dampened with increasing temperature. Their adaptive response to temperature consists of limited food intake and further reduced intraspecific interactions. Including intraspecific competition in study design may thus offer more realistic outcomes compared to widely used experiments with only single predator individuals, which could overestimate the effect of increasing temperature.},
}
@article {pmid39934367,
year = {2025},
author = {Braithwaite, J and Tran, Y and Fisher, G and Ellis, LA and Smith, CL and Zurynski, Y},
title = {Health system performance on greenhouse gas emissions, climate change and development status in 38 OECD countries.},
journal = {Scientific reports},
volume = {15},
number = {1},
pages = {5101},
pmid = {39934367},
issn = {2045-2322},
support = {2019/GNT1176620//National Health and Medical Research Council/ ; },
mesh = {*Climate Change ; *Greenhouse Gases/analysis ; Humans ; *Organisation for Economic Co-Operation and Development ; Delivery of Health Care ; },
abstract = {Health systems must solve two climate-related problems simultaneously: mitigate their greenhouse gas emissions and adapt to additional patient loads associated with climate-induced demands for care from weather sequalae and vector-borne diseases. We aimed to benchmark the mitigation and adaptive efforts of OECD member countries compared with their health system performance. We used Multidimensional Scaling and Hierarchical Cluster Analysis to group all 38 OECD member countries as at January 2024. Clusters were defined according to greenhouse gases per capita, vulnerability to climate change and the United Nations' Human Development Index. Post hoc analyses compared each cluster's performance to the OECD's Health Care Quality Indicators. The countries fell into five profiles: Vulnerable low emitters; Vulnerable aspiring; Middle of the road; Robust aspiring; and Goldilocks zone. Post-hoc analyses revealed strong links between the profiles and health system performance. Characterising countries in a five-dimensional model may help policymakers to share benchmarked country-level information, devise ways to support resilient care practices, better target healthcare investments, and improve access to needed care.},
}
@article {pmid39933778,
year = {2025},
author = {Wang, C and Chen, X and Jiang, T},
title = {Economic Inequality Brings About More Inaction Over Climate Change: The Role of Perception, Discussion, and Responsibility.},
journal = {International journal of psychology : Journal international de psychologie},
volume = {60},
number = {2},
pages = {e70022},
doi = {10.1002/ijop.70022},
pmid = {39933778},
issn = {1464-066X},
support = {TJZ223021//General Project of Philosophy and Social Science Research in Colleges and Universities in Jiangsu Province/ ; 23CSH048//the National Social Science Foundation/ ; },
mesh = {Humans ; *Climate Change ; Adult ; Female ; Male ; *Social Responsibility ; Young Adult ; Socioeconomic Factors ; Middle Aged ; Social Perception ; Adolescent ; Aged ; },
abstract = {Emerging studies on climate change inaction predominantly focused on exploring its psychological roots. To extend this line of research, the present study was conducted to investigate whether, how and when economic inequality relates to climate change inaction taking into account subjective and objective economic inequality simultaneously. Utilising two large independent samples (Study 1: N = 1, 066; Study 2: N = 518), our research demonstrated causal links between higher subjective and objective economic inequality and increased climate change inaction. In societies with greater economic inequality, climate change inaction was more prevalent compared to those with lower economic inequality. Notably, these relations were mediated by climate change perception and moderated by climate change discussion and responsibility attribution, respectively. The findings advance existing research by identifying economic inequality as a novel antecedent of climate change inaction and further elucidating the underlying process and boundary condition. Additionally, these insights provide practical guidance for inaction-reduction in the context of climate change.},
}
@article {pmid39933586,
year = {2025},
author = {Gomes, DGE},
title = {How will we prepare for an uncertain future? The value of open data and code for unborn generations facing climate change.},
journal = {Proceedings. Biological sciences},
volume = {292},
number = {2040},
pages = {20241515},
pmid = {39933586},
issn = {1471-2954},
mesh = {*Climate Change ; Uncertainty ; Humans ; },
abstract = {As the impacts of climate change continue to intensify, humans face new challenges to long-term survival. Humans will likely be battling these problems long after 2100, when many climate projections currently end. A more forward-thinking view on our science and its direction may help better prepare for the future of our species. Researchers may consider datasets the basic units of knowledge, whose preservation is arguably more important than the articles that are written about them. Storing data and code in long-term repositories offers insurance against our uncertain future. To ensure open data are useful, data must be FAIR (Findable, Accessible, Interoperable and Reusable) and be complete with all appropriate metadata. By embracing open science practices, contemporary scientists give the future of humanity the information to make better decisions, save time and other valuable resources, and increase global equity as access to information is made free. This, in turn, could enable and inspire a diversity of solutions, to the benefit of many. Imagine the collective science conducted, the models built, and the questions answered if all of the data researchers have collectively gathered were organized and immediately accessible and usable by everyone. Investing in open science today may ensure a brighter future for unborn generations.},
}
@article {pmid39933369,
year = {2025},
author = {Zhang, Z},
title = {Exploring the nexus: Climate change concerns, renewable energy, and carbon emissions.},
journal = {Journal of environmental management},
volume = {376},
number = {},
pages = {124413},
doi = {10.1016/j.jenvman.2025.124413},
pmid = {39933369},
issn = {1095-8630},
abstract = {Amid growing concerns over sustainable development, understanding how public concerns regarding governmental, legal, societal, and environmental factors interact to influence renewable energy production and carbon emissions is essential. We utilize news-based data and TVP-VAR model to explore these dynamic interlinkages. The findings show that government programs are the most influential drivers within the shock transmission network, significantly impacting renewable energy development. Social events and environmental risks influence renewable energy production and carbon emissions through government programs. We find a two-way relationship: carbon emissions drive renewable energy production, which, in turn, reduces emissions. Legal actions are primarily reactive, adapting to evolving climate concerns and carbon emission trends. Major climate events, such as the 2009 Copenhagen Conference and the 2015 Paris Agreement, reshaped the influence network. Following these events, government programs and social events became stronger drivers of renewable energy development. These insights offer practical implications for designing targeted interventions to accelerate the transition toward sustainability and effective climate action.},
}
@article {pmid39933114,
year = {2024},
author = {Walton, AL and Stanifer, SR and Wilson, R and Allen, DH},
title = {The Impact of Climate Change Across the Cancer Control Continuum: Key Considerations for Oncology Nurses.},
journal = {Oncology nursing forum},
volume = {52},
number = {1},
pages = {6-14},
doi = {10.1188/25.ONF.6-14},
pmid = {39933114},
issn = {1538-0688},
mesh = {Humans ; *Climate Change ; *Oncology Nursing ; *Neoplasms ; United States ; Female ; Male ; Adult ; Middle Aged ; Nurse's Role ; },
abstract = {Nurses in all specialties have been called upon to take action to address global climate change, climate justice, and health. The American Nurses Association (2023) has specifically tasked nursing professional organizations to (a) educate members on climate change-related illnesses and negative impacts on treatment, (b) collaborate with grassroots organizations for environmental justice efforts, (c) support policies that promote climate mitigation and adaptation, (d) maintain familiarity with climate justice frameworks, and (e) collectively amplify the voice of nursing to strengthen its impact on climate policy. The purpose of this white paper is to enlighten members of the Oncology Nursing Society and oncology nurses at large on the increasing impact of climate change across the cancer control continuum and the pivotal role of the oncology nurse in education, research, clinical practice, and advocacy. Climate change refers to long-term shifts in temperature and weather patterns that are occurring because of global warming (United Nations, n.d.). Climate change is an often-overlooked social determinant of (or contributor to) health that exacerbates poor health, increases healthcare costs, disproportionately affects some communities, and has a synergistic effect with other social determinants of health (Ragavan et al., 2020). Climate change affects all aspects of the cancer control continuum and impacts some populations disproportionately. Events such as wildfires and floods, exacerbated by climate change, can heighten individuals' exposure to cancer-causing substances, thereby increasing their susceptibility to the disease; reducing such exposure can reduce risks for cancer and positively impact the environment. Air pollution, extended droughts, heat waves, ultraviolet radiation, extreme weather events, and food supply disruptions also impact cancer etiology. Extreme weather events disrupt preventive care, cancer detection, and screening efforts, and create workforce shortages that can lead to suboptimal care. Disruptions in the supply chain and scheduled healthcare visits impact patient care continuity. Additionally, climate-related extreme weather events have an impact on overall survival and disrupt end-of-life care, underscoring the pervasive impact of climate change on cancer care across the continuum. Oncology nurses are strategically positioned to contribute to multifaceted solutions, including obtaining and offering education to fellow healthcare providers, students, patients, community members, and policymakers. Oncology nurse scientists are equipped to spearhead the generation of pertinent new knowledge, and nurses in clinical care can play a crucial role in assisting their healthcare system to become carbon net neutral. Oncology nurses must answer the call to actively engage in climate and health advocacy efforts within their own healthcare systems and in the communities where they live, work, and play. Several resources for education and action are shared.},
}
@article {pmid39932991,
year = {2025},
author = {Gastelo, M and Bastos, C and Ortiz, R and Blas, R},
title = {Environmental impact and phenotypic stability in potato clones resistant to late blight Phytophthora infestans (Mont) de Bary, resilient to climate change in Peru.},
journal = {PloS one},
volume = {20},
number = {2},
pages = {e0318255},
pmid = {39932991},
issn = {1932-6203},
mesh = {*Phytophthora infestans/physiology ; *Solanum tuberosum/microbiology ; Peru ; *Plant Diseases/microbiology ; *Disease Resistance ; *Climate Change ; Phenotype ; Environment ; },
abstract = {Potato is one of the three most important foods in the world's diet and is staple in the Peruvian highlands. This crop is affected by late blight, a disease that if not controlled in time can decimate production. The oomycete (Phytophthora infestans) causing this disease is controlled using fungicides, which affect the environment and human health, another form of control is the use of resistant cultivars. 30 potato clones from the LBHTC2 population were evaluated, with the objective of selecting clones with high levels of resistance to this disease, stable for tuber yield, low environmental impact and high economic profitability. The clones were planted in three field experiments in the 2021-2022 growing season. Two experiments with and without late blight chemical control in Oxapampa and Huánuco and one experiment under normal conditions of a potato crop in El Mantaro, Junin, using randomized complete blocks with three replications. The cultivars Yungay, Amarilis and Kory were used as controls for late blight resistance and tuber yield. Late blight resistance and environmental impact were determined based on experiments with and without control in Huánuco and Oxapampa. Yield stability and economic profitability were evaluated based on information from the three experiments. Clones CIP316375.102, CIP316361.187, CIP316367.117, CIP316356.149, CIP316367.147 were the ones that presented the highest yields, high Late blight resistance, phenotypically stable for tuber yield, with low environmental impact and high economic profitability, superior to control cultivars. These clones have high potential for sustainable production systems that allow reducing environmental impact, increasing economic profitability and improving producers' living standards.},
}
@article {pmid39932038,
year = {2025},
author = {Zhao, J and Salthammer, T and Schieweck, A and Uhde, E and Hussein, T},
title = {Long-term prediction of climate change impacts on indoor particle pollution - case study of a residential building in Germany.},
journal = {Environmental science. Processes &amp; impacts},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1039/d4em00663a},
pmid = {39932038},
issn = {2050-7895},
abstract = {Extreme weather phenomena are increasing in nature, which affects indoor air quality and especially particle concentrations in several ways: (1) changes in ambient pollutant concentrations, (2) indoor particle formation from gas-phase reactions, (3) building characteristics, (4) particle dynamic processes, and (5) residential behavior. However, there are only a few studies that have examined future indoor particle concentrations in relation to climate change, even though indoor spaces are intended to protect people from local climate influences and health risks posed by pollutants. Consequently, this work focuses on the expected long- and short-term concentrations of airborne particles in residences. For this purpose, we applied the computer-based Indoor Air Quality Climate Change (IAQCC) model to a residential building as part of a case study. The selected building physics data represent a large part of the German building structure. The long-term prediction is based on the shared socio-economic pathway (SSP) scenarios published by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC). When assuming that the activities of residents remain unchanged, our long-term simulations (by 2100) show that the decreasing outdoor particle concentration will compensate for the indoor chemistry driven particle increase, leading to an overall decreasing trend in the indoor particle concentration. Nevertheless, outdoor air pollution events, such as dust storms and ozone episodes, can significantly affect indoor air quality in the short term. It becomes clear that measures are needed to prevent and minimize the effects of outdoor pollutants under extreme weather conditions. This also includes the equipment of buildings with regard to appropriate construction design and smart technologies in order to ensure the protection of human health.},
}
@article {pmid39929869,
year = {2025},
author = {Zhu, K and Zhu, Y and Zhao, Z and Wang, Y and Guo, X and Du, Y and Fu, J and Gao, J},
title = {Ecological vulnerability and driving factors in the himalayan transboundary landscape under global climate change.},
journal = {Scientific reports},
volume = {15},
number = {1},
pages = {4895},
pmid = {39929869},
issn = {2045-2322},
support = {2019QZKK040103//Second Tibetan Plateau Scientific Expedition Program/ ; 2019QZKK040103//Second Tibetan Plateau Scientific Expedition Program/ ; 2019QZKK040103//Second Tibetan Plateau Scientific Expedition Program/ ; 2019QZKK040103//Second Tibetan Plateau Scientific Expedition Program/ ; },
abstract = {Climate change and human activities are placing significant pressure on the carrying capacity of the Himalayan alpine ecosystem. This study focuses on seven transboundary protected areas and national parks in the Himalayas, including China's Everest National Nature Reserve and Nepal's Sagarmatha National Park, Manaslu Conservation Area, Langtang National Park, Gauri Sankar Conservation Area, Makalu Barun National Park, and Kanchenjunga Conservation Area. We used the Vulnerability Scoping Diagram (VSD) model to assess ecological vulnerability, analyzing land use changes and landscape patterns from 2000 to 2020 to identify key drivers of landscape changes. The fragmentation of ecological landscapes initially increased and then decreased, with values of 4.05, 3.99, and 3.86 observed, indicating a general reduction in regional ecological vulnerability. The south slope demonstrated lower ecological vulnerability than the north slope. Key factors influencing patch density included annual average temperature, population density, and annual precipitation. Annual precipitation, temperature, and the normalized vegetation index were the primary drivers of the largest patch index. The landscape shape index was most affected by precipitation, vegetation index, and slope, while the spread index was primarily influenced by precipitation and slope. The homogeneity index was most strongly related to annual precipitation, vegetation index, and normalized water index. This study provides a representative case for transboundary cooperation in ecological conservation, offering insights into sustainable development strategies for cross-border regions in the Himalayas.},
}
@article {pmid39928625,
year = {2025},
author = {Delos, MC and Johnson, CG and Weiskopf, SR and Cushing, JA},
title = {Climate change effects on ecosystem services: Disentangling drivers of mixed responses.},
journal = {PloS one},
volume = {20},
number = {2},
pages = {e0306017},
pmid = {39928625},
issn = {1932-6203},
mesh = {*Climate Change ; *Ecosystem ; Humans ; Conservation of Natural Resources ; },
abstract = {Climate change is a pervasive hazard that impacts the supply and demand of ecosystem goods and services (EGS) that maintain human well-being. A recent review found that the impacts of climate change on EGS are sometimes mixed, posing challenges for managers who need to adapt to these changes. We expand on earlier work by exploring drivers of varying responses of EGS to climate within studies. We conducted a systematic review of English-language papers directly assessing climate change impacts on the supply, demand, or monetary value of 'provisioning EGS', 'regulating EGS', or 'cultural EGS'. Ultimately, 44 papers published from December 2014 to March 2018 were analyzed. Nearly 66% of EGS were assessed for higher-income countries despite how lower-income countries disproportionately face negative climate impacts. Around 59% of observations or projections were mixed responses of EGS to climate change. Differences in climate impacts to EGS across space or climate scenarios were the most common causes of mixed responses, followed by mixed responses across time periods assessed. Disaggregating findings by drivers is valuable because mixed responses were often due to multiple drivers of variation. Carefully considering the decision context and desired outcome of a study will help select appropriate methodology to detect EGS variation. Although studies have often assessed relevant drivers of variation, assessing interactions of other sources of uncertainty and both climate and non-climate drivers may support more effective management decisions that holistically account for different values in the face of uncertainty.},
}
@article {pmid39927913,
year = {2025},
author = {Chen, K and Lu, Y and Krumholz, HM},
title = {Wildfires, Compound Extreme Events, Climate Change, and Cardiovascular Health.},
journal = {Journal of the American College of Cardiology},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1016/j.jacc.2025.01.009},
pmid = {39927913},
issn = {1558-3597},
}
@article {pmid39927904,
year = {2025},
author = {Parker, ER and Rosenbach, M and Davis, MDP},
title = {The Voice of the American Dermatological Association: 2025 Official Policy Statement on Climate Change.},
journal = {The Journal of investigative dermatology},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1016/j.jid.2024.12.015},
pmid = {39927904},
issn = {1523-1747},
}
@article {pmid39927352,
year = {2024},
author = {Vikash Kumar, KC and Dhungana, AR and Khand, PB},
title = {Gender perspective on climate change adaption strategies in livestock farming in Gandaki Province, Nepal.},
journal = {Open veterinary journal},
volume = {14},
number = {12},
pages = {3363-3374},
pmid = {39927352},
issn = {2218-6050},
mesh = {Nepal ; *Climate Change ; Female ; Animals ; Male ; *Animal Husbandry/methods/statistics &amp; numerical data ; *Livestock ; Surveys and Questionnaires ; Humans ; Sex Factors ; Middle Aged ; Farmers/psychology/statistics &amp; numerical data ; Adult ; },
abstract = {BACKGROUND: Climate change has a significant impact on livestock farming around the globe. Farmers have adopted different strategies to mitigate the adverse impact of climate change. Females in developing countries are more vulnerable to climate change impacts and have lower adaptive capacity and they bear additional roles and responsibilities in livestock rearing compared to their male counterparts.<br><br>AIM: The main aim of this study is to examine the gender perspective on climate change adoption strategies in livestock farming in Gandaki province, Nepal.<br><br>METHODS: A multistage random sampling technique was employed to select 1,158 households from five districts in Gandaki province, western Nepal. A household head or household member who was 45 years or older resided in that area for at least 15 years and owned at least one primary livestock at the time of the survey was selected as the ultimate respondent from each selected household. Both structured and unstructured questionnaires were prepared. A structured questionnaire was used for the household survey, while a checklist (guideline) was prepared for focus group discussions. Data were collected through face-to-face interviews, and both descriptive and inferential statistics were used for data analysis.<br><br>RESULTS: The results revealed that buffalo was the primary livestock among farmers. More than half of farmers, both men and women were aware of the impact of climate change on livestock. While this study did not find significant gender-based differences in adaptation strategies, the odds of adoption are higher among males than females. Jobs other than agriculture and livestock, as well as access to credit, emerged as key determining factors associated with adaptation strategies among farmers in Gandaki province.<br><br>CONCLUSION: There is no significant gender-based difference in adaptation strategies; however, employment outside agriculture and livestock, along with access to credit, are the key determining factors associated with adaptation strategies.},
}
@article {pmid39925372,
year = {2024},
author = {Ali Abaker Omer, A and Zhang, CH and Liu, J and Shan, ZG},
title = {Comprehensive review of mapping climate change impacts on tea cultivation: bibliometric and content analysis of trends, influences, adaptation strategies, and future directions.},
journal = {Frontiers in plant science},
volume = {15},
number = {},
pages = {1542793},
pmid = {39925372},
issn = {1664-462X},
abstract = {Climate change has a profound impact on tea cultivation, posing significant challenges to yield, quality, and sustainability due to stressors such as drought, temperature fluctuations, and elevated CO2 levels. This study aims to address these challenges by identifying and synthesizing key themes, influential contributions, and effective adaptation strategies for mitigating the impacts of climate change on tea production. A systematic bibliometric and content analysis was conducted on 328 peer-reviewed documents (2004-2023), following the PRISMA methodology. Performance analysis using Bibliometrix examined trends in publication output, leading contributors, and geographical distribution, while science mapping with VOSviewer revealed collaboration networks and thematic clusters. A detailed review of highly cited studies highlighted the primary climate variables affecting tea cultivation and identified innovative adaptation strategies, as well as critical knowledge gaps. The results show significant progress in understanding the physiological, biochemical, and molecular responses of tea plants to climate-induced stressors, including antioxidant mechanisms, secondary metabolite regulation, and genomic adaptations. Despite these advancements, challenges remain, particularly regarding the combined effects of multiple stressors, long-term adaptation strategies, and the socioeconomic implications of climate change. The findings underscore the need for interdisciplinary approaches that integrate molecular, ecological, and socioeconomic research to address these issues. This study provides a solid foundation for guiding future research, fostering innovative adaptation strategies, and informing policy interventions to ensure sustainable tea production in a changing climate.},
}
@article {pmid39925059,
year = {2024},
author = {Cha, SN and Qi, BR and Hu, HX and A, L and Yong, X and Ao, W and Bao, JH and Cao, W},
title = {Prediction of the potential distribution area of endangered medicinal plant Gymnadenia conopsea in China under the background of climate change.},
journal = {Ying yong sheng tai xue bao = The journal of applied ecology},
volume = {35},
number = {11},
pages = {3023-3030},
doi = {10.13287/j.1001-9332.202411.023},
pmid = {39925059},
issn = {1001-9332},
mesh = {China ; *Endangered Species ; *Climate Change ; *Plants, Medicinal/growth &amp; development/chemistry ; *Conservation of Natural Resources ; Forecasting ; Ecosystem ; Models, Theoretical ; Plant Dispersal ; },
abstract = {Gymnadenia conopsea is an endangered medicinal plant. Due to climate change and human activities, as well as the low reproductive capacity, the wild resources of G. conopsea are extremely scarce and it has been listed in the Chinese National Second Level Protected Plant List. Predicting the potential suitable distribution area of G. conopsea is crucial for the conservation and sustainable utilization. With climate and soil data from 118 distribution points, we used MaxEnt model combined with ArcGIS technology to predict the suitable distribution area of G. conopsea in China under future climate change. The results showed that the area value (ACU) under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC) was 0.808, indicating good prediction performance. The main environmental factors affecting the distribution of G. conopsea were mean temperature of the warmest quarter, seasonal precipita-tion, soil factors such as the subsoil sodicity (30-100 cm), topsoil gravel (0-30 cm), subsoil cation exchange capacity (30-100 cm), annual precipitation and precipitation of the driest month. At present, the potential total suitable distribution area of G. conopsea in China was about 50.22×10[5] km[2], concentrated in north, northeast and southwest China, including Inner Mongolia, Heilongjiang, Jilin, Liaoning, Sichuan, Shanxi and Southeast Xizang. Under future climate scenarios, the suitable habitat range would shrink, and migrate to higher altitude regions such as Xizang, Yunnan, and Sichuan, indicating that global warming may pose a threat. This result could provide scientific basis for the ecological protection, resource development, and sustainable utilization strategies of G. conopsea germplasm resources.},
}
@article {pmid39924996,
year = {2025},
author = {Muhammad, M and Wahab, A and Waheed, A and Hakeem, KR and Mohamed, HI and Basit, A and Toor, MD and Liu, YH and Li, L and Li, WJ},
title = {Navigating Climate Change: Exploring the Dynamics Between Plant-Soil Microbiomes and Their Impact on Plant Growth and Productivity.},
journal = {Global change biology},
volume = {31},
number = {2},
pages = {e70057},
doi = {10.1111/gcb.70057},
pmid = {39924996},
issn = {1365-2486},
mesh = {*Climate Change ; *Soil Microbiology ; *Microbiota ; *Plant Development ; Agriculture/methods ; Crops, Agricultural/growth &amp; development/microbiology ; Plants/microbiology ; Rhizosphere ; },
abstract = {Understanding the intricate interplay between plant and soil microbiomes and their effects on plant growth and productivity is vital in a rapidly changing climate. This review explores the interconnected impacts of climate change on plant-soil microbiomes and their profound effects on agricultural productivity. The ongoing rise in global temperatures, shifting precipitation patterns and extreme weather events significantly affect the composition and function of microbial communities in the rhizosphere. Changes in microbial diversity and activity due to rising temperatures impact nutrient cycling, microbial enzyme synthesis, soil health and pest and disease management. These changes also influence the dynamics of soil microbe communities and their capability to promote plant health. As the climate changes, plants' adaptive capacity and microbial partners become increasingly crucial for sustaining agriculture. Mitigating the adverse effects of climate change on plant growth and agricultural productivity requires a comprehensive understanding of the interconnected mechanisms driving these processes. It highlights various strategies for mitigating and adapting to environmental challenges, including soil management, stress-tolerant crops, cover cropping, sustainable land and water management, crop rotation, organic amendments and the development of climate-resilient crop varieties. It emphasises the need for further exploration of plant-soil microbiomes within the broader context of climate change. Promising mitigation strategies, including precision agriculture and targeted microbiome modifications, offer valuable pathways for future research and practical implementation of global food security and climate change.},
}
@article {pmid39923868,
year = {2025},
author = {Saadene, Y and Salhi, A},
title = {Spatio-Temporal Modeling of Cutaneous Leishmaniasis under Climate Change Scenarios in the Maghreb Region (2021-2100).},
journal = {Acta tropica},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {107548},
doi = {10.1016/j.actatropica.2025.107548},
pmid = {39923868},
issn = {1873-6254},
abstract = {INTRODUCTION: Climate change presents a significant challenge to global public health, especially regarding vector-borne diseases such as cutaneous leishmaniasiS. This study aims to investigate the impact of climate change on the distribution of CL in North Africa, with a focus on Algeria, Tunisia, and Morocco.<br><br>METHODS: We analyzed historical epidemiological and climatic data from 2000 to 2020 and employed a Generalized Additive Model to assess the influence of climatic variables including temperature, relative humidity, wind speed, and precipitation on CL incidence. Additionally, climate projection data from the Coordinated Regional Climate Downscaling Experiment (CORDEX) under the RCP 2.6 scenario were utilized to predict future CL incidence from 2021 to 2100.<br><br>RESULTS: The findings indicate a probable increase in CL cases in Mediterranean coastal areas, particularly in eastern Tunisia, Algeria, and parts of Morocco, due to rising temperatures and shifting precipitation patterns. The analysis revealed varying temporal peaks in CL incidence across the three countries: short-term for Algeria (2025), mid-term for Morocco (2065), and long-term for Tunisia (2085).<br><br>CONCLUSIONS: This study underscores the need for region-specific surveillance and response systems and emphasizes the importance of integrating climate forecasts into public health strategies to mitigate the risks of CL spread under changing climatic conditions in North Africa.},
}
@article {pmid39923484,
year = {2025},
author = {Cao, F and Liu, L and Rong, Y and Jiang, N and Zhao, L and Zhang, Q and Wu, Z and Zhao, W and Li, S},
title = {Climate change enhances greening while human activities accelerate degradation in northern China's grasslands.},
journal = {The Science of the total environment},
volume = {966},
number = {},
pages = {178570},
doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2025.178570},
pmid = {39923484},
issn = {1879-1026},
abstract = {Northern China's grasslands play a pivotal role in livestock production, energy utilization, and ecosystem balance, both domestically and globally. However, they exhibit pronounced temporal variability and marked spatial heterogeneity. Since most existing studies rely on single vegetation indices and regional-scale analyses, they may introduce biases in interpreting grassland dynamics and their underlying drivers. To address this gap, we integrated both functional and structural indices - Gross Primary Productivity (GPP), solar-Induced chlorophyll fluorescence (SIF), Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI), and Leaf Area Index (LAI) - to systematically investigate spatiotemporal trends across various grassland types in northern China. Using partial derivative analysis, we quantified the relative contributions of climate change and human activities to these observed vegetation trends. Results indicated that over 70 % of grassland areas, especially temperate grasslands, showed an overall increase in vegetation indices, while a decline was observed in the southwestern alpine grasslands. Climate change was the primary driver of grassland greening (56.55 %-63.83 %), primarily through increased precipitation in temperate grasslands and rising temperatures in alpine grasslands. Human activities contributed substantially to greening (36.17 %-43.45 %), especially in desertified temperate grasslands (e.g., Mu Us Sandy Land, Gansu, Ningxia, Xinjiang) and Qinghai alpine meadows, mainly through farmland restoration and desertification control. Conversely, human activities also served as the primary driver of grassland degradation (51.70 %-69.64 %) in certain alpine regions, where overgrazing and population growth - compounded by rising temperatures and declining soil moisture - led to significant vegetation losses. Moreover, 72.66 % of temperate grasslands demonstrated strong coupling between vegetation structure and function, whereas 57.59 % of alpine grasslands exhibited increasing GPP alongside declines in both LAI and SIF. Overall, these findings underscore the spatial heterogeneity of grassland responses to climatic and anthropogenic drivers, highlighting the necessity of employing multiple vegetation indices to guide targeted and effective grassland management strategies.},
}
@article {pmid39923082,
year = {2025},
author = {Greening, SS and Pascarosa, LR and Munster, AL and Gagne, RB and Ellis, JC},
title = {Climate change as a wildlife health threat: a scoping review.},
journal = {BMC veterinary research},
volume = {21},
number = {1},
pages = {60},
pmid = {39923082},
issn = {1746-6148},
mesh = {*Climate Change ; Animals ; *Animals, Wild ; },
abstract = {BACKGROUND: The definition of wildlife health continues to expand with the recognition that health is more than the absence of disease. Practitioners are working to integrate concepts such as vulnerability, adaptation, and resilience into wildlife health research, surveillance, and management actions. Here, we performed a scoping review to identify scholarly articles from 2008 onwards with a focus on climate change impacts on wildlife health. Searches were conducted in Web of Science, Zoological Record, Scopus, Ovid CAB Abstracts, and ProQuest Dissertations and Theses. Articles were screened for relevance and fed into an AI-based thematic analysis that identified recurring themes across the literature. Each theme was manually reviewed and refined to help describe the scope and depth of existing literature, identify key themes, and assess potential knowledge gaps.<br><br>RESULTS: In total, 2,249 citations were retrieved of which 372 were included in further analysis after applying a set of inclusion/exclusion criteria. On closer inspection, 30.4% (113/372) of the papers were focused on climate-associated impacts on vector distribution. For this reason, two thematic analyses were performed, one which only included the subset of papers focused on climate change and vector distribution (n&#x2009;=&#x2009;113) and another including the remaining papers focused on climate-associated impacts on wildlife health (n&#x2009;=&#x2009;259). Amongst the subset of papers focused on vector distribution, top themes included concepts related to pathogen transmission dynamics, human/public health, and pathogen prevalence, while health papers focused on concepts related to increasing temperatures, species home ranges and distribution, and changing environmental variables.<br><br>CONCLUSIONS: A large number of the papers retrieved in the literature search focused on how climate change impacts the distribution and abundance of host, vector, and pathogen species, remaining disease-centric in their approach. Papers including themes related to management actions were limited reflecting some uncertainty on how best to respond and prepare for climate change. Further discussion is needed on how wildlife health concepts can be used to help inform on-the-ground management actions in the face of climate uncertainty, this includes the collection of baseline health data and research into health metrics that could be used as indicators of resilience at the ecosystem level.},
}
@article {pmid39922677,
year = {2025},
author = {Poole, JA and Nadeau, KC},
title = {Climate Change and the Practice of Allergy and Immunology.},
journal = {The journal of allergy and clinical immunology. In practice},
volume = {13},
number = {2},
pages = {295-297},
doi = {10.1016/j.jaip.2024.11.024},
pmid = {39922677},
issn = {2213-2201},
}
@article {pmid39921955,
year = {2025},
author = {Guédé, KG and Yu, Z and Simonovic, SP and Gu, H and Emani, GF and Badji, O and Chen, X and Sika, B and Adiaffi, B},
title = {Combined effect of landuse/landcover and climate change projection on the spatiotemporal streamflow response in cryosphere catchment in the Tibetan Plateau.},
journal = {Journal of environmental management},
volume = {376},
number = {},
pages = {124353},
doi = {10.1016/j.jenvman.2025.124353},
pmid = {39921955},
issn = {1095-8630},
abstract = {Climate and landuse/landcover (LULC) change are primary drivers significantly impacting basin hydrology. However, in the Tibetan Plateau (TP), future streamflow projections that consider the combined effects of climate change and LULC change are lacking. This study aims to enhance the accuracy of future streamflow simulations in the Lhasa River Basin (LRB). It is the initial attempt to evaluate future streamflow variation in the TP that considers the sensitivity of crucial hydrological components (snow, glacier, and permafrost) to warming trends, along with future LULC changes and bias-corrected climate projections. Using the Water Balance Simulation Model (WaSiM), we assessed the individual and combined impacts of climate and LULC change on spatiotemporal streamflow variations from 2010 to 2099 in the LRB. The model includes the entire cryosphere component, essential for regions like the Tibetan Plateau. Future LULC patterns were predicted using the Cellular Automata-Markov model, while multiple bias-corrected General Circulation Models (GCMs) provided climate change data under two emission scenarios. Results suggest urban areas may expand to 83.9% by 2090 compared to 2020. Future precipitation and temperature trends in the LRB indicate an overall increase, except for a decline in winter precipitation. The impacts of LULC change and climate variability on streamflow differ among sub-basins. LULC change alone could lead to a 7.01% annual streamflow increase, while future climate change may increase annual streamflow by 7.37% to 71.74% compared to the baseline (1980-2009). When both drivers are combined, streamflow increases are projected to range from 9.53% to 82.36%. Although LULC change is a lesser factor, its implications in streamflow projections in TP should not be overlooked. The findings of this study can assist policymakers in managing the challenges posed by climate and LULC change in the LRB.},
}
@article {pmid39921594,
year = {2025},
author = {Martins, WA},
title = {Navigating epilepsy care in the wake of climate change.},
journal = {Epileptic disorders : international epilepsy journal with videotape},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1002/epd2.70000},
pmid = {39921594},
issn = {1950-6945},
}
@article {pmid39920099,
year = {2025},
author = {Huang, J and Bu, Y},
title = {Who views what from whom? Social media exposure and the Chinese public's risk perceptions of climate change.},
journal = {Risk analysis : an official publication of the Society for Risk Analysis},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1111/risa.17716},
pmid = {39920099},
issn = {1539-6924},
support = {23BSH103//National Social Science Fund of China/ ; FJ2023B127//Fujian Provincial Federation of Social Sciences/ ; },
abstract = {The Chinese public is increasingly experiencing the local impacts of climate change, whereas the government downplays its domestic effects and critical opinions on environmental governance. As climate change perceptions are crucial for individual risk management, adaptation, and collective climate actions, it is vital to explore how these perceptions are shaped. Given the increasing significance of social media in climate change discourse, this study employs survey data from the 2021 Environmental Risk Perceptions and Environmental Behaviors of Urban Residents Project to investigate how social media exposure influences risk perceptions of climate change among the Chinese public. Drawing on the social amplification of risk framework, this study examines the effect of exposure to environmental information, exposure to opinion diversity, individuals' social media network ties to environmental opinion leaders, and the interaction between social media exposure and cultural values. The results indicate that in the contexts where climate change is neither politically divisive nor openly debated, social media exposure to diverse opinions and social media network ties to environmental scholars positively predict risk perceptions. Additionally, egalitarianism and fatalism are found to moderate the effect of these connections with environmental scholars. This study extends previous research, which focuses largely on the association between the frequency of social media exposure and risk perceptions of climate change, by revealing a more comprehensive and nuanced process that links social media exposure to climate change perceptions.},
}
@article {pmid39919087,
year = {2025},
author = {Khan, MH and Macherla, S and Anupam, A},
title = {Nonlinear connectedness of conventional crypto-assets and sustainable crypto-assets with climate change: A complex systems modelling approach.},
journal = {PloS one},
volume = {20},
number = {2},
pages = {e0318647},
pmid = {39919087},
issn = {1932-6203},
mesh = {*Climate Change ; *Carbon Dioxide/analysis ; Nonlinear Dynamics ; Models, Theoretical ; Algorithms ; Ecosystem ; Forecasting/methods ; },
abstract = {Earlier studies used classical time series models to forecast the nonlinear connectedness of conventional crypto-assets with CO2 emissions. For the first time, this study aims to provide a data-driven Nonlinear System Identification technique to study the nonlinear connectedness of crypto-assets with CO2 emissions. Using daily data from January 2, 2019, to March 31, 2023, we investigate the nonlinear connectedness among conventional crypto-assets, sustainable crypto-assets, and CO2 emissions based on our proposed model, Multiple Inputs Single Output (MISO) Nonlinear Autoregressive with Exogenous Inputs (NARX). Intriguingly, the forecasting accuracy of the proposed model improves with the inclusion of exogenous input variables (conventional and sustainable crypto-assets). Overall, our results reveal that conventional crypto-assets exhibit slightly stronger connectedness with CO2 emissions compared to sustainable crypto-assets. These findings suggest that, to some extent, sustainable crypto-assets provide a solution to the environmental issues related to CO2 emissions. However, further improvements in sustainable crypto-assets through technological advances are required to develop more energy-efficient decentralised finance consensus algorithms, with the aim of reshaping the cryptocurrency ecosystem into an environmentally sustainable market.},
}
@article {pmid39918531,
year = {2025},
author = {Heyn, PC and Terhune, EA and Godha, K and Hirsch, MA},
title = {Protecting Your Health and Brain Against Climate Change: An Information Page for Older Adults.},
journal = {Archives of physical medicine and rehabilitation},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1016/j.apmr.2025.01.418},
pmid = {39918531},
issn = {1532-821X},
}
@article {pmid39917963,
year = {2025},
author = {Ledoux, JB and Gomez-Garrido, J and Cruz, F and Camara Ferreira, F and Matos, A and Sarropoulou, X and Ramirez-Calero, S and Aurelle, D and Lopez-Sendino, P and Grayson, NE and Moore, BS and Antunes, A and Aguilera, L and Gut, M and Salces-Ortiz, J and Fernández, R and Linares, C and Garrabou, J and Alioto, T},
title = {Chromosome-Level Genome Assembly and Annotation of Corallium rubrum: A Mediterranean Coral Threatened by Overharvesting and Climate Change.},
journal = {Genome biology and evolution},
volume = {17},
number = {2},
pages = {},
pmid = {39917963},
issn = {1759-6653},
support = {UIDB/04423/2020//Catalan Initiative for the Earth Biogenome Project/ ; //FCT-Funda&#xe7;o para a Ci&#xea;ncia e a Tecnologia/ ; //Spanish Ministry of Science and Innovation/ ; //Instituto de Salud Carlos III/ ; //Generalitat de Catalunya/ ; //Departament de Salut/ ; //Departament de Recerca i Universitats/ ; 1166-39417//European FEDER Fund/ ; //Excellence Initiative of Aix-Marseille University-A*MIDEX/ ; //French "Investissements d'Avenir" program/ ; RYC2017-22492//Ram&#xf3;n y Cajal fellowship/ ; //ESF/ ; PID2019-108824GA-I00//Agencia Estatal de Investigaci&#xf3;n/ ; /ERC_/European Research Council/International ; 948281//European's Union's Horizon 2020 research and innovation program/ ; AGAUR 2021-SGR00420//Departament d'Economia i Coneixement de la Generalitat de Catalunya/ ; //Spanish government/ ; CEX2019-000928-S//Severo Ochoa Centre of Excellence/ ; //ICREA/ ; //ICREA Academia program/ ; NERRS NA22NOS4200050//Margaret A. Davidson Graduate Fellowship/ ; 2021 SGR 01073//Marine Conservation research group-MedRecover/ ; },
mesh = {*Anthozoa/genetics ; Animals ; *Genome ; *Climate Change ; Molecular Sequence Annotation ; Chromosomes ; Endangered Species ; },
abstract = {Reference genomes are key resources in biodiversity conservation. Yet, sequencing efforts are not evenly distributed across the tree of life raising concerns over our ability to enlighten conservation with genomic data. Good-quality reference genomes remain scarce in octocorals while these species are highly relevant targets for conservation. Here, we present the first annotated reference genome in the red coral, Corallium rubrum (Linnaeus, 1758), a habitat-forming octocoral from the Mediterranean and neighboring Atlantic, impacted by overharvesting and anthropogenic warming-induced mass mortality events. Combining long reads from Oxford Nanopore Technologies (ONT), Illumina paired-end reads for improving the base accuracy of the ONT-based genome assembly, and Arima Hi-C contact data to place the sequences into chromosomes, we assembled a genome of 532 Mb (20 chromosomes, 309 scaffolds) with contig and scaffold N50 of 1.6 and 18.5 Mb, respectively. Fifty percent of the sequence (L50) was contained in seven superscaffolds. The consensus quality value of the final assembly was 42, and the single and duplicated gene completeness reported by BUSCO was 86.4% and 1%, respectively (metazoa_odb10 database). We annotated 26,348 protein-coding genes and 34,548 noncoding transcripts. This annotated chromosome-level genome assembly, one of the first in octocorals and the first in Scleralcyonacea order, is currently used in a project based on whole-genome resequencing dedicated to the conservation and management of C. rubrum.},
}
@article {pmid39915536,
year = {2025},
author = {de Oliveira-Júnior, JF and Mendes, D and Porto, HD and Cardoso, KRA and Neto, JAF and da Silva, EBC and de Aquino Pereira, M and Mendes, MCD and Baracho, BBD and Jamjareegulgarn, P},
title = {Analysis of drought and extreme precipitation events in Thailand: trends, climate modeling, and implications for climate change adaptation.},
journal = {Scientific reports},
volume = {15},
number = {1},
pages = {4501},
pmid = {39915536},
issn = {2045-2322},
support = {RE-KRIS/FF67/008//Thailand Science Research and Innovation Fund/ ; },
abstract = {Thailand is under threat from climate change, where extreme climate events are expected to intensify and increase in the coming decades. The objective is to assess extreme drought and rainfall events in Thailand based on climate modeling through an ensemble for future projections of extreme climate indices. The climate indices used were Consecutive Dry Days (CDD), Maximum Number of Consecutive Summer Days (CSU), Consecutive Wet Days (CWD), Warm Spell Duration Index (WSDI), and Maximum Number of Consecutive Wet Days (WW) derived from simulations of an ensemble composed of six models from the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) via the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (CMIP6) using Artificial Neural Networks (ANN) with the backpropagation method. The projections were based on three scenarios: historical (20th century); intermediate forcing (RCP 4.5) and high forcing (RCP 8.5). The results of the climate indices pointed to significant regional differences in Thailand. Historically, the CDD indicated 35 consecutive dry days in the northern (N) and northeastern (NE) parts of Thailand, whereas the southern region showed CDD values of fewer than 10 consecutive dry days. In the R4.5 scenario, a meridional pattern emerged in CDD, increasing from east (E) to west (W). In the R8.5 scenario, the number of consecutive dry days increased across the entire country. The WSDI stood out in both the R4.5 and R8.5 scenarios, with an increase in the duration of warm spells in Thailand. The CSU did not perform satisfactorily in the scenarios adopted. Historically, the CWD indicated consecutive wet days in the N and NE, whereas in the R4.5 and R8.5 scenarios, this was observed only in the Central and Southern regions. Historically, the maximum number of consecutive rainy days varied in the NE and South via WW. In the R4.5 and R8.5 scenarios, there was a significant increase in the maximum number of consecutive rainy days across Thailand. Projections based on climate indices indicate that Thailand needs to adopt mitigation measures across its regions to neutralize the impacts of extreme drought and rainfall events on socioeconomic sectors, particularly in tourism, industry, agricultural production, and food security for its population.},
}
@article {pmid39914710,
year = {2025},
author = {Duan, H and Sun, S and Yang, W and Yu, L and Gao, Q and Wang, H and Wang, R and Zheng, P},
title = {Future climate change facilitates the herb drought-tolerant species distribution than woody species.},
journal = {Environmental research},
volume = {270},
number = {},
pages = {121039},
doi = {10.1016/j.envres.2025.121039},
pmid = {39914710},
issn = {1096-0953},
abstract = {Drought-tolerant species play a crucial role in maintaining ecosystem services in arid and semi-arid regions wherein subject to rapid climate change. However, how future climate change affect the distribution of drought-tolerant plants with different growth forms (e.g., herb and woody) remains largely unknown. Here, we used the MaxEnt model to simulate the potential species distribution under current conditions, and predicted the future species distribution of 82 common drought-tolerant plants in China under two time periods (2041-2060 and 2081-2100) and three climate change scenarios (SSP126, SSP245 and SSP585) in the future. We found that the western and northern regions of China are hotspots for drought-tolerant plant distribution. Compared with other predictors, aridity index (AI) explained the largest portion of variation (45%) in the distribution patterns of drought-tolerant plant plants. Climate change would change the distribution of drought-tolerant plants, with more than 50% of the species showing a trend of shrinking ranges in China. For both herb and woody plants, the highest turnover values were observed under SSP585 for the period 2081-2100, reaching 37.67% and 29.08%, respectively. Our results highlighted that herb and woody plants respond differently to climate change stresses, with herb plants projected to greatly expand their ranges in the future. These insights are vital for evaluating the impacts of climate change on biodiversity and informing the development of effective adaptation strategies.},
}
@article {pmid39914320,
year = {2025},
author = {Gouvêa, LP and Krause-Jensen, D and Duarte, CM and Assis, J},
title = {Projected impacts of future climate change on the aboveground biomass of seagrasses at global scale.},
journal = {The Science of the total environment},
volume = {966},
number = {},
pages = {178680},
doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2025.178680},
pmid = {39914320},
issn = {1879-1026},
abstract = {Seagrasses are crucial marine ecosystems that have experienced declines due to anthropogenic and climate change impacts. The projected future climate change suggests additional seagrass losses, but no global-scale estimates are currently available on the potential changes in aboveground biomass of seagrasses. We modelled and quantified the current potential aboveground biomass (AGB) of seagrasses on the global scale and projected future AGB under contrasting Shared Socioeconomic Pathway (SSP) scenarios, from low emissions (SSP1-1.9) to high emissions (SSP3-7.0 and SSP5-8.5). A machine learning algorithm (Boosted Regression Trees) fitted a comprehensive AGB dataset against biological and anthropogenic meaningful predictors. The model performed with high accuracy (deviance explained: 0.83), highlighting the role of genus and temperature conditions in defining global AGB patterns. The model estimated a present-day average AGB of 133.83 gDW·m[2] (DW, dry weight) and a total global AGB of 0.0673 Pg DW. Future projections were highly dependent on the emission scenario, with losses in AGB ranging between 4.25 % and 9.25 % and in overall AGB between 9.96 % and 10.26 % across scenarios. Particularly, the higher emission scenario projected severe regional losses along the coastlines of the Tropical Eastern Pacific, the Eastern Indo-Pacific, the Temperate Northern Pacific, and the Tropical Atlantic, and gains along the Temperate Southern Africa and the Arctic regions. Our global estimates underline that fulfilling the Paris Agreement, as well as conserving and monitoring populations most affected by combined anthropogenic pressures would help to limit seagrass AGB declines, thereby supporting the multiple ecological services of seagrasses.},
}
@article {pmid39914080,
year = {2025},
author = {Walton, H and Dajnak, D and Holland, M and Evangelopoulos, D and Wood, D and Brand, C and Assareh, N and Stewart, G and Beddows, A and Lee, SY and Fecht, D and Liu, Y and Davies, B and Goodman, A and Vu, T and Beevers, S},
title = {Health and associated economic benefits of reduced air pollution and increased physical activity from climate change policies in the UK.},
journal = {Environment international},
volume = {196},
number = {},
pages = {109283},
doi = {10.1016/j.envint.2025.109283},
pmid = {39914080},
issn = {1873-6750},
abstract = {Climate change policies do not always include analysis of air quality and physical activity co-benefits. We compared business as usual (BAU) UK policy with Net Zero scenarios from the UK Climate Change Committee for road transport and building sectors. We quantified and monetised the health benefits of the Balanced Net Zero (BNZP) and Widespread Innovation (WI) Pathways. Air pollution concentrations were predicted using Chemical Transport Models and population-weighted. Shifts from car to walking and cycling for transport were converted to METhrs/week. Literature concentration-response functions were combined with baseline rates from routine statistics/other sources. Mortality and multi-morbidity impacts were calculated using lifetable analysis, and an incidence/prevalence model from 2019 to 2154 (a lifetime after 2050). Monetary values were applied to the results. The BNZP policy compared with BAU gave 4.9 (95 % confidence interval 1.0-9.0) million life-years gained (LYG) (UK population, to 2154), including 1.1 (0.7-1.6) million LYG from active travel improvements. Avoided COPD and childhood asthma cases were 201,000 (150,000 - 250,000) and 192,000 (64,600-311,000). The monetised air quality morbidity benefits (£52.1 (36.4 - 67.8) billion) substantially added to the air quality mortality benefits (£77.9 (42.9 to 90.8) billion). Total yearly monetised benefits for BNZP vs BAU summed to 2154 (air pollution/active travel) were £153 (122 to 184) billion (core); 278 (228 to 334) billion (+outcomes with weaker evidence). Adding the effects of air pollution reductions on disease incidence, with effects of air pollution and physical activity on mortality, increases the monetised benefits that may justify Net Zero policies in cost-benefit analysis.},
}
@article {pmid39913568,
year = {2025},
author = {Stroeve, JC and Notz, D and Dawson, J and Schuur, EAG and Dahl-Jensen, D and Giesse, C},
title = {Disappearing landscapes: The Arctic at +2.7°C global warming.},
journal = {Science (New York, N.Y.)},
volume = {387},
number = {6734},
pages = {616-621},
doi = {10.1126/science.ads1549},
pmid = {39913568},
issn = {1095-9203},
abstract = {Under current nationally determined contributions (NDCs) to mitigate greenhouse gas emissions, global warming is projected to reach 2.7°C above preindustrial levels. In this review, we show that at such a level of warming, the Arctic would be transformed beyond contemporary recognition: Virtually every day of the year would have air temperatures higher than preindustrial extremes, the Arctic Ocean would be essentially ice free for several months in summer, the area of Greenland that reaches melting temperatures for at least a month would roughly quadruple, and the area of permafrost would be roughly half of what it was in preindustrial times. These geophysical changes go along with widespread ecosystem disruptions and infrastructure damage, which, as we show here, could be substantially reduced by increased efforts to limit global warming.},
}
@article {pmid39912826,
year = {2025},
author = {Sahoo, M and Bentley, P and Smith, A and Blackbourn, P and Howarth, K and Bau, D and Thornton, S},
title = {A laboratory-scale physical model for freeze-thaw studies in soil columns under simulated climate change conditions.},
journal = {Environmental science and pollution research international},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
pmid = {39912826},
issn = {1614-7499},
abstract = {Responses of soils to climate warming during winter can be studied by monitoring soil temperature variations in the vadose zone. Freeze-thaw cycles during winter can have a significant impact on soil biogeochemical and physical processes. Observing soil temperature at different depths offers important insights into heat availability, which influences biogeochemical activity and solute movement driven by temperature gradients. However, it is difficult to replicate the relevant processes in soil columns without maintaining freezing temperatures with an unfrozen soil layer below the freezing interface. This paper describes the development and experimental verification of a laboratory-scale physical model to assess the effect of freeze-thaw cycles on biogeochemical processes in unsaturated soil. The results show that the experimental design can (i) induce cyclical freezing of soil down to desirable depths, (ii) maintain vertical temperature gradients and (iii) ensure the rest of the column remains unfrozen below the freezing interface for pore water sampling. The rate of freezing is suitable for quick freeze-thaw cycles (0.19 °C/min). This setup can be further developed to observe solute transport and attenuation in variably-saturated soil and soil moisture status for different freeze-thaw regimes under simulated climate change scenarios.},
}
@article {pmid39911654,
year = {2024},
author = {Rui, H and Luo, B and Wang, Y and Zhu, L and Zhu, Q},
title = {Quantitative impacts of climate change and human activities on grassland growth in Xinjiang, China.},
journal = {Frontiers in plant science},
volume = {15},
number = {},
pages = {1497248},
pmid = {39911654},
issn = {1664-462X},
abstract = {Grassland is an important vegetation type in Xinjiang, China, playing a crucial role in the terrestrial carbon cycle. Previous studies have shown that both climate change and human activities significantly impact grassland growth. However, research quantifying the contributions of these two factors to grassland changes is still not thorough enough. This study utilized remote sensing data, i.e., Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI), to analyze the spatial trends of grassland changes from 1982 to 2015, and the correlation between NDVI and climate factors. Then, relative contributions of climate change and human activities to grassland changes were explored across Xinjiang. The results indicated that there was a significant spatial heterogeneity in the interannual variations of NDVI in the study area, showing an overall increasing trend (covering 62.5% of the study area). This was mainly attributed to the warming and humidifying trend of Xinjiang's climate in recent decades, where increased precipitation and rising temperatures promoted grassland growth. The main regions with increased NDVI included the western part of Changji Hui Autonomous Prefecture, the southern part of Tacheng Prefecture, and the northwestern part of the Tarim Basin; while the areas with decreased NDVI were mainly located in the western part of the study area, e.g., the Ili River basin, and the Tekes River basin. Compared to precipitation, NDVI showed a stronger correlation with temperature, which was related to temperature promoting organic matter decomposition and enhancing vegetation nutrient utilization efficiency. NDVI was negatively correlated with VPD, mainly due to the effects of transpiration and surface evaporation. In terms of grassland growth, climate change (52%) contributed as much as human activity (48%). For the grassland reduction, human activities played a larger role. Overall, in mountainous and flat areas, human activities contributed more (64.29%) than climate change (35.71%), including activities such as grazing and urbanization.},
}
@article {pmid39910327,
year = {2025},
author = {Aniye, HW and Bekele, T and Worku, W},
title = {Trends of climate variability and its association with farmers' perceptions of climate change in Gassera district, southeastern Ethiopia.},
journal = {Scientific reports},
volume = {15},
number = {1},
pages = {4399},
pmid = {39910327},
issn = {2045-2322},
mesh = {Ethiopia ; *Climate Change ; *Farmers/psychology ; Humans ; Cross-Sectional Studies ; Female ; Male ; *Droughts ; Rain ; Agriculture ; Adult ; Perception ; Rural Population ; Temperature ; Middle Aged ; Surveys and Questionnaires ; Seasons ; },
abstract = {Climate change and variability have threatened rain-fed subsistence agriculture by affecting the livelihoods of rural communities in Ethiopia. The Gassera district is among the high-potential crop production areas and is severely affected by recurrent drought resulting from climate change. This study examined trends in climatic variability, farmers' perceptions, and the determinants of climate change in the Gassera district, southeastern Ethiopia. A cross-sectional survey design was employed to select agroecologies and collect data from 444 farm households via multistage random sampling. Linear regression, the chi-square test, and rainfall anomalies were used for the data analysis. The results revealed significant (Ρ = 0.00) increasing trends in annual temperature, a decrease in annual rainfall of 2.92 mm/year, and severe rainfall variability for the Belg season. Most of the interviewed farmers reported increases in temperature, erratic rainfall, and drought frequency of 96.24%, 86.47%, and 89.73%, respectively. The study concludes that climate change variability is described by long-term average increases in temperature, erratic rainfall, and the occurrence of drought. This research also concluded that farmers' perceptions matched well with records of increases in temperature, erratic rainfall, and drought frequency. The results also revealed gender, education, and agroecological settings were the determinant factors related to farmers' perceptions of climate variability.},
}
@article {pmid39909982,
year = {2025},
author = {da Costa, MV and Debone, D and Miraglia, SGEK},
title = {Brazilian beef production and GHG emission - social cost of carbon and perspectives for climate change mitigation.},
journal = {Environmental science and pollution research international},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
pmid = {39909982},
issn = {1614-7499},
abstract = {The livestock sector holds a prominent position among Brazilian economic sectors; however, beef production is linked to noteworthy environmental impacts, including deforestation and greenhouse gas (GHGs) emissions. In alignment with the Paris Agreement, Brazil aims to reduce GHG emissions by 43% by 2030 as part of its NDC commitment. This study aims to elucidate the nexus between beef production and emissions from beef cattle, providing an assessment of predictive GHG emission scenarios for 2030, and an economic valuation of these emissions utilizing the social cost of carbon (SCC). Under a business-as-usual (BAU) scenario, GHG emissions from beef production are estimated to range between 0.42-0.63 GtCO2e in 2030. Conversely, meeting the Brazilian Nationally Determined Contributions (NDC) target requires limiting emissions to 0.26 GtCO2e. The SCC analysis unveils a potential cost reductions ranging from US $18.8 to $42.6 billion in 2030, contingent upon achieving the NDC. Furthermore, a strategic assessment considering climate targets and prioritizing beef exports envisions a domestic market availability of 2-10 kg of beef per capita in 2030. This study highlight the critical need for transformative adjustments in livestock production methods to reduce GHG emissions per unit of beef yield, with a focus on the economic advantages of emission mitigation.},
}
@article {pmid39908996,
year = {2025},
author = {Wall, E and Eapen, V},
title = {Nurturing tomorrow: Mental health effect on children and youth due to climate change.},
journal = {Australian journal of general practice},
volume = {54},
number = {1-2},
pages = {51-55},
doi = {10.31128/AJGP-06-24-7305},
pmid = {39908996},
issn = {2208-7958},
mesh = {Humans ; *Climate Change ; Child ; Adolescent ; *Mental Health ; },
abstract = {BACKGROUND: Few global challenges loom over public health as ominously as climate change, and this is especially pertinent for children and youth due to a combination of direct and indirect effects on their mental health and wellbeing.<br><br>OBJECTIVE: This paper describes the challenges faced by children and young people in the face of the unprecedented impact of climate related events or anxiety about planetary health and its impact on their health and wellbeing. Potential steps for realistic actions are also provided.<br><br>DISCUSSION: Health professionals need to be aware and vigilant about children and young people presenting with climate-related physical and mental health issues. It is essential that they are offered appropriate access to evidence-based resources to engage and empower them with relevant information alongside targeted interventions and supports matching their specific clinical presentations and needs.},
}
@article {pmid39908694,
year = {2025},
author = {Pan, N and Tian, H and Shi, H and Pan, S and Canadell, JG and Chang, J and Ciais, P and Davidson, EA and Hugelius, G and Ito, A and Jackson, RB and Joos, F and Lienert, S and Millet, DB and Olin, S and Patra, PK and Thompson, RL and Vuichard, N and Wells, KC and Wilson, C and You, Y and Zaehle, S},
title = {Climate change rivals fertilizer use in driving soil nitrous oxide emissions in the northern high latitudes: Insights from terrestrial biosphere models.},
journal = {Environment international},
volume = {196},
number = {},
pages = {109297},
doi = {10.1016/j.envint.2025.109297},
pmid = {39908694},
issn = {1873-6750},
abstract = {Nitrous oxide (N2O) is the most important stratospheric ozone-depleting agent based on current emissions and the third largest contributor to increased net radiative forcing. Increases in atmospheric N2O have been attributed primarily to enhanced soil N2O emissions. Critically, contributions from soils in the Northern High Latitudes (NHL, >50°N) remain poorly quantified despite their exposure to rapid rates of regional warming and changing hydrology due to climate change. In this study, we used an ensemble of six process-based terrestrial biosphere models (TBMs) from the Global Nitrogen/Nitrous Oxide Model Intercomparison Project (NMIP) to quantify soil N2 O emissions across the NHL during 1861-2016. Factorial simulations were conducted to disentangle the contributions of key driving factors, including climate change, nitrogen inputs, land use change, and rising atmospheric CO2 concentration , to the trends in emissions. The NMIP models suggests NHL soil N2O emissions doubled from 1861 to 2016, increasing on average by 2.0 ± 1.0 Gg N/yr (p < 0.01). Over the entire study period, while N fertilizer application (42 ± 20 %) contributed the largest share to the increase in NHL soil emissions, climate change effect was comparable (37 ± 25 %), underscoring its significant role. In the recent decade (2007-2016), anthropogenic sources contributed 47 ± 17 % (279 ± 156 Gg N/yr) of the total N2O emissions from the NHL, while unmanaged soils contributed a comparable amount (290 ± 142 Gg N/yr). The trend of increasing emissions from nitrogen fertilizer reversed after the 1980 s because of reduced applications in non-permafrost regions. In addition, increased plant growth due to CO2 fertilization suppressed simulated emissions. However, permafrost soil N2O emissions continued increasing attributable to climate warming; the interaction of climate warming and increasing CO2 concentrations on nitrogen and carbon cycling will determine future trends in NHL soil N2O emissions. The rigorous interplay between process modeling and field experimentation will be essential for improving model representations of the mechanisms controlling N2O fluxes in the Northern High Latitudes and for reducing associated uncertainties.},
}
@article {pmid39908312,
year = {2025},
author = {Schuitema, G and Lacchia, A},
title = {From anxiety to coping: Understanding psychological distance and coping skills for climate change and COVID-19 in 10-12-year-old children.},
journal = {PloS one},
volume = {20},
number = {2},
pages = {e0317725},
pmid = {39908312},
issn = {1932-6203},
mesh = {Humans ; *COVID-19/psychology/epidemiology ; *Adaptation, Psychological ; Child ; *Climate Change ; Female ; Male ; *Anxiety/psychology/epidemiology ; Psychological Distance ; Longitudinal Studies ; SARS-CoV-2 ; Ireland/epidemiology ; Pandemics ; Emotions ; Surveys and Questionnaires ; Coping Skills ; },
abstract = {Children worldwide experience climate anxiety, defined as a chronic fear of environmental catastrophe. Following other scholars who sought comparison between the perceived risks and our collective responses with the COVID-19 pandemic, as they can both be considered global crises. Children's emotional responses, psychological distance and coping strategies to climate change compared and COVID-19 are compared, using a mixed-method longitudinal study among 231 primary school children across the Republic of Ireland. Pre-pandemic and post-lock down data were collected measuring children's emotions through surveys using Likert scales and sketches. Sketching, increasingly recognised as a method for assessing emotional expression, is especially useful when language skills are limited. Results suggest that because climate change was more psychologically distant than COVID-19, it was more difficult for children to effectively use emotional-, meaning-, problem-, and relationship-focused coping strategies to deal with their climate anxiety. One important conclusion of this study is that messages and strategies used to motivate adults to take climate action may increase climate anxiety among young children. Also, relationship-focused coping strategies are underutilised to help children deal with climate anxiety, whilst these were promising coping mechanisms during the COVID-19 pandemic. Therefore, creating positive social support and collective action may help young children to cope with climate anxiety.},
}
@article {pmid39907444,
year = {2025},
author = {Kontoyiannis, DP and Casadevall, A},
title = {Would global warming bring an increase of invertebrate-associated cutaneous invasive fungal infections?.},
journal = {mBio},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {e0344724},
doi = {10.1128/mbio.03447-24},
pmid = {39907444},
issn = {2150-7511},
abstract = {Invasive mold-associated cutaneous disease is a rare but potentially catastrophic consequence of trauma. However, invertebrate bites are not well recognized as a mechanism for the inoculation of fungi into subcutaneous tissue that can also result in severe infections. Invertebrates often carry fungi with human pathogenic potential as part of their microbiome, and bites break the skin, providing a conduit for them to penetrate subcutaneous tissues where the establishment of infection can produce serious skin and soft tissue fungal diseases. In this essay, we review the existing data for invertebrate bite-associated cutaneous invasive fungal infections (IBA-cIFIs) and consider the potential consequences of global warming on their epidemiology. Climate changes will be associated with changes in the range of invertebrates and adaptation of their associated microbes to warmer temperatures. Fungal adaptation to higher temperatures can defeat the mammalian protective barrier and be associated with both more and different IBA-cIFIs.},
}
@article {pmid39906868,
year = {2025},
author = {Talha, M and Nejadhashemi, AP and Moller, K},
title = {Soft computing paradigm for climate change adaptation and mitigation in Iran, Pakistan, and Turkey: A systematic review.},
journal = {Heliyon},
volume = {11},
number = {2},
pages = {e41974},
pmid = {39906868},
issn = {2405-8440},
abstract = {This systematic review examines the application of artificial intelligence (AI), including machine learning (ML) and deep learning (DL), for climate change adaptation and mitigation in Iran, Pakistan, and Turkey. These three nations-key Economic Cooperation Organization (ECO) members and a nexus between Europe and South Asia-are experiencing diverse environmental challenges due to varying climatic conditions. Following the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses (PRISMA) guidelines, we conducted a comprehensive search in the Scopus database, ultimately identifying 76 relevant articles out of an initial 492. Although some articles utilized multiple techniques, classical ML methods appeared in approximately 37.3 % of the studies, neural network paradigms in about 57.5 %, and optimization or meta-heuristic algorithms in around 5.0 %. Regarding thematic focus, about 33.3 % of the articles addressed water resource management, 22.2 % focused on climate prediction, 11.1 % on land and agriculture, 9 % on ecosystem modeling, and 24.2 % on natural disaster preparedness and response. The analysis reveals a growing but uneven body of research utilizing AI across the ECO countries. By highlighting successful applications, identifying key gaps-such as limited cross-border collaboration and inconsistent data availability-and proposing a framework for more integrated research, this review aims to guide future initiatives that leverage AI's potential to improve climate resilience and sustainability in the region.},
}
@article {pmid39906678,
year = {2024},
author = {Barkin, JL and van Rhijn, S and Johnson, CM},
title = {The connection between climate change and perinatal mental health.},
journal = {Frontiers in psychiatry},
volume = {15},
number = {},
pages = {1515895},
pmid = {39906678},
issn = {1664-0640},
abstract = {Climate change and extreme weather events are particularly concerning for pregnant and postpartum women and have been related to negative birth outcomes. However, the impact of climate change on perinatal mental health outcomes is not well studied. Mood and anxiety disorders are among the leading comorbidities during pregnancy and the postpartum period, and they are associated with significant familial and societal burdens. It is crucial to include environmental factors in the risk profile of perinatal mental illness to optimize prevention and early intervention strategies. In the clinical experience of one of the authors, new mothers can feel particularly concerned about their baby's physical health when faced with extreme heat or may present as agitated due to heat-related sleep deprivation. This is in line with qualitative research showing maternal worrying about a baby's thermal dysregulation as one of the emerging themes. With extreme weather events becoming more frequent, clinicians have a role in advocating for climate adaptation in healthcare settings. Climate inequalities need to be addressed alongside health and social inequalities.},
}
@article {pmid39905931,
year = {2025},
author = {Saberi, P and Green-McKenzie, J},
title = {Interactive Workshop on Identifying Health Effects of Climate Change in the Clinical Setting: An Occupational and Environmental Health Solution.},
journal = {Journal of occupational and environmental medicine},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1097/JOM.0000000000003331},
pmid = {39905931},
issn = {1536-5948},
abstract = {OBJECTIVE: To provide clinicians an occupational framework to assess climate-related health conditions, determine at-risk workers, and devise solutions.<br><br>METHODS: An interactive workshop was presented at the 2022 American Occupational Health Conference (AOHC). Six climactic events related to occupational health were chosen with corresponding cases from National Institute of Environmental Health Sciences. Participants answered and discussed scripted questions. A 5-point Likert&#xae; Scale utilized by AOHC evaluated the workshop's quality and utility, and the audience's ability to apply the knowledge.<br><br>RESULTS: Sixty-one (N = 66) participants ranked the workshop highly (4.4-4.6/5). Most participants (90%) reported incorporation of practical knowledge gained, increased advocacy capacity and ability to teach about the issue.<br><br>CONCLUSIONS: Successful integration of engaging interactive sessions in clinician education on climate change and health is critical as climactic conditions can increase patient vulnerability in their role as workers.},
}
@article {pmid39905348,
year = {2025},
author = {Park, J and Oh, J and Lee, W and Kim, Y and Park, JH and Kim, H and Hwang, S},
title = {Association of ambient temperatures with suicide attempts and violence with the future projections under climate change scenarios: a nationwide time-stratified case-crossover study in South Korea.},
journal = {BMC public health},
volume = {25},
number = {1},
pages = {457},
pmid = {39905348},
issn = {1471-2458},
support = {IITP-2025-RS-2023-00254177//Ministry of Science and ICT, South Korea/ ; IITP-2025-RS-2023-00254177//Ministry of Science and ICT, South Korea/ ; 11-1790387-000878-01//Korea Disease Control and Prevention Agency/ ; },
mesh = {Humans ; Republic of Korea/epidemiology ; *Climate Change ; Male ; *Suicide, Attempted/statistics &amp; numerical data ; Adult ; Female ; *Violence/statistics &amp; numerical data ; *Cross-Over Studies ; Middle Aged ; Young Adult ; *Temperature ; Forecasting ; Adolescent ; Aged ; },
abstract = {BACKGROUND: Both climate change and intentional injuries (suicide attempts and violence) are recognized as crucial factors that affect human health. Previous studies revealed the association between ambient temperatures and deaths due to intentional injuries but mostly about the consequences of severe events. Our study aimed to examine suicide attempts and violence incidence including mild and moderate cases with future projections, using each injury's burden about climate change scenarios.<br><br>METHODS: We collected nationally representative cases of suicide attempts (8,512 cases) and violence (9,742 cases) from the Korea National Hospital Discharge In-depth Injury Survey from 2005 to 2019. We performed a two-stage analysis with a time-stratified case-crossover design to evaluate the associations of outdoor temperatures with suicide attempts and violence using historical data (2005-2019). Based on the estimated associations in the historical period, we projected the excess suicide attempts and violence attributable to ambient temperatures in the future (2020-2099) using the three shared socioeconomic pathway (SSP) scenarios.<br><br>RESULTS: We found positive associations between outdoor temperatures with suicide attempts and violence individually, and the association with violence was more linear. The excess suicide attempts attributable to temperatures in the historical period were around 11%, and it was expected to increase in all SSP scenarios (up to 14.35%). For violence, the excess risk of violence attributable to temperatures in the historical period was around 3.5%, and it was also estimated to increase in the future (up to 7.92%).<br><br>CONCLUSIONS: The nationwide study about South Korea shows that there are associations between an increase in outdoor temperatures and increased risks of suicide attempts and violence, and each excess injury related to temperature is projected to grow under the SSP scenarios. Our findings might provide informative evidence for relevant action plans against climate change and intentional injuries.},
}
@article {pmid39905190,
year = {2025},
author = {Chan, F and Sokolova, I and Vopel, K},
title = {Ocean hypoxia: The science of climate change in the sea.},
journal = {Scientific reports},
volume = {15},
number = {1},
pages = {4260},
pmid = {39905190},
issn = {2045-2322},
abstract = {The oxygen inventory of the global ocean is declining. This phenomenon, known as ocean deoxygenation, has emerged as a fundamental pathway for climate change to alter marine ecosystems. An important concern is how this global oxygen decline will manifest in coastal and oceanic systems that are already subject to low oxygen, or hypoxic conditions. There is also a clear need to understand how the intensification and/or expansion of hypoxia will affect ocean food webs and biogeochemical cycles. Building a predictive understanding of ocean hypoxia is a multi-scaled and multi-disciplinary research endeavor. Recent advances in ocean observation, experimental biology, and ecosystem modeling are being applied to ocean hypoxia research to reshape our understanding of the future ocean.},
}
@article {pmid39903707,
year = {2025},
author = {Zhou, B and Chen, G and Zhao, J and Yin, Y},
title = {Spatiotemporal simulation of sustainable development based on ecosystem services under climate change.},
journal = {PloS one},
volume = {20},
number = {2},
pages = {e0316605},
pmid = {39903707},
issn = {1932-6203},
mesh = {*Climate Change ; *Ecosystem ; *Sustainable Development ; China ; *Conservation of Natural Resources/methods ; Spatio-Temporal Analysis ; Humans ; Computer Simulation ; Models, Theoretical ; },
abstract = {This study explores the spatiotemporal distribution characteristics of ecosystem services (ESs) in the karst region of southeastern Yunnan under the backdrop of climate change. The study innovatively calculates the sustainable development goals (SDG) index based on ecosystem services (ESs). It employs the patch-generating land use simulation (PLUS) model to simulate future land use changes (LUCs) and uses the integrated valuation of ecosystem services and tradeoffs (InVEST) model to assess ESs under different scenarios. This research systematically evaluates the ESs and SDGs in karst regions within the context of climate change. The results indicate that: (1) Under all three scenarios in 2035, the trend of LUCs in the karst area of southeastern Yunnan is highly consistent, though the intensity and spatial configuration vary significantly. The least reduction in arable land area occurs under the shared socioeconomic pathways (SSP) 126 scenario, while water bodies and construction land show varying degrees of increase; (2) Regarding ESs, both water yield and soil retention exhibit an increasing trend across all scenarios by 2035, with the most notable rise under SSP126. Conversely, habitat quality and carbon storage show a decline, with the smallest decrease also under SSP126; (3) Analyzing the SDG index, the overall value is low in 2020. In future scenarios, the SDG index increases in the southern part while decreasing in the eastern part, indicating significant differences in regional sustainable development potential. Hotspots under SSP126 and SSP245 are concentrated in the densely vegetated southwest and eastern edge areas, while cold spots are mainly found in the heavily human-impacted central Yunnan urban agglomeration and Wenshan City. This study systematically explores for the first time the spatiotemporal dynamics of ESs in the karst region of southeastern Yunnan under different climate scenarios. It provides scientific evidence for regional ecological protection and land use planning.},
}
@article {pmid39903437,
year = {2025},
author = {Gutierrez, MF and Andrade, VS and Ale, A and Monserrat, JM and Roa-Fuentes, CA and Herrera-Martínez, Y and Bacchetta, C and Cazenave, J and Rossi, AS and Nandini, S and Sarma, SSS and Piscart, C and Wiegand, C},
title = {Responses of freshwater organisms to multiple stressors in a climate change scenario: a review on small-scale experiments.},
journal = {Environmental science and pollution research international},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
pmid = {39903437},
issn = {1614-7499},
support = {22-CLIMAT-04//Climat AmSud/ ; },
abstract = {This review summarizes how salinity and temperature, two key global factors driven by climate change in freshwater systems, interact with other stressors on organisms in controlled small-scale factorial experiments at the population, individual, or subindividual level (excluding mesocosm and field studies). Despite the growing interest, research following all these criteria remains limited with 156 publications of which 50% analyzed stressors + salinity, 46% stressors + temperature, and only 4% involved the triple combination. Research on the combined effect of temperature and salinity predominantly focused on metals, pesticides, and, to a lesser extent, emergent contaminants, such as microplastics and nanomaterials, encompassing various biological models and responses. In general, increased temperature amplifies the single effect of stressors, whereas salinity leads to a higher diversity of responses, with similar proportions of synergisms and antagonisms. Fish (Salmoniformes, Perciformes, and Cypriniformes) were the most studied organisms. Among Crustacea, only cladocerans of the genera Daphnia and Ceriodpahnia were considered. The present review highlights the need to include other species that play key roles in freshwater food webs and to increase triple combination studies to understand complex interactions and develop adaptation and mitigation strategies to preserve the environment and its services in this changing world.},
}
@article {pmid39903212,
year = {2025},
author = {Skypala, IJ},
title = {The impact of climate change in pollen food allergy syndrome.},
journal = {Current opinion in allergy and clinical immunology},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1097/ACI.0000000000001064},
pmid = {39903212},
issn = {1473-6322},
abstract = {PURPOSE OF REVIEW: To evaluate the effect of climate change on pollen allergenicity, lengthening of the pollen season, and the spread of invasive species such as ragweed. To assess evidence to determine whether these effects are impacting the prevalence of pollen food syndrome (PFS).<br><br>RECENT FINDINGS: There is good evidence to demonstrate that markers of climate change, including rising temperatures and to some extent greenhouse gases, are responsible for a rise in the allergenicity of pollen and an increase in the duration of the pollen season, especially for trees. These changes are likely to be linked to the increase in the prevalence of seasonal allergic rhinitis (SAR), especially in children. Sensitization to pollen, especially tree pollen, is also a risk factor for the development of PFS. Thought to mainly affect adults, recent evidence suggests that there is a rise in the prevalence of PFS in children, linked to an increase in SAR.<br><br>SUMMARY: Increasing SAR due to climate change could lead to a greater number of children and adults developing PFS. Although PFS is generally considered to be a mild condition, severe reactions can occur and there might be numerous plant food triggers, which can adversely affect dietary choice and nutritional intake.},
}
@article {pmid39902198,
year = {2024},
author = {Li, S and Li, Y and Hu, M and Li, Y and Yang, M and Wang, S and Yu, W and Cheng, C and Cheng, Q},
title = {Ecological risk assessment of future suitable areas for Piper kadsura under the background of climate change.},
journal = {Frontiers in plant science},
volume = {15},
number = {},
pages = {1471706},
pmid = {39902198},
issn = {1664-462X},
abstract = {INTRODUCTION: Piper kadsura is a well-known medicinal plant that belongs to woody liana, possessing high therapeutic and economic value. The market demand of P. kadsura is huge, but its wild resources are scarce and artificial cultivation methods have not been established, which leads to a situation with strong contradiction and imbalance between supply and demand.<br><br>METHODS: In this study, 303 sample of distribution data for P. kadsura in China were collected, 33 environmental variables related to terrain, climate and soil were analyzed and the suitable habitats of P. kadsura during various periods were predicted by MaxEnt model and ArcGIS software, aiming to provide a basis for scientific cultivation and effective utilization of resources.<br><br>RESULTS: The results indicated that precipitation and temperature were significant factors in the distribution of P. kadsura. The primary environmental variables influencing the potential distribution of P. kadsura were precipitation during the driest quarter (Bio17), annual precipitation (Bio12), mean diurnal range (Bio2), and annual temperature range (Bio7). Among them, precipitation of driest quarter (Bio17) was the most influential environmental variable for the distribution of P. kadsura with the range between 100.68 and 274.48 mm. The current distribution of P. kadsura is mainly located in the coastal areas of eastern and southern China, especially Guangxi, Guangdong, Zhejiang and Fujian, with a total area of 51.74 &#xd7; 104 km2. Future climate change of global warming will lead to a reduction in the total suitable areas and high suitable areas under various climate scenarios. Especially in the SSP585 scenario, the total suitable area and the highly suitable area will be significantly reduced by 89.26% and 87.95% compared with the present during the 2090s.<br><br>DISCUSSION: Overall, these findings can provide useful references for the suitable areas' determination of wild resources, optimization of artificial cultivation and scientific selection of high quality medicinal materials on P. kadsura.},
}
@article {pmid39900994,
year = {2025},
author = {Jovanović, I and Frantová, N and Alba-Mejía, JE and Porčová, L and Psota, V and Asszonyi, J and Cerkal, R and Středa, T},
title = {Publisher Correction: Role of total polyphenol content in seed germination characteristics of spring barley varieties amidst climate change.},
journal = {Scientific reports},
volume = {15},
number = {1},
pages = {4075},
doi = {10.1038/s41598-025-86339-7},
pmid = {39900994},
issn = {2045-2322},
}
@article {pmid39899508,
year = {2025},
author = {Li, C},
title = {The evolution of food security in Japan-Based on an indicator evaluation system including climate change indicators.},
journal = {PloS one},
volume = {20},
number = {2},
pages = {e0317180},
pmid = {39899508},
issn = {1932-6203},
mesh = {Japan ; *Climate Change ; *Food Security ; Humans ; *Fertilizers ; Food Supply ; },
abstract = {As climate change intensifies, food security has received widespread attention. This study examines the development of Japan's food security index and its relationship with climate change. From these findings, a food security indicator system for Japan was established. The food security system has six dimensions: availability, nutrition, climate change, society, economics, and fertilizer. The factors affecting food security are complex and variable, and this paper adds the Fertilizer Security Index (FSI) to the previous studies. The overuse of fertilizers directly contributes to soil and atmospheric pollution, which can indirectly lead to issues of food quality insecurity. Including this factor within the food security system is fully justified. This enhances the precision of the food security index system to some degree. The results showed that Japan's overall food security index exhibited a slight downward trend from 0.113 in 1980 to 0.099 in 2022. Food security reached its lowest point of about 0.067 in 1993. In addition, all five indicators, except the fertilizer index, put pressure on the food security index. Due to the uncertainty inherent in climate change, specifically its ambiguous positive and negative impacts on food security, the Climate Change Security Index provides detailed evidence in this paper supporting whether climate change contributes to or undermines food security. Finally, the study put forward recommendations to ensure food security.},
}
@article {pmid39899284,
year = {2025},
author = {Katz, GM and Arigoni, D and Rice, MB and Stall, NM},
title = {Addressing the Health Impacts of Climate Change in Older Adults.},
journal = {JAMA internal medicine},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1001/jamainternmed.2024.7727},
pmid = {39899284},
issn = {2168-6114},
}
@article {pmid39893871,
year = {2025},
author = {Mamtimin, A and Amar, G and Wang, Y and Peng, J and Sayit, H and Gao, J and Zhang, K and Song, M and Aihaiti, A and Wen, C and Yang, F and Huo, W and Zhou, C},
title = {Assessment of CO2 fluxes in the hinterland of the Gurbantunggut Desert and its response to climate change.},
journal = {Journal of environmental management},
volume = {375},
number = {},
pages = {124351},
doi = {10.1016/j.jenvman.2025.124351},
pmid = {39893871},
issn = {1095-8630},
abstract = {Desert ecosystems, as an important part of terrestrial ecosystems, are considered potential hidden carbon sinks in the global carbon cycle. The Gurbantunggut Desert, as China's largest fixed/semi-fixed desert, has received little research on its role in the global carbon cycle and future trends. This study utilizes continuous observational data from the Gurbantunggut Desert from 2018 to 2022 and integrates CMIP6 global climate model scenario data to study the evolution of carbon balance in the desert ecosystem, carbon source/sink functions, and future trends. The result showed that: 1) The CO2 flux in the Gurbantunggut Desert shows Carbon sink during the day and carbon source at night, with an annual cumulative carbon sink duration of over 240 days.2)From 2018 to 2020, the desert ecosystem of the Gurbantunggut Desert functioned as a net CO2 sink.3) Desert ecosystems were subjected to concurrent influences from multiple environmental factors across varying time scales, with photosynthetically active radiation, air temperature, and soil temperature identified as the most influential factors affecting CO2 flux in the Gurbantunggut Desert. 4) The climate of the Gurbantunggut Desert is projected to exhibit a trend of warming and increased humidity in the future. Against the backdrop of future warming and humidification, the Gurbantunggut desert ecosystem is anticipated to exhibit a pronounced carbon sink characteristic.},
}
@article {pmid39893811,
year = {2025},
author = {Sun, W and Zhang, E and Liu, Y and Shen, J},
title = {The black carbon record of mid- to late-holocene environmental changes and its links to climate change and anthropogenic activity on the northwest Qinghai-Tibetan plateau.},
journal = {The Science of the total environment},
volume = {965},
number = {},
pages = {178659},
doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2025.178659},
pmid = {39893811},
issn = {1879-1026},
abstract = {Reconstructing long-term black carbon (BC) variations is crucial to improve our understanding of climatic and anthropogenic impacts on the Qinghai-Tibetan Plateau (QTP), due to its particular geographical location and its vulnerable ecosystem. Based on a fine resolution BC record from Sumxi Co combined with various other paleoenvironmental proxies, this study reconstructs regional environmental change and reveals its link to climate change and anthropogenic activities on the QTP and its surrounding areas over the past five millennia. The results show that the BC fluxes were about 875.1 mgm[-2] yr[-1] during 4.9-4.2 cal ka BP, remained at a relatively low level from 4.1 to 0.1 cal ka BP, and then increased rapidly to the present 3408.6 mgm[-2] yr[-1]. The decrease in pre-industrial fire activities was caused by reduced biofuel availability during cold and dry periods, which is consistent with many other high altitude fire records from the Arid Central Asia. However, this pattern is different from that of the monsoon-influenced QTP, where more fires occurred during the late Holocene as a result of climatic aridification and early anthropogenic activities. With rapid population growth and socioeconomic development, there has been an overall increase in BC flux across the QTP and its surrounding areas, suggesting that enhanced anthropogenic activities have gradually superseded natural processes and profoundly impacted the regional environment since the beginning of Industrial Revolution. These findings are significant in terms of understanding the climatic and anthropogenic impacts on regional environmental change.},
}
@article {pmid39893286,
year = {2025},
author = {Millien, V and Stafiej, N and Félix, F and Guzman, HM},
title = {Migratory behaviour of humpback whales in the southeastern Pacific under climate change.},
journal = {Scientific reports},
volume = {15},
number = {1},
pages = {3989},
pmid = {39893286},
issn = {2045-2322},
mesh = {Animals ; *Animal Migration/physiology ; *Humpback Whale/physiology ; *Climate Change ; Pacific Ocean ; Seasons ; Costa Rica ; Panama ; Antarctic Regions ; Ecuador ; Feeding Behavior/physiology ; },
abstract = {Humpback whales, a species of baleen whale occurring in all oceans globally, undergo seasonal migration between their breeding grounds in tropical warm waters and high latitude feeding grounds. Using multiple years of satellite tracking data, we modeled the effect of oceanic conditions on the movement behaviour of 42 humpback whales belonging to the Southeastern Pacific population (also known as Breeding Stock G) during their migration from breeding grounds in Costa Rica, Panama and Ecuador to feeding grounds in waters around the Antarctic Peninsula. We report evidence that during their migration, humpback whales engage in a movement behaviour frequently associated with feeding, and that this behaviour was more likely to occur in relatively more productive waters. We show that whales partly rely on cues they perceive in their immediate environment to initiate their southward migration, but also on their memory of oceanic conditions on their feeding grounds, timing their arrival with the complete melting of sea ice which triggers a bloom of krill in the Antarctic Ocean. Overall, our findings suggest that humpback whales integrate information they gather from their immediate environment to predict the oceanic conditions at distant locations and adjust the timing of their migration, maximizing their interaction with their preys. However, it is unclear if humpback whales will fully succeed in tracking their preys in a rapidly changing climate and ensure the long-term persistence of the species.},
}
@article {pmid39893166,
year = {2025},
author = {Bourquin, M and Peter, H and Michoud, G and Busi, SB and Kohler, TJ and Robison, AL and Styllas, M and Ezzat, L and Geers, AU and Huss, M and Fodelianakis, S and , and Battin, TJ},
title = {Predicting climate-change impacts on the global glacier-fed stream microbiome.},
journal = {Nature communications},
volume = {16},
number = {1},
pages = {1264},
pmid = {39893166},
issn = {2041-1723},
mesh = {*Microbiota/genetics ; *Ice Cover/microbiology ; *Climate Change ; *Phylogeny ; *Bacteria/genetics/classification ; *Rivers/microbiology ; Metagenome ; Biodiversity ; Ecosystem ; },
abstract = {The shrinkage of glaciers and the vanishing of glacier-fed streams (GFSs) are emblematic of climate change. However, forecasts of how GFS microbiome structure and function will change under projected climate change scenarios are lacking. Combining 2,333 prokaryotic metagenome-assembled genomes with climatic, glaciological, and environmental data collected by the Vanishing Glaciers project from 164 GFSs draining Earth's major mountain ranges, we here predict the future of the GFS microbiome until the end of the century under various climate change scenarios. Our model framework is rooted in a space-for-time substitution design and leverages statistical learning approaches. We predict that declining environmental selection promotes primary production in GFSs, stimulating both bacterial biomass and biodiversity. Concomitantly, predictions suggest that the phylogenetic structure of the GFS microbiome will change and entire bacterial clades are at risk. Furthermore, genomic projections reveal that microbiome functions will shift, with intensified solar energy acquisition pathways, heterotrophy and algal-bacterial interactions. Altogether, we project a 'greener' future of the world's GFSs accompanied by a loss of clades that have adapted to environmental harshness, with consequences for ecosystem functioning.},
}
@article {pmid39892776,
year = {2025},
author = {Xu, Q and Jin, M and Xiao, H and Peng, Y and Zhang, F and Li, H and Wu, K and Xiao, Y},
title = {Genomic predictions of invasiveness and adaptability of the cotton bollworm in response to climate change.},
journal = {Journal of genetics and genomics = Yi chuan xue bao},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1016/j.jgg.2025.01.016},
pmid = {39892776},
issn = {1673-8527},
abstract = {Agricultural pests cause enormous losses in annual agricultural production. Understanding the evolutionary responses and adaptive capacity of agricultural pests under climate change is crucial for establishing sustainable and environmentally friendly agricultural pest management. In this study, we integrate climate modeling and landscape genomics to investigate the distributional dynamics of the cotton bollworm (Helicoverpa armigera) in the adaptation to local environments and resilience to future climate change. Notably, the predicted inhabitable areas with higher suitability for the cotton bollworm could be eight times larger in the coming decades. Climate change is one of the factors driving the dynamics of distribution and population differentiation of the cotton bollworm. Approximately 19,000 years ago, the cotton bollworm expanded from its ancestral African population, followed by gradual occupations of the European, Asian, Oceanian, and American continents. Furthermore, we identify seven subpopulations with high dispersal and adaptability which may have an increased risk of invasion potential. Additionally, a large number of candidate genes and SNPs linked to climatic adaptation were mapped. These findings could inform sustainable pest management strategies in the face of climate change, aiding future pest forecasting and management planning.},
}
@article {pmid39890861,
year = {2025},
author = {Sampayo-Maldonado, S and Cabrera-Santos, D and Dávila-Aranda, P and Rodríguez-Arévalo, NI and Orozco-Segovia, A and Gianella, M and Bell, E and Way, M and Manson, RH and Quintas, GS and Flores-Ortíz, CM and Ulian, T},
title = {Using the optimal seed germination temperature approach to determine the potential distribution of Inga jinicuil in Mexico under climate change scenarios.},
journal = {Scientific reports},
volume = {15},
number = {1},
pages = {3951},
pmid = {39890861},
issn = {2045-2322},
support = {IG200323//PAPIIT, UNAM/ ; IG200323//PAPIIT, UNAM/ ; IG200323//PAPIIT, UNAM/ ; IG200323//PAPIIT, UNAM/ ; NA//UK PACT MEXICO/ ; NA//UK PACT MEXICO/ ; NA//UK PACT MEXICO/ ; NA//UK PACT MEXICO/ ; NA//UK PACT MEXICO/ ; NA//UK PACT MEXICO/ ; NA//UK PACT MEXICO/ ; NA//UK PACT MEXICO/ ; NA//UK PACT MEXICO/ ; },
mesh = {*Germination ; *Climate Change ; Mexico ; *Temperature ; *Seeds/growth &amp; development ; },
abstract = {Inga jinicuil is used extensively in shade coffee farms in Mexico, a diversified agroforestry system providing important environmental goods and services. However, its recalcitrant seeds represent an important barrier to its propagation. Given the climate change scenarios, it will be necessary to generate information on the effect of temperature on germination, a key stage for the establishment and conservation of the species. The objective of the study was to determine the optimal germination temperatures for I. jinicuil using linear and non-linear models, as well as the species' potential distribution under contrasting climate change scenarios using the GISS-E2-1-G model. Seeds were placed in germination chambers at constant temperatures of 5 ± 0.5 to 40 ± 0.5 °C, and their thermal responses were then modelled using a thermal timing approach. Results indicated a good fit of models of I. jinicuil germination in response to temperature. Seeds germinated across a wide temperature range; the base temperature for germination was in the range of 4.8 to 9.45 °C (average Tb: 6.21 ± 2.23 °C). and the ceiling temperature in the range of 44.51 to 49.20 °C (average Tc: 47.6 ± 2.73 °C). While the optimal temperature was found in the range of 29.58 to 33.02 °C (average To: 31.52 ± 1.43 °C). The suboptimal thermal time ([Formula: see text]1(50)) for germination of 50% of the seed lot was 117.164 ± 0.636°Cd, which under current climatic conditions is reached in 6.6 days. According to climate modeling, the distribution of I. jinicuil populations will decrease by up to 23% in the future relative to the current distribution. Results indicate that high temperatures have a negative effect on germination, which may be related to seed physiology. More research on seed germination and growth is needed to improve the management and conservation of this species and its continued use as a shade tree in coffee agroforestry systems.},
}
@article {pmid39890831,
year = {2025},
author = {Li, B and Fu, E and Yang, S and Lin, J and Zhang, W and Zhang, J and Lu, Y and Wang, J and Jiang, H},
title = {Measuring China's Policy Stringency on Climate Change for 1954-2022.},
journal = {Scientific data},
volume = {12},
number = {1},
pages = {188},
pmid = {39890831},
issn = {2052-4463},
support = {2022YFF0802504//Ministry of Science and Technology of the People&apos;s Republic of China (Chinese Ministry of Science and Technology)/ ; 2021YFC1809000//Ministry of Science and Technology of the People&apos;s Republic of China (Chinese Ministry of Science and Technology)/ ; },
abstract = {Efforts on climate change have demonstrated tangible impacts through various actions and policies. However, a significant knowledge gap remains: comparing the stringency of climate change policies over time or across jurisdictions is challenging due to ambiguous definitions, the lack of a unified assessment framework, complex causal effects, and the difficulty in achieving effective measurement. Furthermore, China's climate governance is expected to address multiple objectives by integrating main effects and side effects, to achieve synergies that encompass environmental, economic, and social impacts. This paper employs an integrated framework comprising lexicon, text analysis, machine learning, and large-language model applied to multi-source data to quantify China's policy stringency on climate change (PSCC) from 1954 to 2022. To achieve effective, robust, and explainable measurement, Chain-of-Thought and SHAP analysis are integrated into the framework. By framing the PSCC on varied sub-dimensions covering mitigation, adaptation, implementation, and spatial difference, this dataset maps the government's varied stringency on climate change and can be used as a robust variable to support a series of downstream causal analysis.},
}
@article {pmid39890716,
year = {2025},
author = {Kåresdotter, E and Destouni, G and Lammers, RB and Keskinen, M and Pan, H and Kalantari, Z},
title = {Water conflicts under climate change: Research gaps and priorities.},
journal = {Ambio},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
pmid = {39890716},
issn = {1654-7209},
support = {2017-00//Svenska Forskningsr&#xe5;det Formas/ ; 608//Svenska Forskningsr&#xe5;det Formas/ ; },
abstract = {Climate change is known to worsen conflicts, but its combination with other factors affecting water-related conflicts remains less explored. Using a scoping review, this study examined research in the climate-water-conflict nexus. Using semi-automatic text mining approaches, key research gaps and differences in conflict factors and themes across different regions and conflict types were analyzed. Studies focused on Asia and Africa, with few exploring other regions. Governance and livelihoods emerged as significant factors in water-related conflict responses worldwide, with differences across regions. For instance, farmer-herder conflicts were common in Africa, while agriculture was more related to governance and water management in Asia. Research priorities forward should diversify the range of water-related conflict subjects and regions and give special focus to regions vulnerable to hydroclimatic change. More focus on cooperation and non-violent conflicts is also vital for understanding and being able to project and mitigate future water-related conflict responses to climate change.},
}
@article {pmid39890658,
year = {2025},
author = {Lin, S and Zhang, H and Lam, JFI},
title = {Urban soil ecological risk assessment based on "climate change- resilience".},
journal = {Environmental monitoring and assessment},
volume = {197},
number = {2},
pages = {218},
pmid = {39890658},
issn = {1573-2959},
support = {S2023016//2023 Wenzhou Municipal Bureau of Science and Technology Fundamental Scientific Research Project/ ; jczc0257//2023 Wenzhou Science and Technology Association Service Science and Technology Innovation Research Project/ ; },
mesh = {*Climate Change ; Risk Assessment ; *Soil/chemistry ; *Environmental Monitoring/methods ; *Cities ; *Urbanization ; Ecosystem ; China ; Biodiversity ; },
abstract = {Under the dual pressures of global climate change and rapid urbanization, urban soil ecosystems face increasingly complex risks and challenges. Existing urban soil ecological risk assessment methods are primarily limited to single-dimensional analysis or linear assessment models, making it difficult to reveal the complex interaction mechanisms among soil, climate, and human activities. This study pioneers the integration of social-ecological system theory with multi-criteria decision-making methods to innovatively construct a dynamic coupling assessment framework. This framework employs the AHP-DEMATEL method to identify causal relationships and feedback mechanisms between indicators, while utilizing the VIKOR method for comprehensive quantitative risk assessment. Through an empirical analysis of 11 prefecture-level cities in Zhejiang Province, this study reveals that: (1) climate change-related indicators demonstrate dominant weights, with the impact of extreme weather (C3) reaching a comprehensive weight of 0.1082, significantly higher than other indicators; (2) soil biodiversity (C8) exhibits the highest centrality (10.112), forming a key feedback node in the assessment system, highlighting the crucial role of biological factors in maintaining soil system stability; (3) green infrastructure coverage (C16) shows the highest cause degree (2.261), generating complex cascade effects through its influence on soil temperature, moisture, and biodiversity; (4) urban risk levels display significant spatial heterogeneity, with Lishui performing optimally (group benefit value S = 0.069) and Zhoushan performing poorest (S = 1.000), quantifying the impact of economic development patterns and geographical location on soil ecological risk. The dynamic coupling assessment framework and quantitative indicator system established in this study provide a new paradigm for understanding the complexity of urban soil ecosystems.},
}
@article {pmid39890211,
year = {2025},
author = {The Lancet Global Health, },
title = {Climate change and NTDs: a perfect storm.},
journal = {The Lancet. Global health},
volume = {13},
number = {2},
pages = {e172},
doi = {10.1016/S2214-109X(25)00014-2},
pmid = {39890211},
issn = {2214-109X},
}
@article {pmid39889577,
year = {2025},
author = {Dal Barco, MK and Maraschini, M and Nguyen, ND and Ferrario, DM and Rufo, O and Fonseca, HL and Vascon, S and Torresan, S and Critto, A},
title = {Integrating AI and climate change scenarios for multi-risk assessment in the coastal municipalities of the Veneto region.},
journal = {The Science of the total environment},
volume = {965},
number = {},
pages = {178586},
doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2025.178586},
pmid = {39889577},
issn = {1879-1026},
abstract = {Global climate is experiencing exceptional warming, leading to a rise in extreme events worldwide. Coastal regions are particularly vulnerable to climate change (CC), due to dense populations, interconnected economies, and fragile ecosystems. These areas face escalating risks as CC intensifies the severity and frequency of extreme weather phenomena, like heavy precipitation, sea-level rise (SLR), storm surges. Integrated approaches are crucial to assess the combined impacts of atmospheric and marine hazards at the land-sea interface. Machine Learning (ML) offer innovative solutions to analyse multi-risk events, leveraging large and heterogeneous datasets and modelling complex, non-linear interactions. This study introduces a two-tier ML approach to estimate risks associated with extreme weather events for the Veneto coastal municipalities under current and future scenarios. The model, tested and validated with present-day data, showed satisfactory performance (error margin ∼20 %). The model was applied to mid-term (until 2045) and long-term (until 2100) periods under different CC scenarios, represented by various Representative Concentration Pathways (RCP). Mid-term analysis reveals an increasing risk trend, driven by SLR under RCP8.5, underscoring the significance of considering non-linear interactions between multiple marine and atmospheric hazards. Long-term analysis highlights how future risks depend mainly on precipitation and SLR across the analysed CC scenarios (RCP2.6/4.5/8.5). Results indicate a gradual increase in the expected annual risk trend, with RCP8.5 scenario showing the most severe outcomes. By 2100, the risks under RCP8.5 are projected to be ten times higher than those observed during the historical period, highlighting the importance of developing effective strategies to address these challenges.},
}
@article {pmid39889454,
year = {2025},
author = {Clayton, S and Parnes, MF},
title = {Anxiety and activism in response to climate change.},
journal = {Current opinion in psychology},
volume = {62},
number = {},
pages = {101996},
doi = {10.1016/j.copsyc.2025.101996},
pmid = {39889454},
issn = {2352-2518},
abstract = {Increasing evidence for climate change is leading to increasing awareness of human impacts, including threats to mental health as well as to social relationships. Experiencing the impacts of climate change, such as extreme weather events or wildfires, as well as awareness of the threat that climate change presents, can lead to anxiety, loss of social connections and support, and relational challenges including aggression and conflict. However, climate change awareness also has the potential to increase engagement in activism designed to promote an effective societal response. Activism can help to mitigate environmental harm as well as promote the well-being of those involved. Further research is needed to understand the circumstances in which climate anxiety can encourage activism, and the conditions and limits surrounding the positive impacts of activism on climate anxiety. Policies and programs could also be established to encourage activism among those distressed about climate change.},
}
@article {pmid39886774,
year = {2025},
author = {Nufio, CR and Sheffer, MM and Smith, JM and Troutman, MT and Bawa, SJ and Taylor, ED and Schoville, SD and Williams, CM and Buckley, LB},
title = {Insect size responses to climate change vary across elevations according to seasonal timing.},
journal = {PLoS biology},
volume = {23},
number = {1},
pages = {e3002805},
pmid = {39886774},
issn = {1545-7885},
mesh = {Animals ; *Seasons ; *Climate Change ; *Grasshoppers/physiology ; *Body Size/physiology ; Temperature ; Altitude ; },
abstract = {Body size declines are a common response to warming via both plasticity and evolution, but variable size responses have been observed for terrestrial ectotherms. We investigate how temperature-dependent development and growth rates in ectothermic organisms induce variation in size responses. Leveraging long-term data for six montane grasshopper species spanning 1,768-3 901 m, we detect size shifts since ~1960 that depend on elevation and species' seasonal timing. Size shifts have been concentrated at low elevations, with the early emerging species (those that overwinter as juveniles) increasing in size, while later season species are becoming smaller. Interannual temperature variation accounts for the size shifts. The earliest season species may be able to take advantage of warmer conditions accelerating growth during early spring development, whereas warm temperatures may adversely impact later season species via mechanisms such as increased rates of energy use or thermal stress. Grasshoppers tend to capitalize on warm conditions by both getting bigger and reaching adulthood earlier. Our analysis further reinforces the need to move beyond expectations of universal responses to climate change to consider how environmental exposure and sensitivity vary across elevations and life histories.},
}
@article {pmid39884710,
year = {2025},
author = {Frumkin, H and Haines, A and Rao, M},
title = {The US withdrawal from the Paris Climate Agreement: could it trump progress on climate change and health?.},
journal = {BMJ (Clinical research ed.)},
volume = {388},
number = {},
pages = {r185},
doi = {10.1136/bmj.r185},
pmid = {39884710},
issn = {1756-1833},
}
@article {pmid39883787,
year = {2025},
author = {Worsley-Tonks, KEL and Angwenyi, S and Carlson, C and Cissé, G and Deem, SL and Ferguson, AW and Fèvre, EM and Kimaro, EG and Kimiti, DW and Martins, DJ and Merbold, L and Mottet, A and Murray, S and Muturi, M and Potter, TM and Prasad, S and Wild, H and Hassell, JM},
title = {A framework for managing infectious diseases in rural areas in low- and middle-income countries in the face of climate change-East Africa as a case study.},
journal = {PLOS global public health},
volume = {5},
number = {1},
pages = {e0003892},
pmid = {39883787},
issn = {2767-3375},
abstract = {Climate change is having unprecedented impacts on human health, including increasing infectious disease risk. Despite this, health systems across the world are currently not prepared for novel disease scenarios anticipated with climate change. While the need for health systems to develop climate change adaptation strategies has been stressed in the past, there is no clear consensus on how this can be achieved, especially in rural areas in low- and middle-income countries that experience high disease burdens and climate change impacts simultaneously. Here, we highlight the need to put health systems in the context of climate change and demonstrate how this can be achieved by taking into account all aspects of infectious disease risk (i.e., pathogen hazards, and exposure and vulnerability to these pathogen hazards). The framework focuses on rural communities in East Africa since communities in this region experience climate change impacts, present specific vulnerabilities and exposure to climate-related hazards, and have regular exposure to a high burden of infectious diseases. Implementing the outlined approach can help make health systems climate adapted and avoid slowing momentum towards achieving global health grand challenge targets.},
}
@article {pmid39886618,
year = {2024},
author = {Merchant, EK and Grace, K},
title = {Attending to history in climate change-demography research.},
journal = {Vienna yearbook of population research},
volume = {2024},
number = {VYPR 2024},
pages = {25-35},
pmid = {39886618},
issn = {1728-4414},
support = {P2C HD041023/HD/NICHD NIH HHS/United States ; },
abstract = {Climate change is among the most urgent challenges of our time. While often considered a problem for the natural and physical sciences, the humanities and social sciences have made equally important interventions into research on the reciprocal relationship between humans and our climate. Because demography occupies the intersection of the natural and social sciences, and because it deals specifically with rates of change in social and natural processes, we believe it can make valuable contributions to the pressing imperatives of understanding and addressing climate change and mitigating the harms it is already visiting on the world's most vulnerable people. We also believe that climate change may afford demographers an opportunity to expand our capacity to think about time and space at finer scales, and to examine the relationships among the core demographic processes - mortality, fertility and migration - which have typically been considered in isolation from one another. Yet responsibly leveraging climate change to advance demography, and leveraging demography to advance climate science and policy, require a cognizance of history that will assist demographers and those who use our analyses in avoiding the replication of past harms and, we hope, the invention of new ones. Understanding the history of demography and of population-environment thought more broadly can help us challenge assumptions that have not served science or policy well in the past - such as the assumption that larger or faster-growing populations necessarily put more pressure on the environment, independent of structural conditions - and consider alternative theoretical framings that might lead to better scientific models and policy solutions.},
}
@article {pmid39882854,
year = {2025},
author = {Salubi, EA and Gizaw, Z and Schuster-Wallace, CJ and Pietroniro, A},
title = {Climate change and waterborne diseases in temperate regions: a systematic review.},
journal = {Journal of water and health},
volume = {23},
number = {1},
pages = {58-78},
pmid = {39882854},
issn = {1477-8920},
mesh = {*Climate Change ; *Waterborne Diseases/epidemiology ; Humans ; Europe/epidemiology ; },
abstract = {Risk of waterborne diseases (WBDs) persists in temperate regions. The extent of influence of climate-related factors on the risk of specific WBDs in a changing climate and the projections of future climate scenarios on WBDs in temperate regions are unclear. A systematic review was conducted to identify specific waterborne pathogens and diseases prevalent in temperate region literature and transmission cycle associations with a changing climate. Projections of WBD risk based on future climate scenarios and models used to assess future disease risk were identified. Seventy-five peer-reviewed full-text articles for temperate regions published in the English language were included in this review after a search of Scopus and Web of Science databases from 2010 to 2023. Using thematic analysis, climate-related drivers impacting WBD risk were identified. Risk of WBDs was influenced mostly by weather (rainfall: 22% and heavy rainfall: 19%) across the majority of temperate regions and hydrological (streamflow: 50%) factors in Europe. Future climate scenarios suggest that WBD risk is likely to increase in temperate regions. Given the need to understand changes and potential feedback across fate, transport and exposure pathways, more studies should combine data-driven and process-based models to better assess future risks using model simulations.},
}
@article {pmid39882481,
year = {2025},
author = {Khazaei, MR},
title = {Projected changes to drought characteristics in Tehran under CMIP6 SSP-RCP climate change scenarios.},
journal = {Heliyon},
volume = {11},
number = {2},
pages = {e41811},
pmid = {39882481},
issn = {2405-8440},
abstract = {Drought represents one of the most devastating natural hazards, significantly impacting economies, societies, and the environment. Climate change is expected to alter future drought characteristics and may increase the severity of droughts. To mitigate these effects, it is essential to identify the characteristics of future droughts influenced by climate change using appropriate methods. This study aims to assess the climate change impacts on the frequency, duration, and magnitude of droughts in Tehran, the capital of Iran, which has a high concentration of the country's population and industrial activities and is currently facing water stress. Using the Modified Long Ashton Research Station Weather Generator (M-LARS-WG), capable of reproducing inter-annual variability, future projections from four GCMs under four SSP-RCP scenarios from the latest CMIP6 were downscaled. The impacts of climate change on droughts were then assessed using the SPEI and SPI drought indices. The findings suggest that M-LARS-WG was capable of accurately reproducing historical drought characteristics and performed significantly better than LARS-WG. Based on the SPEI, the duration, magnitude, and frequency of future droughts are expected to increase significantly across nearly all GCM projections. Therefore, developing proactive drought risk frameworks and mitigation strategies is essential for reducing damages from future droughts.},
}
@article {pmid39881996,
year = {2024},
author = {Chen, J and He, D},
title = {Potential geographical distribution of Cordyceps cicadae and its two hosts in China under climate change.},
journal = {Frontiers in microbiology},
volume = {15},
number = {},
pages = {1519560},
pmid = {39881996},
issn = {1664-302X},
abstract = {INTRODUCTION: The fungus Cordyceps cicadae is both edible and medicinal.<br><br>METHODS: To acquire a thorough comprehension of its distribution in China, two host insects, Macrosemia pieli and Platypleura kaempferi, were selected as biological factors potentially associated with its distribution, the ENMTools program was utilized to ascertain the principal environmental factors affecting the distribution of potentially suitable habitats. The possible geographic distributions in the present as well as in the 2030s, 2050s, and 2070s were then predicted using the optimized MaxEnt model.<br><br>RESULTS: The primary environmental variables were soil pH, mean diurnal range, annual precipitation, precipitation seasonality, annual mean temperature and precipitation of the driest month. C. cicadae thrived on steep slopes. and some of which also significantly affect the distribution of its two hosts. Most of the suitable habitats of C. cicadae and M. pieli were currently found in the subtropical monsoon zone. The SSP126, SSP370, and SSP585 scenarios were associated with positive, stable, and unfavorable impacts on the extent of suitable habitats for C. cicadae, respectively, and the suitability of P. kaempferi decreased under three different conditions. The expansion of the C. cicadae was observed in provinces bordering the middle and lower reaches of the Yellow River, as well as in Zhanjiang, Guangdong Province, and northern Yunnan Province. Conversely, its habitat contraction was mainly found in western Guangdong, southern Guangxi, northern Hainan, southwestern Yunnan, and areas bordering eastern Sichuan. The shared contraction regions with its two hosts were primarily located in western Guangdong, southern Guangxi, and southern Sichuan. Moreover, the future centroids were found at higher elevations than the present ones in the provinces of Jiangxi and Hunan.<br><br>DISCUSSION: In light of climate change, this research held significance for the conservation and sustainable utilization of C. cicadae.},
}
@article {pmid39881621,
year = {2025},
author = {Megged, O and Raphael, A and Burstyn, A and Deri, N and Schwartz, S and Eisenberg, R and Toker, O},
title = {Global climate change and seasonal variation of cellulitis in hospitalized children: A 30 year retrospective study.},
journal = {Epidemiology and infection},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {1-25},
doi = {10.1017/S0950268825000032},
pmid = {39881621},
issn = {1469-4409},
}
@article {pmid39881182,
year = {2025},
author = {Campbell, EA and Holl, F and Marwah, HK and Fraser, HS and Craig, SS},
title = {The impact of climate change on vulnerable populations in pediatrics: opportunities for AI, digital health, and beyond-a scoping review and selected case studies.},
journal = {Pediatric research},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
pmid = {39881182},
issn = {1530-0447},
abstract = {Climate change critically impacts global pediatric health, presenting unique and escalating challenges due to children's inherent vulnerabilities and ongoing physiological development. This scoping review intricately intertwines the spheres of climate change, pediatric health, and Artificial Intelligence (AI), with a goal to elucidate the potential of AI and digital health in mitigating the adverse child health outcomes induced by environmental alterations, especially in Low- and Middle-Income Countries (LMICs). A notable gap is uncovered: literature directly correlating AI interventions with climate change-impacted pediatric health is scant, even though substantial research exists at the confluence of AI and health, and health and climate change respectively. We present three case studies about AI's promise in addressing pediatric health issues exacerbated by climate change. The review spotlights substantial obstacles, including technical, ethical, equitable, privacy, and data security challenges in AI applications for pediatric health, necessitating in-depth, future-focused research. Engaging with the intricate nexus of climate change, pediatric health, and AI, this work underpins future explorations into leveraging AI to navigate and neutralize the burgeoning impact of climate change on pediatric health outcomes. IMPACT: Our scoping review highlights the scarcity of literature directly correlating AI interventions with climate change-impacted pediatric health that disproportionately affects vulnerable populations, even though substantial research exists at the confluence of AI and health, and health and climate change respectively. We present three case studies about AI's promise in addressing pediatric health issues exacerbated by climate change. The review spotlights substantial obstacles, including technical, ethical, equitable, privacy, and data security challenges in AI applications for pediatric health, necessitating in-depth, future-focused research.},
}
@article {pmid39880882,
year = {2025},
author = {Soliman, AM and Mohamed, AS and Abdel-Khalek, AA and Badran, SR},
title = {Impact of polyvinyl chloride nano-plastics on the biochemical status of Oreochromis niloticus under a predicted global warming scenario.},
journal = {Scientific reports},
volume = {15},
number = {1},
pages = {3671},
pmid = {39880882},
issn = {2045-2322},
mesh = {Animals ; *Polyvinyl Chloride ; *Cichlids/metabolism ; *Oxidative Stress/drug effects ; *Global Warming ; Biomarkers ; Plastics ; Water Pollutants, Chemical/toxicity ; Gills/metabolism/drug effects ; Temperature ; Liver/metabolism/drug effects ; Nanoparticles ; Glutathione/metabolism ; Catalase/metabolism ; },
abstract = {Plastic pollution and global warming are widespread issues that lead to several impacts on aquatic organisms. Despite harmful studies on both subjects, there are few studies on how temperature increases plastics' adverse effects on aquatic animals, mainly freshwater species. So, this study aims to clarify the potential impact of temperature increases on the toxicological properties of polyvinyl chloride nano-plastics (PVC-NPs) in Nile tilapia (Oreochromis niloticus) by measuring biochemical and oxidative biomarkers. The fish groups were subjected to three distinct temperatures (30, 32, and 34 °C) and subsequently separated into two groups: 0 and 10 mg/L of PVC-NPs, as it is expected that these temperatures may modify their chemical properties, which can influence their absorption and toxicity in fish. After 4 days, the biochemical response of fish exposed to PVC-NPs and elevated temperatures showed a significant increase in the levels of plasma total proteins, albumin, globulin, aspartate aminotransferase (AST), alanine aminotransferase (ALT), alkaline phosphatase (ALP), creatinine, and uric acid. Additionally, the level of oxidative stress biomarkers in the liver, gills, and brain was found to have a significant increase in malondialdehyde (MDA) concentration and a decrease in glutathione reduced (GSH) concentration and catalase (CAT) activity in all studied groups. Finally, the current findings revealed a synergistic cytotoxic effect of PVC-NPs and temperatures on the metabolic and oxidative stress indices of O. niloticus.},
}
@article {pmid39880611,
year = {2025},
author = {Xu, J and Su, Z and Liu, C and Nie, Y and Cui, L},
title = {Climate change, air pollution and chronic respiratory diseases: understanding risk factors and the need for adaptive strategies.},
journal = {Environmental health and preventive medicine},
volume = {30},
number = {},
pages = {7},
doi = {10.1265/ehpm.24-00243},
pmid = {39880611},
issn = {1347-4715},
mesh = {*Climate Change ; Humans ; *Air Pollution/adverse effects ; Risk Factors ; Chronic Disease/epidemiology ; Respiratory Tract Diseases/epidemiology/etiology ; Air Pollutants/adverse effects ; Environmental Exposure/adverse effects ; },
abstract = {Under the background of climate change, the escalating air pollution and extreme weather events have been identified as risk factors for chronic respiratory diseases (CRD), causing serious public health burden worldwide. This review aims to summarize the effects of changed atmospheric environment caused by climate change on CRD. Results indicated an increased risk of CRD (mainly COPD, asthma) associated with environmental factors, such as air pollutants, adverse meteorological conditions, extreme temperatures, sandstorms, wildfire, and atmospheric allergens. Furthermore, this association can be modified by factors such as socioeconomic status, adaptability, individual behavior, medical services. Potential pathophysiological mechanisms linking climate change and increased risk of CRD involved pulmonary inflammation, immune disorders, oxidative stress. Notably, the elderly, children, impoverished groups and people in regions with limited adaptability are more sensitive to respiratory health risks caused by climate change. This review provides a reference for understanding risk factors of CRD in the context of climate change, and calls for the necessity of adaptive strategies. Further interdisciplinary research and global collaboration are needed in the future to enhance adaptability and address climate health inequality.},
}
@article {pmid39879728,
year = {2025},
author = {Sorour, DM and Atta, MH and Mohamed, AA and Alfayomy, NA and Othman, AA and Eweida, RS},
title = {Unveiling the interplay between knowledge, self-efficacy, and pro-environmental behavior about climate change in a sample of rural community-dwelling older adults: A national correlational study.},
journal = {Geriatric nursing (New York, N.Y.)},
volume = {62},
number = {Pt A},
pages = {72-80},
doi = {10.1016/j.gerinurse.2025.01.007},
pmid = {39879728},
issn = {1528-3984},
abstract = {BACKGROUND: Climate change is a global health concern that affects all of humanity, but it disproportionately impacts older adults, particularly those living in rural communities. Older adults lack the ability to actively engage in pro-environmental actions aimed at adapting to and mitigating the harmful effects of climate change.<br><br>AIM: To investigate the relationship between knowledge, self-efficacy, and pro-environmental behavior regarding climate change, as well as to identify the factors that predict pro-environmental behavior in a sample of rural community-dwelling older adults.<br><br>METHODS: A descriptive correlational research design was used with a convenience sample of 517 older adults aged 60 and above, who were recruited from the post offices of the National Post Authority in Minya Governorate, Egypt. Data were collected using a socio-demographic questionnaire, a Climate Change Knowledge Questionnaire, the Environmental Self-Efficacy Scale (ESE), and the Pro-Environmental Behavior Scale (PEBS).<br><br>RESULTS: A highly statistically significant positive relationship between climate change knowledge, environmental self-efficacy and pro-environmental behavior (r = 0.412, P=.000; r = 0.392[,]P=.000 &amp; r = 0.720, P=.000 respectively) was reported. As well as, climate change knowledge and environmental self-efficacy were predictors of high pro-environmental behavior scores (P=.00, R = 0.785; R[2]=0.617; Adjusted R[2]=0.615; F = 413.289).<br><br>CONCLUSION: Integrating climate change education into Egypt's sustainable development goals is essential for fostering older adults' environmental self-efficacy, which in turn promotes climate change activism among older people in rural communities.},
}
@article {pmid39879312,
year = {2025},
author = {Wolfe, JD and Luther, DA and Jirinec, V and Collings, J and Johnson, EI and Bierregaard, RO and Stouffer, PC},
title = {Climate change aggravates bird mortality in pristine tropical forests.},
journal = {Science advances},
volume = {11},
number = {5},
pages = {eadq8086},
pmid = {39879312},
issn = {2375-2548},
mesh = {Animals ; *Climate Change ; *Birds/physiology ; *Tropical Climate ; *Biodiversity ; Rainforest ; Seasons ; Population Dynamics ; Temperature ; },
abstract = {Stable understory microclimates within undisturbed rainforests are often considered refugia against climate change. However, this assumption contrasts with emerging evidence of Neotropical bird population declines in intact rainforests. We assessed the vulnerability of resident rainforest birds to climatic variability, focusing on dry season severity characterized by hotter temperatures and reduced rainfall. Analyzing 4264 individual bird captures over 27 years, we found that harsher Amazonian dry seasons significantly reduced apparent survival for 24 of 29 species, with longer-lived species being more strongly affected. Our model predicted that a 1°C increase in average dry season temperature would reduce the mean apparent survival of the understory bird community by 63%. These findings directly link climate change to declining bird survival in the Amazon, challenging the notion that pristine rainforests can fully protect their biodiversity under increasingly severe climate conditions.},
}
@article {pmid39878913,
year = {2025},
author = {Sandal, S and Onu, U and Fung, W and Pippias, M and Smyth, B and De Chiara, L and Bajpai, D and Bilchut, WH and Hafiz, E and Kelly, DM and Bagasha, P and Jha, V and Ethier, I},
title = {Assessing the role of education level on climate change belief, concern and action: a multinational survey of healthcare professionals in nephrology.},
journal = {Journal of nephrology},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
pmid = {39878913},
issn = {1724-6059},
abstract = {BACKGROUND: Climate change poses a significant risk to kidney health, and countries with lower national wealth are more vulnerable. Yet, citizens from lower-income countries demonstrate less concern for climate change than those from higher-income countries. Education is a key covariate. To examine its role in explaining this perception gap, we obtained the perspectives of a highly educated cohort of healthcare professionals.<br><br>METHODS: This was a cross-sectional survey of healthcare professionals involved in kidney care. Responses were compared by the income level of the participant's country (per World Bank).<br><br>RESULTS: Of the 849 healthcare professionals from 107 countries (63.4% from lower and middle-income countries) that participated, most believed climate change was happening (97.9%), displayed a high level of concern (73.3%), and took personal action to combat climate change (62.0%). While the proportion who believed in climate change did not vary by income level (high:98.1%, upper-middle:97.2%, lower-middle:97.8%, low:100%, p&#x2009;=&#x2009;0.73), the proportion with a higher level of concern (high:80.7%, upper-middle:74.9%, lower-middle:67.5%, low:53.8%, p&#x2009;<&#x2009;0.001), and who took climate action (high:76.2%, upper-middle:63.1%, lower-middle:51.2%, low:30.8%, p&#x2009;<&#x2009;0.001) decreased by national wealth. Barriers to involvement in sustainable kidney care were lack of time (54.4%), knowledge (39.7%), and peer support (30.3%). Only 34.0% were aware of national mitigation plans and barriers related to finances, technologies, tools, methods, research, and evidence were perceived as greater obstacles in lower-income countries.<br><br>CONCLUSIONS: Our results highlight that predictors and correlates of climate change risk perception vary across countries. Education alone is unlikely to increase individual and group engagement in climate change. A better understanding of these factors can inform strategies towards climate action in different settings.},
}
@article {pmid39878001,
year = {2025},
author = {Joshi, M and Varkey, B},
title = {Respiratory hazards of climate change, environmental exposures and diverse topics on COPD.},
journal = {Current opinion in pulmonary medicine},
volume = {31},
number = {2},
pages = {77-78},
doi = {10.1097/MCP.0000000000001149},
pmid = {39878001},
issn = {1531-6971},
}
@article {pmid39875653,
year = {2025},
author = {Blattner, CE and Finger, R and Ingold, K},
title = {Why farmers are beginning to take their government to court over climate change.},
journal = {Nature},
volume = {637},
number = {8048},
pages = {1050-1052},
pmid = {39875653},
issn = {1476-4687},
}
@article {pmid39875561,
year = {2025},
author = {Cole, AP and Qian, Z and Gupta, N and Leapman, M and Zurl, H and Trinh, QD and Sherman, JD and Loeb, S and Iyer, HS},
title = {Urology on a changing planet: links between climate change and urological disease.},
journal = {Nature reviews. Urology},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
pmid = {39875561},
issn = {1759-4820},
abstract = {Urological diseases and their varied forms of management warrant special attention in the setting of climate change. Regarding urological cancers, climate change will probably increase the incidence and severity of cancer diagnoses through exposures to certain environmental risk factors, while simultaneously disrupting cancer care delivery and downstream outcomes. Regarding benign urological diseases, a burgeoning body of work exists on climate-related heat waves, dehydration, urolithiasis, renal injury and infectious and vector-borne diseases. Adding to the potential effect on disease pathogenesis, many patients with urological diseases undergo high-tech, resource-intensive interventions, such as robotic surgery, and entail intensive longitudinal assessments over many years. These features incur a considerable carbon footprint, generate substantial waste, and can introduce vulnerabilities to climate-related weather events. Links exist between planetary health (the health of humans and the natural systems that support our health), climate change and urological disease and urological care providers face many challenges in the era of anthropogenic climate change. The next steps and priorities for research, management, and health care delivery include identification and prioritization of health care delivery strategies to minimize waste and carbon emissions, while supporting climate resilience. Examples include supporting telemedicine, limiting low-value care, and building resilience to minimize impacts of climate-related disasters to prepare for the challenges ahead.},
}
@article {pmid39875443,
year = {2025},
author = {Xi, S and Guo, X and Ma, X and Jin, L},
title = {Impacts of climate change on the suitable habitat of Angelica sinensis and analysis of its drivers in China.},
journal = {Scientific reports},
volume = {15},
number = {1},
pages = {3508},
pmid = {39875443},
issn = {2045-2322},
support = {GS2021ZDA06//Chinese Academy of Engineering/ ; GS2021ZDA06//Chinese Academy of Engineering/ ; GS2021ZDA06//Chinese Academy of Engineering/ ; GS2021ZDA06//Chinese Academy of Engineering/ ; (2020)153//National Administration of Traditional Chinese Medicine/ ; (2020)153//National Administration of Traditional Chinese Medicine/ ; (2020)153//National Administration of Traditional Chinese Medicine/ ; (2020)153//National Administration of Traditional Chinese Medicine/ ; ZYZX-2023-KY-083//China Academy of Chinese Medical Sciences/ ; ZYZX-2023-KY-083//China Academy of Chinese Medical Sciences/ ; ZYZX-2023-KY-083//China Academy of Chinese Medical Sciences/ ; ZYZX-2023-KY-083//China Academy of Chinese Medical Sciences/ ; },
mesh = {*Climate Change ; *Angelica sinensis/growth &amp; development ; China ; *Ecosystem ; Plants, Medicinal/growth &amp; development ; },
abstract = {Climate change is shifting optimal habitats for medicinal plants, potentially compromising the efficacy and therapeutic value of herbal remedies. Global warming and increased extreme weather events threaten the sustainability and pharmaceutical integrity of Angelica sinensis (Oliv.) Diels (A. sinensis). Despite its importance in traditional herbal medicine, there is limited research on adaptation of A. sinensis to climate challenges. This study systematically collected occurrence data of A. sinensis through field expeditions and online databases, using the Maxent ecological niche modeling tool and ArcGIS software to forecast suitable habitats. A total of 402 species occurrence points and 21 environmental variables were selected for modeling, resulting in 1,160 distribution models, of which only one met the stringent 5% odds ratio (OR) standard. The optimal model exhibited a pROC value of 0, an OR of 0.0196, and an AICc score of 9,287.133. The model, run ten times for robustness, showed an average AUC of 0.980, indicating high accuracy and reliability. Under current climate conditions, suitable habitats for A. sinensis cover approximately 13% of mainland China, primarily in Gansu (73.77%), Qinghai (14.73%), and Sichuan (11.18%) provinces. Environmental factors such as altitude, humidity, and temperature significantly influence the geographical distribution of A. sinensis. The future climate scenario predictions suggest that suitable habitats will generally shift towards higher latitudes, with areas of moderate to high suitability primarily distributed across the provinces of Gansu and Qinghai. The interactions between environmental factors, characterized by mutual and nonlinear enhancement, further influence the spatial differentiation of suitability zones. Overlay analysis with 2020 land cover data indicated that 861,437 km[2] of arable and forest land are suitable for A. sinensis cultivation. Future predictions under four SSP scenarios show varying changes in suitable habitat areas, with the most significant expansion under SSP370 between 2080 and 2100, covering 14.54% of mainland China. These findings provide critical insights for optimizing A. sinensis cultivation regions and quality assessments in response to climate change.},
}
@article {pmid39875400,
year = {2025},
author = {Chiriacò, MV and Dămătîrcă, C and Abd Alla, S and Barilari, S and Biancardi Aleu, R and Brazzini, T and Capela Lourenço, T and de Carolis Villars, CA and Durand, S and Di Lallo, G and Encarnação Coelho, R and Espin, O and Ferreras-Alonso, N and Galluccio, G and Ganszky, D and Hellsten, S and Hernández-Moral, G and Ihrfors, J and Keramitsoglou, I and Kiranoudis, CT and Nemethy, A and Oakes, R and Ortuño Castillo, J and Pastor, AV and Pérez-Ramirez, P and Ramos-Diez, I and Sismanidis, P and Trozzo, C and De Notaris, C},
title = {A catalogue of land-based adaptation and mitigation solutions to tackle climate change.},
journal = {Scientific data},
volume = {12},
number = {1},
pages = {166},
pmid = {39875400},
issn = {2052-4463},
support = {101037104//EC | Horizon 2020 Framework Programme (EU Framework Programme for Research and Innovation H2020)/ ; 101037104//EC | Horizon 2020 Framework Programme (EU Framework Programme for Research and Innovation H2020)/ ; 101037104//EC | Horizon 2020 Framework Programme (EU Framework Programme for Research and Innovation H2020)/ ; 101037104//EC | Horizon 2020 Framework Programme (EU Framework Programme for Research and Innovation H2020)/ ; 101037104//EC | Horizon 2020 Framework Programme (EU Framework Programme for Research and Innovation H2020)/ ; 101037104//EC | Horizon 2020 Framework Programme (EU Framework Programme for Research and Innovation H2020)/ ; 101037104//EC | Horizon 2020 Framework Programme (EU Framework Programme for Research and Innovation H2020)/ ; 101037104//EC | Horizon 2020 Framework Programme (EU Framework Programme for Research and Innovation H2020)/ ; 101037104//EC | Horizon 2020 Framework Programme (EU Framework Programme for Research and Innovation H2020)/ ; 101037104//EC | Horizon 2020 Framework Programme (EU Framework Programme for Research and Innovation H2020)/ ; 101037104//EC | Horizon 2020 Framework Programme (EU Framework Programme for Research and Innovation H2020)/ ; 101037104//EC | Horizon 2020 Framework Programme (EU Framework Programme for Research and Innovation H2020)/ ; 101037104//EC | Horizon 2020 Framework Programme (EU Framework Programme for Research and Innovation H2020)/ ; 101037104//EC | Horizon 2020 Framework Programme (EU Framework Programme for Research and Innovation H2020)/ ; 101037104//EC | Horizon 2020 Framework Programme (EU Framework Programme for Research and Innovation H2020)/ ; 101037104//EC | Horizon 2020 Framework Programme (EU Framework Programme for Research and Innovation H2020)/ ; 101037104//EC | Horizon 2020 Framework Programme (EU Framework Programme for Research and Innovation H2020)/ ; 101037104//EC | Horizon 2020 Framework Programme (EU Framework Programme for Research and Innovation H2020)/ ; 101037104//EC | Horizon 2020 Framework Programme (EU Framework Programme for Research and Innovation H2020)/ ; 101037104//EC | Horizon 2020 Framework Programme (EU Framework Programme for Research and Innovation H2020)/ ; 101037104//EC | Horizon 2020 Framework Programme (EU Framework Programme for Research and Innovation H2020)/ ; 101037104//EC | Horizon 2020 Framework Programme (EU Framework Programme for Research and Innovation H2020)/ ; 101037104//EC | Horizon 2020 Framework Programme (EU Framework Programme for Research and Innovation H2020)/ ; 101037104//EC | Horizon 2020 Framework Programme (EU Framework Programme for Research and Innovation H2020)/ ; 101037104//EC | Horizon 2020 Framework Programme (EU Framework Programme for Research and Innovation H2020)/ ; 101037104//EC | Horizon 2020 Framework Programme (EU Framework Programme for Research and Innovation H2020)/ ; 101037104//EC | Horizon 2020 Framework Programme (EU Framework Programme for Research and Innovation H2020)/ ; 101037104//EC | Horizon 2020 Framework Programme (EU Framework Programme for Research and Innovation H2020)/ ; 101037104//EC | Horizon 2020 Framework Programme (EU Framework Programme for Research and Innovation H2020)/ ; },
abstract = {Informing and engaging all actors in the land sector, including land-owners and managers, researchers, policy-makers and citizens, on the most effective sustainable land-based solutions and behavioural changes is a key strategy for achieving climate change adaptation and mitigation targets at the global as well as at EU and local level. One requisite to support actors in the land sector is to provide them publicly available, reliable and ready-to-use information related to the implementation of Land-based Adaptation and Mitigation Solutions (LAMS). Here we introduce a LAMS catalogue, a collection of meaningful quantitative and qualitative information on 60 solutions characterised according to a set of specifications (e.g., mitigation and adaptation potential, cost of implementation, suitability factors, synergies and trade-offs, drivers and barriers to the implementation). The catalogue offers a reliable, science-based tool useful for different users' needs, including valuable references for deriving context-specific quantitative inputs to simulate and evaluate the performance of solutions over time using modelling tools, such as Integrated Assessment Models at any scale.},
}
@article {pmid39874697,
year = {2025},
author = {Qiu, H and Han, H and Cheng, X and Kang, F},
title = {Understanding sustainability of woody species suitability zones on the Loess Plateau for optimal creation zone selection in response to future climate change.},
journal = {Journal of environmental management},
volume = {375},
number = {},
pages = {124239},
doi = {10.1016/j.jenvman.2025.124239},
pmid = {39874697},
issn = {1095-8630},
abstract = {Climate change has profound implications for the distribution of suitable habitats for woody species. In this study, we assessed the optimal distribution thresholds for twelve woody species on the Loess Plateau using the Maximum Entropy (MaxEnt) model, incorporating sample points of tree species alongside relevant environmental variables. We analyzed the sustainability of potentially suitable zones and proposed a framework for selecting a regulatory model to establish the most suitable creation zones in response to future climate change. The results indicated that: (1) The distributions potentially suitable for Platycladus orientalis and Pinus tabuliformis were predominantly influenced by mean annual temperatures, whereas Pinus armandii and Quercus aliena var. acutiserrata exhibited optimal conditions at temperatures around -4 °C. Both Hippophae rhamnoides and Larix gmelinii var. principis-rupprechtii had suitable threshold precipitation levels exceeding 200 mm, with optimal thresholds surpassing 250 mm. (2) Most high-suitability zones for woody species across various future climate scenarios were primarily located in southern regions, including examples such as Betula platyphylla Sukaczev, Platycladus orientalis, Pinus sylvestris var. mongholica. Some of these high-suitability areas displayed insular and linear distributions, notably Larix gmelinii var. principis-rupprechtii, Quercus aliena var. acutiserrata, Salix cheilophila. (3) There was no southward shift in the northern boundary of the sustainability zones for any woody species across the different scenarios. Betula platyphylla and Salix babylonica exhibited the broadest distribution of sustainability zones. (4) The most suitable areas for the establishment of woody species were primarily found in the western, southern, and eastern regions, whereas the northern and central areas were less favorable for tree growth. Among the scenarios analyzed, SSP585 presents the most extensive distribution area. This study is expected to improve the distribution structure of woody species and the implementation of management policies.},
}
@article {pmid39874244,
year = {2025},
author = {Rivas, MDG and Gonzalo, J},
title = {Climate change heterogeneity: A new quantitative approach.},
journal = {PloS one},
volume = {20},
number = {1},
pages = {e0317208},
pmid = {39874244},
issn = {1932-6203},
mesh = {*Climate Change ; Spain ; Temperature ; Global Warming ; },
abstract = {Climate change is a spatial and temporarily non-uniform phenomenon that requires understanding its evolution to better evaluate its potential societal and economic impact. The value added of this paper lies in introducing a quantitative methodology grounded in the trend analysis of temperature distribution quantiles to analyze climate change heterogeneity (CCH). By converting these quantiles into time series objects, the methodology empowers the definition and measurement of various relevant concepts in climate change analysis (warming, warming typology, warming amplification and warming acceleration) in a straightforward and robust testable linear regression format. It also facilitates the introduction of new testable concepts like warming dominance to compare (globally or partially) the warming process experienced by different regions. Furthermore, the methodology holds the added significance of concurrently encompassing both temporal and spatial dimensions in temperature analysis, owing to the close alignment between unconditional quantiles and latitude measures. Applying our quantitative methodology for the period 1950-2019 to the Globe (2192 stations) and Spain (30 stations) as a benchmark region, we find that both experience a distributional warming process (beyond the standard average) but of very different types. While the Globe experiences a stronger warming in the lower temperatures than in the upper ones, Spain evolves from equal warming in the whole distribution toward a stronger warming in the upper quantiles (similar to the warming process experienced in the African continent). In the two cases, the warming process accelerates (non-linear behavior) over time and is asymmetrically amplified. Overall, although both the Globe and Spain suffer an equivalent warming process in the median (mean) temperature, Spain's warming dominates the Globe in the upper quantiles and is dominated in the lower tail of the global temperature distribution that corresponds to the Arctic region. Our climate change heterogeneity results open the door to the need for a non-uniform causal-effect climate analysis that goes beyond the standard causality in mean and for a more efficient design of the mitigation-adaptation policies. In particular, the heterogeneity found suggests these policies should contain a common global component and a clear local-regional idiosyncratic element. The latter is usually more straightforward to implement.},
}
@article {pmid39873875,
year = {2025},
author = {Hassan, S and Bali, BS and Muneer, W and Yaseen, A and Bhat, S and Zaman, M and Ganiee, SA and Shah, AJ and Ganai, BA},
title = {A review on amino acids as proxies for organic matter degradation in aquatic ecosystems: implications for nutrient cycling, climate change, and ecosystem management.},
journal = {Environmental science and pollution research international},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1007/s11356-025-35949-9},
pmid = {39873875},
issn = {1614-7499},
abstract = {The fate and degradation of organic matter in aquatic systems is a vital link in nutrient cycling and sedimentation processes influenced by exogenous and endogenous factors, such as inputs from upstream sources, sediment suspension, and the decomposition of aquatic organisms. The interplay of organic carbon, microbes, and environmental factors shapes the distribution and degradation of organic matter. Characterizing the source distribution of sedimentary organic matter in aquatic systems using novel proxies can unravel new insights into the mechanisms that control its dispersal, preservation and fate, which is essential to understanding the global carbon and nitrogen cycles. Therefore, the present review critically investigated amino acids as crucial markers for assessing the degradation status in lacustrine and marine sediments and highlighted the pivotal function of biotic and abiotic determinants that influence the mineralization of organic matter. The review thoroughly discussed studies on the spatio-temporal distribution patterns of amino acids and their bio-refractory nature to overcome the challenges in evaluating sediment organic matter degradation in aquatic systems. Recognizing the paramount impact of climate change on aquatic ecosystems, the review further elucidated how integrating amino acid-based data into climate models is essential for predicting complex interplay between degradation processes and evolving environmental dynamics. Finally, the specific needs for further research and recommendations for developing efficient and sustainable strategies to study organic matter degradation were highlighted. The present review will deliver fresh inferences to researchers, ecologists, and policymakers for a better understanding of source distribution and degradation status of organic matter for evidence-based conservation and management strategies.},
}
@article {pmid39872220,
year = {2025},
author = {Zhang, GJ},
title = {An innovative approach to predicting global warming without using climate model simulations.},
journal = {National science review},
volume = {12},
number = {2},
pages = {nwae453},
pmid = {39872220},
issn = {2053-714X},
}
@article {pmid39871964,
year = {2024},
author = {Liang, MS and Dong, Z and Julius, S and Neal, J and Yang, YJ},
title = {Storm Surge Projection and Objective-Based Risk Management for Climate Change Adaptation along the US Atlantic Coast.},
journal = {Journal of water resources planning and management},
volume = {150},
number = {6},
pages = {1-12},
pmid = {39871964},
issn = {1943-5452},
support = {EPA999999/ImEPA/Intramural EPA/United States ; },
abstract = {Climate change brings intense hurricanes and storm surges to the US Atlantic coast. These disruptive meteorological events, combined with sea level rise (SLR), inundate coastal areas and adversely impact infrastructure and environmental assets. Thus, storm surge projection and associated risk quantification are needed in coastal adaptation planning and emergency management. However, the projections can have large uncertainties depending on the planning time horizon. Excessive uncertainties arise from inadequately quantified ocean-climatic processes that control hurricane formation, storm track, and SLR in time of climate change. For this challenge, we propose an objective-based analytical-statistical approach using the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's (NOAA)'s Sea, Lake, and Overland Surge from Hurricanes (SLOSH) model in scenario analysis of the storm surge impacts. In this approach, synthetic hurricanes (wind profile and track direction) are simulated to yield the likely range of the maximum envelope of water (MEOW), the maximum of the maximum (MOM), local wind speed, and directions. The surge height and time progression at a location are analyzed using a validated SLOSH model for a given adaptation or planning objective with a set of uncertainty tolerance. We further illustrate the approach in three case studies at Mattapoisett (MA), Bridgeport (CT), and Lower Chesapeake Bay along the US Atlantic coast. Simulated MOMs as the worst-case surge scenarios defined the long-term climate risk to the shoreside wastewater plants in Bridgeport and environmental assets in the Lower Chesapeake Bay. The wind-surge probability envelopes in simulated MEOWs provide location-specific estimates of the storm surge probability for local adaptation analysis at four locations in Lower Chesapeake Bay and at Mattapoisett of the southeastern Massachusetts coast. Using the constraints of local bathymetry and topography, the wind-surge probability curves and time progression also provide quantitative probability estimates for emergency response planning, as illustrated in the Mattapoisett case study.},
}
@article {pmid39871053,
year = {2025},
author = {Basegmez, M and Aydin, CC},
title = {Climate change impact on green spaces planning in an urban area using a hybrid approach.},
journal = {Environmental science and pollution research international},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
pmid = {39871053},
issn = {1614-7499},
abstract = {This study presents a hybrid methodology for planning green spaces to enhance urban sustainability and livability, evaluating the impacts of climate change on cities. Cities, once accommodating a small population, have become major centers of migration and development since the eighteenth century. Rapid urban growth intensifies infrastructure, environmental, and social challenges. Fossil fuel reliance and deforestation increase greenhouse gas emissions, exacerbating climate change, impacting ecosystems, and urban livability. This research assesses green spaces in Izmir's Bayraklı district by assigning weights to site selection criteria via the analytic hierarchy process (AHP), entropy weight method (EWM), and Game Theory. The weighted linear combination (WLC) method integrates these weights to produce decision maps. Game Theory harmonizes discrepancies between AHP and EWM, influencing the decision maps. Notably, incorporating climate change criteria reduced highly suitable areas from 50.3 to 41.5%, stressing climate considerations in planning. Grey relational analysis (GRA) prioritizes investment areas, showing objective, criterion-based planning's importance in sustainable urban development.},
}
@article {pmid39870815,
year = {2025},
author = {Masselot, P and Mistry, MN and Rao, S and Huber, V and Monteiro, A and Samoli, E and Stafoggia, M and de'Donato, F and Garcia-Leon, D and Ciscar, JC and Feyen, L and Schneider, A and Katsouyanni, K and Vicedo-Cabrera, AM and Aunan, K and Gasparrini, A},
title = {Estimating future heat-related and cold-related mortality under climate change, demographic and adaptation scenarios in 854 European cities.},
journal = {Nature medicine},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
pmid = {39870815},
issn = {1546-170X},
support = {820655//EC | Horizon 2020 Framework Programme (EU Framework Programme for Research and Innovation H2020)/ ; 820655//EC | Horizon 2020 Framework Programme (EU Framework Programme for Research and Innovation H2020)/ ; 820655//EC | Horizon 2020 Framework Programme (EU Framework Programme for Research and Innovation H2020)/ ; MR/V034162/1//RCUK | Medical Research Council (MRC)/ ; 101022870//EC | EU Framework Programme for Research and Innovation H2020 | H2020 Priority Excellent Science | H2020 Marie Sklodowska-Curie Actions (H2020 Excellent Science - Marie Sklodowska-Curie Actions)/ ; 101032087//EC | EU Framework Programme for Research and Innovation H2020 | H2020 Priority Excellent Science | H2020 Marie Sklodowska-Curie Actions (H2020 Excellent Science - Marie Sklodowska-Curie Actions)/ ; JRC 36206-2022 // DG REGIO 2022CE160AT126//EC | Directorate-General for Regional Policy (DG Regional Policy)/ ; JRC 36206-2022 // DG REGIO 2022CE160AT126//EC | Directorate-General for Regional Policy (DG Regional Policy)/ ; JRC 36206-2022 // DG REGIO 2022CE160AT126//EC | Directorate-General for Regional Policy (DG Regional Policy)/ ; JRC 36206-2022 // DG REGIO 2022CE160AT126//EC | Directorate-General for Regional Policy (DG Regional Policy)/ ; TMSGI3_211626//Schweizerischer Nationalfonds zur F&#xf6;rderung der Wissenschaftlichen Forschung (Swiss National Science Foundation)/ ; TMSGI3_211626//Schweizerischer Nationalfonds zur F&#xf6;rderung der Wissenschaftlichen Forschung (Swiss National Science Foundation)/ ; 101022870//European Commission (EC)/ ; 101022870//European Commission (EC)/ ; 101032087//European Commission (EC)/ ; },
abstract = {Previous health impact assessments of temperature-related mortality in Europe indicated that the mortality burden attributable to cold is much larger than for heat. Questions remain as to whether climate change can result in a net decrease in temperature-related mortality. In this study, we estimated how climate change could affect future heat-related and cold-related mortality in 854 European urban areas, under several climate, demographic and adaptation scenarios. We showed that, with no adaptation to heat, the increase in heat-related deaths consistently exceeds any decrease in cold-related deaths across all considered scenarios in Europe. Under the lowest mitigation and adaptation scenario (SSP3-7.0), we estimate a net death burden due to climate change increasing by 49.9% and cumulating 2,345,410 (95% confidence interval = 327,603 to 4,775,853) climate change-related deaths between 2015 and 2099. This net effect would remain positive even under high adaptation scenarios, whereby a risk attenuation of 50% is still insufficient to reverse the trend under SSP3-7.0. Regional differences suggest a slight net decrease of death rates in Northern European countries but high vulnerability of the Mediterranean region and Eastern Europe areas. Unless strong mitigation and adaptation measures are implemented, most European cities should experience an increase of their temperature-related mortality burden.},
}
@article {pmid39870697,
year = {2025},
author = {Ao, Q and Li, H and Yang, L and Li, Q and Long, F and Xiao, Y and Zuo, W},
title = {Projecting the global potential distribution of nine Rhododendron Subgenus Hymenanthes species under different climate change scenarios.},
journal = {Scientific reports},
volume = {15},
number = {1},
pages = {3459},
pmid = {39870697},
issn = {2045-2322},
support = {32260415//National Natural Science Foundation of China/ ; Qianke Combination Foundation-ZK [2023] Key 010//The Guizhou Provincial Science and Technology Project/ ; },
mesh = {*Rhododendron ; *Climate Change ; *Ecosystem ; China ; Conservation of Natural Resources ; },
abstract = {As one of China's most treasured traditional flowers, Rhododendron Subgen. Hymenanthes is renowned worldwide for its evergreen foliage, vibrant flowers, and significant ornamental, landscaping, and economic value. However, climate change poses a serious threat to its future, leading to population declines and endangerment of some species. Despite the ecological and economic importance of Rhododendron Subgen. Hymenanthes, the future distribution of suitable habitats and the most effective strategies for its conservation and utilization remain unclear. This study employs the MaxEnt model, which is well-known for its reliability in predicting species distribution under changing environmental conditions, to predict the potential global distribution of nine species of Rhododendron Subgen. Hymenanthes. The goal is to provide a solid foundation for their conservation, cultivation management, and breeding. The results indicate that, under future climate scenarios, suitable habitat areas for four species (R. irroratum, R. agastum, R. decorum, and R. arboreum) will significantly decrease, while suitable habitats for the remaining five species (R. delavayi, R. fortunei, R. calophytum, R. simiarum, and R. wardii) will experience slight expansion. Temperature and precipitation are identified as key environmental factors influencing the growth and distribution of these species, affecting their ability to colonize new regions. The migration direction of the expanding regions for all nine species is consistent, with their centroids shifting towards the northwest. These findings provide critical insights for developing targeted conservation strategies, including identifying potential refugia and prioritizing conservation areas under future climate conditions.},
}
@article {pmid39870643,
year = {2025},
author = {Bhattacharya, A and Papakonstantinou, KG and Warn, GP and McPhillips, L and Bilec, MM and Forest, CE and Hasan, R and Chavda, D},
title = {Optimal life-cycle adaptation of coastal infrastructure under climate change.},
journal = {Nature communications},
volume = {16},
number = {1},
pages = {1076},
pmid = {39870643},
issn = {2041-1723},
support = {CMMI-2053620//National Science Foundation (NSF)/ ; },
abstract = {Climate change-related risk mitigation is typically addressed using cost-benefit analysis that evaluates mitigation strategies against a wide range of simulated scenarios and identifies a static policy to be implemented, without considering future observations. Due to the substantial uncertainties inherent in climate projections, this identified policy will likely be sub-optimal with respect to the actual climate trajectory that evolves in time. In this work, we thus formulate climate risk management as a dynamic decision-making problem based on Markov Decision Processes (MDPs) and Partially Observable MDPs (POMDPs), taking real-time data into account for evaluating the evolving conditions and related model uncertainties, in order to select the best possible life-cycle actions in time, with global optimality guarantees for the formulated optimization problem. The framework is developed for coastal adaptation applications, considering a wide variety of possible action types, including various forms of nature-based infrastructure. Related environmental impacts of carbon emissions and uptake are also incorporated, and social cost of carbon implications are discussed, together with several future directions and supported features.},
}
@article {pmid39869968,
year = {2025},
author = {Dash, S and Maity, R},
title = {Association between hydroclimatic factors and vegetation health: Impact of climate change in the past and future.},
journal = {The Science of the total environment},
volume = {964},
number = {},
pages = {178605},
doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2025.178605},
pmid = {39869968},
issn = {1879-1026},
abstract = {This study investigates the potential impact of future climate scenarios designated by different shared socioeconomic pathways (SSPs) on vegetation health. Considering the entire Indian mainland as the study region, which exhibits a diverse range of climate and vegetation regimes, we analysed long-term past (1981-2020) and future (2021-2100) changes in vegetation greenness across seven vegetation types and four seasons. In order to gain insight into the intricate interrelationships between vegetation and hydroclimatic factors (soil moisture, precipitation, solar radiation, and temperature), a Standardized Vegetation Index (SVI) is used as a proxy for vegetation health, and a bivariate copula-based probabilistic model is developed incorporating a Combined Climate Index (CCI) derived through Supervised Principal Component Analysis (SPCA) and the SVI. Our results indicate that the water-limited areas are more sensitive to precipitation and soil moisture, whereas energy-limited areas are primarily influenced by temperature and solar radiation. Consequently, an overall increase in the vegetation greenness is observed over the past decades in most of water-limited regions, and almost no change or slight decline in greenness over the northeastern regions, where precipitation is abundant but it is an energy-limited region due to high convective activity. Future projections (2021-2100) indicate an overall increase in greenness during monsoons. However, browning (loss of greenness) is anticipated to intensify over time, especially in the northeast. This study demonstrates the model's efficacy in capturing the complex vegetation-climate relationship, highlighting its potential for application across diverse geographical regions and providing insights into the implications of climate change.},
}
@article {pmid39869963,
year = {2025},
author = {Kebede, MM and Terry, LG and Clement, TP and Mekonnen, MM},
title = {Impact of climate change and land management on nitrate pollution in the high plains aquifer.},
journal = {Journal of environmental management},
volume = {375},
number = {},
pages = {124321},
doi = {10.1016/j.jenvman.2025.124321},
pmid = {39869963},
issn = {1095-8630},
abstract = {High concentrations of nitrate in groundwater pose risks to human and environmental health. This study evaluates the potential impact of climate change, land use, and fertilizer application rates on groundwater nitrate levels in the High Plains Aquifer under four Shared Socioeconomic Pathway (SSP) scenarios. A random forest model, with predictors such as fertilizer application rates, cropland coverage, and climate variables from six Coupled Model Intercomparison Project models, is used to project future nitrate concentrations. Results show increases across all scenarios, with nitrate levels rising by 4% under SSP5-8.5 and up to 13% under SSP2-4.5 when accounting for climate change effects. Fertilizer application rates are identified as the primary driver of projected changes. The northern and central regions of the aquifer exhibited the most pronounced increases. The projected changes in nitrate levels, observed across both low- and high-greenhouse gas emission pathways, highlight the need to develop integrated management strategies that consider shared socioeconomic scenarios and water resource protection constraints.},
}
@article {pmid39869536,
year = {2025},
author = {Raulf, M and Annesi-Maesano, I},
title = {Occupational allergy and climate change.},
journal = {Current opinion in allergy and clinical immunology},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1097/ACI.0000000000001060},
pmid = {39869536},
issn = {1473-6322},
abstract = {PURPOSE OF REVIEW: Climate change influences working conditions in various ways, affecting employee health and safety across different sectors. Climatic factors like rising temperatures, increased UV radiation, and more frequent extreme weather events pose risks to in both indoor and outdoor workers. Allergic diseases of the respiratory tract and the skin may emerge due to climate change. This review summarizes current aspects of both direct and indirect consequences of climate change and associated exposures in diverse work environments, focusing on occupational allergies.<br><br>RECENT FINDINGS: Outdoor workers, in particular, are increasing susceptible to ubiquitous pollen allergens. Additionally, they may experience climate-related increases in allergens typically associated with specific workplaces, such as Cryptostroma corticale. Changes in production processes, along with altered workplaces exposures, can lead to new sensitizations and trigger allergies, representing indirect consequences of climate change. Furthermore, lifestyle changes aimed to promoting climate protection and sustainability (e.g. the introduction of insects as a protein source or using enzymes), may also contribute to the emergence of new allergens.<br><br>SUMMARY: The emergence of new occupational sensitization sources from novel or modified allergen exposures must be addressed within the framework of workplace safety and health, necessitating proactive measures to safeguard workers and mitigate risks.},
}
@article {pmid39869508,
year = {2025},
author = {Tan, E and Rosenbach, M},
title = {Underrepresentation of Climate Change and Sustainability Manuscripts in High Impact Dermatology Journals.},
journal = {The British journal of dermatology},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1093/bjd/ljaf037},
pmid = {39869508},
issn = {1365-2133},
}
@article {pmid39869217,
year = {2025},
author = {Fonseka, PU and Zhang, H and Premasiri, R and Samarasuriya, C and Rathnayake, U},
title = {Assessing microclimatic influences in Colombo metropolitan area (CMA) amidst global climate change: a comprehensive study from 1980 to 2022.},
journal = {Environmental monitoring and assessment},
volume = {197},
number = {2},
pages = {199},
pmid = {39869217},
issn = {1573-2959},
mesh = {*Climate Change ; *Microclimate ; *Environmental Monitoring/methods ; *Cities ; Temperature ; Rain ; Seasons ; },
abstract = {Climate change has become an emerging topic, leading to widespread damage. However, when considering climate, attention is drawn to various scales, and urban microclimate has emerged as a trending subject due to its direct relevance to human living environments. Among the microclimatic factors, temperature and precipitation are utilized in order to identify trends. The identification of changes in precipitation and temperature from ground stations poses difficulties due to the lack of well-distributed stations; thus, satellite-based products are gaining popularity. The satellite products were validated against ground data, following which time-series and spatial analyses were conducted. The rainfall anomaly index, seasonality index, heat wave magnitude index, and mean temperature differ in the Colombo Metropolitan Area compared to the entire country. Each index is calculated decadal-wise to identify trends. By utilizing four climate indices, the analysis endeavors to investigate the microclimate identification in Colombo Metropolitan Area compared to its surrounding areas such as the Western Province and the entire country. This study aids local authorities in mitigating climate change by enhancing city resilience. These findings underscore the importance of understanding and addressing the impacts of climate change on temperature extremes to mitigate potential adverse effects on human activities and the environment. Understanding the specific reasons for spatial changes in rainfall anomalies often necessitates extensive climate modeling and data analysis.},
}
@article {pmid39868940,
year = {2025},
author = {Becerra-Amezcua, MP and Matadamas-Guzmán, FM and Hernández-Orihuela, L and Guerrero-Legarreta, I and Guzmán-García, X},
title = {Proteomic Analysis Is Needed to Understand the Vulnerability of Bunodosoma cavernatum Sea Anemones to Climate Change.},
journal = {Journal of proteome research},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1021/acs.jproteome.4c00780},
pmid = {39868940},
issn = {1535-3907},
abstract = {Sea anemones play a crucial role in marine ecosystems. Recent studies have highlighted their physiological and ecological responses to thermal stress. Therefore, our objective was to perform a proteomic analysis of Bunodosoma cavernatum sea anemones in the Gulf of Mexico, subjected to thermal stress, to understand whether these organisms activate specific processes to resist increased temperature. We submitted one group of sea anemones to variable temperatures (26 to 32 °C) and another group to a constant temperature (28 °C) for 1.5 months. Then we subjected them to thermal stress (32 °C) for 2 weeks. We evaluated the enzymatic activity and proteome in the columns and tentacles. The main effect of the temperature regime change is a reduction in mass. Also, sea anemones synthesized proteins related to the activation of the immune system and protection against temperature. We observed decreased peroxidase activity, while superoxide dismutase activity was higher only in the constant temperature group. On the basis of these data, we deduce that B. cavernatum sea anemones are vulnerable to climate change because they stop producing toxins in their tentacles when faced with thermal stress and activate cellular responses that make them susceptible to pathogens. These responses are not sufficient to guarantee an optimal health state.},
}
@article {pmid39868709,
year = {2024},
author = {Niquil, N and Raoux, A and Thermes, M and Fofack-Garcia, R and Noguès, Q},
title = {[Marine trophic and socio-ecological networks under pressure: study of the cumulative impact of climate change and offshore wind farm development].},
journal = {Biologie aujourd'hui},
volume = {218},
number = {3-4},
pages = {99-103},
doi = {10.1051/jbio/2024012},
pmid = {39868709},
issn = {2105-0686},
mesh = {*Climate Change ; *Wind ; *Ecosystem ; Humans ; Animals ; Models, Theoretical ; Food Chain ; },
abstract = {In the anthropocene era, one of the greatest challenges facing trophic modeling applied to the marine environment is its ability to couple the multiple effects of both climate change and local anthropogenic activities, notably the development of offshore wind farms. The major challenge is to create scenarios to characterize their cumulative effects on the functioning of the entire socio-ecological system, in order to propose appropriate management plans. Although modeling cumulative impact on socio-ecological networks is not yet widely used, data reported in the present review article show that the relevance of this approach could be established in the context of offshore wind power. Two modeling procedures are herein described: quantitative mathematical modelling to simulate the effect of two simultaneous pressures on food network properties, and qualitative modelling, which can be based on a participatory approach to more finely characterize feedback loops between governance and ecological systems. These two quantitative and qualitative scenarios modeling methods, based on interaction network analyses, were applied to the future Courseulles-sur-Mer offshore wind farm (eastern Channel), and to the Groix-Belle-Ile pilot wind farm (Atlantic). Finally, we present a research perspective, based on the Sato-Umi concept, which focuses on modeling frameworks combining ecosystem network evolution scenarios and an increased capacity for collective action.},
}
@article {pmid39867255,
year = {2024},
author = {Mohammadi-Janbazloufar, K and Atighechian, G and Ostadtaghizadeh, A and Rezaei, F and Hirshon, JM},
title = {Developing an Emergency Medical Services Resilience Assessment Tool in Climate Change: A Study Protocol.},
journal = {International journal of preventive medicine},
volume = {15},
number = {},
pages = {73},
pmid = {39867255},
issn = {2008-7802},
abstract = {BACKGROUND: Climate change poses significant threats to the health and safety of communities worldwide. Extreme weather events can disrupt critical infrastructure and overwhelm emergency medical services (EMS) systems. As the frequency and intensity of these climate-related disasters continue to increase, it is essential that EMS organizations develop robust strategies to enhance their resilience. One important step in building climate-resilient EMS systems is the development of comprehensive assessment tools. Developing a comprehensive tool for assessing the resilience of EMS in the face of climate change.<br><br>METHODS: This research employs an applied, mixed-methods approach to investigate the development and validation of the Emergency Medical Services Resilience Assessment (EMSRA) tool. The study will be executed across four key phases: (a) A scoping review will be conducted to identify the global dimensions and components of EMS systems that demonstrate resilience to the impacts of climate change. (b) A qualitative study, involving semistructured interviews, will be undertaken to explore the specific dimensions and components of EMS resilience within the Iranian context. (c) Based on the findings from the scoping review and qualitative inquiry, assessment items related to EMS resilience in climate change will be extracted and synthesized to develop a pilot version of the EMSRA tool. (d) The pilot EMSRA tool will undergo a rigorous process of quantitative and qualitative validation, including an evaluation of its psychometric properties, to assess the resilience of EMS systems in the face of climate-related challenges.<br><br>CONCLUSIONS: The development of EMSRA tool will enable the assessment and enhancement of climate change resilience within the national and provincial EMS systems, providing critical data to inform evidence-based strategies and plans for strengthening EMS against the impacts of severe climate changes.},
}
@article {pmid39867166,
year = {2025},
author = {Khan, A and Mubeen, M},
title = {Heat Stroke in the Era of Global Warming: A Call for Urgent Action.},
journal = {Annals of global health},
volume = {91},
number = {1},
pages = {1},
pmid = {39867166},
issn = {2214-9996},
mesh = {Humans ; *Heat Stroke/epidemiology/therapy ; *Global Warming ; Global Health ; Pakistan/epidemiology ; },
abstract = {Heat stroke (HS) represents a life‑endangering condition that is due to an imbalance between heat generation and dissipation, owing to exposure to hot environments or strenuous exercise. HS is a medical condition that is gaining increased prevalence throughout the world due to a steady rise in temperature, and massive mortalities have been recorded among vulnerable populations. In 2024, extreme heat waves led to increased cases of HS and related fatalities globally, particularly in Karachi, Pakistan. This article reviews the pathophysiology, effects, treatment, and preventive strategies of HS management. Effective management includes prompt on‑site cooling and symptomatic treatment followed by intensive care for severe cases. In keeping heat‑related illnesses low, indoor stay, hydration, and public awareness campaigns play important roles. The urge of the article, therefore, is that HS demands very serious attention from the global arena and its proactive measures should be enforced to avert this medical emergency globally.},
}
@article {pmid39866426,
year = {2025},
author = {Gebru, AB and Gebreyohannes, T and Kahsay, GH},
title = {Modelling climate change and aridity for climate impact studies in semi-arid regions: The case of Giba basin, northern Ethiopia.},
journal = {Heliyon},
volume = {11},
number = {1},
pages = {e41693},
pmid = {39866426},
issn = {2405-8440},
abstract = {of long-term and future climate variability is crucial for impact assessment studies in drought-prone areas like the Giba basin in northern Ethiopia. This study has applied the statistical downscaling model (SDSM) and (De Martonne and Pinna combinative) aridity index methods to evaluate the climate system of the Giba basin. Historical data (1961-2019) from seven meteorological stations and global grided data were used for future climate projections (2020-2100) under the three emission scenarios (RCPs 2.6, 4.5, and 8.5) for the three-time horizons (2040s, 2060s, and 2080s). Analysis of results showed that rainfall and temperature projection on a monthly and/or seasonal basis has more significance than on an annual basis for impact studies particularly, in areas where irrigation practices are common like in the Giba basin. Seasonal projection of rainfall in the basin showed a slightly decreasing trend during the spring season (MAM), and a significant increment in the main rainy season (JJA) under all scenarios and for the whole projection year. On an annual basis, a maximum increase of rainfall, up to +285 mm/year and +298 mm/year was expected to increase at Abyi Adi and Mekelle Obs stations, respectively, under RCP 8.5 in the 2080s. Temperature projection showed a consistent rise throughout the basin that ranges from a minimum increase of Tmax by +0.29 °C in the 2040s (RCP 2.6) at Mekelle Obs station to a maximum increase of Tmin by +2.35 °C in the 2080s (RCP8.5) at Abyi Adi station. In general, it is observed that the rate of increment of projected Tmin was more than that of Tmax in all stations in the Giba basin, which showed a continuous contraction of the gap between Tmin and Tmax, hence, the prevalence of global warming. This has led to a considerable increment of aridity till the end of the 21st century. Hence, the implementation of locally-suited climate change resilient strategies is crucial to enhance the sustainability of the ecosystem and ensure food security in the basin.},
}
@article {pmid39866083,
year = {2025},
author = {Chauhdary, JN and Li, H and Pan, X and Zaman, M and Anjum, SA and Yang, F and Akbar, N and Azamat, U},
title = {Modeling effects of climate change on crop phenology and yield of wheat-maize cropping system and exploring sustainable solutions.},
journal = {Journal of the science of food and agriculture},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1002/jsfa.14134},
pmid = {39866083},
issn = {1097-0010},
abstract = {BACKGROUND: Wheat-maize cropping systems in semi-arid regions are expected to be affected by climate change in the future, which is alarming for global food security, environmental sustainability and socioeconomic development. Therefore, management practices like optimized plant geometry and fertilization need to be explored to counter these expected threats. To do this, the APSIM model was calibrated using 5-year data (from 2017/2018 to 2022) regarding yield, biomass, plant height, emergence, anthesis and crop maturity of wheat and maize from farmer fields.<br><br>RESULTS: The performance of a model run was assessed using root mean square error, normalized root mean square error, coefficient of residual mass, coefficient of determination (R[2]) and Nash-Sutcliffe efficiency, whose average was 1.59, 0.13, 0.001, 0.84 and 0.78, respectively, for calibration while 2.75, 0.20, -0.009, 0.80 and 0.75, respectively, for validation. Regarding crop phenology, it was modelled that the emergence, anthesis and maturity were earlier by 7-9&#x2009;days, 8-10&#x2009;days and 2-6&#x2009;days, respectively, for wheat; 6-10&#x2009;days, 13-20&#x2009;days and 16-24&#x2009;days, respectively, for spring maize; 3-5&#x2009;days, 5-11&#x2009;days and 8-19&#x2009;days, respectively, for autumn maize under different climate change scenarios in near to far future. Simulations revealed the average reduction in the yield of wheat, spring maize and autumn maize by 11.5%, 11.8% and 11.0%, respectively, in near future (2025-2065) while 17.5%, 20.5% and 17.0%, respectively, in far future (2066-2100). Further, simulations discovered the potential of higher levels of fertilization (nitrogen&#x2009;=&#x2009;60-100&#x2009;kg&#x2009;ha[-1] and phosphorus&#x2009;=&#x2009;40-75&#x2009;kg&#x2009;ha[-1] for wheat while nitrogen&#x2009;=&#x2009;75-120&#x2009;kg&#x2009;ha[-1] and phosphorus&#x2009;=&#x2009;40-80&#x2009;kg&#x2009;ha[-1] for maize) and plant density (100 to 150 plants&#x2009;m[-2] for wheat and 8 to 13 plants&#x2009;m[-2] for maize) to enhance the yield of wheat, spring maize and autumn maize by 31-36%, 22-38% and 26-43%, respectively, in near future while 33-38%, 21-55% and 19-31%, respectively, in far future.<br><br>CONCLUSIONS: The findings underscore the effects of climate change on wheat-maize cropping systems and the importance of implementing optimized fertilization and adjusting plant density to mitigate the adverse effects of climate change, thereby safeguarding food security and sustaining agricultural productivity. &#xa9; 2025 Society of Chemical Industry.},
}
@article {pmid39865930,
year = {2025},
author = {Niella, Y and O'Hara, D and Jonsen, I and Slip, D and Phillips, L and Harcourt, R and Carroll, G},
title = {Spatial, environmental and trophic niche partitioning by seabirds in a climate change hotspot.},
journal = {The Journal of animal ecology},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1111/1365-2656.14245},
pmid = {39865930},
issn = {1365-2656},
support = {//Taronga Conservation Society Australia/ ; LP110200603//Australian Research Council/ ; LP160100162//Australian Research Council/ ; //Macquarie University Vice Chancellor's Innovation Fellowship/ ; },
abstract = {For similar species to co-occur in places where resources are limited, they need to adopt strategies that partition resources to reduce competition. Our understanding of the mechanisms behind resource partitioning among sympatric marine predators is evolving, but we lack a clear understanding of how environmental change is impacting these dynamics. We investigated spatial and trophic resource partitioning among three sympatric seabirds with contrasting biological characteristics: greater crested terns Thalasseus bergii (efficient flyer, limited diver, and preference for high quality forage fish), little penguins Eudyptula minor (flightless, efficient diver, and preference for high quality forage fish) and silver gulls Chroicocephalus novaehollandiae (efficient flyer, limited diver and generalist diet). We investigated interannual variability in resource partitioning in relation to environmental variability in a climate change hotspot influenced by the warm and intensifying East Australian Current (EAC). Sampling was conducted from 2012 to 2014 during the austral summer breeding season of seabirds at Montague Island, Australia. Daily seabird movements were monitored using GPS trackers and feather tissues were collected and processed for stable isotope analysis (δ[15]N and δ[13]C). Generalised Linear Mixed Models were used to assess how changes in oceanographic conditions influenced space use for each species. Schoener's D and Bayesian mixing models were used to respectively investigate the levels of yearly inter-specific environmental and trophic niche overlaps. Crested terns and little penguins were less likely to be observed in warm, saline EAC waters and crested terns and silver gulls had smaller foraging areas on days when more than 30% of available habitat was classified as EAC origin. All species preferred areas with low variability in sea surface temperature (<0.5°C). Terns and penguins occupied similar marine trophic levels, with penguins having larger isotopic niche spaces in 2014 when the EAC was more dominant in the study area. Gulls occupied the lowest trophic level, with the widest niche and lowest interannual variability in niche area. As the EAC intensifies along the southeast coast of Australia under climate change, interspecific competition for resources may increase, with the greatest impacts on species like little penguins that have relatively restricted foraging ranges. This study suggests that species-specific biological traits and behavioural plasticity should be accounted for when predicting the effects of climate change on marine species.},
}
@article {pmid39864712,
year = {2025},
author = {Ilmiawati, A and Solikhin, A and Mangurai, SUNM and Setiawan, Y and Istikorini, Y and Lowe, AJ and Malik, A and Mubarok, M and Herawati, E and Khabibi, J and Siruru, H and Purnawati, R and Octaviani, EA and Kulat, MI and Kurniawan, T and Larekeng, SH and Muhammad, R and Aulia, F and Firmansyah, MA and Alalawi, AS},
title = {Potential of carbon micro/nanofibers derived from lignocellulose biomass valorisation for CO2 adsorption: A review on decarbonization biotechnology for climate change solutions.},
journal = {International journal of biological macromolecules},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {140305},
doi = {10.1016/j.ijbiomac.2025.140305},
pmid = {39864712},
issn = {1879-0003},
abstract = {Biomass, as a source of lignocellulose, can be valorized into carbon micro/nanofibers for adsorbing greenhouse gas (GHGs) emissions, especially CO2. This article is derived from systematic evidence evaluation of published studies, presenting new, innovative, and systemic approaches to lignocellulose-based carbon micro/nanofiber studies. The review covers a general overview of carbon micro/nanofiber studies, mapping chronicles of the studies, carbon micro/nanofiber types for CO2 uptake, carbon micro/nanofibers fabrication and characterization, obtained carbonaceous material activation and performances, regulatory frameworks, and sustainability. The published studies show that carbon fiber has been researched for GHG emissions adsorption since the 1950s, with an increasing trend of publication numbers. The trend of studies has commenced from activated carbon to nanocarbonaceous materials and their composites. The excellent performance of both micro/nano-sized carbon provides promising opportunities for absorbing CO2 and other GHGs, such as NO2 and CH4, facilitating decarbonization. Several types of carbonaceous activation processes and modifications were utilized to enhance the performances of the resultant biochars, especially in surface materials, CO2 adsorption capacity, and CO2 selectivity. Proposed mechanisms for the absorption of CO2 by activated carbonaceous materials through physisorption and chemisorption were also observed. To date, regulatory frameworks on the use of activated carbon for CO2 capture are still rarely found, but biochar has been mainstreamed and regulated internationally for CO2 removal. Other regulations have been enacted but have not yet internationally harmonized, mostly focusing on the terminology of carbon nanotubes, characterization, general applications, labelling, packaging, transportation, and the effects of toxicity on health. This study also proposed the sustainability aspects and performance indicators that can be used for circular economy application with an ultimate goal of climate change mitigation through GHG reduction. Besides the regulatory framework, elements of the business model and sustainability were proposed in the circular economy framework of the fibers. By scoping carbon micro/nanofibers studies, it is shown with obvious evidence that carbon micro/nanofibers and their composites have the potential for CO2 adsorption and removal, leading to the acceleration of the decarbonization process that is in line with the Paris Agreement, especially in applying innovative CO2 capture, storage, and utilization (CCSU) technologies.},
}
@article {pmid39864247,
year = {2025},
author = {Varghese, FC and Mitra, S},
title = {Assessing consistency in drought risks in India with multiple multivariate meteorological drought indices (MMDI) under climate change.},
journal = {The Science of the total environment},
volume = {964},
number = {},
pages = {178617},
doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2025.178617},
pmid = {39864247},
issn = {1879-1026},
abstract = {This study investigates the spatio-temporal consistency of different MMDI formulations and their role in meteorological drought characterization uncertainty under historic and future climates using ERA5 reanalysis, and outputs from eight Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 models, respectively, across different climate zones and shared socioeconomic pathways (SSP) in the Indian subcontinent. Six MMDI formulations namely the Standardized Precipitation Evaporation Index (SPEI), Reconnaissance Drought Index (RDI), and self-calibrated Palmer Drought Severity Index (scPDSI), Standardized Palmer Drought Index (SPDI), Standardized Moisture Anomaly Index (SZI) and Supply Demand Drought Index (SDDI) are used. A suite of analysis including agreement mapping, category difference analysis and uncertainty contribution analysis using global sensitivity analysis (GSA) are employed to quantify the consistency of MMDIs and uncertainty in drought characterization due to the MMDI formulation. The variation in MMDI consistency due to different reference evapotranspiration (ETo) methods is also studied. Results demonstrate strong agreement among the MMDIs under historic climate. Under climate change scenarios our findings demonstrate broad agreement among majority of the MMDIs across the study domain, but in substantial areas where MMDI not agree, especially for higher emission scenarios and arid zones. Increased uncertainty under climate change is due to SDDI and SPEI projecting dryer conditions while scPDSI projecting wetter conditions in the far future period owing to varying degrees of sensitivity of MMDIs to its constituent variables (Precipitation and ETo). Results also show that the uncertainty due to MMDIs varied considerably based on ETo methods as well. Finally, based on GSA analysis, the most significant sources of uncertainty in drought projections under climate change are attributed to MMDI-GCM interactions and MMDIs for the Penman-Monteith method. Discrepancies in drought estimates caused by the MMDI selection highlight the need for careful evaluation of drought indices before adopting for climate change impact assessment.},
}
@article {pmid39864162,
year = {2025},
author = {Adame, BJ and Corman, SR and Endres, CJ and Farmer, RD and Awonuga, T},
title = {How partisan news outlets frame vested interests in climate change.},
journal = {Journal of environmental management},
volume = {375},
number = {},
pages = {124159},
doi = {10.1016/j.jenvman.2025.124159},
pmid = {39864162},
issn = {1095-8630},
abstract = {This paper reports a theoretically-driven quantitative content analysis of news media discourse on climate change, its effects, and solutions to understand how US news discourse differs from widely supported scientific conclusions on global climate. Despite the dire warnings and calls to action, US public opinion on the causes and solutions to climate change remain divided. In the global context, the US's split views are anomalous and may be an artifact of the US media's coverage of the climate crisis. Anthropogenic climate change represents one of the most significant threats to our planet. Framed by Vested Interest Theory (VIT), we coded a representative sample of news discourse according to VIT's constituent variables. News sources were selected according to partisan orientation and balanced across the political divide. News articles were parsed into single sentences with source and ordering was randomized for presentation auto human coders. This allowed us to code at a granular level. Results show that not all five variables are equally present, with salience, response-efficacy, and certainty being most frequently referenced. While patterns also reflect a significant partisan divide, we also found unexpected non-linear patterns in the discourse, likely due to the rhetorical style of the sources' reporting. Overall, we conclude that climate change reporting does not reflect the scientific discourse, and that this likely fuels the idiosyncratic American debate on climate change, and its effects and solutions.},
}
@article {pmid39863677,
year = {2025},
author = {Ashar, T and Zhang, Y and Yang, C and Xu, W and Zeeshan Ul Haq, M and Tahir, H and Abbas, HMM and Wu, Z},
title = {Rubber intercropping with arboreal and herbaceous species alleviated the global warming potential through the reduction of soil greenhouse gas emissions.},
journal = {Scientific reports},
volume = {15},
number = {1},
pages = {3196},
pmid = {39863677},
issn = {2045-2322},
support = {32371637//National Natural Science Foundation of China/ ; CARS-33-ZP3//Earmarked Fund for China Agriculture Research System/ ; },
mesh = {*Greenhouse Gases/analysis ; *Soil/chemistry ; *Global Warming ; Agriculture/methods ; Nitrous Oxide/analysis/metabolism ; Methane/analysis/metabolism ; Rubber ; Carbon Dioxide/analysis/metabolism ; Forestry/methods ; Hevea/growth &amp; development ; },
abstract = {Agroforestry systems are known to enhance soil health and climate resilience, but their impact on greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions in rubber-based agroforestry systems across diverse configurations is not fully understood. Here, six representative rubber-based agroforestry systems (encompassing rubber trees intercropped with arboreal, shrub, and herbaceous species) were selected based on a preliminary investigation, including Hevea brasiliensis intercropping with Alpinia oxyphylla (AOM), Alpinia katsumadai (AKH), Coffea arabica (CAA), Theobroma cacao (TCA), Cinnamomum cassia (CCA), and Pandanus amaryllifolius (PAR), and a rubber monoculture as control (RM). Soil physicochemical properties, enzyme activities, and GHG emission characteristics were determined at 0-20 cm soil depth. The results showed that agroforestry systems significantly enhanced most of soil nutrient levels and enzyme activities. In 0-20 cm soil depth, all rubber plantations acted as net carbon dioxide (CO2) and nitrous oxide (N2O) resources, and net methane (CH4) sinks. Compared with the RM, the CAA and CCA systems significantly increased the cumulative CO2 and N2O emissions, and the global warming potential (GWP) significantly increased in the CAA (36.78%) and CCA (7.18%) systems, whereas it significantly decreased in the AOM (6.61%), AKH (24.96%), TCA (14.24%), and PAR (41.01%) systems. The soil DOC concentration was the primary factor influencing GHG emissions and GWP. This study provides novel insights into GHG emissions from rubber agroforestry systems and serves as a fundamental reference for climate-smart land use management in rubber plantations. Intercropping rubber trees with arboreal and herbaceous species is recommended over shrub species, considering their beneficial effects in reducing soil GHG emissions and GWP for the sustainable development of rubber plantations on Hainan Island.},
}
@article {pmid39862723,
year = {2025},
author = {Jeong, A and Lovison, G and Bussalleu, A and Cirach, M and Dadvand, P and de Hoogh, K and Flexeder, C and Hoek, G and Imboden, M and Karrasch, S and Koppelman, GH and Kress, S and Ljungman, P and Majewska, R and Pershagen, G and Pickford, R and Shen, Y and Vermeulen, RCH and Vlaanderen, JJ and Vogli, M and Wolf, K and Yu, Z and Melén, E and Pac, A and Peters, A and Schikowski, T and Standl, M and Gehring, U and Probst-Hensch, N},
title = {Lung function-associated exposome profile in the era of climate change: Pooled analysis of 8 population-based European cohorts within the EXPANSE project.},
journal = {Environment international},
volume = {196},
number = {},
pages = {109269},
doi = {10.1016/j.envint.2025.109269},
pmid = {39862723},
issn = {1873-6750},
abstract = {BACKGROUND: The independent and interrelated long-term effects of the exposome such as air pollution, greenness, and ambient temperature on lung function are not well understood, yet relevant in the light of climate change.<br><br>METHODS: Pre-bronchodilation FEV1 from five mature birth cohorts (N&#xa0;=&#xa0;4724) and three adult cohorts (N&#xa0;=&#xa0;6052) from five European countries were used to assess cross-sectional associations with air pollution, greenness, and ambient temperature, assigned to their residential address. All two-way interactions and square terms were a priori included in building the final elastic net regression model. Elastic net regression results were put into the context of different environmental scenarios such as improvement of air quality, improvement of greenness, climate change, or their combinations.<br><br>RESULTS: Elastic net regression of FEV1 z-scores identified non-zero coefficients for many interaction terms, indicating the importance of joint effects of exposure to air pollution, greenness, and temperature. The non-zero coefficients were bigger and more stable in adults than in children. Upon exploring lung function benefits for different environmental scenarios, an improvement of FEV1 was expected in the scenario of improving air quality or greenness. In contrast, negative changes in FEV1 z-scores were expected in the scenario of climate change, characterized by daily temperature increase in summer and decrease in winter. The beneficial FEV1 effects of improving air pollution or greenness were attenuated in the presence of climate change.<br><br>CONCLUSION: Complex exposome profiles of long-term exposure to air pollution, greenness, and temperature showed associations with FEV1 in European adults, and to less extent in children and adolescents. Climate change seems to have a negative impact on lung function and modifies the association of air pollution and greenspace with lung function.},
}
@article {pmid39862378,
year = {2025},
author = {Heatta, MJ and Hausner, VH and Utsi, TA},
title = {The use of multiple evidence base methods to enrich climate change research and knowledge in the Arctic.},
journal = {Ambio},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
pmid = {39862378},
issn = {1654-7209},
abstract = {Indigenous and local knowledge (ILK) is increasingly used along with scientific knowledge (SK) to understand climate change. The multi evidence base (MEB) offers ways of combining knowledge systems together. Nonetheless, there is little guidance on how to use MEB approaches in research. Our aim is to systematically evaluate empirical cases using MEB approaches in Arctic climate change research; and explore ILK inclusion in research stages. The mapping followed the ROSES protocol, which provides a checklist of details to be included in the review. The literature search identified 1483 records referring to MEB approaches. We identified seven papers applying the cross-fertilization and nine applying the coproduction approach to combine ILK with SK. The theory of change framework was used to evaluate participation, revealing a distinct difference between the approaches in participant involvement in the research stages. Regardless of MEB approach, the output and outcome of the cases were less clear.},
}
@article {pmid39861646,
year = {2025},
author = {Zhao, S and Zhang, Z and Gao, C and Dong, Y and Jing, Z and Du, L and Hou, X},
title = {MaxEnt-Based Predictions of Suitable Potential Distribution of Leymus secalinus Under Current and Future Climate Change.},
journal = {Plants (Basel, Switzerland)},
volume = {14},
number = {2},
pages = {},
pmid = {39861646},
issn = {2223-7747},
support = {Grant NO. 2022YFF1302803//Xiangyang Hou/ ; Grant NO. 202102140601006//Xiangyang Hou/ ; Grant NO. 2023CYJSTX11//Xiangyang Hou/ ; },
abstract = {Grassland degradation is a serious ecological issue in the farming-pastoral ecotone of northern China. Utilizing native grasses for the restoration of degraded grasslands is an effective technological approach. Leymus secalinus is a superior indigenous grass species for grassland ecological restoration in northern China. Therefore, the excavation of potential distribution areas of L. secalinus and important ecological factors affecting its distribution is crucial for grassland conservation and restoration of degraded grasslands. Based on 357 data points collected on the natural distribution of L. secalinus, this study employs the jackknife method and Pearson correlation analysis to screen out 23 variables affecting its spatial distribution. The MaxEnt model was used herein to predict the current suitable distribution area of L. secalinus and the suitable distribution of L. secalinus under different SSP scenarios (SSP1-26, SSP2-45, and SSP5-85) for future climate. The results showed the following: (1) Mean diurnal temperature range, annual mean temperature, precipitation of the wettest quarter, and elevation are the major factors impacting the distribution of L. secalinus. (2) Under the current climatic conditions, L. secalinus is mainly distributed in the farming-pastoral ecotone of northern China; in addition, certain suitable areas also exist in parts of Xinjiang, Tibet, Sichuan, Heilongjiang, and Jilin. (3) Under future climate change scenarios, the suitable areas for L. secalinus are generally the same as at present, with slight changes in area under different scenarios, with the largest expansion of 97,222 km[2] of suitable area in 2021-2040 under the SSP1-26 scenario and the largest shrinkage of potential suitable area in 2061-2080 under the SSP2-45 scenario, with 87,983 km[2]. Notably, the northern boundary of the middle- and high-suitability areas is reduced, while the northeastern boundary and some areas of Heilongjiang and Jilin are expanded. The results of this study revealed the suitable climatic conditions and potential distribution range of L. secalinus, which can provide a reference for the conservation, introduction, and cultivation of L. secalinus in new ecological zones, avoiding the blind introduction of inappropriate habitats, and is also crucial for sustaining the economic benefits associated with L. secalinus ecological services.},
}
@article {pmid39861541,
year = {2025},
author = {Meyer, JJM and Potgieter, MM and Meyer, NL and Meyer, AC},
title = {Climate Change-Induced Decline in Succulent Euphorbia in Namibia's Arid Regions.},
journal = {Plants (Basel, Switzerland)},
volume = {14},
number = {2},
pages = {},
pmid = {39861541},
issn = {2223-7747},
abstract = {The global rise in temperatures due to climate change has made it difficult even for specialised desert-adapted plant species to survive on sandy desert soils. Two of Namibia's iconic desert-adapted plant species, Welwitschia mirabilis and the quiver tree Aloidendron dichotomum, have recently been shown to be under threat because of climate change. In the current study, three ecologically important Namibian Euphorbia milk bushes were evaluated for their climate change response. By comparing good-quality aerial photographs from the 1960s and recent 2020s high-resolution satellite images, it was determined by QGIS remote sensing techniques that very high percentages of the large succulents E. damarana, E. gummifera, and E. gregaria have died during the last 50 years in arid areas of Namibia. Areas like Brandberg (northern Namibia), Klein Karas (south-east), and Garub (south-west), with a high sandy-textured ground cover, have seen the loss of around 90% of E. damarana and E. gregaria and about 61% of E. gummifera in this period. This is alarming, as it could threaten the survival of several animal species adapted to feed on them, especially during droughts. This study focused on large succulent euphorbias, distinguishable in satellite images and historical photographs. It was observed that many other plant species are also severely stressed in arid sandy areas. The obtained results were ground-truthed and species identification was confirmed by the chemical analysis of remaining dead twigs using GC-MS and metabolomics. The ERA5 satellite's 2 m above-ground temperature data show a 2 °C rise in annual average noon temperatures since 1950 at the three locations analysed. Annual daily temperatures increased by 1.3 °C since 1950, exceeding the global average rise of about 1.0 °C since 1900. This suggests that euphorbias and other plants on low-water-capacity sandy soils in Namibia face greater climate change pressure than plants globally.},
}
@article {pmid39859660,
year = {2025},
author = {Yang, F and Liu, Q and Yang, J and Liu, B and Deng, X and Gan, T and Liao, X and Li, X and Xu, D and Zhuo, Z},
title = {Evaluating the Impact of Climate Change on the Asia Habitat Suitability of Troides helena Using the MaxEnt Model.},
journal = {Insects},
volume = {16},
number = {1},
pages = {},
pmid = {39859660},
issn = {2075-4450},
support = {2022YFE0115200//the National Key R&amp;D Program of China/ ; 20A007, 20E051, 21E040 and 22kA011//Fundamental Research Funds of China West Normal University/ ; },
abstract = {Butterflies are highly sensitive to climate change, and Troides helena, as an endangered butterfly species, is also affected by these changes. To enhance the conservation of T. helena and effectively plan its protected areas, it is crucial to understand the potential impacts of climate change on its distribution. This study utilized a MaxEnt model in combination with ArcGIS technology to predict the global potential suitable habitats of T. helena under current and future climate conditions, using the species' distribution data and relevant environmental variables. The results indicated that the MaxEnt model provided a good prediction accuracy for the distribution of T. helena. Under the current climate scenario, the species is primarily distributed in tropical regions, with high suitability areas concentrated in tropical rainforest climates. In future climate scenarios, the suitable habitat areas for T. helena in medium and high suitability categories generally show an expansion trend, which increases over time. Especially under the SSP5-8.5 scenario, by the 2090s, the area of high suitability for T. helena is projected to increase by 42.85%. The analysis of key environmental factors revealed that precipitation of the wettest quarter (Bio16) was the most significant environmental factor affecting the distribution of T. helena. The species has high demands for precipitation and temperature and can adapt to future climate warming. This study is valuable for identifying the optimal conservation areas for T. helena and provides a reference for future conservation efforts.},
}
@article {pmid39858160,
year = {2025},
author = {Liu, Q and Ye, J and Kang, Z and Yu, G and Yang, C and Li, J and Tang, T},
title = {Reeve's Muntjac (Muntiacus reevesi) Habitat Suitability Under Climate Change Scenarios in Hupingshan National Nature Reserve, China.},
journal = {Animals : an open access journal from MDPI},
volume = {15},
number = {2},
pages = {},
pmid = {39858160},
issn = {2076-2615},
support = {22B0252//Scientific Research Project of the Education Department of Hunan Province/ ; 2022JJ31000//National Natural Science Foundation project of Hunan Province/ ; 31470642//National Natural Science Foundation of China/ ; 2022YFD220050//Key R&amp;D Project of the Ministry of Science and Technology of China during the 14th Five-Year Plan/ ; },
abstract = {Climate change and human disturbance are critical factors affecting the habitat distribution of wild animals, with implications for management strategies such as protecting migration corridors, habitat restoration, and species conservation. In the Hupingshan National Nature Reserve (NNR), Reeve's muntjac (Muntiacus reevesi) is a key prey species for the South China tiger (Panthera tigris amoyensis), which is extinct in the wild and targeted for reintroduction by the Chinese government. Thus, understanding the habitat distribution and abundance of Reeve's muntjac is essential to ensure the survival and sustainability of reintroduced tiger populations. Despite significant conservation efforts, the impacts of climate change and human disturbance on Reeve's muntjac habitat distribution in Hupingshan NNR remain unclear, though these factors could necessitate adaptive tiger management strategies due to shifts in prey abundance. In this study, we employed an optimized MaxEnt model to assess current habitat distribution and identify key environmental variables influencing the habitat distribution of Reeve's muntjac. Assuming non-climatic environmental factors will remain constant over the next century, we projected future habitat distribution under two shared socioeconomic pathways (SSP126 and SSP585) for the mid-century (2050s) and the late-century (2090s). Comparative analyses of current and projected habitat areas revealed potential impacts of climate change on this species. MaxEnt outputs classified habitat suitability into high, medium, and low levels. Results showed that climatic and human disturbance factors contributed 35.2% and 49.4% to habitat suitability, respectively. Under the SSP126 scenario, habitats with decreased suitability covered 0 km[2] in the 2050s, expanding slightly to 4.2 km[2] in the 2090s, while those with increased suitability spanned 491.1 km[2] (2050s) and 463.2 km[2] (2090s). Under the SSP585 scenario, habitats with decreased suitability covered 10.2 km[2] in the 2050s and 431.8 km[2] in the 2090s. Habitats with increased suitability were comparatively smaller under SSP585, covering 162.0 km[2] (2050s) and 1.1 km[2] (2090s). These findings suggest that while mid-century climate projections (SSP126 and SSP585) may support Reeve's muntjac's survival, habitat loss is projected by 2090s (SSP126). Thus, future climate change may lead to decreased habitat suitability and increased fragmentation, raising extinction risks for Reeves's muntjac. Mitigating these effects could involve establishing migration corridors, minimizing human disturbances, and potentially supplementing prey populations with captive-bred prey. Such measures are essential to support the South China tiger reintroduction plan and help ensure that prey availability remains sufficient for sustaining reintroduced tiger populations.},
}
@article {pmid39857460,
year = {2024},
author = {Pérez-Mesa, MR and Porras-Contreras, YA and Tuay-Sigua, RN},
title = {Climate Change and Health: A Study of the Attitudes of Future Science Teachers.},
journal = {International journal of environmental research and public health},
volume = {22},
number = {1},
pages = {},
pmid = {39857460},
issn = {1660-4601},
mesh = {*Climate Change ; Humans ; *Attitude ; Female ; Surveys and Questionnaires ; Male ; Adult ; Middle Aged ; Environmental Health/education ; },
abstract = {Living beings as open systems depend on climate and weather to survive. However, changes in the Earth's climatology, which have become more frequent since the industrial period, have affected different territories of the planet, limiting access to ecosystem services and causing imbalances in health and well-being. The first purpose of this study is to conduct a literature review on academic production regarding climate change and its impact on health, in the context of education, using international academic production condensed in the Web of Science (WOS) database over the last 10 years as a reference. The second purpose focuses on identifying the environmental attitudes of science teachers in initial training regarding aspects related to climate change. The study results show three categories emerging from the literature review: Climate Change and Health, Nature and Risks, and Environment and Energy. For the analysis of environmental attitudes, a survey was conducted with 51 pre-service teachers, consisting of 59 items distributed in five categories: (a) environment, (b) climate change, (c) health, (d) education, and (e) lifestyle. Although the results reveal a positive attitude towards all analyzed categories, it is important to advance effective mitigation and adaptation strategies from the teacher training processes themselves.},
}
@article {pmid39857250,
year = {2024},
author = {Arciszewski, M and Pogorzelec, M and Parzymies, M and Bronowicka-Mielniczuk, U and Mieczan, T},
title = {Do Endangered Glacial Relicts Have a Chance for Effective Conservation in the Age of Global Warming? A Case Study: Salix lapponum in Eastern Poland.},
journal = {Biology},
volume = {14},
number = {1},
pages = {},
pmid = {39857250},
issn = {2079-7737},
support = {SD.WLH.24.074//University of Life Sciences in Lublin/ ; },
abstract = {The abiotic stresses to which plants are exposed, especially in times of climate change, can result in the disruption of natural plant physiological processes. Sudden atmospheric phenomena may increase the risk of failure in protecting rare and extinction-threatened plant species by translocation. This study aimed to determine the effect of extreme ambient temperatures on the condition and physiological response of Salix lapponum plantlets used for their reintroduction into the natural habitat. Salix lapponum plants obtained by micropropagation methods at different stages of growth under laboratory conditions were subjected to a biological experiment. Plants were exposed for 12 h to temperature extremes (0 °C and 30 °C), after which the values of selected markers of the biochemical response were determined, such as photosynthetic pigments and anthocyanin content, guaiacol peroxidase and catalase activity, the presence of ROS and the RWC value. The study showed that plants at early growth stages were sensitive to low-temperature stress. In contrast, older ones showed a stronger response to high temperature, marked by an increased anthocyanin content and guaiacol peroxidase activity. It was also found that a short exposure to temperature extremes did not change the photosynthetic pigment content or catalase activity. The results of the study may be an important indication for the optimization of plant acclimatization methods in the process of their active protection by species translocation.},
}
@article {pmid39856460,
year = {2025},
author = {Adomako, K and Asamoah, L},
title = {Effects of naked neck and frizzle genes on growth and egg-laying performance of chickens in the tropics in an era of climate change.},
journal = {International journal of biometeorology},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
pmid = {39856460},
issn = {1432-1254},
abstract = {In regions characterized by tropical and subtropical climates, the elevated ambient temperatures exert adverse effects on both broiler and laying chickens, impacting their growth and egg production performance. To mitigate the challenges posed by heat stress, genetic strategies aimed at reducing feather coverage have gained prominence in hot climate areas. Among these approaches, the naked neck (Na) and frizzle (F) genes have emerged as particularly noteworthy. The Na and F genes play a pivotal role in facilitating heat dissipation and temperature regulation. By decreasing feather insulation, these genes enable efficient heat dissipation through exposed areas of the chickens' bodies. This reduction in feather coverage leads to elevated body surface temperature, which, in turn, enhances the capacity for heat loss and contributes to overall body temperature reduction. A substantial body of literature underscores the well-established positive impacts of the naked neck and frizzle genes on growth and egg-laying performance. As a result, these genes hold significant potential for integration into broiler and layer production systems, especially in regions characterized by high tropical temperatures. In the context of broiler farming under challenging heat conditions, the Na and F genes have demonstrated favorable effects on crucial parameters such as feed conversion ratio, body weight gain, disease resistance, and carcass attributes. Likewise, layers exposed to elevated temperatures exhibit enhanced egg production, eggshell quality, fertility, hatchability, and resistance to diseases when these genes are incorporated. Given that the prevalence of the naked neck and frizzle genes is primarily observed in indigenous chicken populations, it becomes imperative to prioritize measures for their conservation due to their exceptional performance in heat-stressed environments. To unlock the full genetic potential of exotic poultry reared in hot and humid conditions, the integration of the Na and F genes is a strongly recommended strategy.},
}
@article {pmid39855413,
year = {2025},
author = {Cartwright, A and Khalatbari-Soltani, S and Zhang, Y},
title = {Housing conditions and the health and wellbeing impacts of climate change: a scoping review.},
journal = {Environmental research},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {120846},
doi = {10.1016/j.envres.2025.120846},
pmid = {39855413},
issn = {1096-0953},
abstract = {Housing conditions are emerging as an important consideration in climate change adaptation. Housing modifications have the potential to improve health outcomes by reducing exposure to changing weather conditions and extreme events. This scoping review aimed to explore the existing evidence examining the contribution of housing conditions to the impacts of climate change on health and identify any research gaps. Literature searches were conducted in Scopus and PubMed from January 2013 to September 2023 and data were analysed using thematic analysis. The review included 38 articles consisting of original studies, reviews, and reports, with broad geographical coverage. The most common focus among included articles was on heat-health impacts; housing conditions found to improve heat-health health outcomes included air conditioning, ventilation, and window shading, and there was support for multifaceted housing adaptations rather than single fixes. Ventilation was found to be a priority for improving indoor air quality, while inappropriate insulation and excessive air tightness were found to increase indoor heat and reduce indoor air quality. The scoping review reveals a need for more empirical and qualitative research into indoor heat in homes, climate change hazards other than heat, and intervention studies to inform climate change adaptation policies around housing and improve public health outcomes.},
}
@article {pmid39855234,
year = {2025},
author = {Ettinger, J and Fine, J and Thier, K and Badullovich, N and Kotcher, J and Maibach, E},
title = {Communicating with policy makers about climate change, health, and their intersection: a scoping review.},
journal = {The Lancet. Planetary health},
volume = {9},
number = {1},
pages = {e53-e61},
doi = {10.1016/S2542-5196(24)00307-3},
pmid = {39855234},
issn = {2542-5196},
mesh = {*Climate Change ; Humans ; *Communication ; Administrative Personnel ; Public Health ; Health Policy ; },
abstract = {Ambitious policies are urgently needed to protect human health from the impacts of climate change. Civil society, including researchers and advocates, can help advance such policies by communicating with policy makers. In this scoping review, we examined what is known about effectively communicating with policy makers to encourage them to act on public health, climate change, or their nexus. We analysed 139 studies published in the literature on health, climate, and their intersection that focused on strategies for communicating with policy makers. Among many other recommendations, the most frequently recommended communication strategies were to tailor messaging to target audiences; share accessible, concise, and timely evidence; and build coalitions and trusted relationships. The studies were largely about health communication to policy makers, were predominantly based in high-income countries, and most frequently used case studies, interviews, and surveys as methods. Further experimental research is needed to test the findings generated by non-experimental methods. Additionally, future research should seek to generate and test communication strategies in more low-income and middle-income countries. Based on this literature, we have produced a list of strategic questions that communicators might wish to consider as they prepare to communicate with policy makers.},
}
@article {pmid39854609,
year = {2025},
author = {Kim, S and Eom, J and Zhang, Y and Waldhoff, S},
title = {The impact of climate change on Korea's agricultural sector under the national self-sufficiency policy.},
journal = {PloS one},
volume = {20},
number = {1},
pages = {e0313748},
pmid = {39854609},
issn = {1932-6203},
mesh = {*Climate Change ; Republic of Korea ; *Agriculture/economics ; *Food Supply/economics ; Crops, Agricultural/economics/growth &amp; development ; Humans ; Commerce ; Food Security ; },
abstract = {Evolving environmental conditions due to climate change have brought about changes in agriculture, which is required for human life as both a source of food and income. International trade can act as a buffer against potential negative impacts of climate change on crop yields, but recent years have seen breakdowns in global trade, including export bans to improve domestic food security. For countries that rely heavily on imported food, governments may institute policies to protect their agricultural industry from changes in climate-induced crop yield changes and other countries' potential trade restrictions. This study assesses the individual and combined effects of climate impacts and food self-sufficiency policies in Korea, which is highly dependent on imports. We use the Global Change Analysis Model (GCAM), a global integrated assessment model, to explore (1) the direct impact of climate change on Korea's agricultural yields, (2) the full impacts of global climate change on agricultural production, including trade-induced changes due to yield changes in other regions, (3) the impacts of food self-sufficiency policy, and (4) the interactive impact of climate change and self-sufficiency policies. We find that, in Korea, the direct impact of climate change on agricultural yields would be overshadowed by the impact of global climate change due to changing trade patterns. Second, global climate change leads to a rise (rice and wheat) or a decline (soybeans) in Korean producer revenues, while simultaneously raising consumer expenditures on both staples and non-staples. Third, implementing self-sufficiency policies for wheat and soybeans in Korea boosts the nation's producer revenues, in conjunction with the effects of climate change, at the cost of additional increases in consumer expenditures for both staples and non-staples.},
}
@article {pmid39853405,
year = {2025},
author = {Tokbergenova, A and Kaliyeva, D and Askarova, M and Taukebayev, O and Salmurzauli, R and Zulpykharov, K},
title = {Analysis of agricultural land condition in Western Kazakhstan from 1991 to 2023: the impact of climate change.},
journal = {Environmental monitoring and assessment},
volume = {197},
number = {2},
pages = {186},
pmid = {39853405},
issn = {1573-2959},
support = {&#x2116;AP14871372//Science Committee of the Ministry of Science and Higher Education of the Republic of Kazakhstan/ ; &#x2116;AP14871372//Science Committee of the Ministry of Science and Higher Education of the Republic of Kazakhstan/ ; &#x2116;AP14871372//Science Committee of the Ministry of Science and Higher Education of the Republic of Kazakhstan/ ; &#x2116;AP14871372//Science Committee of the Ministry of Science and Higher Education of the Republic of Kazakhstan/ ; &#x2116;AP14871372//Science Committee of the Ministry of Science and Higher Education of the Republic of Kazakhstan/ ; &#x2116;AP14871372//Science Committee of the Ministry of Science and Higher Education of the Republic of Kazakhstan/ ; },
mesh = {Kazakhstan ; *Climate Change ; *Agriculture ; *Environmental Monitoring ; Soil/chemistry ; Conservation of Natural Resources ; },
abstract = {Kazakhstan's insufficient food production contributes to its dependency on food imports, highlighting the need for science-based technologies to address land degradation and boost domestic production. The privatisation of land and the establishment of a market economy led to the division of collective farms and significant land fragmentation, resulting in a reduction of agricultural land by 10.6 million ha in the West Kazakhstan region, particularly between 1991 and 2000. Desertification and soil degradation have led to decreased soil fertility, adversely affecting the agricultural industry. Over the last 30 years, the area of eroded soils has increased by 5-9%. As of 2022, over 16.7% of agricultural land remains unused, a substantial rise from 1991. This study aims to investigate the qualitative and quantitative transformations of agricultural land in the region over the past three decades and to assess the impact of climate change on land degradation processes. To achieve this, cartographic analysis of NDVI3g (Global Inventory Monitoring and Modelling System [GIMMS]) data for 1990-2022 was conducted, employing linear ordinary least squares and median Theil-Sen trend methods to identify long-term vegetation trends. The results showed a negative trend in agricultural lands with a decline rate of 0.0025 per year (P = 0.009). However, in the past 13 years, a positive trend was observed in only three regions, with an average increase of 0.007 per year (P = 0.03). These findings are statistically significant and highlight the growing impact of climatic factors on agricultural and natural ecosystems.},
}
@article {pmid39850029,
year = {2024},
author = {Sim-Sarka, K},
title = {Contesting crisis narratives amidst climatic breakdown: Climate change, mobility, and state-centric approaches to migration.},
journal = {Frontiers in sociology},
volume = {9},
number = {},
pages = {1411683},
pmid = {39850029},
issn = {2297-7775},
abstract = {Human mobility in the context of climate change is often identified as one of the largest future impacts of the climate crisis. It is often assumed by international institutions and national governments that climate change will drive mass migration movements across borders, leading to a prioritization of research that aims to predict future climate migration to aid border security and the creation of migration policies. This article focuses on knowledge production research concerning around climate-related mobility and how knowledge being produced upholds state-centric approaches to migration and migration management. It argues that by leaving state-centric approaches to migration unquestioned in the name of managing climate-related mobility, national governments and other institutions reproduce inequalities for those who are in the nexus of migration and climate change. This article considers alternative conceptions of mobility and climate change, including the climate mobilities paradigm and decolonial understandings of migration, and how these can shift our analytical focus to more holistic and decolonial understandings of migration.},
}
@article {pmid39848795,
year = {2025},
author = {Pinchoff, J and Etetim, EO and Babatunde, D and Blomstrom, E and Ainul, S and Akomolafe, TO and Medina Carranza, B and Del Valle, A and Austrian, K},
title = {How climate change is shaping young people's health: a participatory, youth co-led study from Bangladesh, Guatemala and Nigeria.},
journal = {BMJ global health},
volume = {10},
number = {1},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1136/bmjgh-2024-016788},
pmid = {39848795},
issn = {2059-7908},
mesh = {Humans ; *Climate Change ; Adolescent ; Nigeria ; Female ; Male ; Young Adult ; Bangladesh ; Guatemala ; Adult ; Child ; *Focus Groups ; Qualitative Research ; },
abstract = {INTRODUCTION: Climate change is shaping adolescent and young people's (AYP) transitions to adulthood with significant and often compounding effects on their physical and mental health. The climate crisis is an intergenerational inequity, with the current generation of young people exposed to more climate events over their lifetime than any previous one. Despite this injustice, research and policy to date lacks AYP's perspectives and active engagement.<br><br>METHODS: Participatory, youth co-led qualitative focus group discussions were held in Bangladesh, Guatemala and Nigeria in mid-2023. A total of 196 AYP ages 12-25 years participated. Open-ended questions elicited responses regarding AYP knowledge, experiences and perceptions of climate change. Using NVivo software, translated transcripts were coded to explore and synthesise key thematic areas.<br><br>RESULTS: Respondents discussed varied climate exposures and associated health risks, for example, how flooding events were impeding access to sexual and reproductive health commodities. Acute climate events like flooding and cyclones increased perceived risk of early marriage and gender-based violence in Bangladesh and Guatemala. In Nigeria, respondents discussed health effects of extreme heat, and how droughts were shifting women into more traditionally male roles in agriculture and income-generating activities, increasing the perceived risk of household tensions and gender-based violence. Commonly reported themes included perceived climate impacts on sexual and reproductive health including early marriage or gender-based violence. Another common theme was anxiety about climate change, its effects on economic and food insecurity in communities and feeling hopeless, lacking agency and not feeling supported by local institutions, all linked with worse mental health.<br><br>CONCLUSION: Our results summarise how AYP perceive climate change is affecting their physical and mental health, finding similarities and differences across these three settings. Our results can inform the development of policies and programmes that directly address AYP needs in a way that is inclusive and responsive.},
}
@article {pmid39848183,
year = {2025},
author = {Hossain, SA and Murali R, M},
title = {Assessing the potential effects of climate change on the morphodynamics of the tropical coral reef islands in the Gulf of Mannar, Indian Ocean.},
journal = {Journal of environmental management},
volume = {375},
number = {},
pages = {124122},
doi = {10.1016/j.jenvman.2025.124122},
pmid = {39848183},
issn = {1095-8630},
abstract = {Low-lying and small tropical coral reef islands around the world are extremely vulnerable to the effects of global environmental change caused by the combination of anthropogenic climate change and escalating extreme hydrodynamic events. Erosion and inundation are anticipated to physically destabilize the tropical coral reef islands, rendering them uninhabitable within the next century. Therefore, it is crucial to assess the repercussions of these hazardous events on the delicate reef island ecosystem in order to conserve and ensure sustainable management. Multitemporal remotely sensed Landsat satellite imageries were utilized to investigate the net and decadal morphological transformation of tropical coral reef islands in the Gulf of Mannar, Indian Ocean. Over the past half-century, these islands have consistently adapted to global environmental changes, even while local sea levels rise at a rate of 3.38 mm per year. Advanced statistical techniques, such as net shoreline movement (NSM), end point rate (EPR), and linear regression rate (LRR), were employed for estimating the shoreline change rate using a Digital Shoreline Analysis System (DSAS). In addition, the GIS-based overlay analysis methods were applied to examine the net and decadal areal (planform) changes and also utilized for estimating the inundation trajectories of reef islands under the sea level rise scenarios of 1 m and 2 m. Furthermore, time series analysis was performed to analyze the variability of critical climate-induced factors using archived reanalysis oceanographic data. In addition, linear and polynomial statistical techniques were applied to investigate the driving factors behind the coral reef island morphological transition. The findings show that two islands have already disappeared, while others have experienced a dramatic reduction in their footprint. Approximately 62.64% of the shoreline experienced significant erosion, while 36.91% witnessed gradual accretion. The Tuticorin group confronted the severe reduction in island footprint, with a significant decrease of 83.04%, followed by Keelakarai groups (33.35%), Mandapam groups (29.60%), Vembar groups (28.14%), and Rameswaram islands (3.43%). The study also predicts that the island footprint could submerge in an area of 627.30 ha and 1284.21 ha within the next century, with an expected sea level rise (SLR) of 1 m and 2 m, respectively. The study emphasizes that the combination of human-induced factors and regional coastal processes such as sea level rise and swells are the key drivers engendering the stress on the physical resilience of the coral reef islands. Urgent and continual monitoring of the reef islands is crucial for a better understanding of their dynamic trajectories and for developing nature-based solutions to catastrophic erosion. These nature-based solutions (NbS) for minimizing island erosion are initiatives that use natural ecosystems to safeguard islands while enhancing biodiversity, climate resilience, and community livelihoods. The interactions between nature-based solutions (NbS) for combating erosion, reef island resilience, and Sustainable Development Goals are evaluated based on the positive correlation, our expert knowledge, and Griggs et al.'s 2017 seven-point scale framework. The outcomes of this study may provide comprehensive insights to decision-makers and administrators for formulating and implementing policies for long-term resilience building and sustainable island management.},
}
@article {pmid39847235,
year = {2025},
author = {Rathod, AK and Somagond, YM and E, L and Kumar, A and K K, K and Nikhil, KC and Jadhav, SE and Aderao, GN},
title = {Role of micronutrients in production and reproduction of farm animals under climate change scenario.},
journal = {Tropical animal health and production},
volume = {57},
number = {2},
pages = {31},
pmid = {39847235},
issn = {1573-7438},
mesh = {Animals ; *Climate Change ; *Micronutrients/analysis/administration &amp; dosage ; *Livestock/physiology ; *Reproduction/physiology ; Animal Husbandry/methods ; Animal Nutritional Physiological Phenomena ; Animal Feed/analysis ; },
abstract = {Climate change poses significant challenges to livestock production worldwide. Wherein, it affects communities in developing nations primarily dependent on agriculture and animal husbandry. Its direct and indirect deleterious effects on agriculture and animal husbandry includes aberrant changes in weather patterns resulting in disturbed homeorhetic mechanism of livestock vis a vis indirectly affecting nutrient composition of feed and fodder. The nutritional stress (i.e. non-availability of nutrients in the required quantity and quality for particular livestock) is the critical factor affecting livestock performance, productivity, and reproductive efficiency. Nutritional stress may arise from both macro- and micro- nutrient imbalances; however, micronutrients are of paramount importance in climate change context due to their role in various vital functions of body namely, body metabolism, production, reproduction, and health. The micronutrients, minerals and vitamins, when supplied in adequate quantity and proportion aid in mitigating the stress induced by climate change on animals. Here, we tried to discuss the impact of climate change induced stresses on milk production, reproduction, and metabolic acclimation of heat-stressed animals. Furthermore, emphasis is given on the importance of dietary micronutrients management strategies to support livestock health and resilience during changing climatic conditions. By addressing the nutritional needs of livestock, farmers can achieve sustainability and well-being in livestock production under changing climatic condition.},
}
@article {pmid39845688,
year = {2024},
author = {Chen, DD and Tu, JH and Ling, KN and Jin, XH and Huang, HY},
title = {Climate change and suicide epidemiology: a systematic review and meta-analysis of gender variations in global suicide rates.},
journal = {Frontiers in public health},
volume = {12},
number = {},
pages = {1463676},
pmid = {39845688},
issn = {2296-2565},
mesh = {Humans ; Male ; Female ; *Climate Change ; *Suicide/statistics &amp; numerical data ; Sex Factors ; Suicidal Ideation ; Suicide, Attempted/statistics &amp; numerical data ; Global Health/statistics &amp; numerical data ; Risk Factors ; },
abstract = {BACKGROUND: Climate change is reshaping public health, introducing extreme weather conditions and environmental stressors-such as high temperatures, atmospheric pollution, desertification, and storms (rain, thunder, and hail)-that critically impact mental health. Evidence increasingly links these factors to higher rates of suicide-related outcomes, including suicidal ideation, attempts, and self-harm. Such interactions underscore the importance of understanding how climate-driven mental health risks vary by environmental factor and gender, as gender-specific vulnerabilities shape responses to climate stressors.<br><br>METHODS: By April 16, 2024, we conducted a comprehensive search of PubMed, Web of Science, Cochrane Library, PsycINFO, Scopus, ProQuest, and Embase. Two researchers independently reviewed studies and collected demographic data, systematically tracking and recording rates of suicidal ideation, suicide attempts, suicide deaths, self-harm, and anxiety. Data were rigorously cross-verified for accuracy and consistency.<br><br>RESULTS: The meta-analysis demonstrated significant associations between climate change variables and mental health outcomes. High temperatures and air pollution were linked to increased suicide attempts (OR: 1.40, 95% CI: 1.34-1.45) and suicide deaths (OR: 1.51, 95% CI: 1.44-1.58), particularly among males. Conversely, atmospheric pollution and desertification correlated with a reduced likelihood of suicidal ideation (OR: 0.73, 95% CI: 0.63-0.85). These findings highlight gender-specific mental health impacts, with females exhibiting higher rates of anxiety and self-harm, underscoring the urgent need for targeted interventions addressing climate-induced mental health risks.<br><br>CONCLUSIONS: This systematic review and meta-analysis reveal significant gender-specific mental health impacts of climate change, with females experiencing higher rates of anxiety, self-harm, and suicidal ideation, while males show greater incidences of suicide attempts and deaths. These findings emphasize the urgent need for targeted interventions and the integration of mental health services into climate policies to address these gender disparities.<br><br>This study is registered with PROSPERO [PROSPERO (york.ac.uk)] under the identifier [CRD42024534961].},
}
@article {pmid39843632,
year = {2025},
author = {Gao, Y and Cui, J and Zhang, X and Hoogenboom, G and Wallach, D and Huang, Y and Reis, S and Lin, T and Gu, B},
title = {Cost-effective adaptations increase rice production while reducing pollution under climate change.},
journal = {Nature food},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
pmid = {39843632},
issn = {2662-1355},
support = {42325707//National Natural Science Foundation of China (National Science Foundation of China)/ ; 42261144001//National Natural Science Foundation of China (National Science Foundation of China)/ ; 2022YFE0138200//National Natural Science Foundation of China (National Science Foundation of China)/ ; 2022C02008//Natural Science Foundation of Zhejiang Province (Zhejiang Provincial Natural Science Foundation)/ ; ZJ2022086//Natural Science Foundation of Zhejiang Province (Zhejiang Provincial Natural Science Foundation)/ ; },
abstract = {Rice is a major source of greenhouse gas (GHG) and nitrogen pollution. While best management practices have been developed to enhance the sustainability of rice production under current climates, their adaptability and efficacy under future climate scenarios remain uncertain. Here we evaluated 49 best management practices across global grid cells of rice-producing areas in terms of increasing rice production, reducing GHG emissions and minimizing nitrogen pollution under future climate conditions. Optimal climate adaptation measures were assigned to each grid cell. We show that implementing the proposed adaptation strategy could increase global rice production by 36% while reducing GHG emissions and nitrogen losses by 23% and 32%, respectively. This approach could lead to a global benefit of US$117 billion for food supply, resource saving, climate mitigation and environmental protection, with total implementation costs of US$13 billion. Establishing practical and cost-effective adaptation strategies is critical for the sustainable development of the global agricultural system in the face of climate challenges.},
}
@article {pmid39843615,
year = {2025},
author = {Li, C and Camac, J and Robinson, A and Kompas, T},
title = {Predicting changes in agricultural yields under climate change scenarios and their implications for global food security.},
journal = {Scientific reports},
volume = {15},
number = {1},
pages = {2858},
pmid = {39843615},
issn = {2045-2322},
support = {501100009311//Centre of Excellence for Biosecurity Risk Analysis (CEBRA)/ ; },
mesh = {*Climate Change ; *Food Security ; *Crops, Agricultural/growth &amp; development ; *Agriculture/methods ; Humans ; Oryza/growth &amp; development ; },
abstract = {Climate change has direct impacts on current and future agricultural productivity. Statistical meta-analysis models can be used to generate expectations of crop yield responses to climatic factors by pooling data from controlled experiments. However, methodological challenges in performing these meta-analyses, together with combined uncertainty from various sources, make it difficult to validate model results. We present updates to published estimates of crop yield responses to projected temperature, precipitation, and CO2 patterns and show that mixed effects models perform better than pooled OLS models on root mean squared error (RMSE) and explained deviance, despite the common usage of pooled OLS in previous meta-analyses. Based on our analysis, the use of pooled OLS may underestimate yield losses. We also use a block-bootstrapping approach to quantify uncertainty across multiple dimensions, including modeler choices, climate projections from the sixth Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP6), and emissions scenarios from Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSP). Our estimates show projected yield responses of - 22% (maize), - 9% (rice), - 15% (soy), and - 14% (wheat) from 2015 to 2080-2100 under the business-as-usual scenario of SSP5-8.5, which reduce to - 3.8%, - 2.7%, 1.4%, and - 1.5% respectively under the lower emissions scenario of SSP1-2.6. Without mitigation and adaptation, countries in South Asia, sub-Saharan Africa, North America, and Oceania could become at risk of being unable to meet national calorie demand by the end of the century under the most severe emissions scenario.},
}
@article {pmid39841633,
year = {2025},
author = {Furuta, J and Bromley, P},
title = {Globalizing opposition to pro-environmental institutions: The growth of counter climate change organizations around the world, 1990 to 2018.},
journal = {PloS one},
volume = {20},
number = {1},
pages = {e0315012},
pmid = {39841633},
issn = {1932-6203},
mesh = {*Climate Change ; Humans ; United States ; Internationality ; Organizations ; Conservation of Natural Resources/trends ; },
abstract = {More than two decades of social scientific research has identified the growing network of corporations, think tanks, nonprofits, and advocacy organizations that aim to obstruct climate change action within the United States. Conventional arguments emphasize the role of economic self-interest (e.g., wealthy and powerful corporations) in shaping the rise of an organized "counter climate change movement" that seeks to discredit evidence about anthropogenic climate change and derail solutions to address the problem. In this paper, we track the growth of counter climate change organizations around the world and emphasize the role of reactionary cultural dynamics in driving their emergence. As climate change discourse is infused in more areas throughout society, climate change issues become more salient in the public sphere, generating adversarial grievances, identities, and mobilization among oppositional groups. Drawing on panel logistic regression models for 162-164 countries from 1990 to 2018, we find that counter climate change organizations are most likely to develop in countries with more extensive state policies and structures oriented toward protecting the natural environment, net of a variety of factors that account for a country's economic interests or its overall capacity to produce domestic associations.},
}
@article {pmid39840362,
year = {2024},
author = {Shen, L and Zhai, D and Lu, X},
title = {Mapping the priority conservation areas for three endangered Cupressaceae plants under climate change in China.},
journal = {Frontiers in plant science},
volume = {15},
number = {},
pages = {1495442},
pmid = {39840362},
issn = {1664-462X},
abstract = {The establishment of conservation areas is an important strategy for endangered species conservation. In this study, we investigated the distributions of suitable habitat areas for three level 1 endangered Cupressaceae plants (Metasequoia glyptostroboides, Glyptostrobus pensilis, and Thuja sutchuenensis) in China and used the Marxan model to delineate the priority conservation areas for each species. The results showed that M. glyptostroboides had the broadest suitable growing area under the current climate in China and is followed by G. pensilis, with an area of 91 × 10[4] km[2], and T. sutchuenensis had the smallest suitable habitat areas at only 7 × 10[4] km[2]. Affected by climate change, the suitable ranges of these three Cupressaceae species moved largely northward at the middle and end of this century, with a latitudinal increase of 0.46-1.99°. T. sutchuenensis will face an extremely high extinction risk by the end of this century; 65.54% of its southern suitable habitat area will no longer be suitable for growth. Based on the effects of climate change, M. glyptostroboides priority conservation areas should be established in the Yangtze River Basin; G. pensilis priority conservation areas should be established in Guangdong, Guangxi, Fujian, and Jiangxi; and T. sutchuenensis protection districts should be established at the intersection of the northeastern part of Sichuan Province and the northern part of Chongqing. This study helps to clarify the impact of climate change on endangered species.},
}
@article {pmid39839339,
year = {2025},
author = {Chen, K and Ma, L and Jiang, W and Wang, L and Wei, L and Zhang, H and Yang, R},
title = {Anthropogenic Disturbance and Climate Change Impacts on the Suitable Habitat of Sphenomorphus incognitus in China.},
journal = {Ecology and evolution},
volume = {15},
number = {1},
pages = {e70848},
pmid = {39839339},
issn = {2045-7758},
abstract = {Estimating the impacts of anthropogenic activities and climate change on species' spatial distributions is crucial for conservation. In this study, based on 62 valid occurrence records of Sphenomorphus incognitus and 24 environmental factors (19 climate factors, 4 topographic factors, and 1 human activity factor), we utilized the biomod2 combined model platform to predict suitable habitats for S. incognitus under two current scenarios (Scenario 1: natural state; Scenario 2: human interference state) and two future climate scenarios (SSP1-2.6 and SSP5-8.5) in 2050s and 2090s. The mean true skill statistic (TSS) and the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) suggested that the ensemble model yield more precise predictions than those of individual models. Rainfall and slope were identified as the most important factors influencing S. incognitus distribution. Human disturbance has significantly reduced suitable habitat by 44.13 × 10[4] km[2], which is a decrease in 23.95% compared to natural conditions. Spatial analysis revealed substantial fragmentation of suitable habitat due to human activities. The incorporation of anthropogenic factors into the analysis of future climate scenarios has revealed that the area of suitable habitat exhibits divergent trends. Two distinct scenarios have been identified, each of which results in a reduction in the area of the region by 29.58 × 10[4] km[2] and an increase by 27.04 × 10[4] km[2], respectively, by the year 2090. The primary influence persists in human activities. The centroid of suitable habitat shifted toward the southeast under SSP1-2.6 and toward the northwest under SSP5-8.5. Our findings highlight the significant impact of anthropogenic factors on S. incognitus habitat and emphasize the need for conservation measures. Future research should incorporate additional socioeconomic data to further investigate the effects of human disturbance on this species.},
}
@article {pmid39838051,
year = {2025},
author = {Mitchell, D},
title = {Why we still don't know the mounting health risks of climate change.},
journal = {Nature},
volume = {637},
number = {8047},
pages = {766},
pmid = {39838051},
issn = {1476-4687},
}
@article {pmid39836654,
year = {2025},
author = {Cuervo, PF and Bargues, MD and Artigas, P and Buchon, P and Angles, R and Mas-Coma, S},
title = {Heterogeneous zonal impacts of climate change on a wide hyperendemic area of human and animal fascioliasis assessed within a One Health action for prevention and control.},
journal = {PLoS neglected tropical diseases},
volume = {19},
number = {1},
pages = {e0012820},
doi = {10.1371/journal.pntd.0012820},
pmid = {39836654},
issn = {1935-2735},
abstract = {The Northern Bolivian Altiplano is the fascioliasis endemic area where the highest prevalences and intensities in humans have been recorded. In this hyperendemic area of human fascioliasis, the disease is caused only by Fasciola hepatica and transmitted by Galba truncatula, the sole lymnaeid species present in the area. When analysing the link between global warning and the recently reported geographical spread of lymnaeid populations to out-border localities, a marked heterogeneous climatic change was found throughout the endemic area. The aim of the present study is to analyse the physiographical heterogeneity of the fascioliasis hyperendemic area in the Northern Bolivian Altiplano, in order to assess its repercussions in the implementation of a One Health action. We applied multivariate linear mixed models to analyse the influence of a number of physiographical features on the long-term variation of climate and of the risk of transmission. Despite its apparent physiographic homogeneity, the findings of this study revealed markedly heterogeneous climate characteristics throughout the endemic area. This irregular pattern is influenced by physiographical features such as altitude, inner hills, closeness to Lake Titicaca, and El Niño-Southern Oscillation. This is the broadest study ever performed in a human fascioliasis endemic area about the influence of physiography on climate. It highlights the importance of considering physiographical features, an aspect usually not considered in studies dealing with the influences of climate and climate change on human and animal fascioliasis. Moreover, it shows that an endemic area may climatically evolve differently in its various inner zones and emphasizes the need for continuous monitoring to assess whether control measures should be modified accordingly.},
}
@article {pmid39836230,
year = {2025},
author = {Roth, M and Geerling, G},
title = {[Climate change-A multifaceted challenge for ophthalmology].},
journal = {Die Ophthalmologie},
volume = {122},
number = {1},
pages = {2-3},
pmid = {39836230},
issn = {2731-7218},
}
@article {pmid39835365,
year = {2025},
author = {Azrag, AA and Niassy, S and Bloukounon-Goubalan, AY and Abdel-Rahman, EM and Tonnang, HE and Mohamed, SA},
title = {Cotton production areas are at high risk of invasion by Amrasca biguttula (Ishida) (Cicadellidae: Hemiptera): potential distribution under climate change.},
journal = {Pest management science},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1002/ps.8659},
pmid = {39835365},
issn = {1526-4998},
abstract = {BACKGROUND: The cotton jassid, Amrasca biguttula, a dangerous and polyphagous pest, has recently invaded the Middle East, Africa and South America, raising concerns about the future of cotton and other food crops including okra, eggplant and potato. However, its potential distribution remains largely unknown, posing a challenge in developing effective phytosanitary strategies. We used an ensemble model of six machine-learning algorithms including random forest, maxent, support vector machines, classification and regression tree, generalized linear model and boosted regression trees to forecast the potential distribution of A. biguttula in the present and future using presence records of the pest and bioclimatic predictors. The accuracy of these algorithms was assessed based on the area under the curve (AUC), correlation (COR), deviance and true skill statistic (TSS).<br><br>RESULTS: All algorithms showed good performance in forecasting the distribution of A.&#x2009;biguttula (AUC&#x2009;&#x2265;&#x2009;0.91, COR&#x2009;&#x2265;&#x2009;0.72, TSS&#x2009;&#x2265;&#x2009;0.77 and deviance&#x2009;&#x2264;&#x2009;0.65). Mean temperature of wettest quarter, mean temperature of driest quarter and precipitation of the wettest month were the key variables that contributed to predicting A.&#x2009;biguttula occurrence. Projection of the model showed that cotton production areas in Asia, sub-Saharan Africa, and South America are at threat of invasion by A.&#x2009;biguttula under the current climatic scenario. Additionally, range expansion for A.&#x2009;biguttula is projected in the future in sub-Saharan Africa, South America and China, indicating a suitable ecological niche for A.&#x2009;biguttula to thrive.<br><br>CONCLUSION: Our results provide early warning and decision-making information that can guide efforts to prevent this pest's further spread and invasion into new areas. &#xa9; 2025 Society of Chemical Industry.},
}
@article {pmid39834218,
year = {2025},
author = {Chang, X and Feng, S and Ullah, F and Zhang, Y and Zhang, Y and Qin, Y and Nderitu, JH and Dong, Y and Huang, W and Zhang, Z and Tu, X},
title = {Adapting distribution patterns of desert locusts, Schistocerca gregaria in response to global climate change.},
journal = {Bulletin of entomological research},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {1-9},
doi = {10.1017/S0007485324000440},
pmid = {39834218},
issn = {1475-2670},
abstract = {The desert locust (Schistocerca gregaria) is a destructive migratory pest, posing great threat to over 60 countries globally. In the backdrop of climate change, the habitat suitability of desert locusts is poised to undergo alterations. Hence, investigating the shifting dynamics of desert locust habitats holds profound significance in ensuring global agricultural resilience and food security. In this study, we combined the maximum entropy modelling and geographic information system technology to conduct a comprehensive analysis of the impact of climate change on the distribution patterns and habitat adaptability of desert locusts. The results indicate that the suitable areas for desert locusts (0.2976 × 10[8] km[2]) are concentrated in northern Africa and southwestern Asia, accounting for 19.97% of the total global land area. Key environmental variables affecting the desert locust distribution include temperature annual range, mean temperature of the coldest quarter, average temperature of February, and precipitation of the driest month. Under the SSP1-2.6 and SSP5-8.5 climate scenarios, potential suitable areas for desert locusts are estimated to increase from 2030 (2021-2040) to 2090 (2081-2100). By 2090, highly suitable areas for SSP1-2.6 and SSP5-8.5 are projected to be 0.0606 × 10[8] and 0.0891 × 10[8] km[2], respectively, reflecting an expansion of 1.84 and 2.77% compared to existing ones. These research findings provide a theoretical basis for adopting prevention and control strategies for desert locusts.},
}
@article {pmid39833457,
year = {2025},
author = {Gulcebi, MI and Leddy, S and Behl, K and Dijk, DJ and Marder, E and Maslin, M and Mavrogianni, A and Tipton, M and Werring, DJ and Sisodiya, SM},
title = {Imperatives and co-benefits of research into climate change and neurological disease.},
journal = {Nature reviews. Neurology},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
pmid = {39833457},
issn = {1759-4766},
abstract = {Evidence suggests that anthropogenic climate change is accelerating and is affecting human health globally. Despite urgent calls to address health effects in the context of the additional challenges of environmental degradation, biodiversity loss and ageing populations, the effects of climate change on specific health conditions are still poorly understood. Neurological diseases contribute substantially to the global burden of disease, and the possible direct and indirect consequences of climate change for people with these conditions are a cause for concern. Unaccustomed temperature extremes can impair the systems of resilience of the brain, thereby exacerbating or increasing susceptibility to neurological disease. In this Perspective, we explore how changing weather patterns resulting from climate change affect sleep - an essential restorative human brain activity, the quality of which is important for people with neurological diseases. We also consider the pervasive and complex influences of climate change on two common neurological conditions: stroke and epilepsy. We highlight the urgent need for research into the mechanisms underlying the effects of climate change on the brain in health and disease. We also discuss how neurologists can respond constructively to the climate crisis by raising awareness and promoting mitigation measures and research - actions that will bring widespread co-benefits.},
}
@article {pmid39833452,
year = {2025},
author = {Behmanesh, B and Sharaftmandrad, M and Shahraki, M and Badripour, H},
title = {Climate change adaptation strategies adopted by pastoralists in rangelands in Golestan province, Iran.},
journal = {Scientific reports},
volume = {15},
number = {1},
pages = {2496},
pmid = {39833452},
issn = {2045-2322},
abstract = {Climate change is a serious challenge to pastoralism in rangelands. Adaptation strategies adopted by pastoralists can reduce their livelihood vulnerability to cope with adverse effects of climate change. This study was done to investigate the adaptation strategies of pastoralists in the north of Golestan province, Iran. Data were collected using a researcher-made questionnaire. The statistical population consisted of 200 pastoralists from 3 pastoral units, of which 127 individuals were sampled using stratified random method. The results showed that 33.1% of the pastoralists had moderate adaptability to climate change. They had more adaptive capacity in cost saving and improving savings, health and veterinary services, and use of technology. The pastoralists' adaptability to climate change was enhanced with increasing age. Large and less-educated pastoralists had more adaptability compared to small and well-educated ones. Pastoralists who had jobs other than animal-husbandry and who participated in educational and extension courses on climate change had more adaptability to climate change. Pastoralists owning agricultural lands and local knowledge in dealing with climate change were also more adaptable to climate change. The results of the study can be used to strengthen pastoralists' adaptability to climate change to reduce their livelihood vulnerability.},
}
@article {pmid39833242,
year = {2025},
author = {Mede, NG and Cologna, V and Berger, S and Besley, J and Brick, C and Joubert, M and Maibach, EW and Mihelj, S and Oreskes, N and Schäfer, MS and van der Linden, S and Abdul Aziz, NI and Abdulsalam, S and Shamsi, NA and Aczel, B and Adinugroho, I and Alabrese, E and Aldoh, A and Alfano, M and Ali, IM and Alsobay, M and Altenmüller, M and Alvarez, RM and Amoako, R and Amollo, T and Ansah, P and Apriliawati, D and Azevedo, F and Bajrami, A and Bardhan, R and Bati, K and Bertsou, E and Betsch, C and Bhatiya, AY and Bhui, R and Białobrzeska, O and Bilewicz, M and Bouguettaya, A and Breeden, K and Bret, A and Buchel, O and Cabrera-Álvarez, P and Cagnoli, F and Valdez, AC and Callaghan, T and Cases, RK and Çoksan, S and Czarnek, G and De Peuter, S and Debnath, R and Delouvée, S and Di Stefano, L and Díaz-Catalán, C and Doell, KC and Dohle, S and Douglas, KM and Dries, C and Dubrov, D and Dzimińska, M and Ecker, UKH and Elbaek, CT and Elsherif, M and Enke, B and Etienne, TW and Facciani, M and Fage-Butler, A and Faisal, MZ and Fan, X and Farhart, C and Feldhaus, C and Ferreira, M and Feuerriegel, S and Fischer, H and Freundt, J and Friese, M and Fuglsang, S and Gallyamova, A and Garrido-Vásquez, P and Garrido Vásquez, ME and Gatua, W and Genschow, O and Ghasemi, O and Gkinopoulos, T and Gloor, JL and Goddard, E and Gollwitzer, M and González-Brambila, C and Gordon, H and Grigoryev, D and Grimshaw, GM and Guenther, L and Haarstad, H and Harari, D and Hawkins, LN and Hensel, P and Hernández-Mondragón, AC and Herziger, A and Huang, G and Huff, M and Hurley, M and Ibadildin, N and Ishibashi, M and Islam, MT and Jeddi, Y and Jin, T and Jones, CA and Jungkunz, S and Jurgiel, D and Kabdulkair, Z and Kao, JJ and Kavassalis, S and Kerr, JR and Kitsa, M and Klabíková Rábová, T and Klein, O and Koh, H and Koivula, A and Kojan, L and Komyaginskaya, E and König, L and Koppel, L and Cavalcante, KKN and Kosachenko, A and Kotcher, J and Kranz, LS and Krishnan, P and Kristiansen, S and Krouwel, A and Kuppens, T and Kyza, EA and Lamm, C and Lantian, A and Lazić, A and Lecuona, O and Légal, JB and Leviston, Z and Levy, N and Lindkvist, AM and Lits, G and Löschel, A and López-Ortega, A and Lopez-Villavicencio, C and Lou, NM and Lucas, CH and Lunz-Trujillo, K and Marques, MD and Mayer, SJ and McKay, R and Mercier, H and Metag, J and Milfont, TL and Miller, JM and Mitkidis, P and Monge-Rodríguez, F and Motta, M and Mudra, I and Muršič, Z and Namutebi, J and Newman, EJ and Nitschke, JP and Ntui, NV and Nwogwugwu, D and Ostermann, T and Otterbring, T and Palmer-Hague, J and Pantazi, M and Pärnamets, P and Parra Saiani, P and Paruzel-Czachura, M and Parzuchowski, M and Pavlov, YG and Pearson, AR and Penner, MA and Pennington, CR and Petkanopoulou, K and Petrović, MM and Pfänder, J and Pisareva, D and Ploszaj, A and Poliaková, K and Pronizius, E and Pypno-Blajda, K and Quiñones, DMA and Räsänen, P and Rauchfleisch, A and Rebitschek, FG and Refojo Seronero, C and Rêgo, G and Reynolds, JP and Roche, J and Rödder, S and Röer, JP and Ross, RM and Ruin, I and Santos, O and Santos, RR and Schmid, P and Schulreich, S and Scoggins, B and Sharaf, A and Sheria Nfundiko, J and Shuckburgh, E and Six, J and Solak, N and Späth, L and Spruyt, B and Standaert, O and Stanley, SK and Storms, G and Strahm, N and Syropoulos, S and Szaszi, B and Szumowska, E and Tanaka, M and Teran-Escobar, C and Todorova, B and Toko, AK and Tokrri, R and Toribio-Florez, D and Tsakiris, M and Tyrala, M and Uluğ, &#xd6;M and Uzoma, IC and van Noord, J and Varda, C and Verheyen, S and Vilares, I and Vlasceanu, M and von Bubnoff, A and Walker, I and Warwas, I and Weber, M and Weninger, T and Westfal, M and Wintterlin, F and Wojcik, AD and Xia, Z and Xie, J and Zegler-Poleska, E and Zenklusen, A and Zwaan, RA},
title = {Perceptions of science, science communication, and climate change attitudes in 68 countries - the TISP dataset.},
journal = {Scientific data},
volume = {12},
number = {1},
pages = {114},
pmid = {39833242},
issn = {2052-4463},
support = {P500PS_202935//Schweizerischer Nationalfonds zur F&#xf6;rderung der Wissenschaftlichen Forschung (Swiss National Science Foundation)/ ; n/a//Schweizerischer Nationalfonds zur F&#xf6;rderung der Wissenschaftlichen Forschung (Swiss National Science Foundation)/ ; n/a//Federal Department of the Environment, Transport, Energy, and Communications | Bundesamt f&#xfc;r Energie (Swiss Federal Office of Energy)/ ; n/a//Resnick Sustainability Institute for Science, Energy and Sustainability, California Institute of Technology (Resnick Institute)/ ; BE 3970/12-1//Deutsche Forschungsgemeinschaft (German Research Foundation)/ ; RE 4752/1-1//Deutsche Forschungsgemeinschaft (German Research Foundation)/ ; 458303980//Deutsche Forschungsgemeinschaft (German Research Foundation)/ ; OPP1144//Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation (Bill &amp; Melinda Gates Foundation)/ ; FWFI3381//Austrian Science Fund (Fonds zur F&#xf6;rderung der Wissenschaftlichen Forschung)/ ; 101018262//EC | EU Framework Programme for Research and Innovation H2020 | H2020 Priority Excellent Science | H2020 European Research Council (H2020 Excellent Science - European Research Council)/ ; AUFF-E-2019-9-13//Aarhus Universitets Forskningsfond (Aarhus University Research Foundation)/ ; AUFF-E-2019-9-13//Aarhus Universitets Forskningsfond (Aarhus University Research Foundation)/ ; AUFF-E-2019-9-4//Aarhus Universitets Forskningsfond (Aarhus University Research Foundation)/ ; n/a//Genome Canada (G&#xe9;nome Canada)/ ; n/a//F&#xe9;d&#xe9;ration Wallonie-Bruxelles (French Community of Belgium)/ ; n/a//Victoria University of Wellington/ ; 822166//European Commission (EC)/ ; #62631//John Templeton Foundation (JTF)/ ; #61580//John Templeton Foundation (JTF)/ ; #430-2022-00711//Gouvernement du Canada | Social Sciences and Humanities Research Council of Canada (Conseil de recherches en sciences humaines du Canada)/ ; n/a//NOMIS Stiftung (NOMIS Foundation)/ ; n/a//NOMIS Stiftung (NOMIS Foundation)/ ; ANR-10-IDEX-0001-02//Agence Nationale de la Recherche (French National Research Agency)/ ; n/a//Agence Nationale de la Recherche (French National Research Agency)/ ; n/a//Trinity Western University (TWU)/ ; 2020-02584//Vetenskapsr&#xe5;det (Swedish Research Council)/ ; n/a//Aston University (Aston)/ ; n/a//Aston University (Aston)/ ; n/a//Universit&#xe4;t Hamburg (University of Hamburg)/ ; 964728 (JITSUVAX)//EC | Horizon 2020 Framework Programme (EU Framework Programme for Research and Innovation H2020)/ ; },
mesh = {*Climate Change ; Humans ; *Science ; *Attitude ; Cross-Sectional Studies ; *Trust ; Surveys and Questionnaires ; Communication ; Public Opinion ; },
abstract = {Science is integral to society because it can inform individual, government, corporate, and civil society decision-making on issues such as public health, new technologies or climate change. Yet, public distrust and populist sentiment challenge the relationship between science and society. To help researchers analyse the science-society nexus across different geographical and cultural contexts, we undertook a cross-sectional population survey resulting in a dataset of 71,922 participants in 68 countries. The data were collected between November 2022 and August 2023 as part of the global Many Labs study "Trust in Science and Science-Related Populism" (TISP). The questionnaire contained comprehensive measures for individuals' trust in scientists, science-related populist attitudes, perceptions of the role of science in society, science media use and communication behaviour, attitudes to climate change and support for environmental policies, personality traits, political and religious views and demographic characteristics. Here, we describe the dataset, survey materials and psychometric properties of key variables. We encourage researchers to use this unique dataset for global comparative analyses on public perceptions of science and its role in society and policy-making.},
}
@article {pmid39832550,
year = {2025},
author = {Marinaccio, A and Gariazzo, C and Taiano, L and Bonafede, M and Martini, D and D'Amario, S and de'Donato, F and Morabito, M and , },
title = {Climate change and occupational health and safety. Risk of injuries, productivity loss and the co-benefits perspective.},
journal = {Environmental research},
volume = {269},
number = {},
pages = {120844},
doi = {10.1016/j.envres.2025.120844},
pmid = {39832550},
issn = {1096-0953},
abstract = {BACKGROUND: Climate change is a fundamental threat to human health and outdoor workers are one of the most vulnerable population subgroups. Increasing heat stress and heatwaves are directly associated with the health and safety of workers for a large spectrum of occupations. Heat stress negatively affects labour supply, productivity, and workability.<br><br>OBJECTIVES: The aims of this study are to estimate the risk of work-related injuries for extreme temperature outdoor exposure in Italy, to evaluate the loss in productivity and the associated insurance costs for supporting the co-benefits analysis of the adaptation measures.<br><br>METHODS: The relationship between air temperature and occupational injuries (in the period 2014-19) was evaluated using a time-series approach, by means of a specific over-dispersed Poisson generalized linear regression model, applied to compensation data. To assess the effect of temperature on workability, the wet bulb global temperature (WBGT) was estimated by different levels of humidity and vapor pressure. The costs of injuries have been estimated according to the potential consequences in terms of paid insurance premium and including all management and human resources costs.<br><br>RESULTS: We estimated 25,632 (95%CI 22,353-28,862) occupational injuries in Italy attributed to heat (between 75&#xb0; and 99&#xb0; percentiles) in the period 2014-2019, which corresponds to an average of 4272 cases for year. A decrease in productivity of about 6.5% was estimated for workers engaged in physical activities requiring high metabolic rates for every unit degree increase in temperature between 19.6&#xa0;C&#xb0; and 31.8&#xa0;C&#xb0;. The overall compensation costs associated to extreme heat exposure have been estimated to more than 292 million euros between 2014 and 2019, almost equal to 49 million euros per year.<br><br>DISCUSSION: Prevention measures and adaptation strategies for contrasting the occupational exposure to extreme temperatures can help contain both the risk of injury and, productivity loss, in a co-benefits perspective.},
}
@article {pmid39832424,
year = {2025},
author = {Choudhary, R and Ahmad, F and Kaya, C and Upadhyay, SK and Muneer, S and Kumar, V and Meena, M and Liu, H and Upadhyaya, H and Seth, CS},
title = {Decrypting proteomics, transcriptomics, genomics, and integrated omics for augmenting the abiotic, biotic, and climate change stress resilience in plants.},
journal = {Journal of plant physiology},
volume = {305},
number = {},
pages = {154430},
doi = {10.1016/j.jplph.2025.154430},
pmid = {39832424},
issn = {1618-1328},
abstract = {As our planet faces increasing environmental challenges, such as biotic pressures, abiotic stressors, and climate change, it is crucial to understand the complex mechanisms that underlie stress responses in crop plants. Over past few years, the integration of techniques of proteomics, transcriptomics, and genomics like LC-MS, IT-MS, MALDI-MS, DIGE, ESTs, SAGE, WGS, GWAS, GBS, 2D-PAGE, CRISPR-Cas, cDNA-AFLP, HLS, HRPF, MPSS, CAGE, MAS, IEF, MudPIT, SRM/MRM, SWATH-MS, ESI have significantly enhanced our ability to comprehend the molecular pathways and regulatory networks, involved in balancing the ecosystem/ecology stress adaptation. This review offers thorough synopsis of the current research on utilizing these multi-omics methods (including metabolomics, ionomics) for battling abiotic (salinity, temperature (chilling/freezing/cold/heat), flood (hypoxia), drought, heavy metals/loids), biotic (pathogens like fungi, bacteria, virus, pests, and insects (aphids, caterpillars, moths, mites, nematodes) and climate change stress (ozone, ultraviolet radiation, green house gases, carbon dioxide). These strategies can expedite crop improvement, and act as powerful tools with high throughput and instant database generation rates. They also provide a platform for interpreting intricate, systematic signalling pathways and knowing how different environmental stimuli cause phenotypic responses at cellular and molecular level by changing the expression of stress-responsive genes like RAB18, KIN1, RD29B, OsCIPK03, OsSTL, SIAGL, bZIP, SnRK, ABF. This review discusses various case studies that exemplify the successful implementation of these omics tools to enhance stress tolerance in plants. Finally, it highlights challenges and future prospects of utilizing these approaches in combating stress, emphasizing the need for interdisciplinary collaborations and bio-technological advancements for sustainable agriculture and food security.},
}
@article {pmid39832258,
year = {2025},
author = {Zhang, L and Wang, P and Xie, G and Wang, W},
title = {Impact of climate change on the distribution of the citrus longhorned beetle Anoplophora chinensis (Coleoptera: Cerambycidae) and its host plants, Castanea mollissima and Castanea seguinii: a predictive analysis using optimized MaxEnt models.},
journal = {Journal of economic entomology},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1093/jee/toae308},
pmid = {39832258},
issn = {1938-291X},
support = {2024AFB254//Natural Science Foundation of Hubei Province/ ; 31672327//National Natural Science Foundation of China/ ; },
abstract = {The Anoplophora chinensis (Coleoptera: Cerambycidae) (Forster), a serious phytophagous pest threatening Castanea mollissima Blume and Castanea seguinii Dode, poses risks of ecological imbalance, significant economic loss, and increased management difficulties if not properly controlled. This study employs optimized MaxEnt models to analyze the potential distribution areas of A. chinensis and its host plants under current and future climate conditions, identifying their movement pathways and relative dynamics. Results indicate that all models achieved an average AUC value exceeding 0.86, demonstrating low complexity and high predictive accuracy. The key climatic variables influencing the geographic distribution of A. chinensis and its host plants include temperature and moisture-related bioclimatic variables such as mean diurnal range, minimum temp of coldest month, mean temp of wettest quarter, annual precipitation, precipitation of driest month, and precipitation seasonality. Under both current and future conditions, these 3 species are primarily distributed in the southwestern regions of China. Notably, the suitable growth area for all 3 species shows varying degrees of increase. Additionally, C. mollissima and C. seguinii exhibit a trend of eastward displacement in response to climate change. Overall, the findings provide significant practical value for the monitoring, early warning, and targeted control strategies for A. chinensis. Furthermore, these results offer a basis for timely conservation strategies to mitigate the potential impacts of climate change.},
}
@article {pmid39830708,
year = {2025},
author = {Schiestl, FP and Wartmann, BA and Bänziger, R and Györög-Kobi, B and Hess, K and Luder, J and Merz, E and Peter, B and Reutlinger, M and Richter, T and Senn, H and Ulrich, T and Waldeck, B and Wartmann, C and Wüest, R and Wüest, W and Rusman, Q},
title = {The Late Orchid Catches the Bee: Frost Damage and Pollination Success in the Face of Global Warming in a European Terrestrial Orchid.},
journal = {Ecology and evolution},
volume = {15},
number = {1},
pages = {e70729},
pmid = {39830708},
issn = {2045-7758},
abstract = {Global warming changes flowering times of many plant species, with potential impacts on frost damage and their synchronization with pollinator activity. These effects can have severe impacts on plant fitness, yet we know little about how frequently they occur and the extent of damage they cause. We addressed this topic in a thermophilic orchid with a highly specific pollination mechanism, the Small Spider Orchid, Ophrys araneola RchB, in six populations in Northern Switzerland. We measured flowering time, frost damage, and fruiting success in 1250 individually marked plants during 3 years, and documented spring temperatures. Using regression models with historical climate data, we estimated past and future frost damage. In addition, we analyzed historical records of the orchid and its only verified pollinator, the solitary bee Andrena combinata in Northern Switzerland, to estimate potential desynchronization between flowering and pollinator activity due to climate change. Increased spring temperatures accelerated flowering time, and together with the number of frost days explained frost damage well. Frost damage was severe and early-flowering plants were more likely to be damaged. Historical climate data suggested frost damage has increased in the last decades and may increase further in the future. All populations but one had very low fruit set, and plants that flowered earlier were less likely to set fruit. The historical data from between 1970 and 2019 showed a significant advance of flowering- and pollinator occurrence time in the last decades, but to a similar degree in orchids and bees. Our study shows that the orchid, despite being limited to warm habitats in central Europe, suffers under global warming by increased frost damage caused by earlier flowering. We did not detect an effect of accelerated flowering on desynchronization in flowering time and pollinator activity in this orchid species.},
}
@article {pmid39830704,
year = {2025},
author = {Duyar, A and Demir, MA and Kabalak, M},
title = {Prediction of Current and Future Distributions of Chalcophora detrita (Coleoptera: Buprestidae) Under Climate Change Scenarios.},
journal = {Ecology and evolution},
volume = {15},
number = {1},
pages = {e70693},
pmid = {39830704},
issn = {2045-7758},
abstract = {The consequences of climate change, accelerated by anthropogenic activities, have different effects on different ecosystems, and the severity of these effects is predicted to increase in the near future. The number of studies investigating how forest ecosystems respond to these changes is increasing. However, there remains a significant gap in research concerning how saproxylic organisms-one of the key contributors to the healthy functioning of these fragile ecosystems-will respond to the consequences of climate change. In our study, we estimated the suitable habitats of the polymorphic species Chalcophora detrita which is distributed across Italy, Albania, Bulgaria, Greece, Türkiye, Cyprus, Syria, Israel and Lebanon. This species of both saproxylic and economic importance, was modelled under current environmental conditions, climate change scenarios and possible future conditions by ecological niche modelling (ENM). An ensemble model was created by using 11 different algorithms (Artificial Neural Network, Classification Tree Analysis, eXtreme Gradient Boosting, Flexible Discriminant Analysis, Generalised Additive Model, Generalised Boosting Model, Generalised Linear Model, Multivariate Adaptive Regression Splines, Maximum Entropy, Random Forest, Surface Range Envelope) to predict the potential suitable habitats of C. detrita. Two different future scenarios (SSP2-4.5, relatively optimistic and SSP5-8.5, most pessimistic) are divided into 2021-2040, 2041-2060, 2061-2080 and 2081-2100 time periods. The results of our ENM indicated that bioclimatic variables contribute more than topographic and land cover variables to suitable habitats for the species under current conditions. Furthermore, future scenarios demonstrated that suitable habitats for this species will gradually decrease across the geographical region where the species is distributed. This study provides a theoretical reference framework for the conservation of habitats and the improvement of management plans for species belonging to the genus Chalcophora Dejean 1833 and the other saproxylic beetles.},
}
@article {pmid39830681,
year = {2025},
author = {Senande-Rivera, M and Insua-Costa, D and Miguez-Macho, G},
title = {Climate change aggravated wildfire behaviour in the Iberian Peninsula in recent years.},
journal = {NPJ climate and atmospheric science},
volume = {8},
number = {1},
pages = {19},
pmid = {39830681},
issn = {2397-3722},
abstract = {Climate change is considered to affect wildfire spread both by increasing fuel dryness and by altering vegetation mass and structure. However, the direct effect of global warming on wildfires is hard to quantify due to the multiple non-climatic factors involved in their ignition and spread. By combining wildfire observations with the latest generation of climate models, here we show that more than half of the large wildfires (area>500 ha) occurring in the Iberian Peninsula between 2001 and 2021 present a significant increase in the rate of spread with respect to what it would have been in the pre-industrial period, attributable to global warming. The average acceleration of the rate of spread due to increased fuel dryness is between 2.0% and 8.3%, whereas the influence of enhanced vegetation growth since the pre-industrial period could potentially be even higher than the direct impact of temperature increase in fuel conditions.},
}
@article {pmid39830619,
year = {2025},
author = {McKenney, DW and Pedlar, JH and Lawrence, K and Sobie, SR and DeBoer, K and Brescacin, T},
title = {Spatial datasets of CMIP6 climate change projections for Canada and the United States.},
journal = {Data in brief},
volume = {58},
number = {},
pages = {111246},
pmid = {39830619},
issn = {2352-3409},
abstract = {Geospatial climate change projections are critical for assessing climate change impacts and adaptations across a wide range of disciplines. Here we present monthly-based grids of climate change projections at a 2-km resolution covering Canada and the United States. These data products are based on outputs from the 6th Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP6) and include projections for 13 General Circulation Models (GCMs), three Shared Socio-economic Pathways (SSP1 2.6, SSP2 4.5, and SSP5 8.5), four 30-year time periods (2011-2040, 2021-2050, 2041-2070, and 2071-2100), and a suite of climate variables, including monthly maximum and minimum temperature, precipitation, climate moisture index, and various bioclimatic summaries. The products employ a delta downscaling method, which combines historical normal values at climate stations with broad-scale change projections (or deltas) from GCMs, followed by spatial interpolation using ANUSPLIN. Various quality control efforts, described herein, were undertaken to ensure that the final products provided reasonable estimates of future climate.},
}
@article {pmid39830277,
year = {2025},
author = {Laydon, DJ and Smith, DL and Chakradeo, K and Khurana, MP and Okiring, J and Duchene, DA and Bhatt, S},
title = {Climate Change and Malaria: A Call for Robust Analytics.},
journal = {medRxiv : the preprint server for health sciences},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1101/2024.09.16.24313623},
pmid = {39830277},
abstract = {Mosquito ecology and behavior and malaria parasite development display marked sensitivity to weather, in particular to temperature and precipitation. Therefore, climate change is expected to profoundly affect malaria epidemiology in its transmission, spatiotemporal distribution and consequent disease burden. However, malaria transmission is also complicated by other factors (e.g. urbanization, socioeconomic development, genetics, drug resistance) which together constitute a highly complex, dynamical system, where the influence of any single factor can be masked by others. In this study, we therefore aim to re-evaluate the evidence underlying the widespread belief that climate change will increase worldwide malaria transmission. We review two broad types of study that have contributed to this evidence-base: i) studies that project changes in transmission due to inferred relationships between environmental and mosquito entomology, and ii) regression-based studies that look for associations between environmental variables and malaria prevalence. We then employ a simple statistical model to show that environmental variables alone do not account for the observed spatiotemporal variation in malaria prevalence. Our review raises several concerns about the robustness of the analyses used for advocacy around climate change and malaria. We find that, while climate change's effect on malaria is highly plausible, empirical evidence is much less certain. Future research on climate change and malaria must become integrated into malaria control programs, and understood in context as one factor among many. Our work outlines gaps in modelling that we believe are priorities for future research.},
}
@article {pmid39830174,
year = {2024},
author = {Xu, C and Nie, X and Xu, R and Han, G and Wang, D},
title = {Burden trends and future predictions for hypertensive heart disease attributable to non-optimal temperatures in the older adults amidst climate change, 1990-2021.},
journal = {Frontiers in public health},
volume = {12},
number = {},
pages = {1525357},
pmid = {39830174},
issn = {2296-2565},
mesh = {Humans ; Male ; Female ; Aged ; *Climate Change ; *Hypertension/epidemiology ; Middle Aged ; Aged, 80 and over ; Global Burden of Disease/trends ; Bayes Theorem ; Forecasting ; Heart Diseases/epidemiology ; Disability-Adjusted Life Years ; Quality-Adjusted Life Years ; Cold Temperature/adverse effects ; Sex Factors ; },
abstract = {BACKGROUND: Hypertensive heart disease (HHD) is a significant form of end-organ damage caused by hypertension, with profound impacts on global health and quality of life. Temperature anomalies driven by climate change, particularly extremes of heat and cold, are increasingly recognized as major contributors to the cardiovascular disease burden, notably impacting HHD. However, the specific spatiotemporal trends and gender-based differences in the burden of non-optimal temperatures on older adults HHD patients remain insufficiently explored. This study aims to evaluate the regional, gender-specific trends in the burden of HHD attributed to non-optimal temperatures among the older adults from 1990 to 2021, and to project future trends in HHD burden under climate-induced temperature anomalies from 2022 to 2050.<br><br>METHODS: Data were sourced from the Global Burden of Disease Study (GBD 2021), which provides estimates of mortality and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) at global, regional, and national levels. Age-standardized rates (ASR) and estimated annual percentage changes (EAPC) were analyzed. Future burden projections were modeled using age-period-cohort (APC) and Bayesian APC models to assess temperature impact by gender and age differences. Data analysis was conducted using R and STATA, examining the variations in temperature effects by gender and age.<br><br>RESULTS: Between 1990 and 2021, cold-related HHD burden among the older adults significantly exceeded that of heat-related burden. However, heat-related HHD burden demonstrated a marked upward trend, projected to continue rising over the next two decades, particularly in low-income and tropical regions. Gender-specific analysis revealed that cold-related HHD burden was more pronounced in women, while heat-related burden was notably higher in men. Additionally, male heat-related HHD mortality rates have shown a substantial increase over the past 30&#x202f;years, whereas female rates have exhibited a comparatively modest decline.<br><br>CONCLUSION: Although cold remains the dominant non-optimal temperature factor, rising global temperatures suggest an increasing burden of heat-related HHD among the older adults. Efforts should prioritize strengthening resilience in vulnerable regions and populations, with targeted interventions to mitigate future health risks associated with temperature extremes.},
}
@article {pmid39829606,
year = {2024},
author = {Amekpor, F and Sakariyau, W and Kengo, NE and Sandra, NA and Agyapong, J and Dauda, Z and Kwarteng, S and Adedokun, DA and Darko, G},
title = {Integrating Maternal and Child Health Into Climate Change: A Holistic Approach.},
journal = {Public health reviews},
volume = {45},
number = {},
pages = {1607553},
pmid = {39829606},
issn = {0301-0422},
abstract = {OBJECTIVES: In everyday language, climate change is an increase in the Earth's average temperature. Climate change negatively affects life support systems, including air, food, water, shelter, and security, on which humans depend. This paper aims to holistically integrate maternal and child health into climate change.<br><br>METHODS: A narrative/literature review approach were adopted using papers sources from google scholar, research gate and web of science. About 10 papers was initially gathered and it was later scrutinized to 6.<br><br>RESULTS: It was discovered that, climate change negatively impacts food and water security, heat stress, extreme weather, and air pollution, with women and children most affected. The World Health Organization estimates 250,000 climate-related deaths annually by 2050, disproportionately affecting maternal and child health. Integrating climate and maternal health strategies could offer benefits, yet research on adapting to climate change's effects on pregnancy outcomes is limited.<br><br>CONCLUSION: Addressing maternal and child health requires integrating health-focused strategies into environmental policies to reduce vulnerabilities to climate-related risks. A comprehensive approach can enhance resilience by improving healthcare access, education, and sustainable resource management, benefiting public health and environmental outcomes.},
}
@article {pmid39829604,
year = {2024},
author = {Traoré, O and Tetka, JB},
title = {The Health and Health Insurance Implications of Climate Change in Sub-Saharan Africa: A Narrative Review.},
journal = {Public health reviews},
volume = {45},
number = {},
pages = {1607212},
pmid = {39829604},
issn = {0301-0422},
abstract = {OBJECTIVES: This paper aims to provide a narrative review of the implications of climate change on health and health insurance in sub-Saharan Africa.<br><br>METHODS: A comprehensive research was employed to carry out a complete narrative study on the subject. Thus, since September 2022 we searched for literature on the relationships between climate change, health, and health insurance on PubMed over an unbounded period. By updating the research method, the outputs cover the period 2009-2024.<br><br>RESULTS: Based on 19 key articles that focused on the implications of climate change for health and health insurance in sub-Saharan Africa, we highlight that climate change directly affects population health through climate-related disease. Indirectly, climate change affects health through its disruption of food availability and agriculture and through demographic shifts.<br><br>CONCLUSION: Finally, this narrative review suggests appropriate strategies to combat the health consequences of climate change and to improve universal health insurance systems.},
}
@article {pmid39824882,
year = {2025},
author = {Okely, M and Chen, Z and Adly, E and Kamal, M},
title = {Climate change influences on the potential geographic distribution of the invasive Asian longhorned tick, Haemaphysalis longicornis.},
journal = {Scientific reports},
volume = {15},
number = {1},
pages = {2266},
pmid = {39824882},
issn = {2045-2322},
mesh = {Animals ; *Climate Change ; *Introduced Species ; *Ixodidae/physiology ; Europe ; Animal Distribution ; Haemaphysalis longicornis ; },
abstract = {The Asian long-horned tick, Haemaphysalis longicornis Neumann, 1901, is the competent vector for severe fever with thrombocytopenia syndrome virus (SFTSV). Haemaphysalis longicornis originated mainly in eastern Asia and invaded many areas like Australia, New Zealand, and the Pacific islands, and was recently introduced to eastern parts of the USA. This species is characterized by high adaptability to a wide range of temperatures and can reproduce parthenogenically under stressful conditions. Migratory birds are important hosts of H. longicornis and are thought to be responsible for its unexpected invasion and introduction into new areas worldwide. This study predicted the historical (near current) global environmental suitability and the possible shifts in environmental suitability for H. longicornis under the ongoing climate change between 2021 and 2100. The results demonstrated that Europe is at potential of high environmental suitability for H. longicornis invasion although this species has not been recorded in any regions of Europe yet. Our model also anticipated the environmental suitability for H. longicornis in eastern parts of the USA, although the recently recorded occurrences there were not used in the model calibration. Climate change is thought to affect and increase the range of suitable environments for H. longicornis. The different maps introduced in this study may help improve understanding of the global environmental suitability for this invasive disease vector and predict the areas at high environmental suitability for possible invasion to prioritize the control programs and enhance quarantine procedures in these areas.},
}
@article {pmid39824098,
year = {2025},
author = {Kyire, SKC and Dhaka, SS and Bannor, RK and Asare, JK},
title = {Climate change and food security nexus in Ghana: The role of renewable energy.},
journal = {The Science of the total environment},
volume = {963},
number = {},
pages = {178454},
doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2025.178454},
pmid = {39824098},
issn = {1879-1026},
abstract = {Climate change is aggravating hunger, which is miserable in Sub-Saharan African nations like Ghana. Yet evidence of the effect of climatic variables on hunger, particularly multidimensional food security, is less illuminated in Ghana. Moreover, the decoupling effect of renewable energy on emissions and food security is rare in the Ghanaian context. Therefore, we fill this gap using time series data from 1990 to 2022. The autoregressive distributed lag model was used to analyse the data, while the dynamic ordinary least squares and fully modified ordinary least squares were employed for robustness. Additionally, the seemingly unrelated regression was used to evaluate the effect of climate change on tomatoes, rice, cocoa, cashews, maize, cassava, and yam output. We discovered a long-run co-integration between climatic factors and food security. Moreover, rising temperatures worsen food security in the short run but eventually improve in the long run. Again, temperature improves the production of the studied crops. In the short term, precipitation disturbs food security but suddenly improves in the future. Similarly, rainfall increases the production of the studied crops. Moreover, CO2 stifles long-term food security and reduces rice production. However, renewable energy counteract the deleterious consequence of CO2 on food security in the future. Theoretically, the effect of climate change on food security follows the assumption of the Environmental Kuznets Curve to some extent in Ghana. Therefore, adopting irrigation, greenhouses, agricultural insurance, and improved crop varieties will help farmers manage the wrath of climate change. Also, policies like carbon credits, tax incentives for renewable energy, investment funds, and solar panel subsidies can further promote sustainability and climate change mitigation.},
}
@article {pmid39823935,
year = {2025},
author = {Cao, B and Bai, C and Wu, K and La, T and Chen, W and Liu, L and Zhou, X and Chen, C and Li, X and Su, Y and Che, L and Li, G},
title = {Ticks jump in a warmer world: Global distribution shifts of main pathogenic ticks are associated with future climate change.},
journal = {Journal of environmental management},
volume = {374},
number = {},
pages = {124129},
doi = {10.1016/j.jenvman.2025.124129},
pmid = {39823935},
issn = {1095-8630},
abstract = {In recent decades, the threats of ticks and tick-borne diseases (TBDs) increased extensively with environmental change, urbanization, and rapidly changing interactions between human and animals. However, large-scale distribution of tick and TBD risks as well as their relationship with environmental change remain inadequately unclear. Here, we first proposed a "tick-pathogen-habitat-human" model to project the global potential distribution of main pathogenic ticks using a total of 70,714 occurrence records. Meanwhile, the effects of ecological factors and socio-economic factors driving the distribution pattern were evaluated. Based on this, the risk distribution of TBDs was projected by large-scale "tick-pathogen-disease" analysis. Furthermore, the distribution shifts of tick suitability were projected under different shared socio-economic pathways in the future. Our findings demonstrate that warm temperate countries (e.g., the United States, China and European countries) in the Northern Hemisphere represent significant high risk regions for ticks and TBDs. Specifically, solar radiation of January emerges as the main decisive factor determining the risk distribution pattern. Future shifts of tick suitability showed decrease trend under low greenhouse gas emission scenarios but increase trend under high scenarios. These suitability shifts were significantly correlated with future temperature- (9 species) and precipitation- (19 species) related factors. Collectively, in this study we first shaped the global risk distribution of main ticks and TBDs as well as tick suitability shifts correlated with future global climate change, which will provide helpful references for disease prevention and administration. The methods proposed here will also shed light on other emerging and recurrent zoonotic diseases (e.g., COVID-19, monkeypox) in the future.},
}
@article {pmid39822324,
year = {2024},
author = {Mabile, L and Neufcourt, L and Chersich, M and Leroy, V and Delpierre, C and Kelly-Irving, M},
title = {On the need to better integrate the social environment in research on climate change and health: recommendations and thinking tools.},
journal = {Open research Europe},
volume = {4},
number = {},
pages = {105},
pmid = {39822324},
issn = {2732-5121},
abstract = {Social inequality impacts health, is aggravated by the consequences of climate change, and may be influenced by inappropriate policy responses. These interdependent effects create a self-perpetuating loop exacerbating the impact of climate dysregulation on health in an uncontrolled and poorly understood way. Holistic approaches to public health such as One Health, EcoHealth or Planetary Health are well suited to tackling the considerable and complex environmental and social issues underlying climate dysregulation. However, the extent to which research using such frameworks investigates social determinants of health is not clear. In this paper we discuss the ways in which the social environment has so far been considered in the literature to problematize and analyze the relationship between climate dysregulation and health within holistic frameworks and provide tools and recommendations to facilitate their apprehension. Social factors are investigated empirically only in a minor fraction of studies addressing the relation between climate and health in holistic frameworks, and not systematically. Barriers to such approaches are discussed. This work also provides two analytical tools (a process diagram and a knowledge framework) and a set of recommendations to help include the social environment more meaningfully in such frameworks. They are meant to facilitate our understanding of the current status of this type of research and to encourage trans-disciplinary and trans-sectorial endeavors towards directions which need to be taken to ensure societal factors and inequalities are placed at the center of research on climate and health and the ensuing policy response.},
}
@article {pmid39822057,
year = {2025},
author = {Çolak, M and Dogan, R and Dogan, S},
title = {Effect of Climate Change and Health Course on Global Warming Knowledge and Attitudes, Environmental Literacy, and Eco-Anxiety Level of Nursing Students: A Quasi-Experimental Study.},
journal = {Public health nursing (Boston, Mass.)},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1111/phn.13536},
pmid = {39822057},
issn = {1525-1446},
abstract = {BACKGROUND: Climate change is the most important problem that threatens the health of individuals, public health, and health systems on a global scale. The International Council of Nurses emphasizes that nurses should strive to reduce the effects of climate change and help individuals and systems adapt. In addition, it is stated that climate change should be integrated into nursing education curricula and nursing students, who are future healthcare providers, should be prepared to reduce the effects of climate change and promote a healthier environment.<br><br>AIM: The aim of this study is to examine the effect of the Climate Change and Health course on global warming knowledge and attitude, environmental literacy, and eco-anxiety levels in nursing students.<br><br>DESIGN AND METHODS: In this study, a pretest-posttest comparative quasi-experimental design type was used. The research was conducted with 117 students taking the "Climate Change and Health" course added to the curriculum at the Nursing Department of a private university in Istanbul between February 2023 and June 2023. Data were collected before and after the intervention using the Descriptive Characteristics Form, Global Warming Knowledge Questionnaire, Global Warming Attitude Scale, Environmental Literacy Scale for Adults, and Eco-Anxiety Scale.<br><br>RESULTS: After taking the Climate Change and Health course, nursing students' global warming knowledge and attitude total scores increased, and a statistically significant increase was detected in the eco anxiety total and behavioral symptoms subscale mean scores. There was no statistically significant change in the Environmental Literacy Scale total and subscale mean scores.<br><br>CONCLUSIONS: It can be stated that the Climate Change and Health course positively improved nursing students' knowledge and attitudes toward global warming and increased their sensitivity about climate change. Nurses, who constitute the most important part of the healthcare workforce worldwide, have an important role in creating a healthy and safe environment and in combating the effects of global warming and climate change. For this reason, in order to train knowledgeable and equipped health professionals on this subject, it is recommended that courses on the effects of climate change, adaptation, and coping with it be added to the nursing curriculum and integrated into all subjects every year to ensure continuity.},
}
@article {pmid39821534,
year = {2025},
author = {Jan, A and Arismendi, I and Giannico, G},
title = {Double Trouble for Native Species Under Climate Change: Habitat Loss and Increased Environmental Overlap With Non-Native Species.},
journal = {Global change biology},
volume = {31},
number = {1},
pages = {e70040},
doi = {10.1111/gcb.70040},
pmid = {39821534},
issn = {1365-2486},
mesh = {Animals ; *Climate Change ; *Introduced Species ; *Ecosystem ; Esocidae/physiology ; Trout/physiology ; Bass/physiology ; Models, Biological ; },
abstract = {Climate change and biological invasions are affecting natural ecosystems globally. The effects of these stressors on native species' biogeography have been studied separately, but their combined effects remain overlooked. Here, we develop a framework to assess how climate change influences both the range and niche overlap of native and non-native species using ecological niche models. We hypothesize that species with similar niches will experience both range reductions and increased niche overlap under future climates. We evaluate this using the ongoing invasion of smallmouth bass (Micropterus dolomieu) and northern pike (Esox lucius) on the native habitats of redband trout (Oncorhynchus mykiss) and bull trout (Salvelinus confluentus) in western North America. Future climate conditions will reduce habitat suitability for native and non-native species, but an increased niche overlap might exacerbate negative effects on native fishes. Our framework offers a tool to predict potential species distribution and interactions under climate change, informing adaptive management globally.},
}
@article {pmid39820799,
year = {2025},
author = {Wang, P and Yang, M and Zhao, H and Wei, D and Zhang, G and Jiang, H and Zhang, C and Xian, X and Huang, H and Zhang, Y},
title = {Global Potential Geographic Distribution of Anthonomus eugenii Under Climate Change: A Comprehensive Analysis Based on an Ensemble Modeling Approach.},
journal = {Neotropical entomology},
volume = {54},
number = {1},
pages = {25},
pmid = {39820799},
issn = {1678-8052},
support = {2023YFC2605200//Yibo Zhang/ ; },
mesh = {Animals ; *Climate Change ; Animal Distribution ; Introduced Species ; Hymenoptera ; Models, Theoretical ; },
abstract = {Climate warming is affecting the ranges and population dynamics of invasive species, including insects, which have become a global problem, causing biodiversity declines and agricultural economic losses. Anthonomus eugenii as an important invasive pest on pepper is now mainly located in the USA and Mexico. However, the global potential geographic distribution (PGD) of A. eugenii with climate change remains unknown, which makes it difficult to monitor and control. In this study, based on the global distribution areas and important environmental variables, we constructed an ensemble model to predict the global PGD of A. eugenii under the current climate and three climate scenarios (SSP1-2.6, SSP2-4.5, and SSP5-8.5) in the 2030s and 2050s. The mean true skill statistics (TSS) and the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) of the EM were 0.825 and 0.988, respectively, indicating that the EM was reliable. The mean temperature of the driest (bio9) and wettest (bio8) quarter and precipitation of the coldest quarter (bio19) were the most important environmental variables affecting the PGD of A. eugenii. Under the current climate, the PGD of A. eugenii was mainly concentrated in southern North America and central South America. The suitable areas of A. eugenii could increase significantly, reaching the maximum under SSP5-8.5 in the 2030s, approximately 1911.7 × 10[4] km2. Moreover, the distribution centroid would shift to higher latitudes with global warming. It also had the potential invasion risk in Russia, China, the Republic of the Congo, and Romania, which should enhance quarantine control and early warning.},
}
@article {pmid39819834,
year = {2025},
author = {Butler, CD},
title = {Eco-anxiety, climate change and the 'bottom billion': a plea for better understanding.},
journal = {BMJ mental health},
volume = {28},
number = {1},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1136/bmjment-2024-301380},
pmid = {39819834},
issn = {2755-9734},
mesh = {*Climate Change ; Humans ; *Anxiety/psychology ; Socioeconomic Factors ; },
abstract = {Climate change poses enormous, rapidly increasing risks to human well-being that remain poorly appreciated. The growing understanding of this threat has generated a phenomenon often called 'eco-anxiety'. Eco-anxiety (and its synonyms) is best documented in the Global North, mostly among people who are better educated and whose reasons for concern are both altruistic and self-interested. However, the populations who are most vulnerable to climate change are disproportionately poor and live in the Global South, where evidence for eco-anxiety (or climate) anxiety is limited, especially among those who have been called the 'bottom billion', approximately the global population's poorest decile. Here, I postulate reasons for this research gap as both ethical and practical. Additionally, the bottom billion experience many disadvantages, some of which plausibly lower their recognition of anthropogenic climate change. These disadvantages include nutritional and health factors that can reduce learning capacity, even if access to formal education exists. Many in this population have limited or no electronic access to information. Furthermore, the relationship between the stresses faced by such populations and climate change is often indirect, potentially also disguising recognition of the role of climate change. The world is characterised by many distressing forms of inequality, one of which is the effective 'invisibilisation' of the bottom billion. This group faces many challenges; some of these may exceed climate change as rational causes for anxiety. However, it is here argued that policy makers should act on their behalf, irrespective of evidence that they experience eco-anxiety.},
}
@article {pmid39819248,
year = {2025},
author = {Gezgin Yazıcı, H and Ökten, &#xc7; and Utaş Akhan, L},
title = {Climate change anxiety and sleep problems in the older adults.},
journal = {Aging &amp; mental health},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {1-5},
doi = {10.1080/13607863.2025.2452937},
pmid = {39819248},
issn = {1364-6915},
abstract = {OBJECTIVES: Climate change has an impact on the prevalence of insufficient sleep and sleep disorders. This study aimed to examine climate change anxiety and sleep problems in older adults individuals.<br><br>METHOD: This descriptive and cross-sectional study was carried out with 664 participants between July 9 and September 10, 2024. A Personal Information Form, the Climate Change Anxiety Scale, and the Insomnia Severity Index were used for data collection. In the data analysis, independent samples t-test and one-way analysis of variance were used to compare demographic variables with the climate change anxiety scale and insomnia severity index.<br><br>RESULTS: The mean age of the participants was 71.49&#x2009;&#xb1;&#x2009;6.21&#x2009;years and more than half of the participants were female (54.4%). The mean score of the participants on the Climate Change Anxiety Scale was 1.68&#x2009;&#xb1;&#x2009;0.80 and their mean score on the Insomnia Severity Index was 12.56&#x2009;&#xb1;&#x2009;6.91. There was a positive correlation between the Climate Change Anxiety Scale and the Insomnia Severity Index (r&#x2009;=&#x2009;0.26, p&#x2009;=&#x2009;0.00). The insomnia variable explained 7% of the change in the Climate Change Anxiety score (R[2] = 0.07, p&#x2009;=&#x2009;0.00).<br><br>CONCLUSION: Older adults experience anxiety and sleep problems regarding climate change and sleep problems in older adults increase as climate change anxiety increases.},
}
@article {pmid39822389,
year = {2023},
author = {Gebre, GG and Amekawa, Y and Fikadu, AA and Rahut, DB},
title = {Do climate change adaptation strategies improve farmers' food security in Tanzania?.},
journal = {Food security},
volume = {15},
number = {3},
pages = {629-647},
pmid = {39822389},
issn = {1876-4517},
abstract = {The damaging effects of changing climate on farm-household food security are steadily increasing in sub-Saharan Africa. Adaptation strategies are important for agrarian households to reduce the adverse effects on their food security. This study employed multivariate probit and endogenous switching regression models to analyze the determinants of farm households' choice of climate-change adaptation strategies, such as the cultivation of early maturing crops, early planting, growing drought-tolerant maize varieties, using precautionary savings, practicing income diversification, and sale of assets, and their effects on household food security in Tanzania. Information on expected rainfall and temperatures, early warning systems, previous droughts, delays in the onset of the rainy season, sex and age of the farmer, educational level, farming experience, family size, total farmland holding, number of livestock owned, contact with extension agents, and access to credit services were all found to influence decisions by farm households to use strategies of adaptation to climate change. Overall, the adaptation of farm households to climate change increased their food security status. An analysis of "adapter" and "non-adapter" farm households showed that the effect of adaptation on food security was smaller for households that adapted than for households that did not. Thus, we recommend that further effective adaptation strategies such as planting drought-resistant crops, changing planting dates, planting early maturing crops, and practicing income diversification be developed and used, particularly for the most vulnerable farm households, to mitigate the adverse impacts of climate change on their food security.},
}
@article {pmid39818907,
year = {2025},
author = {Wild, KH and Huey, RB and Pianka, ER and Clusella-Trullas, S and Gilbert, AL and Miles, DB and Kearney, MR},
title = {Climate change and the cost-of-living squeeze in desert lizards.},
journal = {Science (New York, N.Y.)},
volume = {387},
number = {6731},
pages = {303-309},
doi = {10.1126/science.adq4372},
pmid = {39818907},
issn = {1095-9203},
mesh = {Animals ; *Lizards/physiology ; *Climate Change ; Australia ; *Desert Climate ; *Energy Metabolism ; Africa ; Feeding Behavior ; },
abstract = {Climate warming can induce a cost-of-living "squeeze" in ectotherms by increasing energetic expenditures while reducing foraging gains. We used biophysical models (validated by 2685 field observations) to test this hypothesis for 10 ecologically diverse lizards in African and Australian deserts. Historical warming (1950-2020) has been more intense in Africa than in Australia, translating to an energetic squeeze for African diurnal species. Although no net impact on Australian diurnal species was observed, warming generated an energetic "relief" (by increasing foraging time) for nocturnal species. Future warming impacts will be more severe in Africa than in Australia, requiring increased rates of food intake (+10% per hour active for diurnal species). The effects of climate warming on desert lizard energy budgets will thus be species-specific but potentially predictable.},
}
@article {pmid39816450,
year = {2025},
author = {Luo, C and He, B and Wu, Y and Xue, Y and Deng, H and Li, S and Dong, X and Lu, L},
title = {Rethinking Conservation and Restoration Strategies of Endangered and Key Medicinal Clavicarpa Plants in Yunnan-Kweichow Plateau's Karst Areas Under Climate Change.},
journal = {Ecology and evolution},
volume = {15},
number = {1},
pages = {e70790},
pmid = {39816450},
issn = {2045-7758},
abstract = {The Clavicarpa species, valued for their pharmaceutical, ornamental, and economic importance, exhibit notable rarity and endemism in the Karst areas of the Yunnan-Kweichow Plateau in China. These species face significant threats from habitat loss and fragmentation, leading to a decline in biodiversity. To mitigate these threats, the Maxent algorithm was employed to analyze current and future distribution patterns, with a particular focus on the influence of climate variables in predicting potential distribution shifts and assessing extinction risks under the optimistic SSP1-2.6 and the pessimistic SSP5-8.5 socioeconomic scenarios. The EC-Earth3-Veg, MRI-ESM2-0, and MPI-ESM1-2-HR models were utilized for conservation status assessment and project future distributions for four time periods: the present, 2030s, 2050s, and 2070s. The minimum temperature during the coldest month (Bio 6) was identified as the most critical environmental factor, influencing both habitat contraction and expansion. Our modeling indicates that regions such as South, Central, and East China, particularly areas east of the Aihui-Tengchong line and south of the Yangtze River, exhibit the highest suitability for Clavicarpa species within the geographical coordinates of 18° N-45° N and 97° E-120° E. Conversely, climate change projections suggest a habitat expansion for Impatiens claviger, Impatiens tubulosa, Impatiens pritzelii, and Impatiens apalophylla, while Impatiens guizhouensis and Impatiens wilsonii face increased extinction risks. Specifically, I. claviger, I. tubulosa, and I. apalophylla are expected to shift northward, necessitating potential relocation to southern regions, while I. guizhouensis and I. wilsonii are projected to experience habitat losses of over 23.94% and 9.13%, respectively. Our research provides a robust scientific foundation for the conservation and sustainable utilization of these important pharmaceutical species and offers a framework for effective biodiversity management. We recommend using protected areas as a basis for the future conservation, breeding, cultivation, and utilization of Clavicarpa species.},
}
@article {pmid39815938,
year = {2025},
author = {Hereme, R and Galleguillos, C and Molina-Montenegro, MA},
title = {Climate change and epigenetics: Unraveling the role of methylation in response to thermal instability in the Antarctic plant Colobanthus quitensis.},
journal = {Physiologia plantarum},
volume = {177},
number = {1},
pages = {e70043},
doi = {10.1111/ppl.70043},
pmid = {39815938},
issn = {1399-3054},
support = {21180714//ANID (doctoral scholarship)/ ; },
mesh = {*Climate Change ; *Epigenesis, Genetic ; *DNA Methylation/genetics ; Antarctic Regions ; *Gene Expression Regulation, Plant ; Acclimatization/genetics ; Cold Temperature ; Temperature ; },
abstract = {Low temperatures are one of the critical conditions affecting the performance and distribution of plants. Exposure to cooling results in the reprogramming of gene expression, which in turn would be mediated by epigenetic regulation. Antarctica is known as one of the most severe ecosystems, but several climate models predict an increase in average temperature, which may positively impact the development of Antarctic plants; however, under warmer temperatures, plants' vulnerability to damages from low-temperature events increases. Here, we evaluated the impact of these events on the acclimation process, with a focus on how methylation influences the induction of cold response genes. According to the results, an increase in the number of methylations in the promoter regions is associated with lower expression of these genes. Similarly, in populations where this relationship is observed, individuals acclimated to the projected climate change condition are more vulnerable, as their average temperature is lower in the face of a cold event compared to individuals acclimated to the current antarctic condition. This research is the first report highlighting the role of methylation in response to cold and its influence on the transcriptional responses of the antarctic plant Colobanthus quitensis facing climate change projections.},
}
@article {pmid39814748,
year = {2025},
author = {Machard, A and Salvati, A and P Tootkaboni, M and Gaur, A and Zou, J and Wang, LL and Baba, F and Ge, H and Bre, F and Bozonnet, E and Corrado, V and Luo, X and Levinson, R and Lee, SH and Hong, T and Salles Olinger, M and Machado, RMES and da Guarda, ELA and Veiga, RK and Lamberts, R and Afshari, A and Ramon, D and Ngoc Dung Ngo, H and Sengupta, A and Breesch, H and Heijmans, N and Deltour, J and Kuborn, X and Sayadi, S and Qian, B and Zhang, C and Rahif, R and Attia, S and Stern, P and Holzer, P},
title = {Author Correction: Typical and extreme weather datasets for studying the resilience of buildings to climate change and heatwaves.},
journal = {Scientific data},
volume = {12},
number = {1},
pages = {83},
doi = {10.1038/s41597-025-04420-2},
pmid = {39814748},
issn = {2052-4463},
}
@article {pmid39813559,
year = {2025},
author = {Oliveira, LD and Ibañez, P},
title = {Geopolitics, climate change and health: what can we expect from the G20 Summit (Rio de Janeiro, Brazil, 2024)?.},
journal = {Cadernos de saude publica},
volume = {40},
number = {11},
pages = {e00068524},
pmid = {39813559},
issn = {1678-4464},
}
@article {pmid39813351,
year = {2025},
author = {Warken, SF and Schmitt, AK and Scholz, D and Hertwig, A and Weber, M and Mertz-Kraus, R and Reinig, F and Esper, J and Sigl, M},
title = {Discovery of Laacher See eruption in speleothem record synchronizes Greenland and central European Late Glacial climate change.},
journal = {Science advances},
volume = {11},
number = {3},
pages = {eadt4057},
pmid = {39813351},
issn = {2375-2548},
abstract = {To assess the impact of ongoing, historically unprecedented Arctic ice melting, precisely synchronized chronologies are indispensable for past analogs of abrupt climate change. Around 12,900 years before present (B.P.), the Atlantic-European realm experienced an abrupt relapse to near-glacial climate conditions attributed to Arctic meltwater fluxes, the Younger Dryas. However, it remained unclear how fast this climatic change propagated southward into Europe as terrestrial and ice-core chronologies are not sufficiently synchronized. Here, we use a volcanic sulfur spike identified in a speleothem from Germany to link the Laacher See eruption (LSE), a key chronostratigraphic marker in European terrestrial archives, to a previously unidentified sulfate spike in the Greenland ice-core record. The LSE, dated to 13,008 ± 8 years B.P.1950, thus synchronizes radiometric and ice-core calendars back in time, which consistently demonstrates that the LSE predates the onset of the Younger Dryas cooling by about 150 years, both in Greenland and Europe.},
}
@article {pmid39811748,
year = {2025},
author = {Srivastava, S and Mehta, R and Mohanty, A and Satapathy, P and Sah, R and Apostoloopoulos, V},
title = {Climate change impacts and pandemics.},
journal = {New microbes and new infections},
volume = {63},
number = {},
pages = {101556},
pmid = {39811748},
issn = {2052-2975},
}
@article {pmid39811341,
year = {2025},
author = {Ricart, S and Gandolfi, C and Castelletti, A},
title = {What drives farmers' behavior under climate change? Decoding risk awareness, perceived impacts, and adaptive capacity in northern Italy.},
journal = {Heliyon},
volume = {11},
number = {1},
pages = {e41328},
pmid = {39811341},
issn = {2405-8440},
abstract = {Understanding climate change in a precise and timely manner may assist in gauging the occurrence and seriousness of its impacts, thereby boosting the adaptive capacity and responsiveness of farmers. This investigation looks into farmers' knowledge of climate change, their perception of risks and impacts, and the strategies they anticipate to tackle the challenges of adaptation. A well-structured online survey covering risk awareness, perception, and adaptation was used to randomly sample 460 respondents from 12 irrigation districts in northern Italy. Descriptive and multivariate statistics, including structural equation modeling, were employed to outline the profiles of farmers, explore the drivers shaping their behavior, and disentangle the magnitude and direction underpinning their adaptive capacity. Findings revealed that farmers recognize changes in climate and perceive its variability and effects, such as rising temperatures, extreme heat events, and irregular precipitation. Farmers blend adaptive measures, including climate services and insurance, with preventive mechanisms like reducing fertilizer use, rotating and diversifying crops, and introducing soil conservation techniques. However, they encounter obstacles such as poor government assistance, expensive investments and overlay intricate regulations. Regarding decision-making processes, the structural model demonstrated that 1) recognizing climate change can sensibly predict alterations in farmers' behavior concerning climate impacts while 2) there is a lack of correlation between perceiving risks and implementing risk adaptation measures. Interestingly, factors such as farming experience, farm size, area under irrigation, and primary crop type significantly influence how risks are perceived and what measures are adopted. In light of these results, we offer guidance for upcoming research.},
}
@article {pmid39811806,
year = {2024},
author = {Zu, K and Chen, F and Li, Y and Shrestha, N and Fang, X and Ahmad, S and Nabi, G and Wang, Z},
title = {Climate change impacts flowering phenology in Gongga Mountains, Southwest China.},
journal = {Plant diversity},
volume = {46},
number = {6},
pages = {774-782},
pmid = {39811806},
issn = {2468-2659},
abstract = {Flowering phenology of plants, which is important for reproductive growth, has been shown to be influenced by climate change. Understanding how flowering phenology responds to climate change and exploring the variation of this response across plant groups can help predict structural and functional changes in plant communities in response to ongoing climate change. Here, we used long-term collections of 33 flowering plant species from the Gongga Mountains (Mt. Gongga hereafter), a biodiversity hotspot, to investigate how plant flowering phenology changed over the past 70 years in response to climate change. We found that mean flowering times in Mt. Gongga were delayed in all vegetation types and elevations over the last 70 years. Furthermore, flowering time was delayed more in lowlands than at high elevations. Interestingly, we observed that spring-flowering plants show earlier flowering times whereas summer/autumn plants show delayed flowering times. Non-synchronous flowering phenology across species was mainly driven by changes in temperature and precipitation. We also found that the flowering phenology of 78.8% plant species was delayed in response to warming temperatures. Our findings also indicate that the magnitude and direction of variation in plant flowering times vary significantly among species along elevation gradients. Shifts in flowering time might cause trophic mismatches with co-occurring and related species, affecting both forest ecosystem structure and function.},
}
@article {pmid39811047,
year = {2025},
author = {Hassan, S and Philippe, C and West, RM and McFarlane, S and Polson-Edwards, K and Gordon-Strachan, G and Hospedales, CJ and Dubrow, R and Allen, CF},
title = {Development of an agenda for research and action on climate change and health in the Caribbean.},
journal = {Revista panamericana de salud publica = Pan American journal of public health},
volume = {49},
number = {},
pages = {e4},
pmid = {39811047},
issn = {1680-5348},
abstract = {This paper delineates the development of the Caribbean Research for Action Agenda which aims to empower Caribbean Small Island Developing States to reduce their vulnerabilities to the effects of climate change on health. The Caribbean Research for Action Agenda emerged from collaboration between nongovernmental organizations, academic institutions, and multilateral agencies that organized a conference on climate change and health in the Caribbean. This Agenda was formulated by prioritizing research areas, synthesizing evidence from conference presentations and scientific literature, and holding consultations with stakeholders and experts. The Agenda provides information on 18 priority areas for research and action categorized into four domains: climate change health impacts, exposures, and vulnerability; adaptation, planning, and resilience for health; mitigation actions and health co-benefits; and resources and engagement for climate change and health action. Cross-cutting findings underscore the need for: greater public and professional awareness; a more climate-literate health workforce; interdisciplinary collaboration to address institutional silos; attention to social and economic mediating factors; equitable interventions for vulnerable groups; and enhanced monitoring and surveillance of climate-sensitive health outcomes. The Caribbean Research for Action Agenda is a foundational tool to inform research, guide multisectoral collaboration and capacity-building, develop evidence-based policy, and inspire community action-based advocacy related to climate change and health.},
}
@article {pmid39809529,
year = {2025},
author = {Murray, KA},
title = {Keep it in the ground: climate change could prompt the reemergence of zombie pathogens.},
journal = {BMJ (Clinical research ed.)},
volume = {388},
number = {},
pages = {r46},
doi = {10.1136/bmj.r46},
pmid = {39809529},
issn = {1756-1833},
}
@article {pmid39807518,
year = {2025},
author = {Astuti, PK and Sárkány, P and Wanjala, G and Bagi, Z and Kusza, S},
title = {A systematic review on the trend of transcriptomic study in livestock: An effort to unwind the complexity of adaptation in a climate change environment.},
journal = {Heliyon},
volume = {11},
number = {1},
pages = {e41090},
pmid = {39807518},
issn = {2405-8440},
abstract = {Heat stress has been proven to cause negative effects on livestock leading to lower productivity and economic value. Understanding how heat stress manifests within an animal's body is the first step in devising a heat stress mitigation strategy; transcriptomic studies are one of the methods used. Here, using a systematic literature review methodology, we examine the recent decade of transcriptomics' application to the study of livestock adaptation. We identified 152 studies that met our criteria for using transcriptome methods to heat stress adaptation and were published within the last ten years. Our analysis demonstrates the growing popularity and application of transcriptome approaches in the investigation of the response of ruminants, pigs, and poultry livestock to heat stress. Majority of the works was done in chicken and cattle using multiple organs as the sample, with qRT-PCR as the most employed technique. It has been established that a variety of biomarkers can be used to assess animals under heat stress, such as the HSPs, ILs, and TLRs. Although transcriptomics has lately been employed extensively to uncover the mechanism of heat adaptation, this adaptive feature's complex mechanism remains unclear, leaving many knowledge gaps for investigation. A more complex studies involving more various cell types, organs, or even model organisms using multi-omics approach could be the future research direction in understanding the heat stress effects on livestock better.},
}
@article {pmid39807422,
year = {2025},
author = {Kaplan, WA and Hamer, DH and Shioda, K},
title = {The potential impact of climate change on medication access and quality deserves far more attention.},
journal = {One health (Amsterdam, Netherlands)},
volume = {20},
number = {},
pages = {100957},
pmid = {39807422},
issn = {2352-7714},
abstract = {Notwithstanding the obvious interconnection between humans and the world that they share with non-human inhabitants, the impact of our changing climate on certain aspects of the public health ecosystem has been under-investigated. We briefly describe some of the possible climate-induced changes in the procurement, distribution, access and use of medications, including those for animals generally and livestock specifically. A fuller understanding of the effect of climate change on medicine supply, access, use and quality, including how these affect antimicrobial resistance, would contribute to the further development of the "One Health" and "One Health Systems" concepts. We suggest that this understanding is not yet available, even though the changing incidence of infectious diseases due to changing climate has been studied. There is a need for improved understanding of the impact of extremes of humidity and heat on medication quality and research into heat-stable medicines as well as strategies for the improving resilience of the pharmaceutical supply and distribution system in complex public health emergencies caused by aberrant weather patterns.},
}
@article {pmid39805829,
year = {2025},
author = {Liu, J and Kim, H and Hashizume, M and Lee, W and Honda, Y and Kim, SE and He, C and Kan, H and Chen, R},
title = {Nonlinear exposure-response associations of daytime, nighttime, and day-night compound heatwaves with mortality amid climate change.},
journal = {Nature communications},
volume = {16},
number = {1},
pages = {635},
pmid = {39805829},
issn = {2041-1723},
support = {82430105//National Natural Science Foundation of China (National Science Foundation of China)/ ; },
mesh = {Humans ; *Climate Change ; Cities/epidemiology ; Hot Temperature/adverse effects ; Male ; Female ; Adult ; Cardiovascular Diseases/mortality ; Middle Aged ; Mortality ; Aged ; Nonlinear Dynamics ; Adolescent ; Child ; },
abstract = {Heatwaves are commonly simplified as binary variables in epidemiological studies, limiting the understanding of heatwave-mortality associations. Here we conduct a multi-country study across 28 East Asian cities that employed the Cumulative Excess Heatwave Index (CEHWI), which represents excess heat accumulation during heatwaves, to explore the potentially nonlinear associations of daytime-only, nighttime-only, and day-night compound heatwaves with mortality from 1981 to 2010. Populations exhibited high adaptability to daytime-only and nighttime-only heatwaves, with non-accidental mortality risks increasing only at higher CEHWI levels (75th-90th percentiles). In contrast, compound heatwaves posed a super-linear increase in mortality risks after the 25th percentile of CEHWI. Associations of heatwaves with cardiovascular mortality mirrored those with non-accidental mortality but were more pronounced at higher CEHWI levels, while significant associations with respiratory mortality emerged at low-to-moderate CEHWI levels. These results highlight the necessity of considering the nonlinear health responses to heatwaves of different types in disease burden assessments and heatwave-health warning systems amid climate change.},
}
@article {pmid39805158,
year = {2025},
author = {Towsif Khan, S and Sample, DJ and Wynn-Thompson, T and Butcher, J},
title = {Impacts of climate change on storm event-based flow regime and channel stability of urban headwater streams.},
journal = {Journal of environmental management},
volume = {374},
number = {},
pages = {123994},
doi = {10.1016/j.jenvman.2024.123994},
pmid = {39805158},
issn = {1095-8630},
abstract = {Due to the recent improved availability of global and regional climate change (CC) models and associated data, the projected impact of CC on urban stormwater management is well documented. However, most studies are based on simplified design storm analysis and unit-area runoff models; evaluations of the long-term, continuous hydrologic response of extensive stormwater control measures (SCM) implementation under future CC scenarios are limited. Moreover, channel stability in response to CC is seldom evaluated due to the input data required to develop a long-term, continuous sediment transport model. The study objective was to evaluate the impact of CC on storm event-based flow regimes and channel stability in a small, urbanized catchment (0.9 km[2]) in Montgomery County, Maryland, USA. This study employed a previously developed sequential, hierarchical modeling approach, integrating a watershed-scale Storm Water Management Model (SWMM) with the Hydrologic Engineering Center River Analysis System (HEC-RAS) to achieve the study goal. Ensemble modeling results indicate that conclusions related to impacts on SCM performance drawn from simplified, unit area models are not supported by findings from dynamic, continuous simulations that consider the complexities of real urban catchments and SCM interactions. Despite a general decrease in the total rainfall amount of individual storm events for most storm events, there is a noted increase in intensity for nearly all future storm events compared to current climatic conditions. This change in storm event-based rainfall pattern is expected to drive the catchment-scale hydrology to a flashier regime in the future, which in turn is expected to increase the extent of channel erosion compared to the current climate condition. A multicriteria design approach considering the interplay of multiple SCMs and local sediment transport capacity is thus necessary to ensure channel stability under changing climate.},
}
@article {pmid39804543,
year = {2025},
author = {Rinke, K and Mi, C and Magee, MR and Carey, CC},
title = {Increasing exposure to global climate change and hopes for the era of climate adaptation: An aquatic perspective.},
journal = {Ambio},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
pmid = {39804543},
issn = {1654-7209},
}
@article {pmid39803196,
year = {2025},
author = {Meza-Joya, FL and Morgan-Richards, M and Trewick, SA},
title = {Forecasting Range Shifts in Terrestrial Alpine Insects Under Global Warming.},
journal = {Ecology and evolution},
volume = {15},
number = {1},
pages = {e70810},
pmid = {39803196},
issn = {2045-7758},
abstract = {Anthropogenic planetary heating is disrupting global alpine systems, but our ability to empirically measure and predict responses in alpine species distributions is impaired by a lack of comprehensive data and technical limitations. We conducted a comprehensive, semi-quantitative review of empirical studies on contemporary range shifts in alpine insects driven by climate heating, drawing attention to methodological issues and potential biotic and abiotic factors influencing variation in responses. We highlight case studies showing how range dynamics may affect standing genetic variation and adaptive potential, and discuss how data integration frameworks can improve forecasts. Although biotic and abiotic factors influence individual species responses, most alpine insects studied so far are shifting to higher elevations. Upslope shifts are often accompanied by range contractions that are expected to diminish species genetic variation and adaptive potential, increasing extinction risk. Endemic species on islands are predicted to be especially vulnerable. Inferences drawn from the responses of alpine insects, also have relevance to species in other montane habitats. Correlative niche modelling is a keystone tool to predict range responses to planetary heating, but its limited ability to consider biological processes underpinning species' responses complicates interpretation. Alpine insects exhibit some potential to respond to rising temperatures via genetic change or phenotypic plasticity. Thus, future efforts should incorporate biological processes by using flexible hybrid niche modelling approaches to enhance the biological realism of predictions. Boosting scientific capability to envisage the future of alpine environments and their associated biota is imperative given that the speed and intensity of heating on high-mountain ecosystems can surpass our ability to collect the empirical data required to guide effective conservation planning and management decisions.},
}
@article {pmid39802069,
year = {2024},
author = {Conn, DB and Soares Magalhães, RJ},
title = {Climate change: A health emergency for humans, animals, and the environment.},
journal = {One health (Amsterdam, Netherlands)},
volume = {19},
number = {},
pages = {100867},
pmid = {39802069},
issn = {2352-7714},
}
@article {pmid39801573,
year = {2024},
author = {Akello, W},
title = {Climate Change and Veterinary Medicine: A Call to Action for a Healthier Planet.},
journal = {F1000Research},
volume = {13},
number = {},
pages = {1360},
pmid = {39801573},
issn = {2046-1402},
mesh = {*Climate Change ; Animals ; Humans ; *Veterinary Medicine ; Zoonoses/prevention &amp; control/epidemiology ; Public Health ; },
abstract = {Climate change is rapidly transforming ecosystems and reshaping the landscapes of animal health, with profound consequences for public health, food security, and biodiversity. Rising temperatures, shifting weather patterns, and increased frequency of natural disasters are driving the emergence and spread of infectious diseases, particularly zoonotic and vector-borne diseases. These environmental shifts endanger the health and welfare of animals and the delicate balance between human populations, livestock, and wildlife. As the stewards of animal health, veterinarians are uniquely positioned to lead the change in addressing these complex challenges at the nexus of human, animal, and environmental health and well-being. This article calls for urgent actions to integrate climate adaptation and mitigation strategies into veterinary practice and education. It underscores the critical need for veterinarians to embrace the One Health approach to tackle climate-driven disease outbreaks and the growing threat of antimicrobial resistance to safeguard human and animal populations while protecting natural ecosystems. The article further explores the role of veterinarians in fostering sustainable agricultural practices, reducing the environmental impact of livestock production, conserving biodiversity and advocating for policy reforms that protect both animal and planetary health. As we face an era of unprecedented climate disruption, this call to action aims to inspire the global veterinary community to actively get involved in combating climate change and its worst impacts. By building climate-resilient practices, enhancing disease surveillance, and championing environmental stewardship, veterinarians can contribute significantly to a healthier, more sustainable future for all species on Earth.},
}
@article {pmid39800841,
year = {2025},
author = {Chen, JH and Yu, RT},
title = {Assessing the distribution pattern of Saussurea medusa under climate change using an optimized MaxEnt model in Qinghai-Xizang Plateau.},
journal = {Environmental monitoring and assessment},
volume = {197},
number = {2},
pages = {165},
pmid = {39800841},
issn = {1573-2959},
mesh = {*Climate Change ; *Saussurea ; *Ecosystem ; *Conservation of Natural Resources ; China ; Environmental Monitoring ; Models, Theoretical ; },
abstract = {Saussurea medusa is a rare alpine plant with significant medicinal value. To better understand the changes in its habitat in the context of climate change, this study used an optimized MaxEnt model to predict the current and future habitat of S. medusa under four shared socioeconomic pathways (SSPs) across three time periods (current, mid-century, and end-century) based on three climate system models. The results showed that the suitable habitat of S. medusa is mainly located in the southern and eastern parts of the Qinghai-Xizang Plateau (QXP), exhibiting a fragmented distribution pattern. The future suitable area of S. medusa is projected to decrease significantly by 42.5% to 96.7%, accompanied by a southward shift in its centroid and an upward shift in altitude. The study found that the highest temperature in the warmest month is the most important environmental factor affecting the distribution of S. medusa. This species is highly sensitive to climate change and requires urgent protection measures. Priority should focus on strengthening habitat protection in the southeastern Qinghai-Xizang Plateau, where some stable habitats remain outside protected areas. Expanding population monitoring, promoting ex-situ conservation, enhancing public education, and encouraging community involvement are essential. Additionally, as a medicinal plant, alternative strategies are needed to curb overharvesting of wild resources.},
}
@article {pmid39799646,
year = {2025},
author = {Huang, W and Chen, J and Yang, E and Meng, L and Feng, Y and Chen, Y and Huang, Z and Tan, R and Xiao, Z and Zhou, Y and Xu, M and Yu, K},
title = {Heat-tolerant subtropical Porites lutea may be better adapted to future climate change than tropical one in the South China Sea.},
journal = {The Science of the total environment},
volume = {962},
number = {},
pages = {178381},
doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2025.178381},
pmid = {39799646},
issn = {1879-1026},
abstract = {Coral reefs are degrading at an accelerating rate owing to climate change. Understanding the heat stress tolerance of corals is vital for their sustainability. However, this tolerance varies substantially geographically, and information regarding coral responses across latitudes is lacking. In this study, we conducted a high temperature (34 °C) stress experiment on Porites lutea from tropical Xisha Islands (XS) and subtropical Daya Bay (DY) in the South China Sea (SCS). We compared physiological levels, antioxidant activities, and transcriptome sequencing to explore heat tolerance mechanisms and adaptive potential. At 34 °C, both XS and DY corals experienced significant bleaching and the physiological/biochemical index decreased, with XS corals exhibiting greater changes than DY corals. Transcriptome analysis revealed that coral hosts respond to heat stress mainly by boosting metabolic activity. The subtle transcriptional responses of zooxanthellae C15 underscored the host's pivotal role in thermal stress responses. DY coral hosts showed lower bleaching, stronger physiological plasticity, and higher temperature tolerance thresholds than XS, indicating superior heat tolerance. This superiority is linked to negative feedback transcriptional regulation strategies, including active environmental stress response and genetic information damage repair. The differences in thermal adaptability between tropical and subtropical P. lutea in the SCS may be attributed to their genetic differences and native habitat environments, suggesting that subtropical P. lutea may have the potential to adapt to future climate change. This study provides novel insights for predicting the fate of corals at different latitudes in terms of global warming and provides instructive guidance for coral reef ecological restoration.},
}
@article {pmid39799296,
year = {2025},
author = {Chen, S and Zolo, Y and Ngulube, L and Isiagi, M and Maswime, S},
title = {Global surgery and climate change: how global surgery can prioritise both the health of the planet and its people.},
journal = {BMC surgery},
volume = {25},
number = {1},
pages = {21},
pmid = {39799296},
issn = {1471-2482},
mesh = {*Climate Change ; Humans ; *Global Health ; *Developing Countries ; Surgical Procedures, Operative ; Carbon Footprint ; Health Services Accessibility ; },
abstract = {Climate change is an emerging global health crisis, disproportionately affecting low- and middle-income countries (LMICs) where health outcomes are increasingly compromised by environmental stressors such as pollution, natural disasters, and human migration. With a focus on promoting health equity, Global Surgery advocates for expanding access to surgical care and enhancing health outcomes, particularly in resource-limited and disaster-affected areas like LMICs. The healthcare industry-and more specifically, surgical care-significantly contributes to the global carbon footprint, primarily through resource-intensive settings, i.e. operating rooms that generate greenhouse gases and substantial medical waste. Therefore, Global Surgery efforts aimed at improving surgical access through an increase in surgical volumes may inadvertently exacerbate health challenges for vulnerable populations by further contributing to environmental degradation. This predicament is particularly pronounced in LMICs, who already suffer from a disproportionate share of the global burden of disease, and where the demand for surgery is rising without corresponding resilient infrastructure. LMICs face a double jeopardy of health inequity coupled with climate vulnerability. As a movement positioned to improve health around the world, Global Surgery has an increasingly significant role in envisioning and ensuring a sustainable future. Global Surgery initiatives must prioritise sustainable infrastructure in both high-income countries (HICs) and LMICs, all while accounting for the unequal polluting contributions between HICs and LMICs and, consequently, moral responsibilities moving forward. Moreover, through targeting upstream causes of poor health at urban and perioperative levels, Global Surgery's interventions may help to reduce the global burden of disease-avoiding preventable surgeries and their carbon footprints from the outset. Altogether, Global Surgery and climate change are two matters of social justice whose solutions must synergistically centralise the health of both the planet and its most vulnerable people.},
}
@article {pmid39799162,
year = {2025},
author = {Olim, ST and Nickoloff, A and Moffat, LJ and Weaver, AJ and Eby, M},
title = {Mitigating anthropogenic climate change with aqueous green energy.},
journal = {Scientific reports},
volume = {15},
number = {1},
pages = {1700},
pmid = {39799162},
issn = {2045-2322},
support = {Climate Action and Awareness Fund//Government of Canada/ ; Climate Action and Awareness Fund//Government of Canada/ ; Discovery Grant//Natural Sciences and Engineering Research Council of Canada/ ; Discovery Grant//Natural Sciences and Engineering Research Council of Canada/ ; Discovery Grant//Natural Sciences and Engineering Research Council of Canada/ ; Discovery Grant//Natural Sciences and Engineering Research Council of Canada/ ; },
abstract = {Reaching net zero emissions and limiting global warming to 2 °C requires the widespread introduction of technology-based solutions to draw down existing atmospheric levels and future emissions of CO2. One such approach is direct air CO2 capture and storage (DACCS), a readily available, yet energy-intensive process. The combination of DACCS and ocean thermal energy conversion (OTEC) allows for independently powered carbon capture plants to inject concentrated carbon into deep marine sediments where storage is generally safe and permanent. OTEC is a form of electricity production that exploits the temperature difference between deep and shallow ocean waters, and can power DACCS on floating platforms at a price competitive with coal-generated electricity. Here we highlight the scale of the challenge facing society. We show that a safe and sustainable level of OTEC-generated electricity powering DACCS for 70 years could result in up to a 35% decrease in the relative global mean temperature warming compared to a business-as-usual emissions scenario.},
}
@article {pmid39798797,
year = {2025},
author = {Xu, Y and Tang, Y and Wang, C and Luo, Z},
title = {Key environmental predictors of Noctiluca scintillans distribution in the China sea and its climate change response.},
journal = {Environmental pollution (Barking, Essex : 1987)},
volume = {367},
number = {},
pages = {125672},
doi = {10.1016/j.envpol.2025.125672},
pmid = {39798797},
issn = {1873-6424},
abstract = {Noctiluca scintillans is one of the most common harmful algal species worldwide. In this study, a MaxEnt model was constructed to calculate the present and future habitat suitability of N. scintillans in the China Sea. A comprehensive evaluation index of variable importance was defined to measure the importance of key predictors in the model, and offshore distance, long-term average minimum primary productivity, water depth, long-term average minimum temperature, and minimum salinity were determined as the dominant drivers. The HAB index that was constructed by integrating the carrying capacity and habitat suitability characteristics was used to measure the risk of harmful algal blooms (HABs). The index indicated that high-risk areas of HABs caused by N. scintillans occurred around Hainan Island, Taiwan Island, the coastal areas of Guangdong, Fujian, and Zhejiang provinces, and the eastern nearshore area of Weihai in Shandong. Regardless of the greenhouse gas emission scenario, the occurrence of N. scintillans red tides was predicted to persist until 2100. Moreover, the total area of the HABs high zone was predicted to increase under RCP2.6 and decrease under RCP8.5, and the center of the integrated HABs high zone was predicted to be concentrated in the central area of the entire China Sea spanning 15°N to 33°N.},
}
@article {pmid39795365,
year = {2025},
author = {Baltazar, M and Castro, I and Gonçalves, B},
title = {Adaptation to Climate Change in Viticulture: The Role of Varietal Selection-A Review.},
journal = {Plants (Basel, Switzerland)},
volume = {14},
number = {1},
pages = {},
pmid = {39795365},
issn = {2223-7747},
support = {UI/BD/150730/2020//Funda&#xe7;&#xe3;o para a Ci&#xea;ncia e Tecnologia/ ; PD/00122/2012//Funda&#xe7;&#xe3;o para a Ci&#xea;ncia e Tecnologia/ ; UIDB/04033/2020//Funda&#xe7;&#xe3;o para a Ci&#xea;ncia e Tecnologia/ ; LA/P/0126/2020//Funda&#xe7;&#xe3;o para a Ci&#xea;ncia e Tecnologia/ ; },
abstract = {Viticulture faces unprecedented challenges due to the rapidly changing climate, particularly in regions like the Mediterranean Basin. Consequently, climate change adaptation strategies are crucial in viticulture, with short-term strategies being widely used despite increasing concerns about their sustainability, and long-term strategies considered promising, though costly. A promising but understudied strategy is varietal selection, as grapevines exhibit vast intervarietal diversity with untapped potential for climate-resilient varieties. By integrating research across plant physiology, biochemistry, histology, and genetics, we can better understand the traits behind the grapevine's capability for adaptation. Several traits, including morphological, physiological, and molecular aspects, have been shown to be crucial in adapting to environmental stresses such as drought and heat. By studying the abundant grapevine intervarietal diversity, the potential for viticulture adaptation to climate change through varietal selection is immense. This review article focuses on the potential of varietal selection in the adaptation of viticulture to climate change. For this, we will delve into the research regarding how climate affects grapevine growth and grape quality and how the grapevine responds to stress conditions, followed by a summary of different climate change adaptation strategies of viticulture. Finally, we will focus on varietal selection, discussing and summarizing different studies surrounding grapevine variety behaviour.},
}
@article {pmid39795346,
year = {2024},
author = {Yao, W and Wang, Z and Fan, Y and Liu, D and Ding, Z and Zhou, Y and Hu, S and Zhang, W and Ou, J},
title = {Prediction of Potential Habitat Distributions and Climate Change Impacts on the Rare Species Woonyoungia septentrionalis (Magnoliaceae) in China Based on MaxEnt.},
journal = {Plants (Basel, Switzerland)},
volume = {14},
number = {1},
pages = {},
pmid = {39795346},
issn = {2223-7747},
support = {MCHC-SC20232028//National Key Wildlife and Plant Conservation Project for Central Forestry and Grassland Transfer Payments/ ; },
abstract = {Changes in species' habitats provide important insights into the effects of climate change. Woonyoungia septentrionalis, a critically endangered species endemic to karst ecosystems, has a highly restricted distribution and is a key biological resource. Despite its ecological importance, the factors influencing its habitat suitability and distribution remain poorly understood. This study employed ecological niche modeling to predict the potential distribution of Woonyoungia septentrionalis across China and analyzed shifts in centroid location to explore migration pathways under current and future climate scenarios. The model exhibited high predictive accuracy (AUC = 0.988), indicating its robustness in assessing habitat suitability. Under current climatic conditions, Woonyoungia septentrionalis is predominantly found in the Guizhou-Guangxi border region, southeastern Yunnan, eastern Sichuan, southeastern Tibet, and parts of Chongqing, Hunan, and Hubei. Among these, the Guizhou-Guangxi border represents the primary suitable habitat. Temperature factors, particularly bio6 (minimum temperature of the coldest month) and bio7 (annual temperature range), were the most significant determinants of habitat suitability, contributing 43.29% and 12.65%, respectively. Soil cation exchange capacity (CEC) accounted for 15.82%, while precipitation had a relatively minor impact. Under future climate scenarios, suitable habitats for Woonyoungia septentrionalis are projected to shrink and shift toward higher altitudes and latitudes, increasing the risk of extinction due to the "mountain trap" effect, where migration is constrained by limited habitat at higher elevations. Stable habitats, particularly in Libo (Guizhou) and Huanjiang (Guangxi), are identified as critical refugia. We recommend prioritizing shrinking and stable habitats in Guizhou, Guangxi, and Yunnan for in situ conservation. Ex situ conservation efforts should focus on areas identified based on key environmental factors and predicted migration pathways to ensure the species' long-term survival. This study provides both theoretical and practical guidance for the conservation of this species and its vulnerable habitat.},
}
@article {pmid39795327,
year = {2024},
author = {Lu, K and Liu, M and Feng, Q and Liu, W and Zhu, M and Duan, Y},
title = {Predicting the Global Distribution of Nitraria L. Under Climate Change Based on Optimized MaxEnt Modeling.},
journal = {Plants (Basel, Switzerland)},
volume = {14},
number = {1},
pages = {},
pmid = {39795327},
issn = {2223-7747},
support = {32060095, 32300324 and 32460323//the National Natural Science Foundation of China/ ; 2022YFF1303301//The National Key R&amp;D Program of China/ ; YLKJ-2024-RCZD-001//Yulin Major Science and Technology Project Special Project/ ; CXY 2021-81 and CXY 2023-164//Yulin Industry-University-Research Project/ ; 2023-JC-QN-0252//Natural Science Basic Research Program of Shaanxi Province/ ; 2022PTJB010//Shaanxi Province "Four subjects and One Union" Sandy Land Ecological Protection and Restoration and Sand Industry Joint Research Center/ ; },
abstract = {The genus of Nitraria L. are Tertiary-relict desert sand-fixing plants, which are an important forage and agricultural product, as well as an important source of medicinal and woody vegetable oil. In order to provide a theoretical basis for better protection and utilization of species in the Nitraria L., this study collected global distribution information within the Nitraria L., along with data on 29 environmental and climatic factors. The Maximum Entropy (MaxEnt) model was used to simulate the globally suitable distribution areas for Nitraria L. The results showed that the mean AUC value was 0.897, the TSS average value was 0.913, and the model prediction results were excellent. UV-B seasonality (UVB-2), UV-B of the lowest month (UVB-4), precipitation of the warmest quarter (bio18), the DEM (Digital Elevation Model), and annual precipitation (bio12) were the key variables affecting the distribution area of Nitraria L, with contributions of 54.4%, 11.1%, 8.3%, 7.4%, and 4.1%, respectively. The Nitraria L. plants are currently found mainly in Central Asia, North Africa, the neighboring Middle East, and parts of southern Australia and Siberia. In future scenarios, except for a small expansion of the 2030s scenario model Nitraria L., the potential suitable distribution areas showed a decreasing trend. The contraction area is mainly concentrated in South Asia, such as Afghanistan and Pakistan, North Africa, Libya, as well as in areas of low suitability in northern Australia, where there was also significant shrinkage. The areas of expansion are mainly concentrated in the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau to the Iranian plateau, and the Sahara Desert is also partly expanded. With rising Greenhouse gas concentrations, habitat fragmentation is becoming more severe. Center-of-mass migration results also suggest that the potential suitable area of Nitraria L. will shift northwestward in the future. This study can provide a theoretical basis for determining the scope of Nitraria L. habitat protection, population restoration, resource management and industrial development in local areas.},
}
@article {pmid39795291,
year = {2024},
author = {Nie, T and Liu, X and Chen, P and Jiang, L and Sun, Z and Yin, S and Wang, T and Li, T and Du, C},
title = {Characterizing Droughts During the Rice Growth Period in Northeast China Based on Daily SPEI Under Climate Change.},
journal = {Plants (Basel, Switzerland)},
volume = {14},
number = {1},
pages = {},
pmid = {39795291},
issn = {2223-7747},
support = {LH2023E109//Natural Science Foundation Project of Heilongjiang Province/ ; 52079028//National Natural Science Foundation Project of China/ ; 2021-KYYWF-0019//Basic Scientific Research Fund of Heilongjiang Provincial Universities/ ; AWR2021002//Opening Project of Key Laboratory of Efficient Use of Agricultural Water Resources, Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs of the People's Republic of China/ ; GZC20230668//Postdoctoral Fellowship Program of CPSF/ ; },
abstract = {In agricultural production, droughts occurring during the crucial growth periods of crops hinder crop development, while the daily-scale standardized precipitation evapotranspiration index (SPEI) can be applied to accurately identify the drought characteristics. In this study, we used the statistical downscaling method to obtain the daily precipitation (Pr), maximum air temperature (Tmax) and minimum air temperature (Tmin) during the rice growing season in Heilongjiang Province from 2015 to 2100 under the SSP1-2.6, SSP2-4.5 and SSP5-8.5 in CMIP6, to study the spatial and temporal characteristics of drought during the rice growing season in cold region and the effect of climate change on drought characteristics. The potential evapotranspiration (PET0) was calculated using the regression correction method of the Hargreaves formula recommended by the FAO, and the daily SPEI was calculated to quantitatively identify the drought classification. The Pearson correlation coefficient was used to analyze the correlation between the meteorological factors (Pr, Tmax, Tmin), PET0 and SPEI. The results showed that: (1) Under 3 SSP scenarios, Pr showed an increasing trend from the northwest to the southeast, Tmax showed an increasing trend from the northeast to the southwest, and higher Tmin was mainly distributed in the east and west regions. (2) PET0 indicated an overall interannual rise in the three future SSP scenarios, with higher values mainly distributed in the central and western regions. The mean daily PET0 values ranged from 4.8 to 6.0 mm/d. (3) Under SSP1-2.6, rice mainly experienced mild drought and moderate drought (-0.5 ≥ SPEI > -1.5). The predominant drought classifications experienced were mild, moderate, and severe drought under SSP2-4.5 and SSP8.5 (-0.5 ≥ SPEI > -2.0). (4) The tillering stage experienced the highest drought frequency and drought intensity, with the longest drought lasting 24 days. However, the heading flower stage had the lowest drought frequency and drought intensity. The drought barycenter was mainly in Tieli and Suihua. (5) The PET0 was most affected by the Tmax, while the SPEI was most affected by the Pr. This study offers a scientific and rational foundation for understanding the drought sensitivity of rice in Northeast China, as well as a rationale for the optimal scheduling of water resources in agriculture in the future.},
}
@article {pmid39794993,
year = {2024},
author = {Ferronato, G and Simonetto, A and Gilioli, G and Zecconi, A},
title = {Modeling Mastitis Risk Management Effects on Dairy Milk Yield and Global Warming Potential.},
journal = {Animals : an open access journal from MDPI},
volume = {15},
number = {1},
pages = {},
pmid = {39794993},
issn = {2076-2615},
support = {2020-4135//Fondazione Cariplo/ ; },
abstract = {Mastitis represents a significant challenge for dairy farming, resulting in economic losses and environmental impacts. This study assesses a model for the evaluation of the impact of mastitis on dairy productivity and Global Warming Potential (GWP) under diverse management scenarios. The model considers a range of factors, including bedding materials, milking systems, health surveillance, and overcrowding. The results of the simulation demonstrate that effective management, encompassing the utilization of sand bedding, and the presence of an annual herd health monitoring plan have the potential to reduce the prevalence of mastitis and enhance milk yield by up to 10% in milking parlors and 7% in automatic milking systems. At the herd level, the GWP ranged from 1.37 to 1.78 kg CO2eq/kg Fat- and Protein-Corrected Milk (FPCM), with the use of sand bedding resulting in a 14% reduction in GWP, while the utilization of non-composted manure-based materials led to an increase of 12%. The occurrence of overcrowding and a lack of adequate cleanliness in resting areas were found to have a markedly detrimental impact on both productivity and the environmental performance of cows. These findings illustrate the dual benefits of enhanced mastitis management, namely improved milk production and reduced environmental impact. They offer valuable insights for farmers and policymakers alike.},
}
@article {pmid39794528,
year = {2025},
author = {Andriuzzi, W},
title = {Dispersal under climate change.},
journal = {Nature ecology &amp; evolution},
volume = {9},
number = {1},
pages = {4},
doi = {10.1038/s41559-024-02607-1},
pmid = {39794528},
issn = {2397-334X},
}
@article {pmid39794004,
year = {2025},
author = {Butler, CD and Rao, M},
title = {What "dose" of anxiety is needed to awaken transformative action on climate change?.},
journal = {BMJ (Clinical research ed.)},
volume = {388},
number = {},
pages = {q2584},
doi = {10.1136/bmj.q2584},
pmid = {39794004},
issn = {1756-1833},
}
@article {pmid39793647,
year = {2025},
author = {Ge, W and Prime, NS and Smith, SJ and Liu, J and Ren, Y and Zhou, Y and Wu, H and Wang, X and Chen, G},
title = {The short-term comprehensive impact of the phase-out of global coal combustion on air pollution and climate change.},
journal = {Environmental pollution (Barking, Essex : 1987)},
volume = {367},
number = {},
pages = {125669},
doi = {10.1016/j.envpol.2025.125669},
pmid = {39793647},
issn = {1873-6424},
abstract = {With the continuous intensification of global warming, the reduction and ultimate phase-out of coal combustion is an inevitable trend in the future global energy transformation. This study comprehensively analyzed the impact of phasing out coal combustion on global emissions and concentrations of air pollutants, radiative fluxes, meteorology and climate using Community Earth System Model 2 (CESM2). The results indicate that after the global phase-out of coal combustion, there is a marked decrease in the concentrations of sulfur dioxide (SO2), nitrogen oxides (NOx) and fine particulate matter (PM2.5), with some regions experiencing a reduction of exceeding 50%. There is no significant change in global ozone (O3) concentration. There are decreasing AOD and positive radiative fluxes globally in the short term, though the cloud contributes minor negative radiative fluxes. The global air temperature may increase by approximately (0.02 ± 0.15) °C on average with regional and seasonal variations, and the precipitation may potentially increase by approximately (2.7 ± 40.6) mm yr[-1] globally and over 20% in equatorial regions in the short term. But combined with the decreasing trend of cloud water content in the Northern Hemisphere, it indicates a potential increase in the extremity of precipitation events. This study provides references for global control of air pollution, mitigation strategies of climate change, and transformation of energy structures under the objective of "carbon neutrality", such as focusing on the negative climate impacts of exacerbating regional warming and increasing extreme precipitation resulting from the rapid reduction of aerosols in the short term.},
}
@article {pmid39793502,
year = {2025},
author = {Sadyrov, S and Isaev, E and Tanaka, K and Murata, A and Sidle, RC},
title = {High-resolution assessment of climate change impacts on the surface energy and water balance in the glaciated Naryn River basin, Central Asia.},
journal = {Journal of environmental management},
volume = {374},
number = {},
pages = {124021},
doi = {10.1016/j.jenvman.2024.124021},
pmid = {39793502},
issn = {1095-8630},
abstract = {Mountain regions of Central Asia are experiencing strong influences from climate change, with significant reductions in snow cover and glacial reserves. A comprehensive assessment of the potential consequences under the worst-case climate scenario is vital for adaptation measures throughout the region. Water balance analysis in the Naryn River basin was conducted for the baseline period of 1981-2000 including potential changes under the worst-case SSP5-8.5 scenario for 2077-2096 by combining high-resolution (5 km) regional climate projections with fully distributed glacio-hydrological (1 km) modeling. Results showed that with the complete degradation of glaciers and increase in evapotranspiration, the overall runoff will decrease by 16%, and in the upper basins, the reduction will exceed 40%. The maximum snow water equivalent (SWE) is projected to decrease by 17%, and the seasonal peak of SWE will occur one month earlier. The transition from snow to rain will significantly affect lower regions, increasing extremes in peak runoff and causing 10-year recurrence interval events to occur every 3-4 years. Moreover, extreme runoff in high mountainous areas will increase due to intensified snowmelt and increased rainfall extremes. Additionally, a gradient of surface soil temperature change of 0.1 °C per 100 m elevation gain was observed, suggesting a potential snow-albedo feedback effect that could further amplify the warming, especially at higher altitudes. This study provides a robust analytical framework to assess the complex responses of mountain ecosystems to the impacts of climate change, with the potential of widespread application for addressing the challenges facing these critical regions.},
}
@article {pmid39793128,
year = {2025},
author = {Jiménez-Bonilla, A and Rodríguez-Rodríguez, M and Yanes, JL and Gázquez, F},
title = {Impact of climate change on permanent lakes in a semiarid region: Southwestern Mediterranean basin (S Spain).},
journal = {The Science of the total environment},
volume = {961},
number = {},
pages = {178305},
doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.178305},
pmid = {39793128},
issn = {1879-1026},
abstract = {In recent decades, many wetlands in the Mediterranean watershed have dried up. We forecast the impact of climate change on the hydrology of three permanent lakes in a semiarid areo of the southwestern Mediterranean region. To achieve this, we applied daily water balance models to calculate variations in water levels and validated our approach using actual lake level measurements spanning over 20 years. To delve into groundwater/lake interactions, we calculated several hydrological indices and compared evaporation with the water level drop during extremely dry periods. After validating the three hydrological models, we applied the RCP 4.5 and RCP 8.5 climate change scenarios. We found Zóñar Lake highly resilient to climate changes because of groundwater contributions, resulting in minimal lake level oscillations even during periods of low rainfall. However, spring management and/or groundwater extractions may affect the lake hydroperiod. The Amarga and Grande lakes have weaker lake/groundwater interactions and show significant water lake level fluctuations, making them more sensitive to climate change. Indeed, our model predict that these lakes will transition into semipermanent or seasonal playa-lakes by mid-21th century. We found that deep and spring and/or groundwater-fed lakes are less vulnerable to climate changes. These results highlight the importance of developing robust hydrogeological models in such water bodies, focusing on the climate changes vulnerability of wetlands in semiarid regions, in order to formulate an integrated strategy for water resources management.},
}
@article {pmid39793053,
year = {2025},
author = {Karatayev, VA and Munch, SB and Rogers, TL and Reuman, DC},
title = {Climate change could amplify weak synchrony in large marine ecosystems.},
journal = {Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America},
volume = {122},
number = {1},
pages = {e2404155121},
doi = {10.1073/pnas.2404155121},
pmid = {39793053},
issn = {1091-6490},
support = {2205794//National Science Foundation (NSF)/ ; 1714195//National Science Foundation (NSF)/ ; 2023474//National Science Foundation (NSF)/ ; NA//James S. McDonnell Foundation (JSMF)/ ; },
mesh = {*Climate Change ; *Ecosystem ; Animals ; *Population Dynamics ; *Fishes/physiology ; Invertebrates/physiology ; Aquatic Organisms/physiology ; California ; Models, Biological ; },
abstract = {Climate change is increasing the frequency of large-scale, extreme environmental events and flattening environmental gradients. Whether such changes will cause spatially synchronous, large-scale population declines depends on mechanisms that limit metapopulation synchrony, thereby promoting rescue effects and stability. Using long-term data and empirical dynamic models, we quantified spatial heterogeneity in density dependence, spatial heterogeneity in environmental responses, and environmental gradients to assess their role in inhibiting synchrony across 36 marine fish and invertebrate species. Overall, spatial heterogeneity in population dynamics was as important as environmental drivers in explaining population variation. This heterogeneity leads to weak synchrony in the California Current Ecosystem, where populations exhibit diverse responses to shared, large-scale environmental change. In contrast, in the Northeast U.S. Shelf Ecosystem, gradients in average environmental conditions among locations, filtered through nonlinear environmental response curves, limit synchrony. Simulations predict that environmental gradients and response diversity will continue to inhibit synchrony even if large-scale environmental extremes become common. However, if environmental gradients weaken, synchrony and periods of large-scale population decline may rise sharply among commercially important species on the Northeast Shelf. Our approach thus allows ecologists to 1) quantify how differences among local communities underpin landscape-scale resilience and 2) identify the kinds of future climatic changes most likely to amplify synchrony and erode species stability.},
}
@article {pmid39792824,
year = {2025},
author = {Gulhan, D and Bahrami, B and Deroy, O},
title = {Studying attention to IPCC climate change maps with mobile eye-tracking.},
journal = {PloS one},
volume = {20},
number = {1},
pages = {e0316909},
pmid = {39792824},
issn = {1932-6203},
mesh = {Humans ; *Climate Change ; *Attention/physiology ; *Eye-Tracking Technology ; Male ; Female ; Adult ; Young Adult ; Eye Movements/physiology ; Anxiety/psychology ; },
abstract = {Many visualisations used in the climate communication field aim to present the scientific models of climate change to the public. However, relatively little research has been conducted on how such data are visually processed, particularly from a behavioural science perspective. This study examines trends in visual attention to climate change predictions in world maps using mobile eye-tracking while participants engage with the visualisations. Our primary aim is to assess engagement with the maps, as indicated by gaze metrics. Secondary analyses assess whether social context (as social viewing compared to solitary viewing) affects these trends, the relationship between projection types and visual attention, compare gaze metrics between scientific map and artwork viewing, and explore correlations between self-reported climate anxiety scores and attention patterns. We employed wearable, head-mounted eye-tracking to collect data in relatively naturalistic conditions, aiming to enhance ecological validity. In this research, participants engaged with ten world maps displaying near- and far-term climate projections across five data categories, adapted from the online interactive atlas provided by the International Panel on Climate Change (IPCC). To compare scientific information processing with aesthetic perception, participants also viewed two large-scale artworks. Responses to the Climate Change Anxiety Scale (CCAS) were also collected. Participants viewed the displays alone (single-viewing condition, N = 35) or together with a partner (paired-viewing condition, N = 12). Results revealed that the upper parts of the maps, particularly the continental Europe, received significant attention, suggesting a Euro-centric bias in viewing patterns. Spatial gaze patterns were similar between single and paired conditions, indicating that the visual attributes of the maps predominantly shaped attention locations. Although dwell times were comparable, the paired condition showed higher fixation counts, shorter average fixation durations, and longer scanpaths, suggesting a potentially dissociable viewing strategy and more exploratory viewing patterns influenced by social interaction. No substantial differences were observed in attention across projection timeframes or types, although individual variations were noted. Artwork viewing exhibited notably shorter average fixation durations compared to climate map viewing, potentially reflecting different visual engagement styles. Despite positive linear correlations among the four CCAS subscales, there was no apparent correlation between CCAS scores and main gaze metrics, indicating a lack of a direct relationship between self-reported anxiety and gaze behaviour. In summary, visual attention to climate change visualisations appears to be mainly influenced by the inherent visual attributes of the maps, but the social context may subtly influence visual attention. Additionally, the comparison with aesthetic viewing highlights relatively distinct attentional patterns in scientific versus aesthetic engagements.},
}
@article {pmid39790456,
year = {2025},
author = {Fan, YC and Yuan, YQ and Yuan, YC and Duan, WJ and Gao, ZQ},
title = {Research progress on the impact of climate change on wheat production in China.},
journal = {PeerJ},
volume = {13},
number = {},
pages = {e18569},
pmid = {39790456},
issn = {2167-8359},
mesh = {*Triticum/growth &amp; development ; *Climate Change ; China ; Agriculture/methods ; Crops, Agricultural/growth &amp; development ; Seasons ; },
abstract = {It is crucial to elucidate the impact of climate change on wheat production in China. This article provides a review of the current climate change scenario and its effects on wheat cultivation in China, along with an examination of potential future impacts and possible response strategies. Against the backdrop of climate change, several key trends emerge: increasing temperature during the wheat growing season, raising precipitation, elevated CO2 concentration, and diminished radiation. Agricultural disasters primarily stem from oscillations in temperature and precipitation, with the northern wheat region being mostly affected. The impact on wheat production is manifested in a reduction in the area under cultivation, with the most rapid reduction in spring wheat, and a shift in the center of cultivation to the west. Furthermore, climate change accelerates the nutritional stage and shortens phenology. Climate change has also led to an increase in yields in the Northeast spring wheat region, the Northern spring wheat region, the Northwest spring wheat region, and the North China winter wheat region, and a decrease in yields in the middle and lower reaches of the Yangtze River winter wheat region, the Southwest winter wheat region, and the South China winter wheat region. To cope with climate change, Chinese wheat can adopt adaptation strategies and measures such as breeding different wheat varieties for different wheat-growing regions, implementing differentiated farmland management measures, promoting regional ecological farmland construction, and establishing scientific monitoring and early warning systems. While future climate change may stimulate wheat yield potential, it could cause climate-induced issues such as weeds, diseases, and pests worsen, thereby posing challenges to the sustainability of farmland. Moreover, it is essential to conduct comprehensive research on pivotal areas such as the microscopic mechanism of climate change and wheat growth, the comprehensive influence of multiple climate factors, and the application of new monitoring and simulation technologies. This will facilitate the advancement of related research and provide invaluable insights.},
}
@article {pmid39790104,
year = {2025},
author = {Wang, L and Liu, Y and Zhao, L and Lu, X and Huang, L and Jin, Y and Davis, SJ and Aghakouchak, A and Huang, X and Zhu, T and Qin, Y},
title = {Unraveling climate change-induced compound low-solar-low-wind extremes in China.},
journal = {National science review},
volume = {12},
number = {1},
pages = {nwae424},
pmid = {39790104},
issn = {2053-714X},
abstract = {China's pursuit of carbon neutrality targets hinges on a profound shift towards low-carbon energy, primarily reliant on intermittent and variable, yet crucial, solar and wind power sources. In particular, low-solar-low-wind (LSLW) compound extremes present a critical yet largely ignored threat to the reliability of renewable electricity generation. While existing studies have largely evaluated the impacts of average climate-induced changes in renewable energy resources, comprehensive analyses of the compound extremes and, particularly, the underpinning dynamic mechanisms remain scarce. Here we show the dynamic evolution of compound LSLW extremes and their underlying mechanisms across China via coupling multi-model simulations with diagnostic analysis. Our results unveil a strong topographic dependence in the frequency of compound LSLW extremes, with a national average frequency of 16.4 (10th-90th percentile interval ranges from 5.3 to 32.6) days/yr, when renewable energy resources in eastern China are particularly compromised (∼80% lower than that under an average climate). We reveal a striking increase in the frequency of LSLW extremes, ranging from 12.4% under SSP126 to 60.2% under SSP370, primarily driven by both renewable energy resource declines and increasingly heavily-tailed distributions, resulting from weakened meridional temperature (pressure) gradient, increased frequency of extremely dense cloud cover and additional distinctive influence of increased aerosols under SSP370. Our study underscores the urgency of preparing for significantly heightened occurrences of LSLW events in a warmer future, emphasizing that such climate-induced compound LSLW extreme changes are not simply by chance, but rather projectable, thereby underscoring the need for proactive adaptation strategies. Such insights are crucial for countries navigating a similar transition towards renewable energy.},
}
@article {pmid39788890,
year = {2025},
author = {Zhao, G and Kim, H and Yang, C and Chung, YG},
title = {Correction to "Leveraging Machine Learning To Predict the Atmospheric Lifetime and the Global Warming Potential of SF6 Replacement Gases".},
journal = {The journal of physical chemistry. A},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1021/acs.jpca.5c00016},
pmid = {39788890},
issn = {1520-5215},
}
@article {pmid39788051,
year = {2025},
author = {Sponagel, C and Weik, J and Witte, F and Back, H and Wagner, M and Ruser, R and Bahrs, E},
title = {Climate change mitigation potential and economic evaluation of selected technical adaptation measures and innovations in conventional arable farming in Germany.},
journal = {Journal of environmental management},
volume = {374},
number = {},
pages = {123884},
doi = {10.1016/j.jenvman.2024.123884},
pmid = {39788051},
issn = {1095-8630},
abstract = {Agriculture accounts for a large proportion of global greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions. It is therefore crucial to identify effective and efficient GHG mitigation potentials in agriculture, but also in related upstream sectors. However, previous studies in this area have rarely undertaken a cross-sectoral assessment. There is also a gap in research on the GHG mitigation potential of innovations such as green ammonia in arable farming at a larger spatial scale. The study therefore aimed to analyze how selected technological adaptations or innovations can be used to contribute to efficient and effective cross-sectoral GHG mitigation in conventional arable farming systems. Germany, one of the largest agricultural producers and contributors of GHG emissions from agriculture in the EU, was chosen as a case study. The GHG mitigation potential and abatement cost of four selected measures were analyzed using an integrated land use model and life cycle assessment. Their GHG mitigation potential varied between 0.3 Mt CO2-eq. for nitrification inhibitors under lower mitigation rate assumptions and 4.7 Mt CO2-eq. for green ammonia with upper mitigation rate assumptions on GHG emission impacts, i. e. rather high mitigation. While crop varieties based on new genomic technologies (NGT) were introduced at no GHG abatement cost, the average mitigation costs ranged from 48 € for the use of nitrification inhibitors (upper mitigation rate) to 1233 € per t CO2-eq. for N sensors (lower mitigation rate). There were also regional differences due to different land use structures, regional farm sizes, economic and agronomic conditions. Based on these results we recommend for agricultural and environmental policy to foster the use of nitrification inhibitors due to the identified GHG reduction potential and the comparatively low GHG abatement costs. Additionally, the use of green ammonia in fertilizer production should be further promoted. Although the results are exemplary for Germany, they can be very informative for other EU Member States with comparable socio-economic and agronomic conditions.},
}
@article {pmid39787218,
year = {2025},
author = {Pillar, VD and Overbeck, GE},
title = {Grazing can reduce wildfire risk amid climate change.},
journal = {Science (New York, N.Y.)},
volume = {387},
number = {6730},
pages = {eadu7471},
doi = {10.1126/science.adu7471},
pmid = {39787218},
issn = {1095-9203},
mesh = {Animals ; Humans ; *Climate Change ; Ecosystem ; Grassland ; *Herbivory ; Poaceae ; Smoke/adverse effects ; *Wildfires ; Risk ; },
abstract = {Over half of Earth's land surface is covered with fire-prone vegetation, with grassy ecosystems-such as grasslands, savannas, woodlands, and shrublands-being the most extensive. In the context of the climate crisis, scientists worldwide are exploring adaptation measures to address the heightened fire risk driven by more frequent extreme climatic conditions such as droughts and heatwaves, as well as by non-native plant invasions that increased fuel loads and altered fire regimes. Although fire is intrinsic to grassy ecosystems, rising exposure to wildfire smoke harms human health and the environment. Here, we argue that grazing management in grassy ecosystems could help reduce wildfire risk and its consequences.},
}
@article {pmid39786478,
year = {2025},
author = {Sattar, T and Mirza, NF and Javed, MA and Nasar-U-Minallah, M and Malik, S},
title = {Changing pattern of urban landscape and its impact on thermal environment of Lahore; Implications for climate change and sustainable development.},
journal = {Environmental monitoring and assessment},
volume = {197},
number = {2},
pages = {151},
pmid = {39786478},
issn = {1573-2959},
mesh = {*Climate Change ; *Urbanization ; *Environmental Monitoring/methods ; *Sustainable Development ; *Geographic Information Systems ; *Cities ; Temperature ; Conservation of Natural Resources/methods ; Pakistan ; },
abstract = {Rapid urbanization in Lahore has dramatically transformed land use and land cover (LULC), significantly impacting the city's thermal environment and intensifying climate change and sustainable development challenges. This study aims to examine the changes in the urban landscape of Lahore and their impact on the Urban thermal environment between 1990 and 2020. The previous studies conducted on Lahore lack the application of Geospatial artificial intelligence (GeoAI) to quantify land use and land cover, which is successfully covered in this study. This study analyzes how urban sprawl has driven LULC shifts and assesses their direct impact on Land Surface Temperature (LST) using Geographic Information System (GIS) and remote sensing techniques. Landsat imagery, processed using Google Earth Engine (GEE), was employed for LULC classification and LST calculation, ensuring high accuracy through multi-level change detection and a thorough accuracy assessment. Pearson's correlation was also calculated in this study to assess the impact of decreased green cover on LST. The findings highlight a substantial decrease in green cover, from 1,292.8 km[2] in 1990 to 754 km[2] in 2020, alongside a marked increase in built-up areas, expanding from 262 km[2] to over 550 km[2]. Additionally, barren land showed significant growth, while water bodies diminished. The spatiotemporal analysis of LST indicates a considerable rise in high-temperature zones, specifically the industrial zones, with areas exceeding 40 °C expanding from 2 km[2] to 1,075 km[2] over the study period. A strong positive correlation between increased urbanization and rising LST, particularly in areas within a 10 to 40 km radius of the Central Business District (CBD), is evident. The overall accuracy of LULC classification surpassed 94%, with the kappa coefficient above 92%, ensuring the robustness of the results. Future research should focus on evaluating the long-term socioeconomic impacts of urban sprawl and LST increment while developing heat mitigation strategies. Recommendations include adopting sustainable urban planning practices prioritizing green infrastructure, energy-efficient building designs, and policies promoting environmental preservation. This study offers valuable insights for policymakers and underscores the urgency of balancing urban growth with strategies that mitigate thermal stress, combat climate change, and foster sustainable development in Lahore.},
}
@article {pmid39781276,
year = {2025},
author = {Feng, X and Wang, X and Jia, L and Yuan, W and Lu, M and Liu, N and Wu, F and Cai, X and Wang, F and Lin, CJ},
title = {Influence of global warming and human activity on mercury accumulation patterns in wetlands across the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau.},
journal = {National science review},
volume = {12},
number = {1},
pages = {nwae414},
pmid = {39781276},
issn = {2053-714X},
abstract = {Wetlands in the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau are a unique and fragile ecosystem undergoing rapid changes. We show two unique patterns of mercury (Hg) accumulation in wetland sediments. One is the 'surface peak' in monsoon-controlled regions and the other is the 'subsurface peak' in westerly-controlled regions. The former is attributed to the combined effects of increasing anthropogenic emissions and climate-induced changes in the cryosphere and wetland hydrology in the last 100-150 years. The climate changes in westerly-controlled regions in the last 50-70 years led to a fluctuation in hydrology and Hg peak in the sediment subsurface. The increase in legacy Hg input from soil erosion has largely enhanced the Hg accumulation rate in wetlands since the 1950s, especially in the proglacial wetlands. We highlight that accelerated glacier melting and permafrost thawing caused by global warming have altered geomorphology and hydrology, and affected Hg transport and accumulation in wetlands.},
}
@article {pmid39780586,
year = {2025},
author = {Locatelli, B and Lavorel, S and Colloff, MJ and Crouzat, E and Bruley, E and Fedele, G and Grêt-Regamey, A and Plieninger, T and Andersson, E and Abbott, M and Butler, J and Devisscher, T and Djoudi, H and Dubo, T and González-García, A and Karim, PG and Múnera-Roldán, C and Neyret, M and Quétier, F and Salliou, N and Walters, G},
title = {Intertwined people-nature relations are central to nature-based adaptation to climate change.},
journal = {Philosophical transactions of the Royal Society of London. Series B, Biological sciences},
volume = {380},
number = {1917},
pages = {20230213},
pmid = {39780586},
issn = {1471-2970},
support = {//Biodiversa+/ ; //Universit&#xe9; Grenoble Alpes/ ; ANR-24-PEFO; ANR-22-EXSO//Agence Nationale de la Recherche/ ; //Future Cities Lab Global/ ; },
mesh = {*Climate Change ; Humans ; *Ecosystem ; Biodiversity ; Conservation of Natural Resources ; },
abstract = {Adaptation to climate change is a social-ecological process: it is not solely a result of natural processes or human decisions but emerges from multiple relations within social systems, within ecological systems and between them. We propose a novel analytical framework to evaluate social-ecological relations in nature-based adaptation, encompassing social (people-people), ecological (nature-nature) and social-ecological (people-nature) relations. Applying this framework to 25 case studies, we analyse the associations among these relations and identify archetypes of social-ecological adaptation. Our findings revealed that adaptation actions with more people-nature relations mobilize more social and ecological relations. We identified four archetypes, with distinct modes of adaptation along a gradient of people-nature interaction scores, summarized as: (i) nature control; (ii) biodiversity-based; (iii) ecosystem services-based; and (iv) integrated approaches. This study contributes to a nuanced understanding of nature-based adaptation, highlighting the importance of integrating diverse relations across social and ecological systems. Our findings offer valuable insights for informing the design and implementation of adaptation strategies and policies.This article is part of the discussion meeting issue 'Bending the curve towards nature recovery: building on Georgina Mace's legacy for a biodiverse future'.},
}
@article {pmid39780106,
year = {2025},
author = {Dias, IMAV and Grande, AJ and Jardim, PTC and Machado, AAV and Soratto, J and da Rosa, MI and Ceretta, LB and Roever, L and Zourntos, X and Harding, S},
title = {Indigenous university students' perceptions regarding nature, their daily lives and climate change: a photovoice study.},
journal = {BMC public health},
volume = {25},
number = {1},
pages = {90},
pmid = {39780106},
issn = {1471-2458},
mesh = {Humans ; *Climate Change ; *Students/psychology/statistics &amp; numerical data ; Female ; Male ; Universities ; Young Adult ; *Photography ; Brazil ; Adult ; Qualitative Research ; Nature ; Indians, South American/psychology ; Ecosystem ; Adolescent ; },
abstract = {BACKGROUND: Climate change has severe health impacts, particularly for populations living in environmentally sensitive areas such as riversides, slopes, and forests. These challenges are exacerbated for Indigenous communities, who often face marginalisation and rely heavily on the land for their livelihoods. Despite their vulnerability, the perspectives of Indigenous populations on climate change and its impacts remain underexplored, creating a critical gap in the literature. This study explored the perceptions of Indigenous Brazilian university students on how climate change affects their daily lives and gathered their insights on potential adaptations to mitigate climate change-related impacts.<br><br>METHODS: Using a participatory arts-based approach, participants captured photographs reflecting their lived experiences with climate change. Follow-up interviews provided a narrative framework for qualitative analysis, enabling participants to articulate the strengths and concerns of their communities while transcending cultural and linguistic barriers.<br><br>RESULTS: The study revealed key themes, including (1) the fragility of ecosystems critical to Indigenous livelihoods, (2) the erosion of traditional knowledge systems due to environmental and social disruptions, and (3) the need for community-driven strategies to protect territories and preserve cultural identities. Participants highlighted the interconnectedness of their cultural values with environmental stewardship, emphasising the importance of maintaining these relationships as a form of resilience.<br><br>CONCLUSION: This study underscores the importance of protecting Indigenous territories and respecting their cultural identities to safeguard their survival and traditions. The voices of Indigenous university students provided valuable insights into community-based adaptations and strategies for mitigating the impacts of climate change.},
}
@article {pmid39778418,
year = {2024},
author = {Gao, T and Liu, J},
title = {Building bidirectional, signed, and weighted interaction network among microbes: Comment on "Topological change of soil microbiota networks for forest resilience under global warming" by Gong et al.},
journal = {Physics of life reviews},
volume = {52},
number = {},
pages = {178-179},
doi = {10.1016/j.plrev.2024.12.010},
pmid = {39778418},
issn = {1873-1457},
}
@article {pmid39778236,
year = {2025},
author = {Speck, CL and Newlove, CM and DiPietro Mager, NA and Mager, JN},
title = {Opinions about climate change, health, and pharmacy education among pharmacy faculty and administrators in the United States: A cross-sectional survey.},
journal = {Currents in pharmacy teaching &amp; learning},
volume = {17},
number = {3},
pages = {102251},
doi = {10.1016/j.cptl.2024.102251},
pmid = {39778236},
issn = {1877-1300},
abstract = {BACKGROUND: The pharmacy profession must address climate change and its impact on health. Student pharmacists should be made aware of roles in sustainability, education, patient care, and advocacy; yet, pharmacy educators' perceptions of climate change and health may impact the extent and quality of education provided.<br><br>OBJECTIVE: The primary objective was to assess pharmacy educators' beliefs regarding climate change and whether its effects on health should be included in Doctor of Pharmacy curricula. Secondary objectives were to identify potential barriers, helpful materials, and current and future tactics to provide this content.<br><br>METHODS: An electronic survey was sent to faculty and administrators of U.S.-based, fully-accredited Doctor of Pharmacy programs (n&#xa0;=&#xa0;139) in February 2024 collecting opinions and demographic information.<br><br>RESULTS: A total of 764 usable surveys were completed, representing 135 programs. Nearly 87&#xa0;% of respondents thought climate change is happening. More thought climate change harms human health (74.7&#xa0;%) than thought climate change was relevant to pharmacists/pharmacy practice (51.6&#xa0;%, p&#xa0;<&#xa0;0.001) or pharmaceutical scientists/pharmaceutical sciences (57.2&#xa0;%, p&#xa0;<&#xa0;0.001). Perceived importance of including specific topics in pharmacy education ranged from 58&#xa0;% (loss of biodiversity) to 80&#xa0;% (disaster preparedness/response). Respondents indicated they would be most likely to use case studies (61.2&#xa0;%) and active learning exercises (57.5&#xa0;%) if they were available. Ninety-seven percent perceived at least one challenge to incorporating climate change and health in curricula.<br><br>CONCLUSIONS: There is a need to increase knowledge and awareness among pharmacy educators regarding the connection between climate change, health, and pharmacy practice to prepare student pharmacists to protect public health.},
}
@article {pmid39776988,
year = {2024},
author = {Soomro, S and Zhou, D and Charan, IA},
title = {The effects of climate change on mental health and psychological well-being: Impacts and priority actions.},
journal = {Global mental health (Cambridge, England)},
volume = {11},
number = {},
pages = {e118},
pmid = {39776988},
issn = {2054-4251},
abstract = {Climate anxiety has a negative impact on the mental health and psychological well-being of the vulnerable population. The goal is to assess many factors that affect mental health and psychological well-being, as well as how climate change affects mental health in Pakistan's vulnerable population. This study provides evidence-based insights into the long- and medium-term impacts of extreme weather events on mental health. To obtain information on these variables, this research uses a quantitative approach and a cross-sectional survey design with a multivariate regression model for empirical tests on a sample of parents and children with an impact on mental health from climate change anxiety. Results indicate that individuals who experience shock climate change anxiety and its effects on mental health and psychological well-being. Climate change can have detrimental effects on children's mental health. (1) Children's Stress Index (CSI): (2) climate change anxiety (CCA), (3) generalised anxiety disorder (GAD) and (4) major depression disorder (MDD), as reported by the children with mental health outcomes. The findings of this study show that climate change has a stressful effect on mental health. The article concludes with a discussion on strategies to address the anticipated mental health issues among children due to climate change.},
}
@article {pmid39776685,
year = {2024},
author = {Krzysiak, MK and Świątalska, A and Plis-Kuprianowicz, E and Konieczny, A and Bakier, S and Tomczuk, K and Larska, M},
title = {Fatal Sarcoptes scabiei and Demodex sp. co-infestation in wolves (Canis lupus) at the Białowieża National Park, Poland - is it a consequence of climate change?.},
journal = {Journal of veterinary research},
volume = {68},
number = {4},
pages = {551-562},
pmid = {39776685},
issn = {2450-7393},
abstract = {INTRODUCTION: In winter 2021/2022, a wolf population in the primeval Białowieża Forest in Poland was struck by an outbreak of severe mange caused by mixed infestations of Sarcoptes and Demodex mites. We present an epidemiological analysis of this mange which caused significant morbidity and mortality.<br><br>MATERIAL AND METHODS: Ten sites known for wolf activity were monitored by camera trapping. A diagnostic necropsy and testing of a young wolf was performed to determine the causes of death.<br><br>RESULTS: Five young wolves with severe alopecia of the entire body and some other individuals with minor to medium mange lesions were identified by the camera surveillance. The necropsy of the carcass revealed emaciation, dehydration and anaemia with starvation as the cause of death, likely attributable to severe infestation with Sarcoptes scabiei and Demodex sp. mites. Rabies and infections with Borreliella sp., Anaplasma sp., Ehrlichia sp., Francisella tularensis, Babesia sp. and tick-borne encephalitis virus were excluded by specific tests.<br><br>CONCLUSIONS: The described analysis is the first documented co-infestation of this kind in wolves. The outbreak coincided with very mild winter conditions with a high average minimum temperature, which may have favoured mite survival outside the host, and light snowfall, which may have influenced the wolves' ability to hunt. Other potential drivers of the outbreak could be the large proportion of wetland terrain, increasing number of wolves in the area and anthropogenic pressure on their habitats including the migration crisis at the Polish-Belarusian border and the increased presence of military and border forces, even despite the relief from the anthropogenic pressure from tourism due to the COVID-19 lockdown.},
}
@article {pmid39775886,
year = {2025},
author = {Bartošová, L and Hájková, L and Pohanková, E and Možný, M and Balek, J and Zahradníček, P and Štěpánek, P and Dížková, P and Trnka, M and Žalud, Z},
title = {Differences in phenological term changes in field crops and wild plants - do they have the same response to climate change in Central Europe?.},
journal = {International journal of biometeorology},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
pmid = {39775886},
issn = {1432-1254},
support = {CZ.02.01.01/00/22_008/0004635//Ministerstvo &#x160;kolstv&#xed;, Ml&#xe1;de&#x17e;e a T&#x11b;lov&#xfd;chovy/ ; },
abstract = {Phenological shifts in wild-growing plants and wild animal phenophases are well documented at many European sites. Less is known about phenological shifts in agricultural plants and how wild ecosystem phenology interacts with crop phenology. Here, we present long-term phenological observations (1961-2021) from the Czech Republic for wild plants and agricultural crops and how the timing of phenophases differs from each other. The phenology of wild-growing plants was observed at various experimental sites with no agriculture or forestry management within the Czech Hydrometeorological Institute observations. The phenological data of the crops were collected from small experimental plots at the Central Institute for Supervising and Testing in Agriculture. The data clearly show a tendency to shift to earlier times during the observation period. The data also show some asynchrony in phenological shifts. Compared with wild plants, agricultural crops showed more expressive shifts to the start of the season. Phenological trends for crop plants (Triticum aestivum) showed accelerated shifts of 4.1 and 5.1 days per decade at low and middle altitudes, respectively; on the other hand, the average phenological shift for wild plants showed smaller shifts of 2.7 and 2.9 days per decade at low and middle altitudes, respectively. The phenophase ´heading´ of T. aestivum showed the highest correlation with maximum temperatures (r = 0.9), followed by wild species (with r = 0.7-0.8) and two remaining phenophases of T. aestivum jointing and ripening (with r = 0.7 and 0.6). To better understand the impacts of climate on phenological changes, it is optimal to evaluate natural and unaffected plant responses in wild species since the phenology of field crops is most probably influenced not only by climate but also by agricultural management.},
}
@article {pmid39775873,
year = {2025},
author = {Schilcher, AV and Geerling, G},
title = {[Climate change and ocular surface diseases].},
journal = {Die Ophthalmologie},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
pmid = {39775873},
issn = {2731-7218},
abstract = {BACKGROUND: The ocular surface is directly exposed to environmental influences. Noxae that have already been identified for the ocular surface are heat, air dryness, pollutant gases, fine dust particles and ultraviolet radiation.<br><br>METHODS: The current literature was used to investigate the relationship between frequent ocular surface diseases and various environmental factors and to analyze their development over the years.<br><br>RESULTS: Epidemiological studies on dry eye disease and allergic conjunctivitis have shown an increase in the incidences in recent years. Environmental pollutants have been identified as disease triggers. In addition, the prolonged pollen season and increased pollen concentrations are also risk factors. There is also a&#xa0;higher prevalence of pterygium in population groups with high UV exposure. Other diseases with potential environmental pathogenesis are acute photokeratitis, photoconjunctivitis and malignant melanoma of the conjunctiva.<br><br>CONCLUSION: For ocular surface diseases, large epidemiological cohorts have shown climate-related increases in the incidence. A&#xa0;further increase in environmentally associated noxious substances can be expected in the coming decades. In addition to measures to mitigate climate change, the underlying mechanisms of disease development and new approaches to prevention and treatment, such as room humidification, air filters or contact lenses with UV filters, should be investigated.},
}
@article {pmid39775827,
year = {2025},
author = {Estravis-Barcala, M and Gaischuk, S and Gonzalez-Polo, M and Martinez-Meier, A and Gutiérrez, RA and Yanovsky, MJ and Bellora, N and Arana, MV},
title = {Effect of temperature on circadian clock functioning of trees in the context of global warming.},
journal = {The New phytologist},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1111/nph.20342},
pmid = {39775827},
issn = {1469-8137},
support = {//Instituto Milenio iBio/ ; 2019-PD-E6-I116//Instituto Nacional de Tecnolog&#xed;a Agropecuaria/ ; 2023-PD-L01-I085//Instituto Nacional de Tecnolog&#xed;a Agropecuaria/ ; PIP 2020-11220200102254CO//Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Cient&#xed;ficas y T&#xe9;cnicas/ ; ICN2021_044//Millennium Science Initiative Program/ ; PICT 2011/2250//Agencia Nacional de Promoci&#xf3;n de la Investigaci&#xf3;n, el Desarrollo tecnol&#xf3;gico y la Innovaci&#xf3;n, Argentina/ ; PICT 2017/2656//Agencia Nacional de Promoci&#xf3;n de la Investigaci&#xf3;n, el Desarrollo tecnol&#xf3;gico y la Innovaci&#xf3;n, Argentina/ ; PICT 2020/02146//Agencia Nacional de Promoci&#xf3;n de la Investigaci&#xf3;n, el Desarrollo tecnol&#xf3;gico y la Innovaci&#xf3;n, Argentina/ ; },
abstract = {Plant survival in a warmer world requires the timely adjustment of biological processes to cyclical changes in the new environment. Circadian oscillators have been proposed to contribute to thermal adaptation and plasticity. However, the influence of temperature on circadian clock performance and its impact on plant behaviour in natural ecosystems are not well-understood. We combined bioinformatics, molecular biology and ecophysiology to investigate the effects of increasing temperatures on the functioning of the circadian clock in two closely related tree species from Patagonian forests that constitute examples of adaptation to different thermal environments based on their altitudinal profiles. Nothofagus pumilio, the species from colder environments, showed a major rearrangement of its transcriptome and reduced ability to maintain rhythmicity at high temperatures compared with Nothofagus obliqua, which inhabits warmer zones. In altitude-swap experiments, N. pumilio, but not N. obliqua, showed limited oscillator function in warmer zones of the forest, and reduced survival and growth. Our findings show that interspecific differences in the influence of temperature on circadian clock performance are associated with preferred thermal niches, and to thermal plasticity of seedlings in natural environments, highlighting the potential role of a resonating oscillator in ecological adaptation to a warming environment.},
}
@article {pmid39775408,
year = {2025},
author = {McMichael, C and Powell, T and Piggott-McKellar, AE and Yee, M},
title = {Climate change and the planned relocation of people: A longitudinal analysis of Vunidogoloa, Fiji.},
journal = {Ambio},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
pmid = {39775408},
issn = {1654-7209},
support = {DP190100604//Australian Research Council/ ; HJ2-194R-18//National Gegraphic Society/ ; },
abstract = {Rising sea levels under a changing climate will cause permanent inundation, flooding, coastal erosion, and saltwater intrusion. An emerging adaptation response is planned relocation, a directed process of relocating people, assets, and infrastructure to safer locations. Climate-related planned relocation is an unfolding process, yet no longitudinal studies have examined outcomes over time. Vunidogoloa, a low-lying coastal village in Fiji, relocated to higher land in 2014. This paper considers the dynamic outcomes of relocation, based on qualitative data collected between 2015 and 2023. It examines: residents' changing experience of climate and environmental risk; governance and decision-making processes over time; improved access to many resources and services along with incomplete infrastructure; opportunities and threats to health; and changing social organization and place-based values. The paper foregrounds change over time and provides in-depth examination of dynamic planned relocation experiences and (mal)adaptation outcomes in Vunidogoloa, Fiji.},
}
@article {pmid39775267,
year = {2025},
author = {Maya, MA and Suresh, V},
title = {The impact of climate change on the nearly threatened taxa Elaeocarpus munroi (Wight) Mast. inhabiting in the forest of the Western Ghats.},
journal = {Environmental monitoring and assessment},
volume = {197},
number = {2},
pages = {146},
pmid = {39775267},
issn = {1573-2959},
support = {08/675(003)/2018-EMR-1//CSIR-JRF/ ; },
mesh = {*Climate Change ; *Conservation of Natural Resources ; *Endangered Species ; *Forests ; Ecosystem ; Environmental Monitoring ; Biodiversity ; },
abstract = {Elaeocarpus munroi (Wight) Mast., commonly called Nilgiri Marble Tree, is a nearly threatened taxa as per the International Union for Conservation of Nature (IUCN). This species is endemic to the southern Western Ghats. The present study examines its spatial distribution across the sky islands of the Western Ghats under different climate scenarios (1900-2100) using four shared socioeconomic pathways (SSPs). Species distribution modeling was conducted using ensemble techniques in R, along with various ecological niche modeling algorithms. The present study examines the past, present, and future distribution of E. munroi across the Western Ghats. Historical projections indicated that the highest habitat suitability areas for the species were in the southern and central regions of the Western Ghats. The model projections for the species from 2021 to 2100 indicate a noticeable northward shift in habitat suitability. As climate scenarios change, the central and northern regions of the Western Ghats are becoming more suitable for it. This anticipated shift poses a potential threat to the species persistence, as the availability of suitable habitats decline in its historically preferred southern range. This range shift, coupled with E. munroi's near-threatened status, emphasizes the urgent need for its conservation interventions. This study pioneers efforts to understand and mitigate the impacts of climate change on E. munroi. This, in turn, offers a foundation for developing targeted conservation strategies in this ecologically important region. The findings highlight the importance of integrating climate change into conservation planning and management practices to safeguard the future of species like E. munroi within the broader ecosystem they inhabit. This study contributes to the growing body of research addressing the complex interplay between climate change and biodiversity conservation, thereby underscoring the need for collaborative and proactive approaches to mitigate the adverse effects of climate change.},
}
@article {pmid39774305,
year = {2025},
author = {Erhart, S and Szabó, S and Erhart, K},
title = {Integrating Pollutant registers for the climate change risk evaluation of industrial companies in Australia, Europe and North America.},
journal = {Scientific reports},
volume = {15},
number = {1},
pages = {1207},
pmid = {39774305},
issn = {2045-2322},
abstract = {We present a methodology to develop the integrated climate change transition and physical risk assessment of industrial companies in Europe, Northern America and Australia. There is an increasingly important need for effective large-scale climate change risk assessment solutions with more governments aligning their company reporting regulations with the Task Force on Climate-related Financial Disclosures recommendations. In this paper, we measure key aspects of climate change risks of industrial firms on the globe and vice versa. The study provides valuable insights into climate risk exposure for companies, investors, and consumers, offering a pioneering approach by integrating data from major international registers. We analyse data from 70,000 companies and their 170,000 plants, which report to fragmented Pollutant Release and Transfer Registers and Greenhouse Gas Reporting Programs. For our assessment, transition risks are measured in terms of reported greenhouse gas emissions, while physical risks calculated for all company plant locations in terms of historical cooling energy needs, flood exposure and photovoltaic power potential. We show that climate change transition and physical risks are not correlated, therefore climate change risks are variably felt across different factors. The research contributes to the evolving landscape of climate risk management and highlights the need for standardized methodologies in the face of impending regulatory changes.},
}
@article {pmid39774176,
year = {2025},
author = {Zhou, J and Li, W and Ciais, P and Gasser, T and Wang, J and Li, Z and Zhu, L and Han, M and He, J and Sun, M and Liu, L and Huang, X},
title = {Contributions of countries without a carbon neutrality target to limit global warming.},
journal = {Nature communications},
volume = {16},
number = {1},
pages = {468},
pmid = {39774176},
issn = {2041-1723},
abstract = {Bioenergy with carbon capture and storage (BECCS) is a key negative emission technology for climate mitigation. Some countries have made no commitment to carbon neutrality but are viewed as potential BECCS candidates (hereafter, non-CN countries). Here we analyze contributions of these countries to global climate mitigation with respect to BECCS using an Earth system model with explicit representations of bioenergy crops. Switchgrass cultivation in these non-CN countries can further remove atmospheric CO2 by 9.1 ± 2.8 and 19.9 ± 5.2 PgC in the low-warming and overshot scenarios, resulting in an extra biogeochemical cooling effect of 0.01 ± 0.04 to 0.02 ± 0.06 °C. This cooling is largely counterbalanced by the biophysical warming, but the net effect is still an extra cooling. The non-CN countries play a more important role in the low-warming scenario than in the overshoot scenario, despite the inequality of temperature change among countries. Our study highlights the importance of a global system for climate mitigation.},
}
@article {pmid39773978,
year = {2025},
author = {Thompson, HM and Sheffield, P and Shakeel, O and Wood, NM and Miller, MD},
title = {Climate change will impact childhood cancer risks, care and outcomes.},
journal = {BMJ paediatrics open},
volume = {9},
number = {1},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1136/bmjpo-2024-003123},
pmid = {39773978},
issn = {2399-9772},
}
@article {pmid39773181,
year = {2025},
author = {Adams, N and Dias, T and Skeen, HR and Pegan, T and Willard, DE and Winger, B and Ruegg, K and Weeks, BC and Bay, R},
title = {Genetic and morphological shifts associated with climate change in a migratory bird.},
journal = {BMC biology},
volume = {23},
number = {1},
pages = {3},
pmid = {39773181},
issn = {1741-7007},
mesh = {Animals ; *Climate Change ; *Animal Migration ; *Songbirds/genetics/anatomy &amp; histology/physiology ; Body Size/genetics ; Genome-Wide Association Study ; Beak/anatomy &amp; histology ; Biological Evolution ; Wings, Animal/anatomy &amp; histology ; },
abstract = {BACKGROUND: Rapid morphological change is emerging as a consequence of climate change in many systems. It is intuitive to hypothesize that temporal morphological trends are driven by the same selective pressures that have established well-known ecogeographic patterns over spatial environmental gradients (e.g., Bergman's and Allen's rules). However, mechanistic understanding of contemporary morphological shifts is lacking.<br><br>RESULTS: We combine morphological data and whole genome sequencing from a four-decade dataset in the migratory bird hermit thrush (Catharus guttatus) to test whether morphological shifts over time are accompanied by genetic change. Using genome-wide association, we identify alleles associated with body size, bill length, and wing length. Shifts in morphology and concordant shifts in morphology-associated alleles over time would support a genetic basis for the observed changes in morphology over recent decades, potentially an adaptive response to climate change. In our data, bill size decreases were paralleled by genetic shifts in bill size-associated alleles. On the other hand, alleles associated with body size showed no shift in frequency over time.<br><br>CONCLUSIONS: Together, our results show mixed support for evolutionary explanations of morphological response to climate change. Temporal shifts in alleles associated with bill size support the hypothesis that selection is driving temporal morphological trends. The lack of evidence for genetic shifts in body size alleles could be explained by a large role of plasticity or technical limitations associated with the likely polygenic architecture of body size, or both. Disentangling the mechanisms responsible for observed morphological response to changing environments will be vital for predicting future organismal and population responses to climate change.},
}
@article {pmid39772738,
year = {2025},
author = {Couper, LI and Dodge, TO and Hemker, JA and Kim, BY and Exposito-Alonso, M and Brem, RB and Mordecai, EA and Bitter, MC},
title = {Evolutionary adaptation under climate change: Aedes sp. demonstrates potential to adapt to warming.},
journal = {Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America},
volume = {122},
number = {2},
pages = {e2418199122},
doi = {10.1073/pnas.2418199122},
pmid = {39772738},
issn = {1091-6490},
support = {DEB-2011147//NSF (NSF)/ ; R35GM133439//HHS | NIH (NIH)/ ; R01AI168097//HHS | NIH (NIH)/ ; R01AI102918//HHS | NIH (NIH)/ ; },
mesh = {*Aedes/genetics/physiology ; Animals ; *Climate Change ; *Biological Evolution ; Adaptation, Physiological/genetics ; Genetic Variation ; Mosquito Vectors/genetics/physiology ; Thermotolerance/genetics ; Hot Temperature ; },
abstract = {Climate warming is expected to shift the distributions of mosquitoes and mosquito-borne diseases, promoting expansions at cool range edges and contractions at warm range edges. However, whether mosquito populations could maintain their warm edges through evolutionary adaptation remains unknown. Here, we investigate the potential for thermal adaptation in Aedes sierrensis, a congener of the major disease vector species that experiences large thermal gradients in its native range, by assaying tolerance to prolonged and acute heat exposure, and its genetic basis in a diverse, field-derived population. We found pervasive evidence of heritable genetic variation in mosquito heat tolerance, and phenotypic trade-offs in tolerance to prolonged versus acute heat exposure. Further, we found genomic variation associated with prolonged heat tolerance was clustered in several regions of the genome, suggesting the presence of larger structural variants such as chromosomal inversions. A simple evolutionary model based on our data estimates that the maximum rate of evolutionary adaptation in mosquito heat tolerance will exceed the projected rate of climate warming, implying the potential for mosquitoes to track warming via genetic adaptation.},
}
@article {pmid39772178,
year = {2024},
author = {Branda, F and Cella, E and Scarpa, F and Slavov, SN and Bevivino, A and Moretti, R and Degafu, AL and Pecchia, L and Rizzo, A and Defilippo, F and Moreno, A and Ceccarelli, G and Alcantara, LCJ and Ferreira, A and Ciccozzi, M and Giovanetti, M},
title = {Wolbachia-Based Approaches to Controlling Mosquito-Borne Viral Threats: Innovations, AI Integration, and Future Directions in the Context of Climate Change.},
journal = {Viruses},
volume = {16},
number = {12},
pages = {},
pmid = {39772178},
issn = {1999-4915},
mesh = {*Wolbachia/physiology ; *Climate Change ; Animals ; *Mosquito Control/methods ; *Mosquito Vectors/microbiology/virology ; *Vector Borne Diseases/prevention &amp; control/transmission ; Humans ; Zika Virus Infection/prevention &amp; control/transmission ; Culicidae/virology/microbiology ; Dengue/prevention &amp; control/transmission ; Aedes/microbiology/virology ; Ecosystem ; },
abstract = {Wolbachia-based mosquito control strategies have gained significant attention as a sustainable approach to reduce the transmission of vector-borne diseases such as dengue, Zika, and chikungunya. These endosymbiotic bacteria can limit the ability of mosquitoes to transmit pathogens, offering a promising alternative to traditional chemical-based interventions. With the growing impact of climate change on mosquito population dynamics and disease transmission, Wolbachia interventions represent an adaptable and resilient strategy for mitigating the public health burden of vector-borne diseases. Changes in temperature, humidity, and rainfall patterns can alter mosquito breeding habitats and extend the geographical range of disease vectors, increasing the urgency for effective control measures. This review highlights innovations in Wolbachia-based mosquito control and explores future directions in the context of climate change. It emphasizes the integration of Wolbachia with other biological approaches and the need for multidisciplinary efforts to address climate-amplified disease risks. As ecosystems shift, Wolbachia interventions could be crucial in reducing mosquito-borne diseases, especially in vulnerable regions. AI integration in Wolbachia research presents opportunities to enhance mosquito control strategies by modeling ecological data, predicting mosquito dynamics, and optimizing intervention outcomes. Key areas include refining release strategies, real-time monitoring, and scaling interventions. Future opportunities lie in advancing AI-driven approaches for integrating Wolbachia with other vector control measures, promoting adaptive, data-driven responses to climate-amplified disease transmission.},
}
@article {pmid39769614,
year = {2024},
author = {Yu, Y and Li, Z},
title = {Predicting the Potential Distribution of Cheirotonus jansoni (Coleoptera: Scarabaeidae) Under Climate Change.},
journal = {Insects},
volume = {15},
number = {12},
pages = {},
pmid = {39769614},
issn = {2075-4450},
support = {32070471 and 31702039//National Natural Science Foundation of China/ ; 2023GDASQNRC-0209//GDAS Special Project of Youth Talent/ ; 2023A04J1483//Guangzhou Basic and Applied Basic Research Foundation/ ; //Project of the Guangdong Forestry Bureau (2023 Wildlife monitoring program)/ ; },
abstract = {Cheirotonus jansoni (Jordan, 1898), a beetle species of ecological and ornamental significance, is predominantly found in southern China. With limited dispersal ability, it is classified as a Class 2 protected species in China. In this study, the widely employed maximum entropy (MaxEnt) model and the ensemble Biomod2 model were applied to simulate C. jansoni habitat suitability in China under current environmental conditions based on available distribution data and multiple environmental variables. The optimized MaxEnt model demonstrated improved accuracy and robust predictive capabilities, making it the preferred choice for simulating dynamic changes in potentially suitable habitats for C. jansoni under future climate scenarios. Protection gaps were further identified through analyses of the overlap between nature reserves and highly suitable areas for C. jansoni. The established models indicated that this species primarily resides in southeastern mountainous regions of China below 2000 m, with a preferred altitude of 1000-2000 m. Future climate scenarios suggest a reduction in the overall suitable habitat for C. jansoni with an increase in temperature, underscoring the urgent need for enhanced conservation efforts for this beetle species.},
}
@article {pmid39769532,
year = {2024},
author = {Zhang, L and Yang, C and Xie, G and Wang, P and Wang, W},
title = {Assessment of the Potential Suitable Habitat of Apriona rugicollis Chevrolat, 1852 (Coleoptera: Cerambycidae) Under Climate Change and Human Activities Based on the Biomod2 Ensemble Model.},
journal = {Insects},
volume = {15},
number = {12},
pages = {},
pmid = {39769532},
issn = {2075-4450},
support = {2024AFB254//Natural Science Foundation of Hubei Province/ ; 31672327//National Natural Science Foundation of China/ ; },
abstract = {Effective use of species distribution models can assess the risk of spreading forest pests. In this study, based on 434 occurrence records and eight environmental variables, an ensemble model was applied to identify key environmental factors affecting the distribution of Apriona rugicollis Chevrolat, 1852 and predict its potential habitat and its relative areas of change under current and future climatic conditions. The results indicate that humidity, solar radiation, topography, and human activities were the main factors influencing the distribution of A. rugicollis. Under the current climate scenario, suitable habitats are mainly concentrated in East Asia, including North Korea, South Korea, Japan, Myanmar, Vietnam, and China. Under future climate scenarios, the area of suitable habitat for A. rugicollis gradually increases, especially in China and Japan, which are at high risk of spreading. In addition, the suitable habitat of A. rugicollis will expand northeastward to higher latitudes. The results of this study provide an important scientific basis for policymakers to formulate strategies for monitoring and controlling A. rugicollis in response to climate change.},
}
@article {pmid39767407,
year = {2024},
author = {Brink, N and Mansoor, K and Swiers, J and Lakhoo, DP and Parker, C and Nakstad, B and Sawry, S and Aunan, K and Otto, IM and Chersich, MF},
title = {Scoping Review of Climate Change Adaptation Interventions for Health: Implications for Policy and Practice.},
journal = {International journal of environmental research and public health},
volume = {21},
number = {12},
pages = {},
pmid = {39767407},
issn = {1660-4601},
support = {101003966//European Union Horizon 2020/ ; },
mesh = {*Climate Change ; Humans ; Health Policy ; },
abstract = {Climate change is among the greatest threats to health in the 21st century, requiring the urgent scaling-up of adaptation interventions. We aim to summarise adaptation interventions that were funded by the Belmont Forum and the European Union, the largest global funders of climate change and health research. A systematic search was conducted (updated February 2023) to identify articles on adaptation interventions for health within this funding network. The data extracted included study characteristics, types of interventions, and study outcomes. The results were synthesised narratively within the PRISMA-ScR guidelines. A total of 197 articles were screened, with 37 reporting on adaptation interventions. The majority of interventions focused on the general population (n = 17), with few studies examining high-risk populations such as pregnant women and children (n = 4) or migrants (n = 0). Targeted interventions were mostly aimed at behavioural change (n = 8) and health system strengthening (n = 6), while interventions with mitigation co-benefits such as nature-based solutions (n = 1) or the built environment (n = 0) were limited. The most studied climate change hazard was extreme heat (n = 26). Several studies reported promising findings, principally regarding interventions to counter heat impacts on workers and pregnant women and improving risk awareness in communities. These findings provide a platform on which to expand research and public health interventions for safeguarding public health from the effects of climate change.},
}
@article {pmid39767390,
year = {2024},
author = {Wang, J and DasSarma, S},
title = {Contributions of Medical Greenhouse Gases to Climate Change and Their Possible Alternatives.},
journal = {International journal of environmental research and public health},
volume = {21},
number = {12},
pages = {},
doi = {10.3390/ijerph21121548},
pmid = {39767390},
issn = {1660-4601},
mesh = {*Greenhouse Gases/analysis ; *Climate Change ; Humans ; Global Warming ; Air Pollutants/analysis ; },
abstract = {Considerable attention has recently been given to the contribution of the greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions of the healthcare sector to climate change. GHGs used in medical practice are regularly released into the atmosphere and contribute to elevations in global temperatures that produce detrimental effects on the environment and human health. Consequently, a comprehensive assessment of their global warming potential over 100 years (GWP) characteristics, and clinical uses, many of which have evaded scrutiny from policy makers due to their medical necessity, is needed. Of major interest are volatile anesthetics, analgesics, and inhalers, as well as fluorinated gases used as tamponades in retinal detachment surgery. In this review, we conducted a literature search from July to September 2024 on medical greenhouse gases and calculated estimates of these gases' GHG emissions in metric tons CO2 equivalent (MTCO2e) and their relative GWP. Notably, the anesthetics desflurane and nitrous oxide contribute the most emissions out of the major medical GHGs, equivalent to driving 12 million gasoline-powered cars annually in the US. Retinal tamponade gases have markedly high GWP up to 23,500 times compared to CO2 and long atmospheric lifetimes up to 10,000 years, thus bearing the potential to contribute to climate change in the long term. This review provides the basis for discussions on examining the environmental impacts of medical gases with high GWP, determining whether alternatives may be available, and reducing emissions while maintaining or even improving patient care.},
}
@article {pmid39765755,
year = {2024},
author = {Hurtado-Bautista, E and Islas-Robles, A and Moreno-Hagelsieb, G and Olmedo-Alvarez, G},
title = {Thermal Plasticity and Evolutionary Constraints in Bacillus: Implications for Climate Change Adaptation.},
journal = {Biology},
volume = {13},
number = {12},
pages = {},
doi = {10.3390/biology13121088},
pmid = {39765755},
issn = {2079-7737},
abstract = {The ongoing rise in global temperatures poses significant challenges to ecosystems, particularly impacting bacterial communities that are central to biogeochemical cycles. The resilience of wild mesophilic bacteria to temperature increases of 2-4 °C remains poorly understood. In this study, we conducted experimental evolution on six wild Bacillus strains from two lineages (Bacillus cereus and Bacillus subtilis) to examine their thermal adaptation strategies. We exposed the bacteria to gradually increasing temperatures to assess their thermal plasticity, focusing on the genetic mechanisms underlying adaptation. While B. subtilis lineages improved growth at highly critical temperatures, only one increased its thermal niche to 4 °C above their natural range. This finding is concerning given climate change projections. B. cereus strains exhibited higher mutation rates but were not able to grow at increasing temperatures, while B. subtilis required fewer genetic changes to increase heat tolerance, indicating distinct adaptive strategies. We observed convergent evolution in five evolved lines, with mutations in genes involved in c-di-AMP synthesis, which is crucial for potassium transport, implicating this chemical messenger for the first time in heat tolerance. These insights highlight the vulnerability of bacteria to climate change and underscore the importance of genetic background in shaping thermal adaptation.},
}
@article {pmid39765448,
year = {2025},
author = {Gonzalez, A and Sim, A},
title = {From conflict to care: Reframing our understanding and response to adverse childhood experiences in the polycrisis era of war, displacement, and climate change.},
journal = {Child abuse &amp; neglect},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {107225},
doi = {10.1016/j.chiabu.2024.107225},
pmid = {39765448},
issn = {1873-7757},
}
@article {pmid39765406,
year = {2025},
author = {Cai, Y and Irie, H and Damiani, A and Itahashi, S and Takemura, T and Khatri, P},
title = {Corrigendum to "Detectability of the potential climate change effect on transboundary air pollution pathways in the downwind area of China" [Sci. Total Environ. 939 (2024) 173490].},
journal = {The Science of the total environment},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {178356},
doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.178356},
pmid = {39765406},
issn = {1879-1026},
}
@article {pmid39765175,
year = {2025},
author = {Rodriguez-Flores, S and Muñoz-Robles, C and Quevedo Tiznado, JA and Julio-Miranda, P},
title = {Assessment of watershed health, integrating environmental, social, and climate change criteria into a fuzzy logic framework.},
journal = {The Science of the total environment},
volume = {960},
number = {},
pages = {178316},
doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.178316},
pmid = {39765175},
issn = {1879-1026},
abstract = {Spatio-temporal analyses of environmental and social criteria in the context of climate change, facilitate understanding of how historical and current conditions have influenced watershed health. Previous studies have analyzed watershed health, but very few have integrated fuzzy logic with the CRITIC method (Criteria Importance Through Intercriteria Correlation), which enables us to explore alternatives to improve watershed performance. The objective of this study was to evaluate changes in watershed health through historical and projected climate change scenario in the tropical Santa Cruz watershed in Aquismón, S.L.P., Mexico (1985-2027) considering environmental criteria (hydrological and sediment connectivity, runoff, flooding, drought, landscape fragmentation) and social criteria (indigenous population density, human impact on biodiversity, health index, income index, education index). The results indicate that spatio-temporal changes can alter the Watershed Health Score (WHS) from a value of 2.69 to 6.90, particularly in areas with precarious social conditions. Moreover, the study reveals how weighting evolves overt time, as seen in the case of landscape fragmentation, whose value increased 0.0113 to 0.254. This study shows how objective methods such as CRITIC can be integrated through fuzzy logic to analyze the spatio-temporal evolution of watershed problems without the need for a large number of experts to weight the variables (subjective methods). This method can subsequently be applied and reproduced in different zones or watersheds where there is no certainty as to which criteria have the greatest influence and thus enable decisions for watershed management or restoration.},
}
@article {pmid39764609,
year = {2025},
author = {Wu, X and MacKenzie, MD and Yang, J and Lan, G and Liu, Y},
title = {Climate Change Drives Changes in the Size and Composition of Fungal Communities Along the Soil-Seedling Continuum of Schima superba.},
journal = {Molecular ecology},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {e17652},
doi = {10.1111/mec.17652},
pmid = {39764609},
issn = {1365-294X},
support = {2022JBGS04//Research Project of Baishanzu National Park/ ; 2023JBGS06//Research Project of Baishanzu National Park/ ; //Fundamental Research Funds for the Central Universities of China/ ; 32071645//National Natural Science Foundation of China/ ; 32471613//National Natural Science Foundation of China/ ; },
abstract = {Plant microbiomes have a major influence on forest structure and functions, as well as tree fitness and evolution. However, a comprehensive understanding of variations in fungi along the soil-plant continuum, particularly within tree seedlings, under global warming is lacking. Here, we investigated the dynamics of fungal communities across different compartments (including bulk soil and rhizosphere soil) and plant organs (including the endosphere of roots, stems and leaves) of Schima superba seedlings exposed to experimental warming and drought using AccuITS absolute quantitative sequencing. Our results revealed that warming and drought significantly reduced the number of specific fungal amplicon sequence variants (ASVs) in the bulk soil and rhizosphere soil, respectively. Variations in fungal communities were mainly explained by compartments and plant organs, with the composition of endophytic fungal communities within leaves (primarily attributed to species gain or loss) being most influenced by climate change. Moreover, warming significantly reduced the migration of Ascomycota, soil saprotrophs, wood saprotrophs and yeasts from the bulk soil to the rhizosphere soil but increased that of plant pathogens from the roots to the stems. Drought significantly decreased the absolute abundances of Chytridiomycota, Glomeromycota and Rozellomycota, as well as the migration of ectomycorrhizal fungi from the bulk soil to the rhizosphere soil but increased that of plant pathogens. Warming could indirectly reduce leaf area by increasing the diversity of leaf pathogens. These findings have potential implications for enhancing the resilience and functioning of natural forest ecosystems under climate change through the manipulation of plant microbiomes, as demonstrated in agroecosystems.},
}
@article {pmid39764182,
year = {2024},
author = {De Guzman, RB and Malik, M and Singh, N and Ho-Fung Loong, H and Mohan, A},
title = {Lung cancer in Asia: the impact of climate change.},
journal = {EClinicalMedicine},
volume = {74},
number = {},
pages = {102680},
pmid = {39764182},
issn = {2589-5370},
abstract = {The escalating global threat of climate change is becoming more evident. The climate crisis intersects with another major challenge: lung cancer. With Asia already bearing half the global cancer burden, the impact of climate-related events on health and on lung cancer care specifically are profound. There can potentially be critical implications on the overall landscape of lung cancer care-from screening and early detection, to management and treatment. In 2022, the deadliest flooding events occurred in India and Pakistan. Extreme weather events such as cyclones and typhoons cause damage to healthcare facilities and disrupt transportation networks. These impede access to vital treatments, causing delays, thus worsening patients' conditions. Most low and middle-income countries (LMICs) have disparities in healthcare infrastructure, resources, and workforce distribution that result in limited access to comprehensive care. This fragmented healthcare system in many Asian countries pose additional challenges. Adaptation and mitigation strategies are crucial for minimizing these impacts on cancer care. Addressing this complex interplay demands urgent, collaborative, and multidisciplinary efforts to safeguard healthcare and ensure access to uninterrupted care amid climate-related challenges.},
}
@article {pmid39763496,
year = {2024},
author = {The Lancet Regional Health-Americas, },
title = {Navigating the intricate links between migration, climate change, and food insecurity in Latin America and the Caribbean.},
journal = {Lancet regional health. Americas},
volume = {40},
number = {},
pages = {100967},
doi = {10.1016/j.lana.2024.100967},
pmid = {39763496},
issn = {2667-193X},
}
@article {pmid39763494,
year = {2024},
author = {Batista, C and Knipper, M and Sedas, AC and Farante, SV and Wainstock, D and Borjas-Cavero, DB and Araya, KR and Arteaga España, JC and Yglesias-González, M},
title = {Climate change, migration, and health: perspectives from Latin America and the Caribbean.},
journal = {Lancet regional health. Americas},
volume = {40},
number = {},
pages = {100926},
pmid = {39763494},
issn = {2667-193X},
abstract = {This article delves into the complex relationship between climate change, migration patterns, and health outcomes in Latin America and the Caribbean (LAC). While the severe impact of climate change on health in LAC is widely acknowledged, the article sheds light on the often-overlooked multiple effects on migration and the well-being of migrants. These impacts encompass poverty, food and water insecurity, and adverse physical and mental health outcomes. Our paper, guided by a rights-based framework, aims to identify key trends, challenges, and opportunities that can contribute to enhanced knowledge and generate questions to support future research. By emphasizing the need for collaborative efforts across sectors, including public and private entities, civil society, and academic institutions, we aim to address the nuanced intersections of climate change, migration, and health impacts in the region. This approach prioritises the needs of the most vulnerable, including migrants, establishing a framework for mitigation and adaptation that ensures equitable outcomes.},
}
@article {pmid39763488,
year = {2024},
author = {Werner, K},
title = {The need to (climate) adapt: perceptions of German sports event planners on the imperative to address climate change.},
journal = {Frontiers in sports and active living},
volume = {6},
number = {},
pages = {1505372},
pmid = {39763488},
issn = {2624-9367},
abstract = {INTRODUCTION: While the impact of anthropogenic climate change on sports and the subsequent need for adaptation to evolving climatic conditions are acknowledged, there remains a notable paucity of scientific inquiry within the realm of sports and sports event studies specifically addressing climate change and its ramifications for event planning and management. Existing studies predominantly stem from health, medical, weather and climate science and mostly focus on mega-events and elite athlete contexts. Moreover, they often only focus on one specific impact (e.g., extreme heat) without providing a comprehensive summary or overview of all eminent impacts, resulting risks and potential adaptation strategies. This study aims to explore how (German) sports events are impacted by climate change and identify measures for organizers to address these impacts.<br><br>METHODS: Following a comprehensive literature review, semi-structured interviews with event planners and organizers in Germany were conducted, ranging from small local events to weekly league competitions to national championships and major events.<br><br>RESULTS: The findings demonstrate that climate change adaptation is not yet a primary focus in the German sports event context. While some planners, especially those of large-scale events, have started implementing adaptation measures, others are only beginning to address the issue.<br><br>DISCUSSION: The study discusses the challenges that sports event organizers face in adjusting to the adverse effects of climate change and also examines specific adaptation strategies. The paper emphasizes the imperative for organizers to incorporate climate adaptation measures more effectively into routine event planning and management processes, and provides practical guidelines to achieve this integration.},
}
@article {pmid39762690,
year = {2025},
author = {Ickovics, JR and Astbury, K and Campbell, M and Carrión, D and James, H and Sinha, N and Ong, A and Dubrow, R and Seto, KC and Vlahov, D},
title = {Indicators from The Lancet Countdown on Health and Climate Change: Perspectives and Experience of City Leaders from 118 Cities.},
journal = {Journal of urban health : bulletin of the New York Academy of Medicine},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
pmid = {39762690},
issn = {1468-2869},
abstract = {Rapid urbanization and escalating climate crises place cities at the critical juncture of environmental and public health action. Urban areas are home to more than half of the global population, contributing ~ 75% of global greenhouse gas emissions. Structured surveys were completed by 191 leaders in city governments and civil society from 118 cities in 52 countries (February-April 2024). Data aggregated to report one response per city. The survey utilized framework and indicators established by The 2023 Lancet Countdown on Health and Climate Change. (1) Health hazards, exposures, impacts: two-thirds of cities identify extreme heat, flooding, and air pollution of "high concern," with health impacts for residents. (2) Adaptation, planning, resilience for health: Although 60% of cities have climate resilience plans, only 22.9% of cities have plans that concurrently address climate and health. Essential resources, municipal systems, and cross-sector collaborations are limited. (3) Mitigation actions and health co-benefits: 90% of cities reported air pollution from multiple sources; only 38% monitor air quality. Energy, food, and transportation systems are sub-optimal to mitigate climate concerns. (4) Economics and finance: 92% of cities report climate change-related economic losses; they plan to increase investments though resources remain constrained. (5) Public and political engagement: City leaders report minimal knowledge sharing among media, national/local government, scientific community, business community, and residents. Results underscore urgency for action and highlight solutions, providing a roadmap for cities to enhance resilience, safeguard public health, and promote social equity.},
}
@article {pmid39762384,
year = {2025},
author = {Tollefson, J},
title = {Earth shattered heat records in 2023 and 2024: is global warming speeding up?.},
journal = {Nature},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
pmid = {39762384},
issn = {1476-4687},
}
@article {pmid39761681,
year = {2025},
author = {Hesselman, M and Patterson, DW and Phelan, AL and Meier, BM and Tahzib, F and Gostin, LO},
title = {Ensuring health at the heart of climate change Advisory Opinion.},
journal = {Lancet (London, England)},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1016/S0140-6736(24)02815-0},
pmid = {39761681},
issn = {1474-547X},
}
@article {pmid39759884,
year = {2024},
author = {Gould, CA and Gentile, LE and Sbiroli, E and Berger, M and Philipsborn, R},
title = {Editorial: Climate change is a children's health hazard.},
journal = {Environmental research, health : ERH},
volume = {2},
number = {4},
pages = {040201},
pmid = {39759884},
issn = {2752-5309},
support = {EPA999999/ImEPA/Intramural EPA/United States ; },
abstract = {As temperatures defy heat records, it is difficult to ignore the implications of climate change for public health, including impacts on population health more specifically. In short, climate change is happening now and presents an immediate hazard to human health on a global scale. Age-related health effects are an inalienable truth; physiology is relatively universal, and so are the ways in which our bodies respond to different types and levels of exposures to environmental stressors at different lifestages. Children are uniquely vulnerable to climate change stressors not only due to their physical and developmental immaturity, but also because they generally rely on adult caretakers for the fundamentals of survival. This article is the summary piece accompanying a special issue of Environmental Research: Health. It compiles new studies on children's vulnerability to climate change as well as studies exploring climate adaptation strategies to promote and protect child health. In this special issue, we see how these concepts are reflected repeatedly in empirical data domestically and internationally. For example, the special issue includes articles investigating linkages between climate change and health hazards such as asthma, injuries, and malnutrition. While local context is extremely important, many of the health effects may be extrapolated to other communities around the world.},
}
@article {pmid39759371,
year = {2024},
author = {Khalaf, SMH and Alqahtani, MSM and Ali, MRM and Abdelalim, ITI and Hodhod, MS},
title = {Using MaxEnt modeling to analyze climate change impacts on Pseudomonas syringae van Hall, 1904 distribution on the global scale.},
journal = {Heliyon},
volume = {10},
number = {24},
pages = {e41017},
pmid = {39759371},
issn = {2405-8440},
abstract = {Pseudomonas syringae is a pathogenic bacterium that poses a significant threat to global agriculture, necessitating a deeper understanding of its ecological dynamics in the context of global warming. This study investigates the current and projected future distribution of P. syringae, focusing on the climatic factors that influence its spread. To achieve this, we employed Maximum Entropy (MaxEnt) modeling based on Geographic Information Systems (GIS) to analyze species occurrence records alongside relevant climate data. The MaxEnt model was calibrated using 75 % of the occurrence data, with the remaining 25 % reserved for validation. The model's performance was meticulously assessed utilizing the area under the curve (AUC) and true skill statistics (TSS), resulting in an AUC score of 0.92, indicating excellent predictive capability. Our analysis identified key climatic parameters-temperature, precipitation, and humidity-that significantly affect the presence of P. syringae. Notably, our findings project an expansion of the bacterium's geographic range in the coming decades, with optimal conditions shifting toward the poles. This research underscores the significant influence of climate change on the distribution of P. syringae and provides valuable insights for developing targeted disease management strategies. The anticipated increase in bacterial infections in crops highlights the urgent need for proactive measures to mitigate these effects.},
}
@article {pmid39759337,
year = {2024},
author = {Belay, B and Diriba, D and Senbeta, F},
title = {Estimation of GHGs emission from traditional kilns charcoal production in northwestern Ethiopia: Implications on climate change.},
journal = {Heliyon},
volume = {10},
number = {24},
pages = {e41015},
pmid = {39759337},
issn = {2405-8440},
abstract = {Rural areas in Ethiopia serve as the primary source of charcoal for urban populations, mainly produced using traditional kilns. However, this traditional method significantly contributes to greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions, exacerbating climate change and deforestation. While banning charcoal production is not currently feasible in Ethiopia because of the lack of affordable alternative energy sources (fuel), improving the efficiency of the traditional production system can mitigate the climate impact caused by charcoal production. This study assessed GHG emissions from traditional charcoal production in Awi zone, northwestern Ethiopia, using primary data from 18 sample kilns and secondary data from literature values. Employing a carbon balance approach, we estimated that, on average, 63 % of the original wood carbon was lost as gaseous products, resulting in 1671 g of carbon released per kg of charcoal produced in Awi zone. Our results also indicate that the average primary global warming impact (PGWI) for the 18 sample kilns was found to be 7.6 kg CO2-eq per kg of charcoal produced. Within this, the less efficient kiln production system, constituting 6 out of the sample, contributed 1.5 times more to global warming (9.43 kg CO2-eq per kg of charcoal produced) compared to the more efficient kiln system (6.25 kg CO2-eq per kg of charcoal produced for the same number of kilns). The policy implication of our finding is that any interventions aiming at mitigating climate change through reduction of GHG emissions from charcoal production must focus on improving the conversion efficiency of the traditional kiln currently used in addition to promoting the use of sustainably harvested wood.},
}
@article {pmid39759313,
year = {2024},
author = {Usman, U and Yang, X and Nasir, MI},
title = {Role of climate change in economic uncertainty of Pakistan: New approach with qualitative comparative analysis.},
journal = {Heliyon},
volume = {10},
number = {24},
pages = {e40889},
pmid = {39759313},
issn = {2405-8440},
abstract = {Globally, the effects of climate change are becoming more pronounced. Simultaneously, concerns associated with climate change effects have garnered widespread attention. The motive of this study is to know about the prominent antecedents of climate abnormalities in Pakistan, which may lead to economic abnormality and instability. The core objectives of this research are to: identify the abrupt changes in the climate of Pakistan, know about the level of disruption towards economic conditions due to climate change, detect the aggregate consequences of climate change on the economy of Pakistan, and finally take steps to hedge the abnormalities resulting from the abnormal climate changes. The accomplices employed qualitative methods to gather information. Fuzzy set Qualitative comparative analysis (fsQCA) and semi-organized talks to thoroughly separate each plaintiff's extensive knowledge and opinions. For this study, a sample of 30 experienced economic analysts and climate change experts from Pakistan were chosen. The study's findings verified that several important antecedents, including the nature of climate change abnormalities, are identified in the research. This study explored methods to address these abnormalities and was conducted with professional guidance to meet sustainable development goals related to climate change. Scholars and experts are advised to adopt more systematic approaches to mitigate the risks due to the complex and variable combination situations that led to the climate change risks in Pakistan and the surrounding area.},
}
@article {pmid39758984,
year = {2024},
author = {Ross, PM and Pine, C and Scanes, E and Byrne, M and O'Connor, WA and Gibbs, M and Parker, LM},
title = {Meta-analyses reveal climate change impacts on an ecologically and economically significant oyster in Australia.},
journal = {iScience},
volume = {27},
number = {12},
pages = {110673},
pmid = {39758984},
issn = {2589-0042},
abstract = {Global oceans are warming and acidifying because of increasing greenhouse gas emissions that are anticipated to have cascading impacts on marine ecosystems and organisms, especially those essential for biodiversity and food security. Despite this concern, there remains some skepticism about the reproducibility and reliability of research done to predict future climate change impacts on marine organisms. Here, we present meta-analyses of over two decades of research on the climate change impacts on an ecologically and economically valuable Sydney rock oyster, Saccostrea glomerata. We confirm with high confidence that ocean acidification (OA) has a significant impact on the size and mortality of offspring of S. glomerata, ocean warming (OW) impacts size, and transgenerational exposure of adults to OA has positive benefits for offspring. These meta-analyses reveal gaps in understanding of OW and transgenerational plasticity on an ecologically and economically significant oyster species to ensure sustainability of this iconic oyster in Australia.},
}
@article {pmid39758434,
year = {2025},
author = {Wei, X and Bohnett, E and An, L},
title = {Assessing U.S. public perceptions of global warming using social survey and climate data.},
journal = {MethodsX},
volume = {14},
number = {},
pages = {103081},
pmid = {39758434},
issn = {2215-0161},
abstract = {This paper presents a methodological approach for assessing the relationship between weather patterns, regional climate trends, and public perceptions of global warming in the United States with control of socioeconomic, political, and ideological variables. We combined social survey data from the Gallup Poll Social Series (GPSS) with environmental data from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) and the PRISM Climate Group. Logistic regression models were employed, enhanced by Eigenvector Spatial Filtering (ESF) to address spatial autocorrelation. This approach allowed us to examine how both short-term weather conditions and long-term climate changes impact public concerns about global warming. Notably, the perception of warmer winters emerged as a critical factor influencing attitudes, highlighting the importance of perceived environmental changes in shaping public opinion.•We combined survey data on public perceptions with high-resolution weather and climate data.•We applied logistic regression models with Eigenvector Spatial Filtering to control for spatial autocorrelation.•Our analysis emphasized both physical climate measures and perceived climate changes.},
}
@article {pmid39757897,
year = {2025},
author = {Liu, OR and Kaplan, IC and Hernvann, PY and Fulton, EA and Haltuch, MA and Harvey, CJ and Marshall, KN and Muhling, B and Norman, K and Pozo Buil, M and Rovellini, A and Samhouri, JF},
title = {Climate Change Influences via Species Distribution Shifts and Century-Scale Warming in an End-To-End California Current Ecosystem Model.},
journal = {Global change biology},
volume = {31},
number = {1},
pages = {e70021},
pmid = {39757897},
issn = {1365-2486},
support = {NA20OAR4310507//Climate Program Office/ ; 2019-69817//David and Lucile Packard Foundation/ ; },
mesh = {*Climate Change ; *Ecosystem ; Animals ; California ; *Fishes/physiology ; *Biomass ; Fisheries ; Temperature ; Models, Theoretical ; Climate Models ; Models, Biological ; Animal Distribution ; Global Warming ; Pacific Ocean ; },
abstract = {Climate change can impact marine ecosystems through many biological and ecological processes. Ecosystem models are one tool that can be used to simulate how the complex impacts of climate change may manifest in a warming world. In this study, we used an end-to-end Atlantis ecosystem model to compare and contrast the effects of climate-driven species redistribution and projected temperature from three separate climate models on species of key commercial importance in the California Current Ecosystem. Adopting a scenario analysis approach, we used Atlantis to measure differences in the biomass, abundance, and weight at age of pelagic and demersal species among six simulations for the years 2013-2100 and tracked the implications of those changes for spatially defined California Current fishing fleets. The simulations varied in their use of forced climate-driven species distribution shifts, time-varying projections of ocean warming, or both. In general, the abundance and biomass of coastal pelagic species like Pacific sardine (Sardinops sagax) and northern anchovy (Engraulis mordax) were more sensitive to projected climate change, while demersal groups like Dover sole (Microstomus pacificus) experienced smaller changes due to counteracting effects of spatial distribution change and metabolic effects of warming. Climate-driven species distribution shifts and the resulting changes in food web interactions were more influential than warming on end-of-century biomass and abundance patterns. Spatial projections of changes in fisheries catch did not always align with changes in abundance of their targeted species. This mismatch is likely due to species distribution shifts into or out of fishing areas and emphasizes the importance of a spatially explicit understanding of both climate change effects and fishing dynamics. We illuminate important biological and ecological pathways through which climate change acts in an ecosystem context and end with a discussion of potential management implications and future directions for climate change research using ecosystem models.},
}
@article {pmid39756840,
year = {2025},
author = {The Lancet Haematology, },
title = {Haematology and climate change.},
journal = {The Lancet. Haematology},
volume = {12},
number = {1},
pages = {e1},
doi = {10.1016/S2352-3026(24)00381-8},
pmid = {39756840},
issn = {2352-3026},
}
@article {pmid39755861,
year = {2025},
author = {Motesaddi, S and Mohseni-Bandpei, A and Nasseri, M and Rafiee, M and Hashempour, Y},
title = {Climate change impact on water treatment plants: analysis of chlorophyll-a levels and process performance.},
journal = {Environmental science and pollution research international},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
pmid = {39755861},
issn = {1614-7499},
support = {IR.SBMU.PHNS.REC.1395.6//Shahid Beheshti University of Medical Sciences/ ; },
abstract = {Climate change significantly impacts the risk of eutrophication and, consequently, chlorophyll-a (Chl-a) concentrations. Understanding the impact of water flows is a crucial first step in developing insights into future patterns of change and associated risks. In this study, the Statistical DownScaling Model (SDSM)-a widely used daily downscaling method-is implemented to produce downscaled local climate variables, which serve as input for simulating future hydro-climate conditions using a hydrological model. The vulnerability of water quality, particularly Chl-a concentrations in the Latyan Dam and Tehranpars Water Treatment Plant (TWTP) is assessed through six fuzzy regression models under three scenarios: RCP2.6, RCP4.5, and RCP8.5. Projections indicate an increase in minimum temperatures for the Jajrood watershed ranging from 92 to 93%. Seasonal forecasts suggest significant precipitation during the dry season. The HYMOD model predicts increases in streamflow of approximately 97%, 90%, and 92% by 2050 under RCP2.6, RCP4.5, and RCP8.5, respectively, indicating a heightened risk of flooding that poses economic, health, and environmental concerns. Among the six fuzzy regression models, FGR1, FGR3, and FGR4 demonstrated the most favorable results in modeling Chl-a output from the TWTP. In conclusion, while Chl-a concentrations in the effluent of the TWTP are only slightly influenced by climate change, the effects on streamflow patterns are significant. These findings highlight serious future water quality challenges and increased vulnerability of water resources due to climate change.},
}
@article {pmid39755721,
year = {2025},
author = {Khalil, HH and Abdrabo, MA and Hassaan, MA and Elshemy, MM},
title = {Integrated approach for estimating climate change impacts on CO2 sink capacity of inland waterbodies using hydrodynamic modelling and GIS analysis.},
journal = {Scientific reports},
volume = {15},
number = {1},
pages = {762},
pmid = {39755721},
issn = {2045-2322},
abstract = {As one of their key regulatory ecosystem functions, inland lakes serve as CO2 sinks. The CO2 sink capacity of inland lakes depends on their water temperature and salinity as well as their water volume which are all highly sensitive to climate conditions. This paper aims to quantitatively estimate the change in the CO2 sink capacity of Wadi El-Rayan Lakes under climate change scenarios. For this purpose, an integrated approach combining CO2 solubility modelling, hydrodynamic simulations (Delft3D-FLOW) and GIS analysis was employed. According to the developed approach, CO2 solubility under variable temperature and salinity is mathematically modelled and this model is further used with the developed hydrodynamic model data for Wadi El-Rayan Lakes (temperature, salinity and water depth) to estimate their CO2 sink capacities. CO2 sink capacity is estimated for 2014 and 2050 under two Representative Concentration Pathways (RCPs) 2.6 and 8.5. Afterwards, the alteration in CO2 sink capacities due to climate change is determined using the modified hydrodynamic model. The results revealed that by 2050, the lakes would lose about 23-25% of their capacities compared to that of 2014 according to RCP 2.6 and 8.5, respectively.},
}
@article {pmid39755063,
year = {2025},
author = {Yamuza-Magdaleno, A and Jiménez-Ramos, R and Cavijoli-Bosch, J and Brun, FG and Egea, LG},
title = {Ocean acidification and global warming may favor blue carbon service in a Cymodocea nodosa community by modifying carbon metabolism and dissolved organic carbon fluxes.},
journal = {Marine pollution bulletin},
volume = {212},
number = {},
pages = {117501},
doi = {10.1016/j.marpolbul.2024.117501},
pmid = {39755063},
issn = {1879-3363},
abstract = {Ocean acidification (OA) and global warming (GW) drive a variety of responses in seagrasses that may modify their carbon metabolism, including the dissolved organic carbon (DOC) fluxes and the organic carbon stocks in upper sediments. In a 45-day full-factorial mesocosm experiment simulating forecasted CO2 and temperature increase in a Cymodocea nodosa community, we found that net community production (NCP) was higher under OA conditions, particularly when combined with warming (i.e., synergistic effect). Moreover, under OA conditions, an increase in aboveground biomass and photosynthetic shoot area was recorded. Interestingly, DOC fluxes were reduced when exposed to OA; however, an increase occurred when both factors acted together (i.e., antagonistic effect), which was attributable to increased DOC release by plants. Our results suggest that C. nodosa populations in temperate latitude may favor blue carbon service in future scenarios of OA and GW by increasing the NCP, the DOC export with lower labile:recalcitrant ratio, and accumulating more organic carbon in upper sediments. These findings offer additional arguments for the urgent need to protect and conserve this valuable ecosystem.},
}
@article {pmid39754884,
year = {2024},
author = {Iqbal, S and Li, Y and Xu, J and Worthy, FR and Gui, H and Faraj, TK and Jones, DL and Bu, D},
title = {Smallest microplastics intensify maize yield decline, soil processes and consequent global warming potential.},
journal = {Journal of hazardous materials},
volume = {486},
number = {},
pages = {136993},
doi = {10.1016/j.jhazmat.2024.136993},
pmid = {39754884},
issn = {1873-3336},
abstract = {Microplastic pollution seriously affects global agroecosystems, strongly influencing soil processes and crop growth. Microplastics impact could be size-dependent, yet relevant field experiments are scarce. We conducted a field experiment in a soil-maize agroecosystem to assess interactions between microplastic types and sizes. Microplastics were added to soils used for maize cultivation: either polyethylene or polystyrene, of 75, 150, or 300 µm size. Overall, we found that microplastic contamination led to increased soil carbon, nitrogen and biogeochemical cycling. Polyethylene contamination was generally more detrimental than polystyrene. Smallest polyethylene microplastics (75 µm) were associated with two-fold raised CO2 and N2O emissions - hypothetically via raised microbial metabolic rates. Increased net greenhouse gases emissions were calculated to raise soil global warming potential of soils. We infer that MPs-associated emissions arose from altered soil processes. Polyethylene of 75 µm size caused the greatest reduction in soil carbon and nitrogen pools (1-1.5 %), with lesser impacts of larger microplastics. These smallest polyethylene microplastics caused the greatest declines in maize productivity (∼ 2-fold), but had no significant impact on harvest index. Scanning electron microscopy indicated that microplastics were taken up by the roots of maize plants, then also translocated to stems and leaves. These results raise serious concerns for the impact of microplastics pollution on future soil bio-geochemical cycling, food security and climate change. As microplastics will progressively degrade to smaller sizes, the environmental and agricultural impacts of current microplastics contamination of soils could increase over time; exacerbating potential planetary boundary threats.},
}
@article {pmid39754352,
year = {2025},
author = {Rodriguez, MD and Bay, RA and Ruegg, KC},
title = {Telomere Length Differences Indicate Climate Change-Induced Stress and Population Decline in a Migratory Bird.},
journal = {Molecular ecology},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {e17642},
doi = {10.1111/mec.17642},
pmid = {39754352},
issn = {1365-294X},
support = {006784//National Science Foundation Graduate Research Fellowship Program/ ; 62591-443863//National Geographic Society/ ; 1942313//National Science Foundation/ ; },
abstract = {Genomic projections of (mal)adaptation under future climate change, known as genomic offset, faces limited application due to challenges in validating model predictions. Individuals inhabiting regions with high genomic offset are expected to experience increased levels of physiological stress as a result of climate change, but documenting such stress can be challenging in systems where experimental manipulations are not possible. One increasingly common method for documenting physiological costs associated with stress in individuals is to measure the relative length of telomeres-the repetitive regions on the caps of chromosomes that are known to shorten at faster rates in more adverse conditions. Here we combine models of genomic offsets with measures of telomere shortening in a migratory bird, the yellow warbler (Setophaga petechia), and find a strong correlation between genomic offset, telomere length and population decline. While further research is needed to fully understand these links, our results support the idea that birds in regions where climate change is happening faster are experiencing more stress and that such negative effects may help explain the observed population declines.},
}
@article {pmid39753724,
year = {2025},
author = {Yang, K and Luo, K and Zhang, J and Qiu, B and Wang, F and Xiao, Q and Cao, J and He, Y and Yang, J},
title = {Estimating forest aboveground carbon sink based on landsat time series and its response to climate change.},
journal = {Scientific reports},
volume = {15},
number = {1},
pages = {589},
pmid = {39753724},
issn = {2045-2322},
support = {32260390//National Natural Science Foundation of China/ ; 32260390//National Natural Science Foundation of China/ ; 32260390//National Natural Science Foundation of China/ ; 32260390//National Natural Science Foundation of China/ ; 32260390//National Natural Science Foundation of China/ ; YNWR-QNBJ-2020-164//"Young Top Talents" special project of the high-level talent training support program of Yunnan province, China, in 2020/ ; YNWR-QNBJ-2020-164//"Young Top Talents" special project of the high-level talent training support program of Yunnan province, China, in 2020/ ; YNWR-QNBJ-2020-164//"Young Top Talents" special project of the high-level talent training support program of Yunnan province, China, in 2020/ ; YNWR-QNBJ-2020-164//"Young Top Talents" special project of the high-level talent training support program of Yunnan province, China, in 2020/ ; YNWR-QNBJ-2020-164//"Young Top Talents" special project of the high-level talent training support program of Yunnan province, China, in 2020/ ; LXXK-2023Z06//Innovation Programs of Southwest Forestry University/ ; LXXK-2023Z06//Innovation Programs of Southwest Forestry University/ ; LXXK-2023Z06//Innovation Programs of Southwest Forestry University/ ; LXXK-2023Z06//Innovation Programs of Southwest Forestry University/ ; LXXK-2023Z06//Innovation Programs of Southwest Forestry University/ ; },
abstract = {Accurately estimating forest carbon sink and exploring their climate-driven mechanisms are critical to achieving carbon neutrality and sustainable development. Fewer studies have used machine learning-based dynamic models to estimate forest carbon sink. The climate-driven mechanisms in Shangri-La have yet to be explored. In this study, a genetic algorithm (GA) was used to optimize the parameters of random forest (RF) to establish dynamic models to estimate the carbon sink intensity (CSI) of Pinus densata in Shangri-La and analyze the combined effects of multi-climatic factors on CSI. We found that (1) GA can effectively improve the estimation accuracy of RF, the R[2] can be improved by up to 34.8%, and the optimal GA-RF model R[2] is 0.83. (2) The CSI of Pinus densata in Shangri-La was 0.45-0.72 t C·hm[- 2] from 1987 to 2017. (3) Precipitation has the most significant effect on CSI. The combined weak drive of precipitation, temperature, and surface solar radiation on CSI was the most dominant drive for Pinus densata CSI. These results indicate that dynamic models can be used for large-scale long-term estimation of carbon sink in highland forest, providing a feasible method. Clarifying the driving mechanism will provide a scientific basis for forest resource management.},
}
@article {pmid39753640,
year = {2025},
author = {Lee, SH and An, LS and Kim, HK},
title = {Risk-based bridge life cycle cost and environmental impact assessment considering climate change effects.},
journal = {Scientific reports},
volume = {15},
number = {1},
pages = {725},
pmid = {39753640},
issn = {2045-2322},
support = {RS-2023-00250727//Korea Agency for Infrastructure Technology Advancement/ ; RS-2023-00250727//Korea Agency for Infrastructure Technology Advancement/ ; RS-2023-00250727//Korea Agency for Infrastructure Technology Advancement/ ; },
abstract = {To enhance sustainability and resilience against climate change in infrastructure, a quantitative evaluation of both environmental impact and cost is important within a life cycle framework. Climate change effects can lead performance deterioration in bridge components during their operational phase, highlighting the necessity for a risk-based evaluation process aligned with maintenance strategies. This study employs a two-phase life cycle assessments (LCA) framework. First, risk assessments are conducted to evaluate the impact of climate change on steel plate girder bridges and prestressed concrete (PSC) girder bridges under identical structural conditions. The reduction in flexural strength of steel plate girders and PSC girders due to changes in environmental variables such as temperature and relative humidity, induced by various climate change scenarios, was evaluated analytically. Subsequently, life cycle environmental impact and cost assessments were performed, including maintenance outcomes derived from risk assessments. The findings revealed that the environmental impact and cost could increase by approximately 12.4% when climate change is considered, compared to scenarios where it is not taken into account. Sensitivity analyses were performed to identify the key factors influencing environmental impact and cost. The analysis determined that the frequency of preventive maintenance, the recycling rate, and environmental cost coefficient weight in the life cycle assessment significantly affected the results.},
}
@article {pmid39753474,
year = {2024},
author = {Jia, F and Cai, W and Geng, T and Gan, B and Zhong, W and Wu, L and McPhaden, MJ},
title = {Transition from multi-year La Niña to strong El Niño rare but increased under global warming.},
journal = {Science bulletin},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1016/j.scib.2024.12.034},
pmid = {39753474},
issn = {2095-9281},
abstract = {El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) exhibits a strong asymmetry between warm El Niño and cold La Niña in amplitude and temporal evolution. An El Niño often leads to a heat discharge in the equatorial Pacific conducive to its rapid termination and transition to a La Niña, whereas a La Niña persists and recharges the equatorial Pacific for consecutive years preconditioning development of a subsequent El Niño, as occurred in 2020-2023. Whether the multiyear-long heat recharge increases the likelihood of a transition to a strong El Niño remains unknown. Here, we show that such a transition is rare but more likely under transient greenhouse warming. In boreal spring and early summer after a multiyear La Niña, despite a substantial recharge in the western Pacific, thermocline remains anomalously shallow and sea surface temperature (SST) remains anomalously cold in the equatorial central Pacific. The cold conditions inhibit an ensuing eastward movement of atmosphere deep convection out of the warm western Pacific, delaying onset of ocean-atmosphere coupling, and hence growth of an El Niño. Under a high emission scenario, such a transition is still rare but more than twice as likely. The projected change is consistent with a projected weakening in climatological zonal SST gradient that promotes the eastward movement of atmosphere convection and a projected intensification in upper-ocean stratification of the equatorial Pacific that enhances the ocean-atmosphere coupling. Our result provides predictive insight of El Niño after multiyear La Niña, and advances our understanding of ENSO transition under greenhouse warming.},
}
@article {pmid39752940,
year = {2025},
author = {Ricciardi, G and Callegari, G and Leone, MF},
title = {20∗20∗60: A multilevel climate change analysis framework.},
journal = {Journal of environmental management},
volume = {373},
number = {},
pages = {123733},
doi = {10.1016/j.jenvman.2024.123733},
pmid = {39752940},
issn = {1095-8630},
abstract = {Cities worldwide have established plans and policies to achieve climate-neutral and climate-resilient objectives in recent decades. Researches have demonstrated that Climate Change Action Plans generally fail to include mitigation and adaptation approaches in their planning processes, despite their importance. A proposed multilevel assessment of Climate Change Action Plans, urban regeneration, and building projects was used to analyze the ten cities most sustainable in terms of developing environmental strategies, including local climate action to determine the degree of adaptation and mitigation integration in cutting-edge contexts and to identify measures that show synergies and co-benefits for urban design practices. Climate Change Action Plans, urban regeneration and building projects have been evaluated through scoring methods to determine firstly the level of integration among adaptation and mitigation and secondly the most used urban design solutions that addresses both approaches. Almost all of Climate Change Action Plans have "moderate" and "early" integration, with the most advanced in North American cities including Toronto, Montreal, New York, and San Francisco. Climate Change Action Plans partly influence urban regeneration projects. Among the cities studied, Royal Seaport and Hammarby Sjöstad in Stockholm stand out as the most advanced in terms of including measures for both mitigating and adapting to climate change, as well as the extent of activities carried out. North American building projects have the highest adaptation and mitigation strategies. Climate Change Action Plans, urban regeneration initiatives, and building projects analyzed have displayed measures to include both climate change mitigation and climate change adaptation benefits into urban design.},
}
@article {pmid39752819,
year = {2025},
author = {Liu, J and Liu, X and Zhu, A and Wang, X and Yu, Q and Chen, L and Al-Musawi, TJ and Aasal, M},
title = {Prioritization of climate change mitigation strategies for coastal regions using the Analytic Hierarchy Process.},
journal = {Marine pollution bulletin},
volume = {212},
number = {},
pages = {117516},
doi = {10.1016/j.marpolbul.2024.117516},
pmid = {39752819},
issn = {1879-3363},
abstract = {This study utilizes the Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP) to prioritize climate change mitigation strategies for coastal regions systematically. The AHP, a robust data-driven decision-making framework, was employed to evaluate five strategies: Mangrove Restoration, Zoning and Building Codes, Seawalls, Coral Reef Protection, and Relocation Programs. The analysis revealed that Mangrove Restoration emerged as the most effective strategy, achieving the highest score of 0.65 due to its significant environmental impact and long-term sustainability. Zoning and Building Codes followed closely with a score of 0.58, showcasing their cost-effectiveness and regulatory advantages. While effective in urban areas, Seawalls ranked third with a score of 0.48, indicating limitations in social acceptance. Coral Reef Protection and Relocation Programs scored 0.46 and 0.38, respectively, reflecting their higher costs and resource intensity. The findings underscored the importance of prioritizing strategies that balance ecological health and socio-economic feasibility, offering actionable recommendations for policymakers and stakeholders. This research identifies key challenges such as balancing ecological health, socio-economic feasibility, and resource limitations. Our framework addresses these by integrating multi-criteria evaluation, presenting novel prioritization insights for climate adaptation strategies in coastal regions.},
}
@article {pmid39752384,
year = {2025},
author = {Bajaj, K and Mehrabi, Z and Kastner, T and Jägermeyr, J and Müller, C and Schwarzmüller, F and Hertel, TW and Ramankutty, N},
title = {Current food trade helps mitigate future climate change impacts in lower-income nations.},
journal = {PloS one},
volume = {20},
number = {1},
pages = {e0314722},
pmid = {39752384},
issn = {1932-6203},
mesh = {*Climate Change ; *Food Supply ; *Commerce ; Humans ; *Developing Countries ; Food Security ; Crops, Agricultural/growth &amp; development/economics ; },
abstract = {The risk of national food supply disruptions is linked to both domestic production and food imports. But assessments of climate change risks for food systems typically focus on the impacts on domestic production, ignoring climate impacts in supplying regions. Here, we use global crop modeling data in combination with current trade flows to evaluate potential climate change impacts on national food supply, comparing impacts on domestic production alone (domestic production impacts) to impacts considering how climate change impacts production in all source regions (consumption impact). Under 2°C additional global mean warming over present day, our analysis highlights that climate impacts on national supply are aggravated for 53% high income and 56% upper medium income countries and mitigated for 60% low- and 71% low-medium income countries under consumption-based impacts compared to domestic impacts alone. We find that many countries are reliant on a few mega-exporters who mediate these climate impacts. Managing the risk of climate change for national food security requires a global perspective, considering not only how national production is affected, but also how climate change affects trading partners.},
}
@article {pmid39752293,
year = {2025},
author = {Mengesha, NA and Sarnyai, Z},
title = {The mental health impact of climate change on Pacific Islanders: A systematic review focused on sea level rise and extreme weather events.},
journal = {Australasian psychiatry : bulletin of Royal Australian and New Zealand College of Psychiatrists},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {10398562241312865},
doi = {10.1177/10398562241312865},
pmid = {39752293},
issn = {1440-1665},
abstract = {OBJECTIVE: This systematic review investigates the impact of climate change on the mental health of Pacific Island Nations (PINs), with a focus on identifying culturally tailored interventions and appropriate research methodologies to address these impacts.<br><br>METHOD: A systematic review of peer-reviewed literature up to May 18, 2024, was conducted using the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis (PRISMA) protocol and the Population, Interest Area, and Context (PICo) framework. Empirical studies on the impact of climate change on mental health in PINs were evaluated by using the Quality Assessment Tool for Studies with Diverse Designs (QATSDD).<br><br>RESULTS: Six studies from the Solomon Islands, Cook Islands, and Tuvalu were identified, indicating significant mental health impacts from sea level rise (SLR) and extreme weather events with compounding and mitigating effects across diverse groups. The Skills for Life Adjustment and Resilience (SOLAR) program was highlighted as a promising culturally adapted intervention.<br><br>CONCLUSION: Climate change significantly impacts mental health, particularly in PIN communities facing SLR and Extreme Weather Events (EWE). Culturally sensitive interventions, local knowledge, and further research are vital to mitigate these effects and support well-being.},
}
@article {pmid39752257,
year = {2025},
author = {Nieves, M and Jansen, K},
title = {Worry related to climate change in Brazilian adults.},
journal = {Trends in psychiatry and psychotherapy},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.47626/2237-6089-2024-0905},
pmid = {39752257},
issn = {2238-0019},
abstract = {INTRODUCTION: Climate change is happening, and feeling anxiety can be seen as a natural response to it. Climate anxiety is the worry about the climate crisis and could be related to specific emotions and thoughts. The aim of this study was to assess the prevalence of worry about climate change, and to describe the emotions and thoughts associated to it in Brazilian adults.<br><br>METHOD: Cross-sectional study with participants aged between 18-42 years (n=323). Data were collected online using the questionnaire developed by Hickman and colleagues, which assesses the worry, thoughts and feelings about climate change.<br><br>RESULTS: 88.5% were worried about climate change. The feelings of sadness, powerlessness, fear and anxiety were reported more often among those who were worried. The most frequent thoughts were: "People have failed to take care of the planet", "The future is frightening", "My family's security will be threatened" and "Humanity is doomed".<br><br>DISCUSSION: In this sample, the majority of the individuals were concerned about climate change, and they showed more negative emotions and thoughts when compared to individuals that were not concerned. Future studies should take care to not understand natural worries and anxiety responses to climate change as pathological.},
}
@article {pmid39748788,
year = {2025},
author = {Karl, S and Brandt, L and Luykx, JJ and Dom, G},
title = {Impact of climate change, biodiversity loss, and pollution on the incidence and manifestation of depressive and anxiety disorders.},
journal = {Current opinion in psychiatry},
volume = {38},
number = {1},
pages = {35-40},
doi = {10.1097/YCO.0000000000000971},
pmid = {39748788},
issn = {1473-6578},
mesh = {Humans ; *Climate Change ; *Anxiety Disorders/epidemiology ; *Biodiversity ; *Depressive Disorder/epidemiology/etiology ; *Environmental Pollution/adverse effects ; Incidence ; },
abstract = {PURPOSE OF REVIEW: Climate change, biodiversity loss, and pollution present a major threat to health. Although emphasis has been put on physical health impacts, evidence on the mental health consequences is now also accumulating quickly. Given the rapid developments in the field, this article provides an expert opinion on the emerging research.<br><br>RECENT FINDINGS: Umbrella reviews are adding more high-level evidence on the associations of environmental crises and mental health. Individual studies are focusing on specific aspects of environmental crises and mental health, shedding light on potential direct links between climate change and mental health. Further studies are aiming to quantify individual burden and societal cost of the environmental crises and mental health nexus and to identify those most at risk for negative mental health outcomes. Many studies focus on eco-emotions, attempting to characterize them further, provide tools for quantification, and to determine their effect on functioning.<br><br>SUMMARY: Although the accumulating research on the impacts of environmental change on depression and anxiety is filling important knowledge gaps, important questions remain, for example concerning the risk factors for the development of mental health disorders caused by ecological crises, tailored preventive strategies, and concerning the effects of biodiversity loss on mental health. Health systems need to further develop responses to these environmental crises.},
}
@article {pmid39748787,
year = {2025},
author = {Gondek, TM},
title = {Climate change, socioeconomic transition and mental health.},
journal = {Current opinion in psychiatry},
volume = {38},
number = {1},
pages = {1-2},
doi = {10.1097/YCO.0000000000000974},
pmid = {39748787},
issn = {1473-6578},
}
@article {pmid39748023,
year = {2025},
author = {Khajehali, M and Safavi, HR and Nikoo, MR and Najafi, MR and Alizadeh-Sh, R},
title = {A copula-based multivariate flood frequency analysis under climate change effects.},
journal = {Scientific reports},
volume = {15},
number = {1},
pages = {146},
pmid = {39748023},
issn = {2045-2322},
abstract = {Floods are among the most severe natural hazards, causing substantial damage and affecting millions of lives. These events are inherently multi-dimensional, requiring analysis across multiple factors. Traditional research often uses a bivariate framework relying on historical data, but climate change is expected to influence flood frequency analysis and flood system design in the future. This study assesses the projected changes in flood characteristics based on eight downscaled and bias-corrected General Circulation Models (GCMs) that participated in the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6. The analysis considers two emission scenarios, including SSP2-4.5 and SSP5-8.5 for far-future (2070-2100), mid-term future (2040-2070), and historical (1982-2012) periods. Downscaled GCM outputs are utilized as predictors of the machine learning model to simulate daily streamflow. Then, a trivariate copula-based framework assesses flood events in terms of duration, volume, and flood peak in the Kan River basin, Iran. These analyses are carried out using the hierarchical Archimedean copula in three structures, and their accuracy in estimating the flood frequencies is ultimately compared. The results show that a heterogeneous asymmetric copula offers more flexibility to capture varying degrees of asymmetry across different parts of the distribution, leading to more accurate modeling results compared to homogeneous asymmetric and symmetric copulas. Also it has been found that climate change can influence the trivariate joint return periods, particularly in the far future. In other words, flood frequency may increase by approximately 50% in some cases in the far future compared to the mid-term future and historical period. This demonstrates that flood characteristics are expected to show nonstationary behavior in the future as a result of climate change. The results provide insightful information for managing and accessing flood risk in a dynamic environment.},
}
@article {pmid39746258,
year = {2025},
author = {Filho, WL and Lütz, JM and Totin, E and Ayal, D and Mendy, E},
title = {Obstacles to implementing indigenous knowledge in climate change adaptation in Africa.},
journal = {Journal of environmental management},
volume = {373},
number = {},
pages = {123678},
doi = {10.1016/j.jenvman.2024.123678},
pmid = {39746258},
issn = {1095-8630},
abstract = {In a climate change context, indigenous and local knowledge includes the use of traditional practices, crop varieties, and land management techniques that have evolved in response to local climatic conditions. This inter-generational transfer of knowledge is crucial for maintaining and adapting these practices to meet the challenges posed by climate change. Despite the many advantages of using indigenous knowledge in climate change adaptation in Africa, its implementation faces several obstacles. Understanding these obstacles is crucial for integrating indigenous knowledge with scientific approaches to enhance climate resilience effectively. This paper offers an analysis of some of the most critical obstacles that hinder the use of indigenous and local knowledge in climate change adaptation in African countries.},
}
@article {pmid39746200,
year = {2024},
author = {Editors, T},
title = {Vote in November for Science: Kamala Harris has plans to improve health, boost the economy and mitigate climate change. Donald Trump has threats and a dangerous record.},
journal = {Scientific American},
volume = {331},
number = {4},
pages = {56},
doi = {10.1038/scientificamerican112024-5YgImqHdG6rmUBPlrrmMCF},
pmid = {39746200},
issn = {0036-8733},
}
@article {pmid39745966,
year = {2025},
author = {Voosen, P},
title = {Earth's clouds are shrinking, boosting global warming.},
journal = {Science (New York, N.Y.)},
volume = {387},
number = {6729},
pages = {17},
doi = {10.1126/science.adv6047},
pmid = {39745966},
issn = {1095-9203},
abstract = {Narrowing storm bands may be a surprising and dangerous new feedback of climate change.},
}
@article {pmid39744323,
year = {2024},
author = {Agrawal, N and Chunletia, RS and Badigannavar, AM and Mondal, S},
title = {Role of alanine aminotransferase in crop resilience to climate change: a critical review.},
journal = {Physiology and molecular biology of plants : an international journal of functional plant biology},
volume = {30},
number = {12},
pages = {1935-1953},
pmid = {39744323},
issn = {0971-5894},
abstract = {Alanine aminotransferase (AlaAT) is a crucial enzyme present in various isoforms. It is playing vital role in both humans and plants. This concise review focuses on the role of AlaAT in plants, particularly on preharvest sprouting, hypoxia, nitrogen use efficiency, abiotic and biotic stress tolerance. The molecular genetics of AlaAT, including gene identification and the impact on plant yield and its physiology, is discussed. Notably, the major dormancy gene Qsd1/SD1 governing AlaAT synthesis has been characterized and cloned in various crops. This review emphasizes the current understanding of AlaAT and its influence on plants, covering mechanisms regulating preharvest sprouting, hypoxia, drought tolerance, salt tolerance, biotic resistance and nitrogen use efficiency. Identifying a protein with multidimensional roles in crop plants is very important. Modern biotechnological approaches can alter such candidate gene/protein for superior varieties development. Overall, the review gives an understanding of the uncovered area of AlaAT and the challenge of climatic change triggers in plants. In the future, the potential of genome editing in AlaAT through enhancer insertion and rapid stabilization through speed breeding will impart resilience to crop plants against climate change.},
}
@article {pmid39742829,
year = {2024},
author = {Heo, S and Choi, HM and D Berman, J and Bell, ML},
title = {Temperature, violent crime, climate change, and vulnerability factors in 44 United States cities.},
journal = {Environment international},
volume = {195},
number = {},
pages = {109246},
doi = {10.1016/j.envint.2024.109246},
pmid = {39742829},
issn = {1873-6750},
abstract = {Biological and psychological theories suggest complex impacts of heat on aggression and violence. Most previous studies considered temporal intervals of months to years and assumed linear associations. Evidence is needed on daily impacts of temperature on crime, applying non-linear models across different locations. This observational study examined non-linear relationships between daily summer temperature (May-September) and violent crime in 44 cities across 33 US states, 2005-2022. We calculated city-specific average temperature for the event day and previous day (lag0-1) and daily temperature anomalies (deviation from 1985 to 2010 average) using PRISM data. The Uniform Crime Reporting Program data were used to calculate daily city-specific number of violent crimes (n = 2,447,458 incidents). Generalized additive modeling was used to estimate relative risks (RRs) of violent crime. We identified three distinctive shapes (J-shaped, inverted J-shaped, linear) for relationships. The inverted J-shaped curve, indicating higher crime rates at high temperatures below extremely hot temperatures, was most predominant (26 cities). Across all cities, violent crime was 1.03 times higher at high compared to moderate temperatures (90th vs. 50th percentiles) (RR 1.03, 95 % CI: 1.02-1.04). Violent crime was also higher at moderate compared to cold temperatures (50th vs. 10th percentiles) [RR 1.04 (95 % CI: 1.03-1.06)], whereas risk did not differ between extremely high and hot temperature (99th vs. 90th percentiles). Risk during hot days versus moderate temperature days was significantly lower for cities with lower latitude, higher median temperature, higher urban greenspace, and higher percentage of occupied housing units with air conditioners. Risk was higher in cities with 90th percentile temperature anomalies that deviated from the historical temperature record, suggesting implications of climate change on heat-related violence. High daily temperatures are associated with violent crime with differences across locations. Disparities in risks by city-level social and environmental characteristics have implications for climate change strategies.},
}
@article {pmid39742763,
year = {2024},
author = {Danisman, GO and Bilyay-Erdogan, S and Demir, E},
title = {Economic uncertainty and climate change exposure.},
journal = {Journal of environmental management},
volume = {373},
number = {},
pages = {123760},
doi = {10.1016/j.jenvman.2024.123760},
pmid = {39742763},
issn = {1095-8630},
abstract = {This paper explores how economic uncertainty affects firms' climate change exposure. We use an extensive sample from 24 countries from 2002 to 2021. Employing a novel measure of firm-level climate change exposure developed by Sautner et al. (2023b), we empirically demonstrate that prior to the Paris Agreement in 2015, economic uncertainty leads to a decrease in climate change disclosures. However, after the Paris Agreement, our findings reveal a positive association between economic uncertainty and climate change exposure. The positive disclosure effect is primarily driven by higher climate-related opportunities and regulatory exposures. Our findings are robust when we employ alternative definitions for economic uncertainty, alternative samples, additional firm-level and country-level control variables, and alternative methodologies. We find that institutional and foreign ownership positively moderates the association between economic uncertainty and climate change exposure after the Paris Agreement. Further analysis investigates the moderating impact of country-level environmental performance indicators. We present novel empirical evidence suggesting that firms operating in countries with less climate vulnerability, higher readiness, more stringent environmental policies, superior climate protection performance, and higher environmental litigation risk tend to have higher climate change exposure in uncertain times.},
}
@article {pmid39742527,
year = {2024},
author = {Monteiro, JCL and Ribeiro, SP and Vieira Duarte, R and Lira-Noriega, A and Rojas-Soto, OR and Carneiro, M and Reis, AB and Coura-Vital, W},
title = {The Human Footprint and Climate Change Shape Current and Future Scenarios of Visceral Leishmaniasis Distribution in Doce River Basin in Brazil.},
journal = {The American journal of tropical medicine and hygiene},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.4269/ajtmh.24-0442},
pmid = {39742527},
issn = {1476-1645},
abstract = {The identification of factors that influence the distribution of visceral leishmaniasis (VL) is key for future surveillance and control. This study sought to understand how environmental and climate variables can interfere with VL expansion in the Doce River basin located in Brazil. This ecological study explored the influence of anthropogenic, environmental, and climatic factors on VL expansion. Ecological niche modeling was used to assess the current situation and predict the future spread of the disease. The study used 855 human cases of VL recorded in the Doce River basin from 2001-2018 and analyzed them within the context of climatic and environmental variables. To model the current and future distributions, MaxEnt with the kuenm R package was used. To model the future projections, the global climate model of the National Centre for Meteorological Research (CNRM-CM6-1) was used as well as two Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSP370 and SSP585) for 2021-2040 and 2061-2080. Variables that contributed to the VL distribution were the human footprint index (62.6%), isothermality (28.1%), precipitation during the wettest month (6.4%), and temperature during the hottest month (3.8%). Future climate change scenarios showed areas suitable for the disease increasing over time (by about 7% between 2021 and 2041 and about 12% between 2061 and 2080) and the maintenance of the disease in places already considered endemic. Our results demonstrate the importance of anthropic and climatic factors in VL expansion. We hope that these results will contribute to boosting surveillance and vector control programs along the Doce River basin.},
}
@article {pmid39741933,
year = {2024},
author = {Ponte, N and Alves, F and Vidal, DG},
title = {"We are not ready for this": physicians' perceptions on climate change information and adaptation strategies - qualitative study in Portugal.},
journal = {Frontiers in public health},
volume = {12},
number = {},
pages = {1506120},
pmid = {39741933},
issn = {2296-2565},
mesh = {Humans ; Portugal ; *Climate Change ; *Qualitative Research ; Male ; *Physicians/psychology ; Female ; *Health Policy ; Attitude of Health Personnel ; Adult ; Interviews as Topic ; Middle Aged ; Perception ; },
abstract = {BACKGROUND: Climate change presents several challenges to public health and its professionals. This article aims to fill a significant gap in the current literature by understanding physicians' perceptions of their role in educating others about health adaptation to climate change. It also explores their knowledge of health policies related to this issue in Portugal and their perceived influence on the development of adaptation policies at both local and national levels within the health sector.<br><br>METHODS: To this end, we applied a qualitative and case study approach, interviewing 13 physicians in Portugal, including general practitioners and specialists. The data was collected using a semi-structured interview script, and a content analysis was performed to categorize the responses and gain a comprehensive understanding of the phenomenon.<br><br>RESULTS: The main results of this study highlight the need for a more systematic approach to training physicians, including the relationship between climate change and health. Concerning policies, this research highlights the need for more consistent communication and precise guidelines for dealing with the impacts of climate change on public health.<br><br>CONCLUSION: As the first exploratory study focusing on Portuguese physicians, this research provides unique insights into their views on the potential to influence patient behavior and health policy. Importantly, it offers valuable recommendations for health policy strategies, particularly in awareness-raising and training plans for these professionals, thereby demonstrating the research's practical implications.},
}
@article {pmid39741276,
year = {2024},
author = {Li, T and Guo, J and Hu, G and Cao, F and Su, H and Shen, M and Wang, H and You, M and Liu, Y and Gurr, GM and You, S},
title = {Zinc finger proteins facilitate adaptation of a global insect pest to climate change.},
journal = {BMC biology},
volume = {22},
number = {1},
pages = {303},
pmid = {39741276},
issn = {1741-7007},
mesh = {Animals ; *Climate Change ; *Moths/physiology/genetics ; *Zinc Fingers ; Insect Proteins/metabolism/genetics ; Adaptation, Physiological/genetics ; Thermotolerance ; },
abstract = {BACKGROUND: Global climate change significantly impacts ecosystems, particularly through temperature fluctuations that affect insect physiology and behavior. As poikilotherms, insect pests such as the globally devastating diamondback moth (DBM), Plutella xylostella, are especially vulnerable to rising temperatures and extreme heat events, necessitating effective adaptive mechanisms.<br><br>RESULTS: Here we demonstrate the roles of zinc finger proteins (ZFPs) in mediating thermal adaptability in DBM. We utilized a comprehensive approach involving cloning and bioinformatics analysis of three ZFPs, PxZNF568, PxZNF93, and PxZNF266, measurement of their expression levels in hot-evolved and control strains, and assessment of catalase enzymatic activity and total antioxidant capacity. We also employed CRISPR/Cas9 technology to create five stable homozygous knockout strains to elucidate ZFP functions in high-temperature tolerance. Survival rates under high-temperature stress and the critical thermal maxima (CTMax) of the knockout strains were significantly lower than the wild-type strain, and exhibited marked decreases in antioxidant capacity.<br><br>CONCLUSION: Findings reveal the importance of ZFPs in thermal adaptability of DBM, contributing critical insights for future pest management strategies in the context of a warming climate and laying the foundation for further exploration of ZFP functionality in agricultural pest control.},
}
@article {pmid39740621,
year = {2024},
author = {Vasilakou, K and Nimmegeers, P and Yao, Y and Billen, P and Van Passel, S},
title = {Global spatiotemporal characterization factors for freshwater eutrophication under climate change scenarios.},
journal = {The Science of the total environment},
volume = {959},
number = {},
pages = {178275},
doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.178275},
pmid = {39740621},
issn = {1879-1026},
abstract = {Nutrient enrichment of water bodies can lead to eutrophication, which poses a global threat to freshwater ecosystems, affecting biodiversity and water quality. While human activities have accelerated eutrophication, climate change further complicates the dynamics of nutrient cycling and ecosystem responses. Here, we provide global, spatially explicit freshwater eutrophication characterization factors, at an annual resolution from 2021 up to 2099 based on eight different climate change scenarios. A substantial spatial and temporal variability is identified, with higher characterization factors observed in tropical and arid regions, as well as densely populated areas, revealing a location-specific influence of climate change on eutrophication impacts. A comparison between different Representative Concentration Pathway scenarios suggests that climate change intensifies the eutrophication impact of phosphorus and its fluctuations, with hotspots identified in central and south America, Australia, southeastern Asia, central Africa and eastern Europe. Results highlight the importance of spatially- and temporally-explicit characterization factors, especially in prospective life cycle assessments. Finally, novel insights are provided into the complex interactions between nutrient fate, hydrological dynamics, and climate change, crucial for the development of phosphorus emission control strategies and the protection of freshwater ecosystems.},
}
@article {pmid39740574,
year = {2024},
author = {Yu, T and Wen, Y and Dong, PP and Sun, MK and Qian, SE and Schootman, M and Vaughn, MG and Xu, SL and Huang, HH and Shan, FW and Zhu, SF and Wang, JY and Li, C and Gui, ZH and Liu, RQ and Hu, LW and Lin, LZ and Lin, Z and Dong, GH},
title = {The association between anthropogenic heat and parent-report symptoms of childhood attention deficit hyperactivity disorder in China: A novel perspective reflecting climate change.},
journal = {International journal of hygiene and environmental health},
volume = {264},
number = {},
pages = {114518},
doi = {10.1016/j.ijheh.2024.114518},
pmid = {39740574},
issn = {1618-131X},
abstract = {Anthropogenic climate change will have a negative impact on worldwide well-being over and above the direct consequences of rising average temperatures. But anthropogenic heat (AH) relationship with childhood attention deficit hyperactivity disorder (ADHD) is unknown. To assess the relationship with AH exposure and childhood ADHD symptoms in the context of global climate change, this study was conducted in a cross-sectional survey from April 2012 to May 2018 in the northeastern, northwestern, and southern regions of China, with a total enrollment of 179,846 children aged 6-18 years. Exposure to AH was evaluated by gathering socioeconomic and energy usage data along with nighttime light data from satellites and data on the Normalized Difference Vegetation Index. This encompassed four types of AH exposure: industrial processes, transportation, buildings, and human metabolism. The statistical analysis used generalized linear mixed-effects modeling to determine the association between the types of AH exposure and childhood ADHD symptoms. The mean (SD) age of the 179,846 study participants was 11.7 (2.9) years, and 7343 participants (4.1%) had ADHD symptoms. In adjusted models, increased levels of AH exposure per IQR from total AH, industry, transportation, buildings, and human metabolism all increased the odds of ADHD (odds ratios, 3.60 [95% CI, 3.42, 3.80]; 5.71 [95% CI, 5.32, 6.14]; 1.79 [95% CI, 1.75, 1.84]; 2.10 [95% CI, 2.03, 2.17]; 1.95 [95% CI, 1.89, 2.02]). The association remained robust after various sensitivity analyses. Prolonged exposure to AH is associated with the development of ADHD symptoms in children.},
}
@article {pmid39739703,
year = {2024},
author = {Riantini, M and Mardiharini, M and Saptana, and Sudjarmoko, B and Kasymir, E and Nur'aini, LG and Anindita, SH and Syukur, M and Zulham, A and Wardono, B and Ardana, IK and Indrawanto, C and Wahyudi, A},
title = {Livelihood vulnerability household fishermen household due to climate change in Lampung Province, Indonesia.},
journal = {PloS one},
volume = {19},
number = {12},
pages = {e0315051},
pmid = {39739703},
issn = {1932-6203},
mesh = {Humans ; *Climate Change ; Indonesia ; *Income ; *Fisheries ; *Family Characteristics ; Male ; Adult ; Female ; Surveys and Questionnaires ; Middle Aged ; Animals ; },
abstract = {The livelihood of small-scale fishers is highly dependent on marine resources and coastal areas while the condition of marine waters is increasingly unpredictable due to seasonal uncertainty and extreme weather due to climate variability. This condition has a negative impact on fish catches and the income of small-scale fishermen. The study results were obtained through interviews with respondents using a structured questionnaire. Sampling was carried out using multistage random sampling based on the type and number of ships controlled (1 GT-5GT). The total sample of respondents interviewed was 166 fishing households, consisting of 36 respondents from Bandar Lampung City, 65 respondents from South Lampung Regency, and 65 respondents from Tanggamus Regency. Data was evaluated using three analysis methods, namely household income structure, indicators of income vulnerability, and adaptation mechanisms. Income structure and income vulnerability use a quantitative approach, while adaptation mechanisms use a qualitative approach. The results of this empirical study found that the source of income of traditional capture fisher households is from: fishing business (on the farm) averaged 82.22%, in Tanggamus Regency, the proportion reached 86.22%. The income vulnerability index of traditional capture fisher households (LVI-IPCC value) in Bandar Lampung City and South Lampung Regency is positive (0.39 and 0.36). The income vulnerability index of traditional fishermen in Tanggamus Regency is negative -0.29. Fishermen employ an adaptation mechanism that engaged the five fundamental facets of income capital, namely natural capital, human capital, physical capital, financial capital, and social capital.},
}
@article {pmid39739527,
year = {2025},
author = {Smith, ME and Bommarco, R and Vico, G},
title = {Rethinking Crop Rotational Benefits Under Climate Change: Beyond the Growing Season.},
journal = {Global change biology},
volume = {31},
number = {1},
pages = {e70012},
pmid = {39739527},
issn = {1365-2486},
abstract = {Here, we provide a commentary on “Changes in the yield effect of the preceding crop in the US Corn Belt under a warming climate” recently published in Global Change Biology. Crop rotational diversity has recently been gaining interest for its role in climate change adaptation; however, the focus has been on climatic conditions in the growing season . This study uses data from over a wide area and an important cropping system to demonstrate that the benefits of a different preceding crop for both corn and soybean depended on both growing season and non‐growing conditions.},
}
@article {pmid39739228,
year = {2024},
author = {Ahmad, D and Faridullah, F and Irshad, M and Bacha, AUR and Hafeez, F and Iqbal, A and Ullah, Z and Afridi, MN and Alrefaei, AF and Nazir, R},
title = {Climate change projections for Diamer Division in lesser Himalayas using multi-global climate model ensemble.},
journal = {Environmental science and pollution research international},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
pmid = {39739228},
issn = {1614-7499},
abstract = {Pakistan, like many other regions around the world, is experiencing the impacts of climate change, particularly in its northern region. These changes have adverse impacts on ecosystems and biodiversity. Herein, we have investigated future projections of temperature and precipitation trends for three periods historical (HT = 1975-2005), near-term (NT = 2010-2029), and mid-term (MT = 2030-2050) using climate model intercomparison projects along with global climate models (GCMs) including RCP4.5 and RCP8.5. The historical records spanning from 1975 to 2005 reveal that the Chilas region has a notable rise of 8 °C in maximum temperature (Tmax), whereas the Astore district exhibited a trend of decreasing temperatures. When examining the projected temperature trends using GCMs (RCP4.5 and RCP8.5), the Chilas region is predicted to undergo a further increase of 6 °C in Tmax. In contrast, the Babusar region is projected to observe a significant decrease of 2 °C for the period between 2010 and 2050. Additionally, the precipitation results obtained from historical-based analysis for the period 1975 to 2005 indicated that the Babusar area exhibited increased precipitation patterns to 20 mm on an annual basis. Similarly, the Astore region has the most significant decline in precipitation, with a reduction of 40 mm annually. The predicted precipitation patterns for the period between 2010 and 2050 under the RCP8.5 revealed that the Babusar region has maximum precipitation (25 mm). Conversely, the Astore region exhibited reduced precipitation patterns, recording minimum precipitation (40 mm). In the results from RCP4.5, the precipitation showed a similar pattern with a maximum of 35 mm and a minimum of 15 mm in the Babusar and Astore, respectively. The region's glaciers, snow cover, and land use systems are deteriorated by these changes in temperature and precipitation patterns. The increased winter and decreased summer precipitation under varied temperatures and precipitation cause land degradation, forest, and water resources. The cumulative impacts result in individuals experiencing poverty and raising concerns about the region's long-term viability.},
}
@article {pmid39737741,
year = {2025},
author = {Chatten, A and Grieve, I and Meligoniti, E and Hayward, C and Pilakouta, N},
title = {Predicting the Effects of Climate Change on the Fertility of Aquatic Animals Using a Meta-Analytic Approach.},
journal = {Ecology letters},
volume = {28},
number = {1},
pages = {e70054},
pmid = {39737741},
issn = {1461-0248},
mesh = {Animals ; Female ; Male ; *Aquatic Organisms/physiology ; *Climate Change ; *Fertility ; Reproduction ; Temperature ; },
abstract = {Given that reproductive physiology is highly sensitive to thermal stress, there is increasing concern about the effects of climate change on animal fertility. Even a slight reduction in fertility can have consequences for population growth and survival, so it is critical to better understand and predict the potential effects of climate change on reproductive traits. We synthesised 1894 effect sizes across 276 studies on 241 species to examine thermal effects on fertility in aquatic animals. Our meta-analysis revealed that external fertilisers tend to be more vulnerable to warming than internal fertilisers, especially in freshwater species. We also found that increased temperature is particularly detrimental for gametes and that under certain conditions, female fertility is more sensitive to warming than male fertility, challenging the prevailing view that males are more vulnerable. This work provides valuable new insights into the effects of temperature on fertility, with potential consequences for population viability.},
}
@article {pmid39737522,
year = {2024},
author = {Sun, R and Fay, R and Ventura, F and Şen, B and Barbraud, C and Delord, K and Krumhardt, K and Jenouvrier, S},
title = {Climate Change Impacts Pair-Bond Dynamics in a Long-Lived Monogamous Species.},
journal = {Ecology letters},
volume = {27},
number = {12},
pages = {e14555},
pmid = {39737522},
issn = {1461-0248},
support = {1840058//Division of Antarctic Sciences/ ; },
mesh = {*Climate Change ; Animals ; Female ; Male ; Pair Bond ; Birds/physiology ; },
abstract = {Climate change can influence populations of monogamous species by affecting pair-bond dynamics. This study examined the impact of climate on widowhood and divorce, and the subsequent effects on individual vital rates and life-history outcomes over 54 years in a snow petrel (Pagodroma nivea) population. We found that environmental conditions can affect pair-bond dynamics both directly and indirectly. Divorce was adaptive, occurring more frequently after breeding failure and leading to improved breeding success. Divorce probabilities also increased under severe climatic conditions, regardless of prior breeding success, supporting the 'Habitat-mediated' mechanisms. Overall, pair-bond disruptions reduced subsequent vital rates and lifetime outcomes. Climate forecasts from an Atmosphere-Ocean General Circulation Model projected increased male widowhood rates due to decreased sea ice negatively affecting female survival, despite considerable uncertainty. These findings highlight the importance of environmentally induced changes in demographic and pair-bond disruption rates as crucial factors shaping demographic responses to climate change.},
}
@article {pmid39737344,
year = {2024},
author = {Mills, JD and Gulcebi, MI and Allatt, J and Amos, A and Atkinson, J and Berwick, J and Clayton, S and Dijk, DJ and Doell, KC and Ebi, K and Fleischer, CC and Hajat, S and Howarth, C and Jones, O and Maslin, M and Page, L and Romanello, M and Vanhala, L and Sisodiya, SM},
title = {Climate change and neurological diseases: report from the Hot Brain 2: Climate Change and Brain Health meeting, 2024.},
journal = {BMJ neurology open},
volume = {6},
number = {2},
pages = {e000929},
pmid = {39737344},
issn = {2632-6140},
}
@article {pmid39736933,
year = {2024},
author = {Deniz, &#xd6; and Aragona, F and Murphy, BA and Tümer, K&#xc7; and Bozacı, S and Fazio, F},
title = {Climate change impact on blood haemogram in the horse: a three-year preliminary study.},
journal = {Frontiers in veterinary science},
volume = {11},
number = {},
pages = {1482268},
pmid = {39736933},
issn = {2297-1769},
abstract = {INTRODUCTION: The global climatic changes pose a substantial threat to the well-being and productivity of both humans and animals.<br><br>METHODS: This study examined the impact of climate changes during different seasons over a 3-year monitoring period (2021-2023) on various blood parameters including, white blood cells (WBC), neutrophils, basophils, eosinophils, lymphocytes, and monocytes, hematocrit (HCT), hemoglobin (HGB), red blood cells (RBC), platelets (PLT), mean corpuscular hemoglobin concentration (MCHC), mean corpuscular volume (MCV), and mean corpuscular hemoglobin (MCH). The study focused on 25 Thoroughbred mares located in Kastamonu-T&#xfc;rkiye. Thermal and hygrometric parameters, including ambient temperature, relative humidity, and ventilation, were collected. Subsequently, Temperature-Humidity index (THI) was computed. Blood samples were collected on the first day of every month from January 2021 to December 2023 and used for a complete blood count analysis. Between 2021 and 2023, changes in environmental indicators were correlated to changes in hematological parameters.<br><br>RESULTS: Two-way for repeated measures ANOVA revealed a significant seasonal fluctuation (<0.0001) in ambient temperature, relative humidity, and THI. There was a reduction in RBC (<0.01), and MCH (<0.01) every year, HGB (<0.0001) in summer 2021, 2022 and in summer and autumn 2023. HCT (<0.0001), MCV (<0.01), showed decreasing values in autumn 2022 and 2023. MCHC values showed increasing values in July and August 2021, 2022 and in June 2023. WBC levels increased throughout the spring periods of 2021 and 2022. In April 2021, there were elevated levels of lymphocytes and monocytes (<0.0001) respectively.<br><br>DISCUSSION: These findings could be helpful to promote the monitoring of physiological status both for the assessment of welfare status and for diagnostic purposes for the evaluation of possible disease outbreaks due to climate change in veterinary medicine.},
}
@article {pmid39735428,
year = {2024},
author = {Daraz, U and Khan, Y and Alsawalqa, RO and Alrawashdeh, MN and Alnajdawi, AM},
title = {Impact of climate change on women mental health in rural hinterland of Pakistan.},
journal = {Frontiers in psychiatry},
volume = {15},
number = {},
pages = {1450943},
pmid = {39735428},
issn = {1664-0640},
abstract = {BACKGROUND: Climate change significantly impacts global well-being, with rural and agricultural communities, particularly women, bearing a disproportionate burden. In Pakistan's Malakand Division, women face increased mental health challenges due to environmental stressors such as temperature rise, extreme weather, and environmental degradation. These stressors are expected to exacerbate issues like stress, anxiety, and depression. Understanding their effects on rural women's mental health is crucial for developing effective intervention strategies.<br><br>METHODOLOGY: This study employs quantitative methodologies to assess the impact of climate change on the mental health of rural women in Malakand Division, focusing on Dir Upper, Dir Lower, and Shangla districts. A cross-sectional design was used, with a sample size of 600 women selected through multistage cluster sampling for geographic representation. Data were collected using structured questionnaires addressing stress, anxiety, and community dynamics. Data were analyzed using multiple regression, structural equation modeling (SEM), ANOVA, and logistic regression.<br><br>RESULTS: The results revealed that climate change factors-temperature increase (&#x3b2; = 0.42, p < 0.01), extreme weather events (&#x3b2; = 0.36, p < 0.01), precipitation changes (&#x3b2; = 0.31, p < 0.05), and environmental degradation (&#x3b2; = 0.28, p < 0.05)-significantly impacted rural women's mental health. High levels of stress (72%), anxiety (68%), and depression (56%) were reported. Social support (&#x3b2; = -0.45, p < 0.01), community cohesion (&#x3b2; = -0.37, p < 0.05), access to resources (&#x3b2; = -0.39, p < 0.01), and cultural norms (&#x3b2; = -0.33, p < 0.05) were key factors mitigating the effects of climate stress. Gender disparities were evident, with women showing higher mental health challenges compared to men in similar conditions.<br><br>CONCLUSION: The study concludes that climate change significantly exacerbates mental health issues for rural women. It highlights the need for gender-sensitive, community-based interventions that address both climate adaptation and mental health. Strengthening community resilience, improving access to resources, and investing in healthcare and education are vital for enhancing well-being in the face of climate change.},
}
@article {pmid39735425,
year = {2024},
author = {Shariff, Y and Mushtaq, M and Shah, SMA and Malik, H and Abdullah, M and Jamil, MU and Rehman, A and Hudaib, M and Manahil, and Ahad, AU and Mughal, S and Eljack, MMF},
title = {Insight into the Environmental Health Consciousness of Medical Students Regarding the Perceived Impacts of Climate Change on Human Health.},
journal = {Environmental health insights},
volume = {18},
number = {},
pages = {11786302241310031},
pmid = {39735425},
issn = {1178-6302},
abstract = {Climate change represents an unprecedented global public health crisis with extensive and profound implications. The Lancet Commission identified it as the foremost health challenge of the 21st century. In 2015, air pollution alone caused approximately 9 million premature deaths worldwide. Climate change also exacerbates extreme weather events, displacement, mental health disorders, disease vectors, food insecurity, and malnutrition, particularly impacting vulnerable developing countries like Pakistan due to its agricultural reliance, diverse topography, and limited resources. This study assesses Pakistani medical students' perceptions of climate change's health impacts. Conducted in February 2024, a cross-sectional survey of 632 students using a standardized questionnaire was employed via online Google Forms. The questionnaire was validated and an Exploratory Factor Analysis identified seven subscales of environmental health consciousness. The mean participant age was 21.17 years, with a balanced gender distribution. Students showed high environmental health consciousness (Mean = 35.6, SD = 5.2), with 88% attributing climate change to human activities and 89.1% anticipating serious future health impacts. Significant concerns included air quality-related illness (91%), water-availability illness (86%), healthcare disruption (85%), cold-related illness (83%), and flooding-related displacement (87%). Psychological impacts were acknowledged by 68%. Household income, age, and gender were significant predictors. These results highlight the need for integrating climate change and health education into medical curricula to prepare future healthcare providers.},
}
@article {pmid39734774,
year = {2024},
author = {Remsö, A and Bäck, H and Aurora Renström, E},
title = {Gender differences in climate change denial in Sweden: the role of threatened masculinity.},
journal = {Frontiers in psychology},
volume = {15},
number = {},
pages = {1450230},
pmid = {39734774},
issn = {1664-1078},
abstract = {Previous research in the Western world shows that men are in general more likely than women to deny human-induced climate change or certain aspects of it. We hypothesize that threatened masculinity contributes to such gender differences in Sweden. Threatened masculinity refers to the perception that a man's masculinity is being challenged, undermined, or devalued, often due to societal changes that advance women's rights. Given that environmental care and concern are typically associated with femininity, men who perceive that masculinity is threatened may be more likely to deny climate change to restore a sense of masculinity. Across three cross-sectional online surveys with representative samples of Swedish adults (total N = 2,476), men were more likely to deny climate change than women. Threatened masculinity-measured by belief in a shift in sexism and belongingness with men's rights activists-predicted climate change denial. In line with our hypothesis, belief in a sexism shift and, to a lesser extent, belongingness with men's rights activists mediated from gender to climate change denial. Hence threatened masculinity contributes to a higher tendency among men compared to women to deny climate change in these samples. This research adds to the understanding of gender gaps in environmental attitudes found in many Western countries and highlights climate change denial as a potential correlate of the growing gender-related polarization observed in these contexts.},
}
@article {pmid39733681,
year = {2024},
author = {Nag, SK and Ghosh, BD and Das, BK and Sarkar, UK},
title = {Wetlands function as carbon sink: Evaluation of few floodplains of middle Assam, northeast India in the perspective of climate change.},
journal = {Journal of environmental management},
volume = {373},
number = {},
pages = {123841},
doi = {10.1016/j.jenvman.2024.123841},
pmid = {39733681},
issn = {1095-8630},
abstract = {Floodplain wetlands are biologically rich and productive ecosystems that can capture carbon (C) from the atmosphere through macrophytes and phytoplanktons and hold it in soil for a long time thus playing a critical role in mitigating climate change. The Assam state of India has about 1392 floodplain wetlands engulfing around 100,000 ha area in the Brahmaputra and Barak River basin. In the present study, five different wetlands in the middle Assam viz., 47-Morakolong, Jaliguti, Charan, Chatla, and Urmal were chosen for the estimation of C capture and its storage in soil. The net primary planktonic productivity (NPP) of Chatla was much higher (300mgC/m[3]/hr) than other wetlands where it ranged around 100-150 mgC/m[3]/hr. Macrophyte coverage was highest (80%) in Chatla followed by Urmal (50%) and 30% in others. Total organic carbon (TOC) content in water was also significantly higher in Chatla than in others. The C content at different depths of the soil (upper 15 and 15-30 cm) of the wetlands varied widely from 1.3 to 7% and in absolute terms, the total C accumulated in top 30 cm varied from 12.65 to 76.95 MgC/ha. The amount of C in upper 30 cm of corresponding upland sites was estimated to be 8.8-33.62 MgC/ha. Thus, wetlands are superior in terms of C accumulation and storage in their soil compared to the corresponding upland sites. If properly managed, the wetlands can be very effective in capturing and storing C and offset GHG emission and global warming to a great extent.},
}
@article {pmid39733659,
year = {2024},
author = {Aaserud, KN and Marí-Dell'Olmo, M and Palència, L and Carrere, J and López, MJ and Oliveras, L},
title = {Energy poverty and health inequalities in Barcelona: A cross-sectional trends study in the context of COVID-19, energy crisis and climate change, 2016-2021.},
journal = {Health &amp; place},
volume = {91},
number = {},
pages = {103401},
doi = {10.1016/j.healthplace.2024.103401},
pmid = {39733659},
issn = {1873-2054},
abstract = {The aim of this study was to analyse the time trends in Barcelona before and during the adverse context of COVID-19, energy crisis, and climate change in 1) the energy poverty (EP) prevalence; 2) the association between EP and health and 3) the impact of EP on health, according to the axes of inequality (sex, age, social class, and country of birth). We conducted a cross-sectional trends study using data from the 2016 and 2021 Barcelona Health Survey. This study clearly recognizes that EP continues to be an important public health problem in the context of Barcelona. The results show that EP did increase somewhat, though not as sharply as hypothesized in the current adverse context. Neither did it have as large consequences on the effects of EP on health as we expected to see. However, it demonstrates that there is still a strong association between EP and poor health, particularly in vulnerable groups such as people born in LMI countries and manual workers, who experienced an increase in the impact of EP on poor health outcomes, which suggests increasing health inequalities.},
}
@article {pmid39730691,
year = {2024},
author = {Chen, Y and Luo, C and Huang, X and Li, W and Yan, H and Ji, H and Zhou, J and Liao, H},
title = {Prediction of change in suitable habitats of Senna obtusifolia and Senna tora under climate change.},
journal = {Scientific reports},
volume = {14},
number = {1},
pages = {30904},
pmid = {39730691},
issn = {2045-2322},
support = {32270410//National Natural Science Foundation of China/ ; },
mesh = {*Climate Change ; *Senna Plant ; *Ecosystem ; Conservation of Natural Resources/methods ; },
abstract = {Senna obtusifolia (L.) Irwin &amp; Barneby and Senna tora (L.) Roxb represent important medicinal resources in traditional Chinese medicine for more than two millennia. Sustainable resource utilization and preservation strategies for Senna species necessitate a thorough understanding of the climatic factors governing their distribution patterns. Therefore, this study aimed to identify the key climate variables shaping the current and potential future global distribution of both Senna species. To achieve this, the MaxEnt ecological niche model was employed, integrating species occurrence data with relevant environmental variables. The results indicated that Bio13 and Bio14 were the most critical variables affecting distribution of S. tora, while Bio6 and Bio14 were crucial for S. obtusifolia. The moderate and high suitability habitats of S. obtusifolia and S. tora consist of ca. 189.69 × 10[4] km[2] and 129.07 × 10[4] km[2], respectively, under current situation. Moreover, the global distribution of both species under various climate scenarios revealed that the suitable habitats of both Senna species will reach the maximum during the 2081-2100 period under the SSP585 scenario. Projections across all four climate scenarios indicate a general northward migration in the core distribution of both Senna species. Intriguingly, the observed high degree of ecological niche overlap between the two species aligns with their close phylogenetic relationship. These findings provide valuable insights into the potential future distribution and ecological niche of Senna species, informing sustainable utilization and preservation strategies for Senna resources.},
}
@article {pmid39730584,
year = {2024},
author = {Wang, D and Zhang, Y and Yousefi, N},
title = {Urban Water-Energy consumption Prediction Influenced by Climate Change utilizing an innovative deep learning method.},
journal = {Scientific reports},
volume = {14},
number = {1},
pages = {30931},
pmid = {39730584},
issn = {2045-2322},
abstract = {The growing global demand for water and energy has created an urgent necessity for precise forecasting and management of these resources, especially in urban regions where population growth and economic development are intensifying consumption. Shenzhen, a rapidly expanding megacity in China, exemplifies this trend, with its water and energy requirements anticipated to rise further in the upcoming years. This research proposes an innovative Convolutional Neural Network (CNN) technique for forecasting water and energy consumption in Shenzhen, considering the intricate interactions among climate, socio-economic, and demographic elements. The proposed approach integrates a CNN model with an Enhanced Gorilla Troops Optimization (EGTO) algorithm to demonstrate superior performance compared to other leading methods in terms of accuracy and reliability. The results show a strong correlation between the simulated and observed data, with a correlation coefficient of 0.87 for water consumption and 0.91 for energy consumption, indicating a high level of agreement between the simulated and real-world data. Also, it is indicated that the new technique can accurately forecast water and energy consumption, achieving a mean absolute error (MAE) of 0.63 and a root mean square error (RMSE) of 0.58, respectively. The research indicates that the suggested approach can promote policymakers and stakeholders in making well-informed decisions by delivering precise predictions of water and energy usage. This, in turn, can facilitate better resource distribution, minimize waste, and promote greater sustainability. The study emphasizes the necessity of incorporating climate change and socio-economic factors into the forecasting process and showcases the proposed method's potential to aid decision-making in this domain.},
}
@article {pmid39730220,
year = {2024},
author = {Dai, H and Ji, JS and Wang, S and Zhao, B},
title = {Impact of climate change shocks on health risks attributed to urban residential PM2.5 in China.},
journal = {Science bulletin},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1016/j.scib.2024.12.018},
pmid = {39730220},
issn = {2095-9281},
}
@article {pmid39729698,
year = {2024},
author = {Schwartz, SA},
title = {Humanity's precognititon: Climate change and the decline of democracy.},
journal = {Explore (New York, N.Y.)},
volume = {21},
number = {1},
pages = {103104},
doi = {10.1016/j.explore.2024.103104},
pmid = {39729698},
issn = {1878-7541},
}
@article {pmid39728332,
year = {2024},
author = {Vallese, C and Di Nuzzo, L and Francesconi, L and Giordani, P and Spitale, D and Benesperi, R and Gheza, G and Mair, P and Nascimbene, J},
title = {Bedrock-Dependent Effects of Climate Change on Terricolous Lichens Along Elevational Gradients in the Alps.},
journal = {Journal of fungi (Basel, Switzerland)},
volume = {10},
number = {12},
pages = {},
pmid = {39728332},
issn = {2309-608X},
support = {"BRIOCOLL", CUP H53C17000240005, 2017//Research Fund of the Betrieb Landesmuseen, of the Autonomous Province of Bozen/Bolzano)/ ; },
abstract = {In this study, we focused on the bedrock-dependent effects of climate change on terricolous lichen communities along elevational gradients in the Alps. In particular, we contrasted between carbonatic and siliceous bedrock, hypothesizing more favourable conditions on siliceous than on carbonatic bedrock, where dryer conditions may exacerbate the effects of climate change. To test this hypothesis, we compared terricolous lichen diversity patterns between the two bedrock types in terms of (1) species richness, (2) beta-diversity, (3) proportion of cryophilous species, and (4) functional diversity, also testing the effect of the elevational gradient as a proxy for expected climate warming. Our results indicate that the most cold-adapted part of the terricolus lichen biota of the Alps could be especially threatened in the near future, mainly on carbonatic bedrock. Actually, contrasting diversity patterns were found between carbonatic and siliceous bedrock, clearly revealing a bedrock-dependent effect of climate change on terricolous lichens of the Alps. As hypothesized, siliceous bedrock hosts a richer lichen biota than carbonatic bedrock, reflecting a general richness pattern at the national level. In general, siliceous bedrock seems to be less prone to rapid pauperization of its lichen biota, providing more suitable climatic refugia that can mitigate the effects of climate warming on terricolous lichens.},
}
@article {pmid39727185,
year = {2024},
author = {Bernal-Bello, D and Gallego-Torrero, P and Morales-Ortega, A},
title = {Cutaneous larva migrans outside the tropics - A clue to global warming?.},
journal = {The journal of the Royal College of Physicians of Edinburgh},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {14782715241310288},
doi = {10.1177/14782715241310288},
pmid = {39727185},
issn = {2042-8189},
}
@article {pmid39727128,
year = {2024},
author = {Wang, WQ and Yang, B and Li, XW and Liang, YL and Li, JY},
title = {[Impact of climate change on the potential geographical distribution of Hippophae rhamnoides subsp. sinensis].},
journal = {Ying yong sheng tai xue bao = The journal of applied ecology},
volume = {35},
number = {10},
pages = {2813-2821},
doi = {10.13287/j.1001-9332.202410.025},
pmid = {39727128},
issn = {1001-9332},
mesh = {*Hippophae/growth &amp; development ; *Climate Change ; China ; *Ecosystem ; Conservation of Natural Resources ; Models, Theoretical ; },
abstract = {Hippophae rhamnoides subsp. sinensis is an important resource plant with considerable medicinal, economic, and ecological value, and an indicator species in the transition zones between forests and grasslands. Predicting the potential geographic distribution of H. rhamnoides subsp. sinensis under climate change can reveal the responses of China's grassland and forest to global climate change, which is of significance for the conservation and development of its resources. We utilized distribution data of H. rhamnoides subsp. sinensis to predict its suitable habitats under future climate change based on the Biomod2 ensemble model, and analyzed the trend of land use type change in these habitats in conjunction with remote sensing data of land use types in China in 2020. The results showed that the Biomod2 ensemble model significantly improved the accuracy and precision of predicting H. rhamnoides subsp. sinensis compared to single models. The distribution of H. rhamnoides subsp. sinensis was primarily concentrated on both sides of the diagonal from Liaoning to Tibet, situated in forest-grassland ecotone. Under the SSP126 scenario, the suitable habitats for H. rhamnoides subsp. sinensis would initially expand and then contract. Under the SSP585 scenario, they would show a continuous expansion trend. In the context of global warming, the suitable habitats for H. rhamnoides subsp. sinensis would expand. By 2050 and 2070, the area of suitable habitats for H. rhamnoides subsp. sinensis in grasslands would increase, while areas currently occupied by forests, croplands, and developed land would continue to decrease. Under future climate change, the distribution center of H. rhamnoides subsp. sinensis would migrate towards higher-altitude grassland areas. Among the environmental factors affecting the distribution of H. rhamnoides subsp. sinensis, climate variables were predominant, with the highest contribution of rainfall during the warmest season.},
}
@article {pmid39727127,
year = {2024},
author = {Cao, Y and Li, H and Zhang, CH and Li, YY and Wu, JQ and Chai, XY and Niu, JZ and Tao, YJ},
title = {[Spatiotemporal dynamics of forest cover and its response to climate change in Shandong Province, China during 2000-2022.].},
journal = {Ying yong sheng tai xue bao = The journal of applied ecology},
volume = {35},
number = {10},
pages = {2803-2812},
doi = {10.13287/j.1001-9332.202410.024},
pmid = {39727127},
issn = {1001-9332},
mesh = {China ; *Climate Change ; *Forests ; *Environmental Monitoring/methods ; *Conservation of Natural Resources ; Trees/growth &amp; development ; Spatio-Temporal Analysis ; Remote Sensing Technology ; Ecosystem ; Forecasting ; },
abstract = {Accurately capturing the spatiotemporal dynamics of regional forest cover and its response to climate change is of great significance for forest resource management and ecological environment protection. We used statistical methods such us linear regression and correlation analysis, as well as remote sensing change monitoring to investigate the spatiotemporal dynamics of forest cover and its response to climate change from 2000 to 2022 in Shandong Province based on MODIS VCF products and meteorological data. The results showed that the forest co-verage and forest area in Shandong Province increased from 43.0% and 197.06×10[4] hm[2] in 2000 to 43.1% and 326.08×10[4] hm[2] in 2022, respectively. Spatially, forest coverage grew stepwise from the southwest and northwest to the center and east of Shandong. 90.6% of the forest area of Shandong Province experienced a relative increase in forest cover during 2000-2022. Most of the increased area was concentrated in the central southern mountains and hills and the eastern low mountains and hills. The area expansion of forest cover was primarily located in the lowland areas of Liaocheng, Dezhou, Heze, Jining, and Binzhou, which accounted for 52.3% of the provincial forest area. There was a positive correlation between forest coverage and air temperature, but a negative correlation between forest coverage and precipitation. Air temperature was the main climatic factor influencing the shift in forest coverage during the study period.},
}
@article {pmid39726958,
year = {2024},
author = {Tang, S and Struik, PC and Ren, J and Wang, C and Jin, K},
title = {Editorial: Exploring the effects of human activities and climate change on soil microorganisms in grasslands.},
journal = {Frontiers in microbiology},
volume = {15},
number = {},
pages = {1515648},
pmid = {39726958},
issn = {1664-302X},
}
@article {pmid39726892,
year = {2024},
author = {Kaufman, C and Daly, T and Santi, MF},
title = {A case from Argentina on the ethical imperative to prioritize children in the health and climate change research agenda.},
journal = {Ethics, medicine, and public health},
volume = {32},
number = {},
pages = {},
pmid = {39726892},
issn = {2352-5525},
}
@article {pmid39726081,
year = {2024},
author = {Meherali, S and Nisa, S and Aynalem, YA and Kennedy, M and Salami, B and Adjorlolo, S and Ali, P and Silva, KL and Aziato, L and Richter, S and Lassi, ZS},
title = {Impact of Climate Change on Adolescents' Health Outcomes: An Evidence Gap Map Review.},
journal = {Journal of adolescence},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1002/jad.12455},
pmid = {39726081},
issn = {1095-9254},
support = {//This project was supported by World Universities Network Research Development Funds (WUN RDF), Grant # RES0061104. The funding agency played no role in developing and publishing this manuscript./ ; },
abstract = {BACKGROUND: The evolving impact of climate change on adolescents' health is a pressing global concern. Climate change's effects on their physical, mental, and social well-being worsen unique developmental challenges for adolescents. This study aims to map existing evidence, identify gaps, and highlight research and intervention needs.<br><br>METHODS: Following Campbell standards, an evidence gap map (EGM) review was conducted. We searched for global studies on adverse climate events and adolescents aged 10-19 using five databases such as Medline, EMBASE, Global Health, CINAHL, and Scopus from September 1946 to June 01, 2023. Two independent reviewers completed the screening using Covidence software, and a critical appraisal of all included studies. EGM was developed using EPPI Mapper software, which presents a comprehensive overview of climate events and their impact on adolescents' health outcomes. This study protocol was registered in the International Platform of Registered Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis (INPLASY) (# INPLASY202410119).<br><br>FINDINGS: We included 44 studies that explored the impact of climate change on adolescents' health. Most included studies were from Asia (35), with limited evidence from Africa, Australia, and South America (one study each). Earthquakes, hurricanes, and tornadoes were the major climate events impacting adolescents' health and well-being globally (37 studies). However, wildfires, droughts, and extreme heat got less attention. Most studies reported climate change's impact on adolescents' mental health (44), with few studies reporting the effect on physiological and psychosocial aspects of adolescents' health and well-being (10).<br><br>CONCLUSION: The systematic examination reveals significant evidence gaps, particularly in Africa, Australia, and South America, and in climate events like wildfires, droughts, and extreme heat. Most studies focus on mental health, with limited research on physiological and psychosocial aspects. These gaps highlight key areas for future research and targeted interventions at the intersection of adolescent health and climate change.},
}
@article {pmid39725544,
year = {2025},
author = {Naughton, M and Round, T and Payne, R},
title = {Climate change and primary care: how to reduce the carbon footprint of your practice.},
journal = {The British journal of general practice : the journal of the Royal College of General Practitioners},
volume = {75},
number = {750},
pages = {23-25},
pmid = {39725544},
issn = {1478-5242},
}
@article {pmid39725443,
year = {2024},
author = {Klapka, CS and Barbosa, BB and Magalhães, AR and Carioca, AAF and Lourenço, BH and Gomes, SM and Martins de Carvalho, A},
title = {Exploring the effects of climate change on child malnutrition: protocol for a scoping review.},
journal = {BMJ open},
volume = {14},
number = {12},
pages = {e090285},
pmid = {39725443},
issn = {2044-6055},
mesh = {Child, Preschool ; Humans ; Infant ; *Child Nutrition Disorders/epidemiology ; *Climate Change ; Pediatric Obesity/epidemiology ; Research Design ; Systematic Reviews as Topic ; },
abstract = {INTRODUCTION: Rapid climate changes in the early 21st century have triggered a global syndemic intertwining obesity, undernutrition and climate change, profoundly affecting health, especially children. Despite increasing research, a significant gap persists in understanding the mechanisms linking climate change to child malnutrition, particularly in children under 5 years old. This protocol proposes a scoping review to address this gap, with the aim of mapping the available evidence on the relationship between climate change and malnutrition among children under 5 years old.<br><br>METHODS AND ANALYSIS: This scoping review will be conducted according to the Joanna Briggs Manual for Evidence Synthesis, and the results will be reported in accordance with the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic reviews and Meta-Analyses extension for Scoping Reviews (PRISMA-ScR) checklist to ensure a replicable process. The search will be conducted using MEDLINE (PubMed), Web of Science, Scopus and Embase databases. The studies to be included will be selected according to the inclusion and exclusion criteria defined based on the Population, Concept and Context technique. The study population will consist of children under 5 years old, with a focus on examining the impact of climate change on health outcomes related to nutrition, obesity and undernutrition. Original articles in English, Spanish and Portuguese will be selected without any restrictions on the publication year. Two researchers will independently select the articles and extract the data. The results will be presented through narrative synthesis.<br><br>ETHICS AND DISSEMINATION: This study relies on analysing existing scientific literature and does not require ethical approval. The outcomes of this scoping review will be submitted for publication in a peer-reviewed journal, with a preference for open access.<br><br>STUDY REGISTRATION: OSF (osf.io/swt4b).},
}
@article {pmid39725249,
year = {2024},
author = {Bilgin, E},
title = {Beyond being a rheumatologist: Environment, climate change, and carbon footprint - We need an action!.},
journal = {Autoimmunity reviews},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {103737},
doi = {10.1016/j.autrev.2024.103737},
pmid = {39725249},
issn = {1873-0183},
}
@article {pmid39722867,
year = {2024},
author = {Pauliuk, S and Carrer, F and Heeren, N and Hertwich, EG},
title = {Scenario analysis of supply- and demand-side solutions for circular economy and climate change mitigation in the global building sector.},
journal = {Journal of industrial ecology},
volume = {28},
number = {6},
pages = {1699-1715},
pmid = {39722867},
issn = {1088-1980},
abstract = {Residential and non-residential buildings are a major contributor to human well-being. At the same time, buildings cause 30% of final energy use, 18% of greenhouse gas emissions (GHGE), and about 65% of material accumulation globally. With electrification and higher energy efficiency of buildings, material-related emissions gain relevance. The circular economy (CE) strategies, narrow, slow, and close, together with wooden buildings, can reduce material-related emissions. We provide a comprehensive set of building stock transformation scenarios for 10 world regions until 2060, using the resource efficiency climate change model of the stock-flow-service nexus and including the full CE spectrum plus wood-intensive buildings. The 2020-2050 global cumulative new construction ranges from 150 to 280 billion m[2] for residential and 70-120 billion m[2] for non-residential buildings. Ambitious CE reduces cumulative 2020-2050 primary material demand from 80 to 30 gigatons (Gt) for cement and from 35 to 15 Gt for steel. Lowering floor space demand by 1 m[2] per capita leads to global savings of 800-2500 megatons (Mt) of cement, 300-1000 Mt of steel, and 3-10 Gt CO2-eq, depending on industry decarbonization and CE roll-out. Each additional Mt of structural timber leads to savings of 0.4-0.55 Mt of cement, 0.6-0.85 Mt of steel, and 0.8-1.8 Mt CO2-eq of system-wide GHGE. CE reduces 2020-2050 cumulative GHGE by up to 44%, where the highest contribution comes from the narrow CE strategies, that is, lower floorspace and lightweight buildings. Very low carbon emission trajectories are possible only when combining supply- and demand-side strategies. This article met the requirements for a gold-gold JIE data openness badge described at http://jie.click/badges.},
}
@article {pmid39722757,
year = {2024},
author = {Ali, A and Shaikh, A and Sethi, I and Surani, S},
title = {Climate change and the emergence and exacerbation of infectious diseases: A review.},
journal = {World journal of virology},
volume = {13},
number = {4},
pages = {96476},
pmid = {39722757},
issn = {2220-3249},
abstract = {Experts expressed severe concerns over the possibility of increasing burden of infectious diseases as the planet's climate began to change years ago. There have been increased rates of climate-related catastrophes and as global temperatures rise, emergence of certain viruses has become a serious concern. Vectors are susceptible to changing temperatures as they exhibit innate responses to thermal stress to increase survivability. Climate change impacts virus reservoirs, increasing transmission rates of vectors. Vector-borne diseases have already witnessed increasing numbers compared to before. Certain non-endemic areas are encountering their first-ever infectious disease cases due to increasing temperatures. Tick-borne diseases are undergoing transformations provoking a heightened prevalence. Food-borne illnesses are expected to increase owing to warmer temperatures. It is important to recognize that climate change has a multivariable impact on the transmission of viruses. With climate change comes the potential of increasing interspecies interactions promoting jumps. These factors must be considered, and an informed strategy must be formulated. Adaptation and mitigation strategies are required to curb these diseases from spreading. Despite significant evidence that climate change affects infectious diseases, gaps in research exist. We conducted this review to identify the potential role climate change plays in the emergence of new viruses.},
}
@article {pmid39722593,
year = {2024},
author = {Verrico, B and Preston, JC},
title = {Historic rewiring of grass flowering time pathways and implications for crop improvement under climate change.},
journal = {The New phytologist},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1111/nph.20375},
pmid = {39722593},
issn = {1469-8137},
support = {IOS-2120732//Division of Integrative Organismal Systems/ ; },
abstract = {Grasses are fundamental to human survival, providing a large percentage of our calories, fuel, and fodder for livestock, and an enormous global carbon sink. A particularly important part of the grass plant is the grain-producing inflorescence that develops in response to both internal and external signals that converge at the shoot tip to influence meristem behavior. Abiotic signals that trigger reproductive development vary across the grass family, mostly due to the unique ecological and phylogenetic histories of each clade. The time it takes a grass to flower has implications for its ability to escape harsh environments, while also indirectly affecting abiotic stress tolerance, inflorescence architecture, and grain yield. Here, we synthesize recent insights into the evolution of grass flowering time in response to past climate change, particularly focusing on genetic convergence in underlying traits. We then discuss how and why the rewiring of a shared ancestral flowering pathway affects grass yields, and outline ways in which researchers are using this and other information to breed higher yielding, climate-proof cereal crops.},
}
@article {pmid39721548,
year = {2024},
author = {Liu, F and Masago, Y},
title = {Assessing the geographical diversity of climate change risks in Japan by overlaying climatic impacts with exposure and vulnerability indicators.},
journal = {The Science of the total environment},
volume = {959},
number = {},
pages = {178076},
doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.178076},
pmid = {39721548},
issn = {1879-1026},
abstract = {Understanding multifaceted climate change risks and their interconnections is essential for effective adaptation strategies, which require comprehensive assessments of both climatic impact variations and social-environmental exposures/vulnerabilities. This study examines these interconnections and creates multitier delineations of future climate risks across Japan by overlaying homogeneous impact zones (HIZs) with exposure-vulnerability complexes (EVCs). We delineated eight EVC regions, each exhibiting similar patterns of exposure and vulnerability, via multivariate clustering and similarity search on the basis of future population and land cover/use data. Under the Shared Socioeconomic Pathway 5 scenario, 8.07 % of Japan's area was identified as urban, 66.18 % as forest, and 16.66 % as agricultural land, depending on vulnerability and exposure characteristics. We then spatially intersected these EVCs with six HIZs, which represent common patterns of multisectoral climatic impact variations. This intersection revealed low geographical correspondence between climatic impact variations and exposure-vulnerability factors, indicating high spatial variability in climate risk across Japan. The use of EVCs helps identify areas with anticipated climate change risks. The spatial nexus between HIZs and EVCs underscores the geographical complexity and diversity of climate risks, revealing regions with high-impact variations alongside significant exposures and vulnerabilities. For example, urban EVCs highlight critical issues such as heat-related mortality and flood damage. By mapping these impact variations while focusing on exposure and vulnerability disparities, insights from HIZs and EVCs can inform future climate risk management and effective adaptation strategies at the national and regional levels.},
}
@article {pmid39721139,
year = {2024},
author = {Lorenz, C and de Azevedo, TS and Chiaravalloti-Neto, F},
title = {Effects of climate change on the occurrence and distribution of Western equine encephalitis virus in South America.},
journal = {Public health},
volume = {239},
number = {},
pages = {1-8},
doi = {10.1016/j.puhe.2024.12.031},
pmid = {39721139},
issn = {1476-5616},
abstract = {OBJECTIVES: The Western equine encephalitis virus (WEEV) is a globally relevant vector-borne pathogen that causes encephalitis. The role of environmental variables in the epidemiology of WEEV has become greater in the context of climate change. In December 2023, a significant resurgence of WEEV began in South America, with major ongoing outbreaks in Argentina and Uruguay. In this study, we employed a machine learning algorithm to model the distribution of WEEV in South America, considering both present and future scenarios.<br><br>STUDY DESIGN: Ecological retrospective study.<br><br>METHODS: We conducted a modelling study to identify areas with the highest prevalence of WEEV in South America, based on confirmed human and equine cases during the 2023/2024 outbreak and climatic variables. Our analysis utilised Maxent software, a machine learning algorithm for species distribution modelling.<br><br>RESULTS: Our results indicate that environmental variables, particularly thermal seasonality and annual rainfall, can directly influence the occurrence of WEEV, leading to increased virus incidence. Consequently, high-risk areas may shift in the future. Countries, such as Paraguay, Venezuela, Colombia, and various regions in Brazil, particularly the Northeast, Midwest, and the Pantanal biomes, will be significantly impacted, drastically altering the current distribution of WEEV.<br><br>CONCLUSIONS: The ongoing WEEV outbreak in South America is concerning because it coincides with migratory bird stopovers. These birds are natural hosts that can spread the virus to unaffected areas. Our results will help to identify priority areas for developing preventive measures and establishing epidemiological surveillance.},
}
@article {pmid39720947,
year = {2024},
author = {Ohse, B and Jansen, D and Härdtle, W and Fichtner, A},
title = {Interactive effects of nitrogen deposition and climate change on a globally rare forest geophyte.},
journal = {Plant biology (Stuttgart, Germany)},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1111/plb.13758},
pmid = {39720947},
issn = {1438-8677},
support = {01LC1312A//Bundesamt f&#xfc;r Naturschutz/ ; //Bundesministerium f&#xfc;r Umwelt, Naturschutz und nukleare Sicherheit/ ; //Bundesministerium f&#xfc;r Bildung und Forschung/ ; },
abstract = {Nitrogen (N) deposition and climate change are both known to threaten global biodiversity. However, we still have a limited understanding of how interactions between these global change drivers affect individuals and populations of specialist species, such as geophytes, within their natural habitat. We explored possible interactive effects of N, drought, and warming on population vitality (mean leaf length, leaf density, flowering probability) and morpho-physiological traits (e.g., leaf and bulb size, N allocation to leaves and bulbs) of the globally rare forest geophyte Gagea spathacea (Liliaceae) in deciduous forests of northern Germany by applying experimental N addition across a climate gradient over a 5-year period. Mean leaf growth and leaf density were not affected by N addition but were enhanced by warmer and drier conditions in the months before leaf emergence. N addition increased N allocation of individual plants towards their subterranean bulbs. Importantly, effects of N addition on morpho-physiological traits depended on warming and drought, with N-fertilized plants showing increased leaf length and decreased specific leaf and bulb N concentration after drier autumns and warmer winters. This indicates that N deposition may partially compensate for increased N demands during warming-induced growth, although this growth-promoting interaction effect is not (yet) reflected in population vitality. Our results highlight the importance of considering multiple global environmental change drivers and a whole plant perspective (above- and belowground traits) to predict long-term growth responses of (endangered) forest spring geophytes and to develop adapted long-term protection strategies.},
}
@article {pmid39719578,
year = {2024},
author = {Mramba, RP and Mapunda, PE},
title = {Perceived indicators of climate change in Tanzania: insights from the university of Dodoma students.},
journal = {BMC ecology and evolution},
volume = {24},
number = {1},
pages = {149},
pmid = {39719578},
issn = {2730-7182},
mesh = {*Climate Change ; Tanzania ; Humans ; *Students/psychology ; Male ; Female ; Universities ; Young Adult ; Adult ; Adolescent ; },
abstract = {BACKGROUND: Understanding local communities' knowledge and insights is essential for developing effective mitigation and adaptation strategies for climate change. The young generation often brings new perspectives on climate change, demonstrating a growing awareness of its impacts and innovative ideas for sustainable solutions. By engaging youth in climate action we foster future leadership, empowering them as active participants in shaping long-term climate resilience. Higher education plays a pivotal role in raising awareness about climate change and fostering environmentally responsible behaviour among citizens. Thus, the study assessed climate change indicators in Tanzania by gathering insights from university students, leveraging their understanding of the local challenges posed by climate change.<br><br>RESULTS: Out of the 486 sampled students, 80% were aware of climate change and could identify its indicators in their home regions. The primary perceived indicators of climate change reported by the respondents included increasing temperatures, crop failures, and the disappearance of native plant species. Respondents from the coastal zone ranked rising temperatures and increased rainfall as the most significant indicators, while those from the Kilimanjaro region emphasised crop failure. Additionally, respondents from the central zone highlighted the disappearance of native plant species. Conversely, respondents from the arid central zone believed that climate change has resulted in reduced rainfall and an increase in drought occurrences. Furthermore, socio-demographic factors such as gender, home region, and academic year influenced students' awareness of climate change. A lower proportion (0.78) of male students demonstrated knowledge of climate change compared to female students (0.91) (p&#x2009;=&#x2009;0.001). Additionaly, a lower proportion (0.71) of students from urban areas demonstrated knowledge of climate change compared to students from rural areas (0.85) (p&#x2009;<&#x2009;0.001). Moreover, students in their final year of study exhibited greater awareness of climate change than those in lower years, highlighting the significance of the formal education system in imparting knowledge about climate change.<br><br>CONCLUSIONS: This study underscores the role of higher education in fostering climate awareness and youth engagement through education and outreach. Additionally, it supports SDG 13: "Climate Action" and SDG 4: "Quality Education by promoting informed participation and sustainable solutions among young people".},
}
@article {pmid39718692,
year = {2024},
author = {Padmavathy, SR and Santhappan, JS and Prabakaran, R and Kim, SC and Chockalingam, MP and Al-Shahri, ASA},
title = {R290-Hydrofluoroolefin based low global warming potential refrigerant mixtures for room air conditioner: An energy, exergy, and environmental (3E) analysis.},
journal = {Environmental science and pollution research international},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
pmid = {39718692},
issn = {1614-7499},
abstract = {Among the numerous residential appliances, window or split air conditioners are the most prevalent. The hydrochlorofluorocarbon and hydrofluorocarbon refrigerants used in those systems are causing a serious threat to the environment. In this study, R290-hydrofluoroolefin (HFO) mixtures are proposed as replacements for high-GWP substances (R410A and R22) in window air conditioning (WAC) units. Low-flammability alternatives like R290-R1234yf (50:50 and 60:40 by mass) and R290-R1234ze(E) (50:50 and 60:40 by mass) mixtures were considered promising refrigerants for this study. Using the REFPROP 10.0 refrigerant database and MATLAB-based mathematical modelling, the energy and exergy performance of a WAC unit with proposed and existing refrigerants was investigated. The results demonstrated that R290-HFO mixers performed well, with coefficients of performance that were 5.1-11.9% and 10.8-17.0% higher than those of R22 and R410A, respectively. In a similar fashion, the exergy efficiency of the WAC system increased by 3.1% to 6.2%, with reductions in total exergy degradation and power consumption of 7.1% to 12.2% and 5.1% to 10.1%, respectively. An assessment of the total equivalent warming impact revealed that the use of R290-HFO compounds results in CO2 emissions that are between 7.1 and 12.2% less than those of R22. Mini or microchannel heat exchangers for conventional evaporators and condensers can further decrease the predicted refrigerant change quantity for these mixtures, keeping it well below the IEC 60335-2-89 limit for flammable refrigerants.},
}
@article {pmid39717849,
year = {2025},
author = {Akhigbe, RE and Oyedokun, PA and Akhigbe, TM and Hamed, MA and Fidelis, FB and Omole, AI and Adeogun, AE and Akangbe, MD and Oladipo, AA},
title = {The consequences of climate change and male reproductive health: A review of the possible impact and mechanisms.},
journal = {Biochemistry and biophysics reports},
volume = {41},
number = {},
pages = {101889},
pmid = {39717849},
issn = {2405-5808},
abstract = {A global decline in male fertility has been reported, and climate change is considered a major cause of this. Climate change refers to long-term shifts in temperatures and weather patterns, and results from greenhouse gas emissions like carbon dioxide and methane that act as a blanket wrapped around the earth, trapping heat and elevating temperatures. Sad to say, the consequences of climatic variation are beyond the dramatic elevated temperature, they include cold stress, increased malnutrition, air pollution, cardiovascular diseases respiratory tract infections, cancer, sexually transmitted infections, mental stress, and heat waves. These negative effects of climate change impair male reproductive function through multiple pathways, like ROS-sensitive signaling, suppression of steroidogenic markers, and direct damage to testicular cells. The present study aimed to describe the impact of the consequences of climate change on male reproductive health with details of the various mechanisms involved. This will provide an in-depth understanding of the pathophysiological and molecular basis of the possible climatic variation-induced decline in male fertility, which will aid in the development of preventive measures to abate the negative effects of climate change on male reproductive function.},
}
@article {pmid39715936,
year = {2024},
author = {Brush, M and Lewis, MA},
title = {Eruptive Insect Outbreaks from Endemic Populations Under Climate Change.},
journal = {Bulletin of mathematical biology},
volume = {87},
number = {1},
pages = {16},
pmid = {39715936},
issn = {1522-9602},
support = {18202//Genome Canada/ ; L20TF//Genome Alberta/ ; U22004//fRI Research/ ; PDF - 568176 - 2022//Natural Sciences and Engineering Research Council of Canada/ ; },
mesh = {Animals ; *Climate Change/statistics &amp; numerical data ; *Coleoptera/physiology ; *Models, Biological ; *Population Dynamics/statistics &amp; numerical data ; *Mathematical Concepts ; *Forests ; Population Density ; Pinus/parasitology ; Trees/growth &amp; development ; },
abstract = {Insects, especially forest pests, are frequently characterized by eruptive dynamics. These types of species can stay at low, endemic population densities for extended periods of time before erupting in large-scale outbreaks. We here present a mechanistic model of these dynamics for mountain pine beetle. This extends a recent model that describes key aspects of mountain pine beetle biology coupled with a forest growth model by additionally including a fraction of low-vigor trees. These low-vigor trees, which may represent hosts with weakened defenses from drought, disease, other bark beetles, or other stressors, give rise to an endemic equilibrium in biologically plausible parameter ranges. The mechanistic nature of the model allows us to study how each model parameter affects the existence and size of the endemic equilibrium. We then show that under certain parameter shifts that are more likely under climate change, the endemic equilibrium can disappear entirely, leading to an outbreak.},
}
@article {pmid39715651,
year = {2024},
author = {Day, M},
title = {Policy makers must tackle public health, biodiversity, water, food, and climate change together, says major report.},
journal = {BMJ (Clinical research ed.)},
volume = {387},
number = {},
pages = {q2855},
doi = {10.1136/bmj.q2855},
pmid = {39715651},
issn = {1756-1833},
}
@article {pmid39712870,
year = {2024},
author = {Kirchmeier-Young, MC and Malinina, E and Barber, QE and Garcia Perdomo, K and Curasi, SR and Liang, Y and Jain, P and Gillett, NP and Parisien, MA and Cannon, AJ and Lima, AR and Arora, VK and Boulanger, Y and Melton, JR and Van Vliet, L and Zhang, X},
title = {Human driven climate change increased the likelihood of the 2023 record area burned in Canada.},
journal = {NPJ climate and atmospheric science},
volume = {7},
number = {1},
pages = {316},
pmid = {39712870},
issn = {2397-3722},
abstract = {In 2023, wildfires burned 15 million hectares in Canada, more than doubling the previous record. These wildfires caused a record number of evacuations, unprecedented air quality impacts across Canada and the northeastern United States, and substantial strain on fire management resources. Using climate models, we show that human-induced climate change significantly increased the likelihood of area burned at least as large as in 2023 across most of Canada, with more than two-fold increases in the east and southwest. The long fire season was more than five times as likely and the large areas across Canada experiencing synchronous extreme fire weather were also much more likely due to human influence on the climate. Simulated emissions from the 2023 wildfire season were eight times their 1985-2022 mean. With continued warming, the likelihood of extreme fire seasons is projected to increase further in the future, driving additional impacts on health, society, and ecosystems.},
}
@article {pmid39712434,
year = {2024},
author = {Van de Vuurst, P and Qiao, H and Soler-Tovar, D and Escobar, LE},
title = {Climate change linked to vampire bat expansion and rabies virus spillover.},
journal = {Ecography},
volume = {2024},
number = {10},
pages = {},
pmid = {39712434},
issn = {0906-7590},
abstract = {Bat-borne pathogens are a threat to global health and in recent history have had major impacts on human morbidity and mortality. Examples include diseases such as rabies, Nipah virus encephalitis, and severe acute respiratory syndrome (SARS). Climate change may exacerbate the emergence of bat-borne pathogens by affecting the ecology of bats in tropical ecosystems. Here, we report the impacts of climate change on the distributional ecology of the common vampire bat Desmodus rotundus across the last century. Our retrospective analysis revealed a positive relationship between changes in climate and the northern expansion of the distribution of D. rotundus in North America. Furthermore, we also found a reduction in the standard deviation of temperatures at D. rotundus capture locations during the last century, expressed as more consistent, less-seasonal climate in recent years. These results elucidate an association between D. rotundus range expansion and a continental-level rise in rabies virus spill-over transmission from D. rotundus to cattle in the last 50 years of the 120-year study period. This correlative study, based on field observations, offers empirical evidence supporting previous statistical and mathematical simulation-based studies reporting a likely increase of bat-borne diseases in response to climate change. We conclude that the D. rotundus rabies system exemplifies the consequences of climate change augmentation at the wildlife-livestock-human interface, demonstrating how global change acts upon these complex and interconnected systems to drive increased disease emergence.},
}
@article {pmid39711593,
year = {2024},
author = {Wen, Z and Yan, K and Zhang, M and Ma, R and Zhu, X and Duan, Q and Jiang, X},
title = {Predicting the potential distribution of Astragali Radix in China under climate change adopting the MaxEnt model.},
journal = {Frontiers in plant science},
volume = {15},
number = {},
pages = {1505985},
pmid = {39711593},
issn = {1664-462X},
abstract = {INTRODUCTION: Astragali Radix is the dried root of Astragalus mongoliae or Astragalus membranaceus, a leguminous plant. Since ancient times, Astragali Radix has been widely used in Chinese traditional Chinese medicine. As people become more health-conscious, the market demand for Astragali Radix grows and its popularity is increasing in the international market. As an important medicinal plant, the growth of Astragali Radix is strongly influenced by environmental conditions. In order to meet the market demand for high quality Astragali Radix herbs, it is necessary to search and find areas suitable for the growth of Astragali Radix.<br><br>METHODS: In this study, we assessed the potential impacts of climate change on the distribution of the Chinese medicinal plant Astragali Radix using the maximum entropy (MaxEnt) model in combination with a geographic information system(GIS). Distribution data and environmental variables were analyzed to predict suitable areas for Astragali Radix under the SSP126, SSP245 and SSP585 scenario for current and future (2041-2060, 2061-2080, 2081-2100). Jackknife is used to assess the importance of environmental variables, and environmental variables with a model contribution greater than 5% were considered to be the main drivers.<br><br>RESULTS: The results showed that the current area of suitable area for Astragali Radix is 188.41 km[2], and the three climate scenarios show an increasing trend in the future, with a maximum of 212.70 km[2]. North China has always been the main suitable area, while the area of suitable area in Southwest China is decreasing, and Xinjiang will be developed as a new suitable area in the future. Annual precipitation (41.6%), elevation (15.9%), topsoil calcium carbonate (14.8%), annual mean temperature (8.3%), precipitation seasonality (8%) and topsoil pH (6%) contributed more to the model and were the main environmental influences on the distribution of Astragali Radix. In addition, the centroids of the suitable areas shifted northward under all three climate scenarios, indicating a migratory response to global warming.<br><br>DISCUSSION: Our study found that suitable area of Astragali Radix has been expanding for most of the time in each period of the three climate scenarios compared with the current situation. In the future, humans can focus on enhancing the cultivation techniques of Astragali Radix in these suitable areas. This study provide a scientific basis for the development of planting strategies and spatial distribution management of Astragali Radix. It helps to optimize the selection of planting areas and resource conservation of Chinese herbs.},
}
@article {pmid39710522,
year = {2024},
author = {Wang, W and Shi, K and Iestyn Woolway, R and Zhang, Y},
title = {Chinese ice-lake line shifts under climate change.},
journal = {Science bulletin},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1016/j.scib.2024.12.013},
pmid = {39710522},
issn = {2095-9281},
}
@article {pmid39710224,
year = {2024},
author = {Kim, S and Damialis, A and Charalampopoulos, A and Voelker, DH and Rorie, AC},
title = {The Effect of Climate Change on Allergen and Irritant Exposure.},
journal = {The journal of allergy and clinical immunology. In practice},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1016/j.jaip.2024.12.019},
pmid = {39710224},
issn = {2213-2201},
abstract = {As the effects of anthropogenic climate change have become more apparent, the influences of climate and extreme weather events on health have continued to gain attention. The fact Earth has warmed over the past century is indisputable and the rate of warming is more alarming. As a result of anthropogenic climate change an alteration in the air mixture has occurred over time. These changes have increased human exposures to respiratory irritants such as ground level ozone, volatile organic compounds, nitrogen dioxide, sulfur dioxide, carbon monoxide, and polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons. A significant amount of research has investigated the effects of climate change on aeroallergens which has shown elevated temperatures and increased carbon dioxide (CO2) levels have produced prolonged and more robust pollen seasons for most taxa studied. In addition, it appears possible that exposure of some plants to air pollution may result in more allergenic pollen. Increased human exposures to these respiratory irritants and aeroallergens appears to disproportionality effect vulnerable populations throughout the world. It is essential to understand climate change is more than an environmental inconvenience and realize the effects to human health are directly related and conceivably immeasurable. It's vital to conduct additional research related to climate change and health which is collaborative, multisectoral and transdisciplinary. There should be a focus on risk reduction, mitigation and preparedness for climate change and extreme weather events for all populations around the globe.},
}
@article {pmid39709840,
year = {2024},
author = {Uguen, M and Gaudron, SM and Seuront, L},
title = {Plastic pollution and marine mussels: Unravelling disparities in research efforts, biological effects and influences of global warming.},
journal = {The Science of the total environment},
volume = {959},
number = {},
pages = {178078},
doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.178078},
pmid = {39709840},
issn = {1879-1026},
abstract = {The ever-growing contamination of the environment by plastics is a major scientific and societal concern. Specifically, the study of microplastics (1 μm to 5 mm), nanoplastics (< 1 μm), and their leachates is a critical research area as they have the potential to cause detrimental effects, especially when they impact key ecological species. Marine mussels, as ecosystem engineers and filter feeders, are particularly vulnerable to this type of pollution. In this study, we reviewed the 106 articles that focus on the impacts of plastic pollution on marine mussels. First, we examined the research efforts in terms of plastic characteristics (size, polymer, shape, and leachates) and exposure conditions (concentration, duration, species, life stages, and internal factors), their disparities, and their environmental relevance. Then, we provided an overview of the effects of plastics on mussels at each organisational levels, from the smaller scales (molecular, cellular, tissue and organ impacts) to the organism level (functional, physiological, and behavioural impacts) as well as larger-scale implications (associated community impacts). We finally discussed the limited research available on multi-stressor studies involving plastics, particularly in relation to temperature stress. We identified temperature as an underestimated factor that could shape the impacts of plastics, and proposed a roadmap for future research to address their combined effects. This review also highlights the impact of plastic pollution on mussels at multiple levels and emphasises the strong disparities in research effort and the need for more holistic research, notably through the consideration of multiple stressors, with a specific focus on temperature which is likely to become an increasingly relevant forcing factor in an era of global warming. By identifying critical gaps in current knowledge, we advocate for more coordinated interdisciplinary and international collaborations and raise awareness of the need for environmental coherence in the choice and implementation of experimental protocols.},
}
@article {pmid39709544,
year = {2024},
author = {Cerceo, EA and Liu, KT and Brown, EKH and Chen, C},
title = {The impact of climate change induced natural disasters on healthcare: Rethinking intravenous fluids.},
journal = {Journal of hospital medicine},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1002/jhm.13578},
pmid = {39709544},
issn = {1553-5606},
}
@article {pmid39709494,
year = {2024},
author = {Seastedt, H and Schuetz, J and Perkins, A and Gamble, M and Sinkkonen, A},
title = {Impact of urban biodiversity and climate change on children's health and well being.},
journal = {Pediatric research},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
pmid = {39709494},
issn = {1530-0447},
abstract = {In recent decades, biodiversity loss has greatly impacted planetary and human health. Children are at additional risk of adverse effects due to unique biological, developmental, and behavioral factors, as well as their longer exposure to an altered planet as a function of their young age. These effects are heightened for children living in vulnerable socioeconomic conditions. Here, we review the role of biodiversity loss on accelerating the consequences of climate change from the perspective of pediatric health. With the loss of biodiversity's protective role against the consequences of climate change, the adverse effects of the changing planet are impacting pediatric health. For example, trees provide shelter against heat waves, unsealed soil and wetlands mitigate flooding, and rewilded green space hosts high microbial richness and consequently supports immune and mental health. The effects of the loss of biodiversity may impact the discovery and development of novel pharmaceuticals and thus the future of children's medicine as a whole. We also highlight areas for further study and detail efforts that have been made to restore biodiversity, with the aim to improve the current and future health of local pediatric populations. IMPACT: Loss of biodiversity is occurring at a rapid pace affecting the health of the planet and disproportionately pediatric health. This paper describes the role of biodiversity loss in accelerating the impact of climate change on children's health, and highlights particularly vulnerable populations. This paper details steps that can be taken to maintain and restore biodiversity at the local and global levels to protect these populations and pediatric health in general.},
}
@article {pmid39709184,
year = {2024},
author = {Solé, D and Camargos, PAM},
title = {Childhood health on a planet threatened by climate change.},
journal = {Jornal de pediatria},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1016/j.jped.2024.12.002},
pmid = {39709184},
issn = {1678-4782},
}
@article {pmid39708739,
year = {2024},
author = {Ejaz, MR and Jaoua, S and Lorestani, N and Shabani, F},
title = {Global climate change and its impact on the distribution and efficacy of Bacillus thuringiensis as a biopesticide.},
journal = {The Science of the total environment},
volume = {958},
number = {},
pages = {178091},
doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.178091},
pmid = {39708739},
issn = {1879-1026},
abstract = {This study is the first modeling exercise to assess the impacts of climate change on the current and future global distribution of Bacillus thuringiensis (Bt). Bt is a common Gram-positive, rod-shaped bacterium widely distributed in various environments, including soil and water. It is widely recognized as a source of effective and safe agricultural biopesticides for pest management in various climatic regions globally. In the present work, ensemble species distribution models were developed for Bt based on the generalized linear model (GLM), generalized boosting model (GBM), random forest (RF), and maximum entropy (MaxEnt) under two distinct scenarios, SSP2-4.5 (optimistic) and SSP5-8.5 (pessimistic) for the year of 2050, 2070, and 2090. The performance of our models was evaluated based on true skill statistics (TSS) and the area under the receiver-operator curve (AUC) indices. Both AUC and TSS values were observed in an acceptable range, with AUC at 0.84 and TSS at 0.512, respectively. Results indicate that most of the areas currently suitable for Bt will likely remain stable in the future, particularly Central America, Central and South Africa, South Asia, and parts of Oceania. Norway, Peru, and the UK will have notable habitat gains by 2090 based on SSP2-4.5 and SSP5-8.5 scenarios. On the contrary, Serbia, Guinea, Poland, Croatia, Spain and Romania showed notable losses under both scenarios. Our results underscore Bt potential to improve pest control, crop yields, and environmental sustainability, especially in regions where agriculture is predominant. Our research highlights the need to understand ecological dynamics for future conservation and agricultural planning in the face of climate change.},
}
@article {pmid39708470,
year = {2024},
author = {Zhang, X and Feng, JC and Le, C and Chen, X and Diao, Y},
title = {Shellfish and algae: Climate change mitigation through green and valuable foods.},
journal = {The Science of the total environment},
volume = {959},
number = {},
pages = {177987},
doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.177987},
pmid = {39708470},
issn = {1879-1026},
abstract = {Food safety issues have become increasingly severe, while the global population continues to grow. Shellfish and algae (SA), as sustainable and environmentally friendly foods, have great significance in helping countries worldwide achieve the goal of carbon neutrality. However, there is still a gap in quantitatively evaluating the carbon neutrality of SA farming. To address this gap, this study evaluated global SA farming, including aspects of carbon sinks, the drivers of carbon removal, value-added ecosystem services, and the performance of carbon reduction mechanisms. Results revealed that (1) 16.57 Mt. CO2-eq/yr were sequestered worldwide via SA farming during 2000-2020, wherein Asia was the dominant contributor to SA carbon sinks due to the abundance of production. (2) Product values were the main drivers for carbon sinks via SA farming. (3) The annual added value of SA was 501.40 million dollars during 2000-2020, of which algae farming accounted for the highest proportion. Mussel and laver were promising due to their excellent ability for carbon removal and added value. (4) It is estimated that SA farming can reduce carbon within a range from 47.72 Mt. CO2-eq/yr to 1539.95 Mt. CO2-eq/yr in 2021-2035. In general, the farming of SA is a promising way to respond to the call for carbon neutrality and food safety assurance worldwide, while the preference for mussel and laver can be further explored.},
}
@article {pmid39708314,
year = {2025},
author = {Kramer, C and Page, JR and Flint, J and Flint, M},
title = {Using Animal Welfare Framing as an Effective Approach to Communicating Climate Change-A Review.},
journal = {Veterinary medicine and science},
volume = {11},
number = {1},
pages = {e70154},
pmid = {39708314},
issn = {2053-1095},
support = {//One Welfare and Sustainability Center/ ; },
mesh = {*Climate Change ; *Animal Welfare ; Animals ; Communication ; },
abstract = {INTRODUCTION: Climate change and its effects continue to threaten the stability of environments worldwide, impacting nearly every species. Although framing is an established technique in climate communication science, little has been done in communicating the climate change effects from an animal welfare perspective.<br><br>OBJECTIVES: The primary objective of this article is to present the synthesis of evidence in existing literature on the effects of communicating climate change as an animal welfare issue.<br><br>METHODS: A systematic approach was taken based on the PRISMA (Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic reviews and Meta-Analyses) scoping review guidelines and utilizing a hybridized ProPheT-PICOS Model with modifications. Using search strings, scholarly databases within the Web of Science platform were systematically searched for English-language climate change literature that included animal welfare concepts. Articles were imported into Covidence and inclusion and exclusion criteria were then used to select articles for further analysis.<br><br>RESULTS: Of an initial 4080 studies, only two papers were identified that used animal welfare framing to discuss climate change based on the inclusion/exclusion criteria.<br><br>CONCLUSION: Further research should attempt to understand and approach framing climate change concerning current understanding by geographic location and culture to close research gaps and mitigate bias in the context of climate change and its effects on animal welfare.},
}
@article {pmid39706877,
year = {2024},
author = {Zhang, Y and Hu, J and Wang, C and Wang, Y and Ji, M and Ma, F and Lu, Y},
title = {Estimating global geographical distribution and ecological niche dynamics of Ammannia coccinea under climate change based on Biomod2.},
journal = {Scientific reports},
volume = {14},
number = {1},
pages = {30579},
pmid = {39706877},
issn = {2045-2322},
support = {2021YFC2600400//National Key Research and Development Program of China/ ; no//Project Strengthening coordinated approaches to reduce invasive alien species (IAS) threats to globally significant agrobiodiversity and agroecosystems in China/ ; no//Project Strengthening coordinated approaches to reduce invasive alien species (IAS) threats to globally significant agrobiodiversity and agroecosystems in China/ ; },
mesh = {*Climate Change ; *Ecosystem ; Oryza/growth &amp; development ; Introduced Species ; Plant Weeds/growth &amp; development ; Biodiversity ; Geography ; Agriculture/methods ; },
abstract = {Invasive alien plants pose a significant threat to biodiversity and the agricultural economy. The invasive weed (Ammannia coccinea) competes with rice in paddy fields, potentially threatening rice production. Despite the crucial need to estimate the global geographical distribution and ecological niche dynamics of A. coccinea for effective early warning, control strategies, and global rice security, relevant research remains scarce. This study utilized the Biomod2 platform, which integrates multiple single models into ensemble model, incorporating environmental and species data to analyze the distribution range shifts of A. coccinea under current and future climate scenarios. It also quantified and analyzed shifts in the species' ecological niche across these climate scenarios. The results indicated that the potential suitable areas for A. coccinea were mainly in Southern North America, northern and south-eastern South America, south-western Europe, the Middle East, central Africa, western Asia, south-eastern Asia, with a gradual increase in mid-high suitability habitat over time and radiation levels. While the overall ecological niche of A. coccinea remains stable, minor shifts are expected under future conditions. Temperature, precipitation, and the human impact index were the key factors influencing the future distribution of A. coccinea. Climate change contributes to the expansion of A. coccinea's highly suitable areas and shifts its ecological niche. Organizations efforts should focus on preventing the spread of A. coccinea in regions where its potential distribution overlaps with key rice production areas. The findings of this study provide critical insights into the global distribution and ecological niche dynamics of A. coccinea, aiding in the development of early warning and control strategies to mitigate its impact on biodiversity, agriculture, and particularly rice production under future climate scenarios.},
}
@article {pmid39706095,
year = {2024},
author = {Suhardono, S and Lee, CH and Suryawan, IWK},
title = {Valuation of marine integrated disaster management amidst global warming in Southern Coast of Java, Indonesia.},
journal = {Marine pollution bulletin},
volume = {211},
number = {},
pages = {117446},
doi = {10.1016/j.marpolbul.2024.117446},
pmid = {39706095},
issn = {1879-3363},
abstract = {This research explores the valuation of integrated disaster management in the coastal regions of Southern Java, Indonesia, a locale increasingly threatened by the impacts of global warming, which exacerbates marine disasters such as earthquakes and tsunamis. Employing a choice experiment methodology, the study assesses the willingness to pay among local households for various strategies designed to enhance earthquake preparedness. Three distinct scenarios are examined, each reflecting varying levels of integration and sophistication: (1) Educational empowerment and localized alert integration, which emphasizes community education and rapid, self-directed evacuation practices tailored to the immediate onset of tsunamis following seismic events. This scenario advocates for the '20-20-20' rule, underscoring self-evacuation as the most dependable survival method; (2) Strategic evacuation enablement, focusing on the logistics of evacuation and infrastructure development to facilitate timely community response; and (3) Integrated marine disaster management, which merges educational, technological, logistical, and ecological elements into a comprehensive strategy.},
}
@article {pmid39704563,
year = {2024},
author = {Kish-Doto, J and Francavillo, GR},
title = {Public health professionals' views on climate change, advocacy, and health.},
journal = {Journal of communication in healthcare},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {1-10},
doi = {10.1080/17538068.2024.2441547},
pmid = {39704563},
issn = {1753-8076},
abstract = {BACKGROUND: Public health professionals (PHPs) are seeing an increased impact of climate change on the physical and mental health of their communities. Diverse climate change strategies and interventions are needed to equitably protect people's health. Yet, limited information exists on U.S. health professionals' willingness to communicate with the public about climate change and act on the issue.<br><br>METHODS: We used a pre-existing survey to assess the willingness of 173 PHPs to participate in climate change advocacy. Variables included beliefs, attitudes and risk perceptions of climate change, perceptions of the local impact of climate change on health, communication barriers and resources for communicating about climate change and health, and the perceived role of PHPs in mitigating climate change.<br><br>RESULTS: Key findings included: (1) Belief in climate change is not unanimous among PHPs; (2) PHPs are worried about climate change (93.3%) and agree the issue of climate change is of personal importance (97.1%); (3) Participants are seeking resources/trainings (57.8%) on climate change (4)The main barriers of advocating for climate change are lack of time (54.3%) and knowledge (46.3%); (5)) Respondents acknowledge health impacts due to weather-related events are caused by human activities (83.2%) and (6) views of climate change are determined by willingness to advocate and take action to mitigate climate change (R[2] = .251; p = < .001).<br><br>CONCLUSIONS: Although the majority of PHPs believe climate change is happening, this belief is not unanimous and steadfast. Opportunities remain on how health professionals can better inform, educate, and empower others about climate change and health.},
}
@article {pmid39703746,
year = {2025},
author = {Edward, M and Heniedy, AM and Saminu, A and Florence Mary, JJ and Ahmed, DA and Engmann, ST and Onyeaghala, C and Shah, S},
title = {Climate change and contagion: the emerging threat of zoonotic diseases in Africa.},
journal = {Infection ecology &amp; epidemiology},
volume = {15},
number = {1},
pages = {2441534},
pmid = {39703746},
issn = {2000-8686},
abstract = {This article investigates the escalating occurrence of zoonotic diseases in Africa, attributing their spread to climate change and human activities. Africa's unique combination of biodiversity, reliance on animal husbandry, and swift urbanization heightens its susceptibility. Climate change disrupts ecosystems and animal habitats, intensifying human-wildlife interactions. Urbanization, inadequate sanitation, and insufficient healthcare infrastructure further facilitate disease spread. Climate-induced displacement adds another layer of complexity. Mitigation strategies include improving surveillance systems, fostering early detection via point-of-care diagnostics and digital contact tracing, and investing in vaccines and therapeutics. Our purpose of this is to advocate for sustainable land use, robust community-level public health systems, international cooperation, and resource-sharing. We also emphasize the need for effective vector-control policies, dedicated research funding, and annual awareness, vaccination, and early detection campaigns in endemic regions.},
}
@article {pmid39701899,
year = {2024},
author = {Sedik, S and Egger, M and Hoenigl, M},
title = {Climate Change and Medical Mycology.},
journal = {Infectious disease clinics of North America},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1016/j.idc.2024.11.002},
pmid = {39701899},
issn = {1557-9824},
abstract = {This review explores how climate change influences fungal disease dynamics, focusing on emergence of new fungal pathogens, increased antifungal resistance, expanding geographic ranges of fungal pathogens, and heightened host susceptibility. Rising temperatures and altered precipitation patterns enhance fungal growth and resistance mechanisms, complicating treatment efforts. Climate-driven geographic shifts are expanding the range of diseases like Valley fever, histoplasmosis, and blastomycosis. Additionally, natural disasters exacerbated by climate change increase exposure to fungal pathogens through environmental disruptions and trauma. Many of those impacts affect primarily those already disadvantaged by social determinants of health putting them at increased risk for fungal diseases.},
}
@article {pmid39701550,
year = {2024},
author = {Urrutia-Pereira, M and Solé, D},
title = {Impact of climate change and air pollution on childhood respiratory health.},
journal = {Jornal de pediatria},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1016/j.jped.2024.11.007},
pmid = {39701550},
issn = {1678-4782},
abstract = {OBJECTIVE: To assess the impact of climate change and air pollution on children's respiratory health.<br><br>DATA SOURCE: Narrative review of articles published in English, Portuguese, French, and Spanish in the last decade in the following databases: PubMed, Google Scholar, EMBASE, and SciELO. The keywords used in this search were: climate changes OR air pollution OR indoor pollutants OR wildfires AND human health OR children OR exposome.<br><br>DATA SYNTHESIS: Increases in extreme weather events, such as heat waves, forest fires, floods, droughts, hurricanes, and dust storms, put children's respiratory system health at greater risk.<br><br>CONCLUSIONS: The growing global increase in respiratory diseases in recent decades raises questions about the impact of environmental factors resulting from industrialization, urbanization, and climate change on the individual's exposome. Understanding it better is a key point for better treatment.},
}
@article {pmid39701540,
year = {2024},
author = {Prates-Baldez, D and Ornell, FR and Scherer, JN and Diefenthaeler, SM and Kapczinski, F and Balanzá-Martínez, V and Hauck, S},
title = {Climate Change and Mental Health: The Urgent Warning of Brazil and Spain's 2024 Catastrophic Floods.},
journal = {Spanish journal of psychiatry and mental health},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1016/j.sjpmh.2024.12.001},
pmid = {39701540},
issn = {2950-2853},
}
@article {pmid39701527,
year = {2024},
author = {Rotz, CA and Mitloehner, F},
title = {United States Dairy Farms and Global Warming.},
journal = {Journal of dairy science},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.3168/jds.2024-25360},
pmid = {39701527},
issn = {1525-3198},
abstract = {Several metrics have developed for combining the warming effects of various greenhouse gases (GHG). The metric used can affect the life cycle assessment and comparison of dairy production systems due to the weighting placed on long- versus short-lived gases in the atmosphere. Global warming potential with a time horizon of 100 years (GWP-100) has become the standard but metrics are also available for other time horizons. Metrics for 20-, 100- and 500-year horizons gave average farmgate emission intensities of 2.08, 0.98 and 0.50 kg CO2e/kg of fat-and-protein-corrected-milk produced for current US dairy farms. Compared with the use of GWP metrics, which represent energy absorption, use of global temperature-change potential (GTP), combined global temperature-change potential (CGTP) or global warming potential star (GWP*) reduced the warming effect of methane relative to other GHG. These metrics representing temperature change reduced the warming potential of US dairy farms by 17 to 49% compared with the use of GWP-100. The metrics used also affected the comparison of individual production systems providing different life cycle assessments of management practices. Use of GWP-100 metrics indicated that warming from GHG emissions of US dairy farms increased 11-15% between 1971 and 2020, while the use of GTP, CGTP and GWP* metrics showed little or no effect on global temperature change over the 50-year period. Use of GWP-100 metrics indicated that GHG emissions related to milk production on dairy farms represented 1.6% of all US GHG emissions in 2020 while use of other metrics ranged from 0.9 and 1.8%. Although all approaches for representing the integrated warming impact of GHG have benefits and challenges, approaches such as CGTP and GWP* that account for the rate of methane emission relative to the oxidation rate in the atmosphere provide a more process-based assessment of the long-term impact of dairy farms on global temperature and perhaps a more scientifically sound approach for assessing strategies to mitigate the warming effect of dairy farms.},
}
@article {pmid39700750,
year = {2024},
author = {Angelini, R and Lima, MAL and Lira, AS and Lucena-Frédou, F and Frédou, T and Bertrand, A and Giarrizzo, T and Steenbeek, J and Coll, M and Keppeler, FW},
title = {The projected impacts of climate change and fishing pressure on a tropical marine food web.},
journal = {Marine environmental research},
volume = {204},
number = {},
pages = {106909},
doi = {10.1016/j.marenvres.2024.106909},
pmid = {39700750},
issn = {1879-0291},
abstract = {Small-scale fisheries, especially those from developing countries, are vital for millions. Understanding the impact of environmental and human factors on fish stocks and yields and how they might change is crucial to ensure the sustainable use of aquatic resources. We developed an ecosystem model using Ecopath and Ecosim (EwE) to investigate changes in target species biomass and ecosystem attributes over 83 years (2017-2100) caused by different scenarios of fishing pressure and ocean warming in the Brazilian Northeastern continental shelf. The simulations considered three IPCC climate change scenarios (RCP2.6 [0.42 °C], RCP4.5 [1.53 °C], and RCP8.5 [4.02 °C]) and four fishing pressure scenarios: two with increased pressure (10% and 30%) and two with decreased pressure (-10% and -30%). The Ecopath model indicated that the Brazilian Northeastern continental shelf ecosystem is a grazing-based system with high biomass in macroalgae and detritus compartments, supporting a diverse community of consumers. Our simulations projected overall reductions in the biomass of target species, mainly under extreme climate change. Increasing temperatures and fishing efforts reduced the biomass of large predatory species and the food web length in several scenarios. Although projected changes in ecological network and information metrics were of lower magnitude, results predicted declines in production/respiration ratio, material cycling, and ascendency (variable related to trophic specialization, internalization, and material cycling) with climate change. These declines were likely linked to increased respiration rates, metabolic costs, and lower trophic efficiency with elevated temperatures. Together, our results show how climate change and fishing pressure can change the structure of coastal ecosystems, potentially leading to undesirable alternative states for fisheries. Our approach demonstrates the effectiveness of ecosystem-based modeling in projecting likely trajectories of change, which can be especially useful for resource management in data-limited conditions.},
}
@article {pmid39700686,
year = {2024},
author = {Beevers, S and Assareh, N and Beddows, A and Stewart, G and Holland, M and Fecht, D and Liu, Y and Goodman, A and Walton, H and Brand, C and Evangelopoulos, D and Wood, D and Vu, T and Dajnak, D},
title = {Climate change policies reduce air pollution and increase physical activity: Benefits, costs, inequalities, and indoor exposures.},
journal = {Environment international},
volume = {195},
number = {},
pages = {109164},
doi = {10.1016/j.envint.2024.109164},
pmid = {39700686},
issn = {1873-6750},
abstract = {The burden of diseases attributable to air pollution is comparable to those of global health risks such as unhealthy diets and tobacco smoking, with many air pollution sources also emitting climate heating gases. In this UK study we estimated the co-benefits of Net Zero (NZ) climate policy on the health benefits of air pollution reduction, increased active travel, outdoor exposure inequalities and indoor air pollution changes. The study focused on two of the largest UK sources, road transport and building heating, with comparisons made between NZ and UK existing policy, referred to as Business as Usual (BAU). Particulate matter (PM2.5), Nitrogen Dioxide (NO2) and Ozone (O3) projections were made between 2019 and 2050, with emphasis placed upon the NZ co-benefits in 2030 and 2040. We compared the UK BAU scenarios with the Climate Change Committee's (CCC) Balanced Net Zero Pathway (BNZP) and Widespread Innovation (WI) pathway. Compared to BAU predictions, BNZP assumptions lead to more electric vehicles, reduced vehicle km, more low carbon building heating, and reduced emissions of NO2 and PM2.5. By 2040 under BNZP, relative to BAU, the buildings sector was predicted to be three times more effective at reducing PM2.5 than road transport. To help reduce the inequality gap the NZ building transition was tailored toward those most in need. Outdoor air pollution exposure inequalities prevailed across the socioeconomic spectrum, especially for NO2, but were less pronounced due in part to NZ policies. Core air quality health benefits for the BNZP buildings sector were £21.3 billion (16.4 to 26.2) by 2050 and £98.4 billion (75.7 to 121.1) by 2154. For the transport sector the health benefits were £9.1 billion (7.0 to 11.2) by 2050 and £36.5 billion (28.1 to 44.9) by 2154. NZ building sector operating costs did not achieve break-even via efficiency savings, but with Greenhouse Gas (GHG) (lower benefits) break-even was achieved in 2052. With additional air pollution health benefits, building-sector time to break-even improved by between 3.1 (2.5 to 4.7) and 6.3 (4.7 to 7.6) years to between 2046 and 2049. Analysis found that removing gas cooking at home, for NZ, may result in greater concentration reductions than outdoor air pollution for NO2. Net Zero health and economic co-benefits are large, as are the changes needed, requiring political leadership and public engagement. Our findings are relevant to other countries facing the NZ transition.},
}
@article {pmid39700540,
year = {2024},
author = {Varling, AS and Chrysochoidis, V and Bisinella, V and Valverde-Pérez, B and Christensen, TH},
title = {Climate change impacts of biological treatment of liquid digestate from the anaerobic digestion of food waste.},
journal = {Waste management (New York, N.Y.)},
volume = {193},
number = {},
pages = {339-349},
doi = {10.1016/j.wasman.2024.12.013},
pmid = {39700540},
issn = {1879-2456},
abstract = {The liquid fraction of digestate (LFD) from anaerobic digestion of food waste contains high nitrogen concentrations, and in some countries, the LFD is treated as wastewater. We modelled alternative LFD treatments, including pretreatment with the partial nitritation Anammox (PNA) process. The PNA effluent is discharged to the sewers to undergo further treatment by conventional nitrification and (post- or pre-) denitrification. Life-cycle inventories were developed for the LFD treatment alternatives, including N2O emissions and electricity consumption estimates. The climate change (CC) impact was estimated using life cycle assessment in three different energy systems ranging from fossil-based to fully renewable. In the fossil energy system, pretreatment with PNA was attractive, while in the more renewable energy systems, the PNA process did not improve the CC account due to high N2O emissions. Pre-denitrification is the most attractive LFD treatment technology in a fully renewable energy system. Linking the LFD treatment to the anaerobic digestion of food waste showed that LFD treatment is a significant contributor to the overall CC account. As we move towards less fossil-based electricity, the anaerobic digestion of food waste constitutes a CC load of 350-450 kg CO2-eq/tonne biowaste, of which up to a third can be attributed to the LFD treatment. The N2O emissions are the main contributor, constituting up to 50 % in a fossil-based energy system and even higher in a renewable energy system. We conclude that the LFD treatment must be addressed in assessing anaerobic digestion when the LFD is discharged to the sewer. Our study also points to the need to find alternative ways of managing the LFD.},
}
@article {pmid39699788,
year = {2024},
author = {Khoualfia, A and Bardi, W},
title = {The effect of climate change on economic growth in European countries: an empirical evidence from Panel ARDL approach.},
journal = {Environmental science and pollution research international},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
pmid = {39699788},
issn = {1614-7499},
abstract = {This paper examined the impact of climate change on economic growth using panel data from 20 European countries during the period 1990-2020 and the estimation techniques of cointegration and the ARDL model. The empirical results reveal that precipitation; labour force and CO2 emissions have a positive effect on long-term economic growth in sample countries. However, temperature, foreign direct investment, and urbanization have a negative effect on growth over the same period. Therefore, our study highlights the complex links between climate, demographic, and economic developments in European countries over the past three decades. Urbanizations, as a driver of urban development, and FDI, indicators of economic attractiveness, influence not only economic dynamics but also environmental impacts, exacerbating the challenges of CO2 emissions and climate change.},
}
@article {pmid39699057,
year = {2024},
author = {Martin, D and Brewster, P and Crowley, ST},
title = {Preparing for stormy weather: building VA health system resilience for dialysis emergency preparedness in the era of climate change.},
journal = {Current opinion in nephrology and hypertension},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1097/MNH.0000000000001054},
pmid = {39699057},
issn = {1473-6543},
abstract = {PURPOSE OF REVIEW: Climate change has been implicated as the driver for the increasing number, intensity, duration, and consequences of catastrophic weather events. As a result of extreme weather events, climate change has also been implicated as an important mediator of adverse kidney health outcomes, not only increasing the risk for the development of acute and chronic kidney diseases, but also disrupting the delivery of critical kidney health services. In particular, the delivery of dialysis services during major emergencies remains an ongoing and increasing problem, with a recognized need for improved emergency preparedness and disaster management (EP-DM) strategies to mitigate the increased risk of morbidity and mortality associated with missed dialysis treatment.<br><br>RECENT FINDINGS: There are increasing reports detailing the challenges of kidney dialysis care in times of crisis, to include those resulting from both man-made and natural disasters. Optimized management of the high-risk vulnerable dialysis patient population must include both facility-facing comprehensive continuity of operations and emergency response plans, and ongoing patient-facing emergency preparedness education.<br><br>SUMMARY: This review discusses the adverse impact of climate change-related natural disasters on the delivery of dialysis services, and the evolving EP-DM strategies developed and implemented by the Veterans Health Administration (VA) to optimize the care and well being of the vulnerable end stage kidney disease (ESKD) patient population.},
}
@article {pmid39698452,
year = {2024},
author = {Li, X and Wu, T and Kang, C and Zhang, X and Zhang, J and Yang, C and Yuan, Q and Zhou, T and Xiao, C},
title = {Simulation of Pseudostellaria heterophylla distribution in China: assessing habitat suitability and bioactive component abundance under future climate change scenariosplant components.},
journal = {Frontiers in plant science},
volume = {15},
number = {},
pages = {1498229},
pmid = {39698452},
issn = {1664-462X},
abstract = {BACKGROUND: Pseudostellaria heterophylla is used in traditional Chinese medicine, so ensuring an adequate supply of plant material with high levels of bioactive components is important.<br><br>METHODS: Using an optimized maximum entropy niche model and assays of bioactive components from cultivation samples, this study started from the plant's natural distribution area and estimated correlations of ecological factors with not only abundance of the plant but also abundance of polysaccharides and heterophyllin B. These correlations were combined with the spatial analysis function in ArcGIS to generate maps of the suitability of different habitats in China for cultivating P. heterophylla under current climate conditions and different models of climate change.<br><br>RESULTS: The following ecological factors emerged as particularly important for habitat suitability: precipitation of driest month and driest quarter, annual precipitation, annual mean temperature, temperature seasonality, and mean temperature of coldest quarter, contributing to a cumulative total of 87%. Under current climate conditions, optimum habitats of P. heterophylla were mainly distributed in the southwestern region (Guizhou) and eastern regions (Anhui, Zhejiang, Fujian, Jiangsu) of China, and only 0.197&#xd7;10[6] km[2] of these areas were optimum habitat. In future climate change scenarios, the optimal habitat area of P. heterophylla exhibited an increase across different time periods under the SSP5-8.5 climate scenario. By the 2090s, distribution area of high heterophyllin B content under SSP5-8.5 climate scenarios will increase significantly, distribution area of high polysaccharide content had little change under all three climate scenarios (SSP 1-2.6, 2-4.5, 5-8.5). The center of mass of suitable habitat migrates southwestward under scenario SSP 1-2.6 and SSP 2-4.5, while it migrates northward under scenario SSP 5-8.5. Under the three climate scenarios, the center of mass of suitable habitat migrated consistently with that of high polysaccharide content but differed from that of high heterophyllin B content.<br><br>CONCLUSION: These findings provide a crucial foundation for cultivating P. heterophylla with superior medicinal properties, developing adaptive management strategies to enhance conservation efforts, and ensuring sustainable utilization in the face of global climate change.},
}
@article {pmid39698095,
year = {2024},
author = {Kumar, S and Khanduri, VP},
title = {Impact of climate change on the Himalayan alpine treeline vegetation.},
journal = {Heliyon},
volume = {10},
number = {23},
pages = {e40797},
pmid = {39698095},
issn = {2405-8440},
abstract = {The Himalayan alpine treeline varies depending on altitude and aspects, supporting a variety of plant species. In recent years, climate changes have exerted pressure on the vegetation in this region, challenging its adaptation to rapidly changing environmental conditions. This systematic review commenced by formulating a research question on the impact of climate change on Himalayan alpine treeline vegetation and conducted a thorough literature search, adhering to the PRISMA protocol. The rising temperatures, altered precipitation patterns, and other climate-related factors have initiated an upward shift in the treeline that threatens the unique biodiversity of the region. Indeed, in various parts of the Himalayas, there is evidence of the treeline moving upwards, altering plant regeneration and growing season, and impacting soil properties. There is a shift of vegetation ranging from 0.80 to 503.00 m in Himalayan treeline regions have been reported in various studies. Abies spectabilis and Betula utilis are the most sensitive, showing the highest upward shifts due to climate change. The repercussions of climate change on the Himalayan alpine treeline are anticipated to have significant ecological implications. Most species at the Himalayan alpine treeline exhibit poor regeneration status, while some others reveals good, fair, or no regeneration. Consequently, new regeneration patterns are emerging. Changes in soil temperature and physicochemical properties due to climate warming are ultimately affecting Himalayan alpine treeline vegetation. Additionally, shifts in the growing season and phenophases of various tree species have also been observed. The profound and far-reaching impacts of climate change on the Himalayan alpine treeline necessitates implementing mitigation and adaptation strategies to safeguard the delicate alpine ecosystems of the region.},
}
@article {pmid39697837,
year = {2024},
author = {Dodd, S and Kragh-Furbo, M and Davies, J and Butterfield, S and Morris, A and Brown, H},
title = {Health impacts of climate change in the UK: A qualitative synthesis detailing the conjuncture of social structure, extreme weather, and mental health.},
journal = {SSM. Qualitative research in health},
volume = {6},
number = {},
pages = {100475},
pmid = {39697837},
issn = {2667-3215},
abstract = {This qualitative synthesis explores the experiences of UK communities facing growing health risks from climate change and extreme weather. The eight included studies show the profound impacts of extreme weather events such as floods on mental health, including challenges to self-identity and anxiety from the fear of flooding returning. Included data reveal individual and household impacts of extreme weather are mediated by a complex interaction of institutional support, community support, gender inequalities and personal agency. These factors are assessed against the backdrop of broader concepts in the social science and adaptation literature, including the role of the state, the inseparability of nature and society, the overlooked role of social structure, and environmental justice. It is argued that the use of qualitative synthesis methods in this topic area allows for an interconnected and context-sensitive analysis of the health impacts of climate change facing communities, diverging from other analytical approaches through inclusion of considerations such as social power, community dynamics, and the inter-relation of institutional action, community cohesion and individual agency. The resulting findings show how locally specific and highly contextual qualitative data can be used by those seeking to understand health risks from climate change within a locality.},
}
@article {pmid39697146,
year = {2024},
author = {Clark, CM and Coughlin, JG and Phelan, J and Martin, G and Austin, K and Salem, M and Sabo, RD and Horn, K and Thomas, RQ and Dalton, RM},
title = {Winners and Losers From Climate Change: An Analysis of Climate Thresholds for Tree Growth and Survival for Roughly 150 Species Across the Contiguous United States.},
journal = {Global change biology},
volume = {30},
number = {12},
pages = {e17597},
doi = {10.1111/gcb.17597},
pmid = {39697146},
issn = {1365-2486},
mesh = {*Climate Change ; United States ; *Trees/growth &amp; development ; *Temperature ; Forests ; Rain ; },
abstract = {Changes in temperature and precipitation are already influencing US forests and that will continue in the future even as we mitigate climate change. Using spatiotemporally matched data for mean annual temperature (MAT) and mean annual precipitation (MAP), we used simulated annealing to estimate critical thresholds for changes in the growth and survival of roughly 150 tree species (153 spp. for growth, 159 spp. for survival) across the conterminous United States (CONUS). We found that growth of nearly one-third of tree species assessed (44 spp.) decreased with any increase in MAT (42-49 species), whereas fewer responded negatively to projected regional trends in MAP (< 20 species each in the east and west). Hypothetical increases in temperature (+1°C, +2°C) increased average annual growth in the Central East and Pacific Northwest and decreased growth over large areas of the Rockies and Southeast, while decadal survival generally decreased with temperature. Average annual growth and decadal survival had unfavorable associations with projected precipitation, generally decreasing with wetter conditions (+25%) in the east and decreasing with drier conditions (-25%) in the west. Beyond these averages, there were species that positively and negatively responded nearly everywhere across the CONUS, suggesting changes in forest composition are underway. We identified only eight species out of ~150 assessed that were tolerant to increases in temperature, and 24 species in the east and seven in the west were tolerant to regionally specific trends in precipitation (increases in the east and decreases in the west). We assessed confidence on a 5-point scale (1-5) for five aspects of uncertainty. Average confidence scores were generally high, though some species and metrics had low confidence scores especially for survival. These findings have significant implications for the future national forest carbon sink and for conservation efforts in the face of climate change.},
}
@article {pmid39696553,
year = {2024},
author = {Cosh, SM and Williams, SE and Lykins, AD and Bartik, W and Tully, PJ},
title = {Detecting and classifying eco-anxiety: development of clinical cut-off scores for the climate change anxiety scale.},
journal = {BMC psychology},
volume = {12},
number = {1},
pages = {738},
pmid = {39696553},
issn = {2050-7283},
mesh = {Humans ; Adult ; *Climate Change ; Female ; Male ; Young Adult ; Adolescent ; *Anxiety/diagnosis/psychology ; Australia ; Psychiatric Status Rating Scales/standards ; Depression/diagnosis/psychology ; Stress, Psychological/diagnosis/psychology ; Psychological Distress ; },
abstract = {BACKGROUND: Climate change anxiety, that is worry and fear in relation to the awareness of the impacts of climate change, is widely observed around the world. Some evidence suggests that while climate change anxiety can, at times, be adaptive, a growing body of research has reported that climate change anxiety is also related to a range of negative mental health outcomes and psychological distress. Currently, however, there is limited ability to assess for elevated levels of climate change anxiety and to identify those who may need support. The present study, therefore, aimed to develop clinical cut-off scores on a measure of climate change anxiety.<br><br>METHODS: A largely representative sample of Australian young adults (aged 16-25&#xa0;years) completed measures of psychological distress (Depression, Anxiety and Stress Scale-21) and the Climate Change Anxiety Scale. Markers of clinically meaningful psychological distress - elevated depression, anxiety, and stress symptoms-were used to classify cases. Receiver Operating Characteristics analyses were performed to assess the predictive ability of the indicators of psychological distress (mild, moderate, severe, and extremely severe thresholds of anxiety, depression, and stress symptoms) for detecting climate change anxiety and to ascertain optimal cut-off scores.<br><br>RESULTS: The Area Under the Curve was acceptable to moderate for detecting climate change anxiety across all analyses. Across symptom severity thresholds and markers of psychological distress, based on consideration of balancing sensitivity and specificity, results consistently suggested that a cut-score of 21 was indicative of mild-moderate climate change anxiety, with a cut-off score of 23 indicating severe-extremely severe climate change anxiety.<br><br>CONCLUSIONS: The proposed cut-offs can feasibly be used to identify those with elevated climate change anxiety. Use of these cut-off scores can inform research as well as be used to guide screening, assessment, and inform clinical practice. Results also highlight a high rate of climate change anxiety in young adults.},
}
@article {pmid39696199,
year = {2024},
author = {Turzáková, J and Kohanová, D and Solgajová, A and Sollár, T},
title = {Association between climate change and patient health outcomes: a mixed-methods systematic review.},
journal = {BMC nursing},
volume = {23},
number = {1},
pages = {900},
pmid = {39696199},
issn = {1472-6955},
abstract = {INTRODUCTION: Climate change poses significant threats to the environment, biodiversity, and socioeconomic stability worldwide. Its impact on human health, particularly within healthcare systems, is growing in concern. Nurses, as front-line healthcare workers, play a crucial role in addressing climate-related health risks. However, there is a gap in understanding nursing perspectives on climate change and its implications for patient health outcomes.<br><br>AIM: To synthesize empirical evidence on the association between climate change and patient health outcomes from a nursing perspective.<br><br>METHODS: A mixed-methods systematic review was conducted following the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses (PRISMA). The search was carried out in January 2024 in six scientific databases including CINAHL, PubMed, Scopus, ProQuest, Web of Science, and OVID Nursing. Studies focusing on climate change and patient health outcomes from a nursing perspective were included. Data extraction, quality appraisal, and synthesis were performed systematically.<br><br>RESULTS: The systematic review included 18 studies of a mainly quantitative nature. Three main themes emerged as follows: Climate Healthcare Interplay; Future Nurses as Agents of Change; and Navigating Sustainability Challenges in Nursing. These themes highlighted nurses' awareness of the interrelation between climate and health, the need for environmental education in nursing, and the challenges that hinder sustainable nursing practices.<br><br>CONCLUSION: This review underscores the importance of integrating climate change topics into nursing education and fostering organizational support for sustainable nursing practices. Addressing these challenges is essential for nurses to mitigate the health risks posed by climate change effectively.},
}
@article {pmid39694671,
year = {2024},
author = {Niedzwiedz, CL and Olsen, JR and Rizeq, J and Afework, T and Hill-Harding, CKV and Shaw, RJ and Thomas, R and Kariuki, SM and Katikireddi, SV and Weaver, AJ and Martin, G and Parr, H and Papies, EK},
title = {Coming to terms with climate change: a glossary for climate change impacts on mental health and well-being.},
journal = {Journal of epidemiology and community health},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1136/jech-2024-222716},
pmid = {39694671},
issn = {1470-2738},
abstract = {Climate change is a major threat to global health. Its effects on physical health are increasingly recognised, but mental health impacts have received less attention. The mental health effects of climate change can be direct (resulting from personal exposure to acute and chronic climatic changes), indirect (via the impact on various socioeconomic, political and environmental determinants of mental health) and overarching (via knowledge, education and awareness of climate change). These impacts are unequally distributed according to long-standing structural inequities which are exacerbated by climate change. We outline key concepts and pathways through which climate change may affect mental health and explore the responses to climate change at different levels, from emotions to politics, to highlight the need for multilevel action. We provide a broad reference to help guide researchers, practitioners and policy-makers in the use and understanding of different terms in this rapidly growing interdisciplinary field.},
}
@article {pmid39694592,
year = {2025},
author = {Ford, CA},
title = {SAHM and the IAAH Respond to Climate Change and Need to Promote Agency Among Adolescents and Young Adults.},
journal = {The Journal of adolescent health : official publication of the Society for Adolescent Medicine},
volume = {76},
number = {1},
pages = {1},
doi = {10.1016/j.jadohealth.2024.10.005},
pmid = {39694592},
issn = {1879-1972},
}
@article {pmid39694400,
year = {2024},
author = {Wang, N and Liu, S},
title = {Modeling of periodic input Ornstein-Uhlenbeck temperature-tick-borne disease transmission coupling mechanism under climate change.},
journal = {Acta tropica},
volume = {261},
number = {},
pages = {107490},
doi = {10.1016/j.actatropica.2024.107490},
pmid = {39694400},
issn = {1873-6254},
abstract = {Given the rapid increase in climate change, investigating the impact of climate change on the transmission mechanism of tick-borne diseases is imperative. In order to fully capture the influence of the seasonal variation of temperature, environmental disturbances and the co-feeding transmission on the spread of tick-borne diseases, we propose a novel stochastic dynamical model that couples the mean-reverting Ornstein-Uhlenbeck temperature equation with periodic input to the tick-borne disease model. Through theoretical analysis, we derive sufficient conditions for the extinction of tick populations and the eradication of tick-borne diseases, as well as the stochastic persistence conditions of the system. In numerical simulations, we find that the periodic Ornstein-Uhlenbeck temperature equation can effectively fit the actual temperature data in low, medium, and high latitude regions of China. In risk assessment, we find that at the spatial perspective, low-latitude areas have a higher risk of tick-borne diseases, requiring enhanced control measures; from a temporal perspective, compared to the past, the current stage presents a greater risk of tick-borne diseases when preventive measures are not implemented. Additionally, we observe that larger noise of environment for tick populations favors the extinction of tick populations, while smaller temperature fluctuations, noise on infected hosts and ticks, as well as higher temperature regression rate, are more likely to lead to the extinction of tick-borne diseases. These findings provide crucial insights into understanding the impact of climate change on the transmission mechanism of tick-borne diseases.},
}
@article {pmid39693697,
year = {2024},
author = {Tiitta, I and Kopra, J and McDermott-Levy, R and Jaakkola, JJK and Kuosmanen, L},
title = {Climate change perceptions among nursing students: A comparative study between Finland and the United States.},
journal = {Nurse education today},
volume = {146},
number = {},
pages = {106541},
doi = {10.1016/j.nedt.2024.106541},
pmid = {39693697},
issn = {1532-2793},
abstract = {INTRODUCTION: Nurses play a key role in combating climate change-related health risks by promoting adaptation and mitigation strategies. Their efforts are essential in educating patients and communities about the health impacts of climate change and sustainable healthcare practices. Nursing curricula are evolving to include climate change and sustainability. The goal is to prepare future nurses to effectively address climate change factors affecting health and to support the transition towards more sustainable healthcare systems.<br><br>AIM: To study the perceptions of nursing students in Finland and the United States (U.S.) regarding climate change, focusing on their awareness and attitudes.<br><br>DESIGN: A quantitative, cross-sectional study.<br><br>METHOD: In this study climate change awareness, concern, motivation, and behavior patterns of Finnish and U.S nursing students were surveyed and analyzed. Data were collected from an online survey using the Climate Health and Nursing Tool (CHANT). The data were collected from Finnish students (n&#xa0;=&#xa0;351) from February to June 2023 and for comparison we examined data collected from U.S. (n&#xa0;=&#xa0;352) in 2022. Data were analyzed using SPSS and AMOS program.<br><br>RESULTS: U.S. nursing students were found to have higher factor loadings, indicating a stronger connection between the measured factors and their related concepts compared to Finnish nursing students. Finnish students also received good factor loadings, but differences appeared in the correlations between awareness, concern, and motivation, and in the consistency of behavior at home and at work.<br><br>CONCLUSIONS: Findings from study indicate that U.S. students have higher overall awareness but weaker links between awareness and workplace behavior, whereas Finnish nursing students show more consistent behavior both personally and professionally. Nursing faculty could use this knowledge to engage nursing students in learning about the impact of climate change on human health and prepare future nurses to meet challenges of climate change on patient populations.},
}
@article {pmid39692556,
year = {2024},
author = {Laverentz, DM and Young, E},
title = {Creating a Public Service Announcement as a Teaching Strategy to Advocate for Populations at Risk due to Climate Change.},
journal = {Nursing education perspectives},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
pmid = {39692556},
issn = {1536-5026},
abstract = {The 2022 National League for Nursing Vision Statement, Climate Change and Health, identified gaps in nursing education regarding the issue of climate change and its impact on at-risk populations. Our innovative teaching strategy requires nursing students to use clinical judgment to synthesize ideas and communicate the health risks of climate change for population at risk in a brief video or public service announcement. This teaching strategy can prepare nursing students to advocate for population health.},
}
@article {pmid39691193,
year = {2024},
author = {Wanjala, G and Pius, LO and Strausz, P and Kusza, S},
title = {Leveraging Agri-advocacy to promote animal genetic diversity for climate change mitigation: Kenya and Tanzania perspective.},
journal = {Heliyon},
volume = {10},
number = {23},
pages = {e40851},
doi = {10.1016/j.heliyon.2024.e40851},
pmid = {39691193},
issn = {2405-8440},
abstract = {The role that genetic diversity in animal genetic resources (AnGR) plays in mitigating the effects of climate change on the global protein supply is of the utmost significance. East Africa historically played a pivotal role in the dispersal of domesticated livestock species across the African continent. At present, it maintains a substantial contribution to worldwide biodiversity as a result of its reservoir of a diverse array of AnGR, characterized by genetic and species diversity. A considerable reduction in the genetic diversity of AnGR has been documented in numerous studies, giving rise to concerns regarding the sustainability of animal protein supply in the face of climate change. The objective of this article is to outline prospective roles that advocacy and management organizations specializing in AnGRs may undertake to aid in the conservation of AnGR genetic diversity in East Africa. Moreover, it provides a prospective framework and structure for advocacy that extends from the farmers, to the higher-level (regional farmers association). We believe that advocating for the promotion of genetic diversity at the regional level will have a significant impact at the national and further at global scale.},
}
@article {pmid39690524,
year = {2024},
author = {Groover, A and Holbrook, NM and Polle, A and Sala, A and Medlyn, B and Brodersen, C and Pittermann, J and Gersony, J and Sokołowska, K and Bogar, L and McDowell, N and Spicer, R and David-Schwartz, R and Keller, S and Tschaplinski, TJ and Preisler, Y},
title = {Tree drought physiology: critical research questions and strategies for mitigating climate change effects on forests.},
journal = {The New phytologist},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1111/nph.20326},
pmid = {39690524},
issn = {1469-8137},
support = {89243022SSC0000//Biological and Environmental Research/ ; //Northern Research Station/ ; 1856450//NSF-IOS/ ; 1029588//USDA NIFA/ ; //New Phytologist Trust/ ; //US Forest Service/ ; //National Science Foundation and the Department of Energy's Next Generation Ecosystem Experiment-Tropics/ ; ERKP886//Center for Bioenergy Innovation (CBI), US Department of Energy, Office of Science, Biological and Environmental Research Program/ ; 2222348//NSF ORCC/ ; },
abstract = {Droughts of increasing severity and frequency are a primary cause of forest mortality associated with climate change. Yet, fundamental knowledge gaps regarding the complex physiology of trees limit the development of more effective management strategies to mitigate drought effects on forests. Here, we highlight some of the basic research needed to better understand tree drought physiology and how new technologies and interdisciplinary approaches can be used to address them. Our discussion focuses on how trees change wood development to mitigate water stress, hormonal responses to drought, genetic variation underlying adaptive drought phenotypes, how trees 'remember' prior stress exposure, and how symbiotic soil microbes affect drought response. Next, we identify opportunities for using research findings to enhance or develop new strategies for managing drought effects on forests, ranging from matching genotypes to environments, to enhancing seedling resilience through nursery treatments, to landscape-scale monitoring and predictions. We conclude with a discussion of the need for co-producing research with land managers and extending research to forests in critical ecological regions beyond the temperate zone.},
}
@article {pmid39690499,
year = {2024},
author = {Fu, Z and Zhan, Q and Lenoir, J and Wang, S and Qian, H and Yang, J and Sun, W and Mbuni, YM and Ngumbau, VM and Hu, G and Yan, X and Wang, Q and Chen, SC and Zhou, Y},
title = {Climate change drives plant diversity attrition at the summit of Mount Kenya.},
journal = {The New phytologist},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1111/nph.20344},
pmid = {39690499},
issn = {1469-8137},
support = {SAJC202401//Scientific Research Program of Sino-Africa Joint Research Center/ ; 32370217//National Natural Science Foundation of China/ ; 32470225//National Natural Science Foundation of China/ ; jxsq2023101079//Thousand Talents Program of Jiangxi Province/ ; },
}
@article {pmid39690189,
year = {2024},
author = {Yu, H and van de Pas, R and Stanojev, J},
title = {How climate change is changing calendars - and what to do about it.},
journal = {Nature},
volume = {636},
number = {8043},
pages = {571},
doi = {10.1038/d41586-024-04190-8},
pmid = {39690189},
issn = {1476-4687},
}
@article {pmid39689533,
year = {2024},
author = {S, L and Laukka, V and Silvennoinen, K},
title = {Climate change impacts of municipal water sector and mitigation pathways: A national scale analysis and perspectives to carbon neutrality.},
journal = {Journal of environmental management},
volume = {373},
number = {},
pages = {123732},
doi = {10.1016/j.jenvman.2024.123732},
pmid = {39689533},
issn = {1095-8630},
abstract = {The growing concern on global warming has pushed to set ambitious targets of carbon neutrality or net zero at the water sector. Meanwhile, poor data availability has been reported to restrict the national assessment of climate impacts and mitigation strategies in water sector. In national greenhouse gas (GHG) inventories, water sector is embedded in other sectors' emissions making it difficult to monitor separately. This study presents a national scale evaluation of climate change impacts for water sector in Finland based on life cycle analysis (LCA). In addition, the effectiveness of currently available emission reduction measures is evaluated by scenario analysis until the year 2035. According to the results, the life cycle climate change impacts from the Finnish municipal water sector were 0,67 (0,46-0,88) million tonnes CO2-eq./year (142.8 (98.9-187.1) kg CO2-eq./person/year). Drinking water services accounted for 12.5-13.9 % and wastewater services 86.1-87.4 % of the total emissions. With currently feasible emission reduction measures, the climate change impacts could be reduced approximately 14-30 % in total by 2035. The aim of carbon neutrality in the water sector was found to be unrealistic to achieve with existing and currently feasible measures for Finland and thus significant new emission mitigation measures are needed. The vague definition of carbon neutrality and system boundary of water sector as well as the uncertainties related to the assessment of direct emissions, undermine the credibility of the ambitiously set target. Prioritizing emission offsets to reach the target may inadvertently lead to unintended negative consequences due to the limitations and incompleteness of offset methods.},
}
@article {pmid39689528,
year = {2024},
author = {Huang, W and Wang, Z and Qu, F and Zhao, C and Zheng, M and Zhang, Z and Liu, S and Xu, Q and Zhang, X and Zhao, L},
title = {Global distribution pattern and conservation of the cosmopolitan cold-water coral species Desmophyllum dianthus under climate change.},
journal = {Journal of environmental management},
volume = {373},
number = {},
pages = {123674},
doi = {10.1016/j.jenvman.2024.123674},
pmid = {39689528},
issn = {1095-8630},
abstract = {Global climate change impacts marine ecosystems differently across oceanic regions and depths. Thus, understanding how widespread key species adapt globally and locally to multidimensional climate change is crucial for targeted conservation. This study focuses on the cosmopolitan cold-water coral (CWC) Desmophyllum dianthus using ecological niche models (ENMs) to explore climate adaptation and conservation strategies. The findings indicated that D. dianthus occupied a broad ecological niche but had low ecological niche overlap across populations, suggesting local adaptations and supporting population-level ENMs. The models predicted that over 80% of D. dianthus suitable habitats would persist under SSP1-2.6 and SSP5-8.5 climate scenarios by the 2100s, potentially increasing to 95% as new habitats emerge, demonstrating its robust adaptability. However, localized environmental shifts could precipitate habitat losses in areas like the Reykjanes Ridge, Rockall Plateau, Mediterranean Sea, and Patagonian Shelf. We also applied Linkage Mapper to identify potential ecological corridors that intertwined nearshore macrohabitat patches with deep-sea stepping-stone habitats such as escarpments, seamounts, and ridges, maintaining population connectivity. Despite this, the habitats and ecological corridors of D. dianthus remained largely unprotected, with vulnerable portions lying outside of marine protected areas (MPAs), thus underscoring the urgent need for more MPA. These spatial-temporal predictions provide essential insights for the conservation and management of cosmopolitan CWC D. dianthus and serve as a benchmark for the adaptive survival of similar taxa.},
}
@article {pmid39689240,
year = {2024},
author = {Bellizzi, S and Darwish, M and Elnakib, S},
title = {Impact of displacement due to climate change on female genital mutilations.},
journal = {Journal of travel medicine},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1093/jtm/taae154},
pmid = {39689240},
issn = {1708-8305},
}
@article {pmid39689234,
year = {2024},
author = {Palvi, A and Lindström, L and Margus, A},
title = {Simulated winter climate change reveals greater cold than warm temperature tolerance in Chrysolina polita (Coleoptera: Chrysomelidae).},
journal = {Environmental entomology},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1093/ee/nvae120},
pmid = {39689234},
issn = {1938-2936},
support = {//Entomological Society of Finland/ ; //Societas Biologica Fennica Vanamo/ ; },
abstract = {Climate change is expected to lead to rising winter temperatures in temperate zones, coinciding with a decrease in winter snow cover. Insects adapted to winter conditions in the temperate zone might be exposed to changing winter conditions and higher temperature fluctuations, which can affect diapause and mortality. We studied the effects of climate change on Chrysolina polita, a temperate zone species overwintering as an adult in the shallow surface of the soil. We tested the effects of increased and fluctuating temperature on the mortality and body composition of the beetles in a laboratory environment, as well as the effects of snow cover removal on the mortality and body mass in field conditions. We found that in the laboratory study, a 2 °C increase in mean temperature increased mortality and resulted in increased lipid consumption, whereas temperature fluctuation caused desiccation of the beetles but did not affect mortality compared to the control condition. In the field study, the snow removal caused the mean soil temperature to decrease by 3 °C and fluctuate (ranging from -26.4 to 2.5 °C compared to a range of -1.7 to 0.5 °C in the control), yet these differences did not affect beetle mortality or body mass. We conclude that C. polita exhibits greater resistance to cold temperatures than to higher temperatures during diapause. Therefore, the rising temperatures associated with climate change can pose challenges for overwintering.},
}
@article {pmid39687868,
year = {2024},
author = {Frazier, AN and Beck, MR and Waldrip, H and Koziel, JA},
title = {Connecting the ruminant microbiome to climate change: insights from current ecological and evolutionary concepts.},
journal = {Frontiers in microbiology},
volume = {15},
number = {},
pages = {1503315},
doi = {10.3389/fmicb.2024.1503315},
pmid = {39687868},
issn = {1664-302X},
abstract = {Ruminant livestock provide meat, milk, wool, and other products required for human subsistence. Within the digestive tract of ruminant animals, the rumen houses a complex and diverse microbial ecosystem. These microbes generate many of the nutrients that are needed by the host animal for maintenance and production. However, enteric methane (CH4) is also produced during the final stage of anaerobic digestion. Growing public concern for global climate change has driven the agriculture sector to enhance its investigation into CH4 mitigation. Many CH4 mitigation methods have been explored, with varying outcomes. With the advent of new sequencing technologies, the host-microbe interactions that mediate fermentation processes have been examined to enhance ruminant enteric CH4 mitigation strategies. In this review, we describe current knowledge of the factors driving ruminant microbial assembly, how this relates to functionality, and how CH4 mitigation approaches influence ecological and evolutionary gradients. Through the current literature, we elucidated that many ecological and evolutionary properties are working in tandem in the assembly of ruminant microbes and in the functionality of these microbes in methanogenesis. Additionally, we provide a conceptual framework for future research wherein ecological and evolutionary dynamics account for CH4 mitigation in ruminant microbial composition. Thus, preparation of future research should incorporate this framework to address the roles ecology and evolution have in anthropogenic climate change.},
}
@article {pmid39687319,
year = {2024},
author = {Chen, M and Henderson, M and Liu, B and Zhou, W and Ma, R and Huang, W and Dou, Z},
title = {Winter climate change mediates the sensitivity of vegetation leaf-out to spring warming in high latitudes in China.},
journal = {Frontiers in plant science},
volume = {15},
number = {},
pages = {1476576},
doi = {10.3389/fpls.2024.1476576},
pmid = {39687319},
issn = {1664-462X},
abstract = {Global warming has significantly altered plant phenology by advancing the timing of leaf emergence, impacting vegetation productivity and adaptability. Winter and spring temperatures have commonly been used to explain spring phenology shifts, but we still lack a solid understanding of the effects of interactions between conditions in different seasons. This study utilizes normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI) and meteorological data to examine the effects of changes in winter and spring temperatures and precipitation on the start of the vegetation growing season (SOS) at high latitudes in China from 1982 to 2015. We found that SOS in Northeast China, as a whole, showed a weak advancing trend (moving earlier in the year), but with obvious regional differences. Even within the same vegetation type, changes in SOS were faster in the cold north (1.9 days/decade) and the cold and dry northwest (1.6 days/decade) than the regional averages for deciduous needleleaf forests (DNF; 1.2 days/decade) and grasslands (0.6 days/decade). Increases in spring temperatures dominate forest SOS advancement, while grassland SOS is mainly influenced by winter and spring precipitation. Decreases in winter minimum temperature (Tmin) enhance the spring temperature sensitivity of SOS. The way that winter precipitation regulates the spring temperature sensitivity of SOS differs among vegetation types: increasing sensitivity in grasslands but suppressing it in DNF. The moderating effects of winter conditions account for the greatest part of the regional differences in the magnitude of change in SOS. Our findings highlight that, although rising spring temperatures significantly affect SOS, winter Tmin and precipitation are crucial for understanding spatial SOS differences, particularly in cold, arid high-latitude regions. Winter conditions play an essential role in regulating the response of vegetation SOS to spring climate at high latitudes. These results suggest that considering the moderating effect of winter climate can facilitate more accurate predictions of temperature-driven phenological changes under future climate change.},
}
@article {pmid39683145,
year = {2024},
author = {Yue, C and Li, H and Shi, X},
title = {Geographical Distribution Dynamics of Acorus calamus in China Under Climate Change.},
journal = {Plants (Basel, Switzerland)},
volume = {13},
number = {23},
pages = {},
pmid = {39683145},
issn = {2223-7747},
support = {2022SY06//Zhejiang Forestry Science and Technology Project/ ; 2022C02038//"Pioneer" and "Leading Goose" R&amp;D Program of Zhejiang/ ; 2023F1068-4//Zhejiang Provincial Scientific Research Institute Special Project/ ; },
abstract = {Acorus calamus, a perennial emergent herb, is highly valued for its ornamental appeal, water purification ability, and medicinal properties. However, there is a significant contradiction between the rapidly increasing demand for A. calamus and the diminishing wild resources. Understanding its geographical distribution and the influence of global climate change on its geographical distribution is imperative for establishing a theoretical framework for the conservation of natural resources and the expansion of its cultivation. In this study, 266 distribution records of A. calamus and 18 selected key environmental factors were utilized to construct an optimal MaxEnt model via the ENMeval package. We simulated the potential geographical distributions under current conditions and under three different climate scenarios (SSP126, SSP370, and SSP585) in the 2050s, 2070s, and 2090s. Additionally, we employed the jackknife method and response curves to identify the environmental factors with the greatest influence on the distribution of A. calamus, and their response intervals. The results indicate that the regularization multiplier (RM) of 3.5 and the feature combinations (FC) of linear (L), quadratic (Q), hinge (H), and product (P) are the optimal model parameter combinations. With these parameters, the model predictions are highly accurate, and the consistency of the results is significant. The dominant environmental factors and their thresholds affecting the distribution of A. calamus are the precipitation of the wettest month (≥109.87 mm), human footprint (≥5.39), annual precipitation (≥388.56 mm), and mean diurnal range (≤12.83 °C). The primary land use types include rivers and channels, reservoirs and ponds, lakes, urban areas, marshes, other constructed lands, rice fields, forested areas, and shrublands. Under current climate conditions, the suitable geographical distribution of A. calamus in China is clearly located east of the 400 mm precipitation line, with high- and low-suitability areas covering 121.12 × 10[4] km[2], and 164.20 × 10[4] km[2], respectively. Under future climate conditions, both high- and low- suitability areas are projected to increase significantly, whereas unsuitable areas are expected to decrease, with the centroid of each suitability zone shifting northward. This study provides a theoretical foundation for sustainable utilization, future production planning, and the development of conservation strategies for wild germplasm resources of A. calamus.},
}
@article {pmid39683140,
year = {2024},
author = {Abubakar, I and Pantović, JP and Šinžar-Sekulić, JB and Sabovljević, MS},
title = {Modeling the Distribution of the Rare and Red-Listed Halophytic Moss Species Entosthodon hungaricus Under Various Climate Change Scenarios in Serbia.},
journal = {Plants (Basel, Switzerland)},
volume = {13},
number = {23},
pages = {},
pmid = {39683140},
issn = {2223-7747},
abstract = {Entosthodon hungaricus is a rare moss species of the salty grasslands in Serbia. It is threatened with extinction due to habitat destruction and loss, although it reproduces sexually. In this study, we tested different models predicting its distribution under several climate scenarios over the next 8 decades. All models tested indicated a reduction in range to varying extents. Due to the specific substrate type as well as the predicted loss owing to the climate change, shifting is not an option for the survival of this species; and, therefore, it deserves special attention for its conservation and management.},
}
@article {pmid39683139,
year = {2024},
author = {Matsumura, M and Watanabe, Y and Tada, H and Murai, K},
title = {Cytoplasm of the Wild Species Aegilops mutica Reduces VRN1 Gene Expression in Early Growth of Cultivated Wheat: Prospects for Using Alloplasmic Lines to Breed Varieties Adapted to Global Warming.},
journal = {Plants (Basel, Switzerland)},
volume = {13},
number = {23},
pages = {},
pmid = {39683139},
issn = {2223-7747},
support = {23K05171//Japan Society for the Promotion of Science/ ; },
abstract = {In a warm winter due to climate warming, it is necessary to suppress early flowering of autumn-sown wheat plants. Here, we propose the use of cytoplasmic genome effects for this purpose. Alloplasmic lines, or cytoplasmic substitution lines, of bread wheat (Triticum aestivum) have cytoplasm from a related wild Aegilops species through recurrent backcrossing and exhibit altered characteristics compared with the euplasmic lines from which they are derived. Thus, alloplasmic lines with Aegilops mutica cytoplasm show delayed flowering compared with lines carrying normal cytoplasm. In the wheat flowering pathway, VERNALIZATION 1 (VRN1) encodes an APETALA1/FRUITFULL-like MADS box transcription factor that plays a central role in the activation of florigen genes, which induce floral meristems in the shoot apex. Here, we compared expression of VRN1 alleles in alloplasmic and euplasmic lines after vernalization. We found that alloplasmic wheat showed a lower level of VRN1 expression after vernalization compared with euplasmic wheat. Thus, nuclear-cytoplasm interactions affect the expression levels of the nuclear VRN1 gene; these interactions might occur through the pathway termed retrograde signaling. In warm winters, autumn-sown wheat cultivars with spring habit can pass through the reproductive growth phase in very early spring, resulting in a decreased tiller/ear number and reduced yield performance. Here, we present data showing that an alloplasmic line of 'Fukusayaka' can avoid the decrease in tiller/ear numbers during warm winters, suggesting that this alloplasmic line may be useful for development of varieties adapted to global warming.},
}
@article {pmid39683133,
year = {2024},
author = {Li, S and Gao, J and Guo, P and Zhang, G and Ren, Y and Lu, Q and Bai, Q and Lu, J},
title = {Spatio-Temporal Heterogeneity of Ecological Quality in a Typical Dryland of Northern China Driven by Climate Change and Human Activities.},
journal = {Plants (Basel, Switzerland)},
volume = {13},
number = {23},
pages = {},
pmid = {39683133},
issn = {2223-7747},
support = {2022YFF130320203//The Sub-project of the National Key Research and Development Program of China/ ; 2022EEDSKJZDZX020-3//The Science and Technology Major Special Project of Erdos/ ; },
abstract = {With the intensification of climate change and anthropogenic impacts, the ecological environment in drylands faces serious challenges, underscoring the necessity for regionally adapted ecological quality evaluation. This study evaluates the suitability of the original Remote Sensing Ecological Index (oRSEI), modified RSEI (mRSEI), and adapted RSEI (aRSEI) in a typical dryland region of northern China. Spatio-temporal changes in ecological quality from 2000 to 2022 were analyzed using Theil-Sen median trend analysis, the Mann-Kendall test, and the Hurst exponent. Multiple regression residual analysis quantified the relative contributions of climate change and human activities to ecological quality changes. Results showed that (1) the aRSEI was the most suitable index for the study area; (2) observed changes exhibited significant spatial heterogeneity, with improvements generally in the inner areas of the Yellow River and declines in the outer areas; and (3) changes in ecological quality were primarily driven by climate change and human activities, with human activities dominating from 2000 to 2011 and the influence of climate change increasing from 2012 to 2022. This study compares the efficacy of RSEIs in evaluating dryland ecological quality, identifies spatio-temporal change patterns, and elucidates driving mechanisms, offering scientific evidence and policy recommendations for targeted conservation and restoration measures to address future changes in dryland regions.},
}
@article {pmid39681731,
year = {2024},
author = {Jauch, AS and Ach, T},
title = {[Climate change as a factor in the development of retinal diseases: a critical review].},
journal = {Die Ophthalmologie},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
pmid = {39681731},
issn = {2731-7218},
abstract = {The climate change has multiple effects on health. The eyes are not exempt from these effects and components of climate change, such as the temperature, UV radiation or air pollution that can have a relevant impact on retinal pathologies can be worked out. The alterations to the retina include UV light-induced retinal damage, age-related macular degeneration (AMD), choroidal melanoma, diabetic retinopathy, retinal detachment and vascular occlusion. Overall, there is an urgent need for prospective multicenter studies to be able to further analyze the specific impact of components of climate change on the retina.},
}
@article {pmid39680617,
year = {2024},
author = {Jayakumar, JM and Martinez-Urtaza, J and Brumfield, KD and Jutla, AS and Colwell, RR and Cordero, OX and Almagro-Moreno, S},
title = {Climate change and Vibrio vulnificus dynamics: A blueprint for infectious diseases.},
journal = {PLoS pathogens},
volume = {20},
number = {12},
pages = {e1012767},
pmid = {39680617},
issn = {1553-7374},
mesh = {*Vibrio vulnificus/pathogenicity ; *Climate Change ; Humans ; *Vibrio Infections/transmission/microbiology/epidemiology ; Animals ; Disease Outbreaks ; Communicable Diseases/transmission/epidemiology/microbiology ; },
abstract = {Climate change is having increasingly profound effects on human health, notably those associated with the occurrence, distribution, and transmission of infectious diseases. The number of disparate ecological parameters and pathogens affected by climate change are vast and expansive. Disentangling the complex relationship between these variables is critical for the development of effective countermeasures against its effects. The pathogen Vibrio vulnificus, a naturally occurring aquatic bacterium that causes fulminant septicemia, represents a quintessential climate-sensitive organism. In this review, we use V. vulnificus as a model organism to elucidate the intricate network of interactions between climatic factors and pathogens, with the objective of identifying common patterns by which climate change is affecting their disease burden. Recent findings indicate that in regions native to V. vulnificus or related pathogens, climate-driven natural disasters are the chief contributors to their disease outbreaks. Concurrently, climate change is increasing the environmental suitability of areas non-endemic to their diseases, promoting a surge in their natural populations and transmission dynamics, thus elevating the risk of new outbreaks. We highlight potential risk factors and climatic drivers aggravating the threat of V. vulnificus transmission under both scenarios and propose potential measures for mitigating its impact. By defining the mechanisms by which climate change influences V. vulnificus disease burden, we aim to shed light on the transmission dynamics of related disease-causing agents, thereby laying the groundwork for early warning systems and broadly applicable control measures.},
}
@article {pmid39680536,
year = {2024},
author = {Wang, X and Zhu, J and Pan, P},
title = {Spatiotemporal dynamics of grassland aboveground biomass in northern China and the alpine region: Impacts of climate change and human activities.},
journal = {PloS one},
volume = {19},
number = {12},
pages = {e0315329},
pmid = {39680536},
issn = {1932-6203},
mesh = {*Grassland ; *Biomass ; China ; *Climate Change ; Humans ; Human Activities ; Seasons ; Spatio-Temporal Analysis ; Temperature ; },
abstract = {Grassland plays a crucial role in the global cycles of matter, energy, water and, climate regulation. Biomass serves as one of the fundamental indicators for evaluating the ecological status of grassland. This study utilized the Carnegie-Ames-Stanford Approach (CASA) model to estimate Net Primary Productivity (NPP) from meteorological data and the Global Inventory Monitoring and Modeling System (GIMMS) Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) remote sensing data for northern China's temperate and alpine grasslands from 1981 to 2015. NPP was subsequently converted into aboveground biomass (AGB). The dynamic changes in grassland AGB were analyzed, and the influence of climate change was examined. The results indicate strong agreement between AGB estimations from the CASA model and Gill method based on field-measured AGB, confirming the model's reliability for these regions. The dynamic changes in AGB exhibited a significant increasing trend of 1.31 g/m2. Grazing intensity (GI), soil moisture, and mean annual precipitation are identified as key factors influencing changes in grassland AGB. Our findings indicate that precipitation and soil moisture are the primary drivers of AGB accumulation during the growing season (spring, summer, and autumn), while temperature plays a critical role in supporting biomass accumulation during winter. Higher temperatures in winter contributes to increased AGB in the following spring, particularly in desert steppe and alpine meadow ecosystems. These insights highlight the complex interaction between climate factors and human activities in shaping grassland productivity across different seasons.},
}
@article {pmid39680132,
year = {2024},
author = {Garzone, D and Templin, S and Finger, RP},
title = {[From ozone depletion to the lens: effects of climate change on cataract progression].},
journal = {Die Ophthalmologie},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
pmid = {39680132},
issn = {2731-7218},
abstract = {The incidence of cataract is expected to increase, primarily due to an aging population. However, human-induced environmental changes may also contribute. In this narrative review, we explore the connection between climate change, the depletion of the ozone layer, and modifiable risk factors for cataract development such as UV light exposure and pollution-related factors. Finally, we discuss preventative measures at both the individual and the societal level, including strategies to improve cataract care and reduce the carbon footprint of cataract surgery.},
}
@article {pmid39679384,
year = {2024},
author = {Khosravi, M and Mojtabaeian, SM and Sarvestani, MA},
title = {A Systematic Review on the Outcomes of Climate Change in the Middle-Eastern Countries: The Catastrophes of Yemen and Syria.},
journal = {Environmental health insights},
volume = {18},
number = {},
pages = {11786302241302270},
pmid = {39679384},
issn = {1178-6302},
abstract = {The Middle East is facing serious climate change challenges, rendering it as one of the most affected regions worldwide. This paper aimed to investigate the outcomes of climate change in the Middle East. In 2024, a qualitative study was conducted employing a methodology that integrated systematic review for data collection and thematic analysis for data analysis. Such integration of the approaches provided valuable insights into the findings within the literature in a comprehensive and categorized format. PubMed, Scopus, ProQuest, and the Cochrane Database of Systematic Reviews were searched for relevant studies published between 2000 and 2024. The quality of these studies was assessed using the AACODS (Accuracy, Coverage, Objectivity, Date, Significance) checklist. The data extracted from the included studies underwent a thematic analysis utilizing Braun and Clarke's methodology. After completing the screening process, a total of 93 papers were deemed suitable for inclusion in the study. The quality assessment of these selected studies demonstrated a notably high standard, particularly in terms of authority, accuracy, coverage, objectivity, and significance. Moreover, minimal levels of bias were observed within the included studies. Subsequent thematic analysis of the findings from the systematic review identified 6 overarching themes: "Human Health Outcomes," "Animal Health Outcomes," "Plant Health Outcomes," "Ecological Outcomes," "Economic Outcomes," and "Political Outcomes." The study revealed ecological outcomes as the most prevalent consequences of climate change in the Middle East, including alterations in habitat distribution, temperature increase, water scarcity, and more. The outcomes seemed to be interconnected, exacerbating each other. Yemen and Syria had faced severe consequences, leading to political unrest and humanitarian crises in which Yemen ranking among the most water-stressed nations globally, while Syria contending with millions of displaced individuals living in dire conditions.},
}
@article {pmid39678153,
year = {2024},
author = {Liang, Y and Gillett, NP and Monahan, AH},
title = {Accounting for Pacific climate variability increases projected global warming.},
journal = {Nature climate change},
volume = {14},
number = {6},
pages = {608-614},
pmid = {39678153},
issn = {1758-678X},
abstract = {Observational constraint methods based on the relationship between the past global warming trend and projected warming across climate models were used to reduce uncertainties in projected warming by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Internal climate variability in the eastern tropical Pacific associated with the so-called pattern effect weakens this relationship and has reduced the observed warming trend over recent decades. Here we show that regressing out this variability before applying the observed global mean warming trend as a constraint results in higher and narrower twenty-first century warming ranges than other methods. Whereas the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change assessed that warming is unlikely to exceed 2 °C under a low-emissions scenario, our results indicate that warming is likely to exceed 2 °C under the same scenario, and hence, limiting global warming to well below 2 °C will be harder than previously anticipated. However, the reduced uncertainties in these projections could benefit adaptation planning.},
}
@article {pmid39677918,
year = {2024},
author = {Mockler, BK and Perkins, A and Obremskey, A and Boos, M and Cogen, JD and Tandon, PS and Grow, HM},
title = {Incorporating Climate Change Action Into Pediatric Residency Training Results in Institutional Change.},
journal = {Journal of graduate medical education},
volume = {16},
number = {6 Suppl},
pages = {161-162},
pmid = {39677918},
issn = {1949-8357},
}
@article {pmid39677917,
year = {2024},
author = {Philipsborn, R and McShane, M and Marwah, H and Cogen, J and Barnes, M and Osta, A and Grow, HM},
title = {Proposing Standards for Pediatricians on Climate Change and Health: Leveraging the Entrustable Professional Activity Framework.},
journal = {Journal of graduate medical education},
volume = {16},
number = {6 Suppl},
pages = {159-160},
pmid = {39677917},
issn = {1949-8357},
}
@article {pmid39677915,
year = {2024},
author = {McShane, M and Kumar, S and Zuniga, L},
title = {Implementing and Assessing Climate Change Education in a Pediatrics Residency Curriculum.},
journal = {Journal of graduate medical education},
volume = {16},
number = {6 Suppl},
pages = {92-98},
pmid = {39677915},
issn = {1949-8357},
mesh = {*Internship and Residency ; Humans ; *Climate Change ; *Curriculum ; *Pediatrics/education ; *Education, Medical, Graduate ; Surveys and Questionnaires ; Health Knowledge, Attitudes, Practice ; },
abstract = {Background For physicians to effectively combat the growing health crisis that is climate change, they should begin learning during medical training about its health implications. However, there is little data on residents' knowledge of the climate crisis, and even less data regarding the effectiveness and acceptability of climate change education in graduate medical training programs. Objective To incorporate a new educational session on the health implications of climate change into a residency curriculum and evaluate the acceptability of the session and its effects on residents' knowledge, attitudes, and perceptions of the topic. Methods In July 2021, a 90-minute, interactive, small-group format educational session on the health implications of climate change was incorporated into the first-year curriculum of a pediatric residency program. From July 2021 through June 2023, resident participants completed pre- and post-session surveys that assessed their knowledge, attitudes, and perceptions regarding health implications of climate change. Likert scale data were analyzed using Wilcoxon signed-rank tests. Results Of the 109 residents scheduled to participate, 50 (46%) completed both the pre- and post-session surveys. Session participation increased residents' self-reported knowledge of how climate change impacts health and how physicians can act as climate advocates. Ninety-eight percent of all post-session respondents (58 of 59) agreed that they would recommend the session to other residents. With 3 facilitators, the monthly session required ≤4 hours of preparation and ≤12 hours of direct teaching time per facilitator each academic year. Conclusions A single educational session improved residents' self-reported knowledge of the health implications of climate change and was well-received by participants.},
}
@article {pmid39677914,
year = {2024},
author = {Robohm, JS and Shih, G and Stenger, R},
title = {Climate Change Curriculum in a Network of US Family Medicine Residency Programs.},
journal = {Journal of graduate medical education},
volume = {16},
number = {6 Suppl},
pages = {78-85},
pmid = {39677914},
issn = {1949-8357},
mesh = {*Internship and Residency ; *Family Practice/education ; Humans ; *Curriculum ; *Climate Change ; Surveys and Questionnaires ; *Education, Medical, Graduate ; United States ; },
abstract = {Background Physicians require climate-related training, but not enough is known about actual or desired training at the graduate medical education level. Objective To quantify the climate curriculum provided within a network of family medicine residency programs in the Northwestern United States, to assess barriers to adoption of climate curricula, and to identify preferred climate-related content, delivery methods, and program actions. Methods In fall 2021, residents and faculty in a family medicine residency network responded to a 25-item, anonymous, online survey about climate-related training within their programs. Likert scales were used to assess the extent of current and desired climate curricula in respondent programs, and a paired samples t test was used to compare them. Drop-down menus and frequencies were used to identify top barriers to integration of a climate curriculum, and preferred curricular content, delivery methods, and program actions. Results Responses were received from 19.3% (246 of 1275) of potential respondents. Nearly ninety percent (215 of 240) reported little or no climate content in their programs. Respondents desired significantly more climate-related training (t[237]=18.17; P<.001; Cohen's d=1.18) but identified several barriers, including insufficient time/competing curricular priorities (80.7%, 192 of 238), concern about the political/controversial nature of the topic (27.3%, 65 of 238), and perceived irrelevance (10.9%, 26 of 238). More respondents selected integration of climate content throughout relevant didactics (62.2%, 145 of 233) than other delivery methods. Over 42% of respondents selected each of the climate-related topics and program actions suggested. Conclusions Despite a number of barriers, most family medicine faculty and residents desire significantly more climate-related content in their training curricula.},
}
@article {pmid39677911,
year = {2024},
author = {Khan, A and Berenji, M and Cloeren, M and Solomon, G and Goldman, R},
title = {Climate Change and Health: Occupational and Environmental Medicine at the Frontlines.},
journal = {Journal of graduate medical education},
volume = {16},
number = {6 Suppl},
pages = {49-52},
pmid = {39677911},
issn = {1949-8357},
}
@article {pmid39677909,
year = {2024},
author = {Cois, A and Kirkpatrick, S and Herrin, R},
title = {Climate Change Curricula in US Graduate Medical Education: A Scoping Review.},
journal = {Journal of graduate medical education},
volume = {16},
number = {6 Suppl},
pages = {69-77},
pmid = {39677909},
issn = {1949-8357},
mesh = {Humans ; *Curriculum ; United States ; *Climate Change ; *Education, Medical, Graduate ; Internship and Residency ; },
abstract = {Background Climate change threatens humanity's health and well-being. While climate change topics have been increasingly incorporated into undergraduate medical education, it is unclear to what extent they have been incorporated into graduate medical education (GME) curricula in the United States. Objective To examine how climate change has been incorporated into GME curricula in the United States. Methods We conducted a scoping review of published literature from January 2013 through November 2023. PubMed and Scopus were searched, with articles assessed by 3 reviewers in a blinded fashion. Resources were included if they described how climate change is incorporated into GME curricula in the United States, and if they discussed topics such as disaster medicine, mass casualty events, environmental medicine, public health, health policy, wilderness medicine, quality improvement, and sustainability. Articles were analyzed using descriptive numerical analysis and qualitative assessment to identify article characteristics and themes. Results The inclusion criteria generated 17 articles that examined climate change incorporation into GME curricula and curriculum interventions covering topics used for inclusion. The most common type of article (5 of 17, 29%) employed surveys of program directors on the inclusion of climate-related topics. Conclusions Published accounts of climate-related topics in US GME program curricula are few. More content is found in topics related to emergency medicine. Curricula frameworks have been proposed for pediatric and internal medicine residency programs, but we know little about their efficacy. Future scholarship should fill these gaps to educate learners to improve health care sustainability and resiliency.},
}
@article {pmid39677908,
year = {2024},
author = {Yeo, A and Lui, JK},
title = {The Need to Emphasize Inhaler Education in Residency and Fellowship Training in the Era of Climate Change.},
journal = {Journal of graduate medical education},
volume = {16},
number = {6 Suppl},
pages = {19-21},
pmid = {39677908},
issn = {1949-8357},
}
@article {pmid39677907,
year = {2024},
author = {Moya-Smith, T and Gordon, J and Radejko, T and Weinstock, R},
title = {Planetary Health and Climate Change Committee: A Resident-Led Initiative for Education, Advocacy, and Action.},
journal = {Journal of graduate medical education},
volume = {16},
number = {6 Suppl},
pages = {45-48},
pmid = {39677907},
issn = {1949-8357},
}
@article {pmid39677904,
year = {2024},
author = {Nwanaji-Enwerem, JC and Ayankola, OJ and Avakame, EF},
title = {Assessing Physician Climate Change Competency via Medical Licensing and Board Examinations: Lessons From Integrating Ultrasound Topics in Emergency Medicine.},
journal = {Journal of graduate medical education},
volume = {16},
number = {6 Suppl},
pages = {22-24},
pmid = {39677904},
issn = {1949-8357},
}
@article {pmid39677902,
year = {2024},
author = {Knox, K and Getzin, A and Oliver, KS and Gillet, V and Hanus, K and Simpson, D},
title = {A "Climate +1" Approach to Teach Resident Physicians and Faculty the Effects of Climate Change on Patient Health.},
journal = {Journal of graduate medical education},
volume = {16},
number = {6 Suppl},
pages = {152-153},
doi = {10.4300/JGME-D-24-00047.1},
pmid = {39677902},
issn = {1949-8357},
}
@article {pmid39677896,
year = {2024},
author = {Padgett, CL and Ventre, SJ and Orrange, SM},
title = {Development and Implementation of a Climate Change and Health Curriculum Into Pediatric Residency Education.},
journal = {Journal of graduate medical education},
volume = {16},
number = {6 Suppl},
pages = {125-128},
pmid = {39677896},
issn = {1949-8357},
mesh = {*Internship and Residency ; Humans ; *Curriculum ; *Pediatrics/education ; *Climate Change ; Education, Medical, Graduate ; },
abstract = {Background There is an increasing body of evidence demonstrating the impacts of climate change on health. Physicians recognize the significance but feel unprepared to address it. Despite a call to action from prominent medical organizations, climate change and health (CCH) education has remained sparse. Objective To describe the development and feasibility of a formal climate change curriculum tailored to pediatric residency programs and to assess residents' pre-intervention knowledge and self-reported comfort with this topic. Methods We created a longitudinal, single-institution CCH curriculum for pediatric and combined internal medicine-pediatrics residents. Implementation and evaluation began in May 2023 and is ongoing. Several educational strategies are utilized, and assessment tools include knowledge- and attitudes-based assessments, case-based exercises, reflective writing, grading rubrics, and patient encounter assessments. Feasibility was tracked. Results Sixty-one residents were eligible for participation at the beginning of the study. Pre-intervention knowledge-based assessments were completed by 14 of the 61 residents (23.0%), and attitude-based questions were completed by 12 residents (19.7%). Baseline knowledge assessment showed varied proficiency in CCH topics, and attitudes data showed that while most respondents felt CCH education was important (11 of 12, 91.7%), no respondents felt "very comfortable" discussing these topics with patients. In the first year of the curriculum, after residents applied knowledge in a small-group, case-based exercise, most groups were graded as "not yet competent" in all categories utilizing a rubric. Conclusions This study demonstrates that a CCH curriculum can be feasibly designed and implemented.},
}
@article {pmid39677895,
year = {2024},
author = {Dresser, C and Wiskel, T and Giudice, C and Humphrey, K and Storr, L and Balsari, S},
title = {A Graduate Medical Education Fellowship in Climate Change and Human Health: Experience and Outcomes From the First 5 Years.},
journal = {Journal of graduate medical education},
volume = {16},
number = {6 Suppl},
pages = {129-134},
pmid = {39677895},
issn = {1949-8357},
mesh = {Humans ; *Fellowships and Scholarships ; *Climate Change ; *Education, Medical, Graduate ; United States ; Emergency Medicine/education ; Internship and Residency ; },
abstract = {Background Climate change is affecting health and health care, but most physicians lack formal training on climate change. There is a need for graduate medical education (GME) programs that prepare physician leaders to address its health impacts. Objective To describe the development and iterative piloting of a GME fellowship in climate change and health and to assess fellows' academic output and public engagement before and after fellowship matriculation. Methods A GME training program was developed and implemented at an emergency medicine department in a US teaching hospital in collaboration with affiliated academic centers. Participants consisted of emergency physicians from the United States and abroad. Program duration and format were adjusted to meet individual career goals. Outcomes assessed include program completion, postgraduation professional roles, and academic outputs and public engagement before and after fellowship matriculation (2019-2023), compared via paired t tests. Results Five fellows have matriculated; 2 have graduated, while 3 remain in training. Costs and in-kind support include salaries, faculty time, research support, travel to conferences, and tuition for a public health degree. Fellows averaged 0.26 outputs per month before matriculation (95% CI 0.01-0.51) and 2.13 outputs per month following matriculation (95% CI 0.77-3.50); this difference was significant via 2-tailed t test (alpha=.05, P=.01). Subanalyses of academic output and public engagement reveal similar increases. Following matriculation, 186 of 191 (97.4%) of outputs were related to climate change. Conclusions For the 5 fellows that have enrolled in this GME climate change fellowship, academic and public engagement output rates increased following fellowship matriculation.},
}
@article {pmid39677889,
year = {2024},
author = {Moon, C and Braganza, S and Bathory, E},
title = {Incorporating Climate Change Education Into Residency: A Focus on Community Risks and Resources.},
journal = {Journal of graduate medical education},
volume = {16},
number = {6 Suppl},
pages = {86-91},
pmid = {39677889},
issn = {1949-8357},
mesh = {Humans ; *Internship and Residency ; *Climate Change ; *Education, Medical, Graduate ; *Curriculum ; Surveys and Questionnaires ; Family Practice/education ; Male ; Female ; Pediatrics/education ; Academic Medical Centers ; },
abstract = {BACKGROUND: Graduate medical education (GME) focused on climate change (CC) health effects is essential. However, few CC education evaluations exist to guide residency programs looking to implement CC content.<br><br>OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the effect of an education session on residents' self-reported knowledge of CC health effects and confidence utilizing local CC anticipatory guidance and community resources with patients.<br><br>METHODS: A CC session was integrated into the pediatric, family medicine, and social medicine curricula at an urban academic medical center in 2023. A convenience sample of residents participated in 1 of 4 nonrandomized case-based or lecture-based sessions. Pre- and post-session 5-question Likert-scale surveys were used for assessment and analyzed using paired t tests.<br><br>RESULTS: Sixty-eight of 108 eligible residents completed the surveys (28 case-based, 40 lecture-based, 63% response rate). Residents' understanding and confidence to engage with patients on CC health effects after the educational session improved (Q1 mean difference 1.3, t 67=9.85, 95% CI 1.04-1.57, P<.001; Q2 1.5, t 67=9.98, 95% CI 1.20-1.82, P<.001; Q3 1.8, t 67=12.84, 95% QI 1.54-2.11, P<.001; Q4 2.1, t 67=16.25, 95% CI 1.84-2.36, P<.001; Q5 2.1, t 67=16.28, 95% CI 1.86-2.38, P<.001).<br><br>CONCLUSIONS: Resident self-reported understanding of the health effects of CC and confidence utilizing local CC anticipatory guidance and resources with patients increased after a CC education session.},
}
@article {pmid39677455,
year = {2024},
author = {Zaninotto, P and Wu, YT and Prina, M},
title = {ClimateMind50+ a comprehensive short questionnaire to measures climate change knowledge, worries, preparedness, behaviours, and involvement of adults aged 50 and over.},
journal = {medRxiv : the preprint server for health sciences},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1101/2024.12.02.24318302},
pmid = {39677455},
abstract = {The ClimateMind50+ questionnaire is a tailored instrument to assess the knowledge, concerns, preparedness, behaviours, and involvement of individuals aged 50 and above. Older adults are particularly vulnerable to climate-related hazards such as extreme heat, flooding, and severe storms, yet their perspectives and contributions to climate resilience remain underrepresented in research. The systematic development of the ClimateMind50+ involved rigorous cognitive testing with diverse participants, ensuring clarity, accessibility, and relevance. The tool is designed for versatility in administration-face-to-face, via telephone, or self-completion-facilitating its integration across various research contexts. Cognitive testing highlighted the need for clear wording, simplified response scales, and age-appropriate framing of questions. For instance, questions on climate preparedness and sustainable practices were refined to capture lifetime actions ("ever") rather than limited timeframes, enhancing their relevance for older respondents. Additionally, the questionnaire effectively explores older adults' engagement in climate actions, from individual behavioural changes to advocacy and activism, challenging stereotypes of passivity in this demographic. By providing nuanced insights into the experiences of older adults and their potential contributions to climate mitigation and adaptation, the ClimateMind50+ offers a robust foundation for climate change research among older people. Its deployment can support policymaking and community initiatives aimed at reducing climate risks while promoting sustainable and healthy aging practices. This innovative tool underscores the importance of amplifying the voices of older adults in climate discourse and harnessing their capacities for fostering resilience.},
}
@article {pmid39676232,
year = {2024},
author = {Flickinger, HD and Dukes, JS},
title = {A Review of Theory: Comparing Invasion Ecology and Climate Change-Induced Range Shifting.},
journal = {Global change biology},
volume = {30},
number = {12},
pages = {e17612},
doi = {10.1111/gcb.17612},
pmid = {39676232},
issn = {1365-2486},
mesh = {*Climate Change ; *Introduced Species ; Ecosystem ; Animals ; Animal Distribution ; Ecology ; },
abstract = {Human actions have led to large-scale shifts in the distributions of species, which have accelerated over recent decades. Two contributing factors include the introduction of non-native species to new regions, and more recently, the shift of species into new ranges to track a human-altered climate. While the context of these species redistributions is different, we argue here that scientists studying the effects of either invasion or range shifting are interested in the same underlying mechanistic questions: (1) What traits make a species likely to survive in a new location? and (2) Which recipient ecosystems are likely to support a newly arrived species? A survey of the theoretical literature surrounding these topics demonstrates the usefulness of this comparison and highlights key differences between range shifting and invasion in factors including genetic diversity, climatic tolerance, local adaptation, and coevolutionary history. This review does not support the blanket application of an invasion framework to climate change-induced range shifts. However, we suggest the use of modified invasion theories, experimental designs, and risk assessments could aid in predicting outcomes and prioritizing management resources for climate-threatened species.},
}
@article {pmid39675732,
year = {2024},
author = {Lopes, MC},
title = {Climate change and its impact on children and adolescents sleep.},
journal = {Jornal de pediatria},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1016/j.jped.2024.10.009},
pmid = {39675732},
issn = {1678-4782},
abstract = {OBJECTIVE: This review discusses the impact of climate change on sleep, anxiety, and eating in the pediatric population.<br><br>DATA SOURCE: This is a nonsystematic literature review based on a search using PubMed and MeSH terms in titles and abstracts with these keywords: climate change, sleep, greenhouse effect, children, and adolescents.<br><br>DATA SYNTHESIS: Climate change events are associated with human intervention in the ecosystem, having a strong impact on cognitive functions, physical and mental health, as well as subjective well-being, particularly in youth. Climate change is caused by human activity with changes in the composition of the global atmosphere caused by emissions of gases, such as carbon dioxide, which increase the greenhouse effect. This review discusses the impact of climate change on sleep, anxiety, and feeding in the pediatric population.<br><br>CONCLUSIONS: Early detection of vulnerability conditions, along with adaptation strategies is necessary to address climate stressors with a focus on healthy sleep and eco-anxiety. Pediatrics has an important role to play in protecting healthy sleep in children.},
}
@article {pmid39675333,
year = {2024},
author = {Marshall, E and Keem, JL and Penman, TD and Di Stefano, J},
title = {Simulating fuel management for protecting regional biodiversity under climate change.},
journal = {Journal of environmental management},
volume = {373},
number = {},
pages = {123731},
doi = {10.1016/j.jenvman.2024.123731},
pmid = {39675333},
issn = {1095-8630},
abstract = {Climate change is resulting in larger, more frequent, and more severe wildfires which have increasingly negative impacts on people and the environment. Under these circumstances, it is critical to determine whether fire management actions can mitigate biodiversity impacts under future fire regimes. However, it is currently unclear how changing climate and management interact to influence the spatial distribution of risks to biodiversity. We used fire simulations to quantify the influence of 13 fuel management strategies on animal biodiversity in the Otways, southeastern Australia, under four alternative climate scenarios. Our management strategies include combinations of prescribed burning, mulching, and strategic fuel breaks modelled in various spatial configurations and frequencies. We assessed the capacity of treatments to reduce risk of fire to animal biodiversity by quantifying changes to extent burnt, wildfire frequency and wildfire severity. All management strategies reduced the average annual area burnt across the landscape, however, there was considerable variability over time and under different climate models. Similarly, spatial shifts in fire frequency and severity in some cases resulted in the shifting of fires away from some areas of high value to animals. There is no one size fits all management strategy for reducing impacts to biodiversity under variable future climates. However, all the strategies tested here reduced median impacts relative to a do-nothing approach for at least some aspects of the fire regime or for animal biodiversity. We highlight the importance of evaluating fire management effectiveness against a range of metrics to ensure multiple objectives are met under the increasingly unknown climate conditions we can expect going forward.},
}
@article {pmid39675324,
year = {2024},
author = {Zelli, E and Ellis, J and Pilditch, C and Rowden, AA and Anderson, OF and Geange, SW and Bowden, DA and Stephenson, F},
title = {Identifying climate refugia for vulnerable marine ecosystem indicator taxa under future climate change scenarios.},
journal = {Journal of environmental management},
volume = {373},
number = {},
pages = {122635},
doi = {10.1016/j.jenvman.2024.122635},
pmid = {39675324},
issn = {1095-8630},
abstract = {Vulnerable Marine Ecosystems (VMEs) are recognised as having high ecological significance and susceptibility to disturbances, including climate change. One approach to providing information on the location and biological composition of these ecosystems, especially in difficult-to-reach environments such as the deep sea, is to generate spatial predictions for VME indicator taxa. In this study, the Random Forest algorithm was used to model the spatial distribution of density for 14 deep-water VME indicator taxa under current environmental conditions and future climate change scenarios (SSP2-4.5 and SSP3-7.0) within the New Zealand Territorial Sea and Exclusive Economic Zone (100-1500 m water depth) to evaluate potential changes in the location and distribution of density of these taxa over time. Overall, our species distribution models performed well for all taxa (mean AUC = 0.82; TSS = 0.56; r = 0.40) and predicted a considerable average reduction in density (54%) and habitat extent (61%), by the end of the 21st century under both climate change scenarios. Nevertheless, models identified regions that might serve as internal refugia (approximately 158,000 km[2]), where some taxa are predicted to maintain the high densities predicted for current-day environmental conditions under future climatic conditions, and external refugia (approximately 121,000 km[2]) where taxa were predicted to expand into new locations by the end of the 21st century. Our results represent a significant step forward as they provide predictions of the distribution of taxa densities, rather than just occurrence, under both present and future climatic conditions. Furthermore, these findings carry implications for ecosystem management and spatial planning, suggesting current marine spatial protection measures may not offer adequate protection to VME indicator taxa in the face of climate change. Additionally, activities like bottom trawling, present or future, may jeopardize climate refugia viability. Thus, a comprehensive assessment of cumulative effects on VME indicator taxa is recommended to establish effective protection measures for potential climate refugia, ensuring the continuity of essential ecosystem services.},
}
@article {pmid39674917,
year = {2024},
author = {Behrens, G and Skellern, M and McGushin, A and Kelly, P and Kearney, THG},
title = {Making climate change a national health priority: Australia's first National Health and Climate Strategy.},
journal = {The Medical journal of Australia},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.5694/mja2.52552},
pmid = {39674917},
issn = {1326-5377},
}
@article {pmid39674206,
year = {2024},
author = {Zhu, Z and Zhang, T and Benmarhnia, T and Chen, X and Wang, H and Wulayin, M and Knibbs, LD and Yang, S and Xu, L and Huang, C and Wang, Q},
title = {Estimating the burden of temperature-related low birthweight attributable to anthropogenic climate change in low-income and middle-income countries: a retrospective, multicentre, epidemiological study.},
journal = {The Lancet. Planetary health},
volume = {8},
number = {12},
pages = {e997-e1009},
doi = {10.1016/S2542-5196(24)00242-0},
pmid = {39674206},
issn = {2542-5196},
mesh = {*Climate Change ; Humans ; *Infant, Low Birth Weight ; Female ; Pregnancy ; *Developing Countries/statistics &amp; numerical data ; Retrospective Studies ; Infant, Newborn ; Hot Temperature/adverse effects ; Cold Temperature/adverse effects ; Temperature ; },
abstract = {BACKGROUND: Pregnant individuals are particularly susceptible to non-optimal temperatures due to their physiological status. Moreover, pregnancy is a crucial period for programming fetal health. Quantifying the impact of non-optimal temperature exposure and the contribution of anthropogenic climate change is crucial for mitigating and adapting to climate-related health risks. However, this has not been thoroughly studied in pregnant individuals in low-income and middle-income countries (LMICs).<br><br>METHODS: Using data from 511&#x2008;449 births across 31 LMICs from 1990 to 2018, we linked climate simulations (with and without anthropogenic forcing) to spatiotemporally resolved temperature data and birthweight records. We assessed the association between heat and cold exposure (ie, >90th and <10th percentile of temperature by region) during pregnancy and birthweight across different regions. We then used temperature simulations from both historically forced and natural-only forced climate models to estimate changes in exposure due to anthropogenic climate change and to quantify the burden of temperature-related low birthweight (ie, a birthweight <2500 g) attributable to anthropogenic climate change.<br><br>FINDINGS: Heat exposure during pregnancy, compared with the optimal temperature range, was associated with an increased risk of low birthweight in several regions: southern Asia (odds ratio 1&#xb7;41, 95% CI 1&#xb7;34-1&#xb7;48), western Africa (1&#xb7;12, 1&#xb7;02-1&#xb7;24), and eastern Africa (1&#xb7;40, 1&#xb7;27-1&#xb7;55). Cold exposure increased the risk of low birthweight in central Africa (1&#xb7;31, 1&#xb7;10-1&#xb7;56), southern Africa (1&#xb7;18, 1&#xb7;02-1&#xb7;36), and eastern Africa (1&#xb7;14, 1&#xb7;02-1&#xb7;26). Anthropogenic climate change contributed to approximately 59&#xb7;2% (95% CI 16&#xb7;6-94&#xb7;3), 89&#xb7;0% (51&#xb7;0-100&#xb7;0), and 77&#xb7;3% (27&#xb7;0-100&#xb7;0) of heat-related low birthweight cases in southern Asia, western Africa, and eastern Africa, respectively. Conversely, in regions where cold exposure was predominant, anthropogenic climate change reduced the burden of low birthweight.<br><br>INTERPRETATION: Our study provides quantitative estimates of the contribution of anthropogenic climate change to the low birthweight burden in LMICs. These findings can inform strategies for climate mitigation and adaptation in LMICs and help reduce global health inequalities.<br><br>FUNDING: National Natural Science Foundation of China.},
}
@article {pmid39674199,
year = {2024},
author = {van Bavel, B and Berrang-Ford, L and Moon, K and Gudda, F and Thornton, AJ and Robinson, RFS and King, R},
title = {Intersections between climate change and antimicrobial resistance: a systematic scoping review.},
journal = {The Lancet. Planetary health},
volume = {8},
number = {12},
pages = {e1118-e1128},
doi = {10.1016/S2542-5196(24)00273-0},
pmid = {39674199},
issn = {2542-5196},
mesh = {*Climate Change ; Humans ; Drug Resistance, Microbial ; Anti-Bacterial Agents/pharmacology ; Animals ; Drug Resistance, Bacterial ; },
abstract = {Climate change and antimicrobial resistance (AMR) present crucial challenges for the health and wellbeing of people, animals, plants, and ecosystems worldwide, yet the two are largely treated as separate and unrelated challenges. The aim of this systematic scoping Review is to understand the nature of the growing evidence base linking AMR and climate change and to identify knowledge gaps and areas for further research. We conducted a systematic search of the peer-reviewed literature in Scopus, Web of Science, and PubMed on 27 June, 2022. Our search strategy identified and screened 1687 unique results. Data were extracted and analysed from 574 records meeting our inclusion criteria. 222 (39%) of these reviewed articles discussed harmful synergies in which both climate change and AMR exist independently and can interact synergistically, resulting in negative outcomes. Just over a quarter (n=163; 28%) of the literature contained general or broad references to AMR and climate change, whereas a fifth (n=111; 19%) of articles referred to climate change influencing the emergence and evolution of AMR. 12% of articles (n=70) presented positive synergies between approaches aimed at addressing climate change and interventions targeting the management and control of AMR. The remaining literature focused on the shared drivers of AMR and climate change, the trade-offs between climate actions that have unanticipated negative outcomes for AMR (or vice versa), and, finally, the pathways through which AMR can negatively influence climate change. Our findings indicate multiple intersections through which climate change and AMR can and do connect. Research in this area is still nascent, disciplinarily isolated, and only beginning to converge, with few documents primarily focused on the equal intersection of both topics. Greater empirical and evidence-based attention is needed to investigate knowledge gaps related to specific climate change hazards and antimicrobial resistant fungi, helminths, protists, and viruses.},
}
@article {pmid39674157,
year = {2024},
author = {Boudreault, J and Campagna, C and Lavigne, &#xc9; and Chebana, F},
title = {Projecting the overall heat-related health burden and associated economic costs in a climate change context in Quebec, Canada.},
journal = {The Science of the total environment},
volume = {958},
number = {},
pages = {178022},
doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.178022},
pmid = {39674157},
issn = {1879-1026},
abstract = {Extreme heat represents a major health risk for the world's population, that is amplified by climate change. However, the health costs associated with these heat events have only been little studied. To stimulate the implementation of effective interventions against extreme heat, a more comprehensive economic valuation of these health impacts is crucial. In this study, a general framework for assessing historical and projected heat-related health costs is presented and then applied to the province of Quebec (Canada). First, heat-related mortality and morbidity, as well as the number of extreme heatwaves, were computed for a historical (∼2000) and projected (∼2050) period under two shared socioeconomic pathways (SSP). Then, these heat-related numbers were converted into 1) direct healthcare costs, 2) indirect productivity costs and 3) intangible societal costs, using the best available cost information. Results showed that historical heat-related health costs were respectively 15M$, 5M$ and 3.6G$ (in 2019 Canadian dollars) annually for the direct, indirect and intangible components in Quebec, Canada. Under a middle-of-the-road scenario (SSP2-4.5), there was a 3-fold increase in total costs due to climate and population change (10.9G$ annually), while under a pessimistic scenario (SSP5-8.5), the increase was 5-fold (17.4G$). Total costs were mostly driven by intangible impacts, such as loss of life (∼90-95%) and of well-being during heatwaves (∼5-10%). Given that heat-related health costs are already significant, and likely to increase substantially in the future, this study has demonstrated the vital need to reduce its burden now and in the future by adopting more measures to mitigate climate change and adapt to heat.},
}
@article {pmid39673116,
year = {2024},
author = {Hosseini, Z and Gholami, M and Bonyadi, Z},
title = {Impact of Climate Change on Human Health.},
journal = {Iranian biomedical journal},
volume = {28},
number = {7},
pages = {78},
pmid = {39673116},
issn = {2008-823X},
mesh = {Humans ; *Climate Change ; },
abstract = {INTRODUCTION: One of the challenges of the 21st century is climate change, a detrimental consequence of industrial growth and urbanization and one of the major environmental concerns of this century. Climate change has influenced various aspects of human life. Therefore, this study aimed to examine the effects of climate change on human health.<br><br>SEARCH STRATEGY: The study reviewed 32 articles between 2011 and 2023. Research was conducted using databases such as Google Scholar and ScienceDirect, employing keywords such as "climate change," "weather changes," "human health," and "disease."<br><br>RESULTS: Studies indicated that climate change and global warming could directly or indirectly cause many health problems. It was estimated that between 2030 and 2050, climate change will result in about 25,000 additional deaths per year due to malnutrition, malaria, diarrhea, and heat stress. Research conducted from 2011 to 2023 showed that climate change can contribute to the emergence or exacerbation of certain diseases and health issues. Among these health problems were changes in certain seasonal diseases, the spread of infectious diseases such as malaria and waterborne illnesses, and issues related to insects. Additionally, cardiovascular diseases, strokes, cholera, asthma, allergies, respiratory diseases, skin cancer, and bladder cancer were of concern. Other health issues included those caused by food and nutrition, heat-related illnesses, emerging fungal infections, heat stress, associated disorders, and complications arising from occupational exposures in hot outdoor environments. Mental health and stress-related disorders were also significant. Recent studies indicated that 37% of deaths associated with heat waves during the warmer months were linked to climate change. Furthermore, there was a notable correlation between climatic parameters and mortality rates from cardiovascular and respiratory diseases, with statistical significance at the 95% and 99% levels.<br><br>CONCLUSION AND DISCUSSION: Our findings revealed that global warming is causing significant climate changes, which can change the pattern of weather-related diseases. Although many factors contribute to the occurrence of diseases, extreme heat, increased sun exposure, and cold nights in regions with adverse weather conditions can lead to a rise in the prevalence and progress of human diseases.},
}
@article {pmid39671486,
year = {2024},
author = {Li, J and Dong, S and Zhao, G and Cawood, PA and Johnston, ST and Zhang, J and Xin, Y and Wang, J},
title = {Cretaceous coastal mountain building and potential impacts on climate change in East Asia.},
journal = {Science advances},
volume = {10},
number = {50},
pages = {eads0587},
pmid = {39671486},
issn = {2375-2548},
abstract = {Crustal thickness and elevation variations control mountain building and climate change at convergent margins. As an archetypal Andean-type convergent margin, eastern Asia preserves voluminous magmas ideal for quantifying these processes and their impacts on climate. Here, we use Sr/Y and Ce/Y proxies to show that the crust experienced alternating thickening and thinning during the Late Mesozoic. We identify a noticeably thickened (50 to 55 kilometers) crust associated with tectonic shortening at 120 to 105 million years, corresponding to a >2500-meter-high coastal mountain range. Using climate simulation with the Community Earth System Model, we demonstrate that the mountain uplift changed Asian atmospheric circulation and precipitation patterns, increased inland aridity (~15%), and prompted the eastward desert expansion, contributing substantially to the arid zonal belt across mid- to low-latitude Asia. These findings-compatible with independent geological, geophysical, and climatic observations-have global implications for broadening our understanding of Earth-system interactions in the Cretaceous greenhouse world.},
}
@article {pmid39670664,
year = {2024},
author = {Naylor, R and Shaw, E},
title = {Atmospheres of influence: the role of journal editors in shaping early climate change narratives.},
journal = {British journal for the history of science},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {1-20},
doi = {10.1017/S0007087424001304},
pmid = {39670664},
issn = {1474-001X},
support = {Rockefeller Archive Center Research Stipend//Rockefeller Archive Center/ ; Legacies Grant//Royal Meteorological Society/ ; },
abstract = {The role of editorial staff in shaping early climate change narratives has been underexplored and deserves more attention. During the 1970s, the epistemological underpinnings of the production of knowledge on climate change were contested between scientists who favoured computer-based atmospheric simulations and those who were more interested in investigating the long-term history of climatic changes. Although the former group later became predominant in the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change during the 1980s, the latter had a sizable influence over climate discourse during the 1970s. Of these, one of the key popularizers of climate discourse during the 1970s was the British climatologist Hubert Lamb (1913-97). The correspondence between Lamb and journal editors who gatekept and curated different audiences helped craft resonant messages about climate change and its potential effects, and we explore Lamb's interactions with editors of Nature, the UNESCO Courier, The Ecologist and Development Forum in the 1973-4 period. Through understanding how climate change discussion was influenced by editors, we gain an insight into how such narratives had to be adjusted to fit into pre-existing discourses before their importance was more widely established, and how these adjustments helped shape conceptualizations of climate change as a global, human-caused phenomenon and a source of universal threat.},
}
@article {pmid39670274,
year = {2024},
author = {Li, X and Wang, Z and Wang, S and Qian, Z},
title = {MaxEnt and Marxan modeling to predict the potential habitat and priority planting areas of Coffea arabica in Yunnan, China under climate change scenario.},
journal = {Frontiers in plant science},
volume = {15},
number = {},
pages = {1471653},
pmid = {39670274},
issn = {1664-462X},
abstract = {INTRODUCTION: Coffea arabica (Arabica coffee) is an important cash crop in Yunnan, China. Ongoing climate change has made coffee production more difficult to sustain, posing challenges for the region's coffee industry. Predictions of the distribution of potentially suitable habitats for Arabica coffee in Yunnan could provide a theoretical basis for the cultivation and rational management of this species.<br><br>METHODS: In this study, the MaxEnt model was used to predict the potential distribution of suitable habitat for Arabica coffee in Yunnan under current and future (2021-2100) climate scenarios (SSP2-4.5, SSP3-7.0, and SSP5-8.5) using 56 distributional records and 17 environmental variables and to analyze the important environmental factors. Marxan model was used to plan the priority planting areas for this species at last.<br><br>RESULTS: The predicted suitable and sub-suitable areas were about 4.21&#xd7;10[4] km[2] and 13.87&#xd7;10[4] km[2], respectively, accounting for 47.15% of the total area of the province. The suitable areas were mainly concentrated in western and southern Yunnan. The minimum temperature of the coldest month, altitude, mean temperature of the wettest quarter, slope, and aluminum saturation were the main environmental variables affecting the distribution of Arabica coffee in Yunnan Province. Changes in habitat suitability for Arabica coffee were most significant and contracted under the SSP3-7.0 climate scenario, while expansion was highest under the SSP5-8.5 climate scenario. Priority areas for Arabica coffee cultivation in Yunnan Province under the 30% and 50% targets were Pu'er, Xishuangbanna, Honghe, Dehong, and Kunming.<br><br>DISCUSSION: Climate, soil, and topography combine to influence the potential geographic distribution of Arabica coffee. Future changes in suitable habitat areas under different climate scenarios should lead to the delineation of coffee-growing areas based on appropriate environmental conditions and active policy measures to address climate change.},
}
@article {pmid39670262,
year = {2024},
author = {Liu, M and Liu, X and Song, Y and Hu, Y and Yang, C and Li, J and Jin, S and Gu, K and Yang, Z and Huang, W and Su, J and Wang, L},
title = {Tobacco production under global climate change: combined effects of heat and drought stress and coping strategies.},
journal = {Frontiers in plant science},
volume = {15},
number = {},
pages = {1489993},
pmid = {39670262},
issn = {1664-462X},
abstract = {With the intensification of global climate change, high-temperature and drought stress have emerged as critical environmental stressors affecting tobacco plants' growth, development, and yield. This study provides a comprehensive review of tobacco's physiological and biochemical responses to optimal temperature conditions and limited irrigation across various growth stages. It assesses the effects of these conditions on yield and quality, along with the synergistic interactions and molecular mechanisms associated with these stressors. High-temperature and drought stress induces alterations in both enzymatic and non-enzymatic antioxidant activities, lead to the accumulation of reactive oxygen species (ROS), and promote lipid peroxidation, all of which adversely impact physiological processes such as photosynthetic gas exchange, respiration, and nitrogen metabolism, ultimately resulting in reduced biomass, productivity, and quality. The interaction of these stressors activates novel plant defense mechanisms, contributing to exacerbated synergistic damage. Optimal temperature conditions enhance the activation of heat shock proteins (HSPs) and antioxidant-related genes at the molecular level. At the same time, water stress triggers the expression of genes regulated by both abscisic acid-dependent and independent signaling pathways. This review also discusses contemporary agricultural management strategies, applications of genetic engineering, and biotechnological and molecular breeding methods designed to mitigate adverse agroclimatic responses, focusing on enhancing tobacco production under heat and drought stress conditions.},
}
@article {pmid39669705,
year = {2024},
author = {Ross, AG and Connolly, K and Vögele, S and Kuckshinrichs, W},
title = {A macro-level analysis of the socio-economic impacts of climate change driven water scarcity: Incorporating behavioural and resilience aspects.},
journal = {Water research X},
volume = {23},
number = {},
pages = {100223},
pmid = {39669705},
issn = {2589-9147},
abstract = {Recognising the urgent need to address water scarcity resulting from climate change, there is a growing push to enhance the resilience of water (and related) systems. For instance, policymakers are now urging companies to shift from short-term focused strategies towards long-term approaches to effectively manage water scarcity. This paper utilises a custom-built dynamic multisectoral model to assess the socio-economic impacts at a macro-level of temporary water scarcity. The focus of the analysis is to identify the effects that varying levels of investment foresight may have on economic resilience. Specifically, the model incorporates often overlooked factors such as behavioural and resilience aspects. By considering these key elements, a more comprehensive understanding of the system-wide implications of water scarcity on the broader economy is provided. The analysis shows how firms' foresight, or lack thereof, impacts their response to water scarcity and the subsequent impact on the economy. Sector-specific analyses shed light on the potential negative impacts of water scarcity on sectors like agriculture, food, and electricity production and distribution. Yet, the analysis also reveals that certain sectors can benefit from competitiveness effects, which can mitigate the adverse economic implications of water scarcity. However, it should be noted that these sectors may contribute to a catch-up effect on water use. The policy recommendations arising from this research emphasise the promotion of anticipation and preparedness among firms. It is crucial to prioritise resilience-building measures in all sectors, whether they directly rely on water or not.},
}
@article {pmid39667695,
year = {2024},
author = {Moreira, FDS and Rodrigues, GD and Morales, DF and Donalisio, MR and Kremer, FS and Krüger, RF},
title = {Effects of climate change on the distribution of Molossus molossus and the potential risk of Orthohantavirus transmission in the Neotropical region.},
journal = {Acta tropica},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {107497},
doi = {10.1016/j.actatropica.2024.107497},
pmid = {39667695},
issn = {1873-6254},
abstract = {Molossus molossus is a widely distributed neotropical bat species in the Americas, often found in urban areas. This study evaluated climate change effects on the potential geographic distribution of M. molossus, a natural host of zoonotic pathogens such as Orthohantavirus, in the Neotropical region. Using ecological niche modeling (ENM), models were generated for current (1970-2000) and future (2070) climate scenarios based on two Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSP2-4.5 and SSP5-8.5) and two Global Circulation Models (MPI-ESM1-2-LR and IPSL-CM6A-LR). Results indicated that in the current scenario, warm and coastal areas of the Neotropics are suitable for M. molossus occurrence. Risk areas for Orthohantavirus transmission were mapped by overlapping the probability of urban expansion with projections of climatic suitability for the bat. For both future scenarios (2070), projections indicate an expansion of suitable climatic areas for M. molossus over urban expansion zones, specifically in Brazil, Paraguay, Peru, Ecuador, Costa Rica, Honduras, El Salvador, Guatemala, Belize, Mexico, the United States, Cuba, Haiti, the Dominican Republic, and Puerto Rico. However, projections also indicate the Lesser Antilles under climate threat, considering that no climatic suitability areas will remain. These findings provide important information for planning surveillance and mitigation actions for zoonotic risks associated with M. molossus, considering climate change impacts on its geographic distribution in the Neotropical region.},
}
@article {pmid39667387,
year = {2024},
author = {Gordon-Strachan, GM and Parker, SY and Harewood, HC and Méndez-Lázaro, PA and Saketa, ST and Parchment, KF and Walawender, M and Abdulkadri, AO and Beggs, PJ and Buss, DF and Chodak, RJ and Dasgupta, S and De Santis, O and Guthrie-Dixon, NG and Hassan, S and Kennard, H and Maharaj, SB and Marshall, KG and McFarlane, SR and McKenzie, KS and Moradi-Lakeh, M and Murphy, M and Mycoo, MA and Ng Shiu, R and O'Hare, MB and Oura, CAL and Owfi, F and Owfi, A and Polson, KA and Rabbaniha, M and Robinson, EJZ and Smith, DC and Tabatabaei, M and Tuiasosopo, LL and Romanello, M},
title = {The 2024 small island developing states report of the Lancet Countdown on health and climate change.},
journal = {The Lancet. Global health},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1016/S2214-109X(24)00421-2},
pmid = {39667387},
issn = {2214-109X},
}
@article {pmid39667158,
year = {2024},
author = {Boschetti, T and Segadelli, S and Gori, F and Antolini, G and Bellini, L and Raso, A and Selmo, E and Barbieri, M and Iacumin, P and Guidetti, E and Gargini, A},
title = {A preliminary study on the effects of rainfall-related conditions on chromium increase in ultramafic-hosted springs: A possible climate change concern?.},
journal = {The Science of the total environment},
volume = {958},
number = {},
pages = {177826},
doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.177826},
pmid = {39667158},
issn = {1879-1026},
abstract = {This study investigates the impact of intense rainfall on chromium concentrations in five springs discharging from ultramafic rocks in the Northern Apennines (Italy), which are used for drinking water supply through integration into the local water network. Total chromium concentration increased significantly in response to heavy rain, exceeding the WHO drinking water guideline value (up to 80 μg/L) in one spring and the forthcoming 2036 EU target of 25 μg/L in all the springs. This increase could be attributed to a synergistic combination of factors: i) the reduction of Cr(VI) to Cr(III) by natural organic matter (NOM) in soil and transport as NOM-Cr(III) colloids and/or during the oxidation of magnetite to ferrihydrite in the aquifer; ii) the abundance of detrital ultramafic material in the study area, which may store Cr(III)-bearing colloids too; iii) a triggering effect of first intense rainfall after a 20 dry consecutive days period (wet-dry cycle). Moreover, the persistence of a high Cr(III) concentration in the aquifer even a month after the intense rainfall event aligns with previous laboratory studies on NOM-Cr(III) colloidal stability, which showed that such colloids are highly stable and can persist in solution for at least 20 days.},
}
@article {pmid39663613,
year = {2024},
author = {Jung, Y},
title = {Climate Change and Nursing.},
journal = {Journal of Korean Academy of Nursing},
volume = {54},
number = {4},
pages = {475-477},
pmid = {39663613},
issn = {2093-758X},
}
@article {pmid39663537,
year = {2024},
author = {Pavia, G and Branda, F and Ciccozzi, A and Romano, C and Locci, C and Azzena, I and Pascale, N and Marascio, N and Quirino, A and Gigliotti, S and Divenuto, F and Matera, G and Giovanetti, M and Casu, M and Sanna, D and Ceccarelli, G and Ciccozzi, M and Scarpa, F},
title = {The issue of climate change and the spread of tropical diseases in Europe and Italy: vector biology, disease transmission, genome-based monitoring and public health implications.},
journal = {Infectious diseases (London, England)},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {1-16},
doi = {10.1080/23744235.2024.2437027},
pmid = {39663537},
issn = {2374-4243},
abstract = {BACKGROUND: Climate change significantly influences the distribution and severity of tropical diseases. Rising temperatures, changing precipitation patterns, and extreme weather events are transforming the habitats of vectors like mosquitoes and ticks, promoting their proliferation and geographic spread. These changes have facilitated the resurgence of diseases such as malaria, dengue, and chikungunya fever in previously unaffected areas, including parts of Europe and Italy.<br><br>OBJECTIVE AND METHODS: This review aims to explore the relationship between climate change and the spread of vector-borne and tropical parasitic diseases across Europe, with a particular focus on Italy. Recent studies are analyzed to identify emerging trends in disease transmission influenced by shifting climates. Genome-based monitoring and predictive models incorporating climatic and ecological data are highlighted as methods to enhance disease surveillance and preparedness.<br><br>RESULTS: The analysis reveals a clear link between climate change and altered disease patterns. The proliferation of vectors into new territories is associated with increased incidence of diseases. Genome-based tools demonstrate their utility in tracking the evolution of pathogens, particularly regarding changes in virulence, drug resistance, and adaptability to new climates. Predictive models have proven effective in anticipating outbreaks and supporting timely public health interventions.<br><br>CONCLUSIONS: To mitigate the risks posed by climate-induced changes in disease dynamics, continuous monitoring and international collaboration are essential. Strengthening health systems' resilience through mitigation and adaptation strategies is crucial for preventing future epidemics. These insights contribute to the development of sustainable long-term policies for managing tropical diseases in the context of climate change, ensuring timely responses to public health emergencies.},
}
@article {pmid39662415,
year = {2024},
author = {Carli, A and Centritto, M and Materassi, A and Killi, D and Marino, G and Raschi, A and Haworth, M},
title = {Heat stress reduces stomatal numbers in Ginkgo biloba: Implications for the stomatal method of palaeo-atmospheric [CO2] reconstruction during episodes of global warming.},
journal = {The Science of the total environment},
volume = {958},
number = {},
pages = {177962},
doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.177962},
pmid = {39662415},
issn = {1879-1026},
abstract = {The stomata of fossil plants are commonly used as proxies to reconstruct palaeo-atmospheric carbon dioxide concentrations (palaeo-[CO2]). Stomatal reconstruction of palaeo-[CO2] during global greenhouse periods or episodes of global warming, are particularly important to our understanding of the role of CO2 as a climate system driver. However, the efficacy of the 'stomatal method' for palaeo-[CO2] reconstruction depends upon the strength of the inverse relationship between stomatal number and the [CO2] in which the leaf developed. However, the impact of heat stress on stomatal initiation and development are largely unknown. Ginkgo biloba, a living fossil species, seedlings were grown in controlled environment chambers under 20/25 °C and 30/35 °C night/day temperature regimes. Heat stress in the 30/35 °C treatment impaired photosynthetic function, decreased stomatal conductance (Gs), and reduced stomatal index (SI), indicative of lower stomatal initiation. Modelled theoretical Gs did not correlate with observed measured Gs, undermining the utility of palaeo-[CO2] reconstructions based on stomatal diffusion modelling. The lower stomatal initiation of G. biloba leaves from the higher temperature resulted in greater estimates of [CO2] based on SI values using the nearest living equivalent and SI-[CO2] transfer function approaches. Heat stress may diminish the effectiveness of the stomatal method in reconstructing palaeo-[CO2] during intervals of global warming marked by floral turnover in Earth history.},
}
@article {pmid39662414,
year = {2024},
author = {Fu, Z and Zhang, Y and Liu, Y and Jiang, X and Guo, H and Wang, S and Li, Z},
title = {Climate change driven land use evolution and soil heavy metal release effects in lakes on the Qinghai Tibet Plateau.},
journal = {The Science of the total environment},
volume = {958},
number = {},
pages = {177898},
doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.177898},
pmid = {39662414},
issn = {1879-1026},
abstract = {In recent decades, global warming has intensified hydrological cycles, raising concerns about the impacts of climate change on hydrological processes, water quality, and water resources across various temporal and spatial scales. These changes significantly affect water resource management and environmental protection policies and may also influence the ecological health and socio-economic well-being of lake regions. Qinghai Lake, the largest inland lake and a major water source reservoir in China, plays a crucial role in the ecological security of the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau. However, in recent years, with the ongoing development of the economy and society throughout the province, there has been an increase in algal blooms in the nearshore area of Qinghai Lake, with the affected area expanding annually. There is currently no clear consensus on the causes of eutrophication in lakes, and comprehensive, in-depth research on how different land use types-critical to the material migration and transformation processes of natural water bodies-affects water quality and ecological security, as well as the interactions between nutrients and heavy metals, is lacking. Therefore, it is essential to monitor and understand the effects of climate change on lakes and to develop adaptive strategies to mitigate and respond to these impacts amidst rapid economic and social development. The lake environmental pollution early warning system developed in this study provides a scientific research paradigm for lake water pollution control and offers valuable data support for policymakers in formulating ecological protection and development strategies.},
}
@article {pmid39661910,
year = {2024},
author = {Taboun, O and DesRoche, C and Hanneman, K},
title = {Imperative for a health-centred focus on climate change in radiology.},
journal = {Journal of medical imaging and radiation oncology},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1111/1754-9485.13813},
pmid = {39661910},
issn = {1754-9485},
abstract = {Climate change negatively impacts individual and population-level health through multiple pathways, including poor air quality, extreme heat and changes in infectious disease. These health effects will lead to higher health system and medical imaging utilisation. At the same time, the delivery of radiology services generates substantial greenhouse gas emissions. Mitigation strategies to reduce the environmental impact of medical imaging and adaptation strategies to build resiliency to current and future impacts of climate change in radiology should be centred on human health. A health-centred response in radiology reinforces the role of radiologists as physicians and emphasises the opportunity for medical imaging to promote health and advance our understanding of climate-related health effects. This review discusses the need for a health-centred focus on climate change in radiology, including the effects of climate change on human health and health systems, intersection of climate change with health equity, health benefits of climate action and opportunities to leverage medical imaging to improve human health.},
}
@article {pmid39661524,
year = {2024},
author = {Clayton, S and Crandon, T},
title = {Climate Change and Mental Health.},
journal = {Annual review of clinical psychology},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1146/annurev-clinpsy-081423-025932},
pmid = {39661524},
issn = {1548-5951},
abstract = {Climate change negatively threatens mental health through acute, chronic, indirect, and vicarious pathways. Though these psychological consequences will be felt globally, specific populations are at increased risk. This article describes the complex and diverse ways in which climate change can affect mental health and the resulting challenges that health care services will inevitably face. In responding to these threats, both prevention and intervention are urgently needed. Although mitigating the extent of climate change is crucial, we can also foster resilience to climate change-the ability to manage, respond to, and prepare for climate-related adversity-at the systemic, community, and individual levels. The mental health field must prepare for the significant burden that climate change will place on population health and well-being in the long term. In this review, we aim to inform and provide examples of how decision makers, the mental health discipline, and mental health professionals can respond.},
}
@article {pmid39661413,
year = {2024},
author = {Vineis, P and Mangone, L and Belesova, K and Tonne, C and Alfano, R and Strapasson, A and Millett, C and Jennings, N and Woods, J and Mwabonje, O},
title = {Integration of Multiple Climate Change Mitigation Actions and Health Co-Benefits: A Framework Using the Global Calculator.},
journal = {Environmental health perspectives},
volume = {132},
number = {12},
pages = {125001},
pmid = {39661413},
issn = {1552-9924},
mesh = {*Climate Change ; Humans ; Greenhouse Gases/analysis ; Models, Theoretical ; },
abstract = {BACKGROUND: The Global Calculator is an open-source model of the world's energy, land, and food systems. It is a pioneering online calculator to project the impact of interventions to mitigate climate change on global temperature. A few studies have been conducted to evaluate the health co-benefits of climate change mitigation, though they are still fragmentary.<br><br>OBJECTIVES: Our objectives are to identify which sectors could yield the greatest results in terms of climate change mitigation and suggest whether existing evidence could be used to weight mitigation actions based on their ancillary impacts on human health or health co-benefits.<br><br>METHODS: Using the International Energy Agency (IEA) 4DS scenario as a referent (i.e., the "4-degree Celsius increase scenario"), we simulated changes in different policy "levers" (encompassing 43 potential technological and behavioral interventions, grouped by 14 sectors) and assessed the relative importance of each lever in terms of changes in annual greenhouse gas emissions in 2050 and cumulative emissions by 2100. In addition, we examined existing estimates for the health co-benefits associated with different interventions, using evidence from the Lancet Pathfinder and four other tools.<br><br>DISCUSSION: Our simulations suggest that-after accounting for demographic change-transition from fossil fuels to renewables and changes in agriculture, forestry, land use, and food production are key sectors for climate change mitigation. The role of interventions in other sectors, like carbon capture and storage (CCS) or nuclear power, is more modest. Our work also identifies mitigation actions that are likely to have large health co-benefits, including shifts to renewable energy and changes in land use as well as dietary and travel behaviors. In conclusion, some of the sectors/interventions which have been at the center of policy debate (e.g., CCS or nuclear power) are likely to be far less important than changes in areas such as dietary habits or forestry practices by 2050. https://doi.org/10.1289/EHP14906.},
}
@article {pmid39660613,
year = {2025},
author = {Özkan, A and Kolcu, M and Yilmaz, A and Akbaş, G},
title = {Is Ecological Anxiety Due to Climate Change Associated With the Fertility Preferences of Women?.},
journal = {Journal of evaluation in clinical practice},
volume = {31},
number = {1},
pages = {e14265},
doi = {10.1111/jep.14265},
pmid = {39660613},
issn = {1365-2753},
support = {//The authors received no specific funding for this work./ ; },
mesh = {Humans ; Female ; *Climate Change ; Adult ; *Anxiety/psychology ; Middle Aged ; Adolescent ; Young Adult ; *Fertility ; Surveys and Questionnaires ; },
abstract = {BACKGROUND: Eco-anxiety caused by climate change, which is a significant public health problem, has negative effects on sexual and reproductive health, and these effects are expected to increase continuously. This study was conducted to determine the relationship between eco-anxiety caused by climate change and the fertility preferences of women.<br><br>METHODS: This descriptive study was conducted between June and August 2024 with 491 women at the ages of 18 to 49 who were registered at a family health center. A personal information form, the Attitudes toward Fertility and Childbearing Scale, and the Hogg Eco-Anxiety Scale were used to collect data.<br><br>RESULTS: The mean total AFCS score of the participants was 66.1&#x2009;&#xb1;&#x2009;14.2, while their mean total HEAS score was 27.1&#x2009;&#xb1;&#x2009;7.0. There was a weak negative correlation between the AFCS scores and HEAS scores of the participants (r&#x2009;=&#x2009;-0.124, p&#x2009;=&#x2009;0.006).<br><br>CONCLUSION: As the ecological anxiety levels of women increased, their attitudes toward childbearing became more negative.},
}
@article {pmid39660563,
year = {2024},
author = {Niebel, D and Tso, S and Parker, ER and Rosenbach, M and Tan, E and Thio, HB and Coates, S and Andersen, LK and Wolstencroft, PW and Hecker, C and Saha, S and de Berker, D},
title = {Dermatological societies and their climate change and sustainability commitment through 2024.},
journal = {Journal of the European Academy of Dermatology and Venereology : JEADV},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1111/jdv.20488},
pmid = {39660563},
issn = {1468-3083},
}
@article {pmid39660373,
year = {2024},
author = {Byrne, M and Lamare, MD},
title = {Climate change and polar marine invertebrates: life-history responses in a warmer, high CO2 world.},
journal = {The Journal of experimental biology},
volume = {227},
number = {23},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1242/jeb.245765},
pmid = {39660373},
issn = {1477-9145},
support = {AAD#3134//Australian Antarctic Division/ ; MBIE ANTA1801//Antarctic Science Platform/ ; NZARI RFP 2016-1//New Zealand Antarctic Research Institute/ ; },
mesh = {Animals ; *Climate Change ; *Invertebrates/physiology ; *Carbon Dioxide/metabolism ; *Aquatic Organisms/physiology ; Life History Traits ; Arctic Regions ; Seawater/chemistry ; Oceans and Seas ; Antarctic Regions ; },
abstract = {Polar marine invertebrates serve as bellwethers for species vulnerabilities in the face of changing climate at high latitudes of the Earth. Ocean acidification, warming/heatwaves, freshening, sea ice retreat and productivity change are challenges for polar species. Adaptations to life in cold water with intensely seasonal productivity has shaped species traits at both poles. Polar species have life histories often characterised as K-strategist or K-selected (e.g. slow growth and development, larval hypometabolism) that make them sensitive to climate stress and altered seasonal productivity. Moderate warming results in faster development and can have positive effects on development, up to a limit. However, ocean acidification can retard development, impair skeletogenesis and result in smaller larvae. Given the fast pace of warming, data on the thermal tolerance of larvae from diverse species is urgently needed, as well as knowledge of adaptive responses to ocean acidification and changes to sea ice and productivity. Predicted productivity increase would benefit energy-limited reproduction and development, while sea ice loss negatively impacts species with reproduction that directly or indirectly depend on this habitat. It is critical to understand the interactive effects between warming, acidification and other stressors. Polar specialists cannot migrate, making them susceptible to competition and extinction from range-extending subpolar species. The borealisation and australisation of Arctic and Antarctic ecosystems, respectively, is underway as these regions become more hospitable for the larval and adult life-history stages of lower-latitude species. Differences in biogeography and pace of change point to different prospects for Arctic and Antarctic communities. In this Commentary, we hypothesise outcomes for polar species based on life history traits and sensitivity to climate change and suggest research avenues to test our predictions.},
}
@article {pmid39659729,
year = {2024},
author = {Kolanowska, M and Scaccabarozzi, D},
title = {Does Climate Change Pose a Threat to the Guild Mimicry System of Australian Orchids?.},
journal = {Ecology and evolution},
volume = {14},
number = {12},
pages = {e70633},
pmid = {39659729},
issn = {2045-7758},
abstract = {Global warming is one of the biggest threats to global biodiversity causing not only changes in the patterns of precipitation and temperature but also disturbing ecological interactions. The aim of our study was to forecast the effect of climate change on the distribution of food-deceptive orchid species whose pollination strategy relies on a strict association with pollinators and co-occurring rewarding Faboideae plants. We used the ecological niche modeling approach to evaluate future overlap of the suitable niches of studied orchid species with the predicted distribution of their ecological partners. Models were made based on two different global circulation models (FIO, CNRM). CNRM projections predict expansion of orchids' geographical range. In contrast, FIO prediction is less optimistic, forecasting species range contraction. The studied Faboideae species showed different responses to predicted global warming with no consistent patterns in how their suitable niches might change. Most climate change projections and scenarios of the future modifications of temperature and precipitation patterns do not predict significant loss of suitable niches of Trichocolletes bees (Colletidae) pollinating Diuris species. However, global warming has the potential to disrupt interactions between the studied orchids and their co-occurring pea plants by altering the overlap of their geographical ranges which can further disturb pollination success. CNRM projections predict an overall loss of Faboideae within the potential geographical range of Diuris brumalis. Conversely, FIO projections suggest a less extensive predicted divergence. Our simulations offer suggestions for conservation strategies of orchids and potentially for other species that have a similar pollination strategy. The areas indicated here as suitable in the future for the occurrence of all ecological partners can be important climate refugia to consider in local conservation plans. The approach used in our study can serve as a model for understanding the potential effects of climate change on the strength of the pollination system via food deception.},
}
@article {pmid39659442,
year = {2024},
author = {Olazabal, M and Amorim-Maia, AT and Alda-Vidal, C and Goodwin, S},
title = {What is limiting how we imagine climate change adaptation?.},
journal = {Current opinion in environmental sustainability},
volume = {71},
number = {},
pages = {101476},
pmid = {39659442},
issn = {1877-3435},
abstract = {Imaginaries of adaptation are currently dominated by technocratic, homogenous, top-down approaches that hinder sustainable, just, and effective adaptation worldwide. We have identified three practices that contribute to this problem: (1) an assumption of universality in adaptation; (2) a neglect of pluralistic knowledge systems and values; and (3) an oversimplification of adaptation processes. These three practices have been found to lead to reproductions of vulnerabilities, unsustainable outcomes, or ephemeral changes. New ways of conceptualising and doing adaptation are necessary to expand imaginaries and visions around what adaptation can and cannot be. Through two examples (everyday adaptations and nature-based solutions), our review indicates that expanding or adopting alternative imaginaries of adaptation can help localise adaptation practice, particularly by acknowledging the need for multiple forms of knowledge and the iterative nature of adaptation governance processes.},
}
@article {pmid39658970,
year = {2024},
author = {Hossain, N},
title = {Climate change and reproductive health.},
journal = {JPMA. The Journal of the Pakistan Medical Association},
volume = {74},
number = {12},
pages = {2053-2054},
doi = {10.47391/JPMA.24-96},
pmid = {39658970},
issn = {0030-9982},
}
@article {pmid39658190,
year = {2024},
author = {Bellizzi, S},
title = {The health of Internally Displaced People (IDPs), between conflicts and the increasing role of climate change.},
journal = {Journal of travel medicine},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1093/jtm/taae151},
pmid = {39658190},
issn = {1708-8305},
abstract = {Globally, the number of IDPs has jumped from 50.3 to 75.9 million in the past 5 years, and their displacement is increasingly driven by climate-change, replacing conflicts as main factor in 2023. This underscores the need to further explore the nexus of climate change, health, migration, and to mobilize support.},
}
@article {pmid39657712,
year = {2024},
author = {Potestio, L and Martora, F and Villani, A and Megna, M},
title = {Climate change and the role of dermatologists: a call to action.},
journal = {Clinical and experimental dermatology},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1093/ced/llae526},
pmid = {39657712},
issn = {1365-2230},
}
@article {pmid39655783,
year = {2025},
author = {Geiger, N and Swim, JK and Fraser, J},
title = {With a little help from my friends: Social support, hope and climate change engagement.},
journal = {The British journal of social psychology},
volume = {64},
number = {1},
pages = {e12837},
pmid = {39655783},
issn = {2044-8309},
support = {//National Science Foundation/ ; },
mesh = {Humans ; *Climate Change ; *Social Support ; *Hope ; Female ; Male ; Adult ; Middle Aged ; Young Adult ; Intention ; },
abstract = {Hope is a future-oriented emotion that attunes people to the possibility of positive change, and thus could potentially catalyse societal engagement with climate change. A recent meta-analysis suggests that the relationship between hope and climate action is most robust when the target of hope is climate engagement (i.e. action hope) rather than climate change more broadly. Yet, this previous meta-analysis also suggests that fostering action hope and climate engagement may be challenging via typical short media messages used in many studies. Here we consider an alternative source of action hope: receiving social support. Two studies tested whether social support motivates climate action via increased action hope. Study 1 (correlational online survey, pre-registered, N = 887) demonstrates that, as predicted, both instrumental and emotional support predict intentions to take civic action and these effects are explained by action hope. Study 2 (field study, Neducators = 84, Ncontacts = 520) mostly replicates and extends these findings in a field setting, demonstrating that social support recipients' action hope is also associated with social support reported by support providers (here, environmental educators) and that this action hope again explains a possible relationship between social support and climate engagement.},
}
@article {pmid39654331,
year = {2024},
author = {Yazdani, M and Amiri Sabouri, S and Anvari, M and Raesi, R},
title = {Investigating the Effects of Climate Change on the Prevalence of Dengue Fever.},
journal = {Iranian biomedical journal},
volume = {28},
number = {7},
pages = {58},
pmid = {39654331},
issn = {2008-823X},
mesh = {*Climate Change ; *Dengue/epidemiology/transmission ; Humans ; Animals ; *Aedes/virology ; Prevalence ; Mosquito Vectors/virology ; Dengue Virus ; },
abstract = {INTRODUCTION: Climate change is any change in weather parameters such as temperature and rainfall for a long time and may be caused by natural factors or human activities. Today, climate change has unwanted consequences for health worldwide, and dengue fever is among these diseases. Dengue (bone-breaking fever) is the most common disease transmitted by the Aedes mosquito infected with dengue virus worldwide, affecting more than 200 million people every year. This disease is characterized by fever, malaise, headache, and rash. The present study aimed to investigate the effects of climate change on the prevalence of dengue fever.<br><br>SEARCH STRATEGY: The search for keywords such as "dengue fever", "climate change", and "Aedes" was performed in the PubMed database and Google Scholar search engine and their Persian equivalents in the internal databases such as SID and CIVILICA from 2010 to 2024. In the initial search, 259 articles were extracted and included in the study, followed by reviewing 26 articles.<br><br>RESULTS: Weather influenced dengue in three aspects: the virus, vector, and transmission environment. The virus underwent part of its development within the vector mosquito, and its life cycle was dependent on temperature, rainfall, and humidity. Two mosquitoes, Aedes aegypti and Aedes albopictus, adapted to human habitations by laying eggs in both natural (tree holes) and artificial (water tanks, pots, bottles, and containers) environments. Heavy rainfall washed away these eggs and larvae from these reservoirs; however, stagnant water can create ideal breeding conditions. An increase in temperature accelerates the reproduction and growth rates of mosquitoes while also shortening the virus's incubation period. Conversely, if temperatures exceed 44 &#xb0;C, the risk of dengue transmission diminishes due to the desiccation of mosquito breeding sites. During the cold period,adult mosquitoes died, but their eggs survived. High relative humidity also increased the metabolic process in adult mosquitoes. Therefore, in the wet season, the incidence of dengue was the highest, and the disease was less common in the dry season. Also, climate change weakened human immunity against the disease.<br><br>CONCLUSION AND DISCUSSION: Climate change influences the transmission of the disease by changing the geographic range of the vector, increasing reproduction, biting, and shortening the incubation period. Solutions such as the development of renewable energy sources and the enhancement of public awareness should be implemented to address climate change.},
}
@article {pmid39653762,
year = {2024},
author = {Lang, W and Zhang, Y and Li, X and Meng, F and Liu, Q and Wang, K and Xu, H and Chen, A and Peñuelas, J and Janssens, IA and Piao, S},
title = {Phenological divergence between plants and animals under climate change.},
journal = {Nature ecology &amp; evolution},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
pmid = {39653762},
issn = {2397-334X},
support = {41988101//National Natural Science Foundation of China (National Science Foundation of China)/ ; 41988101//National Natural Science Foundation of China (National Science Foundation of China)/ ; 41988101//National Natural Science Foundation of China (National Science Foundation of China)/ ; 41988101//National Natural Science Foundation of China (National Science Foundation of China)/ ; },
abstract = {Climate change has altered the timing of recurring biological cycles in both plants and animals. Phenological changes may be unequal within and among trophic levels, potentially impacting the intricate interactions that regulate ecosystem functioning. Here we compile and analyse a global dataset of terrestrial phenological observations, including nearly half a million time series for both plants and animals. Our analysis reveals an increasing phenological asynchronization between plants and animals from 1981 to 2020, with a stronger overall advancement of late-season phenophases for plants than for animals. Almost 30% of temporal variations in plant phenophases can be explained by the timing of the preceding phenophases. This temporal dependency allows the advancement caused by warming to accumulate and propagate through seasons, advancing later phenophases more than earlier phases. By contrast, animals rely on various environmental cues and resource-tracking strategies to initiate their life-cycle activities, which weakens their cross-phenophase linkage and undermines the effect of warming. Our results suggest that future warming may increase phenological asynchronization between plants and animals and potentially disturb trophic interactions and ecosystem stability.},
}
@article {pmid39653707,
year = {2024},
author = {Monastersky, R},
title = {The climate-crusading lawyer who sued Switzerland over global warming - and won.},
journal = {Nature},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1038/d41586-024-03897-y},
pmid = {39653707},
issn = {1476-4687},
}
@article {pmid39653490,
year = {2024},
author = {Anelli, P and Haidukowski, M and Ferrara, M and Kisikkaya, A and Pembeci, C and Ozer, H and Mulè, G and Loi, M and Moretti, A and Susca, A},
title = {Monitoring fungi and mycotoxin potential in pistachio nuts of Turkish origin: A snap-shot for climate change scenario.},
journal = {Fungal biology},
volume = {128},
number = {8 Pt B},
pages = {2431-2438},
doi = {10.1016/j.funbio.2024.07.009},
pmid = {39653490},
issn = {1878-6146},
mesh = {*Pistacia/microbiology ; Turkey ; *Mycotoxins/metabolism/analysis ; *Climate Change ; *Aspergillus/metabolism/genetics/isolation &amp; purification/classification ; Aflatoxins/metabolism/analysis ; Nuts/microbiology ; Aspergillus flavus/genetics/metabolism/classification/isolation &amp; purification ; },
abstract = {Pistachio (Pistacia vera L.) is an economically important tree nut. Due to its nutritional properties and health benefits, it is considered a healthy food and thus widely consumed worldwide. However, fungal contamination of the commodities has received considerable attention because of possible contamination by toxigenic fungi, important source of mycotoxins, resulting from secondary metabolism and hazards to health consumer. Members of the genus Aspergillus, mainly Aspergillus flavus and Aspergillus niger, are reported as occurring most frequently on pistachio nuts, because able to grow in the presence of low amounts of water and to produce mycotoxins (aflatoxins and ochratoxins), that are well known for their harmful health effects on humans. Monitoring the contaminating fungal species is particularly worthy of note also in climate change scenario, allowing to notice changes in fungal population composition through the time. This study aimed to contribute to collect data about fungal population and mycotoxins occurred in pistachio samples collected in Turkey: prevalence of 2 species, A. flavus and Aspergillus tubingensis, was assessed. The A. flavus strains consisted of a mixed population of aflatoxin producers and non-producing strains in vitro, with evidence of a new genotype in gene cluster within strains of aflatoxin non-producing chemotype.},
}
@article {pmid39652547,
year = {2024},
author = {Bayatvarkeshi, M and Imteaz, MA and Kisi, O and Farahani, M and Ghabaei, M and Al-Janabi, AMS and Hashim, BM and Al-Ramadan, B and Yaseen, ZM},
title = {Correction: Drought trends projection under future climate change scenarios for Iran region.},
journal = {PloS one},
volume = {19},
number = {12},
pages = {e0315634},
pmid = {39652547},
issn = {1932-6203},
abstract = {[This corrects the article DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0290698.].},
}
@article {pmid39651912,
year = {2024},
author = {Lucas, RAI},
title = {Using environmental and exercise physiology to address gender inequalities in climate change and occupational health research.},
journal = {Experimental physiology},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1113/EP091456},
pmid = {39651912},
issn = {1469-445X},
abstract = {Climate change is a health-risk and health-inequity multiplier with excessive heat exposure a direct climate change impact already affecting the health and livelihood of billions globally. Women face greater risks and burdens from climate change impacts. Biological sex may or may not influence an individual's thermoregulatory capacity, heat tolerance or heat susceptibility. However at a population level, sex differences in physiological characteristics (anthropometrics, aerobic capacity, etc.) likely affect thermoregulatory capacity. Still, gender appears to play the most significant role in heat exposure and resulting health impacts. For climate change resilience and adaptation strategies to be effective, public health and occupational guidance/governance must be based on comprehensive and representative evidence. The current dearth of empirical evidence on how excessive heat exposure affects women prohibits this. Environmental and exercise physiology can help address this lack of empirical evidence by adhering to inclusive research guidelines. This paper is based on a symposium presentation given at Physiology 2023 in Harrogate, UK. Using a multi-year cohort study on industrial agricultural workers (the Adelante Initiative) as a case study, this review discusses the role of environmental and exercise physiology in generating inclusive research and evidence to inform occupational and public health guidance/governance for climate change resilience and adaptation, specifically heat exposure.},
}
@article {pmid39651651,
year = {2024},
author = {Salehi Sahl Abadi, A and Mohsenian, A and Alboghobeish, A and Esmaeili, SV and Bahmanipour, S and Hashemi, M},
title = {Symptoms and Diseases Related to Occupational Health Caused by Climate Change: A Systematic Literature Review.},
journal = {Iranian biomedical journal},
volume = {28},
number = {7},
pages = {41},
pmid = {39651651},
issn = {2008-823X},
mesh = {Humans ; *Climate Change ; *Occupational Health ; Occupational Diseases/epidemiology/etiology ; },
abstract = {INTRODUCTION: One of the duties of occupational health engineers is to maintain and improve the physical health of employees. Climate change can cause various symptoms and diseases in workers. The importance of climate change has led to the slogan of World Occupational Safety and Health Day in 2024 being related to the effects of climate change on occupational health. This study aimed to investigate the symptoms and diseases related to occupational health caused by climate change.<br><br>SEARCH STRATEGY: The protocol of this study was prepared and presented according to the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analysis (PRISMA) guidelines. Relevant keywords between 2000 and 2024 were searched in authoritative academic databases (PubMed, Scopus, Web of Science, ScienceDirect, and Google Scholar) to identify studies. Scientifically valid studies retrieved by two researchers were reviewed based on inclusion and exclusion criteria, and duplicate and irrelevant articles were excluded. Based on the purpose of the study, the necessary information was extracted from the selected articles and analyzed with a descriptive approach.<br><br>RESULTS: In this systematic review, 29 eligible studies were examined. Climate change resulted in various symptoms and diseases in workers. Symptoms caused by climate change in workers included heat stress, heatstroke, fatigue, dehydration, headache, thirst, heat rash, collapse, muscle cramps, excessive sweating, visual disturbances, and reduced chemical tolerance. Additionally, based on the results of various studies, climate change affected chronic kidney diseases, skin cancer, cardiovascular dysfunction, and infectious and contagious diseases such as malaria and Lyme. Our results showed the effect of climate change on workers' cardiorespiratory health problems, including asthma, lung cancer, heart attacks, stroke, and other cardiovascular diseases. Furthermore, heat-related death was the most significant consequence of climate change on workers.<br><br>CONCLUSION AND DISCUSSION: Climate change causes various symptoms and diseases in workers, negatively affecting their occupational health. Considering the results of the current research and the importance of the subject, occupational health engineers and other individuals related to workers' health should take necessary measures.},
}
@article {pmid39650546,
year = {2024},
author = {Zhang, L and Wang, P and Xie, G and Wang, W},
title = {Impacts of Climate Change Conditions on the Potential Distribution of Anoplophora glabripennis and Its Host Plants, Salix babylonica and Salix matsudana, in China.},
journal = {Ecology and evolution},
volume = {14},
number = {12},
pages = {e70692},
pmid = {39650546},
issn = {2045-7758},
abstract = {The Anoplophora glabripennis (Motschulsky) is a phytophagous pest that is seriously endangering Salix babylonica Linn. and S. matsudana Koidz. Poor control can damage local ecosystems, resulting in economic losses and management risks. In the context of climate change, the climatic ecological niche of organisms is no longer compatible with the surrounding environment. To mitigate the effects of climate change, some organisms respond adaptively to climate change through different mechanisms and in different ways. In this study, an optimized MaxEnt model was used to explore the potential distribution areas of A. glabripennis and its host plants, S. babylonica and S. matsudana, in response to current and future climate and to determine their movement routes and relative dynamics. The results show that the optimized model exhibits the lowest complexity and excellent prediction accuracy. It is important to note that both temperature and precipitation are the main environmental factors affecting the distribution of suitable habitats for A. glabripennis and its host plants. This is evidenced by the mean temperature of the warmest quarter and precipitation of the wettest month being the main environmental factors affecting the distribution of suitable habitats for the host plants. Similarly, the minimum temperature of the coldest month and precipitation seasonality are the primary bioclimatic variables constraining the dispersal of A. glabripennis. Under climate change, the suitable areas of both S. babylonica and S. matsudana are declining, while the suitable areas of A. glabripennis are expanding in future climates. Furthermore, three species exhibited a proclivity for migration to higher latitudes in response to climate change. In conclusion, this study contributes to our understanding of the biogeographic characteristics of these A. glabripennis, S. babylonica, and S. matsudana and provides a basis for the formulation of timely conservation strategies to reduce the potential impacts of climate change. This is of great significance for the rational management, utilization, and protection of forest ecosystems in China.},
}
@article {pmid39649959,
year = {2024},
author = {Mwalwimba, IK and Manda, M and Ngongondo, C},
title = {The role of indigenous knowledge in disaster risk reduction and climate change adaptation in Chikwawa, Malawi.},
journal = {Jamba (Potchefstroom, South Africa)},
volume = {16},
number = {2},
pages = {1810},
pmid = {39649959},
issn = {1996-1421},
abstract = {UNLABELLED: The role of indigenous knowledge in disaster risk reduction (DRR) and climate change adaptation cannot be underestimated. It acts as a preparedness and response tool to climate change-related impacts such as floods, droughts and strong winds. However, inadequate studies about indigenous knowledge in Malawi is a major challenge when dealing with extreme climatic conditions. Learning from indigenous knowledge systems, by investigating first what local communities know and have, can improve the understanding of local conditions and can provide a productive context for activities designed to help communities reduce vulnerability to climate change impacts. This paper assessed the role of indigenous knowledge systems in DRR and climate change variability and adaptation strategies in Chikwawa district. The study used a participatory research approach involving interactive research methods such as focus group discussions (FGDs), key informant interviews and participant observations. Data from key informants and FGDs were analysed thematically. The study revealed various indigenous knowledge which communities in the Chikwawa district use to respond to climate-related impacts such as floods. Some of these include hippopotamus relocating from the river to the village, extreme hissing of pythons in nearby forests, buffaloes and zebras wreaking havoc in the villages and crocodiles flocking to the village.<br><br>CONTRIBUTION: The study concludes that indigenous knowledge provides the basis for problem-solving approaches for local communities, hence, a need to document it at a wider scale.},
}
@article {pmid39649021,
year = {2024},
author = {Mousavi, FS and Shenagari, M and Reza Hashemnia, SM and Zandi, M},
title = {Climate change and arboviruses_a growing threat to public health.},
journal = {New microbes and new infections},
volume = {62},
number = {},
pages = {101532},
pmid = {39649021},
issn = {2052-2975},
}
@article {pmid39650338,
year = {2022},
author = {Rodrigue, B and Bulonvu, F and Imani, G and Akonkwa, D and Gahigi, A and Klein, JA and Marchant, R and Cuni-Sanchez, A},
title = {Climate change and hunter-gatherers in montane eastern DR Congo.},
journal = {Climate and development},
volume = {14},
number = {5},
pages = {431-442},
pmid = {39650338},
issn = {1756-5537},
abstract = {Mountain environments experience more rapid changes in temperature than lower elevations. However, little is known about the climatic changes already observed in African mountains, or the adaptation strategies used by hunter-gatherer communities. Semi-structured interviews were administered to 100 Twa hunter-gatherers living around Mt Kahuzi in eastern Democratic Republic of the Congo (DR Congo). We also organized 10 focus-group discussions with Tembo farmers living in the same area and we gathered historical from Kamembe meteorological station. Twa respondents perceived reduced rainfall and fog, and increased temperatures. They also reported reduced crop yields and abundance of forest products (caterpillars, mushrooms, honey). Tembo perceptions of climatic changes and impacts agreed with the Twa. Meteorological data available shows reduced rainfall and increased temperatures - but there are no records on fog. Despite being aware of climatic changes and impacts, Twa are not using any adaptation strategy, while Tembo farmers are using some (as they own land for farming or animal rearing, and are more business minded). For the Twa, their socioeconomic condition create high sensitivity to climate change and constrain adaptive capacity. To help the Twa, we recommend the use of "science with society" (SWS) participatory approach.},
}
@article {pmid39648627,
year = {2024},
author = {Andrzejak, M and Knight, TM and Plos, C and Korell, L},
title = {Changes in reproduction mediate the effects of climate change and grassland management on plant population dynamics.},
journal = {Ecological applications : a publication of the Ecological Society of America},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {e3063},
doi = {10.1002/eap.3063},
pmid = {39648627},
issn = {1051-0761},
support = {//Helmholtz Association/ ; FZT 118//Deutsches Zentrum f&#xfc;r integrative Biodiversit&#xe4;tsforschung Halle-Jena-Leipzig/ ; //Alexander von Humboldt Foundation/ ; },
abstract = {Climate change is one of the largest threats to grassland plant species, which can be modified by land management. Although climate change and land management are expected to separately and interactively influence plant demography, this has been rarely considered in climate change experiments. We used a large-scale experiment in central Germany to quantify the effects of grassland management, climate change, and their joint effect on the demography and population growth rate of 11 plant species all native to this temperate grassland ecosystem. We parameterized integral projection models with five years of demographic data to project population growth rate. We hypothesized that plant populations perform better in the ambient than in the future climate treatment that creates hotter and drier summer conditions. Further, we hypothesized that plant performance interactively responds to climate and land management in a species-specific manner based on the drought, mowing, and grazing tolerances as well as the flowering phenology of each species. Due to extreme drought events, over half of our study species went quasi extinct, which highlights how extreme climate events can influence long-term experimental results. We found no consistent support for our expectation that plants perform better in ambient compared with future climate conditions. However, several species showed interactive responses to the treatments, indicating that optimal management strategies for plant performance are expected to shift with climate change. Changes in population growth rates of these species across treatments were mostly due to changes in plant reproduction. Experiments combined with measuring plant demographic responses provide a way to isolate the effects of different drivers on the long-term persistence of species and to identify the demographic vital rates that are critical to manage in the future. Our study suggests that it will become increasingly difficult to maintain species with preferences for moister soil conditions, and that climate and land use can interactively alter demographic responses of the remaining grassland species.},
}
@article {pmid39647962,
year = {2024},
author = {Beydon, M and Roeser, A and Costedoat-Chalumeau, N and de Sainte-Marie, B and Nguyen, Y and , },
title = {[Impact of climate change on immune-mediated inflammatory diseases].},
journal = {La Revue de medecine interne},
volume = {45},
number = {12},
pages = {739-743},
doi = {10.1016/j.revmed.2024.11.016},
pmid = {39647962},
issn = {1768-3122},
}
@article {pmid39647300,
year = {2024},
author = {Zhou, X and Xing, S and Xu, J and Tian, J and Niu, A and Lin, C},
title = {Impacts of climate change risk and economic policy uncertainty on carbon prices: Configuration analysis from a complex system perspective.},
journal = {Journal of environmental management},
volume = {373},
number = {},
pages = {123622},
doi = {10.1016/j.jenvman.2024.123622},
pmid = {39647300},
issn = {1095-8630},
abstract = {Despite a vast amount of research examining the antecedent variables of carbon prices, the impact of climate change risk on carbon prices has been rarely explored. This study adopted a complex system perspective and applied NCA and fsQCA models to analyze regional climate physical risk (CPR) and climate transition risk (CTR) from a complex system perspective. The results suggested that the primary factors affecting the Hubei carbon price included coal prices, market regulation, and national carbon market prices, and carbon prices could be higher in response to higher levels of economic policy uncertainty (EPU) combined with other factors. By comparing the changes of independent variables before and after the opening of the national carbon market, it was found that lower CPR and CTR were conducive to higher carbon prices; the former has received early attention but the latter has been neglected. The findings from this study provided theoretical and practical insight to inform government regulation of carbon prices and decision-making for carbon market stakeholders. The government should pay attention to the impacts of climate change risks and EPU on carbon prices because these factors could significantly undermine the incentive and economic effectiveness of the carbon market.},
}
@article {pmid39645595,
year = {2024},
author = {Talepour, N and Tahmasebi Birgani, Y and Jaafarzadeh, N and Goudarzi, G},
title = {Advanced Prediction of PM10 Trends Using ANN-NARX Under CMIP6 Climate Change Scenarios.},
journal = {Iranian biomedical journal},
volume = {28},
number = {7},
pages = {3},
pmid = {39645595},
issn = {2008-823X},
mesh = {*Particulate Matter/analysis ; *Climate Change ; *Neural Networks, Computer ; Iran ; Climate Models ; Forecasting ; Seasons ; Environmental Monitoring/methods ; },
abstract = {INTRODUCTION: As climate change continues to reshape our environment, accurately forecasting air quality becomes essential for developing effective public health and environmental strategies. This study investigates changes in particulate matter (PM10) concentrations under the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways of the Climate Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (CMIP6).<br><br>METHODS AND MATERIALS: Historical climatic data (1998-2014) were collected to establish baseline conditions, and vital climatic variables-maximum and minimum temperatures, precipitation, and radiation-were gathered between 2013 and 2022 from the Iran Meteorological Organization. The Long Ashton Research Station Weather Generator (LARS-WG 6.0) software was used to perform statistical downscaling, generating high-resolution time series datasets from the historical climatic data. The MIROC6 atmospheric circulation models simulated future climate scenarios using three Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs) from the sixth IPCC Assessment Report (AR6): optimistic (SSP1-2.6), intermediate (SSP2-4.5), and pessimistic (SSP3-7.0). Monthly PM10 concentrations were obtained from MODIS satellite images. An Artificial Neural Network Nonlinear Autoregressive with Exogenous Input (ANN-NARX) model was developed using the collected climatic variables as predictors, and this model was used to estimate PM10 concentrations for the period 2023-2042 under each SSP scenario.<br><br>RESULTS: In various SSP scenarios, PM10 levels were assessed between 2023 and 2042. An increase in PM10 was observed across all scenarios, particularly during the hotter months of summer and spring over the next 20 years. The SSP2-4.5 scenario showed minimal change, maintaining levels close to historical data. In contrast, SSP3-7.0 exhibited significant increases in PM10, especially during the warmer months of summer and spring. Sensitivity analysis identified radiation and maximum temperature as critical factors influencing PM10 predictions, with sensitivity plots showing a notable increase in MSE when these factors were removed. The ANN-NARX model demonstrated satisfactory performance across the training, validation, and testing sets, with RMSE values ranging from 0.15 to 0.30, MAE values from 0.10 to 0.35, and MSE values from 0.01 to 0.1, and R values from 0.91 to 0.92.<br><br>CONCLUSION AND DISCUSSION: The study concluded that PM10 concentrations in Ahvaz were significantly influenced by radiation and maximum temperature. The anticipated temperature increases under various SSP scenarios suggest a potential decline in future air quality, with expected rises in PM10 levels. These findings underscore the urgent need for effective air quality management and climate adaptation strategies in Ahvaz.},
}
@article {pmid39645544,
year = {2024},
author = {Blázquez, S and Papadimitriou, VC and Albaladejo, J and Jiménez, E},
title = {Atmospheric reaction of CH2=CHCH2OCF2CHF2 with OH radicals and Cl atoms, UV and IR absorption cross sections, and global warming potential.},
journal = {Environmental science and pollution research international},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
pmid = {39645544},
issn = {1614-7499},
support = {SBPLY/19/180501/000052//Junta de Comunidades de Castilla-La Mancha/ ; SBPLY/23/180225/000054//Junta de Comunidades de Castilla-La Mancha/ ; 2022-GRIN-34143//Universidad de Castilla-La Mancha/ ; },
abstract = {In this work, the rate coefficients for OH radical, k1(T), and Cl atom, k2(T), reaction with allyl 1,1,2,2-tetrafluoroethyl ether, CH2=CHCH2OCF2CHF2, were studied as a function of temperature and pressure in a collaborative effort made between UCLM, Spain, and LAPKIN, Greece. OH rate coefficients were determined in UCLM, between 263 and 353 K and 50-600 Torr, using the absolute rate method of pulsed laser photolysis-laser-induced fluorescence technique, while Cl kinetics were studied in temperature (260-363 K) and pressure (34-721 Torr) ranges, using the relative rate method of the thermostated photochemical reactor equipped with Fourier transform infrared spectroscopy as the detection technique. In both OH and Cl reactions, a negative temperature dependence of the measured rate coefficients was observed, which is consistent with complex association reactions. The temperature dependence of OH rate coefficients was found to be well represented by the following expression: k1(T) = (2.30 ± 0.35) × 10[-12] exp[(544 ± 46) K/T] cm[3] molecule[-1] s[-1]. In the case of the Cl-initiated reaction, a slight curvature was observed in the Arrhenius plot for k2(T), and the kinetic data were fitted to a modified Arrhenius expression: k2(T) = (4.42 ± 0.32) × 10[-16] T[2] exp[(610 ± 22) K/T] cm[3] molecule[-1] s[-1]. No pressure dependence was observed in either case. These results are consistent with a complex reaction mechanism that is not uncommon in radical association reactions to the unsaturated bond. As part of this work, UV (200-400 nm) and infrared absorption spectra (500-3200 cm[-1]) were also measured to further evaluate CH2=CHCH2OCF2CHF2 atmospheric impact. Atmospheric lifetimes with respect to OH radical and Cl atom reactions were estimated to be 19.8 h and 38 days, respectively, showing that OH radicals dominate atmospheric oxidation. CH2=CHCH2OCF2CHF2 is a very weak absorber in the solar actinic region, while its relatively low radiative efficiency in the atmospheric IR window, 0.0034 W m[-2] ppbv[-1], and the short lifetime led to a very low GWP value relative to CO2, 1.2 × 10[-2] and 3.3 × 10[-3], at time horizons of 20 and 100 years, respectively.},
}
@article {pmid39644633,
year = {2024},
author = {Chandrani, S and Drishanu, D and Vaishnavi, G and Gunaseelan, S and Ashokkumar, B and Bharathi, KSU and Chew, KW and Varalakshmi, P},
title = {Role of macroalgal blue carbon ecosystems in climate change mitigation.},
journal = {The Science of the total environment},
volume = {958},
number = {},
pages = {177751},
doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.177751},
pmid = {39644633},
issn = {1879-1026},
abstract = {This review explicitly emphasizes the important yet unnoticed potential of macroalgae, such as seaweeds and kelps, as a powerful nature-based solution for climate change mitigation, with greater focus on the Indian Ocean seaweed diversity and efforts towards their conservation and management. Despite the IPCC's recognition of Blue Carbon ecosystems, seaweed ecosystems remain largely excluded from carbon accounting and policy frameworks. Herein, we specifically focus on the immense capacity of macroalgae globally and in the Indian Ocean coastal communities to sequester carbon, support marine biodiversity, and provide a range of ecosystem services. Through comprehensive analysis of existing literature on the primary productivity, species distribution and carbon sequestration capabilities of seaweeds, we highlight their pivotal role in carbon capture and utilization within a circular economy model. This review explores the ecosystem services provided by both wild and cultivated seaweeds, advocating for innovative applications and responsible management practices to maximize their climate mitigation potential. Our investigation identifies significant knowledge gaps and barriers in the conservation of economically significant, dwindling populations of seaweeds in the Indian Ocean and the integration of seaweed ecosystems into blue carbon policies, including the need for standardized classification, valuation, and long-term conservation strategies. Further, we address the impact of anthropogenic activities on wild seaweed biodiversity and the necessity for reliable carbon removal technologies to support seaweed aquaculture beds. This review urges policy reform, increased research and funding to this critical area. We aim to accentuate the importance of a blue economy in establishing carbon-neutral markets and effective climate change mitigation by improving the classification, finance and governance of seaweed ecosystem services.},
}
@article {pmid39644427,
year = {2024},
author = {Goodwin, S and Olazabal, M and Castro, AJ and Pascual, U},
title = {A relational turn in climate change adaptation: Evidence from urban nature-based solutions.},
journal = {Ambio},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
pmid = {39644427},
issn = {1654-7209},
support = {LCF/BQ/DI20/11780006//'la Caixa' Foundation/ ; MCIN/AEI/10.13039/501100011033///Mar&#xed;a de Maeztu excellence accreditation 2018-2022/ ; IMAGINE adaptation/ERC_/European Research Council/International ; 101039429/ERC_/European Research Council/International ; },
abstract = {The emergence of nature-based solutions (NbS) in science, policy, and practice signals a paradigmatic shift in urban climate change adaptation, yet empirical investigations into its impact on adaptation definitions and progress tracking remain scarce. Addressing this gap, we conducted thematic analysis on semi-structured interviews (n = 15) with practitioners responsible for implementing and evaluating urban NbS in different countries. We provide a nuanced understanding of urban adaptation goals within urban NbS according to the insights from these practitioners, extending beyond hazard mitigation and towards cultivating and strengthening relationships between humans and nature. Tracking adaptation progress towards such relational adaptation goals requires acknowledging knowledge pluralism and the diversity of human-nature relations. We propose an alternative definition of adaptation supported by our data that aims to foster a more holistic approach to urban climate adaptation that accounts for the potential benefits of urban NbS across interconnected climate, biodiversity, and social goals.},
}
@article {pmid39642429,
year = {2024},
author = {Coscia, TM and Di Maio, F and Zio, E},
title = {A modelling framework to analyze climate change effects on radionuclide aquifer contamination.},
journal = {Journal of contaminant hydrology},
volume = {269},
number = {},
pages = {104470},
doi = {10.1016/j.jconhyd.2024.104470},
pmid = {39642429},
issn = {1873-6009},
abstract = {Non-stationarity of climatic variables (e.g., temperature and precipitation) due to Climate Change (CC) can affect the migration processes of radionuclides released from nuclear activities. In this paper, a framework of analysis is developed to predict the evolution in time of contaminant concentration and fluence under different Climatic Boundary Conditions (CBCs) of precipitation scenarios provided by a climate model integrated with an accurate physical coupled hydraulic-transport model. A case study is worked out with respect to the migration of a radioactive contaminant ([232]Th) at Kirtland Air Force Base (Albuquerque, New Mexico, USA), for which the different CBCs considered are: i) stationary and ii) non-stationary precipitation. The effects of such alternative hypotheses on the physical modelling results are analysed, using a cross-wavelet analysis. It is shown that fluence is strongly affected by precipitation extremes, more than concentration, and it is claimed that a daily scale on the information and data of CBCs is necessary to model, with sufficient accuracy, the migration process and properly assess the impact of future CC on groundwater contamination.},
}
@article {pmid39642076,
year = {2024},
author = {Munro, N},
title = {Climate Change and Emerging Infectious Diseases: A Precarious Relationship.},
journal = {AACN advanced critical care},
volume = {35},
number = {4},
pages = {325-333},
doi = {10.4037/aacnacc2024290},
pmid = {39642076},
issn = {1559-7776},
mesh = {Humans ; *Communicable Diseases, Emerging/transmission/epidemiology/prevention &amp; control ; *Climate Change ; United States/epidemiology ; Male ; Middle Aged ; Adult ; Female ; Animals ; Aged, 80 and over ; Aged ; },
abstract = {Climate change is apparent. Temperatures are rising. Floods are more frequent and devastating. Climate changes can favor the development of emerging infectious diseases. The number of animal reservoirs and vector hosts can increase, further spreading pathogens. Many emerging infectious diseases were not historically considered major threats in US but have become a major concern in US territories and various states. In June 2024, the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention issued a Health Alert Network advisory about an increase in local transmission of dengue fever. Preventing the transmission of emerging infectious diseases has become a focus of regulatory agencies. Nurse education at all levels should include infectious diseases and be coordinated with local, state, and regional institutions. Emerging infectious diseases are now formidable challenges to health care.},
}
@article {pmid39642075,
year = {2024},
author = {Shelby, LA},
title = {Developing a Green Nursing Practice in a Profession That Contributes to Climate Change: One Nurse's Journey.},
journal = {AACN advanced critical care},
volume = {35},
number = {4},
pages = {310-319},
doi = {10.4037/aacnacc2024804},
pmid = {39642075},
issn = {1559-7776},
mesh = {*Climate Change ; Humans ; Female ; Male ; Adult ; Middle Aged ; Nurse's Role ; United States ; Nursing Staff, Hospital/psychology ; Critical Care Nursing/standards ; },
abstract = {The health care industry accounts for 5% of global greenhouse gas emissions, with hospitals being the largest contributor. Critical care units create 3 times the greenhouse emissions of other hospital patient care units. Health care contributions to environmental harm include medical waste disposal, toxicant exposure, and pollutants. Integrating green practices into hospitals, especially in intensive care units, can seem overwhelming, with barriers including time constraints, lack of leadership and organizational support, and ignorance of green practices. Nursing is a socially responsible discipline committed to improving the health of individuals and communities; values of environmental stewardship and the desire to minimize poor health outcomes caused by climate change do not always align with hospital policies or clinician practices. This article addresses how nurses can confront the complex environmental problems in the workplace, apply sustainability principles to develop a green nursing practice, and collectively influence the future of national and global health.},
}
@article {pmid39642070,
year = {2024},
author = {Pate, MFD and Slota, M},
title = {Climate Change and Environmental Sustainability in Acute and Critical Care.},
journal = {AACN advanced critical care},
volume = {35},
number = {4},
pages = {308-309},
doi = {10.4037/aacnacc2024154},
pmid = {39642070},
issn = {1559-7776},
}
@article {pmid39642069,
year = {2024},
author = {Pate, MFD},
title = {Climate Change: Time for Hospitals to Respond.},
journal = {AACN advanced critical care},
volume = {35},
number = {4},
pages = {320-324},
doi = {10.4037/aacnacc2024134},
pmid = {39642069},
issn = {1559-7776},
mesh = {*Climate Change ; Humans ; Disaster Planning ; Hospitals ; United States ; },
abstract = {Alarm bells are sounding internationally as climate change impacts planet Earth and its inhabitants. Health care organizations must consider the role they play in working toward environmental sustainability in terms of mitigation, resilience, leadership, and equity. Institutions need to address the effects of climate change on the physical health and mental well-being of patients and their families as well as employees. Awareness of the complexities of sustainability initiatives and disaster management related to inclement weather and weather-related events is critical for health care organizations to avoid precipitating the illnesses and diseases they endeavor to prevent and heal.},
}
@article {pmid39641952,
year = {2024},
author = {Anderer, S},
title = {Climate Change Inaction Poses Record-Breaking Health Risks.},
journal = {JAMA},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1001/jama.2024.24263},
pmid = {39641952},
issn = {1538-3598},
}
@article {pmid39641917,
year = {2024},
author = {Cheng, KJ and Shi, J and Pogorelov, TV and Capponi, S},
title = {Investigating the Bromoform Membrane Interactions Using Atomistic Simulations and Machine Learning: Implications for Climate Change Mitigation.},
journal = {The journal of physical chemistry. B},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1021/acs.jpcb.4c04930},
pmid = {39641917},
issn = {1520-5207},
abstract = {Methane emissions from livestock contribute to global warming. Seaweeds used as food additive offer a promising emission mitigation strategy because seaweeds are enriched in bromoform─a methanogenesis inhibitor. Therefore, understanding bromoform storage and production in seaweeds and particularly in a cell-like environment is crucial. As a first step toward this aim, we present an atomistic description of bromoform dynamics, diffusion, and aggregation in the presence of lipid membranes. Using all-atom molecular dynamics simulations with customized CHARMM-formatted bromoform force field files, we investigate the interactions of bromoform and lipid bilayer across various concentrations. Bromoform penetrates membranes and at high concentrations forms aggregates outside the membrane without affecting membrane thickness or lipid tail order. Aggregates outside the membrane influence the membrane curvature. Within the membrane, bromoform preferentially localizes in the membrane hydrophobic core and diffuses the slowest along the membrane normal. Employing general local-atomic descriptors and unsupervised machine learning, we demonstrate the similarity of bromoform local structures between the liquid and aggregated forms.},
}
@article {pmid39641333,
year = {2024},
author = {Sowunmi, AO and Eze, OI and Osadolor, U and Iseolorunkanmi, A and Adeloye, D},
title = {Leveraging AI and data science to mitigate the respiratory health impacts of climate change in Africa: Organisation, costs, and challenges.},
journal = {Journal of global health},
volume = {14},
number = {},
pages = {03051},
pmid = {39641333},
issn = {2047-2986},
}
@article {pmid39641194,
year = {2024},
author = {Logie, CH and MacNeil, A},
title = {Climate change and extreme weather events and linkages with HIV outcomes: recent advances and ways forward.},
journal = {Current opinion in infectious diseases},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
pmid = {39641194},
issn = {1473-6527},
abstract = {PURPOSE OF REVIEW: Discuss the recent evidence on climate change and related extreme weather events (EWE) and linkages with HIV prevention and care outcomes.<br><br>RECENT FINDINGS: We identified 22 studies exploring HIV prevention and care in the context of EWE. HIV prevention studies examined sexual practices that increase HIV exposure (e.g., condomless sex, transactional sex), HIV testing, and HIV recent infections and prevalence. HIV care-related outcomes among people with HIV included clinical outcomes (e.g., viral load), antiretroviral therapy adherence and access, HIV care engagement and retention, and mental and physical wellbeing. Pathways from EWE to HIV prevention and care included: structural impacts (e.g., health infrastructure damage); resource insecurities (e.g., food insecurity-related ART adherence barriers); migration and displacement (e.g., reduced access to HIV services); and intrapersonal and interpersonal impacts (e.g., mental health challenges, reduced social support).<br><br>SUMMARY: Studies recommended multilevel strategies for HIV care in the context of EWE, including at the structural-level (e.g. food security programs), health institution-level (e.g., long-lasting ART), community-level (e.g. collective water management), and individual-level (e.g., coping skills). Climate-informed HIV prevention research is needed. Integration of EWE emergency and disaster preparedness and HIV services offers new opportunities for optimizing HIV prevention and care.},
}
@article {pmid39640687,
year = {2024},
author = {Arogundade, S and Hassan, AS and Mduduzi, B},
title = {Is climate change hindering the economic progress of Nigerian economy? Insights from dynamic models.},
journal = {Heliyon},
volume = {10},
number = {20},
pages = {e39288},
pmid = {39640687},
issn = {2405-8440},
abstract = {This study investigates the link between climate change and economic growth in Nigeria from 1961 to 2022. To provide a robust analysis that facilitates a nuanced examination of this dynamic relationship, this study employs state-of-the-art econometric approaches, including autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL), fully modified least squares (FMOLS), novel quantile autoregressive distributed lag (QARDL), and time-varying causality. The empirical results of this study are as follows: (1) the impact of climate change on economic growth is not felt in the short run. However, climate change negatively influences economic growth in Nigeria in the long run, (2) the elasticity of climate change increases across the conditional quantile economic growth, (3) unidirectional causality from climate change to economic growth across different time dimensions. These empirical outcomes advocate for a proactive and adaptive policy framework, emphasising the need for the Nigerian government to adopt climate-smart policies.},
}
@article {pmid39640009,
year = {2024},
author = {David, JO},
title = {Decolonizing climate change response: African indigenous knowledge and sustainable development.},
journal = {Frontiers in sociology},
volume = {9},
number = {},
pages = {1456871},
pmid = {39640009},
issn = {2297-7775},
abstract = {BACKGROUND: Anthropogenic Global Warming (AGW) poses a critical challenge necessitating effective global climate change mitigation efforts. However, the pervasive influence of scientism in AGW discourse often marginalizes Indigenous perspectives crucial for addressing climate impacts, particularly in Africa where adaptive capacity is limited.<br><br>OBJECTIVE: This study, rooted in Transformative Learning Theory and Ubuntu philosophy, employs critical qualitative research methods to examine how scientism shapes AGW discourse epistemologically and ethically. It explores the hindrances posed by climate change denialism and ecomodernism due to scientism while advocating the integration of African Indigenous Knowledge Systems (AIKs) into climate response strategies, particularly within the African education landscape.<br><br>METHODS: Drawing on the theoretical frameworks of Transformative Learning and Ubuntu philosophy, and informed by critical qualitative research methodology, this research analyzes the role of scientism in AGW discourse. It investigates its implications for Education for Sustainable Development (ESD) and discusses arguments for the inclusion of AIK in educational and policy frameworks.<br><br>RESULTS: The study reveals that scientism perpetuates epistemological biases that undervalue AIK, thereby impeding comprehensive climate response strategies. Pathways are proposed that promote AIK integration and mainstreaming, thereby decolonizing climate response efforts and enhancing ESD within Africa's educational institutions.<br><br>CONCLUSION: Integrating insights from AIK, construed in terms of 'exemplary ethical communities' (EEC), into climate change responses is pivotal for fostering inclusive and effective strategies. This approach not only addresses the ethical imperatives of decolonization but also enhances resilience and sustainability in climate-vulnerable regions.<br><br>SIGNIFICANCE: This study contributes to scholarship by highlighting the urgent need to diversify climate response strategies through the inclusion of AIK. By advocating for the integration of wisdom from EECs, it advances discussions on decoloniality within climate change discourse, emphasizing the importance of Indigenous knowledge in global sustainability efforts.},
}
@article {pmid39639289,
year = {2024},
author = {Geffert, K and Voss, S and Rehfuess, E and Rechel, B},
title = {The role of the public health service in the implementation of heat health action plans for climate change adaptation in Germany: A qualitative study.},
journal = {Health research policy and systems},
volume = {22},
number = {1},
pages = {161},
pmid = {39639289},
issn = {1478-4505},
mesh = {Humans ; *Climate Change ; Germany ; *Qualitative Research ; *Public Health ; *Health Policy ; Hot Temperature ; Health Plan Implementation ; Heat Stress Disorders/prevention &amp; control ; Federal Government ; },
abstract = {BACKGROUND: In response to climate change-induced increases in heat periods, the WHO recommends the implementation of heat health action plans (HHAPs). In Germany, HHAPs are implemented neither comprehensively nor nationwide. Several recommendations have identified the public health service (PHS) at municipal and federal state levels as a key actor regarding to heat and health. Therefore, this study aimed at assessing the role of the PHS in implementing HHAPs at municipal and federal state levels in Germany.<br><br>METHODS: We conducted a policy document analysis to assess the legal basis for the work of the PHS in the 16 federal states in Germany. Furthermore, we conducted semi-structured interviews with 16 experts from within and outside the PHS to explore their perceptions of the PHS in the implementation of HHAPs. The interviews were analysed using reflective thematic analysis.<br><br>RESULTS: The policy document analysis revealed that heat is not mentioned in any of the federal states' regulatory frameworks for the PHS, while tasks related to environment and health are addressed, but tend to remain vague. The interviews confirmed that there is currently no clearly defined role for the PHS in implementing HHAPs in Germany and that the actual role primarily depends on the local setting. Main barriers and facilitators could be assigned to three levels (individual, organizational and political), and two overarching contextual factors (awareness of the need for adaptation and existence of other public health emergencies) influenced the implementation of HHAPs across all levels. At the individual level, motivation, knowledge and competencies, and previous experience were possible barriers or enablers. At the organizational level, administrative structures, financial and human resources, leadership and networks were barriers or facilitators, while at the political level they included legislation and political decisions.<br><br>CONCLUSIONS: The PHS could and should be a relevant actor for implementing measures addressing health and climate change locally, in particular because of its focus on vulnerable populations. However, our findings suggest that the legal basis in the federal states of Germany is insufficient. Tailored approaches are needed to overcome barriers such as rigid, non-agile administrative structures and competing priorities, while taking advantage of facilitators such as awareness of relevant actors.},
}
@article {pmid39637590,
year = {2024},
author = {Couto, S and Rodrigues, S and Patrão, R and Vieira, M and Antunes, SC and Pinheiro, C},
title = {Impact of cigarette butts elutriates on Artemia franciscana in a climate change context.},
journal = {Marine pollution bulletin},
volume = {211},
number = {},
pages = {117345},
doi = {10.1016/j.marpolbul.2024.117345},
pmid = {39637590},
issn = {1879-3363},
abstract = {Cigarette butts (CBs) are major worldwide pollutants, posing environmental challenges, especially in the current climate crisis. Hence, this study examined the biological responses of Artemia franciscana to smoked (SCBs) and non-smoked (nSCBs) cigarette butt elutriates with increased temperatures. Acute (0.188-4.0 CBs/L, 48 h) and sub-chronic (0.03125-0.5 CBs/L, 7 d) assays were performed, exposing nauplii to two temperatures (25.0 ± 1.0 °C, guideline; and 30.0 ± 1.0 °C, according to IUCN (2017) and European Environment Agency (2023) projections). High acute toxicity was observed: LC50 = 3.98 SCBs/L and an LC50 = 0.94 nSCBs/L at 25.0 °C, with increased toxicity for SCBs (LC50 = 1.26 SCBs/L) at 30.0 °C. The sub-chronic exposure showed that the temperature increase affected the organisms' biological responses to CBs by disturbing the activity of acetylcholinesterase (AChE) and the antioxidant enzymes catalase (CAT) and glutathione S-transferases (GSTs), inducing oxidative damage (thiobarbituric acid reactive substances - TBARS) and influencing energy metabolism (lactate dehydrogenase - LDH). A. franciscana's biological responses emphasize the importance of mitigating CBs pollution by understanding these ecotoxicological implications in a warming world.},
}
@article {pmid39637542,
year = {2024},
author = {Zhang, X and Zhang, S and Fang, L and Zhang, C and Li, X},
title = {The impacts of socioeconomic development and climate change on long-term nutrient dynamics: A case study in Poyang Lake.},
journal = {The Science of the total environment},
volume = {957},
number = {},
pages = {177843},
doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.177843},
pmid = {39637542},
issn = {1879-1026},
abstract = {The anthropogenic activities associated with rapid socioeconomic development affect global climate change and the water quality of lake ecosystems. However, the impacts of socioeconomic and climate changes on lake nutrient dynamics require additional study. In this study, we used a long-term dataset (1987-2021) of Poyang Lake to identify the nutrient dynamics and assess the impacts of social and climatic factors on nutrient concentrations. The filtering trajectory method (FTM) suggested that in Poyang Lake, nutrients first increased and then decreased, with TP reaching its highest value of 157 μg/L in 2015. The study employs a combination of structural equation modeling (SEM) and FTM to identify the complex interactions between socio-economic and climatic factors affecting nutrient concentrations in Poyang Lake. The SEM results revealed that socioeconomic factors rather than climate change determined the long-term changes in TN and TP. Additionally, FTM results verified that GDP, urbanization (Ur) and P-fertilizer (Pfer) were the key drivers of TN; Ur, population (P), and sewerage treatment rate (STR) were the primary factors of TP. Through generalized additive models (GAMs), we observed that GDP accounted for 86 % of the temporal variability in TN and 45.7 % of that in TP, exhibiting inverted U-shaped relationships with both TN and TP. Air temperature (AT), a climatic factor accounted for only 44.6 % and 14.8 % of the variation in TN and TP, respectively. In addition, Pfer explained 66.0 % of the variation in TN, and STR explained 50.4 % of the variation in TP with a peak TP at the STR threshold of approximately 80 %. Our findings highlight the importance of Pfer and STR as critical indicators for watershed nutrient management. The identification of key temporal drivers and nutrient trajectories provides a scientific basis for developing management strategies. The results highlight coordinated control strategies for water pollution and carbon reduction as essential measures for mitigating climate change.},
}
@article {pmid39637503,
year = {2024},
author = {Dyderski, MK and Paź-Dyderska, S and Jagodziński, AM and Puchałka, R},
title = {Shifts in native tree species distributions in Europe under climate change.},
journal = {Journal of environmental management},
volume = {373},
number = {},
pages = {123504},
doi = {10.1016/j.jenvman.2024.123504},
pmid = {39637503},
issn = {1095-8630},
abstract = {Key European tree species are expected to contract their ranges under changing climate, thus there is a need to assess range shifts for other native tree species that could fill their forest niche. Recent studies have focused on economically important species, revealing a wide range of shifts in their distribution worldwide and highlighting several pathways for potential future changes. We aimed to quantify changes in projected ranges and threat levels by the years 2041-60 and 2061-80, for 20 European temperate forest tree species under four climate change scenarios. We compared ten standard stock tree species with ten alternative stock species, that are less frequent and less preferred by managers. We combined distribution data from several sources for each tree species and developed species distribution models using MaxEnt and seven bioclimatic variables. We applied these models to projections of future climate from four global circulation models, under four Shared Socioeconomic Pathways and for near and middle terms: 2041-60 and 2061-80. We also assessed the relationships between predicted range contraction and their functional traits. Analysis of MaxEnt models divided the studied tree species into three groups: non-threatened (Sorbus torminalis, Ulmus minor, Tilia platyphyllos, Acer pseudoplatanus, Prunus avium, and Carpinus betulus), partially threatened (U. laevis, Betula pendula, Quercus robur, Q. petraea, A. platanoides, Fagus sylvatica, Fraxinus excelsior, T. cordata, Alnus glutinosa, and U. glabra), and the most threatened (Abies alba, Larix decidua, Picea abies, and Pinus sylvestris). For the last group, almost half of the range contraction will occur earlier (2041-2060) compared to our previous predictions (2061-2080). The proportion of range contraction decreased with increasing specific leaf area, leaf area, leaf nitrogen content, seed mass, and specific stem density while it increased with increasing height. Our study provides novel predictions of shifts in climatic optima under the most recent climate change scenarios, which would be useful for evidence-based conservation and management of European forests. The near-term predicted threats to the main standard stock tree species call for intensified preparation for incoming changes. We recommend splitting the silvicultural risks over a wider range of tree species, also including alternative stock species.},
}
@article {pmid39636977,
year = {2024},
author = {Urban, MC},
title = {Climate change extinctions.},
journal = {Science (New York, N.Y.)},
volume = {386},
number = {6726},
pages = {1123-1128},
doi = {10.1126/science.adp4461},
pmid = {39636977},
issn = {1095-9203},
mesh = {Animals ; *Amphibians ; Australia ; *Biodiversity ; *Climate Change ; Conservation of Natural Resources ; *Extinction, Biological ; South America ; *Fresh Water ; Hot Temperature ; New Zealand ; },
abstract = {Climate change is expected to cause irreversible changes to biodiversity, but predicting those risks remains uncertain. I synthesized 485 studies and more than 5 million projections to produce a quantitative global assessment of climate change extinctions. With increased certainty, this meta-analysis suggests that extinctions will accelerate rapidly if global temperatures exceed 1.5°C. The highest-emission scenario would threaten approximately one-third of species, globally. Amphibians; species from mountain, island, and freshwater ecosystems; and species inhabiting South America, Australia, and New Zealand face the greatest threats. In line with predictions, climate change has contributed to an increasing proportion of observed global extinctions since 1970. Besides limiting greenhouse gases, pinpointing which species to protect first will be critical for preserving biodiversity until anthropogenic climate change is halted and reversed.},
}
@article {pmid39636468,
year = {2024},
author = {Shamim, T and Bhat, MS and Alam, A and Ahsan, S and Sheikh, HA},
title = {Evaluation of drought events using multiple drought indices under climate change in the Upper Indus Basin.},
journal = {Environmental monitoring and assessment},
volume = {197},
number = {1},
pages = {27},
pmid = {39636468},
issn = {1573-2959},
mesh = {*Droughts ; *Climate Change ; *Environmental Monitoring ; India ; Temperature ; Rain ; },
abstract = {Spatiotemporal variations in drought events were examined through multiple drought indices in the Upper Indus Basin (UIB) during the 1980-2020 period using observed climate data of precipitation, temperature (T max., T min., and T mean), and potential evapotranspiration (PET) from 16 meteorological stations. Software like ClimPACT2 (to quality check data and generate SPI, SPEI, and CDD drought indices), DrinC (to generate AI, eRDI and PD drought indices), CMhyd (to bias correct NASA POWER gridded data), and ArcGIS (to map extreme drought years) were used in this study. It was revealed that precipitation decreased at 30 mm/decade and maximum and minimum temperatures increased at 0.132 °C/decade and 0.23 °C/decade, aridity increased by decreasing aridity index at 0.15/decade, and number of consecutive dry days increased at 2 days/decade. All drought indices reflected decreasing trends, indicating a warming and drying climatic regime. The eRDI drought index analysis revealed that droughts have occurred for 12.6 years in the last four decades, and mild droughts (15%) are more common, followed by moderate droughts (9.4%), severe droughts (4.7%), and extreme droughts (2.4%). The study provides comparisons of drought patterns under changing climate in three distinct climatic and physical regions of UIB, i.e., Jammu, Kashmir, and Ladakh, and reveals that the UIB is not free from droughts.},
}
@article {pmid39636217,
year = {2024},
author = {Mills, J and Romagnolo, A and Battaglia, G and Eyal, S and Gulcebi, MI and Macrohon, B and Sisodiya, SM and Vezzani, A and , },
title = {Exploring the impact of climate change on epilepsy: Insights from the 15th European Epilepsy Congress.},
journal = {Epilepsia},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1111/epi.18208},
pmid = {39636217},
issn = {1528-1167},
support = {//Epilepsy Society/ ; },
}
@article {pmid39635119,
year = {2024},
author = {Havea, PH and Su, B and Liu, C and Kundzewicz, ZW and Wang, Y and Wang, G and Jing, C and Jiang, H and Yang, F and Mata'afa, FN and Jiang, T},
title = {Wind and solar energy in Small Island Developing States for mitigating global climate change.},
journal = {iScience},
volume = {27},
number = {10},
pages = {111062},
pmid = {39635119},
issn = {2589-0042},
abstract = {Despite contributing less than 1% of global greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions, Small Island Developing States (SIDS) have the potential to drive global mitigation actions by advocating for ambitious emission reduction targets, promoting renewable energy solutions, and advancing sustainable development practices. The adoption of onshore-offshore wind and solar energy in 39 SIDS, which are currently experiencing the adverse effects of climate change, presents a significant opportunity. By harnessing renewable energy sources, these countries can effectively mitigate GHG emissions, enhance energy security, and build resilience. This approach aligns with the renewable energy roadmap outlined at the 28[th] Conference of Parties (COP) of the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC), facilitating a transition from fossil fuels to renewable energy sources. However, realizing such prospects requires collaboration among policymakers, industry stakeholders, and researchers to address multiple technical, economic, and environmental issues. Through this joint effort, the untapped potential of wind and solar energy can be fully harnessed, offering a pragmatic solution to actively mitigate climate change and the issues faced in these regions.},
}
@article {pmid39634440,
year = {2024},
author = {Turan Gökçe, D and Arı, D and Ata, N and Gökcan, H and İdilman, R and Ülgü, MM and Harputluoglu, M and Akarsu, M and Karasu, Z and Ayvalı, MO and Birinci, &#x15e; and Akdoğan Kayhan, M},
title = {Mushroom Intoxication in Türkiye: A Nationwide Cohort Study Based on Demographic Trends, Seasonal Variations, and the Impact of Climate Change on Incidence.},
journal = {The Turkish journal of gastroenterology : the official journal of Turkish Society of Gastroenterology},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.5152/tjg.2024.24368},
pmid = {39634440},
issn = {2148-5607},
abstract = {BACKGROUND/AIMS: Mushroom intoxication poses a considerable public health risk due to its potential for severe toxicity and fatality. This study aims to investigate demographic trends, diagnostic locations, and mortality rates of patients with mushroom intoxication.<br><br>MATERIALS AND METHODS: This retrospective cohort study utilized data from the National Electronic Database of the Turkish Ministry of Health. The study focused on patients without chronic liver disease or prior liver transplantation presenting with mushroom intoxication between 2018 and 2023. Demographic information, diagnostic locations, and mortality rates were analyzed, considering a six-year period to ensure even seasonal distribution.<br><br>RESULTS: Among 30459 individuals admitted with mushroom intoxication, 44.75% were male, with a mean age of 45.84 years. The Black Sea, Marmara, and Central Anatolia regions had the highest number of cases, with specific cities like Tokat, Bolu, Yozgat, and Kastamonu having the highest rates per 100,000 population in 2022. Mushroom intoxication predominantly occurred in May, June, October, and November. Hospitalization occurred in 8.9% of cases, with a 6.6% mortality rate within 90 days and 1.3% progressing to liver transplantation. Notably, mushroom intoxication cases increased by 130% in the first half of 2023, particularly in May and June, correlating with increased rainfall.<br><br>CONCLUSION: Mushroom intoxication is a serious public health issue, with morbidity and mortality influenced by climate factors. The study highlights a significant increase in cases in the first half of 2023, potentially linked to heightened rainfall and climate change.},
}
@article {pmid39633076,
year = {2024},
author = {Challa, V and Renganathan, M},
title = {Assessment of climate change impact on meteorological variables of Indravati River Basin using SDSM and CMIP6 models.},
journal = {Environmental monitoring and assessment},
volume = {197},
number = {1},
pages = {22},
pmid = {39633076},
issn = {1573-2959},
mesh = {*Climate Change ; *Rivers/chemistry ; India ; *Environmental Monitoring ; Climate Models ; Temperature ; },
abstract = {Climate change, one of the most pressing issues of the twenty-first century, threatens the long-term stability and short-term variability of water resources. Variations in precipitation and temperature will influence runoff and water availability, creating significant challenges as demand for potable water increases. This study addresses a critical literature gap by employing the Statistical Downscaling Model (SDSM) to downscale Global Climate Model (GCM) outputs for the Indravati River Basin, India. Maximum temperature (Tmax), minimum temperature (Tmin), and precipitation (PCP) were statistically downscaled, improving the spatial resolution of coarse GCM data. The model established strong predictor-predictand relationships, offering enhanced local-scale climate projections for the basin. This work provides critical insights into regional climate change impacts in a previously underexplored area. The study projected the meteorological variables (Tmax, Tmin, and PCP) for Chindnar, Jagdalpur, and Pathagudem stations using four GCMs, namely CanESM5, MPI-ESM1-2-HR, EC-Earth3, and NorESM2-LM for the baseline period (1990-2014). The Correlation Coefficient-values (R-values) range from 0.75 to 0.91 for maximum temperature, 0.85 to 0.96 for minimum temperature, and 0.71 to 0.83 for precipitation were achieved using SDSM. The best-performed MPI-ESM1-2-HR model was used to project maximum temperature, minimum temperature, and precipitation for 2024-2054 (2040s) and 2055-2085 (2070s) under SSP4.5 and SSP8.5 scenarios using SDSM. The downscaled results revealed significant shifts in meteorological patterns, highlighting the basin's sensitivity to different socio-economic pathways and future climate conditions. The percentage monthly, seasonal, and annual variations of Tmax, Tmin, and PCP were analysed based on each scenario and time period to suggest remedial measures for future floods and droughts.},
}
@article {pmid39633005,
year = {2024},
author = {Agulles, M and Marbà, N and Duarte, CM and Jordà, G},
title = {Mediterranean seagrasses provide essential coastal protection under climate change.},
journal = {Scientific reports},
volume = {14},
number = {1},
pages = {30269},
pmid = {39633005},
issn = {2045-2322},
abstract = {Seagrasses are vital in coastal areas, offering crucial ecosystem services and playing a relevant role in coastal protection. The decrease in the density of Mediterranean seagrasses over recent decades, due to warming and anthropogenic stressors, may imply a serious environmental threat. Here we quantify the role of coastal impact reduction induced by seagrass presence under present and future climate. We focus in the Balearic Islands, a representative and well monitored region in the Mediterranean. Our results quantify how important the presence of seagrasses is for coastal protection. The complete loss of seagrasses would lead to an extreme water level (eTWL) increase comparable to the projected sea level rise (SLR) at the end of the century under the high end scenario of greenhouse gases emissions. Under that scenario, the eTWL could increase up to ~ 1.4 m, with 54% of that increase attributed to seagrass loss. These findings underscore the importance of seagrass conservation for coastal protection.},
}
@article {pmid39632362,
year = {2024},
author = {Yang, HY and Wu, CF and Tsai, KH},
title = {Projections of Climate Change Impact on Acute Heat Illnesses in Taiwan: Case-Crossover Study.},
journal = {JMIR public health and surveillance},
volume = {10},
number = {},
pages = {e57948},
pmid = {39632362},
issn = {2369-2960},
mesh = {Taiwan/epidemiology ; Humans ; *Climate Change ; Male ; Female ; Adult ; Middle Aged ; Heat Stress Disorders/epidemiology/prevention &amp; control ; Cross-Over Studies ; Aged ; Adolescent ; Child, Preschool ; Child ; Infant ; Forecasting ; Young Adult ; Hot Temperature/adverse effects ; Acute Disease/epidemiology ; },
abstract = {BACKGROUND: With global warming, the number of days with extreme heat is expected to increase and may cause more acute heat illnesses. While decreasing emissions may mitigate the climate impacts, its effectiveness in reducing acute heat illnesses remains uncertain. Taiwan has established a real-time epidemic surveillance and early warning system to monitor acute heat illnesses since January 1, 2011. Predicting the number of acute heat illnesses requires forecasting temperature changes that are influenced by adaptation policies.<br><br>OBJECTIVE: The aim of this study was to estimate the changes in the number of acute heat illnesses under different adaptation policies.<br><br>METHODS: We obtained the numbers of acute heat illnesses in Taiwan from January 2011 to July 2023 using emergency department visit data from the real-time epidemic surveillance and early warning system. We used segmented linear regression to identify the join point as a nonoptimal temperature threshold. We projected the temperature distribution and excess acute heat illnesses through the end of the century when Taiwan adopts the "Sustainability (shared socioeconomic pathways 1-2.6 [SSP1-2.6])," "Middle of the road (SSP2-4.5)," "Regional rivalry (SSP3-7.0)," and "Fossil-fueled development (SSP5-8.5)" scenarios. Distributed lag nonlinear models were used to analyze the attributable number (AN) and attributable fraction (AF) of acute heat illnesses caused by nonoptimal temperature.<br><br>RESULTS: We enrolled a total of 28,661 patients with a mean age of 44.5 (SD 15.3) years up to July 2023, of whom 21,619 (75.4%) were male patients. The nonoptimal temperature was 27 &#xb0;C. The relative risk of acute heat illnesses with a 1-degree increase in mean temperature was 1.71 (95% CI 1.63-1.79). In the SSP5-8.5 worst-case scenario, the mean temperature was projected to rise by +5.8 &#xb0;C (SD 0.26), with the AN and AF of acute heat illnesses above nonoptimal temperature being 19,021 (95% CI 2249-35,792) and 89.9% (95% CI 89.3%-90.5%) by 2090-2099. However, if Taiwan adopts the Sustainability SSP1-2.6 scenario, the AN and AF of acute heat illnesses due to nonoptimal temperature will be reduced to 12,468 (95% CI 3233-21,704) and 62.1% (95% CI 61.2-63.1).<br><br>CONCLUSIONS: Adopting sustainable development policies can help mitigate the risk of acute heat illnesses caused by global warming.},
}
@article {pmid39631335,
year = {2024},
author = {Patra, SR and Chu, HJ and Aman, MA},
title = {Utilizing deep learning to investigate the impacts of climate change on groundwater dynamics and pumping variability.},
journal = {The Science of the total environment},
volume = {957},
number = {},
pages = {177784},
doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.177784},
pmid = {39631335},
issn = {1879-1026},
abstract = {Climate change occasionally leads to unprecedented groundwater level decline. This study investigates the impacts of climate change on groundwater level and pumping electricity consumption concurrently over an agricultural region in Central Taiwan. A hybrid deep learning model i.e., CNN-LSTM was employed to predict future groundwater level and pumping electricity using monthly precipitation and average temperature as exogenous inputs from 2007 to 2021. We adopted future projections for these climate inputs from the latest CMIP6 climate models spanning 15 years (2022-36) for shared socioeconomic pathways (SSPs) scenarios (SSP245 and SSP585). Results revealed that the groundwater level fluctuations in the region are indirectly influenced by climate-induced pumping, as evidenced by exacerbated energy consumption for groundwater extraction during periods of high temperatures and reduced precipitation. Future projections imply that pumping electricity is expected to rise by 2.5-5 % while groundwater level may decline by more than 1 m due to a reduction in average precipitation of about 50-150 mm and a rise in temperature of about 0.7-1.3 °C, respectively over the next 15 years (2022-36). Most notable impacts are witnessed for irrigation-intensive regions such as mid and distal fans. This study necessitates the need to collect and involve pumping along with climate information for a more pragmatic assessment of future groundwater level that may indirectly threaten the food and water security in the region through proficient management of groundwater resources.},
}
@article {pmid39631333,
year = {2024},
author = {Munz, L and Mosimann, M and Kauzlaric, M and Martius, O and Zischg, AP},
title = {Storylines of extreme precipitation events and flood impacts in alpine and pre-alpine environments under various global warming levels.},
journal = {The Science of the total environment},
volume = {957},
number = {},
pages = {177791},
doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.177791},
pmid = {39631333},
issn = {1879-1026},
abstract = {Exploring the impacts of extreme weather events has gained increased attention in recent years after repeated record-breaking events, such as unprecedented river flood events in central Europe in summer 2021. After the flood event, risk management institutions, such as for example, fire brigades, civil protection units, or natural hazard experts asked if it was possible to predict the impacts of such an unprecedented event ex-ante and if similar events could occur elsewhere or if climatic changes can even worsen extreme flood events. Here, we present an approach to explore storylines of physically plausible extreme river flood events in a warming climate. The simulated flood events are based on extreme precipitation events selected from re-forecast archives. River discharge, flood processes, and their impacts on people and infrastructure are simulated for nine storylines under five global warming levels for the alpine and pre-alpine headwater catchments of the main rivers in northern Switzerland. The precipitation intensity was increased linearly with global warming according to the Clausius-Clapeyron relation. The coupled hydrological-hydraulic simulations show that the increase in peak discharge is higher than the increase in precipitation. The flood impacts increase non-linearly with higher global warming levels. The results show that record-breaking, high-impact river floods are possible under the current atmospheric conditions, and climate change substantially aggravates flood impacts. The simulations show a broad range of potential outcomes of flood impact storylines depending on the simulated scenario and local conditions. This leads to the conclusion that storylines of extreme flood events are a valuable tool to explore, describe, and communicate extreme events. Still, the inherent challenge is the communication of the representativeness of a particular storyline and, hence, the practical consequences that should or should not be derived. We, therefore, suggest considering storylines of events with a range of magnitudes and different spatiotemporal precipitation patterns to comprehend the possible range of outcomes and select appropriate storylines out of the set for risk communication.},
}
@article {pmid39627068,
year = {2024},
author = {Lu, N and Qin, J},
title = {Double-edged impact of climate change on global solar power.},
journal = {Science bulletin},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1016/j.scib.2024.11.030},
pmid = {39627068},
issn = {2095-9281},
}
@article {pmid39626388,
year = {2024},
author = {Han, Q and Zhang, P and Keeffe, G and Zhang, S},
title = {Evaluating and improving the connectivity of China's protected area networks for facilitating species range shifts under climate change.},
journal = {Journal of environmental management},
volume = {373},
number = {},
pages = {123535},
doi = {10.1016/j.jenvman.2024.123535},
pmid = {39626388},
issn = {1095-8630},
abstract = {Contemporary climate change is causing spatial redistributions of many species, potentially undermining the effectiveness of existing protected areas (PAs). This raises concerns about whether current PAs are connected enough to capture climate-induced range shifts and how to expand PAs to support this ecological process. Hence, we conducted a national-scale assessment of climate connectivity for the terrestrial PAs across mainland China. We found that most PAs are structurally connected to cool ones through low human impact (LHI) areas along temperature gradients. The connected PA networks could enable species to migrate and avoid an average climate warming of 2.9 °C under moderate emission scenario. Nevertheless, less than half (46.2%) of the PAs have achieved successful climate connectivity. To facilitate climate-induced range shifts, we identified priority areas for conservation based on their importance in supporting connections between PAs. Our study provides spatially explicit assessments of the connectivity of PA networks for range shifts and emphasizes the necessity to consider climate connectivity in the planning of PAs at regional scales.},
}
@article {pmid39626387,
year = {2024},
author = {Du, B and Wang, Y and Fang, Z and Liu, G and Tian, Z},
title = {Spatiotemporal modeling and projection framework of rainfall-induced landslide risk under climate change.},
journal = {Journal of environmental management},
volume = {373},
number = {},
pages = {123474},
doi = {10.1016/j.jenvman.2024.123474},
pmid = {39626387},
issn = {1095-8630},
abstract = {Global warming is expected to exacerbate extreme rainfall events, potentially increasing the risk of landslides. While landslides have been extensively studied, much of the focus has been on developing static frameworks for landslide susceptibility, with relatively little exploration of spatiotemporal modeling. Furthermore, previous studies have often overlooked the spatiotemporal impacts of climate change and dynamic socio-economic factors on landslide susceptibility and risk. This has resulted in a lack of understanding of how landslide risk will evolve in the future. Consequently, this study proposes a modeling approach to simulate the dynamics of landslide susceptibility and exposure population over the next 80 years. The approach involves a series of novel modeling experiments using rainfall-induced landslide data collected over the past decade in Jiangxi Province, using a GAMs that considers the effects of spatial relationships and spatio-temporal cross-validation, with an AUC of 0.885 and an error rate of 15.32%, and combining with the CMIP6 precipitation data to the direct effect of climate change on landslide susceptibility. In addition, a dynamic risk prediction model combining static and dynamic populations was developed to provide a more comprehensive understanding of future landslide impacts. This research framework serves as a scientific foundation and valuable reference for comprehending the effects of climate change on landslide hazards and their management in urban planning and risk mitigation. It aims to inform the development of more effective strategies to mitigate potential losses from future landslide risks.},
}
@article {pmid39624954,
year = {2024},
author = {Li, Y and Wang, J and Shen, C and Zhou, G and Delgado-Baquerizo, M and Ge, Y},
title = {Microbial Diversity Losses Constrain the Capacity of Soils to Mitigate Climate Change.},
journal = {Global change biology},
volume = {30},
number = {12},
pages = {e17601},
doi = {10.1111/gcb.17601},
pmid = {39624954},
issn = {1365-2486},
support = {42177274//National Natural Science Foundation of China/ ; XDA0440203//Strategic Priority Research Program of the Chinese Academy of Sciences/ ; GZC20232889//Postdoctoral Fellowship Program of CPSF/ ; 2019QZKK0306//Second Tibetan Plateau Scientific Expedition and Research Program/ ; 2019QZKK0308//Second Tibetan Plateau Scientific Expedition and Research Program/ ; SKLURE2022-1-3//State Key Laboratory of Urban and Regional Ecology/ ; },
mesh = {*Soil Microbiology ; *Climate Change ; *Biodiversity ; *Temperature ; Microbiota ; Soil/chemistry ; Carbon Dioxide/analysis/metabolism ; Bacteria/metabolism/classification ; },
abstract = {Soil microbes may adapt to climate warming, potentially reducing the warming-induced increase in microbial carbon emissions such as carbon dioxide, and thereby helping to mitigate climate change. Yet, soil microbes are subjected to various global change stresses (e.g., warming, drought, flooding, and land-use changes), altering their biodiversity, which challenges microbial adaptation to climate change. Here, we created microbial diversity gradients in microcosms at two different temperatures using soils from a 2000-km field survey. We found that reduced microbial diversity weakens the thermal adaptation of soil microbial respiration and can further enhance the microbial respiratory temperature sensitivity over time. Our analyses further revealed that the negative impact of microbial diversity losses is linked to the decline of keystone microbial taxa, which can adapt to temperature changes and are crucial for the community's ability to compensate for the temperature-driven effects on soil respiration in the long term. Taken together, our study provides new insights into the key role of microbial diversity in driving the thermal response of soil heterotrophic respiration, suggesting that any global change-driven shifts in microbial diversity can have critical consequences for the future of carbon stocks.},
}
@article {pmid39623422,
year = {2024},
author = {Aggrey, S and Varela, E and Batumike, R and Cuni-Sanchez, A},
title = {Climate change perceptions and adaptation by Sebei pastoralists in Mount Elgon, Uganda: a qualitative survey.},
journal = {Journal of ethnobiology and ethnomedicine},
volume = {20},
number = {1},
pages = {102},
pmid = {39623422},
issn = {1746-4269},
mesh = {Uganda ; *Climate Change ; Humans ; Male ; Female ; Cross-Sectional Studies ; Middle Aged ; Adult ; Animals ; Animal Husbandry ; Aged ; Qualitative Research ; Focus Groups ; Surveys and Questionnaires ; Perception ; Cattle ; Agriculture ; },
abstract = {BACKGROUND: Pastoralists' sedentarisation and agriculturalisation might increase their vulnerability to climate change impacts, but few studies have investigated if this is the case in mountain areas. In Uganda, little is known about how Sebei pastoralists have perceived and adapted to such changes. This study sought to establish perspectives of Sebei pastoralists on climate change in terms of its occurrence and impacts as well as access to livelihood assets and or opportunities to withstand such challenges.<br><br>METHOD: This study was conducted in Mount Elgon areas of Uganda. A cross-sectional study design was employed using qualitative approaches. Data were collected using focus-group discussions with men and women village elders to assess their perceptions regarding climatic changes, impacts and adaption strategies used. Data were analysed using thematic and content analysis approaches. All analyses were done using NVivo version 14.<br><br>RESULTS: Respondents reported changes in the amount and distribution of rainfall, fog and temperatures, with negative impacts on fodder availability, milk production and pests and diseases. Study participants mentioned using several adaptation strategies with regard to animal rearing, crop farming and livelihood diversification. Among others, participants reduced herd size, migrated longer distances, stored wild grass, used crop residues as feed and increased 'self-medication' of their cattle.<br><br>CONCLUSIONS: Access to funds, markets and technical advice were the main barriers to adaptation identified. Institutional support-now only focused on improved breeds-should consider the multiple strategies used by pastoralists, and the constraints they highlighted, including the need for mutual learning space.},
}
@article {pmid39621680,
year = {2024},
author = {Yuh, YG and N'Goran, KP and Kross, A and Heurich, M and Matthews, HD and Turner, SE},
title = {Monitoring forest cover and land use change in the Congo Basin under IPCC climate change scenarios.},
journal = {PloS one},
volume = {19},
number = {12},
pages = {e0311816},
pmid = {39621680},
issn = {1932-6203},
mesh = {*Climate Change ; *Forests ; *Conservation of Natural Resources ; Congo ; Algorithms ; },
abstract = {The Congo Basin tropical forests are home to many endemic and endangered species, and a global hotspot for forest fragmentation and loss. Yet, little has been done to document the region's rapid deforestation, assess its effects and consequences, or project future forest cover loss to aid in effective planning. Here we applied the Random Forest (RF) supervised classification algorithm in Google Earth Engine (GEE) to map and quantify decadal changes in forest cover and land use (LCLU) in the Congo Basin between 1990 and 2020. We cross-validated our LCLU maps with existing global land cover products, and projected our validated results to 2050 under three climate change scenarios, using the Multiperceptron Artificial Neural Network and Markov chain algorithms of the Idrissi Land Change modeller from TerrSet. We found that, over 5.2% (215,938 km2), 1.2% (50,046 km2), and a 2.1% (86,658 km2) of dense forest cover were lost in the Congo Basin between 1990-2000, 2000-2010, and 2010-2020, totaling approximately 8.5% (352,642 km2) loss estimated between 1990-2020. For the period 2020-2050, we estimated a projected 3.7-4.0% (174,860-204,161 km2) loss in dense forest cover under all three climate change scenarios (i.e., 174,860 km2 loss projected for SSP1-2.6, 199,608 km2 for SSP2-4.5, and 204,161 km2 for SSP5-8.5), suggesting that approximately 12.3-12.6% (527,502 km2-556,803 km2) of dense forest cover could be lost over a 60-year period (1990-2050). Our study represents a novel application of spatial modeling tools and Machine Learning algorithms for assessing long-term deforestation and forest degradation within the Congo Basin, under human population growth and IPCC climate change scenarios. We provide spatial and quantitative results required for supporting long-term deforestation and forest degradation monitoring within Congo Basin countries, especially under the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC) REDD+ (Reduce Emissions from Deforestation and Forest Degradation) program.},
}
@article {pmid39621618,
year = {2024},
author = {Ureta, C and Ramírez-Barrón, M and Ruán-Soto, F and Kolb, M and Martínez-Cruz, AL and Gasparello, G and Sánchez-Cordero, V},
title = {Impact of climate change on the distribution of insectivorous bats: Implications for small-scale farming in southern Mexico.},
journal = {PloS one},
volume = {19},
number = {12},
pages = {e0310623},
pmid = {39621618},
issn = {1932-6203},
mesh = {Animals ; *Chiroptera/physiology ; *Climate Change ; Mexico ; *Agriculture ; *Ecosystem ; Pest Control ; },
abstract = {Bats provide important ecosystem services for agriculture, such as pest control, a function that is particularly relevant for small-scale farmers. However, climate change is causing a decrease in bat populations. To assess the potential impacts of climate change on insectivorous bats and the implications on small-scale farming of indigenous communities in the Chiapas Highlands in southern Mexico we developed a three-step protocol: (1) projecting distribution shifts of insectivorous bats under climate change scenarios using non-dispersal and limited-full dispersal assumptions, (2) using official information to estimate the average economic value of conducting chemical pest control in crops at a state level, (3) surveying small-scale farmers to estimate the local economic value of pest control and determine how bats are perceived by small-scale farmers. Our models project shifts in bat species due to climate change. Given that new suitable climatic areas are also projected, if we assume a limited-full dispersal scenario, bats might not be as at risk by climate change, but shifting their distribution to more suitable habitats will probably affect the dynamic of the ecosystem service they provide. The official estimated value of chemical pest control is $15.15 USD/ha, while the estimated cost resulting from a hybrid survey with small-scale farmers was $47.53 USD/ha. The difference in cost could be related to an overuse of insecticides for pest control or an increase in price due to reduced accessibility. Sixty percent of surveyed farmers perceived a decline in bat populations, 68% were unaware of the benefits that bats provide to their crops, 51% believe that bats are mainly hematophagous, and 10% recognize that people harm or kill bats. A new approach including communicating small-scale farmers in their native languages the benefits that insectivorous bats provide along with a pest management strategy for the efficient use of insecticides needs to be implemented.},
}
@article {pmid39621546,
year = {2024},
author = {Mendes, SB and Nogales, M and Vargas, P and Olesen, JM and Marrero, P and Romero, J and Rumeu, B and González-Castro, A and Heleno, R},
title = {Climb forest, climb: diverse disperser communities are key to assist plants tracking climate change on altitudinal gradients.},
journal = {The New phytologist},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1111/nph.20300},
pmid = {39621546},
issn = {1469-8137},
support = {CEECINST/00152/2018/CP1570/CT0014//Funda&#xe7;&#xe3;o para a Ci&#xea;ncia e a Tecnologia/ ; LA/P/0092/2020//Funda&#xe7;&#xe3;o para a Ci&#xea;ncia e a Tecnologia/ ; UIDB/04004/2020//Funda&#xe7;&#xe3;o para a Ci&#xea;ncia e a Tecnologia/ ; SFRH/BD/144414/2019//Funda&#xe7;&#xe3;o para a Ci&#xea;ncia e a Tecnologia/ ; PID2022-137906NB-I00//Ministerio de Ciencia, Innovaci&#xf3;n y Universidades/ ; },
abstract = {Climate change is forcing species to shift their distribution ranges. Animal seed dispersers might be particularly important in assisting plants tracking suitable climates to higher elevations. However, this role is still poorly understood due to a lack of comprehensive multi-guild datasets along elevational gradients. We compiled seed dispersal networks for the five altitudinal vegetation belts of the Tenerife Island (0-3718 m above sea level) to explore how plant and animal species might facilitate the mutual colonisation of uphill habitats under climate change. The overall network comprised 283 distinct interactions between 73 plant and 27 animal species, with seed dispersers offering viable pathways for plants to colonise upper vegetation belts. A pivotal role is played by a lizard as island-level hub, while four birds and one introduced mammal (rabbit) are also important connectors between belts. Eleven plant species were empirically found to be actively dispersed to elevations beyond their current known range, with observed vertical dispersal distances largely surpassing those required to escape climate change. Furthermore, over half of the plants arriving at higher elevations were exotic. Functionally diverse disperser communities are crucial for enabling plants tracking climate change on mountains, but exotic plants might particularly benefit from this upward lift.},
}
@article {pmid39621246,
year = {2025},
author = {Alkan, Z and Karataş, B and Sepil, A},
title = {Evaluation of global warming effects on juvenile rainbow trout: focus on immunohistochemistry and osmoregulation.},
journal = {Fish physiology and biochemistry},
volume = {51},
number = {1},
pages = {1-13},
pmid = {39621246},
issn = {1573-5168},
support = {# FDK-10854//Van Yuzuncu Y&#x131;l University, Scientific Research Projects Department/ ; # FDK-10854//Van Yuzuncu Y&#x131;l University, Scientific Research Projects Department/ ; # FDK-10854//Van Yuzuncu Y&#x131;l University, Scientific Research Projects Department/ ; },
mesh = {Animals ; *Oncorhynchus mykiss/physiology/metabolism ; *Global Warming ; *Osmoregulation ; *Gills/metabolism ; Immunohistochemistry ; Salinity ; Osmolar Concentration ; Temperature ; },
abstract = {The negative effects of global warming also directly affect aquatic populations. Consequences such as evaporation due to chronic temperature increase, increase in salinity, and increase in stock density per unit volume are potential stress factors. While creating the trial design, an attempt was made to simulate the effects of global warming, especially on species living in salty and brackish water biotopes. In this study, changes in the gills of rainbow trout (Oncorhynchus mykiss) acclimated to 0, 20, and 38 ‰ of saline in the laboratory were examined histologically and immunohistochemically and blood serum osmolarity. In addition, the water temperature was changed, and experiments were carried out at 16, 19, and 22 °C for each salinity group in parallel with the increase in salinity. However, to simulate the decrease in water volume and intensive stocking due to the potential impact of climate change, the study was carried out using 15 fishes in low-volume aquariums (45 L). Tap water that had been kept for at least 3 days was used in the aquariums. To protect the water quality, independent aquariums with sponge filters were used, and since the aim was to keep dissolved oxygen low, no ventilation system other than the sponge filter was used. In order to minimize the deterioration in water quality during the trial, a 15% water change was performed by performing a bottom flush every 4 days and water of the same temperature and salinity was added as much as the reduced volume. In addition, since increasing stock density due to temperature increase and water decrease will cause the amount of dissolved oxygen to decrease, pure oxygen was not entered into any tank throughout the experiment, and the concentration was requested to be at a low level (7 ± 0.13 mg/L) in all groups. The trials were terminated at the end of the 71st day. Increased serum osmolarity values were observed due to the increase in salinity, and the highest serum osmolarity value was measured at 644 mOsm/kg in the 38 ‰ salinity group. Differences between the groups were found to be statistically significant (p < 0.05). It was observed that the number of cells containing Na[+]/K[+]-ATPase increased depending on salinity. Also, the number of chloride cells reached the maximum level in the 38 ‰ salinity group. Due to increasing salt levels, an increase in mucus cells, limited onset hyperplasia, aneurysm, lamellar separation, and necrosis were observed in the gill tissue.},
}
@article {pmid39620702,
year = {2024},
author = {Joshi, M and Joshi, A and Bartter, T},
title = {The impact of climate change on respiratory health: current understanding and knowledge gaps.},
journal = {Current opinion in pulmonary medicine},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1097/MCP.0000000000001145},
pmid = {39620702},
issn = {1531-6971},
abstract = {PURPOSE OF REVIEW: To present an overview of the impact of climate change upon human respiratory health.<br><br>RECENT FINDINGS: Climate change is directly impacting air quality. Particulate matter clearly increases mortality rates. Ozone, a longstanding suspect in climate-related injury, turns out not to have the major impact that had been projected at current levels of exposure. The key factors in global warming have been clearly identified, but while these factors collectively cause deleterious changes, a close look at the literature shows that it is unclear to what extent each factor individually is a driver of a specific process. This article summarizes some of those studies.<br><br>SUMMARY: A better understanding of which components of climate change most impact human health is needed in order to re-define environmental standards. PM2.5 needs to be broken down by chemical composition to study the differential impacts of different sources of PM2.5. The detection and study of climate-related changes in respiratory infectious diseases is in a state of relative infancy.},
}
@article {pmid39620095,
year = {2024},
author = {Alberto, RP and Teano, JA and Paz-Alberto, AM and Tangonan, MAB and Villamar, HJE and Clement, S and Montagnes, DJS and Morse, AP},
title = {Impacts of climate change on mangrove subsistence fisheries: a global review.},
journal = {Marine life science &amp; technology},
volume = {6},
number = {4},
pages = {610-630},
pmid = {39620095},
issn = {2662-1746},
abstract = {UNLABELLED: Climate change will impact coastal ecosystems, threatening subsistence fisheries including those in mangrove forests. Despite their global contributions and roles in nutrition and cultural identity, mangrove subsistence fisheries are poorly studied. Here, we offer a foundation for improving the management of mangrove subsistence fisheries to deal with the impending effects of climate change. This multidisciplinary review-drawing on organismal biology, ecology, fisheries, and social science-focuses on the climate impacts relevant to mangrove ecosystems: heat waves, low-category, and high-category typhoons. First, we provide an overview of the mangroves, their harvestable stocks (fish, crustaceans, molluscs), and the fishers, offering an understanding of how they may be affected by relevant environmental variables; i.e., shifts in temperature, salinity, oxygen, flooding, and sediments. Then, we examine the potential effects of climate change on mangrove stocks and fishers, indicating the scope of impending changes. By combining the above information, we develop a simple model that forecasts the number of "fishing-days" lost by fishers due to climate change over the next decade (between 11 and 21 days will be lost per year per fisher). This indicates which aspects of climate change will have the greatest impacts on stocks and fishers. We found that high-category typhoons had more impacts than heat waves, which in turn had a greater impact than low-category typhoons). Finally, recognising gaps in our knowledge and understanding, we offer recommendations for approaches for future work to improve our predictions.<br><br>SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION: The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1007/s42995-024-00231-3.},
}
@article {pmid39619845,
year = {2024},
author = {Cao, G and Yuan, X and Shu, Q and Gao, Y and Wu, T and Xiao, C and Xu, J and Zhang, Y},
title = {Prediction of the potentially suitable areas of Eucommia ulmoides Oliver in China under climate change based on optimized Biomod2 and MaxEnt models.},
journal = {Frontiers in plant science},
volume = {15},
number = {},
pages = {1359271},
pmid = {39619845},
issn = {1664-462X},
abstract = {Eucommia ulmoides Oliver is a medicinal plant of significant economic importance. Its cortex has been employed for centuries to alleviate various conditions such as lumbar pain, knee pain, and osteoporosis. Additionally, E. ulmoides possesses substantial industrial value. With the growing demand for this medicinal herb, ensuring its sustainable supply has become imperative. Climate change has caused habitat restrictions or migration of medicinal plants. Therefore, predicting the impact of climate change on the distribution of E. ulmoides is crucial for its conservation and sustainable use. This study evaluated the potential distribution of E. ulmoides across China under various climate change scenarios since the last interglacial period by modeling suitable areas based on 257 distribution records and 19 major environmental factors related to E. ulmoides. The model selection process initially identified the MaxEnt model as the most suitable. The optimized MaxEnt model, with RM = 2.0 and FC = LQHPT settings, generated the most precise predictions. Results indicate that the minimum temperature of the coldest month, annual mean temperature, and annual precipitation significantly affect the distribution of E. ulmoides. Under current environmental conditions, highly suitable areas for E. ulmoides are found in Southwest and Southeast China, with a total suitable habitat area of 23.12 × 10[4] km[2]. However, the range of suitable habitat has shifted due to global warming's negative impact. Under different climate scenarios, suitable areas for E. ulmoides have either increased or decreased, with expansions primarily in high-latitude regions. Future climate scenarios predict shifts in the centroid of suitable E. ulmoides habitat towards Yichang City in Hubei Province. The findings of this study support the development, artificial cultivation, and conservation of E. ulmoides resources.},
}
@article {pmid39619840,
year = {2024},
author = {Muhammad, A and Kong, X and Zheng, S and Bai, N and Li, L and Khan, MHU and Fiaz, S and Zhang, Z},
title = {Exploring plant-microbe interactions in adapting to abiotic stress under climate change: a review.},
journal = {Frontiers in plant science},
volume = {15},
number = {},
pages = {1482739},
pmid = {39619840},
issn = {1664-462X},
abstract = {Climatic change and extreme weather events have become a major threat to global agricultural productivity. Plants coexist with microorganisms, which play a significant role in influencing their growth and functional traits. The rhizosphere serves as an ecological niche encompassing plant roots and is a chemically complex environment that supports the growth and development of diverse plant-interactive microbes. Although plant-microbe interactions have been extensively investigated however, limited exploration have been made how abiotic stresses affect the structure and assembly of microbial communities in the rhizosphere. This review highlights climate change influence on plant growth, functional traits, and microbial communities. It explores plant mechanisms for mitigating abiotic stress, such as removing reactive oxygen species (ROS), regulating antioxidant activity and indole-3-acetic acid (IAA) production, and controlling growth-inhibitory ethylene levels through colonization by bacteria producing ACC deaminase. Additionally, we elaborated the systematic communicatory network steered by hormonal crosstalk and root exudation, which can modulate and initiate the dialogues between plants and surrounding microbes. This network ultimately promotes the chemotactic movement of microbes towards the rhizosphere, facilitating their early colonization. Finally, we reviewed the recent advancements for understanding how plant-microbe interactions foster resilience under climate stress.},
}
@article {pmid39619424,
year = {2024},
author = {Palombo, D},
title = {Business, Human Rights and Climate Change: The Gradual Expansion of the Duty of Care.},
journal = {Oxford journal of legal studies},
volume = {44},
number = {4},
pages = {889-919},
doi = {10.1093/ojls/gqae023},
pmid = {39619424},
issn = {0143-6503},
abstract = {This article investigates how human rights considerations are increasingly shaping tort law by focusing on the gradual expansion of the duty of care in business and human rights cases. For decades, victims have attempted to hold parent companies to account for extraterritorial human rights abuses committed by their foreign subsidiaries. Recently, the Supreme Court ruled that UK courts have jurisdiction over such business and human rights cases. These cases are not only jurisdictional. They also contributed to developing the duty of care case law on parental liability. But how much can human rights considerations stretch the boundaries of tort law? The article analyses the case of climate change litigation to assess whether a further development in tort law jurisprudence would be necessary to hold corporations accountable for their contribution to climate change.},
}
@article {pmid39618829,
year = {2024},
author = {Scirocco, T and Eman, KU and Raviglione, MC and Kazi, GN},
title = {The time to act is now if we are to reduce the impact of climate change on global health.},
journal = {Public health action},
volume = {14},
number = {4},
pages = {137-138},
pmid = {39618829},
issn = {2220-8372},
}
@article {pmid39618413,
year = {2024},
author = {Gougherty, AV and Prasad, AM and Peters, MP and Matthews, SN and Adams, BT},
title = {Climate Change and the Emergence of No-Analog Forest Assemblages in North America.},
journal = {Global change biology},
volume = {30},
number = {12},
pages = {e17605},
doi = {10.1111/gcb.17605},
pmid = {39618413},
issn = {1365-2486},
mesh = {*Climate Change ; *Forests ; North America ; *Trees ; Phylogeny ; Biodiversity ; Models, Theoretical ; },
abstract = {Future climate change is expected to result in tree species shifting their geographic distributions in ways that could reorganize species into assemblages with no contemporary analog. These projected no-analog forests raise concern as their ecological function could similarly shift, which may challenge established conservation and management efforts. Here, we implement a community-level modelling approach to identify the key climatic and topographic drivers of forest composition in North America, and then use these models to predict the distribution of "disappearing" and "novel" forest assemblages in future climate. We applied this modelling technique to both the taxonomic and phylogenetic composition of forest trees, to identify where species turnover may be greatest, and whether species are likely to be replaced with close relatives. Our work shows that approximately 11.9% of contemporary North American forests have low predicted similarity to future forests, and 26.2% of future forests could be compositionally novel compared with contemporary forests, but there was substantial geographic variability in the magnitude of these metrics across the continent. High-elevation regions in the west tend to be nearest to their closest compositional analog, suggesting these regions may be most likely to realize the future predicted composition. This work provides a new approach to understanding how forest composition may shift in future climates in a way that avoids the need for individual species predictions and extends climate-matching approaches with meaningful biological data.},
}
@article {pmid39616913,
year = {2024},
author = {Pan, B and Tian, H and Pan, B and Zhong, T and Xin, M and Ding, J and Wei, J and Huang, HJ and Tang, JQ and Zhang, F and Feng, NX and Mo, CH},
title = {Investigating the environmental dynamics of emerging pollutants in response to global climate change: Insights from bibliometrics-based visualization analysis.},
journal = {The Science of the total environment},
volume = {957},
number = {},
pages = {177758},
doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.177758},
pmid = {39616913},
issn = {1879-1026},
abstract = {The environmental dynamics of emerging pollutants were profoundly influenced by global climate change, attracting widespread attention to this complex interaction. However, single studies or reviews were insufficient to grasp, clarify, and predict the evolutionary characteristics and coupling patterns of emerging pollutants under global climate change. Here, 2389 research articles collected from the Web of Science Core Collection database for the period 2000-2023 were analyzed using systematic bibliometric visual analysis software. Results suggested a rapid growth trend in this field study, particularly accelerating after 2015. The United States, China, the United Kingdom, and Spain led in the volume of publications, forming a multidisciplinary research network centered on environmental science. Wastewater treatment, personal care products, pharmaceuticals, and heavy metals were identified as current research hotspots, with climate change emerging as the most prominent keyword. Research focus gradually shifted from single pollutants to multi-pollutant composite effects, from local issues to global-scale assessments, and from phenomenon description to mechanism analysis and risk evaluation. It is concluded that climate change is reshaping the environmental behaviors and ecological risks of emerging pollutants, and multidisciplinary, multi-scale research methods are urgent need. Future research is suggested to strengthen interdisciplinary collaboration, integrate climate and pollutant migration models, and investigate impacts of extreme climate events in depth.},
}
@article {pmid39616896,
year = {2024},
author = {Cui, Y},
title = {GLMY homology theory meets idopNetwork: Dissecting soil microbiota resilience under forest thinning and climate change.},
journal = {Physics of life reviews},
volume = {52},
number = {},
pages = {44-45},
doi = {10.1016/j.plrev.2024.11.016},
pmid = {39616896},
issn = {1873-1457},
}
@article {pmid39616782,
year = {2024},
author = {Chen, X and Li, M and Zhang, Z},
title = {Climate change challenges coastal blue carbon restoration in China.},
journal = {Journal of environmental management},
volume = {373},
number = {},
pages = {123502},
doi = {10.1016/j.jenvman.2024.123502},
pmid = {39616782},
issn = {1095-8630},
abstract = {Coastal blue carbon has become an emerging natural climate solution (NCS) that offers significant potential for mitigating global climate change while providing various ecosystem services. However, blue carbon ecosystems, including mangroves, tidal salt marshes, and seagrass meadows, are susceptible to the impacts of climate change, which in turn affects their potential to mitigate climate change. In this study, we employed the MaxEnt to evaluate the potential suitable areas and carbon sink potential of China's Coastal blue carbon ecosystem under three climate scenarios for the present and projected conditio ns in 2050. Our results reveal that China's coastal blue carbon ecosystems have an estimated carbon sequestration potential of 8.65 ∗ 10[5] t/a. Specifically the potential annual carbon sequestration of mangroves is 1.457 ∗ 10[5] t/a, tidal salt marshes is 6.714 ∗ 10[5] t/a, and seagrass is 4.769 ∗ 10[4] t/a. By 2050, due to climate change, the annual carbon sequestration potential of China's coastal blue carbon is projected to decrease by 0.733-2.351 ∗ 10[5] t/a, representing an 8-27 % reduction from the current levels. Furthermore, the distribution of potential suitable areas for these blue carbon ecosystems is expected to shifted to different degrees, among which the potential suitable areas of mangrove will be transferred to the greatest extent, showing a trend of northward expansion. Future conservation and restoration efforts for blue carbon ecosystems ought to consider the impact of climate change and fully utilize the potential of blue carbon.},
}
@article {pmid39616391,
year = {2024},
author = {Zanaty, N and Ibrahim, N and Ramadan, HK and Ahmad, AA and Saad-Hussein, A},
title = {Significance of climate change in the emergence of human fascioliasis in Upper Egypt.},
journal = {Tropical diseases, travel medicine and vaccines},
volume = {10},
number = {1},
pages = {24},
pmid = {39616391},
issn = {2055-0936},
abstract = {BACKGROUND: Climate change in the upcoming years will raise the health burden of zoonotic parasites. As a liver fluke, Fasciola depends on certain climate conditions to complete its life cycle and is significantly influenced by climate changes. We aimed to investigate the relationship between the increasing prevalence of human fascioliasis and climate changes in Upper Egypt.<br><br>METHODS: Records of Fasciola cases in Assiut Governorate in Upper Egypt were evaluated between September 2018 and March 2023. The annual and monthly climate parameters of the region's temperature and humidity acquired from ERA5 and FLDAS were investigated between 2000 and 2023.<br><br>RESULTS: A total of 303 patients were included. The mean age was 33.9&#x2009;&#xb1;&#x2009;17.4 years; 57.1% were females, and the majority were rural residents. Positive correlations were found between temperature and the recorded cases in 2018, 2020, 2021, and 2022 (r&#x2009;=&#x2009;0.92, 0.41, 0.61, and 0.60, respectively). In 2018 and 2022, humidity and Fasciola frequency had a significant positive correlation (r&#x2009;=&#x2009;0.97 and 0.49, respectively). An outbreak of fascioliasis was recorded in September 2018, coinciding with the peak temperature and high humidity levels, exceeding the average climatology range from 2000 to 2017. The recorded cases exhibited a seasonal pattern, with peaks in hot, humid summer and autumn.<br><br>CONCLUSION: The rise of human fascioliasis in Upper Egypt is influenced by local climate characteristics. A climate-based map of Fasciola distribution using forecast risk models is needed to predict future outbreaks and for better control.},
}
@article {pmid39616216,
year = {2024},
author = {Lazoglou, G and Papadopoulos-Zachos, A and Georgiades, P and Zittis, G and Velikou, K and Manios, EM and Anagnostopoulou, C},
title = {Identification of climate change hotspots in the Mediterranean.},
journal = {Scientific reports},
volume = {14},
number = {1},
pages = {29817},
pmid = {39616216},
issn = {2045-2322},
support = {101081276//PREVENT project funded from the European Union's Horizon Europe Research and Innovation Program/ ; },
abstract = {The Mediterranean region has long been identified as a climate change hotspot. However, within the Mediterranean, there are smaller sub-areas that exhibit a higher risk of climate change and extremes. Previous research has often focused on indices based on mean climate values, yet extremes are typically more impactful on humans and ecosystems. This study aims to identify the most vulnerable sub-areas of the Mediterranean as climate change hotspots using two indices: the newly introduced Mediterranean Hotspot Index (MED-HOT) and the well-defined Regional Climate Change Index (RCCI). The MED-HOT focuses on extreme high maximum and minimum temperatures, rainfall, and drought, while RCCI assesses changes in mean climate conditions. By combining these indices, we provide an identification of Mediterranean hotspots, capturing both mean climate shifts and extremes. The spatiotemporal variation of both indices across the Mediterranean region is presented and the 20 subregions are categorized into distinct groups. The results reveal that the southeastern Mediterranean is at high risk according to both indices. Additionally, southern Italy is identified as high risk due to changes in mean climate (RCCI), while the northern part is at risk due to extreme events (MED-HOT). The Iberian Peninsula and Greece are also highlighted as vulnerable areas requiring extra attention.},
}
@article {pmid39615017,
year = {2024},
author = {Basukala, AK and Eschenbach, A and Rasche, L},
title = {Effect of irrigation canal conveyance efficiency enhancement on crop productivity under climate change in Nepal.},
journal = {Environmental monitoring and assessment},
volume = {196},
number = {12},
pages = {1282},
pmid = {39615017},
issn = {1573-2959},
mesh = {*Climate Change ; Nepal ; *Agricultural Irrigation/methods ; *Crops, Agricultural/growth &amp; development ; *Oryza/growth &amp; development ; *Zea mays/growth &amp; development ; Triticum/growth &amp; development ; Agriculture/methods ; },
abstract = {Nepal is expanding its irrigation facilities as an adaptive measure to climate change; however, the current canal conveyance efficiency (CCE) is low with significant water losses. In this study, we assess the potential impact of increasing CCE on the productivity of rice, maize, and wheat under different climate change scenarios (SSP1-2.6, SSP3-7.0, and SSP5-8.5), utilizing three bias-adjusted general circulation models. The study simulates potential yields at ecoregion levels for two periods: near future (2023 to 2050) and end-century (2075 to 2100). Management scenarios include the following: (1) business as usual, (2) CCE at 30%, (3) CCE at 50%, and (4) CCE at 70%. The results indicate that increasing CCE to 30%, coupled with expanded irrigated areas and adjusted fertilization rates, could boost yields by three tons per hectare across all three crops at the national level. Further increasing CCE to 50% could yield additional increases of up to 0.6 t/ha of maize and 1.2 t/ha of rice in the terai region. A CCE of 70% results in further increases of up to 2.1 t/ha of rice and 1.2 t/ha of maize. The benefits of improved CCE vary by location, with the subtropical terai region experiencing the most and the mountain regions showing the least. We conclude that there is potential to increase yields by increasing CCE to 70% in the terai region, 50% in the hill region, and 30% in the mountains. Wheat appears to benefit the least from improved CCE. This work highlights efficient irrigation as a reliable adaptive measure for future climate change in Nepal.},
}
@article {pmid39612795,
year = {2024},
author = {Suárez-Mozo, NY and Moulatlet, GM and Pérez-Ceballos, R and Capparelli, MV},
title = {Variation in mangrove species diversity across gradients of climate-change-induced environmental conditions and hydrological restoration.},
journal = {Journal of environmental management},
volume = {373},
number = {},
pages = {123476},
doi = {10.1016/j.jenvman.2024.123476},
pmid = {39612795},
issn = {1095-8630},
abstract = {Increasing drought, elevated temperatures, and salinization are significant challenges to reestablishing species in mangrove restoration areas. In this study, we assessed how the diversity of two key mangrove faunal groups, molluscs and brachyuran crustaceans (hereafter referred to as crabs), varies across a gradient of disturbed, restored, and natural (undisturbed) mangroves. We also explored what are the environmental factors driving these variations in ten sites across the southern Gulf of Mexico, one of the global regions with the largest mangrove coverage. A total of 15 species were recorded (10 mollusks and 5 crabs), with higher abundance in natural (612 individuals) than in restored (554 individuals) or degraded (98 individuals) sites. Community structure analyses revealed that certain species were restricted to specific restoration conditions. For example, the crab Minuca vocator was found only in restored sites, while the mollusc Vitta virginea was exclusive to natural sites. In contrast, species like the crab Minuca rapax were present across all site types. Salinity emerged as the primary environmental factor influencing community structure, with disturbed sites exhibiting significantly higher salinity levels than restored and natural sites. All sites were classified as hypersaline, presenting challenges for species that cannot tolerate such conditions. This study provides a valuable baseline for understanding the ecological conditions that influence on the success of mangrove restoration, offering insights on the effects of environmental factors driving species diversity in this ecosystem.},
}
@article {pmid39612704,
year = {2024},
author = {Istvánovics, V and Honti, M and Clement, A and Kravinszkaja, G and Pósfai, M and Torma, P},
title = {Chloride and sodium budgets of a shallow freshwater lake - Current status and the impact of climate change.},
journal = {The Science of the total environment},
volume = {957},
number = {},
pages = {177616},
doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.177616},
pmid = {39612704},
issn = {1879-1026},
abstract = {The large, shallow Lake Balaton (Hungary) has experienced rapid salinization since the 1970s. This study investigated the causes of salinization and aimed at predicting the effects of climate change. Monthly mass balance models for chloride and sodium were calibrated using water balance and water quality monitoring data (1976-2022) to analyze the effects of climate change (2022-2100) through ensemble modeling under the IPCC RCP 4.5 scenario. Current (2016-2020) emission inventories were developed for both chloride and sodium. The long-term (1921-2022) emission inventory of chloride was used to build a simplified chloride balance model for the catchment. Historical salinization occurred with almost constant external loading, in parallel with the increasing water residence times. According to the mass balance model, 18-28 % of the cumulative chloride and sodium loads has been accumulated in lake sediments, potentially slowing recovery of the lake from salinization. Climate change was predicted to aggravate salinization by further reducing the water balance surplus. Even the extremely high chloride concentrations of the future will remain well below the drinking water limit, but they may adversely affect the aquatic ecosystem. Both agriculture and road deicing contributed about one-third of current chloride emissions. Wastewater accounted for <20 % due to significant wastewater diversion to adjacent catchments. The rapid intensification of Hungarian agriculture from the mid-1960s, followed by a sudden economic collapse in 1990, resulted in a large emission peak of chloride in the 1970-80s, providing a unique opportunity to estimate the long-term retention of chloride in the catchment. We estimated that 30 % of the chloride emitted since 1921 may still be present in groundwater/soils.},
}
@article {pmid39612041,
year = {2024},
author = {Katznelson, E and Malkani, K and Zhang, R and Patel, S},
title = {Impact of Climate Change on Cardiovascular Health.},
journal = {Current atherosclerosis reports},
volume = {27},
number = {1},
pages = {13},
pmid = {39612041},
issn = {1534-6242},
mesh = {Humans ; *Climate Change ; *Cardiovascular Diseases/epidemiology ; Air Pollution/adverse effects ; },
abstract = {PURPOSE OF REVIEW: Climate change is profoundly impacting cardiovascular disease through rising temperatures, more extreme weather events, and worsening air pollution. This review analyzes how these factors affect cardiovascular health.<br><br>RECENT FINDINGS: Extreme heat and cold cause physiological changes, including increasing the risk of blood clots, faster heart rates, and inflammation. Air pollution and wildfire smoke lead to oxidative stress and systemic inflammation, leading to heightened cardiovascular risk. Extreme weather disrupts healthcare access, complicating chronic condition management and negatively impacts people from lower socioeconomic communities. Climate-related stressors also affect mental health, which in turn impacts cardiovascular health. Long-term changes, such as food insecurity and migration, further strain heart health due to poor diets and psychological stress. Cardiologists must understand these risks to better support and treat patients in our changing climate.},
}
@article {pmid39611976,
year = {2024},
author = {Riyaz, Z and Khan, ST},
title = {Nitrogen fixation by methanogenic Archaea, literature review and DNA database-based analysis; significance in face of climate change.},
journal = {Archives of microbiology},
volume = {207},
number = {1},
pages = {6},
pmid = {39611976},
issn = {1432-072X},
mesh = {*Nitrogen Fixation/genetics ; *Archaea/genetics/metabolism/classification ; *Climate Change ; *Soil Microbiology ; Phylogeny ; Databases, Nucleic Acid ; Methane/metabolism ; DNA, Archaeal/genetics ; },
abstract = {Archaea represents a significant population of up to 10% in soil microbial communities. The role of Archaea in soil is often overlooked mainly due to its unculturability. Among the three domains of life biological nitrogen fixation (BNF) is mainly a trait of Eubacteria and some Archaea. Archaea mediated processes like BNF may become even more important in the face of global Climate change. Although there are reports on nitrogen fixation by Archaea, to best of our knowledge there is no comprehensive report on BNF by Archaea under environmental stresses typical to climate change. Here we report a survey of literature and DNA database to study N2-fixation among Archaea. A total of 37 Archaea belonging to Methanogens of the phylum Euryarchaeota within the class Methanococcus, Methanomicrobia Methanobacteria, and Methanotrophic ANME2 lineages either contain genes for BNF or are known to fix atmospheric N2. Archaea were found to have their nif genes arranged as clusters of 6-8 genes in a single operon. The genes code for commonly found Mo-nitrogenase while in some archaea the genes for alternative metal nitrogenases like vnf were also found. The nifHDK gene similarity matrices show that Archaea shared the highest similarity with the nifHDK gene of anaerobic Clostridium beijerinckii. Although there are various theories about the origin of N2-fixation in Archaea, the most acceptable is the origin of N2-fixation first in bacteria and its subsequent transfer to Archaea. Since Archaea can survive under extreme environmental conditions their role in BNF should be studied especially in soil under environmental stress.},
}
@article {pmid39611672,
year = {2024},
author = {Dumbuya, S and Chabinga, R and Ferede, MA and Saber, M},
title = {Climate change impacts on maternal health and pregnancy outcomes in Africa.},
journal = {Journal of water and health},
volume = {22},
number = {11},
pages = {2113-2131},
pmid = {39611672},
issn = {1477-8920},
mesh = {Humans ; Female ; *Climate Change ; Pregnancy ; Africa ; *Pregnancy Outcome/epidemiology ; *Maternal Health ; },
abstract = {The review examines how climate change adversely affects maternal health and pregnancy outcomes in Africa, a region particularly vulnerable to climate-related disasters. It highlights the increased incidence of tropical and waterborne illnesses due to climate change, disproportionately impacting expectant mothers. The study thoroughly evaluates the effects of extreme weather events like heatwaves and floods on maternal health, both directly and indirectly. It underscores significant gaps in policy and research within African health sectors regarding these issues. Key findings reveal that maternal death rates remain alarmingly high, with risks like preterm birth, stillbirth, and maternal hypertension exacerbated by climate change. The review calls for urgent action, including enhanced research, increased funding for climate adaptation, and the integration of maternal health into broader climate resilience strategies. Additionally, it emphasizes the need for greater awareness and international collaboration to strengthen health systems in Africa, particularly addressing the vulnerabilities of pregnant women. This work aims to enhance understanding among policymakers and researchers about the critical health impacts of climate change on pregnant women in Africa.},
}
@article {pmid39611671,
year = {2024},
author = {Moon, MP},
title = {The silent threat: Unveiling climate change's water and health challenges in Bangladesh.},
journal = {Journal of water and health},
volume = {22},
number = {11},
pages = {2094-2112},
pmid = {39611671},
issn = {1477-8920},
mesh = {Bangladesh/epidemiology ; *Climate Change ; Humans ; Water Supply ; Public Health ; Drinking Water/analysis ; Water Quality ; Communicable Diseases/epidemiology ; },
abstract = {Bangladesh faces a growing number of issues, such as limited sources of potable water and health hazards that are either directly or indirectly linked to climate change. In total, 16 publications from 2007 to 2024 were manually screened for inclusion in this systematic review. The articles were divided into three categories: climate and water, climate and health, and climate, water, and health. Due to the climate change, 20 million individuals in Bangladesh have been suffering from water- and health-related illness. The results showed that among Bangladeshi vulnerable groups, cholera, infant diarrhea, pneumonia, dengue, malaria, mental illness, hypertension, cardiovascular disease, cerebrovascular disease, and an increase in communicable diseases like water-, vector-, and food-borne infections, along with malnutrition, are common. Further findings of the study include health risks, water-related risks, and difficulties in determining the consequences of climate change. This review study focuses on Bangladesh, a developing country, and the correlation between climate change and the dangers of water and health-related diseases. The findings of this study have substantial implications for risk assessment, water quality, climate change, and public health, especially in poor nations, as well as for policymakers and academicians in these fields.},
}
@article {pmid39611321,
year = {2024},
author = {Khanal, S and Shrestha, R and Boeckmann, M},
title = {Examining health equity in Nepal's climate change and health policies through the lens of environmental justice: insights from a content analysis.},
journal = {Global health action},
volume = {17},
number = {1},
pages = {2432069},
doi = {10.1080/16549716.2024.2432069},
pmid = {39611321},
issn = {1654-9880},
mesh = {Nepal ; *Climate Change ; Humans ; *Health Equity ; *Health Policy ; *Environmental Justice ; Socioeconomic Factors ; Qualitative Research ; Vulnerable Populations ; },
abstract = {BACKGROUND: Climate change presents a multifaceted challenge with unequal health implications, particularly for vulnerable populations with limited adaptive capacity. Socioeconomic factors are intricately linked with environmental health outcomes and environmental factors significantly exacerbate existing health inequities. Health equity as a goal of environmental justice can address these issues.<br><br>OBJECTIVE: To examine the integration of health equity within climate change and health policy documents in Nepal.<br><br>METHODS: Using a qualitative content analysis approach based on Schlosberg's framework of environmental justice, we analyzed the coverage of health equity considerations in climate and health policies, assessing aspects of distribution, recognition, and participation.<br><br>RESULTS: Twenty-one national-level policies, strategies, and plans/guidelines on climate change and health were analyzed. Nepal's policy documents lack clear definitions of health equity in relation to climate change, and related terms are used inconsistently. Health vulnerability is often addressed broadly rather than specifically. Health equity-related statements from environmental justice viewpoint vary across sectors. Many documents emphasize equitable distribution of resources and benefits, with participation in decision-making processes being the least discussed.<br><br>CONCLUSIONS: In Nepal, lack of shared understanding of health equity across sectors hinders coordinated policy efforts. There is an urgent need to expand climate change responses to consider specific health vulnerabilities. By positioning health equity as a key element of environmental justice, this study provides a broader perspective on climate change-related health equity that could encourage collaborative action between the environment and health sectors.},
}
@article {pmid39609135,
year = {2024},
author = {González, AG and Forja, J and Santos-Echeandía, J and Blasco, J and Torres-Padrón, M},
title = {Editorial for climate change and oceans.},
journal = {The Science of the total environment},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {177683},
doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.177683},
pmid = {39609135},
issn = {1879-1026},
}
@article {pmid39608899,
year = {2024},
author = {Katey, D and Zanu, S},
title = {Climate change and population aging: The role of older adults in climate change mitigation.},
journal = {Journal of aging studies},
volume = {71},
number = {},
pages = {101274},
doi = {10.1016/j.jaging.2024.101274},
pmid = {39608899},
issn = {1879-193X},
mesh = {Humans ; *Climate Change ; Aged ; *Aging ; },
abstract = {This paper explores the intersection of climate change, population aging, and community resilience, focusing on the potentially powerful roles of older adults in climate change mitigation efforts, particularly in developing countries. Through a brief review of relevant literature in the fields of environmental studies, gerontology, and community development, the paper examines the vulnerabilities of older adults to climate change impacts and their potential contributions to adaptation and mitigation strategies. By integrating findings from some existing literature, the paper contributes to ongoing conversations about the inclusivity of climate change actions and the empowerment of marginalized groups. Our suggestions include harnessing the traditional knowledge and leadership of older adults and empowering them to act as climate change activists within their communities. Additionally, the paper suggests encouraging older adults to organize community capacity-building workshops that advocate for environmentally sustainable initiatives. We conclude by emphasizing that neglecting older adults in the climate change discourse risks exacerbating entrenched social inequalities and overlooks the potentially valuable resources and knowledge that older adults can contribute toward climate change mitigation and adaptation. This therefore calls for the recognition of older adults as vital agents of change and empowering them through inclusive development policies, programs, and initiatives. Future research should investigate the long-term impacts of inviting older adults into climate change mitigation efforts, and the barriers that may hinder their active engagement.},
}
@article {pmid39608242,
year = {2024},
author = {Saqib, SE and Yaseen, M and Yang, SH and Ali, S and Visetnoi, S},
title = {Farmers' adaptation to climate change in Pakistan: Can their climate risk management strategies lead to sustainable agriculture?.},
journal = {Journal of environmental management},
volume = {373},
number = {},
pages = {123447},
doi = {10.1016/j.jenvman.2024.123447},
pmid = {39608242},
issn = {1095-8630},
abstract = {Farming communities in many developing nations are facing the impacts of climate change, characterized by greater variability and frequency of extreme weather events, which threaten their livelihoods and the agricultural sector as a whole. Agricultural sustainability is at risk when farmers engage in off-farm activities to protect their economic future and combat climate change. This study aimed to identify the determinants of off-farm management activities adoption and highlight the issues faced by farmers after their adoption in agriculture. The data were collected data through a questionnaire survey from 360 farm households in Pakistan. The study utilized a stepwise probit regression to analyse the adoption of land use and migration-based diversification as risk management strategies. The results indicated that marital status, household size, risk perception of rains, floods, drought, and extreme weather were the factors determining the adoption of land use and migration-based diversification as risk management strategies. However, livestock showed a negative association with the adoption of these strategies. Moreover, the study identified crop failure as the primary reason to adopt off-farm strategies, followed by rising production costs. The results showed that farmers were managing climate change risks at the cost of farmland, labour loss, and increased production costs. The study is unique in its focus on the unanticipated negative effects of this adaptation. The findings emphasize the need for investment in climate-smart agriculture and financial assistance for farmers. Building a sustainable agricultural system needs more than just adaptation: long-term practices and financial protections to stabilize farmers' incomes and help rural areas develop.},
}
@article {pmid39607982,
year = {2024},
author = {Yang, YX and Wang, M and Wu, XY and Zhou, YN and Qiu, J and Cai, X and Li, ZH},
title = {The chromosome-level genome assembly of an endangered herb Bergenia scopulosa provides insights into local adaptation and genomic vulnerability under climate change.},
journal = {GigaScience},
volume = {13},
number = {},
pages = {},
pmid = {39607982},
issn = {2047-217X},
support = {32470392//National Natural Science Foundation of China/ ; 23JHZ009//Basic Research Project of Shaanxi Academy of Fundamental Science/ ; 2022ZDLSF06-02//Key Program of Research and Development of Shaanxi Province/ ; },
mesh = {*Climate Change ; *Endangered Species ; *Genome, Plant ; *Adaptation, Physiological/genetics ; Polymorphism, Single Nucleotide ; Genomics/methods ; Genetics, Population ; Chromosomes, Plant/genetics ; },
abstract = {BACKGROUND: Global climate change poses severe threats to biodiversity and ecosystem stability. Rapid climate oscillations potentially lead to species geographic range shifts, population declines, and even extinctions. The rare and endangered species, being critical components of regional biodiversity, hold the key to understanding local adaptation and evolutionary processes shaping species distributions. Therefore, assessing the evolutionary mechanisms of local adaptation and population vulnerability under climate change is crucial for developing conservation strategies of endangered species.<br><br>RESULTS: In this study, we assembled a high-quality, chromosome-level genome of the rare and endangered herb Bergenia scopulosa in the Qinling Mountains in East Asia and resequenced 37 individual genomes spanning its entire geographic distributional ranges. By integrating population genetics, landscape genomics, and climate datasets, a substantial number of adaptive single-nucleotide polymorphism loci associated with climate variables were identified. The genotype-environment association analysis showed that some cold-tolerant genes have played pivotal roles in cold environmental adaptation of B. scopulosa. These findings are further corroborated through evolutionary analysis of gene family and quantitative PCR validation. Population genomic analysis revealed 2 distinct genetic lineages in B. scopulosa. The western lineage showed higher genomic vulnerability and more rare cold-tolerance alleles, suggesting its heightened sensitivity to impending climate shifts, and should be given priority conservation in the management practices.<br><br>CONCLUSIONS: These findings provide novel insights into local adaptation and genomic vulnerability of B. scopulosa under climate change in the Qinling Mountains in East Asia. Additionally, the study also offers valuable guidance for formulating conservation strategies for the rare and endangered plants.},
}
@article {pmid39607905,
year = {2024},
author = {Lachs, L and Bozec, YM and Bythell, JC and Donner, SD and East, HK and Edwards, AJ and Golbuu, Y and Gouezo, M and Guest, JR and Humanes, A and Riginos, C and Mumby, PJ},
title = {Natural selection could determine whether Acropora corals persist under expected climate change.},
journal = {Science (New York, N.Y.)},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {eadl6480},
doi = {10.1126/science.adl6480},
pmid = {39607905},
issn = {1095-9203},
abstract = {Marine heatwaves are intensifying under climate change, exposing populations of reef-building corals to mass mortality and intense selective pressure. It remains unknown whether adaptation can keep pace with warming and maintain reef functioning. We have developed an eco-evolutionary metapopulation model for Acropora, an ecologically important yet highly threatened coral taxon. We find that although corals have some adaptation capacity, they will suffer severe heatwave-induced declines over the coming decades. For a future where emissions lead to ~3°C of global warming, natural selection could allow populations to persist, albeit in severely depleted states with elevated extinction risk and potential loss of ecosystem functioning. Yet, for thermally sensitive coral populations to thrive post-2050 demands rapid reductions of greenhouse gas emissions that limit global warming to 2°C.},
}
@article {pmid39607839,
year = {2024},
author = {Orievulu, KS and Buczkowska, M and Iwuji, CC},
title = {Does climate change threaten delivery of HIV care in resource-limited settings?.},
journal = {Current opinion in infectious diseases},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
pmid = {39607839},
issn = {1473-6527},
abstract = {PURPOSE OF REVIEW: Extreme weather events (EWEs) pose a challenge to achieving UNAIDS goal of eliminating HIV as a public health threat by 2030. This review summarizes recent findings describing the disruption of HIV services by EWEs and discusses strategies for a resilient HIV care programme in resource-limited settings.<br><br>RECENT FINDINGS: EWEs impact each component of the continuum of care - HIV testing, linkage to treatment, viral suppression and other HIV prevention services. EWEs disrupt healthcare provision either through impacting the ability of the healthcare system to deliver care because of infrastructure damage and increased workload or by limiting people's ability to seek healthcare because of access challenges and forced displacements. This culminates in disengagement from care, poor treatment adherence and increase in HIV disease progression with more vulnerable groups such as women and young people being more adversely impacted.<br><br>SUMMARY: Most people affected by or at risk of HIV reside in resource-poor settings which are the region with the least capacity to adapt to climate change. Few recent studies with very limited geographical coverage show that EWEs affect the delivery of HIV care in this setting. Climate adaptation and mitigation policies are required to protect health in resource-limited settings.},
}
@article {pmid39606844,
year = {2024},
author = {Soomro, S and Zhou, D and Charan, IA},
title = {Investigating Associations Between Climate Change Anxiety and Children's Mental Health in Pakistan: Impacts and Priority Actions - CORRIGENDUM.},
journal = {Disaster medicine and public health preparedness},
volume = {18},
number = {},
pages = {e294},
doi = {10.1017/dmp.2024.328},
pmid = {39606844},
issn = {1938-744X},
}
@article {pmid39606748,
year = {2024},
author = {Magalhães, AFA},
title = {Climate change and its impacts on the world of work.},
journal = {Revista brasileira de medicina do trabalho : publicacao oficial da Associacao Nacional de Medicina do Trabalho-ANAMT},
volume = {22},
number = {3},
pages = {e2024223},
doi = {10.47626/1679-4435-2024-223},
pmid = {39606748},
issn = {1679-4435},
}
@article {pmid39605176,
year = {2024},
author = {Rodrigues-Filho, CAS and Costa, FRC and Schietti, J and Nogueira, A and Leitão, RP and Menger, J and Borba, G and Gerolamo, CS and Avilla, SS and Emilio, T and de Castilho, CV and Bastos, DA and Rocha, EX and Fernandes, IO and Cornelius, C and Zuanon, J and Souza, JLP and Utta, ACS and Baccaro, FB},
title = {Multi-Taxa Responses to Climate Change in the Amazon Forest.},
journal = {Global change biology},
volume = {30},
number = {11},
pages = {e17598},
doi = {10.1111/gcb.17598},
pmid = {39605176},
issn = {1365-2486},
support = {//Funda&#xe7;&#xe3;o de Amparo &#xe0; Pesquisa do Estado do Amazonas/ ; //Conselho Nacional de Desenvolvimento Cient&#xed;fico e Tecnol&#xf3;gico/ ; //Coordena&#xe7;&#xe3;o de Aperfei&#xe7;oamento de Pessoal de N&#xed;vel Superior/ ; },
mesh = {*Climate Change ; Animals ; *Biodiversity ; *Birds/physiology ; *Forests ; *Ants/physiology ; *Fishes/physiology ; Brazil ; Droughts ; Arecaceae/physiology/growth &amp; development ; Seasons ; },
abstract = {Tropical biodiversity is undergoing unprecedented changes due to the hydrological cycle intensification, characterized by more intense droughts and wet seasons. This raises concerns about the resilience of animal and plant communities to such extremes and the existence of potential refugia-areas theorized to safeguard biological communities from adverse climate impacts. Over 20 years of monitoring in Central Amazonia, we investigated the short-term and long-term effects of hydrological cycle intensification on bird, fish, ant, and palm communities. We explored whether the 'insurance effect' of climate trends (droughts buffered by preceded wet seasons) or 'environmental refugia' (droughts or floods buffered by topographic features) could lessen the impact of climate events on community composition, richness, evenness, and species rank. Pronounced abundance changes were observed among animal species, whereas palm species showed relative temporal stability. Birds and fish were more affected by the immediate and long-term severity of droughts and wet periods, while ants responded primarily to short-term drought impacts. Conversely, palm communities exhibited delayed responses to climate extremes, primarily in long-term comparisons. As expected, the proposed 'insurance effect' mitigates the long-term impacts of extreme climate events on animal and plant community trends. However, less extreme hydrological conditions linked to topographic features did not provide effective 'environmental refugia' for animals or plants during adverse climate conditions. These outcomes underscore the complex and varied biological responses to ongoing climate change, challenging the prevailing assumptions about the efficacy of environmental refugia and highlighting the nuanced resilience of biodiversity in Central Amazonia.},
}
@article {pmid39604352,
year = {2024},
author = {Xu, L and Feiner, ZS and Frater, P and Hansen, GJA and Ladwig, R and Paukert, CP and Verhoeven, M and Wszola, L and Jensen, OP},
title = {Asymmetric impacts of climate change on thermal habitat suitability for inland lake fishes.},
journal = {Nature communications},
volume = {15},
number = {1},
pages = {10273},
pmid = {39604352},
issn = {2041-1723},
mesh = {Animals ; *Lakes ; *Climate Change ; *Ecosystem ; *Fishes/physiology ; *Temperature ; Seasons ; },
abstract = {Climate change is altering the thermal habitats of freshwater fish species. We analyze modeled daily temperature profiles from 12,688 lakes in the US to track changes in thermal habitat of 60 lake fish species from different thermal guilds during 1980-2021. We quantify changes in each species' preferred days, defined as the number of days per year when a lake contains the species' preferred temperature. We find that cooler-water species are losing preferred days more rapidly than warmer-water species are gaining them. This asymmetric impact cannot be attributed to differences in geographic distribution among species; instead, it is linked to the seasonal dynamics of lake temperatures and increased thermal homogenization of the water column. The potential advantages of an increase in warmer-water species may not fully compensate for the losses in cooler-water species as warming continues, emphasizing the importance of mitigating climate change to support effective freshwater fisheries management.},
}
@article {pmid39603819,
year = {2024},
author = {Wang, BX and Li, CJ and Zhou, ZF and Yao, YX and Wang, XY and Zhong, K and Yang, HQ and Wei, JR and Huai, WX},
title = {Forecasting the distribution range of Hylurgus ligniperda (Fabricius) (Coleoptera: Curculionidae) in the present and future under the influence of climate change.},
journal = {Journal of economic entomology},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1093/jee/toae254},
pmid = {39603819},
issn = {1938-291X},
support = {2021YFD1400300//National Key Research and Development Program of China/ ; },
abstract = {Hylurgus ligniperda (Fabricius) is an important pest that attacks Pinus species in China. It impacts the vitality of local pine vegetation, reduces the ability to prevent windbreak and sand fixation, and causes ecological loss. MaxEnt and ArcGIS are used to predict and analyze the changes in suitable distribution areas of H. ligniperda under current and future climate scenarios, based on 12 climate factor datasets and 1,001 field distribution data points for this pest. The environmental variables used significantly influence the potential distribution of H. ligniperda. Highly suitable areas of this beetle are located in western Europe, central Asia, and the southeastern regions of Oceania, with sporadic occurrences across North America, South America, and Africa. Highly suitable areas in China occur across the east, central south, and southwest regions. There is a significant increase in the high and medium suitability areas, while the area of low suitability decreases under the 4 future climate scenarios (SSP126, SSP245, SSP370, and SSP585). The suitable distribution area for H. ligniperda shows an overall trend of moving northwestward. The purpose of this current study is to provide important theoretical support for the prevention and management of this pest by predicting and analyzing suitable distribution areas under current and future climate scenarios.},
}
@article {pmid39603267,
year = {2024},
author = {Song, C and Liu, Q and Ma, X and Liu, J},
title = {The impacts of climate change on the potential distribution of Cacopsylla chinensis (Hemiptera: Psyllidae) in China.},
journal = {Journal of economic entomology},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1093/jee/toae255},
pmid = {39603267},
issn = {1938-291X},
support = {32202284//National Natural Science Foundation of China/ ; 2022ZDYF122//Key Research and Development Project of Shanxi Province/ ; 202203021222176//Natural Science Foundation of Shanxi Province/ ; SXBYKY2023017//Excellent Doctoral Award of Shanxi Province for Scientific Research Project/ ; 2023BQ31//Scientific Research Foundation of Shanxi Agricultural University/ ; },
abstract = {Cacopsylla chinensis is an oligophagous pest and has become one of the main pests that cause yield loss in commercial pear orchards in China. Predicting the impact of climate change on the distribution range of C. chinensis is crucial for its effectively preventing and managing. In this study, we collected 102 geographic distribution information of C. chinensis with 8 selected crucial environmental variables to simulate its potential suitable habitats. On this basis, the parameter-optimized maximum entropy model was utilized to predict the potential effect of future climate variation on its distribution, considering various socio-economic pathway scenarios and 3 Earth system models. The findings showed that the current total potential suitable area for C. chinensis was 578.29 × 104 km2, which accounts for 60.24% of China's territory. In the total area, the suitability areas of low, medium, and high were 308.21 × 104 km2, 118.50 × 104 km2, and 151.58 × 104 km2, respectively. Among them, the high suitability areas are mainly distributed in Anhui, Beijing, Chongqing, Hebei, Henan, Hubei, Jiangsu, Liaoning, Shandong, Shanxi, Shaanxi, Sichuan, and Tianjin. Furthermore, our predictions suggest that the potentially suitable areas for this pest will increase by 8.49-35.02% under various future climate change conditions in China. The findings will be propitious to understand the linkage between C. chinensis niches and the relevant environment. It also provides valuable insights for developing future pest management strategies.},
}
@article {pmid39601566,
year = {2024},
author = {Buchwald, AG and Boudova, S},
title = {Invited Perspective: Climate Change and Maternal Mental Health-Looking beyond High-Income Countries.},
journal = {Environmental health perspectives},
volume = {132},
number = {11},
pages = {111301},
pmid = {39601566},
issn = {1552-9924},
}
@article {pmid39600923,
year = {2024},
author = {He, Q and Tian, S and Hua, J and Liu, Z and Liu, Y and Jin, T and Xu, J},
title = {Land Use and Climate Change Accelerate the Loss of Habitat and Ecological Corridor to Reeves's Pheasant (Syrmaticus reevesii) in China.},
journal = {Ecology and evolution},
volume = {14},
number = {11},
pages = {e70618},
pmid = {39600923},
issn = {2045-7758},
abstract = {Human activity and climate change are widely considered to be primarily responsible for the extinction of Galliformes birds. Due to a decline in population, the Reeves's pheasant (Syrmaticus reevesii), a member of the Galliformes family, was recently elevated to first-class national protected status in China. However, determining the causal factors of their extinction and carrying out protection measures appear to be challenging owing to a lack of long-term data with high spatial and temporal resolutions. Here, based on a national field survey, we used habitat suitability models and integrated data on geographical environment, road development, land use, and climate change to predict the potential changes in the distribution and connectivity of the habitat of Reeves's pheasant from 1995 to 2050. Furthermore, ecological corridors were identified using the minimum cumulative resistance (MCR) model. The prioritized areas for habitat restoration were determined by integrating the importance indices of ecological sources and corridors. Our results indicated that both land use and climate change were linked to the increased habitat loss for the Reeves's pheasant. In more recent decades, road construction and land use changes have been linked to a rise in habitat loss, and future climate change has been predicted to cause the habitat to become even more fragmented and lose 89.58% of its total area. The ecological corridor for Reeves's pheasant will continue to decline by 88.55%. To counteract the negative effects of human activity and climate change on the survivorship of Reeves's pheasant, we recommend taking immediate actions, including bolstering cooperation among provincial governments, restoring habitats, and creating ecological corridors among important habitats.},
}
@article {pmid39600252,
year = {2024},
author = {Grupstra, CGB and Meyer-Kaiser, KS and Bennett, MJ and Andres, MO and Juszkiewicz, DJ and Fifer, JE and Da-Anoy, JP and Gomez-Campo, K and Martinez-Rugerio, I and Aichelman, HE and Huzar, AK and Hughes, AM and Rivera, HE and Davies, SW},
title = {Holobiont Traits Shape Climate Change Responses in Cryptic Coral Lineages.},
journal = {Global change biology},
volume = {30},
number = {11},
pages = {e17578},
doi = {10.1111/gcb.17578},
pmid = {39600252},
issn = {1365-2486},
support = {2048589//The National Science Foundation's Division of Ocean Sciences/ ; 2048678//The National Science Foundation's Division of Ocean Sciences/ ; },
mesh = {*Anthozoa/microbiology/physiology ; Animals ; *Climate Change ; *Coral Reefs ; *Symbiosis ; Microbiota ; Dinoflagellida/physiology ; },
abstract = {As ocean warming threatens reefs worldwide, identifying corals with adaptations to higher temperatures is critical for conservation. Genetically distinct but morphologically similar (i.e. cryptic) coral populations can be specialized to extreme habitats and thrive under stressful conditions. These corals often associate with locally beneficial microbiota (Symbiodiniaceae photobionts and bacteria), obscuring the main drivers of thermal tolerance. Here, we leverage a holobiont (massive Porites) with high fidelity for C15 photobionts to investigate adaptive variation across classic ("typical" conditions) and extreme reefs characterized by higher temperatures and light attenuation. We uncovered three cryptic lineages that exhibit limited micro-morphological variation; one lineage dominated classic reefs (L1), one had more even distributions (L2), and a third was restricted to extreme reefs (L3). L1 and L2 were more closely related to populations ~4300 km away, suggesting that some lineages are widespread. All corals harbored Cladocopium C15 photobionts; L1 and L2 shared a photobiont pool that differed in composition between reef types, yet L3 mostly harbored unique photobiont strains not found in the other lineages. Assemblages of bacterial partners differed among reef types in lineage-specific ways, suggesting that lineages employ distinct microbiome regulation strategies. Analysis of light-harvesting capacity and thermal tolerance revealed adaptive variation underpinning survival in distinct habitats: L1 had the highest light absorption efficiency and lowest thermal tolerance, suggesting that it is a classic reef specialist. L3 had the lowest light absorption efficiency and the highest thermal tolerance, showing that it is an extreme reef specialist. L2 had intermediate light absorption efficiency and thermal tolerance, suggesting that is a generalist lineage. These findings reveal diverging holobiont strategies to cope with extreme conditions. Resolving coral lineages is key to understanding variation in thermal tolerance among coral populations, can strengthen our understanding of coral evolution and symbiosis, and support global conservation and restoration efforts.},
}
@article {pmid39599428,
year = {2024},
author = {Dominguez, DLE and Cirrincione, MA and Deis, L and Martínez, LE},
title = {Impacts of Climate Change-Induced Temperature Rise on Phenology, Physiology, and Yield in Three Red Grape Cultivars: Malbec, Bonarda, and Syrah.},
journal = {Plants (Basel, Switzerland)},
volume = {13},
number = {22},
pages = {},
pmid = {39599428},
issn = {2223-7747},
support = {06/A708 Res. 4142/2019-R, 0130/2019//National University of Cuyo and Corporation of Viticulture from Argentina (COVIAR) Project No 0130/ ; },
abstract = {Climate change has significant implications for agriculture, especially in viticulture, where temperature plays a crucial role in grapevine (Vitis vinifera) growth. Mendoza's climate is ideal for producing high-quality wines, but 21st-century climate change is expected to have negative impacts. This study aimed to evaluate the effects of increased temperature on the phenology, physiology, and yield of Malbec, Bonarda, and Syrah. A field trial was conducted over two seasons (2019-2020 and 2020-2021) in an experimental vineyard with an active canopy heating system (+2-4 °C). Phenological stages (budburst, flowering, fruit set, veraison, harvest), shoot growth (SG), number of shoots (NS), stomatal conductance (gs), chlorophyll content (CC), chlorophyll fluorescence (CF), and water potential (ψa) were measured. Additionally, temperature, relative humidity, light intensity, and canopy temperature were recorded. Heat treatment advanced all phenological stages by approximately two weeks, increased SG and NS, and reduced gs and ψa during the hottest months. CC and CF remained unaffected. The treatment also resulted in lower yields, reduced acidity, and increased °Brix in both seasons. Overall, rising temperatures due to climate change advance the phenological phases of Malbec, Syrah, and Bonarda, leading to lower yields, higher °Brix, and lower acidity, although physiological variables remained largely unchanged.},
}
@article {pmid39599384,
year = {2024},
author = {Xiao, X and Li, Z and Ran, Z and Yan, C and Chen, J},
title = {Impact of Climate Change on Distribution of Endemic Plant Section Tuberculata (Camellia L.) in China: MaxEnt Model-Based Projection.},
journal = {Plants (Basel, Switzerland)},
volume = {13},
number = {22},
pages = {},
pmid = {39599384},
issn = {2223-7747},
support = {32400179//National Natural Science Foundation of China/ ; 2022 (072)//Guizhou Provincial Basic Research Program (Natural Science)/ ; },
abstract = {Sect. Tuberculata, as one of the endemic plant groups in China, belongs to the genus Camellia of the Theaceae family and possesses significant economic and ecological value. Nevertheless, the characteristics of habitat distribution and the major eco-environmental variables affecting its suitability are poorly understood. In this study, using 65 occurrence records, along with 60 environmental factors, historical, present and future suitable habitats were estimated using MaxEnt modeling, and the important environmental variables affecting the geographical distribution of sect. Tuberculata were analyzed. The results indicate that the size of the its potential habitat area in the current climate was 1.05 × 10[5] km[2], and the highly suitable habitats were located in Guizhou, central-southern Sichuan, the Wuling Mountains in Chongqing, the Panjiang Basin, and southwestern Hunan. The highest probability of presence for it occurs at mean diurnal range (bio2) ≤ 7.83 °C, basic saturation (s_bs) ≤ 53.36%, temperature annual range (bio7) ≤ 27.49 °C, -7.75 °C < mean temperature of driest quarter (bio9) < 7.75 °C, annual UV-B seasonality (uvb2) ≤ 1.31 × 10[5] W/m[2], and mean UV-B of highest month (uvb3) ≤ 5089.61 W/m[2]. In particular, bio2 is its most important environmental factor. During the historical period, the potential habitat area for sect. Tuberculata was severely fragmented; in contrast, the current period has a more concentrated habitat area. In the three future periods, the potential habitat area will change by varying degrees, depending on the aggressiveness of emissions reductions, and the increase in the potential habitat area was the largest in the SSP2.6 (Low-concentration greenhouse gas emissions) scenario. Although the SSP8.5 (High-concentration greenhouse gas emissions) scenario indicated an expansion in its habitat in the short term, its growth and development would be adversely affected in the long term. In the centroid analysis, the centroid of its potential habitat will shift from lower to higher latitudes in the northwest direction. The findings of our study will aid efforts to uncover its originsand geographic differentiation, conservation of unique germplasms, and forestry development and utilization.},
}
@article {pmid39596892,
year = {2024},
author = {Liu, L and Liang, S and Xie, C and Liu, J and Zheng, Y and Xue, J},
title = {Predicting the Potential Distribution of Aralia chinensis L. (Wild Vegetable) in China Under Different Climate Change Scenarios.},
journal = {Biology},
volume = {13},
number = {11},
pages = {},
pmid = {39596892},
issn = {2079-7737},
support = {Qian.ke He Ji. chu [2020]1Y389//Guizhou Provincial Science and Technology Program Project/ ; },
abstract = {Global climate change has a main impact on the distribution of plants. Aralia chinensis L. is economically valuable, making it necessary to predict the impact of climate change on its distribution. It is important for researching the effects of climate change on A. chinensis distribution to achieve sustainable utilization. Based on 340 occurrence records of A. chinensis covering all known provinces and 58 environmental factor data, we used MaxEnt to simulate the potential distribution of A. chinensis under current and different future climate scenarios, analyzing the key environmental variables affecting its distribution. The results were as follows: (1) Suitable A. chinensis habitats under current and different future climate scenarios were mainly distributed in the southern region of China, east of the Hu Huanyong line. (2) Annual precipitation, minimum temperature during the coldest month, precipitation during the driest month, and slope were the key environmental variables affecting its potential distribution, and annual precipitation was more important. (3) Suitable habitat areas were projected to increase under different future climate scenarios and expand westward and northward while shrinking in the central regions, such as Hubei and Hunan. The results provide a theoretical reference for the conservation and cultivation of A. chinensis.},
}
@article {pmid39595748,
year = {2024},
author = {Haque, F and Lampe, FC and Hajat, S and Stavrianaki, K and Hasan, SMT and Faruque, ASG and Ahmed, T and Jubayer, S and Kelman, I},
title = {Heat Index: An Alternative Indicator for Measuring the Impacts of Meteorological Factors on Diarrhoea in the Climate Change Era: A Time Series Study in Dhaka, Bangladesh.},
journal = {International journal of environmental research and public health},
volume = {21},
number = {11},
pages = {},
pmid = {39595748},
issn = {1660-4601},
mesh = {Bangladesh/epidemiology ; Humans ; *Diarrhea/epidemiology ; Child, Preschool ; Male ; Female ; Infant ; *Climate Change ; *Hot Temperature/adverse effects ; Child ; *Hospitalization/statistics &amp; numerical data ; Adolescent ; Adult ; Young Adult ; Middle Aged ; Humidity ; Infant, Newborn ; Aged ; },
abstract = {Heat index (HI) is a biometeorological indicator that combines temperature and relative humidity. This study aimed to investigate the relationship between the Heat Index and daily counts of diarrhoea hospitalisation in Dhaka, Bangladesh. Data on daily diarrhoea hospitalisations and meteorological variables from 1981 to 2010 were collected. We categorised the Heat Index of >94.3 °F (>34.6 °C), >100.7 °F (>38.2 °C) and >105 °F (>40.6 °C) as high, very high and extremely high Heat Index, respectively. We applied a time series adjusted generalised linear model (GLM) with negative binomial distribution to investigate the effects of the Heat Index and extreme Heat Index on hospitalisations for diarrhoea. Effects were assessed for all ages, children under 5 years old and by gender. A unit higher HI and high, very high and extremely high HI were associated with 0.8%, 8%, 7% and 9% increase in diarrhoea hospitalisations in all ages, respectively. The effects varied slightly by gender and were most pronounced in children under 5 years old with a rise of 1°F in high, very high and extremely high HI associated with a 14.1% (95% CI: 11.3-17.0%), 18.3% (95% CI: 13.4-23.5%) and 18.1% (95% CI: 8.4-28.6%) increase of diarrhoea, respectively. This suggests that the Heat Index may serve as an alternative indicator for measuring the combined effects of temperature and humidity on diarrhoea.},
}
@article {pmid39595724,
year = {2024},
author = {Nuvolari-Duodo, I and Dolcini, M and Buffoli, M and Rebecchi, A and Dall'Ò, G and Monticelli, C and Vertua, C and Brambilla, A and Capolongo, S},
title = {Integrated Climate Change Mitigation and Public Health Protection Strategies: The Case of the City of Bologna, Italy.},
journal = {International journal of environmental research and public health},
volume = {21},
number = {11},
pages = {},
pmid = {39595724},
issn = {1660-4601},
mesh = {Italy ; *Climate Change ; *Public Health ; *Cities ; Humans ; *Greenhouse Gases/analysis ; Air Pollution/prevention &amp; control/analysis ; Built Environment ; Renewable Energy ; },
abstract = {INTRODUCTION: The ongoing process of global warming, driven by the escalating concentration of greenhouse gases generated by human activities, especially in urban areas, significantly impacts public health. Local authorities play an important role in health promotion and disease prevention, and some aim to achieve net-zero greenhouse gas emissions. There is a consistent action underway to reach this goal, hence the need for mapping and implementing effective strategies and regulations.<br><br>MATERIALS AND METHODS: This study includes the analysis of policy guidelines adopted by the city of Bologna, consulted in March and April 2024. Bologna is one of the 100 cities committed to achieving climate neutrality by 2030, 20 years ahead of the EU target. To identify the strategies adopted to mitigate climate change, the following methodology was used: (i) the systematic mapping of sources and spatial planning documents; (ii) the extrapolation of goals, measures, and target indicators; and (iii) the development of an overall matrix.<br><br>RESULTS: The main findings of the study and their connection to public health pertain to the identification of key macro-areas contributing to the reduction of greenhouse gas emissions, while reducing the impact of climate change on health: (1) built environment and renewable energy sources, (2) transport and mobility, (3) energy, (4) green areas and land use, and (5) citizen support. Within these five macro-areas, 14 goals have been identified, to which a total of 36 measures correspond, and, finally, a target indicator is determined, mainly with respect to the reduction of tons of CO2 equivalent per year.<br><br>CONCLUSIONS: In order to protect public health, it is evident that buildings and urban activities should not produce carbon emissions throughout their lifecycle. This paper presents a method to evaluate municipal policies regarding dual-impact solutions that address both environmental protection through sustainability strategies and public health, in compliance with the Health in All Policies (HiAP) approach.},
}
@article {pmid39595682,
year = {2024},
author = {Alarcón Garavito, GA and Toncón Chaparro, LF and Jasim, S and Zanatta, F and Miliou, I and Bampa, M and Huebner, G and Keck, T},
title = {The Impact of Climate Change on the Mental Health of Populations at Disproportionate Risk of Health Impacts and Inequities: A Rapid Scoping Review of Reviews.},
journal = {International journal of environmental research and public health},
volume = {21},
number = {11},
pages = {},
pmid = {39595682},
issn = {1660-4601},
support = {NA//UCL Cities Partnership Programme in the UCL Global Engagement Office/ ; 212264/Z/18/Z/WT_/Wellcome Trust/United Kingdom ; NA//Royal Society/ ; EP/R035288/1//the Centre for Research Into Energy Demand Solutions/ ; EP/Y010078/1//the Energy Demand Research Centre/ ; NA//the National Institute for Health and Care Research Applied Research Collaboration North Thames/ ; },
mesh = {*Climate Change ; Humans ; *Mental Health ; Health Status Disparities ; },
abstract = {The impacts of climate change on mental health are starting to be recognized and may be exacerbated for populations at disproportionate risk of health impacts or inequalities, including some people living in low- and middle-income countries, children, indigenous populations, and people living in rural communities, among others. Here, we conduct a rapid scoping review of reviews to summarize the research to date on climate impacts on the mental health of populations at disproportionate risk. This review highlights the direct and indirect effects of climate change, the common mental health issues that have been studied related to climate events, and the populations that have been studied to date. This review outlines key gaps in the field and important research areas going forward. These include a need for more systematic methodologies, with before-and-after comparisons or exposure/non-exposure group comparisons and consistent mental health outcome measurements that are appropriately adapted for the populations being studied. Further research is also necessary in regard to the indirect effects of climate change and the climate effects on indigenous populations and populations with other protected and intersecting characteristics. This review highlights the key research areas to date and maps the critical future research necessary to develop future interventions.},
}
@article {pmid39592666,
year = {2024},
author = {Alisoltani, T and Shafiepour Motlagh, M and Ashrafi, K},
title = {Concurrent heat stress and air pollution episodes by considering future projection of climate change.},
journal = {Scientific reports},
volume = {14},
number = {1},
pages = {29301},
pmid = {39592666},
issn = {2045-2322},
abstract = {The simultaneous effect of heat stress and air pollutants such as ozone can cause many health issues in cities. The situation exacerbates in the context of climate change and temperature rise. Furthermore, ground-level ozone, worsened by climate change, needs investigation for effective management. Therefore, this study projects heat stress and ozone levels in two Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (CMIP6) climate scenarios, SSP245 and SSP585. Results indicate heightened heat stress with increased ozone levels, especially in severe climate scenarios like SSP585. Besides, the study shows that in the SSP245 and SSP585 scenarios, the seasonal shift of high Heat Index (HI) values as well as high ozone concentrations is happening toward the previous months of June-July-August (JJA). High values in the HI classification and the Maximum Daily 8-hour average (MDA8) ozone happen sooner in the March-April-May (MAM) months than the expected JJA months. Furthermore, in the SSP585 scenario, the HI classification above 105 (very hot equal to danger category) is 10% high in all months in comparison to the SSP245 scenario. The study emphasizes the importance of understanding the interactions between heat stress and ozone pollution for implementing effective adaptation and mitigation measures.},
}
@article {pmid39592293,
year = {2024},
author = {Gao, G and Li, B and Niklas, KJ and Huang, Y and Xu, M and Liu, G and Fu, B},
title = {Deep soil carbon pool responses to climate change in the Chinese Loess Plateau.},
journal = {Science bulletin},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1016/j.scib.2024.11.014},
pmid = {39592293},
issn = {2095-9281},
}
@article {pmid39592275,
year = {2024},
author = {Chatziparasidis, G and Kantar, A and Rafailia Chatziparasidi, M and Fouzas, S and Bush, A and Chang, A},
title = {The potential effects of climate change on non-cystic fibrosis bronchiectasis in children.},
journal = {Paediatric respiratory reviews},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1016/j.prrv.2024.10.002},
pmid = {39592275},
issn = {1526-0550},
abstract = {Climate change may have devastating effects on the pathogenesis of non-cystic fibrosis bronchiectasis in children since it affects the biological cycle of the respiratory pathogens and alters the human respiratory defense mechanisms. Bronchiectasis in children has been identified as an emerging global epidemic that has attracted the attention of the medical community over recent years. Pediatric pulmonologists should be aware of the consequences of climate change on children with bronchiectasis and plan strategies to ameliorate these effects.},
}
@article {pmid39591794,
year = {2024},
author = {Khalil, MIM and Shaala, RS and Mousa, EFS and Zoromba, MA and Atta, MHR},
title = {Examining the associations between emotionally charged reactions toward climate change and self-care, quality of life among older adults, coping mechanisms, and pro-environmental practices.},
journal = {Geriatric nursing (New York, N.Y.)},
volume = {61},
number = {},
pages = {353-363},
doi = {10.1016/j.gerinurse.2024.11.013},
pmid = {39591794},
issn = {1528-3984},
abstract = {AIM: To examine the associations between emotionally charged reactions to climate change, self-care, quality of life among older adults, coping mechanisms, and pro-environmental practices.<br><br>BACKGROUND: Older adults often face unique challenges in coping with climate change and its detrimental effect on self-care and quality of life. They may be particularly vulnerable to this pressing global issue.<br><br>METHOD: A multi-center, descriptive, correlational approach from three governorates in Egypt. A convenience sample of 609 older adults answered the Inventory of Climate Emotions, the Older People's Quality of Life-Brief, the Self-care Ability Scale for the Elderly, the Pro-Environmental Practices Assessment, and the Coping Scale with Climate Change.<br><br>RESULTS: The overall emotionally charged reactions to the idea of climate change showed a negative correlation with both the older adults' QoL total score (r = -.762) and the Self-care Ability Scale (r = -.775), yet a positive correlation with Pro-environmental Practices (r = .692) and Coping Strategies (r = .992). The regression analyses revealed that emotions explain a substantial variance in the older adult's quality of life (85.6%) and self-care (79.7%), as well as their pro-environmental actions (72%) and coping strategies (38.8%).<br><br>The research underscores climate change's significant emotional and psychological ramifications on older adults, yielding valuable insights for geriatric nursing practice. The findings can facilitate the development of precise interventions to promote self-care, bolster coping strategies, and advocate for pro-environmental conduct among older adults. Understanding these associations can contribute to the enhancement of quality of life and the fortification of resilience. The research implications may offer pivotal guidance for geriatric nursing education, clinical protocols, and community initiatives dedicated to fortifying older adults' mental well-being, contending with the repercussions of climate change.},
}
@article {pmid39591716,
year = {2024},
author = {Yue, F and Liu, D and Xiong, L and Chen, J and Chen, H and Yin, J},
title = {Understanding the roles of climate change, land use and land cover change and water diversion project in modulating water- and carbon-use efficiency in Han River Basin.},
journal = {Journal of environmental management},
volume = {373},
number = {},
pages = {123445},
doi = {10.1016/j.jenvman.2024.123445},
pmid = {39591716},
issn = {1095-8630},
abstract = {Water-use efficiency (WUE) and carbon-use efficiency (CUE) are critical indicators of ecosystem function and hydrologic processes, reflecting the water-carbon flux exchange rate. Climatic variables, land use and land cover change (LUCC) and water diversion project (WDP) have altered water-carbon cycle; however, their roles in modulating WUE and CUE remain uncertain. To explore these effects, a framework is proposed and Han River basin (HRB) in China is selected as a case study including the data sets from both remote sensing and in situ observations during 2000-2020. The process-based Regional Hydro-Ecological Simulation System model and a supervised machine learning model are applied to simulate the impacts of climatic variables, LUCC and WDP on WUE and CUE, which are conducted by designing four experiments. We find that no significant WUE and CUE trends attributed to contrasting trends in the dry (October to March) and wet (April to September) seasons. Temperature variations greatly affect WUE and CUE, with WUE decreasing in the wet season and increasing in the dry season due to minimum temperature changes. LUCC has litter impacts on WUE and CUE changes. From 2014 to 2020, the middle route of the South-to-North WDP decreased WUE by 0.22 gCkg[-1]H2O in the middle-low HRB's wet season, slightly affecting CUE. Seasonal CUE was stable, with the largest decrease of 0.04 in the upper HRB during the wet season. The WDP also increased WUE sensitivities to minimum and maximum temperatures, while CUE sensitivities remained constant. Our case study has proven that the proposed framework is an effective way to understand the roles of climate change and WDP in modulating WUE and CUE.},
}
@article {pmid39591675,
year = {2024},
author = {Shi, Y and Liu, Y and Shan, X and Chen, Y and Jin, X and Han, Q and Pakhomov, EA},
title = {Climate change induced first record of Porpita porpita (Linnaeus, 1758) in the Yellow Sea, China.},
journal = {Marine pollution bulletin},
volume = {210},
number = {},
pages = {117333},
doi = {10.1016/j.marpolbul.2024.117333},
pmid = {39591675},
issn = {1879-3363},
abstract = {In August 2021, the blue button Porpita porpita, typically found in tropical and subtropical waters, was observed for the first time in the Yellow Sea. This study aimed to investigate the potential causes by analyzing the zooplankton community structure and the effects of water currents. The three stations, where P. porpita were recorded, were influenced by a warm and saline water tongue. The intruding current, which intensified during a La Niña event, also shaped the zooplankton community structure and distribution patterns. This research extends the known geographical distribution of P. porpita. The first observation of P. porpita in the Yellow Sea is likely attributable to the impacts of southeasterly winds and brought about by the intruding current, potentially suggesting ongoing region "tropicalization". Future studies will need to conduct a comprehensive analysis of additional surveys to better understand how the Yellow Sea pelagic ecosystem responds to climate change.},
}
@article {pmid39591627,
year = {2024},
author = {Dunn, JA and Grekin, P and Darnton, JB and Soth, S and Austin, EJ and Woolworth, S and Bhatraju, EP and Gojic, A and Williams, EC and Hallgren, KA and Tsui, JI},
title = {Disruption of Opioid Treatment Program Services Due to an Extreme Weather Event: An Example of Climate Change Effects on the Health of Persons Who Use Drugs.},
journal = {Journal of addiction medicine},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1097/ADM.0000000000001403},
pmid = {39591627},
issn = {1935-3227},
abstract = {Climate change and the opioid epidemic in combination may pose significant challenges for individuals with opioid use disorder due to potential disruptions in access to essential addiction treatment services caused by extreme weather events. Despite concerns over the escalating health impacts of climate change, limited research has documented and explored the vulnerability of patients enrolled in opioid treatment programs to disruptions caused by climate change and particularly extreme cold events. In this commentary, we describe the impact of a catastrophic flooding event during record-setting cold temperatures at an opioid treatment program in Seattle, WA. By examining this event, we highlight the potential vulnerabilities the methadone treatment infrastructure faces regarding climate change and future extreme weather events. In doing so, we hope to draw attention to a critical need for research that describes, plans for, and addresses disruptions to opioid use disorder treatment resulting from climate change-related weather events.},
}
@article {pmid39590496,
year = {2024},
author = {Xiao, K and Ling, L and Deng, R and Huang, B and Cao, Y and Wu, Q and Ning, H and Chen, H},
title = {Projecting the Potential Global Distribution of Sweetgum Inscriber, Acanthotomicus suncei (Coleoptera: Curculionidae: Scolytinae) Concerning the Host Liquidambar styraciflua Under Climate Change Scenarios.},
journal = {Insects},
volume = {15},
number = {11},
pages = {},
pmid = {39590496},
issn = {2075-4450},
support = {2024AFB534//Natural Science Foundation of Hubei Province/ ; 202206010019//Key Projects of Guangzhou of Science and Technology Plan/ ; },
abstract = {Acanthotomicus suncei is a newly discovered bark beetle in China that significantly threatens the American sweetgum Liquidambar styraciflua. In recent years, this pest has spread from its original habitat to many surrounding cities, causing substantial economic and ecological losses. Considering the wide global distribution of its host, Liquidambar styraciflua, this pest is likely to continue to spread and expand. Once the pest colonizes a new climatically suitable area, the consequences could be severe. Therefore, we employed the CLIMEX and Random Forests model to predict the potential suitable distribution of A. suncei globally. The results showed that A. suncei was mainly distributed in Southern China, in South Hokkaido in Japan, Southern USA, the La Plata Plain in South America, southeastern Australia, and the northern Mediterranean; these areas are located in subtropical monsoon, monsoonal humid climates, or Mediterranean climate zones. Seasonal rainfall, especially in winter, is a key environmental factor that affects the suitable distribution of A. suncei. Under future climates, the total suitable area of A. suncei is projected to decrease to a certain extent. However, changes in its original habitat require serious attention. We found that A. suncei exhibited a spreading trend in Southwest, Central, and Northeast China. Suitable areas in some countries in Southeast and South Asia bordering China are also expected to show an increased distribution. The outward spread of this pest via sea transportation cannot be ignored. Hence, quarantine efforts should be concentrated in high-suitability regions determined in this study to protect against the occurrence of hosts that may contain A. suncei, thereby avoiding its long-distance spread. Long-term sentinel surveillance and control measures should be carried out as soon as A. suncei is detected, especially in regions with high suitability. Thus, our findings establish a theoretical foundation for quarantine and control measures targeting A. suncei.},
}
@article {pmid39590441,
year = {2024},
author = {Rahimi, E and Jung, C},
title = {A New SDM-Based Approach for Assessing Climate Change Effects on Plant-Pollinator Networks.},
journal = {Insects},
volume = {15},
number = {11},
pages = {},
doi = {10.3390/insects15110842},
pmid = {39590441},
issn = {2075-4450},
support = {RS-2023-00232847//RDA Korea/ ; NRF-2018R1A6A1A03024862//National Research Foundation of Korea/ ; },
abstract = {Current methods for studying the effects of climate change on plants and pollinators can be grouped into two main categories. The first category involves using species distribution models (SDMs) to generate habitat suitability maps, followed by applying climate change scenarios to predict the future distribution of plants and pollinators separately. The second category involves constructing interaction matrices between plants and pollinators and then either randomly removing species or selectively removing generalist or specialist species, as a way to estimate how climate change might affect the plant-pollinator network. The primary limitation of the first approach is that it examines plant and pollinator distributions separately, without considering their interactions within the context of a pollination network. The main weakness of the second approach is that it does not accurately predict climate change impacts, as it arbitrarily selects species to remove without knowing which species will truly shift, decline, or increase in distribution due to climate change. Therefore, a new approach is needed to bridge the gap between these two methods while avoiding their specific limitations. In this context, we introduced an innovative approach that first requires the creation of binary climate suitability maps for plants and pollinators, based on SDMs, for both the current and future periods. This step aligns with the first category of methods mentioned earlier. To assess the effects of climate change within a network framework, we consider species co-overlapping in a geographic matrix. For this purpose, we developed a Python program that overlays the binary distribution maps of plants and pollinators, generating interaction matrices. These matrices represent potential plant-pollinator interactions, with a '0' indicating no overlap and a '1' where both species coincide in the same cell. As a result, for each cell within the study area, we can construct interaction matrices for both the present and future periods. This means that for each cell, we can analyze at least two pollination networks based on species co-overlap. By comparing the topology of these matrices over time, we can infer how climate change might affect plant-pollinator interactions at a fine spatial scale. We applied our methodology to Chile as a case study, generating climate suitability maps for 187 plant species and 171 pollinator species, resulting in 2906 pollination networks. We then evaluated how climate change could affect the network topology across Chile on a cell-by-cell basis. Our findings indicated that the primary effect of climate change on pollination networks is likely to manifest more significantly through network extinctions, rather than major changes in network topology.},
}
@article {pmid39589787,
year = {2024},
author = {Martínez-Lüscher, J and Matus, JT and Gomès, E and Pascual, I},
title = {Toward understanding grapevine responses to climate change: a multistress and holistic approach.},
journal = {Journal of experimental botany},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1093/jxb/erae482},
pmid = {39589787},
issn = {1460-2431},
abstract = {Recent research has extensively covered the effects of climate change factors, such as elevated CO2, rising temperatures and water deficit, on grapevine (Vitis spp.) biology. However, the assessment of the impacts of multiple climate change-related stresses on this crop remains complex due to the large number of interactive effects among environmental factors and the regulatory mechanisms that underlie these effects. Consequently, there is a substantial discrepancy between the number of studies conducted with a single or two factors simultaneously, and those with a more holistic approach. This review focuses on how climate change factors will coexist across the viticultural areas of the globe and summarises the main interactive mechanisms affecting crop performance. We highlight how the rise in temperatures will be enhanced when dealing with specific periods, such as the ripening months. Changes in crop phenology in response to temperature have been a major focus of most studies. However, how these physiological shifts may result in deleterious effects on yield and quality deserves further research. Rising temperatures will most certainly continue to represent the most imminent threat to viticulture due to its effects on grape phenology, composition and crop water requirements. Nevertheless, elevated CO2 may offer some relief through increased water use efficiency, as recent studies have shown. Within the repertoire of regulatory mechanisms that plants possess, hormones play a major role explaining the effects of combined stresses due to their crosstalk. In fact, growth regulators fine tune stress responses depending on the multiple stresses present. The paper focuses on the multistress responses mediated by ABA and jasmonate, and on the intricate interconnections of signalling among the different plant hormones.},
}
@article {pmid39588645,
year = {2024},
author = {Khraishah, H and Ostergard, RL and Nabi, SR and De Alwis, D and Alahmad, B},
title = {Climate Change and Cardiovascular Disease: Who Is Vulnerable?.},
journal = {Arteriosclerosis, thrombosis, and vascular biology},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1161/ATVBAHA.124.318681},
pmid = {39588645},
issn = {1524-4636},
abstract = {Climate change involves a shift in earth's climate indicators over extended periods of time due to human activity. Anthropogenic air pollution has resulted in trapping heat, contributing to global warming, which contributes to worsening air pollution through facilitating oxidizing of air constituents. It is becoming more evident that the effects of climate change, such as air pollution and ambient temperatures, are interconnected with each other and other environmental factors. While the relationship between climate change components and cardiovascular disease is well documented in the literature, their interaction with one another along with individuals' biological and social risk factors is yet to be elucidated. In this review, we summarize that pathophysiological mechanisms by ambient temperatures directly affect cardiovascular health and describe the most vulnerable subgroups, defined by age, sex, race, and socioeconomic factors. Finally, we provide guidance on the importance of integrating climate, environmental, social, and health data into common platforms to inform researchers and policies.},
}
@article {pmid39588352,
year = {2024},
author = {Liu, T and Cai, H and Zhang, G},
title = {Assessment of Climate Change Impacts on the Distribution of Endangered and Endemic Changnienia amoena (Orchidaceae) Using Ensemble Modeling and Gap Analysis in China.},
journal = {Ecology and evolution},
volume = {14},
number = {11},
pages = {e70636},
pmid = {39588352},
issn = {2045-7758},
abstract = {Climate change has significant impacts on the distribution of orchids. The endemic and endangered orchids are more susceptible to climate change than widely distributed orchids. To date, little is known concerning the response of endangered Changnienia amoena, endemic to China, to different climate scenarios. Here, we build an ensemble model comprising random forest model, maximum entropy model, and gradient boosting model in Biomod2 package to project its potential distribution in China, evaluate its current protective effectiveness, and identify its conservation gaps in China by determining the C. amoena population range within the natural protected areas. The outcomes showed that the four key environmental factors influencing its distribution were mean diurnal temperature range, minimum temperature of the coldest month, temperature seasonality, and precipitation of the warmest quarter. This orchid was currently distributed mainly in southern Anhui, central and western Hubei, western Hunan, southern Shaanxi, and eastern Sichuan province. The total suitable area of C. amoena was 58.33 × 10[4] km[2], only accounting for 6.08% of China's total territory, which is larger than known. However, only 4.48% of the suitable area is located within national nature reserves and 3.33% within provincial nature reserves, respectively. During the last inter glacial and mid-holocene, its suitable areas were larger than the current. Under six future climate scenarios, its suitable areas may decrease averagely by 2.26% relative to the current, with severe habitat fragmentation. Collectively, the centroid of C. amoena is expected to shift towards the southeast in the future. Therefore, our findings demonstrate that climate change has an adverse effect on its potential distribution. We recommend expanding protected areas or establishing new conservation sites for C. amoena in China. Furthermore, our study can help to inform the development of conservation management strategies for other endangered Chinese endemic orchids under climate change.},
}
@article {pmid39588015,
year = {2024},
author = {Hundal, H},
title = {Climate change and health: a focal point for medical education.},
journal = {Canadian medical education journal},
volume = {15},
number = {5},
pages = {166},
doi = {10.36834/cmej.79438},
pmid = {39588015},
issn = {1923-1202},
}
@article {pmid39588005,
year = {2024},
author = {Namyatova, AA and Dzhelali, PA and Tyts, VD and Popkov, AA},
title = {Climate change effect on the widely distributed Palearctic plant bug species (Insecta: Heteroptera: Miridae).},
journal = {PeerJ},
volume = {12},
number = {},
pages = {e18377},
pmid = {39588005},
issn = {2167-8359},
mesh = {Animals ; *Heteroptera/physiology/growth &amp; development ; *Climate Change ; Europe ; Asia ; Temperature ; Ecosystem ; },
abstract = {Insects are poikilothermic organisms and temperature increase usually accelerates their development rates, population and distribution area growth. Therefore, it is assumed that global warming can be beneficial for the pests and other widespread species at least in the relatively cool temperate zones. However, climate change's effect on the widespread species in the Palearctic remains poorly studied. This work was performed on three plant bug species (Insecta: Heteroptera: Miridae), at present inhabiting Europe and Asia. Liocoris tripustulatus is known from the Western Palearctic, Lygocoris pabulinus occupies the territories from Western Europe to South Asia, Lygus punctatus is distributed from Northern Europe to the Far East. In this paper, it is tested whether temperature rise is positively connected with the area of preferred climatic conditions for those species, and explores the particular climatic variables which can be limiting for the distribution of those species. Maxent software was used for the environmental niche modeling and to find the variables with significant contribution to the climatic models for the studied species. Based on those models, areas with preferred climatic conditions over different periods were calculated in QGIS. Principal component analysis and logistic regression were performed to find the variables highly contributing to the differences between the species. The results contradict the assumption that temperature growth alone can be a predictor for the widespread species and pest distribution range change. All species differ in suitable climatic conditions and their area dynamics in time, and the temperature affects each species differently. Only Liocoris tripustulatus might significantly expand its distribution area by 2070 due to the climate change. The areas in Asia and above the polar circle will be more suitable by that time for all three species than now. However, conditions in Europe might be less suitable for Lygocoris pabulinus and Lygus punctatus in the future. Both, temperature and precipitation variables, can be important for shaping distribution of Liocoris tripustulatus and Lygocoris pabulinus. Mean annual temperature and temperature in winter, most probably, limit the distribution of at least Liocoris tripsutulatus and Lygus punctatus, but changes in this variable affect those two species differently.},
}
@article {pmid39587814,
year = {2024},
author = {Sümen, A and Kublay, Y and Adibelli, D},
title = {Evaluation of Adult Individuals' Climate Change Concern and Mental Well-Being Levels in Türkiye: A Descriptive and Correlational Study.},
journal = {Public health nursing (Boston, Mass.)},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1111/phn.13493},
pmid = {39587814},
issn = {1525-1446},
abstract = {OBJECTIVES: This study was conducted to determine the relationship between climate change concerns and mental well-being levels in adult individuals.<br><br>DESIGN: A descriptive and correlational study.<br><br>SAMPLE: The study was conducted with 513 adult individuals who applied to primary healthcare institutions between May and October 2022 in T&#xfc;rkiye.<br><br>MEASUREMENTS: The research data were collected face-to-face using an introductory information form, the Climate Change Worry Scale (CCWS), and the Warwick-Edinburgh Mental Well-Being Scale (WEMWBS).<br><br>RESULTS: Among the occupations of the adults participating in the survey, the group most affected by climate change was greenhouse cultivation with 30.8%. The top three most common events experienced by the participants in the study are forest fire (40.6%), earthquake (29.2%), and flood (19.7%). In the study, the mean CCWS score of adults was 33.92 &#xb1; 10.27 and the mean WEMWBS score was 50.20 &#xb1; 11.88. A positive correlation was found between the total, anxiety, and feeling of helplessness sub-dimensions of the CCWS and the mean score of WEMWBS (p < 0.001). The mean scores of CCWS and WEMWBS of the participants who stated that they experienced an extraordinary event related to climate change, who had a relative who experienced these events, who followed these events from the media, and the mean scores of CCWS of those who experienced these events themselves were found to be significantly higher (p < 0.05). The mean scores of CCWS and WEMWBS were higher for those who experienced forest fire and flood disasters; CCWS for those who experienced tornado; and WEMWBS for those who experienced earthquake and storm/hurricane (p < 0.05).<br><br>CONCLUSIONS: One of the most important results of the study is that there is a positive relationship between the sub-dimensions of helplessness due to climate concern and the level of mental well-being. It is important to increase climate change awareness activities at individual and community levels.},
}
@article {pmid39587060,
year = {2024},
author = {Szinai, JK and Yates, D and Sánchez-Pérez, PA and Staadecker, M and Kammen, DM and Jones, AD and Hidalgo-Gonzalez, P},
title = {Climate change and its influence on water systems increases the cost of electricity system decarbonization.},
journal = {Nature communications},
volume = {15},
number = {1},
pages = {10050},
pmid = {39587060},
issn = {2041-1723},
support = {DE-SC0016605//U.S. Department of Energy (DOE)/ ; },
abstract = {The electric sector simultaneously faces two challenges: decarbonization to mitigate, and adaptation to manage, the impacts of climate change. In many regions, these challenges are compounded by an interdependence of electricity and water systems, with water needed for hydropower generation and electricity for water provision. Here, we couple detailed water and electricity system models to evaluate how the Western Interconnection grid can both adapt to climate change and develop carbon-free generation by 2050, while accounting for interactions and climate vulnerabilities of the water sector. We find that by 2050, due to climate change, annual regional electricity use could grow by up to 2% from cooling and water-related electricity demand, while total annual hydropower generation could decrease by up to 23%. To adapt, we show that the region may need to build up to 139 GW of additional generating capacity between 2030 and 2050, equivalent to nearly thrice California's peak demand, and could incur up to $150 billion (+7%) in extra costs.},
}
@article {pmid39586449,
year = {2024},
author = {Lin, Y and Gabrielsen, GW and Lu, Z and Huang, Q and Huang, P and Ke, H and Cai, M},
title = {Local Contributions and Climate Change Effects on Organochlorine Pesticide Levels in Soil and Sediments in Svalbard.},
journal = {Environmental pollution (Barking, Essex : 1987)},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {125386},
doi = {10.1016/j.envpol.2024.125386},
pmid = {39586449},
issn = {1873-6424},
abstract = {The Arctic region, including Svalbard, faces unique environmental challenges from the presence and persistence of organochlorine pesticides (OCPs), pollutants known for their long-range atmospheric transport and potential local sources. In Svalbard, the melting of sea ice and glaciers due to climate change may release OCPs trapped over decades, while human activities in the area could contribute additional local contamination. This study aimed to identify and quantify different sources of OCPs in soil and marine sediments at Svalbard. Samples were collected from Kongsfjorden, Rijpfjorden, and in Ny-Ålesund. The concentrations of 23 OCPs in sediments sampled were in the range of 0.36 to 0.90 ng/g, which were lower than those in the soils from Ny-Ålesund (0.28 ng/g to 3.6 ng/g). The highest OCP levels were detected at locations near the research station in Ny-Ålesund, where local contamination from research activities, mining, and dumpsites could occur. Hexachlorobenzene (HCB) were the most prominent compound, followed by various DDTs and HCHs. Dignostic ratios and the Positive Matrix Factorization (PMF) model were employed to determine the primary sources of OCPs. The results from modeling showed that historically used pollutants were the primary contributor, accounting for 90% of OCPs present, while recently input OCPs were a minor contributor. However, newly input pollutants significantly contributed to HCHs (43%). It is suggested that the contribution of legacy OCPs mainly comes from the melting of sea ice and glaciers. This was especially true for Rijpfjorden (95%), while it was also significant for Kongsfjorden (55%). The local contamination and fresh inputs played a substantial role in the area near the research station in Ny-Ålesund. The study emphasizes the importance of secondly source, especially the role of melting sea ice and glaciers as well as local contaminations as sources of OCPs in Svalbard's marine sediment, which highlight the urgent need to address the impact of climate change on the Arctic environment.},
}
@article {pmid39584747,
year = {2024},
author = {Jackson, JS and Slay, SL and Tarter, SL},
title = {Climate Change Impact on Outdoor Organizations Today.},
journal = {Wilderness &amp; environmental medicine},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {10806032241296526},
doi = {10.1177/10806032241296526},
pmid = {39584747},
issn = {1545-1534},
abstract = {INTRODUCTION: Outdoor recreation and tourism providers, education programs, and outdoor recreation facilities are experiencing the effects of climate change and severe weather firsthand. This research assessed the impact that climate change was having on these operations in 2023.<br><br>METHODS: Respondents from 127 outdoor organizations completed an online survey assessing the impacts of climate change and severe weather. Any outdoor operation that owed a duty of care to clients who they take outdoors or host at their facilities was invited to participate. This included outdoor tourism and recreation providers, outdoor education programs (both school and expedition based), groups involved in conservation work, and facilities such as parks, ski areas, and other outdoor recreation facilities. Respondents were from Canada's far north to Mexico, with 14% from further international locations.<br><br>RESULTS: Climate change is having moderate to serious impacts on outdoor operations. Extreme heat and air quality were of primary concern, with storm event flooding, wildfires, snowpack, and changes in the ranges of disease-carrying insects top concerns. Fewer than half the operations have established criteria to aid in decision making, yet most had to revise operational plans in 2023 due to extreme weather.<br><br>CONCLUSIONS: There was pervasive uncertainty regarding decisions involving extreme heat and air quality, particularly the short-term health impacts on clients and the long-term health impacts on workers. There was uncertainty regarding trusted sources for guidance and the many overlapping or contradictory jurisdictional recommendations. Practical direction is required for operations and decision makers, as is further research specific to this sector's needs.},
}
@article {pmid39583903,
year = {2024},
author = {Nybo, L and Flouris, AD},
title = {Temperature: A frontier journal in cross-scientific approaches to combat climate change.},
journal = {Temperature (Austin, Tex.)},
volume = {11},
number = {4},
pages = {299-301},
pmid = {39583903},
issn = {2332-8940},
}
@article {pmid39582854,
year = {2024},
author = {Shikhani, M and Feldbauer, J and Ladwig, R and Mercado-Bettín, D and Moore, TN and Gevorgyan, A and Misakyan, A and Mi, C and Schultze, M and Boehrer, B and Shatwell, T and Barfus, K and Rinke, K},
title = {Combining a Multi-Lake Model Ensemble and a Multi-Domain CORDEX Climate Data Ensemble for Assessing Climate Change Impacts on Lake Sevan.},
journal = {Water resources research},
volume = {60},
number = {11},
pages = {e2023WR036511},
pmid = {39582854},
issn = {0043-1397},
abstract = {Global warming is shifting the thermal dynamics of lakes, with resulting climatic variability heavily affecting their mixing dynamics. We present a dual ensemble workflow coupling climate models with lake models. We used a large set of simulations across multiple domains, multi-scenario, and multi GCM- RCM combinations from CORDEX data. We forced a set of multiple hydrodynamic lake models by these multiple climate simulations to explore climate change impacts on lakes. We also quantified the contributions from the different models to the overall uncertainty. We employed this workflow to investigate the effects of climate change on Lake Sevan (Armenia). We predicted for the end of the 21st century, under RCP 8.5, a sharp increase in surface temperature (4.3 ± 0.7 K) and substantial bottom warming (1.7 ± 0.7 K) , longer stratification periods (+55 days) and disappearance of ice cover leading to a shift in mixing regime. Increased insufficient cooling during warmer winters points to the vulnerability of Lake Sevan to climate change. Our workflow leverages the strengths of multiple models at several levels of the model chain to provide a more robust projection and at the same time a better uncertainty estimate that accounts for the contributions of the different model levels to overall uncertainty. Although for specific variables, for example, summer bottom temperature, single lake models may perform better, the full ensemble provides a robust estimate of thermal dynamics that has a high transferability so that our workflow can be a blueprint for climate impact studies in other systems.},
}
@article {pmid39582513,
year = {2024},
author = {Le Souëf, PN and Adachi, Y and Anastasiou, E and Ansotegui, IJ and Badellino, HA and Banzon, T and Beltrán, CP and D'Amato, G and El-Sayed, ZA and Gómez, RM and Hossny, E and Kalayci, &#xd6; and Morais-Almeida, M and Nieto-Garcia, A and Peden, DB and Phipatanakul, W and Wang, JY and Wan, IJ and Wong, G and Xepapadaki, P and Papadopoulos, NG},
title = {Global change, climate change, and asthma in children: Direct and indirect effects - A WAO Pediatric Asthma Committee Report.},
journal = {The World Allergy Organization journal},
volume = {17},
number = {11},
pages = {100988},
pmid = {39582513},
issn = {1939-4551},
abstract = {The twenty-first century has seen a fundamental shift in disease epidemiology with anthropogenic environmental change emerging as the likely dominant factor affecting the distribution and severity of current and future human disease. This is especially true of allergic diseases and asthma with their intimate relationship with the natural environment. Climate change-related variables including increased ambient temperature, heat waves, extreme weather events, air pollution, and rainfall distribution, all can directly affect asthma in children, but each of these variables also indirectly affects asthma via alterations in pollen production and release, outdoor allergen exposure or the microbiome. Air pollution, with its many and varied respiratory consequences, is likely to have the greatest effect, as it has increased globally due to rapid increases in fossil fuel combustion, global population, crowding, and megacities, as well as forest burning and trees succumbing to an increasingly hostile environment. Human activities have also caused substantial deterioration of the global microbiome with reductions in biodiversity for molds, bacteria, and viruses. Reduced microbiome diversity has, in turn, been associated with increases in Th2 allergic responses and allergic disease. The collective effect of these changes has already shifted allergy and asthma disease patterns. Given that changes in climate have been relatively small to date, the unavoidable, much greater shifts in climate in the future are concerning. Determining the relative scale of the direct versus indirect effects of climate change variables is needed if effective avoidance and adaptive measures are to be implemented. This would also require much more basic, epidemiological, and clinical research to understand the causal mechanisms, the most relevant climate factors involved, the regions most affected and, most importantly, effective and actionable adaptation measures. We suggest that allergy and respiratory health workers should follow current guidance to reduce present risks related to climate change and watch for new recommendations to reduce future risks. Since the respiratory system is the one most affected by climate change, they also need to call for more research in this area and show strong leadership in advocating for urgent action to protect children by reducing or reversing factors that have led to our deteriorating climate.},
}
@article {pmid39582375,
year = {2024},
author = {Mechelli, A and Baecker, L and Bakolis, I and Stewart, R and Gasparrini, A and Smythe, M and White, M and Bridge, N},
title = {Climate change and mental health: overview of UK policy and regulatory frameworks to stimulate and inform future research and practice.},
journal = {The British journal of psychiatry : the journal of mental science},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {1-6},
doi = {10.1192/bjp.2024.216},
pmid = {39582375},
issn = {1472-1465},
support = {Wellcome Climate Impacts Award (Grant Ref: 228033//WT_/Wellcome Trust/United Kingdom ; },
abstract = {In the context of climate change, the impacts of extreme weather events are increasingly recognised as a significant threat to mental health in the UK. As clinicians and researchers with an interest in mental health, we have a collective responsibility to help understand and mitigate these impacts. To achieve this, however, it is vital to have an appreciation of the relevant policy and regulatory frameworks. In this feature article, a collaboration amongst mental health and policy experts, we provide an overview of the integration of mental health within current climate policies and regulations in the UK, including gaps and opportunities. We argue that current policy and regulatory frameworks are lacking in coverage, ambition, detail and implementation, as increases in weather extremes and their negative impacts on mental health outpace action. For example, across current national and local climate policies, there is almost no reference to the impacts of extreme weather events on mental health. Whilst alarming, this provides scope for future research to fill evidence gaps and inform policy and regulatory change. We call for mental health and policy experts to work together to improve our understanding of underlying mechanisms and develop practical interventions, helping to bring mental health within climate policy and regulatory frameworks.},
}
@article {pmid39582252,
year = {2024},
author = {Griffiths, JS and Sasaki, M and Neylan, IP and Kelly, MW},
title = {The Potential for Experimental Evolution to Uncover Trade-Offs Associated With Anthropogenic and Climate Change Adaptation.},
journal = {Global change biology},
volume = {30},
number = {11},
pages = {e17584},
doi = {10.1111/gcb.17584},
pmid = {39582252},
issn = {1365-2486},
mesh = {*Climate Change ; *Biological Evolution ; *Adaptation, Physiological ; Animals ; Phenotype ; },
abstract = {Evolutionary responses to climate change may incur trade-offs due to energetic constraints and mechanistic limitations, which are both influenced by environmental context. Adaptation to one stressor may result in life history trade-offs, canalization of phenotypic plasticity, and the inability to tolerate other stressors, among other potential costs. While trade-offs incurred during adaptation are difficult to detect in natural populations, experimental evolution can provide important insights by measuring correlated responses to selection as populations adapt to changing environments. However, studies testing for trade-offs have generally lagged behind the growth in the use of experimental evolution in climate change studies. We argue that the important insights generated by the few studies that have tested for trade-offs make a strong case for including these types of measurements in future studies of climate adaptation. For example, there is emerging consensus from experimental evolution studies that tolerance and tolerance plasticity trade-offs are an often-observed outcome of adaptation to anthropogenic change. In recent years, these types of studies have been strengthened by the use of sequencing of experimental populations, which provides promising new avenues for understanding the molecular mechanisms underlying observed phenotypic trade-offs.},
}
@article {pmid39581955,
year = {2024},
author = {Schlaepfer, DR and Chambers, JC and Urza, AK and Hanberry, BB and Brown, JL and Board, DI and Campbell, SB and Clause, KJ and Crist, MR and Bradford, JB},
title = {Declining ecological resilience and invasion resistance under climate change in the sagebrush region, United States.},
journal = {Ecological applications : a publication of the Ecological Society of America},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {e3065},
doi = {10.1002/eap.3065},
pmid = {39581955},
issn = {1051-0761},
support = {//USGS Ecosystems Mission Area Land Management Research Program/ ; //Rocky Mountain Research Station/ ; PL-117-58//Section 40804 Ecosystem Restoration of the Bipartisan Infrastructure Law (PL-117-58)/ ; //U.S. Bureau of Land Management/ ; //USGS Northwest Climate Adaptation Science Center/ ; },
abstract = {In water-limited dryland ecosystems of the Western United States, climate change is intensifying the impacts of heat, drought, and wildfire. Disturbances often lead to increased abundance of invasive species, in part, because dryland restoration and rehabilitation are inhibited by limited moisture and infrequent plant recruitment events. Information on ecological resilience to disturbance (recovery potential) and resistance to invasive species can aid in addressing these challenges by informing long-term restoration and conservation planning. Here, we quantified the impacts of projected future climate on ecological resilience and invasion resistance (R&amp;R) in the sagebrush region using novel algorithms based on ecologically relevant and climate-sensitive predictors of climate and ecological drought. We used a process-based ecohydrological model to project these predictor variables and resulting R&amp;R indicators for two future climate scenarios and 20 climate models. Results suggested widespread future R&amp;R decreases (24%-34% of the 1.16 million km[2] study area) that are generally consistent among climate models. Variables related to rising temperatures were most strongly linked to decreases in R&amp;R indicators. New continuous R&amp;R indices quantified responses to climate change; particularly useful for areas without projected change in the R&amp;R category but where R&amp;R still may decrease, for example, some of the areas with a historically low R&amp;R category. Additionally, we found that areas currently characterized as having high sagebrush ecological integrity had the largest areal percentage with expected declines in R&amp;R in the future, suggesting continuing declines in sagebrush ecosystems. One limitation of these R&amp;R projections was relatively novel future climatic conditions in particularly hot and dry areas that were underrepresented in the training data. Including more data from these areas in future updates could further improve the reliability of the projections. Overall, these projected future declines in R&amp;R highlight a growing challenge for natural resource managers in the region, and the resulting spatially explicit datasets provide information that can improve long-term risk assessments, prioritizations, and climate adaptation efforts.},
}
@article {pmid39581565,
year = {2024},
author = {Nunes, ML and da Cunha, AJLA},
title = {Neurodevelopment and climate change.},
journal = {Jornal de pediatria},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1016/j.jped.2024.10.005},
pmid = {39581565},
issn = {1678-4782},
abstract = {OBJECTIVE: This article aims to assess the impact of climate change, a reality already presents in the environment, on the neurodevelopment of both neurotypical and atypical children.<br><br>DATA SOURCES: A narrative review of the literature was carried out based on articles available in the PubMed database, published in the last five years using the keywords neurodevelopment and climate change, as well as websites of organizations dedicated to childhood such as UNICEF, the American Academy of Pediatrics and the Center for Developing Childhood at Harvard University.<br><br>SUMMARY OF FINDINGS: Children and adolescents are more directly affected by the effects of climate change due to their developmental stage and greater vulnerability. Prolonged exposure to air pollutants can affect brain development, resulting in cognitive and behavioral problems. Extreme weather events, such as floods, cyclones, and heat waves, can destroy essential infrastructure such as schools and hospitals, interrupting the educational process and access to health care. Changes in rainfall patterns and extreme droughts can affect food production, leading to malnutrition and food insecurity. Direct experience of natural disasters can cause stress and psychological trauma, affecting children's emotional and mental well-being.<br><br>CONCLUSIONS: Studies clearly demonstrate the potential impact of climate change on the neurodevelopment and mental health of children and adolescents. This topic should be part of the current agenda of pediatricians, not only treating the resulting illnesses but mainly acting on the front line and supporting proposals to attenuate the environmental disaster that has already occurred.},
}
@article {pmid39581564,
year = {2024},
author = {Bustamante, MMDC},
title = {Climate change and children's health: resilience challenges for Brazil.},
journal = {Jornal de pediatria},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1016/j.jped.2024.11.002},
pmid = {39581564},
issn = {1678-4782},
abstract = {OBJECTIVE: Three decades of evidence compiled by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) reports is clear about the unequivocal impacts of humans on the global climate system are unequivocal and the wide range of effects on natural, social, and economic systems. Studies on impacts, vulnerability, and adaptation present the current impact on health and future consequences under different climate and greenhouse gas emissions scenarios. This article discusses some of the impacts of climate change on children's health which represents one of the most vulnerable groups.<br><br>SOURCES: Evidence was sourced from recent scientific papers and reports referring to the potential impacts on children's health associated with the extreme events in Brazil observed in Brazil between 2023 and 2024 (heat waves and droughts, wildfires, and floods).<br><br>SUMMARY OF THE FINDINGS: Besides global warming, climate change is associated with more frequent and intense extreme events such as droughts, floods, and wildfires. Children and adolescents are particularly vulnerable due to physiological characteristics, interaction with exposure factors, and because they will live longer under changing conditions. Climate change projections and the intensification of impacts for Brazil highlight the adaptation challenges related to the protection of children under a changing climate and the role of the preparation of the country's health system, educators, and parents.<br><br>CONCLUSIONS: The article underscores the need for collaboration among policymakers, health professionals, and educators, as well as the communities, to effectively address the adaptation challenges and build resilience to protect children against the impacts of climate change.},
}
@article {pmid39581563,
year = {2024},
author = {Veras, MM and Saldiva, PHN},
title = {Impact of air pollution and climate change on maternal, fetal and postnatal health.},
journal = {Jornal de pediatria},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1016/j.jped.2024.10.006},
pmid = {39581563},
issn = {1678-4782},
abstract = {OBJECTIVE: Besides socioeconomic factors, environmental pollution, and climate change are contemporary threats to health. In this review, the authors present results from a recent comprehensive synthesis of existing research on the effects of air pollution and climate change on gestation, fetal development, and postnatal health.<br><br>DATA SOURCES: Findings from systematic reviews conducted over the past five years and available in PubMed were used.<br><br>SUMMARY OF FINDINGS: A vast and robust evidence exists on the association between air pollution exposures and negative outcomes. Gestational diabetes, hypertensive disorders of pregnancy, preeclampsia, spontaneous abortion, and maternal postpartum depression are reported. Fetal development and postnatal health are also impaired by exposures; low birth weight is a common finding from studies worldwide, but there are increased risks for malformations and impairments in neurodevelopment. While there are fewer studies on factors related to climate change, there is sufficient evidence regarding the direct and indirect effects on maternal health and fetal development. Increased risks for prematurity, low birth, and emergency room visits are associated with higher temperatures. Asthma incidence and infectious respiratory disease risks are also influenced by extreme weather events. It is essential to recognize the profound impact that environmental factors, such as air pollution and climate change can have on maternal health, fetal development, and neonatal health.<br><br>CONCLUSION: The data presented underscores the significant risks that environmental pollution poses during gestation, influencing not only maternal health but also the short- and long-term well-being of the child.},
}
@article {pmid39580551,
year = {2024},
author = {Morant, D and Rochera, C and Picazo, A and Miralles-Lorenzo, J and Camacho-Santamans, A and Camacho, A},
title = {Ecological status and type of alteration determine the C-balance and climate change mitigation capacity of Mediterranean inland saline shallow lakes.},
journal = {Scientific reports},
volume = {14},
number = {1},
pages = {29065},
pmid = {39580551},
issn = {2045-2322},
support = {FPU16/01444//Spanish Ministry of Science Innovation and Universities/ ; CGL2015-69557-R//Agencia Estatal de Investigaci&#xf3;n/ ; },
abstract = {Saline shallow lakes may play an important role in carbon exchange with the atmosphere, but their alteration may change carbon balance and greenhouse gas emissions patterns. This study investigated the relationship between carbon metabolic processes and environmental factors, focusing on alterations in salinity, hydroperiod length, and trophic status. The results revealed that disruptions to natural salinity patterns, driven by hydrological changes and ecological degradation, enhanced carbon greenhouse gas emitting metabolisms. In contrast, well-preserved lakes demonstrated significantly higher carbon retention and climate mitigation capacities (-188 ± 412 g C m[-2] yr[-1]) compared to lakes with hydrological and trophic disturbances (-30 ± 141 g C m[-2] yr[-1]). These findings emphasize the relevance of the metabolic activity of saline shallow lakes and highlight the need for targeted management and restoration efforts to maximize their climate regulation potential. The insights gained from this study may also be applicable to similar ecosystems in other regions.},
}
@article {pmid39579524,
year = {2024},
author = {Crosta, M and Cervini, C and Medina, A and Battilani, P},
title = {Impact of simulated climate change conditions on Aspergillus flavus biocontrol effectiveness in peanut-based medium and peanut seeds.},
journal = {International journal of food microbiology},
volume = {428},
number = {},
pages = {110981},
doi = {10.1016/j.ijfoodmicro.2024.110981},
pmid = {39579524},
issn = {1879-3460},
abstract = {Peanut is a legume widespread in the world, but its high susceptibility to Aspergillus flavus infection poses a significant challenge due to the risk of aflatoxin contamination. It is predicted that changing climatic conditions will result in warmer, drier periods with elevated CO2 levels, which promote the growth of A. flavus. The most effective pre-harvest mitigation strategy is the use of non-aflatoxigenic strains of biocontrol; however, future climatic conditions may influence the effectiveness of this practice. Thus, the objective of this study was to assess the impact of simulated climate change conditions on the efficacy of a non-aflatoxigenic A. flavus strain, the active agent of a biocontrol product, in reducing fungal growth and mycotoxin production. A range of temperature conditions (T = 25, 30, 35 °C), water activity (aw = 0.85, 0.90, 0.95) and CO2 concentration (400, 1000 ppm) were selected for investigation. The assay was conducted using three ratios of A. flavus spore suspensions (100 % aflatoxigenic, 100 % non-aflatoxigenic, 50/50 % aflatoxigenic:non-aflatoxigenic; 105 spores mL[-1]) inoculated in vitro on a peanut-based medium (PBM), and in situ on peanut seeds, and incubated for 10 days. Results of in vitro studies showed a significant influence of T and aw on fungal growth rates (μ), with a reduction when the aw decreased and T shifted from the fungus's optimum of 30 °C. The highest mycotoxin concentration was detected on PBM, with an aflatoxin B1 (AFB1) production by the aflatoxigenic strain in situ 50 % lower than in vitro. However, for all the treatments, the application of the biocontrol agent inhibited AFB1 production with a general reduction of 55 % in vitro and 71 % in situ, even though a significant increase in kojic acid production was observed. The effectiveness of the non-aflatoxigenic strain increased when T was raised up to 35 °C with higher AFB1 reductions both in vitro and in situ, of respectively 58 and 76 %. These observations provided the first evidence that climate change will not negatively influence the ability of the Italian A. flavus non-aflatoxigenic strain, which represents the biocontrol agent of the commercial product AF-X1, to reduce AFB1 contamination in peanuts.},
}
@article {pmid39579203,
year = {2024},
author = {Thöne, M and Lask, J and Hennenlotter, J and Saar, M and Tsaur, I and Stenzl, A and Rausch, S},
title = {Potential impacts to human health from climate change: A comparative life-cycle assessment of single-use versus reusable devices flexible ureteroscopes.},
journal = {Urolithiasis},
volume = {52},
number = {1},
pages = {166},
pmid = {39579203},
issn = {2194-7236},
mesh = {Humans ; *Equipment Reuse ; *Ureteroscopes ; *Climate Change ; Carbon Dioxide/analysis ; Greenhouse Gases/analysis/adverse effects ; Disposable Equipment ; },
abstract = {Climate change poses a significant global health challenge, with medical procedures contributing substantially to CO2 emissions. Urology, as part of the broader healthcare sector, has begun integrating Planetary Health concepts to address this issue. While earlier studies have focused on Life Cycle Assessments (LCA) of urological procedures, these evaluations remain data-dependent, and insights into intra-hospital emissions are limited. This study introduces a methodical approach for analyzing intra-institutional processes of LCA for single-use and reusable flexible ureterorenoscopes (fURS). The LCA method was applied to assess the greenhouse gas emissions (CO2 equivalents, CO2-eq) generated across the life cycle of fURS, including production, use-phase, reprocessing, maintenance, and disposal. The study approximated the Global Warming Potential (GWP) per one-hour use and evaluated associated health impacts using the ReCiPe2016(H) method, which measures Disability-Adjusted Life Years (DALYs). Results showed that for reusable fURS, assuming 133 usages per device and maintenance after every 11th use, each application generated 1.24 kg CO2-eq, equivalent to 1.15E-06 DALYs. In contrast, single-use fURS generated 4.93 kg CO2-eq and 4.57E-06 DALYs per application. The production and reprocessing stages were identified as having the greatest environmental and health impacts. For reusable fURS, electricity required during refurbishment and use phases was a key contributor, whereas the production phase accounted for most of the impact in single-use devices. Overall, singleuse fURS had a substantially higher potential environmental and health impact than their reusable counterparts. This study underscores the environmental and health impacts of ureterorenoscopy and highlights the importance of incorporating Planetary Health principles into healthcare practices. It provides a foundation for further analyses and research, aiming to drive transformative action in the healthcare sector toward sustainability.},
}
@article {pmid39578743,
year = {2024},
author = {Wiskel, T and Miles, TT and Fonteyn, M and Stevens, K and Heberlein, C and Matthews-Trigg, N and Dresser, C and Bernstein, A},
title = {Frontline clinic perspectives on climate change, human health, and resilience: a national cross-sectional survey.},
journal = {BMC primary care},
volume = {25},
number = {1},
pages = {399},
pmid = {39578743},
issn = {2731-4553},
support = {A43939//Biogen/ ; },
mesh = {Humans ; *Climate Change ; Cross-Sectional Studies ; United States ; *Resilience, Psychological ; Primary Health Care ; Female ; Surveys and Questionnaires ; Male ; Adult ; Attitude of Health Personnel ; Middle Aged ; Ambulatory Care Facilities ; },
abstract = {BACKGROUND: Frontline clinics - primary care clinics that predominantly serve low-income and socially disadvantaged communities - are facing increasing impacts from climate-related extreme events. This study evaluated staff perspectives at frontline clinics on the health risks of climate change, the impacts of extreme events on their clinics and patients, and their motivators to improve climate resiliency.<br><br>METHODS: A national, cross-sectional survey was conducted of staff working at frontline clinics including administrators, case workers, and providers across the United States. Survey questions assessed clinic and respondent attributes, knowledge of health risks of climate change, preferences for climate change educational and operational resources, and clinic and patient climate impacts and resilience. The survey was distributed electronically to a convenience sample of primary care clinics and to the National Association of Community Health Centers (NACHC) and National Association of Free and Charitable Clinics (NAFC) listservs. Data was collected from September to November of 2021. Respondents were current staff who consented to the survey. Responses were collected via Qualtrics, and the statistical analysis was completed using Stata.<br><br>RESULTS: A total of 430 surveys were completed representing clinics in 43 states. Most (82.0%) respondents reported human activities were causing climate change. Over half (52.8%) of respondents reported an operational disruption to their clinic from extreme events in the past 3 years, and another 54.4% had plans in place to address risks from extreme events. The most useful resources identified to improve operational resilience were checklists and planning guidance. Over half (52.0%) of respondents reported they were motivated to use these resources to improve clinic preparedness. Most (84.4%) providers and case workers reported that climate change impacted patient health, however only 36.2% discussed health risks with patients, with barriers including more pressing topics and time available. Another 55.7% of respondents reported they were motivated to learn ways to help patients prepare for extreme events.<br><br>CONCLUSIONS: Climate-related extreme events were reported to impact patient health and disrupt frontline clinic operations. Overcoming gaps in knowledge about climate change impacts on health and providing climate educational resources can engender motivation to improve clinic and patient resilience to climate change.},
}
@article {pmid39577952,
year = {2024},
author = {Sun, W and Zhu, Z and Wang, L and Ren, R and Wang, L and Usman, M and Wang, J and Zhu, Y and Liu, X and Jiu, S and Gallusci, P and Wang, S and Liu, R and Zhang, C},
title = {Icewine fingerprint involved in latitude under climate change.},
journal = {Food research international (Ottawa, Ont.)},
volume = {197},
number = {Pt 2},
pages = {115305},
doi = {10.1016/j.foodres.2024.115305},
pmid = {39577952},
issn = {1873-7145},
mesh = {*Climate Change ; *Odorants/analysis ; *Volatile Organic Compounds/analysis ; China ; Fruit/chemistry ; Humans ; },
abstract = {Aroma plays a crucial role in determining icewine quality and influencing the profit of growers, but the influence of climate change on icewine sustainable production and the diversity of aroma volatiles in icewine among different regions are unknown. Here, we employed aroma volatiles of 8 Vidal icewines from 2 typical premium production regions (Liaoning in China and Ontario in Canada) and an emerging low-latitude mountainous area (Yunnan in China) to project future diversity and sustainability. We found that Ontario and Yunnan's icewines were characterized with intense apricot or peach and tropical fruit aromas, which was consistent with the excellent grade icewine around the world based on 225 icewine aroma datasets from 5 countries. Icewine from Liaoning was abundant with honey flavor. Moreover, projections suggested a northward trend of 3.5° N and 6° N in Ontario during near future (2021-2050) and far future (2070-2099) periods, respectively. However, Liaoning province might have more challenges for premium icewine production under the worst climate warming scenario. Notably, the lower latitude and higher altitude region, Yunnan province, would sustainable provide special premium icewine with a northward expansion of icewine production region to 28.5° N under climate change. The findings provide theoretical support in relieving climate change challenges to premium icewine availability and stability.},
}
@article {pmid39577913,
year = {2024},
author = {Sisodiya, SM and Maslin, MA and Romanello, M and Hanna, MG},
title = {Effects of climate change on the brain: an environmental neurology perspective - Authors' reply.},
journal = {The Lancet. Neurology},
volume = {23},
number = {12},
pages = {1186-1187},
doi = {10.1016/S1474-4422(24)00441-1},
pmid = {39577913},
issn = {1474-4465},
}
@article {pmid39577912,
year = {2024},
author = {Reis, J and Buguet, A and Radomski, MW and Román, GC and Spencer, PS},
title = {Effects of climate change on the brain: an environmental neurology perspective.},
journal = {The Lancet. Neurology},
volume = {23},
number = {12},
pages = {1185-1186},
doi = {10.1016/S1474-4422(24)00431-9},
pmid = {39577912},
issn = {1474-4465},
}
@article {pmid39577374,
year = {2024},
author = {Paredes-Molina, FJ and Chaparro, OR and Navarro, JM and Büchner-Miranda, JA and Salas-Yanquin, LP and Cubillos, VM and Jaramillo, HN and Pechenik, JA and Averbuj, A and Bökenhans, V},
title = {Performance of Acanthina monodon juveniles under long-term exposure to predicted climate change conditions.},
journal = {Marine environmental research},
volume = {204},
number = {},
pages = {106855},
doi = {10.1016/j.marenvres.2024.106855},
pmid = {39577374},
issn = {1879-0291},
abstract = {The increase of anthropogenic CO2 in the Earth's atmosphere reduces the pH and raises the temperature of the oceans. The combination of both factors impacts the physiological responses and calcium carbonate structures of marine organisms. This study assessed the performance of the juvenile stage of the gastropod Acanthina monodon, after it was continuously exposed to treatments at two pCO2 levels (400 and 1200 μatm) at two temperatures (10 °C and 15 °C) during the periods of embryonic encapsulated development and the early post-hatching juvenile stage. Juvenile performance was evaluated by quantifying shell growth, survival, foot adhesion strength, shell breakage resistance, and oxygen consumption rates. The results indicate that the combination of increased temperature and decreased pH increased juvenile shell growth, while only the decrease in pH had a negative effect on shell strength. However, juveniles were able to attach more strongly to substrates following exposure to the higher temperature level. Furthermore, the interaction of treatments had no effect on the metabolic rate or survival of juveniles, suggesting a possible compensatory effect of the juveniles to the more adverse conditions to which they were exposed.},
}
@article {pmid39577328,
year = {2024},
author = {MacLean, S and de Nicola, J and Cooper, K and Downey, H and Theobald, J and de Kleyn, L and Denham, T and Costello, E and Rickards, L},
title = {How does climate change impact people who use alcohol and other drugs? A scoping review of peer reviewed literature.},
journal = {The International journal on drug policy},
volume = {134},
number = {},
pages = {104649},
doi = {10.1016/j.drugpo.2024.104649},
pmid = {39577328},
issn = {1873-4758},
abstract = {BACKGROUND: The world has experienced devastating extreme weather events, alongside slow-onset processes including increasing temperature means, that scientists agree are manifestations of human-induced climate change. Even with radical action to reduce greenhouse gas emissions, effects of climate change will become increasingly severe.<br><br>OBJECTIVES: The aim of this review was to classify impacts of climate change for people who use alcohol and other drugs (AoD), as reflected in peer reviewed literature.<br><br>METHOD: A scoping review was conducted to achieve this. Included studies involved a human population, a climate change related exposure, and an AoD outcome. Studies were published in English between 1998 and November 2023. Exposure events of interest included extreme heat, fires, storms, floods, droughts, and longer-term environmental changes. 8,204 studies were screened, with 82 included for data extraction and narrative analysis.<br><br>RESULTS: Most papers describe increased AoD use, with smaller numbers showing decreased or unchanged substance use. Some studies identify unplanned withdrawal, changed drug markets, disrupted service access, specific physiological vulnerabilities of AoD users to extreme heat, and compounding effects on mental health. We note the relative absence of peer reviewed studies investigating impacts of climate change on AoD use in low-and middle-income countries. Further, few studies consider impacts that occur because of long-term or gradual climatic shifts such as environmental changes that are detrimental to livelihoods.<br><br>CONCLUSION: It is crucial to document effects of a changing climate on people who use AoD so that policy and services can meet future needs. We call for research to remedy gaps identified in this review.},
}
@article {pmid39576044,
year = {2024},
author = {Aziz, M and Anjum, G},
title = {Transformative strategies for enhancing women's resilience to climate change: A policy perspective for low- and middle-income countries.},
journal = {Women's health (London, England)},
volume = {20},
number = {},
pages = {17455057241302032},
pmid = {39576044},
issn = {1745-5065},
mesh = {Humans ; *Climate Change ; Female ; *Developing Countries ; *Women's Health ; *Empowerment ; Pregnancy ; Health Policy ; Resilience, Psychological ; Women's Rights ; },
abstract = {This policy paper advocates for a transformative strategy to address the disproportionate impact of climate change on women in low- and middle-income countries (LMICs), emphasizing the need to integrate gender considerations into climate resilience initiatives. Recognizing the multifaceted nature of women's vulnerabilities, the paper calls for the dismantling of discriminatory socio-cultural norms and the enhancement of women's capacities through digital health literacy, political empowerment, and the protection of sexual and reproductive health rights. Focusing on the health implications of climate change, particularly for pregnant women and newborns, the paper promotes a multi-sectoral approach that strengthens health systems and encourages community-based interventions. It underscores the importance of incorporating gender perspectives into climate adaptation and mitigation strategies, advocating for tailored health services in LMICs, and promoting women's active involvement in climate-related decision-making processes. The methodology involves a qualitative, expert, and narrative synthesis of existing literature and policy analysis. The paper synthesizes existing research and policy recommendations to argue for a comprehensive policy framework and backs it with case studies from LMICs. This framework recognizes the complex interplay between women's vulnerabilities and climate change, advocating for women's empowerment as central to climate resilience efforts in LMICs. By integrating gender perspectives, enhancing health services for women, and fostering international collaboration, it proposes a holistic approach to mitigate the adverse effects of climate change on women's health and well-being. This approach not only acknowledges the specific challenges faced by women but also leverages their unique insights and experiences, positioning them as pivotal contributors to global climate resilience and sustainability efforts.},
}
@article {pmid39575137,
year = {2024},
author = {Martins, FP and Paschoalotto, MAC and Closs, J and Bukowski, M and Veras, MM},
title = {The Double Burden: Climate Change Challenges for Health Systems.},
journal = {Environmental health insights},
volume = {18},
number = {},
pages = {11786302241298789},
pmid = {39575137},
issn = {1178-6302},
abstract = {Climate change presents significant challenges to human health and health systems, and there is a critical need for health systems to adapt and become more resilient in order to effectively mediate the impacts of climate change on population health. This paper analyzes existing academic literature to identify key themes, trends, and research gaps at the intersection of climate change and health systems. Utilizing a scoping review of 179 studies, we explore how health systems can enhance their resilience through effective governance, sustainable financing, resource generation, and adaptive service delivery. Our findings emphasize the importance of integrating climate considerations into health system governance, mobilizing innovative financial resources, and adapting infrastructure and workforce capacities to address climate-related health challenges. The study highlights the need for continued interdisciplinary research and targeted interventions to ensure health systems are equipped to promote equity and protect vulnerable populations in the face of climate change. These insights contribute to the development of climate-resilient health systems and identify crucial areas for future research.},
}
@article {pmid39571812,
year = {2024},
author = {Martinez, A and Iglesias, G},
title = {Climate change and wind energy potential in South America.},
journal = {The Science of the total environment},
volume = {957},
number = {},
pages = {177675},
doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.177675},
pmid = {39571812},
issn = {1879-1026},
abstract = {Wind energy is crucial in mitigating greenhouse gas emissions and combating global warming. However, the economic viability of wind energy projects is tied to wind resources, which may be affected by climate change. The objective of this work is to investigate the evolution of wind energy resources in South America using the most up-to-date climate-change scenarios: the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways. Three scenarios are considered, corresponding to low, medium and high emissions pathways. A multi-model ensemble is constructed with Global Climate Models selected for their accuracy in the study region in a historical period. Results indicate that east of the Andes, in Brazil, Paraguay and Venezuela, substantial increases in average wind power density are expected, surpassing 100 % in certain areas and in the most pessimistic scenario (the fossil-fuelled development pathway). By contrast, significant reductions (up to ~50 %) are projected for certain areas west of the Andes: South Chile, Peru and the waters off West Colombia. South Chile has the windiest climate in the continent, which makes this reduction due to climate change all the more important. Even under the low-emissions scenario, the projected evolution in wind resources is relevant, which highlights the necessity of considering climate change in wind energy planning.},
}
@article {pmid39571314,
year = {2024},
author = {Strauss, V and Paul, C and Dönmez, C and Burkhard, B},
title = {Carbon farming for climate change mitigation and ecosystem services - Potentials and influencing factors.},
journal = {Journal of environmental management},
volume = {372},
number = {},
pages = {123253},
doi = {10.1016/j.jenvman.2024.123253},
pmid = {39571314},
issn = {1095-8630},
abstract = {Carbon Farming (CF) decreases atmospheric CO2 concentrations by increasing carbon stocks in soils and biomass. In addition to mitigating climate change, CF measures provide co-benefits through the supply of additional ecosystem services (ES). Integrating such benefits into a comprehensive assessment may increase the attractiveness of CF measures, increase adoption rates, and ultimately benefit climate and ecosystems. However, site-specific and measure-specific characteristics influence the impacts of CF measures. A comprehensive overview over CF impacts is lacking. We therefore analyzed six CF measures on cropland in the European temperate zone: (1) cover cropping, (2) introducing legumes or semi-perennial crops into crop rotations, (3) conversion to short rotation coppice, (4) agroforestry, (5) afforestation of marginal cropland, and (6) partial rewetting of drained organic soils. Through a structured literature review, we derived on-site climate change mitigation potentials, impacts on the supply of ES, and economic trade-offs, as well as influencing factors causing spatial heterogeneities. Our results show that the climate change mitigation potential varies strongly between and within CF measures. All measures can boost the supply of regulating ecosystem services, while trade-offs exist mainly with provisioning services and economic returns. Spatially heterogeneous effects in ES supply depend on local ES demand. As proof of concept, we mapped expected beneficial ES effects from 4 selected ES positively impacted by the measure (4) agroforestry in a GIS environment for Germany, as well as opportunity costs as an economic trade-off. The results suggest that strong co-benefits can be expected in areas where opportunity costs are high. Moreover, the CF measures with the highest climate change mitigation potential also imply the highest systemic change of the farm system. This constitutes a strong economic hurdle to implementation. We argue that payments for ES are needed to incentivize CF adoption and harness the beneficial effects on climate and ecosystems. Our findings provide a comprehensive view on the effect of CF measures and may support effective European climate change mitigation policy.},
}
@article {pmid39570995,
year = {2024},
author = {Alemu, FM and Mengistu, YA and Wassie, AG},
title = {Factor productivity impacts of climate change and estimating the technical efficiency of cereal crop yields: Evidence from sub-Saharan African countries.},
journal = {PloS one},
volume = {19},
number = {11},
pages = {e0310989},
pmid = {39570995},
issn = {1932-6203},
mesh = {*Climate Change ; Africa South of the Sahara ; *Edible Grain/growth &amp; development ; *Crops, Agricultural/growth &amp; development ; *Agriculture/methods ; Fertilizers ; Humans ; Crop Production/methods ; },
abstract = {The world aims to ensure environmental sustainability and consolidate agricultural factor productivity, yet the excruciating impact of climate change coincides and remains a persistent threat. Therefore, the study aims to estimate the technical efficiency of cereal crop yields and investigate the impacts of climate change on agricultural factor productivity. For this purpose, panel data from 35 sub-Saharan African countries between 2005 and 2020 was employed. For analysis, the pooled OLS and stochastic frontier models were employed. The results revealed that in the region, the average efficiency score for producing cereal crops between 2005 and 2020 was 83%. The stochastic frontier model results showed that labour contributed 51.5% and fertilizer contributed 5.7% to raising the technical efficiency of cereal crop yields, whereas arable land per hectare reduced the technical efficiency of cereal yields by 44.7%. The pooled OLS regression result showed that climate change proxies (CO2 and methane emissions) diminish land, labour, and fertilizers productivity at a 1% significance level, whereas GDP per capita boosts significantly the total factor productivity in agriculture. This confirmed how climate change reduced land, labour, and fertilizer input productivity. The results concluded that the region had a high level of technical efficiency; of which labour and fertilizer inputs contributed the largest share; however, their productivity has dwindled due to climate change. To increase cereal crop yield efficiency and limit the adverse effects of climate change on agricultural input productivity, the region should combine skilled and trained labour and fertilizer with sophisticated agriculture technologies, as well as adopt climate resistance technologies (weather- resistant variety seed and planting revolution mechanisms).},
}
@article {pmid39570336,
year = {2024},
author = {Schoierer, J and Lehmann, H and Köster-Lange, J and Gerke, J},
title = {[Climate change-a health issue (also) for families and their young children?].},
journal = {Bundesgesundheitsblatt, Gesundheitsforschung, Gesundheitsschutz},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
pmid = {39570336},
issn = {1437-1588},
abstract = {Children can only grow up healthy on a healthy planet. Climate change threatens their health through rising temperatures and extreme weather events. In Germany, average temperatures have risen, leading to more frequent and intense heatwaves. This development particularly endangers children, whose thermoregulation is not yet fully developed. UV exposure increases the risk of skin cancer and eye damage. Extreme weather also negatively impacts children's mental health.Childcare, educational, and recreational facilities play a key role in managing the psychological and physical burdens of climate change. Resilient systems and facilities can promote stability and resilience and have a preventive effect. However, the adaptation of children's personal living context to climate change is still inadequate. It is essential to enhance the climate competence of those responsible in these environments through practical informational materials that enable them to not only be aware but also to actively establish protective measures. Health insurance companies can also play a crucial role in prevention by advising and supporting climate-friendly and health-promoting activities.Health promotion in environments with children has great potential to encourage climate-protective and climate-adaptive behavior and to establish it long term among children and families. Bringing about the necessary changes requires cross-sector collaboration between institutions, providers, authorities, health insurance companies, and civil society as well as between federal, state, and local governments.},
}
@article {pmid39567913,
year = {2024},
author = {Cosh, SM and Ryan, R and Fallander, K and Robinson, K and Tognela, J and Tully, PJ and Lykins, AD},
title = {The relationship between climate change and mental health: a systematic review of the association between eco-anxiety, psychological distress, and symptoms of major affective disorders.},
journal = {BMC psychiatry},
volume = {24},
number = {1},
pages = {833},
pmid = {39567913},
issn = {1471-244X},
mesh = {Humans ; *Climate Change ; *Anxiety/psychology ; *Psychological Distress ; Mental Health ; Adult ; Female ; Male ; },
abstract = {BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES: The adverse impacts of climate change on mental health is a burgeoning area, although findings are inconsistent. The emerging concept of eco-anxiety represents distress in relation to climate change and may be related to mental health. The aim of this study was to explore the relationship between eco-anxiety with validated mental health outcomes, specifically psychological distress and symptoms of major affective disorders.<br><br>DESIGN: Systematic review.<br><br>METHODS: EBSCO, ProQuest, and Web of Science databases were searched to February 2024 for studies of adult samples quantifying eco-anxiety (exposure, i.e. fear, worry or anxiety in relation to climate change) and symptoms of psychological distress and major affective disorders (outcomes), as assessed by validated measures.<br><br>RESULTS: Full text review of 83 studies was performed, and k&#x2009;=&#x2009;35 studies were included in the review (N&#x2009;=&#x2009;45 667, 61% female, Mage 31.2 years). Consistently, eco-anxiety showed small to large positive correlations with mental health outcomes of psychological distress, depression symptoms, anxiety symptoms, and stress symptoms. However, results regarding post-traumatic stress disorder symptoms and pathological worry were mixed. Stronger associations were observed where eco-anxiety was operationalised as 'anxiety' rather than 'worry'.<br><br>CONCLUSIONS: Findings underscore that eco-anxiety is related to psychological burden. Greater consideration of eco-anxiety in assessment and treatment is needed in clinical practice and further policy development is warranted at the intersection of climate and health to address the mental health challenges posed by climate change.},
}
@article {pmid39567901,
year = {2024},
author = {Amberger, O and Lemke, D and Christ, A and Müller, H and Schwappach, D and Geraedts, M and Müller, BS},
title = {Patient safety and climate change: findings from a cross-sectional survey in Germany.},
journal = {BMC public health},
volume = {24},
number = {1},
pages = {3233},
pmid = {39567901},
issn = {1471-2458},
mesh = {Humans ; Germany ; Cross-Sectional Studies ; Female ; *Climate Change ; Male ; Adult ; Middle Aged ; Aged ; *Patient Safety/statistics &amp; numerical data ; Young Adult ; Adolescent ; Socioeconomic Factors ; Surveys and Questionnaires ; Public Opinion ; },
abstract = {BACKGROUND: Patient safety has become a priority issue in health policy strategies in Germany in the last several years, and is especially important in the era of climate change. This study aimed to assess public perceptions about the patient safety impact of climate change and the demographic and socioeconomic factors influencing patient perception in Germany.<br><br>METHODS: A cross-sectional study was conducted in Germany in 2023, using data from the TK Monitor of Patient Safety. The TK Monitor of Patient Safety is a national survey of the population on the state of safety in medical care. Self-reported data were collected from 1,000 randomly selected adults living in Germany. Demographic and socioeconomic variables were regressed on climate change perception using an ordinal logistic regression approach.<br><br>RESULTS: Our results revealed that half of respondents are concerned about climate change affecting their health and 40% of the respondents would like to have climate-sensitive health counseling by their general practitioner. The results showed that demographic variables, such as gender and age, and socioeconomic variables, such as education level and income, are important factors influencing the perception of climate change-related patient safety risks. However, no association was found between urban/rural residence and patient perception.<br><br>CONCLUSIONS: Our study highlights patient safety as a public health concern in the era of climate change. The German public appears to view climate change as harmful to patient safety. Our findings also show that it is necessary to carry out diagnoses focused on demographic and socioeconomic factors to determine which aspects should be strengthened through programs aimed at reducing patient safety risks associated with climate change.},
}
@article {pmid39567782,
year = {2024},
author = {Osborn, TJ and Kennedy, JJ},
title = {Revised historical record sharpens perspective on global warming.},
journal = {Nature},
volume = {635},
number = {8039},
pages = {560-561},
pmid = {39567782},
issn = {1476-4687},
}
@article {pmid39566630,
year = {2024},
author = {de Freitas, CH and Coelho, RD and de Oliveira Costa, J and Sentelhas, PC},
title = {A bitter cup of coffee? Assessing the impact of climate change on Arabica coffee production in Brazil.},
journal = {The Science of the total environment},
volume = {957},
number = {},
pages = {177546},
doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.177546},
pmid = {39566630},
issn = {1879-1026},
abstract = {Brazil, the world's largest producer and exporter of Arabica coffee, faces increasing challenges from climate changes. To maintain the sustainability of this commodity, innovative management techniques will be essential. This study aimed to assess the impact of climate projections, considering two CMIP6 emission scenarios (SSP2-4.5 and SSP5-8.5) on the phenology and yield of Arabica coffee in 36 representative locations across Brazil for the periods 2041-2060, 2061-2080, and 2081-2100. Observed meteorological data from the BR-DWGD (Brazilian Daily Weather Gridded Data) and projected data from CLIMBra (Climate Change Dataset for Brazil) were employed. An agrometeorological model, calibrated for Brazilian conditions, estimated yield and phenology. Results indicate significant impacts on coffee cultivation areas, mainly due to rising temperatures and increased water deficits. Projections also suggest changes in coffee phenology, with anthesis advancing in colder regions and delaying in warmer areas, while maturation timing occurring earlier in all climates. Yield increases from CO2 fertilization were more pronounced in category C climates (Cfa, Cfb, Cwa, and Cwb), particularly in Cwb climates, reaching 2.9 bags ha[-1] (3.7 bags ha[-1] with irrigation) under the SSP2-4.5 scenario and 2.5 bags ha[-1] (3.5 bags ha[-1] with irrigation) under SSP5-8.5. However, higher temperatures and water deficits could cause severe yield losses, especially in Aw climates and under high-emission scenarios, where losses may reach 100 %. Irrigation will play an important role in mitigating yield losses, especially in northern regions such as northern Minas Gerais and Bahia, where yields could exceed 30 bags ha[-1]. While southern Minas Gerais, São Paulo, and northern Paraná are projected to have the highest yields, these regions also face greater uncertainty and variability. This study underscores the need for adaptive agricultural practices, the development of resilient coffee cultivars, and supportive research policies to ensure the sustainability of coffee farming in the face of climate change.},
}
@article {pmid39566260,
year = {2024},
author = {Réalis-Doyelle, E and Guillard, J and Morati, R and Cottin, N and Reynaud, S and Naffrechoux, E},
title = {Impacts of paternal transmission of PCBs and global warming on the evolution of pace-of-life syndrome (POLS) during the early life stages of a cold stenothermic fish (Arctic charr).},
journal = {Aquatic toxicology (Amsterdam, Netherlands)},
volume = {277},
number = {},
pages = {107130},
doi = {10.1016/j.aquatox.2024.107130},
pmid = {39566260},
issn = {1879-1514},
abstract = {In the context of strong historical and climate anthropological pressure, we studied the impact of paternal transmission of PCBs on offspring of the stenothermic salmonid, Artic charr. Indeed, the transgenerational effects of maternal transmission are widely studied, unlike the paternal effect, which is often limited to epigenetic impacts. The study aims to test the effects of temperature and PCBs on the Artic charr (Salvelinus alpinus), whose population within the perialpine lakes has remained low for about a decade. A previous study (Realis-Doyelle et al., 2023) on the effect of maternal transmission of PCB, coupled with an increase in temperature, showed a collapse in offspring survival as well as morpho-anatomic disorders in Salvelinus alpinus. This study follows on from the previous one, we contaminated 21 males with intra-peritoneal PCB injection at three levels of concentration one month before spawning. Each male fertilised a pool of 12 female oocytes not contaminated with PCBs. Each fertilized pond was separated in two and incubated at 4.5°C and 8.5°C, respectively. To explore the effects, we have relied on the POLS theories that suggest a co-variation of traits of life. The results show no population collapse (∼50 % survival), in contrast to the maternal contamination study (∼12 % survival). We may issue the hypothesis that this smaller importance of paternal transmission is due to the synergic impact of PCB and temperature on fewer parameters, in particular for survival than female transmission.},
}
@article {pmid39566256,
year = {2024},
author = {Bond, A and Walton, R and Rivett, G and Cardenas-Braz, D and Simon, L},
title = {Nourishing sustainability: Clinical nutrition's impact on climate change.},
journal = {Clinical nutrition (Edinburgh, Scotland)},
volume = {43},
number = {12},
pages = {331-340},
doi = {10.1016/j.clnu.2024.10.038},
pmid = {39566256},
issn = {1532-1983},
abstract = {INTRODUCTION: Preserving our planet's delicate balance is not merely a choice but a responsibility we owe to future generations, ensuring equitable, and sustainable world. The 2030 Agenda for Sustainable Development, adopted by all United Nations (UN) member states in 2015, offers a collective vision for global peace and prosperity. Central to this agenda are the 17 Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs), which call for unified action from all nations, irrespective of their developmental status, under a global partnership.<br><br>METHOD: This paper examines the SDGs' framework and its applicability to clinical nutrition (CN). We provide a comprehensive narrative review relating to the integration of SDGs in CN practices. Whilst recognising the importance of the SDG framework we elected to focus specifically upon the environmental aspects of CN care.<br><br>RESULTS: The analysis revealed that the SDGs provide a robust framework for promoting sustainability in clinical nutrition. Key findings highlight the interconnection between health improvement and other SDGs, such as poverty reduction and climate action. Effective CN practices contribute to broader sustainable development by ensuring better health outcomes, which in turn support economic growth and reduce inequalities. Additionally, strategies in CN that focus on reducing waste and improving resource efficiency align with environmental sustainability goals.<br><br>CONCLUSION: The 17 SDGs offer a comprehensive guide for advancing sustainability across various fields, including clinical nutrition. By adopting these goals, healthcare providers can implement holistic strategies that not only improve health outcomes but also support broader efforts to achieve global sustainability.},
}
@article {pmid39566213,
year = {2024},
author = {Quadroni, S and Cesarini, G and De Santis, V and Galafassi, S},
title = {Interconnected impacts of water resource management and climate change on microplastic pollution and riverine biocoenosis: A review by freshwater ecologists.},
journal = {Journal of environmental management},
volume = {372},
number = {},
pages = {123363},
doi = {10.1016/j.jenvman.2024.123363},
pmid = {39566213},
issn = {1095-8630},
abstract = {The relationship between river hydrology and microplastic (MP) pollution is complex: increased discharge does not always mobilize more MPs, but floods can effectively flush out MPs from river catchments. Climate change and water resource management further influence MP pollution and its fate by altering river hydro-sedimentary regimes. This review investigates the interconnected impacts of these factors from a comprehensive perspective, focusing on how they affect MP concentration in freshwater ecosystems, particularly in regulated rivers and associated reservoirs. Our review reveals a scarcity of studies that jointly analyze the interrelated issues of MP pollution, water resource management, and climate change. Key findings indicate that variations in river discharge significantly influence MP mobilization, mainly depending on catchment land use, channel morphology, position within the catchment, and MP characteristics. Reservoirs function as both sinks and sources of MPs, underscoring their complex role in MP dynamics and the need for sustainable sediment management strategies. The increasing frequency of extreme weather events, driven by climate change, along with prolonged droughts intensified by water management practices, exacerbates MP pollution. These changes contribute to the local concentration of MPs, posing direct physical threats to aquatic organisms, particularly benthic species, through pollution and habitat alterations. Current policies on plastic pollution, water resources and climate change are underdeveloped, as these topics have been treated separately so far. In conclusion, this review provides perspectives on future research and policy directions to address challenges posed by MPs and to preserve rivers against multiple stressors.},
}
@article {pmid39565995,
year = {2024},
author = {Wu, Y and Wen, B and Gasevic, D and Patz, JA and Haines, A and Ebi, KL and Murray, V and Li, S and Guo, Y},
title = {Climate Change, Floods, and Human Health.},
journal = {The New England journal of medicine},
volume = {391},
number = {20},
pages = {1949-1958},
doi = {10.1056/NEJMsr2402457},
pmid = {39565995},
issn = {1533-4406},
}
@article {pmid39565480,
year = {2024},
author = {Agathokleous, E and Emberson, L and Pei, J and Kobayashi, K and Blande, JD and Cook, J and Fang, C and Han, Z and Ju, H and Knopf, O and Li, T and Liu, B and Liu, X and Masui, N and Masutomi, Y and McHugh, K and O'Neill, C and Pande, P and Rasheed, MU and Ruhanen, H and Shang, B and Tai, APK and Yamaguchi, M and Yu, Z and Yuan, X and Xu, Y and Zhao, C and Zhao, J and Zheng, H and Zhou, H and Feng, Z},
title = {Insights from the international workshop on "Adapting agriculture to climate change and air pollution".},
journal = {Environmental science and pollution research international},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
pmid = {39565480},
issn = {1614-7499},
abstract = {An international workshop on "Adapting Agriculture to Climate Change and Air Pollution" took place at Nanjing University of Information Science and Technology, Nanjing, China, during 23-27 October, 2023. Experts working in various multi-disciplinary areas of agroecosystem and environmental research gathered for academic communication and discussions. Two discussion groups focused on "agriculture under air pollution and climate change: current challenges and priorities for the future" and "adapting agriculture to air pollution and climate change: current status and next steps." Insights derived from the discussions are summarized in this article and include opinions about current issues, knowledge gaps' identification, and potential priorities and actions that could be taken. The first discussion mainly addresses ozone impact estimates; ozone metrics for impact and risk assessments; ozone monitoring; air pollution impacts and policy; and the pivotal role of agriculture and consumer choices. The second discussion covers adaptation and mitigation; greenhouse gases and energy efficiency; concerns about the link between adaptation and mitigation; local food, planetary-health diets and carbon footprint; irrigation and climate change adaptation; scientific evidence and policy-making; air pollution and crop adaptation; machine learning and crop modeling; and challenges faced by smallholder farmers and large-scale enterprises. Hence, this report could be useful for reseach, educational, and policy purposes, collating opinions of experts working in diverse research areas.},
}
@article {pmid39564491,
year = {2024},
author = {Zhang, Y and Wang, M and Huang, M and Zhao, J},
title = {Innovative strategies and challenges mosquito-borne disease control amidst climate change.},
journal = {Frontiers in microbiology},
volume = {15},
number = {},
pages = {1488106},
pmid = {39564491},
issn = {1664-302X},
abstract = {The revival of the transmission dynamics of mosquito-borne diseases grants striking challenges to public health intensified by climate change worldwide. This inclusive review article examines multidimensional strategies and challenges linked to climate change and the epidemiology of mosquito-borne diseases such as malaria, dengue, Zika, chikungunya, and yellow fever. It delves into how the biology, pathogenic dynamics, and vector distribution of mosquitoes are influenced by continuously rising temperatures, modified rainfall patterns, and extreme climatic conditions. We also highlighted the high likelihood of malaria in Africa, dengue in Southeast Asia, and blowout of Aedes in North America and Europe. Modern predictive tools and developments in surveillance, including molecular gears, Geographic Information Systems (GIS), and remote sensing have boosted our capacity to predict epidemics. Integrated data management techniques and models based on climatic conditions provide a valuable understanding of public health planning. Based on recent data and expert ideas, the objective of this review is to provide a thoughtful understanding of existing landscape and upcoming directions in the control of mosquito-borne diseases regarding changing climate. This review determines emerging challenges and innovative vector control strategies in the changing climatic conditions to ensure public health.},
}
@article {pmid39563456,
year = {2024},
author = {Huang, J and Guo, H},
title = {When a bleak future comes closer: interaction effects of emotion and temporal distance framing in climate change communication.},
journal = {BMC psychology},
volume = {12},
number = {1},
pages = {677},
pmid = {39563456},
issn = {2050-7283},
support = {GD22XXW07//The Philosophy and Social Science Foundation of Guangdong Province in China./ ; },
mesh = {*Climate Change ; Humans ; *Emotions ; Male ; Female ; Adult ; Fear/psychology ; Persuasive Communication ; Young Adult ; Hope ; Communication ; },
abstract = {Given the widespread use of emotional and distance framing in climate change communication, this study investigated how these strategies interact to influence perceptions and behaviors related to climate change. Guided by the Situational Theory of Problem Solving and through an experimental survey, the research revealed that fear-inducing messages led to greater recognition of problems and involvement when combined with short-term temporal frames, compared to hope-inducing messages. These findings suggest that the effects of emotional appeals are conditioned on the temporal distance of the issue highlighted in climate change communication, offering a more nuanced understanding of the differentiated effects of fear and hope appeals and practical insights for crafting persuasive messages.},
}
@article {pmid39562576,
year = {2024},
author = {Wang, Z and Jing, Z and Song, F},
title = {Weakened large-scale surface heat flux feedback at midlatitudes under global warming.},
journal = {Nature communications},
volume = {15},
number = {1},
pages = {10020},
pmid = {39562576},
issn = {2041-1723},
support = {42325601//National Natural Science Foundation of China (National Science Foundation of China)/ ; tsqn201909052//Taishan Scholar Foundation of Shandong Province/ ; },
abstract = {The surface heat flux feedback, which refers to the response of surface heat flux anomaly to the underlying sea surface temperature anomaly (SSTA), is one of the key processes in air-sea interaction. It plays an important role in regulating various aspects of the climate system, ranging from local SSTA persistence to the global overturning circulation and major climate modes. Yet its change under greenhouse gas-induced warming remains unknown. Here, using an ensemble of global climate simulations under a high radiative forcing scenario, we demonstrate that the intensity of surface heat flux feedback for spatially large-scale SSTA at the midlatitudes is projected to halve by the end of the 21[st] century, compared to pre-industrial levels. Such weakening is primarily attributed to a more stabilized marine atmospheric boundary layer, which diminishes the air-sea thermal disequilibrium caused by SSTA. In a warming climate, the variance of midlatitude SSTA at large spatial scales is expected to be significantly enhanced in response to the weakened surface heat flux feedback.},
}
@article {pmid39562506,
year = {2024},
author = {Soomro, S and Zhou, D and Charan, IA},
title = {Investigating Associations Between Climate Change Anxiety and Children's Mental Health in Pakistan: Impacts and Priority Actions.},
journal = {Disaster medicine and public health preparedness},
volume = {18},
number = {},
pages = {e277},
doi = {10.1017/dmp.2024.267},
pmid = {39562506},
issn = {1938-744X},
mesh = {Humans ; Pakistan/epidemiology ; *Climate Change/statistics &amp; numerical data ; *Anxiety/psychology/epidemiology/etiology ; Child ; Female ; Male ; Cross-Sectional Studies ; *Mental Health/statistics &amp; numerical data ; Adolescent ; Surveys and Questionnaires ; },
abstract = {OBJECTIVES: Climate anxiety has a negative impact on the mental health and psychological wellbeing of the vulnerable population. The goal is to assess many factors that affect mental health and psychological wellbeing, as well as how climate change affects mental health in Pakistan's vulnerable population.<br><br>METHODS: This study provides evidence-based insights on the long- and medium-term impacts of extreme weather events on mental health. To obtain information on these variables, this research uses a quantitative approach and a cross-sectional survey design with a multivariate regression model for empirical tests on a sample of parents and children with an impact on mental health from climate change anxiety.<br><br>RESULTS: Results indicate that individuals experience shock and climate change anxiety, and their effects on mental health and psychological wellbeing. Climate change can have detrimental effects on children's mental health. (1) disaster risk health (2) children's stress index (3) public health concerns, (4) climate change anxiety, (5) generalized anxiety disorder, and (6) major depression disorder, as reported by the children with mental health outcomes.<br><br>CONCLUSIONS: The findings of this study show that climate change has a stressful effect on mental health. The paper concludes with a discussion on strategies to address the anticipated mental health issues among children due to climate change.},
}
@article {pmid39562430,
year = {2024},
author = {Vergotti, MJ and D'Olivo, JP and Brachert, TC and Capdevila, P and Garrabou, J and Linares, C and Spreter, PM and Kersting, DK},
title = {Reconstruction of long-term sublethal effects of warming on a temperate coral in a climate change hotspot.},
journal = {The Journal of animal ecology},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1111/1365-2656.14225},
pmid = {39562430},
issn = {1365-2656},
support = {PEICTI 2021-2023//Spanish Ministry of Science and Innovation/ ; RYC2021-033576-I//Spanish Ministry of Science and Innovation/ ; 401447620//Deutsche Forschungsgemeinschaft/ ; PID2022-137539OA-C22//Spanish Ministry of Sciencie, Inovation and Universities/ ; 869710//Horizon 2020 Framework Programme/ ; //ICREA Academia/ ; CEX2019-000928-S//Severo Ochoa Centre of Excellence"/ ; },
abstract = {The impact of warming on zooxanthellate corals is widespread, from tropical to temperate seas, with its associated mortalities causing global concern. The temperate coral Cladocora caespitosa is the only zooxanthellate coral with reef building capacity in the Mediterranean Sea, a climate change hotspot with warming rates triple the global average. During the past two decades, C. caespitosa populations have suffered severe mortality events associated with marine heatwaves (MHWs). However, with monitoring efforts beginning, at best, in the 2000s, the occurrence of MHWs before that period, as well as the sublethal effects of these events remain poorly understood. Here, we use sclerochronology to reconstruct the histories of past stress events and long-term sublethal effects on C. caespitosa in three locations along a latitudinal gradient within the NW Mediterranean Sea, each with different environmental conditions. Skeletal extension, density and calcification rates were compared with the in situ seawater temperature of each site to assess their relationship. Furthermore, we assessed the occurrence of skeletal growth anomalies to reconstruct stress events between 1991 and 2021, a period that encompasses the onset and evolution of warming-related mass mortality events in the NW Mediterranean Sea. Our results reveal a positive association between calcification and temperature, following a latitudinal temperature gradient. However, the evolution of the likelihood distribution of growth rates in the warmest site (Columbretes Islands) since the 1990s indicates a decrease in linear extension and calcification rates during the most recent years. With the increase in the frequency of MHWs and growth anomalies during the last decade, this decline suggests recurrent physiological stress events. These results unravel information on the long-term impacts of warming on coral growth and highlight the potential of applying sclerochronology to reconstruct the sublethal effects of warming using C. caespitosa.},
}
@article {pmid39562035,
year = {2024},
author = {Simpson, MJA},
title = {Defending our colleagues who take direct action on climate change.},
journal = {BMJ (Clinical research ed.)},
volume = {387},
number = {},
pages = {q2533},
doi = {10.1136/bmj.q2533},
pmid = {39562035},
issn = {1756-1833},
}
@article {pmid39561894,
year = {2024},
author = {Fong, CR and Frazier, M and Clawson, G and Epperly, H and Froehlich, HE and Halpern, BS},
title = {Downscaled climate change threats to United States freshwater finfish aquaculture.},
journal = {The Science of the total environment},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {177596},
doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.177596},
pmid = {39561894},
issn = {1879-1026},
abstract = {Climate change threatens food production, yet gaps remain in our understanding of these threats to aquaculture, the fastest growing food production subsector. To build climate-resilient practices and policies we need to quantify and map current and future climate threats to aquaculture. Here, we explore how downscaled climate change [SSP 2 (eq. RCP 4.5) and SSP 5 (eq. RCP8.5), CMIP6] threats - including water scarcity, flooding, and increasing temperature - may directly affect United States (US) freshwater farmed fish (N = 7) based on their biological thermal tolerances and indirectly challenge the operations required for production, including to the human workforce. Aquaculture in the US is dominated by catfish, trout, and tilapia production and is widespread, with some form of finfish aquaculture present in every state and nearly half of all counties across the country. Given the current location of catfish, tilapia, bass, and carp in the US and their tolerance to warmer conditions, we find increasing temperatures are less likely to biologically impact these species negatively. In contrast, current trout, sturgeon, and perch production will be biologically threatened by rising temperatures. With respect to operational needs for facilities, increases in 'wet bulb' temperatures in the Southeast will regularly challenge human physiological limits and constrain worker capacity. Drought in the Southwest will also limit an intrinsically water dependent system, affecting nearly all taxa. While current areas of aquaculture will tend to become increasingly challenging for farmed fishes, new potential habitats will open up for nearly all species. Overall, in the absence of immediate greenhouse gas mitigation, there are several non-mutually exclusive climate adaptations, yet these adaptations can be extremely costly. Ultimately, freshwater aquaculture in the US is going to be under intense climate pressure, which may drive out small operations and cause the country to further increase dependence on international aquatic food imports.},
}
@article {pmid39561488,
year = {2024},
author = {Tavakoli-Kolour, P and Sinniger, F and Morita, M and Hazraty-Kari, S and Nakamura, T and Harii, S},
title = {Shallow corals acclimate to mesophotic depths while maintaining their heat tolerance against ongoing climate change.},
journal = {Marine pollution bulletin},
volume = {209},
number = {Pt B},
pages = {117277},
doi = {10.1016/j.marpolbul.2024.117277},
pmid = {39561488},
issn = {1879-3363},
abstract = {Global warming poses a significant threat to coral reefs. It has been assumed that mesophotic coral ecosystems (MCEs, 30 to 150 m depths) may serve as refugia from ocean warming. This study examined the acclimation capacity and thermal tolerance of two shallow coral species, Porites cylindrica and Turbinaria reniformis, transplanted to mesophotic depths (40 m) for 12 months. Fragments from 5 and 40 m were exposed to control (28 °C), moderate (30 °C), and high (32 °C) temperatures over 14 days. MCE-acclimated fragments showed higher thermal thresholds and survival rates, delayed onset of bleaching, and less decline in photosynthesis efficiency (Fv/Fm) compared to shallow fragments. Both species maintained high thermal tolerance despite prolonged exposure to cooler temperatures of mesophotic depth. These findings suggest that low light intensity in MCEs can act as a modulator of bleaching, supporting the potential of these ecosystems as refugia for shallow corals in a rapidly changing world.},
}
@article {pmid39559604,
year = {2024},
author = {Kalra, G and Nangia, T and Kumar, Y},
title = {Assessing the Impact of Climate Change on Early Childhood Caries Within the Framework of Sustainable Developmental Goal 13: A Scoping Review.},
journal = {Cureus},
volume = {16},
number = {10},
pages = {e71872},
pmid = {39559604},
issn = {2168-8184},
abstract = {Climate change, a significant factor in global health disparities, has been linked to numerous health issues, including oral health disorders such as dental caries and enamel hypoplasia. Sustainable Developmental Goal 13 (SDG 13) accentuates immediate action to battle climatic changes and their complications. This scoping review aimed to explore the existing evidence in the literature linking SDG 13 with Early Childhood Caries (ECC). The review was carried out following the PRISMA (Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses) guidelines. A rigorous search was done during the month of May 2024 using databases PubMed, Web of Science, Scopus, and Google Scholar with search MeSH terms related to climate change, Early Childhood Caries (ECC), and Sustainable Developmental Goal (SDG). Publications or abstracts were included only in English from 2015 onwards, with no restrictions on the type of study. A summary of the eligible studies was compiled, highlighting the countries where the research was conducted, the type of study designs used, the region, study aims, and key findings. Additionally, the study results were analyzed to determine whether SDG 13 was addressed. The initial search provided 74 articles, of which 51 were duplicates, yielding 23 for screening. After applying the eligibility criteria, seven studies were finally reviewed. Two of the seven studies included were from the African continent (Kenya and Nigeria), and one was a multi-centric study involving various continents, Africa (Nigeria &amp; Kenya), Asia (Saudi Arabia, Indonesia), and America (Canada, Brazil). Two other studies were conducted in the UK, China, and India, while one was from the USA and focused on how climate change impacts dental caries. Only three studies were found to be addressing SDG 13. The review established a plausible link between ECC and climate change factors, addressing the need to incorporate sustainable developmental strategies and eco-friendly preventive measures in pediatric dentistry.},
}
@article {pmid39559180,
year = {2024},
author = {Verma, A and Suresh, V and Brar, M and Varma, A and Sah, S and Singh, MP and Mehta, R and Balaraman, AK and Pandey, S and Kanagala, SG},
title = {Re-emergence of Eastern equine encephalitis: A looming threat in the era of climate change.},
journal = {New microbes and new infections},
volume = {62},
number = {},
pages = {101521},
pmid = {39559180},
issn = {2052-2975},
}
@article {pmid39557958,
year = {2024},
author = {Guo, J and Zhang, M and Bi, Y and Zhao, Z and Wang, R and Li, M},
title = {Spatiotemporal distribution prediction of the relict and endangered plant Tetraena mongolica in inner Mongolia, China under climate change.},
journal = {Scientific reports},
volume = {14},
number = {1},
pages = {28478},
pmid = {39557958},
issn = {2045-2322},
support = {S202410130007//Undergraduate Innovation and Entrepreneurship Training Program in Inner Mongolia Autonomous Region/ ; CARS-21//China Agriculture Research System of MOF and MARA/ ; },
mesh = {*Climate Change ; *Endangered Species ; China ; *Ecosystem ; Soil/chemistry ; Conservation of Natural Resources ; Spatio-Temporal Analysis ; },
abstract = {Climate change significantly affects the distribution of plant species, particularly that of relict plants. Tetraena mongolica Maxim. is a first-class endangered relict plant in China, primarily found in Inner Mongolia. This study explored the impact of multiple factors on its potential distribution under climate change. Considering a comprehensive set of 42 potential influencing variables, including climate, soil, net primary productivity (NPP), human activities, and topography, 29 variables were selected. The maximum entropy (MaxEnt) model was used to construct separate climate and soil niche models, and an "overlay function" was employed to construct a dual-suitability model. By establishing five different scenarios, we analyzed the effects of climate, human activities, and NPP on T. mongolica distribution. The results showed that climate is the most significant factor, soil constraints limit its distribution, and human activities reduce its suitable habitats. Although the direct influence of NPP is limited, it may indirectly affect T. mongolica distribution by improving habitat conditions. Future climate change is expected to sharply reduce suitable habitat areas, with the center of distribution migrating eastward. The study's findings imply that climate change, human activities, and soil conditions significantly impact the distribution and survival of the endangered plant T. mongolica, necessitating comprehensive conservation measures to mitigate habitat loss and ensure its preservation.},
}
@article {pmid39556954,
year = {2024},
author = {Bergquist, M},
title = {A sender-message-receiver (SMeR) framework for communicating persuasive social norms - The case of climate change mitigation behavioral change.},
journal = {Current opinion in psychology},
volume = {61},
number = {},
pages = {101941},
doi = {10.1016/j.copsyc.2024.101941},
pmid = {39556954},
issn = {2352-2518},
abstract = {This review delves into the nuanced boundary conditions of social norms in fostering behavior change within the realm of climate action. Current research is examined within a "Sender - Message - Receiver (SMeR)" framework, which investigates factors such as group identification and group size that influence the effectiveness of social norms. Furthermore, it explores how cultural context, personal norms, emotions, and ambiguity shape individuals' responses to social norms-based messages. By illuminating these boundary conditions, the review provides insights into the complexities of social normative influence and offers guidance for designing more effective intervention techniques to promote behavioral change. Understanding these nuances is crucial for developing targeted strategies that resonate with diverse audiences and facilitate meaningful shifts toward a more environmentally sustainable future.},
}
@article {pmid39556170,
year = {2024},
author = {Domdey, AJ and Thomas, SM},
title = {[Climate change and vector-borne disease-significance for intensive care and emergency medicine].},
journal = {Medizinische Klinik, Intensivmedizin und Notfallmedizin},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
pmid = {39556170},
issn = {2193-6226},
abstract = {Tropical diseases are becoming increasingly important in medical care in Germany due to climate change and the spread of vectors and viruses. The widely distributed Culex mosquitoes in Germany can transmit the West Nile virus, which causes West Nile fever. Severe neuroinvasive disease courses with acute flaccid paralysis, meningitis, and encephalitis are possible. The invasive tiger mosquito (Aedes albopictus) is increasingly establishing itself in Germany and is a potent vector of viruses that have so far occurred mainly in tropical-subtropical areas, including dengue and chikungunya virus. Severe dengue cases can manifest with hemorrhagic dengue fever, shock, or organ involvement. Dengue fever is currently still a travel-related disease in Germany. However, this may change in the context of climate change and increasing vector populations. Enhanced training and continuing education programs, as well as an expansion of diagnostic infrastructure and networking of health authorities and mosquito control, are crucial for optimal patient care.},
}
@article {pmid39554939,
year = {2024},
author = {Sugden, SG and Merlo, G},
title = {What do Climate Change, Nutrition, and the Environment Have to do With Mental Health?.},
journal = {American journal of lifestyle medicine},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {15598276241280245},
pmid = {39554939},
issn = {1559-8284},
abstract = {Climate change is becoming the most significant global challenge and must be addressed on a global scale. At the time that this article is being written, the planetary heat in 2023 was the hottest on record. Similarly, the World Health Organization reports that 99% of the world's population lives in regions of unhealthy air pollution. Similarly, depression has become one of the leading causes of global mental and physical disabilities, and the impact of depression is predicted to only worsen over the next 25 years. It is interesting to note that climate experts often overlook the adoption of nutrition via a whole plant-based diet as a solution to both mental illness and climate change. In this review, we will touch upon the role of nutrition in gut microbiota and mental health, the impact diet has on greenhouse gases, the role of ultra-processed food, and environmental factors such as air pollution and increasing planetary heat and their growing impacts on mental health. In the end, the promotion of plant-based foods has the potential to improve personal mental and physical health while improving planetary health.},
}
@article {pmid39554920,
year = {2024},
author = {Bernstein, A and Hunnes, DE},
title = {Food is Medicine Interventions and Climate Change.},
journal = {American journal of lifestyle medicine},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {15598276241275613},
pmid = {39554920},
issn = {1559-8284},
abstract = {Food is Medicine (FiM), also known as Food as Medicine, integrates food and nutrition interventions into health care delivery with the primary goal to improve population health and address diet-related health conditions. To date, there has been little focus on the relation between FiM and climate change despite FiM's involvement with 2 key drivers of climate change: health care delivery and food systems. FiM may be able to advance lifestyle medicine and population health objectives, as well as mitigate some of the health care and food-related drivers of climate change, by focusing on 4 key areas: (1) Increasing the absolute number and proportion of patients who follow plant-based diets; (2) reducing food waste; (3) reducing unnecessary health care utilization; and (4) lowering transportation-related greenhouse gas emissions related to food procurement. Measuring the ecological impact of FiM alongside clinical, utilization, and financial measures will require a different analytical approach than that used traditionally in health care. Ultimately, thoughtful, data-driven, and urgent interventions that span the food and health care sectors are needed to sustainably support not only FiM, but human, environmental, and planetary health as well.},
}
@article {pmid39554904,
year = {2024},
author = {Cunningham, I and Kohlitz, J and Willetts, J},
title = {Designing for climate change: twenty-five design features to improve sanitation technology resilience in low- and middle- income countries.},
journal = {Mitigation and adaptation strategies for global change},
volume = {29},
number = {8},
pages = {82},
pmid = {39554904},
issn = {1573-1596},
abstract = {UNLABELLED: Climate change is exacerbating events such as floods and droughts, and trends including sea-level rise, leading to failures in sanitation technologies, increased public health risks and environmental pollution. To reduce these risks, it is crucial to incorporate climate resilience into sanitation technology designs. In this study, we reviewed academic and selected grey literature and identified 25 design features that can contribute to the technology's resilience to an increasingly volatile and extreme climate. Design features that were conceptually similar were collated into seven categories. These categories included: (i) avoid exposure to hazards, (ii) withstand exposure to hazards, (iii) enable flexibility, (iv) contain failures, (v) limit consequences of complete failure, (vi) facilitate fast recovery and (vii) features that provide resilience benefits beyond technological resilience. In this paper we define the categories and design features, and provide examples of each feature in practice. We also outline how the resilience design features can support sanitation designers and implementers to critique the climate resilience of sanitation technology, and prompt more resilient designs of sanitation technology.<br><br>SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION: The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1007/s11027-024-10177-7.},
}
@article {pmid39553695,
year = {2024},
author = {Luo, B and Dou, X},
title = {Climate change, agricultural transformation and climate smart agriculture development in China.},
journal = {Heliyon},
volume = {10},
number = {21},
pages = {e40008},
pmid = {39553695},
issn = {2405-8440},
abstract = {Against the backdrop of increasingly severe global climate change, it has become an inevitable choice to promote the transformation of agriculture oriented to climate smart agriculture. The objective of this paper is to demonstrate realistic problem faced by China's agricultural transformation and identify key factors affecting agricultural development under the background of climate change. The paper constructs a linear econometric model and employes time series data from 1990 to 2019 to empirically test the impact of climate change and agricultural investment on agriculture in China. The results indicate that climate change has a negative impact on agriculture, while agricultural investment has a positive impact. Therefore, it is necessary to promote agricultural transformation oriented to climate smart agriculture. To this end, China must vigorously promote agricultural system reform, accelerate agricultural technological innovation, accelerate the development of agricultural big data and informatization, and strengthen financial support for agriculture.},
}
@article {pmid39553690,
year = {2024},
author = {Ali, I and Shah, AA and Alotaibi, BA and Ali, A},
title = {Assessing the impacts of climate change on high mountain land-based livelihoods: An empirical investigation in District Nagar, Gilgit-Baltistan, Pakistan.},
journal = {Heliyon},
volume = {10},
number = {21},
pages = {e39877},
pmid = {39553690},
issn = {2405-8440},
abstract = {Land-based livelihoods in Pakistan's high mountain regions are highly vulnerable to climate change due to the complex interactions between people and their natural environment. This study uses a mixed-method approach to explore how climate change affects land-based livelihoods in the high mountain Nagar District, Pakistan. Data were collected using a structured household survey of 430 randomly selected farmers, supplemented by focus group discussions and key informant interviews. The findings reveal that 87.7 % of farmers have observed negative impacts of climate change, such as increased crop diseases, reduced water for irrigation, and lower crop yields. Bivariate results indicate that factors related to farming practices, such as farming experience and cropping zones, significantly influence farmers' perceptions of impacts. The study emphasizes the urgent need for targeted government intervention and agricultural planning to boost the resilience of farmers in Nagar District. It calls for improved irrigation, crop disease management, and support tailored to high-mountain farming practices. The research highlights the importance of developing adaptation strategies to protect vulnerable farming communities from climate change impacts and supports the need for effective autonomous adaptation measures. This research contributes to a better understanding of climate change impacts on high-mountain agriculture and emphasizes the need to safeguard vulnerable farming communities.},
}
@article {pmid39553670,
year = {2024},
author = {Romaric Gninkplékpo, EL and Koura, BI and Lesse, P and Toko, I and Demblon, D and Houinato, MRB and Cabaraux, JF},
title = {Small ruminant farmers' feeding strategies to cope with climate change across five agroecological zones of Benin, West Africa.},
journal = {Heliyon},
volume = {10},
number = {21},
pages = {e39834},
pmid = {39553670},
issn = {2405-8440},
abstract = {This study aimed to understand feeding strategies used by small ruminant farmers to cope with climatic change in the five contrasting agroecological zones (AEZ) of the Benin Republic and to identify the determinants of adopting these strategies. A semi-structured questionnaire was used to conduct interviews with 400 smallholder farmers in the rural areas of Benin. Data was collected on production system characteristics, farmers' perception of climatic changes' impacts on livestock production, and their coping strategies. Cross tabulations with Chi[2] statistic and the non-parametric Kruskal Wallis test were used to compare farmers' perceptions and coping strategies between the five AEZ. Then, the binomial logistic regression was used to identify determinants of using a particular adaptive feeding strategy. The farmers perceived climatic changes as rainfall delays, increasing rainfall, less frequent drought periods during the rainy season, no change in sunshine duration, and no change in temperature. These changes negatively affected grassland biomass production (86.3 %, 86.3 % and 77.5 % of farmers in South Borgou, Plateau, Atacora chain AEZ, respectively) and water availability (100 %, 93.7 %, and 85 % of farmers in Oueme Valley, Plateau and Mekrou-penjari AEZ, respectively). Consequently, farmers mentioned decreased animal growth (58.8 % and 45 % of farmers in Plateau and South Borgou AEZ, respectively) and increased animal mortalities (43.8 % in Plateau AEZ). Farmers' current and future coping strategies varied significantly (p<0.05) among AEZ. These strategies included more diversification of feed resources used, more free wandering of animals, feeding intensification with supplements as current strategies, and new feed resource exploration and forage cultivation as future strategies. Logistic regression results showed that gender, education level, main activity, and the climatic and agroecological zones where the farm is located influenced the strategies used. The study showed that farmers understood climate change and its impact on production systems. In response, the common climate-smart feeding strategies adopted were mainly diversifying feed resources. Feed resources use strategies, and limitations to adopting these strategies, could be assessed in future studies.},
}
@article {pmid39553647,
year = {2024},
author = {Mwelwa, D and Mwaanga, P and Nguvulu, A and Tena, TM and Taye, G},
title = {Assessment of catchment water resources allocation under climate change in Luwombwa sub-catchment, Zambia.},
journal = {Heliyon},
volume = {10},
number = {21},
pages = {e39962},
pmid = {39553647},
issn = {2405-8440},
abstract = {The uncertainty in climate change and high water demand pose pressure on the natural water resources supply. Not only does this require better understanding but also a call for immediate interventions, mitigation and adaptive measures. This study evaluates catchment water resources in the Luwombwa sub-catchment in Zambia through statistical analysis in the downscaling of past, present and future climatic variables from the CMIP6 climatic model. These variables are then integrated into WEAP - a semi-distributed hydrological and water evaluation model - to perform water demand and allocation scenario modelling. Mult-site calibration and validation were conducted on five selected micro-catchments within Luwombwa sub-catchment. The model performance was assessed usng the R[2], NSE and PBIAS as the objective functions. Satisfactory values of 92 % for R[2], 82 % for NSE and 6.9 % for PBIAS were achieved. This allowed for scenario modelling on water demand and allocation among competing users. Three future scenarios (2022-2050) were developed from the historical to baseline (1988-2022) and included state of water resources availability under climate change, expansion of irrigation area and impact of dam construction in the sub-catchment. The study reveals a decrease of 20 % in sub-catchment's water availability resulting from 9.3 % (equivalent to 4[o]C) rise in maximum temperature and 4.5 % reduction in rainfall within the entire sub-catchment. This is especially under the persistence of SSP370 climate variability scenario projections downscaled from four GCM models by the year 2050. The study further revealed that the change point for anticipated future climate extremes is likely to occur between 2027 and 2030. The results are indicative of downward trends in streamflow under climate change and socioeconomic development leading to increase in water value and water scarcity. The insights from the study are critical to inform formulation of effective catchment water resources management strategies such as the development of management plans and adapation measures in the face of climate change and the needs for different stakeholders involvement.},
}
@article {pmid39553624,
year = {2024},
author = {Kim, M and Kim, S and Jeon, S},
title = {One in three or three in one: Integrating three competing theoretical models (TPB, VIP, and PADM) to explain the intentions to act/actions against climate change.},
journal = {Heliyon},
volume = {10},
number = {21},
pages = {e39337},
pmid = {39553624},
issn = {2405-8440},
abstract = {This study examines multidimensional factors affecting climate change response behavior. It constructs an integrated model based on the theory of planned behavior, value-identity-personal norms model, and protective action decision model, as a single theory cannot capture the complex nature of human behavior. Recent studies have shown that integrating theories include various influencing factors and indicate higher explanatory power. Therefore, this study uses an integrated model to identify multidimensional influencing factors. The fit of the integrated model was confirmed to be excellent (Chi-square = 1271.866, p = .000, GFI = 0.930, NFI = 0.940, RMSEA = 0.060, TLI = 0.937, SRMR = 0.059), and identity exhibited the greatest effect on personal norms, followed by intention on behavior. The integrated model suggests the following path: ecological value → identity → personal norms → stakeholder awareness → intention → behavior and then ecological value → identity → perceived behavioral control → risk awareness → intention → behavior. The results of the integrated model suggest that a multifaceted approach is necessary to promote climate change response behavior. Various factors, such as ecological value, identity, personal norms, stakeholder awareness, perceived behavioral control, and risk awareness, interact and influence behavior. Policies and programs that comprehensively consider these factors should be established.},
}
@article {pmid39553264,
year = {2024},
author = {Apiratwarakul, K and Cheung, LW and Pearkao, C and Ienghong, K},
title = {The Impact of Global Warming on the Rise in Heat-Related Illnesses in Emergency Medical Services.},
journal = {Journal of multidisciplinary healthcare},
volume = {17},
number = {},
pages = {5211-5216},
pmid = {39553264},
issn = {1178-2390},
abstract = {PURPOSE: Global warming is one of the critical problems affecting health, society, and the economy. High temperatures are linked to an increase in heat-related illnesses, which have significantly impacted the public health system, particularly emergency medical services (EMS). Analyzing the pattern of heat-related illness cases in EMS can improve resource utilization and preparedness within the public health system.<br><br>PATIENTS AND METHODS: A retrospective study was conducted on EMS data from Srinagarind Hospital, Thailand, covering the summer months (February to May) from 2020 to 2024. Patients with heat-related illnesses were identified in the EMS database using the 10[th] revision of the International Classification of Diseases (ICD-10) version 2019, specifically codes under "T67 Effects of Heat and Light", which include heat stroke, heat syncope, heat cramps, heat exhaustion, and heat fatigue.<br><br>RESULTS: A total of 136 EMS operations from the hospital's database were analyzed. In the summer 2024 group, 95.7% (N=44) of the patients were male. The majority of EMS triage cases required resuscitation (P = 0.020). Outdoor activity was identified as a significant factor related to heat illness, with rates of 83.3%, 92.9%, 93.3%, 97.1%, and 93.5% over the five years of the study. The activation time was 1.30&#xa0;minutes for the summer of 2024 and 1.24&#xa0;minutes for the summer of 2023. Notably, the average scene time in the summer 2024 group was significantly longer at 25.2&#xa0;minutes, compared to 12.0&#xa0;minutes in the summer 2020 group (P<0.001).<br><br>CONCLUSION: Outdoor activity was the most significant risk factor associated with increased heat-related illnesses. Other contributing factors included male gender, age between 20-40 years, scene temperatures above 35&#xb0;C, and prolonged scene times exceeding 15&#xa0;minutes.},
}
@article {pmid39550165,
year = {2024},
author = {Samarasekera, U},
title = {Elizabeth Kimani-Murage: exploring climate change and nutrition.},
journal = {Lancet (London, England)},
volume = {404},
number = {10466},
pages = {1916},
doi = {10.1016/S0140-6736(24)02471-1},
pmid = {39550165},
issn = {1474-547X},
}
@article {pmid39549750,
year = {2024},
author = {Casati, T and Navarra, A and Filippini, M and Gargini, A},
title = {Assessing the long-term trend of spring discharge in a climate change hotspot area.},
journal = {The Science of the total environment},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {177498},
doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.177498},
pmid = {39549750},
issn = {1879-1026},
}
@article {pmid39548719,
year = {2024},
author = {Chen, Y and Gao, Y and Zhang, Z and Zhan, A},
title = {Multi-Omics Inform Invasion Risks Under Global Climate Change.},
journal = {Global change biology},
volume = {30},
number = {11},
pages = {e17588},
doi = {10.1111/gcb.17588},
pmid = {39548719},
issn = {1365-2486},
support = {2022GDASZH-2022010106//GDAS Special Project of Science and Technology Development/ ; 2024A1515010914//Guangdong Basic and Applied Basic Research Foundation/ ; 42106098//National Natural Science Foundation of China/ ; 32061143012//National Natural Science Foundation of China/ ; 42276126//National Natural Science Foundation of China/ ; 32371753//National Natural Science Foundation of China/ ; },
mesh = {*Climate Change ; *Introduced Species ; *Genomics ; Urochordata/genetics ; Epigenomics ; Adaptation, Physiological/genetics ; Animals ; Multiomics ; },
abstract = {Global climate change is exacerbating biological invasions; however, the roles of genomic and epigenomic variations and their interactions in future climate adaptation remain underexplored. Using the model invasive ascidian Botryllus schlosseri across the Northern Hemisphere, we investigated genomic and epigenomic responses to future climates and developed a framework to assess future invasion risks. We employed generalized dissimilarity modeling and gradient forest analyses to assess genomic and epigenomic offsets under climate change. Our results showed that populations with genomic maladaptation did not geographically overlap with those experiencing epigenomic maladaptation, suggesting that genomic and epigenomic variations play complementary roles in adaptation to future climate conditions. By integrating genomic and epigenomic offsets into the genome-epigenomic index, we predicted that populations with lower index values were less maladapted, indicating a higher risk of future invasions. Native populations exhibited lower offsets than invasive populations, suggesting greater adaptive potentials and higher invasion risks under future climate change scenarios. These results highlight the importance of incorporating multi-omics data into predictive models to study future climate (mal)adaptation and assess invasion risks under global climate change.},
}
@article {pmid39546544,
year = {2024},
author = {Gutierrez, L and Polidoro, B and Obura, D and Cabada-Blanco, F and Linardich, C and Pettersson, E and Pearce-Kelly, P and Kemppinen, K and Alvarado, JJ and Alvarez-Filip, L and Banaszak, A and Casado de Amezua, P and Crabbe, J and Croquer, A and Feingold, J and Goergen, E and Goffredo, S and Hoeksema, B and Huang, D and Kennedy, E and Kersting, D and Kitahara, M and Kružić, P and Miller, M and Nunes, F and Quimbayo, JP and Rivera-Sosa, A and Rodríguez-Martínez, R and Santodomingo, N and Sweet, M and Vermeij, M and Villamizar, E and Aeby, G and Alliji, K and Bayley, D and Couce, E and Cowburn, B and Nuñez Lendo, CI and Porter, S and Samimi-Namin, K and Shlesinger, T and Wilson, B},
title = {Half of Atlantic reef-building corals at elevated risk of extinction due to climate change and other threats.},
journal = {PloS one},
volume = {19},
number = {11},
pages = {e0309354},
pmid = {39546544},
issn = {1932-6203},
mesh = {Animals ; *Anthozoa/physiology ; *Climate Change ; *Coral Reefs ; Extinction, Biological ; Atlantic Ocean ; Conservation of Natural Resources ; Endangered Species ; },
abstract = {Atlantic reef-building corals and coral reefs continue to experience extensive decline due to increased stressors related to climate change, disease, pollution, and numerous anthropogenic threats. To understand the impact of ocean warming and reef loss on the estimated extinction risk of shallow water Atlantic reef-building scleractinians and milleporids, all 85 valid species were reassessed under the IUCN Red List Categories and Criteria, updating the previous Red List assessment of Atlantic corals published in 2008. For the present assessment, individual species declines were estimated based on the modeled coral cover loss (1989-2019) and projected onset of annual severe bleaching events (2020-2050) across the Atlantic. Species traits were used to scale species' relative vulnerability to the modeled cover declines and forecasted bleaching events. The updated assessments place 45.88%-54.12% of Atlantic shallow water corals at an elevated extinction risk compared to the previous assessments conducted in 2008 (15.19%-40.51%). However, coral cover loss estimates indicate an improvement in reef coverage compared to the historic time-series used for the 2008 assessments. Based on this, we infer that, although remaining dangerously high, the rate of Atlantic reef coral cover decline has surprisingly slowed in recent decades. However, based on modeled projections of sea-surface temperature that predict the onset of annual severe bleaching events within the next 30 years, we listed 26 (out of 85) species as Critically Endangered in the IUCN Red List. Each of these species had previously been listed under a lower threatened category and this result alone highlights the severe threat future bleaching events pose to coral survival and the reef ecosystems they support.},
}
@article {pmid39545367,
year = {2024},
author = {Heuck, MK and Powell, JR and Kath, J and Birnbaum, C and Frew, A},
title = {Evaluating the Usefulness of the C-S-R Framework for Understanding AM Fungal Responses to Climate Change in Agroecosystems.},
journal = {Global change biology},
volume = {30},
number = {11},
pages = {e17566},
doi = {10.1111/gcb.17566},
pmid = {39545367},
issn = {1365-2486},
support = {DE220100479//Australian Research Council (ARC) Discovery Early Career Researcher Award (DECRA)/ ; FT190100590//Australian Research Council Future Fellowship/ ; },
mesh = {*Climate Change ; *Mycorrhizae/physiology ; *Agriculture ; *Ecosystem ; Symbiosis ; },
abstract = {Arbuscular mycorrhizal (AM) fungi play a key role in terrestrial ecosystems by forming symbiotic relationships with plants and may confer benefits for sustainable agriculture, by reducing reliance on harmful fertiliser and pesticide inputs and enhancing plant resilience against insect herbivores. Despite their ecological importance, critical gaps in understanding AM fungal ecology limit predictions of their responses to global change in agroecosystems. However, predicting climate change impacts on AM fungi is important for maintaining crop productivity and ecosystem stability. Efforts to classify AM fungi based on functional traits, such as the competitor, stress-tolerator, ruderal (C-S-R) framework, aim to address these gaps but face challenges due to the obligate symbiotic nature of the fungi. As the framework is still widely used, we evaluate its applicability in predicting global change impacts on AM fungal communities in agroecosystems. Chagnon's adaptation of the C-S-R framework for AM fungi aligns with some study outcomes (e.g., under the context of water limitation) but faces challenges when used in complex climate change scenarios, varying agricultural conditions and/or extreme climatic conditions. The reliance on a limited dataset to classify AM fungal families further limits accurate predictions of AM fungal community dynamics. Trait data collection could support a nuanced understanding of AM fungi and leveraging AM fungal databases could streamline data management and analysis, enhancing efforts to clarify AM fungal responses to environmental change and guide ecosystem management practices. Thus, while the C-S-R framework holds promise, it requires additional AM fungal trait data for validation and improvement of its predictive power. Conclusively, before designing experiments based on life-history strategies and developing new frameworks tailored to AM fungi a critical first step is to gain a comprehensive understanding of their traits.},
}
@article {pmid39545282,
year = {2024},
author = {Biancolini, D and Pacifici, M and Falaschi, M and Bellard, C and Blackburn, TM and Ficetola, GF and Rondinini, C},
title = {Global Distribution of Alien Mammals Under Climate Change.},
journal = {Global change biology},
volume = {30},
number = {11},
pages = {e17560},
doi = {10.1111/gcb.17560},
pmid = {39545282},
issn = {1365-2486},
support = {//Sapienza Universit&#xe0; di Roma/ ; },
mesh = {*Climate Change ; *Introduced Species ; *Mammals/physiology ; Animals ; *Animal Distribution ; Biodiversity ; Ecosystem ; Models, Theoretical ; },
abstract = {The recent thematic Assessment Report on Invasive Alien Species and their Control of the Intergovernmental Science-Policy Platform on Biodiversity and Ecosystem Services reaffirmed biological invasions as a major threat to biodiversity. Anticipating biological invasions is crucial for avoiding their ecological and socio-economic impacts, particularly as climate change may provide new opportunities for the establishment and spread of alien species. However, no studies have combined assessments of suitability and dispersal to evaluate the invasion by key taxonomic groups, such as mammals. Using species distribution models, we estimated the potential effect of climate change on the future distributions of 205 alien mammal species by the year 2050 under three different climatic scenarios. We used species dispersal ability to differentiate between suitable areas that may be susceptible to natural dispersal from alien ranges (Spread Potential, SP) and those that may be vulnerable to alien establishment through human-assisted dispersal (Establishment Potential, EP) across 11 zoogeographic realms. Establishment Potential was generally boosted by climate change, showing a clear poleward shift across scenarios, whereas SP was negatively affected by climate change and limited by alien species insularity. These trends were consistent across all realms. Insular ecosystems, while being vulnerable to invasion, may act as geographical traps for alien mammals that lose climatic suitability. In addition, our analysis identified the alien species that are expected to spread or decline the most in each realm, primarily generalists with high invasive potential, as likely foci of future management efforts. In some areas, the possible reduction in suitability for alien mammals could offer opportunities for ecosystem restoration, particularly on islands. In others, increased suitability calls for adequate actions to prevent their arrival and spread. Our findings are potentially valuable in informing synergistic actions addressing both climate change and biological invasion together to safeguard native biodiversity worldwide.},
}
@article {pmid39544392,
year = {2024},
author = {Zhang, L and Wang, P and Xie, G and Wang, W},
title = {Spatial Distribution Pattern of Aromia bungii Within China and Its Potential Distribution Under Climate Change and Human Activity.},
journal = {Ecology and evolution},
volume = {14},
number = {11},
pages = {e70520},
pmid = {39544392},
issn = {2045-7758},
abstract = {Aromia bungii is a pest that interferes with the health of forests and hinders the development of the fruit tree industry, and its spread is influenced by changes in abiotic factors and human activities. Therefore, exploring their spatial distribution patterns and potential distribution areas under such conditions is crucial for maintaining forest ecosystem security. This study analyzed the spatial differentiation characteristics of the geographic distribution pattern of A. bungii in China using Moran's I and the Getis-Ord General G index. Hot spot distribution areas were identified using Getis-Ord Gi*. An optimized MaxEnt model was used to predict the potential distribution areas of A. bungii within China under four shared economic pathways by combining multivariate environmental data: (1) prediction of natural environmental variables predicted under current climate models; (2) prediction of natural environmental variables + human activities under current climate models; and (3) prediction of natural environmental variables under the future climate models (2050s and 2070s). Meanwhile, MigClim was used to simulate the unoccupied suitable area in the presence of obstacles under future climate change. The results showed that human activities, minimum temperature of the coldest month, and precipitation of the wettest month had positive effects on the distribution of A. bungii. However, in the current period, human activities drastically reduced the survival area of A. bungii, and its suitable distribution area was mainly concentrated in the eastern and central regions of China. Under the influence of climate change in the future, the habitat of A. bungii will gradually increase. Additionally, the MigClim model indicates that the area unoccupied by A. bungii has been on a continuous increasing trend. This study provides a positive reference for the prevention and control of A. bungii and the maintenance of forest health and ecosystem security, and provides important theoretical guidance for researchers, policymakers, and governments.},
}
@article {pmid39543264,
year = {2024},
author = {Koç, DE and Ustaoğlu, B and Biltekin, D},
title = {Effect of climate change on the habitat suitability of the relict species Zelkova carpinifolia Spach using ensembled species distribution modelling.},
journal = {Scientific reports},
volume = {14},
number = {1},
pages = {27967},
pmid = {39543264},
issn = {2045-2322},
mesh = {*Climate Change ; *Ecosystem ; Biodiversity ; Forests ; Algorithms ; },
abstract = {Zelkova carpinifolia is a Tertiary relict tree distributed in Hyrcanian and Colchic forests. Most of its habitat has been destroyed in the last century. This study aimed to model potentially suitable habitat areas for Zelkova carpinifolia from the past to the future. The Last Glacial Maximum (LGM) and Future (2061-2080) models include 19 bioclimatic variables from the CCSM4 global circulation model Pearson correlation coefficient was used to assess collinearity between variables and ten variables were selected for distribution modelling. Habitat suitability was estimated using the Biodiversity Modelling (BIOMOD) ensemble modelling method by combining the results of ten algorithm models using the R package "biomod2". The area under the curve (AUC) of the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve and true skills statistics (TSS) were calculated to evaluate the performance of the models. The contributions of the environmental variables were calculated separately for each algorithm model. According to the results obtained, the most effective bioclimatic variable in the distribution of the species is temperature seasonality (Bio4). The modelling results revealed that Zelkova carpinifolia survived in suitable refuge areas in western Asia during the LGM. These distribution areas have remained largely unchanged and even expanded. The future model results predict that the suitable habitats of the species will narrow in the Hyrcanian forests south of Caspian Sea and that more suitable conditions will be found around the Caucasus. Given the increasing destruction of these valuable plant species due to human activities and the expected negative impacts of climate change in the future, it is important to develop policies and strategies for the protection of Zelkova carpinifolia's habitat, the creation of nature reserves, and sustainability.},
}
@article {pmid39542490,
year = {2024},
author = {Seto, I and Worby, N and Szurmak, J and Gerstle, D and Tough, R and Galloway, T},
title = {Measurement of climate change-related food (in)security and food sovereignty in Canada's northern communities and the circumpolar region: a scoping review protocol.},
journal = {BMJ open},
volume = {14},
number = {11},
pages = {e084403},
doi = {10.1136/bmjopen-2024-084403},
pmid = {39542490},
issn = {2044-6055},
mesh = {*Climate Change ; Humans ; Canada ; *Food Security ; Arctic Regions ; Research Design ; Systematic Reviews as Topic ; Food Supply ; },
abstract = {INTRODUCTION: Climate change impacts the circumpolar region (including northern Canada) at a greater magnitude than other parts of the world. This affects food (in)security as well as food sovereignty. This scoping review aims to map the methods of measuring food (in)security and food sovereignty across northern Canada and the circumpolar region in support of the Yukon Government's climate change adaptation strategy.<br><br>METHODS AND ANALYSIS: We will adhere to the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses extension for Scoping Reviews, and work will be conducted according to the Joanna Briggs Institute (JBI) manual chapter on scoping reviews. Academic librarians develop the academic literature and grey literature search strategies, and the search strategies are further revised through iterative stages of peer review. The search strategy includes 7 academic literature databases, 11 grey literature databases, over 50 websites and the University of Toronto Libraries catalogue. Covidence, an evidence synthesis software, will be used for screening and extraction. The extraction chart will be developed and piloted by our team. A minimum of two reviewers will conduct screening, and conflicts will be resolved through discussion. Data will be extracted by one reviewer and verified by a second. Conflicts will be resolved through discussion or by a third reviewer.<br><br>ETHICS AND DISSEMINATION: This project does not require ethical approval as it is secondary research; data will be extracted from published academic research papers, dissertations, and publicly available reports and documents. Our dissemination plan includes presentations at conferences, submission to international peer-reviewed journals and a workshop on the search strategies.},
}
@article {pmid39542472,
year = {2024},
author = {Lehrer, L and Geiger, M and Sprengholz, P and Jenny, M and Temme, HL and Shamsrizi, P and Eitze, S and Betsch, C},
title = {Study protocol of the planetary health action survey PACE: a serial cross-sectional survey to assess the readiness to act against climate change.},
journal = {BMJ open},
volume = {14},
number = {11},
pages = {e091093},
doi = {10.1136/bmjopen-2024-091093},
pmid = {39542472},
issn = {2044-6055},
mesh = {Humans ; *Climate Change ; Cross-Sectional Studies ; Germany ; Surveys and Questionnaires ; Research Design ; Global Health ; Health Policy ; },
abstract = {INTRODUCTION: Climate change is a paramount global health threat with multifaceted implications. Societal change is required to mitigate the negative effects of climate change, as well as help people adapt to the associated health risks. This requires situation-specific, large-scale data to help scientists and policymakers understand public perceptions and behaviours and identify the levers to increase public readiness to act against climate change and protect health. The Planetary Health Action Survey (PACE) assesses this readiness to act as a regular monitoring of representative samples in Germany. The ongoing monitoring seeks to develop and refine an integrated conceptual model of the trait-like readiness to act, comprising policy acceptance, political participation and individual behaviours as indicators of the trait. It also proposes as set of determinants to explain different levels of readiness to act. This study protocol provides newly developed valid measurement instruments and the methodological details of the monitoring.<br><br>METHOD AND ANALYSIS: PACE assesses indicators of the readiness to act and a set of sociocognitive factors predicting the readiness to act in continuous cross-sectional data collections. The latter comprise climate change knowledge, trust in institutions, perceived health risks, self-efficacy, social norms and perceived effectiveness of policy measures. The online questionnaire is updated regularly. Data collection involves non-probabilistic quota samples from Germany (n&#x2248;1000 at each collection).<br><br>ETHICS AND DISSEMINATION: The project adheres to the ethical guidelines of the University of Erfurt and the German Research Foundation. Ethical clearance was granted by the University's Institutional Review Board (No #20220525/No #2024-01). Participants are guaranteed confidentiality and anonymity, and informed consent is obtained before participation. Results will be published in peer-reviewed journals. Additionally, we aim to inform and empower the public and support stakeholders (media, policymakers, climate protection organisations) in preparing climate communication and assisting policymakers through the project website including an interactive tool, detailed reports and short summaries for practitioners.},
}
@article {pmid39542151,
year = {2024},
author = {Enukoha, C and Talbalaghi, A and Hassandoust, S and Fossati, F and Bazzoni, M and Parisato, S and Puccioni, D and Erbetta, L and Ghaffari, P},
title = {Interplay of climate change with physiological changes in adult Aedes albopictus.},
journal = {Acta tropica},
volume = {260},
number = {},
pages = {107467},
doi = {10.1016/j.actatropica.2024.107467},
pmid = {39542151},
issn = {1873-6254},
abstract = {The effect of unprecedented climate change conditions on the environment has attracted the attention of experts from various disciplines who wish to predict its evolution. This is due to its interaction with population health and people's quality of life. The emergence of vector-borne diseases (VBD) in Europe, particularly caused by invasive mosquitoes, has resulted in autochthonous transmission of Dengue and Chikungunya virus cases. In this contribution, we delve into the significant decline in the population of tiger mosquitoes and the noticeable reduction in their size, related to the changes that occur often in years with low rainfall and high temperatures during the summer months. This change can be traced to the morphology of the species, which has been analysed in this work and related to the possible enhanced transmission efficiency and susceptibility of vectors to VBD dissemination. Due to the greater susceptibility to pathogen replication and subsequent transmission of the pathogens to a host during blood feeding, these morphologically distinct species relatively seem to be an efficient vector. The relationship between the sizes of studied mosquitoes and rainfall levels requires more research by mathematical epidemiologists.},
}
@article {pmid39541399,
year = {2024},
author = {Zavaleta-Cortijo, C and Silvera-Ccallo, R and Lancha-Rucoba, G and Chanchari, J and Inuma, N and Pizango, M and Morales-Ancajima, V and Miranda-Cuadros, M and Aparco, JP and Valdivia-Gago, A and Nunta-Guimaraes, R and Antazú, T and Velez-Quevedo, J and Fernandez-Neyra, C and Carcamo, C and Greenwood, D and Cade, J and Ford, JD and Harper, S and Miranda, JJ},
title = {Indigenous knowledge and leadership for climate change adaptation in nutrition.},
journal = {PLOS global public health},
volume = {4},
number = {11},
pages = {e0003917},
pmid = {39541399},
issn = {2767-3375},
}
@article {pmid39540846,
year = {2024},
author = {Delanghe, J and Speeckaert, M and De Buyzere, M},
title = {Climate change, vitamin D and the viking abandonment in Greenland.},
journal = {Hormone molecular biology and clinical investigation},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
pmid = {39540846},
issn = {1868-1891},
}
@article {pmid39539803,
year = {2024},
author = {Xie, X and Hao, M and Ding, F and Scheffran, J and Ide, T and Maystadt, JF and Qian, Y and Wang, Q and Chen, S and Wu, J and Sun, K and Ma, T and Jiang, D},
title = {The impacts of climate change on violent conflict risk: a review of causal pathways.},
journal = {Environmental research communications},
volume = {6},
number = {11},
pages = {112002},
pmid = {39539803},
issn = {2515-7620},
abstract = {The potential impacts of climate change on violent conflict are high on the agenda of scholars and policy makers. This article reviews existing literature to clarify the relationship between climate change and conflict risk, focusing on the roles of temperature and precipitation. While some debate remains, substantial evidence shows that climate change increases conflict risk under specific conditions. We examine four key pathways through which climate affects conflict: (i) economic shocks, (ii), agricultural decline, (iii) natural resources competition, and (iv) migration. Key gaps include limited long-term data, insufficient integrated studies, and the inadequate understanding of causal mechanisms, necessitating transdisciplinary research that addresses social vulnerability and underlying pathways.},
}
@article {pmid39539237,
year = {2024},
author = {Singh, N and Wigmann, C and Vijay, P and Phuleria, HC and Kress, S and Majmudar, G and Kong, R and Krutmann, J and Schikowski, T},
title = {Combined Effect of Ambient Temperature and Relative Humidity on Skin Aging Phenotypes in the Era of Climate Change: Results From an Indian Cohort Study.},
journal = {Dermatitis : contact, atopic, occupational, drug},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1089/derm.2024.0301},
pmid = {39539237},
issn = {2162-5220},
abstract = {Background: There is no doubt that global warming, with its extreme heat events, is having an increasing impact on human health. Heat is not independent of ambient temperature but acts synergistically with relative humidity (RH) to increase the risk of several diseases, such as cardiovascular and pulmonary diseases. Although the skin is the organ in direct contact with the environment, it is currently unknown whether skin health is similarly affected. Objective: While mechanistic studies have demonstrated the mechanism of thermal aging, this is the first epidemiological study to investigate the effect of long-term exposure to heat index (HI) as a combined function of elevated ambient temperature and RH on skin aging phenotypes in Indian women. Methods: The skin aging phenotypes of 1510 Indian women were assessed using the Score of Intrinsic and Extrinsic Skin Aging (SCINEXA™) scoring tool. We used data on ambient temperature and RH, combined into an HI with solar ultraviolet radiation (UVR), and air pollution (particulate matter <2.5 µm [PM2.5]; nitrogen dioxide [NO2]) from secondary data sources with a 5-year mean residential exposure window. An adjusted ordinal multivariate logistic regression model was used to assess the effects of HI on skin aging phenotypes. Results: HI increased pigmentation such as hyperpigmented macula on the forehead (odds ratios [OR]: 1.31, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.12, 1.54) and coarse wrinkles such as crow's feet (OR: 1.17, 95% CI: 1.05, 1.30) and under-eye wrinkles (OR: 1.3, 95% CI: 1.15, 1.47). These associations were robust to the confounding effects of solar UVR and age. Prolonged exposure to extreme heat, as indicated by high HI, contributes to skin aging phenotypes. Conclusion: Thus, ambient temperature and RH are important factors in assessing the skin aging exposome.},
}
@article {pmid39539050,
year = {2024},
author = {Schulman, EB and Chen, K and Chang, AY},
title = {Exploring the health impacts of climate change: Challenges and considerations for health services research.},
journal = {Health services research},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1111/1475-6773.14408},
pmid = {39539050},
issn = {1475-6773},
}
@article {pmid39537330,
year = {2024},
author = {Falce, E},
title = {Time to talk to patients about climate change.},
journal = {BMJ (Clinical research ed.)},
volume = {387},
number = {},
pages = {q2444},
doi = {10.1136/bmj.q2444},
pmid = {39537330},
issn = {1756-1833},
}
@article {pmid39535985,
year = {2024},
author = {Anjos, LJS and Gonçalves, GSR and Dutra, VAB and Rosa, AG and Santos, LB and Barros, MNR and de Souza, EB and de Toledo, PM},
title = {Brazil nut journey under future climate change in Amazon.},
journal = {PloS one},
volume = {19},
number = {11},
pages = {e0312308},
pmid = {39535985},
issn = {1932-6203},
mesh = {*Climate Change ; Brazil ; *Bertholletia ; Biodiversity ; Rainforest ; Ecosystem ; Conservation of Natural Resources ; },
abstract = {Climate change is among the principal threats to global terrestrial biodiversity, especially to megadiverse ecosystems such as the Amazon rainforest. In this study, we investigate how it could affect an iconic forest species-Bertholletia excelsa-(the Brazil nut) which has values in multiple dimensions in an Amazonian context. We used an ensemble from various distribution modeling methods designed for four different climate scenarios from CMIP6 by the end of the century. Then, we simulate how spatial dynamics under climate change, including explicitly dispersal events, can affect the persistence, colonization, and potential extinction of Bertholletia excelsa in the future. Our results show that by the end of the century there would be a generalized loss of suitability on the Amazon biome, regardless of the climate scenario evaluated, which could promote a significant loss (up to 94%) of the area available for the species via extinction. Our results also show that, in the future, the species would colonize higher altitudes in search of favorable conditions for its survival. Finally, we detected that areas that had previously become unsuitable because of climate change would have favorable conditions by the end of the century. Such an outcome could be useful in fostering an active restoration agenda that can mitigate the negative effects of climate change on species in this study.},
}
@article {pmid39534651,
year = {2024},
author = {Orchinik, R and Dubey, R and Gershman, SJ and Powell, DM and Bhui, R},
title = {Learning from and about scientists: Consensus messaging shapes perceptions of climate change and climate scientists.},
journal = {PNAS nexus},
volume = {3},
number = {11},
pages = {pgae485},
pmid = {39534651},
issn = {2752-6542},
abstract = {Despite overwhelming scientific consensus on the existence of human-caused climate change, public opinion among Americans remains split. Directly informing people of scientific consensus is among the most prominent strategies for climate communication, yet the reasons for its effectiveness and its limitations are not fully understood. Here, we propose that consensus messaging provides information not only about the existence of climate change but also traits of climate scientists themselves. In a large (n = 2 , 545) nationally representative survey experiment, we examine how consensus information affects belief in human-caused climate change by shaping perceptions of climate scientist credibility. In the control group (n = 847), we first show that people learn both from and about climate scientists when presented with consensus and that perceived scientist credibility (especially skill) mediates up to about 40% of the total effect of consensus information on climate belief. We demonstrate that perceptions of climate scientists are malleable with two novel interventions that increase belief in climate change above and beyond consensus information.},
}
@article {pmid39534879,
year = {2024},
author = {Molina, B and Palau, CE and Calvo-Gallego, J},
title = {Enriching Earth observation datasets through semantics for climate change applications: The EIFFEL ontology.},
journal = {Open research Europe},
volume = {4},
number = {},
pages = {133},
pmid = {39534879},
issn = {2732-5121},
abstract = {BACKGROUND: Earth Observation (EO) datasets have become vital for decision support applications, particularly from open satellite portals that provide extensive historical datasets. These datasets can be integrated with in-situ data to power artificial intelligence mechanisms for accurate forecasting and trend analysis. However, researchers and data scientists face challenges in finding appropriate EO datasets due to inconsistent metadata structures and varied keyword descriptions. This misalignment hinders the discoverability and usability of EO data.<br><br>METHODS: To address this challenge, the EIFFEL ontology (EIFF-O) is proposed. EIFF-O introduces taxonomies and ontologies to provide (i) global classification of EO data and (ii) linkage between different datasets through common concepts. The taxonomies specified by the European Association of Remote Sensing Companies (EARSC) have been formalized and implemented in EIFF-O. Additionally, EIFF-O incorporates:1.An Essential Climate Variable (ECV) ontology, defined by the Global Climate Observing System (GCOS), is embedded and tailored for Climate Change (CC) applications.2.The Sustainable Development Goals (SDG) ontology is included to facilitate linking datasets to specific targets.3.The ontology extends schema.org vocabularies and promotes the use of JavaScript Object Notation for Linked Data (JSON-LD) formats for semantic web integration.<br><br>RESULTS: EIFF-O provides a unified framework that enhances the discoverability, usability, and application of EO datasets. The implementation of EIFF-O allows data providers and users to bridge the gap between varied metadata descriptions and structured classification, thereby facilitating better linkage and integration of EO datasets.<br><br>CONCLUSIONS: The EIFFEL ontology represents a significant advancement in the organization and application of EO datasets. By embedding ECV and SDG ontologies and leveraging semantic web technologies, EIFF-O not only streamlines the data discovery process but also supports diverse applications, particularly in Climate Change monitoring and Sustainable Development Goals achievement. The open-source nature of the ontology and its associated tools promotes rapid adoption among developers.},
}
@article {pmid39533054,
year = {2024},
author = {Aluja, M and Acosta, E and Enciso-Ortiz, E and Ortega-Casas, R and Altúzar-Molina, A and Camacho-Vázquez, C and Monribot-Villanueva, JL and Guerrero-Analco, JA and Pascacio-Villafán, C and Guillén, L},
title = {Expansion to new habitats and a new commercial host (Malus domestica) by Anastrepha ludens (Tephritidae) likely influenced by global warming.},
journal = {Scientific reports},
volume = {14},
number = {1},
pages = {27729},
pmid = {39533054},
issn = {2045-2322},
support = {FORDECYT-PRONACES/848296/2020//Mexican Consejo Nacional de Ciencia y Tecnolog&#xed;a - CONACYT currently CONAHCyT/ ; 2020-2022//Programa Nacional de Moscas de la Fruta (DGSV-SENASICA-SADER)/ ; },
mesh = {Animals ; *Malus/parasitology ; *Tephritidae/physiology/growth &amp; development ; *Global Warming ; *Ecosystem ; Mexico ; Fruit ; },
abstract = {Anastrepha ludens (Mexican fruit-fly) is a highly polyphagous fruit fly species (Tephritidae) attacking wild and commercial fruit from Mexico to Panama. Here we report on a recent habitat and host range expansion as A. ludens lately started to attack apples (Malus domestica) in Mexico, a phenomenon likely influenced by global warming. We document natural infestations in apple-growing regions in the States of Nuevo León and Hidalgo, Mexico where A. ludens has started to attack the cultivars 'Golden Delicious', 'Rayada' and 'Criolla'. No infestations were found in the apple-growing region of Zacatlán, Puebla. To determine apple cultivar susceptibility to the attack of this emerging pest, we ran forced infestation assays in enclosed fruit-bearing branches in all three apple-growing regions and studied the metabolome of all fruit. A clear pattern emerged indicating that the cultivar 'Golden Delicious' was the most susceptible, with 'Criolla' exhibiting complete resistance in one location (Puebla). Although A. ludens can develop in this new host, development rates (egg-adult) and adult emergence were affected when compared with the performance in the natural host 'Marsh' grapefruit. Warmer temperatures and specific secondary metabolites of some apple cultivars are likely contributing to the territorial and host expansion of A. ludens.},
}
@article {pmid39534119,
year = {2024},
author = {Anantapong, K and Moura, HF and Udomratn, P and Persaud, A and Javed, A and Ramachandran, P and Castaldelli-Maia, JM and Torales, J and Ventriglio, A and Bhugra, D},
title = {Geopsychiatry: Climate change, migration, and mental health.},
journal = {Industrial psychiatry journal},
volume = {33},
number = {Suppl 1},
pages = {S257-S260},
pmid = {39534119},
issn = {0972-6748},
abstract = {Geopsychiatry, a newly emerging discipline within psychiatry, examines the influence of geopolitical determinants on mental health and mental illness. Geopolitical determinants include conflict and wars, global austerity, climate change, public health crises (such as the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19)), and migration. This study focuses on the two significant areas of climate change and migration. Climate change can affect mental health directly or indirectly in a variety of ways, including chronic (global warming) and acute (heat waves and environmental disasters) events. Certain groups of migrants, including migrating children, older migrants, refugees, and asylum seekers, are particularly vulnerable to developing psychiatric disorders. The convergence of climate change and migration is significantly complicating the already highly difficult situation for mental health services worldwide, particularly in low- and middle-income countries where access to care is limited. Despite this, the majority of studies examining mental health impacts of these events originate from high-income countries, and there is still a lack of effective preventive and treatment strategies. In 2023, the World Psychiatric Association (WPA) set up a Special Interest Group on Geopsychiatry with a clear and explicit aim to summarize current evidence and propose strategies to tackle geopolitical challenges on mental health. The Special Interest Group aims to support regional and local groups across all psychiatric disciplines and stakeholders dedicated to building local consensus, prioritizing research, crafting policies, and collating and sharing good clinical practices. With such significant effort, we can expand our understanding and collaboration on geopsychiatry and make changes to the care of people with geopolitical and mental health challenges around the globe.},
}
@article {pmid39533145,
year = {2024},
author = {},
title = {Rice is not as nice with global warming.},
journal = {Nature},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
pmid = {39533145},
issn = {1476-4687},
}
@article {pmid39533141,
year = {2024},
author = {Conroy, G},
title = {Global warming is on the cusp of crucial 1.5 °C threshold, suggest ice-core data.},
journal = {Nature},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
pmid = {39533141},
issn = {1476-4687},
}
@article {pmid39532753,
year = {2024},
author = {Vilavan, S and Das, D and Ullah, H and Gade, SA and Ahmed, SF and Cha-Um, S and Praseartkul, P and Datta, A and Himanshu, SK},
title = {Exploring the impacts of climate change and identifying potential adaptation strategies for sustainable rice production in Thailand's Lower Chao Phraya Basin through crop simulation modeling.},
journal = {Environmental monitoring and assessment},
volume = {196},
number = {12},
pages = {1192},
pmid = {39532753},
issn = {1573-2959},
mesh = {*Oryza/growth &amp; development/genetics ; *Climate Change ; Thailand ; Crops, Agricultural/growth &amp; development ; Agriculture/methods ; Agricultural Irrigation/methods ; Models, Theoretical ; Crop Production/methods ; Environmental Monitoring/methods ; },
abstract = {The lower Chao Phraya River Basin (CPRB) in Thailand, a major rice-producing area, is grappling with increased water scarcity alongside more frequent floods and droughts, necessitating effective adaptation strategies to sustain agricultural productivity. This study assesses the impacts of climate change on rice yield and irrigation water use, using the DSSAT-CERES-Rice model. Based on these findings, potential genotype- and management-based adaptation strategies were recommended. The model was calibrated and evaluated using the data from field experiments conducted at the Asian Institute of Technology, Thailand during 2017-2018 and 2021-2022. The grain yield and irrigation water use between baseline (2010-2022) and future climate periods (early-century: 2023-2040, mid-century: 2041-2070, and late-century: 2071-2100) were compared. Future climate projections were based on five Global Climate Models (GCMs) from the NEX-GDDP-CMIP6 project under three scenarios (SSP126, SSP245, and SSP585). The model calibration and evaluation demonstrated very good performance statistics, with a d-index of 0.85 during both calibration and evaluation. The model simulations indicated that the maximum and minimum temperatures in the lower CPRB are projected to increase by ~ 2 °C and ~ 4 °C in the late century under SSP245 and SSP585, respectively. Consequently, rice yields are projected to decline by up to 33%, and irrigation water usage to increase by 53% under SSP585 by the late century. Based on the findings, the following major genotype- and management-based adaptation strategies are recommended: (1) Developing heat-tolerant rice cultivars to mitigate yield losses under future climate scenarios, (2) Developing rice cultivars with extended grain-filling duration to enhance both irrigation water use and yield, (3) Shifting the planting date 1-2 weeks earlier (from baseline planting date of 20 July), and shifting fertilizer application date 1-2 weeks earlier (from baseline fertilizer application date of 20 September) for the panicle initiation stage to improve yield, and (4) Optimizing irrigation thresholds (remaining soil water at which to irrigate) to reduce irrigation water use without compromising yield. Overall, the findings highlight the importance of genotype improvement and adaptive management practices in mitigating the adverse effects of climate change on rice production in the lower CPRB.},
}
@article {pmid39532604,
year = {2024},
author = {Chen, B and Xu, X and Wang, S and Yang, T and Liu, Z},
title = {Corrigendum to "Carbon dioxide fertilization enhanced carbon sink offset by climate change and land use in Amazonia on a centennial scale" [Sci. Total Environ. 955 (2024) 176903].},
journal = {The Science of the total environment},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {177435},
doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.177435},
pmid = {39532604},
issn = {1879-1026},
}
@article {pmid39531521,
year = {2024},
author = {de Souza, AC and Pires, AS and Donohue, K and de Mattos, EA},
title = {Will climate change constrain the altitudinal range of threatened species? Experimental evidence from a biodiversity hotspot.},
journal = {Plant biology (Stuttgart, Germany)},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1111/plb.13734},
pmid = {39531521},
issn = {1438-8677},
support = {13864-1//Rufford Foundation/ ; },
abstract = {A fundamental goal in ecology and evolution is to explain the factors that shape species' abundance and range limits. Evaluating the performance of early life-stages across an altitudinal gradient can be valuable for understanding what factors shape range limits and for predicting how plant species may respond to climate change. To experimentally evaluate the presence of local adaptation in a threatened palm (Euterpe edulis) at early life-stages, we reciprocally sowed seeds at two contrasting elevations. In addition, to evaluate the effect of seed predation on E. edulis seed germination and seedling establishment, seed addition experiments were conducted at three different elevations. Our results showed no evidence of local adaptation in the early life-stages for the two E. edulis populations. We observed lower germination and seedling performance of both E. edulis populations at the low-elevation site. The exclusion of seed predation increased seedling establishment across all elevations. Seed predation and dry soil conditions were the main factors that constrained seedling establishment at the upper altitudinal limit and at the lower elevation, respectively. Climate change in the study area will result in warmer and drier environmental conditions. The lack of local adaptation and the lower performance of both E. edulis populations in warm and dry conditions, combined with a higher seed predation at the upper altitudinal limit, might cause an altitudinal range contraction, increasing the vulnerability of this threatened species to climate change.},
}
@article {pmid39531124,
year = {2024},
author = {Phoeurn, CA and Degré, A and Oeurng, C and Ket, P},
title = {Evaluating the impact of climate change on yield and water use efficiency of different dry-season rice varieties cultivated under conventional and alternate wetting and drying conditions.},
journal = {Environmental monitoring and assessment},
volume = {196},
number = {12},
pages = {1190},
pmid = {39531124},
issn = {1573-2959},
mesh = {*Climate Change ; *Oryza/growth &amp; development ; *Agriculture/methods ; Seasons ; Biomass ; Water ; Environmental Monitoring/methods ; },
abstract = {This study is the first attempt to assess rice cultivation under alternate wetting and drying (AWD) and continuous flooding (CF) using the latest scenarios from the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), utilizing AquaCrop Model. Field experiments were conducted during the dry season 2023 to get the model calibration and validation input. We used two shared socioeconomic pathways scenarios (SSP3-7.0 and SSP5-8.5) developed within Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (CMIP6) and projected the rice growth during 2040-2070. The simulation results demonstrated the effectiveness of AquaCrop in capturing crop development across treatments and varieties. This model's accuracy in simulating canopy cover (nRMSE = 14-32.5%), time series biomass (nRMSE = 22-42.5%), grain yield (Pd = 4.36-24.38%), and total biomass (nRMSE = 0.39-18.98%) was generally acceptable. The analysis of future climate shows an increasing trend in the monthly average temperature by 0.8 °C (Tmin) and 1.3 °C (Tmax) in both scenarios. While ETo values were not anticipated, rainfall was expected to increase with average values of 5.62 mm to 11.25 mm. In addition, the study found that varieties with growing periods longer than 93 days after transplanting (DAT), such as CAR15 and Sen Kra Ob, were most impacted by heat stress conditions, leading to reduced yield, harvest index (HI), and water use efficiency (WUE). In our case, CAR15 and Sen Kra Ob grain yields were reduced by 53% and 8%, respectively. AWD maintains superior WUE compared with CF regardless of the type of varieties, suggesting this technique is a drought-adaptive strategy.},
}
@article {pmid39529493,
year = {2024},
author = {Parnes, MF and Weiss, EM},
title = {Digital Mental Health Innovations in the Face of Climate Change: Navigating a Sustainable Future.},
journal = {Psychiatric services (Washington, D.C.)},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {appips20240327},
doi = {10.1176/appi.ps.20240327},
pmid = {39529493},
issn = {1557-9700},
abstract = {Climate change poses substantial challenges to mental health, with increased frequency of extreme weather events and environmental degradation exacerbating stress, anxiety, trauma, and existential concerns. Digital innovations, particularly artificial intelligence and digital phenotyping, offer promising avenues to mitigate climate-related mental health burdens. The integration of digital tools into climate-related mental health care necessitates careful consideration of issues of access to and adoption of solutions. Future research should evaluate the effectiveness and scalability of digital interventions to address the mental health impacts of climate change through collaborative efforts involving clinicians, environmental health specialists, bioethicists, policy makers, and technology developers.},
}
@article {pmid39528616,
year = {2024},
author = {Aniye, HW and Bekele, T and Worku, W},
title = {Perception of smallholder farmers about climate change and its impacts on crop production across agroecological zones of the Gassera District, Southeastern Ethiopia.},
journal = {Scientific reports},
volume = {14},
number = {1},
pages = {27632},
pmid = {39528616},
issn = {2045-2322},
mesh = {Ethiopia ; *Climate Change ; *Farmers/psychology ; Humans ; Female ; Cross-Sectional Studies ; Male ; *Crop Production ; *Crops, Agricultural/growth &amp; development ; Adult ; Middle Aged ; Agriculture ; Rural Population ; Surveys and Questionnaires ; Perception ; Rain ; },
abstract = {Climate change and variability have threatened rainfed agriculture by affecting the livelihoods of rural communities in Ethiopia. The study area, Gassera District, is among the high-potential crop production areas of the Bale Zone and is severely impacted by recurrent droughts resulting from climate change. This study evaluated smallholder farmers' perceptions of significant climate change and its effects on food crop production across the agroecological zones of the Gassera District. A cross-sectional survey design was employed to collect data from 444 farm households via multistage random sampling techniques. Multiple linear regression (MLR) models were used for the data analysis. The results revealed that 98.5% of the interviewed farmers were aware of climate variability and that 51.6% understood its impact to a reasonable extent. However, over half of the farmers did not perceive climate change as the greatest threat to their livelihood. Most farmers experienced rain becoming more erratic, starting late, and ending early as medium climatic factors (60.4%, 68.1%, and 66.2%, respectively), affecting their crop production. The results revealed that rainfall had a negative and insignificant decreasing trend (2.92 mm/year). The annual mean temperature exhibited a positive and statistically significant increasing trend (Ρ < 0.01). Crop production is positively and linearly correlated with the amount of annual rainfall at the Ρ ≤ 0.05 level of significance. The findings revealed that the greatest crop yield loss was associated with lowland agroecology. The MLR results revealed that farmer agroecology, age, sex, and chemical use had substantial impacts on crop yield loss. We urge farmers to understand the long-term effects of climate change on their livelihoods.},
}
@article {pmid39525526,
year = {2024},
author = {Plášek, V and Číhal, L and Müller, F and Pöltl, M and Wierzgoń, M and Ochyra, R},
title = {Newly found and rediscovered hornworts (Anthocerotophyta) in Poland: Indicators of climate change impact in Central Europe.},
journal = {PhytoKeys},
volume = {248},
number = {},
pages = {237-261},
pmid = {39525526},
issn = {1314-2011},
abstract = {In 2023, field research in south-western Poland led to the noteworthy discovery of two hornworts: Notothylasorbicularis, a species previously unrecorded in this country, and the rediscovery of Anthocerosneesii for the Polish bryoflora. These findings are significant as they suggest a response to climate change, which is facilitating the range expansion of hornworts within Central Europe. Detailed descriptions of the new localities for both species are provided, highlighting the specific environmental conditions and habitats where they were found. Distribution maps for Notothylasorbicularis and Anthocerosneesii in Poland are provided, as well as SEM micrographs of spores. Additionally, a key to the identification of Polish hornwort species is also included. Furthermore, a model projecting the potential future spread of these hornworts within Poland and the broader Central European region is presented. This model considers climatic variables and habitat availability, offering insights into possible range shifts. This study contributes to the growing body of evidence that climate change is a driving factor in the redistribution of bryophytes.},
}
@article {pmid39506664,
year = {2024},
author = {Lindhe, N and Berg, M and Andersson, K and Andersson, G},
title = {Experiences of undergoing internet-delivered cognitive behavioural therapy for climate change-related distress: a qualitative study.},
journal = {BMC psychiatry},
volume = {24},
number = {1},
pages = {775},
pmid = {39506664},
issn = {1471-244X},
mesh = {Humans ; *Cognitive Behavioral Therapy/methods ; Male ; Female ; *Climate Change ; *Qualitative Research ; Adult ; Middle Aged ; *Adaptation, Psychological ; Psychological Distress ; Internet-Based Intervention ; Internet ; Stress, Psychological/therapy/psychology ; },
abstract = {BACKGROUND: Internet-delivered cognitive behavioural therapy (ICBT) has previously shown promise in effectively treating climate change-related distress. The aim of the present study was to investigate participants' experiences of undergoing a novel ICBT program targeting psychological symptoms associated with climate change.<br><br>METHODS: Telephone interviews were conducted with nine participants who had received eight weeks of ICBT for climate change-related distress. A semi-structured interview guide was used to gather information about participants' experiences of undergoing treatment. Data were transcribed and analyzed using thematic analysis.<br><br>RESULTS: The thematic analysis resulted in three overarching themes: (1) Same old feelings, brand new strategies, (2) Bumps in the road, and (3) Personalized climate engagement. Participants experienced that they had developed new coping strategies for handling their emotions, encountered challenges during the treatment period, and adapted their pro-environmental behaviour to their individual needs and circumstances.<br><br>CONCLUSIONS: The results indicate that participants were able to utilize the treatment material in different ways, resulting in a variety of emotional, cognitive, and behavioural changes. While the treatment was generally described as helpful, participants also raised some concerns regarding the treatment format. These findings can inform further development of ICBT targeting psychological symptoms associated with climate change.},
}
@article {pmid39525076,
year = {2024},
author = {Khadilkar, A and Waddell, L and Acheson, ES and Ogden, NH},
title = {Perspectives on blastomycosis in Canada in the face of climate change.},
journal = {Canada communicable disease report = Releve des maladies transmissibles au Canada},
volume = {50},
number = {11},
pages = {400-411},
doi = {10.14745/ccdr.v50i11a04},
pmid = {39525076},
issn = {1188-4169},
abstract = {Blastomycosis is a disease of potentially varied presentations caused by thermally dimorphic fungi that appear as mold at ambient temperatures and transform to yeast at body temperature. Inhalation of aerosolized fungal spores represents the primary mode of transmission. Exposure may follow outdoor activities that disturb soil, which is warm, moist, acidic and rich in organic debris, particularly within forested areas and in proximity to waterways. Blastomycosis is endemic to several parts of Canada, but is only reportable in Ontario and Manitoba, with Northwestern Ontario being considered a hyperendemic area with average annual incidence rates of over 25 cases per 100,000 population. Delays in diagnosis and treatment are frequently observed as the symptoms and imaging findings of blastomycosis may initially be mistaken for community-acquired pneumonia, tuberculosis or malignancy, which can result in interim disease progression and worsening clinical outcomes. Risks from fungal infections such as blastomycosis are likely to increase with climate change-associated shifts in temperature and rainfall, and this may contribute to the geographic expansion of cases, a phenomenon that appears to be already underway. Further research investigating the ecological niche of Blastomyces and its climate sensitivity could help facilitate better modelling of the potential impacts of climate change on risks to Canadians and inform more effective methods of exposure prevention. Early clinical recognition and treatment of blastomycosis remain the key to minimizing morbidity and mortality.},
}
@article {pmid39524332,
year = {2024},
author = {Arce, G and García-Alaminos, &#xc1; and Ortiz, M and Zafrilla, J},
title = {Attributing climate-change-related disaster displacement responsibilities along global production chains.},
journal = {iScience},
volume = {27},
number = {11},
pages = {111124},
doi = {10.1016/j.isci.2024.111124},
pmid = {39524332},
issn = {2589-0042},
abstract = {Climate change creates hostile living conditions in various regions, provoking climate-driven migration. The literature points to a polarization between the countries responsible for climate change and the regions suffering its consequences. Given this dichotomy, this study analyses the link between unsustainable consumption by world powers and the increasing vulnerability of some developing countries. We identify the most vulnerable countries to climate migrations and perform a responsibility assessment on environmental migration through historical consumption-based contributions to climate change. The main results show that the areas most vulnerable to climate migration are low-income countries from Asia and Africa, whereas the US, China, Japan, and Russia are the major economies responsible for climate change driving those migrations. According to our estimations, top responsible countries should contribute 0.2%-0.5% of their GDP to a global financial fund for climate migrants. This work supports the principle of climate justice regarding worldwide current challenges.},
}
@article {pmid39523661,
year = {2024},
author = {Lin, XN and Ma, CY and Hu, LS and Liao, ML and Ma, LX and Teske, PR and Hoffmann, A and Dong, YW},
title = {Genomics-Informed Range Predictions Under Global Warming Reveal Reduced Adaptive Diversity Whilst Buffering Range Shifts for a Marine Snail.},
journal = {Global change biology},
volume = {30},
number = {11},
pages = {e17571},
doi = {10.1111/gcb.17571},
pmid = {39523661},
issn = {1365-2486},
support = {42025604//National Natural Science Foundation of China/ ; 42106112//National Natural Science Foundation of China/ ; 42106141//National Natural Science Foundation of China/ ; },
mesh = {Animals ; *Snails/genetics/physiology ; *Global Warming ; China ; *Genetic Variation ; Phylogeography ; Genomics ; Climate Change ; Adaptation, Physiological/genetics ; Ecosystem ; Animal Distribution ; },
abstract = {Understanding the genetic basis of local adaptation in thermal performance is useful for predicting species distribution shifts under anthropogenic climate change. Many species are distributed across multiple biogeographic regions, and the uniquely adapted populations in each region may respond to future ocean warming with distinct distribution changes. In the present study, we investigated phylogeographic patterns, thermal sensitivity, and genetic differentiation in the intertidal snail Littorina brevicula along China's coast. Whole-genome sequencing results based on a newly assembled chromosome-level genome revealed two genetic lineages, with a north-south divergence that is linked to the thermal environment. Within each lineage, individuals could be further subdivided into genetic subgroups that differ at key genomic loci underpinning differences in upper heat tolerance. Heat stress drives adaptive divergence across multiple levels of organization, from the individual to the biogeographic level. Taking into account genetic diversity associated with variation in heat tolerance, a physiological species distribution model (pSDM) was applied to predict the distributions of the different genetic subgroups in response to climate change. Both northern and southern lineages were predicted to experience declines in habitat suitability under a 4°C future warming scenario, and that a genotypic subset of snails from the southern lineage may even be driven to extinction. These findings illustrate that even when a species' range is maintained, it can nonetheless experience a significant decrease in adaptive diversity as a result of climate change. The integrated approach presented here, which considered both physiological and adaptive genetic variation at the level of individuals within a biogeographical context, provided new insights into how marine species can respond to global warming.},
}
@article {pmid39523014,
year = {2024},
author = {Suzuki, H and Nunome, M and Yanase, T and Eto, T and Harada, M and Kinoshita, G},
title = {Impact of late Quaternary climate change on the demographic history of Japanese field voles and hares revealed by mitochondrial cytochrome b sequences.},
journal = {Genes &amp; genetic systems},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1266/ggs.24-00145},
pmid = {39523014},
issn = {1880-5779},
abstract = {The mitochondrial cytochrome b gene of the Japanese field vole (Microtus montebelli), an herbivorous rodent, was subjected to an analysis of sequence variation with the objective of elucidating the population histories of this species. Construction of a phylogenetic tree revealed the existence of several region-specific lineages in Honshu and Kyushu, which were evenly separated from each other. In consideration of the documented time-dependent evolutionary rates of rodents, the estimated divergence times indicate that the region-specific lineages of M. montebelli emerged 160,000-300,000 years ago. In a haplotype network, the region-specific lineages from northern and central Honshu tended to show star-shaped clusters, with additional internal star-shaped clusters, indicative of two periods of population expansion. The onsets of the expansions were estimated to have occurred 15,000 and 10,000 years ago, respectively, suggestive of association with the two periods of rapid warming following the Last Glacial Maximum (LGM). In contrast, such predicted post-LGM expansion events were less pronounced in the southern lineages, implying latitudinal dependence of the effect of the LGM on population dynamics. Sado Island haplotypes exhibited a network with a star-shaped pattern and a 10,000-year-old expansion signal, surrounded by a Honshu haplotype cluster with a 15,000-year-old expansion signal, suggesting contribution of the post-LGM expansion events in the formation of the Sado population. A reanalysis of Cytb sequence of the Japanese hare (Lepus brachyurus), which has a similar geographic range to the voles, yielded results that were consistent with those of the vole analysis, confirming that the characteristics of the post-LGM expansion event were dependent on latitude, involved two successive expansion events, and enabled migration across deep straits. It seems reasonable to infer that the environmental changes that occurred during the warm periods following the LGM were a contributing factor in the expansion of the distribution range of newly emerged haplotype groups.},
}
@article {pmid39522871,
year = {2024},
author = {Shen, Y and Dai, Y and Feng, Y and Peng, W and Liu, J and You, W and Luo, X and Ke, C and Chen, N},
title = {The weak association between hypoxia tolerance and thermal tolerance increases the susceptibility of abalone to climate change.},
journal = {Environmental research},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {120324},
doi = {10.1016/j.envres.2024.120324},
pmid = {39522871},
issn = {1096-0953},
abstract = {The simultaneous occurrence of high temperatures and hypoxia events caused mass die-offs of aquatic animals. It is crucial to investigate the relationship between hypoxia tolerance and thermal tolerance of aquatic animals to predict the biological and ecological outcomes under global climate change scenarios. In this study, the hypoxia tolerance and thermal tolerance of Pacific abalone, Haliotis discus hannai, were measured by methods based on adhesion capacity (hypoxia adhesion duration and heat adhesion duration) and heart rate fluctuations (breakpoint of dissolved oxygen and Arrhenius breakpoint temperature). Weak correlations were found between hypoxia tolerance and thermal tolerance (Spearman correlation, r = -0.09, P = 0.2069; Pearson correlation, r = -0.04, P = 0.3313). Furthermore, a total of 21 significant SNPs and 19 candidate genes (such as cubn, lrp6, gria2, rft2, and casp8) were identified to be associated with hypoxia tolerance of Pacific abalone by conducting whole genome resequencing and genome-wide association study (GWAS). But there was no overlap between candidate genes associated with hypoxia tolerance and candidate genes associated with thermal tolerance, validating the weak correlation between hypoxia tolerance and thermal tolerance. This study highlights that individuals with greater hypoxia tolerance do not necessarily have greater thermal tolerance. Global warming and hypoxia may pose a greater threat to population size and genetic diversity of some aquatic animals than previously believed.},
}
@article {pmid39522784,
year = {2024},
author = {Feng, Z and Zhang, L and Tang, N and Li, X and Xing, W},
title = {Ensemble modeling of aquatic plant invasions and economic cost analysis in China under climate change scenarios.},
journal = {The Science of the total environment},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {177444},
doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.177444},
pmid = {39522784},
issn = {1879-1026},
abstract = {Pistia stratiotes, Eichhornia crassipes, Alternanthera philoxeroides, and Cabomba caroliniana are officially recognized as invasive aquatic plants in China. Accurately predicting their invasion dynamics under climate change is crucial for the future safety of aquatic ecosystems. Compared to single prediction models, ensemble models that integrate multiple algorithms provide more accurate forecasts. However, there has been a notable lack of research utilizing ensemble models to collectively predict the invasive regions of these four species in China. To address this gap, we collected and analyzed comprehensive data on species distribution, climate, altitude, population density, and the normalized difference vegetation index to accurately predict the future invasive regions and potential warnings for aquatic systems concerning these species. Our results indicate that suitable areas for invasive aquatic plants in China are primarily located in the southeastern region. Significant differences exist in the suitable habitats for each species: P. stratiotes and E. crassipes have broad distribution areas, covering most water systems in southeastern China, while C. caroliniana is concentrated in the middle and lower reaches of the Yangtze River and the estuaries of the Yangtze and Pearl Rivers. A. philoxeroides has an extensive invasion area, with the North China Plain projected to become a suitable invasion region in the future. The main factors influencing future invasions are human activities and climate change. In addition, under climate change, the suitable habitats for these invasive aquatic plants are expected to expand toward higher latitudes. We also estimated the economic costs associated with invasive aquatic plants in China using the Invacost database, revealing cumulative costs of US$5525.17 million, where damage costs (89.70 %) significantly exceed management costs (10.30 %). Our innovative approach, employing various ensemble algorithms and water system invasion forecasts, aims to effectively mitigate the future invasions and economic impacts of these species.},
}
@article {pmid39522195,
year = {2024},
author = {Pérez-Cutillas, P and Salhi, A},
title = {Long-term hydroclimatic projections and climate change scenarios at regional scale in Morocco.},
journal = {Journal of environmental management},
volume = {371},
number = {},
pages = {123254},
doi = {10.1016/j.jenvman.2024.123254},
pmid = {39522195},
issn = {1095-8630},
abstract = {Morocco urgently needs an updated understanding of its water resources, considering the current knowledge's insufficient and uncertain state. Incorporating the latest Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs) is crucial for a more accurate and informed assessment. This study aims to bridge this gap by examining the hydrological dynamics of major basins, offering insights vital for strategic water resource management. To unravel Morocco's hydrological future, we employed an integrative methodology encompassing advanced spatial analyses, watershed hydrological modeling through the 'Water Yield' module of InVEST, and climate change scenario projections from CMIP6. Leveraging reputable databases for land cover, soil, and climate data, we ensured a robust foundation for the projections applied. This comprehensive approach facilitated a nuanced examination of water availability, considering the intricate interplay of various factors. The findings unveil a concerning projection, anticipating water yield declines between 23% and 51% by 2080 and 43%-61% by 2100 across the 12 basins. The northwest and north areas, currently endowed with better water availability, face the most substantial reductions. Economic repercussions loom, with potential losses ranging from -0.8 to -8.5 billion USD by 2100, urging strategic interventions to avert potential GDP declines of 2.8%-17.1%. The study highlights the scenario-dependent sensitivity of water supply to varying levels of climate change. In the context of the North African region, Morocco's hydroclimatic challenges assume heightened significance. As a pivotal player in the region, Morocco's water resource management impacts its socio-economic landscape as well as resonates regionally. The outcome of proactive measures and strategic planning can potentially set a precedent for neighboring countries grappling with similar hydrological uncertainties, fostering regional resilience in the face of escalating water stress. The study's insights, therefore, carry broader implications, positioning Morocco as a key influencer in shaping sustainable water management practices across North Africa.},
}
@article {pmid39521502,
year = {2024},
author = {Prasad, A},
title = {Marina Romanello: tracking climate change and health.},
journal = {Lancet (London, England)},
volume = {404},
number = {10465},
pages = {1801},
doi = {10.1016/S0140-6736(24)02425-5},
pmid = {39521502},
issn = {1474-547X},
}
@article {pmid39520017,
year = {2024},
author = {Li, M and Zheng, CF and Gao, XQ and Li, CH and Li, YX and Xia, XH and Yang, J and Zheng, YQ and Huang, P},
title = {Distinct Ecological Habits and Habitat Responses to Future Climate Change in Two Subspecies of Magnolia sieboldii K. Koch, a Tree Endemic to East Asia.},
journal = {Plants (Basel, Switzerland)},
volume = {13},
number = {21},
pages = {},
doi = {10.3390/plants13213097},
pmid = {39520017},
issn = {2223-7747},
support = {2022YFD2200100//National Key Research and Development Program/ ; 2005DKA21003//National Platform for Forestry and Grassland Genetic Resources/ ; },
abstract = {Magnolia sieboldii, an important ornamental tree native to East Asia, comprises two subspecies in distinct regions, with wild populations facing suboptimal survival. This study aimed to understand the potential habitat distribution of these subspecies under future climate-change conditions to support climate-adaptive conservation. The maximum entropy (MaxEnt) model was used with occurrence and environmental data to simulate the current and future suitable habitats under various climate scenarios. Precipitation in the warmest quarter played a crucial role in shaping the potential habitats of both subspecies; however, they exhibited different sensitivities to temperature-related variables and altitude. Magnolia sieboldii subsp. sieboldii is more sensitive to temperature seasonality and annual mean temperature, whereas Magnolia sieboldii subsp. japonica is more affected by altitude, mean temperature in the driest quarter, and isothermality. Currently, the subsp. sieboldii is predicted to have larger, more contiguous suitable habitats across northeastern China, the Korean Peninsula, and Japan, whereas the subsp. japonica occupies smaller, more disjunct habitats scattered in central and western Japan and the southern Chinese mountains. These two subspecies will respond differently to future climate change. Potentially suitable habitats for subsp. sieboldii are expected to expand significantly northward over time, especially under the SSP585 scenario compared with the SSP126 scenario. In contrast, moderately and highly suitable habitats for the subsp. japonica are projected to contract southward significantly. Therefore, we recommend prioritizing the conservation of the subsp. japonica over that of the subsp. sieboldii. Strategies include in situ and ex situ protection, introduction and cultivation, regional hybridization, and international cooperation. Our study offers valuable insights for the development of targeted conservation strategies for both subspecies of M. sieboldii to counteract the effects of climate change.},
}
@article {pmid39516678,
year = {2024},
author = {Oo, NM and Weadick, CS and Murphy, L and O'Reilly, S},
title = {Climate change advocacy and cancer clinical trial organisations.},
journal = {BJC reports},
volume = {2},
number = {1},
pages = {49},
pmid = {39516678},
issn = {2731-9377},
abstract = {BACKGROUND: Climate change is a threat to human health; equally health care is a threat to climate change as it accounts for 4% of greenhouse gas emissions and 30% of the world's electronically stored data. 350,000 international trials are registered on ClinicalTrials.gov with ~27·5 million tonnes of emissions (equivalent to half of annual Danish emissions).<br><br>METHODS: In September 2023 climate awareness among cancer clinical trial organisations was assessed via a web-based scoping exercise.<br><br>RESULTS: Seventy-five organisations were identified of whom 46 had search tools on their websites. Eight out of 46 clinical trial groups had at least one parameter of commitment to climate change, and 38 organisations had none. Of 46 websites, 5 had climate change position statements or policies, 4 had a committee or task force, 1 provided patient education resources for climate change via video link, 7 included green initiative advice and 8 had publications addressing climate change. Only 5 were listed as members of Climate Change Consortiums.<br><br>CONCLUSIONS: Based on website assessment climate advocacy among cancer clinical trial organisations is low, and efforts to encourage climate engagement are needed.},
}
@article {pmid39516640,
year = {2024},
author = {Schiller, JH},
title = {Climate change: why oncologists need to get involved.},
journal = {BJC reports},
volume = {2},
number = {1},
pages = {20},
pmid = {39516640},
issn = {2731-9377},
abstract = {A warming planet will have devasting effects on human health - including the care, diagnosis, prevention, and treatment of cancer patients. As oncology health care professionals, we have a moral and professional obligation to educate our peers, health systems, the public, and other stakeholders as to the dangers they can expect, and how they can be prevented or mitigated. There are numerous ways that we, as trusted messengers, can take action, either personally, locally, nationally, or by supporting non-profit organizations advocating for climate change and cancer. Impact of climate change on human health. Source: National Center for Environmental Health, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, https://www.cdc.gov/climateandhealth/effects/default.htm .},
}
@article {pmid39515386,
year = {2024},
author = {Gustafson, EJ and Lucash, MS and Shvidenko, AZ and Sturtevant, BR and Miranda, BR and Schepaschenko, D and Matsumoto, H},
title = {Climate change and disturbance interact to alter landscape reflectivity (albedo) in boreal forests across a large latitudinal gradient in Siberia.},
journal = {The Science of the total environment},
volume = {956},
number = {},
pages = {177043},
doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.177043},
pmid = {39515386},
issn = {1879-1026},
abstract = {Boreal forests form the largest terrestrial biome globally. Climate change is expected to induce large changes in vegetation of high latitude ecosystems, but there is considerable uncertainty about where, when, and how those changes will occur. Such vegetation change produces major feedback to the climate system, including by modifying albedo (reflectivity). Our study used the LANDIS-II forest landscape model to project forest dynamics on four representative landscapes (1 M ha) for 280 years into the future under a range of climate scenarios across a broad latitudinal gradient in Siberia. The model estimated the albedo of the vegetation and any snow on each landscape grid-cell through time to quantify surface albedo change in response to climate change and disturbances. We found that the shortening of the snow-covered season (winter) decreased annual average albedo dramatically, and climate change facilitated the invasion of tundra by boreal trees in the northernmost landscape (reducing albedo in all seasons). However, in other landscapes, albedo increased in summer due to disturbances (fire, wind, insects, harvest), eliminating or reducing leaf area in the short-term, and in the mid-term by promoting more reflective forest types (deciduous, light conifers). This increased albedo was somewhat ephemeral and under climate change was overwhelmed by the shortening of the snow-covered season that greatly reduced albedo. We conclude that the primary driver of the overall reflectivity of boreal ecosystems is not vegetation, but rather, the length of the snow-covered season. Because climate change is likely to dramatically shorten the snow season, the concurrent reduction of albedo has the potential to act as a powerful positive feedback for climate change. Managing natural and anthropogenic disturbances may be the only tool with potential to mitigate the reduction of albedo by climate change in boreal ecosystems because management to encourage more reflective forest types has relatively small effect.},
}
@article {pmid39514920,
year = {2024},
author = {Nankade, VA and Fand, BB and Lavhe, NV and Thube, SH and Gawande, SP and Nagrale, DT and Borkar, SL and Pillai, TS and Nikoshe, A and Prasad, YG},
title = {A GIS-coupled thermal response model for predicting the population growth potential of the red cotton bug, Dysdercus koenigii (Fabricius) (Hemiptera: Pyrrhocoridae) in India under climate change conditions.},
journal = {Journal of thermal biology},
volume = {125},
number = {},
pages = {104010},
doi = {10.1016/j.jtherbio.2024.104010},
pmid = {39514920},
issn = {0306-4565},
abstract = {Recently, the red cotton bug has become a significant menace to cotton in India. With the potential for increased habitat suitability due to predicted temperature rise of 2.5 °C under future climate change in India, this pest could become even more severe in certain regions. Addressing the knowledge gap on the temperature-driven population growth of this pest is crucial for developing a climate-resilient pest management strategy. In this study, life history data gathered at various constant temperatures (15 °C-35 °C) were used to estimate temperature thresholds and thermal requirements for the red cotton bug development. Stochastic estimation of life table parameters and validation with real-time weather data were performed. The phenology model, integrated into a geographic information system, projected the future pest status based on SSP126 temperature change scenarios for the year 2050. The temperatures between 8.35 and 10.83 °C were estimated as lower developmental thresholds for various immature life stages. The optimum and upper threshold temperatures estimated for different life stages ranged between 22.14 - 28.32 °C and 35.80-39.08 °C, respectively. Thermal requirements of 447.97° days for life cycle completion were estimated. The optimum immature survival rates (>70%) were observed at temperatures between 25 and 30 °C. The temperature-dependent decrease in generation times from 90.45 days (15 °C) to 25.44 days (35 °C) was observed, whereas maximum fecundity was recorded at 32 °C. Simulation at fluctuating temperatures across different cotton growing locations provided reasonably similar results on potential population increase (finite rate of increase: 0.99-1.04 females/female/day and a generation time of 44.25-83.97 days). Risk mapping highlighted moderate to high suitability (ERI >0.4, GI > 6, and AI >4) of various cotton growing areas under current climate, and projected shifts in suitability under future climate change. The study has generated information valuable for implementing effective and timely pest management strategies for red cotton bug. Integrating the field observations with model outputs can enhance a practical understanding of red cotton bug dynamics.},
}
@article {pmid39514745,
year = {2024},
author = {Dhai, A},
title = {Climate change, extreme heat and heat waves.},
journal = {South African medical journal = Suid-Afrikaanse tydskrif vir geneeskunde},
volume = {114},
number = {11},
pages = {e2804},
pmid = {39514745},
issn = {2078-5135},
}
@article {pmid39510115,
year = {2024},
author = {Cai, W and Zhang, C and Zhang, S and Bai, Y and Callaghan, M and Chang, N and Chen, B and Chen, H and Cheng, L and Dai, H and Fan, W and Guan, D and Hu, Y and Hu, Y and Hua, J and Huang, C and Huang, H and Huang, J and Huang, X and Ji, JS and Jiang, Q and Jiang, X and Kiesewetter, G and Li, T and Li, B and Liang, L and Lin, B and Lin, H and Liu, H and Liu, Q and Liu, Z and Liu, Z and Liu, Y and Lou, S and Lu, B and Lu, C and Luo, Z and Mi, Z and Miao, Y and Ren, C and Romanello, M and Shen, J and Su, J and Su, R and Sun, Y and Sun, X and Walawender, M and Wang, C and Wang, Q and Wang, Q and Warnecke, L and Wei, W and Wei, X and Wen, S and Xie, Y and Xiong, H and Xu, B and Yang, X and Yang, Y and Yao, F and Yu, L and Yu, W and Yuan, J and Zeng, Y and Zhang, J and Zhang, R and Zhang, S and Zhang, S and Zhao, M and Zhao, Q and Zhao, Q and Zheng, D and Zhou, H and Zhou, J and Zhou, Z and Luo, Y and Gong, P},
title = {The 2024 China report of the Lancet Countdown on health and climate change: launching a new low-carbon, healthy journey.},
journal = {The Lancet. Public health},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1016/S2468-2667(24)00241-X},
pmid = {39510115},
issn = {2468-2667},
}
@article {pmid39505945,
year = {2024},
author = {Wan, GZ and Li, QQ and Jin, L and Chen, J},
title = {Integrated approach to predicting habitat suitability and evaluating quality variations of Notopterygium franchetii under climate change.},
journal = {Scientific reports},
volume = {14},
number = {1},
pages = {26927},
pmid = {39505945},
issn = {2045-2322},
support = {2018FY100701//Ministry of Science and Technology of the People's Republic of China/ ; 2021GSMPAKL12//National Medical Products Administration/ ; 2021GSMPA008//Gansu Medical Products Administration/ ; 2022030014//National Administration of Traditional Chinese Medicine/ ; },
mesh = {*Climate Change ; *Ecosystem ; *Apiaceae/growth &amp; development ; Plants, Medicinal/chemistry/growth &amp; development ; Chromatography, High Pressure Liquid ; },
abstract = {The impact of climate change on medicinal plants has significantly altered their suitable environments, thereby affecting the quality of herbal medicines. Notopterygium franchetii (N. franchetii), a medicinal plant intricately linked to its natural habitat, exhibits substantial quality variations influenced by the ecological conditions of its native region. In this study, comprehensive field surveys were conducted to gather occurrence records and samples of N. franchetii. The Maxent model and ArcGIS software were employed to predict the suitable habitats of N. franchetii during different time periods. A high-performance liquid chromatography (HPLC) method was developed to establish the chemical fingerprints of 21 sample batches. Fourteen common peaks were subjected to cluster analysis, principal component analysis, and orthogonal partial least squares-discriminant analysis. The findings revealed quality variations correlated with their geographic origins, identifying peaks 10, 1, 14, 3, and 4 as crucial for quality differentiation. The study indicates that precipitation, temperature, and altitude significantly influence the distribution of N. franchetii. Under current climate conditions, the suitable habitat area for N. franchetii is estimated to be approximately 94,637.33 km[2]. However, projections under three future climate scenarios suggest a declining trend in suitable habitat areas. A quality zoning map of N. franchetii was developed, integrating a correlation model between chemical composition and environmental variables with the spatial analysis and visualization capabilities of ArcGIS. The high-quality regions for N. franchetii are predominantly located in the Gannan, Linxia, Dingxi, Longnan, and Wuwei districts. These research outcomes offer a valuable reference for identifying suitable cultivation areas and assessing the quality of N. franchetii in Gansu Province.},
}
@article {pmid39505398,
year = {2024},
author = {Thiagarajan, K},
title = {How climate change made 2024 the deadliest year of dengue.},
journal = {BMJ (Clinical research ed.)},
volume = {387},
number = {},
pages = {q2391},
doi = {10.1136/bmj.q2391},
pmid = {39505398},
issn = {1756-1833},
}
@article {pmid39504385,
year = {2024},
author = {Petrino, R and Garcia-Castrillo, L and Uccheddu, G and Meucci, L and Codecà, R},
title = {Awareness and preparedness of health systems and emergency medicine systems to the climate change challenges and threats: an international survey.},
journal = {European journal of emergency medicine : official journal of the European Society for Emergency Medicine},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1097/MEJ.0000000000001196},
pmid = {39504385},
issn = {1473-5695},
abstract = {BACKGROUND AND IMPORTANCE: Climate change is widely recognised as a critical public health challenge.<br><br>OBJECTIVE: The objective of this study was to assess the awareness, preparedness and mitigation plans for climate change threats.<br><br>A cross-sectional observational study targeting emergency medical societies in different countries was conducted between 15 February and 15 March 2024.<br><br>INTERVENTION OR EXPOSURE: The survey featured 16 closed questions on climate change awareness, preparedness and risks. Focus groups of 4-6 members were organised by country. Results were correlated to income levels, United Nations (UN) regional classification and the World Risk Index.<br><br>OUTCOME MEASURE AND ANALYSIS: The questions were ranked using a Likert-like scale from 0 to 9 (9 being the highest). Descriptive statistics used central tendency estimators, and inferential analysis used chi-square and Kruskal-Wallis tests, with the significance level set at P&#x2005;<&#x2005;0.05.<br><br>RESULTS: Forty-two focus groups responded, representing 36 countries: 21 (50%) high-income, seven (16.7%) low-income, five (11.9%) lower middle-income and nine (21.4%) upper middle-income countries, representing 31 of the 22 UN regions. According to the World Risk Index, the respondent countries belonged to the different categories as follows: very low risk, 6 (14%); low risk, 8 (19%); medium risk, 5 (12%); high risk, 8 (19%) and very high risk, 14 (34%). The estimated impact of climate change on national health systems had a mean score of 6.75 (SD&#x2005;=&#x2005;2.16), while on Emergency Medical Systems was 6.96 (SD&#x2005;=&#x2005;2.05). Overall, assessment and preparedness measures were reported by just 21.4 and 37.6% of respondents, respectively. Analysis by income did not show significant differences, with the exception of food supply. The main differences in the analysis by region were the risks of extreme weather events, vector-borne diseases and wildfires, whereas the World Risk Index was food and chain of supplies. Education and integration of health services were indicated by all as the main mitigation actions.<br><br>CONCLUSION: Geographical position and country risk index influence risk perception among focus groups more than income economy, with vector-borne diseases, extreme weather events and food shortages being the threats with the most variability. The most important actions identified to mitigate Climate Change effects are educational and strategic plans.},
}
@article {pmid39503895,
year = {2024},
author = {Beans, C},
title = {Can microbiome adaptations protect crops from pests and climate change?.},
journal = {Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America},
volume = {121},
number = {46},
pages = {e2421369121},
doi = {10.1073/pnas.2421369121},
pmid = {39503895},
issn = {1091-6490},
}
@article {pmid39503716,
year = {2024},
author = {Eidmann, A and Geiger, F and Heinz, T and Jakuscheit, A and Docheva, D and Horas, K and Stratos, I and Rudert, M},
title = {Our Impact on Global Warming: A Carbon Footprint Analysis of Orthopaedic Operations.},
journal = {The Journal of bone and joint surgery. American volume},
volume = {106},
number = {21},
pages = {1971-1977},
doi = {10.2106/JBJS.24.00212},
pmid = {39503716},
issn = {1535-1386},
mesh = {*Carbon Footprint/statistics &amp; numerical data ; Humans ; *Global Warming ; *Orthopedic Procedures/statistics &amp; numerical data ; Carbon Dioxide/analysis ; },
abstract = {BACKGROUND: The health-care sector and particularly the surgical sector are major contributors to the exacerbation of the global climate crisis. Little is known about the carbon emissions caused by surgical procedures. Therefore, the aim of this study was to estimate the carbon footprint associated with common orthopaedic surgical procedures.<br><br>METHODS: Eight surgical procedures (total hip arthroplasty, total knee arthroplasty, knee arthroscopy, anterior cruciate ligament reconstruction, shoulder arthroscopy, elective foot surgery, revision hip arthroplasty, and revision knee arthroplasty) were selected for analysis. The inventory process was performed according to the Greenhouse Gas Protocol for all activity occurring in the operating room.<br><br>RESULTS: The carbon footprint (in CO2 equivalents, CO2e) ranged between 53.5 kg for knee arthroscopy and 125.9 kg for revision knee arthroplasty. Energy consumption accounted for 57.5% of all emissions, followed by other indirect emissions (38.8%) and direct emissions (3.7%). The largest single contributors were the supply chain (34.6%) and energy consumption for ventilation, heating, and air conditioning (32.7%).<br><br>CONCLUSIONS: Orthopaedic surgical procedures produce considerable amounts of CO2. Reduction in and greening of energy consumption, as well as the decarbonization of the supply chain, would have the greatest impact in reducing the carbon footprint of orthopaedic surgical procedures.<br><br>CLINICAL RELEVANCE: Orthopaedic surgical procedures contribute to the climate crisis by emitting relevant amounts of CO2. It should therefore be imperative for all orthopaedic surgeons to endeavor to find solutions to mitigate the environmental impact of their practice.},
}
@article {pmid39502915,
year = {2024},
author = {Zhang, W and Wang, X and Shen, S and Zhao, Y and Hao, S and Jiang, J and Zhang, D},
title = {Analyzing the distribution patterns and dynamic niche of Magnolia grandiflora L. in the United States and China in response to climate change.},
journal = {Frontiers in plant science},
volume = {15},
number = {},
pages = {1440610},
pmid = {39502915},
issn = {1664-462X},
abstract = {INTRODUCTION: Magnolia grandiflora L. (southern magnolia) is native to the southeastern coastal areas of the United States, from North Carolina to eastern Texas (USDA Cold Hardiness Zone 8). It is currently widely cultivated in Zones 5-10 in the U.S. and in southern Yangtze River regions in China. Limited studies have examined the effects of climate change and human activities on the geographical distribution and adaptability of M. grandiflora during its introduction to China.<br><br>METHODS: We selected 127 occurrence points in the U.S. and 87 occurrence points in China, along with 43 environmental variables, to predict suitable habitat areas for M. grandiflora using present climate data (1970-2000) and projected future climate data (2050-2070) based on a complete niche ensemble model (EM) using the Biomod2 package. We also predicted the niche change of M. grandiflora in both countries using the 'ecospat' package in R.<br><br>RESULTS: The ensemble models demonstrated high reliability, with an AUC of 0.993 and TSS of 0.932. Solar radiation in July, human impact index, and precipitation of the wettest month were identified as the most critical variables influencing M. grandiflora distribution. The species shows a similar trend of distribution expansion under climate change scenarios in both countries, with predicted expansions towards the northwest and northeast, and contractions in southern regions.<br><br>DISCUSSION: Our study emphasizes a practical framework for predicting suitable habitats and migration of Magnoliaceae species under climate change scenarios. These findings provide valuable insights. for species conservation, introduction, management strategies, and sustainable utilization of M. grandiflora.},
}
@article {pmid39502661,
year = {2024},
author = {Harris, MJ and Trok, JT and Martel, KS and Borbor Cordova, MJ and Diffenbaugh, NS and Munayco, CV and Lescano, AG and Mordecai, EA},
title = {Extreme precipitation, exacerbated by anthropogenic climate change, drove Peru's record-breaking 2023 dengue outbreak.},
journal = {medRxiv : the preprint server for health sciences},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
pmid = {39502661},
support = {D43 TW007393/TW/FIC NIH HHS/United States ; R01 AI102918/AI/NIAID NIH HHS/United States ; R01 AI168097/AI/NIAID NIH HHS/United States ; R35 GM133439/GM/NIGMS NIH HHS/United States ; },
abstract = {Anthropogenic forcing is increasing the likelihood and severity of certain extreme weather events, which may catalyze outbreaks of climate-sensitive infectious diseases. Extreme precipitation events can promote the spread of mosquito-borne illnesses by creating vector habitat, destroying infrastructure, and impeding vector control. Here, we focus on Cyclone Yaku, which caused heavy rainfall in northwestern Peru from March 7th - 20th, 2023 and was followed by the worst dengue outbreak in Peru's history. We apply generalized synthetic control methods to account for baseline climate variation and unobserved confounders when estimating the causal effect of Cyclone Yaku on dengue cases across the 56 districts with the greatest precipitation anomalies. We estimate that 67 (95% CI: 30 - 87) % of cases in cyclone-affected districts were attributable to Cyclone Yaku. The cyclone significantly increased cases for over six months, causing 38,209 (95% CI: 17,454 - 49,928) out of 57,246 cases. The largest increases in dengue incidence due to Cyclone Yaku occurred in districts with a large share of low-quality roofs and walls in residences, greater flood risk, and warmer temperatures above 24°C. Analyzing an ensemble of climate model simulations, we found that extremely intense March precipitation in northwestern Peru is 42% more likely in the current era compared to a preindustrial baseline due to climate forcing. In sum, extreme precipitation like that associated with Cyclone Yaku has become more likely with climate change, and Cyclone Yaku caused the majority of dengue cases across the cyclone-affected districts.},
}
@article {pmid39501834,
year = {2024},
author = {Zhou, Q and Chen, J and Ma, J and Jiao, W and Liang, Z and Du, R and Pan, Y and Liu, L and Qian, Q and Sun, S and Ji, Y and Zhang, Z},
title = {Relationship between global warming and autism spectrum disorder from 1990 to 2019.},
journal = {BJPsych open},
volume = {10},
number = {6},
pages = {e198},
doi = {10.1192/bjo.2024.790},
pmid = {39501834},
issn = {2056-4724},
abstract = {BACKGROUND: Despite mounting evidence linking neurological diseases with climate change, the link between autism spectrum disorder (ASD) and global warming has yet to be explored.<br><br>AIMS: To examine the relationship between the incidence of ASD and global warming from 1990 to 2019 and estimate the trajectory of ASD incidence from 2020 to 2100 globally.<br><br>METHOD: We extracted meteorological data from TerraClimate between 1990 and 2019. To estimate the association between global ASD incidence and temperature variation, we adopted a two-stage analysis strategy using a generalised additive regression model. Additionally, we projected future ASD incidence under four representative shared socioeconomic pathways (SSPs: 126, 245, 370 and 585) by bootstrapping.<br><br>RESULTS: Between 1990 and 2019, the global mean incidence of ASD in children under 5 years old was 96.9 per 100 000. The incidence was higher in males (147.5) than in females (46.3). A 1.0 &#xb0;C increase in the temperature variation was associated with a 3.0% increased risk of ASD incidence. The association was stronger in boys and children living in a low/low-middle sociodemographic index region, as well as in low-latitude areas. According to the SSP585 scenario, by 2100, the children living in regions between 10 and 20&#xb0; latitude, particularly in Africa, will experience a 68.6% increase in ASD incidence if the association remains. However, the SSP126 scenario is expected to mitigate this increase, with a less than 10% increase in incidence across all latitudes.<br><br>CONCLUSIONS: Our study highlights the association between climate change and ASD incidence worldwide. Prospective studies are warranted to confirm the association.},
}
@article {pmid39501807,
year = {2024},
author = {Garrido Zornoza, M and Caminade, C and Tompkins, AM},
title = {The effect of climate change and temperature extremes on Aedes albopictus populations: a regional case study for Italy.},
journal = {Journal of the Royal Society, Interface},
volume = {21},
number = {220},
pages = {20240319},
pmid = {39501807},
issn = {1742-5662},
support = {//Novo Nordisk Foundation Interdisciplinary Synergy Program/ ; //ICTP-IAEA/ ; },
mesh = {*Aedes/physiology ; Animals ; Italy ; *Climate Change ; *Mosquito Vectors/physiology ; Models, Biological ; Seasons ; Temperature ; },
abstract = {The Asian tiger mosquito, Aedes albopictus, has spread widely throughout Italy since its introduction, with significant public health implications. We examine how decadal temperature trends and sub-monthly heatwave events affect its climate-driven geographical distribution and temporal dynamics using a new regional-scale dynamical Aedes model. The model is calibrated using [Formula: see text] years of ovitrap data for Emilia-Romagna and reproduces the vector seasonality and, to a lesser extent, its inter-annual variability. Simulated vector density hotspots overlap with densely populated areas in Rome, Milan, Naples, Foggia, Catania, Palermo, Lecce, Cagliari, Genoa, Turin and large urban centres in Emilia-Romagna. Lower risk is simulated over the Central Apennine mountains and the Alps. At decadal time scale, we simulate a lengthening of the active mosquito season by 0.5-3 weeks per decade, with the vector becoming homodynamic in southern Italy. Depending on the climatic setting, heatwaves can increase or reduce vector populations and, in some locations, can temporarily decrease mosquito populations. Such decreases can be followed by a population rebound and overshoot. Given the model's skill in reproducing key spatio-temporal Ae. albopictus features, there is potential to develop an early warning system to inform control efforts at a national scale.},
}
@article {pmid39500894,
year = {2024},
author = {Wen, Y and Guo, J and Wang, F and Hao, Z and Fei, Y and Yang, A and Fan, Y and Chan, FKS},
title = {Author Correction: A high-resolution dataset for future compound hot-dry events under climate change.},
journal = {Scientific data},
volume = {11},
number = {1},
pages = {1197},
doi = {10.1038/s41597-024-04054-w},
pmid = {39500894},
issn = {2052-4463},
}
@article {pmid39500447,
year = {2024},
author = {Fagunwa, OE and Ashiru-Oredope, D and Gilmore, BF and Doherty, S and Oyama, LB and Huws, SA},
title = {Climate change as a challenge for pharmaceutical storage and tackling antimicrobial resistance.},
journal = {The Science of the total environment},
volume = {956},
number = {},
pages = {177367},
doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.177367},
pmid = {39500447},
issn = {1879-1026},
abstract = {The rise of antimicrobial resistance (AMR) remains a pressing global health challenge. Infections that were once easily treatable with first-line antimicrobials are becoming increasingly difficult to manage. This shift directly threatens the wellness of humans, animals, plants, and the environment. While the AMR crisis can be attributed to a myriad of factors, including lack of infection prevention and control measures, over-prescription of antimicrobials, patient non-compliance, and the misuse of antimicrobials, one aspect that has garnered less attention is the role of storage conditions of these medicines. The way medications, particularly antimicrobials, are transported and stored until the point of use can influence their efficacy and, subsequently, may impact the development of resistant microbial strains. This review delves deeper into the often-overlooked domain of climate change (CC) and antimicrobial storage practices and the potential effects. Inappropriate storage conditions, such as exposure to extreme temperatures, humidity or light, can degrade the potency of antimicrobials. When these compromised medicines are administered to patients or animals alike, they may not effectively eradicate the targeted pathogens, leading to partial survival of the pathogens. These surviving pathogens, having been exposed to sub-lethal doses, are more likely to evolve and develop resistance mechanisms. The review discusses the mechanism underlying this and underscores the implications of antimicrobial storage practices in relation to two of the most pressing global health challenges: AMR and CC. The review also presents specific case studies and highlights the importance of monitoring storage practices and supply chain surveillance. Furthermore, the importance of deploying genomic tools to understand the potential impact of storage conditions on the development of AMR is discussed, and antimicrobial storage highlighted as a crucial part of comprehensive strategies in the fight against AMR.},
}
@article {pmid39499291,
year = {2024},
author = {de Oliveira Aparecido, LE and Torsoni, GB and Lorençone, PA and Lorençone, JA and de Souza Rolim, G},
title = {Barley vulnerability to climate change: perspectives for cultivation in South America.},
journal = {International journal of biometeorology},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
pmid = {39499291},
issn = {1432-1254},
abstract = {Barley (Hordeum vulgare) is a globally significant cereal crop, widely used in both food production and brewing. However, it is particularly vulnerable to climate change, especially extreme temperature fluctuations, which can severely reduce yields. To address this challenge, a detailed climate zoning study was conducted to assess the suitability of barley production areas across South America, considering both current conditions and future climate scenarios from the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC). The study utilized historical climate data along with projections from the CMIP6 IPSL-CM6A-LR model for the period 2021-2100. Several indices, such as evapotranspiration, were calculated, and factors like soil composition and topography were integrated into the classification of regions based on their agricultural potential. Critical variables in this assessment included temperature, precipitation, and water or thermal excess. The results showed that 6.59% of South America's territory is currently suitable for barley cultivation without additional irrigation, with these regions concentrated primarily in temperate southern areas. In contrast, 18.62% of the region is already unsuitable due to excessive heat. Projections under future climate scenarios indicate a shrinking of suitable areas, alongside an expansion of unsuitable regions. In the worst-case scenario, only 1.48% of the territory would remain viable for barley farming. These findings emphasize the crop's vulnerability to climate change, underscoring the urgency of developing agricultural adaptation strategies. The predicted contraction in suitable barley cultivation areas demonstrates the profound impact of climate change on agriculture and highlights the need for proactive measures to ensure sustainable barley production in South America.},
}
@article {pmid39498875,
year = {2024},
author = {Adde, A and Külling, N and Rey, PL and Fopp, F and Brun, P and Broennimann, O and Lehmann, A and Petitpierre, B and Zimmermann, NE and Pellissier, L and Altermatt, F and Guisan, A},
title = {Projecting Untruncated Climate Change Effects on Species' Climate Suitability: Insights From an Alpine Country.},
journal = {Global change biology},
volume = {30},
number = {11},
pages = {e17557},
doi = {10.1111/gcb.17557},
pmid = {39498875},
issn = {1365-2486},
support = {//Board of the Swiss Federal Institutes of Technology/ ; //Swiss Federal Office for the Environment/ ; },
mesh = {*Climate Change ; *Biodiversity ; Switzerland ; Animals ; Conservation of Natural Resources ; },
abstract = {Climate projections for continental Europe indicate drier summers, increased annual precipitation, and less snowy winters, which are expected to cause shifts in species' distributions. Yet, most regions/countries currently lack comprehensive climate-driven biodiversity projections across taxonomic groups, challenging effective conservation efforts. To address this gap, our study evaluated the potential effects of climate change on the biodiversity of an alpine country of Europe, Switzerland. We used a state-of-the art species distribution modeling approach and species occurrence data that covered the climatic conditions encountered across the full species' ranges to help limiting niche truncation. We quantified the relationship between baseline climate and the spatial distribution of 7291 species from 12 main taxonomic groups and projected future climate suitability for three 30-year periods and two greenhouse gas concentration scenarios (RCP4.5 and 8.5). Our results indicated important effects of projected climate changes on species' climate suitability, with responses varying by the taxonomic and conservation status group. The percentage of species facing major changes in climate suitability was higher under RCP8.5 (68%) compared to RCP4.5 (66%). By the end of the century, decreases in climate suitability were projected for 3000 species under RCP8.5 and 1758 species under RCP4.5. The most affected groups under RCP8.5 were molluscs, algae, and amphibians, while it was molluscs, birds, and vascular plants under RCP4.5. Spatially, by 2070-2099, we projected an overall decrease in climate suitability for 39% of the cells in the study area under RCP8.5 and 10% under RCP4.5, while projecting an increase for 50% of the cells under RCP8.5 and 73% under RCP4.5. The most consistent geographical shifts were upward, southward, and eastward. We found that the coverage of high climate suitability cells by protected areas was expected to increase. Our models and maps provide guidance for spatial conservation planning by pointing out future climate-suitable areas for biodiversity.},
}
@article {pmid39498600,
year = {2024},
author = {Castellani, P and Ferronato, N and Barbieri, J and Menya, E and Carnevale Miino, M and Torretta, V},
title = {Solid waste management in Ugandan developing cities: Material flow analysis and sustainable practices for reducing the global warming potential.},
journal = {Waste management &amp; research : the journal of the International Solid Wastes and Public Cleansing Association, ISWA},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {734242X241291940},
doi = {10.1177/0734242X241291940},
pmid = {39498600},
issn = {1096-3669},
abstract = {The introduction of appropriate solid waste management (SWM) strategies can foster the mitigation of waste open dumping and burning in low-income developing cities. In this work, the SWM system in Gulu (Uganda) has been studied, and a material flow analysis, also of informal flows of waste, has been carried out. Moreover, the effectiveness of the SWM system of St. Mary's Lacor Hospital in Gulu was evaluated. Waste has been characterized and a material flow analysis allowed to highlight the difference with the current situation in the remaining part of Gulu. The sustainable practices already implemented in the hospital compound were studied to be replicated in Gulu to mitigate SWM impact in terms of global warming potential. Inadequate financial resources pose a hurdle for Gulu municipality in managing municipal solid waste (MSW) effectively. The SWM system of the hospital demonstrated both financial and managerial competence, paving the way to promote waste recycling actions acting as a hub for fostering sustainable and health-conscious valourization technologies, while discouraging waste open burning and dumping. This study estimated that the total CO2-eq emissions from open dumping and open burning avoided in 2030-2050, if Gulu would appropriately dispose of MSW by 2030, are equal to about 17,000 metric tonnes per year (t year[-1]). This work suggests appropriate strategies to mitigate waste open burning in low-middle income countries. The results can be helpful for waste management planners and practitioners providing important information for the use of appropriate technologies in low-middle income developing cities.},
}
@article {pmid39498402,
year = {2024},
author = {Ji, JS},
title = {China's health national adaptation plan for climate change: action framework 2024-2030.},
journal = {The Lancet regional health. Western Pacific},
volume = {52},
number = {},
pages = {101227},
pmid = {39498402},
issn = {2666-6065},
}
@article {pmid39498200,
year = {2024},
author = {Zhu, DP and Yang, L and Li, YH and Huang, P and Yao, B and Kong, Z and Xiang, Y},
title = {Predicting the Potential Distribution of the Endangered Pyrethrum tatsienense in China Using an Optimized Maxent Model Under Climate Change Scenarios.},
journal = {Ecology and evolution},
volume = {14},
number = {11},
pages = {e70503},
pmid = {39498200},
issn = {2045-7758},
abstract = {Climate change can significantly impact the ecological suitability and diversity of species. Pyrethrum tatsienense, a critically endangered species in China, requires a thorough understanding of its habitat distribution and the environmental factors that affect it in the context of climate change. The Maxent algorithm was used to examine the key factors influencing the distribution of P. tatsienense in China, using data from 127 species occurrences and environmental variables from the Last Interglacial (LIG), Last Glacial Maximum (LGM), Mid-Holocene (MH), current, and future scenarios. The Maxent model was optimized utilizing the R package ENMeval, providing the most accurate predictions for suitable habitats across various scenarios. Results show that suitable regions for P. tatsienense encompass approximately 15.02% (14.42 × 10[5] km[2]) of China, predominantly on the Qinghai-Tibetan Plateau. The mean UV-B of the highest month (UVB3: 39.7%), elevation (elev: 28.7%), and the warmest season of precipitation (Bio18: 17.4%) are the major limiting factors for suitable habitat. The optimal species distribution ranges are identified as > 7500 J m[-2] day[-1] for UVB3, 2700-5600 m for elev, and 150-480 mm for Bio18. Predictions for the historical climate indicate the presence of refugia at the junction of Sichuan, Tibet, and Qinghai. The MH predictions show an increase in climatic suitability for P. tatsienense compared to the LIG and LGM, with an expansion of suitable areas westward. Future climate change scenarios indicate that the potential suitable habitat for P. tatsienense is expected to increase with increasing radiative forcing, with higher latitude regions becoming new marginally suitable habitats. However, predicted environmental changes in western Tibet may drive the loss of highly suitable habitats in the future. These findings enhance our understanding of how environmental factors impact the habitat suitability of P. tatsienense and provide valuable insights for developing effective management and conservation strategies for this important species.},
}
@article {pmid39498197,
year = {2024},
author = {Liu, Y and Chen, L},
title = {Predicting the Impact of Climate Change on Corylus Species Distribution in China: Integrating Climatic, Topographic, and Anthropogenic Factors.},
journal = {Ecology and evolution},
volume = {14},
number = {11},
pages = {e70528},
pmid = {39498197},
issn = {2045-7758},
abstract = {This study investigates the impact of climate change on the distribution of Corylus species in China using the MaxEnt model. Key environmental variables, such as Bio6 (mean temperature of the coldest month) and human footprint, emerged as significant determinants of habitat suitability. The study reveals substantial shifts in suitable habitats due to global warming and increased precipitation, with notable expansion towards higher latitudes. Species like Corylus heterophylla Fisch. ex Bess. and Corylus mandshurica Maxim. demonstrate resilience in extreme conditions, highlighting the importance of specific ecological traits for conservation. Future projections under various SSP scenarios predict continued habitat expansion, emphasizing the need for targeted conservation strategies to address the critical role of human activities. This research highlights the complex interplay between climatic, topographic, and anthropogenic factors in shaping Corylus habitats, advocating for integrated adaptive management approaches to ensure their sustainability amid ongoing climate change.},
}
@article {pmid39497286,
year = {2024},
author = {Corbin, JPM and Best, RJ and Garthwaite, IJ and Cooper, HF and Doughty, CE and Gehring, CA and Hultine, KR and Allan, GJ and Whitham, TG},
title = {Hyperspectral Leaf Reflectance Detects Interactive Genetic and Environmental Effects on Tree Phenotypes, Enabling Large-Scale Monitoring and Restoration Planning Under Climate Change.},
journal = {Plant, cell &amp; environment},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1111/pce.15263},
pmid = {39497286},
issn = {1365-3040},
support = {DEB-1914433//National Science Foundation/ ; DEB-1340852//National Science Foundation/ ; DEB-1340856//National Science Foundation/ ; DEB-2017877//National Science Foundation/ ; DEB-2017895//National Science Foundation/ ; DBI-1126840//National Science Foundation/ ; },
abstract = {Plants respond to rapid environmental change in ways that depend on both their genetic identity and their phenotypic plasticity, impacting their survival as well as associated ecosystems. However, genetic and environmental effects on phenotype are difficult to quantify across large spatial scales and through time. Leaf hyperspectral reflectance offers a potentially robust approach to map these effects from local to landscape levels. Using a handheld field spectrometer, we analyzed leaf-level hyperspectral reflectance of the foundation tree species Populus fremontii in wild populations and in three 6-year-old experimental common gardens spanning a steep climatic gradient. First, we show that genetic variation among populations and among clonal genotypes is detectable with leaf spectra, using both multivariate and univariate approaches. Spectra predicted population identity with 100% accuracy among trees in the wild, 87%-98% accuracy within a common garden, and 86% accuracy across different environments. Multiple spectral indices of plant health had significant heritability, with genotype accounting for 10%-23% of spectral variation within populations and 14%-48% of the variation across all populations. Second, we found gene by environment interactions leading to population-specific shifts in the spectral phenotype across common garden environments. Spectral indices indicate that genetically divergent populations made unique adjustments to their chlorophyll and water content in response to the same environmental stresses, so that detecting genetic identity is critical to predicting tree response to change. Third, spectral indicators of greenness and photosynthetic efficiency decreased when populations were transferred to growing environments with higher mean annual maximum temperatures relative to home conditions. This result suggests altered physiological strategies further from the conditions to which plants are locally adapted. Transfers to cooler environments had fewer negative effects, demonstrating that plant spectra show directionality in plant performance adjustments. Thus, leaf reflectance data can detect both local adaptation and plastic shifts in plant physiology, informing strategic restoration and conservation decisions by enabling high resolution tracking of genetic and phenotypic changes in response to climate change.},
}
@article {pmid39493443,
year = {2024},
author = {Thompson, EJ and Alexander, SE and Moneghetti, K and Howden, EJ},
title = {The interplay of climate change and physical activity: Implications for cardiovascular health.},
journal = {American heart journal plus : cardiology research and practice},
volume = {47},
number = {},
pages = {100474},
pmid = {39493443},
issn = {2666-6022},
abstract = {Cardiovascular disease (CVD) is one of the top contributors to global disease burden. Meeting the physical activity guidelines can effectively control and prevent several CVD risk factors, including obesity, hypertension and diabetes mellitus. The effects of climate change are multifactorial and have direct impacts on cardiovascular health. Increasing ambient temperatures, worsening air and water quality and urbanisation and loss of greenspace will also have indirect effects of cardiovascular health by impacting the ability and opportunity to participate in physical activity. A changing climate also has implications for large scale sporting events and policies regarding risk mitigation during exercise in hot climates. This review will discuss the impact of a changing climate on cardiovascular health and physical activity and the implications for the future of organised sport.},
}
@article {pmid39493426,
year = {2024},
author = {Betro', S},
title = {From eco-anxiety to eco-hope: surviving the climate change threat.},
journal = {Frontiers in psychiatry},
volume = {15},
number = {},
pages = {1429571},
pmid = {39493426},
issn = {1664-0640},
abstract = {INTRODUCTION: As the average global temperature increases, the effects of climate change worsen, through effects on worsening extreme events as well as exacerbating political, economic, and social turmoil (wars, conflicts, and migrations). This poses an existential risk to the survival of humans and non-humans. These effects are visible due to the impact on people's mental health and psychophysical well-being. This article aims to explore the growing phenomenon of psychoterratic syndromes, with focus on the effect of eco-anxiety on mental health. Furthermore, the relationship between eco-anxiety and behavior response (both individual and collective) in the climate crisis era is outlined.<br><br>METHODS: A research with interdisciplinary approach was carried out for recent literature and articles relating to psychoterratic syndromes and the effects of climate change on mental health.<br><br>RESULTS: The article explores the effects of climate change on mental health, including various research on the onset of new emotions in response to psychological effects to climate change, called psychoterratic syndromes (such as eco-anxiety, climate anxiety, solastalgia, eco-grief). Among these, eco-anxiety is the most popular term used for describing how people feel about climate change. However, the paradigm that described eco-anxiety only as a pathological emotion needs to be changed.<br><br>DISCUSSION: The article emphasizes the positive effect of eco-emotions and the need to stimulate people to move from a state of anxiety, which could bring apathy and resignation, toward eco-hope. Eco-hope could be an adaptive coping mechanism in people and communities, which is key to preventing, mitigating, and protecting mental and planetary health.},
}
@article {pmid39492842,
year = {2024},
author = {Ouarda, TBMJ and Masselot, P and Campagna, C and Gosselin, P and Lavigne, &#xc9; and St-Hilaire, A and Chebana, F and Valois, P},
title = {Prediction of heatwave related mortality magnitude, duration and frequency with climate variability and climate change information.},
journal = {Stochastic environmental research and risk assessment : research journal},
volume = {38},
number = {11},
pages = {4471-4483},
pmid = {39492842},
issn = {1436-3240},
abstract = {UNLABELLED: Given the link between climatic factors on one hand, such as climate change and low frequency climate oscillation indices, and the occurrence and magnitude of heat waves on the other hand, and given the impact of heat waves on mortality, these climatic factors could provide some predictive skill for mortality. We propose a new model, the Mortality-Duration-Frequency (MDF) relationship, to relate the intensity of an extreme summer mortality event to its duration and frequency. The MDF model takes into account the non-stationarities observed in the mortality data through covariates by integrating information concerning climate change through the time trend and climate variability through climate oscillation indices. The proposed approach was applied to all-cause mortality data from 1983 to 2018 in the metropolitan regions of Quebec and Montreal in eastern Canada. In all cases, models introducing covariates lead to a substantial improvement in the goodness-of-fit in comparison to stationary models without covariates. Climate change signal is more important than climate variability signal in explaining maximum summer mortality. However, climate indices successfully explain a part of the interannual variability in the maximum summer mortality. Overall, the best models are obtained with the time trend and the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) used as covariates. No country has yet integrated teleconnection information in their heat-health watch and warning systems or adaptation plans. MDF modeling has the potential to be useful to public health managers for the planning and management of health services. It allows predicting future MDF curves for adaptive management using the values of the covariates.<br><br>SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION: The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1007/s00477-024-02813-0.},
}
@article {pmid39492632,
year = {2024},
author = {Booth, EJ and Brauer, CJ and Sandoval-Castillo, J and Harrisson, K and Rourke, ML and Attard, CRM and Gilligan, DM and Tonkin, Z and Thiem, JD and Unmack, PJ and Zampatti, B and Beheregaray, LB},
title = {Genomic Vulnerability to Climate Change of an Australian Migratory Freshwater Fish, the Golden Perch (Macquaria ambigua).},
journal = {Molecular ecology},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {e17570},
doi = {10.1111/mec.17570},
pmid = {39492632},
issn = {1365-294X},
support = {DP150102903//Australian Research Council/ ; DP190102533//Australian Research Council/ ; FT130101068//Australian Research Council/ ; LP0667952//Australian Research Council/ ; DE190100636//Australian Research Council/ ; },
abstract = {Genomic vulnerability is a measure of how much evolutionary change is required for a population to maintain optimal genotype-environment associations under projected climates. Aquatic species, and in particular migratory ectotherms, are largely underrepresented in studies of genomic vulnerability. Such species might be well equipped for tracking suitable habitat and spreading diversity that could promote adaptation to future climates. We characterised range-wide genomic diversity and genomic vulnerability in the migratory and fisheries-important golden perch (Macquaria ambigua) from Australia's expansive Murray-Darling Basin (MDB). The MDB has a steep hydroclimatic gradient and is one of the world's most variable regions in terms of climate and streamflow. Golden perch are threatened by fragmentation and obstruction of waterways, alteration of flow regimes, and a progressively hotter and drying climate. We gathered a genomic dataset of 1049 individuals from 186 MDB localities. Despite high range-wide gene flow, golden perch in the warmer, northern catchments had higher predicted vulnerability than those in the cooler, southern catchments. A new cross-validation approach showed that these predictions were insensitive to the exclusion of individual catchments. The results raise concern for populations at warm range edges, which may already be close to their thermal limits. However, a population with functional variants beneficial for climate adaptation found in the most arid and hydrologically variable catchment was predicted to be less vulnerable. Native fish management plans, such as captive breeding and stocking, should consider spatial variation in genomic vulnerability to improve conservation outcomes under climate change, even for dispersive species with high connectivity.},
}
@article {pmid39492005,
year = {2023},
author = {Hadley, K and Talbott, J and Reddy, S and Wheat, S},
title = {Impacts of climate change on food security and resulting perinatal health impacts.},
journal = {Seminars in perinatology},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {151842},
doi = {10.1016/j.semperi.2023.151842},
pmid = {39492005},
issn = {1558-075X},
abstract = {Climate change's impact on global food security is a pressing concern with profound consequences. Climate change disrupts the global food system through a number of mechanisms including extreme weather events, rising food prices, and compromised food quality. In this article, we explore the effect of climate change on food security and the resulting health impacts of poor nutrition on pregnant women and infants in the perinatal period. Inadequate nutrition during pregnancy raises the risk of vitamin deficiencies, obstetric complications, maternal mortality, and infant malnutrition. Climate change exacerbates these challenges and perpetuates intergenerational cycles of poor nutrition. Addressing these issues requires traditional approaches to combating the climate impacts on general food security as well as specific approaches to bridge the food security gender gap. Empowering women as key stakeholders is crucial for overcoming the complex barriers to food insecurity caused by climate change, as well as protecting the well-being of vulnerable populations during the perinatal period.},
}
@article {pmid39490022,
year = {2024},
author = {Xu, W and Rhemtulla, JM and Luo, D and Wang, T},
title = {Common drivers shaping niche distribution and climate change responses of one hundred tree species.},
journal = {Journal of environmental management},
volume = {370},
number = {},
pages = {123074},
doi = {10.1016/j.jenvman.2024.123074},
pmid = {39490022},
issn = {1095-8630},
abstract = {Climate change is increasingly contributing to climatic mismatches, in which habitat suitability changes outpace the dispersal abilities of species. Climate niche models (CNM) have been widely used to assess such impacts on tree species. However, most studies have focused on either a single or a limited number of species, or have employed a fixed set of climate variables for multiple species. These limitations are largely due to the constraints of data availability, the complexity of the modeling algorithms, and integration approaches for the projections of diverse species. Therefore, whether specific climatic drivers determine the climatic niches of multiple tree species remains unclear. In this study, CNMs were developed for 100 economically and ecologically important tree species in China and were used to project their future distribution individually and collectively. Continentality was the predominant climate variable, affecting 71 species, followed by seasonal precipitation, which also significantly influenced over 50 species. Of the 100 tree species, the climate niche extent was projected to expand for 29 ("winners"), contract for 36 ("losers"), be stable for 27, and fluctuate for the remaining eight species. Principal component analysis showed that winners and losers were differentiated by geographic variables and the top five climatic variables, however, not by species type (deciduous vs. evergreen or conifer vs. broadleaf). The regions with the highest species richness were mainly distributed in the Hengduan Mountains, a global biodiversity hotspot, and were predicted to increase from 5.2% to 7.5% of the total area. Areas with low species richness were projected to increase from 33.0% to 42.4%. Significant shifts in species composition were anticipated in these biodiversity-rich areas, suggesting potential disruption owing to species reshuffling. This study highlights the urgent need for proactive forest management and conservation strategies to address the impacts of climate change on tree species and preserve ecological functions by mitigating climatic mismatches. In addition, this study establishes a framework to identify the common environmental drivers affecting niche distribution and evaluates the collective patterns of multiple tree species, thereby providing a scientific reference for enhanced forestry management and climate change mitigation.},
}
@article {pmid39489625,
year = {2024},
author = {Siegrist, M and Berthold, A},
title = {The lasting effect of the Romantic view of nature: How it influences perceptions of risk and the support of symbolic actions against climate change.},
journal = {Risk analysis : an official publication of the Society for Risk Analysis},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1111/risa.17672},
pmid = {39489625},
issn = {1539-6924},
abstract = {Culture can have a major impact on how we perceive different hazards. In the Romantic period, nature was described and portrayed as mysterious and benevolent. A deep connection to nature was perceived as important. We proposed that this romantic view would be positively related to people's risk perceptions of man-made hazards and, more specifically, to concerns about climate change. Further, we hypothesized that the Romantic perception of nature leads to a biased perception of natural hazards and that the moral component of action is of particular importance above and beyond the mere efficacy of the action. We conducted an online survey in Germany (N = 531), a country where Romanticism had a very widespread influence. The study shows that individuals with a Romantic view of nature perceived greater risks associated with climate change than those without such a view. In addition, those with a Romantic view of nature were more likely to support measures to reduce the risks of climate change, even when it is said that such measures are not effective. Finally, the study found a significantly higher positive correlation between Romantic views of nature and risk perceptions of man-made versus natural hazards. The results suggest that ideas developed during the Romantic era continue to influence hazard perception in Germany.},
}
@article {pmid39488541,
year = {2024},
author = {Minev-Benzecry, S and Daru, BH},
title = {Climate change alters the future of natural floristic regions of deep evolutionary origins.},
journal = {Nature communications},
volume = {15},
number = {1},
pages = {9474},
pmid = {39488541},
issn = {2041-1723},
support = {2345994//National Science Foundation (NSF)/ ; 2416314//National Science Foundation (NSF)/ ; },
mesh = {*Climate Change ; *Biodiversity ; *Phylogeny ; *Biological Evolution ; Plants/genetics ; Phylogeography ; },
abstract = {Biogeographic regions reflect the organization of biotas over long evolutionary timescales but face alterations from recent anthropogenic climate change. Here, we model species distributions for 189,269 vascular plant species of the world under present and future climates and use this data to generate biogeographic regions based on phylogenetic dissimilarity. Our analysis reveals declines in phylogenetic beta diversity for years 2040 to 2100, leading to a future homogenization of biogeographic regions. While some biogeographic boundaries will persist, climate change will alter boundaries separating biogeographic realms. Such boundary alterations will be determined by altitude variation, heterogeneity of temperature seasonality, and past climate velocity. Our findings suggest that human activities may now surpass the geological forces that shaped floristic regions over millions of years, calling for the mitigation of climate impacts to meet international biodiversity targets.},
}
@article {pmid39488335,
year = {2024},
author = {Corrêa, MP},
title = {Heatwaves, biodiversity and health in times of climate change.},
journal = {Jornal de pediatria},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1016/j.jped.2024.10.002},
pmid = {39488335},
issn = {1678-4782},
abstract = {OBJECTIVES: This article discusses heatwaves (HWs), their definitions, and increasing frequencies associated with climate change, as well as their effects on human health, especially on children and vulnerable groups. It emphasizes the need for interdisciplinary studies to better understand the effects of HWs and preventive actions to mitigate the effects caused by this phenomenon.<br><br>DATA SOURCE: The data were obtained from recent studies, conducted in Brazil and abroad, on the impacts of HWs. The figures were attained with data provided by the Climate Change Knowledge Portal.<br><br>DATA SUMMARY: HWs are periods of extreme heat, modulated by climate phenomena such as El Ni&#xf1;o and the Pacific Decadal Oscillations. The frequency and intensity of HWs have increased since the 1950s, driven by climate change. HWs affect public health by increasing the risk of mortality from respiratory and cardiovascular diseases. Children are more vulnerable to problems such as fever caused by heatstroke, respiratory and kidney infections, as well as risks such as sudden infant death syndrome. Almost half of the HW episodes observed in South America in this century occurred in Brazil, mainly in socioeconomically vulnerable regions.<br><br>CONCLUSIONS: The increase in the number of HWs is a direct consequence of climate change and has severe impacts on public health and biodiversity. Vulnerable groups suffer more from these phenomena, and social inequalities aggravate the problems. It is essential to promote awareness, implement effective public policies and encourage interdisciplinary research to mitigate the effects of HWs on society.},
}
@article {pmid39488222,
year = {2024},
author = {Romanello, M and Walawender, M and Hsu, SC and Moskeland, A and Palmeiro-Silva, Y and Scamman, D and Ali, Z and Ameli, N and Angelova, D and Ayeb-Karlsson, S and Basart, S and Beagley, J and Beggs, PJ and Blanco-Villafuerte, L and Cai, W and Callaghan, M and Campbell-Lendrum, D and Chambers, JD and Chicmana-Zapata, V and Chu, L and Cross, TJ and van Daalen, KR and Dalin, C and Dasandi, N and Dasgupta, S and Davies, M and Dubrow, R and Eckelman, MJ and Ford, JD and Freyberg, C and Gasparyan, O and Gordon-Strachan, G and Grubb, M and Gunther, SH and Hamilton, I and Hang, Y and Hänninen, R and Hartinger, S and He, K and Heidecke, J and Hess, JJ and Jamart, L and Jankin, S and Jatkar, H and Jay, O and Kelman, I and Kennard, H and Kiesewetter, G and Kinney, P and Kniveton, D and Kouznetsov, R and Lampard, P and Lee, JKW and Lemke, B and Li, B and Liu, Y and Liu, Z and Llabrés-Brustenga, A and Lott, M and Lowe, R and Martinez-Urtaza, J and Maslin, M and McAllister, L and McMichael, C and Mi, Z and Milner, J and Minor, K and Minx, J and Mohajeri, N and Momen, NC and Moradi-Lakeh, M and Morrisey, K and Munzert, S and Murray, KA and Obradovich, N and O'Hare, MB and Oliveira, C and Oreszczyn, T and Otto, M and Owfi, F and Pearman, OL and Pega, F and Perishing, AJ and Pinho-Gomes, AC and Ponmattam, J and Rabbaniha, M and Rickman, J and Robinson, E and Rocklöv, J and Rojas-Rueda, D and Salas, RN and Semenza, JC and Sherman, JD and Shumake-Guillemot, J and Singh, P and Sjödin, H and Slater, J and Sofiev, M and Sorensen, C and Springmann, M and Stalhandske, Z and Stowell, JD and Tabatabaei, M and Taylor, J and Tong, D and Tonne, C and Treskova, M and Trinanes, JA and Uppstu, A and Wagner, F and Warnecke, L and Whitcombe, H and Xian, P and Zavaleta-Cortijo, C and Zhang, C and Zhang, R and Zhang, S and Zhang, Y and Zhu, Q and Gong, P and Montgomery, H and Costello, A},
title = {The 2024 report of the Lancet Countdown on health and climate change: facing record-breaking threats from delayed action.},
journal = {Lancet (London, England)},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1016/S0140-6736(24)01822-1},
pmid = {39488222},
issn = {1474-547X},
}
@article {pmid39492214,
year = {2022},
author = {Locke, H and Bidle, KD and Thamatrakoln, K and Johns, CT and Bonachela, JA and Ferrell, BD and Wommack, KE},
title = {Marine viruses and climate change: Virioplankton, the carbon cycle, and our future ocean.},
journal = {Advances in virus research},
volume = {114},
number = {},
pages = {67-146},
doi = {10.1016/bs.aivir.2022.09.001},
pmid = {39492214},
issn = {1557-8399},
abstract = {Interactions between marine viruses and microbes are a critical part of the oceanic carbon cycle. The impacts of virus-host interactions range from short-term disruptions in the mobility of microbial biomass carbon to higher trophic levels through cell lysis (i.e., the viral shunt) to long-term reallocation of microbial biomass carbon to the deep sea through accelerating the biological pump (i.e., the viral shuttle). The biogeochemical backdrop of the ocean-the physical, chemical, and biological landscape-influences the likelihood of both virus-host interactions and particle formation, and the fate and flow of carbon. As climate change reshapes the oceanic landscape through large-scale shifts in temperature, circulation, stratification, and acidification, virus-mediated carbon flux is likely to shift in response. Dynamics in the directionality and magnitude of changes in how, where, and when viruses mediate the recycling or storage of microbial biomass carbon is largely unknown. Integrating viral infection dynamics data obtained from experimental models and field systems, with particle motion microphysics and global observations of oceanic biogeochemistry, into improved ecosystem models will enable viral oceanographers to better predict the role of viruses in marine carbon cycling in the future ocean.},
}
@article {pmid39492213,
year = {2022},
author = {Fay, RL and Keyel, AC and Ciota, AT},
title = {West Nile virus and climate change.},
journal = {Advances in virus research},
volume = {114},
number = {},
pages = {147-193},
doi = {10.1016/bs.aivir.2022.08.002},
pmid = {39492213},
issn = {1557-8399},
abstract = {West Nile virus (WNV) is a mosquito-borne flavivirus with a global distribution that is maintained in an enzootic cycle between Culex species mosquitoes and avian hosts. Human infection, which occurs as a result of spillover from this cycle, is generally subclinical or results in a self-limiting febrile illness. Central nervous system infection occurs in a minority of infections and can lead to long-term neurological complications and, rarely, death. WNV is the most prevalent arthropod-borne virus in the United States. Climate change can influence several aspects of WNV transmission including the vector, amplifying host, and virus. Climate change is broadly predicted to increase WNV distribution and risk across the globe, yet there will likely be significant regional variability and limitations to this effect. Increases in temperature can accelerate mosquito and pathogen development, drive increases in vector competence for WNV, and also alter mosquito life history traits including longevity, blood feeding behavior and fecundity. Precipitation, humidity and drought also impact WNV transmissibility. Alteration in avian distribution, diversity and phenology resulting from climate variation add additional complexity to these relationships. Here, we review WNV epidemiology, transmission, disease and genetics in the context of laboratory studies, field investigations, and infectious disease models under climate change. We summarize how mosquito genetics, microbial interactions, host dynamics, viral strain, population size, land use and climate account for distinct relationships that drive WNV activity and discuss how these dynamic and evolving interactions could shape WNV transmission and disease under climate change.},
}
@article {pmid39492212,
year = {2022},
author = {Montes, N and Pagán, I},
title = {Challenges and opportunities for plant viruses under a climate change scenario.},
journal = {Advances in virus research},
volume = {114},
number = {},
pages = {1-66},
doi = {10.1016/bs.aivir.2022.08.001},
pmid = {39492212},
issn = {1557-8399},
abstract = {There is an increasing societal awareness on the enormous threat that climate change may pose for human, animal and plant welfare. Although direct effects due to exposure to heat, drought or elevated greenhouse gasses seem to be progressively more obvious, indirect effects remain debatable. A relevant aspect to be clarified relates to the relationship between altered environmental conditions and pathogen-induced diseases. In the particular case of plant viruses, it is still unclear whether climate change will primarily represent an opportunity for the emergence of new infections in previously uncolonized areas and hosts, or if it will mostly be a strong constrain reducing the impact of plant virus diseases and challenging the pathogen's adaptive capacity. This review focuses on current knowledge on the relationship between climate change and the outcome plant-virus interactions. We summarize work done on how this relationship modulates plant virus pathogenicity, between-host transmission (which include the triple interaction plant-virus-vector), ecology, evolution and management of the epidemics they cause. Considering these studies, we propose avenues for future research on this subject.},
}
@article {pmid39481105,
year = {2024},
author = {Vivion, M and Trottier, V and Bouhêlier, &#xc8; and Goupil-Sormany, I and Diallo, T},
title = {Misinformation About Climate Change and Related Environmental Events on Social Media: Protocol for a Scoping Review.},
journal = {JMIR research protocols},
volume = {13},
number = {},
pages = {e59345},
doi = {10.2196/59345},
pmid = {39481105},
issn = {1929-0748},
mesh = {*Climate Change ; *Social Media ; Humans ; *Communication ; Canada ; Review Literature as Topic ; },
abstract = {BACKGROUND: Climate change and related environmental events represent major global challenges and are often accompanied by the spread of misinformation on social media. According to previous reviews, the dissemination of this misinformation on various social media platforms requires deeper exploration. Moreover, the findings reported applied mainly to the context of the United States, limiting the possibility of extending the results to other settings.<br><br>OBJECTIVE: This study aims to assess the current state of knowledge about misinformation concerning climate change and related environmental events that are circulating on social media. More specifically, we will explore past and current themes, actors, and sources, and the dissemination of this misinformation within the Canadian context.<br><br>METHODS: This scoping review protocol follows the methodological approach developed by Arksey and O'Malley and advanced by Levac, complemented by the PRISMA-ScR (Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic reviews and Meta-Analyses extension for Scoping Reviews) checklist and the best practice guidance for the development of scoping review protocols. Following the identification of the research questions and assisted by a specialized librarian, we developed search strategies for selected bibliographic databases (MEDLINE, Embase, Web of Science, and GreenFILE) and for gray literature (Google and pertinent databases) searches. Bibliographic and gray literature will be searched to identify relevant publications. In total, 2 members of our team will use the review software Covidence (Veritas Health Innovation) to independently select publications to include in the review. Publications specifically addressing our research questions, peer-reviewed, evidence-based, and published from January 1, 2000, in the full-text version in English or French will be included. Data will be extracted from the included publications to chart, among other items, the years of publication, geographic areas, themes, actors, and sources of the climate change-related misinformation and conclusions reported. Our team will then synthesize the extracted data to articulate the current state of knowledge relating to our research inquiries.<br><br>RESULTS: The research questions were identified in January 2024. The search strategies were developed from January to March 2024 for MEDLINE, Embase, and Web of Science and in July 2024 for GreenFILE and gray literature. MEDLINE, Embase, and Web of Science searches were launched on March 26, 2024. The first of 2 rounds of selection of publications identified through these databases was achieved in April 2024.<br><br>CONCLUSIONS: This protocol will enable us to identify the evolution of themes, actors, and sources of misinformation regarding climate change and related environmental events on social media, including the latest platforms, and to potentially identify a context particular to Canada. As misinformation is known to undermine actions and public support in the fight against climate change, we intend to facilitate the targeting of efforts to combat misinformation related to climate change in an up-to-date and contextualized manner.<br><br>DERR1-10.2196/59345.},
}
@article {pmid39480628,
year = {2024},
author = {Habibi, I and Achour, H and Bounaceur, F and Benaradj, A and Aulagnier, S},
title = {Predicting the future distribution of the Barbary ground squirrel (Atlantoxerus getulus) under climate change using niche overlap analysis and species distribution modeling.},
journal = {Environmental monitoring and assessment},
volume = {196},
number = {11},
pages = {1140},
pmid = {39480628},
issn = {1573-2959},
mesh = {Animals ; *Sciuridae ; *Climate Change ; *Ecosystem ; Morocco ; Algeria ; Environmental Monitoring/methods ; Spain ; Animal Distribution ; Conservation of Natural Resources ; Introduced Species ; },
abstract = {This study combines niche overlap analysis with species distribution modeling (SDM) to examine the niche dynamics of Atlantoxerus getulus, a ground squirrel native to Morocco and Algeria that has been introduced to the Canary Islands. We compiled 1272 records of A. getulus in its native and exotic ranges and five bioclimatic variables for present and future climate conditions for the years 2050 and 2070. We assessed the ecological niche of the species using exploratory and ordination analyses, followed by the prediction of its distribution using the SpatialMaxent model. Our results showed that the niches of A. getulus exhibited equivalence (p > 0.05) and significant similarity (p < 0.05) between the native and exotic ranges. No observed niche expansion in the exotic area is shown to be associated with complete niche stability. However, 90% of the niche in the Canary Islands remains unfilled, suggesting potential for further invasion. Our results highlighted habitat contractions ranging from 41% (SSP245-2050) to 60% (SSP585-2070), associated with a shift in the centroid of suitable habitat towards the Atlantic coast. These contractions are particularly severe in Algeria, where suitable habitats could disappear by 2050, contrasting with stable habitats maintained in the Canary Islands under all scenarios. Urgent habitat restoration in Algeria is crucial, including efforts to combat poaching. In Morocco, targeted in situ conservation is recommended, while in the Canary Islands, the focus should be on invasive species management and public awareness campaigns to prevent further spread.},
}
@article {pmid39485659,
year = {2024},
author = {Ho, YS and Ouchi, A},
title = {Comments on "The economic impact of climate change: a bibliometric analysis of research hotspots and trends".},
journal = {Environmental science and pollution research international},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
pmid = {39485659},
issn = {1614-7499},
}
@article {pmid39485605,
year = {2024},
author = {Elia, MR and Toygar, I and Tomlins, E and Bagcivan, G and Parsa, S and Ginex, PK},
title = {Climate change, climate disasters and oncology care: a descriptive global survey of oncology healthcare professionals.},
journal = {Supportive care in cancer : official journal of the Multinational Association of Supportive Care in Cancer},
volume = {32},
number = {11},
pages = {764},
pmid = {39485605},
issn = {1433-7339},
mesh = {Humans ; *Climate Change ; *Health Personnel/statistics &amp; numerical data/psychology ; Surveys and Questionnaires ; *Medical Oncology/statistics &amp; numerical data ; Male ; Female ; Disasters ; Neoplasms/therapy ; Adult ; Middle Aged ; Global Health ; Disaster Planning ; },
abstract = {PURPOSE: Climate disasters and climate change have implications for healthcare globally. As the number and intensity of climate disasters increase, it is important to understand the effects on healthcare. We conducted a global survey of oncology healthcare providers to identify awareness, experiences, and educational needs related to climate change.<br><br>METHODS: An existing climate and health survey was adapted to oncology. This IRB- approved, 30-item survey measured demographics, climate disaster awareness, effects on cancer care and educational needs. Healthcare professionals employed in oncology settings (practice, research, or academic) were eligible. The survey was disseminated via social media and professional organizations. Descriptive statistics were computed using SPSS.<br><br>RESULTS: 154 responses from 26 countries were received from nurses (56%), physicians (19%), and other healthcare professionals (25%). Common climate change-related events impacting oncology care were extreme heat (63.8%) and heavy rains (52.2%). Respondents reported their workplace has a disaster plan for climate-related weather events (50.4%) or has taken steps to prepare for a climate-related weather event (48.5%). Respondents were aware that the planet has warmed significantly (98.7%), that healthcare contributes to greenhouse gas emissions (98.6%) and reported wanting to learn more about how climate change affects cancer care (88.3%). Preferred educational modalities include webinars (69%), e-learning (55%), journal articles (48.3%), conferences (46.3%) and podcasts (38.9%).<br><br>CONCLUSIONS: This global survey is the first to identify the awareness, experiences, and educational needs of oncology healthcare professionals related to climate change and climate disasters. Healthcare providers are positioned to take leadership roles related to climate and health.},
}
@article {pmid39484957,
year = {2024},
author = {Knowles-Bacon, M},
title = {Veterinary workplaces and climate change.},
journal = {The Veterinary record},
volume = {195},
number = {9},
pages = {392},
doi = {10.1002/vetr.4893},
pmid = {39484957},
issn = {2042-7670},
mesh = {*Climate Change ; Humans ; *Workplace ; United Kingdom ; Veterinary Medicine/organization &amp; administration ; Veterinarians/psychology ; Societies, Veterinary ; },
abstract = {BVA policy and public affairs manager Megan Knowles-Bacon introduces BVA's latest report, which explores how vet teams can help tackle climate change.},
}
@article {pmid39484699,
year = {2024},
author = {Jiao, Y and Zhang, Y and Wang, X and Altshuler, I and Zhou, F and Fang, M and Rinnan, R and Chen, J and Wang, Z},
title = {Awakening: Potential Release of Dormant Chemicals from Thawing Permafrost Soils under Climate Change.},
journal = {Environmental science &amp; technology},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1021/acs.est.4c06014},
pmid = {39484699},
issn = {1520-5851},
abstract = {Permafrost is a crucial part of the Earth's cryosphere. These millennia-old frozen soils not only are significant carbon reservoirs but also store a variety of chemicals. Accelerated permafrost thaw due to global warming leads to profound consequences such as infrastructure damage, hydrological changes, and, notably, environmental concerns from the release of various chemicals. In this perspective, we metaphorically term long-preserved substances as "dormant chemicals" that experience an "awakening" during permafrost thaw. We begin by providing a comprehensive overview and categorization of these chemicals and their potential transformations, utilizing a combination of field observations, laboratory studies, and modeling approaches to assess their environmental impacts. Following this, we put forward several perspectives on how to enhance the scientific understanding of their ensuing environmental impacts in the context of climate change. Ultimately, we advocate for broader research engagement in permafrost exploration and emphasize the need for extensive environmental chemical studies. This will significantly enhance our understanding of the consequences of permafrost thaw and its broader impact on other ecosystems under rapid climate warming.},
}
@article {pmid39483055,
year = {2024},
author = {Annan, H and Baran, I and Litwin, S},
title = {Five I's of Climate Change and Child Health: A Framework for Pediatric Planetary Health Education.},
journal = {Pediatrics},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1542/peds.2024-066064},
pmid = {39483055},
issn = {1098-4275},
}
@article {pmid39481911,
year = {2024},
author = {Amoah, P and Oumarou Mahamane, AR and Byiringiro, MH and Mahula, NJ and Manneh, N and Oluwasegun, YR and Assfaw, AT and Mukiti, HM and Garba, AD and Chiemeke, FK and Bernard Ojuederie, O and Olasanmi, B},
title = {Genome editing in Sub-Saharan Africa: a game-changing strategy for climate change mitigation and sustainable agriculture.},
journal = {GM crops &amp; food},
volume = {15},
number = {1},
pages = {279-302},
doi = {10.1080/21645698.2024.2411767},
pmid = {39481911},
issn = {2164-5701},
mesh = {*Gene Editing/methods ; *Climate Change ; Africa South of the Sahara ; *Crops, Agricultural/genetics ; *Agriculture/methods ; *CRISPR-Cas Systems ; Plant Breeding/methods ; Plants, Genetically Modified/genetics ; Food Security ; },
abstract = {Sub-Saharan Africa's agricultural sector faces a multifaceted challenge due to climate change consisting of high temperatures, changing precipitation trends, alongside intensified pest and disease outbreaks. Conventional plant breeding methods have historically contributed to yield gains in Africa, and the intensifying demand for food security outpaces these improvements due to a confluence of factors, including rising urbanization, improved living standards, and population growth. To address escalating food demands amidst urbanization, rising living standards, and population growth, a paradigm shift toward more sustainable and innovative crop improvement strategies is imperative. Genome editing technologies offer a promising avenue for achieving sustained yield increases while bolstering resilience against escalating biotic and abiotic stresses associated with climate change. Clustered Regularly Interspaced Short Palindromic Repeats/CRISPR-associated protein (CRISPR/Cas) is unique due to its ubiquity, efficacy, alongside precision, making it a pivotal tool for Sub-Saharan African crop improvement. This review highlights the challenges and explores the prospect of gene editing to secure the region's future foods.},
}
@article {pmid39478602,
year = {2024},
author = {Frantz, CM and Bushkin, L and O'Keefe, D},
title = {Evaluating the usefulness of Protection Motivation Theory for predicting climate change mitigation behavioral intentions among a US sample of climate change deniers and acknowledgers.},
journal = {BMC psychology},
volume = {12},
number = {1},
pages = {605},
pmid = {39478602},
issn = {2050-7283},
mesh = {Humans ; *Climate Change ; *Intention ; Male ; Female ; Adult ; *Motivation ; United States ; *Psychological Theory ; Young Adult ; Middle Aged ; },
abstract = {BACKGROUND: This paper summarizes data from 7 studies that used Protection Motivation Theory (PMT) to guide climate messaging with the goal of increasing climate-mitigating behavioral intentions. Together, the studies address 5 research questions. 1) Does PMT predict behavioral intentions in the context of climate change mitigation? 2) Does PMT work similarly for climate change deniers vs acknowledgers? 3) Are the effects of threat and efficacy additive or multiplicative? 4) Does adding measures of collective threat and efficacy improve the model accuracy for a collective problem like climate change? 5) Can threat and efficacy appraisals - and ultimately behavioral intentions - be shifted through climate messaging?<br><br>METHODS: Seven online experiments were conducted on US adults (N&#x2009;=&#x2009;3,761) between 2020 and 2022. Participants were randomly assigned to a control condition or to one of several experimental conditions designed to influence threat, efficacy, or both. Participants indicated their belief in climate change, ethnicity, gender, and political orientation. They completed measures of personal threat and efficacy, collective threat and efficacy, and behavioral intentions.<br><br>RESULTS: Multiple regressions, ANCOVAs, and effect sizes were used to evaluate our research questions. Consistent with PMT, threat and efficacy appraisals predicted climate mitigation behavioral intentions, even among those who denied climate change. Different interactions emerged for climate deniers and acknowledgers, suggesting that in this context threat and efficacy are not just additive in their effects (but these effects were small). Including measures of collective threat and efficacy only modestly improved the model. Finally, evidence that threat and efficacy appraisals can be shifted was weak and inconsistent; mitigation behavioral intentions were not reliably influenced by the messages tested.<br><br>CONCLUSIONS: PMT effectively predicts climate change mitigation behavioral intentions among US adults, whether they deny climate change or acknowledge it. Threat appraisals may be more impactful for deniers, while efficacy appraisals may be more impactful for acknowledgers. Including collective-level measures of threat and efficacy modestly improves model fit. Contrary to PMT research in other domains, threat and efficacy appraisals were not easily shifted under the conditions tested here, and increases did not reliably lead to increases in behavioral intentions.},
}
@article {pmid39477861,
year = {2024},
author = {Devi, V and Fulekar, MH and Charles, B and Reddy, CS and Pathak, B},
title = {Predicting the habitat suitability and species richness of plants of Great Himalayan National Park under different climate change scenarios.},
journal = {Environmental monitoring and assessment},
volume = {196},
number = {11},
pages = {1136},
pmid = {39477861},
issn = {1573-2959},
mesh = {*Climate Change ; *Biodiversity ; *Ecosystem ; *Parks, Recreational ; *Plants ; India ; Conservation of Natural Resources ; Environmental Monitoring ; },
abstract = {This study elucidates the distribution of plants in Great Himalayan National Park (GHNP), India, in current and different future climate change scenarios. The distribution of plants and habitat suitability in GHNP due to climate change was analyzed by MaxEnt, species distribution model (SDM) algorithm. In this study, species presence records were retrieved through field survey and published literature. We have projected the distribution of 44 plant species using MaxEnt and tested whether GHNP is performing well in conserving the plant species. Initially, we have constructed a model for each species and created the habitat suitability map from average of ascii files and later we added the maps of all species in order to make binary map to show the species richness in the selected climate scenarios. The model was created using the HADGEM-2 global circulation model in 2050 and 2070 years by using climate change situations of RCP 2.6 and RCP 8.5. The area under curve (AUC) values in the final models of 44 plant species were in the range 0.70-0.97 that indicates statistically significant results. The model identified precipitation of driest month followed by altitude and annual mean temperature as most determining variables in the distribution of plants of GHNP in selected climate scenarios. In the present study, we found that overall suitable habitat increased for nine species, decreased for thirty-four, and unchanged for one plant species in terms of percent area change from current to future scenarios. So these nine species were found to be more adaptable towards changing climate than the other plant species in this study. The species richness was high in western and southwestern parts of GHNP in the current scenario, however under future climatic scenarios, species richness shows a decreasing trend. Based on our findings, it can be concluded that GHNP should be prioritized for conserving the plant species.},
}
@article {pmid39476548,
year = {2024},
author = {Berg, A},
title = {Causal inference from high-dimensional static data in soil microbiota networks: Comment on "Topological change of soil microbiota networks for forest resilience under global warming" by Gong et al.},
journal = {Physics of life reviews},
volume = {51},
number = {},
pages = {281-282},
doi = {10.1016/j.plrev.2024.10.012},
pmid = {39476548},
issn = {1873-1457},
}
@article {pmid39471911,
year = {2024},
author = {Pinto-Zevallos, DM and Blande, JD},
title = {Challenges of climate change and air pollution for volatile-mediated plant-parasitoid signalling.},
journal = {Current opinion in insect science},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {101290},
doi = {10.1016/j.cois.2024.101290},
pmid = {39471911},
issn = {2214-5753},
abstract = {Herbivore-induced plant volatiles (HIPVs) are reliable cues that parasitoids can use to locate host patches. Interactions mediated by plant volatile organic compounds (VOCs) are vulnerable to disturbance by predicted climate change and air pollution scenarios. Abiotic stress-induced VOCs may act as false signals to parasitoids. Air pollutants can disrupt signalling by degrading HIPVs at different rates and preventing the perception of olfactory signals by reducing the sensitivity of olfactory receptors or by occluding insect sensillae. As essential components of biological control programmes, efforts should be made to assess how different parasitoid species respond and adapt to HIPVs in predicted scenarios. Since providing parasitoid food sources is a promising practice for boosting biological control, parasitoid-flower interactions deserve attention.},
}
@article {pmid39469751,
year = {2024},
author = {Leblanc, N and Légaré, AG and Diallo, T and Sasseville, M and Gadio, S and Lessard, L},
title = {Knowledge, Attitudes, and Perceptions of Quebec Nurses Relating to Climate Change in the Context of Their Practice with Children Aged 0 to 5 Years: A Cross-Sectional Descriptive Study.},
journal = {The Canadian journal of nursing research = Revue canadienne de recherche en sciences infirmieres},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {8445621241292171},
doi = {10.1177/08445621241292171},
pmid = {39469751},
issn = {1705-7051},
abstract = {STUDY BACKGROUND: Reducing children's vulnerability to climate change (CC) depends firstly on parents having the ability to adapt.<br><br>PURPOSE: The purpose of this study was to describe knowledge, attitudes, and perceptions of nurses in support of parents' ability to adapt to CC to protect the physical and psychosocial health of 0-5 year olds.<br><br>METHODS: A cross-sectional descriptive study was used. A total of 127 pediatric nurses from the province of Quebec completed an online questionnaire documenting nurses' knowledge, attitudes, and perceptions about CC.<br><br>RESULTS: A third of nurses have little or no knowledge of the health risks of CC for children, even though they consider it to be a major issue for children. Nurses perceive that parents don't generally consider their children to be among the most vulnerable to CC, trivialize their effects on their children's health, have little knowledge of the effects of CC mainly on their children's psychosocial health, know little about the means to use to protect them, and more readily seek help from family and friends to ensure their children's protection. Nurses affirm that they are responsible for discussing the health effects of CC with parents, introduce measures to reduce their effects, possess little knowledge and few skills for reducing their effects, and feel unprepared to deal with their effects in their practice.<br><br>CONCLUSIONS: Greater access to training on CC-related concepts is needed to increase nurses' knowledge. Nurses' perceptions must be validated with parents to promote optimal protection of children from CC.},
}
@article {pmid39469618,
year = {2023},
author = {Viegas, S and Santos, JA and Kazmierczak, A and Assunção, R and Viegas, C and Martins, C},
title = {Training on the Impact of Climate Change on Public Health: Reflections and Lessons Learnt.},
journal = {Portuguese journal of public health},
volume = {41},
number = {3},
pages = {230-234},
pmid = {39469618},
issn = {2504-3145},
}
@article {pmid39468261,
year = {2024},
author = {Tsiftsis, S and Štípková, Z and Rejmánek, M and Kindlmann, P},
title = {Predictions of species distributions based only on models estimating future climate change are not reliable.},
journal = {Scientific reports},
volume = {14},
number = {1},
pages = {25778},
pmid = {39468261},
issn = {2045-2322},
support = {L200872201//PPLZ Program/ ; },
abstract = {Changes in climate and land use are the most often mentioned factors responsible for the current decline in species diversity. To reduce the effect of these factors, we need reliable predictions of future species distributions. This is usually done by utilizing species distribution models (SDMs) based on expected climate. Here we explore the accuracy of such projections: we use orchid (Orchidaceae) recordings and environmental (mainly climatic) data from the years 1901-1950 in SDMs to predict maps of potential species distributions in 1980-2014. This should enable us to compare the predictions of species distributions in 1980-2014, based on records of species distribution in the years 1901-1950, with real data in the 1980-2014 period. We found that the predictions of the SDMs often differ from reality in this experiment. The results clearly indicate that SDM predictions of future species distributions as a reaction to climate change must be treated with caution.},
}
@article {pmid39468111,
year = {2024},
author = {Al-Rawas, G and Nikoo, MR and Janbehsarayi, SFM and Hassani, MR and Imani, S and Niksokhan, MH and Nazari, R},
title = {Near future flash flood prediction in an arid region under climate change.},
journal = {Scientific reports},
volume = {14},
number = {1},
pages = {25887},
pmid = {39468111},
issn = {2045-2322},
support = {SR/DVC/CESR/22/01//Sultan Qaboos University/ ; },
abstract = {Flash floods represent a significant threat, triggering severe natural disasters and leading to extensive damage to properties and infrastructure, which in turn results in the loss of lives and significant economic damages. In this study, a comprehensive statistical approach was applied to future flood predictions in the coastal basin of North Al-Abatinah, Oman. In this context, the initial step involves analyzing eighteen General Circulation Models (GCMs) to identify the most suitable one. Subsequently, we assessed four CMIP6 scenarios for future rainfall analysis. Next, different Machine Learning (ML) algorithms were employed through H2O-AutoML to identify the best model for downscaling future rainfall predictions. Forty distribution functions were then fitted to the future daily rainfall, and the best-fit model was selected to project future Intensity-Duration-Frequency (IDF) curves. Finally, the Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) model was utilized with sub-daily time steps to make accurate flash flood predictions in the study area. The findings reveal that IITM-ESM is the most effective among GCM models. Additionally, the application of stacked ensemble ML model proved to be the most reliable in downscaling future rainfall. Furthermore, this study highlighted that floods entering urbanized areas could reach 20.33 and 20.70 m[[3]]/s under pessimistic scenarios during rainfall events with 100 and 200-year return periods, respectively. This hierarchical comprehensive approach provides reliable results by utilizing the most effective model at each step, offering in-depth insight into future flash flood prediction.},
}
@article {pmid39465289,
year = {2024},
author = {Hansen, J},
title = {Public History: Infrastructure, Climate Change, and Radical Action.},
journal = {Technology and culture},
volume = {65},
number = {4},
pages = {1309-1321},
doi = {10.1353/tech.2024.a940471},
pmid = {39465289},
issn = {1097-3729},
mesh = {*Climate Change/history ; Humans ; *Motion Pictures/history ; History, 21st Century ; Technology/history ; United States ; },
abstract = {This essay reviews the 2022 American film How to Blow Up a Pipeline, examining its significance for historians of technology. The film highlights do-it-yourself technologies, the experiences of marginalized technology users, and the environmental consequences of infrastructures. Central to the discussion is the film's dystopian portrayal of infrastructure, which drives the characters to take extreme measures, such as the bombing of an oil pipeline, to raise awareness about climate change. While the film might seem to advocate for radical action, this review suggests that it offers historians an opportunity to engage with broader social issues and reflect on the methodological challenges within the history of technology.},
}
@article {pmid39469498,
year = {2022},
author = {Viegas, S},
title = {Exposure Science in a Climate Change Scenario.},
journal = {Portuguese journal of public health},
volume = {40},
number = {1},
pages = {1-2},
pmid = {39469498},
issn = {2504-3145},
}
@article {pmid39465275,
year = {2024},
author = {Muniz, AC and de Lemos-Filho, JP and Lovato, MB},
title = {Non-adaptedness and vulnerability to climate change threaten Plathymenia trees (Fabaceae) from the Cerrado and Atlantic Forest.},
journal = {Scientific reports},
volume = {14},
number = {1},
pages = {25611},
pmid = {39465275},
issn = {2045-2322},
mesh = {*Climate Change ; *Forests ; *Fabaceae/genetics ; Trees/genetics ; Adaptation, Physiological/genetics ; Ecosystem ; },
abstract = {Climate change is increasing species extinction risk. The ability of a species to cope with climate change can be quantified by projecting distribution models and by estimating the risk of non-adaptedness using genomic data. The Cerrado and the Atlantic Forest in Tropical South America are increasingly threatened by habitat loss and anthropogenic climate change. This work aims to evaluate the ecological and genomic vulnerability of Plathymenia taxa and its lineages, P. reticulata, a Cerrado species, and P. foliolosa, an Atlantic Forest species, to determine their current and future habitat suitability and the mismatch between current local adaptation with the expected climate changes. The species distribution models predicted a high range loss for the Plathymenia lineages. The genotype-environment association analyses showed that the Plathymenia lineages have populations adapted to different precipitation and temperature seasonality regimes. The genomic offset analyses predict a mismatch between local adaptations and future climate for the Plathymenia indicating a high risk of non-adaptedness, especially in the pessimistic scenario. Our results show an elevated extinction risk of the species due to climate change. We suggest reevaluating the extinction risk and management of the Plathymenia species separately based on their differences in vulnerability to climate change.},
}
@article {pmid39464979,
year = {2024},
author = {Beri, D and Elkington, J and Moola, S and Bhaumik, S and Jagnoor, J},
title = {Impact of climate change on water-related physical events, consequent human migration, and burden of drowning in India: An evidence synthesis.},
journal = {Journal of family medicine and primary care},
volume = {13},
number = {9},
pages = {3552-3563},
pmid = {39464979},
issn = {2249-4863},
abstract = {INTRODUCTION: Disrupted weather patterns are associated with climate change. Between 2001 and 2018, nearly 74% of disasters were water-related, including floods and cyclones. Such water-related cataclysmic events increase the risk of drowning. We aimed to map evidence on the impact of climate change on water-related physical events, associated human migration, and drowning burden in India.<br><br>MATERIALS AND METHODS: We searched electronic databases, government reports, and relevant websites to map evidence on water-related physical events (including but not limited to sea-level rise, glacier bursts, lake bursts, floods, rainfall, cyclones, and droughts) and consequent human migration using narrative review approach, while drowning burden through scoping review approach. We summarized the results narratively.<br><br>RESULTS: Evidence from 48 studies and seven reports suggest that India will witness the greatest sea-level rise, significantly impacting poor coastal communities. An increase in droughts, cyclonic rainfall, storms, and floods, with increasing surface rainwater and streamflow water, due to melting glaciers is expected. Climate change-triggered migration is expected notably in northeast and south India, making farmers, drivers, street vendors, women, and youth most vulnerable. No direct evidence was identified on the impact of climate change, water-related disasters, meteorological events, or seasonal variations on drowning from India.<br><br>CONCLUSION: Our study highlights a significant gap in the availability of context-specific and localized data to improve disaster response and strengthen public health systems, especially for areas most vulnerable to climate change. There is an urgent need to generate new knowledge and understanding of climate change, water-related or meteorological events, and seasonal variations' impact on drowning burden as the level of risk remains unknown.},
}
@article {pmid39464280,
year = {2024},
author = {Mao, X and Zheng, H and Luo, G and Liao, S and Wang, R and Tang, M and Chen, H},
title = {Climate change favors expansion of three Eucalyptus species in China.},
journal = {Frontiers in plant science},
volume = {15},
number = {},
pages = {1443134},
pmid = {39464280},
issn = {1664-462X},
abstract = {Eucalyptus has become one of the most widely planted species in tropical and subtropical regions in China, with important economic, ecological, and social values. However, it is currently unclear how climate change will affect different Eucalyptus species. Therefore, it is urgent to investigate the potential distribution and dynamics of Eucalyptus under current and future climate scenarios. In this study, we analyzed the potential distribution patterns of the three main Eucalyptus species (Eucalyptus grandis, Eucalyptus urophylla, and Eucalyptus tereticornis) under current and future climatic conditions (2041-2060 and 2061-2080) using the optimized MaxEnt model, which integrates a variety of environmental data including climate, topography, soil, and human influence. We also identified the main factors affecting the potential distributions of the three main Eucalyptus species. The model indicated that E. grandis exhibited heightened sensitivity to the mean temperature of the coldest quarter (7.0-20.0 °C) and annual mean temperature (11.9-24.2 °C), whereas E. urophylla displayed heightened sensitivity to precipitation of the warmest quarter (272-1694 mm) and annual precipitation (812-2624 mm). Conversely, E. tereticornis demonstrated heightened sensitivity to annual mean temperature (12.7-24.5 °C) and temperature seasonality (63.8-598.9). Under the current climate, E. tereticornis had the widest suitable distribution area (124.91 × 10[4] km[2]), followed by E. grandis (124.89 × 10[4] km[2]) and E. urophylla (119.81 × 10[4] km[2]). Under future climate change scenarios, the suitable ranges of E. grandis, E. urophylla and E. tereticornis will continue to expand. This study highlights the importance of climate change in Eucalyptus distribution and provides quantified potential distribution maps for three Eucalyptus species under current and future climate conditions in China. This research offers valuable scientific insights pertinent to the management and rational site selection for Eucalyptus plantations.},
}
@article {pmid39463739,
year = {2024},
author = {Wang, Y and Yang, Y and Zhang, M},
title = {The influence of climate change on the potential distribution of Ageratum conyzoides in China.},
journal = {Ecology and evolution},
volume = {14},
number = {10},
pages = {e11513},
pmid = {39463739},
issn = {2045-7758},
abstract = {Ageratum conyzoides L., an invasive plant originating from South America, is characterized by rapid growth and strong ecological adaptability, posing a threat to China's ecosystems, agricultural industry, and biodiversity. In this study, we optimized the MaxEnt model using the ENMeval package and constructed an ensemble model using the Biomod2 package based on global geospatial distribution data of A. conyzoides and considering climate, soil, and topography factors. We simulated the potential suitable distribution of A. conyzoides in China at present and in the future (2041-2060, 2061-2080). Through multivariate environment similarity surface and most dissimilar variable analysis, we identified the main environmental variables influencing the distribution of A. conyzoides. Additionally, niche analysis elucidated temporal and spatial variations in A. conyzoides' climate niche. Our results demonstrate that the ensemble model, constructed from the top seven single models, outperforms the individual models in predicting the suitable habitat of A. conyzoides. The ensemble model achieved the true skill statistic (TSS) of 0.833 and the area under the subject curve (AUC) of 0.971, indicative of outstanding predictive performance. Presently, the suitable habitat of A. conyzoides in China primarily exists in the region between 18° and 28° N, covering approximately 1.47 million km[2]. The temperature annual range, precipitation of the wettest month, and mean temperature of the coldest quarter were identified as the primary environmental variables influencing its distribution, while soil and elevation variables had minor roles. Under future climate conditions, the suitable habitat of A. conyzoides is expected to expand northeastward, with the centroid of its habitat shifting northward as the climate warms. The migration speed of A. conyzoides is projected to increase with the degree of warming. Furthermore, the climate niche of A. conyzoides will undergo certain changes and may face both niche expansion and a decrease in niche overlap under different climate conditions.},
}
@article {pmid39461512,
year = {2024},
author = {Adeyeri, OE and Folorunsho, AH and Adeliyi, TE and Ayegbusi, IK and Akinsanola, AA and Ndehedehe, CE and Ahmed, N and Babalola, TE},
title = {Climate change is intensifying rainfall erosivity and soil erosion in West Africa.},
journal = {The Science of the total environment},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {177174},
doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.177174},
pmid = {39461512},
issn = {1879-1026},
abstract = {Soil erosion is a critical environmental challenge with significant implications for agriculture, water quality, and ecosystem stability. Understanding its dynamics is essential for sustainable environmental management and societal welfare. Here, we analyze rainfall erosivity and erosion patterns across West Africa (WAF) during the historical (1982-2014), near future (2028-2060), and far future (2068-2100) periods under Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs 370 and 585). Using bias-corrected-downscaled (BCD) climate models validated against reference data, we ensure an accurate representation of rainfall-a key driver of erosivity (R-factor) and soil erosion. We compare Renard's approach and the Modified Fournier Index (MFI) to calculate the R-factor and note a strong correlation. However, Renard's method shows slightly lower accuracy in Sierra Leone, Guinea, and The Gambia, likely due to its inability to capture high-intensity, short-duration rainfall events. In contrast, the MFI, utilizing continuous rain gauge data, proves more reliable for these regions. We also attribute fluctuations in erosivity, such as those seen during the 2003 West Africa floods, to synoptic weather patterns influenced by multiple climate processes. Furthermore, our analysis reveals regions where future soil erosion could exceed 20 t/ha/yr due to climate change. Under the SSP 370 scenario, soil erosion in WAF is projected to rise by 14.84 % in the near future and 18.65 % in the far future, increasing further under SSP 585 to 19.86 % and 23.49 %, respectively. The most severe increases are expected in Benin and Nigeria, with Nigeria potentially facing a 66.41 % rise in erosion by the far future under SSP 585. These findings highlight the region's exposure to intensified climatic conditions and underscore the urgent need for targeted soil management and climate adaptation strategies to mitigate erosion's ecological and socioeconomic impacts.},
}
@article {pmid39460932,
year = {2024},
author = {Alum, EU},
title = {Climate change and its impact on the bioactive compound profile of medicinal plants: implications for global health.},
journal = {Plant signaling &amp; behavior},
volume = {19},
number = {1},
pages = {2419683},
doi = {10.1080/15592324.2024.2419683},
pmid = {39460932},
issn = {1559-2324},
}
@article {pmid39460732,
year = {2024},
author = {Zhang, FX and Li, HL and Wan, JZ and Wang, CJ},
title = {Identifying key monitoring areas for tree insect pest risks in China under climate change.},
journal = {Journal of economic entomology},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1093/jee/toae215},
pmid = {39460732},
issn = {1938-291X},
support = {3190073//Fondecyt project/ ; },
abstract = {Climate change can exacerbate pest population growth, posing significant threats to ecosystem functions and services, social development, and food security. Risk assessment is a valuable tool for effective pest management that identifies potential pest expansion and ecosystem dispersal patterns. We applied a habitat suitability model coupled with priority protection planning software to determine key monitoring areas (KMA) for tree insect pest risks under climate change and used forest ecoregions and nature reserves to assess the ecological risk of insect pest invasion. Finally, we collated the prevention and control measures for reducing future pest invasions. The KMA for tree insect pests in our current and future climate is mainly concentrated in eastern and southern China. However, with climate change, the KMA gradually expands from southeastern to northeastern China. In the current and future climate scenarios, ecoregions requiring high monitoring levels were restricted to the eastern and southern coastal areas of China, and nature reserves requiring the highest monitoring levels were mainly distributed in southeastern China. Tree insect pest invasion assessment using ecoregions and nature reserves identified that future climates increase the risk of pest invasions in forest ecoregions and nature reserves, especially in northeastern China. The increased risk and severity of tree insect pest invasions require implementing monitoring and preventative measures in these areas. We effectively assessed the pest invasion risks using forest ecoregions and nature reserves under climate change. Our assessments suggest that monitoring and early prevention should focus on southeastern and northeastern China.},
}
@article {pmid39458873,
year = {2024},
author = {Flores, A and Flores-Ortíz, CM and Dávila-Aranda, PD and Rodríguez-Arévalo, NI and Sampayo-Maldonado, S and Cabrera-Santos, D and Gianella, M and Ulian, T},
title = {The Germination Performance After Dormancy Breaking of Leucaena diversifolia (Schltdl.) Benth. Seeds in a Thermal Gradient and Its Distribution Under Climate Change Scenarios.},
journal = {Plants (Basel, Switzerland)},
volume = {13},
number = {20},
pages = {},
pmid = {39458873},
issn = {2223-7747},
support = {IG200323//Technological Research and Innovation Support Program (PAPIIT), UNAM/ ; },
abstract = {Climate change models predict temperature increases, which may affect germination, an important stage in the recruitment of individuals in agroecosystems. Therefore, it is crucial to conduct research on how temperature will impact the germination of multipurpose native species. Leucaena diversifolia (Schltdl.) Benth. is native to America and is commonly cultivated around the world due to having a high protein content in seeds, and their trees are used in agrosilvopastoral systems because they fix nitrogen and provide shade and cattle feed. However, climate change affects the critical phases of its life cycle and influences its growth, reproduction, phenology, and distribution. To assess the germination performance of Leucaena diversifolia under different temperatures throughout thermal times, we estimated germination variables and determined cardinal temperatures and thermal time; we also analysed germination and potential distribution under two climate change scenarios. We found significant variations in seed germination (78-98%) and differences in cardinal temperatures (Tb = 5.17 and 7.6 °C, To = 29.42 and 29.54 °C, and Tc = 39.45 and 39.76 °C). On the other hand, the sub-optimal and supra-optimal temperature values showed little differences: 51.34 and 55.57 °Cd. The models used showed variations in germination time for the analysed scenarios and the potential distribution. We confirm that the populations and distribution of L. diversifolia will be altered due to climate changes, but the species retains the ability to germinate under warmer conditions.},
}
@article {pmid39458826,
year = {2024},
author = {Mir, R and Mircea, DM and Ruiz-González, MX and Brocal-Rubio, P and Boscaiu, M and Vicente, O},
title = {Cakile maritima: A Halophyte Model to Study Salt Tolerance Mechanisms and Potential Useful Crop for Sustainable Saline Agriculture in the Context of Climate Change.},
journal = {Plants (Basel, Switzerland)},
volume = {13},
number = {20},
pages = {},
pmid = {39458826},
issn = {2223-7747},
abstract = {Salinity is an increasing problem for agriculture. Most plant species tolerate low or, at best, moderate soil salinities. However, a small (<1%) proportion of species, termed halophytes, can survive and complete their life cycle in natural habitats with salinities equivalent to 200 mM NaCl or more. Cakile maritima is a succulent annual halophyte belonging to the Brassicaceae family; it is dispersed worldwide and mainly grows in foreshores. Cakile maritima growth is optimal under slight (i.e., 100 mM NaCl) saline conditions, measured by biomass and seed production. Higher salt concentrations, up to 500 mM NaCl, significantly impact its growth but do not compromise its survival. Cakile maritima alleviates sodium toxicity through different strategies, including anatomical and morphological adaptations, ion transport regulation, biosynthesis of osmolytes, and activation of antioxidative mechanisms. The species is potentially useful as a cash crop for the so-called biosaline agriculture due to its production of secondary metabolites of medical and nutritional interest and the high oil accumulation in its seeds. In this review, we highlight the relevance of this species as a model for studying the basic mechanisms of salt tolerance and for sustainable biosaline agriculture in the context of soil salination and climate change.},
}
@article {pmid39458793,
year = {2024},
author = {Poudel, A and Adhikari, P and Adhikari, P and Choi, SH and Yun, JY and Lee, YH and Hong, SH},
title = {Predicting the Invasion Risk of the Highly Invasive Acacia mearnsii in Asia under Global Climate Change.},
journal = {Plants (Basel, Switzerland)},
volume = {13},
number = {20},
pages = {},
pmid = {39458793},
issn = {2223-7747},
support = {RS-2024-00400922//Ministry of Agriculture, Food and Rural Affairs/ ; },
abstract = {Acacia mearnsii, among the 100 worst invasive weeds worldwide, negatively impacts native biodiversity, agriculture, and natural ecosystems. Global climate change, characterized by rising temperatures and altered precipitation patterns, enhances the risk of A. mearnsii invasion in Asia, making it crucial to identify high-risk areas for effective management. This study performed species distribution modeling using the maximum entropy (MaxEnt) algorithm to predict the potential introduction and spread of A. mearnsii under various climate scenarios based on shared socio-economic pathways (SSP2-4.5 and SSP5-8.5). Currently, only 4.35% of Asia is invaded, with a high invasion risk identified in six countries, including Bhutan, Lebanon, and Taiwan, where more than 75% of their areas are threatened. Under future climate scenarios, 21 countries face invasion risk, among which 14 countries, such as Georgia, Laos, Republic of Korea, and Turkey, are at moderate to very high risk, potentially encompassing up to 87.89% of their territories. Conversely, Northern Asian countries exhibit minimal changes in invasion risk and are considered relatively safe from invasion. These findings underscore that climate change will exacerbate invasion risks across Asia, emphasizing the urgent need for robust management strategies, including stringent quarantine measures and control efforts, to mitigate the threat of A. mearnsii expansion.},
}
@article {pmid39455435,
year = {2024},
author = {Casteli Figueiredo Gallardo, AL and Bond, A},
title = {A Nature-based Solutions Framework for Embedding Climate Change Mitigation and Adaptation into Urban Land Use Plans through Strategic Environmental Assessment (SEA).},
journal = {Environmental management},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
pmid = {39455435},
issn = {1432-1009},
support = {2023/14.497-6//Funda&#xe7;&#xe3;o de Amparo &#xe0; Pesquisa do Estado de S&#xe3;o Paulo/ ; },
abstract = {Climate change impacts comprise a particular challenge for authorities when reconciling the implications of land use planning decisions. Whilst Strategic Environmental Assessment (SEA) is typically applied to the development of urban land use plans, the selection of mitigation and adaptation strategies for climate change impacts can have knock-on effects on nature. However, Nature-based Solutions (NbSs) could provide an innovative means of addressing climate change mitigation and adaptation without these knock-on effects. The main aim of this research is therefore to propose a conceptual framework for embedding NbSs into the main stages of the SEA process to potentially enhance climate change mitigation and adaptation in urban land use planning. This is achieved through a systematic literature review of academic and grey literature sources, with subsequent content analysis. This study demonstrates the value of matching these manifold NbS approaches to climate change impacts potentially addressed in SEA process stages and suggests how this might be achieved in practice focusing on urban land use plans.},
}
@article {pmid39455129,
year = {2024},
author = {An, M and Wei, YQ and He, WJ and Huang, J and Fang, X and Song, MF and Wang, B},
title = {[Impact of Climate Change and Human Activities on the Ecological Sensitivity of the Yangtze River Economic Belt].},
journal = {Huan jing ke xue= Huanjing kexue},
volume = {45},
number = {10},
pages = {5833-5843},
doi = {10.13227/j.hjkx.202311071},
pmid = {39455129},
issn = {0250-3301},
mesh = {China ; *Climate Change ; *Rivers ; *Ecosystem ; Human Activities ; Conservation of Natural Resources ; Humans ; Environmental Monitoring ; Economic Development ; },
abstract = {The increasing climate change and human activities exert their influence on the ecological sensitivity of the region individually and interactively. Therefore, a clear understanding of the impact of climate change and human activities on ecological sensitivity will enhance the resilience of the regional ecological environment and the level of sustainable development. This study took the Yangtze River Economic Belt, the first demonstration zone of China's ecological civilization construction, as the research object. Based on the meteorological, remote sensing, and statistical data of 130 cities in the whole region from 2001 to 2021, an index system of climate change, human activities, and ecological sensitivity was constructed. Response surface methodology （RSM） was used to explore the effects of climate and anthropogenic single factors and interactions on the ecological sensitivity in each region. The results showed that： ① The ecological sensitivity value of the belt fluctuated and rose in time, rising by 2.2% from 2001 to 2021. In terms of space, the overall spatial distribution was "high in the north and low in the south." In 2021, the proportion of severely and extremely sensitive cities in the Yangtze River Economic Belt reached nearly 50%. ② For a single factor, the distribution of the effect of the same factor had certain characteristics： The areas where the single factors of economic development, rainfall, and temperature had a positive impact on the ecological sensitivity were concentrated in the areas with higher or faster economic development, along and south of the Yangtze River. For the interaction factors, the effect of 78.6% of the factors on the ecological sensitivity was negative interaction, and the change of one factor level would change the direction of the effect of the other factor on the regional sensitivity. ③ The comprehensive ecological management area of the Yangtze River Economic Belt was divided based on the ecological sensitivity and climate sensitivity. The governance areas that needed priority improvement were clustered within the three urban agglomerations and their northern adjacent areas, which meant that the ecological sensitivity and climate sensitivity of a city had spillover effects. This study is expected to provide inspiration for the economic zone and even the national and global efforts in the field of regional ecological governance.},
}
@article {pmid39454798,
year = {2024},
author = {Yang, F and Matthew, C and Pu, X and Li, X and Nan, Z},
title = {Patterns of foliar fungal diseases and the effects on aboveground biomass in alpine meadow under simulated climate change.},
journal = {The Science of the total environment},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {177026},
doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.177026},
pmid = {39454798},
issn = {1879-1026},
}
@article {pmid39452615,
year = {2024},
author = {Duijvestein, M and Sidhu, R and Zimmermann, K and Carrington, EV and Hann, A and Sousa, P and Touw, HRW and van Hooft, JE and Müller, M},
title = {The United European Gastroenterology green paper-climate change and gastroenterology.},
journal = {United European gastroenterology journal},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1002/ueg2.12698},
pmid = {39452615},
issn = {2050-6414},
abstract = {Climate change, described by the World Health Organization (WHO) in 2021 as 'the single biggest health threat facing humanity', causes extreme weather, disrupts food supplies, and increases the prevalence of diseases, thereby affecting human health, medical practice, and healthcare stability. Greener Gastroenterology is an important movement that has the potential to make a real difference in reducing the impact of the delivery of healthcare, on the environment. The WHO defines an environmentally sustainable health system as one which would improve, maintain or restore health while minimizing negative environmental impacts. Gastroenterologists encounter the impacts of climate change in daily patient care. Alterations in the gut microbiome and dietary habits, air pollution, heat waves, and the distribution of infectious diseases result in changed disease patterns affecting gastrointestinal and hepatic health, with particularly severe impacts on vulnerable groups such as children, adolescents, and the elderly. Additionally, women are disproportionally affected, since climate change can exacerbate gender inequalities. Paradoxically, while healthcare aims to improve health, the sector is responsible for 4.4% of global carbon emissions. Endoscopy is a significant waste producer in healthcare, being the third highest generator with 3.09 kg of waste per day per bed, contributing to the carbon footprint of the GI sector. Solutions to the climate crisis can offer significant health co-benefits. Steps to reduce our carbon footprint include fostering a Planetary Health Diet and implementing measures for greener healthcare, such as telemedicine, digitalization, education, and research on sustainable healthcare practices. Adhering to the principles of 'reduce, reuse, recycle' is crucial. Reducing unnecessary procedures, which constitute a significant portion of endoscopies, can significantly decrease the carbon footprint and enhance sustainability. This position paper by the United European Gastroenterology aims to raise awareness and outline key principles that the GI workforce can adopt to tackle the climate crisis together.},
}
@article {pmid39452401,
year = {2024},
author = {Bian, H and Yu, S and Li, W and Lu, J and Jia, C and Mao, J and Fu, Q and Song, Y and Cai, P},
title = {Impact of Climate Change on Peach Fruit Moth Phenology: A Regional Perspective from China.},
journal = {Insects},
volume = {15},
number = {10},
pages = {},
pmid = {39452401},
issn = {2075-4450},
support = {202310397007, 202310397025//Innovation and Entrepreneurship Training Program for College Students at National Level/ ; N2023Z007//Nanping Academy of Resource Industrialization Chemistry Project/ ; N2023J004//Key Project of the Nanping Natural Fund/ ; 2023XQ019//Key Technological Innovation and Industrialization Project/ ; NP2021KTS04//Special Funds for Technological Representative/ ; },
abstract = {It is widely recognized that the phenology of insects, of which the life activities are closely tied to temperature, is shifting in response to global climate warming. This study aimed to investigate the impacts of climate change on the phenology of Carposina sasakii Matsumura, 1900 (Lepidoptera: Carposinidae) across large temporal and spatial scales, through collecting and systematically analyzing historical data on the pest's occurrence and population dynamics in China. The results showed that for overwintering adults, the first occurrence date in eastern, northwestern, and northern China has significantly advanced, along with the population peak in eastern and northwestern China. At the provincial level, the population peak date in Shandong province has also moved significantly earlier, as well as the population peak date in Shandong and Shaanxi and the end occurrence date in Ningxia. However, the population peak date in Jilin has experienced a delayed trend. For first-generation adults, the first occurrence date in northeastern, eastern, and central China has notably advanced, while the first appearance date in northwestern and northern China has significantly delayed. Additionally, the population peak in northwestern China has experienced significant delays, along with the final occurrence in northeastern and northwestern China. At the provincial level, the first occurrence date in Liaoning, Shandong, and Shanxi has significantly advanced, while Hebei has demonstrated a significant delay. The population peak time in Gansu and Shaanxi has displayed significant delays, and the end occurrence date in Liaoning, Shanxi, and Shaanxi has also shown significant delays. Furthermore, these findings integrated with the Pearson correlation results reveal spatial heterogeneity in C. sasakii's phenological responses to climate warming at both regional and provincial scales. The phenology of C. sasakii and their changing patterns with climate warming vary by geographical location. This study provides valuable information for the future monitoring, prediction, and prevention of peach fruit moths in the context of climate warming.},
}
@article {pmid39452396,
year = {2024},
author = {Kim, SY and Lim, C and Kang, JH and Bae, YJ},
title = {The Effect of Climate Change on Indicator Wetland Insects: Predicting the Current and Future Distribution of Two Giant Water Bugs (Hemiptera: Belostomatidae) in South Korea.},
journal = {Insects},
volume = {15},
number = {10},
pages = {},
pmid = {39452396},
issn = {2075-4450},
abstract = {Giant water bugs (Hemiptera: Belostomatidae) are top predators in wetland ecosystems, serving as biological indicators of the health of lentic ecosystems and as effective biological control agents for freshwater snails and mosquitoes. This study aimed to predict the current and future distribution of two Korean giant water bugs, Appasus japonicus and Diplonychus esakii, under three climate change scenarios, contributing to the sustainable management of wetland ecosystems in South Korea. Using MaxEnt models, we employed seven climatic and three non-climatic variables to investigate the habitat preferences and distribution patterns of the species. The results revealed that A. japonicus is likely to experience a northward range contraction due to climate change, while D. esakii is predicted to expand its distribution northward without losing its current range. These responses may lead to occupancy turnover between the two species, potentially driving reassembly in aquatic organism community. Elevation was the primary factor influencing the distribution of A. japonicus, whereas annual mean temperature was the most informative variable for D. esakii, both factors derived under the current climate conditions. These findings suggest that both species are highly sensitive to climate change, with potential range shifts toward higher latitudes and elevations. This study provides insights into how climate change could impact two giant water bugs, thereby supporting future efforts to manage and conserve wetland ecosystems in this country.},
}
@article {pmid39452369,
year = {2024},
author = {Cruz, TMP and Buchmann, SL and Prudic, KL},
title = {Buzzing towards Resilience: Investigating the Spatial Alignment of the Desert Pallid Bee, Centris pallida, and Its Host Plants in Response to Climate Change.},
journal = {Insects},
volume = {15},
number = {10},
pages = {},
pmid = {39452369},
issn = {2075-4450},
support = {1929499//National Science Foundation/ ; },
abstract = {Wild bees are vital for the pollination of native plants and crops, providing essential ecosystem services. Climate change is known to impact biodiversity and species distributions, but insects adapted to desert ecosystems may exhibit unique physiological, behavioral, and evolutionary responses. The desert pallid bee (C. pallida), a solitary bee native to the arid southwestern United States and northern Mexico, primarily forages on yellow palo verde (P. microphylla), blue palo verde (P. florida), and desert ironwood (O. tesota). This study used MaxEnt to estimate the current and projected geographical overlap of suitable habitats for C. pallida and its host plants. Here, we used MaxEnt to estimate the current and forecasted overlapping geographically suitable habitat of C. pallida with all three host plants. We forecasted potential environmentally suitable areas for each species to the year 2040 using the current distribution model and climate projections with moderate CO2 levels. We found a continued spatial alignment in the suitable area of the bee and its host plants with a 70% increase in the range overlap area, though shifted to higher average altitudes and a slight northern expansion. These findings may provide insight to stakeholders on the conservation needs of desert-dwelling pollinators.},
}
@article {pmid39452332,
year = {2024},
author = {Wu, Y and Xu, D and Peng, Y and Zhuo, Z},
title = {Mapping Species Distributions of Latoia consocia Walker under Climate Change Using Current Geographical Presence Data and MAXENT (CMIP 6).},
journal = {Insects},
volume = {15},
number = {10},
pages = {},
pmid = {39452332},
issn = {2075-4450},
support = {20A007, 20E051, 21E040 and 22kA011//China West Normal University/ ; 2022NSFSC0986//Sichuan Province Science and Technology/ ; },
abstract = {Latoia consocia Walker is an important phytophagous pest that has rapidly spread across North China in recent years, posing a severe threat to related plants. To study the impact of climatic conditions on its distribution and to predict its distribution under current and future climate conditions, the MaxEnt niche model and ArcGIS 10.8 software were used. The results showed that the MaxEnt model performs well in predicting the distribution of L. consocia, with an AUC value of 0.913. The annual precipitation (Bio12), the precipitation of the driest month (Bio14), the temperature annual range (Bio7), and the minimum temperature of the coldest month (Bio6) are key environmental factors affecting the potential distribution of L. consocia. Under current climate conditions, L. consocia has a highly suitable growth area of 2243 km[2] in China, among which Taiwan has the largest high-suitable area with a total area of 1450 km[2]. With climate warming, the potential habitat area for L. consocia shows an overall decreasing trend in future. This work provides a scientific basis for research on pest control and ecological protection. A "graded response" detection and early warning system, as well as prevention and control strategies, can be developed for potentially suitable areas to effectively address this pest challenge.},
}
@article {pmid39452112,
year = {2024},
author = {Zhang, Y and Yang, H and Jiamahate, A and Yang, H and Cao, L and Dang, Y and Lu, Z and Yang, Z and Bozorov, TA and Wang, X},
title = {Potential Ecological Distribution of the Beetle Agrilus mali Matsumura (Coleoptera: Buprestidae) in China under Three Climate Change Scenarios, with Consequences for Commercial and Wild Apple Forests.},
journal = {Biology},
volume = {13},
number = {10},
pages = {},
pmid = {39452112},
issn = {2079-7737},
support = {2022B03020//the Key Research and Development Project of Xinjiang Uygur Autonomous Region/ ; 2016YFC0501503-1-1//the National Key R&amp;D Program of China/ ; 201404403//the Special Fund for Forest Scientific Research in the Public Welfare/ ; },
abstract = {The apple jewel beetle (AJB), Agrilus mali Matsumura (Coleoptera: Buprestidae), is a dangerous pest of commercial apple orchards across China, the largest apple production country in the world, and has recently become invasive in the Xinjiang Uygur Autonomous Region (XUAR) of northwestern China, where wild apple forests also occur. This pest poses a serious threat to apple production and wild apple forests throughout the world. Global warming is expected to change the geographical distribution of A. mali in China, but the extent of this is unknown. Based on empirical data from 1951 to 2000, a MaxEnt model was used to forecast the ecological distribution of A. mali under three different climate scenarios projected in the fifth report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. The results showed that the most important variables were the maximum temperature of November, precipitation in January, and minimum temperatures in April. Under all climate scenarios, the forecasted suitable regions for A. mali in China will expand northward in the 2050s and 2070s. The forecasted highly suitable regions will be 1.11-1.34 times larger than they are currently, and their central distributions will be 61.57-167.59 km further north. These findings suggest that the range and damage caused by A. mali in China will increase dramatically in the future. Monitoring and management measures should be implemented urgently to protect both the commercial apple industry and wild apple resources.},
}
@article {pmid39451084,
year = {2024},
author = {Roucka, TM},
title = {Dentistry's ethical responsibility to patients' overall health through sustainable practices and climate change awareness.},
journal = {General dentistry},
volume = {72},
number = {6},
pages = {17-19},
pmid = {39451084},
issn = {0363-6771},
}
@article {pmid39451046,
year = {2024},
author = {Atta, MHR and El-Sayed, AAI and Taleb, F and Elsayed, SM and Al Shurafi, SO and Altaheri, A and Abdu Almoliky, M and Asal, MGR},
title = {The Climate-Asthma Connection: Examining the Influence of Climate Change Anxiety on Asthma Control and Quality of Life: A Multi-National Study.},
journal = {Journal of advanced nursing},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1111/jan.16513},
pmid = {39451046},
issn = {1365-2648},
support = {PSAU/2024/R/1445//Prince Sattam bin Abdulaziz University/ ; },
abstract = {AIMS: This study aims to identify the impact of climate change anxiety and asthma control on asthmatics' quality of life and examine the moderating role of climate change anxiety in this linkage.<br><br>METHOD: A multi-national cross-sectional study was conducted in four Arabian countries on 1266 asthmatics selected by convenience sampling. Data were collected from November 2023 to February 2024 using a climate anxiety scale, mini-asthma quality of life questionnaire, and an asthma control questionnaire.<br><br>RESULTS: Climate anxiety was higher among middle-aged participants, as well as those with longer disease durations and previous hospitalisations. Climate anxiety showed strong negative correlations with asthma control (r&#x2009;=&#x2009;-0.704, p&#x2009;&#x2264;&#x2009;0.05) and asthma quality of life (r&#x2009;=&#x2009;- 0.638, p&#x2009;&#x2264;&#x2009;0.05). Climate anxiety and asthma control are powerful predictors of quality of life among asthmatics. Climate anxiety moderates the relationship between asthma control and quality of life, making it less positive (B&#x2009;=&#x2009;-0.094, p&#x2009;>&#x2009;0.001). Covariates such as gender, age, comorbidities, employment status, disease duration, and previous hospitalisation showed significant associations with asthma quality of life.<br><br>Assessment and mitigation of climate anxiety among asthmatics is a key strategy for controlling asthma and improving the quality of life. So, nurses must incorporate climate anxiety assessment into the care plan for asthmatics.<br><br>IMPACT: Climate change is a global concern, and insights into how climate-related psychological stressors exacerbate asthma symptoms and overall health outcomes are necessary. The findings provide actionable data for healthcare professionals to underscore the need for integrated healthcare approaches considering environmental and psychological factors.<br><br>REPORTING METHOD: This study adheres to strengthening the reporting of observational studies in epidemiology (STROBE) statement.<br><br>Clients with asthma across multiple nationalities actively contributed to our paper.},
}
@article {pmid39450078,
year = {2024},
author = {Plantevin, M and Merpault, Y and Lecourt, J and Destrac-Irvine, A and Dijsktra, L and van Leeuwen, C},
title = {Characterization of varietal effects on the acidity and pH of grape berries for selection of varieties better adapted to climate change.},
journal = {Frontiers in plant science},
volume = {15},
number = {},
pages = {1439114},
pmid = {39450078},
issn = {1664-462X},
abstract = {Climate change is drastically modifying berry composition and wine quality across the world. Most wine regions with a history of winemaking are suffering from a loss of typicity and terroir expression because of climate change impact on berry components at harvest, including wine acidity, with total acidity decreasing and pH increasing. Such changes can have a major impact on wine stability and quality. One important option for adaptation is the selection of grapevine varieties better adapted to warmer and drier conditions. Weekly measurement of tartaric acid, malic acid, pH and titratable acidity from veraison until maturity were carried out on 51 varieties over seven years in two experimental plots. Varietal differences were shown for the rate of malic acid degradation during the ripening period, with some varieties metabolizing malic acid faster per unit of thermal time than others. Some varietal differences were also noticed regarding tartaric acid modulation, which can occur under exceptionally high temperatures. Differences in the dynamics of pH evolution in grape must over the growing season were evaluated and varieties characterized with regard to organic acids (tartaric acid and malic acid), inorganic compounds (cations) as well as pH levels and stability. This multi-trait approach allows the selection of grapevine varieties based on parameters linked to their acidity, which is of particular importance in the context of climate change.},
}
@article {pmid39449446,
year = {2024},
author = {Portela Dos Santos, O and Perruchoud, &#xc9; and Pereira, F and Alves, P and Verloo, H},
title = {Measuring Nurses' Knowledge and Awareness of Climate Change and Climate-Associated Diseases: Systematic Review of Existing Instruments.},
journal = {Nursing reports (Pavia, Italy)},
volume = {14},
number = {4},
pages = {2850-2876},
pmid = {39449446},
issn = {2039-4403},
abstract = {BACKGROUND: As early as 1995, the Institute of Medicine suggested that nurses were inadequately prepared for and educated about climate change and its health consequences. The aim of this systematic review is to identify the most reliable, robust, and valid instruments for measuring nurses' knowledge and awareness of climate change and climate-associated diseases.<br><br>METHODS: Included studies were appraised using the Mixed-Methods Appraisal Tool and the Appraisal tool for Cross-Sectional Studies. The psychometrics and clinimetrics of the instruments were evaluated using the COSMIN Risk of Bias checklist and the COSMIN methodology for assessing content validity.<br><br>RESULTS: Medline, PubMed, Embase, CINAHL Ebesco, Cochrane Library Wiley, Web of Science Core Collection, Trip Database, JBI OVID SP, GreenFILE EBSCO, Google Scholar, ProQuest Dissertations and Theses Global, and DART-EU were consulted. The 14 studies retained identified eight different instruments evaluating attitudes, perceptions, environmental awareness, environmental sensitivity, environmental attitudes, behaviours, motivation, concern, optimism, and experience. This review is reported according to the PRISMA guidelines.<br><br>CONCLUSIONS: The New Ecological Paradigm Scale (NEPS) and the Climate, Health, and Nursing Tool (CHANT) are the most reliable, robust, and valid instruments for measuring nurses' knowledge and awareness of climate change and climate-associated diseases.},
}
@article {pmid39448839,
year = {2024},
author = {Cael, BB and Bisson, K and Boss, E and Dutkiewicz, S and Henson, S},
title = {Author Correction: Global climate-change trends detected in indicators of ocean ecology.},
journal = {Nature},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1038/s41586-024-08090-9},
pmid = {39448839},
issn = {1476-4687},
}
@article {pmid39448075,
year = {2024},
author = {Roveri, G and Crespi, A and Eisendle, F and Rauch, S and Corradini, P and Steger, S and Zebisch, M and Strapazzon, G},
title = {Climate change and human health in Alpine environments: an interdisciplinary impact chain approach understanding today's risks to address tomorrow's challenges.},
journal = {BMJ global health},
volume = {8},
number = {Suppl 3},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1136/bmjgh-2023-014431},
pmid = {39448075},
issn = {2059-7908},
mesh = {Humans ; *Climate Change ; Altitude ; Europe ; },
abstract = {The European Alps, home to a blend of permanent residents and millions of annual tourists, are found to be particularly sensitive to climate change. This article employs the impact chain concept to explore the interplay between climate change and health in Alpine areas, offering an interdisciplinary assessment of current and future health consequences and potential adaptation strategies.Rising temperatures, shifting precipitation patterns and increasing extreme weather events have profound implications for the Alpine regions. Temperatures have risen significantly over the past century, with projections indicating further increases and more frequent heatwaves. These trends increase the risk of heat-related health issues especially for vulnerable groups, including the elderly, frail individuals, children and recreationists. Furthermore, changing precipitation patterns, glacier retreat and permafrost melting adversely impact slope stability increasing the risk of gravity-driven natural hazards like landslides, avalanches and rockfalls. This poses direct threats, elevates the risk of multi-casualty incidents and strains search and rescue teams.The environmental changes also impact Alpine flora and fauna, altering the distribution and transmission of vector-borne diseases. Such events directly impact healthcare administration and management programmes, which are already challenged by surges in tourism and ensuring access to care.In conclusion, Alpine regions must proactively address these climate change-related health risks through an interdisciplinary approach, considering both preventive and responsive adaptation strategies, which we describe in this article.},
}
@article {pmid39446240,
year = {2024},
author = {Kar, G and Singh, AK and Datta, D},
title = {Potential impact of climate change on water productivity and water footprints of rice and wheat in the Indo-Gangetic plains of India.},
journal = {Environmental monitoring and assessment},
volume = {196},
number = {11},
pages = {1101},
pmid = {39446240},
issn = {1573-2959},
mesh = {India ; *Climate Change ; *Oryza/growth &amp; development ; *Triticum/growth &amp; development ; *Agriculture ; *Water Supply/statistics &amp; numerical data ; Crops, Agricultural/growth &amp; development ; Environmental Monitoring ; Water ; },
abstract = {Agriculture faces a significant problem as a result of the decline in per capita freshwater supply that has been observed over the past couple of decades. Better water management strategies are required in order to make agriculture water secure, environmentally sustainable, and economically attractive. The goal of this study was to develop water productivity scenarios for rice and wheat crops in India's Indo-Gangetic Plain (IGP) by analysing agricultural production from the perspective of water consumption. To pinpoint the areas that are hydrologically suitable for growing rice and wheat crops under RCP4.5 and RCP8.5 climate change scenarios, water footprints and water productivity have been mapped. The study found that changes in temperature trends under future climate scenarios are probably going to increase crop water requirements, leading to greater water footprints for IGP regions. Water risk hotspots have been identified in the IGP for the rice- and wheat-growing states of Uttar Pradesh, Punjab, and Haryana. In order to achieve food security in a sustainable way, attention should be given to increase the water productivity of both crops.},
}
@article {pmid39444644,
year = {2024},
author = {Do, V and Parks, RM and Casey, JA and Goin, DE and Kioumourtzoglou, MA},
title = {Use, limitations, and future directions of mixtures approaches to understand the health impacts of weather- and climate change-related exposures, an under-studied aspect of the exposome.},
journal = {Exposome},
volume = {4},
number = {1},
pages = {osae007},
pmid = {39444644},
issn = {2635-2265},
abstract = {The exposome concept aims to account for the comprehensive and cumulative effects of physical, chemical, biological, and psychosocial influences on biological systems. To date, limited exposome research has explicitly included climate change-related exposures. We define these exposures as those that will intensify with climate change, including direct effects like extreme heat, tropical cyclones, wildfires, downstream effects like air pollution, power outages, and limited or contaminated food and water supplies. These climate change-related exposures can occur individually or simultaneously. Here, we discuss the concept of a climate mixture, defined as three or more simultaneous climate change-related exposures, in the context of the exposome. In a motivating climate mixture example, we consider the impact of a co-occurring tropical cyclone, power outage, and flooding on respiratory hospitalizations. We identify current gaps and future directions for assessing the effect of climate mixtures on health. Mixtures methods allow us to incorporate climate mixtures into exposomics.},
}
@article {pmid39442400,
year = {2024},
author = {Kreibich, J and Bino, G and Zheng, H and Chiew, F and Glamore, W and Woods, J and Kingsford, RT},
title = {River regulation and climate change reduce river flows to major Australian floodplain wetland.},
journal = {Journal of environmental management},
volume = {370},
number = {},
pages = {122962},
doi = {10.1016/j.jenvman.2024.122962},
pmid = {39442400},
issn = {1095-8630},
abstract = {Freshwater ecosystems, including rivers and floodplain wetlands, face severe stress from unsustainable water resources development, with climate change exerting further pressure. This study compares the relative effects of river regulation and projected climate change on river flows to the semi-arid Lowbidgee Floodplain (3250 km[2]), the largest wetland ecosystem on the heavily regulated Murrumbidgee River, Australia's second longest river, within the Murray-Darling Basin. We modelled annual natural streamflow in the lower Murrumbidgee River before major dam constructions and water diversions (1890-1927), linking river flows to runoff from the upper Murrumbidgee catchment. Extending this analysis to the full rainfall-runoff dataset (1890-2018), we compared modelled natural flows to observed river flows affected by dams and water withdrawals. Additionally, we modelled climate change impacts on river discharge and overbank flows, which reduced inundation of riparian habitats. Current river regulation has reduced median annual streamflow by 43% from 2565 × 10[6] m[3] to 1490 × 10[6] m[3] during 1958-2018, relative to modelled natural flows, with a more pronounced 55% reduction in the last three decades (1988-2018). The return period of major overbank flows, essential for river-floodplain habitat connectivity, more than doubled from once every 2.0 years to once every 4.4 years (1916-2018). Mean climate change projections indicated an additional 7-10% decrease in median annual streamflow by 2047-2075, relative to 1977-2005. The annual duration of major floods declined from an average of 11.3 days under natural flow conditions to 4.5 days under the current regulated river flow regime, with a further reduction to 1.6-1.8 days (83-85% decrease) projected by 2047-2075, due to climate change. We recommend prioritising mitigation of river regulation effects, as these pose the most immediate threats to riverine ecosystems, including their native biodiversity, in the Murrumbidgee River catchment. Our 'natural flow' model offers critical insights for shaping environmental policy and managing environmental flows to mimic natural flow regimes, supporting the conservation and restoration of freshwater ecosystems, like the Lowbidgee Floodplain wetlands. Our approach is transferable to other large river systems globally, using available or modelled streamflow data.},
}
@article {pmid39442399,
year = {2024},
author = {Eva, EA and Marzen, LJ and Lamba, J and Ahsanullah, SM and Mitra, C},
title = {Projection of land use and land cover changes based on land change modeler and integrating both land use land cover and climate change on the hydrological response of Big Creek Lake Watershed, South Alabama.},
journal = {Journal of environmental management},
volume = {370},
number = {},
pages = {122923},
doi = {10.1016/j.jenvman.2024.122923},
pmid = {39442399},
issn = {1095-8630},
abstract = {Changing land use/land cover (LULC) and climate substantially affect the hydrological components of a watershed. This study explored the future impact of the hydrological responses due to the changing LULC and climate on the Big Creek Lake watershed in Alabama, USA, from 2021 to 2050 using the Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT). Five climate model datasets were used under the moderate scenario (Representative Concentrative Pathways 4.5) and the extreme scenario (Representative Concentrative Pathways 8.5), and the datasets were downscaled and bias-corrected. In addition, changing the LULC of five categories was predicted by Cellular Automata Markov (CA- Markov). With these data combined with the elevation (Digital Elevation Model), soils, and weather data, the SWAT model was calibrated and validated for the studied watershed to quantify how climate change will affect streamflow, nitrogen, and phosphorus. Our results indicate streamflow will increase due to the 50-acre increase in urban LULC. As streamflow increases, the percolation, surface runoff, lateral flow, groundwater flow, and water yield will also increase because the streamflow impacts these hydrological components. Moreover, the increase rate in streamflow is the same for all the components for January, February, and March. Therefore, there is a strong correlation between these months. On the contrary, evaporation will be high in May, June, and July because of the increasing temperature and streamflow. However, the changes in the water hydrological parameters and total nitrogen and phosphorus will be more intense in RCP8.5 than in RCP4.5.},
}
@article {pmid39442151,
year = {2024},
author = {Souza, IL and Cuzzuol, GRF and Meneses, LFT},
title = {Ecophysiological responses of bromelias in the restinga in simulated climate change scenarios.},
journal = {Brazilian journal of biology = Revista brasleira de biologia},
volume = {84},
number = {},
pages = {e285000},
doi = {10.1590/1519-6984.285000},
pmid = {39442151},
issn = {1678-4375},
mesh = {*Climate Change ; *Bromeliaceae/physiology ; Seasons ; Temperature ; Bromelia/physiology ; },
abstract = {We investigated the ecophysiological responses of the bromeliads Aechmea nudicaulis and Vriesea procera, seeking to assess their suitability to survive in a climate change scenario (optimistic scenario RCP 2.6 of the IPCC, 2021) in a Restinga environment. To carry out this investigation, we used open-top chambers (OTC). During a period of nine months (June 2022 to February 2023), the bromeliads A. nudicaulis and V. procera were subjected to the following treatments: treatment T: plants transplanted to the environmental conditions of the bare sand of the restinga and subjected to the microclimatic conditions of the OTC's; control C: plants transplanted to the environmental conditions of the bare sand of the restinga. The ecophysiological variables height, rosette diameter, relative water content, specific leaf area and total weight of the plants were evaluated. In addition, dead plants were counted. The OTC's showed an average increase in temperature and VPD (Vapor Pressure Deficit) of 1.6°C and 0.5 Kpa, respectively, and an average reduction in RH (relative humidity) of 5.3%. The results of this study indicated that the increase in local temperature that occurred between the sixth and seventh months evaluated (November and December) created limiting conditions that exceeded the tolerance capacity of the bromeliads studied. Furthermore, the climatic conditions of the OTCs intensified the damage that occurred in the plants, verified here by the reductions in the values of the ecophysiological attributes evaluated in the bromeliads studied. In addition, the high mortality rate (above 50%) reinforces the idea that the climatic conditions of the OTC's induced the bromeliads studied to a senescence process. Therefore, these results are important, as they indicate that even the most optimistic climate change scenario (IPCC 2021 RCP 2.6) can harm the growth and development of these bromeliads, which are essential for the structure and functioning of Restinga communities.},
}
@article {pmid39440447,
year = {2024},
author = {Amin, SM and El-Monshed, AH and Khedr, MA and Awad, AGE and Atta, MHR},
title = {The Association between Emotional Responses to Climate Change, Antenatal Anxiety and Maternal-Fetal Attachment in Primigravida Women.},
journal = {Journal of advanced nursing},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1111/jan.16549},
pmid = {39440447},
issn = {1365-2648},
abstract = {AIM: To investigate the association between emotional responses to climate change, antenatal anxiety, and maternal-fetal attachment in primigravida women.<br><br>DESIGN: A multi-site cross-sectional research design study.<br><br>METHODS: This study was conducted at four primary health care (PHC) facilities in Damanhur district, El-Behera, from February 2024 to April 2024. Two hundred eighty-five women completed a comprehensive questionnaire that included a Woman's Social and Reproductive Form, The inventory of climate emotions (ICE) scale, The Stirling Antenatal Anxiety Scale (SAAS) and the Maternal-Fetal Attachment Scale (MFAS-HU-20).<br><br>RESULTS: The study revealed that emotional responses to climate change show strong positive correlations with each other, ranging from 0.689 to 0.840, all significant at p&#x2009;<&#x2009;0.001 level. Additionally, antenatal anxiety demonstrates substantial positive correlations with emotional responses to climate change, albeit with associations ranging from 0.239 to 0.287, all significant at p&#x2009;<&#x2009;0.001 level. Moreover, maternal-fetal attachment displays substantial negative correlations with emotional responses to climate change, indicating that as emotional responses to climate change increase, maternal-fetal attachment tends to decrease. The correlations range from -0.263 to -0.426, all significant at p&#x2009;<&#x2009;0.001.<br><br>CONCLUSIONS: The emotional impact of climate change can adversely affect the bonding process between mother and fetus.<br><br>Healthcare professionals, including obstetricians, midwives, and mental health counsellors, should integrate climate-related emotional distress into their assessments and interventions. Providing targeted psychological support for expectant mothers.<br><br>IMPACT: The study's findings highlight the need for nursing to integrate climate-related emotional distress screening into prenatal care and for research to explore long-term effects and intervention effectiveness. In practice, healthcare providers should adopt holistic approaches that combine environmental and psychological support, developing comprehensive guidelines and community-based programs to support pregnant women.<br><br>REPORTING METHOD: The research adhered to that is STROBE.<br><br>Public contributions by women in community health centers.},
}
@article {pmid39440138,
year = {2024},
author = {Frazão Santos, C and Agardy, T and Crowder, LB and Day, JC and Himes-Cornell, A and Pinsky, ML and Reimer, JM and Gissi, E},
title = {Ocean Planning and Conservation in the Age of Climate Change: A Roundtable Discussion.},
journal = {Integrative organismal biology (Oxford, England)},
volume = {6},
number = {1},
pages = {obae037},
pmid = {39440138},
issn = {2517-4843},
abstract = {Over recent years, recognition of the need to develop climate-smart marine spatial planning (MSP) has gained momentum globally. In this roundtable discussion, we use a question-and-answer format to leverage diverse perspectives and voices involved in the study of sustainable MSP and marine conservation under global environmental and social change. We intend this dialogue to serve as a stepping stone toward developing ocean planning initiatives that are sustainable, equitable, and climate-resilient around the globe.},
}
@article {pmid39440125,
year = {2024},
author = {Macinnis-Ng, C and Ziedins, I and Ajmal, H and Baisden, WT and Hendy, S and McDonald, A and Priestley, R and Salmon, RA and Sharp, EL and Tonkin, JD and Velarde, S and Watene Ngāti Manu Te Hikutu Ngāti Whātua Ōrākei Tonga, K and Godsoe, W},
title = {Climate change impacts on Aotearoa New Zealand: a horizon scan approach.},
journal = {Journal of the Royal Society of New Zealand},
volume = {54},
number = {4},
pages = {523-546},
pmid = {39440125},
issn = {1175-8899},
abstract = {Many of the implications of climate change for Aotearoa (New Zealand) remain unclear. To identify so-far unseen or understudied threats and opportunities related to climate change we applied a horizon-scanning process. First, we collated 171 threats and opportunities across our diverse fields of research. We then scored each item for novelty and potential impact and finally reduced the list to ten threats and ten opportunities through a prioritisation process. Within the 20 items presented in this paper, we uncover a range of climate-related costs and benefits. Unexpected opportunities evolve from economic reorganisation and changes to perspectives. The threats we highlight include the overall failure to interconnect siloed policy responses, as well as those relating to extreme events and feedbacks, as well as pressures that undermine the coherence of society. A major theme of our work is that climate change effects in Aotearoa are likely to transgress the boundaries of research disciplines, industry sectors and policy systems, emphasising the importance of developing transdisciplinary methods and approaches. We use this insight to connect potential responses to climate change with Aotearoa's culture and geography.},
}
@article {pmid39440124,
year = {2024},
author = {Milfont, TL and Athy, AE and Sibley, CG},
title = {Climate change profiles of New Zealanders over time: a one-year latent transition analysis of climate change beliefs and concern.},
journal = {Journal of the Royal Society of New Zealand},
volume = {54},
number = {4},
pages = {395-411},
pmid = {39440124},
issn = {1175-8899},
abstract = {Scientific evidence unequivocally shows that human activities cause climate change, but some people still deny it. Using New Zealand Attitudes and Values Study data from 2018 and 2019 (N = 34,733), we examined segmentation profiles regarding beliefs and concern about climate change ('Climate change is real', 'Climate change is caused by humans', 'I am deeply concerned about climate change'), the probabilities of transitioning to and from profiles over time, and the characteristics of individuals in each profile. Five profiles were identified with varying levels of climate change beliefs and concern. The largest profile (60.4% of respondents) had the highest levels of climate change beliefs and concern, while the smallest profile (3.7% of respondents) had the lowest. Over time, more people moved from profiles of lower into profiles of higher levels of climate change beliefs and concern. The profile with the highest levels was the most stable, with members having an 82.7% chance of staying in this profile over time. Compared to this group, members of the profile with the lowest levels of climate change beliefs and concern were more likely to be male, New Zealand European, parents, religious, and to endorse conservative and system-justifying ideologies. We discuss the implications of the findings.},
}
@article {pmid39440121,
year = {2024},
author = {Lawrence, J and Wreford, A and Blackett, P and Hall, D and Woodward, A and Awatere, S and Livingston, ME and Macinnis-Ng, C and Walker, S and Fountain, J and Costello, MJ and Ausseil, AE and Watt, MS and Dean, SM and Cradock-Henry, NA and Zammit, C and Milfont, TL},
title = {Climate change adaptation through an integrative lens in Aotearoa New Zealand.},
journal = {Journal of the Royal Society of New Zealand},
volume = {54},
number = {4},
pages = {491-522},
pmid = {39440121},
issn = {1175-8899},
abstract = {Climate change is being felt across all human and natural systems in Aotearoa New Zealand and is projected to worsen this decade as impacts compound and cascade through natural system and sectoral dependencies. The effectiveness of adaptation is constrained by how fast greenhouse gas emissions are reduced globally, the pace of change, the frequency and progression of impacts, and the capacity of our natural, societal and political systems to respond. We explore how these systems and sectors interact with existing and projected climate change stressors by categorising climate change impacts (Trends and Events) and consequential thresholds (Thresholds), and by grouping systems and sectors by types (Typologies). This approach has identified commonalities and differences between the typologies which are illustrated with examples. Critical constraints and opportunities for adaptation have been identified to guide sector adaptation decision-making and for ongoing adaptation progress and effectiveness monitoring. Constraints are found across all sectors, and opportunities exist to address them through modelling and projections, monitoring frameworks, decision tools and measures, governance coordination and integration of the Māori worldview of the relationship between humans and nature. However, limits to adaptation exist and will increase over time unless all sectors and all nations urgently reduce their emissions.},
}
@article {pmid39440126,
year = {2024},
author = {Villamor, GB and Wakelin, SJ and Clinton, PW},
title = {Climate change, risk perceptions and barriers to adaptation among forest growers in New Zealand.},
journal = {Journal of the Royal Society of New Zealand},
volume = {54},
number = {4},
pages = {433-448},
pmid = {39440126},
issn = {1175-8899},
abstract = {Climate change poses a significant challenge for forest growers. However, understanding climate change adaptation including the behaviour and decisions of forest growers remains unexplored in New Zealand, despite the forestry sector being a significant export leader and major contributor to regional economies. To explore this, we conducted surveys of 60 forest growers from organisations which collectively manage more than 70% of New Zealand's plantation forests. The results showed that 47% of the respondents perceived that climate change will affect their forest growing, and 60% perceived that climate change will increase wildfire frequency and pest and disease outbreaks. Only 21% of the respondents reported that they had taken adaptation measures directly. Lack of resources and motivation were among the barriers that respondents identified. A logistic regression analysis revealed that climate change perception, research to improve forest growers' adaptive capacity, climate change information, forest grower age and forestry experience are significantly associated with actual adaptation decisions. Risk perceptions central to protection motivation theory (e.g. vulnerability, probability and severity) were not linked to actual adaptation decisions, suggesting that widening adaptation analyses beyond individual perceptions as predictors of climate change adaptation may provide insights for fit-for-purpose climate change adaptation policies for the sector.},
}
@article {pmid39440105,
year = {2024},
author = {Kaltsatou, A and Foster, J and Ikäheimo, TM},
title = {Editorial: Climate change and cardiovascular health.},
journal = {Frontiers in physiology},
volume = {15},
number = {},
pages = {1497232},
pmid = {39440105},
issn = {1664-042X},
}
@article {pmid39438576,
year = {2024},
author = {Bolinesi, F and Rossetti, E and Mangoni, O},
title = {Author Correction: Phytoplankton dynamics in a shellfish farming lagoon in a deltaic system threatened by ongoing climate change.},
journal = {Scientific reports},
volume = {14},
number = {1},
pages = {24860},
doi = {10.1038/s41598-024-76161-y},
pmid = {39438576},
issn = {2045-2322},
}
@article {pmid39438071,
year = {2024},
author = {Mariën, J and Mukomena, E and Tevuzula, VM and Leirs, H and Huyse, T},
title = {A century of medical records reveal earlier onset of the malaria season in Haut-Katanga induced by climate change.},
journal = {BMJ global health},
volume = {9},
number = {10},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1136/bmjgh-2024-015375},
pmid = {39438071},
issn = {2059-7908},
mesh = {*Climate Change ; *Malaria/history/epidemiology/transmission ; Humans ; *Seasons ; Democratic Republic of the Congo/epidemiology ; History, 20th Century ; },
abstract = {BACKGROUND: Despite worldwide efforts to eradicate malaria over the past century, the disease remains a significant challenge in the Democratic Republic of the Congo (DRC) today. Climate change is even anticipated to worsen the situation in areas with higher altitudes and vulnerable populations. This study in Haut-Katanga, a highland region, aims to evaluate the effectiveness of past control measures and to explore the impact of climate change on the region's distinct seasonal malaria pattern throughout the last century.<br><br>METHODS: We integrated colonial medical records (1917-1983) from two major mining companies (Union Mini&#xe8;re du Haut-Katanga and the G&#xe9;n&#xe9;rale des Carri&#xe8;res et des Mines) with contemporary data (2003-2020) from Lubumbashi. Concurrently, we combined colonial climate records (1912-1946) with recent data from satellite images and weather stations (1940-2023). We used Generalised Additive Models to link the two data sources and to test for changing seasonal patterns in transmission.<br><br>RESULTS: Malaria transmission in Haut-Katanga has fluctuated significantly over the past century, influenced by evolving control strategies, political conditions and a changing climate. A notable decrease in cases followed the introduction of dichlorodiphenyltrichloroethane (DDT), while a surge occurred after the civil wars ended at the beginning of the new millennium. Recently, the malaria season began 1-2 months earlier than historically observed, likely due to a 2-5&#xb0;C increase in mean minimum temperatures, which facilitates the sporogonic cycle of the parasite.<br><br>CONCLUSION: Despite contemporary control efforts, malaria incidence in Haut-Katanga is similar to levels observed in the 1930s, possibly influenced by climate change creating optimal conditions for malaria transmission. Our historical data shows that the lowest malaria incidence occurred during periods of intensive DDT use and indoor residual spraying. Consequently, we recommend the systematic reduction of vector populations as a key component of malaria control strategies in highland regions of sub-Saharan Africa.},
}
@article {pmid39436735,
year = {2024},
author = {Schattman, RE and Merrill, SC and Tracy, WF},
title = {Shifts in geographic vulnerability of US corn crops under different climate change scenarios: corn flea beetle (Chaetocnema pulicaria) and Stewart's Wilt (Pantoea stewartii) bacterium.},
journal = {Environmental entomology},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1093/ee/nvae099},
pmid = {39436735},
issn = {1938-2936},
support = {ME0-022332//USDA National Institute of Food and Agriculture/ ; },
abstract = {Changing climate patterns will likely affect insect pressure on many agricultural crops. Mild winters may decrease the number of insects that experience reduced fecundity or that are killed during hard freezes. This may result in larger populations in subsequent years and allow for range expansion. Direct effects from pests are compounded by indirect effects, such as crop damage resulting from insect-vectored diseases. Corn flea beetle (Chaetocnema pulicaria) infestations have both direct and indirect effects on crops. This beetle is a pest on all types of corn in the United States, including sweet corn and grain corn (sometimes referred to as dent corn). It is responsible for damage to plant foliage and also serves as the primary overwintering vector for Pantoea stewartii bacterium, which causes Stewart's Wilt, a disease that can severely impact the health and productivity of corn. Evidence suggests that warmer winters will contribute to a geographic range expansion for the corn flea beetle. Here we show the projected northward expansion of economically damaging crop losses caused by Stewart's Wilt: (A) from 1980 to 2011, (B) projected by mid-century, and (C) projected by end-century. Our work suggests that climate change and associated increasing winter temperatures in the United States will lead to a dramatic increase in the probability of severe damage from corn flea beetle across the United States, including the Corn Belt. Predicted increases in pest and disease pressure will have negative ramifications for corn production and are likely to exacerbate issues associated with specific management tactics, such as pesticide application.},
}
@article {pmid39435550,
year = {2024},
author = {Rodrigues, T and Kratina, P and Setubal, RB and Ferro, JLS and Hideki Abe, D and Costa, LO and Casa Nova, C and Farjalla, VF and Pires, APF},
title = {Interaction Between Climate Change Scenarios and Biological Invasion Reveals Complex Cascading Effects in Freshwater Ecosystems.},
journal = {Global change biology},
volume = {30},
number = {10},
pages = {e17540},
doi = {10.1111/gcb.17540},
pmid = {39435550},
issn = {1365-2486},
support = {E-26/201.454/2022//Funda&#xe7;&#xe3;o Carlos Chagas Filho de Amparo &#xe0; Pesquisa do Estado do Rio de Janeiro/ ; E-26/210.070/2024//Funda&#xe7;&#xe3;o Carlos Chagas Filho de Amparo &#xe0; Pesquisa do Estado do Rio de Janeiro/ ; E-26/210.164/2019//Funda&#xe7;&#xe3;o Carlos Chagas Filho de Amparo &#xe0; Pesquisa do Estado do Rio de Janeiro/ ; E-26/211.988/2021//Funda&#xe7;&#xe3;o Carlos Chagas Filho de Amparo &#xe0; Pesquisa do Estado do Rio de Janeiro/ ; 88887.815076/2023-00//Coordena&#xe7;&#xe3;o de Aperfei&#xe7;oamento de Pessoal de N&#xed;vel Superior/ ; 88887.892174/2023-00//Coordena&#xe7;&#xe3;o de Aperfei&#xe7;oamento de Pessoal de N&#xed;vel Superior/ ; 310119/2018-9//Conselho Nacional de Desenvolvimento Cient&#xed;fico e Tecnol&#xf3;gico/ ; 423057/2021-9//Conselho Nacional de Desenvolvimento Cient&#xed;fico e Tecnol&#xf3;gico/ ; 008/2021//Fundo Brasileiro para a Biodiversidade/ ; },
mesh = {*Climate Change ; *Introduced Species ; *Biomass ; *Ecosystem ; *Fresh Water ; Animals ; *Invertebrates/physiology ; Zooplankton/physiology ; Food Chain ; },
abstract = {Climate change often facilitates biological invasions, leading to potential interactive impacts of these global drivers on freshwater ecosystems. Although climatic mitigation efforts may reduce the magnitude of these interactive impacts, we are still missing experimental evidence for such effects under multiple climate change scenarios within a multi-trophic framework. To address this knowledge gap, we experimentally compared the independent and interactive effects of two climate change scenarios (mitigation and business-as-usual) and biological invasion on the biomass of major freshwater trophic groups (phytoplankton, zooplankton, periphyton, macroinvertebrates, and a native macrophyte) and the decomposition rate of allochthonous material. Among the independent effects, we found that the business-as-usual climate treatment resulted in lower native macrophyte biomass and higher periphyton biomass compared to the climatic baseline and mitigation treatments. This indicates the potential of climate change to alter the relative dominance of different freshwater producers and demonstrates that climate mitigation efforts can counteract these effects. Biological invasion alone increased the biomass of chironomids, a dominant macroinvertebrate group in tropical freshwater ecosystems, demonstrating a compensatory effect on climate change. Climate change and biological invasion interactively reduced the decomposition rate of allochthonous detritus, likely mediated by the feeding preference of abundant chironomids for periphytic algae associated with the presence of non-native macrophytes. We concluded that (i) climatic mitigation can maintain climate baseline conditions in freshwater ecosystems, and (ii) the interactive effects between future climate scenarios and biological invasion are related to complex cascading interactions among trophic groups on ecosystem processes.},
}
@article {pmid39435398,
year = {2024},
author = {Pitron, V and Witthöft, M and Lemogne, C and Léger, D and Clayton, S and Van den Bergh, O},
title = {How climate-change awareness can provoke physical symptoms.},
journal = {Frontiers in ecology and the environment},
volume = {22},
number = {1},
pages = {e2700},
pmid = {39435398},
issn = {1540-9295},
}
@article {pmid39435161,
year = {2024},
author = {Kumar, P and Jayan, J and Jena, D and Rai, N and Sah, S and Mawejje, E},
title = {Valley fever on the rise: How climate change is fueling a public health crisis.},
journal = {New microbes and new infections},
volume = {62},
number = {},
pages = {101500},
pmid = {39435161},
issn = {2052-2975},
}
@article {pmid39434844,
year = {2024},
author = {Theriot, MK and Olson, LE and Lanier, HC},
title = {Accounting for age: uncovering the nuanced drivers of mammal body-size responses to climate change.},
journal = {Journal of mammalogy},
volume = {105},
number = {3},
pages = {512-523},
pmid = {39434844},
issn = {0022-2372},
abstract = {Shifts in mean body size coinciding with environmental change are well documented across animal species and populations, serving as a widespread and complex indicator of climate-change response. In mammal research, identifying and disentangling the potential drivers of these trends (e.g., thermoregulation, resource availability) is hindered by treating adult size as fixed, ignoring morphological changes that occur throughout life in many species. However, observed population-level size trends may reflect underlying shifts in age structure (i.e., change in the proportion of older, potentially larger individuals in the population). Here, we assessed the role of age structure by explicitly evaluating age as a contributor to temporal variation in skull size (a proxy for body size) in 2 carnivorans, Canadian Lynx (Lynx canadensis) and American Marten (Martes americana). Using a series of linear and nonlinear models, we tested age in years (determined by cementum-layer analysis) as a predictor of skull size alongside other factors previously proposed to be important drivers of body-size trends, including population density for lynx and growing season conditions for martens. In both species, age was a significant predictor of skull size indicating a rapid year-to-year increase in young adult size that diminished in later adulthood. However, temporal shifts in age structure alone did not explain the observed changes in size over time, indicating that age structure acts in concert with other as-yet unidentified factors to drive body-size change. By explicitly evaluating the role of age, we can both refine models of temporal body-size trends and gain insights into size change as a signal of underlying demographic shifts-such as age-specific survivorship-providing a more holistic understanding of how mammals are responding to climate change.},
}
@article {pmid39434407,
year = {2024},
author = {Kusmec, A and Schnable, PS},
title = {Phenological Adaptation Is Insufficient to Offset Climate Change-Induced Yield Losses in US Hybrid Maize.},
journal = {Global change biology},
volume = {30},
number = {10},
pages = {e17539},
doi = {10.1111/gcb.17539},
pmid = {39434407},
issn = {1365-2486},
support = {IOW04714//National Institute of Food and Agriculture/ ; 2017-67007-26175//USDA Agriculture and Food Research Initiative/ ; IOS-1842097//Division of Integrative Organismal Systems/ ; },
mesh = {*Zea mays/growth &amp; development/genetics/physiology ; *Climate Change ; United States ; Adaptation, Physiological ; Crops, Agricultural/growth &amp; development/genetics ; Seasons ; Climate Models ; Temperature ; },
abstract = {Climate change is projected to decrease maize yields due to warmer temperatures and their consequences. Studies using crop growth models (CGMs), however, have predicted that, through a combination of alterations to planting date, flowering time, and maturity, these yield losses can be mitigated or even reversed. Here, we examine three assumptions of such studies: (1) that climate has driven historical phenological trends, (2) that CGM ensembles provide unbiased estimates of yields under high temperatures, and (3) that the effects of temperature on yields are an emergent property of interactions between phenology and environment. We used data on maize phenology from the United States Department of Agriculture, a statistical model of maize hybrid heat tolerance derived from 80 years of public yield trial records across four US states, and outputs of an ensemble of CMIP6 climate models. While planting dates have advanced historically, we found a trend toward later planting dates after 2005 and no trend for silking or maturity, shifting more time into the reproductive period. We then projected maize yields using the historical model and crop calendars devised using three previously proposed adaptation strategies. In contrast to studies using CGMs, our statistical yield model projected severe yield losses under all three strategies. Finally, we projected maize yields accounting for historical genetic variability for heat tolerance, discovering that it was insufficient to overcome the negative effects of projected warming. These projections are driven by greater heat stress exposure under all crop calendars and climate scenarios. Combined with analysis of the internal sensitivities of CGMs to temperature, our results suggest that current projections do not adequately account for the effects of increasing temperatures on maize yields. Climate adaptation in the US Midwest must utilize a richer set of strategies than phenological adaptation, including improvements to heat tolerance and crop diversification.},
}
@article {pmid39434158,
year = {2024},
author = {Cuervo, PF and Bargues, MD and Artigas, P and Buchon, P and Angles, R and Mas-Coma, S},
title = {Global warming induced spread of the highest human fascioliasis hyperendemic area.},
journal = {Parasites &amp; vectors},
volume = {17},
number = {1},
pages = {434},
pmid = {39434158},
issn = {1756-3305},
support = {101062347//Marie Sk&#x142;odowska-Curie Actions programme (Project RCN 242718, Horizon Europe, EC, Brussels)/ ; CIAPOS/2021/134//APOSTD/2022 (Generalitat Valenciana and European Social Fund)/ ; CB21/13/00056//CIBER de Enfermedades Infecciosas, ISCIII, Ministry of Science and Education, Madrid, Spain/ ; RD16/0027/0023//Red de Investigaci&#xf3;n de Centros de Enfermedades Tropicales -RICET- (ISCIII-Subdirecci&#xf3;n General de Redes y Centros de Investigaci&#xf3;n Cooperativa RETICS, Ministry of Health and Consumption, Madrid)/ ; 2016/099//PROMETEO Program, Programa of Ayudas para Grupos de Investigaci&#xf3;n de Excelencia, Generalitat Valenciana, Valencia, Spain/ ; PI16/00520//Health Research Project, Subprograma Estatal de Generaci&#xf3;n de Conocimiento de la Acci&#xf3;n Estrat&#xe9;gica en Salud (AES) y Fondos FEDER, Plan Estatal de Investigaci&#xf3;n Cient&#xed;fica y T&#xe9;cnica y de Innovaci&#xf3;n, ISCIII-MINECO, Madrid, Spain/ ; },
mesh = {*Fascioliasis/epidemiology/transmission ; Animals ; Humans ; *Global Warming ; *Endemic Diseases ; *Fasciola hepatica/physiology ; Bolivia/epidemiology ; Temperature ; Climate Change ; Seasons ; },
abstract = {BACKGROUND: Climate change is driving the occurrence of several infectious diseases. Within a One Health action to complement the ongoing preventive chemotherapy initiative against human fascioliasis in the Northern Bolivian Altiplano hyperendemic area, field surveys showed a geographical expansion of its lymnaeid snail vector. To assess whether climate change underlies this spread of the infection risk area, an in-depth analysis of the long-term evolution of climatic factors relevant for Fasciola hepatica development was imperative.<br><br>METHODS: We used monthly climatic data covering at least a 30-year period and applied two climatic risk indices, the water-budget-based system and the wet-day index, both of verified usefulness for forecasting fascioliasis transmission in this endemic area. To reveal the long-term trends of the climatic factors and forecast indices, we applied procedures of seasonal-trend decomposition based on locally weighed regression and trend analysis on the basis of linear models. To further demonstrate the changes detected, we depicted selected variables in the form of anomalies.<br><br>RESULTS: This study revealed a notorious climatic change affecting most of the hyperendemic area, with a strong impact on crucial aspects of the fascioliasis transmission. Trends in maximum and mean temperatures show significant increases throughout the endemic area, while trends in minimum temperatures are more variable. Precipitation annual trends are negative in most of the localities. Trends in climatic risk indices show negative trends at lower altitudes or when farther from the eastern Andean chain. However, monthly and yearly values of climatic risk indices indicate a permanent transmission feasibility in almost every location.<br><br>CONCLUSIONS: Warmer temperatures have enabled lymnaeids to colonize formerly unsuitable higher altitudes, outside the endemicity area verified in the 1990s. Further, drier conditions might lead to an overexploitation of permanent water collections where lymnaeids inhabit, favoring fascioliasis transmission. Therefore, the present preventive chemotherapy by annual mass treatments is in need to widen the area of implementation. This study emphasizes the convenience for continuous monitoring of nearby zones for quick reaction and appropriate action modification.},
}
@article {pmid39434138,
year = {2024},
author = {Shrikhande, S and Wolf, J and Vert, C and Egorova, A and Neira, M and Prüss, A},
title = {World Health Organization repository of systematic reviews on interventions in environment, climate change and health: a new resource for decision makers, intervention implementers, and researchers.},
journal = {Environmental health : a global access science source},
volume = {23},
number = {1},
pages = {88},
pmid = {39434138},
issn = {1476-069X},
support = {801076//Marie Sk&#x142;odowska-Curie SSPH+ Global PhD Fellowship Programme in Public Health Sciences (GlobalP3HS) of the Swiss School of Public Health/ ; },
mesh = {*Climate Change ; Humans ; *World Health Organization ; Decision Making ; Environmental Health ; Databases, Factual ; Review Literature as Topic ; Environment ; },
abstract = {To facilitate the use of the mounting evidence on how human health is inextricably linked to the health of the planet and the urgent need for measures against the escalating triple planetary crisis, the WHO has developed a repository of systematic reviews on interventions in the area of environment, climate change and health (ECH). This commentary introduces the repository, describes its rationale and development, and points to potential future evolutions. The repository aims to provide a user-friendly tool for quickly finding systematic reviews and meta-analyses on specific ECH topics. The spreadsheet includes details on each systematic review, such as population, intervention type, control group, outcomes, and location, among other information. This supports effective assessment of the available evidence, potentially informing policy decisions across various sectors. The repository is a resource for anyone interested in the interlinkages between health and environment and is also targeted at decision makers, intervention implementers and researchers in order to identify priority issues and support evidence-based action. Furthermore, it can be used to identify areas in need of greater research. Additionally, systematic reviews of intervention effectiveness are often used for setting general guidelines and standards, for choosing the most promising intervention in a certain situation and for calculating the disease burden attributable to a specific environmental risk.},
}
@article {pmid39433977,
year = {2024},
author = {Wang, J and Nikolaou, N and An der Heiden, M and Irrgang, C},
title = {High-resolution modeling and projection of heat-related mortality in Germany under climate change.},
journal = {Communications medicine},
volume = {4},
number = {1},
pages = {206},
pmid = {39433977},
issn = {2730-664X},
abstract = {BACKGROUND: Heat has become a leading cause of preventable deaths during summer. Understanding the link between high temperatures and excess mortality is crucial for designing effective prevention and adaptation plans. Yet, data analyses are challenging due to often fragmented data archives over different agglomeration levels.<br><br>METHOD: Using Germany as a case study, we develop a multi-scale machine learning model to estimate heat-related mortality with variable temporal and spatial resolution. This approach allows us to estimate heat-related mortality at different scales, such as regional heat risk during a specific heatwave, annual and nationwide heat risk, or future heat risk under climate change&#xa0;scenarios.<br><br>RESULTS: We estimate a total of 48,000 heat-related deaths in Germany during the last decade (2014-2023), and the majority of heat-related deaths occur during specific heatwave events. Aggregating our results over larger regions, we reach good agreement with previously published reports from Robert Koch Institute (RKI). In 2023, the heatwave of July 7-14 contributes approximately 1100 cases (28%) to a total of approximately 3900 heat-related deaths for the whole year. Combining our model with shared socio-economic pathways (SSPs) of future climate change provides evidence that heat-related mortality in Germany could further increase by a factor of 2.5 (SSP245) to 9 (SSP370) without adaptation to extreme heat under static sociodemographic developments assumptions.<br><br>CONCLUSIONS: Our approach is a valuable tool for climate-driven public health strategies, aiding in the identification of local risks during heatwaves and long-term resilience planning.},
}
@article {pmid39434981,
year = {2023},
author = {Fei, C and Jägermeyr, J and McCarl, B and Contreras, EM and Mutter, C and Phillips, M and Ruane, AC and Sarofim, MC and Schultz, P and Vargo, A},
title = {Future climate change impacts on U.S. agricultural yields, production, and market.},
journal = {Anthropocene},
volume = {42},
number = {},
pages = {100386},
pmid = {39434981},
issn = {2213-3054},
abstract = {This study provides estimates of climate change impacts on U.S. agricultural yields and the agricultural economy through the end of the 21st century, utilizing multiple climate scenarios. Results from a process-based crop model project future increases in wheat, grassland, and soybean yield due to climate change and atmospheric CO2 change; corn and sorghum show more muted responses. Results using yields from econometric models show less positive results. Both the econometric and process-based models tend to show more positive yields by the end of the century than several other similar studies. Using the process-based model to provide future yield estimates to an integrated agricultural sector model, the welfare gain is roughly $16B/year (2019 USD) for domestic producers and $6.2B/year for international trade, but domestic consumers lose $10.6B/year, resulting in a total welfare gain of $11.7B/year. When yield projections for major crops are drawn instead from econometric models, total welfare losses of more than $28B/year arise. Simulations using the process-based model as input to the agricultural sector model show large future production increases for soybean, wheat, and sorghum and large price reductions for corn and wheat. The most important factors are those about economic growth, flooding, international trade, and the type of yield model used. Somewhat less, but not insignificant factors include adaptation, livestock productivity, and damages from surface ozone, waterlogging, and pests and diseases.},
}
@article {pmid39433740,
year = {2024},
author = {Qie, J and Favillier, A and Liébault, F and Ballesteros Cánovas, JA and Lopez-Saez, J and Guillet, S and Francon, L and Zhong, Y and Stoffel, M and Corona, C},
title = {A supply-limited torrent that does not feel the heat of climate change.},
journal = {Nature communications},
volume = {15},
number = {1},
pages = {9078},
pmid = {39433740},
issn = {2041-1723},
abstract = {Debris-flow activity in the Alps is anticipated to undergo pronounced changes in response to a warming climate. Yet, a fundamental challenge in comprehensively assessing changes in process activity is the systematic lack of long-term observational debris-flow records. Here, we reconstruct the longest, continuous time series (1626-2020) of debris flows at Multetta, a supply-limited torrential system in the Eastern Swiss Alps. Relying on growth-ring records of trees that were damaged by debris flows, we do not detect significant changes in the frequency or magnitude over time. This seeming absence of a direct climatic influence on debris-flow initiation aligns with the regular distribution of repose time patterns, indicating a dependence of local process activity on sediment discharge and recharge. This stark difference in process behavior between our supply-limited site and transport-limited catchments has implications for assessing torrential hazard and risk mitigation in a context of global warming.},
}
@article {pmid39433545,
year = {2024},
author = {Shigetomi, Y and Ishigami, A and Long, Y and Chapman, A},
title = {Curbing household food waste and associated climate change impacts in an ageing society.},
journal = {Nature communications},
volume = {15},
number = {1},
pages = {8806},
pmid = {39433545},
issn = {2041-1723},
support = {21H03673//MEXT | Japan Society for the Promotion of Science (JSPS)/ ; },
mesh = {Humans ; *Climate Change ; Japan ; *Family Characteristics ; Greenhouse Gases/analysis ; Aged ; Food ; Fruit ; Middle Aged ; Vegetables ; Garbage ; Aging ; Sustainable Development ; Young Adult ; Food Loss and Waste ; },
abstract = {We explored the intricate quantitative structure of household food waste and their corresponding life cycle greenhouse gas emissions from raw materials to retail utilizing a combination of household- and food-related economic statistics and life cycle assessment in Japan. Given Japan's status as a nation heavily impacted by an aging population, this study estimates these indicators for the six age brackets of Japanese households, showing that per capita food waste increases as the age of the household head increases (from 16.6 for the 20's and younger group to 46.0 kg/year for 70's and older in 2015) primarily attributed to the propensity of older households purchase of more fruits and vegetables. Further, the largest life cycle greenhouse gases related to food waste was 90.1 kg-CO2eq/year for those in their 60's while the smallest was 39.2 kg-CO2eq/year for 20's and younger. Furthermore, food waste and associated emissions are expected to decline due to future demographic changes imparted by an aging, shrinking population after 2020 until 2040. Specific measures focused on demographic shifts are crucial for Japan and other countries with similar dietary patterns and demographics to achieve related sustainable development goals through suppressing food waste and associated emissions under new dietary regimes.},
}
@article {pmid39433097,
year = {2024},
author = {Costopoulou, D and Leondiadis, L and Rose, M},
title = {Climate change influence on the trends of BFRs in the environment and food.},
journal = {Chemosphere},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {143578},
doi = {10.1016/j.chemosphere.2024.143578},
pmid = {39433097},
issn = {1879-1298},
abstract = {Climate change poses new challenges for environmental protection and food safety. With reported consequences including warmer temperatures, melting of Alpine glaciers, higher sea levels, droughts, extreme rainfall events and increased surface UV radiation, concerns about the impact on food contaminants have been raised. While the effects of climate change on POPs were initially expected to have the biggest impact in the arctic region, given the intensity, frequency and spread of extreme weather events, global influence on environmental pollution and food safety is currently anticipated. Warmer temperatures are expected to enhance the volatilization of POPs and influence their partitioning between soil, sediment, water and atmosphere, enhancing their mobility and their potential for long-range atmospheric transport. Floods and strong winds can cause dilution but also spread of pollutants to wider areas. Limited data are available for the impact of climate change on BFRs levels, trends and toxicity. BFRs are widely used to protect people from fire hazards. Numerous BFR containing products are disposed in landfills where climate change could possibly induce increased leaching and resulting impacts on the food chain. Heat and UV exposure can lead to degradation of novel polymeric BFRs with adverse environmental effects. Long-term monitoring data are needed for feed, food and environmental compartments in order to evaluate climate change influence, which will also enable the development of prediction models specific for legacy and novel BFRs, for various climate change scenarios. Furthermore, there is a need to promote further discussion in the scientific community for the design of risk management and remediation activities for contaminated areas, in response to potential future conditions as the climate continues to change.},
}
@article {pmid39431553,
year = {2024},
author = {Yesildere Saglam, H and Mizrak Sahin, B},
title = {The impact of climate change anxiety on premenstrual syndrome: A cross-sectional study.},
journal = {Journal of evaluation in clinical practice},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1111/jep.14177},
pmid = {39431553},
issn = {1365-2753},
abstract = {OBJECTIVE: Climate change is thought to have possible effects on changes in the menstruation process, which covers an important period of time in women's lives. Our study aimed to determine the impact of climate change anxiety on premenstrual syndrome (PMS) in women of reproductive age.<br><br>METHODS: This is a cross-sectional study. The research was conducted online using various digital platforms between December 2023 and February 2024. This study was conducted on 456 women of reproductive age. The Personal Information Form, PMS Scale and Eco-Anxiety Scale were used for the data collection. The level of statistical significance was set at p&#x2009;<&#x2009;0.05.<br><br>RESULTS: The prevalence of PMS was 44.7%. The average score for the Eco-Anxiety Scale was 27.28&#x2009;&#xb1;&#x2009;6.44. A significant majority of participants (81.4%) stated that climate change would affect women's health, and 81.1% thought that they were affected by climate change. The Eco-Anxiety Scale scores were higher in women with PMS (p&#x2009;<&#x2009;0.05). The results of the binary logistic regression analysis showed that being affected by climate change (odds ratio [OR]&#x2009;=&#x2009;2.109, 95% confidence interval [CI]&#x2009;=&#x2009;1.045-4.259, p&#x2009;=&#x2009;0.035), age at menarche (OR&#x2009;=&#x2009;1.249, 95% Cl&#x2009;=&#x2009;1.073-1.453, p&#x2009;=&#x2009;0.004) and Eco-Anxiety Scale scores were significant predictors of PMS (OR&#x2009;=&#x2009;0.828, 95% Cl&#x2009;=&#x2009;0.791-0.867, p&#x2009;<&#x2009;0.001).<br><br>CONCLUSION: The results of our study showed that women with PMS had higher Eco-Anxiety Scale scores. Given the global effects of climate change, it is important to investigate its effects as a risk factor for the emergence of PMS. Furthermore, women's healthcare providers play an important and beneficial role in adapting to a changing climate; these efforts will have long-term impacts.},
}
@article {pmid39430176,
year = {2024},
author = {Kumar, N and Latha Telagarapu, VM and Fornoni, A},
title = {Climate Change, Heat Stress, and Kidney Disease-Associated Mortality and Health Care Utilization.},
journal = {Kidney international reports},
volume = {9},
number = {10},
pages = {2844-2847},
pmid = {39430176},
issn = {2468-0249},
}
@article {pmid39430120,
year = {2024},
author = {Azmat, MA and Zaheer, M and Shaban, M and Arshad, S and Hasan, M and Ashraf, A and Naeem, M and Ahmad, A and Munawar, N},
title = {Autophagy: A New Avenue and Biochemical Mechanisms to Mitigate the Climate Change.},
journal = {Scientifica},
volume = {2024},
number = {},
pages = {9908323},
pmid = {39430120},
issn = {2090-908X},
abstract = {Autophagy is a preserved process in eukaryotes that allows large material degeneration and nutrient recovery via vacuoles or lysosomes in cytoplasm. Autophagy starts from the moment of induction during the formation of a phagophore. Degradation may occur in the autophagosomes even without fusion with lysosome or vacuole, particularly in microautophagosomes. This process is arbitrated by the conserved machinery of basic autophagy-related genes (ATGs). In selective autophagy, specific materials are recruited by autophagosomes via receptors. Selective autophagy targets a vast variety of cellular components for degradation, i.e., old or damaged organelles, aggregates, and inactive or misfolded proteins. In optimal conditions, autophagy in plants ensures cellular homeostasis, proper plant growth, and fitness. Moreover, autophagy is essential during stress responses in plants and aids in survival of plants. Several biotic and abiotic stresses, i.e., pathogen infection, nutrient deficiency, plant senescence, heat stress, drought, osmotic stress, and hypoxia induce autophagy in plants. Cell death is not a stress, which induces autophagy but in contrast, sometimes it is a consequence of autophagy. In this way, autophagy plays a vital role in plant survival during harsh environmental conditions by maintaining nutrient concentration through elimination of useless cellular components. This review discussed the recent advances regarding regulatory functions of autophagy under normal and stressful conditions in plants and suggests future prospects in mitigating climate change. Autophagy in plants offers a viable way to increase plant resilience to climate change by increasing stress tolerance and nutrient usage efficiency.},
}
@article {pmid39429677,
year = {2024},
author = {Bezgrebelna, M and Hajat, S and Njenga, S and Settembrino, MR and Vickery, J and Kidd, SA},
title = {Neoliberalism, Climate Change, and Displaced and Homeless Populations: Exploring Interactions Through Case Studies.},
journal = {Humanity &amp; society},
volume = {48},
number = {2-4},
pages = {107-129},
pmid = {39429677},
issn = {0160-5976},
abstract = {There is a growing attention to neoliberal policies and practices as they relate to climate change and housing within academic literature. However, the combined effects of neoliberal political and economic decisions on the interaction between climate change and displaced and homeless populations have not been substantially explored. In this paper, we identify and focus on three key re-emerging themes prevalent within neoliberal discourses: economic considerations, individualization, and short-termism. To examine the intersecting influence of climate change and these themes on vulnerable populations, the following case studies are discussed: displaced populations in the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) region, refugees in Kenya, and tiny homes programs in the U.S. and Canada. The diversified contexts and levels of analysis allow for more nuanced understanding of the variety of ways in which neoliberal influences and climate-induced events impact the most vulnerable populations. We argue for the need to change the framing of these issues, which are often presented in neoliberal terms and are driven by neoliberal logic. We then present potential avenues for resolving the identified issues, such as through systemic changes, development of long-term solutions, and focusing on community-based adaptation (CBA) programs.},
}
@article {pmid39428448,
year = {2024},
author = {Sylvestre, F and Mahamat-Nour, A and Naradoum, T and Alcoba, M and Gal, L and Paris, A and Cretaux, JF and Pham-Duc, B and Lescoulier, C and Recouvreur, R and Ahmat, MM and Gaya, D},
title = {Strengthening of the hydrological cycle in the Lake Chad Basin under current climate change.},
journal = {Scientific reports},
volume = {14},
number = {1},
pages = {24639},
pmid = {39428448},
issn = {2045-2322},
abstract = {Central Sahel is affected by a reinforcement of rainfall since the beginning of 1990s. This increase in rainfall is affected by high inter-annual variability and is characterized by extreme rain events causing floods of unprecedented magnitude. However, few studies have been carried out on these extreme events. Moreover, with current climate change expected to strengthen the hydrological cycle, we don't know if these events could become more frequent. Here, we report the hydrological changes that currently occur in the Lake Chad basin. Based on ground observations and satellite data, we focused on the 2022 flood event, demonstrating that it was the most important event from the last 60 years, comparable to what occurred during the last wet period between the 1950s and the 1960s. We showed that under this precipitation regime and if warming is not regulated at a global scale, the return period of the 2022 major riverine flood is expected to be between 2 and 5 years. By using modelling experiments, our study also suggested that in the next decade, future flow rates of the main rivers draining the Lake Chad basin could reach the values observed in the 1950s. These results strongly suggest anticipating water management in a context of poor infrastructural development.},
}
@article {pmid39427625,
year = {2024},
author = {Rahko, J and Alola, AA},
title = {The effects of climate change technology spillovers on carbon emissions across European countries.},
journal = {Journal of environmental management},
volume = {370},
number = {},
pages = {122972},
doi = {10.1016/j.jenvman.2024.122972},
pmid = {39427625},
issn = {1095-8630},
abstract = {To unravel the challenges in the global diffusion of climate-friendly technologies, this investigation analyzes the diffusion of climate change-related technologies across countries. By using an unbalanced panel of selected European countries over the period 1990-2020, this investigation quantifies the carbon dioxide (CO2) emission effects of the diffusion of climate change-related technologies that are mediated by imports, geographical and technological proximity and free diffusion of technologies. In this study, the effects of domestic development of climate change-related technologies, population and affluence are also accounted for, and the emission effects are estimated using a fixed-effects panel model with instrumental variables. The instrumental variable for foreign technology spillovers is based on the technology support policies adopted in foreign countries. As expected, international spillovers of climate-friendly technologies are negatively linked to CO2 emissions, thus promoting emission reductions across the region. Importantly, emission reductions in Europe are more strongly influenced by international technology spillovers than by domestic innovation activities. Moreover, while all the analyzed technology diffusion channels appear relevant, the results are the most robust regarding import-mediated technology spillovers. Insights from this study support policy recommendations, especially in the trade policy context.},
}
@article {pmid39426824,
year = {2024},
author = {Horton, R},
title = {Offline: Rethinking the human costs of climate change.},
journal = {Lancet (London, England)},
volume = {404},
number = {10462},
pages = {1506},
doi = {10.1016/S0140-6736(24)02260-8},
pmid = {39426824},
issn = {1474-547X},
}
@article {pmid39426542,
year = {2024},
author = {Hosseini, P and Bailey, RT},
title = {Mutual impact of salinity and climate change on crop production water footprint in a semi-arid agricultural watershed: Application of SWAT-MODFLOW-salt.},
journal = {The Science of the total environment},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {176973},
doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.176973},
pmid = {39426542},
issn = {1879-1026},
abstract = {Sustainable agriculture in intensively irrigated watersheds, particularly those in arid and semi-arid regions, requires enhanced management practices to maintain crop production, which depends on climate, available water resources, soil conditions, irrigation practices, and crop type. Among these factors, soil salinity and climate change are significant challenges to agricultural productivity. To investigate the long-term influence of salinity and climate change on crop production from 1999 to 2100 in irrigated semi-arid regions, we apply the water footprint (WF) concept using the hydro-chemical watershed model SWAT-MODFLOW-Salt, driven by five General Circulation Models (GCMs) and two climate scenarios (RCP4.5 and RCP8.5), to a 732 km[2] irrigated stream-aquifer system within the Lower Arkansas River Valley (LARV), Colorado, USA. The study focused on calculating the green (WFgreen), blue (WFblue), and total (WFtotal) crop production WFs for 29 crops in the region, with and without including salinity effect on crop yield. Results reveal that during the baseline period (1999-2009), the total annual average WFgreen, WFblue, and WFtotal increased by 7.6 %, 4.4 %, and 6.5 %, respectively, under salinity stress, as crops experienced reductions of up to 4.6 %, 1.6 %, and 2.3 % in green, blue, and total crop yield. The mutual impact of salinity and the worst-case climate model (IPSL_CM5A_MR) under the higher emission scenario (RCP8.5) led to a 3.3 %, 1.9 %, and 3 % increase in green, blue, and total crop production WFs. Furthermore, the study highlighted that the proportion of green, blue, and total crop production WFs in the LARV exceeded the world average. This discrepancy was attributed to various factors, including different spatial and temporal crop distribution, irrigation practices, soil types, and climate conditions. Notably, salinity stress affected green crop yield and green WF more significantly than blue crop yield and blue WF across all GCM models. This finding underscores the importance of prioritizing management practices to control salinity-associated challenges within the region.},
}
@article {pmid39426450,
year = {2024},
author = {Okon, EM and Oyesiji, AA and Okeleye, DE and Kanonuhwa, M and Khalifa, NE and Eissa, EH and Mathew, RT and Eissa, MEH and Alqahtani, MM and Abdelnour, SA},
title = {The Escalating Threat of Climate Change-Driven Diseases in Fish: Evidence from a Global Perspective - A Literature Review.},
journal = {Environmental research},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {120184},
doi = {10.1016/j.envres.2024.120184},
pmid = {39426450},
issn = {1096-0953},
abstract = {Climate change has brought significant alterations to the aquatic environment, leading to the rapid spread of infectious fish diseases with increasing water temperatures. It is crucial to understand how aquatic pathogens will impact fish in the context of climate change. This study aimed to assess the effects of climate change on fish diseases globally. Data from 104 papers published between 2003 and 2022 were analyzed to identify recent trends in the field. The majority of the studies (54%) focused on parasites, particularly proliferative kidney disease, while 22% examined bacteria. The United States accounted for 19% of the studies, followed by Canada at 14%, covering a wide range of fish species. More research was published on farmed fish (54%) than wild fish (30%), with a higher emphasis on freshwater species (62%) compared to marine species (34%). Most published studies (64%) focused on the local environment rather than the farm level (7%). The findings highlight temperature as a significant threat to global aquaculture and fisheries, impacting the progression of fish diseases. These impacts could be exacerbated by factors such as pH, salinity, and ocean acidification, posing challenges to fish health. Therefore, there is a pressing need for enhanced research and management strategies to address these issues effectively in the future.},
}
@article {pmid39426089,
year = {2024},
author = {Hubert, DL and Bentz, EJ and Mason, RT},
title = {Increased offspring size and reduced gestation length in an ectothermic vertebrate under a worst-case climate change scenario.},
journal = {Journal of thermal biology},
volume = {125},
number = {},
pages = {103990},
doi = {10.1016/j.jtherbio.2024.103990},
pmid = {39426089},
issn = {0306-4565},
abstract = {As global temperatures continue to rise, understanding the impacts of warming environments has become increasingly important. Temperature is especially relevant for ectothermic organisms which depend upon consistent and predictable annual temperature cycles for reproduction and development. However, additional research is required in this area to elucidate the potential impacts of climate change on future generations. To understand how projected increases in environmental temperatures may impact reproductive outcomes within natural populations of ectothermic vertebrates, we manipulated minimum ambient temperatures during gestation in Red-sided garter snakes (Thamnophis sirtalis parietalis). Wild snakes were collected in the Interlake region of Manitoba, Canada during their spring mating season and allowed to mate in controlled conditions. For the duration of gestation, mated females were placed into one of two ambient thermal conditions: temperatures emulating those found in the species' natural habitat or temperatures with a consistent 5 °C increase to match end-of-century climate change projections. We recorded observations for each litter and all neonates resulting from controlled mating trials. We observed no difference in litter sizes or birth rates between thermal conditions. However, we observed a significant reduction in gestation length and significant increase to neonate body mass and body condition associated with increased ambient temperatures. These results suggest that increased minimum temperatures during gestation may confer reproductive benefits for the northern populations of this species even under the most extreme current modeled warming predictions. We discuss the broader implications of this effect, including possible negative ecological outcomes.},
}
@article {pmid39426075,
year = {2024},
author = {Celeghini, ECC and Baatsch-Nascimento, F and Bozzi, ADR and Garcia-Oliveros, LN and Arruda, RP},
title = {Bovine testicular heat stress: From climate change to effects on microRNA profile.},
journal = {Animal reproduction science},
volume = {270},
number = {},
pages = {107620},
doi = {10.1016/j.anireprosci.2024.107620},
pmid = {39426075},
issn = {1873-2232},
abstract = {Heat stress is caused by exposure of animals to high temperatures and humidity, outside their thermal comfort zone. This can have negative outcomes, including adversely affecting general well-being and reducing productive and reproductive performance. In males, heat stress can disrupt testicular thermoregulation, with deleterious effects on spermatogenesis and consequently, decreases in sperm quality and fertility potential. Thus, high environmental temperature is considered one of the most important factors that predisposes bulls to subfertility and has already been the subject of many studies, particularly in tropical or subtropical countries. It is essential to study effects of testicular heat stress in bulls, know the chronology of clinical and sperm findings, and understand the underlying pathophysiology. In addition, elucidating molecular mechanisms involved in heat stress and testicular function could provide the basis for effective, evidence-based strategies for selecting more thermotolerant animals. Excessive heat affects expression of messenger RNA (mRNA) and microRNA (miRNA) in sperm, which have important roles in regulating male fertility. Based on current trends in climate change, the incidence of chronically high temperatures that cause heat stress is expected to increase, posing increasing risks to health and survival of many species. The study of mRNAs and miRNAs can provide valuable insights to select animals that are more resilient to climate change. In addition to the search for more thermotolerant animals, other strategies to mitigate effects of heat stress include reproductive biotechniques and promotion of a better environment.},
}
@article {pmid39424825,
year = {2024},
author = {Zahir, A and Ali, Z and Al-Shamayleh, AS and Bas, SRA and Mahmood, B and Al-Ghushami, AH and Adnan, R and Akhunzada, A},
title = {Enhanced climate change resilience on wheat anther morphology using optimized deep learning techniques.},
journal = {Scientific reports},
volume = {14},
number = {1},
pages = {24533},
pmid = {39424825},
issn = {2045-2322},
mesh = {*Triticum/growth &amp; development/physiology ; *Deep Learning ; *Climate Change ; *Flowers ; Plant Breeding/methods ; Heat-Shock Response ; Neural Networks, Computer ; Agriculture/methods ; Pollen ; },
abstract = {Wheat commands attention due to its significant impact on culture, nutrition, the economy, and the guarantee of food security. The anticipated rise in temperatures resulting from climate change is a key factor contributing to food insecurity, as it markedly reduces wheat harvests. Terminal heat stress mostly affects spike fertility in wheat, specifically influencing pollen fertility and anther morphology. This research especially focuses on the shape of anthers and examines the effects of heat stress. The DinoLite Microscope's high-resolution images are used to measure the length and width of wheat anthers. By using object identification techniques, the research accurately measures the length and width of each anther in images, offering valuable insights into the differences between various wheat varieties. Furthermore, Deep Learning (DL) methodologies are utilized to enhance agriculture, specifically employing record categorization to advance plant breeding management. Given the ongoing challenges in agriculture, there is a belief that incorporating the latest technologies is crucial. The primary objective of this study is to explore how Deep Learning algorithms can be beneficial in categorizing agricultural records, particularly in monitoring and identifying variations in spring wheat germplasm. Various Deep Learning algorithms, including Convolution Neural Network (CNN), LeNet, and Inception-V3 are implemented to classify the records and extract various patterns. LeNet demonstrates optimized accuracy in classifying the records, outperforming CNN by 52% and Inception-V3 by 70%. Moreover, Precision, Recall, and F1 Measure are utilized to ascertain accuracy levels. The investigation also enhances our comprehension of the distinct roles played by various genes in abiotic stress tolerance among diverse wheat varieties. The outcomes of the research hold the potential to transform agricultural practices by introducing a more effective, data-driven approach to plant breeding management.},
}
@article {pmid39423899,
year = {2024},
author = {Cappa, P and Andreoli, V and La, C and Palacios-Abrantes, J and Reygondeau, G and Cheung, WWL and Zeller, D},
title = {Climate change undermines seafood micronutrient supply from wild-capture fisheries in Southeast Asia and Pacific Island countries.},
journal = {The Science of the total environment},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {177024},
doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.177024},
pmid = {39423899},
issn = {1879-1026},
abstract = {Marine ecosystem functions are affected by climate change impacts such as ocean warming, deoxygenation and acidification. These impacts drive changes in distributions and body size of fish species and directly affect fisheries. Wild-capture fisheries are crucial for providing nutrients, livelihoods, and employment in tropical Southeast Asia and Pacific Island countries, where coastal communities are highly vulnerable to climate change. We examined the impacts of climate change on fish stocks and nutrient availability of seven key micronutrients (calcium, Omega-3 fatty acids, iodine, iron, vitamin A, vitamin B12 and zinc) in Southeast Asia, Pacific Islands, and Oceania (Australia and New Zealand). We combined micronutrient demands by local human populations with Sea Around Us reconstructed catch time series and catch projections from a dynamic bioclimate envelope model for the 21st century. The model predicted a decline in the Maximum Catch Potential (MCP) within Exclusive Economic Zones for Oceania, Pacific Islands, and Southeast Asian countries. Under the 'strong mitigation' scenario, catch potential reductions ranged from a decline of 54-66 % in Oceania, 58-92 % in Pacific Islands, and 65-86 % in Southeast Asia by the mid to the end of the 21st century relative to the historical period, respectively. Under the 'no-mitigation' climate scenario, reductions were more severe, with a decline of 55-70 % in Oceania, 66-92 % in Pacific Islands, and 70-86 % in Southeast Asia for the same time periods. Our findings indicate that Australia and New Zealand are unlikely to meet the recommended nutrient intake demand for most micronutrients through their fisheries (not considering trade or aquaculture production), except for iodine and vitamin B12. Pacific Island countries will likely follow the same pattern while Southeast Asia is expected to face worsening deficits, except for iodine and vitamin B12. This study highlights the importance of incorporating nutritional considerations of seafood into national food, trade and economic policies.},
}
@article {pmid39423894,
year = {2024},
author = {Bakker, W and Morel, T and Ozinga, W and Scheper, J and Vergeer, P},
title = {The relative importance of nitrogen deposition and climate change in driving plant diversity decline in roadside grasslands.},
journal = {The Science of the total environment},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {176962},
doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.176962},
pmid = {39423894},
issn = {1879-1026},
abstract = {Nitrogen deposition and climate change have been identified as major threats to the biodiversity of semi-natural grasslands. Their relative contribution to recent biodiversity loss is however not fully understood, and may depend on local site conditions such as soil type, which hampers efforts to prevent further decline. We used data from >900 permanent plots in semi-natural grasslands in Dutch roadsides to investigate whether trends in plant diversity and community composition (2004-2020) could be explained by: (1) nitrogen deposition (NHx and NOy) and climate change (winter degree days and summer drought), (2) the interactive effect of nitrogen deposition and climate change, and (3) the interactive effect of nitrogen deposition and climate change with soil type. Overall we observed a decline in plant diversity and an increased dominance of tall species and grasses. These changes were linked to winter warming, but not to changes in summer drought and nitrogen deposition. The effect of winter warming was more pronounced in areas with higher NOy deposition, but was consistent across different soil types. Our results suggest that winter warming will become an important driver of plant diversity loss by altering competitive interactions, which could have major repercussions for other trophic levels and ecosystem services. Future conservation and restoration of grassland biodiversity therefore requires management regimes that are adapted to winter warming.},
}
@article {pmid39421933,
year = {2024},
author = {Fawad, M and Ullah, S and Xu, X},
title = {Climate-responsive telemedicine: Innovative strategy for enhancing healthcare in the face of climate change.},
journal = {Journal of global health},
volume = {14},
number = {},
pages = {03043},
pmid = {39421933},
issn = {2047-2986},
}
@article {pmid39421932,
year = {2024},
author = {Ryding, S and McQueen, A and Klaassen, M and Tattersall, GJ and Symonds, MRE},
title = {Long- and short-term responses to climate change in body and appendage size of diverse Australian birds.},
journal = {Global change biology},
volume = {30},
number = {10},
pages = {e17517},
doi = {10.1111/gcb.17517},
pmid = {39421932},
issn = {1365-2486},
support = {RGPIN-2020-05089//Natural Sciences and Engineering Research Council of Canada/ ; DP190101244//Australian Research Council/ ; //Centre for Integrative Ecology, Deakin University/ ; },
mesh = {Animals ; *Climate Change ; Australia ; *Birds/physiology/anatomy &amp; histology ; *Body Size ; Wings, Animal/anatomy &amp; histology/physiology ; },
abstract = {Changes to body size and shape have been identified as potential adaptive responses to climate change, but the pervasiveness of these responses has been questioned. To address this, we measured body and appendage size from 5013 museum bird skins of 78 ecologically and evolutionary diverse Australian species. We found that morphological change is a shared response to climate change across birds. Birds increased relative bill surface area, tarsus length, and relative wing length through time, consistent with expectations of increasing appendage size as climates warm. Furthermore, birds decreased in absolute wing length, consistent with the expectation of decreasing body size in warmer climates. Interestingly, these trends were generally consistent across different diets and migratory and thermoregulatory behaviors. Shorter term responses to higher temperatures were contrary to long-term effects for appendages, wherein relative appendage size decreased after hotter years, indicating the complex selective pressures acting on birds as temperatures rise with climate change. Overall, our findings support the notion that morphological adaptation is a widespread response to climate change in birds that is independent of other ecological traits.},
}
@article {pmid39421520,
year = {2024},
author = {George, N and Mahendran, P and Rajkumar, VL and Vivekanandan, VS and Thangavel, V and Elangovan, V and Palanisamy, Y and Poomalai, Y and Puvaneswaran, D},
title = {Climate Change Influence on Health Domains, a Public Perception from a District in South India - A Cross-sectional Study.},
journal = {Indian journal of community medicine : official publication of Indian Association of Preventive &amp; Social Medicine},
volume = {49},
number = {5},
pages = {752-758},
pmid = {39421520},
issn = {0970-0218},
abstract = {BACKGROUND: The effects of climate change have been evident throughout all domains of health such as physical, social, environmental, and mental. However, the lack of perception made it a grey topic among the public. The aim of the study was to determine the perception of climate change on physical, environmental, and mental domains of health and to find the association between the physical, environmental, and mental effects of climate change and its basic characteristics.<br><br>MATERIALS AND METHODS: This study was conducted in a cross-sectional design among the general population above 30 years in the field practice area [urban and rural] of tertiary care hospital Perambalur for a period of three months. The data were collected using a semi-structured questionnaire and the interviewer method, which includes sociodemographic characteristics along with questions on the perception of climate change effects on mental, physical, and environmental aspects. The regression models were used to analyze the odds of perception among the subjects with respect to the various domains of characteristics.<br><br>RESULTS: The study included 877 participants, where the majority of subjects perceived the effects of climate change on physical, mental, and environmental domains of health. The odds of having a higher perception were significant in regression analysis among people with higher/school education, agriculture occupation, and rural residence (P < 0.05).<br><br>CONCLUSION: Most of the study participants had an increased perception of climate change effects, making the subjects better candidates to impart adaptive strategies. Community-based programs have to be promoted to develop better comprehension and factual perception of climate change.},
}
@article {pmid39421457,
year = {2022},
author = {Zeppetello, LRV and Raftery, AE and Battisti, DS},
title = {Probabilistic projections of increased heat stress driven by climate change.},
journal = {Communications earth &amp; environment},
volume = {3},
number = {1},
pages = {},
pmid = {39421457},
issn = {2662-4435},
support = {R01 HD070936/HD/NICHD NIH HHS/United States ; },
abstract = {The Heat Index is a metric that quantifies heat exposure in human beings. Here, using probabilistic emission projections, we show that changes in the Heat Index driven by anthropogenic CO2 emissions will increase global exposure to dangerous environments in the coming decades. Even if the Paris Agreement goal of limiting global warming to 2 °C is met, the exposure to dangerous Heat Index levels will likely increase by 50-100% across much of the tropics and increase by a factor of 3-10 in many regions throughout the midlatitudes. Without emissions reductions more aggressive than those considered possible by our statistical projection, it is likely that by 2100, many people living in tropical regions will be exposed to dangerously high Heat Index values during most days of each typical year, and that the kinds of deadly heat waves that have been rarities in the midlatitudes will become annual occurrences.},
}
@article {pmid39420232,
year = {2024},
author = {Wang, T and Mao, D and Li, E and Hu, G and Feng, C and Liu, P and Yang, M and Deng, M and Li, Y},
title = {Non-stationarity of runoff and sediment load and its drivers under climate change and anthropogenic activities in Dongting Lake Basin.},
journal = {Scientific reports},
volume = {14},
number = {1},
pages = {24333},
pmid = {39420232},
issn = {2045-2322},
support = {U19A2051//the Joint Fund for Regional Innovation and Development of National Natural Science Foundation of China/ ; 23A0049//the Key Scientific Research Project of the Education Department of Hunan Province, China/ ; 20240101ST//the Research Foundation of the Department of Natural Resources of Hunan Province/ ; 21YBA035//the Philosophy and Social Sciences Fund of Hunan Province, China/ ; 5010002//the Construction Program for Fourteen Five-Year's Key Disciplines (Geography) of Hunan Province, China/ ; 42001024//the National Natural Science Foundation of China/ ; 21B0625//the Scientific Research Foundation of the Education Department of Hunan Province, China/ ; },
abstract = {Analysing non-stationarity in runoff and sediment load is crucial for effective water resource management in the Dongting Lake basin amid climate change and human impacts. Using the Mann-Kendall test, Generalized Additive Models for Location, Scale, and Shape framework, and Random Forest models, we evaluated non-stationarity and its drivers in the annual runoff and annual sediment load series at eight hydrological stations from 1961 to 2021. These stations include three inflow sites at the Jingjiang Three Outlets (Ouchi, Songzi, and Hudu Rivers), four inflow sites in the Four Rivers basin (Xiang, Zi, Yuan, and Li Rivers), and one outflow site at Chenglingji. Results revealed a significant decrease in annual runoff at the Three Outlets and Chenglingji, while the Four Rivers basin showed no significant trend. The non-stationary models with multiple physically-based covariates better captured non-stationarity compared to single covariate models. Annual rainfall was a key contributor to annual runoff in the Four Rivers basin, while reservoir storage capacity played a more dominant role in the Three Outlets. At Chenglingji station, both factors significantly influenced annual runoff. For annual sediment load, reservoir storage capacity emerged as the most critical factor across all regions. These findings provide a basis for improving runoff and sediment regulation in the Dongting Lake basin.},
}
@article {pmid39418703,
year = {2024},
author = {Khalifa, M and Ullah, S and Abdelfattah, T},
title = {Mapping the influence: Institutional blockholder coordination and climate change risk disclosure.},
journal = {Journal of environmental management},
volume = {370},
number = {},
pages = {122788},
doi = {10.1016/j.jenvman.2024.122788},
pmid = {39418703},
issn = {1095-8630},
abstract = {This study investigates the relationship between institutional blockholder coordination, proxied by geographic proximity, and climate change risk disclosure. Using a sample of 2,887 firm-year observations for S&amp;P 500 companies from 2010 to 2022, we reveal that a firm's climate change risk disclosure decreases when its institutional blockholders are more coordinated. In addition, we find that the negative relationship between institutional blockholder coordination and climate change risk disclosure manifests more in firms with less diversified institutional blockholders, a smaller number of institutional blockholders, a prominent position to their blockholders, and more dedicated institutional blockholder ownership. Moreover, we find that the negative association between institutional blockholder coordination and climate change risk disclosure is more pronounced in firms with corporate general counsels, a non-concentrated customer base, higher asset tangibility, and those that are environmentally sensitive. Our main conclusion still holds after using an alternative measure for climate change risk disclosure as well as a battery of endogeneity tests. Finally, we propose that institutional blockholder coordination lessens climate change risk disclosure through the channel of increased performance-induced CEO dismissal. Collectively, this study provides insightful implications for academics, financial statement users, regulators, and policymakers.},
}
@article {pmid39418381,
year = {2024},
author = {Jones, MW and Veraverbeke, S and Andela, N and Doerr, SH and Kolden, C and Mataveli, G and Pettinari, ML and Le Quéré, C and Rosan, TM and van der Werf, GR and van Wees, D and Abatzoglou, JT},
title = {Global rise in forest fire emissions linked to climate change in the extratropics.},
journal = {Science (New York, N.Y.)},
volume = {386},
number = {6719},
pages = {eadl5889},
doi = {10.1126/science.adl5889},
pmid = {39418381},
issn = {1095-9203},
abstract = {Climate change increases fire-favorable weather in forests, but fire trends are also affected by multiple other controlling factors that are difficult to untangle. We use machine learning to systematically group forest ecoregions into 12 global forest pyromes, with each showing distinct sensitivities to climatic, human, and vegetation controls. This delineation revealed that rapidly increasing forest fire emissions in extratropical pyromes, linked to climate change, offset declining emissions in tropical pyromes during 2001 to 2023. Annual emissions tripled in one extratropical pyrome due to increases in fire-favorable weather, compounded by increased forest cover and productivity. This contributed to a 60% increase in forest fire carbon emissions from forest ecoregions globally. Our results highlight the increasing vulnerability of forests and their carbon stocks to fire disturbance under climate change.},
}
@article {pmid39416895,
year = {2024},
author = {Das, S and Choudhury, MR and Chatterjee, B and Das, P and Bagri, S and Paul, D and Bera, M and Dutta, S},
title = {Unraveling the urban climate crisis: Exploring the nexus of urbanization, climate change, and their impacts on the environment and human well-being - A global perspective.},
journal = {AIMS public health},
volume = {11},
number = {3},
pages = {963-1001},
pmid = {39416895},
issn = {2327-8994},
abstract = {The accelerating pace of urbanization, coupled with the intensifying impacts of climate change, poses unprecedented challenges to both the environment and human well-being. In this review, we delved into the intricate interaction between climate change and urbanization and the various effects they have on the environment and human well-being, shedding light on the emergent urban climate crisis. Urban areas serve as epicenters for diverse socio-economic activities, yet they also contribute significantly to global greenhouse gas emissions and environmental degradation. Through an interdisciplinary lens, we explored the root causes of the urban climate crisis, examining how rapid urbanization exacerbates climate change and vice versa. By synthesizing current research and case studies, we elucidate the various environmental and social ramifications of this nexus, ranging from urban heat island effects to heightened vulnerability to extreme weather events. Furthermore, we delve into the unequal distribution of climate risks within urban populations, highlighting the disproportionate burden borne by marginalized communities. Finally, the chapter presents strategies and interventions for mitigating and adapting to the urban climate crisis, emphasizing the imperative of holistic and equitable approaches that prioritize both environmental sustainability and human well-being. Overall, this review calls for concerted efforts to unravel the complexities of the urban climate crisis and forge a path toward resilient, sustainable, and equitable urban futures.},
}
@article {pmid39414961,
year = {2024},
author = {Zhu, K and Song, Y and Lesage, JC and Luong, JC and Bartolome, JW and Chiariello, NR and Dudney, J and Field, CB and Hallett, LM and Hammond, M and Harrison, SP and Hayes, GF and Hobbs, RJ and Holl, KD and Hopkinson, P and Larios, L and Loik, ME and Prugh, LR},
title = {Rapid shifts in grassland communities driven by climate change.},
journal = {Nature ecology &amp; evolution},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
pmid = {39414961},
issn = {2397-334X},
support = {2244711//National Science Foundation (NSF)/ ; 2244711//National Science Foundation (NSF)/ ; 2306198//National Science Foundation (NSF)/ ; 2047239//National Science Foundation (NSF)/ ; 1628754//National Science Foundation (NSF)/ ; 99-35101-8234//United States Department of Agriculture | Agricultural Research Service (USDA Agricultural Research Service)/ ; },
abstract = {Many terrestrial plant communities, especially forests, have been shown to lag in response to rapid climate change. Grassland communities may respond more quickly to novel climates, as they consist mostly of short-lived species, which are directly exposed to macroclimate change. Here we report the rapid response of grassland communities to climate change in the California Floristic Province. We estimated 349 vascular plant species' climatic niches from 829,337 occurrence records, compiled 15 long-term community composition datasets from 12 observational studies and 3 global change experiments, and analysed community compositional shifts in the climate niche space. We show that communities experienced significant shifts towards species associated with warmer and drier locations at rates of 0.0216 ± 0.00592 °C yr[-][1] (mean ± s.e.) and -3.04 ± 0.742 mm yr[-][1], and these changes occurred at a pace similar to that of climate warming and drying. These directional shifts were consistent across observations and experiments. Our findings contrast with the lagged responses observed in communities dominated by long-lived plants and suggest greater biodiversity changes than expected in the near future.},
}
@article {pmid39414960,
year = {2024},
author = {},
title = {Grassland communities rapidly respond to climate change to settle climatic debts.},
journal = {Nature ecology &amp; evolution},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
pmid = {39414960},
issn = {2397-334X},
}
@article {pmid39414843,
year = {2024},
author = {Blinova, D and Emuru, R and Bagozzi, BE},
title = {Individual attendance data for over 30 years of international climate change talks.},
journal = {Scientific data},
volume = {11},
number = {1},
pages = {1134},
doi = {10.1038/s41597-024-03978-7},
pmid = {39414843},
issn = {2052-4463},
abstract = {The international community has formally negotiated over climate change since 1991. The annual meetings that host these negotiations have seen an ever-growing number of individuals representing countries, international organizations, or non-governmental organizations. These meetings and their attendees have accordingly become the focal point of international climate change cooperation for both the international community and scholars studying climate change politics. Yet, researchers have been unable to access and analyze comprehensive attendee-level data pertaining to these negotiations in terms of attendees' names, genders, job titles, delegations, divisions, and affiliations. In applying text-as-data techniques to attendance roster PDFs, we extract and build attendee-level datasets for all annual negotiations held under the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change and its precursor, 1991-2023. These data include original language and English-translated information on 27,470 unique delegations and 310,200 attendees over a 32-year period. Summaries and validations in turn highlight the promise of our data for the study of attendance patterns and characteristics across delegations and over time.},
}
@article {pmid39414103,
year = {2024},
author = {Zhao, W and Ye, C and Li, J and Yu, X},
title = {Increased risk of antibiotic resistance in surface water due to global warming.},
journal = {Environmental research},
volume = {263},
number = {Pt 2},
pages = {120149},
doi = {10.1016/j.envres.2024.120149},
pmid = {39414103},
issn = {1096-0953},
abstract = {As the pace of global warming accelerates, so do the threats to human health, urgent priority among them being antibiotic-resistant infections. In the context of global warming, this review summarises the direct and indirect effects of rising surface water temperatures on the development of bacterial antibiotic resistance. First, the resistance of typical pathogens such as E. coli increased with average temperature. This is not only related to increased bacterial growth rate and horizontal gene transfer frequency at high temperatures but also heat shock responses and cumulative effects. Secondly, the acceleration of bacterial growth indirectly promotes antibiotic residues in surface water, which is conducive to the growth and spread of resistant bacteria. Furthermore, the cascading effects of global warming, including the release of nutrients into the water and the resulting increase of bacteria and algae, indirectly promote the improvement of resistance. Water treatment processes exposed to high temperatures also increase the risk of resistance in surface water. The fitness costs of antibiotic resistance under these dynamic conditions are also discussed, concluding the relationship between various factors and resistance persistence. It was expected to provide a comprehensive basis for mitigating antibiotic resistance in the face of global warming.},
}
@article {pmid39413807,
year = {2024},
author = {Tang, T and Ge, HH and Ma, T and Hao, MM and Chen, S and Lv, CL and Qiu, YB and Wang, YH and Tian, Y and Chen, JJ and Yuan, S and Wang, Q and Jiang, D and Ding, FY and Liu, W and Fang, LQ},
title = {Global risk dynamics of Borrelia miyamotoi in the context of climate change.},
journal = {Environmental microbiology},
volume = {26},
number = {10},
pages = {e70000},
doi = {10.1111/1462-2920.70000},
pmid = {39413807},
issn = {1462-2920},
support = {42201497//National Natural Science Foundation of China/ ; 220211/WT_/Wellcome Trust/United Kingdom ; 2023YFC2605603//National Key Research and Development Program of China/ ; 2023000117//Youth Innovation Promotion Association of the Chinese Academy of Science/ ; },
mesh = {*Climate Change ; Animals ; *Ixodes/microbiology ; *Borrelia ; Humans ; *Ecosystem ; Borrelia Infections/epidemiology/microbiology ; Arachnid Vectors/microbiology ; },
abstract = {The impact of Borrelia miyamotoi on human health, facilitated by the expanding geographical distribution and increasing population of Ixodes ticks, remains obscure in the context of global climate change. We employed multiple models to evaluate the effect of global climate change on the risk of B. miyamotoi worldwide across various scenarios. The habitat suitability index of four primary vector tick species for B. miyamotoi, including Ixodes persulcatus, Ixodes ricinus, Ixodes pacificus and Ixodes scapularis, was projected using a boosted regression tree model, considering multiple shared socio-economic pathway scenarios over various time periods. The modelling analysis reveals that, apart from I. scapularis, future global warming will result in a northward shift in the other three vector tick species and a gradual reduction in suitable habitats. Random forest models indicate consistent changes in B. miyamotoi and its primary tick species, with potential risk areas shrinking and shifting northward, particularly in the eastern USA, northeastern and northern Europe and northeast Asia. These findings highlight the urgent need for enhanced active surveillance of B. miyamotoi infection in primary vector tick species across projected potential risk areas. The effect of climate change on B. miyamotoi distribution might have significant implications for public health decision-making regarding tick-borne pathogens.},
}
@article {pmid39412743,
year = {2024},
author = {Ek, C and Hébert, JR and Friedman, DB and Porter, DE},
title = {Climate Change, Racism, and Food Insecurity: Cyclical Impacts of Stressors Exacerbate Health Disparities.},
journal = {Journal of racial and ethnic health disparities},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
pmid = {39412743},
issn = {2196-8837},
abstract = {INTRODUCTION: Disadvantaged populations have higher rates of chronic disease, including heart disease, cancer, and diabetes. Race, ethnicity, lower socioeconomic status, and poverty all contribute to these disproportionate rates. Other factors, including systemic racism, climate change, poor diet, lack of food access, and epigenetic influences, that are distributed and experienced differently across vulnerable populations also play a significant role in the development of chronic diseases. This comprehensive review of contributors to chronic diseases emphasizes a unique focus on these identified emerging factors.<br><br>METHODS: An ad hoc literature review using OVID Medline and Web of Science was conducted.<br><br>RESULTS: Findings from prior studies indicate that multiple stressors, both in isolation and in combination, and their negative impacts on both physical and mental health of minorities are exacerbated by climate change.<br><br>DISCUSSION: Various stressors dramatically increase chronic disease risk in minority groups. Recommendations for future research to elucidate the impacts of climatic, racial, and dietary adversity with minority populations are presented. Further study in this area is critical for achieving the UN Sustainable Development Goals and improving public health outcomes.},
}
@article {pmid39411671,
year = {2024},
author = {Parija, SC},
title = {From the desk of editor-in-chief: Climate change and One Health Mission.},
journal = {Tropical parasitology},
volume = {14},
number = {2},
pages = {63-64},
pmid = {39411671},
issn = {2229-5070},
}
@article {pmid39410909,
year = {2024},
author = {Aranda, I and Martin-Benito, D and Sánchez-Gómez, D and de Simón, BF and Gea-Izquierdo, G},
title = {Different drought-tolerance strategies of tree species to cope with increased water stress under climate change in a mixed forest.},
journal = {Physiologia plantarum},
volume = {176},
number = {5},
pages = {e14562},
doi = {10.1111/ppl.14562},
pmid = {39410909},
issn = {1399-3054},
support = {REMEDINAL TE (2018/EMT-4338, 2019-2023)//Comunidad de Madrid/ ; PID2019-110273RB-I00//Spanish Ministry of Science and Innovation/ ; PID2022-142746NB-I00//Spanish Ministry of Science and Innovation/ ; TED2021-131947B-100//Spanish Ministry of Science and Innovation/ ; },
mesh = {*Climate Change ; *Forests ; *Droughts ; *Trees/physiology ; *Pinus/physiology ; *Plant Leaves/physiology ; *Water/physiology/metabolism ; *Quercus/physiology ; Photosynthesis/physiology ; Dehydration ; Juniperus/physiology ; Adaptation, Physiological/physiology ; },
abstract = {Trees' functional strategies to cope with extreme drought are essential under climate change. In a mixed Mediterranean forest, we analyzed the functional strategy in response to drought of four co-occurring species (Pinus pinea, Pinus pinaster, Juniperus oxycedrus, and Quercus ilex) during two years. Specifically, we assessed functional traits related to tree water status, leaf water relations, and gas exchange. Different trait-syndrome metrics and the functional strategies under water stress observed suggested a species drought-tolerance differentiation, with the more anysohidric Q. ilex and J. oxycedrus showing a much higher drought tolerance than the more isohydric P. pinea and P. pinaster. All species recovered from negative leaf turgor reached during peak water stress in summer. Q. ilex and J. oxycedrus kept lower leaf osmotic potentials and lower sensitivity of leaf gas exchange and leaf photochemistry to water stress. In contrast, the pine species exhibited more drought-avoidant and water-conservative strategies, yet this behavior was less effective in mitigating water stress's impact on their physiology. The pine species were the most affected by drought, with prolonged near-zero net photosynthesis during summer. P. pinaster was more isohydric than P. pinea and exhibited a lower capacity to maintain leaf turgor. Physiological processes regulating leaf turgor under drought constitute a key functional strategy involved in the carbon and water-related mechanisms, ultimately inducing mortality under hot drought. The currently observed mortality dynamics for P. pinaster, and to a lower extent in P. pinea, may be exacerbated by loss of functional homeostasis.},
}
@article {pmid39410668,
year = {2024},
author = {Park, MK and Baek, S and Jeong, DW and Kim, GS},
title = {Nurses' Perceptions and Behaviours Regarding Climate Change and Health: A Quantile Regression Analysis.},
journal = {Journal of advanced nursing},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1111/jan.16535},
pmid = {39410668},
issn = {1365-2648},
support = {6-2022-0028//Mo-Im Kim Nursing Research Institute, Yonsei University College of Nursing/ ; 2020R1A6A1A03041989//National Research Foundation of Korea/ ; },
abstract = {AIMS: The aim of this study is to identify the factors associated with nurses' perceptions and behaviours related to climate change and health (PBCH) according to their PBCH levels.<br><br>DESIGN: A cross-sectional study was used.<br><br>METHODS: This study included a sample of 499 Korean nurses and adhered to the STROBE checklist. Data were collected from March 23 to May 10, 2023. Quantile regression analysis was performed, and PBCH levels were measured using the Korean version of the Climate Health and Nursing Tool.<br><br>RESULTS: Across all quantile groups, the experience of extreme weather events and awareness of climate change-coping facilitators were associated with PBCH. Differences were observed in factors associated with PBCH levels. Significant associations with PBCH were observed within the 75th percentile group, for having a religion, household income, and workplace climate friendliness. In the 25th percentile group, having a child, the number of sources for climate change-health-related information, and experience in setting climate change-health goals and strategies significantly influenced PBCH.<br><br>CONCLUSION: We propose a differentiated strategy by elucidating the factors associated with high and low quantiles of PBCH levels.<br><br>IMPLICATIONS: By verifying specific factors associated with PBCH levels, nurses can enhance their preparedness to respond to the health risks posed by climate change in their clients.<br><br>IMPACT: Identifying common factors associated with all quantiles of nurses is important for establishing universal PBCH characteristics. Recognising the distinctions between high and low PBCH levels can aid in developing tailored nursing strategies to enhance PBCH among nurses.<br><br>REPORTING METHOD: This study adhered to the STROBE guidelines.<br><br>No Patient or Public Contribution.},
}
@article {pmid39406272,
year = {2024},
author = {Chen, B and Xu, X and Wang, S and Yang, T and Liu, Z and Falk, S},
title = {Carbon dioxide fertilization enhanced carbon sink offset by climate change and land use in Amazonia on a centennial scale.},
journal = {The Science of the total environment},
volume = {955},
number = {},
pages = {176903},
doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.176903},
pmid = {39406272},
issn = {1879-1026},
abstract = {The Amazon, the Earth's largest tropical forest, plays a critical role in the global carbon cycle, acting as a significant carbon sink. Recent studies, however, indicate a decline in its carbon sequestration capacity due to climate variability, intensive deforestation, and fires. This study aims to examine the impacts of these factors on the carbon dynamics of the Amazon over a centennial scale based on dynamic global vegetation models (DGVMs) of Trendy-v11. It was found that the Amazon region exhibited significant spatiotemporal variations in net land carbon (C) fluxes, and was a net C sink (40.02 ± 242.64 Tg C yr[-1]) during 1901-2021. The Amazonian net biome productivity (NBP) showed a 6-decades-scale shift from a decreasing trend (-3.78 Tg C yr[-2]) during 1901-1959 to an increasing trend (2.39 Tg C yr[-2]) during 1960-2021. The Amazonian NBP was negatively related to air temperature while positively related to dry-season precipitation during 1901-2021. Furthermore, the increase of atmospheric CO2 concentration during 1901-2020 enhanced Amazonian NBP by 36.40 ± 8.39 Pg C, which was largely offset by land use change (-18.84 ± 12.02 Pg C) and climate change (-10.03 ± 5.00 Pg C). Our findings underscore the critical need for sustainable management practices in the Amazon to enhance its C sink and preserve its function in the global climate system.},
}
@article {pmid39405988,
year = {2024},
author = {Cui, Y and Yan, Y},
title = {Effect of water and sanitation, PM pollution and climate change of COPD and LRIs under different sociodemographic transitions.},
journal = {Public health},
volume = {237},
number = {},
pages = {150-159},
doi = {10.1016/j.puhe.2024.10.012},
pmid = {39405988},
issn = {1476-5616},
abstract = {OBJECTIVES: To estimate the burden of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) and lower respiratory tract infections (LRIs) stratified by geographic location, and social-demographic status for 21 regions across the world from 1990 to 2019.<br><br>STUDY DESIGN: The analysis utilized data from the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) Study, focusing on mortality and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) as measures of COPD and LRI burden. Trend analyses using the Joinpoint model were conducted across five socio-demographic index (SDI) quintiles.<br><br>METHODS: We investigated the burden of COPD and LRIs employing restricted cubic splines to flexibly identify relationships between DALY rates and SDI. This method allowed for detailed examination of trends over time across different regions and socio-demographic contexts.<br><br>RESULTS: From 1990 to 2019, the ASMR of COPD attributed to PM for global and five SDI quintiles decreased 61.80&#xa0;%, 53.41&#xa0;%, 63.04&#xa0;%, 63.00&#xa0;%, 40.98&#xa0;%, 12.14&#xa0;% respectively. In terms of PM Pollution, there was an inverted U-shaped association between the DALY and SDI for COPD, the DALY rate associated with LRIs due to PM pollution exhibited a progressive decline as SDI increased.<br><br>CONCLUSION: Even though the trend in mortality and DALY of COPD and LRIs decreased globally, the COPD and LRI burden attributed to PM pollution remains high, particularly in lower SDI quintiles.},
}
@article {pmid39405873,
year = {2024},
author = {Mikulčić, H and Duić, N and Dewil, R},
title = {Climate change adoption for sustainable economic development.},
journal = {Journal of environmental management},
volume = {370},
number = {},
pages = {122838},
doi = {10.1016/j.jenvman.2024.122838},
pmid = {39405873},
issn = {1095-8630},
}
@article {pmid39405853,
year = {2024},
author = {Free, G and Poikane, S and Solheim, AL and Bussettini, M and Bradley, C and Smith, J and Caroni, R and Bresciani, M and Pinardi, M and Giardino, C and van de Bund, W},
title = {Climate change and ecological assessment in Europe under the WFD - Hitting moving targets with shifting baselines?.},
journal = {Journal of environmental management},
volume = {370},
number = {},
pages = {122884},
doi = {10.1016/j.jenvman.2024.122884},
pmid = {39405853},
issn = {1095-8630},
abstract = {The Water Framework Directive (WFD) sets the fundamental structure for assessing the status of water bodies in the European Union. Its implementation is currently entering its fourth six-year cycle assisted by a total of 38 guidance documents. The principal objective is to ensure good status for surface and ground waters. The functioning of the WFD is based on detecting the impact of human pressures on biological, physico-chemical, or hydromorphological parameters, and reducing these causal pressures through a program of measures to achieve good status. Climate change can exert a significant influence on ecological status by directly altering parameters monitored, pressure interactions, or influencing the effectiveness of programs of measures. Aquatic systems respond holistically to climate change with different pressures having additive, synergistic, or antagonistic interactions. The challenge is how to adapt the framework to manage aquatic systems in the context of climate change while maintaining focus on implementing measures to tackle key pressures. This paper examines potential approaches, including reassignment of waterbody type, quantifying the portion of Ecological Quality Ratio (EQR) driven by climate change, and creating an assessment module of climatic pressures and ecological responses. The overall purpose is to stimulate discussion and explore ways to incorporate climate change into the WFD structure.},
}
@article {pmid39405236,
year = {2024},
author = {Santer, B},
title = {How Science Upstaged Climate Denial: A play celebrates the agreement that opened nations worldwide to accepting the science of climate change.},
journal = {Scientific American},
volume = {331},
number = {4},
pages = {58},
doi = {10.1038/scientificamerican112024-rpItktUeumAFkDoTvJxUo},
pmid = {39405236},
issn = {0036-8733},
}
@article {pmid39405235,
year = {2024},
author = {Editors, T},
title = {Vote in November for Science: Kamala Harris has plans to improve health, boost the economy and mitigate climate change. Donald Trump has threats and a dangerous record.},
journal = {Scientific American},
volume = {331},
number = {4},
pages = {56},
doi = {10.1038/scientificamerican112024-5YgImqHdG6rmUBPlrrmMCF},
pmid = {39405235},
issn = {0036-8733},
mesh = {*Climate Change ; Humans ; United States ; *Politics ; },
}
@article {pmid39403967,
year = {2024},
author = {Wang, M and Sun, K and Jia, J and Wu, F and Gao, Y},
title = {Climate Change Drove the Decline in Yangtze Estuary Net Primary Production Over the Past Two Decades.},
journal = {Environmental science &amp; technology},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1021/acs.est.4c07163},
pmid = {39403967},
issn = {1520-5851},
abstract = {Net primary productivity (NPP) is highly sensitive to multiple stressors under progressive and intensifying climate change and anthropogenic impacts. The importance of understanding spatiotemporal distribution patterns and the associated driving factors that govern estuary NPP is paramount for regional carbon (C) budget assessments. Using a combined remote sensing and machine learning (ML) approach, the average NPP of the Yangtze Estuarine-offshore continuum (YEOC) was measured at 273.19 ± 21.26 mgC m[-2] day[-1] over the past two decades. Temporally, NPP exhibited a significant downward trend between 2002 and 2022. Climate factors (climate fluctuations, sea level rise, and discharge) drove phytoplankton biomass (Chl-a) while light conditions (PAR and Kd490) affected photosynthesis rates. Together, they can explain 65% of the NPP variation. Anthropogenic disturbances (i.e., damming and nutrient emissions) were not significant. Additionally, changes in NPP decreased phytoplankton C sequestration rates from 11.9 to 10.4 Tg C year[-1], reducing the estuary's C sink capacity, which relies on biological C fixation. This study highlights the climate's influence on the spatiotemporal transformation of YEOC NPP while enhancing our understanding of the response of EOC C budgets to climate change and anthropogenic activities.},
}
@article {pmid39403260,
year = {2024},
author = {Cai, H and Zhang, G},
title = {Predicting the Potential Distribution of Rare and Endangered Emmenopterys henryi in China Under Climate Change.},
journal = {Ecology and evolution},
volume = {14},
number = {10},
pages = {e70403},
pmid = {39403260},
issn = {2045-7758},
abstract = {Climate change has a pivotal impact on the potential distribution of endangered and relic tree species. Probably due to unrepresentative sampling and single algorithm, at present, there are different views on the potential range of the endangered tree Emmenopterys henryi, endemic to China. Here, we first collated 612 occurrence records and 22 environmental variables including climate, topography, and soil. Combined the Biomod2 with MaxEnt, we then predicted its past, current, and future potential suitable area in China, and determined the key factors influencing its distribution. The ensemble model results showed that the main environmental variables affecting this species were the minimum temperature of the coldest month (BIO6), precipitation of warmest quarter (BIO18), and temperature seasonality (BIO4). Its current potential distribution area was 176.53 × 10[4] km[2], mainly concentrated in eastern, central, and southwestern China. Collectively, the suitable area of E. henryi would averagely decrease by 3.90% in all 16 future scenarios, with its centroid largely migrating northeastward. Our findings indicate that the endangered E. henryi covered 18 provinces in China, having a larger area than known. Moreover, climate change may have an adverse effect on its potential distribution. In addition, the ensemble model can produce more effective prediction outcomes than MaxEnt for such endemic tree species with large environmental range. We recommend increasing sample representativeness by analyzing the completeness properties of sample coverage, and simultaneously selecting appropriate algorithms to ensure the reliability of distribution prediction for endangered and relict tree species.},
}
@article {pmid39402050,
year = {2024},
author = {Hunka, N and Duncanson, L and Armston, J and Dubayah, R and Healey, SP and Santoro, M and May, P and Araza, A and Bourgoin, C and Montesano, PM and Neigh, CSR and Grantham, H and Potapov, P and Turubanova, S and Tyukavina, A and Richter, J and Harris, N and Urbazaev, M and Pascual, A and Suarez, DR and Herold, M and Poulter, B and Wilson, SN and Grassi, G and Federici, S and Sanz, MJ and Melo, J},
title = {Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) Tier 1 forest biomass estimates from Earth Observation.},
journal = {Scientific data},
volume = {11},
number = {1},
pages = {1127},
pmid = {39402050},
issn = {2052-4463},
support = {80NSSC23K1255//National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA)/ ; 80NSSC21K0196//National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA)/ ; },
abstract = {Aboveground biomass density (AGBD) estimates from Earth Observation (EO) can be presented with the consistency standards mandated by United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC). This article delivers AGBD estimates, in the format of Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) Tier 1 values for natural forests, sourced from National Aeronautics and Space Administration's (NASA's) Global Ecosystem Dynamics Investigation (GEDI) and Ice, Cloud and land Elevation Satellite (ICESat-2), and European Space Agency's (ESA's) Climate Change Initiative (CCI). It also provides the underlying classification used by the IPCC as geospatial layers, delineating global forests by ecozones, continents and status (primary, young (≤20 years) and old secondary (>20 years)). The approaches leverage complementary strengths of various EO-derived datasets that are compiled in an open-science framework through the Multi-mission Algorithm and Analysis Platform (MAAP). This transparency and flexibility enables the adoption of any new incoming datasets in the framework in the future. The EO-based AGBD estimates are expected to be an independent contribution to the IPCC Emission Factors Database in support of UNFCCC processes, and the forest classification expected to support the generation of other policy-relevant datasets while reflecting ongoing shifts in global forests with climate change.},
}
@article {pmid39401971,
year = {2024},
author = {Meherali, S and Aynalem, YA and Nisa, SU and Kennedy, M and Salami, B and Adjorlolo, S and Ali, P and Silva, KL and Aziato, L and Richter, S and Lassi, ZS},
title = {Impact of climate change on child outcomes: an evidence gap map review.},
journal = {BMJ paediatrics open},
volume = {8},
number = {1},
pages = {},
pmid = {39401971},
issn = {2399-9772},
mesh = {Humans ; *Climate Change/statistics &amp; numerical data ; *Child Health ; Infant ; Infant, Newborn ; Child, Preschool ; Evidence Gaps ; },
abstract = {BACKGROUND: Climate change and extreme weather events significantly threaten neonatal and child health. This review aims to provide a comprehensive overview of the current evidence on the impact of climate change on child health, using the evidence gap map (EGM) to address knowledge gaps and establish a foundation for evidence-based interventions and future research.<br><br>METHOD: From inception, academic databases (such as MEDLINE, EMBASE, Global Health, CINAHL and Scopus) and grey literature were systematically searched. We included climate change-related studies involving children aged 0-5 worldwide. Covidence facilitated a rigorous screening process, and we conducted a critical appraisal. Two independent reviewers handled screening and data extraction. Eligible studies underwent coding and extraction using Evidence for Policy and Practice Information (EPPI) reviewer software. The EGM was constructed using EPPI Mapper, and comprehensive findings were presented through live links and figures.<br><br>RESULT: We identified 196 studies, comprising 59.2% children and 40.8% neonates, with diverse research approaches, including 94% quantitative studies. There has been a notable increase in research publications over the past 5 years. Evidence is heavily concentrated in Asia (93 studies) and Africa (47 studies). The most frequently studied exposures are those related to extreme climate events, followed by drought and floods. However, there are gaps in the study of extreme cold and storms. The significant outcomes comprised preterm birth (55 studies), low birth weight (27 studies), malnutrition (59 studies) and diarrhoeal diseases (28 studies). Evidence on mental health problems and congenital disabilities receives relatively less attention.<br><br>CONCLUSION: This EGM is crucial for researchers, policymakers and practitioners. It highlights knowledge gaps and guides future research to address the evolving threats of climate change to global child health.<br><br>TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER: INPLASY202370086.},
}
@article {pmid39401032,
year = {2024},
author = {Robinson, JM and Liddicoat, C and Sun, X and Ramesh, S and Hawken, S and Lee, K and Brame, J and Fickling, NW and Kuhn, E and Hayward, C and Deshmukh, S and Robinson, K and Cando-Dumancela, C and Breed, MF},
title = {The climate change-pollution-aerobiome nexus: A 'systems thinking' mini-review.},
journal = {Microbial biotechnology},
volume = {17},
number = {10},
pages = {e70018},
pmid = {39401032},
issn = {1751-7915},
support = {UOWX2101//New Zealand Ministry of Business Innovation and Employment/ ; DP210101932//Australian Research Council/ ; LP190100051//Australian Research Council/ ; LP190100484//Australian Research Council/ ; 32361143523//National Natural Science Foundation of China/ ; 322GJHZ2022028FN//International Partnership Program of the Chinese Academy of Sciences/ ; },
mesh = {*Climate Change ; Humans ; *Microbiota ; Air Pollution ; Bacteria/metabolism/genetics/classification ; Ecosystem ; Air Microbiology ; Fungi ; },
abstract = {The interrelationship between climate change, pollution and the aerobiome (the microbiome of the air) is a complex ecological dynamic with profound implications for human and ecosystem health. This mini-review explores the multifaceted relationships among these factors. By synthesising existing research and integrating interdisciplinary perspectives, we examine the mechanisms driving interactions within the climate change-pollution-aerobiome nexus. We also explore synergistic and cascading effects and potential impacts on human health (including both communicable and non-communicable diseases) and that of wider ecosystems. Based on our mini-review results, climate change influences air pollution and, independently, air pollution affects the composition, diversity and activity of the aerobiome. However, we apply a 'systems thinking' approach and create a set of systems diagrams to show that climate change likely influences the aerobiome (including bacteria and fungi) via climate change-pollution interactions in complex ways. Due to the inherent complexity of these systems, we emphasise the importance of holistic and/or interdisciplinary approaches and collaborative efforts in understanding this nexus to safeguard planetary health in an era of rapid environmental change.},
}
@article {pmid39400973,
year = {2024},
author = {Buonaiuto, DM},
title = {How Climate Change May Impact Plant Reproduction and Fitness by Altering the Temporal Separation of Male and Female Flowering.},
journal = {Global change biology},
volume = {30},
number = {10},
pages = {e17533},
doi = {10.1111/gcb.17533},
pmid = {39400973},
issn = {1365-2486},
mesh = {*Climate Change ; *Flowers/growth &amp; development/physiology ; *Reproduction ; Temperature ; Seasons ; Plants ; Plant Physiological Phenomena ; },
abstract = {The temporal separation of male and female flowering-known as dichogamy-is a widespread adaptation across the plant kingdom that increases reproductive success and enhances plant fitness. Differences in timing between male and female flowering can be highly sensitive to environmental variation-and with widespread evidence of shifts in seasonal timing of flowering (i.e., phenology) due to anthropogenic warming-climate change may alter the sequences of male and female flowering for a diversity of taxa around the globe. However, we currently lack a broad understanding of both the extent to which climate change may alter patterns of dichogamy and the potential implications of these shifts for plant reproduction. Here I present evidence that links variation in dichogamy to variation in temperature for a variety of plant taxa. I synthesize the limited number of studies that have investigated shifts in dichogamy specifically in the context of climate change, and detail the physiological, genetic, and developmental factors that control the relative timing of male and female flowering. The literature indicates that dichogamy is highly plastic and sensitive to temperature variation. Plasticity in dichogamy is observed across species with different sexual systems and growth habits, and in both female-first and male-first flowering taxa, but at present, no clear patterns of dichogamy shifts related to these associated traits are discernible. Together, these lines of evidence suggest that sequences of male and female flowering are likely to shift with climate change. However, more research is needed to better understand and predict the ecological consequences of shifting patterns of dichogamy in the context of global change.},
}
@article {pmid39400452,
year = {2024},
author = {Gallego-Tévar, B and Gil-Martínez, M and Perea, A and Pérez-Ramos, IM and Gómez-Aparicio, L},
title = {Interactive Effects of Climate Change and Pathogens on Plant Performance: A Global Meta-Analysis.},
journal = {Global change biology},
volume = {30},
number = {10},
pages = {e17535},
doi = {10.1111/gcb.17535},
pmid = {39400452},
issn = {1365-2486},
support = {CGL2014-56739-R//Ministerio de Ciencia e Innovaci&#xf3;n/ ; RTI2018-094394-B-I00//Ministerio de Ciencia e Innovaci&#xf3;n/ ; },
mesh = {*Climate Change ; *Droughts ; Plant Diseases/microbiology ; Plants/microbiology ; Plant Development ; Host-Pathogen Interactions ; },
abstract = {Plant health is increasingly threatened by abiotic and biotic stressors linked to anthropogenic global change. These stressors are frequently studied in isolation. However, they might have non-additive (antagonistic or synergistic) interactive effects that affect plant communities in unexpected ways. We conducted a global meta-analysis to summarize existing evidence on the joint effects of climate change (drought and warming) and biotic attack (pathogens) on plant performance. We also investigated the effect of drought and warming on pathogen performance, as this information is crucial for a mechanistic interpretation of potential indirect effects of climate change on plant performance mediated by pathogens. The final databases included 1230 pairwise cases extracted from 117 recently published scientific articles (from 2006) on a global scale. We found that the combined negative effects of drought and pathogens on plant growth were lower than expected based on their main effects, supporting the existence of antagonistic interactions. Thus, the larger the magnitude of the drought, the lower the pathogen capacity to limit plant growth. On the other hand, the combination of warming and pathogens caused larger plant damage than expected, supporting the existence of synergistic interactions. Our results on the effects of drought and warming on pathogens revealed a limitation of their growth rates and abundance in vitro but an improvement under natural conditions, where multiple factors operate across the microbiome. Further research on the impact of climate change on traits explicitly defining the infective ability of pathogens would enhance the assessment of its indirect effects on plants. The evaluated plant and pathogen responses were conditioned by the intensity of drought or warming and by moderator categorical variables defining the pathosystems. Overall, our findings reveal the need to incorporate the joint effect of climatic and biotic components of global change into predictive models of plant performance to identify non-additive interactions.},
}
@article {pmid39399895,
year = {2024},
author = {Mertens, JE},
title = {The Influence of Climate Change on Vector-Borne Diseases in a Wilderness Medicine Context.},
journal = {Wilderness &amp; environmental medicine},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {10806032241283704},
doi = {10.1177/10806032241283704},
pmid = {39399895},
issn = {1545-1534},
abstract = {The imminent climate crisis has been labeled as the biggest health threat humanity must deal with. Vector-borne disease distribution and transmission as well as the population at risk are influenced to a great degree by environmental and climactic factors affecting both the vectors themselves and the causative pathogens. Paired with an increase in worldwide travel, urbanization, and globalization, along with population displacements and migration, elucidating the effects of anthropogenic climate change on these illnesses is therefore of the essence to stave off potential negative sequelae. Outcomes on different vector-borne diseases will be diverse, but for many of them, these developments will result in a distribution shift or expansion with the possibility of (re-)introduction of vector and pathogen species in previously nonendemic areas. The consequence will be a growing likelihood for novel human, vector, and pathogen interactions with an increased risk for infection, morbidity, and mortality. Wilderness medicine professionals commonly work in close relationship to the natural environment and therefore will experience these alterations most strongly in their practice. Hence, this article attempts to bring awareness to the subject at hand in a wilderness medicine context, with a focus on malaria, the most burdensome of arthropod-borne diseases. For prevention of the potentially dire consequences on human health induced by climate change, concerted and intensified efforts to reduce the burning of fossil fuels and thus greenhouse gas emissions will be imperative on a global scale.},
}
@article {pmid39399659,
year = {2024},
author = {Gertrudix, M and Carbonell-Alcocer, A and Arcos, R and Arribas, CM and Codesido-Linares, V and Benítez-Aranda, N},
title = {Disinformation as an obstructionist strategy in climate change mitigation: a review of the scientific literature for a systemic understanding of the phenomenon.},
journal = {Open research Europe},
volume = {4},
number = {},
pages = {169},
pmid = {39399659},
issn = {2732-5121},
abstract = {BACKGROUND: This study examines the scientific misinformation about climate change, in particular obstructionist strategies. The study aims to understand their impact on public perception and climate policy and emphasises the need for a systemic understanding that includes the financial, economic and political roots.<br><br>METHODS: A systematic literature review (SLR) was conducted using the PRISMA 2020 model. The sample consisted of 75 articles published between 2019 and 2023, sourced from Web of Science, Scopus and Google Scholar. Methodological triangulation was performed to improve the analysis.<br><br>RESULTS: The results show that technological approaches to misinformation detection, such as immunisation and fact-checking, are widely used. However, few studies look in depth at the operational structures that support systematic disinformation.<br><br>CONCLUSIONS: The study emphasises the urgent need to expand and deepen research on climate disinformation and argues for more global, comparative and adequately funded studies. It emphasises the importance of addressing the systemic complexity of disinformation and integrating different theoretical and methodological approaches. This will help to develop effective measures against hidden networks of influence and mitigate their disruptive effects. The research findings are relevant for policymakers, scientists, academics, the media and the public and will help to improve strategies to combat climate misinformation and promote science-based climate action.},
}
@article {pmid39398075,
year = {2024},
author = {Cipriani, E and Gemignani, A and Menicucci, D},
title = {Awareness of everyday effects of climate change: The climate change perceptual awareness scale (CCPAS).},
journal = {Heliyon},
volume = {10},
number = {19},
pages = {e38461},
pmid = {39398075},
issn = {2405-8440},
abstract = {Climate change is intrinsically complex and demands a certain degree of abstraction. However, different individuals report a wide range and degree of tangible and sensory experiences of climate change. As perceptual and sensory awareness of climate change has important consequences for the promotion of sustainable behaviors, pro-climate policies, and clinical interventions for climate-related disorders such as climate anxiety, new specific tools are required: herein we detail the development of a psychometric measure of perceptual awareness of climate change, as well as provide evidence for its discriminant, convergent, and predictive validity for sustainable behaviors. The administration of this scale on a representative sample of the UK population (Study 1) yielded a 4-factor structure, with items measuring perception of temperature changes and those measuring perception of humidity changes loading on separate factors, and two additional factors identifying the awareness of own feelings and perception of media attention on climate change. A second administration (Study 2) to an independent sample gathered from the Italian population supports the reliability of this factorial structure. As the rising field of climate neuroscience starts to investigate the determinants of perceptions of climate change, this novel scale will allow assessing the perceptual features affecting awareness of climate change.},
}
@article {pmid39396784,
year = {2024},
author = {Liu, S and Liu, Y and Xing, Q and Li, Y and Tian, H and Luo, Y and Ito, SI and Tian, Y},
title = {Climate change drives fish communities: Changing multiple facets of fish biodiversity in the Northwest Pacific Ocean.},
journal = {The Science of the total environment},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {176854},
doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.176854},
pmid = {39396784},
issn = {1879-1026},
abstract = {Global marine biodiversity is experiencing significant alterations due to climate change. Incorporating phylogenetic and functional diversity may provide novel insights into these impacts. This study used an ensemble model approach (random forest and boosted regression tree), to predict the habitat distribution of 47 fish species in the Northwestern Pacific under contemporary (2000-2014) and future scenarios (2040-2050, 2090-2100). We first examined the relationship between eleven functional traits and habitat changes, predicting the spatial distribution of functional traits within fish communities. A significant correlation was observed between temperature preference and habitat changes, highlighting the vulnerability of cold-water species and potential advantages for warm-water species in the future. Moreover, fish communities exhibited a spatial gradient distribution with southern regions characterized by shorter-lived and earlier maturity, contrasting with longer-lived and later maturity species in the north. Secondly, to assess the impact of climate change on marine biodiversity, we explored the taxonomic, phylogenetic, and functional diversity under contemporary and future scenarios, revealing higher indices in the East China Sea (ECS) and the coastal sea of Japan, with the Taiwan Strait emerging as a contemporary biodiversity hotspot. In future scenarios, the three biodiversity indices would decline in the Yellow Sea and ECS, but increase in the sea beyond the continental shelf, coastal sea of Hokkaido, and Sea of Okhotsk. Lastly, we explored processes and mechanisms in the change of community composition. By quantifying β-diversity, we identified species loss (nestedness) as the primary driver of fish community change by 2040-2050, with species replacement (turnover) predicted to become dominant in the far future. Our results explore the potential changes in multiple facets of fish biodiversity, providing crucial insights for policymakers aiming to protect fish resources and biodiversity.},
}
@article {pmid39394377,
year = {2024},
author = {Jovanović, I and Frantová, N and Alba-Mejía, JE and Porčová, L and Psota, V and Asszonyi, J and Cerkal, R and Středa, T},
title = {Role of total polyphenol content in seed germination characteristics of spring barley varieties amidst climate change.},
journal = {Scientific reports},
volume = {14},
number = {1},
pages = {23818},
pmid = {39394377},
issn = {2045-2322},
support = {QL24010109//MZE-RO1923, Ministry of Agriculture of the Czech Republic/ ; },
mesh = {*Hordeum/growth &amp; development/physiology ; *Germination/physiology ; *Polyphenols/analysis/metabolism ; *Seeds/growth &amp; development ; *Climate Change ; Droughts ; Seasons ; Temperature ; },
abstract = {The amount of total polyphenol content (TPC) in the grain could provide insights into the conditions during maturation and might also serve as an indicator of the grain's ability to germinate in the malting process or as seeds in the field. Varieties with higher natural TPC content might exhibit better germination parameters both in the field and in the malt house. This study investigates the relationship between TPC and seed germination characteristics i.e. seed vigour in four spring barley varieties over two years, considering diverse environmental conditions and exposure to drought conditions. The evaluation of seed germination characteristics in barley, with a focus on the root length and average diameter under drought conditions (-0.5 MPa) and suboptimal temperature (10 °C), was conducted. Drought conditions were induced using polyethylene glycol (PEG 6000). After durations of seven and fourteen days, the germinated seeds from the Petri dishes were scanned and subjected to analysis using WinRHIZO software following the metrics: Len 7, Len 14 (root length after seven and fourteen days in cm) and AvgD 7, AvgD 14 (root diameter after seven and fourteen days in mm). The findings support our initial hypothesis, indicating a variety-specific relationship between seed germination characteristics and increased TPC, where higher germination parameters might be associated with elevated TPC levels in some barley varieties.},
}
@article {pmid39393372,
year = {2024},
author = {Semenza, JC and Rocklöv, J},
title = {Co-benefits of climate change mitigation for infectious disease control.},
journal = {The Lancet. Planetary health},
volume = {8},
number = {10},
pages = {e720},
doi = {10.1016/S2542-5196(24)00237-7},
pmid = {39393372},
issn = {2542-5196},
mesh = {*Climate Change ; Humans ; *Communicable Disease Control/methods ; },
}
@article {pmid39393366,
year = {2024},
author = {Ford, N and Hammill, A},
title = {Measuring and adapting to climate change in HIV programmes.},
journal = {The lancet. HIV},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1016/S2352-3018(24)00231-5},
pmid = {39393366},
issn = {2352-3018},
}
@article {pmid39392471,
year = {2024},
author = {Shin, N and Saitoh, TM and Takasu, H and Morimoto, H},
title = {Influence of climate change on flowering phenology of Yoshino cherry at its southern distribution limit.},
journal = {International journal of biometeorology},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
pmid = {39392471},
issn = {1432-1254},
abstract = {To clarify the influence of climate change on the flowering phenology of Yoshino cherry at its southern distribution limit, we examined the relationship between cold exposure for endodormancy release (chilling requirement) and heat requirement for bud growth on Hachijojima Island, Japan, from 1948 to 2024. Cold exposure and heat requirement had a significant relationship approximated by linear or log-linear functions. In years with less cold exposure, the first flowering dates were much later than normal, in accordance with the higher heat requirement. Our results indicate that the variation in the balance between cold exposure and heat requirement depending on the pattern of annual air temperature change is likely to vary the first flowering date greatly at the distribution limit of Yoshino cherry.},
}
@article {pmid39392090,
year = {2024},
author = {Chen, J and Jiang, K and Li, Y and Wang, S and Bu, W},
title = {Climate change effects on the diversity and distribution of soybean true bugs pests.},
journal = {Pest management science},
volume = {80},
number = {10},
pages = {5157-5167},
doi = {10.1002/ps.8243},
pmid = {39392090},
issn = {1526-4998},
mesh = {*Glycine max/parasitology/growth &amp; development ; Animals ; *Climate Change ; *Biodiversity ; Heteroptera/physiology/growth &amp; development ; Animal Distribution ; },
abstract = {BACKGROUND: Climate change and pests are two major factors in the reduction of global soybean yields. The diversity and geographic distribution of soybean true bug pests vary across soybean production areas worldwide, and climate change impacts are different across species and regions. Therefore, we integrated spatial and temporal predictions at the global scale to predict the impact of global warming on the distribution of 84 soybean true bug pests by the maximum entropy niche model (MaxEnt) under present (1970-2000) and future (2041-2060) scenarios. We produced an ensemble projection of the potential distribution of pests and crop production areas to estimate how and where climate warming will augment the threat of soybean true bug pests to soybean production areas.<br><br>RESULTS: Our results indicated that Southeast North America, Central South America, Europe and East Asia were the regions with the higher richness of soybean true bug and the most vulnerable areas to invasion threats. Climate change would promote the expansion of the distribution range and facilitate pest movement pole wards, affecting more soybean cultivated areas located in mid-latitudes. Moreover, species with different distribution patterns responded differently to climate change in that large-ranged species tended to increase in occupancy over time, whereas small-ranged species tended to decrease.<br><br>CONCLUSION: This result indicates that some pests that have not yet become notable may have the chance to develop into serious pests in the future due to the expansion of their geographical range. Our findings highlight that soybean cultivated regions at mid-latitudes would face general infestations from soybean true bug pests under global warming. These results will further facilitate the formulation of adaptation planning to minimize local environmental impacts in the future. &#xa9; 2024 Society of Chemical Industry.},
}
@article {pmid39391950,
year = {2024},
author = {Pollard, KJ and Davis, C and Davis, B and Donohue, D and Wong, W and Saad, A and Merlo, G and Pathak, N},
title = {Health disparities and climate change in the Marshall Islands.},
journal = {Annals of medicine},
volume = {56},
number = {1},
pages = {2411601},
doi = {10.1080/07853890.2024.2411601},
pmid = {39391950},
issn = {1365-2060},
mesh = {Humans ; *Climate Change ; Micronesia/epidemiology ; Health Status Disparities ; Diabetes Mellitus/epidemiology ; Healthcare Disparities ; Sea Level Rise ; },
abstract = {The small island nations, territories, and states dotting the Pacific are among the most disproportionately affected populations worldwide in the face of climate change. Sea level rise coupled with increased tropical storms contribute to seawater incursion, flooding, personal injury, trauma, and death. They face an existential threat due to the consequences of global warming, specifically ice melt resulting in sea level rise, repercussions for which they are not historically culpable. Along with these environmental threats, Pacific Island communities are further burdened with high rates of adverse health conditions such as diabetes and obesity yet have limited healthcare resources due to minimal economic development. The Republic of the Marshall Islands (RMI) has one of the highest amputation rates worldwide due to advanced diabetes from lifestyle factors, limited healthcare infrastructure, financial disparities, and a culturally based hesitancy to seek medical attention, all of which lead to an increased incidence of diabetic complications. Challenges posed by non-communicable chronic diseases include diabetes and infectious diseases like tuberculosis, hepatitis, malaria, and Zika. Just as crucial to the narrative of the Marshallese people is a fundamental indigenous knowledge of their surroundings and an inseparable relationship to the environment, aquatic animals, and communities around them, denoting a holistic living system. Though the outlook is precarious, solutions centering on lifestyle interventions that are informed by Indigenous cultural strengths can provide a responsive framework and a ray of hope, offering potential solutions to these two. This short perspective highlights the RMI as a case study of the challenges the Pacific Island nations bear, from a legacy of annexation to the modern threat of climate change, compounded by health disparities.},
}
@article {pmid39390883,
year = {2024},
author = {Santra, G},
title = {Heat Stress Nephropathy: An Emerging Epidemic of Global Warming.},
journal = {The Journal of the Association of Physicians of India},
volume = {72},
number = {10},
pages = {110},
doi = {10.59556/japi.72.0686},
pmid = {39390883},
issn = {0004-5772},
mesh = {Humans ; *Heat Stress Disorders/epidemiology/complications ; *Global Warming ; Renal Insufficiency, Chronic/epidemiology/etiology ; Dehydration/etiology/epidemiology ; Epidemics ; },
abstract = {Climate change has led to global warming since the last century, which has adverse health consequences. Heat stress nephropathy (HSN) is such a disorder that is emerging as an epidemic because of heat exposure, dehydration, and shortage of drinking water. HSN has been suspected to occur in different parts of the world. Many cases of chronic kidney disease of unknown etiology (CKDu) such as Mesoamerican nephropathy and Sri Lankan nephropathy are now being considered as HSN. Influences of agrochemicals (e.g., pesticides), heavy metals (e.g., cadmium, lead, arsenic, and fluoride), and genetic polymorphism were suspected for causation of CKDu in those cases, but results were inconsistent in different studies from different locations. Drinking water with high silica and strontium was also found in a region with high CKDu in South India.[1] Malnutrition and infections such as leptospirosis can also cause CKDu. It is not clear whether CKDu in different hot locations studied represents a single disease or a group of different disorders, but the common factors found are heat and related dehydration. However, combined effects may also be possible. Dehydration from heat stress increases toxin exposure of different organs because of higher blood and urine concentration, as chronically dehydrated patients may not excrete toxic substances effectively. Also, the wells and water reservoirs are more concentrated with toxic substances because of hot weather due to evaporation.},
}
@article {pmid39390569,
year = {2024},
author = {Moraca, S and Indinnimeo, L and De Nuntiis, P},
title = {Correction: Risk perceptions of Italian paediatricians for the impact of climate change on children's health.},
journal = {Italian journal of pediatrics},
volume = {50},
number = {1},
pages = {211},
doi = {10.1186/s13052-024-01787-7},
pmid = {39390569},
issn = {1824-7288},
}
@article {pmid39390044,
year = {2024},
author = {Stollberg, J and Bogdan, D and Jonas, E},
title = {Author Correction: Empowering the younger generation increases their willingness for intergenerational reconciliation in the context of climate change.},
journal = {Scientific reports},
volume = {14},
number = {1},
pages = {23707},
doi = {10.1038/s41598-024-74254-2},
pmid = {39390044},
issn = {2045-2322},
}
@article {pmid39389592,
year = {2024},
author = {Kotcher, J and Miller, J and Mildenberger, M and Maibach, E},
title = {Climate change, health, and the US election.},
journal = {BMJ (Clinical research ed.)},
volume = {387},
number = {},
pages = {q2183},
doi = {10.1136/bmj.q2183},
pmid = {39389592},
issn = {1756-1833},
mesh = {*Climate Change ; *Politics ; Humans ; United States ; },
}
@article {pmid39389591,
year = {2024},
author = {Alfvén, T and Bhutta, ZA},
title = {Nurturing children and protecting our planet from climate change.},
journal = {BMJ (Clinical research ed.)},
volume = {387},
number = {},
pages = {q2056},
doi = {10.1136/bmj.q2056},
pmid = {39389591},
issn = {1756-1833},
mesh = {*Climate Change ; Humans ; Child ; Global Health ; },
}
@article {pmid39387729,
year = {2024},
author = {, },
title = {Responding to the Impact of Climate Change on Adolescent and Young Adult Health: A Position Paper of the Society for Adolescent Health and Medicine and the International Association for Adolescent Health.},
journal = {The Journal of adolescent health : official publication of the Society for Adolescent Medicine},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1016/j.jadohealth.2024.09.015},
pmid = {39387729},
issn = {1879-1972},
abstract = {The Society for Adolescent Health and Medicine and the International Association for Adolescent Health recognize that climate change impacts multiple dimensions of health and well-being for adolescents and young adults. According to the World Health Organization, climate change is one of the top 10 health threats facing humanity. No aspect of adolescent health is spared from the consequences of climate change: food and housing insecurity, heat-related morbidity and mortality, water-borne diseases, infectious diseases, including sexually transmitted infections and HIV, mental health disorders, gender-based violence, conflict, internal displacement, and migration are all impacted. Vulnerable populations, such as adolescents and young adults, and those living in lower- to middle-income countries and environmental justice communities, are the ones whose health will be most affected. The Society for Adolescent Health and Medicine and the International Association for Adolescent Health call for urgent action in alignment with the United Nations Sustainable Development Goals and the Convention on the Rights of the Child to avert the irreversible consequences of climate change. Health professionals and health-care organizations can and should help lead global climate action along with youth, supporting mitigation and adaptation strategies that protect young people. Adolescent health professionals and organizations must advocate for climate justice and equitable resources, urge health systems to mitigate their adverse impacts on the environment, advocate for health organizations to focus on green investments, be leaders in climate education of the next generation of adolescent health professionals, and focus research on equitable strategies to reduce climate harms.},
}
@article {pmid39389572,
year = {2024},
author = {Franco Silva, M and Favarão Leão, AL and O'Connor, &#xc1; and Hallal, PC and Ding, D and Hinckson, E and Benmarhnia, T and Siqueira Reis, R},
title = {Understanding the Relationships Between Physical Activity and Climate Change: An Umbrella Review.},
journal = {Journal of physical activity &amp; health},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {1-13},
doi = {10.1123/jpah.2024-0284},
pmid = {39389572},
issn = {1543-5474},
abstract = {BACKGROUND: Physical activity is crucial for maintaining health and preventing chronic diseases. However, climate conditions can impact physical activity patterns, and conversely, physical activity can impact climate change. This umbrella review aims to summarize the existing evidence regarding the relationships between physical activity and climate change, as revealed in previous reviews.<br><br>METHODS: Systematic reviews and meta-analyses were analyzed. Searches were conducted across GreenFILE, PubMed, and Web of Science databases for peer-reviewed articles published in English. A 2-stage independent screening process was conducted, and methodological quality was assessed using the JBI framework. Standardized data extraction methods were then applied.<br><br>RESULTS: Out of 1292 articles retrieved, 7 met all eligibility criteria and were included in the review. Three articles examined physical activity as a primary exposure, 3 focused on the impacts of climate change, and one considered both physical activity and climate change as primary exposures.<br><br>CONCLUSIONS: Findings reveal an interplay between climate change and physical activity. While rising temperatures may prompt outdoor activities up to a certain temperature threshold, air pollution and extreme heat can have harmful effects. Active transportation and improved logistics around large-scale sporting events can mitigate climate change by reducing greenhouse gas emissions, but transportation systems linked to sports venues may increase emissions. Research on the reciprocal relationship between climate change and physical activity domains, and integrating the community into climate discussions, is crucial for equity, especially for marginalized communities. Incorporating climate adaptation and mitigation strategies in physical activity infrastructure to minimize environmental impacts is critical.},
}
@article {pmid39389244,
year = {2024},
author = {Kim, DH and Lee, H and Kim, K and Kim, S and Kim, JH and Ko, YW and Hawes, I and Oh, JE and Kim, JT},
title = {Persistent Organic Pollutants in the Antarctic Marine Environment: The Influence Impacts of Human Activity, Regulations, and Climate Change.},
journal = {Environmental pollution (Barking, Essex : 1987)},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {125100},
doi = {10.1016/j.envpol.2024.125100},
pmid = {39389244},
issn = {1873-6424},
abstract = {This study investigates the presence, distribution, and potential impacts of perfluoroalkyl substances (PFASs) and hexabromocyclododecanes (HBCDs) on the Antarctic marine environment. The analysis results from the King Sejong Station, the Jang Bogo Station, and Cape Evans revealed the highest concentrations of both PFASs and HBCDs at King Sejong Station, indicating the significant influence of human activity. Short-chain perfluorocarboxylic acids (PFCAs) dominated the seawater samples, with PFPeA at the highest concentration (0.076 ng/L) at King Sejong Station, whereas perfluorosulfonic acids (PFSAs) were prevalent in the sediments, with PFHxS reaching 0.985 ng/g. Total PFASs in benthos ranged from N.D. to 2.40 ng/g WW across all stations. This indicated the effects of long-range transport and glacial meltwater. α-HBCD was the most common diastereomer in benthos samples, detected in 58.3% of samples, suggesting its selective persistency. Although risk quotient analysis revealed low immediate risks to lower-trophic organisms, potential risks remain owing to their persistence and bioaccumulation potential. Contaminant patterns changed after regulations: perfluorooctanesulfonic acid (PFOS) and perfluorooctanoic acid (PFOA) levels decreased, unregulated PFASs increased, HBCD stereoisomer ratios shifted towards α-HBCD dominance, and overall HBCD concentrations declined. Widespread persistence of regulated substances was observed in Antarctic environments, highlighting the need for comprehensive and long-term monitoring strategies. This study provides essential baseline data on contaminant distributions across the Southern Ocean, contributing to our understanding of emerging pollutants in Antarctic regions and informing future environmental protection efforts.},
}
@article {pmid39388505,
year = {2024},
author = {Kaya, L and Keles, E and Baydili, KN and Kaya, Z and Kumru, P},
title = {Impact of Climate Change Education on Pregnant Women's Anxiety and Awareness.},
journal = {Public health nursing (Boston, Mass.)},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1111/phn.13455},
pmid = {39388505},
issn = {1525-1446},
abstract = {OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the impact of climate change education on pregnant women's climate change awareness and anxiety.<br><br>STUDY DESIGN: Quasi-experimental research with pre- and post-test design.<br><br>METHODS: This study was conducted among pregnant women who visited a tertiary maternity hospital between April and June 2023 to assess climate change awareness, perception, knowledge, behavioral and policy expectations, and anxiety before and after the introduction of climate change education. The first phase of the study was conducted by distributing a set of questions related to sociodemographics and completing the Climate Change Awareness Scale and the Climate Change Worry Scale, followed by climate change education where pregnant women were exposed to a brochure entitled "Pregnancy and Climate Change". After the intervention, pregnant women were assessed using the same questionnaire.<br><br>RESULTS: There was a significant decrease in pregnant women's anxiety regarding climate change (p&#xa0;<&#xa0;0.001). Participants' awareness (p&#xa0;<&#xa0;0.001), perception (p&#xa0;<&#xa0;0.001), knowledge (p&#xa0;<&#xa0;0.001), and policy expectations regarding climate change significantly increased (p&#xa0;<&#xa0;0.001), while their anxiety levels decreased (p&#xa0;<&#xa0;0.001).<br><br>CONCLUSION: The study suggests that climate change education may reduce climate change anxiety among pregnant women while also enhancing their awareness, and improving their perceptions, knowledge, behaviors, and policy expectations about climate change.},
}
@article {pmid39386276,
year = {2024},
author = {Ethier, I and Sandal, S and Tarakji, AR and Finkle, SN and Kahlon, B and Pederson, K and Samanta, R and Stigant, C},
title = {Climate Change and Environmentally Sustainable Kidney Care in Canada: A Knowledge, Attitudes, and Practices Survey of Kidney Care Providers.},
journal = {Canadian journal of kidney health and disease},
volume = {11},
number = {},
pages = {20543581241287286},
pmid = {39386276},
issn = {2054-3581},
abstract = {BACKGROUND: Climate change impacts health and threatens the stability of care delivery systems, while healthcare is mobilizing to reduce its significant environmental impact.<br><br>OBJECTIVE: This study aimed to assess knowledge, attitudes, and practices (KAP) about climate change among Canadian kidney care providers.<br><br>An electronic KAP survey, created by the Canadian Society of Nephrology-Sustainable Nephrology Action Planning committee, was distributed to kidney care providers across Canada, from March to April 2023.<br><br>RESULTS: A total of 516 people responded to the survey. Most respondents (79%) identified as women; 83% were aged 30 to 59 years. Nurses and nephrologists made up 44% and 23% of respondents, respectively. About half of the participants felt informed about climate change to an average degree. Most respondents (71%; 349/495 and 62%; 300/489) were either extremely or very concerned about climate change and waste generated in their kidney care program, respectively. The vast majority of respondents (89%; 441/495) reported taking steps to lower their personal carbon footprint. People who felt more informed about climate change presented higher degrees of concern. Similarly, both those who felt more informed and those who reported higher degrees of concern about climate change were more likely to take steps to reduce their carbon footprint. Over 80% of respondents (314/386) were at least moderately interested in learning sessions about environmentally sustainable initiatives in care.<br><br>LIMITATIONS: This survey is at risk of social acceptability, representative, and subjective bias. Overrepresentation from Quebec and British Columbia, as well as the majority of respondents identifying as women and working in academic centers, may affect generalizability of the findings.<br><br>CONCLUSIONS: Most kidney care providers who responded to this survey are informed and concerned about climate change, and their knowledge is directly associated with attitude and practices. This indicates that educational initiatives to increase awareness and knowledge on climate change will likely lead to practice changes.},
}
@article {pmid39385840,
year = {2024},
author = {Bai, X and Zhang, P and Cao, X and Zhang, D and Yang, Z and Dong, X and Wang, S and Li, W and Xiong, L},
title = {Incorporating Implicit Information to Disentangle the Impacts of Hydropower Dams and Climate Change on Basin-Scale Fish Habitat Distribution.},
journal = {Ecology and evolution},
volume = {14},
number = {10},
pages = {e70412},
pmid = {39385840},
issn = {2045-7758},
abstract = {The loss of freshwater fish habitats, exacerbated by climate change and dam constructions, poses a critical environmental concern. The upper Yangtze River basin, noted for its abundant fish fauna and concentrated dam development, serves as a crucial locale for investigating the impacts of climate shifts and dam construction. This study aims to disentangle the impacts of hydroelectric dams and climate change on fish habitat distribution by analyzing species presence data across different periods. Species distribution models were constructed using Maxent for Coreius guichenoti (a warm-water endangered fish) and Schizopygopsis malacanthus (a cold-water endangered fish). The model accuracy was assessed using the area under the curve of the receiver operating characteristic. Habitat distribution modeling and prediction for the pre-dam period (1970-2000) and post-dam period (2001-2020), as well as future climate change under two shared socioeconomic pathways scenarios, were conducted. The impacts of climate change and dam construction on the habitat suitability of two fish species were quantified. The results revealed dam construction predominantly diminished habitat suitability and range, with high-suitability habitats in the post-dam period decreasing by 56.3% (720.18 km) and 67.0% (1665.52 km) for the two fishes, respectively. Climate change would enhance the habitat suitability of Coreius guichenoti, while it would decrease the habitat suitability of Schizopygopsis malacanthus. The impact of dam construction is greater that of climate change for them. This study underscores the profound impacts of dam construction on fish habitats, particularly for cold-water species, and highlights the critical need for habitat restoration in sustainable hydropower development. Our method of disentangling these factors also provides a new approach to evaluating environmental impacts in large river basins.},
}
@article {pmid39385058,
year = {2024},
author = {Mengis, N},
title = {Overshooting global-warming limits is a risky idea.},
journal = {Nature},
volume = {634},
number = {8033},
pages = {299-300},
pmid = {39385058},
issn = {1476-4687},
mesh = {*Carbon Dioxide/analysis ; Dangerous Behavior ; *Environmental Policy/legislation &amp; jurisprudence ; *Global Warming/prevention &amp; control/legislation &amp; jurisprudence ; *Risk-Taking ; },
}
@article {pmid39384294,
year = {2024},
author = {Piatek, SJ and Haines, A and Larson, HJ},
title = {We need to tackle the growing threat of mis- and disinformation about climate change and health.},
journal = {BMJ (Clinical research ed.)},
volume = {387},
number = {},
pages = {q2187},
doi = {10.1136/bmj.q2187},
pmid = {39384294},
issn = {1756-1833},
mesh = {*Climate Change ; Humans ; Global Health ; },
}
@article {pmid39384123,
year = {2024},
author = {Cloutier, A and Chan, DTC and Poon, ESK and Sin, SYW},
title = {The genetic consequences of historic climate change on the contemporary population structure of a widespread temperate North American songbird.},
journal = {Molecular phylogenetics and evolution},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {108216},
doi = {10.1016/j.ympev.2024.108216},
pmid = {39384123},
issn = {1095-9513},
abstract = {Studies of widely distributed species can inform our understanding of how past demographic events tied to historic glaciation and ongoing population genetic processes interact to shape contemporaneous patterns of biodiversity at a continental scale. In this study, we used whole-genome resequencing to investigate the current population structure and genetic signatures of past demographic events in the widespread migratory American goldfinch (Spinus tristis). Phylogenetic relationships inferred from whole mitochondrial genomes were poorly resolved. In contrast, a genome-wide panel of > 4.5 million single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) strongly supported the existence of eastern and western populations separated by western mountain ranges and additional population structuring within the western clade. Demographic modeling estimated that the eastern and western populations diverged approximately one million years ago, and both populations experienced subsequent population bottlenecks during the last glacial period. Species distribution models showed a severe contraction of suitable habitat for the American goldfinch during this period, with predicted discontinuities that are consistent with multiple, isolated glacial refugia that coincide with present-day population structure. Low overall genetic differentiation between the eastern and western populations (FST ∼ 0.01) suggests ongoing gene flow accompanied divergence, and individuals with admixed genomic signatures were sampled along a potential contact zone. Nevertheless, outlier SNPs were identified near genes associated with feather color, song, and migratory behavior and provide strong candidates for further study of the mechanisms underlying reproductive isolation and speciation in birds.},
}
@article {pmid39383956,
year = {2024},
author = {Sun, Y and Xu, Z and He, M and Alessi, DS and Tsang, DCW},
title = {Unlocking the solution-phase molecular transformation of biochar during intensive rainfall events: Implications for the long-term carbon cycle under climate change.},
journal = {The Science of the total environment},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {176708},
doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.176708},
pmid = {39383956},
issn = {1879-1026},
abstract = {The unclear turnover of soluble and solid phases of biochar during increasingly severe climate change (e.g., intensive rainfall) raised questions about the carbon stability of biochar in soil. Here, we present an in-depth analysis of the molecular-level transformations occurring in both the soluble and solid phases of biochar subjected to prolonged wet-dry cycles with simulated rainwater. Biochar properties, including surface functionality and carbon texture, greatly affected the transformation route and led to a distinct stability variation. The rich alkyl -CH3 on the low-temperature biochar (450 °C) was oxidized to hydroxymethyl -CH2OH or formyl -CHO, and the ester -COOC- or peptide -CONHC- bonds were fragmented in the meantime, causing the release of protein- or lipid-like organic carbon and the declined carbon stability (Æ, tested by H2O2 oxidation, from 60.1 % to 53.2 %). After a high-temperature (750 °C) pyrolysis process, only oxidation of the surface -OH with limited bond breaking occurred after rainwater elution, presenting a marginal composition difference with constant stability. However, the fragile carbon nature of biochar, caused by CO2 activation, led to enhanced fragmentation, oxidation, and hydration, resulting in the release of tannin-like organic carbon, which compromises the carbon storage (Æ decreased from 81.2 % to 73.0 %). Our findings evaluated the critical transformation of biochar during intensive rainfall, offering crucial insights for designing sustainable biochar and achieving carbon neutrality.},
}
@article {pmid39383398,
year = {2024},
author = {Suarez-Contento, KY and Teles, CB and Alves-Ferreira, G and Martins, MLL and Athiê-Souza, SM},
title = {Projected effects of climate change on the potential distribution range of Manihot species endemic to Northeast Brazil.},
journal = {Anais da Academia Brasileira de Ciencias},
volume = {96},
number = {suppl 1},
pages = {e20231211},
doi = {10.1590/0001-3765202420231211},
pmid = {39383398},
issn = {1678-2690},
mesh = {*Climate Change ; Brazil ; *Biodiversity ; *Manihot/classification ; Conservation of Natural Resources ; Ecosystem ; },
abstract = {Climate change is a global concern, with far-reaching implications for biodiversity and ecosystems. Understanding impact on species distribution is crucial for effective conservation strategies. The aims of this study were to evaluate the projected effects of climate change on the potential distribution of Manihot species endemic to Northeast Brazil and estimate the presence of climate suitability within protected areas in the future. We used ecological niche models to assess the potential distribution of 11 endemic species, providing predictions of current and future scenarios using an optimistic and pessimistic climate change scenario. The results revealed that in the optimistic scenario, 45% of the species may experience a partial reduction in their potential distribution range by 2100, and this percentage increases to 54% in the pessimistic scenario. Other species, on the other hand, will increase their potential distribution. The climatically suitable area for most species will be inserted in some protected areas, but species with limited current distribution and decreasing potential range must be prioritized for conservation. This study provides valuable information about the future potential distribution of endemic species of Manihot.},
}
@article {pmid39382967,
year = {2024},
author = {Groothof, D and Post, A and Shehab, NBN and Bakker, SJL and Gans, ROB},
title = {Adapting Clinical and Research Practice to Global Warming: Physiology-Based Interim Recommendations for Managing Hypertonicity Risk During Extreme Heat.},
journal = {Kidney360},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.34067/KID.0000000617},
pmid = {39382967},
issn = {2641-7650},
}
@article {pmid39382808,
year = {2024},
author = {Yeboah, SIK and Antwi-Agyei, P and Kabo-Bah, AT and Ackerson, NOB},
title = {Modeling the fate and transport of E. coli pathogens in the Tano River Basin of Ghana under climate change and socioeconomic scenarios.},
journal = {Environmental science and pollution research international},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
pmid = {39382808},
issn = {1614-7499},
abstract = {Surface water contamination by fecal matter threatens human health due to human and biological processes within a watershed, making socioeconomic development crucial for predicting and improving microbiological water quality. Consequently, climate change alters climatic parameters that affect flow regimes and the movement and fate of microorganisms. This study assessed the fate and transport of microbial Escherichia coli (E. coli) concentrations and their sources in the Tano River Basin in Ghana. Additionally, the study predicted future E. coli concentrations using climate change scenarios from the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC)'s most recent representative concentration pathways (RCPs) and shared socioeconomic pathways (SSPs). Scenario_1 featured planned urbanization, enhanced manure and wastewater treatment, moderate population, livestock density growth, and climate change. Scenario_2 involved higher population growth, minimal improvements in wastewater management, zero manure treatment, higher livestock population, urbanization, and substantial climate change. Calibration and validation using E. coli data from June 2022 to April 2023 showed good agreement with observed concentrations (R[2], 0.75 and 0.89; NSE, 0.69 and 0.68; PBIAS, 3.4 and 1.9, respectively). The measured and modeled E. coli concentrations were high, with the highest recording at 2.39 log cfu/100 ml during the rainy season. The study finds that the main causes of E. coli concentrations (44%) are point sources, primarily from human feces and livestock manure, followed by upstream pollution (34%) and non-point sources (22%). Non-point sources became the predominant contributors during periods of maximum discharge due to runoff from land and the dilution of point sources. Again Scenario_1 E. coli dropped to 68% and 97% of reference point levels by the 2050s and 2100s, respectively. E. coli concentrations decrease even more with subsequent treatment, such as tertiary treatment, manure treatment, or both. The scenario analysis demonstrates the potential for E. coli reduction through wastewater and manure treatment, driven by socioeconomic and climate change scenarios.},
}
@article {pmid39381897,
year = {2024},
author = {Aidoo, OF and Amaro, GC and Souza, PGC and Picanço, MC and Awuah-Mensah, KA and Silva, RSD},
title = {Climate change impacts on worldwide ecological niche and invasive potential of Sternochetus mangiferae.},
journal = {Pest management science},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1002/ps.8465},
pmid = {39381897},
issn = {1526-4998},
support = {//Coordena&#xe7;&#xe3;o de Aperfei&#xe7;oamento de Pessoal de N&#xed;vel Superior - Brasil (CAPES) - Finance Code 001/ ; //Conselho Nacional de Desenvolvimento Cient&#xed;fico e Tecnol&#xf3;gico (CNPq)/ ; //Funda&#xe7;&#xe3;o de Amparo a Pesquisa do Estado de Minas Gerais (FAPEMIG)/ ; },
abstract = {BACKGROUND: Present climate studies on invasive species imply that climate change will alter the habitat suitability of invasive pests, especially given the projected rise in average global temperatures by the end of 2100. However, globally, limited information exists on the habitat suitability of the mango stone weevil, Sternochetus mangiferae Fabricius, which impedes the development of early detection and preventive measures. Herein, we used the MaxEnt model to estimate the potential global geographical distribution of S. mangiferae.<br><br>RESULTS: Our results revealed that thermal conditions played a significant role in explaining the invasion risk of S. mangiferae. Habitat suitability was found in all continents, except Antarctica. Under the present condition, habitat suitability covered 5.67&#x2009;&#xd7;&#x2009;10[7]&#x2009;km[2]. For ssp126, habitat suitability will decrease from the 2060s (5.58&#x2009;&#xd7;&#x2009;10[7]&#x2009;km[2]) and 2080s (5.57&#x2009;&#xd7;&#x2009;10[7]&#x2009;km[2]). Similarly, under ssp585, suitable areas will decrease from 5.62&#x2009;&#xd7;&#x2009;10[7] to 5.51&#x2009;&#xd7;&#x2009;10[7]&#x2009;km[2] for the 2060s and 2080s, respectively.<br><br>CONCLUSION: Our study has estimated&#xa0;variability in the habitat suitability of S. mangiferae which establishes a foundation for determining global risk&#xa0;assessment and response plans for the pest. This study also identifies areas where the pest is inherently more vulnerable to the impacts of changing climates and enables forecasting of its potential distribution in a dynamic world. &#xa9; 2024 The Author(s). Pest Management Science published by John Wiley &amp; Sons Ltd on behalf of Society of Chemical Industry.},
}
@article {pmid39381801,
year = {2024},
author = {Perry, D and Tamarit, E and Morgenroth, D and Gräns, A and Sturve, J and Gullström, M and Thor, P and Wennhage, H},
title = {The heat is on: sensitivity of goldsinny wrasse to global climate change.},
journal = {Conservation physiology},
volume = {12},
number = {1},
pages = {coae068},
pmid = {39381801},
issn = {2051-1434},
abstract = {Unsustainable harvesting practices have drastically reduced fish populations globally and developments in aquaculture have increased. Unexpectedly, Atlantic salmon farming caused the opening of a new fishery in northern European countries, where previously unharvested mesopredatory species, like the goldsinny wrasse (Ctenolabrus rupestris), are captured for use as cleaner fish in pens along the coast and fjords. The goldsinny wrasse is widespread in coastal areas where it plays an ecologically important role as a predator of small invertebrates. Since climate change effects are particularly pronounced in coastal waters, it becomes urgent to understand how fish like the goldsinny will respond to global climate change, including the increasing frequency and intensity of marine heatwaves (MHWs), ocean freshening (OF) and ocean acidification (OA). To address this, we conducted a multi-stressor experiment exposing adult goldsinny to each stressor individually, as well as to all three combined. The results indicated that the goldsinny is highly affected by MHWs and extremely sensitive to a multi-stressor environment, with 34% and 53% mortality, respectively. Additionally, exposure to a MHW event, OF and multi-stressor conditions affected fish metabolism, with the highest standard metabolic- and maximum metabolic-oxygen consumption rates observed for the MHW treatment. Increases in oxidized glutathione (GSSG) and percent oxidized glutathione (% GSSG) in the livers, indicative of oxidative stress, were also seen in the MHW, OF and multi-stressor treatments. As a single stressor, OA showed no significant impacts on the measured parameters. This information is important for conservation of coastal marine environments, given the species' important role in shallow-water habitats and for management of goldsinny or other mesopredatory fish harvested in coastal ecosystems. The sensitivity of the goldsinny wrasse to future stressors is of concern, and any potential reductions in abundance as a result of climate change may lead to cascade effects with ecosystem-wide consequences.},
}
@article {pmid39381767,
year = {2024},
author = {König, L and Breves, P and Linnemann, GA and Hamer, T and Suhr, R},
title = {Climate change distress and impairment in Germany.},
journal = {Frontiers in public health},
volume = {12},
number = {},
pages = {1432881},
pmid = {39381767},
issn = {2296-2565},
mesh = {Humans ; *Climate Change ; Germany ; Female ; Male ; Middle Aged ; Adult ; Surveys and Questionnaires ; Aged ; Mental Health ; Stress, Psychological/psychology ; Health Behavior ; Bayes Theorem ; Adolescent ; Young Adult ; Health Status ; },
abstract = {INTRODUCTION: Climate change has been widely recognized as one of the most challenging problems facing humanity and it imposes serious mental health threats. It is important, however, to differentiate between the affective experience of distress over climate change and the functional impairments associated with climate change. Such a distinction is crucial because not all negative affective states are pathological, and they might even motivate pro-environmental behavior. Functional impairments, like not being able to work or maintaining social relationships, however, might require immediate treatment. This study assesses climate change distress and climate change impairment within the population of Germany using a population-representative sample. The results identify vulnerable subgroups and thereby can help to facilitate the development of target group specific intervention programs. Furthermore, this study explores whether climate change distress and climate change impairment are associated with general health, physical health, mental health, and diverse health behaviors.<br><br>METHODS: Study participants were drawn from a panel which is representative of the German-speaking population in Germany with Internet access. Participants answered a series of questionnaires regarding their climate change distress, climate change impairment, general health, physical health, mental health, and diverse health behaviors. To evaluate differences between subgroups, Bayesian independent samples t-tests were calculated. To evaluate associations between constructs, Bayesian correlations were calculated.<br><br>RESULTS: Especially women, younger people, people from West Germany, and people with a high level of formal education seem to experience higher levels of climate change distress. Regarding climate change impairment, the results suggest that especially women, older people, people from West Germany, people with a low level of formal education, people with a low or middle social status, and people with an inadequate/problematic health literacy seem to experience higher levels of climate change impairment. Furthermore, climate change distress and climate change impairment were weakly and differently associated with general health, physical health, mental health, and diverse health behaviors.<br><br>DISCUSSION: Climate change distress and impairment are not evenly distributed within German society. The results of this study provide a starting point for the development of target group specific intervention programs.},
}
@article {pmid39381222,
year = {2024},
author = {Zenda, M},
title = {A systematic literature review on the impact of climate change on the livelihoods of smallholder farmers in South Africa.},
journal = {Heliyon},
volume = {10},
number = {18},
pages = {e38162},
pmid = {39381222},
issn = {2405-8440},
abstract = {Smallholder farmers in South Africa are increasingly vulnerable to the adverse effects of climate change, posing significant threats to their livelihoods and food security. This systematic literature review investigates the several impacts of climate change on smallholder farmers across the country. The literature review used a systematic approach to search for relevant research across three academic databases such as Google scholar, Consensus, and Zendy. Based on the inclusion criteria for the literature review, 261 articles were initially screened, and 35 articles were included in the systematic review. This process helped to identify the most relevant and high-quality studies on the topic. The data extracted from the 35 articles were analyzed and synthesized to identify the impact of climate change on the livelihoods of smallholder farmers. This helped to identify commonalities and differences across the literature, and to draw conclusions about the impact of climate change on the livelihoods of smallholder farmers. The study identified and examined the specific challenges faced by smallholder farmers, including the loss of livestock, reduced crop yields and heightened economic hardship. Additionally, the review explores the coping strategies employed by farmers to mitigate these challenges and adapt to the evolving climatic conditions. The findings highlight the urgent need for targeted interventions and support mechanisms aimed at enhancing the resilience of smallholder farmers and ensuring the long-term sustainability of agricultural practices amidst the challenges posed by climate change. Furthermore, the study provides valuable recommendations for policymakers, agriculturalists, and other stakeholders to address the identified issues and support smallholder farmers in adapting to climate change.},
}
@article {pmid39381198,
year = {2024},
author = {Kassaw, GM and Malede, A and Gebrehiwot, M},
title = {Livelihood vulnerability to climate change health impacts among Amhara Sayint district community, northeastern Ethiopia: A composite index approach.},
journal = {Heliyon},
volume = {10},
number = {18},
pages = {e38166},
pmid = {39381198},
issn = {2405-8440},
abstract = {Climate change significantly impacts public health, affecting nearly everyone across the globe and contributing to approximately 10% of global mortality. Ethiopia is particularly vulnerable to the changing climate attributed impacts due to economic, and social determinants. While research on climate change is expanding, it often prioritizes its effects on agriculture. The impacts from public health perspective are frequently overlooked. We address this shortcoming by evaluating the vulnerability of the community in the district of Amhara Sayint, Amhara, northeastern Ethiopia, to the health impacts of climate change, and identifying factors involved. Data was collected using a community-based cross-sectional approach, involving 605 randomly selected households between July Twenty and September Five, 2022. The data collection process utilized a validated and pilot-tested questionnaire, which was administered through face-to-face interview with the aid of Kobo Collect toolbox. The community's vulnerability was assessed using the IPCC's framework of vulnerability. Household's Vulnerability status was then classified into three levels according to their Livelihood Vulnerability Index (LVI) score. A partial proportional oddsapproach of ordinal logistic regression model was used to identify factors associated with vulnerability to climate change attributed health impacts. Among the 605 respondents, 48% (95% CI: 44.1, 52.1) were identified as vulnerable, and about 4.6 % (95% CI: 3, 6.6) were classified as highly vulnerable. Wealth status (AOR1 = 1.8; 95 % CI: 1.2, 2.8), educational status (AOR1 = 2.8; 95% CI: 1.1, 7.3), marital status (AOR2 = 4.7, 95% CI: 1.6, 13.4), and home crowdedness (AOR2 = 2.9, 95% CI: 1.1, 8.1) significantly associated with vulnerability. Over half of the residents in the district wereeither being vulnerable or highly vulnerable to climate change attributed health impacts. Therefore, prioritizing prevention and preparedness along with conducting spatial analysis to identify high-risk areas for timely intervention, is essential.},
}
@article {pmid39381194,
year = {2024},
author = {Zhang, FX and Li, HL and Wan, JZ},
title = {An Invasion Risk Assessment of Alien Woody Species in Potential National Park Sites in Xinjiang, China, Under Climate Change.},
journal = {Ecology and evolution},
volume = {14},
number = {10},
pages = {e70394},
pmid = {39381194},
issn = {2045-7758},
abstract = {The invasion of alien woody species may have broad ecological, economic, and health impacts on ecosystems and biodiversity under climate change. Previous studies showed that disrupting the biodiversity conservation mechanisms in protected areas can seriously threaten natural ecosystems and the protection of rare and endangered species in such protected areas. However, there is currently no standard for evaluating the invasion risk of woody plants under climate change when establishing national parks in China. Therefore, we used a species distribution model to evaluate the invasion risk of 250 invasive alien woody species in potential national park sites in Xinjiang under climate change. The results indicated that the probability of forest invasion in the potential Altai Kanas National Park was determined to be significantly higher than that of the average level in Xinjiang nature reserves, both under current and future climate conditions. At the same time, the probability of invasive woody species invading coniferous forests, broad-leaved forests, and grassland ecosystems is higher in the Altai Kanas and Tianshan potential national parks. We found that Acer negundo, Robinia pseudoacacia, and Amorpha fruticose in potential parks in Xinjiang have higher invasion potential and thus require heightened vigilance to stop their spread. This study contributes to the monitoring and management of national parks and provides an actionable foundation for protecting ecosystem functions and minimizing the potential risk of invasive alien species under climate change.},
}
@article {pmid39380746,
year = {2024},
author = {Shrestha, P and Nukala, SK and Islam, F and Badgery-Parker, T and Foo, F},
title = {The co-benefits of climate change mitigation strategies on cardiovascular health: a systematic review.},
journal = {The Lancet regional health. Western Pacific},
volume = {48},
number = {},
pages = {101098},
pmid = {39380746},
issn = {2666-6065},
abstract = {BACKGROUND: Climate change is a significant threat to global human health and a leading cause of premature death. Global warming, leading to more extreme weather (in particular extreme heat events), and air pollution has been associated with increased cardiovascular disease (CVD) morbidity and mortality. According to the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019, 62% of the deaths attributable to climate change were from CVD. Climate change mitigation is a slow, steady process, and the concept of co-benefits has arisen to promote climate action. This systematic review examines how numerous mitigation strategies, such as plant-based diets, increasing green spaces, increasing active transport, using renewable energy sources, and smoking cessation, may have the co-benefit of reducing CVD.<br><br>METHODS: A mixed methods systematic review with narrative synthesis was conducted on four databases, according to the PRISMA guidelines. The articles retrieved (published between 2012 and 2022) had a mitigation strategy as the exposure, and CVD related morbidity or mortality reduction as an outcome.<br><br>FINDINGS: The review found that renewable energy has a stronger association with cardiovascular co-benefits compared to emission reduction targets. Multimodal transport is more beneficial for both the climate and cardiac health than zero emission vehicles. Diet modification, such as Mediterranean and plant-based-diets, is positively associated with CVD reduction. Proximity to green spaces and reducing urbanisation may also improve cardiac health.<br><br>INTERPRETATION: This systematic review demonstrates that implementing four mitigation strategies - increasing renewable energy use, active transport, green spaces, and plant-based diets; could lead to the co-benefit of reducing CVD morbidity and mortality. Furthermore, it illustrates the importance of plant-based diets and active transport to improve cardiovascular health.<br><br>FUNDING: This research received no specific grant from any funding agency in the public, commercial or not-for-profit sectors.},
}
@article {pmid39379104,
year = {2024},
author = {Braithwaite, J and Smith, CL and Leask, E and Wijekulasuriya, S and Brooke-Cowden, K and Fisher, G and Patel, R and Pagano, L and Rahimi-Ardabili, H and Spanos, S and Rojas, C and Partington, A and McQuillan, E and Dammery, G and Carrigan, A and Ehrenfeld, L and Coiera, E and Westbrook, J and Zurynski, Y},
title = {Strategies and tactics to reduce the impact of healthcare on climate change: systematic review.},
journal = {BMJ (Clinical research ed.)},
volume = {387},
number = {},
pages = {e081284},
doi = {10.1136/bmj-2024-081284},
pmid = {39379104},
issn = {1756-1833},
mesh = {*Climate Change ; Humans ; *Delivery of Health Care ; *Carbon Footprint ; Greenhouse Gases ; },
abstract = {OBJECTIVE: To review the international literature and assess the ways healthcare systems are mitigating and can mitigate their carbon footprint, which is currently estimated to be more than 4.4% of global emissions.<br><br>DESIGN: Systematic review of empirical studies and grey literature to examine how healthcare services and institutions are limiting their greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions.<br><br>DATA SOURCES: Eight databases and authoritative reports were searched from inception dates to November 2023.<br><br>Teams of investigators screened relevant publications against the inclusion criteria (eg, in English; discussed impact of healthcare systems on climate change), applying four quality appraisal tools, and results are reported in accordance with PRISMA (preferred reporting items for systematic reviews and meta-analyses).<br><br>RESULTS: Of 33&#x2009;737 publications identified, 32&#x2009;998 (97.8%) were excluded after title and abstract screening; 536 (72.5%) of the remaining publications were excluded after full text review. Two additional papers were identified, screened, and included through backward citation tracking. The 205 included studies applied empirical (n=88, 42.9%), review (n=60, 29.3%), narrative descriptive (n=53, 25.9%), and multiple (n=4, 2.0%) methods. More than half of the publications (51.5%) addressed the macro level of the healthcare system. Nine themes were identified using inductive analysis: changing clinical and surgical practices (n=107); enacting policies and governance (n=97); managing physical waste (n=83); changing organisational behaviour (n=76); actions of individuals and groups (eg, advocacy, community involvement; n=74); minimising travel and transportation (n=70); using tools for measuring GHG emissions (n=70); reducing emissions related to infrastructure (n=63); and decarbonising the supply chain (n=48).<br><br>CONCLUSIONS: Publications presented various strategies and tactics to reduce GHG emissions. These included changing clinical and surgical practices; using policies such as benchmarking and reporting at a facility level, and financial levers to reduce emissions from procurement; reducing physical waste; changing organisational culture through workforce training; supporting education on the benefits of decarbonisation; and involving patients in care planning. Numerous tools and frameworks were presented for measuring GHG emissions, but implementation and evaluation of the sustainability of initiatives were largely missing. At the macro level, decarbonisation approaches focused on energy grid emissions, infrastructure efficiency, and reducing supply chain emissions, including those from agriculture and supply of food products. Decarbonisation mechanisms at the micro and meso system levels ranged from reducing low value care, to choosing lower GHG options (eg, anaesthetic gases, rescue inhalers), to reducing travel. Based on these strategies and tactics, this study provides a framework to support the decarbonisation of healthcare systems.<br><br>PROSPERO: CRD42022383719.},
}
@article {pmid39379000,
year = {2024},
author = {Moelling, MH and Duckworth, RA},
title = {Climate change reduces the tension of conflicting selection pressures on breeding date in a passerine bird.},
journal = {Proceedings. Biological sciences},
volume = {291},
number = {2032},
pages = {20240959},
doi = {10.1098/rspb.2024.0959},
pmid = {39379000},
issn = {1471-2954},
support = {//National Science Foundation/ ; //Sigma Xi/ ; //University of Arizona/ ; },
mesh = {Animals ; *Climate Change ; *Selection, Genetic ; Seasons ; Cold Temperature ; Reproduction ; Passeriformes/physiology ; },
abstract = {Unpredictably fluctuating environments create complex selective landscapes that shape the distribution of key life history traits. Identifying the mechanisms behind dynamic patterns of selection is difficult, yet essential for predicting responses to climate change. We combine long-term measures with field manipulation of natural selection on breeding date in a wild bird to investigate whether highly variable spring cold snaps drive fluctuating selection. We show that variation in cold snap intensity leads to fluctuating selection on breeding date-in weak cold snap years, selection was consistently negative; however, in strong cold snap years, its direction reversed. These patterns were mirrored in a field experiment; nests that were food supplemented during cold snaps avoided cold snap mortality leading earlier breeders to have higher fitness. In contrast, in the non-supplemented group earlier breeders had higher cold snap nest mortality and selection was positive. Using nearly a century of climate data, we show that cold snaps are becoming less frequent and paradoxically occurring later which should allow earlier breeders to avoid them, potentially releasing conflicting selection pressures and facilitating a rapid phenological shift. Thus, rather than constraining a species' ability to adapt, climate change can enable a rapid shift to a new phenotypic optimum.},
}
@article {pmid39378939,
year = {2024},
author = {do Prado, HA and Rodrigues, T and Manes, S and Kasecker, T and Vale, MM and Scarano, FR and Pires, APF},
title = {Designing nature to be a solution for climate change in cities: A meta-analytical review.},
journal = {The Science of the total environment},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {176735},
doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.176735},
pmid = {39378939},
issn = {1879-1026},
abstract = {Nature-based solutions (NbS) are designed as a win-win strategy to address societal challenges while providing biodiversity, social, and economic benefits. However, uncertainties and gaps persist, particularly regarding the criteria that define a NbS measure and the specific requirements for a solution to be fully recognized as such, which limit the full potential of these strategies in practice. Another persistent issue is the lack of data on strategy responses across different implementation scales (local, city, regional) and climatic zones (temperate, arid, tropical). This article provides an overview of the potential of NbS to promote climate adaptation in cities. Our meta-analysis, which compiled 7163 records from 89 articles worldwide, indicates that integrating NbS strategies with traditional approaches (gray infrastructure and sustainable technologies) is the most effective response to concurrently address multiple climate-related hazards. Flooding had the highest impact at 35.7 %, followed by increased runoff at 30.5 %. Peak flow and water pollution both had an impact of 10.3 %, while temperature increase accounted for 5.7 %, and decreases in thermal comfort made up 5.0 %. We concluded that all evaluated strategies reduced the impact of climate-related hazards, but this reduction was twice as large when incorporating NbS (18.6 % vs 8.1 %). We also demonstrate that this effect is observed under projected climate scenarios, reinforcing the role of NbS in making cities more resilient and sustainable.},
}
@article {pmid39378808,
year = {2024},
author = {Ying, H and Wang, S and Zhang, B and Mao, Z and Zhang, F and Li, J},
title = {Earth observation reveals the shifting patterns of China's lake colour driven by climate change and land cover.},
journal = {Journal of environmental management},
volume = {370},
number = {},
pages = {122809},
doi = {10.1016/j.jenvman.2024.122809},
pmid = {39378808},
issn = {1095-8630},
abstract = {Water colour has been recognized as one of the most important Essential Climate Variables of the lake ecosystem, as it is directly related to changes in water constituents and almost all of the lake's ecological changes could alter water colour. Given the high retrieval accuracy from existing Earth observation satellite data, water colour, in terms of Forel Ule Index (FUI), can be a realistic indicator to track the long-term changes in the lake ecosystem and further explore the lake response to environmental changes. This paper aims to comprehensively investigate the spatiotemporal variation patterns of FUI in 159 large lakes (≥25 km[2]) across China during 2000-2022 based on the MODIS data and detect the climatic and anthropogenic driving forces of these changes. The 23 years of MODIS records revealed an overall downward trend of lake FUI across China, indicating the lakes in China shifted to bluer colour during the past two decades. Through driving factor analyses, the complicated interplay among lake colour, lake morphology, regional climate shifts and human interference dynamics was uncovered. In the long term, it was found the pronounced change in lake colour in the western lake zones was primarily attributed to climate warming and humidification, whereas that in the eastern lake zones was mainly related to the alterations in regional land cover during the past two decades. Seasonally, lake basin's air temperature was identified as the main factor impacting the seasonal patterns of lake colour, followed by wind speed and runoff. Spatially, there was high spatial variability in lake colour across China, which was mainly associated with lake elevation and lake basin's precipitation rate, although the factors exhibited considerable divergence across different zones. Based upon the above findings, the implications for lake environment protection and management in different regions of China were further discussed.},
}
@article {pmid39375503,
year = {2024},
author = {Villalobos Perna, P and Finizio, M and Carranza, ML and Innangi, M and Bongiovanni, SB and Andino, N and Di Febbraro, M},
title = {Anthropogenic and climate change-driven coastline dynamics will erode future nesting habitats of the kentish plover on the central adriatic coast.},
journal = {Scientific reports},
volume = {14},
number = {1},
pages = {23306},
pmid = {39375503},
issn = {2045-2322},
support = {PON-AIM (Programma Operativo Nazionale ricerca e innovazione 2014-2020; ID AIM1897595-2)//Italian Ministry of University and Reasearch/ ; Lily//Department of Biosciences and Territory, University of Molise/ ; CitAlien//Department of Biosciences and Territory, University of Molise/ ; Project DM 1062-10/08/2021, RTD-A (Action IV.6: Green. Code: 39-G-13537-2)//Italian Ministry of University and Research/ ; },
mesh = {Animals ; *Climate Change ; *Ecosystem ; *Nesting Behavior/physiology ; Italy ; Charadriiformes/physiology ; Conservation of Natural Resources ; Anthropogenic Effects ; },
abstract = {Shorebirds play a crucial role in assessing the health of coastal ecosystems due to their life history, behaviour, migratory patterns, and feeding preferences. Many shorebird species are experiencing population declines worldwide, driven by habitat loss and climate change. Understanding these challenges requires extensive data on their distribution and breeding ecology. The Kentish Plover (Anarhynchus alexandrinus) is a small shorebird that constructs its nests on sandy beaches. However, there is a scarcity of data regarding the reproductive ecology of this species in many areas, including the Molise region of Southern Italy. This study aimed at assessing the potential role of environmental variables derived from remote sensing to model current and future Kentish Plover nesting habitat suitability accounting for future scenarios of coastal dynamics in 2040. Data on Kentish Plover nests were collected along the Molise coast over several years and used to calibrate ecological niche models (ENMs) relying on environmental variables derived from coastal images. Kentish Plover nesting habitat suitability was mostly affected by distance from open sand, artificial surfaces, shoreline, and herbaceous vegetation and forested areas. The study predicts an average decline of more than 22% in suitable nesting environments for the Kentish Plover within the next two decades. Results indicated that our modelling approach can offer valuable insights for the conservation strategy of Kentish Plover in the region. In conclusion, we assert that preserving the nesting habitat of the Kentish Plover will not only safeguard this species, but also other species that inhabit similar environments, along with providing protection for coastal landscapes and associated ecosystem services.},
}
@article {pmid39375191,
year = {2024},
author = {Ayar, D and Gözüaçık, B and Şen, B},
title = {Effect of Global Climate Change Concern on Environmental Sensitivity of Nursing Students.},
journal = {Public health nursing (Boston, Mass.)},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1111/phn.13434},
pmid = {39375191},
issn = {1525-1446},
support = {2209-A//T&#xfc;rkiye Bilimsel ve Teknolojik Ara&#x15f;t&#x131;rma Kurumu/ ; },
abstract = {OBJECTIVE: This study was conducted to evaluate the effect of global climate change concern on environmental sensitivity in nursing students.<br><br>DESIGN: This study was descriptive, cross-sectional, and correlational.<br><br>SAMPLE: The study was conducted with undergraduate nursing students (n&#xa0;=&#xa0;350).<br><br>METHOD: Descriptive Information Form, Climate Change Worry Scale, and Environmental Sensitivity Scale were used as data collection tools in the study. The relationship between global climate change concern and environmental sensitivity of nursing students was evaluated by Pearson correlation analysis, and the effect of climate change concern on environmental sensitivity of nursing students was evaluated by simple regression analysis.<br><br>RESULTS: It was determined that there was a positive and moderately significant relationship between the mean total scores of the Climate Change Concern Scale and the mean total scores of the Environmental Sensitivity Scale (r&#xa0;=&#xa0;0.388, p&#xa0;<&#xa0;0.001).<br><br>CONCLUSIONS: As a result of this study, it was found that as nursing students' concern about global climate change increased, their sensitivity toward the environment also increased.},
}
@article {pmid39373156,
year = {2024},
author = {Yuvaraj, BR and Masilamani, V and Saravanan, MS and Karthikeyan, H and Moses, F and Abraham, A and Kumar, RP and Manjula, K},
title = {Assessing the impact of climate change on reproductive health: A content analysis of climate journalism coverage.},
journal = {African journal of reproductive health},
volume = {28},
number = {9},
pages = {136-144},
doi = {10.29063/ajrh2024/v28i9.12},
pmid = {39373156},
issn = {1118-4841},
mesh = {Humans ; *Climate Change ; *Reproductive Health ; Female ; *Journalism ; Pregnancy ; },
abstract = {complications, infectious diseases, maternal and infant health in disasters, gender-based violence, healthcare access inequities, mental health impacts, and food security issues. Findings reveal an uneven distribution of coverage across continents, with potential language bias in English-dominated sources. Acknowledging limitations, future research directions emphasize a more inclusive approach, incorporating diverse linguistic perspectives and qualitative exploration of community experiences. The study underscores the imperative for global representation in media discourse This research explores the intricate relationship between climate change and reproductive health through an analysis of 1000 global news articles from 2018 onwards. Utilizing Latent Dirichlet Allocation (LDA), key topics in media coverage are identified, encompassing fertility challenges, pregnancy and advocates for comprehensive, evidence-based strategies to address the complex interplay between climate change and reproductive health.},
}
@article {pmid39371277,
year = {2024},
author = {Hernández-Duarte, WA and Guerrero-Calderon, DP and Duarte-Gómez, WJ and Fonseca-Paipa, AN and Rodríguez-Muñoz, M and Tellez-Morales, MA and Cubillos Garnica, LC},
title = {Health conditions in land transport workers and climate change. Exploratory systematic review.},
journal = {Revista brasileira de medicina do trabalho : publicacao oficial da Associacao Nacional de Medicina do Trabalho-ANAMT},
volume = {22},
number = {2},
pages = {e20241268},
pmid = {39371277},
issn = {1679-4435},
abstract = {A systematic exploratory review was carried out to describe the influence of climate change on the health conditions of land transport drivers, both physical and mental. Additionally, actions for the prevention of these complications are described. For the review, several databases, such as Science Direct, MEDLINE, Springer, PubMed, Redalyc, EBSCO, SciELO, and Scopus, were examined. There was the need to extend the search timeframe from 5 years to 10 years. The studies found consisted mainly of review articles, showing an emphasis on public health and a high frequency of possible physical effects on the cardiovascular and respiratory systems. At the mental level, the presence of cases of anxiety, depression and stress were mentioned. As for alternatives for the prevention of these effects, the importance of creating public policies for health promotion and disease prevention was highlighted. It is important to increase scientific production in the field of occupational safety and health and applied studies.},
}
@article {pmid39371267,
year = {2024},
author = {Quintero-Galvis, JF and Saenz-Agudelo, P and D'Elía, G and Nespolo, RF},
title = {Local adaptation of Dromiciops marsupials (Microbiotheriidae) from southern South America: Implications for species management facing climate change.},
journal = {Ecology and evolution},
volume = {14},
number = {10},
pages = {e70355},
pmid = {39371267},
issn = {2045-7758},
abstract = {The two species of the microbiotheriid marsupial genus Dromiciops (Dromiciops bozinovici: "Panchos's monito del monte" and Dromiciops gliroides: "monito del monte") exhibit a marked latitudinal genetic differentiation. Nevertheless, it is unclear whether this differentiation results from neutral processes or can be explained, to some extent, by local adaptation to different environmental conditions. Here, we used an SNP panel gathered by Rad-seq and searched for footprints of local adaptation (putative loci under selection) by exploring genetic associations with environmental variables in the two species of Dromiciops in Chilean and Argentinean populations. We applied three methods for detecting outlier SNPs and two genotype-environment associations approaches to quantify associations between allelic frequencies and environmental variables. Both species display strong genetic structure. D. bozinovici exhibited three distinct genetic groups, marking the first report of such structuring in this species using SNPs. In contrast, D. gliroides displayed four genetic clusters, consistent with previous studies. Both species exhibited an association of their genetic structure with environmental variables. D. bozinovici exhibited significant associations of allelic frequencies with elevation, precipitation during the warmest periods, and seasonality in the thermal regime. For D. gliroides, genetic variation appeared to be associated with more variables than D. bozinovici, including precipitation and temperature-related variables, isothermality, and elevation. All the outlier SNPs were mapped to the D. gliroides reference genome to explore if they fell within functionally known genes. These results represent a necessary first step toward identifying the genome regions that harbor genes associated with climate adaptations in Dromiciops. Notably, we identified genes involved in various functions, including carbohydrate synthesis (ALG8), muscle and neuronal regulation (MEF2D), and stress responses (PTGES3). Ultimately, this study contributes valuable insights that can inform targeted conservation strategies aimed at preserving the genetic diversity of Dromiciops in the face of environmental challenges.},
}
@article {pmid39370118,
year = {2024},
author = {Ahuja, A and Ahuja, NK},
title = {Preparing the Next Generation of Gastroenterologists to Tackle Climate Change.},
journal = {Clinical gastroenterology and hepatology : the official clinical practice journal of the American Gastroenterological Association},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1016/j.cgh.2024.07.043},
pmid = {39370118},
issn = {1542-7714},
}
@article {pmid39369778,
year = {2024},
author = {Chen, S and Xiao, Y and Xiao, Z and Li, J and Herrera-Ulloa, A},
title = {Global climate change impacts on the potential distribution of typical Trachinotus fishes and early warning assessment of invasions.},
journal = {Environmental research},
volume = {263},
number = {Pt 2},
pages = {120115},
doi = {10.1016/j.envres.2024.120115},
pmid = {39369778},
issn = {1096-0953},
abstract = {Marine habitats and ecosystems are increasingly being impacted by global climate change and the global spread of captive breeding. In this study, we focused on five typical Trachinotus species (Trachinotus anak, Trachinotus blochii, Trachinotus mookalee, Trachinotus goreenisi, Trachinotus ovatus) as research subjects. We utilized species distribution models and ecological niche models to predict the present and future potential distribution of these species, as well as to assess ecological niche overlap and evaluate the early warning of invasion by Trachinotus species. T. ovatus stands out with its broad distribution range and high adaptability to different environments. It occupies 1.114% of medium-high suitable areas, spanning 100,147 km[2]. Our predictions also suggest that T. ovatus would undergo a significant expansion (approximately 55% of the total area) under both past and future environmental scenarios, demonstrating a higher tolerance and adaptability to changes in ambient temperatures. It can be discerned that T. ovatus exhibits strong environmental adaptability, which may potentially lead to biological invasion along the southeastern coast of China. The T. anak, on the other hand, showed a higher expansion trend under high carbon dioxide concentrations (RCP8.5), indicating a certain convergence with carbon dioxide concentration. Our models showed that under future climatic conditions, T. ovatus would become the dominant species, with increased competition with T. mookalee and decreased competition with T. goreenisi, T. mookalee, and T. anak. Based on our findings and the net-pen culture mode of T. ovatus, we identified the hotspot habitat of T. ovatus to be located in the Indo-Pacific convergence zone. However, there is a possibility of an expansion trend towards the southeast coast of China in the future. Therefore, it is crucial to provide an early warning for the potential biological invasion of T. ovatus.},
}
@article {pmid39369075,
year = {2024},
author = {Wang, S and Zhang, HJ and Wang, TT and Hossain, S},
title = {Simulating runoff changes and evaluating under climate change using CMIP6 data and the optimal SWAT model: a case study.},
journal = {Scientific reports},
volume = {14},
number = {1},
pages = {23228},
pmid = {39369075},
issn = {2045-2322},
abstract = {This study examines the influence of climate change on hydrological processes, particularly runoff, and how it affects managing water resources and ecosystem sustainability. It uses CMIP6 data to analyze changes in runoff patterns under different Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSP). This study also uses a Deep belief network (DBN) and a Modified Sparrow Search Optimizer (MSSO) to enhance the runoff forecasting capabilities of the SWAT model. DBN can learn complex patterns in the data and improve the accuracy of runoff forecasting. The meta-heuristic algorithm optimizes the models through iterative search processes and finds the optimal parameter configuration in the SWAT model. The Optimal SWAT Model accurately predicts runoff patterns, with high precision in capturing variability, a strong connection between projected and actual data, and minimal inaccuracy in its predictions, as indicated by an ENS score of 0.7152 and an R[2] coefficient of determination of 0.8012. The outcomes of the forecasts illustrated that the runoff will decrease in the coming years, which could threaten the water source. Therefore, managers should manage water resources with awareness of these conditions.},
}
@article {pmid39368938,
year = {2024},
author = {Hoyos Flight, M and Tait, J},
title = {Capturing carbon to mitigate climate change: storage or use?.},
journal = {Trends in biotechnology},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1016/j.tibtech.2024.09.003},
pmid = {39368938},
issn = {1879-3096},
abstract = {Reducing atmospheric CO2 is vital to combat climate change. Alongside reducing emissions, it is essential to capture atmospheric CO2 and either use it or store it, depending on which option yields the best outcomes. Government policies should coordinate actions in areas such as the bioeconomy and avoid creating perverse incentives.},
}
@article {pmid39368663,
year = {2024},
author = {Moloo, DH and Hunter, DA and Arasaradnam, RP},
title = {Tackling climate change is a global medical community responsibility.},
journal = {Clinical medicine (London, England)},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {100253},
doi = {10.1016/j.clinme.2024.100253},
pmid = {39368663},
issn = {1473-4893},
}
@article {pmid39366706,
year = {2024},
author = {Anikeeva, O and Hansen, A and Varghese, B and Borg, M and Zhang, Y and Xiang, J and Bi, P},
title = {The impact of increasing temperatures due to climate change on infectious diseases.},
journal = {BMJ (Clinical research ed.)},
volume = {387},
number = {},
pages = {e079343},
doi = {10.1136/bmj-2024-079343},
pmid = {39366706},
issn = {1756-1833},
mesh = {Humans ; *Climate Change ; *Communicable Diseases/epidemiology ; Hot Temperature/adverse effects ; Vector Borne Diseases/epidemiology/prevention &amp; control ; Animals ; },
abstract = {Global temperatures will continue to rise due to climate change, with high temperature periods expected to increase in intensity, frequency, and duration. Infectious diseases, including vector-borne diseases such as dengue fever and malaria, waterborne diseases such as cholera, and foodborne diseases such as salmonellosis are influenced by temperature and other climatic variables, thus contributing to higher disease burden and associated healthcare costs, particularly in socioeconomically disadvantaged regions. Targeted efforts and investments are therefore needed to support low and middle income countries to prepare for and respond to the increasing infectious disease threats posed by rising temperatures. This can be facilitated by the development and refinement of robust disease and entomological surveillance and early warning systems with integration of climatic information that promote enhanced understanding of the geographic distribution of disease risk. To enhance healthcare workforce capacity and capability to respond to these public health threats, medical curricula and continuing professional education programmes for healthcare providers must include evidence based components on the impacts of climate change on infectious diseases.},
}
@article {pmid39365758,
year = {2024},
author = {Velasco, JA and Luna-Aranguré, C and Calderón-Bustamante, O and Mendoza-Ponce, A and Estrada, F and González-Salazar, C},
title = {Drivers of urban biodiversity in Mexico and joint risks from future urban expansion, climate change, and urban heat island effect.},
journal = {PloS one},
volume = {19},
number = {10},
pages = {e0308522},
pmid = {39365758},
issn = {1932-6203},
mesh = {*Biodiversity ; Mexico ; *Climate Change ; *Urbanization ; Humans ; *Cities ; Animals ; Ecosystem ; Conservation of Natural Resources ; },
abstract = {Urbanization is a phenomenon where humans concentrate in high densities and consume more per capita energy than in rural areas, imposing high pressures on biodiversity and ecosystem services. Although Mexico is recognized as a megadiverse country and there is an understanding of ecological and evolutionary processes underlying this high diversity, only some efforts have been devoted to understanding how urban biodiversity has been shaped. Here, we compiled a set of socioeconomic and ecological variables to explore macroecological patterns in urban biodiversity across Mexican municipalities. Specifically, we tested the species-area relationships (SAR) between rural and urban areas across municipalities and evaluated the relative role of different socioeconomic and ecological variables driving urban species richness for terrestrial vertebrates. Finally, we explored the exposure of Mexican municipalities to future urban expansion, the urban heat island (UHI) effect, and climate change. Urban and rural settlements show differences in the shape of SAR models. We found that urban area, size of the network of urban protected areas, the number of ecoregions, and GDP explained the urban total species richness relatively well. Mexican cities in the northeast region may be at a higher risk than others. Based on our analyses, policymakers should identify priority urban conservation sites in cities with high species richness and low urbanization development. These actions would alleviate future urban biodiversity loss in these growing cities.},
}
@article {pmid39365614,
year = {2024},
author = {Alvarado-Jiménez, DA and Pietropolli Charmet, A and Stoppa, P and Tasinato, N},
title = {The radiative efficiency and global warming potential of HCFC-132b.},
journal = {Chemphyschem : a European journal of chemical physics and physical chemistry},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {e202400632},
doi = {10.1002/cphc.202400632},
pmid = {39365614},
issn = {1439-7641},
abstract = {Hydro-chloro-fluoro-carbons (HCFCs) are potent greenhouse gases which strongly absorb the infrared (IR) radiation within the 8 - 12 μm atmospheric windows. Despite international policies schedule their phasing out by 2020 for developed countries and 2030 globally, HCFC-132b (CH2ClCClF2) has been recently detected with significant atmospheric concentration. In this scenario, detailed climate metrics are of paramount importance for understanding the capacity of anthropogenic pollutants to contribute to global warming. In this work, the radiative efficiency (RE) of HCFC-132b is experimentally measured for the first time and used to determine its global warming potential (GWP) over 20-, 100- and 500-year time horizon. Vibrational- and rotational-spectroscopic properties of this molecule are first characterized by exploiting a synergism between Fourier-transform IR (FTIR) spectroscopy experiments and quantum chemical calculations. Equilibrium geometry, rotational parameters and vibrational properties predicted theoretically beyond the double-harmonic approximation, are employed to assist the vibrational assignment of the experimental trace. Finally, FTIR spectra measured over a range of pressures are used to determine HCFC-132b absorption cross section spectrum from 150 to 3000 cm-1, from which istantaneous and effective REs are derived and, in turn, used for GWP evaluation.},
}
@article {pmid39363605,
year = {2024},
author = {Rhim, N and Lee, S and Choi, KH},
title = {Adverse health effects of climate change and air pollution in people with disabilities: a systematic review.},
journal = {Epidemiology and health},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {e2024080},
doi = {10.4178/epih.e2024080},
pmid = {39363605},
issn = {2092-7193},
abstract = {Global warming and air pollution adversely affect the health of the entire human population, particularly older adults, people with disabilities (PWDs), and children. In this systematic review, we investigated the adverse health effects of climate change and air pollution in PWDs. We conducted a comprehensive literature search of the PubMed database using the terms "disab*," "air pollution," and "climate change" on July 4, 2023, and August 8, 2023 and searched the Web of Science (WOS) database on December 28, 2023. We identified 425 and 1169 studies on climate change cited in PubMed and WOS, respectively, as well as 333 studies on air pollution in PubMed and 495 studies on air pollution in WOS. The studies were classified by type of exposure, and full-text screening was conducted to confirm that the population, intervention or exposure, comparator, outcome statement, and inclusion and exclusion criteria were met. The Newcastle-Ottawa Scale was used to assess the quality of the included cohort and case-control studies and for data analysis. In extreme temperatures, PWDs experienced higher rates of injury, heat-related illness, functional impairment, heart disease, mental disorders, and mortality than people who were nondisabled (ND). Exposure to air pollution resulted in higher rates of obesity, cardiovascular disease, poststroke neurological and functional disability, and mortality in PWDs than in people who were ND. Therefore, because PWDs were more affected by climate change and air pollution than people who were ND, sensitive policies and preparedness measures should be developed for PWDs.},
}
@article {pmid39362560,
year = {2024},
author = {Laino, E and Toledo, I and Aragonés, L and Iglesias, G},
title = {A novel multi-hazard risk assessment framework for coastal cities under climate change.},
journal = {The Science of the total environment},
volume = {954},
number = {},
pages = {176638},
doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.176638},
pmid = {39362560},
issn = {1879-1026},
abstract = {Coastal cities, as centres of human habitation, economic activity and biodiversity, are confronting the ever-escalating challenges posed by climate change. In this work, a novel Multi-Hazard Risk Assessment framework is presented with the focus on Coastal City Living Labs. The methodology provides a comprehensive assessment of climate-related hazards, including sea-level rise, coastal flooding, coastal erosion, land flooding, heavy precipitation, extreme temperatures, heatwaves, cold spells, landslides and strong winds. Its application is illustrated through a case study: the Coastal City Living Lab of Benidorm, Spain. The methodology incorporates remote sensing data from various satellite sources, such as ERA5, Urban Atlas and MERIT DEM, to evaluate multiple hazards through a systematic and standardized indicator-based approach, offering a holistic risk profile that allows for comparison with other European coastal cities. The integration of remote sensing data enhances the accuracy and resolution of hazard indicators, providing detailed insights into the spatiotemporal dynamics of climate risks. The incorporation of local expertise through the Coastal City Living Lab concept enriches data collection and ensures context-specific adequacy. The integration of local studies and historical extreme climate events enhances the validity and context of the risk indicators. The findings align with regional trends and reveal specific vulnerabilities, particularly related to heatwaves, heavy rainfall, and coastal flooding. Despite its strengths, the MHRA methodology faces limitations, including reliance on outdated datasets and the complexity of integrating multiple hazards. Continuous updates and adaptive management strategies are essential to maintain the accuracy and relevance of risk assessments. The broader implications of the methodology for global coastal cities highlight its potential as a model for developing targeted adaptation strategies.},
}
@article {pmid39361047,
year = {2024},
author = {Das, A and Swain, PK},
title = {Navigating the sea level rise: Exploring the interplay of climate change, sea level rise, and coastal communities in india.},
journal = {Environmental monitoring and assessment},
volume = {196},
number = {11},
pages = {1010},
pmid = {39361047},
issn = {1573-2959},
mesh = {*Climate Change ; India ; *Ecosystem ; *Sea Level Rise ; Conservation of Natural Resources ; Environmental Monitoring ; Humans ; Agriculture ; Sustainable Development ; },
abstract = {This research article investigates the intricate interplay between climate change, global sea level rise (SLR), and the impacts of sea level rise on the coastal regions of India. Through an interdisciplinary approach, this paper provides an overview of the global consequences of SLR on coastal communities, exploring economic, social, and environmental impacts on agriculture, communities, and coastal areas. The study examines the displacement of communities and its impact on food security, infrastructure, tourism, and ecological loss based on a comprehensive literature review. This paper emphasizes the sustainable preservation of coastal ecosystems and the development of climate-resilient infrastructure. This research aims to offer a detailed understanding of the evolving landscape of coastal livelihoods, providing valuable insights for adaptive strategies, policy formulation, and sustainable development. Ultimately, this article contributes to the scientific discourse by shedding light on the complex dynamics between climate change, SLR, and coastal communities, guiding efforts toward a resilient and sustainable future. The insights are drawn from secondary data resources, including books, scholarly journals, and reports from organizations such as the IPCC and NOAA. Based on a thorough review of the relevant literature, it critically examines the existing and potential consequences of sea level rise induced by climate change.},
}
@article {pmid39359904,
year = {2024},
author = {Curasi, SR and Melton, JR and Arora, VK and Humphreys, ER and Whaley, CH},
title = {Global climate change below 2 °C avoids large end century increases in burned area in Canada.},
journal = {NPJ climate and atmospheric science},
volume = {7},
number = {1},
pages = {228},
pmid = {39359904},
issn = {2397-3722},
abstract = {Wildfire impacts the global carbon cycle, property, harvestable timber, and public health. Canada saw a record fire season in 2023 with 14.9 Mha burned-over seven times the 1986-2022 average of 2.1 Mha. Here we utilize a new process-based wildfire module that explicitly represents fire weather, fuel type and availability, ignition sources, fire suppression, and vegetation's climate response to project the future of wildfire in Canada. Under rapid climate change (shared socioeconomic pathway [SSP] 370 &amp; 585) simulated annual burned area in the 2090 s reaches 10.2 ± 2.1 to 11.7 ± 2.4 Mha, approaching the 2023 fire season total. However, climate change below a 2 °C global target (SSP126), keeps the 2090 s area burned near modern (2004-2014) norms. The simulated area burned and carbon emissions are most sensitive to climate drivers and lightning but future lightning activity is a key uncertainty.},
}
@article {pmid39357915,
year = {2024},
author = {Bianco, G and Espinoza-Chávez, RM and Ashigbie, PG and Junio, H and Borhani, C and Miles-Richardson, S and Spector, J},
title = {Projected impact of climate change on human health in low- and middle-income countries: a systematic review.},
journal = {BMJ global health},
volume = {8},
number = {Suppl 3},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1136/bmjgh-2024-015550},
pmid = {39357915},
issn = {2059-7908},
mesh = {Humans ; *Climate Change ; *Developing Countries ; },
abstract = {Low- and middle-income countries (LMICs) contribute relatively little to global carbon emissions but are recognised to be among the most vulnerable parts of the world to health-related consequences of climate change. To help inform resilient health systems and health policy strategies, we sought to systematically analyse published projections of the impact of rising global temperatures and other weather-related events on human health in LMICs. A systematic search involving multiple databases was conducted in accordance with Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses guidelines to identify studies with modelled projections of the future impact of climate change on human health. Qualitative studies, reviews and meta-analyses were excluded. The search yielded more than 2500 articles, of which 70 studies involving 37 countries met criteria for inclusion. China, Brazil and India were the most studied countries while the sub-Saharan African region was represented in only 9% of studies. Forty specific health outcomes were grouped into eight categories. Non-disease-specific temperature-related mortality was the most studied health outcome, followed by neglected tropical infections (predominantly dengue), malaria and cardiovascular diseases. Nearly all health outcomes studied were projected to increase in burden and/or experience a geographic shift in prevalence over the next century due to climate change. Progressively severe climate change scenarios were associated with worse health outcomes. Knowledge gaps identified in this analysis included insufficient studies of various high burden diseases, asymmetric distribution of studies across LMICs and limited use of some climate parameters as independent variables. Findings from this review could be the basis for future research to help inform climate mitigation and adaptation programmes aimed at safeguarding population health in LMICs.},
}
@article {pmid39355964,
year = {2024},
author = {Mattila, ALK and Opedal, &#xd8;H and Hällfors, MH and Pietikäinen, L and Koivusaari, SHM and Hyvärinen, MT},
title = {The potential for evolutionary rescue in an Arctic seashore plant threatened by climate change.},
journal = {Proceedings. Biological sciences},
volume = {291},
number = {2032},
pages = {20241351},
pmid = {39355964},
issn = {1471-2954},
support = {//Swedish Research Council/ ; //Jenny and Antti Wihuri Foundation/ ; //Finnish Museum of Natural History/ ; //University of Helsinki Research Fund, LUOVA-Doctoral Programme in Wildlife Biology Research/ ; //Jane and Aatos Erkko Foundation/ ; //Research Council of Finland/ ; //Crafoord Foundation/ ; //Societas pro Fauna et Flora Fennica/ ; },
mesh = {*Climate Change ; *Biological Evolution ; Arctic Regions ; *Endangered Species ; *Primula/physiology ; Flowers ; Phenotype ; Adaptation, Physiological ; },
abstract = {The impacts of climate change may be particularly severe for geographically isolated populations, which must adjust through plastic responses or evolve. Here, we study an endangered Arctic plant, Primula nutans ssp. finmarchica, confined to Fennoscandian seashores and showing indications of maladaptation to warming climate. We evaluate the potential of these populations to evolve to facilitate survival in the rapidly warming Arctic (i.e. evolutionary rescue) by utilizing manual crossing experiments in a nested half-sibling breeding design. We estimate G-matrices, evolvability and genetic constraints in traits with potentially conflicting selection pressures. To explicitly evaluate the potential for climate change adaptation, we infer the expected time to evolve from a northern to a southern phenotype under different selection scenarios, using demographic and climatic data to relate expected evolutionary rates to projected rates of climate change. Our results indicate that, given the nearly 10-fold greater evolvability of vegetative than of floral traits, adaptation in these traits may take place nearly in concert with changing climate, given effective climate mitigation. However, the comparatively slow expected evolutionary modification of floral traits may hamper the evolution of floral traits to track climate-induced changes in pollination environment, compromising sexual reproduction and thus reducing the likelihood of evolutionary rescue.},
}
@article {pmid39355285,
year = {2024},
author = {Orrù, L and Mannarini, S},
title = {Psychological impact of climate change emergency: an attempt to define eco-anxiety.},
journal = {Frontiers in psychology},
volume = {15},
number = {},
pages = {1375803},
pmid = {39355285},
issn = {1664-1078},
}
@article {pmid39355204,
year = {2024},
author = {},
title = {Correction to: To live or let die? Epigenetic adaptations to climate change-a review.},
journal = {Environmental epigenetics},
volume = {10},
number = {1},
pages = {dvae016},
doi = {10.1093/eep/dvae016},
pmid = {39355204},
issn = {2058-5888},
abstract = {[This corrects the article DOI: 10.1093/eep/dvae009.].},
}
@article {pmid39353968,
year = {2024},
author = {Abd El Ghany, MM and El-Hadidy, SM and Sakr, SA and Korany, EA and Morsy, SM},
title = {Visual MODFLOW, solute transport modeling, and remote sensing techniques for adapting aquifer potentiality under reclamation and climate change impacts in coastal aquifer.},
journal = {Scientific reports},
volume = {14},
number = {1},
pages = {22827},
pmid = {39353968},
issn = {2045-2322},
abstract = {Global environmental changes, such as climate change and reclamation alterations, significantly influence hydrological processes, leading to hydrologic nonstationarity and challenges in managing water availability and distribution. This study introduces a conceptual underpinning for the rational development and sustainability of groundwater resources. As one of the areas intended for the development projects within the Egyptian national plan for the reclamation of one and a half million acres; hundreds of pumping wells were constructed in the Moghra area to fulfill the reclamation demand. This study investigates the long-term impacts of exploiting the drilled pumping wells under climate change. The approach is to monitor the groundwater levels and the salinity values in the Moghra aquifer with various operational strategies and present proposed sustainable development scenarios. The impact of global warming and climate change is estimated for a prediction period of 30 years by using satellite data, time series geographical analysis, and statistical modeling. Using MODFLOW and Solute Transport (MT3DMS) modules of Visual MODFLOW USGS 2005 software, a three-dimensional (3D) finite-difference model is created to simulate groundwater flow and salinity distribution in the Moghra aquifer with the input of forecast downscaling (2020-2050) of main climatic parameters (PPT, ET, and Temp). The optimal adaptation-integrated scenario to cope with long-term groundwater withdrawal and climate change impacts is achieved when the Ministry of Irrigation and Water Resources (MWRI) recommends that the maximum drawdown shouldn't be more significant than 1.0 m/ year. In this scenario, 1,500 pumping wells are distributed with an equal space of 500 m, a pumping rate of 1,200 m[3]/day and input the forecast of the most significant climatic parameters after 30 years. The output results of this scenario revealed a drawdown level of 42 m and a groundwater salinity value of 16,000 mg/l. Climate change has an evident impact on groundwater quantity and quality, particularly in the unconfined coastal aquifer, which is vulnerable to saltwater intrusion and pollution of drinking water resources. The relationship between climate change and the hydrologic cycle is crucial for predicting future water availability and addressing water-related issues.},
}
@article {pmid39353944,
year = {2024},
author = {Doell, KC and Todorova, B and Vlasceanu, M and Bak Coleman, JB and Pronizius, E and Schumann, P and Azevedo, F and Patel, Y and Berkebile-Wineberg, MM and Brick, C and Lange, F and Grayson, SJ and Pei, Y and Chakroff, A and van den Broek, KL and Lamm, C and Vlasceanu, D and Constantino, SM and Rathje, S and Goldwert, D and Fang, K and Aglioti, SM and Alfano, M and Alvarado-Yepez, AJ and Andersen, A and Anseel, F and Apps, MAJ and Asadli, C and Awuor, FJ and Basaglia, P and Bélanger, JJ and Berger, S and Bertin, P and Białek, M and Bialobrzeska, O and Blaya-Burgo, M and Bleize, DNM and Bø, S and Boecker, L and Boggio, PS and Borau, S and Borau, S and Bos, B and Bouguettaya, A and Brauer, M and Brik, T and Briker, R and Brosch, T and Buchel, O and Buonauro, D and Butalia, R and Carvacho, H and Chamberlain, SAE and Chan, HY and Chow, D and Chung, D and Cian, L and Cohen-Eick, N and Contreras-Huerta, LS and Contu, D and Cristea, V and Cutler, J and D'Ottone, S and De Keersmaecker, J and Delcourt, S and Delouvée, S and Diel, K and Douglas, BD and Drupp, MA and Dubey, S and Ekmanis, J and Elbaek, CT and Elsherif, M and Engelhard, IM and Escher, YA and Etienne, TW and Farage, L and Farias, AR and Feuerriegel, S and Findor, A and Freira, L and Friese, M and Gains, NP and Gallyamova, A and Geiger, SJ and Genschow, O and Gjoneska, B and Gkinopoulos, T and Goldberg, B and Goldenberg, A and Gradidge, S and Grassini, S and Gray, K and Grelle, S and Griffin, SM and Grigoryan, L and Grigoryan, A and Grigoryev, D and Gruber, J and Guilaran, J and Hadar, B and Hahnel, UJJ and Halperin, E and Harvey, AJ and Haugestad, CAP and Herman, AM and Hershfield, HE and Himichi, T and Hine, DW and Hofmann, W and Howe, L and Huaman-Chulluncuy, ET and Huang, G and Ishii, T and Ito, A and Jia, F and Jost, JT and Jovanović, V and Jurgiel, D and Kácha, O and Kankaanpää, R and Kantorowicz, J and Kantorowicz-Reznichenko, E and Mintz, KK and Kaya, I and Kaya, O and Khachatryan, N and Klas, A and Klein, C and Klöckner, CA and Koppel, L and Kosachenko, AI and Kothe, EJ and Krebs, R and Krosch, AR and Krouwel, APM and Kyrychenko, Y and Lagomarsino, M and Cunningham, JL and Lees, J and Leung, TY and Levy, N and Lockwood, PL and Longoni, C and Ortega, AL and Loschelder, DD and Lu, JG and Luo, Y and Luomba, J and Lutz, AE and Majer, JM and Markowitz, E and Marsh, AA and Mascarenhas, KL and Mbilingi, B and Mbungu, W and McHugh, C and Meijers, MHC and Mercier, H and Mhagama, FL and Michalaki, K and Mikus, N and Milliron, SG and Mitkidis, P and Monge-Rodríguez, FS and Mora, YL and Morais, MJ and Moreau, D and Motoki, K and Moyano, M and Mus, M and Navajas, J and Nguyen, TL and Nguyen, DM and Nguyen, T and Niemi, L and Nijssen, SRR and Nilsonne, G and Nitschke, JP and Nockur, L and Okura, R and Öner, S and Özdoğru, AA and Palumbo, H and Panagopoulos, C and Panasiti, MS and Pärnamets, P and Paruzel-Czachura, M and Pavlov, YG and Payán-Gómez, C and Pearson, AR and da Costa, LP and Petrowsky, HM and Pfattheicher, S and Pham, NT and Ponizovskiy, V and Pretus, C and Rêgo, GG and Reimann, R and Rhoads, SA and Riano-Moreno, J and Richter, I and Röer, JP and Rosa-Sullivan, J and Ross, RM and Sabherwal, A and Saito, T and Sarrasin, O and Say, N and Schmid, K and Schmitt, MT and Schoenegger, P and Scholz, C and Schug, MG and Schulreich, S and Shreedhar, G and Shuman, E and Sivan, S and Sjåstad, H and Soliman, M and Soud, K and Spampatti, T and Sparkman, G and Spasovski, O and Stanley, SK and Stern, JA and Strahm, N and Suko, Y and Sul, S and Syropoulos, S and Taylor, NC and Tedaldi, E and Tinghög, G and Huynh, LDT and Travaglino, GA and Tsakiris, M and Tüter, &#x130; and Tyrala, M and Uluğ, &#xd6;M and Urbanek, A and Valko, D and van der Linden, S and van Schie, K and van Stekelenburg, A and Vanags, E and Västfjäll, D and Vesely, S and Vintr, J and Vranka, M and Wanguche, PO and Willer, R and Wojcik, AD and Xu, R and Yadav, A and Zawisza, M and Zhao, X and Zhao, J and Żuk, D and Van Bavel, JJ},
title = {The International Climate Psychology Collaboration: Climate change-related data collected from 63 countries.},
journal = {Scientific data},
volume = {11},
number = {1},
pages = {1066},
pmid = {39353944},
issn = {2052-4463},
support = {P400PS_190997//Schweizerischer Nationalfonds zur F&#xf6;rderung der Wissenschaftlichen Forschung (Swiss National Science Foundation)/ ; I3381//Austrian Science Fund (Fonds zur F&#xf6;rderung der Wissenschaftlichen Forschung)/ ; 61378//John Templeton Foundation (JTF)/ ; },
mesh = {*Climate Change ; Humans ; Surveys and Questionnaires ; },
abstract = {Climate change is currently one of humanity's greatest threats. To help scholars understand the psychology of climate change, we conducted an online quasi-experimental survey on 59,508 participants from 63 countries (collected between July 2022 and July 2023). In a between-subjects design, we tested 11 interventions designed to promote climate change mitigation across four outcomes: climate change belief, support for climate policies, willingness to share information on social media, and performance on an effortful pro-environmental behavioural task. Participants also reported their demographic information (e.g., age, gender) and several other independent variables (e.g., political orientation, perceptions about the scientific consensus). In the no-intervention control group, we also measured important additional variables, such as environmentalist identity and trust in climate science. We report the collaboration procedure, study design, raw and cleaned data, all survey materials, relevant analysis scripts, and data visualisations. This dataset can be used to further the understanding of psychological, demographic, and national-level factors related to individual-level climate action and how these differ across countries.},
}
@article {pmid39353820,
year = {2024},
author = {Fusco, EJ and Falk, BG and Heimowitz, PJ and Lieurance, D and Parsons, EW and Rottler, CM and Thurman, LL and Evans, AE},
title = {The emerging invasive species and climate-change lexicon.},
journal = {Trends in ecology &amp; evolution},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1016/j.tree.2024.08.005},
pmid = {39353820},
issn = {1872-8383},
abstract = {The rapid diversification of terminology associated with invasion ecology is a known barrier to effective communication and management. These challenges are magnified by the addition of terms and concepts related to climate-induced range-shifting taxa and/or changes to impacts. Further, institutional policies and terminologies for invasive species introduce new ambiguities when considering climate change. To alleviate communication and application challenges, we introduce a conceptual framework that organizes climate-related invasion terms, revealing ambiguities and gaps. Additionally, we illustrate how these ambiguities can affect management with four case studies and consider situations where resolution can improve policy and management outcomes. The framework can help users avoid inconsistent use of terminology, and prioritize when to address management and policy consequences related to associated terminological ambiguity.},
}
@article {pmid39352946,
year = {2024},
author = {Rao, S and David, S and Kaiser, ML},
title = {Ballot Earth: Democracy, Climate Change, and Our Collective Future.},
journal = {Social work},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1093/sw/swae043},
pmid = {39352946},
issn = {1545-6846},
}
@article {pmid39351373,
year = {2024},
author = {Cliffe, RN and Ewart, HE and Scantlebury, DM and Kennedy, S and Avey-Arroyo, J and Mindich, D and Wilson, RP},
title = {Sloth metabolism may make survival untenable under climate change scenarios.},
journal = {PeerJ},
volume = {12},
number = {},
pages = {e18168},
pmid = {39351373},
issn = {2167-8359},
mesh = {*Climate Change ; Animals ; *Oxygen Consumption/physiology ; *Sloths/metabolism ; Energy Metabolism/physiology ; Body Temperature ; Basal Metabolism ; Body Temperature Regulation/physiology ; Calorimetry, Indirect ; Temperature ; },
abstract = {Although climate change is predicted to have a substantial effect on the energetic requirements of organisms, the longer-term implications are often unclear. Sloths are limited by the rate at which they can acquire energy and are unable to regulate core body temperature (Tb) to the extent seen in most mammals. Therefore, the metabolic impacts of climate change on sloths are expected to be profound. Here we use indirect calorimetry to measure the oxygen consumption (VO2) and Tb of highland and lowland two-fingered sloths (Choloepus hoffmanni) when exposed to a range of different ambient temperatures (Ta) (18 °C -34 °C), and additionally record changes in Tb and posture over several days in response to natural fluctuations in Ta. We use the resultant data to predict the impact of future climate change on the metabolic rate and Tb of the different sloth populations. The metabolic responses of sloths originating from the two sites differed at high Ta's, with lowland sloths invoking metabolic depression as temperatures rose above their apparent 'thermally-active zone' (TAZ), whereas highland sloths showed increased RMR. Based on climate change estimates for the year 2100, we predict that high-altitude sloths are likely to experience a substantial increase in metabolic rate which, due to their intrinsic energy processing limitations and restricted geographical plasticity, may make their survival untenable in a warming climate.},
}
@article {pmid39349626,
year = {2024},
author = {Kolanowska, M},
title = {Climate change will decrease the coverage of suitable niches for Asian medicinal orchid (Bulbophyllum odoratissimum) and its main phorophyte (Pistacia weinmannifolia).},
journal = {Scientific reports},
volume = {14},
number = {1},
pages = {22656},
pmid = {39349626},
issn = {2045-2322},
mesh = {*Orchidaceae ; *Climate Change ; *Plants, Medicinal ; Ecosystem ; Biodiversity ; Conservation of Natural Resources/methods ; Global Warming ; },
abstract = {Considering the global biodiversity crisis and the growing demand for medicinal plants, it is crucial to preserve therapeutically useful herbs. From a conservation management perspective under climate change, identifying areas that enable valuable natural resources to persist in the future is crucial. Machine learning-based models are commonly used to estimate the locations of climate refugia, which are critical for the effective species conservation. The aim of this study was to assess the impact of global warming on the epiphytic medicinal orchid-Bulbophyllum odoratissimum. Given how the long-term survival of plants inhabiting shrubs and trees depends on the availability of suitable phorophyets, in this research potential range changes in reported orchid plant hosts were evaluated. According to conducted analyses, global warming will cause a decline in the coverage of the suitable niches for B. odoratissimum and its main phorophyte. The most significant habitat loss in the case of the studied orchid and Pistacia weinmannifolia will be observed in the southern part of their geographical ranges and some new niches will simultaneously become available for these plants in the northern part. Climate change will significantly increase the overlap of geographical ranges of P. weinmannifolia and the orchid. In the SSP5-8.5 scenario trees will be available for more than 56% of the orchid population. Other analyzed phorophytes, will be available for B. odoratissimum to a very reduced extent, as orchids will only utilize these species as habitats only occasionally. This study provides data on the distribution of climatic refugia of B. odoratissimum under global warming. Moreover, this is the first evaluation of the future geographical ranges for its phorophytes. According to the conducted analyses, only one of the previously reported tree species which are inhabited by B. odoratissimum, P. weinmannifolia, can serve as a phorophyte for this orchid in the future. In this study, the areas designated as suitable for the occurrence of both orchids and their phorophytes should be considered priority conservation areas for the studied medicinal plants.},
}
@article {pmid39347454,
year = {2024},
author = {Kaewunruen, S and Fu, H and Adebiyi, A and Sengsri, P},
title = {Digital twins for managing bridge climate change adaptation.},
journal = {Open research Europe},
volume = {4},
number = {},
pages = {173},
pmid = {39347454},
issn = {2732-5121},
abstract = {BACKGROUND: Bridges are vital construction infrastructures that almost every nation needs in order to function. Climate change is a significant issue, that especially affects the construction industry. It is very important that bridges are able to withstand the impacts of climate change and adaptation measures will be required to achieve this.<br><br>METHODS: The digital twin will be developed using BIM to manage the climate change adaptation measures for the bridges. A 6D BIM model will be created that includes the 3D Revit model of a bridge featuring climate change measures, the climate change adaptation measures timeline schedule, climate change adaptation cost estimation, and carbon emission estimation, which will be produced using Revit software, Navisworks, and Granta EduPack. The results will show how 6D BIM can be used to support the adaptation of bridges to the effects of climate change.<br><br>RESULTS: The findings underscore the efficacy of 6D BIM in enhancing bridge resilience against climate change impacts. The 3D model demonstrates integration of adaptation measures without compromising bridge functionality. Moreover, the 4D model's timeline scheduling facilitates hazard anticipation, project planning, communication enhancement, collaborative efforts, and project visualization. Cost estimations from the 5D model reveal varying costs among adaptation measures, while the 6D model highlights differences in carbon footprints. These BIM dimensions enable stakeholders to analyse effects on project costs and energy consumption, aiding sustainability and cost-efficiency considerations.<br><br>CONCLUSIONS: The study exhibits the literature review analysis, the risk assessment, research on climate change adaptation strategies, and implementation using Revit 2022, Navisworks 2022, and Granta EduPack software. By contributing to the adaptation of bridges to climate change effects, the research has provided valuable insights and practical implications for enhancing bridge resilience globally.},
}
@article {pmid39347228,
year = {2024},
author = {Papadiochou, A and Diamanti, A and Metallinou, D and Georgakopoulou, VE and Taskou, C and Kagkouras, I and Sarantaki, A},
title = {Impact of Climate Change on Reproductive Health and Pregnancy Outcomes: A Systematic Review.},
journal = {Cureus},
volume = {16},
number = {8},
pages = {e68221},
pmid = {39347228},
issn = {2168-8184},
abstract = {Climate change has emerged as a significant global health challenge, with growing evidence linking environmental factors to adverse reproductive health outcomes. The primary objective of this review is to assess the effects of climate change-driven environmental factors, such as air pollution and temperature extremes, on reproductive health outcomes, including fertility rates, miscarriage, preterm birth, and congenital anomalies. A comprehensive search of PubMed, Google Scholar, and Web of Science was conducted until July 2024. Studies included in the review were observational, experimental, and randomized controlled trials that reported quantitative data on reproductive outcomes in relation to climate-related environmental exposures. A total of 49 studies were selected for qualitative synthesis. The review found that increased exposure to particulate matter (PM2.5), extreme temperatures, and proximity to traffic were consistently associated with reduced fertility, increased risks of miscarriage, preterm birth, and low birth weight. Adverse effects were particularly pronounced among vulnerable populations, such as pregnant women of lower socioeconomic status and those living in disaster-prone areas. The studies also highlighted potential transgenerational effects, with prenatal exposure to environmental stressors influencing the long-term health of offspring. The findings underscore the urgent need for public health interventions and policies to mitigate environmental exposures that negatively impact reproductive health. Future research should focus on longitudinal and interventional studies to establish causal relationships and inform effective public health strategies.},
}
@article {pmid39344378,
year = {2024},
author = {Nyzhnyk, T and Kots, S and Pukhtaievych, P},
title = {Rhizobium Inoculant and Seed-Applied Fungicide Effects Improve the Drought Tolerance of Soybean Plants as an Effective Agroecological Solution under Climate Change Conditions.},
journal = {Frontiers in bioscience (Elite edition)},
volume = {16},
number = {3},
pages = {23},
doi = {10.31083/j.fbe1603023},
pmid = {39344378},
issn = {1945-0508},
support = {0121U107432//National Academy of Sciences of Ukraine/ ; },
mesh = {*Glycine max/microbiology/drug effects/growth &amp; development ; *Fungicides, Industrial/pharmacology ; *Droughts ; *Climate Change ; *Seeds/drug effects/microbiology ; Rhizobium/physiology/drug effects ; Bradyrhizobium/drug effects/physiology ; Antioxidants/metabolism ; Symbiosis ; Drought Resistance ; Dioxoles ; Pyrroles ; },
abstract = {BACKGROUND: Rhizobial inoculation in combination with fungicidal seed treatment is an effective solution for improving soybean resistance to modern climate changes due to the maximum implementation of the plant's stress-protective antioxidant properties and their nitrogen-fixing potential, which will contribute to the preservation of the environment.<br><br>METHODS: Model ecosystems at different stages of legume-rhizobial symbiosis formation, created by treatment before sowing soybean seeds with a fungicide (fludioxonil, 25 g/L) and inoculation with an active strain of Bradyrhizobium japonicum (titer 109 cells per mL), were subjected to microbiological, biochemical, and physiological testing methods in controlled and field conditions.<br><br>RESULTS: Seed treatment with fungicide and rhizobia showed different patterns in the dynamics of key antioxidant enzymes in soybean nodules under drought conditions. Superoxide dismutase activity increased by 32.7% under moderate stress, while catalase increased by 90.6% under long-term stress. An increase in the antioxidant enzyme activity induced the regulation of lipoperoxidation processes during drought and after the restoration of irrigation. Regeneration after stress was evident in soybean plants with a combination of fungicide seed treatment and rhizobial inoculant, where enzyme levels and lipoperoxidation processes returned to control plant levels. Applying seed treatment with fungicide and Rhizobium led to the preservation of the symbiotic apparatus functioning in drought conditions. As proof of this, molecular nitrogen fixation by nodules has a higher efficiency of 25.6% compared to soybeans without fungicide treatment. In the field, fungicidal treatment of seeds in a complex with rhizobia inoculant induced prolongation of the symbiotic apparatus functioning in the reproductive period of soybean ontogenesis. This positively affected the nitrogen-fixing activity of soybeans during the pod formation stage by more than 71.7%, as well as increasing soybean yield by 12.7% in the field.<br><br>CONCLUSIONS: The application of Rhizobium inoculant and fungicide to seeds contributed to the development of antioxidant protection of soybean plants during droughts due to the activation of key enzymatic complexes and regulation of lipoperoxidation processes, which have a positive effect on nitrogen fixation and productivity of soybeans. This is a necessary element in soybean agrotechnologies to improve plant adaptation and resilience in the context of modern climate change.},
}
@article {pmid39342762,
year = {2024},
author = {Schwartz, SA},
title = {The great disruption: Climate change provoked migration and its effect on American healthcare.},
journal = {Explore (New York, N.Y.)},
volume = {20},
number = {6},
pages = {103046},
doi = {10.1016/j.explore.2024.103046},
pmid = {39342762},
issn = {1878-7541},
}
@article {pmid39341641,
year = {2024},
author = {Romanello, M and Costello, A},
title = {The Lancet Countdown on health and climate change: competing interests and optimism bias - Authors' reply.},
journal = {Lancet (London, England)},
volume = {404},
number = {10459},
pages = {1197-1198},
doi = {10.1016/S0140-6736(24)01492-2},
pmid = {39341641},
issn = {1474-547X},
mesh = {*Climate Change ; Humans ; *Optimism ; Conflict of Interest ; Global Health ; Bias ; COVID-19/epidemiology ; },
}
@article {pmid39341640,
year = {2024},
author = {Brink, N and Chersich, MF},
title = {The Lancet Countdown on health and climate change: competing interests and optimism bias.},
journal = {Lancet (London, England)},
volume = {404},
number = {10459},
pages = {1196},
doi = {10.1016/S0140-6736(24)01490-9},
pmid = {39341640},
issn = {1474-547X},
mesh = {Humans ; Bias ; *Climate Change ; *Global Health ; *Optimism ; },
}
@article {pmid39341639,
year = {2024},
author = {Butler, CD and Combs Bowles, D and Hanigan, IC and Harmer, A and Potter, JD},
title = {The Lancet Countdown on health and climate change: competing interests and optimism bias.},
journal = {Lancet (London, England)},
volume = {404},
number = {10459},
pages = {1196-1197},
doi = {10.1016/S0140-6736(24)01491-0},
pmid = {39341639},
issn = {1474-547X},
mesh = {Humans ; Bias ; *Climate Change ; *Global Health ; *Optimism ; },
}
@article {pmid39341638,
year = {2024},
author = {Romanello, M and Beggs, PJ and Cai, W and Gordon-Strachan, G and Hartinger, S and Murray, K and Tonne, C},
title = {The Lancet Countdown on health and climate change: representation matters - Authors' reply.},
journal = {Lancet (London, England)},
volume = {404},
number = {10459},
pages = {1195-1196},
doi = {10.1016/S0140-6736(24)01915-9},
pmid = {39341638},
issn = {1474-547X},
mesh = {*Climate Change ; Humans ; *Global Health ; Periodicals as Topic ; COVID-19/epidemiology/prevention &amp; control ; },
}
@article {pmid39341637,
year = {2024},
author = {Street, R and Wright, CY},
title = {The Lancet Countdown on health and climate change: representation matters.},
journal = {Lancet (London, England)},
volume = {404},
number = {10459},
pages = {1194},
doi = {10.1016/S0140-6736(24)01489-2},
pmid = {39341637},
issn = {1474-547X},
mesh = {Humans ; *Climate Change ; *Global Health ; },
}
@article {pmid39341629,
year = {2024},
author = {Montardi, C and Grange, L and Barde, F and Chevalier, K},
title = {[Emerging infectious diseases in the perspective of climate change and population migration].},
journal = {La Revue de medecine interne},
volume = {45},
number = {9S1},
pages = {S5-S8},
doi = {10.1016/S0248-8663(24)00774-4},
pmid = {39341629},
issn = {1768-3122},
mesh = {Humans ; *Climate Change ; *Communicable Diseases, Emerging/epidemiology ; Emigration and Immigration/statistics &amp; numerical data ; Human Migration ; },
}
@article {pmid39341251,
year = {2024},
author = {Mikaelyan, AS and Sergeeva, AV and Pautova, LA and Chasovnikov, VK and Gagarin, VI},
title = {75-Year dynamics of the black sea phytoplankton in association with eutrophication and climate change.},
journal = {The Science of the total environment},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {176448},
doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.176448},
pmid = {39341251},
issn = {1879-1026},
abstract = {Based on a database containing species records obtained from 1948 to 2022 and a hydrochemical database, long-term changes in the biomass and taxonomic structure of phytoplankton in the deep-sea basin of the Black Sea were analysed in the stratified period from April to October. Over 75 years, a significant increase in concentration of nitrate, a weak increase in phosphate and a strong decrease in dissolved silicate were observed in the nutricline. The biomass of diatoms and total phytoplankton increased several times during the peak of eutrophication in 1991-1993, then decreased by the 2000s and has again shown an increasing trend in the last 15 years. The number of species dominant in biomass has halved from the 1940s-60s to the 2010s. The primary beneficiaries were the large- and medium-celled diatoms Pseudosolenia сalcar-avis and Proboscia alata, as well as the coccolithophore Emiliania huxleyi, the main dominant species of the last decade. Most noticeable was the increase in the amplitude and duration of the regular annual May-July bloom of E. huxleyi. Over the past three decades, its biomass has increased by more than an order of magnitude, accounting for about 40 % of the total phytoplankton biomass. Development of the large- and medium-celled diatoms, as well as the decrease in biomass of silicoflagellates, can be, at least partly, associated with the long-term decline in dissolved silicate in the upper layers. The trend towards a decrease in dinoflagellate biomass is probably associated with increased mixing intensity in the water column. Over the study period, the total phytoplankton biomass was positively related to nitrate stock in the water column. Short-term period (from one to several years) interannual variability was influenced predominantly by hydrophysical processes, primarily the intensity of winter convection. After cold winters with intense involvement of deep nutrients in the upper layers, the biomass of diatoms, coccolithophores and total phytoplankton increased. Thus, fluctuations in winter weather or local climate reduced or enhanced the effect of eutrophication, sometimes leading to the time gap between the peak in nitrate stock and phytoplankton biomass. The case of the Black Sea illustrates the complex pattern of the response of a marine ecosystem to the simultaneous impacts of anthropogenic and climate changes, leading to significant alterations in the functioning of the biological carbon pump.},
}
@article {pmid39341248,
year = {2024},
author = {Yang, Y and Zhu, DZ and Loewen, MR and Zhang, W and van Duin, B and Mahmood, K},
title = {Impacts of climate change on urban stormwater runoff quantity and quality in a cold region.},
journal = {The Science of the total environment},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {176439},
doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.176439},
pmid = {39341248},
issn = {1879-1026},
abstract = {Climate change poses significant challenges to urban environments affecting both flood risks and stormwater pollutant loadings. However, studies on variations in stormwater runoff quantity and quality in cold regions, which are highly sensitive to climate change, are notably limited. Integrating climatic, hydrologic, and hydraulic modelling, the study assesses the potential impacts of climate change on stormwater runoff volume and pollutant dynamics in a Canadian urban watershed (Calgary). A two-year field program was conducted to support the calibration and validation of the Storm Water Management Model (SWMM). Intensity-duration-frequency curves were employed to evaluate the impacts of climate change on peak flow rate and flooding duration. In addition, typical dry, average, and wet years were applied to continuously simulate stormwater runoff quantity and quality during the 2050s and 2080s. The results suggest substantial increases in peak flow rates and flooding durations, particularly for the 5-year return period rainfall, with 1-h, 4-h, and 24-h peak inflow rates increasing by 74.3 % (170.7 %), 89.2 % (158.4 %), and 64.1 % (102.8 %) in the 2050s (2080s) Furthermore, the runoff quantity is projected to rise by 2.4-10.2 % in the 2050s and 11.8-17.5 % in the 2080s. Total suspended solids (TSS), total nitrogen (TN), and total phosphorus (TP) loadings are anticipated to increase by 2.0-36.1 %, 3.1-21.4 %, and 4.1-20.7 %, respectively. As a result, the current stormwater system could overload and stormwater quality is likely to deteriorate under the impact of climate change. The findings are beneficial for cold regions to develop adaptive strategies that enhance urban water security and environmental sustainability under climate change.},
}
@article {pmid39341238,
year = {2024},
author = {Bruni, E and Lugato, E and Chenu, C and Guenet, B},
title = {European croplands under climate change: Carbon input changes required to increase projected soil organic carbon stocks.},
journal = {The Science of the total environment},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {176525},
doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.176525},
pmid = {39341238},
issn = {1879-1026},
abstract = {Increasing soil organic carbon (SOC) stocks in agricultural systems is a pivotal strategy for promoting soil health and mitigating climate change. Global initiatives have set ambitious targets, aspiring to achieve an annual SOC stock increase of 4 ‰. In the European Union, the recently approved Nature Restoration Law aims to increase SOC stock trends in the top 30 cm of cropland mineral soils. However, current monitoring and reporting practices in some countries rely on simplistic SOC models with default parameters, which may not provide reliable predictions. In this paper, we study the feasibility of a 4 ‰ target in European croplands (i.e., an aspirational target proposed by The international "4 per 1000" Initiative), through estimations of required C input changes. To ensure robust predictions, we propose a novel calibration approach that links model parameters to pedo-climatic variables via statistical relationships from 16 long-term experiments. The effectiveness of the method is evaluated for three SOC models across 4281 sites from the European LUCAS soil survey. Our findings demonstrate that the statistical calibration of the multi-model ensemble improves the accuracy of 2015 and 2018 SOC stock predictions, compared to default parameterization. This improvement was however mainly due to the substantial enhancement of one of the models. According to the weighted multi-model mean, median C input changes to reach a 4 ‰ target for Northern, Central, and Southern Europe stand at 1.85, 1.20, and 0.13 Mg C ha[-1] yr[-1] under RCP 2.6, and 2.21, 1.26, and -0.10 Mg C ha[-1] yr[-1] under RCP 6.0, respectively. To achieve the aspirational 4 ‰ target, estimated C input change requirements exceed the predicted changes in net primary productivity under RCP 2.6 and RCP 6.0. This emphasizes the importance of strategic land-use and land-management interventions to enhance SOC stocks.},
}
@article {pmid39340120,
year = {2024},
author = {Sakai, Y},
title = {Tackling global warming.},
journal = {Asian journal of endoscopic surgery},
volume = {17},
number = {4},
pages = {e13390},
doi = {10.1111/ases.13390},
pmid = {39340120},
issn = {1758-5910},
}
@article {pmid39338116,
year = {2024},
author = {Perreault-Carranza, T and Ni, V and Savoie, J and Saucier, J and Frenette, J and Jbilou, J},
title = {Core Competencies of the Public Health Workforce in Climate Change and Extreme Weather Events Preparedness, Response, and Recovery: A Scoping Review.},
journal = {International journal of environmental research and public health},
volume = {21},
number = {9},
pages = {},
pmid = {39338116},
issn = {1660-4601},
support = {202303FO3-503311-FOP-CGBA-179522.//CIHR-Catalyst Grant: Chief Public Health Officer (CPHO) Report./ ; },
mesh = {*Climate Change ; *Public Health ; Humans ; *Extreme Weather ; Professional Competence ; Disaster Planning ; },
abstract = {Climate change poses a significant threat to public health and safety, necessitating an urgent, coordinated response. Public health officials must be well-trained to effectively prepare for, respond to, and recover from extreme weather events. Despite emerging frameworks, a gap remains in their systematic application, risking future unpreparedness. This review aimed to identify the necessary competencies for public health professionals to manage climate change and the best methods to teach these skills. An academic librarian helped develop a keyword chain for a PubMed search, which included original articles and reviews concerning our research questions published in English or French between 1 January 2013 and 31 January 2024. Out of 255 potential articles, 31 were included in this scoping review. The results aligned with our objectives, revealing three main themes: core competencies, training and pedagogy strategies, and assessment approaches for public health professionals' preparedness, responses, and recovery in the context of climate change and extreme weather events. This scoping review enabled us to provide a set of clear recommendations for future research and practice in training the public health workforce for managing extreme weather events and climate change.},
}
@article {pmid39338041,
year = {2024},
author = {Hannachi, T and Yakimova, S and Somat, A},
title = {A Follow up on the Continuum Theory of Eco-Anxiety: Analysis of the Climate Change Anxiety Scale Using Item Response Theory among French Speaking Population.},
journal = {International journal of environmental research and public health},
volume = {21},
number = {9},
pages = {},
pmid = {39338041},
issn = {1660-4601},
support = {0//Rennes 2 university/ ; 0//Region of Brittany/ ; },
mesh = {*Climate Change ; Humans ; *Anxiety/psychology ; Surveys and Questionnaires ; Female ; Psychometrics ; Male ; Adult ; Middle Aged ; France ; Aged ; },
abstract = {The mental health impact of the environmental crisis, particularly eco-anxiety, is a growing research topic whose measurement still lacks consensus. This study aims to use item response theory (IRT) to gain a deeper understanding of the constructs measured by existing questionnaires. To conduct this review, we applied the graded response model with the help of the MIRT package in R on open-access data from the short French version of the Climate Change Anxiety Questionnaire, which measures cognitive-emotional impairment and functional impairment. The models tested in this study are the one, two, and three-factor models, and the bifactor model. After model selection, the psychometric properties of the selected model were tested. Our results suggest that the unidimensional model seems to be the most appropriate for measuring eco-anxiety. The item difficulty parameter extracted from the IRT enabled us to discuss the severity levels of the items comprising this tool. The Climate Change Anxiety Questionnaire appears to be more appropriate for measuring moderate to severe eco-anxiety. Avenues for improving this questionnaire and the measurement of eco-anxiety in general are then discussed.},
}
@article {pmid39336645,
year = {2024},
author = {Wallon, S and Rigal, F and Melo, CD and Elias, RB and Borges, PAV},
title = {Unveiling Arthropod Responses to Climate Change: A Functional Trait Analysis in Intensive Pastures.},
journal = {Insects},
volume = {15},
number = {9},
pages = {},
doi = {10.3390/insects15090677},
pmid = {39336645},
issn = {2075-4450},
support = {FCT-UIDB/00329/2020-2024//FCT/ ; ACORES-01-0145-FEDER-000082//Fundo Europeu de Desenvolvimento Regional (FEDER)/ ; M1.1.A/FUNC.UI&amp;D/010/2021-2024//Dire&#xe7;&#xe3;o Regional da Ci&#xea;ncia, Inova&#xe7;&#xe3;o e Desenvolvimento (DRCT)/ ; M3.1.a/F/018/2020//Dire&#xe7;&#xe3;o Regional da Ci&#xea;ncia, Inova&#xe7;&#xe3;o e Desenvolvimento (DRCT)/ ; },
abstract = {This study investigates the impact of elevated temperatures on arthropod communities in intensively managed pastures on the volcanic island of Terceira, Azores (Portugal), using a functional trait approach. Open Top Chambers (OTCs) were employed to simulate increased temperatures, and the functional traits of ground dwelling arthropods were analyzed along a small elevation gradient (180-400 m) during winter and summer. Key findings include lower abundances of herbivores, coprophagous organisms, detritivores, and fungivores at high elevations in summer, with predators showing a peak at middle elevations. Larger-bodied arthropods were more prevalent at higher elevations during winter, while beetles exhibited distinct ecological traits, with larger species peaking at middle elevations. The OTCs significantly affected the arthropod communities, increasing the abundance of herbivores, predators, coprophagous organisms, and fungivores during winter by alleviating environmental stressors. Notably, iridescent beetles decreased with elevation and were more common inside OTCs at lower elevations, suggesting a thermoregulatory advantage. The study underscores the importance of considering functional traits in assessing the impacts of climate change on arthropod communities and highlights the complex, species-specific nature of their responses to environmental changes.},
}
@article {pmid39336643,
year = {2024},
author = {Liu, Z and Peng, Y and Xu, D and Zhuo, Z},
title = {Meta-Analysis and MaxEnt Model Prediction of the Distribution of Phenacoccus solenopsis Tinsley in China under the Context of Climate Change.},
journal = {Insects},
volume = {15},
number = {9},
pages = {},
doi = {10.3390/insects15090675},
pmid = {39336643},
issn = {2075-4450},
support = {2022NSFSCO986//Sichuan Province Science and Technology Support Program/ ; 20A007, 20E051, 21E040, and 22kA011//China West Normal University Support Program/ ; },
abstract = {Phenacoccus solenopsis Tinsley is a pest that poses a significant threat to agricultural crops, especially cotton, and is now widely distributed across many regions worldwide. In this study, we performed a meta-analysis on the collected experimental data and found that within the suitable temperature range, the survival rate of P. solenopsis increases with rising temperatures, indicating that climate plays a decisive role in its distribution. Using the MaxEnt model this study predicted that under three future climate scenarios (SSP1-2.6, SSP3-7.0, and SSP5-8.5), the distribution of P. solenopsis will expand and move towards higher latitudes. Climate change is the primary factor influencing changes in pest distribution. We conducted a meta-analysis of P. solenopsis, including seven independent studies covering 221 observation results, and examined the impact of temperature ranging from 18 °C to 39 °C on the developmental cycle of P. solenopsis. As the temperature rises, the development cycle of P. solenopsis gradually decreases. Additionally, by combining the MaxEnt model, we predicted the current and potential future distribution range of P. solenopsis. The results show that under future climate warming, the distribution area of P. solenopsis in China will expand. This research provides a theoretical basis for early monitoring and control of this pest's occurrence and spread. Therefore, the predictive results of this study will provide important information for managers in monitoring P. solenopsis and help them formulate relevant control strategies.},
}
@article {pmid39336094,
year = {2024},
author = {Abedin, I and Mukherjee, T and Abedin, J and Kim, HW and Kundu, S},
title = {Habitat Loss in the IUCN Extent: Climate Change-Induced Threat on the Red Goral (Naemorhedus baileyi) in the Temperate Mountains of South Asia.},
journal = {Biology},
volume = {13},
number = {9},
pages = {},
doi = {10.3390/biology13090667},
pmid = {39336094},
issn = {2079-7737},
support = {Pukyong National University 2023 Research Grant (202315370001)//Pukyong National University/ ; },
abstract = {Climate change has severely impacted many species, causing rapid declines or extinctions within their essential ecological niches. This deterioration is expected to worsen, particularly in remote high-altitude regions like the Himalayas, which are home to diverse flora and fauna, including many mountainous ungulates. Unfortunately, many of these species lack adaptive strategies to cope with novel climatic conditions. The Red Goral (Naemorhedus baileyi) is a cliff-dwelling species classified as "Vulnerable" by the IUCN due to its small population and restricted range extent. This species has the most restricted range of all goral species, residing in the temperate mountains of northeastern India, northern Myanmar, and China. Given its restricted range and small population, this species is highly threatened by climate change and habitat disruptions, making habitat mapping and modeling crucial for effective conservation. This study employs an ensemble approach (BRT, GLM, MARS, and MaxEnt) in species distribution modeling to assess the distribution, habitat suitability, and connectivity of this species, addressing critical gaps in its understanding. The findings reveal deeply concerning trends, as the model identified only 21,363 km[2] (13.01%) of the total IUCN extent as suitable habitat under current conditions. This limited extent is alarming, as it leaves the species with very little refuge to thrive. Furthermore, this situation is compounded by the fact that only around 22.29% of this identified suitable habitat falls within protected areas (PAs), further constraining the species' ability to survive in a protected landscape. The future projections paint even degraded scenarios, with a predicted decline of over 34% and excessive fragmentation in suitable habitat extent. In addition, the present study identifies precipitation seasonality and elevation as the primary contributing predictors to the distribution of this species. Furthermore, the study identifies nine designated transboundary PAs within the IUCN extent of the Red Goral and the connectivity among them to highlight the crucial role in supporting the species' survival over time. Moreover, the Dibang Wildlife Sanctuary (DWLS) and Hkakaborazi National Park are revealed as the PAs with the largest extent of suitable habitat in the present scenario. Furthermore, the highest mean connectivity was found between DWLS and Mehao Wildlife Sanctuary (0.0583), while the lowest connectivity was observed between Kamlang Wildlife Sanctuary and Namdapha National Park (0.0172). The study also suggests strategic management planning that is a vital foundation for future research and conservation initiatives, aiming to ensure the long-term survival of the species in its natural habitat.},
}
@article {pmid39335237,
year = {2024},
author = {Belovsky, GE and Slade, JB},
title = {Climate Change and Herbivores: Forty Years in a Bunchgrass Prairie.},
journal = {Animals : an open access journal from MDPI},
volume = {14},
number = {18},
pages = {},
doi = {10.3390/ani14182647},
pmid = {39335237},
issn = {2076-2615},
support = {DEB-78-02069//National Science Foundation/ ; BSR-83-07352//National Science Foundation/ ; DEB-93-17984//National Science Foundation/ ; DEB-97-07564//National Science Foundation/ ; DEB-04-15390//National Science Foundation/ ; DEB-09-18306//National Science Foundation/ ; DEB-14-56511//National Science Foundation/ ; Year 1979//National Geographic Society/ ; Year 1983//Horace H. Rackham School of Graduate Studies, University of Michigan/ ; Years 1992-1996//Utah State University Agricultural Experiment Station/ ; Years 1989-1994//USDA/GHIPM/ ; Year 1985-1986//University of Michigan Vice-President for Research/ ; Year 1999-2000//Agricultural Research Service/ ; 00-35101-9267//USDA-CSREES/NRICGP/ ; },
abstract = {Wild herbivore responses to anthropogenic climate change are often projected to be habitat and geographic range shifts as warmer conditions reduce the quantity and nutritional quality of forage plants, which makes species presence/absence a focus. Since 1978, herbivore abundances at the National Bison Range, MT, USA, were measured for grasshoppers (catch-effort), microtine rodents (runway density), and ungulates (drives and round-ups), along with climate and vegetation quantity (biomass) and quality (nitrogen content and chemical solubility related to digestibility). Counter to expectation with warming and drying, forage biomass increased as grass biomass increased more than dicot biomass decreased, and forage quality (solubility) increased. Consequently, herbivores that consume a grass diet (>25% grass: certain grasshoppers, microtines, bighorn sheep, elk, bison) increased in abundance, while herbivores consuming less grass declined (certain grasshoppers, pronghorn, whitetail, and mule deer). The result is an 18% increase in herbivore abundance and herbivory, counter to climate change expectations. Historically, grasshoppers consumed 46% more vegetation than mammals; now, they consume only 14% more, as grasshoppers did not increase as expected with climate change. Therefore, herbivores respond rapidly to climate-induced vegetation changes, and this is not a simple loss/addition of species, but changing trophic dynamics, which requires more knowledge of ecosystem dynamics.},
}
@article {pmid39334228,
year = {2024},
author = {Sulistiadi, W and Wasir, R and Thalib, W and Ayuningtyas, D and Bawazier, N and Buskens, E},
title = {Building health systems resilience: understanding the social, economic, and cultural impacts of climate change from stakeholders' perspectives in Indonesia.},
journal = {Archives of public health = Archives belges de sante publique},
volume = {82},
number = {1},
pages = {168},
pmid = {39334228},
issn = {0778-7367},
abstract = {OBJECTIVES: This study explores stakeholders' perspectives on the direct, social, economic, and cultural impacts of climate change on health in Indonesia and identifies possible strategies to enhance health system resilience.<br><br>METHODS: This study followed the Consolidated Criteria for Reporting Qualitative Research (COREQ) guidelines to ensure comprehensive and transparent reporting. Purposive sampling was used to select 22 stakeholders with relevant expertise, including government officials, representatives from international and professional health organizations, health workers, and community representatives. Semi-structured interviews were conducted, and data were analyzed using directed content analysis. Data saturation was reached when no new themes emerged.<br><br>RESULTS: The findings reveal significant challenges to Indonesia's health system due to climate change. Community awareness varies widely, with higher levels in disaster-prone areas. Socially, climate change has fostered community cooperation through collective adaptation efforts but has also led to tensions due to inequitable resource distribution. Economically, rising healthcare costs and financial instability, particularly in rural and disaster-prone regions, place a strain on the system. Culturally, there is a growing emphasis on environmental conservation, promoting eco-friendly practices and the integration of traditional and modern health approaches.<br><br>CONCLUSION: Building health system resilience in Indonesia requires addressing the social, economic, and cultural impacts of climate change. Possible strategies include enhancing public health education, strengthening healthcare infrastructure, improving inter-agency coordination, and leveraging technology to support effective responses to climate-related health threats, ultimately promoting national health, social stability, and economic growth.},
}
@article {pmid39334003,
year = {2024},
author = {Hassani, L and Kondar, RT and Narimani, S and Ghanbarnejad, A},
title = {Adaptive measures to deal with the next pandemic caused by climate change in at-risk groups.},
journal = {BMC psychiatry},
volume = {24},
number = {1},
pages = {634},
pmid = {39334003},
issn = {1471-244X},
mesh = {Humans ; *COVID-19/psychology/epidemiology ; Cross-Sectional Studies ; *Social Support ; Male ; Female ; Middle Aged ; Iran/epidemiology ; *Stress, Psychological/psychology ; *Climate Change ; Adult ; Diabetes Mellitus/psychology/epidemiology ; Surveys and Questionnaires ; Aged ; Pandemics ; SARS-CoV-2 ; },
abstract = {BACKGROUND: The intensity of the perceived stress during the pandemic is a very basic variable for the risk analysis and proper disaster response. The present study was conducted with the aim of determining the relationship between perceived stress and social support during covid-19 in diabetic patients in order to design a suitable plan for a possible pandemic.<br><br>METHODS: This cross-sectional study was conducted in 2021 on 212 diabetics in Hormozgan province / southern Iran. Data were collected online using Whatsapp using social support and perceived stress questionnaires specific to COVID-19. Data were analyzed by SPSS 22 software using Pearson correlation coefficient tests.<br><br>RESULTS: The mean and standard deviation (SD) of the stress score was 18.46&#x2009;&#xb1;&#x2009;4.41. Mean&#x2009;&#xb1;&#x2009;SD of social support dimensions were emotional support 30.76&#x2009;&#xb1;&#x2009;5.96, information support 21.63&#x2009;&#xb1;&#x2009;4.56, instrumental support 32.48&#x2009;&#xb1;&#x2009;6.68, and evaluative support 23.53&#x2009;&#xb1;&#x2009;4.83. There was a significant correlation between emotional support (r =-0.377, P&#x2009;<&#x2009;0.001) and instrumental support (r =-0.280, P&#x2009;<&#x2009;0.001) with perceived stress.<br><br>CONCLUSION: The inverse relationship between emotional and instrumental support and perceived stress in diabetic patients during the Covid-19 pandemic suggests that health promotion interventions focus on increasing these two forms of social support in order to reduce stress during disasters. Especially when there are warnings about the release of microbial agents from melting polar ice and the possibility of the next epidemic.},
}
@article {pmid39333409,
year = {2024},
author = {Adom, RK and Reid, M and Afuye, GA and Simatele, MD},
title = {Assessing the Implications of Deforestation and Climate Change on Rural Livelihood in Ghana: a Multidimensional Analysis and Solution-Based Approach.},
journal = {Environmental management},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
pmid = {39333409},
issn = {1432-1009},
support = {129481//Global Change Social Sciences Research Programme/ ; },
abstract = {The Ashanti region in Ghana, abundant in natural resources such as forests and vegetation biomes, significantly supports the livelihoods of a significant portion of the population. The sustainable management of forest resources remains a significant challenge to achieving environmental and economic growth and poverty alleviation. The study aims to identify the drivers of deforestation and assess its impact on the livelihoods of the poor and vulnerable communities in the Ashanti region. The study utilized qualitative and space-based data to examine the patterns of vegetation cover and deforestation from 2000 to 2020. The results revealed moderate to sparse vegetation in Ashanti from 2002, 2005, 2011, 2015, 2017, and 2018, with no vegetation in the northcentral part, attributed to climate change, agricultural practices, government policies, and deforestation-related disasters. The study found a significant correlation (R[2] = 0.8197) between years and deforestation areas, especially in 2018 at around 16,000 Sqkm, indicating an exponential increase with severe implications for sustainable livelihoods. Much of these changes were reflected in 2020 with a high peak of deforestation towards the southeastern parts of the region. Additionally, the results show that the poor groups are not passive actors but are actively involved in identifying systems and processes through which to build their adaptive capacity and resilience to environmental and climate change-induced changes. The findings provide evidence-based and all-inclusive approaches that would encourage vulnerable and marginalized groups to participate in the co-production and co-creation of policies and strategies. This outcome is geared towards transformative and sustainable communities while ensuring efficient and effective response and recovery capacities of deforested lands.},
}
@article {pmid39333224,
year = {2024},
author = {Ullah, S and Ali, U and Rashid, M and Haider, S and Kisi, O and Vishwakarma, DK and Raza, A and Alataway, A and Dewidar, AZ and Mattar, MA},
title = {Evaluating land use and climate change impacts on Ravi river flows using GIS and hydrological modeling approach.},
journal = {Scientific reports},
volume = {14},
number = {1},
pages = {22080},
pmid = {39333224},
issn = {2045-2322},
abstract = {The study investigates the interplay of land use dynamics and climate change on the hydrological regime of the Ravi River using a comprehensive approach integrating Geographic Information System (GIS), remote sensing, and hydrological modeling at the catchment scale. Employing the Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) model, simulations were conducted to evaluate the hydrological response of the Ravi River to both current conditions and projected future scenarios of land use and climate change. This study differs from previous ones by simulating future land use and climate scenarios, offering a solid framework for understanding their impact on river flow dynamics. Model calibration and validation were performed for distinct periods (1999-2002 and 2003-2005), yielding satisfactory performance indicators (NSE, R[2], PBIAS = 0.85, 0.83, and 10.01 in calibration and 0.87, 0.89, and 7.2 in validation). Through supervised classification techniques on Landsat imagery and TerrSet modeling, current and future land use maps were generated, revealing a notable increase in built-up areas from 1990 to 2020 and projections indicating further expansion by 31.7% from 2020 to 2100. Climate change projections under different socioeconomic pathways (SSP2 and SSP5) were derived for precipitation and temperature, with statistical downscaling applied using the CMhyd model. Results suggest substantial increases in precipitation (10.9 - 14.9%) and temperature (12.2 - 15.9%) across the SSP scenarios by the end of the century. Two scenarios, considering future climate conditions with current and future land use patterns, were analyzed to understand their combined impact on hydrological responses. In both scenarios, inflows to the Ravi River are projected to rise significantly (19.4 - 28.4%) from 2016 to 2100, indicating a considerable alteration in seasonal flow patterns. Additionally, historical data indicate a concerning trend of annual groundwater depth decline (0.8 m/year) from 1996 to 2020, attributed to land use and climate changes. The findings underscore the urgency for planners and managers to incorporate climate and land cover considerations into their strategies, given the potential implications for water resource management and environmental sustainability.},
}
@article {pmid39333161,
year = {2024},
author = {Jiang, F and Seager, R and Cane, MA},
title = {A climate change signal in the tropical Pacific emerges from decadal variability.},
journal = {Nature communications},
volume = {15},
number = {1},
pages = {8291},
pmid = {39333161},
issn = {2041-1723},
support = {OCE-2219829//National Science Foundation (NSF)/ ; AGS-2101214//National Science Foundation (NSF)/ ; AGS-2217618//National Science Foundation (NSF)/ ; DESC0023333//U.S. Department of Energy (DOE)/ ; },
abstract = {The eastern tropical Pacific has defied the global warming trend. There has been a debate about whether this observed trend is forced or natural (i.e., the Interdecadal Pacific Oscillation; IPO) and this study shows that there are two patterns, one that oscillates along with the IPO, and one that is emerging since the mid-1950s, herein called the Pacific Climate Change (PCC) pattern. Here we show these have distinctive and distinguishable atmosphere-ocean signatures. While the IPO features a meridionally broad wedge-shaped SST pattern, the PCC pattern is marked by a narrow equatorial cooling band. These different SST patterns are related to distinct wind-driven ocean dynamical processes. We further show that the recent trends during the satellite era are a combination of IPO and PCC. Our findings set a path to distinguish climate change signals from internal variability through the underlying dynamics of each.},
}
@article {pmid39333116,
year = {2024},
author = {Wen, Y and Guo, J and Wang, F and Hao, Z and Fei, Y and Yang, A and Fan, Y and Chan, FKS},
title = {A high-resolution dataset for future compound hot-dry events under climate change.},
journal = {Scientific data},
volume = {11},
number = {1},
pages = {1047},
pmid = {39333116},
issn = {2052-4463},
support = {IES\R2\202075//Royal Society/ ; 2023M730282//China Postdoctoral Science Foundation/ ; },
abstract = {Global climate change is leading to an increase in compound hot-dry events, significantly impacting human habitats. Analysing the causes and effects of these events requires precise data, yet most meteorological data focus on variables rather than extremes, which hinders relevant research. A daily compound hot-dry events (CHDEs) dataset was developed from 1980 to 2100 under various socioeconomic scenarios, using the latest NASA Earth Exchange Global Daily Downscaled Projections (NEX-GDDP-CMIP6) dataset to address this. The dataset has a spatial resolution of 0.25 degrees (approximately 30 kilometres), including three indicators, namely D (the yearly sum of hot-dry extreme days), prI (the intensity of daily precipitation), and tasI (the intensity of daily temperature). To validate the accuracy of the dataset, we compared observational data from China (National Meteorological Information Center, NMIC), Europe (ERA5), and North America (ERA5). Results show close alignment with estimated values from the observational daily dataset, both temporally and spatially. The predictive interval (PI) pass rates for the CHDEs dataset exhibit notably high values. For a 90% PI, D has a pass rate exceeding 85%, whilst prI and tasI respectively show a pass rate above 70% and 95%. These results underscore its suitability for conducting global and regional studies about compound hot-dry events.},
}
@article {pmid39332716,
year = {2024},
author = {Liu, Y and Ni, J and Gu, J and Liu, S and Huang, Y and Sadeghi, H},
title = {Influence of biopolymer-vegetation interaction on soil hydro-mechanical properties under climate change: A review.},
journal = {The Science of the total environment},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {176535},
doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.176535},
pmid = {39332716},
issn = {1879-1026},
abstract = {Soil reinforcement using eco-friendly biopolymer and vegetation has been increasingly popular in geotechnical engineering. However, research is still in its early stages due to complex biochemical interactions between biopolymers and plants. Moreover, under the increasing climate change, extreme weather poses severe challenges to the effectiveness of biopolymer-vegetation on soil treatment. Therefore, this paper provides a comprehensive review and summary of recent research on the influence of biopolymer and biopolymer-vegetation interaction on soil properties. First, this paper evaluates the various hydraulic and mechanical properties of soils after biopolymer treatment, including compaction characteristics, Atterberg limits, unconfined compressive strength, shear strength, tensile strength, permeability, water holding capacity, slaking behavior, and erosion resistance, as well as the influence of climate change. Then, the application of biopolymer-vegetation measure in the current field of soil treatment is summarized, and the biopolymer-vegetation interaction is discussed, including the influence of biopolymers on plant germination rate, growth conditions, wilting rate, and other indicators. Under drought and water scarcity conditions, biopolymers can improve soil mechanical strength and water retention, reducing plant wilting rate, and enhancing the survival ability of plants under extreme climate changes. Appropriate biopolymers can increase soil strength by >50 %, reduce strength and mass losses from dry-wet cycles to within 10 %, enhance grass seed germination rates by over 60 %, and reduce wilting rates under drought stress by 80 %. Finally, the research gaps and deficiencies in this field are highlighted, and potential research hotspots that can be strengthened and studied in the future are proposed. This review demonstrates the biopolymer-vegetation measure to be a new ecological restoration technology with widespread application prospects.},
}
@article {pmid39332289,
year = {2024},
author = {Kushwaha, NL and Sushanth, K and Patel, A and Kisi, O and Ahmed, A and Abd-Elaty, I},
title = {Beach nourishment for coastal aquifersimpacted by climate change and population growth using machine learning approaches.},
journal = {Journal of environmental management},
volume = {370},
number = {},
pages = {122535},
doi = {10.1016/j.jenvman.2024.122535},
pmid = {39332289},
issn = {1095-8630},
abstract = {Groundwater in coastal regions is threatened by saltwater intrusion (SWI). Beach nourishment is used in this study to manage SWI in the Biscayne aquifer, Florida, USA, using a 3D SEAWAT model nourishment considering the future sea level rise and freshwater over-pumping. The present study focused on the development and comparative evaluation of seven machine learning (ML) models, i.e., additive regression (AR), support vector machine (SVM), reduced error pruning tree (REPTree), Bagging, random subspace (RSS), random forest (RF), artificial neural network (ANN) to predict the SWI using beach nourishment. The performance of ML models was assessed using statistical indicators such as coefficient of determination (R[2]), Nash-Sutcliffe efficiency (NSE), means absolute error (MAE), root mean square error (RMSE), and root relative squared error (RRSE) along with the graphical inspection (i.e., Radar and Taylor diagram). The findings indicate that applying SVM, Bagging, RSS, and RF models has great potential in predicting the SWI values with limited data in the study area. The RF model emerged as the best fit and closely matched observed values; it obtained R[2] (0.999), NSE (0.999), MAE (0.324), RRSE (0.209), and RMSE (0.416) during the testing process. The present study concludes that the RF model could be a valuable tool for accurate predictions of SWI and effective water management in coastal areas.},
}
@article {pmid39330067,
year = {2024},
author = {Karman, A and Banaś, J},
title = {The Evaluation of Climate Change Competitiveness via DEA Models and Shannon Entropy: EU Regions.},
journal = {Entropy (Basel, Switzerland)},
volume = {26},
number = {9},
pages = {},
pmid = {39330067},
issn = {1099-4300},
support = {2019/35/B/HS5/01548.//National Science Centre, Poland/ ; },
abstract = {The purpose of this paper is to assess the efficiency of climate change competitiveness via a case study on EU regions by using the data envelopment analysis (DEA) model and Shannon entropy. First, on the same premise as similar composite indicators, we develop a DEA model to assess the relative performance of the regions in climate change competitiveness. Then, we extend our calculations with a DEA-like model and Shannon entropy to derive global estimates of a new competitiveness index by using common weights. Results show that the proposed DEA-Entropy model enables the construction of a regional climate change competitiveness index among all regions via a set of common weights. The proposed model's common weight structure demonstrates more discriminative power compared to the weights obtained through pure DEA or DEA-like methods. In order to validate the proposed DEA-Entropy model, it was applied to 120 EU regions. The results are meaningful for the regions to improve their competitiveness.},
}
@article {pmid39327477,
year = {2024},
author = {He, Y and Shu, Q and Wang, Q and Song, Z and Zhang, M and Wang, S and Zhang, L and Bi, H and Pan, R and Qiao, F},
title = {Arctic Amplification of marine heatwaves under global warming.},
journal = {Nature communications},
volume = {15},
number = {1},
pages = {8265},
pmid = {39327477},
issn = {2041-1723},
abstract = {Marine heatwaves (MHWs) and total heat exposures (THEs), extreme warming events occurring across the global oceans, seriously threaten marine ecosystems and coastal communities as the climate warms. However, future changes in MHWs and THEs in the Arctic Ocean, where unique marine ecosystems are present, are still unclear. Here, based on the latest CMIP6 climate simulations, we find that both MHWs and THEs in the Arctic Ocean are anticipated to intensify in a warming climate, mainly due to Arctic sea ice decline and long-term warming trend, respectively. Particularly striking is the projected rise in MHW mean intensity during the 21[st] century in the Arctic Ocean, surpassing the global average by more than sevenfold under the CMIP6 SSP585 scenario. This phenomenon, coined the 'Arctic MHW Amplification', underscores an impending and disproportionately elevated threat to the Arctic marine life, necessitating targeted conservation and adaptive strategies.},
}
@article {pmid39326751,
year = {2024},
author = {Chen, H and Wang, X and Lu, H and Van Balen, R},
title = {The impacts of climate change, early agriculture and internal fluvial dynamics on paleo-flooding episodes in Central China.},
journal = {The Science of the total environment},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {176431},
doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.176431},
pmid = {39326751},
issn = {1879-1026},
abstract = {Floods clustered in episodes are the most prevalent natural disaster worldwide, causing substantial economic and human losses. Although these events are often linked to time-periods of extreme rainstorms and unique atmospheric circulation patterns, the river basin characteristics affected by anthropogenic land use changes could exert a strong influence. However, the way and extent of how land use changes across different time scales affect flooding periods are still unclear, especially considering the historical land use changes. This study uses the Landlab landscape evolution model, coupled with an evapotranspiration model, to investigate the forcing factors for the paleo-flooding trends in the Wei River catchment over the last 5000 years. The results indicate that the flooding period from 4400 to 4000 BP was caused by an increase of 28 % in antecedent moisture content as well as a decrease of 28 % in its spatial variability, which are primarily due to climate change, and that the contribution of land-use change is less than 5 %. The increases of about 14 % and 8 % in main channel sedimentation rate play a leading role in flood generation during the time periods from 3400 to 2800 BP and 2000-1400 BP, respectively. These two periods of increased flooding are primarily caused by the erosional effects of increasing anthropogenic land use, whose contributions range from 33 % to 64 %. Furthermore, based on our modelling results, we suggest that the downstream propagation of the main flooding locations, from the Wei River to the lower reaches of the Yellow River, can be explained by the downstream migrating sediment wave. In conclusion, our simulation results give new insights into the causes of Holocene flooding periods in the middle Yellow River from the perspective of dynamic changes in catchment characteristics, which is helpful to improve regional flood risk management under future climate change and anthropogenic activities.},
}
@article {pmid39325697,
year = {2024},
author = {Haque, F and Lampe, FC and Hajat, S and Stavrianaki, K and Hasan, SMT and Faruque, ASG and Ahmed, T and Jubayer, S and Kelman, I},
title = {Impacts of climate change on diarrhoeal disease hospitalisations: How does the global warming targets of 1.5-2°C affect Dhaka, Bangladesh?.},
journal = {PLoS neglected tropical diseases},
volume = {18},
number = {9},
pages = {e0012139},
pmid = {39325697},
issn = {1935-2735},
mesh = {Humans ; Bangladesh/epidemiology ; *Diarrhea/epidemiology ; Child, Preschool ; *Hospitalization/statistics &amp; numerical data ; Infant ; Adolescent ; Child ; Male ; *Climate Change ; Adult ; Young Adult ; Female ; Global Warming ; Middle Aged ; Temperature ; Infant, Newborn ; Aged ; Incidence ; Rain ; },
abstract = {Dhaka is one of the world's densely populated cities and faces significant public health challenges including high burden of diarrhoeal diseases. Climate change is intensifying existing environmental problems including urban heat island effect and poor water quality. While numerous epidemiological studies have linked meteorological factors to diarrhoeal diseases in Bangladesh, assessment of the impacts of future climate change on diarrhoeal diseases is scarce. We provide the assessment of climate change impacts on diarrhoeal disease in Dhaka and project future health risks under climate change scenarios. About 3 million acute diarrhoea cases presenting to the Dhaka Hospital of the International Centre for Diarrhoeal Disease Research Bangladesh (icddr,b) during 1981-2010 were linked to daily temperature, rainfall and humidity and association investigated using time series adapted negative binomial regression models employing constrained distributed lag linear models. The findings were applied to climate projections to estimate future risks of diarrhoea under various global warming scenarios. There was a significantly raised risk of diarrhoea hospitalisation in all ages with daily mean temperature (RR: 3.4, 95% CI: 3.0-3.7) after controlling for the confounding effects of heavy rainfall, humidity, autocorrelations, day of the week effect, long-term time, and seasonal trends. Using the incidence rate ratio (IRR) of 1.034, temperature increases based on the global warming targets of 1.5-2°C could result in an increase of diarrhoea hospitalisations by 4.5-7.4% in all age groups by the 2100s. These effects were more pronounced among <5 children where the predicted temperature increases could raise diarrhoea hospitalisation by 5.7% - 9.4%. Diarrhoea hospitalisation will increase significantly in Dhaka even if the global warming targets adopted by the Paris Agreement is reached. This underscores the importance of preparing the city for management and prevention of diarrhoeal diseases.},
}
@article {pmid39323113,
year = {2024},
author = {Godse, S and Shabanova, V and Ragavan, MI and Mitchell, M and Chen, L and Flom, JD and Sheares, BJ},
title = {Caregivers of children with asthma alarmed by climate change: a cross-sectional study.},
journal = {Pediatric pulmonology},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1002/ppul.27288},
pmid = {39323113},
issn = {1099-0496},
support = {//None/ ; },
abstract = {BACKGROUND: Climate change poses significant health risks, with children being particularly vulnerable to its adverse health effects. Children with asthma are expected to have worsening disease due to increased exposure to heat, air pollution, mold from flooding, and pollen. Understanding caregiver perspectives on these health harms is crucial for informing public health policy and education. Therefore, we aimed to explore caregiver perceptions of climate change-related health risks to children with asthma.<br><br>METHODS: In this cross-sectional study, a survey instrument was created and distributed to caregivers of children with asthma during their visits to pulmonology clinics located in an urban northeastern US setting and via email.<br><br>RESULTS: Among 198 completed surveys, 78% of participants reported high levels of concern about climate change, with most respondents agreeing that climate change has already impacted their child's health. Examples provided by respondents included worsening asthma control due to air pollution, wildfire events, pollen exposure, and rapid changes in weather. Respondents who self-identified as female had greater concern. Most respondents agreed that these topics should be further discussed with their child's doctor. Although, barriers to such discussions were noted by the respondents.<br><br>CONCLUSION: Caregivers of children with asthma have high levels of concern regarding climate change and report adverse impacts on their child's asthma. Clinicians caring for children with asthma should consider discussing the respiratory health impacts of climate change with caregivers. However, barriers to these discussions need further examination.},
}
@article {pmid39322950,
year = {2024},
author = {Atta, MHR and Zoromba, MA and Asal, MGR and AbdELhay, ES and Hendy, A and Sayed, MA and Elmonem, HHA and El-Ayari, OSM and Sehsah, I and AbdELhay, IS and Rahman, AAAOA and Balha, SMI and Taha, HMA and Shehata, HS and Othman, AA and Mohamed, AZ and Abdelrahman, MM and Ibrahim, NMI and Hassan, EHM and El-Fatah, HAMA and Ali, AAM and Elsmalosy, MFA and Machaly, ER and Ghoneam, MA and Ali, AFZ and Elfar, MNA and El-Sayed, AAI and Mahmoud, MFH and Hassan, EA},
title = {Predictors of climate change literacy in the era of global boiling: a cross-sectional survey of Egyptian nursing students.},
journal = {BMC nursing},
volume = {23},
number = {1},
pages = {676},
pmid = {39322950},
issn = {1472-6955},
abstract = {BACKGROUND: Climate changes have led to health and environmental risks, so it has become essential to measure climate change literacy among the entire population, especially nursing students. The significant role of nursing students in raising public awareness and future healthcare roles emphasizes assessing the predictors of climate change literacy among nursing students.<br><br>AIMS: This study seeks to identify the predictors of climate change literacy among nursing students in A Multi-Site Survey.<br><br>DESIGN: A multi-site descriptive cross-sectional study adheres to the guidelines outlined in A Consensus-Based Checklist for Reporting Survey Studies collected for five months, from the 1st of July 2023 to November 2023. The study participants comprise 10,084 nursing students from all 27 governments in Egypt. The researcher used the Predictors of Nursing Students' Climate Change Literacy scale in this study. Data was collected, with 25 min average time to complete. Backward multiple linear regression was used to identify these predictors.<br><br>RESULTS: In the current study, nursing students demonstrated a moderate understanding of climate science (mean score 14.38), communication and advocacy skills (mean score 14.41), and knowledge of adaptation and mitigation strategies (mean score 13.33). Climate health impacts (mean score 17.72) emerged as the domain with the highest level of knowledge. No significant differences in climate literacy were observed across diverse student backgrounds (all p-values were&#x2009;>&#x2009;0.05). Perceived faculty knowledge of climate change positively correlated with all four domains of climate literacy and emerged as a significant predictor in multiple linear regression analyses (all p-values were&#x2009;<&#x2009;0.001).<br><br>IMPLICATION: While our findings highlight significant predictors of climate literacy, it is essential to recognize that these results identify associations rather than causal relationships. Based on these associations, it is recommended that nursing professionals be equipped with comprehensive knowledge of climate adaptation strategies to better advocate for and implement effective public health measures.},
}
@article {pmid39322930,
year = {2024},
author = {Jain, S and Srivastava, A and Khadke, L and Chatterjee, U and Elbeltagi, A},
title = {Global-scale water security and desertification management amidst climate change.},
journal = {Environmental science and pollution research international},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
pmid = {39322930},
issn = {1614-7499},
abstract = {Deserts and semi-arid environments are habitats to rare species, rich cultural heritage, and essential ecological processes. Approximately 46% of the world's surface area is covered by drylands (arid, semi-arid, and dry sub-humid areas), where 3 billion people live and unfortunately witness water insecurity and desertification implications. In this context, the present study argued that reduced dryland ecosystem services and decreased ecosystem health have resulted from the individual and compounding impacts of desertification, water scarcity, and climate change. At 1.5 °C, 2 °C, and 3 °C of global warming, under the shared socio-economic pathway SSP2, the number of people living in drylands who will be affected by various effects on water, energy, and land sectors is projected to reach 951 million, 1152 million, and 1285 million, respectively. Due to combinations of land use change, rainfall variations, fire suppression, and CO2 fertilization, as well as unsustainable management, widespread woody encroachment has occurred in many shrublands and savannas in Africa, Australia, North America, and South America. This has altered biodiversity and reduces ecosystem services, such as water availability and grazing potential. The north side of the Mediterranean, southern Africa, and North and South America are projected to have the most semiarid expansion. Contrarily, drylands are expected to shrink in India, northern China, eastern equatorial Africa, and the southern Sahara. Growing research evidence highlights the adoption of policy frameworks deriving the solutions from soil land management (SLM), indigenous and local knowledge (ILK), early warning systems coupled with adaptation and mitigation responses, and targets of sustainable development goals (SDGs).},
}
@article {pmid39322707,
year = {2024},
author = {Soliman, A},
title = {How a 'billion oysters' could protect the New York coastline from climate change.},
journal = {Nature},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
pmid = {39322707},
issn = {1476-4687},
}
@article {pmid39322655,
year = {2024},
author = {Ryan, PH and Newman, N and Yolton, K and Meinzen-Derr, J and Glauser, T and Cheng, TL and , },
title = {Correction: a call for solutions-oriented research and policy to protect children from the effects of climate change.},
journal = {Pediatric research},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1038/s41390-024-03593-7},
pmid = {39322655},
issn = {1530-0447},
}
@article {pmid39322105,
year = {2024},
author = {Galveias, A and Duarte, ESF and Raposo, M and Costa, MJ and Costa, AR and Antunes, CM},
title = {Trends in land cover and in pollen concentration of Quercus genus in Alentejo, Portugal: effects of climate change and health impacts.},
journal = {Environmental pollution (Barking, Essex : 1987)},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {124996},
doi = {10.1016/j.envpol.2024.124996},
pmid = {39322105},
issn = {1873-6424},
abstract = {Mediterranean forests dominated by Quercus species are of great ecological and economic value. The Quercus pollen season, peaking in April, varies in concentration due to geographical and climatic factors and has a remarkable allergenic potential. This study investigates Quercus trends in the Alentejo region of Portugal and examines the influence of meteorological parameters on DPC, PSD and SPIn, as well as the impact on allergic respiratory disease. The results show a progressive increase in Quercus Forest area from 1995 to 2018. Temperature and Precipitation are a key factor influencing pollen concentration, especially before peak of pollen season and prior to the pollen season. Particularly prior to the season, the precipitation of t-6 before influence, significantly, the pollen production. On the other hand, Global Srad and RH determine the beginning of the season. Using quartile-based categorization and multivariate statistical analysis, we identified years and scenarios within the IPCC projections where meteorological conditions influence may SPIn production. The study found a statistically significant correlation between high Quercus pollen concentrations in April and increased antihistamine sales. These findings are crucial for enhancing pollen forecast models and early warning systems.},
}
@article {pmid39321238,
year = {2024},
author = {Sinha, S and De, A and Halder, A},
title = {Global Warming and Rising Threat of Dengue Fever: Expectations in Disease Management.},
journal = {Indian journal of public health},
volume = {68},
number = {3},
pages = {444-446},
doi = {10.4103/ijph.ijph_1264_23},
pmid = {39321238},
issn = {0019-557X},
mesh = {Humans ; *Dengue/epidemiology ; *Global Warming ; *Dengue Virus ; Animals ; Global Health ; },
abstract = {Arbovirus-borne dengue fever remains a global public health threat. The actual burden of dengue infection may be underestimated due to undiagnosed or misdiagnosed fever cases. The distribution of dengue is influenced by both climatic and nonclimatic factors, including global warming, which affects the vector population and transmission period. Other factors, such as serotype evolution and host immunity, also contribute to the spread of the virus. Different serotypes of the dengue virus show different clinical manifestations. The prevalence of serotypes varies geographically and over time. Early diagnosis and characterization of circulating viruses at the genomic level are important for disease prevention and control.},
}
@article {pmid39320588,
year = {2024},
author = {Oroud, IM},
title = {The implications of climate change on freshwater resources in the arid and semiarid Mediterranean environments using hydrological modeling, GIS tools, and remote sensing.},
journal = {Environmental monitoring and assessment},
volume = {196},
number = {10},
pages = {979},
pmid = {39320588},
issn = {1573-2959},
mesh = {*Climate Change ; *Environmental Monitoring/methods ; *Hydrology ; *Remote Sensing Technology ; *Geographic Information Systems ; Fresh Water/chemistry ; Groundwater/chemistry ; Models, Theoretical ; Mediterranean Region ; Desert Climate ; Water Resources ; },
abstract = {Precipitation partitioning in arid and semiarid environments is not well understood due to scanty precipitation, its temporal distribution, and the lack/absence of adequate measurements of the hydrometeorological components. Simulation methods have the potential to bridge the data gap, thereby providing a window to estimate the water balance components. The present investigation evaluates the water balance components of a typical watershed situated in the southeastern Mediterranean for the period 1979 through 2019 using daily meteorological data and a grid spacing of 250 m. Generated runoff results were commensurate with corresponding values obtained using the SWAT model. Computed groundwater recharge is also compatible with recharge values calculated using the chloride mass balance method. Results show that average runoff and groundwater recharge for the entire period was ⁓24 mm a[-1] and 19 mm a[-1], giving a precipitation ratio of 9.5% and 7.5%, respectively. Substantial interannual variability in the water balance components was observed during the study period which reflected the significant precipitation fluctuations typifying the Eastern Mediterranean. Results show that the period extending from 1998/1999 through 2018/2019 witnessed an 18% drop in annual precipitation, while surface runoff and groundwater recharge experienced a reduction of ⁓34% and ⁓67%, respectively. Although groundwater recharge is a complex function of numerous meteorological and geological factors, the NDVI can provide an excellent indicator of groundwater recharge in marginal Mediterranean environments. This is highly beneficial in areas where climate records are scanty or absent. The presented results emphasize the significant impacts of global warming and aridification on the future availability of water resources in the semiarid marginal climates in the Eastern Mediterranean and point out clearly that water resources in this area will become scarcer, leading to multiple security threats at national and regional levels.},
}
@article {pmid39319872,
year = {2024},
author = {Shirey, V and Rabinovich, J},
title = {Climate change-induced degradation of expert range maps drawn for kissing bugs (Hemiptera: Reduviidae) and long-standing current and future sampling gaps across the Americas.},
journal = {Memorias do Instituto Oswaldo Cruz},
volume = {119},
number = {},
pages = {e230100},
pmid = {39319872},
issn = {1678-8060},
mesh = {Animals ; *Climate Change ; *Insect Vectors/classification ; Reduviidae ; Animal Distribution ; Chagas Disease/transmission ; Bayes Theorem ; Phylogeny ; Americas ; },
abstract = {BACKGROUND: Kissing bugs are the vectors of Trypanosoma cruzi, the etiological agent of Chagas disease (CD). Despite their epidemiological relevance, kissing bug species are under sampled in terms of their diversity and it is unclear what biases exist in available kissing bug data. Under climate change, range maps for kissing bugs may become less accurate as species shift their ranges to track climatic tolerance.<br><br>OBJECTIVES: Quantify inventory completeness in available kissing bug data. Assess how well range maps are at conveying information about current distributions and potential future distributions subject to shift under climate change. Intersect forecasted changes in kissing bug distributions with contemporary sampling gaps to identify regions for future sampling of the group. Identify whether a phylogenetic signal is present in expert range knowledge as more closely related species may be similarly well or lesser understood.<br><br>METHODS: We used species distribution models (SDM), specifically constructed from Bayesian additive regression trees, with Bioclim variables, to forecast kissing bug distributions into 2100 and intersect these with current sampling gaps to identify priority regions for sampling. Expert range maps were assessed by the agreement between the expert map and SDM generated occurrence probability. We used classical hypothesis testing methods as well as tests of phylogenetic signal to meet our objectives.<br><br>FINDINGS: Expert range maps vary in their quality of depicting current kissing bug distributions. Most expert range maps decline in their ability to convey information about kissing bug occurrence over time, especially in under sampled areas. We found limited evidence for a phylogenetic signal in expert range map performance.<br><br>MAIN CONCLUSIONS: Expert range maps are not a perfect account of species distributions and may degrade in their ability to accurately convey distribution knowledge under future climates. We identify regions where future sampling of kissing bugs will be crucial for completing biodiversity inventories.},
}
@article {pmid39319472,
year = {2024},
author = {Felton, AM and Wam, HK and Borowski, Z and Granhus, A and Juvany, L and Matala, J and Melin, M and Wallgren, M and Mårell, A},
title = {Climate change and deer in boreal and temperate regions: From physiology to population dynamics and species distributions.},
journal = {Global change biology},
volume = {30},
number = {9},
pages = {e17505},
doi = {10.1111/gcb.17505},
pmid = {39319472},
issn = {1365-2486},
support = {N2021-01//SNS Nordic Forest Research/ ; N2022-06//SNS Nordic Forest Research/ ; },
mesh = {*Deer/physiology ; Animals ; *Climate Change ; *Population Dynamics ; Animal Distribution ; Ecosystem ; North America ; Seasons ; Forests ; Europe ; Asia ; },
abstract = {Climate change causes far-reaching disruption in nature, where tolerance thresholds already have been exceeded for some plants and animals. In the short term, deer may respond to climate through individual physiological and behavioral responses. Over time, individual responses can aggregate to the population level and ultimately lead to evolutionary adaptations. We systematically reviewed the literature (published 2000-2022) to summarize the effect of temperature, rainfall, snow, combined measures (e.g., the North Atlantic Oscillation), and extreme events, on deer species inhabiting boreal and temperate forests in terms of their physiology, spatial use, and population dynamics. We targeted deer species that inhabit relevant biomes in North America, Europe, and Asia: moose, roe deer, wapiti, red deer, sika deer, fallow deer, white-tailed deer, mule deer, caribou, and reindeer. Our review (218 papers) shows that many deer populations will likely benefit in part from warmer winters, but hotter and drier summers may exceed their physiological tolerances. We found support for deer expressing both morphological, physiological, and behavioral plasticity in response to climate variability. For example, some deer species can limit the effects of harsh weather conditions by modifying habitat use and daily activity patterns, while the physiological responses of female deer can lead to long-lasting effects on population dynamics. We identified 20 patterns, among which some illustrate antagonistic pathways, suggesting that detrimental effects will cancel out some of the benefits of climate change. Our findings highlight the influence of local variables (e.g., population density and predation) on how deer will respond to climatic conditions. We identified several knowledge gaps, such as studies regarding the potential impact on these animals of extreme weather events, snow type, and wetter autumns. The patterns we have identified in this literature review should help managers understand how populations of deer may be affected by regionally projected futures regarding temperature, rainfall, and snow.},
}
@article {pmid39318536,
year = {2024},
author = {Rowley, AF and Baker-Austin, C and Boerlage, AS and Caillon, C and Davies, CE and Duperret, L and Martin, SAM and Mitta, G and Pernet, F and Pratoomyot, J and Shields, JD and Shinn, AP and Songsungthong, W and Srijuntongsiri, G and Sritunyalucksana, K and Vidal-Dupiol, J and Uren Webster, TM and Taengchaiyaphum, S and Wongwaradechkul, R and Coates, CJ},
title = {Diseases of marine fish and shellfish in an age of rapid climate change.},
journal = {iScience},
volume = {27},
number = {9},
pages = {110838},
pmid = {39318536},
issn = {2589-0042},
abstract = {A recurring trend in evidence scrutinized over the past few decades is that disease outbreaks will become more frequent, intense, and widespread on land and in water, due to climate change. Pathogens and the diseases they inflict represent a major constraint on seafood production and yield, and by extension, food security. The risk(s) for fish and shellfish from disease is a function of pathogen characteristics, biological species identity, and the ambient environmental conditions. A changing climate can adversely influence the host and environment, while augmenting pathogen characteristics simultaneously, thereby favoring disease outbreaks. Herein, we use a series of case studies covering some of the world's most cultured aquatic species (e.g., salmonids, penaeid shrimp, and oysters), and the pathogens (viral, fungal, bacterial, and parasitic) that afflict them, to illustrate the magnitude of disease-related problems linked to climate change.},
}
@article {pmid39317490,
year = {2024},
author = {Grande, AJ and Dias, IMAV and Jardim, PTC and Aparecida Vieira Machado, A and Soratto, J and da Rosa, MI and Ceretta, LB and Zourntos, X and Suares, RO and Harding, S},
title = {Environmental degradation, climate change and health from the perspective of Brazilian Indigenous stakeholders: a qualitative study.},
journal = {BMJ open},
volume = {14},
number = {9},
pages = {e083624},
doi = {10.1136/bmjopen-2023-083624},
pmid = {39317490},
issn = {2044-6055},
mesh = {Humans ; *Climate Change ; Brazil ; *Qualitative Research ; Indigenous Peoples/psychology ; Male ; Female ; Adult ; Conservation of Natural Resources ; Mental Health ; Health Policy ; Middle Aged ; },
abstract = {BACKGROUND: The WHO identifies climate change as the most significant threat to global health systems. Indigenous peoples, whose lives are deeply intertwined with nature, are particularly vulnerable to the impacts of these changes.<br><br>OBJECTIVE: This study aimed to understand the perspectives of Indigenous stakeholders and public services managers on the interconnectedness of climate change and Indigenous health.<br><br>DESIGN: A qualitative study with 22 Indigenous stakeholders and public service managers on climate change and perceived impact on Indigenous health.<br><br>SETTING AND PARTICIPANTS: Indigenous stakeholders and public service managers on climate change and perceived impact on Indigenous health from Brazil. Data was collected through interviews incorporating two vignette videos depicting environmental and health scenarios. Thematic content analysis was used to analyse the data.<br><br>RESULTS: The analytical process yielded six subcategories that were further grouped into three overarching thematic macro-categories: environmental degradation and climate change in the context of Indigenous peoples; environment, vulnerability and impact on Indigenous mental health; and actions and public health policies for Indigenous peoples.<br><br>CONCLUSION: The perspectives of Indigenous stakeholders and public service managers on the interconnectedness of climate change and Indigenous health were deeply entrenched in their lived experiences of loss of their lands from deforestation and environmental degradation. They argued strongly for the strengthening of public health policies aimed at the Indigenous peoples, to face many challenges, especially suicide, and to have a voice in decision-making. A sensitive approach that values Indigenous peoples' connections with nature is fundamental to promote their health and well-being.},
}
@article {pmid39315376,
year = {2024},
author = {Martínez, JP and Sagredo, B and Moreno, M&#xc1;},
title = {Editorial: Using rootstocks in crops and fruit trees to mitigate the effects of climate change and abiotic stress.},
journal = {Frontiers in plant science},
volume = {15},
number = {},
pages = {1479317},
pmid = {39315376},
issn = {1664-462X},
}
@article {pmid39315375,
year = {2024},
author = {Lu, Z and Shan, Y and Shan, H and Wen, H and Wu, Y and Han, R and Tong, X},
title = {Effect of climate change on Clinopodium polycephalum (Vaniot) C. Y. Wu &amp; S. J. Hsuan distribution adopting temporal data, ArcGIS, and the MaxEnt model.},
journal = {Frontiers in plant science},
volume = {15},
number = {},
pages = {1445764},
pmid = {39315375},
issn = {1664-462X},
abstract = {Clinopodium polycephalum (Vaniot) C. Y. Wu &amp; S. J. Hsuan, a vital plant in traditional Chinese medicine, has been used for its hemostatic properties since 1220 AD. Despite its recognized medicinal benefits including anti-inflammatory and cardiovascular applications and increasing market demands, research on this plant remains limited, particularly from the perspective of plant ecology. Due to global warming and the resultant climate change, studies on the distribution and conservation of C. polycephalum are of great importance, especially when a clear trend that its habitat shifts to the north was observed. To predict the potential distribution of C. polycephalum under distinct climate situations, the MaxEnt model was used along with the ArcGIS software. As a result, an AUC value of 0.931 was achieved, indicating high predictive accuracy of the model. By analyzing 135 occurrence points and their corresponding bioclimatic factors (including precipitation), soil data, and other environmental variables (49 in total), 16 key factors including pH value and basic saturation were selected for downstream analysis. It was found that solar radiation in May, precipitation in May and April, and the lowest temperature in the coldest month are important factors influencing the growth and distribution of C. polycephalum. Compared to the current climate scenario, the future suitable habitat for C. polycephalum is expected to shift northwest, and under the SSP245-2061-2080 climate scenario, its highly suitable habitat area is projected to increase by 886,000 km[2]. These findings provide crucial insights into the environmental drivers of C. polycephalum distribution and aid in its preservation and sustainable use in traditional medicine. Based on the findings of this study, future research should focus on factors such as solar radiation in May and the lowest temperature in the coldest month within the suitable habitat to ensure its effective conservation.},
}
@article {pmid39313832,
year = {2024},
author = {},
title = {Climate change's implications for practice: Pharmacologic considerations of heat-related illness.},
journal = {The Nurse practitioner},
volume = {49},
number = {10},
pages = {38-39},
doi = {10.1097/01.NPR.0000000000000239},
pmid = {39313832},
issn = {1538-8662},
mesh = {Humans ; *Climate Change ; *Heat Stress Disorders/nursing ; Nurse Practitioners ; },
}
@article {pmid39313690,
year = {2024},
author = {N C R, F and R R, A and L N, F},
title = {Climate change impacts on livestock in Brazil.},
journal = {International journal of biometeorology},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
pmid = {39313690},
issn = {1432-1254},
abstract = {Brazilian livestock provides a significant fraction of the food consumed globally, making the country one of the largest producers and exporters of meat, milk and eggs. However, current advances in the production of protein from Brazilian animal origin may be directly impacted by climate change and the resulting biophysical effects. Therefore, it is strategically consistent to develop measures to deal with the resulting environmental heat stress on domesticated animal species, especially the need in developing countries. This work aims to (1) evaluate the impacts of climate change on livestock (cattle-dairy, cattle-beef, goats, sheep, pigs, poultry-general) in different regions of Brazil and (2) discuss possible response strategies, associated with animal comfort and welfare. From our results, we can draw better strategies to mitigate the impacts of climate change on livestock production. The results presented show an increase of high heat stress in South and Southeast and an increase of extreme heat stress in North and Central-West areas of Brazil. The rise in extreme heat stress tends to occur mostly during spring and summer and tends to vary considering the different evaluated species. Within the evaluated species, the ones that seem to be more affected by climate changes are Poultry, pigs, cattle-beef and general (temperature-humidity index value). The differences between the results for the five geographic regions in Brazil suggests that different mitigation measures need to be considered to cope with future heat stress in livestock. To ensure the long-term success of Brazil's influence on the global market for proteins of animal origin, it must achieve sustainable production systems more intensively.},
}
@article {pmid39313613,
year = {2024},
author = {Dong, J and Yu, S},
title = {Retraction Note: Exploring role of green financing in blockchain markets for climate change mitigation in China.},
journal = {Environmental science and pollution research international},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1007/s11356-024-35113-9},
pmid = {39313613},
issn = {1614-7499},
}
@article {pmid39313538,
year = {2024},
author = {Tacon, D},
title = {I scale these vast trees to gather data on the effects of climate change.},
journal = {Nature},
volume = {633},
number = {8031},
pages = {974},
doi = {10.1038/d41586-024-03080-3},
pmid = {39313538},
issn = {1476-4687},
mesh = {*Climate Change/statistics &amp; numerical data ; *Data Collection ; Ecology ; *Forests ; *Research Personnel ; Taiwan ; *Trees/growth &amp; development ; },
}
@article {pmid39311143,
year = {2024},
author = {Martino, C and Geraci, F and Scudiero, R and Barone, G and Naselli, F and Chiarelli, R},
title = {Vanadium Toxicity Is Altered by Global Warming Conditions in Sea Urchin Embryos: Metal Bioaccumulation, Cell Stress Response and Apoptosis.},
journal = {Journal of xenobiotics},
volume = {14},
number = {3},
pages = {1130-1142},
pmid = {39311143},
issn = {2039-4713},
support = {FFR 2023-2024; D15 - Chiarelli PJ_UTILE_2022_VQR_Misura_B_D15_Chiarelli//University of Palermo/ ; },
abstract = {In recent decades, the global vanadium (V) industry has been steadily growing, together with interest in the potential use of V compounds as therapeutics, leading to V release in the marine environment and making it an emerging pollutant. Since climate change can amplify the sensitivity of marine organisms already facing chemical contamination in coastal areas, here, for the first time, we investigated the combined impact of V and global warming conditions on the development of Paracentrotus lividus sea urchin embryos. Embryo-larval bioassays were carried out in embryos exposed for 24 and 48 h to sodium orthovanadate (Na3VO4) under conditions of near-future ocean warming projections (+3 °C, 21 °C) and of extreme warming at present-day marine heatwave conditions (+6 °C, 24 °C), compared to the control temperature (18 °C). We found that the concomitant exposure to V and higher temperature caused an increased percentage of malformations, impaired skeleton growth, the induction of heat shock protein (HSP)-mediated cell stress response and the activation of apoptosis. We also found a time- and temperature-dependent increase in V bioaccumulation, with a concomitant reduction in intracellular calcium ions (Ca[2+]). This work demonstrates that embryos' sensitivity to V pollution is increased under global warming conditions, highlighting the need for studies on multiple stressors.},
}
@article {pmid39310775,
year = {2024},
author = {Zhang, X and Othman, SN and Kohler, DB and Wu, Z and Wang, Z and Borzée, A},
title = {Combined climate change and dispersal capacity positively affect Hoplobatrachus chinensis occupancy of agricultural wetlands.},
journal = {iScience},
volume = {27},
number = {9},
pages = {110732},
pmid = {39310775},
issn = {2589-0042},
abstract = {Global warming significantly impacts amphibian populations globally, and modeling helps understand these effects. Here, we used MaxEnt and MigClim models to predict the impact of climate change on habitat suitability for Hoplobatrachus chinensis. Our results indicate that temperature is a key factor affecting H. chinensis distribution. Increasing temperatures positively correlated with habitat suitability, with suitable habitat expanding northward by 2060 while maintaining suitability in the southern parts of the range. We found a 25.18% overlap between the current potential suitable habitat of H. chinensis and agricultural wetlands. Our model indicated that H. chinensis might be able to track shifts in suitable habitats under climate change given a 15 km dispersal ability per generation. Climate change will likely expand suitable habitat for H. chinensis. Our predictions offer important guidance for the conservation of the species, especially for the integrated role of natural and agricultural wetlands such as rice paddies.},
}
@article {pmid39309957,
year = {2024},
author = {Guedes, JP and Cardoso, TV and Fernandes, T and Mendes, F and Baleiras-Couto, MM and Duarte, FL and Sousa, MJ and Franco-Duarte, R and Chaves, SR and Côrte-Real, M},
title = {Exploring wine yeast natural biodiversity to select strains with enological traits adapted to climate change.},
journal = {Heliyon},
volume = {10},
number = {18},
pages = {e36975},
pmid = {39309957},
issn = {2405-8440},
abstract = {Wine is widely consumed throughout the world and represents a significant financial market, but production faces increasing challenges. While consumers progressively value more complex flavor profiles, regional authenticity, and decreased use of additives, winemakers strive for consistency among climate change, characterized by rising environmental temperatures and sun burn events. This often leads to grapes reaching phenolic maturity with higher sugar levels, and increased microbial spoilage risk. Herein, we addressed these dual concerns by investigating the use of autochthonous Saccharomyces cerevisiae strains for fermentations of grape musts resulting from these altered conditions. We characterized underexplored repositories of naturally-occurring strains isolated from different environments and geographical regions, regarding adequate enological properties (e.g., high cell growth, reduced production of H2S, ethanol and acetic acid, increased SO2 resistance, killer activity), and other less frequently investigated properties (resistance to osmotic stress, potassium and aluminium silicates and fungicides). The phenotypic data were organized in a biobank, and bioinformatic analysis grouped the strains according to their characteristics. Furthermore, we analyzed the potential of four Portuguese isolates to be used in fermentations of grape musts with high sugar levels, uncovering promising candidates. This research therefore contributes to ongoing efforts to increase sustainability and quality of wine production.},
}
@article {pmid39309938,
year = {2024},
author = {Win, CZ and Daniel, D and Dwipayanti, NMU and Jawjit, W},
title = {Development of integrated assessment tool for water, sanitation and hygiene (WASH) services in non-household settings under climate change context.},
journal = {Heliyon},
volume = {10},
number = {18},
pages = {e37645},
pmid = {39309938},
issn = {2405-8440},
abstract = {Access to improved water, sanitation, and hygiene (WASH) services is crucial in recognizing human rights to water and sanitation and due to their impacts on education, livelihoods, and human health. However, these services are often inadequate in non-household settings such as prisons, refugee camps, schools, and healthcare facilities. Progress in monitoring to ensure sustainable services in these settings has been limited. Although several tools are available to assess WASH services in both household and non-household settings, they have limitations, and none has taken a holistic approach to evaluate WASH performance in all non-household settings. Furthermore, the impacts of climate change on WASH services are rarely considered in these evaluations, making the inadequacies of WASH services worse. To address these gaps, an integrated tool was developed to assess WASH performance in non-household settings, incorporating financial, institutional, environmental impact, technical, social, and climate change factors. The tool provides scores for indicators to solve the problem of a lack of final aggregated data to enable decision-makers to determine the level of WASH performance in a setting. Moreover, it provides qualitative explanations for each score, allowing decision-makers to identify areas for improvement. This tool offers valuable and insightful data for improving WASH facilities and ensuring sustainable services in non-household settings, particularly for WASH service providers and local governments.},
}
@article {pmid39309923,
year = {2024},
author = {Singh, A and Arora, K and Chandra Babu, S},
title = {Examining the impact of climate change on cereal production in India: Empirical evidence from ARDL modelling approach.},
journal = {Heliyon},
volume = {10},
number = {18},
pages = {e36403},
pmid = {39309923},
issn = {2405-8440},
abstract = {Agriculture sector is major sufferer of climate change both at a global level as well as at India level. Cereals account for about 92 % of India's total food grain output and climate change has a significant influence on the production of cereals. This study aimed to evaluate the long-term and short-term effects of climatic and non-climatic variables, specifically temperature, precipitation, cereal area, total cropped area, fertilizer consumption, and pesticide consumption, on cereal production in India. The study included annual time series data that covered the period from 1960 to 2018, covering a period of 58 years. Various econometric techniques were employed to examine these relationships. The validity of a long-term and short-term relationship among the relevant variables included in the study was validated by employing the Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) technique and the Johansen cointegration test. The ARDL model's estimation outcomes reveals that input factors such as cereal area became a key factor in rising cereal production, as evidenced by its positive coefficient. Similarly, fertilizer consumption and precipitation had positive effects on production in the long run whereas total cropped area and minimum temperature has little influence over the results of production both in short run as well as long run. Furthermore, the long-term findings were also supported using econometric tools like Canonical Cointegrating Regression (CCR) and Fully Modified Least Squares (FMOLS). These methods confirmed that variations in cereal production in India were significantly influenced by both climatic factors and agricultural inputs and factors. The study emphasizes the urgency for policymakers to prioritize proactive measures aimed at reducing the adverse impacts of climate change on cereal production in India. This necessitates a comprehensive strategy integrating sustainable practices, technological innovations, and robust policy frameworks to ensure resilient agricultural sectors and sustainable food production.},
}
@article {pmid39307871,
year = {2024},
author = {Akram, H and Li, J and Anser, MK and Irfan, M and Watto, WA},
title = {Retraction Note: Assessing the impact of human capital, renewable energy, population growth, economic growth, and climate change policies on achieving the sustainable development goals.},
journal = {Environmental science and pollution research international},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1007/s11356-024-35115-7},
pmid = {39307871},
issn = {1614-7499},
}
@article {pmid39306140,
year = {2024},
author = {Zhang, L and Wang, B and Wu, W and Wang, C and Cheng, H and Duan, X},
title = {Enhanced health risk of soil heavy metal exposure following an extreme rainstorm under climate change.},
journal = {The Science of the total environment},
volume = {954},
number = {},
pages = {176409},
doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.176409},
pmid = {39306140},
issn = {1879-1026},
abstract = {Widespread concerns raised in changes in the health risk of soil heavy metals exposure due to extreme rainstorm under climate change. However, the impacts of extreme rainstorm on human exposure risk and the underlying mechanisms are still unclear. In this study, soil properties, speciation distribution and bioaccessibility of Ni, Cu, Zn, Cd and Pb in soil samples, which were collected before and after extreme rainstorm, were measured, subsequently the soil oral exposure risk of heavy metals was assessed based on bioaccessibility. Results indicate that extreme rainstorm can significantly enhance the accumulated non-carcinogenic and carcinogenic exposure risk by 10.1-188.3 %, with lowland soil posing 1.3-1.7 times higher risk than highland soil. The increase in exposure risk varies among elements in highland and lowland soil. Specifically, the exposure risk for Cd and Pb increased by 2.5-9.7 times, whereas that for Cu decreased by 43.2 % - 60.6 %. The risk of Zn and Ni exposure exhibits complex trends, with an increase of 37.2 %-104.8 % in lowland soil but a decrease of 9.4 %-46.5 % in highland soil. Bioaccessibility variations are the primary risk factors for soil heavy metal exposure during extreme rainstorms, not total concentration. Mechanistically, the extreme rainstorm directly increases soil moisture content and reduce organic matter concentration, leading to an increment in the proportion of bio-utilization speciation and decrement in the speciation bounding to Fe/Mn oxides of soil heavy metals. Furthermore, the bioaccessibility of soil heavy metal positively correlates with their bio-utilization speciation and negatively correlates with their speciation bounding to Fe/Mn oxides, which ultimately increasing exposure risk. Our study suggests the necessity that attentions should be paid to the enhanced health risk associated with soil heavy metal exposure following extreme rainstorm, particularly for population residing in lowland areas.},
}
@article {pmid39305836,
year = {2024},
author = {Pitron, V and Lemogne, C and Clayton, S and Léger, D and Van den Bergh, O and Witthöft, M},
title = {Climate change anxiety and its association with somatic symptom distress and idiopathic environmental intolerances: A cross-sectional study.},
journal = {Journal of psychosomatic research},
volume = {187},
number = {},
pages = {111937},
doi = {10.1016/j.jpsychores.2024.111937},
pmid = {39305836},
issn = {1879-1360},
abstract = {CONTEXT: Individuals need greater climate change awareness in order to mitigate and adapt to climate changes but this awareness can lead to negative health outcomes including climate change anxiety.<br><br>OBJECTIVE: To explore the associations between climate change anxiety, idiopathic environmental intolerances and somatic symptom distress, after accounting for modern health worries, anxiety and depression.<br><br>METHODS: A non-representative sample of healthy volunteers completed a cross-sectional online survey that included the Climate Change Anxiety scale (CCA-13), single questions about idiopathic intolerance to five environmental agents, the Somatic Symptoms scale (SSS-8), the Modern Health Worries scale (MHW-12), and the Patient Health Questionnaire for symptoms of anxiety and depression (PHQ-4). Participants also reported their sex, age and subjective socioeconomic status. Bivariate analyses investigated associations between variables and path analyses explored potential mediating factors.<br><br>RESULTS: 432 participants completed the questionnaire, 421 of whom were included in analyses (67&#xa0;% women, mean age: 32.7 standard deviation: 12.4). Climate change anxiety, idiopathic environmental intolerances, somatic symptom distress, modern health worries, and symptoms of anxiety and depression were positively correlated in bivariate analyses (Pearson's ranging from 0.22 to 0.57, all p&#xa0;<&#xa0;0.001). In path analyses, modern health worries (R[2]&#xa0;=&#xa0;9.9&#xa0;%) partially mediated the relation between climate change anxiety (R[2]&#xa0;=&#xa0;20.3&#xa0;%) and two correlated outcome variables, idiopathic environmental intolerances (R[2]&#xa0;=&#xa0;36.8&#xa0;%) and somatic symptom distress (R[2]&#xa0;=&#xa0;32.4&#xa0;%).<br><br>CONCLUSIONS: Climate change anxiety may negatively affect perceived physical health. Stakeholders should aim at promoting climate change awareness while addressing modern health worries to avoid negative health outcomes.},
}
@article {pmid39305325,
year = {2024},
author = {Fang, C and Zhu, R and Yin, Z and Chen, Z and Shan, J and Wang, L and Yang, H},
title = {Remote sensing monitoring of glacier area and volume changes in glacier-fed mountainous watershed on the Northern margin of the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau under climate change.},
journal = {Environmental monitoring and assessment},
volume = {196},
number = {10},
pages = {966},
pmid = {39305325},
issn = {1573-2959},
support = {42161018//National Natural Science Foundation of China/ ; U22A202690//National Natural Science Foundation of China/ ; 2022YFF1302602//National Key Research and Development Program of China/ ; 2021424//Youth Innovation Promotion Association of the Chinese Academy of Sciences/ ; 21ZD4NF044-02//Science and technology project of Gansu Province/ ; },
mesh = {*Climate Change ; *Environmental Monitoring/methods ; *Ice Cover ; *Remote Sensing Technology ; Tibet ; Rivers/chemistry ; },
abstract = {Steady glacier runoff is related to the security and resilience of water resources in meltwater recharge basins, so the status and change of glaciers and their response to climate change in the upper reaches have received widespread concerns. Here, the spatiotemporal characteristics of glacier wastage in the Upper Reaches of Shule River Basin (URSRB) driven by climate change were analyzed based on multi-source and multi-temporal remotely sensed images. Firstly, we extracted multi-temporal glacier outlines from the Landsat time series data using Google Earth Engine (GEE) for seven different periods every approximately 5 years from 1990 to 2020. The spatiotemporal analysis of URSRB glaciers demonstrates a sustained reduction in glacier area from 481.07 ± 24.24 km[2] in 1990 to 384.05 ± 22.71 km[2] in 2020, corresponding to a glacier shrinkage rate of - 0.67 ± 0.23%/year, characterized by considerable temporal variability. Secondly, multi-temporal DEMs derived from ASTER stereo imagery spanning from 2000 to 2020 were used to compute the glacier surface elevation changes and determine the glacier mass loss. The overall glacier surface elevation change rate was - 0.32 ± 0.14 m/year, equivalent to a mass balance of - 0.28 ± 0.12 m w.e./year. Lastly, to better apprehend the long-term response of URSRB glaciers to climate change, studies on climate change were carried out based on the EAR5-Land reanalysis dataset. The long-term trend of glacier wastage is attributed to the increase in summer temperature, and the negative effects of increased summer temperature on glaciers exceeded the positive effects of increased annual precipitation. In summary, glaciers in the URSRB have experienced a significant area reduction and accelerated mass loss against the backdrop of climatic warming and humidification.},
}
@article {pmid39304787,
year = {2024},
author = {Jansson, JK},
title = {Publisher Correction: Microorganisms, climate change, and the Sustainable Development Goals: progress and challenges.},
journal = {Nature reviews. Microbiology},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1038/s41579-024-01111-4},
pmid = {39304787},
issn = {1740-1534},
}
@article {pmid39304157,
year = {2024},
author = {Santos, CP and Rosa, R and Frazão-Santos, C},
title = {Global risk assessment of sharks to climate change.},
journal = {The Science of the total environment},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {176361},
doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.176361},
pmid = {39304157},
issn = {1879-1026},
abstract = {In what has been referred to as a 'perfect storm', it is now clear that we will be concurrently facing both a biodiversity and climate crisis over the incoming decades. In this context, we propose a broadly applicable framework to evaluate the climate-associated risk for marine life at the species-level, based on the ecosystem-level assessment developed by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC). We apply this framework to all extant marine shark species - given their major ecological and socioeconomic importance, alongside their precarious conservation status -at the global scale. Through the integration of expert-assessed information on each risk dimension, we consider the ecosystem dependencies of the targeted species, alongside with their vulnerability to human pressures. More specifically, we estimate the threat (exposure * hazard) level imposed by different climate change scenarios [Shared Socioeconomic Pathway (SSP) 1, SSP2, SSP3 and SSP5] across meaningful timeframes (2021-2040, 2041-2060 and 2081-2100) and contrast the normalized threat, vulnerability, and risk scores of each species across regions and attributes (order, habitat use, climate preference, lifestyle, trophic position, reproductive mode, and extinction risk category). Our analysis showcases how all shark species should be affected by climate change regardless of the emission scenario. With effects widely expected over the short-term, discrepancies between emission scenarios escalate considerably over time, with associated changes in the level and type of ecological implications. Moreover, with distinct lineages and functional attributes expected to be differently affected and with distinct consequences expected across scenarios, this analysis highlights how climate change is poised to exacerbate the already disproportional risk of functional and phylogenetic loss documented for this key group of marine predators.},
}
@article {pmid39300195,
year = {2024},
author = {Marquardt, T and Kaczmarek, S and Niedbała, W},
title = {Distribution of euptyctimous mite Phthiracarus longulus (Acari: Oribatida) under future climate change in the Palearctic.},
journal = {Scientific reports},
volume = {14},
number = {1},
pages = {21913},
pmid = {39300195},
issn = {2045-2322},
mesh = {Animals ; *Climate Change ; *Mites/physiology ; *Ecosystem ; Europe ; Temperature ; Animal Distribution ; },
abstract = {The aim of this paper is to prepare, describe and discuss the models of the current and future distribution of Phthiracarus longulus (Koch, 1841) (Acari: Oribatida: Euptyctima), the oribatid mite species widely distributed within the Palearctic. We used the maximum entropy (MAXENT) method to predict its current and future (until the year 2100) distribution based on macroclimatic bio-variables. To our best knowledge, this is the first-ever prediction of distribution in mite species using environmental niche modelling. The main thermal variables that shape the current distribution of P. longulus are the temperature annual range, mean temperature of the coldest quarter and the annual mean temperature, while for precipitation variables the most important is precipitation of the driest quarter. Regardless of the climatic change scenario (SSP1-2.6, SSP2-4.5, SSP5-8.5) our models show generally the northward shift of species range, and in Southern Europe the loss of most habitats with parallel upslope shift. According to our current model, the most of suitable habitats for P. longulus are located in the European part of Palearctic. In general, the species range is mostly affected in Europe. The most stable areas of P. longulus distribution were the Jutland with surrounding southern coasts of Scandinavia, islands of the Danish Straits and the region of Trondheim Fjord.},
}
@article {pmid39300086,
year = {2024},
author = {Benavides, IF and Garcés-Vargas, J and Selvaraj, JJ},
title = {Potential negative impacts of climate change outweigh opportunities for the Colombian Pacific Ocean Shrimp Fishery.},
journal = {Scientific reports},
volume = {14},
number = {1},
pages = {21903},
pmid = {39300086},
issn = {2045-2322},
mesh = {*Climate Change ; Animals ; Pacific Ocean ; *Fisheries ; Colombia ; *Penaeidae/physiology ; Ecosystem ; },
abstract = {Climate change brings a range of challenges and opportunities to shrimp fisheries globally. The case of the Colombian Pacific Ocean (CPO) is notable due the crucial role of shrimps in the economy, supporting livelihoods for numerous families. However, the potential impacts of climate change on the distribution of shrimps loom large, making it urgent to scrutinize the prospective alterations that might unfurl across the CPO. Employing the Species Distribution Modeling approach under Global Circulation Model scenarios, we predicted the current and future potential distributions of five commercially important shrimps (Litopenaeus occidentalis, Xiphopenaeus riveti, Solenocera agassizii, Penaeus brevirostris, and Penaeus californiensis) based on an annual cycle, and considering the decades 2030 and 2050 under the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways SSP 2.6, SSP 4.5, SSP 7.0, and SSP 8.5. The Bathymetric Projection Method was utilized to obtain spatiotemporal ocean bottom predictors, giving the models more realism for reliable habitat predictions. Six spatiotemporal attributes were computed to gauge the changes in these distributions: area, depth range, spatial aggregation, percentage suitability change, gain or loss of areas, and seasonality. L. occidentalis and X. riveti exhibited favorable shifts during the initial semester for both decades and all scenarios, but unfavorable changes during the latter half of the year, primarily influenced by projected modifications in bottom salinity and bottom temperature. Conversely, for S. agassizii, P. brevirostris, and P. californiensis, predominantly negative changes surfaced across all months, decades, and scenarios, primarily driven by precipitation. These changes pose both threats and opportunities to shrimp fisheries in the CPO. However, their effects are not uniform across space and time. Instead, they form a mosaic of complex interactions that merit careful consideration when seeking practical solutions. These findings hold potential utility for informed decision-making, climate change mitigation, and adaptive strategies within the context of shrimp fisheries management in the CPO.},
}
@article {pmid39300085,
year = {2024},
author = {Melnikova, I and Yokohata, T and Ito, A and Nishina, K and Tachiiri, K and Shiogama, H},
title = {Emergent constraints on future Amazon climate change-induced carbon loss using past global warming trends.},
journal = {Nature communications},
volume = {15},
number = {1},
pages = {7623},
pmid = {39300085},
issn = {2041-1723},
support = {JPMXD0722681344//MEXT | JST | Development of Advanced Measurement and Analysis Systems (SENTAN)/ ; },
abstract = {Reducing uncertainty in the response of the Amazon rainforest, a vital component of the Earth system, to future climate change is crucial for refining climate projections. Here we demonstrate an emergent constraint (EC) on the future response of the Amazon carbon cycle to climate change across CMIP6 Earth system models. Models that overestimate past global warming trends, tend to estimate hotter and drier future Amazon conditions, driven by northward shifts of the intertropical convergence zone over the Atlantic Ocean, causing greater Amazon carbon loss. The proposed EC changes the mean CMIP6 Amazon climate-induced carbon loss estimate (excluding CO2 fertilisation and land-use change impacts) from -0.27 (-0.59-0.05) to -0.16 (-0.42-0.10) GtC year[-1] at 4.4 °C warming level, reducing the variance by 34%. This study implies that climate-induced carbon loss in the Amazon rainforest by 2100 is less than thought and that past global temperature trends can be used to refine regional carbon cycle projections.},
}
@article {pmid39300027,
year = {2024},
author = {Li, Q},
title = {Retraction Note: Green financing role on climate change-supportive architectural design development: directions for green architectural designs.},
journal = {Environmental science and pollution research international},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1007/s11356-024-35091-y},
pmid = {39300027},
issn = {1614-7499},
}
@article {pmid39298346,
year = {2024},
author = {Del Sarto, G and Flandoli, F},
title = {A non-autonomous framework for climate change and extreme weather events increase in a stochastic energy balance model.},
journal = {Chaos (Woodbury, N.Y.)},
volume = {34},
number = {9},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1063/5.0223309},
pmid = {39298346},
issn = {1089-7682},
abstract = {We develop a three-timescale framework for modeling climate change and introduce a space-heterogeneous one-dimensional energy balance model. This model, addressing temperature fluctuations from rising carbon dioxide levels and the super-greenhouse effect in tropical regions, fits within the setting of stochastic reaction-diffusion equations. Our results show how both mean and variance of temperature increase, without the system going through a bifurcation point. This study aims to advance the conceptual understanding of the extreme weather events frequency increase due to climate change.},
}
@article {pmid39296214,
year = {2024},
author = {Chang, D and Bu, N and Zhang, N and Xiao, H},
title = {Climate change and tourism demand: Risks for extreme heat?.},
journal = {Heliyon},
volume = {10},
number = {17},
pages = {e37186},
pmid = {39296214},
issn = {2405-8440},
abstract = {Extremely high temperatures have become a major hurdle to tourists' experiences in various destinations. In this study, we present the first nationwide estimation of the temperature-tourism response function using a fine-grained panel dataset constructed by matching tourism data and daily meteorological datasets for 280 cities from 2005 to 2019 in China. Results show a non-linear relationship between temperature and tourism employing the temperature bins method, which is not sensitive to response equations. In addition, we conduct a rich heterogeneity analysis in the article to further analyse the effects of other external conditions on the temperature-tourism relationship, including the destination's level of tourism economic development, population, infrastructure development, and tourism resource endowment. We also observed that increasing summer temperatures result in decreased tourism arrivals and revenue, while rising autumn temperatures lead to increased tourism arrivals and revenue. This research contributes to a deeper understanding of the complex relationship between temperature dynamics and tourism patterns, offering insights into destination management and adaptation strategies.},
}
@article {pmid39296206,
year = {2024},
author = {du Plessis, F and Goedhals-Gerber, L and van Eeden, J},
title = {Climate change and marine cargo insurance - A global survey of insurers' perceptions.},
journal = {Heliyon},
volume = {10},
number = {17},
pages = {e37117},
pmid = {39296206},
issn = {2405-8440},
abstract = {The increasing frequency of climate-related hazards poses a significant risk to supply chains and marine insurance companies, which are already grappling with complex and interdependent global operations. Through a survey, this research examines the perceptions of an international cohort of marine insurers regarding their organization's participation in the Supply Chain Risk Management (SCRM) framework for climate change. In addition, the influence of respondents' experience levels and the World Bank's country classifications by income level are investigated. A repeated measures analysis of variance (ANOVA) is conducted to examine the effect of the SCRM framework's steps on perception, revealing significant variations among the steps and identifying gaps for improvement. While experience levels do not significantly affect involvement in the SCRM framework, distinct patterns emerge within each experience group, highlighting nuanced risk management practices. Comparing perceptions across World Bank income level categories reveals that higher country income levels generally correlate with higher average perception scores, indicating a potential association with greater awareness and management of climate change risks. The research also highlights the need for comprehensive involvement in all steps of the SCRM framework. Addressing climate change and building resilient supply chains requires a multi-faceted approach that includes enhanced risk management practices, and to this end, the authors' present areas for future research.},
}
@article {pmid39296162,
year = {2024},
author = {Guo, Q and Hasani, R},
title = {Assessing the impact of water scarcity on thermoelectric and hydroelectric potential and electricity price under climate change: Implications for future energy management.},
journal = {Heliyon},
volume = {10},
number = {17},
pages = {e36870},
pmid = {39296162},
issn = {2405-8440},
abstract = {This study investigates the impact of water resource restrictions on thermoelectric and hydroelectric stations, analyzing its influence on demand and electricity prices. It uses General Circulation Models (GCMs) and Soil and Water Assessment Tools (SWAT) to forecast future temperature trends and estimate river flow patterns. The research provides insights into climate change's potential effects on water resources and electricity potential. The study shows a significant decrease in river flow, indicating potential issues with hydroelectric and thermoelectric systems. The study also uses an optimized Echo State Network (ESN) for accurate electricity demand, using the Modified Snow Leopard Optimization (MSLO) algorithm as a new metaheuristic model. The simulation results show a consistent increase in electricity demand scenarios, which is expected to lead to higher supply prices due to decreased production capacity. This could have significant economic effects. The investigation provides a comprehensive understanding of water resource management challenges in power production, aiding in informed decisions in the future energy industry.},
}
@article {pmid39296148,
year = {2024},
author = {Makvandi, M and Yuan, PF and Ji, Q and Li, C and Elsadek, M and Li, W and Hassan, A and Li, Y},
title = {Resilience to climate change by improving air circulation efficiency and pollutant dispersion in cities: A 3D-UFO approach to urban block design.},
journal = {Heliyon},
volume = {10},
number = {17},
pages = {e36904},
pmid = {39296148},
issn = {2405-8440},
abstract = {Urbanization presents significant challenges to air quality and climate resilience, necessitating pioneering urban design solutions to enhance air circulation and mitigate pollutants. This urgency intensifies in densely populated and rapidly evolving regions like Wuhan, China, where effective strategies are crucial for sustainable development. This study introduces an innovative 3D Urban Form Optimization (3D-UFO) methodology aimed at advancing urban block design configurations to improve urbanization quality. The 3D-UFO approach systematically addresses the multifaceted challenges of climate change and air quality degradation in rapidly urbanizing areas. Integrating GIS-based analysis for comprehensive Land-Use and Land-Cover Change (LULCC) evaluation with Computational Fluid Dynamics (CFD), our approach employs systematic exploration guided by established urban airflow study protocols. Robust metrics-Airspeed-Ratio (ASR) and Average-Age-of-Local-Air (ALA)-quantify the impact of diverse urban block design strategies on air-circulation efficiency and pollutant dispersion. Analysis across various urban scenarios, yielded by the proposed 3D-UFO approach, reveal significant variations in air-circulation efficiency at street and building levels (SBLs). Optimal urban air circulation achieves efficiency levels of 50-70 % when airflow aligns orthogonally across and parallel to streets. Adjusting street-level building heights, especially incorporating taller structures, boosts ventilation efficiency by 20-30 %, which is crucial for improving airflow dynamics in urban settings. Higher Height-to-Width (H/W) ratios (>5.5) yield a 218.5 % increase in ventilation in specific urban layouts. Notably, the synergy of street-aspect-ratio and building-height-ratio adjustments significantly enhance ASR and ALA, providing a quantitative foundation for sustainable urban development. This 3D-UFO methodology, fusing LULCC analysis, CFD simulations, and systematic exploration, emerge as a valuable framework for urban planners and designers. The study offers informed insights into urban sustainability challenges, demonstrating advancements in addressing environmental concerns and improving living conditions within densely populated environments.},
}
@article {pmid39295445,
year = {2024},
author = {Wang, Z and Zhuo, Z and Ali, H and Mureed, S and Liu, Q and Yang, X and Xu, D},
title = {Predicting potential habitat distribution of the invasive species Rhynchophorus ferrugineus Olivier in China based on MaxEnt modelling technique and future climate change.},
journal = {Bulletin of entomological research},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {1-10},
doi = {10.1017/S0007485324000336},
pmid = {39295445},
issn = {1475-2670},
abstract = {Changes in the distribution of species due to global climate change have a critically significant impact on the increase in the spread of invasive species. An in-depth study of the distribution patterns of invasive species and the factors influencing them can help to better predict and combat invasive alien species. Rhynchophorus ferrugineus Olivier is an invasive species that primarily harms plants of Trachycarpus H. Wendl. The pest invades trees in three main ways: by laying eggs and incubating them in the crown of the plant, on roots at the surface and at the base of the trunk or petiole. Most of the plants in the genus Trachycarpus are taller, and the damage is concentrated in the middle and upper parts of the plant, making control more difficult. In this paper, we combine 19 bioclimatic variables based on the MaxEnt model to project the current and future distributions of R. ferrugineus under three typical emission scenarios (2.6 W m[-2] (SSP1-2.6), 4.5 W m[-2] (SSP2-4.5) and 8.5 W m[-2] (SSP5-8.5)) in the 2050s and 2090s. Among the 19 bioclimatic variables, five variables were screened out by contribution rates, namely annual mean temperature (BIO 1), precipitation of driest quarter (BIO 17), minimum temperature of coldest month (BIO 6), mean diurnal range (BIO 2) and precipitation of wettest quarter (BIO 16). These five variables are key environmental variables that influence habitat suitability for R. ferrugineus and are representative in reflecting its potential habitat. The results showed that R. ferrugineus is now widely distributed in the southeastern coastal area of China (high suitability zone), concentrating in the provinces of Hainan, Guangdong, Fujian, Guangxi and Taiwan. In the future, the area of high and low suitability zones will increase and the area of medium suitability zones will decrease. The area of low suitability zone will still be in the largest proportion. This study aims to provide a theoretical reference for the future control of R. ferrugineus from the perspective of geographic distribution.},
}
@article {pmid39294814,
year = {2023},
author = {Troncarelli, LT and de Ataide, MT and Morsello, C},
title = {Existing evidence of conceptual differences in research on climate change perceptions among smallholders? A systematic map.},
journal = {Environmental evidence},
volume = {12},
number = {1},
pages = {28},
pmid = {39294814},
issn = {2047-2382},
support = {Finance Code 001//Coordena&#xe7;&#xe3;o de Aperfei&#xe7;oamento de Pessoal de N&#xed;vel Superior/ ; FAPESP Project #2016/12803-9//Funda&#xe7;&#xe3;o de Amparo &#xe0; Pesquisa do Estado de S&#xe3;o Paulo/ ; Climate-U project//N&#xfa;cleo de Apoio a Pesquisa em Mudan&#xe7;as Clim&#xe1;ticas (Incline)/ ; },
abstract = {BACKGROUND: Climate change is having adverse effects on the livelihoods of small-scale populations, particularly in relation to their subsistence practices. Scientific literature widely acknowledges that smallholders must first perceive climate changes to take necessary precautions and adapt to the new conditions. However, variations exist in the terminology used across the literature, and in how it conceptualizes these perceptions. This variation complicates understanding of the literature and hinders empirical evidence comparisons. Therefore, in this review, we systematically mapped the literature considering variations in the concept's usage across different thematic areas. Our goal was to provide a comprehensive overview of the current state of the literature on smallholder climate change perceptions.<br><br>METHODS: In our systematic map, we adhered to the Collaboration for Environmental Evidence guidelines. We searched the literature adopting English terms and using five electronic databases of scientific publications (Web of Science Core Collection, Scopus, BASE-Bielefeld Academic Search Engine, PubMed, and Science Direct Elsevier). We then screened the retrieved articles' titles, abstracts, and full texts according to predefined eligibility criteria. Articles meeting the eligibility criteria were chosen for full reading, data extraction, and coding, utilizing a prepared codebook. No validity appraisal occurred in this selection. A database containing coded metadata for all studies is accessible for reference.<br><br>REVIEW FINDINGS: After screening 5358 articles (titles and abstracts), we identified and thoroughly reviewed 361 eligible articles at full text to map the usage of the climate change perception concept. Among these, 73 articles provided explicit definitions of perception, falling into seven categories: risk perception, perception based on psychological constructs and sensory stimuli, awareness, prior experience, observation of climate variables, beliefs, and uncertainties or threats. Implicit definitions of perception with various constructs were found, including those rooted in Cognitive Psychology, awareness, risk perception, traditional knowledge, beliefs, concerns about climate change, experiences of exposure to its effects, attitudes, worldviews, and scientific knowledge. Articles usually address multiple topics. Notably, 88% of the articles did not present any theory throughout their content. Geographically, Africa and Asia were the most frequently studied continents, with more focus on non-indigenous small-scale populations than indigenous ones.<br><br>CONCLUSIONS: In conclusion, the perception concept exhibits an interdisciplinary nature. Therefore, fostering continuous dialogue among diverse disciplines is imperative to establishing an interdisciplinary definition of the term. An in-depth understanding of the perception concept is essential, as its absence can result in erroneous conclusions, limited adaptation strategies, and a lack of awareness among small-scale populations regarding climate change impacts. Misconceptions about this concept can lead to ineffective policies, further endangering vulnerable populations. Defining the concept and its constructs facilitates article comparisons. Without this definition, meaningful comparisons become unfeasible. Moreover, the absence of proper perception definitions poses challenges for small-scale populations, researchers, and stakeholders in developing effective, efficient, and flexible adaptations over time. Perception is the first step in incorporating adaptation strategies and must be translated into policies to address climate change impacts efficiently.},
}
@article {pmid39294793,
year = {2022},
author = {Troncarelli, LT and Morsello, C},
title = {What evidence exists on conceptual differences in climate change perceptions of smallholders? A systematic map protocol.},
journal = {Environmental evidence},
volume = {11},
number = {1},
pages = {31},
pmid = {39294793},
issn = {2047-2382},
abstract = {BACKGROUND: Climate change is affecting small-scale populations worldwide. Evidence of adverse effects has been reported for smallholders' agriculture, hunting, fishing, and gathering products from natural ecosystems (non-timber forest products). To take precautions or deal with such problems (i.e. to adapt), smallholders need to perceive climatic changes. Acknowledging this need, the literature on this topic is vast. Despite that, authors adopt alternative concepts of climate change perception, which may hinder comparisons of results across studies. Hence, the review team aim to systematically map the literature usage of the climate change perception concept.<br><br>METHODS: This systematic map will follow the CEE guidelines and conform to the Reporting Standards for Systematic Evidence form. The review team will rely on five electronic databases of scientific publications-Scopus, Web of Science Core Collection, BASE-Bielefeld Academic Search Engine, Science Direct Elsevier and PubMed-with pre-tested search terms only in English. Publications will be filtered through the "articles only" and "English language" selections. Titles, abstracts, and full texts will then be screened using pre-defined eligibility criteria, including small-scale and indigenous populations inhabiting rural areas, as well as presenting explicitly or implicitly the concept of climate change perception. From articles meeting the eligibility criteria, the review team will extract and encode the data while selecting the full texts for reading. The review team will use a codebook pre-elaborated for encoding. No critical appraisal of study validity will be undertaken. Finally, a database with coded metadata of all studies in the map will be made available. The review team will present the evidence in a report map with text, figures, and tables, besides a catalogue of all identified perception definitions.},
}
@article {pmid39294764,
year = {2023},
author = {Vanhuyse, F and Piseddu, T and Moberg, &#xc5;},
title = {What evidence exists on the impact of climate change on real estate valuation? A systematic map protocol.},
journal = {Environmental evidence},
volume = {12},
number = {1},
pages = {24},
pmid = {39294764},
issn = {2047-2382},
support = {2022-01417//VINNOVA/ ; },
abstract = {BACKGROUND: As natural disasters increase in both frequency and magnitude because of climate change, assets, such as buildings and infrastructure, are exposed to physical climate risk. In addition, as our societies transition towards a greener economy, the transitional climate risk will manifest itself in different forms: reputational issues, market solutions that may drive out those that do not comply, technological disruptions and policy initiatives. How both risks, physical and transitional, impact the economic value of real estate assets is not well understood and will be investigated as the main scope of this systematic map.<br><br>METHOD: we use systematic mapping to collate and configure existing evidence on how climate risk has affected the economic value of real estate assets. After designing a search string, English language peer-reviewed publications will be retrieved from the two largest and most popular scientific research databases, as well as a database containing policy documents. This corpus will be tested for comprehensiveness using a benchmark of 50 highly relevant articles. Once the comprehensiveness test is passed, a consistency test will be carried out on the screening of a randomly selected list of 200 articles by three reviewers. If a kappa score of at least 0.6 is achieved, one of the reviewers will carry out the remainder of the screening, with another reviewer quality assuring 10% of the screening. The retained corpus will then be distributed over the three reviewers, who will carry out the extraction of metadata according to an agreed coding strategy. The final output of the coding will consist of a heat map, showcasing where substantial evidence is available, and research gaps, providing recommendations for further research. In addition, the results will provide insight into the methodology to quantify the impact of climate risk on real estate value. Figures and tables will be designed to make it easy to comprehend the results of the mapping.},
}
@article {pmid39294746,
year = {2024},
author = {Malpeli, KC and Endyke, SC and Weiskopf, SR and Thompson, LM and Johnson, CG and Kurth, KA and Carlin, MA},
title = {Existing evidence on the effects of climate variability and climate change on ungulates in North America: a systematic map.},
journal = {Environmental evidence},
volume = {13},
number = {1},
pages = {8},
pmid = {39294746},
issn = {2047-2382},
support = {DE-SC0014664//Oak Ridge Institute for Science and Education/ ; },
abstract = {BACKGROUND: Climate is an important driver of ungulate life-histories, population dynamics, and migratory behaviors. Climate conditions can directly impact ungulates via changes in the costs of thermoregulation and locomotion, or indirectly, via changes in habitat and forage availability, predation, and species interactions. Many studies have documented the effects of climate variability and climate change on North America's ungulates, recording impacts to population demographics, physiology, foraging behavior, migratory patterns, and more. However, ungulate responses are not uniform and vary by species and geography. Here, we present a systematic map describing the abundance and distribution of evidence on the effects of climate variability and climate change on native ungulates in North America.<br><br>METHODS: We searched for all evidence documenting or projecting how climate variability and climate change affect the 15 ungulate species native to the U.S., Canada, Mexico, and Greenland. We searched Web of Science, Scopus, and the websites of 62 wildlife management agencies to identify relevant academic and grey literature. We screened English-language documents for inclusion at both the title and abstract and full-text levels. Data from all articles that passed full-text review were extracted and coded in a database. We identified knowledge clusters and gaps related to the species, locations, climate variables, and outcome variables measured in the literature.<br><br>REVIEW FINDINGS: We identified a total of 674 relevant articles published from 1947 until September 2020. Caribou (Rangifer tarandus), elk (Cervus canadensis), and white-tailed deer (Odocoileus virginianus) were the most frequently studied species. Geographically, more research has been conducted in the western U.S. and western Canada, though a notable concentration of research is also located in the Great Lakes region. Nearly 75% more articles examined the effects of precipitation on ungulates compared to temperature, with variables related to snow being the most commonly measured climate variables. Most studies examined the effects of climate on ungulate population demographics, habitat and forage, and physiology and condition, with far fewer examining the effects on disturbances, migratory behavior, and seasonal range and corridor habitat.<br><br>CONCLUSIONS: The effects of climate change, and its interactions with stressors such as land-use change, predation, and disease, is of increasing concern to wildlife managers. With its broad scope, this systematic map can help ungulate managers identify relevant climate impacts and prepare for future changes to the populations they manage. Decisions regarding population control measures, supplemental feeding, translocation, and the application of habitat treatments are just some of the management decisions that can be informed by an improved understanding of climate impacts. This systematic map also identified several gaps in the literature that would benefit from additional research, including climate effects on ungulate migratory patterns, on species that are relatively understudied yet known to be sensitive to changes in climate, such as pronghorn (Antilocapra americana) and mountain goats (Oreamnos americanus), and on ungulates in the eastern U.S. and Mexico.},
}
@article {pmid39294699,
year = {2023},
author = {Cheng, SH and Costedoat, S and Sigouin, A and Calistro, GF and Chamberlain, CJ and Lichtenthal, P and Mills, M and Nowakowski, AJ and Sterling, EJ and Tinsman, J and Wiggins, M and Brancalion, PHS and Canty, SWJ and Fritts-Penniman, A and Jagadish, A and Jones, K and Mascia, MB and Porzecanski, A and Zganjar, C and Brenes, CLM},
title = {Assessing evidence on the impacts of nature-based interventions for climate change mitigation: a systematic map of primary and secondary research from subtropical and tropical terrestrial regions.},
journal = {Environmental evidence},
volume = {12},
number = {1},
pages = {21},
pmid = {39294699},
issn = {2047-2382},
abstract = {BACKGROUND: Nature-based interventions (NbIs) for climate change mitigation include a diverse set of interventions aimed at conserving, restoring, and/or managing natural and modified ecosystems to improve their ability to store and sequester carbon and avoid greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions. Recent projections estimate that terrestrial NbIs can lead to more than one-third of the climate change mitigation necessary to meet the Paris Climate Agreement by 2030. Further, these interventions can provide co-benefits in the form of social and ecological outcomes. Despite growing recognition of the potential benefits, a clear characterization of the distribution and occurrence of evidence which supports linkages between different types of NbIs and outcomes for climate change mitigation, ecosystems, and people remains poorly understood.<br><br>METHODS: This systematic map assesses the evidence base on the links between NbIs and climate change mitigation, social, and ecological outcomes in tropical and subtropical terrestrial regions. We searched three bibliographic databases, 65 organization websites, and conducted backward citation chasing within 39 existing evidence syntheses to identify relevant articles. Additionally, we reached out to key informants for additional sources of evidence. We then used machine learning to rank returned results by relevance at the title and abstract stage and manually screened for inclusion using predefined criteria at the title, abstract, and full text stages. We extracted relevant meta-data from included articles using an a priori coding scheme. Lastly, we conducted a targeted, complementary search to identify relevant review and synthesis articles to provide broader context for the findings of the systematic map.<br><br>REVIEW FINDINGS: We included 948 articles in this systematic map. Most of the evidence base (56%) examined links between protection, natural resource management, and restoration interventions with changes to 'proxy' outcomes for climate change mitigation (changes to land condition, land cover, and/or land use). Other areas with high occurrence of articles included linkages between interventions within natural resource management and trees in croplands categories and changes to aboveground carbon storage and/or sequestration (17% of articles). A key knowledge gap was on measured changes in GHG emissions across all intervention types (6% of articles). Overall, articles in the evidence base did not often assess changes in co-benefits alongside direct or indirect changes for climate change mitigation (32%). In most cases, the evidence base contained studies which did not explicitly test for causal linkages using appropriate experimental or quasi-experimental designs.<br><br>CONCLUSIONS: The evidence base for NbIs is significant and growing; however, key gaps in knowledge hamper the ability to inform ongoing and future investment and implementation at scale. More comprehensive evidence is needed to support causal inference between NbIs and direct outcomes for climate change mitigation to better determine additionality, permanence, leakage, and other unintended consequences. Similarly, priorities emerging from this map include the need for coordinated and harmonized efforts to collect diverse data types to better understand whether and how other outcomes (e.g. social, ecological) of NbIs can be achieved synergistically with mitigation objectives. Understanding potential benefits and trade-offs of NbIs is particularly urgent to inform rapidly expanding carbon markets for nature.},
}
@article {pmid39294455,
year = {2024},
author = {Chen, P and Shen, C and Tao, Z and Qin, W and Huang, W and Siemann, E},
title = {Deterministic responses of biodiversity to climate change through exotic species invasions.},
journal = {Nature plants},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
pmid = {39294455},
issn = {2055-0278},
support = {31822007 and 32071660//National Natural Science Foundation of China (National Science Foundation of China)/ ; },
abstract = {Biodiversity is increasingly threatened by local extinction under global climate change. This may reflect direct effects of climate on poorly adapted native species or increased impacts of exotic species in these conditions, but their relative importance is poorly understood. By examining global occurrence records of 142 plant species found in the Yangtze River Valley, we found that the climatic niches of exotic species differed from those of natives, mainly reflecting exotics being most common in warmer, drier and more isothermal climates in their native ranges. These differences in climatic niches, especially temperature, predicted invasion intensity in 459 plots along a 1,800-km transect in the Yangtze River Valley. On the basis of this strong match between model predictions and field survey results, we predict that invasions will probably be more intense in future climatic conditions, especially from warming at the coldest sites. The direct negative effect of warming on native diversity was larger than the indirect effects mediated through increased invasions. However, moderate invasion increased communities' overall species diversity. More broadly, our study highlights the role of exotic species in the ecological response of regional biodiversity to global climate change.},
}
@article {pmid39291406,
year = {2024},
author = {Crowley, P and O'Connor, C and Power, E and Cannon, M and Cotter, D and McNicholas, F},
title = {Climate change and health: the role of health professionals.},
journal = {Irish journal of psychological medicine},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {1-3},
doi = {10.1017/ipm.2024.23},
pmid = {39291406},
issn = {2051-6967},
abstract = {Climate change is no longer a problem for future generations and the impact is already taking a toll in many parts of the world. Climate change has already caused substantial, and increasingly irreversible, damage to ecosystems. All these issues combined will inevitably lead to an increase in human suffering and forced displacement. This has significant ramifications for health care systems. In this editorial we outline how climate change is already impacting both physical and mental health. Health professionals have a role to play in addressing this great challenge of our time. Health professionals should reflect on how to promote means of climate change mitigation and adaptation within their spheres of influence - clinical, education, advocacy, administration, and research.},
}
@article {pmid39289447,
year = {2024},
author = {Szalińska, E and Orlińska-Woźniak, P and Wilk, P and Jakusik, E and Skalák, P and Wypych, A and Arnold, J},
title = {Sediment load assessments under climate change scenarios and a lack of integration between climatologists and environmental modelers.},
journal = {Scientific reports},
volume = {14},
number = {1},
pages = {21727},
pmid = {39289447},
issn = {2045-2322},
support = {IDUB No. 501.696.7996/L-34//Akademia G&#xf3;rniczo-Hutnicza im. Stanislawa Staszica/ ; },
abstract = {Increasing precipitation accelerates soil erosion and boosts sediment loads, especially in mountain catchments. Therefore, there is significant pressure to deliver plausible assessments of these phenomena on a local scale under future climate change scenarios. Such assessments are primarily drawn from a combination of climate change projections and environmental model simulations, usually performed by climatologists and environmental modelers independently. Our example shows that without communication from both groups the final results are ambiguous. Here, we estimate sediment loads delivered from a Carpathian catchment to a reservoir to illustrate how the choice of meteorological data, reference period, and model ensemble can affect final results. Differences in future loads could reach up to even 6000 tons of sediment per year. We suggest there must be a better integration between climatologists and environmental modelers, focusing on introducing multi-model ensembles targeting specific impacts to facilitate an informed choice on climate information.},
}
@article {pmid39294691,
year = {2023},
author = {Rubenstein, MA and Weiskopf, SR and Bertrand, R and Carter, SL and Comte, L and Eaton, MJ and Johnson, CG and Lenoir, J and Lynch, AJ and Miller, BW and Morelli, TL and Rodriguez, MA and Terando, A and Thompson, LM},
title = {Climate change and the global redistribution of biodiversity: substantial variation in empirical support for expected range shifts.},
journal = {Environmental evidence},
volume = {12},
number = {1},
pages = {7},
pmid = {39294691},
issn = {2047-2382},
abstract = {BACKGROUND: Among the most widely predicted climate change-related impacts to biodiversity are geographic range shifts, whereby species shift their spatial distribution to track their climate niches. A series of commonly articulated hypotheses have emerged in the scientific literature suggesting species are expected to shift their distributions to higher latitudes, greater elevations, and deeper depths in response to rising temperatures associated with climate change. Yet, many species are not demonstrating range shifts consistent with these expectations. Here, we evaluate the impact of anthropogenic climate change (specifically, changes in temperature and precipitation) on species' ranges, and assess whether expected range shifts are supported by the body of empirical evidence.<br><br>METHODS: We conducted a Systematic Review, searching online databases and search engines in English. Studies were screened in a two-stage process (title/abstract review, followed by full-text review) to evaluate whether they met a list of eligibility criteria. Data coding, extraction, and study validity assessment was completed by a team of trained reviewers and each entry was validated by at least one secondary reviewer. We used logistic regression models to assess whether the direction of shift supported common range-shift expectations (i.e., shifts to higher latitudes and elevations, and deeper depths). We also estimated the magnitude of shifts for the subset of available range-shift data expressed in distance per time (i.e., km/decade). We accounted for methodological attributes at the study level as potential sources of variation. This allowed us to answer two questions: (1) are most species shifting in the direction we expect (i.e., each observation is assessed as support/fail to support our expectation); and (2) what is the average speed of range shifts?<br><br>REVIEW FINDINGS: We found that less than half of all range-shift observations (46.60%) documented shifts towards higher latitudes, higher elevations, and greater marine depths, demonstrating significant variation in the empirical evidence for general range shift expectations. For the subset of studies looking at range shift rates, we found that species demonstrated significant average shifts towards higher latitudes (average&#x2009;=&#x2009;11.8&#xa0;km/dec) and higher elevations (average&#x2009;=&#x2009;9&#xa0;m/dec), although we failed to find significant evidence for shifts to greater marine depths. We found that methodological factors in individual range-shift studies had a significant impact on the reported direction and magnitude of shifts. Finally, we identified important variation across dimensions of range shifts (e.g., greater support for latitude and elevation shifts than depth), parameters (e.g., leading edge shifts faster than trailing edge for latitude), and taxonomic groups (e.g., faster latitudinal shifts for insects than plants).<br><br>CONCLUSIONS: Despite growing evidence that species are shifting their ranges in response to climate change, substantial variation exists in the extent to which definitively empirical observations confirm these expectations. Even though on average, rates of shift show significant movement to higher elevations and latitudes for many taxa, most species are not shifting in expected directions. Variation across dimensions and parameters of range shifts, as well as differences across taxonomic groups and variation driven by methodological factors, should be considered when assessing overall confidence in range-shift hypotheses. In order for managers to effectively plan for species redistribution, we need to better account for and predict which species will shift and by how much. The dataset produced for this analysis can be used for future research to explore additional hypotheses to better understand species range shifts.},
}
@article {pmid39294773,
year = {2022},
author = {Azra, MN and Noor, MIM and Sung, YY and Lawrence, ER and Ghaffar, MA},
title = {What evidence exists on the impact of climate change on some of the worst invasive fish and shellfish? A systematic map protocol.},
journal = {Environmental evidence},
volume = {11},
number = {1},
pages = {19},
pmid = {39294773},
issn = {2047-2382},
support = {LRGS/1/2020/UMT/01/1//Ministry of Higher Education, Malaysia/ ; LRGS UMT Vot No. 56040//Ministry of Higher Education, Malaysia/ ; 55321//Ministry of Higher Education, Malaysia/ ; },
abstract = {BACKGROUND: The Intergovernmental Science-Policy Platform on Biodiversity and Ecosystem Services (IPBES) has estimated that invasive alien species (IAS) might cause billions of dollars of losses every year across the world. One example is South-East Asia, where IAS have caused an estimated loss of 33.5 billion USD, affecting the environment, human health, and agricultural production. Factors associated with climate change, such as increased carbon dioxide (CO2), heavy precipitation, and elevated temperatures is expected to facilitate biological invasion, leading only to further financial and public health loss. Thus, further study is needed to identify, collate and categorise what evidence exists on the impacts of climate change on fish and shellfish species that contribute to the list of "One Hundred of the World's Worst Invasive Alien Species" as identified by the International Union for Conservation of Nature's (IUCN). Such mapping will identify regions more at risk of biological invasion as climate change progresses.<br><br>METHODS: We outline a systematic mapping review protocol that follows the Guideline and Standards for Evidence Synthesis in Environmental Management and RepOrting standards for Systematic Evidence Syntheses (ROSES). We describe how peer-reviewed articles will be collected from Web of Science and Scopus, and then analyzed to create knowledge maps on the impact climate change has on invasive species. Finally, we speculate on how our results will aid future management of invasive species in the light of climate change.},
}
@article {pmid39294782,
year = {2022},
author = {Ramsay, J and Sandom, C and Ings, T and Wheeler, HC},
title = {What evidence exists on the impacts of large herbivores on climate change? A systematic map protocol.},
journal = {Environmental evidence},
volume = {11},
number = {1},
pages = {14},
pmid = {39294782},
issn = {2047-2382},
abstract = {BACKGROUND: In recent years there has been an increased focus on the role of large herbivores in ecosystem restoration and climate change mitigation. There are multiple processes by which large herbivores could potentially influence climate feedback and forcing effects, but the evidence has not yet been synthesised in a systematic and accessible format. Grazing, browsing, trampling, defecation, and seed dispersal by large herbivores can influence vegetation and soils in ways that may directly or indirectly contribute to climate change or mitigation. For example, changes in vegetation could impact wildfire regimes, carbon storage, and albedo, with ultimate impacts on climate. These processes may be influenced by herbivore species composition, density, and functional traits. The main aim of this systematic map is to synthesise the range of research on climate feedback and forcing effects from large herbivores (≥ 10 kg) in terrestrial ecosystems. We also aim to identify knowledge clusters and gaps in the research base, as well as assessing the potential for quantitative analyses.<br><br>METHODS: A search of peer-reviewed and grey literature will be conducted using a range of bibliographic databases, search engines and websites. The search strategy will involve using a pre-defined search string with Boolean operators. All search results will be screened for relevance according to specific eligibility criteria. Screening will be conducted in two stages: all articles will initially be screened by title and abstract, then those that meet the eligibility criteria will be screened by full text. At both stages, articles will be excluded if they don't meet all eligibility criteria or if they meet any exclusion criteria. All articles included as eligible after full text screening will be coded. At each stage (of screening and coding) a proportion of articles will be processed independently by two reviewers to assess inter-reviewer reliability and resolve differences. The evidence will be presented in a searchable database with accompanying visual outputs. A narrative synthesis will be provided outlining the range and distribution of evidence, knowledge gaps and clusters, potential bias, and areas for further research.},
}
@article {pmid39294703,
year = {2022},
author = {Cheng, SH and Costedoat, S and Sterling, EJ and Chamberlain, C and Jagadish, A and Lichtenthal, P and Nowakowski, AJ and Taylor, A and Tinsman, J and Canty, SWJ and Holland, MB and Jones, KW and Mills, M and Morales-Hidalgo, D and Sprenkle-Hyppolite, S and Wiggins, M and Mascia, MB and Muñoz Brenes, CL},
title = {What evidence exists on the links between natural climate solutions and climate change mitigation outcomes in subtropical and tropical terrestrial regions? A systematic map protocol.},
journal = {Environmental evidence},
volume = {11},
number = {1},
pages = {15},
pmid = {39294703},
issn = {2047-2382},
abstract = {BACKGROUND: Natural climate solutions (NCS)-actions to conserve, restore, and modify natural and modified ecosystems to increase carbon storage or avoid greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions-are increasingly regarded as important pathways for climate change mitigation, while contributing to our global conservation efforts, overall planetary resilience, and sustainable development goals. Recently, projections posit that terrestrial-based NCS can potentially capture or avoid the emission of at least 11 Gt (gigatons) of carbon dioxide equivalent a year, or roughly encompassing one third of the emissions reductions needed to meet the Paris Climate Agreement goals by 2030. NCS interventions also purport to provide co-benefits such as improved productivity and livelihoods from sustainable natural resource management, protection of locally and culturally important natural areas, and downstream climate adaptation benefits. Attention on implementing NCS to address climate change across global and national agendas has grown-however, clear understanding of which types of NCS interventions have undergone substantial study versus those that require additional evidence is still lacking. This study aims to conduct a systematic map to collate and describe the current state, distribution, and methods used for evidence on the links between NCS interventions and climate change mitigation outcomes within tropical and sub-tropical terrestrial ecosystems. Results of this study can be used to inform program and policy design and highlight critical knowledge gaps where future evaluation, research, and syntheses are needed.<br><br>METHODS: To develop this systematic map, we will search two bibliographic databases (including 11 indices) and 67 organization websites, backward citation chase from 39 existing evidence syntheses, and solicit information from key informants. All searches will be conducted in English and encompass subtropical and tropical terrestrial ecosystems (forests, grasslands, mangroves, agricultural areas). Search results will be screened at title and abstract, and full text levels, recording both the number of excluded articles and reasons for exclusion. Key meta-data from included articles will be coded and reported in a narrative review that will summarize trends in the evidence base, assess gaps in knowledge, and provide insights for policy, practice, and research. The data from this systematic map will be made open access.},
}
@article {pmid39294734,
year = {2022},
author = {Azra, MN and Noor, MIM and Eales, J and Sung, YY and Ghaffar, MA},
title = {What evidence exists for the impact of climate change on the physiology and behaviour of important aquaculture marine crustacean species in Asia? A systematic map protocol.},
journal = {Environmental evidence},
volume = {11},
number = {1},
pages = {9},
pmid = {39294734},
issn = {2047-2382},
support = {Long Term Research Grant Scheme (LRGS) LRGS/1/2020/UMT/01/1//ministry of higher education malaysia/ ; LRGS UMT Vot No. 56040//ministry of higher education malaysia/ ; },
abstract = {BACKGROUND: Climate is one of the most important driving factors of future changes in terrestrial, coastal, and marine ecosystems. Any changes in these environments can significantly influence physiological and behavioural responses in aquatic animals, such as crustacea. Crustacea play an integral role as subsistence predators, prey, or debris feeders in complex food chains, and are often referred to as good indicators of polluted or stressed conditions. They also frequently have high production, consumption, and commercial significance. However, crustacean's responses to climate change are likely to vary by species, life-history stage, reproduction status and geographical distribution. This map is undertaken as part of the Long-Term Research Grant project which aims to identify any interactive effect on physiological compensation and behavioural strategy of how marine organisms, especially crustaceans, deal with stress from environmental change. Our proposed map will aim to outline the evidence currently existing for the impacts of climate change on the physiology and behaviour of important aquaculture crustacean species within Asia.<br><br>METHODS: We will document peer-reviewed articles in English using published journal articles and grey literature. Two bibliographic databases (Scopus and Web of Science) and multiple organizational websites with Google scholars will be searched. The systematic map protocol will follow in accordance with the Collaboration for Environmental Evidence Guidelines and Standards. Literature will be screened at the title, abstract, and full-text level using pre-defined inclusion criteria. The map will highlight marine crustacea physiological compensation and behavioural strategies to cope with climate change. It will also improve our knowledge of the available evidence and current gaps for future research recommendations.},
}
@article {pmid39288491,
year = {2024},
author = {Dagar, V and Rao, A and Dagher, L and Doytch, N},
title = {Climate change dynamics for global energy security and equity: Evidence from policy stringency drivers.},
journal = {Journal of environmental management},
volume = {370},
number = {},
pages = {122484},
doi = {10.1016/j.jenvman.2024.122484},
pmid = {39288491},
issn = {1095-8630},
abstract = {This study investigates the dynamic interplay between financial integration, political stability, infrastructure, and global integration in enhancing Energy Security (ES) and Energy Equity (EE) across 50 economies from 2006 to 2018. It addresses gaps in understanding how socio-economic, political, and technological factors collectively influence ES and EE during the global transition from fossil fuels to renewable energy sources. The research aims to reveal the complex relationships and potential trade-offs between energy sustainability, economic growth, and equitable energy distribution. Utilizing robust panel data methods including System GMM, Fixed Effects, and Random Effects, the study examines the impacts of various determinants on ES and EE. The dataset includes annual observations on global integration, financial integration, infrastructure quality, political stability, and other relevant metrics from diverse global sources. The findings reveal that increased financial integration significantly enhances ES by easing capital flow into energy infrastructure, which is crucial for stable energy supply chains. Political stability also positively affects ES, underscoring the importance of stable governance in sustaining energy policies. Conversely, rapid urban growth and inadequate social integration pose challenges to achieving EE, highlighting disparities in energy access worsened by urbanization. Technological advancements and digital connectivity appear as positive drivers for EE, enhancing the efficiency and distribution of energy resources. This study contributes to the literature by providing a detailed examination of how integration into global financial and political systems affects energy strategies at a national level. It offers valuable insights for policymakers on fostering environments conducive to sustainable energy development and fair energy access. The research underscores the importance of incorporating socio-economic and technological advancements in energy policy frameworks to achieve balanced growth and sustainability. Future research directions include exploring the causal relationships and long-term impacts of these factors on ES and EE, particularly in the context of evolving global energy policies and technological advancements.},
}
@article {pmid39287703,
year = {2024},
author = {Abbas, H and Ali, Z},
title = {A novel statistical framework of drought projection by improving ensemble future climate model simulations under various climate change scenarios.},
journal = {Environmental monitoring and assessment},
volume = {196},
number = {10},
pages = {938},
doi = {10.1007/s10661-024-13108-w},
pmid = {39287703},
issn = {1573-2959},
mesh = {*Droughts ; *Climate Change ; *Climate Models ; Forecasting ; Environmental Monitoring/methods ; },
abstract = {Unlike other natural disasters, drought is one of the most severe threats to all living beings globally. Due to global climate change, the frequency and duration of droughts have increased in many parts of the world. Therefore, accurate prediction and forecasting of droughts are essential for effective mitigation policies and sustainable research. In recent research, the use of ensemble global climate models (GCMs) for simulating precipitation data is common. The objective of this research is to enhance the multi-model ensemble (MME) for improving future drought characterizations. In this research, we propose the use of relative importance metric (RIM) to address collinearity effects and point-wise discrepancy weights (PWDW) in GCMs. Consequently, this paper introduces a new statistical framework for weighted ensembles called the discrepancy-enhanced beta weighting ensemble (DEBWE). DEBWE enhances the weighted ensemble data of precipitation simulated by multiple GCMs. In DEBWE, we addressed uncertainties in GCMs arising from collinearity and outliers. To evaluate the effectiveness of the proposed weighting framework, we compared its performance with the simple average multi-model ensemble (SAMME), Taylor skill score ensemble (TSSE), and mutual information ensemble (MIE). Based on the Kling-Gupta efficiency (KGE) metric, DEBWE outperforms all competitors across all evaluation criteria. These inferences are based on the analysis of historical simulated data from 22 GCMs in the CMIP6 project. The quantitative performance indicators strongly support the superiority of DEBWE. The median and mean KGE values for DEBWE are 0.2650 and 0.2429, compared to SAMME (0.1000, 0.0991), TSSE (0.2600, 0.2397), and MIE (0.1550, 0.1511). For drought assessment, we computed the adaptive standardized precipitation index (SPI) for three future scenarios: SSP1-2.6, SSP2-4.5, and SSP5-8.5. The steady-state probabilities suggest that normal drought (ND) is the most frequent condition, with extreme events (dry or wet) being less probable.},
}
@article {pmid39287075,
year = {2024},
author = {Bérubé, A and Diallo, T and Roberge, M and Audate, PP and Leblanc, N and Jobin, &#xc9; and Moubarak, N and Guillaumie, L and Dupéré, S and Guichard, A and Goupil-Sormany, I},
title = {Practicing nurses' and nursing students' perceptions of climate change: A scoping review.},
journal = {Nursing open},
volume = {11},
number = {9},
pages = {e70043},
doi = {10.1002/nop2.70043},
pmid = {39287075},
issn = {2054-1058},
support = {SAR-SR-133186//Universit&#xe9; Laval/ ; },
mesh = {*Climate Change ; Humans ; *Students, Nursing/psychology/statistics &amp; numerical data ; *Attitude of Health Personnel ; Perception ; Nurses/psychology ; },
abstract = {BACKGROUND: Human activities have significantly contributed to a persistent climate change trend, posing substantial threats to human health. Nurses regularly interact with patients experiencing the consequences of climate change, making their engagement in addressing this issue crucial. Nonetheless, our understanding of nurses' viewpoints regarding climate change remains limited.<br><br>AIM: This scoping review aims to identify practicing nurses' and nursing students' perceptions of climate change.<br><br>DESIGN: To fulfil this objective, a documentary search strategy was developed using an iterative process.<br><br>METHODS: The search strategy was tested in four bibliographic databases, as well as in the grey literature. A 2-stage selection process was conducted, and relevant data were extracted from selected articles for analysis.<br><br>RESULTS: Twenty-two scientific articles and 11 documents from nursing associations were selected. The findings suggest that while many nurses and nursing students are concerned about climate change and its effects on their patients' health, their role in addressing the climate crisis is not well understood. Many barriers such as having a heavy workload and the lack of support hindered their ability to adjust their practice in response to the changing climate. Furthermore, many expressed a need for trainings on climate change issues.<br><br>CONCLUSIONS: These results raise a great and urgent demand for these professionals to receive appropriate training to cope with climatic threats to health. Future research should focus on the development of nursing climate leadership, and healthcare organizations should support nursing initiatives and help raise nurses' awareness regarding climate change.},
}
@article {pmid39286506,
year = {2024},
author = {Tang, H and Du, L and Xia, C and Luo, J},
title = {Bridging gaps and seeding futures: A synthesis of soil salinization and the role of plant-soil interactions under climate change.},
journal = {iScience},
volume = {27},
number = {9},
pages = {110804},
pmid = {39286506},
issn = {2589-0042},
abstract = {Soil salinization, exacerbated by climate change, poses significant threats to agricultural productivity, land restoration, and ecosystem resilience. This study reviews current knowledge on plant-soil interactions as a strategy to mitigate soil salinization induced by climate change, focusing on their role in soil salinity dynamics and tolerance mechanisms. The review examines how alterations in hydrological and temperature regimes impact soil salinity and how plant-soil mechanisms-such as salt exclusion, compartmentalization, and plant-microbe interactions-contribute to salinity mitigation. This, in turn, enhances soil quality, fertility, microbial diversity, and ecosystem services. The analysis identifies a growing body of research and highlights key themes and emerging trends, including drought, microbial communities, and salt tolerance strategies. This study underscores the critical role of plant-soil interactions in sustainable salinity management and identifies knowledge gaps and future research priorities, advocating for plant-soil interactions as a crucial pathway for improving ecosystem resilience to salinity stress amid climate change.},
}
@article {pmid39286423,
year = {2024},
author = {Chaichana, T and Reeve, G and Piboonrungroj, P and Muangprathub, J and Kunno, J and Robson, MG and Drury, B},
title = {Data from a survey of coffee cultivation in lowland and highland areas to support agriculture during climate change.},
journal = {Data in brief},
volume = {56},
number = {},
pages = {110881},
pmid = {39286423},
issn = {2352-3409},
abstract = {This survey aimed to acquire and generate significant information on coffee cultivation in high and low elevations to support agriculture during climate change. This survey dataset helps understand coffee cultivation in highland and lowland areas with diverse climates and environmental conditions for coffee researchers to use this data to improve cultivation and production techniques. In the business scope, this dataset provides a critical vision on the value proposition of the coffee business to maintain conservation and wealth creation of the coffee chain. Similarly, coffee chains can use this data as an example to assess sustainability and carbon literacy. The structured interviews and field trips were conducted at coffee plantations in southern and northern Thailand. The transcript results were manually coded for thematic analysis. This dataset offers insights into anthropogenic plant migration and plant distribution for researchers and academics to use as a valuable resource and good reference in agricultural and biodiversity research. Today, agriculture faces many challenges, such as climate change, water shortage, and improper land management. This information on coffee cultivation at high and low altitudes may help others grow crops in ever-changing climates.},
}
@article {pmid39286200,
year = {2024},
author = {Bamal, A and Uddin, MG and Olbert, AI},
title = {Harnessing machine learning for assessing climate change influences on groundwater resources: A comprehensive review.},
journal = {Heliyon},
volume = {10},
number = {17},
pages = {e37073},
pmid = {39286200},
issn = {2405-8440},
abstract = {Climate change is a major concern for a range of environmental issues including water resources especially groundwater. Recent studies have reported significant impact of various climatic factors such as change in temperature, precipitation, evapotranspiration, etc. on different groundwater variables. For this, a range of tools and techniques are widely used in the literature including advanced machine learning (ML) and artificial intelligence (AI) approaches. To the best of the authors' knowledge, this review is one of the novel studies that offers an in-depth exploration of ML/AI models for evaluating climate change impact on groundwater variables. The study primarily focuses on the efficacy of various ML/AI models in forecasting critical groundwater parameters such as levels, discharge, storage, and quality under various climatic pressures like temperature and precipitation that influence these variables. A total of 65 research papers were selected for review from the year 2017-2023, providing an up-to-date exploration of the advancements in ML/AI methods for assessing the impact of climate change on various groundwater variables. It should be noted that the ML/AI model performance depends on the data attributes like data types, geospatial resolution, temporal scale etc. Moreover, depending on the research aim and objectives of the different studies along with the data availability, various sets of historical/observation data have been used in the reviewed studies Therefore, the reviewed studies considered these attributes for evaluating different ML/AI models. The results of the study highlight the exceptional ability of neural networks, random forest (RF), decision tree (DT), support vector machines (SVM) to perform exceptionally accurate in predicting water resource changes and identifying key determinants of groundwater level fluctuations. Additionally, the review emphasizes on the enhanced accuracy achieved through hybrid and ensemble ML approaches. In terms of Irish context, the study reveals significant climate change risks posing threats to groundwater quantity and quality along with limited research conducted in this avenue. Therefore, the findings of this review can be helpful for understanding the interplay between climate change and groundwater variables along with the details of the various tools and techniques including ML/AI approaches for assessing the impacts of climate changes on groundwater.},
}
@article {pmid39285134,
year = {2024},
author = {Wang, RS and Seritan, AL and Hatcher, A and Asghar-Ali, AA},
title = {The Climate Formulation: Addressing Climate Change in Mental Health Practice.},
journal = {Academic psychiatry : the journal of the American Association of Directors of Psychiatric Residency Training and the Association for Academic Psychiatry},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
pmid = {39285134},
issn = {1545-7230},
}
@article {pmid39284744,
year = {2024},
author = {Terry, TJ and Hardegree, SP and Adler, PB},
title = {Modeling cheatgrass distribution, abundance, and response to climate change as a function of soil microclimate.},
journal = {Ecological applications : a publication of the Ecological Society of America},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {e3028},
doi = {10.1002/eap.3028},
pmid = {39284744},
issn = {1051-0761},
support = {201940/WT_/Wellcome Trust/United Kingdom ; },
abstract = {Exotic annual grass invasions in water-limited systems cause degradation of native plant and animal communities and increased fire risk. The life history of invasive annual grasses allows for high sensitivity to interannual variability in weather. Current distribution and abundance models derived from remote sensing, however, provide only a coarse understanding of how species respond to weather, making it difficult to anticipate how climate change will affect vulnerability to invasion. Here, we derived germination covariates (rate sums) from mechanistic germination and soil microclimate models to quantify the favorability of soil microclimate for cheatgrass (Bromus tectorum L.) establishment and growth across 30 years at 2662 sites across the sagebrush steppe system in the western United States. Our approach, using four bioclimatic covariates alone, predicted cheatgrass distribution with accuracy comparable to previous models fit using many years of remotely-sensed imagery. Accuracy metrics from our out-of-sample testing dataset indicate that our model predicted distribution well (72% overall accuracy) but explained patterns of abundance poorly (R[2] = 0.22). Climatic suitability for cheatgrass presence depended on both spatial (mean) and temporal (annual anomaly) variation of fall and spring rate sums. Sites that on average have warm and wet fall soils and warm and wet spring soils (high rate sums during these periods) were predicted to have a high abundance of cheatgrass. Interannual variation in fall soil conditions had a greater impact on cheatgrass presence and abundance than spring conditions. Our model predicts that climate change has already affected cheatgrass distribution with suitable microclimatic conditions expanding 10%-17% from 1989 to 2019 across all aspects at low- to mid-elevation sites, while high- elevation sites (>2100 m) remain unfavorable for cheatgrass due to cold spring and fall soils.},
}
@article {pmid39284331,
year = {2024},
author = {Forsyth, C and Agudelo Higuita, NI and Hamer, SA and Ibarra-Cerdeña, CN and Valdez-Tah, A and Stigler Granados, P and Hamer, GL and Vingiello, M and Beatty, NL},
title = {Climate change and Trypanosoma cruzi transmission in North and central America.},
journal = {The Lancet. Microbe},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {100946},
doi = {10.1016/j.lanmic.2024.07.009},
pmid = {39284331},
issn = {2666-5247},
abstract = {Trypanosoma cruzi is a protozoan parasite that causes Chagas disease in humans. Transmission of T cruzi by triatomine vectors is dependent on diverse environmental and socioeconomic factors. Climate change, which is disrupting patterns of human habitation and land use, can affect the epidemiology of Chagas disease by influencing the distribution of vector and host species. We conducted a review using triatomine distribution as a proxy for T cruzi transmission in North America (Canada, Mexico, and the USA) and central America (Belize, Costa Rica, El Salvador, Guatemala, Honduras, Nicaragua, and Panama) and investigated the association of T cruzi transmission with climate change, identifying 12 relevant studies. Most studies (n=9) modelled the effect of the scenario of climate change on the distribution of relevant vector species and found that global warming could sometimes favour and sometimes hinder triatomine distribution. There is a need for more research in parasite biology and social sciences to further understand how climate change and socioeconomic factors can affect the epidemiology of this neglected tropical disease.},
}
@article {pmid39284047,
year = {2024},
author = {Murray, LT and Leibensperger, EM and Mickley, LJ and Tai, APK},
title = {Estimating future climate change impacts on human mortality and crop yields via air pollution.},
journal = {Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America},
volume = {121},
number = {39},
pages = {e2400117121},
doi = {10.1073/pnas.2400117121},
pmid = {39284047},
issn = {1091-6490},
support = {AGS-1702106//National Science Foundation (NSF)/ ; AGS-2002414//National Science Foundation (NSF)/ ; },
mesh = {*Climate Change ; *Air Pollution/analysis/adverse effects ; Humans ; *Ozone/analysis/adverse effects ; *Crops, Agricultural/growth &amp; development ; Particulate Matter/analysis/adverse effects ; Mortality/trends ; Forecasting ; },
abstract = {Future climate change may bring local benefits or penalties to surface air pollution, resulting from changing temperature, precipitation, and transport patterns, as well as changes in climate-sensitive natural precursor emissions. Here, we estimate the climate penalties and benefits at the end of this century with regard to surface ozone and fine particulate matter (PM[Formula: see text]; excluding dust and smoke) using a one-way offline coupling between a general circulation model and a global 3-D chemical-transport model. We archive meteorology for the present day (2005 to 2014) and end of this century (2090 to 2099) for seven future scenarios developed for Phase 6 of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project. The model isolates the impact of forecasted anthropogenic precursor emission changes versus that of climate-only driven changes on surface ozone and PM[Formula: see text] for scenarios ranging from extreme mitigation to extreme warming. We then relate these changes to impacts on human mortality and crop production. We find ozone penalties over nearly all land areas with increasing warming. We find net benefits due to climate-driven changes in PM[Formula: see text] in the Northern Extratropics, but net penalties in the Tropics and Southern Hemisphere, where most population growth is forecast for the coming century.},
}
@article {pmid39282127,
year = {2024},
author = {Mahmood, FM},
title = {Global warming and adverse pregnancy outcomes - the need for research and intervention.},
journal = {International journal of health sciences},
volume = {18},
number = {5},
pages = {1-3},
pmid = {39282127},
issn = {1658-3639},
}
@article {pmid39281649,
year = {2024},
author = {Tebkew, M and Asfaw, Z and Worku, A},
title = {The role of agroforestry systems for addressing climate change livelihood vulnerability of farmers of Northwestern Ethiopia.},
journal = {Heliyon},
volume = {10},
number = {17},
pages = {e36196},
pmid = {39281649},
issn = {2405-8440},
abstract = {Farmers in Ethiopia have been vulnerable to climate change in recent decades. In the face of this change, farmers have managed agroforestry systems to maintain their livelihoods. However, studies exploring the role of agroforestry in reducing household vulnerability are lacking in Northwestern Ethiopia. The objectives of the study were to (i) investigate households' livelihoods vulnerability to climate change in Northwestern Ethiopia; (iii) assess the role of agroforestry in mitigating the negative impacts of climate change on farmers livelihoods. Key informant interviews, in-depth interviews, household surveys (387), and focus group discussions were used to collect the data. Descriptive statistics, principal component analysis, the X[2]-test, and the t-test were run to analyze the data. The findings revealed that households are vulnerable to rising temperatures, rainfall variability, frost, disease and pests, erosion, hailstorms, price hikes, wildlife damage to crops, and health stress. Agroforestry non-practitioners had a higher livelihood vulnerability index (LVI) (0.42 ± 0.081) than practitioners (0.46 ± 0.079). The Livelihood Vulnerability-Intergovernmental Panel for Climate Change Index (LVI-IPCC) showed that AF non-practitioners had a higher exposure (0.58), sensitivity (0.54) index, and a lower adaptive capacity index (0.44) than the exposure (0.34), sensitivity (0.38), and adaptive capacity index (0.51) of practitioners. Plant diversity, income level and diversity, livelihood activities, social network, and food security status of farmers were improved by agroforestry. Farmers were therefore less susceptible to adverse climate shocks. Thus, the AF system could be part of future adaptation and resilience programs that provide dependable tools to minimize households' vulnerability to climate shocks. However, management guidelines, such as understanding local ecosystems, setting clear objectives, choosing suitable species, planning for diversity, considering the market, and regular maintenance and monitoring, are needed for agroforestry to improve its contribution.},
}
@article {pmid39279888,
year = {2024},
author = {Barcellos Madeira Rosa, Y and Tamanini Silva Moschen, H and Loss, AC and Cardoso da Silva, TC and Brioschi Dos Santos, AP and Caetano Pimenta, B and Nunes Zordan, JS and Cerutti Junior, C and Espinosa Barbosa Miranda, A and Drumond Louro, I and Dummer Meira, D and Vicente, CR},
title = {Climate change impacts on dengue transmission areas in Espírito Santo state, Brazil.},
journal = {Oxford open immunology},
volume = {5},
number = {1},
pages = {iqae011},
pmid = {39279888},
issn = {2633-6960},
abstract = {Espírito Santo state, in Brazil, is a dengue-endemic region predicted to suffer from an increase in temperature and drought due to climate change, which could affect the areas with active dengue virus transmission. The study objective was modeling climatic factors and climate change effects in zones suitable for dengue virus transmission in Espírito Santo state, Brazil. Data on dengue reports from 2022 were used to determine climatic variables related to spatial distribution. The climate change projections were generated for the 2030s, 2050s, 2070s, and 2090s for three distinct Shared Socioeconomic Pathways: SSP1-2.6, SSP2-4.5 and SSP5-8.5. A maximum entropy algorithm was used to construct the three models and projections, and the results were used to calculate the ensemble mean. Isothermality, the maximum temperature of the warmest month, precipitation of the wettest month, precipitation of the warmest quarter, and annual precipitation impacted the model. Projections indicated a change in areas suitable for dengue virus transmission, varying from -30.44% in the 2070s (SSP1-2.6) to +13.07% in the 2070s (SSP5-8.5) compared to 2022. The coastal regions were consistently suitable in all scenarios. Urbanized and highly populated areas were predicted to persist with active dengue transmission in Espírito Santo state, posing challenges for public health response.},
}
@article {pmid39279795,
year = {2024},
author = {Wang, WH and Peng, SL and Shu, H and Fu, X and Ye, XY},
title = {Potential adaptive habitats for the narrowly distributed and rare bamboo species Chimonobambusa tumidissinoda J. R. Xue &amp; T. P. Yi ex Ohrnb. under future climate change in China.},
journal = {Ecology and evolution},
volume = {14},
number = {9},
pages = {e70314},
pmid = {39279795},
issn = {2045-7758},
abstract = {The global climate change has resulted in substantial modifications to the distribution patterns of narrowly distributed species across different time periods, leading to an imminent threat to the survival of some vulnerable species. Chimonobambusa tumidissinoda J. R. Xue &amp; T. P. Yi ex Ohrnb., a bamboo species endemic to the transition zone from the Yunnan-Guizhou Plateau to the Sichuan Basin with high economic and ecological value, exhibits a limited range and rarity. Utilizing eight environmental variables and 56 occurrence records, we employed the MaxEnt model to predict the potential distribution range of C. tumidissinoda under current and future climate scenarios. The findings revealed that precipitation of the driest month (Bio14), elevation and isothermality (Bio3) were the crucial factors determining the species' distribution, accounting for 31.24%, 28.27% and 17.24% of data variability, respectively. The distribution centroid of C. tumidissinoda is anticipated to shift towards higher latitudes in response to future climate change, and the projected habitat suitability is expected to expand under ssp245 and ssp585 scenarios while remaining unchanged or contracting under the ssp126 scenario. Despite these expansions, the suitable habitats remain limited, with the largest being approximately 2.08 × 10[4] km[2], indicating a significant threat to its survival. Our study provides insights into the adaptive responses of C. tumidissinoda to climate change, enriching scientific knowledge for developing effective conservation measurements as well as sustainable utilization.},
}
@article {pmid39278492,
year = {2024},
author = {Qu, J and Qin, G and Huang, H and Ma, S and Lin, Q and Zhang, Z},
title = {Redistribution of vocal snapping shrimps under climate change.},
journal = {The Science of the total environment},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {176191},
doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.176191},
pmid = {39278492},
issn = {1879-1026},
abstract = {A variety of marine organisms can produce sounds that are important components of the marine soundscape and play a critical role in maintaining marine biodiversity. Climate change has greatly altered the geographical ranges of many marine species, including sound-producing organisms. However, the direction and the magnitude of the potential impact of climate change on the geographical distribution of sound-producing marine organisms in future remain largely unknown. To address this knowledge gap, we selected snapping shrimp, one of the most well-known marine sound-producing organisms, as a model species and explored their redistribution under climate change via species distribution models. We aimed to predict the redistribution of snapping shrimps under climate change and identify the influencing factors, which have important implications for marine conservation. Our models exhibited good discrimination abilities and identified maximum temperature as the most influential predictor of snapping shrimp distribution. Model predictions suggested that species richness is higher in tropical and temperate coastal waters and peaks in the Indo-Pacific region. The majority of snapping shrimp species are expected to respond to the changing climate by shifting their geographical ranges to deeper waters and higher latitudes. Our results showed that, in the future, high-latitude species were more likely to experience range expansion, whereas low-latitude species might experience range contraction. Moreover, the Central Indo-Pacific are predicted to suffer the biggest decline in species richness, whereas areas such as the coastal waters of southern Australia and northern China might serve as climate refuges for snapping shrimps in the future. In summary, this study highlights the potential effects of climate change on the distribution of sound-producing snapping shrimps, which may result in cascading effects on marine ecosystems.},
}
@article {pmid39278183,
year = {2024},
author = {Çelik Eren, D and Kabataş Yıldız, M},
title = {Is climate change awareness a predictor of anxiety among nursing students?: A cross-sectional study.},
journal = {Nurse education today},
volume = {143},
number = {},
pages = {106390},
doi = {10.1016/j.nedt.2024.106390},
pmid = {39278183},
issn = {1532-2793},
abstract = {BACKGROUND: Determining the climate change anxiety and awareness of student nurses, who will provide health services in various parts of the world after the borders are removed, is important in combating climate change.<br><br>OBJECTIVES: The study aims to assess whether nursing students' climate change awareness is a predictor of climate change anxiety.<br><br>DESIGN: This research adopts a descriptive cross-sectional study design.<br><br>PARTICIPANTS: The population of the study consisted of a total of 562 students studying in the nursing department of a state university. 419 students were included in study.<br><br>METHODS: Data were gathered from 419 students enrolled in the nursing department of a university during the fall semester of 2022-2023, employing online questionnaires via Google Forms from January to March 2023. The research instrument comprised three parts: a Descriptive Information Form developed in line with the literature, the Global Climate Change Awareness Scale, and the Climate Change Anxiety Scale. SPSS 20.0 software was used for data analysis. The study obtained ethical committee approval, institutional permissions, and participant consent.<br><br>RESULTS: Findings indicated that nursing students' mean Global Climate Change Awareness Scale total score was 59.06&#xa0;&#xb1;&#xa0;15.78, Climate Change Anxiety Scale total score was determined to be 21.27&#xa0;&#xb1;&#xa0;8.75. A moderate positive relationship was identified between global climate change awareness and climate change anxiety levels among nursing students (r&#xa0;=&#xa0;0.304, p&#xa0;<&#xa0;0.05). Furthermore, the study revealed that the participants' awareness of global climate change served as a predictor for their anxiety levels.<br><br>CONCLUSION: The climate change awareness of nursing students significantly influences their levels of anxiety related to climate change. Integrating climate change awareness into nursing education is quite important and necessary. This can empower future nurses to be more prepared and effective in a changing world.},
}
@article {pmid39277804,
year = {2024},
author = {Kraft, C and Bühren, C and Wicker, P},
title = {The correlates of environmental initiatives in sports organizations with climate change attitudes and subjective well-being.},
journal = {Journal of public health (Oxford, England)},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1093/pubmed/fdae261},
pmid = {39277804},
issn = {1741-3850},
abstract = {BACKGROUND: To recognize the interplay between climate change and public health, this study examines the impact of sports organizations' environmental initiatives on members' subjective well-being (SWB) and climate change attitudes (CCA). Drawing on the theoretical tenets of pro-social behavior, organizational initiatives aiming at protecting and improving the natural environment can be viewed as altruistic. This altruism can in turn increase SWB.<br><br>METHODS: The analysis uses survey data from the 2022 Eurobarometer, including 27 European countries and 6311 members of different types of sports organizations. Seemingly unrelated regression models were employed to assess the associations of various environmental initiatives with members' SWB and CCA.<br><br>RESULTS: The total number of initiatives and specific initiatives, such as promoting green energy and waste reduction, are positively correlated with members' CCA. However, there is no effect on SWB.<br><br>CONCLUSION: Organizational environmental initiatives may shape members' attitudes towards climate change but do not seem to affect their SWB. This would suggest that environmental protection does not come at the expense of SWB. Thus, sports organizations represent a context to promote environmental protection along with public health.},
}
@article {pmid39276653,
year = {2024},
author = {Vercambre, G and Mirás-Avalos, JM and Juillion, P and Moradzadeh, M and Plenet, D and Valsesia, P and Memah, MM and Launay, M and Lesniak, V and Cheviron, B and Genard, M and Lescourret, F},
title = {Analyzing the impacts of climate change on ecosystem services provided by apple orchards in Southeast France using a process-based model.},
journal = {Journal of environmental management},
volume = {370},
number = {},
pages = {122470},
doi = {10.1016/j.jenvman.2024.122470},
pmid = {39276653},
issn = {1095-8630},
abstract = {We know that fruit production, especially in the Mediterranean, will need to adapt to climate change to ensure the sustainability of fruit tree-based agroecosystems. However, there is a lack of evidence on the long-term effects of this change on sustainability indicators. To fill this gap, we used a fruit tree model, QualiTree, to analyze the impacts ofclimate change on the ecosystem services provided by apple orchards in south-eastern France. To do this, a blooming model was parameterized to simulate blooming date on the basis of climate data, and QualiTree was supplemented with a model of nitrogen processes in the tree and a soil module describing resource input (irrigation, mineral and organic fertilization), transfer in the soil (water and nitrogen) and metabolic transformation-immobilization (mineralization, (de)nitrification). This type of extension makes it possible to simulate a wide array of ecosystem services, including C sequestration, nitrate leaching and nitrous oxide emissions. The model was compared with data from an apple orchard in southeastern France. The predicted daily mean and variability over time of fruit growth, composition and soil water content were consistent with observed data. QualiTree was then used to assess the potential impacts of climate change on the ecosystem services supplied by apple orchards. For this purpose, weather variables from 2020 to 2100 were generated for three contrasted greenhouse gas emission scenarios, and simulations were performed under two irrigation schemes (no restriction and restricted use of water). Model outputs indicated that, on average, marketable apple yields would increase until 2050 and then subsequently decrease. The fruit refractometric index, an indicator of fruit quality, was projected to sharply decrease with the intensity of climate change. Ecosystem services such as C sequestration by the orchard will decrease with climate change severity, mainly due to a higher mineralization of soil humus, whereas N2O emissions will increase with larger denitrification rates. Soil water availability, fertility, drainage and leaching were predicted to depend more on the irrigation strategy than on climate change severity. The new functions performed in QualiTree broadened its predictive capabilities and allowed for a better understanding of ecosystem service delivery in fruit orchards under varying climate conditions.},
}
@article {pmid39273931,
year = {2024},
author = {Angelotti, F and Hamada, E and Bettiol, W},
title = {A Comprehensive Review of Climate Change and Plant Diseases in Brazil.},
journal = {Plants (Basel, Switzerland)},
volume = {13},
number = {17},
pages = {},
pmid = {39273931},
issn = {2223-7747},
abstract = {Analyzing the impacts of climate change on phytosanitary problems in Brazil is crucial due to the country's special role in global food security as one of the largest producers of essential commodities. This review focuses on the effects of climate change on plant diseases and discusses its main challenges in light of Brazil's diverse agricultural landscape. To assess the risk of diseases caused by fungi, bacteria, viruses, oomycetes, nematodes, and spiroplasms, we surveyed 304 pathosystems across 32 crops of economic importance from 2005 to 2022. Results show that diseases caused by fungi account for 79% of the pathosystems evaluated. Predicting the occurrence of diseases in a changing climate is a complex challenge, and the continuity of this work is strategic for Brazil's agricultural defense. The future risk scenarios analyzed here aim to help guide disease mitigation for cropping systems. Despite substantial progress and ongoing efforts, further research will be needed to effectively prevent economic and environmental damage.},
}
@article {pmid39273838,
year = {2024},
author = {Rajan, P and Natraj, P and Kim, M and Lee, M and Jang, YJ and Lee, YJ and Kim, SC},
title = {Climate Change Impacts on and Response Strategies for Kiwifruit Production: A Comprehensive Review.},
journal = {Plants (Basel, Switzerland)},
volume = {13},
number = {17},
pages = {},
pmid = {39273838},
issn = {2223-7747},
support = {PJ01508101//This work was carried out with the support of "Cooperative Research Program for Agriculture Science and Technology Development (Project No. PJ01508101)" Rural Development Administration, Republic of Korea. This study was supported by 2024 the RDA Fellowsh/ ; },
abstract = {Climate change, a pressing global concern, poses significant challenges to agricultural systems worldwide. Among the myriad impacts of climate change, the cultivation of kiwifruit trees (Actinidia spp.) faces multifaceted challenges. In this review, we delve into the intricate effects of climate change on kiwifruit production, which span phenological shifts, distributional changes, physiological responses, and ecological interactions. Understanding these complexities is crucial for devising effective adaptation and mitigation strategies to safeguard kiwifruit production amidst climate variability. This review scrutinizes the influence of rising global temperatures, altered precipitation patterns, and a heightened frequency of extreme weather events on the regions where kiwifruits are cultivated. Additionally, it delves into the ramifications of changing climatic conditions on kiwifruit tree physiology, phenology, and susceptibility to pests and diseases. The economic and social repercussions of climate change on kiwifruit production, including yield losses, livelihood impacts, and market dynamics, are thoroughly examined. In response to these challenges, this review proposes tailored adaptation and mitigation strategies for kiwifruit cultivation. This includes breeding climate-resilient kiwifruit cultivars of the Actinidia species that could withstand drought and high temperatures. Additional measures would involve implementing sustainable farming practices like irrigation, mulching, rain shelters, and shade management, as well as conserving soil and water resources. Through an examination of the literature, this review showcases the existing innovative approaches for climate change adaptation in kiwifruit farming. It concludes with recommendations for future research directions aimed at promoting the sustainability and resilience of fruit production, particularly in the context of kiwifruit cultivation, amid a changing climate.},
}
@article {pmid39273821,
year = {2024},
author = {Provenzi, L and Ovalles Gomez, MA and Frassone, S and Pilo, C and Angiolini, E and Barello, S},
title = {Climate Change Challenge Faced by Italian Children: A Nationwide Study.},
journal = {Healthcare (Basel, Switzerland)},
volume = {12},
number = {17},
pages = {},
pmid = {39273821},
issn = {2227-9032},
support = {Triplepact SRL//Triplepact SRL/ ; Ricerca Corrente 2022-2024//Ministero della Salute/ ; },
abstract = {Climate change threatens environmental stability and human health, with limited research on younger children's perceptions. This study examines Italian primary school children's views on climate change to guide educational and policy strategies. Surveying 973 children (5-11 years) from different regions, findings showed high awareness (93%) and concern (63%) about climate change. Regional differences indicated greater concern in the south. Gender disparities revealed females were more concerned and experienced more sleep difficulties. Younger children had stronger emotional responses, while older ones showed increased pro-environmental behaviors. Despite moderate self-confidence in effecting change, a strong sense of responsibility and trust in adults was prevalent. These results highlight the need for early, continuous climate education tailored to regional, age, and gender-specific needs. Addressing children's views on climate change can help educators and policymakers foster resilience and proactive attitudes, supporting the development of informed and engaged future stewards of the planet.},
}
@article {pmid39272262,
year = {2024},
author = {Luo, Y and Xu, J and Zhang, X and Hou, Y},
title = {Predicting the Impact of Climate Change on the Selection of Reintroduction Sites for the South China Tiger (Panthera tigris amoyensis) in China.},
journal = {Animals : an open access journal from MDPI},
volume = {14},
number = {17},
pages = {},
pmid = {39272262},
issn = {2076-2615},
support = {PT252022023//Jin Xu/ ; },
abstract = {The South China tiger (Panthera tigris amoyensis) is a tiger subspecies unique to China and one of the top ten endangered species in the world. It used to play an important role in the overall function of the ecosystem. This study rationally screened out key prey species of the South China tiger-the Chinese serow, Chinese goral, tufted deer, water deer, Chinese muntjac, red muntjac, sambar deer, and wild boar. Candidate sites for the rewilding and reintroduction of the South China tiger were derived by exploring changes in suitable habitats for the prey using the MaxEnt model. The results show that: (1) by 2070, except for the high-suitability areas of water deer and Chinese muntjac, the areas of suitable habitats for the other six prey species would all have decreased significantly; (2) the location of the high-suitability area of the South China tiger obtained by superimposing the suitable areas of the eight prey species would be almost stable in 2050 and 2070, but the habitat index of some high- and medium-suitability areas would decrease and turn into low-suitability areas; (3) the core candidate sites were 83,415 km[2] in total, of which 25,630 km[2] overlapped with existing protected areas, accounting for 30.7% of the core candidate sites, and the remaining 69.3% of the core candidate sites were mostly distributed around the protected areas; (4) the maximum core candidate site area was projected to be 10,000 km[2] by 2070, which could support a small population of 23 male tigers and 66 female tigers to survive and reproduce in the wild. This study revealed the core candidate sites for the rewilding of South China tigers and estimated the number of tigers that could be reintroduced to these areas, providing a preliminary research basis for promoting the rewilding of South China tigers in China.},
}
@article {pmid39270865,
year = {2024},
author = {Zhao, C and Liu, Z and Wang, H and Dai, X and Meng, S and Fu, X and Jiang, Q and Lv, W and Chen, J and Gao, D},
title = {Increased global warming potential during freeze-thaw cycle is primarily due to the contribution of N2O rather than CO2.},
journal = {The Science of the total environment},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {176232},
doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.176232},
pmid = {39270865},
issn = {1879-1026},
abstract = {While freeze-thaw cycle (FTC) can influence greenhouse gas emissions, the specific greenhouse gas that responds most strongly to FTC, as well as the underlying mechanisms, remain unclear. Here, we conducted a meta-analysis to explore the responses of global warming potential (GWP) and the fluxes of CO2 and N2O to FTC. Our results showed that FTC treatment significantly increased GWP, N2O flux, cumulative GWP, and cumulative N2O emissions by 23.1 %, 53.2 %, 14.5 %, and 164.6 %, respectively, but did not affect CO2 flux, indicating that the enhanced GWP during the FTC period may be primarily due to the contribution of N2O flux rather than CO2 flux. The responses of GWP (+68.6 %), CO2 (21.0 %), and N2O fluxes (136.3 %) in croplands was higher than those in other ecosystems, exhibiting a strong dependence on ecosystem types. The effect size of FTC treatment on greenhouse gas emissions escalated with decreasing freezing temperature and diminished with increasing FTC frequency. Moreover, mean annual temperature (MAT) and FTC patterns were key factors influencing GWP during the FTC period. These findings provide critical insights into the variations in greenhouse gas emissions due to FTC and its influencing factors, allowing for more accurate predictions of the future impact of global climate change on GWP.},
}
@article {pmid39270337,
year = {2024},
author = {Yamane, M and Honda, H and Murata, M and Kawaguchi, T and Ishikawa, Y},
title = {Global-SHANEL Asia model predicting chemical concentration in rivers with high spatio-temporal resolution, suitable for climate change scenarios.},
journal = {Journal of environmental management},
volume = {370},
number = {},
pages = {122335},
doi = {10.1016/j.jenvman.2024.122335},
pmid = {39270337},
issn = {1095-8630},
abstract = {Assessing the concentrations of various chemicals in river water is critical for ensuring global environmental sustainability. There is an increasing need to assess water risks in southeast Asia due to the increasing chemical pollution associated with the rapid economic growth and abnormal weather. Although AIST-SHANEL, a model for analyzing chemical concentrations in river water based on the characteristics of individual rivers and meteorological conditions, is useful for assessing the water risks, this model currently only applies to Japanese rivers due to the lack of global data. To facilitate the high-spatio-temporal-resolution exposure assessment for aquatic organisms systems in southeast Asia, we built a Global-SHANEL Asia model (expanded model of the AIST-SHANEL) by collecting and processing open geospatial and meteorological data in Asia. Estimated river flow rates and concentrations of linear alkyl benzenesulfonic acid (LAS) were compared to measured values. Our model precisely estimated the seasonal variation of flow rates related to weather changes and predicted LAS concentrations at a practical level (within one order of magnitude). The model visualizes the overall distribution of LAS concentrations in southeast Asia and identifies hotspots where chemical concentrations could increase. The model visualizes the chemical distribution across countries to facilitate risk assessments for chemical pollution in future climate change and population projections. The model identifies chemical pollution and aids decision-making to promote environmental sustainability.},
}
@article {pmid39268690,
year = {2024},
author = {Bede-Fazekas, &#xc1; and Somodi, I},
title = {Precipitation and temperature timings underlying bioclimatic variables rearrange under climate change globally.},
journal = {Global change biology},
volume = {30},
number = {9},
pages = {e17496},
doi = {10.1111/gcb.17496},
pmid = {39268690},
issn = {1365-2486},
support = {NKFIH-471-3/2021//National Multidisciplinary Laboratory for Climate Change/ ; RRF-2.3.1-21-2022-00014//National Multidisciplinary Laboratory for Climate Change/ ; SA-64/2021//E&#xf6;tv&#xf6;s Lor&#xe1;nd Research Network, Hungary/ ; J&#xe1;nos Bolyai Research Scholarship//Hungarian Academy of Sciences/ ; },
mesh = {*Climate Change ; *Rain ; *Temperature ; Climate Models ; Time Factors ; },
abstract = {Modeling how climate change may affect the potential distribution of species and communities typically utilizes bioclimatic variables. Distribution predictions rely on the values of the bioclimatic variable (e.g., precipitation of the wettest quarter). However, the ecological meaning of most of these variables depends strongly on the within-year position of a specific climate period (SCP), for example, the wettest quarter of the year, which is often overlooked. Our aim was to determine how the within-year position of the SCPs would shift (SCP shift) in reaction to climate change in a global context. We calculated the deviations of the future within-year position of the SCPs relative to the reference period. We used four future time periods, four scenarios, and four CMIP6 global climate models (GCMs) to provide an ensemble of expectations regarding SCP shifts and locate the spatial hotspots of the shifts. Also, the size and frequency of the SCP shifts were subjected to linear models to evaluate the importance of the impact modeler's decision on time period, scenario, and GCM. We found ample examples of SCP shifts exceeding 2 months, with 6-month shifts being predicted as well. Many areas in the tropics are expected to experience both temperature and precipitation-related shifts, but precipitation-related shifts are abundantly predicted for the temperate and arctic zones as well. The combined shifts at the Equator reinforce the likelihood of the emergence of no-analogue climates there. The shifts become more pronounced as time and scenario progress, while GCMs could not be ranked in a clear order in this respect. For most SCPs, the modeler's decision on the GCM was the least important, while the choice of time period was typically more important than the choice of scenario. Future predictive distribution models should account for SCP shifts and incorporate the phenomenon in the modeling efforts.},
}
@article {pmid39270329,
year = {2024},
author = {Fox, TP and Raka, YP and Smith, K and Harrison, JF},
title = {Mesocosm Studies Suggest Climate Change May Release Aedes aegypti (Diptera: Culicidae) Larvae from Cold Inhibition and Enable Year-Round Development in a Desert City.},
journal = {Ecological and evolutionary physiology},
volume = {97},
number = {4},
pages = {250-261},
doi = {10.1086/731710},
pmid = {39270329},
issn = {2993-7973},
mesh = {Animals ; *Aedes/physiology/growth &amp; development ; *Larva/physiology/growth &amp; development ; *Seasons ; *Cold Temperature ; *Climate Change ; Arizona ; Desert Climate ; Cities ; },
abstract = {AbstractGlobal warming trends, human-assisted transport, and urbanization have allowed poleward expansion of many tropical vector species, but the specific mechanisms responsible for thermal mediation of range changes and ecological success of invaders remain poorly understood. Aedes aegypti (Diptera: Culicidae) is a tropical mosquito currently expanding into many higher-latitude regions, including the urban desert region of Maricopa County, Arizona. Here, adult populations virtually disappear in winter and spring and then increase exponentially through summer and fall, indicating that winter conditions remain a barrier to the development of some life stages of A. aegypti. To determine whether cold limits the winter development of A. aegypti larvae in Maricopa County, we surveyed for larval abundance and tested their capacity to develop in ambient and warmed conditions. Aedes aegypti larvae were not observed in artificial aquatic habitats in winter and spring but were abundant in summer and fall, suggesting winter suppression of adults, larvae, or both. Water temperatures in winter months fluctuated strongly; larvae were usually cold paralyzed at night but active during the day. Despite daytime temperatures that allowed activity and achieving similar degree-days as warmed mesocosms, larvae reared under ambient winter conditions were unable to develop to adulthood, perhaps due to repetitive cold damage. However, warming average temperature by 1.7°C allowed many larvae to successfully develop to adults. Because daytime highs in winter will often allow adult flight, it is likely that relatively minor additional winter warming may allow A. aegypti populations to develop and reproduce year-round in Maricopa County.},
}
@article {pmid39267332,
year = {2024},
author = {Fernández Salgueiro, M and Cernuda Martínez, JA and Gan, RK and Arcos González, P},
title = {Climate change and antibiotic resistance: A scoping review.},
journal = {Environmental microbiology reports},
volume = {16},
number = {5},
pages = {e70008},
doi = {10.1111/1758-2229.70008},
pmid = {39267332},
issn = {1758-2229},
mesh = {*Climate Change ; *Anti-Bacterial Agents/pharmacology ; Ecosystem ; Drug Resistance, Microbial/genetics ; Humans ; Bacteria/drug effects/genetics/classification/isolation &amp; purification ; Drug Resistance, Bacterial ; Temperature ; },
abstract = {This scoping review aimed to investigate the potential association between climate change and the rise of antibiotic resistance while also exploring the elements of climate change that may be involved. A scoping review was performed following the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses extension for Scoping Reviews, comprehensively searching scientific literature up to 31 January 2024. Multiple databases were utilized, including MEDLINE, Web of Science and SCOPUS. Various search strategies were employed, and selection criteria were established to include articles relevant to antibiotic resistance and climate change. The review included 30 selected articles published predominantly after 2019. Findings from these studies collectively suggest that rising temperatures associated with climate change can contribute to the proliferation of antibiotic resistance, affecting diverse ecosystems. This phenomenon is observed in soil, glaciers, rivers and clinical settings. Rising temperatures are associated with a rise in the prevalence of antibiotic resistance across various environments, raising concerns for global health. However, these studies provide valuable insights but do not establish a definitive causal link between environmental temperature and antibiotic resistance. The selective pressure exerted by antibiotics and their residues in ecosystems further complicates the issue.},
}
@article {pmid39268056,
year = {2024},
author = {Gerber, Z and Anaki, D},
title = {The impact of death priming on climate change denial: a preliminary investigation.},
journal = {F1000Research},
volume = {13},
number = {},
pages = {737},
pmid = {39268056},
issn = {2046-1402},
mesh = {*Climate Change ; Humans ; *Denial, Psychological ; Male ; Female ; Adult ; Attitude to Death ; Young Adult ; Adaptation, Psychological ; },
abstract = {BACKGROUND: Climate change denial (CCD) has been found to be more pronounced among individuals with a conservative political orientation. Terror Management Theory posits that an individual's worldview serves as a primary defense mechanism in coping with existential threats, such as the reality of climate change. Drawing on these premises, we conducted preliminary research investigating the impact of death priming on CCD from the Terror management theory perspective.<br><br>METHODS AND RESULTS: We administered a death priming task and measured CCD in its immediate wake or following a delay task. We confirmed among 219 Amazon's MTurk participants that immediately following death priming, CCD was reduced among all participants. In the delayed death priming condition, we acquired preliminary evidence that CCD was heightened among Republican participants.<br><br>CONCLUSIONS: These findings demonstrate the relevance of death priming to CCD tendencies and potentially spawn future research regarding CCD as a particular form of coping with existential threats.},
}
@article {pmid39267692,
year = {2024},
author = {Bush, SE and Waller, MM and Davis, KM and Clayton, SF and Clayton, DH},
title = {Birds in arid regions have depauperate louse communities: Climate change implications?.},
journal = {Ecology and evolution},
volume = {14},
number = {9},
pages = {e70280},
pmid = {39267692},
issn = {2045-7758},
abstract = {Environmental factors such as temperature and humidity influence the distribution of free-living organisms. As climates change, the distributions of these organisms change along with their associated parasites, mutualists and commensals. Less studied, however, is the possibility that environmental conditions may directly influence the distribution of these symbionts even if the hosts are able to persist in altered environments. Here, we investigate the diversity of parasitic lice (Insecta: Phthiraptera) on birds in arid Utah compared to the humid Bahamas. We quantified the parasite loads of 500 birds. We found that the prevalence, abundance and richness of lice was considerably lower among birds in Utah, compared to the Bahamas, despite sampling greater host taxonomic richness in Utah. Our data suggest that as climates change, birds in arid regions will have less diverse louse communities over time, potentially relieving birds of some of the cost of controlling these ectoparasites. Conversely, birds in more humid regions will see an increase in louse diversity, which may require them to invest more time and energy in anti-parasite defense. Additional research with other ectoparasites of birds and mammals across different environmental conditions is needed to more fully understand how climate change may reshape parasite communities, and how these changes could influence their hosts.},
}
@article {pmid39265690,
year = {2024},
author = {Wu, Z and Wang, W and Zhu, W and Zhang, P and Chang, R and Wang, G},
title = {Shrub ecosystem structure in response to anthropogenic climate change: A global synthesis.},
journal = {The Science of the total environment},
volume = {953},
number = {},
pages = {176202},
doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.176202},
pmid = {39265690},
issn = {1879-1026},
abstract = {Anthropogenic warming is predicted to alter ecological boundaries in energy-limited shrub ecosystems. Yet we still lack a sound understanding of the structural changes that shrub ecosystems are undergoing on a global scale and the factors driving them. To that end, here we collected studies of shrub dynamics from 227 sites worldwide to conduct a quantitative review, including the rate of advancing shrubline (their upslope shift), the rates of shrub cover and recruitment changes. Our results revealed that shrub expanded (e.g. shrubline shifts, shrub cover and recruitment increase) at the vast majority of sites (84 %); in contrast, they remained stable in 10 % of sites and descended at just 6 % of them. The mean global shift rate of shrubline was 1.22 m/year, being significantly faster in subarctic (> 60°N) than temperate (< 60°N) regions, and likewise more quickly in wet (total annual precipitation >400 mm) than dry (total annual precipitation <400 mm) areas; the annual change rates of shrub cover and recruitment increased by 0.89 % and 2.02 %. Shrubs communities have expanded rapidly in response to ongoing climate warming. The combination of autumn precipitation and winter temperature largely contributed to the general shift rates of shrubline, while the shrub cover and recruitment were mainly affected by summer temperature and precipitation in both spring and autumn. Furthermore, the site-specific pace of their expansion probably depends on a combination of local climatic and non-climatic drivers (such as fine-scale environmental conditions, disturbance, their interactions, and dispersal limitation). The increase of shrub distribution may alter the function and albedo of the ecosystems at high-latitude and -elevation regions, resulting in the feedback on climate.},
}
@article {pmid39265675,
year = {2024},
author = {Twumasi-Ankrah, MJ and Zhan, J and Asamoah, EF},
title = {Mapping ecoregional vulnerability to climate change for Africa.},
journal = {The Science of the total environment},
volume = {953},
number = {},
pages = {176219},
doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.176219},
pmid = {39265675},
issn = {1879-1026},
abstract = {African ecosystems are expected to be significantly affected by climate change, making it crucial to understand these changes for effective management. We provide a framework and application to assess ecoregional vulnerability to climate change, considering environmental exposure, sensitivity, and adaptive capacity. We assessed environmental exposure using projections for consecutive dry days, precipitation, and temperature changes. Sensitivity was determined based on forest fragmentation and grassland degradation. Adaptive capacity was represented by protected areas network and biodiversity intactness. These factors were combined to create overall vulnerability index and specific categories to guide management decisions. Under the SSP5 8.5 scenario, 16 % of ecoregions will be highly impacted by 2050, with vulnerable areas emerging in Montane forest-grassland and flooded savanna. Impacted ecoregions are disproportionately biodiverse. By intersecting the likely climate impacts and adaptive capacity, we highlight where conservation actions are needed to enhance the resilience of ecoregions to climate change.},
}
@article {pmid39264835,
year = {2024},
author = {Diehl, N and Laeseke, P and Bartsch, I and Bligh, M and Buck-Wiese, H and Hehemann, JH and Niedzwiedz, S and Plag, N and Karsten, U and Shan, T and Bischof, K},
title = {Photoperiod and temperature interactions drive the latitudinal distribution of Laminaria hyperborea (Laminariales, Phaeophyceae) under climate change.},
journal = {Journal of phycology},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1111/jpy.13497},
pmid = {39264835},
issn = {1529-8817},
support = {869154//This study was conducted in the frame of the project FACE-IT (The Future of Arctic Coastal Ecosystems - Identifying Transitions in Fjord Systems and Adjacent Coastal Areas). FACE-IT has received funding from the European Union's Horizon 2020 research and innovation programme under grant agreement/ ; GR5088/2-1//Deutsche Forschungsgemeinschaft/ ; },
abstract = {Due to global rises in temperature, recent studies predict marine species shifting toward higher latitudes. We investigated the impact of interacting abiotic drivers on the distribution potential of the temperate kelp Laminaria hyperborea. The ecosystem engineering species is widespread along European coasts but has not yet been observed in the High Arctic, although it can survive several months of low temperatures and darkness. To investigate its ability to extend northward in future, we conducted a long-term multifactorial experiment with sporophytes from Porsangerfjorden, Norway-close to the species' documented northernmost distribution margin. The samples were exposed to three different photoperiods (PolarDay, LongDay, and PolarNight) at 0°C, 5°C, and 10°C for 3 months. Optimum quantum yield of photosynthesis (Fv/Fm), dry weight, pigments, phlorotannins, and storage carbohydrates were monitored. Both physiological and biochemical parameters revealed that L. hyperborea was strongly influenced by the different photoperiods and their interaction with temperature, while temperature alone exerted only minor effects. The Fv/Fm data were integrated into a species distribution model to project a possible northward expansion of L. hyperborea. The combination of extended day lengths and low temperatures appeared to be the limiting reason for northward spread of L. hyperborea until recently. However, with water temperatures reaching 10°C in summer, this kelp will be able to thrive also in the High Arctic. Moreover, no evidence of stress to Arctic winter warming was observed. Consequently, L. hyperborea has a high potential for spreading northward with further warming which may significantly affect the structure and function of Arctic ecosystems.},
}
@article {pmid39263066,
year = {2024},
author = {Marais-Potgieter, A and Thatcher, A and Siemers, I},
title = {Modelling associations between mortality salience, environmental concerns, and climate change risk perception in the context of the pandemic.},
journal = {Heliyon},
volume = {10},
number = {17},
pages = {e36722},
pmid = {39263066},
issn = {2405-8440},
abstract = {The pandemic and climate change are mortality salience triggers. Environmental issues, attitudes, and climate change risk perceptions were hypothesised to impact how individuals perceived the threat of COVID-19 and climate change during the pandemic. The study explored: 1.) the associations between seeing a link between COVID-19 and climate change and environmental concerns; 2.) the associations between mortality salience and environmental concerns; 3.) the associations between feeling less worried during the pandemic and environmental concerns; and 4.) what these associations tell us about the relationship between mortality salience, the perceived link between COVID-19 and climate change, and feeling less worried during the pandemic. A sample of 665 respondents was achieved from an online survey in 2021. The results of the multiple regression analysis and structural equation modelling showed that environmental issues, attitudes and perceptions, time spent in nature, and climate change risk perception played a role in the extent to which individuals perceived COVID-19 as an indicator of climate change threats, whether mortality salience was made conscious, and whether there was distancing of concern about climate change and social issues during the pandemic. The study makes an important contribution to understanding psychological processes that are activated during disasters that trigger mortality salience, and how this is impacted by the human-nature nexus, and climate change risk perception.},
}
@article {pmid39262673,
year = {2024},
author = {Wagatsuma, K},
title = {Climate change and expansion of vector-borne diseases in Japan: A public health challenge.},
journal = {New microbes and new infections},
volume = {62},
number = {},
pages = {101462},
pmid = {39262673},
issn = {2052-2975},
}
@article {pmid39261713,
year = {2024},
author = {Xi, Y and Zhang, W and Wei, F and Fang, Z and Fensholt, R},
title = {Boreal tree species diversity increases with global warming but is reversed by extremes.},
journal = {Nature plants},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
pmid = {39261713},
issn = {2055-0278},
abstract = {Tree species diversity is essential to sustaining stable forest ecosystem functioning. However, it remains unclear how boreal tree species diversity has changed in response to climate change and how it is associated with productivity and the temporal stability of boreal forest ecosystems. By combining 5,312 field observations and 55,560 Landsat images, here we develop a framework to estimate boreal tree species diversity (represented by the Shannon diversity index, H') for the years 2000, 2010 and 2020. We document an average increase in H' by 12% from 2000 to 2020 across the boreal forests. This increase accounts for 53% of all boreal forest areas and mainly occurs in the eastern forest-boreal transition region, the Okhotsk-Manchurian taiga and the Scandinavian-Russian taiga. Tree species diversity responds positively to increasing temperatures, but the relationship is weakened for higher temperature changes, and in areas of extreme warming (>0.065 °C yr[-1]), a negative impact on tree species diversity is found. We further show that the observed spatiotemporal increase in diversity is significantly associated with increased productivity and temporal stability of boreal forest biomass. Our results highlight climate-warming-driven increases in boreal tree species diversity that positively affect boreal ecosystem functioning but are countered in areas of extreme warming.},
}
@article {pmid39261484,
year = {2024},
author = {Zhao, Y and Zhang, L and Wang, C},
title = {Predicting possible distribution of rice leaf roller (Cnaphalocrocis medinalis) under climate change scenarios using MaxEnt model in China.},
journal = {Scientific reports},
volume = {14},
number = {1},
pages = {21245},
pmid = {39261484},
issn = {2045-2322},
support = {2022YFD1400400//National Key R &amp; D Program of China/ ; 2022YFD1400400//National Key R &amp; D Program of China/ ; 2022YFD1400400//National Key R &amp; D Program of China/ ; },
mesh = {*Climate Change ; China ; *Oryza/parasitology ; Animals ; Moths/physiology ; Models, Theoretical ; Agriculture ; },
abstract = {The relationship between climate conditions and pest life is a key determinant of their distribution. Cnaphalocrocis medinalis Guenee, a major rice pest, exhibits outbreaks and its distribution patterns closely linked to meteorological factors. By using 244 actual distribution and occurrence data of C. medinalis along with 8 bioclimatic data, and employing the MaxEnt model and ArcGIS, combined with the latest SSPs climate scenario data, this study evaluated the risk region distribution status in the current period and predicted changes in China from 2040 to 2100. The results indicate that an overall increase in the risk area for C. medinalis, particularly under SSP245 scenario during 2040-2060. While Low-risk areas are expected to decrease, Medium and High-risk areas are projected to increase significantly, with worsening pest infestations anticipated in southern Hubei, eastern Hunan, most of Jiangxi, central Fujian, northern Guangdong, and southern Jiangsu. Regions such as central Liaoning are expected to reach the minimum survival standard for C. medinalis in future, leading to the northward shift in risk areas. Difference plots highlighted areas of increased and decreased suitability, providing actionable insights for policymakers. Regions with increased suitability align with the predicted northward shift of many agricultural pests, necessitating enhanced monitoring, specific pest control measures, and updated agricultural policies to address changing risk profiles. Additionally, the centroid analysis showed a northwest shift direction in future, primarily located at the junction of Shaoyang City and Loudi City, situated around 27-28 °N degrees north latitude and 111-113 °E. The study underscores the significant impact of climate change on the distribution of rice leaf roller, providing valuable insights for agricultural planning and management. The northward and westward expansion of risk areas necessitates adaptive strategies to mitigate potential impacts on agriculture. Enhanced monitoring, integrated pest management, and the development of pest-resistant crops are essential for addressing future challenges posed by climate change.},
}
@article {pmid39263045,
year = {2022},
author = {Abdullahi, B and Mutiso, J and Maloba, F and Macharia, J and Riongoita, M and Gicheru, M},
title = {Climate Change and Environmental Influence on Prevalence of Visceral Leishmaniasis in West Pokot County, Kenya.},
journal = {Journal of tropical medicine},
volume = {2022},
number = {},
pages = {1441576},
pmid = {39263045},
issn = {1687-9686},
abstract = {Kala-azar is a parasitic disease caused by Leishmania species transmitted by sand fly. In Kenya, kala-azar is endemic in thirty subcounties spread over in eleven counties in the arid zones. Climate change-influenced seasonal weather variability and environmental alterations remain important determinants of many vector-borne diseases. The present study focused on climate change and environmental influence on kala-azar in West Pokot. A descriptive cross-sectional and retrospective research design was adapted. Study area was purposively selected. Locations were randomly selected, and households were systematically selected. Three hundred sixty-three household questionnaires, eleven key informant interviews, and five focus group discussions were undertaken. Secondary data were obtained from Kacheliba subcounty hospital records. Statistical Package for the Social Sciences version 24 was used to analyze quantitative data while qualitative data were analyzed to establish connection for interpretation. Kala-azar cases have been on the rise on aggregate and surge towards the end of dry season and just after the rains. Significant environmental factors included the presence of seasonal rain water pathways and rock piles around houses (AOR = 4.7; 95% CI = (2.3-9.6), p < 0.05), presence of acacia trees in and around homesteads (AOR = 8.5; 95% CI = (2.5-28.6), p < 0.05), presence of anthills around the homesteads (AOR = 5.2; 95% CI = (1.2-23.4), p < 0.05), and presence of animal shed within compound (AOR = 2.8; 95% CI = (0.96-8), p < 0.05). Climate change-induced seasonal weather variability, increased temperature and reduced precipitation as well as environmental alterations influence kala-azar occurrence in West Pokot. Community sensitization on disease prevalence, clearing of vector predilection sites, and improving community environmental risk perception are imperative to promote prevention.},
}
@article {pmid39258208,
year = {2024},
author = {AlZaabi, A and Younus, HA and Al-Reasi, HA and Al-Hajri, R},
title = {Could environmental exposure and climate change Be a key factor in the rising incidence of early onset colorectal cancer?.},
journal = {Heliyon},
volume = {10},
number = {16},
pages = {e35935},
pmid = {39258208},
issn = {2405-8440},
abstract = {The emergence of early onset colorectal cancer (EOCRC) is believed to result from the complex interplay between external environmental factors and internal molecular processes. This review investigates the potential association between environmental exposure to chemicals and climate change and the increased incidence of EOCRC, focusing on their effects on gut microbiota (GM) dynamics. The manuscript explores the birth cohort effect, suggesting that individuals born after 1950 may be at higher risk of developing EOCRC due to cumulative environmental exposures. Furthermore, we also reviewed the impact of environmental pollution, including particulate matter and endocrine disrupting chemicals (EDCs), as well as global warming, on GM disturbance. Environmental exposures have the potential to disrupt GM composition and diversity, leading to dysbiosis, chronic inflammation, and oxidative stress, which are known risk factors associated with EOCRC. Particulate matter can enter the gastrointestinal tract, modifying GM composition and promoting the proliferation of pathogenic bacteria while diminishing beneficial bacteria. Similarly, EDCs, can induce GM alterations and inflammation, further increasing the risk of EOCRC. Additionally, global warming can influence GM through shifts in gut environmental conditions, affecting the host's immune response and potentially increasing EOCRC risk. To summarize, environmental exposure to chemicals and climate change since 1950 has been implicated as contributing factors to the rising incidence of EOCRC. Disruptions in gut microbiota homeostasis play a crucial role in mediating these associations. Consequently, there is a pressing need for enhanced environmental policies aimed at minimizing exposure to pollutants, safeguarding public health, and mitigating the burden of EOCRC.},
}
@article {pmid39257840,
year = {2024},
author = {Bakhiyi, B and Irace-Cima, A and Ludwig, A and Rakotoarinia, MR and Therrien, C and Dusfour, I and Adam-Poupart, A},
title = {Public health contributions of entomological surveillance of West Nile virus (WNV) and other mosquito-borne arboviruses in a context of climate change.},
journal = {Canada communicable disease report = Releve des maladies transmissibles au Canada},
volume = {50},
number = {9},
pages = {294-304},
pmid = {39257840},
issn = {1188-4169},
abstract = {BACKGROUND: Climate change is likely to increase the risk of human transmission of arboviruses endemic to Canada, including West Nile virus (WNV), Eastern equine encephalitis virus (EEEV) and California serogroup virus (CSV), calling for enhanced surveillance, including entomological surveillance targeting mosquito vectors. A scoping review was carried out to document the public health contributions of entomological surveillance of arboviruses of importance in Canada.<br><br>METHODS: The Ovid&#xae; and EBSCO platforms and the grey literature were searched to identify documents published between 2009 and 2023, in English or French, dealing with entomological surveillance of arboviruses of interest, conducted annually for human health purposes under the aegis of a government authority, with specified public health objectives and actions.<br><br>RESULTS: The 42 selected publications mainly reported two public health objectives of adult mosquito surveillance: early warning of viral circulation and assessment of the level of risk of human transmission. Recommended actions included clinical preparedness, risk communication, promotion of personal protection measures and vector control. The main objectives of immature mosquito surveillance were to identify sites with high larval densities, in order to reduce/eliminate them and target the application of larvicides.<br><br>CONCLUSION: In a context of climate change favouring the spread of arboviruses, this study highlights the potential public health contributions of regular entomological surveillance of endemic arboviruses of importance in Canada. It helps support concrete actions to protect the health of the population from the risks of arboviral transmission.},
}
@article {pmid39257608,
year = {2024},
author = {Kashyap, S and Reddy, BHR and Devi, S and Kurpad, AV},
title = {Potential impact of climate change on dietary grain protein content and its bioavailability-a mini review.},
journal = {Frontiers in nutrition},
volume = {11},
number = {},
pages = {1397219},
pmid = {39257608},
issn = {2296-861X},
abstract = {The changing global climate brings a gradual yet constant and adverse shift in crop production. Grain crop plants, particularly cereals and legumes, respond varyingly to adverse climate, including reduction in grain yield and changes to their nutrient densities. An understanding of specific changes to crop systems under differing climatic conditions can help in planning diets to meet human nutrient sufficiency. Grain protein content is also affected by adverse environmental factors. Deficits in protein yield, linked to changes in grain or seed protein and antinutrient concentrations, have been reported in major food crops when exposed to elevated carbon dioxide, high temperature, drought, and humidity. These changes, in addition to affecting the quantity of indispensable or essential amino acids (IAA), also impact their bioavailability. Therefore, it is important to assess consequences of climate change on grain protein quality. An important tool to measure grain protein quality, is measuring its digestibility at the level of the ileum and its IAA concentration, linked to a metric called the Digestible IAA Score (DIAAS). A minimally invasive technique called the dual isotope tracer technique, which measures IAA digestibility after simultaneous administration of two different intrinsically labelled protein sources, one a test protein ([2]H/[15]N) and one a reference protein ([13]C) of predetermined digestibility, has been used in evaluation of grain protein IAA digestibility, and promises more in the evaluation of changes based on climate. This review discusses climate induced changes to grain protein quality through the prism of IAA digestibility, using the dual isotope tracer technique.},
}
@article {pmid39256338,
year = {2024},
author = {Al-Ghamdi, MA and Helmi, N and Moselhy, SS},
title = {Cross-sectional study of the association of respiratory diseases health risk with environmental pollutants and climate change in Saudi Arabia.},
journal = {Environmental science and pollution research international},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
pmid = {39256338},
issn = {1614-7499},
abstract = {Saudi Arabia is known for its dry climate. This arid climate of the region makes its ecosystems highly susceptible, with limited water resources and vulnerable agricultural fields. Therefore, it is crucial to comprehend the public's awareness and perceptions of environmental issues and climate change that have an impact on their health and immune system. This study employed a cross-sectional survey to examine the knowledge, attitudes, and practices (KAP) and related health impact of environmental pollutants and climate change in Saudi Arabia. The participants were chosen randomly from various regions across the kingdom. In this study, a total of 437 respondents were selected using convenience sampling (80.78% female and 19.22% male). Participants have fair knowledge on immunological and health effect of environmental pollution and climate change (94.3% and 87.5%, respectively). Participants are well aware of influence of environmental pollutants and climate change on spread of infectious diseases 51-94%. Significant correlation exists between participants of private sector in attitude domain of KAP (P = 0.003, χ[2] = 5.139). Significant correlation exists between participants of private sector in attitude domain of KAP (P = 0.003, χ[2] = 5.139. Participants are well aware of influence of environmental pollutants and climate change on spread of infectious diseases (51-94%). In conclusion, the health mission in Saudi Arabia has integrated order to manage the diseases that are related to climate change. It is crucial to enhance the knowledge and skills of general public regarding climate change and its impact on health.},
}
@article {pmid39256083,
year = {2024},
author = {Ai, Z and Zhao, X and Boulange, J and Li, F and Mahmood, R and Zhang, Q and Yang, Y and Xia, J},
title = {How will climate change affect the sources of global irrigation water withdrawal?.},
journal = {Science bulletin},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1016/j.scib.2024.08.032},
pmid = {39256083},
issn = {2095-9281},
}
@article {pmid39252030,
year = {2024},
author = {Moraca, S and Indinnimeo, L and De Nuntiis, P},
title = {Risk perceptions of Italian paediatricians for the impact of climate change on children's health.},
journal = {Italian journal of pediatrics},
volume = {50},
number = {1},
pages = {170},
pmid = {39252030},
issn = {1824-7288},
mesh = {Humans ; *Climate Change ; Italy ; *Pediatricians/psychology ; *Child Health ; Male ; Female ; Child ; Attitude of Health Personnel ; Adult ; Surveys and Questionnaires ; Risk Assessment ; Middle Aged ; },
abstract = {BACKGROUNDS: This study delves into the risk perceptions of Italian pediatricians concerning climate change's impact on children's health. Given children's heightened vulnerability to climate-related health risks, comprehending these perceptions is crucial. A review of pertinent literature establishes the framework, emphasizing six key factors influencing children's susceptibility to climate-related health hazards.<br><br>METHODS: Methodologically, the study utilized a survey tool developed collaboratively with the Italian Society of Pediatrics (SIP), garnering responses from a representative sample of Italian pediatricians.<br><br>RESULTS: Findings indicate a high level of awareness among respondents regarding climate change and its health implications, with a majority attributing it primarily to human activity. Pediatricians recognize various current and anticipated health impacts of climate change, notably concerning illnesses linked to outdoor air quality. Despite acknowledging their role in addressing climate-related health concerns, respondents also cite barriers to engagement, including time constraints and knowledge gaps. However, they express interest in resources like professional training and policy statements to bolster their capacity for effective communication and advocacy.<br><br>CONCLUSIONS: Comparisons with prior studies highlight the consistency of findings across diverse contexts and underscore the significance of integrating climate and environmental health education into medical training. Overall, this study sheds light on pediatricians' perspectives in tackling the convergence of climate change and children's health, pinpointing avenues for enhancing their involvement in climate advocacy and mitigation efforts.},
}
@article {pmid39250970,
year = {2024},
author = {Jakubska-Busse, A and Wysocki, A and Domagała, PJ and Brudzińska-Kosior, A and Sporek, M and Kosior, G},
title = {Expanding the boundaries in the face of global warming: A lesson from genetic and ecological niche studies of Centaurium erythraea in Europe.},
journal = {The Science of the total environment},
volume = {953},
number = {},
pages = {176134},
doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.176134},
pmid = {39250970},
issn = {1879-1026},
abstract = {Climate change affects plant species, especially those with restricted ecology and distribution. Centaurium erythraea is a flowering plant species in the Gentianaceae family, native to Europe, with its centre of diversity in the Mediterranean and western Asia. Of the 11 infraspecific taxa distinct from C. erythraea, only two are common in Europe: C. erythraea subsp. erythraea (widespread nominal subspecies) and C. erythraea subsp. majus (mainly distributed in the western Mediterranean region). Freshly collected samples of 36 plants from 11 localities across Lower Silesia (Central Europe) were utilised for taxonomic and genetic analysis. The barcode sequences of chloroplast DNA region matK were used for molecular analysis. Data deposited in GenBank was also used. Five haplotypes were identified among the analysed specimens. Species Distribution Modelling (SDM) techniques were applied to predict the current and future (short- and long-term projections) potential distribution of C. erythraea subsp. majus and to identify the most influential climatic factors. Despite the typical Mediterranean distribution, the presence of C. erythraea subsp. majus outside its natural range in SW Poland has been confirmed by morphological and genetic studies. The mean monthly precipitation of the wettest quarter and the mean daily temperatures of the warmest quarter were identified as the key climatic factors. Short-term scenarios suggest that C. erythraea subsp. majus will maintain most of its current suitable habitats and potentially expand into the lowlands of Central Europe. However, long-term projections indicate a potential reduction in its currently suitable areas, especially in the southern parts of its range, with a possible expansion into north-western Europe. The results of these studies provide clear evidence of the impact of ongoing climate change on species range changes. These findings suggest that climate change may create new opportunities for Mediterranean species to spread to new regions, using C. erythraea subsp. majus as an example.},
}
@article {pmid39250852,
year = {2024},
author = {Bashir, MF and Sharif, A and Staniewski, MW and Ma, B and Zhao, W},
title = {Environmental taxes, energy transition and sustainable environmental technologies: A comparative OECD region climate change analysis.},
journal = {Journal of environmental management},
volume = {370},
number = {},
pages = {122304},
doi = {10.1016/j.jenvman.2024.122304},
pmid = {39250852},
issn = {1095-8630},
abstract = {The integrated economic reforms in recent years have transformed human life, however, the subsequent rise in environmental challenges necessitates sustainable development goals to ensure net-zero transformation. Within the context of modern energy, economic, and environmental transformation, we deliberate how environmental taxes, energy transition, and sustainable environmental innovation impact climate change in 38 OECD economies. Our robust empirical investigation allows us to report that environmental taxation, sustainable environmental technology, and energy transition lower but GDP and trade openness exacerbate ecological challenges. We also divide the dataset in G7 and the rest of the OECD groups to document the varying impact of environmental policies within OECD economies. Our econometric analysis helps us report novel policy frameworks to solve climate challenges under the UN SDG agenda.},
}
@article {pmid39250718,
year = {2024},
author = {Polo, G and Gamarra, J and Robayo-Sánchez, LN and Cortés-Vecino, JA and Ramírez-Hernández, A},
title = {Impact of climate change on the geographical distribution of ticks of public health significance in Colombia: Amblyomma ovale (Ixodida: Ixodidae), the Amblyomma maculatum (Ixodida: Ixodidae) complex and the Amblyomma cajennense (Ixodida: Ixodidae) complex.},
journal = {Journal of medical entomology},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1093/jme/tjae100},
pmid = {39250718},
issn = {1938-2928},
abstract = {Ticks of the Amblyomma maculatum (Ixodida Ixodidae) complex, the Amblyomma cajennense (Ixodida Ixodidae) complex and Amblyomma ovale (Ixodida Ixodidae) are known to transmit various Rickettsia species in Colombia, but their exact distribution is unknown. We built several models based on current climate and projected future climate changes using a maximum entropy approach. A total of 314 records of the A. cajennense complex (65.9%; n = 207), A. ovale (22.9%; n = 72), and the A. maculatum complex (11.1%; n = 35) were obtained. Amblyomma ovale has a current distribution in the Pacific, Caribbean and Andean regions and could be potentially found in the Amazon. Amblyomma maculatum has a current distribution in the Andean and could potentially be found in the Caribbean and Orinoco regions. Amblyomma mixtum can be found near the Caribbean Sea and in the Pacific region, and A. patinoi is likely to be found in the Andean region and the Caribbean. In 2070, it will be possible to find an expansion of A. ovale and A. maculatum and a decrease of A. mixtum and A. patinoi. The variables that best predict the distribution of these species are isothermality (small fluctuations in temperature) and annual precipitation. Amblyomma cajennense s.l and A. ovale, A. cajennese s.l and A. patinoi, as well as A. maculatum and A. patinoi, have an important environmental sympatry. Epidemiological and acarological surveillance is crucial to investigate rickettsiosis caused by R. parkeri in A. ovale regions, by R. rickettsii in A. patinoi and A. mixtum areas, and by R. parkeri s.s in A. maculatum regions.},
}
@article {pmid39249146,
year = {2024},
author = {Kaur, R and Gupta, S and Tripathi, V and Bharadwaj, A},
title = {Unravelling the secrets of soil microbiome and climate change for sustainable agroecosystems.},
journal = {Folia microbiologica},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
pmid = {39249146},
issn = {1874-9356},
abstract = {The soil microbiota exhibits an important function in the ecosystem, and its response to climate change is of paramount importance for sustainable agroecosystems. The macronutrients, micronutrients, and additional constituents vital for the growth of plants are cycled biogeochemically under the regulation of the soil microbiome. Identifying and forecasting the effect of climate change on soil microbiomes and ecosystem services is the need of the hour to address one of the biggest global challenges of the present time. The impact of climate change on the structure and function of the soil microbiota is a major concern, explained by one or more sustainability factors around resilience, reluctance, and rework. However, the past research has revealed that microbial interventions have the potential to regenerate soils and improve crop resilience to climate change factors. The methods used therein include using soil microbes' innate capacity for carbon sequestration, rhizomediation, bio-fertilization, enzyme-mediated breakdown, phyto-stimulation, biocontrol of plant pathogens, antibiosis, inducing the antioxidative defense pathways, induced systemic resistance response (ISR), and releasing volatile organic compounds (VOCs) in the host plant. Microbial phytohormones have a major role in altering root shape in response to exposure to drought, salt, severe temperatures, and heavy metal toxicity and also have an impact on the metabolism of endogenous growth regulators in plant tissue. However, shelf life due to the short lifespan and storage time of microbial formulations is still a major challenge, and efforts should be made to evaluate their effectiveness in crop growth based on climate change. This review focuses on the influence of climate change on soil physico-chemical status, climate change adaptation by the soil microbiome, and its future implications.},
}
@article {pmid39249123,
year = {2024},
author = {Meliho, M and Orlando, CA and Dallahi, Y},
title = {Spatiotemporal modeling of the potential impact of climate change on shifts in bioclimatic zones in Morocco.},
journal = {Environmental monitoring and assessment},
volume = {196},
number = {10},
pages = {907},
pmid = {39249123},
issn = {1573-2959},
mesh = {Morocco ; *Climate Change ; *Environmental Monitoring ; Ecosystem ; Climate Models ; Spatio-Temporal Analysis ; Forests ; },
abstract = {This study aims to contribute to the understanding of the impact of climate change on bioclimatic zones in Morocco, providing insights into potential shifts and emphasizing the need for adaptation measures to protect vulnerable species and ecosystems. To achieve this, we utilized eight general circulation models (GCMs) to simulate climate conditions under two representative concentration scenarios (RCP4.5 and RCP8.5) for two future time points (2050 and 2070). The modeling of bioclimatic zone shifts was accomplished through the implementation of the random forest (RF) algorithm. Our findings indicate that the subhumid and humid areas are expected to experience the most significant shifts, particularly toward the semi-arid zone. Shifts from subhumid to semi-arid were the most pronounced, ranging from 17.91% (RCP8.5 in 2070) to 25.68% (RCP8.5 in 2050), while shifts from humid to semi-arid ranged from 10.16% (RCP4.5 in 2050) to 22.27% (RCP8.5 in 2070). The Saharan and arid zones are expected to be the least affected, with less than 1% and 11% of their original extent expected to change, respectively. Moreover, our results suggest that forest species such as Atlas cedar and oaks are among the most vulnerable to these shifts. Overall, this study highlights the inevitability of climate change's impact on Moroccan ecosystems and provides a basis for adaptation measures, especially considering the species adapted to the bioclimatic conditions that will dominate the respective affected regions.},
}
@article {pmid39248594,
year = {2024},
author = {Mueller, K and Allstrom, H and Smith, DJ and Downes, E and Modly, LA},
title = {Climate change's implications for practice: Pharmacologic considerations of heat-related illness.},
journal = {The Nurse practitioner},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1097/01.NPR.0000000000000230},
pmid = {39248594},
issn = {1538-8662},
abstract = {Climate change is the greatest threat to global health. As climate change worsens, heat waves will be longer, more intense, and more frequent. Increased health risks from climate change and heat waves include heat-related illness (HRI). HRI increases ED visits, hospitalizations, and mortality. Healthcare providers should be aware of the impact of medications on risk for HRI. This article elucidates signs and symptoms, populations at risk, drugs and mechanisms that increase risk, and patient education to reduce risk.},
}
@article {pmid39247376,
year = {2024},
author = {Dramani, JB and Ofori-Mensah, KA and Otchere, NO and Frimpong, PB and Adu-Poku, A and Kemausuor, F and Yazdanie, M},
title = {Estimating and forecasting suppressed electricity demand in Ghana under climate change, the informal economy and sector inefficiencies.},
journal = {Heliyon},
volume = {10},
number = {16},
pages = {e36001},
pmid = {39247376},
issn = {2405-8440},
abstract = {Suppressed demand arises from inadequate energy access, resulting in unmet basic needs. Therefore, this study investigates the impact of the informal economy, rising temperatures, and electricity transmission losses on suppressed demand in Ghana from 2000 to 2020, using a quantile autoregressive distributed lag (QARDL) approach. The study forecasts suppressed demand using Shared Socioeconomic Pathway (SSP) scenarios, offering insights for energy system planning. The results indicate that all the variables significantly affect suppressed demand in the mid-quantiles. Notably, transmission losses and growth of informal economy variables significantly impact suppressed demand within the 50th to 75th quantiles but have minimal impact before the 50th and after the 75th quantiles in the long run. Additionally, rising temperatures substantially increase suppressed demand by increasing electricity demand for cooling. All future scenarios project this growth trend will continue through 2050, albeit at varying rates. In the business-as-usual (BAU) case, suppressed demand is expected to steadily increase from 1782 MW in 2020 to 8636 MW in 2050. This trajectory aligns well with historical growth trends, which saw suppressed demand increase from 659 GWh to 1782 GWh between 2000 and 2020. SSP scenarios suggest that suppressed demand could grow substantially through 2050, driven by high losses and informal sector growth. Despite sustainable development narratives like SSP1, suppressed demand remains high without major grid and governance improvements. Comparing the results with past studies shows that our findings align with previous research but provide more nuanced insights by incorporating the effects of the informal economy and using advanced forecasting techniques. Practical policy implications include investing in green infrastructure, upgrading grid infrastructure, and formalising the informal economy to alleviate suppressed demand. These actions are critical for sustainable energy access and meeting future electricity needs effectively.},
}
@article {pmid39247288,
year = {2024},
author = {Dendup, T and Tshering, D and Tobgay, S and Liu, F},
title = {Sources and pathways of spring flow and climate change effects in the Dungju Ri &amp; Yude Ri catchments, Bhutan Himalaya.},
journal = {Heliyon},
volume = {10},
number = {16},
pages = {e36211},
pmid = {39247288},
issn = {2405-8440},
abstract = {Springs and streams are vital water sources for supporting the livelihood of Himalayan residents. Escalating climate change, population growth, and economic development strain the region's freshwater resources. A national survey reveals declining spring and stream flows in Bhutan, necessitating an improved understanding of their generation. Monthly grab water samples were collected during April 2022-January 2023 from main streams, springs and other source waters at various elevations at Yude Ri and Dungju Ri catchments, Bhutan Himalayas. Samples were analyzed for pH, specific conductance, and major ions and end-member mixing analysis in combination with diagnostic tools of mixing models was used to determine sources, relative contributions, and recharge dynamics of spring flows. The results indicated that direct precipitation dominated spring flows (0.59 ± 0.21), followed by shallow groundwater (0.31 ± 0.18), and soil subsurface water (0.10 ± 0.15). The contributions of spring flow components followed an elevation gradient, with higher and lower fractions, respectively, of direct precipitation and shallow groundwater at higher elevations, e.g., 0.90 ± 0.1 to 0.13 ± 0.08 for direct precipitation and 0.03 ± 0.03 to 0.37 ± 0.19 for shallow groundwater from 3266 m to 1558 m. Spring flows primarily relied on precipitation (∼70 % from both direct precipitation and soil water), making them very sensitive to changes in precipitation. Significant contributions of shallow groundwater also indicated the vulnerability of spring flows to decreased snowfall relative to rainfall and the earlier onset of snowmelt, particularly for those located in the snow-rain transition zone (∼2500 m). Our results suggest high vulnerability of spring flows to the climate change in the Himalayas.},
}
@article {pmid39247090,
year = {2024},
author = {Luo, Y and Qin, W and Yan, Y and Yin, K and Zang, R and Du, FK},
title = {Climate change vulnerability and conservation strategies for tertiary relict tree species: Insights from landscape genomics of Taxus cuspidata.},
journal = {Evolutionary applications},
volume = {17},
number = {9},
pages = {e13686},
pmid = {39247090},
issn = {1752-4571},
abstract = {The unprecedented habitat fragmentation or loss has threatened the existence of many species. Therefore, it is essential to understand whether and how these species can pace with the environmental changes. Recent advantages in landscape genomics enabled us to identify molecular signatures of adaptation and predict how populations will respond to changing environments, providing new insights into the conservation of species. Here, we investigated the pattern of neutral and putative adaptive genetic variation and its response to changing environments in a tertiary relict tree species, Taxus cuspidata Sieb. et Zucc, which is distributed in northeast China and adjacent regions. We investigated the pattern of genetic diversity and differentiation using restriction site-associated DNA sequencing (RAD-seq) and seven nuclear microsatellites (nSSRs) datasets. We further explored the endangered mechanism, predicted its vulnerability in the future, and provided guidelines for the conservation and management of this species. RAD-seq identified 16,087 single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) in natural populations. Both the SNPs and nSSRs datasets showed high levels of genetic diversity and low genetic differentiation in T. cuspidata. Outlier detection by F ST outlier analysis and genotype-environment associations (GEAs) revealed 598 outlier SNPs as putative adaptive SNPs. Linear redundancy analysis (RDA) and nonlinear gradient forest (GF) showed that the contribution of climate to genetic variation was greater than that of geography, and precipitation played an important role in putative adaptive genetic variation. Furthermore, the genetic offset and risk of non-adaptedness (RONA) suggested that the species at the northeast edge may be more vulnerable in the future. These results suggest that although the species has maintained high current genetic diversity in the face of recent habitat loss and fragmentation, future climate change is likely to threaten the survival of the species. Temperature (Bio03) and precipitation (Prec05) variables can be potentially used as predictors of response of T. cuspidata under future climate. Together, this study provides a theoretical framework for conservation and management strategies for wildlife species in the context of future climate change.},
}
@article {pmid39246679,
year = {2024},
author = {Malhi, JK and McEvoy, JW and Blumenthal, RS and Jacobsen, AP},
title = {Climate change and cardiovascular health: Recent updates and actions for healthcare.},
journal = {American heart journal plus : cardiology research and practice},
volume = {45},
number = {},
pages = {100443},
pmid = {39246679},
issn = {2666-6022},
abstract = {Climate change is a public health crisis predominantly due to fossil fuel combustion, that challenges planetary and human health. Considerable evidence exists to demonstrate the impact climate change has on cardiovascular disease primarily through air pollution, and non-optimal temperature. Conversely, healthcare systems themselves contribute substantially to climate change. Many clinicians personally report a sense of responsibility to reduce the detrimental impact of parts of our healthcare system on the environment. Roadmaps exist to guide decarbonization and reduce pollution in the healthcare sector. The first step in minimizing the climate impact of the provision of cardiovascular care is to determine the carbon footprint of highly resource dependent sectors such as critical care cardiology as well as the cardiac catheterization and electrophysiology laboratories. This should be followed by sustainable changes to address healthcare waste and energy use. Engagement from healthcare leadership, governmental organizations and major cardiac societies will be necessary to impact meaningful change.},
}
@article {pmid39246258,
year = {2024},
author = {Steiert, O},
title = {Declaring crisis? Temporal constructions of climate change on Wikipedia.},
journal = {Public understanding of science (Bristol, England)},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {9636625241268890},
doi = {10.1177/09636625241268890},
pmid = {39246258},
issn = {1361-6609},
abstract = {On Wikipedia, editors daily negotiate edits to an entry that summarizes climate change to a global audience. The outcome of their efforts is an encyclopedic entry with a conspicuous lack of temporal clarity that circumvents the question of whether climate change is an immediate crisis or merely a potential future phenomenon. This qualitative discourse analysis of editors' debates around climate change on Wikipedia argues that their hesitancy to "declare crisis" is not a conscious editorial choice as much as an outcome of a friction between the folk philosophy of science Wikipedia is built upon, editors' own sense of urgency, and their anticipations about audience uptake of their writing. This friction shapes a group style that fosters temporal ambiguity. Hence, the findings suggest that in the Wikipedia entry on climate change, platform affordances and contestation of expertise foreclose a declaration of climate crisis.},
}
@article {pmid39245377,
year = {2024},
author = {Yin, Y and Yang, K and Gao, M and Wei, J and Zhong, X and Jiang, K and Gao, J and Cai, Y},
title = {Declined nutrients stability shaped by water residence times in lakes and reservoirs under climate change.},
journal = {The Science of the total environment},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {176098},
doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.176098},
pmid = {39245377},
issn = {1879-1026},
abstract = {Water quality stability in lakes and reservoirs is essential for drinking water safety and ecosystem health, especially given the frequent occurrence of extreme climate events. However, the relationship between water quality stability and water residence time (WRT) has not been well elucidated. In this study, we explored the relationship based on nitrogen (N) and phosphorus (P) concentrations data in 11 lakes and 49 reservoirs in the Yangtze-Huaihe River basin from 2010 to 2022. Additionally, we examined the effects of hydrometeorological characteristics, the geomorphology of water bodies and catchments, and land use on the WRT, establishing a link between climate change and the stability of N and P in these water bodies. The results showed that a significant correlation between the stability of N and P in lakes and reservoirs and their WRT. The longer WRT tends to coincide with decreased stability and higher nutrient concentrations. Hydrometeorological factors are the primary factors on the WRT, with precipitation exerting the greatest effect, particularly under extreme drought. In recent years, extreme climatic events have intensified the fluctuations of WRT, resulting in a renewed increase in N and P concentrations and deterioration in stability. These findings highlight the importance of incorporating meteorological and hydrological factors alongside reinforcing ecological restoration into lake and reservoir management strategies, and providing a scientific basis for future efforts aimed at enhancing lake and reservoir water quality stability and safeguarding aquatic ecosystems.},
}
@article {pmid39245297,
year = {2024},
author = {Volpe, S and Mastroleo, F and Vincini, MG and Zaffaroni, M and Porazzi, A and Damiani, E and Marvaso, G and Jereczek-Fossa, BA},
title = {Facing the climate change: is radiotherapy as green as we would like? A systematic review.},
journal = {Critical reviews in oncology/hematology},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {104500},
doi = {10.1016/j.critrevonc.2024.104500},
pmid = {39245297},
issn = {1879-0461},
abstract = {PURPOSE: To focus on the ecological footprint of radiotherapy (RT), on opportunities for sustainable practices, on future research directions.<br><br>METHODS: Different databases were interrogated using the following terms: Carbon Footprint, Sustainab*, Carbon Dioxide, Radiotherapy, and relative synonyms.<br><br>RESULTS: 931 records were retrieved; 15 reports were included in the review. Eight main thematic areas have been identified. Nine research works analyzed the environmental impact of photon-based external beam RT. Particle therapy was the subject of one work. Other thematic areas were brachytherapy, intra-operative RT, telemedicine, travel-related issues, and the impact of COVID-19.<br><br>CONCLUSION: This review demonstrates the strong interest in identifying novel strategies for a more environmentally friendly RT and serves as a clarion call to unveil the environmental impact of carbon footprints entwined with radiation therapy. Future research should address current gaps to guide the transition towards greener practices, reducing the environmental footprint and maintaining high-quality care.},
}
@article {pmid39243786,
year = {2024},
author = {Jacobsen, KH and Waggett, CE and Berenbaum, P and Bayles, BR and Carlson, GL and English, R and Faerron Guzmán, CA and Gartin, ML and Grant, L and Henshaw, TL and Iannotti, LL and Landrigan, PJ and Lansbury, N and Li, H and Lichtveld, MY and McWhorter, KL and Rettig, JE and Sorensen, CJ and Wetzel, EJ and Whitehead, DM and Winch, PJ and Martin, K},
title = {Planetary health learning objectives: foundational knowledge for global health education in an era of climate change.},
journal = {The Lancet. Planetary health},
volume = {8},
number = {9},
pages = {e706-e713},
doi = {10.1016/S2542-5196(24)00167-0},
pmid = {39243786},
issn = {2542-5196},
mesh = {*Climate Change ; *Global Health/education ; Humans ; Health Education ; },
abstract = {Planetary health is an emerging field that emphasises that humans depend on a healthy Earth for survival and, conversely, that the sustainability of Earth systems is dependent on human behaviours. In response to member demands for resources to support teaching and learning related to planetary health, the Consortium of Universities for Global Health (CUGH) convened a working group to develop a set of planetary health learning objectives (PHLOs) that would complement the existing ten CUGH global health learning objectives. The eight PHLOs feature Earth system changes, planetary boundaries, and climate change science; ecological systems and One Health; human health outcomes; risk assessment, vulnerability, and resilience; policy, governance, and laws (including the UN Framework Convention on Climate Change and the Paris Agreement); roles and responsibilities of governments, businesses, civil society organisations, other institutions, communities, and individuals for mitigation, adaptation, conservation, restoration, and sustainability; environmental ethics, human rights, and climate justice; and environmental literacy and communication. Educators who use the PHLOs as a foundation for teaching, curriculum design, and programme development related to the health-environment nexus will equip learners with a knowledge of planetary health science, interventions, and communication that is essential for future global health professionals.},
}
@article {pmid39243166,
year = {2024},
author = {Dias, PB and Horn Kunz, S and Pezzopane, JEM and Xavier, TMT and Zorzanelli, JPF and Toledo, JV and Gomes, LP and Gorsani, RG},
title = {Water restriction alters seed bank traits and ecology in Atlantic Forest seasonal forests under climate change.},
journal = {Global change biology},
volume = {30},
number = {9},
pages = {e17494},
doi = {10.1111/gcb.17494},
pmid = {39243166},
issn = {1365-2486},
support = {//Coordena&#xe7;&#xe3;o de Aperfei&#xe7;oamento de Pessoal de N&#xed;vel Superior-Brazil (CAPES)/ ; //Funda&#xe7;&#xe3;o de Amparo &#xe0; Pesquisa e Inova&#xe7;&#xe3;o do Esp&#xed;rito Santo (FAPES)/ ; //National Council for Scientific and Technological Development (CNPq, Programa de Capacita&#xe7;&#xe3;o Institucional-PCI/INMA) of the Brazilian Ministry of Science, Technology and Innovation (MCTI)/ ; },
mesh = {*Climate Change ; *Forests ; *Seasons ; *Seed Bank ; *Water/analysis ; Germination ; Brazil ; Seeds/growth &amp; development ; Trees/growth &amp; development ; },
abstract = {The soil seed bank (SSB) is one of the key mechanisms that ensure the perpetuity of forests, but how will it behave in the scenarios projected for the future climate? Faced with this main question, still little explored in seasonal tropical forests, this study evaluated the germination, ecological attributes, and functional traits of the SSB in a seasonal forest in the Atlantic Forest. Forty-eight composite samples of the SSB were collected from 12 plots, distributed across four treatments, each with 12 replicates. The samples were placed in two climate-controlled greenhouses, establishing two environments of controlled climatic conditions, both with two levels of water, as follows: Cur: current scenario without water restriction; Cur_WR: current scenario with water restriction; RCP8.5: future scenario without water restriction; RCP8.5_WR: future scenario with water restriction. The germinants were identified, and their ecological attributes and functional traits were obtained. Leaf area and biomass production, differences in abundance, richness, and diversity were evaluated, along with analysis of variance to assess the interaction between water levels and scenarios. All ecological attributes and functional traits evaluated drastically decreased in the future projection with water restriction, with this restriction being the main component influencing this response. The increased temperature in the future scenario significantly raised water consumption compared to the current scenario. However, persistent water restrictions in the future could undermine the resilience of seasonal forests, hindering seed germination in the soil. Richness and abundance were also adversely affected by water scarcity in the future scenario, revealing a low tolerance to the projected prolonged drought. These changes found in the results could alter the overall structure of seasonal forests in the future, as well as result in the loss of the regeneration potential of the SSB due to decreased seed viability and increased seedling mortality.},
}
@article {pmid39242953,
year = {2024},
author = {Soliman, A},
title = {How to change people's minds about climate change: what the science says.},
journal = {Nature},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
pmid = {39242953},
issn = {1476-4687},
}
@article {pmid39242938,
year = {2024},
author = {Ryan, PH and Newman, N and Yolton, K and Meinzen-Derr, J and Glauser, T and Cheng, TL},
title = {A call for solutions-oriented research and policy to protect children from the effects of climate change.},
journal = {Pediatric research},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
pmid = {39242938},
issn = {1530-0447},
}
@article {pmid39242306,
year = {2024},
author = {Ben Salem, D and Soyer, P and Vernhet Kovaczick, H},
title = {The effect of radiology on climate change: Can AI help us move toward a green future?.},
journal = {Diagnostic and interventional imaging},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1016/j.diii.2024.07.011},
pmid = {39242306},
issn = {2211-5684},
}
@article {pmid39242044,
year = {2024},
author = {Hwang, HA and Kim, A and Lee, W and Yim, HW and Bae, S},
title = {Association between increase in temperature due to climate change and depressive symptoms in Korea.},
journal = {Journal of affective disorders},
volume = {367},
number = {},
pages = {479-485},
doi = {10.1016/j.jad.2024.08.187},
pmid = {39242044},
issn = {1573-2517},
abstract = {BACKGROUND: Studies on the long-term effects of rising temperature by climate change on mental health are limited. This study investigates the influence of temperature rise on the prevalence rate of depressive symptoms according to district type and age group in Korea.<br><br>DESIGN: This cross-sectional study included 219,187 Korea Community Health Survey 2021 participants. Yearly average temperature and yearly average temperature difference are the main exposures of this study. Temperature difference was calculated by subtracting the historical average temperature in 1961-1990 (climate normal) from the yearly average temperature. The main outcomes are moderate depressive symptoms measured by Patient Health Questionnaire-9. Multilevel analyses were conducted to estimate the association between temperature factors and depressive symptoms.<br><br>RESULTS: 7491 (3.4&#xa0;%) participants reported moderate depressive symptoms, and 99,653 (69.9&#xa0;%) participants lived in an urban district. The odds of depressive symptoms increased with 1&#xa0;&#xb0;C increase in temperature difference for all participants, adult participants aged 19-40, and participants who lived in same metropolitan area for 20&#xa0;years or more (aOR&#xa0;=&#xa0;1.13, CI: 1.04-1.24, aOR&#xa0;=&#xa0;1.14, CI: 1.02-1.24, and aOR&#xa0;=&#xa0;1.15 CI: 1.04-1.27). The association between temperature difference and depressive symptoms was consistent among urban districts participants.<br><br>LIMITATIONS: Due to the study's cross-sectional nature, the temporal association between regional and individual factors and depressive symptoms could not be assessed. Limited number of weather stations, especially among less populated in-land areas, may limit the accuracy of this study.<br><br>CONCLUSION: The increase in temperature compared with historical average is associated with increased likelihood of depressive symptoms, especially for the adults aged 19-40&#xa0;years old. More study on the long-term impact of climate change on mental health is needed to determine effective responses to climate change.},
}
@article {pmid39241587,
year = {2024},
author = {Pimenta, A and Kamruzzaman, LM},
title = {Assessing the comprehensiveness and vertical coherence of climate change action plans: The case of Australia.},
journal = {Journal of environmental management},
volume = {369},
number = {},
pages = {122419},
doi = {10.1016/j.jenvman.2024.122419},
pmid = {39241587},
issn = {1095-8630},
abstract = {Climate change is an undeniable reality, prompting governments worldwide to devise strategies to avoid or reduce its adverse impacts. Ensuring the effectiveness of these strategies is crucial; they must be both comprehensive and coherent to minimize trade-offs. While substantial research has focused on assessing climate policy coherence within a single level of government (horizontal coherence), there is a relative scarcity of studies examining coherence between different levels of government (vertical coherence). This study adapts an evaluation framework from the literature and transforms it into two distinct assessment frameworks: one for evaluating the comprehensiveness and the other for assessing the vertical coherence of Climate Change Action Plans (CCAPs) from three levels of government (local, state, and national) in Australia. Adaptation and mitigation plans were assessed separately for five local government areas in Sydney, Melbourne, Brisbane, Adelaide, and Perth, and their respective states: New South Wales, Victoria, Queensland, South Australia, and Western Australia. National government plans received higher average comprehensive scores (83%) than state (75%) and local (71%) CCAPs. High coherence was observed between national and state levels, with significant variations between state and local levels. Sydney-New South Wales exhibited the highest coherence (90%), while Perth-Western Australia scored the lowest (35%). Key issues identified include a lack of exclusive climate change funding body and an inadequate assessment of vulnerability profiles in various plans. These findings provide insights for designing more comprehensive and integrated policy actions across multiple government levels. The refined frameworks can be applied to test the comprehensiveness and coherence of CCAPs in other contexts at various scales.},
}
@article {pmid39242770,
year = {2022},
author = {Cancellario, T and Miranda, R and Baquero, E and Fontaneto, D and Martínez, A and Mammola, S},
title = {Climate change will redefine taxonomic, functional, and phylogenetic diversity of Odonata in space and time.},
journal = {npj biodiversity},
volume = {1},
number = {1},
pages = {1},
pmid = {39242770},
issn = {2731-4243},
abstract = {Climate change is rearranging the mosaic of biodiversity worldwide. These broad-scale species re-distributions affect the structure and composition of communities with a ripple effect on multiple biodiversity facets. Using European Odonata, we asked: i) how climate change will redefine taxonomic, phylogenetic, and functional diversity at European scales; ii) which traits will mediate species' response to global change; iii) whether this response will be phylogenetically conserved. Using stacked species distribution models, we forecast widespread latitudinal and altitudinal rearrangements in Odonata community composition determining broad turnovers in traits and evolutionary lineages. According to our phylogenetic regression models, only body size and flight period can be partly correlated with observed range shifts. In considering all primary facets of biodiversity, our results support the design of inclusive conservation strategies able to account for the diversity of species, the ecosystem services they provide, and the phylogenetic heritage they carry in a target ecosystem.},
}
@article {pmid39241378,
year = {2024},
author = {Kan, C and Wang, F and Xiang, T and Fan, Y and Xu, W and Liu, L and Yang, S and Cao, W},
title = {Wastewater treatment plant effluents increase the global warming potential in a subtropical urbanized river.},
journal = {Water research},
volume = {266},
number = {},
pages = {122349},
doi = {10.1016/j.watres.2024.122349},
pmid = {39241378},
issn = {1879-2448},
abstract = {Rivers play a pivotal role in global carbon (C) and nitrogen (N) biogeochemical cycles. Urbanized rivers are significant hotspots of greenhouse gases (GHGs, N2O, CO2 and CH4) emissions. This study examined the GHGs distributions in the Guanxun River, an effluents-receiving subtropical urbanized river, as well as the key environmental factors and processes affecting the pattern and emission characteristics of GHGs. Dissolved N2O, CO2, and CH4 concentrations reached 228.0 nmol L[-1], 0.44 mmol L[-1], and 5.2 μmol L[-1] during the wet period, and 929.8 nmol L[-1], 0.7 mmol L[-1], and 4.6 μmol L[-1] during the dry period, respectively. Effluents inputs increased C and N loadings, reduced C/N ratios, and promoted further methanogenesis and N2O production dominated by incomplete denitrification after the outfall. Increased urbanization in the far downstream, high hydraulic residence time, low DO and high organic C environment promoted methanogenesis. The strong CH4 oxidation and methanogenic reactions inhibited by the effluents combined to suppress CH4 emissions in downstream near the outfall, and the process also contributed to CO2 production. The carbon fixation downstream from the outfall were inhibited by effluents. Ultimately, it promoted CO2 emissions downstream from the outfall. The continuous C, N, and chlorine inputs maintained the high saturation and production potential of GHGs, and altered microbial community structure and functional genes abundance. Ultimately, the global warming potential downstream increased by 186 % and 84 % during wet and dry periods on the 20-year scale, and increased by 91 % and 49 % during wet and dry periods on the 100-year scale, respectively, compared with upstream from the outfall. In urbanized rivers with sufficient C and N source supply from WWTP effluents, the large effluent equivalently transformed the natural water within the channel into a subsequent "reactor". Furthermore, the IPCC recommended EF5r values appear to underestimate the N2O emission potential of urbanized rivers with high pollution loading that receiving WWTP effluents. The findings of this study might aid the development of effective strategies for mitigating global climate change.},
}
@article {pmid39240798,
year = {2024},
author = {Tang, H and Fang, J and Yuan, J},
title = {Climate change and Land Use/Land Cover Change (LUCC) leading to spatial shifts in net primary productivity in Anhui Province, China.},
journal = {PloS one},
volume = {19},
number = {9},
pages = {e0307516},
pmid = {39240798},
issn = {1932-6203},
mesh = {China ; *Climate Change ; *Ecosystem ; Carbon Cycle ; Forests ; },
abstract = {As an important part of terrestrial carbon cycle research, net primary productivity is an important parameter to evaluate the quality of terrestrial ecosystem and plays an important role in the analysis of global climate change and carbon balance. Anhui Province is in the Yangtze River Delta region in eastern China. Based on the theoretical basis of CASA model, this paper uses MODIS NDVI, vegetation type data, meteorological data, and LUCC to estimate the NPP of Anhui Province during 2001-2020 and analyzes its spatial-temporal pattern. The results showed that the average NPP in Anhui province was 508.95 gC· (m2 ·a) -1, and the spatial heterogeneity of NPP was strong, and the high value areas were mainly distributed in the Jiangnan Mountains and Dabie Mountains. NPP increased in most areas of Anhui Province, but decreased significantly in 17.60% of the area, mainly in the central area affected by urban and rural expansion and the transformation of the Yangtze River. The dynamic change of NPP in Anhui province is the result of climate change and land use change. Meteorological data are positively correlated with NPP. Among them, the correlation between temperature and solar radiation is higher, and the correlation between NPP and precipitation is the lowest among the three. The NPP of all land cover types was more affected by temperature than precipitation, especially forest land and grassland. The decrease of cultivated land and the increase of Artificial Surfaces (AS) may have contributed to the decrease of NPP in Anhui Province. Human activities have weakened the increase in NPP caused by climate change. In conclusion, this study refined the drivers of spatial heterogeneity of NPP changes in Anhui province, which is conducive to rational planning of terrestrial ecosystems and carbon balance measures.},
}
@article {pmid39239832,
year = {2024},
author = {Stokely, TD},
title = {The devil is in the details: Experiment reveals how a forest-dwelling scavenger, and their excrement, may buffer ecosystem processes from climate change.},
journal = {Global change biology},
volume = {30},
number = {9},
pages = {e17499},
doi = {10.1111/gcb.17499},
pmid = {39239832},
issn = {1365-2486},
mesh = {*Climate Change ; *Forests ; Animals ; *Ecosystem ; Conservation of Natural Resources ; Feces/chemistry ; },
abstract = {This article is an Invited Commentary on Stephenson et al. (2024). This commentary attempts to provide broader context of the research within the body of literature on species loss and ecosystem functioning and highlights its relevance to conservation and global change.},
}
@article {pmid39239728,
year = {2024},
author = {Cunningham, N and Jenkins, C and Williams, S and Garner, J and Eggen, B and Douglas, A and Potter, T and Wilson, A and Leonardi, G and Larkin, L and Hopkins, S},
title = {An outbreak of Shiga toxin-producing Escherichia coli (STEC) O157:H7 associated with contaminated lettuce and the cascading risks from climate change, the United Kingdom, August to September 2022.},
journal = {Euro surveillance : bulletin Europeen sur les maladies transmissibles = European communicable disease bulletin},
volume = {29},
number = {36},
pages = {},
pmid = {39239728},
issn = {1560-7917},
mesh = {*Lactuca/microbiology ; Humans ; *Disease Outbreaks ; *Escherichia coli Infections/epidemiology/microbiology/transmission ; United Kingdom/epidemiology ; *Escherichia coli O157/isolation &amp; purification/genetics ; *Foodborne Diseases/epidemiology/microbiology ; *Climate Change ; *Food Microbiology ; Whole Genome Sequencing ; Shiga-Toxigenic Escherichia coli/isolation &amp; purification/genetics ; Adult ; Middle Aged ; Female ; Male ; Food Contamination/analysis ; Aged ; Animals ; Adolescent ; Child ; },
abstract = {Shiga-toxin producing Escherichia coli (STEC) O157 is a food-borne pathogen which causes gastrointestinal illness in humans. Ruminants are considered the main reservoir of infection, and STEC exceedance has been associated with heavy rainfall. In September 2022, a large outbreak of STEC O157:H7 was identified in the United Kingdom (UK). A national-level investigation was undertaken to identify the source of the outbreak and inform risk mitigation strategies. Whole genome sequencing (WGS) was used to identify outbreak cases. Overall, 259 cases with illness onset dates between 5 August and 12 October 2022, were confirmed across the UK. Epidemiological investigations supported a UK grown, nationally distributed, short shelf-life food item as the source of the outbreak. Analytical epidemiology and food chain analysis suggested lettuce as the likely vehicle of infection. Food supply chain tracing identified Grower X as the likely implicated producer. Independent of the food chain investigations, a novel geospatial analysis triangulating meteorological, flood risk, animal density and land use data was developed, also identifying Grower X as the likely source. Novel geospatial analysis and One Health approaches are potential tools for upstream data analysis to predict and prevent contamination events before they occur and to support evidence generation in outbreak investigations.},
}
@article {pmid39239722,
year = {2024},
author = {Nelson, GC and Cheung, WWL and Bezner Kerr, R and Franke, J and Meza, F and Oyinlola, MA and Thornton, P and Zabel, F},
title = {Adaptation to climate change and limits in food production systems: Physics, the chemistry of biology, and human behavior.},
journal = {Global change biology},
volume = {30},
number = {9},
pages = {e17489},
doi = {10.1111/gcb.17489},
pmid = {39239722},
issn = {1365-2486},
mesh = {*Climate Change ; Humans ; Agriculture ; Food Supply ; Adaptation, Physiological ; },
}
@article {pmid39239688,
year = {2024},
author = {Pfenninger, M and Reuss, F and KIebler, A and Schönnenbeck, P and Caliendo, C and Gerber, S and Cocchiararo, B and Reuter, S and Blüthgen, N and Mody, K and Mishra, B and Bálint, M and Thines, M and Feldmeyer, B},
title = {Correction: Genomic basis for drought resistance in European beech forests threatened by climate change.},
journal = {eLife},
volume = {13},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.7554/eLife.102872},
pmid = {39239688},
issn = {2050-084X},
}
@article {pmid39239214,
year = {2023},
author = {Fogarty, AE and Godambe, M and Duszynski, B and McCormick, ZL and Steensma, J and Decker, G},
title = {Interventional pain physician beliefs on climate change: A Spine Intervention Society (SIS) survey.},
journal = {Interventional pain medicine},
volume = {2},
number = {4},
pages = {100287},
pmid = {39239214},
issn = {2772-5944},
abstract = {SUMMARY OF BACKGROUND DATA: Although evaluated within other specialties, physicians' beliefs towards climate change and human health have not been described within Interventional Pain Medicine (IPM). Understanding belief systems is essential for developing solutions to build sustainable practices.<br><br>OBJECTIVES: Assess beliefs toward climate change within the field of IPM.<br><br>METHODS: Spine Intervention Society (SIS) members were invited to participate in an anonymous RedCap survey by email, social media, and advertisement at the 2022 SIS Annual Meeting. Descriptive statistics were calculated, and associations were estimated using Chi-Square (significance: p&#xa0;<&#xa0;0.05).<br><br>RESULTS: One hundred and seventy-five participants responded to the survey. Participants most often identified as white (66&#xa0;%; 95&#xa0;% CI 57-73&#xa0;%), male (78&#xa0;%; 95&#xa0;% CI 71-84&#xa0;%), and from the United States (US) (76&#xa0;%; CI 95&#xa0;% 58-72&#xa0;%), with 87&#xa0;% (n&#xa0;=&#xa0;123/141; 95&#xa0;% CI 82-93&#xa0;%) agreeing that climate change is happening (agree or strongly agree). While 78&#xa0;% (95&#xa0;% CI 80-92&#xa0;%) agree that climate change and sustainability are important to them, only 47&#xa0;% (95&#xa0;% CI 34-51&#xa0;%) agree that these are important to their patients. Those beliefs did not differ by age or geographical area (p&#xa0;>&#xa0;0.05). However, physicians in non-leadership positions are more likely to disagree or strongly disagree that climate change is important to them (&#x3c7;[2](2)&#xa0;=&#xa0;15.98; p&#xa0;<&#xa0;0.05), to their patients (&#x3c7;[2](2)&#xa0;=&#xa0;17.21; p&#xa0;<&#xa0;0.05), or that societies should advocate for climate policies (&#x3c7;[2](2)&#xa0;=&#xa0;9.19; p&#xa0;<&#xa0;0.05). Non-US physicians were more likely to believe that physicians have responsibilities to bring awareness to the health effects of climate change (&#x3c7;[2](2)&#xa0;=&#xa0;6.58; p&#xa0;<&#xa0;0.05) and to agree that climate change is important to their patients (&#x3c7;[2](2)&#xa0;=&#xa0;10.50; p&#xa0;<&#xa0;0.05).<br><br>DISCUSSION/CONCLUSION: Understanding specialty-specific physician views on climate change is essential for developing solutions to reduce the carbon footprint of medical practice and improve sustainability. The majority of SIS members believe that climate change is happening. Non-US physicians and physician-leaders are more likely to believe that climate change impacts their patients and that societies should advocate for climate policies.},
}
@article {pmid39238784,
year = {2024},
author = {Ornella, LA and Broccanello, C and Balzarini, M},
title = {Editorial: Plant adaptation to climate change using genomic selection and high-throughput technologies.},
journal = {Frontiers in genetics},
volume = {15},
number = {},
pages = {1471995},
pmid = {39238784},
issn = {1664-8021},
}
@article {pmid39238356,
year = {2024},
author = {Zhu, Z and Deng, T and Pan, X},
title = {Global climate change: The dangers of heatwaves for chronic obstructive pulmonary disease patients cannot be ignored.},
journal = {Journal of global health},
volume = {14},
number = {},
pages = {03032},
pmid = {39238356},
issn = {2047-2986},
mesh = {Humans ; *Pulmonary Disease, Chronic Obstructive/epidemiology ; *Climate Change ; Hot Temperature/adverse effects ; Global Health ; },
}
@article {pmid39236604,
year = {2024},
author = {Baur, DG and Karlsen, JR},
title = {Do crypto investors care about energy use and climate change? Evidence from Ethereum's transition to proof-of-stake.},
journal = {Journal of environmental management},
volume = {369},
number = {},
pages = {122299},
doi = {10.1016/j.jenvman.2024.122299},
pmid = {39236604},
issn = {1095-8630},
abstract = {This paper analyses the transition of Ethereum (ETH) from the energy-intensive Proof-of-Work (PoW) to the less energy-intensive Proof-of-Stake (PoS). We analyze returns, volatility, return correlations and volume of ETH, ETC and Bitcoin for all events in the lead-up to the actual change from PoW to PoS also labelled "the merge." The analysis suggests that some investors value the less energy-intensive mining mechanism and invest in ETH. However, since the overall effect is weak, we conclude that despite all the media attention and the stated concerns about the high energy-intensity of Bitcoin and PoW, most investors do not react to the change with an increased investment in Ethereum.},
}
@article {pmid39236181,
year = {2024},
author = {Yang, Y and Tilman, D and Jin, Z and Smith, P and Barrett, CB and Zhu, YG and Burney, J and D'Odorico, P and Fantke, P and Fargione, J and Finlay, JC and Rulli, MC and Sloat, L and Jan van Groenigen, K and West, PC and Ziska, L and Michalak, AM and , and Lobell, DB and Clark, M and Colquhoun, J and Garg, T and Garrett, KA and Geels, C and Hernandez, RR and Herrero, M and Hutchison, WD and Jain, M and Jungers, JM and Liu, B and Mueller, ND and Ortiz-Bobea, A and Schewe, J and Song, J and Verheyen, J and Vitousek, P and Wada, Y and Xia, L and Zhang, X and Zhuang, M},
title = {Climate change exacerbates the environmental impacts of agriculture.},
journal = {Science (New York, N.Y.)},
volume = {385},
number = {6713},
pages = {eadn3747},
doi = {10.1126/science.adn3747},
pmid = {39236181},
issn = {1095-9203},
mesh = {*Climate Change ; *Agriculture ; *Greenhouse Gases ; Crops, Agricultural/growth &amp; development ; Environment ; Agrochemicals ; Soil/chemistry ; },
abstract = {Agriculture's global environmental impacts are widely expected to continue expanding, driven by population and economic growth and dietary changes. This Review highlights climate change as an additional amplifier of agriculture's environmental impacts, by reducing agricultural productivity, reducing the efficacy of agrochemicals, increasing soil erosion, accelerating the growth and expanding the range of crop diseases and pests, and increasing land clearing. We identify multiple pathways through which climate change intensifies agricultural greenhouse gas emissions, creating a potentially powerful climate change-reinforcing feedback loop. The challenges raised by climate change underscore the urgent need to transition to sustainable, climate-resilient agricultural systems. This requires investments that both accelerate adoption of proven solutions that provide multiple benefits, and that discover and scale new beneficial processes and food products.},
}
@article {pmid39236015,
year = {2024},
author = {Pollom, RA and Cheok, J and Pacoureau, N and Gledhill, KS and Kyne, PM and Ebert, DA and Jabado, RW and Herman, KB and Bennett, RH and da Silva, C and Fernando, S and Kuguru, B and Leslie, RW and McCord, ME and Samoilys, M and Winker, H and Fennessy, ST and Pollock, CM and Rigby, CL and Dulvy, NK},
title = {Overfishing and climate change elevate extinction risk of endemic sharks and rays in the southwest Indian Ocean hotspot.},
journal = {PloS one},
volume = {19},
number = {9},
pages = {e0306813},
doi = {10.1371/journal.pone.0306813},
pmid = {39236015},
issn = {1932-6203},
mesh = {Animals ; *Sharks/physiology ; *Climate Change ; *Extinction, Biological ; Indian Ocean ; *Conservation of Natural Resources ; *Endangered Species ; *Skates, Fish ; Fisheries ; Ecosystem ; },
abstract = {Here, we summarise the extinction risk of the sharks and rays endemic to coastal, shelf, and slope waters of the southwest Indian Ocean and adjacent waters (SWIO+, Namibia to Kenya, including SWIO islands). This region is a hotspot of endemic and evolutionarily distinct sharks and rays. Nearly one-fifth (n = 13 of 70, 18.6%) of endemic sharks and rays are threatened, of these: one is Critically Endangered, five are Endangered, and seven are Vulnerable. A further seven (10.0%) are Near Threatened, 33 (47.1%) are Least Concern, and 17 (24.3%) are Data Deficient. While the primary threat is overfishing, there are the first signs that climate change is contributing to elevated extinction risk through habitat reduction and inshore distributional shifts. By backcasting their status, few endemic species were threatened in 1980, but this changed soon after the emergence of targeted shark and ray fisheries. South Africa has the highest national conservation responsibility, followed by Mozambique and Madagascar. Yet, while fisheries management and enforcement have improved in South Africa over recent decades, substantial improvements are urgently needed elsewhere. To avoid extinction and ensure robust populations of the region's endemic sharks and rays and maintain ecosystem functionality, there is an urgent need for the strict protection of Critically Endangered and Endangered species and sustainable management of Vulnerable, Near Threatened, and Least Concern species, underpinned by species-level data collection and reduction of incidental catch.},
}
@article {pmid39235222,
year = {2024},
author = {Requena-Ramírez, MD and Rodríguez-Suárez, C and Hornero-Méndez, D and Atienza, SG},
title = {Durum Wheat at Risk in a Climate Change Scenario: The Carotenoid Content is Affected by Short Heat Waves.},
journal = {Journal of agricultural and food chemistry},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1021/acs.jafc.4c05718},
pmid = {39235222},
issn = {1520-5118},
abstract = {Short heat waves (SHW), defined as periods of several consecutive days with high temperatures above the developmental optimum, will become more frequent due to climate change. The impact of SHW on yield and yield-related parameters has received considerable interest, but their effects on grain quality remain poorly understood. We employed a simulation approach to investigate the impact of SHW on durum wheat quality over a 7 day period, starting 1 week after anthesis. During the SHW treatment, carried out using portable polyethylene tents, the temperature in the treated plots increased by 10-15 °C during daily hours. The SHW treatment reduced the number of grains per spike, thousand kernel weight, and total carotenoid content in grains in stressed plants in comparison to control plants. However, no differences in the protein content or percentage of vitreous grains were observed. The behavior of individual carotenoids in response to SHW appears to differ, suggesting a differential change in the balance between β,ε- and β,β-branches of the carotenoid biosynthetic pathway as a consequence of SHW-induced stress. The present study highlights the importance of developing efficient breeding strategies for reduced sensitivities to heat stress. Such strategies should not only prioritize yield but also encompass grain quality.},
}
@article {pmid39235021,
year = {2024},
author = {Guo, DX and Li, AX and Liu, EK and Wang, JL},
title = {[Spatiotemporal variations and attribution analysis of reference evapotranspiration in the Fenwei Plain under climate change].},
journal = {Ying yong sheng tai xue bao = The journal of applied ecology},
volume = {35},
number = {6},
pages = {1625-1634},
doi = {10.13287/j.1001-9332.202406.022},
pmid = {39235021},
issn = {1001-9332},
mesh = {*Climate Change ; *Plant Transpiration ; China ; *Crops, Agricultural/growth &amp; development ; *Ecosystem ; *Spatio-Temporal Analysis ; Environmental Monitoring/methods ; },
abstract = {Reference crop evapotranspiration (ET0) is a crucial variable for estimating the ecological water demand of vegetation. Under climate change, the trends of ET0 change vary in different regions. The study of spatial and temporal variations in ET0 and attribution analysis at the regional scale is more conducive to the regional agricultural water management and ecological water demand estimation under the changing environment. We analyzed the change trend, spatial distribution and the contribution of meteorological factors to annual ET0 change of the Fenwei Plain during a historical period (1985-2015) and a future period (2030-2060) based on the latest climate data and high-precision grid data from the Sixth International Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP6). The results showed that the meteorological data from CMIP6 could be used for the prediction of ET0 after bias correction, and that the prediction accuracy of the multi-model ensemble approach (R[2] of 82.9%, RMSE of 14.9 mm) was higher than that of a single climate model. ET0 in the Fenwei Plain showed a significant decreasing trend in the historical period, but a non-significant increasing and significant increasing trend in the future period under the SSP245 and SSP585 scenarios, respectively. The vapor pressure deficit had the largest contribution to the ET0 change in both the historical and future periods, and was the primary meteorological factor affecting the ET0 change in the Fenwei Plain under the climate change. Solar radiation and wind speed were important meteorological factors affecting the ET0 change in the historical period, while temperature and wind speed were the important meteorological factors affecting the ET0 change in the future period. The meteorological factors that had great contribution to ET0 change were due to the larger multi-year relative change rates, rather than the high sensitivity of these meteorological factors to ET0. The ET0 of the plain under the SSP245 and SSP585 scenarios increased by 4.2% and 3.1% in the future period, respectively, compared with the historical period. The differences in the spatial distribution of the result were mainly from the eastern and western regions of the plain. Based on the high-precision spatial and temporal distribution of ET0, the spatial and temporal data could be used as a reference for the development of various adaptation for climate change in the Fenwei Plain.},
}
@article {pmid39235020,
year = {2024},
author = {Li, XF and Wu, S and Zhao, F and Zhu, HX and Gong, LJ and Jiang, LX and Wang, P and Zhao, HY},
title = {[Characteristics of soybean climate potential productivity in frigid region and its response to climate change].},
journal = {Ying yong sheng tai xue bao = The journal of applied ecology},
volume = {35},
number = {6},
pages = {1615-1624},
doi = {10.13287/j.1001-9332.202406.024},
pmid = {39235020},
issn = {1001-9332},
mesh = {*Glycine max/growth &amp; development ; *Climate Change ; China ; Photosynthesis ; Biomass ; Ecosystem ; Temperature ; },
abstract = {A comprehensive understanding of the evolution of soybean climate potential productivity and its response to climate change in Heilongjiang Province can offer reference and basis for further tapping soybean production potential and realizing stable and high yield of soybean in the frigid region. Based on meteorological data from 80 meteorological stations in Heilongjiang Province from 1961 to 2020, we estimated photosynthesis, light temperature, and climate potential productivity of soybean by the stepwise correction method, examined the spatiotemporal variations by spatial interpolation and statistical analysis methods, and analyzed the impact of changes in climate factors such as radiation, temperature, and precipitation on climate potential productivity. The results showed that during the study period, the average values of photosynthesis potential productivity (YQ), light-temperature potential productivity (YT), and climate potential productivity (YW) of soybean in Heilongjiang Province were 7533, 6444, and 3515 kg·hm[-2], respectively. The temporal changes of those variables showed significant increasing trends, with increases of 125.9, 182.9, and 116.1 kg·hm[-2]·(10 a)[-1], respectively. For the spatial distribution, YQ, YT, YW were characterized by high values in plains and lower in the mountains, and gradually decreased from southwest to northeast. Compared with that during 1961-1990, the high value zone of YW in period 1991-2020 expanded by 7.1%, and the low value zone decreased by 5.1%. YW showed a significant response to climate change. The potential temperature growth period was extended due to climate warming. The continuous increase in thermal resources, combined with relatively sufficient precipitation, effectively alleviated the negative impact of the decline in light resources on soybean production in Heilongjiang Province. The projected "warm and humid" climate would comprehensively boost climate potential productivity of soybean in Heilongjiang Province.},
}
@article {pmid39235009,
year = {2024},
author = {Hu, R and Dong, LB},
title = {[Temporal and spatial variations of vegetation coverage in Heilongjiang Basin and its responses to climate change].},
journal = {Ying yong sheng tai xue bao = The journal of applied ecology},
volume = {35},
number = {6},
pages = {1518-1524},
doi = {10.13287/j.1001-9332.202406.027},
pmid = {39235009},
issn = {1001-9332},
mesh = {*Climate Change ; China ; *Ecosystem ; *Environmental Monitoring/methods ; Spatio-Temporal Analysis ; Remote Sensing Technology ; Rivers ; Conservation of Natural Resources ; Mongolia ; Satellite Imagery ; },
abstract = {Exploring the temporal and spatial dynamics of vegetation coverage in the Heilongjiang Basin and its response to climate change can provide a theoretical basis and data support for integrated basin management for three countries (Mongolia, China and Russia) in the region. We used MOD13Q1 remote sensing data from Google Earth Engine (GEE) platform between 2000 and 2020 to process the normalized vegetation index (NDVI) through the maximum value composites method, and calculated the vegetation coverage (FVC) using the dimidiate pixel model. The Sen+MK trend analysis method was employed to monitor the dynamics of FVC, while the Pearson correlation coefficient was utilized to quantify the responses of FVC to climate change. The results showed that the overall FVC in the Heilongjiang Basin exhibited a slight decreasing trend during 2000-2020, with an annual rate of 0.1%. The FVC in Mongolia showed a fluctuating increase trend (0.13%), while slight decrease trends were observed for Russia (0.15%) and China (0.08%). The FVC predominantly slightly degraded and severely degraded, accounting for 34% and 17% of the area, respectively, while the significantly improved area only accounted for 9%. The impact of precipitation on FVC in the study area was significantly greater than that of temperature. The proportion of areas where precipitation and temperature had a significant impact on FVC was 8.2% and 2.2%, respectively. The correlation coefficient between precipitation and FVC was the highest in Mongolia (r=0.446, P<0.05), and the lowest in Russian region (r=-0.442, P< 0.05).},
}
@article {pmid39234047,
year = {2024},
author = {Okatch, H and Remshifski, PA and Fennessey, A and Campbell, H and Barnoy, S and Friedman, J and Kern, SB and Frasso, R and Sorensen, C and Bar-Shalita, T and Hunter, LN},
title = {Climate change and its impact on health: a global collaborative learning model.},
journal = {Frontiers in medicine},
volume = {11},
number = {},
pages = {1438609},
pmid = {39234047},
issn = {2296-858X},
abstract = {To address the health effects of climate change, leaders in healthcare have called for action to integrate climate adaptation and mitigation into training programs for health professionals. However, current educators may not possess sufficient climate literacy and the expertise to effectively include such content in their respective healthcare curricula. We, an international and interprofessional partnership, collaborated with experts to develop and deploy curriculum to increase health educators' and graduate health profession students' knowledge and competencies on climate change. In a tri-step process, the first phase included recruiting interested faculty members from two institutions and varying health professions. In phase two, faculty members collaborated to develop a faculty symposium on climate change including educational competencies required of health professions, practice standards, guidelines, and profession-specific content. Symposium outcomes included broader faculty member interest and commitment to create an interprofessional climate change course for healthcare graduate students. In phase three, course development resulted from collaboration between faculty members at the two institutions and faculty members from the Global Consortium on Climate and Health Education (GCCHE), with course objectives informed by GCCHE competencies. Climate experts and faculty members delivered the course content over a 10-week period to 30 faculty members and students representing seven health professions, who were surveyed (n = 13) for feedback. This course can serve as an example for international collaborators interested in developing climate change courses for health profession students. Lessons learned in this process include: climate change novice faculty members can develop impactful climate change courses; students and faculty members can be co-learners; diverse representation in course attendees enriches the learning experience; and collaboration is key.},
}
@article {pmid39233440,
year = {2024},
author = {Hosseiniyan Khatibi, SM and Dimaano, NG and Veliz, E and Sundaresan, V and Ali, J},
title = {Exploring and exploiting the rice phytobiome to tackle climate change challenges.},
journal = {Plant communications},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {101078},
doi = {10.1016/j.xplc.2024.101078},
pmid = {39233440},
issn = {2590-3462},
abstract = {The future of agriculture is uncertain under the current climate change scenario. Climate change directly and indirectly affects the biotic and abiotic elements that control agroecosystems, jeopardizing the safety of the world's food supply. A new area that focuses on characterizing the phytobiome is emerging. The phytobiome comprises plants and their immediate surroundings, involving numerous interdependent microscopic and macroscopic organisms that affect the health and productivity of plants. Phytobiome studies primarily focus on the microbial communities associated with plants, which are referred to as the plant microbiome. The development of high-throughput sequencing technologies over the past ten years has dramatically advanced the understanding of the structure, functionality, and dynamics of the phytobiome; however, comprehensive methods for using this knowledge are lacking, particularly on major crops such as rice. Taking into account the impact of rice production on world food security, gaining fresh perspectives on the interdependent and interrelated components of the rice phytobiome could enhance rice production and crop health, sustain rice ecosystem function, and combat the effects of climate change. Our review re-conceptualizes the complex dynamics of the microscopic and macroscopic components in the rice phytobiome as influenced by human interventions and changing environmental conditions driven by climate change. We also discuss the interdisciplinary and systematic approaches to decipher and reprogram the sophisticated interactions in the rice phytobiome using novel strategies and cutting-edge technology. Converging the gigantic datasets and complex information on the rice phytobiome and its application in the context of regenerative agriculture could lead to sustainable rice farming practices that are resilient to the impacts of climate change.},
}
@article {pmid39233419,
year = {2024},
author = {Yang, ST and Wang, HC and Jing, WK and Wang, QG and Yan, HJ and Qiu, XQ and Jian, HY},
title = {Simulation of climate change effect on the global distribution of Rosa multiflora.},
journal = {Ying yong sheng tai xue bao = The journal of applied ecology},
volume = {35},
number = {7},
pages = {1897-1906},
doi = {10.13287/j.1001-9332.202407.022},
pmid = {39233419},
issn = {1001-9332},
mesh = {*Rosa/growth &amp; development ; *Climate Change ; *Introduced Species ; China ; *Ecosystem ; Computer Simulation ; Plant Dispersal ; },
abstract = {Rosa multiflora, originated from East Asia, is one of the original ancestors of modern roses. It is also an important genetic resource and rootstock for rose cultivation. Due to its high resistance and vigorous growth, R. multiflora has become an invasive species in some introduction sites, such as North America. To explore the correlation between the suitable habitat of R. multiflora and climate change, we predicted its potential geographic distribution with an optimized MaxEnt model based on 1246 distribution records and nine bioclimatic variables. The results showed that the mean temperature of the coldest quarter, minimum temperature of the coldest month, precipitation of the warmest quarter, and isothermality were significant bioclimatic variables affecting the potential geographic distribution of R. multiflora. Under current climate conditions, R. multiflora naturally distributed in the plains and hilly areas to the east and south of the Loess Plateau. The distribution pattern in the mid-holocene was similar to its current distribution, but the highly suitable distribution area was in the south of North China Plain, the Sichuan Basin, and parts of the Middle-Lower Yangtze Plain. During the last interglacial, the suitable areas generally contrac-ted southward, while the highly suitable areas significantly expanded and mainly located in the Sichuan Basin, the Middle-Lower Yangtze Plains, the Yunnan-Guizhou Plateau, and the Southeast Hills. Beyond its natural distribution in East Asia, R. multiflora had been introduced and spread to most parts of Europe and the central and eastern United States. The distribution area of R. multiflora would expand under three warming scenarios of different shared socioeconomic pathways (SSP1-2.6, SSP2-4.5, and SSP5-8.5) during 2041-2060 and 2081-2100. Its average distribution center (centroid) would shift towards higher latitude, indicating that the distribution of R. multiflora was closely related to climate change and that global warming might lead to an expansion of its distribution area. These results would improve our understanding of the ecological adaptability of R. multiflora, facilitate the predicting of its future distribution, and provide a theoretical basis for monitoring and early warning measures following its introduction.},
}
@article {pmid39233075,
year = {2024},
author = {Huang, H and Zhou, Z and Peng, D and Chu, J},
title = {Potential impacts of climate change on cephalopods in a highly productive region (Northwest Pacific): Habitat suitability and management.},
journal = {The Science of the total environment},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {175794},
doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.175794},
pmid = {39233075},
issn = {1879-1026},
abstract = {Cephalopods occupy a mid-trophic level in marine ecosystems and are vital both ecologically and as fishery resources. However, under the pressure of climate change and fishing, the sustainability of cephalopod resources requires reasonable management. This study aims to study climate change and fishing impacts on the common economic cephalopod species habitats using species distribution models. We take the northwest Pacific Ocean region as an example, which stands out as a significant region for cephalopod production around the world. Results found that the habitats of cephalopods are moving to higher latitudes or deeper waters (Bohai Sea, mid-bottom Yellow Sea, or the Okinawa Trough waters) under climate change. Additionally, these regions are currently under lower fishing pressure, which suggests that species migration might mitigate the effects of warming and fishing. This study provides the large-scale assessment of the distribution range of cephalopods affected by climate change coping with fishing pressure in the northwest Pacific Ocean. By identifying climate refuges and key fishing grounds, we underscore the importance of this information for managing cephalopod resources in the context of climate adaptation and sustainable fishing practices.},
}
@article {pmid39232390,
year = {2024},
author = {Tito, VR and Kazem, H and Kadia, SO and Paquito, B},
title = {A systematic review of mental health and climate change in the Philippines.},
journal = {Asian journal of psychiatry},
volume = {101},
number = {},
pages = {104191},
doi = {10.1016/j.ajp.2024.104191},
pmid = {39232390},
issn = {1876-2026},
abstract = {The Philippines are at the forefront of climate change impacts, including those related to health and well-being, but information on mental health and well-being are typically underreported. To help address this research lacuna, we conducted a systematic literature review. We aimed to provide an overview of current research knowledge and research gaps regarding the impacts of climate change outcomes on Filipinos' mental health and well-being. Consulting 8 databases, we identified 951 records. The final analysis included 32 studies: 16 quantitative, 11 qualitative, 2 longitudinal, 2 experimental, and 1 published report. A narrative synthesis has been performed to synthesize the findings from included studies. Studies were presented in four sections: 1) Risks to mental health following a natural disaster, 2) Determinants of post-traumatic stress disorder risks, 3) Resilience and post-traumatic growth following natural disasters, and 4) Personal experiences and other mental health outcomes. Reviewed data show that climate change outcomes strongly and negatively impact Filippino's mental health and well-being. Climate change outcomes also, negatively affect mental health through indirect (e.g., sleep disorders) and long-term pathways for example by being exposed to stressors such as migration, conflict, and violence. A set of coping strategies was identified which include banding together, mobilizing health experts, and expanding the local relationships with health workers. Future prospective studies should assess the effects of rising sea levels and vector-borne diseases among frontline communities. More interventional studies assessing preventive interventions and health promotion initiatives should be carried out to mitigate mental health disorders and improve well-being, thus contributing to improved health outcomes.},
}
@article {pmid39232328,
year = {2024},
author = {Xu, M and Sun, Y and Wang, H and Qi, P and Peng, Z and Wu, Y and Zhang, G},
title = {Altitude characteristics in the response of rain-on-snow flood risk to future climate change in a high-latitude water tower.},
journal = {Journal of environmental management},
volume = {369},
number = {},
pages = {122292},
doi = {10.1016/j.jenvman.2024.122292},
pmid = {39232328},
issn = {1095-8630},
abstract = {Global warming is profoundly impacting snowmelt runoff processes in seasonal freeze-thaw zones, thereby altering the risk of rain-on-snow (ROS) floods. These changes not only affect the frequency of floods but also alter the allocation of water resources, which has implications for agriculture and other key economic sectors. While these risks present a significant threat to our lives and economies, the risk of ROS floods triggered by climate change has not received the attention it deserves. Therefore, we chose Changbai Mountain, a water tower in a high-latitude cold zone, as a typical study area. The semi-distributed hydrological model SWAT is coupled with CMIP6 meteorological data, and four shared socioeconomic pathways (SSP126, SSP245, SSP370, and SSP585) are selected after bias correction, thus quantifying the impacts of climate change on hydrological processes in the Changbai Mountain region as well as future evolution of the ROS flood risk. The results indicate that: (1) Under future climate change scenarios, snowmelt in most areas of the Changbai Mountains decreases. The annual average snowmelt under SSP126, SSP245, SSP370, and SSP585 is projected to be 148.65 mm, 135.63 mm, 123.44 mm, and 116.5 mm, respectively. The onset of snowmelt is projected to advance in the future. Specifically, in the Songhua River (SR) and Yalu River (YR) regions, the start of snowmelt is expected to advance by 1-11 days. Spatially, significant reductions in snowmelt were observed in both the central part of the watershed and the lower reaches of the river under SSP585 scenario. (2) In 2021-2060, the frequency of ROS floods decreases sequentially for different scenarios, with SSP 126 > SSP 245 > SSP 370 > SSP 585. The frequency increments of ROS floods in the source area for the four scenarios were 0.12 days/year, 0.1 d/yr, 0.13 days/year, and 0.15 days/year, respectively. The frequency of high-elevation ROS events increases in the YR in the low emission scenario. Conversely, in high emission scenarios, YR high-elevation ROS events will only increase in 2061-2100. This phenomenon is more pronounced in the Tumen River (TR), where floods become more frequent with increasing elevation.},
}
@article {pmid39232275,
year = {2024},
author = {Keppel, G and Stralberg, D and Morelli, TL and Bátori, Z},
title = {Managing climate-change refugia to prevent extinctions.},
journal = {Trends in ecology &amp; evolution},
volume = {39},
number = {9},
pages = {800-808},
doi = {10.1016/j.tree.2024.05.002},
pmid = {39232275},
issn = {1872-8383},
mesh = {*Climate Change ; *Conservation of Natural Resources/methods ; *Extinction, Biological ; *Refugium ; *Biodiversity ; Animals ; },
abstract = {Earth is facing simultaneous biodiversity and climate crises. Climate-change refugia - areas that are relatively buffered from climate change - can help address both of these problems by maintaining biodiversity components when the surrounding landscape no longer can. However, this capacity to support biodiversity is often vulnerable to severe climate change and other stressors. Thus, management actions need to consider the complex and multidimensional nature of refugia. We outline an approach to understand refugia-promoting processes and to evaluate refugial capacity to determine suitable management actions. Our framework applies climate-change refugia as tools to facilitate resistance in modern conservation planning. Such refugia-focused management can reduce extinctions and maintain biodiversity under climate change.},
}
@article {pmid39232116,
year = {2024},
author = {Loughnan, D and Joly, S and Legault, G and Kharouba, HM and Betancourt, M and Wolkovich, EM},
title = {Phenology varies with phylogeny but not by trophic level with climate change.},
journal = {Nature ecology &amp; evolution},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
pmid = {39232116},
issn = {2397-334X},
abstract = {Shifts in phenology with climate change can lead to asynchrony between interacting species, with cascading impacts on ecosystem services. Previous meta-analyses have produced conflicting results on whether asynchrony has increased in recent decades, but the underlying data have also varied-including in species composition, interaction types and whether studies compared data grouped by trophic level or compared shifts in known interacting species pairs. Here, using updated data from previous studies and a Bayesian phylogenetic model, we found that species have advanced an average of 3.1 days per decade across 1,279 time series across 29 taxonomic classes. We found no evidence that shifts vary by trophic level: shifts were similar when grouped by trophic level, and for species pairs when grouped by their type of interaction-either as paired species known to interact or as randomly paired species. Phenology varied with phylogeny (λ = 0.4), suggesting that uneven sampling of species may affect estimates of phenology and potentially phenological shifts. These results could aid forecasting for well-sampled groups but suggest that climate change has not yet led to widespread increases in phenological asynchrony across interacting species, although substantial biases in current data make forecasting for most groups difficult.},
}
@article {pmid39232079,
year = {2024},
author = {Li, C and Luo, G and Yue, C and Zhang, L and Duan, Y and Liu, Y and Yang, S and Wang, Z and Chen, P},
title = {Distribution patterns and potential suitable habitat prediction of Ceracris kiangsu (Orthoptera: Arcypteridae) under climate change- a case study of China and Southeast Asia.},
journal = {Scientific reports},
volume = {14},
number = {1},
pages = {20580},
pmid = {39232079},
issn = {2045-2322},
mesh = {Animals ; *Ecosystem ; *Climate Change ; China ; Asia, Southeastern ; Orthoptera/physiology ; Animal Distribution ; Grasshoppers/physiology ; },
abstract = {Ceracris kiangsu (Orthoptera: Arcypteridae), is greatly affected by climatic factors and exhibits strong adaptability, posing a serious threat to the ecological environment. Therefore, predicting its potential suitable habitat distribution provides a proactive theoretical basis for pest control. This study using the Biomod2 package of R simulated and predicted the current and future potential distribution, area changes, changes in the center points of suitable habitats, and niche shifts of C. kiangsu under two different greenhouse gas emission scenarios, SSP1-26 and SSP5-85. The results show that: (1) Currently, the high suitability areas for C. kiangsu are mainly distributed in Yunnan, Jiangxi, Hunan provinces in southern China and phongsaly province in northern Laos. In the future, the center of the suitable habitat distribution pattern of C. kiangsu will remain unchanged, primarily expanding outward from medium and high suitability areas. Additionally, significant suitable habitats for C. kiangsu were discovered in Southeast Asian countries without previous pest records. (2) Compared to the present, the overall suitable habitat area for C. kiangsu is expected to expand, particularly under the SSP5-85 climate change scenario. (3) In the SSP1-26 and SSP5-85 climate scenarios, the geometric center of the suitable habitat generally shows a trend of gradually shifting northeast. (4) Under different climate scenarios, the suitable habitat of C. kiangsu has highly overlapping, indicating that the suitable habitat of C. kiangsu in the invaded areas is broader than in its native regions. In conclusion, the research findings represent a breakthrough in identifying the potential distribution areas of C. kiangsu, which is of great practical significance for the monitoring and control of C. kiangsu pest infestation in China and Southeast Asian countries.},
}
@article {pmid39232016,
year = {2024},
author = {Sharaftmandrad, M and Abedi Sarvestani, A and Shahraki, M and Hassanzadeh Nafooti, M},
title = {Uncovering the reasons behind the failure of pastoralists in adopting climate change adaptation strategies.},
journal = {Scientific reports},
volume = {14},
number = {1},
pages = {20602},
pmid = {39232016},
issn = {2045-2322},
abstract = {Climate change has caused pastoralists to face serious challenges all around the world. To reduce climate change vulnerability, adaptation strategies need to be adopted by pastoralists. In this regard, the present research was done to seek the reasons for the failure of the northeastern pastoralists of Iran in adopting climate change adaptation strategies. The study is descriptive, which conducted by a field survey. The target population included 249 pastoralists from 7 pastoral units, of whom 148 people were selected as sample size using the stratified random sampling technique. The survey instrument was a researcher-made questionnaire. The content validity and face validity of the questionnaire were checked by the experts. Convergent validity was also confirmed based on the average variance extracted (AVE). Cronbach's α coefficient and composite reliability (CR) were used to evaluate the internal consistency of the questionnaire. The results showed that social and, regulatory and insurance components were the most critical internal and external weaknesses of the pastoralists' failure in adopting climate change adaptation strategies, respectively. Structural equation modeling showed that external weaknesses had positive and significant effects on internal weaknesses of the pastoralists' failure in adopting climate change adaptation strategies.},
}
@article {pmid39231177,
year = {2024},
author = {Mondo, JM and Chuma, GB and Matiti, HM and Kihye, JB and Bagula, EM and Karume, K and Kahindo, C and Egeru, A and Majaliwa, JM and Agre, PA and Adebola, PA and Asfaw, A},
title = {Crop calendar optimization for climate change adaptation in yam farming in South-Kivu, eastern D.R. Congo.},
journal = {PloS one},
volume = {19},
number = {9},
pages = {e0309775},
pmid = {39231177},
issn = {1932-6203},
mesh = {*Climate Change ; *Dioscorea/growth &amp; development/physiology ; Democratic Republic of the Congo ; *Crops, Agricultural/growth &amp; development ; Rain ; Agriculture/methods ; Seasons ; Temperature ; },
abstract = {The traditional crop calendar for yam (Dioscorea spp.) in South-Kivu, eastern Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC), is becoming increasingly inadequate given the significant climatic variability observed over the last three decades. This study aimed at: (i) assessing trends in weather data across time and space to ascertain climate change, and (ii) optimizing the yam crop calendar for various South-Kivu agro-ecological zones (AEZs) to adapt to the changing climate. The 1990-2022 weather data series were downloaded from the NASA-MERRA platform, bias correction was carried out using local weather stations' records, and analyses were performed using RClimDex 1.9. Local knowledge and CROPWAT 8.0 were used to define planting dates for yam in different AEZs. Results showed the existence of four AEZs in the South-Kivu province, with contrasting altitudes, temperatures, and rainfall patterns. Climate change is real in all these South-Kivu's AEZs, resulting either in rainfall deficits in some areas, or extreme rainfall events in others, with significant temperature increases across all AEZs. Suitable yam planting dates varied with AEZs, September 15th and 20th were recommended for the AEZ 2 while October 15th was optimal for AEZ 1, AEZ 3, and AEZ 4. However, none of the planting date scenarios could meet the yam water requirements in AEZ1, AEZ3, and AEZ4, since the effective rainfall (Pmm) was always inferior to the plant water demand (ETc), meaning that soil water conservation practices are needed for optimum plant growth and yield in these AEZs. This study does not recommend planting yam during the short rainy season owing to prolonged droughts coinciding with critical growth phases of yam, unless supplemental irrigation is envisaged. This study provided insights on the nature of climate change across the past three decades and suggested a yam crop calendar that suits the changing climate of eastern DRC.},
}
@article {pmid39230886,
year = {2024},
author = {Chekuri, B and O'Connor, T and Lemery, J},
title = {Climate Change and Preventable Injuries.},
journal = {JAMA},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1001/jama.2024.13818},
pmid = {39230886},
issn = {1538-3598},
}
@article {pmid39229603,
year = {2024},
author = {Mutsvene, T and Klingelhöfer, HE},
title = {Hedging climate change risks in Southern Africa's agricultural industry using catastrophe bonds.},
journal = {Jamba (Potchefstroom, South Africa)},
volume = {16},
number = {1},
pages = {1641},
pmid = {39229603},
issn = {1996-1421},
abstract = {UNLABELLED: The agricultural sector is one of the key economic contributors in Southern Africa. However, agricultural production has been highly affected by climate change risks such as tropical cyclones, floods, droughts, heatwaves, hail, etc., which threaten food and nutrition security, livelihoods and business sustainability. Because of underwriting capacity problems, insurers and reinsurers have failed to provide cover for climate change risks. Also, derivatives have failed to provide a reliable option for hedging such risks. This paper explores the concept of catastrophe bonds (CAT bonds) in providing climate change risk finance. Employing the content analysis, the research shows how CAT bonds can help traditional (re)insurance in providing sufficient hedge against climate change risks and in improving disaster-preparedness, disaster risk-reduction, post-recovery initiatives and sustainable socio-economic agricultural development. The findings show that the adoption of CAT bonds can improve (re)insurers´ underwriting capacity and may enhance agricultural land policies, development, food and nutrition security and employment.<br><br>CONTRIBUTION: The paper shows how CAT bonds can be employed to hedge against climate change risks in agricultural production and to increase (re)insurers&#xb4; underwriting capacity. It further discusses the attractiveness of CAT bonds as another investment option for agricultural investors and how to develop and institutionalise a CAT bond market.},
}
@article {pmid39229601,
year = {2024},
author = {Muragijimana, C and Ntakirutimana, T and Khan, S},
title = {Climate change, culture and health: Indigenous resilience, a study from Turkana County, Kenya.},
journal = {Jamba (Potchefstroom, South Africa)},
volume = {16},
number = {1},
pages = {1647},
pmid = {39229601},
issn = {1996-1421},
abstract = {UNLABELLED: Climate change and recurring droughts-induced effects on health are becoming an increasingly main global, cultural and public health burden. The heaviest health burden leans on the fragile socio-economic systems among the remote agro-pastoral communities, living in the arid and semi-arid lands (ASALs). Previous studies underlined the indispensability of indigenous knowledge (IK) for resilience-driven disaster risk reduction (DRR) strategies. However, more attention has been drawn towards the necessity of IK in weather forecasts, with less emphasis on its indispensability to alleviate health burden associated with climate change and droughts. We explored the contextual application of IK-based adaptation and related complementarity aspects for culturally relevant and sustainable DRR strategies for the nomadic agro-pastoral communities in Lopur, Turkana, Kenya. Relying on a descriptive qualitative study in phenomenological approach, purposive sampling and focus group discussions with key community influencers, a thematic analysis was conducted for an in-depth understanding and interpretation of data patterns. The contextualised insights revealed the growing vulnerability as a result of the disconnect between modern interventions, IK and the newly adopted environmental degrading coping tactics. Policy-wise, the findings portrayed the necessity for cultural integration and incorporation of indigenous knowledge-based strategies and systems for reinforced information dissemination, accessibility and acceptability for droughts preparedness and response.<br><br>CONTRIBUTION: This study underlined the existing room for scientific exploration of the already existing indigenous knowledge-based solutions for food and water insecurity, towards improved resilience for the vulnerable communities experiencing inequitable climate change calamities in the ASALs.},
}
@article {pmid39229052,
year = {2024},
author = {Couper, LI and Dodge, TO and Hemker, JA and Kim, BY and Exposito-Alonso, M and Brem, RB and Mordecai, EA and Bitter, MC},
title = {Evolutionary adaptation under climate change: Aedes sp. demonstrates potential to adapt to warming.},
journal = {bioRxiv : the preprint server for biology},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1101/2024.08.23.609454},
pmid = {39229052},
issn = {2692-8205},
abstract = {UNLABELLED: Climate warming is expected to shift the distributions of mosquitoes and mosquito-borne diseases, facilitating expansions at cool range edges and contractions at warm edges. However, whether mosquito populations could maintain their warm range edges through evolutionary adaptation remains unknown. Here, we investigate the potential for thermal adaptation in Aedes sierrensis , a congener of the major disease vector species that experiences large thermal gradients in its native range, by assaying tolerance to prolonged and acute heat exposure, and their genetic basis in a diverse, field-derived population. We found pervasive evidence of heritable genetic variation in acute heat tolerance, which phenotypically trades off with tolerance to prolonged heat exposure. A simple evolutionary model based on our data shows that, under most scenarios, the estimated maximum rate of evolutionary adaptation in mosquito heat tolerance exceeds that of projected climate warming. Our findings indicate that natural mosquito populations likely have the potential to track projected warming via genetic adaptation. Prior climate-based projections may thus underestimate the range of mosquito and mosquito-borne disease distributions under future climate conditions.<br><br>SIGNIFICANCE STATEMENT: Global change may have profound impacts on the distribution of mosquito-borne diseases, which collectively cause nearly one million deaths each year. Accurately predicting these impacts is critical for disease control preparedness, and will depend, in part, on whether mosquitoes can adapt to warming-a key open question. Using experimental and genomic data from a relative of major vector species that already experiences a wide thermal gradient, we find that natural mosquito populations have high levels of genetically-based variation in heat tolerance that could enable adaptation on pace with warming. Incorporating the potential for adaptive responses may therefore be necessary for accurate predictions of mosquito-borne disease distributions under warming, which is critical for preparing mosquito control interventions.},
}
@article {pmid39228814,
year = {2024},
author = {Yang, J and Zhao, Z and Fang, W and Ma, Z and Liu, M and Bi, J},
title = {China's progress in synergetic governance of climate change and multiple environmental issues.},
journal = {PNAS nexus},
volume = {3},
number = {9},
pages = {pgae351},
pmid = {39228814},
issn = {2752-6542},
abstract = {Advancing the synergetic control of climate change and environmental crisis is crucial for achieving global sustainable development goals. This study evaluates synergetic governance levels over climate change and four environmental issues at the provincial level in China from 2009 to 2020. Our findings reveal significant progress in China's coordinated efforts to mitigate carbon emissions, reduce air pollutants, and conserve water resources. However, there remains room for improvement in managing solid waste and protecting ecological systems and overall progress in synergetic governance has slowed since 2015. Employing a random forest model, we identify socio-economic factors with great influence on synergetic climate change and environmental governance, such as energy intensity, service sector development, electronic equipment manufacturing, and transportation. Additionally, we reveal nonlinear relationships between some factors and performance of environmental subsystems, including both plateau effects (e.g. output in the smelting of ferrous metals) and U-shaped patterns (e.g. output in the manufacturing of metal products), possibly attributed to constraints in end-of-pipe treatment capacities and complexities in supply chain networks. Furthermore, through hierarchical clustering analysis, we classify provinces into four groups and provide tailored recommendations for policymakers to enhance synergetic governance levels in their respective regions. The framework established in this study also serves as a valuable reference for countries seeking to develop practical and context-specific solutions to mitigate climate and environmental risks.},
}
@article {pmid39228044,
year = {2024},
author = {Miller, FW},
title = {The Environment, Lifestyles and Climate Change: The Many Nongenetic Contributors to The Long and Winding Road to Autoimmune Diseases.},
journal = {Arthritis care &amp; research},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1002/acr.25423},
pmid = {39228044},
issn = {2151-4658},
abstract = {A critical unanswered question is what is causing the increase in the prevalence of autoimmunity and autoimmune diseases around the world. Given the rapidity of change, this is likely the result of major recent alterations in our exposures to environmental risk factors for these diseases. More evidence is becoming available that the evolution of autoimmune disease, years or even decades in the making, results from multiple exposures that alter susceptible genomes and immune systems over time. Exposures during sensitive phases in key developmental or hormonal periods may set the stage for the effects of later exposures. It is likely that synergistic and additive impacts of exposure mixtures result in chronic low-level inflammation. This inflammation may eventually pass thresholds that lead to immune system activation and autoimmunity, and, with further molecular and pathologic changes, the complete clinical syndrome emerges. Much work remains to be done to define the mechanisms and risk and protective factors for autoimmune conditions. However, evidence points to a variety of pollutants, xenobiotics, infections, occupational exposures, medications, smoking, psychosocial stressors, changes in diet, obesity, exercise, and sleep patterns, as well as climate change impacts of increased heat, storms, floods, wildfires, droughts, ultraviolet radiation, malnutrition, and changing infections, as possible contributors. Substantial investments in defining the role of causal factors, in whom and when their effects are most important, the necessary and sufficient gene-environment interactions, improved diagnostics and therapies, and preventative strategies are needed now to limit the many negative personal, societal, and financial impacts that will otherwise occur.},
}
@article {pmid39227637,
year = {2024},
author = {Yang, Z and Jing, Z and Zhai, X and Vic, C and Sun, H and de Lavergne, C and Yuan, M},
title = {Enhanced generation of internal tides under global warming.},
journal = {Nature communications},
volume = {15},
number = {1},
pages = {7657},
pmid = {39227637},
issn = {2041-1723},
support = {42325601 and 92358303//National Natural Science Foundation of China (National Science Foundation of China)/ ; 42306013//National Natural Science Foundation of China (National Science Foundation of China)/ ; },
abstract = {A primary driver of deep-ocean mixing is breaking of internal tides generated via interactions of barotropic tides with topography. It is important to understand how the energy conversion from barotropic to internal tides responds to global warming. Here we address this question by applying a linear model of internal tide generation to coupled global climate model simulations under a high carbon emission scenario. The energy conversion to high-mode internal tides is projected to rise by about 8% by the end of the 21st century, whereas the energy conversion to low-mode internal tides remains nearly unchanged. The intensified near-bottom stratification under global warming increases energy conversion into both low and high-mode internal tides. In contrast, the intensified depth-averaged stratification reduces the modal horizontal wavenumber of internal tides, leading to increased (decreased) energy conversion into high (low)- mode internal tides. Our findings imply stronger mixing over rough topography under global warming, which should be properly parameterized in climate models for more accurate projections of future climate changes.},
}
@article {pmid39226553,
year = {2024},
author = {Campos, LS},
title = {Climate Change, the Environment, and Health: A Call to Action.},
journal = {Acta medica portuguesa},
volume = {37},
number = {9},
pages = {579-581},
doi = {10.20344/amp.22100},
pmid = {39226553},
issn = {1646-0758},
mesh = {*Climate Change ; Humans ; Global Health ; Environmental Health ; Environment ; },
}
@article {pmid39225510,
year = {2024},
author = {Soomro, S and Zhou, D and Charan, IA},
title = {Investigating associations between climate change anxiety and mental health impact on vulnerable populations: A qualitative analysis.},
journal = {African journal of reproductive health},
volume = {28},
number = {8},
pages = {108-121},
doi = {10.29063/ajrh2024/v28i8.11},
pmid = {39225510},
issn = {1118-4841},
mesh = {Humans ; *Climate Change ; Female ; Adolescent ; Child ; *Mental Health ; *Qualitative Research ; Male ; *Vulnerable Populations/psychology ; *Anxiety/epidemiology/psychology ; Pakistan/epidemiology ; Interviews as Topic ; Students/psychology ; },
abstract = {Climate anxiety has a negative impact on the mental health and psychological wellbeing of the vulnerable population. The goal is to assess many factors that affect mental health and psychological wellbeing, as well as how climate change affects mental health in Pakistan's vulnerable population. This study provides evidence-based insights on the long- and medium-term impacts of extreme weather events on mental health. We conducted semi-structured interviews with a sample of 72 students aged 10-16 years, employing an exploratory qualitative design. The resulting process identified themes and questions for future research on climate change and its psychological effects on children's mental health. As a result, positive emotions embedded in children's climate strategic actions in parent and community contexts helped to mitigate children's perceptions of negative emotions (such as climate anxiety, phobias, fear, sleep disorders, depression, sadness, and substance abuse). Climate change's effects can have a significant impact on mental health. We will be discussing effective strategies to address the expected mental health issues among children caused by climate change. The discussion paper offers a set of recommendations for addressing the mental health impacts of climate change, including improving mental health support systems, integrating climate change education into services, and developing targeted interventions for vulnerable populations.},
}
@article {pmid39224369,
year = {2024},
author = {He, F and Liang, L and Wang, H and Li, A and La, M and Wang, Y and Zhang, X and Zou, D},
title = {Amphibians rise to flourishing under climate change on the Qinghai-Tibetan Plateau.},
journal = {Heliyon},
volume = {10},
number = {16},
pages = {e35860},
pmid = {39224369},
issn = {2405-8440},
abstract = {Amphibian populations are declining globally due to climate change. However, the impacts on the geographic distribution of amphibians on the Qinghai-Tibetan Plateau (QTP), a global biodiversity hotspot with 112 species of amphibians that is sensitive to global climate change, remains unclear. In this study, MaxEnt and barycentre shift analyses were performed to reveal the impact of climate change on the potential future habitats of amphibians on the QTP using the BCC-CSM2-MR global climate model of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Projects Phase 6 (CMIP6) climate pattern with three shared socioeconomic pathways (SSP). In contrast to the widespread decline in the amphibian population, the future scenarios projected an increase in most amphibian habitats on the QTP, accompanied by migration to higher elevations or latitudes under three climatic projections (SSP 1-2.6, 3-7.0, and 5-8.5). Average annual precipitation was the most crucial environmental variable impacting the future distribution of amphibians. The findings indicate that amphibians would flourish under climate change on the QTP, which is of great significance for the protection of amphibians and biodiversity on the QTP.},
}
@article {pmid39224333,
year = {2024},
author = {Akinkuolie, TA and Ogunbode, TO and Oyebamiji, VO},
title = {Evaluating constraints associated with farmers' adaptation strategies to climate change impact on farming in the tropical environment.},
journal = {Heliyon},
volume = {10},
number = {16},
pages = {e36086},
pmid = {39224333},
issn = {2405-8440},
abstract = {The persistent threat of climate change poses challenges to food security, despite numerous adaptation strategies, necessitating attention to achieve sustainable livelihoods. This study conducted a survey among 220 farmers in fifteen selected rural communities from five political wards in Ondo West Local Government Area, Ondo State, Nigeria, using a multistage sampling technique. Both descriptive and inferential statistical methods were used to analyse data obtained. The results indicated that 90 % of the farmers had knowledge of consequences of climate change, while 75 % have adopted various strategies to cope with the menace. The data were factorable at p ≤ 0.05 using KMO and Bartlett's tests. Four variables were extracted out of nine analysed as significant to the explanation of constraints to CC adaptation strategies, namely: engagement in other jobs (16.499 %); farmers' experience with the varying nature of weather patterns (14.526 %); farm size variation (13.485 %); and the difficulty posed by coping with recurring erratic rainfall (11.925 %). All four variables identified and extracted explained 56.446 % of the constraints hindering farmers from coping with climate change. The study recommended further studies to identify other variables that could be accountable for the constraints in coping with the climate change scenario in the study area. The contributions of farmers' experiences to the failure of various strategies in coping with climate change form the nexus to other extracted variables and, therefore, need further investigation for sustainable agriculture globally.},
}
@article {pmid39224273,
year = {2024},
author = {Viet Ha, TT and Zhou, W},
title = {Response of the Northeast China grain market to climate change based on the gravity model approach.},
journal = {Heliyon},
volume = {10},
number = {16},
pages = {e36139},
pmid = {39224273},
issn = {2405-8440},
abstract = {Scientific evidence has revealed that climate change negatively affects agricultural crop production both regionally and globally. Previous studies have indicated that the role of climate change is significant in some parts of China. Thus, assessing the impact of the future climate on the grain market is vital for ensuring regional and national food security. In this study, regional climate model (RCM 4.5 and 8.5) simulations were employed to investigate the role of future climate change on a major grain-producing market in China (Northeast China). For this purpose, historical (2004-2017) and future (2020-2076) data were applied in the gravity model to examine the effects of climate change on the Northeast China grain market. The results revealed that the maximum temperature is a crucial climate factor that significantly affects the grain market. The analysis revealed that precipitation was positively related and that the temperature was significantly negatively related to domestic consumption and exports of rice, maize, and soybean. Moreover, the analysis of the RCM (4.5 and 8.5) simulations revealed a negative contribution of the maximum temperature to domestic consumption and export levels. Overall, the analysis enhances our understanding of the impacts of climate change on the Northeast China grain market.},
}
@article {pmid39224164,
year = {2024},
author = {Gao, J and Wei, Z and Jin, Y},
title = {The impact of elevation and prediction of climate change on an ultra high-elevation ectotherm.},
journal = {Ecology and evolution},
volume = {14},
number = {9},
pages = {e70186},
pmid = {39224164},
issn = {2045-7758},
abstract = {Climate change may affect the survival and reproduction of ectotherms. The toad-headed lizard Phrynocephalus theobaldi, which holds the distinction of occupying the highest elevation among all reptile species on Earth, with an elevational range from 3600 to 5000 m, represents an ideal model for studying the adaptations to climatic changes across elevational gradients. Here, we used mechanistic and hybrid species distribution models (HSDM) together with characteristic measurements of thermal biology (CTmax, CTmin, and Tsel) to simulate and compare the distribution and activity periods of the lizard across elevations in response to climate change. NicheMapR simulations using only climate factors predicted that all populations will be negatively impacted by climate change (+3°C) by suffering a reduced distribution. However, the impact was clearly reduced in simulations that accounted for thermal physiological traits. Longer activity periods were predicted for all populations during climate change. The suitable distribution is predicted to change slightly, with an increase anticipated for both high and low elevation populations. However, the forecast indicates a more pronounced increase in suitable habitats for populations at higher elevations (>4200 m) compared to those at lower elevations (<4200 m). This study underscores the key influence of climate change on population establishment and stresses the importance of physiological traits in distribution simulation for future studies to understand the potential constraints in animal adaptation to extreme high environments.},
}
@article {pmid39222727,
year = {2024},
author = {Han, W and Zheng, J and Guan, J and Liu, Y and Liu, L and Han, C and Li, J and Li, C and Tian, R and Mao, X},
title = {A greater negative impact of future climate change on vegetation in Central Asia: Evidence from trajectory/pattern analysis.},
journal = {Environmental research},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {119898},
doi = {10.1016/j.envres.2024.119898},
pmid = {39222727},
issn = {1096-0953},
abstract = {In the context of global warming, vegetation changes exhibit various patterns, yet previous studies have focused primarily on monotonic changes, often overlooking the complexity and diversity of multiple change processes. Therefore, it is crucial to further explore vegetation dynamics and diverse change trajectories in this region under future climate scenarios to obtain a more comprehensive understanding of local ecosystem evolution. In this study, we established an integrated machine learning prediction framework and a vegetation change trajectory recognition framework to predict the dynamics of vegetation in Central Asia under future climate change scenarios and identify its change trajectories, thus revealing the potential impacts of future climate change on vegetation in the region. The findings suggest that various future climate scenarios will negatively affect most vegetation in Central Asia, with vegetation change intensity increasing with increasing emission trajectories. Analyses of different time scales and trend variations consistently revealed more pronounced downward trends. Vegetation change trajectory analysis revealed that most vegetation has undergone nonlinear and dramatic changes, with negative changes outnumbering positive changes and curve changes outnumbering abrupt changes. Under the highest emission scenario (SSP5-8.5), the abrupt vegetation changes and curve changes are 1.7 times and 1.3 times greater, respectively, than those under the SSP1-2.6 scenario. When transitioning from lower emission pathways (SSP1-2.6, SSP2-4.5) to higher emission pathways (SSP3-7.0, SSP5-8.5), the vegetation change trajectories shift from neutral and negative curve changes to abrupt negative changes. Across climate scenarios, the key climate factors influencing vegetation changes are mostly evapotranspiration and soil moisture, with temperature and relative humidity exerting relatively minor effects. Our study reveals the negative response of vegetation in Central Asia to climate change from the perspective of vegetation dynamics and change trajectories, providing a scientific basis for the development of effective ecological protection and climate adaptation strategies.},
}
@article {pmid39222231,
year = {2024},
author = {Sahoo, D and Moharaj, P},
title = {Assessing agricultural vulnerability to climate change through dynamic indexing approach.},
journal = {Environmental science and pollution research international},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
pmid = {39222231},
issn = {1614-7499},
support = {IoE-6031//Banaras Hindu University/ ; },
abstract = {The present study aims to assess agricultural vulnerability in the context of climate change, focusing on the diverse districts of Odisha. Acknowledging that vulnerability is influenced by exposure, sensitivity, and adaptive capacity, our research incorporates the growth rate and instability of vital performance indicators to evaluate the relative vulnerability of each district. A key strength of this approach is the use of normalized indicators, weighted in accordance with the proportional acreage of major crops in each district relative to the state, culminating in a comprehensive vulnerability index through the aggregation of these weighted components. Our findings reveal significant variability in the vulnerability profiles across districts, thereby necessitating state-level intervention through tailored "Location Performance Vulnerability" based adaptation strategies. These strategies, including early weather warning systems, development of new and early maturing crop varieties, and adjustment of crop planting dates, are crucial for mitigating the adverse effects of climate change on agriculture. The study's methodology and findings offer significant contributions to the field, providing policymakers and stakeholders with a district-specific framework for climate change adaptation. This approach is especially relevant for the international academic and policy-making communities, as it highlights the importance of localized adaptation strategies in the broader context of global climate change resilience.},
}
@article {pmid39222225,
year = {2024},
author = {Wu, WT and Kono, M and Lee, CP and Chang, YY and Yang, YH and Lin, CC and Liu, TM and Li, HC and Chen, YM and Chen, PC},
title = {Climate Change Projections for Stroke Incidence in Taiwan: Impact of 2 °C and 4 °C Global Warming Level.},
journal = {Journal of epidemiology and global health},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
pmid = {39222225},
issn = {2210-6014},
support = {MOST-111-2119-M-002//National Science Council (NSC), Executive Yuan, Taiwan/ ; },
abstract = {OBJECTIVES: This study aimed to establish the exposure-lag-response effect between daily maximum temperature and stroke-related emergency department visits and to project heat-induced stroke impacts under global warming levels (GWL) of 2 °C and 4 °C.<br><br>METHODS: Stroke-related emergency department visits in Taiwan from 2001 to 2020 were identified using the National Health Insurance Research Database (NHIRD). The study population consisted of 1,100,074 initial stroke cases matched with 2,200,148 non-stroke controls. We employed Distributed Lag Nonlinear Models (DLNM) in a case-crossover study to investigate the association between temperature and stroke. Generalized Estimating Equations (GEE) models with a Poisson function were used to correlate high-temperature exposure with annual stroke incidence rates. Projections were made under two global warming scenarios, GWL 2.0&#xa0;&#xb0;C and 4.0&#xa0;&#xb0;C, using Coupled General Circulation Model (GCMs). Baseline data from 1995 to 2014 were transformed for spatial distribution at the township level. Geographic Information System (GIS) spatial analysis was performed using Quantum GIS 3.2.0 software.<br><br>RESULTS: DLNM exposure-lag-response effect revealed that daily maximum temperature exceeding 34&#xa0;&#xb0;C significantly increased the risk of stroke-related emergency department visits, particularly for ischemic stroke. Under the 2&#xa0;&#xb0;C GWL scenario, the frequency of days with temperatures surpassing 34&#xa0;&#xb0;C is projected to rise substantially by the median year of 2042, with a further increase to 92.6&#x2009;&#xb1;&#x2009;18.0 days/year by 2065 under the 4&#xa0;&#xb0;C GWL scenario. Ischemic stroke showed the highest increase in temperature-related incidence rates, notably rising from 7.80% under the GWL 2&#xa0;&#xb0;C to 36.06% under the GWL 4&#xa0;&#xb0;C. Specifically, the annual temperature-related incidence rate for ischemic stroke is expected to increase significantly by 2065. Regions such as Taichung, Hsinchu, Yilan, and Taitung demonstrated pronounced changes in heat-related ischemic stroke incidence under the GWL 4&#xa0;&#xb0;C.<br><br>CONCLUSIONS: The findings emphasize the importance of addressing temperature-related stroke risks, particularly in regions projected to experience significant temperature increases. Effective mitigation strategies are crucial to reduce the impact of rising temperatures on stroke incidence and safeguard public health.},
}
@article {pmid39221818,
year = {2024},
author = {Kouakou, YE and Dely, ID and Doumbia, M and Ouattara, A and N'da, EJ and Brou, KE and Zouzou, YA and Cissé, G and Koné, B},
title = {Methodological framework for assessing malaria risk associated with climate change in Côte d'Ivoire.},
journal = {Geospatial health},
volume = {19},
number = {2},
pages = {},
doi = {10.4081/gh.2024.1285},
pmid = {39221818},
issn = {1970-7096},
mesh = {Cote d'Ivoire/epidemiology ; Humans ; *Malaria/epidemiology ; *Climate Change ; Risk Assessment ; Female ; Pregnancy ; Risk Factors ; Child, Preschool ; },
abstract = {Malaria is the leading cause of morbidity among children under five years of age and pregnant women in Côte d'Ivoire. We assessed the geographical distribution of its risk in all climatic zones of the country based on the Fifth Assessment Report (AR5) of the United Nations Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) approach to climate risk analysis. This methodology considers three main driving components affecting the risk: Hazard, exposure and vulnerability. Considering the malaria impact chain, various variables were identified for each of the risk factors and for each variable, a measurable indicator was identified. These indicators were then standardized, weighted through a participatory approach based on expert judgement and finally aggregated to calculate current and future risk. With regard to the four climatic zones in the country: Attieen (sub-equatorial regime) in the South, Baouleen (humid tropical) in the centre, Sudanese or equatorial (tropical transition regime) in the North and the mountainous (humid) in the West. Malaria risk among pregnant women and children under 5 was found to be higher in the mountainous and the Baouleen climate, with the hazard highest in the mountainous climate and Exposure very high in the Attieen climate. The most vulnerable districts were those in Baouleen, Attieen and the mountainous climates. By 2050, the IPCC representative concentration pathway (RCP) 4.5 and 8.5 scenarios predict an increase in risk in almost all climatic zones, compared to current levels, with the former considering a moderate scenario, with an emissions peak around 2040 followed by a decline and RCP 8.5 giving the highest baseline emissions scenario, in which emissions continue to rise. It is expected that the AR5 approach to climate risk analysis will be increasingly used in climate risk assessment studies so that it can be better assessed at a variety of scales.},
}
@article {pmid39221648,
year = {2024},
author = {Braz-Mota, S and Luis Val, A},
title = {Fish mortality in the Amazonian drought of 2023: the role of experimental biology in our response to climate change.},
journal = {The Journal of experimental biology},
volume = {227},
number = {17},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1242/jeb.247255},
pmid = {39221648},
issn = {1477-9145},
support = {465540/2014-7//Conselho Nacional de Desenvolvimento Cient&#xed;fico e Tecnol&#xf3;gico/ ; 062.1187/2017//Funda&#xe7;&#xe3;o de Amparo &#xe0; Pesquisa do Estado do Amazonas/ ; 001//Coordena&#xe7;&#xe3;o de Aperfei&#xe7;oamento de Pessoal de N&#xed;vel Superior/ ; },
mesh = {Animals ; *Climate Change ; *Fishes/physiology ; *Droughts ; Brazil ; Biodiversity ; Rainforest ; },
abstract = {Higher temperatures exacerbate drought conditions by increasing evaporation rates, reducing soil moisture and altering precipitation patterns. As global temperatures rise as a result of climate change, these effects intensify, leading to more frequent and severe droughts. This link between higher temperatures and drought is particularly evident in sensitive ecosystems like the Amazon rainforest, where reduced rainfall and higher evaporation rates result in significantly lower water levels, threatening biodiversity and human livelihoods. As an example, the serious drought experienced in the Amazon basin in 2023 resulted in a significant decline in fish populations. Elevated water temperatures, reaching up to 38°C, led to mass mortality events, because these temperatures surpass the thermal tolerance of many Amazonian fish species. We know this because our group has collected data on critical thermal maxima (CTmax) for various fish species over multiple years. Additionally, warmer waters can cause hypoxia, further exacerbating fish mortality. Thus, even Amazon fish species, which have relatively high thermal tolerance, are being impacted by climate change. The Amazon drought experienced in 2023 underscores the urgent need for climate action to mitigate the devastating effects on Amazonian biodiversity. The fact that we have been able to link fish mortality events to data on the thermal tolerance of fishes emphasizes the important role of experimental biology in elucidating the mechanisms behind these events, a link that we aim to highlight in this Perspective.},
}
@article {pmid39220889,
year = {2024},
author = {Cheng, L and Wu, C},
title = {Does the implementation of economic policies connected to climate change depend on monetary policy mandates and financial stability governance structures?.},
journal = {Heliyon},
volume = {10},
number = {16},
pages = {e35294},
pmid = {39220889},
issn = {2405-8440},
abstract = {The objective of the proposed research study is to examine how the economic policy mandates and governance frameworks of central banks affect the implementation of climate-related economic measures. Empirical evidence supports a positive correlation between the adoption of climate-related economic policies and a broader mandate for monetary policy. The existing body of research contradicts the idea that an enhanced framework for governing economic stability will result in higher implementation of financial measures related to climate change. The study, which focuses on China from 2015 to 2023, concludes that enhanced economic stability governance, founded on less integrated arrangements, leads to more successful implementation of climate-related financial measures. For other criteria such as central bank independence, the existence of a democratic government, and membership in the Sustainable Banking Network, a positive and statistically significant influence is seen across all specifications. Physical risks associated with climate change, such as heat waves, droughts, floods, and storms, as well as transition risks represented by variables like per-person CO2 emissions, policies aimed at mitigating climate change, and the financial capacity to carry out climate adaptation plans, must also manifest. Even after accounting for a new dependent variable and several alternative model parameters, the findings hold up well. We employ a fixed-effects panel regression approach to control for unobserved heterogeneity and isolate the impact of time-varying variables on renewable energy production. This methodology ensures robust and consistent estimates, providing clear insights into how monetary policy adjustments influence renewable energy investments.},
}
@article {pmid39218103,
year = {2024},
author = {Deopa, R and Thakur, DA and Kumar, S and Mohanty, MP and Asha, P},
title = {Discerning the dynamics of urbanization-climate change-flood risk nexus in densely populated urban mega cities: An appraisal of efficient flood management through spatiotemporal and geostatistical rainfall analysis and hydrodynamic modeling.},
journal = {The Science of the total environment},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {175882},
doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.175882},
pmid = {39218103},
issn = {1879-1026},
abstract = {While the contribution of climate change towards intensifying urban flood risks is well acknowledged, the role of urbanization is less known. The present study, for the first time in flood management literature, explores whether and how unplanned-cum-urbanization may overshadow the contribution of extreme rainfall to flood impacts in densely populated urban regions. To establish this hypothesis and exemplify our proposed framework, the National Capital Territory (NCT) of Delhi in India, infamous for its concurrent flood episodes is selected. The study categorically explores whether the catastrophic 2023 urban flood could have resulted in a similar degree of urban exposure and damage, had it occurred anytime in the past. A comprehensive spatiotemporal and geo-statistical analysis of rainfall over 11 stations brought about through Innovative trend analysis, Omnidirectional and directional Semi-variogram analysis, and Gini Index indicates a rise in extreme rainfalls. High-resolution land-use maps indicate about 39.53 %, 52.66 %, 56.60 %, and 69.18 % of urban footprints during 1993, 2003, 2013, and 2023, while gradient direction maps indicate a prominent urban surge towards the North-West, West, and Southwest corridors. A closer inspection of the Greenness and Urbanity indices reveals a gradual decline in the green footprints and concurrent escalation in the urban footprints over the decades. A 3-way coupled MIKE+ model was set up to replicate the July 2023 flood event; indicating about 13 % of the area experience "high" and "very-high" flood hazards. By overlaying the flood inundation and hazard maps over land-use maps for 1993, 2003, and 2013, we further establish that a similar flood event would have resulted in lesser damage and building exposure. The study offers a set of flood management options for refurbishing resilience and limiting flood risks. The study delivers critical insights into the existing urban flood management strategies while delving into the urban growth-climate change-flood risk nexus.},
}
@article {pmid39217778,
year = {2024},
author = {Chan, HW and Lin, L and Tam, KP and Hong, YY},
title = {From negative feelings to impairments: A longitudinal study on the development of climate change anxiety.},
journal = {Journal of anxiety disorders},
volume = {107},
number = {},
pages = {102917},
doi = {10.1016/j.janxdis.2024.102917},
pmid = {39217778},
issn = {1873-7897},
abstract = {People may experience anxiety and related distress when they come in contact with climate change (i.e., climate change anxiety). Climate change anxiety can be conceptualized as either emotional-based response (the experience of anxiety-related emotions) or impairment-based response (the experience of impairment in daily functioning). To date, it remains uncertain how these distinct manifestations of climate change anxiety are related. Conceptually, the experience of climate change anxiety may transform from an adaptive and healthy emotional response to an impairment in daily functioning. We conducted two two-wave longitudinal studies to examine the possible bidirectional relationships between three manifestations of climate change anxiety. We recruited 942 adults (mean age = 43.1) and 683 parents (mean age = 46.2) in Studies 1 and 2, respectively. We found that Time 1 emotion-based response was positively linked to Time 2 cognitive-emotional impairment, while Time 1 cognitive-emotional impairment was positively related to Time 2 functional impairment. In Study 2, we also found a bidirectional positive relationship between generalized anxiety and emotion-based climate change anxiety over time. Overall, our findings provide initial support to the temporal relationships between different manifestations of climate change anxiety, corroborating that climate change anxiety may develop from emotional responses to impairment in functioning.},
}
@article {pmid39216332,
year = {2024},
author = {He, G and Lin, Y and Hu, J and Chen, Y and Guo, Y and Yu, M and Zeng, F and Duan, H and Meng, R and Zhou, C and Xiao, Y and Huang, B and Gong, W and Liu, J and Liu, T and Zhou, M and Ma, W},
title = {The trends of non-accidental mortality burden attributed to compound hot-dry events in China and its provinces in a global warming world.},
journal = {Environment international},
volume = {191},
number = {},
pages = {108977},
doi = {10.1016/j.envint.2024.108977},
pmid = {39216332},
issn = {1873-6750},
abstract = {BACKGROUND: Global warming has provoked more co-occurrence of hot extreme and dry extreme, namely compound hot-dry events (CHDEs). However, their health impacts have seldom been investigated. This study aimed to characterize CHDEs and assess its mortality burden in China from 1990 to 2100.<br><br>METHODS: CHDEs were defined as a day when daily maximum temperature&#xa0;>&#xa0;its 90th percentile and Standardized Precipitation Index&#xa0;<&#xa0;its 50th percentile. A two-stage approach, including a distributed lag nonlinear model (DLNM) and a multivariate meta-analysis, was used to estimate exposure-response associations of CHDEs with mortality in 358 counties/districts during 2006-2017 in China, which was then applied to assess the national mortality burden attributable to CHDEs from 1990 to 2100.<br><br>FINDINGS: We observed a significant increasing trend of CHDEs in China until mid-21st century, and then flatted, while the duration and intensity of CHDEs continuously increased across the 21st century. CHDEs were much riskier (ER=17.82&#xa0;%, 95&#xa0;%CI: 14.17&#xa0;%-21.60&#xa0;%) than independent hot events (ER=5.86&#xa0;%,95&#xa0;%CI: -0.04&#xa0;%,12.45&#xa0;%) or dry events (ER=0.07&#xa0;%,95&#xa0;%CI: -1.22&#xa0;%, 1.38&#xa0;%), and there was significantly additive interaction between hot events and dry events (AP=0.10,95&#xa0;%CI: 0.04, 0.16). Females (ER=24.28&#xa0;%, 95&#xa0;%CI: 19.21&#xa0;%-29.56&#xa0;%), the elderly (ER=23.28&#xa0;%, 95&#xa0;%CI: 18.23&#xa0;%-28.55&#xa0;%), and people living in humid area (ER=18.98&#xa0;%, 95&#xa0;%CI: 15.08&#xa0;%-23.02&#xa0;%) had higher mortality risks than their counterparts. Mortality burden attributed to CHDEs significantly increased during historical observation and became stable since mid-21st century in China.<br><br>INTERPRETATION: CHDEs would significantly increase mortality with higher risk for females, the elderly and people living in humid areas. Mortality burden has significantly increased during historical observation and will keep relatively steady since mid-21st century.},
}
@article {pmid39215932,
year = {2024},
author = {Malik, IH and Ford, JD},
title = {Monitoring climate change vulnerability in the Himalayas.},
journal = {Ambio},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
pmid = {39215932},
issn = {1654-7209},
abstract = {Longitudinal assessment of climate vulnerability is essential for understanding the complex factors affecting how people experience and respond to climate change. We report on the first longitudinal assessment of climate vulnerability in the Himalayan region, exploring the evolving landscape, perceptions, and experiences of communities of climate change impacts, vulnerability, and adaptation in Kashmir over an 8-year period from 2017 to 2024. We provide the Himalayan Re-study Framework (HRF) to monitor, characterise, and conceptualise climate change in the Himalayas. Utilising mixed methods, we showcase how climate change is affecting social, economic, political, and environmental dimensions, examining how the impacts of climate change and vulnerability evolve over time, shaping and reshaping how climate risks are experienced and responded to by communities. Our analysis reveals a nuanced understanding of vulnerability, highlighting the impact on communities' livelihoods and water security, differential impacts on marginalised communities, and the gendered nature of climate change. We examine how certain sections of the population face marginalisation, discrimination, and racism, and how climate change exacerbates these challenges. Kashmir's vulnerability to climate change extends beyond environmental factors, intertwining with culture, livelihoods, social dynamics, and politics. Climate change continues to compete for attention with immediate political and socio-economic challenges, highlighting the need for integrated approaches to address both environmental and societal issues in Kashmir.},
}
@article {pmid39215837,
year = {2024},
author = {Dorji, T and Rinchen, K and Morrison-Saunders, A and Blake, D and Banham, V and Pelden, S},
title = {Understanding How Indigenous Knowledge Contributes to Climate Change Adaptation and Resilience: A Systematic Literature Review.},
journal = {Environmental management},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
pmid = {39215837},
issn = {1432-1009},
abstract = {Climate change is one of the biggest challenges facing the world today threatening societies and the future of the planet. The impacts of climate change are more severe in poor and marginalised populations like Indigenous communities where people rely heavily on their Indigenous Knowledge (IK) to adapt to the changing environment. Climate change adaptation and resilience are critical for the survival of Indigenous communities under the threat of climate change. This systematic literature review seeks to understand how IK contributes to climate change adaptation and resilience. A total of 71 papers from Scopus were analysed using the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses (PRISMA) method. It investigated three research questions: (i) How is IK understood in climate change studies? (ii) What kind of IK is used to address climate change and enhance adaptation and resilience? and finally, (iii) What could be done to maximise the use of IK towards enhancing climate adaptation and resilience? The study found that Indigenous people use IK to predict extreme climatic conditions, prepare for it, and live through it making use of Indigenous adaptation strategies in multiple manifestations. The solutions to maximise the benefits of IK promote two dominant themes requiring more research on IK and climate change with diverse focus areas and the need to bridge it with scientific knowledge. This review provides a starting point for such research that will draw upon IK to enhance climate adaptation and resilience towards meaningful sustainable development.},
}
@article {pmid39214233,
year = {2024},
author = {Jibon, MJN and Ruku, SMRP and Islam, ARMT and Khan, MN and Mallick, J and Bari, ABMM and Senapathi, V},
title = {Impact of climate change on vector-borne diseases: Exploring hotspots, recent trends and future outlooks in Bangladesh.},
journal = {Acta tropica},
volume = {259},
number = {},
pages = {107373},
doi = {10.1016/j.actatropica.2024.107373},
pmid = {39214233},
issn = {1873-6254},
abstract = {Climate change is a significant risk multiplier and profoundly influences the transmission dynamics, geographical distribution, and resurgence of vector-borne diseases (VBDs). Bangladesh has a noticeable rise in VBDs attributed to climate change. Despite the severity of this issue, the interconnections between climate change and VBDs in Bangladesh have yet to be thoroughly explored. To address this research gap, our review meticulously examined existing literature on the relationship between climate change and VBDs in Bangladesh. Using the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses (PRISMA) approach, we identified 3849 records from SCOPUS, Web of Science, and Google Scholar databases. Ultimately, 22 research articles meeting specific criteria were included. We identified that the literature on the subject matter of this study is non-contemporaneous, with 68% of studies investing datasets before 2014, despite studies on climate change and dengue nexus having increased recently. We pinpointed Dhaka and Chittagong Hill Tracts as the dengue and malaria research hotspots, respectively. We highlighted that the 2023 dengue outbreak illustrates a possible shift in dengue-endemic areas in Bangladesh. Moreover, dengue cases surged by 317% in 2023 compared to 2019 records, with a corresponding 607% increase in mortality compared to 2022. A weak connection was observed between dengue incidents and climate drivers, including the El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD). However, no compelling evidence supported an association between malaria cases, and Sea Surface Temperature (SST) in the Bay of Bengal, along with the NINO3 phenomenon. We observed minimal microclimatic and non-climatic data inclusion in selected studies. Our review holds implications for policymakers, urging the prioritization of mitigation measures such as year-round surveillance and early warning systems. Ultimately, it calls for resource allocation to empower researchers in advancing the understanding of VBD dynamics amidst changing climates.},
}
@article {pmid39215441,
year = {2024},
author = {Bruckner, TA and Trinh, NTH and Lelong, N and Madani, K and Slama, R and Given, J and Khoshnood, B},
title = {Climate Change and Congenital Anomalies: A Population-Based Study of the Effect of Prolonged Extreme Heat Exposure on the Risk of Neural Tube Defects in France.},
journal = {Birth defects research},
volume = {116},
number = {9},
pages = {e2397},
doi = {10.1002/bdr2.2397},
pmid = {39215441},
issn = {2472-1727},
mesh = {Humans ; *Neural Tube Defects/etiology/epidemiology ; Female ; France/epidemiology ; Pregnancy ; *Climate Change ; *Extreme Heat/adverse effects ; Adult ; Risk Factors ; Male ; Infant, Newborn ; Registries ; Congenital Abnormalities/epidemiology/etiology ; Hot Temperature/adverse effects ; },
abstract = {BACKGROUND: Exposure to long-lasting extreme ambient temperatures in the periconceptional or early pregnancy period might increase the risk of neural tube defects (NTDs). We tested whether prolonged severe heat exposure as experienced during the 2003 extreme heatwave in France, affected the risk of NTDs.<br><br>METHODS: We retrieved NTD cases spanning from January 1994 to December 2018 from the Paris Registry of Congenital Malformations. The 2003 heatwave was characterized by the long duration and high intensity of nine consecutive days with temperatures &#x2265;35&#xb0;C. We classified monthly conceptions occurring in August 2003 as "exposed" to prolonged extreme heat around conception (i.e., periconceptional period). We assessed whether the risk of NTDs among cohorts exposed to the prolonged severe heatwave of 2003 in the periconceptional period differed from expected values using Poisson/negative binomial regression.<br><br>FINDINGS: We identified 1272 NTD cases from January 1994 to December 2018, yielding a monthly mean count of 4.24. Ten NTD cases occurred among births conceived in August 2003. The risk of NTD was increased in the cohort with periconceptional exposure to the August 2003 heatwave (relative risk&#x2009;=&#x2009;2.14, 95% confidence interval: 1.46 to 3.13), compared to non-exposed cohorts. Sensitivity analyses excluding July and September months or restricting to summer months yielded consistent findings.<br><br>INTERPRETATION: Evidence from the "natural experiment" of an extreme climate event suggests an elevated risk of NTDs following exposure to prolonged extreme heat during the periconceptional period.},
}
@article {pmid39215241,
year = {2024},
author = {Iqbal, S and Karia, A and Kamming, D and Herron, D and O'Shea, L and Vindrola-Padros, C},
title = {Anaesthesia and climate change: time to wake up? A rapid qualitative appraisal exploring the views of anaesthetic practitioners regarding the transition to TIVA and the reduction of desflurane.},
journal = {BMC anesthesiology},
volume = {24},
number = {1},
pages = {300},
pmid = {39215241},
issn = {1471-2253},
support = {MR/W029766/1//BMBR MRC grant/ ; NIHR204297//NIHR Central London Patient Safety Research Collaboration (CL PSRC)/ ; },
mesh = {Humans ; *Desflurane ; *Climate Change ; *Anesthetics, Inhalation ; Attitude of Health Personnel ; Anesthesia, Intravenous ; Anesthesiologists ; Qualitative Research ; Male ; Female ; London ; Anesthesiology ; },
abstract = {BACKGROUND: The National Health Service (NHS) has pledged to reach carbon net-zero by 2040. In alignment with this goal, a London hospital's anaesthesia department is actively reducing desflurane use and transitioning towards total intravenous anaesthesia (TIVA) as a sustainable alternative, contributing to environmentally responsible practices within the healthcare sector.<br><br>METHODS: We conducted a rapid qualitative appraisal through online interviews with 17 anaesthetic practitioners to explore their perspectives regarding this climate change mitigation strategy. Data analysis was undertaken through the use of rapid appraisal sheets and a framework analysis method.<br><br>RESULTS: Participants highlighted the disadvantages of TIVA, including the increased effort, heightened monitoring requirements, operational challenges, and a lack of clinical confidence associated with its use. Despite these reservations, participants acknowledged TIVA's potential to reduce postoperative nausea. There were perceptions that senior staff members might resist this change due to habits and scepticism over its impact on climate change. To facilitate greater TIVA adoption, participants recommended enhanced training, the implementation of a dashboard to raise awareness of greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions, and the presence of strong climate change leadership within the department. Participants believed that a shift to TIVA should be followed by specific measures such as addressing waste management which is crucial for GHG reduction, emphasising the perceived link between waste and emissions.<br><br>CONCLUSIONS: The evaluation examines stakeholder attitudes, perceptions, and behaviours, focusing on transitioning from desflurane to TIVA. The study highlights the importance of staff engagement, organisational support, and underscores the crucial role that healthcare practitioners and leadership play in fostering sustainability within the healthcare sector.},
}
@article {pmid39214060,
year = {2024},
author = {Nona, F},
title = {Traditional community-based knowledge for envisioning climate change action for the Torres Strait.},
journal = {Australian and New Zealand journal of public health},
volume = {48},
number = {5},
pages = {100182},
doi = {10.1016/j.anzjph.2024.100182},
pmid = {39214060},
issn = {1753-6405},
}
@article {pmid39213845,
year = {2024},
author = {Liu, X and Liu, J and Afthanorhan, A and Hao, Y},
title = {Heating up the divide: Climate change and the quest for inclusive growth in urban China.},
journal = {Journal of environmental management},
volume = {369},
number = {},
pages = {122269},
doi = {10.1016/j.jenvman.2024.122269},
pmid = {39213845},
issn = {1095-8630},
abstract = {Climate change has profoundly affected human production and development, and also brought new challenges to China's goal of achieving inclusive economic growth. Using the data of 273 cities in China from 2001 to 2019, this research evaluates the impact of climate change on urban inclusive economic growth by constructing a temperature bin variable according to the daily average temperature. It is found that with the temperature bin [18 °C, 21 °C) as the benchmark group, both temperature rise and fall have a negative influence on inclusive economic growth. Notably, the adverse effects of high temperatures (above 27 °C) are statistically and economically significant, exhibiting a trend of increasing magnitude. The mechanism test shows that high temperature affects the inclusive growth level of the urban economy mainly by exacerbating the urban‒rural income gap. The heterogeneity analysis found that cities located in hot regions, southern regions or coastal areas are more sensitive to high temperatures and experience more prominent effects. This research holds significant practical implications for China to achieve a win‒win situation of balanced economic development and climate governance.},
}
@article {pmid39213284,
year = {2024},
author = {Banu, B and Akter, N and Sheba, NH and Chowdhury, SH},
title = {Knowledge and implementation behavior towards mitigation initiatives of climate change: Community settings approach of Bangladesh context followed cross-sectional design.},
journal = {PloS one},
volume = {19},
number = {8},
pages = {e0307898},
pmid = {39213284},
issn = {1932-6203},
mesh = {Humans ; *Climate Change ; Bangladesh ; Female ; Male ; Cross-Sectional Studies ; Adult ; *Health Knowledge, Attitudes, Practice ; Middle Aged ; Surveys and Questionnaires ; Young Adult ; Adolescent ; },
abstract = {Bangladesh experiences different types of natural disasters almost every year which adversely affect human health. It is very essential to identify knowledge and implementation behavior as mitigation initiatives towards climate change in community settings of Bangladesh. This study was designed to explore this issue. It was an analytical type of cross-sectional study which was conducted among 450 adult people residing in Barisal district of Bangladesh. Data were collected through face-to-face interviews using semi-structured questionnaire included socio-demographic information, knowledge and implementation behavior regarding mitigation initiatives towards climate change. Bivariate and multivariate techniques were adopted to analyze the data. The outcome reflected that a large proportion of the respondents had poor knowledge (55.1%) and poor implementation behavior (52.0%) on mitigation initiatives towards climate change. Poor knowledge was significantly more prominent among the people who were male (AOR = 1.56), Muslim (AOR = 2.55), respondents with >4 family members (AOR = 1.91) and with >3 children (AOR = 1.64) showed higher odds of poor knowledge. Poor implementation behavior was found significantly more leading among the female (AOR = 2.91), service-holder (AOR = 1.92) participants having higher monthly family incomes (AOR = 2.91), who had <1 child (AOR = 2.70), belonging ≤4 number of family members (AOR = 30.09). An alarming proportion of poor knowledge and implementation behavior were found regarding mitigation initiatives towards climate change in community settings of Bangladesh. Concerning demographic major predictors, it is essential to plan and implement sustainable and comprehensive health promotional program on climate change mitigation throughout the country.},
}
@article {pmid39212586,
year = {2024},
author = {Dougherty, PJ and Carling, MD},
title = {Go west, young bunting: recent climate change drives rapid movement of a Great Plains hybrid zone.},
journal = {Evolution; international journal of organic evolution},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1093/evolut/qpae118},
pmid = {39212586},
issn = {1558-5646},
abstract = {Describing how hybrid zones respond to anthropogenic influence can illuminate how the environment regulates both species distributions and reproductive isolation between species. In this study, we analyzed specimens collected from the Passerina cyanea x P. amoena hybrid zone between 2004 and 2007 and between 2019 and 2021 to explore changes in genetic structure over time. This comparison follows a previous study that identified a significant westward shift of the Passerina hybrid zone during the latter half of the twentieth century. A second temporal comparison of hybrid zone genetic structure presents unique potential to describe finer-scale dynamics and to identify potential mechanisms of observed changes more accurately. After concluding that the westward movement of the Passerina hybrid zone has accelerated in recent decades, we investigated potential drivers of this trend by modeling the influence of bioclimatic and landcover variables on genetic structure. We also incorporated eBird data to determine how the distributions of P. cyanea and P. amoena have responded to recent climate and landcover changes. We found that the distribution of P. cyanea in the northern Great Plains has shifted west to track a moving climatic niche, supporting anthropogenic climate change as a key mediator of introgression in this system.},
}
@article {pmid39212212,
year = {2024},
author = {Asemaninejad, A and Mackinnon, T and Langley, S},
title = {Biogeochemical stability of organic covers and mine wastes under climate change simulated mesocosms.},
journal = {Canadian journal of microbiology},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1139/cjm-2024-0064},
pmid = {39212212},
issn = {1480-3275},
abstract = {Mine environments in boreal and sub-boreal zones are expected to experience extreme weather events, increases in temperature, and shifts in precipitation patterns. Climate change impacts on geochemical stability of tailings contaminants and reclamation structures have been identified as important climate-related challenges to Canadian mining sector. Adapting current reclamation strategies for climate change will improve long-term efficiency and viability of mine tailings remediation/restoration strategies under a changing climate. Accordingly, mesocosm experiments were conducted to investigate associations of climate-driven shifts in microbial communities and functions with changes in the geochemistry of organic covers and underlying tailings. Our results show that warming appears to significantly reduce C:N of organic cover and promote infiltration of nitrogen into deeper, unoxidized strata of underlying tailings. We also observed an increase in the abundance of some nitrate reducers and sulfide oxidizers in microbial communities in underlying tailings. These results raise the concern that warming might trigger oxidation of sulfide minerals (linked to nitrate reduction) in deeper unoxidized strata where the oxygen has been eliminated. Therefore, it would be necessary to have monitoring programs to track functionality of covers in response to climate change conditions. These findings have implications for development of climate resilient mine tailings remediation/restoration strategies.},
}
@article {pmid39210948,
year = {2024},
author = {Heinz, A and Brandt, L},
title = {Climate change and mental health: direct, indirect, and intersectional effects.},
journal = {The Lancet regional health. Europe},
volume = {43},
number = {},
pages = {100969},
pmid = {39210948},
issn = {2666-7762},
}
@article {pmid39210514,
year = {2024},
author = {Ul Haq, I and Khan, M and Khan, I},
title = {Phytopathological management through bacteriophages: enhancing food security amidst climate change.},
journal = {Journal of industrial microbiology &amp; biotechnology},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1093/jimb/kuae031},
pmid = {39210514},
issn = {1476-5535},
abstract = {The increasing global population and climate change pose significant challenges to agriculture, particularly in managing plant diseases caused by phytopathogens. Traditional methods, including chemical pesticides and antibiotics, have become less effective due to pathogen resistance and environmental concerns. Phage therapy emerges as a promising alternative, offering a sustainable and precise approach to controlling plant bacterial diseases without harming beneficial soil microorganisms. This review explores the potential of bacteriophages as biocontrol agents, highlighting their specificity, rapid multiplication, and minimal environmental impact. We discuss the historical context, current applications, and prospects of phage therapy in agriculture, emphasizing its role in enhancing crop yield and quality. Additionally, the paper examines the integration of phage therapy with modern agricultural practices and the development phage cocktails and genetically engineered phages to combat resistant pathogens. The findings suggest that phage therapy could revolutionize phytopathological management, contributing to global food security and sustainable agricultural practices.},
}
@article {pmid39210192,
year = {2024},
author = {Mehta, MM and Johnson, AE and Ratnakaran, B and Seritan, I and Seritan, AL},
title = {Climate Change and Aging: Implications for Psychiatric Care.},
journal = {Current psychiatry reports},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
pmid = {39210192},
issn = {1535-1645},
abstract = {PURPOSE OF REVIEW: We reviewed recent evidence regarding the impact of climate change (specifically, high ambient temperatures, heatwaves, weather-related disasters, and air pollution) on older adults' mental health. We also summarized evidence regarding other medical problems that can occur in aging adults in connection with climate change, resulting in psychiatric manifestations or influencing psychopharmacological management.<br><br>RECENT FINDINGS: Older adults can experience anxiety, depressive, and/or posttraumatic stress symptoms, as well as sleep disturbances in the aftermath of climate disasters. Cognitive deficits may occur with exposure to air pollutants, heatwaves, or post-disaster. Individuals with major neurocognitive disorders and/or preexisting psychiatric illness have a higher risk of psychiatric hospitalizations after exposure to high temperatures and air pollution. There is a growing body of research regarding psychiatric clinical presentations associated with climate change in older adults. However, there is a paucity of evidence on management strategies. Future research should investigate culturally appropriate, cost-effective psychosocial and pharmacological interventions.},
}
@article {pmid39209172,
year = {2024},
author = {Luo, Y and Ma, N and Zhang, Y and Zang, C and Szilagyi, J and Tian, J and Wang, L and Xu, Z and Tang, Z and Wei, H},
title = {Response of alpine vegetation function to climate change in the Tibetan Plateau: A perspective from solar-induced chlorophyll fluorescence.},
journal = {The Science of the total environment},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {175845},
doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.175845},
pmid = {39209172},
issn = {1879-1026},
abstract = {Vegetation change on the Tibetan Plateau (TP) is a crucial indicator of climate change in alpine regions. Previous studies have reported an overall greening trend in the vegetation structure across the TP, especially in its northeastern part, in response to a warming climate. However, variations in the vegetation function and the possible drivers remain poorly understood. Considering the optimal temperature for plants in TP is usually higher than the current temperature, our hypothesis is the function and structure of alpine vegetation have changed synchronously over past few decades. To test this hypothesis, we analyzed satellite-observed solar-induced chlorophyll fluorescence (SIF) and leaf area index (LAI) in the Yellow River source (YRS) region in the northeastern TP to quantify the long-term trends in vegetation functional and structural states, respectively. The results suggest that from 1982 to 2018, SIF increased significantly in 77.71 % of the YRS area, resulting in a significant upward trend of 0.52 × 10[-3] mW m[-2] nm[-1] sr[-1] yr[-1] (p < 0.001) for the regional-mean SIF. This represents a 16.1 % increase in SIF, which is close in magnitude to the increase in LAI over the same period. The synchronous changes between vegetation function and structure suggest that improved greenness corresponds to a similar level of change in carbon uptake across YRS. Additionally, we used a multiple regression approach to quantify the contribution of climatic factors to SIF changes in YRS. Our analyses show that the increases in SIF were primarily driven by rising temperatures. Spatially, temperature dominated SIF changes in most parts of YRS, except for certain dry parts in the northern and western YRS, where precipitation had a greater impact. Our results are crucial for a comprehensive understanding of climate regulations on vegetation structure and function in high-elevation regions.},
}
@article {pmid39208748,
year = {2024},
author = {Wilson, TS and Selmants, PC and Boynton, RM and Thorne, JH and Van Schmidt, ND and Thomas, TA},
title = {Will there be water? Climate change, housing needs, and future water demand in California.},
journal = {Journal of environmental management},
volume = {369},
number = {},
pages = {122256},
doi = {10.1016/j.jenvman.2024.122256},
pmid = {39208748},
issn = {1095-8630},
abstract = {Climate change in California is expected to alter future water availability, impacting water supplies needed to support future housing growth and agriculture demand. In groundwater-dependent regions like California's Central Coast, new land-use related water demand and decreasing recharge is already stressing depleted groundwater basins. We developed a spatially explicit state-and-transition simulation model that integrates climate, land-use change, water demand, and groundwater gain-loss to examine the impact of future climate and land use change on groundwater balance and water demand in five counties along the Central Coast from 2010 to 2060. The model incorporated downscaled groundwater recharge projections based on a Warm/Wet and a Hot/Dry climate future from a spatially explicit hydrological process-based model. Two urbanization projections from a parcel-based, regional urban growth model representing 1) recent historical and 2) state-mandated housing growth projections were used as alternative spatial targets for future urban growth. Agricultural projections were based on recent historical trends from remote sensing data. Annual projected changes in groundwater balance were calculated as the difference between land-use related water demand, based on historical estimates, and climate-driven recharge plus agriculture return flows. Results indicate that future changes in climate-driven groundwater recharge, coupled with cumulative increases in agricultural water demand, result in overall declines in future groundwater balance, with a Hot/Dry future resulting in cumulative groundwater decline in all but Santa Cruz County. Cumulative declines by 2060 are especially prominent in San Luis Obispo (-2.9 to -5.1 Bm[3]) and Monterey counties (-6.5 to -8.7 Bm[3]), despite limited changes in agricultural water demand over the model period. These two counties show declining groundwater reserves in a Warm/Wet future as well, while San Benito and Santa Barbara County barely reach equilibrium. These results suggest future groundwater supplies may not be able to keep pace with regional demand and declining climate-driven recharge, resulting in a potential reduction in water security in the region. However, our county-scale projections showed new housing and associated water demand does not conflict with California's groundwater sustainability goals. Rather, future climate coupled with increasing agricultural groundwater demand may reduce water security in some counties, potentially limiting available groundwater supplies for new housing.},
}
@article {pmid39206497,
year = {2024},
author = {Shah, SH and Ragavan, MI},
title = {Climate Change, Extreme Weather Events, and Child Health: A Call to Action.},
journal = {Pediatrics},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1542/peds.2024-067391},
pmid = {39206497},
issn = {1098-4275},
}
@article {pmid39206454,
year = {2024},
author = {Barboza, E and Bravo, N and Cotrina-Sanchez, A and Salazar, W and Gálvez-Paucar, D and Gonzales, J and Saravia, D and Valqui-Valqui, L and Cárdenas, GP and Ocaña, J and Cruz-Luis, J and Arbizu, CI},
title = {Modeling the current and future habitat suitability of Neltuma pallida in the dry forest of northern Peru under climate change scenarios to 2100.},
journal = {Ecology and evolution},
volume = {14},
number = {8},
pages = {e70158},
doi = {10.1002/ece3.70158},
pmid = {39206454},
issn = {2045-7758},
abstract = {The development of anthropic activities and climate change effects impact worldwide species' ecosystems and habitats. Habitats' adequate prediction can be an important tool to assess current and future trends. In addition, it allows strategies development for their conservation. The Neltuma pallida of the forest region in northern Peru, although very significant, has experienced a decline in recent years. The objective of this research is to evaluate the current and future distribution and conservation status of N. pallida in the Peruvian dry forest under climate change (Location: Republic of Peru). A total of 132 forest presence records and 10 variables (bioclimatic, topographic, and soil) were processed and selected to obtain the current and future distribution for 2100, using Google Earth Engine (GEE), RStudio, and MaxEnt. The area under the curve values fell within the range of 0.93-0.95, demonstrating a strong predictive capability for both present and future potential habitats. The findings indicated that the likely range of habitats for N. pallida was shaped by factors such as the average temperature of wettest quarter, maximum temperature of warmest month, elevation, rainfall, and precipitation of driest month. The main suitable areas were in the central regions of the geographical departments of Tumbes, Piura, and Lambayeque, as well as in the northern part of La Libertad. It is critical to determine the habitat suitability of plant species for conservation managers since this information stimulates the development of policies that favor sustainable use programs. In addition, these results can contribute significantly to identify new areas for designing strategies for populations conserving and recovering with an ecological restoration approach.},
}
@article {pmid39205430,
year = {2024},
author = {Chakraborty, N and Halder, S and Keswani, C and Vaca, J and Ortiz, A and Sansinenea, E},
title = {New Aspects of the Effects of Climate Change on Interactions Between Plants and Microbiomes: A Review.},
journal = {Journal of basic microbiology},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {e2400345},
doi = {10.1002/jobm.202400345},
pmid = {39205430},
issn = {1521-4028},
support = {//This study was funded by Ministry of Science and Higher Education of the Russian Federation on the Young Scientist Laboratory within the framework of the Interregional Scientific and Educational Center of the South of Russia, Grant/Award Number FENW-2024-0001 and Strategic Academic Leadership Program of the Southern Federal University ("Priority 2030")./ ; },
abstract = {One of the most talked about issues of the 21st century is climate change, as it affects not just our health but also forestry, agriculture, biodiversity, the ecosystem, and the energy supply. Greenhouse gases are the primary cause of climate change, having dramatic effects on the environment. Climate change has an impact on the function and composition of the terrestrial microbial community both directly and indirectly. Changes in the prevailing climatic conditions brought about by climate change will lead to modifications in plant physiology, root exudation, signal alteration, and the quantity, makeup, and diversity of soil microbial communities. Microbiological activity is very crucial in organic production systems due to the organic origin of microorganisms. Microbes that benefit crop plants are known as plant growth-promoting microorganisms. Thus, the effects of climate change on the environment also have an impact on the abilities of beneficial bacteria to support plant growth, health, and root colonization. In this review, we have covered the effects of temperature, precipitation, drought, and CO2 on plant-microbe interactions, as well as some physiological implications of these changes. Additionally, this paper highlights the ways in which bacteria in plants' rhizosphere react to the dominant climatic conditions in the soil environment. The goal of this study is to analyze the effects of climate change on plant-microbe interactions.},
}
@article {pmid39204772,
year = {2024},
author = {Liu, B and Li, Y and Zhao, J and Weng, H and Ye, X and Liu, S and Zhao, Z and Ahmad, S and Zhan, C},
title = {The Potential Habitat Response of Cyclobalanopsis gilva to Climate Change.},
journal = {Plants (Basel, Switzerland)},
volume = {13},
number = {16},
pages = {},
doi = {10.3390/plants13162336},
pmid = {39204772},
issn = {2223-7747},
support = {KJZXSA2018008//State Forestry and Grassland Administration/ ; },
abstract = {Cyclobalanopsis gilva, a valuable timber species in China, holds significant importance for understanding the constraints imposed by climate change on the dynamic geographic distribution of tree species. This study utilized the MaxEnt maximum entropy model to reconstruct the migratory dynamics of C. gilva geographical distribution since the Last Glacial Maximum. The objective was to comprehend the restrictive mechanisms of environmental factors on its potential geographical distribution, aiming to provide insights for mid-to-long-term afforestation planning of C. gilva. The optimized MaxEnt model exhibited a significantly high predictive accuracy, with an average AUC value of 0.949 ± 0.004 for the modern suitable habitat model of C. gilva. The total suitable habitat area for C. gilva in contemporary times was 143.05 × 10[4] km[2], with a highly suitable habitat area of 3.14 × 10[4] km[2]. The contemporary suitable habitat was primarily located in the southeastern regions of China, while the highly suitable habitat was concentrated in eastern Fujian and central-eastern Taiwan. Bioclimatic variables such as mean diurnal range (Bio2), min temperature of coldest month (Bio6), precipitation of driest quarter (Bio17), and precipitation of driest month (Bio14) predominantly influenced the modern geographic distribution pattern of C. gilva, with temperature factors playing a leading role. With global climate warming, there is a risk of fragmentation or even loss of suitable habitat for C. gilva by 2050 and 2090. Therefore, the findings of this study can significantly contribute to initiating a habitat conservation campaign for this species.},
}
@article {pmid39204720,
year = {2024},
author = {Xing, Y and Wang, X},
title = {Impact of Agricultural Activities on Climate Change: A Review of Greenhouse Gas Emission Patterns in Field Crop Systems.},
journal = {Plants (Basel, Switzerland)},
volume = {13},
number = {16},
pages = {},
doi = {10.3390/plants13162285},
pmid = {39204720},
issn = {2223-7747},
support = {2023LLRH-01//Shanxi Province Key Special Project for the Fusion of "Two Chains"/ ; },
abstract = {This review paper synthesizes the current understanding of greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions from field cropping systems. It examines the key factors influencing GHG emissions, including crop type, management practices, and soil conditions. The review highlights the variability in GHG emissions across different cropping systems. Conventional tillage systems generally emit higher levels of carbon dioxide (CO2) and nitrous oxide (N2O) than no-till or reduced tillage systems. Crop rotation, cover cropping, and residue management can significantly reduce GHG emissions by improving soil carbon sequestration and reducing nitrogen fertilizer requirements. The paper also discusses the challenges and opportunities for mitigating GHG emissions in field cropping systems. Precision agriculture techniques, such as variable rate application of fertilizers and water, can optimize crop production while minimizing environmental impacts. Agroforestry systems, which integrate trees and crops, offer the potential for carbon sequestration and reducing N2O emissions. This review provides insights into the latest research on GHG emissions from field cropping systems and identifies areas for further study. It emphasizes the importance of adopting sustainable management practices to reduce GHG emissions and enhance the environmental sustainability of agricultural systems.},
}
@article {pmid39200702,
year = {2024},
author = {Zavala, MD and Cejas, C and Rubinstein, A and Lopez, A},
title = {Gender Inequities in the Impact of Climate Change on Health: A Scoping Review.},
journal = {International journal of environmental research and public health},
volume = {21},
number = {8},
pages = {},
doi = {10.3390/ijerph21081093},
pmid = {39200702},
issn = {1660-4601},
mesh = {*Climate Change ; Humans ; Female ; Male ; Sex Factors ; Socioeconomic Factors ; },
abstract = {In the 21st century, climate change has emerged as a critical global public health challenge. Women experience the most severe impacts of climate change, intensifying pre-existing gender inequalities. This scoping review aims to explore the intersection of climate change, health, and gender, considering the social determinants of health. The methods for this review follow the Arksey and O'Malley framework for a scoping review and the PRISMA-ScR checklist. The review, covering January 2019 to February 2024, included PubMed, LILACS, and SciELO databases. We identified 71 studies with 19 meeting the inclusion criteria. The results revealed the differential effects of climate change on health according to gender in areas such as mental health, reproductive health, gender-based violence, occupational health, and health issues associated with heat and air pollution. Our findings also elucidated how socio-economic and gender inequities intersect, exacerbating the risk of experiencing these effects. In conclusion, the study highlights a clear need for gender-sensitive climate policies and interventions to address these disparities and protect vulnerable populations from the health impacts of climate change.},
}
@article {pmid39199941,
year = {2024},
author = {Pius, L and Huang, S and Wanjala, G and Bagi, Z and Kusza, S},
title = {African Local Pig Genetic Resources in the Context of Climate Change Adaptation.},
journal = {Animals : an open access journal from MDPI},
volume = {14},
number = {16},
pages = {},
doi = {10.3390/ani14162407},
pmid = {39199941},
issn = {2076-2615},
abstract = {Africa is home to a wide diversity of locally adapted pig breeds whose genetic architecture offers important insights into livestock adaptation to climate change. However, the majority of these inherent traits have not been fully highlighted. This review presents an overview of the current state of African pig genetic resources, providing highlights on their population and production statistics, production system, population diversity indices, and genomic evidence underlying their evolutionary potential. The study results reveal an incomplete characterization of local pig genotypes across the continent. The characterized population, however, demonstrates moderate to high levels of genetic diversity, enough to support breeding and conservation programs. Owing to low genetic differentiation and limited evidence of distinct population structures, it appears that most local pig populations are strains within larger breeds. Genomic evidence has shown a higher number of selection signatures associated with various economically important traits, thus making them potential candidates for climate change adaptation. The reportedly early evidence of hybridization with wild suid groups further suggests untapped insights into disease resistance and resilience traits that need to be illuminated using higher-density markers. Nevertheless, gene introgression from commercial breeds is prevalent across Africa; thus, efforts to realize and utilize these traits must increase before they are permanently depleted.},
}
@article {pmid39199834,
year = {2024},
author = {Liao, W and Cao, S and Jiang, Y and Shao, W and Zhao, L and Yan, C},
title = {Predicting Conservation Status of Testudoformes under Climate Change Using Habitat Models.},
journal = {Animals : an open access journal from MDPI},
volume = {14},
number = {16},
pages = {},
doi = {10.3390/ani14162300},
pmid = {39199834},
issn = {2076-2615},
abstract = {Climate change promotes variations in distribution ranges, potentially leading to biodiversity loss and increased extinction risks for species. It is crucial to investigate these variations under future climate change scenarios for effective biodiversity conservation. Here, we studied the future distribution ranges of 268 Testudoformes species under climate change using habitat models, specifically species distribution models (SDMs), to assess their conservation status. Our results have indicated that over half of species are projected to experience declines in their potential distribution ranges under two scenarios. In particular, we found that three critically endangered species-Three-striped roofed turtle (Batagur dhongoka), Durango mud turtle (Kinosternon durangoense), and Colombian mud turtle (Kinosternon dunni)-displayed extraction of their distribution ranges and faced extinction under global climate change. Additionally, our analysis revealed that the potential distribution ranges of some species might increase under future climate scenarios. However, these findings must be interpreted with caution as they do not account for other significant factors such as biological invasions, population structure, land-use change, anthropogenic disturbances, and inter-organism interrelationships. Future studies should incorporate these factors to provide a more comprehensive assessment of extinction risks. Our findings suggest that climate change, in conjunction with habitat degradation and human activities, must be considered when assessing the extinction risks of Testudoformes.},
}
@article {pmid39194788,
year = {2024},
author = {Wu, J and Wei, X and Wang, Z and Peng, Y and Liu, B and Zhuo, Z},
title = {Mapping the Distribution of Curculio davidi Fairmaire 1878 under Climate Change via Geographical Data and the MaxEnt Model (CMIP6).},
journal = {Insects},
volume = {15},
number = {8},
pages = {},
pmid = {39194788},
issn = {2075-4450},
support = {20A007//China West Normal University/ ; 20E051//China West Normal University/ ; 21E040//China West Normal University/ ; 22kA011//China West Normal University/ ; },
abstract = {Curculio davidi is a major pest in chestnut-producing regions in China, and there have been many studies on its occurrence, biological characteristics, and management strategies. However, few of them have focused on the distribution changes of the pest under climate change. In this study, the MaxEnt model (version 3.3.4) and ArcGIS software (version 10.8) were first employed to map the current and future (2050 s and 2080 s) suitable habitat distribution of the weevil under climate change (CMIP 6: SSP1-2.6, SSP2-4.5, and SSP5-8.5). The results indicate that the highly suitable areas for C. davidi are mainly concentrated in Hubei, Henan, Anhui, Jiangxi, Jiangsu, Zhejiang, the coastal areas of Shandong, and eastern Guizhou, northwestern Hunan, and northeastern Sichuan provinces in China. Through the Jackknife test of 19 climate factors, six climate factors affecting the distribution of C. davidi were identified, with precipitation from July (Prec7), precipitation of warmest quarter (Bio18), and temperature seasonality (standard deviation × 100) (Bio4) contributing a combined percentage of 86.3%. Under three different climate scenarios (CMIP 6: SSP1-2.6, SSP2-4.5, and SSP5-8.5), the area of moderately suitable regions is projected to increase by 22.12-27.33% in the 2050 s and by 17.80-38.22% in the 2080 s compared to the current distribution, while the area of highly suitable regions shows a shrinking trend. This study provides data support for the management strategies of C. davidi and offers new insights into the dynamic changes of similar forestry pests.},
}
@article {pmid39194763,
year = {2024},
author = {Song, Z and Fan, G and Deng, C and Duan, G and Li, J},
title = {Predicting the Distribution of Neoceratitis asiatica (Diptera: Tephritidae), a Primary Pest of Goji Berry in China, under Climate Change.},
journal = {Insects},
volume = {15},
number = {8},
pages = {},
pmid = {39194763},
issn = {2075-4450},
support = {2024-ZJ-981//Natural Science Foundation of Qinghai Province/ ; 2022-QNY-7//the Youth Research Fund of Qinghai University/ ; 2023-NKY-03//Innovation Fund of Qinghai Academy of Agricultural and Forestry Sciences/ ; },
abstract = {Climate warming affects the growth and development of pests, resulting in changes in their geographical distribution, which increases the difficulty in terms of prevention and control. The fruit fly, Neoceratitis asiatica (Becker), is a predominant frugivorous pest that causes serious yield loss in the goji berry, Lycium barbarum L. In recent years, with the expansion of cultivation area, the damage induced by the pest has become increasingly severe, significantly impeding the production of the goji berry. In this study, the potential suitable habitats of N. asiatica under current and future climate scenarios were simulated and predicted using the optimal MaxEnt model, based on the screening distribution records and environmental factors. The changes in the pest distribution under climate change were determined using ArcGIS. The results showed that the best combination of parameters for MaxEnt were feature combination (FC) = LQPT and regularization multiplier (RM) = 1. The dominant environmental factors influencing pest distribution were mean temperature of driest quarter, mean temperature of coldest quarter and precipitation of coldest quarter. Under different climate conditions, the suitable habitats of the pest primarily ranged between 27°-47° N and 73°-115° E. Under current climate conditions, the area of moderately and highly suitable habitats was 42.18 × 10[4] km[2], and mainly distributed in Inner Mongolia (13.68 × 10[4] km[2]), Gansu (9.40 × 10[4] km[2]), Ningxia (5.07 × 10[4] km[2]), Qinghai (4.10 × 10[4] km[2]), and Xinjiang (3.97 × 10[4] km[2]) Provinces. Under future climate scenarios, the suitable area was projected to be lower than the current ones, except SSP245-2050s and SSP370-2070s, and the centroids of suitable habitats were mainly shifted to the northeast, except SSP370-2050s and SSP585-2070s. Our results provide valuable guidance for the monitoring and management of N. asiatica, as well as the selection of pest-free goji berry cultivation sites.},
}
@article {pmid39192567,
year = {2024},
author = {Miryeganeh, M and Armitage, DW},
title = {Epigenetic responses of trees to environmental stress in the context of climate change.},
journal = {Biological reviews of the Cambridge Philosophical Society},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1111/brv.13132},
pmid = {39192567},
issn = {1469-185X},
support = {JPMJFR224G//JST FOREST (Fusion Oriented REsearch for disruptive Science and Technology)/ ; JP23K11509//JSPS KAKENHI/ ; //Okinawa Institute of Science and Technology Graduate University/ ; },
abstract = {In long-lived tree populations, when environmental change outpaces rates of evolutionary adaptation, plasticity in traits related to stress tolerance, dormancy, and dispersal may be vital for preventing extinction. While a population's genetic background partly determines its ability to adapt to a changing environment, so too do the many types of epigenetic modifications that occur within and among populations, which vary on timescales orders of magnitude faster than the emergence of new beneficial alleles. Consequently, phenotypic plasticity driven by epigenetic modification may be especially critical for sessile, long-lived organisms such as trees that must rely on this plasticity to keep pace with rapid anthropogenic environmental change. While studies have reported large effects of DNA methylation, histone modification, and non-coding RNAs on the expression of stress-tolerance genes and resulting phenotypic responses, little is known about the role of these effects in non-model plants and particularly in trees. Here, we review new findings in plant epigenetics with particular relevance to the ability of trees to adapt to or escape stressors associated with rapid climate change. Such findings include specific epigenetic influences over drought, heat, and salinity tolerance, as well as dormancy and dispersal traits. We also highlight promising findings concerning transgenerational inheritance of an epigenetic 'stress memory' in plants. As epigenetic information is becoming increasingly easy to obtain, we close by outlining ways in which ecologists can use epigenetic information better to inform population management and forecasting efforts. Understanding the molecular mechanisms behind phenotypic plasticity and stress memory in tree species offers a promising path towards a mechanistic understanding of trees' responses to climate change.},
}
@article {pmid39190767,
year = {2024},
author = {Li, F and Mu, Q and Ma, D and Wu, Q},
title = {Predicting the potential global distribution of Ixodes pacificus under climate change.},
journal = {PloS one},
volume = {19},
number = {8},
pages = {e0309367},
pmid = {39190767},
issn = {1932-6203},
mesh = {Animals ; *Climate Change ; *Ixodes/physiology ; Animal Distribution ; Temperature ; },
abstract = {In order to predict the global potential distribution range of Ixodes pacificus (I. pacificus) under different climate scenario models in the future, analyze the major climate factors affecting its distribution, and provide references for the transformation of passive vector surveillance into active vector surveillance, the maximum entropy model (MaxEnt) was used in this study to estimate the global potential distribution range of I. pacificus under historical climate scenarios and different future climate scenarios. The global distribution data of I. pacificus were screened by ENMtools and ArcGIS 10.8 software, and a total of 563 distribution data of I. pacificus were obtained. Maxent 3.4.1 and R 4.0.3 were used to screen climate variables according to the contribution rate of environmental variables, knife cutting method and correlation analysis of variables. R 4.0.3 was used to calculate model regulation frequency doubling and feature combination to adjust MaxEnt parameters. The model results showed that the training omission rate was in good agreement with the theoretical omission rate, and the area under ROC curve (AUC) value of the model was 0.978. Among the included environmental variables, the Tmin2 (minimum temperature in February) and Prec1 (precipitation in January) contributed the most to the model, providing more effective information for the distribution of I. pacificus. MaxEnt model revealed that the distribution range of I. pacificus was dynamically changing. The main potential suitable areas are distributed in North America, South America, Europe, Oceania and Asia. Under the future climate scenario model, the potential suitable areas show a downward trend, but the countries and regions ieeeeeeenvolved in the suitable areas do not change much. Therefore, the invasion risk of the potential suitable area of I. pacificus should be paid attention to.},
}
@article {pmid39188066,
year = {2024},
author = {Lima, JS and Lenoir, J and Hylander, K},
title = {Potential migration pathways of broadleaved trees across the receding boreal biome under future climate change.},
journal = {Global change biology},
volume = {30},
number = {8},
pages = {e17471},
doi = {10.1111/gcb.17471},
pmid = {39188066},
issn = {1365-2486},
support = {//Bolin Centre for Climate Research/ ; CTS19: 148//Carl Tryggers Stiftelse f&#xf6;r Vetenskaplig Forskning/ ; },
mesh = {*Climate Change ; *Trees/growth &amp; development ; Sweden ; Ecosystem ; Forests ; Biodiversity ; Models, Theoretical ; Plant Dispersal ; Temperature ; },
abstract = {Climate change has triggered poleward expansions in the distributions of various taxonomic groups, including tree species. Given the ecological significance of trees as keystone species in forests and their socio-economic importance, projecting the potential future distributions of tree species is crucial for devising effective adaptation strategies for both biomass production and biodiversity conservation in future forest ecosystems. Here, we fitted physiographically informed habitat suitability models (HSMs) at 50-m resolution across Sweden (55-68° N) to estimate the potential northward expansion of seven broadleaved tree species within their leading-edge distributions in Europe under different future climate change scenarios and for different time periods. Overall, we observed that minimum temperature was the most crucial variable for comprehending the spatial distribution of broadleaved tree species at their cold limits. Our HSMs projected a complex range expansion pattern for 2100, with individualistic differences among species. However, a frequent and rather surprising pattern was a northward expansion along the east coast followed by narrow migration pathways along larger valleys towards edaphically suitable areas in the north-west, where most of the studied species were predicted to expand. The high-resolution maps generated in this study offer valuable insights for our understanding of range shift dynamics at the leading edge of southern tree species as they expand into the receding boreal biome. These maps suggest areas where broadleaved tree species could already be translocated to anticipate forest and biodiversity conservation adaptation efforts in the face of future climate change.},
}
@article {pmid39187712,
year = {2024},
author = {Većkalov, B and Geiger, SJ and Bartoš, F and White, MP and Rutjens, BT and van Harreveld, F and Stablum, F and Akın, B and Aldoh, A and Bai, J and Berglund, F and Bratina Zimic, A and Broyles, M and Catania, A and Chen, A and Chorzępa, M and Farahat, E and Götz, J and Hoter-Ishay, B and Jordan, G and Joustra, S and Klingebiel, J and Krajnc, &#x17d; and Krug, A and Andersen, TL and Löloff, J and Natarajan, D and Newman-Oktan, S and Niehoff, E and Paerels, C and Papirmeister, R and Peregrina, S and Pohl, F and Remsö, A and Roh, A and Rusyidi, B and Schmidt, J and Shavgulidze, M and Vellinho Nardin, V and Wang, R and Warner, K and Wattier, M and Wong, CY and Younssi, M and Ruggeri, K and van der Linden, S},
title = {A 27-country test of communicating the scientific consensus on climate change.},
journal = {Nature human behaviour},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
pmid = {39187712},
issn = {2397-3374},
support = {#2218595//National Science Foundation (NSF)/ ; },
abstract = {Communicating the scientific consensus that human-caused climate change is real increases climate change beliefs, worry and support for public action in the United States. In this preregistered experiment, we tested two scientific consensus messages, a classic message on the reality of human-caused climate change and an updated message additionally emphasizing scientific agreement that climate change is a crisis. Across online convenience samples from 27 countries (n = 10,527), the classic message substantially reduces misperceptions (d = 0.47, 95% CI (0.41, 0.52)) and slightly increases climate change beliefs (from d = 0.06, 95% CI (0.01, 0.11) to d = 0.10, 95% CI (0.04, 0.15)) and worry (d = 0.05, 95% CI (-0.01, 0.10)) but not support for public action directly. The updated message is equally effective but provides no added value. Both messages are more effective for audiences with lower message familiarity and higher misperceptions, including those with lower trust in climate scientists and right-leaning ideologies. Overall, scientific consensus messaging is an effective, non-polarizing tool for changing misperceptions, beliefs and worry across different audiences.},
}
@article {pmid39187251,
year = {2024},
author = {Lee, EY and Park, S and Kim, YB and Lee, M and Lim, H and Ross-White, A and Janssen, I and Spence, JC and Tremblay, MS},
title = {Exploring the Interplay Between Climate Change, 24-Hour Movement Behavior, and Health: A Systematic Review.},
journal = {Journal of physical activity &amp; health},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {1-19},
doi = {10.1123/jpah.2023-0637},
pmid = {39187251},
issn = {1543-5474},
abstract = {BACKGROUND: Given the emergence of climate change and health risks, this review examined potential relationships between varying indicators of climate change, movement behaviors (ie, physical activity [PA], sedentary behavior, and sleep), and health.<br><br>METHODS: Seven databases were searched in March 2020, April 2023, and April 2024. To be included, studies must have examined indicators of climate change and at least one of the movement behaviors as either an exposure or a third variable (ie,&#xa0;mediator/moderator), and a measure of health as outcome. Evidence was summarized by the role (mediator/moderator) that either climate change or movement behavior(s) has with health measures. Relationships and directionality of each association, as well as the strength and certainty of evidence were synthesized.<br><br>RESULTS: A total of 79 studies were eligible, representing 6,671,791 participants and 3137 counties from 25 countries (40% low- and middle-income countries). Of 98 observations from 17 studies that examined PA as a mediator, 34.7% indicated that PA mediated the relationship between climate change and health measure such that indicators of adverse climate change were associated with lower PA, and worse health outcome. Of 274 observations made from 46 studies, 28% showed that PA favorably modified the negative association between climate change and health outcome. Evidence was largely lacking and inconclusive for sedentary behavior and sleep, as well as climate change indicators as an intermediatory variable.<br><br>CONCLUSIONS: PA may mitigate the adverse impact of climate change on health. Further evidence is needed to integrate PA into climate change mitigation, adaptation, and resilience strategies.},
}
@article {pmid39187083,
year = {2024},
author = {Nogueira, GP and Petrielli, GP and Chagas, MF and de Souza Henzler, D and de Mesquita Sampaio, IL and Bonomi, AM and Junqueira, TL and de Morais, ER and Hernandes, TAD},
title = {Supplying the ethanol demand for 2030 in Brazil as a land-based climate change mitigation alternative: Implications on greenhouse gases emissions.},
journal = {The Science of the total environment},
volume = {951},
number = {},
pages = {175782},
doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.175782},
pmid = {39187083},
issn = {1879-1026},
abstract = {Transitioning from a fossil-based to a bio-based economy is crucial to climate action and achieving neutrality in greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions. Biofuel production is an essential land-based GHG mitigation alternative. However, it raises concerns about biodiversity conservation, competition with food production, and net GHG emissions associated with direct land-use change (dLUC). This study aims to assess how the location and conversion routes influence GHG emissions for sugarcane expansion in Brazil to supply ethanol demand projections for 2030. A consistent and significant reduction in GHG emissions is achievable by implementing a strategy that prioritizes the spatial distribution for ethanol biorefinery expansions based on georeferenced life cycle emissions, including dLUC emissions associated with sugarcane production. Because of conservative zoning for sugarcane expansion, dLUC emissions are not an overriding factor, representing less than 9.1 % of the total GHG mitigation potential. Despite that, accounting for georeferenced dLUC emissions when prioritizing expansion facilities leads to spatial differences. Regarding conversion routes and land requirements, using cellulosic biorefineries could meet future projected demand based on sugarcane production from 3.1 million hectares, mostly in currently degraded pastureland. Conventional refineries would require 5.5 million hectares to meet the same demand of 71 billion liters. Despite the 77 % higher land demand to produce the same volume of ethanol, conventional refineries with straw recovery could be considered if electricity generation is a priority. This study illustrates how Brazil can achieve GHG mitigation targets while attending to future energy demand and protecting areas with high biodiversity.},
}
@article {pmid39186462,
year = {2024},
author = {Schmidt, S},
title = {More than Mortality: Heat, Climate Change, and Injury-Related Hospitalization in China.},
journal = {Environmental health perspectives},
volume = {132},
number = {8},
pages = {84002},
pmid = {39186462},
issn = {1552-9924},
mesh = {China/epidemiology ; *Climate Change ; Humans ; *Hospitalization/statistics &amp; numerical data ; Hot Temperature/adverse effects ; Wounds and Injuries/mortality ; },
}
@article {pmid39185636,
year = {2024},
author = {Aunan, K and Orru, H and Sjödin, H},
title = {Perspectives on connecting climate change and health.},
journal = {Scandinavian journal of public health},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {14034948241269748},
doi = {10.1177/14034948241269748},
pmid = {39185636},
issn = {1651-1905},
abstract = {Over the past century, the Earth's climate has undergone rapid and unprecedented changes, manifested in a noticeable increase in average global temperature. This has led to shifts in precipitation patterns, increased frequency of extreme weather events (e.g. hurricanes, heatwaves, droughts and floods), alterations in ecosystems, and rising sea levels, impacting both natural environments and human societies, health and wellbeing. Without deep and urgent emission cuts and effective adaptation, the toll of climate change on human health and wellbeing is likely to grow. Here, we address the complex relationship between climate change and health, and discuss ways forward for transdisciplinary research and collaboration that can motivate more ambitious mitigation policies and help develop solutions to adapt to the crisis.},
}
@article {pmid39185584,
year = {2024},
author = {Shrikhande, SS and Lakshmanasamy, R and Röösli, M and Dalvie, MA and Utzinger, J and Cissé, G},
title = {A review of climate change and cardiovascular diseases in the Indian policy context.},
journal = {Health policy and planning},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1093/heapol/czae076},
pmid = {39185584},
issn = {1460-2237},
support = {//Joint South Africa and Swiss Chair in Global Environmental Health/ ; 801076//Marie Sklodowska-Curie grant through the SSPH+ Global PhD Fellowship Programme in Public Health Sciences (GlobalP3HS) of the Swiss School of Public Health/ ; },
abstract = {There is growing evidence that climate change adversely affects human health. Multiple diseases are sensitive to climate change, including cardiovascular diseases (CVDs), which are also the leading cause of death globally. Countries such as India face a compounded challenge, with a growing burden of CVDs and a high vulnerability to climate change, requiring a co-ordinated, multi-sectoral response. In this framework synthesis, we analysed whether and how CVDs are addressed with respect to climate change in the Indian policy space. We identified 10 relevant national-level policies, which were analysed using the framework method. Our analytical framework consisted of four themes: (i) political commitment; (ii) health information systems; (iii) capacity building; and (iv) cross-sectoral actions. Additionally, we analysed a subset of these policies and 29 state-level climate change and health action plans using content analysis to identify health priorities. Our analyses revealed a political commitment in addressing the health impacts of climate change; however, CVDs were poorly contextualized with most of the efforts focusing on vector-borne and other communicable diseases, despite their recognized burden. Heat-related illnesses and cardiopulmonary diseases were also focused on but failed to encompass the most climate-sensitive aspects. CVDs are insufficiently addressed in the existing surveillance systems, despite being mentioned in several policies and interventions, including emergency preparedness in hospitals and cross-sectoral actions. CVDs are mentioned as a separate section in only a small number of state-level plans, several of which need an impetus to complete and include CVD-specific sections. We also found several climate-health policies for specific diseases, albeit not for CVDs. This study identified important gaps in India's disease-specific climate change response and might aid policy makers in strengthening future versions of these policies and boost research and context-specific interventions on climate change and CVDs.},
}
@article {pmid39184222,
year = {2024},
author = {Malboeuf-Hurtubise, C and Lefrançois, D and Éthier, MA and Smith, J and Léger-Goodes, T and Herba, CM},
title = {Exploring children's despair in the face of climate change.},
journal = {Communications psychology},
volume = {2},
number = {},
pages = {78},
pmid = {39184222},
issn = {2731-9121},
abstract = {Interventions targeting children's eco-anxiety have focused on fostering hope, however this is disconnected from children's need to explore and express despair regarding the climate crisis. Adults can help by acknowledging and discussing these emotions with children.},
}
@article {pmid39184084,
year = {2024},
author = {Akorli, R and Antwi-Agyei, P and Davies, P and Damsere-Derry, J and Baffour-Ata, F and Nakua, E and Donkor, P and Mock, C},
title = {The Impact of Climate Change on Road Traffic Crashes in Ghana.},
journal = {Research square},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.21203/rs.3.rs-4654960/v1},
pmid = {39184084},
issn = {2693-5015},
abstract = {Despite the substantial injuries and fatalities from Road Traffic Crashes (RTCs), evidence of climate change's impact on RTCs in Ghana is lacking. This study assessed the impact of climate change on RTCs in Ghana by combining quantitative (Mann-Kendall trend tests, Continuous Wavelet Transform analysis, causal inference analysis) and qualitative (15 key stakeholder interviews) methods. The quantitative analysis employed monthly rainfall and temperature data (1991-2021) alongside RTC data (1998-2021) across 10 regions. While rainfall trends varied regionally, the wet season (April through mid-October) showed a strong link to crash severity for all regions across Ghana. Wavelet analysis showed higher crash severity in the wet season within every 2-8 months period in a particular annual year during the study period. Causal inference analysis revealed rainfall's stronger influence (3.59%) on fatal crashes during the wet season compared to temperature (0.04%). Key stakeholder interviews highlighted perceived changes in temperature and intense rainfall patterns affecting RTCs, especially during rainy seasons suggesting an association between increased rainfall and crash severity. These findings emphasize the multifaceted role of climate change on road safety and the need to address weather-specific risks.},
}
@article {pmid39183892,
year = {2024},
author = {Li, Y and Wang, Y and Zhao, C and Du, X and He, P and Meng, F},
title = {Predicting the spatial distribution of three Ephedra species under climate change using the MaxEnt model.},
journal = {Heliyon},
volume = {10},
number = {12},
pages = {e32696},
pmid = {39183892},
issn = {2405-8440},
abstract = {In the context of global warming, the habitats of Ephedra, including Ephedra sinica Stapf, Ephedra intermedia Schrenk ex Mey, and Ephedra equisetina Bunge, have been substantially threatened and deteriorated in recent years. Little is known about the potential geographic dynamics of economically renowned species, including those used in sand fixation and traditional Chinese medicine, under climate change. Therefore, evaluating their potential habitat and determining the crucial environmental variables affecting E. sinica, E. intermedia and E. equisetina under the driving force of global warming are extremely important. In this study, an optimized MaxEnt model in the kuenm package on the basis of occurrence records (a total of 103, 101 and 97 points for E. sinica, E. intermedia and E. equisetina, respectively) and 37 environmental factors were utilized to simulate the distribution of the three species. Two representative concentration pathways (SSP2.6 and SSP8.5) at 2041-2060 and 2061-2080, respectively, were used to establish a future distribution model of the three species. The results indicated that approximately 6.92 × 10[5] km[2], 2.95 × 10[5] km[2], and 11.5 × 10[5] km[2] of suitable regions for E. sinica, E. intermedia and E. equisetina were obtained, which were mostly distributed in central and eastern Inner Mongolia, eastern and southern Gansu, and northern Xinjiang, respectively. Critical environmental variables, such as land cover and annual precipitation, were regarded as critical parameters for the three species. Future assessment revealed that over 60 % of the potential distribution area was affected, and the stability of E. sinica under the SSP8.5 scenario was the greatest. The spatial dynamic changes in suitable areas for E. intermedia were smaller than those for E. equisetina and E. sinica in the future. The comprehensive analysis revealed that the fluctuations in the distributions of the three Ephedra species under climate change are small and provide useful information for future conservation. Therefore, target conservation and management measures should be implemented in combination with the suitability thresholds of different environmental parameters. Our results provide useful recommendations for the current and future protection of Ephedra populations.},
}
@article {pmid39182788,
year = {2024},
author = {Gröger, M and Börgel, F and Karsten, S and Meier, HEM and Safonova, K and Dutheil, C and Receveur, A and Polte, P},
title = {Future climate change and marine heatwaves - Projected impact on key habitats for herring reproduction.},
journal = {The Science of the total environment},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {175756},
doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.175756},
pmid = {39182788},
issn = {1879-1026},
abstract = {This study explores the impact of global climate targets on sea surface temperatures and marine heatwaves (MHWs) in the Baltic Sea. We further evaluate potential adverse climate effects on the reproductive success of the western Baltic Sea (WBS) herring stock, which underwent a dramatic decline during the past two decades. For this, we use refined ensemble climate projections from the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project. For the WBS herring spawning ground, the number of MHW days nearly triples from 34 days/year in the historical period, to 102 days/year already under the optimistic 1.5 °C target of global climate warming (Paris, 2015) and further increases at a rate of 36 to 48 [days yr[-1]]/0.5 °C beyond the 1.5 °C target. The average MHW surface extent more than doubles in the 1.5 °C target from ~8 % to 21 % in this area. This study finds the phenological winter climate considerably altered in response to future global warming and more frequent MHW days in the WBS. The winter duration reduces by ~25 % already in the 2.0 °C target but ~60 % in the 4.0 °C target compared to the historical climate. Winter inceptions/terminations occur successively later/earlier and the share of missed winters, i.e. winters unsuitable to support herring reproductive success, increases by up to ~70 %. Days with heat stress on the cardiac function of herring larvae will likewise increase and occur earlier in the year. Consequently, the early life cycle of herring will face more often winter conditions that were unprecedented during the historical past, and the risk for future reproductive failure will increase. However, our results reveal that abiotic disturbances for the marine ecosystem can be partly mitigated if global warming remains compliant with the 1.5 °C target.},
}
@article {pmid39182775,
year = {2024},
author = {Gharakhanlou, NM and Perez, L},
title = {From data to harvest: Leveraging ensemble machine learning for enhanced crop yield predictions across Canada amidst climate change.},
journal = {The Science of the total environment},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {175764},
doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.175764},
pmid = {39182775},
issn = {1879-1026},
abstract = {Accurate crop yield predictions are crucial for farmers and policymakers. Despite the widespread use of ensemble machine learning (ML) models in computer science, their application in crop yield prediction remains relatively underexplored. This study, conducted in Canada, aims to assess the potential of five distinct ensemble ML models-Adaptive Boosting (AdaBoost), Gradient Boosting Machine (GBM), XGBoost, LightGBM, and Random Forest (RF)-in predicting crop yields chosen for their ability to manage complex datasets and their strong performance potential. The study integrated various factors, including climate variables, satellite-derived vegetation indices, soil characteristics, and honeybee census data. Data preparation comprised two main steps: first, climate variables were interpolated and averaged for croplands in ArcGIS Pro, along with averaging vegetation indices and soil characteristics. Honeybee census data was also incorporated. Second, the data was organized in Python to create a structured format for models' input. The models' accuracy was assessed using Root Mean Squared Error (RMSE), R-squared, and Mean Absolute Error (MAE). XGBoost emerged as the most accurate model, with the lowest MAE (68.70 for canola and 39.47 for soybeans), lowest RMSE (119.48 for canola and 102.39 for soybeans), and highest R-squared values (0.95 for canola and 0.96 for soybeans) on the test dataset. The study also assessed crop yields under various climate change scenarios, finding minimal variations across the scenarios, but significant negative impacts on canola and soybean yields across Canada. Honeybee colonies were identified as the most influential factor on crop yields, contributing 52.34 % to canola and 57.18 % to soybean yields. This research provides detailed crop yield maps of canola and soybeans at the Census Consolidated Subdivisions (CCS) level across Canada's agricultural landscape, offering valuable forecasts for localized decision-making. Additionally, it offers a proactive strategy for climate change preparedness, assisting farmers and stakeholders optimise resource allocation and manage risks effectively.},
}
@article {pmid39182427,
year = {2024},
author = {Yoldi-Achalandabaso, A and Fricke, W and Miranda-Apodaca, J and Vicente, R and Muñoz-Rueda, A and Pérez-López, U},
title = {Climate change does not impact the water flow of barley at the vegetative stage, ameliorates at anthesis and worsens after subsequent drought episodes.},
journal = {Plant physiology and biochemistry : PPB},
volume = {215},
number = {},
pages = {109060},
doi = {10.1016/j.plaphy.2024.109060},
pmid = {39182427},
issn = {1873-2690},
abstract = {Climate change will bring the interaction of stresses such as increased temperature and drought under high [CO2] conditions. This is likely to impact on crop growth and productivity. This study aimed to (i) determine the response of barley water relations to vegetative and anthesis drought periods under triple interaction conditions, (ii) test the possibility to prime barley plants for drought, and (iii) analyse the involvement of aquaporins in (i) and (ii). The water status of barley was not affected by drought at the vegetative stage, regardless of the environmental conditions. At the anthesis stage, when the water shortage period was more severe, barley plants growing under combined elevated CO2 and temperature conditions were able to maintain a better water status compared with plants grown under current conditions. Elevated CO2 and temperature conditions reduced the stomatal conductance and slowed down the plant water flow through a root-leaf hydraulic conductivity coordination. Leaf HvPIP2;1 and HvTIP1;1 aquaporins seemed to play a key role regulating barley's water flow, while leaf and root HvPIP2;5 provided basic level of water flow. At anthesis drought and under future combined conditions, plants showed a reduced cell dehydration and decrease in leaf relative water content compared with plants grown under current conditions. Exposure to a previous drought did not prime the water status of barley plants to a subsequent drought, but instead worsened the response under future conditions. This was due to an imbalance between the roots versus shoot development.},
}
@article {pmid39182122,
year = {2024},
author = {Abou Jaoude, J and Obeid, S and Malaeb, D and Sakr, F and Dabbous, M and El Khatib, S and Hallit, S and Fekih-Romdhane, F and Hallit, R},
title = {The moderating effect of religiosity between climate change anxiety and death anxiety among a sample of Lebanese adults.},
journal = {BMC psychology},
volume = {12},
number = {1},
pages = {453},
pmid = {39182122},
issn = {2050-7283},
mesh = {Humans ; Male ; Female ; Adult ; *Anxiety/psychology/epidemiology ; *Climate Change ; Cross-Sectional Studies ; Middle Aged ; *Attitude to Death ; Young Adult ; Lebanon ; Religion and Psychology ; Surveys and Questionnaires ; Aged ; Adolescent ; },
abstract = {BACKGROUND: Acknowledging the increasing worry over climate change and its psychological effects, the aim of this research is to clarify the dynamics between religiosity, climate anxiety and death anxiety, seeking to figure out the way religiosity mitigates the psychological effects of existential anxieties and climate related anxiety.<br><br>METHODS: Using Google Forms, a questionnaire was developed and disseminated through a variety of messaging platforms, such as WhatsApp, Instagram, and Facebook Messenger. Through a snowball sampling technique, 763 participants were recruited in this cross-sectional during September 2023.<br><br>RESULTS: The subsequent variables were adjusted in the moderation analysis: age, gender, and place of living. The results suggested that religiosity levels moderated the association between climate anxiety and death anxiety (Beta&#x2009;=&#x2009;0.02, t&#x2009;=&#x2009;1.97, p&#x2009;=&#x2009;.05, 95% CI 0.001, 0.035). At low, moderate, and high levels of religiosity, higher climate anxiety was significantly associated with more death anxiety. In addition, at low levels of climate anxiety, individuals with higher levels of religiosity (22.66) had more decreased levels of death anxiety compared to those with lower levels of religiosity (11.99). As climate anxiety levels increase, inverted patterns can be observed, with highly religious individuals showing higher levels of death anxiety than those with lower levels of religiosity. Overall, the relationship between climate anxiety and death anxiety was found to be weakest at low levels of religiosity and strongest at high levels of religiosity.<br><br>CONCLUSION: Our findings suggest a possible beneficial effect of high religiosity at low levels of climate anxiety. This effect is reversed as climate anxiety starts to increase. Therefore, clinicians and policy-makers should bear in mind these complex interactions when designing strategies to mitigate mental health problems in the context of climate crisis.},
}
@article {pmid39181814,
year = {2024},
author = {Vergara, R and Del Castillo, M and Ginestet, F and Chouvel, R and , },
title = {[In the face of climate change, is a relevant and sustainable eco-pathology in France possible?].},
journal = {Annales de pathologie},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1016/j.annpat.2024.07.004},
pmid = {39181814},
issn = {0242-6498},
abstract = {INTRODUCTION: The healthcare sector is a major contributor to greenhouse gas emissions, accounting for 8 % of annual French emissions. Eco-design in healthcare, which provides care with equal quality, safety, and relevance but with a lower environmental impact, is therefore a crucial lever for sustainable medical practice. This article explores the application of eco-design in anatomical and cytopathological practices (ACP) in France, in response to the country's decarbonization goals.<br><br>OBJECTIVES: After demonstrating that decarbonization is possible through the chosen eco-design of care and practices in ACP, we describe the barriers to these changes and the potential real-world solutions.<br><br>DISCUSSION: We examine the challenges and solutions for integrating eco-design principles into daily ACP practice, highlighting the importance of the relevance of medical procedures to reduce unnecessary practices. We discuss the technical and human barriers in ACP, as well as the solutions: raising awareness among laboratory personnel, industrial stakeholders, research and innovation, the involvement of scientific societies, and initiatives from the collective for Ecological Transformation in ACP (TEAP). Finally, we propose financial incentives to make eco-friendly practices economically viable in ACP.<br><br>CONCLUSION: Eco-design in ACP practices is essential to address the climate challenge and ensure the sustainability of the healthcare system.},
}
@article {pmid39181511,
year = {2024},
author = {Wang, B and Zhang, P and Qi, X and Li, G and Zhang, J},
title = {Predicting ammonia emissions and global warming potential in composting by machine learning.},
journal = {Bioresource technology},
volume = {411},
number = {},
pages = {131335},
doi = {10.1016/j.biortech.2024.131335},
pmid = {39181511},
issn = {1873-2976},
abstract = {The amounts of gases emitted from composting are key to evaluating global warming potential (GWP). However, few methods can accurately predict the quantities of relevant gas emissions. In this study, three developed machine-learning models were used to predict NH3 emissions and GWP. The extreme gradient boosting model provided the best predictions (R[2] > 90 %) compared to random forest, making it a suitable method for calculating NH3 emissions and GWP. The k-nearest neighbor classification model was utilized to determined compost maturity achieving 92 % accuracy. Shapley Additive ExPlanation analysis was applied to identify key factors influencing gas emissions and maturity. Aeration rate, carbon-to-nitrogen ratio and moisture content showed high importance in decreasing order for predicting NH3 emissions, while NO3[-] was the most significant factor for predicting GWP. Practical applications of predictive models suggested that prediction of GWP was 792614 Mg CO2e year[-1] close to annual calculation of 789000 Mg CO2e year[-1] in California.},
}
@article {pmid39181262,
year = {2024},
author = {Zarei, A and Madani, K and Guenther, E and Nasrabadi, HM and Hoff, H},
title = {Integrated nexus approach to assessing climate change impacts on grassland ecosystem dynamics: A case study of the grasslands in Tanzania.},
journal = {The Science of the total environment},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {175691},
doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.175691},
pmid = {39181262},
issn = {1879-1026},
abstract = {This study addresses the intricate interplay between climate, vegetation, and livestock dynamics in Tanzania within the Climate-Vegetation-Livestock (CVL) nexus through a quantitative assessment. By examining the temporal and spatial relationships between vegetation indices (NDVI, EVI, NPP) and key climatic variables (Precipitation, Temperature, Evapotranspiration) from 2009 to 2019, and projecting to 2050, this research aims to elucidate vegetation responses to climate change and its subsequent impacts on livestock. To this end, the relationship between the vegetation dynamics indicators (NDVI, NPP) and climate parameters is evaluated to quantify the vegetation response to climate change using statistical models. Next, an examination of multicollinearity is conducted to investigate potential interactions (nexus) between variables, incorporating the correlation among independent variables. Notably, the evaluation of performance and accuracy for the mentioned models is conducted through the cross-validation method and validation indices. Ultimately, the variation between projected NPP and NDVI (average for 2040-2060) and the present NPP and NDVI (average for 2009-2020) identifies the regions that are most likely susceptible, showcasing the vegetation cover's reaction to climate change in different emission scenarios. The results unveil significant spatio-temporal variations in vegetation dynamics influenced by climatic factors, where higher precipitation and temperatures correlate with increased vegetation health and productivity. The projected fluctuations in NDVI and NPP values indicate varying trends across different regions, with a general decrease in vegetation density and productivity from the northeast to the west under both RCP2.6 and RCP8.5 scenarios by 2050. This decline is attributed to anticipated changes in precipitation and temperature patterns driven by climate change. Furthermore, significant declines in vegetation density and productivity under emission scenarios, particularly in the southern regions compared to the present, suggest greater vulnerability to climate change impacts. This highlights the need for targeted mitigation strategies in these vulnerable areas. Meanwhile, northeast areas under both NDVI and NPP will remain unchanged across both climate scenarios. Moreover, analysis of livestock distribution maps indicates areas of vulnerability under climate change scenarios, with implications for future livestock management and agricultural practices. These findings underscore the importance of proactive planning and targeted interventions to enhance resilience and sustainable development in vulnerable regions, emphasizing the need for integrated approaches that consider the complex interactions between climate, vegetation, and livestock dynamics.},
}
@article {pmid39181248,
year = {2024},
author = {Jakovljević, M and Đuretanović, S and Kojadinović, N and Nikolić, M and Petrović, A and Simović, P and Simić, V},
title = {Assessing spirlin Alburnoides bipunctatus (Bloch, 1782) as an early indicator of climate change and anthropogenic stressors using ecological modeling and machine learning.},
journal = {The Science of the total environment},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {175723},
doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.175723},
pmid = {39181248},
issn = {1879-1026},
abstract = {Combining single-species ecological modeling with advanced machine learning to investigate the long-term population dynamics of the rheophilic fish spirlin offers a powerful approach to understanding environmental changes and climate shifts in aquatic ecosystems. A new ESHIPPOClim model was developed by integrating climate change assessment into the ESHIPPO model. The model identifies spirlin as a potential early indicator of environmental changes, highlighting the interactive effects of climate change and anthropogenic stressors on fish populations and freshwater ecosystems. The ESHIPPOClim model reveals that 28.72 % of the spirlin's data indicates high resilience and ecological responsiveness, with 34.92 % showing medium-high adaptability, suggesting its substantial ability to withstand environmental stressors. With 36.51 % of the data in medium level and no data in the low category, spirlin may serve as a sentinel species, providing early warnings of environmental stressors before they severely impact other species or ecosystems. The results of uniform manifold approximation and projection (UMAP) and a decision tree show that pollution has the highest impact on the population dynamics of spirlin, followed by annual water temperature, overexploitation, and invasive species. Despite the obtained key drivers, higher abundance, dominance, and frequency values were detected in habitats with higher HIPPO stressors and climate change effects. Integrating state-of-the-art machine learning models has enhanced the predictive power of the ESHIPPOClim model, achieving approximately 90 % accuracy in identifying spirlin as an early indicator of climate change and anthropogenic stressors. The ESHIPPOClim model offers a holistic approach with broad practical applications using a simplified 3-point scale, adaptable to various fish species, communities, and regions. The ecological modeling supported with advanced machine learning could serve as a foundation for rapid and cost-effective management of aquatic ecosystems, revealing the adaptability potential of fish species, which is crucial in rapidly changing environments.},
}
@article {pmid39179044,
year = {2024},
author = {Chen, W and Liu, Z and Wei, X and He, S and Gao, W and Wang, X},
title = {Feasibility analysis of using short-term rainfall time series to evaluate rainwater harvesting systems considering climate change.},
journal = {The Science of the total environment},
volume = {951},
number = {},
pages = {175668},
doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.175668},
pmid = {39179044},
issn = {1879-1026},
abstract = {Employing recent short-term historical rainfall data may enhance the performance of rainwater harvesting systems (RWHs) in response to climate change. However, this assumption lacks extensive research, and the evaluation of RWHs currently relies on long-term historical rainfall time series. This study evaluates the feasibility of this assumption and aims to identify the optimal rainfall time series for evaluating RWH performance under climate change. We evaluated RWHs in residential buildings across 16 Japanese cities utilizing historical rainfall time series of varying lengths and 30-year predicted rainfall time series. The minimum rainfall time series length was obtained based on the similarity index between the evaluation results for historical and future periods. The corresponding optimal series can be determined from the distribution of similarity indices in the minimum length. Finally, we introduce supply pressure indices (SPIs) to summarize the rainfall characteristics of these optimal rainfall time series. Our findings highlight that the minimum rainfall time series length increased from 1 year to 30 years as building non-potable water demand rose and city locations varied. Utilizing rainfall time series incorporating recent rainfall data yielded more dependable evaluation results for RWHs under climate change. These optimal rainfall time series share common characteristics with SPIs ranging from 5.37 to 17.87 mm/d, contingent on the local rainfall patterns. Our study concludes that utilizing recent short-term historical rainfall data is feasible to evaluate and design RWHs under climate change.},
}
@article {pmid39178631,
year = {2024},
author = {Gong, H and Wang, H and Wang, Y and Zhang, S and Liu, X and Che, J and Wu, S and Wu, J and Sun, X and Zhang, S and Yau, ST and Wu, R},
title = {Topological change of soil microbiota networks for forest resilience under global warming.},
journal = {Physics of life reviews},
volume = {50},
number = {},
pages = {228-251},
doi = {10.1016/j.plrev.2024.08.001},
pmid = {39178631},
issn = {1873-1457},
abstract = {Forest management by thinning can mitigate the detrimental impact of increasing drought caused by global warming. Growing evidence shows that the soil microbiota can coordinate the dynamic relationship between forest functions and drought intensity, but how they function as a cohesive whole remains elusive. We outline a statistical topology model to chart the roadmap of how each microbe acts and interacts with every other microbe to shape the dynamic changes of microbial communities under forest management. To demonstrate its utility, we analyze a soil microbiota data collected from a two-way longitudinal factorial experiment involving three stand densities and three levels of rainfall over a growing season in artificial plantations of a forest tree - larix (Larix kaempferi). We reconstruct the most sophisticated soil microbiota networks that code maximally informative microbial interactions and trace their dynamic trajectories across time, space, and environmental signals. By integrating GLMY homology theory, we dissect the topological architecture of these so-called omnidirectional networks and identify key microbial interaction pathways that play a pivotal role in mediating the structure and function of soil microbial communities. The statistical topological model described provides a systems tool for studying how microbial community assembly alters its structure, function and evolution under climate change.},
}
@article {pmid39175776,
year = {2024},
author = {Vanin, E and Manes, C and Mattozzi, A and Giordana, L and Rispoli, M and Andorno, M and Amadio, S},
title = {Theater as a means of communicating research on climate change: The case of "Cambiare il clima".},
journal = {iScience},
volume = {27},
number = {8},
pages = {110384},
pmid = {39175776},
issn = {2589-0042},
abstract = {Between 2018 and 2023, the Department of Environmental, Land and Infrastructure Engineering (DIATI) at the Polytechnic University of Turin (PoliTo) implemented a project to advance research and education on climate change monitoring, adaptation and mitigation solutions. As part of their communication efforts, DIATI partnered with Faber Teater to create the play "Cambiare il clima" (in Italian, this means "Change the Climate"). This involved a collaboration between DIATI researchers, communication officers, and Faber Teater. The documentary theater that resulted was premiered at Biennale Tecnologia in 2020 and performed at various venues in Northern Italy, targeting both the general public and students.},
}
@article {pmid39175598,
year = {2024},
author = {Bucciarelli, V and Moscucci, F and Cocchi, C and Nodari, S and Sciomer, S and Gallina, S and Mattioli, AV},
title = {Climate change versus Mediterranean diet: A hazardous struggle for the women's heart.},
journal = {American heart journal plus : cardiology research and practice},
volume = {45},
number = {},
pages = {100431},
pmid = {39175598},
issn = {2666-6022},
abstract = {Climate change impacts food systems, causing nutritional deficiencies and increasing cardiovascular diseases (CVD). Regulatory frameworks like the European Farm-to-Fork Strategy aim to mitigate these effects, but current EU food safety regulations inadequately address health risks from poor diet quality and contaminants. Climate change adversely affects food quality, such as nutrient depletion in crops due to higher CO2 levels, leading to diets that promote chronic diseases, including CVD. Women, because of their roles in food production and their unique physiological responses to nutrients, face distinct vulnerabilities. This review explores the interplay between climate change, diet, and cardiovascular health in women. The review highlights that sustainable diets, particularly the Mediterranean diet, offer health benefits and lower environmental impacts but are threatened by climate change-induced disruptions. Women's adherence to the Mediterranean diet is linked to significant reductions in CVD risk, though sex-specific responses need further research. Resilient agricultural practices, efficient water management, and climate-smart farming are essential to mitigate climate change's negative impacts on food security. Socio-cultural factors influencing women's dietary habits, such as traditional roles and societal pressures, further complicate the picture. Effective interventions must be tailored to women, emphasizing education, community support, policy changes, and media campaigns promoting healthy eating. Collaborative approaches involving policymakers, health professionals, and the agricultural sector are crucial for developing solutions that protect public health and promote sustainability. Addressing the multifaceted challenges posed by climate change to food quality and cardiovascular health in women underscores the need for integrated strategies that ensure food security, enhance diet quality, and mitigate environmental impacts.},
}
@article {pmid39175371,
year = {2024},
author = {Lockie, S and Graham, V and Taylor, B and Baresi, U and Maclean, K and Paxton, G and Vella, K},
title = {Conceptualizing social risk in relation to climate change and assisted ecosystem adaptation.},
journal = {Risk analysis : an official publication of the Society for Risk Analysis},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1111/risa.17635},
pmid = {39175371},
issn = {1539-6924},
support = {RRAP-ENG-01//Great Barrier Reef Foundation/ ; },
abstract = {Realizing positive social and environmental outcomes from assisted ecosystem adaptation requires the management of complex, uncertain, and ambiguous risks. Using assisted coral reef adaptation as a case study, this article presents a conceptual framework that defines social impacts as the physical and cognitive consequences for people of planned intervention and social risks as potential impacts transformed into objects of management through assessment and governance. Reflecting on its multiple uses in the literature, we consider "social risk" in relation to risks to individuals and communities, risks to First Peoples, risks to businesses or project implementation, possibilities for amplified social vulnerability, and risk perceptions. Although much of this article is devoted to bringing clarity to the different ways in which social risk manifests and to the multiple characters of risk and uncertainty, it is apparent that risk governance itself must be an inherently integrative and social process.},
}
@article {pmid39174280,
year = {2024},
author = {O'Dowd, A},
title = {Climate change: Paediatricians call for education to be built into doctors' training.},
journal = {BMJ (Clinical research ed.)},
volume = {386},
number = {},
pages = {q1854},
doi = {10.1136/bmj.q1854},
pmid = {39174280},
issn = {1756-1833},
mesh = {Humans ; *Climate Change ; Pediatricians/education ; Pediatrics/education ; },
}
@article {pmid39173761,
year = {2024},
author = {Shao, Y and Liu, Y and Wang, X and Li, S},
title = {Exploring the evolution of ecosystem health and sustainable zoning: A perspective based on the contributions of climate change and human activities.},
journal = {The Science of the total environment},
volume = {951},
number = {},
pages = {175674},
doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.175674},
pmid = {39173761},
issn = {1879-1026},
abstract = {Maintaining ecosystem health (EH) in watersheds is crucial for building a national pattern of ecological security. However, a comprehensive diagnosis of watershed EH and an exploration of its driving mechanisms are still lacking. This study proposed an EH assessment model from a vitality-organization-resilience-service-environment (VORSE) perspective. Taking the Yellow River Basin of Shaanxi Province (YRBS), China, as a research object, the spatiotemporal evolution trend of EH from 2000 to 2020 was quantified. At the same time, we also quantified the respective contributions of climate change (CC) and human activities (HA) to the EH dynamics based on residual analysis. The results showed that EH in the YRBS increased by 11.80 % from 2000 to 2020, and the spatial distribution of the EH was higher in the southern region than in the northern part. At the pixel scale, areas with improving trends accounted for 90.57 % of the YRBS, while 9.43 % deteriorated, with the improving areas mainly in northern Shaanxi and the deteriorating areas in the Guanzhong region. The correlation between the EH and precipitation was primarily positive, while the correlation between the EH and temperature was mainly negative. The residual analysis showed that the contribution rate of CC to EH changes was 78.54 %, while that of HA was 21.46 %, indicating that CC was the dominant driver of EH changes in the YRBS. Specifically, 82.64 % of the improvement in EH was attributed to CC and 17.36 % to HA. Conversely, 65.30 % of the deterioration in EH was attributed to CC and 34.70 % to HA. Furthermore, CC, HA, and CC&amp;HA dominated EH changes in 26.85 %, 3.77 %, and 69.38 % of the YRBS area, respectively. In addition, the Hurst exponent analysis identified six types of future EH development scenarios, each requiring different restoration strategies. This study provides valuable insights for future EH diagnosis, EH restoration efforts, and the formulation of sustainable development goals in other watersheds.},
}
@article {pmid39171421,
year = {2024},
author = {Titcomb, G and Uelmen, J and Janko, M and Nunn, C},
title = {Infectious disease responses to human climate change adaptations.},
journal = {Global change biology},
volume = {30},
number = {8},
pages = {e17433},
doi = {10.1111/gcb.17433},
pmid = {39171421},
issn = {1365-2486},
support = {R01-TW011493/NH/NIH HHS/United States ; },
mesh = {*Climate Change ; Humans ; *Communicable Diseases/transmission ; Adaptation, Physiological ; },
abstract = {Many recent studies have examined the impact of predicted changes in temperature and precipitation patterns on infectious diseases under different greenhouse gas emissions scenarios. But these emissions scenarios symbolize more than altered temperature and precipitation regimes; they also represent differing levels of change in energy, transportation, and food production at a global scale to reduce the effects of climate change. The ways humans respond to climate change, either through adaptation or mitigation, have underappreciated, yet hugely impactful effects on infectious disease transmission, often in complex and sometimes nonintuitive ways. Thus, in addition to investigating the direct effects of climate changes on infectious diseases, it is critical to consider how human preventative measures and adaptations to climate change will alter the environments and hosts that support pathogens. Here, we consider the ways that human responses to climate change will likely impact disease risk in both positive and negative ways. We evaluate the evidence for these impacts based on the available data, and identify research directions needed to address climate change while minimizing externalities associated with infectious disease, especially for vulnerable communities. We identify several different human adaptations to climate change that are likely to affect infectious disease risk independently of the effects of climate change itself. We categorize these changes into adaptation strategies to secure access to water, food, and shelter, and mitigation strategies to decrease greenhouse gas emissions. We recognize that adaptation strategies are more likely to have infectious disease consequences for under-resourced communities, and call attention to the need for socio-ecological studies to connect human behavioral responses to climate change and their impacts on infectious disease. Understanding these effects is crucial as climate change intensifies and the global community builds momentum to slow these changes and reduce their impacts on human health, economic productivity, and political stability.},
}
@article {pmid39171263,
year = {2024},
author = {Vilela, A and Domizio, P and Morata, A},
title = {Editorial: Microbial modulation to mitigate the impact of climate change on wine production.},
journal = {Frontiers in microbiology},
volume = {15},
number = {},
pages = {1465637},
doi = {10.3389/fmicb.2024.1465637},
pmid = {39171263},
issn = {1664-302X},
}
@article {pmid39170409,
year = {2024},
author = {Solaja, S and Kolawole, A and Awe, T and Oriade, O and Ayojimi, W and Ojo, I and Nayan, G and Adedayo, R and Etta-Oyong, S and Olasehinde, F and Asemokhai, O and Nsikak, I},
title = {Assessment of smallholder rice farmers' adaptation strategies to climate change in Kebbi state, Nigeria.},
journal = {Heliyon},
volume = {10},
number = {15},
pages = {e35384},
pmid = {39170409},
issn = {2405-8440},
abstract = {The future of food production in Nigeria where smallholding agriculture is prevalent is threatened by climate change. Despite the threats, Nigeria has no specific plan or policy to combat it. Therefore, understanding how smallholder farmers adjust to the changing climate and the factors that influence their adaptation choices will facilitate developing a policy to tackle climate change. This study therefore evaluates climate change adaptation techniques among smallholder rice farmers in Kebbi state, Nigeria. The study employs a simple random sampling technique to select 345 respondents. The data was analysed using multivariate probit and ordered probit regression. The findings revealed that marital status, literacy, farm size, farming experience, major occupation, extension visits, amount of credit, and access to climate information influenced adaptation strategy choice. Furthermore, marital status, literacy, household size, farm size, extension visits, and access to climate information are crucial drivers of adoption intensity. This study concludes that smallholder rice farmers in the study area adopt several practices to cope with climate change, however, farmers' intensity of adoption is low. This study recommends that stakeholders in the food systems in the study area should consider literacy, farm size, extension service, credits, and climate information in designing viable policies toward combating the vagaries of climate.},
}
@article {pmid39170376,
year = {2024},
author = {Demir, M&#xd6; and Gök Demir, Z and Karakaya, &#xc7; and Erendağ Sümer, F},
title = {Global warming communicative actions of publics in Türkiye: Utilizing fuzzy rule based system.},
journal = {Heliyon},
volume = {10},
number = {15},
pages = {e35380},
pmid = {39170376},
issn = {2405-8440},
abstract = {The effectiveness of government policies and environmental initiatives to mitigate global warming relies heavily on public support, which is closely tied to public perception and awareness. Despite the scientific evidence communicated, the public remains reluctant to take preventive measures against global warming. The aim of the paper is to investigate the communicative actions of publics proposed as in the situational theory of problem solving to understand publics' communicative actions towards global warming. The paper utilizes a fuzzy rule-based system approach to analyze the communicative actions of publics to reveal non-linear relationships; whereas previous studies mostly used linear statistical analysis. The paper provides a deeper understanding into the interplay between problem recognition, constraint recognition, and involvement in shaping information behavior. The results show that the communicative actions of the publics are at a low-to-moderate level. The paper's interesting finding is the nonlinear effects of constraint recognition on communicative action about global warming. Contrary to the current literature, it was found out that the dominant factor that may convince public to start taking action towards global warming seems to be recognizing being constrained at a moderate level. Based on the results, it is suggested for policy makers and communication strategists to mitigate the negative outcomes of global warming by integrating environmental issues into education at all levels and collaborating with non-governmental organizations for national awareness campaigns which focus on increasing public problem recognition and involvement.},
}
@article {pmid39170312,
year = {2024},
author = {Adom, PK},
title = {The socioeconomic impact of climate change in developing countries over the next decades: A literature survey.},
journal = {Heliyon},
volume = {10},
number = {15},
pages = {e35134},
pmid = {39170312},
issn = {2405-8440},
abstract = {Extreme weather events, rising temperatures, and shifting rainfall patterns pose significant threats to developing countries with fragile social, economic, and political structures. While research has intensified on socioeconomic impacts of climate change, existing survey studies exhibit substantial scope variations and seldom concurrently analyze these impacts, hindering policy coordination. This study reviews literature on the broad spectrum of socioeconomic impacts of climate change to discern trends and underscore areas requiring additional attention. The survey unveils that, across various socioeconomic indicators, the most vulnerable groups bear a disproportionate burden of climate change, with long-term impacts forecasted to surpass medium-term effects. Adaptation and mitigation options are feasible but must be tailored to local contexts.},
}
@article {pmid39170220,
year = {2024},
author = {Nagesh, P and Gassmann, M and Eitzinger, J and de Boer, HJ and Edelenbosch, OY and van Vuuren, DP and Dekker, SC},
title = {Modelling the impacts of climate change on agrochemical fate and transport by water on a catchment scale.},
journal = {Heliyon},
volume = {10},
number = {15},
pages = {e35669},
pmid = {39170220},
issn = {2405-8440},
abstract = {The export of agrochemicals and their transformation products (TPs) following their application in the agricultural fields poses a threat to water quality. Future changes in climatic conditions (e.g. extreme weather events such as heavy rainfall or extended dry periods) could alter the degradation and mobility of agrochemicals. In this research, we use an integrated modelling framework to understand the impact of extreme climate events on the fate and transport of the agrochemical S-Metolachlor and two of its TPs (M-OXA, Metolachlor Oxanilic Acid and M-ESA, Metolachlor Ethyl Sulfonic Acid). This is done by coupling climate model outputs to the Zin-AgriTra agrochemical reactive transport model in four simulation scenarios. 1) Reference (2015-2018), 2) Very dry (2038-2041), 3) Very wet (2054-2057) and 4) High temperature (2096-2099) conditions of a selected RCP8.5 based regional climate scenario. The modelling framework is tested on an agricultural catchment, Wulka, in Burgenland, Austria. The model results indicate that 13-14 % of applied S-Metolachlor is retained in the soil, and around 85 % is degraded into TPs in the different scenarios. In very dry and high-temperature scenarios, degradation is higher, and hence, there is less S-Metolachlor in the soil. However, a large share of formed M-OXA and M-ESA are retained in the soil, which is transported via overland and groundwater flow, leading to a build-up effect in M-OXA and M-ESA river concentrations over the years. Though a small share of S-Metolachlor and TPs are transported to rivers, their river export is affected by the intensity and amount of rainfall. The very wet and high-temperature scenarios show higher S-Metolachlor and TP concentrations at the catchment outlet due to higher river discharge. The reference scenario shows higher river peak concentrations associated with higher overland flow caused by measured hourly rainfall compared to disaggregated daily precipitation data in the other scenarios.},
}
@article {pmid39170213,
year = {2024},
author = {Ullah, N and Chao, L and Khan, TU and Sai, WL and Yazhuo, Z and Khan, IA and Hassan, MA and Hu, Y},
title = {Insights into climate change dynamics: A tourism climate index-based evaluation of Gilgit-Baltistan, Pakistan.},
journal = {Heliyon},
volume = {10},
number = {15},
pages = {e35315},
pmid = {39170213},
issn = {2405-8440},
abstract = {The tourism industry is a significant contribution to the economy of many countries, including Pakistan. However, its activities often have a negative impact on the environment, particularly related to climate change. Notably, Pakistan ranks fifth among countries most affected by climate change, which requires a targeted analysis of the tourism sector to determine its potential impacts. Despite the critical nature of this issue, there is currently a lack of research that examines how climate change specifically impacts Pakistan's tourism industry. This study aims to address this gap by using the Tourism Climate Index (TCI) to assess the impact of climate change on the suitability of different tourism locations across the country. Our results show that popular tourist destinations such as Gilgit-Baltistan experience their peak season in the warmer third quarter (summer), which corresponds to the highest observed TCI values. This suggests that warmer temperatures could boost tourism activity and spending in these regions. Furthermore, our analysis shows that air temperature plays a crucial role in determining tourist comfort levels and significantly influences tourists' TCI values and sensory experiences. The results of this study show that the TCI methodology can be an effective tool for further research into the geographical impacts of climate change on tourism. By identifying necessary changes due to climatic changes, future studies could provide valuable insights into how the tourism industry can adapt to and reduce its environmental footprint.},
}
@article {pmid39169175,
year = {2024},
author = {Bolinesi, F and Rossetti, E and Mangoni, O},
title = {Phytoplankton dynamics in a shellfish farming lagoon in a deltaic system threatened by ongoing climate change.},
journal = {Scientific reports},
volume = {14},
number = {1},
pages = {19424},
pmid = {39169175},
issn = {2045-2322},
mesh = {*Phytoplankton/growth &amp; development/metabolism ; *Climate Change ; Animals ; *Shellfish ; *Biomass ; Bivalvia/growth &amp; development/physiology ; Aquaculture/methods ; Ecosystem ; Food Chain ; Rivers/chemistry ; },
abstract = {Global climate change has generated an increasing number of environmental problems, especially in Mediterranean coastal areas, such as the Po Delta (PD), where shellfish production has undergone an overall decline because of strong environmental changes. The present study is centred on assessing the fundamental ecological aspects in one of the most crucial European shellfish production lagoons, Sacca degli Scardovari (SC), addressing phytoplankton community parameters directly affecting shellfish production, namely, chemotaxonomic composition, size fractions, and total biomass, in relation to the physicochemical properties of the water column and mussel filtering activity. Our findings suggest that the phytoplankton community structure, its role within the lagoon food web and its production cycles depend on two distinct allogenic inputs, which shape the community differently and exert substantial control on shellfish production. At the same time, the suspended mussel biomass strongly controls the phytoplankton size composition, as their growth is largely supported by nanophytoplankton. As the Po River collects the drainage waters of the Italian side of the entire Alpine Arch, the phytoplankton dynamics reported here represent a useful baseline for further addressing issues of climatic changes affecting lagoon ecology. We believe that our study presents an innovative tool for the planning and management of interventions aimed at enhancing national mussel production without neglecting aspects of environmental protection or the integrity of the coastal system, with significant scientific implications.},
}
@article {pmid39169040,
year = {2024},
author = {Djibrilla, ASM and Rabani, A and Illyassou, KM and Issa, SM and Abdourahimou, KN and Abdoulkader, AH and Aissetou, DY},
title = {Improving tomatoes quality in the Sahel through organic cultivation under photovoltaic greenhouse as a climate change adaptation and mitigation strategy.},
journal = {Scientific reports},
volume = {14},
number = {1},
pages = {19396},
pmid = {39169040},
issn = {2045-2322},
mesh = {*Solanum lycopersicum/growth &amp; development ; *Climate Change ; Organic Agriculture/methods ; Temperature ; Fruit/growth &amp; development ; Crops, Agricultural/growth &amp; development ; },
abstract = {Climate change negative impacts on food production systems have forced large scale food producers to make available less healthy products. Although available on the markets, tomatoes are no more tasting as they used to be and providing fewer nutrients compared to then. This study investigates and compares the quality and yield of organic tomatoes (Solanum lycopersicum) produced in an insect net covered photovoltaic greenhouse against ambient production. Plant's physical characteristics were measured, yields and nutrient content were found at harvest, and environmental conditions (temperature, relative humidity, solar irradiance and CO2) were recorded. Plants grew as high as 160 cm inside the greenhouse under an average afternoon temperature of 30.71 °C and a vapor pressure deficit (VPD) of 1.88 kPa against outside plant growth of 72 cm height under averages of 36.04 °C and 3.05 kPa. Although, inside greenhouse tomatoes were physically more attractive and firm with two times healthier tomatoes (98%), 52.39% higher content in protein, 13.31% more minerals and 13.19% more dry matter than outside tomatoes, the yield from outside environment was 4.57 times higher than that of inside due to probably the used crop variety adapted to the harsh climate. Using a crop variety optimum for greenhouse, increasing ventilation and using better fertilizers with enough irrigation could help increase productivity while keeping high fruit quality inside the greenhouse, leading to healthier fruits for food security in the Sahel.},
}
@article {pmid39168688,
year = {2024},
author = {Xu, YL and Zhao, YP and Zhao, YQ and Yang, WL and Zheng, MT and Wang, YX and Liu, S and He, J and Su, GJ and Wang, J and Han, XH and Yang, GH and Ren, CJ},
title = {[Changes in Soil Organic Carbon Density and Its Response to Climate Change and Human Activities Before and After the Grain for Green Project on the Loess Plateau].},
journal = {Huan jing ke xue= Huanjing kexue},
volume = {45},
number = {8},
pages = {4696-4708},
doi = {10.13227/j.hjkx.202310082},
pmid = {39168688},
issn = {0250-3301},
mesh = {*Climate Change ; *Soil/chemistry ; China ; *Carbon/analysis ; Organic Chemicals/analysis ; Conservation of Natural Resources ; Human Activities ; Forests ; Ecosystem ; Environmental Monitoring/methods ; Altitude ; Grassland ; Carbon Sequestration ; Humans ; Crops, Agricultural/growth &amp; development ; },
abstract = {Accurately assessing the changes in soil organic carbon storage （SOCS） before and after the Grain for Green Project （GFG） in the Loess Plateau （LP） and exploring the relationship between its spatial and temporal distribution and the influencing factors were important references for the development of regional recycling as well as the formulation of ecological protection policies. Based on the data of climate, human activities, and SOCD in the surface （0-20 cm） and deep （0-100 cm） soil before and after GFG in the LP from 2001 to 2020, we investigated the changes in SOCD at different spatial and temporal scales by using the methods of trend analysis, the kriging method, and variance partitioning analysis. The results showed that： ① Before and after the GFG, the surface SOCS of the whole region increased by 8 338.7×10[4] t； the deep SOCS increased by 1 160.02×10[4] t. ② In each bioclimatic subregion, the whole-region average SOCD of Ⅰ （Semi-Humid Forest Region）, Ⅱ （Semi-Humid Semi-Arid Forest and Grassland Region）, and Ⅲ （Semi-Arid Typical Grassland Region） showed a significant increasing trend, with a decreasing trend in Ⅳ （arid semi-arid desert grassland area） and Ⅴ （arid desert area）. ③ The average surface SOCS increase in different ecosystems was ranked as follows： cropland > grassland > woodland > shrubs > bare land and sparse vegetation. The deep soil increase was ranked as follows： grassland > cropland > woodland > shrubs > bare land and sparse vegetation. ④ Climate factors were the most important driving factors for changes in SOCD； the annual average temperature and precipitation were significantly positively correlated with changes in SOCD. The results of the study could provide data support for regional ecological management and land use policy formulation to promote high quality development of the ecological environment in the LP.},
}
@article {pmid39168009,
year = {2024},
author = {Shehadeh, A and Alshboul, O and Tamimi, M},
title = {Integrating climate change predictions into infrastructure degradation modelling using advanced markovian frameworks to enhanced resilience.},
journal = {Journal of environmental management},
volume = {368},
number = {},
pages = {122234},
doi = {10.1016/j.jenvman.2024.122234},
pmid = {39168009},
issn = {1095-8630},
abstract = {This study introduces a prognostic model that quantifies infrastructure degradation in highway systems, incorporating the impacts of climate change using an advanced Markovian framework. By assimilating extensive historical maintenance records and detailed climatic data, the model employs a multi-tiered exponential erosion risk framework to enhance predictive accuracy. Our findings indicate a 15-20% acceleration in degradation rates under projected climate scenarios, emphasizing the necessity for climate-adaptive infrastructure management strategies. Utilizing maximal likelihood estimation, the model corrects sample distortion biases, resulting in a 30% improvement in the accuracy of degradation forecasts compared to conventional models. This accuracy enables maintenance cost savings of up to 25% by optimizing repair timings, thus avoiding premature interventions and reducing costs associated with reactive maintenance strategies. The validated model provides a robust tool for strategic planning and adaptive maintenance of highway systems, promoting resilient infrastructure management in the face of evolving climatic conditions. This research ensures that infrastructure professionals can anticipate and mitigate the impacts of climate change, optimizing maintenance budgets and extending the service life of highway assets.},
}
@article {pmid39167599,
year = {2024},
author = {McDermott, A},
title = {Climate change is drying out canopy plants-that could mean less water for the entire rainforest.},
journal = {Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America},
volume = {121},
number = {35},
pages = {e2415456121},
doi = {10.1073/pnas.2415456121},
pmid = {39167599},
issn = {1091-6490},
}
@article {pmid39166686,
year = {2024},
author = {Saldivar, I and Vammen, K},
title = {Tropical dry forests, water, biodiversity and the challenges of climate change in Nicaragua.},
journal = {Brazilian journal of biology = Revista brasleira de biologia},
volume = {84},
number = {},
pages = {e280001},
doi = {10.1590/1519-6984.280001},
pmid = {39166686},
issn = {1678-4375},
mesh = {Nicaragua ; *Biodiversity ; *Climate Change ; *Forests ; *Tropical Climate ; Conservation of Natural Resources ; Humans ; },
abstract = {The Tropical Dry Forests of Nicaragua located mainly in the Pacific and Central-North zones play an essential role in maintaining resources such as water and the special biodiversity of this vulnerable ecosystem now under pressure from land-use changes and climate change These resources are essential to the well-being of the population as the main aquifers of the country are located in this area along with ecosystem services of this now heavily fragmented forest ecosystem. The ongoing influence of climate change along with land-use changes have caused the growth of arid zones in all of Central America. These on-going land use changes are lowering the resilience to the present and future climate change. Individual efforts to sustainable management of the forests are mentioned but it is nonetheless urgent to introduce wider and more intensive sustainable forestry and watershed management under a well-planned strategy based on findings of scientific research. The importance of the interrelationship between water and forests in the management of sustainable forest ecosystems will be stressed.},
}
@article {pmid39166147,
year = {2024},
author = {Speck, CL and DiPietro Mager, NA and Mager, JN},
title = {Pharmacy Interns' Perception of Climate Change and Its Impact on Health.},
journal = {Innovations in pharmacy},
volume = {15},
number = {2},
pages = {},
pmid = {39166147},
issn = {2155-0417},
abstract = {Background: The effects of climate change are major threats to health and well-being. While the profession of pharmacy can make a difference through patient care activities, sustainability, and advocacy, literature detailing U.S. pharmacist and student pharmacist views on this topic is scant. Objectives: To assess Ohio pharmacy interns' knowledge and beliefs regarding climate change and human health as well as its relevance to pharmacy practice and education, and to compare and contrast their perceptions with those of Ohio pharmacists previously surveyed. Methods: An anonymous 31-item electronic survey was emailed to a random sample of 500 pharmacy interns registered in Ohio with questions regarding climate change and health, climate change policy, potential roles for pharmacists and pharmacy interns, pharmacy education, and demographics. Data were analyzed using descriptive and nonparametric statistics, and responses collected from this study were compared with those from the Ohio pharmacist study conducted the previous year. Results: Ninety-two interns completed the survey. The majority of respondents thought climate change is happening (87%), will harm human health in their community (68%), and is relevant to pharmacists or pharmacy practice (62%). Compared to registered pharmacists, pharmacy interns more often acknowledged these statements and more often identified roles in climate action. Sixty-two percent somewhat or strongly agreed that there should be more education about climate change and health in the pharmacy curriculum. Conclusion: The majority of Ohio pharmacy interns participating in this survey recognized the impact of climate change on health, believed they have roles in mitigating its effects, and wanted to learn more about it. As these are the first data assessing U.S. pharmacy interns' perceptions of this topic, additional studies should be performed in other parts of the country. Increased education among student pharmacists may help propel the pharmacy profession to take the lead in climate action and sustainability.},
}
@article {pmid39165541,
year = {2024},
author = {Chmura, HE and Olson, LE and Murdoch, R and Fraik, AK and Jackson, S and McKelvey, KS and Koenig, R and Pilgrim, KL and DeCesare, N and Schwartz, MK},
title = {Climate change differentially alters distribution of two marten species in a hybrid zone.},
journal = {Ecology and evolution},
volume = {14},
number = {8},
pages = {e70181},
pmid = {39165541},
issn = {2045-7758},
abstract = {Species' ranges are shifting rapidly with climate change, altering the composition of biological communities and interactions within and among species. Hybridization is among the species interactions that may change markedly with climate change, yet it is understudied relative to others. We used non-invasive genetic detections to build a maximum entropy species distribution model and investigate the factors that delimit the present and future ranges of American marten (Martes americana) and Pacific marten (Martes caurina) in a contact zone in the Northern Rockies. We found that climate change will decrease the suitable habitat predicted for both species, as well as the amount of overlap in predicted suitable habitat between the species. Interestingly, predicted suitable habitat for Pacific marten extended further north in the study region than our genetic detections for the species, suggesting that biotic factors, such as interactions with American marten, may affect the realized range of this species. Our results suggest that future work investigating the interactions among biotic and abiotic factors that influence hybrid zone dynamics is important for predicting the futures of these two species in this area under climate change.},
}
@article {pmid39164035,
year = {2024},
author = {Dyer, C},
title = {GP who was jailed over climate change protests is suspended for three months.},
journal = {BMJ (Clinical research ed.)},
volume = {386},
number = {},
pages = {q1829},
doi = {10.1136/bmj.q1829},
pmid = {39164035},
issn = {1756-1833},
mesh = {Humans ; *Climate Change ; General Practitioners ; Dissent and Disputes ; },
}
@article {pmid39163749,
year = {2024},
author = {Shokri, M and Lezzi, L and Basset, A},
title = {The seasonal response of metabolic rate to projected climate change scenarios in aquatic amphipods.},
journal = {Journal of thermal biology},
volume = {124},
number = {},
pages = {103941},
doi = {10.1016/j.jtherbio.2024.103941},
pmid = {39163749},
issn = {0306-4565},
abstract = {The responses of organisms to climate change are mediated primarily by its impact on their metabolic rates, which, in turn, drive various biological and ecological processes. Although there have been numerous seminal studies on the sensitivity of metabolic rate to temperature, little is empirically known about how this rate responds to seasonal temperature ranges and beyond under conservative IPCC climate change scenarios. Here, we measured the SMR of the aquatic amphipod, Gammarus insensibilis, which served as our subject species, with body masses ranging from 0.20 to 7.74 mg ash free weight. We assessed the response of the SMR across nine temperature levels ranging from 12 to 30.2 °C. These temperatures match seasonal temperature norms, with an incremental increase of 0.6-1.2 °C above each seasonal baseline, as projected for the years 2040 and 2100 under the modest climate change scenarios. Overall, our findings showed that the effect of temperature on SMR varies with body mass, as indicated by a negative size-temperature interaction, with larger conspecifics exhibiting less sensitivity to temperature changes than smaller ones. From the cold to warm season, the SMR increased by an average of 14% °C[-1], with increases of 18.4% °C[-1] in smaller individuals and 11.4% °C[-1] in larger ones. The SMR of smaller individuals peaked at a 0.6 °C increase from the current summer baseline (15.08% °C[-1], Q10 = 4.2), while in larger ones it peaked with a 1.2 °C increase beyond autumn temperatures (14.9% °C[-1], Q10 = 3.9). However, at temperatures reflecting global warming that exceed summer temperatures, the SMR of larger individuals levelled off, while that of smaller ones continued to increase. Overall, our findings suggest that smaller-sized individuals have a broader thermal window for SMR performance, while the SMR of larger-sized ones will become increasingly constrained at summer temperatures as those summer temperatures become hotter.},
}
@article {pmid39163236,
year = {2024},
author = {Rasmussen, S},
title = {Climate Change Is Changing Astronomy: Astronomy's future may be slipping away-one climate disaster at a time.},
journal = {Scientific American},
volume = {331},
number = {2},
pages = {75},
doi = {10.1038/scientificamerican092024-6SrJw3yKjhZ6Wl79HIPJKd},
pmid = {39163236},
issn = {0036-8733},
}
@article {pmid39162042,
year = {2024},
author = {Sojitra, M and Corney, S and Hemer, M and Hamilton, S and McInnes, J and Thalmann, S and Lea, MA},
title = {Traversing the land-sea interface: A climate change risk assessment of terrestrially breeding marine predators.},
journal = {Global change biology},
volume = {30},
number = {8},
pages = {e17452},
doi = {10.1111/gcb.17452},
pmid = {39162042},
issn = {1365-2486},
mesh = {Animals ; *Climate Change ; Risk Assessment ; Predatory Behavior ; Antarctic Regions ; Spheniscidae/physiology ; Food Chain ; },
abstract = {Terrestrially breeding marine predators have experienced shifts in species distribution, prey availability, breeding phenology, and population dynamics due to climate change worldwide. These central-place foragers are restricted within proximity of their breeding colonies during the breeding season, making them highly susceptible to any changes in both marine and terrestrial environments. While ecologists have developed risk assessments to evaluate climate risk in various contexts, these often overlook critical breeding biology data. To address this knowledge gap, we developed a trait-based risk assessment framework, focusing on the breeding season and applying it to marine predators breeding in parts of Australian territory and Antarctica. Our objectives were to quantify climate change risk, identify specific threats, and establish an adaptable assessment framework. The assessment considered 25 criteria related to three risk components: vulnerability, exposure, and hazard, while accounting for uncertainty. We employed a scoring system that integrated a systematic literature review and expert elicitation for the hazard criteria. Monte Carlo sensitivity analysis was conducted to identify key factors contributing to overall risk. We identified shy albatross (Thalassarche cauta), southern rockhopper penguins (Eudyptes chrysocome), Australian fur seals (Arctocephalus pusillus doriferus), and Australian sea lions (Neophoca cinerea) with high climate urgency. Species breeding in lower latitudes, as well as certain eared seal, albatross, and penguin species, were particularly at risk. Hazard and exposure explained the most variation in relative risk, outweighing vulnerability. Key climate hazards affecting most species include extreme weather events, changes in habitat suitability, and prey availability. We emphasise the need for further research, focusing on at-risk species, and filling knowledge gaps (less-studied hazards, and/or species) to provide a more accurate and robust climate change risk assessment. Our findings offer valuable insights for conservation efforts, given that monitoring and implementing climate adaptation strategies for land-dependent marine predators is more feasible during their breeding season.},
}
@article {pmid39161487,
year = {2024},
author = {Rathor, AA and Lin, M and MacArthur, RD},
title = {Impact of Climate Change on Cellulitis: A Literature Review.},
journal = {Cureus},
volume = {16},
number = {7},
pages = {e64958},
pmid = {39161487},
issn = {2168-8184},
abstract = {Climate change is a phenomenon that has had, and will continue to have, wide-ranging effects on the world in both the near and distant future. With regards to human health, research has demonstrated the impact of climate change on heat-related illness, mental health, and vector-borne infectious diseases. Through a review of the literature, this paper aims to elucidate both current and future consequences of climate change on cellulitis, a type of skin infection that is associated with significant morbidity, mortality, and cost. Factors such as elevated temperature, pollution, rising sea levels, and the increased frequency of natural disasters pose an alarming risk for the increased proliferation of infections such as cellulitis. Lastly, in light of these trends, this paper will address potential strategies individuals can implement to reduce the effects of climate change on cellulitis.},
}
@article {pmid39161269,
year = {2024},
author = {Arriaga, O and Wawrzynkowski, P and Muguerza, N and Díez, I and González, J and Gorostiaga, JM and Quintano, E and Becerro, MA},
title = {Thermal refugia reinforce macroalgal resilience against climate change in the southeastern Bay of Biscay.},
journal = {Global change biology},
volume = {30},
number = {8},
pages = {e17481},
doi = {10.1111/gcb.17481},
pmid = {39161269},
issn = {1365-2486},
support = {RTI2018-098970-B-I00//Ministerio de Ciencia e Innovaci&#xf3;n/ ; PRE_2022_2_0127//Eusko Jaurlaritza/ ; },
mesh = {*Climate Change ; *Refugium ; *Temperature ; *Seaweed/physiology ; Bays ; Ecosystem ; Biodiversity ; },
abstract = {Rising global temperatures present unprecedented challenges to marine ecosystems, demanding a profound understanding of their ecological dynamics for effective conservation strategies. Over a comprehensive macroalgal assessment spanning three decades, we investigated the spatiotemporal evolution of shallow-water benthic communities in the southern Bay of Biscay, uncovering climate-resilient areas amidst the ongoing phase shift in the region. Our investigation identified seven locations serving as potential climate refugia, where cold-affinity, canopy-forming macroalgal species persisted and community structure was similar to that observed in 1991. We unveiled a clear association between the emergence of these refugia, sea surface temperature (SST), and the Community Temperature Index, positioning SST as a significant driver of the observed phase shift in the region. Warming processes, defined as tropicalization (increase of warm-affinity species) and deborealization (decrease of cold-affinity species), were prominent outside refugia. In contrast, cooling processes, defined as borealization (increase of cold-affinity species) and detropicalization (decrease of warm-affinity species), prevailed inside refugia. Refugia exhibited approximately 35% lower warming processes compared to non-refuge areas. This resulted in a dominance of warm-affinity species outside refugia, contrasting with the stability observed within refugia. The persistence of canopy-forming species in refuge areas significantly contributed to maintaining ecosystem diversity and stability. These findings underscored the pivotal role of climate refugia in mitigating climate-driven impacts. Prioritizing the protection and restoration of these refugia can foster resilience and ensure the preservation of biodiversity for future generations. Our study illustrates the importance of refining our understanding of how marine ecosystems respond to climate change, offering actionable insights essential for informed conservation strategies and sustainable environmental management.},
}
@article {pmid39159575,
year = {2024},
author = {Guo, J and Xie, J and Liu, X and Yang, T},
title = {How do global value chains respond to climate change? A case study of Chinese manufacturing firms.},
journal = {Journal of environmental management},
volume = {368},
number = {},
pages = {122083},
doi = {10.1016/j.jenvman.2024.122083},
pmid = {39159575},
issn = {1095-8630},
abstract = {This study investigates climate risk and its effects on global value chain (GVC) participation, with a focus on the impact of drought on the export value-added ratio (DVAR) of Chinese manufacturing firms. Using fixed effects (FE) and system GMM models, the main findings are: Drought significantly reduces manufacturing firms' DVAR, with the lagged dependent variable showing a strong persistence effect and an even greater impact in the second lag period. This impact varies based on the firm's location, the complexity of its value chain, and its ability to adapt to and mitigate climate change effects. Strategies such as improving operational efficiency, investing in sustainable technologies, and enhancing competitiveness in developed markets may help mitigate or reverse the adverse effects of climate change on these firms. Additionally, significant industry and regional differences are observed, with the Northeast, East, and South China regions being most severely affected by drought. Global innovation value chains and regional processing value chains are significantly negatively impacted, while labor-intensive value chains are affected only in the current period. These findings provide new insights into the economic impacts of climate change and offer a basis for policymakers to develop strategies that help firms adapt to and mitigate climate risks.},
}
@article {pmid39159317,
year = {2024},
author = {Rosenzweig, B and Montalto, FA and Orton, P and Kaatz, J and Maher, N and Kleyman, J and Chen, Z and Sanderson, E and Adhikari, N and McPhearson, T and Herreros-Cantis, P},
title = {NPCC4: Climate change and New York City's flood risk.},
journal = {Annals of the New York Academy of Sciences},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1111/nyas.15175},
pmid = {39159317},
issn = {1749-6632},
abstract = {This chapter of the New York City Panel on Climate Change 4 (NPCC4) report provides a comprehensive description of the different types of flood hazards (pluvial, fluvial, coastal, groundwater, and compound) facing New York City and provides climatological context that can be utilized, along with climate change projections, to support flood risk management (FRM). Previous NPCC reports documented coastal flood hazards and presented trends in historical and future precipitation and sea level but did not comprehensively assess all the city's flood hazards. Previous NPCC reports also discussed the implications of floods on infrastructure and the city's residents but did not review the impacts of flooding on the city's natural and nature-based systems (NNBSs). This-the NPCC's first report focused on all drivers of flooding-describes and profiles historical examples of each type of flood and summarizes previous and ongoing research regarding exposure, vulnerability, and risk management, including with NNBS and nonstructural measures.},
}
@article {pmid39159145,
year = {2024},
author = {Meherali, S and Nisa, S and Aynalem, YA and Kennedy, M and Salami, B and Adjorlolo, S and Ali, P and Silva, KL and Aziato, L and Richter, S and Lassi, ZS},
title = {Impact of climate change on maternal health outcomes: An evidence gap map review.},
journal = {PLOS global public health},
volume = {4},
number = {8},
pages = {e0003540},
pmid = {39159145},
issn = {2767-3375},
abstract = {Climate change poses unique challenges to maternal well-being and increases complications during pregnancy and childbirth globally. This evidence gap map (EGM) aims to identify gaps in existing knowledge and areas where further research related to climate change and its impact on maternal health is required. The following databases were searched individually from inception to present: Medline, EMBASE, and Global Health via OVID; Cumulative Index to Nursing and Allied Health Literature (CINAHL) via EBSCOhost; Scopus; and organizational websites. In this EGM, we integrated 133 studies published in English, including qualitative, quantitative, reviews and grey literature that examined the impact of climate change on maternal health (women aged 15-45). We used Covidence to screen studies and Evidence for Policy and Practice Information (Eppi reviewer)/Eppi Mapper software to generate the EGM. Data extraction and qualitative appraisal of the studies was done using critical appraisal tools. The study protocol was registered in International Platform of Registered Systematic Review and Meta-analysis Protocols (INPLASY) # INPLASY202370085. Out of 133 included studies, forty seven studies were of high quality, seventy nine moderate equality and seven low quality. This EGM found notable gaps in the literature regarding the distribution of research across regions. We found significant research in North America (51) and Asia (40 studies). However, Africa and the Caribbean had fewer studies, highlighting potential disparities in research attention and resources. Moreover, while the impact of extreme heat emerged as a prominent factor impacting maternal well-being, there is a need for further investigation into other climate-related factors such as drought. Additionally, while preterm stillbirth and maternal mortality have gained attention, there is an overlook of malnutrition and food insecurity indicators that require attention in future research. The EGM identifies existing research gaps in climate change and maternal health. It emphasizes the need for global collaboration and targeted interventions to address disparities and inform climate-responsive policies.},
}
@article {pmid39158113,
year = {2024},
author = {Li, L and Lu, C and Winiwarter, W and Tian, H and Canadell, JG and Ito, A and Jain, AK and Kou-Giesbrecht, S and Pan, S and Pan, N and Shi, H and Sun, Q and Vuichard, N and Ye, S and Zaehle, S and Zhu, Q},
title = {Enhanced nitrous oxide emission factors due to climate change increase the mitigation challenge in the agricultural sector.},
journal = {Global change biology},
volume = {30},
number = {8},
pages = {e17472},
doi = {10.1111/gcb.17472},
pmid = {39158113},
issn = {1365-2486},
support = {1903722//Armenian National Science and Education Fund/ ; //OECD Co-operative Research Program fellowship/ ; 2023-67019-39252//USDA AFRI/ ; 1945036//NSF CAREER/ ; },
mesh = {*Nitrous Oxide/analysis ; *Climate Change ; *Agriculture/methods ; *Fertilizers/analysis ; Models, Theoretical ; Nitrogen/analysis ; Machine Learning ; Soil/chemistry ; },
abstract = {Effective nitrogen fertilizer management is crucial for reducing nitrous oxide (N2O) emissions while ensuring food security within planetary boundaries. However, climate change might also interact with management practices to alter N2O emission and emission factors (EFs), adding further uncertainties to estimating mitigation potentials. Here, we developed a new hybrid modeling framework that integrates a machine learning model with an ensemble of eight process-based models to project EFs under different climate and nitrogen policy scenarios. Our findings reveal that EFs are dynamically modulated by environmental changes, including climate, soil properties, and nitrogen management practices. Under low-ambition nitrogen regulation policies, EF would increase from 1.18%-1.22% in 2010 to 1.27%-1.34% by 2050, representing a relative increase of 4.4%-11.4% and exceeding the IPCC tier-1 EF of 1%. This trend is particularly pronounced in tropical and subtropical regions with high nitrogen inputs, where EFs could increase by 0.14%-0.35% (relative increase of 11.9%-17%). In contrast, high-ambition policies have the potential to mitigate the increases in EF caused by climate change, possibly leading to slight decreases in EFs. Furthermore, our results demonstrate that global EFs are expected to continue rising due to warming and regional drying-wetting cycles, even in the absence of changes in nitrogen management practices. This asymmetrical influence of nitrogen fertilizers on EFs, driven by climate change, underscores the urgent need for immediate N2O emission reductions and further assessments of mitigation potentials. This hybrid modeling framework offers a computationally efficient approach to projecting future N2O emissions across various climate, soil, and nitrogen management scenarios, facilitating socio-economic assessments and policy-making efforts.},
}
@article {pmid39157905,
year = {2024},
author = {Terán, F and Vives-Peris, V and Gómez-Cadenas, A and Pérez-Clemente, RM},
title = {Facing climate change: plant stress mitigation strategies in agriculture.},
journal = {Physiologia plantarum},
volume = {176},
number = {4},
pages = {e14484},
doi = {10.1111/ppl.14484},
pmid = {39157905},
issn = {1399-3054},
support = {TED2021-129795B-I00//European Union-NextGenerationEU/ ; PRE2020-093757//MCIN/ ; ERDF "A way of making Europe"//MCIN/AEI/10.13039/501100011033/ ; PID2022-137825OB-I00//MCIN/AEI/10.13039/501100011033/ ; },
mesh = {*Climate Change ; *Stress, Physiological ; *Crops, Agricultural/physiology ; *Agriculture/methods ; },
abstract = {Climate change poses significant challenges to global agriculture, with rising temperatures, altered precipitation patterns, and increased frequency of extreme weather events threatening crop yields. These changes exceed the adaptability thresholds of many crops, decreasing their yield and threatening food security. At plant physiological levels, climate change-induced stressors disrupt photosynthesis, growth, and reproductive processes, contributing to a reduced productivity. Furthermore, the negative impacts of climate change on agriculture are exacerbated by anthropogenic factors, with agriculture itself contributing significantly to greenhouse gas emissions. To mitigate these challenges, various approaches have been explored. This work reviews the most important physical, chemical, and biological strategies most commonly used in a broad range of agricultural crops. Among physical strategies, increasing water use efficiency without yield reduction through different irrigation strategies, and the use of foliar treatments with reflective properties to mitigate the negative effects of different stresses have been proven to be effective. Concerning chemical approaches, the exogenous treatment of plants with chemicals induces existing molecular and physiological plant defense mechanisms, enhancing abiotic stress tolerance. Regarding biological treatments, plant inoculation with mycorrhiza and plant growth-promoting rhizobacteria (PGPR) can improve enzymatic antioxidant capacity and mineral solubilization, favoring root and plant growth and enhance plant performance under stressful conditions. While these strategies provide valuable short- to medium-term solutions, there is a pressing need for new biotechnological approaches aimed at developing genotypes resistant to stressful conditions. Collaborative efforts among researchers, policymakers, and agricultural stakeholders are essential to ensure global food security in the face of ongoing climate challenges.},
}
@article {pmid39154184,
year = {2024},
author = {İlaslan, N and Şahin Orak, N},
title = {Relationship between nursing students' global climate change awareness, climate change anxiety and sustainability attitudes in nursing: a descriptive and cross-sectional study.},
journal = {BMC nursing},
volume = {23},
number = {1},
pages = {573},
pmid = {39154184},
issn = {1472-6955},
abstract = {BACKGROUND: As a major global health threat, climate change is an important issue for nurses who play a pivotal role in health protection and improvement, and in the development of climate-smart healthcare systems. Sustainability attitudes in nursing should be developed together with awareness and concern for climate change.<br><br>AIM: The aim of this study was to determine the relationship between nursing students' global climate change awareness, climate change anxiety, and sustainability attitudes in nursing.<br><br>METHODS: This descriptive, correlational study was conducted with 289 nursing students at a state university. Data were collected using the Descriptive Characteristics Form, the Global Climate Change Awareness Scale, the Climate Change Anxiety Scale, and the Sustainability Attitudes in Nursing Survey. Mean and percentage distributions, the Independent Samples t-test, ANOVA test, Pearson correlation and multiple regression analysis were used to analyze the data. The STROBE checklist was used to report this study.<br><br>RESULTS: Global climate change awareness of the nursing students was at a moderate level, and the levels of climate change anxiety and sustainability attitudes in nursing were above average. There was determined to be a moderate positive correlation between climate change awareness and sustainability attitude in nursing, between anxiety and sustainability attitude in nursing, and between climate change awareness and anxiety. Climate change awareness and anxiety explained 25.1% of the sustainability attitude in nursing.<br><br>CONCLUSIONS: The study provides evidence of the relationship between nursing students' global climate change awareness and anxiety, and sustainability attitudes in nursing. It can be recommended that climate change and sustainability awareness-raising content are integrated into the nursing curriculum. The development of a sustainability attitude in nursing will contribute to the development of sustainable and low-carbon healthcare practices.},
}
@article {pmid39153618,
year = {2024},
author = {Guo, WW and Jin, L and Liu, X and Wang, WT},
title = {Vulnerability and driving mechanism of four typical grasslands in China under the coupled impacts of climate change and human activities.},
journal = {The Science of the total environment},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {175560},
doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.175560},
pmid = {39153618},
issn = {1879-1026},
abstract = {Understanding of how different grasslands types respond to climate change and human activities across different spatial and temporal dimensions is crucial for devising effective strategies to prevent grasslands degradation. In this study, we developed a novel vulnerability assessment model for grasslands that intricately evaluates the combined impact of climate change and human activities. We then applied this model to analyze the vulnerability and driving mechanism of four representative Chinese grasslands to climate change and human activities. Our findings indicate that the vulnerability of the four grasslands would show a pattern of higher in the west and lower in the east under the influence of climate change alone. However, when human activities are factored in, the vulnerability across the four grasslands tends to homogenize, with human activities notably reducing the vulnerability of alpine grasslands in the west and, conversely, increasing the vulnerability of grasslands in the east. Furthermore, our study reveals distinct major environmental drivers of grasslands vulnerability across different regions. The two western alpine grasslands exhibit higher vulnerability to annual mean temperature and isothermality compared to the eastern temperate grasslands, while their vulnerability to precipitation of the coldest quarter is lower than that of the eastern temperate grasslands. These findings are helpful for understanding the multifaceted causes and mechanisms of grasslands degradation, providing a scientific foundation for the sustainable management and conservation of grassland resources.},
}
@article {pmid39153617,
year = {2024},
author = {Hu, J and Zheng, J and Lu, D and Dai, X and Wang, R and Zhu, Y and Park, BS and Li, C and Kim, JH and Guo, R and Wang, P},
title = {Mapping the main harmful algal species in the East China Sea (Yangtze River estuary) and their possible response to the Main ecological status and global climate change via a global vision.},
journal = {The Science of the total environment},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {175527},
doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.175527},
pmid = {39153617},
issn = {1879-1026},
abstract = {The Yangtze River Estuary (YRE) is one of the areas in China most severely affected by harmful algal blooms (HABs). This study explored the distributive patterns of HABs in the YRE and how they are influenced by the El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and other environmental factors. Quantitative real-time PCR (qPCR) was employed to detect and quantify the four predominant HAB species in the YRE, Karenia mikimotoi, Margalefidinium polykrikoides, Prorocentrum donghaiense, and Heterosigma akashiwo. Additionally, the study analyzed how turbidity, pH, salinity, and temperature influence these algae. Distribution of the four HAB species in the YRE area shows clear geographical variations: K. mikimotoi is predominantly found in the northwest and central sea areas, M. polykrikoides (East Asian Ribotype, EAR) is mainly distributed in the southeastern part, P. donghaiense is abundant in the northern regions, and H. akashiwo is especially prevalent at stations S26 and S27 in the northeastern part of the study area. HABs dominated by H. akashiwo and P. donghaiense were observed in the northeastern sea area of the YRE on July 22, 2020. Our study reveals that K. mikimotoi, M. polykrikoides (EAR), and P. donghaiense are mainly affected by turbidity, pH, and salinity, while temperature predominantly influences the blooms of H. akashiwo. Moreover, runoff in the YRE has a certain correlation with ENSO events, which may also impact the nutrient content of the region. The findings of this study illustrate the distributive patterns of the four HAB species under various ecological conditions in the YRE and emphasize the importance of establishing practical cases for future warning systems. To better understand how climate change affects HABs, exploring the link between ENSO and HABs is essential.},
}
@article {pmid39152531,
year = {2024},
author = {Diallo, AM and Ridde, V},
title = {Climate change and resilience of the Senegalese health system in the face of the floods in Keur Massar.},
journal = {The International journal of health planning and management},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1002/hpm.3846},
pmid = {39152531},
issn = {1099-1751},
support = {//Institut de Recherche pour le Developpement/ ; //Minist&#xe8;re de l'Europe et des Affaires &#xc9;trang&#xe8;res/ ; },
abstract = {This article is based on the observation that the affected populations perceive existing community-based adaptation strategies to the health effects of floods differently. We explore the resilience of the local health system to climate change (CC) in Keur Massar (Senegal) using a monographic approach based on a qualitative survey of flooded households, health professionals, hygiene agents, community health actors, administrative and local authorities, agents from the Ministries of Health and Environment, and experts from the ecological and meteorological monitoring centre (n = 72). The effects of CC on health are modulated by financial, organisational, social and cultural factors. The effects of CC on health are modulated by traditionally praised by self-centred health governance, which is often based on standardisation of problems and thus not sufficiently attuned to local contexts, especially the climate vulnerability index (CVI) of households and health structures. Despite the existence of programs to combat the consequences of CC, the notorious lack of exhaustive mapping of areas with a high CVI hinders the effective management of the health of the affected populations. A typology of forms of mobility in the context of flooding-ground floor to the upper floor, borrowing a room, renting a flat, seasonal residence-reveals inequalities in access to care as well as specific health needs management of vector-borne diseases, discontinuity of maternal, newborn and child health care, and psychosocial assistance. The article outlines how a health territorialisation based on surveillance and response mechanisms can be co-constructed and made sustainable in areas with a high CVI. Integrating this approach into national health policies allows for equity in health systems efficiently and sustainably.},
}
@article {pmid39152020,
year = {2024},
author = {Perry, D and Mavrogianni, A and Pelham, C and Sisodiya, SM},
title = {Rare diseases: we need to think about climate change too.},
journal = {The Lancet. Neurology},
volume = {23},
number = {9},
pages = {857-858},
doi = {10.1016/S1474-4422(24)00333-8},
pmid = {39152020},
issn = {1474-4465},
mesh = {Humans ; *Climate Change ; *Rare Diseases/therapy ; },
}
@article {pmid39151357,
year = {2024},
author = {Wu, J and Zhuang, Y and Dong, B and Wang, F and Yan, Y and Zhang, D and Liu, Z and Duan, X and Bo, Y and Peng, L},
title = {Spatial heterogeneity of per- and polyfluoroalkyl substances caused by glacial melting in Tibetan Lake Nam Co due to global warming.},
journal = {Journal of hazardous materials},
volume = {478},
number = {},
pages = {135468},
doi = {10.1016/j.jhazmat.2024.135468},
pmid = {39151357},
issn = {1873-3336},
abstract = {Per- and polyfluoroalkyl substances (PFASs) in high-latitude polar regions and the Tibetan Plateau have received widespread international attention. Here, we measured 18 PFASs and 11 major isomers in the lake water, sediment, and surrounding runoff of Lake Nam Co in 2020. The concentrations of ultrashort-chain trifluoroacetic acid (TFA) and perfluoropropanoic acid (PFPrA) and major isomers of perfluoooctanoic acid (PFOA) and perfluoooctane sulfonate acid (PFOS) in water bodies in high-latitude polar regions and the Tibetan Plateau are reported for the first time. The results showed that the concentration of ∑PFASs in glacial runoff was approximately 139 % greater than that in nonglacial runoff. The concentrations of ∑PFASs in the lake water and sediment in the southern lake with multiple glacial runoff events were approximately 113 % and 108 % higher, respectively, than those in the northern lake. The concentrations of short-chain perfluorobutanoic acid (PFBA) and ultrashort-chain TFA and PFPrA, which may be indicators of ice and snow melt, exhibited significant spatial heterogeneity. Overall, the spatial heterogeneity of PFAS concentrations in the water, sediment and surrounding runoff of Lake Nam Co may be caused mainly by glacial melting.},
}
@article {pmid39150738,
year = {2024},
author = {Brouillette, M},
title = {Medical Schools Are Updating Their Curricula as Climate Change Becomes Impossible to Ignore.},
journal = {JAMA},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1001/jama.2024.13506},
pmid = {39150738},
issn = {1538-3598},
}
@article {pmid39145905,
year = {2024},
author = {Rawat, MS and Rawat, PK and Belho, K},
title = {Geospatial AI solution to monitor and mitigate increasing adverse ecological and hydrological impacts of climate change in Uttarakhand Himalaya (India).},
journal = {Environmental science and pollution research international},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
pmid = {39145905},
issn = {1614-7499},
support = {CSIR/ 13 (7179-A//Council of Scientific and Industrial Research, India/ ; DST/SR/OY/A-04/91//Earth System Sciences Organization, Ministry of Earth Sciences/ ; },
abstract = {Though climate change and its adverse ecological and geohydrological impacts are being experienced across the world in all types of ecosystems but as far as the Himalaya mountain ecosystem is concerned, the rate of climate change and subsequent impacts have reached an alarming stage due to anthropogenic and technogenic intervention on natural process and now need most effective and less time taking management strategy. Addressing this burning environmental problem, a geospatial artificial intelligence (GeoAI) technique-based case study is presented here from one of the most densely populated and urbanized regions of Himalaya mountain, viz Uttarakhand Himalaya, which is also called central Himalaya. The results of the study suggest that due to quite a high rate of climate change, the climatic zones shifting towards higher altitudes at the average rate of 5.6 2 m/year, causing several adverse ecological impacts in terms of decreasing quality dense temperate forest cover (0.05%/year), snow cover (0.02%/year), water bodies (0.01%/year), agricultural land (0.31%/year), and horticultural land (0.01%/year). Conversion of these eco-friendly land use land cover into barren land, fallow land, and built-up land causes geohydrological consequences of climate change in terms of decreasing rainy days (1%/year), drying perennial springs (0.20%/year), perennial streams (0.11%/year), decreasing spring and stream discharge during non-monsoon season, increased extreme rainfall events (6-8%/year), and subsequent surface runoff during monsoon season. Further, the study advocates that the degraded geohydrological process has resulted in an increased frequency of disaster events (floods, cloudbursts, landslides. etc.) with a 3% (12 events) annual rate, causing great loss of environment, infrastructure, lives, and economy each year. Therefore, it has been very urgent to mitigate climate change and increase geohydrological disaster events through an integrated approach. Keep in view this, the present study proposed an integrated watershed management plan which is equally useful to be implemented across the Himalaya region and other similar ecosystems across the world.},
}
@article {pmid39145041,
year = {2024},
author = {Abedin, I and Mukherjee, T and Kim, AR and Lee, SR and Kim, HW and Kundu, S},
title = {Fragile futures: Evaluating habitat and climate change response of hog badgers (Mustelidae: Arctonyx) in the conservation landscape of mainland Asia.},
journal = {Ecology and evolution},
volume = {14},
number = {8},
pages = {e70160},
pmid = {39145041},
issn = {2045-7758},
abstract = {The small mammalian fauna plays pivotal roles in ecosystem dynamics and as crucial biodiversity indicators. However, recent research has raised concerns about the decline of mammalian species due to climate change. Consequently, significant attention is directed toward studying various big flagship mammalian species for conservation. However, small mammals such as the hog badgers (Mustelidae: Arctonyx) remain understudied regarding the impacts of climate change in Asia. The present study offers a comprehensive analysis of climate change effects on two mainland hog badger species, utilizing ensemble species distribution modeling. Findings reveal concerning outcomes, as only 52% of the IUCN extent is deemed suitable for the Great Hog Badger (Arctonyx collaris) and a mere 17% is ideal for the Northern Hog Badger (Arctonyx albogularis). Notably, projections suggest a potential reduction of over 26% in suitable areas for both species under future climate scenarios, with the most severe decline anticipated in the high-emission scenario of SSP585. These declines translate into evident habitat fragmentation, particularly impacting A. collaris, whose patches shrink substantially, contrasting with the relatively stable patches of A. albogularis. However, despite their differences, niche overlap analysis reveals an intriguing increase in overlap between the two species, indicating potential ecological shifts. The study underscores the importance of integrating climate change and habitat fragmentation considerations into conservation strategies, urging a reassessment of the IUCN status of A. albogularis. The insights gained from this research are crucial for improving protection measures by ensuring adequate legal safeguards and maintaining ecological corridors between viable habitat patches, which are essential for the conservation of hog badgers across mainland Asia. Furthermore, emphasizing the urgency of proactive efforts, particularly in countries with suitable habitats can help safeguard these small mammalian species and their ecosystems from the detrimental impacts of climate change.},
}
@article {pmid39144799,
year = {2022},
author = {Atwoli, L and Erhabor, GE and Gbakima, AA and Haileamlak, A and Ntumba, JK and Kigera, J and Laybourn-Langton, L and Mash, B and Muhia, J and Mulaudzi, FM and Ofori-Adjei, D and Okonofua, F and Rashidian, A and El-Adawy, M and Sidibé, S and Snouber, A and Tumwine, J and Yassien, MS and Yonga, P and Zakhama, L and Zielinski, C},
title = {COP27 Climate Change Conference: Urgent Action Needed for Africa and the World: Wealthy nations must step up support for Africa and vulnerable countries in addressing past, present and future impacts of climate change.},
journal = {Schizophrenia bulletin open},
volume = {3},
number = {1},
pages = {sgac065},
pmid = {39144799},
issn = {2632-7899},
}
@article {pmid39143284,
year = {2024},
author = {},
title = {How nitrogen compounds in fertilizers and fossil-fuel emissions affect global warming.},
journal = {Nature},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
pmid = {39143284},
issn = {1476-4687},
}
@article {pmid39143071,
year = {2024},
author = {Abera, TA and Heiskanen, J and Maeda, EE and Muhammed, MA and Bhandari, N and Vakkari, V and Hailu, BT and Pellikka, PKE and Hemp, A and van Zyl, PG and Zeuss, D},
title = {Deforestation amplifies climate change effects on warming and cloud level rise in African montane forests.},
journal = {Nature communications},
volume = {15},
number = {1},
pages = {6992},
pmid = {39143071},
issn = {2041-1723},
support = {3.3 - 1228176 - FIN - HFST-p//Alexander von Humboldt-Stiftung (Alexander von Humboldt Foundation)/ ; 350719//Academy of Finland (Suomen Akatemia)/ ; 350719//Academy of Finland (Suomen Akatemia)/ ; },
mesh = {*Conservation of Natural Resources ; *Climate Change ; *Forests ; Africa ; *Biodiversity ; *Tropical Climate ; *Temperature ; Ecosystem ; Trees/growth &amp; development ; },
abstract = {Tropical montane forest ecosystems are pivotal for sustaining biodiversity and essential terrestrial ecosystem services, including the provision of high-quality fresh water. Nonetheless, the impact of montane deforestation and climate change on the capacity of forests to deliver ecosystem services is yet to be fully understood. In this study, we offer observational evidence demonstrating the response of air temperature and cloud base height to deforestation in African montane forests over the last two decades. Our findings reveal that approximately 18% (7.4 ± 0.5 million hectares) of Africa's montane forests were lost between 2003 and 2022. This deforestation has led to a notable increase in maximum air temperature (1.37 ± 0.58 °C) and cloud base height (236 ± 87 metres), surpassing shifts attributed solely to climate change. Our results call for urgent attention to montane deforestation, as it poses serious threats to biodiversity, water supply, and ecosystem services in the tropics.},
}
@article {pmid39142806,
year = {2024},
author = {Willett, W and Springmann, M},
title = {Food, health, and climate change: can epidemiologists contribute further?.},
journal = {International journal of epidemiology},
volume = {53},
number = {5},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1093/ije/dyae109},
pmid = {39142806},
issn = {1464-3685},
mesh = {Humans ; *Climate Change ; Epidemiologists ; Food Supply ; Public Health ; },
}
@article {pmid39141657,
year = {2024},
author = {Dembélé, G and Loison, R and Traoré, A and Dembélé, SG and Sissoko, F},
title = {Optimizing type, date, and dose of compost fertilization of organic cotton under climate change in Mali: A modeling study.},
journal = {PloS one},
volume = {19},
number = {8},
pages = {e0308736},
pmid = {39141657},
issn = {1932-6203},
mesh = {*Climate Change ; *Gossypium/growth &amp; development ; *Composting/methods ; Mali ; *Fertilizers ; Soil/chemistry ; Organic Agriculture/methods ; Models, Theoretical ; },
abstract = {Adapting organic farming to climate change is a major issue. Cotton yields in Mali are declining due to deteriorating climatic conditions, soil fertility, and poor management. This study aimed to improve organic cotton yield in Mali in the future climate with the optimal choice of compost type, date, and dose of application. Experimental data collected in 2021 from the Sotuba research station in Mali was used for calibration and evaluation of the crop model DSSAT CSM-CROPGRO-Cotton model using phenology, leaf area index, and seed cotton yield. Climate data from the RCP4.5 and RCP8.5 scenarios of the GFDL-ESM2M model were used for future weather datasets for 2020-2039, 2040-2059, and 2060-2079. The model was able to simulate anthesis and maturity with excellent results, with nRMSE < 4%, and seed cotton yields moderately well, an nRMSE of 26% during calibration and 20.3% in evaluation. The scenario RCP8.5 from 2060 to 2079 gave the best seed cotton yields. Seed cotton yields with RCP4.5 and RCP8.5 were all better with the mid-May application period of small ruminant silo compost at 7.5 t/ha. In such conditions, more than 75% of the cases would produce more than 2000 kg/ha of seed cotton.},
}
@article {pmid39139701,
year = {2024},
author = {Zetzsche, J and Fallet, M},
title = {To live or let die? Epigenetic adaptations to climate change-a review.},
journal = {Environmental epigenetics},
volume = {10},
number = {1},
pages = {dvae009},
pmid = {39139701},
issn = {2058-5888},
abstract = {Anthropogenic activities are responsible for a wide array of environmental disturbances that threaten biodiversity. Climate change, encompassing temperature increases, ocean acidification, increased salinity, droughts, and floods caused by frequent extreme weather events, represents one of the most significant environmental alterations. These drastic challenges pose ecological constraints, with over a million species expected to disappear in the coming years. Therefore, organisms must adapt or face potential extinctions. Adaptations can occur not only through genetic changes but also through non-genetic mechanisms, which often confer faster acclimatization and wider variability ranges than their genetic counterparts. Among these non-genetic mechanisms are epigenetics defined as the study of molecules and mechanisms that can perpetuate alternative gene activity states in the context of the same DNA sequence. Epigenetics has received increased attention in the past decades, as epigenetic mechanisms are sensitive to a wide array of environmental cues, and epimutations spread faster through populations than genetic mutations. Epimutations can be neutral, deleterious, or adaptative and can be transmitted to subsequent generations, making them crucial factors in both long- and short-term responses to environmental fluctuations, such as climate change. In this review, we compile existing evidence of epigenetic involvement in acclimatization and adaptation to climate change and discuss derived perspectives and remaining challenges in the field of environmental epigenetics. Graphical Abstract.},
}
@article {pmid39139406,
year = {2024},
author = {Selvaraj, JJ and Portilla-Cabrera, CV},
title = {Impact of climate change on Colombian Pacific coast mangrove bivalves distribution.},
journal = {iScience},
volume = {27},
number = {8},
pages = {110473},
pmid = {39139406},
issn = {2589-0042},
abstract = {The mangrove bivalves, Anadara tuberculosa and Anadara similis, are pivotal for the Colombian Pacific coast mangrove ecosystems and economies. In this study, the current and future potential distribution of these bivalves is modeled considering climate change. The future models (2030 and 2050) were projected considering the new climate scenarios (SSP1, SSP2, and SSP5) proposed by the IPCC in its sixth report. Our findings reveal areas in the Colombian Pacific coast, notably Nariño, Cauca, southern Valle del Cauca, and Chocó, with high environmental suitability for these bivalves. However, the 2050 projections, especially under the pessimistic SSP5 scenario, indicate potential adverse impacts from climate change. By 2030 and 2050, the species might lean more toward a southwesterly distribution in the Colombian Pacific coast. Climate-induced spatiotemporal mismatches could occur between the bivalves and the mangroves in some areas. These insights are crucial for effective conservation and management strategies for these species.},
}
@article {pmid39138874,
year = {2024},
author = {Ward, A and Rogers, HH and Tulleners, T and Levett-Jones, T},
title = {Nursing in 2050: Navigating dual realities of climate change in healthcare.},
journal = {Nursing inquiry},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {e12666},
doi = {10.1111/nin.12666},
pmid = {39138874},
issn = {1440-1800},
}
@article {pmid39137244,
year = {2024},
author = {Zain, A and Yeo, I and Wong, L and Shek, LP},
title = {Climate change from the Asia-Pacific perspective: What an allergist needs to know and do.},
journal = {Pediatric allergy and immunology : official publication of the European Society of Pediatric Allergy and Immunology},
volume = {35},
number = {8},
pages = {e14216},
doi = {10.1111/pai.14216},
pmid = {39137244},
issn = {1399-3038},
mesh = {Humans ; *Climate Change ; Asia ; *Allergists ; *Hypersensitivity/epidemiology ; Carbon Footprint ; },
abstract = {Allergic diseases such as asthma, atopic dermatitis, and food allergies are a burgeoning health challenge in the Asia-Pacific region. Compounding this, the region has become increasingly susceptible to the impacts of climate change. The region has weathered extreme precipitation, intense heat waves, and dust storms over the recent decades. While the effects of environmental and genetic factors on allergic diseases are well understood, prevailing gaps in understanding the complex interactions between climate change and these factors remain. We aim to provide insights into the various pathways by which climate change influences allergic diseases in the Asia-Pacific population. We outline practical steps that allergists can take to reduce the carbon footprint of their practice on both a systemic and patient-specific level. We recommend that allergists optimize disease control to reduce the resources required for each patient's care, which contributes to reducing greenhouse gas emissions. We encourage the responsible prescription of metered dose inhalers by promoting the switch to dry powder inhalers for certain patients, at each clinician's discretion. We also recommend the utilization of virtual consultations to reduce patient travel while ensuring that evidence-based guidelines for rational allergy management are closely adhered to. Finally, eliminating unnecessary testing and medications will also reduce greenhouse gas emissions in many areas of medical care.},
}
@article {pmid39136256,
year = {2024},
author = {Verma, KK and Song, XP and Kumari, A and Jagadesh, M and Singh, SK and Bhatt, R and Singh, M and Seth, CS and Li, YR},
title = {Climate change adaptation: Challenges for agricultural sustainability.},
journal = {Plant, cell &amp; environment},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1111/pce.15078},
pmid = {39136256},
issn = {1365-3040},
support = {Guike AA22117002-1//Science and Technology Major Project of Guangxi/ ; 2021YT011//Fund of Guangxi Academy of Agricultural Sciences/ ; GTS2022022//Guangxi Characteristic Crop Experimental Station/ ; nycytxgxcxtd-2021-03//Guangxi Innovation Teams of Modern Agriculture Technology/ ; 31760415//National Natural Science Foundation of China/ ; 2022YFD2301102-07//National Key Research and Development Project/ ; 2021GXNSFAA220022//Guangxi Natural Science Foundation/ ; },
abstract = {Climate change poses a substantial threat to agricultural sustainability globally. Agriculture is a vital component of the gross domestic production of developing countries. The multifaceted impacts of climate change on agriculture, highlighting how extreme weather events such as water stress, heatwaves, erratic rainfall, storms, floods, and emerging pest infestations are disrupting agricultural productivity. The socioeconomic status of farmers is particularly vulnerable to climatic extremes with future projections indicating significant increment in ambient air temperatures and unpredictable, intense rainfall patterns. Agriculture has historically relied on the extensive use of synthetic fertilizers, herbicides, and insecticides, combined with advancements in irrigation and biotechnological approaches to boost productivity. It encompasses a range of practices designed to enhance the resilience of agricultural systems, improve productivity, and reduce greenhouse gas emissions. By adopting climate-smart practices, farmers can better adapt to changing climatic conditions, thereby ensuring more sustainable and secure food production. Furthermore, it identifies key areas for future research, focusing on the development of innovative adaptation and mitigation strategies. These strategies are essential for minimizing the detrimental impacts of climate change on agriculture and for promoting the long-term sustainability of food systems. This article underscores the importance of interdisciplinary approaches and the integration of advanced technologies to address the challenges posed by climate change. By fostering a deeper understanding of these issues to inform policymakers, researchers, and practitioners about effective strategies to safeguard agricultural productivity and food security in the face of changing climate.},
}
@article {pmid39136132,
year = {2024},
author = {Mackay, DS},
title = {Future tree mortality is impossible to observe, but a new model reveals why tropical tree traits matter more than climate change variability for predicting hydraulic failure.},
journal = {The New phytologist},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1111/nph.20049},
pmid = {39136132},
issn = {1469-8137},
support = {DE-SC0023019//United States Department of Energy/ ; IOS-1547786//National Science Foundation/ ; },
}
@article {pmid39135644,
year = {2024},
author = {Zhang, FG and Liang, F and Wu, K and Xie, L and Zhao, G and Wang, Y},
title = {The potential habitat of Angelica dahurica in China under climate change scenario predicted by Maxent model.},
journal = {Frontiers in plant science},
volume = {15},
number = {},
pages = {1388099},
pmid = {39135644},
issn = {1664-462X},
abstract = {Since the 20th century, global climate has been recognized as the most important environmental factor affecting the distribution of plants. Angelica dahurica (A. dahurica) has been in great demand as a medicinal herb and flavoring, but the lack of seed sources has hindered its development. In this study, we utilized the Maxent model combined with Geographic Information System (GIS) to predict the potential habitat of A. dahurica in China based on its geographical distribution and 22 environmental factors. This prediction will serve as a valuable reference for the utilization and conservation of A. dahurica resources.The results indicated that: (1) the Maxent model exhibited high accuracy in predicting the potential habitat area of A. dahurica, with a mean value of the area under the ROC curve (AUC) at 0.879 and a TSS value above 0.6; (2) The five environmental variables with significant effects were bio6 (Min temperature of the coldest month), bio12 (Annual Precipitation), bio17 (Precipitation of Driest Quarter), elevation, and slope, contributing to a cumulative total of 89.6%. Suitable habitats for A. dahurica were identified in provinces such as Yunnan, Guizhou, Guangxi, Sichuan, Hunan, and others. The total area of suitable habitat was projected to increase, with expansion primarily in middle and high latitudes, while areas of decrease were concentrated in lower latitudes. Under future climate change scenarios, the centers of mass of suitable areas for A. dahurica were predicted to shift towards higher latitudes in the 2050s and 2090s, particularly towards the North China Plain and Northeast Plain. Overall, it holds great significance to utilize the Maxent model to predict the development and utilization of A. dahurica germplasm resources in the context of climate change.},
}
@article {pmid39134274,
year = {2024},
author = {Peng, X and Chen, D and Zhen, J and Wang, Y and Hu, X},
title = {Greenhouse gas emissions and drivers of the global warming potential of vineyards under different irrigation and fertilizer management practices.},
journal = {The Science of the total environment},
volume = {950},
number = {},
pages = {175447},
doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.175447},
pmid = {39134274},
issn = {1879-1026},
abstract = {In the context of global warming and low water and fertilizer utilization efficiency in vineyards, identifying the driving factors of global warming potential (GWP) and proper irrigation and fertilization management strategies are crucial for high grape yields and emission reduction. In this experiment, drip fertigation technology was used, including three irrigation levels (W3 (100% M, where M is the irrigation quota), W2 (75% M) and W1 (50% M)) and four fertilization levels (F3 (648 kg hm[-2]), F2 (486 kg hm[-2]), F1 (324 kg hm[-2]) and F0 (0 kg hm[-2])). Traditional furrow irrigation and fertilization (CG) and rainfed (CK) treatments were used as control treatments. The results indicated that under the drip fertigation system, fertilization significantly increased the grape leaf chlorophyll relative content (SPAD) and leaf area index (LAI) within a fertilizer application of 0-486 kg hm[-2]. Irrigation primarily had a direct positive effect on the water-filled pore space (WFPS) in the 0-60 cm soil layer, and the residual soil nutrient content was mainly affected by fertilization. The vital stage for reducing greenhouse gas emissions was the fruit-inflating and fruit-rendering stages. The CG treatment not only failed to ensure high grape yield but also adversely affected the soil environment and the reduction of greenhouse gas emissions in the vineyard. Fertilization had a direct positive effect on the grape SPAD, LAI, yield, and soil residual nutrient content. GWP was primarily directly driven by SPAD, WFPS, and soil residual nutrient content, while grape yield was primarily directly driven by fertilization and SPAD. In conclusion, the W2F2 treatment (25 % reduced irrigation and 486 kg hm[-2] of fertilization) of drip fertigation in the vineyard was the preferred irrigation and fertilizer management strategy for maintaining good vine vigor and balancing grape yield and environmental benefits.},
}
@article {pmid39134152,
year = {2024},
author = {Ogunbode, CA and Salmela-Aro, K and Maran, DA and van den Broek, K and Doran, R and Lins, S and Torres-Marín, J and Navarro-Carrillo, G and Rocchi, G and Schermer, JA},
title = {Do neuroticism and efficacy beliefs moderate the relationship between climate change worry and mental wellbeing?.},
journal = {Journal of affective disorders},
volume = {364},
number = {},
pages = {37-40},
doi = {10.1016/j.jad.2024.08.018},
pmid = {39134152},
issn = {1573-2517},
abstract = {BACKGROUND: Research on the nature and prevalence of phenomena like climate anxiety (or eco-anxiety) is increasing rapidly but there is little understanding of the conditions under which climate change worry becomes more or less likely to significantly impact mental wellbeing. Here, we considered two plausible moderators of the relationship between climate change worry and mental wellbeing: neuroticism and efficacy beliefs.<br><br>METHODS: Analysis was conducted with survey data gathered in six European countries in autumn 2019. Participants were recruited from universities in the participating countries using opportunity sampling.<br><br>RESULTS: We found that climate change worry is negatively related to mental wellbeing at any level of perceived efficacy. In contrast, climate change worry is only significantly related to mental wellbeing at low and average levels of neuroticism. High neuroticism appears to have a masking, rather than amplifying, role in the relationship between climate change worry and mental wellbeing.<br><br>LIMITATIONS: The cross-sectional design of the study precludes verification of causal relationships among variables. The brief measure of neuroticism employed also did not allow for nuanced analysis of how different facets of neuroticism contribute to the observed interaction with climate change worry. Findings cannot be indiscriminately generalised to less privileged groups facing the worst impacts of the climate crisis.<br><br>CONCLUSION: Our findings lend to a view that harmful impacts of climate change worry on mental wellbeing cannot simply be ascribed to dispositional traits like neuroticism. We advocate for interventions that tackle negative climate-related emotions as unique psychological stressors.},
}
@article {pmid39133540,
year = {2024},
author = {Iyengar, MS and Block Ngaybe, MG and Gonzalez, M and Arora, M},
title = {Resilience Informatics: Role of Informatics in Enabling and Promoting Public Health Resilience to Pandemics, Climate Change, and Other Stressors.},
journal = {Interactive journal of medical research},
volume = {13},
number = {},
pages = {e54687},
doi = {10.2196/54687},
pmid = {39133540},
issn = {1929-073X},
abstract = {Climate change, local epidemics, future pandemics, and forced displacements pose significant public health threats worldwide. To cope successfully, people and communities are faced with the challenging task of developing resilience to these stressors. Our viewpoint is that the powerful capabilities of modern informatics technologies including artificial intelligence, biomedical and environmental sensors, augmented or virtual reality, data science, and other digital hardware or software, have great potential to promote, sustain, and support resilience in people and communities. However, there is no "one size fits all" solution for resilience. Solutions must match the specific effects of the stressor, cultural dimensions, social determinants of health, technology infrastructure, and many other factors.},
}
@article {pmid39132714,
year = {2024},
author = {Quan, PQ and Guo, PL and He, J and Liu, XD},
title = {Heat-stress memory enhances the acclimation of a migratory insect pest to global warming.},
journal = {Molecular ecology},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {e17493},
doi = {10.1111/mec.17493},
pmid = {39132714},
issn = {1365-294X},
support = {31871960//National Natural Science Foundation of China/ ; },
abstract = {In the face of rising global temperatures, the mechanisms behind an organism's ability to acclimate to heat stress remain enigmatic. The rice leaf folder, Cnaphalocrocis medinalis, traditionally viewed as temperature-sensitive, paradoxically exhibits robust larval acclimation to heat stress. This study used the heat-acclimated strain HA39, developed through multigenerational exposure to 39°C during the larval stage, and the unacclimated strain HA27 reared at 27°C to unravel the transgenerational effects of heat acclimation and its regulatory mechanisms. Heat acclimation for larvae incurred a fitness cost in pupae when exposed to high temperature, yet a significant transgenerational effect surfaced, revealing heightened fitness benefit in pupae from HA39, even without additional heat exposure during larval recovery at 27°C. This transgenerational effect exhibited a short-term memory, diminishing after two recovery generations. Moreover, the effect correlated with increased superoxide dismutase (SOD) enzyme activity and expression levels of oxidoreductase genes, representing physiological and molecular foundations of heat acclimation. Heat-acclimated larvae displayed elevated DNA methylation levels, while pupae from HA39, in recovery generations, exhibited decreased methylation indicated by the upregulation of a demethylase gene and downregulation of two methyltransferase genes at high temperatures. In summary, heat acclimation induces DNA methylation, orchestrating heat-stress memory and influencing the expression levels of oxidoreductase genes and SOD activity. Heat-stress memory enhances the acclimation of the migratory insect pest to global warming.},
}
@article {pmid39132637,
year = {2024},
author = {Akakpo, MG and Hagan, S and Bokpin, HA},
title = {Climate Change and Health: Perspectives From Ghana.},
journal = {GeoHealth},
volume = {8},
number = {8},
pages = {e2024GH001030},
pmid = {39132637},
issn = {2471-1403},
abstract = {Climate change is impacting many aspects of human life in many ways. In Ghana, climate change knowledge remains low and discussions linking climate change and health are scarce. In this paper, authors contribute to the shaping of discussions about climate and health with a focus on how climate change increases certain ailments. First, the paper addresses the need for research in Ghanaian communities to link climate change and health. Second, the paper suggests the development of policies to address the link. Third, public health educators are advised in this paper to educate the public.},
}
@article {pmid39131722,
year = {2024},
author = {Leddin, D},
title = {The Impact of Climate Change, Pollution, and Biodiversity Loss on Digestive Health and Disease.},
journal = {Gastro hep advances},
volume = {3},
number = {4},
pages = {519-534},
pmid = {39131722},
issn = {2772-5723},
abstract = {The environment is changing rapidly under pressure from 3 related drivers: climate change, pollution, and biodiversity loss. These environmental changes are affecting digestive health and disease in multiple ways. Heat extremes can cause intestinal and hepatic dysfunction. Access to adequate amounts of food of high nutritional content and to clean water is under threat. Extreme weather is associated with flooding and enteric infections and affects the delivery of care through infrastructure loss. Air, water, and soil pollution from chemicals and plastics are emerging as risk factors for a variety of intestinal diseases including eosinophilic esophagitis, metabolic dysfunction associated fatty liver disease, digestive tract cancers, inflammatory bowel disease, and functional bowel disease. Migration of populations to cities and between countries poses a special challenge to the delivery of digestive care. The response to the threat of environmental change is well underway in the global digestive health community, especially with regard to understanding and reducing the environmental impact of endoscopy. Individuals, and peer societies, are becoming more engaged, and have an important role to play in meeting the challenge.},
}
@article {pmid39131708,
year = {2024},
author = {Leddin, D and Rustgi, VK and Srinivasan, S},
title = {Climate Change and Digestive Health.},
journal = {Gastro hep advances},
volume = {3},
number = {4},
pages = {445},
doi = {10.1016/j.gastha.2024.03.014},
pmid = {39131708},
issn = {2772-5723},
}
@article {pmid39130470,
year = {2024},
author = {Jung, M and Kim, J and Kim, EY and Yoo, C and Ko, D and Lee, H and Chae, Y and Kim, YM and Yi, G},
title = {Climate change impacts on Allium crop production: Insights from long-term observations in South Korea.},
journal = {Heliyon},
volume = {10},
number = {14},
pages = {e34749},
pmid = {39130470},
issn = {2405-8440},
abstract = {Climate change is an imminent threat, particularly affecting agricultural productivity, which relies heavily on weather conditions. Understanding the specific impacts of climate change on key crops is crucial for developing effective adaptation strategies to ensure food security. The growth patterns of onions and garlic were observed at over ten different locations in South Korea, and the yield data from the past 40 years were analyzed. The yield was significantly correlated with temperature and strongly affected by the frequent and unexpected patterns of precipitation. The increase in mean temperature during winter and the spatial and temporal concentration of precipitation are expected to be the most influential factors for Allium crop production in the future. In addition, the yields of onions and garlic can serve as good indicators for predicting the impacts of weather on agricultural productivity, given their extended cultivation periods and significant correlations with temperature and precipitation. As climate change scenarios become available, the results of this study can serve as a basis for predicting changes in agricultural production in the future and identifying opportunities to adapt cultivation systems for food security.},
}
@article {pmid39129214,
year = {2024},
author = {Hanneman, K and Nguyen, ET and Kielar, A},
title = {Climate Change, Health Equity, and Environmentally Sustainable Radiology.},
journal = {Canadian Association of Radiologists journal = Journal l'Association canadienne des radiologistes},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {8465371241274183},
doi = {10.1177/08465371241274183},
pmid = {39129214},
issn = {1488-2361},
}
@article {pmid39128869,
year = {2024},
author = {Yang, J and He, W and Xia, Z and Wu, K and Fang, W and Ma, Z and Liu, M and Bi, J},
title = {Measuring climate change perception in China using mental images: A nationwide open-ended survey.},
journal = {Risk analysis : an official publication of the Society for Risk Analysis},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1111/risa.17631},
pmid = {39128869},
issn = {1539-6924},
support = {BX20230159//National Postdoctoral Program for Innovative Talents/ ; BK20220014//Natural Science Foundation of Jiangsu Province/ ; BK20220125//Natural Science Foundation of Jiangsu Province/ ; 71921003//National Natural Science Foundation of China/ ; 72222012//National Natural Science Foundation of China/ ; 72234003//National Natural Science Foundation of China/ ; 72304136//National Natural Science Foundation of China/ ; },
abstract = {Current knowledge about public climate change perception mainly covers belief, concern, and attitudes. However, how this discourse is interpreted using individuals' own frame of reference remains largely unknown, particularly in many large emitters from non-Annex I countries such as China. This study, for the first time, performs a nationwide open-ended survey covering 4,037 respondents and collected 12,100 textual answers. Using a semiautomated coding method, we find seven mental images that exclusively represent the Chinese interpretation of the climate change issue, including global warming, distant icons, natural disasters, environmental degradation, cause, solution, and weather. Analysis of influencing factors shows that females, those with lower education levels, lower income, and older individuals tend to connect climate change with natural weather phenomena. Younger and well-educated residents in developed cities are more aware of various consequences and anthropogenic causes of climate change. People with stronger climate change beliefs, policy support, and personal experience of extreme weather are more likely to mention disastrous impacts, carbon emission as causes, and potential solutions. Employing the multilevel regression and post-stratification technique, we map the prevalence of mental images in China at the prefecture-city level. The results reveal significant geographical heterogeneity, with estimated national means ranging from a high of 55% (weather) to a low of 11% (solution). Our findings reveal diverse perspectives and a widespread misconception of climate change in China, suggesting the need for tailored clarification strategies to gain public consent.},
}
@article {pmid39128359,
year = {2024},
author = {Shang, X and Qin, W and Yang, B and Dai, Q and Pan, H and Yang, X and Gu, X and Yang, Z and Zhang, Z and Zhang, L},
title = {Integrated framework for dynamic conservation of bamboo forest in giant panda habitat under climate change.},
journal = {Journal of environmental management},
volume = {368},
number = {},
pages = {122052},
doi = {10.1016/j.jenvman.2024.122052},
pmid = {39128359},
issn = {1095-8630},
abstract = {Climate change presents formidable challenges to forest biodiversity and carbon storage. Bamboo forests will be affected particularly in Southwest China's mountainous regions. Bamboo serves as not only a key food resource and habitat for giant panda Ailuropoda melanoleuca but also a potential carbon sink due to its rapid energy-to-matter conversion capability. We employ the MaxEnt model to project the distribution shifts of 20 giant panda foraged bamboo species in Sichuan Province under future climate scenarios, utilizing climate data of 30m resolution. Based on the changes in the diversity and distribution area of bamboo communities caused by climate change, the changing of giant pandas' food resources and the carbon storage of bamboo forests were calculated. The results indicated that the area of bamboo communities is projected to expand by 17.94%-60.88% more than now by the end of the 21st century. We analyzed the energy balance between the dietary needs of giant pandas and the energy provided by bamboo. We predicted that bamboo communities from 2000 to 2150 could support the continuous growth of the giant panda population (6533 wild individuals by 2140-2150 in an ideal state in Sichuan province). However, the species diversity and carbon storage of bamboo forests face out-of-sync fluctuations, both temporally and spatially. This is a critical issue for subalpine forest ecosystem management under climate change. Therefore, we propose a dynamic conservation management framework for giant panda habitats across spatial and temporal scales. This framework aims to facilitate the adaptation of subalpine forest ecosystems to climate change. This innovative approach, which integrates climate change into the conservation strategy for endangered species, contributes a conservation perspective to global climate action, highlighting the interconnectedness of biodiversity preservation and climate mitigation.},
}
@article {pmid39127708,
year = {2024},
author = {Martínez-Barradas, V and Galbiati, M and Barco-Rubio, F and Paolo, D and Espinoza, C and Cominelli, E and Arce-Johnson, P},
title = {PvMYB60 gene, a candidate for drought tolerance improvement in common bean in a climate change context.},
journal = {Biological research},
volume = {57},
number = {1},
pages = {52},
pmid = {39127708},
issn = {0717-6287},
support = {739582//Consejo Nacional de Humanidades Ciencias y Tecnolog&#xed;as (MX)/ ; 21200394//Agencia Nacional de Investigaci&#xf3;n y Desarrollo/ ; Anillos de Investigaci&#xf3;n ANID 2023 ATE23007//Agencia Nacional de Investigaci&#xf3;n y Desarrollo/ ; FOSC-288//ERA-NET co-funding on Food Systems and Climate (FOSC) BIO-BELIEF project/ ; },
mesh = {*Droughts ; *Climate Change ; *Phaseolus/genetics/physiology ; Transcription Factors/genetics ; Plant Stomata/genetics/physiology ; Gene Expression Regulation, Plant/genetics ; Plant Proteins/genetics ; Arabidopsis/genetics/physiology ; Drought Resistance ; },
abstract = {BACKGROUND: Common bean (Phaseolus vulgaris) is one of the main nutritional resources in the world, and a low environmental impact source of protein. However, the majority of its cultivation areas are affected by drought and this scenario is only expected to worsen with climate change. Stomatal closure is one of the most important plant responses to drought and the MYB60 transcription factor is among the key elements regulating stomatal aperture. If targeting and mutating the MYB60 gene of common bean would be a valuable strategy to establish more drought-tolerant beans was therefore investigated.<br><br>RESULTS: The MYB60 gene of common bean, with orthology to the Arabidopsis AtMYB60 gene, was found to have conserved regions with MYB60 typical motifs and architecture. Stomata-specific expression of PvMYB60 was further confirmed by q-RT PCR on organs containing stomata, and stomata-enriched leaf fractions. Further, function of PvMYB60 in promoting stomata aperture was confirmed by complementing the defective phenotype of a previously described Arabidopsis myb60-1 mutant.<br><br>CONCLUSIONS: Our study finally points PvMYB60 as a potential target for obtaining more drought-tolerant common beans in the present context of climate change which would further greatly contribute to food security particularly in drought-prone countries.},
}
@article {pmid39124227,
year = {2024},
author = {Wang, D and Guo, M and Liu, S and Li, Y and Dong, Q and Gong, X and Ge, J and Wu, F and Feng, H},
title = {Spatiotemporal Evolution of Winter Wheat Planting Area and Meteorology-Driven Effects on Yield under Climate Change in Henan Province of China.},
journal = {Plants (Basel, Switzerland)},
volume = {13},
number = {15},
pages = {},
pmid = {39124227},
issn = {2223-7747},
support = {7502-75059//Key Research and Development and Promotion Special Project (Science and Technology Targeted) of Henan Province/ ; },
abstract = {This study examines the impact of climate change on winter wheat production in Henan Province. The analysis, under the utilization of GLASS LAI data, focuses on shifts in the planting areas of winter wheat. In addition, a comprehensive assessment of the spatiotemporal trends in meteorological factors during the winter wheat growth period has also been conducted. The findings reveal a fluctuating increase in accumulated temperature across Henan Province, ranging from 3145 °C to 3424 °C and exhibiting a gradual rise from north to south. In particular, precipitation patterns from 1980 to 2019 showed limited significant trends, while notable abrupt changes were observed in 1983, 2004, 2009, and 2016. Geographically, southwestern Henan Province experiences greater precipitation than the northeast. Moreover, a fluctuating downward trend in sunshine hours has been observed, gradually decreasing from north to south. The study further highlights an increase in winter wheat planting frequency in the northwestern region of Luoyang and the northeastern part of Zhumadian, contrasted by a decrease in Zhengzhou and Kaifeng. Accumulated temperature is positively correlated with the expansion of winter wheat planting areas (R[2] = 0.685), while sunshine hours exert a suppressive effect (R[2] = 0.637). Among meteorological factors, accumulated temperature emerges as the most crucial determinant, followed by precipitation, with sunshine hours having a relatively minor influence. Yield demonstrates a positive association with accumulated temperature (R[2] = 0.765) and a negative correlation with sunshine hours (R[2] = -0.614). This finding is consistent with the impact of meteorological factors on winter wheat production. The results of this study enhance the understanding of how the underlying mechanisms of climate change impact crop yields.},
}
@article {pmid39122479,
year = {2024},
author = {Hertzog, L and Charlson, F and Tschakert, P and Morgan, GG and Norman, R and Pereira, G and Hanigan, IC},
title = {Suicide deaths associated with climate change-induced heat anomalies in Australia: a time series regression analysis.},
journal = {BMJ mental health},
volume = {27},
number = {1},
pages = {1-8},
doi = {10.1136/bmjment-2024-301131},
pmid = {39122479},
issn = {2755-9734},
mesh = {Humans ; Australia/epidemiology ; *Climate Change ; Male ; Female ; Middle Aged ; *Suicide/statistics &amp; numerical data ; Adult ; Aged ; *Hot Temperature/adverse effects ; Regression Analysis ; Young Adult ; Adolescent ; Seasons ; },
abstract = {BACKGROUND: Although environmental determinants play an important role in suicide mortality, the quantitative influence of climate change-induced heat anomalies on suicide deaths remains relatively underexamined.<br><br>OBJECTIVE: The objective is to quantify the impact of climate change-induced heat anomalies on suicide deaths in Australia from 2000 to 2019.<br><br>METHODS: A time series regression analysis using a generalised additive model was employed to explore the potentially non-linear relationship between temperature anomalies and suicide, incorporating structural variables such as sex, age, season and geographic region. Suicide deaths data were obtained from the Australian National Mortality Database, and gridded climate data of gridded surface temperatures were sourced from the Australian Gridded Climate Dataset.<br><br>FINDINGS: Heat anomalies in the study period were between 0.02&#xb0;C and 2.2&#xb0;C hotter than the historical period due to climate change. Our analysis revealed that approximately 0.5% (264 suicides, 95%&#x2009;CI 257 to 271) of the total 50&#x2009;733 suicides within the study period were attributable to climate change-induced heat anomalies. Death counts associated with heat anomalies were statistically significant (p value 0.03) among men aged 55+ years old. Seasonality was a significant factor, with increased deaths during spring and summer. The relationship between high heat anomalies and suicide deaths varied across different demographic segments.<br><br>CONCLUSIONS AND IMPLICATIONS: This study highlights the measurable impact of climate change-induced heat anomalies on suicide deaths in Australia, emphasising the need for increased climate change mitigation and adaptation strategies in public health planning and suicide prevention efforts focusing on older adult men. The findings underscore the importance of considering environmental factors in addition to individual-level factors in understanding and reducing suicide mortality.},
}
@article {pmid39120684,
year = {2024},
author = {Veronese, N},
title = {Editor's note: Climate change and health in aging populations.},
journal = {Aging clinical and experimental research},
volume = {36},
number = {1},
pages = {164},
pmid = {39120684},
issn = {1720-8319},
mesh = {*Climate Change ; Humans ; *Aging/physiology ; },
}
@article {pmid39120149,
year = {2024},
author = {Yang, C and Qiu, Z and Wang, S and Shen, H and Ma, X},
title = {Effects of climate change and deep fertilization on the growth and yield of winter wheat in the Loess Plateau of China.},
journal = {Journal of the science of food and agriculture},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1002/jsfa.13798},
pmid = {39120149},
issn = {1097-0010},
support = {52179048//National Natural Science Foundation of China/ ; 2022YFD1900803//National Key R&amp;D Program of China/ ; },
abstract = {BACKGROUND: Global temperature is projected to rise continuously under climate change, negatively impacting the growth and yield of winter wheat. Optimizing traditional agricultural measures is necessary to mitigate potential winter wheat yield losses caused by future climate change. This study aims to explore the variations in winter wheat growth and yield on the Loess Plateau of China under future climate change, identify the key meteorological factors affecting winter wheat growth and yield, and analyze the differences in winter wheat yield and root characteristics under different fertilization depths.<br><br>RESULTS: Meteorological data from 20 General Circulation Models were applied to drive the Decision Support System for Agrotechnology Transfer model, simulating the future growth characteristics of winter wheat under various fertilization depths. The Random Forest model was used to determine the relative importance of meteorological factors influencing winter wheat yield, root length density and leaf area index. The results showed that temperature and high emission concentration were primary factors influencing crop yield under future climate change. The temperature increase projected from 2021 to 2100 would be anticipated to shorten the phenology period of winter wheat by 2-16&#x2009;days and reduce grain yield by 2.9-12.7% compared to the period from 1981 to 2020. Conversely, the root length density and root weight of winter wheat would increase by 1.2-10.9% and 0.2-24.1%, respectively, in the future, and excessive allocation of root system resources was identified as a key factor contributing to the reduction in winter wheat yield. Compared with the shallow fertilization treatment (N5), the deep fertilization treatments (N15 and N25) increased the proportion of roots in the deep soil layer (30-60&#x2009;cm) by 2.7-10.2%. Because of the improvement in root structure, the decline in winter wheat yield under deep fertilization treatments in the future is expected to be reduced by 1.2% to 6.5%, whereas water use efficiency increases by 1.1% to 2.4% compared to the shallow fertilization treatment.<br><br>CONCLUSION: The deep fertilization treatment can enhance the root structure of winter wheat and increase the proportion of roots in the deep soil layer, thereby effectively mitigating the decline in winter wheat yield under future climate change. Overall, optimizing fertilization depth effectively addresses the reduced winter wheat yield risks and agricultural production challenges under future climate change. &#xa9; 2024 Society of Chemical Industry.},
}
@article {pmid39119507,
year = {2023},
author = {Miousse, IR and Hale, RB and Alsbrook, S and Boysen, G and Broadnax, T and Murry, C and Williams, C and Park, CH and Richards, R and Reedy, J and Chalbot, MC and Kavouras, IG and Koturbash, I},
title = {Climate Change and New Challenges for Rural Communities: Particulate Matter Matters.},
journal = {Sustainability},
volume = {15},
number = {23},
pages = {},
pmid = {39119507},
issn = {2071-1050},
support = {KL2 TR000063/TR/NCATS NIH HHS/United States ; UL1 TR000039/TR/NCATS NIH HHS/United States ; },
abstract = {Climate change presents multiple challenges to rural communities. Here, we investigated the toxicological potential of the six types of particulate matter most common to rural Arkansas: soil, road, and agricultural dusts, pollen, traffic exhaust, and particles from biomass burning in human small airway epithelial cells (SAECs). Biomass burning and agricultural dust demonstrated the most potent toxicological responses, exhibited as significant (p < 0.05) up-regulation of HMOX1 (oxidative stress) and TNFα (inflammatory response) genes as well as epigenetic alterations (altered expression of DNA methyltransferases DNMT1, DNMT3A, and DNMT3B, enzymatic activity, and DNA methylation of alpha satellite elements) that were evident at both 24 h and 72 h of exposure. We further demonstrate evidence of aridification in the state of Arkansas and the presence of winds capable of transporting agricultural dust- and biomass burning-associated particles far beyond their origination. Partnerships in the form of citizen science projects may provide important solutions to prevent and mitigate the negative effects of the rapidly evolving climate and improve the well-being of rural communities. Furthermore, the identification of the most toxic types of particulate matter could inform local policies related to agriculture, biomass burning, and dust control.},
}
@article {pmid39117952,
year = {2024},
author = {Lang, PLM and Erberich, JM and Lopez, L and Weiß, CL and Amador, G and Fung, HF and Latorre, SM and Lasky, JR and Burbano, HA and Expósito-Alonso, M and Bergmann, DC},
title = {Century-long timelines of herbarium genomes predict plant stomatal response to climate change.},
journal = {Nature ecology &amp; evolution},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
pmid = {39117952},
issn = {2397-334X},
support = {LT000330/2019-L//Human Frontier Science Program (HFSP)/ ; T32GM007276//U.S. Department of Health &amp; Human Services | National Institutes of Health (NIH)/ ; T32 5T32GM007790//U.S. Department of Health &amp; Human Services | National Institutes of Health (NIH)/ ; R35 GM138300/GM/NIGMS NIH HHS/United States ; 1DP5OD029506-01//U.S. Department of Health &amp; Human Services | National Institutes of Health (NIH)/ ; BIO-BRC 2217793//National Science Foundation (NSF)/ ; DGE-1656518//National Science Foundation (NSF)/ ; Stanford Graduate Fellowship//Stanford University (SU)/ ; Funding for the Department of Molecular Biology of the MPI for Biology led by Detlef Weigel//Max-Planck-Gesellschaft (Max Planck Society)/ ; Funding for the Department of Molecular Biology of the MPI for Biology led by Detlef Weigel//Max-Planck-Gesellschaft (Max Planck Society)/ ; RSWF\R1\191011//Royal Society/ ; Philip Leverhulme Prize//Leverhulme Trust/ ; Investigator//Howard Hughes Medical Institute (HHMI)/ ; DE-SC0021286//U.S. Department of Energy (DOE)/ ; },
abstract = {Dissecting plant responses to the environment is key to understanding whether and how plants adapt to anthropogenic climate change. Stomata, plants' pores for gas exchange, are expected to decrease in density following increased CO2 concentrations, a trend already observed in multiple plant species. However, it is unclear whether such responses are based on genetic changes and evolutionary adaptation. Here we make use of extensive knowledge of 43 genes in the stomatal development pathway and newly generated genome information of 191 Arabidopsis thaliana historical herbarium specimens collected over 193 years to directly link genetic variation with climate change. While we find that the essential transcription factors SPCH, MUTE and FAMA, central to stomatal development, are under strong evolutionary constraints, several regulators of stomatal development show signs of local adaptation in contemporary samples from different geographic regions. We then develop a functional score based on known effects of gene knock-out on stomatal development that recovers a classic pattern of stomatal density decrease over the past centuries, suggesting a genetic component contributing to this change. This approach combining historical genomics with functional experimental knowledge could allow further investigations of how different, even in historical samples unmeasurable, cellular plant phenotypes may have already responded to climate change through adaptive evolution.},
}
@article {pmid39117230,
year = {2024},
author = {Bieroza, MZ and Hallberg, L and Livsey, J and Wynants, M},
title = {Climate change accelerates water and biogeochemical cycles in temperate agricultural catchments.},
journal = {The Science of the total environment},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {175365},
doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.175365},
pmid = {39117230},
issn = {1879-1026},
abstract = {Climate change is expected to significantly deteriorate water quality in heavily managed agricultural landscapes, however, the exact mechanisms of these impacts are unknown. In this study we adopted a modelling approach to predict the multiple effects of climate change on hydrological and biogeochemical responses for dominant solutes and particulates in two agriculture-dominated temperate headwater catchments. We used climatic projections from three climatic models to simulate future flows, mobilisation and delivery of solutes and particulates. This allowed an examination of potential drivers by identifying changes in flow pathway distribution and key environmental variables. We found that future climate conditions will lead to a general increase in stream discharge as well as higher concentrations and loads of solutes and particulates. However, unlike previous studies, we observed a higher magnitude of change during the warmer part of the year. These changes will reduce the relative importance of winter flows on solute and particulate transport, leading to both higher and more evenly distributed concentrations and loads between seasons. We linked these changes to the higher importance of superficial flow pathways of tile and surface runoff driven by more rapid transition from extremely wet to dry conditions. Overall, the observed increase in solute and particulate mobilisation and delivery will lead to widespread water quality deterioration. Mitigation of this deterioration would require adequate management efforts to address the direct and indirect negative effects on stream biota and water scarcity.},
}
@article {pmid39117205,
year = {2024},
author = {Kopáček, J and Brahney, J and Kaňa, J and Kopáček, M and Porcal, P and Stuchlík, E},
title = {The concentration of organic nitrogen in mountain lakes is increasing as a result of reduced acid deposition and climate change.},
journal = {The Science of the total environment},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {175363},
doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.175363},
pmid = {39117205},
issn = {1879-1026},
abstract = {The ionic and nutrient composition of mountain lakes recovering from atmospheric acidification is increasingly influenced by climate change (increasing air temperature and frequency of heavy rainfall events). We investigated the evolution of organic nitrogen (ON), dissolved organic carbon (DOC) and phosphorus (P) concentrations in alpine lakes in the Tatra Mountains (Central Europe) between 1993 and 2023, resulting from changes in climate and the ionic composition of atmospheric deposition. Our results suggest that the decreasing acidity of precipitation and the climatically induced increasing frequency of heavy rainfall events and air temperatures fluctuating around the freezing point have the potential to increase ON concentrations in alpine lakes despite decreasing deposition of inorganic N. The increasing ON involves its allochthonous and autochthonous sources: (1) increased co-export of ON with DOC from soils in dissolved organic matter due to less acidic precipitation and more frequent heavy rainfall events and (2) increased in-lake primary productivity (chlorophyll a) associated with higher P availability. Based on our previous studies, we hypothesize that P availability has increased due to (i) reduced adsorption of phosphate in precipitation to the metal hydroxides in the soil-adsorption complex as a result of increasing pH in precipitation and soil water and (ii) increased P production by weathering due to climate-induced increased mechanical erosion of rocks in unstable scree areas. The extent of these changes was related to the percentage cover of scree areas and meadow soils in the lake catchments. In addition, our results suggest that ON (besides chlorophyll a) may be a more sensitive indicator of increasing productivity of oligotrophic alpine lakes under changing air pollution and climate than generally low P concentrations and their poorly detectable trends.},
}
@article {pmid39116610,
year = {2024},
author = {Liu, X and Zhang, J and Wu, Y and Yu, Y and Sun, J and Mao, D and Zhang, G},
title = {Intensified effect of nitrogen forms on dominant phytoplankton species succession by climate change.},
journal = {Water research},
volume = {264},
number = {},
pages = {122214},
doi = {10.1016/j.watres.2024.122214},
pmid = {39116610},
issn = {1879-2448},
abstract = {Nutrient proportion, light intensity, and temperature affect the succession of dominant phytoplankton species. Despite these insights, this transformation mechanism in highly turbid lakes remains a research gap, especially in response to climate change. To fill this gap, we investigated the mechanism by which multi-environmental factors influence the succession of dominant phytoplankton species in Lake Chagan. This investigation deployed the structural equation model (SEM) and the hydrodynamic-water quality-water ecology mechanism model. Results demonstrated that the dominant phytoplankton species in Lake Chagan transformed from diatom to cyanobacteria during 2012 and 2022. Notably, Microcystis was detected in 2022. SEM revealed the primary environment variables for this succession, including water temperature (Tw), nutrients (total nitrogen (TN), total phosphorus (TP), and ammonia nitrogen (NH4N)), and total suspended solids (TSS). Moreover, this event was not the consequence of zooplankton grazing. An integrated hydrodynamic-water quality-bloom mechanism model was built to explore the mechanism driving phytoplankton succession and its response to climate change. Nutrients determined the phytoplankton biomass and dominant species succession based on various proportions. High NH4N:NO3N ratios favored cyanobacteria and inhibited diatom under high TSS. Additionally, the biomass proportions of diatom (30.77 % vs. 22.28 %) and green (30.56 % vs. 23.30 %) decreased dramatically. In contrast, cyanobacteria abundance remarkably increased (35.78 % to 51.71 %) with the increasing NH4-N:NO3-N ratios. In addition, the proportion of non-nitrogen-fixing cyanobacteria was higher than that of the nitrogen-fixing cyanobacteria counterparts when TN:TP≥20 and NH4N:NO3N ≥ 10. Light-limitation phenotypes also experienced an increase with the rising NH4N:NO3N ratios. Notably, the cyanobacterial biomass reached 3-6 times that in the baseline scenario when the air temperature escalated by 3.0 °C until 2061 under the SSP585 scenario. We highlighted the effect of nitrogen forms on the succession of dominant phytoplankton species. Climate warming will increase nitrogen proportion, providing an insightful reference for controlling cyanobacterial blooms.},
}
@article {pmid39115843,
year = {2024},
author = {Armand, W and Padget, M and Pinsky, E and Wasfy, JH and Slutzman, JE and Duhaime, AC},
title = {Clinician Knowledge and Attitudes About Climate Change and Health After a Quality Incentive Program.},
journal = {JAMA network open},
volume = {7},
number = {8},
pages = {e2426790},
pmid = {39115843},
issn = {2574-3805},
mesh = {Humans ; *Climate Change ; Male ; Female ; Middle Aged ; Adult ; *Attitude of Health Personnel ; *Health Knowledge, Attitudes, Practice ; Surveys and Questionnaires ; Boston ; Physicians/psychology/statistics &amp; numerical data ; Aged ; },
abstract = {IMPORTANCE: Climate change is a fundamental threat to human health, and industries, including health care, must assess their respective contribution to this crisis.<br><br>OBJECTIVE: To assess the change in knowledge of clinicians who completed a quality incentive program (QIP) measure on climate change and health care sustainability and to examine clinician attitudes toward climate change and their perception of clinical and individual relevance.<br><br>The participants in this survey study included employed physicians and psychologists who were part of a hospital physician organization in an academic medical center (AMC) in Boston, Massachusetts. The hospital physician organization provides a QIP with different measures every 6 months and provides incentive payments on completion. The study is based on a survey of participants on completion of a QIP measure focused on climate change and health care sustainability offered from July 2023 through September 2023 at the AMC.<br><br>EXPOSURE: Structured educational video modules.<br><br>MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES: After completion of the modules, the participants reported their baseline and postintervention knowledge on climate change impacts on health and health care sustainability, perceived relevance of the material, and attitudes toward the modules using 5-point Likert scales and free-text comments. Data were analyzed using univariate and multivariable analyses including participant age, gender, and practice specialty.<br><br>RESULTS: Of the 2559 eligible clinicians, 2417 (94.5%) (mean [SD] age, 48.9 [11.5] years; range, 29-85 years; 1244 males [51.5%]) participated in the measure and completed the survey. Among these participants, 1767 (73.1%) thought the modules were relevant or very relevant to their lives and 1580 (65.4%) found the modules relevant or very relevant to their clinical practice. Age was not associated with responses. Practitioners in specialties classified as climate facing were more likely to think that the education was relevant to their clinical practice compared with those in non-climate-facing specialties (mean [SD] score, 3.76 [1.19] vs 3.61 [1.26]; P&#x2009;=&#x2009;.005). Practitioners identifying as female were also more likely to consider this education as relevant to their clinical practice compared with male practitioners (mean [SD] score, 3.82 [1.17] vs 3.56 [1.27]; P&#x2009;<&#x2009;.001).<br><br>CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE: In this survey study, a high proportion of clinicians expressed positive attitudes toward education in climate change and health and health care sustainability, with some demographic and specialty variability. These data support that climate and health education in AMCs provides information that practitioners see as relevant and important.},
}
@article {pmid39114905,
year = {2024},
author = {Rosado E Silva, R and Millett, C and Dittrich, S and Donato, H},
title = {The Impacts of Climate Change on the Emergence and Reemergence of Mosquito-Borne Diseases in Temperate Zones: An Umbrella Review Protocol.},
journal = {Acta medica portuguesa},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.20344/amp.21355},
pmid = {39114905},
issn = {1646-0758},
abstract = {INTRODUCTION: Mosquito-borne diseases represent a global public health concern and are responsible for over 700 000 deaths globally every year. Additionally, many mosquito species have undergone a dramatic global expansion due to various factors, including climate change, and forecasts indicate that mosquito populations will persist in dispersing beyond their present geographic range, namely in temperate climates. The research literature on this topic has grown in recent years, including some systematic evidence synthesis. However, to provide a comprehensive overview of this growing literature needed for policy action, a summary of this evidence, including existing systematic reviews, is required. This study aims to undertake an umbrella review that explores the impacts of climate change on the emergence and reemergence of diseases transmitted by mosquitoes in temperate zones and the publication of the protocol is a fundamental step to ensure the credibility, transparency and reproducibility of this research.<br><br>METHODS AND ANALYSIS: Studies published in scientific journals indexed by PubMed, EMBASE, Cochrane Library, Epistemonikos, and Web of Science Core Collection to be included in this umbrella review will meet the following criteria: the topic of study (climate change and mosquito-borne diseases), regions (temperate zones), study designs (systematic reviews and meta-analysis), language (any) and date (since inception until December 31st, 2023). Titles and abstracts from selected articles will be evaluated by two authors independently and any discrepancy will be resolved through consensus or, if not possible, through a third author. The data will be extracted, and the risk of bias will be evaluated. The quality of the methodology of the included reviews will be assessed using AMSTAR 2. A narrative synthesis will examine the included systematic reviews. The quality of evidence for all outcomes will be judged using the Grading of Recommendations Assessment, Development and Evaluation working group methodology.},
}
@article {pmid39114175,
year = {2024},
author = {da Silveira Bueno, C and Paytan, A and de Souza, CD and Franco, TT},
title = {Global warming and coastal protected areas: A study on phytoplankton abundance and sea surface temperature in different regions of the Brazilian South Atlantic Coastal Ocean.},
journal = {Ecology and evolution},
volume = {14},
number = {8},
pages = {e11724},
pmid = {39114175},
issn = {2045-7758},
abstract = {In this study, we examined the relationship between sea surface temperature (SST) and phytoplankton abundance in coastal regions of the Brazilian South Atlantic: São Paulo, Paraná, and Santa Catarina, and the Protection Area of Southern right whales (Eubalaena australis) in Santa Catarina (APA), a conservation zone established along 130 km of coastline. Using SST and chlorophyll-a (Chl-a) data from 2002 to 2023, we found significant differences in SST between the regions, with São Paulo having the highest SST, followed by Paraná and Santa Catarina. All locations showed a consistent increase in SST over the years, with North Santa Catarina, APA and São Paulo experiencing the lowest rate of increase. Correlation analyses between SST and Chl-a revealed a stronger inverse relationship in North Santa Catarina and APA, indicating an increased response of Chl-a to SST variations in this region. The presence of protected area appears to play an essential role in reducing the negative impacts of increasing SST. Specifically, while there is a wealth of research on the consequences of global warming on diverse coastal and oceanic areas, heterogeneity among different settings persists and the causes for this necessitating attention. Our findings have implications for both localized scientific approaches and broader climate policies, emphasizing the importance of considering coastal ecosystem resilience to climate change in future conservation and adaptation strategies.},
}
@article {pmid39111452,
year = {2024},
author = {Wu, K and Wang, Y and Liu, Z and Huo, W and Cao, J and Zhao, G and Zhang, FG},
title = {Prediction of potential invasion of two weeds of the genus Avena in Asia under climate change based on Maxent.},
journal = {The Science of the total environment},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {175192},
doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.175192},
pmid = {39111452},
issn = {1879-1026},
abstract = {Avena sterilis L. (A. sterilis) and Avena ludoviciana Dur. (A. ludoviciana) are extremely invasive weeds with strong competitive ability and multiple transmission routes. Both species can invade a variety of dryland crops, including wheat, corn, and beans. Asia, as the world's major food-producing continent, will experience significant losses to agricultural production if it is invaded by these weeds on a large scale. This study used the MaxEnt model and ArcGIS to map the distribution of suitable habitats of the two species in Asia under climate change conditions. The constructed model comprised four levels, with a total of 25 index-level indicator factors used to evaluate the invasion risk of the two species. The results showed that the distribution of suitable habitats for both Avena species was highly dependent on precipitation and temperature. Under climate warming conditions, although overall the total suitable area is predicted to decrease compared to the current period, there are still moderately or highly suitable areas. Asian countries need to provide early warning for areas with significant increases in moderate and highly suitable zones for these two species of weeds under the background of climate change. If there is already an invaded area or if the suitability of the original area is increased, this should be closely monitored, and control measures should be taken to prevent further spread and deterioration.},
}
@article {pmid39110385,
year = {2024},
author = {Rudel, TK},
title = {Combating climate change through sustainable cattle ranching in the global south: The role of societal corporatism.},
journal = {Ambio},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
pmid = {39110385},
issn = {1654-7209},
support = {10009499//National Science Foundation/ ; },
abstract = {The contours of the collective action necessary to limit climate change remain difficult to discern. In this context, societal corporatist political processes, fueled by crisis narratives, have shown some promise as political devices for mobilizing people. Corporatist processes have, historically, brought political competitors like employers and labor unions together to negotiate compacts that have advanced collective goods during times of crisis. In response to the climate crisis in the Global South, affluent donor groups, state officials, some farmers, and indigenous peoples have begun to assemble corporatist-like coalitions to pursue climate stabilization. A comparative case study of efforts to promote sustainable cattle ranching through the spread of silvopastoral landscapes in Colombia and Ecuador illustrates this political dynamic, its shortcomings, and its accomplishments.},
}
@article {pmid39109475,
year = {2024},
author = {Lock, MC and Ripley, DM and Smith, KLM and Mueller, CA and Shiels, HA and Crossley, DA and Galli, GLJ},
title = {Developmental plasticity of the cardiovascular system in oviparous vertebrates: effects of chronic hypoxia and interactive stressors in the context of climate change.},
journal = {The Journal of experimental biology},
volume = {227},
number = {20},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1242/jeb.245530},
pmid = {39109475},
issn = {1477-9145},
support = {//The University of Manchester/ ; },
mesh = {Animals ; *Climate Change ; *Hypoxia/physiopathology ; *Vertebrates/physiology/growth &amp; development ; *Cardiovascular System/growth &amp; development/physiopathology ; *Stress, Physiological ; Oviparity ; Adaptation, Physiological ; },
abstract = {Animals at early life stages are generally more sensitive to environmental stress than adults. This is especially true of oviparous vertebrates that develop in variable environments with little or no parental care. These organisms regularly experience environmental fluctuations as part of their natural development, but climate change is increasing the frequency and intensity of these events. The developmental plasticity of oviparous vertebrates will therefore play a critical role in determining their future fitness and survival. In this Review, we discuss and compare the phenotypic consequences of chronic developmental hypoxia on the cardiovascular system of oviparous vertebrates. In particular, we focus on species-specific responses, critical windows, thresholds for responses and the interactive effects of other stressors, such as temperature and hypercapnia. Although important progress has been made, our Review identifies knowledge gaps that need to be addressed if we are to fully understand the impact of climate change on the developmental plasticity of the oviparous vertebrate cardiovascular system.},
}
@article {pmid39108127,
year = {2024},
author = {Weinstein, P and Bi, P and Stanhope, J},
title = {Climate change adaptation must not replicate lockdown scenarios.},
journal = {Perspectives in public health},
volume = {144},
number = {4},
pages = {208-209},
doi = {10.1177/17579139241231130},
pmid = {39108127},
issn = {1757-9147},
mesh = {*Climate Change ; Humans ; COVID-19/prevention &amp; control/epidemiology ; Quarantine ; SARS-CoV-2 ; },
}
@article {pmid39107562,
year = {2024},
author = {Moutinho, S},
title = {Doctors prepare for the "enormous health consequences" of climate change.},
journal = {Nature medicine},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
pmid = {39107562},
issn = {1546-170X},
}
@article {pmid39107423,
year = {2024},
author = {Ramdani, F and Setiani, P and Sianturi, R},
title = {Towards understanding climate change impacts: monitoring the vegetation dynamics of terrestrial national parks in Indonesia.},
journal = {Scientific reports},
volume = {14},
number = {1},
pages = {18257},
pmid = {39107423},
issn = {2045-2322},
mesh = {*Climate Change ; Indonesia ; *Parks, Recreational ; *Conservation of Natural Resources ; Seasons ; Environmental Monitoring/methods ; Ecosystem ; Plants ; },
abstract = {Monitoring vegetation dynamics in terrestrial national parks (TNPs) is crucial for ensuring sustainable environmental management and mitigating the potential negative impacts of short- and long-term disturbances understanding the effect of climate change within natural and protected areas. This study aims to monitor the vegetation dynamics of TNPs in Indonesia by first categorizing them into the regions of Sumatra, Jawa, Kalimantan, Sulawesi, and Eastern Indonesia and then applying ready-to-use MODIS EVI time-series imageries (MOD13Q1) taken from 2000 to 2022 on the GEE cloud-computing platform. Specifically, this research investigates the greening and browning fraction trends using Sen's slope, considers seasonality by analyzing the maximum and minimum EVI values, and assesses anomalous years by comparing the annual time series and long-term median EVI value. The findings reveal significantly increasing greening trends in most TNPs, except Danau Sentarum, from 2000 to 2022. The seasonality analysis shows that most TNPs exhibit peak and trough greenness at the end of the rainy and dry seasons, respectively, as the vegetation response to precipitation increases and decreases. Anomalies in seasonality that is affected by climate change was detected in all of the regions. To increase TNPs resilience, suggested measures include active reforestation and implementation of Assisted Natural Regeneration, strengthen the enforcement of fundamental managerial task, and forest fire management.},
}
@article {pmid39107182,
year = {2024},
author = {Bignier, C and Havet, L and Brisoux, M and Omeiche, C and Misra, S and Gonsard, A and Drummond, D},
title = {Climate change and children's respiratory health.},
journal = {Paediatric respiratory reviews},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1016/j.prrv.2024.07.002},
pmid = {39107182},
issn = {1526-0550},
abstract = {Climate change has significant consequences for children's respiratory health. Rising temperatures and extreme weather events increase children's exposure to allergens, mould, and air pollutants. Children are particularly vulnerable to these airborne particles due to their higher ventilation per unit of body weight, more frequent mouth breathing, and outdoor activities. Children with asthma and cystic fibrosis are at particularly high risk, with increased risks of exacerbation, but the effects of climate change could also be observed in the general population, with a risk of impaired lung development and growth. Mitigation measures, including reducing greenhouse gas emissions by healthcare professionals and healthcare systems, and adaptation measures, such as limiting outdoor activities during pollution peaks, are essential to preserve children's respiratory health. The mobilisation of society as a whole, including paediatricians, is crucial to limit the impact of climate change on children's respiratory health.},
}
@article {pmid39106949,
year = {2024},
author = {Worton, AJ and Norman, RA and Gilbert, L and Porter, RB},
title = {GIS-ODE: linking dynamic population models with GIS to predict pathogen vector abundance across a country under climate change scenarios.},
journal = {Journal of the Royal Society, Interface},
volume = {21},
number = {217},
pages = {20240004},
pmid = {39106949},
issn = {1742-5662},
mesh = {Animals ; *Geographic Information Systems ; *Climate Change ; Scotland ; *Models, Biological ; *Ixodes/physiology ; Population Dynamics ; Humans ; Ecosystem ; },
abstract = {Mechanistic mathematical models such as ordinary differential equations (ODEs) have a long history for their use in describing population dynamics and determining estimates of key parameters that summarize the potential growth or decline of a population over time. More recently, geographic information systems (GIS) have become important tools to provide a visual representation of statistically determined parameters and environmental features over space. Here, we combine these tools to form a 'GIS-ODE' approach to generate spatiotemporal maps predicting how projected changes in thermal climate may affect population densities and, uniquely, population dynamics of Ixodes ricinus, an important tick vector of several human pathogens. Assuming habitat and host densities are not greatly affected by climate warming, the GIS-ODE model predicted that, even under the lowest projected temperature increase, I. ricinus nymph densities could increase by 26-99% in Scotland, depending on the habitat and climate of the location. Our GIS-ODE model provides the vector-borne disease research community with a framework option to produce predictive, spatially explicit risk maps based on a mechanistic understanding of vector and vector-borne disease transmission dynamics.},
}
@article {pmid39105284,
year = {2024},
author = {van der Deure, T and Maes, T and Huyse, T and Stensgaard, AS},
title = {Climate change could fuel urinary schistosomiasis transmission in Africa and Europe.},
journal = {Global change biology},
volume = {30},
number = {8},
pages = {e17434},
doi = {10.1111/gcb.17434},
pmid = {39105284},
issn = {1365-2486},
support = {16-11-1898//Knud H&#xf8;jgaards Fond/ ; 20-11-0483//Knud H&#xf8;jgaards Fond/ ; 101000365//European Union's Horizon 2020/ ; 1S86319N//Fonds Wetenschappelijk Onderzoek/ ; },
mesh = {*Climate Change ; Animals ; Europe ; *Schistosomiasis haematobia/transmission/epidemiology ; Africa/epidemiology ; Bulinus/parasitology ; Ecosystem ; Humans ; Snails/parasitology/physiology ; Animal Distribution ; Models, Theoretical ; },
abstract = {The freshwater snail Bulinus truncatus is an important intermediate host for trematode parasites causing urogenital schistosomiasis, a tropical disease affecting over 150 million people. Despite its medical importance, uncertainty remains about its global distribution and the potential impacts of climate change on its future spread. Here, we investigate the distribution of B. truncatus, combining the outputs of correlative and mechanistic modelling methods to fully capitalize on both experimental and occurrence data of the species and to create a more reliable distribution forecast than ever constructed. We constructed ensemble correlative species distribution models using 273 occurrence points collected from different sources and a combination of climatic and (bio)physical environmental variables. Additionally, a mechanistic thermal suitability model was constructed, parameterized by recent life-history data obtained through extensive lab-based snail-temperature experiments and supplemented with an extensive literature review. Our findings reveal that the current suitable habitat for B. truncatus encompasses the Sahel region, the Middle East, and the Mediterranean segment of Africa, stretching from Southern Europe to Mozambique. Regions identified as suitable by both methods generally coincide with areas exhibiting high urogenital schistosomiasis prevalence. Model projections into the future suggest an overall net increase in suitable area of up to 17%. New suitable habitat is in Southern Europe, the Middle East, and large parts of Central Africa, while suitable habitat will be lost in the Sahel region. The change in snail habitat suitability may substantially increase the risk of urogenital schistosomiasis transmission in parts of Africa and Southern Europe while reducing it in the Sahel region.},
}
@article {pmid39105254,
year = {2024},
author = {Mani, ZA and Naylor, K and Goniewicz, K},
title = {Essential competencies of nurses for climate change response in Saudi Arabia: A rapid literature review.},
journal = {Journal of advanced nursing},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1111/jan.16372},
pmid = {39105254},
issn = {1365-2648},
abstract = {AIM: Amidst the mounting challenges posed by climate change, the healthcare sector emerges as a vital frontliner, with nurses standing as its linchpins. This review delves into the pivotal role of nurses in combatting the health consequences of climatic alterations, particularly within the nuanced environment of Saudi Arabia.<br><br>DESIGN: A rapid literature review.<br><br>METHOD: Drawing from a rigorous analysis of 53 studies, our exploration revolves around the preparedness strategies formulated in response to Saudi Arabia's changing climate. The variables analysed included study design, sample size, focus area, geographical coverage and key findings related to nurse competencies. Data were collected using a structured data extraction form and analysed using thematic content analysis. Employing content analysis, we discerned essential domains: from grasping the health impacts of climate change to customizing care for the most susceptible populations and championing advocacy initiatives.<br><br>FINDINGS: Salient findings highlight nurses' profound understanding of both direct and secondary health implications of climate shifts. Additionally, the results emphasize the tailored interventions needed for vulnerable groups, capacity building and disaster readiness. Crucially, our findings spotlight the significance of weaving cultural, ethical and regional threads into nursing strategies. By painting a comprehensive picture, we showcase the delicate balance of environmental evolution, healthcare dynamics and the unique socio-cultural tapestry of Saudi Arabia.<br><br>CONCLUSION: The results of our analysis revealed key competencies required for nurses, including the ability to address immediate health impacts, provide tailored care for vulnerable populations and engage in advocacy and policy formulation. In summation, nurses' multifaceted roles-from immediate medical care to research, advocacy and strategizing-underscore their invaluable contribution to confronting the health adversities sparked by climate change. Our review accentuates the essential contributions of nurses in tackling climate-related health hurdles and calls for more nuanced research, policy adjustments and proactive measures attuned to Saudi Arabia's distinct backdrop.},
}
@article {pmid39103743,
year = {2024},
author = {Seritan, AL},
title = {Competency-Based Climate Change and Mental Health Education: An Emerging Paradigm.},
journal = {Academic psychiatry : the journal of the American Association of Directors of Psychiatric Residency Training and the Association for Academic Psychiatry},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
pmid = {39103743},
issn = {1545-7230},
}
@article {pmid39101830,
year = {2024},
author = {Hoffman, LC and Schreuder, J and Cozzolino, D},
title = {Food authenticity and the interactions with human health and climate change.},
journal = {Critical reviews in food science and nutrition},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {1-14},
doi = {10.1080/10408398.2024.2387329},
pmid = {39101830},
issn = {1549-7852},
abstract = {Food authenticity and fraud, as well as the interest in food traceability have become a topic of increasing interest not only for consumers but also for the research community and the food manufacturing industry. Food authenticity and fraud are becoming prevalent in both the food supply and value chains since ancient times where different issues (e.g., food spoilage during shipment and storage, mixing decay foods with fresh products) has resulted in foods that influence consumers health. The effect of climate change on the quality of food ingredients and products could also have the potential to influence food authenticity. However, this issue has not been considered. This article focused on the interactions between consumer health and the potential effects of climate change on food authenticity and fraud. The role of technology and development of risk management tools to mitigate these issues are also discussed. Where applicable papers that underline the links between the interactions of climate change, human health and food fraud were referenced.},
}
@article {pmid39101577,
year = {2024},
author = {Gülırmak Güler, K and Albayrak Günday, E},
title = {Nature-friendly hands: The relationship between nursing students' climate change anxiety, intolerance of uncertainty, and anxiety about the future.},
journal = {Public health nursing (Boston, Mass.)},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1111/phn.13388},
pmid = {39101577},
issn = {1525-1446},
abstract = {AIM/OBJECTIVE: This study examined the relationship between climate change anxiety, intolerance of uncertainty, and future anxiety levels of nursing students.<br><br>BACKGROUND: The effects of climate change, an important global problem, on people's emotional and intellectual states are becoming increasingly important. It is important to understand to what extent prospective health professionals, such as nursing students, are affected by such environmental concerns and the possible impact of this level on their professional behaviors to develop an environmentally focused approach to health services.<br><br>DESIGN: This study was conducted using a descriptive and correlational design.<br><br>METHODS: Students enrolled in the Nursing Undergraduate Program of a university in Turkey in the 2023-2024 academic year participated in the study. The participants were administered a personal information form, climate change anxiety scale, intolerance of uncertainty scale, and future anxiety scale in university students. The data were evaluated using advanced statistical analyses, and relationships were examined.<br><br>RESULTS: As a result of these analyses, it was determined that there was a significant relationship between future anxiety and climate change anxiety in university students (R&#xa0;=&#xa0;0.234, p&#xa0;=&#xa0;.000). In addition, there was a substantial relationship between climate change anxiety and intolerance of uncertainty (R&#xa0;=&#xa0;0.562, p&#xa0;=&#xa0;.000).<br><br>CONCLUSIONS: These findings indicate significant and linear relationships between nursing students' emotional and cognitive states associated with environmental factors such as climate change, uncertainty, and future anxiety. Developing support and interventions in nursing education is crucial to help students cope with these issues and function more effectively in their future professional lives.},
}
@article {pmid39101348,
year = {2024},
author = {Ostwald, MM and da Silva, CRB and Seltmann, KC},
title = {How does climate change impact social bees and bee sociality?.},
journal = {The Journal of animal ecology},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1111/1365-2656.14160},
pmid = {39101348},
issn = {1365-2656},
support = {2102006//Division of Biological Infrastructure/ ; //Macquarie University/ ; },
abstract = {Climatic factors are known to shape the expression of social behaviours. Likewise, variation in social behaviour can dictate climate responses. Understanding interactions between climate and sociality is crucial for forecasting vulnerability and resilience to climate change across animal taxa. These interactions are particularly relevant for taxa like bees that exhibit a broad diversity of social states. An emerging body of literature aims to quantify bee responses to environmental change with respect to variation in key functional traits, including sociality. Additionally, decades of research on environmental drivers of social evolution may prove fruitful for predicting shifts in the costs and benefits of social strategies under climate change. In this review, we explore these findings to ask two interconnected questions: (a) how does sociality mediate vulnerability to climate change, and (b) how might climate change impact social organisation in bees? We highlight traits that intersect with bee sociality that may confer resilience to climate change (e.g. extended activity periods, diet breadth, behavioural thermoregulation) and we generate predictions about the impacts of climate change on the expression and distribution of social phenotypes in bees. The social evolutionary consequences of climate change will be complex and heterogeneous, depending on such factors as local climate and plasticity of social traits. Many contexts will see an increase in the frequency of eusocial nesting as warming temperatures accelerate development and expand the temporal window for rearing a worker brood. More broadly, climate-mediated shifts in the abiotic and biotic selective environments will alter the costs and benefits of social living in different contexts, with cascading impacts at the population, community and ecosystem levels.},
}
@article {pmid39100739,
year = {2024},
author = {Kumar, P and Kaur, Y and Apostolopoulos, V and Pant, M and Gaidhane, AM and Zahiruddin, QS and Singh, MP and Sah, S},
title = {The rising threat of Ross River virus: Climate change and its implications on public health in Australia.},
journal = {New microbes and new infections},
volume = {60-61},
number = {},
pages = {101451},
pmid = {39100739},
issn = {2052-2975},
}
@article {pmid39100710,
year = {2024},
author = {Steel, D and Mintz-Woo, K and DesRoches, CT},
title = {Collapse, social tipping dynamics, and framing climate change.},
journal = {Politics philosophy &amp; economics},
volume = {23},
number = {3},
pages = {230-251},
pmid = {39100710},
issn = {1741-3060},
abstract = {In this article, we claim that recent developments in climate science and renewable energy should prompt a reframing of debates surrounding climate change mitigation. Taken together, we argue that these developments suggest (1) global climate collapse in this century is a non-negligible risk, (2) mitigation offers substantial benefits to current generations, and (3) mitigation by some can generate social tipping dynamics that could ultimately make renewables cheaper than fossil fuels. We explain how these claims undermine familiar framings of climate change, wherein mitigation is understood as self-sacrifice that individuals and governments must be morally persuaded or incentivized to undertake.},
}
@article {pmid39100553,
year = {2024},
author = {Steentjes, K and Roberts, E},
title = {Raising alarm bells for a struggling sector: taking a new approach to improve the wellbeing of climate change professionals.},
journal = {Frontiers in psychology},
volume = {15},
number = {},
pages = {1404252},
pmid = {39100553},
issn = {1664-1078},
}
@article {pmid39100207,
year = {2024},
author = {Anderson, RC and Martyn, TE and Renne, RR and Burke, IC and Lauenroth, WK},
title = {Climate change and C4 and C3 grasses in a midlatitude dryland steppe.},
journal = {Ecology and evolution},
volume = {14},
number = {8},
pages = {e70103},
pmid = {39100207},
issn = {2045-7758},
abstract = {Climate change is projected to alter the structure of plant communities due to increasing temperatures and changes to precipitation patterns, particularly in midlatitude dryland ecosystems. Modifications to climatic suitability may lead to major community changes such as altered dominant plant functional types. Previous studies have indicated that climatic suitability is likely to increase for C4 grasses and decrease for C3 grasses in the Western United States. However, if no C4 grass species currently exist to serve as a propagule source, expansion into areas of increased suitability will be limited. We conducted a field and modeling study in the Upper Green River Basin (UGRB) of Western Wyoming to determine if (1) C4 grasses are present to provide a propagule source and (2) C4 grasses are likely to increase in importance relative to C3 grasses due to climatic changes. We searched 44 sites for C4 grasses to establish presence, and modeled suitability at 35 sites using 17 Global Climate Models, two greenhouse gas Representative Concentration Pathways (RCPs; 4.5 and 8.5), and two time periods (mid- and late century; 2030-2060 and 2070-2099, respectively). We found C4 grasses at 10 of the 44 sites, indicating that there is a present propagule source. Our model projected increases in suitability for both C3 and C4 grasses across sites for all RCPs and time periods. In the mid-century RCP 4.5 scenario, the C3 functional type increased in projected biomass in 29 of 35 sites, and the C4 type increased in 31 sites. In this scenario, C3 grasses increased in projected biomass by a median 4 g m[-2] (5% change), and C4 grass biomass increased by a median 8 g m[-2] (21% change). Our study suggests that climate change will increase climatic suitability for grasses across the UGRB, and that all requirements are in place for C4 grasses to increase in abundance.},
}
@article {pmid39100040,
year = {2024},
author = {Irfan, O and Dhillon, RA and Qamar, MA and Soomar, SM and Manzoor, K and Rizwan, W and Ali, HZ and Arshad, Z and Khan, JA},
title = {A Nationwide Survey Following the Devastating 2022 Floods in Pakistan: Current State of Knowledge, Attitude, and Perception Toward Climate Change and Its Health Consequences.},
journal = {Cureus},
volume = {16},
number = {7},
pages = {e63838},
pmid = {39100040},
issn = {2168-8184},
abstract = {BACKGROUND: Climate change (CC) persists as a critical public health concern, vividly demonstrated by Pakistan's severe unprecedented flooding from June to October 2022. The interplay between floods and CC highlights the urgent need to comprehend their complex dynamics. Given Pakistan's significant geographical vulnerability to CC events, assessing public awareness of CC becomes essential. This study aims to evaluate public knowledge, attitudes, and perception (KAP) regarding CC and its implications for overall health, reflecting onto governmental policies and community-based guidelines and enhancing preparedness for future natural calamities of similar magnitude.<br><br>METHODS: &#xa0;A nationwide cross-sectional survey of Pakistani adults covering all provinces of the country was conducted from January to March 2023 using a prevalidated questionnaire. A purposive sampling strategy was used to enroll participants in the study. Where appropriate, the chi-square test or Fisher's exact test was used to compare KAP among the sociodemographic groups. Multivariate analysis was used to explore predictors of knowledge. Crude and adjusted odds ratios (ORs) were calculated considering a p value of &#x2264;0.05 as significant.<br><br>RESULTS: &#xa0;Among the 714 respondents, 265 (37.1%)&#xa0;of the respondents' residential areas were affected by the floods in Pakistan. A total of 663 (92.9%) of the participants had heard of CC, with 302 (42.3%) choosing "social media/WhatsApp" as their source of information. Increased flooding&#xa0;and changes in rainfall patterns&#xa0;were selected by 679 (95.1%) and 661 (92.6%) participants, respectively, as the most recognized CC. "Deforestation" was the most indicated reason for CC by 675 (94.5%) participants. Multivariate analysis revealed that females (OR: 1.31, 95% CI: 1.16-2.00; p < 0.001), individuals who were affected by recent floods (OR: 1.13, 95% CI: 1.05-3.34; p = 0.003), and individuals who were medical students/healthcare workers (OR: 1.49, 95% CI: 1.24-2.48; p < 0.001) had greater knowledge of CC than their counterparts.<br><br>CONCLUSIONS: &#xa0;The study reported an encouraging prevalence of knowledge of CC, positive attitudes, and practices toward&#xa0;CC, with an interest in learning and doing more to address the health effects of CC. With the ongoing global CC and a monsoon season forecast of similar intensity for the years to come in Pakistan, identifying groups with less knowledge of CC warrants a targeted education program to maximize awareness. Based on the study findings, social media platforms and interventions in educational institutes should be essential to mitigate the CC events in Pakistan and other vulnerable regions in the area.},
}
@article {pmid39098408,
year = {2024},
author = {Martínez-Eixarch, M and Masqué, P and Lafratta, A and Lavery, P and Hilaire, S and Jornet, L and Thomas, C and Boisnard, A and Pérez-Méndez, N and Alcaraz, C and Martínez-Espinosa, C and Ibáñez, C and Grillas, P},
title = {Assessing methane emissions and soil carbon stocks in the Camargue coastal wetlands: Management implications for climate change regulation.},
journal = {The Science of the total environment},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {175224},
doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.175224},
pmid = {39098408},
issn = {1879-1026},
abstract = {Coastal wetlands are crucial in climate change regulation due to their capacity to act as either sinks or sources of carbon, resulting from the balance between greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions, mainly methane (CH4), and soil carbon sequestration. Despite the paramount role of wetlands in climate regulation few studies investigate both aspects. The Camargue is one of the largest wetlands in Europe, yet the ways in which environmental and anthropic factors drive carbon dynamics remain poorly studied. We examined GHG emissions and soil organic carbon (SOC) stocks and accumulation rates in twelve representative wetlands, including two rice fields, to gain insights into the carbon dynamics and how it is influenced by hydrology and salinity. Mean CH4 rates ranged between - 87.0 and 131.0 mg m[-2] h[-1]and the main drivers were water conductivity and redox, water table depth and soil temperature. High emission rates were restricted to freshwater conditions during summer flooding periods whereas they were low in wetlands subjected to summer drought and water conductivity higher than 10 mS cm[-1]. Nitrous oxide emissions were low, ranging from - 0.5 to 0.9 mg N2O m[-2] h[-1]. The SOC stocks in the upper meter ranged from 17 to 90 Mg OC ha[-1]. Our research highlights the critical role of low-saline wetlands in carbon budgeting which potentially are large sources of CH4 but also contain the largest SOC stocks in the Camargue. Natural hydroperiods, involving summer drought, can maintain them as carbon sinks, but altered hydrology can transform them into sources. Artificial freshwater supply during summer leads to substantial CH4 emissions, offsetting their SOC accumulation rates. In conclusion, we advocate for readjusting the altered hydrology in marshes and for the search of management compromises to ensure the compatibility of economic and leisure activities with the preservation of the inherent climate-regulating capacity of coastal wetlands.},
}
@article {pmid39097014,
year = {2024},
author = {Wild, R and Nagel, C and Geist, J},
title = {Multiple climate change stressors reduce the emergence success of gravel-spawning fish species and alter temporal emergence patterns.},
journal = {The Science of the total environment},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {175054},
doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.175054},
pmid = {39097014},
issn = {1879-1026},
abstract = {Climate change, with its profound effects on stream sediment, hydrological, and temperature dynamics, will exacerbate impacts on habitat conditions for many species, particularly those with vulnerable early life stages relying on the hyporheic zone, such as gravel-spawning fishes. Due to the complex and interactive nature of multiple stressor effects, we employed large-scale outdoor mesocosms to systemically test how the reproductive success of three gravel-spawning fish species brown trout (Salmo trutta), nase, (Chrondrostoma nasus) and Danube salmon (Hucho hucho) was affected by individual and combined effects of warming (+3-4 °C), fine sediment (increase in <0.85 mm by 22 %) and low-flow (eightfold discharge-reduction). Fine sediment had the most detrimental effect on emergence rate and fry length in all three species, reducing the emergence rate to zero in brown trout, 9 % in nase, and 4 % in Danube salmon. The emergence mortality caused by fine sediment surpassed that of hatching distinctly, suggesting that negative effects due to hypoxia were considerably exacerbated by entombment. Warming had only minor effects as a single stressor, but low flow reduced emergence rates of the spring spawning species nase and Danube salmon by 8 and 50 %, respectively. In combined treatments including fine sediment, however, the emergence success of all three species responded strongly negatively, even in the cyprinid species nase, which showed little interactive effects between stressors regarding hatching success. Warming and fine sediment also led to the earlier emergence of fry, implying a risk of asynchrony with available food resources. This study dramatically shows that climate change can have deleterious impacts on the reproductive success of gravel-spawning fish species, irrespective of taxonomic or ecological traits.},
}
@article {pmid39096729,
year = {2024},
author = {Chai, C and Wang, L and Chen, D and Zhou, J and Li, N and Liu, H},
title = {Quantifying future water resource vulnerability in a high-mountain third pole river basin under climate change.},
journal = {Journal of environmental management},
volume = {367},
number = {},
pages = {121954},
doi = {10.1016/j.jenvman.2024.121954},
pmid = {39096729},
issn = {1095-8630},
abstract = {Understanding the water resource vulnerability (WRV) in global mountain regions under climate change is crucial for water resources management and socio-economic development. However, the WRV in the high-mountain Third Pole region (with quite a few transboundary river basins) remains largely unclear. Here, we have applied a comprehensive assessment framework of WRV to a Third Pole high-mountain river basin (Nujiang-Salween River, NSR) and its dependent downstream. The framework consisted of sensitivity, exposure, adaptability, hazard, and water stress indices, considering climate change, socio-economics, government effectiveness, natural disasters, and water supply capacity of the target river basin. Our results indicate that the downstream area (with intensive human activities) often exhibited significantly higher WRV than the mountain region; while the WRV shows an M-shaped change with increasing elevation, with the highest vulnerability occurring in a relatively low elevation range (e.g., 500-1500 m for the NSR basin). In the near future, we find that the spatial pattern of WRV in the basin is alternately influenced by adaptation, water scarcity, and exposure; whereas climate change serves as the main driver affecting the WRV in the far future. These findings enhance our understanding of the WRV in high-mountain transboundary basins of the Third Pole under global change.},
}
@article {pmid39096580,
year = {2024},
author = {Ma, M and Kouis, P and Rudke, AP and Athanasiadou, M and Scoutellas, V and Tymvios, F and Nikolaidis, K and Koutrakis, P and Yiallouros, PK and Alahmad, B},
title = {Projections of mortality attributable to hot ambient temperatures in Cyprus under moderate and extreme climate change scenarios.},
journal = {International journal of hygiene and environmental health},
volume = {262},
number = {},
pages = {114439},
doi = {10.1016/j.ijheh.2024.114439},
pmid = {39096580},
issn = {1618-131X},
abstract = {BACKGROUND: Heat-related mortality has become a growing public health concern in light of climate change. However, few studies have quantified the climate-attributable health burden in Cyprus, a recognized climate change hotspot. This study aims to estimate the heat-related mortality in Cyprus for all future decades in the 21st century under moderate (SSP2-4.5) and extreme (SSP5-8.5) climate scenarios.<br><br>METHODS: We applied distributed lag non-linear models to estimate the baseline associations between temperature and mortality from 2004 to 2019 (data obtained from Department of Meteorology of the Ministry of Agriculture, Rural Development and Environment and the Health Monitoring Unit of the Cyprus Ministry of Health). The relationships were then extrapolated to future daily mean temperatures derived from downscaled global climate projections from General Circulation Models. Attributable number of deaths were calculated to determine the excess heat-related health burden compared to the baseline decade of 2000-2009 in the additive scale. The analysis process was repeated for all-cause, cardiovascular, and respiratory mortality and mortality among males, females, and adults younger or older than 65. We assumed a static population and demographic structure, no adaptation to hot temperatures over time, and did not evaluate potential interaction between temperature and humidity.<br><br>RESULTS: Compared to 2000-2009, heat-related total mortality is projected to increase by 2.7% (95% empirical confidence interval: 0.6, 4.0) and 4.75% (2.2, 7.1) by the end of the century in the moderate and extreme climate scenarios, respectively. Cardiovascular disease is expected to be an important cause of heat-related death with projected increases of 3.4% (0.7, 5.1) and 6% (2.6, 9.0) by the end of the century. Reducing carbon emission to the moderate scenario can help avoid 75% of the predicted increase in all-cause heat-related mortality by the end of the century relative to the extreme scenario.<br><br>CONCLUSIONS: Our findings suggest that climate change mitigation and sustainable adaptation strategies are crucial to reduce the anticipated heat-attributable health burden, particularly in Cyprus, where adaptation strategies such as air conditioning is nearing capacity.},
}
@article {pmid39095989,
year = {2024},
author = {Feng, J and Dan, X and Cui, Y and Gong, Y and Peng, M and Sang, Y and Ingvarsson, PK and Wang, J},
title = {Integrating evolutionary genomics of forest trees to inform future tree breeding amidst rapid climate change.},
journal = {Plant communications},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {101044},
doi = {10.1016/j.xplc.2024.101044},
pmid = {39095989},
issn = {2590-3462},
abstract = {Global climate change is leading to rapid and drastic shifts in environmental conditions, posing threats to biodiversity and nearly all life forms worldwide. Forest trees serve as foundational components of terrestrial ecosystems and play a crucial and leading role in combating and mitigating the adverse effects of extreme climate events, despite their own vulnerability to these threats. Therefore, understanding and monitoring how natural forests respond to rapid climate change is a key priority for biodiversity conservation. The recent progress of evolutionary genomics, primarily driven by cutting-edge multi-omics technologies, offer powerful new tools to address several key issues. These include the precise delineation of species and evolutionary units, inference of past evolutionary histories and demographic fluctuations, identification of environmental adaptive variants, and measurement of genetic load levels. As the urgency to deal with more extreme environmental stresses grows, understanding the genomics of evolutionary history, local adaptation, future responses to climate change, and the conservation and restoration of natural forest trees will be critical for research at the nexus of global change, population genomics and conservation biology. In this review, we explore the application of evolutionary genomics to assess the effects of global climate change using multi-omics approaches and discuss the outlook for breeding climate-adapted trees.},
}
@article {pmid39095632,
year = {2024},
author = {Espinosa, S and Asensio, M and Antiñolo, M and Albaladejo, J and Jiménez, E},
title = {Atmospheric chemistry of CF3CHFCF2OCH3 (HFE-356mec3) and CHF2CHFOCF3 (HFE-236ea1) initiated by OH and Cl and their contribution to global warming.},
journal = {Environmental science and pollution research international},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
pmid = {39095632},
issn = {1614-7499},
support = {SBPLY/19/180501/000052//Junta de Comunidades de Castilla-La Mancha/ ; SBPLY/23/180225/000054//Junta de Comunidades de Castilla-La Mancha/ ; 2022-GRIN-34143//Universidad de Castilla-La Mancha/ ; },
abstract = {The kinetic study of the gas-phase reactions of hydroxyl (OH) radicals and chlorine (Cl) atoms with CF3CHFCF2OCH3 (HFE-356mec3) and CHF2CHFOCF3 (HFE-236ea1) was performed by the pulsed laser photolysis/laser-induced fluorescence technique and a relative method by using Fourier Transform infrared (FTIR) spectroscopy as detection technique. The temperature dependences of the OH-rate coefficients (kOH(T) in cm[3]s[-1]) between 263 and 353 K are well described by the following expressions: 9.93 × 10[-13]exp{-(988 ± 35)/T}
for HFE-356mec3 and 4.75 × 10[-13]exp{-(1285 ± 22)/T}
for HFE-236ea1. Under NOx-free conditions, the rate coefficients kCl at 298 K and 1013 mbar (760 Torr) of air were determined to be (2.30 ± 1.08) × 10[-13] cm[3]s[-1]and (1.19 ± 0.10) × 10[-15] cm[3]s[-1], for HFE-356mec3 and HFE-236ea1, respectively. Additionally, the relative kinetic study of the Cl + CH2ClCHCl2 reaction was investigated at 298 K, as it was used as a reference reaction in the kinetic study of the Cl-reaction with HFE-356mec3 and discrepant rate coefficients were found in the literature. The global atmospheric lifetimes were estimated relative to CH3CCl3 at the tropospheric mean temperature (272 K) as 1.4 and 8.6 years for HFE-356mec3 and HFE-236ea1, respectively. These values combined with the radiative efficiencies for HFE-356mec3 and HFE-236ea1 derived from the measured IR absorption cross sections (0.27 and 0.41 W m[-2] ppv[-1]) yield global warming potentials at a 100-yrs time horizon of 143 and 1473, respectively. The contribution of HFE-356mec3 and HFE-236ea1 to global warming of the atmosphere would be large if they become widespread increasing their atmospheric concentration.},
}
@article {pmid39095546,
year = {2024},
author = {Bizama, G and Jan, A and Olivos, JA and Fuentes-Jaque, G and Valdovinos, C and Urrutia, R and Arismendi, I},
title = {Author Correction: Climate change can disproportionately reduce habitats of stream fishes with restricted ranges in southern South America.},
journal = {Scientific reports},
volume = {14},
number = {1},
pages = {17895},
doi = {10.1038/s41598-024-68912-8},
pmid = {39095546},
issn = {2045-2322},
}
@article {pmid39095339,
year = {2024},
author = {Ferreira, A and Mendes, CRB and Costa, RR and Brotas, V and Tavano, VM and Guerreiro, CV and Secchi, ER and Brito, AC},
title = {Climate change is associated with higher phytoplankton biomass and longer blooms in the West Antarctic Peninsula.},
journal = {Nature communications},
volume = {15},
number = {1},
pages = {6536},
pmid = {39095339},
issn = {2041-1723},
support = {PQ 312569/2021-1//Ministry of Science, Technology and Innovation | Conselho Nacional de Desenvolvimento Cient&#xed;fico e Tecnol&#xf3;gico (National Council for Scientific and Technological Development)/ ; PQ 310597/2018-8//Ministry of Science, Technology and Innovation | Conselho Nacional de Desenvolvimento Cient&#xed;fico e Tecnol&#xf3;gico (National Council for Scientific and Technological Development)/ ; PQ 312569/2021-1//Ministry of Science, Technology and Innovation | Conselho Nacional de Desenvolvimento Cient&#xed;fico e Tecnol&#xf3;gico (National Council for Scientific and Technological Development)/ ; 442628/2018-8//Ministry of Science, Technology and Innovation | Conselho Nacional de Desenvolvimento Cient&#xed;fico e Tecnol&#xf3;gico (National Council for Scientific and Technological Development)/ ; 442637/2018-7//Ministry of Science, Technology and Innovation | Conselho Nacional de Desenvolvimento Cient&#xed;fico e Tecnol&#xf3;gico (National Council for Scientific and Technological Development)/ ; 442628/2018-8//Ministry of Science, Technology and Innovation | Conselho Nacional de Desenvolvimento Cient&#xed;fico e Tecnol&#xf3;gico (National Council for Scientific and Technological Development)/ ; 442637/2018-7//Ministry of Science, Technology and Innovation | Conselho Nacional de Desenvolvimento Cient&#xed;fico e Tecnol&#xf3;gico (National Council for Scientific and Technological Development)/ ; PQ 312569/2021-1//Ministry of Science, Technology and Innovation | Conselho Nacional de Desenvolvimento Cient&#xed;fico e Tecnol&#xf3;gico (National Council for Scientific and Technological Development)/ ; PQ 310597/2018-8//Ministry of Science, Technology and Innovation | Conselho Nacional de Desenvolvimento Cient&#xed;fico e Tecnol&#xf3;gico (National Council for Scientific and Technological Development)/ ; 442637/2018-7//Ministry of Science, Technology and Innovation | Conselho Nacional de Desenvolvimento Cient&#xed;fico e Tecnol&#xf3;gico (National Council for Scientific and Technological Development)/ ; N 810139//EC | Horizon 2020 Framework Programme (EU Framework Programme for Research and Innovation H2020)/ ; N 810139//EC | Horizon 2020 Framework Programme (EU Framework Programme for Research and Innovation H2020)/ ; },
mesh = {*Phytoplankton/growth &amp; development ; Antarctic Regions ; *Climate Change ; *Biomass ; *Seasons ; Ice Cover ; Ecosystem ; Oceans and Seas ; Temperature ; Eutrophication ; },
abstract = {The Antarctic Peninsula (West Antarctica) marine ecosystem has undergone substantial changes due to climate-induced shifts in atmospheric and oceanic temperatures since the 1950s. Using 25 years of satellite data (1998-2022), this study presents evidence that phytoplankton biomass and bloom phenology in the West Antarctic Peninsula are significantly changing as a response to anthropogenic climate change. Enhanced phytoplankton biomass was observed along the West Antarctic Peninsula, particularly in the early austral autumn, resulting in longer blooms. Long-term sea ice decline was identified as the main driver enabling phytoplankton growth in early spring and autumn, in parallel with a recent intensification of the Southern Annular Mode (2010-ongoing), which was observed to influence regional variability. Our findings contribute to the understanding of the complex interplay between environmental changes and phytoplankton responses in this climatically key region of the Southern Ocean and raise important questions regarding the far-reaching consequences that these ecological changes may have on global carbon sequestration and Antarctic food webs in the future.},
}
@article {pmid39094135,
year = {2024},
author = {Gou, R and Lohmann, G and Wu, L},
title = {Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation Decline: Tipping Small Scales under Global Warming.},
journal = {Physical review letters},
volume = {133},
number = {3},
pages = {034201},
doi = {10.1103/PhysRevLett.133.034201},
pmid = {39094135},
issn = {1079-7114},
abstract = {The Atlantic circulation is a key component of the global ocean conveyor that transports heat and nutrients worldwide. Its likely weakening due to global warming has implications for climate and ecology. However, the expected changes remain largely uncertain as low-resolution climate models currently in use do not resolve small scales. Although the large-scale circulation tends to weaken uniformly in both the low-resolution and our high-resolution climate model version, we find that the small-scale circulation in the North Atlantic changes abruptly under global warming and exhibits pronounced spatial heterogeneity. Furthermore, the future Atlantic Ocean circulation in the high-resolution model version expands in conjunction with a sea ice retreat and strengthening toward the Arctic. Finally, the cutting-edge climate model indicates sensitive shifts in the eddies and circulation on regional scales for future warming and thus provides a benchmark for next-generation climate models that can get rid of parametrizations of unresolved scales.},
}
@article {pmid39093980,
year = {2024},
author = {},
title = {Erratum for the Research Article: "Key tropical crops at risk from pollinator loss due to climate change and land use" by Millard et al.},
journal = {Science advances},
volume = {10},
number = {31},
pages = {eadr6694},
doi = {10.1126/sciadv.adr6694},
pmid = {39093980},
issn = {2375-2548},
}
@article {pmid39093508,
year = {2024},
author = {Bade, KJ and Mueller, KT and Sparks, JA},
title = {Air Pollution and Rheumatoid Arthritis Risk and Progression: Implications for the Mucosal Origins Hypothesis and Climate Change for RA Pathogenesis.},
journal = {Current rheumatology reports},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
pmid = {39093508},
issn = {1534-6307},
abstract = {PURPOSE OF REVIEW: The goal of this review paper is to summarize the main research and findings regarding air pollution and its association with the risk and progression of rheumatoid arthritis (RA).<br><br>RECENT FINDINGS: The most studied components of air pollution included particulate matter of&#x2009;&#x2264;&#x2009;2.5 microns in diameter (PM2.5), PM10, carbon monoxide (CO), nitrogen dioxide (NO2), nitric oxide (NOx), sulfur dioxide (SO2), and ozone (O3). In addition, specific occupations and occupational inhalants have been investigated for RA risk. Several studies showed that increased exposure to air pollutants increased the risk of developing RA, particularly seropositive RA. There was evidence of gene-inhalant interactions for seropositive RA risk. Fewer studies have been conducted on RA disease activity and bone erosions. Some studies suggest that patients with RA-associated interstitial lung disease may have worse outcomes if exposed to air pollution. We summarized associations between air pollution and increased RA risk, including RA-associated interstitial lung disease. Relatively few studies investigated air pollution and RA disease activity or other outcomes. These results suggest an important role of air pollution for seropositive RA development and suggest that climate change could be a driver in increasing RA incidence as air pollution increases.},
}
@article {pmid39093009,
year = {2024},
author = {Liu, F and Deroy, C and Herr, AE},
title = {Microfluidics for macrofluidics: addressing marine-ecosystem challenges in an era of climate change.},
journal = {Lab on a chip},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1039/d4lc00468j},
pmid = {39093009},
issn = {1473-0189},
abstract = {Climate change presents a mounting challenge with profound impacts on ocean and marine ecosystems, leading to significant environmental, health, and economic consequences. Microfluidic technologies, with their unique capabilities, play a crucial role in understanding and addressing the marine aspects of the climate crisis. These technologies leverage quantitative, precise, and miniaturized formats that enhance the capabilities of sensing, imaging, and molecular tools. Such advancements are critical for monitoring marine systems under the stress of climate change and elucidating their response mechanisms. This review explores microfluidic technologies employed both in laboratory settings for testing and in the field for monitoring purposes. We delve into the application of miniaturized tools in evaluating ocean-based solutions to climate change, thus offering fresh perspectives from the solution-oriented end of the spectrum. We further aim to synthesize recent developments in technology around critical questions concerning the ocean environment and marine ecosystems, while discussing the potential for future innovations in microfluidic technology. The purpose of this review is to enhance understanding of current capabilities and assist researchers interested in mitigating the effects of climate change to identify new avenues for tackling the pressing issues posed by climate change in marine ecosystems.},
}
@article {pmid39092581,
year = {2024},
author = {Yoder, JB and Andrade, AK and DeFalco, LA and Esque, TC and Carlson, CJ and Shryock, DF and Yeager, R and Smith, CI},
title = {Reconstructing 120 years of climate change impacts on Joshua tree flowering.},
journal = {Ecology letters},
volume = {27},
number = {8},
pages = {e14478},
doi = {10.1111/ele.14478},
pmid = {39092581},
issn = {1461-0248},
support = {2001180//Division of Environmental Biology/ ; 2001190//Division of Environmental Biology/ ; },
mesh = {*Climate Change ; *Flowers/growth &amp; development ; Trees ; Machine Learning ; Droughts ; },
abstract = {Quantifying how global change impacts wild populations remains challenging, especially for species poorly represented by systematic datasets. Here, we infer climate change effects on masting by Joshua trees (Yucca brevifolia and Y. jaegeriana), keystone perennials of the Mojave Desert, from 15 years of crowdsourced observations. We annotated phenophase in 10,212 geo-referenced images of Joshua trees on the iNaturalist crowdsourcing platform, and used them to train machine learning models predicting flowering from annual weather records. Hindcasting to 1900 with a trained model successfully recovers flowering events in independent historical records and reveals a slightly rising frequency of conditions supporting flowering since the early 20th Century. This reflects increased variation in annual precipitation, which drives masting events in wet years-but also increasing temperatures and drought stress, which may have net negative impacts on recruitment. Our findings reaffirm the value of crowdsourcing for understanding climate change impacts on biodiversity.},
}
@article {pmid39092475,
year = {2024},
author = {Ramirez-Duarte, WF and Moran, BM and Powell, DL and Bank, C and Sousa, VC and Rosenthal, GG and Schumer, M and Rochman, CM},
title = {Hybridization in the Anthropocene - how pollution and climate change disrupt mate selection in freshwater fish.},
journal = {Biological reviews of the Cambridge Philosophical Society},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1111/brv.13126},
pmid = {39092475},
issn = {1469-185X},
support = {RGY0081/2020//Human Frontier Science Program/ ; },
abstract = {Chemical pollutants and/or climate change have the potential to break down reproductive barriers between species and facilitate hybridization. Hybrid zones may arise in response to environmental gradients and secondary contact between formerly allopatric populations, or due to the introduction of non-native species. In freshwater ecosystems, field observations indicate that changes in water quality and chemistry, due to pollution and climate change, are correlated with an increased frequency of hybridization. Physical and chemical disturbances of water quality can alter the sensory environment, thereby affecting chemical and visual communication among fish. Moreover, multiple chemical compounds (e.g. pharmaceuticals, metals, pesticides, and industrial contaminants) may impair fish physiology, potentially affecting phenotypic traits relevant for mate selection (e.g. pheromone production, courtship, and coloration). Although warming waters have led to documented range shifts, and chemical pollution is ubiquitous in freshwater ecosystems, few studies have tested hypotheses about how these stressors may facilitate hybridization and what this means for biodiversity and species conservation. Through a systematic literature review across disciplines (i.e. ecotoxicology and evolutionary biology), we evaluate the biological interactions, toxic mechanisms, and roles of physical and chemical environmental stressors (i.e. chemical pollution and climate change) in disrupting mate preferences and inducing interspecific hybridization in freshwater fish. Our study indicates that climate change-driven changes in water quality and chemical pollution may impact visual and chemical communication crucial for mate choice and thus could facilitate hybridization among fishes in freshwater ecosystems. To inform future studies and conservation management, we emphasize the importance of further research to identify the chemical and physical stressors affecting mate choice, understand the mechanisms behind these interactions, determine the concentrations at which they occur, and assess their impact on individuals, populations, species, and biological diversity in the Anthropocene.},
}
@article {pmid39092181,
year = {2024},
author = {Tye, MR and Wilhelmi, O and Boehnert, J and Faye, E and Milestad, R and Pierce, AL and Laborgne, P},
title = {Examining urban resilience through a food-water-energy nexus lens to understand the effects of climate change.},
journal = {iScience},
volume = {27},
number = {7},
pages = {110311},
pmid = {39092181},
issn = {2589-0042},
abstract = {Urban centers located on the coast expose some of the most vulnerable populations to the effects of climate change. In addition to the challenges faced by high population densities and interdependent social-ecological systems, there is an increasing demand for resources. Exposing the pinch points that are already sensitive to extreme weather, highlights the urban systems that will be least resilient in the face of climate change. We map the projected changes in water availability onto the components of the food-water-energy Nexus at several spatial scales. Resilience thinking acknowledges the different spatial scales at which governance operates, resilience occurs, and Nexus systems function. We use a case study to illustrate how the effects of climate change at locations remote from the city could impact resilience of urban communities in multiple ways through cascading effects from the Nexus. This article underscores the need to examine resilience from multiple spatial and governance angles.},
}
@article {pmid39091448,
year = {2024},
author = {Pucu, E},
title = {Stella Hartinger: exploring the intersection of climate change and human health.},
journal = {Lancet regional health. Americas},
volume = {35},
number = {},
pages = {100838},
doi = {10.1016/j.lana.2024.100838},
pmid = {39091448},
issn = {2667-193X},
}
@article {pmid39090385,
year = {2024},
author = {Li, M and Zhang, J and Tan, C and Liu, H and He, Q},
title = {Predicting the impact of climate change on crop water footprint using CMIP6 in the Shule River Basin, China.},
journal = {Scientific reports},
volume = {14},
number = {1},
pages = {17843},
pmid = {39090385},
issn = {2045-2322},
support = {41701062//National Natural Science Foundation of China/ ; 2019M663923XB//China Postdoctoral Science Foundation/ ; },
abstract = {Quantitatively predicting the impacts of climate change on water demands of various crops is essential for developing measures to ensure food security, sustainable agriculture, and water resources management, especially in arid regions. This study explored the water footprints (WFs) of nine major crops in the middle and downstream areas of Shule River Basin, Northwest China, from 1989 to 2020 using the WF theory and CROPWAT model and predicted the future WFs of these crops under four emission and socio-economic pathway (SSPs-RCPs) scenarios, which provides scientific support for actively responding to the negative impacts of climate change in arid regions. Results indicated: (1) an increasing trend of the overall crop WF, with blue WF accounting for 80.31-99.33% of the total WF in the last 30 years. Owing to differences of planting structure, water-conservation technologies, and other factors, the multi-year average WF per unit area of crops was 0.75 × 10[4] m[3] hm[-2] in downstream area, which was higher than that in midstream area (0.57 × 10[4] m[3] hm[-2]) in the last 30 years; therefore agricultural water use efficiency in the downstream area was lower than that in the midstream area, implying that the midstream area has more efficient agricultural water utilization. (2) an initial increase and then decrease of crop WFs in the study area under SSP1-2.6, SSP2-4.5, and SSP5-8.5 scenarios by the end of the century, reaching their peak in 2030s which was higher than that from 1989 to 2020; with the maximum growth rates in the midstream area ranging from -0.85% in SSP5-8.5 to 5.33% in SSP2-4.5 and 29.74% in SSP5-8.5 to 34.71% in SSP2-4.5 in the downstream area. The local agricultural water demand would continue to increase and water scarcity issues would be more severe in the next 10-20 years, affecting downstream areas more. Under the SSP3-7.0 scenario, crop WF values of the midstream and downstream regions will be 2.63 × 10[8] m[3] and 4.22 × 10[8] m[3] in 2030, respectively, which is significantly higher than those of other scenarios and show a long-term growth trend. The growth rate of the midstream and downstream regions will reach 44.71% and 81.12%, respectively, by the end of this century, so the local agricultural water use would be facing more strain if this scenario materializes in the future. Therefore, the Shule River Basin should encourage development of water-saving irrigation technologies, adjust the planting ratio of high water consuming crops, and identify other measures to improve water resource utilization efficiency to cope with future water resource pressures.},
}
@article {pmid39090158,
year = {2024},
author = {Stollberg, J and Bogdan, D and Jonas, E},
title = {Empowering the younger generation increases their willingness for intergenerational reconciliation in the context of climate change.},
journal = {Scientific reports},
volume = {14},
number = {1},
pages = {17825},
pmid = {39090158},
issn = {2045-2322},
mesh = {Humans ; *Climate Change ; Male ; Female ; Adult ; *Intergenerational Relations ; Young Adult ; Empowerment ; Power, Psychological ; Middle Aged ; Aged ; },
abstract = {Climate change can evoke intergenerational conflict. Structural inequalities and their unequal impact on generations can increase perceptions of collective victimhood among the younger generation (< 30 years) and bear the risk of social tensions between the young and the elderly. An experimental study (N = 434) showed that younger people perceived an increased risk of future victimhood. In line with a needs-based approach, the young reported an increased desire to pursue agentic intergroup goals, indicating a heightened need for agency. However, when the young received empowering messages that affirmed their ingroup agency, their willingness to reconcile with the old generation increased, whereas informing them about non-agentic ingroup behavior did not affect reconciliation (between-subjects manipulation). While empowering messages from the outgroup ("Grannies for Future") that directly affirmed the young generations' agency for climate change mitigation as well as empowering messages from the ingroup that indirectly affirmed ingroup agency in domains unrelated to climate change both addressed the need for agency, only outgroup empowerment promoted intergenerational reconciliation. However, empowerment did not affect support for collective climate action. We discuss empowerment as an avenue for resolving intergroup conflict in the context of climate change and possible consequences for climate action and social change.},
}
@article {pmid39087738,
year = {2024},
author = {Gao, R and Liu, L and Fan, S and Zheng, W and Liu, R and Zhang, Z and Huang, R and Zhao, L and Shi, J},
title = {Occurrence and potential diffusion of pine wilt disease mediated by insect vectors in China under climate change.},
journal = {Pest management science},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1002/ps.8335},
pmid = {39087738},
issn = {1526-4998},
abstract = {BACKGROUND: Pine wilt disease (PWD), a major international quarantined forest pest, causes serious ecological and economic damage to Pinus species in Asia and Europe. In China, PWD has spread northeasterly and northwesterly beyond its original northern limits. Consequently, an evaluation of the insect vector-mediated occurrence and potential diffusion of PWD is needed to identify important transmission routes and control the spread of disease.<br><br>RESULTS: An optimized MaxEnt model was used to assess the current and future geographical distribution of Bursaphelenchus xylophilus and its insect vectors in China. The predicted suitable area for B.&#x2009;xylophilus colonization is currently 212.32&#x2009;&#xd7;&#x2009;10[4]&#x2009;km[2] and mainly concentrated in Central, East, Southwest and South China, although is anticipated to include the northwestern regions of China in the future. As for the insect vectors, Monochamus alternatus and M.&#x2009;saltuarius are expected to spread toward the northwest and southwest, respectively. The maximum predicted dispersion area of PWD mediated by M.&#x2009;alternatus, M.&#x2009;saltuarius and both species was 91.85&#x2009;&#xd7;&#x2009;10[4], 218.76&#x2009;&#xd7;&#x2009;10[4] and 29.99&#x2009;&#xd7;&#x2009;10[4]&#x2009;km[2], respectively, with potential diffusion areas being anticipated to increase in the future. Both the suitable probabilities and areas of B.&#x2009;xylophilus and its insect vectors were found to vary substantially along the latitudinal gradient, with the latitudinal range of these species being predicted to expand in the future.<br><br>CONCLUSION: This is the first study to investigate the potential diffusion areas of PWD mediated by insect vectors in China, and our finding will provide a vital theoretical reference and empirical basis for developing more effective management strategies for the control of PWD in China. &#xa9; 2024 Society of Chemical Industry.},
}
@article {pmid39086915,
year = {2024},
author = {Sell, M and Rohula-Okunev, G and Kupper, P and Ostonen, I},
title = {Adapting to climate change: responses of fine root traits and C exudation in five tree species with different light-use strategy.},
journal = {Frontiers in plant science},
volume = {15},
number = {},
pages = {1389569},
pmid = {39086915},
issn = {1664-462X},
abstract = {Trees that are categorised by their light requirements have similarities in their growth strategies and adaptation mechanisms. We aimed to understand the complex responses of elevated air humidity on whole tree fine root carbon (C) exudation (ExC) and respiration rate, morphology, and functional distribution in species with different light requirements. Three light-demanding (LD) species, Populus × wettsteinii, Betula pendula, and Pinus sylvestris, and two shade-tolerant species, Picea abies and Tilia cordata saplings were grown in growth chambers under moderate and elevated air relative humidity (eRH) at two different inorganic nitrogen sources with constant air temperature and light availability. The proportion of assimilated carbon released by ExC, and respiration decreased at eRH; up to about 3 and 27%, respectively. There was an indication of a trade-off between fine root released C and biomass allocation. The elevated air humidity changed the tree biomass allocation and fine root morphology, and the responses were species-specific. The specific fine root area and absorptive root proportion were positively related to canopy net photosynthesis and leaf nitrogen concentration across tree species. The variation in ExC was explained by the trees' light-use strategy (p < 0.05), showing higher exudation rates in LD species. The LD species had a higher proportion of pioneer root tips, which related to the enhanced ExC. Our findings highlight the significant role of fine root functional distribution and morphological adaptation in determining rhizosphere C fluxes in changing environmental conditions such as the predicted increase of air humidity in higher latitudes.},
}
@article {pmid39086336,
year = {2024},
author = {Kwa, YC and Suboh, N and Kay, DSW and Lee, CIS and Walsh, CL and Goodson, ML},
title = {Perceptions of climate change and associated health impacts among communities in Johor River Basin, Malaysia.},
journal = {The Medical journal of Malaysia},
volume = {79},
number = {4},
pages = {397-407},
pmid = {39086336},
issn = {0300-5283},
mesh = {Malaysia ; Humans ; *Climate Change ; Cross-Sectional Studies ; Male ; Female ; Adult ; Surveys and Questionnaires ; Middle Aged ; Perception ; },
abstract = {INTRODUCTION: As climate change is threatening every region of the world, extreme weather events resultant of global warming is occurring at increasing rate and scale in Malaysia. Weather-related disasters such as flood and haze pose critical challenges to the infrastructure and raise public health concerns in the country, especially when main economic sectors rely heavily on climate variability. Public perception on environmental issues is crucial for development of pro-environmental policies. Among studies conducted to understand public awareness regarding global warming, reports of perception on the health impacts were very limited. Taking this limitation into account, this study was designed to examine the perception on the health impacts of climate change among the diverse communities living in the Johor River Basin.<br><br>MATERIALS AND METHODS: The cross-sectional study was conducted through cloud-data-based digital questionnaires completed by randomly selected residents in the Johor River Basin (n=647). Data was analysed with descriptive statistics using SPSS 27 (IBM&#xae;) Software. Comparisons between indigenous and non-indigenous communities were performed using Chi square analysis.<br><br>RESULTS: Respondents in this study consisted of indigenous people (n=79) and non-indigenous people (n=568). Indigenous respondents generally perceived more frequent occurrence of extreme weather events in the next 20 years, even for the phenomena unfamiliar in Malaysian settings. All respondents showed similar concerns for health impacts of global warming, although the non-indigenous respondents perceived the risk further into the future (25 years) compared to the indigenous respondents who perceived current or imminent (<10 years) risks. Intense concerns for self, children, family members and community were shown by nearly all indigenous respondents (97-99%), while the non-indigenous people in this study expressed stronger concerns at country level and for future generations. During the last haze episode, most indigenous respondents (85%) did not notice any change in air quality nor discomfort among family members, in contrast 70% of the nonindigenous respondents claimed to have suffered from breathing problems themselves as well as others in the family. All respondents were concerned about air quality in their surroundings, indigenous people were concerned for the near future (<10 years), and non-indigenous people were concerned for the next 25 years.<br><br>CONCLUSION: In this study, respondents were generally concerned about the health impacts of unimpeded global warming. There was significant difference in perceptions between indigenous and non-indigenous respondents. The findings were useful, complemented with further studies, to improve understanding of public awareness and to help develop relevant education programmes accessible for wider audience.},
}
@article {pmid39086254,
year = {2024},
author = {Vicente-Serrano, SM and Juez, C and Potopová, V and Boincean, B and Murphy, C and Domínguez-Castro, F and Eklundh, L and Peña-Angulo, D and Noguera, I and Jin, H and Conradt, T and Garcia-Herrera, R and Garrido-Perez, JM and Barriopedro, D and Gutiérrez, JM and Iturbide, M and Lorenzo-Lacruz, J and Kenawy, AE},
title = {Drought risk in Moldova under global warming and possible crop adaptation strategies.},
journal = {Annals of the New York Academy of Sciences},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1111/nyas.15201},
pmid = {39086254},
issn = {1749-6632},
support = {TED2021-129152B-C41//Spanish Ministry of Science, Innovation and Universities/ ; PID2022-137244OB-I00//Spanish Ministry of Science, Innovation and Universities/ ; //European Commission, AXIS (Assessment of Cross(X)-sectoral climate Impacts and pathways for Sustainable transformation)/ ; //JPI-Climate co-funded call: CROSSDRO/ ; CZ.02.1.01/0.0/0.0/16_019/0000797//CzechGlobe: SustES - Adaptationstrategies for sustainable ecosystem services and food security under adverseenvironmental conditions/ ; //CSIC: Interdisciplinary Thematic Platform (PTI) clima y servicios clim&#xe1;ticos (PTI-CSC)/ ; },
abstract = {This study analyzes the relationship between drought processes and crop yields in Moldova, together with the effects of possible future climate change on crops. The severity of drought is analyzed over time in Moldova using the Standard Precipitation Index, the Standardized Precipitation Evapotranspiration Index, and their relationship with crop yields. In addition, rainfall variability and its relationship with crop yields are examined using spectral analysis and squared wavelet coherence. Observed station data (1950-2020 and 1850-2020), ERA5 reanalysis data (1950-2020), and climate model simulations (period 1970-2100) are used. Crop yield data (maize, sunflower, grape), data from experimental plots (wheat), and the Enhanced Vegetation Index from Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer satellites were also used. Results show that although the severity of meteorological droughts has decreased in the last 170 years, the impact of precipitation deficits on different crop yields has increased, concurrent with a sharp increase in temperature, which negatively affected crop yields. Annual crops are now more vulnerable to natural rainfall variability and, in years characterized by rainfall deficits, the possibility of reductions in crop yield increases due to sharp increases in temperature. Projections reveal a pessimistic outlook in the absence of adaptation, highlighting the urgency of developing new agricultural management strategies.},
}
@article {pmid39085256,
year = {2024},
author = {Baker, RE and Yang, W and Vecchi, GA and Takahashi, S},
title = {Increasing intensity of enterovirus outbreaks projected with climate change.},
journal = {Nature communications},
volume = {15},
number = {1},
pages = {6466},
pmid = {39085256},
issn = {2041-1723},
mesh = {Humans ; *Climate Change ; *Disease Outbreaks ; China/epidemiology ; *Seasons ; *Enterovirus Infections/epidemiology/virology ; *Enterovirus/isolation &amp; purification ; *Hand, Foot and Mouth Disease/epidemiology/virology ; Japan/epidemiology ; Temperature ; Poliomyelitis/epidemiology/transmission/virology/prevention &amp; control ; United States/epidemiology ; },
abstract = {Pathogens of the enterovirus genus, including poliovirus and coxsackieviruses, typically circulate in the summer months suggesting a possible positive association between warmer weather and transmission. Here we evaluate the environmental and demographic drivers of enterovirus transmission, as well as the implications of climate change for future enterovirus circulation. We leverage pre-vaccination era data on polio in the US as well as data on two enterovirus A serotypes in China and Japan that are known to cause hand, foot, and mouth disease. Using mechanistic modeling and statistical approaches, we find that enterovirus transmission appears positively correlated with temperature although demographic factors, particularly the timing of school semesters, remain important. We use temperature projections from Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (CMIP6) to simulate future outbreaks under late 21st-century climate change for Chinese provinces. We find that outbreak size increases with climate change on average, though results differ across climate models depending on the degree of wintertime warming. In the worst-case scenario, we project peak outbreaks in some locations could increase by up to 40%.},
}
@article {pmid39084384,
year = {2024},
author = {Zhao, J and Yang, J and Huang, R and Xie, H and Qin, X and Hu, Y},
title = {Estimating evapotranspiration and drought dynamics of winter wheat under climate change: A case study in Huang-Huai-Hai region, China.},
journal = {The Science of the total environment},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {175114},
doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.175114},
pmid = {39084384},
issn = {1879-1026},
abstract = {Drought is one of the vital meteorological disasters that influence crop growth. Timely and accurately estimating the drought dynamics of crops is valuable for decision-maker to formulate scientific management measures of agricultural drought risk. In this study, the evapotranspiration and drought dynamics of winter wheat from 1981 to 2020 in the Huang-Huai-Hai (HHH) region of China were evaluated based on long-term multi-source observation data. Four key developmental stages of winter wheat were given attentions: growth before winter stage, overwintering stage, stage of greening-heading, and stage of filling-maturity. The crop water deficit index (CWDI) on a daily scale was established for quantitatively appraising the impacts of drought on winter wheat. Our results indicated that interannual variation in reference crop evapotranspiration (ET0) during the growth season of winter wheat from 1981 to 2020 in the HHH region showed a slight increase trend, with an average of 602.4 mm and obvious spatial differences of decreasing from the Northeast to the Southwest. Over the past forty years, the winter wheat in the HHH region was most severely affected by severe drought, followed by moderate drought, and finally mild drought. In addition, the impacts of drought on winter wheat at different critical growth stages varied greatly. For the growth before winter stage, the winter wheat was mainly threatened by mild, moderate, and severe droughts. For the overwintering stage, the winter wheat was mainly threatened by moderate, severe, and extreme droughts. For the greening-heading stage, the winter wheat was mainly threatened by mild, moderate, severe, and extreme droughts. For the filling-maturity stage, the winter wheat was mainly threatened by mild and moderate droughts. Finally, the impacts of drought on winter wheat during 1981-2020 in the HHH region were revealed to differ extraordinarily in space. In particular, the areas of winter wheat affected by severe drought significantly decreased. However, the areas of winter wheat affected by moderate drought clearly expanded. Our findings provide new insights for further improving climate change impact studies and agricultural drought defense capabilities adapting to continuous environmental change.},
}
@article {pmid39084182,
year = {2024},
author = {Boekhorst, F and Savona-Ventura, C and Mahmood, T and Mukhopadhyay, S},
title = {The effects of climate change and environmental pollution on human reproduction: A scientific review commissioned by the European Board and College of Obstetrics and Gynaecology (EBCOG).},
journal = {European journal of obstetrics, gynecology, and reproductive biology},
volume = {301},
number = {},
pages = {19-23},
doi = {10.1016/j.ejogrb.2024.07.030},
pmid = {39084182},
issn = {1872-7654},
abstract = {The European Board and College of Obstetrics and Gynaecology (EBCOG) and the European Network of Trainees in Obstetrics and Gynaecology (ENTOG) express their concerns on the effect of climate change and environmental pollution. This paper reviews the impact on reproductive health and the contribution to climate change by the field of obstetrics and gynaecology. It concludes that its contributors and the effects of climate change cause definite adverse consequences to fertility and adverse obstetric outcomes. Mankind, and obstetrics and gynaecology personnel as well, must be aware and responsible of its contribution to climate change and consider the impact of their actions and interventions.},
}
@article {pmid39083877,
year = {2024},
author = {Li, JJ and Du, XK},
title = {Will climate change cause Sargassum beds in temperate waters to expand or contract? Evidence from the range shift pattern of Sargassum.},
journal = {Marine environmental research},
volume = {200},
number = {},
pages = {106659},
doi = {10.1016/j.marenvres.2024.106659},
pmid = {39083877},
issn = {1879-0291},
abstract = {Understanding the range shift patterns of foundation species (e.g., macroalgae) under future climatic conditions is critical for biodiversity conservation in coastal ecosystems. These predictions are typically made using species distribution models (SDMs), and severe habitat loss has been predicted for most brown algal forests. Nevertheless, some models showed that local adaptation within species can reduce range loss projections. In this study, we used the brown algae Sargassum fusiforme and Sargassum thunbergii, which are distributed in the Northwest Pacific, to determine whether climate change will cause the Sargassum beds in Northwest Pacific temperate waters to expand or contract. We divided S. fusiforme and S. thunbergii into northern and southern lineages, considering the temperature gradients and phylogeographic structures. We quantified the realized niches of the two lineages using an n-dimensional hypervolume. Significant niche differentiation was detected between lineages for both species, suggesting the existence of local adaptation. Based on these results, lineage-level SDMs were constructed for both species. The prediction results showed the different responses of different lineages to climate change. The suitable distribution area for both species was predicted to move northward, retaining part of the suitable habitat at low latitudes (along the East China Sea). Unfortunately, this expansion could not compensate for losing middle-low latitude areas. Our results have important implications for the future management and protection of macroalgae and emphasize the importance of incorporating intraspecific variation into species distribution predictions.},
}
@article {pmid39083192,
year = {2024},
author = {Gini, G and Piggott-McKellar, A and Wiegel, H and Neu, FN and Link, AC and Fry, C and Tabe, T and Adegun, O and Wade, CT and Bower, ER and Koeltzow, S and Harrington-Abrams, R and Jacobs, C and van der Geest, K and Zivdar, N and Alaniz, R and Cherop, C and Durand-Delacre, D and Pill, M and Shekhar, H and Yates, O and Khan, MAA and Nansam-Aggrey, FK and Grant, L and Nizar, DA and Owusu-Daaku, KN and Preato, A and Stefancu, O and Yee, M},
title = {Correction to: Navigating tensions in climate change-related planned relocation.},
journal = {Ambio},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1007/s13280-024-02059-8},
pmid = {39083192},
issn = {1654-7209},
}
@article {pmid39082863,
year = {2024},
author = {Zeng, Z and Lam, VWY and Sumaila, UR and Cheung, WWL},
title = {Climate change alters social-ecological trade-offs in achieving ocean futures' targets.},
journal = {Global change biology},
volume = {30},
number = {8},
pages = {e17442},
doi = {10.1111/gcb.17442},
pmid = {39082863},
issn = {1365-2486},
mesh = {*Climate Change ; *Fisheries ; *Oceans and Seas ; *Conservation of Natural Resources ; *Ecosystem ; China ; Biodiversity ; Models, Theoretical ; },
abstract = {The effects of climate change on marine ecosystems are causing cascading impacts on livelihood, food security, and culture through fisheries. Such impacts interact and exacerbate the effects of overfishing on marine social-ecological systems, complicating the rebuilding of ecosystems to achieve desirable and sustainable ocean futures. Developing effective pathways for ecosystem rebuilding requires consideration of the co-benefits and trade-offs between ecological and social dimensions and between fishing sectors. However, the effects of intensifying climate change on such co-benefits or trade-offs are yet to be well understood, particularly in regions where ecosystem rebuilding is urgently needed. We applied a numerical optimization routine to define the scope for improvement toward the Pareto-frontier for ecological robustness and economic benefits of the northern South China Sea (NSCS) and the East China Sea (ECS) ecosystems. These two ecosystems were used to represent over-exploited low- and mid-latitude systems, respectively, and the optimization aimed to improve their status through fisheries management. We find that the ECS ecosystem has the possibility of increasing the economic benefits generated by the fisheries it supports under climate change by 2050 while increasing the uncertainty of achieving biodiversity objectives. Nevertheless, climate change is projected to reduce the scope to restore ecosystem structures and the potential economic benefits in the NSCS ecosystem. This study highlights the contrasting impacts of climate change on the co-benefits/trade-offs in ecosystem rebuilding and the benefits obtainable by different fishing sectors even in neighboring ecosystems. We conclude that consideration at the nexus of climate-biodiversity-fisheries is a key to developing effective ecosystem rebuilding plan.},
}
@article {pmid39081076,
year = {2024},
author = {Levy, O and Shahar, S},
title = {Artificial Intelligence for Climate Change Biology: From Data Collection to Predictions.},
journal = {Integrative and comparative biology},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1093/icb/icae127},
pmid = {39081076},
issn = {1557-7023},
abstract = {In the era of big data, ecological research is experiencing a transformative shift, yet advancements in thermal ecology and the study of animal responses to climate conditions remain limited. This review discusses how big data analytics and artificial intelligence (AI) can significantly enhance our understanding of microclimates and animal behaviors under changing climatic conditions. We explore AI's potential to refine microclimate models and analyze data from advanced sensors and camera technologies, which capture detailed, high-resolution information. This integration allows researchers to dissect complex ecological and physiological processes with unprecedented precision. We describe how AI can enhance microclimate modeling through improved bias correction and downscaling techniques, providing more accurate estimates of the conditions that animals face under various climate scenarios. Additionally, we explore AI's capabilities in tracking animal responses to these conditions, particularly through innovative classification models that utilize sensors such as accelerometers and acoustic loggers. Moreover, the widespread usage of camera traps can benefit from AI-driven image classification models to accurately identify thermoregulatory responses, such as shade usage and panting. AI is therefore instrumental in monitoring how animals interact with their environments, offering vital insights into their adaptive behaviors. Finally, we discuss how these advanced data-driven approaches can inform and enhance conservation strategies. Detailed mapping of microhabitats essential for species survival under adverse conditions can guide the design of climate-resilient conservation and restoration programs that prioritize habitat features crucial for biodiversity resilience. In conclusion, the convergence of AI, big data, and ecological science heralds a new era of precision conservation, essential for addressing the global environmental challenges of the 21st century.},
}
@article {pmid39080933,
year = {2024},
author = {Poudel, K and Karki, S and Lamichhane, K and Timilsina, A and Dijkerman, S and Ghimire, J},
title = {Perception of Climate Change Vulnerability and its Impact on Sexual and Reproductive Health and Rights in Khutiya and Banganga River Basins.},
journal = {Journal of Nepal Health Research Council},
volume = {22},
number = {1},
pages = {25-33},
doi = {10.33314/jnhrc.v22i01.4940},
pmid = {39080933},
issn = {1999-6217},
mesh = {Humans ; Nepal ; *Climate Change ; Female ; Adult ; Adolescent ; Young Adult ; Middle Aged ; *Reproductive Health ; Socioeconomic Factors ; Focus Groups ; Interviews as Topic ; Rivers ; Reproductive Rights ; },
abstract = {BACKGROUND: Nepal is one of the most vulnerable countries to climate change. The drivers of climate risk include its topography, ecological diversity, climatic variability, natural resource dependency, under-development, and socioeconomic vulnerabilities. Climate change affects women and girls in unique ways. Research conducted in Asia Pacific region highlight negative sexual and reproductive health outcomes from climate change-related stressors such as droughts, floods, and air pollution, factors also linked to decreased SRH services utilization, increased maternal mortality rates, and repercussions on women's mental health.<br><br>METHODS: This is a mixed methods study conducted in two river basins including household surveys with 384 females ages 18-49, 12 focus group discussions, and 22 key informant interviews. We conducted descriptive and thematic analysis.<br><br>RESULTS: More than half relied on agriculture for income (66%). Despite one-third being heads of households, land ownership was low (13%). Climate change perceptions included rising temperatures (88%), increased heat wave (70%), drying water source (99%), and delayed monsoons (83%), impacting agriculture and increasing women's workload (61%) due to displacement and male migration. 64% reported disturbances in antenatal and postnatal care visits . Inaccessible healthcare facilities during the rainy season increased maternal mortality risks. Heavy river flooding hindered female community health volunteers access leading to childbirth complications. 82% of women feared being unable to protect their children post-climate events. Moreover, 21% of women faced gender-based violence during or after climate disasters.<br><br>CONCLUSIONS: Our findings suggest clear impacts of climate change on women and the communities. Thus, climate adaptation efforts must be designed to address the unique impacts of the crisis on women and girls, making space for their increased participation and leadership.},
}
@article {pmid39080505,
year = {2024},
author = {Hannan, FM and Leow, MKS and Lee, JKW and Kovats, S and Elajnaf, T and Kennedy, SH and Thakker, RV},
title = {Endocrine effects of heat exposure and relevance to climate change.},
journal = {Nature reviews. Endocrinology},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
pmid = {39080505},
issn = {1759-5037},
abstract = {Climate change is increasing both seasonal temperatures and the frequency and severity of heat extremes. As the endocrine system facilitates physiological adaptations to temperature changes, diseases with an endocrinological basis have the potential to affect thermoregulation and increase the risk of heat injury. The effect of climate change and associated high temperature exposure on endocrine axis development and function, and on the prevalence and severity of diseases associated with hormone deficiency or excess, is unclear. This Perspective summarizes current knowledge relating to the hormonal effects of heat exposure in species ranging from rodents to humans. We also describe the potential effect of high temperature exposures on patients with endocrine diseases. Finally, we highlight the need for more basic science, clinical and epidemiological research into the effects of heat on endocrine function and health; this research could enable the development of interventions for people most at risk, in the context of rising environmental temperatures.},
}
@article {pmid39080449,
year = {2024},
author = {Hinson, KE and Friedrichs, MAM and Najjar, RG and Bian, Z and Herrmann, M and St-Laurent, P and Tian, H},
title = {Response of hypoxia to future climate change is sensitive to methodological assumptions.},
journal = {Scientific reports},
volume = {14},
number = {1},
pages = {17544},
pmid = {39080449},
issn = {2045-2322},
support = {NA16NOS4780207//United States Department of Commerce | NOAA | Center for Sponsored Coastal Ocean Research (NOAA Center for Sponsored Coastal Ocean Research)/ ; },
abstract = {Climate-induced changes in hypoxia are among the most serious threats facing estuaries, which are among the most productive ecosystems on Earth. Future projections of estuarine hypoxia typically involve long-term multi-decadal continuous simulations or more computationally efficient time slice and delta methods that are restricted to short historical and future periods. We make a first comparison of these three methods by applying a linked terrestrial-estuarine model to the Chesapeake Bay, a large coastal-plain estuary in the eastern United States. Results show that the time slice approach accurately captures the behavior of the continuous approach, indicating a minimal impact of model memory. However, increases in mean annual hypoxic volume by the mid-twenty-first century simulated by the delta approach (+ 19%) are approximately twice as large as the time slice and continuous experiments (+ 9% and + 11%, respectively), indicating an important impact of changes in climate variability. Our findings suggest that system memory and projected changes in climate variability, as well as simulation length and natural variability of system hypoxia, should be considered when deciding to apply the more computationally efficient delta and time slice methods.},
}
@article {pmid39080424,
year = {2024},
author = {Tian, D},
title = {Irrigation expansion in the face of war and climate change.},
journal = {Nature food},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
pmid = {39080424},
issn = {2662-1355},
support = {NSF-EAR-2144293//National Science Foundation (NSF)/ ; },
}
@article {pmid39080160,
year = {2024},
author = {Corgo, J and Cruz, SS and Conceição, P},
title = {Nature-based solutions in spatial planning and policies for climate change adaptation: A literature review.},
journal = {Ambio},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
pmid = {39080160},
issn = {1654-7209},
support = {UI/BD/151235/2021//Funda&#xe7;&#xe3;o para a Ci&#xea;ncia e a Tecnologia/ ; },
abstract = {Nature-based solutions (NbSs) are recognised as relevant to spatial planning in addressing societal challenges, although their uptake is limited and fragmented to some case studies, and difficulties emerge from their implementation and operationalisation. The research developed a literature review to investigate how NbS has been considered for its implementation and operationalisation in spatial planning and how NbS has been included across different policy instruments and used to address climate change adaptation (CCA). The results highlighted: Firstly, the review contributed to bridge the gap in NbS implementation and operationalisation by proposing a novel three-dimensional categorisation system to guide the selection of suitable NbS principles to address societal challenges; secondly, this study still revealed gaps in some policy areas, despite the effort to extensively apply NbS across diverse policy instruments to CCA. Overall, the review further emphasises the need for future research focused on monitoring and evaluating NbS's effectiveness to CCA.},
}
@article {pmid39079404,
year = {2024},
author = {Diagboya, PN and Düring, RA},
title = {Assessing global-warming induced soil organic matter and iron oxides depletion: Empirical insights into sorption and uptake of atrazine by plants.},
journal = {Ecotoxicology and environmental safety},
volume = {283},
number = {},
pages = {116794},
doi = {10.1016/j.ecoenv.2024.116794},
pmid = {39079404},
issn = {1090-2414},
abstract = {Recent pesticide use is alarmingly high and unregulated in several parts of the world. Pesticide fate in soil is controlled by sorption processes which affect the subsequent transport and chemical reactivity in the environment, as well as uptake by plants. Sorption processes are dependent on soil composition and properties, but these are beginning to be affected by global warming-linked factors leading to soil depletion. Thus, it is vital to decipher soils' response, especially in the sub-Sahara (SS), to the depletion of some inherent components in the presence of pesticides. This was ascertained by monitoring a model pesticide (atrazine) sorption and desorption on whole SS soil (WS), and the same soil whose organic matter (OMR) and iron oxides (IOR) were substantially depleted, as well as studying atrazine uptake from these soils by fast-growing vegetables. Organic matter depletion enhanced equilibrium in OMR. Sorption was enhanced at lower ambient pH, higher initial atrazine concentration, and higher temperature. Hysteresis was low resulting in high desorption. Overall, atrazine desorption of ≥65 % was observed; it was higher in OMR (≥95 %) since SOM enhanced hysteresis. Though sub-Saharan soils are rich in iron oxides, SOM played a significantly higher role in sorption than iron oxides in this soil. This result suggests a high potential for atrazine to leach into the aquifer in the sub-Saharan. Atrazine uptake experiment by waterleaf and spinach showed that it could be detected in soil after 63 d, and its presence significantly affected the growth of both vegetables especially in soils with depleted SOM and iron oxides, and at high (100 µg/kg) atrazine spiking. Spinach may be a higher atrazine accumulator than waterleaf. It may be concluded that waterleaf and spinach grown on atrazine-contaminated soils, especially on SOM/iron oxide-depleted soils, are likely to accumulate atrazine.},
}
@article {pmid39078041,
year = {2024},
author = {Adelodun, B and Agbelusi, OO and Soma, T and Odey, G and Adeyi, Q and Kumar, P and Ajibade, FO and Goala, M and Silva, LFO and Mostafa, YS and Singh, R and Choi, KS and Eid, EM},
title = {Rethinking food loss and waste to promote sustainable resource use and climate change mitigation in agri-food systems: A review.},
journal = {Waste management &amp; research : the journal of the International Solid Wastes and Public Cleansing Association, ISWA},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {734242X241257655},
doi = {10.1177/0734242X241257655},
pmid = {39078041},
issn = {1096-3669},
abstract = {The sustainable agri-food system is an important sector recognized for promoting the United Nations' Sustainable Development Goals on food security, resource conservation and climate change mitigation. However, the increasing food loss and waste (FLW) along the supply chains has continued to hinder these goals. This study evaluates the trend of FLW research from 1975 to 2022 and how it promotes the achievement of resource and environmental sustainability in agri-food systems. The salient research themes and hotspots that are of interest to researchers were identified. Bibliometric and network analyses were carried out on scholarly research articles from the Scopus database using bibliometrix and VOSviewer. Furthermore, the content analysis was conducted on the selected highly influential articles containing relevant data to understand the role of FLW in promoting sustainable agri-food systems. The results showed disaggregate and unbalanced research distribution on the impacts of FLW among the countries, with China and the United States having the highest contributions. The identified major research themes relating to sustainable agri-food systems are food waste and sustainable systems, food waste management and food waste impact assessment. Moreover, the circular economy was found to be a relatively new approach being explored in agri-food systems to promote FLW reduction and ensure sustainability of resource use. This study highlights the critical role of the impact of FLW in addressing the grand challenge of food security, resource use efficiency and environmental sustainability.},
}
@article {pmid39077386,
year = {2024},
author = {Bergquist, R and Zheng, JX and Zhou, XN},
title = {Synergistic integration of climate change and zoonotic diseases by artificial intelligence: a holistic approach for sustainable solutions.},
journal = {Science in One Health},
volume = {3},
number = {},
pages = {100070},
pmid = {39077386},
issn = {2949-7043},
abstract = {Artificial intelligence (AI) is a rapidly evolving field that can impel research in communicable diseases with respect to climate projections, ecological indicators and environmental impact, at the same time revealing new, previously overlooked events. A number of zoonotic and vector-borne diseases already show signs of expanding their northern geographical ranges and appropriate risk assessment and decision support are urgently needed. The deployment of AI-enabled monitoring systems tracking animal populations and environmental changes is of immense potential in the study of transmission under different climate scenarios. In addition, AI's capability to identify new treatments should not only accelerate drug and vaccine discovery but also help predicting their effectiveness, while its contribution to genetic pathogen speciation would assist the evaluation of spillover risks with regard to viral infections from animals to human. Close collaboration between AI experts, epidemiologists and other stakeholders is not only crucial for responding to challenges interconnected with a variety of variables effectively, but also necessary to warrant responsible AI use. Despite its wider successful implementation in many fields, AI should be seen as a complement to, rather than a replacement of, traditional public health measures.},
}
@article {pmid39076828,
year = {2024},
author = {Semenov, MA and Senapati, N and Coleman, K and Collins, AL},
title = {A dataset of CMIP6-based climate scenarios for climate change impact assessment in Great Britain.},
journal = {Data in brief},
volume = {55},
number = {},
pages = {110709},
pmid = {39076828},
issn = {2352-3409},
abstract = {Climate change is a critical issue in the 21st century. Assessment of the impacts of climate change is beneficial for assisting advanced recommendations for adaptations. Climate change impact assessments require high quality local-scale climate scenarios. The future climate projections from Global Climate Models (GCMs) are problematic to use at local scale due to their coarse spatial and temporal resolution, and existing biases. It is important to have climate change scenarios based on the GCMs ensemble downscaled to local scale to account for inherent uncertainty in climate projections, and to have a sufficient large number of years to account for inter-annual climate variability and low frequency, but high impact, extreme climatic events. A dataset of future climate change scenarios was therefore generated at 26 representative sites across Great Britain based on the latest CMIP6 multi-model ensemble downscaled to local-scale by using a stochastic weather generator, LARS-WG 8.0. The data set consists of climate scenarios of daily weather of 1,000 realizations of typical years for a baseline, and very near (2030) and near-future (2050) climates, based on five GCMs and two emission scenarios (Shared Socioeconomic Pathways - SSPs viz. SSP2-4.5 and SSP5-8.5). A total of 15 GCMs from the CMIP6 ensemble were integrated in LARS-WG 8.0. LARS-WG downscales future climate projections from the GCMs and incorporates changes at local scale in the mean climate, climatic variability, and extreme events by modifying the statistical distributions of the weather variables at each site. Based on the performance of the GCMs over northern Europe and their climate sensitivity, a subset of five GCMs was selected, viz.; ACCESS-ESM1-5, CNRM-CM6-1, HadGEM3-GC31-LL, MPI-ESM1-2-LR and MRI-ESM2-0. The selected GCMs are evenly distributed among the full set of 15 GCMs. The use of a subset of GCMs substantially reduces computational time, while allowing assessment of uncertainties in impact studies related to uncertain future climate projections arising from GCMs. The 1000 years of daily weather for the baseline, as well as for very near and near-future climate change scenarios, are essential for estimating inter-annual variation, and for detecting low frequency, but high impact, extreme climatic events, such as heat waves, floods and droughts. The present dataset can be used as an input to climate change impact models in various fields, including, land and water resources, agriculture and food production, ecology and epidemiology, and human health and welfare. Researchers, breeders, farm managers, social and public sector leaders, and policymakers may benefit from this new dataset when undertaking impact assessments of climate change and decision support for mitigation and adaptation to climate change.},
}
@article {pmid39076136,
year = {2024},
author = {Huston, P},
title = {Climate change and the pivotal role of health professionals.},
journal = {Journal of evaluation in clinical practice},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1111/jep.14103},
pmid = {39076136},
issn = {1365-2753},
}
@article {pmid39075833,
year = {2024},
author = {Ludwig-Beymer, P},
title = {The Role of Transcultural Nurses in Climate Change.},
journal = {Journal of transcultural nursing : official journal of the Transcultural Nursing Society},
volume = {35},
number = {4},
pages = {262},
doi = {10.1177/10436596241259020},
pmid = {39075833},
issn = {1552-7832},
mesh = {Humans ; *Climate Change ; *Transcultural Nursing/trends ; Nurse's Role/psychology ; },
}
@article {pmid39075368,
year = {2024},
author = {Ansah, EW and Amoadu, M and Obeng, P and Sarfo, JO},
title = {Health systems response to climate change adaptation: a scoping review of global evidence.},
journal = {BMC public health},
volume = {24},
number = {1},
pages = {2015},
pmid = {39075368},
issn = {1471-2458},
mesh = {*Climate Change ; Humans ; *Delivery of Health Care/organization &amp; administration ; Global Health ; Health Policy ; },
abstract = {BACKGROUND: The health system plays a critical role in safeguarding the well-being of communities in the face of health risks associated with climate change. This review maps evidence on health systems' adaptation to climate risk and barriers to effective adaptation.<br><br>METHODS: This review followed the recommendations by Arksey and O'Malley for conducting scoping review. Search for records was conducted in PubMed, Central, Web of Science, JSTOR, Google, and Google Scholar. Only peer-reviewed papers published in English language were included in this review. All the 63 included studies were critically appraise d.<br><br>RESULTS: We found that efforts are being made to create resilient health systems by incorporating climate change into health policies. Investments are being made in innovative technologies, climate-resilient health infrastructure, enhancing healthcare delivery, developing the capacity of climate specialists and agencies to provide high-quality evidence for resilient health systems. We also found that several obstacles prevent health system adaptation to climate risk, including poor policy implementation and evaluation. The obstacles are further exacerbated by financial constraints, including poverty, a lack of political commitment, inadequate data, and deficient healthcare systems, especially in developing countries. There is also a lack of integration of climate change into mental health actions and the health and safety of healthcare workers.<br><br>CONCLUSION: Efforts to develop resilient health systems against climate risks are underway, but persistent obstacles, including inadequate policy implementation, resource limitations, and a lack of integration of climate change into critical health domains, hinder comprehensive adaptation measures, particularly in developing nations.},
}
@article {pmid39075185,
year = {2024},
author = {Sarikaya, AG and Uzun, A and Turan, FD},
title = {Effect of climate change on current and future potential distribution of Strawberry tree (Arbutus unedo L.) in Türkiye.},
journal = {Scientific reports},
volume = {14},
number = {1},
pages = {17408},
pmid = {39075185},
issn = {2045-2322},
support = {2209//T&#xdc;B&#x130;TAK/ ; },
mesh = {*Climate Change ; *Forests ; Trees/growth &amp; development ; Biodiversity ; Conservation of Natural Resources ; Ecosystem ; Ericaceae/growth &amp; development ; },
abstract = {The demand for nontimber forest products (NTFPs) has increased significantly in recent years. Hundreds of plant species that grow naturally in Türkiye have medicinal and aromatic value. Medicinal and aromatic plants are primarily used as a sources of tea, spices, condiments and essential oils. Species belonging to the genus Arbutus L. are used for decorative purposes and as fuel wood in many wood-based industries, they also have a wide range of uses in packaging, chairs making and furniture production. Additionally, the fruits of these trees are widely consumed by humans and animals because they are rich in sugar and vitamin C. It is predicted that changes in climatic conditions will significantly change the distribution, composition and function of forests threatening biodiversity. The purpose of this study was to model current and future potential geographical distributions of Arbutus unedo L., which is among the species that naturally grow in Türkiye and is of substantial value in terms of its ecological contribution to forest ecosystems, based on species presence data and environmental variables (bioclimatic variables and altitude). The current and future distribution area models for Arbutus unedo L. indicate that the potential distribution areas of the species in the coming years will gradually decrease, and in the SSP5 8.5 model, which represents the highest level of world resource usage this gradual decrease will reach its highest level and there will be no suitable distribution area left for the species. Therefore, it is predicted that the species will become endangered. In-situ and ex-situ conservation measures need to be taken to ensure the sustainability of the species in forestry and landscape areas.},
}
@article {pmid39075170,
year = {2024},
author = {Parsons, ES and Jowell, A and Veidis, E and Barry, M and Israni, ST},
title = {Correction: Climate change and inequality.},
journal = {Pediatric research},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1038/s41390-024-03443-6},
pmid = {39075170},
issn = {1530-0447},
}
@article {pmid39075084,
year = {2024},
author = {Aroyehun, AR and Ugwuja, VC and Onoja, AO},
title = {Determinants of melon farmers' adaptation strategies to climate change hazards in south‒south Nigeria.},
journal = {Scientific reports},
volume = {14},
number = {1},
pages = {17395},
pmid = {39075084},
issn = {2045-2322},
mesh = {Nigeria ; *Climate Change ; Humans ; *Farmers ; *Cucurbitaceae/physiology ; Male ; Surveys and Questionnaires ; Female ; Adult ; Middle Aged ; Agriculture/methods ; Crops, Agricultural/growth &amp; development ; Adaptation, Physiological ; },
abstract = {The constant changes experienced in agricultural activities due to climate change pose a great challenge to melon production. Hence, this research examined the determinants of melon farmers' adaptation strategies to cope with climate change hazards in southern-southern Nigeria. The research ultimately depended on primary data collected by using a set of questionnaires and interviews. The data were obtained from 260 samples retrieved from melon farmers by using multistage sampling techniques. The data were analyzed using the multivariate probit (MVP) model and partial eta squared test. The results of the MVP model showed that age (- 0.009), marital status (0.200), access to information on climate change (0.567) and crop insurance (0.214) were significant at the 0.01 level, while household size (- 0.030) was significant at the 0.05 level and determined the adoption of crop diversification. Educational level (0.012), extension contact (0.138) and access to credit (0.122) were significant at the 0.05 level, while access to information on climate change (0.415) was significant at the 0.01 level and determined the adoption of change in planting dates. Age (- 0.010) and access to information on climate change (0.381) were significant at the 0.01 level, while sex (- 0.139), marital status (0.158) and off-farm income (- 2.3E-7) were significant at the 0.05 level and determined the adoption of mixed farming. Farming experience (0.005) is significant at the 0.05 level, while access to information on climate change (0.529) and crop insurance (0.272) are significant at the 0.01 level and determine the adoption of drought-tolerant crop species. Access to information on climate change (0.536) is significant at the 0.01 level, indicating the adoption of improved crop species. Age (- 0.010), farm size (- 0.085) and crop insurance (0.206) were significant at the 0.05 level, while access to information on climate change (0.353) was significant at the 0.01 level and determined the adoption of off-farm job opportunities. The study recommends the availability and accessibility of credit, climate-smart agricultural practices, and the establishment of public‒private partnerships, among others.},
}
@article {pmid39074429,
year = {2024},
author = {Zhao, G and Tian, S and Chen, R and Cao, Y and Zhang, Y and Han, B},
title = {Effect of global climate change on the sustainability of cold-water fish habitat in the alpine region: A case study on the Gymnocypris eckloni in the source region of the Yellow River.},
journal = {Journal of environmental management},
volume = {367},
number = {},
pages = {121926},
doi = {10.1016/j.jenvman.2024.121926},
pmid = {39074429},
issn = {1095-8630},
abstract = {Climate change at the global scale affects the watershed's hydrology and the river's hydrodynamic, water temperature (WT), and habitat conditions of organisms. This article proposes a quantitative assessment methodology framework for analyzing the impact of GCC on the cold-water fish habitat. This framework integrated GCC, downscaling, hydrological, hydrodynamic, water temperature, and habitat models and was applied to the source region of the Yellow River (SRYR), where there are Gymnocypris eckloni (G. eckloni) resource reduction problems. In this study, we developed a high-precision, loosely integrated hydrological, hydrodynamic, WT coupling model for SWAT-MIKE21 in the SRYR. The optimal latitude and longitude range (6° × 6°) covering the SRYR was established for downscaling, and future meteorological data under three GCC models was obtained. The main results present the discharge of spawning, and juvenile G. eckloni indicates an increasing trend from the radiation forcing low to high and from the near now to the future term. The WT increased (decreased) in April and June (May), with a maximum increase/decrease of 3.1°C (SSP370 in 2100)/1.4°C (SSP585 in 2050). The weighted useable area (WUA) demonstrated a trend of severe fluctuations in May, June, and October, and other months are equal to the base year. Total WUA (TWUA) displayed an increasing trend, with the maximum increase in spawning and juvenile period being 134.46% and 270.89%, respectively. Ultimately, the rise in confluence discharge and WT caused by GCC in the SRYR benefits spawning and juvenile G. eckloni. The results have guiding significance for the development of long-term and adaptive protection and restoration measures for G. eckloni, and provide a plan for predicting the impact of climate change on other organisms in river ecosystems in high-altitude cold regions.},
}
@article {pmid39074290,
year = {2024},
author = {Jerrett, M and Connolly, R and Garcia-Gonzales, DA and Bekker, C and Nguyen, JT and Su, J and Li, Y and Marlier, ME},
title = {Climate change and public health in California: A structured review of exposures, vulnerable populations, and adaptation measures.},
journal = {Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America},
volume = {121},
number = {32},
pages = {e2310081121},
doi = {10.1073/pnas.2310081121},
pmid = {39074290},
issn = {1091-6490},
support = {19RD015//California Air Resources Board (ARB)/ ; 80NSSC22K1684//NASA | Earth Sciences Division (ESD)/ ; },
mesh = {*Climate Change ; Humans ; California ; *Public Health ; Vulnerable Populations/statistics &amp; numerical data ; Air Pollution/analysis/adverse effects ; Environmental Exposure/adverse effects ; Wildfires ; },
abstract = {California faces several serious direct and indirect climate exposures that can adversely affect public health, some of which are already occurring. The public health burden now and in the future will depend on atmospheric greenhouse gas concentrations, underlying population vulnerabilities, and adaptation efforts. Here, we present a structured review of recent literature to examine the leading climate risks to public health in California, including extreme heat, extreme precipitation, wildfires, air pollution, and infectious diseases. Comparisons among different climate-health pathways are difficult due to inconsistencies in study design regarding spatial and temporal scales and health outcomes examined. We find, however, that the current public health burden likely affects thousands of Californians each year, depending on the exposure pathway and health outcome. Further, while more evidence exists for direct and indirect proximal health effects that are the focus of this review, distal pathways (e.g., impacts of drought on nutrition) are more uncertain but could add to this burden. We find that climate adaptation measures can provide significant health benefits, particularly in disadvantaged communities. We conclude with priority recommendations for future analyses and solution-driven policy actions.},
}
@article {pmid39074287,
year = {2024},
author = {Syphard, AD and Velazco, SJE and Rose, MB and Franklin, J and Regan, HM},
title = {The importance of geography in forecasting future fire patterns under climate change.},
journal = {Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America},
volume = {121},
number = {32},
pages = {e2310076121},
doi = {10.1073/pnas.2310076121},
pmid = {39074287},
issn = {1091-6490},
support = {1853697//National Science Foundation (NSF)/ ; CCR30009//California Strategic Growth Council (SGC)/ ; },
mesh = {*Climate Change ; California ; *Forecasting ; *Wildfires ; *Ecosystem ; *Geography ; Humans ; Fires ; Models, Theoretical ; },
abstract = {An increasing amount of California's landscape has burned in wildfires in recent decades, in conjunction with increasing temperatures and vapor pressure deficit due to climate change. As the wildland-urban interface expands, more people are exposed to and harmed by these extensive wildfires, which are also eroding the resilience of terrestrial ecosystems. With future wildfire activity expected to increase, there is an urgent demand for solutions that sustain healthy ecosystems and wildfire-resilient human communities. Those who manage disaster response, landscapes, and biodiversity rely on mapped projections of how fire activity may respond to climate change and other human factors. California wildfire is complex, however, and climate-fire relationships vary across the state. Given known geographical variability in drivers of fire activity, we asked whether the geographical extent of fire models used to create these projections may alter the interpretation of predictions. We compared models of fire occurrence spanning the entire state of California to models developed for individual ecoregions and then projected end-of-century future fire patterns under climate change scenarios. We trained a Maximum Entropy model with fire records and hydroclimatological variables from recent decades (1981 to 2010) as well as topographic and human infrastructure predictors. Results showed substantial variation in predictors of fire probability and mapped future projections of fire depending upon geographical extents of model boundaries. Only the ecoregion models, accounting for the unique patterns of vegetation, climate, and human infrastructure, projected an increase in fire in most forested regions of the state, congruent with predictions from other studies.},
}
@article {pmid39074285,
year = {2024},
author = {Harrison, S and Franklin, J and Hernandez, RR and Ikegami, M and Safford, HD and Thorne, JH},
title = {Climate change and California's terrestrial biodiversity.},
journal = {Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America},
volume = {121},
number = {32},
pages = {e2310074121},
doi = {10.1073/pnas.2310074121},
pmid = {39074285},
issn = {1091-6490},
mesh = {*Biodiversity ; California ; *Climate Change ; *Conservation of Natural Resources ; Humans ; Fires ; Introduced Species ; Plants ; Animals ; },
abstract = {In this review and synthesis, we argue that California is an important test case for the nation and world because terrestrial biodiversity is very high, present and anticipated threats to biodiversity from climate change and other interacting stressors are severe, and innovative approaches to protecting biodiversity in the context of climate change are being developed and tested. We first review salient dimensions of California's terrestrial physical, biological, and human diversity. Next, we examine four facets of the threat to their sustainability of these dimensions posed by climate change: direct impacts, illustrated by a new analysis of shifting diversity hotspots for plants; interactive effects involving invasive species, land-use change, and other stressors; the impacts of changing fire regimes; and the impacts of land-based renewable energy development. We examine recent policy responses in each of these areas, representing attempts to better protect biodiversity while advancing climate adaptation and mitigation. We conclude that California's ambitious 30 × 30 Initiative and its efforts to harmonize biodiversity conservation with renewable energy development are important areas of progress. Adapting traditional suppression-oriented fire policies to the reality of new fire regimes is an area in which much progress remains to be made.},
}
@article {pmid39074284,
year = {2024},
author = {Franklin, J and MacDonald, GM},
title = {Climate change and California sustainability-Challenges and solutions.},
journal = {Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America},
volume = {121},
number = {32},
pages = {e2405458121},
doi = {10.1073/pnas.2405458121},
pmid = {39074284},
issn = {1091-6490},
support = {1853697 AAA//National Science Foundation (NSF)/ ; },
}
@article {pmid39074270,
year = {2024},
author = {Greenberg, M and Angelo, H and Losada, E and Wilmers, CC},
title = {Relational geographies of urban unsustainability: The entanglement of California's housing crisis with WUI growth and climate change.},
journal = {Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America},
volume = {121},
number = {32},
pages = {e2310080121},
doi = {10.1073/pnas.2310080121},
pmid = {39074270},
issn = {1091-6490},
mesh = {California ; *Climate Change ; *Housing ; Humans ; Ecosystem ; Wildfires ; Geography ; Conservation of Natural Resources ; Cities ; },
abstract = {One of California's most pressing social and environmental challenges is the rapid expansion of the wildlands-urban interface (WUI). Multiple issues associated with WUI growth compared to more dense and compact urban form are of concern-including greatly increased fire risk, greenhouse gas emissions, and fragmentation of habitat. However, little is understood about the factors driving this growth in the first place and, specifically, its relationship to urban-regional housing dynamics. This paper connects work in urban social science, urban and regional planning, and natural sciences to highlight the potential role of housing crises in driving displacement from the urban core to relatively more affordable exurbs, and with this, WUI growth. We analyze this relationship in California, which leads the nation in lack of affordable housing, scale of WUI growth, and many associated WUI hazards, including wildfire. We offer three related arguments: first, that California's affordable housing crisis, with its effect of driving migration to exurban areas, should be recognized as a significant urban form-related sustainability challenge; second, that to understand this challenge scholars must expand the spatial scale and analytic toolkit of both urban and WUI analysis through relational, mixed methods research; and third, that political and programmatic efforts to address California's housing crisis should undergird efforts to address WUI growth and climate change. Ultimately, we argue that expanding access to affordable urban housing can produce a more sustainable and just urban form that mitigates WUI-related climate and environmental impacts and reduces the vulnerability of growing numbers of WUI residents living in harm's way.},
}
@article {pmid39074269,
year = {2024},
author = {Thorne, KM and MacDonald, GM and Chavez, FP and Ambrose, RF and Barnard, PL},
title = {Significant challenges to the sustainability of the California coast considering climate change.},
journal = {Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America},
volume = {121},
number = {32},
pages = {e2310077121},
doi = {10.1073/pnas.2310077121},
pmid = {39074269},
issn = {1091-6490},
support = {N/A//DOI | U.S. Geological Survey (USGS)/ ; },
abstract = {Climate change is an existential threat to the environmental and socioeconomic sustainability of the coastal zone and impacts will be complex and widespread. Evidence from California and across the United States shows that climate change is impacting coastal communities and challenging managers with a plethora of stressors already present. Widespread action could be taken that would sustain California's coastal ecosystems and communities. In this perspective, we highlight the main threat to coastal sustainability: the compound effects of episodic events amplified with ongoing climate change, which will present unprecedented challenges to the state. We present two key challenges for California's sustainability in the coastal zone: 1) accelerating sea-level rise combined with storm impacts, and 2) continued warming of the oceans and marine heatwaves. Cascading effects from these types of compounding events will occur within the context of an already stressed system that has experienced extensive alterations due to intensive development, resource extraction and harvesting, spatial containment, and other human use pressures. There are critical components that could be used to address these immediate concerns, including comanagement strategies that include diverse groups and organizations, strategic planning integrated across large areas, rapid implementation of solutions, and a cohesive and policy relevant research agenda for the California coast. Much of this has been started in the state, but the scale could be increased, and timelines accelerated. The ideas and information presented here are intended to help expand discussions to sharpen the focus on how to encourage sustainability of California's iconic coastal region.},
}
@article {pmid39074267,
year = {2024},
author = {Power, ME and Chandra, S and Gleick, P and Dietrich, WE},
title = {Anticipating responses to climate change and planning for resilience in California's freshwater ecosystems.},
journal = {Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America},
volume = {121},
number = {32},
pages = {e2310075121},
doi = {10.1073/pnas.2310075121},
pmid = {39074267},
issn = {1091-6490},
support = {CZP EAR-1331940//National Science Foundation (NSF)/ ; ROL 1004895-01//National Science Foundation (NSF)/ ; },
mesh = {*Climate Change ; California ; *Ecosystem ; *Fresh Water ; Animals ; Wetlands ; Conservation of Natural Resources/methods ; Humans ; Lakes ; },
abstract = {As human-caused climate changes accelerate, California will experience hydrologic and temperature conditions different than any encountered in recorded history. How will these changes affect the state's freshwater ecosystems? Rivers, lakes, and wetlands are managed as a water resource, but they also support a complex web of life, ranging from bacteria, fungi, and algae to macrophytes, woody plants, invertebrates, fish, amphibians, reptiles, birds, and mammals. In much of the state, native freshwater organisms already struggle to survive massive water diversions and dams, deteriorating water quality, extensive land cover modification for agriculture and urban development, and invasions of exotic species. In the face of climate change, we need to expand efforts to recover degraded ecosystems and to protect the resilience, health, and viability of existing ecosystems. For this, more process-based understanding of river, lake, and wetlands ecosystems is needed to forecast how systems will respond to future climate change and to our interventions. This will require 1) expanding our ability to model mechanistically how freshwater biota and ecosystems respond to environmental change; 2) hypothesis-driven monitoring and field studies; 3) education and training to build research, practitioner, stewardship, and policy capabilities; and 4) developing tools and policies for building resilient ecosystems. A goals-driven, hypothesis-informed collaboration among tribes, state (and federal) agencies, nongovernmental organizations, academicians, and consultants is needed to accomplish these goals and to advance the skills and knowledge of the future workforce of practitioners, regulators, and researchers who must live with the climate changes that are already upon us and will intensify.},
}
@article {pmid39074266,
year = {2024},
author = {Pastor, M and Cha, JM and Méndez, M and Morello-Frosch, R},
title = {California dreaming: Why environmental justice is integral to the success of climate change policy.},
journal = {Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America},
volume = {121},
number = {32},
pages = {e2310073121},
doi = {10.1073/pnas.2310073121},
pmid = {39074266},
issn = {1091-6490},
support = {20224635-03//US Environmental Protection Agency/ ; },
abstract = {In the realm of climate policy, issues of environmental justice (EJ) are often treated as second-order affairs compared to overarching sustainability goals. We argue that EJ is in fact critical to successfully addressing our national and global climate challenges; indeed, centering equity amplifies the voices of the diverse constituencies most impacted by climate change and that are needed to build successful coalitions that shape and advance climate change policy. We illustrate this perspective by highlighting the experience of California and the contentious processes by which EJ became integrated into the state's climate action efforts. We examine the achievements and shortcomings of California's commitment to climate justice and discuss how lessons from the Golden State are influencing the evolution of current federal climate change policy.},
}
@article {pmid39070998,
year = {2024},
author = {Verma, P and Nair, GR},
title = {Serpents and thermometers: Connecting the dots between climate change and the growing menace of snakebites.},
journal = {Journal of family medicine and primary care},
volume = {13},
number = {7},
pages = {2797-2798},
pmid = {39070998},
issn = {2249-4863},
}
@article {pmid39070907,
year = {2024},
author = {Lin, X and Chang, B and Huang, Y and Jin, X},
title = {Predicting the impact of climate change and land use change on the potential distribution of two economic forest trees in Northeastern China.},
journal = {Frontiers in plant science},
volume = {15},
number = {},
pages = {1407867},
pmid = {39070907},
issn = {1664-462X},
abstract = {Young shoots of Aralia elata and young leaves of Eleutherococcus senticosus are two major non-timber forest products in northeastern China. However, human activities and climate change have resulted in serious threats to the habitats of two trees, which greatly limits resource conservation and exploitation of economic forest trees. We used the MaxEnt model to predict the suitable habitats of the two economic trees and analyzed the dominant factors affecting their distribution. The results showed that the suitable habitat areas of A. elata and E. senticosus in the current period were 159950 km[2] and 123449 km[2], respectively, and the suitable habitats of both economic forest trees were located in the eastern part of the northeast region. Climate factors (Annual precipitation, Precipitation Seasonality) and land use factors are important variables influencing changes in suitable habitat for both trees. With the change of climate and land use in the future, the overall trend of suitable habitat for both economic forest trees shows a northward and then a southward migration. These results may provide assistance in developing strategies for resource conservation and sustainable use of A. elata and E. senticosus, and we suggest that stable and suitable habitats should be selected as areas for in situ conservation and breeding of the two economic forest trees.},
}
@article {pmid39070777,
year = {2023},
author = {Fry, TL and Owens, LA and Ketz, AC and Atwood, TC and Dunay, E and Goldberg, TL},
title = {Serum Virome of Southern Beaufort Sea polar bears (Ursus maritimus) during a period of rapid climate change.},
journal = {Conservation physiology},
volume = {11},
number = {1},
pages = {coad054},
pmid = {39070777},
issn = {2051-1434},
abstract = {Climate change affects the behavior, physiology and life history of many Arctic wildlife species. It can also influence the distribution and ecology of infectious agents. The southern Beaufort Sea (SB) subpopulation of polar bears (Ursus maritimus) has experienced dramatic behavioral changes due to retreating sea ice and other climate-related factors, but the effects of these changes on physiology and infection remain poorly understood. Using serum from polar bears sampled between 2004 and 2015 and metagenomic DNA sequencing, we identified 48 viruses, all of the family Anelloviridae. Anelloviruses are small, ubiquitous infectious agents with circular single-stranded DNA genomes that are not known to cause disease but, in humans, covary in diversity and load with immunological compromise. We therefore examined the usefulness of anelloviruses as biomarkers of polar bear physiological stress related to climate and habitat use. Polar bear anelloviruses sorted into two distinct clades on a phylogenetic tree, both of which also contained anelloviruses of giant pandas (Ailuropoda melanoleuca), another ursid. Neither anellovirus diversity nor load were associated with any demographic variables, behavioral factors or direct physiological measures. However, pairwise genetic distances between anelloviruses were positively correlated with pairwise differences in sampling date, suggesting that the polar bear "anellome" is evolving over time. These findings suggest that anelloviruses are not a sensitive indicator of polar physiological stress, but they do provide a baseline for evaluating future changes to polar bear viromes.},
}
@article {pmid39070116,
year = {2024},
author = {Davies, DL and Lawal, A and Orji, AE and Tytherleigh, C and Walsh, K},
title = {Digital learning, face-to-face learning and climate change.},
journal = {Future healthcare journal},
volume = {11},
number = {3},
pages = {100156},
pmid = {39070116},
issn = {2514-6645},
abstract = {Debates about digital learning, face-to-face learning and blended learning often focus on their effectiveness in achieving a few core educational outcomes. The cost or convenience of using different methods to achieve certain outcomes have increasingly come into the educational framework over the past two decades. However, only rarely do educators or learners consider the climate footprint of their various activities. This is an important shortcoming, as all learning activities can contribute to our overall climate footprint. Providers of education should do their best to minimise the carbon footprint associated with their learning. But learners also have responsibility to ensure that how they access learning is also associated with minimal environmental cost. Both providers and learners should focus on activities that are likely to have the greatest impact. This is relevant both to face-to-face education and digital learning.},
}
@article {pmid39067588,
year = {2024},
author = {Ciceu, A and Bălăcenoiu, F and de Groot, M and Chakraborty, D and Avtzis, D and Barta, M and Blaser, S and Bracalini, M and Castagneyrol, B and Chernova, UA and Çota, E and Csóka, G and Dautbasic, M and Glavendekic, M and Gninenko, YI and Hoch, G and Hradil, K and Husemann, M and Meshkova, V and Mujezinovic, O and Mutun, S and Panzavolta, T and Paulin, M and Riba-Flinch, JM and Simov, N and Sotirovski, K and Vasilciuc, S and Zubrik, M and Schueler, S},
title = {The ongoing range expansion of the invasive oak lace bug across Europe: current occurrence and potential distribution under climate change.},
journal = {The Science of the total environment},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {174950},
doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.174950},
pmid = {39067588},
issn = {1879-1026},
abstract = {In recent years, the oak lace bug, Corythucha arcuata, has emerged as a significant threat to European oak forests. This species, native to North America, has in the last two decades rapidly extended its range in Europe, raising concerns about its potential impact on the continent's invaluable oak populations. To address this growing concern, we conducted an extensive study to assess the distribution, colonization patterns, and potential ecological niche of the oak lace bug in Europe. We gathered 1792 unique presence coordinates from 21 Eurasian countries, utilizing diverse sources such as research observations, citizen science initiatives, GBIF database, and social media reports. To delineate the realized niche and future distribution, we employed an ensemble species distribution modelling (SDM) framework. Two future greenhouse gas scenarios (RCP 4.5 and RCP 8.5) were considered across three-time intervals (2021-2040, 2061-2080, and 2081-2100) to project and evaluate the species' potential distribution in the future. Our analysis revealed that significant hotspots rich in host species occurrence for this invasive insect remain uninvaded so far, even within its suitable habitat. Furthermore, the native ranges of Turkey oak (Quercus cerris L.) and Hungarian oak (Quercus frainetto L.) species offer entirely suitable environments for the oak lace bug. In contrast, the pedunculate oak and sessile oak distribution ranges currently show only 40 % and 50 % suitability for colonization, respectively. However, our predictive models indicate a significant transformation in the habitat suitability of the oak lace bug, with suitability for these two oak species increasing by up to 90 %. This shift underlines an evolving landscape where the oak lace bug may exploit more of its available habitats than initially expected. It emphasises the pressing need for proactive measures to manage and stop its expanding presence, which may lead to a harmful impact on the oak population across the European landscape.},
}
@article {pmid39065469,
year = {2024},
author = {Bacelar, E and Pinto, T and Anjos, R and Morais, MC and Oliveira, I and Vilela, A and Cosme, F},
title = {Impacts of Climate Change and Mitigation Strategies for Some Abiotic and Biotic Constraints Influencing Fruit Growth and Quality.},
journal = {Plants (Basel, Switzerland)},
volume = {13},
number = {14},
pages = {},
pmid = {39065469},
issn = {2223-7747},
support = {UIDB/04033/2020, UIDB/00616/2020 and UIDP/00616/2020-DOI: 10.54499/UIDB/00616/2020//FCT-Portuguese Foundation for Science and Technology, under the projects UIDB/04033/2020, UIDB/00616/2020 and UIDP/00616/2020-DOI: 10.54499/UIDB/00616/2020/ ; },
abstract = {Factors such as extreme temperatures, light radiation, and nutritional condition influence the physiological, biochemical, and molecular processes associated with fruit development and its quality. Besides abiotic stresses, biotic constraints can also affect fruit growth and quality. Moreover, there can be interactions between stressful conditions. However, it is challenging to predict and generalize the risks of climate change scenarios on seasonal patterns of growth, development, yield, and quality of fruit species because their responses are often highly complex and involve changes at multiple levels. Advancements in genetic editing technologies hold great potential for the agricultural sector, particularly in enhancing fruit crop traits. These improvements can be tailored to meet consumer preferences, which is crucial for commercial success. Canopy management and innovative training systems are also key factors that contribute to maximizing yield efficiency and improving fruit quality, which are essential for the competitiveness of orchards. Moreover, the creation of habitats that support pollinators is a critical aspect of sustainable agriculture, as they play a significant role in the production of many crops, including fruits. Incorporating these strategies allows fruit growers to adapt to changing climate conditions, which is increasingly important for the stability of food production. By investing in these areas, fruit growers can stay ahead of challenges and opportunities in the industry, ultimately leading to increased success and profitability. In this review, we aim to provide an updated overview of the current knowledge on this important topic. We also provide recommendations for future research.},
}
@article {pmid39065441,
year = {2024},
author = {Matías, J and Rodríguez, MJ and Carrillo-Vico, A and Casals, J and Fondevilla, S and Haros, CM and Pedroche, J and Aparicio, N and Fernández-García, N and Aguiló-Aguayo, I and Soler-Rivas, C and Caballero, PA and Morte, A and Rico, D and Reguera, M and , },
title = {From 'Farm to Fork': Exploring the Potential of Nutrient-Rich and Stress-Resilient Emergent Crops for Sustainable and Healthy Food in the Mediterranean Region in the Face of Climate Change Challenges.},
journal = {Plants (Basel, Switzerland)},
volume = {13},
number = {14},
pages = {},
pmid = {39065441},
issn = {2223-7747},
support = {RED2022-134382-T//Agencia Estatal de Investigaci&#xf3;n/ ; },
abstract = {In the dynamic landscape of agriculture and food science, incorporating emergent crops appears as a pioneering solution for diversifying agriculture, unlocking possibilities for sustainable cultivation and nutritional bolstering food security, and creating economic prospects amid evolving environmental and market conditions with positive impacts on human health. This review explores the potential of utilizing emergent crops in Mediterranean environments under current climate scenarios, emphasizing the manifold benefits of agricultural and food system diversification and assessing the impact of environmental factors on their quality and consumer health. Through a deep exploration of the resilience, nutritional value, and health impacts of neglected and underutilized species (NUS) such as quinoa, amaranth, chia, moringa, buckwheat, millet, teff, hemp, or desert truffles, their capacity to thrive in the changing Mediterranean climate is highlighted, offering novel opportunities for agriculture and functional food development. By analysing how promoting agricultural diversification can enhance food system adaptability to evolving environmental conditions, fostering sustainability and resilience, we discuss recent findings that underscore the main benefits and limitations of these crops from agricultural, food science, and health perspectives, all crucial for responsible and sustainable adoption. Thus, by using a sustainable and holistic approach, this revision analyses how the integration of NUS crops into Mediterranean agrifood systems can enhance agriculture resilience and food quality addressing environmental, nutritional, biomedical, economic, and cultural dimensions, thereby mitigating the risks associated with monoculture practices and bolstering local economies and livelihoods under new climate scenarios.},
}
@article {pmid39065412,
year = {2024},
author = {Li, Y and Zhaxi, D and Yuan, L and Li, A and Li, J and Wang, J and Liu, X and Liu, Y},
title = {The Effects of Climate Change on the Distribution Pattern of Species Richness of Endemic Wetland Plants in the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau.},
journal = {Plants (Basel, Switzerland)},
volume = {13},
number = {14},
pages = {},
pmid = {39065412},
issn = {2223-7747},
abstract = {Wetland ecosystems in the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau (QTP), the region with the richest biodiversity and the most important ecological barrier function at high altitudes, are highly sensitive to global change, and wetland plants, which are important indicators of wetland ecosystem structure and function, are also threatened by wetland degradation. Therefore, a comprehensive study of changes in the geographical distribution pattern of plant diversity, as well as species loss and turnover of wetlands in the QTP in the context of global climate change is of great importance for the conservation and restoration of wetland ecosystems in the QTP. In this study, species turnover and loss of 395 endemic wetland plants of the QTP were predicted based on the SSP2-4.5 climate change scenarios. The results showed that there were interspecific differences in the effects of climate change on the potential distribution of species, and that most endemic wetland plants would experience range contraction. Under the climate change scenarios, the loss of suitable wetland plant habitat is expected to occur mainly in parts of the southern, north-central and north-western parts of the plateau, while the gain is mainly concentrated in parts of the western Sichuan Plateau, the Qilian Mountains, the Three Rivers Source Region and the northern Tibetan Plateau. Overlaying the analysis of priority protected areas with the established protected areas in the QTP has resulted in the following conservation gaps: the eastern Himalayan region, midstream of the Yarlung Zangbo River, the transition zone between the northern Tibetan Plateau and the Hengduan Mountains, Minshan-Qionglai mountain, Anyemaqen Mountains (southeast) to Bayankala (southeast) mountains, the southern foothills of the Qilian Mountains and the northern Tibetan Plateau region. In the future, the study of wetland plant diversity in the QTP and the optimisation of protected areas should focus on the conservation gaps. This study is of great importance for the study and conservation of wetland plant diversity in the QTP, and also provides a scientific basis for predicting the response of wetland plants to climate change in the QTP.},
}
@article {pmid39065356,
year = {2024},
author = {Riahinezhad, M and Esmizadeh, E and Lopez-Carreon, I and Gaur, A and Lu, H and Lacasse, MA},
title = {Crack Length of Elastomeric Sealants and Their Service Life in Contrasting Canadian Climates: Effects of Climate Change.},
journal = {Polymers},
volume = {16},
number = {14},
pages = {},
pmid = {39065356},
issn = {2073-4360},
abstract = {The longevity of polymer-based sealant and jointing products, including elastomers, significantly depends on the level of exposure to sunlight and joint movement. These factors are particularly crucial in the application of polymers in construction due to their susceptibility to degradation under environmental conditions. For instance, diurnal cycles of contraction and dilation, arising from daily temperature fluctuations, impose significant stress on sealants and joints, impacting their durability over time. The elastic nature of polymeric sealants enables them to endure these cyclic mechanical loads. Athough there is considerable information on sealant durability obtained from laboratory accelerated aging, there is limited knowledge about the effect of climatic factors using historical and projected weather data on the durability and expected service life of these products. This study employed the Shephard crack growth model to predict the performance of sealants in a Canadian context; the crack growth and time-to-failure of hypothetical silicone sealants were investigated across 564 locations, for which historical climate data were obtained from 1998 to 2017, including gridded reanalysis data for the period of 1836-2015. The historical climate data were classified into four climate categories, and crack growth was estimated based on historical climatic data within the valid range for the Shephard model, revealing that locations in colder climates with lower levels of precipitation typically exhibit higher cumulative crack growth. The impact of climatic variation and environmental stressors on the longevity of sealants in the context of climate change was also investigated using future projected data.},
}
@article {pmid39065248,
year = {2024},
author = {Sixto, M and Riobó, P and Rodríguez, F and Díaz, PA and Figueroa, RI},
title = {Climate Change Stressors, Phosphate Limitation, and High Irradiation Interact to Increase Alexandrium minutum Toxicity and Modulate Encystment Rates.},
journal = {Microorganisms},
volume = {12},
number = {7},
pages = {},
pmid = {39065248},
issn = {2076-2607},
support = {CTM2017-86066-R//MINECO Spain, RETOS Programme/ ; PID2021-125643OB-C22//Ministerio de Ciencia e Innovaci&#xf3;n, Spain/ ; EAPA 182/2016//EU-INTERREG Atlantic Area/ ; IN607A-2019/04//Galician Networks of Excellence from the Innovation Agency/ ; PIA project FB0001//Agencia Nacional de Investigaci&#xf3;n y Desarrollo, Chile/ ; },
abstract = {The changes in the cell physiology (growth rate, cell size, and cell DNA content), photosynthetic efficiency, toxicity, and sexuality under variable light and nutrient (phosphates) conditions were evaluated in cultures of the dinoflagellate Alexandrium minutum obtained from a red tide in the Ría de Vigo (NW Spain). The cells were grown at low (40 and 150 µE m[-2] s[-1]), moderate (400 µE m[-2] s[-1]), and high (800 µE m[-2] s[-1]) light intensities in a medium with phosphate (P+) and without (P-). Cultures were acclimated to the irradiance conditions for one week, and the experiment was run for ~1 month. The cell size and DNA content were monitored via flow cytometry. Two different clonal strains were employed as a monoculture (in a P- or P+ medium) or, to foster sexuality and resting cyst formation, as a mixed culture (only in a P- medium). A. minutum growth was favored by increasing light intensities until 400 µE m[-2] s[-1]. The DNA content analyses indicated the accumulation of S-phase cells at the highest light intensities (400 and 800 µE m[-2] s[-1]) and therefore the negative effects on cell cycle progression. Only when the cells were grown in a P- medium did higher light intensities trigger dose-dependent, significantly higher toxicities in all the A. minutum cultures. This result suggests that the toxicity level is responsive to the combined effects of (high) light and (low) P stress. The cell size was not significantly affected by the light intensity or P conditions. The optimal light intensity for resting cyst formation was 150 µE m[-2] s[-1], with higher irradiances reducing the total encystment yield. Encystment was not observed at the lowest light intensity tested, indicative of the key role of low-level irradiance in gamete and/or zygote formation, in contrast to the stressor effect of excessive irradiance on planozygote formation and/or encystment.},
}
@article {pmid39065076,
year = {2024},
author = {Mansfield, KL and Schilling, M and Sanders, C and Holding, M and Johnson, N},
title = {Arthropod-Borne Viruses of Human and Animal Importance: Overwintering in Temperate Regions of Europe during an Era of Climate Change.},
journal = {Microorganisms},
volume = {12},
number = {7},
pages = {},
pmid = {39065076},
issn = {2076-2607},
support = {SV3045//Department for Environment Food and Rural Affairs/ ; SE4116//Department for Environment Food and Rural Affairs/ ; SE0566//Department for Environment Food and Rural Affairs/ ; BBS/E/I/00007036/BB_/Biotechnology and Biological Sciences Research Council/United Kingdom ; },
abstract = {The past three decades have seen an increasing number of emerging arthropod-borne viruses in temperate regions This process is ongoing, driven by human activities such as inter-continental travel, combined with the parallel emergence of invasive arthropods and an underlying change in climate that can increase the risk of virus transmission and persistence. In addition, natural events such as bird migration can introduce viruses to new regions. Despite the apparent regularity of virus emergence, arthropod-borne viruses circulating in temperate regions face the challenge of the late autumn and winter months where the arthropod vector is inactive. Viruses therefore need mechanisms to overwinter or they will fail to establish in temperate zones. Prolonged survival of arthropod-borne viruses within the environment, outside of both vertebrate host and arthropod vector, is not thought to occur and therefore is unlikely to contribute to overwintering in temperate zones. One potential mechanism is continued infection of a vertebrate host. However, infection is generally acute, with the host either dying or producing an effective immune response that rapidly clears the virus. There are few exceptions to this, although prolonged infection associated with orbiviruses such as bluetongue virus occurs in certain mammals, and viraemic vertebrate hosts therefore can, in certain circumstances, provide a route for long-term viral persistence in the absence of active vectors. Alternatively, a virus can persist in the arthropod vector as a mechanism for overwintering. However, this is entirely dependent on the ecology of the vector itself and can be influenced by changes in the climate during the winter months. This review considers the mechanisms for virus overwintering in several key arthropod vectors in temperate areas. We also consider how this will be influenced in a warming climate.},
}
@article {pmid39063531,
year = {2024},
author = {Hale, RB and Bryant-Moore, K and Eichenberger, A},
title = {Climate Change and Health Risk Perceptions of Arkansas Small Farmers through the Application of the Health Belief Model.},
journal = {International journal of environmental research and public health},
volume = {21},
number = {7},
pages = {},
pmid = {39063531},
issn = {1660-4601},
support = {U54-OH00754//Southwest Center for Agricultural Health, Injury Prevention, and Education through Cooperative Agreement/ ; },
mesh = {Humans ; *Climate Change ; Arkansas ; *Farmers/psychology/statistics &amp; numerical data ; Male ; Adult ; Cross-Sectional Studies ; Middle Aged ; Female ; Health Belief Model ; Health Status ; Young Adult ; Agriculture ; Health Knowledge, Attitudes, Practice ; },
abstract = {Climate change poses health risks to Arkansas small farmers. Farmers face an increased risk of heat-related illnesses (e.g., heat exhaustion, cerebral vascular accidents, and cardiovascular issues) and work-related injuries, death, and mental health conditions due to climate change. This cross-sectional survey employed the health belief model (HBM) as its theoretical framework. This study aimed to assess the health status of small farmers, climate change beliefs, adaptive agricultural practices, and the perceived effects of climate change on health. Study data were collected using non-probability sampling methods from small farmers (n = 72) with a gross farm income of < USD 250,000. The study findings show that 93% of participants reported good-excellent health, 69% believe the climate is changing and getting warmer, 58.3% believe people are responsible for the changes in our climate, and 75% believe the changing climate impacts farmers. Among the HBM predictive variables, participants reported self-efficacy (50%), perceived susceptibility (48.6%), and perceived severity (43%). Only 16.7% of farmers reported believing they have all the information needed to prepare for climate-related health impacts. This study suggests small farmers have protective factors and adaptive capacity, including health status, income, and education levels, but believe they lack the information necessary to protect their health from climate change.},
}
@article {pmid39063473,
year = {2024},
author = {Tomassini, L and Lancia, M and Gambelunghe, A and Zahar, A and Pini, N and Gambelunghe, C},
title = {Exploring the Nexus of Climate Change and Substance Abuse: A Scoping Review.},
journal = {International journal of environmental research and public health},
volume = {21},
number = {7},
pages = {},
pmid = {39063473},
issn = {1660-4601},
mesh = {*Climate Change ; *Substance-Related Disorders/epidemiology ; Humans ; },
abstract = {INTRODUCTION: The increase in average air temperature and multiple extreme weather events, such as heatwaves and droughts, pose significant health risks to humans. This scoping review aims to examine the current state of the existing literature concerning the potential relationship between substance abuse and climate change, along with the aspects it encompasses.<br><br>MATERIAL AND METHODS: The review followed PRISMA guidelines for methodological rigor, aiming to identify studies on drug abuse. Searches were conducted across the primary databases using specific search strings. Quality assessment involved evaluating the research question's clarity, search strategy transparency, consistency in applying the inclusion/exclusion criteria, and reliability of data extraction.<br><br>RESULTS: Most studies were conducted in the USA. They included observational and retrospective quantitative studies, as well as qualitative and prospective observational ones. Research examined the correlation between extreme weather and some substance abuse. All studies analyzed the adverse effects of climate change, especially heatwaves, on both physiological and pathological levels.<br><br>CONCLUSIONS: The scoping review notes the scarcity of studies about the correlation between substance abuse and climate change, and emphasizes the threats faced by individuals with substance abuse and mental health disorders due to climate change.},
}
@article {pmid39063403,
year = {2024},
author = {Rizzo Pesci, N and Teobaldi, E and Maina, G and Rosso, G},
title = {Climate Change and Psychiatry: The Correlation between the Mean Monthly Temperature and Admissions to an Acute Inpatient Unit.},
journal = {International journal of environmental research and public health},
volume = {21},
number = {7},
pages = {},
doi = {10.3390/ijerph21070826},
pmid = {39063403},
issn = {1660-4601},
abstract = {BACKGROUND: Psychiatric disorders are large contributors to the global disease burden, but research on the impact of climate change on them is limited. Our aim is to investigate the correlation between temperature and exacerbations of psychiatric disorders to help inform clinical management and future public health policies.<br><br>METHODS: Temperature records for the summer months from 2013 to 2022 were obtained from the meteorological station of the Department of Physics of Turin University. Data on patients admitted to the acute psychiatric unit were extracted from registries of San Luigi Gonzaga University Hospital (Turin, Italy). Regression analyses were used to investigate the correlation between temperature and number of admissions and to test for confounding variables.<br><br>RESULTS: A total of 1600 admissions were recorded. The monthly temperature and number of admissions were directly correlated (p = 0.0020). The correlation was significant for the subgroup of admissions due to Bipolar Disorders (p = 0.0011), but not for schizophrenia or major depressive disorder. After multiple regression analyses, the effect of temperature remained significant (p = 0.0406).<br><br>CONCLUSIONS: These results confirm the impact of meteorological factors on mental disorders, particularly on BD. This can contribute to personalised follow-up and efficient resource allocation and poses grounds for studies into etiopathological mechanisms and therapeutic implications.},
}
@article {pmid39063092,
year = {2024},
author = {Stojchevski, R and Chandrasekaran, P and Hadzi-Petrushev, N and Mladenov, M and Avtanski, D},
title = {Adipose Tissue Dysfunction Related to Climate Change and Air Pollution: Understanding the Metabolic Consequences.},
journal = {International journal of molecular sciences},
volume = {25},
number = {14},
pages = {},
doi = {10.3390/ijms25147849},
pmid = {39063092},
issn = {1422-0067},
abstract = {Obesity, a global pandemic, poses a major threat to healthcare systems worldwide. Adipose tissue, the energy-storing organ during excessive energy intake, functions as a thermoregulator, interacting with other tissues to regulate systemic metabolism. Specifically, brown adipose tissue (BAT) is positively associated with an increased resistance to obesity, due to its thermogenic function in the presence of uncoupled protein 1 (UCP1). Recently, studies on climate change and the influence of environmental pollutants on energy homeostasis and obesity have drawn increasing attention. The reciprocal relationship between increasing adiposity and increasing temperatures results in reduced adaptive thermogenesis, decreased physical activity, and increased carbon footprint production. In addition, the impact of climate change makes obese individuals more prone to developing type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM). An impaired response to heat stress, compromised vasodilation, and sweating increase the risk of diabetes-related comorbidities. This comprehensive review provides information about the effects of climate change on obesity and adipose tissue, the risk of T2DM development, and insights into the environmental pollutants causing adipose tissue dysfunction and obesity. The effects of altered dietary patterns on adiposity and adaptation strategies to mitigate the detrimental effects of climate change are also discussed.},
}
@article {pmid39061532,
year = {2024},
author = {Xu, M and Feng, W and Liu, Z and Li, Z and Song, X and Zhang, H and Zhang, C and Yang, L},
title = {Seasonal-Spatial Distribution Variations and Predictions of Loliolus beka and Loliolus uyii in the East China Sea Region: Implications from Climate Change Scenarios.},
journal = {Animals : an open access journal from MDPI},
volume = {14},
number = {14},
pages = {},
doi = {10.3390/ani14142070},
pmid = {39061532},
issn = {2076-2615},
support = {2022TD01//the Central Public-Interest Scientific Institution Basal Research Fund/ ; },
abstract = {Global climate change profoundly impacts the East China Sea ecosystem and poses a major challenge to fishery management in this region. In addition, closely related species with low catches are often not distinguished in fishery production and relevant data are commonly merged in statistics and fishing logbooks, making it challenging to accurately predict their habitat distribution range. Here, merged fisheries-independent data of the closely related squid Loliolus beka (Sasaki, 1929) and Loliolus uyii (Wakiya and Ishikawa, 1921) were used to explore the construction and prediction performance of species distribution models. Data in 2018 to 2019 from the southern Yellow and East China Seas were used to identify the seasonal-spatial distribution characteristics of both species, revealing a boundary line at 29.00° N for L. uyii during the autumn, with the highest average individual weight occurring during the summer, with both larvae and juveniles occurring during the autumn. Thus, the life history of L. uyii can be divided into winter-spring nursery and summer-autumn spawning periods. L. beka showed a preference for inshore areas (15-60 m) during the summer and offshore areas (32.00-78.00 m) during the winter. High-value areas of both species included inshore areas of the southern Yellow and mid-East China Seas during the autumn, enlarging during the spring to include central areas of the survey region, before significantly decreasing during the summer. Therefore, this study provides both a novel perspective for modeling biological habitat distribution with limited data and a scientific basis for the adjustment of fishery resource management and conservation measures in the context of climate change.},
}
@article {pmid39059663,
year = {2024},
author = {Li, N and Zhao, Y and Han, J and Yang, Q and Liang, J and Liu, X and Wang, Y and Huang, Z},
title = {Impacts of future climate change on rice yield based on crop model simulation-A meta-analysis.},
journal = {The Science of the total environment},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {175038},
doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.175038},
pmid = {39059663},
issn = {1879-1026},
abstract = {Rice is one of the world's major food crops. Changes in major climatic factors such as temperature, rainfall, solar radiation and carbon dioxide (CO2) concentration have an important impact on rice growth and yield. However, many of the current studies that predict the impact of future climate change on rice yield are affected by uncertainties such as climate models, climate scenarios, model parameters and structure, and showing great differences. This study was based on the assessment results of the impact of climate change on rice in the future of 111 published literature, and comprehensively analyzed the impact and uncertainty of climate change on rice yield. This study utilized local polynomial (Loess) regression analysis to investigate the impact of changes in mean temperature, minimum temperature, maximum temperature, solar radiation, and precipitation on relative rice yield variations within a complete dataset. A linear mixed-effects model was used to quantitatively analyze the relationships between the restricted datasets. The qualitative analysis based on the entire dataset revealed that rice yields decreased with increasing average temperature. The precipitation changed between 0 and 25 %, it was conducive to the stable production of rice, and when the precipitation changed >25 %, it would cause rice yield reduction. The change of solar radiation was less than -1.15 %, the rice yield increases with the increase of solar radiation, and when the change of solar radiation exceeds -1.15 %, the rice yield decreases. Elevated CO2 concentrations and management practices could mitigate the negative effects of climate change. The results of a quantitative analysis utilizing the mixed effects model revealed that average temperature, precipitation, CO2 concentration, and adaptation methods all had a substantial impact on rice production, and elevated CO2 concentrations and management practices could exert positive influences on rice production. For every 1 °C and 1 % increase in average temperature and precipitation, rice yield decreased by 3.85 % and 0.56 %, respectively. For every 100 ppm increase in CO2 concentration, rice yield increased by 7.1 %. The variation of rice yield under different climate models, study sites and climate scenarios had significant variability. Elevated CO2 concentrations and management practices could compensate for the negative effects of climate change, benefiting rice production. This study comprehensively collected and analyzed a wide range of literature and research, which provides an in-depth understanding of the impacts of climate change on rice production and informs future research and policy development.},
}
@article {pmid39056731,
year = {2024},
author = {Huang, Y and Li, T and Chen, W and Zhang, Y and Xu, Y and Guo, T and Wang, S and Liu, J and Qin, Y},
title = {Analysis of the Distribution Pattern of Phenacoccus manihoti in China under Climate Change Based on the Biomod2 Model.},
journal = {Biology},
volume = {13},
number = {7},
pages = {},
doi = {10.3390/biology13070538},
pmid = {39056731},
issn = {2079-7737},
support = {2023YFC2605200//National Key R&amp;D Program of China/ ; 32202288//National Natural Science Foundation of China/ ; 6232023//Beijing Natural Science Foundation/ ; },
abstract = {The changing global climate has significantly impacted the spread of plant pests. The cassava mealybug (Phenacoccus manihoti) is among the most dangerous quarantine pests affecting cassavas worldwide, causing substantial losses in agricultural production and food security across several regions. Although China is currently free of the cassava mealybug, its proximity to affected countries and extensive trade with these regions necessitate a detailed understanding of the pest's distribution pattern and dynamic ecological niche changes. Using the Biomod2 model, we selected two historical climate scenarios and two future climate scenarios (SSP1-2.6 and SSP5-8.5) to investigate the distribution patterns, potential habitats, distribution centers, and dynamic ecological niches of cassava mealybugs in China. Key environmental variables influencing the distribution were identified, including bio4, bio8, bio12, bio18, and bio19. The potential habitat of cassava mealybugs is mainly located in several provinces in southern China. In the future, the suitable habitat is projected to expand slightly under the influence of climate change, maintaining the overall trend, but the distribution center of suitable areas will shift northward. Dynamic ecological niche prediction results indicate the potential for further expansion; however, the ecological niches may be unequal and dissimilar in the invaded areas. The predictions could serve as a valuable reference for early warning systems and management strategies to control the introduction of cassava mealybugs.},
}
@article {pmid39056675,
year = {2024},
author = {Li, Y and Guo, M and Jiang, J and Dai, R and Rebi, A and Shi, Z and Mao, A and Zheng, J and Zhou, J},
title = {Predicting Climate Change Impact on the Habitat Suitability of the Schistosoma Intermediate Host Oncomelania hupensis in the Yangtze River Economic Belt of China.},
journal = {Biology},
volume = {13},
number = {7},
pages = {},
doi = {10.3390/biology13070480},
pmid = {39056675},
issn = {2079-7737},
support = {3227130539//National Natural Science Foundation of China/ ; 41071334//National Natural Science Foundation of China/ ; },
abstract = {Oncomelania hupensis is the exclusive intermediary host of Schistosoma japonicum in China. The alteration of O. hupensis habitat and population distribution directly affects the safety of millions of individuals residing in the Yangtze River Economic Belt (YREB) and the ecological stability of Yangtze River Basin. Therefore, it is crucial to analyze the influence of climate change on the distribution of O. hupensis in order to achieve accurate control over its population. This study utilized the MaxEnt model to forecast possible snail habitats by utilizing snail distribution data obtained from historical literature. The following outcomes were achieved: The primary ecological factors influencing the distribution of O. hupensis are elevation, minimum temperature of the coldest month, and precipitation of wettest month. Furthermore, future climate scenarios indicate a decrease in the distribution area and a northward shift of the distribution center for O. hupensis; specifically, those in the upstream will move northeast, while those in the midstream and downstream will move northwest. These changes in suitable habitat area, the average migration distance of distribution centers across different climate scenarios, time periods, and sub-basins within the YREB, result in uncertainty. This study offers theoretical justification for the prevention and control of O. hupensis along the YREB.},
}
@article {pmid39054995,
year = {2024},
author = {Sacco, MA and Gualtieri, S and Tarzia, P and Verrina, MC and Coscarelli, P and Aquila, I},
title = {The impact of climate change on the crime scene and forensic sciences.},
journal = {La Clinica terapeutica},
volume = {175},
number = {Suppl 1(4)},
pages = {121-124},
doi = {10.7417/CT.2024.5098},
pmid = {39054995},
issn = {1972-6007},
mesh = {*Climate Change ; *Forensic Sciences ; Humans ; Animals ; Global Warming ; },
abstract = {BACKGROUND: Climate change causes great impact on ambient temperatures. In forensic pathology, temperature has always been an important variable to determine numerous thanatodiagnostic and thanatochronological parameters, as crucial elements to make scientifically valid forensic conclusions. The aim of this work is to describe the impact that climate change is having on the forensic science and crime scene analysis.<br><br>MATERIALS AND METHODS: A literature review was carried out on the search engines Pubmed, Scopus and Google Scholar. The keywords "climate change" AND "forensic" were used.<br><br>CONCLUSION: Climate change is having a significant impact on forensic science in several areas. Among these it is necessary to consider: 1) global warming and crime scenes: high temperature of the planet causes frequent extreme meteorological events in multiple periods of the year; 2) Relationship between climate and PMI (Post Mortem Interval): Temperature influences the rapidity of putrefaction; 3) Relationship between climate and fauna: global warming is influencing the geographical distribution of animal species, with real migrations of species. Fauna has a decisive impact in the forensic field (as in the case of entomology) creating new models of animal-cadaver interaction; 4) Relationship between climate and forensic botany: Climate change influences the flowering and fruiting times of plants, impacting knowledge on botany used in the forensic field. It is essential to adopt prevention measures to address the emerging challenges.},
}
@article {pmid39054867,
year = {2024},
author = {Tang, W and Liu, S and Jing, M and Healey, JR and Smith, MN and Farooq, TH and Zhu, L and Zhao, S and Wu, Y},
title = {Vegetation growth responses to climate change: A cross-scale analysis of biological memory and time lags using tree ring and satellite data.},
journal = {Global change biology},
volume = {30},
number = {7},
pages = {e17441},
doi = {10.1111/gcb.17441},
pmid = {39054867},
issn = {1365-2486},
support = {U20A2089//National Natural Science Foundation of China/ ; 2023CX01015//Scientific Innovation Fund for Post-graduates of Central South University of Forestry and Technology/ ; IEC\NSFC\223567//Royal Society International Exchanges grant/ ; Xiangzizike20230138ST//Natural Resources Science and Technology Project of Hunan Province/ ; CX20230751//Postgraduate Scientific Research Innovation Project of Hunan Province/ ; BK20220019//Natural Science Foundation of Jiangsu Province of China/ ; },
mesh = {*Climate Change ; *Trees/growth &amp; development/physiology ; *Photosynthesis ; Liquidambar/growth &amp; development/physiology ; Temperature ; Plant Leaves/growth &amp; development/physiology ; Ecosystem ; Satellite Imagery ; },
abstract = {Vegetation growth is affected by past growth rates and climate variability. However, the impacts of vegetation growth carryover (VGC; biotic) and lagged climatic effects (LCE; abiotic) on tree stem radial growth may be decoupled from photosynthetic capacity, as higher photosynthesis does not always translate into greater growth. To assess the interaction of tree-species level VGC and LCE with ecosystem-scale photosynthetic processes, we utilized tree-ring width (TRW) data for three tree species: Castanopsis eyrei (CE), Castanea henryi (CH, Chinese chinquapin), and Liquidambar formosana (LF, Chinese sweet gum), along with satellite-based data on canopy greenness (EVI, enhanced vegetation index), leaf area index (LAI), and gross primary productivity (GPP). We used vector autoregressive models, impulse response functions, and forecast error variance decomposition to analyze the duration, intensity, and drivers of VGC and of LCE response to precipitation, temperature, and sunshine duration. The results showed that at the tree-species level, VGC in TRW was strongest in the first year, with an average 77% reduction in response intensity by the fourth year. VGC and LCE exhibited species-specific patterns; compared to CE and CH (diffuse-porous species), LF (ring-porous species) exhibited stronger VGC but weaker LCE. For photosynthetic capacity at the ecosystem scale (EVI, LAI, and GPP), VGC and LCE occurred within 96 days. Our study demonstrates that VGC effects play a dominant role in vegetation function and productivity, and that vegetation responses to previous growth states are decoupled from climatic variability. Additionally, we discovered the possibility for tree-ring growth to be decoupled from canopy condition. Investigating VGC and LCE of multiple indicators of vegetation growth at multiple scales has the potential to improve the accuracy of terrestrial global change models.},
}
@article {pmid39049861,
year = {2024},
author = {Mansinhos, I and Gonçalves, S and Romano, A},
title = {How climate change-related abiotic factors affect the production of industrial valuable compounds in Lamiaceae plant species: a review.},
journal = {Frontiers in plant science},
volume = {15},
number = {},
pages = {1370810},
pmid = {39049861},
issn = {1664-462X},
abstract = {The interest in medicinal and aromatic plants (MAPs) has increased significantly in recent years, driven by the growing demand for natural products. MAPs are a valuable source of secondary metabolites, which renders them useful to a number of industries, including cosmetics, pharmaceuticals, and food. The Lamiaceae family includes economically important MAPs that produce valuable secondary metabolites such as essential oils (EOs) and phenolic compounds (PCs). The quantity and quality of these secondary metabolites are affected by abiotic stress factors. In a climate change scenario, the Lamiaceae is one of the most affected families, especially due to its wide distribution in the Mediterranean region. In the present study, the most common climate-related environmental stress factors, namely, drought, salinity, temperature, light, and heavy metals, were reviewed and discussed in order to assess their impact on the chemical profiles of EOs and PCs, as well as on the biological properties (antioxidant, antibacterial, antimelanogenic, pest-repellent, and UV-protective) of Lamiaceae species. It can be posited that these stresses typically act as a catalyst for the secondary metabolism of these plants, resulting in increased production of EO compounds (e.g., 1,8-cineole, linalool, camphor, borneol, and limonene) and PCs (e.g., rosmarinic, caffeic, and salvianolic acids) and subsequent enhancement of their biological activities. In view of the industrial applications of these bioactive compounds, it is of interest to explore the changes in secondary metabolism induced by environmental factors as it is possible to increase the accumulation of valuable secondary metabolites.},
}
@article {pmid39049577,
year = {2024},
author = {Austin, MW and Smith, AB and Olsen, KM and Hoch, PC and Krakos, KN and Schmocker, SP and Miller-Struttmann, NE},
title = {Climate change increases flowering duration, driving phenological reassembly and elevated co-flowering richness.},
journal = {The New phytologist},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1111/nph.19994},
pmid = {39049577},
issn = {1469-8137},
support = {DBI-1851727//Division of Biological Infrastructure/ ; },
abstract = {Changes to flowering phenology are a key response of plants to climate change. However, we know little about how these changes alter temporal patterns of reproductive overlap (i.e. phenological reassembly). We combined long-term field (1937-2012) and herbarium records (1850-2017) of 68 species in a flowering plant community in central North America and used a novel application of Bayesian quantile regression to estimate changes to flowering season length, altered richness and composition of co-flowering assemblages, and whether phenological shifts exhibit seasonal trends. Across the past century, phenological shifts increased species' flowering durations by 11.5 d on average, which resulted in 94% of species experiencing greater flowering overlap at the community level. Increases to co-flowering were particularly pronounced in autumn, driven by a greater tendency of late season species to shift the ending of flowering later and to increase flowering duration. Our results demonstrate that species-level phenological shifts can result in considerable phenological reassembly and highlight changes to flowering duration as a prominent, yet underappreciated, effect of climate change. The emergence of an autumn co-flowering mode emphasizes that these effects may be season-dependent.},
}
@article {pmid39048656,
year = {2024},
author = {Martes, L and Pfleiderer, P and Köhl, M and Sillmann, J},
title = {Using climate envelopes and earth system model simulations for assessing climate change induced forest vulnerability.},
journal = {Scientific reports},
volume = {14},
number = {1},
pages = {17076},
pmid = {39048656},
issn = {2045-2322},
support = {390683824//Deutsche Forschungsgemeinschaft/ ; },
abstract = {Changing climatic conditions threaten forest ecosystems. Drought, disease and infestation, are leading to forest die-offs which cause substantial economic and ecological losses. In central Europe, this is especially relevant for commercially important coniferous tree species. This study uses climate envelope exceedance (CEE) to approximate species risk under different future climate scenarios. To achieve this, we used current species presence-absence and historical climate data, coupled with future climate scenarios from various Earth System Models. Climate scenarios tended towards drier and warmer conditions, causing strong CEEs especially for spruce. However, we show that annual averages of temperature and precipitation obscure climate extremes. Including climate extremes reveals a broader increase in CEEs across all tree species. Our study shows that the consideration of climate extremes, which cannot be adequately reflected in annual averages, leads to a different assessment of the risk of forests and thus the options for adapting to climate change.},
}
@article {pmid39047825,
year = {2024},
author = {Wang, Y and Cai, H and Yan, Y and Wang, B and Pan, H and Zhang, P and Li, B and Zhao, T},
title = {Regime shifts in the thermal dynamics of offshore China due to accelerated global warming.},
journal = {The Science of the total environment},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {174882},
doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.174882},
pmid = {39047825},
issn = {1879-1026},
abstract = {Thermal dynamics play a pivotal role in offshore ecosystems, influencing a multitude of ecological and biogeochemical processes. Assessing how water temperature (WT) responds to climate change is vital for the sustainable development of marine ecosystems. Despite the scarcity of long-term sea surface temperature (SST) data, this study reconstructs SSTs from 1973 to 2020 in China's coastal zones using the data-driven Air2water model. A probabilistic approach was applied to investigate the joint dependency structures between air temperature (AT) and WT at offshore oceanic stations in China, focusing on variations during periods of decelerated and accelerated warming. The results indicate that the Air2water model performs well in reconstructing SSTs of the coastal zone of China. Furthermore, the joint probability of AT-WT events, characterized by bimodal distributions, tends to increase during accelerated warming. This suggests intensified extreme SST events in the coastal zone of China due to global warming, with the significant warming primarily related with regional oscillations, atmospheric dynamics, and the complex temperature trends in the regional marine environment. These findings highlight the escalating impact of global warming on marine ecosystems in China's coastal regions, underscoring the urgency of developing adaptive strategies to mitigate these effects.},
}
@article {pmid39042453,
year = {2024},
author = {Bhawra, J and Elsahli, N and Patel, J},
title = {Applying Digital Technology to Understand Human Experiences of Climate Change Impacts on Food Security and Mental Health: Scoping Review.},
journal = {JMIR public health and surveillance},
volume = {10},
number = {},
pages = {e54064},
doi = {10.2196/54064},
pmid = {39042453},
issn = {2369-2960},
mesh = {*Climate Change ; Humans ; *Food Security/statistics &amp; numerical data/methods ; *Mental Health/statistics &amp; numerical data ; *Digital Technology ; Mobile Applications/statistics &amp; numerical data ; },
abstract = {BACKGROUND: The global impact of climate change ranges from intense heatwaves to extreme weather events that endanger entire ecosystems and people's way of life. Adverse climate change events place undue stress on food and health systems, with consequences for human food security and mental health status. Ubiquitous digital devices, such as smartphones, have the potential to manage existing and emerging climate-related crises, given their ability to enable rapid response, instant communication, and knowledge sharing.<br><br>OBJECTIVE: This scoping review aimed to identify digital apps being used to capture or address climate change impacts on food security and mental health to inform the development of a digital citizen science initiative.<br><br>METHODS: A scoping review was conducted using 3 peer-reviewed databases (PubMed, IEEE Xplore, and Web of Science) and manual gray literature searches of relevant organizational (ie, governmental and nonprofit) websites to identify articles and reports published between January 2012 and July 2023. Three separate searches were conducted in each database to identify digital apps focused on climate change and (1) food security, (2) mental health, and (3) food security and mental health. Two reviewers conducted initial screening, with a third reviewer resolving any discrepancies. Articles focused on climate change impacts on wildlife or agriculture (ie, not human food security) were excluded. Full-text screening was conducted for shortlisted articles, and a final data abstraction table was generated, summarizing key app features, contextual factors, and participant involvement.<br><br>RESULTS: From the 656 records screened, 14 digital apps met the inclusion criteria. The food security apps (n=7, 50%) aimed to capture traditional knowledge to preserve food systems, conduct food security assessments, and aid users in decreasing food insecurity risk. The mental health apps (n=7, 50%) assessed climate change-related stress and provided users with coping strategies following adverse weather events. No digital apps examined the intersection of climate change, food security, and mental health. Key app features included user-to-user communication (n=5, 36%), knowledge databases (n=5, 36%), data collection and analysis (n=3, 21%), gamification (n=1, 7%), and educational resources (n=2, 14%) to address climate change impacts on food security or mental health. In total, 3 approaches to participant involvement were used across studies, including contributory (n=1, 7%), collaborative (n=1, 7%), and cocreative (n=1, 7%) approaches, to ensure the relevance and use of digital apps.<br><br>CONCLUSIONS: Most digital apps identified provided a service to citizens to either prevent adverse climate change-related health impacts or manage these effects following an acute event or a natural disaster. The capacity of ubiquitous digital tools to enable near real-time communication, the involvement of various stakeholder groups, and their ability to share relevant educational resources in a timely manner are important for developing tailored climate change adaptation and mitigation strategies across jurisdictions.},
}
@article {pmid39040977,
year = {2024},
author = {Loud, ES and Woolf, GR and Ralph, A and Gadhia, T and Navaratnam, AMD and Watson, L and McGushin, A and Clissold, E and Hilton, B},
title = {Climate change and public health: An evaluation framework for local government.},
journal = {Public health in practice (Oxford, England)},
volume = {8},
number = {},
pages = {100524},
pmid = {39040977},
issn = {2666-5352},
abstract = {OBJECTIVES: To develop and pilot an evaluation framework for assessing the engagement of local government public health teams in England on climate change and sustainability. These teams are uniquely positioned to address local health impacts of climate change and promote health co-benefits of mitigation. No statutory framework currently exists to support their engagement in this agenda.<br><br>STUDY DESIGN: Literature review and two cross sectional surveys.<br><br>METHODS: A group of public health professionals conducted a literature review and agreed on criteria based on statutory responsibilities and remit of these teams, available information, and opportunities for local government action. With the resulting framework, this group evaluated all 11 local governments in the East of England region, and then conducted a follow-up survey to assess the framework's impact and acceptability.<br><br>RESULTS: An evaluation framework was developed with 21 criteria in two sections. The first assessed overall local government action and leadership in climate change and sustainability, to understand the context in which the public health team was situated. The second assessed the climate change related actions undertaken by the public health team.All 11 local governments in the East of England region completed the evaluation. Results indicated inconsistencies in local public health team action on and engagement with climate change and health. Ten local governments completed the follow-up survey on acceptability and impact, reporting that the evaluation was easy to complete. Seven out of ten respondents found that the evaluation had influenced change or reflection within their organisation, for example through identifying gaps and prompting more collaboration between teams.<br><br>CONCLUSIONS: This evaluation framework is a useful and acceptable tool to assess local government public health engagement and leadership on climate change and sustainability. If used more widely, it could help to support public health teams to advance much-needed action in this area.},
}
@article {pmid39040812,
year = {2024},
author = {Ge, X and Newman, JA and Griswold, CK},
title = {Geographic variation in evolutionary rescue under climate change in a crop pest-predator system.},
journal = {Evolutionary applications},
volume = {17},
number = {7},
pages = {e13750},
pmid = {39040812},
issn = {1752-4571},
abstract = {Species distribution models (SDMs) are often built upon the "niche conservatism" assumption, such that they ignore the possibility of "evolutionary rescue" and may underestimate species' future range limits under climate change. We select aphids and ladybirds as model species and develop an eco-evolutionary model to explore evolutionary rescue in a predator-prey system under climate change. We model the adaptive change of species' thermal performances, accounting for biotic interactions. Our study suggests that, without considering evolutionary adaptation, the warming climate will result in a reduction in aphid populations and the extinction of ladybirds in large parts of the United States. However, when incorporating evolutionary adaptation into the model, aphids can adapt to climate change, whereas ladybirds demonstrate geographic variation in their evolutionary rescue potential. Specifically, ladybirds in southern regions are more likely to be rescued than those in the north. In certain northern regions, ladybirds do not avoid extinction due to severe warming trends and seasonality of the climate. While higher warming trends do prompt stronger evolutionary changes in phenotype, they also lead to reduced aphid population abundance such that ecology constrains ladybird population growth. Higher seasonality induces an ecological effect by limiting the length of reproductive season, thereby reducing the capacity for evolutionary rescue. Together, these findings reveal the complex interplay between ecological and evolutionary dynamics in the context of evolutionary adaptation to climate change.},
}
@article {pmid39039551,
year = {2024},
author = {Spanos, S and Dammery, G and Pagano, L and Ellis, LA and Fisher, G and Smith, CL and Foo, D and Braithwaite, J},
title = {Learning health systems on the front lines to strengthen care against future pandemics and climate change: a rapid review.},
journal = {BMC health services research},
volume = {24},
number = {1},
pages = {829},
pmid = {39039551},
issn = {1472-6963},
mesh = {Humans ; *Climate Change ; *Pandemics ; *Primary Health Care/organization &amp; administration ; *Learning Health System/organization &amp; administration ; Emergency Service, Hospital/organization &amp; administration ; COVID-19/epidemiology ; },
abstract = {BACKGROUND: An essential component of future-proofing health systems against future pandemics and climate change is strengthening the front lines of care: principally, emergency departments and primary care settings. To achieve this, these settings can adopt learning health system (LHS) principles, integrating data, evidence, and experience to continuously improve care delivery. This rapid review aimed to understand the ways in which LHS principles have been applied to primary care and emergency departments, the extent to which LHS approaches have been adopted in these key settings, and the factors that affect their adoption.<br><br>METHODS: Three academic databases (Embase, Scopus, and PubMed) were searched for full text articles reporting on LHSs in primary care and/or emergency departments published in the last five years. Articles were included if they had a primary focus on LHSs in primary care settings (general practice, allied health, multidisciplinary primary care, and community-based care) and/or emergency care settings. Data from included articles were catalogued and synthesised according to the modified Institute of Medicine's five-component framework for LHSs (science and informatics, patient-clinician partnerships, incentives, continuous learning culture, and structure and governance).<br><br>RESULTS: Thirty-seven articles were included, 32 of which reported LHSs in primary care settings and seven of which reported LHSs in emergency departments. Science and informatics was the most commonly reported LHS component, followed closely by continuous learning culture and structure and governance. Most articles (n&#x2009;=&#x2009;30) reported on LHSs that had been adopted, and many of the included articles (n&#x2009;=&#x2009;17) were descriptive reports of LHS approaches.<br><br>CONCLUSIONS: Developing LHSs at the front lines of care is essential for future-proofing against current and new threats to health system sustainability, such as pandemic- and climate change-induced events. Limited research has examined the application of LHS concepts to emergency care settings. Implementation science should be utilised to better understand the factors influencing adoption of LHS approaches on the front lines of care, so that all five LHS components can be progressed in these settings.},
}
@article {pmid39038838,
year = {2024},
author = {Adalat, S and Hajat, S and Ikiz, B},
title = {Climate change has serious implications for children's brain health.},
journal = {BMJ (Clinical research ed.)},
volume = {386},
number = {},
pages = {q1588},
doi = {10.1136/bmj.q1588},
pmid = {39038838},
issn = {1756-1833},
mesh = {Humans ; *Climate Change ; Child ; Brain/diagnostic imaging ; Child Health ; },
}
@article {pmid39037213,
year = {2024},
author = {Kurt, A and Dinç, F and Güneş Şan, E and Uzun, &#x130;B},
title = {Development and validation of the climate change health protection behaviors scale for adolescents: a methodological study.},
journal = {International journal of environmental health research},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {1-14},
doi = {10.1080/09603123.2024.2382903},
pmid = {39037213},
issn = {1369-1619},
abstract = {This study aimed to develop and validate the Climate Change Health Protection Behaviors Scale for adolescents. A total of 1036 adolescents were recruited from middle and high schools. The development of the assessment scale was carried out in three steps: item generation, content validity evaluation, and psychometric evaluation. Psychometric testing was conducted to determine the relationship between the resulting factors and the Healthy Lifestyle Belief Scale and Climate Change Awareness Scale. A 28-item scale was developed, consisting of four factors that account for 65.0% of the variance. The Cronbach's alpha value was 0.874. Additionally, a positive correlation was observed between the Climate Change Health Protection Behaviors Scale and both the Climate Change Awareness Scale and the Healthy Lifestyle Belief Scale for adolescents. These results suggest that the Climate Change Health Protection Behaviors Scale is a reliable and valid tool for evaluating health protection behaviors related to climate change in adolescents.},
}
@article {pmid39036420,
year = {2020},
author = {Chimonyo, VGP and Wimalasiri, EM and Kunz, R and Modi, AT and Mabhaudhi, T},
title = {Optimizing Traditional Cropping Systems Under Climate Change: A Case of Maize Landraces and Bambara Groundnut.},
journal = {Frontiers in sustainable food systems},
volume = {4},
number = {},
pages = {562568},
pmid = {39036420},
issn = {2571-581X},
abstract = {Traditional crop species are reported to be drought-tolerant and nutrient-dense with potential to contribute to sustainable food and nutrition security within marginal production systems under climate change. We hypothesized that intercropping maize landraces (Zea mays L.) with bambara groundnut (Vigna subterranea (L.) Verdc.), together with optimum management strategies, can improve productivity and water use efficiency (WUE) under climate change. Using an ex-ante approach, we assessed climate change impacts and agronomic management options, such as plant ratios, and plant sequences, on yield and WUE of intercropped maize landrace and bambara groundnut. The Agricultural Production Systems sIMulator (APSIM) model was applied over four time periods; namely past (1961-1991), present (1995-2025), mid-century (2030-2060) and late-century (2065-2095), obtained from six GCMs. Across timescales, there were no significant differences with mean annual rainfall, but late century projections of mean annual temperature and reference crop evaporation (ET0) showed average increases of 3.5°C and 155mm, respectively. By late century and relative to the present, the projected changes in yield and WUE were -10 and -15% and 5 and 7% for intercropped bambara groundnut and maize landrace, respectively. Regardless of timescale, increasing plant population improved yield and WUE of intercropped bambara groundnut. Asynchronous planting increased yield and WUE for both maize landrace (5 and 14%) and bambara groundnut (35 and 47%, respectively). Most significant improvements were observed when either crop was planted 2-3 months apart. To reduce yield gaps in intercrop systems, low-cost management options like changing plant populations and sequential cropping can increase yield and WUE under projected climate change. To further increase sustainability, there is a need to expand the research to consider other management strategies such as use of other traditional crop species, fertilization, rainwater harvesting and soil conservation techniques.},
}
@article {pmid39035707,
year = {2020},
author = {Mpandeli, S and Nhamo, L and Hlahla, S and Naidoo, D and Liphadzi, S and Modi, AT and Mabhaudhi, T},
title = {Migration under Climate Change in Southern Africa: A Nexus Planning Perspective.},
journal = {Sustainability},
volume = {12},
number = {11},
pages = {4722},
pmid = {39035707},
issn = {2071-1050},
abstract = {Population increase is exacerbating resource insecurities due to increased demand for already depleted resources. Coupled with climate change, they are the main drivers of both intra-(rural-urban and urban-urban) and inter-migration (from one country to the other). We carried out a systematic review of literature, focusing on available options to ensure water and food security, as well as improve the socio-economic environment, highlighting the drivers of migration in southern Africa. The aim was to develop informed adaptation strategies and build resilience in the advent of accelerated migration. We developed a migration conceptual framework based on the nexus between water, food and socio-economic interlinkages. Urban areas in southern Africa are under immense pressure to accommodate climate refugees from resource stressed rural areas, a situation that is impacting on agricultural production. Most urban areas are exceeding their ecological thresholds to support the built environment, causing some socio-ecological challenges. Nexus planning can inform adaptation planning on permissible migration that are aligned with regional goals such as regional integration, poverty reduction and improved livelihoods. This would also contribute to the region's achievements of the Sustainable Development Goals. Furthermore, through the identification of synergies and trade-offs, nexus planning can inform regional adaptation strategies for positively managing migration leading to sustainable outcomes.},
}
@article {pmid39035510,
year = {2024},
author = {Arshad, Z and Madaleno, M and Lillebø, AI and Vieira, H},
title = {Digitalization's contribution towards sustainable development and climate change mitigation: An empirical evidence from EU economies.},
journal = {Heliyon},
volume = {10},
number = {13},
pages = {e33451},
pmid = {39035510},
issn = {2405-8440},
abstract = {The current study aims to test the usage of econometric and machine learning approaches to study the relationship between methane (CH4), a hydrocarbon component of natural gas, as a proxy of carbon emission, GDP as economic growth, financial development (FIN), and medium and high technologies as a proxy of information technology (ICT) and human development (HDI). This study observes two extended moderating effect models of human development index and financial development via medium and high technologies on carbon emissions over the 15-year periods from 2007 to 2021 for the 27 EU economies. Results indicate that when considered solely, ICT, economic growth, and HDI improve environmental quality and contribute to climate change mitigation, reducing methane emissions, whereas financial development seems to damage environmental quality. However, the crossed effects of ICT with HDI, and that of ICT with FIN, were considered in estimations, with results pointing out that those favorably affect climate change mitigation. Jointly considering ICT, HDI, and financial development proves to have a synergistic effect in promoting environmental health than each element on its own. Green and yellow countries were also identified revealing the countries for which a reduction and increase, respectively, in the value of methane emissions is predicted after three years. In the case of the entire panel, the STR (linear regression tree) algorithm predicts an average growth in methane emissions of around 3.64 %. Important policy directions are drawn considering the results obtained.},
}
@article {pmid39035491,
year = {2024},
author = {Arzo, S and Hong, M},
title = {Resilient green infrastructure: Navigating environmental resistance for sustainable development, social mobility in climate change policy.},
journal = {Heliyon},
volume = {10},
number = {13},
pages = {e33524},
pmid = {39035491},
issn = {2405-8440},
abstract = {This study explores the complex dynamics of environmental resistance, policy stability, skill development, and green initiatives in light of the growing worldwide concerns about climate change. COP27 and the G20 Summit show that as microcosm of the global discourse, provides a unique opportunity to study it. This research sought to thoroughly investigate, the links among green infrastructure, green technological innovation, policy stability, skill development, and their combined effects on social mobility and climate change (Case-1), it also discusses the global talk on climate change in COP27 and G20 (Case-2). In Case-1 data were analyzed through the use of structural equation modeling (SEM) by adopting a quantitative approach, and in Case-2 data were analyzed using theme analysis by applying a qualitative approach. Using a mixed-method research approach, the study surveyed 375 locals living close to the CPEC corridor quantitatively and interviewed ten important stakeholders, including elected officials, environmental activists, and community leaders, qualitatively. The survey highlighted the complex perspectives and experiences of citizens with green programs and environmental legislation in the CPEC zone. The study revealed the perceptions and experiences of residents regarding green initiatives and environmental policies within the CPEC region. Key stakeholders provided valuable insights into policy formulation and ongoing environmental sustainability efforts. The analysis unveiled intricate relationships between green infrastructure, technological innovation, policy stability, skill development, and their collective impact on climate change and social mobility. Notably, the study identified a critical research gap in understanding these dynamics within regions undergoing substantial economic development. Policy formulation and continuing environmental sustainability efforts were aided by key stakeholders' ideas. Green infrastructure, technological innovation, policy stability, skill development, and their overall influence on climate change and social mobility were all examined. Notably, the study found a critical research vacuum in understanding these processes inside rapidly developing economies. Policymakers, environmental groups, and communities managing the fine line between economic success and environmental responsibility will find great value in the findings. This study is unique because it examines issues on climate change from a local perspective in a region that is rapidly developing economically, it also adds value to the climate change challenges on the global level. This study presents a substantial theoretical contribution by examining the intricate interactions among environmental opposition, policy stability, skill development, and green initiatives within the CPEC against the backdrop of global climate change concerns.},
}
@article {pmid39034001,
year = {2024},
author = {Souza, NF and Leal, JS and Tourinho, L and Farjalla, VF and Rocha, DSB and Vale, MM},
title = {Bioindicator aquatic insects at risk from climate change in a biodiversity hotspot.},
journal = {The Science of the total environment},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {174824},
doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.174824},
pmid = {39034001},
issn = {1879-1026},
abstract = {Climate change can affect biological assemblages by shifting their species' geographic range and changing species richness. Aquatic insects represent more than half of the freshwater animal species but have been neglected mainly in climate change assessments, particularly in tropical ecosystems. Among the aquatic insect taxa, Ephemeroptera, Plecoptera, and Trichoptera (EPT) are well-known bioindicators of environmental changes and encompass an essential metric for rivers and streams' biomonitoring. Here, we use ecological niche models to project the impact of climate change on the distribution range and richness of EPT in the Atlantic Forest biodiversity hotspot. We found EPT to be at high risk from future climate change, with Plecoptera as the order of greatest concern. We projected range contraction of ca. 90 % of the analyzed EPT genera, resulting in a reduction in the richness of EPT genera under future climatic conditions. We projected >50 % contraction in the distribution of 50 % of Plecoptera, ≈14 % of Trichoptera, and ≈7 % of Ephemeroptera genera. The remaining climatically suitable regions in the Atlantic Forest are concentrated in the high-altitude areas, which may act as climate refuges for EPT biodiversity in the future. The projected changes in EPT's distribution range and richness may impact biomonitoring programs conducted in tropical ecosystems. Restricting EPT's geographic distribution may undermine its potential as a bioindicator and influence the composition of EPT assemblages at reference sites, which may lead to shifting baseline conditions. We reinforce the importance of considering future climatic conditions when planning long-term biomonitoring and priority areas for conservation.},
}
@article {pmid39032755,
year = {2024},
author = {Memarsadeghi, NP and Rowan, S and Sisco, AW and Tavakoly, AA},
title = {Enhancing resilience: Integrating future flood modeling and socio-economic analysis in the face of climate change impacts.},
journal = {The Science of the total environment},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {174893},
doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.174893},
pmid = {39032755},
issn = {1879-1026},
abstract = {As climate change intensifies, future floods will become more severe in some areas with geographic variation, necessitating that local and regional governments implement systems to provide information for climate adaptation, particularly for vulnerable populations. Therefore, we aimed to develop a methodology to identify areas that are at an increased risk from future floods and independently socially vulnerable. In this study, 100-year recurrence interval flood extents and depths were estimated using an ensemble of six independent Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 climate models for a past and future period under the highest-emissions climate scenario. The flood inundation results were related to social vulnerability for two selected study areas in the Mississippi River Basin. The range of flood extents and depths for both time periods were estimated, and differences were evaluated to determine the effects from climate change. To identify at-risk areas, the relationship between the spatial distribution of flood depths and vulnerability was then assessed. Finally, an analysis of the current and future damages on infrastructure from flooding on residential housing was performed to determine whether damages are correlated with higher vulnerability areas. Results show in every flooding scenario, flood extents and depths are increasing in the future compared with the past, ranging from an increase of 6 to 76 km[2] in extent across both locations. A statistically significant relationship between spatial clusters of flooding and of vulnerability was found. The infrastructure analysis found that residential structures in the most vulnerable census tracts are 6 to 59 times more likely to experience moderate damage compared with the least vulnerable tracts depending on scenario. Overall, a framework was established to holistically understand the hydrologic and socioeconomic impacts of climate change, and a methodology was developed to use for allocating resources at the local scale.},
}
@article {pmid39029763,
year = {2024},
author = {Liu, F and Su, L and Du, Y and Li, H and Luo, J and Huang, X and Li, S and Zheng, F},
title = {No-interfered and visual evaluation of global warming impacts on phytoplankton-based copper bioavailability and then carbon sequestration.},
journal = {The Science of the total environment},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {174762},
doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.174762},
pmid = {39029763},
issn = {1879-1026},
abstract = {Global warming has an increasingly serious impact on the ecological environment. Copper bioavailability plays an important physiological role in revealing the mechanism of carbon cycle, photosynthesis, and respiration. Here we reported a multifunctional carbon quantum dots fluorescence probe for no-interfered and visual determination of phytoplankton-based intracellular Cu(II), glucose, and reactive oxygen species (ROS). Glucose and ROS were explored to reflect the change in primary biomass and carbon sequestration. H2O2 is acted as the standard material of ROS, and the fitting parameter for glucose and H2O2 concentrations was 0.42(r = 0.9972). Both glucose, ROS, and Cu[2+] detection have advantages of wide linear range (24.8-3.96 × 10[5] μg/L, 6-9.6 × 10[5] ng/L and 5-15 × 10[3] nmol/L, respectively), high precision (1.22 %, 6.38 %, and 7.37 %, respectively), and low detection limit (86.7 ng/L, 5.32 ng/L, and 0.367 nmol/L, respectively). Cu[2+] uptake was increased with the increasing of temperature, and the copper bioavailability in increasing order was Cu-PorPhyr > Cu-phthalate > Cu-EDTA. There were significant positive correlation between glucose and Cu[2+](r = 0.9943). Copper bioavailability would directly affect the carbon sequestration, i.e., when the concentration of intracellular copper increases by 1 mg/L, the content of intracellular glucose increases by 412 mg/L approximately, equally to 2.47 g/L of carbon dioxide was fixed.},
}
@article {pmid39029751,
year = {2024},
author = {Zhang, X and Liu, W and Feng, Q and Zeng, J},
title = {Multi-objective optimization of the spatial layout of green infrastructures with cost-effectiveness analysis under climate change scenarios.},
journal = {The Science of the total environment},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {174851},
doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.174851},
pmid = {39029751},
issn = {1879-1026},
abstract = {Green infrastructure (GI) plays a significant role in alleviating urban flooding risk caused by urbanization and climate change. Due to space and financial limitations, the successful implementation of GI relies heavily on its layout design, and there is an increasing trend in using multi-objective optimization to support decision-making in GI planning. However, little is known about the hydrological effects of synchronously optimizing the size, location, and connection of GI under climate change. This study proposed a framework to optimize the size, location, and connection of typical GI facilities under climate change by combining the modified non-dominated sorting genetic algorithm-II (NSGA-II) and storm water management model (SWMM). The results showed that optimizing the size, location, and connection of GI facilities significantly increases the maximum reduction rate of runoff and peak flow by 13.4 %-24.5 % and 3.3 %-18 %, respectively, compared to optimizing only the size and location of GI. In the optimized results, most of the runoff from building roofs flew toward green space. Permeable pavement accounted for the highest average proportion of GI implementation area in optimal layouts, accounting for 29.8 %-54.2 % of road area. The average cost-effectiveness (C/E) values decreased from 16 %/10[5] Yuan under the historical period scenario to 14.3 %/10[5] Yuan and 14 %/10[5] Yuan under the two shared socioeconomic pathways (SSPs), SSP2-4.5 and SSP5-8.5, respectively. These results can help in understanding the optimization layout and cost-effectiveness of GI under climate change, and the proposed framework can enhance the adaptability of cities to climate change by providing specific cost-effective GI layout design.},
}
@article {pmid39029063,
year = {2024},
author = {Obeagu, EI and Obeagu, GU},
title = {Adapting to the shifting landscape: Implications of climate change for malaria control: A review.},
journal = {Medicine},
volume = {103},
number = {29},
pages = {e39010},
doi = {10.1097/MD.0000000000039010},
pmid = {39029063},
issn = {1536-5964},
mesh = {*Climate Change ; *Malaria/prevention &amp; control/transmission/epidemiology ; Humans ; Animals ; Mosquito Control/methods ; Ecosystem ; Mosquito Vectors ; },
abstract = {Malaria, a global public health challenge, continues to affect millions of lives, particularly in regions where its transmission is endemic. The interplay between climate change and malaria dynamics has emerged as a critical concern, reshaping the landscape of this vector-borne disease. This review publication, titled "Adapting to the shifting landscape: Implications of climate change for malaria control," explores the multifaceted relationship between climate change and the control of malaria. The paper begins by dissecting the influence of climate change on malaria dynamics, including alterations in temperature, precipitation, and other climatic factors that impact the habitat and life cycle of malaria vectors. It delves into the evolving ecology and behavior of malaria vectors in response to changing climatic conditions, emphasizing the importance of understanding these adaptations. As a response to this shifting landscape, the review discusses adaptive strategies for malaria control, ranging from vector control measures to the utilization of climate data in early warning systems. Community engagement and education are highlighted as essential components of these strategies, recognizing the vital role of local communities in effective malaria control efforts. The paper also identifies future directions and research needs, underscoring the importance of staying ahead of the evolving climate-malaria relationship. This review underscores the urgency of adapting to the changing landscape of malaria transmission driven by climate change. It emphasizes the significance of proactively addressing climate-related challenges to enhance malaria control and protect the health and well-being of vulnerable populations.},
}
@article {pmid39028532,
year = {2024},
author = {Solano, JH and Moitinho, MA and Chiaramonte, JB and Bononi, L and Packer, AP and Melo, IS and Dini-Andreote, F and Tsai, SM and Taketani, RG},
title = {Organic matter decay and bacterial community succession in mangroves under simulated climate change scenarios.},
journal = {Brazilian journal of microbiology : [publication of the Brazilian Society for Microbiology]},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
pmid = {39028532},
issn = {1678-4405},
support = {2013/03158-4//Funda&#xe7;&#xe3;o de Amparo &#xe0; Pesquisa do Estado de S&#xe3;o Paulo/ ; 2013/23470-2//Funda&#xe7;&#xe3;o de Amparo &#xe0; Pesquisa do Estado de S&#xe3;o Paulo/ ; 2015/23102-9//Funda&#xe7;&#xe3;o de Amparo &#xe0; Pesquisa do Estado de S&#xe3;o Paulo/ ; },
abstract = {Mangroves are coastal environments that provide resources for adjacent ecosystems due to their high productivity, organic matter decomposition, and carbon cycling by microbial communities in sediments. Since the industrial revolution, the increase of Greenhouse Gases (GHG) released due to fossil fuel burning led to many environmental abnormalities such as an increase in average temperature and ocean acidification. Based on the hypothesis that climate change modifies the microbial diversity associated with decaying organic matter in mangrove sediments, this study aimed to evaluate the microbial diversity under simulated climate change conditions during the litter decomposition process and the emission of GHG. Thus, microcosms containing organic matter from the three main plant species found in mangroves throughout the State of São Paulo, Brazil (Rhizophora mangle, Laguncularia racemosa, and Avicennia schaueriana) were incubated simulating climate changes (increase in temperature and pH). The decay rate was higher in the first seven days of incubation, but the differences between the simulated treatments were minor. GHG fluxes were higher in the first ten days and higher in samples under increased temperature. The variation in time resulted in substantial impacts on α-diversity and community composition, initially with a greater abundance of Gammaproteobacteria for all plant species despite the climate conditions variations. The PCoA analysis reveals the chronological sequence in β-diversity, indicating the increase of Deltaproteobacteria at the end of the process. The GHG emission varied in function of the organic matter source with an increase due to the elevated temperature, concurrent with the rise in the Deltaproteobacteria population. Thus, these results indicate that under the expected climate change scenario for the end of the century, the decomposition rate and GHG emissions will be potentially higher, leading to a harmful feedback loop of GHG production. This process can happen independently of an impact on the bacterial community structure due to these changes.},
}
@article {pmid39027508,
year = {2024},
author = {Bojago, E and Tessema, A and Ngare, I},
title = {GIS-based spatio-temporal analysis of rainfall trends under climate change in different agro-ecological zones of Wolaita zone, south Ethiopia.},
journal = {Heliyon},
volume = {10},
number = {13},
pages = {e33235},
pmid = {39027508},
issn = {2405-8440},
abstract = {Understanding the spatiotemporal dynamics of climatic conditions within a region is paramount for informed rural planning and decision-making processes, particularly in light of the prevailing challenges posed by climate change and variability. This study undertook an assessment of the spatial and temporal patterns of rainfall trends across various agro-ecological zones (AEZs) within Wolaita, utilizing data collected from ten strategically positioned rain gauge stations. The detection of trends and their magnitudes was facilitated through the application of the Mann-Kendall (MKs) test in conjunction with Sen's slope estimator. Spatial variability and temporal trends of rainfall were further analyzed utilizing ArcGIS10.8 environment and XLSTAT with R programming tools. The outcomes derived from ordinary kriging analyses unveiled notable disparities in the coefficient of variability (CV) for mean annual rainfall across distinct AEZs. Specifically, observations indicated that lowland regions exhibit relatively warmer climates and lower precipitation levels compared to their highland counterparts. Within the lowland AEZs, the majority of stations showcased statistically non-significant positive trends (p > 0.05) in annual rainfall, whereas approximately two-thirds of midland AEZ stations depicted statistically non-significant negative trends. Conversely, over half of the stations situated within highland AEZs displayed statistically non-significant positive trends in annual rainfall. During the rainy season, highland AEZs experienced higher precipitation levels, while the south-central midland areas received a moderate amount of rainfall. In contrast, the northeast and southeast lowland AEZs consistently received diminished rainfall across all seasons compared to other regions. This study underscores the necessity for the climate resilient development and implementation of spatiotemporally informed interventions through implementing region-specific adaptation strategies, such as water conservation measures and crop diversification, to mitigate the potential impact of changing rainfall patterns on agricultural productivity in Wolaita.},
}
@article {pmid39026963,
year = {2024},
author = {Ran, W and Chen, J and Zhao, Y and Zhang, N and Luo, G and Zhao, Z and Song, Y},
title = {Global climate change-driven impacts on the Asian distribution of Limassolla leafhoppers, with implications for biological and environmental conservation.},
journal = {Ecology and evolution},
volume = {14},
number = {7},
pages = {e70003},
pmid = {39026963},
issn = {2045-7758},
abstract = {Knowing the impacts of global climate change on the habitat suitability distribution of Limassolla leafhoppers contributes to understanding the feedback of organisms on climate change from a macroecological perspective, and provides important scientific basis for protecting the ecological environment and biodiversity. However, there is limited knowledge on this aspect. Thus, our study aimed to address this gap by analyzing Asian habitat suitability and centroid shifts of Limassolla based on 19 bioclimatic variables and occurrence records. Selecting five ecological niche models with the outstanding predictive performance (Maxlike, generalized linear model, generalized additive model, random forest, and maximum entropy) along with their ensemble model from 12 models, the current habitat suitability of Limassolla and its future habitat suitability under two Shared Socio-economic Pathways (SSP1-2.6 and SSP5-8.5) in the 2050s and 2090s were predicted. The results showed that the prediction results of the five models are generally consistent. Based on ensemble model, 11 potential biodiversity hotspots with high suitability were identified. With climate change, the suitable range of Limassolla will experience both expansion and contraction. In SSP5-8.52050s, the expansion area is 118.56 × 10[4] km[2], while the contraction area is 25.40 × 10[4] km[2]; in SSP1-2.62090s, the expansion area is 91.71 × 10[4] km[2], and the contraction area is 26.54 × 10[4] km[2]. Furthermore, the distribution core of Limassolla will shift toward higher latitudes in the northeast direction, and the precipitation of warmest quarter was found to have the greatest impact on the distribution of Limassolla. Our research results supported our four hypotheses. Finally, this research suggests establishing ecological reserves in identified contraction to prevent habitat loss, enhancing the protection of biodiversity hotspots, and pursuing a sustainable development path with reduced emissions.},
}
@article {pmid39026961,
year = {2024},
author = {Wang, Z and Chang, N and Li, H and Wei, X and Shi, Y and Li, K and Li, J and Guo, C and Liu, Q},
title = {Impacts of climate change on the potential distribution of Pulex simulans and Polygenis gwyni.},
journal = {Ecology and evolution},
volume = {14},
number = {7},
pages = {e11621},
pmid = {39026961},
issn = {2045-7758},
abstract = {Pulex simulans and Polygenis gwyni are vectors of many flea-borne diseases. They were widely recorded in the United States and Mexico between 1970 and 2000. Maximum entropy models were used to explore the habitats of both fleas under different climate scenarios to provide the scientific basis for the surveillance and control of flea-borne diseases. We screened climate variables by principal component analysis and Pearson's correlation test and evaluated model performance by ROC curve. ArcMap was used to visualize expressions. Under current climatic conditions, the medium and highly suitable areas for P. simulans are estimated to be 9.16 × 10[6] km[2] and 4.97 × 10[6] km[2], respectively. These regions are predominantly located in South America, along the Mediterranean coast of Europe, the southern part of the African continent, the Middle East, North China, and Australia. For P. gwyni, the medium and highly suitable areas under current climatic conditions are approximately 4.01 × 10[6] and 2.04 × 10[6] km[2], respectively, with the primary distribution in North China extending to the Himalayas, near the Equator in Africa, and in a few areas of Europe. Under future climate scenarios, in the SSP3-7.0 scenario for the years 2081-2100, the area of high suitability for P. simulans is projected to reach its maximum. Similarly, in the SSP2-4.5 scenario for 2061-2080, the area of high suitability for P. gwyni is expected to reach its maximum. Under global climate change, there is a large range in the potential distribution for both fleas, with an overall upward trend in the area of habitat under future climate scenarios. Governments should develop scientific prevention and control measures to prevent the invasive alien species flea.},
}
@article {pmid39026959,
year = {2024},
author = {Wang, X and Li, Z and Zhang, L and Wang, Y and Liu, Y and Ma, Y},
title = {The optimized Maxent model reveals the pattern of distribution and changes in the suitable cultivation areas for Reaumuria songarica being driven by climate change.},
journal = {Ecology and evolution},
volume = {14},
number = {7},
pages = {e70015},
pmid = {39026959},
issn = {2045-7758},
abstract = {Reaumuria songarica, a drought-resistant shrub, is widely distributed and plays a crucial role in the northern deserts of China. It is a key species for desert rehabilitation and afforestation efforts. Using the Maxent model to predict suitable planting areas for R. songarica is an important strategy for combating desertification. With 184 occurrence points of R. songarica and 13 environmental variables, the optimized Maxent model has identified the main limiting factors for its distribution. Distribution patterns and variation trends of R. songarica were projected for current and future climates (2030s, 2050s, 2070s, and 2090s) and different scenarios (ssp_126, ssp_370, and ssp_585). Results show that setting parameters to RM (regulation multiplier) = 4 and FC (feature combination) = LQHPT yields a model with good accuracy and high reliability. Currently, R. songarica is primarily suitable for desert control in eight provinces and autonomous regions, including Inner Mongolia, Xinjiang, Qinghai, and Ningxia. The total suitable planting area is 148.80 × 10[4] km[2], representing 15.45% of China's land area. Precipitation (Precipitation of the wettest month, Precipitation of the warmest quarter, and Annual precipitation) and Ultraviolet-B seasonality are the primary environmental factors limiting the growth and distribution of R. songarica. Mean temperature of the warmest quarter is the primary factor driving changes in the distribution of suitable areas for R. songarica under future climate scenarios. In future climate scenarios, the suitable planting area of R. songarica will shrink, and the distribution center will shift towards higher latitude, potentially indicate further desertification. The area of highly suitable habitat has increased, while moderately and less suitable habitat areas have decreased. Increased precipitation within R. songarica's water tolerance range is favorable for its growth and reproduction. With changes in the suitable cultivation area for R. songarica, priority should be given to exploring and utilizing its germplasm resources. Introduction and cultivation can be conducted in expanding regions, while scientifically effective measures should be implemented to protect germplasm resources in contracting regions. The findings of this study provide a theoretical basis for addressing desertification resulting from climate change and offer practical insights for the development, utilization, introduction, and cultivation of R. songarica germplasm resources.},
}
@article {pmid39026127,
year = {2024},
author = {Vlahov, D and Kurth, A},
title = {The "15-Minute City" Concept in the Context of the COVID-19 Pandemic and Climate Change.},
journal = {Journal of urban health : bulletin of the New York Academy of Medicine},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
pmid = {39026127},
issn = {1468-2869},
}
@article {pmid39025837,
year = {2024},
author = {Hollenbeck, EC and Sax, DF},
title = {Experimental evidence of climate change extinction risk in Neotropical montane epiphytes.},
journal = {Nature communications},
volume = {15},
number = {1},
pages = {6045},
pmid = {39025837},
issn = {2041-1723},
support = {GRF 1644760//National Science Foundation (NSF)/ ; IGERT DGE 0966060//National Science Foundation (NSF)/ ; NA//Brown | Institute at Brown for Environment and Society, Brown University (IBES)/ ; },
mesh = {*Climate Change ; *Extinction, Biological ; *Tropical Climate ; *Ecosystem ; Temperature ; Central America ; Altitude ; Plants ; },
abstract = {Climate change is conjectured to endanger tropical species, particularly in biodiverse montane regions, but accurate estimates of extinction risk are limited by a lack of empirical data demonstrating tropical species' sensitivity to climate. To fill this gap, studies could match high-quality distribution data with multi-year transplant experiments. Here, we conduct field surveys of epiphyte distributions on three mountains in Central America and perform reciprocal transplant experiments on one mountain across sites that varied in elevation, temperature and aridity. We find that most species are unable to survive outside of their narrow elevational distributions. Additionally, our findings suggest starkly different outcomes from temperature conditions expected by 2100 under different climate change scenarios. Under temperatures associated with low-emission scenarios, most tropical montane epiphyte species will survive, but under emission scenarios that are moderately high, 5-36% of our study species may go extinct and 10-55% of populations may be lost. Using a test of tropical species' climate tolerances from a large field experiment, paired with detailed species distribution data across multiple mountains, our work strengthens earlier conjecture about risks of wide-spread extinctions from climate change in tropical montane ecosystems.},
}
@article {pmid39024911,
year = {2024},
author = {Stipcich, P and Guala, I and La Manna, G and Merella, MM and Pansini, A and Vargiu, R and Fraschetti, S and Ceccherelli, G},
title = {How the seagrass Posidonia oceanica flowering will benefit from climate change.},
journal = {Marine pollution bulletin},
volume = {206},
number = {},
pages = {116721},
doi = {10.1016/j.marpolbul.2024.116721},
pmid = {39024911},
issn = {1879-3363},
abstract = {This study aimed at identifying the importance of the thermal framework preceding Posidonia oceanica flowering induction (autumn before the flowering year) and anthesis (summer of the flowering year). In 53 locations of Sardinia (Italy), 35 vertical shoots were collected in 2001, 2020 and 2023 and analyzed through lepidochronology, detecting past flowering events from 1991 to 2022. Flowering probability was positively correlated with autumn SST range and MHWs, stressing the importance of the temperature in the year preceding the flowering. Summer SST mean and Marine Cold Spell duration (the latter emerged as a novel outcome) also positively influenced flowering. A negative association was highlighted with the summer SST range. As the occurrence of MHWs will increase, and the SST range will also increase in the autumn and decrease in the summer, P. oceanica might benefit through a higher flowering frequency, leading to a greater resilience to disturbances due to higher genetic variation.},
}
@article {pmid39024372,
year = {2024},
author = {Baigaliyeva, M and Mount, N and Gosling, SN and McGowan, S},
title = {Unravelling long-term impact of water abstraction and climate change on endorheic lakes: A case study of Shortandy Lake in Central Asia.},
journal = {PloS one},
volume = {19},
number = {7},
pages = {e0305721},
doi = {10.1371/journal.pone.0305721},
pmid = {39024372},
issn = {1932-6203},
mesh = {*Lakes ; *Climate Change ; Humans ; Asia, Central ; Hydrology ; Models, Theoretical ; Water ; },
abstract = {Endorheic lakes, lacking river outflows, are highly sensitive to environmental changes and human interventions. Central Asia (CA) has over 6000 lakes that have experienced substantial water level variability in the past century, yet causes of recent changes in many lakes remain unexplored. Modelling hydrological processes for CA lakes poses challenges in separating climatic change impacts from human management impacts due to limited data and long-term variability in hydrological regimes. This study developed a spatially lumped empirical model to investigate the effects of climate change and human water abstraction, using Shortandy Lake in Burabay National Nature Park (BNNP) as a case study. Modelling results show a significant water volume decline from 231.7x106m3 in 1986 to 172.5x106m3 in 2016, primarily driven by anthropogenic water abstraction, accounting for 92% of the total volume deficit. The highest rates of water abstraction (greater than 25% of annual outflow) occurred from 1989 to 1993, coinciding with the driest period. Since 2013, the water volume has increased due to increased precipitation and, more importantly, reduced water abstraction. Despite limited observational data with which to calibrate the model, it performs well. Our analysis underscores the challenges in modelling lakes in data-sparse regions such as CA, and highlights the importance and benefits of developing lake water balance models for the region.},
}
@article {pmid39023725,
year = {2024},
author = {Gervasio, MP and Soana, E and Gavioli, A and Vincenzi, F and Castaldelli, G},
title = {Contrasting effects of climate change on denitrification and nitrogen load reduction in the Po River (Northern Italy).},
journal = {Environmental science and pollution research international},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
pmid = {39023725},
issn = {1614-7499},
abstract = {An increase in water temperature is one of the main factors that can potentially modify biogeochemical dynamics in lowland rivers, such as the removal and recycling of nitrogen (N). This effect of climate change on N processing deserves attention, as it may have unexpected impacts on eutrophication in the coastal zones. Intact sediment cores were collected seasonally at the closing section of the Po River, the largest Italian river and one of the main N inputs to the Mediterranean Sea. Benthic oxygen fluxes, denitrification, and dissimilatory nitrate reduction to ammonium (DNRA) rates were measured using laboratory dark incubations. Different temperature treatments were set up for each season based on historical data and future predictions. Higher water temperatures enhanced sediment oxygen demand and the extent of hypoxic conditions in the benthic compartment, favoring anaerobic metabolism. Indeed, warming water temperature stimulated nitrate (NO3[-]) reduction processes, although NO3[-] and organic matter availability were found to be the main controlling factors shaping the rates between seasons. Denitrification was the main process responsible for NO3[-] removal, mainly supported by NO3[-] diffusion from the water column into the sediments, and much more important than N recycling via DNRA. The predicted increase in the water temperature of the Po River due to climate change may exert an unexpected negative feedback on eutrophication by strongly controlling denitrification and contributing to partial buffering of N export in the lagoons and coastal areas, especially in spring.},
}
@article {pmid39021785,
year = {2024},
author = {Xu, Y and Smith, P and Qin, Z},
title = {Sustainable bioenergy contributes to cost-effective climate change mitigation in China.},
journal = {iScience},
volume = {27},
number = {7},
pages = {110232},
pmid = {39021785},
issn = {2589-0042},
abstract = {Bioenergy development is critical for achieving carbon neutrality. Biomass residues from agriculture, forest, and livestock manure provide substantial bioenergy resources in China, but their availability, climate, and economic impacts have not been evaluated systematically. Here we assess biomass sustainability, bioenergy potential, greenhouse gas emissions (GHG) reduction, and cost-effectiveness using an integrated data-modeling approach. Nationally, only 27% of biomass can be used for sustainable bioenergy production, but can contribute to significant climate change mitigation with optimized regional utilization. The annual GHG reduction can reach 1.0 Gt CO2e for bioenergy, or 1.4 Gt CO2e for bioenergy with carbon capture and storage (BECCS), which is comparable to total terrestrial ecosystem carbon sinks in China. The abatement cost varies regionally but is lower than many other carbon removal technologies. Our findings reveal region-specific bioenergy pathways that contribute to carbon neutrality, and encourage future assessments to explore factors including technological advances and carbon markets.},
}
@article {pmid39021778,
year = {2024},
author = {Acosta, D and Barrow, A and Mahamadou, IS and Assuncao, VS and Edwards, ME and McKune, SL},
title = {Climate change and health in the Sahel: a systematic review.},
journal = {Royal Society open science},
volume = {11},
number = {7},
pages = {231602},
pmid = {39021778},
issn = {2054-5703},
abstract = {The Sahel region is projected to be highly impacted by the more frequent hazards associated with climate change, including increased temperature, drought and flooding. This systematic review examined the evidence for climate change-related health consequences in the Sahel. The databases used were Medline (PubMed), Embase (Ovid), Web of Science (Clarivate) and CABI Global Health. Hand searches were also conducted, which included directly engaging Sahelian researchers and hand-searching in the African Journals Online database. Of the 4153 studies found, 893 were identified as duplicates and the remaining 3260 studies were screened (title and abstract only) and then assessed for eligibility. A total of 81 studies were included in the systematic review. Most studies focused on vector-borne diseases, food security, nutrition and heat-related stress. Findings suggest that mosquito distribution will shift under different climate scenarios, but this relationship will not be linear with temperature, as there are other variables to consider. Food insecurity, stunting (chronic malnutrition) and heat-related mortality are likely to increase if no action is taken owing to the projected impact of climate change on environmental factors and agriculture. Seventy-one per cent of manuscripts (n = 58) had first authors from institutions in North America or Europe, of which 39.7% (n = 23) included co-authors from African institutions.},
}
@article {pmid39022649,
year = {2023},
author = {Rose, KC and Bierwagen, B and Bridgham, SD and Carlisle, DM and Hawkins, CP and Poff, NL and Read, JS and Rohr, J and Saros, JE and Williamson, CE},
title = {Indicators of the effects of climate change on freshwater ecosystems.},
journal = {Climatic change},
volume = {173},
number = {23},
pages = {1-20},
pmid = {39022649},
issn = {0165-0009},
abstract = {Freshwater ecosystems, including lakes, streams, and wetlands, are responsive to climate change and other natural and anthropogenic stresses. These ecosystems are frequently hydrologically and ecologically connected with one another and their surrounding landscapes, thereby integrating changes throughout their watersheds. The responses of any given freshwater ecosystem to climate change depend on the magnitude of climate forcing, interactions with other anthropogenic and natural changes, and the characteristics of the ecosystem itself. Therefore, the magnitude and manner in which freshwater ecosystems respond to climate change is difficult to predict a priori. We present a conceptual model to elucidate how freshwater ecosystems are altered by climate change. We identify eleven indicators that describe the response of freshwater ecosystems to climate change, discuss their potential value and limitations, and describe supporting measurements. Indicators are organized in three inter-related categories: hydrologic, water quality, and ecosystem structure and function. The indicators are supported by data sets with a wide range of temporal and spatial coverage, and they inform important scientific and management needs. Together, these indicators improve the understanding and management of the effects of climate change on freshwater ecosystems.},
}
@article {pmid39020395,
year = {2024},
author = {Gontijo, JB and Paula, FS and Bieluczyk, W and França, AG and Navroski, D and Mandro, JA and Venturini, AM and Asselta, FO and Mendes, LW and Moura, JMS and Moreira, MZ and Nüsslein, K and Bohannan, BJM and Bodelier, PLE and Rodrigues, JLM and Tsai, SM},
title = {Methane-cycling microbial communities from Amazon floodplains and upland forests respond differently to simulated climate change scenarios.},
journal = {Environmental microbiome},
volume = {19},
number = {1},
pages = {48},
pmid = {39020395},
issn = {2524-6372},
support = {2018/14974-0//Funda&#xe7;&#xe3;o de Amparo &#xe0; Pesquisa do Estado de S&#xe3;o Paulo/ ; 2014/50320-4//Funda&#xe7;&#xe3;o de Amparo &#xe0; Pesquisa do Estado de S&#xe3;o Paulo/ ; Finance Code 001//Coordena&#xe7;&#xe3;o de Aperfei&#xe7;oamento de Pessoal de N&#xed;vel Superior/ ; 311008/2016-0//Conselho Nacional de Desenvolvimento Cient&#xed;fico e Tecnol&#xf3;gico/ ; },
abstract = {Seasonal floodplains in the Amazon basin are important sources of methane (CH4), while upland forests are known for their sink capacity. Climate change effects, including shifts in rainfall patterns and rising temperatures, may alter the functionality of soil microbial communities, leading to uncertain changes in CH4 cycling dynamics. To investigate the microbial feedback under climate change scenarios, we performed a microcosm experiment using soils from two floodplains (i.e., Amazonas and Tapajós rivers) and one upland forest. We employed a two-factorial experimental design comprising flooding (with non-flooded control) and temperature (at 27 °C and 30 °C, representing a 3 °C increase) as variables. We assessed prokaryotic community dynamics over 30 days using 16S rRNA gene sequencing and qPCR. These data were integrated with chemical properties, CH4 fluxes, and isotopic values and signatures. In the floodplains, temperature changes did not significantly affect the overall microbial composition and CH4 fluxes. CH4 emissions and uptake in response to flooding and non-flooding conditions, respectively, were observed in the floodplain soils. By contrast, in the upland forest, the higher temperature caused a sink-to-source shift under flooding conditions and reduced CH4 sink capability under dry conditions. The upland soil microbial communities also changed in response to increased temperature, with a higher percentage of specialist microbes observed. Floodplains showed higher total and relative abundances of methanogenic and methanotrophic microbes compared to forest soils. Isotopic data from some flooded samples from the Amazonas river floodplain indicated CH4 oxidation metabolism. This floodplain also showed a high relative abundance of aerobic and anaerobic CH4 oxidizing Bacteria and Archaea. Taken together, our data indicate that CH4 cycle dynamics and microbial communities in Amazonian floodplain and upland forest soils may respond differently to climate change effects. We also highlight the potential role of CH4 oxidation pathways in mitigating CH4 emissions in Amazonian floodplains.},
}
@article {pmid39019767,
year = {2024},
author = {Kwon, Y and Jin, Y and Lee, JH and Sun, C and Ryu, CM},
title = {Rice rhizobiome engineering for climate change mitigation.},
journal = {Trends in plant science},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1016/j.tplants.2024.06.006},
pmid = {39019767},
issn = {1878-4372},
abstract = {The year 2023 was the warmest year since 1850. Greenhouse gases, including CO2 and methane, played a significant role in increasing global warming. Among these gases, methane has a 25-fold greater impact on global warming than CO2. Methane is emitted during rice cultivation by a group of rice rhizosphere microbes, termed methanogens, in low oxygen (hypoxic) conditions. To reduce methane emissions, it is crucial to decrease the methane production capacity of methanogens through water and fertilizer management, breeding of new rice cultivars, regulating root exudation, and manipulating rhizosphere microbiota. In this opinion article we review the recent developments in hypoxia ecology and methane emission mitigation and propose potential solutions based on the manipulation of microbiota and methanogens for the mitigation of methane emissions.},
}
@article {pmid39019218,
year = {2024},
author = {Sparling, TM and Offner, C and Deeney, M and Denton, P and Bash, K and Juel, R and Moore, S and Kadiyala, S},
title = {Intersections of climate change with food systems, nutrition, and health: an overview and evidence map.},
journal = {Advances in nutrition (Bethesda, Md.)},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {100274},
doi = {10.1016/j.advnut.2024.100274},
pmid = {39019218},
issn = {2156-5376},
abstract = {Scientific research linking climate change to food systems, nutrition and nutrition-related health (FSNH) has proliferated, showing bidirectional and compounding dependencies that create cascading risks for human and planetary health. Within this proliferation, it is unclear which evidence to prioritise for action, and which research gaps, if filled, would catalyse most impact. We systematically searched for synthesis literature (i.e. reviews) related to FSNH, published after January 1, 2018. We screened and extracted characteristics of these reviews and mapped them in an interactive Evidence and Gap Map (EGM), supplemented by expert consultation. 844 synthesis reports met inclusion criteria (from 2,739 records) and were included in the EGM. The largest clusters of reports were those describing climate impacts on crop and animal source food (ASF) production, and emissions from such (86%). Comparatively few reports assessed climate change impacts on nutrition-related health, or food manufacture, processing, storage, and transportation. Reports focused on strategies of climate adaptation (40%), mitigation (29%), both (19%) or none (12%). Only one quarter of reports critically evaluated equity (25%), and fewer reports suggested that changes to equity and equitable practices would alter climate-FSNH dynamics (6%). The expert consultation mirrored the results of the EGM, and contextualised findings further. This novel map describes a wide research landscape linking climate change to FSNH. We identified four key research gaps, including 1) Research on whole food systems or post-harvest elements 2) Research evaluating relationships between climate change and nutrition-related health outcomes, especially among vulnerable populations; 3) Promising methods (and additional data required) that can a) identify inflection points or levers for intervention, b) incorporate complex dynamics and characterize trade-offs, c) be understood and applied in context-specific, localised ways for decision-making; and 4) Research undertaken through interdisciplinary collaborations that enables producing and translating evidence to action, especially those that inherently consider co-production and fairness.},
}
@article {pmid39019140,
year = {2024},
author = {Yang, X and Zheng, R and Wan, Z and Zhang, Z},
title = {Differences of soil carbon pools and crop growth across different typical agricultural fields in China: the role of geochemistry and climate change.},
journal = {Environmental research},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {119623},
doi = {10.1016/j.envres.2024.119623},
pmid = {39019140},
issn = {1096-0953},
abstract = {Carbon storage and the aboveground biomass of farmland provide practical significance for understanding global changes and ensuring food production and quality. Based on soil carbon storage, aboveground biomass, climate, geochemistry, and other data from 19 farmland ecological stations in China, we analyzed the distribution characteristics of farmland carbon storage in topsoil and aboveground biomass. We notably revealed the response direction and degree of climate and geochemical factors to farmland carbon storage in topsoil and aboveground biomass. The results indicated that the average carbon stocks of farmland in different regions ranged from 0.28 to 7.91 kg m[-2], the average fresh weight of the aboveground biomass (FAB) ranged from 1370.64 to 5997.28 g m[-2], and the average dry weight of the aboveground biomass (DAB) ranged from 119.95 to 852.35 g m[-2]. The least angle regression (LARS) and the best subsection selection regression (BSS) showed that evapotranspiration and extreme low temperatures were significant climatic factors affecting carbon sequestration and aboveground biomass on long-time scales. The linear mixed-effects model (LMM) further showed that AN and AP had significant long-term effects on carbon sequestration and aboveground biomass (p<0.05), with AN having the highest contribution to SOC%, FAB, and DAB. The structural equation model (SEM) showed that carbon sequestration and aboveground biomass in agricultural fields were significantly positively correlated (p<0.05). Moreover, the climate had a less direct contribution to carbon sequestration and above-ground biomass compared to geochemistry (PCc<0.1<PCG), and its effect was more indirect. When the geochemical variables were removed, the correlation between climate and carbon and aboveground biomass variables decreased significantly. We conclude that it is possible that extremes climate and geochemistry control carbon sequestration and above-ground biomass in long-term cropland through interactions in the context of global change, which provides new insights into the evolution of soil organic carbon in long-term cropland and the scientific formulation of policies to increase food production and preserve quality.},
}
@article {pmid39018839,
year = {2024},
author = {Vangi, E and Dalmonech, D and Cioccolo, E and Marano, G and Bianchini, L and Puchi, PF and Grieco, E and Cescatti, A and Colantoni, A and Chirici, G and Collalti, A},
title = {Stand age diversity (and more than climate change) affects forests' resilience and stability, although unevenly.},
journal = {Journal of environmental management},
volume = {366},
number = {},
pages = {121822},
doi = {10.1016/j.jenvman.2024.121822},
pmid = {39018839},
issn = {1095-8630},
abstract = {Stand age significantly influences the functioning of forest ecosystems by shaping structural and physiological plant traits, affecting water and carbon budgets. Forest age distribution is determined by the interplay of tree mortality and regeneration, influenced by both natural and anthropogenic disturbances. Unfortunately, human-driven alteration of tree age distribution presents an underexplored avenue for enhancing forest stability and resilience. In our study, we investigated how age impacts the stability and resilience of the forest carbon budget under both current and future climate conditions. We employed a state-of-the-science biogeochemical, biophysical, validated process-based model on historically managed forest stands, projecting their future as undisturbed systems, i.e., left at their natural evolution with no management interventions (i.e., forests are left to develop undisturbed). Such a model, forced by climate data from five Earth System Models under four representative climate scenarios and one baseline scenario to disentangle the effect of climate change, spanned several age classes as representative of the current European forests' context, for each stand. Our findings indicate that Net Primary Production (NPP) peaks in the young and middle-aged classes (16- to 50-year-old), aligning with longstanding ecological theories, regardless of the climate scenario. Under climate change, the beech forest exhibited an increase in NPP and maintained stability across all age classes, while resilience remained constant with rising atmospheric CO2 and temperatures. However, NPP declined under climate change scenarios for the Norway spruce and Scots pine sites. In these coniferous forests, stability and resilience were more influenced. These results underscore the necessity of accounting for age class diversity -lacking in most, if not all, the current Global Vegetation Models - for reliable and robust assessments of the impacts of climate change on future forests' stability and resilience capacity. We, therefore, advocate for customized management strategies that enhance the adaptability of forests to changing climatic conditions, taking into account the diverse responses of different species and age groups to climate.},
}
@article {pmid39017872,
year = {2024},
author = {Szalińska, E and Jarosińska, E and Orlińska-Woźniak, P and Jakusik, E and Warzecha, W and Ogar, W and Wilk, P},
title = {Total nitrogen and phosphorus loads in surface runoff from urban land use (city of Lublin) under climate change.},
journal = {Environmental science and pollution research international},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
pmid = {39017872},
issn = {1614-7499},
support = {IDUB 501.696.7996/L-34//Akademia G&#xf3;rniczo-Hutnicza im. Stanislawa Staszica/ ; },
abstract = {An expansion of impervious surfaces in urban areas leads to increases of nutrient loads discharged with the surface runoff to receivers. A study of a different density of urban development impact on total nitrogen (TN) and phosphorus (TP) loads from the city of Lublin (eastern Poland) with the use of the SWAT (Soil &amp; Water Assessment Tool) model was performed. To distinguish between areas with high and low density of urban development (UHD and ULD), a special analysis of hydrological parameters has been proposed. Moreover, to investigate the impact of climate change, four variant scenarios were taken into account, combining the RCP (representative concentration pathway) 4.5 and 8.5 forecasts and the adopted time horizons (2026-2035 and 2046-2055). The results showed a much higher share of TN and TP from UHD compared to ULD (86%-32 022 kg/year and 89%-2574 kg/year, respectively). In addition, the variant scenarios showed that the forecasted increase in precipitation and temperature will result in increased loads of nutrients from UHD and ULD up to 30%. Furthermore, the current increase of inhabitant number, due to the Ukrainian war migration and the common tendency to convert agricultural land to residential areas, could contribute to further expansion of UHD and ULD areas and an additional increase of nutrient loads.},
}
@article {pmid39017762,
year = {2024},
author = {Abouelhassan, EM and GadAllah, S and Kamel, MS and Kamal, M and Elsayed, HH and Sallam, NH and Okely, M},
title = {Molecular identification and morphological variations of Amblyomma lepidum imported to Egypt, with notes about its potential distribution under climate change.},
journal = {Parasitology research},
volume = {123},
number = {7},
pages = {276},
pmid = {39017762},
issn = {1432-1955},
mesh = {Animals ; *Camelus/parasitology ; Egypt ; *Tick Infestations/parasitology/veterinary ; Male ; *Phylogeny ; *Climate Change ; *Amblyomma/anatomy &amp; histology/genetics/physiology/classification/growth &amp; development ; Female ; RNA, Ribosomal, 16S/genetics ; Sudan ; },
abstract = {The tick Amblyomma lepidum is an ectoparasite of veterinary importance due to its role in transmitting livestock diseases in Africa, including heartwater. This study was conducted in 2023 to monitor Amblyomma spp. infestation in dromedary camels imported from Somalia, Ethiopia, and Sudan to Egypt. This study inspected 200 camels at the Giza governorate's camel market that had been imported from Somalia, 200 from Ethiopia, and 200 from Sudan for tick infestation. Specimens were identified using morphological characteristics and phylogenetic analyses of the 12S and 16S rRNA genes. Clusters were calculated using an unweighted pair-group method with arithmetic averages (UPGMA) dendrogram to group the specimens according to their morphometric characteristics. The morphometric analysis compared the body shape of ticks collected from different countries by analyzing dorsal features. Principal component analysis (PCA) and canonical variate analysis (CVA) were performed to obtain body shape variation among specimens from different countries. Results indicated that camels were infested by 57 males Amblyomma lepidum, and no female specimens were observed; among these specimens, one may have a morphological abnormality. The results suggest that A. lepidum specimens collected from camels imported to Egypt from African countries exhibit locally adapted morphology with variations among specimens, particularly variations in body size. This adaptation suggests minimal potential for genetic divergence. Ecological niche modeling was used to predict the areas in Africa with suitable climates for A. lepidum. The study confirmed that East African countries might have the most favorable climatic conditions for A. lepidum to thrive. Interestingly, the amount of rain during the wettest quarter (Bio16) had the strongest influence on the tick's potential distribution, with suitability decreasing sharply as rainfall increased. Future predictions indicate that the climatic habitat suitability for A. lepidum will decrease under changing climate conditions. However, historical, current, and future predictions indicate no suitable climatic habitats for A. lepidum in Egypt. These findings demand continuous surveillance of A. lepidum in camel populations and the development of targeted strategies to manage tick infestations and prevent the spread of heartwater disease.},
}
@article {pmid39017546,
year = {2023},
author = {Hassol, SJ},
title = {Changing the Language of Climate Change: Choosing words and stories that speak to people's priorities can build the will needed to implement climate solutions.},
journal = {Scientific American},
volume = {328},
number = {2},
pages = {64},
doi = {10.1038/scientificamerican0223-64},
pmid = {39017546},
issn = {0036-8733},
mesh = {*Climate Change ; Humans ; *Language ; },
}
@article {pmid39020583,
year = {2021},
author = {Jackson, RJ and Frumkin, H},
title = {Needed: Climate Change and Health Institute.},
journal = {Scientific American},
volume = {324},
number = {4},
pages = {9},
doi = {10.1038/scientificamerican0421-9},
pmid = {39020583},
issn = {0036-8733},
}
@article {pmid39017520,
year = {2024},
author = {Oreskes, N},
title = {Gaslighting by the Gas Industry: A fossil-fuel executive blames the public for climate change.},
journal = {Scientific American},
volume = {331},
number = {1},
pages = {96},
doi = {10.1038/scientificamerican072024-4879OYKZNBesOI8GL6por6},
pmid = {39017520},
issn = {0036-8733},
}
@article {pmid39017440,
year = {2024},
author = {Jiménez, G},
title = {Whirlwind Conversation: Hurricanes boost social chatter about climate change.},
journal = {Scientific American},
volume = {330},
number = {3},
pages = {16},
doi = {10.1038/scientificamerican0324-16b},
pmid = {39017440},
issn = {0036-8733},
}
@article {pmid39017402,
year = {2023},
author = {Cosier, S},
title = {Zeroing In: Supercomputer network could predict climate change effects down to the neighborhood.},
journal = {Scientific American},
volume = {329},
number = {4},
pages = {16},
doi = {10.1038/scientificamerican1123-16b},
pmid = {39017402},
issn = {0036-8733},
}
@article {pmid39017382,
year = {2024},
author = {Ritchie, H},
title = {What We Learned from Acid Rain: By working together, the nations of the world can solve climate change.},
journal = {Scientific American},
volume = {330},
number = {1},
pages = {75},
doi = {10.1038/scientificamerican0124-75},
pmid = {39017382},
issn = {0036-8733},
}
@article {pmid39017373,
year = {2024},
author = {Youmshajekian, L},
title = {Quick Hits: Deciphering a scorched scroll from ancient Herculaneum, unlikely flavors in climate-change-affected wine, an undiscovered ore found in China, and more in this month's Quick Hits.},
journal = {Scientific American},
volume = {330},
number = {1},
pages = {19},
doi = {10.1038/scientificamerican0124-19b},
pmid = {39017373},
issn = {0036-8733},
}
@article {pmid39017260,
year = {2023},
author = {Fox, D},
title = {A Stratospheric Gamble: The effects of global warming have gotten so bad, so fast that some scientists say it's time to start engineering the sky.},
journal = {Scientific American},
volume = {329},
number = {3},
pages = {30},
doi = {10.1038/scientificamerican1023-30},
pmid = {39017260},
issn = {0036-8733},
}
@article {pmid39016072,
year = {2024},
author = {Matich, P and Plumlee, JD and Bubley, W and Curtis, TH and Drymon, JM and Mullins, LL and Shipley, ON and TinHan, TC and Fisher, MR},
title = {Long-term effects of climate change on juvenile bull shark migratory patterns.},
journal = {The Journal of animal ecology},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1111/1365-2656.14140},
pmid = {39016072},
issn = {1365-2656},
abstract = {Seasonal variability in environmental conditions is a strong determinant of animal migrations, but warming temperatures associated with climate change are anticipated to alter this phenomenon with unknown consequences. We used a 40-year fishery-independent survey to assess how a changing climate has altered the migration timing, duration and first-year survival of juvenile bull sharks (Carcharhinus leucas). From 1982 to 2021, estuaries in the western Gulf of Mexico (Texas) experienced a mean increase of 1.55°C in autumn water temperatures, and delays in autumn cold fronts by ca. 0.5 days per year. Bull shark migrations in more northern estuaries concomitantly changed, with departures 25-36 days later in 2021 than in 1982. Later, migrations resulted in reduced overwintering durations by up to 81 days, and the relative abundance of post-overwintering age 0-1 sharks increased by >50% during the 40-year study period. Yet, reductions in prey availability were the most influential factor delaying migrations. Juvenile sharks remained in natal estuaries longer when prey were less abundant. Long-term declines in prey reportedly occurred due to reduced spawning success associated with climate change based on published reports. Consequently, warming waters likely enabled and indirectly caused the observed changes in shark migratory behaviour. As water temperatures continue to rise, bull sharks in the north-western Gulf of Mexico could forgo their winter migrations in the next 50-100 years based on current trends and physiological limits, thereby altering their ecological roles in estuarine ecosystems and recruitment into the adult population. It is unclear if estuarine food webs will be able to support changing residency patterns as climate change affects the spawning success of forage species. We expect these trends are not unique to the western Gulf of Mexico or bull sharks, and migratory patterns of predators in subtropical latitudes are similarly changing at a global scale.},
}
@article {pmid39016015,
year = {2024},
author = {Jones, EM and Venkatachalam, AM and Ifejika, NL},
title = {Weathering the storm: Effect of climate change on acute stroke care and stroke rehabilitation.},
journal = {PM &amp; R : the journal of injury, function, and rehabilitation},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1002/pmrj.13218},
pmid = {39016015},
issn = {1934-1563},
support = {4//Texas Health Resources Clinical Scholars Program/ ; },
abstract = {Climate change has deleterious effects on stroke recovery, disproportionately affecting populations with increased stroke incidence. These effects start prior to the acute care hospitalization, precipitated by environmental etiologies and are sustained throughout the life course of stroke survivors. Health care practitioners play a critical role in identifying these concerns and mitigating their impact through effective strategies at the patient level, interventions at the community level, and advocacy at the state and federal level. As the experts on improvement in function, quality of life, and the mitigation of disability, physiatrists have the opportunity to lead efforts in this space for stroke survivors and their caregivers.},
}
@article {pmid39015345,
year = {2024},
author = {Odebiri, O and Mutanga, O and Odindi, J and Slotow, R and Mafongoya, P and Lottering, R and Naicker, R and Matongera, TN and Mngadi, M},
title = {Mapping Sub-surface Distribution of Soil Organic Carbon Stocks in South Africa's Arid and Semi-Arid Landscapes: Implications for Land Management and Climate Change Mitigation.},
journal = {Geoderma regional},
volume = {37},
number = {},
pages = {e00817},
pmid = {39015345},
issn = {2352-0094},
abstract = {Soil organic carbon (SOC) stocks are critical for land management strategies and climate change mitigation. However, understanding SOC distribution in South Africa's arid and semi-arid regions remains a challenge due to data limitations, and the complex spatial and sub-surface variability in SOC stocks driven by desertification and land degradation. Thus, to support soil and land-use management practices as well as advance climate change mitigation efforts, there is an urgent need to provide more precise SOC stock estimates within South Africa's arid and semi-arid regions. Hence, this study adopted remote-sensing approaches to determine the spatial sub-surface distribution of SOC stocks and the influence of environmental co-variates at four soil depths (i.e., 0-30 cm, 30-60 cm, 60-100 cm, and 100-200 cm). Using two regression-based algorithms, i.e., Extreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost) and Random Forest (RF), the study found the former (RMSE values ranging from 7.12 t/ha to 29.55 t/ha) to be a superior predictor of SOC in comparison to the latter (RMSE values ranging from 7.36 t/ha to 31.10 t/ha). Nonetheless, both models achieved satisfactory accuracy (R[2] ≥ 0.52) for regional-scale SOC predictions at the studied soil depths. Thereafter, using a variable importance analysis, the study demonstrated the influence of climatic variables like rainfall and temperature on SOC stocks at different depths. Furthermore, the study revealed significant spatial variability in SOC stocks, and an increase in SOC stocks with soil depth. Overall, these findings enhance the understanding of SOC dynamics in South Africa's arid and semi-arid landscapes and emphasizes the importance of considering site specific topo-climatic characteristics for sustainable land management and climate change mitigation. Furthermore, the study offers valuable insights into sub-surface SOC distribution, crucial for informing carbon sequestration strategies, guiding land management practices, and informing environmental policies within arid and semi-arid environments.},
}
@article {pmid39014380,
year = {2024},
author = {Fekih-Romdhane, F and Malaeb, D and Yakın, E and Sakr, F and Dabbous, M and El Khatib, S and Obeid, S and Hallit, S},
title = {Translation and validation to the Arabic language version of the climate change anxiety scale (CCAS).},
journal = {BMC psychiatry},
volume = {24},
number = {1},
pages = {507},
pmid = {39014380},
issn = {1471-244X},
mesh = {Humans ; Male ; Female ; Adult ; *Anxiety/psychology/diagnosis ; Lebanon ; *Climate Change ; Cross-Sectional Studies ; Middle Aged ; Reproducibility of Results ; *Psychometrics ; Psychiatric Status Rating Scales/standards ; Translations ; Arabs/psychology ; Young Adult ; Translating ; Aged ; Language ; },
abstract = {BACKGROUND: The Arab world is one of the global regions the most directly concerned by, and suffering from climate change's adverse consequences. As such, there appears to be a strong need for an understanding of how Arab people may emotionally respond to climate change. Providing valid and reliable measures of climate change anxiety (CCA) can help gain a clear overview of the situation in Arab countries, and allow to intervene timely and effectively to mitigate any adverse effects on Arab people's mental health. To this end, the present study sought to validate the Arabic language version of the Climate Change Anxiety Scale (CCAS) in a sample of native Arabic-speaking adults from the general population of Lebanon.<br><br>METHODS: This study adopted a cross-sectional approach and enrolled 763 adults between July and September 2023.<br><br>RESULTS: A confirmatory analysis of the one-factor model showed poor fit indices as follows: CFI&#x2009;=&#x2009;0.90, GFI&#x2009;=&#x2009;0.83, SRMR&#x2009;=&#x2009;0.048 and RMSEA 0.131 [90% CI 0.123, 0.138). The two-factor model showed a satisfactory fit with a high CFI of and a GFI of 0.91 and a SRMR of 0.04 and RMSEA of 0.05 [90% CI 0.04, 0.06]. Both McDonald's omega and Cronbach alpha values were high for the overall CCAS score (&#x3b1;&#x2009;=&#x2009;0.96 and &#x3c9;&#x2009;=&#x2009;0.96) in the whole sample. Configural, metric and scalar invariance across gender was demonstrated. No significant difference was found between males and females in terms of total CCAS scores (24.53&#x2009;&#xb1;&#x2009;10.59 vs. 26.03&#x2009;&#xb1;&#x2009;11.17, t(761) = -1.82, p&#x2009;=&#x2009;.069). Higher CCA, functional impairment and cognitive impairment scores were significantly associated with higher depression, anxiety and stress.<br><br>CONCLUSION: The reliability and validity of the CCAS in its Arabic version were proven. The availability of this self-report measure could offer a chance to assess CCA among Adults speaking Arabic, and to spread its future use for screening and research purposes.},
}
@article {pmid39014072,
year = {2024},
author = {Braga, A and Laurini, M},
title = {Spatial heterogeneity in climate change effects across Brazilian biomes.},
journal = {Scientific reports},
volume = {14},
number = {1},
pages = {16414},
pmid = {39014072},
issn = {2045-2322},
support = {Finance Code 01//Coordena&#xe7;&#xe3;o de Aperfei&#xe7;oamento de Pessoal de N&#xed;vel Superior/ ; 310646/2021-9//Conselho Nacional de Desenvolvimento Cient&#xed;fico e Tecnol&#xf3;gico/ ; 2023/02538-0//Funda&#xe7;&#xe3;o de Amparo &#xe0; Pesquisa do Estado de S&#xe3;o Paulo/ ; },
mesh = {Brazil ; *Climate Change ; *Ecosystem ; Temperature ; Seasons ; Conservation of Natural Resources ; Global Warming ; },
abstract = {We present a methodology designed to study the spatial heterogeneity of climate change. Our approach involves decomposing the observed changes in temperature patterns into multiple trend, cycle, and seasonal components within a spatio-temporal model. We apply this method to test the hypothesis of a global long-term temperature trend against multiple trends in distinct biomes. Applying this methodology, we delve into the examination of heterogeneity of climate change in Brazil-a country characterized by a spectrum of climate zones. The findings challenge the notion of a global trend, revealing the presence of distinct trends in warming effects, and more accelerated trends for the Amazon and Cerrado biomes, indicating a composition between global warming and deforestation in determining changes in permanent temperature patterns.},
}
@article {pmid39014061,
year = {2024},
author = {Guo, Y and Zhang, S and Ren, L and Tian, X and Tang, S and Xian, Y and Wu, X and Zhang, Z},
title = {Prediction of Chinese suitable habitats of Panax notoginseng under climate change based on MaxEnt and chemometric methods.},
journal = {Scientific reports},
volume = {14},
number = {1},
pages = {16434},
pmid = {39014061},
issn = {2045-2322},
support = {No.82274090//National Natural Science Foundation of China/ ; No.2024003//Open research project of China Meteorological Administration Key Open Laboratory of Transforming Climate Resource to Economy/ ; },
mesh = {*Panax notoginseng/growth &amp; development/chemistry ; *Climate Change ; *Ecosystem ; China ; Saponins/analysis ; Ginsenosides/analysis ; },
abstract = {Notoginseng saponin R1; ginsenosides Rg1, Re, Rb1, and Rd; the sum of the five saponins; and underground-part fresh weight (UPFW) of single plants were used as quality evaluation indices for Panax notoginseng (Burk.) F. H. Chen (P. notoginseng). Comprehensive evaluation of P. notoginseng samples from 30 production areas was performed using that MaxEnt model. Spatial pattern changes in suitable P. notoginseng habitats were predicted for current and future periods (2050s, 2070s, and 2090s) using SSP126 and SSP585 models. The results revealed that temperature, precipitation, and solar radiation were important environmental variables. Suitable habitats were located mainly in Yunnan, Guizhou, and Sichuan Provinces. The distribution core of P. notoginseng is predicted to shift southeast in the future. The saponin content decreased from the southeast to the northwest of Yunnan Province, which was contrary to the UPFW trend. This study provides the necessary information for the protection and sustainable utilization of P. notoginseng resources, and a theoretical reference for its application in the quality evaluation of Chinese medicinal products.},
}
@article {pmid39011752,
year = {2024},
author = {Rehman, SU and Watson, E and Noble, LM},
title = {EACH: International Association for Communication in Healthcare statement on climate change, health and vulnerability: enhancing resilience through social and behavior change communication.},
journal = {Journal of communication in healthcare},
volume = {17},
number = {2},
pages = {197-200},
doi = {10.1080/17538068.2024.2357947},
pmid = {39011752},
issn = {1753-8076},
mesh = {*Climate Change ; Humans ; Resilience, Psychological ; Vulnerable Populations/psychology ; Communication ; },
}
@article {pmid39009635,
year = {2024},
author = {Kleinteich, J and Frassl, MA and Schulz, M and Fischer, H},
title = {Climate change triggered planktonic cyanobacterial blooms in a regulated temperate river.},
journal = {Scientific reports},
volume = {14},
number = {1},
pages = {16298},
pmid = {39009635},
issn = {2045-2322},
mesh = {*Rivers/microbiology ; *Climate Change ; *Cyanobacteria/growth &amp; development ; Temperature ; Phytoplankton/growth &amp; development ; Seasons ; Phosphorus/analysis ; Nitrogen/analysis ; Chlorophyll A/analysis ; Chlorophyll/analysis ; Harmful Algal Bloom ; Plankton/growth &amp; development ; Eutrophication ; Environmental Monitoring/methods ; },
abstract = {Harmful algae blooms are a rare phenomenon in rivers but seem to increase with climate change and river regulation. To understand the controlling factors of cyanobacteria blooms that occurred between 2017 and 2020 over long stretches (> 250 km) of the regulated Moselle River in Western Europe, we measured physico-chemical and biological variables and compared those with a long-term dataset (1997-2016). Cyanobacteria (Microcystis) dominated the phytoplankton community in the late summers of 2017-2020 (cyano-period) with up to 110 µg Chlorophyll-a/L, but had not been observed in the river in the previous 20 years. From June to September, the average discharge in the Moselle was reduced to 69-76% and water temperature was 0.9-1.8 °C higher compared to the reference period. Nitrogen (N), phosphorus (P) and silica (Si) declined since 1997, albeit total nutrient concentrations remained above limiting conditions in the study period. Cyanobacterial blooms correlated best with low discharge, high water temperature and low nitrate. We conclude that the recent cyanobacteria blooms have been caused by dry and warm weather resulting in low flow conditions and warm water temperature in the regulated Moselle. Under current climate projections, the Moselle may serve as an example for the future of regulated temperate rivers.},
}
@article {pmid39009588,
year = {2024},
author = {Meyer, AS and Pigot, AL and Merow, C and Kaschner, K and Garilao, C and Kesner-Reyes, K and Trisos, CH},
title = {Temporal dynamics of climate change exposure and opportunities for global marine biodiversity.},
journal = {Nature communications},
volume = {15},
number = {1},
pages = {5836},
pmid = {39009588},
issn = {2041-1723},
mesh = {*Biodiversity ; *Climate Change ; *Temperature ; Animals ; *Aquatic Organisms/physiology ; Ecosystem ; Oceans and Seas ; },
abstract = {Climate change is exposing marine species to unsuitable temperatures while also creating new thermally suitable habitats of varying persistence. However, understanding how these different dynamics will unfold over time remains limited. We use yearly sea surface temperature projections to estimate temporal dynamics of thermal exposure (when temperature exceeds realised species' thermal limits) and opportunity (when temperature at a previously unsuitable site becomes suitable) for 21,696 marine species globally until 2100. Thermal opportunities are projected to arise earlier and accumulate gradually, especially in temperate and polar regions. Thermal exposure increases later and occurs more abruptly, mainly in the tropics. Assemblages tend to show either high exposure or high opportunity, but seldom both. Strong emissions reductions reduce exposure around 100-fold whereas reductions in opportunities are halved. Globally, opportunities are projected to emerge faster than exposure until mid-century when exposure increases more rapidly under a high emissions scenario. Moreover, across emissions and dispersal scenarios, 76%-97% of opportunities are projected to persist until 2100. These results indicate thermal opportunities could be a major source of marine biodiversity change, especially in the near- and mid-term. Our work provides a framework for predicting where and when thermal changes will occur to guide monitoring efforts.},
}
@article {pmid39009406,
year = {2024},
author = {Domingo, KN and Gabaldon, KL and Hussari, MN and Yap, JM and Valmadrid, LC and Robinson, K and Leibel, S},
title = {Impact of climate change on paediatric respiratory health: pollutants and aeroallergens.},
journal = {European respiratory review : an official journal of the European Respiratory Society},
volume = {33},
number = {172},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1183/16000617.0249-2023},
pmid = {39009406},
issn = {1600-0617},
mesh = {Humans ; *Climate Change ; *Allergens/adverse effects/immunology ; *Air Pollutants/adverse effects/immunology ; Child ; *Environmental Exposure/adverse effects ; Risk Factors ; Risk Assessment ; Air Pollution/adverse effects ; Respiratory Tract Diseases/epidemiology/etiology ; Inhalation Exposure/adverse effects ; Child, Preschool ; Age Factors ; Adolescent ; Infant ; Animals ; Infant, Newborn ; Child Health ; },
abstract = {Paediatric populations are particularly vulnerable to respiratory diseases caused and exacerbated by aeroallergens, pollutants and infectious agents. Worsening climate change is expected to increase the prevalence of pollutants and aeroallergens while amplifying disease severity and causing disproportionate effects in under-resourced areas. The purpose of this narrative review is to summarise the role of anthropogenic climate change in the literature examining the future impact of aeroallergens, pollutants and infectious agents on paediatric respiratory diseases with a focus on equitable disease mitigation. The aeroallergens selected for discussion include pollen, dust mites and mould as these are prevalent triggers of paediatric asthma worldwide. Human rhinovirus and respiratory syncytial virus are key viruses interacting with climate change and pollution and are primary causal agents of viral respiratory disease. Within this review, we present the propensity for aeroallergens, climate change and pollution to synergistically exacerbate paediatric respiratory disease and outline measures that can ameliorate the expected increase in morbidity and severity of disease through a health equity lens. We support shifting from fossil fuels to renewable energy worldwide, across sectors, as a primary means of reducing increases in morbidity.},
}
@article {pmid39009235,
year = {2024},
author = {Gizaw, Z and Salubi, E and Pietroniro, A and Schuster-Wallace, CJ},
title = {Impacts of climate change on water-related mosquito-borne diseases in temperate regions: A systematic review of literature and meta-analysis.},
journal = {Acta tropica},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {107324},
doi = {10.1016/j.actatropica.2024.107324},
pmid = {39009235},
issn = {1873-6254},
abstract = {Mosquito-borne diseases are a known tropical phenomenon. This review was conducted to assesses the mechanisms through which climate change impacts mosquito-borne diseases in temperate regions. Articles were searched from PubMed, Scopus, Web of Science, and Embase databases. Identification criteria were scope (climate change and mosquito-borne diseases), region (temperate), article type (peer-reviewed), publication language (English), and publication years (since 2015). The WWH (who, what, how) framework was applied to develop the research question and thematic analyses identified the mechanisms through which climate change affects mosquito-borne diseases. While temperature ranges for disease transmission vary per mosquito species, all are viable for temperate regions, particularly given projected temperature increases. Zika, chikungunya, and dengue transmission occurs between 18 - 34°C (peak at 26 - 29°C). West Nile virus establishment occurs at monthly average temperatures between 14 - 34.3°C (peak at 23.7 - 25°C). Malaria establishment occurs when the consecutive average daily temperatures are above 16°C until the sum is above 210°C. The identified mechanisms through which climate change affects the transmission of mosquito-borne diseases in temperate regions include: changes in the development of vectors and pathogens; changes in mosquito habitats; extended transmission seasons; changes in geographic spread; changes in abundance and behaviours of hosts; reduced abundance of mosquito predators; interruptions to control operations; and influence on other non-climate factors. Process and stochastic approaches as well as dynamic and spatial models exist to predict mosquito population dynamics, disease transmission, and climate favorability. Future projections based on the observed relations between climate factors and mosquito-borne diseases suggest that mosquito-borne disease expansion is likely to occur in temperate regions due to climate change. While West Nile virus is already established in some temperate regions, Zika, dengue, chikungunya, and malaria are also likely to become established over time. Moving forward, more research is required to model future risks by incorporating climate, environmental, sociodemographic, and mosquito-related factors under changing climates.},
}
@article {pmid39017227,
year = {2023},
author = {Parshley, L},
title = {Blame Game: How scientists got confident attributing disastrous weather to global warming.},
journal = {Scientific American},
volume = {328},
number = {6},
pages = {44},
doi = {10.1038/scientificamerican0623-44},
pmid = {39017227},
issn = {0036-8733},
mesh = {*Global Warming/prevention &amp; control ; *Weather ; Humans ; },
}
@article {pmid39017168,
year = {2023},
author = {Oreskes, N},
title = {Social Security and Science: Attacks on the program rest on false "facts" similar to ones used against climate change action.},
journal = {Scientific American},
volume = {328},
number = {5},
pages = {86},
doi = {10.1038/scientificamerican0523-86},
pmid = {39017168},
issn = {0036-8733},
}
@article {pmid39017524,
year = {2023},
author = {Helmuth, L},
title = {Mates and Strangers: Love in the brain, how dreams predict disease and better words for climate change in this month's issue of Scientific American.},
journal = {Scientific American},
volume = {328},
number = {2},
pages = {4},
doi = {10.1038/scientificamerican0223-4},
pmid = {39017524},
issn = {0036-8733},
mesh = {*Climate Change ; Humans ; Brain/physiology ; Love ; },
}
@article {pmid39017091,
year = {2023},
author = {Haaland, D},
title = {Satellites Can Help Us Fight Climate Change: Landsat data will shape the Biden administration's climate change plans.},
journal = {Scientific American},
volume = {328},
number = {1},
pages = {9},
doi = {10.1038/scientificamerican0123-9},
pmid = {39017091},
issn = {0036-8733},
}
@article {pmid39016934,
year = {2022},
author = {Montañez, A and Thompson, A},
title = {The Cost of Climate Change: How each nation's greenhouse gas emissions have cost others.},
journal = {Scientific American},
volume = {327},
number = {5},
pages = {88},
doi = {10.1038/scientificamerican1122-88},
pmid = {39016934},
issn = {0036-8733},
}
@article {pmid39016848,
year = {2022},
author = {Goodkin, N and Pullen, J},
title = {Let Oceans Breathe: Marine oxygen levels are the next great casualty of climate change.},
journal = {Scientific American},
volume = {326},
number = {4},
pages = {11},
doi = {10.1038/scientificamerican0422-11},
pmid = {39016848},
issn = {0036-8733},
}
@article {pmid39016663,
year = {2022},
author = {Thompson, A},
title = {Generational Climate Change: Young people will suffer the most from warming temperatures.},
journal = {Scientific American},
volume = {326},
number = {2},
pages = {76},
doi = {10.1038/scientificamerican0222-76},
pmid = {39016663},
issn = {0036-8733},
}
@article {pmid39008671,
year = {2024},
author = {Shahvandi, MK and Adhikari, S and Dumberry, M and Mishra, S and Soja, B},
title = {The increasingly dominant role of climate change on length of day variations.},
journal = {Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America},
volume = {121},
number = {30},
pages = {e2406930121},
doi = {10.1073/pnas.2406930121},
pmid = {39008671},
issn = {1091-6490},
support = {N-SLCT ESI CSP//NASA Sea-Level Change Team (N-SLCT), Earth Surface and Interior (ESI) Focus Area, and the Cryospheric Science Program/ ; RGPIN-2018-05796//Discovery Grant from NSERC/CRSNG of Canada/ ; },
abstract = {The melting of ice sheets and global glaciers results in sea-level rise, a pole-to-equator mass transport increasing Earth's oblateness and resulting in an increase in the length of day (LOD). Here, we use observations and reconstructions of mass variations at the Earth's surface since 1900 to show that the climate-induced LOD trend hovered between 0.3 and 1.0 ms/cy in the 20th century, but has accelerated to 1.33 [Formula: see text] 0.03 ms/cy since 2000. We further show that surface mass transport fully explains the accelerating trend in the Earth oblateness observed in the past three decades. We derive an independent measure of the decreasing LOD trend induced by Glacial Isostatic Adjustment (GIA) of [Formula: see text]0.80 [Formula: see text] 0.10 ms/cy, which provides a constraint for the mantle viscosity. The sum of this GIA rate and lunar tidal friction fully explains the secular LOD trend that is inferred from the eclipse record in the past three millennia prior to the onset of contemporary climate change. Projections of future climate warming under high emission scenarios suggest that the climate-induced LOD rate may reach 2.62 [Formula: see text] 0.79 ms/cy by 2100, overtaking lunar tidal friction as the single most important contributor to the long-term LOD variations.},
}
@article {pmid39008128,
year = {2024},
author = {McNellie, JP and May, WE and Rieseberg, LH and Hulke, BS},
title = {Association studies of salinity tolerance in sunflower provide robust breeding and selection strategies under climate change.},
journal = {TAG. Theoretical and applied genetics. Theoretische und angewandte Genetik},
volume = {137},
number = {8},
pages = {184},
pmid = {39008128},
issn = {1432-2242},
support = {LSARP2014-223SUN//Genome Canada/ ; 3060-21000-043-00D//USDA-ARS/ ; 3060-21000-047-00D//USDA-ARS/ ; 2019077//NSF MRI (US)/ ; },
mesh = {*Helianthus/genetics/growth &amp; development/physiology ; *Salt Tolerance/genetics ; *Phenotype ; *Climate Change ; *Plant Breeding ; Salinity ; Quantitative Trait Loci ; Soil/chemistry ; Genetic Association Studies ; Chromosome Mapping ; Polymorphism, Single Nucleotide ; Selection, Genetic ; Genome-Wide Association Study ; Genotype ; },
abstract = {Phytotoxic soil salinity is a global problem, and in the northern Great Plains and western Canada, salt accumulates on the surface of marine sediment soils with high water tables under annual crop cover, particularly near wetlands. Crop production can overcome saline-affected soils using crop species and cultivars with salinity tolerance along with changes in management practices. This research seeks to improve our understanding of sunflower (Helianthus annuus) genetic tolerance to high salinity soils. Genome-wide association was conducted using the Sunflower Association Mapping panel grown for two years in naturally occurring saline soils (2016 and 2017, near Indian Head, Saskatchewan, Canada), and six phenotypes were measured: days to bloom, height, leaf area, leaf mass, oil percentage, and yield. Plot level soil salinity was determined by grid sampling of soil followed by kriging. Three estimates of sunflower performance were calculated: (1) under low soil salinity (< 4 dS/m), (2) under high soil salinity (> 4 dS/m), and (3) plasticity (regression coefficient between phenotype and soil salinity). Fourteen loci were significant, with one instance of co-localization between a leaf area and a leaf mass locus. Some genomic regions identified as significant in this study were also significant in a recent greenhouse salinity experiment using the same panel. Also, some candidate genes underlying significant QTL have been identified in other plant species as having a role in salinity response. This research identifies alleles for cultivar improvement and for genetic studies to further elucidate salinity tolerance pathways.},
}
@article {pmid39007436,
year = {2024},
author = {Bhatt, P and Padhi, A and Agarwal, A and Katoch, CDS},
title = {The impact of climate change on viral transmission: Viral persistence and reactivation.},
journal = {Journal of medical virology},
volume = {96},
number = {7},
pages = {e29813},
doi = {10.1002/jmv.29813},
pmid = {39007436},
issn = {1096-9071},
mesh = {Humans ; *Climate Change ; Virus Activation ; Virus Diseases/transmission/virology ; Virus Latency ; },
}
@article {pmid39003900,
year = {2024},
author = {Zhang, J and Cong, RG},
title = {Managing ecosystem services in oleaginous forests for bioenergy provision and climate change mitigation.},
journal = {Journal of environmental management},
volume = {366},
number = {},
pages = {121790},
doi = {10.1016/j.jenvman.2024.121790},
pmid = {39003900},
issn = {1095-8630},
abstract = {Oleaginous forests provide diverse ecosystem services, including timber, seed yield (a vital feedstock for biodiesel production), and substantial carbon savings. These carbon savings encompass carbon sequestration related to timber growth and carbon savings resulting from substituting fossil fuel with biodiesel. However, oleaginous forests are vulnerable to seed wasp attacks (disservice), which significantly threaten both seed yield and carbon savings. Using an integrated ecological-economic model that includes Faustmann's Land Expectation Value model and a pest damage control model, we aim to understand the intricate relationship among multiple ecosystem services and disservices of oleaginous forests. The results reveal four distinct phases contingent on varying pesticide application rates: the pesticide under-use phase, substitution phase, complementary phase, and over-use phase. Notably, a potential avenue to minimize pest damage is identified during the complementary phase by reducing the optimal rotation age at the expense of decreased carbon sequestration and bioenergy provision, posing a challenge to climate change mitigation. These findings have implications for formulating policies to manage conflicting ecosystem services of energy forests, offering valuable insights into the intersection of sustainable forest management and climate policy.},
}
@article {pmid39003013,
year = {2024},
author = {McNamara, M and Barondeau, J and Brown, J},
title = {Mental Health, Climate Change, and Bodily Autonomy: An Analysis of Adolescent Health Policy in the Post-Pandemic Climate.},
journal = {Pediatric clinics of North America},
volume = {71},
number = {4},
pages = {729-744},
doi = {10.1016/j.pcl.2024.05.004},
pmid = {39003013},
issn = {1557-8240},
mesh = {Humans ; Adolescent ; *COVID-19/epidemiology/psychology ; *Health Policy ; *Mental Health ; *Climate Change ; *Adolescent Health ; *Personal Autonomy ; Young Adult ; SARS-CoV-2 ; United States/epidemiology ; },
abstract = {The COVID-19 pandemic exacerbated the vulnerability of adolescents and young adults (AYAs) who face economic disadvantage, depend on social safety net resources, have politically targeted identities, are geopolitically displaced, and/or are racially or ethnically marginalized. A rapid change in social safety net policies has impacts that reverberate throughout interrelated domains of AYA health, especially for vulnerable AYAs. The authors analyze policy-related changes in mental health, climate change, and bodily autonomy to offer a paradigm for an equitable path forward.},
}
@article {pmid39002574,
year = {2024},
author = {Fabri-Ruiz, S and Berdalet, E and Ulses, C and Somot, S and Vila, M and Lemée, R and Irisson, JO},
title = {Harmful Ostreopsis cf. ovata blooms could extend in time span with climate change in the Western Mediterranean Sea.},
journal = {The Science of the total environment},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {174726},
doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.174726},
pmid = {39002574},
issn = {1879-1026},
abstract = {Fast environmental changes and high coastal human pressures and impacts threaten the Mediterranean Sea. Over the last decade, recurrent blooms of the harmful dinoflagellate Ostreopsis cf. ovata have been recorded in many Mediterranean beaches. These microalgae produce toxins that affect marine organisms and human health. Understanding the environmental conditions that influence the appearance and magnitude of O. cf. ovata blooms, as well as how climate change will modify its future distribution and dynamics, is crucial for predicting and managing their effects. This study investigates whether the spatio-temporal distribution of this microalga and the frequency of its blooms could be altered in future climate change scenarios in the Mediterranean Western basin. For the first time, an ecological habitat model (EHM) is forced by physico-chemical climate change simulations at high-resolution, under the strong greenhouse gas emission trajectory (RCP8.5). It allows to characterize how O. cf. ovata may respond to projected conditions and how its distribution could shift over a wide spatial scale, in this plausible future. Before being applied to the EHM, future climate simulations are further refined by using a statistical adaptation method (Cumulative Distribution Function transform) to improve the predictions robustness. Temperature (optimum 23-26 °C), high salinity (>38 psu) and high inorganic nutrient concentrations (nitrate >0.25 mmol N·m[-3] and phosphate >0.035 mmol P·m[-3]) drive O. cf. ovata abundances. High spatial disparities in future abundances are observed. Namely, O. cf. ovata abundances could increase on the Mediterranean coasts of France, Spain and the Adriatic Sea while a decrease is expected in the Tyrrhenian Sea. The bloom period could be extended, starting earlier and continuing later in the year. From a methodological point of view, this study highlights best practices of EHMs in the context of climate change to identify sensitive areas for current and future harmful algal blooms.},
}
@article {pmid39002547,
year = {2024},
author = {Mozumder, MK},
title = {Pre-migration decision-making support for people affected by climate change.},
journal = {The lancet. Psychiatry},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1016/S2215-0366(24)00216-5},
pmid = {39002547},
issn = {2215-0374},
}
@article {pmid39002461,
year = {2024},
author = {Ahmed, R and Chen, XH and Hoang, YH and Do-Linh, C},
title = {Climate change effects and their implications for the financial markets: Evidence from the United Kingdom.},
journal = {Journal of environmental management},
volume = {366},
number = {},
pages = {121782},
doi = {10.1016/j.jenvman.2024.121782},
pmid = {39002461},
issn = {1095-8630},
abstract = {This study aims to examine how the climate affects the behaviour of the stock market. To achieve this, we have drawn on daily data from Jan 2005 to Jan 31, 2023 and several environmental factors (e.g., temperature, humidity, cloud cover and visibility) to account for extreme weather conditions using the 21-day moving average and its standard deviation. The empirical analysis has revealed three key findings regarding the impact of weather on the stock market's behaviour. First, various forms of extreme weather conditions consistently lead to influence stock behaviour. Second, results provide valuable insights into market behaviour and help investors to make more informed investment decisions. Third, the weather conditions have new information about the climate risk and investors should react to it swiftly in light of our findings. The saliency theory can help reconcile the theoretical conflicts between the real options and risk-shifting theories when it comes to investing in uncertain and extreme climate conditions.},
}
@article {pmid38999693,
year = {2024},
author = {Soare, R and Dinu, M and Babeanu, C and Niculescu, M and Soare, M and Botu, M},
title = {Quantitative and Qualitative Production of Species Cucumis metuliferus and the Potential for Adaptation in the Context of Current Climate Change.},
journal = {Plants (Basel, Switzerland)},
volume = {13},
number = {13},
pages = {},
pmid = {38999693},
issn = {2223-7747},
abstract = {Cucumis metuliferus E. Meyer ex Naudin belongs to the family Cucurbitaceae. It is an annual vegetable species known as horned melon or kiwano. Fruits are recommended for the daily diet because they provide vitamins, minerals, and phytochemicals to alleviate malnutrition and improve human health. In this study, kiwano was cultivated in the climatic conditions of Southwestern Romania, which is characterized by warm summers, lower precipitation, and high temperatures, ensuring optimal conditions for growth and development. The fruits were harvested at three stages of consumption: immature stage (green), intermediate stage (white-yellow) or the mature stage (yellow-orange). They were also subjected to analysis on the productive yield and physical-chemical properties. The results showed that the number of fruits ranged from 13.9 to 15.3 fruits/plant, and their average weight had values from 204 g to 234 g, depending on the harvest stage. The results obtained for bioactive compounds and antioxidant activity indicated significant differences (p ≤ 0.05), depending on the harvesting stage. The highest values for the antioxidant capacity (140.90 μM TE/100g DPPH) and total polyphenols (48.78 TPC mg/100 g) were recorded in the immature fruit phase, as well as for the carbohydrate content (3.56%), total protein (1.98%), ascorbic acid (4.3 mg/100 g f.w.), and carotene (0.98 mg/100 g) in the mature fruit phase. These results may stimulate interest in the introduction of this species as a niche crop and for consumption as a source of natural antioxidants for the prevention of diseases due to oxidative stress.},
}
@article {pmid38999591,
year = {2024},
author = {Fan, W and Luo, Y},
title = {Impacts of Climate Change on the Distribution of Suitable Habitats and Ecological Niche for Trollius Wildflowers in Ili River Valley, Tacheng, Altay Prefecture.},
journal = {Plants (Basel, Switzerland)},
volume = {13},
number = {13},
pages = {},
pmid = {38999591},
issn = {2223-7747},
abstract = {Xinjiang in China is distinguished by its distinctive regional landscape and high ecological sensitivity. Trollius wildflowers represent a unique and iconic element of the mountain flower landscape in Xinjiang. However, their populations are predominantly distributed in mountainous areas, making them susceptible to climate change. Despite this, the impacts of climate change on the distribution of suitable habitats and ecological niche differentiation for Trollius wildflowers have rarely been quantified. Consequently, simulations were conducted using the R-optimized MaxEnt model to predict the suitable habitat distribution of Trollius wildflowers. This was based on the occurrence data and environmental variables for the four species of Trollius (T. altaicus, T. asiaticus, T. dschungaricus, and T. lilacinus) that exist in the study area. The simulation was conducted over a period of time, beginning with the past glacial period and extending to the present, and then to the future (2050s, 2070s, and 2090s) under multiple scenarios (SSP1-2.6, SSP3-7.0, SSP5-8.5). The simulation of suitable habitats enabled the measurement of the ecological niche breadth and differentiation. The results demonstrate that the model predictions are precisely accurate, with AUC values exceeding 0.9. Annual mean temperature (Bio1), isothermality (Bio3), and precipitation in the warmest quarter (Bio18) are the dominant climate variables, in addition to vegetation, elevation, and soil factors. The proportion of suitable habitats for Trollius wildflowers varies considerably over time, from 0.14% to 70.97%. The majority of habitat loss or gain occurs at the edges of mountains, while stable habitats are concentrated in the core of the mountains. The gravity center of suitable habitats also shifts with spatial transfer, with the shifts mainly occurring in a northeasterly-southwesterly direction. The SSP1-2.6 scenario results in the sustained maintenance of habitats, whereas the SSP3-7.0 and SSP5-8.5 scenarios present challenges to the conservation of habitats. The threshold of ecological niche breadth for Trollius wildflowers is subject to fluctuations, while the ecological niche differentiation also varies. The study aims to examine the evolution of the habitat and ecological niche of Trollius wildflowers in Xinjiang under climate change. The findings will provide theoretical support for delineating the conservation area, clarify the scope of mountain flower tourism development and protection of mountain flower resources, and promote the sustainable development of ecotourism and effective utilization of territorial space in Xinjiang.},
}
@article {pmid38999590,
year = {2024},
author = {Yang, X and Li, X and Cui, J and Liu, R and Li, J and Yang, C},
title = {Response to Climate Change and GAP Analysis of Thuja koraiensis Nakai.},
journal = {Plants (Basel, Switzerland)},
volume = {13},
number = {13},
pages = {},
pmid = {38999590},
issn = {2223-7747},
support = {2019073056//Wildlife Protection and Management Project of the State Forestry Administration/ ; },
abstract = {Due to global warming and increased human activity, the wild population of Thuja koraiensis Nakai (T. koraiensis) has dropped, placing it in danger. An understanding of the response of T. koraiensis to climate change and the determination of priority conservation areas are tremendously critical for proper conservation. Using sixty-nine T. koraiensis distribution points and seven environmental factors, the Maxent model was used to predict potentially suitable areas and spatial variation patterns of T. koraiensis and the Marxan conservation planning model was used to evaluate conservation gap areas. Research shows that the dominant environmental factors affecting the distribution of potentially suitable areas for T. koraiensis included elevation, precipitation of the driest month, isothermality and precipitation of the wettest quarter. Under the current climatic conditions, highly suitable areas for T. koraiensis are mainly distributed in the Changbai Mountains within Samjiyon County and Baishan City, the Hamgyong Mountains within the western part of Hamgyong-Bukto Province, and the T'aeback-Sanmaek Mountains within Gangwon-do, Kumgangsan Special Administrative Region and Kangwon-do. Under future climate conditions, suitable areas for T. koraiensis show a decreasing trend, and the suitable area will be reduced to higher elevations, and the Hamgyong Mountains may become a refuge. Based on GAP analysis, 69.69% of the priority conservation areas of T. koraiensis are located outside of the nature reserve, and these conservation gap areas are primarily in the southern part of the Changbai Mountains and Kangwon-do.},
}
@article {pmid38999584,
year = {2024},
author = {Zhang, L and Jiang, B and Meng, Y and Jia, Y and Xu, Q and Pan, Y},
title = {The Influence of Climate Change on the Distribution of Hibiscus mutabilis in China: MaxEnt Model-Based Prediction.},
journal = {Plants (Basel, Switzerland)},
volume = {13},
number = {13},
pages = {},
pmid = {38999584},
issn = {2223-7747},
support = {202206910043//China Scholarship Council/ ; },
abstract = {Our study utilized 374 geographical distribution records of H. mutabilis and 19 bioclimatic factors, employing the MaxEnt model and the Geographic Information System (ArcGIS). The key environmental variables influencing the suitable distribution areas of H. mutabilis were analyzed through the comprehensive contribution rate, permutation importance, and Pearson correlation coefficient. Based on this analysis, the contemporary and future suitable distribution areas and their extents were predicted. The results indicate that the key limiting factor affecting the suitable distribution areas of H. mutabilis is the precipitation of the driest month (bio14), with secondary factors being annual precipitation (bio12), annual mean temperature (bio1), and annual temperature range (bio7). Under contemporary climate conditions, the total suitable area for H. mutabilis is approximately 2,076,600 km[2], primarily concentrated in the tropical and subtropical regions of southeastern China. Under low-to-medium-emission scenarios (SSP1-2.6, SSP2-4.5), the total suitable area of H. mutabilis shows a trend of first decreasing and then increasing compared to the current scenario. In contrast, under high-emission scenarios (SSP5-8.5), it exhibits a trend of first increasing and then decreasing. The spatial pattern changes indicate that the retention rate of suitable areas for H. mutabilis ranges from 95.28% to 99.28%, with the distribution centers primarily located in Hunan and Guizhou provinces, showing an overall migration trend towards the west and north. These findings suggest that H. mutabilis possesses a certain level of adaptability to climate change. However, it is crucial to consider regional drought and sudden drought events in practical cultivation and introduction processes. The results of our study provide a scientific basis for the rational cultivation management, conservation, and utilization of germplasm resources of H. mutabilis.},
}
@article {pmid38997991,
year = {2024},
author = {Popović, T and Ćurčić, NB and Đurđić, S and Stanojević, G and Raković, M},
title = {An Assessment of the Climate Change Impacts on the Distribution of the Glacial Relict Woodpecker Three-Toed Woodpecker Picoides tridactylus.},
journal = {Animals : an open access journal from MDPI},
volume = {14},
number = {13},
pages = {},
doi = {10.3390/ani14131879},
pmid = {38997991},
issn = {2076-2615},
support = {451-03-66/2024-03/200053, 451-03-66/2024-03/200172 and 451-03-65/2024-03/200091//Ministry of Science, Technological Development and Innovation of the Republic of Serbia/ ; },
abstract = {The Three-Toed Woodpecker Picoides tridactylus is a rare and endangered woodpecker on the Balkan Peninsula. Despite being widely distributed in Northern Europe, its distribution on the Balkan Peninsula is limited to high-altitude forest habitats, where it represents a glacial relict. Assessing the climate change impacts on its distribution can be crucial for improving the conservation and future survival of this specialist species on the Balkan Peninsula. We used species distribution modelling (SDM) to identify its potential distribution in the past (last interglacial and last glacial maximum), present, and future (2050 and 2070). Our results indicate that this species had the greatest distribution during the last glacial maximum, after which its distribution contracted to areas where suitable environment persisted (high altitudes). The largest territory of the Balkan Peninsula has an unsuitable environment for the species to inhabit, while highly suitable habitats have the smallest share in the total area of suitable habitats. All future models show a decrease in the area of suitable habitats compared with the current period, indicating that global warming has a negative effect on the distribution of the species. We recommend that conservation activities must be of greater extent to ensure the species' survival in the Balkans.},
}
@article {pmid38997688,
year = {2024},
author = {Arnot, G and Thomas, S and Pitt, H and McCarthy, S and Warner, E},
title = {"Older people will die of old age. I'll die of climate change": engaging children and young people in climate decision making for public health.},
journal = {BMC public health},
volume = {24},
number = {1},
pages = {1869},
pmid = {38997688},
issn = {1471-2458},
support = {Australian Government Research Training Program Scholarship//Australian Government/ ; },
mesh = {Humans ; *Climate Change ; Child ; Adolescent ; Female ; Male ; *Decision Making ; Australia ; *Public Health ; Qualitative Research ; Interviews as Topic ; },
abstract = {BACKGROUND: The climate crisis is a significant risk to the health and wellbeing of children, young people, and future generations. While there are calls for children and young people's engagement in climate decision making, current power structures limit their participation. This paper aimed to understand children's perspectives about the impact of the climate crisis on their futures, their ability to influence climate decisions, and strategies and mechanisms to facilitate their greater engagement in decisions made about the climate crisis.<br><br>METHODS: Online in-depth interviews were conducted with n&#x2009;=&#x2009;28 children (aged 12-16 years) across Australia. Photo elicitation techniques were used to prompt discussion about how the climate crisis impacted their futures, their ability to influence climate decisions, and strategies and mechanisms to engage them in climate decision making. A reflexive approach to thematic analysis was used to construct three themes from data. Images were analysed for ascribed meanings.<br><br>RESULTS: First, participants stated that they and future generations will inherit the climate crisis from older generations, specifically decision makers. Second, they described a need to address a range of age-related barriers that limit children and young people's engagement in climate decision making, including perceptions about their capabilities. Finally, they discussed strategies and mechanisms to embed children and young people's perspectives within climate decision making, including at civic and political levels.<br><br>CONCLUSIONS: Children and young people have the right to be involved in decisions made about the climate crisis which significantly impact their futures, including their health and wellbeing. They argue for structural changes to embed their views in climate decision making, and describe a range of engagement strategies and mechanisms to structure their perspectives and knowledge with decision making processes. Furthermore, genuine involvement of children and young people in climate discussions must avoid youthwashing and tokenistic participation. The public health community can help address barriers to youth participation in climate action and should actively engage and collaborate with children and young people to facilitate their political and democratic influence over the climate crisis. This involves making room and creating an accessible seat at the decision making table to ensure their perspectives are embedded in climate decisions.},
}
@article {pmid38997601,
year = {2024},
author = {Rathnayake, H and Mizunoya, T},
title = {Assessing the global warming potential impact of organic fertilizer strategies in rice cultivation in Sri Lanka.},
journal = {Environmental science and pollution research international},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
pmid = {38997601},
issn = {1614-7499},
abstract = {Rice is the staple food in Sri Lanka, and over 15% of the national land is allocated for rice cultivation. Greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions from rice fields account for 10% of national GHG emissions. The country has committed to reducing its emissions by 14.5% between 2010 and 2030 and achieving net zero emissions by 2060. In 2021, the country banned agro-fertilizer imports and opted for organic fertilizers, leading to a notable decrease in production and posing challenges to food security. However, the impact of adopting compost fertilizers alone remains unexplored. This study evaluated the global warming impact of two organic fertilizer strategies: switching to compost fertilizer instead of urea and applying rice straw compost instead of retaining crop residue. We applied the Denitrification and Decomposition model (DNDC 95) to rice field management data from Sri Lanka's Mahaweli H agricultural region. Simulations suggest that both strategies would increase the global warming potential of rice fields, mainly owing to elevated N2O emissions. This outweighs the mitigation benefits of avoiding crop residue retention and adding organic carbon through compost. Overall, our results point to the potential risk of shifting exclusively to compost-based fertilizers.},
}
@article {pmid38997557,
year = {2024},
author = {Krämer, K},
title = {Daily briefing: Why climate change is making flights rougher.},
journal = {Nature},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1038/d41586-024-01569-5},
pmid = {38997557},
issn = {1476-4687},
}
@article {pmid38997290,
year = {2024},
author = {Taniushkina, D and Lukashevich, A and Shevchenko, V and Belalov, IS and Sotiriadi, N and Narozhnaia, V and Kovalev, K and Krenke, A and Lazarichev, N and Bulkin, A and Maximov, Y},
title = {Case study on climate change effects and food security in Southeast Asia.},
journal = {Scientific reports},
volume = {14},
number = {1},
pages = {16150},
pmid = {38997290},
issn = {2045-2322},
mesh = {*Climate Change ; Asia, Southeastern ; *Food Security ; Humans ; *Agriculture ; *Crops, Agricultural/growth &amp; development ; Oryza/growth &amp; development ; Crop Production ; Food Supply ; },
abstract = {Agriculture, a cornerstone of human civilization, faces rising challenges from climate change, resource limitations, and stagnating yields. Precise crop production forecasts are crucial for shaping trade policies, development strategies, and humanitarian initiatives. This study introduces a comprehensive machine learning framework designed to predict crop production. We leverage CMIP5 climate projections under a moderate carbon emission scenario to evaluate the future suitability of agricultural lands and incorporate climatic data, historical agricultural trends, and fertilizer usage to project yield changes. Our integrated approach forecasts significant regional variations in crop production across Southeast Asia by 2028, identifying potential cropland utilization. Specifically, the cropland area in Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, and Viet Nam is projected to decline by more than 10% if no action is taken, and there is potential to mitigate that loss. Moreover, rice production is projected to decline by 19% in Viet Nam and 7% in Thailand, while the Philippines may see a 5% increase compared to 2021 levels. Our findings underscore the critical impacts of climate change and human activities on agricultural productivity, offering essential insights for policy-making and fostering international cooperation.},
}
@article {pmid38997028,
year = {2024},
author = {Wu, S and Zhou, X and Reyns, J and Yamazaki, D and Yin, J and Li, X},
title = {Climate change and urban sprawl: Unveiling the escalating flood risks in river deltas with a deep dive into the GBM river delta.},
journal = {The Science of the total environment},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {174703},
doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.174703},
pmid = {38997028},
issn = {1879-1026},
abstract = {River deltas, such as the Ganges-Brahmaputra-Meghna (GBM) delta, are highly vulnerable to flooding, exacerbated by intense human activities and rapid urban growth. This study explores the evolution of urban flood risks in the GBM delta under the combined impacts of climate change and urban expansion. Unlike traditional assessments that focus on a single flood source, we consider multiple sources-coastal, fluvial, and pluvial. Our findings indicate that future urban expansion will significantly increase flood exposure, with a substantial rise in flood risk from all sources by the end of this century. Climate change is the main driver of increased coastal flood risks, while urban growth primarily amplifies fluvial, and pluvial flood risks. This highlights the urgent need for adaptive urban planning strategies to mitigate future flooding and support sustainable urban development. The extreme high emissions future scenario (SSP5-8.5) shows the largest urban growth and consequent flood risk, emphasizing the necessity for preemptive measures to mitigate future urban flooding. Our study provides crucial insights into flood risk dynamics in delta environments, aiding policymakers and planners in developing resilience strategies against escalating flood threats.},
}
@article {pmid38996601,
year = {2024},
author = {Wang, L and Huang, Z and Gan, B and Zhang, Z and Fu, H and Fang, D and Dong, R and Liu, Y and Zhang, W and Li, R and Dong, X},
title = {Climate change impacts on magnitude and frequency of urban floods under scenario and model uncertainties.},
journal = {Journal of environmental management},
volume = {366},
number = {},
pages = {121679},
doi = {10.1016/j.jenvman.2024.121679},
pmid = {38996601},
issn = {1095-8630},
abstract = {Many studies have confirmed that climate change leads to frequent urban flooding, which can lead to significant socioeconomic repercussions. However, most existing studies have not evaluated the impacts of climate change on urban flood from both event-scale and annual-scale dimensions. In addition, there are only few studies that simultaneously consider scenario and model uncertainties of climate change, and combine flood risk assessment and uncertainty analysis results to provide practical suggestions for urban drainage system management. This study uses the statistical downscaling method to calculate the design rainfall under ten rainfall return periods of four climate models and three climate change scenarios in 2040s, 2060s, and 2080s in various prefecture-level cities in China. The four climate models are HadGEM2- ES, MPI-ESM-MR, NorESM1-M and FGOALS-g2 models and the three climate change scenarios are constructed by different representative concentration pathways (RCP), namely RCP2.6, RCP4.5 and RCP8.5. On this basis, relying on the generated drainage systems using geographical information and other data, event-scale and annual-scale precipitation are combined to calculate the change ratio of annual flood volume expectation in prefecture-level cities in each future year compared with the current situation. Furthermore, the study evaluates scenario and model uncertainties of climate change, and then comprehensively integrates the flood risk and its uncertainties to provides suggestions for urban drainage system management.},
}
@article {pmid38995941,
year = {2024},
author = {, },
title = {Correction: Vegetation and climate change at the southern margin of the Neo-Tethys during the Cenomanian (Late Cretaceous): Evidence from Egypt.},
journal = {PloS one},
volume = {19},
number = {7},
pages = {e0307337},
pmid = {38995941},
issn = {1932-6203},
abstract = {[This corrects the article DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0281008.].},
}
@article {pmid38995471,
year = {2024},
author = {Saraf, PN and Srivastava, J and Munoz, F and Charles, B and Samal, P},
title = {How can dry tropical forests respond to climate change? Predictions for key Non-Timber Forest Product species show different trends in India.},
journal = {Environmental monitoring and assessment},
volume = {196},
number = {8},
pages = {727},
pmid = {38995471},
issn = {1573-2959},
mesh = {*Climate Change ; India ; *Forests ; *Tropical Climate ; Ecosystem ; Environmental Monitoring ; Trees ; Conservation of Natural Resources ; },
abstract = {The present study provides an assessment of the distribution of key Non-Timber Forest Product species in India, namely Aegle marmelos (L.) Correa, Buchanania lanzan Spreng., Madhuca longifolia (J. Koenig ex L.) J. F. Macbr., Phyllanthus emblica L. and Terminalia bellirica (Gaertn.) Roxb. The suitable habitat was analyzed under current climate scenarios and subsequently, the future distribution (2050s and 2070s) was mapped under RCP 2.6 and 8.5 scenarios, along with the past distribution (mid-Holocene, ~ 6000 cal year BP) using the MaxEnt species distribution model. The distribution of all species is primarily driven by key bioclimatic factors, including annual precipitation (Bio_12), mean annual temperature (Bio_1), isothermality (Bio_3) and precipitation of the coldest quarter (Bio_19). The results indicate that the present distribution of these species is mainly centred in the Western Ghats regions, Central Highlands, North-eastern India and Siwalik hills. The current study suggests that under the future climate change, the suitable habitat for A. marmelos and T. bellirica is expected to increase while for B. lanzan, M. longifolia and P. emblica, it is projected to decline. A. marmelos and T. bellirica are anticipated to exhibit resilience to future climate changes and are expected to be minimally affected, while B. lanzan, M. longifolia and P. emblica are highly sensitive to high temperature and alteration in rainfall pattern expected under future climate changes. The projections of habitat suitability areas can be used as a valuable foundation for developing conservation and restoration strategies aimed at alleviating the climate change impacts on NTFP species.},
}
@article {pmid38995253,
year = {2024},
author = {Krueger, J and Long, J and Bikomeye, JC},
title = {Climate Change and Health: Public Health and Legal Strategies to Reduce Reliance on Fossil Fuels, Increase Air Quality, and Improve Human Health.},
journal = {The Journal of law, medicine &amp; ethics : a journal of the American Society of Law, Medicine &amp; Ethics},
volume = {52},
number = {S1},
pages = {53-56},
doi = {10.1017/jme.2024.49},
pmid = {38995253},
issn = {1748-720X},
support = {//Robert Wood Johnson Foundation/ ; },
mesh = {Humans ; *Climate Change ; *Public Health/legislation &amp; jurisprudence ; *Fossil Fuels ; *Air Pollution/legislation &amp; jurisprudence/prevention &amp; control ; United States ; Renewable Energy ; },
abstract = {Reliance upon fossil fuels and limited greenspace contribute to poor indoor and outdoor air quality and adverse health outcomes, particularly in communities of color. This article describes justice-informed public health and legal interventions to increase access to greenspace and accelerate the transitions to renewable energy and away from gas appliances.},
}
@article {pmid38995250,
year = {2024},
author = {Agahi, M and Bartlett, E and Lawton, B and Salehi, C},
title = {Scalable, Coordinated Strategies Leveraging Community Health Workers in Addressing the Adverse and Inequitable Health Effects of Climate Change.},
journal = {The Journal of law, medicine &amp; ethics : a journal of the American Society of Law, Medicine &amp; Ethics},
volume = {52},
number = {S1},
pages = {62-65},
doi = {10.1017/jme.2024.48},
pmid = {38995250},
issn = {1748-720X},
mesh = {*Climate Change ; Humans ; *Community Health Workers ; United States ; },
abstract = {Effective climate change resilience in local communities must center each community's unique challenges and essential role in developing climate resilience strategies. This article will discuss recent developments by the federal government that align with a community-centered approach, and how Community Health Workers can influence the outcomes.},
}
@article {pmid38995245,
year = {2024},
author = {Agahi, M and Bartlett, E and Lawton, B and McAdams, J and Roy, R and Salehi, C},
title = {Local Public Health Departments at the Intersection of Climate Change, Health Equity, and Public Health Laws and Policies.},
journal = {The Journal of law, medicine &amp; ethics : a journal of the American Society of Law, Medicine &amp; Ethics},
volume = {52},
number = {S1},
pages = {57-61},
doi = {10.1017/jme.2024.47},
pmid = {38995245},
issn = {1748-720X},
mesh = {*Climate Change ; *Health Equity/legislation &amp; jurisprudence ; Humans ; *Local Government ; *Health Policy/legislation &amp; jurisprudence ; *Public Health/legislation &amp; jurisprudence ; United States ; Public Health Administration/legislation &amp; jurisprudence ; },
abstract = {Public health laws and policies are uniquely able to mitigate the adverse and inequitable health impacts of climate change. This article summarizes some key considerations in developing such laws and policies and a variety of approaches local public health departments are using to increase climate resilience and health equity.},
}
@article {pmid38995131,
year = {2024},
author = {Bonafede, M and Morabito, M and Marinaccio, A},
title = {[Tools of action for reducing the effects of climate change on occupational health and safety].},
journal = {Epidemiologia e prevenzione},
volume = {48},
number = {3},
pages = {189-192},
doi = {10.19191/EP24.3.A742.052},
pmid = {38995131},
issn = {1120-9763},
mesh = {*Climate Change ; Humans ; *Occupational Health ; Italy ; },
}
@article {pmid38993973,
year = {2024},
author = {Mach, KJ and Jagannathan, K and Shi, L and Turek-Hankins, LL and Arnold, JR and Brelsford, C and Flores, AN and Gao, J and Martín, CE and McCollum, DL and Moss, R and Niemann, J and Rashleigh, B and Reed, PM},
title = {Research to Confront Climate Change Complexity: Intersectionality, Integration, and Innovative Governance.},
journal = {Earth's future},
volume = {12},
number = {6},
pages = {1-17},
pmid = {38993973},
issn = {2328-4277},
abstract = {Climate impacts increasingly unfold in interlinked systems of people, nature, and infrastructure. The cascading consequences are revealing sometimes surprising connections across sectors and regions, and prospects for climate responses also depend on complex, difficult-to-understand interactions. In this commentary, we build on the innovations of the United States Fifth National Climate Assessment to suggest a framework for understanding and responding to complex climate challenges. This approach involves: (a) integration of disciplines and expertise to understand how intersectionality shapes complex climate impacts and the wide-ranging effects of climate responses, (b) collaborations among diverse knowledge holders to improve responses and better encompass intersectionality, and (c) sustained experimentation with and learning about governance approaches capable of handling the complexity of climate change. Together, these three pillars underscore that usability of climate-relevant knowledge requires transdisciplinary coordination of research and practice. We outline actionable steps for climate research to incorporate intersectionality, integration, and innovative governance, as is increasingly necessary for confronting climate complexity and sustaining equitable, ideally vibrant climate futures.},
}
@article {pmid38992906,
year = {2024},
author = {Braunwald, E},
title = {Cardiovascular effects of climate change.},
journal = {European heart journal},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1093/eurheartj/ehae401},
pmid = {38992906},
issn = {1522-9645},
}
@article {pmid38991350,
year = {2024},
author = {Nakhaei, P and Kisi, O and Nakhaei, M and Fathollahi-Fard, AM and Gheibi, M},
title = {Assessment of climate change on river streamflow under different representative concentration pathways.},
journal = {Journal of environmental management},
volume = {366},
number = {},
pages = {121754},
doi = {10.1016/j.jenvman.2024.121754},
pmid = {38991350},
issn = {1095-8630},
abstract = {Climate change and excessive greenhouse gas emissions profoundly impact hydrological cycles, particularly in arid and semi-arid regions, necessitating assessments of their effects on water resource management, agriculture, soil fertility, nutrient transport, hydropower generation, and flood risk. This study investigates climate change repercussions on streamflow in the Zarrineh River Basin, Iran, across three decadal intervals (2020-2029, 2055-2064, and 2090-2099) aiming to develop effective adaptation and mitigation strategies. Four General Circulation Models (GCMs), chosen based on distinct Representative Concentration Pathways (RCPs) determined by the annual mean temperature gradient, are employed. These models generate daily maximum (Tmax) and minimum (Tmin) temperatures along with precipitation data. Subsequently, these variables are integrated into the Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) model to analyze river flow alterations for each decadal timeframe. Comparison between future projections and observed climate data reveals a gradual decline in precipitation and Tmax, coupled with a substantial increase in Tmin. The average precipitation diminishes from 0.77 mm in the period 1985-1994 to a range of 0.42-0.28 mm in 2090-2099. The simulated flow at the basin outlet highlights that the GCM with the highest annual mean temperature gradient yields the lowest streamflow, while conversely, the model with the lowest gradient generates the highest. Consequently, streamflow experiences a decline from 52 m[3]/s in 1985-1994 to a range of 41-20 m[3]/s in 2090-2099.},
}
@article {pmid38991348,
year = {2024},
author = {Zimmermann, B and Kruber, S and Nendel, C and Munack, H and Hildmann, C},
title = {Assessing the cooling potential of climate change adaptation measures in rural areas.},
journal = {Journal of environmental management},
volume = {366},
number = {},
pages = {121595},
doi = {10.1016/j.jenvman.2024.121595},
pmid = {38991348},
issn = {1095-8630},
abstract = {Atmospheric heat has become a major public concern in a rapidly warming world. Evapotranspiration, however, provides effective land surface cooling during the vegetation period. Adversely, modern cultural landscapes - due to both water and potential evapotranspiration pathways lacking - are increasingly incapable of offering this important benefit. We hypothesised that concerted measures for a revived landscape water retention can fuel plant transpiration, especially during dry periods, and thus contribute to climate change adaptation by stabilising the regional climate. Seeking nature-based ways to an improved landscape water retention, we used the land surface temperature (LST) as a proxy for landscape mesoclimate. For our drought-prone rural study area, we identified potential candidate environmental predictors for which we established statistical relationships to LST. We then, from a set of potential climate change adaptation measures, mapped selected items to potential locations of implementation. Building on that, we evaluated a certain measures' probable cooling effect using (i) the fitted model and (ii) the expected expression of predictors before and after a hypothetical measure implementation. In the modelling, we took into account the spatial and temporal autocorrelation of the LST data and thus achieved realistic parameter estimates. Using the candidate predictor set and the model, we were able to establish a ranking of the effectiveness of climate adaptation measures. However, due to the spatial variability of the predictors, the modelled LST is site-specific. This results in a spatial differentiation of a measure's benefit. Furthermore, seasonal variations occur, such as those caused by plant growth. On average, the afforestation of arable land or urban brownfields, and the rewetting of former wet meadows have the largest cooling capacities of up to 3.5 K. We conclude that heat countermeasures based on fostering both evapotranspiration and landscape water retention, even in rural regions, offer promising adaptation ways to atmospheric warming.},
}
@article {pmid38989640,
year = {2024},
author = {Ma, Z and Wang, W and Chen, X and Gehman, K and Yang, H and Yang, Y},
title = {Prediction of the global occurrence of maize diseases and estimation of yield loss under climate change.},
journal = {Pest management science},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1002/ps.8309},
pmid = {38989640},
issn = {1526-4998},
support = {CSTB2022TIAD-LUX0004//Chongqing Technology Innovation and Application Development Special Project/ ; 2022YFD1901402//National Key R&amp;D Program of China/ ; },
abstract = {BACKGROUND: Climate change significantly impacts global maize production via yield reduction, posing a threat to global food security. Disease-related crop damage reduces quality and yield and results in economic losses. However, the occurrence of diseases caused by climate change, and thus crop yield loss, has not been given much attention.<br><br>RESULTS: This study aims to investigate the potential impact of six major diseases on maize yield loss over the next 20 to 80&#x2009;years under climate change. To this end, the Maximum Entropy model was implemented, based on Coupled Model Intercomparison Project 6 data. The results indicated that temperature and precipitation are identified as primary limiting factors for disease onset. Southern corn rust was projected to be the most severe disease in the future; with a few of the combined occurrence of all the selected diseases covered in this study were predicted to progressively worsen over time. Yield losses caused by diseases varied per continent, with North America facing the highest loss, followed by Asia, South America, Europe, Africa, and Oceania.<br><br>CONCLUSION: This study provides a basis for regional projections and global control of maize diseases under future climate conditions. &#xa9; 2024 Society of Chemical Industry.},
}
@article {pmid38988350,
year = {2024},
author = {Wan, Y and Li, L and Zhou, J and Ma, Y and Zhang, Y and Liu, Y and Li, J and Liu, W},
title = {Predicting the potential distribution change of the endangered Francois' langur (Trachypithecus francoisi) across its entire range in China under climate change.},
journal = {Ecology and evolution},
volume = {14},
number = {7},
pages = {e11684},
pmid = {38988350},
issn = {2045-7758},
abstract = {The Francois' langur (Trachypithecus francoisi) is a rare primate species indicated as endangered and distributed in karst areas in northern Vietnam and southwestern China. However, research limited to specific nature reserves or sites has hampered holistic conservation management. A comprehensive map of the potential distribution for the Francois' langur is essential to advance conservation efforts and ensure coordinated management across regions. Here, we used 82 occurrence records of Francois' langur surveyed in Guangxi, Guizhou, and Chongqing from 2017 to 2020, along with 12 environmental variables, to build the potential habitat model under current and future climate (2030, 2050, 2070, and 2090s) using maximum entropy models (MaxEnt). Our results indicated that (1) precipitation- and temperature-associated bioclimatic variables contributed the most to the distribution of Francois' langur. Vegetation, water sources, and anthropogenic variables also affected its distribution; (2) a total of 144,207.44 km[2] of potential suitable habitat across the entire range in China was estimated by the current model. Moderate- and high-suitability habitats accounted for only 23.76% (34,265.96 km[2]) of the predicted suitable habitat and were mainly distributed in southwest Guangxi, east of Chongqing, and the border between Guizhou and Chongqing; (3) the suitable habitats of Francois' langur will contract considerably under future climate change, and the habitat centroid will move in the southeast direction with a shifting distance of approximately 2.84 km/year from current to 2100. The habitat prediction of Francois' langur and the main drivers proposed in this study could provide essential insights for the future conservation of this endangered species. The existing distribution areas should be monitored and protected, but conservation beyond existing habitats should also be a focus of effort, especially in future expansion areas. This would ensure effective and timely protection under climate change and anthropogenic pressures.},
}
@article {pmid38988343,
year = {2024},
author = {Gholamhosseini, A and Yousefi, M and Esmaeili, HR},
title = {Predicting climate change impacts on the distribution of endemic fish Cyprinion muscatense in the Arabian Peninsula.},
journal = {Ecology and evolution},
volume = {14},
number = {7},
pages = {e11720},
pmid = {38988343},
issn = {2045-7758},
abstract = {Freshwater fishes are facing considerable threats in the Arabian Peninsula which is considered as a highly stressed region in the Middle East. It is predicted that northern Oman is likely to face decreasing rainfall and increasing temperature in coming decades. In this study, we focused on an endemic cyprinid fish Cyprinion muscatense, as a model to investigate impacts of climate change on the mountain fishes inhibiting in this arid region. This species is expected to be strongly affected by climate change because of its limited distribution range in a montane area surrounded by lowlands and sea, limiting the species in shift to other areas. We used an ensemble approach by considering two regressions-based species distribution modeling (SDM) algorithms: generalized linear models (GLM), and generalized additive models (GAM) to model the species habitat suitability and predict the impacts of climate change on the species habitat suitability. Based on the distribution models, the montane area located in northeastern Oman was identified as the most suitable habitat for this species. Our results indicate that, even under the minimum greenhouse gas emissions scenario (RCP 2.6), climate change will produce a high reduction in its potential future habitats. According to the results of percent contribution, elevation and annual minimum temperature were the most important variables in predicting the species suitable habitats. Results also showed that only a small percentage of suitable habitats for the species within boundaries of protected areas. Therefore, the impact of climate change on the species appears particularly alarming. Although our study was restricted to a single cyprinid freshwater species, decreases in potential habitats are likely predicted for other cyprinid fish species restricted to the mountains of this region, suggesting severe consideration is needed for aquatic systems in future conservation planning, especially for endemic freshwater fishes.},
}
@article {pmid38988000,
year = {2024},
author = {Parums, DV},
title = {A Review of the Increasing Global Impact of Climate Change on Human Health and Approaches to Medical Preparedness.},
journal = {Medical science monitor : international medical journal of experimental and clinical research},
volume = {30},
number = {},
pages = {e945763},
doi = {10.12659/MSM.945763},
pmid = {38988000},
issn = {1643-3750},
mesh = {Humans ; *Climate Change ; *Global Health ; Civil Defense/trends ; World Health Organization ; },
abstract = {At the end of 2023, the World Health Organization (WHO) identified climate change as the greatest threat to human health. Global climate change is due to rising atmospheric concentrations of greenhouse gasses, primarily due to the burning of fossil fuels, mainly by populations in developed and developing countries. In 2022, the world experienced the highest temperatures for over 100,000 years. However, in 2022, global investment in fossil fuels increased by 10% and reached more than USD 1 trillion. The 2023 Lancet Commission report concluded that there has been little progress in protecting individuals from the adverse health effects of climate change. It is clear that global action against climate change needs to move more quickly, and the inequalities in the effects of climate change, including the impact on health, are increasing. This article aims to review the ongoing global impact of climate change on human health at individual and population levels, including recent initiatives and medical approaches to prepare for this increasing challenge.},
}
@article {pmid38987987,
year = {2024},
author = {Sahni, J and Lin, WS and Kilinc, E and Abdelaal, M and Ganesan, S and Spears, R and Karl, E},
title = {Advancing climate change education in the dental curriculum.},
journal = {Journal of dental education},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1002/jdd.13661},
pmid = {38987987},
issn = {1930-7837},
}
@article {pmid38984769,
year = {2024},
author = {Parker, EJ and Weiskopf, SR and Oliver, RY and Rubenstein, MA and Jetz, W},
title = {Insufficient and biased representation of species geographic responses to climate change.},
journal = {Global change biology},
volume = {30},
number = {7},
pages = {e17408},
doi = {10.1111/gcb.17408},
pmid = {38984769},
issn = {1365-2486},
support = {//E.O. Wilson Biodiversity Foundation/ ; },
mesh = {*Climate Change ; Animals ; Ecosystem ; Geography ; Biodiversity ; Plants ; },
abstract = {The geographic redistributions of species due to a rapidly changing climate are poised to perturb ecological communities and significantly impact ecosystems and human livelihoods. Effectively managing these biological impacts requires a thorough understanding of the patterns and processes of species geographic range shifts. While substantial recent redistributions have been identified and recognized to vary by taxon, region, and range geometry, there are large gaps and biases in the available evidence. Here, we use the largest compilation of geographic range change observations to date, comprised of 33,016 potential redistributions across 12,009 species, to formally assess within- and cross-species coverage and biases and to motivate future data collection. We find that species coverage varies strongly by taxon and underrepresents species at high and low latitudes. Within species, assessments of potential redistributions came from parts of their geographic range that were highly uneven and non-representative. For most species and taxa, studies were strongly biased toward the colder parts of species' distributions and thus significantly underrepresented populations that might get pushed beyond their maximum temperature limits. Coverage of potential leading and trailing geographic range edges under a changing climate was similarly uneven. Only 8% of studied species were assessed at both high and low latitude and elevation range edges, with most only covered at one edge. This suggests that substantial within-species biases exacerbate the considerable geographic and taxonomic among-species unevenness in evidence. Our results open the door for a more quantitative accounting for existing knowledge biases in climate change ecology and a more informed management and conservation. Our findings offer guidance for future data collection that better addresses information gaps and provides a more effective foundation for managing the biological impacts of climate change.},
}
@article {pmid38984450,
year = {2024},
author = {Zhao, X and Wei, JC and Li, C},
title = {Critical Review and Recommendations for Enhancing the Analysis of Climate Change Impacts on Rheumatic Conditions.},
journal = {Arthritis &amp; rheumatology (Hoboken, N.J.)},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1002/art.42952},
pmid = {38984450},
issn = {2326-5205},
}
@article {pmid38982862,
year = {2024},
author = {Li, X and Huntingford, C and Wang, K and Cui, J and Xu, H and Kan, F and Anniwaer, N and Yang, H and Peñuelas, J and Piao, S},
title = {Increased crossing of thermal stress thresholds of vegetation under global warming.},
journal = {Global change biology},
volume = {30},
number = {7},
pages = {e17406},
doi = {10.1111/gcb.17406},
pmid = {38982862},
issn = {1365-2486},
support = {41988101//National Natural Science Foundation of China/ ; },
mesh = {*Global Warming ; Ecosystem ; Plant Development ; Temperature ; Seasons ; Hot Temperature ; Climate Models ; Plants ; Climate Change ; },
abstract = {Temperature extremes exert a significant influence on terrestrial ecosystems, but the precise levels at which these extremes trigger adverse shifts in vegetation productivity have remained elusive. In this study, we have derived two critical thresholds, using standard deviations (SDs) of growing-season temperature and satellite-based vegetation productivity as key indicators. Our findings reveal that, on average, vegetation productivity experiences rapid suppression when confronted with temperature anomalies exceeding 1.45 SD above the mean temperature during 2001-2018. Furthermore, at temperatures exceeding 2.98 SD above the mean, we observe the maximum level of suppression, particularly in response to the most extreme high-temperature events. When Earth System Models are driven by a future medium emission scenario, they project that mean temperatures will routinely surpass both of these critical thresholds by approximately the years 2050 and 2070, respectively. However, it is important to note that the timing of these threshold crossings exhibits spatial variation and will appear much earlier in tropical regions. Our finding highlights that restricting global warming to just 1.5°C can increase safe areas for vegetation growth by 13% compared to allowing warming to reach 2°C above preindustrial levels. This mitigation strategy helps avoid exposure to detrimental extreme temperatures that breach these thresholds. Our study underscores the pivotal role of climate mitigation policies in fostering the sustainable development of terrestrial ecosystems in a warming world.},
}
@article {pmid38982232,
year = {2024},
author = {Guo, Z},
title = {More studies needed on how climate change affects exercise health benefits.},
journal = {Nature},
volume = {631},
number = {8020},
pages = {275},
doi = {10.1038/d41586-024-02249-0},
pmid = {38982232},
issn = {1476-4687},
mesh = {Humans ; *Exercise ; *Climate Change ; },
}
@article {pmid38982210,
year = {2024},
author = {Bizama, G and Jan, A and Olivos, JA and Fuentes-Jaque, G and Valdovinos, C and Urrutia, R and Arismendi, I},
title = {Climate change can disproportionately reduce habitats of stream fishes with restricted ranges in southern South America.},
journal = {Scientific reports},
volume = {14},
number = {1},
pages = {15780},
pmid = {38982210},
issn = {2045-2322},
support = {21201511//Agencia Nacional de Investigaci&#xf3;n y Desarrollo/ ; },
mesh = {Animals ; *Ecosystem ; *Climate Change ; *Fishes/physiology ; South America ; Rivers ; Endangered Species ; Conservation of Natural Resources/methods ; Chile ; Fresh Water ; },
abstract = {Freshwater fishes are among the most threatened taxa worldwide owing to changes in land use, species introductions, and climate change. Although more than half of the freshwater fishes in the Chilean Mediterranean ecoregion are considered vulnerable or endangered, still little is known about their biogeography. Fishes of the family Perciliidae are endemic of this region and ideal cases to study potential implications of global warming given their endangered conservation status, small size, restricted range, and limited dispersal capacity in fragmented habitats. Here, we model the spatial distribution of habitats for Percilia irwini and P. gillissi under current (1970-2000) and future (2050-2080) climatic scenarios (SSP245, SSP585). We implement maximum entropy (MaxEnt) models adapted for stream networks using high-resolution datasets of selected geophysical and climatic variables. At present, both species inhabit relatively low-quality habitats. In the future (SSP585), suitable habitats for P. irwini are predicted to be reduced drastically (99%) with potential local extirpations in its northern range. Similarly, up to 62% of suitable habitats for P. gillissi would also be reduced in the future. Our study provides insights about assessing future threats and vulnerability of endemic, endangered, range-restricted, and small-bodied freshwater species in this region and elsewhere.},
}
@article {pmid38982176,
year = {2024},
author = {Gebremedhn, H and Gebrewahid, Y and Haile, GG and Hadgu, G and Atsbha, T and Hailu, TG and Bezabih, G},
title = {Projecting the impact of climate change on honey bee plant habitat distribution in Northern Ethiopia.},
journal = {Scientific reports},
volume = {14},
number = {1},
pages = {15866},
pmid = {38982176},
issn = {2045-2322},
mesh = {*Climate Change ; Bees/physiology ; Ethiopia ; Animals ; *Ecosystem ; },
abstract = {Climate change significantly affects the diversity, growth, and survival of indigenous plant species thereby influencing the nutrition, health and productivity of honey bees (Apis mellifera). Hypoestes forskaolii (Vahl) is one of the major honey bee plant species in Ethiopia's Tigray region. It is rich in pollen and nectar that typically provides white honey, which fetches a premium price in both local and inter-national markets. Despite its socio-economic and apicultural significance, the distribution of H. forskaolii has been declining, raising concerns regarding its conservation efforts. However, there is limited knowledge on how environmental and climatic factors affect its current distribution and response to future climate change. The study investigates the current and projected (the 2030s, 2050s, 2070s, and 2090s) habitat distributions of H. forskaolii under three future climate change scenarios (ssp126, ssp245, and ssp585) using the Maximum Entropy Model (MaxEnt). The results show that land use (50.1%), agro-ecology (28%), precipitation during the Driest Quarter (11.2%) and soil texture (6.1%) predominantly influence the distribution of H. forskaolii, collectively explaining 95.4% of the model's predictive power. Habitats rich in evergreen trees and mosaic herbaceous with good vegetation cover are identified as the most suitable for H. forskaolii. The spatial distribution of H. forskaolii is concentrated in the highlands and mid-highlands of the eastern and southern parts of Tigray, characterized by a colder temperature. Across the three climate change scenarios, the size of suitable habitat for H. forskaolii is projected to decrease over the four time periods studied. Predictions under the ssp585 scenario reveal alarming results, indicating a substantial decrease in the suitable habitat for H. forskaolii from 4.26% in the 2030s to 19.09% in the 2090s. Therefore, given the challenges posed by climate change, research efforts should focus on identifying and evaluating new technologies that can help the H. forskaolii species in adapting and mitigating the effects of climate change.},
}
@article {pmid38982053,
year = {2024},
author = {Boakes, EH and Dalin, C and Etard, A and Newbold, T},
title = {Impacts of the global food system on terrestrial biodiversity from land use and climate change.},
journal = {Nature communications},
volume = {15},
number = {1},
pages = {5750},
pmid = {38982053},
issn = {2041-1723},
mesh = {*Biodiversity ; *Climate Change ; *Greenhouse Gases/analysis ; Conservation of Natural Resources ; Food Supply ; Agriculture ; South America ; Methane/analysis ; },
abstract = {The global food system is a key driver of land-use and climate change which in turn drive biodiversity change. Developing sustainable food systems is therefore critical to reversing biodiversity loss. We use the multi-regional input-output model EXIOBASE to estimate the biodiversity impacts embedded within the global food system in 2011. Using models that capture regional variation in the sensitivity of biodiversity both to land use and climate change, we calculate the land-driven and greenhouse gas-driven footprints of food using two metrics of biodiversity: local species richness and rarity-weighted species richness. We show that the footprint of land area underestimates biodiversity impact in more species-rich regions and that our metric of rarity-weighted richness places a greater emphasis on biodiversity costs in Central and South America. We find that methane emissions are responsible for 70% of the overall greenhouse gas-driven biodiversity footprint and that, in several regions, emissions from a single year's food production are associated with global biodiversity loss equivalent to 2% or more of that region's total land-driven biodiversity loss. The measures we present are relatively simple to calculate and could be incorporated into decision-making and environmental impact assessments by governments and businesses.},
}
@article {pmid38981637,
year = {2024},
author = {},
title = {STRENGTHENED GLOBAL CAPACITIES ON CLIMATE CHANGE AND HEALTH: WHO TRAINING IN MADRID.},
journal = {Neurosciences (Riyadh, Saudi Arabia)},
volume = {29},
number = {3},
pages = {212-213},
pmid = {38981637},
issn = {1319-6138},
mesh = {*Climate Change ; Humans ; *World Health Organization ; Global Health ; Spain ; },
}
@article {pmid38981546,
year = {2024},
author = {Taylor, AK and Berke, MA and Koutsodendris, A},
title = {Climate change and human impacts on aquatic communities at Etoliko Lagoon in western Greece.},
journal = {The Science of the total environment},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {174590},
doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.174590},
pmid = {38981546},
issn = {1879-1026},
abstract = {The Etoliko Lagoon in western Greece has experienced extensive human modification since the 20th century, both on the surrounding land and in the aquatic environment. To examine human impacts and disentangle climatic from anthropogenic changes, we present a suite of biomarker records that span the past two centuries (~1790-2011). Specifically, we use terrigenous (n-alkanes, polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons (PAHs), and phytosterols) and aquatic (dinosterol, brassicasterol, cholesterol, and stigmasterol) biomarkers to document changes in nutrient inputs, combustion, and algal productivity. During most of the 19th and 20th centuries, aquatic communities respond to temperature, forced mainly by solar irradiance and volcanic activity, and precipitation, controlled largely by summer and winter North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) patterns that determine freshwater runoff. PAHs illustrate the acceleration of coal combustion during the 1800s, and declining concentrations since the 1950s correspond to the implementation of emission controls and reductions in rainfall that likely inhibited PAH transport. As human pressures increased in the late 1900s and water column anoxia grew, the absence of a clear human waste and eutrophication signal suggests that other factors also contributed to limited oxygen availability. Overall, environmental degradation of the late 20th and early 21st centuries is clear and can be attributed to a combination of especially arid conditions and human interferences that altered lagoon hydrography, trophic state, and aquatic community composition.},
}
@article {pmid38981269,
year = {2024},
author = {Janizadeh, S and Kim, D and Jun, C and Bateni, SM and Pandey, M and Mishra, VN},
title = {Impact of climate change on future flood susceptibility projections under shared socioeconomic pathway scenarios in South Asia using artificial intelligence algorithms.},
journal = {Journal of environmental management},
volume = {366},
number = {},
pages = {121764},
doi = {10.1016/j.jenvman.2024.121764},
pmid = {38981269},
issn = {1095-8630},
abstract = {This study investigated the impact of climate change on flood susceptibility in six South Asian countries Afghanistan, Bangladesh, Bhutan, Bharat (India), Nepal, and Pakistan-under two distinct Shared Socioeconomic Pathway (SSP) scenarios: SSP1-2.6 and SSP5-5.8, for 2041-2060 and 2081-2100. To predict flood susceptibility, we employed three artificial intelligence (AI) algorithms: the K-nearest neighbor (KNN), conditional inference random forest (CIRF), and regularized random forest (RRF). Predictions were based on data from 2452 historical flood events, alongside climatic variables measured over monthly, seasonal, and annual timeframes. The innovative aspect of this research is the emphasis on using climatic variables across these progressively condensed timeframes, specifically addressing eight precipitation factors. The performance evaluation, employing the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) metric, identified the RRF model as the most accurate, with the highest AUC of 0.94 during the testing phase, followed by the CIRF (AUC = 0.91) and the KNN (AUC = 0.86). An analysis of variable importance highlighted the substantial role of certain climatic factors, namely precipitation in the warmest quarter, annual precipitation, and precipitation during the wettest month, in the modeling of flood susceptibility in South Asia. The resultant flood susceptibility maps demonstrated the influence of climate change scenarios on susceptibility classifications, signalling a dynamic landscape of flood-prone areas over time. The findings revealed variable trends under different climate change scenarios and periods, with marked differences in the percentage of areas classified as having high and very high flood susceptibility. Overall, this study advances our understanding of how climate change affects flood susceptibility in South Asia and offers an essential tool for assessing and managing flood risks in the region.},
}
@article {pmid38977719,
year = {2024},
author = {Lim, C and Kang, JH and Bayartogtokh, B and Bae, YJ},
title = {Climate change will lead to range shifts and genetic diversity losses of dung beetles in the Gobi Desert and Mongolian Steppe.},
journal = {Scientific reports},
volume = {14},
number = {1},
pages = {15639},
pmid = {38977719},
issn = {2045-2322},
support = {2022R1A2C1009024//National Research Foundation of Korea/ ; },
mesh = {*Coleoptera/genetics/classification/physiology ; Animals ; *Climate Change ; *Genetic Variation ; *Desert Climate ; Mongolia ; Biodiversity ; Phylogeography ; Haplotypes ; Grassland ; Phylogeny ; },
abstract = {Desertification is known to be a major threat to biodiversity, yet our understanding of the consequent decline in biodiversity remains insufficient. Here, we predicted climate change-induced range shifts and genetic diversity losses in three model dung beetles: Colobopterus erraticus, Cheironitis eumenes, and Gymnopleurus mopsus, distributed across the Gobi Desert and Mongolian Steppe, areas known for desertification. Phylogeographic analyses of mitochondrial COI sequences and species distribution modeling, based on extensive field investigations spanning 14 years, were performed. Species confined to a single biome were predicted to contract and shift their distribution in response to climate change, whereas widespread species was predicted to expand even if affected by range shifts. We indicated that all species are expected to experience significant haplotype losses, yet the presence of high singleton frequencies and low genetic divergence across geographic configurations and lineages mitigate loss of genetic diversity. Notably, Cheironitis eumenes, a desert species with low genetic diversity, appears to be the most vulnerable to climate change due to the extensive degradation in the Gobi Desert. This is the first study to predict the response of insects to desertification in the Gobi Desert. Our findings highlight that dung beetles in the Gobi Desert and Mongolian Steppe might experience high rates of occupancy turnover and genetic loss, which could reshuffle the species composition.},
}
@article {pmid38975189,
year = {2024},
author = {Atchadé, MN and Nougbodé, H},
title = {Statistical investigation on the relationship between climate change, food availability, agricultural productivity, and economic expansion.},
journal = {Heliyon},
volume = {10},
number = {12},
pages = {e32520},
pmid = {38975189},
issn = {2405-8440},
abstract = {This study examined the connections between Benin's economic expansion, food production, agricultural productivity, and climate change. Using yearly statistics between 1961 and 2021, and R software version 4.2.2, we aim to: (1) Analyze how agricultural added value affects economic expansion; (2) analyze the effects of food production and temperature lagged values on economic growth; (3) investigate the different causality relationships between food production, temperature variation, agricultural added value and economic growth. To achieve these goals, statistical and econometric techniques such as Autoregressive Distributed Lags (ARDL) and the Toda-Yamamoto Granger causality framework were employed. The ARDL model verifies that there is a positive correlation between economic growth and the added value of agriculture based on empirical data. In addition, the Vector Autoregressive (VAR) model highlights the favorable impact of lagged food production values and the adverse effect of temperature fluctuations on economic growth. Granger causality analysis, employing the Toda-Yamamoto approach, unveils unidirectional links between food production and economic growth, as well as between temperature variation and agricultural added value. Interestingly, the study comes to the conclusion that there are no direct causal links between economic expansion and agricultural growth or between economic growth and temperature variance. Notably, bidirectional causality is established between livestock production and both economic growth and agricultural added value. These insights have significant implications for understanding climate change impacts on agriculture and suggest the need for adapted strategies to mitigate climate effects. Future research could focus on evaluating existing policies, exploring social and economic impacts, investigating market dynamics, and utilizing integrated assessment modeling to inform decision-making and foster sustainable economic growth in Benin's agricultural sector.},
}
@article {pmid38974250,
year = {2023},
author = {Tumwine, JK},
title = {Editorial: Infections, non-communicable diseases, and reproductive health issues in a world beset by conflict and climate change.},
journal = {African health sciences},
volume = {23},
number = {4},
pages = {i-iv},
pmid = {38974250},
issn = {1729-0503},
mesh = {Humans ; *Climate Change ; *Noncommunicable Diseases/epidemiology ; *Reproductive Health ; Armed Conflicts ; Communicable Diseases/epidemiology ; },
}
@article {pmid38973578,
year = {2024},
author = {Alagador, D},
title = {Dependence of Europe's most threatened mammals on movement to adapt to climate change.},
journal = {Conservation biology : the journal of the Society for Conservation Biology},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {e14315},
doi = {10.1111/cobi.14315},
pmid = {38973578},
issn = {1523-1739},
support = {LA/P/0121/2020//Funda&#xe7;&#xe3;o para a Ci&#xea;ncia e a Tecnologia/ ; UIDB/05183/2020//Funda&#xe7;&#xe3;o para a Ci&#xea;ncia e a Tecnologia/ ; UIDP/05183/2020//Funda&#xe7;&#xe3;o para a Ci&#xea;ncia e a Tecnologia/ ; 101060429//HORIZON EUROPE Research and Innovation Programme/ ; },
abstract = {Current rates of climate change and gloomy climate projections confront managers and conservation planners with the need to integrate climate change into already complex decision-making processes. Predicting and prioritizing climatically stable areas and the areas likely to facilitate adaptive species' range adjustments are important stages in maximizing conservation outcomes and rationalizing future land management. I determined, for the most threatened European terrestrial mammal species, the spatial adaptive trajectories (SATs) of highest expected persistence up to 2080. I devised simple spatial network indices for evaluation of species in those SATs: total persistence; proportion of SATs that offer in situ adaptation (i.e., stable refugia); number of SATs converging in a site; and relationship between SAT convergence and persistence and protected areas, the Natura 2000 and Emerald networks, and areas of low human disturbance. I compared the performance of high-persistence SATs with a scenario in which each species remained in the areas with the best climatic conditions in the baseline period. The 1000 most persistence SATs for each of the 39 species covered one fifth of Europe. The areas with the largest adaptive potential (i.e., high persistence, stability, and SAT convergence) did not always overlap for all the species. Predominantly, these regions were located in southwestern Europe, Central Europe, and Scandinavia, with some occurrences in Eastern Europe. For most species, persistence in the most climatically suitable areas during the baseline period was lower than within SATs, underscoring their reliance on adaptive movements. Importantly, conservation areas (particularly protected areas) covered only minor fractions of species persistence among SATs, and hubs of spatial climate adaptation (i.e., areas of high SAT convergence) were seriously underrepresented in most conservation areas. These results highlight the need to perform analyses on spatial species' dynamics under climate change.},
}
@article {pmid38972805,
year = {2024},
author = {Dilger, AE and Meiklejohn, DA and Bent, JP and Tummala, N and Bergmark, RW and Lalakea, ML},
title = {Climate change and environmental sustainability in otolaryngology: A state-of-the-art review.},
journal = {The surgeon : journal of the Royal Colleges of Surgeons of Edinburgh and Ireland},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1016/j.surge.2024.06.007},
pmid = {38972805},
issn = {1479-666X},
abstract = {BACKGROUND: Climate change has been identified by the World Health Organization (WHO) as the greatest existing threat to human health. Given the direct exposure of the upper aerodigestive system to pollutants, patients in otolaryngology are at high risk for increased disease burden in the setting of climate change and worsening air quality. Given this and the environmental impact of surgical care, it is essential for surgeons to understand their role in addressing climate health through quality-driven clinical initiatives, education, advocacy, and research.<br><br>METHODS: A state-of-the-art review was performed of the existing literature on the otolaryngologic health impacts of climate change and environmental sustainability efforts in surgery with specific attention to studies in otolaryngology - head and neck surgery.<br><br>FINDINGS: Climate variables including heat and air pollution are associated with increased incidence of allergic rhinitis, chronic rhinosinusitis and head and neck cancer. A number of studies have shown that sustainability initiatives in otolaryngology are safe and provide direct cost benefit.<br><br>CONCLUSION: Surgeons have the opportunity to lead on climate health and sustainability to address the public health burden of climate change.},
}
@article {pmid38972184,
year = {2024},
author = {Verlicchi, P and Grillini, V and Maffini, F and Benini, A and Mari, M and Casoni, R},
title = {A proposed methodology to evaluate the influence of climate change on drinking water treatments and costs.},
journal = {Journal of environmental management},
volume = {366},
number = {},
pages = {121726},
doi = {10.1016/j.jenvman.2024.121726},
pmid = {38972184},
issn = {1095-8630},
abstract = {Drinking water (DW) production treatments can be affected by climate change, in particular intense rainfall events, having an impact on the availability and quality of the water source. The current study proposes a methodology for the evaluation of the costs of the different treatment steps for surface water (SW) and groundwater (GW), through the analysis and quantification of the main cost items. It provides the details to count for strong variations in the key quality parameters of inlet water following severe rainfalls (namely turbidity, iron, manganese, and E. coli). This methodology is then applied to a large drinking water treatment plant (DWTP) in Italy, which treats both SW, around 70 %, and GW, around 30%. It discusses the overall DW production costs (from 7.60 c€/m[3] to 10.43 c€/m[3]) during the period 2019-2021 and analyzes the contributions of the different treatment steps in water and sludge trains. Then it focuses on the effects on the treatments of significant variations in SW turbidity (up to 1863 NTU) due to intense rainfalls, and on the daily costs of DW with respect to the average (baseline) costs evaluated on the annual basis. It emerges that, when SW has low turbidity levels, the energy-based steps have the biggest contribution on the costs (final pumping 22 % for SW and 10 % for GW, withdrawal 15 % and 14 %, respectively), whereas at very high turbidity levels, sludge greatly increases, and its treatment and disposal costs become significant (up to 14 % and 50 %). Efforts are being made to adopt the best strategies for the management of DWTPs in these adverse conditions, with the aim to guarantee potable water and optimize water production costs. A mitigation measure consists of increasing GW withdrawal up to the authorized flow rate, thus reducing SW withdrawal. In this context, the study is completed by discussing the potential upgrading of the DWTP by only treating GW withdrawn from riverbank filtration. The DW production cost would be 7.76 c€/m[3], which is lower than that seen for the same year (2021) with the current plant configuration (8.32 c€/m[3]).},
}
@article {pmid38972071,
year = {2024},
author = {Aliaga-Samanez, A and Romero, D and Murray, K and Segura, M and Real, R and Olivero, J},
title = {Potential climate change effects on the distribution of urban and sylvatic dengue and yellow fever vectors.},
journal = {Pathogens and global health},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {1-11},
doi = {10.1080/20477724.2024.2369377},
pmid = {38972071},
issn = {2047-7732},
abstract = {Climate change may increase the risk of dengue and yellow fever transmission by urban and sylvatic mosquito vectors. Previous research primarily focused on Aedes aegypti and Aedes albopictus. However, dengue and yellow fever have a complex transmission cycle involving sylvatic vectors. Our aim was to analyze how the distribution of areas favorable to both urban and sylvatic vectors could be modified as a consequence of climate change. We projected, to future scenarios, baseline distribution models already published for these vectors based on the favorability function, and mapped the areas where mosquitoes' favorability could increase, decrease or remain stable in the near (2041-2060) and distant (2061-2080) future. Favorable areas for the presence of dengue and yellow fever vectors show little differences in the future compared to the baseline models, with changes being perceptible only at regional scales. The model projections predict dengue vectors expanding in West and Central Africa and in South-East Asia, reaching Borneo. Yellow fever vectors could spread in West and Central Africa and in the Amazon. In some locations of Europe, the models suggest a reestablishment of Ae. aegypti, while Ae. albopictus will continue to find new favorable areas. The results underline the need to focus more on vectors Ae. vittatus, Ae. luteocephalus and Ae. africanus in West and Central sub-Saharan Africa, especially Cameroon, Central Africa Republic, and northern Democratic Republic of Congo; and underscore the importance of enhancing entomological monitoring in areas where populations of often overlooked vectors may thrive as a result of climate changes.},
}
@article {pmid38971982,
year = {2024},
author = {Muhlfeld, CC and Cline, TJ and Finstad, AG and Hessen, DO and Perrin, S and Thaulow, J and Whited, D and Vøllestad, LA},
title = {Climate change vulnerability of Arctic char across Scandinavia.},
journal = {Global change biology},
volume = {30},
number = {7},
pages = {e17387},
doi = {10.1111/gcb.17387},
pmid = {38971982},
issn = {1365-2486},
support = {//U.S. Geological Survey, Northern Rocky Mountain Science Center/ ; //University of Oslo, Department of Biosciences/ ; //U.S. Fulbright Specialist Program/ ; },
mesh = {Scandinavian and Nordic Countries ; Animals ; *Climate Change ; *Trout/physiology ; *Lakes ; *Ecosystem ; Arctic Regions ; Esocidae/physiology ; },
abstract = {Climate change is anticipated to cause species to shift their ranges upward and poleward, yet space for tracking suitable habitat conditions may be limited for range-restricted species at the highest elevations and latitudes of the globe. Consequently, range-restricted species inhabiting Arctic freshwater ecosystems, where global warming is most pronounced, face the challenge of coping with changing abiotic and biotic conditions or risk extinction. Here, we use an extensive fish community and environmental dataset for 1762 lakes sampled across Scandinavia (mid-1990s) to evaluate the climate vulnerability of Arctic char (Salvelinus alpinus), the world's most cold-adapted and northernly distributed freshwater fish. Machine learning models show that abiotic and biotic factors strongly predict the occurrence of Arctic char across the region with an overall accuracy of 89 percent. Arctic char is less likely to occur in lakes with warm summer temperatures, high dissolved organic carbon levels (i.e., browning), and presence of northern pike (Esox lucius). Importantly, climate warming impacts are moderated by habitat (i.e., lake area) and amplified by the presence of competitors and/or predators (i.e., northern pike). Climate warming projections under the RCP8.5 emission scenario indicate that 81% of extant populations are at high risk of extirpation by 2080. Highly vulnerable populations occur across their range, particularly near the southern range limit and at lower elevations, with potential refugia found in some mountainous and coastal regions. Our findings highlight that range shifts may give way to range contractions for this cold-water specialist, indicating the need for pro-active conservation and mitigation efforts to avoid the loss of Arctic freshwater biodiversity.},
}
@article {pmid38971356,
year = {2024},
author = {Murage, P and Macintyre, LH and Heaviside, C and Vardoulakis, S and Neven, F and Ruksana, RH and Hajat, S},
title = {Future temperature-related mortality in the UK under climate change scenarios: impact of population ageing and bias-corrected climate projections.},
journal = {Environmental research},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {119565},
doi = {10.1016/j.envres.2024.119565},
pmid = {38971356},
issn = {1096-0953},
abstract = {BACKGROUND: Exposure to heat and cold poses a serious threat to human health. In the UK, hotter summers, milder winters and an ageing population will shift how populations experience temperature-related health burdens. Estimating future burdens can provide insights on the drivers of temperature-related health effects and removing biases in temperature projections is an essential step to generating these estimates, however, the impact of various methods of correction is not well examined.<br><br>METHODS: We conducted a detailed health impact assessment by estimating mortality attributable to temperature at a baseline period (2007-2018) and in future decades (2030s, 2050s and 2070s). Epidemiological exposure-response relationships were derived for all England regions and UK countries, to quantify cold and heat risk, and temperature thresholds where mortality increases. UK climate projections 2018 (UKCP18)were bias-corrected using three techniques: correcting for mean bias (shift or SH), variability (bias-correction or BC) and extreme values (quantile mapping or QM). These were applied in the health impact assessment, alongside consideration of population ageing and growth to estimate future temperature-related mortality.<br><br>FINDINGS: In the absence of adaptation and assuming a high-end emissions scenario (RCP8.5), annual UK temperature-related mortality is projected to increase, with substantial differences in raw vs. calibrated projections for heat-related mortality, but smaller differences for cold-related mortality. The BC approach gave an estimated 29 deaths per 100,000 in the 2070s, compared with 50 per 100,000 using uncorrected future temperatures. We also found population ageing may exert a bigger impact on future mortality totals than the impact from future increases in temperature alone. Estimating future health burdens associated with heat and cold is an important step towards equipping decision-makers to deliver suitable care to the changing population. Correcting inherent biases in temperature projections can improve the accuracy of projected health burdens to support health protection measures and long-term resilience planning.},
}
@article {pmid38971238,
year = {2024},
author = {Cantonati, M and Armanini, DG and Demartini, D and Papatheodoulou, A and Bilous, OP and Colombo, F and Angeli, N and Stancheva, R and Dörflinger, G and Manoylov, KM},
title = {Has climate change over the last ten years caused a banalisation of diatom communities in Cypriot streams?.},
journal = {The Science of the total environment},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {174495},
doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.174495},
pmid = {38971238},
issn = {1879-1026},
abstract = {To unveil possible changes in diatom communities in Cypriot streams over the last ten years or so, we selected samples from the years 2020, 2021, and 2022 for the "recent" dataset (N = 119) and samples from the years 2010 and 2011 for the "historical" dataset (N = 108). Biotic homogenization has become a truly global phenomenon. Here we show that, over the last ten years, in response to increased water temperature, conductivity, and discharge variability due to climate-change, Cypriot stream diatom communities include a higher number of trivial (= widespread, tolerant, and opportunistic), aerial, and thermophilic species, have reduced β-diversity and increased nestedness. Moreover, IndVal analysis shows that indicator species from the historical dataset were characteristic, often relatively rare species, while the indicators of the recent dataset were a group of typical trivial, eutraphentic, and thermophilic species. As is almost always the case, the diatom communities we studied were subjected to multiple stressors, often affecting them in opposite ways. Besides the increase in trivial species, the reduction in β-diversity, and the rise in nestedness mentioned above, the diatom assemblages we studied also showed an increase in α-diversity that could be due to a moderate reduction in nutrients in several sites. High-ecological-integrity ecosystems, such as springs, waterfalls, and dripping rock-walls, in particular springs that were shown to be excellent hydrologic refugia in climates heavily affected by climate change, and the stream sites close to them should be carefully protected, as they can be refugia for sensitive and characteristic species that can recolonize the adjacent streams after adverse climatic events.},
}
@article {pmid38970635,
year = {2024},
author = {Wu, X and Sadiq, M and Chien, F and Ngo, QT and Nguyen, AT and Trinh, TT},
title = {Retraction Note: Testing role of green financing on climate change mitigation: Evidences from G7 and E7 countries.},
journal = {Environmental science and pollution research international},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1007/s11356-024-34268-9},
pmid = {38970635},
issn = {1614-7499},
}
@article {pmid38969658,
year = {2024},
author = {Li, C and Liu, Y and Pan, L},
title = {A study of impact of climate change on the U.S. stock market as exemplified by the NASDAQ 100 index constituents.},
journal = {Scientific reports},
volume = {14},
number = {1},
pages = {15468},
pmid = {38969658},
issn = {2045-2322},
abstract = {This paper employs an innovative event study methodology to demonstrate the impact of climate change on the NASDAQ index from the unique perspective of extreme weather events. This is achieved through the application of the event study methodology to a total of 526 biological, climatic, geological, hydrological, and meteorological disasters of climate change occurring in the U.S. during the period of 2000-2019. The results of the study demonstrate that: ① it can be generally observed that the five dimensions of climate change have a significant impact on stock returns. ② Empirical evidence indicates that the impact of different climate change dimensions on the return rate of stocks from NASDAQ stocks varies. In contrast, the biological and hydrological dimensions have a significantly negative impact on the return rate of stocks from the NASDAQ index, while the climate dimension has a significantly positive impact on the return rate of stocks from the NASDAQ index. ③ From the perspective of time, the impact of the five dimensions of climate change on the stock yield exhibits certain non-linear characteristics. This can be observed in the phenomenon of shock reversal, which occurs before and after the event.},
}
@article {pmid38969635,
year = {2024},
author = {Liu, J and Michalski, JR and Wang, Z and Gao, WS},
title = {Atmospheric oxidation drove climate change on Noachian Mars.},
journal = {Nature communications},
volume = {15},
number = {1},
pages = {5648},
pmid = {38969635},
issn = {2041-1723},
support = {7004-21G//Research Grants Council, University Grants Committee (RGC, UGC)/ ; R5043-19//Research Grants Council, University Grants Committee (RGC, UGC)/ ; 17306623//Research Grants Council, University Grants Committee (RGC, UGC)/ ; 42241129//National Natural Science Foundation of China (National Science Foundation of China)/ ; 42302264//National Natural Science Foundation of China (National Science Foundation of China)/ ; },
abstract = {Modern Mars is bipolar, cold, and oxidizing, while early Mars was characterized by icy highlands, episodic warmth and reducing atmosphere. The timing and association of the climate and redox transitions remain inadequately understood. Here we examine the spatiotemporal distribution of the low surface iron abundance in the ancient Martian terrains, revealing that iron abundance decreases with elevation in the older Noachian terrains but with latitude in the younger Noachian terrains. These observations suggest: (a) low-temperature conditions contribute to surface iron depletion, likely facilitated by anoxic leaching through freeze-thaw cycles under a reducing atmosphere, and (b) temperature distribution mode shifted from elevation-dominant to latitude-dominant during the Noachian period. Additionally, we find iron leaching intensity decreases from the Early to Late Noachian epoch, suggesting a gradual atmospheric oxidation coupled with temperature mode transition during the Noachian period. We think atmospheric oxidation led to Mars becoming cold and bipolar in its early history.},
}
@article {pmid38969470,
year = {2024},
author = {Hunter, RF and Garcia, L and Dagless, S and Haines, A and Penney, T and Clifford Astbury, C and Whiting, S and Wickramasinghe, K and Racioppi, F and Galea, G and Kluge, HHP},
title = {The emerging syndemic of climate change and non-communicable diseases.},
journal = {The Lancet. Planetary health},
volume = {8},
number = {7},
pages = {e430-e431},
doi = {10.1016/S2542-5196(24)00112-8},
pmid = {38969470},
issn = {2542-5196},
mesh = {*Climate Change ; Humans ; *Noncommunicable Diseases/epidemiology ; *Syndemic ; Global Health ; },
}
@article {pmid38969469,
year = {2024},
author = {Fears, R and Pongsiri, M and McGrath, PF},
title = {Climate change adaptation for health: using case study systems-based approaches to formulating solutions and guiding policy.},
journal = {The Lancet. Planetary health},
volume = {8},
number = {7},
pages = {e428-e429},
doi = {10.1016/S2542-5196(24)00111-6},
pmid = {38969469},
issn = {2542-5196},
mesh = {*Climate Change ; Humans ; Health Policy ; Global Health ; },
}
@article {pmid38969357,
year = {2024},
author = {Smith, R},
title = {A thought experiment: what should be our priorities when we finally "declare war" on climate change and the destruction of nature.},
journal = {BMJ (Clinical research ed.)},
volume = {386},
number = {},
pages = {q1502},
doi = {10.1136/bmj.q1502},
pmid = {38969357},
issn = {1756-1833},
mesh = {*Climate Change ; Humans ; },
}
@article {pmid38969318,
year = {2024},
author = {Han, Y and Liu, Z and Chen, Y and Qi, J and Feng, P and Liu, L and Shi, J and Meng, L and Chen, Y},
title = {The Response of Non-Point Source Pollution to Climate Change in an Orchard-Dominant Coastal Watershed.},
journal = {Environmental research},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {119515},
doi = {10.1016/j.envres.2024.119515},
pmid = {38969318},
issn = {1096-0953},
abstract = {China is the largest global orchard distribution area, where high fertilization rates, complex terrain, and uncertainties associated with future climate change present challenges in managing non-point source pollution (NPSP) in orchard-dominant growing areas (ODGA). Given the complex processes of climate, hydrology, and soil nutrient loss, this study utilized an enhanced Soil and Water Assessment Tool model (SWAT-CO2) to investigate the impact of future climate on NPSP in ODGA in a coastal basin of North China. Our investigation focused on climate-induced variations in hydrology, nitrogen (N), and phosphorus (P) losses in soil, considering three Coupled Model Intercomparison Project phase 6 (CMIP6) climate scenarios: SSP1-2.6, SSP2-4.5, and SSP5-8.5. Continuous changes in CO2 levels significantly influenced evapotranspiration (ET) and water yield in ODGA. Influenced by sandy soils, nitrate leaching through percolation was the principal pathway for N loss in the ODGA. Surface runoff was identified as the primary pathway for P loss. Compared to the reference period (1971-2000), under three future climate scenarios, the increase in precipitation of ODGA ranged from 15% to 28%, while the growth rates of P loss and surface runoff were the most significant, both exceeding 120%. Orchards in the northwest basin proved susceptible to nitrate leaching, while others were more sensitive to N and P losses via surface runoff. Implementing targeted strategies, such as augmenting organic fertilizer usage and constructing terraced fields, based on ODGA's response characteristics to future climate, could effectively improve the basin's environment.},
}
@article {pmid38969315,
year = {2024},
author = {Neokye, EO and Wang, X and Thakur, KK and Quijón, PA and Nawaz, RA},
title = {Climate Change Impacts on Oyster Aquaculture - Part II: Impact Assessment and Adaptation Measures.},
journal = {Environmental research},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {119535},
doi = {10.1016/j.envres.2024.119535},
pmid = {38969315},
issn = {1096-0953},
abstract = {The oyster aquaculture sector plays a major role in food security, providing a sustainable way to obtain food and livelihood for coastal and Island nations. Oysters are one of the preferred choices by aquaculturists because of their resilience to harsh climatic conditions. Nonetheless, climate change will continue to pose threats to its culture. Climate-induced hazards such as floods, storms, disease, and invasive species are some of the key factors limiting oyster production globally. A thriving aquaculture industry needs optimal conditions to maximize exploitation. Here, we continue with the review of the impacts of climate change on oyster aquaculture at the global scale, highlighting climate vulnerability assessment. We also propose a framework for modeling oyster responses to future climate scenarios. Furthermore, we explore the health implications of infected oysters on consumer's health. We also identify knowledge gaps and challenges for sustainable oyster production. Additionally, we document mitigation and adaptation measures and future research directions.},
}
@article {pmid38969104,
year = {2024},
author = {Bousema, T and van Asten, SA and Ramjith, J and Buhl, M and Tack, B and Whitfield, KE and Friedrich, AW and Kantele, A},
title = {Transforming ESCMID in a time of climate change: a call for sustainable conferencing.},
journal = {Clinical microbiology and infection : the official publication of the European Society of Clinical Microbiology and Infectious Diseases},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1016/j.cmi.2024.06.025},
pmid = {38969104},
issn = {1469-0691},
}
@article {pmid38968887,
year = {2024},
author = {Sayegh, F},
title = {Leveraging emotional intelligence to foster proactive climate change adaptation: A study of engineering decision-making.},
journal = {Journal of environmental management},
volume = {365},
number = {},
pages = {121669},
doi = {10.1016/j.jenvman.2024.121669},
pmid = {38968887},
issn = {1095-8630},
abstract = {The impacts of climate change and development present significant challenges and complexities that require new solutions, wise choices, and multi-disciplinary integration. In this context, emotional intelligence (EI) plays a crucial role. However, traditional engineering education and practice overlook the importance of understanding and managing emotions. This research aims to determine the impact of EI as a tool to enhance proactive decision-making and implement sustainable measures within the engineering profession.The study makes three main research contributions. First, it confirms a positive relationship between EI and proactive sustainable decision-making among engineers. This means that engineers with high EI are more likely to consider the impacts of their decisions on various stakeholders and dimensions of sustainability. Second, it suggests that EI can enhance creativity and innovative thinking in engineering, helping engineers to develop effective solutions for challenges related to climate change. Third, the study advocates for incorporating EI training and assessment into engineering curriculums to foster a sustainable and ethical engineering culture. By improving EI, engineers can enhance their interpersonal skills, self-awareness, and emotional management, which in turn can significantly improve teamwork in addressing challenges related to climate change.},
}
@article {pmid38968297,
year = {2024},
author = {Filazzola, A and Imrit, MA and Fleck, A and Woolway, RI and Sharma, S},
title = {Declining lake ice in response to climate change can impact spending for local communities.},
journal = {PloS one},
volume = {19},
number = {7},
pages = {e0299937},
pmid = {38968297},
issn = {1932-6203},
mesh = {*Climate Change ; *Lakes ; *Ice Cover ; Humans ; Greenhouse Gases/analysis ; },
abstract = {Lake ice is an important socio-economic resource that is threatened by climate change. The cover and duration of lake ice are expected to decline as air temperatures warm in the coming decades, disrupting a previously reliable source of income for many activities dependent on lake ice. The economic consequences of climate-induced lake ice loss remain unexplored, creating a significant research gap. The purpose of this study was to quantify the monetary spending associated with lake ice and how climate change may impact that value. Using a series of General Circulation Models (GCMs), greenhouse gas emissions scenarios, and models for lake ice cover, we predicted changes in lake ice by the end of the 21st century for the Northern Hemisphere. We also synthesized examples of spending associated with lake ice activities and discussed the potential implications expected with declining ice cover. We found that lake ice will decrease in area by 44,000-177,000 km2 and shorten in duration by 13-43 days by 2100. Using 31 examples of revenue from lake ice, we found that lake ice generates spending of over USD 2.04 billion to local communities and economies. We also found that countries predicted to experience the greatest ice loss by the end of the century are those that currently have the largest GDP, highest greenhouse gas emissions, and are most dependent on freshwater withdrawal. Our findings confirm predicted losses in lake ice that are expected because of climate change and quantify some of the potential consequences for local communities. Here we highlight lake ice as another casualty of human-caused climate change that will have profound socio-economic implications.},
}
@article {pmid38967106,
year = {2024},
author = {Cerutti-Pereyra, F and Drenkard, EJ and Espinoza, M and Finucci, B and Galván-Magaña, F and Hacohen-Domené, A and Hearn, A and Hoyos-Padilla, ME and Ketchum, JT and Mejía-Falla, PA and Moya-Serrano, AV and Navia, AF and Pazmiño, DA and Ramírez-Macías, D and Rummer, JL and Salinas-de-León, P and Sosa-Nishizaki, O and Stock, C and Chin, A},
title = {Vulnerability of Eastern Tropical Pacific chondrichthyan fish to climate change.},
journal = {Global change biology},
volume = {30},
number = {7},
pages = {e17373},
doi = {10.1111/gcb.17373},
pmid = {38967106},
issn = {1365-2486},
support = {//United States Agency for International Development (USAID)/ ; //Instituto Polit&#xe9;cnico Nacional (COFAA and EDI)/ ; //Save Our Seas Foundation/ ; //Mark and Rachel Rohr Foundation/ ; },
mesh = {Animals ; *Climate Change ; Pacific Ocean ; Risk Assessment ; Ecosystem ; Fishes/physiology ; },
abstract = {Climate change is an environmental emergency threatening species and ecosystems globally. Oceans have absorbed about 90% of anthropogenic heat and 20%-30% of the carbon emissions, resulting in ocean warming, acidification, deoxygenation, changes in ocean stratification and nutrient availability, and more severe extreme events. Given predictions of further changes, there is a critical need to understand how marine species will be affected. Here, we used an integrated risk assessment framework to evaluate the vulnerability of 132 chondrichthyans in the Eastern Tropical Pacific (ETP) to the impacts of climate change. Taking a precautionary view, we found that almost a quarter (23%) of the ETP chondrichthyan species evaluated were highly vulnerable to climate change, and much of the rest (76%) were moderately vulnerable. Most of the highly vulnerable species are batoids (77%), and a large proportion (90%) are coastal or pelagic species that use coastal habitats as nurseries. Six species of batoids were highly vulnerable in all three components of the assessment (exposure, sensitivity and adaptive capacity). This assessment indicates that coastal species, particularly those relying on inshore nursery areas are the most vulnerable to climate change. Ocean warming, in combination with acidification and potential deoxygenation, will likely have widespread effects on ETP chondrichthyan species, but coastal species may also contend with changes in freshwater inputs, salinity, and sea level rise. This climate-related vulnerability is compounded by other anthropogenic factors, such as overfishing and habitat degradation already occurring in the region. Mitigating the impacts of climate change on ETP chondrichthyans involves a range of approaches that include addressing habitat degradation, sustainability of exploitation, and species-specific actions may be required for species at higher risk. The assessment also highlighted the need to further understand climate change's impacts on key ETP habitats and processes and identified knowledge gaps on ETP chondrichthyan species.},
}
@article {pmid38967105,
year = {2024},
author = {Sudhakaran, G},
title = {Impact of climate change on the yield of medicinal plants in recent years.},
journal = {Natural product research},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {1-2},
doi = {10.1080/14786419.2024.2372845},
pmid = {38967105},
issn = {1478-6427},
abstract = {Climate change significantly impacts the yield and quality of medicinal plants due to alterations in temperature, precipitation patterns, and increased frequency of extreme weather events. These changes affect the growth, secondary metabolite production, and geographical distribution of medicinal plants, leading to reduced yields and compromised medicinal properties. Adaptive strategies such as developing climate-resilient plant varieties, sustainable agricultural practices, and enhanced conservation efforts are essential to mitigate these effects. Increased research and collaborative efforts are necessary to safeguard these vital resources for future generations.},
}
@article {pmid38966109,
year = {2024},
author = {de Meijer, F and Kimanthi, M and Cheruiyot, S and Muia, AM and Goga, D and Azamkhan Mohamed, S and Njoga, C and Gathu, C and Agoi, F and Nyamu, N and Shabani, J},
title = {Reimagining nutrition education for pregnant adolescents in the face of climate change: a community approach.},
journal = {BMJ nutrition, prevention &amp; health},
volume = {7},
number = {1},
pages = {151-159},
pmid = {38966109},
issn = {2516-5542},
abstract = {OBJECTIVES: To explore challenges with current nutrition education for teenage pregnant women in a drought-prone community in Kenya and to elicit the communities' suggestions on how to best adapt it in the face of climate change.<br><br>DESIGN: Nine serial focus group discussions (four with adolescents, two with their parents, two with community health volunteers and one with healthcare workers) were conducted on a purposively selected study population in Kaloleni, Kilifi County, Kenya. Data collection took place between March and November 2022, with a total of 73 participants. An inductive approach was used, and interpretive thematic coding was done as the primary analytic strategy to allow themes derived from participants' reflections.<br><br>RESULTS: First, participants reported that unpredictable rainfall patterns had affected nutrition intake and variety due to reduced yield from farmland, diseases in livestock and insufficient income. Second, participants reported barriers to accessing nutrition education, as it was mainly given in clinics and not targeted at adolescents or men. Third, they experienced challenges in applying nutrition education in daily life due to a mismatch between available foods and cultural practices. Recommendations for the future encompassed equipping individuals with practical cooking skills tailored to available nutrients, initiatives aimed at water conservation and addressing animal health concerns, enhancing accessibility through community-based training programmes and fostering collaborative efforts to ensure the provision of essential nutrients.<br><br>CONCLUSION: Food choices in Kilifi County are getting more limited due to unpredicted rainfall patterns. Therefore, a reorientation of nutrition education is needed in order to build resilience in the community. Strengthening community action, including developing skills to increase long-term local support, would be needed to ensure the adequate nutrition status of vulnerable groups like pregnant adolescent women.},
}
@article {pmid38965400,
year = {2024},
author = {Martre, P and Dueri, S and Guarin, JR and Ewert, F and Webber, H and Calderini, D and Molero, G and Reynolds, M and Miralles, D and Garcia, G and Brown, H and George, M and Craigie, R and Cohan, JP and Deswarte, JC and Slafer, G and Giunta, F and Cammarano, D and Ferrise, R and Gaiser, T and Gao, Y and Hochman, Z and Hoogenboom, G and Hunt, LA and Kersebaum, KC and Nendel, C and Padovan, G and Ruane, AC and Srivastava, AK and Stella, T and Supit, I and Thorburn, P and Wang, E and Wolf, J and Zhao, C and Zhao, Z and Asseng, S},
title = {Global needs for nitrogen fertilizer to improve wheat yield under climate change.},
journal = {Nature plants},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
pmid = {38965400},
issn = {2055-0278},
support = {EXC 2070 - 390732324//Deutsche Forschungsgemeinschaft (German Research Foundation)/ ; },
abstract = {Increasing global food demand will require more food production[1] without further exceeding the planetary boundaries[2] while simultaneously adapting to climate change[3]. We used an ensemble of wheat simulation models with improved sink and source traits from the highest-yielding wheat genotypes[4] to quantify potential yield gains and associated nitrogen requirements. This was explored for current and climate change scenarios across representative sites of major world wheat producing regions. The improved sink and source traits increased yield by 16% with current nitrogen fertilizer applications under both current climate and mid-century climate change scenarios. To achieve the full yield potential-a 52% increase in global average yield under a mid-century high warming climate scenario (RCP8.5), fertilizer use would need to increase fourfold over current use, which would unavoidably lead to higher environmental impacts from wheat production. Our results show the need to improve soil nitrogen availability and nitrogen use efficiency, along with yield potential.},
}
@article {pmid38964402,
year = {2024},
author = {Zhou, B and Zou, Q and Jiang, H and Yang, T and Zhou, W and Chen, S and Yao, H},
title = {A novel framework for predicting glacial lake outburst debris flows in the Himalayas amidst climate change.},
journal = {The Science of the total environment},
volume = {946},
number = {},
pages = {174435},
doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.174435},
pmid = {38964402},
issn = {1879-1026},
abstract = {The retreat of Himalayan glaciers and the expansion of glacial lakes due to global warming have increased the occurrence of glacial lake outburst debris flow (GLODF), posing a serious threat to downstream communities. However, there are gaps in understanding the changes in GLODF occurrence driven by climate change, which challenges disaster management and cross-border cooperation in the Himalayas. To consider this issue, our study presents a novel framework integrating environmental evolution, a process-driven indicator system, and a hybrid machine learning model to predict Himalayan GLODF occurrence in the 21st century. Our findings indicate ongoing temperature (0.27-0.60 °C/10a) and precipitation (1.30-5.00 %/10a) increases under both SSP245 and SSP585 scenarios. Meanwhile, Himalayan glaciers are projected to lose between 70 % and 86 % of their mass by 2100 compared to 2020. Additionally, 2722 ± 207 new glacial lakes are expected to emerge by 2100. GLODF occurrence probability index is anticipated to rise to 1.27-1.30 times the current levels, with the Western Himalayas and Indus basin as high-incidence areas. Currently and in the future, the China-Nepal border remains a hotspot for cross-border GLODF. Our framework offers valuable long-term insights into Himalayan GLODF occurrence trends in response to climate change.},
}
@article {pmid38963428,
year = {2024},
author = {Ichinose, T and Pan, Y and Yoshida, Y},
title = {Clothing color effect as a target of the smallest scale climate change adaptation.},
journal = {International journal of biometeorology},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
pmid = {38963428},
issn = {1432-1254},
support = {18K04417//Japan Society for the Promotion of Science/ ; },
abstract = {The purpose of this study is to understand a physical mechanism to determine the surface temperature of clothes in calm and fine conditions of outdoors. We observed surface temperatures of polo shirts of the same material and design but different colors. The shirts were placed in unshaded and well-ventilated outdoor, open spaces on sunny summer days. The maximum difference between dark green or black and white was more than 15 °C during calm, fine weather and was greatest when the solar radiation was strong. If the transmission of solar radiation energy through a shirt is ignored to calculate the absorption by the shirt, the difference in solar radiation absorption due to different colors is as much as 24% in the maximum, and if considered, we concluded that an absorption difference of 34% led to a temperature difference of 15℃. When we compared the brightness of the colors, we found that the albedo of both the visible and NIR bands explained why the red and green colors were so different with respect to the surface temperatures we observed. The reflection in the NIR bands was also an important determinant of the surface temperature. An additional experiment using masks showed that the temperature difference between white and black was almost eliminated at a wind speed of ~ 3 m/s. The color of clothing is therefore a target for small-scale adaptation to climate change.},
}
@article {pmid38962450,
year = {2024},
author = {Ciarlo', J and Giorgi, F},
title = {An increase in global daily precipitation records in response to global warming based on reanalysis and observations.},
journal = {Open research Europe},
volume = {4},
number = {},
pages = {114},
pmid = {38962450},
issn = {2732-5121},
abstract = {Understanding trends in extreme precipitation events in the context of global warming is critical for assessing climate change impacts. This study employs a novel methodology developed by Giorgi and Ciarlo (2022) to analyze record-breaking daily precipitation events from 1980 to 2020, utilizing three reanalysis products (ERA5, MERRA-2, and JRA-55) and one global observation dataset (MSWEP). Our results indicate a consistent and statistically significant increase in record-breaking precipitation events globally, with variations across different latitude bands and between land and ocean areas. This trend is evident in all datasets, with the most substantial increases observed over oceans in ERA5 and over land in JRA and MERRA. Notably, the Southern Hemisphere shows mixed results, with some regions displaying negative trends. This study highlights the increasing frequency of extreme precipitation events, supporting the hypothesis of intensified hydrological cycles under a warming climate. Our findings enhance understanding of precipitation extremes and underscore the importance of regional analyses in climate impact studies. Future work could extend these findings to formal attribution studies linking observed trends directly to anthropogenic climate change.},
}
@article {pmid38960781,
year = {2024},
author = {Otero González, A},
title = {Chronic kidney disease, dialysis and climate change.},
journal = {Nefrologia},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1016/j.nefroe.2024.06.008},
pmid = {38960781},
issn = {2013-2514},
abstract = {Chronic Kidney Disease is a serious public health problem and in clear relation to Climate Change and ecosystem maintenance. Renal health is particularly vulnerable to the impacts of climate change, and dialysis therapy (hemodialysis and PD) has a significant environmental footprint, conditioned by energy consumption and greenhouse gas production. In the last 50 years, people have changed ecosystems faster and more extensively than in any other period in human history. It is a consequence of ever-increasing demand for food, fresh water, fuel, industry, etc. and the result has been a substantial and largely irreversible loss of the diversity of life on Earth. Since 1979, human activities have caused the extinction of 60% of mammals, birds, fish and reptiles. There is an urgent need to adopt "Green Nephrology" measures by developing sustainable environmental solutions for the prevention and treatment of kidney diseases.},
}
@article {pmid38960189,
year = {2024},
author = {San-Emeterio, LM and Hidalgo-Galvez, MD and de la Rosa, JM and Pérez-Ramos, I and González-Pérez, JA},
title = {Impact of future scenarios of climate change on lignin dynamics in soil: A case study in a Mediterranean savannah.},
journal = {The Science of the total environment},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {174317},
doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.174317},
pmid = {38960189},
issn = {1879-1026},
abstract = {Lignin is an abundant and recalcitrant biopolymer of major relevance as soil organic matter (SOM) component playing a significant role in its stabilization. In this work, a factorial field experiment was established, where three climatic treatments (W, warming; D, drought; W + D, warming + drought), mimicking future climate change scenarios were installed over five years in a Mediterranean savannah "dehesa", accounting for its landscape diversity (under the tree canopy and in open grassland). A combination of analytical pyrolysis (Py-GC/MS) and the study of biogeochemical proxies based on lignin monomers is used for the direct detection of lignin-derived phenols and to infer possible shifts in lignin dynamics in soil. A total of 27 main lignin-derived methoxyphenols were identified, exhibiting different patterns and proportions, mainly driven by the effect of habitat, hence biomass inputs to SOM. An accelerated decomposition of lignin moieties -(exhibited by higher LG/LS and Al/K + Ac ratios)- is particularly exacerbated by the effect of all climatic treatments. There is also an overall effect on increasing lignin oxidation of side chain in syringyl units, especially under the tree canopy due to the alteration in biomass degradation and potential stimulation of enzyme activities. Conversely, in open grassland these effects are slower since the microbial community is expected to be already adapted to harsher conditions. Our findings suggests that climate change-related temperature and soil moisture deviations impact soil lignin decomposition in dehesas threatening this productive Mediterranean agroecosystem and affecting the mechanism of soil carbon storage.},
}
@article {pmid38960178,
year = {2024},
author = {de Andrade Costa, D and Bayissa, Y and Villas-Boas, MD and Maskey, S and Junior, JL and Silva Neto, AJ and Srinivasan, R},
title = {Water availability and extreme events under climate change scenarios in an experimental watershed of the Brazilian Atlantic Forest.},
journal = {The Science of the total environment},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {174417},
doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.174417},
pmid = {38960178},
issn = {1879-1026},
abstract = {Climate change has diversified negative implications on environmental sustainability and water availability. Assessing the impacts of climate change is crucial to enhance resilience and future preparedness particularly at a watershed scale. Therefore, the goal of this study is to evaluate the impact of climate change on the water balance components and extreme events in Piabanha watershed in the Brazilian Atlantic Forest. In this study, extreme climate change scenarios were developed using a wide array of global climate models acquired from the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) Sixth Assessment Reports (AR6). Two extreme climate change scenarios, DryHot and WetCool, were integrated into the Soil and Water Assessment Tools (SWAT) hydrological model to evaluate their impacts on the hydrological dynamics in the watershed. The baseline SWAT model was first developed and evaluated using different model performance evaluation metrics such as coefficient of determination (R[2]), Nash-Sutcliffe (NSC), and Kling-Gupta efficiency coefficient (KGE). The model results illustrated an excellent model performance with metric values reaching 0.89 and 0.64 for monthly and daily time steps respectively in the calibration (2008 to 2017) and validation (2018 to 2023) periods. The findings of future climate change impacts assessment underscored an increase in temperature and shifts in precipitation patterns. In terms of streamflow, high-flow events may experience a 47.3 % increase, while low-flows could see an 76.6 % reduction. In the DryHot scenario, annual precipitation declines from 1657 to 1420 mm, with evapotranspiration reaching 54 % of precipitation, marking a 9 % rise compared to the baseline. Such changes could induce water stress in plants and lead to modifications on structural attributes of the ecosystem recognized as the Atlantic rainforest. This study established boundaries concerning the effects of climate change and highlighted the need for proactive adaptation strategies and mitigation measures to minimize the potential adverse impacts in the study watershed.},
}
@article {pmid38960170,
year = {2024},
author = {Liu, K and Kinouchi, T and Tan, R and Heng, S and Chhuon, K and Zhao, W},
title = {Unraveling urban hydro-environmental response to climate change and MCDA-based area prioritization in a data-scarce developing city.},
journal = {The Science of the total environment},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {174389},
doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.174389},
pmid = {38960170},
issn = {1879-1026},
abstract = {Climate change leads to more frequent and intense heavy rainfall events, posing significant challenges for urban stormwater management, particularly in rapidly urbanizing cities of developing countries with constrained infrastructure. However, the quantitative assessment of urban stormwater, encompassing both its volume and quality, in these regions is impeded due to the scarcity of observational data and resulting limited understanding of drainage system dynamics. This study aims to elucidate the present and projected states of urban flooding, with a specific emphasis on fecal and organic contamination caused by combined sewer overflow (CSO). Leveraging a hydrological model incorporating physical and biochemical processes validated against invaluable observational data, we undertake simulations to estimate discharge, flood volume, and concentrations of suspended solids (SS), Escherichia coli (E. coli), and chemical oxygen demand (COD) within the drainage channel network of Phnom Penh City, Cambodia. Alterations in flood volumes, and pollutant concentrations and loads in overflow under two representative concentration pathways (RCPs 4.5 and 8.5) for extreme rainfall events are projected. Furthermore, we employ a multi-criteria decision analysis (MCDA) framework to evaluate flood risk, incorporating diverse indicators encompassing physical, social, and ecological dimensions. Our results demonstrate the exacerbating effects of climate change on flood volumes, expansion of flooded areas, prolonged durations of inundation, elevated vulnerability index, and heightened susceptibility to pollutant contamination under both scenarios, underscoring increased risks of flooding and fecal contamination. Spatial analysis identifies specific zones exhibiting heightened vulnerability to flooding and climate change, suggesting priority zones for investment in flood mitigation measures. These findings provide crucial insights for urban planning and stormwater management in regions with limited drainage infrastructure, offering essential guidance for decision-making in locales facing similar challenges.},
}
@article {pmid38959782,
year = {2024},
author = {Hinz, H and Terrados, J and Moranta, J and Reñones, O and Ruiz-Frau, A and Catalán, IA},
title = {A risk-based approach to the analysis of potential climate change effects on fish communities associated to Posidonia oceanica in the Mediterranean.},
journal = {Marine environmental research},
volume = {199},
number = {},
pages = {106618},
doi = {10.1016/j.marenvres.2024.106618},
pmid = {38959782},
issn = {1879-0291},
abstract = {The Mediterranean is recognized as a climate change hotspot, with ongoing warming anticipated to impact its habitats and their associated fish fauna. Among these habitats, the seagrass Posidonia oceanica stands out as a foundational species, critical for the stability of coastal fish communities. However, our understanding of climate change consequences on P. oceanica associated fish fauna to date remains limited in part due to a lack of long-term data. This study aimed to highlight potential climate change risks to fish species associated with Posidonia, integrating data on species' thermal envelopes with their habitat and depth preferences into a climate change risk index. Specifically, 9 species, including three pipefish and several wrasse species of the genus Symphodus, emerged as being at higher potential risk from climatic change. A historical time series from Palma Bay (Balearic Islands, Spain), spanning 45 years and providing clear evidence of warming, was employed to evaluate trends in species abundance and occurrence in relation to their relative climate risk score. While certain high-risk species like Symphodus cinereus and Diplodus annularis showed an increase in abundance over time, others, such as the pipefish Syngnathus acus, Syngnathus typhle and Nerophis maculatus experienced declines. The absence of observed declines in some high-risk species could be attributed to several factors, such as acclimation, adaptation, or unmet response thresholds. However, this does not rule out the potential for future changes in these species. Factors such as increased nutrient influx due to growing human populations and changes in fishing regulations may also have contributed to the observed trends. These findings underscore the intricate interplay of environmental and anthropogenic factors and accentuate the pressing need for sustained, long-term data acquisition to fathom the implications of climate change on this highly important marine ecosystem.},
}
@article {pmid38956339,
year = {2024},
author = {Christensen, J},
title = {Climate change is worsening the housing crisis - we must tackle the two together.},
journal = {Nature},
volume = {631},
number = {8019},
pages = {10},
doi = {10.1038/d41586-024-02183-1},
pmid = {38956339},
issn = {1476-4687},
mesh = {Arctic Regions ; *Climate Change/statistics &amp; numerical data ; Global Warming/prevention &amp; control/statistics &amp; numerical data ; *Housing/supply &amp; distribution ; },
}
@article {pmid38955455,
year = {2024},
author = {},
title = {Experts warn of serious health impacts from climate change for pregnant women, children, and older people.},
journal = {Saudi medical journal},
volume = {45},
number = {7},
pages = {754-755},
pmid = {38955455},
issn = {1658-3175},
}
@article {pmid38953744,
year = {2024},
author = {Maloney, SK and Kearney, MR and Mitchell, D},
title = {Indices of human heat stress in times of climate change.},
journal = {Acta physiologica (Oxford, England)},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {e14196},
doi = {10.1111/apha.14196},
pmid = {38953744},
issn = {1748-1716},
}
@article {pmid38953539,
year = {2024},
author = {Rida, J and Bouchriti, Y and Ait Haddou, M and Achbani, A and Sine, H and Serhane, H},
title = {Meteorological factors and climate change impact on asthma: A systematic review of epidemiological evidence.},
journal = {The Journal of asthma : official journal of the Association for the Care of Asthma},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {1-19},
doi = {10.1080/02770903.2024.2375272},
pmid = {38953539},
issn = {1532-4303},
abstract = {Objective: This systematic review aimed to investigate the epidemiological data about meteorological factors and climate change (CC) impact on asthma.Data Sources: A search was performed using three databases (Web of Science, Science Direct, and MEDLINE) for all relevant studies published from January 1, 2018, to December 31, 2022.Study Selections: This systematic review complied with the PRISMA document's requirements, including studies related to meteorological factors and CC impact on asthma. The search included studies published in English or French language, and was based on title, abstract, and complete text. Documents not meeting inclusion requirements were excluded.Results: We identified 18 studies published in the last five years that were eligible for inclusion in this review. We found that these studies concerned European, Asian, American, and Oceanic cities. Extreme variations in temperature, humidity, wind speed, exceptional incidents like hurricanes, cold and heat waves, and seasonal shifts were strongly correlated with the worsening of asthmatic symptoms, particularly in childhood. In addition, excessive concentrations of air pollutants and aeroallergens were linked to pediatric asthma emergency hospital admissions.Conclusions: A significant association between the consequences of CC and asthma in adults particularly in children has been demonstrated. Future research should quantify the impact of global change in climate regarding the aeroallergens' distribution in terms of geography and time. It is also necessary to research the impact of air pollution on asthmatic health, like sulfur dioxide (SO2), nitrogen dioxide (NO2), ozone (O3), and particles having an aerodynamic diameter lower than 2.5 µm (PM2.5).},
}
@article {pmid38953058,
year = {2024},
author = {Harrison, J and Williams, P and Raynes-Greenow, C and Fairlie, S and Quynh Nga, PT and Ton, TN and Pratt, A and Thanh, HN and Payne, D and McBrearty, C and Pasupathy, D},
title = {The impact of climate change on infant mortality in Viet Nam: identifying a need for higher quality accessible data.},
journal = {The Lancet regional health. Western Pacific},
volume = {47},
number = {},
pages = {101113},
pmid = {38953058},
issn = {2666-6065},
}
@article {pmid38951496,
year = {2024},
author = {Dimitrova, A and Dimitrova, A and Mengel, M and Gasparrini, A and Lotze-Campen, H and Gabrysch, S},
title = {Temperature-related neonatal deaths attributable to climate change in 29 low- and middle-income countries.},
journal = {Nature communications},
volume = {15},
number = {1},
pages = {5504},
pmid = {38951496},
issn = {2041-1723},
mesh = {Humans ; *Climate Change ; Infant, Newborn ; *Developing Countries/statistics &amp; numerical data ; *Infant Mortality/trends ; Infant ; Female ; Hot Temperature/adverse effects ; Male ; Cold Temperature/adverse effects ; Temperature ; Africa South of the Sahara/epidemiology ; Health Surveys ; },
abstract = {Exposure to high and low ambient temperatures increases the risk of neonatal mortality, but the contribution of climate change to temperature-related neonatal deaths is unknown. We use Demographic and Health Survey (DHS) data (n = 40,073) from 29 low- and middle-income countries to estimate the temperature-related burden of neonatal deaths between 2001 and 2019 that is attributable to climate change. We find that across all countries, 4.3% of neonatal deaths were associated with non-optimal temperatures. Climate change was responsible for 32% (range: 19-79%) of heat-related neonatal deaths, while reducing the respective cold-related burden by 30% (range: 10-63%). Climate change has impacted temperature-related neonatal deaths in all study countries, with most pronounced climate-induced losses from increased heat and gains from decreased cold observed in countries in sub-Saharan Africa. Future increases in global mean temperatures are expected to exacerbate the heat-related burden, which calls for ambitious mitigation and adaptation measures to safeguard the health of newborns.},
}
@article {pmid38950449,
year = {2024},
author = {Newton, AC and Creissen, HE and Erreguerena, IA and Havis, ND},
title = {Disease Management in Regenerative Cropping in the Context of Climate Change and Regulatory Restrictions.},
journal = {Annual review of phytopathology},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1146/annurev-phyto-121423-042037},
pmid = {38950449},
issn = {1545-2107},
abstract = {Regenerative agriculture as a term and concept has gained much traction over recent years. Many farmers are convinced that by adopting these principles they will be able to address the triple crisis of biodiversity loss, climate change, and food security. However, the impact of regenerative agriculture practices on crop pathogens and their management has received little attention from the scientific community. Significant changes to cropping systems may result in certain diseases presenting more or less of a threat. Shifts in major diseases may have significant implications regarding optimal integrated pest management (IPM) strategies that aim to improve profitability and productivity in an environmentally sensitive manner. In particular, many aspects of regenerative agriculture change risk levels and risk management in ways that are central to effective IPM. This review outlines some of the challenges, gaps, and opportunities in our understanding of appropriate approaches for managing crop diseases in regenerative cropping systems.},
}
@article {pmid38948454,
year = {2024},
author = {Lee, JS and Park, JH and Choi, YJ and Shin, HD},
title = {Emergence and Potential Spread of Rust Disease on Wisteria floribunda and Corydalis incisa Influenced by Climate Change in Korea.},
journal = {Mycobiology},
volume = {52},
number = {3},
pages = {160-171},
pmid = {38948454},
issn = {1229-8093},
abstract = {Global climate change influences the emergence, spread, and severity of rust diseases that affect crops and forests. In Korea, the rust diseases that affect Wisteria floribunda and its alternate host Corydalis incisa are rapidly spreading northwards. Through morphological, molecular, phylogenetic, and pathogenicity approaches, Neophysopella kraunhiae was identified as the causal agent, alternating between the two host plants to complete its life cycle. Using the maximum entropy model (Maxent) under shared socioeconomic pathways (SSPs), the results of this study suggest that by the 2050s, C. incisa is likely to extend its range into central Korea owing to climate shifts, whereas the distribution of W. floribunda is expected to remain unchanged nationwide. The generalized additive model revealed a significant positive correlation between the presence of C. incisa and the incidence of rust disease, highlighting the role that climate-driven expansion of this alternate host plays in the spread of N. kraunhiae. These findings highlight the profound influence of climate change on both the distribution of a specific plant and the disease a rust fungus causes, raising concerns about the potential emergence and spread of other rust pathogens with similar host dynamics.},
}
@article {pmid38947948,
year = {2024},
author = {Bianco, C and Egamberdieva, D and Balestrini, R and Taranto, F},
title = {Editorial: Omics techniques to optimize plant-microbe interactions under climate change.},
journal = {Frontiers in plant science},
volume = {15},
number = {},
pages = {1423421},
pmid = {38947948},
issn = {1664-462X},
}
@article {pmid38947909,
year = {2024},
author = {Provenzi, L and Billeci, L and Wright, C and Xu, Z},
title = {Editorial: Climate change challenge in pediatric psychology.},
journal = {Frontiers in psychology},
volume = {15},
number = {},
pages = {1439041},
pmid = {38947909},
issn = {1664-1078},
}
@article {pmid38947511,
year = {2024},
author = {Cui, Q and Lei, YL and Jia, ZK and Wang, Y and Li, Y},
title = {Path analysis for controlling climate change in global aviation.},
journal = {iScience},
volume = {27},
number = {6},
pages = {110126},
pmid = {38947511},
issn = {2589-0042},
abstract = {The aviation industry's emissions have had a significant impact on global climate change. This study focuses on carbon emission trading schemes, sustainable aviation fuels (SAFs), and hydrogen energy, as vital means for the aviation industry to reduce emissions. To evaluate the climate effects of global routes under four scenarios (24 sub-scenarios) until 2100, this study proposes the Aviation-FAIR (Aviation-Finite Amplitude Impulse Response) method. The findings reveal that while CO2 emissions and concentrations are significant, other emissions, such as N2O and CH4, have a greater effective radiative forcing (ERF) and contribute significantly to climate change. Moreover, SAFs are more effective in mitigating airline pollutant emissions than relying solely on carbon trading schemes. The effectiveness of hydrogen fuel cells may be hindered by technical limitations compared to hydrogen turbine engines. The findings of this study provide reference for the global aviation industry to adopt emission reduction measures.},
}
@article {pmid38947458,
year = {2024},
author = {Gokcimen, T and Das, B},
title = {Exploring climate change discourse on social media and blogs using a topic modeling analysis.},
journal = {Heliyon},
volume = {10},
number = {11},
pages = {e32464},
pmid = {38947458},
issn = {2405-8440},
abstract = {Climate change is one of the most pressing global issues of our time, and understanding public perception and awareness of the topic is crucial for developing effective policies to mitigate its effects. While traditional survey methods have been used to gauge public opinion, advances in natural language processing (NLP) and data visualization techniques offer new opportunities to analyze user-generated content from social media and blog posts. In this study, a new dataset of climate change-related texts was collected from social media sources and various blogs. The dataset was analyzed using BERTopic and LDA to identify and visualize the most important topics related to climate change. The study also used sentence similarity to determine the similarities in the comments written and which topic categories they belonged to. The performance of different techniques for keyword extraction and text representation, including OpenAI, Maximal Marginal Relevance (MMR), and KeyBERT, was compared for topic modeling with BERTopic. It was seen that the best coherence score and topic diversity metric were obtained with OpenAI-based BERTopic. The results provide insights into the public's attitudes and perceptions towards climate change, which can inform policy development and contribute to efforts to reduce activities that cause climate change.},
}
@article {pmid38947353,
year = {2024},
author = {Boafo, YA and Ohemeng, FNA and Ayivor, J and Ayitiah, JA and Yirenya-Tawiah, D and Mensah, A and Datsa, C and Annang, TY and Adom, L},
title = {Unraveling diarrheal disease knowledge, understanding, and management practices among climate change vulnerable coastal communities in Ghana.},
journal = {Frontiers in public health},
volume = {12},
number = {},
pages = {1352275},
pmid = {38947353},
issn = {2296-2565},
mesh = {Humans ; Ghana ; *Diarrhea/epidemiology ; Female ; Male ; Cross-Sectional Studies ; *Health Knowledge, Attitudes, Practice ; Adult ; *Climate Change ; Surveys and Questionnaires ; Middle Aged ; Focus Groups ; Sanitation ; Hygiene ; Family Characteristics ; },
abstract = {INTRODUCTION: Diarrheal disease is a global public health concern, particularly in low-income countries. In Ghana, widespread issues like inadequate sanitation, unsafe drinking water, malnutrition, and poor hygiene practices contribute to the high incidence of diarrhea. Climate change exacerbates these challenges by increasing the frequency and severity of conditions that spread diarrheal diseases. This study explores households' knowledge, understanding, and management practices for diarrhea in climate change-vulnerable coastal communities.<br><br>METHODS: The study is set in Ghana's central (Mumford, Opetekwei) and eastern (Anyako, Anyanui-Atiteti) coastlines. Using a cross-sectional study design, a structured questionnaire was administered to randomly sampled households (n = 419) to collect quantitative data. The study collected qualitative data from focus group discussions (n = 8), with groups separated into men and women, key informant interviews, and observations of food, water, and sanitation conditions across the studied communities.<br><br>RESULTS AND DISCUSSION: The study found significant variations between the studied communities and socio-demographic variables except for the respondents' gender. Multivariate regression analyses identified significant associations between socio-demographic variables (especially gender and educational status) and perceptions of diarrhea causes. The most used first management action against diarrhea is 'over-the-counter drugs', followed by home-made traditional remedies. Significant differences were observed in the usage of management practices across the studied communities. Trust, affordability, and availability were identified as the main factors influencing households' use of approved pharmaceutical drugs and traditional herbal remedies for managing behavior, with significant differences being observed across communities. The study recommends a multi-sectoral approach, including improved access to regularly flowing, safe water and sanitation facilities, education on preventing diarrhea, and adequate healthcare services. Community-based interventions such as promoting good hygiene practices at homes and community settings such as schools, lorry parks, funeral grounds, and recreational areas can also effectively reduce the burden of diarrhea.},
}
@article {pmid38945977,
year = {2024},
author = {Hussein, SM and Ibrahim, BA},
title = {Knowledge and attitude of general population towards climate change and its impact on health in Ismailia Governorate, Egypt.},
journal = {The Journal of the Egyptian Public Health Association},
volume = {99},
number = {1},
pages = {15},
pmid = {38945977},
issn = {0013-2446},
abstract = {BACKGROUND: Recently, climate change (CC) has garnered significant global attention. It has emerged as one of the most pressing environmental issues, resulting in a multitude of adverse impacts on human well-being and health. This study aims to assess the knowledge and attitude of the general population in Ismailia Governorate, Egypt, about CC and its impact on health, identify factors affecting the general population's knowledge about CC, and highlight methods to solve this problem.<br><br>METHODS: A cross-sectional study was carried out on the general population in Ismailia governorate, Egypt. A snowball sample of participants (n&#x2009;=&#x2009;150) was enrolled in the study by distributing an online Google form containing a structured self-administered questionnaire.<br><br>RESULTS: The participants had an average knowledge score of 27.42&#x2009;&#xb1;&#x2009;14.42, with 60% considered knowledgeable. About 54% knew the main cause of CC. Around 75% were aware of the environmental impacts of CC, and 69.3% knew about the effects on human health. Based on the questionnaire's results, 76.7% of respondents believed that increasing afforestation helps in the mitigation of CC and 77.3% believed that governments bear the responsibility for CC. Approximately 85% regarded increasing green spaces as an effective method to reduce CC on the country level. On an individual level, usage of energy-saving products was the most-favored option chosen by participants to help in reducing CC (82%). Gender, education level, and place of residence were significant factors affecting knowledge about CC.<br><br>CONCLUSIONS: Over 50%&#xa0;of the participants were knowledgeable about CC and the role of human activities in CC. Therefore, public awareness campaigns utilizing prominent media such as television and social media should be launched to improve CC literacy. These campaigns should be more directed at males, and people with lower levels of education and who live in rural areas in Ismailia Governorate, Egypt.},
}
@article {pmid38945811,
year = {2024},
author = {Swamy, L and Munro, CL},
title = {Climate Change and the Intensive Care Unit.},
journal = {American journal of critical care : an official publication, American Association of Critical-Care Nurses},
volume = {33},
number = {4},
pages = {241-244},
doi = {10.4037/ajcc2024761},
pmid = {38945811},
issn = {1937-710X},
mesh = {Humans ; *Intensive Care Units/organization &amp; administration ; *Climate Change ; Critical Care ; },
}
@article {pmid38945249,
year = {2024},
author = {Magyari, EK and Szabó, Z and Falus, G and Móra, A and Szalai, Z and Hamerlik, L and Tóth, M and Farkas, &#xc1; and Pomogyi, P and Somogyi, B and Vörös, L and Korponai, J},
title = {Large shallow lake response to anthropogenic stressors and climate change: Missing macroinvertebrate recovery after oligotrophication (Lake Balaton, East-Central Europe).},
journal = {The Science of the total environment},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {174191},
doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.174191},
pmid = {38945249},
issn = {1879-1026},
abstract = {East-Central Europe's largest shallow lake, Balaton, experienced strong eutrophication in the 1970-80s, followed by water quality improvement and oligotrophication by 2010 CE. Recently however, repeated cyanobacterial blooms occurred and warned that internal P-recycling can act similarly to external P load, therefore we need a better understanding of past water level (WL) and trophic changes in the lake. In this study we discuss the last 500-yr trophic, WL and habitat changes of the lake using paleoecological (chironomids, pollen) and geochemical (sediment chlorophyll, TOC, TS, TN, C/H ratio, major and trace element) methods. We demonstrate that the most intensive and irreversible change in the macroinvertebrate fauna occurred during the period of economic boom between the First and Second World War (~1925-1940 CE), when large-scale built-in and leisure use of the lake has intensified. At that time, the Procladius-Microchironomus-Stempellina dominated community transformed to Procladius-Chironomus plumosus-type-Microchironomus community that coincided with land use changes, intensified erosion and water-level regulation in the lake with the maintenance of year-round high WL. This was followed by the impoverishment and population size decrease of the chironomid fauna and Procladius dominance since 1940 CE, without any recovery after 1994 CE despite the ongoing oligotrophication. Accelerated rate of change and turnover of the fauna was connected to an increase in the benthivorous fish biomass and eutrophication. The basin lost almost completely its once characteristic Stempellina species between 1927 and 1940 CE due to trophic level increase and seasonal anoxia in the Szemes Basin. Reference conditions for ecosystem improvement were assigned to 1740-1900 CE. We conclude that in spite of the ongoing oligotrophication, the re-establishment of the Procladius-Microchironomus-Stempellina assemblage is hampered, and requires fish population regulation.},
}
@article {pmid38944311,
year = {2024},
author = {Tran, TN and Lakshmi, V},
title = {Enhancing human resilience against climate change: Assessment of hydroclimatic extremes and sea level rise impacts on the eastern shore of Virginia, United States.},
journal = {The Science of the total environment},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {174289},
doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.174289},
pmid = {38944311},
issn = {1879-1026},
abstract = {Quantifying the impacts of climate change on hydrological systems is crucial for developing adaptive strategies in water resources management. In this work, we quantify the future climate impacts on hydroclimatic extremes in the risk-prone, coastal, 15-m-above-sea-level Eastern Shore of Virginia (ESVA) region, utilizing the Sixth International Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP6) Assessment Report 6 (AR6) and General Circulation Models (GCMs). In addition, we incorporate historical data on demographics and disasters, land use land cover (LULC), Landsat imagery, and projected sea level rise (SLR) to better understand and highlight the correlation between hydroclimatic extremes and societal components in this region. The hydrological model Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT), Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI), Normalized Difference Water Index (NDWI), and Interquartile Range (IQR) method have been used to evaluate the intensity and frequency of projected climatic extremes, in which SLR projections under different greenhouse gas emission pathways are temporally and spatially quantified. Our findings include (1) a trend towards wetter conditions is found with an increase in flood events and up to an 8.9 % rise in the severity of flood peaks compared to the 2003-2020 period; (2) current coastal high-risk regions, identified using historical data for natural disasters, demographics, and LULC, are projected to be more susceptible to future climate impacts; and (3) low-lying coastal towns and regions are identified as currently highly vulnerable to coastal and SLR-induced flooding and are projected to become even more susceptible by 2100. This is the first effort that provides valuable scientific insights into anticipated shifts in future climate patterns, essential for natural hazards prevention in ESVA. It highlights the need for authorities and decision-makers to plan and implement adaptive strategies and sustainable policies for the ESVA region and other coastal areas across the United States.},
}
@article {pmid38944308,
year = {2024},
author = {Falk, MT and Hagsten, E},
title = {Probability and severity of climate change threats to natural world heritage sites vary across site specifics and over time.},
journal = {The Science of the total environment},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {174291},
doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.174291},
pmid = {38944308},
issn = {1879-1026},
abstract = {This study contributes a first comparison of current and potential threats to Natural World Heritage Sites from climate change, as assessed by experts, when site and location characteristics (size, year of inscription to the World Heritage list, continent, climate zone and kind of site) are controlled for. The probability of a threat as well as its intensity is analysed. Another novelty lies in the use of data from the IUCN Conservation Outlook assessment, covering all 245 Natural and Mixed World Heritage Sites across the world for three points in time: 2014, 2017 and 2020. The threat of climate change is broadly defined and includes temperature extremes, rising temperatures, disappearing glaciers, coral bleaching, droughts, desertification, and rising sea levels. Results based on a simultaneous Probit model with random effects show that the probability of actual and potential climate change threats increases over time, but with differences for size, kind of site and location. The probability that a threat is identified is highest for marine and coastal sites, and for those in Latin America, while it is significantly lower for sites on the African continent. Larger sites have a higher probability of being assessed as at risk and the severity of threats is found to be lower for recently inscribed sites. The rate at which the likelihood of a threat assessment increases is consistent for both current and future situations, while the probability of the most severe threat is larger for the current than the future period. A serious threat from climate change is assessed as highest for locations in the tropical monsoon (current period) or the tropical savannah climate (future period). Estimations also show that pure descriptive statistics or bivariate correlations may not correctly identify the risk or the dignity of a threat.},
}
@article {pmid38944274,
year = {2024},
author = {Segoli, M and Kishinevsky, M and Harvey, JA},
title = {Climate change, temperature extremes, and impacts on hyperparasitoids.},
journal = {Current opinion in insect science},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {101229},
doi = {10.1016/j.cois.2024.101229},
pmid = {38944274},
issn = {2214-5753},
abstract = {Anthropogenic climate change (ACC), including temperature extremes (TE), is having a major impact on insect physiology, phenology, behavior, populations, and communities. Hyperparasitoids (insects whose offspring develop in, or on, the body of a primary parasitoid host) are expected to be especially impacted by such effects due to their typical life history traits (e.g., low fecundity and slow development), small populations (being high on the food chain), and cascading effects mediated via lower trophic levels. We review evidence for direct and indirect temperature and climate-related effects mediated via plants, herbivores, and the primary parasitoid host species on hyperparasitoid populations, focusing on higher temperatures. We discuss how hyperparasitoid responses may feed back to the community and affect biological control programs. We conclude that despite their great importance, very little is known about the potential effects of climate change on hyperparasitoids and make a plea for additional studies exploring such responses.},
}
@article {pmid38941825,
year = {2024},
author = {Bokharaeian, M and Toghdory, A and Ghoorchi, T},
title = {Effects of dietary curcumin nano-micelles on performance, biological responses, and thermal stress resilience in heat-stressed fattening lambs across varying temperature-humidity index conditions: Implications for climate change.},
journal = {Journal of thermal biology},
volume = {123},
number = {},
pages = {103905},
doi = {10.1016/j.jtherbio.2024.103905},
pmid = {38941825},
issn = {0306-4565},
abstract = {Heat stress poses a significant challenge to sheep farming in arid and semi-arid regions, impacting growth performance, health, and physiological responses. While sheep have innate mechanisms to manage heat stress, prolonged exposure impairs their performance and health. This study evaluated the influence of varying doses of Curcumin Nano-Micelle (CNM) on heat-stressed fattening lambs in northeastern Iran over three months, examining the relationship between CNM doses and growth performance, feeding behavior, physiological responses, immune function, and antioxidant status. Thirty-two crossbred male lambs were included in a completely randomized design with four treatments and eight replications. The experimental treatments were as follows: 1) CTRL: No dietary inclusion of CNM, (control group); 2) T20: Dietary inclusion of 20 mg of CNM per head per day; 3) T40: Dietary inclusion of 40 mg of CNM per head per day; and 4) T80: Dietary inclusion of 80 mg of CNM per head per day. The results revealed that dietary supplementation with 20 and 40 mg of CNM significantly improved live body weight, weight gain, average daily gain (ADG), and feed conversion ratio (FCR) compared to the control treatment. Regression analysis demonstrated quadratic models between growth performance parameters and the Temperature-Humidity Index (THI), indicating a correlation between CNM doses and the animals' responses to heat stress. Regarding eating behavior, CNM doses of 40 and 80 mg/day significantly reduced eating time while increasing ruminating time. Blood analysis indicated significant reductions in glucose levels across all treatments, with T40 significantly reducing both cholesterol and triglyceride (TG) levels. Additionally, CNM supplementation decreased serum malondialdehyde (MDA) levels and increased superoxide dismutase (SOD) and glutathione peroxidase (GPx) activities, indicating enhanced antioxidant status. Physiological responses were influenced by CNM, notably reducing rectal temperature (RT), skin temperature (ST), respiration rate (RR), while pulse rate (PR) increased across various time intervals, particularly in the T80 group. This study demonstrates that CNM supplementation can enhance performance, physiological responses, and antioxidant status in heat-stressed fattening lambs, highlighting its potential to mitigate heat stress effects in sheep farming.},
}
@article {pmid38941468,
year = {2024},
author = {Merlis, TM and Cheng, KY and Guendelman, I and Harris, L and Bretherton, CS and Bolot, M and Zhou, L and Kaltenbaugh, A and Clark, SK and Vecchi, GA and Fueglistaler, S},
title = {Climate sensitivity and relative humidity changes in global storm-resolving model simulations of climate change.},
journal = {Science advances},
volume = {10},
number = {26},
pages = {eadn5217},
pmid = {38941468},
issn = {2375-2548},
abstract = {The climate simulation frontier of a global storm-resolving model (GSRM; or k-scale model because of its kilometer-scale horizontal resolution) is deployed for climate change simulations. The climate sensitivity, effective radiative forcing, and relative humidity changes are assessed in multiyear atmospheric GSRM simulations with perturbed sea-surface temperatures and/or carbon dioxide concentrations. Our comparisons to conventional climate model results can build confidence in the existing climate models or highlight important areas for additional research. This GSRM's climate sensitivity is within the range of conventional climate models, although on the lower end as the result of neutral, rather than amplifying, shortwave feedbacks. Its radiative forcing from carbon dioxide is higher than conventional climate models, and this arises from a bias in climatological clouds and an explicitly simulated high-cloud adjustment. Last, the pattern and magnitude of relative humidity changes, simulated with greater fidelity via explicitly resolving convection, are notably similar to conventional climate models.},
}
@article {pmid38941334,
year = {2024},
author = {Crea, F},
title = {A focus on three hot topics: atrial fibrillation, obesity, and climate change.},
journal = {European heart journal},
volume = {45},
number = {24},
pages = {2105-2108},
doi = {10.1093/eurheartj/ehae380},
pmid = {38941334},
issn = {1522-9645},
mesh = {Humans ; *Atrial Fibrillation/therapy ; *Climate Change ; *Obesity/complications/epidemiology ; },
}
@article {pmid38940665,
year = {2024},
author = {Levett-Jones, T},
title = {Responding to climate change: the need for nursing leadership.},
journal = {Contemporary nurse},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {1-2},
doi = {10.1080/10376178.2024.2367665},
pmid = {38940665},
issn = {1839-3535},
}
@article {pmid38940101,
year = {2024},
author = {Piotrowska-Weryszko, K and Weryszko-Chmielewska, E and Sulborska-Różycka, A and Konarska, A and Kubik-Komar, A},
title = {Global warming contributes to reduction in the intensity of Artemisia pollen seasons in Lublin, central-eastern Poland.},
journal = {Annals of agricultural and environmental medicine : AAEM},
volume = {31},
number = {2},
pages = {185-192},
doi = {10.26444/aaem/184726},
pmid = {38940101},
issn = {1898-2263},
mesh = {Poland ; *Pollen/chemistry ; *Artemisia/growth &amp; development ; *Seasons ; *Global Warming ; Allergens/analysis ; Temperature ; Air Pollutants/analysis ; Environmental Monitoring ; },
abstract = {INTRODUCTION AND OBJECTIVE: Species of the genus Artemisia (Asteraceae) are weeds and ruderal plants growing in northern temperate regions of the world. Many of them are used in medicine and the cosmetic industry and for culinary purposes. Pollen grains of plants of this genus contain the most important aeroallergens.<br><br>MATERIAL AND METHODS: An aerobiological study conducted with the volumetric method in Lublin in 2001-2022. Trend lines for the season parameters were established. Spearman's correlation and stepwise regression analyses were carried out to determine relationships between various parameters of the pollen season and meteorological factors. PCA analysis was also carried out to visually compare the pollen seasons.<br><br>RESULTS: In Lublin, central-eastern Poland, the Artemisia pollen season lasted on average from the second ten days of July to the end of August, with its beginning depending on the temperature in April and May. The highest pollen concentrations were mainly recorded in the first half of August and were largely dependent on the mean temperature in June and July. The second peak in the pollen season recorded in September was associated with the presence of Artemisia annua pollen. Intense sunshine in June and the higher temperatures in June and July resulted in significant reduction in the Artemisia annual pollen sum (by 65%) over 22 years. Artemisia vulgaris is abundant in the Lublin region and contributes substantially to the amount of Artemisia pollen in the aeroplankton.<br><br>CONCLUSIONS: The downward trend in the amount of Artemisia pollen was a result of the increase in temperatures observed in the summer months, and the declining rainfall rates. The global warming effect is extremely unfavourable for plants of Artemisia vulgaris, as they require moist soil substrates for growth.},
}
@article {pmid38939737,
year = {2023},
author = {Sakellari, M},
title = {Communicating climate change induced migration: the role of NGOs.},
journal = {Open research Europe},
volume = {3},
number = {},
pages = {163},
pmid = {38939737},
issn = {2732-5121},
abstract = {This study addresses the underexplored issue of climate migration in non-governmental organisations (NGOs) communication, which is particularly relevant given the anticipated effects of climate change on migratory patterns. It paints a richer picture of NGOs' visual and textual discourses on climate migration and delves into the ways in which NGOs' depictions of climate migrants reinforce the 'us' and 'them' dichotomy that characterises policy and media circuits' wider debate on this issue. NGOs visual practises and textual narratives depoliticize climate migrants by underlining their otherness and propensity to bring social instability and disturbance. This raises doubts about the efficacy of climate migration-related online public education and policy advocacy efforts run by NGOs. This paper innovates as it encourages NGOs to create new ways of depicting climate refugees. It provides a framework for thinking about the role that NGOs could play in creating new ways of discussing climate migration.},
}
@article {pmid38938635,
year = {2024},
author = {Duan, J and Liu, J and Huang, Z},
title = {Predicting the distribution pattern changes of dye plant habitats caused by climate change.},
journal = {Frontiers in plant science},
volume = {15},
number = {},
pages = {1364481},
pmid = {38938635},
issn = {1664-462X},
abstract = {Climate change has accelerated the habitat loss and fragmentation of wildlife. Dye plants of "Fengxiang dyeing" are important indigenous natural resources for traditional printing and dyeing craft in southwest China, is of practical and cultural importance for dozens of ethnic minorities. However, lack of the spatial distribution information of these plants has hampered holistic and efficient conservation management measures. We analyzed the potentially suitable areas of four dye plants (Liquidambar formosana, Strobilanthes cusia, Persicaria tinctoria and Indigofera tinctoria) necessary for "Fengxiang dyeing" based on their geographical distribution sites under different climatic situations using the maximum entropy (MaxEnt) model. The results showed that temperature, precipitation and elevation were the most important factors affecting the suitable geographical areas of the four dye plants. Under the current climate conditions, the overlapping suitable habitat areas of the four plants were mainly in the four southern provinces of China, including Guizhou, Guangxi, Guangdong and Hainan. L. formosana was used as the base plant for combination with the other three plants under the two future climate scenarios (SSP126 and SSP585), and the overlapping suitable habitat areas of the obtained seven combination patterns were considered suitable for potential craft development. Five patterns showed an increase, while two patterns showed a decreasing trend with the increasing carbon emission. The prediction results showed that the overlapping suitable habitat center of the four plants will gradually move to the northeast, indicating that the overlapping suitable habitat area and craft distribution area will be changed. These results provide the basis for understanding the spatial distribution pattern changes of dye plants caused by climate change and establishing measures for protecting and developing printing and dyeing craft.},
}
@article {pmid38936043,
year = {2024},
author = {Lee, JJ and Huang, Y and Yan, Y and Lui, YW and Ye, F},
title = {Integrating climate change and sustainability in nursing education.},
journal = {Nurse education today},
volume = {140},
number = {},
pages = {106290},
doi = {10.1016/j.nedt.2024.106290},
pmid = {38936043},
issn = {1532-2793},
abstract = {Climate change has led to negative health outcomes and significant challenges in healthcare delivery, calling for a transformative approach to nursing curricula. To effectively address the adverse health impacts of climate change, it is imperative to equip future nurses with the necessary knowledge and competency. This can be accomplished by enhancing awareness among nurse educators, integrating climate change contents into nursing curricula, adopting inter- and multi-disciplinary approaches, nurturing nursing practice skills, and cultivating advocacy and leadership competencies. Implementation of these strategies in nursing education can nurture future nurses who can confront the health challenges associated with climate change, empowering them to advocate for sustainable nursing practice and public health policies related to mitigating the impact of climate change on health. This comprehensive, practical, and leadership-focused strategy in nursing education ensures that future nurses are well-prepared to effectively address health issues caused by climate change.},
}
@article {pmid38935627,
year = {2024},
author = {Goudet, JM and Binte Arif, F and Owais, H and Uddin Ahmed, H and Ridde, V},
title = {Climate change and women's mental health in two vulnerable communities of Bangladesh: An ethnographic study.},
journal = {PLOS global public health},
volume = {4},
number = {6},
pages = {e0002080},
doi = {10.1371/journal.pgph.0002080},
pmid = {38935627},
issn = {2767-3375},
abstract = {Climate change is one of the most significant challenges humanity faces in the 21st century, with its health impacts being profoundly felt in the most vulnerable countries. However, the mental health impacts of climate change, particularly concerning social inequality and gender dynamics, are less documented in the Global South. This paper focuses on the impact of climate change on women's mental health in two vulnerable communities in Bangladesh. This study employed qualitative methods, including, in-depth interviews, and focus group discussions (FGDs). The communities were selected based on their vulnerability to climate change. A total of 80 participants were selected using snowball sampling, and 55 interviews and 6 FGDs were conducted. Women are particularly vulnerable to climate change impacts on mental health due to their gender roles and responsibilities. Responsible for taking care of their families, they have to face additional challenges due to climate change impacts, such as increased workload, food insecurity, and social insecurity when their husband migrates to the cities for jobs. Women also face social and cultural barriers, which exacerbate their vulnerability to climate change impacts on mental health. Socioeconomic and environmental determinants appear to be embedded and lead to psychological suffering in relation to social roles and gender norms. Interventions should be designed to address the specific needs and challenges faced by women in these communities. Policymakers should take a gender-sensitive approach to address the mental health impacts of climate change in these communities. This study contributes to the growing body of research on the gendered impacts of climate change with a trajectory approach and provides insights for future research in this area.},
}
@article {pmid38935588,
year = {2024},
author = {Weng, YM and Kavanaugh, DH and Schoville, SD},
title = {Evidence for admixture and rapid evolution during glacial climate change in an alpine specialist.},
journal = {Molecular biology and evolution},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1093/molbev/msae130},
pmid = {38935588},
issn = {1537-1719},
abstract = {The pace of current climate change is expected to be problematic for alpine flora and fauna, as their adaptive capacity may be limited by small population size. Yet despite substantial genetic drift following post-glacial recolonization of alpine habitats, alpine species are notable for their success surviving in highly heterogeneous environments. Population genomic analyses demonstrating how alpine species have adapted to novel environments with limited genetic diversity remain rare, yet are important in understanding the potential for species to respond to contemporary climate change. In this study, we explored the evolutionary history of alpine ground beetles in the Nebria ingens complex, including the demographic and adaptive changes that followed the last glacier retreat. We first tested alternative models of evolutionary divergence in the species complex. Using millions of genome-wide SNP markers from hundreds of beetles, we found evidence that the Nebria ingens complex has been formed by past admixture of lineages responding to glacial cycles. Recolonization of alpine sites involved a distributional range shift to higher elevation, which was accompanied by a reduction in suitable habitat and the emergence of complex spatial genetic structure. We tested several possible genetic pathways involved in adaptation to heterogeneous local environments using genome scan and genotype-environment association approaches. From the identified genes, we found enriched functions associated with abiotic stress responses, with strong evidence for adaptation to hypoxia-related pathways. The results demonstrate that despite rapid demographic change, alpine beetles in the N. ingens complex underwent rapid physiological evolution.},
}
@article {pmid38935039,
year = {2024},
author = {Yan, W and Du, L and Liu, H and Li, GY},
title = {Current and future invasion risk of tomato red spider mite under climate change.},
journal = {Journal of economic entomology},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1093/jee/toae140},
pmid = {38935039},
issn = {1938-291X},
support = {2023YFD1400600//National Key Research and Development Program of China/ ; SWU120048//Fundamental Research Funds for the Central Universities/ ; },
abstract = {Tomato red spider mite Tetranychus evansi Baker and Pritchard (Acari: Tetranychidae) is a phytophagous pest that causes severe damage to Solanaceous plants worldwide, resulting in significant economic losses. In this study, the maximum entropy model was used to predict the potential current (1970-2000) and future (2021-2060) global distribution of the species based on its past occurrence records and high-resolution environmental data. The results showed that the mean values of the area under the curve were all >0.96, indicating that the model performed well. The three bioclimatic variables with the highest contributions were the coldest quarterly mean temperature (bio11), coldest monthly minimum temperature (bio6), and annual precipitation (bio12). A wide range of suitable areas was found across continents except Antarctica, both currently and in the future, with a much larger distribution area in South America, Africa, and Oceania (Australia), dominated by moderately and low suitable areas. A comparison of current and future suitable areas reveals a general trend of north expansion and increasing expansion over time. This study provides information for the prevention and management of this pest mite in the future.},
}
@article {pmid38934104,
year = {2024},
author = {Alvero, R},
title = {Climate change and human health: a primer on what women's health physicians can do on behalf of their patients and communities.},
journal = {Current opinion in obstetrics &amp; gynecology},
volume = {36},
number = {4},
pages = {228-233},
doi = {10.1097/GCO.0000000000000958},
pmid = {38934104},
issn = {1473-656X},
mesh = {Humans ; *Climate Change ; Female ; *Women's Health ; Physician's Role ; },
abstract = {PURPOSE OF REVIEW: To describe the current state of knowledge on the impact on climate change on women's health and to highlight opportunities for healthcare providers to serve as advocates and subject matter experts.<br><br>RECENT FINDINGS: Healthcare providers are a uniquely respected voice in society but have not used this advantage to advocate for their communities and participate in mitigation, adaptation, and resiliency efforts on behalf of their patients and communities.<br><br>SUMMARY: Healthcare providers feel that climate change is real, is human caused, and is currently or will shortly negatively impact their patients. They feel unprepared to serve as leaders and advocates due to time limitations and a knowledge gap. Resources in the current climate movement can help close this gap.},
}
@article {pmid38933881,
year = {2024},
author = {Johansson, E and Lan, Y and Olalekan, O and Kuktaite, R and Chawade, A and Rahmatov, M},
title = {Alien introgression to wheat for food security: functional and nutritional quality for novel products under climate change.},
journal = {Frontiers in nutrition},
volume = {11},
number = {},
pages = {1393357},
pmid = {38933881},
issn = {2296-861X},
abstract = {Crop yield and quality has increased globally during recent decades due to plant breeding, resulting in improved food security. However, climate change and shifts in human dietary habits and preferences display novel pressure on crop production to deliver enough quantity and quality to secure food for future generations. This review paper describes the current state-of-the-art and presents innovative approaches related to alien introgressions into wheat, focusing on aspects related to quality, functional characteristics, nutritional attributes, and development of novel food products. The benefits and opportunities that the novel and traditional plant breeding methods contribute to using alien germplasm in plant breeding are also discussed. In principle, gene introgressions from rye have been the most widely utilized alien gene source for wheat. Furthermore, the incorporation of novel resistance genes toward diseases and pests have been the most transferred type of genes into the wheat genome. The incorporation of novel resistance genes toward diseases and pests into the wheat genome is important in breeding for increased food security. Alien introgressions to wheat from e.g. rye and Aegilops spp. have also contributed to improved nutritional and functional quality. Recent studies have shown that introgressions to wheat of genes from chromosome 3 in rye have an impact on both yield, nutritional and functional quality, and quality stability during drought treatment, another character of high importance for food security under climate change scenarios. Additionally, the introgression of alien genes into wheat has the potential to improve the nutritional profiles of future food products, by contributing higher minerals levels or lower levels of anti-nutritional compounds into e.g., plant-based products substituting animal-based food alternatives. To conclude, the present review paper highlights great opportunities and shows a few examples of how food security and functional-nutritional quality in traditional and novel wheat products can be improved by the use of genes from alien sources, such as rye and other relatives to wheat. Novel and upcoming plant breeding methods such as genome-wide association studies, gene editing, genomic selection and speed breeding, have the potential to complement traditional technologies to keep pace with climate change and consumer eating habits.},
}
@article {pmid38933180,
year = {2024},
author = {Lichtblau, M and Reimann, L and Piccari, L},
title = {Pulmonary vascular disease, environmental pollution, and climate change.},
journal = {Pulmonary circulation},
volume = {14},
number = {2},
pages = {e12394},
pmid = {38933180},
issn = {2045-8932},
abstract = {Pollution and climate change constitute a combined, grave and pervasive threat to humans and to the life-support systems on which they depend. Evidence shows a strong association between pollution and climate change on cardiovascular and respiratory diseases, and pulmonary vascular disease (PVD) is no exception. An increasing number of studies has documented the impact of environmental pollution and extreme temperatures on pulmonary circulation and the right heart, on the severity and outcomes of patients with pulmonary arterial hypertension and chronic thromboembolic pulmonary hypertension (PH), on the incidence of pulmonary embolism, and the prevalence and severity of diseases associated with PH. Furthermore, the downstream consequences of climate change impair health care systems' accessibility, which could pose unique obstacles in the case of PVD patients, who require a complex and sophisticated network of health interventions. Patients, caretakers and health care professionals should thus be included in the design of policies aimed at adaptation to and mitigation of current challenges, and prevention of further climate change. The purpose of this review is to summarize the available evidence concerning the impact of environmental pollution and climate change on the pulmonary circulation, and to propose measures at the individual, healthcare and community levels directed at protecting patients with PVD.},
}
@article {pmid38932977,
year = {2024},
author = {Zhao, J and Shao, W and Li, Y and Chen, H and Lin, Z and Wei, L},
title = {Potential impact of climate change on the distribution of Capricornis milneedwardsii, a vulnerable mammal in China.},
journal = {Ecology and evolution},
volume = {14},
number = {6},
pages = {e11582},
doi = {10.1002/ece3.11582},
pmid = {38932977},
issn = {2045-7758},
abstract = {Climate change significantly impacted on the survival, development, distribution, and abundance of living organisms. The Chinese serow Capricornis milneedwardsii, known as the "four unlike," is a Class II nationally protected species in China. In this study, we predicted the geographical suitability of C. milneedwardsii under current and future climatic conditions using MaxEnt. The model simulations resulted in area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) values above 0.9 for both current and future climate scenarios, indicating the excellent performance, high accuracy, and credibility of the MaxEnt model. The results also showed that annual precipitation (Bio12), slope, elevation, and mean temperature of wettest quarter (Bio8) were the key environmental variables affecting the distribution of C. milneedwardsii, with contributions of 31.2%, 26.4%, 11%, and 10.3%, respectively. The moderately and highly suitable habitats were mainly located in the moist area of China, with a total area of 34.56 × 10[4] and 16.61 × 10[4] km[2], respectively. Under future climate change scenarios, the areas of suitability of C. milneedwardsii showed an increasing trend. The geometric center of the total suitable habitats of C. milneedwardsii would show the trend of northwest expansion and southeast contraction. These findings could provide a theoretical reference for the protection of C. milneedwardsii in the future.},
}
@article {pmid38932963,
year = {2024},
author = {de Oliveira, K and Novaes, RLM and Weber, MM and Moratelli, R},
title = {Forecasting climate change impacts on neotropical Myotis: Insights from ecological niche models for conservation strategies.},
journal = {Ecology and evolution},
volume = {14},
number = {6},
pages = {e11419},
doi = {10.1002/ece3.11419},
pmid = {38932963},
issn = {2045-7758},
abstract = {Myotis originated during the Oligocene in Eurasia and has become one of the most diverse bat genera, with over 140 species. In the case of neotropical Myotis, there is a high degree of phenotypic conservatism. This means that the taxonomic and geographic limits of several species are not well understood, which constrains detailed studies on their ecology and evolution and how to effectively protect these species. Similar to other organisms, bats may respond to climate change by moving to different areas, adapting to new conditions, or going extinct. Ecological niche models have become established as an efficient and widely used method for interpolating (and sometimes extrapolating) species' distributions and offer an effective tool for identifying species conservation requirements and forecasting how global environmental changes may affect species distribution. How species respond to climate change is a key point for understanding their vulnerability and designing effective conservation strategies in the future. Thus, here, we assessed the impacts of climate change on the past and future distributions of two phylogenetically related species, Myotis ruber and Myotis keaysi. The results showed that the species are influenced by changes in temperature, and for M. ruber, precipitation also becomes important. Furthermore, M. ruber appears to have been more flexible to decreases in temperature that occurred in the past, which allowed it to expand its areas of environmental suitability, unlike M. keaysi, which decreased and concentrated these areas. However, despite a drastic decrease in the spatial area of environmental suitability of these species in the future, there are areas of potential climate stability that have been maintained since the Pleistocene, indicating where conservation efforts need to be concentrated in the future.},
}
@article {pmid38932480,
year = {2024},
author = {Daniels, D and Berger Eberhardt, A},
title = {Climate change, microplastics, and male infertility.},
journal = {Current opinion in urology},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1097/MOU.0000000000001201},
pmid = {38932480},
issn = {1473-6586},
abstract = {PURPOSE OF REVIEW: Semen quality is on the decline. While the etiology is unknown, recent literature suggests there may be a relationship between climate change, environmental toxins and male fertility. This review relays new information regarding associations between our environment and male infertility.<br><br>RECENT FINDINGS: Several recent studies have documented a negative association between heat stress and spermatogenesis, which suggests that climate change may be a factor in declining in sperm counts. The influence of particle pollution on spermatogenesis has also been recently investigated, with studies demonstrating a negative association. Another possible factor are microplastics, which have been posited to reduce sperm production. Recent animal studies have shown that microplastic exposure alters both adult sperm production and prenatal male genital development. The relationship between endocrine disrupting chemicals and male fertility remains an area of active study, with recent animal and human studies suggesting an association between these chemicals and male fertility.<br><br>SUMMARY: The etiology of the decline in male fertility over the past decades is yet unknown. However, changes in our environment as seen with climate change and exposure to pollutants and endocrine disrupting chemicals are proposed mechanisms for this decline. Further studies are needed to investigate this association further.},
}
@article {pmid38929344,
year = {2024},
author = {Froldi, F and Lamastra, L and Trevisan, M and Moschini, M},
title = {Climate Change and Photochemical Ozone Creation Potential Impact Indicators of Cow Milk: A Comparison of Different Scenarios for a Diet Assessment.},
journal = {Animals : an open access journal from MDPI},
volume = {14},
number = {12},
pages = {},
doi = {10.3390/ani14121725},
pmid = {38929344},
issn = {2076-2615},
abstract = {An estimate of the environmental impact of dairy farms in Northern Italy producing milk for hard cheese (protected designation of origin) has been obtained through a comprehensive life cycle assessment. The estimate focused on climate change (CC) and photochemical ozone creation potential (POCP) indicators, which were evaluated according to the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) guidelines and interpreted with the aid of the feeds' composition evaluated using near-infrared reflectance spectroscopy (Foss NIR-System 5000) as well as with a diet evaluation according to the NRC (National Research Council) or the CNCPS (Cornell Net Carbohydrate and Protein System) nutrient requirement modeling. Herds were classified into high-, mid-, and low-performing based on the daily milk yield per cow. A lower impact on indicators was observed as herd performance increased. The high-performing herds had a lower contribution from enteric fermentation (6.30 × 10[-1] kgCO2-eq), and the more milk that they produced allowed for a differentiation of CC from land use and transformation (2.39 × 10[-1] kgCO2-eq), compared to low-performing herds (3.66 × 10[-1] kgCO2-eq). Compared to the IPCC approach, the CC and POCP indicator estimates were reduced when addressing the feed's quality, particularly in mid- and high-performing herds. The results could be helpful in the dairy sector as they provide an insight into how diet quality affects the environmental impact of milk.},
}
@article {pmid38927332,
year = {2024},
author = {Hao, Y and Dong, P and Wang, L and Ke, X and Hao, X and He, G and Chen, Y and Guo, F},
title = {Predicting the Potential Distribution of Hypericum perforatum under Climate Change Scenarios Using a Maximum Entropy Model.},
journal = {Biology},
volume = {13},
number = {6},
pages = {},
doi = {10.3390/biology13060452},
pmid = {38927332},
issn = {2079-7737},
abstract = {H. perforatum, as one of the Traditional Chinese Medicinal materials, possesses a variety of pharmacological activities and high medicinal value. However, in recent years, the wild resources of H. perforatum have been severely depleted due to global climate change and human activities, and artificial cultivation faces problems such as unstable yield and active ingredient content. This poses a serious obstacle to the development and utilization of its resources. Therefore, this experiment took H. perforatum as the research object and used 894 distribution records of H. perforatum and 36 climatic environmental factors, using the MaxEnt model and GIS technology to explore the main climatic factors affecting the distribution of H. perforatum. Additionally, by utilizing the principles of ecological niche theory, the potential suitable distribution regions of H. perforatum across past, present, and future timelines were predicted, which can ascertain the dynamics of its spatial distribution patterns and the trend of centroid migration. The results indicate that the main environmental factors affecting the geographical distribution of H. perforatum are solar radiation in April (Srad4), solar radiation in September (Srad9), mean temperature of driest quarter (Bio9), solar radiation in November (Srad11), annual mean temperature (Bio1), and annual precipitation (Bio12). Under future climate scenarios, there is a remarkable trend of expansion in the suitable distribution areas of H. perforatum. The centroid migration indicates a trend of migration towards the northwest direction and high-altitude areas. These results can provide a scientific basis for formulating conservation and sustainable use management strategies for H. perforatum resources.},
}
@article {pmid38927320,
year = {2024},
author = {Liao, W and Cao, L},
title = {Conservation and Evolution of Wildlife in the Context of Climate Change and Human Population Growth.},
journal = {Biology},
volume = {13},
number = {6},
pages = {},
doi = {10.3390/biology13060440},
pmid = {38927320},
issn = {2079-7737},
abstract = {Global climate change results in variations in morphological traits, resource competition, species diversity, physiological activity, genetic diversity, habitat use, distributional range, and conservation status in organisms [...].},
}
@article {pmid38927316,
year = {2024},
author = {Li, Q and Shao, W and Jiang, Y and Yan, C and Liao, W},
title = {Assessing Reptile Conservation Status under Global Climate Change.},
journal = {Biology},
volume = {13},
number = {6},
pages = {},
doi = {10.3390/biology13060436},
pmid = {38927316},
issn = {2079-7737},
support = {32300358//the National Natural Science Foundation of China/ ; 32370456//the National Natural Science Foundation of China/ ; 22NSFSC0011//the Key Project of Natural Sciences Foundation of Sichuan Province/ ; },
abstract = {Global climate change drives variations in species distribution patterns and affects biodiversity, potentially increasing the risk of species extinction. Investigating the potential distribution range of species under future global climate change is crucial for biodiversity conservation and ecosystem management. In this study, we collected distributional data for 5282 reptile species to assess their conservation status based on distributional ranges using species distribution models. Our predictions indicate that the potential distribution ranges for over half of these species are projected to decrease under different scenarios. Under future scenarios with relatively low carbon emissions, the increase in the number of threatened reptiles is significantly lower, highlighting the importance of human efforts. Surprisingly, we identified some endangered species that are projected to expand their distribution ranges, underscoring the potential positive effects of climate change on some special species. Our findings emphasize the increased extinction risk faced by reptile species due to climate change and highlight the urgent need to mitigate the effects of habitat degradation and human activities on their potential distribution in the future.},
}
@article {pmid38926816,
year = {2024},
author = {Habibi, P and Razmjouei, J and Moradi, A and Mahdavi, F and Fallah-Aliabadi, S and Heydari, A},
title = {Climate change and heat stress resilient outdoor workers: findings from systematic literature review.},
journal = {BMC public health},
volume = {24},
number = {1},
pages = {1711},
pmid = {38926816},
issn = {1471-2458},
mesh = {Humans ; *Climate Change ; *Heat Stress Disorders/prevention &amp; control/epidemiology ; Occupational Exposure/prevention &amp; control/adverse effects ; Hot Temperature/adverse effects ; Female ; Male ; },
abstract = {PURPOSE: Global warming has led to an increase in the number and intensity of extreme heat events, posing a significant threat to the health and safety of workers, especially those working outdoors, as they often have limited access to cooling strategies. The present systematic literature review (a) summarizes the current knowledge on the impacts of climate change on outdoor workers, (b) provides historical background on this issue, (c) explores factors that reduce and increase thermal stress resilience, (d) discusses the heat mitigation strategies, and (e) provides an overview of existing policy and legal frameworks on occupational heat exposure among outdoor workers.<br><br>MATERIALS AND METHODS: In this systematic review, we searched scientific databases including Scopus (N&#x2009;=&#x2009;855), Web of Science (N&#x2009;=&#x2009;828), and PubMed (N&#x2009;=&#x2009;202). Additionally, we identified relevant studies on climate change and heat-stress control measures through Google Scholar (N&#x2009;=&#x2009;116) using specific search terms. In total, we monitored 2001 articles pertaining to worker populations (men&#x2009;=&#x2009;2921; women&#x2009;=&#x2009;627) in various outdoor climate conditions across 14 countries. After full-text assessment, 55 studies were selected for inclusion, and finally, 29 eligible papers were included for data extraction.<br><br>RESULTS: Failure to implement effective control strategies for outdoor workers will result in decreased resilience to thermal stress. The findings underscore a lack of awareness regarding certain adaptation strategies and interventions aimed at preventing and enhancing resilience to the impact of climate change on heat stress prevalence among workers in outdoor tropical and subtropical environments. However, attractive alternative solutions from the aspects of economic and ecological sustainability in the overall assessment of heat stress resilience can be referred to acclimatization, shading, optimized clothing properties and planned breaks.<br><br>CONCLUSION: The integration of climate change adaptation strategies into occupational health programs can enhance occupational heat resilience among outdoor workers. Conducting cost-benefit evaluations of health and safety measures for thermal stress adaptation strategies among outdoor workers is crucial for professionals and policymakers in low- and middle-income tropical and subtropical countries. In this respect, complementary measures targeting hydration, work-rest regimes, ventilated garments, self-pacing, and mechanization can be adopted to protect outdoor workers. Risk management strategies, adaptive measures, heat risk awareness, practical interventions, training programs, and protective policies should be implemented in hot-dry and hot-humid climates to boost the tolerance and resilience of outdoor workers.},
}
@article {pmid38925782,
year = {2024},
author = {Lemon, C and Rizer, N and Bradshaw, J},
title = {Climate Change.},
journal = {Emergency medicine clinics of North America},
volume = {42},
number = {3},
pages = {679-693},
doi = {10.1016/j.emc.2024.02.022},
pmid = {38925782},
issn = {1558-0539},
mesh = {*Climate Change ; Humans ; Emergency Medicine ; },
abstract = {As human-induced climate change warms the planet, its health impacts will affect all populations, but certain groups will be more vulnerable to its impacts. Given its role as a health care safety net, emergency medicine will play a crucial role in addressing these health conditions. Additionally, with its expertise in disaster medicine, interdisciplinary collaboration, and health care systems knowledge, emergency medicine has the potential to lead the health care sector's response to climate change.},
}
@article {pmid38925497,
year = {2024},
author = {Ali, KJ and Ehsan, S and Tran, A and Haugstetter, M and Singh, H},
title = {Diagnostic Excellence in the Context of Climate Change: A Review.},
journal = {The American journal of medicine},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1016/j.amjmed.2024.06.010},
pmid = {38925497},
issn = {1555-7162},
abstract = {Climate change is leading to a rise in heat-related illnesses, vector-borne diseases, and numerous negative impacts on patients' physical and mental health outcomes. Concurrently, healthcare contributes about 4.6% of global greenhouse gas emissions. Low-value care, such as overtesting and overdiagnosis, contributes to unnecessary emissions. In this review, we describe diagnostic excellence in the context of climate change and focus on two topics. First, climate change is affecting health, leading to the emergence of certain diseases, some of which are new, while others are increasing in prevalence and/or becoming more widespread. These conditions will require timely and accurate diagnosis by clinicians who may not be used to diagnosing them. Second, diagnostic quality issues, such as overtesting and overdiagnosis, contribute to climate change through unnecessary emissions and waste and should be targeted for interventions. We also highlight implications for clinical practice, research, and policy. Our findings call for efforts to engage healthcare professionals and policymakers in understanding the urgent implications for diagnosis in the context of climate change and reducing global greenhouse gas emissions to enhance both patient and planetary outcomes.},
}
@article {pmid38925398,
year = {2024},
author = {de Souza, VV and Moreira, DP and Braz-Mota, S and Dos Santos, WV and Cotta, GC and da Silva Rodrigues, M and Nóbrega, RH and Corrêa, RDS and de Melo Hoyos, DC and Sanches, EA and Val, AL and Dos Santos Nassif Lacerda, SM},
title = {Simulated climate change and atrazine contamination can synergistically impair zebrafish testicular function.},
journal = {The Science of the total environment},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {174173},
doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.174173},
pmid = {38925398},
issn = {1879-1026},
abstract = {Elements that interfere with reproductive processes can have profound impacts on population and the equilibrium of ecosystems. Global warming represents the major environmental challenge of the 21st century, as it will affect all forms of life in the coming decades. Another coexisting concern is the persistent pollution by pesticides, particularly the herbicide Atrazine (ATZ), which is responsible for a significant number of contamination incidents in surface waters worldwide. While it is hypothesized that climate changes will significantly enhance the toxic effects of pesticides, the actual impact of these phenomena remain largely unexplored. Here, we conducted a climate-controlled room experiment to assess the interactive effects of the projected 2100 climate scenario and environmentally realistic ATZ exposures on the reproductive function of male zebrafish. The gonadosomatic index significantly decreased in fish kept in the extreme scenario. Cellular alterations across spermatogenesis phases led to synergic decreased sperm production and increased germ cell sloughing and death. ATZ exposure alone or combined with climate change effects, disrupted the transcription levels of key genes involved in steroidogenesis, hormone signaling and spermatogenesis regulation. An additive modulation with decreased 11-KT production and increased E2 levels was also evidenced, intensifying the effects of androgen/estrogen imbalance. Moreover, climate change and ATZ independently induced oxidative stress, upregulation of proapoptotic gene and DNA damage in post-meiotic germ cell, but the negative effects of ATZ were greater at extreme scenario. Ultimately, exposure to simulated climate changes severely impaired fertilization capacity, due to a drastic reduction in sperm motility and/or viability. These findings indicate that the future climate conditions have the potential to considerably enhance the toxicity of ATZ at low concentrations, leading to significant deleterious consequences for fish reproductive function and fertility. These may provide relevant information to supporting healthcare and environmental managers in decision-making related to climate changes and herbicide regulation.},
}
@article {pmid38925333,
year = {2024},
author = {Rosso, R},
title = {Catheter Ablation Guided by Intracardiac Echocardiography: The "ICE" Age During Global Warming.},
journal = {Heart rhythm},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1016/j.hrthm.2024.06.039},
pmid = {38925333},
issn = {1556-3871},
}
@article {pmid38924860,
year = {2024},
author = {Regalado Chamorro, M and Medina Gamero, A},
title = {[Ecoanxiety: Impact of climate change on mental health].},
journal = {Semergen},
volume = {50},
number = {8},
pages = {102279},
doi = {10.1016/j.semerg.2024.102279},
pmid = {38924860},
issn = {1578-8865},
}
@article {pmid38924163,
year = {2024},
author = {Yang, Y and Keating, A and Sourn, C},
title = {Measuring community disaster resilience for sustainable climate change adaptation: Lessons from time-series findings in rural Cambodia.},
journal = {Disasters},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {e12647},
doi = {10.1111/disa.12647},
pmid = {38924163},
issn = {1467-7717},
support = {NRF-2020S1A5A2A03043548//National Research Foundation of Korea/ ; },
abstract = {Donor-funded climate and disaster resilience programmes and projects aim to help build the capacities and resilience of communities. Measuring resilience is critical, therefore, in providing feedback, evidence, and accountability. This paper presents recent two-year time-series findings from an ongoing multi-partner academic and practical collaboration pertaining to a climate change adaption project with rural communities in Cambodia. To measure community resilience, the study used the Flood Resilience Measurement for Communities, which measures, using mixed methods, disaster resilience capacities across five key dimensions of resilience: human, social, physical, natural, and financial capitals. The study analysed and reported changes in these areas of resilience in the selected villages, generating insights into the strengths and weaknesses of flood resilience capacities in the region. This paper provides valuable guidance as to where investment can be most effective in different communities, confirming the usefulness of the tool in measuring resilience and assessing the effectiveness of the project concerned.},
}
@article {pmid38924103,
year = {2024},
author = {},
title = {Correction to "Climate change and global health: A call to more research and more action".},
journal = {Allergy},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1111/all.16205},
pmid = {38924103},
issn = {1398-9995},
}
@article {pmid38923246,
year = {2024},
author = {Coblentz, KE and Treidel, LA and Biagioli, FP and Fragel, CG and Johnson, AE and Thilakarathne, DD and Yang, L and DeLong, JP},
title = {A framework for understanding climate change impacts through non-compensatory intra- and interspecific climate change responses.},
journal = {Global change biology},
volume = {30},
number = {6},
pages = {e17378},
doi = {10.1111/gcb.17378},
pmid = {38923246},
issn = {1365-2486},
mesh = {*Climate Change ; Population Dynamics ; Animals ; Population Growth ; Models, Biological ; },
abstract = {Understanding and predicting population responses to climate change is a crucial challenge. A key component of population responses to climate change are cases in which focal biological rates (e.g., population growth rates) change in response to climate change due to non-compensatory effects of changes in the underlying components (e.g., birth and death rates) determining the focal rates. We refer to these responses as non-compensatory climate change effects. As differential responses of biological rates to climate change have been documented in a variety of systems and arise at multiple levels of organization within and across species, non-compensatory effects may be nearly ubiquitous. Yet, how non-compensatory climate change responses combine and scale to influence the demographics of populations is often unclear and requires mapping them to the birth and death rates underlying population change. We provide a flexible framework for incorporating non-compensatory changes in upstream rates within and among species and mapping their consequences for additional downstream rates across scales to their eventual effects on population growth rates. Throughout, we provide specific examples and potential applications of the framework. We hope this framework helps to enhance our understanding of and unify research on population responses to climate change.},
}
@article {pmid38923190,
year = {2024},
author = {Li, S and Delgado-Baquerizo, M and Ding, J and Hu, H and Huang, W and Sun, Y and Ni, H and Kuang, Y and Yuan, MM and Zhou, J and Zhang, J and Liang, Y},
title = {Intrinsic microbial temperature sensitivity and soil organic carbon decomposition in response to climate change.},
journal = {Global change biology},
volume = {30},
number = {6},
pages = {e17395},
doi = {10.1111/gcb.17395},
pmid = {38923190},
issn = {1365-2486},
support = {2021YFD1900400//National Key R&amp;D Program of China/ ; XDA28030102//Strategic Priority Research Program of the Chinese Academy of Sciences/ ; 42377121//National Natural Science Foundation of China/ ; ISSASIP2201//Innovation Program of Institute of Soil Science/ ; 2022ZB467//Jiangsu Funding Program for Excellent Postdoctoral Talent/ ; //Youth Innovation Promotion Association of the Chinese Academy of Sciences/ ; },
mesh = {*Soil Microbiology ; *Climate Change ; *Soil/chemistry ; *Carbon/analysis/metabolism ; China ; *Temperature ; Bacteria/metabolism/growth &amp; development ; },
abstract = {Soil microbes are essential for regulating carbon stocks under climate change. However, the uncertainty surrounding how microbial temperature responses control carbon losses under warming conditions highlights a significant gap in our climate change models. To address this issue, we conducted a fine-scale analysis of soil organic carbon composition under different temperature gradients and characterized the corresponding microbial growth and physiology across various paddy soils spanning 4000 km in China. Our results showed that warming altered the composition of organic matter, resulting in a reduction in carbohydrates of approximately 0.026% to 0.030% from humid subtropical regions to humid continental regions. These changes were attributed to a decrease in the proportion of cold-preferring bacteria, leading to significant soil carbon losses. Our findings suggest that intrinsic microbial temperature sensitivity plays a crucial role in determining the rate of soil organic carbon decomposition, providing insights into the temperature limitations faced by microbial activities and their impact on soil carbon-climate feedback.},
}
@article {pmid38922917,
year = {2024},
author = {Yoon, L and Ventrella, J and Marcotullio, P and Matte, T and Lane, K and Tipaldo, J and Jessel, S and Schmid, K and Casagrande, J and Elszasz, H},
title = {NPCC4: Climate change, energy, and energy insecurity in New York City.},
journal = {Annals of the New York Academy of Sciences},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1111/nyas.15117},
pmid = {38922917},
issn = {1749-6632},
abstract = {This chapter of the New York City Panel on Climate Change 4 (NPCC4) report provides an overview of energy trends in New York City and the State of New York, as well as accompanying challenges and barriers to the energy transition-with implications for human health and wellbeing. The link between energy trends and their impact on health and wellbeing is brought to the fore by the concept of "energy insecurity," an important addition to the NPCC4 assessment.},
}
@article {pmid38922909,
year = {2024},
author = {Matte, T and Lane, K and Tipaldo, JF and Barnes, J and Knowlton, K and Torem, E and Anand, G and Yoon, L and Marcotullio, P and Balk, D and Constible, J and Elszasz, H and Ito, K and Jessel, S and Limaye, V and Parks, R and Rutigliano, M and Sorenson, C and Yuan, A},
title = {NPCC4: Climate change and New York City's health risk.},
journal = {Annals of the New York Academy of Sciences},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1111/nyas.15115},
pmid = {38922909},
issn = {1749-6632},
abstract = {This chapter of the New York City Panel on Climate Change 4 (NPCC4) report considers climate health risks, vulnerabilities, and resilience strategies in New York City's unique urban context. It updates evidence since the last health assessment in 2015 as part of NPCC2 and addresses climate health risks and vulnerabilities that have emerged as especially salient to NYC since 2015. Climate health risks from heat and flooding are emphasized. In addition, other climate-sensitive exposures harmful to human health are considered, including outdoor and indoor air pollution, including aeroallergens; insect vectors of human illness; waterborne infectious and chemical contaminants; and compounding of climate health risks with other public health emergencies, such as the COVID-19 pandemic. Evidence-informed strategies for reducing future climate risks to health are considered.},
}
@article {pmid38922857,
year = {2024},
author = {da Silva, CRB and Diamond, SE},
title = {Local climate change velocities and evolutionary history explain multidirectional range shifts in a North American butterfly assemblage.},
journal = {The Journal of animal ecology},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1111/1365-2656.14132},
pmid = {38922857},
issn = {1365-2656},
support = {DEB-1845126//Division of Environmental Biology/ ; MQRF0001197-2022//Macquarie University/ ; },
abstract = {Species are often expected to shift their distributions either poleward or upslope to evade warming climates and colonise new suitable climatic niches. However, from 18-years of fixed transect monitoring data on 88 species of butterfly in the midwestern United States, we show that butterflies are shifting their centroids in all directions, except towards regions that are warming the fastest (southeast). Butterflies shifted their centroids at a mean rate of 4.87 km year[-1]. The rate of centroid shift was significantly associated with local climate change velocity (temperature by precipitation interaction), but not with mean climate change velocity throughout the species' ranges. Species tended to shift their centroids at a faster rate towards regions that are warming at slower velocities but increasing in precipitation velocity. Surprisingly, species' thermal niche breadth (range of climates butterflies experience throughout their distribution) and wingspan (often used as metric for dispersal capability) were not correlated with the rate at which species shifted their ranges. We observed high phylogenetic signal in the direction species shifted their centroids. However, we found no phylogenetic signal in the rate species shifted their centroids, suggesting less conserved processes determine the rate of range shift than the direction species shift their ranges. This research shows important signatures of multidirectional range shifts (latitudinal and longitudinal) and uniquely shows that local climate change velocities are more important in driving range shifts than the mean climate change velocity throughout a species' entire range.},
}
@article {pmid38922080,
year = {2024},
author = {Xiao, W and Zhang, Y and Chen, X and Sha, A and Xiong, Z and Luo, Y and Peng, L and Zou, L and Zhao, C and Li, Q},
title = {The Easily Overlooked Effect of Global Warming: Diffusion of Heavy Metals.},
journal = {Toxics},
volume = {12},
number = {6},
pages = {},
doi = {10.3390/toxics12060400},
pmid = {38922080},
issn = {2305-6304},
support = {2023NSFSC1229//Sichuan Natural Science Foundation Project/ ; No. hklk202203//Open Foundation of Hebei Key Laboratory of Wetland Ecology and Conservation/ ; },
abstract = {Since industrialization, global temperatures have continued to rise. Human activities have resulted in heavy metals being freed from their original, fixed locations. Because of global warming, glaciers are melting, carbon dioxide concentrations are increasing, weather patterns are shifting, and various environmental forces are at play, resulting in the movement of heavy metals and alteration of their forms. In this general context, the impact of heavy metals on ecosystems and organisms has changed accordingly. For most ecosystems, the levels of heavy metals are on the rise, and this rise can have a negative impact on the ecosystem as a whole. Numerous studies have been conducted to analyze the combined impacts of climate change and heavy metals. However, the summary of the current studies is not perfect. Therefore, this review discusses how heavy metals affect ecosystems during the process of climate change from multiple perspectives, providing some references for addressing the impact of climate warming on environmental heavy metals.},
}
@article {pmid38921371,
year = {2024},
author = {Ali, I and Qaiser, H and Abdullah, R and Kaleem, A and Iqtedar, M and Iqbal, I and Chen, X},
title = {Prospective Roles of Extremophilic Fungi in Climate Change Mitigation Strategies.},
journal = {Journal of fungi (Basel, Switzerland)},
volume = {10},
number = {6},
pages = {},
doi = {10.3390/jof10060385},
pmid = {38921371},
issn = {2309-608X},
abstract = {Climate change and the resultant environmental deterioration signify one of the most challenging problems facing humankind in the 21st century. The origins of climate change are multifaceted and rooted in anthropogenic activities, resulting in increasing greenhouse gases in the environment and leading to global warming and weather drifts. Extremophilic fungi, characterized by their exceptional properties to survive extreme habitats, harbor great potential in mitigating climate change effects. This review provides insight into the potential applications of extremophilic fungi in climate change mitigation strategies. They are able to metabolize organic biomass and degrade carbon compounds, thereby safely sequestering carbon and extenuating its release into the environment as noxious greenhouse gases. Furthermore, they possess extremozymes, which break down recalcitrant organic species, including lignocellulosic biomass and hydrocarbons. Enzymatic machinery equips these extremophilic fungi to perform the bioremediation of polluted environments. Extremophilic fungi can also be exploited for various biological interventions, such as biofuels, bioplastics, and other bioprocessing applications. However, these fungi characterize a valued but underexplored resource in the arsenal of climate change mitigation strategies.},
}
@article {pmid38921152,
year = {2024},
author = {Gao, H and Wei, X and Peng, Y and Zhuo, Z},
title = {Predicting the Impact of Climate Change on the Future Distribution of Paederus fuscipes Curtis, 1826, in China Based on the MaxEnt Model.},
journal = {Insects},
volume = {15},
number = {6},
pages = {},
doi = {10.3390/insects15060437},
pmid = {38921152},
issn = {2075-4450},
support = {2022NSFSCO986//Sichuan Province Science and Technology Support Program/ ; 20A007//China West Normal University Support Program/ ; 20E051//China West Normal University Support Program/ ; 21E040//China West Normal University Support Program/ ; 22kA011//China West Normal University Support Program/ ; },
abstract = {Paederus fuscipes Curtis, 1826, belongs to the Coleoptera order, Staphylinidae family, and Paederus genus (Fabricius, 1775). It has a wide distribution and strong invasive and environmental adaptation capabilities. As a predatory natural enemy of agricultural and forestry pests, understanding its suitable habitat is crucial for the control of other pests. This study, for the first time, uses the MaxEnt model and ArcGIS software, combining known distribution information of P. fuscipes and climate environmental factors to predict the current and future suitable habitat distribution of this insect. The key environmental variables affecting the distribution of P. fuscipes have been identified as mean diurnal range (mean of monthly (max temp-min temp)) (bio2), isothermality (Bio2/Bio7) (*100) (bio3), minimum temperature of the coldest month (bio6), temperature annual range (bio5-bio6) (bio7), mean temperature of the driest quarter (bio9), mean temperature of the coldest quarter (bio11), precipitation of the wettest month (bio13), precipitation of the driest month (bio14), and precipitation seasonality (coefficient of variation) (bio15). The highly suitable areas for P. fuscipes in China are mainly distributed in the hilly regions of Shandong, the North China Plain, and the middle and lower reaches of the Yangtze River Plain, with a total suitable area of 118.96 × 10[4] km[2], accounting for 12.35% of China's total area. According to future climate change scenarios, it is predicted that the area of highly and lowly suitable regions will significantly decrease, while moderately suitable regions will increase (except for the 2090s, SSP2-4.5 scenario). These research findings provide important theoretical support for pest control and ecological conservation applications.},
}
@article {pmid38921126,
year = {2024},
author = {Zhang, G and Liu, S and Xu, C and Wei, H and Guo, K and Xu, R and Qiao, H and Lu, P},
title = {Prediction of Potential Distribution of Carposina coreana in China under the Current and Future Climate Change.},
journal = {Insects},
volume = {15},
number = {6},
pages = {},
doi = {10.3390/insects15060411},
pmid = {38921126},
issn = {2075-4450},
support = {2022YFC3501502//the National Key Research and Development Program of China/ ; 2021-I2M-1-031//the Innovation and Development of China Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences Innovation Fund for Medical Sciences/ ; },
abstract = {Carposina coreana is an important pest of Cornus officinalis, distributed in China, Korea, and Japan. In recent years, its damage to C. officinalis has become increasingly serious, causing enormous economic losses in China. This study and prediction of current and future suitable habitats for C. coreana in China can provide an important reference for the monitoring, early warning, prevention, and control of the pest. In this study, the potential distributions of C. coreana in China under current climate and future climate models were predicted using the maximum entropy (MaxEnt) model with ArcGIS software. The distribution point data of C. coreana were screened using the buffer screening method. Nineteen environmental variables were screened using the knife-cut method and variable correlation analysis. The parameters of the MaxEnt model were optimized using the kuenm package in R software. The MaxEnt model, combined with key environmental variables, was used to predict the distribution range of the suitable area for C. coreana under the current (1971-2000) and four future scenarios. The buffer screening method screened data from 41 distribution points that could be used for modeling. The main factors affecting the distribution of C. coreana were precipitation in the driest month (Bio14), precipitation in the warmest quarter (Bio18), precipitation in the coldest quarter (Bio19), the standard deviation of seasonal variation of temperature (Bio4), minimum temperature in the coldest month (Bio6), and average temperature in the coldest quarter (Bio11). The feature class (FC) after the kuenm package optimization was a Q-quadratic T-threshold combination, and the regularization multiplier (RM) was 0.8. The suitable areas for C. coreana under the current climate model were mainly distributed in central China, and the highly suitable areas were distributed in southern Shaanxi, southwestern Henan, and northwestern Hubei. The lowest temperature in the coldest month (Bio6), the average temperature in the coldest quarter (Bio11), and the precipitation in the warmest quarter (Bio18) all had good predictive ability. In future climate scenarios, the boundary of the suitable area for C. coreana in China is expected to shift northward, and thus, most of the future climate scenarios would shift northward.},
}
@article {pmid38920550,
year = {2024},
author = {Rio, P and Caldarelli, M and Gasbarrini, A and Gambassi, G and Cianci, R},
title = {The Impact of Climate Change on Immunity and Gut Microbiota in the Development of Disease.},
journal = {Diseases (Basel, Switzerland)},
volume = {12},
number = {6},
pages = {},
doi = {10.3390/diseases12060118},
pmid = {38920550},
issn = {2079-9721},
abstract = {According to the definition provided by the United Nations, "climate change" describes the persistent alterations in temperatures and weather trends. These alterations may arise naturally, such as fluctuations in the solar cycle. Nonetheless, since the 19th century, human activities have emerged as the primary agent for climate change, primarily attributed to the combustion of fossil fuels such as coal, oil, and gas. Climate change can potentially influence the well-being, agricultural production, housing, safety, and employment opportunities for all individuals. The immune system is an important interface through which global climate change affects human health. Extreme heat, weather events and environmental pollutants could impair both innate and adaptive immune responses, promoting inflammation and genomic instability, and increasing the risk of autoimmune and chronic inflammatory diseases. Moreover, climate change has an impact on both soil and gut microbiome composition, which can further explain changes in human health outcomes. This narrative review aims to explore the influence of climate change on human health and disease, focusing specifically on its effects on the immune system and gut microbiota. Understanding how these factors contribute to the development of physical and mental illness may allow for the design of strategies aimed at reducing the negative impact of climate and pollution on human health.},
}
@article {pmid38920109,
year = {2024},
author = {Nespolo, RF and Quintero-Galvis, JF and Fontúrbel, FE and Cubillos, FA and Vianna, J and Moreno-Meynard, P and Rezende, EL and Bozinovic, F},
title = {Climate change and population persistence in a hibernating marsupial.},
journal = {Proceedings. Biological sciences},
volume = {291},
number = {2025},
pages = {20240266},
doi = {10.1098/rspb.2024.0266},
pmid = {38920109},
issn = {1471-2954},
support = {//Agencia Nacional de Investigaci&#xf3;n y Desarrollo/ ; },
mesh = {Animals ; *Climate Change ; *Marsupialia/physiology ; *Hibernation ; *Seasons ; Population Dynamics ; Models, Biological ; Ecosystem ; Energy Metabolism ; },
abstract = {Climate change has physiological consequences on organisms, ecosystems and human societies, surpassing the pace of organismal adaptation. Hibernating mammals are particularly vulnerable as winter survival is determined by short-term physiological changes triggered by temperature. In these animals, winter temperatures cannot surpass a certain threshold, above which hibernators arouse from torpor, increasing several fold their energy needs when food is unavailable. Here, we parameterized a numerical model predicting energy consumption in heterothermic species and modelled winter survival at different climate change scenarios. As a model species, we used the arboreal marsupial monito del monte (genus Dromiciops), which is recognized as one of the few South American hibernators. We modelled four climate change scenarios (from optimistic to pessimistic) based on IPCC projections, predicting that northern and coastal populations (Dromiciops bozinovici) will decline because the minimum number of cold days needed to survive the winter will not be attained. These populations are also the most affected by habitat fragmentation and changes in land use. Conversely, Andean and other highland populations, in cooler environments, are predicted to persist and thrive. Given the widespread presence of hibernating mammals around the world, models based on simple physiological parameters, such as this one, are becoming essential for predicting species responses to warming in the short term.},
}
@article {pmid38919037,
year = {2024},
author = {Luthfiyah, S and Triwiyanto, and Utomo, B and Pawana, IPA},
title = {Celebrating Australian nurses who are pioneering the response to climate change: A compilation of case studies [Letter].},
journal = {Contemporary nurse},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {1-2},
doi = {10.1080/10376178.2024.2363907},
pmid = {38919037},
issn = {1839-3535},
}
@article {pmid38918123,
year = {2024},
author = {Ueda, D and Walston, SL and Fujita, S and Fushimi, Y and Tsuboyama, T and Kamagata, K and Yamada, A and Yanagawa, M and Ito, R and Fujima, N and Kawamura, M and Nakaura, T and Matsui, Y and Tatsugami, F and Fujioka, T and Nozaki, T and Hirata, K and Naganawa, S},
title = {Climate change and artificial intelligence in healthcare: Review and recommendations towards a sustainable future.},
journal = {Diagnostic and interventional imaging},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1016/j.diii.2024.06.002},
pmid = {38918123},
issn = {2211-5684},
abstract = {The rapid advancement of artificial intelligence (AI) in healthcare has revolutionized the industry, offering significant improvements in diagnostic accuracy, efficiency, and patient outcomes. However, the increasing adoption of AI systems also raises concerns about their environmental impact, particularly in the context of climate change. This review explores the intersection of climate change and AI in healthcare, examining the challenges posed by the energy consumption and carbon footprint of AI systems, as well as the potential solutions to mitigate their environmental impact. The review highlights the energy-intensive nature of AI model training and deployment, the contribution of data centers to greenhouse gas emissions, and the generation of electronic waste. To address these challenges, the development of energy-efficient AI models, the adoption of green computing practices, and the integration of renewable energy sources are discussed as potential solutions. The review also emphasizes the role of AI in optimizing healthcare workflows, reducing resource waste, and facilitating sustainable practices such as telemedicine. Furthermore, the importance of policy and governance frameworks, global initiatives, and collaborative efforts in promoting sustainable AI practices in healthcare is explored. The review concludes by outlining best practices for sustainable AI deployment, including eco-design, lifecycle assessment, responsible data management, and continuous monitoring and improvement. As the healthcare industry continues to embrace AI technologies, prioritizing sustainability and environmental responsibility is crucial to ensure that the benefits of AI are realized while actively contributing to the preservation of our planet.},
}
@article {pmid38917931,
year = {2024},
author = {Wang, H and Li, Y and Huang, G and Ma, Y and Zhang, Q and Li, Y},
title = {Analyzing variation of water inflow to inland lakes under climate change: Integrating deep learning and time series data mining.},
journal = {Environmental research},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {119478},
doi = {10.1016/j.envres.2024.119478},
pmid = {38917931},
issn = {1096-0953},
abstract = {The alarming depletion of global inland lakes in recent decades makes it essential to predict water inflow from rivers to lakes (WIRL) trend and unveil the dominant influencing driver, particularly in the context of climate change. The raw time series data contains multiple components (i.e., long-term trend, seasonal periodicity, and random noise), which makes it challenging for traditional machine/deep learning techniques to effectively capture long-term trend information. In this study, a novel FactorConvSTLnet (FCS) method is developed through integrating STL decomposition, convolutional neural networks (CNN), and factorial analysis into a general framework. FCS is more robust in long-term WIRL trend prediction through separating trend information as a modeling predictor, as well as unveiling predominant drivers. FCS is applied to typical inland lakes (the Aral Sea and the Lake Balkhash) in Central Asia, and results indicate that FCS (Nash-Sutcliffe efficiency=0.88, root mean squared error=67m[3]/s, mean relative error=10%) outperforms the traditional CNN. Some main findings are: (i) during 1960-1990, reservoir water storage (WSR) was the dominant driver for the two lakes, respectively contributing to 71% and 49%; during 1991-2014 and 2015-2099, evaporation (EVAP) would be the dominant driver, with the contribution of 30% and 47%; (ii) climate change would shift the dominant driver from human activities to natural factors, where EVAP and surface snow amount (SNW) have an increasing influence on WIRL; (iii) compared to SSP1-2.6, the SNW contribution would decrease by 26% under SSP5-8.5, while the EVAP contribution would increase by 9%. The findings reveal the main drivers of shrinkage of the inland lakes and provide the scientific basis for promoting regional ecological sustainability.},
}
@article {pmid38916342,
year = {2024},
author = {Plutzer, E and Branch, G and Townley, AL},
title = {Climate change education in U.S. middle schools: changes over five pivotal years.},
journal = {Journal of microbiology &amp; biology education},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {e0001524},
doi = {10.1128/jmbe.00015-24},
pmid = {38916342},
issn = {1935-7877},
abstract = {Climate change education is both important and challenging. Prior research suggests that many secondary school science teachers in the United States were conveying "mixed messages" to students that legitimized scientifically unwarranted explanations of recent global warming. In this paper, we focus on US climate education at the middle school level and assess whether teacher attention to recent global warming, and whether the messages conveyed to students, changed between 2014 and 2019. Pooling data from two nationally representative probability surveys of middle school science teachers, we show significant advances on several key criteria, but the prevalence of mixed messages remained high. Exploratory analysis suggests that improvements were spurred partly by the adoption of the Next Generation Science Standards by many states and by partly by shifts in the personal views of science educators.},
}
@article {pmid38914865,
year = {2024},
author = {Kotz, M and Levermann, A and Wenz, L},
title = {Author Correction: The economic commitment of climate change.},
journal = {Nature},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1038/s41586-024-07732-2},
pmid = {38914865},
issn = {1476-4687},
}
@article {pmid38914758,
year = {2024},
author = {Parsons, ES and Jowell, A and Veidis, E and Barry, M and Israni, ST},
title = {Climate change and inequality.},
journal = {Pediatric research},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
pmid = {38914758},
issn = {1530-0447},
abstract = {This review explores how climate change is manifesting along existing lines of inequality and thus further exacerbating current health disparities with a particular focus on children and future generations. Climate change risk and vulnerability are not equally distributed, nor is the adaptive capacity to respond to its adverse effects, which include health consequences, economic impacts, and displacement. Existing lines of inequality are already magnifying the adverse effects of climate change. Today's children and future generations will experience a disproportionate number of adverse climate events than prior generations, especially children in lower-income populations, communities of color, and Indigenous communities. In order to mitigate the crisis of inequity accompanying the climate crisis, systemic action must be taken on a global scale - with a focus on protecting children and future generations, and in empowering youth-led environmental activism and engagement in climate policy. IMPACT STATEMENT: Our review offers a current summary of the ways in which inequality is manifesting with respect to climate change in children and future generations. Rather than use a systematic review, we opted to use a theoretical framework to guide our review. We divided the effects of climate change into three effect pathways: via disruptions in (i) climate and weather, (ii) ecosystems, and (iii) society. By dividing our review in this theoretical framework, we can better suggest targeted public health interventions at each effect level. Furthermore, we are able to successfully identify literature gaps and areas of future research.},
}
@article {pmid38914712,
year = {2024},
author = {Carroll, G and Abrahms, B and Brodie, S and Cimino, MA},
title = {Spatial match-mismatch between predators and prey under climate change.},
journal = {Nature ecology &amp; evolution},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
pmid = {38914712},
issn = {2397-334X},
abstract = {Climate change is driving a rapid redistribution of life on Earth. Variability in the rates, magnitudes and directions of species' shifts can alter spatial overlap between predators and prey, with the potential to decouple trophic interactions. Although phenological mismatches between predator requirements and prey availability under climate change are well-established, 'spatial match-mismatch' dynamics remain poorly understood. We synthesize global evidence for climate-driven changes in spatial predator-prey overlap resulting from species redistribution across marine and terrestrial domains. We show that spatial mismatches can have vastly different outcomes for predator populations depending on their diet specialization and role within the wider ecosystem. We illustrate ecosystem-level consequences of climate-driven changes in spatial predator-prey overlap, from restructuring food webs to altering socio-ecological interactions. It remains unclear how predator-prey overlap at the landscape scale relates to prey encounter and consumption rates at local scales, or how the spatial reorganization of food webs affects ecosystem function. We identify key research directions necessary to resolve the scale of ecological impacts caused by species redistribution under climate change.},
}
@article {pmid38914333,
year = {2024},
author = {Masoumi, AH and Esmaeili, HR and Khosravi, R and Gholamhosseini, A and Korkmaz, M and Jeppesen, E},
title = {Species on the move: Impacts of climate change on the spatial range of endemic fishes of the eco-sensitive semi-arid area of the Arabian Peninsula.},
journal = {The Science of the total environment},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {174095},
doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.174095},
pmid = {38914333},
issn = {1879-1026},
abstract = {Climate change is one of the most significant challenges worldwide in the Anthropocene, and it is predicted to importantly affect biological diversity, especially in freshwaters. Freshwater fishes are facing considerable global threats, particularly in eco-sensitive semi-arid to arid areas such as the Arabian Peninsula, which is considered a highly stressed region in the Middle East. Endemic species are believed to display a narrow range of traits, with rarity reflecting adaptation to specific environmental regimes, and they are thus highly sensitive to environmental disturbances. This study is the first attempt to map the occurrence of endemic freshwater fish species and predict the impact of climate change on their spatial range in the semi-arid area of the Arabian Peninsula using Species Distribution Modeling (SDM). We compared the present and future (2041-2060 and 2061-2080) climate niche for the species under various climatic scenarios. All global circulation models (GCMs) performed well in predicting the species' climatic niche (AUC ranging between 0.72 and 0.92). For certain species (Cyprinion acinaces, Garra buettikeri, Carasobarbus exulatus, Arabibarbus arabicus, and Cyprinion mhalense), variables associated with precipitation were more important than those related to temperature, while for others (Carasobarbus apoensis, G. sahilia, G tibanica, and Aphaniops kruppi), temperature-related variables were most important. Precipitation in the coldest quarter and in the driest quarter was the most sensitive variable for the predictions. The species showed distinct responses to climate change; seven were predicted to lose their climatically suitable habitats (losers) and are thus threatened and highly vulnerable to the effects of climate change, while two species were predicted to expand their range (winners). Regular monitoring of fish in the Arabian Peninsula is recommended to conserve endemic species and their ecosystems.},
}
@article {pmid38913693,
year = {2024},
author = {Astolphi Lima, C and Alsunaidi, S and Lowe, S and Hogan, DB and Dennett, L and Jones, CA and Yamamoto, S},
title = {Exploring the influence of weather variability and climate change on health outcomes in people living with dementia: A scoping review protocol.},
journal = {PloS one},
volume = {19},
number = {6},
pages = {e0304181},
pmid = {38913693},
issn = {1932-6203},
mesh = {Humans ; *Climate Change ; *Dementia ; *Weather ; *Quality of Life ; Aged ; Accidental Falls ; },
abstract = {Environmental factors resulting from climate change and air pollution are risk factors for many chronic conditions including dementia. Although research has shown the impacts of air pollution in terms of cognitive status, less is known about the association between climate change and specific health-related outcomes of older people living with dementia. In response, we outline a scoping review protocol to systematically review the published literature regarding the evidence of climate change, including temperature and weather variability, on health-related quality of life, morbidity, mobility, falls, the utilization of health resources, and mortality among older adults living with dementia. This scoping review will be guided by the framework proposed by Arksey and O'Malley. Electronic search (Medline, Embase, PsycINFO, CINAHL, Scopus, Web of Science) using relevant subject headings and synonyms for two concepts (older people with dementia, weather/ climate change). No publication date or other restrictions will be applied to the search strategy. No language restriction will be applied in order to understand the impact of non-English studies in the literature. Eligible studies must include older adults (65+years) with dementia living in the community and investigate the impacts of climate change and/or weather on their health-related quality of life, morbidity, mobility, falls, use of health resources and mortality. Two independent reviewers will screen abstracts and select those for a full-text review, perform these reviews, select articles for retention, and extract data from them in a standardized manner. This data will then be synthesized and interpreted. OSF registration: DOI: 10.17605/OSF.IO/YRFM8.},
}
@article {pmid38912348,
year = {2024},
author = {Seidel, L and Broman, E and Ståhle, M and Bergström, K and Forsman, A and Hylander, S and Ketzer, M and Dopson, M},
title = {Climate change induces shifts in coastal Baltic Sea surface water microorganism stress and photosynthesis gene expression.},
journal = {Frontiers in microbiology},
volume = {15},
number = {},
pages = {1393538},
pmid = {38912348},
issn = {1664-302X},
abstract = {The world's oceans are challenged by climate change linked warming with typically highly populated coastal areas being particularly susceptible to these effects. Many studies of climate change on the marine environment use large, short-term temperature manipulations that neglect factors such as long-term adaptation and seasonal cycles. In this study, a Baltic Sea 'heated' bay influenced by thermal discharge since the 1970s from a nuclear reactor (in relation to an unaffected nearby 'control' bay) was used to investigate how elevated temperature impacts surface water microbial communities and activities. 16S rRNA gene amplicon based microbial diversity and population structure showed no difference in alpha diversity in surface water microbial communities, while the beta diversity showed a dissimilarity between the bays. Amplicon sequencing variant relative abundances between the bays showed statistically higher values for, e.g., Ilumatobacteraceae and Burkholderiaceae in the heated and control bays, respectively. RNA transcript-derived activities followed a similar pattern in alpha and beta diversity with no effect on Shannon's H diversity but a significant difference in the beta diversity between the bays. The RNA data further showed more elevated transcript counts assigned to stress related genes in the heated bay that included heat shock protein genes dnaKJ, the co-chaperonin groS, and the nucleotide exchange factor heat shock protein grpE. The RNA data also showed elevated oxidative phosphorylation transcripts in the heated (e.g., atpHG) compared to control (e.g., atpAEFB) bay. Furthermore, genes related to photosynthesis had generally higher transcript numbers in the control bay, such as photosystem I (psaAC) and II genes (psbABCEH). These increased stress gene responses in the heated bay will likely have additional cascading effects on marine carbon cycling and ecosystem services.},
}
@article {pmid38912133,
year = {2024},
author = {Bajerge, NM and Khankeh, H and Dashtbozorgi, A and Farrokhi, M},
title = {Abstruse Side of Climate Change, Impact on Malaria: A Systematic Evidence Review Comparing Iran versus Globally.},
journal = {Iranian journal of public health},
volume = {53},
number = {5},
pages = {1047-1057},
pmid = {38912133},
issn = {2251-6093},
abstract = {BACKGROUND: Infectious outbreaks due to disrupted social and environmental conditions after climate change-induced events complicate disasters. This research aimed to determine the contentions of bioclimatic variables and extreme events on the prevalence of the most common Climate-Sensitive Infectious Disease (CSID); Malaria in Iran.<br><br>METHODS: The present narrative systematic review study was conducted on the bioclimatic variable impact on the prevalence of malaria, as a common CSID. The search was conducted in 3 sections: global climate change-related studies, disaster related, and studies that were conducted in Iran. The literature search was focused on papers published in English and Persian from Mar 2000 to Dec 2021, using electronic databases; Scopus, Web of Science, PubMed, Google Scholar, SID, Magiran, and IranDoc.<br><br>RESULTS: Overall, 41 studies met the inclusion criteria. The various types of climatic variables including; Temperature, rainfall, relative humidity, and hydrological events including; flood, drought, and cyclones has been reported as a predictor of malaria. The results of studies, inappropriately and often were inconsistent in both Iran and other parts of the world.<br><br>CONCLUSION: Identifying malaria outbreak risks is essential to assess vulnerability, and a starting point to identify where the health system is required to reduce the vulnerability and exposure of the population. The finding of most related studies is not congruent to achieve reliable information, more extensive studies in all climates and regions of the country, by climatic models and high accuracy risk map, using the long period of bioclimatic variables and malaria trend is recommended.},
}
@article {pmid38911103,
year = {2024},
author = {Bhattacharya, S and Sahay, R and Afsana, F and Sheikh, A and Widanage, NM and Maskey, R and Naseri, MW and Murad, M and Harikumar, KVS and Selim, S and Aamir, AH and Muthukuda, D and Parajuli, N and Baheer, MD and Latheef, A and Nagendra, L and Mondal, S and Kamrul-Hasan, ABM and Raza, SA and Somasundaram, N and Shrestha, D and Anne, B and Ramakrishnan, S and Kalra, S},
title = {Global Warming and Endocrinology: The Hyderabad Declaration of the South Asian Federation of Endocrine Societies.},
journal = {Indian journal of endocrinology and metabolism},
volume = {28},
number = {2},
pages = {129-136},
pmid = {38911103},
issn = {2230-8210},
abstract = {Global warming and endocrine disorders are intertwined issues posing significant challenges. Greenhouse gases emanating from human activities drive global warming, leading to temperature rise and altered weather patterns. South Asia has experienced a noticeable temperature surge over the past century. The sizable population residing in the region heightens the susceptibility to the impact of global warming. In addition to affecting agriculture, water resources, and livelihood, environmental changes interfere with endocrine functioning. Resulting lifestyle changes increase the risk of metabolic and endocrine disorders. Individuals with diabetes face heightened vulnerability to extreme weather due to impaired thermoregulation. A high ambient temperature predisposes to heat-related illnesses, infertility, and nephropathy. Additionally, essential endocrine drugs and medical devices are susceptible to temperature fluctuations. The South Asian Federation of Endocrine Societies (SAFES) calls for collaboration among stakeholders to combat climate change and promote healthy living. Comprehensive approaches, including the establishment of sustainable food systems, promotion of physical activity, and raising awareness about environmental impacts, are imperative. SAFES recommends strategies such as prioritizing plant-based diets, reducing meat consumption, optimizing medical device usage, and enhancing accessibility to endocrine care. Raising awareness and educating caregivers and people living with diabetes on necessary precautions during extreme weather conditions are paramount. The heat sensitivity of insulin, blood glucose monitoring devices, and insulin pumps necessitates proper storage and consideration of environmental conditions for optimal efficacy. The inter-connectedness of global warming and endocrine disorders underscores the necessity of international collaboration guided by national endocrine societies. SAFES urges all stakeholders to actively implement sustainable practices to improve endocrine health in the face of climate change.},
}
@article {pmid38909818,
year = {2024},
author = {Sunil, S and Bhagwat, G and Vincent, SGT and Palanisami, T},
title = {Microplastics and climate change; the global impacts of a tiny driver.},
journal = {The Science of the total environment},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {174160},
doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.174160},
pmid = {38909818},
issn = {1879-1026},
abstract = {Microplastic pollution and climate change, the two seemingly distinct phenomena of global concern, are interconnected through various pathways. The connecting links between the two include the biological carbon pumps in the oceans, the sea ice, the plastisphere involved in biogeochemical cycling and the direct emissions of greenhouse gases from microplastics. On one hand, the presence of microplastics in the water column disrupts the balance of the natural carbon sequestration by affecting the key players in the pumping of carbon, such as the phytoplankton and zooplankton. On the other hand, the effect of microplastics on the sea ice in Polar Regions is two-way, as the ice caps are transformed into sinks and sources of microplastics and at the same time, the microplastics can enhance the melting of ice by reducing the albedo. Microplastics may have more potential than larger plastic fragments to release greenhouse gases (GHGs). Microbe-mediated emission of GHGs from soils is also now altered by the microplastics present in the soil. Plastisphere, the emerging microbiome in aquatic environments, can also contribute to climate change as it hosts complex networks of microbes, many of which are involved in greenhouse gas production. To combat a global stressor like climate change, it needs to be addressed with a holistic approach and this begins with tracing the various stressors like microplastic pollution that can aggravate the impacts of climate change.},
}
@article {pmid38909466,
year = {2024},
author = {Xu, W and Chang, M and Li, J and Li, M and Stoks, R and Zhang, C},
title = {Local thermal adaption mediates the sensitivity of Daphnia magna to nanoplastics under global warming scenarios.},
journal = {Journal of hazardous materials},
volume = {476},
number = {},
pages = {134921},
doi = {10.1016/j.jhazmat.2024.134921},
pmid = {38909466},
issn = {1873-3336},
abstract = {The toxicity of nanoplastics at environmentally relevant concentrations has received widespread attention in the context of global warming. Despite numerous studies on the impact of mean temperature (MT), the effects of daily temperature fluctuations (DTFs) on the ecotoxicity of nanoplastics remains largely unexplored. Moreover, the role of evolutionary adaptation in assessing long-term ecological risks is unclear. Here, we investigated the effects of polystyrene nanoplastics (5 μg L[-1]) on Daphnia magna under varying MT (20 °C and 24 °C) and DTFs (0 °C, 5 °C, and 10 °C). Capitalizing on a space-for-time substitution approach, we further assessed how local thermal adaptation affect the sensitivity of Daphnia to nanoplastics under global warming. Our results indicated that nanoplastics exposure in general reduced heartbeat rate, thoracic limb activity and feeding rate, and increased CytP450, ETS activity and Hgb concentrations. Higher MT and DTFs enhanced these effects. Notably, clones originating from their respective sites performed better under their native temperature conditions, indicating local thermal adaptation. Warm-adapted low-latitude D. magna showed stronger nanoplastics-induced increases in CytP450, ETS activity and Hgb concentrations under local MT 24 °C, while cold-adapted high-latitude D. magna showed stronger nanoplastics-induced decreases in heartbeat rate, thoracic limb activity and feeding rate under high MT than under low MT.},
}
@article {pmid38909061,
year = {2024},
author = {Jancewicz, B and Wrotek, M},
title = {A thermosurvey dataset: Older adults' experiences and adaptation to urban heat and climate change.},
journal = {Scientific data},
volume = {11},
number = {1},
pages = {677},
pmid = {38909061},
issn = {2052-4463},
support = {2019/35/J/HS6/03992//Narodowe Centrum Nauki (National Science Centre)/ ; 2019/35/J/HS6/03992//Narodowe Centrum Nauki (National Science Centre)/ ; },
mesh = {*Climate Change ; Humans ; Aged ; *Hot Temperature ; *Cities ; Spain ; },
abstract = {We introduce the thermosurvey dataset, a comprehensive collection focusing on the thermal comfort, heat-related experiences, health, socioeconomic status, and perceptions of older adults (aged 65 and over) in Warsaw and Madrid. The two cities differ greatly in their heat experiences, but due to climate change, both face increasing temperatures. The study aimed to understand how heat affects cities' older adult population and how we can better adapt to rising temperatures. We call the study a thermosurvey because it connects traditional survey data with temperature and humidity measurements done before, after and during the interview, offering a holistic view of the participants' thermal environments. The dataset can be used to better understand thermal comfort, the interplay of health and heat experiences, and the relationship between experiences and climate change views. We hope our data will enable scholars to analyse the impact of climate change on older adults and to develop strategies to help them adapt to a warming climate.},
}
@article {pmid38908311,
year = {2024},
author = {Chang, M and Sun, P and Zhang, L and Liu, Y and Chen, L and Ren, H and Wu, B},
title = {Changes in characteristics and risk of freshwater microplastics under global warming.},
journal = {Water research},
volume = {260},
number = {},
pages = {121960},
doi = {10.1016/j.watres.2024.121960},
pmid = {38908311},
issn = {1879-2448},
abstract = {Microplastics present a significant threat to freshwater ecosystems. However, the impact of global warming on their characteristics and associated risks remains uncertain. This study collected 2793 sample sites from literature and datasets to create a new risk assessment and rank methodology, known as the Multi-characteristics Potential Ecological Risk Index (MPERI), which incorporates various microplastic characteristics, such as concentration, size distribution, color, shape, and polymer diversity. Using regression random forest models (RRF), this study predicted that a 10 °C increase would raise microplastic concentration from 12,465.34 ± 68,603.87 to 13,387.17 ± 60,692.96 particles/m[3]. The percentage of small-size microplastics initially decreased (from 69.10 % to 68.72 %) and then increased (from 68.72 % to 68.78 %), while the diversity of color, shape, and polymer decreased by 0.29 %, 3.24 %, and 0.17 %, respectively. Furthermore, global warming could increase the rank of microplastic risks from high (405.25 ± 528.9) to dangerous (535.37 ± 582.03) based on the MPERI method. Most countries would experience an increase in risk values, with Indonesia and Vietnam transitioning from low to medium risk, and China and Malaysia transitioning from high to dangerous risk. The feature importance assessment of the RRF model indicated that concentration was the most influential variable in determining the change in risk values. While other microplastic characteristics had a lesser impact compared to concentration, they still influenced the risk ranking. This study highlights the role of global warming in shaping microplastic risks.},
}
@article {pmid38907970,
year = {2024},
author = {Cortés, ME},
title = {Floods, wildfires, and other disasters in the context of climate change: prevention from a planetary health perspective.},
journal = {Medicina},
volume = {84},
number = {3},
pages = {548-550},
pmid = {38907970},
issn = {1669-9106},
mesh = {*Climate Change ; *Wildfires ; Humans ; *Floods ; *Disasters ; Global Health ; Disaster Planning ; },
}
@article {pmid38907768,
year = {2024},
author = {Anand, A and Garg, VK},
title = {Modeling the species occurrence probability and response of climate change on Himalayan Somalata plant under different Shared Socioeconomic Pathways.},
journal = {Environmental monitoring and assessment},
volume = {196},
number = {7},
pages = {647},
pmid = {38907768},
issn = {1573-2959},
support = {190520839205//University Grants Commission/ ; },
mesh = {*Climate Change ; Nepal ; India ; *Ecosystem ; Bhutan ; Ephedra ; Environmental Monitoring ; Probability ; Socioeconomic Factors ; Models, Theoretical ; },
abstract = {In this study, the current distribution probability of Ephedra gerardiana (Somalata), a medicinally potent species of the Himalayas, was assessed, and its spatial distribution change was forecasted until the year 2100 under three Shared Socioeconomic Pathways. Here, we used the maximum entropy model (MaxEnt) on 274 spatially filtered occurrence data points accessed from GBIF and other publications, and 19 bioclimatic variables were used as predictors against the probability assessment. The area under the curve, Continuous Boyce Index, True Skill Statistics, and kappa values were used to evaluate and validate the model. It was observed that the SSP5-8.5, a fossil fuel-fed scenario, saw a maximum habitat decline for E. gerardiana driving its niche towards higher altitudes. Nepal Himalayas witnessed a maximum decline in suitable habitat for the species, whereas it gained area in Bhutan. In India, regions of Himachal Pradesh, Uttarakhand, Jammu and Kashmir, and Sikkim saw a maximum negative response to climate change by the year 2100. Mean annual temperature, isothermality, diurnal temperature range, and precipitation seasonality are the most influential variables isolated by the model that contribute in defining the species' habitat. The results provide evidence of the effects of climate change on the distribution of endemic species in the study area under different scenarios of emissions and anthropogenic coupling. Certainly, the area of consideration encompasses several protected areas, which will become more vulnerable to increased variability of climate, and regulating their boundaries might become a necessary step to conserve the regions' biodiversity in the future.},
}
@article {pmid38907718,
year = {2024},
author = {Liu, C and Chen, J and Zhang, W and Ungar, K},
title = {Outdoor Radon Dose Rate in Canada's Arctic amid Climate Change.},
journal = {Environmental science &amp; technology},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1021/acs.est.4c02723},
pmid = {38907718},
issn = {1520-5851},
abstract = {Decades of radiation monitoring data were analyzed to estimate outdoor Radon Dose Rates (RnDRs) and evaluate climate change impacts in Canada's Arctic Regions (Resolute and Yellowknife). This study shows that the RnDR involves dynamic sources and complex environmental factors and processes. Its seasonality and long-term trends are significantly impacted by temperatures and soil-and-above water contents. From 2005 to 2022, Yellowknife's RnDR increased by +0.35 ± 0.06 nGy/h per decade, with the fastest increases occurring in cold months (October to March). The rise is largely attributable to water condition changes over time in these months, which also caused enhanced soil gas emissions and likely higher indoor radon concentrations. In Resolute, the RnDR increased between 2013 and 2022 at +0.62 ± 0.19 nGy/h (or 16% relatively) per decade in summer months, with a positive temperature relationship of +0.12 nGy/h per °C. This work also demonstrates the relevance of local climate and terrain features (e.g., typical active layer depth, precipitation amount/pattern, and ground vegetation cover) in researching climate change implications. Such research can also benefit from using supporting monitoring data, which prove effective and scientifically significant. From the perspective of external exposure to outdoor radon, the observed climate change effects pose a low health risk.},
}
@article {pmid38907241,
year = {2024},
author = {Duran, S and Kaynak, S},
title = {Climate change worry among nurses and their hope levels for climate change prevention.},
journal = {BMC nursing},
volume = {23},
number = {1},
pages = {419},
pmid = {38907241},
issn = {1472-6955},
abstract = {AIM: This research aimed to determine nurses' climate change worry, their level of hope for climate change prevention, and the relationship between climate change worry and hope for climate change.<br><br>BACKGROUND: Nurses are healthcare professionals actively involved in the fight against climate change. However, their close involvement with the issue can also increase their own climate change worry. Therefore, it is important to maintain high levels of hope among nurses in preventing climate change.<br><br>METHODS: This descriptive cross-sectional study was conducted with nurses working at a university hospital.<br><br>RESULTS: The average score on the Climate Change Worry Scale for nurses was 29.22&#x2009;&#xb1;&#x2009;9.33, with sub-dimensions scores as follows: personal-sphere will and way 10.96&#x2009;&#xb1;&#x2009;2.09; collective sphere will 18.36&#x2009;&#xb1;&#x2009;3.39; lack of will and way dimensions 10.40&#x2009;&#xb1;&#x2009;2.48. The average score on the climate change hope scale was 39.73&#x2009;&#xb1;&#x2009;5.52. A statistically significant positive relationship was found between age and the climate change worry scale (r&#x2009;=&#x2009;0.169, p&#x2009;=&#x2009;0.020) as well as climate change hope (r&#x2009;=&#x2009;0.148, p&#x2009;=&#x2009;0.041).<br><br>CONCLUSION: The research findings indicate that nurses have a high level of climate change worry, but they also have a high level of hope in preventing climate change. It is considered essential to address the concerns of nurses who are actively combating the climate crisis.},
}
@article {pmid38907123,
year = {2024},
author = {Zaremba, D and Michałowski, JM and Klöckner, CA and Marchewka, A and Wierzba, M},
title = {Correction: Development and validation of the Emotional Climate Change Stories (ECCS) stimuli set.},
journal = {Behavior research methods},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.3758/s13428-024-02460-x},
pmid = {38907123},
issn = {1554-3528},
}
@article {pmid38906404,
year = {2024},
author = {Li, D and Wu, Q and Cheng, H and Feng, J and Li, D and Wang, Y and Cao, K and Wang, L},
title = {Numerical study of the future PM2.5 concentration under climate change and Best-Health-Effect (BHE) scenario.},
journal = {Environmental pollution (Barking, Essex : 1987)},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {124391},
doi = {10.1016/j.envpol.2024.124391},
pmid = {38906404},
issn = {1873-6424},
abstract = {The Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei (BTH) is one of the key areas with PM2.5 air pollution in China. Driven by the PM2.5 target accessibility of the Interim Target-1 (IT-1) by World Health Organization (WHO) and China's carbon neutrality, this study explored and quantified the contribution of climate change and anthropogenic emission to future PM2.5 in the region. The experiments considered future climate change scenarios RCP8.5, RCP4.5, and RCP2.6 with the baseline (Base) and reduced emission (EIT1) inventories in 2030, and RCP4.5 climate scenario with 3 emission inventories in 2050, the additional strong control emission scenario called Best-Health-Effect (BHE). Under various climate scenarios, the future air quality research modelling system projected annual PM2.5 concentrations nearing 35 μg/m[3] in 2030. However, considering only the effect of emission reduction, the annual PM2.5 concentrations under EIT1 emission scenario is about 35% less than under Base scenario in different key years. The future PM2.5 concentrations are highly related to anthropogenic emission from human activities, while climate change by 2030 or 2050 has little impact on future air quality over the BTH region. The BHE emission reduction is significantly required for China to meet the new PM2.5 guideline value of WHO in the future.},
}
@article {pmid38905798,
year = {2024},
author = {Barman, S and Singh, WR and Tyagi, J and Sharma, SK},
title = {A hybrid SWAT-ANN model approach for analysis of climate change impacts on sediment yield in an Eastern Himalayan sub-watershed of Brahmaputra.},
journal = {Journal of environmental management},
volume = {365},
number = {},
pages = {121538},
doi = {10.1016/j.jenvman.2024.121538},
pmid = {38905798},
issn = {1095-8630},
abstract = {The current study focuses on analyzing the impacts of climate change and land use/land cover (LULC) changes on sediment yield in the Puthimari basin, an Eastern Himalayan sub-watershed of the Brahmaputra, using a hybrid SWAT-ANN model approach. The analysis was meticulously segmented into three distinct time spans: 2025-2049, 2050-2074, and 2075-2099. This innovative method integrates insights from multiple climate models under two Representative Concentration Pathways (RCP4.5 and RCP8.5), along with LULC projections generated through the Cellular Automata Markov model. By combining the strengths of the Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) and artificial neural network (ANN) techniques, the study aims to improve the accuracy of sediment yield simulations in response to changing environmental conditions. The non-linear autoregressive with external input (NARX) method was adopted for the ANN component of the hybrid model. The adoption of the hybrid SWAT-ANN approach appears to be particularly effective in improving the accuracy of sediment yield simulation compared to using the SWAT model alone, as evidenced by the higher coefficient of determination value of 0.74 for the hybrid model compared to 0.35 for the standalone SWAT model. In the context of the RCP4.5 scenario, during 2075-99, the study noted a 29.34% increase in sediment yield, accompanied by simultaneous rises of 42.74% in discharge and 27.43% in rainfall during the Indian monsoon season, spanning from June to September. In contrast, under the RCP8.5 scenario, for the same period, the increases in sediment yield, discharge, and rainfall for the monsoon season were determined to be 116.56%, 103.28%, and 64.72%, respectively. The present study's comprehensive analysis of the factors influencing sediment supply in the Puthimari River basin fills an important knowledge gap and provides valuable insights for designing proactive flood and erosion management strategies. The findings from this research are crucial for understanding the vulnerability of the Puthimari basin to climate and land use changes, and by incorporating these findings into policy and decision-making processes, stakeholders can work towards enhancing resilience and sustainability in the face of future hydrological and environmental challenges.},
}
@article {pmid38902424,
year = {2024},
author = {Thanh, PN and Le Van, T and Thi, XAT and Hai, AN and Le Cong, C and Gagnon, AS and Pham, NT and Anh, DT and Dinh, VN},
title = {Predicting drought stress under climate change in the Southern Central Highlands of Vietnam.},
journal = {Environmental monitoring and assessment},
volume = {196},
number = {7},
pages = {636},
pmid = {38902424},
issn = {1573-2959},
support = {No. 1543/Q&#x110;-UBND dated August 7, 2018//Research water balance and propose solutions to utilize water resources for cultivation activities in the direction of restructuring the agricultural sector and adapting to climate change in Lam Dong province/ ; No. 1543/Q&#x110;-UBND dated August 7, 2018//Research water balance and propose solutions to utilize water resources for cultivation activities in the direction of restructuring the agricultural sector and adapting to climate change in Lam Dong province/ ; No. 1543/Q&#x110;-UBND dated August 7, 2018//Research water balance and propose solutions to utilize water resources for cultivation activities in the direction of restructuring the agricultural sector and adapting to climate change in Lam Dong province/ ; No. 1543/Q&#x110;-UBND dated August 7, 2018//Research water balance and propose solutions to utilize water resources for cultivation activities in the direction of restructuring the agricultural sector and adapting to climate change in Lam Dong province/ ; No. 1543/Q&#x110;-UBND dated August 7, 2018//Research water balance and propose solutions to utilize water resources for cultivation activities in the direction of restructuring the agricultural sector and adapting to climate change in Lam Dong province/ ; No. 1543/Q&#x110;-UBND dated August 7, 2018//Research water balance and propose solutions to utilize water resources for cultivation activities in the direction of restructuring the agricultural sector and adapting to climate change in Lam Dong province/ ; No. 1543/Q&#x110;-UBND dated August 7, 2018//Research water balance and propose solutions to utilize water resources for cultivation activities in the direction of restructuring the agricultural sector and adapting to climate change in Lam Dong province/ ; No. 1543/Q&#x110;-UBND dated August 7, 2018//Research water balance and propose solutions to utilize water resources for cultivation activities in the direction of restructuring the agricultural sector and adapting to climate change in Lam Dong province/ ; No. 1543/Q&#x110;-UBND dated August 7, 2018//Research water balance and propose solutions to utilize water resources for cultivation activities in the direction of restructuring the agricultural sector and adapting to climate change in Lam Dong province/ ; },
mesh = {*Climate Change ; *Droughts ; Vietnam ; Environmental Monitoring ; Seasons ; Water Supply/statistics &amp; numerical data ; Agriculture ; },
abstract = {In the Southern Central Highlands of Vietnam, droughts occur more frequently, causing significant damage and impacting the region's socio-economic development. During the dry season, rivers, streams, and reservoirs often face limited water availability, exacerbated in recent years by increasing drought severity. Recognizing the escalating severity of droughts, the study offers a novel contribution by conducting a comprehensive analysis of surface water resource distribution in Lam Dong province, focusing on assessing water demand for agricultural production, a crucial factor in ensuring sustainable crop growth. Two scenarios, Current-2020 (SC1) and Climate Change-2025 (SC2), are simulated, with SC2 based on climate change and sea level rise scenarios provided by the Ministry of Natural Resources and Environment (MONRE). These scenarios are integrated into the MIKE-NAM and MIKE-HYDRO basin models, allowing for a thorough assessment of the water balance of Lam Dong province. Furthermore, the study utilizes the Keetch-Byram Drought Index (KBDI) to measure drought severity, revealing prevalent dry and moderately droughty conditions in highland districts with rainfall frequency ranging from 50 to 85%. Severe drought conditions occur with a rainfall frequency of 95%, indicating an increased frequency and geographic scope of severe droughts. Additionally, the study highlights that under abnormally dry conditions, water demand for the winter-spring crop is consistently met at 100%, decreasing to 85%, 80%, and less than 75% for moderate, severe, and extreme droughts, respectively. These findings offer insights into future drought conditions in the Lam Dong province and their potential impact on irrigation capacity, crucial for adaptation strategies.},
}
@article {pmid38900735,
year = {2024},
author = {Attanayake, K and Wickramage, I and Samarasinghe, U and Ranmini, Y and Ehalapitiya, S and Jayathilaka, R and Yapa, S},
title = {Renewable energy as a solution to climate change: Insights from a comprehensive study across nations.},
journal = {PloS one},
volume = {19},
number = {6},
pages = {e0299807},
pmid = {38900735},
issn = {1932-6203},
mesh = {*Climate Change ; *Renewable Energy ; *Carbon Dioxide/analysis ; Humans ; },
abstract = {Without fundamentally altering how humans generate and utilise energy, there is no effective strategy to safeguard the environment. The motivation behind this study was to analyse the effectiveness of renewable energy in addressing climate change, as it is one of the most pressing global issues. This study involved the analysis of panel data covering 138 nations over a 27 year period, from 1995 to 2021, making it the latest addition to the existing literature. We examined the extent of the impact of renewable energy on carbon dioxide over time using panel, linear, and non-linear regression approaches. The results of our analysis, revealed that the majority of countries with the exception of Canada, exhibited a downward trend, underscoring the potential of increasing renewable energy consumption as an effective method to reduce carbon dioxide emissions and combat climate change. Furthermore, to reduce emissions and combat climate change, it is advisable for nations with the highest carbon dioxide emissions to adopt and successfully transition to renewable energy sources.},
}
@article {pmid38900024,
year = {2024},
author = {Gunasekaran, S and Szava-Kovats, A and Battey, T and Gross, J and Picano, E and Raman, SV and Lee, E and Bissell, MM and Alasnag, M and Campbell-Washburn, AE and Hanneman, K},
title = {Cardiovascular Imaging, Climate Change, and Environmental Sustainability.},
journal = {Radiology. Cardiothoracic imaging},
volume = {6},
number = {3},
pages = {e240135},
doi = {10.1148/ryct.240135},
pmid = {38900024},
issn = {2638-6135},
mesh = {Humans ; *Climate Change ; *Cardiovascular Diseases/diagnostic imaging ; Greenhouse Gases ; Cardiac Imaging Techniques/methods ; Environmental Exposure/adverse effects/analysis ; },
abstract = {Environmental exposures including poor air quality and extreme temperatures are exacerbated by climate change and are associated with adverse cardiovascular outcomes. Concomitantly, the delivery of health care generates substantial atmospheric greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions contributing to the climate crisis. Therefore, cardiac imaging teams must be aware not only of the adverse cardiovascular health effects of climate change, but also the downstream environmental ramifications of cardiovascular imaging. The purpose of this review is to highlight the impact of climate change on cardiovascular health, discuss the environmental impact of cardiovascular imaging, and describe opportunities to improve environmental sustainability of cardiac MRI, cardiac CT, echocardiography, cardiac nuclear imaging, and invasive cardiovascular imaging. Overarching strategies to improve environmental sustainability in cardiovascular imaging include prioritizing imaging tests with lower GHG emissions when more than one test is appropriate, reducing low-value imaging, and turning equipment off when not in use. Modality-specific opportunities include focused MRI protocols and low-field-strength applications, iodine contrast media recycling programs in cardiac CT, judicious use of US-enhancing agents in echocardiography, improved radiopharmaceutical procurement and waste management in nuclear cardiology, and use of reusable supplies in interventional suites. Finally, future directions and research are highlighted, including life cycle assessments over the lifespan of cardiac imaging equipment and the impact of artificial intelligence tools. Keywords: Heart, Safety, Sustainability, Cardiovascular Imaging Supplemental material is available for this article. © RSNA, 2024.},
}
@article {pmid38899725,
year = {2024},
author = {Syropoulos, S and Law, KF and Kraft-Todd, G and Mah, A and Markowitz, E and Young, L},
title = {Responsibility to future generations: A strategy for combatting climate change across political divides.},
journal = {The British journal of social psychology},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1111/bjso.12775},
pmid = {38899725},
issn = {2044-8309},
support = {//John Templeton Foundation/ ; },
abstract = {Individuals and governments often fail to take action to address climate change owing largely to widespread politicization of the issue and related discourse. In response to recent appeals for non-partisan approaches to pro-environmentalism, we propose that highlighting one's responsibility to future generations (RFG) could offer promise across the political spectrum. We argue that RFG may be effective because it is widely endorsed, uncorrelated with demographic indicators and less tied to political ideology compared to other forms of responsibility, such as personal responsibility for climate change mitigation. Across six main and seven supplementary studies (N = 161,633), we provide evidence for these claims. RFG is not only widely endorsed across countries and demographic groups but it also significantly predicts various measures of pro-environmental behaviour, both in correlational and pre-registered experimental contexts. These findings confirm established effects, reconcile inconsistencies and suggest prioritizing intergenerational responsibility may effectively reshape climate change narratives for the most resistant parties.},
}
@article {pmid38899533,
year = {2024},
author = {Custer, CA and North, JS and Schliep, EM and Verhoeven, MR and Hansen, GJA and Wagner, T},
title = {Predicting responses to climate change using a joint species, spatially dependent physiologically guided abundance model.},
journal = {Ecology},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {e4362},
doi = {10.1002/ecy.4362},
pmid = {38899533},
issn = {1939-9170},
support = {EF-163853//National Science Foundation/ ; EF-163855//National Science Foundation/ ; EF-1638554//National Science Foundation/ ; EF-1638679//National Science Foundation/ ; G20AC00096//U.S. Geological Survey/ ; DE-AC02-05CH11231//Office of Science, Office of Biological and Environmental Research of the U.S. Department of Energy/ ; //Regional and Global Model Analysis Program area within the Earth and Environmental Systems Modeling Program/ ; },
abstract = {Predicting the effects of warming temperatures on the abundance and distribution of organisms under future climate scenarios often requires extrapolating species-environment correlations to climatic conditions not currently experienced by a species, which can result in unrealistic predictions. For poikilotherms, incorporating species' thermal physiology to inform extrapolations under novel thermal conditions can result in more realistic predictions. Furthermore, models that incorporate species and spatial dependencies may improve predictions by capturing correlations present in ecological data that are not accounted for by predictor variables. Here, we present a joint species, spatially dependent physiologically guided abundance (jsPGA) model for predicting multispecies responses to climate warming. The jsPGA model uses a basis function approach to capture both species and spatial dependencies. We apply the jsPGA model to predict the response of eight fish species to projected climate warming in thousands of lakes in Minnesota, USA. By the end of the century, the cold-adapted species was predicted to have high probabilities of extirpation across its current range-with 10% of lakes currently inhabited by this species having an extirpation probability >0.90. The remaining species had varying levels of predicted changes in abundance, reflecting differences in their thermal physiology. Though the model did not identify many strong species dependencies, the variation in estimated spatial dependence across species suggested that accounting for both dependencies was important for predicting the abundance of these fishes. The jsPGA model provides a new tool for predicting changes in the abundance, distribution, and extirpation probability of poikilotherms under novel thermal conditions.},
}
@article {pmid38899513,
year = {2024},
author = {Wang, Z and Deng, Y and Kang, Y and Wang, Y and Bao, D and Tan, Y and An, K and Su, J},
title = {Impacts of climate change and human activities on three Glires pests of the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau.},
journal = {Pest management science},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1002/ps.8250},
pmid = {38899513},
issn = {1526-4998},
abstract = {BACKGROUND: The range of Glires is influenced by human activities and climate change. However, the extent to which human activities and environmental changes have contributed to this relationship remains unclear. We examined alterations in the distribution changes and driving factors of the Himalayan marmot, plateau pika, and plateau zokor on the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau (QTP) using the maximum entropy (MaxEnt) model and a geographical detector (Geodetector).<br><br>RESULTS: The MaxEnt model showed that the contribution rates of the human footprint index (HFI) to the distribution patterns of the three types of Glires were 46.70%, 58.70%, and 59.50%, respectively. The Geodetector results showed that the distribution pattern of the Himalayan marmot on the QTP was influenced by altitude and the normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI). The distribution patterns for plateau pikas and plateau zokors were driven by HFI and NDVI. Climate has played a substantial role in shaping suitable habitats for these three Glires on the QTP. Their suitable area is expected to decrease over the next 30-50&#x2009;years, along with their niche breadth and overlap. Future suitable habitats for the three Glires tended to shift toward higher latitudes on the QTP.<br><br>CONCLUSION: These findings underscore the impacts of environmental and human factors on the distribution of the three Glires on the QTP. They have enhanced our understanding of the intricate relationships between Glires niches and environments. This can aid in identifying necessary interventions for developing effective early warning systems and prevention strategies to mitigate Glires infestations and plague epidemics on the QTP. &#xa9; 2024 Society of Chemical Industry.},
}
@article {pmid38898346,
year = {2024},
author = {Ščevková, J and Štefániková, N and Dušička, J and Lafférsová, J and Zahradníková, E},
title = {Long-term pollen season trends of Fraxinus (ash), Quercus (oak) and Ambrosia artemisiifolia (ragweed) as indicators of anthropogenic climate change impact.},
journal = {Environmental science and pollution research international},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
pmid = {38898346},
issn = {1614-7499},
support = {1/0180/22//Vedeck&#xe1; Grantov&#xe1; Agent&#xfa;ra M&#x160;VVa&#x160; SR a SAV/ ; },
abstract = {The ongoing climatic change, together with atmospheric pollution, influences the timing, duration and intensity of pollen seasons of some allergenic plant taxa. To study these influences, we correlated the trends in the pollen season characteristics of both woody (Fraxinus, Quercus) and herbaceous (Ambrosia) taxa from two pollen monitoring stations in Slovakia with the trends in meteorological factors and air pollutants during the last two decades. In woody species, the increased temperature during the formation of flower buds in summer and autumn led to an earlier onset and intensification of next year's pollen season, especially in Quercus. The increase of relative air humidity and precipitation during this time also had a positive influence on the intensity of the pollen season of trees. The pollen season of the invasive herbaceous species Ambrosia artemisiifolia was prolonged by increased temperature and humidity during the summer and autumn of the same year, which extended the blooming period and delayed the end of the pollen season. From the studied air pollutants, only three were found to correlate with the intensity of the pollen season of the studied taxa, CO - positively and SO2 and NO2 - negatively. It is important to study these long-term trends since they not only give us valuable insight into the response of plants to changing conditions but also enable the prognosis of the exacerbations of pollen-related allergenic diseases.},
}
@article {pmid38898300,
year = {2024},
author = {Nogrady, B},
title = {How farming could become the ultimate climate-change tool.},
journal = {Nature},
volume = {630},
number = {8017},
pages = {S23-S25},
pmid = {38898300},
issn = {1476-4687},
mesh = {*Agriculture/trends/methods ; *Climate Change ; Global Warming/prevention &amp; control/statistics &amp; numerical data ; Humans ; Crops, Agricultural/growth &amp; development ; Animals ; },
}
@article {pmid38898125,
year = {2024},
author = {Leal Filho, W and Abeldaño Zuñiga, RA and Sierra, J and Dinis, MAP and Corazza, L and Nagy, GJ and Aina, YA},
title = {An assessment of priorities in handling climate change impacts on infrastructures.},
journal = {Scientific reports},
volume = {14},
number = {1},
pages = {14147},
pmid = {38898125},
issn = {2045-2322},
abstract = {Climate change (CC) will likely significantly impact the world's infrastructure significantly. Rising temperatures, increased precipitation, and rising sea levels are all likely to stress critical infrastructures (CI). Rising temperatures can lead to infrastructure damage from extreme heat events. This can cause roads and bridges to buckle or crack, leading to costly repairs and potential traffic disruptions. In addition, heat waves can damage vital electrical infrastructure, leading to widespread power outages. In light of this context, this article reports on a study which examined the connections and impacts of CC on infrastructure. The study employed a mixed-method approach, combining bibliometric analysis for the period 1997-2022 with a series of relevant case studies from the five continents to offer insight into the impact of CC on infrastructure. The article fills a research gap in respect of assessments of the extent to which climate change (CC) negative influences the infrastructure, with a special focus on developing countries. It also showcases CI projects and adaptation measures being currently deployed, to address CC. The results show that the current infrastructure is vulnerable to CC. The selected case studies on CI adaptation show that in developing and industrialised countries, there is a perceived need to understand better the connections and potential impacts of CC on critical areas such as transport, settlements, and coastal infrastructure. In order to protect infrastructure from CC impacts, governments need to invest in measures such as flood control, early warning systems, and improved building codes. Additionally, they need to work to reduce greenhouse gas emissions more actively, which are the primary cause of CC.},
}
@article {pmid38897046,
year = {2024},
author = {Baptista, E and Pereira, AJSC and Domingos, FP and Sêco, SLR and Luís, GPS},
title = {Exposure to radon gas in groundwater in southwest Angola (Lubango-Huíla): Implications of geology and climate change.},
journal = {Journal of environmental radioactivity},
volume = {278},
number = {},
pages = {107484},
doi = {10.1016/j.jenvrad.2024.107484},
pmid = {38897046},
issn = {1879-1700},
abstract = {In southern African countries most of the population uses groundwater collected in dug wells for domestic consumption instead of water from public distribution systems. To investigate the impact of natural and human factors on urban groundwater quality, 276 samples were collected in the Lubango region (Angola) in water distribution systems and dug wells ranging from a few meters to almost one hundred meters in depth. Radon concentrations (RC) were determined by liquid scintillation counting according to ISO 13164-4:2015. Geology is the main source of the variability of RC, with median values higher than 100 Bq/L in granitoid units and lower values in mafic and sedimentary units (ranging from 5 to 38 Bq/L). On average, RC was higher in dug wells compared to public water distribution systems. The annual effective dose due to ingestion of radon in water is, on average, ten times lower in the later compared to dug wells. Therefore, from a public exposure perspective, water distribution systems are preferred as means for water distribution. A severe multi-year meteorological drought over the past decade affecting 76-94 % of the population in southern Angola has been linked with climate change. Consequently, a regional lowering of the water table was observed, as well as a reduction in the productivity of shallower wells, leading to a search for water at greater depths. This work demonstrates an increase in median RC from 66 Bq/L in wells shallower than 30 m to values over 100 Bq/L with increasing depth of water extraction and for the same geological unit. The highest RC observed were also observed at the deepest wells. The dose ingested is proportional to RC, being also higher at deeper water extraction depths. The increase in public radiation exposure from radon ingestion due to water extraction at greater depths is attributed to the underlying issue of climate change. Monitoring water quality in terms of radionuclide concentration is advised to ensure the exposure to ionizing radiation remains at acceptable levels in the future.},
}
@article {pmid38895960,
year = {2024},
author = {Montoro-Ramírez, EM and Parra-Anguita, L and Álvarez-Nieto, C and Parra, G and López-Medina, IM},
title = {Climate change effects in older people's health: A scoping review.},
journal = {Journal of advanced nursing},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1111/jan.16270},
pmid = {38895960},
issn = {1365-2648},
support = {FPU 19/01871//Ministerio de Ciencia, Innovaci&#xf3;n y Universidades/ ; },
abstract = {BACKGROUND: Climate change has serious consequences for the morbidity and mortality of older adults.<br><br>OBJECTIVE: To identify the effects of climate change on older people's health.<br><br>METHODS: A scoping review was conducted following the Joanna Briggs Institute guidelines and the PRISMA-ScR checklist. Quantitative research and reports from organizations describing the effects of climate change on older people were selected.<br><br>RESULTS: Sixty-three full-text documents were selected. Heat and air pollution were the two factors that had the most negative effects on cardiovascular and respiratory morbidity and mortality in older people. Mental health and cognitive function were also affected.<br><br>CONCLUSIONS: Climate change affects several health problems in older individuals, especially high temperatures and air pollution. Nursing professionals must have the necessary skills to respond to the climate risks in older adults. More instruments are required to determine nursing competencies on climate change and the health of this population group.<br><br>No patient or public contribution.},
}
@article {pmid38895718,
year = {2024},
author = {, },
title = {Erratum: Analysis of the current risk of Leishmania infantum transmission for domestic dogs in Spain and Portugal and its future projection in climate change scenarios.},
journal = {Frontiers in veterinary science},
volume = {11},
number = {},
pages = {1436792},
doi = {10.3389/fvets.2024.1436792},
pmid = {38895718},
issn = {2297-1769},
abstract = {[This corrects the article DOI: 10.3389/fvets.2024.1399772.].},
}
@article {pmid38894971,
year = {2024},
author = {Sadiq, M and Rahim, N and Tahir, MM and Alasmari, A and Alqahtani, MM and Albogami, A and Ghanem, KZ and Abdein, MA and Ali, M and Mehmood, N and Yuan, J and Shaheen, A and Shehzad, M and El-Sayed, MH and Chen, G and Li, G},
title = {Conservation tillage: a way to improve yield and soil properties and decrease global warming potential in spring wheat agroecosystems.},
journal = {Frontiers in microbiology},
volume = {15},
number = {},
pages = {1356426},
pmid = {38894971},
issn = {1664-302X},
abstract = {Climate change is one of the main challenges, and it poses a tough challenge to the agriculture industry globally. Additionally, greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions are the main contributor to climate change; however, croplands are a prominent source of GHG emissions. Yet this complex challenge can be mitigated through climate-smart agricultural practices. Conservation tillage is commonly known to preserve soil and mitigate environmental change by reducing GHG emissions. Nonetheless, there is still a paucity of information on the influences of conservation tillage on wheat yield, soil properties, and GHG flux, particularly in the semi-arid Dingxi belt. Hence, in order to fill this gap, different tillage systems, namely conventional tillage (CT) control, straw incorporation with conventional tillage (CTS), no-tillage (NT), and stubble return with no-tillage (NTS), were laid at Dingxi, Gansu province of China, under a randomized complete block design with three replications to examine their impacts on yield, soil properties, and GHG fluxes. Results depicted that different conservative tillage systems (CTS, NTS, and NT) significantly (p < 0.05) increased the plant height, number of spikes per plant, seed number per meter square, root yield, aboveground biomass yield, thousand-grain weight, grain yield, and dry matter yield compared with CT. Moreover, these conservation tillage systems notably improved the soil properties (soil gravimetric water content, water-filled pore space, water storage, porosity, aggregates, saturated hydraulic conductivity, organic carbon, light fraction organic carbon, carbon storage, microbial biomass carbon, total nitrogen, available nitrogen storage, microbial biomass nitrogen, total phosphorous, available phosphorous, total potassium, available potassium, microbial counts, urease, alkaline phosphatase, invertase, cellulase, and catalase) while decreasing the soil temperature and bulk density over CT. However, CTS, NTS, and NT had non-significant effects on ECe, pH, and stoichiometric properties (C:N ratio, C:P ratio, and N:P ratio). Additionally, conservation-based tillage regimes NTS, NT, and CTS significantly (p < 0.05) reduced the emission and net global warming potential of greenhouse gases (carbon dioxide, methane, and nitrous oxide) by 23.44, 19.57, and 16.54%, respectively, and decreased the greenhouse gas intensity by 23.20, 29.96, and 18.72%, respectively, over CT. We conclude that NTS is the best approach to increasing yield, soil and water conservation, resilience, and mitigation of agroecosystem capacity.},
}
@article {pmid38893529,
year = {2024},
author = {Rosso, A and Vione, D},
title = {Pollutant Photodegradation Affected by Evaporative Water Concentration in a Climate Change Scenario.},
journal = {Molecules (Basel, Switzerland)},
volume = {29},
number = {11},
pages = {},
pmid = {38893529},
issn = {1420-3049},
abstract = {Evaporative water concentration takes place in arid or semi-arid environments when stationary water bodies, such as lakes or ponds, prevalently lose water by evaporation, which prevails over outflow or seepage into aquifers. Absence or near-absence of precipitation and elevated temperatures are important prerequisites for the process, which has the potential to deeply affect the photochemical attenuation of pollutants, including contaminants of emerging concern (CECs). Here we show that water evaporation would enhance the phototransformation of many CECs, especially those undergoing degradation mainly through direct photolysis and triplet-sensitized reactions. In contrast, processes induced by hydroxyl and carbonate radicals would be inhibited. Our model results suggest that the photochemical impact of water evaporation might increase in the future in several regions of the world, with no continent likely being unaffected, due to the effects of local precipitation decrease combined with an increase in temperature that facilitates evaporation.},
}
@article {pmid38891371,
year = {2024},
author = {Fedorov, N and Muldashev, A and Mikhaylenko, O and Zhigunova, S and Baisheva, E and Shirokikh, P and Bikbaev, I and Martynenko, V},
title = {Forecast the Habitat Sustainability of Schoenus ferrugineus L. (Cyperaceae) in the Southern Urals under Climate Change.},
journal = {Plants (Basel, Switzerland)},
volume = {13},
number = {11},
pages = {},
pmid = {38891371},
issn = {2223-7747},
support = {22-14-00003//Russian Science Foundation/ ; },
abstract = {An analysis of the current potential range of the Pleistocene relict plant species Schoenus ferrugineus and modeling of changes in its future range under moderate (RCP4.5) and strong (RCP8.5) climate change in the middle and second half of the 21st century were carried out. The MaxEnt program was used for modeling. Climate variables from CHELSA Bioclim, the global digital soil mapping system SoilGrids, and a digital elevation model were used as predictors. Modeling has shown that climate change will lead to a significant reduction in the suitability of S. ferrugineus habitat conditions by the mid-21st century. The predicted changes in the distribution of habitats of S. ferrugineus, a diagnostic species of calcareous mires and an indicator of their ecological state, indicate a possible strong transformation of wetland complexes in the Southern Urals region even under moderate climate change. A reduction in the distribution of S. ferrugineus at the eastern limit of its range will also be facilitated by more frequent extreme droughts. To maintain the distribution of S. ferrugineus on the eastern border of its range, a number of measures are proposed to mitigate the negative consequences of climate change, contributing to the preservation of the hydrological regime of calcareous mires.},
}
@article {pmid38891352,
year = {2024},
author = {Wan, Q and Du, S and Chen, Y and Li, F and Salah, R and Njenga, MN and Li, J and Wang, S},
title = {Ecological Niche Differentiation and Response to Climate Change of the African Endemic Family Myrothamnaceae.},
journal = {Plants (Basel, Switzerland)},
volume = {13},
number = {11},
pages = {},
pmid = {38891352},
issn = {2223-7747},
abstract = {Studying the ecological niches of species and their responses to climate change can provide better conservation strategies for these species. Myrothamnaceae is endemic to Africa, comprising only two species that belong to Myrothamnus (M. flabellifolius and M. moschatus). These closely related species exhibit allopatric distributions, positioning them as ideal materials for studying the species ecological adaptation. This study explores the ecological niche differentiation between M. flabellifolius and M. moschatus and their response capabilities to future climate change. The results indicate that M. flabellifolius and M. moschatus have undergone niche differentiation. The main drivers of niche differences are the minimum temperature of the coldest month (Bio6) for M. flabellifolius, precipitation of the driest month (Bio14), and precipitation of the coldest quarter (Bio19) for M. moschatus. M. flabellifolius demonstrated a stronger adaptation to environments characterized by lower precipitation, relatively lower temperatures, and greater annual temperature variations compared to M. moschatus. Under future climate scenarios (SSP5-8.5, 2081-2100 years), the results show that approximately 85% of the total suitable habitat for M. flabellifolius will be lost, with an 85% reduction in high-suitability areas and almost complete loss of the original mid-low suitability areas. Concurrently, about 29% of the total suitable habitat for M. moschatus will be lost, with a 34% reduction in high suitability areas and roughly 60% of the original mid-low suitability areas becoming unsuitable. This suggests that M. flabellifolius will face greater threats under future climate change. This study contributes novel insight into niche differentiation in Myrothamnaceae and provides useful information for the conservation of this distinctive African lineage.},
}
@article {pmid38891349,
year = {2024},
author = {Hu, XG and Chen, J and Chen, Q and Yang, Y and Lin, Y and Jin, Z and Sha, L and Lin, E and Yousry, EK and Huang, H},
title = {The Spatial Shifts and Vulnerability Assessment of Ecological Niches under Climate Change Scenarios for Betula luminifera, a Fast-Growing Precious Tree in China.},
journal = {Plants (Basel, Switzerland)},
volume = {13},
number = {11},
pages = {},
pmid = {38891349},
issn = {2223-7747},
support = {32001327//The National Natural Science Foundation of China/ ; 2021C02070-1//Key Scientific and Technological Grant of Zhejiang for Breeding New Agricultural Varieties/ ; LQ21C160002//The National Natural Science Foundation of Zhejiang/ ; },
abstract = {The spatial shifts and vulnerability assessments of ecological niches for trees will offer fresh perspectives for sustainable development and preservation of forests, particularly within the framework of rapid climate change. Betula luminifera is a fast-growing native timber plantation species in China, but the natural resources have been severely damaged. Here, a comprehensive habitat suitability model (including ten niche-based GIS modeling algorithms) was developed that integrates three types of environmental factors, namely, climatic, soil, and ultraviolet variables, to assess the species contemporary and future distribution of suitable habitats across China. Our results suggest that the habitats of B. luminifera generally occur in subtropical areas (about 1.52 × 10[6] km[2]). However, the growth of B. luminifera is profoundly shaped by the nuances of its local environment, the most reasonable niche spaces are only 1.15 × 10[6] km[2] when limiting ecological factors (soil and ultraviolet) are considered, generally considered as the core production region. Furthermore, it is anticipated that species-suitable habitats will decrease by 10 and 8% with climate change in the 2050s and 2070s, respectively. Our study provided a clear understanding of species-suitable habitat distribution and identified the reasons why other niche spaces are unsuitable in the future, which can warn against artificial cultivation and conservation planning.},
}
@article {pmid38891233,
year = {2024},
author = {Rong, W and Huang, X and Hu, S and Zhang, X and Jiang, P and Niu, P and Su, J and Wang, M and Chu, G},
title = {Impacts of Climate Change on the Habitat Suitability and Natural Product Accumulation of the Medicinal Plant Sophora alopecuroides L. Based on the MaxEnt Model.},
journal = {Plants (Basel, Switzerland)},
volume = {13},
number = {11},
pages = {},
pmid = {38891233},
issn = {2223-7747},
abstract = {Sophora alopecuroides L., a perennial herb in the arid and semi-arid regions of northwest China, has the ecological functions of windbreaking and sand fixation and high medicinal value. In recent years, global warming and human activities have led to changes in suitable habitats for S. alopecuroides, which may affect the accumulation of natural products. In this study, MaxEnt 3.4 and ArcGIS 10.4 software were used to predict the distribution of potentially suitable habitats for S. alopecuroides in China under climate change. Furthermore, the geographical distribution of S. alopecuroides as affected by human activities, the differences in the content of natural products of S. alopecuroides between different suitable habitats, and the correlation between natural products and environmental factors were analyzed. The results showed that suitable habitats for S. alopecuroides were projected to expand in the future, and the major environmental factors were temperature (Bio1), rainfall (Bio18), and soil pH (pH). When Bio1, Bio18, and pH were 8.4283 °C, 7.1968 mm, and 9.9331, respectively, the distribution probability (P) of S. alopecuroides was the highest. After adding a human activity factor, the accuracy of the model prediction results was improved, and the area of suitable habitats was greatly reduced, showing a fragmented pattern. Meanwhile, habitat suitability had a specific effect on the content of natural products in S. alopecuroides. Specifically, the content of natural products in S. alopecuroides in wild habitats was higher than that in artificial cultivation, and highly suitable habitats showed higher contents than those in non-highly suitable habitats. The contents of total alkaloids and total flavonoids were positively correlated with human activities and negatively correlated with land use types. Among them, total alkaloids were negatively correlated with aspect, and total flavonoids were positively correlated with aspect. In addition, it is suggested that Xinjiang should be the priority planting area for S. alopecuroides in China, and priority should be given to protection measures in the Alashan area. Overall, this study provides an important foundation for the determination of priority planting areas and resource protection for S. alopecuroides.},
}
@article {pmid38891203,
year = {2024},
author = {Larionow, P and Gawrych, M and Mackiewicz, J and Michalak, M and Mudło-Głagolska, K and Preece, DA and Stewart, AE},
title = {The Climate Change Worry Scale (CCWS) and Its Links with Demographics and Mental Health Outcomes in a Polish Sample.},
journal = {Healthcare (Basel, Switzerland)},
volume = {12},
number = {11},
pages = {},
pmid = {38891203},
issn = {2227-9032},
abstract = {Developing valid and reliable measures of psychological responses to climate change is of high importance, as this facilitates our understanding of people's psychological responses, including their pro-environmental behavior. Recently, the Climate Change Worry Scale (CCWS) was introduced. This study aimed to develop the first Polish version of the CCWS and explore its psychometric properties. Our sample comprised 420 Polish adults aged 18-70, with a mean age of 26.20 (standard deviation = 10.61) years. The CCWS's factor structure was assessed with confirmatory factor analysis. McDonald's omega and Cronbach's alpha coefficients were computed to assess internal consistency reliability. Pearson correlations between climate change worry (CCW) and experience of climate change (i.e., an individual's level of perception of being affected by climate change), pro-environmental behavior, ill-being (i.e., anxiety and depression symptoms), and well-being were calculated. Our results support the strong factorial validity of the CCWS, conforming to its intended one-factor solution, with excellent internal consistency reliability for the total scale score (i.e., McDonald's omega and Cronbach's alpha values of 0.93). We noted large positive correlations between CCW and experiences of climate change, as well as pro-environmental behavior, and medium positive correlations with psychopathology symptoms. CCW scores were not associated with well-being. As the CCWS represents a measure of a specific manifestation of worry, we also examined its discriminant validity against more general psychological distress markers, and it evidenced strong validity in this regard. Overall, the Polish version of the CCWS appears to have strong psychometric properties, and will therefore be a useful tool to use in research on psychological responses to climate change.},
}
@article {pmid38890517,
year = {2024},
author = {Wong, C},
title = {How climate change is hitting Europe: three graphics reveal health impacts.},
journal = {Nature},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
pmid = {38890517},
issn = {1476-4687},
}
@article {pmid38890272,
year = {2024},
author = {Zheng, D and Tong, D and Davis, SJ and Qin, Y and Liu, Y and Xu, R and Yang, J and Yan, X and Geng, G and Che, H and Zhang, Q},
title = {Climate change impacts on the extreme power shortage events of wind-solar supply systems worldwide during 1980-2022.},
journal = {Nature communications},
volume = {15},
number = {1},
pages = {5225},
pmid = {38890272},
issn = {2041-1723},
abstract = {Economic productivity depends on reliable access to electricity, but the extreme shortage events of variable wind-solar systems may be strongly affected by climate change. Here, hourly reanalysis climatological data are leveraged to examine historical trends in defined extreme shortage events worldwide. We find uptrends in extreme shortage events regardless of their frequency, duration, and intensity since 1980. For instance, duration of extreme low-reliability events worldwide has increased by 4.1 hours (0.392 hours per year on average) between 1980-2000 and 2001-2022. However, such ascending trends are unevenly distributed worldwide, with a greater variability in low- and middle-latitude developing countries. This uptrend in extreme shortage events is driven by extremely low wind speed and solar radiation, particularly compound wind and solar drought, which however are strongly disproportionated. Only average 12.5% change in compound extremely low wind speed and solar radiation events may give rise to over 30% variability in extreme shortage events, despite a mere average 1.0% change in average wind speed and solar radiation. Our findings underline that wind-solar systems will probably suffer from weakened power security if such uptrends persist in a warmer future.},
}
@article {pmid38890143,
year = {2024},
author = {Tapkigen, J and Harding, S and Pulkki, J and Atkins, S and Koivusalo, M},
title = {Climate change-induced shifts in the food systems and diet-related non-communicable diseases in sub-Saharan Africa: a scoping review and a conceptual framework.},
journal = {BMJ open},
volume = {14},
number = {6},
pages = {e080241},
doi = {10.1136/bmjopen-2023-080241},
pmid = {38890143},
issn = {2044-6055},
mesh = {Humans ; *Climate Change ; *Noncommunicable Diseases/epidemiology ; Africa South of the Sahara/epidemiology ; *Food Supply ; Diet ; Risk Factors ; },
abstract = {OBJECTIVES: To determine the relationship between climate change, food systems and diet-related non-communicable diseases (DR-NCDs) in sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) and propose a conceptual framework for food systems in SSA.<br><br>DESIGN: A scoping review.<br><br>ELIGIBILITY CRITERIA: Studies included investigated the relationship between climate change and related systemic risks, food systems, DR-NCDs and its risk factors in SSA. Studies focusing on the association between climate change and DR-NCDs unrelated to food systems, such as social inequalities, were excluded.<br><br>SOURCES OF EVIDENCE: A comprehensive search was conducted in ProQuest (nine databases), Google Scholar and PubMed in December 2022.<br><br>CHARTING METHODS: Data extracted from studies included author, study type, country of study, climate change component, DR-NCD outcomes and risk factors, and impacts of climate change on DR-NCDs. A narrative approach was used to analyse the data. Based on the evidence gathered from SSA, we modified an existing food system conceptual framework.<br><br>RESULTS: The search retrieved 19&#x2009;125 studies, 10 of which were included in the review. Most studies used a cross-sectional design (n=8). Four explored the influence of temperature on liver cancer through food storage while four explored the influence of temperature and rainfall on diabetes and obesity through food production. Cross-sectional evidence suggested that temperature is associated with liver cancer and rainfall with diabetes.<br><br>CONCLUSION: The review highlights the vulnerability of SSA's food systems to climate change-induced fluctuations, which in turn affect dietary patterns and DR-NCD outcomes. The evidence is scarce and concentrates mostly on the health effects of temperature through food storage. It proposes a conceptual framework to guide future research addressing climate change and DR-NCDs in SSA.},
}
@article {pmid38888707,
year = {2024},
author = {Hambira, WL and Kolawole, OD and Saarinen, J and Moses, O and Mulale, K and Mogomotsi, PK},
title = {Perspectives of nature-based tourism-dependent communities on climate change in the Okavango Delta, Botswana.},
journal = {International journal of biometeorology},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
pmid = {38888707},
issn = {1432-1254},
support = {Office of Research and Development, University of Botswana//Office of Research and Development, University of Botswana/ ; },
abstract = {The intensity and frequency of climate extremes such as heat waves, droughts and extreme rainfall events are projected to rise. This will increase the severity of their impacts across socio-ecological systems. Economic sectors such as nature-based tourism become more vulnerable because of their reliance on climate and natural capital as key resources. While attempts have been made to understand how climate change may impact tourists and the industry itself, little is known about the same on tourism-dependent communities. This paper determines the extent to which tourism-dependent communities are vulnerable to climate change in the Okavango Delta, Botswana, to enhance their wider livelihood the development of strategies for improving adaptive capacity, resilience, and reduced exposure sensitivities. A household survey of 172 households was conducted in three purposively selected villages of Mababe, Sankuyo and Khwai, actively involved in community-based tourism for their socio-economic development. Information sourced related to livelihood options, peoples' resilience, local risks, and hazards. The data was analysed using descriptive statistics and thematic analysis. The results indicate that respondents have observed climatic changes over the years such as increased temperatures, decreased rainfall, and increased frequencies of extreme events. The respondents attributed changes in natural capital to these observed climatic conditions in the form of desiccation, dwindling populations of some wildlife species, decreased fish stocks and reduced vegetation cover. This renders the tourism-dependent communities vulnerable as their livelihood is threatened. The paper thus concludes that climate change adaptation is an urgent priority for local communities who are already exposed to existing climatic and non-climatic stresses.},
}
@article {pmid38888313,
year = {2024},
author = {Parejko, JA},
title = {Climate change and plant rhizosphere microbiomes: an experiential course-embedded research project.},
journal = {Journal of microbiology &amp; biology education},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {e0004624},
doi = {10.1128/jmbe.00046-24},
pmid = {38888313},
issn = {1935-7877},
abstract = {The current and ongoing challenges brought on by climate change will require future scientists who have hands-on experience using advanced molecular techniques, can work with large data sets, and can make correlations between metadata and microbial diversity. A course-embedded research project can prepare students to answer complex research questions that might help plants adapt to climate change. The project described herein uses plants as a host to study the impact of climate change-induced drought on host-microbe interactions through next-generation DNA sequencing and analysis using a command-line program. Specifically, the project studies the impact of simulated drought on the rhizosphere microbiome of Fast Plants rapid cycling Brassica rapa using inexpensive greenhouse supplies and 16S rRNA V3/V4 Illumina sequencing. Data analysis is performed with the freely accessible Python-based microbiome bioinformatics platform QIIME 2.},
}
@article {pmid38887460,
year = {2024},
author = {Wang, E and Lu, Z and Rohani, ER and Ou, J and Tong, X and Han, R},
title = {Current and future distribution of Forsythia suspensa in China under climate change adopting the MaxEnt model.},
journal = {Frontiers in plant science},
volume = {15},
number = {},
pages = {1394799},
pmid = {38887460},
issn = {1664-462X},
abstract = {This study evaluated the potential impact of climate change on the distribution of Forsythia suspensa, a valuable traditional Chinese medicinal plant, using the MaxEnt model integrated with Geographic Information System (GIS). By analyzing occurrence data from various databases and environmental variables including climate and soil factors, we forecasted the present and future (2050s and 2070s) habitat suitability of F. suspensa under different greenhouse gas emission scenarios (RCP8.5, RCP4.5, RCP2.6). Results indicated that the suitable habitats for F. suspensa were primarily located in North, East, Central, Northwest, and Southwest China, with a significant potential expansion of suitable habitats anticipated by the 2070s, particularly under the high emission scenario. The study identified precipitation and temperature as the primary environmental drivers impacting the distribution of F. suspensa. Furthermore, a northward shift in the centroid of suitable habitats under future climate scenarios suggested a potential migration response to global warming. This work provides crucial insights into the future conservation and cultivation strategies for F. suspensa amidst changing climatic conditions.},
}
@article {pmid38886424,
year = {2024},
author = {Yang, CY and Ding, Y and Ma, FL and Zhou, HK and Wang, XL and Zhang, Q and Liu, XW and Mutalifu, W and Guo, L},
title = {[Climate change affects plant aboveground biomass by regulating the growth periods in alpine grasslands of the Tibetan Plateau, China].},
journal = {Ying yong sheng tai xue bao = The journal of applied ecology},
volume = {35},
number = {5},
pages = {1260-1268},
doi = {10.13287/j.1001-9332.202405.020},
pmid = {38886424},
issn = {1001-9332},
mesh = {*Biomass ; *Grassland ; *Climate Change ; Tibet ; *Poaceae/growth &amp; development ; China ; Altitude ; Ecosystem ; },
abstract = {Climate change significantly affects plant biomass and phenological occurrence time in alpine grasslands of Tibetan Plateau. The changes in phenological periods are closely related to the length of vegetative and reproductive growth periods, which may further affect aboveground biomass accumulation. In this study, based on fixed-point observations of plant biomass and phenology as well as the corresponding climatic data from 1997 to 2020 in the alpine grasslands of Tibetan Plateau, we used statistical methods such as ordinary linear regression and piecewise structural equation model to explore the characteristics of interannual climate change in the study area, the variation trends of plant biomass and phenological periods, and the correlations between biomass and phenological and climatic factors. The results showed that mean annual temperature and annual precipitation in the study area increased significantly from 1997 to 2020, suggesting a clear "warm-wet" trend. Aboveground biomass and relative biomass of Stipa sareptana var. krylovii (the dominant species) decreased significantly. However, absolute and relative biomass of subdominant species (Kobresia humilis) increased significantly, indicating that the dominance of K. humilis increased. The warm-wet climates enhanced aboveground biomass accumulation of K. humilis by extending the period of reproductive growth. Mean annual temperature and annual precipitation decreased aboveground biomass of S. sareptana by shortening the length of vegetative growth period. In a word, the warmer and wetter climate significantly affected aboveground biomass accumulation by regulating the changes in the phenological period, and the interspecific difference in their response resulted in a larger change in community composition. This study area may show a trend from alpine grassland to alpine meadow, and thus further works are urgently needed.},
}
@article {pmid38886418,
year = {2024},
author = {Li, J and Liu, Z and Wang, P and Yang, R and Shi, FM and Deng, J and Wang, GY and Shi, SL},
title = {[Response of radial growth of Pinus wallichiana to climate change in Mount Qomolangma, Tibet, China].},
journal = {Ying yong sheng tai xue bao = The journal of applied ecology},
volume = {35},
number = {5},
pages = {1205-1213},
doi = {10.13287/j.1001-9332.202405.002},
pmid = {38886418},
issn = {1001-9332},
mesh = {*Climate Change ; Tibet ; Pinus/growth &amp; development ; Ecosystem ; Temperature ; Plant Stems/growth &amp; development ; Global Warming ; },
abstract = {Global warming would significantly impact tree growth in the Tibetan Plateau. However, the specific effects of climate change on the radial growth of Pinus wallichiana in Mount Qomolangma are still uncertain. To investigate the responses of radial growth of P. wallichiana to climate change, we analyzed tree-ring samples in Mount Qomolangma. We removed the age-related growth trends and established three chronologies by using the modified negative exponential curve, basal area index, and regional curve standardization, and conducted Pearson correlation and moving correlation analyses to examine the association between radial growth of P. wallichiana and climatic factors. The results showed that this region had experienced a significant upward trend in temperature and that the Palmer drought severity index (PDSI) indicated a decreasing trend since 1980s, while the relative humi-dity changed from a significant upward to a downward trend around 2004, implying the climate shifted toward warmer and drier. Results of Pearson correlation analysis indicated a significant and positive relationship between the radial growth of P. wallichiana and the minimum temperature of April-June and July-September, and precipitation of January-April in the current year. The radial growth of P. wallichiana was significantly and negatively associated with the relative humidity of June, July, and August in the current year. As temperature rose after 1983, the relationship between radial growth of P. wallichiana and the minimum temperature in July and September of the current year increased from a non-significant association to a significant and positive association, while the relationship between radial growth of P. wallichiana and relative humidity in August and precipitation in September of the current year changed from non-significant correlation to a significant and negative correlation. Results of the moving correlation analysis suggested that the radial growth of P. wallichiana showed a significant and stable correlation with the July-September minimum temperature of the current year. Under the background of climate warming, the rapid increases of temperature would accelerate the radial growth of P. wallichiana in Mount Qomolangma.},
}
@article {pmid38886416,
year = {2024},
author = {Qi, YY and Keyimu, M and Li, ZS and Zeng, FJ},
title = {[Radial growth response of Populus euphratica to climate change in the Cele desert oasis ecotone, China].},
journal = {Ying yong sheng tai xue bao = The journal of applied ecology},
volume = {35},
number = {5},
pages = {1187-1195},
doi = {10.13287/j.1001-9332.202405.003},
pmid = {38886416},
issn = {1001-9332},
mesh = {*Populus/growth &amp; development ; China ; *Climate Change ; *Desert Climate ; *Ecosystem ; Temperature ; },
abstract = {Populus euphratica is an important tree species in the arid regions of Northwest China, which is sensitive to climate changes. Climate of the Northwest China is changing to be "warm and humid", but how it would affect the regional forest growth is not clear. In this study, the radial growth response of P. euphratica to major climatic factors and their temporal changes during 1984-2021 were analyzed by using dendrochronology method in the desert oasis ecotone of Cele in the southern Tarim basin. The results showed that tree-ring width index of P. euphratica had a significant negative correlation with temperature in September of the previous year, and in February and May of current year, had significant positive correlation with precipitation in September of previous year and March and May of current year, and had significant positive correlations with SPEI in February and May of current year. The relationships between tree-ring width index and combined month climatic factors were more obvious. The results of moving correlation analysis showed that the correlation between tree-ring width index and temperature in the growing season tended to be strengthened in recent years, while the correlation between tree-ring width index and precipitation, SPEI tended to be declined or remain stable. The variations of the relationships between tree-ring width index and combined month climatic factors were more obvious compared that with single month. Current regional climate is conducive to the growth and development, as well as the improvement of ecological shelter function of P. euphratica forest in the desert oasis ecotone of Cele.},
}
@article {pmid38886415,
year = {2024},
author = {Liu, Z and Li, J and Shi, SL and Yang, R and Luo, WW and Ma, YL and Bie, XJ and Wang, GY},
title = {[Response of radial growth of different timberline species to climate change in Yading Nature Reserve, Sichuan, China].},
journal = {Ying yong sheng tai xue bao = The journal of applied ecology},
volume = {35},
number = {5},
pages = {1177-1186},
doi = {10.13287/j.1001-9332.202405.001},
pmid = {38886415},
issn = {1001-9332},
mesh = {*Climate Change ; China ; *Larix/growth &amp; development ; Juniperus/growth &amp; development ; Abies/growth &amp; development ; Ecosystem ; Trees/growth &amp; development ; Conservation of Natural Resources ; Temperature ; Plant Stems/growth &amp; development ; Altitude ; },
abstract = {The radial growth of trees in alpine timberline is particularly sensitive to climate change. We sampled and disposed tree-ring cores of three coniferous tree species including Juniperus saltuaria, Abies forrestii, and Larix potaninii at alpine timberline in Yading Nature Reserve. The standard tree-ring chronology was used to explore the response of radial growth of different timberline species to climate change. The results showed that radial growth of L. potaninii increased after 2000, while that of A. forrestii declined after 2002, and J. saltuaria showed a significant decreasing growth trend in the past 10 years. Such results indicated divergent growth responses to climate factors among the three tree species at alpine timberline. The radial growth of J. saltuaria was sensitive to temperature, and was positively correlated with the minimum temperature from previous October to current August, the mean tempera-ture from previous November to current April and from current July to October, but was negatively associated with the relative humidity from current July to October. The radial growth of A. forrestii showed negative correlation with mean temperature and the maximum temperature from May to June in the current year, while it exhibited positive association with the relative humidity and the Palmer drought severity index from May to June in the current year. L. potaninii radial growth was positively associated with mean temperature and the maximum temperature of November-December in the previous year, the maximum temperature of current March and mean temperature of current August. The temporal stability of climate-growth relationship varied among different timberline species. The positive correlation between radial growth of A. forrestii and J. saltuaria and temperature gradually decreased, while the posi-tive relationship of L. potaninii radial growth and temperature gradually increased. Under the background of climate warming, rapid rise in surface air temperatures may promote the radial growth of L. potaninii, while inhibit that of J. saltuaria and A. forrestii, which may change the position of regional timberline.},
}
@article {pmid38886119,
year = {2024},
author = {Wood, JD and Detto, M and Browne, M and Kraft, NJB and Konings, AG and Fisher, JB and Quetin, GR and Trugman, AT and Magney, TS and Medeiros, CD and Vinod, N and Buckley, TN and Sack, L},
title = {The Ecosystem as Super-organ/Ism, Revisited: Scaling Hydraulics to Forests under Climate Change.},
journal = {Integrative and comparative biology},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1093/icb/icae073},
pmid = {38886119},
issn = {1557-7023},
abstract = {Classic debates in community ecology focused on the complexities of considering an ecosystem as a super-organ or organism. New consideration of such perspectives could clarify mechanisms underlying the dynamics of forest carbon dioxide (CO2) uptake and water vapor loss, important for predicting and managing the future of Earth's ecosystems and climate system. Here, we provide a rubric for considering ecosystem traits as aggregated, systemic, or emergent, i.e., representing the ecosystem as an aggregate of its individuals, or as a metaphorical or literal super-organ or organism. We review recent approaches to scaling-up plant water relations (hydraulics) concepts developed for organs and organisms to enable and interpret measurements at ecosystem-level. We focus on three community scale versions of water relations traits that have potential to provide mechanistic insight into climate change responses of CO2 and H2O gas exchange and forest productivity: leaf water potential (Ψcanopy), pressure volume curves (eco-PV), and hydraulic conductance (Keco). These analyses can reveal additional ecosystem-scale parameters analogous to those typically quantified for leaves or plants (e.g., wilting point and hydraulic vulnerability) that may act as thresholds in forest responses to drought including growth cessation, mortality and flammability. We unite these concepts in a novel framework to predict Ψcanopy and its approaching of critical thresholds during drought, using measurements of Keco and eco-PV curves. We thus delineate how extension of water relations concepts from organ- and organism-scales can reveal the hydraulic constraints on the interaction of vegetation and climate, and provide new mechanistic understanding and prediction of forest water use and productivity.},
}
@article {pmid38884244,
year = {2024},
author = {Gong, ZY and Wang, CL and Dong, DD and Zhang, R and Zhang, X},
title = {[Influence of climate change and human activities on grassland phenology in Anhui Province].},
journal = {Ying yong sheng tai xue bao = The journal of applied ecology},
volume = {35},
number = {4},
pages = {1092-1100},
doi = {10.13287/j.1001-9332.202404.021},
pmid = {38884244},
issn = {1001-9332},
mesh = {*Climate Change ; China ; *Human Activities ; *Grassland ; Seasons ; Humans ; Ecosystem ; Poaceae/growth &amp; development ; },
abstract = {To explore the influence of climate change and human activities on grassland phenology in Anhui Pro-vince, and quantify the contribution rate of climate change and human activities to phenology, we extracted the phenology of grassland, including the start of growing season (SOS) and the end of growing season (EOS), based on the normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI) dataset of Anhui Province from 2003 to 2020. The temporal and spatial characteristics and future evolution trends of phenological changes were analyzed using slope trend ana-lysis, Mann-Kendall non-parametric test, and Hurst index. We further conducted correlation analysis and residual analysis based on the datasets of mean annual temperature and mean annual precipitation to explore the responses of phenology to climate change and human activities, and quantify their contribution rate. The results showed that SOS and EOS showed an advancing trend with a rate of 0.8 and 0.7 days per year from 2003 to 2020. SOS in the sou-thern part of the study area was significantly earlier than in the central and northern regions, while EOS gradually advanced from south to north. Both SOS and EOS in the future showed an advancing trend. SOS was negatively correlated with annual average temperature, while positively correlated with annual precipitation. EOS was negatively correlated with both annual average temperature and annual precipitation. The proportion of the area where SOS was advanced driven by both climate change and human activities was 56.9%, and the value was 48.3% for EOS. Human activities were the main driving factor for phenology, and climate change was the secondary driving factor. The relative contributions of human activities and climate change to SOS were 66.4% and 33.6%, and to EOS were 61.2% and 38.8%, respectively. Human activities had stronger impact on SOS and EOS than climate change, resulting in earlier phenology.},
}
@article {pmid38884035,
year = {2022},
author = {Atwoli, L and Erhabor, GE and Gbakima, AA and Haileamlak, A and Ntumba, JK and Kigera, J and Laybourn-Langton, L and Mash, B and Muhia, J and Mulaudzi, FM and Ofori-Adjei, D and Okonofua, F and Rashidian, A and El-Adawy, M and Sidibé, S and Snouber, A and Tumwine, J and Yassien, MS and Yonga, P and Zakhama, L and Zielinski, C},
title = {COP27 Climate Change Conference: Urgent Action Needed for Africa and the world.},
journal = {Nigerian medical journal : journal of the Nigeria Medical Association},
volume = {63},
number = {6},
pages = {438-441},
pmid = {38884035},
issn = {0300-1652},
abstract = {Wealthy nations must step up support for Africa and vulnerable countries in addressing past, present and future impacts of climate change.},
}
@article {pmid38883297,
year = {2024},
author = {Yin, Z and Song, X and Zhou, B and Jiang, W and Chen, H and Wang, H},
title = {Traditional Meiyu-Baiu has been suspended by global warming.},
journal = {National science review},
volume = {11},
number = {7},
pages = {nwae166},
pmid = {38883297},
issn = {2053-714X},
abstract = {More than 1000 years, the Meiyu-Baiu have shaped the uniqueness of natural resources, civilization and culture in the Yangtze River Basin of China and the main islands of Japan. In recent decades, frequent rainstorms and droughts have seemingly diminished the misty features of traditional Meiyu-Baiu rainfall. However, there is still no consensus on whether their traditional nature is suspended. In this study, we quantitatively demonstrate that the Meiyu-Baiu almost completely lost their traditional features during 1961-2023, ∼80% of which can be attributed to anthropogenic warming. Furthermore, in a warmer future, the traditional Meiyu-Baiu will be more unlikely to appear. This study underscores the urgency in adapting to climate shift because destructive extremes are measurably taking the place of mild and maternal rains.},
}
@article {pmid38882429,
year = {2024},
author = {Sazegar, P and Kaur, P and Abbott, RA},
title = {Application of Illness Scripts Theory to Climate Change Through a Multi-Residency Educational Symposium.},
journal = {Journal of graduate medical education},
volume = {16},
number = {3},
pages = {353-354},
pmid = {38882429},
issn = {1949-8357},
mesh = {Humans ; *Climate Change ; *Internship and Residency ; Congresses as Topic ; Education, Medical, Graduate ; },
}
@article {pmid38882299,
year = {2024},
author = {Sharifi, A and Baubekova, A and Patro, ER and Klöve, B and Torabi Haghighi, A},
title = {The combined effects of anthropogenic and climate change on river flow alterations in the Southern Caspian Sea Iran.},
journal = {Heliyon},
volume = {10},
number = {11},
pages = {e31960},
pmid = {38882299},
issn = {2405-8440},
abstract = {In recent years, the effects of human activities and climate change on river flow patterns have become a major concern worldwide. This is particularly true in the southern Caspian Sea (SCS) region of Iran, where increasing water-intensive socio-economic development and climate change have significantly altered river flow regimes. To better understand these changes, this study employs two nonparametric methods, the modified Mann-Kendall method (MK3) and Innovative Trend Analysis (ITA), to examine spatial and temporal changes in hydrometeorological variables in the SCS. The study also evaluates the impact of human activities and climate change on river flow alteration using elasticity-based methods and the Budyko hypothesis in 40 rivers on the closest gauges to the Caspian Sea. The results indicate an alarming trend of increasing temperature, potential evapotranspiration, and decreasing river flows in the SCS region. In particular, human activities were found to be responsible for around 91.7 % of the change on average, resulting in a significant decline in inflow to the Caspian Sea by about 3216 MCM annually. This declining trend in inflow could potentially exacerbate the eutrophication conditions in the Sea and negatively impact its ecosystem and economics. Therefore, appropriate measures need to be taken to address these environmental and socio-economic issues in the southern Caspian Sea region.},
}
@article {pmid38881686,
year = {2024},
author = {Benesch, T and Sergeeva, M and Wainstock, D and Miller, J},
title = {Climate change, health, and human rights: calling on states to address the health risks of climate change, through the Inter-American Court of Human Rights.},
journal = {Lancet regional health. Americas},
volume = {34},
number = {},
pages = {100801},
pmid = {38881686},
issn = {2667-193X},
}
@article {pmid38881301,
year = {2024},
author = {Goldfarb, DS and Patel, AA},
title = {Climate change and its implications for kidney health.},
journal = {Current opinion in urology},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1097/MOU.0000000000001197},
pmid = {38881301},
issn = {1473-6586},
abstract = {PURPOSE OF REVIEW: Extremes of weather as a result of climate change are affecting social, economic and health systems. Kidney health is being threatened by global warming while treatment of kidney disease is contributing to increasing resource utilization and leaving a substantial carbon footprint. Improved physician awareness and patient education are needed to mitigate the risk.<br><br>RECENT FINDINGS: Rising temperatures are changing kidney disease patterns, with increasing prevalence of acute kidney injury, chronic kidney disease and kidney stones. These issues disproportionately affect people suffering from social inequality and limited access to resources.<br><br>SUMMARY: In this article, we review the effects of climate change on kidney stones, and acute and chronic kidney injury. Finally, we discuss the impact of renal replacement therapies on the environment and proposed ways to mitigate it.},
}
@article {pmid38880851,
year = {2024},
author = {Elsisi, M and Elshiekh, M and Sabry, N and Aziz, M and Attia, K and Islam, F and Chen, J and Abdelrahman, M},
title = {The genetic orchestra of salicylic acid in plant resilience to climate change induced abiotic stress: critical review.},
journal = {Stress biology},
volume = {4},
number = {1},
pages = {31},
pmid = {38880851},
issn = {2731-0450},
abstract = {Climate change, driven by human activities and natural processes, has led to critical alterations in varying patterns during cropping seasons and is a vital threat to global food security. The climate change impose several abiotic stresses on crop production systems. These abiotic stresses include extreme temperatures, drought, and salinity, which expose agricultural fields to more vulnerable conditions and lead to substantial crop yield and quality losses. Plant hormones, especially salicylic acid (SA), has crucial roles for plant resiliency under unfavorable environments. This review explores the genetics and molecular mechanisms underlying SA's role in mitigating abiotic stress-induced damage in plants. It also explores the SA biosynthesis pathways, and highlights the regulation of their products under several abiotic stresses. Various roles and possible modes of action of SA in mitigating abiotic stresses are discussed, along with unraveling the genetic mechanisms and genes involved in responses under stress conditions. Additionally, this review investigates molecular pathways and mechanisms through which SA exerts its protective effects, such as redox signaling, cross-talks with other plant hormones, and mitogen-activated protein kinase pathways. Moreover, the review discusses potentials of using genetic engineering approaches, such as CRISPR technology, for deciphering the roles of SA in enhancing plant resilience to climate change related abiotic stresses. This comprehensive analysis bridges the gap between genetics of SA role in response to climate change related stressors. Overall goal is to highlight SA's significance in safeguarding plants and by offering insights of SA hormone for sustainable agriculture under challenging environmental conditions.},
}
@article {pmid38879644,
year = {2024},
author = {Fu, Y and Jian, S and Yu, X},
title = {Water use efficiency in China is impacted by climate change and land use and land cover.},
journal = {Environmental science and pollution research international},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
pmid = {38879644},
issn = {1614-7499},
support = {2021GGJS003//the Training Program for Young Backbone Teachers in Colleges and Universities of Henan Province/ ; },
abstract = {A crucial physiological indicator known as water use efficiency (WUE) (Foley et al.) assesses the trade-off between water loss and carbon uptake. The carbon and water coupling mechanisms, energy balance, and hydrological cycle processes in the ecosystem are impacted by climate change, vegetation dynamics, and land use change. In this study, we employed Sen trend analysis, the Mann-Kendall test, the land-use transfer matrix, and multiple linear regression analysis to investigate the regional and temporal dynamics of WUE and its reaction to climate change and land-use transfer changes in China. According to the findings, the annual average WUE in China was 0.998 gC/mm·m[2] from 2000 to 2017. Of the nine major river basins, the Continental Basin had the lowest WUE (0.529 gC/mm·m[2]), and the Southwest River Basin had the highest WUE (0.691 gC/mm·m[2]), while the Pearl River Basin and the Southeast River Basin had the highest WUEs (1.184 gC/mm·m[2]). The Haihe River Basin and the Yellow River Basin were the key regions with elevated WUE. Forest had the greatest WUE (1.134 gC/mm·m[2]; out of the nine major river basins), followed by shrub (1.109 gC/mm·m[2]). Vegetation dynamics changes had a higher impact on WUE than climate change and land use changes, when the contributions of climate change, vegetation dynamics changes, and land use changes to WUE were separated. The largest climatic factor influencing variations in WUE was VPD (28.04% ± 3.98%), whereas among the vegetation dynamics factors, NDVI (33.75% ± 6.90%) and LAI (22.21% ± 2.11%) contributed the most. The transition from high to low vegetation cover led to a relative decrease in WUE, and vice versa, according to data on land use change in China from 2000 to 2017. Land use change made a positive impact to WUE change. The findings of this study may be helpful in China for choosing a suitable regional plant cover and managing local water resources sustainably.},
}
@article {pmid38878566,
year = {2024},
author = {Wang, J and O'Brien, E and Holloway, P and Nolan, P and Stewart, MG and Ryan, PC},
title = {Climate change impact and adaptation assessment for road drainage systems.},
journal = {Journal of environmental management},
volume = {364},
number = {},
pages = {121209},
doi = {10.1016/j.jenvman.2024.121209},
pmid = {38878566},
issn = {1095-8630},
abstract = {Climate change exhibits a clear trend of escalating frequency and intensity of extreme weather events, posing heightened risks to drainage systems along the existing road networks. However, very few studies to date have investigated the consequences of projected future changes in rainfall on main road drainage and the resulting risk of road flooding. The work presented in this paper builds on the limited research by introducing a probabilistic model for assessing the impact of climate change on road drainage systems, incorporating climate uncertainty and drainage system variation. The probabilistic scenario-based model and associated framework offer a practical and innovative method for estimating the impact of short-duration storms under future climates for 2071-2100, in the absence of fine-resolution spatio-temporal data. The model also facilitates the assessment of the effectiveness of a climate adaptation strategy. An illustrative case-study of a road drainage system located in the south of Ireland is presented. It was found that the probability of road flooding during intense rainfall is projected to surpass the current acceptable limits set by Irish standards. Assessment of a proactive climate adaptation strategy implemented in 2015 indicated it may need to be adjusted to further reduce climate change impacts and optimise adaptation costs.},
}
@article {pmid38877214,
year = {2024},
author = {Bolakhe, S},
title = {Wildfires are raging in Nepal - climate change isn't the only culprit.},
journal = {Nature},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
pmid = {38877214},
issn = {1476-4687},
}
@article {pmid38877115,
year = {2024},
author = {Ebi, KL and Bowen, K and Haines, A and Hess, JJ and Kovats, RS and Woodward, A},
title = {Estimating the total effect of anthropogenic climate change on human health and wellbeing.},
journal = {Nature medicine},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
pmid = {38877115},
issn = {1546-170X},
}
@article {pmid38875780,
year = {2024},
author = {Pirnajmedin, F and Jaškūnė, K and Majidi, MM},
title = {Adaptive strategies to drought stress in grasses of the poaceae family under climate change: Physiological, genetic and molecular perspectives: A review.},
journal = {Plant physiology and biochemistry : PPB},
volume = {213},
number = {},
pages = {108814},
doi = {10.1016/j.plaphy.2024.108814},
pmid = {38875780},
issn = {1873-2690},
abstract = {Drought stress is one of the most critical abiotic factors which negatively impacts on growth, productivity, and survival of plants. Grass species have an important role in the sustainable intensification of cropping systems. This review focus on the specific drought tolerance characteristics in grass species and application of prevalent classical and molecular methods for genetic improvement of them to drought stress. Generally, grass species adapt to drought stress by utilizing more than one strategy including of changes in the root growth, photosynthetic pigments, activation of antioxidant enzymes, and accumulation of compatible osmolytes. They also have other specific characteristics consisted of summer dormancy, drought recovery, and persistence, which lead to drought adaptation after prolonged drought. Studies on different grasses, indicated that most of above mentioned traits usually have positive correlation with drought tolerance. Also, high heritability has been reported for most of them in different grasses. Therefore, an effective index might be considering in identification of drought tolerance genotypes. Recently, high-throughput imaging phenotyping and advanced molecular techniques such as genotyping-by-sequencing (GBS), RNA sequencing, genome-wide association study, and genome editing help conventional breeding methods to increase the accuracy, selection efficiency, genetic gains, and speed of breeding programs for developing drought tolerant cultivars.},
}
@article {pmid38874849,
year = {2024},
author = {Regev, S and Carmel, Y and Gal, G},
title = {Assessing alternative lake management actions for climate change adaptation.},
journal = {Ambio},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
pmid = {38874849},
issn = {1654-7209},
support = {3-15504//Ministry of Science, Technology and Space/ ; },
abstract = {Lake management actions are required to protect lake ecosystems that are being threatened by climate change. Freshwater lakes in semiarid regions are of upmost importance to their region. Simulations of the subtropical Lake Kinneret project that rising temperatures will cause change to phytoplankton species composition, including increased cyanobacteria blooms, endangering lake ecosystem services. Using lake ecosystem models, we examined several management actions under climate change, including two alternatives of desalinated water introduction into the lake, hypolimnetic water withdrawal, watershed management changes and low versus high lake water level. To account for prediction uncertainty, we utilized an ensemble of two 1D hydrodynamic-biogeochemical lake models along with 500 realizations of meteorological conditions. Results suggest that supplying desalinated water for local use, thus releasing more natural waters through the Jordan River, increasing nutrient flow, may reduce cyanobacteria blooms, mitigating climate change effects. However, these results are accompanied by considerable uncertainty.},
}
@article {pmid38874655,
year = {2024},
author = {Dos Santos, HT and Marchioro, CA},
title = {Assessing the Impact of Climate Change on Argyrotaenia sphaleropa (Meyrick, 1909) Voltinism: Implications for Fruit Production in Southern Brazil.},
journal = {Neotropical entomology},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
pmid = {38874655},
issn = {1678-8052},
abstract = {The leafroller Argyrotaenia sphaleropa (Meyrick) is an important pest of temperate fruits. Its biology and population dynamics are strongly influenced by temperature. In this context, this study aims to select a mathematical model that accurately describes the temperature-dependent development rate of A. sphaleropa and applies this model to predict the impact of climate change on the number of annual generations (voltinism) of the pest in southern Brazil. Nine mathematical models were employed to fit the species' developmental rate at different constant temperatures. Voltinism was projected using climate data from the current period (1994-2013) and projections for 2050 and 2070. The Brière-1 model (D(T) = aT(T-TL)(TH-T)[1/2]) provided the best fit for the temperature-dependent developmental rate of A. sphaleropa. According to this model, the regions with the highest voltinism under current climatic conditions are the northern and central areas of Paraná, the western and northeastern regions of Santa Catarina, and northwestern Rio Grande do Sul. The model also predicts a rise in A. sphaleropa voltinism as a consequence of climate change, especially in the mountainous regions of Santa Catarina and Rio Grande do Sul, with projected increases of up to 25.1%. These regions encompass most areas where temperate fruits used as hosts by the leafroller are cultivated. This study represents a significant advancement in understanding the implications of global warming on A. sphaleropa voltinism and suggests that forthcoming climatic conditions will likely favor the species across much of southern Brazil.},
}
@article {pmid38874291,
year = {2024},
author = {Afifi, M and Malkawi, M and El-Adawy, M},
title = {Women's health and climate change: a threat or an opportunity.},
journal = {Eastern Mediterranean health journal = La revue de sante de la Mediterranee orientale = al-Majallah al-sihhiyah li-sharq al-mutawassit},
volume = {30},
number = {5},
pages = {330-332},
doi = {10.26719/2024.30.5.330},
pmid = {38874291},
issn = {1687-1634},
mesh = {Humans ; *Climate Change ; *Women's Health ; Female ; Mediterranean Region ; Global Health ; },
}
@article {pmid38873493,
year = {2024},
author = {Zhang, W and Shao, Y and Zou, X and Yan, J and Xu, M and Zhou, G and Fu, S},
title = {Fluctuating "soil CO2-lake" is key for understanding global climate change.},
journal = {Innovation (Cambridge (Mass.))},
volume = {5},
number = {4},
pages = {100642},
pmid = {38873493},
issn = {2666-6758},
}
@article {pmid38872491,
year = {2024},
author = {Nordeng, Z and Kriit, HK and Poltimäe, H and Aunan, K and Dahl, MS and Jevtic, M and Matkovic, V and Sandanger, G and Orru, H},
title = {Valuation and perception of the costs of climate change on health.},
journal = {Scandinavian journal of public health},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {14034948241247614},
doi = {10.1177/14034948241247614},
pmid = {38872491},
issn = {1651-1905},
abstract = {BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Climate change affects our societies and lives through our economies, our livelihoods, and our health. Economic losses of climate change are estimated at $23 trillion, largely through externalities due to premature mortality, healthcare expenditure, and health-related work losses. Even if there are established methods to quantify the health economic burden, there is limited information on how people perceive this information. The current study aimed to examine different health cost evaluation methods and observe perceptions of stakeholders in the climate change context.<br><br>METHOD: The participatory research approach of the World Caf&#xe9; with 41 participants was applied to explore four topics associated with valuing the costs of climate change. The data were analyzed following an inductive approach.<br><br>RESULTS: Despite the willingness-to-pay approach being widely applied, many experts see actual healthcare costs as a more explicit indicator of costs; however, this approach might underestimate actual costs. Participants experienced difficulties accepting and understanding cost estimates that indicated very high externalities as a percentage of gross domestic product. The cost-effectiveness of mitigation and adaptation measures was also challenged by a concern that while the costs of such measures are incurred now, the benefits do not come to fruition until later, for example, when building bike lanes or dams.<br><br>CONCLUSIONS: Policies should favor environmentally friendly activities such as making cycling more convenient in cities with the health benefits presented in monetary terms, while limiting car driving. Moreover, the public might better understand the costs of climate change via tools that map how solutions influence different sectors and outlining the costs in evaluating the benefits for health and the environment.},
}
@article {pmid38871779,
year = {2024},
author = {Zhang, Y and Wan, Y and Wang, C and Chen, J and Si, Q and Ma, F},
title = {Potential distribution of three invasive agricultural pests in China under climate change.},
journal = {Scientific reports},
volume = {14},
number = {1},
pages = {13672},
pmid = {38871779},
issn = {2045-2322},
support = {2021YFC2600400//National Key Research and Development Program of China/ ; },
mesh = {Animals ; China ; *Climate Change ; *Introduced Species ; *Weevils/physiology ; Ecosystem ; Agriculture ; Biodiversity ; },
abstract = {Invasive pests reduce biodiversity and ecosystem service functions, thereby leading to economic and also agricultural losses. Banana skipper (Erionota torus Evans), red palm weevil (Rhynchophorus ferrugineus), and coconut caterpillar (Opisina arenosella Walker) are invasive insect pests in the palm-growing regions and they have had serious consequences for the planting of bananas (Musa nana), palms (Trachycarpus fortune) and coconut (Cocos nucifera). Based on screened occurrence data, the present research utilized Maximum Entropy model (Maxent) to simulate the distribution dynamics of these three invasive insects in China, under current and future climate (2050s, 2070s, 2090s) in two shared socio-economic pathways (SSPs: 126 and 585) of the newly released coupled model intercomparison project phase6 (CMIP6). The results show that: (1) Under current and future climate conditions, all model groups exhibited an AUC value exceeding 0.92, which shows that the model prediction results are very good;(2) The suitable habitat area of E. torus Evans remains relatively stable with some expansion in the SSP126 of 2090s and some contraction in the SSP585 of 2090s. The suitable habitat area of R. ferrugineus showed an overall contraction, with substantial contraction in the SSP585 of 2090s.The suitable habitat area of O. arenosella has an overall expansion, with the most pronounced expansion in the SSP585 of 2070s; (3) The current centroid of suitable habitats for R. ferrugineus and E. torus Evans is located in Guangxi Province and wholely shift toward the south direction under future climate. The centroid of suitable habitats for O. arenosella is currently located in the northeastern maritime area of Hainan Province and will shift toward the north direction under future climate; (4) Temperature, precipitation and Human disturbance factors (Population density and Human influence index) were crucial variables for describing the distribution of the three species. For E. torus Evans in particular, percentage contributions of Population density was up to 31.4, which is only 0.1 different from ranked first Bio19 (Precipitation of the coldest quarter). The dynamics of habitats of these three species and the correlating driver factors proposed in this work provide essential insights into future spatial management of the three invasive insects in China. Our work is necessary and timely in identifying newly areas at high risk of expansion of the three invasive insects in the future, then suggesting strategic control measures to prevent their spread, and finally providing scientific evidence for the early prevention and rapid response to the three invasive insects.},
}
@article {pmid38871518,
year = {2024},
author = {Sapkota, TB and Vetter, SH and Jat, ML and Sirohi, S and Shirsath, PB and Singh, R and Jat, HS and Smith, P and Hillier, J and Stirling, CM},
title = {Corrigendum to "Cost-effective opportunities for climate change mitigation in Indian agriculture" [Sci. Total Environ. 655 (2019) 1342-1354].},
journal = {The Science of the total environment},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {173853},
doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.173853},
pmid = {38871518},
issn = {1879-1026},
}
@article {pmid38871325,
year = {2024},
author = {Bao, Y and Han, A and Gele, T and Song, Z and Liu, X and Tong, Z and Zhang, J},
title = {Climate change reduces elevational and latitudinal differences in spring phenology of pine caterpillar (Dendrolimus spectabilis Bulter).},
journal = {The Science of the total environment},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {173847},
doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.173847},
pmid = {38871325},
issn = {1879-1026},
abstract = {The pine caterpillar (Dendrolimus spectabilis Bulter, Lepidoptera: Lasiocampidae), as an ectotherm, temperature plays a crucial role in its development. With climate change, earlier development of insect pests is expected to pose a more frequent threat to forest communities. Yet the quantitative research about the extent to which global warming affects pine caterpillar populations is rarely understood, particularly across various elevations and latitudes. Spring phenology of pine caterpillars showed an advancing trend with 0.8 d/10a, 2.2 d/10a, 2.2 d/10a, and 3.3 d/10a under the SSP1-2.6, SSP2-4.5, SSP3-7.0 and SSP5-8.5 scenario, respectively. There was a maximum advance of 20 d in spring phenology of pine caterpillars during the 2090s, from mid-March to early March, and even late February. This study highlighted the significant advance in spring phenology at elevations >1000 m and lower latitudes. Consequently, the differences in elevational and latitudinal gradients were relatively small as the increasing temperatures at the end of the 21st century. And the average temperature in February-March was effective in explaining theses variability. These findings are crucial for adapting and mitigating to climate change.},
}
@article {pmid38871275,
year = {2024},
author = {Viji, R and Yi, Y and Xueyuan, W and Seong, S and Varatharajan, A},
title = {Evaluate climate change and anthropogenic activities influencing geochemical variations in sediment between and within the avulsion period in the Lower Yellow River avulsion channels.},
journal = {Environmental research},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {119405},
doi = {10.1016/j.envres.2024.119405},
pmid = {38871275},
issn = {1096-0953},
abstract = {The geochemical data from sediments in avulsion channels provide historical evidence of climate change and human-induced alterations in river basin environments. The present study focused on the particle size of sediments in cores and the level of geochemical variation in avulsion channels of the Lower Yellow River Delta (YRD), China. The sediment samples were collected in a depth range of 20-400 cm in avulsion channels. The collected samples were analyzed for sediment particle size and geochemical composition using standard methods. The results demonstrated rapid increases in agriculture practices, rainfall pattern changes, and terrestrial sediment runoff reduction in river basins after the 1960s. The reduced sediment loads in the Sanmenxia Reservoir significantly changed the sediment grain size and geochemical levels in the avulsion channel from August 1960.8 to January -1961.1. In particular, TC, TN, and C/N levels decreased with increasing sediment depth. The C/N values of <12 denoted completely reduced terrestrial sources of organic matter in the channel during the August 1960- January 1961 period compared to the July 1953- August 1960 period. The two-way ANOVA p-values were (p<0.016-p<0.001) strong between the avulsion periods but had no significant variation within the avulsion periods. We emphasize that this study provides a close interplay of different historical periods of geochemical variation in avulsion channel sediments in the alluvial fan YRD, and we argue that the evolution of the middle upstream river basin was subjective by climate change and human developmental actions, which impacted the YRD. In particular, reservoir-interrupted water flow and sediment reduction impacts associated with geochemical fluctuations are documented in the YRD.},
}
@article {pmid38870383,
year = {2024},
author = {D'Ambrosio, M and Locke, T and Hendricks-Sturrup, R},
title = {Addressing Climate Change-Induced Tick-borne Lyme Disease Patterns Through Data-Driven 'One Health' Policy.},
journal = {Journal of public health management and practice : JPHMP},
volume = {30},
number = {4},
pages = {E157-E160},
pmid = {38870383},
issn = {1550-5022},
mesh = {*Lyme Disease/epidemiology ; Humans ; *Climate Change ; *Health Policy ; One Health ; Animals ; },
}
@article {pmid38869370,
year = {2024},
author = {Dočkalová, K and Stuchlík, E and Hamerlík, L and Bitušík, P and Turek, J and Svitok, M and Novikmec, M and Lackner, R and Dvorak, M and Kopáček, J and Tátosová, J and Camarero, L and Füreder, L and Vondrák, D},
title = {Cold mountain stream chironomids (Diptera) of the genus Diamesa indicate both historical and recent climate change.},
journal = {Environmental entomology},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1093/ee/nvae052},
pmid = {38869370},
issn = {1938-2936},
support = {I 4568-B//Austrian-Czech Lead Agency project-Austrian Science Fund/ ; 23-06075S//Czech Science foundation/ ; 1/0400/21//Scientific Grant Agency of the Ministry of Education of Slovak Republic and the Academy of Sciences/ ; APVV-20-0358//Slovak Research and Development Agency/ ; },
abstract = {Chironomids of the genus Diamesa (Meigen, 1835, Diptera: Chironomidae) inhabit cold, oxygen-rich running waters. We have investigated the presence of Diamesa and other freshwater macroinvertebrates at 22 stream sampling sites in 3 European high mountain regions (the Central Pyrenees, the Ötztal Alps, and the Tatra Mountains) to establish suitable temperature conditions for Diamesa dominance. It has been generally accepted that their high abundance was linked to the presence of glaciers; however, we have shown that in the Tatra Mountains, where there are no glaciers, the conditions for the dominance of Diamesa species are created due to permanent snowfields, the geographical orientation of the valley and shading by the surrounding high peaks. The historical connection of Diamesa to glaciers was investigated from the paleolimnological records of subfossil chironomid assemblages from the Bohemian Forest, where glaciers disappeared before or during the Late Glacial period. As expected, water temperature seems to be the main driver of Diamesa distribution, and we determined that the relative abundance of Diamesa species was significantly higher at the sites with a mean July water temperature below 6.5 °C. The Diamesa-dominated stream communities seems to be endangered due to ongoing climate warming and this assumption is supported by our paleolimnological results from the Bohemian Forest lakes, where Diamesa has disappeared due to warming of lake inflows at the beginning of the Holocene. These findings strengthen the former suggestions that some Diamesa species could be used as an indicator for tracking recent environmental changes in vulnerable ecosystems of cold mountain streams.},
}
@article {pmid38869062,
year = {2024},
author = {Ortula, NWA and Alcober, AMC and Travieza, DEC and Amor, FG and Morallos, APU and Tinaya, DWKD and Marticio, MRP and Pacaol, NF},
title = {Filipinos and Philippine government on public health vis-à-vis climate change: an interactive proposal.},
journal = {Journal of public health (Oxford, England)},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1093/pubmed/fdae095},
pmid = {38869062},
issn = {1741-3850},
}
@article {pmid38867124,
year = {2024},
author = {Hannah, L and Irvine, A and Brito-Morales, I and Fuller, S and Davies, T and Tittensor, D and Reville, G and Shackell, N and Hennicke, J and Stanley, R},
title = {To save the high seas, plan for climate change.},
journal = {Nature},
volume = {630},
number = {8016},
pages = {298-301},
pmid = {38867124},
issn = {1476-4687},
mesh = {Animals ; Animal Migration ; *Conservation of Natural Resources/legislation &amp; jurisprudence/methods/trends ; *Environmental Policy/legislation &amp; jurisprudence/trends ; *Global Warming/prevention &amp; control/legislation &amp; jurisprudence ; *Oceans and Seas ; Seawater/chemistry ; },
}
@article {pmid38866937,
year = {2024},
author = {Ros, A and Brinker, A},
title = {Thermotactic behaviour in lacustrine and riverine forms of Salmo trutta and its relevance to an emerging parasitic disease (PKD) in the wake of climate change.},
journal = {Scientific reports},
volume = {14},
number = {1},
pages = {13539},
pmid = {38866937},
issn = {2045-2322},
mesh = {Animals ; *Trout/parasitology/physiology ; *Climate Change ; *Fish Diseases/parasitology ; Temperature ; Behavior, Animal/physiology ; Rivers ; Myxozoa/physiology/pathogenicity ; Cold Temperature ; Parasitic Diseases, Animal/parasitology/physiopathology ; Taxis Response/physiology ; },
abstract = {The thermotactic response of brown trout (Salmo trutta) was examined with the goal to investigate potential effects of the emerging temperature-dependent fatal trout disease PKD (proliferative kidney disease). First the differences in cold-water preferences of two forms of brown trout, lacustrine (migratory) and riverine, were determined. Second, it was studied whether this preference was changed in fish infected with PKD. The experiment involved a one-week habituation period at 14 °C in a two-chamber runway followed by a week of 3 °C temperature difference between the two runways. The fish could freely move between lanes via an opening at the end where food was provided. The temperature manipulation was repeated twice, and there were 3 trials per experimental group. All fish developed a clear spatial preference in the test. Lacustrine trout demonstrated a preference for warmer water, while riverine trout preferred cooler water. This may increase the risk to PKD in the lacustrine form. Most strikingly, riverine trout experimentally exposed to Tetracapsuloides bryosalmonae, the parasite that causes PKD, demonstrated stronger cold-seeking behaviour than control fish. Cold seeking behaviour suggests the occurrence of a disease-induced behavioural chill response, which may play an important role in disease recovery. This demonstrates the significance of protecting river connectivity and cold-water sanctuaries as management strategies for preserving salmonid populations in a warming climate.},
}
@article {pmid38866736,
year = {2024},
author = {Wang, G and Cai, W and Santoso, A},
title = {Variability of the Indian Ocean Dipole post-2100 reverses to a reduction despite persistent global warming.},
journal = {Nature communications},
volume = {15},
number = {1},
pages = {5023},
pmid = {38866736},
issn = {2041-1723},
abstract = {Previous examination of the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) response to greenhouse warming shows increased variability in the eastern pole but decreased variability in the western pole before 2100. The opposing response is due to a shallowing equatorial thermocline promoting sea surface temperature (SST) variability in the east, but a more stable atmosphere decreasing variability in equatorial zonal winds that weakens SST variability in the west. Post-2100, how the IOD may change remains unknown. Here we show that IOD variability weakens post-2100 in majority of models under a long-term high emission scenario to 2300. Post-2100, the atmosphere stability increases further and persistent ocean warming arrests or even reverses the eastern Indian Ocean shallowing thermocline. These changes conspire to drive decreased variability in both poles, reducing amplitude of moderate, strong and early-maturing positive IOD events. Our result highlights a nonlinear response of the IOD to long-term greenhouse warming under the high emission scenario.},
}
@article {pmid38866162,
year = {2024},
author = {Tu, Y and Yao, Z and Guo, J and Yang, L and Zhu, Y and Yang, X and Shi, Z and Indree, T},
title = {Predicting the potential risk of Caragana shrub encroachment in the Eurasian steppe under anthropogenic climate change.},
journal = {The Science of the total environment},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {173925},
doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.173925},
pmid = {38866162},
issn = {1879-1026},
abstract = {Climate change and human activities drive widespread shrub encroachment in global grassland ecosystems, particularly in the Eurasian steppe. Caragana shrubs, the primary contributors to shrub encroachment in this region, play a crucial role in shaping the ecosystem's structure and function. Future changes in the suitable distribution range of Caragana species will directly affect the ecological security and sustainable socio-economic development of the Eurasian steppe ecosystem. We used an ensemble modeling approach to predict Caragana shrub-dominated plant communities' current and future distribution in three major steppe subregions: the Black Sea-Kazakhstan steppe, the Tibetan Plateau steppe, and the Central Asian steppe. We assessed the potential risk of Caragana shrub encroachment by predicting changes in the suitable distribution area of 19 Caragana shrub species under future climate changes. Our research findings suggest that the expansion of Caragana species in different subregions of the Eurasian steppe is influenced by the effects of climate change in various ways. The distribution of Caragana species is primarily influenced by precipitation and temperature, and the global human modification (ghm) has a significant impact on the Central Asian and Tibetan Plateau subregions. Minimal changes are expected in the Black Sea-Kazakhstan subregion, a slight increase on the Tibetan Plateau, and a substantial rise in the Central Asian subregion, which suggests a higher potential risk of Caragana species shrub encroachment in that area. Our research provides valuable insights into the response of Caragana shrub encroachment to changing climates and human activities. It also has implications for the sustainable management of different areas of the vast Eurasian steppe ecosystem.},
}
@article {pmid38865952,
year = {2024},
author = {Baykara Mat, ST and Yilmaz, BN},
title = {Is awareness of climate change a predictor of eco-anxiety? Research within the scope of nursing students.},
journal = {Nurse education today},
volume = {140},
number = {},
pages = {106274},
doi = {10.1016/j.nedt.2024.106274},
pmid = {38865952},
issn = {1532-2793},
abstract = {BACKGROUND: Understanding nursing students' awareness of climate change and its impact on their anxiety levels is crucial in representing a significant research area for the sustainability of healthcare services and the development of strategies to address climate change.<br><br>OBJECTIVES: This study aims to determine nursing students' awareness of global climate change and eco-anxiety levels. Additionally, it seeks to uncover the relationship between these two factors.<br><br>DESIGN: During the academic year 2022-2023, this research was conducted with nursing students at a university in Istanbul, utilizing a cross-sectional and exploratory correlational design. The study involved 390 nursing students at the same university, aiming to reach the entire population without using any sampling method. Valid data were obtained from 374 students. The Student Information Form, University Students' Climate Change Awareness Scale and the Eco-anxiety Scale used as instruments for data collection. Subsequently, the data underwent analysis in a computational environment utilizing descriptive statistical methods and Pearson correlation analysis.<br><br>RESULTS: Most of the participants were female and single. The mean "total global climate change awareness" of the students was 75.072&#xa0;&#xb1;&#xa0;15.094, and the mean "general eco-anxiety" of the students was 1.158&#xa0;&#xb1;&#xa0;0.629. A weak positive relationship was found between the total global climate change awareness and general environmental concerns of the students participating in the study at r&#xa0;=&#xa0;0.233 (p&#xa0;=&#xa0;0.000&#xa0;<&#xa0;0.05). The level of awareness of climate change explains 5&#xa0;% of nursing students' eco-anxiety levels.<br><br>CONCLUSION: This study emphasizes a significant relationship between climate change awareness and increased ecological anxiety. Filling a gap in the field due to the lack of specific research focusing on nursing students highlights the importance of maintaining awareness to prevent ecological anxiety from reaching undesirable levels. This approach is crucial in actively encouraging nurses to contribute to developing educational curricula and environmentally friendly health policies.},
}
@article {pmid38865135,
year = {2024},
author = {Kazi, DS and Katznelson, E and Liu, CL and Al-Roub, NM and Chaudhary, RS and Young, DE and McNichol, M and Mickley, LJ and Kramer, DB and Cascio, WE and Bernstein, AS and Rice, MB},
title = {Climate Change and Cardiovascular Health: A Systematic Review.},
journal = {JAMA cardiology},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1001/jamacardio.2024.1321},
pmid = {38865135},
issn = {2380-6591},
abstract = {IMPORTANCE: Climate change may increase the risk of adverse cardiovascular outcomes by causing direct physiologic changes, psychological distress, and disruption of health-related infrastructure. Yet, the association between numerous climate change-related environmental stressors and the incidence of adverse cardiovascular events has not been systematically reviewed.<br><br>OBJECTIVE: To review the current evidence on the association between climate change-related environmental stressors and adverse cardiovascular outcomes.<br><br>EVIDENCE REVIEW: PubMed, Embase, Web of Science, and Cochrane Library were searched to identify peer-reviewed publications from January 1, 1970, through November 15, 2023, that evaluated associations between environmental exposures and cardiovascular mortality, acute cardiovascular events, and related health care utilization. Studies that examined only nonwildfire-sourced particulate air pollution were excluded. Two investigators independently screened 20&#x202f;798 articles and selected 2564 for full-text review. Study quality was assessed using the Navigation Guide framework. Findings were qualitatively synthesized as substantial differences in study design precluded quantitative meta-analysis.<br><br>FINDINGS: Of 492 observational studies that met inclusion criteria, 182 examined extreme temperature, 210 ground-level ozone, 45 wildfire smoke, and 63 extreme weather events, such as hurricanes, dust storms, and droughts. These studies presented findings from 30 high-income countries, 17 middle-income countries, and 1 low-income country. The strength of evidence was rated as sufficient for extreme temperature; ground-level ozone; tropical storms, hurricanes, and cyclones; and dust storms. Evidence was limited for wildfire smoke and inadequate for drought and mudslides. Exposure to extreme temperature was associated with increased cardiovascular mortality and morbidity, but the magnitude varied with temperature and duration of exposure. Ground-level ozone amplified the risk associated with higher temperatures and vice versa. Extreme weather events, such as hurricanes, were associated with increased cardiovascular risk that persisted for many months after the initial event. Some studies noted a small increase in cardiovascular mortality, out-of-hospital cardiac arrests, and hospitalizations for ischemic heart disease after exposure to wildfire smoke, while others found no association. Older adults, racial and ethnic minoritized populations, and lower-wealth communities were disproportionately affected.<br><br>CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE: Several environmental stressors that are predicted to increase in frequency and intensity with climate change are associated with increased cardiovascular risk, but data on outcomes in low-income countries are lacking. Urgent action is needed to mitigate climate change-associated cardiovascular risk, particularly in vulnerable populations.},
}
@article {pmid38863437,
year = {2024},
author = {Monteiro Ramos, N and Castro, P},
title = {The climate battles of ideas: Minority discourses in readers' comments to climate change articles in the Portuguese press.},
journal = {Public understanding of science (Bristol, England)},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {9636625241254505},
doi = {10.1177/09636625241254505},
pmid = {38863437},
issn = {1361-6609},
abstract = {Today, the dominant climate change discourses affirm its anthropogenic nature and the urgency for policies. However, minority discourses remain active in the worldwide debate, refining arguments beyond simple denial-as shown regarding formal/official discourses of the United States and European far-right parties. This makes it necessary to examine the public understanding of climate change in everyday, informal minority discourses, looking at how they work for broadening societal space for "quarantining" the transformative potential of climate change meanings/policies. For this, we analyze readers' comments on climate change articles from two Portuguese newspapers, drawing from the frameworks of neutralization techniques and meaning barriers. Findings show that although denial of anthropogenic climate change remains, discursive efforts concentrate on person-stigmatizing depictions of climate change actors, delegitimized as "elites" in populist vocabularies, reflecting a consistent alignment between everyday discourses and those of the United States and European official far-right. We discuss the functions this pattern may have for the growth of climate change minority positions.},
}
@article {pmid38863246,
year = {2024},
author = {Li, X and Black, TA and Zha, T and Jassal, RS and Nesic, Z and Lee, SC and Bourque, CP and Hao, S and Jin, C and Liu, P and Jia, X and Tian, Y},
title = {Long-term trend and interannual variation in evapotranspiration of a young temperate Douglas-fir stand over 2002-2022 reveals the impacts of climate change.},
journal = {Plant, cell &amp; environment},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1111/pce.15000},
pmid = {38863246},
issn = {1365-3040},
support = {//Natural Sciences and Engineering Research Council of Canada/ ; //China Scholarship Council/ ; //Fluxnet Canada/ ; //an NSERC Discovery Grant (TAB) of the Natural Sciences/ ; //National Key Research and Development Program of China/ ; //National Natural Science Foundation of China/ ; },
abstract = {The shortage of decades-long continuous measurements of ecosystem processes limits our understanding of how changing climate impacts forest ecosystems. We used continuous eddy-covariance and hydrometeorological data over 2002-2022 from a young Douglas-fir stand on Vancouver Island, Canada to assess the long-term trend and interannual variability in evapotranspiration (ET) and transpiration (T). Collectively, annual T displayed a decreasing trend over the 21 years with a rate of 1% yr[-1], which is attributed to the stomatal downregulation induced by rising atmospheric CO2 concentration. Similarly, annual ET also showed a decreasing trend since evaporation stayed relatively constant. Variability in detrended annual ET was mostly controlled by the average soil water storage during the growing season (May-October). Though the duration and intensity of the drought did not increase, the drought-induced decreases in T and ET showed an increasing trend. This pattern may reflect the changes in forest structure, related to the decline in the deciduous understory cover during the stand development. These results suggest that the water-saving effect of stomatal regulation and water-related factors mostly determined the trend and variability in ET, respectively. This may also imply an increase in the limitation of water availability on ET in young forests, associated with the structural and compositional changes related to forest growth.},
}
@article {pmid38862905,
year = {2024},
author = {Ccami-Bernal, F and Barriga-Chambi, F and Quispe-Vicuña, C and Fernandez-Guzman, D and Arredondo-Nontol, R and Arredondo-Nontol, M and Rojas-Rueda, D},
title = {Health science students' preparedness for climate change: a scoping review on knowledge, attitudes, and practices.},
journal = {BMC medical education},
volume = {24},
number = {1},
pages = {648},
pmid = {38862905},
issn = {1472-6920},
mesh = {*Climate Change ; Humans ; *Health Knowledge, Attitudes, Practice ; Curriculum ; Students, Health Occupations/psychology ; },
abstract = {INTRODUCTION: Climate change (CC) is a global public health issue, and the role of health professionals in addressing its impact is crucial. However, to what extent health professionals are prepared to deal with CC-related health problems is unclear. We aimed to evaluate the knowledge, attitudes, and practices of health students about the CC.<br><br>METHODS: We conducted a scoping review through systematic searches in PubMed, Scopus, Web of Science, Proquest, and EBSCO. We included original scientific research with no language or time restrictions. Two authors independently reviewed and decided on the eligibility of the studies, then performed data extraction.<br><br>RESULTS: 21 studies were included, with a total of 9205 undergraduate nursing, medical, pharmacy, and public health students mainly. Most health science students (>&#x2009;75%) recognized human activities as the main cause of CC. However, they perceived a lack of knowledge on how to address CC. Moreover, we found inadequate coverage or limited development of CC in related curricula that may contribute to incomplete learning or low confidence in the theoretical and practical concepts of students.<br><br>CONCLUSION: The findings of our scoping review suggest that while health sciences students possess a general understanding of CC, there is a significant gap in their knowledge regarding its specific health impacts. To address this gap, there is a need for targeted education and training for future health care professionals that emphasizes the health effects of CC.},
}
@article {pmid38862358,
year = {2024},
author = {Bogdziewicz, M and Kelly, D and Ascoli, D and Caignard, T and Chianucci, F and Crone, EE and Fleurot, E and Foest, JJ and Gratzer, G and Hagiwara, T and Han, Q and Journé, V and Keurinck, L and Kondrat, K and McClory, R and La Montagne, JM and Mundo, IA and Nussbaumer, A and Oberklammer, I and Ohno, M and Pearse, IS and Pesendorfer, MB and Resente, G and Satake, A and Shibata, M and Snell, RS and Szymkowiak, J and Touzot, L and Zwolak, R and Zywiec, M and Hacket-Pain, AJ},
title = {Evolutionary ecology of masting: mechanisms, models, and climate change.},
journal = {Trends in ecology &amp; evolution},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1016/j.tree.2024.05.006},
pmid = {38862358},
issn = {1872-8383},
abstract = {Many perennial plants show mast seeding, characterized by synchronous and highly variable reproduction across years. We propose a general model of masting, integrating proximate factors (environmental variation, weather cues, and resource budgets) with ultimate drivers (predator satiation and pollination efficiency). This general model shows how the relationships between masting and weather shape the diverse responses of species to climate warming, ranging from no change to lower interannual variation or reproductive failure. The role of environmental prediction as a masting driver is being reassessed; future studies need to estimate prediction accuracy and the benefits acquired. Since reproduction is central to plant adaptation to climate change, understanding how masting adapts to shifting environmental conditions is now a central question.},
}
@article {pmid38861135,
year = {2024},
author = {Weber, RW},
title = {Current and Future Effects of Climate Change on Airborne Allergens.},
journal = {Current allergy and asthma reports},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
pmid = {38861135},
issn = {1534-6315},
abstract = {PURPOSE OF REVIEW: Delineation of the impact of elevated carbon dioxide and concomitant global warming on airborne allergens is performed.<br><br>RECENT FINDINGS: European tree pollen trends in general showed earlier start and end dates and increased total pollen release, with some differences both in locale and among species. Earlier flowering was also seen with grasses and weeds. In the case of some boreal trees, flowering was delayed due to a pre-seasonal requirement for necessary accumulated chilling temperature to achieve bud-set. Anthropogenic climate change induced rise in temperature and CO2 levels has resulted in demonstrable increases in aeroallergens. This has been most dramatic in tree pollen annual load, but also seen with grasses and weeds. Collected data is greatest for the Northern Hemisphere, especially the European continent, with supporting data from North America and Australia.},
}
@article {pmid38859734,
year = {2024},
author = {Du, J and Bird, A and Boniface, G and Boniface, J and Mortenson, WB},
title = {The Perceived Role of Occupational Therapists in Climate Change.},
journal = {Canadian journal of occupational therapy. Revue canadienne d'ergotherapie},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {84174241259304},
doi = {10.1177/00084174241259304},
pmid = {38859734},
issn = {1911-9828},
abstract = {Introduction. In 2022, the World Health Organization (WHO) predicted that climate change would cause thousands of additional deaths per year from malnutrition, malaria, diarrhea, and heat stress alone between the years of 2030 and 2050. With such health consequences and environmental changes, climate change is impacting human occupations globally. However, there is a gap in the literature regarding the occupational therapists' role in climate change, particularly in the Canadian context. Objectives. Our research aimed to explore what is the perceived role of occupational therapists in climate change and climate action from the perspective of Canadian occupational therapists and international experts. Methods. This qualitative study used interpretive description methodology. We recruited 12 occupational therapists, including 4 research experts in the field. We conducted semi-structured interviews with each participant. Data were analyzed thematically. Results. This study uncovered three themes that focused on the complex interconnections between climate challenges and climate actions that occupational therapists are wrestling with personally, clinically, and professionally. Specifically, this study emphasized the importance of supporting individual occupational therapists with their personal challenges, integrating climate actions into clinical practices, and incorporating climate change and climate justice into occupational therapy curricula and professional advocacy. Conclusions. The environment, including the planet's ecosystem, is a fundamental component in many models of occupational therapy practice. This research provides a rich understanding in the themes of occupational therapists' perceptions of climate change and climate actions, particularly within a Canadian context.},
}
@article {pmid38858558,
year = {2024},
author = {Graham, F},
title = {Daily briefing: How to figure out which climate-change policies really work.},
journal = {Nature},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1038/d41586-024-01737-7},
pmid = {38858558},
issn = {1476-4687},
}
@article {pmid38857944,
year = {2024},
author = {Situma, S and Nyakarahuka, L and Omondi, E and Mureithi, M and Mweu, MM and Muturi, M and Mwatondo, A and Dawa, J and Konongoi, L and Khamadi, S and Clancey, E and Lofgren, E and Osoro, E and Ngere, I and Breiman, RF and Bakamutumaho, B and Muruta, A and Gachohi, J and Oyola, SO and Njenga, MK and Singh, D},
title = {Widening geographic range of Rift Valley fever disease clusters associated with climate change in East Africa.},
journal = {BMJ global health},
volume = {9},
number = {6},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1136/bmjgh-2023-014737},
pmid = {38857944},
issn = {2059-7908},
mesh = {*Rift Valley Fever/epidemiology ; *Climate Change ; Humans ; Animals ; Africa, Eastern/epidemiology ; Livestock ; Risk Factors ; Uganda/epidemiology ; Cluster Analysis ; Disease Outbreaks ; Kenya/epidemiology ; },
abstract = {BACKGROUND: Recent epidemiology of Rift Valley fever (RVF) disease in Africa suggests growing frequency and expanding geographic range of small disease clusters in regions that previously had not reported the disease. We investigated factors associated with the phenomenon by characterising recent RVF disease events in East Africa.<br><br>METHODS: Data on 100 disease events (2008-2022) from Kenya, Uganda and Tanzania were obtained from public databases and institutions, and modelled against possible geoecological risk factors of occurrence including altitude, soil type, rainfall/precipitation, temperature, normalised difference vegetation index (NDVI), livestock production system, land-use change and long-term climatic variations. Decadal climatic variations between 1980 and 2022 were evaluated for association with the changing disease pattern.<br><br>RESULTS: Of 100 events, 91% were small RVF clusters with a median of one human (IQR, 1-3) and three livestock cases (IQR, 2-7). These clusters exhibited minimal human mortality (IQR, 0-1), and occurred primarily in highlands (67%), with 35% reported in areas that had never reported RVF disease. Multivariate regression analysis of geoecological variables showed a positive correlation between occurrence and increasing temperature and rainfall. A 1&#xb0;C increase in temperature and a 1-unit increase in NDVI, one months prior were associated with increased RVF incidence rate ratios of 1.20 (95% CI 1.1, 1.2) and 1.93 (95% CI 1.01, 3.71), respectively. Long-term climatic trends showed a significant decadal increase in annual mean temperature (0.12-0.3&#xb0;C/decade, p<0.05), associated with decreasing rainfall in arid and semi-arid lowlands but increasing rainfall trends in highlands (p<0.05). These hotter and wetter highlands showed increasing frequency of RVF clusters, accounting for 76% and 43% in Uganda and Kenya, respectively.<br><br>CONCLUSION: These findings demonstrate the changing epidemiology of RVF disease. The widening geographic range of disease is associated with climatic variations, with the likely impact of wider dispersal of virus to new areas of endemicity and future epidemics.},
}
@article {pmid38857791,
year = {2024},
author = {Wang, Z and Shi, Y and Tang, Q and Cheng, M and Zhang, Y},
title = {Capturing woody aboveground biomass historical change and potential under climate change using Landsat time-series for afforestation in dryland of China.},
journal = {The Science of the total environment},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {173886},
doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.173886},
pmid = {38857791},
issn = {1879-1026},
abstract = {Capturing long-term dynamics and the potential under climate change of woody aboveground biomass (AGB) is imperative for calculating and raising carbon sequestration of afforestation in dryland. It is always been a great challenge to accurately capture AGB dynamics of sparse woody vegetation mixed with grassland using only Landsat time-series, resulting in changing trajectory of woody AGB estimates cannot accurately reflect woody vegetation growth regularity in dryland. In this study, surface reflectance (SR) sensitive to woody AGB was firstly selected and interannual time-series of composited SR was smoothed using S-G filter for each pixel, and then optimal machine learning algorithm was selected to estimate woody AGB time-series. Pixels that have reached AGB potential were detected based on the AGB changing trajectory, and the potential was spatial-temporal extended using random forest model combining environmental variables under current climate condition and CMIP6 climate models. Results show that: 1) minimum value composite based on NIRv during Jul.-Sep. is more capable of explaining woody AGB variation in dryland (R = 0.87, p < 0.01), and Random Forest (RF) model has the best performance in estimating woody AGB (R[2] = 0.75, RMSE = 4.74 t·ha[-1]) among sis commonly used machine learning models. 2) Annual woody AGB estimates can be perfectly fitted with a logistic growth curve (R[2] = 0.97, p < 0.001) indicating explicit growth regularity of woody vegetation, which provides physiological foundation for determining woody AGB potential. 3) Woody AGB potential can be accurately simulated by RF combining environmental variables (R[2] = 0.95, RMSE = 2.89 t·ha[-1]), and current woody AGB still has a potential of small increase, whereas the overall losses of woody AGB potential were observed in 2030, 2040 and 2050 under CMIP6 SSP-RCP scenarios.},
}
@article {pmid38855470,
year = {2024},
author = {Wang, Y and Zhao, Y and Miao, G and Zhou, X and Yu, C and Cao, Y},
title = {Predicting the potential distribution of Dendrolimus punctatus and its host Pinus massoniana in China under climate change conditions.},
journal = {Frontiers in plant science},
volume = {15},
number = {},
pages = {1362020},
pmid = {38855470},
issn = {1664-462X},
abstract = {INTRODUCTION: Dendrolimus punctatus, a major pest endemic to the native Pinus massoniana forests in China, displays major outbreak characteristics and causes severe destructiveness. In the context of global climate change, this study aims to investigate the effects of climatic variations on the distribution of D. punctatus and its host, P. massoniana.<br><br>METHODS: We predict their potential suitable distribution areas in the future, thereby offering a theoretical basis for monitoring and controlling D. punctatus, as well as conserving P. massoniana forest resources. By utilizing existing distribution data on D. punctatus and P. massoniana, coupled with relevant climatic variables, this study employs an optimized maximum entropy (MaxEnt) model for predictions. With feature combinations set as linear and product (LP) and the regularization multiplier at 0.1, the model strikes an optimal balance between complexity and accuracy.<br><br>RESULTS: The results indicate that the primary climatic factors influencing the distribution of D. punctatus and P. massoniana include the minimum temperature of the coldest month, annual temperature range, and annual precipitation. Under the influence of climate change, the distribution areas of P. massoniana and its pests exhibit a high degree of similarity, primarily concentrated in the region south of the Qinling-Huaihe line in China. In various climate scenarios, the suitable habitat areas for these two species may expand to varying degrees, exhibiting a tendency to shift toward higher latitude regions. Particularly under the high emission scenario (SSP5-8.5), D. punctatus is projected to expand northwards at the fastest rate.<br><br>DISCUSSION: By 2050, its migration direction is expected to closely align with that of P. massoniana, indicating that the pine forests will continue to be affected by the pest. These findings provide crucial empirical references for region-specific prevention of D. punctatus infestations and for the rational utilization and management of P. massoniana resources.},
}
@article {pmid38855196,
year = {2024},
author = {Atwa, W and Almazroi, AA and Ayub, N},
title = {Reliable renewable energy forecasting for climate change mitigation.},
journal = {PeerJ. Computer science},
volume = {10},
number = {},
pages = {e2067},
pmid = {38855196},
issn = {2376-5992},
abstract = {Accurate prediction of electricity generation from diverse renewable energy sources (RES) plays a pivotal role in optimizing power schedules within RES, contributing to the collective effort to combat climate change. While prior research often focused on individual energy sources in isolation, neglecting intricate interactions among multiple sources, this limitation frequently leads to inaccurate estimations of total power generation. In this study, we introduce a hybrid architecture designed to address these challenges, incorporating advanced artificial intelligence (AI) techniques. The hybrid model seamlessly integrates a gated recurrent unit (GRU) and a ResNext model, and it is tuned with the modified jaya algorithm (MJA) to capture localized correlations among different energy sources. Leveraging its nonlinear time-series properties, the model integrates meteorological conditions and specific energy source data. Additionally, principal component analysis (PCA) is employed to extract linear time-series data characteristics for each energy source. Application of the proposed AI-infused approach to a renewable energy system demonstrates its effectiveness and feasibility in the context of climate change mitigation. Results reveal the superior accuracy of the hybrid framework compared to more complex models such as decision trees and ResNet. Specifically, our proposed method achieved remarkable performance, boasting the lowest error rates with a normalized RMSE of 6.51 and a normalized MAPE of 4.34 for solar photovoltaic (PV), highlighting its exceptional precision in terms of mean absolute errors. A detailed sensitivity analysis is carried out to evaluate the influence of every element in the hybrid framework, emphasizing the importance of energy correlation patterns. Comparative assessments underscore the increased accuracy and stability of the suggested AI-infused framework when compared to other methods.},
}
@article {pmid38854588,
year = {2023},
author = {de Schrijver, E and Sivaraj, S and Raible, CC and Franco, OH and Chen, K and Vicedo-Cabrera, AM},
title = {Nationwide projections of heat- and cold-related mortality impacts under various climate change and population development scenarios in Switzerland.},
journal = {Environmental research letters : ERL [Web site]},
volume = {18},
number = {9},
pages = {094010},
pmid = {38854588},
issn = {1748-9326},
abstract = {Climate change and progressive population development (i.e., ageing and changes in population size) are altering the temporal patterns of temperature-related mortality in Switzerland. However, limited evidence exists on how current trends in heat- and cold-related mortality would evolve in future decades under composite scenarios of global warming and population development. Moreover, the contribution of these drivers to future mortality impacts is not well-understood. Therefore, we aimed to project heat- and cold-related mortality in Switzerland under various combinations of emission and population development scenarios and to disentangle the contribution of each of these two drivers using high-resolution mortality and temperature data. We combined age-specific (<75 and ⩾75 years) temperature-mortality associations in each district in Switzerland (1990-2010), estimated through a two-stage time series analysis, with 2 km downscaled CMIP5 temperature data and population and mortality rate projections under two scenarios: RCP4.5/SSP2 and RCP8.5/SSP5. We derived heat and cold-related mortality for different warming targets (1.5 °C, 2.0 °C and 3.0 °C) using different emission and population development scenarios and compared this to the baseline period (1990-2010). Heat-related mortality is projected to increase from 312 (116; 510) in the 1990-2010 period to 1274 (537; 2284) annual deaths under 2.0 °C of warming (RCP4.5/SSP2) and to 1871 (791; 3284) under 3.0 °C of warming (RCP8.5/SSP5). Cold-related mortality will substantially increase from 4069 (1898; 6016) to 6558 (3223; 9589) annual deaths under 2.0 °C (RCP4.5/SSP2) and to 5997 (2951; 8759) under 3.0 °C (RCP8.5/SSP5). Moreover, while the increase in cold-related mortality is solely driven by population development, for heat, both components (i.e., changes in climate and population) have a similar contribution of around 50% to the projected heat-related mortality trends. In conclusion, our findings suggest that both heat- and cold-related mortality will substantially increase under all scenarios of climate change and population development in Switzerland. Population development will lead to an increase in cold-related mortality despite the decrease in cold temperature under warmer scenarios. Whereas the combination of the progressive warming of the climate and population development will substantially increase and exacerbate the total temperature-related mortality burden in Switzerland.},
}
@article {pmid38854162,
year = {2024},
author = {Ladányi, M and Divéky-Ertsey, A and Csambalik, L},
title = {Editorial: Adaptation of traditional crop cultivars to climate change in terms of nutritional aspects.},
journal = {Frontiers in nutrition},
volume = {11},
number = {},
pages = {1427068},
doi = {10.3389/fnut.2024.1427068},
pmid = {38854162},
issn = {2296-861X},
}
@article {pmid38852874,
year = {2024},
author = {Golchin, A and Misaghi, M},
title = {Investigating the effects of climate change and anthropogenic activities on SOC storage and cumulative CO2 emissions in forest soils across altitudinal gradients using the century model.},
journal = {The Science of the total environment},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {173758},
doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.173758},
pmid = {38852874},
issn = {1879-1026},
abstract = {This study investigated the impact of climate change, grazing, manure application, and liming on soil organic carbon (SOC) stock and cumulative carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions in forest soils across different altitudes. Despite similar soil texture, acidity, and salinity across elevations, SOC stock significantly increased with altitude due to cooler temperatures and higher precipitation. The highest SOC stock (97.46 t ha[-1]) was observed at 2000-2500 m, compared to the lowest (44.23 t ha[-1]) at 500-1000 m. The Century C Model accurately predicted SOC stock, with correlation and determination coefficients exceeding 0.98. A climate change scenario projecting decreased precipitation (2.15 mm per decade) and increased temperature (0.4 °C) revealed potential SOC stock losses ranging from 28.36 to 36.35 %, particularly at higher altitudes. Grazing further decreased SOC stock, with a more pronounced effect at higher elevations. However, manure application (40 t ha[-1] every four years) and liming (7-10 t ha[-1] every three years) had positive effects on SOC stock, again amplified at higher altitudes and with an increase in lime application rate. In scenarios combining climate change with manure application and climate change with liming, manure application and liming mitigated some negative impacts of climate change, but could not fully offset them, resulting in 1.49-5.42 % and 0.39-4.07 % decreases respectively. Simulations of cumulative CO2 emissions mirrored the distribution of SOC stock, with higher emissions observed at higher altitudes and with management practices that increased SOC stock. This study emphasizes the critical role of conserving high-altitude forest soils and implementing optimal forest management strategies to combat climate change by minimizing SOC losses.},
}
@article {pmid38852417,
year = {2024},
author = {Bojer, AK and Woldetsadik, M and Biru, BH},
title = {Machine learning and CORDEX-Africa regional model for assessing the impact of climate change on the Gilgel Gibe Watershed, Ethiopia.},
journal = {Journal of environmental management},
volume = {363},
number = {},
pages = {121394},
doi = {10.1016/j.jenvman.2024.121394},
pmid = {38852417},
issn = {1095-8630},
abstract = {Climate change is one of the most pressing challenges of our time, profoundly impacting global water resources and sustainability. This study aimed to predict the long-term effects of climate change on the Gilgel Gibe watershed by integrating machine learning (ML) methods and climate model scenarios. Utilizing an ensemble mean of four regional climate models (RCMs) from the Coordinated Regional Climate Downscaling Experiment (CORDEX) Africa project, we forecast future climatic conditions. Although global and regional climate simulations offer valuable insights, their limitations necessitate alternative approaches, such as ML, for improved accuracy. Employing an ensemble ML model with Random Forest (RF), Extra Tree (ET), and CatBoost (CB) algorithms, we assessed various bias-correction methods using historical data from 1993 to 2009. Our results highlight the effectiveness of distribution mapping (DM) in capturing temperature variability and precipitation patterns, using the power transpiration (PT) method to represent precipitation variability. Projections indicate a decline in future precipitation under the RCP 8.5 (-32.2%) and SSP 4.5 (-88.8%) for 2024-2049, with further decreases expected for 2050-2099. Conversely, temperatures will rise under RCP 4.5 (TMAX 0.67 °C) and RCP 8.5 (TMAX 0.25 °C and TMIN 1.11 °C) in the near term, exacerbated by higher emissions under SSP 4.5 and 8.5. By leveraging an ensemble mean of four observed RCMs in an ML framework, our study successfully reproduced future Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP5) and (CMIP6) climatic datasets, with the CB model demonstrating superior performance in predicting future precipitation and temperature trends. These findings offer valuable insights for shaping future climate scenarios and informing policy decisions for the Gilgel Gibe Watershed, thereby enhancing water resource management in the basin and its environs.},
}
@article {pmid38852411,
year = {2024},
author = {Xu, B and Wu, X},
title = {A comprehensive analysis to optimizing national-scale protected area systems under climate change.},
journal = {Journal of environmental management},
volume = {363},
number = {},
pages = {121408},
doi = {10.1016/j.jenvman.2024.121408},
pmid = {38852411},
issn = {1095-8630},
abstract = {With the intensification of climate change, incorporating climate information into protected areas planning has become crucial in reducing biodiversity loss. However, the current natural reserve system in China does not take climate information into account. Therefore, we assessed the effectiveness of existing protected areas through climate refuge and connectivity rankings, and Zonation software was used to identify the ecological priority zone in China by combining climate indicators and human footprint. The results show that the current natural protected areas in China have certain limitations in dealing with climate change, and some protected areas may struggle to maintain their value in biodiversity conservation under climate change. Moreover, China still has lots of important areas that can maintain biodiversity under climate change, but most of them are not covered by protected areas. The results provide support for the planning of China's nature protected area system in response to climate change.},
}
@article {pmid38852394,
year = {2024},
author = {Krohn, LM and Klimpel, F and Béziat, P and Bau, M},
title = {Impacts of COVID-19 and climate change on wastewater-derived substances in urban drinking water: Evidence from gadolinium-based contrast agents in tap water from Berlin, Germany.},
journal = {Water research},
volume = {259},
number = {},
pages = {121847},
doi = {10.1016/j.watres.2024.121847},
pmid = {38852394},
issn = {1879-2448},
abstract = {Anthropogenic gadolinium from MRI contrast agents has been detected in surface waters worldwide. It is released with the treated effluents of wastewater treatment plants, similar to other wastewater-derived substances (WWDS) such as pharmaceuticals and personal care products. We determined concentrations of the rare earth elements in tap water from Berlin, Germany, using an automated preconcentration procedure that is both time- and cost-efficient. Anthropogenic gadolinium concentrations in Berlin's tap water increased on average 30-fold between 2009 and 2021. However, the tap water composition responded quickly to the reduced number of MRI scans during the COVID-19 pandemic, and some districts show a decrease from 2016 to 2021. Since climate change causes groundwater levels to decline in many regions, this needs to be mitigated by artificial groundwater recharge with surface water. This will inevitably lead to an increase in WWDS in potable water, which can be cost-efficiently monitored using anthropogenic gadolinium as tracer.},
}
@article {pmid38851369,
year = {2024},
author = {Abdullah, MA and Chuah, LF and Abdullah, SB and Bokhari, A and Syed, A and Elgorban, AM and Akhtar, MS and Al-Shwaiman, HA and Asif, S},
title = {From Port to Planet: Assessing NO2 Pollution and Climate Change Effects in Maritime Zones.},
journal = {Environmental research},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {119328},
doi = {10.1016/j.envres.2024.119328},
pmid = {38851369},
issn = {1096-0953},
abstract = {The growing effects of climate change on Malaysia's coastal ecology heighten worries about air pollution, specifically caused by urbanization and industrial activity in the maritime sector. Trucks and vessels are particularly noteworthy for their substantial contribution to gas emissions, including nitrogen dioxide (NO2), which is the primary gas released in port areas. The application of advanced analysis techniques was spurred by the air pollution resulting from the combustion of fossil fuels such as fuel oil, natural gas, and gasoline in vessels. The study utilized satellite photos captured by the TROPOspheric Monitoring Instrument (TROPOMI) on the Sentinel-5P satellite to evaluate the levels of NO2 gas pollution in Malaysia's port areas and exclusive economic zone. Before the COVID-19 pandemic, unrestricted gas emissions led to persistently high levels of NO2 in the analyzed areas. Nevertheless, the temporary cessation of marine industry operations caused by the pandemic, along with the halting of vessels to prevent the spread of COVID-19, resulted in a noticeable decrease in NO2 gas pollution. In light of these favourable advancements, it is imperative to emphasize the need for continuous investigation and collaborative endeavours to further alleviate air contamination in Malaysian port regions, while simultaneously acknowledging the wider consequences of climate change on the coastal ecology. The study underscores the interdependence of air pollution, maritime activities, and climate change. It emphasizes the need for comprehensive strategies that tackle both immediate environmental issues and the long-term sustainability and resilience of coastal ecosystems in the context of global climate challenges.},
}
@article {pmid38851330,
year = {2024},
author = {Luo, W and Sun, C and Yang, S and Chen, W and Sun, Y and Li, Z and Liu, J and Tao, W and Tao, J},
title = {Contrasting range changes and drivers of four forest foundation species under future climate change in China.},
journal = {The Science of the total environment},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {173784},
doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.173784},
pmid = {38851330},
issn = {1879-1026},
abstract = {Forest foundation species, vital for shaping community structure and dynamics through non-trophic level interactions, are key to forest succession and sustainability. Despite their ecological importance, the habitat ranges of these species in China and their responses to future climate change remain unclear. Our study employed the optimal MaxEnt model to assess the range shifts and their essential drivers of four typical forest foundation species from three climatic zones in China under climate scenarios, including Acer tegmentosum, Acer pseudo-sieboldianum (temperate zone), Quercus glandulifera (subtropical zone), and Ficus hispida (tropical zone). The optimal MaxEnt model exhibited high evaluation indices (AUC values > 0.90) for the four foundation species, indicating excellent predictive performance. Currently, we observed that A. tegmentosum and A. pseudo-sieboldianum are predominantly inhabited temperate forest areas in northeastern China, Q. glandulifera is primarily concentrated in subtropical forests in southeastern China, and F. hispida is mainly distributed across the tropical forests in southern China. Climate factors, particularly temperature, emerged as the primary environmental factors influencing the potential range of forest foundation species. Moreover, precipitation strongly influenced the potential range of A. tegmentosum and A. pseudo-sieboldianum, while elevation exhibited a greater impact on the range of Q. glandulifera and F. hispida. Under future climate scenarios, suitable areas for A. tegmentosum and A. pseudo-sieboldianum tend to expand southward, F. hispida tends to expand northward, while Q. glandulifera exhibited a tendency to contract towards the center. This study advances our understanding of the spatial and temporal dynamics of forest foundation species in China under climate change, providing critical insights for conservation efforts and sustainable forest management practices.},
}
@article {pmid38851080,
year = {2024},
author = {Gong, J and Wang, K and Zeng, J and Jiang, Z},
title = {Climate change dominates the interannual variation of carbon export efficiency in each season in the Northern Gulf of Mexico during 1998-2011.},
journal = {Marine environmental research},
volume = {199},
number = {},
pages = {106564},
doi = {10.1016/j.marenvres.2024.106564},
pmid = {38851080},
issn = {1879-0291},
abstract = {Carbon export efficiency is a key indicator of the capacity of biological pump, but the controlling mechanism of the efficiency remains unclear. Our findings revealed that interannual variations in seasonal carbon export efficiency are determined by direct factors including riverine nutrient fluxes, stratification, residence time. These direct factors are finally attributed to two indirect factors (human activities and climate change). We quantified the absolute contributions of direct and indirect factors to carbon export efficiency. The results showed that the carbon export efficiency in the northern Gulf of Mexico in spring (summer; autumn; winter) was driven by human activities, which accounted for an absolute contribution of 16.02% (7.20%; 4.00%; 8.49%, respectively) through riverine nutrient fluxes, and by climate change, which accounted for an absolute contribution of 33.51% (21.43%; 25.73%; 15.80%, respectively) through stratification and water residence time. Moreover, carbon export efficiency could be predicted by MEI of 8 months earlier.},
}
@article {pmid38850926,
year = {2024},
author = {Tran, TN and Tapas, MR and Do, SK and Etheridge, R and Lakshmi, V},
title = {Investigating the impacts of climate change on hydroclimatic extremes in the Tar-Pamlico River basin, North Carolina.},
journal = {Journal of environmental management},
volume = {363},
number = {},
pages = {121375},
doi = {10.1016/j.jenvman.2024.121375},
pmid = {38850926},
issn = {1095-8630},
abstract = {Evaluating the forthcoming impacts of climate change is important for formulating efficient and flexible approaches to water resource management. General Circulation Models (GCMs) are primary tools that enable scientists to study both past and potential future climate changes, as well as their impacts on policies and actions. In this work, we quantify the future projected impacts of hydroclimatic extremes on the coastal, risk-prone Tar-Pamlico River basin in North Carolina using GCMs from the Sixth International Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP6). These models incorporate projected future societal development scenarios (Shared Socioeconomic Pathways, SSPs) as defined in the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) Sixth Assessment Report (AR6). Specifically, we have utilized historical residential expansion data, the Soil and Water Assessment Tool Plus (SWAT+), the Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI), and the Interquartile Range (IQR) method for analyzing extremes from 2024 to 2100. Our findings include: (1) a trend toward wetter conditions is identified with an increase in flood events toward 2100; (2) projected increases in the severity of flood peaks are found, quantified by a rise of 21% compared to the 2000-2020 period; (3) downstream regions are forecast to experience severe droughts up to 2044; and (4) low-lying and coastal regions are found as particularly susceptible to higher flood peaks and more frequent drought events between 2045 and 2100. This work provides valuable insights into the anticipated shifts in natural disaster patterns and supports decision-makers and authorities in promoting adaptive strategies and sustainable policies to address challenges posed by future climate changes in the Tar-Pamlico region and throughout the state of North Carolina, United States.},
}
@article {pmid38850907,
year = {2024},
author = {Krawczyk, R and Osyczka, P and Siebielec, G and Nobis, M},
title = {Fires in the face of climate change: Indicators of fire disturbance in heath areas - Inference from military training lands.},
journal = {Journal of environmental management},
volume = {363},
number = {},
pages = {121373},
doi = {10.1016/j.jenvman.2024.121373},
pmid = {38850907},
issn = {1095-8630},
abstract = {Global warming significantly affects the frequency and intensity of wildfires in many fire-prone areas of the world and fire disturbance regimes are changing rapidly. Alongside this, controlled burning is often considered or implemented as an alternative method for nature protection. Here, we studied the post-fire secondary succession in dry heath habitat located in military training grounds to recognise the impact of fire on the effectiveness and rate of ecosystem recovery. We focus particularly on identifying indicator species for a given successional phase of Central European dry heath habitats and assessing their value for dating the last fire disturbance. The research involved 60 vegetation patches (plots of 25 m[2]), which were assigned to four post-fire age classes, namely: 1-5 years (Class A), 6-10 years (Class B), 11-15 years (Class C), and >15 years (Class D). In each study plot, species diversity and coverage of lichens, bryophytes and vascular plants were examined in addition to the physicochemical properties of the soil substrate. Cryptogams and vascular plants clearly differ in terms of the secondary succession pattern; specific sets of cryptogams correspond well to particular post-fire classes and are therefore good determinants of the post-fire succession stage. Spontaneous succession of plant vegetation eventually leads to complete recovery of the heath in a relatively short time. Nevertheless, great vegetation dynamics in the first years after a fire disturbance may result in seemingly different directions of succession. Post-fire classes did not differ noticeably in terms of soil properties, it follows that the effects of fire on soil conditions are negligible; though, a significant upward trend was observed for exchangeable form of K throughout the succession process. Our results indicate that sporadic fires reduce the undesirable overgrowth of heathlands or psamophilous grasslands and generally have a little negative side-effect on the ecosystem. The revealed succession patterns and defined sets of species characteristic for subsequent post-fire age classes are applicable to dating fire disturbances, regardless of whether the fire was planned or spontaneous.},
}
@article {pmid38850278,
year = {2024},
author = {Félix-Burruel, RE and Larios, E and González, EJ and Búrquez, A},
title = {Population decline of the saguaro cactus throughout its distribution is associated with climate change.},
journal = {Annals of botany},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1093/aob/mcae094},
pmid = {38850278},
issn = {1095-8290},
abstract = {BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Climate change is a global phenomenon species are experiencing, which in arid regions will translate into more frequent and intense drought. The Sonoran Desert is becoming hotter and drier, and many organisms are rapidly changing in abundance and distribution. These population attributes directly depend on the dynamics of the population, which in turn depends on the vital rates of its individuals; yet few studies have documented the effects of climate change on the population dynamics of keystone species such as the saguaro cactus (Carnegiea gigantea). Although saguaros have traits that enable them to withstand present environmental conditions, climate change could make them vulnerable if forced beyond their tolerance limits.<br><br>METHODS: We evaluated the effect of climate change on 13 saguaro populations spanning most of the species' distribution range. Using field data from 2014 to 2016, we built an integral projection model (IPM) describing the environmentally-explicit dynamics of the populations. We used this IPM, along with projections of two climate change and one no-change scenarios, to predict population sizes (N) and growth rates (&#x3bb;) from 2017 to 2099 and compared these scenarios to demonstrate the effect of climate change on saguaro's future.<br><br>KEY RESULTS: We found that all populations will decline, mainly due to future increases in drought, mostly hindering recruitment. However, the decline will be differential across populations, since those located near the coast will be affected by harsher drought events than those located further inland.<br><br>CONCLUSIONS: Our study demonstrates that climate change and its associated increase in drought pose a significant threat to the saguaro cactus populations in the Sonoran Desert. Our findings indicate that the recruitment of saguaros, vital for establishing new individuals, is particularly vulnerable to intensifying drought conditions. Importantly, regional climate trends will have different impacts on saguaro populations across their distribution range.},
}
@article {pmid38850046,
year = {2024},
author = {Badger, MS},
title = {The Intersection of Geriatrics, Climate Change, and Wilderness Medicine: Education is Critical.},
journal = {Wilderness &amp; environmental medicine},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {10806032241245399},
doi = {10.1177/10806032241245399},
pmid = {38850046},
issn = {1545-1534},
abstract = {According to the US Census, for the first time in history, older adults are projected to exceed the number of children by 2035. These seniors are headed to the outdoors in increasing numbers and face unique risks. They benefit from careful pre-event evaluation planning to maintain their health in wilderness environments. Climate change is affecting all of us, but seniors are considered an especially vulnerable group. This vulnerability needs to be addressed not only when older adults head into the wilderness but also when the wilderness "comes to them" in areas where wilderness medicine and disaster medicine overlap. Education of both providers and patients is vital. This article aims to discuss the special needs of older adults/seniors /elders (defined as those over 65 unless otherwise indicated) in the wilderness as well as the vulnerability of older adults to climate change, both during planned wilderness activities and when the wilderness "comes to them" because of climate change, and to identify opportunities for education and adaptation of patients and education of physicians and wilderness and disaster responders to care for these older patients. The PubMed and Google Scholar Database search engines were utilized to review relevant English language publications between 2000 and 2023 that addressed individuals over 65 and explored the overlap of geriatrics (aged over 65), wilderness and disaster medicine, and climate change and create a perspective summary. Because of increased numbers of older adults heading into the wilderness for outdoor activities or having wilderness thrust upon them due to climate change, cross training of all specialties including the fields of emergency, geriatrics, wilderness medicine, and disaster medicine is needed in collaboration with other organizations and search and rescue. Response agencies must recognize that training in wilderness medicine provides a background for practitioners working in dangerous and remote settings and ought to seek out individuals with such skills when placing responders in the field. Climate change is making these intersections and the need for this education more urgent with time.},
}
@article {pmid38849182,
year = {2024},
author = {Dinh, NTT and Tran, J and Hensher, M},
title = {Measuring and valuing the health co-benefits of climate change mitigation: a scoping review.},
journal = {The Lancet. Planetary health},
volume = {8},
number = {6},
pages = {e402-e409},
doi = {10.1016/S2542-5196(24)00095-0},
pmid = {38849182},
issn = {2542-5196},
mesh = {*Climate Change ; Humans ; Air Pollution/prevention &amp; control ; Public Health ; },
abstract = {Despite growing interest in the health co-benefits of climate change mitigation actions, there is little recent evidence on the appropriateness of the measurement techniques being used to estimate them. We did a scoping review to identify the different approaches that have been used to measure and value health co-benefits in the climate change mitigation literature. We searched three databases (EBSCOhost, Web of Science, and MEDLINE Ovid) to identify relevant papers published between 2010 and 2023, and identified 267 studies that met our inclusion criteria to be included in the review. We found that health co-benefit studies are more typically published in the environmental science literature than in health journals. Despite calls going back many years for greater standardisation in methods, we found a highly diverse set of health measures and valuation approaches still in use. The majority of studies (232 [87%]) measured only near-term health co-benefits from reduced air pollution, and only 13 (5%) studies incorporated the longer term health benefits from mitigating the future health harms of climate change. Just over half the studies included monetary valuation of health co-benefits, using a variety of valuation approaches. Public and planetary health researchers, epidemiologists, and health economists should seek to engage more actively with those undertaking research in health co-benefits. This would allow consideration of how best to reconcile differing perspectives and techniques, how to achieve better standardisation of measurement and valuation, and how to extend the generally narrow focus of current health co-benefit studies to become more holistic and comprehensive.},
}
@article {pmid38849180,
year = {2024},
author = {Garfin, DR and Wong-Parodi, G},
title = {Climate change anxiety, hurricane exposure, and climate change actions and attitudes: results from a representative, probability-based survey of US Gulf Coast residents.},
journal = {The Lancet. Planetary health},
volume = {8},
number = {6},
pages = {e378-e390},
doi = {10.1016/S2542-5196(24)00100-1},
pmid = {38849180},
issn = {2542-5196},
mesh = {*Cyclonic Storms ; *Climate Change ; Humans ; *Anxiety/epidemiology ; Male ; Female ; Adult ; Middle Aged ; Texas ; Florida ; Longitudinal Studies ; Aged ; Attitude ; Surveys and Questionnaires ; Prospective Studies ; Young Adult ; Stress Disorders, Post-Traumatic/epidemiology/psychology ; },
abstract = {BACKGROUND: Exposure to climate change-related threats (eg, hurricanes) has been associated with mental health symptoms, including post-traumatic stress symptoms. Yet it is unclear whether climate change anxiety, which is understudied in representative samples, is a specific mental health threat, action motivator, or both, particularly in populations exposed to climate-change related disasters. We sought to examine the associations between exposure to hurricanes, climate change anxiety, and climate change actions and attitudes in a representative sample of US Gulf Coast residents.<br><br>METHODS: This study used data from a 5-year, representative, prospectively assessed, probability-based, longitudinal cohort sample of residents in Texas and Florida (USA) exposed to exogenous catastrophic hurricanes rated category 3 or greater. Participants were adults aged 18 years and older and were initially recruited from the Ipsos KnowledgePanel in the 60 h before Hurricane Irma (Sept 8-11, 2017). Relationships between climate change anxiety, hurricane exposure, hurricane-related post-traumatic stress symptoms, general functional impairment, and climate change-related individual-level actions (eg, eating a plant-based diet and driving more fuel efficient cars) and collective-level actions (eg, petition signing and donating money) and climate change action attitudes were evaluated using structural equation modelling.<br><br>FINDINGS: The final survey was completed by 1479 individuals (787 [53&#xb7;2%] women and 692 [46&#xb7;8%] men). Two climate change anxiety subscales (cognitive-emotional impairment and perceived experience of climate change) were confirmed using confirmatory factor analysis. Mean values were low for both climate change anxiety subscales: cognitive-emotional impairment (mean 1&#xb7;31 [SD 0&#xb7;63], range 1-5) and perceived climate change experience (mean 1&#xb7;67 [SD 0&#xb7;89], range 1-5); these subscales differentially predicted outcomes. The cognitive-emotional impairment subscale did not significantly correlate with actions or attitudes; its relationship with general functional impairment was attenuated by co-occurring hurricane-related post-traumatic stress symptoms, which were highly correlated with general functional impairment in all three models (all p<0&#xb7;0001). The perceived climate change experience subscale correlated with climate change attitudes (b=0&#xb7;57, 95% CI 0&#xb7;47-0&#xb7;66; p<0&#xb7;0001), individual-level actions (b=0&#xb7;34, 0&#xb7;21-0&#xb7;47; p<0&#xb7;0001), and collective-level actions (b=0&#xb7;22, 0&#xb7;10-0&#xb7;33; p=0&#xb7;0002), but was not significantly associated with general functional impairment in any of the final models. Hurricane exposure correlated with climate change-related individual-level (b=0&#xb7;26, 0&#xb7;10-0&#xb7;42; p=0&#xb7;0011) and collective-level (b=0&#xb7;41, 0&#xb7;26-0&#xb7;56; p<0&#xb7;0001) actions.<br><br>INTERPRETATION: Expanded treatment for post-traumatic stress symptoms after disasters could help address climate change-related psychological distress; experiences with climate change and natural hazards could be inflection points to motivate action.<br><br>FUNDING: National Science Foundation and the National Center for Atmospheric Research.},
}
@article {pmid38849179,
year = {2024},
author = {Lau, SSS and Fong, JWL and van Rijsbergen, N and McGuire, L and Ho, CCY and Cheng, MCH and Tse, D},
title = {Emotional responses and psychological health among young people amid climate change, Fukushima's radioactive water release, and wars in Ukraine and the Middle East, and the mediating roles of media exposure and nature connectedness: a cross-national analysis.},
journal = {The Lancet. Planetary health},
volume = {8},
number = {6},
pages = {e365-e377},
doi = {10.1016/S2542-5196(24)00097-4},
pmid = {38849179},
issn = {2542-5196},
mesh = {Humans ; *Climate Change ; Ukraine ; Adolescent ; Female ; Young Adult ; Male ; Adult ; *Fukushima Nuclear Accident ; *Mental Health ; Middle East ; *Emotions ; Surveys and Questionnaires ; Media Exposure ; },
abstract = {BACKGROUND: New global crises are emerging, while existing global crises remain unabated. Coping with climate change, the radioactive water released into the Pacific Ocean subsequent to the Fukushima nuclear accident in Japan, and the wars in Ukraine and the Middle East (hereafter referred to as the wars) as individual crises can negatively affect the psychological health of young people, but little is known about the compounded impact of multiple crises. We aimed to examine: (1) the emotional responses of young people towards each individual crisis, (2) how aggregate levels of emotional engagement in global crises might pose different potential trajectories in psychological health, and (3) the protective or exacerbating role of media exposure and nature connectedness as mediators on psychological health outcomes of young people.<br><br>METHODS: We conducted a cross-national online survey among young people (aged 18-29 years) from China, Portugal, South Africa, the USA, and the UK. We adopted stratified purposive sampling and distributed the survey using online platforms (www.wenjuan.com and www.prolific.com). Individuals were eligible for inclusion in our analysis if they were literate in Chinese or English and had no mental disorders diagnosed within the past 12 months. Participants were asked questions on their demographic characteristics and time spent on social media, including proportion of time exposed to media pertaining to global crises of interest, and they completed surveys based on validated scales that measure depression, anxiety, stress, and wellbeing, as well as emotional responses to each global crisis and nature relatedness. We assessed the survey results using descriptive statistics, ANOVA tests, cluster analysis for individual emotional responses, and structural equation modelling for the aggregate measure of emotional engagement towards individual global crises.<br><br>FINDINGS: Between Oct 20 and Nov 3, 2023, 2579 individuals participated in the survey, of whom 400 participants from each country (200 male and 200 female participants) were included in our analysis (mean age 24&#xb7;36 years [SD 2&#xb7;86]). The mean emotional engagement varied between the global crises of interest (on a scale from 0 to 68, where 0 indicates no emotional response and 68 indicates strong emotional responses across 17 different emotions; wars: 32&#xb7;42 [SD 14&#xb7;57]; climate change: 28&#xb7;79 [14&#xb7;17]; radioactive water: 21&#xb7;26 [16&#xb7;08]), and emotional engagement also varied by country; for instance, for respondents from China, mean emotional engagement in radioactive water was relatively high (39&#xb7;15 [10&#xb7;72]) compared with the other countries, and for respondents from the USA, engagement with the wars was relatively low (29&#xb7;45 [15&#xb7;78]). We found significant variations in the level of emotional engagement between different crises, with distinct emotional profiles observed among individual countries. To assess the role of media exposure and nature connectedness on psychological outcomes, using structural equation modelling, we constructed a multi-country model comprising Portugal, South Africa, the USA, and the UK, and a standalone model for China. These models elucidated associations between emotional engagement and psychological distress and wellbeing, explaining substantial portions of the variance in both. Notably, while greater emotional engagement in the ecological crises (ie, climate change and radioactive water) generally predicted worse psychological health outcomes, we found the direction of effect for war crises to have positive outcomes for mental health in the standalone China model. Additionally, we found that media exposure mediated the negative effect of wars on psychological distress in the multi-country model, and positive psychological wellbeing in the standalone China model. Moreover, nature connectedness emerged as a potent mediator, effectively mitigating the adverse mental health effects of emotional engagement with some crises, such as radioactive water and climate change.<br><br>INTERPRETATION: Our findings offer valuable insights into the nuanced dynamics of emotional engagement in global crises and its implications for mental health outcomes among young people across diverse global contexts. Further research is needed to understand the contribution of ongoing and new global crises towards a compounded negative future outlook on young people's mental health to identify effective communication and intervention strategies that can mitigate the effect of this global challenge.<br><br>FUNDING: Research Grants Council of Hong Kong, China.},
}
@article {pmid38849178,
year = {2024},
author = {Guihenneuc, J and Cambien, G and Blanc-Petitjean, P and Papin, E and Bernard, N and Jourdain, B and Barcos, I and Saez, C and Dupuis, A and Ayraud-Thevenot, S and Migeot, V},
title = {Knowledge, behaviours, practices, and expectations regarding climate change and environmental sustainability among health workers in France: a multicentre, cross-sectional study.},
journal = {The Lancet. Planetary health},
volume = {8},
number = {6},
pages = {e353-e364},
doi = {10.1016/S2542-5196(24)00099-8},
pmid = {38849178},
issn = {2542-5196},
mesh = {*Climate Change ; Cross-Sectional Studies ; Female ; Humans ; Male ; France ; Adult ; *Health Knowledge, Attitudes, Practice ; *Health Personnel/psychology/statistics &amp; numerical data ; Middle Aged ; Surveys and Questionnaires ; Conservation of Natural Resources ; },
abstract = {BACKGROUND: Faced with climate change, hospitals are confronted with a dual challenge. On one hand, they need to embark on a far-reaching ecological transformation to reduce their contribution to greenhouse gas emissions and other environmental impacts; on the other hand, they need to limit the effects of climate change on their activities. We aimed to evaluate the knowledge, behaviours, practices, and expectations of health workers in French hospitals regarding climate change and environmental sustainability.<br><br>METHODS: This multicentre, cross-sectional study was carried out in six French hospitals from June 1, 2021 to Dec 31, 2022. All health workers at the hospitals were eligible to participate and were recruited through internal publicity. We designed a structured questionnaire consisting of five parts: participant characteristics, knowledge and perceptions of climate change, pro-environmental behaviours, practices concerning environmental sustainability actions, and expectations. A multilevel logistic regression model was used to evaluate associations between the knowledge, behaviours, and practices of health workers and the characteristics of the health workers and hospitals.<br><br>FINDINGS: Of 57&#x2008;034 health workers across the six hospitals, 4552 (8&#xb7;0%) participated in the study. Of those for whom gender data were available, 3518 (78&#xb7;2%) participants were women and 979 (21&#xb7;8%) were men. Participants considered energy consumption (71&#xb7;0%) and waste and discharges related to medical activities (55&#xb7;6%) and non-medical activities (50&#xb7;2%) to be the three activities with the greatest environmental impact. On a scale of 1 (not a priority) to 10 (high priority), the median rating attributed by the participants to the commitment of their hospitals to ecological transformation was 5&#xb7;0 (IQR 3&#xb7;0-6&#xb7;0). 1079 (23&#xb7;7%) of 4552 participants had already initiated at least one environmental sustainability action in their hospital. Barriers reported by participants to the implementation of environmental sustainability-related projects were the lack of dedicated time (40&#xb7;4%), hierarchical support (32&#xb7;5%), methodological support (28&#xb7;9%), and access to training (23&#xb7;7%). The presence of a sustainable development steering committee, especially one with more than 5 years of activity, was positively associated with health workers feeling better informed about the ecological transformation of their hospital (adjusted odds ratio 1&#xb7;78 [95% CI 1&#xb7;29-2&#xb7;45]), having better knowledge of the environmental impacts of their hospital (1&#xb7;83 [1&#xb7;32-2&#xb7;53]), and initiating a larger number of environmental sustainability actions (1&#xb7;74 [1&#xb7;33-2&#xb7;29]).<br><br>INTERPRETATION: We showed that health workers in French hospitals seem to be committed to the ecological transformation of their workplaces, and identified some drivers and barriers to further support these essential transformations. There is an urgent need to bolster training for all health workers, enhance structural frameworks within hospitals, and encourage future interdisciplinary research on the vulnerability of health-care facilities to climate change.<br><br>FUNDING: The University Hospital of Poitiers.},
}
@article {pmid38849174,
year = {2024},
author = {Sorcher, R and Ochieng Arunda, M and , },
title = {Key considerations for research into how climate change affects sexual and reproductive health and rights.},
journal = {The Lancet. Planetary health},
volume = {8},
number = {6},
pages = {e347-e348},
doi = {10.1016/S2542-5196(24)00093-7},
pmid = {38849174},
issn = {2542-5196},
mesh = {*Climate Change ; *Reproductive Health ; Humans ; *Sexual Health ; Research ; Human Rights ; Reproductive Rights ; },
}
@article {pmid38849173,
year = {2024},
author = {Peden, AE and Chisholm, S and Meddings, DR and Abrahams, J},
title = {Drowning and disasters: climate change priorities.},
journal = {The Lancet. Planetary health},
volume = {8},
number = {6},
pages = {e345-e346},
doi = {10.1016/S2542-5196(24)00090-1},
pmid = {38849173},
issn = {2542-5196},
mesh = {*Climate Change ; Humans ; *Drowning/prevention &amp; control ; *Disasters ; },
}
@article {pmid38848911,
year = {2024},
author = {Vospernik, S and Vigren, C and Morin, X and Toigo, M and Bielak, K and Brazaitis, G and Bravo, F and Heym, M and Del Río, M and Jansons, A and Löf, M and Nothdurft, A and Pardos, M and Pach, M and Ponette, Q and Pretzsch, H},
title = {Can mixing Quercus robur and Quercus petraea with Pinus sylvestris compensate for productivity losses due to climate change?.},
journal = {The Science of the total environment},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {173342},
doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.173342},
pmid = {38848911},
issn = {1879-1026},
abstract = {The climate change scenarios RCP 4.5 and RCP 8.5, with a representative concentration pathway for stabilization of radiative forcing of 4.5 W m[-2] and 8.5 W m[-2] by 2100, respectively, predict an increase in temperature of 1-4.5° Celsius for Europe and a simultaneous shift in precipitation patterns leading to increased drought frequency and severity. The negative consequences of such changes on tree growth on dry sites or at the dry end of a tree species distribution are well-known, but rarely quantified across large gradients. In this study, the growth of Quercus robur and Quercus petraea (Q. spp.) and Pinus sylvestris in pure and mixed stands was predicted for a historical scenario and the two climate change scenarios RCP 4.5 and RCP 8.5 using the individual tree growth model PrognAus. Predictions were made along an ecological gradient ranging from current mean annual temperatures of 5.5-11.4 °C and with mean annual precipitation sums of 586-929 mm. Initial data for the simulation consisted of 23 triplets established in pure and mixed stands of Q. spp. and P. sylvestris. After doing the simulations until 2100, we fitted a linear mixed model using the predicted volume in the year 2100 as response variable to describe the general trends in the simulation results. Productivity decreased for both Q. spp. and P. sylvestris with increasing temperature, and more so, for the warmer sites of the gradient. P. sylvestris is the more productive tree species in the current climate scenario, but the competitive advantage shifts to Q. spp., which is capable to endure very high negative water potentials, for the more severe climate change scenario. The Q. spp.-P. sylvestris mixture presents an intermediate resilience to increased scenario severity. Enrichment of P. sylvestris stands by creating mixtures with Q. spp., but not the opposite, might be a right silvicultural adaptive strategy, especially at lower latitudes. Tree species mixing can only partly compensate productivity losses due to climate change. This may, however, be possible in combination with other silvicultural adaptation strategies, such as thinning and uneven-aged management.},
}
@article {pmid38848812,
year = {2024},
author = {Mayekar, HV and Rajpurohit, S},
title = {No single rescue recipe: genome complexities modulate insect response to climate change.},
journal = {Current opinion in insect science},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {101220},
doi = {10.1016/j.cois.2024.101220},
pmid = {38848812},
issn = {2214-5753},
abstract = {Declines in insect populations have gained formidable attention. Given their crucial role in the ecosystem, causes of declining insect populations must be investigated. However, the insect clade has been associated with low extinction and high diversification rates. It is unlikely that insects underwent mass extinctions in the past. However, the current climate change could make insect populations vulnerable to extinction. We propose genome size (GS) and transposable elements (TE) to be rough estimates to assess extinction risk. Specifically larger GS and/ or proliferating TE numbers are associated with adaptation in rapid climate change scenarios. We speculate unstable, stressful environmental conditions strongly associate with GS and TE expansion which further correlate with adaptations. Alternately, stressful conditions trigger TE bursts which are not purged in smaller populations. GE and TE could be indicators of small effective populations in the wild likely experiencing bottlenecks and hence demand assessment for extinction risk.},
}
@article {pmid38848733,
year = {2024},
author = {Zangerl, KE and Hoernke, K and Andreas, M and Dalglish, SL and Kelman, I and Nilsson, M and Rockloev, J and Bärnighausen, T and McMahon, SA},
title = {Child health prioritisation in national adaptation policies on climate change: a policy document analysis across 160 countries.},
journal = {The Lancet. Child &amp; adolescent health},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1016/S2352-4642(24)00084-1},
pmid = {38848733},
issn = {2352-4650},
abstract = {Integration of child-specific adaptation measures into health policies is imperative given children's heightened susceptibility to the health impacts of climate change. Using a document analysis method, we examined 160 national adaptation policies for inclusion of child-relevant measures and identified 19 child health-related adaptation domains. 44 (28%) of 160 countries' policies that were analysed failed to include any domains, 49 (31%) included at least one child-related domain, 62 (39%) included between two and six domains, and five (3%) included at least seven domains. Predominant domains among child-specific adaptation measures included education and awareness raising, followed by community engagement and nutrition. No country addressed children's direct needs in the domain of mental health. National adaptation policies tend towards overly simple conceptualisations of children across four major lenses: age, social role, gender, and agency. Limited inclusion of child-specific measures in national adaptation policies suggests insufficient recognition of and action on children's susceptibility to climate change effects.},
}
@article {pmid38848369,
year = {2024},
author = {Meng, F and Felton, AJ and Mao, J and Cong, N and Smith, WK and Körner, C and Hu, Z and Hong, S and Knott, J and Yan, Y and Guo, B and Deng, Y and Leisz, S and Dorji, T and Wang, S and Chen, A},
title = {Consistent time allocation fraction to vegetation green-up versus senescence across northern ecosystems despite recent climate change.},
journal = {Science advances},
volume = {10},
number = {23},
pages = {eadn2487},
pmid = {38848369},
issn = {2375-2548},
mesh = {*Climate Change ; *Ecosystem ; Seasons ; Plant Development ; Plant Leaves/growth &amp; development ; },
abstract = {Extended growing season lengths under climatic warming suggest increased time for plant growth. However, research has focused on climatic impacts to the timing or duration of distinct phenological events. Comparatively little is known about impacts to the relative time allocation to distinct phenological events, for example, the proportion of time dedicated to leaf growth versus senescence. We use multiple satellite and ground-based observations to show that, despite recent climate change during 2001 to 2020, the ratio of time allocated to vegetation green-up over senescence has remained stable [1.27 (± 0.92)] across more than 83% of northern ecosystems. This stability is independent of changes in growing season lengths and is caused by widespread positive relationships among vegetation phenological events; longer vegetation green-up results in longer vegetation senescence. These empirical observations were also partly reproduced by 13 dynamic global vegetation models. Our work demonstrates an intrinsic biotic control to vegetation phenology that could explain the timing of vegetation senescence under climate change.},
}
@article {pmid38848244,
year = {2024},
author = {Martyn-Nemeth, P and Hayman, LL},
title = {Climate Change and Cardiovascular Health.},
journal = {The Journal of cardiovascular nursing},
volume = {39},
number = {4},
pages = {305-306},
doi = {10.1097/JCN.0000000000001102},
pmid = {38848244},
issn = {1550-5049},
mesh = {Humans ; *Climate Change ; *Cardiovascular Diseases/prevention &amp; control/epidemiology ; },
}
@article {pmid38847970,
year = {2024},
author = {Gini, G and Piggott-McKellar, A and Wiegel, H and Neu, F and Link, AC and Fry, C and Tabe, T and Adegun, O and Wade, C and Bower, ER and Koeltzow, S and Harrington-Abrams, R and Jacobs, C and van der Geest, K and Zivdar, N and Alaniz, R and Cherop, C and Durand-Delacre, D and Pill, M and Shekhar, H and Yates, O and Khan, MAA and Nansam-Aggrey, FK and Grant, L and Nizar, DA and Owusu-Daaku, KN and Praeto, A and Stefancu, O and Yee, M},
title = {Navigating tensions in climate change-related planned relocation.},
journal = {Ambio},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
pmid = {38847970},
issn = {1654-7209},
abstract = {The planned relocation of communities away from areas of climate-related risk has emerged as a critical strategy to adapt to the impacts of climate change. Empirical examples from around the world show, however, that such relocations often lead to poor outcomes for affected communities. To address this challenge, and contribute to developing guidelines for just and sustainable relocation processes, this paper calls attention to three fundamental tensions in planned relocation processes: (1) conceptualizations of risk and habitability; (2) community consultation and ownership; and (3) siloed policy frameworks and funding mechanisms. Drawing on the collective experience of 29 researchers, policymakers and practitioners from around the world working on planned relocations in the context of a changing climate, we provide strategies for collectively and collaboratively acknowledging and navigating these tensions among actors at all levels, to foster more equitable and sustainable relocation processes and outcomes.},
}
@article {pmid38844810,
year = {2024},
author = {Pearson, H},
title = {What's the best way to tackle climate change? An 'evidence bank' could help scientists find answers.},
journal = {Nature},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
pmid = {38844810},
issn = {1476-4687},
}
@article {pmid38844654,
year = {2024},
author = {Vidal, C and Latkin, C},
title = {Views of Psychiatrists and Psychiatry Trainees on Climate Change: Distress, Training Needs, and Envisioned Role.},
journal = {Academic psychiatry : the journal of the American Association of Directors of Psychiatric Residency Training and the Association for Academic Psychiatry},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
pmid = {38844654},
issn = {1545-7230},
abstract = {OBJECTIVE: Increasing evidence demonstrates that climate change has effects on mental health. Given the magnitude of climate change's health consequences, mitigation and adaptation will require massive societal changes and the involvement of individuals and professional organizations. The aim of this research was to assess the views of psychiatrists and psychiatrists-in-training about climate change and its effects on health, perceived barriers to discussing climate change in their clinical, teaching, research, and advocacy work, personal preparedness for climate action, and expected roles of their professional organizations.<br><br>METHODS: The authors administered an online anonymous survey to members of two mid-Atlantic professional psychiatric organizations. Measures included an adaptation of The International Climate and Health Survey and demographic and career characteristics. Descriptive statistics for categorical variables were conducted.<br><br>RESULTS: The majority of the 67 participants who completed the survey were White and senior in their career, and almost all were clinicians. Most were concerned about climate change and its mental health effects on patients and supported their organizations' engagement in activities related to this topic. Barriers to engagement in climate change action included lack of time and believing it would not make a difference.<br><br>CONCLUSIONS: These findings demonstrate a desire of psychiatrists involved in teaching, research, and clinical work to address climate change and a need for training. These findings highlight the need for preparedness as newer generations face more disasters related to climate change, and experience psychological distress related to climate change.},
}
@article {pmid38844411,
year = {2024},
author = {MacDonald, JS and Lutscher, F and Bourgault, Y},
title = {Climate change fluctuations can increase population abundance and range size.},
journal = {Ecology letters},
volume = {27},
number = {6},
pages = {e14453},
doi = {10.1111/ele.14453},
pmid = {38844411},
issn = {1461-0248},
support = {RGPIN-2016-0495//Natural Sciences and Engineering Research Council of Canada/ ; RGPIN-2019-06855//Natural Sciences and Engineering Research Council of Canada/ ; },
mesh = {*Climate Change ; *Population Density ; Animals ; Ecosystem ; Population Dynamics ; Models, Biological ; Animal Distribution ; },
abstract = {Climate change threatens many species by a poleward/upward movement of their thermal niche. While we know that faster movement has stronger impacts, little is known on how fluctuations of niche movement affect population outcomes. Environmental fluctuations often affect populations negatively, but theory and experiments have revealed some positive effects. We study how fluctuations around the average speed of the niche impact a species' persistence, abundance and realized niche width under climate change. We find that the outcome depends on how fluctuations manifest and what the relative time scale of population growth and climate fluctuations are. When populations are close to extinction with the average speed, fluctuations around this average accelerate population decline. However, populations not yet close to extinction can increase in abundance and/or realized niche width from such fluctuations. Long-lived species increase more when their niche size remains constant, short-lived species increase more when their niche size varies.},
}
@article {pmid38844225,
year = {2024},
author = {Kolanowska, M and Rewicz, A and Nowak, S},
title = {Can global warming be beneficial for Arctic-alpine orchid species? Outcomes from ecological niche modeling for Chamorchis alpina (L.) Rich. (Orchidaceae).},
journal = {The Science of the total environment},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {173616},
doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.173616},
pmid = {38844225},
issn = {1879-1026},
abstract = {The disjunct Arctic-alpine plants that persist on isolated mountain sites at the limits of their geographical range are particularly sensitive indicators of climate change effects. Here, we investigated a remarkably fragile plant, the smallest orchid in Europe, Chamorchis alpina. The ecological niche modeling (ENM) approach was employed not only to verify the shift in the range of the studied orchid but also to evaluate the future overlap between this plant population and its pollen vectors, Dasytes alpigradus, Formica lemani and Leptothorax acervorum. Our analyses showed that the bioclimatic preferences of the northern (Scandinavian) populations differed from those of the southern populations located in the Alps and Carpathians. Surprisingly, both C. alpina groups will expand their potential ranges under the SSP2-4.5 climate change scenario, and additional suitable niches will become available for the northern group under the SSP3-7.0 scenario. The Scandinavian populations will face significant habitat loss (36 %) in the SSP5-8.5 projection. The southern group will lose suitable niches under both the SSP3-7.0 and SSP5-8.5 scenarios (33 % and 58 %, respectively). For all pollinators of C. alpina, global warming will be favorable, and all three species will expand their potential ranges under all analyzed climate change scenarios. Our research suggests that a "middle of the road" scenario of climate change (SSP2-4.5), which assumes that socioeconomic factors follow historical trends, will not be harmful to the studied orchid or possibly other elements of Arctic-alpine flora, but all other scenarios that predict increases in CO2 emissions will result in a decreases in the coverage of suitable C. alpina niches, especially in the alpine region. At the same time, an overall expansion of alpine dwarf orchid pollen vectors is predicted, so even within a reduced geographical range, the orchid population will be able to reproduce sexually.},
}
@article {pmid38843730,
year = {2024},
author = {Keleş Özgenç, E and Uzun, O},
title = {Impacts of land use/land cover and climate change on landscape sensitivity in Tunca River sub-basin: Use in spatial planning and sectoral decision processes.},
journal = {Journal of environmental management},
volume = {363},
number = {},
pages = {121372},
doi = {10.1016/j.jenvman.2024.121372},
pmid = {38843730},
issn = {1095-8630},
abstract = {Managing landscape change is increasingly challenging due to rapid anthropogenic shifts. A delicate balance must be struck between the environment and change to ensure landscapes can withstand these impacts. This study conducted in the Tunca River sub-basin of Edirne province, aims to assess landscape sensitivity by examining the influence of land use/land cover (LULC) and climate change on landscape function processes. For this purpose, a methodology was developed based on ecosystem services to determine landscape sensitivity. The results revealed a LULC transformation that could lead to a 60% reduction in forest areas and a 5% and 20% increase in urban and irrigated agricultural areas, respectively. Water and erosion emerged as the most affected landscape function processes. Future scenarios from 2050 to 2070 indicate noteworthy changes in landscape sensitivity, showing an increase in sensitivity in the upper regions of the basin. The study identified high sensitivity in forested areas, moderate sensitivity in agricultural zones, and low sensitivity in micro-basins near residential areas. Protection and improvement strategies are recommended for areas with high and moderate sensitivity, while use-oriented strategies are suggested for those with low sensitivity. This study also establishes a scientific foundation for guiding the protection and management of ecologically sensitive basin areas, offering insights into the effects of landscape change processes at the micro-basin level in connection with climate change models.},
}
@article {pmid38843434,
year = {2024},
author = {Abeles, SR and Kline, A and Lee, P},
title = {Climate change and resilience for antimicrobial stewardship and infection prevention.},
journal = {Current opinion in infectious diseases},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1097/QCO.0000000000001032},
pmid = {38843434},
issn = {1473-6527},
abstract = {PURPOSE OF REVIEW: This review covers recent research regarding the challenges posed by climate change within the areas of antimicrobial stewardship and infection prevention, and ways to build resiliency in these fields.<br><br>RECENT FINDINGS: Infectious disease patterns are changing as microbes adapt to climate change and changing environmental factors. Capacity for testing and treating infectious diseases is challenged by newly emerging diseases, which exacerbate challenges to antimicrobial stewardship and infection prevention.Antimicrobial resistance is accelerated due to environmental factors including air pollution, plastic pollution, and chemicals used in food systems, which are all impacted by climate change.Climate change places infection prevention practices at risk in many ways including from major weather events, increased risk of epidemics, and societal disruptions causing conditions that can overwhelm health systems. Researchers are building resilience by advancing rapid diagnostics and disease modeling, and identifying highly reliable versus low efficiency interventions.<br><br>SUMMARY: Climate change and associated major weather and socioeconomic events will place significant strain on healthcare facilities. Work being done to advance rapid diagnostics, build supply chain resilience, improve predictive disease modeling and surveillance, and identify high reliability versus low yield interventions will help build resiliency in antimicrobial stewardship and infection prevention for escalating challenges due to climate change.},
}
@article {pmid38842221,
year = {2024},
author = {Ke, C and Gong, LX and Geng, Y and Wang, ZQ and Zhang, WJ and Feng, J and Jiang, TL},
title = {Patterns and correlates of potential range shifts of bat species in China in the context of climate change.},
journal = {Conservation biology : the journal of the Society for Conservation Biology},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {e14310},
doi = {10.1111/cobi.14310},
pmid = {38842221},
issn = {1523-1739},
support = {20220101273JC//Fund of the Jilin Province Science and Technology Development Project/ ; 2021FY100301//Special Foundation for National Science and Technology Basic Research Program of China/ ; 2412023YQ002//Fundamental&#xa0;Research Funds for the Central Universities/ ; 2412023QD026//Fundamental&#xa0;Research Funds for the Central Universities/ ; 32371562//National&#xa0;Natural Science Foundation of China/ ; },
abstract = {Climate change may diminish biodiversity; thus, it is urgent to predict how species' ranges may shift in the future by integrating multiple factors involving more taxa. Bats are particularly sensitive to climate change due to their high surface-to-volume ratio. However, few studies have considered geographic variables associated with roost availability and even fewer have linked the distributions of bats to their thermoregulation and energy regulation traits. We used species distribution models to predict the potential distributions of 12 bat species in China under current and future greenhouse gas emission scenarios (SSP1-2.6 and SSP5-8.5) and examined factors that could affect species' range shifts, including climatic, geographic, habitat, and human activity variables and wing surface-to-mass ratio (S-MR). The results suggest that Ia io, Rhinolophus ferrumequinum, and Rhinolophus rex should be given the highest priority for conservation in future climate conservation strategies. Most species were predicted to move northward, except for I. io and R. rex, which moved southward. Temperature seasonality, distance to forest, and distance to karst or cave were the main environmental factors affecting the potential distributions of bats. We found significant relationships between S-MR and geographic distribution, current potential distribution, and future potential distribution in the 2050s. Our work highlights the importance of analyzing range shifts of species with multifactorial approaches, especially for species traits related to thermoregulation and energy regulation, to provide targeted conservation strategies.},
}
@article {pmid38841463,
year = {2024},
author = {Chen, X and Tian, F and Tao, L and Su, Y},
title = {The response rules to maintain social stability facing the climate change in ming dynasty.},
journal = {Heliyon},
volume = {10},
number = {11},
pages = {e31696},
pmid = {38841463},
issn = {2405-8440},
abstract = {Studying the mechanisms by which climate change interacted with human societies during the historical period can provide historical insights and cultural roots for climate policy building in the region. In this study, we constructed Stability-Robustness-Resilience Model (SSR model) and used the TOPSIS method (Technique for Order Preference by Similarity to Ideal Solution) and the entropy weight method to assess the change processes of robustness, resilience, and stability of Ming's society in response to climate threats. We have also compared three extreme droughts that occurred in different periods of social robustness-resilience combinations by using the SRR model. The results are as follows. (1) The stability of the Ming society was high in YongLe - HongZhi period (1402-1505 CE), when both social robustness and resilience were higher than the average level of Ming Dynasty (0.5611 for the former and 0.4215 for the latter), but there was a significant decline in social stability in TianShun period (1457-1464 CE). In ZhengDe - ChongZhen period (1506-1644 CE), the stability of Ming society gradually decreased, and it rebounded shortly in the LongQing-WanLi period (1506-1620 CE). (2) The high stability benefited from higher socio-economic levels, better government finance levels, larger national food reserves, safer social environments (high robustness), and higher levels of ruling class governance and risk response (high resilience); whereas insecure social environment induced by war, declining socio-economic levels and government finance levels were the main reasons for the decline in society's stability. (3)The ChengHua and WanLi droughts both happened at a time with high social robustness, so although their meteorological anomalies were severe, their impact on society was small. While the JiaJing drought happened at a time with low social robustness and resilience, so although the meteorological anomaly was relatively weak, it resulted in a more severe social consequence than the other two events.},
}
@article {pmid38840201,
year = {2024},
author = {Stevens, M and Israel, A and Nusselder, A and Mattijsen, JC and Chen, F and Erasmus, V and van Beeck, E and Otto, S},
title = {Drawing a line from CO2 emissions to health-evaluation of medical students' knowledge and attitudes towards climate change and health following a novel serious game: a mixed-methods study.},
journal = {BMC medical education},
volume = {24},
number = {1},
pages = {626},
pmid = {38840201},
issn = {1472-6920},
mesh = {Humans ; *Climate Change ; *Students, Medical/psychology ; *Health Knowledge, Attitudes, Practice ; Male ; Female ; Focus Groups ; Curriculum ; Education, Medical, Undergraduate ; Young Adult ; Adult ; Surveys and Questionnaires ; Carbon Dioxide ; },
abstract = {BACKGROUND: Education is urgently needed to equip medical students with knowledge, values and skills to promote planetary health. However, the current literature offers little insight into evidence-based approaches and best practices. In response to this pressing need, a novel serious game was introduced into the medical curriculum at Erasmus Medical Center in 2023. The aim of this study was to evaluate the knowledge and attitudes of medical students after they had played a serious game that addresses climate change and health.<br><br>METHODS: In accordance with a mixed-methods design, quantitative data were collected using pre- and post-intervention surveys. Differences were assessed using the Wilcoxon signed rank test. Focus group discussions were held after the game and thematically analysed.<br><br>RESULTS: One hundred forty-five students (38.6% of the entire cohort) played the game, of which 59 students completed the pre- and post-intervention surveys. After the game, self-reported knowledge increased. Regarding objective knowledge, an increase in the proportion of students who answered one of the two questions correctly was observed, while the proportion of correct responses decreased for the other question. Student's responses to two out of five attitude questions were significantly more positive. The proportion of students who recognized the importance of climate change education, to inform patients and society about the health impacts of climate change, increased. Moreover, survey results indicated a significant increase in climate worry subsequent to the game. Eleven students participated in the focus group discussions. Thematic analysis highlighted participants' reflections on the roles and responsibilities in climate change and health, along with their realisation of the tools for action that climate and health co-benefits provide. Another significant aspect was the importance participants placed on learning alongside peers with diverse attitudes. Additionally, participants appreciated the tangible overview of climate change and health provided by the serious game.<br><br>CONCLUSIONS: Our novel serious game addressed an important gap in the medical curriculum. The game can enable medical students to cultivate the necessary knowledge and attitudes to promote health in times of a climate crisis. The accompanying climate worry needs attention through the empowerment of students' agency to foster change.},
}
@article {pmid38840055,
year = {2024},
author = {Abebe, DM and Mengistie, DT and Mekonen, AA},
title = {The influence of climate change on the sesame yield in North Gondar, North Ethiopia: Application Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) time series model.},
journal = {BMC plant biology},
volume = {24},
number = {1},
pages = {506},
pmid = {38840055},
issn = {1471-2229},
mesh = {Ethiopia ; *Climate Change ; *Sesamum/growth &amp; development/physiology ; Rain ; Temperature ; },
abstract = {Sesame is a major annual oil crop that is grown practically everywhere in tropical and subtropical Asia, as well as Africa, for its very nutritious and tasty seeds. Rising temperatures, droughts, floods, desertification, and weather all have a significant impact on agricultural production, particularly in developing countries like Ethiopia. Therefore, the main objective of this study is to examine the influence of climate change on the sesame yield in North Gondar, North Ethiopia, by using the autoregressive distributed Lag (ARDL) time series model. This study employed climate data from the Bahirdar Agrometeorological Center and secondary data on sesame production from the Ethiopian Statistical Service, spanning 36 years, from 1987 to 2023. Autoregressive Distributed LAG (ARDL) includes diagnostic tests for both short- and long-term autoregressive models. The results for the long-run and short-run elastic coefficients show a significant positive association between temperatures and sesame yield. Sesame yield and rainfall have a significant negative long-run and short-run relationship in North Gondar, North Ethiopia. ARDL results confirm that temperature and rainfall have significant effects on sesame productivity. Temperature had a considerable favorable effect on sesamen production, but rainfall had a negative effect in North Gondar, Ethiopia. Based on the evidence acquired from our study, we made several policy recommendations and suggestions to government officials, policymakers, new technologies, researchers, policy development planners, and other stakeholders in order to develop or implement new technology to halt its production and direct adaptation measures in light of the certainty of global warming and the characteristics of climate-dependent agricultural production.},
}
@article {pmid38839894,
year = {2024},
author = {Perry, D and Tamarit, E and Sundell, E and Axelsson, M and Bergman, S and Gräns, A and Gullström, M and Sturve, J and Wennhage, H},
title = {Physiological responses of Atlantic cod to climate change indicate that coastal ecotypes may be better adapted to tolerate ocean stressors.},
journal = {Scientific reports},
volume = {14},
number = {1},
pages = {12896},
pmid = {38839894},
issn = {2045-2322},
support = {NV-802-0100-19//Naturv&#xe5;rdsverket/ ; },
mesh = {*Gadus morhua/physiology ; Animals ; *Climate Change ; *Ecotype ; Ecosystem ; Stress, Physiological ; Oceans and Seas ; Sweden ; Seawater/chemistry ; Adaptation, Physiological ; Oxidative Stress ; },
abstract = {Healthy ecosystems and species have some degree of resilience to changing conditions, however as the frequency and severity of environmental changes increase, resilience may be diminished or lost. In Sweden, one example of a species with reduced resilience is the Atlantic cod (Gadus morhua). This species has been subjected to overfishing, and with additional pressures such as habitat degradation and changing environmental conditions there has been little to no recovery, despite more than a decade of management actions. Given the historical ecological, economical, and cultural significance of cod, it is important to understand how Atlantic cod respond to global climate change to recover and sustainably manage this species in the future. A multi-stressor experiment was conducted to evaluate physiological responses of juvenile cod exposed to warming, ocean acidification, and freshening, changes expected to occur in their nursery habitat. The response to single drivers showed variable effects related to fish biometrics and increased levels of oxidative stress dependent parameters. Importantly, two separate responses were seen within a single treatment for the multi-stressor and freshening groups. These within-treatment differences were correlated to genotype, with the offshore ecotype having a heightened stress response compared to the coastal ecotype, which may be better adapted to tolerate future changes. These results demonstrate that, while Atlantic cod have some tolerance for future changes, ecotypes respond differently, and cumulative effects of multiple stressors may lead to deleterious effects for this important species.},
}
@article {pmid38839204,
year = {2024},
author = {Miller, MR and Landrigan, PJ and Arora, M and Newby, DE and Münzel, T and Kovacic, JC},
title = {Environmentally Not So Friendly: Global Warming, Air Pollution, and Wildfires: JACC Focus Seminar, Part 1.},
journal = {Journal of the American College of Cardiology},
volume = {83},
number = {23},
pages = {2291-2307},
doi = {10.1016/j.jacc.2024.03.424},
pmid = {38839204},
issn = {1558-3597},
mesh = {Humans ; *Air Pollution/adverse effects ; *Wildfires ; *Global Warming ; Cardiovascular Diseases/epidemiology/etiology ; Particulate Matter/adverse effects ; Smoke/adverse effects ; },
abstract = {Environmental stresses are increasingly recognized as significant risk factors for adverse health outcomes. In particular, various forms of pollution and climate change are playing a growing role in promoting noncommunicable diseases, especially cardiovascular disease. Given recent trends, global warming and air pollution are now associated with substantial cardiovascular morbidity and mortality. As a vicious cycle, global warming increases the occurrence, size, and severity of wildfires, which are significant sources of airborne particulate matter. Exposure to wildfire smoke is associated with cardiovascular disease, and these effects are underpinned by mechanisms that include oxidative stress, inflammation, impaired cardiac function, and proatherosclerotic effects in the circulation. In the first part of a 2-part series on pollution and cardiovascular disease, this review provides an overview of the impact of global warming and air pollution, and because of recent events and emerging trends specific attention is paid to air pollution caused by wildfires.},
}
@article {pmid38839203,
year = {2024},
author = {Khatana, SAM},
title = {Climate Change and Cardiovascular Mortality: Will Fewer Cold Days Balance Out More Hot Days?.},
journal = {Journal of the American College of Cardiology},
volume = {83},
number = {23},
pages = {2288-2290},
doi = {10.1016/j.jacc.2024.04.010},
pmid = {38839203},
issn = {1558-3597},
mesh = {Humans ; *Cardiovascular Diseases/mortality ; *Climate Change ; Cold Temperature/adverse effects ; Hot Temperature/adverse effects ; },
}
@article {pmid38838403,
year = {2024},
author = {Shaban, M and Amer, FGM and Shaban, MM},
title = {The impact of nursing sustainable prevention program on heat strain among agricultural elderly workers in the context of climate change.},
journal = {Geriatric nursing (New York, N.Y.)},
volume = {58},
number = {},
pages = {215-224},
doi = {10.1016/j.gerinurse.2024.05.021},
pmid = {38838403},
issn = {1528-3984},
abstract = {BACKGROUND: This study assesses a geriatric nursing-led sustainable heat prevention program for elderly agricultural workers. It targets those aged 60 and above, addressing the heightened risk of heat strain in the era of climate change.<br><br>METHODS: A community-based quasi-experimental design involved 120 elderly agricultural workers, divided into intervention and control groups. The program, spanning three months, included education on hydration, rest, protective clothing, and recognition of heat-related illnesses.<br><br>RESULTS: The intervention led by geriatric nursing professionals showed significant improvements in heat strain metrics. The Heat Strain Score Index (HSSI) and the Observational-Perceptual Heat Strain Risk Assessment (OPHSRA) Index indicated increased safety levels and reduced risk categories among participants.<br><br>CONCLUSIONS: The study demonstrates the effectiveness of a geriatric nursing-led, tailored prevention program in reducing heat strain among elderly agricultural workers. It highlights the crucial role of nursing in adapting healthcare practices to the challenges posed by climate change.<br><br>TRIAL REGISTRATION: ClinicalTrials.gov, ID NCT06192069 retrospectively registered.},
}
@article {pmid38838252,
year = {2024},
author = {Kuhn, BT and Gupta, R},
title = {Improving Wildfire Readiness Among Patients With Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease and Asthma: Applying a Population Health Approach to Climate Change.},
journal = {Chronic obstructive pulmonary diseases (Miami, Fla.)},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.15326/jcopdf.2024.0509},
pmid = {38838252},
issn = {2372-952X},
support = {//Takeda Pharmaceuticals USA, Inc/United States ; },
abstract = {As a result of climate change, wildfire frequency, duration, and severity are increasing in the United States. Exposure to wildfire-related air pollutants can lead to negative health outcomes, particularly among patients with pre-existing respiratory diseases (eg, asthma and chronic obstructive pulmonary disease) and those who are at higher risk for developing these conditions. Underserved communities are disproportionately affected for multiple reasons, including lack of financial and social resources, increased exposure to air pollutants at home and at work, and impaired access to healthcare. To best serve clinically high-risk and underserved populations, health systems must leverage community public health data, develop and mobilize a wildfire preparedness action plan to identify populations at high risk, and implement interventions to mitigate the consequences of poor air quality. University of California, Davis Health, located at the epicenter of the largest wildfires in California's history, has developed the 5 pillar Wildfire Population Health Approach: (1) identify clinically at-risk and underserved patient populations using well-validated, condition-targeted registries; (2) assemble multidisciplinary care teams to understand the needs of these communities and patients; (3) create custom analytics and wildfire-risk stratification; (4) develop care pathways based on wildfire-risk tiers by disease, risk of exposure, and healthcare access; and (5) identify outcome measures tailored to interventions with a commitment to continuous, iterative improvement efforts. The Wildfire Population Health Approach provides an action plan for health systems and care teams to meet the needs of clinically at-risk and underserved patients affected by the increasing health threat posed by climate change-related wildfires.},
}
@article {pmid38837566,
year = {2024},
author = {Taylor, PJ and Kearney, TC and Clark, VR and Howard, A and Mdluli, MV and Markotter, W and Geldenhuys, M and Richards, LR and Rakotoarivelo, AR and Watson, J and Balona, J and Monadjem, A},
title = {Southern Africa's Great Escarpment as an amphitheater of climate-driven diversification and a buffer against future climate change in bats.},
journal = {Global change biology},
volume = {30},
number = {6},
pages = {e17344},
doi = {10.1111/gcb.17344},
pmid = {38837566},
issn = {1365-2486},
support = {128386//National Research Foundation and Department of Science and Innovation of South Africa/ ; //Afromontane Research Unit, University of the Free State/ ; //National Research Foundation/ ; },
mesh = {Animals ; *Chiroptera/physiology/genetics ; *Climate Change ; Africa, Southern ; *DNA, Mitochondrial/genetics/analysis ; Phylogeny ; Genetic Speciation ; Phylogeography ; Animal Distribution ; },
abstract = {Hosting 1460 plant and 126 vertebrate endemic species, the Great Escarpment (hereafter, Escarpment) forms a semi-circular "amphitheater" of mountains girdling southern Africa from arid west to temperate east. Since arid and temperate biota are usually studied separately, earlier studies overlooked the biogeographical importance of the Escarpment as a whole. Bats disperse more widely than other mammalian taxa, with related species and intraspecific lineages occupying both arid and temperate highlands of the Escarpment, providing an excellent model to address this knowledge gap. We investigated patterns of speciation and micro-endemism from modeled past, present, and future distributions in six clades of southern African bats from three families (Rhinolophidae, Cistugidae, and Vespertilionidae) having different crown ages (Pleistocene to Miocene) and biome affiliations (temperate to arid). We estimated mtDNA relaxed clock dates of key divergence events across the six clades in relation both to biogeographical features and patterns of phenotypic variation in crania, bacula and echolocation calls. In horseshoe bats (Rhinolophidae), both the western and eastern "arms" of the Escarpment have facilitated dispersals from the Afrotropics into southern Africa. Pleistocene and pre-Pleistocene "species pumps" and temperate refugia explained observed patterns of speciation, intraspecific divergence and, in two cases, mtDNA introgression. The Maloti-Drakensberg is a center of micro-endemism for bats, housing three newly described or undescribed species. Vicariance across biogeographic barriers gave rise to 29 micro-endemic species and intraspecific lineages whose distributions were congruent with those identified in other phytogeographic and zoogeographic studies. Although Köppen-Geiger climate models predict a widespread replacement of current temperate ecosystems in southern Africa by tropical or arid ecosystems by 2070-2100, future climate Maxent models for 13 bat species (all but one of those analyzed above) showed minimal range changes in temperate species from the eastern Escarpment by 2070, possibly due to the buffering effect of mountains to climate change.},
}
@article {pmid38837311,
year = {2024},
author = {Li, GY and Li, Y and Liu, H},
title = {Distribution patterns of Phytoseiulus persimilis in response to climate change.},
journal = {Pest management science},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1002/ps.8196},
pmid = {38837311},
issn = {1526-4998},
support = {2023YFD1400600//National Key Research and Development Program of China/ ; SWU120048//Fundamental Research Funds for the Central Universities/ ; },
abstract = {BACKGROUND: The biological control agent Phytoseiulus persimilis is a commercialized specialist predator of two agricultural pest mite species Tetranychus urticae and Tetranychus evansi. Biocontrol of these pest species by P. persimilis has achieved success in biological control in some areas. However, the lack of precise information about the influence of global climate change on the worldwide distribution of this biocontrol agent hampers international efforts to manage pest mites with P. persimilis. With 276 occurrence records and 19 bioclimatic variables, this study investigated the potential global distribution of P. persimilis.<br><br>RESULTS: The results demonstrated that the Maximum Entropy (MaxEnt) model performed well, with the area under the curve being 0.956, indicating the high accuracy of this model. Two variables, the minimum temperature of the coldest month (Bio_6) and precipitation of the coldest quarter (Bio_19) were the most important environmental variables that influenced the distribution of P. persimilis, contributing more than 30% to the model, respectively. The suitable area currently occupies 21.67% of the world's land area, spanning latitudes between 60&#xb0;S and 60&#xb0;N. Under shared socio-economic pathway (SSP) 5-8.5 (high-carbon emissions), the low suitable area would increase by 1.31% until the 2050s.<br><br>CONCLUSION: This study successfully identified that south-eastern China, parts of countries in the Mediterranean coastal regions, including Libya, Algeria, Portugal, Spain, and France, are climatically favorable regions for P. persimilis, providing valuable information about the potential areas where it can be effectively exploited as biocontrol agents in classical biological control programs to manage pest spider mites environmentally friendly. &#xa9; 2024 Society of Chemical Industry.},
}
@article {pmid38836542,
year = {2024},
author = {Périard, JD and Brown, HA and Clark, B},
title = {Cross-disciplinary heat acclimatization research for climate change resilience.},
journal = {Journal of applied physiology (Bethesda, Md. : 1985)},
volume = {136},
number = {6},
pages = {1341},
doi = {10.1152/japplphysiol.00265.2024},
pmid = {38836542},
issn = {1522-1601},
mesh = {*Climate Change ; Humans ; *Acclimatization/physiology ; Hot Temperature ; Animals ; },
}
@article {pmid38836532,
year = {2024},
author = {Niclou, AM and Chen, KY and Redman, LM},
title = {The juxtaposition between heat stress from global warming and human health.},
journal = {Journal of applied physiology (Bethesda, Md. : 1985)},
volume = {136},
number = {6},
pages = {1346-1347},
doi = {10.1152/japplphysiol.00281.2024},
pmid = {38836532},
issn = {1522-1601},
mesh = {Humans ; *Global Warming ; *Heat Stress Disorders/physiopathology ; Hot Temperature ; Animals ; },
}
@article {pmid38836508,
year = {2024},
author = {Wang, D and Li, L and Ning, R and Shao, Y and Li, H and Shi, X and Xue, Z and Togbah, CF and Yu, S and Gao, N},
title = {Satellite Tracking Reveals the Speed Up of the Lacustrine Algal Bloom Drift in Response to Climate Change.},
journal = {Environmental science &amp; technology},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1021/acs.est.4c03391},
pmid = {38836508},
issn = {1520-5851},
abstract = {Satellite evidence indicates a global increase in lacustrine algal blooms. These blooms can drift with winds, resulting in significant changes of the algal biomass spatial distribution, which is crucial in bloom formation. However, the lack of long-term, large-scale observational data has limited our understanding of bloom drift. Here, we have developed a novel method to track the drift using multi-source remote sensing satellites and presented a comprehensive bloom drift data set for four typical lakes: Lake Taihu (China, 2011-2021), Lake Chaohu (China, 2011-2020), Lake Dianchi (China, 2003-2021), and Lake Erie (North America, 2003-2021). We found that blooms closer to the water surface tend to drift faster. Higher temperatures and lower wind speeds bring blooms closer to the water surface, therefore accelerating drift and increasing biomass transportation. Under ongoing climate change, algal blooms are increasingly likely to spread over larger areas and accumulate in downwind waters, thereby posing a heightened risk to water resources. Our research greatly improves the understanding of algal bloom dynamics and provides new insights into the driving factors behind the global expansion of algal blooms. Our bloom-drift-tracking methodology also paves the way for the development of high-precision algal bloom prediction models.},
}
@article {pmid38836440,
year = {2024},
author = {Tang, H and Chen, L and Liu, S and Tan, X and Li, Y},
title = {Reconsidering the Effectiveness of Fear Appeals: An Experimental Study of Interactive Fear Messaging to Promote Positive Actions on Climate Change.},
journal = {Journal of health communication},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {1-11},
doi = {10.1080/10810730.2024.2360025},
pmid = {38836440},
issn = {1087-0415},
abstract = {Masspersonal communication has emerged as a compelling alternative persuasive approach in response to the widespread use of social media. It is crucial to comprehend how observing online interpersonal interactions regarding the fear appeal of climate change can foster pro-environmental behaviors among users. This study examines the effects of vicarious message interactivity in promoting actions against climate change and the underlying mechanisms behind this effect. The results of an online experiment conducted in China (N = 236) revealed that psychological reactance and message elaboration mediated the effects of vicarious message interactivity on behavioral intention in a serial indirect effect. In comparison to static fear appeal, interactive fear appeal proves effective in reducing psychological reactance, promoting message elaboration, and ultimately increasing intention to take actions against climate change. Our findings not only contribute to the literature on interactive communication but also provide insights for environmental-health campaigns on social media.},
}
@article {pmid38835526,
year = {2024},
author = {Souto-Veiga, R and Groeneveld, J and Enright, NJ and Fontaine, JB and Jeltsch, F},
title = {Climate change may shift metapopulations towards unstable source-sink dynamics in a fire-killed, serotinous shrub.},
journal = {Ecology and evolution},
volume = {14},
number = {6},
pages = {e11488},
pmid = {38835526},
issn = {2045-7758},
abstract = {Climate change, with warming and drying weather conditions, is reducing the growth, seed production, and survival of fire-adapted plants in fire-prone regions such as Mediterranean-type ecosystems. These effects of climate change on local plant demographics have recently been shown to reduce the persistence time of local populations of the fire-killed shrub Banksia hookeriana dramatically. In principle, extinctions of local populations may be partly compensated by recolonization events through long-distance dispersal mechanisms of seeds, such as post-fire wind and bird-mediated dispersal, facilitating persistence in spatially structured metapopulations. However, to what degree and under which assumptions metapopulation dynamics might compensate for the drastically increased local extinction risk remains to be explored. Given the long timespans involved and the complexity of interwoven local and regional processes, mechanistic, process-based models are one of the most suitable approaches to systematically explore the potential role of metapopulation dynamics and its underlying ecological assumptions for fire-prone ecosystems. Here we extend a recent mechanistic, process-based, spatially implicit population model for the well-studied fire-killed and serotinous shrub species B. hookeriana to a spatially explicit metapopulation model. We systematically tested the effects of different ecological processes and assumptions on metapopulation dynamics under past (1988-2002) and current (2003-2017) climatic conditions, including (i) effects of different spatio-temporal fires, (ii) effects of (likely) reduced intraspecific plant competition under current conditions and (iii) effects of variation in plant performance among and within patches. In general, metapopulation dynamics had the potential to increase the overall regional persistence of B. hookeriana. However, increased population persistence only occurred under specific optimistic assumptions. In both climate scenarios, the highest persistence occurred with larger fires and intermediate to long inter-fire intervals. The assumption of lower intraspecific plant competition caused by lower densities under current conditions alone was not sufficient to increase persistence significantly. To achieve long-term persistence (defined as >400 years) it was necessary to additionally consider empirically observed variation in plant performance among and within patches, that is, improved habitat quality in some large habitat patches (≥7) that could function as source patches and a higher survival rate and seed production for a subset of plants, specifically the top 25% of flower producers based on current climate conditions monitoring data. Our model results demonstrate that the impacts of ongoing climate change on plant demographics are so severe that even under optimistic assumptions, the existing metapopulation dynamics shift to an unstable source-sink dynamic state. Based on our findings, we recommend increased research efforts to understand the consequences of intraspecific trait variation on plant demographics, emphasizing the variation of individual traits both among and within populations. From a conservation perspective, we encourage fire and land managers to revise their prescribed fire plans, which are typically short interval, small fires, as they conflict with the ecologically appropriate spatio-temporal fire regime for B. hookeriana, and likely as well for many other fire-killed species.},
}
@article {pmid38834576,
year = {2024},
author = {Wu, L and Huang, Z and Zhang, X and Wang, Y},
title = {Harmonizing existing climate change mitigation policy datasets with a hybrid machine learning approach.},
journal = {Scientific data},
volume = {11},
number = {1},
pages = {580},
pmid = {38834576},
issn = {2052-4463},
support = {71925010//National Natural Science Foundation of China (National Science Foundation of China)/ ; 71925010//National Natural Science Foundation of China (National Science Foundation of China)/ ; },
abstract = {With the rapid proliferation of climate policies in both number and scope, there is an increasing demand for a global-level dataset that provides multi-indicator information on policy elements and their implementation contexts. To address this need, we developed the Global Climate Change Mitigation Policy Dataset (GCCMPD) using a semisupervised hybrid machine learning approach, drawing upon policy information from global, regional, and sector-specific sources. Differing from existing climate policy datasets, the GCCMPD covers a large range of policies, amounting to 73,625 policies of 216 entities. Through the integration of expert knowledge-based dictionary mapping, probability statistics methods, and advanced natural language processing technology, the GCCMPD offers detailed classification of multiple indicators and consistent information on sectoral policy instruments. This includes insights into objectives, target sectors, instruments, legal compulsion, administrative entities, etc. By aligning with the sector classification of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) emission datasets, the GCCMPD serves to help policy-makers, researchers, and social organizations gain a deeper understanding of the similarities and distinctions among climate activities across countries, sectors, and entities.},
}
@article {pmid38834375,
year = {2024},
author = {Wetchayont, P and Wirasatriya, A and Hayasaka, T and Shimada, T and Abdillah, MR and Puryajati, AD},
title = {Increasing marine heatwaves in the Gulf of Thailand after the global warming hiatus.},
journal = {Marine environmental research},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {106570},
doi = {10.1016/j.marenvres.2024.106570},
pmid = {38834375},
issn = {1879-0291},
abstract = {Marine heatwaves (MHWs) have been reported often throughout the world, producing severe effects on marine ecosystems. However, the spatial pattern and trend of MHWs in the Gulf of Thailand (GOT) is still unknown. Based on high-resolution daily satellite data over a 40-year period from 1982 to 2021, changes in annual mean SST and MHW occurrences across the GOT are explored here. The results demonstrate that during a warming hiatus (1998-2009), annual mean SST in the GOT encountered a dropping trend, followed by an increasing trend during a warming reacceleration period (2010-2021). Although a warming hiatus and a warming reacceleration occurred in the annual mean SST after 1998, regional averaged SSTs were still 0.18 °C-0.42 °C higher than that for 1982-1997. Statistical distributions reveal that there was a significant shift in both annual mean SSTs and annual extreme hot SSTs. These changes have the potential to increase the frequency of MHWs. Further analysis reveals that MHW frequency has increased at a rate of 1.11 events per decade from 1982 to 2021, which is 2.5 times the global mean rate. For the period 2010-2021, the frequency and intensity of MHWs in the GOT have never dropped, but have instead been more frequent, longer lasting and extreme than those metrics of MHWs between 1982 and 2009. Furthermore, the findings highlight significant changes in the SST over the GOT that may lead us to change or modify the reference period of the MHW definition. The findings also suggest that heat transport and redistribution mechanisms in the GOT sea are changing. This study contributes to our understanding of MHW features in the GOT and the implications for marine ecosystems.},
}
@article {pmid38834100,
year = {2024},
author = {Krogh, A and Junginger, M and Shen, L and Grue, J and Pedersen, TH},
title = {Climate change impacts of bioenergy technologies: A comparative consequential LCA of sustainable fuels production with CCUS.},
journal = {The Science of the total environment},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {173660},
doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.173660},
pmid = {38834100},
issn = {1879-1026},
abstract = {The use of sustainable biomass can be a cost-effective way of reducing the greenhouse gas emissions in the maritime and aviation sectors. Biomass, however, is a limited resource, and therefore, it is important to use the biomass where it creates the highest value, not only economically, but also in terms of GHG reductions. This study comprehensively evaluates the GHG reduction potential of utilising forestry residue in different bioenergy technologies using a consequential LCA approach. Unlike previous studies that assess GHG impacts per unit of fuel produced, this research takes a feedstock-centric approach which enables comparisons across systems that yield diverse products and by-products. Three technologies-combined heat and power plant with carbon capture, hydrothermal liquefaction, and gasification-are assessed, while considering both carbon capture and storage (CCS) or carbon capture and utilisation (CCU). Through scenario analysis, the study addresses uncertainty, and assumptions in the LCA modelling. It explores the impact of energy systems, fuel substitution efficiency, renewable energy expansion, and the up/down stream supply chain. All technology pathways showed a potential for net emissions savings when including avoided emissions from substitution of products, with results varying from -111 to -1742 kgCO2eq per tonne residue. When combining the bioenergy technologies with CCU the dependency on the energy system in which they are operated was a significantly higher compared to CCS. The breakpoint was found to be 44 kg CO2eq/kWh electricity meaning that the marginal electricity mix has to be below this point for CCU to obtain lower GHG emissions. Furthermore, it is evident that the environmental performance of CCU technologies is highly sensitive to how it will affect the ongoing expansion of renewable electricity capacity.},
}
@article {pmid38833934,
year = {2024},
author = {Liu, Z and Si, J and Jia, B and He, X and Zhou, D and Wang, C and Zhu, X and Qin, J and Ndayambaza, B and Bai, X},
title = {The dominant influencing factors of desertification and ecological risk changes in Qinghai Area of Qilian Mountains National Park: Climate change or human activity?.},
journal = {Journal of environmental management},
volume = {362},
number = {},
pages = {121335},
doi = {10.1016/j.jenvman.2024.121335},
pmid = {38833934},
issn = {1095-8630},
abstract = {Transitional features of desert environments partially determine the risks associated with ecosystems. Influenced by climate change and human activities, the variability and uncertainty of desertification levels and ecological risks in the Qinghai Area of Qilian Mountain National Park (QMNPQA) has become increasingly prominent. As a critical ecological barrier in northwest China, monitoring desertification dynamics and ecological risks is crucial for maintaining ecosystem stability. This study identifies the optimal monitoring model from four constructed desertification monitoring models and analyzes spatiotemporal changes in desertification. The spatial and temporal changes in ecological risks and their primary driving factors were analyzed using methods such as raster overlay calculation, geographic detector, cloud model, and trend analysis. The main conclusions are as follows: The desertification feature spatial model based on GNDVI-Albedo demonstrates better applicability in the study area, with an inversion accuracy of 81.24%. The levels of desertification and ecological risks in QMNPQA exhibit significant spatial heterogeneity, with a gradual decrease observed from northwest to southeast. From 2000 to 2020, there is an overall decreasing trend in desertification levels and ecological risks, with the decreasing trend area accounting for 89.82% and 85.71% respectively, mainly concentrated in the southeastern and northwestern parts of the study area. The proportion of areas with increasing trends is 4.49% and 7.05% respectively, scattered in patches in the central and southern edge areas. Surface temperature (ST), Digital Elevation Map (DEM), and Green normalized difference vegetation index (GNDVI) are the most influential factors determining the spatial distribution of ecological risks in QMNPQA. The effects of management and climatic factors on ecological risks demonstrate a significant antagonistic effect, highlighting the positive contributions of human activities in mitigating the driving effects of climate change on ecological risks. The research results can provide reference for desertification prevention and ecological quality improvement in QMNPQA.},
}
@article {pmid38833756,
year = {2024},
author = {Siemon, M and Diekema, AR and Calabria, RA},
title = {Cross sectional survey of attitudes on sustainability and climate change among baccalaureate nursing faculty and students.},
journal = {Nurse education today},
volume = {140},
number = {},
pages = {106268},
doi = {10.1016/j.nedt.2024.106268},
pmid = {38833756},
issn = {1532-2793},
abstract = {BACKGROUND: Nurse educators are critical to ensuring future nurses are prepared to meet healthcare needs due to climate change.<br><br>AIM: The purpose of this research was to assess the attitudes of nursing students and faculty on sustainability and climate change in nursing and nursing education.<br><br>DESIGN: This study used a descriptive, cross-sectional online survey of nursing students and faculty recruited online and at national conferences.<br><br>SETTINGS: Online survey.<br><br>PARTICIPANTS: A convenience sample of students and faculty were recruited from a national student nursing convention and a national meeting of community health nursing educators along with the principal investigator's university. Additional faculty were recruited from national nursing education organization email listservs. Eligibility criteria included adults 18&#xa0;years or older who are enrolled students or faculty in an undergraduate nursing program.<br><br>METHODS: Participants completed the Sustainability Attitudes in Nursing Survey (SANS_2) survey online. Survey responses were downloaded and analyzed using IBM SPSS.<br><br>RESULTS: Independent sample Mann-Whitney U tests of responses from faculty and students was significantly different, p&#xa0;=&#xa0;0.047, for the question "Issues about climate change should be included in the nursing curriculum". Comparison of SANS_2 overall means from first-year nursing students in other countries showed lower mean scores among first-year&#xa0;U.S. students that climate and sustainability are important issues of nursing and nursing education. Comparison of faculty overall SANS_2 means found greater support for including climate change and sustainability among U.S. nursing faculty when compared with faculty from South Carolina.<br><br>CONCLUSIONS: The results of the survey found differences in support among baccalaureate faculty and students for including climate change and sustainability in nursing education. Additional research into the effectiveness of learning activities needs to be done by nurse educators and researchers as part of on-going efforts to ensure future nursing students understand the impact of climate change on health.},
}
@article {pmid38833510,
year = {2024},
author = {Hou, L and Yang, J and Ji, C and Liu, M and Fang, W and Ma, Z and Bi, J},
title = {Water Scarcity Assessment of Hydropower Plants in China under Climate Change, Sectoral Competition, and Energy Expansion.},
journal = {Environmental science &amp; technology},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1021/acs.est.4c00671},
pmid = {38833510},
issn = {1520-5851},
abstract = {Hydropower plays a pivotal role in low-carbon electricity generation, yet many projects are situated in regions facing heightened water scarcity risks. This research devised a plant-level Hydropower Water Scarcity Index (HWSI), derived from the ratio of water demand for electricity generation to basin-scale available runoff water. We assessed the water scarcity of 1736 hydropower plants in China for the baseline year 2018 and projected into the future from 2025 to 2060. The results indicate a notable increase in hydropower generation facing moderate to severe water scarcity (HWSI >0.05), rising from 10% in 2018 to 24-34% of the national total (430-630 TWh), with a projected peak in the 2030s-2040s under the most pessimistic scenarios. Hotspots of risk are situated in the southwest and northern regions, primarily driven by decreased river basin runoff and intensified sectoral water use, rather than by hydropower demand expansion. Comparative analysis of four adaptation strategies revealed that sectoral water savings and enhancing power generation efficiency are the most effective, potentially mitigating a high of 16% of hydropower risks in China. This study provides insights for formulating region-specific adaptation strategies and assessing energy-water security in the face of evolving environmental and societal challenges.},
}
@article {pmid38833237,
year = {2024},
author = {Pelissolo, A},
title = {[Eco-anxiety: an emerging disorder linked to climate change].},
journal = {La Revue du praticien},
volume = {74},
number = {5},
pages = {529-532},
pmid = {38833237},
issn = {2101-017X},
mesh = {Humans ; *Climate Change ; Anxiety Disorders/therapy/diagnosis/epidemiology ; Anxiety/therapy/diagnosis ; },
abstract = {AN EMERGING DISORDER LINKED TO CLIMATE CHANGE. Eco-anxiety is the chronic fear of an environmental disaster, particularly in relation to global warming. Emerging in the 1990s, this concern is increasingly developing in all countries, especially among younger generations. It is not currently recognized as a diagnosis in psychiatric classifications, but some people (about 3% of the population) experience significant suffering and symptoms that can impair their quality of life. The role of the physician is then to look for an underlying anxiety or depressive disorder, or to assess the intensity of a possible specific Eco-anxiety Disorder. Treatment is based primarily on psychotherapeutic listening, stress and anxiety management methods, and cognitive behavioral therapy aimed at giving the patient better control over their emotions and means of action.},
}
@article {pmid38832754,
year = {2024},
author = {Adame, BJ and Mattson, LD},
title = {Vested Interest Theory as a Framework for Understanding Anthropogenic Climate Change Risk Perceptions.},
journal = {Health communication},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {1-10},
doi = {10.1080/10410236.2024.2357443},
pmid = {38832754},
issn = {1532-7027},
abstract = {Climate change due to anthropogenic activities is contributing to the systematic warming of Earth. A warming planet represents an existential threat to humanity, contributing to the increased frequency and magnitude of multiple natural hazards. The UN's Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) notes that time is running out to create meaningful change to avert climate-related consequences. This research posits Vested Interest Theory (VIT) as a potentially useful framework for assessing attitudes and risk perceptions associated with anthropogenic climate change (ACC). Vested Interest Theory mediates the attitude-behavior relationship where highly vested individuals are more likely to behave in attitudinally-consistent ways. Vestedness is conceptualized as five distinct and observable variables: salience, certainty, immediacy, self-efficacy, and response-efficacy. To test VIT's efficacy in this context, a survey was conducted with participants crowdsourced from Amazon's Mechanical Turk platform (N = 1053). Participants responded to items designed to measure their individual vestedness in ACC consequences, risk perceptions, and behavioral intentions. This initial investigation shows that VIT's constituent variables predict consequential amounts of observed variance in critical variables including risk perception, perceived event severity, and behavioral intentions related to ACC hazard mitigation. The results support the use of VIT as a framework for understanding attitude-behavior relationships associated with ACC mitigation. Based on these findings, we argue that VIT can also serve as a valuable message design framework to motivate ACC-related mitigation actions.},
}
@article {pmid38831666,
year = {2024},
author = {Lee, BY and Pavilonis, B and John, DC and Heneghan, J and Bartsch, SM and Kavouras, I},
title = {The Need to Focus More on Climate Change Communication and Incorporate More Systems Approaches.},
journal = {Journal of health communication},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {1-10},
doi = {10.1080/10810730.2024.2361566},
pmid = {38831666},
issn = {1087-0415},
abstract = {Society is at an inflection point-both in terms of climate change and the amount of data and computational resources currently available. Climate change has been a catastrophe in slow motion with relationships between human activity, climate change, and the resulting effects forming a complex system. However, to date, there has been a general lack of urgent responses from leaders and the general public, despite urgent warnings from the scientific community about the consequences of climate change and what can be done to mitigate it. Further, misinformation and disinformation about climate change abound. A major problem is that there has not been enough focus on communication in the climate change field. Since communication itself involves complex systems (e.g. information users, information itself, communications channels), there is a need for more systems approaches to communication about climate change. Utilizing systems approaches to really understand and anticipate how information may be distributed and received before communication has even occurred and adjust accordingly can lead to more proactive precision climate change communication. The time has come to identify and develop more effective, tailored, and precise communication for climate change.},
}
@article {pmid38830920,
year = {2024},
author = {Sarre, A and Demarcq, H and Keenlyside, N and Krakstad, JO and El Ayoubi, S and Jeyid, AM and Faye, S and Mbaye, A and Sidibeh, M and Brehmer, P},
title = {Climate change impacts on small pelagic fish distribution in Northwest Africa: trends, shifts, and risk for food security.},
journal = {Scientific reports},
volume = {14},
number = {1},
pages = {12684},
pmid = {38830920},
issn = {2045-2322},
support = {101003470//European Commission/ ; 603521//FP7 Cooperation/ ; 01DG12073E//Institut de Recherche pour le D&#xe9;veloppement/ ; 01DG12073E//Bundesministerium f&#xfc;r Bildung und Forschung/ ; Nansen//Norwegian Agency for Development Cooperation/ ; EAF-Nansen//Food and Agriculture Organisation of the United Nations/ ; GCP/INT/730/NOR//Havforskningsinstituttet/ ; },
mesh = {*Climate Change ; Animals ; *Fishes/physiology ; *Food Security ; *Ecosystem ; Fisheries ; Temperature ; },
abstract = {Climate change is recognised to lead to spatial shifts in the distribution of small pelagic fish, likely by altering their environmental optima. Fish supply along the Northwest African coast is significant at both socio-economic and cultural levels. Evaluating the impacts of climatic change on small pelagic fish is a challenge and of serious concern in the context of shared stock management. Evaluating the impact of climate change on the distribution of small pelagic fish, a trend analysis was conducted using data from 2363 trawl samplings and 170,000 km of acoustics sea surveys. Strong warming is reported across the Southern Canary Current Large Marine Ecosystem (CCLME), extending from Morocco to Senegal. Over 34 years, several trends emerged, with the southern CCLME experiencing increases in both wind speed and upwelling intensity, particularly where the coastal upwelling was already the strongest. Despite upwelling-induced cooling mechanisms, sea surface temperature (SST) increased in most areas, indicating the complex interplay of climatic-related stressors in shaping the marine ecosystem. Concomitant northward shifts in the distribution of small pelagic species were attributed to long-term warming trends in SST and a decrease in marine productivity in the south. The abundance of Sardinella aurita, the most abundant species along the coast, has increased in the subtropics and fallen in the intertropical region. Spatial shifts in biomass were observed for other exploited small pelagic species, similar to those recorded for surface isotherms. An intensification in upwelling intensity within the northern and central regions of the system is documented without a change in marine primary productivity. In contrast, upwelling intensity is stable in the southern region, while there is a decline in primary productivity. These environmental differences affected several small pelagic species across national boundaries. This adds a new threat to these recently overexploited fish stocks, making sustainable management more difficult. Such changes must motivate common regional policy considerations for food security and sovereignty in all West African countries sharing the same stocks.},
}
@article {pmid38830285,
year = {2024},
author = {Moussavi A, SMR and Lak, A},
title = {Cultural landscapes in climate change: A framework for resilience in developing countries.},
journal = {Journal of environmental management},
volume = {362},
number = {},
pages = {121310},
doi = {10.1016/j.jenvman.2024.121310},
pmid = {38830285},
issn = {1095-8630},
abstract = {Cultural landscapes, particularly cities with rich historical and cultural heritage, play a crucial role in bolstering the resilience of local communities. The occurrence of climate change-induced phenomena jeopardizes cultural landscapes, resulting in the deterioration of historical structures, natural landscapes, cultural heritage, the economy, and the livelihoods of residents in these areas. Therefore, adopting a resilient approach is essential for the integrated management of cultural landscapes. This study develops a model for enhancing cultural landscape resilience to climate change in Nishapur, a historical and cultural city in Iran. Through desk studies, factors affecting the resilience of cultural landscapes to climate change were extracted in the context of developing countries. Subsequently, a model was developed based on the frequency of the occurrence of dimensions and indicators. Snowball sampling was used to distribute questionnaires to 310 members of the academic and professional communities in the field. Next, confirmatory factor analysis (CFA) was conducted using IBM SEM-AMOS to analyze the data and measure the reliability and validity of the model. The findings indicate that the driving factors of change, such as changes in livelihood and social issues, historical fabric and physical environment, natural hazards, biodiversity patterns, and management patterns, can significantly affect the resilience of cultural landscapes to climate change. The developed model can contribute to policymaking in various fields, including urban design and planning, economics, sociology, and cultural heritage conservation. This can play a vital role in creating cultural landscapes that are resilient to the increasing impacts of climate change.},
}
@article {pmid38828386,
year = {2024},
author = {Wong, A and Frommel, AY and Sumaila, UR and Cheung, WWL},
title = {A traits-based approach to assess aquaculture's contributions to food, climate change, and biodiversity goals.},
journal = {npj ocean sustainability},
volume = {3},
number = {1},
pages = {30},
pmid = {38828386},
issn = {2731-426X},
abstract = {Aquaculture has the potential to support a sustainable and equitable food system in line with the United Nations Sustainable Development Goals (SDG) on food security, climate change, and biodiversity (FCB). Biological diversity amongst aquaculture organisms can drive diverse contributions to such goals. Existing studies have assessed the performance of a limited number of taxa in the general context of improving aquaculture production, but few explicitly consider the biological attributes of farmed aquatic taxa at the FCB nexus. Through a systematic literature review, we identify key traits associated with FCB and evaluate the potential of aquaculture to contribute to FCB goals using a fuzzy logic model. The majority of identified traits are associated with food security, and two-thirds of traits linked with food security are also associated with climate change or biodiversity, revealing potential co-benefits of optimizing a single trait. Correlations between FCB indices further suggest that challenges and opportunities in aquaculture are intertwined across FCB goals, but low mean FCB scores suggest that the focus of aquaculture research and development on food production is insufficient to address food security, much less climate or biodiversity issues. As expected, production-maximizing traits (absolute fecundity, the von Bertalanffy growth function coefficient K, macronutrient density, maximum size, and trophic level as a proxy for feed efficiency) highly influence a species' FCB potential, but so do species preferences for environmental conditions (tolerance to phosphates, nitrates, and pH levels, as well as latitudinal and geographic ranges). Many highly farmed species that are typically associated with food security, especially finfish, score poorly for food, climate, and biodiversity potential. Algae and mollusc species tend to perform well across FCB indices, revealing the importance of non-fish species in achieving FCB goals and potential synergies in integrated multi-trophic aquaculture systems. Overall, this study provides decision-makers with a biologically informed assessment of desirable aquaculture traits and species while illuminating possible strategies to increase support for FCB goals. Our findings can be used as a foundation for studying the socio-economic opportunities and barriers for aquaculture transitions to develop equitable pathways toward FCB-positive aquaculture across nuanced regional contexts.},
}
@article {pmid38827129,
year = {2024},
author = {Liu, S and Liu, Y and Teschke, K and Hindell, MA and Downey, R and Woods, B and Kang, B and Ma, S and Zhang, C and Li, J and Ye, Z and Sun, P and He, J and Tian, Y},
title = {Correction: Incorporating mesopelagic fish into the evaluation of marine protected areas under climate change scenarios.},
journal = {Marine life science &amp; technology},
volume = {6},
number = {2},
pages = {363-364},
doi = {10.1007/s42995-023-00193-y},
pmid = {38827129},
issn = {2662-1746},
abstract = {[This corrects the article DOI: 10.1007/s42995-023-00188-9.].},
}
@article {pmid38826170,
year = {2024},
author = {Yang, L and Ling, J and Lu, L and Zang, D and Zhu, Y and Zhang, S and Zhou, Y and Yi, P and Li, E and Pan, T and Wu, X},
title = {Identification of suitable habitats and priority conservation areas under climate change scenarios for the Chinese alligator (Alligator sinensis).},
journal = {Ecology and evolution},
volume = {14},
number = {6},
pages = {e11477},
pmid = {38826170},
issn = {2045-7758},
abstract = {Amphibians and reptiles, especially the critically endangered Chinese alligators, are vulnerable to climate change. Historically, the decline in suitable habitats and fragmentation has restricted the distribution of Chinese alligators to a small area in southeast Anhui Province in China. However, the effects of climate change on range-restricted Chinese alligator habitats are largely unknown. We aimed to predict current and future (2050s and 2070s) Chinese alligator distribution and identify priority conservation areas under climate change. We employed species distribution models, barycenter migration analyses, and the Marxian model to assess current and future Chinese alligator distribution and identify priority conservation areas under climate change. The results showed that the lowest temperature and rainfall seasonality in the coldest month were the two most important factors affecting the distribution of Chinese alligators. Future predictions indicate a reduction (3.39%-98.41%) in suitable habitats and a westward shift in their distribution. Further, the study emphasizes that suitable habitats for Chinese alligators are threatened by climate change. Despite the impact of the Anhui Chinese Alligator National Nature Reserve, protection gaps persist, with 78.27% of the area lacking priority protected area. Our study provides crucial data for Chinese alligator adaptation to climate change and underscores the need for improved conservation strategies. Future research should refine conservation efforts, consider individual plasticity, and address identified limitations to enhance the resilience of Chinese alligator populations in the face of ongoing climate change.},
}
@article {pmid38826112,
year = {2024},
author = {Maibach, E and Kotcher, J and Patel, L},
title = {We can use our superpower to help end fossil fuel pollution and rise to the challenge of climate change.},
journal = {Journal of communication in healthcare},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {1-3},
doi = {10.1080/17538068.2024.2357949},
pmid = {38826112},
issn = {1753-8076},
abstract = {In this commentary, we argue that health professionals can play a pivotal role in accelerating the adoption of public policies that will help communities, nations, and the world end fossil fuel pollution and rise to the challenges of climate change. We briefly describe our previously published research showing that communicating about fossil fuel pollution and the health relevance of climate change has many benefits in building public support for climate action. Most importantly, we make the case that because health professionals, especially medical doctors and other clinicians, are highly trusted, we collectively have a unique opportunity to bring people together across the political continuum to have constructive dialogues about the intertwined problems of fossil fuel pollution and climate change and what to do about them - even in the current hyper-partisan environment.},
}
@article {pmid38823722,
year = {2024},
author = {Rijal, M and Luo, P and Mishra, BK and Zhou, M and Wang, X},
title = {Global systematical and comprehensive overview of mountainous flood risk under climate change and human activities.},
journal = {The Science of the total environment},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {173672},
doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.173672},
pmid = {38823722},
issn = {1879-1026},
abstract = {Snow-covered mountainous regions are crucial for the hydrologic cycle. Any changes in the 3 cryosphere are critical and directly impact the hydrologic cycle and socio-environment of the 4 downstream. It is likely to occur more extreme events of precipitations, raising the risk of 5 flooding worldwide. Glacier melting is increasing, thus the formation of the moraine-dammed 6 lake called glacial lake, whose outburst may be a catastrophic disaster. Due to steep topography, 7 flash floods with high energy can sweep away infrastructure, electric power stations, property, 8 and livelihood and even change the channel morphology, hence the whole environment. In this 9 article, we present the causes of flooding in mountainous regions and historical trends of 10 mountainous flooding and its management policies. Carbon emission is a driver to increase the 11 temperature of the globe and which is triggering the flash floods in mountainous regions is 12 illustrated using data from different sources. The discussion section includes how technology 13 helps to achieve a climate-resilient environment. Understanding river morphology, mapping 14 and monitoring risks, and simulating essential natural processes are necessary for reducing the 15 cascading hazards in the mountains. There is still a gap in modern data collection techniques in 16 mountainous regions. More advanced technology for regional and global collaborations, 17 climate change adaption, and public awareness can build the climate resilience cryosphere.},
}
@article {pmid38822670,
year = {2024},
author = {Garroway, CJ and de Greef, E and Lefort, KJ and Thorstensen, MJ and Foote, AD and Matthews, CJD and Higdon, JW and Kucheravy, CE and Petersen, SD and Rosing-Asvid, A and Ugarte, F and Dietz, R and Ferguson, SH},
title = {Climate change introduces threatened killer whale populations and conservation challenges to the Arctic.},
journal = {Global change biology},
volume = {30},
number = {6},
pages = {e17352},
doi = {10.1111/gcb.17352},
pmid = {38822670},
issn = {1365-2486},
support = {//Nunavut Wildlife Management Board/ ; //Natural Sciences and Engineering Research Council of Canada/ ; //Fisheries and Oceans Canada/ ; //Prairies DRI/ ; //Digital Research Alliance of Canada - Prairies DRI Group/ ; },
mesh = {Animals ; *Whale, Killer/physiology ; *Climate Change ; Arctic Regions ; *Conservation of Natural Resources ; Endangered Species ; Canada ; },
abstract = {The Arctic is the fastest-warming region on the planet, and the lengthening ice-free season is opening Arctic waters to sub-Arctic species such as the killer whale (Orcinus orca). As apex predators, killer whales can cause significant ecosystem-scale changes. Setting conservation priorities for killer whales and their Arctic prey species requires knowledge of their evolutionary history and demographic trajectory. Using whole-genome resequencing of 24 killer whales sampled in the northwest Atlantic, we first explored the population structure and demographic history of Arctic killer whales. To better understand the broader geographic relationship of these Arctic killer whales to other populations, we compared them to a globally sampled dataset. Finally, we assessed threats to Arctic killer whales due to anthropogenic harvest by reviewing the peer-reviewed and gray literature. We found that there are two highly genetically distinct, non-interbreeding populations of killer whales using the eastern Canadian Arctic. These populations appear to be as genetically different from each other as are ecotypes described elsewhere in the killer whale range; however, our data cannot speak to ecological differences between these populations. One population is newly identified as globally genetically distinct, and the second is genetically similar to individuals sampled from Greenland. The effective sizes of both populations recently declined, and both appear vulnerable to inbreeding and reduced adaptive potential. Our survey of human-caused mortalities suggests that harvest poses an ongoing threat to both populations. The dynamic Arctic environment complicates conservation and management efforts, with killer whales adding top-down pressure on Arctic food webs crucial to northern communities' social and economic well-being. While killer whales represent a conservation priority, they also complicate decisions surrounding wildlife conservation and resource management in the Arctic amid the effects of climate change.},
}
@article {pmid38822198,
year = {2024},
author = {Das, U and Datta, P and Behera, B},
title = {Identification of Major Threats of Climate Change, Hazards, and Anthropogenic Activities on Biodiversity Conservation in the Buxa Tiger Reserve, India.},
journal = {Environmental management},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
pmid = {38822198},
issn = {1432-1009},
abstract = {The Himalayan forests are facing a range of threats, which are making conservation efforts challenging. Using a mixed-method approach, this study investigated the threats to biodiversity conservation in Buxa Tiger Reserve (BTR), a fragile ecosystem in the Eastern Himalayan foothills. The study found that between 1990 and 2021, BTR experienced rising summer temperatures and decreasing annual precipitation, contributing to forest dryness, water scarcity, and forest fires. Natural disasters such as floods, flash floods, earthquakes, and landslides also caused significant damage to wildlife habitats. Changes in land use and land cover, including encroachment, infrastructure development, fuelwood collection, and grazing practices, were also identified as significant drivers of ecosystem alteration. Besides, hunting and poaching also emerged as threats to wildlife populations in the reserve. By employing the Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP), the study determined that land use change, infrastructure development, climate change, livestock grazing, and fuelwood collection pose significant threats to flora conservation outcomes in BTR, while infrastructure development, climate change, livestock grazing, and forest fires are the primary threats to wildlife conservation outcomes in the reserve. The study recommends the regulation of land use practices, promotion of sustainable livelihoods for local communities, effective conservation strategies, and public awareness and education programs to promote the value of biodiversity conservation.},
}
@article {pmid38822036,
year = {2024},
author = {Zhang, Z and Zhang, Q and Chen, B and Yu, Y and Wang, T and Xu, N and Fan, X and Penuelas, J and Fu, Z and Deng, Y and Zhu, YG and Qian, H},
title = {Global biogeography of microbes driving ocean ecological status under climate change.},
journal = {Nature communications},
volume = {15},
number = {1},
pages = {4657},
pmid = {38822036},
issn = {2041-1723},
support = {22241603-3//National Natural Science Foundation of China (National Science Foundation of China)/ ; 22376187//National Natural Science Foundation of China (National Science Foundation of China)/ ; },
mesh = {*Climate Change ; *Oceans and Seas ; *Microbiota ; Seawater/microbiology ; Ecosystem ; Carbon Cycle ; Biodiversity ; },
abstract = {Microbial communities play a crucial role in ocean ecology and global biogeochemical processes. However, understanding the intricate interactions among diversity, taxonomical composition, functional traits, and how these factors respond to climate change remains a significant challenge. Here, we propose seven distinct ecological statuses by systematically considering the diversity, structure, and biogeochemical potential of the ocean microbiome to delineate their biogeography. Anthropogenic climate change is expected to alter the ecological status of the surface ocean by influencing environmental conditions, particularly nutrient and oxygen contents. Our predictive model, which utilizes machine learning, indicates that the ecological status of approximately 32.44% of the surface ocean may undergo changes from the present to the end of this century, assuming no policy interventions. These changes mainly include poleward shifts in the main taxa, increases in photosynthetic carbon fixation and decreases in nutrient metabolism. However, this proportion can decrease significantly with effective control of greenhouse gas emissions. Our study underscores the urgent necessity for implementing policies to mitigate climate change, particularly from an ecological perspective.},
}
@article {pmid38821947,
year = {2024},
author = {van Tiel, N and Fopp, F and Brun, P and van den Hoogen, J and Karger, DN and Casadei, CM and Lyu, L and Tuia, D and Zimmermann, NE and Crowther, TW and Pellissier, L},
title = {Regional uniqueness of tree species composition and response to forest loss and climate change.},
journal = {Nature communications},
volume = {15},
number = {1},
pages = {4375},
pmid = {38821947},
issn = {2041-1723},
support = {204057/WT_/Wellcome Trust/United Kingdom ; 20BD21_193907//Schweizerischer Nationalfonds zur F&#xf6;rderung der Wissenschaftlichen Forschung (Swiss National Science Foundation)/ ; 20BD21_184131//Schweizerischer Nationalfonds zur F&#xf6;rderung der Wissenschaftlichen Forschung (Swiss National Science Foundation)/ ; 204057/WT_/Wellcome Trust/United Kingdom ; 20BD21_193907//Schweizerischer Nationalfonds zur F&#xf6;rderung der Wissenschaftlichen Forschung (Swiss National Science Foundation)/ ; },
mesh = {*Climate Change ; *Forests ; *Trees ; *Biodiversity ; *Phylogeny ; Conservation of Natural Resources ; Ecosystem ; Species Specificity ; },
abstract = {The conservation and restoration of forest ecosystems require detailed knowledge of the native plant compositions. Here, we map global forest tree composition and assess the impacts of historical forest cover loss and climate change on trees. The global occupancy of 10,590 tree species reveals complex taxonomic and phylogenetic gradients determining a local signature of tree lineage assembly. Species occupancy analyses indicate that historical forest loss has significantly restricted the potential suitable range of tree species in all forest biomes. Nevertheless, tropical moist and boreal forest biomes display the lowest level of range restriction and harbor extremely large ranged tree species, albeit with a stark contrast in richness and composition. Climate change simulations indicate that forest biomes are projected to differ in their response to climate change, with the highest predicted species loss in tropical dry and Mediterranean ecoregions. Our findings highlight the need for preserving the remaining large forest biomes while regenerating degraded forests in a way that provides resilience against climate change.},
}
@article {pmid38821079,
year = {2024},
author = {Berg, CD},
title = {Addressing oncology's contribution to climate change.},
journal = {The Lancet. Oncology},
volume = {25},
number = {6},
pages = {690-691},
doi = {10.1016/S1470-2045(24)00214-6},
pmid = {38821079},
issn = {1474-5488},
mesh = {Humans ; *Climate Change ; *Medical Oncology ; *Neoplasms/therapy ; },
}
@article {pmid38820516,
year = {2024},
author = {Cai, C and Lv, L and Wei, S and Zhang, L and Cao, W},
title = {How does climate change affect potential yields of four staple grain crops worldwide by 2030?.},
journal = {PloS one},
volume = {19},
number = {5},
pages = {e0303857},
pmid = {38820516},
issn = {1932-6203},
mesh = {*Climate Change ; *Crops, Agricultural/growth &amp; development ; *Zea mays/growth &amp; development ; *Triticum/growth &amp; development ; *Oryza/growth &amp; development ; Edible Grain/growth &amp; development ; Glycine max/growth &amp; development ; Global Warming ; },
abstract = {Global food security basically depends on potential yields of staple grain crops worldwide, especially under climate change. However, most scholars use various models of production function in which climatic factors are often considered to estimate crop yield mostly at local or regional level. Therefore, in this paper: Potential yields of rice, wheat, maize and soybean worldwide by 2030 are projected creatively using Auto-regressive Integrated Moving Average and Trend Regressed (ARIMA-TR) model in which actual yields in recent two years are used for testing the reliability of projection and Gray System (GS) model for validating the test; Especially individual impacts of climate change on the productions of rice, wheat, maize and soybean worldwide since 1961 are analyzed by using unary regression model in which global mean temperature and land precipitation are independent variable while the yield of crop being dependent one, respectively. Results show that: by 2030, the ratio between average and top yields of world rice is projected to be 50.6% increasing, while those of world wheat, world maize and world soybean are projected to be 38.0% increasing, 14.7% decreasing and 72.5% increasing, respectively. Since 1961 global warming has exerted a negative impact on average yield of world rice less than on its top, a positive effect on average yield of world wheat while a negative impact on its top, a positive effect on average yield of world maize less than on its top, and a positive influence on average yield of world soybean while a negative one on its top, which might be slightly mitigated by 'Carbon Peak' target. The fluctuation of global rainfall contributes to the productions of these crops much less than global warming during same period. Our findings indicate that: to improve global production of four staple grain crops by 2030, the priorities of input should be given to either rice or wheat in both high and low yield countries, whereas to maize in high yield countries and to soybean in low yield countries. These insights highlight some difference from previous studies, and provide academia with innovative comprehension and policy-decision makers with supportive information on sustainable production of these four staple grain crops for global food security under climate change in the future.},
}
@article {pmid38818020,
year = {2024},
author = {Bellehumeur, CR and Carignan, LM},
title = {On proposing relational environmental metaphors to stimulate engagement and foster well-being in the midst of climate change.},
journal = {Frontiers in psychiatry},
volume = {15},
number = {},
pages = {1377205},
pmid = {38818020},
issn = {1664-0640},
abstract = {Messages regarding climate change that are intended to stimulate responsible engagement can impact our mental health in both positive and negative ways, which in turn can increase or limit the potential engagement being sought through those very messages. Increasingly alarmist environmental metaphors are being brought into question due to their possibly detrimental impact on mental health and well-being, and in their place, relational environmental metaphors are proffered to instill hopeful and constructive individual and collective engagement for responsible climate action. This article discusses how both alarmist and relational environmental metaphors interact with eco-emotions. It proposes, in light of concepts arising from Porges' Polyvagal Theory - on the psychophysiology of autonomic states created in contexts of threatening cues and feelings of safety and connection -, that relational environmental metaphors are preferable for stimulating responsible collective engagement and fostering global well-being in the midst of climate change.},
}
@article {pmid38817934,
year = {2024},
author = {Xian, X and Qi, Y and Zhao, H and Cao, J and Jia, T and Yang, N and Wan, F and Weyl, P and Liu, WX},
title = {Temperature extremes nip invasive macrophyte Cabomba caroliniana A. Gray in the bud: potential geographic distributions and risk assessment based on future climate change and anthropogenic influences.},
journal = {Frontiers in plant science},
volume = {15},
number = {},
pages = {1393663},
pmid = {38817934},
issn = {1664-462X},
abstract = {Cabomba caroliniana A. Gray, an ornamental submerged plant indigenous to tropical America, has been introduced to numerous countries in Europe, Asia, and Oceania, impacting native aquatic ecosystems. Given this species is a popular aquarium plant and widely traded, there is a high risk of introduction and invasion into other environments. In the current study the potential global geographic distribution of C. caroliniana was predicted under the effects of climate change and human influence in an optimised MaxEnt model. The model used rigorously screened occurrence records of C. caroliniana from hydro informatic datasets and 20 associated influencing factors. The findings indicate that temperature and human-mediated activities significantly influenced the distribution of C. caroliniana. At present, C. caroliniana covers an area of approximately 1531×10[4] km[2] of appropriate habitat, especially in the south-eastern parts of South, central and North America, Southeast Asia, eastern Australia, and most of Europe. The suitable regions are anticipated to expand under future climate scenarios; however, the dynamics of the changes vary between different extents of climate change. For example, C. caroliniana is expected to expand to higher latitudes, following global temperature increases under SSP1-2.6 and SSP2-4.5 scenarios, however, intolerance to temperature extremes may mediate invasion at higher latitudes under future extreme climate scenarios, e.g., SSP5-8.5. Owing to the severe impacts its invasion causes, early warning and stringent border quarantine processes are required to guard against the introduction of C. caroliniana especially in the invasion hotspots such as, Peru, Italy, and South Korea.},
}
@article {pmid38815223,
year = {2024},
author = {Becker, J and McDermott-Levy, R and Moore, C and Mitsdarffer, ML},
title = {Social Capital as a Framework to Address Organizational Climate Change Policy.},
journal = {Journal of gerontological nursing},
volume = {50},
number = {6},
pages = {11-15},
doi = {10.3928/00989134-20240502-02},
pmid = {38815223},
issn = {0098-9134},
mesh = {Humans ; *Climate Change ; Pennsylvania ; Aged ; *Social Capital ; Organizational Policy ; Male ; Female ; Surveys and Questionnaires ; Geriatric Nursing ; Aged, 80 and over ; Middle Aged ; Health Policy ; },
abstract = {PURPOSE: To examine state Area Agencies on Aging (AAAs) in Pennsylvania for services they provide to older adults regarding extreme events and how readiness can be captured through social networks and policies at the local, state, and federal levels.<br><br>METHOD: Using an online survey, 79% of AAA directors answered questions describing perceptions and actions related to social capital and its influence on policy.<br><br>RESULTS: AAAs acknowledged weather/temperature changes impact the need to prepare for common scenarios of extreme weather, temperature, and flooding. AAAs reported major social connections with county government and one state agency, with limited connections with federal agencies.<br><br>CONCLUSION: Multiple opportunities exist for AAAs to consider climate change in expansion efforts, specifically regarding health care. Geriatric nurses can play a key role in expansion, advocacy, and policy development for AAAs that serve older adults in the context of climate change. [Journal of Gerontological Nursing, 50(6), 11-15.].},
}
@article {pmid38814920,
year = {2024},
author = {Dalapati, T and Alway, EJ and Mantri, S and Mitchell, P and George, IA and Kaplan, S and Andolsek, KM and Velkey, JM and Lawson, J and Muzyk, AJ},
title = {Development of a curricular thread to foster medical students' critical reflection and promote action on climate change, health, and equity.},
journal = {PloS one},
volume = {19},
number = {5},
pages = {e0303615},
pmid = {38814920},
issn = {1932-6203},
mesh = {Humans ; *Climate Change ; *Students, Medical/psychology ; *Curriculum ; Education, Medical, Undergraduate ; Health Equity ; Problem-Based Learning ; Female ; Male ; },
abstract = {INTRODUCTION: Due to the health consequences arising from climate change, medical students will inevitably interact with affected patients during their training and careers. Accordingly, medical schools must incorporate education on the impacts of climate change on health and equity into their curricula. We created a curricular thread called "Climate Change, Health, and Equity" in the first-year preclinical medical program to teach foundational concepts and foster self-reflection and critical consciousness.<br><br>METHODS: The authors developed a continuum of practice including administrators, educators and faculty members, students, and community partners to plan and design curricular activities. First-year medical students at Duke University School of Medicine participated in seven mandatory foundational lectures and two experiential learning opportunities in the local community. Following completion of activities, students wrote a critical reflection essay and completed a self-directed learning exercise. Essays were evaluated using the REFLECT rubric to assess if students achieved critical reflection and for thematic analysis by Bloom's Taxonomy.<br><br>RESULTS: All students (118) submitted essays. A random sample of 30 (25%) essays underwent analysis. Evaluation by the REFLECT rubric underscored that all students were reflecting or critically reflecting on thread content. Thematic analysis highlighted that all students (30/30, 100%) were adept at identifying new areas of medical knowledge and connecting concepts to individual experiences, institutional practices, and public health and policy. Most students (27/30; 90%) used emotionally laden words, expressing negative feelings like frustration and fear but also positive sentiments of solidarity and hope regarding climate change and effects on health. Many students (24/30; 80%) expressed actionable items at every level including continuing self-directed learning and conversing with patients, minimizing healthcare waste, and advocating for climate-friendly policies.<br><br>CONCLUSION: After participating in the curricular thread, most medical students reflected on cognitive, affective, and actionable aspects relating to climate change, health, and equity.},
}
@article {pmid38814862,
year = {2024},
author = {Konkel Neabore, L},
title = {Erratum: "Wake-up Call: Rapid Increase in Human Fungal Diseases under Climate Change".},
journal = {Environmental health perspectives},
volume = {132},
number = {5},
pages = {59001},
doi = {10.1289/EHP15250},
pmid = {38814862},
issn = {1552-9924},
}
@article {pmid38814855,
year = {2024},
author = {Williams, SL and Toda, M and Chiller, T and Brunkard, JM and Litvintseva, AP},
title = {Effects of climate change on fungal infections.},
journal = {PLoS pathogens},
volume = {20},
number = {5},
pages = {e1012219},
pmid = {38814855},
issn = {1553-7374},
mesh = {*Climate Change ; Humans ; *Mycoses/microbiology ; Fungi/pathogenicity ; Animals ; },
}
@article {pmid38814622,
year = {2024},
author = {Nogueira, LM and Ross, AJ and D'Angelo, H and Neta, G},
title = {Climate Change in Comprehensive Cancer Control Plans in the US.},
journal = {JAMA oncology},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1001/jamaoncol.2024.1294},
pmid = {38814622},
issn = {2374-2445},
}
@article {pmid38813895,
year = {2024},
author = {Kish-Doto, J and Gloria, CT},
title = {Change is in the air: considerations for how we communicate about climate change and health.},
journal = {Journal of communication in healthcare},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {1-3},
doi = {10.1080/17538068.2024.2357948},
pmid = {38813895},
issn = {1753-8076},
}
@article {pmid38812737,
year = {2024},
author = {Zheng, Y and Yang, Q and Zhou, H and Xu, M},
title = {Editorial: Carbon-water-nitrogen processes and mechanisms of agricultural and forest ecosystems under future climate change.},
journal = {Frontiers in plant science},
volume = {15},
number = {},
pages = {1423506},
doi = {10.3389/fpls.2024.1423506},
pmid = {38812737},
issn = {1664-462X},
}
@article {pmid38811837,
year = {2024},
author = {Chevalier, M and Broennimann, O and Guisan, A},
title = {Climate change may reveal currently unavailable parts of species' ecological niches.},
journal = {Nature ecology &amp; evolution},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
pmid = {38811837},
issn = {2397-334X},
support = {315230_184908//Schweizerischer Nationalfonds zur F&#xf6;rderung der Wissenschaftlichen Forschung (Swiss National Science Foundation)/ ; 310030L_197777//Schweizerischer Nationalfonds zur F&#xf6;rderung der Wissenschaftlichen Forschung (Swiss National Science Foundation)/ ; },
abstract = {The ability of climatic niche models to predict species extinction risks can be hampered if niches are incompletely quantified. This can occur when niches are estimated considering only currently available climatic conditions, disregarding the fact that climate change can open up portions of the fundamental niche that are currently inaccessible to species. Using a new metric, we estimate the prevalence of potential situations of fundamental niche truncation by measuring whether current ecological niche limits are contiguous to the boundaries of currently available climatic conditions for 24,944 species at the global scale in both terrestrial and marine realms and including animals and plants. We show that 12,172 (~49%) species are showing niche contiguity, particularly those inhabiting tropical ecosystems and the marine realm. Using niche expansion scenarios, we find that 86% of species showing niche contiguity could have a fundamental niche potentially expanding beyond current climatic limits, resulting in lower-yet still alarming-rates of predicted biodiversity loss, particularly within the tropics. Caution is therefore advised when forecasting future distributions of species presenting niche contiguity, particularly towards climatic limits that are predicted to expand in the future.},
}
@article {pmid38811783,
year = {2024},
author = {Coleman, J},
title = {Chance of heatwaves in India rising with climate change.},
journal = {Nature},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1038/d41586-024-01577-5},
pmid = {38811783},
issn = {1476-4687},
}
@article {pmid38810746,
year = {2024},
author = {Fernández, TI and Rubilar, O and Parada, J and Fincheira, P and Benavides-Mendoza, A and Duran, P and Fernández-Baldo, M and Seabra, AB and Tortella, GR},
title = {Metal nanoparticles and pesticides under global climate change: Assessing the combined effects of multiple abiotic stressors on soil microbial ecosystems.},
journal = {The Science of the total environment},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {173494},
doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.173494},
pmid = {38810746},
issn = {1879-1026},
abstract = {The soil is a vital resource that hosts many microorganisms crucial in biogeochemical cycles and ecosystem health. However, human activities such as the use of metal nanoparticles (MNPs), pesticides and the impacts of global climate change (GCCh) can significantly affect soil microbial communities (SMC). For many years, pesticides and, more recently, nanoparticles have contributed to sustainable agriculture to ensure continuous food production to sustain the significant growth of the world population and, therefore, the demand for food. Pesticides have a recognized pest control capacity. On the other hand, nanoparticles have demonstrated a high ability to improve water and nutrient retention, promote plant growth, and control pests. However, it has been reported that their accumulation in agricultural soils can also adversely affect the environment and soil microbial health. In addition, climate change, with its variations in temperature and extreme water conditions, can lead to drought and increased soil salinity, modifying both soil conditions and the composition and function of microbial communities. Abiotic stressors can interact and synergistically or additively affect soil microorganisms, significantly impacting soil functioning and the capacity to provide ecosystem services. Therefore, this work reviewed the current scientific literature to understand how multiple stressors interact and affect the SMC. In addition, the importance of molecular tools such as metagenomics, metatranscriptomics, proteomics, or metabolomics in the study of the responses of SMC to exposure to multiple abiotic stressors was examined. Future research directions were also proposed, focusing on exploring the complex interactions between stressors and their long-term effects and developing strategies for sustainable soil management. These efforts will contribute to the preservation of soil health and the promotion of sustainable agricultural practices.},
}
@article {pmid38810531,
year = {2024},
author = {Lin, PJ and Hershey, MS and Lee, TI and Shih, CW and Tausi, S and Sosene, V and Maani, PP and Tupulaga, M and Hsu, YT and Chang, CR and Wu, SM and López-Gil, JF and Tang, LI and Shiau, SC and Lo, YH and Wei, CF},
title = {Temporal trends of food consumption patterns in Tuvalu under the context of climate change: COMmunity-based Behavior and Attitude survey in Tuvalu (COMBAT) since 2020.},
journal = {Nutrition (Burbank, Los Angeles County, Calif.)},
volume = {125},
number = {},
pages = {112488},
doi = {10.1016/j.nut.2024.112488},
pmid = {38810531},
issn = {1873-1244},
abstract = {AIM: The aim of this study was to analyze temporal trends of food consumption patterns, attitudes, and health-related knowledge in Tuvalu, a small Pacific Island country facing the triple threat of obesity, climate change, and food insecurity.<br><br>METHODS: Two waves of the COMmunity-based Behavior and Attitude (COMBAT) survey were conducted in 2020 and 2022. Descriptive characteristics of changes in obesity proportion, food intake, and sociodemographic factors were assessed. Additionally, this study also integrates individual climate data utilizing satellite-based prediction models, and estimates historical temperature, precipitation, and sea level trends among all islands in Tuvalu.<br><br>RESULTS: The study revealed a high obesity proportion among adults (69.5% in 2020, 73.2% in 2022) and an increase in the percentage of adolescents with a high waist circumference. Variations in food intake were also observed between the two waves of the survey.<br><br>CONCLUSIONS: The data collected in the COMBAT study provides valuable insights for future epidemiological research to elucidate the associations and causal relationships between climate change, food security, and non-communicable diseases in Tuvalu.},
}
@article {pmid38809135,
year = {2024},
author = {Walker, DM and Swoboda, CM and Garman, AN and DePUCCIO, MJ and Mayers, E and Sinclair, A and McALEARNEY, AS},
title = {Does Climate Change Affect Health? Beliefs from the Health Information National Trends Survey.},
journal = {Journal of health communication},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {1-7},
doi = {10.1080/10810730.2024.2360023},
pmid = {38809135},
issn = {1087-0415},
abstract = {Climate change is currently and will continue impacting human health, however, beliefs about the level of threat vary by demographics, region, and ideology. The purpose of this study was to assess factors related to climate change and health beliefs using cross-sectional data from the Health Information National Trends Survey (HINTS). Data from 5,075 respondents in the 2022 iteration of HINTS was used for this study. Chi-square tests were used to evaluate demographic differences among those who believe climate change will harm health a lot compared to some, a little, or not at all. Generalized ordinal logistic regression models were used to examine the relationship between the belief that climate change will harm health and independent variables regarding trust in scientists, health recommendations from experts, and demographic characteristics. Female, Black, Hispanic, and college graduate respondents had higher odds and people in the Southern U.S. those aged 35-49, 50-64, and 75years or older had significantly lower odds of believing climate change would harm their health. Those who trust information about cancer from scientists and those that believe health recommendations from experts conflict or change had higher odds of believing climate change would harm health. Our analysis highlights factors that impact climate change and health beliefs, which may provide targets for tailoring public health messages to address this issue.},
}
@article {pmid38807083,
year = {2024},
author = {Wesselkamp, M and Roberts, DR and Dormann, CF},
title = {Identifying potential provenances for climate-change adaptation using spatially variable coefficient models.},
journal = {BMC ecology and evolution},
volume = {24},
number = {1},
pages = {70},
pmid = {38807083},
issn = {2730-7182},
mesh = {*Climate Change ; *Pseudotsuga/genetics ; Ecotype ; Adaptation, Physiological ; Models, Biological ; North America ; },
abstract = {BACKGROUND: Selection of climate-change adapted ecotypes of commercially valuable species to date relies on DNA-assisted screening followed by growth trials. For trees, such trials can take decades, hence any approach that supports focussing on a likely set of candidates may save time and money. We use a non-stationary statistical analysis with spatially varying coefficients to identify ecotypes that indicate first regions of similarly adapted varieties of Douglas-fir (Pseudotsuga menziesii (Mirbel) Franco) in North America. For over 70,000 plot-level presence-absences, spatial differences in the survival response to climatic conditions are identified.<br><br>RESULTS: The spatially-variable coefficient model fits the data substantially better than a stationary, i.e. constant-effect analysis (as measured by AIC to account for differences in model complexity). Also, clustering the model terms identifies several potential ecotypes that could not be derived from clustering climatic conditions itself. Comparing these six identified ecotypes to known genetically diverging regions shows some congruence, as well as some mismatches. However, comparing ecotypes among each other, we find clear differences in their climate niches.<br><br>CONCLUSION: While our approach is data-demanding and computationally expensive, with the increasing availability of data on species distributions this may be a useful first screening step during the search for climate-change adapted varieties. With our unsupervised learning approach being explorative, finely resolved genotypic data would be helpful to improve its quantitative validation.},
}
@article {pmid38806523,
year = {2024},
author = {Lu, L and Johnson, M and Zhu, F and Xu, Y and Ruan, T and Chan, FKS},
title = {Harnessing the runoff reduction potential of urban bioswales as an adaptation response to climate change.},
journal = {Scientific reports},
volume = {14},
number = {1},
pages = {12207},
pmid = {38806523},
issn = {2045-2322},
support = {2021YFE0193100//National Key R&amp;D Program of China/ ; 2019YFC1510400//National Key R&amp;D Program of China/ ; CKCEST-2022-1-41//Construction Project of China Knowledge Centre for Engineering Sciences and Technology/ ; NSFC41850410497//National Science Foundation Program of China/ ; },
abstract = {Nature-based solutions (NbS), including China's Sponge City Program (SCP), can address the challenges urban communities face due to surface runoff and flooding. The current capacity of SCP facilities in urban environments falls short of meeting the demands placed on communities by climate change. Bioswales are a form of SCP facility that plays an important role in reducing surface runoff by promoting infiltration. This study assesses the potential of SCP facilities to reduce runoff in urban communities under climate change using the storm water management model. The study site in Ningbo, China, was used to evaluate the potential role of bioswales in reducing runoff risks from climate change. We found that bioswales were most effective in scenarios when rainfall peaks occurred early and were less effective in right-skewed rainfall events. The overall performance of SCP facilities was similar across all climate scenarios. To maintain the current protection level of SCP facilities, bioswales would need to cover at least 4% of the catchment area. These findings from Ningbo provide a useful method for assessing NbS in other regions and indicative values for the increase in the bioswale coverage needed to adapt to climate change.},
}
@article {pmid38804095,
year = {2024},
author = {Kharouba, HM},
title = {Shifting the paradigm: The role of introduced plants in the resiliency of terrestrial ecosystems to climate change.},
journal = {Global change biology},
volume = {30},
number = {5},
pages = {e17319},
doi = {10.1111/gcb.17319},
pmid = {38804095},
issn = {1365-2486},
mesh = {Animals ; *Climate Change ; Conservation of Natural Resources ; *Ecosystem ; Insecta/physiology ; *Introduced Species ; Plant Physiological Phenomena ; *Plants ; },
abstract = {Current ecological communities are in a constant state of flux from climate change and from species introductions. Recent discussion has focused on the positive roles introduced species can play in ecological communities and on the importance of conserving resilient ecosystems, but not how these two ideas intersect. There has been insufficient work to define the attributes needed to support ecosystem resilience to climate change in modern communities. Here, I argue that non-invasive, introduced plant species could play an important role in supporting the resilience of terrestrial ecosystems to climate change. Using examples from multiple taxonomic groups and ecosystems, I discuss how introduced plants can contribute to ecosystem resilience via their roles in plant and insect communities, as well as their associated ecosystem functions. I highlight the current and potential contributions of introduced plants and where there are critical knowledge gaps. Determining when and how introduced plants are contributing to the resilience of ecosystems to climate change will contribute to effective conservation strategies.},
}
@article {pmid38803889,
year = {2024},
author = {Reta, BG and Hatiye, SD and Finsa, MM},
title = {Crop water requirement and irrigation scheduling under climate change scenario, and optimal cropland allocation in lower kulfo catchment.},
journal = {Heliyon},
volume = {10},
number = {10},
pages = {e31332},
pmid = {38803889},
issn = {2405-8440},
abstract = {Crop water requirement and irrigation scheduling in Lower Kulfo Catchment of southern Ethiopia have not assessed under climate change scenarios, and the allocation of crop land also not optimal that signifcantly challenges to crop productivity.Therefore, this study was conducted to evaluate the effects of climate change on future crop water requirements, and irrigation scheduling, and to allocate cropland optimally. Bias of projected precipitation and temperature were corrected by utilizing Climate Model data with the hydrologic modeling tool (CMhyd). Alongside, crop water requirements and irrigation scheduling were assessed using Crop Water Assessment Tool. After estimating crop water requirement, crop land were allocated optimally using General Algebraic Modeling System programming with non-negativity constraints (scenario 1), and non-negativity constraints based on farmers adaptation (scenario 2). Average reference evapotranspiration from 2030 to 2050 and 2060 to 2080 was increased by 11.9 %, and 16.2 %, respectively compared with the reference period (2010-2022). The total seasonal crop water requirements were 4,529 mm, 4866.7 mm, and 5272.2 mm under 2010 to 2022, 2030 to 2050, and 2060 to 2080 climate change scenarios, respectively. The meean irrigation interval in 2010-2022, 2030 to 2050, and 2060 to 2080 climate change scenarios were 8 days, 7 days, and 5 days, respectively. This irrigation interval was decreased by 14 % (2030-2050), and 34 % (2060-2080) compared with the reference period. In 2030 to 2050 and 2026 to 2080 climate change scenarios, the required irrigation water at the inlet of main canal increased by 6.8 %, and 18 %, respectively. The optimal allocated area for tomato (60.4 %), maize (20.8 %), and watermelon (18.8 %) in scenario 1 with net benefit of 1.47*108 Ethiopian Birr. The allocated areas in scenario 2 were (48 %) for maize, (31.6 %) for tomato, and (20.4 %) for watermelon with 1.34*10[8] Ethiopian Birr net benefit it was reduced by 19.1 % compared with the net benefit in scenario 1. Fruit crops alone may not suffice for local food needs and to address this, small farmers should grow maize, tomato, and watermelon. This research aids policymakers in encouraging climate-resilient agriculture and improving small-scale farmers' awareness through conducting workshops and training.},
}
@article {pmid38803808,
year = {2024},
author = {Katapally, TR and Bhawra, J},
title = {Inverting social innovation to transform health system responses to climate change adaptation and mitigation in the global south.},
journal = {Frontiers in public health},
volume = {12},
number = {},
pages = {1333163},
pmid = {38803808},
issn = {2296-2565},
mesh = {*Climate Change ; Humans ; Global Health ; Delivery of Health Care ; Public Health ; },
abstract = {Systems thinking is aimed at understanding and solving complex problems that cut across sectors, an approach that requires accurate, timely, and multisectoral data. Citizen-driven big data can advance systems thinking, considering the widespread use of digital devices. Using digital platforms, data from these devices can transform health systems to predict and prevent global health crises and respond rapidly to emerging crises by providing citizens with real-time support. For example, citizens can obtain real-time support to help with public health risks via a digital app, which can predict evolving risks. These big data can be aggregated and visualized on digital dashboards, which can provide decision-makers with advanced data analytics to facilitate jurisdiction-level rapid responses to evolving climate change impacts (e.g., direct public health crisis communication). In the context of climate change, digital platforms can strengthen rapid responses by integrating information across systems (e.g., food, health, and social services) via citizen big data. More importantly, these big data can be used for rapid decision-making,a paradigm-changing approach that can invert social innovation, which we define as co-conceptualizing societal solutions with vulnerable communities to improve economic development with a focus on community wellbeing. However, to foster equitable and inclusive digital partnerships that invert social innovation, it is critical to avoid top-down approaches that sometimes result when researchers in the Global North and South collaborate. Equitable Global South-North partnerships can be built by combining digital citizen science and community-based participatory research to ethically leverage citizen-driven big data for rapid responses across international jurisdictions.},
}
@article {pmid38801300,
year = {2024},
author = {Ittefaq, M},
title = {Climate Communication, Public Health, and Social Media: Examining the Role of Health Agencies in Addressing the Impacts of Climate Change on Human Health.},
journal = {Journal of health communication},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {1-9},
doi = {10.1080/10810730.2024.2360021},
pmid = {38801300},
issn = {1087-0415},
abstract = {The impacts of climate change on human health are a critical public health concern, with previous studies highlighting its clear effects on well-being. Understanding how state and territorial health agencies (STHAs) are addressing these emerging risks is important. This study conducted 26 in-depth interviews across the U.S. to explore the perceptions and communication strategies of STHA officials regarding climate change's impact on human health. Additionally, the study sought to identify the primary challenges faced by these officials to effectively communicate the impacts. Thematic analysis of the data revealed three major themes: community building and coalitions, climate denialism on social media, and misinformation about climate change and its effects on human health. These findings offer valuable insights for climate change and public health communication. The importance of the STHAs' development of technical and informational capacity to effectively communicate climate-related risks and threats is emphasized.},
}
@article {pmid38800647,
year = {2024},
author = {Hartinger, SM and Palmeiro-Silva, YK and Llerena-Cayo, C and Blanco-Villafuerte, L and Escobar, LE and Diaz, A and Sarmiento, JH and Lescano, AG and Melo, O and Rojas-Rueda, D and Takahashi, B and Callaghan, M and Chesini, F and Dasgupta, S and Posse, CG and Gouveia, N and Martins de Carvalho, A and Miranda-Chacón, Z and Mohajeri, N and Pantoja, C and Robinson, EJZ and Salas, MF and Santiago, R and Sauma, E and Santos-Vega, M and Scamman, D and Sergeeva, M and Souza de Camargo, T and Sorensen, C and Umaña, JD and Yglesias-González, M and Walawender, M and Buss, D and Romanello, M},
title = {The 2023 Latin America report of the Lancet Countdown on health and climate change: the imperative for health-centred climate-resilient development.},
journal = {Lancet regional health. Americas},
volume = {33},
number = {},
pages = {100746},
pmid = {38800647},
issn = {2667-193X},
abstract = {In 2023, a series of climatological and political events unfolded, partly driving forward the global climate and health agenda while simultaneously exposing important disparities and vulnerabilities to climate-related events. On the policy front, a significant step forward was marked by the inaugural Health Day at COP28, acknowledging the profound impacts of climate change on health. However, the first-ever Global Stocktake showed an important gap between the current progress and the targets outlined in the Paris Agreement, underscoring the urgent need for further and decisive action. From a Latin American perspective, some questions arise: How do we achieve the change that is needed? How to address the vulnerabilities to climate change in a region with long-standing social inequities? How do we promote intersectoral collaboration to face a complex problem such as climate change? The debate is still ongoing, and in many instances, it is just starting. The renamed regional centre Lancet Countdown Latin America (previously named Lancet Countdown South America) expanded its geographical scope adding Mexico and five Central American countries: Costa Rica, El Salvador, Guatemala, Honduras, and Panama, as a response to the need for stronger collaboration in a region with significant social disparities, including research capacities and funding. The centre is an independent and multidisciplinary collaboration that tracks the links between health and climate change in Latin America, following the global Lancet Countdown's methodologies and five domains. The Lancet Countdown Latin America work hinges on the commitment of 23 regional academic institutions, United Nations agencies, and 34 researchers who generously contribute their time and expertise. Building from the first report, the 2023 report of the Lancet Countdown Latin America, presents 34 indicators that track the relationship between health and climate change up to 2022, aiming at providing evidence to public decision-making with the purpose of improving the health and wellbeing of Latin American populations and reducing social inequities through climate actions focusing on health. This report shows that Latin American populations continue to observe a growing exposure to changing climatic conditions. A warming trend has been observed across all countries in Latin America, with severe direct impacts. In 2022, people were exposed to ambient temperatures, on average, 0.38 °C higher than in 1986-2005, with Paraguay experiencing the highest anomaly (+1.9 °C), followed by Argentina (+1.2 °C) and Uruguay (+0.9 °C) (indicator 1.1.1). In 2013-2022, infants were exposed to 248% more heatwave days and people over 65 years old were exposed to 271% more heatwave days than in 1986-2005 (indicator 1.1.2). Also, compared to 1991-2000, in 2013-2022, there were 256 and 189 additional annual hours per person, during which ambient heat posed at least moderate and high risk of heat stress during light outdoor physical activity in Latin America, respectively (indicator 1.1.3). Finally, the region had a 140% increase in heat-related mortality from 2000-2009 to 2013-2022 (indicator 1.1.4). Changes in ecosystems have led to an increased risk of wildfires, exposing individuals to very or extremely high fire danger for more extended periods (indicator 1.2.1). Additionally, the transmission potential for dengue by Aedes aegypti mosquitoes has risen by 54% from 1951-1960 to 2013-2022 (indicator 1.3), which aligns with the recent outbreaks and increasing dengue cases observed across Latin America in recent months. Based on the 2023 report of the Lancet Countdown Latin America, there are three key messages that Latin America needs to further explore and advance for a health-centred climate-resilient development. Latin American countries require intersectoral public policies that simultaneously increase climate resilience, reduce social inequities, improve population health, and reduce greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions. The findings show that adaptation policies in Latin America remain weak, with a pressing need for robust vulnerability and adaptation (V&amp;A) assessments to address climate risks effectively. Unfortunately, such assessments are scarce. Up to 2021, Brazil is the only country that has completed and officially reported a V&amp;A to the 2021 Global Survey conducted by the World Health Organization (WHO). Argentina, Guatemala, and Panama have also conducted them, but they have not been reported (indicator 2.1.1). Similarly, efforts in developing and implementing Health National Adaptation Plans (HNAPs) are varied and limited in scope. Brazil, Chile, and Uruguay are the only countries that have an HNAP (indicator 2.1.2). Moreover, self-reported city-level climate change risk assessments are very limited in the region (indicator 2.1.3). The collaboration between meteorological and health sectors remains insufficient, with only Argentina, Brazil, Colombia, and Guatemala self-reporting some level of integration (indicator 2.2.1), hindering comprehensive responses to climate-related health risks in the region. Additionally, despite the urgent need for action, there has been minimal progress in increasing urban greenspaces across the region since 2015, with only Colombia, Nicaragua, and Venezuela showing slight improvements (indicator 2.2.2). Compounding these challenges is the decrease in funding for climate change adaptation projects in Latin America, as evidenced by the 16% drop in funds allocated by the Green Climate Fund (GCF) in 2022 compared to 2021. Alarmingly, none of the funds approved in 2022 were directed toward climate change and health projects, highlighting a critical gap in addressing health-related climate risks (indicator 2.2.3). From a vulnerability perspective, the Mosquito Risk Index (MoRI) indicates an overall decrease in severe mosquito-borne disease risk in the region due to improvements in water, sanitation, and hygiene (WASH) (indicator 2.3.1). Brazil and Paraguay were the only countries that showed an increase in this indicator. It is worth noting that significant temporal variation within and between countries still persists, suggesting inadequate preparedness for climate-related changes. Overall, population health is not solely determined by the health sector, nor are climate policies a sole responsibility of the environmental sector. More and stronger intersectoral collaboration is needed to pave development pathways that consider solid adaptation to climate change, greater reductions of GHG emissions, and that increase social equity and population health. These policies involve sectors such as finance, transport, energy, housing, health, and agriculture, requiring institutional structures and policy instruments that allow long-term intersectoral collaboration. Latin American countries need to accelerate an energy transition that prioritises people's health and wellbeing, reduces energy poverty and air pollution, and maximises health and economic gains. In Latin America, there is a notable disparity in energy transition, with electricity generation from coal increasing by an average of 2.6% from 1991-2000 to 2011-2020, posing a challenge to efforts aimed at phasing out coal (indicator 3.1.1). However, this percentage increase is conservative as it may not include all the fossil fuels for thermoelectric electricity generation, especially during climate-related events and when hydropower is affected (Panel 4). Yet, renewable energy sources have been growing, increasing by an average of 5.7% during the same period. Access to clean fuels for cooking remains a concern, with 46.3% of the rural population in Central America and 23.3% in South America lacking access to clean fuels in 2022 (indicator 3.1.2). It is crucial to highlight the concerning overreliance on fossil fuels, particularly liquefied petroleum gas (LPG), as a primary cooking fuel. A significant majority of Latin American populations, approximately 74.6%, rely on LPG for cooking. Transitioning to cleaner heating and cooking alternatives could also have a health benefit by reducing household air pollution-related mortality. Fossil fuels continue to dominate road transport energy in Latin America, accounting for 96%, although some South American countries are increasing the use of biofuels (indicator 3.1.3). Premature mortality attributable to fossil-fuel-derived PM2.5 has shown varied trends across countries, increasing by 3.9% from 2005 to 2020 across Latin America, which corresponds to 123.5 premature deaths per million people (indicator 3.2.1). The Latin American countries with the highest premature mortality rate attributable to PM2.5 in 2020 were Chile, Peru, Brazil, Colombia, Mexico, and Paraguay. Of the total premature deaths attributable to PM2.5 in 2020, 19.1% was from transport, 12.3% from households, 11.6% from industry, and 11% from agriculture. From emission and capture of GHG perspective, commodity-driven deforestation and expansion of agricultural land remain major contributors to tree cover loss in the region, accounting for around 80% of the total loss (indicator 3.3). Additionally, animal-based food production in Latin America contributes 85% to agricultural CO2 equivalent emissions, with Argentina, Brazil, Panama, Paraguay, and Uruguay ranking highest in per capita emissions (indicator 3.4.1). From a health perspective, in 2020, approximately 870,000 deaths were associated with imbalanced diets, of which 155,000 (18%) were linked to high intake of red and processed meat and dairy products (indicator 3.4.2). Energy transition in Latin America is still in its infancy, and as a result, millions of people are currently exposed to dangerous levels of air pollution and energy poverty (i.e., lack of access to essential energy sources or services). As shown in this report, the levels of air pollution, outdoors and indoors, are a significant problem in the whole region, with marked disparities between urban and rural areas. In 2022, Peru, Chile, Mexico, Guatemala, Colombia, El Salvador, Brazil, Uruguay, Honduras, Panama, and Nicaragua were in the top 100 most polluted countries globally. Transitioning to cleaner sources of energy, phasing out fossil fuels, and promoting better energy efficiency in the industrial and housing sectors are not only climate mitigation measures but also huge health and economic opportunities for more prosperous and healthy societies. Latin American countries need to increase climate finance through permanent fiscal commitments and multilateral development banks to pave climate-resilient development pathways. Climate change poses significant economic costs, with investments in mitigation and adaptation measures progressing slowly. In 2022, economic losses due to weather-related extreme events in Latin America were US$15.6 billion -an amount mainly driven by floods and landslides in Brazil-representing 0.28% of Latin America's Gross Domestic Product (GDP) (indicator 4.1.1). In contrast to high-income countries, most of these losses lack insurance coverage, imposing a substantial financial strain on affected families and governments. Heat-related mortality among individuals aged 65 and older in Latin America reached alarming levels, with losses exceeding the equivalent of the average income of 451,000 people annually (indicator 4.1.2). Moreover, the total potential income loss due to heat-related labour capacity reduction amounted to 1.34% of regional GDP, disproportionately affecting the agriculture and construction sectors (indicator 4.1.3). Additionally, the economic toll of premature mortality from air pollution was substantial, equivalent to a significant portion of regional GDP (0.61%) (indicator 4.1.4). On a positive note, clean energy investments in the region increased in 2022, surpassing fossil fuel investments. However, in 2020, all countries reviewed continued to offer net-negative carbon prices, revealing fossil fuel subsidies totalling US$23 billion. Venezuela had the highest net subsidies relative to current health expenditure (123%), followed by Argentina (10.5%), Bolivia (10.3%), Ecuador (8.3%), and Chile (5.6%) (indicator 4.2.1). Fossil fuel-based energy is today more expensive than renewable energy. Fossil fuel burning drives climate change and damages the environment on which people depend, and air pollution derived from the burning of fossil fuels causes seven million premature deaths each year worldwide, along with a substantial burden of disease. Transitioning to sustainable, zero-emission energy sources, fostering healthier food systems, and expediting adaptation efforts promise not only environmental benefits but also significant economic gains. However, to implement mitigation and adaptation policies that also improve social wellbeing and prosperity, stronger and solid financial systems are needed. Climate finance in Latin American countries is scarce and strongly depends on political cycles, which threatens adequate responses to the current and future challenges. Progress on the climate agenda is lagging behind the urgent pace required. While engagement with the intersection of health and climate change is increasing, government involvement remains inadequate. Newspaper coverage of health and climate change has been on the rise, peaking in 2022, yet the proportion of climate change articles discussing health has declined over time (indicator 5.1). Although there has been significant growth in the number of scientific papers focusing on Latin America, it still represents less than 4% of global publications on the subject (indicator 5.3). And, while health was mentioned by most Latin American countries at the UN General Debate in 2022, only a few addressed the intersection of health and climate change, indicating a lack of awareness at the governmental level (indicator 5.4). The 2023 Lancet Countdown Latin America report underscores the cascading and compounding health impacts of anthropogenic climate change, marked by increased exposure to heatwaves, wildfires, and vector-borne diseases. Specifically, for Latin America, the report emphasises three critical messages: the urgent action to implement intersectoral public policies that enhance climate resilience across the region; the pressing need to prioritise an energy transition that focuses on health co-benefits and wellbeing, and lastly, that need for increasing climate finance by committing to sustained fiscal efforts and engaging with multilateral development banks. By understanding the problems, addressing the gaps, and taking decisive action, Latin America can navigate the challenges of climate change, fostering a more sustainable and resilient future for its population. Spanish and Portuguese translated versions of this Summary can be found in Appendix B and C, respectively. The full translated report in Spanish is available in Appendix D.},
}
@article {pmid37874070,
year = {2023},
author = {Dietrichs, ES},
title = {[How anthropegenic climate change affects health].},
journal = {Tidsskrift for den Norske laegeforening : tidsskrift for praktisk medicin, ny raekke},
volume = {143},
number = {15},
pages = {},
doi = {10.4045/tidsskr.23.0357},
pmid = {37874070},
issn = {0807-7096},
}
@article {pmid37589361,
year = {2023},
author = {Aasheim, ET},
title = {[Course on climate change for medical students].},
journal = {Tidsskrift for den Norske laegeforening : tidsskrift for praktisk medicin, ny raekke},
volume = {143},
number = {11},
pages = {},
doi = {10.4045/tidsskr.23.0375},
pmid = {37589361},
issn = {0807-7096},
mesh = {Humans ; *Climate Change ; *Students, Medical ; Curriculum ; },
}
@article {pmid38800003,
year = {2024},
author = {Vaidya, R and Bhatti, VK and Bobdey, S},
title = {Climate change and health: An impending crisis and a public health challenge.},
journal = {Medical journal, Armed Forces India},
volume = {80},
number = {3},
pages = {249-251},
pmid = {38800003},
issn = {0377-1237},
}
@article {pmid38798521,
year = {2024},
author = {Situma, S and Nyakarahuka, L and Omondi, E and Mureithi, M and Mweu, M and Muturi, M and Mwatondo, A and Dawa, J and Konongoi, L and Khamadi, S and Clancey, E and Lofgren, E and Osoro, E and Ngere, I and Breiman, RF and Bakamutumaho, B and Muruta, A and Gachohi, J and Oyola, SO and Njenga, MK and Singh, D},
title = {Widening geographic range of Rift Valley fever disease clusters associated with climate change in East Africa.},
journal = {medRxiv : the preprint server for health sciences},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1101/2024.05.17.24307534},
pmid = {38798521},
abstract = {BACKGROUND: Recent epidemiology of Rift Valley fever (RVF) disease in Africa suggests growing frequency and expanding geographic range of small disease clusters in regions that previously had not reported the disease. We investigated factors associated with the phenomenon by characterizing recent RVF disease events in East Africa.<br><br>METHODS: Data on 100 disease events (2008 - 2022) from Kenya, Uganda, and Tanzania were obtained from public databases and institutions, and modeled against possible geo-ecological risk factors of occurrence including altitude, soil type, rainfall/precipitation, temperature, normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI), livestock production system, land-use change, and long-term climatic variations. Decadal climatic variations between 1980-2022 were evaluated for association with the changing disease pattern.<br><br>RESULTS: Of 100 events, 91% were small RVF clusters with a median of one human (IQR, 1-3) and 3 livestock cases (IQR, 2-7). These clusters exhibited minimal human mortality (IQR 0-1), and occurred primarily in highlands (67%), with 35% reported in areas that had never reported RVF disease. Multivariate regression analysis of geo-ecological variables showed a positive correlation between occurrence and increasing temperature and rainfall. A 1oC increase in temperature and 1-unit increase in NDVI, 1-3 months prior were associated with increased RVF incidence rate ratios (IRR) of 1.20 (95% CI 1.1,1.2) and 9.88 (95% CI 0.85, 119.52), respectively. Long-term climatic trends showed significant decadal increase in annual mean temperature (0.12 to 0.3oC/decade, P<0.05), associated with decreasing rainfall in arid and semi-arid lowlands but increasing rainfall trends in highlands (P<0.05). These hotter and wetter highlands showed increasing frequency of RVF clusters, accounting for 76% and 43% in Uganda and Kenya, respectively.<br><br>CONCLUSION: These findings demonstrate the changing epidemiology of RVF disease. The widening geographic range of disease is associated with climatic variations, with the likely impact of wider dispersal of virus to new areas of endemicity and future epidemics.<br><br>KEY QUESTIONS: What is already known on this topic?: Rift Valley fever is recognized for its association with heavy rainfall, flooding, and El Ni&#xf1;o rains in the East African region. A growing body of recent studies has highlighted a shifting landscape of the disease, marked by an expanding geographic range and an increasing number of small RVF clusters.What this study adds: This study challenges previous beliefs about RVF, revealing that it predominantly occurs in small clusters rather than large outbreaks, and its association with El Ni&#xf1;o is not as pronounced as previously thought. Over 65% of these clusters are concentrated in the highlands of Kenya and Uganda, with 35% occurring in previously unaffected regions, accompanied by an increase in temperature and total rainfall between 1980 and 2022, along with a rise in the annual number of rainy days. Notably, the observed rainfall increases are particularly significant during the short-rains season (October-December), aligning with a secondary peak in RVF incidence. In contrast, the lowlands of East Africa, where typical RVF epidemics occur, display smaller and more varied trends in annual rainfall.How this study might affect research, practice, or policy: The worldwide consequence of the expanding RVF cluster is the broader dispersion of the virus, leading to the establishment of new regions with virus endemicity. This escalation heightens the risk of more extensive extreme-weather-associated RVF epidemics in the future. Global public health institutions must persist in developing preparedness and response strategies for such scenarios. This involves the creation and approval of human RVF vaccines and therapeutics, coupled with a rapid distribution plan through regional banks.},
}
@article {pmid38797839,
year = {2024},
author = {Jin, J and Zhao, W and Chen, S and Gu, C and Chen, Z and Liu, Z and Liao, W and Fan, Q},
title = {Which contributes more to the relict flora distribution pattern in East Asia, geographical processes or climate change? New evidence from the phylogeography of Rehderodendron kwangtungense.},
journal = {BMC plant biology},
volume = {24},
number = {1},
pages = {459},
pmid = {38797839},
issn = {1471-2229},
support = {32300172//National Natural Science Foundation of China/ ; 2021A1515110425//Natural Science Foundation of Guangdong Province/ ; 2020F36//Research on Coevolution of Vegetation and Geological Environment of Shenzhen Dapeng Peninsula Geopark/ ; 2020F36//Research on Coevolution of Vegetation and Geological Environment of Shenzhen Dapeng Peninsula Geopark/ ; 2021GJGY001//Guangdong Special Fund for Natural Resources Management and Ecological Forestry Construction/ ; },
mesh = {*Phylogeography ; *Climate Change ; *Genetic Variation ; Asia, Eastern ; Plant Dispersal ; Sequence Analysis, DNA ; },
abstract = {BACKGROUND: Relict species are important for enhancing the understanding of modern biogeographic distribution patterns. Although both geological and climatic changes since the Cenozoic have affected the relict flora in East Asia, the contributions of geographical processes remain unclear. In this study, we employed restriction-site associated DNA sequencing (RAD-seq) and shallow genome sequencing data, in conjunction with ecological niche modeling (ENM), to investigate the spatial genetic patterns and population differentiation history of the relict species Rehderodendron kwangtungense Chun.<br><br>RESULTS: A total of 138 individuals from 16 populations were collected, largely covering the natural distribution of R. kwangtungense. The genetic diversity within the R. kwangtungense populations was extremely low (HO = 0.048&#x2009;&#xb1;&#x2009;0.019; HE = 0.033&#x2009;&#xb1;&#x2009;0.011). Mantel tests revealed isolation-by-distance pattern (R[2]&#x2009;=&#x2009;0.38, P&#x2009;<&#x2009;0.001), and AMOVA analysis showed that the genetic variation of R. kwangtungense occurs mainly between populations (86.88%, K&#x2009;=&#x2009;7). Between 23 and 21 Ma, R. kwangtungense underwent a period of rapid differentiation that coincided with the rise of the Himalayas and the establishment of the East Asian monsoon. According to ENM and population demographic history, the suitable area and effective population size of R. kwangtungense decreased sharply during the glacial period and expanded after the last glacial maximum (LGM).<br><br>CONCLUSION: Our study shows that the distribution pattern of southern China mountain relict flora may have developed during the panplain stage between the middle Oligocene and the early Miocene. Then, the flora later fragmented under the force of orogenesis, including intermittent uplift during the Cenozoic Himalayan orogeny and the formation of abundant rainfall associated with the East Asian monsoon. The findings emphasized the predominant role of geographical processes in shaping relict plant distribution patterns.},
}
@article {pmid38796025,
year = {2024},
author = {Wang, Z and Wang, T and Zhang, X and Wang, J and Yang, Y and Sun, Y and Guo, X and Wu, Q and Nepovimova, E and Watson, AE and Kuca, K},
title = {Biodiversity conservation in the context of climate change: Facing challenges and management strategies.},
journal = {The Science of the total environment},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {173377},
doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.173377},
pmid = {38796025},
issn = {1879-1026},
abstract = {Biodiversity conservation amidst the uncertainty of climate change presents unique challenges that necessitate precise management strategies. The study reported here was aimed at refining understanding of these challenges and to propose specific, actionable management strategies. Employing a quantitative literature analysis, we meticulously examined 1268 research articles from the Web of Science database between 2005 and 2023. Through Cite Spaces and VOS viewer software, we conducted a bibliometric analysis and thematic synthesis to pinpoint emerging trends, key themes, and the geographical distribution of research efforts. Our methodology involved identifying patterns within the data, such as frequency of keywords, co-authorship networks, and citation analysis, to discern the primary focus areas within the field. This approach allowed us to distinguish between research concentration areas, specifically highlighting a predominant interest in Environmental Sciences Ecology (67.59 %) and Biodiversity Conservation (22.63 %). The identification of adaptive management practices and ecosystem services maintenance are central themes in the research from 2005 to 2023. Moreover, challenges such as understanding phenological shifts, invasive species dynamics, and anthropogenic pressures critically impact biodiversity conservation efforts. Our findings underscore the urgent need for precise, data-driven decision-making processes in the face of these challenges. Addressing the gaps identified, our study proposes targeted solutions, including the establishment of germplasm banks for at-risk species, the development of advanced genomic and microclimate models, and scenario analysis to predict and mitigate future conservation challenges. These strategies are aimed at enhancing the resilience of biodiversity against the backdrop of climate change through integrated, evidence-based approaches. By leveraging the compiled and analyzed data, this study offers a foundational framework for future research and practical action in biodiversity conservation strategies, demonstrating a path forward through detailed analysis and specified solutions.},
}
@article {pmid38796018,
year = {2024},
author = {Cai, Y and Irie, H and Damiani, A and Itahashi, S and Takemura, T and Khatri, P},
title = {Detectability of the potential climate change effect on transboundary air pollution pathways in the downwind area of China.},
journal = {The Science of the total environment},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {173490},
doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.173490},
pmid = {38796018},
issn = {1879-1026},
abstract = {Long-term aerosol optical depth (AOD) datasets focused on the Pacific Ocean in the downwind area of China over a 19-year period from 2003 to 2021 were derived from satellite observations, reanalysis datasets, and numerical simulations. Considering the significant year-to-year changes in the amounts of aerosols transported from China to the Pacific Ocean during this period, we proposed a metric named RAOD. This is defined as the AOD over the ocean relative to that near the eastern coast of China within the same latitude band (25-30°N). RAOD was identified as a valuable metric for quantifying the long-term changes in transboundary air pollution pathways. Our analysis revealed a clear exponential decrease in RAOD values from China toward the Pacific Ocean; this was consistent with the prevailing meteorological conditions observed over the 19-year period. However, the possible long-term changes in RAOD due to climate change were found to be insignificant and were overshadowed by much larger year-to-year variations in the meteorological field. Additionally, significant seasonal variations in the absolute slope of the linear regression between RAOD and longitude were observed, and there correlated with wind patterns in the lower troposphere. Elevated slope values in the spring and winter suggested a west-to-east aerosol transport facilitated by strong winds, whereas the lower slope values in summer and autumn indicated a northward aerosol movement under weaker winds. In recent years, aerosols have become less likely to be transported far eastward from the coast of China. Based on these findings, to enhance the detectability of the climate change impacts on meteorological field affecting transboundary air pollution pathways, the RAOD metric derived using a continued long-term satellite observation of aerosols is proposed.},
}
@article {pmid38795135,
year = {2024},
author = {Meng, R and Du, X and Ge, K and Wu, C and Zhang, Z and Liang, X and Yang, J and Zhang, H},
title = {Does climate change increase the risk of marine toxins? Insights from changing seawater conditions.},
journal = {Archives of toxicology},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
pmid = {38795135},
issn = {1432-0738},
support = {82273594//National Natural Science Foundation of China/ ; 82073512//National Natural Science Foundation of China/ ; },
abstract = {Marine toxins produced by marine organisms threaten human health and impose a heavy public health burden on coastal countries. Lately, there has been an emergence of marine toxins in regions that were previously unaffected, and it is believed that climate change may be a significant factor. This paper systematically summarizes the impact of climate change on the risk of marine toxins in terms of changes in seawater conditions. From our findings, climate change can cause ocean warming, acidification, stratification, and sea-level rise. These climatic events can alter the surface temperature, salinity, pH, and nutrient conditions of seawater, which may promote the growth of various algae and bacteria, facilitating the production of marine toxins. On the other hand, climate change may expand the living ranges of marine organisms (such as algae, bacteria, and fish), thereby exacerbating the production and spread of marine toxins. In addition, the sources, distribution, and toxicity of ciguatoxin, tetrodotoxin, cyclic imines, and microcystin were described to improve public awareness of these emerging marine toxins. Looking ahead, developing interdisciplinary cooperation, strengthening monitoring of emerging marine toxins, and exploring more novel approaches are essential to better address the risks of marine toxins posed by climate change. Altogether, the interrelationships between climate, marine ecology, and marine toxins were analyzed in this study, providing a theoretical basis for preventing and managing future health risks from marine toxins.},
}
@article {pmid38791670,
year = {2024},
author = {Khan, TU and Ullah, I and Hu, Y and Liang, J and Ahmad, S and Omifolaji, JK and Hu, H},
title = {Assessment of Suitable Habitat of the Demoiselle Crane (Anthropoides virgo) in the Wake of Climate Change: A Study of Its Wintering Refugees in Pakistan.},
journal = {Animals : an open access journal from MDPI},
volume = {14},
number = {10},
pages = {},
pmid = {38791670},
issn = {2076-2615},
support = {no. 31901109//National Natural Science Foundation of China/ ; 2022GDASZH-2022010105//GDAS Special Project of Science and Technology Development/ ; no. 2021M700891//China Postdoctoral Science Foundation/ ; ZL202203601//Survey of Wildlife Resources in Key Areas of Tibet/ ; },
abstract = {The inevitable impacts of climate change have reverberated across ecosystems and caused substantial global biodiversity loss. Climate-induced habitat loss has contributed to range shifts at both species and community levels. Given the importance of identifying suitable habitats for at-risk species, it is imperative to assess potential current and future distributions, and to understand influential environmental factors. Like many species, the Demoiselle crane is not immune to climatic pressures. Khyber Pakhtunkhwa and Balochistan provinces in Pakistan are known wintering grounds for this species. Given that Pakistan is among the top five countries facing devastating effects of climate change, this study sought to conduct species distribution modeling under climate change using data collected during 4 years of field surveys. We developed a Maximum Entropy distribution model to predict the current and projected future distribution of the species across the study area. Future habitat projections for 2050 and 2070 were carried out using two representative concentration pathways (RCP 4.5 and RCP 8.5) under three global circulation models, including HADGEM2-AO, BCC-CSM1-1, and CCSM4. The most influential factors shaping Demoiselle Crane habitat suitability included the temperature seasonality, annual mean temperature, terrain ruggedness index, and human population density, all of which contributed significantly to the suitability (81.3%). The model identified 35% of the study area as moderately suitable (134,068 km[2]) and highly suitable (27,911 km[2]) habitat for the species under current climatic conditions. Under changing climate scenarios, our model predicted a major loss of the species' current suitable habitat, with shrinkage and shift towards western-central areas along the Pakistan-Afghanistan boarder. The RCP 8.5, which is the extreme climate change scenario, portrays particularly severe consequences, with habitat losses reaching 65% in 2050 and 85% in 2070. This comprehensive study provides useful insights into the Demoiselle Crane habitat's current and future dynamics in Pakistan.},
}
@article {pmid38790027,
year = {2024},
author = {Wang, HR and Liu, T and Gao, X and Wang, HB and Xiao, JH},
title = {Impact of climate change on the global circulation of West Nile virus and adaptation responses: a scoping review.},
journal = {Infectious diseases of poverty},
volume = {13},
number = {1},
pages = {38},
pmid = {38790027},
issn = {2049-9957},
support = {31802217//National Natural Science Foundation of China/ ; },
mesh = {*Climate Change ; *West Nile virus/physiology ; *West Nile Fever/transmission/epidemiology ; Humans ; Animals ; Adaptation, Physiological ; },
abstract = {BACKGROUND: West Nile virus (WNV), the most widely distributed flavivirus causing encephalitis globally, is a vector-borne pathogen of global importance. The changing climate is poised to reshape the landscape of various infectious diseases, particularly vector-borne ones like WNV. Understanding the anticipated geographical and range shifts in disease transmission due to climate change, alongside effective adaptation strategies, is critical for mitigating future public health impacts. This scoping review aims to consolidate evidence on the impact of climate change on WNV and to identify a spectrum of applicable adaptation strategies.<br><br>MAIN BODY: We systematically analyzed research articles from PubMed, Web of Science, Scopus, and EBSCOhost. Our criteria included English-language research articles published between 2007 and 2023, focusing on the impacts of climate change on WNV and related adaptation strategies. We extracted data concerning study objectives, populations, geographical focus, and specific findings. Literature was categorized into two primary themes: 1) climate-WNV associations, and 2) climate change impacts on WNV transmission, providing a clear understanding. Out of 2168 articles reviewed, 120 met our criteria. Most evidence originated from North America (59.2%) and Europe (28.3%), with a primary focus on human cases (31.7%). Studies on climate-WNV correlations (n&#x2009;=&#x2009;83) highlighted temperature (67.5%) as a pivotal climate factor. In the analysis of climate change impacts on WNV (n&#x2009;=&#x2009;37), most evidence suggested that climate change may affect the transmission and distribution of WNV, with the extent of the impact depending on local and regional conditions. Although few studies directly addressed the implementation of adaptation strategies for climate-induced disease transmission, the proposed strategies (n&#x2009;=&#x2009;49) fell into six categories: 1) surveillance and monitoring (38.8%), 2) predictive modeling (18.4%), 3) cross-disciplinary collaboration (16.3%), 4) environmental management (12.2%), 5) public education (8.2%), and 6) health system readiness (6.1%). Additionally, we developed an accessible online platform to summarize the evidence on climate change impacts on WNV transmission (https://2xzl2o-neaop.shinyapps.io/WNVScopingReview/).<br><br>CONCLUSIONS: This review reveals that climate change may affect the transmission and distribution of WNV, but the literature reflects only a small share of the global WNV dynamics. There is an urgent need for adaptive responses to anticipate and respond to the climate-driven spread of WNV. Nevertheless, studies focusing on these adaptation responses are sparse compared to those examining the impacts of climate change. Further research on the impacts of climate change and adaptation strategies for vector-borne diseases, along with more comprehensive evidence synthesis, is needed to inform effective policy responses tailored to local contexts.},
}
@article {pmid38789413,
year = {2024},
author = {Amos, AJ},
title = {Response to Barton et al. confirming that Burke et al. do not show a relationship between climate change and suicide.},
journal = {Australasian psychiatry : bulletin of Royal Australian and New Zealand College of Psychiatrists},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {10398562241256801},
doi = {10.1177/10398562241256801},
pmid = {38789413},
issn = {1440-1665},
}
@article {pmid38788989,
year = {2024},
author = {Cao, M and Wang, F and Ma, S and Geng, H and Sun, K},
title = {Recent advances on greenhouse gas emissions from wetlands: Mechanism, global warming potential, and environmental drivers.},
journal = {Environmental pollution (Barking, Essex : 1987)},
volume = {355},
number = {},
pages = {124204},
doi = {10.1016/j.envpol.2024.124204},
pmid = {38788989},
issn = {1873-6424},
abstract = {Greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions from wetlands have exacerbated global warming, attracting worldwide attention. However, the research process and development trends in this field remain unknown. Herein, 1865 papers related to wetlands GHG emissions published from January 2000 to December 2023 were selected, and CiteSpace and VOSviewer were used for bibliometric analysis to visually analyze the publications distribution, research authors, organizations and countries, core journal and keywords, and discussed the research progress, trends and hotspots in the fields. Over the past 24 years, the research has gone through three phases: the "embryonic" stage (2000-2006), the accumulation stage (2007-2014), and the acceleration stage (2015-2023). China has played a pivotal role in this domain, publishing the most papers and working closely with the United States, United Kingdom, Canada, Germany, and Australia. In addition, this study synthesized 311 field observations from 123 publications to analyze the variability in GHG emissions and their driving factors in four different types of natural wetlands. The results suggested that the average carbon dioxide (CO2), methane (CH4), and nitrous oxide (N2O) fluxes in different wetlands were significantly different. River wetlands exhibited the highest GHG fluxes, while marsh wetlands demonstrated greater global warming potential (GWP). The average CO2, CH4 and N2O fluxes were 60.41 mg m[-2]·h[-1], 2.52 mg m[-2]·h[-1] and 0.05 mg m[-2]·h[-1], respectively. The GWP of Chinese natural wetlands was estimated as 648.72 Tg·CO2-eq·yr[-1], and CH4 contributed the largest warming effect, accounting for 57.43%. Correlation analysis showed that geographical location, climate factors, and soil conditions collectively regulated GHG emissions from wetlands. The findings provide a new perspective on sustainable wetland management and reducing GHG emissions.},
}
@article {pmid38788417,
year = {2024},
author = {Cordiner, R and Wan, K and Hajat, S and Macintyre, HL},
title = {Accounting for adaptation when projecting climate change impacts on health: A review of temperature-related health impacts.},
journal = {Environment international},
volume = {188},
number = {},
pages = {108761},
doi = {10.1016/j.envint.2024.108761},
pmid = {38788417},
issn = {1873-6750},
abstract = {Exposure to high and low ambient temperatures can cause harm to human health. Due to global warming, heat-related health effects are likely to increase substantially in future unless populations adapt to living in a warmer world. Adaptation to temperature may occur through physiological acclimatisation, behavioural mechanisms, and planned adaptation. A fundamental step in informing responses to climate change is understanding how adaptation can be appropriately accounted for when estimating future health burdens. Previous studies modelling adaptation have used a variety of methods, and it is often unclear how underlying assumptions of adaptation are made and if they are based on evidence. Consequently, the most appropriate way to quantitatively model adaptation in projections of health impacts is currently unknown. With increasing interest from decisionmakers around implementation of adaptation strategies, it is important to consider the role of adaptation in anticipating future health burdens of climate change. To address this, a literature review using systematic scoping methods was conducted to document the quantitative methods employed by studies projecting future temperature-related health impacts under climate change that also consider adaptation. Approaches employed in studies were coded into methodological categories. Categories were discussed and refined between reviewers during synthesis. Fifty-nine studies were included and grouped into eight methodological categories. Methods of including adaptation in projections have changed over time with more recent studies using a combination of approaches or modelling adaptation based on specific adaptation strategies or socioeconomic conditions. The most common approaches to model adaptation are heat threshold shifts and reductions in the exposure-response slope. Just under 20% of studies were identified as using an intervention-based empirical basis for statistical assumptions. Including adaptation in projections considerably reduced the projected temperature-mortality burden in the future. Researchers should ensure that all future impact assessments include adaptation uncertainty in projections and assumptions are based on empirical evidence.},
}
@article {pmid38786904,
year = {2024},
author = {Li, M and Jin, Z and Qi, Y and Zhao, H and Yang, N and Guo, J and Chen, B and Xian, X and Liu, W},
title = {Risk Assessment of Spodoptera exempta against Food Security: Estimating the Potential Global Overlapping Areas of Wheat, Maize, and Rice under Climate Change.},
journal = {Insects},
volume = {15},
number = {5},
pages = {},
pmid = {38786904},
issn = {2075-4450},
support = {2021YFD1400100, 2021YFD1400101&#xff0c;2021YFC2600400,//National Key R&amp;D Program of China/ ; grant no. 2022TSYCCX0084//Tian-Shan Talent Program/ ; },
abstract = {Spodoptera exempta, known as the black armyworm, has been extensively documented as an invasive agricultural pest prevalent across various crop planting regions globally. However, the potential geographical distribution and the threat it poses to host crops of remains unknown at present. Therefore, we used an optimized MaxEnt model based on 841 occurrence records and 19 bioclimatic variables to predict the potential suitable areas of S. exempta under current and future climatic conditions, and the overlap with wheat, rice, and maize planting areas was assessed. The optimized model was highly reliable in predicting potential suitable areas for this pest. The results showed that high-risk distribution areas for S. exempta were mainly in developing countries, including Latin America, central South America, central Africa, and southern Asia. Moreover, for the three major global food crops, S. exempta posed the greatest risk to maize planting areas (510.78 × 10[4] km[2]), followed by rice and wheat planting areas. Under future climate scenarios, global warming will limit the distribution of S. exempta. Overall, S. exempta had the strongest effect on global maize production areas and the least on global wheat planting areas. Our study offers a scientific basis for global prevention of S. exempta and protection of agricultural crops.},
}
@article {pmid38786880,
year = {2024},
author = {Hayat, U and Shi, J and Wu, Z and Rizwan, M and Haider, MS},
title = {Which SDM Model, CLIMEX vs. MaxEnt, Best Forecasts Aeolesthes sarta Distribution at a Global Scale under Climate Change Scenarios?.},
journal = {Insects},
volume = {15},
number = {5},
pages = {},
pmid = {38786880},
issn = {2075-4450},
abstract = {A precise evaluation of the risk of establishing insect pests is essential for national plant protection organizations. This accuracy is crucial in negotiating international trade agreements for forestry-related commodities, which have the potential to carry pests and lead to unintended introductions in the importing countries. In our study, we employed both mechanistic and correlative niche models to assess and map the global patterns of potential establishment for Aeolesthes sarta under current and future climates. This insect is a significant pest affecting tree species of the genus Populus, Salix, Acer, Malus, Juglans, and other hardwood trees. Notably, it is also categorized as a quarantine pest in countries where it is not currently present. The mechanistic model, CLIMEX, was calibrated using species-specific physiological tolerance thresholds, providing a detailed understanding of the environmental factors influencing the species. In contrast, the correlative model, maximum entropy (MaxEnt), utilized species occurrences and spatial climatic data, offering insights into the species' distribution based on observed data and environmental conditions. The projected potential distribution from CLIMEX and MaxEnt models aligns well with the currently known distribution of A. sarta. CLIMEX predicts a broader global distribution than MaxEnt, indicating that most central and southern hemispheres are suitable for its distribution, excluding the extreme northern hemisphere, central African countries, and the northern part of Australia. Both models accurately predict the known distribution of A. sarta in the Asian continent, and their projections suggest a slight overall increase in the global distribution range of A. sarta with future changes in climate temperature, majorly concentrating in the central and northern hemispheres. Furthermore, the models anticipate suitable conditions in Europe and North America, where A. sarta currently does not occur but where its preferred host species, Populus alba, is present. The main environmental variables associated with the distribution of A. sarta at a global level were the average annual temperature and precipitation rate. The predictive models developed in this study offer insights into the global risk of A. sarta establishment and can be valuable for monitoring potential pest introductions in different countries. Additionally, policymakers and trade negotiators can utilize these models to make science-based decisions regarding pest management and international trade agreements.},
}
@article {pmid38786684,
year = {2024},
author = {Huertas, V and Jiménez, A and Diánez, F and Chelhaoui, R and Santos, M},
title = {Importance of Dark Septate Endophytes in Agriculture in the Face of Climate Change.},
journal = {Journal of fungi (Basel, Switzerland)},
volume = {10},
number = {5},
pages = {},
pmid = {38786684},
issn = {2309-608X},
abstract = {Climate change is a notable challenge for agriculture as it affects crop productivity and yield. Increases in droughts, salinity, and soil degradation are some of the major consequences of climate change. The use of microorganisms has emerged as an alternative to mitigate the effects of climate change. Among these microorganisms, dark septate endophytes (DSEs) have garnered increasing attention in recent years. Dark septate endophytes have shown a capacity for mitigating and reducing the harmful effects of climate change in agriculture, such as salinity, drought, and the reduced nutrient availability in the soil. Various studies show that their association with plants helps to reduce the harmful effects of abiotic stresses and increases the nutrient availability, enabling the plants to thrive under adverse conditions. In this study, the effect of DSEs and the underlying mechanisms that help plants to develop a higher tolerance to climate change were reviewed.},
}
@article {pmid38785109,
year = {2024},
author = {Conway, F and Portela, A and Filippi, V and Chou, D and Kovats, S},
title = {Climate change, air pollution and maternal and newborn health: An overview of reviews of health outcomes.},
journal = {Journal of global health},
volume = {14},
number = {},
pages = {04128},
pmid = {38785109},
issn = {2047-2986},
mesh = {Humans ; *Climate Change ; Infant, Newborn ; Female ; *Air Pollution/adverse effects ; Pregnancy ; *Infant Health ; *Maternal Health ; },
abstract = {BACKGROUND: Climate change represents a fundamental threat to human health, with pregnant women and newborns being more susceptible than other populations. In this review, we aimed to describe the current landscape of available epidemiological evidence on key climate risks on maternal and newborn health (MNH).<br><br>METHODS: We sought to identify published systematic and scoping reviews investigating the impact of different climate hazards and air pollution on MNH outcomes. With this in mind, we developed a systematic search strategy based on the concepts of 'climate/air pollution hazards, 'maternal health,' and 'newborn health,' with restrictions to reviews published between 1 January 2010 and 6 February 2023, but without geographical or language restriction. Following full text screening and data extraction, we synthesised the results using narrative synthesis.<br><br>RESULTS: We found 79 reviews investigating the effects of climate hazards on MNH, mainly focussing on outdoor air pollution (n&#x2009;=&#x2009;47, 59%), heat (n&#x2009;=&#x2009;24, 30%), and flood/storm disasters (n&#x2009;=&#x2009;7, 9%). Most were published after 2015 (n&#x2009;=&#x2009;60, 76%). These reviews had consistent findings regarding the positive association of exposure to heat and to air pollution with adverse birth outcomes, particularly preterm birth. We found limited evidence for impacts of climate-related food and water security on MNH and did not identify any reviews on climate-sensitive infectious diseases and MNH.<br><br>CONCLUSIONS: Climate change could undermine recent improvements in maternal and newborn health. Our review provides an overview of key climate risks to MNH. It could therefore be useful to the MNH community to better understand the MNH needs for each climate hazard and to strengthen discussions on evidence and research gaps and potential actions. Despite the lack of comprehensive evidence for some climate hazards and for many maternal, perinatal, and newborn outcomes, we observed repeated findings of the impact of heat and air pollutants on birth outcomes, particularly preterm birth. It is time for policy dialogue to follow to specifically design climate policy and actions to protect the needs of MNH.},
}
@article {pmid38784538,
year = {2024},
author = {Mondal, C and Uddin, MJ},
title = {Assessment of climate change induced rainfall trend and variability with non-parametric and linear approach for Sirajganj district, Bangladesh.},
journal = {Heliyon},
volume = {10},
number = {10},
pages = {e31151},
pmid = {38784538},
issn = {2405-8440},
abstract = {The monthly and annual trends and variance of rainfall have been studied for five stations in an economically important Bangladeshi district named Sirajganj since 1965 to 2021. Natural disasters have prevalent in Sirajganj which is indispensable to assess. But, several researchers have been normally focused on river bank management and flood risk assessment. However, no extensive research has been conducted on Sirajganj based on non-normally distributed time series meteorological data such as rainfall time series so the current study is very important. In this study, the non-parametric Mann-Kendall and Sen's methods have been used to determine the statistical significance of a positive or negative trend in rainfall data. Also, cumulative sum charts and bootstrapping, one-way ANOVA, Tukey's range tests, and linear regression have been used to discover the incidence of abrupt changes, compare the significant difference in monthly and annual rainfall data, multiple comparisons amidst mentioned stations to find changes, and to investigate the changeover on dry and rainy days, respectively. The analysis showed a statistically significant decreasing trends in monthly and annual rainfall series. As well, changes from positive to negative direction have been recognized in the February, May, July, September, and annual rainfall time sequence. Besides, ANOVA and Tukey's range tests revealed a statistically substantial difference in all monthly and annual rainfall volume excluding January, March, and June. Additionally, these two tests demonstrated momentous differences in all monthly and annual frequency of rainfall categories excepting January and April. However, Linear regression analysis revealed that the number of dry days gradually reduced at the end of the dry winter, though the number of rainy days decreased during the rainy season. As in, the number of rainy days replaces the number of dry days during the dry season and vice versa during the rainy season. Even though, with very few exceptions, the volume of rainfall decreases throughout the year. The outcomes of this research might helpful for implementing the planning and evaluating hydrological projects on Sirajganj district.},
}
@article {pmid38784398,
year = {2024},
author = {Vafeiadou, AM and Geldhof, K and Barhdadi, W and Baetens, JM and De Baets, B and Moens, T and Daly, AJ},
title = {Temperature-driven dynamics: unraveling the impact of climate change on cryptic species interactions within the Litoditis marina complex.},
journal = {PeerJ},
volume = {12},
number = {},
pages = {e17324},
pmid = {38784398},
issn = {2167-8359},
mesh = {Animals ; *Climate Change ; *Temperature ; Ecosystem ; Population Dynamics ; Nematoda/physiology/growth &amp; development ; },
abstract = {Anthropogenic climate change and the associated increase in sea temperatures are projected to greatly impact marine ecosystems. Temperature variation can influence the interactions between species, leading to cascading effects on the abundance, diversity and composition of communities. Such changes in community structure can have consequences on ecosystem stability, processes and the services it provides. Therefore, it is important to better understand the role of species interactions in the development of communities and how they are influenced by environmental factors like temperature. The coexistence of closely related cryptic species, with significant biological and ecological differences, makes this even more complex. This study investigated the effect of temperature on species growth and both intra- and interspecific interactions of three species within the free-living nematode Litoditis marina complex. To achieve this, closed microcosm experiments were conducted on the L. marina species Pm I, Pm III and Pm IV in monoculture and combined cultures at two temperature treatments of 15 °C and 20 °C. A population model was constructed to elucidate and quantify the effects of intra- and interspecific interactions on nematode populations. The relative competitive abilities of the investigated species were quantified using the Modern Coexistence Theory (MCT) framework. Temperature had strong and disparate effects on the population growth of the distinct L. marina species. This indicates temperature could play an important role in the distribution of these cryptic species. Both competitive and facilitative interactions were observed in the experiments. Temperature affected both the type and the strength of the species interactions, suggesting a change in temperature could impact the coexistence of these closely related species, alter community dynamics and consequently affect ecosystem processes and services.},
}
@article {pmid38783874,
year = {2024},
author = {Habibi, P and Heydari, A and Dehghan, H and Moradi, A and Moradi, G},
title = {Climate Change and Occupational Heat Strain Among Women Workers: A Systematic Review.},
journal = {Indian journal of occupational and environmental medicine},
volume = {28},
number = {1},
pages = {4-17},
pmid = {38783874},
issn = {0973-2284},
abstract = {Climate change increases heat stress exposure and occupational heat strain in tropical and subtropical regions with generally hot-humid climate conditions. The present systematic review was conducted to assess the effect of climate change on occupational heat strain among women workers. In this study, three main databases (PubMed, Scopus, and Web of Science) were searched to find relevant literature on climate change and its effects using subject headings and appropriate MeSh terms. This article has been written according to the PRISMA checklist. A total of 6,176 studies were identified for screening and 13 studies were eligible for data extraction. Scientific evidence reveals that there is an imprecise but positive relationship between climate change and occupational heat strain regarding women workers. Some complications associated with occupational heat strain among women workers include fatigue, discomfort, dehydration, reduced brain function, and loss of concentration. Climate change can lead to an increase in the occurrence of heat-related illnesses and the levels of injury risk. In addition, its adverse health effects on women workers are mentioned. This systematic study identifies key priorities for action to better characterize and understand how occupational heat strain among women workers may be associated with climate change events. Strong evidence indicates that climate change will continue to cause occupational heat strain among women workers. It is essential to implement preventive measures considering multidisciplinary strategies to reduce the adverse effects of climate change on women workers health in hot weather settings. This can limit the health risks and negative effects of climate change.},
}
@article {pmid38783708,
year = {2024},
author = {Prina, M and Khan, N and Akhter Khan, S and Caicedo, JC and Peycheva, A and Seo, V and Xue, S and Sadana, R},
title = {Climate change and healthy ageing: An assessment of the impact of climate hazards on older people.},
journal = {Journal of global health},
volume = {14},
number = {},
pages = {04101},
doi = {10.7189/jogh.14.04101},
pmid = {38783708},
issn = {2047-2986},
mesh = {Humans ; *Climate Change ; *Healthy Aging ; Aged ; },
abstract = {BACKGROUND: Climate change not only directly impacts older people's longevity but also healthy ageing, which is the process of maintaining physical and mental capacities while optimising functional abilities. The urgency to address both population ageing and climate change necessitates a rethink and assessment of the impact of climate change on older people. This includes identifying what can be done to anticipate, mitigate and adapt to climate change and engage older persons.<br><br>METHODS: A review of climate change and healthy ageing forms the basis of evidence in this report. We developed a comprehensive search to assess current literature, combining terms related to ageing and climate change across four major data sets and assessing articles published up to the end of 2021.<br><br>RESULTS: We summarised the current and future impact of climate change on older people and developed a framework identifying climate change impacts on older persons, recognising social and environmental determinants of healthy ageing. Major hazards and some key exposure pathways include extreme temperatures, wildfire, drought, flooding, storm and sea level rise, air quality, climate-sensitive infectious diseases, food and water insecurities, health and social care system displacement, migration, and relocation. Strategies to address climate change require interventions to improve systems and infrastructure to reduce vulnerability and increase resilience. As a heterogeneous group, older people's perceptions of climate change should be integrated into climate activism. Increasing climate change literacy among older people and enabling them to promote intergenerational dialogue will drive the development and implementation of equitable solutions. Pathways may operate via direct or indirect exposures, requiring longitudinal studies that enable assessment of exposures and outcomes at multiple time points, and analyses of cumulative impacts of hazards across the life course.<br><br>CONCLUSIONS: The lack of systematic reviews and primary research on the impact of most climate hazards, except for heat, on older people is apparent. Future research should include outcomes beyond mortality and morbidity and assess how older people interact with their environment by focusing on their capacities and optimising abilities for being and doing what they value.},
}
@article {pmid38783513,
year = {2024},
author = {Del Lesto, I and Magliano, A and Casini, R and Ermenegildi, A and Rombolà, P and De Liberato, C and Romiti, F},
title = {Ecological niche modelling of Culicoides imicola and future range shifts under climate change scenarios in Italy.},
journal = {Medical and veterinary entomology},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1111/mve.12730},
pmid = {38783513},
issn = {1365-2915},
abstract = {Culicoides imicola is the main vector of viral diseases of livestock in Europe such as bluetongue (BT), African horse sickness and epizootic haemorrhagic disease. Climatic factors are the main drivers of C. imicola occurrence and its distribution might be subject to rapid shifts due to climate change. Entomological data, collected during BT surveillance, and climatic/environmental variables were used to analyse ecological niche and to model C. imicola distribution and possible future range shifts in Italy. An ensemble technique was used to weigh the performance of machine learning, linear and profile methods. Updated future climate projections from the latest phase of the Climate Model Intercomparison Project were used to generate future distributions for the next three 20-year periods, according to combinations of general circulation models and shared socioeconomic pathways and considering different climate change scenarios. Results indicated the minimum temperature of the coldest month (BIO 6) and precipitation of the driest-warmest months (BIO 14) as the main limiting climatic factors. Indeed, BIO 6 and BIO 14 reported the two highest values of variable importance, respectively, 9.16% (confidence interval [CI] = 7.99%-10.32%), and 2.01% (CI = 1.57%-2.44%). Under the worst-case scenario of climate change, C. imicola range is expected to expand northward and shift away from the coasts of central Italy, while in some areas of southern Italy, environmental suitability will decrease. Our results provide predictions of C. imicola distribution according to the most up-to-date future climate projections and should be of great use to surveillance management at regional and national scales.},
}
@article {pmid38783032,
year = {2024},
author = {Gumuła-Kawęcka, A and Jaworska-Szulc, B and Jefimow, M},
title = {Climate change impact on groundwater resources in sandbar aquifers in southern Baltic coast.},
journal = {Scientific reports},
volume = {14},
number = {1},
pages = {11828},
pmid = {38783032},
issn = {2045-2322},
support = {AQUIGROW - sustainable aquifer recharge to enhance resilience of groundwater services under increased drought risk//Water4All JTC Call 2022/ ; },
abstract = {Shallow coastal aquifers are vulnerable hydrosystems controlled by many factors, related to climate, seawater-freshwater interactions and human activity. Given on-going climate change, sea level rise and increasing human impact, it is especially true for groundwater resources situated in sandbars. We developed numerical models of unsaturated zone water flow for two sandbars in northern Poland: the Vistula Spit and the Hel Spit using HYDRUS-1D. The simulations were performed for three types of land use: pine forest, grass cover and bare soil, for 2024-2100 based on weather data and sea level rise forecasts for two emissions scenarios (RCP 4.5 and RCP 8.5). The results present prognosis of groundwater recharge, water table level and water content changeability in near-term (2023-2040), mid-term (2041-2060), and long-term period (2081-2100). Expected sea level rise and decreasing hydraulic gradient of the sandbar aquifers will probably cause in-land movement of the freshwater-saltwater interface, leading to significant decrease or complete salinization of groundwater resources. The study shows that holistic monitoring including groundwater level and salinization, sea level rise, and metheorological data (precipitation amount and variability, temperature) is crucial for sustainable management of vulnerable aquifers located in sandbars.},
}
@article {pmid38782916,
year = {2024},
author = {Machard, A and Salvati, A and P Tootkaboni, M and Gaur, A and Zou, J and Wang, LL and Baba, F and Ge, H and Bre, F and Bozonnet, E and Corrado, V and Luo, X and Levinson, R and Lee, SH and Hong, T and Salles Olinger, M and Machado, RMES and da Guarda, ELA and Veiga, RK and Lamberts, R and Afshari, A and Ramon, D and Ngoc Dung Ngo, H and Sengupta, A and Breesch, H and Heijmans, N and Deltour, J and Kuborn, X and Sayadi, S and Qian, B and Zhang, C and Rahif, R and Attia, S and Stern, P and Holzer, P},
title = {Typical and extreme weather datasets for studying the resilience of buildings to climate change and heatwaves.},
journal = {Scientific data},
volume = {11},
number = {1},
pages = {531},
pmid = {38782916},
issn = {2052-4463},
support = {003-695033//Fraunhofer-Gesellschaft (Fraunhofer Organization)/ ; },
abstract = {We present unprecedented datasets of current and future projected weather files for building simulations in 15 major cities distributed across 10 climate zones worldwide. The datasets include ambient air temperature, relative humidity, atmospheric pressure, direct and diffuse solar irradiance, and wind speed at hourly resolution, which are essential climate elements needed to undertake building simulations. The datasets contain typical and extreme weather years in the EnergyPlus weather file (EPW) format and multiyear projections in comma-separated value (CSV) format for three periods: historical (2001-2020), future mid-term (2041-2060), and future long-term (2081-2100). The datasets were generated from projections of one regional climate model, which were bias-corrected using multiyear observational data for each city. The methodology used makes the datasets among the first to incorporate complex changes in the future climate for the frequency, duration, and magnitude of extreme temperatures. These datasets, created within the IEA EBC Annex 80 "Resilient Cooling for Buildings", are ready to be used for different types of building adaptation and resilience studies to climate change and heatwaves.},
}
@article {pmid38782517,
year = {2024},
author = {Guell, C and Saint Ville, A and Anderson, SG and Murphy, MM and Iese, V and Kiran, S and Hickey, GM and Unwin, N},
title = {Small Island Developing States: addressing the intersecting challenges of non-communicable diseases, food insecurity, and climate change.},
journal = {The lancet. Diabetes &amp; endocrinology},
volume = {12},
number = {6},
pages = {422-432},
doi = {10.1016/S2213-8587(24)00100-1},
pmid = {38782517},
issn = {2213-8595},
mesh = {Humans ; *Climate Change ; *Noncommunicable Diseases/prevention &amp; control/epidemiology ; *Food Insecurity ; *Developing Countries ; Food Supply ; },
abstract = {Small Island Developing States (SIDS) include 37 UN member countries sharing economic, environmental, and social vulnerabilities and intractable health challenges. In over 80% of SIDS, more than one in six adults die prematurely from a non-communicable disease (NCD), with poor diet being a major factor. Complex upstream food system determinants include marginalised local food production and reliance on low nutritional quality food imports. These drivers need to be seen against colonial and post-colonial political-economic legacies as well as the environmental and climate crises that challenge local production systems. A range of policy commitments (eg, the 2023 Bridgetown Declaration on NCDs and Mental Health) highlight these complex interdependencies and call for cross-sectoral food system policies to improve food security, food sovereignty, and nutrition, including integrating measures for climate change adaptation and mitigation. Although addressing these intersecting challenges will also depend on global efforts, the unique approach of SIDS can inform other settings.},
}
@article {pmid38781571,
year = {2024},
author = {Etzel, RA and Weimann, E and Homer, C and Arora, NK and Maimela, G and Prats, EV and Banerjee, A},
title = {Climate change impacts on health across the life course.},
journal = {Journal of global health},
volume = {14},
number = {},
pages = {03018},
pmid = {38781571},
issn = {2047-2986},
mesh = {*Climate Change ; Humans ; Global Health ; Health Status ; },
}
@article {pmid38781568,
year = {2024},
author = {Proulx, K and Daelmans, B and Baltag, V and Banati, P},
title = {Climate change impacts on child and adolescent health and well-being: A narrative review.},
journal = {Journal of global health},
volume = {14},
number = {},
pages = {04061},
pmid = {38781568},
issn = {2047-2986},
mesh = {Humans ; *Climate Change ; Child ; Adolescent ; *Adolescent Health ; *Child Health ; Mental Health ; },
abstract = {BACKGROUND: Worldwide, the climate is changing and affecting the health and well-being of children in many ways. In this review, we provided an overview of how climate change-related events may affect child and adolescent health and well-being, including children's mental and physical health, nutrition, safety and security, learning opportunities, and family caregiving and connectedness.<br><br>METHODS: In this narrative review, we highlighted and discussed peer-reviewed evidence from 2012-23, primarily from meta-analyses and systematic reviews. The search strategy used a large and varied number of search terms across three academic databases to identify relevant literature.<br><br>RESULTS: There was consistent evidence across systematic reviews of impact on four themes. Climate-related events are associated with a) increases in posttraumatic stress and other mental health disorders in children and adolescents, b) increases in asthma, respiratory illnesses, diarrheal diseases and vector-borne diseases, c) increases in malnutrition and reduced growth and d) disruptions to responsive caregiving and family functioning, which can be linked to poor caregiver mental health, stress and loss of resources. Evidence of violence against children in climate-related disaster contexts is inconclusive. There is a lack of systematic review evidence on the associations between climate change and children's learning outcomes.<br><br>CONCLUSIONS: Systematic review evidence consistently points to negative associations between climate change and children's physical and mental health, well-being, and family functioning. Yet, much remains unknown about the causal pathways linking climate-change-related events and mental and physical health, responsive relationships and connectedness, nutrition, and learning in children and adolescents. This evidence is urgently needed so that adverse health and other impacts from climate change can be prevented or minimised through well-timed and appropriate action.},
}
@article {pmid38779934,
year = {2024},
author = {Sinclair, BJ and Saruhashi, S and Terblanche, JS},
title = {Integrating water balance mechanisms into predictions of insect responses to climate change.},
journal = {The Journal of experimental biology},
volume = {227},
number = {10},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1242/jeb.247167},
pmid = {38779934},
issn = {1477-9145},
support = {//Natural Science and Engineering Research Council of Canada/ ; //National Research Foundation/ ; },
mesh = {Animals ; *Climate Change ; *Insecta/physiology ; Dehydration ; Water/metabolism ; Water-Electrolyte Balance/physiology ; Thermotolerance ; },
abstract = {Efficient water balance is key to insect success. However, the hygric environment is changing with climate change; although there are compelling models of thermal vulnerability, water balance is often neglected in predictions. Insects survive desiccating conditions by reducing water loss, increasing their total amount of water (and replenishing it) and increasing their tolerance of dehydration. The physiology underlying these traits is reasonably well understood, as are the sources of variation and phenotypic plasticity. However, water balance and thermal tolerance intersect at high temperatures, such that mortality is sometimes determined by dehydration, rather than heat (especially during long exposures in dry conditions). Furthermore, water balance and thermal tolerance sometimes interact to determine survival. In this Commentary, we propose identifying a threshold where the cause of mortality shifts between dehydration and temperature, and that it should be possible to predict this threshold from trait measurements (and perhaps eventually a priori from physiological or -omic markers).},
}
@article {pmid38779065,
year = {2024},
author = {Huang, Q and Liu, H and Li, C and Zhu, X and Yuan, Z and Lai, J and Cao, M and Huang, Z and Yang, Y and Zhuo, S and Lü, Z and Zhang, G},
title = {Predicting the geographical distribution and niche characteristics of Cotoneaster multiflorus based on future climate change.},
journal = {Frontiers in plant science},
volume = {15},
number = {},
pages = {1360190},
pmid = {38779065},
issn = {1664-462X},
abstract = {INTRODUCTION: Arid and semi-arid regions are climate-sensitive areas, which account for about 40% of the world's land surface area. Future environment change will impact the environment of these area, resulting in a sharp expansion of arid and semi-arid regions. Cotoneaster multiflorus is a multi-functional tree species with extreme cold, drought and barren resistance, as well as ornamental and medicinal functions. It was found to be one of the most important tree species for ecological restoration in arid and semi-arid areas. However, bioclimatic factors play an important role in the growth, development and distribution of plants. Therefore, exploring the response pattern and ecological adaptability of C. multiflorus to future climate change is important for the long-term ecological restoration of C. multiflorus in arid and semi-arid areas.<br><br>METHODS: In this study, we predicted the potential distribution of C. multiflorus in China under different climate scenarios based on the MaxEnt 2.0 model, and discussed its adaptability and the major factors affecting its geographical distribution.<br><br>RESULTS: The major factors that explained the geographical distribution of C. multiflorus were Annual precipitation (Bio12), Min air temperature of the coldest month (Bio6), and Mean air temperature of the coldest quarter (Bio11). However, C. multiflorus could thrive in environments where Annual precipitation (Bio12) >150 mm, Min air temperature of the coldest month (Bio6) > -42.5&#xb0;C, and Mean air temperature of the coldest quarter (Bio11) > -20&#xb0;C, showcasing its characteristics of cold and drought tolerance. Under different future climate scenarios, the total suitable area for C. multiflorus ranged from 411.199&#xd7;10[4] km&#xb2; to 470.191&#xd7;10[4] km&#xb2;, which was 0.8~6.14 percentage points higher than the current total suitable area. Additionally, it would further shift towards higher latitude.<br><br>DISCUSSION: The MaxEnt 2.0 model predicted the potential distribution pattern of C. multiflorus in the context of future climate change, and identified its ecological adaptability and the main climatic factors affecting its distribution. This study provides an important theoretical basis for natural vegetation restoration in arid and semi-arid areas.},
}
@article {pmid38778199,
year = {2024},
author = {Wong, C},
title = {Singapore Airlines turbulence: why climate change is making flights rougher.},
journal = {Nature},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
pmid = {38778199},
issn = {1476-4687},
}
@article {pmid38778031,
year = {2024},
author = {Brandt, L and Adorjan, K and Catthoor, K and Chkonia, E and Falkai, P and Fiorillo, A and Gondek, TM and Le Vay, JN and Rojnic, M and Meyer-Lindenberg, A and Heinz, A and Dom, G and Luykx, JJ},
title = {Climate Change and Mental Health: Position Paper of the European Psychiatric Association.},
journal = {European psychiatry : the journal of the Association of European Psychiatrists},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {1-34},
doi = {10.1192/j.eurpsy.2024.1754},
pmid = {38778031},
issn = {1778-3585},
}
@article {pmid38777055,
year = {2024},
author = {Liu, W and Mo, X and Liu, S and Lu, C},
title = {Impacts of climate change on grassland fractional vegetation cover variation on the Tibetan Plateau.},
journal = {The Science of the total environment},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {173320},
doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.173320},
pmid = {38777055},
issn = {1879-1026},
abstract = {Climate change has profoundly impacted Tibetan Plateau grasslands, necessitating a comprehensive analysis of the historical and future responses across diverse grassland types, with the integration of an elevated atmospheric CO2 concentration (eCO2) and climatic factors. In this study, the response of the Tibetan Plateau grassland was investigated, with a focus on the fractional vegetation cover (FVC). By employing an enhanced ecohydrological model for the baseline (1985-2014) and future (2031-2070) periods under shared socioeconomic pathway (SSP) scenarios, the responses of FVC to climate change were predicted across all grassland types. The alpine steppe exhibited the most rapid growth, with average FVC increases projected to reach 37 ± 7 %-81 ± 15 % for alpine meadow, 82 ± 22 %-185 ± 55 % for alpine steppe, and 50 ± 8 %-95 ± 23 % for temperate grassland by the 2060s. During the baseline, eCO2 primarily caused the FVC increases in alpine meadow and temperate grassland, while warming governed alpine steppe growth. Interannual variability in the FVC of alpine grasslands was temperature-driven, while that of the temperate grasslands was driven by precipitation. An increase in the FVC of the alpine steppe was caused by warming under both low- and high-emissions scenarios. For the alpine meadow and temperate grasslands, precipitation was dominant for FVC changes in the SSP1-2.6 scenario, and eCO2 was dominant in the SSP3-7.0 and SSP5-8.5 scenarios. These findings provide a vital foundation for grassland management, carbon cycling comprehension, and vegetation feedback estimations on the Tibetan Plateau.},
}
@article {pmid38776900,
year = {2024},
author = {Liu, M and Jiang, P and Chase, JM and Liu, X},
title = {Global insect herbivory and its response to climate change.},
journal = {Current biology : CB},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1016/j.cub.2024.04.062},
pmid = {38776900},
issn = {1879-0445},
abstract = {Herbivorous insects consume a large proportion of the energy flow in terrestrial ecosystems and play a major role in the dynamics of plant populations and communities. However, high-resolution, quantitative predictions of the global patterns of insect herbivory and their potential underlying drivers remain elusive. Here, we compiled and analyzed a dataset consisting of 9,682 records of the severity of insect herbivory from across natural communities worldwide to quantify its global patterns and environmental determinants. Global mapping revealed strong spatial variation in insect herbivory at the global scale, showing that insect herbivory did not significantly vary with latitude for herbaceous plants but increased with latitude for woody plants. We found that the cation-exchange capacity in soil was a main predictor of levels of herbivory on herbaceous plants, while climate largely determined herbivory on woody plants. We next used well-established scenarios for future climate change to forecast how spatial patterns of insect herbivory may be expected to change with climate change across the world. We project that herbivore pressure will intensify on herbaceous plants worldwide but would likely only increase in certain biomes (e.g., northern coniferous forests) for woody plants. Our assessment provides quantitative evidence of how environmental conditions shape the spatial pattern of insect herbivory, which enables a more accurate prediction of the vulnerabilities of plant communities and ecosystem functions in the Anthropocene.},
}
@article {pmid38776265,
year = {2024},
author = {Rasolofoson, RA and Onyango, HO and Awuor, FJ and Aura, CM and Fiorella, KJ},
title = {Climate change: A pointer to increased small-scale fisher drowning deaths.},
journal = {PloS one},
volume = {19},
number = {5},
pages = {e0302397},
pmid = {38776265},
issn = {1932-6203},
mesh = {Humans ; *Drowning/mortality/epidemiology ; *Climate Change ; Male ; Adult ; Risk Factors ; Female ; Middle Aged ; *Fisheries ; Kenya/epidemiology ; Young Adult ; Lakes ; Adolescent ; Weather ; Aged ; Accidents, Occupational/mortality/statistics &amp; numerical data ; },
abstract = {Drowning is an overlooked public health concern and drowning risk is dependent on environmental risk factors. The preponderance of drowning deaths occurs in low- and middle-income countries. Small-scale fishers face high occupational risk of drowning. Climate change increases the frequency and intensity of storms, thereby exacerbating fishers' risks and creating a need to examine the contribution of storms to fisher drowning deaths for the development of mitigation strategies. We examined this relationship between weather and fisher drowning deaths in Lake Victoria, which is Africa's largest lake, a site of high fishing pressure, and where climate change is predicted to increase thunderstorms. We conducted a verbal autopsy with people knowledgeable about recent fatal fisher drowning incidents to collect information about the deceased fishers and circumstances surrounding the incidents across 43 landing sites in the Kenyan shore of Lake Victoria. Semi-structured interviews with stakeholders also elucidated community perspectives on drowning risks. Fatal drownings were often attributed to bad weather (41.8%). Other risk factors, such as non-use of life jacket and navigation equipment, co-occurred with bad weather at high rates (69.5% and 67.8%, respectively) to jointly contribute to fatal drowning incidents. Such co-occurrence of risk factors indicates that actions across multiple risk factors can help mitigate the issue. Stakeholder analysis revealed a range of opportunities for improved communication of risks and action to mitigate risks across boat operators and manufacturers, as well as multiple levels of management. Across global small-scale fisheries, limited use of safety equipment and intensive fishing pressure may coincide with increases in extreme weather events, necessitating action to address current and mitigate future drowning risks to small-scale fishers.},
}
@article {pmid38775847,
year = {2024},
author = {Maduneme, E},
title = {Some Slice of Climate Anxiety … Is Good: A Cross-Sectional Survey Exploring the Relationship Between College Students Media Exposure and Perceptions About Climate Change.},
journal = {Journal of health communication},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {1-12},
doi = {10.1080/10810730.2024.2354370},
pmid = {38775847},
issn = {1087-0415},
abstract = {Climate change anxiety among young people of college age has become a prevalent topic, with debate on whether climate change anxiety is maladaptive or can motivate climate change action. Using a cross-sectional survey of 440 college students, the study investigated the relationships between college students' climate anxiety, climate change media exposure, efficacy beliefs, and pro-environmental intentions. The findings revealed among other things, that climate anxiety had a significant curvilinear relationship with pro-environmental intentions with moderate anxiety predicting positive intentions and higher levels of anxiety were associated with negative intentions. Media exposure also positively predicted increased climate anxiety. Implications for climate change mitigation are discussed.},
}
@article {pmid38773628,
year = {2024},
author = {Trost, K and Ertl, V and König, J and Rosner, R and Comtesse, H},
title = {Correction: climate change-related concerns in psychotherapy: therapists' experiences and views on addressing this topic in therapy.},
journal = {BMC psychology},
volume = {12},
number = {1},
pages = {283},
doi = {10.1186/s40359-024-01783-w},
pmid = {38773628},
issn = {2050-7283},
}
@article {pmid38773173,
year = {2024},
author = {Hong, J and Lee, M and Kim, Y and Lee, YS and Wee, J and Park, JJ and Lee, WK and Song, Y and Cho, K},
title = {Potential range shift of a long-distance migratory rice pest, Nilaparvata lugens, under climate change.},
journal = {Scientific reports},
volume = {14},
number = {1},
pages = {11531},
pmid = {38773173},
issn = {2045-2322},
support = {Climate Change R&amp;D Project for New Climate Regime (RS-2022-KE002294)//Korea Environmental Industry and Technology Institute/ ; },
mesh = {Animals ; *Climate Change ; *Oryza/parasitology ; *Hemiptera/physiology ; *Animal Migration/physiology ; Australia ; Seasons ; China ; Temperature ; },
abstract = {The biogeographical range shift of insect pests is primarily governed by temperature. However, the range shift of seasonal long-distance migratory insects may be very different from that of sedentary insects. Nilaparvata lugens (BPH), a serious rice pest, can only overwinter in tropical-to-subtropical regions, and some populations migrate seasonally to temperate zones with the aid of low-level jet stream air currents. This study utilized the CLIMEX model to project the overwintering area under the climate change scenarios of RCP2.6 and RCP8.5, both in 2030s and 2080s. The overwintering boundary is predicted to expand poleward and new overwintering areas are predicted in the mid-latitude regions of central-to-eastern China and mid-to-southern Australia. With climate change, the habitable areas remained similar, but suitability decreased substantially, especially in the near-equatorial regions, owing to increasing heat stress. The range shift is similar between RCP2.6-2030s, RCP2.6-2080s, and RCP8.5-2030s, but extreme changes are projected under RCP8.5-2080s with marginal areas increasing from 27.2 to 38.8% and very favorable areas dropping from 27.5 to 3.6% compared to the current climate. These findings indicate that climate change will drive range shifts in BPH and alter regional risks differently. Therefore, international monitoring programs are needed to effectively manage these emerging challenges.},
}
@article {pmid38772593,
year = {2024},
author = {Wright, CY and Jaca, A and Kapwata, T and Naidoo, N and Awokola, B and Bainomugisha, E and Berhane, KT and Blesic, S and Kehbila, A and Naidoo, R and Nemukula, B and Nyarko, BK and Okekunle, AP and Oni, T and Quansah, R and Thiam, S and Zakari, IS and Beyene, N},
title = {Identifying globally relevant learnings from Africa's challenges and solutions to climate change and air pollution-related health impacts: a data science scoping review protocol.},
journal = {BMJ open},
volume = {14},
number = {5},
pages = {e076941},
doi = {10.1136/bmjopen-2023-076941},
pmid = {38772593},
issn = {2044-6055},
mesh = {*Climate Change ; *Air Pollution/adverse effects ; Humans ; Africa ; *Public Health ; Research Design ; },
abstract = {INTRODUCTION: Leveraging data science could significantly advance the understanding of the health impacts of climate change and air pollution to meet health systems' needs and improve public health in Africa. This scoping review will aim to identify and synthesise evidence on the use of data science as an intervention to address climate change and air pollution-related health challenges in Africa.<br><br>METHODS AND ANALYSIS: The search strategy will be developed, and the search will be conducted in the Web of Science, Scopus, CAB Abstracts, MEDLINE and EMBASE electronic databases. We will also search the reference lists of eligible articles for additional records. We will screen titles, technical reports, abstracts and full texts and select studies reporting the use of data science in relation to the health effects and interventions associated with climate change and air pollution in Africa.<br><br>ETHICS AND DISSEMINATION: There are no formal ethics requirements as we are not collecting primary data. Results, once published, will be disseminated via conferences and shared with policy-makers and public health, air pollution and climate change key stakeholders in Africa.},
}
@article {pmid38771748,
year = {2024},
author = {Leal Filho, W and Dinis, MAP and Lange Salvia, A and Sierra, J and Vasconcelos, H and Henderson-Wilson, C and Diatta, S and Kumar, TVL and Meirelles, MG and Carvalho, F},
title = {Assessing climate change and health provisions among staff in higher education institutions: A preliminary investigation.},
journal = {PloS one},
volume = {19},
number = {5},
pages = {e0304019},
pmid = {38771748},
issn = {1932-6203},
mesh = {*Climate Change ; Humans ; Universities ; Surveys and Questionnaires ; },
abstract = {Climate change can have direct and indirect effects on human health. Direct effects can include an increase in extreme weather events, such as heatwaves and floods, as well as an increase in the spread of vector-borne and infectious diseases, which may lead to a set of health problems and diseases. Indirect effects can include changes in air quality, water availability, and food production and distribution. These changes can lead to an increase in respiratory problems, malnutrition, and increased food insecurity. There is a perceived need to investigate the extent to which Higher Education Institutions (HEIs) are engaged in efforts to foster a greater understanding of the connections between climate change and health. In this context, this preliminary investigation offers an overview of the relationships between climate change and health. By means of a survey among teaching staff and researchers at HEIs from 42 countries across all continents working on the connection between climate change and health. The study has investigated the extent to which current provisions for education and training on the connection between climate change and health are being considered and how current needs in terms of policy development, research, and training are being met. A series of case studies illustrate how universities worldwide are actively developing strategies and implementing measures to address climate change and health. The study concludes by providing specific recommendations aimed at facilitating the handling of issues related to climate change and health in a higher education context.},
}
@article {pmid38771597,
year = {2024},
author = {Baker, MB and Hsieh, A and Gupta, V and Kim, Y and Merriel, M and Nozari, A and Binda, DD},
title = {The Color of Climate Change: Can Choice of Anesthetic Be Institutionally Racist?.},
journal = {Anesthesia and analgesia},
volume = {138},
number = {6},
pages = {1154-1158},
doi = {10.1213/ANE.0000000000006809},
pmid = {38771597},
issn = {1526-7598},
mesh = {Humans ; *Climate Change ; Racism/prevention &amp; control ; Anesthetics ; Anesthesia/methods ; Choice Behavior ; Anesthesiology/methods ; },
}
@article {pmid38771596,
year = {2024},
author = {Slingo, ME and Slingo, JM},
title = {The Color of Climate Change: Transparency Over the Burden From Anesthesia.},
journal = {Anesthesia and analgesia},
volume = {138},
number = {6},
pages = {1151-1153},
pmid = {38771596},
issn = {1526-7598},
mesh = {Humans ; *Climate Change ; *Anesthesia/adverse effects ; Anesthesiology ; },
}
@article {pmid38771091,
year = {2024},
author = {Ruthsatz, K and Dahlke, F and Alter, K and Wohlrab, S and Eterovick, PC and Lyra, ML and Gippner, S and Cooke, SJ and Peck, MA},
title = {Acclimation capacity to global warming of amphibians and freshwater fishes: Drivers, patterns, and data limitations.},
journal = {Global change biology},
volume = {30},
number = {5},
pages = {e17318},
doi = {10.1111/gcb.17318},
pmid = {38771091},
issn = {1365-2486},
support = {459850971//Deutsche Forschungsgemeinschaft/ ; 2021/10639-5//S&#xe3;o Paulo Research Foundation/ ; //University of Hamburg/ ; },
mesh = {Animals ; *Acclimatization/physiology ; *Fishes/physiology ; *Fresh Water ; *Amphibians/physiology/growth &amp; development ; *Global Warming ; Phylogeny ; Climate Change ; Temperature ; },
abstract = {Amphibians and fishes play a central role in shaping the structure and function of freshwater environments. These organisms have a limited capacity to disperse across different habitats and the thermal buffer offered by freshwater systems is small. Understanding determinants and patterns of their physiological sensitivity across life history is, therefore, imperative to predicting the impacts of climate change in freshwater systems. Based on a systematic literature review including 345 experiments with 998 estimates on 96 amphibian (Anura/Caudata) and 93 freshwater fish species (Teleostei), we conducted a quantitative synthesis to explore phylogenetic, ontogenetic, and biogeographic (thermal adaptation) patterns in upper thermal tolerance (CTmax) and thermal acclimation capacity (acclimation response ratio, ARR) as well as the influence of the methodology used to assess these thermal traits using a conditional inference tree analysis. We found globally consistent patterns in CTmax and ARR, with phylogeny (taxa/order), experimental methodology, climatic origin, and life stage as significant determinants of thermal traits. The analysis demonstrated that CTmax does not primarily depend on the climatic origin but on experimental acclimation temperature and duration, and life stage. Higher acclimation temperatures and longer acclimation times led to higher CTmax values, whereby Anuran larvae revealed a higher CTmax than older life stages. The ARR of freshwater fishes was more than twice that of amphibians. Differences in ARR between life stages were not significant. In addition to phylogenetic differences, we found that ARR also depended on acclimation duration, ramping rate, and adaptation to local temperature variability. However, the amount of data on early life stages is too small, methodologically inconsistent, and phylogenetically unbalanced to identify potential life cycle bottlenecks in thermal traits. We, therefore, propose methods to improve the robustness and comparability of CTmax/ARR data across species and life stages, which is crucial for the conservation of freshwater biodiversity under climate change.},
}
@article {pmid38770234,
year = {2024},
author = {Kumar, P and Priyanshu, P and Sharma, RK and Sharma, D and Arora, M and Gaidhane, AM and Zahiruddin, QS and Rustagi, S and Mawejje, E and Satapathy, P},
title = {Climate change and its role in the emergence of new tick-borne Yezo virus.},
journal = {New microbes and new infections},
volume = {60-61},
number = {},
pages = {101423},
pmid = {38770234},
issn = {2052-2975},
}
@article {pmid38770159,
year = {2024},
author = {Carr, TW and Addo, F and Palazzo, A and Havlik, P and Pérez-Guzmán, K and Ali, Z and Green, R and Hadida, G and Segnon, AC and Zougmoré, R and Scheelbeek, P},
title = {Addressing future food demand in The Gambia: can increased crop productivity and climate change adaptation close the supply-demand gap?.},
journal = {Food security},
volume = {16},
number = {3},
pages = {691-704},
pmid = {38770159},
issn = {1876-4517},
abstract = {UNLABELLED: With rising demand for food and the threats posed by climate change, The Gambia faces significant challenges in ensuring sufficient and nutritious food for its population. To address these challenges, there is a need to increase domestic food production while limiting deforestation and land degradation. In this study, we modified the FABLE Calculator, a food and land-use system model, to focus on The Gambia to simulate scenarios for future food demand and increasing domestic food production. We considered the impacts of climate change on crops, the adoption of climate change adaptation techniques, as well as the potential of enhanced fertiliser use and irrigation to boost crop productivity, and assessed whether these measures would be sufficient to meet the projected increase in food demand. Our results indicate that domestic food production on existing cropland will not be sufficient to meet national food demand by 2050, leading to a significant supply-demand gap. However, investments in fertiliser availability and the development of sustainable irrigation infrastructure, coupled with climate change adaptation strategies like the adoption of climate-resilient crop varieties and optimised planting dates, could halve this gap. Addressing the remaining gap will require additional strategies, such as increasing imports, expanding cropland, or prioritising the production of domestic food crops over export crops. Given the critical role imports play in The Gambia's food supply, it is essential to ensure a robust flow of food imports by diversifying partners and addressing regional trade barriers. Our study highlights the urgent need for sustained investment and policy support to enhance domestic food production and food imports to secure sufficient and healthy food supplies amidst growing demand and climate change challenges.<br><br>SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION: The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1007/s12571-024-01444-1.},
}
@article {pmid38770020,
year = {2024},
author = {Li, Z},
title = {Editorial: Marine microbial symbioses: host-microbe interaction, holobiont's adaptation to niches and global climate change.},
journal = {Frontiers in microbiology},
volume = {15},
number = {},
pages = {1416897},
pmid = {38770020},
issn = {1664-302X},
}
@article {pmid38769470,
year = {2024},
author = {Li, E and Wang, Y and Liu, K and Liu, Y and Xu, C and Dong, W and Zhang, Z},
title = {Historical climate change and vicariance events contributed to the intercontinental disjunct distribution pattern of ash species (Fraxinus, Oleaceae).},
journal = {Communications biology},
volume = {7},
number = {1},
pages = {603},
pmid = {38769470},
issn = {2399-3642},
mesh = {*Fraxinus/genetics ; *Climate Change ; *Phylogeny ; *Fossils ; *Phylogeography ; Plant Dispersal ; },
abstract = {The Northern Hemisphere temperate forests exhibit a disjunct distributional pattern in Europe, North America, and East Asia. Here, to reveal the promoter of intercontinental disjunct distribution, Fraxinus was used as a model organism to integrate abundant fossil evidence with high-resolution phylogenies in a phytogeographic analysis. We constructed a robust phylogenetic tree using genomic data, reconstructed the geographic ancestral areas, and evaluated the effect of incorporating fossil information on the reconstructed biogeographic history. The phylogenetic relationships of Fraxinus were highly resolved and divided into seven clades. Fraxinus originated in western North America during Eocene, and six intercontinental dispersal events and five intercontinental vicariance events were occured. Results suggest that climate change and vicariance contributed to the intercontinental disjunct distribution pattern of Fraxinus. Moreover, results highlight the necessity of integrating phylogenetic relationship and fossil to improve the reliability of inferred biogeographic events and our understanding of the processes underlying disjunct distributions.},
}
@article {pmid38768722,
year = {2024},
author = {Filonchyk, M and Peterson, MP and Zhang, L and Hurynovich, V and He, Y},
title = {Greenhouse gases emissions and global climate change: Examining the influence of CO2, CH4, and N2O.},
journal = {The Science of the total environment},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {173359},
doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.173359},
pmid = {38768722},
issn = {1879-1026},
abstract = {An in-depth analysis of the role of greenhouse gases (GHGs) in climate change is examined here along with their diverse sources, including the combustion of fossil fuels, agriculture, and industrial processes. Key GHG components such as carbon dioxide (CO2), methane (CH4), and nitrous oxide (N2O) are considered, along with data on emissions across various economic sectors. The consequences of climate change are also highlighted, ranging from more frequent and intense extreme weather events to rising sea levels and impacts on ecosystems and human health. The industrial revolution and unrestricted use of fossil fuels are key factors leading to an increase in GHG concentrations in the atmosphere. Global efforts to reduce emissions are considered, starting with the 1997 Kyoto Protocol and culminating in the 2015 Paris Agreement. The limited effectiveness of early initiatives is underscored, emphasizing the significant importance of the Paris Agreement that provides a global framework for establishing goals to reduce GHG emissions by country. The Green Climate Fund and other international financial mechanisms are also considered as essential tools for financing sustainable projects in developing countries. The global community faces the challenge and necessity for more ambitious efforts to achieve the set goals for reducing GHG emissions. Successful strategies are examined by Sweden, Costa Rica, and Denmark to achieve zero GHG emissions that integrate renewable energy sources and technologies. The importance of global cooperation for creating a sustainable future is also emphasized.},
}
@article {pmid38768364,
year = {2024},
author = {Sandal, S and Ethier, I and Onu, U and Fung, W and Bajpai, D and Bilchut, WH and Bagasha, P and De Chiara, L and Hafiz, E and Smyth, B and Kelly, D and Pippias, M and Jha, V},
title = {Climate Change, Kidney Health, and Environmentally Sustainable Kidney Care.},
journal = {Journal of the American Society of Nephrology : JASN},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1681/ASN.0000000000000402},
pmid = {38768364},
issn = {1533-3450},
abstract = {BACKGROUND: Given the threat of climate change to kidney health and the significant environmental impact of kidney care, calls are increasing for healthcare professionals and organizations to champion climate advocacy and environmentally sustainable kidney care. Yet, little is known about their engagement and existing literature is primarily emerging from high-income countries.<br><br>METHODS: We conducted a cross-sectional survey to understand the knowledge, attitude, and practice of healthcare professionals on the interconnectedness of climate change and kidney health; to identify personal and organizational initiatives in sustainable kidney care and strategies to increase their engagement; and to compare responses by their country's income level as classified by the World Bank.<br><br>RESULTS: Participants (n=972) represented 108 countries with 64% from lower- or middle-income countries. Ninety-eight percent believed that climate change is happening, yet <50% possessed knowledge about the impact of climate change on kidney health or the environmental impact of kidney care. Only 14% were involved in climate change and kidney health initiatives (membership, knowledge/awareness, research, advocacy); 22% in sustainable kidney care initiatives (education/advocacy, preventative nephrology, sustainable dialysis, promoting transplant/home therapies, research); and 26% reported organizational initiatives in sustainable kidney care (sustainable general or dialysis practices, preventative/lean nephrology, focused committees). Participants from lower-income countries generally reported higher knowledge and variable level of concern. Engagement in sustainable kidney care did not vary by income level. Guidance/toolkit (79%), continuing education (75%) and opportunities (74%) were the top choices to increase engagement. National initiatives (47%), preventative measures (35%) and research endeavors (31%) were the top avenues for organizational engagement. These varied by income level suggesting that the vision and priorities vary by baseline resource setting.<br><br>CONCLUSIONS: We have identified knowledge and practice gaps among healthcare professionals on the bidirectional relationship between kidney disease and climate change in a multinational context and several avenues to increase their engagement.},
}
@article {pmid38767202,
year = {2024},
author = {Liao, H and Lyon, CJ and Ying, B and Hu, T},
title = {Climate change, its impact on emerging infectious diseases and new technologies to combat the challenge.},
journal = {Emerging microbes &amp; infections},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {2356143},
doi = {10.1080/22221751.2024.2356143},
pmid = {38767202},
issn = {2222-1751},
abstract = {Improved sanitation, increased access to health care, and advances in preventive and clinical medicine have reduced the mortality and morbidity rates of several infectious diseases. However, recent outbreaks of several emerging infectious diseases (EIDs) have caused substantial mortality and morbidity, and the frequency of these outbreaks is likely to increase due to pathogen, environmental, and population effects driven by climate change. Extreme or persistent changes in temperature, precipitation, humidity, and air pollution associated with climate change can, for example, expand the size of EID reservoirs, increase host-pathogen and cross-species host contacts to promote transmission or spillover events, and degrade the overall health of susceptible host populations leading to new EID outbreaks. It is therefore vital to establish global strategies to track and model potential responses of candidate EIDs to project their future behavior and guide research efforts on early detection and diagnosis technologies and vaccine development efforts for these targets. Multi-disciplinary collaborations are demanding to develop effective inter-continental surveillance and modeling platforms that employ artificial intelligence to mitigate climate change effects on EID outbreaks. In this review, we discuss how climate change has increased the risk of EIDs and describe novel approaches to improve surveillance of emerging pathogens that pose the risk for EID outbreaks, new and existing measures that could be used to contain or reduce the risk of future EID outbreaks, and new methods to improve EID tracking during further outbreaks to limit disease transmission.},
}
@article {pmid38766731,
year = {2024},
author = {George, BR},
title = {The way forward is collaborative: Climate change and mental wellbeing.},
journal = {Australasian psychiatry : bulletin of Royal Australian and New Zealand College of Psychiatrists},
volume = {32},
number = {3},
pages = {272-274},
doi = {10.1177/10398562241249307e},
pmid = {38766731},
issn = {1440-1665},
mesh = {Humans ; *Climate Change ; *Mental Health ; },
}
@article {pmid38764543,
year = {2024},
author = {Thompson, TJU},
title = {The impact of climate change and sustainability initiatives on forensic practice.},
journal = {Forensic science international. Synergy},
volume = {8},
number = {},
pages = {100475},
pmid = {38764543},
issn = {2589-871X},
abstract = {The climate change crisis affects all aspects of our lives, and this includes national and global scientific endeavours. The forensic sciences are no different but are yet to engage meaningfully with this agenda or to consider what it means for future practice. This paper explores and discusses a range of impacts on forensic and crime scene practice derived from climate change and proposes the potential implications. The paper concludes by laying out a way forward and a programme of activity to support the forensic sciences to manage the implications of climate change and related sustainability initiatives on the criminal and medico-legal investigative community.},
}
@article {pmid38763361,
year = {2024},
author = {Gagnon, A&#xc8; and Bourgeois, G},
title = {Impact of climate change on the reproductive diapause and voltinism of the carrot weevil, Listronotus oregonensis.},
journal = {Journal of insect physiology},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {104653},
doi = {10.1016/j.jinsphys.2024.104653},
pmid = {38763361},
issn = {1879-1611},
abstract = {The impacts of climate change on the development of insects are of great concern due to potential alterations in population dynamics and pest pressure. The carrot weevil, Listronotus oregonensis, is a major agricultural pest, and its development is influenced by temperature and photoperiod. In this study, our aim was to investigate the impact of temperature increases on the voltinism and reproductive diapause of the carrot weevil under field conditions and bioclimatic models. Field observations were conducted over two growing seasons using structures that allowed for temperature increases. The developmental stages of the carrot weevil, including female reproductive status, oviposition and larval stage, were monitored weekly to measure the proportion of individuals undergoing an additional generation. Concurrently, bioclimatic models were used to simulate the probability of a second generation under current (1981-2010) and future (2041-2070) climates, considering a lower and a higher change in emission scenarios. Results showed that rising temperatures led to an increase in the proportion of carrot weevils undergoing inhibition of the reproductive diapause and a higher number of eggs laid in the field. The models indicated a substantial rise in the probability of a second generation developing, from 24% to 37% to 62%-99% under current and future climates, respectively. These findings demonstrate the potential for significant alterations in carrot weevil population dynamics, resulting in increased pest pressure on crops. Further research is needed to fully understand the implications of these findings and to develop effective adaptation measures to mitigate the negative impacts of global warming on insect populations and agriculture.},
}
@article {pmid38769670,
year = {2021},
author = {Rivero, MJ and Lopez-Villalobos, N and Evans, A and Berndt, A and Cartmill, A and Neal, AL and McLaren, A and Farruggia, A and Mignolet, C and Chadwick, D and Styles, D and McCracken, D and Busch, D and Martin, GB and Fleming, H and Sheridan, H and Gibbons, J and Merbold, L and Eisler, M and Lambe, N and Rovira, P and Harris, P and Murphy, P and Vercoe, PE and Williams, P and Machado, R and Takahashi, T and Puech, T and Boland, T and Ayala, W and Lee, MRF},
title = {Key traits for ruminant livestock across diverse production systems in the context of climate change: perspectives from a global platform of research farms.},
journal = {Reproduction, fertility, and development},
volume = {33},
number = {2},
pages = {1-19},
doi = {10.1071/RD20205},
pmid = {38769670},
issn = {1448-5990},
abstract = {Ruminant livestock are raised under diverse cultural and environmental production systems around the globe. Ruminant livestock can play a critical role in food security by supplying high-quality, nutrient-dense food with little or no competition for arable land while simultaneously improving soil health through vital returns of organic matter. However, in the context of climate change and limited land resources, the role of ruminant-based systems is uncertain because of their reputed low efficiency of feed conversion (kilogram of feed required per kilogram of product) and the production of methane as a by-product of enteric fermentation. A growing human population will demand more animal protein, which will put greater pressure on the Earth's planetary boundaries and contribute further to climate change. Therefore, livestock production globally faces the dual challenges of mitigating emissions and adapting to a changing climate. This requires research-led animal and plant breeding and feeding strategies to optimise ruminant systems. This study collated information from a global network of research farms reflecting a variety of ruminant production systems in diverse regions of the globe. Using this information, key changes in the genetic and nutritional approaches relevant to each system were drawn that, if implemented, would help shape more sustainable future ruminant livestock systems.},
}
@article {pmid38760101,
year = {2024},
author = {Sisodiya, SM and Gulcebi, MI and Fortunato, F and Mills, JD and Haynes, E and Bramon, E and Chadwick, P and Ciccarelli, O and David, AS and De Meyer, K and Fox, NC and Davan Wetton, J and Koltzenburg, M and Kullmann, DM and Kurian, MA and Manji, H and Maslin, MA and Matharu, M and Montgomery, H and Romanello, M and Werring, DJ and Zhang, L and Friston, KJ and Hanna, MG},
title = {Climate change and disorders of the nervous system.},
journal = {The Lancet. Neurology},
volume = {23},
number = {6},
pages = {636-648},
doi = {10.1016/S1474-4422(24)00087-5},
pmid = {38760101},
issn = {1474-4465},
mesh = {Humans ; *Climate Change ; *Nervous System Diseases/epidemiology ; },
abstract = {Anthropogenic climate change is affecting people's health, including those with neurological and psychiatric diseases. Currently, making inferences about the effect of climate change on neurological and psychiatric diseases is challenging because of an overall sparsity of data, differing study methods, paucity of detail regarding disease subtypes, little consideration of the effect of individual and population genetics, and widely differing geographical locations with the potential for regional influences. However, evidence suggests that the incidence, prevalence, and severity of many nervous system conditions (eg, stroke, neurological infections, and some mental health disorders) can be affected by climate change. The data show broad and complex adverse effects, especially of temperature extremes to which people are unaccustomed and wide diurnal temperature fluctuations. Protective measures might be possible through local forecasting. Few studies project the future effects of climate change on brain health, hindering policy developments. Robust studies on the threats from changing climate for people who have, or are at risk of developing, disorders of the nervous system are urgently needed.},
}
@article {pmid38760086,
year = {2024},
author = {Junck, L and Saad, A and Andrews, B},
title = {Neurology and climate change.},
journal = {The Lancet. Neurology},
volume = {23},
number = {6},
pages = {552-553},
doi = {10.1016/S1474-4422(24)00144-3},
pmid = {38760086},
issn = {1474-4465},
mesh = {*Climate Change ; Humans ; *Neurology ; Nervous System Diseases/therapy ; },
}
@article {pmid38758441,
year = {2024},
author = {Olujobi, OJ},
title = {Nigeria's Climate Change Act 2021: A pathway to net-zero carbon emission, energy security and sustainability.},
journal = {Environmental science and pollution research international},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
pmid = {38758441},
issn = {1614-7499},
abstract = {The global push for net-zero carbon emissions by 2050 requires countries to adopt sustainable energy sources, address energy poverty and promote energy security. Nigeria is grappling with an energy crisis, and the recently enacted Climate Change Act 2021 offers the prospect of addressing this while advancing energy sustainability. The study evaluates the Act's potential in promoting energy security and global net-zero carbon emissions. Nigeria faces challenges in recovering from the COVID-19 pandemic and combating climate change, prompting countries to take domestic and international measures to reduce greenhouse gas emissions. Through doctrinal legal research and conceptual analysis, the study examines Nigeria's Climate Change Act, proposing solutions to enhance its commitment to global net-zero carbon emissions. It conducts a comparative legal analysis of climate change frameworks in Kenya, Nigeria and the Democratic Republic of Congo, providing insights and suggesting reforms to Nigeria's Act for Energy Security. While the existing laws are adequate, weak enforcement by regulatory agencies and a lack of political will hinder compliance. Public awareness regarding individual contributions to climate change is also lacking. The study recommends increased funding for regulatory institutions and proactive public awareness. Complying with the Paris Agreement and Sustainable Development Goal 13 is vital for a sustainable energy future.},
}
@article {pmid38758197,
year = {2024},
author = {Doshi, S and Vuppula, S and Jaggi, P},
title = {Healthcare Sustainability to Address Climate Change: Call for Action to the Infectious Diseases Community.},
journal = {Journal of the Pediatric Infectious Diseases Society},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1093/jpids/piae029},
pmid = {38758197},
issn = {2048-7207},
abstract = {The U.S. healthcare system's contribution to greenhouse gas emissions and climate change is disproportionately high and harms the public. Several medical specialties are now reassessing how they can mitigate healthcare's harmful environmental impact. Healthcare sustainability is broadly defined as measures to decrease greenhouse gas emissions, waste, and other pollutants generated during the healthcare delivery process. Prior efforts and programs by infectious diseases (ID) professionals, such as antimicrobial stewardship and infection prevention and control can form a framework for ID professionals to help apply this expertise to healthcare environmental sustainability more broadly. This call to action proposes strategies for ID societies and professionals to incorporate climate change education for trainees, increase research and funding opportunities in healthcare sustainability, and calls for action by ID societies to champion system changes to decrease greenhouse gas emissions.},
}
@article {pmid38757655,
year = {2024},
author = {Fırat Kılıç, H and Cevheroğlu, S and Gök, ND},
title = {Nursing students' awareness of global climate change: A descriptive and cross-sectional study.},
journal = {Public health nursing (Boston, Mass.)},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1111/phn.13340},
pmid = {38757655},
issn = {1525-1446},
abstract = {OBJECTIVE: This study aimed to determine nursing students' awareness of global climate change.<br><br>DESIGN: This descriptive and cross-sectional study was conducted with 302 undergraduate nursing students from a foundation university in Northern Cyprus during the spring semester of the 2021-2022 academic year. A descriptive information form and the Awareness Scale of University Students about Global Climate Change (ASUSGCC) were used for data collection.<br><br>RESULTS: The mean ASUSGCC score was 3.54&#xa0;&#xb1;&#xa0;0.64, and the participants received the lowest and highest scores from the awareness of the causes of global climate change (3.54&#xa0;&#xb1;&#xa0;0.64) and awareness of the effects of global climate change on the natural and human environment (4.03&#xa0;&#xb1;&#xa0;0.70) subscales, respectively. A statistically significant difference was observed between the Global Climate Change scores and the year of education, with fourth-year students obtaining significantly higher scores (p&#xa0;<&#xa0;.05).<br><br>CONCLUSIONS: The study found that nursing students have a moderate level of awareness of global climate change. To raise the level of awareness among these undergraduates, who will be future healthcare professionals, we recommend including climate change awareness in the national nursing curricula.},
}
@article {pmid38756689,
year = {2024},
author = {Xie, C and Liu, C and Wang, H and Liu, D and Jim, CY},
title = {Distribution pattern of large old Ginkgo biloba in China under climate change scenarios.},
journal = {Ecology and evolution},
volume = {14},
number = {5},
pages = {e11367},
pmid = {38756689},
issn = {2045-7758},
abstract = {Large old Ginkgo biloba trees (LOGTs), with profound ecological and cultural significance in China, face increasing threats from climate change and human activities. We employed the BIOCLIM and DOMAIN species distribution models to predict their spatial patterns under the present climate and doubled-CO2 climate change scenario in 2100. We collected 604 validated LOGT occurrence records and data on 19 bioclimate factors for the analysis. Our study yielded a LOGT geographic distribution pattern covering a wide latitudinal belt extending from south subtropical to temperate zones in central and eastern China, concentrating in low elevations and coastal regions. The principal component analysis identified the dominant bioclimatic factors shaping their distribution, namely annual precipitation and low winter temperatures. BIOCLIM and DOMAIN generated predicted suitable habitats that match the present distribution range well. However, under the future climate scenario, the models indicated habitat retentions mainly in the core distribution areas and habitat losses mainly in the southern edge of the present range and scattered pockets elsewhere. Some retained habitats, including excellent ones, will suffer from fragmentation. The predicted new habitats may permit some range expansion and migration but are beset by small patch size and large interpatch distance, bringing fragmentation and gene flow restrictions. The anticipated projected range decline highlights considerable threats climate change poses to the long-term survival of the precious natural-cum-cultural resource. Understanding the distribution patterns and underlying drivers and distillation of practical conservation measures can foster sustainable management vis-a-vis the looming global change.},
}
@article {pmid38756515,
year = {2024},
author = {Rodríguez-Escolar, I and Balmori-de la Puente, A and Collado-Cuadrado, M and Bravo-Barriga, D and Delacour-Estrella, S and Hernández-Lambraño, RE and Sánchez Agudo, J&#xc1; and Morchón, R},
title = {Analysis of the current risk of Leishmania infantum transmission for domestic dogs in Spain and Portugal and its future projection in climate change scenarios.},
journal = {Frontiers in veterinary science},
volume = {11},
number = {},
pages = {1399772},
pmid = {38756515},
issn = {2297-1769},
abstract = {Canine leishmaniosis, caused by the protozoan parasite Leishmania infantum, is a cosmopolitan vector-borne zoonosis, transmitted principally by Phlebotomus perniciosus in Spain and Portugal, where it is considered an endemic disease. Ecoinformatics tools such as ecological niche models (ENM) have been successfully tested to model the distribution of the risk of infection of different parasitosis as they take into account environmental variables vital for their survival. The risk map proposed in this study combines the potential distribution of Ph. perniciosus in the Iberian Peninsula and the calculation of the infection rate of the parasite in the vector to model the risk of contracting the disease in a more realistic way. In fact, this weighting strategy improves the predictive power of the resulting model (R[2] = 0.42, p = < 0.01) compared to the Ph. perniciosus ENM model alone (R[2] = 0.13, p > 0.05). The places with the highest risk of transmission are the southwest and central peninsular area, as well as the Mediterranean coast, the Balearic Islands and the Ebro basin, places where the ideal habitat of Ph. perniciosus and the infection rate is also high. In the case of future projections under climate change scenarios, an increase in the risk of infection by L. infantum can be observed in most of the territory (4.5% in 2040, 71.6% in 2060 and 63% in 2080), mainly in the northern part of the peninsula. The use of ENMs and their weighting with the infection rate in Ph. perniciosus is a useful tool in predicting the risk of infection for L. infantum in dogs for a given area. In this way, a more complete model can be obtained to facilitate prevention and control.},
}
@article {pmid38755479,
year = {2024},
author = {Bote, L and Maes, M},
title = {Tracking pathogen evolution through climate change.},
journal = {Nature reviews. Microbiology},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
pmid = {38755479},
issn = {1740-1534},
}
@article {pmid38755475,
year = {2024},
author = {Xu, B and Xu, R},
title = {An assessment on the new impetus of green energy development and its impact on climate change: a non-linear perspective.},
journal = {Environmental science and pollution research international},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
pmid = {38755475},
issn = {1614-7499},
support = {71974085//National Natural Science Foundation of China/ ; 72374177//Yalong River Joint Fund/ ; },
abstract = {The purpose of this article is to investigate the new driving forces behind China's green energy and further assess the impact of green energy on climate change. The existing literature has used linear methods to investigate green energy, ignoring the non-linear relationships between economic variables. The nonparametric models can accurately simulate nonlinear relationships between economic variables. This paper constructs a nonparametric additive model and uses it to explore green energy. The empirical results show that the impact of green finance on green energy is more prominent in the later stage (a U-shaped impact). Fiscal decentralization also exerts a positive U-shaped impact, meaning that expanding local fiscal autonomy has contributed to green energy growth in the later stage. Similarly, the impact of oil prices and foreign direct investment demonstrates a positive U-shaped pattern. However, the nonlinear impact of environmental pressure displays an inverted U-shaped pattern. Furthermore, this article explores the impact of green energy on climate change and its impact mechanisms. The results exhibit green energy generates a positive U-shaped impact on climate change, meaning that the role of green energy in mitigating climate change gradually becomes prominent over time. Mechanism analysis exhibits that industrial structure and energy structure both produce a nonlinear influence on climate change.},
}
@article {pmid38755138,
year = {2024},
author = {Qiao, X and Straight, B and Ngo, D and Hilton, CE and Owuor Olungah, C and Naugle, A and Lalancette, C and Needham, BL},
title = {Severe drought exposure in utero associates to children's epigenetic age acceleration in a global climate change hot spot.},
journal = {Nature communications},
volume = {15},
number = {1},
pages = {4140},
pmid = {38755138},
issn = {2041-1723},
support = {1728743//NSF | Directorate for Social, Behavioral &amp; Economic Sciences | Division of Behavioral and Cognitive Sciences (Behavioral &amp; Cognitive Sciences)/ ; },
mesh = {Humans ; *Droughts ; Female ; *Epigenesis, Genetic ; *Climate Change ; Kenya ; Male ; Child ; *DNA Methylation ; *Prenatal Exposure Delayed Effects/genetics/metabolism ; Pregnancy ; Aging/genetics ; Saliva/metabolism ; Child, Preschool ; },
abstract = {The goal of this study is to examine the association between in utero drought exposure and epigenetic age acceleration (EAA) in a global climate change hot spot. Calculations of EAA in adults using DNA methylation have been found to accurately predict chronic disease and longevity. However, fewer studies have examined EAA in children, and drought exposure in utero has not been investigated. Additionally, studies of EAA in low-income countries with diverse populations are rare. We assess EAA using epigenetic clocks and two DNAm-based pace-of-aging measurements from whole saliva samples in 104 drought-exposed children and 109 same-sex sibling controls in northern Kenya. We find a positive association between in utero drought exposure and EAA in two epigenetic clocks (Hannum's and GrimAge) and a negative association in the DNAm based telomere length (DNAmTL) clock. The combined impact of drought's multiple deleterious stressors may reduce overall life expectancy through accelerated epigenetic aging.},
}
@article {pmid38754610,
year = {2024},
author = {Ji, Y and Zeng, S and Liu, X and Xia, J},
title = {Mutual Inhibition Effects of Elevated CO2 and Climate Change on Global Forest GPP.},
journal = {Environmental research},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {119145},
doi = {10.1016/j.envres.2024.119145},
pmid = {38754610},
issn = {1096-0953},
abstract = {The impact of CO2 fertilization on enhancing global forest gross primary productivity (GPP) is acknowledged, but its interaction with climate factors-air temperature (Tem), precipitation (Pre), vapor pressure deficit (VPD), and radiation (Rad)-remains unclear. In this study, global forest GPP trends from 1982 to 2018 were examined using BEPS, NIRv, FLUXCOM, and revised EC-LUE datasets, with interannual trends of 5.618 (p<0.01), 5.831 (p<0.01), 0.227, and 6.566 g C m[-2] yr[-1] (p<0.01), respectively. Elevated CO2 was identified as the primary driver of GPP trends, with the dominant area ranging from 51.11% to 90.37% across different GPP datasets. In the NIRv and revised EC-LUE datasets, the positive impact of CO2 on GPP showed a decrease of 0.222 g C m[-2] yr[-1], while the negative impact of Rad increased by 0.007 g C m[-2] yr[-1]. An inhibitory relationship was found between the actual effects of elevated CO2 and climate change on GPP in most forest types. At lower latitudes, Tem primarily constrained CO2 fertilization, while at higher latitudes, VPD emerged as the key limiting factor. This was mainly attributed to the potential trade-off or competition between elevated CO2 and climate change in influencing GPP, with strategic resource allocation varying across different forest ecosystems. This study highlights the significant inhibitory effects of elevated CO2 and climate change on global forest GPP, providing insights into the dynamic responses of forest ecosystems to changing environments.},
}
@article {pmid38754518,
year = {2024},
author = {Godwin, A and Pieralli, S and Sofkova-Bobcheva, S and Ward, A and McGill, C},
title = {Pollen-mediated gene flow from wild carrots (Daucus carota L. subsp. carota) affects the production of commercial carrot seeds (Daucus carota L. subsp. sativus) internationally and in New Zealand in the context of climate change: A systematic review.},
journal = {The Science of the total environment},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {173269},
doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.173269},
pmid = {38754518},
issn = {1879-1026},
abstract = {Climate change will impact the carrot seed industry globally. One adaptation strategy to limit climatic impacts on the production of commercial carrot seeds is geographical shift. However, production must be shifted to climate-optimal places that are free from weeds such as wild carrots to avoid genetic contamination via hybridization. The process of gene flow between wild and cultivated carrots is critical to enable management of wild carrots in the face of climate change. This review systematically assesses the resilience of wild carrots to climate change and their impact on commercial carrot seed production globally with a focus on New Zealand as a major carrot seed producer. The literature was critically analyzed based on three specific components: i) resilience of wild carrots to climate change ii) genetic contamination between wild and cultivated carrots, and iii) management of wild carrots. The majority of the articles were published between 2013 and 2023 (64.71 %), and most of these studies were conducted in Europe (37.26 %) and North America (27.45 %). Country-wise analysis demonstrated that the majority of the studies were carried out in the United States (23.53 %) and the Netherlands (11.77 %). There was limited research conducted in other regions, especially in Oceania (1.96 %). Spatial distribution analysis revealed that the wild carrot was reported in around 100 countries. In New Zealand the North Island has a higher incidence of wild carrot invasion than the South Island. The findings indicated that the wild carrot is becoming more adaptable to climate change, compromising the genetic purity of cultivated carrots due to pollen flow from wild to cultivated carrots. Therefore, ongoing research will be helpful in developing sustainable weed management strategies and predicting potential geographical invasiveness. This study provides a guide for scientists, policymakers, industrialists, and farmers to control wild carrots and produce genetically pure commercial seeds amid climate change.},
}
@article {pmid38753709,
year = {2024},
author = {Woolley, G and Kroll, K and Hoffman, K and Ward, A and Corneli, A and Mudrak, SV and Qureshi, MU and Okeke, NL and Chan, C and Jones, AD and Tomaras, GD and Reeves, RK},
title = {The Climate Change Burden on Immune Health: Are Persons Living With HIV More at Risk?.},
journal = {AIDS research and human retroviruses},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1089/AID.2024.0050},
pmid = {38753709},
issn = {1931-8405},
abstract = {<no abstract>.},
}
@article {pmid38753664,
year = {2024},
author = {Harman, RR and Morrison, WR and Ludwick, D and Gerken, AR},
title = {Predicted range expansion of Prostephanus truncatus (Coleoptera: Bostrichidae) under projected climate change scenarios.},
journal = {Journal of economic entomology},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1093/jee/toae085},
pmid = {38753664},
issn = {1938-291X},
support = {//NIFA/ ; //USDA/ ; 2020-70006-33000//Crop Protection and Pest Management/ ; },
abstract = {The larger grain borer (Prostephanus truncatus [Horn] [Coleoptera: Bostrichidae]) is a wood-boring insect native to Central America and adapted to stored maize and cassava. It was accidentally introduced to Tanzania and became a pest across central Africa. Unlike many grain pests, P. truncatus populations can establish and move within forests. Consequently, novel infestations can occur without human influence. The objectives of our study were to (i) develop an updated current suitability projection for P. truncatus, (ii) assess its potential future distribution under different climate change scenarios, and (iii) identify climate variables that best inform the model. We used WALLACE and MaxEnt to predict potential global distribution by incorporating bioclimatic variables and occurrence records. Future models were projected for 2050 and 2070 with Representative Concentration Pathways (RCPs) 2.6 (low change) and 8.5 (high change). Distribution was most limited by high precipitation and cold temperatures. Globally, highly suitable areas (> 75%) primarily occurred along coastal and equatorial regions with novel areas in northern South America, India, southeastern Asia, Indonesia, and the Philippines, totaling 7% under current conditions. Highly suitable areas at RCPs 2.6 and 8.5 are estimated to increase to 12% and 15%, respectively, by 2050 and increase to 19% in 2070 under RCP 8.5. Centroids of highly suitable areas show distribution centers moving more inshore and away from the equator. Notably, the result is a range expansion, not a shift. Results can be used to decrease biosecurity risks through more spatially explicit and timely surveillance programs for targeting the exclusion of this pest.},
}
@article {pmid38752990,
year = {2024},
author = {Zhou, L and Liu, C and He, C and Lei, J and Zhu, Y and Gao, Y and Xuan, J and Kan, H and Chen, R},
title = {Quantification of the Heat-Related Risk and Burden of Hospitalizations for Cause-Specific Injuries and Contribution of Human-Induced Climate Change: A Time-Stratified Case-Crossover Study in China.},
journal = {Environmental health perspectives},
volume = {132},
number = {5},
pages = {57005},
doi = {10.1289/EHP14057},
pmid = {38752990},
issn = {1552-9924},
mesh = {Humans ; China/epidemiology ; *Hospitalization/statistics &amp; numerical data ; *Climate Change ; Male ; Female ; Middle Aged ; *Cross-Over Studies ; Adult ; *Hot Temperature/adverse effects ; Adolescent ; Young Adult ; Aged ; Child ; Child, Preschool ; Infant ; Wounds and Injuries/epidemiology ; Infant, Newborn ; },
abstract = {BACKGROUND: Although ambient temperature has been linked with injury incidence, there have been few nationwide studies to quantify the temperature-related risk and burden of cause-specific injury hospitalizations. Additionally, the impact of human-induced climate change to injury burden remains unknown.<br><br>OBJECTIVES: Our objectives are to examine the associations between ambient temperature and injury hospitalizations from various causes and to quantify the contribution of human-induced warming to the heat-related burden.<br><br>METHODS: We collected injury hospitalization data from a nationwide hospital-based registry in China during 2000-2019. Using a time-stratified case-crossover design, we investigated the associations between daily mean temperature (&#xb0;C) and cause-specific injury hospitalizations. We also quantified the burden of heat-related injuries under the scenarios with and without anthropogenic forcing, using the Detection and Attribution Model Intercomparison Project to assess the contribution of human-induced warming.<br><br>RESULTS: Our study included a total of 988,087 patients with hospitalization records for injuries. Overall, compared to the temperature at minimum risk of hospitalization (-12.1&#xb0;C), the relative risk of hospitalization at extreme hot temperature (30.8&#xb0;C, 97.5th percentile) was 1.18 [95% confidence interval (CI): 1.14, 1.22], with an approximately linear association between temperature and hospitalization. Vulnerability to heat-related injuries was more pronounced among males, young (<18 years of age) or middle-aged (45-64 years of age) individuals, and those living in the North. The heat-related attributable fraction increased from 23.2% in the 2000s to 23.6% in the 2010s, with a corresponding increase in the contribution of human-induced change over time. In the 2010s, the heat-related attributable fractions for specific causes of injury ranged from 12.4% to 54.4%, with human-induced change accounting for 6.7% to 10.6% of the burden.<br><br>DISCUSSION: This nationwide study presents new evidence of significant associations between temperature and cause-specific injury hospitalizations in China and highlights the increasing contribution of human-induced warming to the injury burden. https://doi.org/10.1289/EHP14057.},
}
@article {pmid38752595,
year = {2024},
author = {Meza-Buendia, AK and Aparicio-Trejo, OE and Díaz, F and Pedraza-Chaverri, J and Álvarez-Delgado, C and Rosas, C},
title = {Climate change consequences on the systemic heart of female Octopus maya: oxidative phosphorylation assessment and the antioxidant system.},
journal = {Biology open},
volume = {13},
number = {5},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1242/bio.060103},
pmid = {38752595},
issn = {2046-6390},
support = {CR IN203022//Universidad Nacional Aut&#xf3;noma de M&#xe9;xico/ ; FORDECYT-PRONACES/61503/2020//Consejo Nacional de Ciencia y Tecnolog&#xed;a/ ; //Universidad Nacional Autonoma de Mexico/ ; },
mesh = {Animals ; Female ; *Oxidative Phosphorylation ; *Octopodiformes/metabolism/physiology ; *Antioxidants/metabolism ; *Climate Change ; Acclimatization ; Temperature ; Heart/physiology ; Myocardium/metabolism ; Superoxide Dismutase/metabolism ; },
abstract = {There is evidence that indicates that temperature modulates the reproduction of the tropical species Octopus maya, through the over- or under-expression of many genes in the brain. If the oxygen supply to the brain depends on the circulatory system, how temperature affects different tissues will begin in the heart, responsible for pumping the oxygen to tissues. The present study examines the impact of heat stress on the mitochondrial function of the systemic heart of adult O. maya. The mitochondrial metabolism and antioxidant defense system were measured in the systemic heart tissue of female organisms acclimated to different temperatures (24, 26, and 30°C). The results show that acclimation temperature affects respiratory State 3 and State 4o (oligomycin-induced) with higher values observed in females acclimated at 26°C. The antioxidant defense system is also affected by acclimation temperature with significant differences observed in superoxide dismutase, glutathione S-transferase activities, and glutathione levels. The results suggest that high temperatures (30°C) could exert physical limitations on the circulatory system through the heart pumping, affecting nutrient and oxygen transport to other tissues, including the brain, which exerts control over the reproductive system. The role of the cardiovascular system in supporting aerobic metabolism in octopus females is discussed.},
}
@article {pmid38752201,
year = {2024},
author = {Reese, A and Clark, CM and Phelan, J and Buckley, J and Cajka, J and Sabo, RD and Van Houtven, G},
title = {Geographic variation in projected US forest aboveground carbon responses to climate change and atmospheric deposition.},
journal = {Environmental research letters : ERL [Web site]},
volume = {19},
number = {},
pages = {1-12},
pmid = {38752201},
issn = {1748-9326},
abstract = {Forest composition and ecosystem services are sensitive to anthropogenic pressures like climate change and atmospheric deposition of nitrogen (N) and sulfur (S). Here we extend recent forest projections for the current cohort of trees in the contiguous US, characterizing potential changes in aboveground tree carbon at the county level in response to varying mean annual temperature, precipitation, and N and S deposition. We found that relative to a scenario with N and S deposition reduction and no climate change, greater climate change led generally to decreasing aboveground carbon (mean -7.5% under RCP4.5, -16% under RCP8.5). Keeping climate constant, reduced N deposition tended to lessen aboveground carbon (mean -7%), whereas reduced S deposition tended to increase aboveground carbon (+3%) by 2100. Through mid-century (2050), deposition was more important for predicting carbon responses except under the extreme climate scenarios (RCP8.5); but, by 2100, climate drivers generally outweighed deposition. While more than 70% of counties showed reductions in aboveground carbon relative to the reference scenario, these were not evenly distributed across the US. Counties in the Northwest and Northern Great Plains, and the northern parts of New England and the Midwest, primarily showed positive responses, while counties in the Southeast showed negative responses. Counties with greater initial biomass showed less negative responses to climate change while those which exhibited the greatest change in composition (>15%) had a 95% chance of losing carbon relative to a no-climate change scenario. This analysis highlights that declines in forest growth and survival due to increases in mean temperature and reductions in atmospheric N deposition are likely to outweigh positive impacts of reduced S deposition and potential increases in precipitation. These effects vary at the regional and county level, however, so forest managers must consider local rather than national dynamics to maximize forest carbon sinks in the future.},
}
@article {pmid38751346,
year = {2024},
author = {Li, T and Jiang, P and Liu, J and Zhu, J and Zhao, S and Li, Z and Zhong, M and Ma, C and Qin, Y},
title = {Considering climate change impact on the global potential geographical distribution of the invasive Argentine ant and little fire ant.},
journal = {Bulletin of entomological research},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {1-12},
doi = {10.1017/S0007485324000270},
pmid = {38751346},
issn = {1475-2670},
abstract = {The Argentine ant (Linepithema humile) and the little fire ant (Wasmannia auropunctata) are among the top 100 invasive alien species globally, causing significant ecological and economic harm. Therefore, it is crucial to study their potential geographic distribution worldwide. This study aimed to predict their global distribution under current and future climate conditions. We used distribution data from various sources, including CABI, GBIF, and PIAKey, and key climate variables selected from 19 environmental factors to model their potential geographic distribution using MaxEnt. The AUC values were 0.925 and 0.937 for L. humile and W. auropunctata, respectively, indicating good predictive performance. Suitable areas for L. humile were mainly in southern North America, northern South America, Europe, central Asia, southern Oceania, and parts of Africa, while W. auropunctata suitable areas were mostly in southern North America, most of South America, a small part of Europe, southern Asia, central Africa, and some parts of Oceania. Under climate change scenario, suitable areas for L. humile increased, while highly suitable areas for W. auropunctata decreased. The top four countries with the largest areas of overlapping suitable habitat under current climate were Brazil, China, Australia, and Argentina, while under future SSP585 climate scenario, the top four countries were Brazil, China, Indonesia, and Argentina. Some countries, such as Estonia and Finland, will see an overlapping adaptation area under climate change. In conclusion, this study provides insight into controlling the spread and harm of L. humile and W. auropunctata.},
}
@article {pmid38751102,
year = {2024},
author = {Dellaripa, PF and Sung, LH and Bain, PA and Lanata, C and Blazar, A and Miller, FW and Feldman, CH and , },
title = {The American College of Rheumatology White Paper: The Effects of Climate Change on Rheumatic Conditions - An Evolving Landscape and a Path Forward.},
journal = {Arthritis &amp; rheumatology (Hoboken, N.J.)},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1002/art.42919},
pmid = {38751102},
issn = {2326-5205},
abstract = {BACKGROUND: Increases in global temperatures and extreme weather events associated with climate change have complex yet poorly understood detrimental impacts on human health. We reviewed the current published literature on climate change-related effects and rheumatic conditions.<br><br>METHODS: To summarize our current understanding of the likely effects of climate change, including increased air pollution, on rheumatic disease, we searched the published, peer-reviewed English-language literature from January 2000-December 2022. Articles were reviewed by a team of rheumatologists and clinical and translational science researchers. Systematic review articles were not included but informed additional literature searches.<br><br>RESULTS: After extensive examination and adjudication, 88 articles met inclusion criteria and were selected for review. Much of the epidemiologic investigations assessed associations between air pollution and increased risk of development of rheumatoid arthritis, anti-citrullinated protein antibodies, flares of gout and hospitalizations for systemic lupus erythematosus. Increased heat vulnerability was associated with higher odds of recurrent hospitalizations across rheumatic conditions. Mechanisms for observed associations are poorly understood but could include the effects of epigenetic changes, oxidative stress, and inflammatory cytokines. Studies had limitations including restricted geography and populations studied without focus on historically marginalized communities at highest risk for adverse effects from pollution and climate change, the relative lack of mechanistic evaluations, and most with only indirect links to climate change.<br><br>CONCLUSIONS: To date, the published literature lacks studies that directly examine effects of climate change on rheumatic diseases. Collaborative translational and epidemiologic research is needed to enhance our understanding and awareness in this area.},
}
@article {pmid38750288,
year = {2024},
author = {Liu, Y and Cheng, J and Zhang, Y and Pan, Y and Wu, J},
title = {Non-trade-off Changes in Soil Conservation Service and Soil Loss on the Tibetan Plateau Underlying the Impacts of Climate Change and human activities.},
journal = {Environmental management},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
pmid = {38750288},
issn = {1432-1009},
support = {Grant No. 4210129//National Natural Science Foundation of China/ ; Grant No. 202001AU070019//Special Foundation for Basic Research Program of Yunnan province/ ; Grant No. KYBS2021071//Doctoral Scientific Research Foundation of Dali University/ ; },
abstract = {Climate change and human activities have significantly influenced soil loss and the soil conservation service, posed threats to regional ecological sustainability. However, the relationships and underlying driving forces between potential soil loss, actual soil loss, and soil conservation service have not been well understood. Utilizing the Integrated Valuation of Ecosystem Services and Trade-offs (InVEST) model, we evaluated the soil conservation service on the Tibetan plateau from 1990 to 2020. We analyzed the spatial and temporal trends and examined the driving factors using linear regression, Pearson correlation, and random forest regression. The soil conservation service exhibited a complex pattern of increase followed by a decrease, with a turning point around 2010. Soil conservation service and soil loss demonstrated non-trade-off changes. The potential soil loss dominated the spatiotemporal patterns of soil conservation service on the Tibetan Plateau. Climatic factors significantly influenced the spatiotemporal patterns of soil conservation service, with annual precipitation emerging as the dominant driving factor, contributing approximately 20%. However, the impacts of human activities became more pronounced since 2010, and the contribution of vegetation to changes in soil conservation service was increased. The impact of the Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) on soil conservation service for the grades I, II, and III increased by 13.19%, 3.08%, and 3.41%, respectively. Conversely, in northern Tibet before 2010 and eastern Three-River-Source after 2010, soil conservation service exhibited an increasing trend driven by both climate factors and human activities. Which indicates that the implementation of ecological restoration measures facilitated vegetation improvement and subsequently reduced actual soil loss. This study provides a scientific basis for resource management, land development strategies, and the formulation of ecological restoration measures on the Tibetan Plateau.},
}
@article {pmid38749451,
year = {2024},
author = {van Daalen, KR and Tonne, C and Semenza, JC and Rocklöv, J and Markandya, A and Dasandi, N and Jankin, S and Achebak, H and Ballester, J and Bechara, H and Beck, TM and Callaghan, MW and Carvalho, BM and Chambers, J and Pradas, MC and Courtenay, O and Dasgupta, S and Eckelman, MJ and Farooq, Z and Fransson, P and Gallo, E and Gasparyan, O and Gonzalez-Reviriego, N and Hamilton, I and Hänninen, R and Hatfield, C and He, K and Kazmierczak, A and Kendrovski, V and Kennard, H and Kiesewetter, G and Kouznetsov, R and Kriit, HK and Llabrés-Brustenga, A and Lloyd, SJ and Batista, ML and Maia, C and Martinez-Urtaza, J and Mi, Z and Milà, C and Minx, JC and Nieuwenhuijsen, M and Palamarchuk, J and Pantera, DK and Quijal-Zamorano, M and Rafaj, P and Robinson, EJZ and Sánchez-Valdivia, N and Scamman, D and Schmoll, O and Sewe, MO and Sherman, JD and Singh, P and Sirotkina, E and Sjödin, H and Sofiev, M and Solaraju-Murali, B and Springmann, M and Treskova, M and Triñanes, J and Vanuytrecht, E and Wagner, F and Walawender, M and Warnecke, L and Zhang, R and Romanello, M and Antò, JM and Nilsson, M and Lowe, R},
title = {The 2024 Europe report of the Lancet Countdown on health and climate change: unprecedented warming demands unprecedented action.},
journal = {The Lancet. Public health},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1016/S2468-2667(24)00055-0},
pmid = {38749451},
issn = {2468-2667},
}
@article {pmid38749375,
year = {2024},
author = {Zulfiqar, F and Moosa, A and Ali, HM and Bermejo, NF and Munné-Bosch, S},
title = {Biostimulants: A sufficiently effective tool for sustainable agriculture in the era of climate change?.},
journal = {Plant physiology and biochemistry : PPB},
volume = {211},
number = {},
pages = {108699},
doi = {10.1016/j.plaphy.2024.108699},
pmid = {38749375},
issn = {1873-2690},
abstract = {Climate change is currently considered as one of the main concerns of the agriculture sector, as it limits crop production and quality. Furthermore, the current context of global crisis with international political instability and war conflicts over the world is pushing the agriculture sector even more to urgently boost productivity and yield and doing so in a sustainable way in the current frame of climate change. Biostimulants can be an effective tool in alleviating the negative effects of environmental stresses to which plants are exposed, such as drought, salinity, heavy metals and extreme temperatures etc. Biostimulants act through multiple mechanisms, modifying gene expression, metabolism and phytohormone production, promoting the accumulation of compatible solutes and antioxidants and mitigating oxidative stress. However, it is important to keep in mind that the use and effect of biostimulants has limitations and must be accompanied by other techniques to ensure crop yield and quality in the current frame of climate change, such as proper crop management and the use of other sustainable resources. Here, we will not only highlight the potential use of biostimulants to face future agricultural challenges, but also take a critical look at their limitations, underlining the importance of a broad vision of sustainable agriculture in the context of climate change.},
}
@article {pmid38749034,
year = {2024},
author = {Bell, ML and Gasparrini, A and Benjamin, GC},
title = {Climate Change, Extreme Heat, and Health.},
journal = {The New England journal of medicine},
volume = {390},
number = {19},
pages = {1793-1801},
doi = {10.1056/NEJMra2210769},
pmid = {38749034},
issn = {1533-4406},
mesh = {*Climate Change ; Humans ; *Extreme Heat/adverse effects ; },
}
@article {pmid38748669,
year = {2024},
author = {Visconti, G and Young, K},
title = {The effect of different extreme weather events on attitudes toward climate change.},
journal = {PloS one},
volume = {19},
number = {5},
pages = {e0300967},
doi = {10.1371/journal.pone.0300967},
pmid = {38748669},
issn = {1932-6203},
mesh = {Humans ; *Climate Change ; *Public Opinion ; *Extreme Weather ; *Attitude ; Surveys and Questionnaires ; Female ; Male ; Weather ; Adult ; Middle Aged ; Global Warming ; United States ; },
abstract = {Can exposure to extreme weather change political opinion and preferences about climate change? There is a growing literature on both the effects of extreme weather events and the factors explaining attitudes toward global warming, though there remains no clear consensus about whether being exposed to extreme weather influences public opinion about climate change. We contribute to this literature by studying the impact of a variety of extreme weather events associated with climate variability, including severe storms, floods, fires, and hurricanes, on attitudes toward climate change. Specifically, we use a three-wave panel survey and a dynamic difference-in-differences design to analyze public opinion data at the individual level in the US. We find that exposure to only one extreme weather type-fires-has a small but significant effect on acknowledging the existence of climate change and supporting the need for action. However, that impact quickly vanishes, and other types of extreme weather do not appear to have any effect on opinion.},
}
@article {pmid38748072,
year = {2024},
author = {Berkel, C},
title = {Potential Impact of Climate Change-Induced Alterations on Pyroptotic Cell Death in Animal Cells: A Review.},
journal = {Molecular biotechnology},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
pmid = {38748072},
issn = {1559-0305},
abstract = {Climate change-induced alterations in temperature variation, ozone exposure, water salinity and acidification, and hypoxia might influence immunity and thus survival in diverse groups of animals from fish to mammals. Pyroptosis is a type of lytic pro-inflammatory programmed cell death, which participates in the innate immune response, and is involved in multiple diseases characterized by inflammation and cell death, mostly studied in human cells. Diverse extrinsic factors can induce pyroptosis, leading to the extracellular release of pro-inflammatory molecules such as IL-18. Climate change-related factors, either directly or indirectly, can also promote animal cell death via different regulated mechanisms, impacting organismal fitness. However, pyroptosis has been relatively less studied in this context compared to another cell death process, apoptosis. This review covers previous research pointing to the potential impact of climate change, through various abiotic stressors, on pyroptotic cell death in different animal cells in various contexts. It was proposed that temperature, ozone exposure, water salinity, water acidification and hypoxia have the potential to induce pyroptotic cell death in animal cells and promote inflammation, and that these pyroptotic events should be better understood to be able to mitigate the adverse effects of climate change on animal physiology and health. This is of high importance considering the increasing frequency, intensity and duration of climate-based changes in these environmental parameters, and the critical function of pyroptosis in immune responses of animals and in their predisposition to multiple diseases including cancer. Furthermore, the need for further mechanistic studies showing the more direct impact of climate change-induced environmental alterations on pyroptotic cell death in animals at the organismal level was highlighted. A complete picture of the association between climate change and pyroptosis in animals will be also highly valuable in terms of ecological and clinical applications, and it requires an interdisciplinary approach. SIGNIFICANCE: Climate change-induced alterations might influence animal physiology. Pyroptosis is a form of cell death with pro-inflammatory characteristics. Previous research suggests that temperature variation, ozone exposure, water salinity and acidification, and hypoxia might have the potential to contribute to pyroptotic cell death in certain cell types and contexts. Climate change-induced pyroptotic cell death should be better understood to be able to mitigate the adverse effects of climate change on animal health.},
}
@article {pmid38745485,
year = {2024},
author = {Huang, M and Chen, Y and Zhou, W and Wei, F},
title = {Assessing the response of marine fish communities to climate change and fishing.},
journal = {Conservation biology : the journal of the Society for Conservation Biology},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {e14291},
doi = {10.1111/cobi.14291},
pmid = {38745485},
issn = {1523-1739},
support = {SLYJ2023B4004//the Guangdong Forestry Administration/ ; GML2020GD0804//PI Project of Southern Marine Science and Engineering Guangdong Laboratory (Guangzhou)/ ; GML2022GD0804//PI Project of Southern Marine Science and Engineering Guangdong Laboratory (Guangzhou)/ ; 2021QN02H103//Science and Technology Department of Guangdong Province/ ; 2021YFF0502800//Ministry of Science and Technology of China/ ; },
abstract = {Globally, marine fish communities are being altered by climate change and human disturbances. We examined data on global marine fish communities to assess changes in community-weighted mean temperature affinity (i.e., mean temperatures within geographic ranges), maximum length, and trophic levels, which, respectively, represent the physiological, morphological, and trophic characteristics of marine fish communities. Then, we explored the influence of climate change and fishing on these characteristics because of their long-term role in shaping fish communities, especially their interactive effects. We employed spatial linear mixed models to investigate their impacts on community-weighted mean trait values and on abundance of different fish lengths and trophic groups. Globally, we observed an initial increasing trend in the temperature affinity of marine fish communities, whereas the weighted mean length and trophic levels of fish communities showed a declining trend. However, these shift trends were not significant, likely due to the large variation in midlatitude communities. Fishing pressure increased fish communities' temperature affinity in regions experiencing climate warming. Furthermore, climate warming was associated with an increase in weighted mean length and trophic levels of fish communities. Low climate baseline temperature appeared to mitigate the effect of climate warming on temperature affinity and trophic levels. The effect of climate warming on the relative abundance of different trophic classes and size classes both exhibited a nonlinear pattern. The small and relatively large fish species may benefit from climate warming, whereas the medium and largest size groups may be disadvantaged. Our results highlight the urgency of establishing stepping-stone marine protected areas to facilitate the migration of fishes to habitats in a warming ocean. Moreover, reducing human disturbance is crucial to mitigate rapid tropicalization, particularly in vulnerable temperate regions.},
}
@article {pmid38744627,
year = {2024},
author = {Kharouba, HM and Williams, JL},
title = {Forecasting species' responses to climate change using space-for-time substitution.},
journal = {Trends in ecology &amp; evolution},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1016/j.tree.2024.03.009},
pmid = {38744627},
issn = {1872-8383},
abstract = {To anticipate species' responses to climate change, ecologists have largely relied on the space-for-time-substitution (SFTS) approach. However, the hypothesis and its underlying assumptions have been poorly tested. Here, we detail how the efficacy of using the SFTS approach to predict future locations will depend on species' traits, the ecological context, and whether the species is declining or introduced. We argue that the SFTS approach will be least predictive in the contexts where we most need it to be: forecasting the expansion of the range of introduced species and the recovery of threatened species. We highlight how evaluating the underlying assumptions, along with improved methods, will rapidly advance our understanding of the applicability of the SFTS approach, particularly in the context of modelling the distribution of species.},
}
@article {pmid38744055,
year = {2024},
author = {Gao, S and Wang, Y},
title = {Aging in climate change: Unpacking residential mobility and changes of social determinants of health in southern United States.},
journal = {Health &amp; place},
volume = {88},
number = {},
pages = {103268},
doi = {10.1016/j.healthplace.2024.103268},
pmid = {38744055},
issn = {1873-2054},
abstract = {The southern coastal states of the United States are susceptible to extreme weather and climate events. With growing move-in and -out older populations in the region, health implications of their residential mobility lack sufficient knowledge. Using 126,352 person-level records from 2012 to 2021, we examined geospatial and temporal patterns of older populations' residential mobility, considering the changing social determinants of health and disparities. We found the moves of older populations with socioeconomic or health disadvantages were related to increased exposure to environmental hazards and reduced access to health resources. The findings inform targeted strategies for climate adaptation that address the needs of vulnerable aging populations.},
}
@article {pmid38743611,
year = {2024},
author = {Azuero-Pedraza, CG and Lauri, P and Lessa Derci Augustynczik, A and Thomas, VM},
title = {Managing Forests for Biodiversity Conservation and Climate Change Mitigation.},
journal = {Environmental science &amp; technology},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1021/acs.est.3c07163},
pmid = {38743611},
issn = {1520-5851},
abstract = {We include biodiversity impacts in forest management decision making by incorporating the countryside species area relationship model into the partial equilibrium model GLOBIOM-Forest. We tested three forest management intensities (low, medium, and high) and limited biodiversity loss via an additional constraint on regional species loss. We analyzed two scenarios for climate change mitigation. RCP1.9, the higher mitigation scenario, has more biodiversity loss than the reference RCP7.0, suggesting a trade-off between climate change mitigation, with increased bioenergy use, and biodiversity conservation in forests. This trade-off can be alleviated with biodiversity-conscious forest management by (1) shifting biomass production destined to bioenergy from forests to energy crops, (2) increasing areas under unmanaged secondary forest, (3) reducing forest management intensity, and (4) reallocating biomass production between and within regions. With these mechanisms, it is possible to reduce potential global biodiversity loss by 10% with minor changes in economic outcomes. The global aggregated reduction in biodiversity impacts does not imply that biodiversity impacts are reduced in each ecoregion. We exemplify how to connect an ecologic and an economic model to identify trade-offs, challenges, and possibilities for improved decisions. We acknowledge the limitations of this approach, especially of measuring and projecting biodiversity loss.},
}
@article {pmid38741002,
year = {2024},
author = {Lynch, AJ and Embke, HS and Nyboer, EA and Wood, LE and Thorpe, A and Phang, SC and Viana, DF and Golden, CD and Milardi, M and Arlinghaus, R and Baigun, C and Beard, TD and Cooke, SJ and Cowx, IG and Koehn, JD and Lyach, R and Potts, W and Robertson, AM and Schmidhuber, J and Weyl, OLF},
title = {Inland recreational fisheries contribute nutritional benefits and economic value but are vulnerable to climate change.},
journal = {Nature food},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
pmid = {38741002},
issn = {2662-1355},
abstract = {Inland recreational fishing is primarily considered a leisure-driven activity in freshwaters, yet its harvest can contribute to food systems. Here we estimate that the harvest from inland recreational fishing equates to just over one-tenth of all reported inland fisheries catch globally. The estimated total consumptive use value of inland recreational fish destined for human consumption may reach US$9.95 billion annually. We identify Austria, Canada, Germany and Slovakia as countries above the third quantile for nutrition, economic value and climate vulnerability. These results have important implications for populations dependent on inland recreational fishing for food. Our findings can inform climate adaptation planning for inland recreational fisheries, particularly those not currently managed as food fisheries.},
}
@article {pmid38740825,
year = {2024},
author = {Kuśmierczyk-Michulec, J and Baré, J},
title = {Climate change as observed through the IMS radionuclide station in Spitzbergen.},
journal = {Scientific reports},
volume = {14},
number = {1},
pages = {10906},
pmid = {38740825},
issn = {2045-2322},
abstract = {The International Monitoring System (IMS), installed and maintained by the Comprehensive Nuclear-Test-Ban Treaty Organization (CTBTO) with the support of States Signatories, is a global system of monitoring stations based on four complementary technologies: seismic, hydroacoustic, infrasound and radionuclide. One of the IMS radionuclide stations is located in Spitzbergen, the largest island of the Norwegian Svalbard Archipelago, which borders the Barents Sea and the Northern Atlantic Ocean. It has been demonstrated that signs of climate change are particularly noticeable in that region. As many other radionuclides observed in environmental measurements, [212]Pb is always observed at IMS stations, in varying quantities. This is also the case for the IMS station RN49, Spitzbergen, where it can be demonstrated that the average concentration of the measured lead [212]Pb increases. This is observable specifically October through December. This paper demonstrates the asset of IMS data to study climate change effects. Our conclusions are supported by global temperature anomaly data from NOAA's Global Surface Temperature Analysis, covering the period 1850 to 2023.},
}
@article {pmid38740200,
year = {2024},
author = {Li, Q and Gao, X and Li, J and Yan, A and Chang, S and Song, X and Lo, K},
title = {Nonlinear time effects of vegetation response to climate change: Evidence from Qilian Mountain National Park in China.},
journal = {The Science of the total environment},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {173149},
doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.173149},
pmid = {38740200},
issn = {1879-1026},
abstract = {Vegetation responses to climate change are typically nonlinear with varied time effects, yet current research lacks comprehensiveness and precise definitions, hindering a deeper understanding of the underlying mechanisms. This study focuses on the mountain-type Qilian Mountains National Park (QMNP), investigating the characteristics and patterns of these nonlinear time effects using a generalized additive model (GAM) based on MODIS-NDVI, growing season temperature, and precipitation data. The results show that 1) The time effects of climate change on vegetation exhibit significant spatial variations, differing across vegetation types and topographic conditions. Accounting for optimal time effects can increase the explanatory power of climate on vegetation change by 6.8 %. Precipitation responses are mainly characterized by time-lag and time-accumulation effects, notably in meadows and steppes, while temperature responses are largely cumulative, especially in steppes. The altitude and slope significantly influence the pattern of vegetation response to climate, particularly in areas with high altitudes and steep slopes. 2) There is a significant nonlinear relationship between vegetation growth and both precipitation and temperature, with the nonlinear relationship between precipitation and vegetation being stronger than that with temperature, particularly in the western and central regions of the park. Different vegetation types exhibit significant variations in their response to climate change, with deserts and steppes being more sensitive to precipitation. 3) Precipitation is the primary driver of vegetation change in the QMNP, particularly for high-elevation vegetation and herbaceous vegetation. The complex temporal patterns of vegetation response to climate change in the QMNP not only deepen the understanding of the intricate relationship between regional vegetation and climate variability but also provide a methodological reference for global studies on vegetation responses to climate change.},
}
@article {pmid38739807,
year = {2024},
author = {Itoh, H and Yamashita, H and Wada, KC and Yonemaru, JI},
title = {Real-time emulation of future global warming reveals realistic impacts on the phenological response and quality deterioration in rice.},
journal = {Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America},
volume = {121},
number = {21},
pages = {e2316497121},
doi = {10.1073/pnas.2316497121},
pmid = {38739807},
issn = {1091-6490},
support = {BAC1004//MAFF | Agriculture, Forestry and Fisheries Research Council (AFFRC)/ ; },
mesh = {*Oryza/growth &amp; development/genetics ; *Global Warming ; Climate Change ; Crops, Agricultural/growth &amp; development ; Carbon Dioxide/metabolism/analysis ; Agriculture/methods ; Gene Expression Regulation, Plant ; Temperature ; Transcriptome ; },
abstract = {Decreased production of crops due to climate change has been predicted scientifically. While climate-resilient crops are necessary to ensure food security and support sustainable agriculture, predicting crop growth under future global warming is challenging. Therefore, we aimed to assess the impact of realistic global warming conditions on rice cultivation. We developed a crop evaluation platform, the agro-environment (AE) emulator, which generates diverse environments by implementing the complexity of natural environmental fluctuations in customized, fully artificial lighting growth chambers. We confirmed that the environmental responsiveness of rice obtained in the fluctuation of artificial environments is similar to those exhibited in natural environments by validating our AE emulator using publicly available meteorological data from multiple years at the same location and multiple locations in the same year. Based on the representative concentration pathway, real-time emulation of severe global warming unveiled dramatic advances in the rice life cycle, accompanied by a 35% decrease in grain yield and an 85% increase in quality deterioration, which is higher than the recently reported projections. The transcriptome dynamism showed that increasing temperature and CO2 concentrations synergistically changed the expression of various genes and strengthened the induction of flowering, heat stress adaptation, and CO2 response genes. The predicted severe global warming greatly alters rice environmental adaptability and negatively impacts rice production. Our findings offer innovative applications of artificial environments and insights for enhancing varietal potential and cultivation methods in the future.},
}
@article {pmid38738563,
year = {2024},
author = {Teichert, S and Reddin, CJ and Wisshak, M},
title = {In situ decrease in rhodolith growth associated with Arctic climate change.},
journal = {Global change biology},
volume = {30},
number = {5},
pages = {e17300},
doi = {10.1111/gcb.17300},
pmid = {38738563},
issn = {1365-2486},
support = {AB 109/11-1//Deutsche Forschungsgemeinschaft/ ; 269895748//Deutsche Forschungsgemeinschaft/ ; //Dr. Hertha und Helmut Schmauser-Stiftung/ ; //Helmholtz Information and Data Science Academy (HIDA)/ ; //Leitstelle Deutsche Forschungsschiffe/ ; },
mesh = {*Climate Change ; Arctic Regions ; *Rhodophyta/growth &amp; development/physiology ; *Temperature ; Seawater/chemistry ; },
abstract = {Rhodoliths built by crustose coralline algae (CCA) are ecosystem engineers of global importance. In the Arctic photic zone, their three-dimensional growth emulates the habitat complexity of coral reefs but with a far slower growth rate, growing at micrometers per year rather than millimeters. While climate change is known to exert various impacts on the CCA's calcite skeleton, including geochemical and structural alterations, field observations of net growth over decade-long timescales are lacking. Here, we use a temporally explicit model to show that rising ocean temperatures over nearly 100 years were associated with reduced rhodolith growth at different depths in the Arctic. Over the past 90 years, the median growth rate was 85 μm year[-1] but each °C increase in summer seawater temperature decreased growth by a mean of 8.9 μm (95% confidence intervals = 1.32-16.60 μm °C[-1], p < .05). The decrease was expressed for rhodolith occurrences in 11 and 27 m water depth but not at 46 m, also having the shortest time series (1991-2015). Although increasing temperatures can spur plant growth, we suggest anthropogenic climate change has either exceeded the population thermal optimum for these CCA, or synergistic effects of warming, ocean acidification, and/or increasing turbidity impair rhodolith growth. Rhodoliths built by calcitic CCA are important habitat providers worldwide, so decreased growth would lead to yet another facet of anthropogenic habitat loss.},
}
@article {pmid38737601,
year = {2024},
author = {Atwoli, L and Erhabor, GE and Gbakima, AA and Haileamlak, A and Kayembe Ntumba, JM and Kigera, J and Laybourn-Langton, L and Mash, B and Muhia, J and Mavis Mulaudzi, F and Ofori-Adjei, D and Okonofua, F and Rashidian, A and El-Adawy, M and Sidibé, S and Snouber, A and Tumwine, J and Sahar Yassien, M and Yonga, P and Zakhama, L and Zielinski, C},
title = {COP27 Climate Change Conference: Urgent action needed for Africa and the world: Wealthy nations must step up support for Africa and vulnerable countries in addressing past, present and future impacts of climate change.},
journal = {Neuro-oncology practice},
volume = {11},
number = {3},
pages = {e4-e6},
pmid = {38737601},
issn = {2054-2577},
}
@article {pmid38736911,
year = {2024},
author = {Stoian, IM and Pârvu, S and Minca, DG},
title = {Relationship between Climate Change, Air Pollution and Allergic Diseases Caused by Ambrosia artemisiifolia (Common Ragweed).},
journal = {Maedica},
volume = {19},
number = {1},
pages = {94-105},
pmid = {38736911},
issn = {1841-9038},
abstract = {Objective: Influence of climate change and outdoor air pollution (through anthropogenic factors, including heavy traffic, industry and other human activities polluting the environment), which contribute to global warming and increase the allergenicity of some plants (common ragweed) on allergenic patterns, with a direct negative impact on human health, causing or exacerbating allergic respiratory diseases such as bronchial asthma and allergic rhinitis, changing the pattern of respiratory tract infections and premature deaths in Europe. The present study aims to highlight the link between climate change, outdoor air pollution, altered allergenicity of palms and possible behavioural risk factors in the environment. Methods:The clinical studies selected in this research highlighted the links between climate change, air pollutants and the occurrence/exacerbation of aeroallergen-induced respiratory disease; climate change (as an inducer of allergic respiratory disease), increasing global mean ambient air temperature and aeroallergens; climate change, global warming, [CO2] concentration and aeroallergens; climate change, atmospheric humidity, dust storms and aeroallergens; urbanisation (anthropogenic influence), air pollution and aeroallergens; potential of different plant species (common ragweed) for Ni accumulation and possible effects on the human body. Results:The medical implications of increased atmospheric [CO2] concentration are either direct (effect of [CO2] on human physiology and pathophysiology) or indirect (alteration of plant physiology associated with human disease). In an urban area with high [CO2] concentrations, ragweed grows faster, flowers earlier and more intensively, which will lead to increased pollen production compared to rural areas. Over time, climate change leads to changes in allergen (common ragweed) patterns, followed by effects on human health (causing or exacerbating allergic respiratory diseases such as bronchial asthma and allergic rhinitis and changing the pattern of respiratory tract infections). Conclusion:Climate change is changing air pollution patterns, particularly in urbanised areas of the world, with a significant effect on human health. Allergen patterns are also changing in response to climate change. Lifestyle adjustments are important to mitigate the health effects of air pollution and reduce the occurrence and progression of respiratory diseases.},
}
@article {pmid38736820,
year = {2024},
author = {Shaikh, MK and Joshi, A and Mendhe, HG},
title = {Climate change impact on human health and strategies to combat.},
journal = {Journal of family medicine and primary care},
volume = {13},
number = {3},
pages = {1121-1122},
doi = {10.4103/jfmpc.jfmpc_1303_23},
pmid = {38736820},
issn = {2249-4863},
}
@article {pmid38736438,
year = {2024},
author = {Gabay, G and Flaishman, MA},
title = {Genetic and molecular regulation of chilling requirements in pear: breeding for climate change resilience.},
journal = {Frontiers in plant science},
volume = {15},
number = {},
pages = {1347527},
pmid = {38736438},
issn = {1664-462X},
abstract = {Pear (Pyrus spp.) is a deciduous fruit tree that requires exposure to sufficient chilling hours during the winter to establish dormancy, followed by favorable heat conditions during the spring for normal vegetative and floral budbreak. In contrast to most temperate woody species, apples and pears of the Rosaceae family are insensitive to photoperiod, and low temperature is the major factor that induces growth cessation and dormancy. Most European pear (Pyrus Communis L.) cultivars need to be grown in regions with high chilling unit (CU) accumulation to ensure early vegetative budbreak. Adequate vegetative budbreak time will ensure suitable metabolite accumulation, such as sugars, to support fruit set and vegetative development, providing the necessary metabolites for optimal fruit set and development. Many regions that were suitable for pear production suffer from a reduction in CU accumulation. According to climate prediction models, many temperate regions currently suitable for pear cultivation will experience a similar accumulation of CUs as observed in Mediterranean regions. Consequently, the Mediterranean region can serve as a suitable location for conducting pear breeding trials aimed at developing cultivars that will thrive in temperate regions in the decades to come. Due to recent climatic changes, bud dormancy attracts more attention, and several studies have been carried out aiming to discover the genetic and physiological factors associated with dormancy in deciduous fruit trees, including pears, along with their related biosynthetic pathways. In this review, current knowledge of the genetic mechanisms associated with bud dormancy in European pear and other Pyrus species is summarized, along with metabolites and physiological factors affecting dormancy establishment and release and chilling requirement determination. The genetic and physiological insights gained into the factors regulating pear dormancy phase transition and determining chilling requirements can accelerate the development of new pear cultivars better suited to both current and predicted future climatic conditions.},
}
@article {pmid38736109,
year = {2024},
author = {Joshi, S and Panandikar, M},
title = {Going Green: Climate Change and Health.},
journal = {The Journal of the Association of Physicians of India},
volume = {72},
number = {3},
pages = {11-12},
doi = {10.59556/japi.72.0490},
pmid = {38736109},
issn = {0004-5772},
mesh = {*Climate Change ; Humans ; India ; Urbanization ; Economic Development ; },
abstract = {The World population doubled from 4 billion humans to 8 billion humans from 1974 to 2022, and it is unlikely to double again. The population of India has now surpassed China, with around 1.4 billion, and we have also already climbed up to become the world's fifth largest economy. Unfortunately, rapid economic development, urbanization, and modernization bring with them deleterious effects on national health, especially if the population does not take preventive measures to protect themselves. Additionally, economic development incorporates rapid industrial and agricultural advances, all of which impact the environment directly.},
}
@article {pmid38735174,
year = {2024},
author = {Wat, CCY and Xin, X and Lai, RWS and Mao, X and Leung, KMY},
title = {Impact of environmental factors changes induced by marine heatwaves and heavy precipitation on antibiotic toxicity to Isochrysis galbana: Implications for climate change adaptation.},
journal = {Marine pollution bulletin},
volume = {203},
number = {},
pages = {116453},
doi = {10.1016/j.marpolbul.2024.116453},
pmid = {38735174},
issn = {1879-3363},
abstract = {Isochrysis galbana, a crucial primary producer and food source in aquatic ecosystems, faces increasing challenges from climate change and emerging contaminants like antibiotics. This study investigates the combined effects of sudden temperature increase (representing marine heatwaves) and rapid salinity change (representing extreme precipitation events) on the toxicity of tetracycline (TC) and oxytetracycline (OTC) to I. galbana. Short-term experiments reveal heightened antibiotic toxicity at 31 °C or salinities of 18 PSU, surpassing algal tolerance limits. Long-term tests show decreased inhibition of algal growth on day 9, indicating algal adaptation to the environment. Analyses of photosynthesis II efficiency, pigment content, and macromolecular composition support this, suggesting adaptation mechanism activation. While algae acclimate to the environment during long-term antibiotic exposure, extreme weather conditions may compromise this adaptation. These findings have implications for managing antibiotics in aquatic environments under climate change.},
}
@article {pmid38734671,
year = {2024},
author = {Vrselja, I and Pandžić, M and Rihtarić, ML and Ojala, M},
title = {Media exposure to climate change information and pro-environmental behavior: the role of climate change risk judgment.},
journal = {BMC psychology},
volume = {12},
number = {1},
pages = {262},
pmid = {38734671},
issn = {2050-7283},
mesh = {Humans ; Female ; Middle Aged ; Male ; Adult ; *Climate Change ; Aged ; Young Adult ; Adolescent ; Cross-Sectional Studies ; *Mass Media/statistics &amp; numerical data ; Judgment ; Croatia ; Anxiety/psychology ; Media Exposure ; },
abstract = {BACKGROUND: The aim of this study was to examine the relationships between exposure to climate change information in traditional and modern media, cognitive and emotional aspects of climate change risk judgment, and pro-environmental behavior (PEB).<br><br>METHOD: A cross-sectional online study was conducted on a quota sample of 1,075 participants (51.9% women) aged 18-79 years. Participants self-reported their exposure to climate change-related information in traditional (e.g. television) and modern media (e.g. social networks), cognitive assessment of climate change risk, level of worry about climate change, and the frequency of PEB.<br><br>RESULTS: Structural equation modeling showed a good fit for the parallel mediation model, involving cognitive risk judgment and worry as mediators between exposure to climate change information in traditional and modern media and PEB. Exposure to climate change information in traditional media had indirect effect on PEB through heightened worry, but not cognitive risk judgment. In contrast, exposure to climate change information in modern media had no indirect effect on PEB.<br><br>CONCLUSION: Since the link between exposure to climate change information in traditional media and PEB has been shown to be mediated by climate change worry, it is important to enhance the coverage of climate change in traditional media in Croatia, taking care to offer solutions to reduce possible negative impact on people's well-being.},
}
@article {pmid38734434,
year = {2024},
author = {},
title = {Strengthened global capacities on climate change and health: WHO training in Madrid.},
journal = {Saudi medical journal},
volume = {45},
number = {5},
pages = {545-546},
pmid = {38734434},
issn = {1658-3175},
mesh = {*Climate Change ; Humans ; *World Health Organization ; Global Health ; Spain ; },
}
@article {pmid38734292,
year = {2024},
author = {Chen, S and Xiao, Y and Xiao, Z and Li, J and Herrera-Ulloa, A},
title = {Suitable habitat shifts and ecological niche overlay assessments among benthic Oplegnathus species in response to climate change.},
journal = {Environmental research},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {119129},
doi = {10.1016/j.envres.2024.119129},
pmid = {38734292},
issn = {1096-0953},
abstract = {Climate change has had a significant impact on many marine organisms. To investigate the effects of environmental changes on deep-water benthic fishes, we selected the genus Oplegnathus and applied species distribution modeling and ecological niche modeling. From the last glacial maximum to the present, the three Oplegnathus species (O. conwayi, O. robinsoni, and O. peaolopesi) distributed in the Cape of Good Hope region of southern Africa experienced fitness zone fluctuations of 39.9%, 13%, and 5.7%, respectively. In contrast, O. fasciatus and O. punctatus, which were primarily distributed in the western Pacific Ocean, had fitness zone fluctuations of -6.5% and 11.7%, respectively. Neither the O. insignis nor the O. woodward varied by more than 5% over the period. Under future environmental conditions, the range of variation in fitness zones for the three southern African Oplegnathus species was expected to be between -30.8% and -26.5%, while the range of variation in fitness zones for the two western Pacific stonefish species was expected to remain below 13%. In addition, the range of variation in the fitness zones of the O. insignis was projected to be between -2.3% and 7.1%, and the range of variation in the fitness zones of the O. woodward is projected to be between -5.7% and -2%. The results indicated that O. fasciatus and O. punctatus had a wide distribution and high expansion potential, while Oplegnathus species might have originated in western Pacific waters. Our results showed that benthic fishes were highly adaptable to extreme environments, such as the last glacial maximum. The high ecological niche overlap between Oplegnathus species in the same region suggested that they competed with each other. Future research could explore the impacts of environmental change on marine organisms and make conservation and management recommendations.},
}
@article {pmid38734081,
year = {2024},
author = {González-Herrero, S and Lemus-Canovas, M and Pereira, P},
title = {Climate change in cold regions.},
journal = {The Science of the total environment},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {173127},
doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.173127},
pmid = {38734081},
issn = {1879-1026},
abstract = {Cold regions around the world include Arctic, Antarctic and High Mountain regions featuring low temperatures, ice-covered landscapes, permafrost, and unique ecologic interrelations. These environments are among the most sensitive to climate change and are changing rapidly as the global climate gets warmer. This editorial explores the complexity of the impacts of climate change on cold regions, highlighting recent changes across Earth system. The Special Issue here presented compiles studies that explore the climate change in different cold regions from various perspectives, including paleoclimatic reconstructions, isotherm shifts and climate projections. Despite progress, significant questions remain, demanding interdisciplinary approaches to better understand the interconnected factors shaping cold regions.},
}
@article {pmid38732040,
year = {2024},
author = {Blanca-Reyes, I and Lechuga, V and Llebrés, MT and Carreira, JA and Ávila, C and Cánovas, FM and Castro-Rodríguez, V},
title = {Under Stress: Searching for Genes Involved in the Response of Abies pinsapo Boiss to Climate Change.},
journal = {International journal of molecular sciences},
volume = {25},
number = {9},
pages = {},
pmid = {38732040},
issn = {1422-0067},
support = {TED2021-129691B-I00, PID2021-125040OB-I00//Agencia Estatal de Investigaci&#xf3;n/ ; },
mesh = {*Climate Change ; *Stress, Physiological/genetics ; *Gene Expression Regulation, Plant ; *Abies/genetics ; Plant Proteins/genetics/metabolism ; Heat-Shock Proteins/genetics/metabolism ; Forests ; },
abstract = {Currently, Mediterranean forests are experiencing the deleterious effects of global warming, which mainly include increased temperatures and decreased precipitation in the region. Relict Abies pinsapo fir forests, endemic in the southern Iberian Peninsula, are especially sensitive to these recent environmental disturbances, and identifying the genes involved in the response of this endangered tree species to climate-driven stresses is of paramount importance for mitigating their effects. Genomic resources for A. pinsapo allow for the analysis of candidate genes reacting to warming and aridity in their natural habitats. Several members of the complex gene families encoding late embryogenesis abundant proteins (LEAs) and heat shock proteins (HSPs) have been found to exhibit differential expression patterns between wet and dry seasons when samples from distinct geographical locations and dissimilar exposures to the effects of climate change were analyzed. The observed changes were more perceptible in the roots of trees, particularly in declining forests distributed at lower altitudes in the more vulnerable mountains. These findings align with previous studies and lay the groundwork for further research on the molecular level. Molecular and genomic approaches offer valuable insights for mitigating climate stress and safeguarding this endangered conifer.},
}
@article {pmid38731762,
year = {2024},
author = {Kos, J and Radić, B and Lešić, T and Anić, M and Jovanov, P and Šarić, B and Pleadin, J},
title = {Climate Change and Mycotoxins Trends in Serbia and Croatia: A 15-Year Review.},
journal = {Foods (Basel, Switzerland)},
volume = {13},
number = {9},
pages = {},
doi = {10.3390/foods13091391},
pmid = {38731762},
issn = {2304-8158},
abstract = {This review examines the 15-year presence of mycotoxins in food from Serbia and Croatia to provide a comprehensive overview of trends. Encompassing the timeframe from 2009 to 2023, this study integrates data from both countries and investigates climate change patterns. The results from Serbia focus primarily on maize and milk and show a strong dependence of contamination on weather conditions. However, there is limited data on mycotoxins in cereals other than maize, as well as in other food categories. Conversely, Croatia has a broader spectrum of studies, with significant attention given to milk and maize, along with more research on other cereals, meat, and meat products compared to Serbia. Over the investigated 15-year period, both Serbia and Croatia have experienced notable shifts in climate, including fluctuations in temperature, precipitation, and humidity levels. These changes have significantly influenced agriculture, consequently affecting the occurrence of mycotoxins in various food products. The results summarized in this 15-year review indicate the urgent need for further research and action to address mycotoxins contamination in Serbian and Croatian food supply chains. This urgency is further emphasized by the changing climatic conditions and their potential to exacerbate public health and food safety risks associated with mycotoxins.},
}
@article {pmid38730011,
year = {2024},
author = {Phelan, JN and Van Houtven, G and Clark, CM and Buckley, J and Cajka, J and Hargrave, A and Horn, K and Thomas, RQ and Sabo, RD},
title = {Climate change could negate U.S. forest ecosystem service benefits gained through reductions in nitrogen and sulfur deposition.},
journal = {Scientific reports},
volume = {14},
number = {1},
pages = {10767},
pmid = {38730011},
issn = {2045-2322},
mesh = {*Climate Change ; *Nitrogen/metabolism ; *Forests ; *Sulfur/metabolism ; United States ; Trees ; Ecosystem ; Carbon Sequestration ; },
abstract = {Climate change and atmospheric deposition of nitrogen (N) and sulfur (S) impact the health and productivity of forests. Here, we explored the potential impacts of these environmental stressors on ecosystem services provided by future forests in the contiguous U.S. We found that all stand-level services benefitted (+ 2.6 to 8.1%) from reductions in N+S deposition, largely attributable to positive responses to reduced S that offset the net negative effects of lower N levels. Sawtimber responded positively (+ 0.5 to 0.6%) to some climate change, but negatively (- 2.4 to - 3.8%) to the most extreme scenarios. Aboveground carbon (C) sequestration and forest diversity were negatively impacted by all modelled changes in climate. Notably, the most extreme climate scenario eliminated gains in all three services achieved through reduced deposition. As individual tree species responded differently to climate change and atmospheric deposition, associated services unique to each species increased or decreased under future scenarios. Our results suggest that climate change should be considered when evaluating the benefits of N and S air pollution policies on the services provided by U.S. forests.},
}
@article {pmid38729673,
year = {2024},
author = {Chaves, LF and Friberg, MD and Pascual, M and Calzada, JE and Luckhart, S and Bergmann, LR},
title = {Community-serving research addressing climate change impacts on vector-borne diseases.},
journal = {The Lancet. Planetary health},
volume = {8},
number = {5},
pages = {e334-e341},
doi = {10.1016/S2542-5196(24)00049-4},
pmid = {38729673},
issn = {2542-5196},
mesh = {*Climate Change ; *Vector Borne Diseases/prevention &amp; control/epidemiology ; Humans ; },
abstract = {The impacts of climate change on vector-borne diseases are uneven across human populations. This pattern reflects the effect of changing environments on the biology of transmission, which is also modulated by social and other inequities. These disparities are also linked to research outcomes that could be translated into tools for transmission reduction, but are not necessarily actionable in the communities where transmission occurs. The transmission of vector-borne diseases could be averted by developing research that is both hypothesis-driven and community-serving for populations affected by climate change, where local communities interact as equal partners with scientists, developing and implementing research projects with the aim of improving community health. In this Personal View, we share five principles that have guided our research practice to serve the needs of communities affected by vector-borne diseases.},
}
@article {pmid38728988,
year = {2024},
author = {Huang, Y and Long, H and Jiang, Y and Feng, D and Ma, Z and Mumtaz, F},
title = {Motivating factors of farmers' adaptation behaviors to climate change in China: A meta-analysis.},
journal = {Journal of environmental management},
volume = {359},
number = {},
pages = {121105},
doi = {10.1016/j.jenvman.2024.121105},
pmid = {38728988},
issn = {1095-8630},
abstract = {Adapting to climate change is critical to building sustainable and resilient agricultural systems. Understanding farmers' perceptions of climate change has become the key to the effective implementation of climate change adaptation policies. This research draws multidisciplinary attention to how farmers participate in decision-making on adaptation behaviors and provides useful insights for realizing synergies between environmental change and agricultural production. In this work, we conducted a meta-analysis of 63 quantitative studies on Chinese farmers' adaptation to climate change to assess the relationship between motivational factors and adaptation behavior. Our analysis highlights that farmers' perceptions of precipitation changes are often inaccurate; however, other psychological factors, such as perception, experience, and risk attitude, significantly positively impact their adaptation behavior. In addition, different climate regions are the main source of high heterogeneity in inter-study comparisons of climate change perception, and the effect of climate regions may therefore constitute a moderating factor that weakens the positive relationship between climate change perception and adaptive behavior. Furthermore, this study highlights the need to intervene at the household level to enhance farmers' adaptability to climate change, which includes providing support through income diversification, early warning information services, training, assistance, credit, subsidies, and other resources. In the future, research on how perception, experience, and risk interact to affect adaptive behavior should be strengthened.},
}
@article {pmid38728692,
year = {2024},
author = {Rosso, AA and Casement, B and Chung, AK and Curlis, JD and Folfas, E and Gallegos, MA and Neel, LK and Nicholson, DJ and Williams, CE and McMillan, WO and Logan, ML and Cox, CL},
title = {Plasticity of Gene Expression and Thermal Tolerance: Implications for Climate Change Vulnerability in a Tropical Forest Lizard.},
journal = {Ecological and evolutionary physiology},
volume = {97},
number = {2},
pages = {81-96},
doi = {10.1086/729927},
pmid = {38728692},
issn = {2993-7973},
mesh = {Animals ; *Lizards/genetics/physiology ; *Climate Change ; *Thermotolerance/genetics ; *Tropical Climate ; Forests ; Acclimatization/genetics/physiology ; Transcriptome ; Gene Expression ; },
abstract = {AbstractTropical ectotherms are thought to be especially vulnerable to climate change because they have evolved in temporally stable thermal environments and therefore have decreased tolerance for thermal variability. Thus, they are expected to have narrow thermal tolerance ranges, live close to their upper thermal tolerance limits, and have decreased thermal acclimation capacity. Although models often predict that tropical forest ectotherms are especially vulnerable to rapid environmental shifts, these models rarely include the potential for plasticity of relevant traits. We measured phenotypic plasticity of thermal tolerance and thermal preference as well as multitissue transcriptome plasticity in response to warmer temperatures in a species that previous work has suggested is highly vulnerable to climate warming, the Panamanian slender anole lizard (Anolis apletophallus). We found that many genes, including heat shock proteins, were differentially expressed across tissues in response to short-term warming. Under long-term warming, the voluntary thermal maxima of lizards also increased, although thermal preference exhibited only limited plasticity. Using these data, we modeled changes in the activity time of slender anoles through the end of the century under climate change and found that plasticity should delay declines in activity time by at least two decades. Our results suggest that slender anoles, and possibly other tropical ectotherms, can alter the expression of genes and phenotypes when responding to shifting environmental temperatures and that plasticity should be considered when predicting the future of organisms under a changing climate.},
}
@article {pmid38727723,
year = {2024},
author = {Siwertsson, A and Lindström, U and Aune, M and Berg, E and Skarðhamar, J and Varpe, &#xd8; and Primicerio, R},
title = {Rapid climate change increases diversity and homogenizes composition of coastal fish at high latitudes.},
journal = {Global change biology},
volume = {30},
number = {5},
pages = {e17273},
doi = {10.1111/gcb.17273},
pmid = {38727723},
issn = {1365-2486},
support = {//Framsenteret/ ; },
mesh = {Animals ; *Biodiversity ; *Fishes/physiology ; *Climate Change ; Norway ; *Temperature ; Arctic Regions ; },
abstract = {Rapid warming at high latitudes triggers poleward shifts of species' distributions that impact marine biodiversity. In the open sea, the documented redistributions of fish lead to a borealization of Arctic fauna. A climate-driven borealization and increased species diversity at high latitudes are also expected in coastal fish communities, but they have not been previously documented on a large, biogeographic scale. Here, we investigate the impact of temperature change over the last 25 years on fish communities along the coast of Norway. The study area, spanning different ecoclimatic zones between 62° and 71° N, harbors over 200 species of boreal and Arctic fish. Several of these fish species are harvested by coastal and indigenous communities, influencing settlement geography and livelihood. The long-term data on coastal water temperatures and fish species were obtained from monitoring stations and scientific surveys. Water temperature measured at three fixed sampling stations distributed along the coast show increased temperatures during the study period. The fish species distribution and abundance data were obtained from the annually standardized scientific bottom trawl survey program. Fish species richness, which was highest in the south, increased with warming first in the south and then, gradually, further north, eventually affecting biodiversity in the whole study area. Fish community composition showed a distinct latitudinal pattern early in the study, with Arctic fish species confined to the north and boreal species dominating the south. The poleward shifts eventually eroded this zoogeographic pattern, resulting in more boreal fish species in the north and an increased homogenization of species composition along the Norwegian coast. The climate-driven reorganization of fish communities affects coastal ecosystems that are exposed to fisheries, aquaculture, and other rapidly expanding human activities, stressing the urgent need for a climate adaptation of integrated coastal management.},
}
@article {pmid38727076,
year = {2024},
author = {Radua, J and De Prisco, M and Oliva, V and Fico, G and Vieta, E and Fusar-Poli, P},
title = {Impact of air pollution and climate change on mental health outcomes: an umbrella review of global evidence.},
journal = {World psychiatry : official journal of the World Psychiatric Association (WPA)},
volume = {23},
number = {2},
pages = {244-256},
pmid = {38727076},
issn = {1723-8617},
abstract = {The impact of air pollution and climate change on mental health has recently raised strong concerns. However, a comprehensive overview analyzing the existing evidence while addressing relevant biases is lacking. This umbrella review systematically searched the PubMed/Medline, Scopus and PsycINFO databases (up to June 26, 2023) for any systematic review with meta-analysis investigating the association of air pollution or climate change with mental health outcomes. We used the R metaumbrella package to calculate and stratify the credibility of the evidence according to criteria (i.e., convincing, highly suggestive, suggestive, or weak) that address several biases, complemented by sensitivity analyses. We included 32 systematic reviews with meta-analysis that examined 284 individual studies and 237 associations of exposures to air pollution or climate change hazards and mental health outcomes. Most associations (n=195, 82.3%) involved air pollution, while the rest (n=42, 17.7%) regarded climate change hazards (mostly focusing on temperature: n=35, 14.8%). Mental health outcomes in most associations (n=185, 78.1%) involved mental disorders, followed by suicidal behavior (n=29, 12.4%), access to mental health care services (n=9, 3.7%), mental disorders-related symptomatology (n=8, 3.3%), and multiple categories together (n=6, 2.5%). Twelve associations (5.0%) achieved convincing (class I) or highly suggestive (class II) evidence. Regarding exposures to air pollution, there was convincing (class I) evidence for the association between long-term exposure to solvents and a higher incidence of dementia or cognitive impairment (odds ratio, OR=1.139), and highly suggestive (class II) evidence for the association between long-term exposure to some pollutants and higher risk for cognitive disorders (higher incidence of dementia with high vs. low levels of carbon monoxide, CO: OR=1.587; higher incidence of vascular dementia per 1 μg/m[3] increase of nitrogen oxides, NOx: hazard ratio, HR=1.004). There was also highly suggestive (class II) evidence for the association between exposure to airborne particulate matter with diameter ≤10 μm (PM10) during the second trimester of pregnancy and the incidence of post-partum depression (OR=1.023 per 1 μg/m[3] increase); and for the association between short-term exposure to sulfur dioxide (SO2) and schizophrenia relapse (risk ratio, RR=1.005 and 1.004 per 1 μg/m[3] increase, respectively 5 and 7 days after exposure). Regarding climate change hazards, there was highly suggestive (class II) evidence for the association between short-term exposure to increased temperature and suicide- or mental disorders-related mortality (RR=1.024), suicidal behavior (RR=1.012), and hospital access (i.e., hospitalization or emergency department visits) due to suicidal behavior or mental disorders (RR=1.011) or mental disorders only (RR=1.009) (RR values per 1°C increase). There was also highly suggestive (class II) evidence for the association between short-term exposure to increased apparent temperature (i.e., the temperature equivalent perceived by humans) and suicidal behavior (RR=1.01 per 1°C increase). Finally, there was highly suggestive (class II) evidence for the association between the temporal proximity of cyclone exposure and severity of symptoms of post-traumatic stress disorder (r=0.275). Although most of the above associations were small in magnitude, they extend to the entire world population, and are therefore likely to have a substantial impact. This umbrella review classifies and quantifies for the first time the global negative impacts that air pollution and climate change can exert on mental health, identifying evidence-based targets that can inform future research and population health actions.},
}
@article {pmid38725566,
year = {2024},
author = {Mondal, S and Martinez-Garcia, R},
title = {Editorial: Climate change and developmental physiology.},
journal = {Frontiers in physiology},
volume = {15},
number = {},
pages = {1408809},
pmid = {38725566},
issn = {1664-042X},
}
@article {pmid38724902,
year = {2024},
author = {Walas, &#x141; and Alipour, S and Haq, SM and Alamri, S},
title = {The potential range of west Asian apple species Malus orientalis Uglitzk. under climate change.},
journal = {BMC plant biology},
volume = {24},
number = {1},
pages = {381},
pmid = {38724902},
issn = {1471-2229},
support = {RSP2024R194//King Saud University, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia/ ; },
mesh = {*Malus/genetics ; *Climate Change ; *Ecosystem ; Turkey ; Georgia (Republic) ; Russia ; Iran ; Plant Dispersal ; Armenia ; },
abstract = {The wild relatives of cultivated apples would be an ideal source of diversity for breeding new varieties, which could potentially grow in diverse habitats shaped by climate change. However, there is still a lack of knowledge about the potential distribution of these species. The aim of the presented work was the understand the impacts of climate change on the potential distribution and habitat fragmentation of Caucasian crab apple (Malus orientalis Uglitzk.) and the designation of areas of high interest according to climatic conditions. We used the MaxEnt models and Morphological-Spatial Analysis (MSPA) to evaluate the potential distribution, suitability changes, habitat fragmentation, and connectivity throughout the species range in Turkey, Armenia, Georgia, Russia, and Iran. The results revealed that the potentially suitable range of M. orientalis encompasses 858,877 km[2], 635,279 km[2] and 456,795 km[2] under the present, RCP4.5 and RCP8.5 scenario, respectively. The range fragmentation analysis demonstrated a notable shift in the edge/core ratio, which increased from 50.95% in the current scenario to even 67.70% in the future. The northern part of the range (Armenia, northern Georgia, southern Russia), as well as the central and western parts of Hyrcania will be a core of the species range with suitable habitats and a high connectivity between M. orientalis populations and could work as major refugia for the studied species. However, in the Zagros and central Turkey, the potential range will shrink due to the lack of suitable climatic conditions, and the edge/core ratio will grow. In the southern part of the range, a decline of M. orientalis habitats is expected due to changing climatic conditions. The future outlook suggests that the Hyrcanian forest and the Caucasus region could serve as important refuges for M. orientalis. This study helps to understand spatial changes in species' range in response to climate change and can help develop conservation strategies. This is all the more important given the species' potential use in future breeding programs aimed at enriching the gene pool of cultivated apple varieties.},
}
@article {pmid38724628,
year = {2024},
author = {Shafaati, M and Salehi, M and Zare, M},
title = {The twin challenges of longevity and climate change in controlling antimicrobial resistance.},
journal = {The Journal of antibiotics},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
pmid = {38724628},
issn = {1881-1469},
abstract = {Antimicrobial resistance (AMR) is one of the global health challenges of the 21st century that is faced with the twin threats of global climate change and greater longevity, which pose a synergistic risk to the management of AMR. Antimicrobial agents are in high demand due to the challenges faced by increasing life expectancy and the dynamic changes in disease ecology prompted by climate change. In light of global aging and climate change, the complexity and importance of addressing antibiotic resistance are further highlighted by this interplay of issues.},
}
@article {pmid38724079,
year = {2024},
author = {},
title = {Climate Change and Skin Health.},
journal = {The Australasian journal of dermatology},
volume = {65 Suppl 1},
number = {},
pages = {29},
doi = {10.1111/ajd.14275},
pmid = {38724079},
issn = {1440-0960},
mesh = {Humans ; *Climate Change ; Skin Diseases/etiology ; },
}
@article {pmid38724044,
year = {2024},
author = {Klepac, P and Hsieh, JL and Ducker, CL and Assoum, M and Booth, M and Byrne, I and Dodson, S and Martin, DL and Turner, CMR and van Daalen, KR and Abela, B and Akamboe, J and Alves, F and Brooker, SJ and Ciceri-Reynolds, K and Cole, J and Desjardins, A and Drakeley, C and Ediriweera, DS and Ferguson, NM and Gabrielli, AF and Gahir, J and Jain, S and John, MR and Juma, E and Kanayson, P and Deribe, K and King, JD and Kipingu, AM and Kiware, S and Kolaczinski, J and Kulei, WJ and Laizer, TL and Lal, V and Lowe, R and Maige, JS and Mayer, S and McIver, L and Mosser, JF and Nicholls, RS and Nunes-Alves, C and Panjwani, J and Parameswaran, N and Polson, K and Radoykova, HS and Ramani, A and Reimer, LJ and Reynolds, ZM and Ribeiro, I and Robb, A and Sanikullah, KH and Smith, DRM and Shirima, GG and Shott, JP and Tidman, R and Tribe, L and Turner, J and Vaz Nery, S and Velayudhan, R and Warusavithana, S and Wheeler, HS and Yajima, A and Abdilleh, AR and Hounkpatin, B and Wangmo, D and Whitty, CJM and Campbell-Lendrum, D and Hollingsworth, TD and Solomon, AW and Fall, IS},
title = {Climate change, malaria and neglected tropical diseases: a scoping review.},
journal = {Transactions of the Royal Society of Tropical Medicine and Hygiene},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1093/trstmh/trae026},
pmid = {38724044},
issn = {1878-3503},
support = {INV-030046/GATES/Bill &amp; Melinda Gates Foundation/United States ; /CC/CDC HHS/United States ; },
abstract = {To explore the effects of climate change on malaria and 20 neglected tropical diseases (NTDs), and potential effect amelioration through mitigation and adaptation, we searched for papers published from January 2010 to October 2023. We descriptively synthesised extracted data. We analysed numbers of papers meeting our inclusion criteria by country and national disease burden, healthcare access and quality index (HAQI), as well as by climate vulnerability score. From 42 693 retrieved records, 1543 full-text papers were assessed. Of 511 papers meeting the inclusion criteria, 185 studied malaria, 181 dengue and chikungunya and 53 leishmaniasis; other NTDs were relatively understudied. Mitigation was considered in 174 papers (34%) and adaption strategies in 24 (5%). Amplitude and direction of effects of climate change on malaria and NTDs are likely to vary by disease and location, be non-linear and evolve over time. Available analyses do not allow confident prediction of the overall global impact of climate change on these diseases. For dengue and chikungunya and the group of non-vector-borne NTDs, the literature privileged consideration of current low-burden countries with a high HAQI. No leishmaniasis papers considered outcomes in East Africa. Comprehensive, collaborative and standardised modelling efforts are needed to better understand how climate change will directly and indirectly affect malaria and NTDs.},
}
@article {pmid38723356,
year = {2024},
author = {Harifidy, RZ and Hiroshi, I and Harivelo, RZM and Jun, M and Kazuyoshi, S and Keiichi, M},
title = {Assessing future intra-basin water availability in madagascar: Accounting for climate change, population growth, and land use change.},
journal = {Water research},
volume = {257},
number = {},
pages = {121711},
doi = {10.1016/j.watres.2024.121711},
pmid = {38723356},
issn = {1879-2448},
abstract = {The Major River Basins in Madagascar (MRBM) play a crucial role in providing water to the Malagasy population as well as the ecosystem. Little is known about the impact of climate change on these basins, and it is not clear what factors have the most significant impact on them. There are two central objectives of this study: 1. To assess the future potential water available for daily life and agriculture use across the MRBM. 2. To compare the projected change within the MRBM with the historical trends analysis and identify the water-stressed basins. In this paper, a new method for assessing the future available Intra-basin water resources combined with the impacts of climate change, land use, and population is proposed. Three imbalance indicators are introduced to quantify the spatial availability (indicator N°1), distribution (indicator N°2), and variability (indicator N°3) of the Potential Water Resources (PWR) available and have been applied to the MRBM. Under the SSP2-4.5 scenario, results showed a decreasing trend of the PWR in most of the basins by 2050 with a rise in evapotranspiration and a decline in precipitation. The increasing trend and uneven distribution of the population and agricultural land upstream/downstream are found to cause the reduction of the PWR available per capita (by 37 %) and agriculture area (by 69 %) across the MRBM. This study predicts water scarcity for most of the basins by 2050, especially in the Mangoro and Onilahy Basins. Upstream populations are expected to grow in Mahajamba, Mahavavy, Betsiboka, Manambolo, Tsiribihina, Mangoro, Onilahy, Mananara, and Mandrare basins, along with an expansion of the downstream agricultural land in Sofia, Betsiboka, Manambolo, Mangoky, and Mandrare basins. These findings enhance the cause-effect relationship between climate change, land use change, population growth, and water scarcity in the MRBM. Urgent action is therefore needed for an efficient and sustainable management of these water-stressed basins.},
}
@article {pmid38723064,
year = {2024},
author = {Losos, EC and Pfaff, A and Pimm, SL},
title = {Tackling debt, biodiversity loss, and climate change.},
journal = {Science (New York, N.Y.)},
volume = {384},
number = {6696},
pages = {618-621},
doi = {10.1126/science.ado7418},
pmid = {38723064},
issn = {1095-9203},
mesh = {*Biodiversity ; *Climate Change ; Conservation of Natural Resources/economics ; },
abstract = {Experience tells us how to maximize debt-for-nature effectiveness.},
}
@article {pmid38722517,
year = {2024},
author = {Bai, Q and Chen, H and Li, G and Zhou, J and Zang, D and Shen, Q},
title = {Research on the impact of climate change on the income gap between urban and rural areas-empirical analysis based on provincial panel data in China.},
journal = {Environmental science and pollution research international},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
pmid = {38722517},
issn = {1614-7499},
support = {SC2022ZD005//Sichuan Office of Philosophy and Social Science/ ; SC22A017//Sichuan Office of Philosophy and Social Science/ ; },
abstract = {Narrowing the income gap between urban and rural areas is the key to achieving common prosperity in China. On the basis of analyzing the mechanism of climate change's impact on urban-rural income gap, this article empirically analyzes the impact of climate change on urban-rural income gap using provincial-level panel data of 30 provinces in China from 2011 to 2020. Research indicates that climate change significantly impacts the urban-rural income gap at the 1% significance level, implying that climate change exacerbates the urban-rural income gap. This widening effect varies significantly across different regions, particularly in the western regions and areas with lower fiscal support for agriculture. Further analysis reveals that there is a mediating role between the total agricultural output value and resource mismatch in the impact of climate change on urban-rural income inequality; the digital rural construction plays a regulatory role in the impact of climate change on the urban-rural income gap. On this basis, policy recommendations are proposed to promote the development of climate-resilient agriculture, improve the meteorological forecast and early warning system, increase financial support, and optimize the allocation of agricultural resources.},
}
@article {pmid38721475,
year = {2024},
author = {Green, L and Ashton, K and Edmonds, N and Fletcher, M and Azam, S and Hughes, K and Wheater, P and Bellis, MA},
title = {Determining the Public Health Impact of Climate Change: A National Study Using a Health Impact Assessment Approach in Wales.},
journal = {International journal of public health},
volume = {69},
number = {},
pages = {1606972},
pmid = {38721475},
issn = {1661-8564},
mesh = {Humans ; *Climate Change ; *Health Impact Assessment ; Wales ; *Public Health ; },
abstract = {Objective: Climate change is recognised as the biggest threat to global health of the 21st century and impacts on health and wellbeing through a range of factors. Due to this, the need to take action in order to protect population health and wellbeing is becoming ever more urgent. Methods: In 2019, Public Health Wales carried out a comprehensive mixed-method Health Impact Assessment (HIA) of climate change. Unlike other risk assessments, it appraised the potential impact of climate change on health and inequalities in Wales through participatory workshops, stakeholder consultations, systematic literature reviews and case studies. Results: The HIA findings indicate potential impacts across the wider determinants of health and wellbeing. For example, air quality, excess heat/cold, flooding, economic productivity, infrastructure, and community resilience. A range of impacts were identified across population groups, settings, and geographical areas. Conclusion: These findings can inform decision-makers to prepare for climate change plans and policies using an evidence-informed approach. The work has demonstrated the value of a HIA approach by mobilising a range of evidence through a transparent process, resulting in transferrable learning for others.},
}
@article {pmid38721315,
year = {2024},
author = {Leka, J and Furnham, A},
title = {Correlates of climate change skepticism.},
journal = {Frontiers in psychology},
volume = {15},
number = {},
pages = {1328307},
pmid = {38721315},
issn = {1664-1078},
abstract = {While much research has examined the correlates of climate change beliefs from an alarmist perspective, less work has systematically measured climate change skepticism. This study aims to create a comprehensive tool capturing climate skeptics' beliefs and test its association with individual difference variables. 502 European adults completed a 22-item questionnaire on climate change (CC) skepticism as well as measures of ambiguity tolerance, belief in a just world (BJW), dark-side personality traits, and self-esteem. Principal components analysis revealed a four dimension structure of CC. Political ideology was the most consistent and significant predictor across the climate change skepticism factors. Dark-side traits, also played a role. Future research should further validate this measure and explore how climate change information could be tailored to different audiences. Understanding the nuances and causes of climate skepticism can enable more effective communication to promote sustainability.},
}
@article {pmid38720737,
year = {2024},
author = {Mummed, BA and Seleshi, Y},
title = {Assessment of the effects of climate change on water balance components in the upper Erer subbasin, Ethiopia.},
journal = {Heliyon},
volume = {10},
number = {9},
pages = {e30297},
pmid = {38720737},
issn = {2405-8440},
abstract = {Eastern Ethiopia watersheds are located in transition zone from Arid to semi-humid climate and in expanding to westwards the west annual rainfall is highly declining. This paper explains future hydrological response impacts under changing climate using ensemble average of the CORDEX RCMs for historical (1979-2014) and future (2024-2070) periods. The result revels the monthly average temperature varies (0.04-6.25°C) for RCP-4.5, while it varies (0.03-6.59°oC) for RCP-8.5. The monthly average rainfall to be decline by 90.71 mm and rise by 211. 22 mm for RCP-4.5, while it is going to decline by 84.97 mm and rise by 235.62 mm for RCP-8.5. The adjusted SWAT model was used to detect the changes of projected hydrological response from reference period. Balance components of the baseline period was compared to future period. The result shows the change in decrease of annual mean surface flow (4.98 %-5.63 %), groundwater flow (5.63 %-6.68 %), evapotranspiration (2.45 %-2.57 %) and water yield (5.54 %-5.21 %) to be expected from RCP-4.5 to RCP-8.5. The findings of this paper provide valuable assistance to water resource planners by enhancing their comprehension of change in climate effects at local level.},
}
@article {pmid38719294,
year = {2024},
author = {Karim, N and Hod, R and Wahab, MIA and Ahmad, N},
title = {Projecting non-communicable diseases attributable to air pollution in the climate change era: a systematic review.},
journal = {BMJ open},
volume = {14},
number = {5},
pages = {e079826},
doi = {10.1136/bmjopen-2023-079826},
pmid = {38719294},
issn = {2044-6055},
mesh = {Humans ; *Noncommunicable Diseases/epidemiology ; *Air Pollution/adverse effects/analysis ; *Climate Change ; Environmental Exposure/adverse effects ; Quality-Adjusted Life Years ; Disability-Adjusted Life Years ; },
abstract = {OBJECTIVES: Climate change is a major global issue with significant consequences, including effects on air quality and human well-being. This review investigated the projection of non-communicable diseases (NCDs) attributable to air pollution under different climate change scenarios.<br><br>DESIGN: This systematic review was conducted according to the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses 2020 flow checklist. A population-exposure-outcome framework was established. Population referred to the general global population of all ages, the exposure of interest was air pollution and its projection, and the outcome was the occurrence of NCDs attributable to air pollution and burden of disease (BoD) based on the health indices of mortality, morbidity, disability-adjusted life years, years of life lost and years lived with disability.<br><br>DATA SOURCES: The Web of Science, Ovid MEDLINE and EBSCOhost databases were searched for articles published from 2005 to 2023.<br><br>The eligible articles were evaluated using the modified scale of a checklist for assessing the quality of ecological studies.<br><br>DATA EXTRACTION AND SYNTHESIS: Two reviewers searched, screened and selected the included studies independently using standardised methods. The risk of bias was assessed using the modified scale of a checklist for ecological studies. The results were summarised based on the projection of the BoD of NCDs attributable to air pollution.<br><br>RESULTS: This review included 11 studies from various countries. Most studies specifically investigated various air pollutants, specifically particulate matter <2.5 &#xb5;m (PM2.5), nitrogen oxides and ozone. The studies used coupled-air quality and climate modelling approaches, and mainly projected health effects using the concentration-response function model. The NCDs attributable to air pollution included cardiovascular disease (CVD), respiratory disease, stroke, ischaemic heart disease, coronary heart disease and lower respiratory infections. Notably, the BoD of NCDs attributable to air pollution was projected to decrease in a scenario that promotes reduced air pollution, carbon emissions and land use and sustainable socioeconomics. Contrastingly, the BoD of NCDs was projected to increase in a scenario involving increasing population numbers, social deprivation and an ageing population.<br><br>CONCLUSION: The included studies widely reported increased premature mortality, CVD and respiratory disease attributable to PM2.5. Future NCD projection studies should consider emission and population changes in projecting the BoD of NCDs attributable to air pollution in the climate change era.<br><br>PROSPERO REGISTRATION NUMBER: CRD42023435288.},
}
@article {pmid38718017,
year = {2024},
author = {, },
title = {Correction: Seasonality, climate change, and food security during pregnancy among Indigenous and non-Indigenous women in rural Uganda: Implications for maternal-infant health.},
journal = {PloS one},
volume = {19},
number = {5},
pages = {e0303592},
pmid = {38718017},
issn = {1932-6203},
abstract = {[This corrects the article DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0247198.].},
}
@article {pmid38717995,
year = {2024},
author = {Schön, J and Gentsch, N and Breunig, P},
title = {Cover crops support the climate change mitigation potential of agroecosystems.},
journal = {PloS one},
volume = {19},
number = {5},
pages = {e0302139},
pmid = {38717995},
issn = {1932-6203},
mesh = {*Climate Change ; *Crops, Agricultural/growth &amp; development ; *Zea mays/growth &amp; development ; *Agriculture/methods/economics ; *Ecosystem ; *Carbon Sequestration ; Carbon Dioxide/analysis/metabolism ; },
abstract = {Cover crops have the potential to mitigate climate change by reducing negative impacts of agriculture on ecosystems. This study is first to quantify the net climate change mitigation impact of cover crops including land-use effects. A systematic literature and data review was conducted to identify major drivers for climate benefits and costs of cover crops in maize (Zea maize L.) production systems. The results indicate that cover crops lead to a net climate change mitigation impact (NCCMI) of 3.30 Mg CO2e ha-1 a-1. We created four scenarios with different impact weights of the drivers and all of them showing a positive NCCMI. Carbon land benefit, the carbon opportunity costs based on maize yield gains following cover crops, is the major contributor to the NCCMI (34.5% of all benefits). Carbon sequestration is the second largest contributor (33.8%). The climate costs of cover crops are mainly dominated by emissions from their seed production and foregone benefits due to land use for cover crops seeds. However, these two costs account for only 15.8% of the benefits. Extrapolating these results, planting cover crops before all maize acreage in the EU results in a climate change mitigation of 49.80 million Mg CO2e a-1, which is equivalent to 13.0% of the EU's agricultural emissions. This study highlights the importance of incorporating cover crops into sustainable cropping systems to minimize the agricultural impact to climate change.},
}
@article {pmid38717703,
year = {2024},
author = {Navrátil, T and Rohovec, J and Nováková, T and Roll, M and Cudlín, P and Oulehle, F},
title = {Quarter century of mercury litterfall at a coniferous forest responding to climate change, Central Europe.},
journal = {Environmental science and pollution research international},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
pmid = {38717703},
issn = {1614-7499},
support = {20-14292S//Grantov&#xe1; Agentura &#x10c;esk&#xe9; Republiky/ ; },
abstract = {This work evaluated the 25-year-long trends (1994-2018) in mercury (Hg) concentrations and fluxes in spruce litterfall at a forest research plot Načetín (NAC) recovering from acidic deposition in the Ore Mountains, Czech Republic. The mean litterfall Hg deposition averaged 51 ± 18 µg m[-2] year[-1], which has been the highest litterfall Hg deposition reported up to date on the European continent. In contrast, the wet deposition (2017-2019) was an order of magnitude lower averaging at 2.5 ± 1.5 µg m[-2] year[-1]. All the spruce litterfall components bark, twigs, needles, cones, and a mixture of unidentified fragments had elevated mean Hg concentrations relative to background sites averaging 256 ± 77, 234 ± 62, 119 ± 23, 95 ± 14, and 44 ± 15 µg kg[-1], respectively. Elevated litterfall Hg deposition and concentrations were attributed to the nearby local Hg emission source-coal-fired power plants. Temporally, the decrease of Czech Hg emissions since the 1990s was reflected by the decreasing trend of Hg concentrations in litterfall bark, cones, and twigs, while in needles and other material, Hg increased but insignificantly. Total litterfall ratios of Hg/C, Hg/N, and Hg/S were lower than those in soil O horizons averaging at 0.23 ± 0.04, 9.5 ± 2.0, and 170 ± 37 μg g[-1], respectively. Since the beginning of monitoring, total litterfall Hg/C exhibited no trend, Hg/N decreased, and Hg/S increased. The litterfall biomass deposition averaging at 469 ± 176 g m[-2] year[-1] increased through time resulting in an increased Hg litterfall deposition at NAC by 1.1 µg m[-2] year[-1] despite the decreases in Czech Hg emissions. Peaks of annual litterfall Hg deposition up to 96 µg m[-2] year[-1] at NAC during the 25 years of monitoring resulted from weather extremes such as rime-snow accumulation, wind gusts, droughts, and insect infestation, which all significantly affected the annual biomass deposition. Based on our observations, further increases in biomass and litterfall Hg deposition rates can be expected due to the onset of bark beetle infestation and the increasing number of droughts caused by climate change.},
}
@article {pmid38717262,
year = {2024},
author = {Zhao, Z and Yang, L and Long, J and Chang, Z and Chen, X},
title = {Predicting suitable areas for Metcalfa pruinosa (Hemiptera: Flatidae) under climate change and implications for management.},
journal = {Journal of insect science (Online)},
volume = {24},
number = {3},
pages = {},
pmid = {38717262},
issn = {1536-2442},
support = {32060343//National Natural Science Foundation of China/ ; 2021YFD1601000//Science Technology Program of GTC/ ; },
mesh = {Animals ; *Climate Change ; *Introduced Species ; *Animal Distribution ; Hemiptera/physiology ; Insect Control/methods ; },
abstract = {Climate change is a prominent factor reshaping the distribution of invasive species. Metcalfa pruinosa (Say 1830) (Hemiptera: Flatidae), native to North America, has invaded other continents and poses a serious threat to various agricultural crops and the human residential environment. Understanding the distribution of M. pruinosa based on climatic conditions is a critical first step to prevent its further invasion. Therefore, based on its occurrence records and associated environmental variables, a Maxent model was developed to predict suitable areas for this species in the present and future on a global scale. The model exhibited outstanding performance, with a mean area under the receiver operating characteristic curve and true skill statistic values of 0.9329 and 0.926, respectively. The model also indicated that annual precipitation (Bio12) and max temperature of the warmest month (Bio5) were the key environmental variables limiting the distribution of M. pruinosa. Moreover, the model revealed that the current suitable area is 1.01 × 107 km2 worldwide, with southern China, southern Europe, and the eastern United States predicted to be the primary and highly suitable areas in the latter 2 regions. This area is expected to increase under future climate scenarios, mainly in the northern direction. The study's findings contribute to our understanding of climate change's impact on M. pruinosa distribution, and they will aid governments in developing appropriate pest management strategies, including global monitoring and strict quarantine measures.},
}
@article {pmid38715728,
year = {2024},
author = {Synolakis, CE and Karagiannis, GM},
title = {Wildfire risk management in the era of climate change.},
journal = {PNAS nexus},
volume = {3},
number = {5},
pages = {pgae151},
pmid = {38715728},
issn = {2752-6542},
abstract = {The August 8, 2023R Lahaina fire refocused attention on wildfires, public alerts, and emergency management. Wildfire risk is on the rise, precipitated through a combination of climate change, increased development in the wildland-urban interface (WUI), decades of unmitigated biomass accumulation in forests, and a long history of emphasis on fire suppression over hazard mitigation. Stemming the tide of wildfire death and destruction will involve bringing together diverse scientific disciplines into policy. Renewed emphasis is needed on emergency alerts and community evacuations. Land management strategies need to account for the impact of climate change and hazard mitigation on forest ecosystems. Here, we propose a long-term strategy consisting of integrating wildfire risk management in wider-scope forest land management policies and strategies, and we discuss new technologies and possible scientific breakthroughs.},
}
@article {pmid38714754,
year = {2024},
author = {McCann, SR},
title = {Climate change in wine and haematology.},
journal = {Bone marrow transplantation},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
pmid = {38714754},
issn = {1476-5365},
}
@article {pmid38713689,
year = {2024},
author = {Kephe, PN and Mkuhlani, S and Rusere, F and Chemura, A},
title = {Use of modelling tools to assess climate change impacts on smallholder oil seed yields in South Africa.},
journal = {PloS one},
volume = {19},
number = {5},
pages = {e0301254},
pmid = {38713689},
issn = {1932-6203},
mesh = {*Climate Change ; *Crops, Agricultural/growth &amp; development ; South Africa ; Seeds/growth &amp; development ; Glycine max/growth &amp; development ; Helianthus/growth &amp; development ; Models, Theoretical ; Fertilizers/analysis ; Greenhouse Gases/analysis ; Plant Oils ; Agriculture/methods ; },
abstract = {Oil seed crops are the second most important field crops after cereals in the agricultural economy globally. The use and demand for oilseed crops such as groundnut, soybean and sunflower have grown significantly, but climate change is expected to alter the agroecological conditions required for oilseed crop production. This study aims to present an approach that utilizes decision-making tools to assess the potential climate change impacts on groundnut, soybean and sunflower yields and the greenhouse gas emissions from the management of the crops. The Decision Support Tool for Agrotechnology Transfer (DSSAT v4.7), a dynamic crop model and the Cool Farm Tool, a GHG calculator, was used to simulate yields and estimate GHG emissions from these crops, respectively. Four representative concentration pathways (RCPs 2.6, 4.5, 6.0, and 8.5), three nitrogen (0, 75, and 150 kg/ha) and phosphorous (0, 30 and 60 P kg/ha) fertilizer rates at three sites in Limpopo, South Africa (Ofcolaco, Syferkuil and Punda Maria) were used in field trials for calibrating the models. The highest yield was achieved by sunflower across all crops, years and sites. Soybean yield is projected to decrease across all sites and scenarios by 2030 and 2050, except at Ofcolaco, where yield increases of at least 15.6% is projected under the RCP 4.5 scenario. Positive climate change impacts are predicted for groundnut at Ofcolaco and Syferkuil by 2030 and 2050, while negative impacts with losses of up to 50% are projected under RCP8.5 by 2050 at Punda Maria. Sunflower yield is projected to decrease across all sites and scenarios by 2030 and 2050. A comparison of the climate change impacts across sites shows that groundnut yield is projected to increase under climate change while notable yield losses are projected for sunflower and soybean. GHG emissions from the management of each crop showed that sunflower and groundnut production had the highest and lowest emissions across all sites respectively. With positive climate change impacts, a reduction of GHG emissions per ton per hectare was projected for groundnuts at Ofcolaco and Syferkuil and for sunflower in Ofcolaco in the future. However, the carbon footprint from groundnut is expected to increase by 40 to 107% in Punda Maria for the period up to 2030 and between 70-250% for 2050, with sunflower following a similar trend. We conclude that climate change will potentially reduce yield for oilseed crops while management will increase emissions. Therefore, in designing adaptation measures, there is a need to consider emission effects to gain a holistic understanding of how both climate change impacts on crops and mitigation efforts could be targeted.},
}
@article {pmid38710846,
year = {2024},
author = {Brini, R and Toumi, H and Chaouech, O and Toumi, S and Alfalih, AA},
title = {Unveiling asymmetry impacts of economic policy uncertainty on climate change: fresh insights into African Countries.},
journal = {Environmental science and pollution research international},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
pmid = {38710846},
issn = {1614-7499},
support = {..../2023//Majmaah University/ ; },
abstract = {This study investigates the influence of economic policy uncertainty on climate change in selected African countries within asymmetric settings. Although previous research has examined the impact of various economic factors on climate change, the asymmetric effects of economic policy uncertainty have not been thoroughly explored, particularly in African countries. We analyze annual data spanning from 1980 to 2017 by utilizing three models: Panel Pooled Mean Group-Autoregressive distributed lag model (ARDL-PMG), Panel Pooled Mean Group-non-linear autoregressive distributed lag model (NARDL-PMG), and Dumitrescu-Hurlin asymmetric causality tests. According to the results of ARDL-PMG estimation, economic policy uncertainty has a detrimental impact on climate change in the long run. However, the NARDL-PMG estimation suggests that a positive shock in economic policy uncertainty negatively affects long-term climate change mitigation. However, a negative shock has a beneficial effect on climate change in the long term. In African nations, positive and negative changes in economic policy uncertainty failed to generate any significant climate change effects in the short run. The results also reveal that both positive and negative shocks in economic policy may cause climate change in a one-way direction. Based on the findings of our study, we recommend that African policymakers implement programs aimed at reducing economic policy uncertainties to help mitigate the effects of climate change.},
}
@article {pmid38710767,
year = {2024},
author = {Sarkar, SK and Rudra, RR and Talukdar, S and Das, PC and Nur, MS and Alam, E and Islam, MK and Islam, ARMT},
title = {Future groundwater potential mapping using machine learning algorithms and climate change scenarios in Bangladesh.},
journal = {Scientific reports},
volume = {14},
number = {1},
pages = {10328},
pmid = {38710767},
issn = {2045-2322},
abstract = {The aim of the study was to estimate future groundwater potential zones based on machine learning algorithms and climate change scenarios. Fourteen parameters (i.e., curvature, drainage density, slope, roughness, rainfall, temperature, relative humidity, lineament density, land use and land cover, general soil types, geology, geomorphology, topographic position index (TPI), topographic wetness index (TWI)) were used in developing machine learning algorithms. Three machine learning algorithms (i.e., artificial neural network (ANN), logistic model tree (LMT), and logistic regression (LR)) were applied to identify groundwater potential zones. The best-fit model was selected based on the ROC curve. Representative concentration pathways (RCP) of 2.5, 4.5, 6.0, and 8.5 climate scenarios of precipitation were used for modeling future climate change. Finally, future groundwater potential zones were identified for 2025, 2030, 2035, and 2040 based on the best machine learning model and future RCP models. According to findings, ANN shows better accuracy than the other two models (AUC: 0.875). The ANN model predicted that 23.10 percent of the land was in very high groundwater potential zones, whereas 33.50 percent was in extremely high groundwater potential zones. The study forecasts precipitation values under different climate change scenarios (RCP2.6, RCP4.5, RCP6, and RCP8.5) for 2025, 2030, 2035, and 2040 using an ANN model and shows spatial distribution maps for each scenario. Finally, sixteen scenarios were generated for future groundwater potential zones. Government officials may utilize the study's results to inform evidence-based choices on water management and planning at the national level.},
}
@article {pmid38710580,
year = {2024},
author = {Chen, J and Luo, X and Ding, Q},
title = {How does climate change risk affect energy poverty? International evidence.},
journal = {Risk analysis : an official publication of the Society for Risk Analysis},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1111/risa.14316},
pmid = {38710580},
issn = {1539-6924},
support = {2024JJ4074//Hunan Provincial Natural Science Foundation Outstanding Youth Project/ ; 72104253//National Natural Science Foundation of China/ ; 72204270//National Natural Science Foundation of China/ ; 2023CXQD037//Innovation Driven Project of Central South University/ ; 2022znzk03//High-end Think Tank Project of Central South University/ ; },
abstract = {Based on cross-country data from 2002 to 2019, we explore the impact of climate change risk (CCR) on energy poverty (EP), and the moderating role in the CCR-EP nexus is also discussed. The empirical results suggest that CCR can exacerbate EP, especially for rural areas. Moderating effect analysis shows that financial development, technological innovation, and adaptation readiness can modify the negative impacts of CCR on EP to some extent. Moreover, the impact of CCR on EP is heterogeneous, demonstrating that CCR is more likely to exacerbate EP in countries with low economic development, low economic freedom, high carbon intensity, and the Africa region. Our findings emphasize the challenge of balancing EP alleviation with climate change response and provide the policy guidance to promote coordinated development of CCR management and energy supply security.},
}
@article {pmid38709740,
year = {2024},
author = {Blais, BR and Koprowski, JL},
title = {Modeling a hot, dry future: Substantial range reductions in suitable environment projected under climate change for a semiarid riparian predator guild.},
journal = {PloS one},
volume = {19},
number = {5},
pages = {e0302981},
pmid = {38709740},
issn = {1932-6203},
mesh = {*Climate Change ; Animals ; *Ecosystem ; Biodiversity ; Conservation of Natural Resources/methods ; Predatory Behavior ; Models, Theoretical ; },
abstract = {An understanding of species-environmental relationships is invaluable for effective conservation and management under anthropogenic climate change, especially for biodiversity hotspots such as riparian habitats. Species distribution models (SDMs) assess present species-environmental relationships which can project potential suitable environments through space and time. An understanding of environmental factors associated with distributions can guide conservation management strategies under a changing climate. We generated 260 ensemble SDMs for five species of Thamnophis gartersnakes (n = 347)-an important riparian predator guild-in a semiarid and biogeographically diverse region under impact from climate change (Arizona, United States). We modeled present species-environmental relationships and projected changes to suitable environment under 12 future climate scenarios per species, including the most and least optimistic greenhouse gas emission pathways, through 2100. We found that Thamnophis likely advanced northward since the turn of the 20th century and overwinter temperature and seasonal precipitation best explained present distributions. Future ranges of suitable environment for Thamnophis are projected to decrease by ca. -37.1% on average. We found that species already threatened with extinction or those with warm trailing-edge populations likely face the greatest loss of suitable environment, including near or complete loss of suitable environment. Future climate scenarios suggest an upward advance of suitable environment around montane areas for some low to mid-elevation species, which may create pressures to ascend. The most suitable environmental areas projected here can be used to identify potential safe zones to prioritize conservation refuges, including applicable critical habitat designations. By bounding the climate pathway extremes to, we reduce SDM uncertainties and provide valuable information to help conservation practitioners mitigate climate-induced threats to species. Implementing informed conservation actions is paramount for sustaining biodiversity in important aridland riparian systems as the climate warms and dries.},
}
@article {pmid38708565,
year = {2024},
author = {Wittemann, M and Mujawamariya, M and Ntirugulirwa, B and Uwizeye, FK and Zibera, E and Manzi, OJL and Nsabimana, D and Wallin, G and Uddling, J},
title = {Plasticity and implications of water-use traits in contrasting tropical tree species under climate change.},
journal = {Physiologia plantarum},
volume = {176},
number = {3},
pages = {e14326},
doi = {10.1111/ppl.14326},
pmid = {38708565},
issn = {1399-3054},
support = {2015-03338//Vetenskapsr&#xe5;det/ ; 2018-04669//Vetenskapsr&#xe5;det/ ; 2015-1458//Svenska Forskningsr&#xe5;det Formas/ ; 2020-01497//Svenska Forskningsr&#xe5;det Formas/ ; },
mesh = {*Water/metabolism/physiology ; *Climate Change ; *Trees/physiology/growth &amp; development ; *Tropical Climate ; *Plant Leaves/physiology ; *Droughts ; Plant Stomata/physiology ; Acclimatization/physiology ; Plant Transpiration/physiology ; Temperature ; },
abstract = {Plants face a trade-off between hydraulic safety and growth, leading to a range of water-use strategies in different species. However, little is known about such strategies in tropical trees and whether different water-use traits can acclimate to warming. We studied five water-use traits in 20 tropical tree species grown at three different altitudes in Rwanda (RwandaTREE): stomatal conductance (gs), leaf minimum conductance (gmin), plant hydraulic conductance (Kplant), leaf osmotic potential (ψo) and net defoliation during drought. We also explored the links between these traits and growth and mortality data. Late successional (LS) species had low Kplant, gs and gmin and, thus, low water loss, while low ψo helped improve leaf water status during drought. Early successional (ES) species, on the contrary, used more water during both moist and dry conditions and exhibited pronounced drought defoliation. The ES strategy was associated with lower mortality and more pronounced growth enhancement at the warmer sites compared to LS species. While Kplant and gmin showed downward acclimation in warmer climates, ψo did not acclimate and gs measured at prevailing temperature did not change. Due to distinctly different water use strategies between successional groups, ES species may be better equipped for a warmer climate as long as defoliation can bridge drought periods.},
}
@article {pmid38706047,
year = {2024},
author = {Ullah, H and Fordham, DA and Goldenberg, SU and Nagelkerken, I},
title = {Combining mesocosms with models reveals effects of global warming and ocean acidification on a temperate marine ecosystem.},
journal = {Ecological applications : a publication of the Ecological Society of America},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {e2977},
doi = {10.1002/eap.2977},
pmid = {38706047},
issn = {1051-0761},
support = {FT120100183//Australian Research Council/ ; },
abstract = {Ocean warming and species exploitation have already caused large-scale reorganization of biological communities across the world. Accurate projections of future biodiversity change require a comprehensive understanding of how entire communities respond to global change. We combined a time-dynamic integrated food web modeling approach (Ecosim) with previous data from community-level mesocosm experiments to determine the independent and combined effects of ocean warming, ocean acidification and fisheries exploitation on a well-managed temperate coastal ecosystem. The mesocosm parameters enabled important physiological and behavioral responses to climate stressors to be projected for trophic levels ranging from primary producers to top predators, including sharks. Through model simulations, we show that under sustainable rates of fisheries exploitation, near-future warming or ocean acidification in isolation could benefit species biomass at higher trophic levels (e.g., mammals, birds, and demersal finfish) in their current climate ranges, with the exception of small pelagic fishes. However, under warming and acidification combined, biomass increases at higher trophic levels will be lower or absent, while in the longer term reduced productivity of prey species is unlikely to support the increased biomass at the top of the food web. We also show that increases in exploitation will suppress any positive effects of human-driven climate change, causing individual species biomass to decrease at higher trophic levels. Nevertheless, total future potential biomass of some fisheries species in temperate areas might remain high, particularly under acidification, because unharvested opportunistic species will likely benefit from decreased competition and show an increase in biomass. Ecological indicators of species composition such as the Shannon diversity index decline under all climate change scenarios, suggesting a trade-off between biomass gain and functional diversity. By coupling parameters from multilevel mesocosm food web experiments with dynamic food web models, we were able to simulate the generative mechanisms that drive complex responses of temperate marine ecosystems to global change. This approach, which blends theory with experimental data, provides new prospects for forecasting climate-driven biodiversity change and its effects on ecosystem processes.},
}
@article {pmid38703181,
year = {2024},
author = {Goldust, M and Grant-Kels, JM},
title = {Using AI to help address skin health challenges caused by climate change.},
journal = {International journal of dermatology},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1111/ijd.17222},
pmid = {38703181},
issn = {1365-4632},
}
@article {pmid38702853,
year = {2024},
author = {Cretini, C and Galloway, KA},
title = {Acidic Apple Snails: Effects of Climate Change on The Mechanical Properties of An Invasive Gastropod.},
journal = {Integrative and comparative biology},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1093/icb/icae013},
pmid = {38702853},
issn = {1557-7023},
abstract = {Climate change can directly and indirectly affect species distribution. Warming may allow for invasive species, such as apple snails, to migrate to higher latitudes where temperatures are more conducive to their survival and invasion success. Higher temperatures and lower pH ranges have been previously documented to affect the form and function of calcium carbonate shells, which serve many functions including protection from predators and thermoregulation. This study aimed to quantify differences in the morphology and mechanical properties of invasive apple snail, Pomacea maculata, shells after altering temperature and pH. We mechanically tested shells among three five-week treatments: control, higher temperature, lower pH. Ultimate Strength increased in shells that were exposed to higher temperatures, but Young's Modulus and Peak Load did not differ among control, temperature, and pH treatments. Apple snails in higher temperature tanks increased their shell length over the five-week trials, while snails in lower pH tanks decreased their shell length. Although snail morphometrics did not differ between sexes, male shells exhibited a higher Peak Load, Young's Modulus, and Ultimate Strength compared to female shells. Our findings are consistent with previous gastropod studies, in that a lower pH is associated with a decrease in shell size, and higher temperatures yield larger snail shells with a higher Ultimate Strength. Peak Load did not significantly differ among treatments, which suggests that the cross-sectional area is relatively important when considering this species mechanical performance today and in future climates. Due to the intense nutritional and calcium demands of egg production, female snails may be more susceptible to weakened shells due to low pH environments caused by climate change.},
}
@article {pmid38702704,
year = {2024},
author = {Foláyan, MNO and Schroth, RJ and Abodunrin, O and Al-Batayneh, OB and Arheiam, A and Mfolo, T and Virtanen, JI and Duangthip, D and Feldens, CA and El Tantawi, M},
title = {Early childhood caries, climate change and the sustainable development goal 13: a scoping review.},
journal = {BMC oral health},
volume = {24},
number = {1},
pages = {524},
pmid = {38702704},
issn = {1472-6831},
mesh = {Humans ; *Dental Caries/prevention &amp; control ; *Climate Change ; *Sustainable Development ; Child, Preschool ; Child ; },
abstract = {BACKGROUND: Sustainable development goal 13 centres on calls for urgent action to combat climate change and its impacts. The aim of this scoping review was to map the published literature for existing evidence on the association between the Sustainable Development Goal (SDG) 13 and early childhood caries (ECC).<br><br>METHODS: The scoping review followed the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses Extension for Scoping Reviews (PRISMA-ScR) guidelines. In August 2023, a search was conducted in PubMed, Web of Science, and Scopus using search terms related to SDG13 and ECC. Only English language publications were extracted. There was no restriction on the type of publications included in the study. A summary of studies that met the inclusion criteria was conducted highlighting the countries where the studies were conducted, the study designs employed, the journals (dental/non-dental) in which the studies were published, and the findings. In addition, the SDG13 indicators to which the study findings were linked was reported.<br><br>RESULTS: The initial search yielded 113 potential publications. After removing 57 duplicated papers, 56 publications underwent title and abstract screening, and two studies went through full paper review. Four additional papers were identified from websites and searching the references of the included studies. Two of the six retrieved articles were from India, and one was China, Japan, the United States, and the United Kingdom respectively. One paper was based on an intervention simulation study, two reported findings from archeologic populations and three papers that were commentaries/opinions. In addition, four studies were linked to SDG 13.1 and they suggested an increased risk for caries with climate change. Two studies were linked to SDG 13.2 and they suggested that the practice of pediatric dentistry contributes negatively to environmental degradation. One study provided evidence on caries prevention management strategies in children that can reduce environmental degradation.<br><br>CONCLUSION: The evidence on the links between SDG13 and ECC suggests that climate change may increase the risk for caries, and the management of ECC may increase environmental degradation. However, there are caries prevention strategies that can reduce the negative impact of ECC management on the environment. Context specific and inter-disciplinary research is needed to generate evidence for mitigating the negative bidirectional relationships between SDG13 and ECC.},
}
@article {pmid38702432,
year = {2024},
author = {Sharifian, S and Mortazavi, MS and Mohebbi Nozar, SL},
title = {Projected habitat preferences of commercial fish under different scenarios of climate change.},
journal = {Scientific reports},
volume = {14},
number = {1},
pages = {10177},
pmid = {38702432},
issn = {2045-2322},
mesh = {Animals ; *Climate Change ; *Ecosystem ; *Fishes/physiology ; Temperature ; Fisheries ; },
abstract = {The challenges of commercial species with the threats of climate change make it necessary to predict the changes in the distributional shifts and habitat preferences of the species under possible future scenarios. We aim to demonstrate how future climatic changes will affect the habitat suitability of three species of commercial fish using the predictive technique MaxEnt. The dataset used to extract geographical records included OBIS (54%), GBIF (1%), and literature (45%). The output of the model indicated accurate projections of MaxEnt (AUC above 0.9). Temperature was the main descriptor responsible for the main effects on the distribution of commercial fish. With increasing RCP from 2.5 to 8.5, the species would prefer saltier, higher temperatures and deeper waters in the future. We observed different percentages of suitable habitats between species during RCPs showing distinct sensitivity of each fish in facing climate changes. Negative effects from climate change on the distribution patterns of commercial fish were predicted to lead to varying degrees of reduction and changes of suitable habitats and movement of species towards higher latitudes. The finding emphasizes to implement adaptive management measures to preserve the stocks of these commercial fish considering that the intensification of the effects of climate change on subtropical areas and overexploited species is predicted.},
}
@article {pmid38701329,
year = {2024},
author = {Prabhakar, C and Sondekoppam, RV and Ip, VHY},
title = {The science of climate change and the effect of anaesthetic gas emissions: a reply.},
journal = {Anaesthesia},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1111/anae.16303},
pmid = {38701329},
issn = {1365-2044},
}
@article {pmid38699931,
year = {2024},
author = {Richards, D and Dewhurst, Z and Giltrap, D and Lavorel, S},
title = {Tree contributions to climate change adaptation through reduced cattle heat stress and benefits to milk and beef production.},
journal = {Global change biology},
volume = {30},
number = {5},
pages = {e17306},
doi = {10.1111/gcb.17306},
pmid = {38699931},
issn = {1365-2486},
support = {C09X2209//Ministry of Business, Innovation and Employment/ ; },
mesh = {Animals ; Cattle/physiology ; *Climate Change ; *Milk ; *Trees ; New Zealand ; Heat-Shock Response ; Models, Theoretical ; },
abstract = {Cattle heat stress causes billions of dollars' worth of losses to meat and milk production globally, and is projected to become more severe in the future due to climate change. Tree establishment in pastoral livestock systems holds potential to reduce cattle heat stress and thus provide nature-based adaptation. We developed a general model for the impact of trees on cattle heat stress, which can project milk and meat production under future climate scenarios at varying spatial scales. The model incorporates the key microclimate mechanisms influenced by trees, including shade, air temperature, humidity, and wind speed. We conducted sensitivity analyses to demonstrate the relative influence of different mechanisms through which trees can impact cattle heat stress, and how tree impacts are influenced by climatic context globally. Trees hold the greatest potential to reduce cattle heat stress in higher latitudes and altitudes, with minor benefits in the lowland tropics. We projected the future contributions of current trees in mitigating climate change impacts on the dairy and beef herds of Aotearoa-New Zealand (A-NZ) in 2070-2080. Trees were simulated to contribute to A-NZ milk yields by over 491 million liters (lower CI = 112 million liters, upper CI = 850 million liters), and meat yields by over 8316 tonnes (lower CI = 2431 tonnes, upper CI = 13,668 tonnes) annually. The total economic contribution of existing trees in mitigating future cattle heat stress was valued at $US 244 million (lower CI = $US 58 million, upper CI = $US 419 million). Our findings demonstrate the importance of existing trees in pastoral landscapes and suggest that strategic tree establishment can be a valuable adaptation option for reducing cattle heat stress under climate change. Tree establishment in the next few years is critical to provide adaptation capacity and economic benefit in future decades.},
}
@article {pmid38697599,
year = {2024},
author = {Niu, YL and Lu, F and Liu, XJ and Wang, J and Liu, L and Liu, QY and Yang, J},
title = {Global climate change: Effects of future temperatures on emergency department visits for mental disorders in Beijing, China.},
journal = {Environmental research},
volume = {252},
number = {Pt 3},
pages = {119044},
doi = {10.1016/j.envres.2024.119044},
pmid = {38697599},
issn = {1096-0953},
abstract = {Rising temperatures can increase the risk of mental disorders. As climate change intensifies, the future disease burden due to mental disorders may be underestimated. Using data on the number of daily emergency department visits for mental disorders at 30 hospitals in Beijing, China during 2016-2018, the relationship between daily mean temperature and such visits was assessed using a quasi-Poisson model integrated with a distributed lag nonlinear model. Emergency department visits for mental disorders attributed to temperature changes were projected using 26 general circulation models under four climate change scenarios. Stratification analyses were then conducted by disease subtype, sex, and age. The results indicate that the temperature-related health burden from mental disorders was projected to increase consistently throughout the 21st century, mainly driven by high temperatures. The future temperature-related health burden was higher for patients with mental disorders due to the use of psychoactive substances and schizophrenia as well as for women and those aged <65 years. These findings enhance our knowledge of how climate change could affect mental well-being and can be used to advance and refine targeted approaches to mitigating and adapting to climate change with a view on addressing mental disorders.},
}
@article {pmid38697568,
year = {2024},
author = {Bertucci, JI and Blanco Osorio, A and Vidal-Liñán, L and Bellas, J},
title = {Developmental and Biochemical Markers of the Impact of Pollutant Mixtures Under the Effect of Global Climate Change.},
journal = {Chemosphere},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {142162},
doi = {10.1016/j.chemosphere.2024.142162},
pmid = {38697568},
issn = {1879-1298},
abstract = {This study investigates the combined impact of microplastics (MP) and Chlorpyriphos (CPF) on sea urchin larvae (Paracentrotus lividus) under the backdrop of ocean warming and acidification. While the individual toxic effects of these pollutants have been previously reported, their combined effects remain poorly understood. Two experiments were conducted using different concentrations of CPF (EC10 and EC50) based on previous studies from our group. MP were adsorbed in CPF to simulate realistic environmental conditions. Additionally, water acidification and warming protocols were implemented to mimic future ocean conditions. Sea urchin embryo toxicity tests were conducted to assess larval development under various treatment combinations of CPF, MP, ocean acidification (OA), and temperature (OW). Morphometric measurements and biochemical analyses were performed to evaluate the effects comprehensively. Results indicate that combined stressors lead to significant morphological alterations, such as increased larval width and reduced stomach volume. Furthermore, biochemical biomarkers like acetylcholinesterase (AChE), glutathione S-transferase (GST), and glutathione reductase (GRx) activities were affected, indicating oxidative stress and impaired detoxification capacity. Interestingly, while temperature increase was expected to enhance larval growth, it instead induced thermal stress, resulting in lower growth rates. This underscores the importance of considering multiple stressors in ecological assessments. Biochemical biomarkers provided early indications of stress responses, complementing traditional growth measurements. The study highlights the necessity of holistic approaches when assessing environmental impacts on marine ecosystems. Understanding interactions between pollutants and environmental stressors is crucial for effective conservation strategies. Future research should delve deeper into the impacts at lower biological levels and explore adaptive mechanisms in marine organisms facing multiple stressors. By doing so, we can better anticipate and mitigate the adverse effects of anthropogenic pollutants on marine biodiversity and ecosystem health.},
}
@article {pmid38696933,
year = {2024},
author = {Coulon, N and Pilet, S and Lizé, A and Lacoue-Labarthe, T and Sturbois, A and Toussaint, A and Feunteun, E and Carpentier, A},
title = {Shark critical life stage vulnerability to monthly temperature variations under climate change.},
journal = {Marine environmental research},
volume = {198},
number = {},
pages = {106531},
doi = {10.1016/j.marenvres.2024.106531},
pmid = {38696933},
issn = {1879-0291},
abstract = {In a 10-month experimental study, we assessed the combined impact of warming and acidification on critical life stages of small-spotted catshark (Scyliorhinus canicula). Using recently developed frameworks, we disentangled individual and group responses to two climate scenarios projected for 2100 (SSP2-4.5: Middle of the road and SSP5-8.5: Fossil-fueled Development). Seasonal temperature fluctuations revealed the acute vulnerability of embryos to summer temperatures, with hatching success ranging from 82% for the control and SSP2-4.5 treatments to only 11% for the SSP5-8.5 treatment. The death of embryos was preceded by distinct individual growth trajectories between the treatments, and also revealed inter-individual variations within treatments. Embryos with the lowest hatching success had lower yolk consumption rates, and growth rates associated with a lower energy assimilation, and almost all of them failed to transition to internal gills. Within 6 months after hatching, no additional mortality was observed due to cooler temperatures.},
}
@article {pmid38694755,
year = {2024},
author = {Jinga, P and Manyangadze, T},
title = {Variable intraspecific response to climate change in a medicinally important African tree species, Vachellia sieberiana (DC.) (paperbark thorn).},
journal = {Ecology and evolution},
volume = {14},
number = {5},
pages = {e11314},
pmid = {38694755},
issn = {2045-7758},
abstract = {Climate change is predicted to disproportionately impact sub-Saharan Africa, with potential devastating consequences on plant populations. Climate change may, however, impact intraspecific taxa differently. The aim of the study was to determine the current distribution and impact of climate change on three varieties of Vachellia sieberiana, that is, var. sieberiana, var. villosa and var. woodii. Ensemble species distribution models (SDMs) were built in "biomod2" using 66, 45, and 137 occurrence records for var. sieberiana, var. villosa, and var. woodii, respectively. The ensemble SDMs were projected to 2041-2060 and 2081-2100 under three general circulation models (GCMs) and two shared socioeconomic pathways (SSPs). The three GCMs were the Canadian Earth System Model version 5, the Institut Pierre-Simon Laplace Climate Model version 6A Low Resolution, and the Model for Interdisciplinary Research on Climate version 6. The suitable habitat of var. sieberiana predominantly occurs in the Sudanian and Zambezian phytochoria while that of var. villosa largely occurs in the Sudanian phytochorion. The suitable habitat of var. woodii mainly occurs in the Zambezian phyotochorion. There is coexistence of var. villosa and var. sieberiana in the Sudanian phytochorion while var. sieberiana and var. woodii coexist in the Zambezian phytochorion. Under SSP2-4.5 in 2041-2060 and averaged across the three GCMs, the suitable habitat expanded by 33.8% and 119.7% for var. sieberiana and var. villosa, respectively. In contrast, the suitable habitat of var. woodii contracted by -8.4%. Similar trends were observed in 2041-2060 under SSP5-8.5 [var. sieberiana (38.6%), var. villosa (139.0%), and var. woodii (-10.4%)], in 2081-2100 under SSP2-4.5 [var. sieberiana (4.6%), var. villosa (153.4%), and var. woodii (-14.4%)], and in 2081-2100 under SSP5-8.5 [var. sieberiana (49.3%), var. villosa (233.4%), and var. woodii (-30.7%)]. Different responses to climate change call for unique management and conservation decisions for the varieties.},
}
@article {pmid38692319,
year = {2024},
author = {Li, C and Zhang, S},
title = {Disentangling the impact of climate change, human activities, vegetation dynamics and atmospheric CO2 concentration on soil water use efficiency in global karst landscapes.},
journal = {The Science of the total environment},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {172865},
doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.172865},
pmid = {38692319},
issn = {1879-1026},
abstract = {Soil Water Use Efficiency (SWUE), which quantifies the carbon gain against each unit of soil moisture depletion, represents an essential ecological parameter that delineates the carbon-water coupling within terrestrial ecosystems. However, the spatiotemporal dynamics of SWUE, its sensitivity to environmental variables, and the underlying driving mechanisms across various temporal scales in the global karst region are largely uncharted. This study utilized the sensitivity algorithm of partial least squares regression, partial differential equations, and elasticity coefficients to investigate the characteristics of SWUE variations across different climatic zones in the global karst region and their responsiveness to environmental variables. Moreover, the study quantified the individual contributions of climate variability, atmospheric carbon dioxide concentration, human activities, and vegetation changes to SWUE variations. The results indicated that SWUE across different climatic zones in the global karst region demonstrated an increasing trend from 2000 to 2018, with the most notable improvement observed in the humid zone. SWUE presented regular distribution and variation characteristics across different latitudinal zones at a monthly scale. The sensitivity of SWUE to precipitation was significantly higher compared to its responsiveness to other environmental factors. Additionally, the trend in SWUE's sensitivity to precipitation demonstrated the most significant change. The sensitivity of SWUE to various environmental factors and the trend of this sensitivity in the arid zone revealed significant variation compared to other climatic zones. Gross primary productivity and soil moisture were identified as the intrinsic factors influencing SWUE changes, contributing 16 % and - 84 %, respectively. Climate variability and human activities were identified as the primary exogenous factors contributing to the increase in SWUE, accounting for 76 % and 16 %, respectively. This study advances the understanding of carbon-water coupling in karst regions, providing significant insights into the ecological management of global karst environments amidst climate variations.},
}
@article {pmid38692031,
year = {2024},
author = {Lima, CG and Campos, JC and Regos, A and Honrado, JP and Fernandes, PM and Freitas, TR and Santos, JA and Vicente, JR},
title = {Fire suppression and land-use strategies drive future dynamics of an invasive plant in a fire-prone mountain area under climate change.},
journal = {Journal of environmental management},
volume = {359},
number = {},
pages = {120997},
doi = {10.1016/j.jenvman.2024.120997},
pmid = {38692031},
issn = {1095-8630},
abstract = {Woody invasive alien species can have profound impacts on ecosystem processes and functions, including fire regulation, which can significantly affect landscape resilience. Acacia dealbata, a widespread invasive alien plant in the Iberian Peninsula, holds well-known fire-adaptation traits (e.g., massive soil seed banks and heat-stimulated seed germination). In this study, we assess to what extent fire suppression and land-use strategies could affect the potential distribution of A. dealbata in a fire-prone transboundary protected mountain area of Portugal and Spain, using Habitat Suitability Models. Specifically, we predicted changes in habitat suitability for A. dealbata between years 2010 and 2050. We explored the potential impacts of two land-use strategies ('Business-as-usual' or 'High Nature Value farmlands') combined with three levels of fire suppression effectiveness using the biomod2 package in R. We also considered the potential effects of two climate change scenarios (RCP4.5 and RCP8.5). Our modeling approach demonstrated a strong capacity to predict habitat suitability using either climate or land-cover information alone (AUC climate = 0.947; AUC LC = 0.957). According to climate-based models, A. dealbata thrives under conditions characterized by higher precipitation seasonality, higher precipitation in the warmest month, and higher minimum temperature in the coldest month. Regarding land cover, A. dealbata thrives mainly in landscapes dominated by urban areas and evergreen forest plantations. Our models forecasted that habitat suitability by 2050 could either increase or decrease depending on the specific combinations of fire suppression, land-use, and climate scenarios. Thus, a combination of business-as-usual and fire-exclusion strategies would enhance habitat suitability for the species. Conversely, management promoting High Nature Value farmlands would decrease the available suitable habitat, particularly under low fire suppression efforts. These findings suggest that promoting sustainable farming activities could impede the spread of A. dealbata by reducing habitat availability, while strategies aiming at fire-exclusion could facilitate its expansion, likely by enabling establishment and large seed production. This study highlights the complex interplay between fire-prone invasive species, fire and land-use strategies, and climate change; and thus the need to consider the interactions between land-use and fire management to promote invasive species control and landscape resilience.},
}
@article {pmid38692024,
year = {2024},
author = {Abate, TG and Elofsson, K},
title = {Environmental taxation of plastic bags and substitutes: Balancing marine pollution and climate change.},
journal = {Journal of environmental management},
volume = {359},
number = {},
pages = {120868},
doi = {10.1016/j.jenvman.2024.120868},
pmid = {38692024},
issn = {1095-8630},
abstract = {Several countries have imposed either a ban or a tax on single-use plastic packaging, motivated by their contribution to marine plastic pollution. This may lead consumers to opt for similar unregulated substitutes, potentially undermining or even counteracting the intended effect of the policy instrument. The purpose of this study is to theoretically and empirically compare the environmental and welfare effects of the first-best Pigouvian taxes on both plastic bags and a substitute (paper bags), with two alternative second-best policy instruments: a tax on plastic products alone, and a common uniform tax on all packaging materials. The empirical analysis accounts for two different types of environmental externalities from the use of both bag types: marine pollution and greenhouse gas emissions. It also compares results for two countries, Denmark and the USA, which differ in the demand for plastic and paper bags. The theoretical analysis shows that a unilateral tax on plastic bags should equal the marginal environmental damage of plastic bags minus a fraction of the marginal environmental cost of paper bags, hence being lower than the Pigouvian tax. The optimal common tax should equal a weighted average of the marginal environmental damage of the two bag types and would be lower than the Pigouvian tax on plastics if the marginal external cost of plastic bags exceeds that for paper bags. The empirical analysis shows that for default parameters, the variation in tax level across the studied scenarios is small. It also shows that if Pigouvian taxes cannot be implemented, a common uniform tax on both bag types would result in a higher welfare gain than a tax on plastic bags alone. Sensitivity analysis reveals that the level of the second-best taxes and their associated environmental and welfare impacts are sensitive to assumptions regarding the littering rate and decay rate of plastic bags in the marine environment.},
}
@article {pmid38691969,
year = {2024},
author = {Iqbal, S and Xu, J and Arif, MS and Shakoor, A and Worthy, FR and Gui, H and Khan, S and Bu, D and Nadir, S and Ranjitkar, S},
title = {Corrigendum to "Could soil microplastic pollution exacerbate climate change? A meta-analysis of greenhouse gas emissions and global warming potential" [Environ. Res. 252 (2024) 118945/ ER-23-14694R1].},
journal = {Environmental research},
volume = {252},
number = {Pt 3},
pages = {119031},
doi = {10.1016/j.envres.2024.119031},
pmid = {38691969},
issn = {1096-0953},
}
@article {pmid38691377,
year = {2024},
author = {Clayton, S and Brown, LA},
title = {Climate Change and Mental Health.},
journal = {JAMA},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1001/jama.2024.1839},
pmid = {38691377},
issn = {1538-3598},
}
@article {pmid38690634,
year = {2024},
author = {Nelson, B and Faquin, W},
title = {Climate change is threatening access to cancer care: In this second of a two-part series on cancer and climate change, natural disasters fueled by global warming are creating new obstacles to cancer care for vulnerable communities.},
journal = {Cancer cytopathology},
volume = {132},
number = {5},
pages = {266-267},
doi = {10.1002/cncy.22828},
pmid = {38690634},
issn = {1934-6638},
mesh = {Humans ; *Neoplasms/therapy/epidemiology ; *Climate Change ; *Health Services Accessibility ; *Natural Disasters ; *Global Warming ; Vulnerable Populations ; },
}
@article {pmid38690626,
year = {2024},
author = {Pareek, AV},
title = {Pain in the Time of Climate Change.},
journal = {Pediatrics},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1542/peds.2023-064382},
pmid = {38690626},
issn = {1098-4275},
}
@article {pmid38690317,
year = {2024},
author = {Yigermal, H and Nakachew, K and Assefa, F},
title = {The effects of seedling transplanting on growth and yield performance of maize (Zea mays L.) for climate change resilience in Burie District, Northwestern Ethiopia: Dataset Article.},
journal = {Data in brief},
volume = {54},
number = {},
pages = {110410},
doi = {10.1016/j.dib.2024.110410},
pmid = {38690317},
issn = {2352-3409},
abstract = {Maize is produced throughout the world and it is also a primary staple food crop in many developing countries. The field experiment was conducted during the main rainy season of 2018 in Burie district to study the effects of types and growth stages of seedlings on the growth and yield of transplanted maize (Zea mays L.). Factorial combinations of two types of seedlings (bare rooted and poly bagged); five levels of seedling's growth stages (seedlings of 1, 2, 3, 4, and 5 true leaf/ves) and one control (direct seeded) were laid down in randomized complete block design with three replications. Data on phenological, vegetative growth and yield-related parameters were collected following standard methods and procedures. All data were subjected to analysis of variance using SAS software, and mean separation for significant treatments was done by LSD. Both main effects affected the number of grains cob[-1], grain, and stover yield highly significantly and days to 50% silking very highly significantly. Types of seedlings affected days to 50% tasselling significantly; and days to 90% physiological maturity and plant height highly significantly. In addition, types of seedlings affected the number of cobs plant[-1], cob length, number of grains row[-1]and biomass yield, very highly significantly. Seedlings' growth stages had a very highly significant effect on days to 50% tasseling and days to 90% physiological maturity. The number of cobs plant[-1], cob length, number of grains row[-1]and biomass yield were also highly significantly affected by seedlings' growth stages. The interaction effect was highly significant on the number of cobs plant[-1], grain, and stover yield and very highly significant on the harvest index. The highest (10.7t ha[-1]) grain yield of maize was found from the transplantation of polybagged seedlings at four true leaf stages. Although it is difficult to conclude based on one season and one location research trial, transplanting of poly-bagged seedlings at four true leaf stages gave superior grain yield. This treatment combination also gave the highest net benefit with an acceptable range of marginal rate of return. Therefore, transplanting polybagged seedlings at four true leaf stages is economically feasible and can be recommended tentatively for Burie District. However; it's also advised to repeat the study in areas having terminal moisture stress for maize production.},
}
@article {pmid38689895,
year = {2024},
author = {Dunn, RR and Kirby, KR and Bowern, C and Ember, CR and Gray, RD and McCarter, J and Kavanagh, PH and Trautwein, M and Nichols, LM and Gavin, MC and Botero, C},
title = {Climate, climate change and the global diversity of human houses.},
journal = {Evolutionary human sciences},
volume = {6},
number = {},
pages = {e24},
doi = {10.1017/ehs.2024.5},
pmid = {38689895},
issn = {2513-843X},
abstract = {Globally, human house types are diverse, varying in shape, size, roof type, building materials, arrangement, decoration and many other features. Here we offer the first rigorous, global evaluation of the factors that influence the construction of traditional (vernacular) houses. We apply macroecological approaches to analyse data describing house features from 1900 to 1950 across 1000 societies. Geographic, social and linguistic descriptors for each society were used to test the extent to which key architectural features may be explained by the biophysical environment, social traits, house features of neighbouring societies or cultural history. We find strong evidence that some aspects of the climate shape house architecture, including floor height, wall material and roof shape. Other features, particularly ground plan, appear to also be influenced by social attributes of societies, such as whether a society is nomadic, polygynous or politically complex. Additional variation in all house features was predicted both by the practices of neighouring societies and by a society's language family. Collectively, the findings from our analyses suggest those conditions under which traditional houses offer solutions to architects seeking to reimagine houses in light of warmer, wetter or more variable climates.},
}
@article {pmid38685428,
year = {2024},
author = {Bao, Y and Tian, H and Wang, X},
title = {Effects of climate change and ozone on vegetation phenology on the Tibetan Plateau.},
journal = {The Science of the total environment},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {172780},
doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.172780},
pmid = {38685428},
issn = {1879-1026},
abstract = {The vegetation phenology, encompassing the start (SOS) and end (EOS) of the growing season on the Tibetan Plateau, has been significantly impacted by global climate change. Furthermore, ozone (O3) has gradually become the main pollutant in this region, substantially influencing carbon cycle and ecosystems on Earth. While ongoing studies have focused mainly on the implications of climate parameters, including temperature, precipitation, and radiation, the effects of O3 on the SOS and EOS remain unclear. Here, we compared the responses and sensitivities of the SOS and EOS to both climatic factors and O3 in this region. With the use of partial correlation analysis, we found that increased precipitation was the most important factor influencing the SOS and caused earlier occurrence (4.8 % vs. 21.9 %) for most plant functional types. In comparison, temperature only dominated in shrublands. In particular, we found that the EOS responded comparably to climatic factors with similar proportions between advancing and delaying patterns. However, higher O3 levels consistently advanced the EOS for almost all plant functional types and was the main factor controlling EOS variations based on the sensitivity analysis. Our results emphasized that O3 pollution should be considered for obtaining better phenological forecasts and determining the impacts of the environment and atmospheric composition on carbon sequestration in terrestrial ecosystems.},
}
@article {pmid38685002,
year = {2024},
author = {Abousoliman, AD and Ibrahim, AM and Abualruz, H and Magdi, HM and Zaghamir, DEF and Alhowimel, A and El-Monshed, AH and El-Gazar, HE and Zoromba, MA},
title = {Exploring the relationship between nursing students' knowledge and attitudes towards climate change and their psychological distress: a cross-national investigation.},
journal = {BMC nursing},
volume = {23},
number = {1},
pages = {294},
pmid = {38685002},
issn = {1472-6955},
abstract = {BACKGROUND: Climate change poses a worldwide challenge with anticipated exacerbation in the future, resulting in irreversible consequences. Nursing students may be vulnerable to experiencing psychological effects associated with climate change.<br><br>AIM: The current study aimed to investigate the relationship between nursing students' knowledge and attitudes toward climate change and their psychological distress.<br><br>METHOD: This descriptive cross-sectional study recruited 377 nursing students from three universities located in Saudi Arabia, Jordan, and Egypt in the Middle East. Data collection was conducted using scales for assessing nursing students' knowledge and attitudes towards climate change and their psychological distress. Correlations were assessed and multiple regression analysis was conducted to explore the predictors of students' psychological distress.<br><br>RESULTS: The current study showed that knowledge regarding climate change significantly and positively correlated to the attitude toward climate change (r&#x2009;=&#x2009;0.213), then again, the score of psychological distress significantly and negatively correlated to the score of students' knowledge and attitude regarding climate change (r&#x2009;=&#x2009;-&#x2009;0.182 and -&#x2009;0.110 respectively). Regression analyses showed that academic achievement had the strongest positive impact on students' psychological distress, while knowledge regarding climate change and attitude toward climate change had negative impacts (&#x3b2;&#x2009;=&#x2009;0.381, &#x3b2;=-0.205, and &#x3b2;=-0.045 respectively). Moreover, knowledge and attitude regarding climate change were found to be significant predictors of students' psychological distress, collectively accounting for 18.2% of the observed variance.<br><br>The findings highlight the importance of incorporating climate change into nursing education programs. By enhancing nursing students' knowledge and attitudes towards climate change, there is potential to reduce their psychological distress. This study underscores the need for curriculum reforms that integrate climate change topics, aiming to foster a well-informed and resilient future nursing workforce.},
}
@article {pmid38684780,
year = {2024},
author = {Shen, T and Rasdi, IB and Ezani, NEB and San, OT},
title = {The mediating role of pro-environmental attitude and intention on the translation from climate change health risk perception to pro-environmental behavior.},
journal = {Scientific reports},
volume = {14},
number = {1},
pages = {9831},
pmid = {38684780},
issn = {2045-2322},
mesh = {*Climate Change ; Humans ; *Intention ; Male ; China ; Female ; Adult ; Perception ; Surveys and Questionnaires ; Attitude ; },
abstract = {Climate change is a serious environmental issue appearing in China. As a public service institution operating around the clock, the negative impact of hospitals on the environment is evident, promoting their workers' pro-environmental behavior (PEB) through increasing climate change health risk perception (CHRP) is an effective method to protect the environment and achieve sustainable development. This study investigates how CHRP shapes pro-environmental attitude (PEA), pro-environmental intention (PEI), and pro-environmental behavior (PEB) among hospital workers. Using structural equation modeling (SEM) to determine the chain of causation from CHRP to PEB among hospital workers. The result shows that CHRP positively affects PEA and PEI, and PEI positively affects their PEB. In addition, although CHRP has no significant direct effect on PEB, it can play a crucial indirect effect through the mediating role of PEI. Moreover, the result of multiple regression shows that there are significant differences regarding PEA, PEI, and PEB.},
}
@article {pmid38684006,
year = {2024},
author = {Marshall, AM and Abatzoglou, JT and Rahimi, S and Lettenmaier, DP and Hall, A},
title = {California's 2023 snow deluge: Contextualizing an extreme snow year against future climate change.},
journal = {Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America},
volume = {121},
number = {20},
pages = {e2320600121},
doi = {10.1073/pnas.2320600121},
pmid = {38684006},
issn = {1091-6490},
support = {2021-69012-35916//USDA | National Institute of Food and Agriculture (NIFA)/ ; 2021-67021-35344//USDA | National Institute of Food and Agriculture (NIFA)/ ; 2241892//National Science Foundation (NSF)/ ; A23-1053-S003//U.S. Department of Energy (DOE)/ ; N/A//DOD | Strategic Environmental Research and Development Program (SERDP)/ ; EPC-20-006//CNRA | California Energy Commission (CEC)/ ; LRF-18-542511//University of California Climate Ecosystems Future/ ; 2023-19665//Alfred P. Sloan Foundation (APSF)/ ; },
abstract = {The increasing prevalence of low snow conditions in a warming climate has attracted substantial attention in recent years, but a focus exclusively on low snow leaves high snow years relatively underexplored. However, these large snow years are hydrologically and economically important in regions where snow is critical for water resources. Here, we introduce the term "snow deluge" and use anomalously high snowpack in California's Sierra Nevada during the 2023 water year as a case study. Snow monitoring sites across the state had a median 41 y return interval for April 1 snow water equivalent (SWE). Similarly, a process-based snow model showed a 54 y return interval for statewide April 1 SWE (90% CI: 38 to 109 y). While snow droughts can result from either warm or dry conditions, snow deluges require both cool and wet conditions. Relative to the last century, cool-season temperature and precipitation during California's 2023 snow deluge were both moderately anomalous, while temperature was highly anomalous relative to recent climatology. Downscaled climate models in the Shared Socioeconomic Pathway-370 scenario indicate that California snow deluges-which we define as the 20 y April 1 SWE event-are projected to decline with climate change (58% decline by late century), although less so than median snow years (73% decline by late century). This pattern occurs across the western United States. Changes to snow deluge, and discrepancies between snow deluge and median snow year changes, could impact water resources and ecosystems. Understanding these changes is therefore critical to appropriate climate adaptation.},
}
@article {pmid38683894,
year = {2024},
author = {Solomon, CG and Landrigan, PJ},
title = {Fossil Fuels, Climate Change, and Cardiovascular Disease: A Call to Action.},
journal = {Circulation},
volume = {149},
number = {18},
pages = {1400-1401},
doi = {10.1161/CIRCULATIONAHA.123.065904},
pmid = {38683894},
issn = {1524-4539},
mesh = {Humans ; *Climate Change ; *Cardiovascular Diseases/epidemiology ; *Fossil Fuels ; },
}
@article {pmid38683870,
year = {2024},
author = {Wang, Y and Li, C and Zhao, S and Wei, Y and Li, K and Jiang, X and Ho, J and Ran, J and Han, L and Zee, BC and Chong, KC},
title = {Projection of dengue fever transmissibility under climate change in South and Southeast Asian countries.},
journal = {PLoS neglected tropical diseases},
volume = {18},
number = {4},
pages = {e0012158},
doi = {10.1371/journal.pntd.0012158},
pmid = {38683870},
issn = {1935-2735},
abstract = {Vector-borne infectious disease such as dengue fever (DF) has spread rapidly due to more suitable living environments. Considering the limited studies investigating the disease spread under climate change in South and Southeast Asia, this study aimed to project the DF transmission potential in 30 locations across four South and Southeast Asian countries. In this study, weekly DF incidence data, daily mean temperature, and rainfall data in 30 locations in Singapore, Sri Lanka, Malaysia, and Thailand from 2012 to 2020 were collected. The effects of temperature and rainfall on the time-varying reproduction number (Rt) of DF transmission were examined using generalized additive models. Projections of location-specific Rt from 2030s to 2090s were determined using projected temperature and rainfall under three Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSP126, SSP245, and SSP585), and the peak DF transmissibility and epidemic duration in the future were estimated. According to the results, the projected changes in the peak Rt and epidemic duration varied across locations, and the most significant change was observed under middle-to-high greenhouse gas emission scenarios. Under SSP585, the country-specific peak Rt was projected to decrease from 1.63 (95% confidence interval: 1.39-1.91), 2.60 (1.89-3.57), and 1.41 (1.22-1.64) in 2030s to 1.22 (0.98-1.51), 2.09 (1.26-3.47), and 1.37 (0.83-2.27) in 2090s in Singapore, Thailand, and Malaysia, respectively. Yet, the peak Rt in Sri Lanka changed slightly from 2030s to 2090s under SSP585. The epidemic duration in Singapore and Malaysia was projected to decline under SSP585. In conclusion, the change of peak DF transmission potential and disease outbreak duration would vary across locations, particularly under middle-to-high greenhouse gas emission scenarios. Interventions should be considered to slow down global warming as well as the potential increase in DF transmissibility in some locations of South and Southeast Asia.},
}
@article {pmid38683757,
year = {2024},
author = {Stanton, DE},
title = {Epiphytes as leading indicators of climate and other changes. A commentary on 'Interactions of moisture and light drive lichen growth and the response to climate change scenarios - experimental evidence for Lobaria pulmonaria'.},
journal = {Annals of botany},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1093/aob/mcae051},
pmid = {38683757},
issn = {1095-8290},
}
@article {pmid38681622,
year = {2024},
author = {Baraj, B and Mishra, M and Sudarsan, D and Silva, RMD and Santos, CAG},
title = {Climate change and resilience, adaptation, and sustainability of agriculture in India: A bibliometric review.},
journal = {Heliyon},
volume = {10},
number = {8},
pages = {e29586},
pmid = {38681622},
issn = {2405-8440},
abstract = {Climate change (CC) is a global issue, with effects felt across nations, including India. The influences of CC, such as rising temperatures, irregular rainfall, and extreme weather events, have a direct impact on agricultural productivity, thereby affecting food security, income, livelihoods, and overall population health. This study aims to identify trends, patterns, and common themes in research on Climate Change and Resilience, Adaptation, and Sustainability of Agriculture in India (CCRASAI). It also seeks to illuminate potential future research directions to guide subsequent research and policy initiatives. The adverse impacts of CC could push farmers into poverty and undernourishment, underscoring the imperative to focus on the resilience, adaptation, and sustainability of agriculture in India. A bibliometric review was conducted using Biblioshiny and VoSviewer software to analyze 572 articles focused on CCRASAI from the Scopus and Web of Science databases, published between 1994 and 2022. There was an evident upward trend in CCRASAI publications during this period, with steady growth appearing after 2007. Among the States and Union Territories, Delhi, Tamil Nadu, West Bengal, Andhra Pradesh, and Karnataka have the highest number of published research articles. Research on CCRASAI is most concentrated in the southern plateau, the trans-Gangetic and middle Gangetic plains, and the Himalayan regions. The frequently used terms-'climate change impacts,' 'adaptation strategies,' and 'sustainable agriculture'-in CCRASAI research emphasize the focus on analyzing the effects of CC, creating adaptation strategies, and promoting sustainable agricultural practices.},
}
@article {pmid38681611,
year = {2024},
author = {Esfandeh, S and Danehkar, A and Salmanmahiny, A and Alipour, H and Kazemzadeh, M and Marcu, MV and Sadeghi, SMM},
title = {Climate change projection using statistical downscaling model over southern coastal Iran.},
journal = {Heliyon},
volume = {10},
number = {8},
pages = {e29416},
pmid = {38681611},
issn = {2405-8440},
abstract = {Iran is highly vulnerable to climate change, particularly evident in shifting precipitation and temperature patterns, especially in its southern coastal region. With these changing climate conditions, there is an urgent need for practical and adaptive management of water resources and energy supply to address the challenges posed by future climate change. Over the next two to three decades, the effects of climate change, such as precipitation and temperature, are expected to worsen, posing greater risks to water resources, agriculture, and infrastructure stability. Therefore, this study aims to evaluate the alterations in mean daily temperature (Tmean) and total daily rainfall (rrr24) utilizing climate change scenarios from both phases 5 and 6 of the Coupled Model Inter-comparison Project (CMIP5 and CMIP6, respectively) in the southern coastal regions of Iran (Hormozgan province), specifically north of the Strait of Hormuz. The predictions were generated using the Statistical Downscaling Model (SDSM) and National Centre for Environmental Prediction (NCEP) predictors, incorporating climate change scenarios from CMIP5 with Representative Concentration Pathways (RCPs) 2.6, 4.5, and 8.5 and CMIP6 with Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs) 1, 2, and 5. The analysis was conducted for three distinct time periods: the early 21st century (2021-2045), middle 21st century (2046-2071), and late 21st century (2071-2095). The results indicated that the CMIP5 model outperformed the CMIP6 model in simulating and predicting Tmean and rrr24. In addition, a significant increase in Tmean was observed across all the scenarios and time periods, with the most pronounced trend occurring in the middle and late 21st century future periods. This increase was already evident during the base period of 2021-2045 across all scenarios. Moreover, the fluctuations in precipitation throughout the region and across all scenarios were significant in the three examined future periods. The results indicated that among CMIP5 scenarios, RCP8.5 had highest changes of Tmean (+1.22 °C) in Bandar Lengeh station in 2071-2095 period. The lowest change magnitude of Tmean among CMIP5 scenarios was found in RCP4.5 (-1.94 °C) in Ch station in 2046-2070 period. The results indicated that among CMIP5 scenarios, RCP8.5 had highest changes of rrr24 (+150.2 mm) in Chabahar station in 2071-2095 period. The lowest change magnitude of rrr24 among CMIP5 scenarios was found in RCP8.5 (-25.8 mm) in Bandar Abbas station in 2046-2070 period. In conclusion, the study reveals that the coastal area of Hormozgan province will experience rising temperatures and changing rainfall patterns in the future. These changes may lead to challenges such as increased water and energy consumption, heightened risks of droughts or floods, and potential damage to agriculture and infrastructure. These findings offer valuable insights for implementing local mitigation policies and strategies and adapting to emerging climate changes in Hormozgan's coastal areas. For example, utilizing water harvesting technologies, implementing watershed management practices, and adopting new irrigation systems can address challenges like water consumption, agricultural impacts, and infrastructure vulnerability. Future research should accurately assess the effect of these changes in precipitation and temperature on water resources, forest ecosystems, agriculture, and other infrastructures in the study area to implement effective management measures.},
}
@article {pmid38681180,
year = {2024},
author = {Noedoost, F and Behroozian, M and Karami, S and Joharchi, MR},
title = {Potential impacts of climate change on the geographic distribution of Achillea eriophora DC., a medicinal species endemic to Iran in southwestern Asia.},
journal = {Ecology and evolution},
volume = {14},
number = {4},
pages = {e11241},
pmid = {38681180},
issn = {2045-7758},
abstract = {Climate change is considered to rank among the most important global issues affecting species' geographic distributions and biodiversity. Understanding effects of climate change on species can enhance conservation efficacy. In this study, we applied ecological niche modeling (ENM) using maximum entropy (MaxEnt) approaches to predict the potential geographic distribution of Achillea eriophora DC., a medicinal plant species to Iran in southwestern Asia, under current and future climate scenarios. We evaluated potential distributional areas of the species, under two shared socioeconomic pathways (SSP2-4.5 and SSP5-8.5) for the period 2041-2060. Most current potential suitable areas were identified for A. eriophora in montane regions. Our results anticipated that the potential distribution of A. eriophora will expand geographically toward higher elevations and northward. However, the species is expected to experience relatively high losses of suitability in its actual habitats under future climate scenarios. Consequently, we recommend regional-to-national conservation action plans for A. eriophora in its natural habitats.},
}
@article {pmid38680183,
year = {2024},
author = {Efimov, V&#x41c; and Rechkin, DV and Goncharov, NP},
title = {Multivariate analysis of long-term climate data in connection with yield, earliness and the problem of global warming.},
journal = {Vavilovskii zhurnal genetiki i selektsii},
volume = {28},
number = {2},
pages = {155-165},
doi = {10.18699/vjgb-24-18},
pmid = {38680183},
issn = {2500-0462},
abstract = {Climate change is the key challenge to agriculture in the XXI century. Future agricultural techniques in the Russian Federation should involve the optimization of land utilization. This optimization should apply algorithms for smart farming and take into consideration possible climate variations. Due to timely risk assessment, this approach would increase profitability and production sustainability of agricultural products without extra expenditures. Also, we should ground farming optimization not on available empirical data encompassing limited time intervals (month, year) or human personal evaluations but on the integral analysis of long-term information bodies using artificial intelligence. This article presents the results of a multivariate analysis of meteorological extremes which caused crop failures in Eastern and Western Europe in last 2600 years according to chronicle data and paleoreconstructions as well as reconstructions of heliophysical data for the last 9000 years. This information leads us to the conclusion that the current global warming will last for some time. However, subsequent climate changes may go in any direction. And cooling is more likely than warming; thus, we should be prepared to any scenario. Plant breeding can play a key role in solving food security problems connected with climate changes. Possible measures to adapt plant industry to the ongoing and expected climate changes are discussed. It is concluded that future breeding should be based on the use of highly adapted crops that have already been produced in pre-breeding programs, ready to meet future challenges caused by potential climate change.},
}
@article {pmid38680133,
year = {2024},
author = {Assani, AA},
title = {Analysis of the impacts of climate change, physiographic factors and land use/cover on the spatiotemporal variability of seasonal daily mean flows in southern Quebec (Canada).},
journal = {Applied water science},
volume = {14},
number = {5},
pages = {109},
pmid = {38680133},
issn = {2190-5487},
abstract = {The objective of this study is to compare the spatiotemporal variability of seasonal daily mean flows measured in 17 watersheds, grouped into three homogeneous hydroclimatic regions, during the period 1930-2023 in southern Quebec. With regard to spatial variability, unlike extreme daily flows, seasonal daily mean flows are very poorly correlated with physiographic factors and land use and land cover. In fall, they are not correlated with any physiographic or climatic factor. In winter, they are positively correlated with the rainfall and winter daily mean maximum temperatures. In spring, they are strongly correlated positively with the snowfall but negatively with the spring daily mean maximum temperatures. However, in summer, they are better correlated with forest area and, to a lesser extent, with the rainfall. As for their temporal variability, the application of six different statistical tests revealed a general increase in daily mean flows in winter due to early snowmelt and increased rainfall in fall. In summer, flows decreased significantly in the snowiest hydroclimatic region on the south shore due to the decrease in the snowfall. In spring, no significant change in flows was globally observed in the three hydroclimatic regions despite the decrease in the snowfall due to the increase in the rainfall. In fall, flows increased significantly south of 47°N on both shores due to the increase in the rainfall. This study demonstrates that, unlike extreme flows, the temporal variability of seasonal daily average flows is exclusively influenced by climatic variables in southern Quebec. Due to this influence, seasonal daily mean flows thus appear to be the best indicator for monitoring the impacts of changes in precipitation regimes and seasonal temperatures on river flows in southern Quebec.},
}
@article {pmid38679631,
year = {2024},
author = {Hollesen, J and Jepsen, MS and Stendel, M and Harmsen, H},
title = {Assessing the consequences of recent climate change on World Heritage sites in South Greenland.},
journal = {Scientific reports},
volume = {14},
number = {1},
pages = {9732},
pmid = {38679631},
issn = {2045-2322},
support = {CF18-1106//Carlsbergfondet/ ; },
abstract = {In the Arctic region, microbial degradation poses a significant threat to the preservation of archaeological deposits, actively consuming irreplaceable cultural and environmental records. In this study we assess the potential effects of the last 40 years of climate change on organic archaeological deposits within the UNESCO World Heritage area Kujataa in South Greenland. We use the dynamic process-oriented model, CoupModel to simulate soil temperatures and soil moisture contents at four archaeological sites in the area. The results show that the organic deposits have experienced a substantial warming the last 40 years, which combined with decreasing soil moisture contents creates a dangerous combination that can accelerate the degradation of organic materials. Currently, there are 583 archaeological sites registered within the area. Our findings highlight that the current climatic conditions are not conducive to organic preservation. The greatest risk of degradation lies within the relatively dry continental inland areas of the study region, where all Norse Viking Age settlements are situated. However, even at the "cold" and "wet" outer coast, the combined effects of rising summer temperatures and declining soil moisture levels may already be exerting a noticeable impact.},
}
@article {pmid38679611,
year = {2024},
author = {Khadka, D and Babel, MS and Tingsanchali, T and Penny, J and Djordjevic, S and Abatan, AA and Giardino, A},
title = {Evaluating the impacts of climate change and land-use change on future droughts in northeast Thailand.},
journal = {Scientific reports},
volume = {14},
number = {1},
pages = {9746},
pmid = {38679611},
issn = {2045-2322},
support = {RDG6130025//National Research Council of Thailand/ ; NE/S002901/1//Natural Environment Research Council/ ; },
abstract = {The impacts of climate change (CC) on droughts are well documented, but the effects of land-use change (LUC) are poorly understood. This study compares the projected individual and combined impacts of these stressors on future droughts (2021-2050), with respect to baseline (1981-2010) in one of the major tributaries of the Mekong River. LUC impacts on hydrological droughts are minimal compared to CC, with the latter expected to shorten the recurrence interval of a 20-year return period event to every 14 years. Both CC and LUC have significant impacts on agricultural droughts with heightened sensitivity. 'Once in a Decade' agricultural droughts will be 40% (35%) longer and 88% (87%) more severe under the CC (LUC) scenario. Under both stressors, the events occurring every 20 years will be twice as frequent. Results highlight the intensification of future droughts and the urgency for actions to mitigate/adapt to climate change and manage land use. Future policy shall holistically address agricultural water management, sustainable land use management, and crop management to cope with future droughts. We recommend developing resilient agricultural practices, enhanced water resource management strategies, and incorporating drought risk into land-use planning to mitigate the compounded impacts of CC and LUC.},
}
@article {pmid38678894,
year = {2024},
author = {Sponagel, C and Weik, J and Feuerbacher, A and Bahrs, E},
title = {Exploring the climate change mitigation potential and regional distribution of agrivoltaics with geodata-based farm economic modelling and life cycle assessment.},
journal = {Journal of environmental management},
volume = {359},
number = {},
pages = {121021},
doi = {10.1016/j.jenvman.2024.121021},
pmid = {38678894},
issn = {1095-8630},
abstract = {Tackling climate change remains a critical challenge for society. Achieving climate neutrality requires a massive expansion of renewable energies such as wind and photovoltaics (PV). Agriculture plays a key role in this context, especially as the expansion of ground-mounted PV systems often leads to land-use conflicts. Agrivoltaics (AV), which combines agricultural and electricity production, can be a solution, but the synergies are particularly dependent on local agronomic conditions. There is also a knowledge gap in how AV expansion impacts greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions at the landscape level and how it contributes to regional emission reduction targets. In this study, we analysed the economic and climate change mitigation impacts of AV expansion pathways in the German state Baden-Württemberg using an integrated land use model and life cycle assessment under the assumption of general rentability of electricity production by AV. We found that implementing AV on 1%-5% of the regions's arable and grassland area reduced the total agricultural gross margin by a maximum of approximately 0.5%. Concurrently, AV implementation reduced GHG emissions by about 1.2 million to 5.9 million metric tons of CO2 equivalent (Mt CO2-eq). Even if this reduction is almost exclusively accounted for in the energy sector, in absolute terms it amounts to more than the current GHG emissions from Baden-Württemberg's agricultural sector (about 4.4 Mt CO2-eq in 2021). In the 5% expansion scenario, almost 90% of the installations were installed on grassland, but this share dropped to 72% when considering landscape quality constraints. Although we found considerable regional disparity, our findings still suggest that AV is an essential component for regional emission reduction targets. These results are particularly relevant for policymakers in spatial planning, agricultural and energy policy.},
}
@article {pmid38678365,
year = {2024},
author = {Zhang, F and Long, R and Ma, Z and Xiao, H and Xu, X and Liu, Z and Wei, C and Wang, Y and Peng, Y and Yang, X and Shi, X and Cao, S and Li, M and Xu, M and He, F and Jiang, X and Zhang, T and Wang, Z and Li, X and Yu, LX and Kang, J and Zhang, Z and Zhou, Y and Yang, Q},
title = {Evolutionary genomics of climatic adaptation and resilience to climate change in alfalfa.},
journal = {Molecular plant},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1016/j.molp.2024.04.013},
pmid = {38678365},
issn = {1752-9867},
abstract = {Given the escalating impact of climate change on agriculture and food security, gaining insights into the evolutionary dynamics of climatic adaptation and uncovering climate-adapted variation empower the breeding of climate-resilience crops to face future climate change. Alfalfa (Medicago sativa subsp. sativa), the queen of forages with remarkable adaptability across diverse global environments, is an excellent model for investigating species' responses to climate change. We conducted population genomic analyses to unravel alfalfa's climatic adaptation and genetic susceptibility to future climate change, utilizing genome resequencing data from 702 accessions of 24 Medicago species. We found that interspecific genetic exchange has fueled the gene pool of alfalfa, particularly enriching defense and stress response genes. Inter-subspecific introgression between Medicago sativa subsp. falcata (subsp. falcata) and alfalfa not only aids alfalfa's climatic adaptation but also introduces genetic burden. A total of 1671 genes were associated with climatic adaptation, and 5.7% of them were introgression from subsp. falcata. Integrating climate-associated variants and climate data, we identified vulnerable populations to future climate change, particularly in higher latitudes of the northern hemisphere, serving as a clarion call for targeted conservation initiatives and breeding efforts. Moreover, we unveil pre-adaptive populations demonstrating heightened resilience to climate fluctuations, illuminating a pathway for future breeding strategies. This study enhances our understanding of alfalfa's local adaptation and facilitates breeding of climate-resilient cultivars, contributing to effective agricultural strategies facing future climate change.},
}
@article {pmid38678287,
year = {2024},
author = {Qin, Z and Wu, Q and Bi, C and Deng, Y and Hu, Q},
title = {The relationship between climate change anxiety and pro-environmental behavior in adolescents: the mediating role of future self-continuity and the moderating role of green self-efficacy.},
journal = {BMC psychology},
volume = {12},
number = {1},
pages = {241},
pmid = {38678287},
issn = {2050-7283},
support = {CSXL-21101//Key project of Sichuan Provincial Applied Psychology Research Center/ ; CSXL-21101//Key project of Sichuan Provincial Applied Psychology Research Center/ ; CSXL-21101//Key project of Sichuan Provincial Applied Psychology Research Center/ ; CSXL-21101//Key project of Sichuan Provincial Applied Psychology Research Center/ ; CSXL-21101//Key project of Sichuan Provincial Applied Psychology Research Center/ ; TER2021-011//Sichuan Teacher Education Research Center Project/ ; TER2021-011//Sichuan Teacher Education Research Center Project/ ; TER2021-011//Sichuan Teacher Education Research Center Project/ ; TER2021-011//Sichuan Teacher Education Research Center Project/ ; TER2021-011//Sichuan Teacher Education Research Center Project/ ; },
mesh = {Humans ; Adolescent ; *Climate Change ; *Self Efficacy ; Male ; Female ; *Anxiety/psychology ; *Adolescent Behavior/psychology ; Students/psychology/statistics &amp; numerical data ; Surveys and Questionnaires ; Environment ; },
abstract = {BACKGROUND: Climate change is seriously affecting human survival and development, and the anxiety caused by it is becoming increasingly prominent. How to alleviate people's climate change anxiety, improve the ecological environment, and promote the formation of green lifestyles among people, especially young people, is an important topic that deserves to be explored. This study examined the relationship between climate change anxiety and pro-environmental behaviors and the underlying psychological mechanism in the adolescents.<br><br>METHODS: This study explored the crucial role of future self-continuity (FSC) between climate change anxiety (CCA) and pro-environmental behaviors (PEB) in adolescents and examined the moderating role of green self-efficacy (GSE). In this study, a total of 1,851 middle and high school students from five schools were selected for questionnaire survey.<br><br>RESULTS: The results showed that (1) in both middle and high school grades, there was a significant negative correlation between climate change anxiety and pro-environmental behaviors; future self-continuity was significantly positively correlated with pro-environmental behaviors; green self-efficacy was negatively correlated with climate change anxiety and positively correlated with pro-environmental behaviors; (2) climate change anxiety negatively predicted pro-environmental behaviors, and compared with middle school grades, high school grade adolescents' climate change anxiety was significantly predicted pro-environmental behaviors. Future self-continuity mediated the relationship between climate change anxiety and pro-environmental behaviors in both grades. (3) green self-efficacy moderated the second half of the pathway of the mediation model only in middle grades. Specifically in middle school, future self-continuity did not significantly predict pro-environmental behaviors at low green self-efficacy level, but positively predicted pro-environmental behaviors at high green self-efficacy level. In high school, future self-continuity did not significantly predict pro-environmental behaviors in either high or low green self-efficacy level.<br><br>CONCLUSION: This study suggests that there is a moderated mediation model between adolescents' climate change anxiety and pro-environmental behaviors, with different mediating and moderating effects among adolescents in various grades. This is of great significance in alleviating climate anxiety among adolescents and cultivating their pro-environmental behaviors.},
}
@article {pmid38677778,
year = {2024},
author = {Anton, B and Cuevas, S and Hanson, M and Bhutta, ZA and Langlois, EV and Iaia, DG and Gasparri, G and Borghi, J},
title = {Opportunities and challenges for financing women's, children's and adolescents' health in the context of climate change.},
journal = {BMJ global health},
volume = {9},
number = {4},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1136/bmjgh-2023-014596},
pmid = {38677778},
issn = {2059-7908},
mesh = {Humans ; *Climate Change/economics ; Adolescent ; Female ; Child ; *Child Health/economics ; *Adolescent Health/economics ; *Women's Health/economics ; Healthcare Financing ; Developing Countries ; },
abstract = {Women, children and adolescents (WCA), especially in low-income and middle-income countries (LMICs), will bear the worst consequences of climate change during their lifetimes, despite contributing the least to global greenhouse gas emissions. Investing in WCA can address these inequities in climate risk, as well as generating large health, economic, social and environmental gains. However, women's, children's and adolescents' health (WCAH) is currently not mainstreamed in climate policies and financing. There is also a need to consider new and innovative financing arrangements that support WCAH alongside climate goals.We provide an overview of the threats climate change represents for WCA, including the most vulnerable communities, and where health and climate investments should focus. We draw on evidence to explore the opportunities and challenges for health financing, climate finance and co-financing schemes to enhance equity and protect WCAH while supporting climate goals.WCA face threats from the rising burden of ill-health and healthcare demand, coupled with constraints to healthcare provision, impacting access to essential WCAH services and rising out-of-pocket payments for healthcare. Climate change also impacts on the economic context and livelihoods of WCA, increasing the risk of displacement and migration. These impacts require additional resources to support WCAH service delivery, to ensure continuity of care and protect households from the costs of care and enhance resilience. We identify a range of financing solutions, including leveraging climate finance for WCAH, adaptive social protection for health and adaptations to purchasing to promote climate action and support WCAH care needs.},
}
@article {pmid38677418,
year = {2024},
author = {Steingruber, SM},
title = {The influence of atmospheric deposition and climate change driven catchment internal processes on the recovery from acidification of high-altitude Alpine lakes.},
journal = {The Science of the total environment},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {172699},
doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.172699},
pmid = {38677418},
issn = {1879-1026},
abstract = {The impact of atmospheric deposition and environmental factors on catchment processes and water chemistry of 20 high-altitude Alpine lakes in Southern Switzerland was investigated over four decades. Through the analysis of input-output budgets of sulphur (S), nitrogen (N), base cations and alkalinity significant trends emerged. Notably, S and N input concentrations significantly declined since the 1980s, by approximately 78 % and 22 %, respectively, with N primarily declining after 2000. Recovery from acidification was slightly delayed, likely due to the increased release of S, possibly originating from legacy S pools, alongside the simultaneous reduction in leaching of base cations from exchange sites. Catchments heavily impacted by thawing cryospheric features increasingly released S and base cations due to enhanced weathering processes, with hardly any impact on the recovery process, as evidenced by the balanced releases of S and base cations. N output concentrations followed the decrease of N input concentrations, while the relative N retention in the catchments remained relatively stable. Recently, both input concentrations of S and N have stabilised, while output concentrations of base cations began to increase across all catchments. The trend likely arises from the stabilisation of S and N input concentrations and/or the ongoing increase in weathering rates induced by climate change. Consequently, there was a consistent rise in alkalinity output concentrations even after the stabilisation of the S and N input concentrations. Ion ratio analysis suggests that carbonation primarily drives weathering processes in catchment areas unaffected by thawing cryosphere, while in areas impacted by thawing cryosphere, sulphide oxidation (or sulphate dissolution) is the dominant process. Further recovery depends on future N deposition and the effects of climate change.},
}
@article {pmid38677404,
year = {2024},
author = {Yin, J and Huang, M and Duan, R and Huang, W and Zhang, Y},
title = {Effects of atrazine on movement, metabolism and gene expression in Pelophylax nigromaculatus larvae under global warming.},
journal = {Environmental research},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {119007},
doi = {10.1016/j.envres.2024.119007},
pmid = {38677404},
issn = {1096-0953},
abstract = {Global warming and environmental pollutants both pose a threat to the behavior and physiology of animals, but research on the combined effects of the two is limited. Atrazine, a widely used herbicide, has toxic effects on organisms. In this study, the effects of environmental concentrations of atrazine exposure (100 μg/L) for seven days on the movement, metabolism and gene expression related to motility of Pelophylax nigromaculatus larvae (GS8) were investigated under global warming. The results showed that compared to the optimal growth temperature (18°C), atrazine treatment under global warming (21°C) significantly increased the average speed (about 11.2 times) and maximum acceleration (about 1.98 times) of P. nigromaculatus larvae, altered the relative abundance of 539 metabolites, including Formyl-5-hydroxykynurenamine, 2,4-Dihydroxybenzophenone, and FAPy-adenine, and changed the nucleotide metabolism, pyrimidine metabolism, glycerophospholipid metabolism, and purine metabolism, as well as increased the gene expression of SPLA2 (about 6.46 times) and CHK (about 3.25 times). In summary, atrazine treatment under global warming caused metabolic disorders in amphibian larvae and increased the expression of some movement-related genes in the brain, resulting in abnormally active.},
}
@article {pmid38676432,
year = {2024},
author = {Clayton, S},
title = {A social psychology of climate change: Progress and promise.},
journal = {The British journal of social psychology},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1111/bjso.12749},
pmid = {38676432},
issn = {2044-8309},
abstract = {Social psychologists have conducted research relevant to environmental problems for many decades. However, the climate crisis presents a new problem with distinctive aspects and distinctive urgency. This paper reviews some of the principal ways in which social psychological research and theory have approached the topic, looking at perceptions, behaviour, and impacts linked to climate change. Each of these areas is becoming more sophisticated in acknowledging the diversity of experience among groups that vary in demographics and social roles. I close by identifying three important facets for future research: a focus on social justice, an effort to participate in interdisciplinary efforts, and an emphasis on maximizing our impact.},
}
@article {pmid38674491,
year = {2024},
author = {Nan, Q and Li, C and Li, X and Zheng, D and Li, Z and Zhao, L},
title = {Modeling the Potential Distribution Patterns of the Invasive Plant Species Phytolacca americana in China in Response to Climate Change.},
journal = {Plants (Basel, Switzerland)},
volume = {13},
number = {8},
pages = {},
pmid = {38674491},
issn = {2223-7747},
support = {31801984//National Natural Science Foundation of China/ ; },
abstract = {Phytolacca americana, introduced to China in the 20th century for its medicinal properties, has posed a significant ecological and agricultural challenge. Its prolific fruit production, high reproductive coefficient, adaptability, and toxic roots and fruits have led to the formation of monoculture communities, reducing native species diversity and posing threats to agriculture, human and animal health, and local ecosystems. Understanding its potential distribution patterns at a regional scale and its response to climate change is essential for effective monitoring, management, and control. In this study, we utilized the Maxent model to simulate potential habitat areas of P. americana across three timeframes (current, 2050s, and 2070s) under three climate change scenarios (SSP126, SSP245, and SSP585). Leveraging data from 556 P. americana sites across China, we employed ROC curves to assess the prediction accuracy. Our findings highlight key environmental factors influencing P. americana's geographical distribution, including the driest month's precipitation, the coldest month's minimum temperature, the wettest month's precipitation, isothermality, and temperature annual range. Under current climate conditions, P. americana potentially inhabits 280.26 × 10[4] km[2] in China, with a concentration in 27 provinces and cities within the Yangtze River basin and its southern regions. While future climate change scenarios do not drastically alter the total suitable area, the proportions of high and low-suitability areas decrease over time, shifting towards moderate suitability. Specifically, in the SSP126 scenario, the centroid of the predicted suitable area shifts northeastward and then southwestward. In contrast, in the SSP245 and SSP585 scenarios, the centroid shifts northward.},
}
@article {pmid38673348,
year = {2024},
author = {Elnakib, S and Subhit, S and Shukaitis, J and Rowe, A and Cava, J and Quick, V},
title = {New Jersey Leaves No Bite Behind: A Climate Change and Food Waste Curriculum Intervention for Adolescents in the United States.},
journal = {International journal of environmental research and public health},
volume = {21},
number = {4},
pages = {},
pmid = {38673348},
issn = {1660-4601},
support = {SHW22-004//New Jersey Department of Environmental Protection/ ; 823051//Robert Wood Johnson Foundation/ ; },
mesh = {Humans ; *Climate Change ; Adolescent ; Female ; Male ; *Curriculum ; New Jersey ; Schools ; Child ; United States ; Students/psychology ; Self Efficacy ; Food Loss and Waste ; },
abstract = {Food waste is a major contributor to climate change. Schools offer a unique opportunity to educate on this issue while also reducing food waste generation; however, few climate-change education curricula that include a food waste component have been developed and tested with fidelity. Thus, the purpose of this cluster randomized controlled study was to assess the effectiveness of a climate change and food waste education program called NJ Leaves No Bite Behind (NJLNBB) among fifth-grade students. Lessons on food waste and sustainable food behaviors were developed that aligned with NJ Student Learning Standards for Climate Change and Next-Generation Science Standards. Participants (n = 162) completed pre- and post-test surveys that assessed knowledge, attitudes, self-efficacy, and behaviors. Post-test, the experimental group (n = 102) had significantly (p < 0.05) higher mean scores in knowledge, social norms, behavioral intentions, and perceived behavioral control compared to the control group (n = 60), with medium effect sizes, as determined by partial eta-squared. There were no significant between-group differences in mean score attitudes, self-efficacy, motivation to comply, or climate-friendly behaviors post-test. Almost three-quarters of participants who received the program agreed or strongly agreed the lessons were fun (75.5%), liked the card games (72.5), and learned a lot (78.4%). These findings are promising in terms of teaching adolescents the impacts of food waste on the climate.},
}
@article {pmid38673345,
year = {2024},
author = {Naser, K and Haq, Z and Naughton, BD},
title = {The Impact of Climate Change on Health Services in Low- and Middle-Income Countries: A Systematised Review and Thematic Analysis.},
journal = {International journal of environmental research and public health},
volume = {21},
number = {4},
pages = {},
pmid = {38673345},
issn = {1660-4601},
mesh = {*Climate Change ; *Developing Countries ; Humans ; Health Services ; Delivery of Health Care ; },
abstract = {Aim: The aim of this study was to assess the impact of climate change on health services as categorized by the WHO's Building Blocks for creating Climate-Resilient Health Systems. Objective: The objective was to conduct a systematized review of the published literature concerning the impact of climate change, using a thematic analysis approach to address our aim and identify areas for further research. Design: A search was conducted on 8 February 2022 using the Embase and PubMed research databases. Peer-reviewed scientific studies that were published in English from 2012 to 2022, which described at least one report concerning the impact of climate change on health services in LMICs, were included. Studies were organized based on their key characteristics, which included the date of publication, objective, method, limitations, participants, and geographical focus. The Mixed-Methods Appraisal Tool (MMAT) was used to assess the risk of bias in the included studies. Results: Twenty-three studies were included in this review. Five areas of health services which align with the WHO building blocks framework were impacted by climate change. These health service areas included: (1) Service Delivery, (2) Human Resources, (3) Health Finance, (4) Healthcare Products and Technology, and (5) Leadership and Governance. However, research concerning the impact of climate change on health information systems, which is part of the WHO building blocks framework, did not feature in our study. The climatic effects were divided into three themes: meteorological effects, extreme weather events, and general. The research in this study found that climate change had a detrimental impact on a variety of health services, with service delivery being the most frequently reported. The risk of bias varied greatly between studies. Conclusions: Climate change has negatively impacted health services in a variety of different ways, and without further actions, this problem is likely to worsen. The WHO building blocks have provided a useful lens through which to review health services. We built an aligned framework to describe our findings and to support future climate change impact assessments in this area. We propose that further research concerning the impact of climate change on health information systems would be valuable, as well as further education and responsible policy changes to help build resilience in health services affected by climate change.},
}
@article {pmid38671045,
year = {2024},
author = {Giménez-Romero, &#xc0; and Iturbide, M and Moralejo, E and Gutiérrez, JM and Matías, MA},
title = {Global warming significantly increases the risk of Pierce's disease epidemics in European vineyards.},
journal = {Scientific reports},
volume = {14},
number = {1},
pages = {9648},
pmid = {38671045},
issn = {2045-2322},
support = {PID2021-123723OB-C22//Agencia Estatal de Investigaci&#xf3;n/ ; PID2019-111481RB-I00//Agencia Estatal de Investigaci&#xf3;n/ ; UERRA//Sixth Framework Programme/ ; },
mesh = {*Plant Diseases/microbiology ; *Vitis/microbiology ; *Xylella/pathogenicity ; Europe/epidemiology ; *Global Warming ; Wine ; Epidemics ; Farms ; Climate Change ; },
abstract = {Pierce's disease (PD) is a vector-borne disease caused by the bacteria Xylella fastidiosa, which affects grapevines in the Americas. Currently, vineyards in continental Europe, the world's largest producer of quality wine, have not yet been affected by PD. However, climate change may alter this situation. Here we incorporate the latest regional climate change projections into a climate-driven epidemiological model to assess the risk of PD epidemics in Europe for different levels of global warming. We found a significant increase in risk above + 2 ∘ C in the main wine-producing regions of France, Italy and Portugal, in addition to a critical tipping point above + 3 ∘ C for the possible spread of PD beyond the Mediterranean. The model identifies decreasing risk trends in Spain, as well as contrasting patterns across the continent with different velocities of risk change and epidemic growth rates. Although there is some uncertainty in model projections over time, spatial patterns of risk are consistent across different climate models. Our study provides a comprehensive analysis of the future of PD at multiple spatial scales (country, Protected Designation of Origin and vineyard), revealing where, why and when PD could become a new threat to the European wine industry.},
}
@article {pmid38667410,
year = {2024},
author = {Cao, R and Feng, J},
title = {Future Climate Change and Anthropogenic Disturbance Promote the Invasions of the World's Worst Invasive Insect Pests.},
journal = {Insects},
volume = {15},
number = {4},
pages = {},
pmid = {38667410},
issn = {2075-4450},
support = {31560178//National Natural Science Foundation of China/ ; },
abstract = {Invasive insect pests adversely impact human welfare and global ecosystems. However, no studies have used a unified scheme to compare the range dynamics of the world's worst invasive insect pests. We investigated the future range shifts of 15 of the world's worst invasive insect pests. Although future range dynamics varied substantially among the 15 worst invasive insect pests, most exhibited large range expansions. Increases in the total habitat suitability occurred in more than ca. 85% of global terrestrial regions. The relative impacts of anthropogenic disturbance and climate variables on the range dynamics depended on the species and spatial scale. Aedes albopictus, Cinara cupressi, and Trogoderma granarium occurred four times in the top five largest potential ranges under four future climate scenarios. Anoplophora glabripennis, Aedes albopictus, and Co. formosanus were predicted to have the largest range expansions. An. glabripennis, Pl. manokwari, Co. formosanus, and So. invicta showed the largest range centroid shifts. More effective strategies will be required to prevent their range expansions. Although the strategies should be species-specific, mitigating anthropogenic disturbances and climate change will be essential to preventing future invasions. This study provides critical and novel insights for developing global strategies to combat the invasions of invasive insect pests in the future.},
}
@article {pmid38667380,
year = {2024},
author = {Cui, S and Zhang, H and Liu, L and Lyu, W and Xu, L and Zhang, Z and Han, Y},
title = {Hypervolume Niche Dynamics and Global Invasion Risk of Phenacoccus solenopsis under Climate Change.},
journal = {Insects},
volume = {15},
number = {4},
pages = {},
pmid = {38667380},
issn = {2075-4450},
support = {2021L147//Scienti&#xfb01;c and Technological Programs of Higher Education Institutions in Shanxi/ ; 2017YJ18//Technology Innovation Fund of Shanxi Agricultural University/ ; 32201307//National Natural Science Foundation of China/ ; 20210302124678//Fundamental Research Program of Shanxi Province/ ; },
abstract = {As a globally invasive quarantine pest, the cotton mealybug, Phenacoccus solenopsis, is spreading rapidly, posing serious threats against agricultural and forestry production and biosecurity. In recent years, the niche conservatism hypothesis has been widely debated, which is particularly evident in invasive biology research. Identifying the niche dynamics of P. solenopsis, as well as assessing its global invasion risk, is of both theoretical and practical importance. Based on 462 occurrence points and 19 bioclimatic variables, we used n-dimensional hypervolume analysis to quantify the multidimensional climatic niche of this pest in both its native and invasive ranges. We examined niche conservatism and further optimized the MaxEnt model parameters to predict the global invasion risk of P. solenopsis under both current and future climate conditions. Our findings indicated that the niche hypervolume of this pest in invasive ranges was significantly larger than that in its native ranges, with 99.45% of the niche differentiation contributed by niche expansion, with the remaining less than 1% explained by space replacement. Niche expansion was most evident in Oceania and Eurasia. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (0.83) and true skill statistic (0.62) indicated the model's robust performance. The areas of suitable habitats for P. solenopsis are increasing significantly and the northward spread is obvious in future climate change scenarios. North Africa, northern China, Mediterranean regions, and northern Europe had an increased invasion risk of P. solenopsis. This study provided scientific support for the early warning and control of P. solenopsis.},
}
@article {pmid38666968,
year = {2024},
author = {Muhummed, AM and Alemu, A and Maidane, YO and Tschopp, R and Hattendorf, J and Vonaesch, P and Zinsstag, J and Cissé, G},
title = {Knowledge, Attitudes, and Practices of Rural Communities Regarding Antimicrobial Resistance and Climate Change in Adadle District, Somali Region, Ethiopia: A Mixed-Methods Study.},
journal = {Antibiotics (Basel, Switzerland)},
volume = {13},
number = {4},
pages = {},
doi = {10.3390/antibiotics13040292},
pmid = {38666968},
issn = {2079-6382},
support = {(no. 7F-09057.01.02 to JZ)//Jigjiga One Health Initiative (JOHI) (SDC) , Swiss Government Excellence Scholarships (ESKAS)./ ; },
abstract = {There is an urgent need for interventions in addressing the rapid and disproportionate impact of antimicrobial resistance (AMR) and climate change (CC) on low- and middle-income countries. Within this context, it is important to understand indigenous knowledge in rural communities, which are highly affected. This study examined knowledge, attitude, and practices (KAP) regarding AMR and CC in the Adadle district, Somali region, Ethiopia, utilizing mixed methods, including 362 surveys and 12 focus group discussions among rural communities. Findings showed that 39% and 63% of participants were familiar with AMR and CC, respectively. Of those surveyed, 57% attributed AMR to inappropriate antimicrobial use in animals and humans, while CC was often associated with Allah/God. Multivariable analysis indicated that males exhibited superior knowledge and a positive attitude towards AMR and CC. Additionally, individuals aged 26-35 and 36-45 years showed heightened awareness of AMR and CC, respectively. Moreover, participants who were government employees, pastoralists, and business owners showed better knowledge on CC compared to family caretaker. Religious education and households with more than six members were linked to lower AMR knowledge. This study underlines a greater awareness of CC than AMR and highlights gender-based disparities, recommending integrated educational AMR programs targeting different demographics through a One Health lens, actively involving females, and incorporating local beliefs and practices.},
}
@article {pmid38666852,
year = {2024},
author = {Wang, X and Wang, X and Li, Y and Wu, C and Zhao, B and Peng, M and Chen, W and Wang, C},
title = {Response of Extremely Small Populations to Climate Change-A Case of Trachycarpus nanus in Yunnan, China.},
journal = {Biology},
volume = {13},
number = {4},
pages = {},
pmid = {38666852},
issn = {2079-7737},
abstract = {Climate change affects the geographical distribution of plant species. Rare Trachycarpus nanus with a narrow distribution range, high medicinal value and extremely small population is facing increasing extinction risks under global climate change. In this study, 96 recorded occurrences and 23 environmental factors are used to predict the potential suitable area of T. nanus based on the optimized MaxEnt (3.4.4) model and ArcGIS (10.7) software. The results show that when the parameters are FC = LQ and RM = 1, the MaxEnt model is optimal and AUC = 0.946. The distribution patterns were predicted in the past, present, and four future phases, i.e., 2021-2040 (2030), 2041-2060 (2050), 2061-2080 (2070), and 2081-2100 (2090). The main factors are the annual precipitation (bio12), mean temperature of the coldest quarter (bio11), temperature seasonality (bio4), precipitation of the wettest quarter (bio16), and isothermality (bio3). The potential distribution of T. nanus is primarily concentrated in central Chuxiong, encompassing a total potential suitable area of 5.65 × 10[4] km[2]. In historical periods, the total habitat area is smaller than that in the present. In the future, the potential suitable area is generally increased. The centroid analysis shows that T. nanus will move to a high-altitude area and to the southeast. But its dispersal capacity may not keep up with the climate change rate. Therefore, additional protection sites for this species should be appropriately established and the habitat connectivity should be enhanced.},
}
@article {pmid38666797,
year = {2024},
author = {Llorenç-Vicedo, A and Lluesma Gomez, M and Zeising, O and Kleiner, T and Freitag, J and Martinez-Hernandez, F and Wilhelms, F and Martinez-Garcia, M},
title = {New avenues for potentially seeking microbial responses to climate change beneath Antarctic ice shelves.},
journal = {mSphere},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {e0007324},
doi = {10.1128/msphere.00073-24},
pmid = {38666797},
issn = {2379-5042},
abstract = {UNLABELLED: The signs of climate change are undeniable, and the impact of these changes on ecosystem function heavily depends on the response of microbes that underpin the food web. Antarctic ice shelf is a massive mass of floating ice that extends from the continent into the ocean, exerting a profound influence on global carbon cycles. Beneath Antarctic ice shelves, marine ice stores valuable genetic information, where marine microbial communities before the industrial revolution are archived. Here, in this proof-of-concept, by employing a combination of single-cell technologiesand metagenomics, we have been able to sequence frozen microbial DNA (≈300 years old) stored in the marine ice core B15 collected from the Filchnner-Ronne Ice Shelf. Metagenomic data indicated that Proteobacteria and Thaumarchaeota (e.g., Nitrosopumilus spp.), followed by Actinobacteria (e.g., Actinomarinales), were abundant. Remarkably, our data allow us to "travel to the past" and calibrate genomic and genetic evolutionary changes for ecologically relevant microbes and functions, such as Nitrosopumilus spp., preserved in the marine ice (≈300 years old) with those collected recently in seawater under an ice shelf (year 2017). The evolutionary divergence for the ammonia monooxygenase gene amoA involved in chemolithoautotrophy was about 0.88 amino acid and 2.8 nucleotide substitution rate per 100 sites in a century, while the accumulated rate of genomic SNPs was 2,467 per 1 Mb of genome and 100 years. Whether these evolutionary changes remained constant over the last 300 years or accelerated during post-industrial periods remains an open question that will be further elucidated.<br><br>IMPORTANCE: Several efforts have been undertaken to predict the response of microbes under climate change, mainly based on short-term microcosm experiments under forced conditions. A common concern is that manipulative experiments cannot properly simulate the response of microbes to climate change, which is a long-term evolutionary process. In this proof-of-concept study with a limited sample size, we demonstrate a novel approach yet to be fully explored in science for accessing genetic information from putative past marine microbes preserved under Antarctic ice shelves before the industrial revolution. This potentially allows us estimating evolutionary changes as exemplified in our study. We advocate for gathering a more comprehensive Antarctic marine ice core data sets across various periods and sites. Such a data set would enable the establishment of a robust baseline, facilitating a better assessment of the potential effects of climate change on key genetic signatures of microbes.},
}
@article {pmid38664562,
year = {2024},
author = {},
title = {Air-travel climate-change emissions detailed for nearly 200 nations.},
journal = {Nature},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
pmid = {38664562},
issn = {1476-4687},
}
@article {pmid38664253,
year = {2024},
author = {Osei-Kusi, F and Wu, CS and Akiti, SO},
title = {Assessing the impacts of crop production on climate change: An in-depth analysis of long-term determinants and policy implications.},
journal = {Environmental monitoring and assessment},
volume = {196},
number = {5},
pages = {479},
pmid = {38664253},
issn = {1573-2959},
mesh = {*Climate Change ; *Crop Production/methods ; Agriculture/methods ; Crops, Agricultural/growth &amp; development ; Middle East ; Europe ; Environmental Monitoring/methods ; Africa South of the Sahara ; Africa, Northern ; Environmental Policy ; Asia, Central ; },
abstract = {This research investigates the long-term determinants of carbon emissions in three diverse regions-Europe and Central Asia (ECA), Sub-Saharan Africa (SSA), and the Middle East and North Africa (MENA)-spanning 1990 to 2020. Utilizing advanced econometric models and analyses, including the Regularized Common Correlated Effects Estimator (rCCE), Common Correlated Effects Estimator (CCE), and Mean-Group (MG) approach, the study explores the intricate relationships between carbon emissions, crop production, emissions per agricultural production, energy consumption, renewable energy consumption, per capita GDP, and population. Region-specific nuances are uncovered, highlighting the varying dynamics: ECA exhibits intricate and non-significant relationships, SSA showcases significant effects of population dynamics and green technology adoption, and the MENA region reveals a nuanced interplay between emissions per agricultural production.The findings underscore the universal efficacy of green technology adoption for mitigation. Strategies for mitigating carbon emissions in the agricultural sector require diversified energy transition approaches, emphasizing efficiency enhancements, green technology adoption, and tailored population management strategies based on regional intricacies. Counterfactual simulations indicate the potential efficacy of strategic measures targeting crop production to reduce carbon emissions, while acknowledging the nuanced relationship between economic growth and emissions. Policymakers are urged to recognize the persistence in emission patterns, emphasizing the importance of targeted interventions to transition towards more sustainable trajectories. Overall, the research provides essential insights for crafting effective policies at both regional and global scales to address the complexities of climate change mitigation in the agricultural sector.},
}
@article {pmid38664241,
year = {2024},
author = {Brandt, M and Höppner, G},
title = {[Sustainable age(ing) in the context of climate change: state of research and conceptional considerations].},
journal = {Zeitschrift fur Gerontologie und Geriatrie},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
pmid = {38664241},
issn = {1435-1269},
abstract = {BACKGROUND: Research on age and ageing is starting to consider challenges related to climate change; however, most work focuses on reaction needs rather than action possibilities of older people.<br><br>MATERIAL AND METHODS: Based on a&#xa0;scoping review of 39&#xa0;papers from the scientific literature the construction of age(ing) in the context of climate change and sustainability were analyzed and constrictions were revealed. Following these considerations, a&#xa0;model of "sustainable age(ing) in times of climate change" is proposed, which enables successful, active and sustainable ageing to be reconciled.<br><br>RESULTS: The scoping review shows that older people are often considered as a&#xa0;homogeneous, vulnerable group and more or less helpless in the face of climate change. In the context of sustainability, they are attributed the role of a&#xa0;central cause or as part of the solution for environmental crises. The focus is broadened and contradictions and ambivalences are reconciled in this model of sustainable age(ing).<br><br>DISCUSSION: Climate change can only be dealt with together. Research on age and ageing can support this on the basis of the model of sustainable age(ing) by providing important contributions to handling climate change and (re)actions regarding environmental crises.},
}
@article {pmid38663512,
year = {2024},
author = {Rony, F and Cortellini, M and Guasconi, A and Mathews, KS and Piccinno, A and Poli, G and Vanhoutte, F and Klein, J},
title = {Evaluating the pharmacokinetics of beclometasone dipropionate/formoterol fumarate/glycopyrronium bromide delivered via pressurised metered-dose inhaler using a low global warming potential propellant.},
journal = {Pulmonary pharmacology &amp; therapeutics},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {102299},
doi = {10.1016/j.pupt.2024.102299},
pmid = {38663512},
issn = {1522-9629},
abstract = {INTRODUCTION: Use of propellants with high global warming potential (such as HFA-134a) for pressurised metered-dose inhalers (pMDIs) is being phased down. Switching to dry-powder inhalers may not be clinically feasible for all patients; an alternative is reformulation using propellants with low global warming potential. The combination of beclometasone dipropionate/formoterol fumarate/glycopyrronium bromide (BDP/FF/GB) is available for asthma or chronic obstructive pulmonary disease via pMDI using HFA-134a as propellant. This is being reformulated using the low global warming potential propellant HFA-152a. This manuscript reports three studies comparing BDP/FF/GB pharmacokinetics delivered via pMDI using HFA-152a vs HFA-134a.<br><br>METHODS: The studies were four-way crossover, single-dose, randomised, double-blind, in healthy volunteers. In Studies 1 and 2, subjects inhaled four puffs of BDP/FF/GB (Study 1: 100/6/12.5 &#x3bc;g [medium-strength BDP]; Study 2: 200/6/12.5 &#x3bc;g [high-strength]), ingesting activated charcoal in two of the periods (once per propellant). In Study 3, subjects inhaled medium- and high-strength BDP/FF/GB using a spacer. All three studies compared HFA-152a vs HFA-134a in terms of lung availability and total systemic exposure of beclometasone-17-monopropionate (B17MP; active metabolite of BDP), BDP, formoterol and GB. Bioequivalence was concluded if the 90% confidence intervals (CIs) of the ratios between formulations of the geometric mean maximum plasma concentration (Cmax) and area under the plasma concentration-time curve between time zero and the last quantifiable timepoint (AUC0-t) for the analytes were between 80-125%.<br><br>RESULTS: In Studies 1 and 2, systemic exposure bioequivalence (i.e., comparisons without charcoal block) was demonstrated, except for GB Cmax in Study 2 (upper 90% CI 125.11%). For lung availability (i.e., comparisons with charcoal block), B17MP and formoterol demonstrated bioequivalence in both studies, as did BDP in Study 2; in Study 1, BDP upper CIs were 126.96% for Cmax and 127.34% for AUC0-t). In Study 1, GB AUC0-t lower CI was 74.54%; in Study 2 upper limits were 135.64% for Cmax and 129.12% for AUC0-t. In Study 3, the bioequivalence criteria were met for BDP, B17MP and formoterol with both BDP/FF/GB strengths, and were met for GB AUC0-t, although not for Cmax. Both formulations were similarly well tolerated in all three studies.<br><br>CONCLUSIONS: Overall, while formal bioequivalence cannot be concluded for all analytes, these data suggest therapeutic equivalence of the new formulation with the existing BDP/FF/GB pMDI formulation, therefore supporting reformulation using a propellant with low global warming potential.},
}
@article {pmid38665191,
year = {2023},
author = {Swain, DL and Abatzoglou, JT and Kolden, C and Shive, K and Kalashnikov, DA and Singh, D and Smith, E},
title = {Climate change is narrowing and shifting prescribed fire windows in western United States.},
journal = {Communications earth &amp; environment},
volume = {4},
number = {1},
pages = {340},
doi = {10.1038/s43247-023-00993-1},
pmid = {38665191},
issn = {2662-4435},
abstract = {Escalating wildfire activity in the western United States has accelerated adverse societal impacts. Observed increases in wildfire severity and impacts to communities have diverse anthropogenic causes-including the legacy of fire suppression policies, increased development in high-risk zones, and aridification by a warming climate. However, the intentional use of fire as a vegetation management tool, known as "prescribed fire," can reduce the risk of destructive fires and restore ecosystem resilience. Prescribed fire implementation is subject to multiple constraints, including the number of days characterized by weather and vegetation conditions conducive to achieving desired outcomes. Here, we quantify observed and projected trends in the frequency and seasonality of western United States prescribed fire days. We find that while ~2 C of global warming by 2060 will reduce such days overall (-17%), particularly during spring (-25%) and summer (-31%), winter (+4%) may increasingly emerge as a comparatively favorable window for prescribed fire especially in northern states.},
}
@article {pmid38662494,
year = {2024},
author = {},
title = {Climate change and its impact on asthma.},
journal = {The Nurse practitioner},
volume = {49},
number = {5},
pages = {32-33},
doi = {10.1097/01.NPR.0000000000000181},
pmid = {38662494},
issn = {1538-8662},
mesh = {Humans ; *Asthma/epidemiology ; *Climate Change ; Nurse Practitioners ; },
}
@article {pmid38662493,
year = {2024},
author = {Arceneaux, LS and Gregory, KL},
title = {Climate change and its impact on asthma.},
journal = {The Nurse practitioner},
volume = {49},
number = {5},
pages = {25-32},
doi = {10.1097/01.NPR.0000000000000174},
pmid = {38662493},
issn = {1538-8662},
mesh = {Humans ; *Asthma/epidemiology ; *Climate Change ; },
abstract = {Earth's climate is changing at an unprecedented pace, primarily due to anthropogenic causes including greenhouse gas emissions. Evidence shows a strong link between climate change and its effects on asthma. Healthcare professionals must be educated to advocate for and lead effective strategies to reduce the health risks of climate change.},
}
@article {pmid38662294,
year = {2024},
author = {Zhang, Y and Lim, HS and Hu, C and Zhang, R},
title = {Spatiotemporal dynamics of forest fires in the context of climate change: a review.},
journal = {Environmental science and pollution research international},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
pmid = {38662294},
issn = {1614-7499},
abstract = {Forest fires are sudden, destructive, hazardous, and challenging to manage and rescue, earning them a place on UNESCO's list of the world's eight major natural disasters. Currently, amid global warming, all countries worldwide have entered a period of high forest fire incidence. Due to global warming, the frequency of forest fires has accelerated, the likelihood of large fires has increased, and the spatial and temporal dynamics of forest fires have shown different trends. Therefore, the impact of climate change on the spatiotemporal dynamics of forest fires has become a hot issue in the field of forest fire research in recent years. Therefore, it is of great significance and necessity to conduct a review of the research in this area. This review delves into the interactions and impacts between climate change and the spatiotemporal dynamics of forest fires. To address this issue, scholars have mainly adopted the following research methods: first, statistical analysis methods, second, the establishment of spatiotemporal prediction models for meteorology and forest fires, and third, the coupling of climate models with forest fire risk forecasting models. The statistical analysis method relies on the analysis of historical meteorological and fire-related data to study the effects of climate change and meteorological factors on fire occurrence. Meanwhile, forest fire prediction models utilize technical tools such as remote sensing. These models synthesize historical meteorological and fire-related data, incorporating key meteorological factors such as temperature, rainfall, relative humidity, and wind. The models revealed the spatial and temporal distribution patterns of fires, identified key drivers, and explored the interactions between climate change and forest fire dynamics, culminating in the construction of predictive models. With the deepening of the study, the coupling of climate models and fire risk ranking systems became a trend in the prediction of forest fire risk trends. Moreover, as the climate warms, the increased frequency of extreme weather events like heatwaves, droughts, snow and ice storms, and El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) has accelerated forest fire occurrences and raised the risk of major fires. This review offers valuable technical insights by comprehensively analyzing the spatial and temporal characteristics of forest fires, elucidating key meteorological drivers, and exploring potential mechanisms. These insights serve as a scientific foundation for preventive measures and effective forest fire management. In the face of a changing climate, this synthesis contributes to the development of informed strategies to mitigate the escalating threat of forest fires.},
}
@article {pmid38662125,
year = {2024},
author = {Niknam, A and Sarli, R and Taherizadeh, M and Attarroshan, S and Pourmansouri, F},
title = {REDD implementation for greenhouse gas reduction and climate change mitigation in Hyrcanian forests: a case study of the Kojoor Watershed, Northern Iran.},
journal = {Environmental monitoring and assessment},
volume = {196},
number = {5},
pages = {474},
pmid = {38662125},
issn = {1573-2959},
mesh = {*Climate Change ; *Forests ; *Greenhouse Gases/analysis ; Iran ; *Conservation of Natural Resources/methods ; *Environmental Monitoring/methods ; },
abstract = {Reducing emissions from deforestation and forest degradation (REDD) is a specific strategy for combating deforestation and forest degradation to alleviate the effects of climate change. In this study, the potential greenhouse gas (GHG) emission reduction resulting from the implementation of a REDD project is estimated. Changes in forest cover throughout the years 1985, 1990, 1995, 2000, 2010, 2015, and 2020 were analyzed using time-series Landsat imagery (TM, ETM + , and OLI) and a random forest algorithm. Multilayer perceptron neural networks were used to model the transition potential of the forest cover, which were then predicted via Markov chain analysis. The change detection analysis revealed two discernible patterns in forest cover dynamics. Between 1985 and 2000, a notable decrease in forest cover was seen, whereas from 2000 to 2020, it significantly increased. The results suggested that the absence of REDD implementation would result in the deforestation of approximately 199,569 hectares of forest cover between 2020 and 2050, leading to the release of 1,995,695 tCO2e of emissions into the atmosphere. However, with the implementation of REDD, these emissions would be reduced to 405,512 tCO2e, effectively preventing the release of 1,590,183 tCO2e of emissions into the upper atmosphere. This study demonstrates that the implementation of REDD projects can be an effective strategy for reducing GHG emissions and mitigating climate change in the Hyrcanian forests.},
}
@article {pmid38661276,
year = {2024},
author = {Chung, SJ and Lee, H and Jang, SJ},
title = {Factors affecting environmental sustainability attitudes among nurses - Focusing on climate change cognition and behaviours: A cross-sectional study.},
journal = {Journal of advanced nursing},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1111/jan.16205},
pmid = {38661276},
issn = {1365-2648},
abstract = {AIMS: To investigate the relationship between climate change cognition and behaviours (awareness, concern, motivation, behaviours at home and behaviours at work), positive and negative future cognition, and environmental sustainability attitudes in nurses and to identify the factors affecting environmental sustainability attitudes.<br><br>DESIGN: A cross-sectional study.<br><br>METHODS: In total, 358 nurses currently working in tertiary hospitals in Korea were recruited. Data were collected using an online questionnaire link from 1 August to 7 August 2022. Climate change cognition and behaviours were measured using the Korean version of the Climate, Health, and Nursing Tool. Positive and negative future cognition were measured using the Korean version of the Future Event Questionnaire. Environmental sustainability attitude was measured using the Korean version of the Sustainability Attitudes in Nursing Survey-2. Multiple regression analysis was used to identify the factors affecting environmental sustainability attitudes.<br><br>RESULTS: Motivation, concern and behaviours at work were factors affecting environmental sustainability attitudes. Motivation was a pivotal influencing factor. Better scores for environmental sustainability attitudes were specifically correlated with higher scores for motivation, concern and behaviours at work.<br><br>CONCLUSIONS: Nurses' motivation, climate change concern and pro-environmental workplace practices should all be considered to improve their attitudes towards environmental sustainability.<br><br>To enhance nurses' environmental sustainability attitudes and behaviours, nurse educators must educate them to increase their motivation for climate action.<br><br>IMPACT: Nurses are increasingly expected to contribute to environmental sustainability. Hence, awareness of climate change and environmental sustainability among nurses must be improved, and nursing engagement and action encouraged. Nurse educators and managers should explore barriers to pro-environmental behaviour engagement among nurses, examine workplace cultures that encourage pro-environmental behaviours and develop policies/regulations to develop more environmentally sustainable workplaces.<br><br>REPORTING METHOD: We adhered to the Strengthening the Reporting of Observational Studies in Epidemiology (STROBE) guidelines.<br><br>Neither patients nor the public were involved in our research's design, conduct, reporting or dissemination plans. The nurses partook in this study exclusively as research participants and were not involved in any research process.},
}
@article {pmid38660736,
year = {2024},
author = {Humphrey, K},
title = {Increasing impact, urgent advocacy: Addressing climate change and its impact on emergency departments.},
journal = {Emergency medicine Australasia : EMA},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1111/1742-6723.14425},
pmid = {38660736},
issn = {1742-6723},
}
@article {pmid38660578,
year = {2024},
author = {Ritu, MR and Sikder, D and Patwary, MM and Tamim, AR and Rodriguez-Morales, AJ},
title = {Climate change, urbanization and resurgence of dengue in Bangladesh.},
journal = {New microbes and new infections},
volume = {59},
number = {},
pages = {101414},
pmid = {38660578},
issn = {2052-2975},
}
@article {pmid38660546,
year = {2024},
author = {Corrente, A and Pace, MC and Fiore, M},
title = {Climate change and human health: Last call to arms for us.},
journal = {World journal of clinical cases},
volume = {12},
number = {11},
pages = {1870-1874},
pmid = {38660546},
issn = {2307-8960},
abstract = {Climate change, now the foremost global health hazard, poses multifaceted challenges to human health. This editorial elucidates the extensive impact of climate change on health, emphasising the increasing burden of diseases and the exacerbation of health disparities. It highlights the critical role of the healthcare sector, particularly anaesthesia, in both contributing to and mitigating climate change. It is a call to action for the medical community to recognise and respond to the health challenges posed by climate change.},
}
@article {pmid38660451,
year = {2024},
author = {Shanker, AK and Sathee, L and Jain, V and Raghuram, N},
title = {Editorial: Plant nutrient use efficiency in the era of climate change.},
journal = {Frontiers in plant science},
volume = {15},
number = {},
pages = {1402868},
doi = {10.3389/fpls.2024.1402868},
pmid = {38660451},
issn = {1664-462X},
}
@article {pmid38657406,
year = {2024},
author = {Zhang, X and Fleskens, L and Huang, Y and Huang, Y},
title = {Cost, market, and policy constraints on mitigating climate change through afforestation in China.},
journal = {Environment international},
volume = {187},
number = {},
pages = {108652},
doi = {10.1016/j.envint.2024.108652},
pmid = {38657406},
issn = {1873-6750},
abstract = {Afforestation is a promising nature-based climate solution for mitigating climate change, but it is subject to a complex web of biophysical, cost-benefit, market, and policy processes. Although its biophysical feasibility has been established, the cost, market, and policy constraints that affect climate change mitigation through afforestation are still unclear. Here, we estimate such cost, market, and policy constraints on the basis of biophysical feasibility. Our findings reveal that implementation costs are a more relevant constraint than opportunity costs on mitigating climate change through afforestation. The China Certified Emission Reduction market currently provides only a 0.308 % incentive for climate change mitigation through afforestation, due to market access constraints. The current market prices of China Certified Emission Reduction, China Carbon Emissions Trading Exchange, and Nature Based Carbon Offset in Voluntary Carbon Market constrain 88.15 %, 87.95 %, and 85.75 % of CO2 removal actions through afforestation, compared to the carbon price scenario (US$62.97 tCO2[-1]) of the EU Emissions Trading System. Moreover, land policy under the scenarios of prohibiting conversion of cultivated land to forest and forest restoration in degraded areas exhibit 8.87-29.59 % and 65.16-74.10 % constraints, respectively, on mitigating climate change through afforestation compared to land-use freedom conversion scenarios from 2020 to 2060. Thus, enhancing the incentive price of CO2 removal, addressing the market access barrier, strengthening cooperation between global carbon markets, and exploring carbon-neutral and food multi-oriented land policies can be valuable sources of mitigation efforts over the next 40 years.},
}
@article {pmid38657059,
year = {2024},
author = {Hisano, M and Ghazoul, J and Chen, X and Chen, HYH},
title = {Functional diversity enhances dryland forest productivity under long-term climate change.},
journal = {Science advances},
volume = {10},
number = {17},
pages = {eadn4152},
doi = {10.1126/sciadv.adn4152},
pmid = {38657059},
issn = {2375-2548},
mesh = {*Climate Change ; *Forests ; *Biodiversity ; *Trees ; Canada ; Ecosystem ; Temperature ; },
abstract = {Short-term experimental studies provided evidence that plant diversity increases ecosystem resilience and resistance to drought events, suggesting diversity to serve as a nature-based solution to address climate change. However, it remains unclear whether the effects of diversity are momentary or still hold over the long term in natural forests to ensure that the sustainability of carbon sinks. By analyzing 57 years of inventory data from dryland forests in Canada, we show that productivity of dryland forests decreased at an average rate of 1.3% per decade, in concert with the temporally increasing temperature and decreasing water availability. Increasing functional trait diversity from its minimum (monocultures) to maximum value increased productivity by 13%. Our results demonstrate the potential role of tree functional trait diversity in alleviating climate change impacts on dryland forests. While recognizing that nature-based climate mitigation (e.g., planting trees) can only be partial solutions, their long-term (decadal) efficacy can be improved by enhancing functional trait diversity across the forest community.},
}
@article {pmid38656926,
year = {2024},
author = {Figueiredo, T and Midão, L and Rocha, P and Cruz, S and Lameira, G and Conceição, P and Ramos, RJG and Batista, L and Corvacho, H and Almada, M and Martins, A and Rocha, C and Ribeiro, A and Alves, F and Costa, E},
title = {The interplay between climate change and ageing: A systematic review of health indicators.},
journal = {PloS one},
volume = {19},
number = {4},
pages = {e0297116},
doi = {10.1371/journal.pone.0297116},
pmid = {38656926},
issn = {1932-6203},
mesh = {Humans ; *Climate Change ; *Aging/physiology ; Aged ; Aged, 80 and over ; Male ; Female ; Health Status Indicators ; },
abstract = {Climate change and rapid population ageing pose challenges for communities and public policies. This systematic review aims to gather data from studies that present health indicators establishing the connection between climate change and the physical and mental health of the older population (≥ 65 years), who experience a heightened vulnerability to the impacts of climate change when compared to other age cohorts. This review was conducted according to the PICO strategy and following Cochrane and PRISMA guidelines. Three databases (PubMed, Scopus and Greenfile) were searched for articles from 2015 to 2022. After applying inclusion and exclusion criteria,nineteen studies were included. The findings indicated that various climate change phenomena are associated with an elevated risk of mortality and morbidity outcomes in older adults. These included cardiovascular, respiratory, renal, and mental diseases, along with physical injuries. Notably, the impact of climate change was influenced by gender, socioeconomic status, education level, and age-vulnerability factors. Climate change directly affected the health of older adults through ambient temperature variability, extreme and abnormal temperatures, strong winds, sea temperature variability, extreme El Niño-southern Oscillation (ENSO) conditions and droughts, and indirectly by air pollution resulting from wildfires. This review presents further evidence confirming that climate change significantly impacts the health and well-being of older adults. It highlights the urgency for implementing effective strategies to facilitate adaptation and mitigation, enhancing the overall quality of life for all individuals.},
}
@article {pmid38655669,
year = {2024},
author = {O'Donnell, M and Palinkas, L},
title = {Taking a trauma and adversity perspective to climate change mental health.},
journal = {European journal of psychotraumatology},
volume = {15},
number = {1},
pages = {2343509},
doi = {10.1080/20008066.2024.2343509},
pmid = {38655669},
issn = {2000-8066},
mesh = {Humans ; *Climate Change ; *Mental Health ; Stress Disorders, Post-Traumatic/psychology ; Resilience, Psychological ; },
abstract = {The European Journal of Psychotraumatology has had a long interest in advancing the science around climate change and traumatic stress. In this special issue, we include papers that responded to a special call in this area. Six major themes emerge from these papers and together they contribute to trauma and adversity model of the mental health impacts of climate change. We argue that, in addition to individual vulnerability factors, we must consider the (i) cumulative trauma burden that is associated with exposure to ongoing climate change-related impacts; (ii) impact of both direct and indirect stressors; (iii) individual and community protective factors. These factors can then guide intervention models of recovery and ongoing resilience.},
}
@article {pmid38655367,
year = {2024},
author = {Waheed, A and Jamal, MH and Javed, MF and Idlan Muhammad, K},
title = {A CMIP6 multi-model based analysis of potential climate change effects on watershed runoff using SWAT model: A case study of kunhar river basin, Pakistan.},
journal = {Heliyon},
volume = {10},
number = {8},
pages = {e28951},
doi = {10.1016/j.heliyon.2024.e28951},
pmid = {38655367},
issn = {2405-8440},
abstract = {The hydrological regimes of watersheds might be drastically altered by climate change, a majority of Pakistan's watersheds are experiencing problems with water quality and quantity as a result precipitation changes and temperature, necessitating evaluation and alterations to management strategies. In this study, the regional water security in northern Pakistan is examined about anthropogenic climate change on runoff in the Kunhar River Basin (KRB), a typical river in northern Pakistan using Soil and Water Assessment tool (SWAT) and flow durarion curve (FDC). Nine general circulation models (GCMs) were successfully utilized following bias correction under two latest IPCC shared socioeconomic pathways (SSPs) emission scenarios. Correlation coefficients (R[2]), Nash-Sutcliffe efficiency coefficients (NSE), and the Percent Bias (PBIAS) are all above 0.75. The conclusions demonstrate that the SWAT model precisely simulates the runoff process in the KRB on monthly and daily timescales. For the two emission scenarios of SSP2-4.5 and SSP5-8.5, the mean annual precipitation is predicted to rise by 3.08 % and 5.86 %, respectively, compared to the 1980-2015 baseline. The forecasted rise in mean daily high temperatures is expected to range from 2.08 °C to 3.07 °C, while the anticipated increase in mean daily low temperatures is projected to fall within the range of 2.09 °C-3.39 °C, spanning the years 2020-2099. Under the two SSPs scenarios, annual runoff is estimated to increase by 5.47 % and 7.60 % due to climate change during the same period. Future socioeconomic growth will be supported by a sufficient water supply made possible by the rise in runoff. However, because of climate change, there is a greater possibility of flooding because of increases in both rainfall and runoff. As a result, flood control and development plans for KRB must consider the climate change's possible effects. There is a chance that the peak flow will move backwards relative to the baseline.},
}
@article {pmid38655309,
year = {2024},
author = {Alemu, GT and Desta, SA and Tareke, KA},
title = {Characterize and analysis of meteorological and hydrological drought trends under future climate change conditions in South Wollo, North Wollo, and Oromia Zones, in Ethiopia.},
journal = {Heliyon},
volume = {10},
number = {8},
pages = {e29694},
pmid = {38655309},
issn = {2405-8440},
abstract = {This research was conducted on North Wollo, South Wollo, and Oromia special zones, in Ethiopia. The study aimed to analyze the temporal and spatial variability of meteorological and hydrological drought trends using the selected drought indices and to predict its future trend in the selected areas. To achieve these objectives, meteorological and hydrological data were collected from the Ethiopian Meteorology Institute and the Ministry of Water and Energy respectively. The historical and future drought condition was analyzed by using the standardized precipitation index (SPI), reconnaissance drought index (RDI), and streamflow drought index (SDI) from the drought indicator calculator (DrinC) software. Based on the availability of the data, for historical drought analysis, ten meteorological stations with thirty-two years of daily data were selected. For the future scenario, RCP 4.5 was used to downscale the future climate data and to forecast SPI and RDI values. Also, an artificial neural network (ANN) was applied to forecast the future streamflow data using Python software, then the future hydrological drought was determined using the forecasted streamflow data. The result indicates that all zones were historically affected by severe to extreme droughts, especially 1984, 1986, 1987, 1989, 1991, 1992, 2003, 2007, 2010, 2013, and 2014 years. From 1984 to 1992 the probability of severe to extreme drought occurrence was on average of two years intervals and from 1992 to 2003 there is a huge gap. From the future drought analysis results, the probability of severe to extreme drought occurrence will be at five-year intervals on average. Based on the analyzed results, the frequency of severe to extreme drought occurrence of historical drought which was two and three years was increased to five years for the future conditions on average. But, these are short intervals and the magnitude of the event is very high. So, the regional water and energy office and other concerned bodies in the area have to plan a good drought mitigation mechanism and should develop a drought early warning system for the communities in and around the study area.},
}
@article {pmid38654902,
year = {2024},
author = {Guevara, MG and Mazorra-Manzano, MA and Gayen, D and Figueiredo, A},
title = {Editorial: Plant proteolytic enzymes: contributions and challenges to improve food availability against climate change effects.},
journal = {Frontiers in plant science},
volume = {15},
number = {},
pages = {1398867},
pmid = {38654902},
issn = {1664-462X},
}
@article {pmid38654077,
year = {2024},
author = {Blattner, CE},
title = {European ruling linking climate change to human rights could be a game changer - here's how.},
journal = {Nature},
volume = {628},
number = {8009},
pages = {691},
doi = {10.1038/d41586-024-01177-3},
pmid = {38654077},
issn = {1476-4687},
mesh = {*Human Rights/legislation &amp; jurisprudence ; *Climate Change ; Humans ; *European Union ; Europe ; Environmental Policy/legislation &amp; jurisprudence ; },
}
@article {pmid38653832,
year = {2024},
author = {Gibney, E and Petrić Howe, N},
title = {How climate change is affecting global timekeeping.},
journal = {Nature},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1038/d41586-024-00952-6},
pmid = {38653832},
issn = {1476-4687},
}
@article {pmid38653405,
year = {2024},
author = {Zhang, L and Deng, C and Kang, R and Yin, H and Xu, T and Kaufmann, HJ},
title = {Assessing the responses of ecosystem patterns, structures and functions to drought under climate change in the Yellow River Basin, China.},
journal = {The Science of the total environment},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {172603},
doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.172603},
pmid = {38653405},
issn = {1879-1026},
abstract = {Understanding how ecosystems respond and adapt to drought has become an urgent issue as drought stress intensifies under climate change, yet this topic is not fully understood. Currently, conclusions on the response of ecosystems in different regions to drought disturbance are inconsistent. Based on long MODIS data and observed data, this study systematically explored the relationships between ecosystem patterns, structures and functions and drought, taking a typical climate change-sensitive area and an ecologically fragile area-the Yellow River Basin-as a case study. Drought assessment results revealed that the Yellow River Basin has experienced meteorological and hydrological drought during most of the last two decades, predominantly characterized by medium and slight droughts. The ecosystem patterns and structures changed dramatically as the grassland decreased and the landscape fragmentation index (F) increased with increasing wetness. The annual gross primary productivity (GPP) increased, the water use efficiency (WUE) declined and ecosystem service value (ESV) exhibited a W-shaped increase at the watershed scale, but there were significant regional differences. There were positive correlations between F, GPP, ESV and drought indices, while there was a negative correlation between WUE and drought indices at the watershed scale. Under drought stress, the ecosystem structure in the basin was disrupted, the GPP and ESV decreased, but the WUE increased. Notably, approximately 106 %, 20 %, and 1 % of the maximum reductions in F, GPP, and ESV, respectively, were caused by drought, while the maximum 4 % of WUE increased. Responses of some functions in the wetland and grassland to drought vary from those in other ecosystems. The mechanisms underlying ecosystem responses to drought were further investigated. This study enhances the understanding of these responses and will help stakeholders formulate drought mitigation policies and protect ecosystem health.},
}
@article {pmid38652853,
year = {2024},
author = {Müller, F and Munagala, A and Bouthillier, MJ and Skok, JI and Holman, H},
title = {Climate Change Curricula in Family Medicine Residency Programs: Program Directors' Perspectives From a CERA Survey.},
journal = {Family medicine},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.22454/FamMed.2024.548752},
pmid = {38652853},
issn = {1938-3800},
abstract = {BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES: Climate change is a major threat to the health of people worldwide. The health care system deals with the immediate health-related effects of climate change and, at the same time, is a major emitter of greenhouse gas. This study aimed to investigate (a) the awareness and perception of climate change among family medicine residency program directors, and (b) the state of climate change education in family medicine residency programs.<br><br>METHODS: The Council of Academic Family Medicine Educational Research Alliance (CERA) conducted a cross-sectional survey of family medicine program directors in the United States in April 2023. We analyzed anonymous data using descriptive and bivariate statistics.<br><br>RESULTS: We analyzed responses from 284 family medicine residency program directors (response rate 41.1%). Of these, 56.8% indicated not having any lectures/seminars dedicated to climate change and no plans to introduce such curricula, with considerably higher rates in East South Central United States (92.8%). A majority considered principles of climate change, carbon emissions emitted by the health care system, and discussion of climate change with patients of lesser importance for residency program education.<br><br>CONCLUSIONS: While climate change is an emerging topic affecting health and the provision of health care worldwide, our study suggests that many family medicine residency programs do not teach about it. Family medicine trainees may not always receive sufficient education about the risks posed to their patients by climate change, which could lead to them having limited knowledge and skills when discussing this topic with their patients in the future.},
}
@article {pmid38652188,
year = {2024},
author = {Yadav, NK and Patel, AB and Singh, SK and Mehta, NK and Anand, V and Lal, J and Dekari, D and Devi, NC},
title = {Climate change effects on aquaculture production and its sustainable management through climate-resilient adaptation strategies: a review.},
journal = {Environmental science and pollution research international},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
pmid = {38652188},
issn = {1614-7499},
abstract = {Aquaculture witnessed a remarkable growth as one of the fastest-expanding sector in the food production industry; however, it faces serious threat from the unavoidable impacts of climate change. Understanding this threat, the present review explores the consequences of climate change on aquaculture production and provides need based strategies for its sustainable management, with a particular emphasis on climate-resilient approaches. The study examines the multi-dimensional impacts of climate change on aquaculture which includes the shifts in water temperature, sea-level rise, ocean acidification, harmful algal blooms, extreme weather events, and alterations in ecological dynamics. The review subsequently investigates innovative scientific interventions and climate-resilient aquaculture strategies aimed at strengthening the adaptive capacity of aquaculture practices. Some widely established solutions include selective breeding, species diversification, incorporation of ecosystem-based management practices, and the implementation of sustainable and advanced aquaculture systems (aquaponics and recirculating aquaculture systems (RAS). These strategies work towards fortifying aquaculture systems against climate-induced disturbances, thereby mitigating risks and ensuring sustained production. This review provides a detailed insight to the ongoing discourse on climate-resilient aquaculture, emphasizing an immediate need for prudent measures to secure the future sustainability of fish food production sector.},
}
@article {pmid38652161,
year = {2024},
author = {Parker, LE and Zhang, N and Abatzoglou, JT and Kisekka, I and McElrone, AJ and Ostoja, SM},
title = {A variety-specific analysis of climate change effects on California winegrapes.},
journal = {International journal of biometeorology},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
pmid = {38652161},
issn = {1432-1254},
support = {AM22SCBPCA1133//Agricultural Marketing Service/ ; 2021-68012-35914//National Institute of Food and Agriculture/ ; 2021-69012-35916//National Institute of Food and Agriculture/ ; 60-2032-2-001//USDA Office of the Chief Economist/ ; 2032-21220-008-000-D//Agricultural Research Service/ ; },
abstract = {California contains a broad geography over which climate conditions can be suitable for cultivating multiple varieties of winegrapes. However, climate change is projected to make winegrape cultivation more challenging across many of California's winegrowing regions. In order to understand the potential effects of climate change on winegrapes, this study models variety-specific phenology for six winegrape varieties and quantifies the change in phenology and viticulturally-important agroclimate metrics over 12 of California's American Viticultural Areas (AVAs) by the mid-21st century. Results show more rapid development for winegrapes with earlier budburst, flowering, veraison, and maturation across all varieties and AVAs. Cabernet Sauvignon shows the greatest change in phenology timing, while Chardonnay shows the least change. Likewise, the West Sonoma Coast AVA shows the greatest average change in phenology timing across varieties and development stages and Lodi AVA shows the least. Projected changes in agroclimatic metrics include an additional month of potentially damaging heat days (above 35 °C) in some AVAs, and decreases in frost days. These results have implications for numerous factors related to viticultural production, including water resources management and crop yield and quality, and underscore the need for California winegrape growers to improve their resilience to climate change by adopting strategies such as increasing soil health and water use efficiency and selecting cultivars suited for future climate conditions. By conducting climate effects analyses at the variety-specific and AVA scale, important information is provided to the winegrowing industry at a resolution that can support decision-making towards resilience.},
}
@article {pmid38651121,
year = {2024},
author = {Barouki, R},
title = {A toxicological perspective on climate change and the exposome.},
journal = {Frontiers in public health},
volume = {12},
number = {},
pages = {1361274},
pmid = {38651121},
issn = {2296-2565},
abstract = {Climate change is accompanied by changes in the exposome, including increased heat, ground-level ozone, and other air pollutants, infectious agents, pollens, and psychosocial stress. These exposures alter the internal component of the exposome and account for some of the health effects of climate change. The adverse outcome pathways describe biological events leading to an unfavorable health outcome. In this perspective study, I propose to use this toxicological framework to better describe the biological steps linking a stressor associated with climate change to an adverse outcome. Such a framework also allows for better identification of possible interactions between stressors related to climate change and others, such as chemical pollution. More generally, I call for the incorporation of climate change as part of the exposome and for improved identification of the biological pathways involved in its health effects.},
}
@article {pmid38650965,
year = {2024},
author = {Jeffery, NW and Vercaemer, B and Stanley, RRE and Kess, T and Dufresne, F and Noisette, F and O'Connor, MI and Wong, MC},
title = {Variation in genomic vulnerability to climate change across temperate populations of eelgrass (Zostera marina).},
journal = {Evolutionary applications},
volume = {17},
number = {4},
pages = {e13671},
pmid = {38650965},
issn = {1752-4571},
abstract = {A global decline in seagrass populations has led to renewed calls for their conservation as important providers of biogenic and foraging habitat, shoreline stabilization and carbon storage. Eelgrass (Zostera marina) occupies the largest geographic range among seagrass species spanning a commensurately broad spectrum of environmental conditions. In Canada, eelgrass is managed as a single phylogroup despite occurring across three oceans and a range of ocean temperatures and salinity gradients. Previous research has focused on applying relatively few markers to reveal population structure of eelgrass, whereas a whole-genome approach is warranted to investigate cryptic structure among populations inhabiting different ocean basins and localized environmental conditions. We used a pooled whole-genome re-sequencing approach to characterize population structure, gene flow and environmental associations of 23 eelgrass populations ranging from the Northeast United States to Atlantic, subarctic and Pacific Canada. We identified over 500,000 SNPs, which when mapped to a chromosome-level genome assembly revealed six broad clades of eelgrass across the study area, with pairwise F ST ranging from 0 among neighbouring populations to 0.54 between Pacific and Atlantic coasts. Genetic diversity was highest in the Pacific and lowest in the subarctic, consistent with colonization of the Arctic and Atlantic oceans from the Pacific less than 300 kya. Using redundancy analyses and two climate change projection scenarios, we found that subarctic populations are predicted to be potentially more vulnerable to climate change through genomic offset predictions. Conservation planning in Canada should thus ensure that representative populations from each identified clade are included within a national network so that latent genetic diversity is protected, and gene flow is maintained. Northern populations, in particular, may require additional mitigation measures given their potential susceptibility to a rapidly changing climate.},
}
@article {pmid38650358,
year = {2024},
author = {Kalmar, A and Teunkens, A and Rex, S},
title = {The science of climate change and the effect of anaesthetic gas emissions. Useful metrics for ethical decision making.},
journal = {Anaesthesia},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1111/anae.16299},
pmid = {38650358},
issn = {1365-2044},
}
@article {pmid38650059,
year = {2024},
author = {Zain, A and Sadarangani, SP and Shek, LP and Vasoo, S},
title = {Climate change and its impact on infectious diseases in Asia.},
journal = {Singapore medical journal},
volume = {65},
number = {4},
pages = {211-219},
pmid = {38650059},
issn = {2737-5935},
abstract = {Climate change, particularly increasing temperature, changes in rainfall, extreme weather events and changes in vector ecology, impacts the transmission of many climate-sensitive infectious diseases. Asia is the world's most populous, rapidly evolving and diverse continent, and it is already experiencing the effects of climate change. Climate change intersects with population, sociodemographic and geographical factors, amplifying the public health impact of infectious diseases and potentially widening existing disparities. In this narrative review, we outline the evidence of the impact of climate change on infectious diseases of importance in Asia, including vector-borne diseases, food- and water-borne diseases, antimicrobial resistance and other infectious diseases. We also highlight the imperative need for strategic intersectoral collaboration at the national and global levels and for the health sector to implement adaptation and mitigation measures, including responsibility for its own greenhouse gas emissions.},
}
@article {pmid38650058,
year = {2024},
author = {Tee, NCH and Yeo, JA and Choolani, M and Poh, KK and Ang, TL},
title = {Healthcare in the era of climate change and the need for environmental sustainability.},
journal = {Singapore medical journal},
volume = {65},
number = {4},
pages = {204-210},
pmid = {38650058},
issn = {2737-5935},
abstract = {Climate change is an existential threat to humanity. While the healthcare sector must manage the health-related consequences of climate change, it is a significant contributor to greenhouse gas emissions, responsible for up to 4.6% of global emission, aggravating global warming. Within the hospital environment, the three largest contributors to greenhouse gas emissions are the operating theatre, intensive care unit and gastrointestinal endoscopy. Knowledge of the health-related burden of climate change and the potential transformative health benefits of climate action is important to all health professionals, as they play crucial roles in effecting change. This article summarises the available literature on the impact of healthcare on climate change and efforts in mitigation, focusing on the intrinsic differences and similarities across the operating theatre complex, intensive care unit and gastrointestinal endoscopy unit. It also discusses strategies to reduce carbon footprint.},
}
@article {pmid38648197,
year = {2024},
author = {Konkel Neabore, L},
title = {Wake-up Call: Rapid Increase in Human Fungal Diseases under Climate Change.},
journal = {Environmental health perspectives},
volume = {132},
number = {4},
pages = {42001},
doi = {10.1289/EHP14722},
pmid = {38648197},
issn = {1552-9924},
abstract = {Rising temperatures and extreme weather are setting the stage for increases in fungal diseases. As new pathogenic fungi emerge and known threats spread and evolve, scientists and decision makers are responding.},
}
@article {pmid38648074,
year = {2024},
author = {Pugliese, M and Gilardi, G and Garibaldi, A and Gullino, ML},
title = {The impact of climate change on vegetable crop diseases and their management: the value of phytotron studies for the agricultural industry and associated stakeholders.},
journal = {Phytopathology},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1094/PHYTO-08-23-0284-KC},
pmid = {38648074},
issn = {0031-949X},
abstract = {Climate change is having a significant impact on global agriculture, and in particular on vegetable crops, which play a critical role in global nutrition. Recently, increasing research has concentrated on the impact of climate change on vegetable crop diseases, with several studies being conducted in phytotrons, which have been used to explore effects of increased temperatures and CO2 concentrations, to simulate future scenarios. This review focuses on the combined effects of temperature and carbon dioxide increases on foliar and soil-borne vegetable diseases, as evaluated under phytotron conditions. The influence of climate change on mycotoxin production and disease management strategies is also explored through case studies. The results offer valuable information that can be used to guide both seed and agrochemical industries, and to develop disease-resistant varieties and innovative control measures, including biocontrol agents, considering the diseases that are likely to become prevalent under future climatic scenarios. Recommendations on how to manage vegetable diseases under ongoing climate change are proposed to facilitate the adaptation and enhanced resilience of plants to the changing conditions. A proactive and comprehensive response to climate-induced challenges in vegetable farming is imperative to ensure food security and sustainability.},
}
@article {pmid38646634,
year = {2024},
author = {Ben Zineb, A and Lamine, M and Khallef, A and Hamdi, H and Ahmed, T and Al-Jabri, H and Alsafran, M and Mliki, A and Sayadi, S and Gargouri, M},
title = {Harnessing rhizospheric core microbiomes from arid regions for enhancing date palm resilience to climate change effects.},
journal = {Frontiers in microbiology},
volume = {15},
number = {},
pages = {1362722},
pmid = {38646634},
issn = {1664-302X},
abstract = {Date palm cultivation has thrived in the Gulf Cooperation Council region since ancient times, where it represents a vital sector in agricultural and socio-economic development. However, climate change conditions prevailing for decades in this area, next to rarefication of rain, hot temperatures, intense evapotranspiration, rise of sea level, salinization of groundwater, and intensification of cultivation, contributed to increase salinity in the soil as well as in irrigation water and to seriously threaten date palm cultivation sustainability. There are also growing concerns about soil erosion and its repercussions on date palm oases. While several reviews have reported on solutions to sustain date productivity, including genetic selection of suitable cultivars for the local harsh environmental conditions and the implementation of efficient management practices, no systematic review of the desertic plants' below-ground microbial communities and their potential contributions to date palm adaptation to climate change has been reported yet. Indeed, desert microorganisms are expected to address critical agricultural challenges and economic issues. Therefore, the primary objectives of the present critical review are to (1) analyze and synthesize current knowledge and scientific advances on desert plant-associated microorganisms, (2) review and summarize the impacts of their application on date palm, and (3) identify possible gaps and suggest relevant guidance for desert plant microbes' inoculation approach to sustain date palm cultivation within the Gulf Cooperation Council in general and in Qatar in particular.},
}
@article {pmid38646195,
year = {2024},
author = {Grünig, M and Rammer, W and Albrich, K and André, F and Augustynczik, ALD and Bohn, F and Bouwman, M and Bugmann, H and Collalti, A and Cristal, I and Dalmonech, D and De Caceres, M and De Coligny, F and Dobor, L and Dollinger, C and Forrester, DI and Garcia-Gonzalo, J and González, JR and Hiltner, U and Hlásny, T and Honkaniemi, J and Huber, N and Jonard, M and Maria Jönsson, A and Lagergren, F and Nieberg, M and Mina, M and Mohren, F and Moos, C and Morin, X and Muys, B and Peltoniemi, M and Reyer, CP and Storms, I and Thom, D and Toïgo, M and Seidl, R},
title = {A harmonized database of European forest simulations under climate change.},
journal = {Data in brief},
volume = {54},
number = {},
pages = {110384},
pmid = {38646195},
issn = {2352-3409},
abstract = {Process-based forest models combine biological, physical, and chemical process understanding to simulate forest dynamics as an emergent property of the system. As such, they are valuable tools to investigate the effects of climate change on forest ecosystems. Specifically, they allow testing of hypotheses regarding long-term ecosystem dynamics and provide means to assess the impacts of climate scenarios on future forest development. As a consequence, numerous local-scale simulation studies have been conducted over the past decades to assess the impacts of climate change on forests. These studies apply the best available models tailored to local conditions, parameterized and evaluated by local experts. However, this treasure trove of knowledge on climate change responses remains underexplored to date, as a consistent and harmonized dataset of local model simulations is missing. Here, our objectives were (i) to compile existing local simulations on forest development under climate change in Europe in a common database, (ii) to harmonize them to a common suite of output variables, and (iii) to provide a standardized vector of auxiliary environmental variables for each simulated location to aid subsequent investigations. Our dataset of European stand- and landscape-level forest simulations contains over 1.1 million simulation runs representing 135 million simulation years for more than 13,000 unique locations spread across Europe. The data were harmonized to consistently describe forest development in terms of stand structure (dominant height), composition (dominant species, admixed species), and functioning (leaf area index). Auxiliary variables provided include consistent daily climate information (temperature, precipitation, radiation, vapor pressure deficit) as well as information on local site conditions (soil depth, soil physical properties, soil water holding capacity, plant-available nitrogen). The present dataset facilitates analyses across models and locations, with the aim to better harness the valuable information contained in local simulations for large-scale policy support, and for fostering a deeper understanding of the effects of climate change on forest ecosystems in Europe.},
}
@article {pmid38645713,
year = {2024},
author = {Costin, A and Fisher, D and Harper, B and Nahhas, RW and Sullenbarger, J},
title = {Climate Change and Mental Health: An Interactive Educational Session.},
journal = {MedEdPORTAL : the journal of teaching and learning resources},
volume = {20},
number = {},
pages = {11418},
pmid = {38645713},
issn = {2374-8265},
mesh = {Humans ; *Climate Change ; *Mental Health ; *Curriculum ; Surveys and Questionnaires ; *Education, Medical, Undergraduate/methods ; *Students, Medical/psychology/statistics &amp; numerical data ; Psychiatry/education ; },
abstract = {INTRODUCTION: Climate change is the single biggest health threat facing humanity, with direct and indirect impacts on mental health, yet health impacts of climate change remain notably absent from most medical school curricula. We describe a timely interactive educational session on climate change and mental health that was implemented and studied on a medical student clinical psychiatry rotation.<br><br>METHODS: We developed a 1-hour introductory session on the mental health impacts of climate change and potential solutions. The session was delivered to third-year medical students on their 4-week clinical psychiatry rotation and included pre- and postsession survey questions assessing their knowledge, comfort, and readiness regarding the topic.<br><br>RESULTS: Seventy students participated in the session, with 49 students completing the pre- and postsession surveys, giving a response rate of 70%. The average score for the four Likert-scale questions on the survey increased from 2.7 presession to 3.9 postsession on a 5-point scale (1 = strongly disagree, 5 = strongly agree). All questions displayed statistically significant improvement. Qualitative analysis identified knowledge gained about the mental health impacts of climate change as the most important aspect of the session to students.<br><br>DISCUSSION: The introductory session effectively filled an urgent need in medical education curricula regarding climate change's effects on human health. Overall, distribution of and improvement upon this timely teaching content can serve a valuable role in medical student education as the effects of climate change, particularly on mental health, continue to progress throughout the century.},
}
@article {pmid38644897,
year = {2024},
author = {Herbillon, F and Piou, C and Meynard, CN},
title = {An increase in management actions has compensated for past climate change effects on desert locust gregarization in western Africa.},
journal = {Heliyon},
volume = {10},
number = {8},
pages = {e29231},
pmid = {38644897},
issn = {2405-8440},
abstract = {In response to high population density, the desert locust, Schistocerca gregaria, becomes gregarious and forms swarms that can cause significant damage to crops and pastures, threatening food security of human populations from western Africa to India. This switch from solitary to gregarious populations is highly dependent on favorable weather conditions. Climate change, which has been hypothesized to shift conditions towards increasing risks of gregarization, is therefore likely to have significant impacts on the spatial distribution and likelihood of outbreak events. However, the desert locust is intensely managed at large scales, which possibly counteracts any increased risk of outbreaks due to a more favorable climate. Consequently, understanding the changes in risks in the future involves teasing out the effects of climate change and management actions. Here we studied the dynamics of gregarization at the very early stages of potential outbreaks, in parallel with trends in climate and management, between 1985 and 2018 in western Africa. We used three different spatial scales, with the goal to have a better understanding of the potential effects of climate change per se while controlling for management. Our first approach was to look at a regional scale, where we observed an overall decrease in gregarization events. However, this scale includes very heterogeneous environments and management efforts. To consider this heterogeneity, we divided the area into a grid of 0.5° cells. For each cell, a climate analysis was performed for rainfall and temperature, with trends obtained by a harmonic decomposition model on monthly data. Analyses of gregarization showed only a few significant trends, both positive and negative, mainly found in western Mauritania where management effort has increased. To improve the statistical power, these cells were then grouped into larger homogeneous climatic clusters, i.e. groups of cells with similar climatic conditions and similar climatic trends over the study period. At this scale, gregarization events depend on the intersection between climate conditions and management efforts. The clusters where gregarization increased were also the ones with the highest increase of management. These results highlight the important effect of preventive management, which may counteract the positive effects of climate change on locust proliferation.},
}
@article {pmid38644583,
year = {2024},
author = {Sasaki, M and Kingsbury, KM and Booth, DJ and Nagelkerken, I},
title = {Body size mediates trophic interaction strength of novel fish assemblages under climate change.},
journal = {The Journal of animal ecology},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1111/1365-2656.14079},
pmid = {38644583},
issn = {1365-2656},
support = {Discovery Projects DP170101722//Australian Research Council/ ; },
abstract = {Ecological similarity plays an important role in biotic interactions. Increased body size similarity of competing species, for example, increases the strength of their biotic interactions. Body sizes of many exothermic species are forecast to be altered under global warming, mediating shifts in existing trophic interactions among species, in particular for species with different thermal niches. Temperate rocky reefs along the southeast coast of Australia are located in a climate warming hotspot and now house a mixture of temperate native fish species and poleward range-extending tropical fishes (vagrants), creating novel species assemblages. Here, we studied the relationship between body size similarity and trophic overlap between individual temperate native and tropical vagrant fishes. Dietary niche overlap between vagrant and native fish species increased as their body sizes converged, based on both stomach content composition (short-term diet), stable isotope analyses (integrated long-term diet) and similarity in consumed prey sizes. We conclude that the warming-induced faster growth rates of tropical range-extending fish species at their cool water ranges will continue to converge their body size towards and strengthen their degree of trophic interactions and dietary overlap with co-occurring native temperate species under increasing ocean warming. The strengthening of these novel competitive interactions is likely to drive changes to temperate food web structures and reshuffle existing species community structures.},
}
@article {pmid38644013,
year = {2024},
author = {Soana, E and Gervasio, MP and Granata, T and Colombo, D and Castaldelli, G},
title = {Climate change impacts on eutrophication in the Po River (Italy): Temperature-mediated reduction in nitrogen export but no effect on phosphorus.},
journal = {Journal of environmental sciences (China)},
volume = {143},
number = {},
pages = {148-163},
doi = {10.1016/j.jes.2023.07.008},
pmid = {38644013},
issn = {1001-0742},
abstract = {Rivers worldwide are under stress from eutrophication and nitrate pollution, but the ecological consequences overlap with climate change, and the resulting interactions may be unexpected and still unexplored. The Po River basin (northern Italy) is one of the most agriculturally productive and densely populated areas in Europe. It remains unclear whether the climate change impacts on the thermal and hydrological regimes are already affecting nutrient dynamics and transport to coastal areas. The present work addresses the long-term trends (1992-2020) of nitrogen and phosphorus export by investigating both the annual magnitude and the seasonal patterns and their relationship with water temperature and discharge trajectories. Despite the constant diffuse and point sources in the basin, a marked decrease (-20%) in nitrogen export, mostly as nitrate, was recorded in the last decade compared to the 1990s, while no significant downward trend was observed for phosphorus. The water temperature of the Po River has warmed, with the most pronounced signals in summer (+0.13°C/year) and autumn (+0.16°C/year), together with the strongest increase in the number of warm days (+70%-80%). An extended seasonal window of warm temperatures and the persistence of low flow periods are likely to create favorable conditions for permanent nitrate removal via denitrification, resulting in a lower delivery of reactive nitrogen to the sea. The present results show that climate change-driven warming may enhance nitrogen processing by increasing respiratory river metabolism, thereby reducing export from spring to early autumn, when the risk of eutrophication in coastal zones is higher.},
}
@article {pmid38643787,
year = {2024},
author = {Vasseur, L and Andrade, A},
title = {Using the Red List of Ecosystems and the Nature-based Solutions Global Standard as an integrated process for climate change adaptation in the Andean high mountains.},
journal = {Philosophical transactions of the Royal Society of London. Series B, Biological sciences},
volume = {379},
number = {1903},
pages = {20220326},
doi = {10.1098/rstb.2022.0326},
pmid = {38643787},
issn = {1471-2970},
abstract = {Under anthropogenic pressures and climate change, most ecosystems are showing signs of reduced resilience. Unfortunately, some are more at risk of collapse and, without interventions, they may lose biodiversity, ecological integrity and ecosystem services. Here, we describe two tools that were developed under the auspices of the International Union for Conservation of Nature, the Red List of Ecosystems and the Nature-based Solutions Global Standard, and their capacity to first identify the ecosystems at risk of collapse in a nation and then develop solutions based on nature to improve their resilience. Nature-based solutions include, for example ecosystem-based adaptation, where solutions are developed to meet the needs of the local people while protecting nature to ensure greater resilience of the social-ecological system, not only the natural ecosystem. We discuss through a case study in the Andean high mountains and páramo social-ecological system how these approaches have been used in Colombia. We then discuss lessons learned and challenges that may reduce the capacity of a community to initiate such interventions, such as national policies and funding restrictions. We also discuss through another early case in Ecuador the importance to adapt these types of interventions to the geographical and cultural context of the social-ecological systems. This article is part of the theme issue 'Bringing nature into decision-making'.},
}
@article {pmid38643656,
year = {2024},
author = {Tiitta, I and Cubelo, F and McDermott-Levy, R and Jaakkola, JJK and Kuosmanen, L},
title = {Climate change integration in nursing education: A scoping review.},
journal = {Nurse education today},
volume = {139},
number = {},
pages = {106210},
doi = {10.1016/j.nedt.2024.106210},
pmid = {38643656},
issn = {1532-2793},
abstract = {BACKGROUND: The environmental impacts of climate change such as extreme weather, affects human physical and mental health; therefore, including climate change and health is important in nursing education. Despite the recognition of the link between climate change and health, this important knowledge has not yet been systematically integrated into nursing curricula, highlighting the need for immediate action to prepare nurses for these emerging human health challenges.<br><br>OBJECTIVES: The objective of this review was to gain an overview of the existing literature exploring climate change in nursing curricula and answer following questions: DESIGN: Scoping review.<br><br>METHODS: A protocol was created and reported following the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses extension for Scoping Reviews Checklist (PRISMA-SrC). Five data bases were searched: CINAHL, Academic Search Premier, PubMed, Scopus and Cochraine, in addition to databases, grey literature was searched from different sources (reference lists, Google). A total of 1055 articles were derived from the search and 47 articles were included in this review. After selection results from selected studies on educational interventions and climate change education, and opinion pieces were charted, followed by a team review and consensus on the findings.<br><br>CONCLUSION: This review shows the importance of integrating the topic of climate change into nursing curricula. This integration of climate change-related content into nursing curricula is essential for preparing students, not just for their future roles in healthcare, but also their role in policy and climate justice. These results also reflect strong support from students for that integration. But while progress has been made, further research is essential to evaluate the impacts of these teaching strategies on nursing education.},
}
@article {pmid38643352,
year = {2024},
author = {Bokharaeian, M and Toghdory, A and Ghoorchi, T},
title = {Evaluating the dose-dependent effects of curcumin nano-micelles on rumen fermentation, nitrogen metabolism, and nutrient digestibility in heat-stressed fattening lambs: Implications for climate change and sustainable animal production.},
journal = {Journal of animal physiology and animal nutrition},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1111/jpn.13971},
pmid = {38643352},
issn = {1439-0396},
abstract = {Global warming threatens livestock production, especially in hot climates. This study evaluated the dose-dependent impacts of dietary curcumin nano-micelles (CNM) on rumen fermentation, nitrogen metabolism, and nutrient digestibility in heat-stressed fattening lambs. Thirty-two crossbred male lambs [ˆIle-de-France × (Dalagh × Romanov)] were utilized within the current study. The initial weight of lambs was documented as averaged by 31.2 ± 1.55 kg, while they were in their 4th to 5th months of age. Animals were fed increasing doses of dietary CNM (0, 20, 40, and 80 mg/day) over 97 days, under severe heat stress conditions with average temperature-humidity index (THI) of 24.5. Quadratic improvements (p < 0.01) occurred in weight gain, average daily gain (ADG), and feed conversion ratio (FCR) by 28.7%, 27.4%, and 23.9%, respectively, in the T40 group compared to the control. Additionally, T40 increased fiber digestion by 2.8% (p < 0.05). Furthermore, T40 quadratically improved parameters of rumen fermentation, including concentrations of NH3-N (p < 0.05), total volatile fatty acids (TVFA; p < 0.01), acetate (p < 0.05), and iso-valerate (p < 0.05), by 13.9%, 12.5%, 15.0%, and 43.5%, respectively, compared to the control. Quadratic increases were also observed in nitrogen balance (p < 0.05) and microbial protein synthesis (p < 0.01) by 19.8% and 37.6%, respectively, in the T40 group. Quadratic models estimated optimal CNM levels between 41.5 and 48.6 mg/day for multiple parameters. These findings indicate CNM at dose level of 40 mg/day could benefit heat-stressed lambs through enhanced rumen function and microbiota. Further research should refine ideal dosing for various species and production phases as higher levels adversely impacted fiber digestibility. Overall, CNM shows promise as a sustainable nutritional intervention for livestock production facing global warming.},
}
@article {pmid38643170,
year = {2024},
author = {Zhang, MZ and Han, Y and Xu, Z and Guo, W},
title = {Bias-corrected NESM3 global dataset for dynamical downscaling under 1.5 °C and 2 °C global warming scenarios.},
journal = {Scientific data},
volume = {11},
number = {1},
pages = {399},
pmid = {38643170},
issn = {2052-4463},
support = {42075152//National Natural Science Foundation of China (National Science Foundation of China)/ ; 41675105//National Natural Science Foundation of China (National Science Foundation of China)/ ; 42075170//National Natural Science Foundation of China (National Science Foundation of China)/ ; },
abstract = {Dynamical downscaling is vital for generating finer-scale climate projections. Recently, a set of simulations under four types of 1.5/2 °C global warming scenarios are available with Nanjing University of Information Science and Technology Earth System Model (NESM). However, NESM3's bias in large-scale driving variables would degrade downscaled simulations. We corrected NESM3 bias in terms of climate mean and inter-annual variance against ERA5 using a novel bias correction method and then produced a set of bias-corrected datasets for dynamical downscaling. The bias-corrected NESM3 spans the historical period for 1979-2014 and four future scenarios (i.e., 1.5 °C overshoot for 2070-2100, stabilized 1.5/2 °C for 2070-2100, and transient 2 °C for 2031-2061) with 1.25° × 1.25° horizontal resolution at six-hourly intervals. Our evaluation suggests that bias-corrected NESM3 outperforms the original NESM3 in the climatological mean of seasonal mean and variability, as well as climate extreme events during the historical period. This bias-corrected dataset is expected to generate more reliable projections for regional climate and environment under 1.5/2 °C global warming.},
}
@article {pmid38642947,
year = {2024},
author = {Severoni, S and Hiam, L and Garry, S},
title = {Climate change and health: displaced and migrant populations must be included.},
journal = {Lancet (London, England)},
volume = {403},
number = {10436},
pages = {1537-1538},
doi = {10.1016/S0140-6736(24)00243-5},
pmid = {38642947},
issn = {1474-547X},
}
@article {pmid38641895,
year = {2024},
author = {Reyes-Ortiz, M and Lira-Noriega, A and Osorio-Olvera, L and Luna-Vega, I and Williams-Linera, G},
title = {Leaf functional traits and ecological niche of Fagus grandifolia and Oreomunnea mexicana in natural forests and plantings as a proxy of climate change.},
journal = {American journal of botany},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {e16322},
doi = {10.1002/ajb2.16322},
pmid = {38641895},
issn = {1537-2197},
abstract = {PREMISE: Functional traits reflect species' responses to environmental variation and the breadth of their ecological niches. Fagus grandifolia and Oreomunnea mexicana have restricted distribution in upper montane cloud forests (1700-2000 m a.s.l.) in Mexico. These species were introduced into plantings at lower elevations (1200-1600 m a.s.l.) that have climates predicted for montane forests in 2050 and 2070. The aim was to relate morphological leaf traits to the ecological niche structure of each species.<br><br>METHODS: Leaf functional traits (leaf area, specific leaf area [SLA], thickness, and toughness) were analyzed in forests and plantings. Atmospheric circulation models and representative concentration pathways (RCPs: 2.6, 4.5, 8.5) were used to assess future climate conditions. Trait-niche relationships were analyzed by measuring the Mahalanobis distance (MD) from the forests and the plantings to the ecological niche centroid (ENC).<br><br>RESULTS: For both species, leaf area and SLA were higher and toughness lower in plantings at lower elevation relative to those in higher-elevation forests, and thickness was similar. Leaf traits varied with distance from sites to the ENC. Forests and plantings have different environmental locations regarding the ENC, but forests are closer (MD 0.34-0.58) than plantings (MD 0.50-0.70) for both species.<br><br>CONCLUSIONS: Elevation as a proxy for expected future climate conditions influenced the functional traits of both species, and trait patterns related to the structure of their ecological niches were consistent. The use of distances to the ENC is a promising approach to explore variability in species' functional traits and phenotypic responses in optimal versus marginal environmental conditions.},
}
@article {pmid38641749,
year = {2024},
author = {Prada, D and Baccarelli, AA and Kupsco, A and Parks, RM},
title = {Climate change and health: understanding mechanisms will inform mitigation and prevention strategies.},
journal = {Nature medicine},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
pmid = {38641749},
issn = {1546-170X},
support = {R00 ES033742/ES/NIEHS NIH HHS/United States ; R00 ES030749/ES/NIEHS NIH HHS/United States ; },
}
@article {pmid38641475,
year = {2024},
author = {Addison, SL and Rúa, MA and Smaill, SJ and Singh, BK and Wakelin, SA},
title = {Partner or perish: tree microbiomes and climate change.},
journal = {Trends in plant science},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1016/j.tplants.2024.03.008},
pmid = {38641475},
issn = {1878-4372},
abstract = {Understanding the complex relationships between plants, their microbiomes, and environmental changes is crucial for improving growth and survival, especially for long-lived tree species. Trees, like other plants, maintain close associations with a multitude of microorganisms on and within their tissues, forming a 'holobiont'. However, a comprehensive framework for detailed tree-microbiome dynamics, and the implications for climate adaptation, is currently lacking. This review identifies gaps in the existing literature, emphasizing the need for more research to explore the coevolution of the holobiont and the full extent of climate change impact on tree growth and survival. Advancing our knowledge of plant-microbial interactions presents opportunities to enhance tree adaptability and mitigate adverse impacts of climate changes on trees.},
}
@article {pmid38640936,
year = {2024},
author = {Chowdhury, R and Talukder, B and Basta, PC and Olivero-Verbel, J and Polson-Edwards, K and Galvao, L and Espinal, C},
title = {Saving the Amazon in South America by a regional approach on climate change: the need to consider the health perspective.},
journal = {The Lancet. Global health},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1016/S2214-109X(24)00125-6},
pmid = {38640936},
issn = {2214-109X},
}
@article {pmid38639422,
year = {2024},
author = {da Silva Freitas, L and de Moura, FR and Buffarini, R and Feás, X and da Silva Júnior, FMR},
title = {The relationship and consequences of venomous animal encounters in the context of climate change.},
journal = {Integrated environmental assessment and management},
volume = {20},
number = {3},
pages = {589-591},
doi = {10.1002/ieam.4919},
pmid = {38639422},
issn = {1551-3793},
support = {307791/2023-8//Conselho Nacional de Desenvolvimento Cient&#xed;fico e Tecnol&#xf3;gico/ ; 001//Coordena&#xe7;&#xe3;o de Aperfei&#xe7;oamento de Pessoal de N&#xed;vel Superior/ ; },
}
@article {pmid38638477,
year = {2024},
author = {Pinna, S and Longo, D and Zanobini, P and Lorini, C and Bonaccorsi, G and Baccini, M and Cecchi, F},
title = {How to communicate with older adults about climate change: a systematic review.},
journal = {Frontiers in public health},
volume = {12},
number = {},
pages = {1347935},
pmid = {38638477},
issn = {2296-2565},
abstract = {INTRODUCTION: Although older adults are particularly vulnerable to the effects of climate change, they seem to be overall less concerned about it, and less inclined to support climate policies. The study aims to identify the communication strategies that have been evaluated in promoting awareness and/or climate friendly behaviors in older adults.<br><br>METHODS: We searched multiple electronic databases for studies that evaluated the effects of any interventions aimed at communicating climate change to older persons (over 65&#x2009;years) and assessed the results as awareness and /or behavioral changes. We selected quantitative, qualitative and mixed methods studies, and we also included systematic reviews for cross-referencing. Risk of bias of included studies was evaluated using different tools according to the study design.<br><br>RESULTS: From a total of 5,486 articles, only 3 studies were included. One mixed-method study engaged older adults to assess the community vulnerability to climate change and to develop adaptation recommendations based on their perspectives; one qualitative study conducted focus groups to identify the more effective language, values and themes based on participants' responses to narratives; one quantitative study utilized a 360-degree audio-visual platform allowing users to engage with immersive visualizations of sea-level rise scenarios.<br><br>DISCUSSION: Despite the paucity of literature, this review demonstrates the potential for different strategies to increase the awareness of older persons about climate change. The involvement of older adults in the communication process, the identification of their priorities, and the integration of technology in their daily lives are promising approaches but more research, including both quantitative and qualitative studies is recommended on this topic.<br><br>For further details about the protocol, this systematic review has been registered on PROSPERO on July 1, 2023 (https://www.crd.york.ac.uk/prospero/display_record.php?ID=CRD42023438256).},
}
@article {pmid38638367,
year = {2024},
author = {Tennakoon, S and Apan, A and Maraseni, T},
title = {Unravelling the impact of climate change on honey bees: An ensemble modelling approach to predict shifts in habitat suitability in Queensland, Australia.},
journal = {Ecology and evolution},
volume = {14},
number = {4},
pages = {e11300},
pmid = {38638367},
issn = {2045-7758},
abstract = {Honey bees play a vital role in providing essential ecosystem services and contributing to global agriculture. However, the potential effect of climate change on honey bee distribution is still not well understood. This study aims to identify the most influential bioclimatic and environmental variables, assess their impact on honey bee distribution, and predict future distribution. An ensemble modelling approach using the biomod2 package in R was employed to develop three models: a climate-only model, an environment-only model, and a combined climate and environment model. By utilising bioclimatic data (radiation of the wettest and driest quarters and temperature seasonality) from 1990 to 2009, combined with observed honey bee presence and pseudo absence data, this model predicted suitable locations for honey bee apiaries for two future time spans: 2020-2039 and 2060-2079. The climate-only model exhibited a true skill statistic (TSS) value of 0.85, underscoring the pivotal role of radiation and temperature seasonality in shaping honey bee distribution. The environment-only model, incorporating proximity to floral resources, foliage projective cover, and elevation, demonstrated strong predictive performance, with a TSS of 0.88, emphasising the significance of environmental variables in determining habitat suitability for honey bees. The combined model had a higher TSS of 0.96, indicating that the combination of climate and environmental variables enhances the model's performance. By the 2020-2039 period, approximately 88% of highly suitable habitats for honey bees are projected to transition from their current state to become moderate (14.84%) to marginally suitable (13.46%) areas. Predictions for the 2060-2079 period reveal a concerning trend: 100% of highly suitable land transitions into moderately (0.54%), marginally (17.56%), or not suitable areas (81.9%) for honey bees. These results emphasise the critical need for targeted conservation efforts and the implementation of policies aimed at safeguarding honey bees and the vital apiary industry.},
}
@article {pmid38637548,
year = {2024},
author = {Hueholt, DM and Barnes, EA and Hurrell, JW and Morrison, AL},
title = {Speed of environmental change frames relative ecological risk in climate change and climate intervention scenarios.},
journal = {Nature communications},
volume = {15},
number = {1},
pages = {3332},
pmid = {38637548},
issn = {2041-1723},
abstract = {Stratospheric aerosol injection is a potential method of climate intervention to reduce climate risk as decarbonization efforts continue. However, possible ecosystem impacts from the strategic design of hypothetical intervention scenarios are poorly understood. Two recent Earth system model simulations depict policy-relevant stratospheric aerosol injection scenarios with similar global temperature targets, but a 10-year delay in intervention deployment. Here we show this delay leads to distinct ecological risk profiles through climate speeds, which describe the rate of movement of thermal conditions. On a planetary scale, climate speeds in the simulation where the intervention maintains temperature are not statistically distinguishable from preindustrial conditions. In contrast, rapid temperature reduction following delayed deployment produces climate speeds over land beyond either a preindustrial baseline or no-intervention climate change with present policy. The area exposed to threshold climate speeds places different scenarios in context to their relative ecological risks. Our results support discussion of tradeoffs and timescales in future scenario design and decision-making.},
}
@article {pmid38637442,
year = {2024},
author = {Zaremba, D and Michałowski, JM and Klöckner, CA and Marchewka, A and Wierzba, M},
title = {Development and validation of the Emotional Climate Change Stories (ECCS) stimuli set.},
journal = {Behavior research methods},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
pmid = {38637442},
issn = {1554-3528},
support = {2019/34/H/HS6/00677//Norway Grants/ ; },
abstract = {Climate change is widely recognised as an urgent issue, and the number of people concerned about it is increasing. While emotions are among the strongest predictors of behaviour change in the face of climate change, researchers have only recently begun to investigate this topic experimentally. This may be due to the lack of standardised, validated stimuli that would make studying such a topic in experimental settings possible. Here, we introduce a novel Emotional Climate Change Stories (ECCS) stimuli set. ECCS consists of 180 realistic short stories about climate change, designed to evoke five distinct emotions-anger, anxiety, compassion, guilt and hope-in addition to neutral stories. The stories were created based on qualitative data collected in two independent studies: one conducted among individuals highly concerned about climate change, and another one conducted in the general population. The stories were rated on the scales of valence, arousal, anger, anxiety, compassion, guilt and hope in the course of three independent studies. First, we explored the underlying structure of ratings (Study 1; n = 601). Then we investigated the replicability (Study 2; n = 307) and cross-cultural validity (Study 3; n = 346) of ECCS. The collected ratings were highly consistent across the studies. Furthermore, we found that the level of climate change concern explained the intensity of elicited emotions. The ECCS dataset is available in Polish, Norwegian and English and can be employed for experimental research on climate communication, environmental attitudes, climate action-taking, or mental health and wellbeing.},
}
@article {pmid38637120,
year = {2024},
author = {van Daalen, KR and Wyma, N and Schauer-Berg, J and Blom, IM and Mattijsen, J and Othman, R and Eissa, M and Parks, RM and Wyns, A and Aboushady, AT and Hassan, M and Ezzine, T and Khan, S and Zayed, ME and Neggazi, S and Alqodmani, L and Lowe, R},
title = {The global health community at international climate change negotiations.},
journal = {BMJ global health},
volume = {9},
number = {4},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1136/bmjgh-2024-015292},
pmid = {38637120},
issn = {2059-7908},
}
@article {pmid38636591,
year = {2024},
author = {Kim, J and Rouadi, PW},
title = {The relationship of climate change to rhinitis.},
journal = {The journal of allergy and clinical immunology. In practice},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1016/j.jaip.2024.04.012},
pmid = {38636591},
issn = {2213-2201},
abstract = {Evidence is mounting that climate change is having a significant impact on exacerbations of rhinitis. Concomitantly, the prevalence of allergic rhinitis is increasing at an accelerated rate. We herein explore the impact of carbon dioxide, barometric pressure and humidity changes, anthropogenic pollutants, on aeroallergens and rhinitis hypersensitivity. Important immune mechanisms underlying the climate-driven effects on rhinitis are discussed. Also, climate change is shifting ecological zones and seasons, increasing weather extremes, and altering regional atmospheric and environmental conditions. The direct impact of these factors on promoting allergic and nonallergic rhinitis are reviewed.},
}
@article {pmid38633463,
year = {2024},
author = {Huang, H and Zhou, Y and Kang, X and Zhu, X and Tong, X},
title = {Editorial: Water and carbon dynamics, ecosystem stability of forest and grassland in response to climate change.},
journal = {Frontiers in plant science},
volume = {15},
number = {},
pages = {1306381},
pmid = {38633463},
issn = {1664-462X},
}
@article {pmid38633456,
year = {2024},
author = {Skvareninova, J and Sitko, R and Vido, J and Snopková, Z and Skvarenina, J},
title = {Phenological response of European beech (Fagus sylvatica L.) to climate change in the Western Carpathian climatic-geographical zones.},
journal = {Frontiers in plant science},
volume = {15},
number = {},
pages = {1242695},
pmid = {38633456},
issn = {1664-462X},
abstract = {INTRODUCTION: The paper analyzes the results of 26 years (1996-2021) of phenological observations of the vegetative organs of European beech (Fagus sylvatica L.) in the Western Carpathians. It evaluates the influence of the heterogeneity of this territory, including relief and elevation, based on climatic-geographical types.<br><br>METHODS: Phenological stages, including leaf unfolding, full leaves, leaf coloring, and leaf fall, were monitored at 40 phenological stations across eight elevation zones. The study assesses trends in the occurrence of phenological stages, the length of the growing season, and phenological elevation gradients.<br><br>RESULTS: The results indicate a statistically significant earlier onset of spring phenological phases and delay in autumn phases, resulting in an average extension of the beech growing season by 12 days. Our findings confirm that the lengthening of the growing season due to warming, as an expression of climate change, is predominantly attributed to the warming in the spring months. The detected delayed onset of autumn phenophases was not due to warming in the autumn months, but other environmental factors influence it. The trend of elongation of the growing season (p<0.01) is observed in all elevation zones, with a less significant trend observed only in zones around 400 and 600 m a.s.l, signaling changes in environmental conditions across most of the elevation spectrum. Moreover, the heterogeneity of climatic-geographical types within each elevation zone increases the variability in the duration of the growing season for sites with similar elevations. By extending the growing season, it is assumed that the beech area will be changed to locations with optimal environmental conditions, especially in terms of adverse climatic events (late spring frosts, drought) during the growing season. The phenological elevation gradients reveal an earlier onset of 2.2 days per 100 m for spring phenophases and a delay of 1.1-2.9 days per 100 m for autumn phenophases.<br><br>DISCUSSION: These findings highlight the specific environmental conditions of European beech in the Western Carpathians and their potential for anticipating changes in its original area. Additionally, these observations can aid in forecasting the further development of phenological manifestations related to climate change.},
}
@article {pmid38632918,
year = {2024},
author = {Aylward, B and Cunsolo, A and Clayton, S and Minor, K and Cooper, M and Chatwood, S and Harper, S},
title = {Examining the mental health impacts of climate change on young people in Canada: a national cross-sectional survey.},
journal = {The Lancet. Planetary health},
volume = {8 Suppl 1},
number = {},
pages = {S3},
doi = {10.1016/S2542-5196(24)00068-8},
pmid = {38632918},
issn = {2542-5196},
abstract = {BACKGROUND: Climate change poses a substantial threat to the mental wellbeing of young people. Population-level research is urgently needed to help inform policies and interventions to ensure that young people are not burdened by long-term mental health impacts from climate change. We sought to identify the prevalence, distribution, and factors associated with climate change-related mental and emotional health outcomes among young people (aged 13-34 years) in Canada.<br><br>METHODS: This study is part of a larger cross-sectional survey, which examined mental and emotional health responses to climate change among individuals aged 13 years or older from across Canada. We used a multi-stage, multi-stratified random probability sampling procedure. Participants were randomly recruited through either an addressed letter or a telephone call. Online and telephone questionnaires were used to interview individuals in English, French, or Inuktitut between April 1, 2022, and March 31, 2023. Data were weighted by age and province using population estimates from Statistics Canada and analysed using descriptive statistics, factor analyses, and multivariable regression analyses.<br><br>FINDINGS: The full survey included 2476 participants, with a subgroup of 409 young people. Of the 401 respondents who provided their gender identity, 215 (54%) identified as cisgender women, 167 (42%) identified as cisgender men, and 19 (5%) identified as non-binary. Preliminary results suggest that young people in Canada experience a wide range of climate-related emotional and mental health outcomes. More than 70% of respondents in the young people subgroup reported having at least mild levels of sadness, anger, worry, anxiety, concern, helplessness, hopelessness, or powerlessness related to climate change. The severity of climate-related emotional responses differed by gender, with non-binary respondents and cisgender women reporting higher average levels of distress than cisgender men. Regional differences were also observed, with northern regions and urban locations reporting more severe reactions.<br><br>INTERPRETATION: This study builds on the understanding of the burden of climate change on the mental health of young people. If unaddressed, the impact of this burden could have long-standing and wide-reaching public health and related socioeconomic effects.<br><br>FUNDING: Canadian Institutes of Health Research, ArcticNet, Social Sciences and Humanities Research Council Doctoral Fellowship, Izaak Walton Killam Memorial Scholarship, and Alberta Innovates Graduate Student Scholarship.},
}
@article {pmid38632905,
year = {2024},
author = {Hounkpatin, H and Nieto-Sanchez, C and Castellano Pleguezuelo, V and Polman, K and Marchal, B},
title = {How are health systems in sub-Saharan Africa adapting to protect human health from climate change threats? A scoping review and case study.},
journal = {The Lancet. Planetary health},
volume = {8 Suppl 1},
number = {},
pages = {S10},
doi = {10.1016/S2542-5196(24)00075-5},
pmid = {38632905},
issn = {2542-5196},
abstract = {BACKGROUND: Sub-Saharan Africa stands out as one of the regions most affected by the climate crisis, while it has contributed to the problem only marginally. The foreseen negative effect on health adds great stress to the already overburdened health systems. Health systems' adaptation to climate change is, therefore, urgently needed to better protect human health. There is, however, scant evidence on how adaption is being planned and implemented in Africa. The aim of this study was to review the literature on health system adaptation in sub-Saharan Africa.<br><br>METHODS: In this scoping review and case study, we first carried out the scoping review, searching for publications on adaptation measures using the PubMed, Science Direct, and Web of Science databases on July 1, 2023. We included papers in English and French that addressed the adaptation of health systems in countries in sub-Saharan Africa without time limit. Second, we did a case study of the design and implementation of the National Adaptation Plan of Benin, with a specific focus on the policy-making process underlying the plan, whereby we used the health policy triangle as a policy analysis framework. Data were collected through a document review of national policy plans, reports, and evaluations.<br><br>FINDINGS: A total of 14 papers met the inclusion criteria, showing that climate change adaptation remains a niche in the literature for sub-Saharan Africa. Most included papers were authored by individuals from high-income countries. Health system adaptation measures cover seven domains: health systems strengthening; policy and planning; financing and implementation; information and capacity building; societal resilience; disaster risk prevention, preparedness, response, and recovery; and mitigation. The review found that the dominant role of global agencies in supporting or steering health system adaptation planning contributes to policy mimicry across countries, as confirmed by the case study of the adaptation plan in Benin. Benin's National Adaptation Plan prioritised three climate hazards: heat, drought, and flooding. Although the financial and technical inputs of international agencies effectively support Benin's adaptation planning, these inputs might induce a more narrow focus that does not fully respond to Benin's needs in terms of climate shocks and adaptation priorities.<br><br>INTERPRETATION: Health systems in sub-Saharan Africa are already adapting to climate change. Future research could focus on how national governments could develop adaptation plans that are responsive to local needs by making the needs analysis and priority-setting processes more inclusive of local stakeholders.<br><br>FUNDING: The Belgian Directorate-General for Development Cooperation and Humanitarian Aid.},
}
@article {pmid38632481,
year = {2024},
author = {Kotz, M and Levermann, A and Wenz, L},
title = {The economic commitment of climate change.},
journal = {Nature},
volume = {628},
number = {8008},
pages = {551-557},
pmid = {38632481},
issn = {1476-4687},
abstract = {Global projections of macroeconomic climate-change damages typically consider impacts from average annual and national temperatures over long time horizons[1-6]. Here we use recent empirical findings from more than 1,600 regions worldwide over the past 40 years to project sub-national damages from temperature and precipitation, including daily variability and extremes[7,8]. Using an empirical approach that provides a robust lower bound on the persistence of impacts on economic growth, we find that the world economy is committed to an income reduction of 19% within the next 26 years independent of future emission choices (relative to a baseline without climate impacts, likely range of 11-29% accounting for physical climate and empirical uncertainty). These damages already outweigh the mitigation costs required to limit global warming to 2 °C by sixfold over this near-term time frame and thereafter diverge strongly dependent on emission choices. Committed damages arise predominantly through changes in average temperature, but accounting for further climatic components raises estimates by approximately 50% and leads to stronger regional heterogeneity. Committed losses are projected for all regions except those at very high latitudes, at which reductions in temperature variability bring benefits. The largest losses are committed at lower latitudes in regions with lower cumulative historical emissions and lower present-day income.},
}
@article {pmid38631783,
year = {2024},
author = {Nori-Sarma, A and Galea, S},
title = {Climate change and mental health: a call for a global research agenda.},
journal = {The lancet. Psychiatry},
volume = {11},
number = {5},
pages = {316-317},
doi = {10.1016/S2215-0366(24)00098-1},
pmid = {38631783},
issn = {2215-0374},
}
@article {pmid38631729,
year = {2024},
author = {Kotcher, J and Patel, L and Wheat, S and Philipsborn, R and Maibach, E},
title = {How to communicate about climate change with patients.},
journal = {BMJ (Clinical research ed.)},
volume = {385},
number = {},
pages = {e079831},
doi = {10.1136/bmj-2024-079831},
pmid = {38631729},
issn = {1756-1833},
}
@article {pmid38631466,
year = {2024},
author = {Iqbal, S and Xu, J and Saleem Arif, M and Shakoor, A and Worthy, FR and Heng, G and Khan, S and Bu, D and Nader, S and Ranjitkar, S},
title = {Could soil microplastic pollution exacerbate climate change? A meta-analysis of greenhouse gas emissions and global warming potential.},
journal = {Environmental research},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {118945},
doi = {10.1016/j.envres.2024.118945},
pmid = {38631466},
issn = {1096-0953},
abstract = {Microplastics pollution and climate change are primarily investigated in isolation, despite their joint threat to the environment. Greenhouse gases (GHGs) are emitted during: the production of plastic and rubber, the use and degradation of plastic, and after contamination of environment. This is the first meta-analysis to assess underlying causal relationships and the influence of likely mediators. We included 60 peer-reviewed empirical studies; estimating GHGs emissions effect size and global warming potential (GWP), according to key microplastics properties and soil conditions. We investigated interrelationships with microbe functional gene expression. Overall, microplastics contamination was associated with increased GHGs emissions, with the strongest effect (60%) on CH4 emissions. Polylactic-acid caused 32% higher CO2 emissions, but only 1% of total GWP. Phenol-formaldehyde had the greatest (175%) GWP via 182% increased N2O emissions. Only polystyrene resulted in reduced GWP by 50%, due to N2O mitigation. Polyethylene caused the maximum (60%) CH4 emissions. Shapes of microplastics differed in GWP: fibre had the greatest GWP (66%) whereas beads reduced GWP by 53%. Films substantially increased emissions of all GHGs: 14% CO2, 10% N2O and 60% CH4. Larger-sized microplastics had higher GWP (125%) due to their 9% CO2 and 63% N2O emissions. GWP rose sharply if soil microplastics content exceeded 0.5%. Higher CO2 emissions, ranging from 4% to 20%, arose from soil which was either fine, saturated or had high-carbon content. Higher N2O emissions, ranging from 10% to 95%, arose from soils that had either medium texture, saturated water content or low-carbon content. Both CO2 and N2O emissions were 43% to 56% higher from soils with neutral pH. We conclude that microplastics contamination can cause raised GHGs emissions, posing a risk of exacerbating climate-change. We show clear links between GHGs emissions, microplastics properties, soil characteristics and soil microbe functional gene expression. Further research is needed regarding underlying mechanisms and processes.},
}
@article {pmid38631093,
year = {2024},
author = {Zhu, Q and Zhou, M and Zare Sakhvidi, MJ and Yang, S and Chen, S and Feng, P and Chen, Z and Xu, Z and Liu, Q and Yang, J},
title = {Projecting heat-related cardiovascular mortality burden attributable to human-induced climate change in China.},
journal = {EBioMedicine},
volume = {103},
number = {},
pages = {105119},
doi = {10.1016/j.ebiom.2024.105119},
pmid = {38631093},
issn = {2352-3964},
abstract = {BACKGROUND: Cardiovascular disease (CVD) has been found to be particularly vulnerable to climate change and temperature variability. This study aimed to assess the extent to which human-induced climate change contributes to future heat-related CVD burdens.<br><br>METHODS: Daily data on CVD mortality and temperature were collected in 161 Chinese communities from 2007 to 2013. The association between heat and CVD mortality was established using a two-stage time-series design. Under the natural forcing, human-induced, and combined scenarios, we then separately projected excess cause-/age-/region-/education-specific mortality from future high temperature in 2010-2100, assuming no adaptation and population changes.<br><br>FINDINGS: Under shared socioeconomic pathway with natural forcing scenario (SSP2-4.5-nat), heat-related attributable fraction of CVD deaths decreased slightly from 3.3% [95% empirical confidence interval (eCI): 0.3, 5.8] in the 2010s to 2.8% (95% eCI: 0.1, 5.2) in the 2090s, with relative change of&#xa0;-0.4% (95% eCI:&#xa0;-0.8, 0.0). However, for combined natural and human-induced forcings, this estimate would surge to 8.9% (95% eCI: 1.5, 15.7), 14.4% (95% eCI: 1.5, 25.3), 21.3% (95% eCI:&#xa0;-0.6, 39.4), and 28.7% (95% eCI:&#xa0;-3.3, 48.0) in the 2090s under SSP1-2.6, SSP2-4.5, SSP3-7.0, and SSP5-8.5 scenarios, respectively. When excluding the natural forcing, the number of human-induced heat-related CVD deaths would increase from approximately eight thousand (accounting for 31% of total heat-related CVD deaths) in the 2010s to 33,052 (68%), 63,283 (80%), 101,091 (87%), and 141,948 (90%) in the 2090s under SSP1-2.6, SSP2-4.5, SSP3-7.0, and SSP5-8.5 scenarios, respectively. Individuals with stroke, females, the elderly, people living in rural areas, and those with lower education level would exhibit heightened susceptibility to future high temperature. In addition, Southern and Eastern regions of China were expected to experience a faster increase in heat-related attributable fraction of CVD deaths.<br><br>INTERPRETATION: Human activities would significantly amplify the future burden of heat-related CVD. Our study findings suggested that active adaptation and mitigation measures towards future warming could yield substantial health benefits for the patients with CVD.<br><br>FUNDING: National Natural Science Foundation of China.},
}
@article {pmid38629694,
year = {2024},
author = {Andreae, M and Shultz, JM and Shepherd, JM and Espinel, Z and Shapiro, LT},
title = {Weathering the storms of climate change: Preparing persons with disabilities and the physiatrists who provide their care for extreme hurricanes.},
journal = {PM &amp; R : the journal of injury, function, and rehabilitation},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1002/pmrj.13159},
pmid = {38629694},
issn = {1934-1563},
abstract = {Climate-driven disasters have disproportionate and often devastating consequences on individuals with disabilities. Warming ocean and air temperatures are fueling more extreme tropical cyclones, further endangering those living in at-risk regions. Although hurricane preparedness is particularly critical for those with functional impairments and/or special medical needs, studies show such persons are less ready for disasters than the general population. This review calls attention to the time-urgent need to improve hurricane readiness among persons with disabilities. It summarizes evidence that climate change is resulting in cyclonic storms that are increasingly jeopardizing the health and safety of affected persons and reflects on how this trend may compound the particular hardships those with disabilities experience during times of disaster. It identifies unique storm-related challenges faced by patient populations commonly cared for by physiatrists, including those with stroke, traumatic brain injury, multiple sclerosis, spinal cord injury, and limb loss. Available research pertaining to the gaps in emergency preparedness practices among persons with disabilities is reviewed as are potential strategies to mitigate barriers to achieving disaster readiness and resilience. Lastly, the review provides physiatrists with a comprehensive guide for optimally safeguarding their patients before, during, and after catastrophic hurricanes.},
}
@article {pmid38628958,
year = {2024},
author = {Makuyana, T and Dube, K},
title = {Mapping disability and climate change knowledge base in Scopus using bibliometric analysis.},
journal = {African journal of disability},
volume = {13},
number = {},
pages = {1339},
pmid = {38628958},
issn = {2223-9170},
abstract = {BACKGROUND: Climate change and disability are rarely addressed by academic scholars within the spectrum of disabilities and as a single field of study. However, the intersectionality of disability exacerbates the vulnerability of people with disabilities to climate change as climate change frameworks in the Global North and South continue excluding them.<br><br>OBJECTIVES: This study aims to map the research-based knowledge housed in Scopus on disability and climate change. At the same time, it provides insights into innovative (novelty) ways of thinking and proposes a futuristic research agenda.<br><br>METHOD: A bibliometric analysis was conducted on Scopus-indexed articles using VOSviewer to map co-occurrences of keywords and co-authorship, and a manual thematic-scoping review augmented the data analysis.<br><br>RESULTS: The disability and climate change debate as a joint study evolved from concern among health practitioners to human rights and social inclusion.<br><br>CONCLUSION: In conclusion, there is a skewness towards mental health and medical sociology lens, while other sub-groups of persons with disabilities are yet to be engaged in co-creating disability-inclusive climate change knowledge.<br><br>CONTRIBUTION: Thematic areas emerged as gaps that future studies embed principles enshrined in the United Nations Convention for the Rights of Persons with Disabilities and the Sustainable Development Goals.},
}
@article {pmid38628548,
year = {2024},
author = {Ribeiro, V and Grossi, E and Levin-Carrion, Y and Sahu, N and DallaPiazza, M},
title = {An Interactive Mapping and Case Discussion Seminar Introducing Medical Students to Climate Change, Environmental Justice, and Health.},
journal = {MedEdPORTAL : the journal of teaching and learning resources},
volume = {20},
number = {},
pages = {11398},
pmid = {38628548},
issn = {2374-8265},
abstract = {INTRODUCTION: Integrating climate change and health into a medical school curriculum is critical for future physicians who will manage health crises caused by a rapidly changing climate. Although medical schools have increasingly included climate change in the curriculum, there remains a need to address the link between the climate crisis, environmental justice, and historical policies that shape environmental health disparities in local communities.<br><br>METHODS: In academic years 2021-2022 (AY22) and 2022-2023 (AY23), second-year medical students participated in a 2.5-hour seminar utilizing didactic teaching and small breakout groups that included interactive mapping activities and case scenarios. Learner knowledge and attitudes were self-assessed using pre- and postcurriculum surveys and a quiz. Qualitative thematic and content analysis was used to evaluate short-answer quiz responses and feedback.<br><br>RESULTS: Of 357 students who participated in the seminar, 208 (58%) completed both the precurriculum and postcurriculum surveys. Self-assessed ability increased significantly for all educational objectives across both years. Attitudes on the importance of climate change knowledge for patient health also improved from a mean of 3.5 precurriculum to 4.2 postcurriculum (difference = 0.7, p < .01) in AY22 and from 3.6 pre- to 4.3 postcurriculum (difference = 0.7, p < .01) in AY23 on a 5-point Likert scale.<br><br>DISCUSSION: This climate change and health session highlighting the link between environmental policy and climate change health vulnerability in the local context was successful in improving students' self-assessed ability across all stated educational objectives. Students cited the interactive small-group sessions as a major strength.},
}
@article {pmid38627938,
year = {2024},
author = {Islam, MT and Kamal, ASMM and Islam, MM and Hossain, S},
title = {Impact of climate change on dengue incidence in Singapore: time-series seasonal analysis.},
journal = {International journal of environmental health research},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {1-11},
doi = {10.1080/09603123.2024.2337827},
pmid = {38627938},
issn = {1369-1619},
abstract = {This study aimed to identify the meteorological factors that contribute to dengue epidemics. The monthly incidence of dengue was used as the outcome variable, while maximum temperature, humidity, precipitation, and sunshine hours were used as independent variables. The results showed a consistent increase in monthly dengue cases from 2013 to 2021, with seasonal patterns observed in stationary time-series data. The ARIMA (2, 1, 3) × seasonal (0, 1, 2)12 model was used based on its lowest Akaike Information Criterion (AIC) values. The analysis revealed that a 1-unit increase in rainfall was positively correlated with a small 0.062-unit increase in dengue cases, whereas a 1-unit increase in humidity was negatively associated, leading to a substantial reduction of approximately 16.34 cases. This study highlights the importance of incorporating weather data into national dengue prevention programs to enhance public awareness and to promote recommended safety measures.},
}
@article {pmid38627507,
year = {2024},
author = {Porcher, S},
title = {The world needs a COP for water like the one for climate change.},
journal = {Nature},
volume = {628},
number = {8008},
pages = {502},
doi = {10.1038/d41586-024-01085-6},
pmid = {38627507},
issn = {1476-4687},
}
@article {pmid38626686,
year = {2024},
author = {Morales, M and Arp, HPH and Castro, G and Asimakopoulos, AG and Sørmo, E and Peters, G and Cherubini, F},
title = {Eco-toxicological and climate change effects of sludge thermal treatments: Pathways towards zero pollution and negative emissions.},
journal = {Journal of hazardous materials},
volume = {470},
number = {},
pages = {134242},
doi = {10.1016/j.jhazmat.2024.134242},
pmid = {38626686},
issn = {1873-3336},
abstract = {The high moisture content and the potential presence of hazardous organic compounds (HOCs) and metals (HMs) in sewage sludge (SS) pose technical and regulatory challenges for its circular economy valorisation. Thermal treatments are expected to reduce the volume of SS while producing energy and eliminating HOCs. In this study, we integrate quantitative analysis of SS concentration of 12 HMs and 61 HOCs, including organophosphate flame retardants (OPFRs) and per- and poly-fluoroalkyl substances (PFAS), with life-cycle assessment to estimate removal efficiency of pollutants, climate change mitigation benefits and toxicological effects of existing and alternative SS treatments (involving pyrolysis, incineration, and/or anaerobic digestion). Conventional SS treatment leaves between 24 % and 40 % of OPFRs unabated, while almost no degradation occurs for PFAS. Thermal treatments can degrade more than 93% of target OPFRs and 95 % of target PFAS (with the rest released to effluents). The different treatments affect how HMs are emitted across environmental compartments. Conventional treatments also show higher climate change impacts than thermal treatments. Overall, thermal treatments can effectively reduce the HOCs emitted to the environment while delivering negative emissions (from about -56 to -111 kg CO2-eq per tonne of sludge, when pyrolysis is involved) and producing renewable energy from heat integration and valorization.},
}
@article {pmid38626039,
year = {2024},
author = {Yang, J and Jiang, X and Ma, Y and Liu, M and Shama, Z and Li, J and Huang, Y},
title = {Potential global distribution of Setaria italica, an important species for dryland agriculture in the context of climate change.},
journal = {PloS one},
volume = {19},
number = {4},
pages = {e0301751},
doi = {10.1371/journal.pone.0301751},
pmid = {38626039},
issn = {1932-6203},
abstract = {Setaria italica (S. italica, Linnaeus, 1753) is a drought-resistant, barren-tolerant, and widely adapted C-4 crop that plays a vital role in maintaining agricultural and economic stability in arid and barren regions of the world. However, the potential habitat of S. italica under current and future climate scenarios remains to be explored. Predicting the potential global geographic distribution of S. italica and clarifying its ecological requirements can help promote sustainable agriculture, which is crucial for addressing the global food crisis. In this study, we predicted the potential global geographic distribution of S. italica based on 3,154 global distribution records using the Maxent model and ArcGIS software. We assessed the constraints on its potential distribution based on the contribution of environmental factors variables. The predictive accuracy of the Maxent model was evaluated using AUC values, TSS values, and Kappa statistics, respectively. The results showed that the Maxent model had a high prediction accuracy, and the simulation results were also reliable; the total suitable habitats of S. italica is 5.54×107 km2, which mainly included the United States (North America), Brazil (South America), Australia (Oceania), China, India (Asia), and the Russian Federation (Europe). The most suitable habitat of S. italica was 0.52×107 km2, accounting for 9.44% of the total areas, mainly in the United States, India, the Russian Federation, and China. Soil and precipitation (driest monthly precipitation, hottest seasonal precipitation) are the most critical factors limiting the potential distribution of S. italica. Compared with the modern potential distribution, we predict that the four future climate change scenarios will result in varying reductions in the possible geographic ranges of S. italica. Overall, climate change may significantly affect the global distribution of S. italica, altering its worldwide production and trade patterns.},
}
@article {pmid38625427,
year = {2024},
author = {Grassi, A and Pagliarani, I and Avio, L and Cristani, C and Rossi, F and Turrini, A and Giovannetti, M and Agnolucci, M},
title = {Bioprospecting for plant resilience to climate change: mycorrhizal symbionts of European and American beachgrass (Ammophila arenaria and Ammophila breviligulata) from maritime sand dunes.},
journal = {Mycorrhiza},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
pmid = {38625427},
issn = {1432-1890},
abstract = {Climate change and global warming have contributed to increase terrestrial drought, causing negative impacts on agricultural production. Drought stress may be addressed using novel agronomic practices and beneficial soil microorganisms, such as arbuscular mycorrhizal fungi (AMF), able to enhance plant use efficiency of soil resources and water and increase plant antioxidant defence systems. Specific traits functional to plant resilience improvement in dry conditions could have developed in AMF growing in association with xerophytic plants in maritime sand dunes, a drought-stressed and low-fertility environment. The most studied of such plants are European beachgrass (Ammophila arenaria Link), native to Europe and the Mediterranean basin, and American beachgrass (Ammophila breviligulata Fern.), found in North America. Given the critical role of AMF for the survival of these beachgrasses, knowledge of the composition of AMF communities colonizing their roots and rhizospheres and their distribution worldwide is fundamental for the location and isolation of native AMF as potential candidates to be tested for promoting crop growth and resilience under climate change. This review provides quantitative and qualitative data on the occurrence of AMF communities of A. arenaria and A. breviligulata growing in European, Mediterranean basin and North American maritime sand dunes, as detected by morphological studies, trap culture isolation and molecular methods, and reports on their symbiotic performance. Moreover, the review indicates the dominant AMF species associated with the two Ammophila species and the common species to be further studied to assess possible specific traits increasing their host plants resilience toward drought stress under climate change.},
}
@article {pmid38625183,
year = {2023},
author = {Newsome, D and Newsome, KB and Miller, SA},
title = {Teaching, Learning, and Climate Change: Anticipated Impacts and Mitigation Strategies for Educators.},
journal = {Behavior and social issues},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {1-23},
doi = {10.1007/s42822-023-00129-2},
pmid = {38625183},
issn = {2376-6786},
abstract = {The impacts of climate change present numerous risks to the present and future state of teaching and learning. Natural disasters such as hurricanes, heat waves, flooding, blizzards, wildfires, sea level rise, and droughts threaten our ability to produce the learning outcomes promised to our pupils. Taking action to adapt to imminent climate-related challenges and mitigating measures that provoke and prolong ecological challenges is critical to the survival of these cultural institutions. Paradoxically, centers of teaching and learning can be seen as both victims of climate change as well as an instrumental part of the solution. Providing an efficient and effective education to the world's youth is a catalyst for the innovations that future generations of skilled professionals will use to combat climate change. Educational settings are also crucial venues for raising social awareness about anthropogenic climate change to undermine the complacency and denialism that have stagnated the global response to this crisis thus far. This paper incorporates suggestions from climate scientists and learning scientists about how to change how we teach, where we teach, and what we teach to ensure teaching enterprises survive and thrive in the face of a changing climate.},
}
@article {pmid38624016,
year = {2024},
author = {Miller, J and Howard, C and Alqodmani, L},
title = {Advocating for a Healthy Response to Climate Change - COP28 and the Health Community.},
journal = {The New England journal of medicine},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1056/NEJMp2314835},
pmid = {38624016},
issn = {1533-4406},
}
@article {pmid38623518,
year = {2024},
author = {Banda, LB and Dejene, SW and Mzumara, TI and McCarthy, C and Pangapanga-Phiri, I},
title = {An ensemble model predicts an upward range shift of the endemic and endangered Yellow-throated Apalis (Apalis flavigularis) under future climate change in Malawi.},
journal = {Ecology and evolution},
volume = {14},
number = {4},
pages = {e11283},
doi = {10.1002/ece3.11283},
pmid = {38623518},
issn = {2045-7758},
abstract = {Climate change poses a significant threat to endemic and endangered montane bird species with limited elevation and temperature ranges. Understanding their responses to changes in climate is essential for informing conservation actions. This study focused on the montane dwelling Yellow-throated Apalis (Apalis flavigularis) in Malawi, aiming to identify key factors affecting its distribution and predicting its potential distribution under different climate change scenarios. Using an ensemble species distribution modeling approach, we found that the mean temperature of the driest quarter (Bio9), mean temperature of the wettest quarter (Bio8), and precipitation seasonality (Bio15) were the most important variables that influenced the distribution of this species. Across future climate scenarios, the species' geographic range declined where range losses varied from 57.74% (2050 RCP 6.0) to 82.88% (2070 RCP 6.0). We estimate its current range size to be 549 km[2] which is lower than some previous estimates of its spatial distribution. Moreover, our projections indicate that under future climate scenarios, the species will shift to higher elevations with a large proportion of suitable areas located outside forests, posing challenges for adaptation. Our results suggest that the species may be under greater threat than previously thought; hence, urgent conservation actions are required. We recommend reinforcing the protection of areas predicted to remain suitable under future climate scenarios and the development of a species conservation action plan.},
}
@article {pmid38622331,
year = {2024},
author = {Jia, H and Fei, X and Zhu, J and Chen, W and Chen, R and Liao, Z and Zhou, B and Huang, Y and Du, H and Xu, P and Zhang, X and Li, W},
title = {Soil respiration and its response to climate change and anthropogenic factors in a karst plateau wetland, southwest China.},
journal = {Scientific reports},
volume = {14},
number = {1},
pages = {8653},
pmid = {38622331},
issn = {2045-2322},
support = {No. Bikelianhezi Guigongcheng [2021]07//the Opening Fund for Guizhou Province Key Laboratory of Ecological Protection and Restoration of Typical Plateau Wetlands/ ; 32160290//National Natural Science Foundation of China/ ; Qian Kehe Foundation [2020]1Y073//the Science and Technology Research Project of Guizhou Province, China/ ; QKZYD [2022]4022//the Guizhou Provincial Science and Technology Development Project/ ; Qian Kehe Support [2022] General 209//the Science and Technology Planned Project in Guizhou Province/ ; [2019]69//the Cultivation Project of Natural Science of Guizhou University, China/ ; [2018] 29//the Special Research Fund of Natural Science (Special Post) of Guizhou University, China/ ; DCRE-2023-10//Guizhou Provincial Double Carbon and Renewable Energy Technology Innovation Research Institute/ ; },
abstract = {It is important to investigate the responses of greenhouse gases to climate change (temperature, precipitation) and anthropogenic factors in plateau wetland. Based on the DNDC model, we used meteorological, soil, and land cover data to simulate the soil CO2 emission pattern and its responses to climate change and anthropogenic factors in Guizhou, China. The results showed that the mean soil CO2 emission flux in the Caohai Karst Plateau Wetland was 5.89 ± 0.17 t·C·ha[-1]·yr[-1] from 2000 to 2019, and the annual variation showed an increasing trend with the rate of 23.02 kg·C·ha[-1]·yr[-1]. The soil total annual mean CO2 emissions were 70.62 ± 2.04 Gg·C·yr[-1] (annual growth rate was 0.28 Gg·C·yr[-1]). Caohai wetland has great spatial heterogeneity. The emissions around Caohai Lake were high (the areas with high, middle, and low values accounted for 3.07%, 70.96%, and 25.97%, respectively), and the emission pattern was characterized by a decrease in radiation from Caohai Lake to the periphery. In addition, the cropland and forest areas exhibited high intensities (7.21 ± 0.15 t·C·ha[-1]·yr[-1] and 6.73 ± 0.58 t·C·ha[-1]·yr[-1], respectively) and high total emissions (54.97 ± 1.16 Gg·C·yr[-1] and 10.24 ± 0.88 Gg·C·yr[-1], respectively). Croplands and forests were the major land cover types controlling soil CO2 emissions in the Caohai wetland, while anthropogenic factors (cultivation) significantly increased soil CO2 emissions. Results showed that the soil CO2 emissions were positively correlated with temperature and precipitation; and the temperature change had a greater impact on soil respiration than the change in precipitation. Our results indicated that future climate change (increased temperature and precipitation) may promote an increase in soil CO2 emissions in karst plateau wetlands, and reasonable control measures (e.g. returning cropland to lakes and reducing anthropogenic factors) are the keys to controlling CO2 emissions.},
}
@article {pmid38622195,
year = {2024},
author = {Somboon, S and Rossopa, B and Yodda, S and Sukitprapanon, TS and Chidthaisong, A and Lawongsa, P},
title = {Mitigating methane emissions and global warming potential while increasing rice yield using biochar derived from leftover rice straw in a tropical paddy soil.},
journal = {Scientific reports},
volume = {14},
number = {1},
pages = {8706},
pmid = {38622195},
issn = {2045-2322},
support = {179426//National Science, Research and Innovation Fund/ ; 641T217//Graduate School, Khon Kaen University/ ; },
abstract = {The sustainable management of leftover rice straw through biochar production to mitigate CH4 emissions and enhance rice yield remains uncertain and undefined. Therefore, we evaluated the effects of using biochar derived from rice straw left on fields after harvest on greenhouse gas emissions, global warming potential (GWP), and rice yield in the paddy field. The experiment included three treatments: chemical fertilizer (CF), rice straw (RS, 10 t ha[-1]) + CF, and rice straw-derived biochar (BC, 3 t ha[-1] based on the amount of product remaining after pyrolysis) + CF. Compared with CF, BC + CF significantly reduced cumulative CH4 and CO2 emissions, net GWP, and greenhouse gas emission intensity by 42.9%, 37.4%, 39.5%, and 67.8%, respectively. In contrast, RS + CF significantly increased cumulative CH4 emissions and net GWP by 119.3% and 13.8%, respectively. The reduced CH4 emissions were mainly caused by the addition of BC + CF, which did not increase the levels of dissolved organic carbon and microbial biomass carbon, consequently resulting in reduced archaeal abundance, unlike those observed in RS + CF. The BC + CF also enhanced soil total organic carbon content and rice grain yield. This study indicated that using biochar derived from leftover rice straw mitigates greenhouse gas emissions and improves rice productivity in tropical paddy soil.},
}
@article {pmid38619798,
year = {2024},
author = {},
title = {Correction to "Genomic architecture controls multivariate adaptation to climate change".},
journal = {Global change biology},
volume = {30},
number = {4},
pages = {e17270},
doi = {10.1111/gcb.17270},
pmid = {38619798},
issn = {1365-2486},
}
@article {pmid38625362,
year = {2023},
author = {Chacowry, A},
title = {Meeting the challenges to climate change adaptation: an NGO community-based successful projects in Mauritius.},
journal = {GeoJournal},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {1-14},
doi = {10.1007/s10708-023-10850-5},
pmid = {38625362},
issn = {1572-9893},
abstract = {Climate change and anthropogenic pressure are among the main drivers of coastal environment degradation in Mauritius, a small island developing state. Globally, mitigation and adaptation strategies applied to the complex socio-ecological coastal systems offer effective solutions in curbing the adverse impacts. In environmental protection, Non-Governmental Organisations' (NGOs) role was first recognised in the 1992 UN Agenda 21 for Sustainable Development, and they are now integrated with most coastal environmental rehabilitation programmes. This paper describes two climate-based adaptation projects undertaken about a decade ago by an NGO in Mauritius. The projects were community-driven in all phases of implementation. The first project focussed on the Ecosystem-based-adaptation (EbA) approach of restoring a mangrove ecosystem and improving community life at Le Morne Village. The second project aimed at the rehabilitation of a historical site and the consolidation of a degraded coastline at Poudre d'Or Village. Components of 'hard' and 'soft' adaptive measures were applied as pathways to guide project implementation. The projects required extensive field visits, focus group interviews, and participatory inputs from all stakeholders. A 10-year assessment of the processes applied in the conceptualisation, implementation, and in evaluating the outcomes was gleaned from regular visits to local inhabitants, stakeholders, and NGO members since the completion of the projects. In 2022, an informal interview at Le Morne and a survey at Poudre d'Or showed that both projects resulted in positive outcomes. Good governance capacity and rigour in the management of the project team were highlighted as crucial attributes to the success of the projects.},
}
@article {pmid38624658,
year = {2021},
author = {Yarzábal, LA and Salazar, LMB and Batista-García, RA},
title = {Climate change, melting cryosphere and frozen pathogens: Should we worry…?.},
journal = {Environmental sustainability (Singapore)},
volume = {4},
number = {3},
pages = {489-501},
doi = {10.1007/s42398-021-00184-8},
pmid = {38624658},
issn = {2523-8922},
abstract = {UNLABELLED: Permanently frozen environments (glaciers, permafrost) are considered as natural reservoirs of huge amounts of microorganisms, mostly dormant, including human pathogens. Due to global warming, which increases the rate of ice-melting, approximately 4 × 10[21] of these microorganisms are released annually from their frozen confinement and enter natural ecosystems, in close proximity to human settlements. Some years ago, the hypothesis was put forward that this massive release of potentially-pathogenic microbes-many of which disappeared from the face of the Earth thousands and even millions of years ago-could give rise to epidemics. The recent anthrax outbreaks that occurred in Siberia, and the presence of bacterial and viral pathogens in glaciers worldwide, seem to confirm this hypothesis. In that context, the present review summarizes the currently available scientific evidence that allows us to imagine a near future in which epidemic outbreaks, similar to the abovementioned, could occur as a consequence of the resurrection and release of microbes from glaciers and permafrost.<br><br>SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION: The online version of this article (10.1007/s42398-021-00184-8) contains supplementary material, which is available to authorized users.},
}
@article {pmid38620337,
year = {2020},
author = {Jiricka-Pürrer, A and Brandenburg, C and Pröbstl-Haider, U},
title = {City tourism pre- and post-covid-19 pandemic - Messages to take home for climate change adaptation and mitigation?.},
journal = {Journal of outdoor recreation and tourism},
volume = {31},
number = {},
pages = {100329},
doi = {10.1016/j.jort.2020.100329},
pmid = {38620337},
issn = {2213-0799},
abstract = {The paper presents the status quo on climate change impacts on city tourism in Austria describing the impacts by air travel and a short stay on the greenhouse gas emissions and the changing conditions in the city. For Austrian cities, depending on location and topography, heavy rainfall events, storms and heat waves in particular could become increasingly relevant in the tourism context. For medium-sized and large cities, heat is the most frequently discussed topic in connection with possible adaptation potentials. The analysis of challenges shows a strong overlap of adaptation targets in city tourism with adaptation challenges for city planning including connection to the sub-urban surrounding areas to confront climate change impacts. Covid-19 pandemic, additionally, offered the opportunity to discuss a new re-start of the city-tourism against the experience during the shutdown period in spring 2020. The paper argues that we can learn from the current health crisis for coping with climate change related extreme events and to increase achievements in climate change mitigation. Firstly, the pandemic provides a strong ability to discuss the impact of city tourism due to short-term air travel and options to enhance more climate-friendly options on the other hand. Secondly, Covid-19 emphasized the need to reconsider the role of free spaces in metropolitan areas as well as their accessibility. Herewith synergies with climate change adaptation are likely when questioning the availability and accessibility of green and blue infrastructure as well as their capacities. Challenges including crowding and impacts by over tourism on public free spaces will require joint strategies involving all public and private institutions (including local communities and businesses) responsible for the maintenance of green and blue free spaces. Thirdly, the strong interactions between urban and suburban areas became evident once more, which will also be very relevant for city tourism in the future (e.g. in times of heat waves). Reflection on the transferability of coping with such crowding effects, related to the adaptive behaviour of residents and tourists in times of severe heat waves, might be relevant for both city tourism and summer tourism destinations near metropolitan areas. Finally, the Covid-19 crisis encourages discussions on over-tourism in metropolitan destinations in favour of a more balanced approach, in particular in inner city areas and around major sightseeing attractions.},
}
@article {pmid38619007,
year = {2024},
author = {Jansen, MAK and Andrady, AL and Barnes, PW and Busquets, R and Revell, LE and Bornman, JF and Aucamp, PJ and Bais, AF and Banaszak, AT and Bernhard, GH and Bruckman, LS and Häder, DP and Hanson, ML and Heikkilä, AM and Hylander, S and Lucas, RM and Mackenzie, R and Madronich, S and Neale, PJ and Neale, RE and Olsen, CM and Ossola, R and Pandey, KK and Petropavlovskikh, I and Robinson, SA and Robson, TM and Rose, KC and Solomon, KR and Sulbæk Andersen, MP and Sulzberger, B and Wallington, TJ and Wang, QW and Wängberg, S&#xc5; and White, CC and Young, AR and Zepp, RG and Zhu, L},
title = {Environmental plastics in the context of UV radiation, climate change, and the Montreal Protocol.},
journal = {Global change biology},
volume = {30},
number = {4},
pages = {e17279},
doi = {10.1111/gcb.17279},
pmid = {38619007},
issn = {1365-2486},
abstract = {There are close links between solar UV radiation, climate change, and plastic pollution. UV-driven weathering is a key process leading to the degradation of plastics in the environment but also the formation of potentially harmful plastic fragments such as micro- and nanoplastic particles. Estimates of the environmental persistence of plastic pollution, and the formation of fragments, will need to take in account plastic dispersal around the globe, as well as projected UV radiation levels and climate change factors.},
}
@article {pmid38617202,
year = {2024},
author = {Gauzens, B and Rosenbaum, B and Kalinkat, G and Boy, T and Jochum, M and Kortsch, S and O'Gorman, EJ and Brose, U},
title = {Flexible foraging behaviour increases predator vulnerability to climate change.},
journal = {Nature climate change},
volume = {14},
number = {4},
pages = {387-392},
pmid = {38617202},
issn = {1758-678X},
abstract = {Higher temperatures are expected to reduce species coexistence by increasing energetic demands. However, flexible foraging behaviour could balance this effect by allowing predators to target specific prey species to maximize their energy intake, according to principles of optimal foraging theory. Here we test these assumptions using a large dataset comprising 2,487 stomach contents from six fish species with different feeding strategies, sampled across environments with varying prey availability over 12 years in Kiel Bay (Baltic Sea). Our results show that foraging shifts from trait- to density-dependent prey selectivity in warmer and more productive environments. This behavioural change leads to lower consumption efficiency at higher temperature as fish select more abundant but less energetically rewarding prey, thereby undermining species persistence and biodiversity. By integrating this behaviour into dynamic food web models, our study reveals that flexible foraging leads to lower species coexistence and biodiversity in communities under global warming.},
}
@article {pmid38617104,
year = {2024},
author = {Hearn, AX and Huber, F and Koehrsen, J and Buzzi, AL},
title = {The perceived potential of religion in mitigating climate change and how this is being realized in Germany and Switzerland.},
journal = {Journal of environmental studies and sciences},
volume = {14},
number = {2},
pages = {342-357},
pmid = {38617104},
issn = {2190-6483},
abstract = {Scholars of religion have repeatedly debated and contested the role of religion and spirituality in combatting climate change. In recent years, the potential of religion has also become an issue among natural scientists, politicians, environmental organizations, and civil society. Indeed, the potential of religion to mitigate climate change is perceived both internally and externally, and various expectations are placed on religion. This article examines the perceived potential of religion in mitigating climate change and how this is being realized. Based on 38 interviews, conducted with representatives from religious communities and umbrella organizations in Germany and Switzerland, we focus on the areas of values, political influence, and materialization. Our results show that the potential of religion in addressing climate change remains largely unfulfilled despite increasing steps in this direction.},
}
@article {pmid38615772,
year = {2024},
author = {Hao, L and Sanada, A and Chi, B and Xiong, B and Maruya, Y and Yano, S},
title = {Long-term developments in seasonal hypoxia and response to climate change: A three-decade modeling study in the Ariake Sea, Japan.},
journal = {The Science of the total environment},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {172471},
doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.172471},
pmid = {38615772},
issn = {1879-1026},
abstract = {Hypoxia in the Ariake Sea, Japan, is steadily increasing in both duration and spatial coverage. Hypoxia, defined as dissolved oxygen (DO) below 3 mg/L, is strongly associated with the amplified frequency of extreme rainfall events driven by climate change, which poses a mounting threat to marine ecosystems on a global scale. In this study, we employed a general three-dimensional (3-D) hydrodynamic coastal model and a phytoplankton-based ecosystem model to identify the potential cause of seasonal hypoxic events over three decades. The results indicated a substantial decrease in bottom DO levels from 1992 to 2021, with the rate of increase in hypoxic area being 8 km[2]/yr (95 % CI: -0.38, 16.2) and the anoxic area increasing from almost non-existent to 100 km[2]. Notably, among various environmental drivers, increased river discharge was identified as a pivotal factor in the occurrence of hypoxia. Large-scale river discharge events can potentially increase water stratification, leading to the formation of hypoxia. River discharge volume and the duration of bottom hypoxia in the Ariake Sea were correlated. The duration of hypoxia was strongly associated with river discharge magnitude, with correlation coefficients ranging from 0.56 to 0.82 across six observational stations. Furthermore, analysis of varied simulated environmental factors over multiple years revealed diverse responses to climate change, indicating that the Ariake Sea is prone to experiencing a decline in its physical and water quality conditions.},
}
@article {pmid38615237,
year = {2024},
author = {El-Far, A and Yousry, N and Abouelmagd, F and Elsheikh, ME and El Said, M},
title = {Influence of climate change on emerging pathogens and human immunity.},
journal = {The Egyptian journal of immunology},
volume = {31},
number = {2},
pages = {71-86},
pmid = {38615237},
issn = {1110-4902},
mesh = {Animals ; Humans ; *Climate Change ; *Biodiversity ; Temperature ; },
abstract = {Global warming can be defined as the detectable increase in average global temperature in the last ten years regarding frequency and intensity. Climate change represents a long-term detectable climatic variability. The climatic system of the earth is disrupted because of the continuous production of greenhouse gases, which raises the risk of the emergence and re-emergence of human pathogens. In this review, we aimed to present the different mechanisms of climate change that increase human/pathogen exposure, introduce the recent concept of disaster microbiology, and discuss the effects of climate change on zoonoses as well as the effects of climate change on antibiotic resistance and human health.},
}
@article {pmid38614007,
year = {2024},
author = {Guo, Y and Bai, R and Hong, T},
title = {Transboundary cooperation in Arctic climate change governance under geopolitical tensions.},
journal = {Journal of environmental management},
volume = {358},
number = {},
pages = {120855},
doi = {10.1016/j.jenvman.2024.120855},
pmid = {38614007},
issn = {1095-8630},
abstract = {Political conflicts or geopolitical tensions can create uncertainty in addressing climate change and environmental management in the Arctic. Dissecting how actors interact with each other and form networks is important for understanding ecological and environmental management challenges during geopolitical tensions, as well as promoting better governance. We construct transboundary networks for Arctic climate change governance (ACCG) from 2013 to 2021 based on the Global Database of Events, Language, and Tone (GDELT). Further, we used network descriptive statistical analysis and Temporal Exponential Random Graph Models (TERGM) to explore the structure of ACCG networks and the key factors influencing cooperation formation. The findings suggest that the overall cooperation density of the ACCG is low, and the dominant position of core actors is continuously strengthening. Non-state actors are less likely to be seen as partners and their participation depends largely on cooperation with states. The results also show that actors with similar stances and problem exposure are more likely to cooperate, but those exposed to high latitudes often choose not to cooperate; first-comers are more likely to perceive as cooperating yet they are inclined to establish internal cooperation. Additionally, two geographically proximate actors are more likely to cooperate. This indicates that under geopolitical tensions, the ACCG faces challenges not only due to the limited capacity of non-state actors to perform transboundary functions but also because the cooperation mechanisms are influenced by regional political logic. Accordingly, we further suggest policy recommendations from developing binding international frameworks to guide transboundary cooperation, enhancing cooperation among non-state actors, and ensuring the representativeness and fairness of non-Arctic actors' participation. This research provides insights into transboundary environmental management under political tensions, while also offering new pathways for analysing large-scale environmental governance structures.},
}
@article {pmid38613746,
year = {2024},
author = {Markkula, I and Turunen, M and Rikkonen, T and Rasmus, S and Koski, V and Welker, JM},
title = {Climate change, cultural continuity and ecological grief: Insights from the Sámi Homeland.},
journal = {Ambio},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
pmid = {38613746},
issn = {1654-7209},
support = {869580//Horizon 2020 Framework Programme/ ; },
abstract = {Arctic regions are warming significantly faster than other parts of the globe, leading to changes in snow, ice and weather conditions, ecosystems and local cultures. These changes have brought worry and concern and triggered feelings of loss among Arctic Indigenous Peoples and local communities. Recently, research has started to address emotional and social dimensions of climate change, framed through the concept of ecological grief. In this study, we examine sociocultural impacts of climate change and expressions of ecological grief among members of reindeer herding communities in the Sámi Homeland in Finland. Results indicate that ecological grief is felt in connection to major environmental concerns in the area: changes in winter weather and extreme weather events, Atlantic salmon decline and land use changes, which all have cultural and social consequences. Our results indicate that ecological grief is strongly associated with ecological losses, but also with political decisions regarding natural resource governance.},
}
@article {pmid38613463,
year = {2024},
author = {Barton, M and Elhindi, J and Dey, C and Harris, A},
title = {Climate change: A clear and present danger to mental health - Response to Amos (2023) 'Thinking clearly about climate change and mental health'.},
journal = {Australasian psychiatry : bulletin of Royal Australian and New Zealand College of Psychiatrists},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {10398562241242946},
doi = {10.1177/10398562241242946},
pmid = {38613463},
issn = {1440-1665},
}
@article {pmid38611556,
year = {2024},
author = {Deng, C and Zhong, Q and Shao, D and Ren, Y and Li, Q and Wen, J and Li, J},
title = {Potential Suitable Habitats of Chili Pepper in China under Climate Change.},
journal = {Plants (Basel, Switzerland)},
volume = {13},
number = {7},
pages = {},
pmid = {38611556},
issn = {2223-7747},
support = {2022-ZJ-947Q//Natural Science Foundation of Qinghai Province/ ; 2022-ZZ-11//Open Project of State Key Laboratory of Plateau Ecology and Agriculture, Qinghai University/ ; },
abstract = {Chili pepper (Capsicum annuum L.) is extensively cultivated in China, with its production highly reliant on regional environmental conditions. Given ongoing climate change, it is imperative to assess its impact on chili pepper cultivation and identify suitable habitats for future cultivation. In this study, the MaxEnt model was optimized and utilized to predict suitable habitats for open-field chili pepper cultivation, and changes in these habitats were analyzed using ArcGIS v10.8. Our results showed that the parameter settings of the optimal model were FC = LQPTH and RM = 2.7, and the critical environmental variables influencing chili pepper distribution were annual mean temperature, isothermality, maximum temperature of the warmest month, and precipitation of the warmest quarter. Under current climate conditions, suitable habitats were distributed across all provinces in China, with moderately- and highly-suitable habitats concentrated in the east of the Qinghai-Tibetan Plateau and south of the Inner Mongolia Plateau. Under future climate scenarios, the area of suitable habitats was expected to be larger than the current ones, except for SSP126-2050s, and reached the maximum under SSP126-2090s. The overlapping suitable habitats were concentrated in the east of the Qinghai-Tibetan Plateau and south of the Inner Mongolia Plateau under various climate scenarios. In the 2050s, the centroids of suitable habitats were predicted to shift towards the southwest, except for SSP126, whereas this trend was reversed in the 2090s. Our results suggest that climate warming is conductive to the cultivation of chili pepper, and provide scientific guidance for the introduction and cultivation of chili pepper in the face of climate warming.},
}
@article {pmid38611423,
year = {2024},
author = {Zhang, S and Wang, X and Kinay, P and Dau, Q},
title = {Climate Change Impacts on Potato Storage.},
journal = {Foods (Basel, Switzerland)},
volume = {13},
number = {7},
pages = {},
doi = {10.3390/foods13071119},
pmid = {38611423},
issn = {2304-8158},
support = {null//the Natural Science and Engineering Research Council of Canada, the New Frontiers in Research Fund, Agriculture and Agri-Food Canada, and the Government of Prince Edward Island./ ; },
abstract = {In this study, we present a comprehensive literature review of the potential impacts of climate change on potato storage. Potato preservation can help reduce food loss and waste while increasing long-term food security, as potatoes are one of the most important crops worldwide. The review's results suggest climate change can negatively affect potato storage, especially tuber sprouting and diseases in storage chambers. Lower Sielianinov coefficient values (indicating dry and hot conditions) during the vegetative season of potato growing can lead to earlier sprouting. For instance, a decrease of 0.05 in the Sielianinov coefficient during the growing season results in tubers stored at 3 °C sprouting 25 days earlier and tubers stored at 5 °C experiencing a 15-day reduction in dormancy. This is due to the fact that the dry and hot climate conditions during the vegetation period of potato planting tend to shorten potato tubers' natural dormancy, which further leads to earlier sprouting during storage. Furthermore, high Sielianinov coefficient values may lead to worse disease situations. The results also suggest that research about the impacts of climate change on potato storage is very limited at the current stage, and further studies are needed to address the key knowledge gaps identified in this study.},
}
@article {pmid38611348,
year = {2024},
author = {Čanak, I and Kostelac, D and Jakopović, &#x17d; and Markov, K and Frece, J},
title = {Lactic Acid Bacteria of Marine Origin as a Tool for Successful Shellfish Farming and Adaptation to Climate Change Conditions.},
journal = {Foods (Basel, Switzerland)},
volume = {13},
number = {7},
pages = {},
doi = {10.3390/foods13071042},
pmid = {38611348},
issn = {2304-8158},
support = {KK.05.1.1.02.0012//European Regional Development Fund/ ; },
abstract = {Climate change, especially in the form of temperature increase and sea acidification, poses a serious challenge to the sustainability of aquaculture and shellfish farming. In this context, lactic acid bacteria (LAB) of marine origin have attracted attention due to their ability to improve water quality, stimulate the growth and immunity of organisms, and reduce the impact of stress caused by environmental changes. Through a review of relevant research, this paper summarizes previous knowledge on this group of bacteria, their application as protective probiotic cultures in mollusks, and also highlights their potential in reducing the negative impacts of climate change during shellfish farming. Furthermore, opportunities for further research and implementation of LAB as a sustainable and effective solution for adapting mariculture to changing climate conditions were identified.},
}
@article {pmid38609850,
year = {2024},
author = {Sun, PW and Chang, JT and Luo, MX and Liao, PC},
title = {Genomic insights into local adaptation and vulnerability of Quercus longinux to climate change.},
journal = {BMC plant biology},
volume = {24},
number = {1},
pages = {279},
pmid = {38609850},
issn = {1471-2229},
support = {NSTC 112-2621-B-003-001-MY3//National Science and Technology Council/ ; },
abstract = {BACKGROUND: Climate change is expected to alter the factors that drive changes in adaptive variation. This is especially true for species with long life spans and limited dispersal capabilities. Rapid climate changes may disrupt the migration of beneficial genetic variations, making it challenging for them to keep up with changing environments. Understanding adaptive genetic variations in tree species is crucial for conservation and effective forest management. Our study used landscape genomic analyses and phenotypic traits from a thorough sampling across the entire range of Quercus longinux, an oak species native to Taiwan, to investigate the signals of adaptation within this species.<br><br>RESULTS: Using ecological data, phenotypic traits, and 1,933 single-nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) from 205 individuals, we classified three genetic groups, which were also phenotypically and ecologically divergent. Thirty-five genes related to drought and freeze resistance displayed signatures of natural selection. The adaptive variation was driven by diverse environmental pressures such as low spring precipitation, low annual temperature, and soil grid sizes. Using linear-regression-based methods, we identified isolation by environment (IBE) as the optimal model for adaptive SNPs. Redundancy analysis (RDA) further revealed a substantial joint influence of demography, geology, and environments, suggesting a covariation between environmental gradients and colonization history. Lastly, we utilized adaptive signals to estimate the genetic offset for each individual under diverse climate change scenarios. The required genetic changes and migration distance are larger in severe climates. Our prediction also reveals potential threats to edge populations in northern and southeastern Taiwan due to escalating temperatures and precipitation reallocation.<br><br>CONCLUSIONS: We demonstrate the intricate influence of ecological heterogeneity on genetic and phenotypic adaptation of an oak species. The adaptation is also driven by some rarely studied environmental factors, including wind speed and soil features. Furthermore, the genetic offset analysis predicted that the edge populations of Q. longinux in lower elevations might face higher risks of local extinctions under climate change.},
}
@article {pmid38609540,
year = {2024},
author = {Xue, S and Massazza, A and Akhter-Khan, SC and Wray, B and Husain, MI and Lawrance, EL},
title = {Mental health and psychosocial interventions in the context of climate change: a scoping review.},
journal = {Npj mental health research},
volume = {3},
number = {1},
pages = {10},
pmid = {38609540},
issn = {2731-4251},
abstract = {The evidence on the impacts of climate change on mental health and wellbeing is growing rapidly. The objective of this scoping review is to understand the extent and type of existing mental health and psychosocial interventions aimed at addressing the mental health and psychosocial impacts of climate change. A scoping review methodology was followed. MEDLINE, PsycINFO, and Web of Science databases were searched from inception to May 2022. Comprehensive gray literature search, including expert consultation, was conducted to identify interventions for which peer-reviewed academic literature may not yet be available. Data on intervention type, setting, climate stressor, mental health outcome, evaluation, and any other available details were extracted, and results were summarized narratively. Academic literature search identified 16 records and gray literature search identified a further 24 records. Altogether, 37 unique interventions or packages of interventions were identified. The interventions act at the levels of microsystem, mesosystem, exosystem, and macrosystem through diverse mechanisms. While most interventions have not been formally evaluated, promising preliminary results support interventions in low- and middle-income-country settings disproportionately affected by climate disasters. Interventions from multidisciplinary fields are emerging to reduce psychological distress and enhance mental health and wellbeing in the context of climate change. This scoping review details existing evidence on the interventions and summarizes intervention gaps and lessons learned to inform continued intervention development and scale-up interventions.},
}
@article {pmid38609066,
year = {2024},
author = {Abdullah, MA and Chuah, LF and Zakariya, R and Syed, A and Hasan, RC and Mahmud, SM and Elgorban, AM and Bokhari, A and Akhtar, MS and Al-Shwaiman, HA},
title = {Evaluating climate change impacts on reef environments via multibeam echo sounder and acoustic Doppler current profiler technology.},
journal = {Environmental research},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {118858},
doi = {10.1016/j.envres.2024.118858},
pmid = {38609066},
issn = {1096-0953},
abstract = {Crucial to the Earth's oceans, ocean currents dynamically react to various factors, including rotation, wind patterns, temperature fluctuations, alterations in salinity and the gravitational pull of the moon. Climate change impacts coastal ecosystems, emphasizing the need for understanding these currents. This study explores multibeam echo sounder (MBES), specifically R2-Sonic 2020, offering detailed seabed information. Investigating coral reefs, rocky reefs and artificial reefs aimed to map seafloor currents movement and their climate change responses. MBES data study explores multibeam echo sounder (MBES), specifically R2-Sonic 2020, offering detailed seabed information. Investigating coral reefs, rocky reefs and artificial reefs aimed to map seafloor currents movement and their climate change responses. MBES data viz. Bathymetry and backscatter were classified and acoustic doppler current profiler (ADCP) ground data were validated using random forest regression. Results indicated high precision in currents speed measurement i.e. coral reefs with 0.96, artificial reefs with 0.94 and rocky reefs with 0.97. Currents direction accuracy was notable in coral reefs with 0.85, slightly lower in rocky reefs with 0.72 and artificial reefs with 0.60. Random forest identified sediment and backscatter as key for speed prediction while direction relies on bathymetry, slope and aspect. The study emphasizes integrating sediment size, backscatter, bathymetry and ADCP data for seafloor current analysis. This multibeam data on sediments and currents support better marine spatial planning and determine biodiversity patterns planning in the reef area.},
}
@article {pmid38607559,
year = {2024},
author = {Pauline, NM and Lema, GA},
title = {Consideration of Climate Change on Environmental Impact Assessment in Tanzania: Challenges and Prospects.},
journal = {Environmental management},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
pmid = {38607559},
issn = {1432-1009},
abstract = {The potential of the environmental impact assessment (EIA) process to respond to climate change impacts of development projects can only be realized with the support of policies, regulations, and actors' engagement. While considering climate change in EIA has become partly mandatory through the EU revised Directive in Europe, African countries are still lagging. This paper assesses Tanzanian policies, laws, regulations, and EIA reports to uncover consideration of climate change impacts, adaptation, and mitigation measures, drawing from the transformational role of EIA. The methodology integrates content analysis, interpretive policy analysis, and discourse analysis. The analyses draw from environmental policy, three regulatory documents and three EIA reports in Tanzania using a multi-cases study design. The aim was to understand how considering Climate Change issues in EIA has played out in practice. Results reveal less consideration of climate change issues in EIA. The policy, laws, and regulations do not guide when and how the EIA process should consider climate change-related impacts mitigation and adaptation. The practice of EIA in the country is utterly procedural in line with regulations provisions. Consequently, environmental impact statements only profile the climatology of the study area without conducting a deeper analysis of the historical and future climate to enhance the resilience of proposed projects. The weakness exposed in the laws and regulations contributes to the challenges of responding to the impacts of climate change through the EIA process. It is possible to address climate change issues throughout the project life cycle, including design, approval, implementation, monitoring, and auditing, provided the policy and regulations guide how and when the EIA process should consider climate change issues. Additionally, increasing stakeholders' awareness and participation can enhance the EIA process's potential to respond to the impacts of climate change.},
}
@article {pmid38605338,
year = {2024},
author = {Hosseini, N and Ghorbanpour, M and Mostafavi, H},
title = {The influence of climate change on the future distribution of two Thymus species in Iran: MaxEnt model-based prediction.},
journal = {BMC plant biology},
volume = {24},
number = {1},
pages = {269},
pmid = {38605338},
issn = {1471-2229},
abstract = {Within a few decades, the species habitat was reshaped at an alarming rate followed by climate change, leading to mass extinction, especially for sensitive species. Species distribution models (SDMs), which estimate both present and future species distribution, have been extensively developed to investigate the impacts of climate change on species distribution and assess habitat suitability. In the West Asia essential oils of T. daenensis and T. kotschyanus include high amounts of thymol and carvacrol and are commonly used as herbal tea, spice, flavoring agents and medicinal plants. Therefore, this study aimed to model these Thymus species in Iran using the MaxEnt model under two representative concentration pathways (RCP 4.5 and RCP 8.5) for the years 2050 and 2070. The findings revealed that the mean temperature of the warmest quarter (bio10) was the most significant variable affecting the distribution of T. daenensis. In the case of T. kotschyanus, slope percentage was the primary influencing factor. The MaxEnt modeling also demonstrated excellent performance, as indicated by all the Area Under the Curve (AUC) values exceeding 0.9. Moreover, based on the projections, the two mentioned species are expected to undergo negative area changes in the coming years. These results can serve as a valuable achievement for developing adaptive management strategies aimed at enhancing protection and sustainable utilization in the context of global climate change.},
}
@article {pmid38605161,
year = {2024},
author = {Bisanti, L and La Corte, C and Dara, M and Bertini, F and Parisi, MG and Chemello, R and Cammarata, M and Parrinello, D},
title = {Global warming-related response after bacterial challenge in Astroides calycularis, a Mediterranean thermophilic coral.},
journal = {Scientific reports},
volume = {14},
number = {1},
pages = {8495},
pmid = {38605161},
issn = {2045-2322},
abstract = {A worldwide increase in the prevalence of coral diseases and mortality has been linked to ocean warming due to changes in coral-associated bacterial communities, pathogen virulence, and immune system function. In the Mediterranean basin, the worrying upward temperature trend has already caused recurrent mass mortality events in recent decades. To evaluate how elevated seawater temperatures affect the immune response of a thermophilic coral species, colonies of Astroides calycularis were exposed to environmental (23 °C) or elevated (28 °C) temperatures, and subsequently challenged with bacterial lipopolysaccharides (LPS). Using immunolabeling with specific antibodies, we detected the production of Toll-like receptor 4 (TLR4) and nuclear factor kappa B (NF-kB), molecules involved in coral immune responses, and heat shock protein 70 (HSP70) activity, involved in general responses to thermal stress. A histological approach allowed us to characterize the tissue sites of activation (epithelium and/or gastroderm) under different experimental conditions. The activity patterns of the examined markers after 6 h of LPS stimulation revealed an up-modulation at environmental temperature. Under warmer conditions plus LPS-challenge, TLR4-NF-kB activation was almost completely suppressed, while constituent elevated values were recorded under thermal stress only. An HSP70 up-regulation appeared in both treatments at elevated temperature, with a significantly higher activation in LPS-challenge colonies. Such an approach is useful for further understanding the molecular pathogen-defense mechanisms in corals in order to disentangle the complex interactive effects on the health of these ecologically relevant organisms related to global climate change.},
}
@article {pmid38604367,
year = {2024},
author = {Afifa, and Arshad, K and Hussain, N and Ashraf, MH and Saleem, MZ},
title = {Air pollution and climate change as grand challenges to sustainability.},
journal = {The Science of the total environment},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {172370},
doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.172370},
pmid = {38604367},
issn = {1879-1026},
abstract = {There is a cross-disciplinary link between air pollution, climate crisis, and sustainable lifestyle as they are the most complex struggles of the present century. This review takes an in-depth look at this relationship, considering carbon dioxide emissions primarily from the burning of fossil fuels as the main contributor to global warming and focusing on primary SLCPs such as methane and ground-level ozone. Such pollutants severely alter the climate through the generation of greenhouse gases. The discussion is extensive and includes best practices from conventional pollution control technologies to hi-tech alternatives, including electric vehicles, the use of renewables, and green decentralized solutions. It also addresses policy matters, such as imposing stricter emissions standards, setting stronger environmental regulations, and rethinking some economic measures. Besides that, new developments such as congestion charges, air ionization, solar-assisted cleaning systems, and photocatalytic materials are among the products discussed. These strategies differ in relation to the local conditions and therefore exhibit a varying effectiveness level, but they remain evident as a tool of pollution deterrence. This stresses the importance of holistic and inclusive approach in terms of engineering, policies, stakeholders, and ecological spheres to tackle.},
}
@article {pmid38603492,
year = {2024},
author = {Voosen, P},
title = {Clearer skies may be accelerating global warming.},
journal = {Science (New York, N.Y.)},
volume = {384},
number = {6692},
pages = {147-148},
doi = {10.1126/science.adp7469},
pmid = {38603492},
issn = {1095-9203},
abstract = {Study suggests declining pollution is one cause of worldwide rise in absorbed solar energy.},
}
@article {pmid38600619,
year = {2024},
author = {Adamczyk, B},
title = {Tannins and Climate Change: Are Tannins Able To Stabilize Carbon in the Soil?.},
journal = {Journal of agricultural and food chemistry},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1021/acs.jafc.4c00703},
pmid = {38600619},
issn = {1520-5118},
abstract = {The interaction between tannins and proteins has been studied intensively for more than half a century as a result of its significance for various applications. In chemical ecology, tannins are involved in response to environmental stress, including biotic (pathogens and herbivores) and abiotic (e.g., drought) stress, and in carbon (C) and nutrient cycling. This perspective summarizes the newest insights into the role of tannins in soil processes, including the interaction with fungi leading to C stabilization. Recent knowledge presented here may help to optimize land management to increase or preserve soil C to mitigate climate change.},
}
@article {pmid38600271,
year = {2024},
author = {Chowdhury, M and Martínez-Sansigre, A and Mole, M and Alonso-Peleato, E and Basos, N and Blanco, JM and Ramirez-Nicolas, M and Caballero, I and de la Calle, I},
title = {AI-driven remote sensing enhances Mediterranean seagrass monitoring and conservation to combat climate change and anthropogenic impacts.},
journal = {Scientific reports},
volume = {14},
number = {1},
pages = {8360},
pmid = {38600271},
issn = {2045-2322},
support = {DIN2020-010979/AEI/10.13039/501100011033//Spanish Ministerio de Ciencia e Innovaci&#xf3;n/ ; QSR-ESABIC-2018-001//European Space Agency Business Incubation Centre/ ; },
abstract = {Seagrasses are undergoing widespread loss due to anthropogenic pressure and climate change. Since 1960, the Mediterranean seascape lost 13-50% of the areal extent of its dominant and endemic seagrass-Posidonia oceanica, which regulates its ecosystem. Many conservation and restoration projects failed due to poor site selection and lack of long-term monitoring. Here, we present a fast and efficient operational approach based on a deep-learning artificial intelligence model using Sentinel-2 data to map the spatial extent of the meadows, enabling short and long-term monitoring, and identifying the impacts of natural and human-induced stressors and changes at different timescales. We apply ACOLITE atmospheric correction to the satellite data and use the output to train the model along with the ancillary data and therefore, map the extent of the meadows. We apply noise-removing filters to enhance the map quality. We obtain 74-92% of overall accuracy, 72-91% of user's accuracy, and 81-92% of producer's accuracy, where high accuracies are observed at 0-25 m depth. Our model is easily adaptable to other regions and can produce maps in in-situ data-scarce regions, providing a first-hand overview. Our approach can be a support to the Mediterranean Posidonia Network, which brings together different stakeholders such as authorities, scientists, international environmental organizations, professionals including yachting agents and marinas from the Mediterranean countries to protect all P. oceanica meadows in the Mediterranean Sea by 2030 and increase each country's capability to protect these meadows by providing accurate and up-to-date maps to prevent its future degradation.},
}
@article {pmid38600270,
year = {2024},
author = {Pearson, H},
title = {The rise of eco-anxiety: scientists wake up to the mental-health toll of climate change.},
journal = {Nature},
volume = {628},
number = {8007},
pages = {256-258},
pmid = {38600270},
issn = {1476-4687},
}
@article {pmid38600269,
year = {2024},
author = {},
title = {What happens when climate change and the mental-health crisis collide?.},
journal = {Nature},
volume = {628},
number = {8007},
pages = {235},
pmid = {38600269},
issn = {1476-4687},
}
@article {pmid38599397,
year = {2024},
author = {Onyekwelu, I and Sharda, V},
title = {Root proliferation adaptation strategy improved maize productivity in the US Great Plains: Insights from crop simulation model under future climate change.},
journal = {The Science of the total environment},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {172205},
doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.172205},
pmid = {38599397},
issn = {1879-1026},
abstract = {Adaptation measures are essential for reducing the impact of future climate risks on agricultural production systems. The present study focuses on implementing an adaptation strategy to mitigate the impact of future climate change on rainfed maize production in the Eastern Kansas River Basin (EKSRB), an important rainfed maize-producing region in the US Great Plains, which faces potential challenges of future climate risks due to a significant east-to-west aridity gradient. We used a calibrated CERES-Maize crop model to evaluate the impacts of baseline climate conditions (1985-2014), late-term future climate scenarios (under the SSP245 emission pathway and CMIP6 models), and a novel root proliferation adaptation strategy on regional maize yield and rainfall productivity. Changes in the plant root system by increasing the root density could lead to yield benefits, especially under drought conditions. Therefore, we modified the governing equation of soil root growth in the CERES-Maize model to reflect the genetic influence of a maize cultivar to improve root density by proliferation. Under baseline conditions, maize yield values ranged from 6522 to 12,849 kgha[-1], with a regional average value of 9270 kgha[-1]. Projections for the late-term scenario indicate a substantial decline in maize yield (36 % to 50 %) and rainfall productivity (25 % to 42 %). Introducing a hypothetical maize cultivar by employing root proliferation as an adaptation strategy resulted in a 27 % increase in regional maize yield, and a 28 % increase in rainfall productivity compared to the reference cultivar without adaptation. We observed an indication of spatial dependency of maize yield and rainfall productivity on the regional precipitation gradient, with counties towards the east having an implicit advantage over those in the west. These findings offer valuable insights for the US Great Plains maize growers and breeders, guiding strategic decisions to adapt rainfed maize production to the region's impending challenges posed by climate change.},
}
@article {pmid38598437,
year = {2024},
author = {Tucholska, K and Gulla, B and Ziernicka-Wojtaszek, A},
title = {Climate change beliefs, emotions and pro-environmental behaviors among adults: The role of core personality traits and the time perspective.},
journal = {PloS one},
volume = {19},
number = {4},
pages = {e0300246},
doi = {10.1371/journal.pone.0300246},
pmid = {38598437},
issn = {1932-6203},
abstract = {Climate change and its consequences are recognized as one of the most important challenges to the functioning of the Earth's ecosystem and humanity. However, the response to the threat posed by the climate crisis still seems inadequate. The question of which psychological factors cause people to engage (or not) in pro-environmental behavior remains without a comprehensive answer. The aim of this study is to establish the links between the cognitive (level of knowledge about climate change and degree of belief in climate myths), emotional (various climate emotions, especially climate anxiety) and behavioral aspects of attitudes towards the climate crisis and their determinants in the form of the Big Five personality domains and time perspectives. The stated hypotheses were verified by analyzing data collected in an online survey of 333 adults using knowledge tests and self-report methods, including psychological questionnaires (Climate Change Anxiety Scale by Clayton and Karazsia, Big Five Inventory-short version by Schupp and Gerlitz, and Zimbardo Time Perspective Inventory by Zimbardo and Boyd), and measurement scales developed for this study (Climate myth belief scale, Climate emotion scale, and Inventories of current and planned pro-environmental activities). The results of stepwise regression analysis demonstrate the importance of the core personality traits and the dominant temporal perspective as determinants of belief in climate change myths, climate anxiety, as well as actual and planned pro-environmental behavior.},
}
@article {pmid38598325,
year = {2024},
author = {Lee, BR and Schaffer-Morrison, S},
title = {Forests of the future: The importance of tree seedling research in understanding forest response to anthropogenic climate change.},
journal = {Tree physiology},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1093/treephys/tpae039},
pmid = {38598325},
issn = {1758-4469},
}
@article {pmid38597771,
year = {2024},
author = {Escudero, V and Fuenzalida, M and Rezende, EL and González-Guerrero, M and Roschzttardtz, H},
title = {Perspectives on embryo maturation and seed quality in a global climate change scenario.},
journal = {Journal of experimental botany},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1093/jxb/erae154},
pmid = {38597771},
issn = {1460-2431},
abstract = {Global climate change has already brought noticeable alterations to multiple regions of our planet. Several important steps of plant growth and development, such as embryogenesis, can be affected by environmental changes. For instance, these changes would affect how stored nutrients are used during early stages of seed germination as it transitions from a heterotrophic to autotrophic metabolism, a critical period for the seedling's survival. In this perspective, we provide a brief description of relevant processes that occur during embryo maturation and account for nutrient accumulation, which are sensitive to environmental change. As examples of the effects associated with climate change are increased CO2 levels and changes in temperature. During seed development, most of the nutrients stored in the seed are accumulated during the seed maturation stage. These nutrients include, depending on the plant species, carbohydrates, lipids and proteins. Regarding micronutrients, it has also been established that iron, a key micronutrient for various electron transfer processes in plant cells, accumulates during embryo maturation. Several articles have been published indicating that climate change can affect the quality of the seed, in terms of total nutritional content, but also, it may affect seed production. Here we discuss the potential effects of temperature and CO2 increase from an embryo autonomous point of view, in an attempt to separate the maternal effects from embryonic effects.},
}
@article {pmid38597525,
year = {2024},
author = {Cella, W and Silva Junior, RCAD and Pimenta, PFP and Monteiro, WM},
title = {Morphometry of the wings of Anopheles aquasalis in simulated scenarios of climate change.},
journal = {Revista da Sociedade Brasileira de Medicina Tropical},
volume = {57},
number = {},
pages = {e00704},
doi = {10.1590/0037-8682-0454-2023},
pmid = {38597525},
issn = {1678-9849},
abstract = {BACKGROUND: Climate change has significant implications on ecosystems. We verified the effects of climate change on the malaria vector Anopheles aquasalis using simulated climate change scenarios (SSCCs).<br><br>METHODS: An experimental model was designed for SSCCs, which composed of air-conditioned 25 m3 rooms.<br><br>RESULTS: The wing size was significantly different between SSCCs. A colony of Anopheles aquasalis could not be established in extreme scenarios.<br><br>CONCLUSIONS: Increases in temperature and CO2 in the atmosphere may modify the global epidemiology of malaria, marking its emergence in currently malaria-free areas.},
}
@article {pmid38596799,
year = {2024},
author = {Leddin, D and Singh, H and Armstrong, D and Cheyne, K and Galts, C and Igoe, J and Leontiadis, G and McGrath, J and Pray, C and Sadowski, D and Shahidi, N and Sinclair, P and Tse, F and Yanofsky, R},
title = {The Canadian Association of Gastroenterology's New Climate Change Committee.},
journal = {Journal of the Canadian Association of Gastroenterology},
volume = {7},
number = {2},
pages = {135-136},
pmid = {38596799},
issn = {2515-2092},
}
@article {pmid38596378,
year = {2024},
author = {Li, S and Nilsson, E and Seidel, L and Ketzer, M and Forsman, A and Dopson, M and Hylander, S},
title = {Baltic Sea coastal sediment-bound eukaryotes have increased year-round activities under predicted climate change related warming.},
journal = {Frontiers in microbiology},
volume = {15},
number = {},
pages = {1369102},
pmid = {38596378},
issn = {1664-302X},
abstract = {Climate change related warming is a serious environmental problem attributed to anthropogenic activities, causing ocean water temperatures to rise in the coastal marine ecosystem since the last century. This particularly affects benthic microbial communities, which are crucial for biogeochemical cycles. While bacterial communities have received considerable scientific attention, the benthic eukaryotic community response to climate change remains relatively overlooked. In this study, sediments were sampled from a heated (average 5°C increase over the whole year for over 50 years) and a control (contemporary conditions) Baltic Sea bay during four different seasons across a year. RNA transcript counts were then used to investigate eukaryotic community changes under long-term warming. The composition of active species in the heated and control bay sediment eukaryotic communities differed, which was mainly attributed to salinity and temperature. The family level RNA transcript alpha diversity in the heated bay was higher during May but lower in November, compared with the control bay, suggesting altered seasonal activity patterns and dynamics. In addition, structures of the active eukaryotic communities varied between the two bays during the same season. Hence, this study revealed that long-term warming can change seasonality in eukaryotic diversity patterns. Relative abundances and transcript expression comparisons between bays suggested that some taxa that now have lower mRNA transcripts numbers could be favored by future warming. Furthermore, long-term warming can lead to a more active metabolism in these communities throughout the year, such as higher transcript numbers associated with diatom energy production and protein synthesis in the heated bay during winter. In all, these data can help predict how future global warming will affect the ecology and metabolism of eukaryotic community in coastal sediments.},
}
@article {pmid38596117,
year = {2024},
author = {Wang, Y and Wang, Z},
title = {Change of spermatophyte family diversity in distribution patterns with climate change in China.},
journal = {Heliyon},
volume = {10},
number = {7},
pages = {e28519},
pmid = {38596117},
issn = {2405-8440},
abstract = {The global climate is undergoing extraordinary changes, profoundly influencing a variety of ecological processes. Understanding the distribution patterns and predicting the future of plant diversity is crucial for biodiversity conservation in the context of climate change. However, current studies on predictive geographic patterns of plant diversity often fail to separate the effects of global climate change from other influencing factors. In this study, we developed a spatial simulation model of spermatophyte family diversity (SSMSFD) based on data collected from 200 nature reserves covering approximately 1,500,000 km[2], where direct anthropogenic disturbances to plant diversity and the surrounding environment are absent. We predicted the spermatophyte family diversity for all provinces in China in 2020, 2040, and 2080, considering the impacts of global climate change. On average, China currently exhibits 118 plant families per 25 km[2], with a decreasing trend from southeast to northwest. When considering only the effects of global climate change, excluding direct anthropogenic disturbances, our results indicate that under the Shared Socioeconomic Path Scenarios (SSPs) 245 and 585, spermatophyte family diversity is projected to slowly increase in most Chinese provinces from 2021 to 2080. Notably, the increase is more pronounced under SSPs585 compared to SSPs245. Global climate change has a positive effect on plant diversity, in contrast to the negative impact of anthropogenic disturbances that often lead to declines in plant diversity. This research highlights the contrasting outcomes of future plant diversity under the sole influence of global climate change and the significant negative effects of anthropogenic disturbances on diversity.},
}
@article {pmid38596012,
year = {2024},
author = {Berhanu, AA and Ayele, ZB and Dagnew, DC and Melese, T and Fenta, AB and Kassie, KE},
title = {Smallholder farmers' vulnerability to climate change and variability: Evidence from three agroecologies in the Upper Blue Nile, Ethiopia.},
journal = {Heliyon},
volume = {10},
number = {7},
pages = {e28277},
pmid = {38596012},
issn = {2405-8440},
abstract = {This study delves into the profound impact of climate change on agriculture in Ethiopia, particularly the vulnerabilities faced by smallholder farmers and the resulting implications for poverty. Focusing on three distinct agroecologies, namely: highland, midland, and lowland zones. The study employed a robust methodology, combining a cross-sectional survey, spatial-temporal trend analysis using GIS, and the development of an overall vulnerability index through the balanced weighted average method. The study, encompassing 646 households, combines data from a variety of sources and analytical tools like the vulnerability index, ArcGIS 10.8, and ERDA's IMAGINE 2015. Utilizing the LVI-IPCC scale, the study shows that climate change is an immediate vulnerability in all agroecological zones. It identifies highland areas as the most sensitive and exposed regions, while lowland households are found to be the most vulnerable in terms of overall vulnerabilities. The research reveals specific challenges faced by communities, such as inadequate health facilities and insufficient food and water supplies in both highland and lowland agroecosystems. Additionally, our investigation has observed a significant alteration in land use practices, specifically the shift from communal grazing land to private cultivation and plantations, emphasizing eucalyptus. This alteration enhances the ecosystem's vulnerability to climate disturbances. The study suggests targeted interventions, such as advocating for sustainable land-use practices, afforestation, and adopting climate-smart agriculture practices. It is important to implement policy measures that prioritize conserving and restoring shrubland, grazing land, and natural forests to ensure both long-term socio-economic and ecosystem resilience. The study's nuanced insights are instrumental in understanding the diverse challenges posed by climate change in Ethiopian agriculture, supporting informed policymaking and sustainable interventions.},
}
@article {pmid38595907,
year = {2024},
author = {Wakatsuki, H and Takimoto, T and Ishigooka, Y and Nishimori, M and Sakata, M and Saida, N and Akagi, K and Makowski, D and Hasegawa, T},
title = {A dataset for analyzing the climate change response of grain quality of 48 Japanese rice cultivars with contrasting levels of heat tolerance.},
journal = {Data in brief},
volume = {54},
number = {},
pages = {110352},
pmid = {38595907},
issn = {2352-3409},
abstract = {Climate change has a significant impact on rice grain appearance quality; in particular, high temperatures during the grain filling period increase the rate of chalky immature grains, reducing the marketability of rice. Heat-tolerant cultivars have been bred and released to reduce the rate of chalky grain and improve rice quality under high temperatures, but the ability of these cultivars to actually reduce chalky grain content has never been demonstrated due to the lack of integrated datasets. Here, we present a dataset collected through a systematic literature search from publicly available data sources, for the quantitative analysis of the impact of meteorological factors on grain appearance quality of various rice cultivars with contrasted heat tolerance levels. The dataset contains 1302 field observations of chalky grain rates (%) - a critical trait affecting grain appearance sensitive to temperature shocks - for 48 cultivars covering five different heat-tolerant ranks (HTRs) collected at 44 sites across Japan. The dataset also includes the values of key meteorological variables during the grain filling period, such as the cumulative mean air temperature above the threshold temperature (TaHD), mean solar radiation, and mean relative humidity over 20 days after heading, obtained from a gridded daily meteorological dataset with a 1-km resolution developed by the National Agriculture and Food Research Organization. The dataset covers major commercial rice cultivars cultivated in Japan in different environmental conditions. It is a useful resource for analyzing the climate change impact on crop quality and assess the effectiveness of genetic improvements in heat tolerance. Its value has been illustrated in the research article entitled "Effectiveness of heat tolerance rice cultivars in preserving grain appearance quality under high temperatures - A meta-analysis", where the dataset was used to develop a statistical model quantifying the effects of high temperature on grain quality as a function of cultivar heat tolerance.},
}
@article {pmid38594061,
year = {2024},
author = {Cave, JA},
title = {Medicines and global warming: a complex problem.},
journal = {Drug and therapeutics bulletin},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1136/dtb.2024.000003},
pmid = {38594061},
issn = {1755-5248},
}
@article {pmid38593880,
year = {2024},
author = {Quan, Q and Yi, F and Liu, H},
title = {Fertilizer response to climate change: Evidence from corn production in China.},
journal = {The Science of the total environment},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {172226},
doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.172226},
pmid = {38593880},
issn = {1879-1026},
abstract = {Corn is the third most cultivated food crop in the world, and climate change has important effects on corn production and food security. China is the top user of chemical fertilizer in the world, and analyzing how to effectively manage fertilizer application in such a developing country with resource constraints is crucial. We present empirical evidence from China to demonstrate the nonlinear impact of temperature on fertilizer usage in corn production based on a panel dataset that shows 2297 corn-growing counties during 1998-2016. Our findings indicate that fertilizer usage barely changes with increasing temperatures that are below 28 °C; however, exposure to temperatures above 28 °C leads to a sharp increase in fertilizer use. The increase in temperatures in the sample period implies that fertilizer usage per hectare for corn increased by 1.5 kg. Summer corn fertilizer application in the Yellow-Huai River Valley is more sensitive to warming than in the North region. Moreover, nitrogen, phosphorus, and potassium fertilizers have different temperature thresholds of 32 °C, 20 °C, and 20 °C, respectively, that cause significant changes.},
}
@article {pmid38597466,
year = {2023},
author = {Miranda, JJ and Zavaleta-Cortijo, C},
title = {The food crisis in the context of climate change and sustainable development goals.},
journal = {Revista peruana de medicina experimental y salud publica},
volume = {40},
number = {4},
pages = {392-394},
doi = {10.17843/rpmesp.2023.404.13553},
pmid = {38597466},
issn = {1726-4642},
}
@article {pmid38593742,
year = {2024},
author = {Nuñez, JA and Aguiar, S and Jobbágy, EG and Jiménez, YG and Baldassini, P},
title = {Climate change and land cover effects on water yield in a subtropical watershed spanning the yungas-chaco transition of Argentina.},
journal = {Journal of environmental management},
volume = {358},
number = {},
pages = {120808},
doi = {10.1016/j.jenvman.2024.120808},
pmid = {38593742},
issn = {1095-8630},
abstract = {The demand for mountain water resources is increasing, and their availability is threatened by climate change, emphasizing the urgency for effective protection and management. The upper Sali-Dulce watershed holds vital significance as it contributes the majority of the Sali-Dulce water resources, supporting a densely populated dry region in Northwestern Argentina, covering an area of 24,217 km[2]. However, the potential impact of climate change and land use/land cover change on water yield in this watershed remains uncertain. This study employs the InVEST Annual Water Yield model to analyze the average water yield in the watershed and evaluate its potential changes under future scenarios of climate and land use/land cover change. InVEST was calibrated using data from multiple river gauges located across the watershed, indicating satisfactory performance (R[2] = 0.751, p-value = 0.0054). Precipitation and evapotranspiration were the most important variables explaining water yield in the area, followed by land use. Water yield showed a notable concentration in the montane area with 40% of the watershed accounting for 80% of the water yield, underscoring the importance of conserving natural land cover in this critical zone. Climate change scenarios project an increase in water yield ranging from 21 to 75%, while the effects of land cover change scenarios on water yield vary, with reforestation scenarios leading to reductions of up to 15% and expansions in non-irrigated agriculture resulting in increases of up to 40%. Additionally, water yield distribution may become more concentrated or dispersed, largely dependent on the type of land cover. The combined scenarios highlight the pivotal role of land cover in adapting to climate change. Our findings provide valuable insights for designing future studies and developing policies aimed at implementing effective adaptation strategies to climate change within the Salí-Dulce watershed.},
}
@article {pmid38592902,
year = {2024},
author = {Alanís-Méndez, JL and Soto, V and Limón-Salvador, F},
title = {Effects of Climate Change on the Distribution of Prosthechea mariae (Orchidaceae) and within Protected Areas in Mexico.},
journal = {Plants (Basel, Switzerland)},
volume = {13},
number = {6},
pages = {},
doi = {10.3390/plants13060839},
pmid = {38592902},
issn = {2223-7747},
abstract = {The impact of climate change on the distribution of native species in the Neotropics remains uncertain for most species. Prosthechea mariae is an endemic epiphytic orchid in Mexico, categorized as threatened. The objective of this study was to assess the effect of climate change on the natural distribution of P. mariae and the capacity of protected areas (PAs) to safeguard optimal environmental conditions for the species in the future. Historical records were obtained from herbaria collections and through field surveys. We utilized climate variables from WorldClim for the baseline scenario and for the 2050 period, using the general circulation models CCSM4 and CNRM-CM5 (RCP 4.5). Three sets of climate data were created for the distribution models, and multiple models were evaluated using the kuenm package. We found that the species is restricted to the eastern region of the country. The projections of future scenarios predict not only a substantial reduction in habitat but also an increase in habitat fragmentation. Ten PAs were found within the current distribution area of the species; in the future, the species could lose between 36% and 48% of its available habitat within these PAs. The results allowed for the identification of locations where climate change will have the most severe effects, and proposals for long-term conservation are addressed.},
}
@article {pmid38592822,
year = {2024},
author = {Wang, C and Zhang, Y and Sheng, Q and Zhu, Z},
title = {Impacts of Climate Change on the Biogeography and Ecological Structure of Zelkova schneideriana Hand.-Mazz. in China.},
journal = {Plants (Basel, Switzerland)},
volume = {13},
number = {6},
pages = {},
doi = {10.3390/plants13060798},
pmid = {38592822},
issn = {2223-7747},
support = {KYCX23_1261//Postgraduate Research and Practice Innovation Program of Jiangsu Province/ ; 21YJCZH131//Ministry of Education Humanities and Social Sciences Research/ ; YESS20220054//Young elite scientist sponsorship program by cast in China Association for Science and Technology/ ; 21GLC002//Social Science Foundation Project of Jiangsu Province/ ; 32101582//National Natural Science Foundation of China/ ; BK20210613//Natural Science Foundation of Jiangsu Province of China/ ; 21KJB220008//The Natural Science Foundation of the Jiangsu Higher Education Institutions of China/ ; 32071832//The National Natural Science Foundation of China/ ; None//"Qing Lan Project" in Jiangsu Province of China/ ; },
abstract = {This study utilized the platform for ensemble forecasting of species distributions, biomod2, to predict and quantitatively analyze the distribution changes of Zelkova schneideriana Hand.-Mazz. under different climate scenarios (SSP1-2.6 and SSP5-8.5) based on climate and land-use data. This study evaluated the geographic range changes in future distribution areas and the results indicated that, under both SSP1-2.6 and SSP5-8.5 scenarios, the distribution area of Zelkova schneideriana would be reduced, showing a trend towards migration to higher latitudes and elevations. Particularly, in the more extreme SSP5-8.5 scenario, the contraction of the distribution area was more pronounced, accompanied by more significant migration characteristics. Furthermore, the ecological structure within the distribution area of Zelkova schneideriana also experienced significant changes, with an increasing degree of fragmentation. The variables of Bio6 (minimum temperature of the coldest month), Bio2 (mean diurnal temperature range), Bio15 (precipitation seasonality), and elevation exhibited important influences on the distribution of Zelkova schneideriana, with temperature being particularly significant. Changes in land use, especially the conversion of cropland, had a significant impact on the species' habitat. These research findings highlight the distributional pressures faced by Zelkova schneideriana in the future, emphasizing the crucial need for targeted conservation measures to protect this species and similar organisms.},
}
@article {pmid38592634,
year = {2024},
author = {Vaissi, S and Chahardoli, A and Haghighi, ZMS and Heshmatzad, P},
title = {Metal nanoparticle-induced effects on green toads (Amphibia, Anura) under climate change: conservation implications.},
journal = {Environmental science and pollution research international},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
pmid = {38592634},
issn = {1614-7499},
abstract = {The toxicity of aluminum oxide (Al2O3), copper oxide (CuO), iron oxide (Fe3O4), nickel oxide (NiO), zinc oxide (ZnO), and titanium dioxide (TiO2) nanoparticles (NPs) on amphibians and their interaction with high temperatures, remain unknown. In this study, we investigated the survival, developmental, behavioral, and histological reactions of Bufotes viridis embryos and larvae exposed to different NPs for a duration of 10 days, using lethal concentrations (LC25%, LC50%, and LC75% mg/L) under both ambient (AT: 18 °C) and high (HT: 21 °C) temperatures. Based on LC, NiONPs > ZnONPs > CuONPs > Al2O3NPs > TiO2NPs > Fe3O4NPs showed the highest mortality at AT. A similar pattern was observed at HT, although mortality occurred at lower concentrations and Fe3O4NPs were more toxic than TiO2NPs. The results indicated that increasing concentrations of NPs significantly reduced hatching rates, except for TiO2NPs. Survival rates decreased, abnormality rates increased, and developmental processes slowed down, particularly for NiONPs and ZnONPs, under HT conditions. However, exposure to low concentrations of Fe3O4NPs for up to 7 days, CuONPs for up to 72 h, and NiO, ZnONPs, and TiO2NPs for up to 96 h did not have a negative impact on survival compared with the control group under AT. In behavioral tests with larvae, NPs generally induced hypoactivity at AT and hyperactivity at HT. Histological findings revealed liver and internal gill tissue lesions, and an increase in the number of melanomacrophage centers at HT. These results suggest that global warming may exacerbate the toxicity of metal oxide NPs to amphibians, emphasizing the need for further research and conservation efforts in this context.},
}
@article {pmid38590812,
year = {2024},
author = {Coker, ES and Stone, SL and McTigue, E and Yao, JA and Brigham, EP and Schwandt, M and Henderson, SB},
title = {Climate change and health: rethinking public health messaging for wildfire smoke and extreme heat co-exposures.},
journal = {Frontiers in public health},
volume = {12},
number = {},
pages = {1324662},
pmid = {38590812},
issn = {2296-2565},
abstract = {With the growing climate change crisis, public health agencies and practitioners must increasingly develop guidance documents addressing the public health risks and protective measures associated with multi-hazard events. Our Policy and Practice Review aims to assess current public health guidance and related messaging about co-exposure to wildfire smoke and extreme heat and recommend strengthened messaging to better protect people from these climate-sensitive hazards. We reviewed public health messaging published by governmental agencies between January 2013 and May 2023 in Canada and the United States. Publicly available resources were eligible if they discussed the co-occurrence of wildfire smoke and extreme heat and mentioned personal interventions (protective measures) to prevent exposure to either hazard. We reviewed local, regional, and national governmental agency messaging resources, such as online fact sheets and guidance documents. We assessed these resources according to four public health messaging themes, including (1) discussions around vulnerable groups and risk factors, (2) symptoms associated with these exposures, (3) health risks of each exposure individually, and (4) health risks from combined exposure. Additionally, we conducted a detailed assessment of current messaging about measures to mitigate exposure. We found 15 online public-facing resources that provided health messaging about co-exposure; however, only one discussed all four themes. We identified 21 distinct protective measures mentioned across the 15 resources. There is considerable variability and inconsistency regarding the types and level of detail across described protective measures. Of the identified 21 protective measures, nine may protect against both hazards simultaneously, suggesting opportunities to emphasize these particular messages to address both hazards together. More precise, complete, and coordinated public health messaging would protect against climate-sensitive health outcomes attributable to wildfire smoke and extreme heat co-exposures.},
}
@article {pmid38590162,
year = {2024},
author = {Smyth, SJ and Phillips, PWB and Castle, D},
title = {An assessment of the linkages between GM crop biotechnology and climate change mitigation.},
journal = {GM crops &amp; food},
volume = {15},
number = {1},
pages = {150-169},
doi = {10.1080/21645698.2024.2335701},
pmid = {38590162},
issn = {2164-5701},
abstract = {This article provides an analysis and evaluation of peer-reviewed evidence on the contribution of crop biotechnology to climate change mitigation and adaption. While there is a range of agricultural technologies and products that contribute to climate change mitigation, this literature landscape analysis focuses on the development of genetically modified traits, their use and adoption in major commodity crops and responsive changes in production techniques. Jointly, these technologies and products are contributing to climate change mitigation, yet the technology, the literature and evidence is still evolving as more sophisticated research methods are used with greater consistency. The literature analysis is undertaken with consideration of the consequential impact that regulatory regimes have on technology development. This assessment utilizes the Maryland Scientific Methods Scale and citation analysis, concluding that GM crops provide benefits that contribute to climate change mitigation.},
}
@article {pmid38589939,
year = {2024},
author = {Trost, K and Ertl, V and König, J and Rosner, R and Comtesse, H},
title = {Climate change-related concerns in psychotherapy: therapists' experiences and views on addressing this topic in therapy.},
journal = {BMC psychology},
volume = {12},
number = {1},
pages = {192},
pmid = {38589939},
issn = {2050-7283},
abstract = {BACKGROUND: While adverse impacts of climate change on physical health are well-known, research on its effects on mental health is still scarce. Thus, it is unclear whether potential impacts have already reached treatment practice. Our study aimed to quantify psychotherapists' experiences with patients reporting climate change-related concerns and their views on dealing with this topic in psychotherapy.<br><br>METHODS: In a nationwide online survey, responses were collected from 573 psychotherapists from Germany. Therapists reported on the presence of such patients, their socio-demographic characteristics, and climate change-related reactions. Psychotherapists' views on dealing with this topic in psychotherapy were also assessed. Descriptive statistics were used to analyse the responses.<br><br>RESULTS: About 72% (410/573) of psychotherapists indicated having had patients expressing concerns about climate change during treatment. Out of these therapists, 41% (166/410) stated that at least one patient sought treatment deliberately because of such concerns. Patients were mainly young adults with higher education. Most frequent primary diagnoses were depression, adjustment disorder, and generalized anxiety disorder. Psychotherapists having encountered such patients differed from those without such encounters in their views on potential functional impairment and the necessity to target the concerns in treatment. Although 79% (326/415) of all respondents felt adequately prepared by their current therapeutic skills, 50% (209/414) reported a lack of information on how to deal with such concerns in therapy.<br><br>CONCLUSIONS: Results indicate that psychotherapists are frequently confronted with climate change-related concerns and regard the mental health impact of climate change on their patients as meaningful to psychotherapeutic care. Regular care could be improved by a continuous refinement of the conceptualization and knowledge of the mental health influences of climate change. This would allow providing tailored methods of assessing and addressing climate change-related concerns in practice.},
}
@article {pmid38589571,
year = {2024},
author = {Guhan, V and Annadurai, K and Easwaran, S and Marimuthu, M and Balu, D and Vigneswaran, S and Navinkumar, C},
title = {Assessing the impact of climate change on water requirement and yield of sugarcane over different agro-climatic zones of Tamil Nadu.},
journal = {Scientific reports},
volume = {14},
number = {1},
pages = {8239},
pmid = {38589571},
issn = {2045-2322},
abstract = {The DSSAT CANEGRO model was calibrated and verified using field experimental data from five Tamil Nadu Agroclimatic Zones (1981-2022). The genetic coefficients of the sugarcane cultivar (CO-86032) were calculated. R[2] obtained between measured and simulated stalk fresh mass was 0.9 with the nRMSE (0.01) and RMSE (1.6) and R[2] between measured and simulated sucrose mass was 0.9 with the nRMSE (0.16) and RMSE (1.2). For yield R[2] obtained between measured and simulated was 0.9 with the nRMSE (0.01) and RMSE (1.6). As a result, the CANEGRO model may be used to mimic the phenology and yield features of the sugarcane cultivar in Tamil Nadu's Agro Climatic Zones. Temperature increases in Agro Climatic Zones resulted in varying yield reductions, with 2 °C increases causing a 3% loss, 3 °C increases 5%, and 4 °C increases 9%. The Water Requirement rose throughout all of the ACZ due to the high temperature, but to differing degrees. A 2 °C increase often results in an average 4% increase in the WR. 3 °C rise in temperature increased WR to 9% and WR rose by 13% when the temperature was raised by 4 °C.},
}
@article {pmid38589038,
year = {2024},
author = {Kamkuemah, M and Ayo-Yusuf, O and Oni, T},
title = {Future proofing health in response to climate change and rapid urbanisation in Africa.},
journal = {BMJ (Clinical research ed.)},
volume = {385},
number = {},
pages = {e076476},
doi = {10.1136/bmj-2023-076476},
pmid = {38589038},
issn = {1756-1833},
}
@article {pmid38589535,
year = {2024},
author = {Le Roux, R and Furusho-Percot, C and Deswarte, JC and Bancal, MO and Chenu, K and de Noblet-Ducoudré, N and de Cortázar-Atauri, IG and Durand, A and Bulut, B and Maury, O and Décome, J and Launay, M},
title = {Mapping the race between crop phenology and climate risks for wheat in France under climate change.},
journal = {Scientific reports},
volume = {14},
number = {1},
pages = {8184},
pmid = {38589535},
issn = {2045-2322},
abstract = {Climate change threatens food security by affecting the productivity of major cereal crops. To date, agroclimatic risk projections through indicators have focused on expected hazards exposure during the crop's current vulnerable seasons, without considering the non-stationarity of their phenology under evolving climatic conditions. We propose a new method for spatially classifying agroclimatic risks for wheat, combining high-resolution climatic data with a wheat's phenological model. The method is implemented for French wheat involving three GCM-RCM model pairs and two emission scenarios. We found that the precocity of phenological stages allows wheat to avoid periods of water deficit in the near future. Nevertheless, in the coming decades the emergence of heat stress and increasing water deficit will deteriorate wheat cultivation over the French territory. Projections show the appearance of combined risks of heat and water deficit up to 4 years per decade under the RCP 8.5 scenario. The proposed method provides a deep level of information that enables regional adaptation strategies: the nature of the risk, its temporal and spatial occurrence, and its potential combination with other risks. It's a first step towards identifying potential sites for breeding crop varieties to increase the resilience of agricultural systems.},
}
@article {pmid38589184,
year = {2022},
author = {Arasaradnam, RP and Hillman, T},
title = {Climate change and health research - lessons from COP26.},
journal = {Clinical medicine (London, England)},
volume = {22},
number = {2},
pages = {172-173},
doi = {10.7861/clinmed.2021-0780},
pmid = {38589184},
issn = {1473-4893},
}
@article {pmid38589170,
year = {2022},
author = {Atwoli, L and Erhabor, GE and Gbakima, AA and Haileamlak, A and Ntumba, JK and Kigera, J and Laybourn-Langton, L and Mash, B and Muhia, J and Mulaudzi, FM and Ofori-Adjei, D and Okonofua, F and Rashidian, A and El-Adawy, M and Sidibé, S and Snouber, A and Tumwine, J and Yassien, MS and Yonga, P and Zakhama, L and Zielinski, C},
title = {COP27 Climate Change Conference: urgent action needed for Africa and the world.},
journal = {Clinical medicine (London, England)},
volume = {22},
number = {6},
pages = {594-596},
doi = {10.7861/clinmed.ed.22.6.2},
pmid = {38589170},
issn = {1473-4893},
}
@article {pmid38588432,
year = {2024},
author = {McWhorter, JK and Halloran, PR and Roff, G and Mumby, PJ},
title = {Climate change impacts on mesophotic regions of the Great Barrier Reef.},
journal = {Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America},
volume = {121},
number = {16},
pages = {e2303336121},
doi = {10.1073/pnas.2303336121},
pmid = {38588432},
issn = {1091-6490},
support = {NE/V00865X/1//UK Research and Innovation (UKRI)/ ; },
abstract = {Climate change projections for coral reefs are founded exclusively on sea surface temperatures (SST). While SST projections are relevant for the shallowest reefs, neglecting ocean stratification overlooks the striking differences in temperature experienced by deeper reefs for all or part of the year. Density stratification creates a buoyancy barrier partitioning the upper and lower parts of the water column. Here, we mechanistically downscale climate models and quantify patterns of thermal stratification above mesophotic corals (depth 30 to 50 m) of the Great Barrier Reef (GBR). Stratification insulates many offshore regions of the GBR from heatwaves at the surface. However, this protection is lost once global average temperatures exceed ~3 °C above preindustrial, after which mesophotic temperatures surpass a recognized threshold of 30 °C for coral mortality. Bottom temperatures on the GBR (30 to 50 m) from 2050 to 2060 are estimated to increase by ~0.5 to 1 °C under lower climate emissions (SSP1-1.9) and ~1.2 to 1.7 °C under higher climate emissions (SSP5-8.5). In short, mesophotic coral reefs are also threatened by climate change and research might prioritize the sensitivity of such corals to stress.},
}
@article {pmid38587454,
year = {2024},
author = {Ruxin, TR and Morgenroth, DC and Benmarhnia, T and Halsne, EG},
title = {The impact of climate change and related extreme weather on people with limb loss.},
journal = {PM &amp; R : the journal of injury, function, and rehabilitation},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1002/pmrj.13154},
pmid = {38587454},
issn = {1934-1563},
abstract = {The human health consequences of climate change and extreme weather events are well documented. Published literature details the unique effects and necessary adaptation planning for people with physical disabilities in general; however, the specific impacts and plans for people with limb loss have yet to be explored. In this article, we discuss the impacts related to threats due to heat, cold, severe storms, and power outages. We describe how climate change uniquely affects people with limb loss and underscore the need for rehabilitation care providers and researchers to: (1) study the health impacts of climate change on people with lower limb loss; (2) educate themselves and patients on the climate crisis and climate preparedness; (3) co-develop resiliency strategies with patients, governments, and community organizations to improve adaptive capacity; and (4) advocate for policy changes that will enact protections for this at-risk population.},
}
@article {pmid38586230,
year = {2024},
author = {Jaramillo Arias, M and Kulkarni, N and Le, A and Holder, CL and Unlu, I and Fu, ES},
title = {Climate Change, Emerging Vector-Borne Illnesses, and Anesthetic Considerations.},
journal = {Cureus},
volume = {16},
number = {4},
pages = {e57517},
pmid = {38586230},
issn = {2168-8184},
abstract = {As a result of the widespread prevalence of anesthetic usage, anesthesia-related complications are well studied, ranging from benign postoperative nausea and vomiting to potentially fatal complications, such as paralysis, malignant hyperthermia, and death. However, one intersection that still needs further analysis is the relationship between vector-borne illnesses (VBIs) and anesthetic complications. With the advent of climate change and global warming, what were previously endemic vectors have spread far beyond their typical regions, resulting in the spread of VBI. As the incidence of VBIs rapidly increases in the United States, operations for diagnostic testing, and thus the identification and treatments of these VBIs, have significantly diminished. A literature review was conducted to analyze case reports of patients with VBIs and anesthetic concerns with sources from PubMed and Google Scholar databases, and a wide range of complications were found.},
}
@article {pmid38586136,
year = {2024},
author = {Vuong, QH and Nguyen, MH and La, VP},
title = {A dataset of blockade, vandalism, and harassment activities for the cause of climate change mitigation.},
journal = {Data in brief},
volume = {54},
number = {},
pages = {110342},
pmid = {38586136},
issn = {2352-3409},
abstract = {Environmental activism is crucial for raising public awareness and support toward addressing the climate crisis. However, using climate change mitigation as the cause for blockade, vandalism, and harassment activities might be counterproductive and risk causing negative repercussions and declining public support. The paper describes a dataset of metadata of 89 blockade, vandalism, and harassment events happening 13 countries in recent years. The dataset comprises three main categories: 1) Events, 2) Activists, and 3) Consequences. For researchers interested in environmental activism, climate change, and sustainability, the dataset is helpful in studying the effectiveness and appropriateness of strategies to raise public awareness and support. For researchers in the field of security studies and green criminology, the dataset offers resources to study features and impacts of blockade, vandalism, and harassment events. The Bayesian Mindsponge Framework (BMF) analytics was employed to validate the dataset. Consequently, the estimated result aligns with the Mindsponge Theory's theoretical reasoning.},
}
@article {pmid38583632,
year = {2024},
author = {Mohsen, M and Ismail, S and Yuan, X and Yu, Z and Chenggang, L and Yang, H},
title = {Sea cucumber physiological response to abiotic stress: Emergent contaminants and climate change.},
journal = {The Science of the total environment},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {172208},
doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.172208},
pmid = {38583632},
issn = {1879-1026},
abstract = {The ocean is facing a multitude of abiotic stresses due to factors such as climate change and pollution. Understanding how organisms in the ocean respond to these global changes is vital to better predicting consequences. Sea cucumbers are popular echinoderms with multiple ecological, nutritional, and pharmaceutical benefits. Here, we reviewed the effects of environmental change on an ecologically important echinoderm of the ocean, aiming to understand their response better, which could facilitate healthy culture programs under environmental changes and draw attention to knowledge gaps. After screening articles from the databases, 142 studies were included on the influence of emergent contaminants and climate variation on the early developmental stages and adults of sea cucumbers. We outlined the potential mechanism underlying the physiological response of sea cucumbers to emerging contaminants and climate change. It can be concluded that the physiological response of sea cucumbers to emergent contaminants differs from their response to climate change. Sea cucumbers could accumulate pollutants in their organs but are aestivated when exposed to extreme climate change. Research showed that the physiological response of sea cucumbers to pollutants indicates that these pollutants impair critical physiological processes, particularly during the more susceptible early phases of development compared to adults, and the accumulation of these pollutants in adults is often observed. For climate change, sea cucumbers showed gradual adaptation to the slight variation. However, sea cucumbers undergo aestivation under extreme conditions. Based on this review, critical suggestions for future research are presented, and we call for more efforts focusing on the co-occurrence of different stressors to extend the knowledge regarding the effects of environmental changes on these economically and ecologically important species.},
}
@article {pmid38583615,
year = {2024},
author = {Kazama, T and Hayakawa, K and Nagata, T and Shimotori, K and Imai, A},
title = {Impact of climate change and oligotrophication on quality and quantity of lake primary production: A case study in Lake Biwa.},
journal = {The Science of the total environment},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {172266},
doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.172266},
pmid = {38583615},
issn = {1879-1026},
abstract = {Global climate change and anthropogenic oligotrophication are expected to reshape the dynamics of primary production (PP) in aquatic ecosystems; however, few studies have explored their long-term effects. In theory, the PP of phytoplankton in Lake Biwa may decline over decades due to warming, heightened stratification, and anthropogenic oligotrophication. Furthermore, the PP of large phytoplankton, which are inedible to zooplankton, along with biomass-specific productivity (PBc), could decrease. In this study, data from 1976 to 2021 and active fluorometry measurements taken in 2020 and 2021 were evaluated. Quantitatively, the temporal dynamics of mean seasonal PP during 1971-2021 were assessed according to the carbon fixation rate to investigate relationships among environmental factors. Qualitatively, phytoplankton biomass, PP, and PBc were measured in two size fractions [edible (S) or inedible (L) for zooplankton] in 2020 and 2021, and the L:S balance for these three measures was compared between 1992 (low-temperature/high-nutrient conditions) and 2020-2021 (high-temperature/low-nutrient conditions) to assess seasonal dynamics. The results indicated that climate change and anthropogenic oligotrophication over the past 30 years have diminished Lake Biwa's PP since the 1990s, impacting the phenology of PP dynamics. However, the L:S balance in PP and PBc has exhibited minimal change between the data from 1992 and the 2020-2021 period. These findings suggest that, although climate change and oligotrophication may reduce overall PP, they may not markedly alter the inedible/edible phytoplankton balance in terms of PP and PBc. Instead, as total PP declines, the production of small edible phytoplankton may decrease proportionally, potentially affecting trophic transfer efficiency and material cycling in Lake Biwa.},
}
@article {pmid38588128,
year = {2023},
author = {Pratt, B},
title = {How Should Urban Climate Change Planning Advance Social Justice?.},
journal = {Kennedy Institute of Ethics journal},
volume = {33},
number = {1},
pages = {55-89},
doi = {10.1353/ken.2023.a899459},
pmid = {38588128},
issn = {1086-3249},
abstract = {Cities are struggling to balance the moral imperatives of sustainable development, with equity and social justice often ignored and negatively impacted by climate change mitigation and adaptation. Yet, the nature of these impacts on social justice has not been comprehensively investigated and little ethical guidance exists on how to better promote social justice in urban climate change planning practice. This article addresses the normative question: How should urban climate change planning advance social justice? It gathers empirical literature documenting the inclusivity and equity impacts of urban climate change planning and thematically analyses that literature for dimensions of social justice drawn from philosophical and urban justice theory. Study findings demonstrate that four characteristics of climate change planning in cities-underlying neoliberal ideology, unequal treatment, green gentrification, and exclusion from decisionmaking-comprise, create, or worsen social injustices across six dimensions. These characteristics are often interconnected and inseparable. Where neoliberal ideology guides urban climate change planning, the other three characteristics frequently occur as well. The article concludes by arguing that, at a minimum, urban planners and climate planners have an obligation of justice to avoid undertaking climate change planning that exhibits any of the four characteristics and to address injustices generated where planning has such characteristics. It further suggests that planners' negative obligations likely extend beyond this because the literature review revealed gaps in existing empirical data on the equity impacts of urban climate change planning.},
}
@article {pmid38583481,
year = {2024},
author = {Alsos, IG and Boussange, V and Rijal, DP and Beaulieu, M and Brown, AG and Herzschuh, U and Svenning, JC and Pellissier, L},
title = {Using ancient sedimentary DNA to forecast ecosystem trajectories under climate change.},
journal = {Philosophical transactions of the Royal Society of London. Series B, Biological sciences},
volume = {379},
number = {1902},
pages = {20230017},
doi = {10.1098/rstb.2023.0017},
pmid = {38583481},
issn = {1471-2970},
abstract = {Ecosystem response to climate change is complex. In order to forecast ecosystem dynamics, we need high-quality data on changes in past species abundance that can inform process-based models. Sedimentary ancient DNA (sedaDNA) has revolutionised our ability to document past ecosystems' dynamics. It provides time series of increased taxonomic resolution compared to microfossils (pollen, spores), and can often give species-level information, especially for past vascular plant and mammal abundances. Time series are much richer in information than contemporary spatial distribution information, which have been traditionally used to train models for predicting biodiversity and ecosystem responses to climate change. Here, we outline the potential contribution of sedaDNA to forecast ecosystem changes. We showcase how species-level time series may allow quantification of the effect of biotic interactions in ecosystem dynamics, and be used to estimate dispersal rates when a dense network of sites is available. By combining palaeo-time series, process-based models, and inverse modelling, we can recover the biotic and abiotic processes underlying ecosystem dynamics, which are traditionally very challenging to characterise. Dynamic models informed by sedaDNA can further be used to extrapolate beyond current dynamics and provide robust forecasts of ecosystem responses to future climate change. This article is part of the theme issue 'Ecological novelty and planetary stewardship: biodiversity dynamics in a transforming biosphere'.},
}
@article {pmid38582957,
year = {2024},
author = {Nelson, B and Faquin, W},
title = {Growing cancer risks on a warming planet: In this first of a two-part series on cancer and climate change, recent natural disasters highlight how global warming is increasing cancer risks and widening health disparities.},
journal = {Cancer cytopathology},
volume = {132},
number = {4},
pages = {200-201},
doi = {10.1002/cncy.22819},
pmid = {38582957},
issn = {1934-6638},
}
@article {pmid38582922,
year = {2024},
author = {Olazabal, M and Loroño-Leturiondo, M and Amorim-Maia, AT and Lewis, W and Urrutia, J},
title = {Integrating science and the arts to deglobalise climate change adaptation.},
journal = {Nature communications},
volume = {15},
number = {1},
pages = {2971},
pmid = {38582922},
issn = {2041-1723},
}
@article {pmid38581898,
year = {2024},
author = {Shi, J and Xia, M and He, G and Gonzalez, NCT and Zhou, S and Lan, K and Ouyang, L and Shen, X and Jiang, X and Cao, F and Li, H},
title = {Predicting Quercus gilva distribution dynamics and its response to climate change induced by GHGs emission through MaxEnt modeling.},
journal = {Journal of environmental management},
volume = {357},
number = {},
pages = {120841},
doi = {10.1016/j.jenvman.2024.120841},
pmid = {38581898},
issn = {1095-8630},
abstract = {Quercus gilva, an evergreen tree species in Quercus section Cyclobalanopsis, is an ecologically and economically valuable species in subtropical regions of East Asia. Predicting the impact of climate change on potential distribution of Q. gilva can provide a scientific basis for the conservation and utilization of its genetic resources, as well as for afforestation. In this study, 74 distribution records of Q. gilva and nine climate variables were obtained after data collection and processing. Current climate data downloaded from WorldClim and future climate data predicted by four future climate scenarios (2040s SSP1-2.6, 2040s SSP5-8.5, 2060s SSP1-2.6, and 2060s SSP5-8.5) mainly based on greenhouse gases emissions of distribution sites were used in MaxEnt model with optimized parameters to predict distribution dynamics of Q. gilva and its response to climate change. The results showed that the predicted current distribution was consistent with natural distribution of Q. gilva, which was mainly located in Hunan, Jiangxi, Zhejiang, Fujian, Guizhou, and Taiwan provinces of China, as well as Japan and Jeju Island of South Korea. Under current climate conditions, precipitation factors played a more significant role than temperature factors on distribution of Q. gilva, and precipitation of driest quarter (BIO17) is the most important restriction factor for its current distribution (contribution rate of 57.35%). Under future climate conditions, mean temperature of driest quarter (BIO9) was the essential climate factor affecting future change in potential distribution of Q. gilva. As the degree of climatic anomaly increased in the future, the total area of predicted distribution of Q. gilva showed a shrinking trend (decreased by 12.24%-45.21%) and Q. gilva would migrate to high altitudes and latitudes. The research results illustrated potential distribution range and suitable climate conditions of Q. gilva, which can provide essential theoretical references for the conservation, development, and utilization of Q. gilva and other related species.},
}
@article {pmid38581714,
year = {2024},
author = {Stephens, J and Leslie, K},
title = {Environmental Sustainability and Climate Change Content in Canadian Baccalaureate Nursing Programs.},
journal = {The Journal of nursing education},
volume = {63},
number = {4},
pages = {212-217},
doi = {10.3928/01484834-20240207-02},
pmid = {38581714},
issn = {1938-2421},
abstract = {BACKGROUND: This study analyzed publicly available resources related to environmental and climate change material available within the Canadian Bachelor of Nursing Program curricula.<br><br>METHOD: This thematic review project contained two stages of data collection: (1) a comprehensive team-based review of Internet materials and (2) a digital survey of program faculties.<br><br>RESULTS: Most content reviewed included references to climate change. According to survey responses from program directors (n = 12), barriers to integrating climate change content included lack of institutional support, the perception that content was not important in undergraduate curriculum, a conviction that the material would be more appropriate for public health, and an overall lack of understanding of the topic by course authors.<br><br>CONCLUSION: With increasing emphasis on the importance of geopolitical health and climate change to many facets of nursing practice, nurse educators require support from colleagues and postsecondary institutions to incorporate this material into undergraduate nursing curricula. [J Nurs Educ. 2024;63(4):212-217.].},
}
@article {pmid38580544,
year = {2024},
author = {Roussin-Léveillée, C and Rossi, CAM and Castroverde, CDM and Moffett, P},
title = {The plant disease triangle facing climate change: a molecular perspective.},
journal = {Trends in plant science},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1016/j.tplants.2024.03.004},
pmid = {38580544},
issn = {1878-4372},
abstract = {Variations in climate conditions can dramatically affect plant health and the generation of climate-resilient crops is imperative to food security. In addition to directly affecting plants, it is predicted that more severe climate conditions will also result in greater biotic stresses. Recent studies have identified climate-sensitive molecular pathways that can result in plants being more susceptible to infection under unfavorable conditions. Here, we review how expected changes in climate will impact plant-pathogen interactions, with a focus on mechanisms regulating plant immunity and microbial virulence strategies. We highlight the complex interactions between abiotic and biotic stresses with the goal of identifying components and/or pathways that are promising targets for genetic engineering to enhance adaptation and strengthen resilience in dynamically changing environments.},
}
@article {pmid38580428,
year = {2024},
author = {Pfenning-Butterworth, A and Buckley, LB and Drake, JM and Farner, JE and Farrell, MJ and Gehman, AM and Mordecai, EA and Stephens, PR and Gittleman, JL and Davies, TJ},
title = {Interconnecting global threats: climate change, biodiversity loss, and infectious diseases.},
journal = {The Lancet. Planetary health},
volume = {8},
number = {4},
pages = {e270-e283},
doi = {10.1016/S2542-5196(24)00021-4},
pmid = {38580428},
issn = {2542-5196},
abstract = {The concurrent pressures of rising global temperatures, rates and incidence of species decline, and emergence of infectious diseases represent an unprecedented planetary crisis. Intergovernmental reports have drawn focus to the escalating climate and biodiversity crises and the connections between them, but interactions among all three pressures have been largely overlooked. Non-linearities and dampening and reinforcing interactions among pressures make considering interconnections essential to anticipating planetary challenges. In this Review, we define and exemplify the causal pathways that link the three global pressures of climate change, biodiversity loss, and infectious disease. A literature assessment and case studies show that the mechanisms between certain pairs of pressures are better understood than others and that the full triad of interactions is rarely considered. Although challenges to evaluating these interactions-including a mismatch in scales, data availability, and methods-are substantial, current approaches would benefit from expanding scientific cultures to embrace interdisciplinarity and from integrating animal, human, and environmental perspectives. Considering the full suite of connections would be transformative for planetary health by identifying potential for co-benefits and mutually beneficial scenarios, and highlighting where a narrow focus on solutions to one pressure might aggravate another.},
}
@article {pmid38580422,
year = {2024},
author = {Mazumder, H and Hossain, MM},
title = {Climate change education for health-care professionals: crucial gaps in low-income and middle-income countries.},
journal = {The Lancet. Planetary health},
volume = {8},
number = {4},
pages = {e216},
doi = {10.1016/S2542-5196(24)00010-X},
pmid = {38580422},
issn = {2542-5196},
}
@article {pmid38580126,
year = {2024},
author = {Guan, K and Li, T and Yang, F and Guo, E and Zhang, W and Shi, Y and Yang, X},
title = {Adaptation measures of the potential double cropping region in Northern China to future climate change.},
journal = {The Science of the total environment},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {172203},
doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.172203},
pmid = {38580126},
issn = {1879-1026},
abstract = {In the context of climate change, the northern climate-based boundaries of the winter wheat-summer maize double cropping system (DCS) have moved northward and westward. The selection of spring maize single cropping system (SCS) or DCS in the potential DCS region in northern China directly affects the annual crop yield, resource use efficiency, and greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions. Reducing GHG emissions while improving yield and resource use efficiency is essential to green agricultural development. We used future climate data (2021-2060, SSP2-4.5 and SSP5-8.5), along with crop and soil data, to assess the applicability of the Denitrification-Decomposition Model (DNDC) for simulating crop yield and GHG emissions. Through simulation of DNDC, we identified a cropping system that prioritized high yield, resource use efficiency, and GHG emissions reduction, adapting to future climate change. Under this cropping system, we quantified the effects of various straw incorporation rates, irrigation, and nitrogen input on crop yield, resource use efficiency, and GHG emissions. We proposed optimal measures to adapt to future climate change while aiming for high yield, resource use efficiency, and GHG emissions reduction. The results show that the DNDC reliably simulated yield and GHG emissions for the (SCS) and the DCS. In counting for greenhouse gas emission intensity (GHGI) as GHG emissions normalized by crop yield, the GHGI was reduced by 86.4 % and 89.2 % in DCS than in SCS under the SSP2-4.5 and SSP5-8.5, respectively. In the study area, the DCS should be adopted for high yield, resource use efficiency, and GHG emissions reduction (increased by 28.4 % and 34.4 %) in the SSP2-4.5 and SSP5-8.5 with 1) straw incorporation rate for 100 % of winter wheat and for 60 % of summer maize; 2) total irrigating 240 mm for winter wheat at pre-sowing, jointing, booting, and filling stages; and 3) applying nitrogen of 168 kg·N/ha for both crops.},
}
@article {pmid38576299,
year = {2024},
author = {Qamar, W and Qayum, M},
title = {Understanding the Impact of Climate Change on Oral Health in Lower Middle-Income Countries.},
journal = {Journal of the College of Physicians and Surgeons--Pakistan : JCPSP},
volume = {34},
number = {4},
pages = {499},
doi = {10.29271/jcpsp.2024.04.499},
pmid = {38576299},
issn = {1681-7168},
abstract = {Null.},
}
@article {pmid38576083,
year = {2024},
author = {Salierno, G},
title = {On the Chemical Pathways Influencing the Effective Global Warming Potential of Commercial Hydrofluoroolefin Gases.},
journal = {ChemSusChem},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {e202400280},
doi = {10.1002/cssc.202400280},
pmid = {38576083},
issn = {1864-564X},
abstract = {The enforcement of a global hydrofluorocarbon (HFC) refrigerant phase down led to the introduction of hydrofluoroolefins (HFOs) as a low Global Warming Potential (GWP) substitute, given their low atmospheric lifetime. However, to this date it is not fully clear the long-term atmospheric fate of HFOs primary degradation products: trifluoro acetaldehyde (TFE), trifluoro acetyl fluoride (TFF), and trifluoroacetic acid (TFA). It particularly concerns the possibility of forming HFC-23, a potent global warming agent. Although the atmospheric reaction networks of TFE, TFF, and TFA have a fair level of complexity, the relevant atmospheric chemical pathways are well characterized in the literature, enabling a comprehensive hazard assessment of HFC-23 formation as a secondary HFO breakdown product in diverse scenarios. A lower bound of the HFOs effective GWP in a baseline scenario is found above regulatory thresholds. While further research is crucial to refine climate risk assessments, the existing evidence suggests a non-negligible climate hazard associated with HFOs.},
}
@article {pmid38575557,
year = {2024},
author = {Brehm, J and Gruhl, H},
title = {Increase in concerns about climate change following climate strikes and civil disobedience in Germany.},
journal = {Nature communications},
volume = {15},
number = {1},
pages = {2916},
pmid = {38575557},
issn = {2041-1723},
abstract = {Climate movements have gained momentum in recent years, aiming to create public awareness of the consequences of climate change through salient climate protests. This paper investigates whether concerns about climate change increase following demonstrative protests and confrontational acts of civil disobedience. Leveraging individual-level survey panel data from Germany, we exploit exogenous variations in the timing of climate protests relative to survey interview dates to compare climate change concerns in the days before and after a protest (N = 24,535). Following climate protests, we find increases in concerns about climate change by, on average, 1.2 percentage points. Further, we find no statistically significant evidence that concerns of any subpopulation decreased after climate protests. Lastly, the increase in concerns following protests is highest when concern levels before the protests are low.},
}
@article {pmid38575037,
year = {2024},
author = {Pathak, HK and Chauhan, PK and Seth, CS and Dubey, G and Upadhyay, SK},
title = {Mechanistic and future prospects in rhizospheric engineering for agricultural contaminants removal, soil health restoration, and management of climate change stress.},
journal = {The Science of the total environment},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {172116},
doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.172116},
pmid = {38575037},
issn = {1879-1026},
abstract = {Climate change, food insecurity, and agricultural pollution are all serious challenges in the twenty-first century, impacting plant growth, soil quality, and food security. Innovative techniques are required to mitigate these negative outcomes. Toxic heavy metals (THMs), organic pollutants (OPs), and emerging contaminants (ECs), as well as other biotic and abiotic stressors, can all affect nutrient availability, plant metabolic pathways, agricultural productivity, and soil-fertility. Comprehending the interactions between root exudates, microorganisms, and modified biochar can aid in the fight against environmental problems such as the accumulation of pollutants and the stressful effects of climate change. Microbes can inhibit THMs uptake, degrade organic pollutants, releases biomolecules that regulate crop development under drought, salinity, pathogenic attack and other stresses. However, these microbial abilities are primarily demonstrated in research facilities rather than in contaminated or stressed habitats. Despite not being a perfect solution, biochar can remove THMs, OPs, and ECs from contaminated areas and reduce the impact of climate change on plants. We hypothesized that combining microorganisms with biochar to address the problems of contaminated soil and climate change stress would be effective in the field. Despite the fact that root exudates have the potential to attract selected microorganisms and biochar, there has been little attention paid to these areas, considering that this work addresses a critical knowledge gap of rhizospheric engineering mediated root exudates to foster microbial and biochar adaptation. Reducing the detrimental impacts of THMs, OPs, ECs, as well as abiotic and biotic stress, requires identifying the best root-associated microbes and biochar adaptation mechanisms.},
}
@article {pmid38574178,
year = {2024},
author = {Paz, S},
title = {Climate change: A driver of increasing vector-borne disease transmission in non-endemic areas.},
journal = {PLoS medicine},
volume = {21},
number = {4},
pages = {e1004382},
doi = {10.1371/journal.pmed.1004382},
pmid = {38574178},
issn = {1549-1676},
abstract = {In this Perspective, Shlomit Paz discusses the link between climate change and transmission of vector-borne diseases in non-endemic areas.},
}
@article {pmid38573734,
year = {2024},
author = {Sohrabizadeh, S and Farahi-Ashtiani, I and Bahramzadeh, A and Eskandari, Z and Moradi, A and Hanafi-Bojd, AA},
title = {Climate change and health: The case of mapping droughts and migration pattern in Iran (2011-2016).},
journal = {Journal of emergency management (Weston, Mass.)},
volume = {22},
number = {7},
pages = {113-122},
doi = {10.5055/jem.0814},
pmid = {38573734},
issn = {1543-5865},
abstract = {INTRODUCTION: Migration and mobility of population have been reported as a common reaction to drought. There is historical evidence to suggest the health effects of droughts and human migration linkage in Iran. This study aimed to map the drought and migration patterns in Iran in 2011 and 2016 and explore their possible health impacts.<br><br>METHODS: This sequential explanatory mixed-method study was done in two stages of spatial analysis and qualitative study. Data mapping was conducted through the equal interval classification and using drought, migration, and agriculture occupation data based on provincial divisions in Iran in 2011 and 2016. This qualitative study was conducted using the content analysis approach.<br><br>RESULTS: The in-migration rate was higher in 2011 rather than 2016. Migration to cities was much higher than migration to villages in both years. The frequency of male migrants was higher than females in all provinces in 2011 and 2016. Physical and mental diseases as well as economic, sociocultural, education, and environment effects on health were extracted from the qualitative data.<br><br>CONCLUSION: A holistic picture of droughts and migration issues in Iran and their health consequences were achieved by the present research. Further research is needed to explore the determinants of health impacts of climate change in vulnerable groups. Public health problems can be prevented by adaptive and preventive policy-making and planning. This can improve the coping capacity of the population facing droughts and enforced migration.},
}
@article {pmid38573732,
year = {2024},
author = {Hamshaw, KA and Baker, D},
title = {Manufactured housing communities and climate change: Understanding key vulnerabilities and recommendations for emergency managers.},
journal = {Journal of emergency management (Weston, Mass.)},
volume = {22},
number = {7},
pages = {87-99},
doi = {10.5055/jem.0845},
pmid = {38573732},
issn = {1543-5865},
abstract = {Manufactured housing communities (MHCs), commonly referred to as mobile home parks, provide an estimated 2.7 million American households with largely unsubsidized, affordable housing. Climate change threatens those who call these communities home by exacerbating known structural and social vulnerabilities associated with this housing type-including but not limited to increased risks to flooding, extreme temperatures, high winds, and wildfires. Climate change requires emergency managers to understand the diverse, integrated, and complex vulnerabilities of MHCs that affect their exposure to climate change risk. This article presents findings from an integrative literature review focused on the climate-related vulnerabilities of these communities described at three levels of scale: household, housing structure, and park community. It then draws on 15 years of engagement and action research with MHC residents and stakeholders in Vermont, including several federally declared flooding disasters, to distill key recommendations for emergency managers for assisting MHCs to prepare for and respond to emergencies. As climate change accelerates, emergency managers can increase efficacy by learning about the MHCs in their jurisdictions by leveraging the best available data to characterize risks, integrating MHCs into planning and mitigation activities, and engaging in conversations with stakeholders, including MHC residents and their trusted partners.},
}
@article {pmid38573730,
year = {2024},
author = {Amoah, A and Asare-Nuamah, P and Limantol, AM and Alhassan, AM},
title = {COVID-19 and climate change concerns: Matters arising.},
journal = {Journal of emergency management (Weston, Mass.)},
volume = {22},
number = {7},
pages = {63-69},
doi = {10.5055/jem.0802},
pmid = {38573730},
issn = {1543-5865},
abstract = {Until the outbreak of the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic, developing countries, especially countries in the African continent, battled with the impact of climate change on the food value-chain systems and general livelihood. In this study, we discuss climate change concerns post-COVID-19 and argue that the outbreak of the COVID-19 pandemic has exacerbated the vulnerabilities of most developing and emerging economies. This has heightened political tensions and unrest among such developing nations. We suggest enhancement and intensification of efficient and effective locally engineered adaptation strategies in the post-COVID-19 era for countries that have been susceptible to the impact of climate change and other recent shocks.},
}
@article {pmid38573726,
year = {2024},
author = {Williams, BD},
title = {Emergency management and sustainability: Understanding the link between disaster and citizen participation for sustainability efforts and climate change.},
journal = {Journal of emergency management (Weston, Mass.)},
volume = {22},
number = {7},
pages = {11-23},
doi = {10.5055/jem.0824},
pmid = {38573726},
issn = {1543-5865},
abstract = {The goal of this study is to examine how disaster experience influences local government views on citizen participation in addressing issues of sustainability, such as climate change. This study considers concepts such as wicked problems, the social order, the environment, economic development, and citizen participation where sustainability can be considered a solution to help manage and solve the challenges of disaster, like climate change. The data are taken from a 2015 International City/County Management Association national survey that examines the link between disaster and sustainability. The results show that more than half of the respondents do not view public participation as having much of an impact on sustainability; however, we can expect public participation to increasingly impact sustainability efforts as communities experience more disaster. This suggests that emergency management needs to understand public pressures regarding wicked problems, such as climate change, to collectively address the global influence of environmental, economic, and social issues that have local effects on their communities.},
}
@article {pmid38573725,
year = {2024},
author = {Hertelendy, A},
title = {Leveraging technology in emergency management: An opportunity to improve compounding and cascading hazards linked to climate change.},
journal = {Journal of emergency management (Weston, Mass.)},
volume = {22},
number = {7},
pages = {9-10},
doi = {10.5055/jem.0854},
pmid = {38573725},
issn = {1543-5865},
}
@article {pmid38572990,
year = {2024},
author = {Sorouri, B and Scales, NC and Gaut, BS and Allison, SD},
title = {Sphingomonas clade and functional distribution with simulated climate change.},
journal = {Microbiology spectrum},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {e0023624},
doi = {10.1128/spectrum.00236-24},
pmid = {38572990},
issn = {2165-0497},
abstract = {Microbes are essential for the functioning of all ecosystems, and as global warming and anthropogenic pollution threaten ecosystems, it is critical to understand how microbes respond to these changes. We investigated the climate response of Sphingomonas, a widespread gram-negative bacterial genus, during an 18-month microbial community reciprocal transplant experiment across a Southern California climate gradient. We hypothesized that after 18 months, the transplanted Sphingomonas clade and functional composition would correspond with site conditions and reflect the Sphingomonas composition of native communities. We extracted Sphingomonas sequences from metagenomic data across the gradient and assessed their clade and functional composition. Representatives of at least 12 major Sphingomonas clades were found at varying relative abundances along the climate gradient, and transplanted Sphingomonas clade composition shifted after 18 months. Site had a significant effect (PERMANOVA; P < 0.001) on the distribution of both Sphingomonas functional (R[2] = 0.465) and clade composition (R[2] = 0.400), suggesting that Sphingomonas composition depends on climate parameters. Additionally, for both Sphingomonas clade and functional composition, ordinations revealed that the transplanted communities shifted closer to the native Sphingomonas composition of the grassland site compared with the site they were transplanted into. Overall, our results indicate that climate and substrate collectively determine Sphingomonas clade and functional composition.IMPORTANCESphingomonas is the most abundant gram-negative bacterial genus in litter-degrading microbial communities of desert, grassland, shrubland, and forest ecosystems in Southern California. We aimed to determine whether Sphingomonas responds to climate change in the same way as gram-positive bacteria and whole bacterial communities in these ecosystems. Within Sphingomonas, both clade composition and functional genes shifted in response to climate and litter chemistry, supporting the idea that bacteria respond similarly to climate at different scales of genetic variation. This understanding of how microbes respond to perturbation across scales may aid in future predictions of microbial responses to climate change.},
}
@article {pmid38572209,
year = {2024},
author = {Finnegan, W and d'Abreu, C},
title = {The hope wheel: a model to enable hope-based pedagogy in Climate Change Education.},
journal = {Frontiers in psychology},
volume = {15},
number = {},
pages = {1347392},
pmid = {38572209},
issn = {1664-1078},
abstract = {In response to concerns about climate anxiety and distress, researchers and practitioners in both education and psychology have been investigating the importance of engaging climate hope in Climate Change Education (CCE). Synthesizing recent multidisciplinary research, alongside insights from the development of educational programs, this article proposes a new theoretical model for pedagogies of hope in CCE. The Hope Wheel presents three foundational elements: handrails for educators to hold on to while constructively engaging with climate change (honesty, awareness, spaceholding, action), guardrails for educators to be sensitive to when implementing the handrails (climate anxiety, mis-/disinformation, false hope), and lenses to encourage educators to explore connections between complex societal and planetary challenges (complexity, justice, perspectives, creativity, and empathy). This working model aims to support educators by distilling current learnings from the literature into a visual guide. It depicts essential elements to include, as well as avoid, in order to engage honest, hope-oriented CCE for transformative learning in the face of the climate crisis.},
}
@article {pmid38572122,
year = {2024},
author = {Hedberg, P and Olsson, M and Höglander, H and Brüchert, V and Winder, M},
title = {Climate change effects on plankton recruitment from coastal sediments.},
journal = {Journal of plankton research},
volume = {46},
number = {2},
pages = {117-125},
pmid = {38572122},
issn = {0142-7873},
abstract = {In highly seasonal systems, the emergence of planktonic resting stages from the sediment is a key driver for bloom timing and plankton community composition. The termination of the resting phase is often linked to environmental cues, but the extent to which recruitment of resting stages is affected by climate change remains largely unknown for coastal environments. Here we investigate phyto- and zooplankton recruitment from oxic sediments in the Baltic Sea in a controlled experiment under proposed temperature and light increase during the spring and summer. We find that emergence of resting stage differs between seasons and the abiotic environment. Phytoplankton recruitment from resting stages were high in spring with significantly higher emergence rates at increased temperature and light levels for dinoflagellate and cyanobacteria than for diatoms, which had highest emergence under cold and dark conditions. In comparison, hatching of copepod nauplii was not affected by increased temperature and light levels. These results show that activation of plankton resting stages are affected to different degrees by increasing temperature and light levels, indicating that climate change affects plankton dynamics through processes related to resting stage termination with potential consequences for bloom timing, community composition and trophic mismatch.},
}
@article {pmid38571580,
year = {2024},
author = {Chao, K},
title = {Family farming in climate change: Strategies for resilient and sustainable food systems.},
journal = {Heliyon},
volume = {10},
number = {7},
pages = {e28599},
pmid = {38571580},
issn = {2405-8440},
abstract = {Family farming plays a pivotal role in ensuring household food security and bolstering the resilience of food systems against climate change. Traditional agricultural practices are evolving into context-specific, climate-resilient systems such as family farming, homestead gardening, and urban agriculture. This study examines the ways in which family farming can foster climate-resilient food systems amidst climate vulnerabilities. A systematic literature review spanning the past 22 years was undertaken to develop a conceptual framework. From this review, 37 pertinent documents were identified, leading to the creation of a context-specific, climate-resilient food system framework. The research posits that family farming facilitates easy access to food and nutrition by capitalizing on family-sourced land, labor, and capital, and by securing access to technology and markets. Each facet of family farming is intricately linked with sustainability principles. Local adaptation strategies employed by climate-vulnerable households can diminish their vulnerability and augment their adaptive, absorptive, and transformative capacities, enabling them to establish a climate-resilient food system. The research further reveals that farming families employ a myriad of strategies to fortify their food systems. These include crop diversification, adjusting planting times, cultivating high-value crops and fish, planting fruit trees, rearing poultry and livestock, and leveraging their land, labor, and resources-including their homesteads-to access food and nutrition. This study endorses the climate-resilient family farming framework and offers multiple metrics for assessing the resilience of family farming in developing countries.},
}
@article {pmid38570651,
year = {2024},
author = {Graham, F},
title = {Daily briefing: Climate change is slowing Earth's rotation.},
journal = {Nature},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1038/d41586-024-00979-9},
pmid = {38570651},
issn = {1476-4687},
}
@article {pmid38570279,
year = {2024},
author = {Bontpart, T and Weiss, A and Vile, D and Gérard, F and Lacombe, B and Reichheld, JP and Mari, S},
title = {Growing on calcareous soils and facing climate change.},
journal = {Trends in plant science},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1016/j.tplants.2024.03.013},
pmid = {38570279},
issn = {1878-4372},
abstract = {Soil calcium carbonate (CaCO3) impacts plant mineral nutrition far beyond Fe metabolism, imposing constraints for crop growth and quality in calcareous agrosystems. Our knowledge on plant strategies to tolerate CaCO3 effects mainly refers to Fe acquisition. This review provides an update on plant cellular and molecular mechanisms recently described to counteract the negative effects of CaCO3 in soils, as well as recent efforts to identify genetic bases involved in CaCO3 tolerance from natural populations, that could be exploited to breed CaCO3-tolerant crops. Finally, we review the impact of environmental factors (soil water content, air CO2, and temperature) affecting soil CaCO3 equilibrium and plant tolerance to calcareous soils, and we propose strategies for improvement in the context of climate change.},
}
@article {pmid38569957,
year = {2024},
author = {Thomas, M and Boulanger, Y and Asselin, H and Lamara, M and Fenton, NJ},
title = {How will climate change and forest harvesting influence the habitat quality of two culturally salient species?.},
journal = {The Science of the total environment},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {172148},
doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.172148},
pmid = {38569957},
issn = {1879-1026},
abstract = {Boreal landscapes face increasing disturbances which can affect cultural keystone species, i.e. culturally salient species that shape in a major way the cultural identity of a people. Given their importance, the fate of such species should be assessed to be able to act to ensure their perennity. We assessed how climate change and forest harvesting will affect the habitat quality of Rhododendron groenlandicum and Vaccinium angustifolium, two cultural keystone species for many Indigenous peoples in eastern Canada. We used the forest landscape model LANDIS-II in combination with species distribution models to simulate the habitat quality of these two species on the territories of three Indigenous communities according to different climate change and forest harvesting scenarios. Climate-sensitive parameters included wildfire regimes as well as tree growth. Moderate climate change scenarios were associated with an increased proportion of R. groenlandicum and V. angustifolium in the landscape, the latter species also responding positively to severe climate change scenarios. Harvesting had a minimal effect, but slightly decreased the probability of presence of both species where it occurred. According to the modeling results, neither species is at risk under moderate climate change scenarios. However, under severe climate change, R. groenlandicum could decline as the proportion of deciduous trees would increase in the landscape. Climate change mitigation strategies, such as prescribed fires, may be necessary to limit this increase. This would prevent the decrease of R. groenlandicum, as well as contribute to preserve biodiversity and harvestable volumes.},
}
@article {pmid38569113,
year = {2024},
author = {Ponsonby, W and Di Corleto, R},
title = {Climate change and heat stress.},
journal = {Occupational medicine (Oxford, England)},
volume = {74},
number = {2},
pages = {138-139},
doi = {10.1093/occmed/kqad129},
pmid = {38569113},
issn = {1471-8405},
}
@article {pmid38568978,
year = {2024},
author = {Wang, Y and Hu, W and Sun, H and Zhao, Y and Zhang, P and Li, Z and Zhou, Z and Tong, Y and Liu, S and Zhou, J and Huang, M and Jia, X and Clothier, B and Shao, M and Zhou, W and An, Z},
title = {Soil moisture decline in China's monsoon loess critical zone: More a result of land-use conversion than climate change.},
journal = {Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America},
volume = {121},
number = {15},
pages = {e2322127121},
doi = {10.1073/pnas.2322127121},
pmid = {38568978},
issn = {1091-6490},
support = {XDB40020203//Chinese Academy of Sciences (CAS)/ ; 2019YFA0607303//National Key Research and Development Program of China/ ; 41971045 U2243204 42177306//National Natural Science Foundation of China/ ; 2023JC-XJ-10//Shaanxi Province Natural Science Basic Research Program/ ; 2024RS-CXTD-45//Shaanxi Innovation Capacity Support Program Project/ ; },
abstract = {Soil moisture (SM) is essential for sustaining services from Earth's critical zone, a thin-living skin spanning from the canopy to groundwater. In the Anthropocene epoch, intensive afforestation has remarkably contributed to global greening and certain service improvements, often at the cost of reduced SM. However, attributing the response of SM in deep soil to such human activities is a great challenge because of the scarcity of long-term observations. Here, we present a 37 y (1985 to 2021) analysis of SM dynamics at two scales across China's monsoon loess critical zone. Site-scale data indicate that land-use conversion from arable cropland to forest/grassland caused an 18% increase in SM deficit over 0 to 18 m depth (P < 0.01). Importantly, this SM deficit intensified over time, despite limited climate change influence. Across the Loess Plateau, SM storage in 0 to 10 m layer exhibited a significant decreasing trend from 1985 to 2021, with a turning point in 1999 when starting afforestation. Compared with SM storage before 1999, the relative contributions of climate change and afforestation to SM decline after 1999 were -8% and 108%, respectively. This emphasizes the pronounced impacts of intensifying land-use conversions as the principal catalyst of SM decline. Such a decline shifts 18% of total area into an at-risk status, mainly in the semiarid region, thereby threatening SM security. To mitigate this risk, future land management policies should acknowledge the crucial role of intensifying land-use conversions and their interplay with climate change. This is imperative to ensure SM security and sustain critical zone services.},
}
@article {pmid38567368,
year = {2024},
author = {Heilmann, A and Rueda, Z and Alexander, D and Laupland, KB and Keynan, Y},
title = {Impact of climate change on amoeba and the bacteria they host.},
journal = {Journal of the Association of Medical Microbiology and Infectious Disease Canada = Journal officiel de l'Association pour la microbiologie medicale et l'infectiologie Canada},
volume = {9},
number = {1},
pages = {1-5},
pmid = {38567368},
issn = {2371-0888},
}
@article {pmid38567135,
year = {2024},
author = {Osorio-Marín, J and Fernandez, E and Vieli, L and Ribera, A and Luedeling, E and Cobo, N},
title = {Climate change impacts on temperate fruit and nut production: a systematic review.},
journal = {Frontiers in plant science},
volume = {15},
number = {},
pages = {1352169},
pmid = {38567135},
issn = {1664-462X},
abstract = {Temperate fruit and nut crops require distinctive cold and warm seasons to meet their physiological requirements and progress through their phenological stages. Consequently, they have been traditionally cultivated in warm temperate climate regions characterized by dry-summer and wet-winter seasons. However, fruit and nut production in these areas faces new challenging conditions due to increasingly severe and erratic weather patterns caused by climate change. This review represents an effort towards identifying the current state of knowledge, key challenges, and gaps that emerge from studies of climate change effects on fruit and nut crops produced in warm temperate climates. Following the PRISMA methodology for systematic reviews, we analyzed 403 articles published between 2000 and 2023 that met the defined eligibility criteria. A 44-fold increase in the number of publications during the last two decades reflects a growing interest in research related to both a better understanding of the effects of climate anomalies on temperate fruit and nut production and the need to find strategies that allow this industry to adapt to current and future weather conditions while reducing its environmental impacts. In an extended analysis beyond the scope of the systematic review methodology, we classified the literature into six main areas of research, including responses to environmental conditions, water management, sustainable agriculture, breeding and genetics, prediction models, and production systems. Given the rapid expansion of climate change-related literature, our analysis provides valuable information for researchers, as it can help them identify aspects that are well understood, topics that remain unexplored, and urgent questions that need to be addressed in the future.},
}
@article {pmid38566114,
year = {2024},
author = {Syropoulos, S and Law, KF and Mah, A and Young, L},
title = {Intergenerational concern relates to constructive coping and emotional reactions to climate change via increased legacy concerns and environmental cognitive alternatives.},
journal = {BMC psychology},
volume = {12},
number = {1},
pages = {182},
pmid = {38566114},
issn = {2050-7283},
support = {62221//John Templeton Foundation/ ; },
abstract = {As the threat of climate change looms large, and we experience first-hand the impacts of rapid global warming, researchers and clinicians emphasize the need to better understand the impact of these changes on our mental health. Existing research suggests that coping with and emotional reactions to climate change can promote action to adapt to and mitigate the impacts of climate change and reduce its negative impacts to one's mental health. In this pre-registered study (N = 771) we examined whether people who display extreme intergenerational concern would also constructively cope with climate change. Empirically-identified individuals showing high intergenerational concern reported more problem-focused and meaning-based coping, and less avoidant coping strategies with climate change. Further, even though they felt guilty, angry, sorrowful and isolated, these individuals also felt hopeful about the future. These effects were explained by increased concerns about one's legacy and higher access to environmental cognitive alternatives. By instilling values that highlight intergenerational concern as a key priority, we could thus not only increase pro-climate action, but also help individuals actively and constructively cope with changes produced by climate change.},
}
@article {pmid38565417,
year = {2024},
author = {Navas-Martín, M&#xc1; and Cuerdo-Vilches, T and López-Bueno, JA and Díaz, J and Linares, C and Sánchez-Martínez, G},
title = {Human adaptation to heat in the context of climate change: A conceptual framework.},
journal = {Environmental research},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {118803},
doi = {10.1016/j.envres.2024.118803},
pmid = {38565417},
issn = {1096-0953},
abstract = {Climate change is causing serious damage to natural and social systems, as well as having an impact on human health. Among the direct effects of climate change is the rise in global surface temperatures and the increase in the frequency, duration, intensity and severity of heat waves. In addition, understanding of the adaptation process of the exposed population remains limited, posing a challenge in accurately estimating heat-related morbidity and mortality. In this context, this study seeks to establish a conceptual framework that would make it easier to understand and organise knowledge about human adaptation to heat and the factors that may influence this process. An inductive approach based on grounded theory was used, through the analysis of case studies connecting concepts. The proposed conceptual framework is made up of five components (climate change, vulnerability, health risks of heat, axes of inequality and health outcomes), three heat-adaptation domains (physiological, cultural and political), two levels (individual and social), and the pre-existing before a heat event. The application of this conceptual framework facilitates the assistance of decision-makers in planning and implementing effective adaptation measures. Recognizing the importance of addressing heat adaptation as a health problem that calls for political solutions and social changes. Accordingly, this requires a multidisciplinary approach that would foster the participation and collaboration of multiple actors for the purpose of proposing effective measures to address the health impact of the rise in temperature.},
}
@article {pmid38564234,
year = {2024},
author = {Levett-Jones, T and Bonnamy, J and Cornish, J and Correia Moll, E and Fields, L and Moroney Oam, T and Richards, C and Tutticci, N and Ward, A},
title = {Celebrating Australian nurses who are pioneering the response to climate change: a compilation of case studies.},
journal = {Contemporary nurse},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {1-13},
doi = {10.1080/10376178.2024.2336230},
pmid = {38564234},
issn = {1839-3535},
abstract = {BACKGROUND: Nurses, the largest healthcare workforce, are well placed to provide leadership in initiatives that promote planetary health. Yet, few practical examples of nurse leadership in the health sector's response to climate change are evident in the scholarly literature.<br><br>AIM: The aim of this discussion paper is to profile Australian nurses who are leading initiatives designed to champion planetary health and promote sustainable practice.<br><br>METHODS: The paper presents a series of case studies derived from interviews conducted in October and November 2023.<br><br>FINDINGS: The nurses' experiences and insights, along with the challenges they have encountered, are presented as evidence of Kouzes and Posner's five practices of exemplary leadership.<br><br>CONCLUSION: The case studies demonstrate that appointment of more nurses with climate and sustainability expertise will accelerate the implementation of responsive strategies that target waste management, emissions reduction and climate resilience across healthcare organisations.},
}
@article {pmid38564123,
year = {2024},
author = {Tang, X and Feng, Y and Xi, M and Chen, S and Wang, R and Lei, Z},
title = {Dynamic simulation and projection of ESV changes in arid regions caused by urban growth under climate change scenarios.},
journal = {Environmental monitoring and assessment},
volume = {196},
number = {5},
pages = {411},
pmid = {38564123},
issn = {1573-2959},
abstract = {Spatial simulation and projection of ecosystem services value (ESV) changes caused by urban growth are important for sustainable development in arid regions. We developed a new model of cellular automata based grasshopper optimization algorithm (named GOA-CA) for simulating urban growth patterns and assessing the impacts of urban growth on ESV changes under climate change scenarios. The results show that GOA-CA yielded overall accuracy exceeding 98%, and FOM for 2010 and 2020 were 43.2% and 38.1%, respectively, indicating the effectiveness of the model. The prairie lost the highest economic ESVs (192 million USD) and the coniferous yielded the largest economic ESV increase (292 million USD) during 2000-2020. Using climate change scenarios as urban future land use demands, we projected three scenarios of the urban growth of Urumqi for 2050 and their impacts on ESV. Our model can be easily applied to simulating urban development, analyzing its impact on ESV and projecting future scenarios in global arid regions.},
}
@article {pmid38563357,
year = {2024},
author = {Chen, C and Miller, G and Setoguchi, S},
title = {Climate change and excess length of stay: A call to action for health equity and environmental sustainability.},
journal = {Journal of hospital medicine},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1002/jhm.13348},
pmid = {38563357},
issn = {1553-5606},
}
@article {pmid38563000,
year = {2024},
author = {Liu, J and Zhu, A and Wang, X and Zhou, X and Chen, L},
title = {Predicting the current fishable habitat distribution of Antarctic toothfish (Dissostichus mawsoni) and its shift in the future under climate change in the Southern Ocean.},
journal = {PeerJ},
volume = {12},
number = {},
pages = {e17131},
pmid = {38563000},
issn = {2167-8359},
abstract = {Global warming continues to exert unprecedented impacts on marine habitats. Species distribution models (SDMs) are proven powerful in predicting habitat distribution for marine demersal species under climate change impacts. The Antarctic toothfish, Dissostichus mawsoni (Norman 1937), an ecologically and commercially significant species, is endemic to the Southern Ocean. Utilizing occurrence records and environmental data, we developed an ensemble model that integrates various modelling techniques. This model characterizes species-environment relationships and predicts current and future fishable habitats of D. mawsoni under four climate change scenarios. Ice thickness, depth and mean water temperature were the top three important factors in affecting the distribution of D. mawsoni. The ensemble prediction suggests an overall expansion of fishable habitats, potentially due to the limited occurrence records from fishery-dependent surveys. Future projections indicate varying degrees of fishable habitat loss in large areas of the Amery Ice Shelf's eastern and western portions. Suitable fishable habitats, including the spawning grounds in the seamounts around the northern Ross Sea and the coastal waters of the Bellingshausen Sea and Amundsen Sea, were persistent under present and future environmental conditions, highlighting the importance to protect these climate refugia from anthropogenic disturbance. Though data deficiency existed in this study, our predictions can provide valuable information for designing climate-adaptive development and conservation strategies in maintaining the sustainability of this species.},
}
@article {pmid38560259,
year = {2024},
author = {Azeez, RO and Rampedi, IT and Ifegbesan, AP and Ogunyemi, B},
title = {Geo-demographics and source of information as determinants of climate change consciousness among citizens in African countries.},
journal = {Heliyon},
volume = {10},
number = {7},
pages = {e27872},
pmid = {38560259},
issn = {2405-8440},
abstract = {Climate change constitutes one of the greatest threats to human health globally and there have been increasing interests in understanding the dynamics of climate change consciousness particularly in less industrialised countries of Africa. Research on cross-country, sub-regional and continent differences in climate change consciousness are rare especially in sub-Saharan Africa. Thus, to complement the existing body of literature, this study was conducted on cross-national predictors of public climate change consciousness. Data from the Afrobarometer round 7 for thirty-four [34] African countries, collected between 2017 and 2020, were used to investigate the influence of geographical, socio-demographics, and source of information on public consciousness of climate change. Statistical analyses of t-test, ANOVA and multiple regression were conducted to test the formulated hypotheses. Results showed a low level of climate change consciousness (CCC) among participants. Radio news was the major source of information for the sampled African citizens. There were significant differences in the CCC of male and female as well as between urban and rural respondents. Significant differences were also found among the sub-regions, educational levels, age groups and occupations. Sources of information and demographic variables significantly influenced the level of CCC among participating citizens. Educational attainment was the single most potent predictor of climate change consciousness. The study recommends that African citizens need capacity building on climate change awareness and initiatives which would assist in mitigating the effects of climate change.},
}
@article {pmid38559765,
year = {2024},
author = {Zhang, FG and Zhang, S and Wu, K and Zhao, R and Zhao, G and Wang, Y},
title = {Potential habitat areas and priority protected areas of Tilia amurensis Rupr in China under the context of climate change.},
journal = {Frontiers in plant science},
volume = {15},
number = {},
pages = {1365264},
pmid = {38559765},
issn = {1664-462X},
abstract = {INTRODUCTION: Tilia amurensis Rupr (T. amurensis) is one endangered and national class II key protected wild plant in China. It has ornamental, material, economic, edible and medicinal values. At present, the resources of T. amurensis are decreasing, and the prediction of the distribution of its potential habitat in China can provide a theoretical basis for the cultivation and rational management of this species.<br><br>METHODS: In this study, the R language was used to evaluate 358 distribution records and 38 environment variables. The MaxEnt model was used to predict the potential distribution areas of T. amurensis under the current and future climate scenarios. The dominant environmental factors affecting the distribution of T. amurensis were analyzed and the Marxan model was used to plan the priority protected areas of this species.<br><br>RESULTS: The results showed that Bio18, Slope, Elev, Bio1, Bio9 and Bio2 were the dominant environmental factors affecting the distribution of T. amurensis. Under the future climatic scenarios, the potential suitable areas for T. amurensis will mainly distribute in the Northeast China, the total suitable area will reduce compared with the current climate scenarios, and the general trend of the centroid of suitable habitat will be towards higher latitudes. The SPF value of the best plan obtained from the priority conservation area planning was 1.1, the BLM value was 127,616, and the priority conservation area was about 57.61&#xd7;10[4] km[2]. The results suggested that climate, soil and topographic factors jointly affected the potential geographical distribution of T. amurensis, and climate and topographic factors had greater influence than soil factors.<br><br>DISCUSSION: The total suitable area of T. amurensis in China under different climate scenarios in the future will decrease, so more effective protection should be actively adopted.},
}
@article {pmid38557709,
year = {2024},
author = {El-Mahdy, ME and Abdel-Monsef, M and Abo-Elella, S and Shahba, M},
title = {Impact of climate change on the water resources of the Atbara River using novel hydrological models.},
journal = {Water science and technology : a journal of the International Association on Water Pollution Research},
volume = {89},
number = {6},
pages = {1419-1440},
pmid = {38557709},
issn = {0273-1223},
abstract = {Rivers respond directly to climate change, as well as incorporating the effects of climate-driven changes occurring within their watersheds. In this research, climate change's impact on the Atbara River, one of the main tributaries of the Nile River, was studied. Various statistical methods of analysis were applied to study the basic characteristics of the climatic parameters that affect the discharge of the Atbara River. The three hydrological gauging stations on the Atbara River, namely, the Upper Atbara and Setit reservoirs, Khashm el-Girba reservoir, and Atbara Kilo 3 station, were included in the study. The correlation between the meteorological parameters and the hydrology of the Atbara River and the prediction of the future hydrology of the Atbara River Basin was determined. Many hydrological models were developed and tested to predict the hydrology of the river. Finally, forecasting for river hydrology was built. No significant trend was found in the precipitation in the study area. The developed model simulates the observed data with a high coefficient of determination ranging from 0.7 to 0.91 for the three hydrological gauging stations studied. Results predicted a slight decrease in river discharge in future years.},
}
@article {pmid38557181,
year = {2024},
author = {Emanuel, K},
title = {Cyclone Jasper's rains in the context of climate change.},
journal = {Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America},
volume = {121},
number = {15},
pages = {e2400292121},
doi = {10.1073/pnas.2400292121},
pmid = {38557181},
issn = {1091-6490},
support = {2202785//National Science Foundation (NSF)/ ; },
abstract = {Cyclone Jasper struck northern Queensland in mid-December, 2023, causing extensive flooding stemming from torrential rain. Many stations reported rainfall totals exceeding 1 m, and a few surpassed 2 m, possibly making Jasper the wettest tropical cyclone in Australian history. To be better prepared for events like Jasper, it is useful to estimate the probability of rainfall events of Jasper's magnitude and how that probability is likely to evolve as climate warms. To make such estimates, we apply an advanced tropical cyclone downscaling technique to nine global climate models, generating a total of 27,000 synthetic tropical cyclones each for the climate of the recent past and that of the end of this century. We estimate that the annual probability of 1 m of rain from tropical cyclones at Cairns increases from about 0.8% at the end of the 20th century to about 2.3% at the end of the 21st, a factor of almost three. Interpolating frequency to the year 2023 suggests that the current annual probability of Jasper's rainfall is about 1.2%, about a 50% increase over that of the year 2000. Further analysis suggests that the primary causes of increasing rainfall are stronger cyclones and a moister atmosphere.},
}
@article {pmid38556944,
year = {2024},
author = {Piper, WH and Glines, MR and Rose, KC},
title = {Climate change-associated declines in water clarity impair feeding by common loons.},
journal = {Ecology},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {e4291},
doi = {10.1002/ecy.4291},
pmid = {38556944},
issn = {1939-9170},
support = {72067419FA00001//United States Agency for International Development/ ; DBI-1754265//National Science Foundation/ ; DEB-0717055//National Science Foundation/ ; DEB-2048031//National Science Foundation/ ; IBN-0316442//National Science Foundation/ ; },
abstract = {Climate change has myriad impacts on ecosystems, but the mechanisms by which it affects individual species can be difficult to pinpoint. One strategy to discover such mechanisms is to identify a specific ecological factor related to survival or reproduction and determine how that factor is affected by climate. Here we used Landsat imagery to calculate water clarity for 127 lakes in northern Wisconsin from 1995 to 2021 and thus investigate the effect of clarity on the body condition of an aquatic visual predator, the common loon (Gavia immer). In addition, we examined rainfall and temperature as potential predictors of water clarity. Body mass tracked July water clarity strongly in loon chicks, which grow chiefly in that month, but weakly in adult males and females. Long-term mean water clarity was negatively related to chick mass but positively related to adult male mass, suggesting that loons foraging in generally clear lakes enjoy good foraging conditions in the long run but might be sensitive to perturbations in clarity during chick-rearing. Finally, chick mass was positively related to the density of docks, perhaps because angling removes large fishes and thus boosts the abundance of the small fishes on which chicks depend. Water clarity itself declined strongly from 1995 to 2021, was negatively related to July rainfall, and was positively related to July air temperature. Our findings identified both long-term and short-term water clarity as strong predictors of loon foraging efficiency, and suggest that climate change, through water clarity, impacts freshwater ecosystems profoundly. Moreover, our results identified the recent decrease in water clarity as a likely cause of population decline in common loons.},
}
@article {pmid38555563,
year = {2024},
author = {Mori, M and Longépée, E and Lefer-Sauvage, G and Banos, A and Becu, N and Charpentier, P and Claverie, T and Jeanson, M and Le Duff, M and Provitolo, D and Stoica, G},
title = {Climate change by any other name: Social representations and language practices of coastal inhabitants on Mayotte Island in the Indian Ocean.},
journal = {Public understanding of science (Bristol, England)},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {9636625241235375},
doi = {10.1177/09636625241235375},
pmid = {38555563},
issn = {1361-6609},
abstract = {As population-related climate change research increases, so does the need to nuance approaches to this complex phenomenon, including issues related to cultural and linguistic translations. To explore how climate change is understood in understudied societies, a case-study approach is taken to address social representations of climate change by inhabitants of a Maore village in the French island of Mayotte. The study explores how local fishers understand the issue when considering observed environmental changes. Based on analyses of 30 interviews, the study found that social representations and related climate change discourses are not well established, except for individuals in close contact with French institutions. Issues regarding local culture and language reveal the importance of understanding the different components of climate change. Climate change communication and awareness-raising on the island are explored, as well as considerations of culturally and linguistically complex settings with a Global North/Global South interface.},
}
@article {pmid38555531,
year = {2024},
author = {Barbour, V},
title = {Health and climate change: call for sustainability in Australia's health care sector.},
journal = {The Medical journal of Australia},
volume = {220},
number = {6},
pages = {281},
doi = {10.5694/mja2.52264},
pmid = {38555531},
issn = {1326-5377},
mesh = {Humans ; *Climate Change ; *Health Care Sector ; Australia ; },
}
@article {pmid38555376,
year = {2024},
author = {Qasim, S and Mahmood, T and Rakha, BA and Nadeem, MS and Akrim, F and Aslam, A and Belant, JL},
title = {Predicting current and future habitat of Indian pangolin (Manis crassicaudata) under climate change.},
journal = {Scientific reports},
volume = {14},
number = {1},
pages = {7564},
pmid = {38555376},
issn = {2045-2322},
abstract = {Climate change is among the greatest drivers of biodiversity loss, threatening up to 15-30% of described species by the end of the twenty-first century. We estimated the current suitable habitat and forecasted future distribution ranges of Indian pangolin (Manis crassicaudata) under climate change scenarios. We collected occurrence records of Indian pangolin using burrow counts, remote camera records and previously published literature in Pakistan during 2021-2023. We downloaded bioclimatic data for current (1970-2000) and future (2041-2060, 2061-2080, 2081-2100) climate scenarios from the WorldClim database using the Hadley Global Environment Model (HadGEM3-GC31-LL). We used MaxEnt software to predict current and future distributions of Indian pangolin, then computed the amount of habitat lost, gained, and unchanged across periods. We obtained 560 Indian pangolin occurrences overall, 175 during the study, and 385 from our literature search. Model accuracy was very good (AUC = 0.885, TSS = 0.695), and jackknife tests of variable importance showed that the contribution of annual mean temperature (bio1) was greatest (33.4%), followed by the mean temperature of the coldest quarter (bio-12, 29.3%), temperature seasonality (bio 4, 25.9%), and precipitation seasonality (bio 15, 11.5%). The maxent model predicted that during the current time period (1970-2000) highly suitable habitat for Indian pangolin was (7270 km[2], 2.2%), followed by moderately suitable (12,418 km[2], 3.7%), less suitable (49,846 km[2], 14.8%), and unsuitable habitat (268,355 km[2], 79.4%). Highly suitable habitat decreased in the western part of the study area under most SSPs and in the central parts it declined under all SSPs and in future time periods. The predicted loss in the suitable habitat of the Indian pangolin was greatest (26.97%) under SSP 585 followed by SSP 126 (23.67%) during the time 2061-2080. The gain in suitable habitat of Indian pangolin was less than that of losses on average which ranged between 1.91 and 13.11% under all SSPs during all time periods. While the stable habitat of the Indian pangolin ranged between 64.60 and 83.85% under all SSPs during all time periods. Our study provides the current and future habitat ranges of Indian pangolin in the face of a changing climate. The findings of our study could be helpful for policymakers to set up conservation strategies for Indian pangolin in Pakistan.},
}
@article {pmid38554872,
year = {2024},
author = {Fathy, RF},
title = {Divergent perspectives on the synergistic impacts of thermal-chemical stress on aquatic biota within the framework of climate change scenarios.},
journal = {Chemosphere},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {141810},
doi = {10.1016/j.chemosphere.2024.141810},
pmid = {38554872},
issn = {1879-1298},
abstract = {Climate change, including global warming, leads to rising temperatures in aquatic ecosystems, which is one of the numerous repercussions it brings. Furthermore, water warming can indirectly impact aquatic organisms by modifying the toxicity levels of pollutants. Nevertheless, numerous studies have explored the potential impacts of chemical stress on aquatic biota, but little is known about how such chemicals and toxins interact with climate change factors, especially elevated temperatures. As such, this review paper focuses on exploring the potential effects of thermochemical stress on a wide sector of aquatic organisms, including aquatic vertebrates and invertebrates, in various aquatic ecosystems (freshwater and marine systems). Herein, the objective of this study is to explore the most up-to-date the impact of water warming (without chemical stress) and thermochemical stress on various biochemical and physiological processes in aquatic fauna and how this greatly affects biodiversity and sustainability. Therefore, there is a growing need to understand and evaluate this synergistic mechanism and its potential hazardous impacts. However, we need further investigations and scientific reports to address this serious environmental issue in order to confront anthropogenic pollutants regarding climate change and chemical pollution risks in the near future and subsequently find sustainable solutions for them.},
}
@article {pmid38554453,
year = {2024},
author = {Manzoor, MA and Xu, Y and Lv, Z and Xu, J and Shah, IH and Sabir, IA and Wang, Y and Sun, W and Liu, X and Wang, L and Liu, R and Jiu, S and Zhang, C},
title = {Horticulture crop under pressure: Unraveling the impact of climate change on nutrition and fruit cracking.},
journal = {Journal of environmental management},
volume = {357},
number = {},
pages = {120759},
doi = {10.1016/j.jenvman.2024.120759},
pmid = {38554453},
issn = {1095-8630},
abstract = {Climate change is increasingly affecting the nutritional content and structural integrity of horticultural crops, leading to challenges such as diminished fruit quality and the exacerbation of fruit cracking. This manuscript systematically explores the multifaceted impacts of these changes, with a particular focus on the nutritional quality and increased incidence of fruit cracking. An exhaustive review of current research identifies the critical role of transcription factors in mediating plant responses to climatic stressors, such as drought, temperature extremes, and saline conditions. The significance of transcription factors, including bHLH, bZIP, DOF, MDP, HD-ZIP, MYB, and ERF4, is highlighted in the development of fruit cracking, underscoring the genetic underpinnings behind stress-related phenotypic outcomes. The effectiveness of greenhouse structures in mitigating adverse climatic effects is evaluated, offering a strategic approach to sustain crop productivity amidst CO2 fluctuations and water scarcity, which are shown to influence plant physiology and lead to changes in fruit development, nutrient dynamics, and a heightened risk of cracking. Moreover, the manuscript delves into advanced breeding strategies and genetic engineering techniques, such as genome editing, to enhance crop resilience against climatic challenges. It also discusses adaptation strategies vital for sustainable horticulture, emphasizing the need to integrate novel genetic insights with controlled environment horticulture to counteract climate change's detrimental effects. The synthesis presented here underscores the urgent need for innovative breeding strategies aimed at developing resilient crop varieties that can withstand climatic uncertainty while preserving nutritional integrity.},
}
@article {pmid38552152,
year = {2024},
author = {Coleine, C and Delgado-Baquerizo, M and DiRuggiero, J and Guirado, E and Harfouche, AL and Perez-Fernandez, C and Singh, BK and Selbmann, L and Egidi, E},
title = {Dryland microbiomes reveal community adaptations to desertification and climate change.},
journal = {The ISME journal},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1093/ismejo/wrae056},
pmid = {38552152},
issn = {1751-7370},
abstract = {Drylands account for 45% of the Earth's land area, supporting approximately 40% of the global population. These regions support some of the most extreme environments on Earth, characterized by extreme temperatures, low and variable rainfall, and low soil fertility. In these biomes, microorganisms provide vital ecosystem services and have evolved distinctive adaptation strategies to endure and flourish in the extreme. However, dryland microbiomes and the ecosystem services they provide are under threat due to intensifying desertification and climate change. In this review, we provide a synthesis of our current understanding of microbial life in drylands, emphasizing the remarkable diversity and adaptations of these communities. We then discuss anthropogenic threats, including the influence of climate change on dryland microbiomes and outline current knowledge gaps. Finally, we propose research priorities to address those gaps and safeguard the sustainability of these fragile biomes.},
}
@article {pmid38550237,
year = {2024},
author = {Yang, P and Leonard, A and Lanza, MF and Ireri, M and Hirmer, S},
title = {Perceived values and climate change resilience dataset in Siaya County, Kenya.},
journal = {Data in brief},
volume = {54},
number = {},
pages = {110317},
pmid = {38550237},
issn = {2352-3409},
abstract = {This dataset presents perceived values and socioeconomic indicators collected in Siaya, a rural county in Kenya in 2022. The data was obtained from 300 household surveys and group interviews conducted in six sub-counties across eleven villages. Socioeconomic data were collected with a special focus on climate change vulnerability. Information on housing, health, water accessibility and usage, electricity accessibility and usage, extreme weather events, community service, and information accessibility were mapped across survey questions. The user-perceived value (UPV) game - a perception-based surveying approach - was used to elicit local communities' needs and perceptions of climate change challenges. The UPV game involves asking interviewees to select which graphically depicted items would be most necessary in different situations and probing them for the reasons behind their choices (why-probing). The data was collected in two languages (Dholuo and English) and then translated into English. These surveys and interviews were conducted to better understand the needs of rural Kenyan communities and their perceptions of climate change, with the aim to identify ways to build resilience. Kenyan policymakers can use the dataset to inform county-level energy and development plans, while researchers and development practitioners can use the dataset to better design their research and programmes to reflect local needs and values.},
}
@article {pmid38548852,
year = {2024},
author = {Barcellos, C and Matos, V and Lana, RM and Lowe, R},
title = {Author Correction: Climate change, thermal anomalies, and the recent progression of dengue in Brazil.},
journal = {Scientific reports},
volume = {14},
number = {1},
pages = {7428},
doi = {10.1038/s41598-024-58202-8},
pmid = {38548852},
issn = {2045-2322},
}
@article {pmid38547922,
year = {2024},
author = {Michaud, A and Leigh, R},
title = {Letter from Canada: Global warming and wildfire smoke pollution emerging as major threats to respiratory health.},
journal = {Respirology (Carlton, Vic.)},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1111/resp.14716},
pmid = {38547922},
issn = {1440-1843},
}
@article {pmid38547189,
year = {2024},
author = {Singh, A and Ezzine, T and Guinto, RR and Gepp, S and Parks, RM and Thondoo, M and Patil, P and van Daalen, KR},
title = {Reflections from COP28: Resisting healthwashing in climate change negotiations.},
journal = {PLOS global public health},
volume = {4},
number = {3},
pages = {e0003076},
doi = {10.1371/journal.pgph.0003076},
pmid = {38547189},
issn = {2767-3375},
}
@article {pmid38547175,
year = {2024},
author = {Kerry, V and Sayeed, S},
title = {Advancing the climate change and health nexus: The 2024 Agenda.},
journal = {PLOS global public health},
volume = {4},
number = {3},
pages = {e0003008},
doi = {10.1371/journal.pgph.0003008},
pmid = {38547175},
issn = {2767-3375},
}
@article {pmid38546922,
year = {2024},
author = {Kozari, A and Gkellis, S and Voutsa, D},
title = {Impact of climate change on formation of nitrogenous disinfection by-products. Part II: water blooming and enrichment by humic substances.},
journal = {Environmental science and pollution research international},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
pmid = {38546922},
issn = {1614-7499},
abstract = {Climate change affects the concentration and characteristics of dissolved organic matter (DOM) in surface water. The changes in composition of DOM have many implications to drinking water quality, especially in the case of formation of disinfection by-products (DBPs). The aim of this study was to investigate the formation of nitrogenous DBPs (N-DBPs) during chlorination and chloramination, caused by the alternation of surface water's DOM driven by climate change. For this reason, two different cases were examined: (a) rise of algal organic matter (AOM) due to water blooming and (b) water enrichment by humic substances. The target compounds were haloacetonitriles (HANs), haloacetamides (HAcAms), and halonitromethane (TCNM). The results showed that Anabaena appears to be a major precursor for HAcAms and TCNM, while humic acids are precursors for HANs. The results of the mixtures presented the same pattern. During the water blooming case, HAcAms and TCNM formation are in favor, while during water enrichment by humic substances case, HANs is the N-DBP group with higher formation yield. Cloraminated samples presented higher values of cytotoxicity and genotoxicity compared to the chlorinated.},
}
@article {pmid38546370,
year = {2024},
author = {Karunarathne, P and Zhou, Q and Lascoux, M and Milesi, P},
title = {Hybridization mediated range expansion and climate change resilience in two keystone tree species of boreal forests.},
journal = {Global change biology},
volume = {30},
number = {4},
pages = {e17262},
doi = {10.1111/gcb.17262},
pmid = {38546370},
issn = {1365-2486},
abstract = {Current global climate change is expected to affect biodiversity negatively at all scales leading to mass biodiversity loss. Many studies have shown that the distribution of allele frequencies across a species' range is often influenced by specific genetic loci associated with local environmental variables. This association reflects local adaptation and allele changes at those loci could thereby contribute to the evolutionary response to climate change. However, predicting how species will adapt to climate change from this type of data alone remains challenging. In the present study, we combined exome capture sequences and environmental niche reconstruction, to test multiple methods for assessing local adaptation and climate resilience in two widely distributed conifers, Norway spruce and Siberian spruce. Both species are keystone species of the boreal forest and share a vast hybrid zone. We show that local adaptation in conifers can be detected through allele frequency variation, population-level ecological preferences, and historical niche movement. Moreover, we integrated genetic and ecological information into genetic offset predictive models to show that hybridization plays a central role in expanding the niche breadth of the two conifer species and may help both species to cope better with future changing climates. This joint genetic and ecological analysis also identified spruce populations that are at risk under current climate change.},
}
@article {pmid38546164,
year = {2024},
author = {Chi, L and Boucaut, R and Li, LSK and Fryer, CE and Kumar, S},
title = {Australian physiotherapists' knowledge and views on the relationship between climate change, health, and physiotherapy.},
journal = {Physiotherapy research international : the journal for researchers and clinicians in physical therapy},
volume = {29},
number = {2},
pages = {e2085},
doi = {10.1002/pri.2085},
pmid = {38546164},
issn = {1471-2865},
abstract = {BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: Climate change is an important issue for the health of communities globally and the conduct of health care practice. Little is currently known about the knowledge and views of Australian physiotherapists in relation to the issue of climate change. Thus, the purpose of this study was to investigate Australian physiotherapists' views on, and practice in relation to, climate change and its effects on health.<br><br>METHODS: A quantitative cross-sectional study using a modified version of a published survey was undertaken. Using a comprehensive distribution strategy, the survey (23 questions) was disseminated through professional associations, networks of the research team and social media. Data were summarized descriptively.<br><br>RESULTS: One hundred and thirty physiotherapists accessed the final survey. Ninety-five surveys were eligible for analysis. 90.4% of participants were certain about the existence of climate change. 79.6% of participants thought that climate change was already impacting their patients' health, but only 19.4% of participants felt "very knowledgeable" about the health impacts of climate change. Main barriers to addressing climate change with patients were identified as lack of time and knowledge. 77.2% of participants indicated support for receiving education on climate change and health as continuing professional education. 70.9% of participants agreed that their professional association had a significant advocacy role in climate change and health.<br><br>CONCLUSION: Australian physiotherapists are witnessing the impact of climate change and support strategies to mitigate it. These strategies can be implemented at an individual level (e.g., further physiotherapy training) and at a professional organizational level (e.g., guidance from professional associations).},
}
@article {pmid38545232,
year = {2024},
author = {Lv, Y and Sarker, MNI},
title = {Integrative approaches to urban resilience: Evaluating the efficacy of resilience strategies in mitigating climate change vulnerabilities.},
journal = {Heliyon},
volume = {10},
number = {6},
pages = {e28191},
pmid = {38545232},
issn = {2405-8440},
abstract = {The successful implementation of urban resilience strategies is of utmost importance in order to reduce susceptibility and bolster resilience in the face of climate change consequences. The current understanding of the efficacy of different resilience strategies in mitigating vulnerability and bolstering urban resilience is lacking, despite its significance. This study assesses the efficacy of resilience strategies in mitigating vulnerability and enhancing urban resilience. We conducted a comprehensive analysis of scholarly literature published in English following PRISMA criteria from January 2001 to July 2023. Finally, 116 articles met the inclusion criteria and were selected for in-depth analysis. Results indicate that while resilience strategies have the potential to reduce susceptibility and enhance urban resilience, the effectiveness of resilience techniques is contingent upon various factors, such as the type of hazard, urban setting, and implementation process. The study also highlights the significance of stakeholder involvement, community participation, and adaptive management as essential components for effectively implementing resilience measures. Integrating physical, social, and institutional components in resilience practices demonstrated notable effectiveness. This study also reveals that improving the physical resilience of urban areas and strengthening their social and institutional capabilities to address and learn from disruptive events and pressures can decrease their vulnerability. The research also exposes those strategies focusing solely on mitigating a single issue, such as physical infrastructure, while neglecting social or institutional elements, which prove less effective. A comprehensive approach, incorporating institutional, social, and physical measures, should be designed to achieve maximal efficacy in mitigating vulnerability and strengthening urban resilience.},
}
@article {pmid38545171,
year = {2024},
author = {Egidio, E and De Luca, DA and Lasagna, M},
title = {How groundwater temperature is affected by climate change: A systematic review.},
journal = {Heliyon},
volume = {10},
number = {6},
pages = {e27762},
pmid = {38545171},
issn = {2405-8440},
abstract = {Groundwater (GW) is sensitive to climate change (CC), and the effects have become progressively more evident in recent years. Many studies have examined the effects of CC on GW quantity. Still, there is growing interest in assessing the qualitative impacts of CC, especially on GW temperature (GWT), and the consequences of these impacts. This study aimed to systematically review recently published papers on CC and GWT, determine the impacts of CC on GWT, and highlight the possible consequences. The Scopus and Web of Science databases were consulted, from which 144 papers were obtained. After an initial screening for duplicate papers, a second screening based on the titles and abstracts, and following an analysis of topic applicability to this subject after examining the full text, 44 studies were included in this review. The analysed scientific literature, published in 29 different journals, covered all five continents from 1995 to 2023. This review indicated that the subject of GWT variations due to CC is of global interest and has attracted significant attention, especially over the past two decades, with many studies adopting a multidisciplinary approach. A general increase in GWT was noted as a primary effect of CC (especially in urban areas); furthermore, the implications of this temperature increase for contaminants and GW-dependent ecosystems were analysed, and various applications for this increase (e.g. geothermal) were evaluated. This review highlights that GWT is vulnerable to CC and that the consequences can be serious and worthy of further investigation.},
}
@article {pmid38545021,
year = {2024},
author = {Meo, SA and Meo, AS},
title = {Climate Change and Diabetes Mellitus - Emerging Global Public Health Crisis: Observational Analysis.},
journal = {Pakistan journal of medical sciences},
volume = {40},
number = {4},
pages = {559-562},
pmid = {38545021},
issn = {1682-024X},
abstract = {Climate change is the most pressing challenge of the 21st century. It's immediate impacts on the environment are extreme weather conditions such as heatwaves, storms, rains, floods, sealevel rise, the disruption of crops, agricultural systems, water, vector-borne diseases, and ecosystems. The weather-related disasters disturbed the natural biological environment and dislocated millions of people from their homes. The extreme weather conditions caused the deaths of about two million people and $4.3 trillion in economic loss over the past half a century, and 90% of deaths were reported from developing countries. It has also been predicted that between 2030 and 2050, climate change is presumed to cause about 250,000 additional deaths per annum. The rapid rise in temperatures, frequencies of heat waves, wildfires, storms, and other weather extremes conditions could affect human health in many ways. The one-degree Celsius rise in outdoor temperature causes over 100,000 new cases of diabetes mellitus per annum. Climate change compromised body metabolism, vasodilation, sweating, insulin resistance and cause Type-2 diabetes mellitus and gestational diabetes Mellitus.},
}
@article {pmid38543332,
year = {2024},
author = {Cáceres, GA and Lisbôa, TV and Elschner, C and Spickenheuer, A},
title = {Experimental Global Warming Potential-Weighted Specific Stiffness Comparison among Different Natural and Synthetic Fibers in a Composite Component Manufactured by Tailored Fiber Placement.},
journal = {Polymers},
volume = {16},
number = {6},
pages = {},
doi = {10.3390/polym16060726},
pmid = {38543332},
issn = {2073-4360},
abstract = {This work aims to evaluate experimentally different fibers and resins in a topologically optimized composite component. The selected ones are made of carbon, glass, basalt, flax, hemp, and jute fibers. Tailored Fiber Placement (TFP) was used to manufacture the textile preforms, which were infused with two different epoxy resins: a partly biogenic and a fully petro-based one. The main objective is to evaluate and compare the absolute and specific mechanical performance of synthetic and natural fibers within a component framework as a base for improving assessments of sustainable endless-fiber reinforced composite material. Furthermore, manufacturing aspects regarding the different fibers are also considered in this work. In assessing the efficiency of the fiber-matrix systems, both the specific stiffness and the specific stiffness relative to carbon dioxide equivalents (CO2eq.) as measures for the global warming potential (GWP) are taken into account for comparison. The primary findings indicate that basalt and flax fibers outperform carbon fibers notably in terms of specific stiffness weighted by CO2eq.. Additionally, the selection of epoxy resin significantly influences the assessment of sustainable fiber-plastic composites.},
}
@article {pmid38541313,
year = {2024},
author = {Piscitelli, P and Miani, A},
title = {Climate Change and Infectious Diseases: Navigating the Intersection through Innovation and Interdisciplinary Approaches.},
journal = {International journal of environmental research and public health},
volume = {21},
number = {3},
pages = {},
doi = {10.3390/ijerph21030314},
pmid = {38541313},
issn = {1660-4601},
abstract = {The era of climate change has introduced unprecedented challenges for global public health, especially visible through the lens of infectious diseases [...].},
}
@article {pmid38541279,
year = {2024},
author = {Latkin, CA and Dayton, L and Winiker, A and Countess, K and Hendrickson, ZM},
title = {'They Talk about the Weather, but No One Does Anything about It': A Mixed-Methods Study of Everyday Climate Change Conversations.},
journal = {International journal of environmental research and public health},
volume = {21},
number = {3},
pages = {},
doi = {10.3390/ijerph21030279},
pmid = {38541279},
issn = {1660-4601},
support = {1/CX/CSRD VA/United States ; },
abstract = {Understanding everyday conversations about climate change may provide insights into framing the issue to promote climate change action. As part of a longitudinal online study in the US launched in June 2021, 805 respondents were asked if they had discussed climate change with a friend or family member in the prior month; if not, why not, and if yes, they were asked to delineate the conversation topic. Concurrent mixed methods were used to analyze the data. The majority (62.6%) of respondents reported not having a conversation about climate change in the prior month. Among those who indicated that they had discussed climate change, five themes were identified from the conversation topics, with many having reported discussing the impact of climate change on weather patterns. Very few discussed actions to address climate change, and most of these discussions focused on individual-level behaviors rather than collective actions. Among participants who had not recently discussed climate change, the most prevalent theme was that it was not a priority or an issue they cared about. Results suggest that conversations may not lead to collective actions and that policymakers and environmental organizations should provide guidance on effectively channeling climate change concerns into action.},
}
@article {pmid38540956,
year = {2024},
author = {Chou, J and Jin, H and Xu, Y and Zhao, W and Li, Y and Hao, Y},
title = {Impacts and Risk Assessments of Climate Change for the Yields of the Major Grain Crops in China, Japan, and Korea.},
journal = {Foods (Basel, Switzerland)},
volume = {13},
number = {6},
pages = {},
doi = {10.3390/foods13060966},
pmid = {38540956},
issn = {2304-8158},
support = {42261144687//Projects of International Cooperation and Exchanges NSFC/ ; 2022-GS-01//State Key Laboratory of Earth Surface Processes and Resource Ecology/ ; 42075167//National Natural Science Foundation of China/ ; },
abstract = {Climate change poses a high risk to grain yields. Maize, rice, and wheat are the three major grain crops in China, Japan, and Korea. Assessing the impacts and risks of climate on the yields of these grain cops is crucial. An economy-climate model (C-D-C model) was established to assess the impacts of climate factors on the grain yields in different crop areas. The peaks over threshold model based on the generalized Pareto distribution was used to calculate the value at risk and the expected shortfall, which can evaluate the yield risk of different crops. The impact ratio of climate change was employed to estimate the impacts of climate change under different climate scenarios. The main conclusions can be summarized as follows: the impacts of climate factors on grain yields and the risk vary widely across the different regions and crops. Compared to 1991-2020, climate change from 2021 to 2050 exerts positive impacts on rice and wheat, while the negative impacts on maize in the crop areas are significantly affected by climate factors. The impact ratios of climate change are larger in the SSP1-2.6 and the SSP5-8.5 scenarios than under the SSP2-4.5 scenario. These findings are useful for targeting grain yields in smaller study areas.},
}
@article {pmid38540672,
year = {2024},
author = {Luna-Cerón, E and Pherez-Farah, A and Krishnan-Sivadoss, I and Guerrero-Beltrán, CE},
title = {Molecular Challenges and Opportunities in Climate Change-Induced Kidney Diseases.},
journal = {Biomolecules},
volume = {14},
number = {3},
pages = {},
doi = {10.3390/biom14030251},
pmid = {38540672},
issn = {2218-273X},
abstract = {As temperatures continue to modify due to weather changes, more regions are being exposed to extreme heat and cold. Physiological distress due to low and high temperatures can affect the heart, blood vessels, liver, and especially, the kidneys. Dehydration causes impaired cell function and heat itself triggers cellular stress. The decline in circulating plasma volume by sweat, which stresses the renal and cardiovascular systems, has been related to some molecules that are crucial players in preventing or provoking cellular damage. Hypovolemia and blood redistribution to cutaneous blood vessels reduce perfusion to the kidney triggering the activation of the renin-angiotensin-aldosterone system. In this review, we expose a deeper understanding of the modulation of molecules that interact with other proteins in humans to provide significant findings in the context of extreme heat and cold environments and renal damage reversal. We focus on the molecular changes exerted by temperature and dehydration in the renal system as both parameters are heavily implicated by weather change (e.g., vasopressin-induced fructose uptake, fructogenesis, and hypertension). We also discuss the compensatory mechanisms activated under extreme temperatures that can exert further kidney injury. To finalize, we place special emphasis on the renal mechanisms of protection against temperature extremes, focusing on two important protein groups: heat shock proteins and sirtuins.},
}
@article {pmid38540558,
year = {2024},
author = {Orrù, L and Taccini, F and Mannarini, S},
title = {Worry about the Future in the Climate Change Emergency: A Mediation Analysis of the Role of Eco-Anxiety and Emotion Regulation.},
journal = {Behavioral sciences (Basel, Switzerland)},
volume = {14},
number = {3},
pages = {},
doi = {10.3390/bs14030255},
pmid = {38540558},
issn = {2076-328X},
abstract = {The climate change emergency is one of the most important challenges of our time, and its impact on mental health has been evident for years. It is very important for clinicians to delve deeper into these manifestations. There are a wide variety of constructs, symptoms, and scales to measure the impact of climate change on mental health. Eco-anxiety is one of the constructs that has specifically emerged, in association with worry, about the future. In mental health studies, it is important to explore the relationship between eco-anxiety and emotion regulation and how much this relationship leads to worry about the future in order to be able to offer clinical intervention recommendations. Indeed, the hypothesis of this study is that it is possible to develop worries about the future when symptoms of eco-anxiety and a poor ability to regulate emotions are present. Particularly, emotion dysregulation could increase eco-anxiety symptoms and generate worries about one's own future. For this reason, we have chosen to explore the relationships between these three constructs with the use of a mediation analysis. For this research, 351 participants were recruited in Italy. The proposed mediation model highlighted the findings that emotion dysregulation was positively related with eco-anxiety and that eco-anxiety predicts worry about the future. An association between emotion dysregulation and worry about the future was present. Eco-anxiety appeared to be an important mediator between emotional dysregulation and worry about the future. Emotion regulation could play a pivotal role in addressing concerns about the future. These findings could pave the way for exploring new research avenues and potential clinical interventions.},
}
@article {pmid38539982,
year = {2024},
author = {Mohamed-Brahmi, A and Ameur, M and Mekki, I and Tenza-Peral, A and Nasraoui, M and Yagoubi, Y and Smeti, S and Ben Saïd, S and Atti, N and Lobón, S and Mahouachi, M},
title = {Analysis of Management Practices and Breeders' Perceptions of Climate Change's Impact to Enhance the Resilience of Sheep Production Systems: A Case Study in the Tunisian Semi-Arid Zone.},
journal = {Animals : an open access journal from MDPI},
volume = {14},
number = {6},
pages = {},
doi = {10.3390/ani14060885},
pmid = {38539982},
issn = {2076-2615},
abstract = {Global climate change inflicts unambiguous risks on agricultural systems and food security. Small ruminants are known for their ability to adapt to changing environmental conditions. This paper aims to characterize sheep production systems in a vulnerable agricultural zone and the breeders' perceptions of climate change to apprehend challenges that they are confronting, and formulate resilience actions. The data analysis is based on 94 semi-structured surveys of sheep farmers carried out in the Tunisian semi-arid region. The PCA analysis results revealed three main sheep production systems. The agro-pastoral rain-fed system (AGPRF) is dominant (55%), with large farms and common pastures integrating cereals and fodder. The agro-pastoral irrigated system (AGPI: 20%) is characterized by small-area and forage irrigation (1.8 ha) and a smaller number of ewes but a greater use of animal feed supplementation. The agro-sylvo-pastoral system (AGSP: 25%) is a system where grazing is based on common lands and using tree sub-products, while the agricultural area is exclusively used to cultivate cereal crops. Sheep breeders' climate perceptions are summarized as unpredictable climate events, a decrease in precipitation, and an increase in temperature. Resilience actions principally consist of reducing flocks' numbers, using alternative local feed, fodder, and water resources, and building more shelters and planting more trees in the grazing areas. Nevertheless, cost-effectiveness should be considered in such vulnerable zones to insure the sheep production systems' sustainability.},
}
@article {pmid38539654,
year = {2024},
author = {Cipriani, E and Frumento, S and Grassini, S and Gemignani, A and Menicucci, D},
title = {Do Individual Differences in Perception Affect Awareness of Climate Change?.},
journal = {Brain sciences},
volume = {14},
number = {3},
pages = {},
doi = {10.3390/brainsci14030266},
pmid = {38539654},
issn = {2076-3425},
abstract = {One significant obstacle to gaining a widespread awareness of the ongoing climate change is the nature of its manifestations in relation to our perception: climate change effects are gradual, distributed, and sometimes seemingly contradictory. These features result in a lag in collective climate action and sometimes foster climate skepticism and climate denial. While the literature on climate change perception and belief has thoroughly explored its sociocultural and sociopolitical aspects, research on the potential contribution of psychophysiological factors remains scarce. In this perspective paper, we outline evidence and arguments for the involvement of psychophysiological systems such as thermoception, hygroreception, and interoception in modulating climate change awareness. We discuss psychophysiological mechanisms of climate change awareness in animals and humans, as well as possible sources of individual variance in climate change perception. We conclude by suggesting novel research questions which would be worthwhile to pursue in future studies.},
}
@article {pmid38538899,
year = {2024},
author = {Gibney, E},
title = {Climate change has slowed Earth's rotation - and could affect how we keep time.},
journal = {Nature},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
pmid = {38538899},
issn = {1476-4687},
}
@article {pmid38538890,
year = {2024},
author = {Miller-Struttmann, NE},
title = {Climate change predicted to exacerbate declines in bee populations.},
journal = {Nature},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
pmid = {38538890},
issn = {1476-4687},
}
@article {pmid38538793,
year = {2024},
author = {Agnew, DC},
title = {A global timekeeping problem postponed by global warming.},
journal = {Nature},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
pmid = {38538793},
issn = {1476-4687},
abstract = {The historical association of time with the rotation of Earth has meant that Coordinated Universal Time (UTC) closely follows this rotation[1]. Because the rotation rate is not constant, UTC contains discontinuities (leap seconds), which complicates its use in computer networks[2]. Since 1972, all UTC discontinuities have required that a leap second be added[3]. Here we show that increased melting of ice in Greenland and Antarctica, measured by satellite gravity[4,5], has decreased the angular velocity of Earth more rapidly than before. Removing this effect from the observed angular velocity shows that since 1972, the angular velocity of the liquid core of Earth has been decreasing at a constant rate that has steadily increased the angular velocity of the rest of the Earth. Extrapolating the trends for the core and other relevant phenomena to predict future Earth orientation shows that UTC as now defined will require a negative discontinuity by 2029. This will pose an unprecedented problem for computer network timing and may require changes in UTC to be made earlier than is planned. If polar ice melting had not recently accelerated, this problem would occur 3 years earlier: global warming is already affecting global timekeeping.},
}
@article {pmid38538790,
year = {2024},
author = {Kazenel, MR and Wright, KW and Griswold, T and Whitney, KD and Rudgers, JA},
title = {Heat and desiccation tolerances predict bee abundance under climate change.},
journal = {Nature},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
pmid = {38538790},
issn = {1476-4687},
abstract = {Climate change could pose an urgent threat to pollinators, with critical ecological and economic consequences. However, for most insect pollinator species, we lack the long-term data and mechanistic evidence that are necessary to identify climate-driven declines and predict future trends. Here we document 16 years of abundance patterns for a hyper-diverse bee assemblage[1] in a warming and drying region[2], link bee declines with experimentally determined heat and desiccation tolerances, and use climate sensitivity models to project bee communities into the future. Aridity strongly predicted bee abundance for 71% of 665 bee populations (species × ecosystem combinations). Bee taxa that best tolerated heat and desiccation increased the most over time. Models forecasted declines for 46% of species and predicted more homogeneous communities dominated by drought-tolerant taxa, even while total bee abundance may remain unchanged. Such community reordering could reduce pollination services, because diverse bee assemblages typically maximize pollination for plant communities[3]. Larger-bodied bees also dominated under intermediate to high aridity, identifying body size as a valuable trait for understanding how climate-driven shifts in bee communities influence pollination[4]. We provide evidence that climate change directly threatens bee diversity, indicating that bee conservation efforts should account for the stress of aridity on bee physiology.},
}
@article {pmid38537397,
year = {2024},
author = {Or, Z and Seppänen, AV},
title = {The role of the health sector in tackling climate change: A narrative review.},
journal = {Health policy (Amsterdam, Netherlands)},
volume = {143},
number = {},
pages = {105053},
doi = {10.1016/j.healthpol.2024.105053},
pmid = {38537397},
issn = {1872-6054},
abstract = {Climate change is one of the largest threats to population health and has already affected the ecosystem, food production, and health and wellbeing of populations all over the world. The healthcare sector is responsible for around 5 % of greenhouse gas emissions worldwide and can play a key role in reducing global warming. This narrative review summarized the information on the role of healthcare systems in addressing climate change and strategies for reducing its negative impact to illustrate different types of actions that can support the ecological transformation of healthcare systems to help reaching sustainable development goals. A wide range of green interventions are shown to be effective to reduce the carbon footprint of healthcare and can have a meaningful impact if implemented systematically. However, these would not suffice unless accompanied by systemic mitigation strategies altering how healthcare is provided and consumed. Sustainable healthcare strategies such as reducing waste and low-value care will have direct benefits for the environment while improving economic and health outcomes. The healthcare sector has a unique opportunity to leverage its position and resources to provide a comprehensive strategy for fighting climate change and improving population health and the environment on which it depends.},
}
@article {pmid38536797,
year = {2024},
author = {Filazzola, A and Johnson, MTJ and Barrett, K and Hayes, S and Shrestha, N and Timms, L and MacIvor, JS},
title = {The great urban shift: Climate change is predicted to drive mass species turnover in cities.},
journal = {PloS one},
volume = {19},
number = {3},
pages = {e0299217},
pmid = {38536797},
issn = {1932-6203},
abstract = {Human experiences with nature are important for our culture, economy, and health. Anthropogenically-driven climate change is causing widespread shifts in biodiversity and resident urban wildlife are no exception. We modelled over 2,000 animal species to predict how climate change will impact terrestrial wildlife within 60 Canadian and American cities. We found evidence of an impending great urban shift where thousands of species will disappear across the selected cities, being replaced by new species, or not replaced at all. Effects were largely species-specific, with the most negatively impacted taxa being amphibians, canines, and loons. These predicted shifts were consistent across scenarios of greenhouse gas emissions, but our results show that the severity of change will be defined by our action or inaction to mitigate climate change. An impending massive shift in urban wildlife will impact the cultural experiences of human residents, the delivery of ecosystem services, and our relationship with nature.},
}
@article {pmid38536774,
year = {2024},
author = {Bernigaud, N and Bondeau, A and Guiot, J and Bertoncello, F and Ouriachi, MJ and Bouby, L and Leveau, P and Bernard, L and Isoardi, D},
title = {The impact of climate change on the agriculture and the economy of Southern Gaul: New perspectives of agent-based modelling.},
journal = {PloS one},
volume = {19},
number = {3},
pages = {e0298895},
doi = {10.1371/journal.pone.0298895},
pmid = {38536774},
issn = {1932-6203},
abstract = {What impact did the Roman Climate Optimum (RCO) and the Late Antique Little Ice Age (LALIA) have on the rise and fall of the Roman Empire? Our article presents an agent-based modelling (ABM) approach developed to evaluate the impact of climate change on the profitability of vineyards, olive groves, and grain farms in Southern Gaul, which were the main source of wealth in the roman period. This ABM simulates an agroecosystem model which processes potential agricultural yield values from paleoclimatic data. The model calculates the revenues made by agricultural exploitations from the sale of crops whose annual volumes vary according to climate and market prices. The potential profits made by the different agricultural exploitations are calculated by deducting from the income the operating and transportation costs. We conclude that the warm and wet climate of the Roman period may have had an extremely beneficial effect on the profitability of wine and olive farms between the 2nd century BCE and the 3rd century CE, but a more modest effect on grain production. Subsequently, there is a significant decrease in the potential profitability of farms during the Late Antique Little Ice Age (4th-7th century CE). Comparing the results of our model with archaeological data enables us to discuss the impact of these climatic fluctuations on the agricultural and economic growth, and then their subsequent recession in Southern Gaul from the beginning to the end of antiquity.},
}
@article {pmid38536504,
year = {2024},
author = {Urvois, T and Auger-Rozenberg, MA and Roques, A and Kerdelhué, C and Rossi, JP},
title = {Intraspecific niche models for the invasive ambrosia beetle Xylosandrus crassiusculus suggest contrasted responses to climate change.},
journal = {Oecologia},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
pmid = {38536504},
issn = {1432-1939},
abstract = {Xylosandrus crassiusculus is an invasive ambrosia beetle comprising two differentiated genetic lineages, named cluster 1 and cluster 2. These lineages invaded different parts of the world at different periods of time. We tested whether they exhibited different climatic niches using Schoener's D and Hellinger's I indices and modeled their current potential geographical ranges using the Maxent algorithm. The resulting models were projected according to future and recent past climate datasets for Europe and the Mediterranean region. The future projections were performed for the periods 2041-2070 and 2071-2100 using 3 SSPs and 5 GCMs. The genetic lineages exhibited different climate niches. Parts of Europe, the Americas, Sub-Saharan Africa, Asia, and Oceania were evaluated as suitable for cluster 1. Parts of Europe, South America, Central and South Africa, Asia, and Oceania were considered as suitable for cluster 2. Models projection under future climate scenarios indicated a decrease in climate suitability in Southern Europe and an increase in North Eastern Europe in 2071-2100. Most of Southern and Western Europe was evaluated as already suitable for both clusters in the early twentieth century. Our results show that large climatically suitable regions still remain uncolonized and that climate change will affect the geographical distribution of climatically suitable areas. Climate conditions in Europe were favorable in the twentieth century, suggesting that the recent colonization of Europe is rather due to an increase in propagule pressure via international trade than to recent environmental changes.},
}
@article {pmid38535390,
year = {2024},
author = {Wei, J and Niu, M and Zhang, H and Cai, B and Ji, W},
title = {Global Potential Distribution of Invasive Species Pseudococcus viburni (Hemiptera: Pseudococcidae) under Climate Change.},
journal = {Insects},
volume = {15},
number = {3},
pages = {},
doi = {10.3390/insects15030195},
pmid = {38535390},
issn = {2075-4450},
abstract = {The potential distribution range and management strategies for P. viburni are poorly understood. Based on historical distribution data and environmental factors, the present study predicted the potentially suitable areas for P. viburni spread under different climate change scenarios using MaxEnt (maximum entropy). The results showed that precipitation of the coldest quarter (Bio19), precipitation seasonality (Bio15), and mean temperature of the wettest quarter (Bio8) were the most important environmental factors determining the distribution of P. viburni. Under the current climate conditions, its potential suitable areas are southern China, the whole of Japan, North America (especially the eastern part of the United States), the southwestern part of South America, the Mediterranean coast and most of Europe, the central part of Africa, i.e., the south of the Sahara Desert, and most of the southern coast of Australia. The total area of habitats suitable for this insect pest is predicted to be increased in the future. In order to prevent P. viburni transmission and spread, there is a need to strengthen the monitoring and quarantine measures against this pest at the Southern ports.},
}
@article {pmid38534467,
year = {2024},
author = {Abedin, I and Mukherjee, T and Kim, AR and Kim, HW and Kang, HE and Kundu, S},
title = {Distribution Model Reveals Rapid Decline in Habitat Extent for Endangered Hispid Hare: Implications for Wildlife Management and Conservation Planning in Future Climate Change Scenarios.},
journal = {Biology},
volume = {13},
number = {3},
pages = {},
doi = {10.3390/biology13030198},
pmid = {38534467},
issn = {2079-7737},
support = {This research was supported by the National Research Foundation of Korea (NRF) grant funded by the Korea government (MSIT) (No.NRF-2021R1A2C1014556)//National Research Foundation of Korea/ ; },
abstract = {The hispid hare, Caprolagus hispidus, belonging to the family Leporidae is a small grassland mammal found in the southern foothills of the Himalayas, in India, Nepal, and Bhutan. Despite having an endangered status according to the IUCN Red List, it lacks studies on its distribution and is threatened by habitat loss and land cover changes. Thus, the present study attempted to assess the habitat suitability using the species distribution model approach for the first time and projected its future in response to climate change, habitat, and urbanization factors. The results revealed that out of the total geographical extent of 188,316 km[2], only 11,374 km[2] (6.03%) were identified as suitable habitat for this species. The results also revealed that habitat significantly declined across its range (>60%) under certain climate change scenarios. Moreover, in the present climate scenario protected areas such as Shuklaphanta National Park (0.837) in Nepal exhibited the highest mean extent of habitat whereas, in India, Dibru-Saikhowa National Park (0.631) is found to be the most suitable habitat. Notably, two protected areas in Uttarakhand, India, specifically Corbett National Park (0.530) and Sonanandi Wildlife Sanctuary (0.423), have also demonstrated suitable habitats for C. hispidus. Given that protected areas showing a future rise in habitat suitability might also be regarded as potential sites for species translocation, this study underscores the importance of implementing proactive conservation strategies to mitigate the adverse impacts of climate change on this species. It is essential to prioritize habitat restoration, focused protection measures, and further species-level ecological exploration to address these challenges effectively. Furthermore, fostering transboundary collaboration and coordinated conservation actions between nations is crucial to safeguarding the long-term survival of the species throughout its distribution range.},
}
@article {pmid38534056,
year = {2024},
author = {Li, X and Peachey, B and Maeda, N},
title = {Global Warming and Anthropogenic Emissions of Water Vapor.},
journal = {Langmuir : the ACS journal of surfaces and colloids},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1021/acs.langmuir.4c00390},
pmid = {38534056},
issn = {1520-5827},
abstract = {The two major components of greenhouse gases, CO2 and water, are indispensable for sustaining life on Earth. Water vapor is the most significant greenhouse gas that has provided the earth with an "atmospheric blanket" and prevented the surface of the earth from freezing. However, contemporary climate models largely consider the influence of water vapor as a factor within positive feedback loops, while the possibility of direct anthropogenic emissions of water vapor as primary drivers of global warming remains underexplored. In particular, a common assumption has been that the global atmospheric water vapor will increase by about 6 to 7% in response to each 1 °C of warming caused by the nonaqueous greenhouse gases in accordance with the Clausius-Clapeyron equation, and this increased moisture content will lead to an increased greenhouse gas effect. However, the Clausius-Clapeyron equation is based on two-phase equilibrium, and there is no a priori physical basis that it can be applied to the earth's climate for which the water vapor does not always coexist with a condensed phase. Here, we utilized global specific humidity data from the NCEP/NCAR reanalysis data set to examine whether the Clausius-Clapeyron equation can form a basis for such positive feedback commonly assumed in the contemporary climate models. Our results show (1) qualitiatively, the linear nature of the Clausius-Clapeyron equation demonstrates a significant level of consistency when averaged over expansive regions like specific latitudes around the globe, (2) this consistency does not extend to individual locations where a plot of (ln Pv) vs (1/T) becomes nonlinear, indicating substantial undersaturation that varies with time, (3) quantitatively, the discrepancies between the observed and the expected values of the slopes are wide-ranging, and (4) the absolute amount of water vapor increased substantially above the population centers and the agricultural areas in the Northern Hemisphere between 1960 and 2020. Human activities appear to have substantial impacts on the local water vapor content in the atmosphere. Once we assume that anthropogenic emissions of water vapor are the source of local water vapor content in the atmosphere, it can, together with the air circulation patterns (Hadler, Ferrel and polar), provide an explanation for the observations that Arctic ice has been melting at a much more accelerated rate than Antarctic ice.},
}
@article {pmid38533554,
year = {2024},
author = {Nezlek, JB and Cypryańska, M},
title = {Relationships between climate change distress, generalized anxiety, and climate-related symptoms of mental disorders.},
journal = {Anxiety, stress, and coping},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {1-13},
doi = {10.1080/10615806.2024.2332628},
pmid = {38533554},
issn = {1477-2205},
abstract = {BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVE: We examined the possibility that reactions to climate change take two forms: distress, which may be adaptive, and symptoms of mental disorders, which may not be.<br><br>DESIGN AND METHOD: In a national sample of Polish adults (n&#x2009;=&#x2009;1133), we measured climate change distress (experiencing unpleasant emotions and feelings due to climate change), climate-related symptoms of mental disorders (e.g., problems sleeping and problems working and planning), generalized anxiety, and depression.<br><br>RESULTS: Zero-inflated Poisson regression analyses of the occurrence of climate-related symptoms of mental disorders found two latent classes: People who experienced symptoms of the disorder and those who did not. For all eight symptoms, climate change distress predicted membership in the latent class of people who experienced a symptom, whereas how often people in the non-zero latent class experienced each symptom was positively related to generalized anxiety but was not related to distress or depression.<br><br>CONCLUSIONS: These results suggest that reactions to climate change take two forms. Some people do not experience climate change-related symptoms of mental disorders, and some do. People who experience symptoms have higher levels of climate change distress, and the frequency with which they experience these symptoms is determined by their dispositional, generalized anxiety.},
}
@article {pmid38533451,
year = {2024},
author = {Garedew, M and John, J and Alam, A and Buchfuhrer, A and Dasilva, L and Hashem, F and Vestal, K and Jiggetts, C and Pace, G and Kissane, C and Luthria, N and Bravo, T and Baker, J and Constantine, G and Sheehan, SW},
title = {Air Scholars program: A framework for empowering future generations to address climate change.},
journal = {iScience},
volume = {27},
number = {2},
pages = {108776},
pmid = {38533451},
issn = {2589-0042},
}
@article {pmid38531884,
year = {2024},
author = {Symons, J and Dixon, TA and Dalziell, J and Curach, N and Paulsen, IT and Wiskich, A and Pretorius, IS},
title = {Engineering biology and climate change mitigation: Policy considerations.},
journal = {Nature communications},
volume = {15},
number = {1},
pages = {2669},
pmid = {38531884},
issn = {2041-1723},
abstract = {Engineering biology (EngBio) is a dynamic field that uses gene editing, synthesis, assembly, and engineering to design new or modified biological systems. EngBio applications could make a significant contribution to achieving net zero greenhouse gas emissions. Yet, policy support will be needed if EngBio is to fulfil its climate mitigation potential. What form should such policies take, and what EngBio applications should they target? This paper reviews EngBio's potential climate contributions to assist policymakers shape regulations and target resources and, in so doing, to facilitate democratic deliberation on desirable futures.},
}
@article {pmid38531235,
year = {2024},
author = {van den Bosch, M and Bartolomeu, ML and Williams, S and Basnou, C and Hamilton, I and Nieuwenhuijsen, M and Pino, J and Tonne, C},
title = {A scoping review of human health co-benefits of forest-based climate change mitigation in Europe.},
journal = {Environment international},
volume = {186},
number = {},
pages = {108593},
doi = {10.1016/j.envint.2024.108593},
pmid = {38531235},
issn = {1873-6750},
abstract = {Climate change is a pressing global challenge with profound implications for human health. Forest-based climate change mitigation strategies, such as afforestation, reforestation, and sustainable forest management, offer promising solutions to mitigate climate change and simultaneously yield substantial co-benefits for human health. The objective of this scoping review was to examine research trends related to the interdisciplinary nexus between forests as carbon sinks and human health co-benefits. We developed a conceptual framework model, supporting the inclusion of exposure pathways, such as recreational opportunities or aesthetic experiences, in the co-benefit context. We used a scoping review methodology to identify the proportion of European research on forest-based mitigation strategies that acknowledge the interconnection between mitigation strategies and human impacts. We also aimed to assess whether synergies and trade-offs between forest-based carbon sink capacity and human co-benefits has been analysed and quantified. From the initial 4,062 records retrieved, 349 reports analysed European forest management principles and factors related to climate change mitigation capacity. Of those, 97 studies acknowledged human co-benefits and 13 studies quantified the impacts on exposure pathways or health co-benefits and were included for full review. Our analysis demonstrates that there is potential for synergies related to optimising carbon sink capacity together with human co-benefits, but there is currently a lack of holistic research approaches assessing these interrelationships. We suggest enhanced interdisciplinary efforts, using for example multideterminant modelling approaches, to advance evidence and understanding of the forest and health nexus in the context of climate change mitigation.},
}
@article {pmid38531141,
year = {2024},
author = {You, Y and Jiang, W and Yi, L and Zhang, G and Peng, Z and Chang, S and Hou, F},
title = {Seeding alpine grasses in low altitude region increases global warming potential during early seedling growth.},
journal = {Journal of environmental management},
volume = {356},
number = {},
pages = {120679},
doi = {10.1016/j.jenvman.2024.120679},
pmid = {38531141},
issn = {1095-8630},
abstract = {Introduction of alpine grasses to low altitude regions has long been a crucial strategy for enriching germplasm diversity, cultivating and acclimating high-quality species, enhancing ecosystem resilience and adaptability, as well as facilitating ecosystem restoration. However, there is an urgent need to investigate the impacts of planting Gramineae seeds on greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions, particularly during the critical stage of early plant growth. In this study, four species of grass seeds (Stipa breviflora, Poa pratensis, Achnatherum splendens, Elymus nutans) were collected from 19 high-altitude regions surrounding the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau and sown at low-altitude. Measurements of GHG emissions at early seedling growth in the mesocosm experiment using static chamber method showed a strong increase in the cumulative emissions of CO2 (5.71%-9.19%) and N2O (11.36%-13.64%) (p < 0.05), as well as an elevated CH4 uptake (2.75%-5.50%) in sites where the four grass species were introduced, compared to bare soil. Consequently, there was a substantial rise in global warming potential (13.87%-16.33%) (p < 0.05) at grass-introduced sites. Redundancy analysis showed that seed traits, plant biomass, and seedling emergence percentage were the main driving biotic factors of three GHGs fluxes. Our study unveils the potential risk of escalating GHG emissions induced by introducing high altitude grasses to low altitude bare soil, elucidating the mechanism through linking seed traits with seedling establishment and environmental feedback. Furthermore, this offers a new perspective for assessing the impact of grass introduction on ecological environment of introduced site.},
}
@article {pmid38530243,
year = {2024},
author = {Kivimäki, M and Batty, GD and Pentti, J and Suomi, J and Nyberg, ST and Merikanto, J and Nordling, K and Ervasti, J and Suominen, SB and Partanen, AI and Stenholm, S and Käyhkö, J and Vahtera, J},
title = {Erratum: "Climate Change, Summer Temperature, and Heat-Related Mortality in Finland: Multicohort Study with Projections for a Sustainable vs. Fossil-Fueled Future to 2050".},
journal = {Environmental health perspectives},
volume = {132},
number = {3},
pages = {39001},
doi = {10.1289/EHP14645},
pmid = {38530243},
issn = {1552-9924},
}
@article {pmid38528313,
year = {2024},
author = {Pineda, M and Barón, M and Pérez-Bueno, ML},
title = {Diverse projected climate change scenarios affect the physiology of broccoli plants to different extents.},
journal = {Physiologia plantarum},
volume = {176},
number = {2},
pages = {e14269},
doi = {10.1111/ppl.14269},
pmid = {38528313},
issn = {1399-3054},
support = {PID2022-139733OB-I00//Ministerio de Ciencia, Innovaci&#xf3;n y Universidades/ ; RTI2018-094652-B-I00//Ministerio de Ciencia, Innovaci&#xf3;n y Universidades/ ; Proyecto Intramural 202340E012//Consejo Superior de Investigaciones Cient&#xed;ficas/ ; PID2022-139733OB-I00//Agencia Estatal de Investigaci&#xf3;n/ ; RTI2018-094652-B-I00//Agencia Estatal de Investigaci&#xf3;n/ ; PID2022-139733OB-I00//European Regional Development Fund/ ; RTI2018-094652-B-I00//European Regional Development Fund/ ; },
abstract = {Climate change caused by global warming involves crucial plant growth factors such as atmospheric CO2 concentration, ambient temperature or water availability. These stressors usually co-occur, causing intricate alterations in plant physiology and development. This work focuses on how elevated atmospheric CO2 levels, together with the concomitant high temperature, would affect the physiology of a relevant crop, such as broccoli. Particular attention has been paid to those defence mechanisms that contribute to plant fitness under abiotic stress. Results show that both photosynthesis and leaf transpiration were reduced in plants grown under climate change environments compared to those grown under current climate conditions. Furthermore, an induction of carbohydrate catabolism pointed to a redistribution from primary to secondary metabolism. This result could be related to a reinforcement of cell walls, as well as to an increase in the pool of antioxidants in the leaves. Broccoli plants, a C3 crop, grown under an intermediate condition showed activation of those adaptive mechanisms, which would contribute to coping with abiotic stress, as confirmed by reduced levels of lipid peroxidation relative to current climate conditions. On the contrary, the most severe climate change scenario exceeded the adaptive capacity of broccoli plants, as shown by the inhibition of growth and reduced vigour of plants. In conclusion, only a moderate increase in atmospheric CO2 concentration and temperature would not have a negative impact on broccoli crop yields.},
}
@article {pmid38528225,
year = {2024},
author = {Ali, S and Yan, Q and Dilanchiev, A and Irfan, M and Balabeyova, N},
title = {Retraction Note: Economic development, social media awareness, and technological innovation in biogas sector under climate change in the post-COVID-19 pandemic conditions.},
journal = {Environmental science and pollution research international},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1007/s11356-024-33073-8},
pmid = {38528225},
issn = {1614-7499},
}
@article {pmid38528012,
year = {2024},
author = {Kreider, MR and Higuera, PE and Parks, SA and Rice, WL and White, N and Larson, AJ},
title = {Fire suppression makes wildfires more severe and accentuates impacts of climate change and fuel accumulation.},
journal = {Nature communications},
volume = {15},
number = {1},
pages = {2412},
pmid = {38528012},
issn = {2041-1723},
support = {1745048//National Science Foundation (NSF)/ ; },
abstract = {Fire suppression is the primary management response to wildfires in many areas globally. By removing less-extreme wildfires, this approach ensures that remaining wildfires burn under more extreme conditions. Here, we term this the "suppression bias" and use a simulation model to highlight how this bias fundamentally impacts wildfire activity, independent of fuel accumulation and climate change. We illustrate how attempting to suppress all wildfires necessarily means that fires will burn with more severe and less diverse ecological impacts, with burned area increasing at faster rates than expected from fuel accumulation or climate change. Over a human lifespan, the modeled impacts of the suppression bias exceed those from fuel accumulation or climate change alone, suggesting that suppression may exert a significant and underappreciated influence on patterns of fire globally. Managing wildfires to safely burn under low and moderate conditions is thus a critical tool to address the growing wildfire crisis.},
}
@article {pmid38527536,
year = {2024},
author = {Pan, T and Cui, C and Qin, B and Ding, K and Zhou, J},
title = {Climate change intensifies algal biomass resurgence in eutrophic Lake Taihu, China.},
journal = {The Science of the total environment},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {171934},
doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.171934},
pmid = {38527536},
issn = {1879-1026},
abstract = {Climate change can significantly alter phytoplankton growth and proliferation, which would counteract restoration efforts to control algal blooms. However, the knowledge is limited about the quantitative evaluation of the causal effect of algal biomass resurgence in large shallow lakes where there is no significant improvement after long term lake restoration. Here, a bucket process-based phytoplankton dynamic model is developed to quantify the contribution of climate change and nutrient concentration changes to phytoplankton biomass resurgence after 2014 in hypereutrophic Lake Taihu, China. Compared to 2008-2014, the mean water temperature (WT) and the mean phosphate (PO3-4) are higher, the mean photosynthetically active radiation (PAR), the mean total suspended solids (TSS), and the mean dissolved inorganic nitrogen (DIN) are lower, during 2015-2020. Their contribution to algal biomass resurgence in 2015-2020 is WT (+58.7 %), PAR (-2.6 %), TSS (+23.2 %), DIN (-22.1 %) and PO3-4(+42.7 %), respectively. Climate change (WT, PAR, and TSS), which contributed +64.9 % to the phytoplankton biomass resurgence, underscores the urgent need to continuously take more effective measures to reduce nutrient emissions to offset the effects of climate change in Lake Taihu and in other eutrophic lakes.},
}
@article {pmid38527432,
year = {2024},
author = {Bowman, WS and Schmidt, RJ and Sanghar, GK and Thompson Iii, GR and Ji, H and Zeki, AA and Haczku, A},
title = {"Air That Once Was Breath" Part 2: Wildfire Smoke and Airway Disease - "Climate Change, Allergy and Immunology" Special IAAI Article Collection: Collegium Internationale Allergologicum Update 2023.},
journal = {International archives of allergy and immunology},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {1-14},
doi = {10.1159/000536576},
pmid = {38527432},
issn = {1423-0097},
abstract = {BACKGROUND: Population growth and climate change have led to more frequent and larger wildfires, increasing the exposure of individuals to wildfire smoke. Notably, asthma exacerbations and allergic airway sensitization are prominent outcomes of such exposure.<br><br>SUMMARY: Key research questions relate to determining the precise impact on individuals with asthma, including the severity, duration, and long-term consequences of exacerbations. Identifying specific risk factors contributing to vulnerability, such as age, genetics, comorbidities, or environmental factors, is crucial. Additionally, reliable biomarkers for predicting severe exacerbations need exploration. Understanding the long-term health effects of repeated wildfire smoke exposures in individuals with asthma and addressing healthcare disparities are important research areas.<br><br>KEY MESSAGES: This review discusses the need for comprehensive research efforts to better grasp wildfire smoke-induced respiratory health, particularly in vulnerable populations such as farmworkers, firefighters, pregnant women, children, the elderly, and marginalized communities. Effective mitigation would require addressing the current limitations we face by supporting research aimed at a better understanding of wildfire smoke-induced airway disease.},
}
@article {pmid38527215,
year = {2024},
author = {Rockman, M},
title = {Capacity of the U.S. federal system for cultural heritage to meet challenges of climate change.},
journal = {Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America},
volume = {121},
number = {15},
pages = {e2317158121},
doi = {10.1073/pnas.2317158121},
pmid = {38527215},
issn = {1091-6490},
abstract = {The U.S. federal government is unbalanced in its capacity to recognize, manage, and engage cultural heritage as part of its response to climate change. Legislation from the 1906 Antiquities Act to Executive Order (EO) 13990 signed in 2021 has set an overarching approach in which heritage is understood to be primarily tangible places and things that should be conserved, foremost through monument and park boundaries and significance designations. Such conservation, however, does not protect heritage from impacts of climate change and how to manage these components of heritage is nearly invisible in recent climate-focused publications of the two agencies assigned by legislation to serve as leads for cultural heritage in the U.S. government. Yet further, the long-standing tangible approach to heritage does not incorporate emerging understandings of its intangible components and the diverse connections of all forms of heritage to place, meaning, identity, and global change goals of sustainability and equity. In contrast, analysis of 27 federal agency climate adaptation plans prepared in response to 2021 EO 14008 shows that multiple agencies not assigned lead roles for heritage recognize a range of responsibilities that include heritage as part of climate adaptation, mitigation, equity, and coordination with Indigenous communities. This paper explores U.S. heritage legislative history, the definition it helped create for heritage, more recent understandings of heritage, and relationships of these to climate change and how these are represented in climate work and plans across U.S. federal agencies. On these bases, recommendations are provided for research and policy steps.},
}
@article {pmid38526088,
year = {2024},
author = {Lennon, JT and Abramoff, RZ and Allison, SD and Burckhardt, RM and DeAngelis, KM and Dunne, JP and Frey, SD and Friedlingstein, P and Hawkes, CV and Hungate, BA and Khurana, S and Kivlin, SN and Levine, NM and Manzoni, S and Martiny, AC and Martiny, JBH and Nguyen, NK and Rawat, M and Talmy, D and Todd-Brown, K and Vogt, M and Wieder, WR and Zakem, EJ},
title = {Priorities, opportunities, and challenges for integrating microorganisms into Earth system models for climate change prediction.},
journal = {mBio},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {e0045524},
doi = {10.1128/mbio.00455-24},
pmid = {38526088},
issn = {2150-7511},
abstract = {Climate change jeopardizes human health, global biodiversity, and sustainability of the biosphere. To make reliable predictions about climate change, scientists use Earth system models (ESMs) that integrate physical, chemical, and biological processes occurring on land, the oceans, and the atmosphere. Although critical for catalyzing coupled biogeochemical processes, microorganisms have traditionally been left out of ESMs. Here, we generate a "top 10" list of priorities, opportunities, and challenges for the explicit integration of microorganisms into ESMs. We discuss the need for coarse-graining microbial information into functionally relevant categories, as well as the capacity for microorganisms to rapidly evolve in response to climate-change drivers. Microbiologists are uniquely positioned to collect novel and valuable information necessary for next-generation ESMs, but this requires data harmonization and transdisciplinary collaboration to effectively guide adaptation strategies and mitigation policy.},
}
@article {pmid38523192,
year = {2024},
author = {Balmaki, B and Rostami, MA and Allen, JM and Dyer, LA},
title = {Effects of climate change on Lepidoptera pollen loads and their pollination services in space and time.},
journal = {Oecologia},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
pmid = {38523192},
issn = {1432-1939},
support = {2114942//Division of Environmental Biology/ ; 2114793//Division of Environmental Biology/ ; 2133818//EN/ ; },
abstract = {Shifts in flowering time among plant communities as a result of climate change, including extreme weather events, are a growing concern. These plant phenological changes may affect the quantity and quality of food sources for specialized insect pollinators. Plant-pollinator interactions are threatened by habitat alterations and biodiversity loss, and changes in these interactions may lead to declines in flower visitors and pollination services. Most prior research has focused on short-term plant-pollinator interactions, which do not accurately capture changes in pollination services. Here, we characterized long-term plant-pollinator interactions and identified potential risks to specialized butterfly species due to habitat loss, fragmented landscapes, and changes in plant assemblages. We used 21 years of historical data from museum specimens to track the potential effects of direct and indirect changes in precipitation, temperature, monsoons, and wildfires on plant-pollinator mutualism in the Great Basin and Sierra Nevada. We found decreased pollen richness associated with butterflies within sites, as well as an increase in pollen grain abundance of drought-tolerant plants, particularly in the past 10 years. Moreover, increased global temperatures and the intensity and frequency of precipitation and wildfires were negatively correlated with pollen diversity. Our findings have important implications for understanding plant-pollinator interactions and the pollination services affected by global warming.},
}
@article {pmid38522529,
year = {2024},
author = {Lasa, AV and Fernández-González, AJ and Villadas, PJ and Mercado-Blanco, J and Pérez-Luque, AJ and Fernández-López, M},
title = {Mediterranean pine forest decline: A matter of root-associated microbiota and climate change.},
journal = {The Science of the total environment},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {171858},
doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.171858},
pmid = {38522529},
issn = {1879-1026},
abstract = {Forest ecosystems worldwide currently face worrying episodes of forest decline, which have boosted weakening and mortality of the trees. In the Mediterranean region, especially in the southeast Iberian Peninsula, Pinus sylvestris forests are severely affected by this phenomenon, and it has been commonly attributed to drought events. Remarkably, the role of root microbiota on pine decline has been overlooked and remains unclear. We therefore used metabarcoding to identify the belowground microbial communities of decline-affected and unaffected pine trees. Taxonomic composition of bacterial and fungal rhizosphere communities, and fungal populations dwelling in root endosphere showed different profiles depending on the health status of the trees. The root endosphere of asymptomatic trees was as strongly dominated by 'Candidatus Phytoplasma pini' as the root of decline-affected pines, accounting for >99 % of the total bacterial sequences in some samples. Notwithstanding, the titer of this phytopathogen was four-fold higher in symptomatic trees than in symptomless ones. Furthermore, the microbiota inhabiting the root endosphere of decline-affected trees assembled into a less complex and more modularized network. Thus, the observed changes in the microbial communities could be a cause or a consequence of forest decline phenomenon. Moreover, 'Ca. Phytoplasma pini' is positively correlated to Pinus sylvestris decline events, either as the primary cause of pine decline or as an opportunistic pathogen exacerbating the process once the tree has been weaken by other factors.},
}
@article {pmid38522009,
year = {2024},
author = {Beggs, PJ and Trueck, S and Linnenluecke, MK and Bambrick, H and Capon, AG and Hanigan, IC and Arriagada, NB and Cross, TJ and Friel, S and Green, D and Heenan, M and Jay, O and Kennard, H and Malik, A and McMichael, C and Stevenson, M and Vardoulakis, S and Dang, TN and Garvey, G and Lovett, R and Matthews, V and Phung, D and Woodward, AJ and Romanello, MB and Zhang, Y},
title = {The 2023 report of the MJA-Lancet Countdown on health and climate change: sustainability needed in Australia's health care sector.},
journal = {The Medical journal of Australia},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.5694/mja2.52245},
pmid = {38522009},
issn = {1326-5377},
abstract = {The MJA-Lancet Countdown on health and climate change in Australia was established in 2017 and produced its first national assessment in 2018 and annual updates in 2019, 2020, 2021 and 2022. It examines five broad domains: health hazards, exposures and impacts; adaptation, planning and resilience for health; mitigation actions and health co-benefits; economics and finance; and public and political engagement. In this, the sixth report of the MJA-Lancet Countdown, we track progress on an extensive suite of indicators across these five domains, accessing and presenting the latest data and further refining and developing our analyses. Our results highlight the health and economic costs of inaction on health and climate change. A series of major flood events across the four eastern states of Australia in 2022 was the main contributor to insured losses from climate-related catastrophes of $7.168 billion - the highest amount on record. The floods also directly caused 23 deaths and resulted in the displacement of tens of thousands of people. High red meat and processed meat consumption and insufficient consumption of fruit and vegetables accounted for about half of the 87 166 diet-related deaths in Australia in 2021. Correction of this imbalance would both save lives and reduce the heavy carbon footprint associated with meat production. We find signs of progress on health and climate change. Importantly, the Australian Government released Australia's first National Health and Climate Strategy, and the Government of Western Australia is preparing a Health Sector Adaptation Plan. We also find increasing action on, and engagement with, health and climate change at a community level, with the number of electric vehicle sales almost doubling in 2022 compared with 2021, and with a 65% increase in coverage of health and climate change in the media in 2022 compared with 2021. Overall, the urgency of substantial enhancements in Australia's mitigation and adaptation responses to the enormous health and climate change challenge cannot be overstated. Australia's energy system, and its health care sector, currently emit an unreasonable and unjust proportion of greenhouse gases into the atmosphere. As the Lancet Countdown enters its second and most critical phase in the leadup to 2030, the depth and breadth of our assessment of health and climate change will be augmented to increasingly examine Australia in its regional context, and to better measure and track key issues in Australia such as mental health and Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander health and wellbeing.},
}
@article {pmid38521843,
year = {2024},
author = {Sunkur, R and Kantamaneni, K and Bokhoree, C and Rathnayake, U and Fernando, M},
title = {Mangrove mapping and monitoring using remote sensing techniques towards climate change resilience.},
journal = {Scientific reports},
volume = {14},
number = {1},
pages = {6949},
pmid = {38521843},
issn = {2045-2322},
abstract = {Mangroves are amongst the richest ecosystems in the world providing valuable goods and services to millions of people while enhancing the resilience of coastal communities against climate change induced hazards, especially island nations. However, these mangroves are severely affected by many anthropogenic activities. Therefore, understanding the spatial variability of mangroves in island nations is highly essential in the events of ongoing climatic change. Thus, this study assessed the use of remote sensing techniques and GIS to map and monitor mangrove cover change at selected sites, namely Le Morne and Ferney, on the tropical island of Mauritius. Freely available 2013 SPOT-5 and 2023 Sentinel 2A images were retrieved and processed using ArcGIS Pro tools and SNAP; mangroves were mapped based on Google Earth Pro historical imagery and ground truthing at the respective sites. Following the application of selected vegetation indices, GLCM and PCA analysis, mosaicked images were classified using the Random Trees algorithm. Kappa values of all the classified images were in the 90 s; Le Morne showed a significant increase in mangrove cover over the decadal scale with main class change from mudflat to mangroves. This study demonstrates how geo-spatial tools are crucial for monitoring mangroves as they provide spatially explicit and time sensitive information. Decision makers, researchers, and relevant stakeholders can utilize this data to bolster tailored mitigation and adaptation strategies at specific sites, thereby enhancing resilience to climate change.},
}
@article {pmid38521379,
year = {2024},
author = {Leeuwis, RHJ and Hall, JR and Zanuzzo, FS and Smith, N and Clow, KA and Kumar, S and Vasquez, I and Goetz, FW and Johnson, SC and Rise, ML and Santander, J and Gamperl, AK},
title = {Climate change can impair bacterial pathogen defences in sablefish via hypoxia-mediated effects on adaptive immunity.},
journal = {Developmental and comparative immunology},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {105161},
doi = {10.1016/j.dci.2024.105161},
pmid = {38521379},
issn = {1879-0089},
abstract = {Low-oxygen levels (hypoxia) in aquatic habitats are becoming more common because of global warming and eutrophication. However, the effects on the health/disease status of fishes, the world's largest group of vertebrates, are unclear. Therefore, we assessed how long-term hypoxia affected the immune function of sablefish, an ecologically and economically important North Pacific species, including the response to a formalin-killed Aeromonas salmonicida bacterin. Sablefish were held at normoxia or hypoxia (100% or 40% air saturated seawater, respectively) for 6-16 weeks, while we measured a diverse array of immunological traits. Given that the sablefish is a non-model organism, this involved the development of a species-specific methodological toolbox comprised of qPCR primers for 16 key immune genes, assays for blood antibacterial defences, the assessment of blood immunoglobulin (IgM) levels with ELISA, and flow cytometry and confocal microscopy techniques. We show that innate immune parameters were typically elevated in response to the bacterial antigens, but were not substantially affected by hypoxia. In contrast, hypoxia completely prevented the ∼1.5-fold increase in blood IgM level that was observed under normoxic conditions following bacterin exposure, implying a serious impairment of adaptive immunity. Since the sablefish is naturally hypoxia tolerant, our results demonstrate that climate change-related deoxygenation may be a serious threat to the immune competency of fishes.},
}
@article {pmid38521263,
year = {2024},
author = {Li, KJ and Liu, XF and Yang, L and Shen, SK},
title = {Alpine Rhododendron population contractions lead to spatial distribution mismatch with their pollinators under climate change.},
journal = {The Science of the total environment},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {171832},
doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.171832},
pmid = {38521263},
issn = {1879-1026},
abstract = {The effect of global climate change on plant-pollinator interaction is not limited to changes in phenology and richness within communities but also includes the spatial mismatch caused by the inconsistency of geographical distribution changes. Subsequently, the pollinator interaction network may be remodeled or even disrupted. In this study, we simulated the suitable habitat niche of 15 Rhododendron species and their eight pollinator species as well as their overlapping versus geographical mismatch under the current and three future climate change scenarios in 2090s, using MaxEnt. Results showed that the suitable habitat of all Rhododendron species would decrease in 2090s. In particular, 10, 8, and 13 Rhododendron-pollinator assemblages would have a reduced spatial match region under the climate change scenarios, mainly due to the contraction of the suitable habitat of Rhododendron species. The results provide novel insights into the response of plant-pollinator interactions to global warming, useful to prioritize conservation actions of alpine plant ecosystems.},
}
@article {pmid38520558,
year = {2024},
author = {Vásquez-Aguilar, AA and Hernández-Rodríguez, D and Martínez-Mota, R},
title = {Predicting future climate change impacts on the potential distribution of the black howler monkey (Alouatta pigra): an endangered arboreal primate.},
journal = {Environmental monitoring and assessment},
volume = {196},
number = {4},
pages = {392},
pmid = {38520558},
issn = {1573-2959},
abstract = {Climate change is one of the main factors affecting biodiversity worldwide at an alarming rate. In addition to increases in global extreme weather events, melting of polar ice caps, and subsequent sea level rise, climate change might shift the geographic distribution of species. In recent years, interest in understanding the effects of climate change on species distribution has increased, including species which depend greatly on forest cover for survival, such as strictly arboreal primates. Here, we generate a series of species distribution models (SDMs) to evaluate future projections under different climate change scenarios on the distribution of the black howler monkey (Alouatta pigra), an endemic endangered primate species. Using SDMs, we assessed current and future projections of their potential distribution for three Social Economic Paths (SSPs) for the years 2030, 2050, 2070, and 2090. Specifically, we found that precipitation seasonality (BIO15, 30.8%), isothermality (BIO3, 25.4%), and mean diurnal range (BIO2, 19.7.%) are the main factors affecting A. pigra distribution. The future climate change models suggested a decrease in the potential distribution of A. pigra by projected scenarios (from - 1.23 to - 12.66%). The highly suitable area was the most affected above all in the more pessimist scenario most likely related to habitat fragmentation. Our study provides new insights into the potential future distribution and suitable habitats of Alouatta pigra. Such information could be used by local communities, governments, and non-governmental organizations for conservation planning of this primate species.},
}
@article {pmid38519952,
year = {2024},
author = {Smith, CL and Fisher, G and Dharmayani, PNA and Wijekulasuriya, S and Ellis, LA and Spanos, S and Dammery, G and Zurynski, Y and Braithwaite, J},
title = {Progress with the Learning Health System 2.0: a rapid review of Learning Health Systems' responses to pandemics and climate change.},
journal = {BMC medicine},
volume = {22},
number = {1},
pages = {131},
pmid = {38519952},
issn = {1741-7015},
support = {9100002//National Health and Medical Research Council/ ; 1176620//National Health and Medical Research Council/ ; },
abstract = {BACKGROUND: Pandemics and climate change each challenge health systems through increasing numbers and new types of patients. To adapt to these challenges, leading health systems have embraced a Learning Health System (LHS) approach, aiming to increase the efficiency with which data is translated into actionable knowledge. This rapid review sought to determine how these health systems have used LHS frameworks to both address the challenges posed by the COVID-19 pandemic and climate change, and to prepare for future disturbances, and thus transition towards the LHS2.0.<br><br>METHODS: Three databases (Embase, Scopus, and PubMed) were searched for peer-reviewed literature published in English in the five years to March 2023. Publications were included if they described a real-world LHS's response to one or more of the following: the COVID-19 pandemic, future pandemics, current climate events, future climate change events. Data were extracted and thematically analyzed using the five dimensions of the Institute of Medicine/Zurynski-Braithwaite's LHS framework: Science and Informatics, Patient-Clinician Partnerships, Continuous Learning Culture, Incentives, and Structure and Governance.<br><br>RESULTS: The search yielded 182 unique publications, four of which reported on LHSs and climate change. Backward citation tracking yielded 13 additional pandemic-related publications. None of the climate change-related papers met the inclusion criteria. Thirty-two publications were included after full-text review. Most were case studies (n&#x2009;=&#x2009;12, 38%), narrative descriptions (n&#x2009;=&#x2009;9, 28%) or empirical studies (n&#x2009;=&#x2009;9, 28%). Science and Informatics (n&#x2009;=&#x2009;31, 97%), Continuous Learning Culture (n&#x2009;=&#x2009;26, 81%), Structure and Governance (n&#x2009;=&#x2009;23, 72%) were the most frequently discussed LHS dimensions. Incentives (n&#x2009;=&#x2009;21, 66%) and Patient-Clinician Partnerships (n&#x2009;=&#x2009;18, 56%) received less attention. Twenty-nine papers (91%) discussed benefits or opportunities created by pandemics to furthering the development of an LHS, compared to 22 papers (69%) that discussed challenges.<br><br>CONCLUSIONS: An LHS 2.0 approach appears well-suited to responding to the rapidly changing and uncertain conditions of a pandemic, and, by extension, to preparing health systems for the effects of climate change. LHSs that embrace a continuous learning culture can inform patient care, public policy, and public messaging, and those that wisely use IT systems for decision-making can more readily enact surveillance systems for future pandemics and climate change-related events.<br><br>TRIAL REGISTRATION: PROSPERO pre-registration: CRD42023408896.},
}
@article {pmid38519453,
year = {2024},
author = {Couée, I},
title = {The importance of worldwide linguistic and cultural diversity for climate change resilience.},
journal = {Ecology letters},
volume = {27},
number = {3},
pages = {e14410},
doi = {10.1111/ele.14410},
pmid = {38519453},
issn = {1461-0248},
abstract = {Local minority languages and dialects, through the local knowledge and expertise associated with them, can play major roles in analysing climate change and biodiversity loss, in facilitating community awareness of environmental crises and in setting up locally-adapted resilience and sustainability strategies. While the situation and contribution of Indigenous and Tribal Peoples are of emblematic importance, the issue of the relationships between cultural and linguistic diversity and environmental awareness and protection does not solely concern peripheral highly-specialized communities in specific ecosystems of the Global South, but constitutes a worldwide challenge, throughout all of the countries, whatever their geographical location, their economical development, or their political status. Environmental emergency and climate change resilience should therefore raise international awareness on the need to promote the survival and development of minority languages and dialects and to take into account their creativity and expertise in relation to the dynamics of their local environments.},
}
@article {pmid38518909,
year = {2024},
author = {Shaaban, M and Nunez-Delgado, A},
title = {Soil adsorption potential: Harnessing Earth's living skin for mitigating climate change and greenhouse gas dynamics.},
journal = {Environmental research},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {118738},
doi = {10.1016/j.envres.2024.118738},
pmid = {38518909},
issn = {1096-0953},
abstract = {Soil adsorption, which could be seen as a crucial ecosystem service, plays a pivotal role in regulating environmental quality and climate dynamics. However, despite its significance, it is often undervalued within the realms of research and policy frameworks. This article delves into the multifaceted aspects of soil adsorption, incorporating insights from chemistry and material science, ecological perspectives, and recent advancements in the field. In exploring soil components and their adsorption capacities, the review highlights how organic and inorganic constituents orchestrate soil's aptitude for pollutant mitigation and nutrient retention/release. Innovative materials and technologies such as biochar are evaluated for their efficacy in enhancing these natural processes, drawing a link with the sustainability of agricultural systems. The symbiosis between soil microbial diversity and adsorption mechanisms is examined, emphasizing the potential for leveraging this interaction to bolster soil health and resilience. The impact of soil adsorption on global nutrient cycles and water quality underscores the environmental implications, portraying it as a sentinel in the face of escalating anthropogenic activities. The complex interplay between soil adsorption mechanisms and climate change is dissected, identifying research gaps and advocating for future investigations to elucidate the dynamics underpinning this relation. Policy and socioeconomic aspects form a crucial counterpart to the scientific discourse, with the review assessing how effective governance, incentivization, and community engagement are essential for translating soil adsorption's functionality into tangible climate change mitigation and sustainable land-use strategies. Integrating these diverse but interconnected strata, the article presents a comprehensive overview that not only charts the current state of soil adsorption research but also casts a vision for its future trajectory. It calls for an integrated approach combining scientific inquiry, technological innovation, and proactive policy to leverage soil adsorption's full potential to address environmental challenges and catalyze a transition towards a more sustainable and resilient future.},
}
@article {pmid38518791,
year = {2024},
author = {Seidel, D and Wurster, S and Jenks, JD and Sati, H and Gangneux, JP and Egger, M and Alastruey-Izquierdo, A and Ford, NP and Chowdhary, A and Sprute, R and Cornely, O and Thompson, GR and Hoenigl, M and Kontoyiannis, DP},
title = {Impact of climate change and natural disasters on fungal infections.},
journal = {The Lancet. Microbe},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1016/S2666-5247(24)00039-9},
pmid = {38518791},
issn = {2666-5247},
abstract = {The effects of climate change and natural disasters on fungal pathogens and the risks for fungal diseases remain incompletely understood. In this literature review, we examined how fungi are adapting to an increase in the Earth's temperature and are becoming more thermotolerant, which is enhancing fungal fitness and virulence. Climate change is creating conditions conducive to the emergence of new fungal pathogens and is priming fungi to adapt to previously inhospitable environments, such as polluted habitats and urban areas, leading to the geographical spread of some fungi to traditionally non-endemic areas. Climate change is also contributing to increases in the frequency and severity of natural disasters, which can trigger outbreaks of fungal diseases and increase the spread of fungal pathogens. The populations mostly affected are the socially vulnerable. More awareness, research, funding, and policies on the part of key stakeholders are needed to mitigate the effects of climate change and disaster-related fungal diseases.},
}
@article {pmid38518414,
year = {2024},
author = {Wan, X and Lu, X and Zhu, L and Feng, J},
title = {Relative prevalence of top-down versus bottom-up control in planktonic ecosystem under eutrophication and climate change: A comparative study of typical bay and estuary.},
journal = {Water research},
volume = {255},
number = {},
pages = {121487},
doi = {10.1016/j.watres.2024.121487},
pmid = {38518414},
issn = {1879-2448},
abstract = {Eutrophication and climate change may affect the top-down versus bottom-up controls in aquatic ecosystems. However, the relative prevalence of the two controls in planktonic ecosystems along the eutrophication and climate gradients has rarely been addressed. Here, using the field surveys of 17 years in a typical bay and estuary, we test two opposite patterns of trophic control dominance and their response to regional temporal eutrophication and climate fluctuations. It was found that trophic control of planktonic ecosystems fluctuated between the dominance of top-down and bottom-up controls on time scales in both the bay and estuary studied. The relative prevalence of these two controls in both ecosystems was significantly driven directly by regional dissolved inorganic nitrogen but, for the estuary, also by the nonlinear effects of regional sea surface temperature. In terms of indirect pathways, community relationships (synchrony and grazing pressure) in the bay are driven by both regional dissolved inorganic nitrogen - soluble reactive phosphorus ratio and sea surface temperature, but this drive did not continue to be transmitted to the trophic control. Conversely, trophic control in estuary was directly related to grazing pressure and indirectly related to synchrony. These findings support the view that eutrophication and climate drive the relative prevalence of top-down versus bottom-up controls at ecosystem and temporal scales in planktonic ecosystems, which has important implications for predicting the potential impacts of anthropogenic and environmental perturbations on the structure and function of marine ecosystems.},
}
@article {pmid38517316,
year = {2024},
author = {Kang, H and Jung, HT},
title = {Gas Sensors for Climate Change.},
journal = {ACS sensors},
volume = {9},
number = {3},
pages = {1031-1032},
doi = {10.1021/acssensors.4c00429},
pmid = {38517316},
issn = {2379-3694},
}
@article {pmid38517193,
year = {2024},
author = {Duke, J and Holt, EA},
title = {Place-based climate change: lowering students' psychological distance through a classroom activity.},
journal = {Journal of microbiology &amp; biology education},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {e0016823},
doi = {10.1128/jmbe.00168-23},
pmid = {38517193},
issn = {1935-7877},
abstract = {Psychological distance (PD) can be a barrier to how students perceive climate change impacts and severity. Localizing climate change using place-based approaches is one way instructors can structure their curricula to help combat students' PD, especially from a spatial and social viewpoint. We created a novel classroom intervention that incorporated elements of place-based education and the Teaching for Transformative Experiences in Science model that was designed to lower undergraduate biology students' spatial and social distance of climate change. Our research questions sought to determine whether students' PD changed following our intervention and whether variables beyond our intervention might have contributed to changes we identified. To measure the efficacy of our intervention, we administered a survey that contained several instruments to measure students' recognition and psychological distance of climate change pre- and post-intervention. We found that students' psychological distance to climate change decreased after participating in our classroom intervention. Additionally, course level was the only outside variable we identified as a predictor of students' post-activity scores. Participation in our activity lowered our students' spatial and social psychological distance, which could have impacts beyond the classroom as these students become the next generation of scientists and voters.},
}
@article {pmid38512897,
year = {2024},
author = {Elmberg, J and Palmheden, L and Edelstam, C and Hagman, M and Kärvemo, S},
title = {Climate change-induced shifts in survival and size of the worlds' northernmost oviparous snake: A 68-year study.},
journal = {PloS one},
volume = {19},
number = {3},
pages = {e0300363},
doi = {10.1371/journal.pone.0300363},
pmid = {38512897},
issn = {1932-6203},
abstract = {Because of their dependence on ambient temperature ectothermic animals can serve as sentinels of conservation problems related to global warming. Reptiles in temperate areas are especially well suited to study such effects, as their annual and daily activity patterns directly depend on ambient temperature. This study is based on annual data spanning 68 years from a fringe population of Grass Snakes (Natrix natrix), which is the world's northernmost oviparous (egg-laying) reptile, and known to be constrained by temperature for reproduction, morphology, and behavior. Mark-recapture analyses showed that survival probability was generally higher in males than in females, and that it increased with body length. Body condition (scaled mass index) and body length increased over time, indicative of a longer annual activity period. Monthly survival was generally higher during winter (i.e., hibernation) than over the summer season. Summer survival increased over time, whilst winter survival decreased, especially during recent decades. Winter survival was lower when annual maximum snow depth was less than 15 cm, implying a negative effect of milder winters with less insulating snow cover. Our study demonstrates long-term shifts in body length, body condition and seasonal survival associated with a warming climate. Although the seasonal changes in survival ran in opposite directions and though changes were small in absolute terms, the trends did not cancel out, but total annual survival decreased. We conclude that effects of a warming climate can be diverse and pose a threat for thermophilic species in temperate regions, and that future studies should consider survival change by season, preferably in a long-term approach.},
}
@article {pmid38512813,
year = {2024},
author = {Berger, M},
title = {Amidst spreading infectious diseases and climate change, US FDA should renew its focus on neglected tropical diseases.},
journal = {PLoS neglected tropical diseases},
volume = {18},
number = {3},
pages = {e0012005},
doi = {10.1371/journal.pntd.0012005},
pmid = {38512813},
issn = {1935-2735},
}
@article {pmid38515480,
year = {2023},
author = {Umo, I and Pangiau, M and Kukiti, J and Ona, A and Tepoka, S and James, K and Ikasa, R},
title = {Estimating the carbon emissions from a resource-limited surgical suite in Papua New Guinea: The climate change potential.},
journal = {Dialogues in health},
volume = {2},
number = {},
pages = {100108},
doi = {10.1016/j.dialog.2023.100108},
pmid = {38515480},
issn = {2772-6533},
abstract = {INTRODUCTION: The upscale of surgical service delivery in low to middle income countries will increase health sector greenhouse gas emissions globally. Understanding surgical greenhouse gas emissions from surgical suite activities can direct decarbonization strategies and achieve local, and global climate change objectives.<br><br>MATERIAL AND METHODS: A prospective surgical suite carbon foot print study was conducted at the Alotau Provincial Hospital from the 28[th] March 2022 to the 28[th] of May 2022.<br><br>RESULTS: The total carbon emission for the surgical suite in APH over the study period was 2,665.8 kgCO2e. The average carbon emission per surgical case within the boundary of the surgical suite was 8.4 kgCO2e. Scope one emissions (anaesthetic gases) accounted for 44.7% (1171.3 kgCO2e) of all carbon emissions.<br><br>CONCLUSION: If no action is taken, carbon emissions in the western pacific region will continue to increase from surgical suites. Therefore, proactive efforts to reduce greenhouse gas emissions must be prioritized.},
}
@article {pmid38512633,
year = {2024},
author = {Jansen, MAK and Andrady, AL and Bornman, JF and Aucamp, PJ and Bais, AF and Banaszak, AT and Barnes, PW and Bernhard, GH and Bruckman, LS and Busquets, R and Häder, DP and Hanson, ML and Heikkilä, AM and Hylander, S and Lucas, RM and Mackenzie, R and Madronich, S and Neale, PJ and Neale, RE and Olsen, CM and Ossola, R and Pandey, KK and Petropavlovskikh, I and Revell, LE and Robinson, SA and Robson, TM and Rose, KC and Solomon, KR and Andersen, MPS and Sulzberger, B and Wallington, TJ and Wang, QW and Wängberg, S&#xc5; and White, CC and Young, AR and Zepp, RG and Zhu, L},
title = {Plastics in the environment in the context of UV radiation, climate change and the Montreal Protocol: UNEP Environmental Effects Assessment Panel, Update 2023.},
journal = {Photochemical &amp; photobiological sciences : Official journal of the European Photochemistry Association and the European Society for Photobiology},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
pmid = {38512633},
issn = {1474-9092},
abstract = {This Assessment Update by the Environmental Effects Assessment Panel (EEAP) of the United Nations Environment Programme (UNEP) considers the interactive effects of solar UV radiation, global warming, and other weathering factors on plastics. The Assessment illustrates the significance of solar UV radiation in decreasing the durability of plastic materials, degradation of plastic debris, formation of micro- and nanoplastic particles and accompanying leaching of potential toxic compounds. Micro- and nanoplastics have been found in all ecosystems, the atmosphere, and in humans. While the potential biological risks are not yet well-established, the widespread and increasing occurrence of plastic pollution is reason for continuing research and monitoring. Plastic debris persists after its intended life in soils, water bodies and the atmosphere as well as in living organisms. To counteract accumulation of plastics in the environment, the lifetime of novel plastics or plastic alternatives should better match the functional life of products, with eventual breakdown releasing harmless substances to the environment.},
}
@article {pmid38511700,
year = {2024},
author = {Fauteux, N and Simon, B},
title = {Nurses Step Up to Address Climate Change and Health.},
journal = {The American journal of nursing},
volume = {124},
number = {4},
pages = {16-18},
doi = {10.1097/01.NAJ.0001010544.84445.78},
pmid = {38511700},
issn = {1538-7488},
abstract = {Opportunities exist to mitigate impacts.},
}
@article {pmid38511667,
year = {2024},
author = {Don, A and Seidel, F and Leifeld, J and Kätterer, T and Martin, M and Pellerin, S and Emde, D and Seitz, D and Chenu, C},
title = {Reply letter to Munoz et al. 'on the importance of time in carbon sequestration in soils and climate change mitigation'-Keep carbon sequestration terminologies consistent and functional.},
journal = {Global change biology},
volume = {30},
number = {3},
pages = {e17230},
doi = {10.1111/gcb.17230},
pmid = {38511667},
issn = {1365-2486},
support = {862695//European Union Horizon 2020 Research and Innovation Programme (EJP Soil)/ ; },
}
@article {pmid38511643,
year = {2024},
author = {Muñoz, E and Chanca, I and González-Sosa, M and Sarquis, A and Tangarife-Escobar, A and Sierra, CA},
title = {On the importance of time in carbon sequestration in soils and climate change mitigation.},
journal = {Global change biology},
volume = {30},
number = {3},
pages = {e17229},
doi = {10.1111/gcb.17229},
pmid = {38511643},
issn = {1365-2486},
abstract = {A clear definition of carbon sequestration in soils is necessary to quantify soil's role in climate change mitigation accurately. Don et al. (2023) proposed defining carbon sequestration as "[the] Process of transferring carbon from the atmosphere into the soil through plants or other organisms, which is retained as soil organic carbon resulting in a global carbon stock increase of the soil". In our view, this definition is incomplete because a comprehensive definition of carbon sequestration should explicitly include the time that carbon remains stored in an ecosystem, thus mitigating its contribution to the greenhouse effect.},
}
@article {pmid38511487,
year = {2024},
author = {Broadbent, AAD and Newbold, LK and Pritchard, WJ and Michas, A and Goodall, T and Cordero, I and Giunta, A and Snell, HSK and Pepper, VVLH and Grant, HK and Soto, DX and Kaufmann, R and Schloter, M and Griffiths, RI and Bahn, M and Bardgett, RD},
title = {Climate change disrupts the seasonal coupling of plant and soil microbial nutrient cycling in an alpine ecosystem.},
journal = {Global change biology},
volume = {30},
number = {3},
pages = {e17245},
doi = {10.1111/gcb.17245},
pmid = {38511487},
issn = {1365-2486},
support = {BB/S010661/1/BB_/Biotechnology and Biological Sciences Research Council/United Kingdom ; },
abstract = {The seasonal coupling of plant and soil microbial nutrient demands is crucial for efficient ecosystem nutrient cycling and plant production, especially in strongly seasonal alpine ecosystems. Yet, how these seasonal nutrient cycling processes are modified by climate change and what the consequences are for nutrient loss and retention in alpine ecosystems remain unclear. Here, we explored how two pervasive climate change factors, reduced snow cover and shrub expansion, interactively modify the seasonal coupling of plant and soil microbial nitrogen (N) cycling in alpine grasslands, which are warming at double the rate of the global average. We found that the combination of reduced snow cover and shrub expansion disrupted the seasonal coupling of plant and soil N-cycling, with pronounced effects in spring (shortly after snow melt) and autumn (at the onset of plant senescence). In combination, both climate change factors decreased plant organic N-uptake by 70% and 82%, soil microbial biomass N by 19% and 38% and increased soil denitrifier abundances by 253% and 136% in spring and autumn, respectively. Shrub expansion also individually modified the seasonality of soil microbial community composition and stoichiometry towards more N-limited conditions and slower nutrient cycling in spring and autumn. In winter, snow removal markedly reduced the fungal:bacterial biomass ratio, soil N pools and shifted bacterial community composition. Taken together, our findings suggest that interactions between climate change factors can disrupt the temporal coupling of plant and soil microbial N-cycling processes in alpine grasslands. This could diminish the capacity of these globally widespread alpine ecosystems to retain N and support plant productivity under future climate change.},
}
@article {pmid38511480,
year = {2024},
author = {Caughman, AM and Gaines, SD and Bradley, D},
title = {Climate change reduces long-term population benefits from no-take marine protected areas through selective pressures on species movement.},
journal = {Global change biology},
volume = {30},
number = {3},
pages = {e17240},
doi = {10.1111/gcb.17240},
pmid = {38511480},
issn = {1365-2486},
support = {2139319//National Science Foundation/ ; CNS-1725797//National Science Foundation/ ; DMR 2308708//National Science Foundation/ ; //Arnhold Climate Collaborative/ ; },
abstract = {Marine protected areas (MPAs) are important conservation tools that confer ecosystem benefits by removing fishing within their borders to allow stocks to rebuild. Fishing mortality outside a traditionally fixed MPA can exert selective pressure for low movement alleles, resulting in enhanced protection. While evolving to move less may be useful for conservation presently, it could be detrimental in the face of climate change for species that need to move to track their thermal optimum. Here, we build a spatially explicit simulation model to assess the impact of movement evolution in and around static MPAs resulting from both fishing mortality and temperature-dependent natural mortality on conservation benefits across five climate scenarios: (i) linear mean temperature shift, (ii) El Niño/La Niña conditions, (iii) heat waves, (iv) heatwaves with a mean temperature shift, and (v) no climate change. While movement evolution allows populations within MPAs to survive longer, we find that over time, climate change degrades the benefits by selecting for higher movement genotypes. Resulting population declines within MPAs are faster than expected based on climate mortality alone, even within the largest MPAs. Our findings suggest that while static MPAs may conserve species for a time, other strategies, such as dynamic MPA networks or assisted migration, may also be required to effectively incorporate climate change into conservation planning.},
}
@article {pmid38511443,
year = {2024},
author = {Li, JZ and Xin, ZH and Xie, X and Xue, B and Ren, WX},
title = {[Spatio-temporal variations of vegetation cover in semi-arid regions and its response to climate change: A case study of Xilin Gol, Inner Mongolia, China].},
journal = {Ying yong sheng tai xue bao = The journal of applied ecology},
volume = {35},
number = {1},
pages = {80-86},
doi = {10.13287/j.1001-9332.202401.020},
pmid = {38511443},
issn = {1001-9332},
abstract = {The quantitative analysis of spatio-temporal variations of vegetation cover and its correlation with climate are of great significance for understanding of ecological environment, ecological civilization construction, and sustainable development in semi-arid areas. We investigated the spatio-temporal variations of normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI) and its response to climate change during 2000-2020 in Xilin Gol, Inner Mongolia, by using trend analysis, regression analysis and partial correlation analysis based on the data of MODIS-NDVI, tempe-rature, precipitation, digital elevation model. The results showed that vegetation cover in Xilin Gol had been increased from 2000 to 2020, which generally included three phases, i.e., stable fluctuation, rapid growth, and steady growth. The mean NDVI showed a zonal increasing distribution from southwest to northeast, and had a strong correlation with elevation and population density in Xilin Gol region. The high values of NDVI were mainly in the east, with a significant increasing trend, and the low values were in the southwest, with a local degradation. The sensitivity of vegetation cover to climate change showed spatial and temporal variations. The spatial variation of vegetation was more sensitive to temperature and the interannual variation was sensitive to annual precipitation. In summary, vegetation cover improved overall in Xilin Gol, but there was degradation in some areas. We should formulate differentiated and precise vegetation restoration and ecological environmental protection policies.},
}
@article {pmid38510442,
year = {2024},
author = {Mousa, WK and Abu-Izneid, T and Salah-Tantawy, A},
title = {High-throughput sequencing reveals the structure and metabolic resilience of desert microbiome confronting climate change.},
journal = {Frontiers in plant science},
volume = {15},
number = {},
pages = {1294173},
pmid = {38510442},
issn = {1664-462X},
abstract = {INTRODUCTION: Desert ecosystems harbor a unique microbial diversity that is crucial for ecological stability and biogeochemical cycles. An in-depth understanding of the biodiversity, compositions, and functions of these microbial communities is imperative to navigate global changes and confront potential threats and opportunities applicable to agricultural ecosystems amid climate change.<br><br>METHODS: This study explores microbial communities in the rhizosphere and endosphere of desert plants native to the Arabian Peninsula using next-generation sequencing of the 16S rRNA gene (V3-V4 hypervariable region).<br><br>RESULTS: Our results reveal that each microbial community has a diverse and unique microbial composition. Based on alpha and beta diversity indices, the rhizosphere microbiome is significantly diverse and richer in microbial taxa compared to the endosphere. The data reveals a shift towards fast-growing microbes with active metabolism, involvement in nutrient cycling, nitrogen fixation, and defense pathways. Our data reveals the presence of habitat-specific microbial communities in the desert, highlighting their remarkable resilience and adaptability to extreme environmental conditions. Notably, we observed the existence of radiation-resistant microbes such as Deinococcus radiotolerans, Kocuria sp., and Rubrobacter radiotolerans which can tolerate high levels of ionizing radiation. Additionally, examples of microbes exhibiting tolerance to challenging conditions include Nocardioides halotolerans, thriving in high-salinity environments, and hyperthermophilic microbes such as Quasibacillus thermotolerans. Moreover, functional analysis reveals enrichment in chaperon biosynthesis pathways associated with correct protein folding under heat stress conditions.<br><br>DISCUSSION: Our research sheds light on the unique diversity of desert microbes and underscores their potential applications to increase the resilience of agriculture ecosystems, offering a promising strategy to fortify crops against the challenges posed by climate change, ultimately supporting sustainable food production for our ever-expanding global population.},
}
@article {pmid38509127,
year = {2024},
author = {Zhang, Y and Msangi, S and Edmonds, J and Waldhoff, S},
title = {Limited increases in Arctic offshore oil and gas production with climate change and the implications for energy markets.},
journal = {Scientific reports},
volume = {14},
number = {1},
pages = {6699},
pmid = {38509127},
issn = {2045-2322},
support = {89233218CNA000001//Department of Energy, Office of Science/ ; },
abstract = {Climate change impacts on sea ice thickness is opening access to offshore Arctic resources. The degree to which these resources are exploited will depend on sea-ice conditions, technology costs, international energy markets, and the regulatory environment. We use an integrated human-Earth system model, GCAM, to explore the effects of spatial-temporal patterns of sea-ice loss under climate change on future Arctic offshore oil and gas extraction, considering interactions with global energy markets and emission reduction scenarios. We find that under SSP5, a "fossil-fueled development" scenario, the effects of sea-ice loss are larger for Arctic offshore oil production than gas. Under SSP5, future extraction of Arctic offshore oil and gas through 2100 adds roughly 0.8-2.6 EJ/year to oil and gas markets but does not have large impacts on global oil and gas markets. Surprisingly, a low-carbon scenario results in greater Arctic offshore oil production to offset the more emissions-intensive unconventional oil production.},
}
@article {pmid38507404,
year = {2024},
author = {Brubacher, LJ and Peach, L and Chen, TT and Longboat, S and Dodd, W and Elliott, SJ and Patterson, K and Neufeld, H},
title = {Climate change, biodiversity loss, and Indigenous Peoples' health and wellbeing: A systematic umbrella review.},
journal = {PLOS global public health},
volume = {4},
number = {3},
pages = {e0002995},
doi = {10.1371/journal.pgph.0002995},
pmid = {38507404},
issn = {2767-3375},
abstract = {Indigenous Peoples worldwide are experiencing a cascade of impacts on their health and wellbeing as a result of climate change and biodiversity loss. Existing literature at the interface of climate change, biodiversity loss, and Indigenous health tells us that Indigenous Peoples are among those most disproportionately and acutely affected by these impacts. Yet, a gap exists with respect to comprehensively and critically synthesizing the impacts reported across this literature and identifying Indigenous-led responses. Guided by an Indigenous advisory group, we employed a systematic umbrella review methodology, following PRISMA guidelines, to characterize the global secondary literature (PROSPERO registration #: CRD42023417060). In so doing, we identified the proximal, intermediate, distal, and gendered impacts of climate change and biodiversity loss on Indigenous health and wellbeing as well as Indigenous-led responses. Five databases were searched for published reviews, along with a grey literature search that focused on underrepresented geographic regions in the academic literature. Two independent reviewers conducted two-stage screening, data extraction, and quality assessment of retrieved records. Basic descriptive statistics were calculated. Qualitative data were analyzed thematically, using a constant comparative approach. A total of 38 review articles met the eligibility criteria and 37 grey literature records were retrieved and included in the review. Reviews were published between 2010-2023 and geographically clustered in the Circumpolar North. Intersecting proximal, intermediate, and distal impacts were characterized as place-based and specific, and linked to colonialism as an antecedent to and driver of these impacts. Gendered impacts were underexplored within reviews. Reviewed literature underscored the value of engaging diverse knowledge systems; platforming localized, community-led adaptation to climate change and biodiversity loss, while addressing sociopolitical constraints to these efforts; and applying a broader conceptualization of health that aligns with Indigenous frameworks. Going forward, we must foreground equity- and rights-based considerations within integrated responses to climate and biodiversity crises.},
}
@article {pmid38507396,
year = {2024},
author = {Lee, S and Goldberg, MH and Rosenthal, SA and Maibach, EW and Kotcher, JE and Leiserowitz, A},
title = {Climate change belief systems across political groups in the United States.},
journal = {PloS one},
volume = {19},
number = {3},
pages = {e0300048},
doi = {10.1371/journal.pone.0300048},
pmid = {38507396},
issn = {1932-6203},
abstract = {Beliefs and attitudes form the core of public opinion about climate change. Network analysis can reveal the structural configuration of these beliefs and attitudes. In this research, we utilize a belief system framework to identify key psychological elements, track change in the density of these belief systems over time and across political groups, and analyze the structural heterogeneity of belief systems within and between political groups in the United States. Drawing on fifteen waves of nationally representative survey data from 2010 to 2021 (N = 16,742), our findings indicate that worry about climate change is the most central psychological element. Interestingly, we find that among politically unaffiliated individuals, the connections between psychological elements have strengthened over time, implying an increase in the consistency of belief systems within this group. Despite the political polarization in beliefs about climate change between Republicans and Democrats, our findings reveal that the ways these two groups organize and structure climate change beliefs systems are not markedly different compared to those of other groups. These findings provide theoretical and practical insights for climate change experts and communicators.},
}
@article {pmid38507340,
year = {2024},
author = {Eikelboom, S and Esteve-Del-Valle, M and Nissim, M},
title = {Learning from climate change news: Is the world on the same page?.},
journal = {PloS one},
volume = {19},
number = {3},
pages = {e0297644},
doi = {10.1371/journal.pone.0297644},
pmid = {38507340},
issn = {1932-6203},
abstract = {Climate change challenges countries around the world, and news media are key to the public's awareness and perception of it. But how are news media approaching climate change across countries? With the problem of climate change and its solution being global, it is key to determine whether differences in climate change news reports exist and what they are across countries. This study employs supervised machine learning to uncover topical and terminological differences between newspaper articles on climate change. An original dataset of climate change articles is presented, originating from 7 newspapers and 3 countries across the world, and published in English during 26 Conference of the Parties (COP) meetings from the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCC). Three aspects are used to discriminate between articles, being (1) countries, (2) political orientations, and (3) COP meetings. Our results reveal differences with regard to how newspaper articles approach climate change globally. Specifically, climate change-related terminology of left-oriented newspapers is more prevalent compared to their right-oriented counterparts. Also, over the years, newspapers' climate change-related terminology has evolved to convey a greater sense of urgency.},
}
@article {pmid38504607,
year = {2024},
author = {Oke, OE and Akosile, OA and Uyanga, VA and Oke, FO and Oni, AI and Tona, K and Onagbesan, OM},
title = {Climate change and broiler production.},
journal = {Veterinary medicine and science},
volume = {10},
number = {3},
pages = {e1416},
doi = {10.1002/vms3.1416},
pmid = {38504607},
issn = {2053-1095},
abstract = {Climate change has emerged as a significant occurrence that adversely affects broiler production, especially in tropical climates. Broiler chickens, bred for rapid growth and high meat production, rely heavily on optimal environmental conditions to achieve their genetic potential. However, climate change disrupts these conditions and poses numerous challenges for broiler production. One of the primary impacts of climate change on broiler production is the decreased ability of birds to attain their genetic potential for faster growth. Broilers are bred to possess specific genetic traits that enable them to grow rapidly and efficiently convert feed into meat. However, in tropical climates affected by climate change, the consequent rise in daily temperatures, increased humidity and altered precipitation patterns create an unfavourable environment for broilers. These conditions impede their growth and development, preventing them from reaching their maximum genetic influence, which is crucial for achieving desirable production outcomes. Furthermore, climate change exacerbates the existing challenges faced by broiler production systems. Higher feed costs impact the industry's economic viability and limit the availability of quality nutrition for the birds, further hampering their growth potential. In addition to feed scarcity, climate change also predisposes broiler chickens to thermal stress. This review collates existing information on climate change and its impact on broiler production, including nutrition, immune function, health and disease susceptibility. It also summarizes the challenges of broiler production under hot and humid climate conditions with different approaches to ameliorating the effects of harsh climatic conditions in poultry.},
}
@article {pmid38503966,
year = {2024},
author = {Padrón-Monedero, A and Linares, C and Díaz, J and Noguer-Zambrano, I},
title = {Impact of drought on mental and behavioral disorders, contributions of research in a climate change context. A narrative review.},
journal = {International journal of biometeorology},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
pmid = {38503966},
issn = {1432-1254},
abstract = {Mental and behavioral disorders are an important public health problem and constitute a priority for the WHO, whose recommendations include the surveillance of their risk factors. On the other hand, drought episodes have been increasing in frequency and severity in Europe since 1980. Therefore, to review the present knowledge about the impact of drought on mental and behavioral disorders, in the present climate change context, and to underline potential research gaps, could be of major interest. Thus, we performed a narrative review using online academic databases with the aim of identifying relevant literature about the impact of drought on mental and behavioral disorders. To the best of our knowledge, no study in Europe quantifies the potential association between drought and mental disorders. A limited number of studies have found significant associations between droughts (with different temporal ranges) and various measures of mental health. However, according to our review, only three of them quantified the association between drought and objective mental health outcomes, such as number of emergencies due to clinically diagnosed mental disorders or suicides. Additionally, few studies used specific indices as a measure of drought; and finally, as far as authors are aware, none of them has analyzed this relationship adjusting for various other potential environmental confounders. Moreover, the eventual association could vary between different geographical areas within the same country. Therefore, national and regional studies would be especially necessary. Thus, there is a need for specific national and regional studies, in Europe and globally, that assess the impact of specific indices of drought (with different temporal ranges) on objective mental health outcomes controlling for potential environmental confounders. Moreover, the quantification of its cost would be necessary for health prioritization, evidence-based policies and strategic health planning.},
}
@article {pmid38503779,
year = {2024},
author = {Magistro, B and Abramson, C and Ebanks, D and Debnath, R and Alvarez, RM},
title = {Identifying American climate change free riders and motivating sustainable behavior.},
journal = {Scientific reports},
volume = {14},
number = {1},
pages = {6575},
pmid = {38503779},
issn = {2045-2322},
support = {OPP1144//Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation (Bill &amp; Melinda Gates Foundation)/ ; },
abstract = {Free riders, who benefit from collective efforts to mitigate climate change but do not actively contribute, play a key role in shaping behavioral climate action. Using a sample of 2096 registered American voters, we explore the discrepancy between two groups of free riders: cynics, who recognize the significance of environmental issues but do not adopt sustainable behaviors, and doubters, who neither recognize the significance nor engage in such actions. Through statistical analyses, we show these two groups are different. Doubters are predominantly male, younger, with lower income and education, exhibit stronger conspiracy beliefs, lower altruism, and limited environmental knowledge, are more likely to have voted for Trump and lean towards conservative ideology. Cynics are younger, religious, higher in socioeconomic status, environmentally informed, liberal-leaning, and less likely to support Trump. Our research provides insights on who could be most effectively persuaded to make climate-sensitive lifestyle changes and provides recommendations to prompt involvement in individual sustainability behaviors. Our findings suggest that for doubters, incentivizing sustainability through positive incentives, such as financial rewards, may be particularly effective. Conversely, for cynics, we argue that engaging them in more community-driven and social influence initiatives could effectively translate their passive beliefs into active participation.},
}
@article {pmid38503455,
year = {2024},
author = {Leedom, M},
title = {How climate change is changing vaccination planning.},
journal = {BMJ (Clinical research ed.)},
volume = {384},
number = {},
pages = {q360},
doi = {10.1136/bmj.q360},
pmid = {38503455},
issn = {1756-1833},
}
@article {pmid38503378,
year = {2024},
author = {Rashidi, T and Pakravan-Charvadeh, MR and Gholamrezai, S and Rahimian, M},
title = {Unveiling the nexus of climate change, adaptation strategies, and food security: Insights from small-scale farmers in zagros mountains in Iran.},
journal = {Environmental research},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {118691},
doi = {10.1016/j.envres.2024.118691},
pmid = {38503378},
issn = {1096-0953},
abstract = {In today's world, climate change and its unprecedented impact on food and nutrition security have emerged as a significant and formidable global challenge. This study aimed to investigate the effect of adaptation strategies on the food security of small-scale farmers in Khorramabad city, Iran, using a survey-based analysis. To assess the food security level, the Household Food Security Survey Module (HFSSM) was employed. Additionally, Structural Equation Modeling was utilized to examine the relationship between adaptation dimensions and food security. The findings revealed that households without children exhibited a higher level of food security (48%) compared to households with children (6%). Moreover, the results demonstrated a positive and significant correlation between the food security of households, regardless of whether they had children, and the different adaptation components. Despite a satisfactory level of knowledge regarding climate change adaptation in the study area, the actual implementation of such measures remained low. While weed management, agricultural crop insurance, and access to meteorological information were identified as the top three strategies employed by farmers, the results suggested that sustainable-oriented operations and organic-oriented practices could serve as more effective strategies for both climate change resilience and enhancing food security status.},
}
@article {pmid38501944,
year = {2024},
author = {Booth, TH},
title = {Forestry trials and species adaptability to climate change.},
journal = {Global change biology},
volume = {30},
number = {3},
pages = {e17243},
doi = {10.1111/gcb.17243},
pmid = {38501944},
issn = {1365-2486},
abstract = {Most climate change analyses of extinction risk rely on species' climatic requirements determined from only their natural distributions. Many tree species can grow successfully under climatic conditions distinctly different from those of their natural distributions. Gathering together results from these introduction trials would help to assess the importance of this climatic adaptability for different tree species.},
}
@article {pmid38501943,
year = {2024},
author = {Wiens, JJ and Zelinka, J},
title = {Predict the effects of climate change by studying the effects of climate change.},
journal = {Global change biology},
volume = {30},
number = {3},
pages = {e17244},
doi = {10.1111/gcb.17244},
pmid = {38501943},
issn = {1365-2486},
}
@article {pmid38500858,
year = {2024},
author = {de Moraes, KF and Lima, MGM and Gonçalves, GSR and Cerqueira, PV and Santos, MPD},
title = {The future of endemic and threatened birds of the Amazon in the face of global climate change.},
journal = {Ecology and evolution},
volume = {14},
number = {3},
pages = {e11097},
pmid = {38500858},
issn = {2045-7758},
abstract = {The anthropogenic impacts on the environment, including deforestation and the escalating emissions of greenhouse gases, have significantly contributed to global climate change that can lead to alterations in ecosystems. In this context, protected areas (PAs) are pillars for biodiversity conservation by being able, for example, to maintain the viability of populations of endangered species. On the other hand, the species range shifts do not follow the limits of PAs, jeopardizing the conservation of these species. Furthermore, the effectiveness of PAs is consistently undermined by impacts stemming from land use, hunting activities, and illegal exploitation, both within the designated areas and in their adjacent zones. The objectives of this study are to quantify the impacts of climate change on the distribution of threatened and endemic birds of the Amazon biome, evaluate the effectiveness of PAs in protecting the richness of threatened birds, and analyze the representativeness of species within PAs. We found with our results that climate suitability loss is above 80 for 65% of taxa in the optimistic scenario and above 93% in the pessimistic scenario. The results show that PAs are not effective in protecting the richness of Amazonian birds, just as they are ineffective in protecting most of the taxa studied when analyzed individually Although some taxa are presented as "Protected," in future scenarios these taxa may suffer major shrinkages in their distributions and consequently present population unviability. The loss of climatically suitable areas and the effectiveness of PAs can directly influence the loss of ecosystem services, fundamental to maintaining the balance of biodiversity. Therefore, our study paves the way for conservation actions aimed at these taxa so that they can mitigate current and future extinctions due to climate change.},
}
@article {pmid38500578,
year = {2024},
author = {Shamsuddoha, M and Jabed, MA and Islam, MS and Sultana, N and Imran, A and Rabbi, SNA and Jenat, TU and Shams, S and Sharif, MM},
title = {Impacts of climate change-induced natural hazards on women and their human rights implications: A study in the southwest coast of Bangladesh.},
journal = {Journal of migration and health},
volume = {9},
number = {},
pages = {100221},
pmid = {38500578},
issn = {2666-6235},
abstract = {Women in coastal areas are particularly vulnerable to climate change impacts due to existing gender inequality and socio-cultural norms in Bangladesh. This research aims to explore the vulnerability of women to climate change-induced natural hazards, the challenges they face due to the chain impacts of climate change, and the resulting violation of women's rights. Quantitative and qualitative data were used in this study, where 260 structured questionnaire surveys and 15 Focus Group Discussions were performed at Mongla and Shyamnagar Upazilas in Bagerhat and Satkhira districts, respectively. The quantitative data were analyzed using SPSS 26.0 software, and qualitative data was analyzed thematically. The results disclose that most respondents in Mongla and Shyamnagar reported an increase in the occurrence rate of climate change-induced natural hazards, with cyclones, salinity, and riverbank erosion being the most devastating in Mongla and cyclones, salinity, and storm surges in Shyamnagar. It affects the lives and livelihoods of people, with women being particularly vulnerable due to limited access to education, healthcare, and economic opportunities, and women's rights are violated in these areas. Half of the study area's population has been suffering from infections or inflammation in reproductive organs, especially among fisherwomen. The findings of this study recommend that provisions for alternative livelihoods should be made for women, and all women must be brought under the umbrella of fair social safety net programs.},
}
@article {pmid38499847,
year = {2024},
author = {Mehraban, M and Marghmaleki, SN and Sarang, A and Azar, NA},
title = {Developing climate change adaptation pathways in the agricultural sector based on robust decision-making approach (case study: Sefidroud Irrigation Network, Iran).},
journal = {Environmental monitoring and assessment},
volume = {196},
number = {4},
pages = {378},
pmid = {38499847},
issn = {1573-2959},
abstract = {Allocation of water in the situation of climate change presents various uncertainties. Consequently, decisions must be made to ensure stability and functionality across different climatic scenarios. This study aims to examine the effectiveness of adaptation strategies in the agricultural sector, including a 5% increase in irrigation efficiency (S1) and a shift in irrigation method to Dry-DSR (direct seeded rice) under conditions of climatic uncertainty using a decision-making approach. The study focuses on the basin downstream of the Sefidroud dam, encompassing the Sefidroud irrigation and drainage network. Initially, basin modeling was conducted using the WEAP integrated management software for the period 2006-2020. Subsequently, the impact of climate change was assessed, considering RCP2.6, RCP4.5, and RCP8.5 emission scenarios on surface water resources from 2021 to 2050. Runoff and cultivated area, both subject to uncertainty, were identified as key parameters. To evaluate strategy performance under different uncertainties and determine the efficacy of each strategy, regret and satisfaction approaches were employed. Results indicate a projected decrease in future rainfall by 3.5-11.8% compared to the base period, accompanied by an increase in maximum and minimum temperatures (0.83-1.62 °C and 1.15-1.33 °C, respectively). Inflow to the Sefidroud dam is expected to decrease by 13-28%. Presently, the Sefidroud irrigation and drainage network faces an annual deficit of 505.4 MCM, and if current trends persist with the impact of climate change, this shortfall may increase to 932.7 MCM annually. Furthermore, satisfaction indices for strategy (S2) are 0.77 in an optimistic scenario and 0.70 in strategy (S1). In a pessimistic scenario, these indices are 0.67 and 0.56, respectively. Notably, changing the irrigation method with Dry-DSR is recommended as a robust strategy, demonstrating the ability to maintain basin stability under a broad range of uncertainties and climate change scenarios. It is crucial to note that the results solely highlight the effects of climate change on water sources entering the Sefidroud dam. Considering anthropogenic activities upstream of the Sefidroud basin, water resource shortages are expected to increase. Therefore, reallocating water resources and implementing practical and appropriate measures in this area are imperative.},
}
@article {pmid38499678,
year = {2024},
author = {Sobel, A},
title = {Are we all doomed? How to cope with the daunting uncertainties of climate change.},
journal = {Nature},
volume = {627},
number = {8004},
pages = {483-485},
pmid = {38499678},
issn = {1476-4687},
}
@article {pmid38499547,
year = {2024},
author = {Xu, D and Bisht, G and Tan, Z and Sinha, E and Di Vittorio, AV and Zhou, T and Ivanov, VY and Leung, LR},
title = {Climate change will reduce North American inland wetland areas and disrupt their seasonal regimes.},
journal = {Nature communications},
volume = {15},
number = {1},
pages = {2438},
pmid = {38499547},
issn = {2041-1723},
support = {KP1703110/75415//U.S. Department of Energy (DOE)/ ; },
abstract = {Climate change can alter wetland extent and function, but such impacts are perplexing. Here, changes in wetland characteristics over North America from 25° to 53° North are projected under two climate scenarios using a state-of-the-science Earth system model. At the continental scale, annual wetland area decreases by ~10% (6%-14%) under the high emission scenario, but spatiotemporal changes vary, reaching up to ±50%. As the dominant driver of these changes shifts from precipitation to temperature in the higher emission scenario, wetlands undergo substantial drying during summer season when biotic processes peak. The projected disruptions to wetland seasonality cycles imply further impacts on biodiversity in major wetland habitats of upper Mississippi, Southeast Canada, and the Everglades. Furthermore, wetlands are projected to significantly shrink in cold regions due to the increased infiltration as warmer temperature reduces soil ice. The large dependence of the projections on climate change scenarios underscores the importance of emission mitigation to sustaining wetland ecosystems in the future.},
}
@article {pmid38499332,
year = {2024},
author = {Beggs, PJ and Oliveira, C and Giudice, C},
title = {The United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC) 28th Conference of the Parties, Dubai (COP28): Implications for lung disease.},
journal = {Respirology (Carlton, Vic.)},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1111/resp.14705},
pmid = {38499332},
issn = {1440-1843},
}
@article {pmid38498724,
year = {2024},
author = {Leathers, K and Herbst, D and de Mendoza, G and Doerschlag, G and Ruhi, A},
title = {Climate change is poised to alter mountain stream ecosystem processes via organismal phenological shifts.},
journal = {Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America},
volume = {121},
number = {14},
pages = {e2310513121},
doi = {10.1073/pnas.2310513121},
pmid = {38498724},
issn = {1091-6490},
support = {1802714//National Science Foundation (NSF)/ ; 2047324//National Science Foundation (NSF)/ ; },
abstract = {Climate change is affecting the phenology of organisms and ecosystem processes across a wide range of environments. However, the links between organismal and ecosystem process change in complex communities remain uncertain. In snow-dominated watersheds, snowmelt in the spring and early summer, followed by a long low-flow period, characterizes the natural flow regime of streams and rivers. Here, we examined how earlier snowmelt will alter the phenology of mountain stream organisms and ecosystem processes via an outdoor mesocosm experiment in stream channels in the Eastern Sierra Nevada, California. The low-flow treatment, simulating a 3- to 6-wk earlier return to summer baseflow conditions projected under climate change scenarios in the region, increased water temperature and reduced biofilm production to respiration ratios by 32%. Additionally, most of the invertebrate species explaining community change (56% and 67% of the benthic and emergent taxa, respectively), changed in phenology as a consequence of the low-flow treatment. Further, emergent flux pulses of the dominant insect group (Chironomidae) almost doubled in magnitude, benefitting a generalist riparian predator. Changes in both invertebrate community structure (composition) and functioning (production) were mostly fine-scale, and response diversity at the community level stabilized seasonally aggregated responses. Our study illustrates how climate change in vulnerable mountain streams at the rain-to-snow transition is poised to alter the dynamics of stream food webs via fine-scale changes in phenology-leading to novel predator-prey "matches" or "mismatches" even when community structure and ecosystem processes appear stable at the annual scale.},
}
@article {pmid38498543,
year = {2024},
author = {da Silva, NR and Souza, PGC and de Oliveira, GS and da Silva Santana, A and Bacci, L and Silva, GA and Barry, EJDV and de Aguiar Coelho, F and Soares, MA and Picanço, MC and Sarmento, RA and da Silva, RS},
title = {A MaxEnt Model of Citrus Black Fly Aleurocanthus woglumi Ashby (Hemiptera: Aleyrodidae) under Different Climate Change Scenarios.},
journal = {Plants (Basel, Switzerland)},
volume = {13},
number = {4},
pages = {},
doi = {10.3390/plants13040535},
pmid = {38498543},
issn = {2223-7747},
abstract = {The citrus blackfly (CBF), Aleurocanthus woglumi Ashby, is an exotic pest native to Southeast Asia that has spread rapidly to the world's main centers of citrus production, having been recently introduced to Brazil. In this study, a maximum entropy niche model (MaxEnt) was used to predict the potential worldwide distribution of CBF under current and future climate change scenarios for 2030 and 2050. These future scenarios came from the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (CMIP6), SSP1-2.6, and SSP5-8.5. The MaxEnt model predicted the potential distribution of CBF with area under receiver operator curve (AUC) values of 0.953 and 0.930 in the initial and final models, respectively. The average temperature of the coldest quarter months, precipitation of the rainiest month, isothermality, and precipitation of the driest month were the strongest predictors of CBF distribution, with contributions of 36.7%, 14.7%, 13.2%, and 10.2%, respectively. The model based on the current time conditions predicted that suitable areas for the potential occurrence of CBF, including countries such as Brazil, China, the European Union, the USA, Egypt, Turkey, and Morocco, are located in tropical and subtropical regions. Models from SSP1-2.6 (2030 and 2050) and SSP5-8.5 (2030) predicted that suitable habitats for CBF are increasing dramatically worldwide under future climate change scenarios, particularly in areas located in the southern US, southern Europe, North Africa, South China, and part of Australia. On the other hand, the SSP5-8.5 model of 2050 indicated a great retraction of the areas suitable for CBF located in the tropical region, with an emphasis on countries such as Brazil, Colombia, Venezuela, and India. In general, the CMIP6 models predicted greater risks of invasion and dissemination of CBF until 2030 and 2050 in the southern regions of the USA, European Union, and China, which are some of the world's largest orange producers. Knowledge of the current situation and future propagation paths of the pest serve as tools to improve the strategic government policies employed in CBF's regulation, commercialization, inspection, combat, and phytosanitary management.},
}
@article {pmid38498439,
year = {2024},
author = {Jing, Z and Liu, N and Zhang, Z and Hou, X},
title = {Research Progress on Plant Responses to Stress Combinations in the Context of Climate Change.},
journal = {Plants (Basel, Switzerland)},
volume = {13},
number = {4},
pages = {},
doi = {10.3390/plants13040469},
pmid = {38498439},
issn = {2223-7747},
abstract = {In the context of climate change, the frequency and intensity of extreme weather events are increasing, environmental pollution and global warming are exacerbated by anthropogenic activities, and plants will experience a more complex and variable environment of stress combinations. Research on plant responses to stress combinations is crucial for the development and utilization of climate-adaptive plants. Recently, the concept of stress combinations has been expanded from simple to multifactorial stress combinations (MFSCs). Researchers have realized the complexity and necessity of stress combination research and have extensively employed composite gradient methods, multi-omics techniques, and interdisciplinary approaches to integrate laboratory and field experiments. Researchers have studied the response mechanisms of plant reactive oxygen species (ROS), phytohormones, transcription factors (TFs), and other response mechanisms under stress combinations and reached some generalized conclusions. In this article, we focus on the research progress and methodological dynamics of plant responses to stress combinations and propose key scientific questions that are crucial to address, in the context of plant responses to stress assemblages, conserving biodiversity, and ensuring food security. We can enhance the search for universal pathways, identify targets for stress combinations, explore adaptive genetic responses, and leverage high-technology research. This is in pursuit of cultivating plants with greater tolerance to stress combinations and enabling their adaptation to and mitigation of the impacts of climate change.},
}
@article {pmid38498432,
year = {2024},
author = {Kopeć, P},
title = {Climate Change-The Rise of Climate-Resilient Crops.},
journal = {Plants (Basel, Switzerland)},
volume = {13},
number = {4},
pages = {},
doi = {10.3390/plants13040490},
pmid = {38498432},
issn = {2223-7747},
abstract = {Climate change disrupts food production in many regions of the world. The accompanying extreme weather events, such as droughts, floods, heat waves, and cold snaps, pose threats to crops. The concentration of carbon dioxide also increases in the atmosphere. The United Nations is implementing the climate-smart agriculture initiative to ensure food security. An element of this project involves the breeding of climate-resilient crops or plant cultivars with enhanced resistance to unfavorable environmental conditions. Modern agriculture, which is currently homogeneous, needs to diversify the species and cultivars of cultivated plants. Plant breeding programs should extensively incorporate new molecular technologies, supported by the development of field phenotyping techniques. Breeders should closely cooperate with scientists from various fields of science.},
}
@article {pmid38498155,
year = {2024},
author = {Mata, F and Dos-Santos, M and Cano-Díaz, C and Jesus, M and Vaz-Velho, M},
title = {The Society of Information and the European Citizens' Perception of Climate Change: Natural or Anthropological Causes.},
journal = {Environmental management},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
pmid = {38498155},
issn = {1432-1009},
abstract = {The scientific community has reached a consensus on humans' important role as causative agents of climate change; however, branches of society are still sceptical about this. Climate change is a key issue for humanity and only the commitment to change human attitudes and lifestyles, at the global level, can be effective in its mitigation. With this purpose, it is important to convey the right message and prevent misinformation to manipulate people's minds. The present study aims to understand the factors shaping European citizens' thoughts on the causes of climate change. Using data from the European Social Survey 10 collected in 2022, we fitted statistical models using the people's thoughts on causes of climate change (natural, anthropogenic or both) as dependent variables. As independent variables, we used the impact of the media through time spent on news and time spent on the internet, level of education, level of trust in scientists, awareness of online or mobile misinformation and gender. We concluded that the typical European citizen who believes in anthropogenic causes of climate change is a female, is more literate, trusts more in scientists, is younger, spends more time reading the news and has more awareness of misinformation presence in online and mobile communications.},
}
@article {pmid38497920,
year = {2024},
author = {Bhatta, BR and Kc, SP and Regmi, S and Pandey, AR and Adhikari, B and Gautam, G and Baral, SC},
title = {Climate change and health in Nepal: an urgent need for action.},
journal = {Perspectives in public health},
volume = {144},
number = {2},
pages = {75-77},
doi = {10.1177/17579139231215022},
pmid = {38497920},
issn = {1757-9147},
}
@article {pmid38496226,
year = {2024},
author = {Ayta, S},
title = {The Effect of Air Pollution and Climate Change on Sleep.},
journal = {Noro psikiyatri arsivi},
volume = {61},
number = {1},
pages = {73-76},
pmid = {38496226},
issn = {1300-0667},
abstract = {Research has shown that air pollution and climate change affect both the duration and quality of sleep; threatens physical and mental health especially through respiratory, cardiovascular, and nervous systems; and shortens life expectancy. This review will begin with overall information on air pollution, climate change and sleep. Then, it will proceed with the effects of these two environmental issues on sleep, in the light of previous research.},
}
@article {pmid38494727,
year = {2024},
author = {Montgomery, H},
title = {Final call: Climate change and us.},
journal = {The journal of the Royal College of Physicians of Edinburgh},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {14782715241239085},
doi = {10.1177/14782715241239085},
pmid = {38494727},
issn = {2042-8189},
}
@article {pmid38492839,
year = {2024},
author = {Wan, K and Hajat, S and Doherty, RM and Feng, Z},
title = {Integrating Shared Socioeconomic Pathway-informed adaptation into temperature-related mortality projections under climate change.},
journal = {Environmental research},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {118731},
doi = {10.1016/j.envres.2024.118731},
pmid = {38492839},
issn = {1096-0953},
abstract = {The extent to which populations will successfully adapt to continued warming temperatures will be a crucial factor in determining future health burdens. Previous health impact assessments of future temperature-related mortality burdens mostly disregard adaptation or make simplistic assumptions. We apply a novel evidence-based approach to model adaptation that takes into account the fact that adaptation potential is likely to vary at different temperatures. Temporal changes in age-specific mortality risk associated with low and high temperatures were characterised for Scotland between 1974 and 2018 using temperature-specific RR ratios to reflect past changes in adaptive capacity. Three scenarios of future adaption were constructed consistent with the SSPs. These adaptation projections were combined with climate and population projections to estimate the mortality burdens attributable to high (above the 90th percentile of the historical temperature distribution) and low (below the 10th percentile) temperatures up to 2080 under five RCP-SSP scenarios. A decomposition analysis was conducted to attribute the change in the mortality burden into adaptation, climate and population. In 1980-2000, the heat burden (21 deaths/year) was smaller than the colder burden (312 deaths/year). In the 2060-2080 period, the heat burden was projected to be the highest under RCP8.5-SSP5 (1285 deaths/year), and the cold burden was the highest under RCP4.5-SSP4 (320 deaths/year). The net burden was lowest under RCP2.6-SSP1 and highest under RCP8.5-SSP5. Improvements in adaptation was the largest factor reducing the cold burden under RCP2.6-SSP1 whilst temperature increase was the biggest factor contributing to the high heat burdens under RCP8.5-SSP5. Ambient heat will become a more important health determinant than cold in Scotland under all climate change and socio-economic scenarios. Adaptive capacity will not fully counter projected increases in heat deaths, underscoring the need for more ambitious climate mitigation measures for Scotland and elsewhere.},
}
@article {pmid38491547,
year = {2024},
author = {Kripa, PK and Thanzeen, PS and Jaganathasamy, N and Ravishankaran, S and Anvikar, AR and Eapen, A},
title = {Impact of climate change on temperature variations and extrinsic incubation period of malaria parasites in Chennai, India: implications for its disease transmission potential.},
journal = {Parasites &amp; vectors},
volume = {17},
number = {1},
pages = {134},
pmid = {38491547},
issn = {1756-3305},
abstract = {BACKGROUND: The global temperature has significantly risen in the past century. Studies have indicated that higher temperature intensifies malaria transmission in tropical and temperate countries. Temperature fluctuations will have a potential impact on parasite development in the vector Anopheles mosquito.<br><br>METHODS: Year-long microclimate temperatures were recorded from a malaria-endemic area, Chennai, India, from September 2021 to August 2022. HOBO data loggers were placed in different vector resting sites including indoor and outdoor roof types. Downloaded temperatures were categorised by season, and the mean temperature was compared with data from the same study area recorded from November 2012 to October 2013. The extrinsic incubation period for Plasmodium falciparum and P. vivax was calculated from longitudinal temperatures recorded during both periods. Vector surveillance was also carried out in the area during the summer season.<br><br>RESULTS: In general, temperature and daily temperature range (DTR) have increased significantly compared to the 2012-2013 data, especially the DTR of indoor asbestos structures, from 4.30&#xa0;&#x2103; to 12.62&#xa0;&#x2103; in 2021-2022, unlike the marginal increase observed in thatched and concrete structures. Likewise, the average DTR of outdoor asbestos structures increased from 5.02&#xa0;&#x2103; (2012-2013) to 8.76&#xa0;&#x2103; (2021-2022) although the increase was marginal in thatched structures and, surprisingly, showed no such changes in concrete structures. The key finding of the extrinsic incubation period (EIP) is that a decreasing trend was observed in 2021-2022 compared to 2012-2013, mainly in indoor asbestos structures from 7.01 to 6.35&#xa0;days, which negatively correlated with the current observation of an increase in temperature. Vector surveillance undertaken in the summer season revealed the presence of Anopheles breeding in various habitats. Anopheles stephensi could be collected using CDC light traps along with other mosquito species.<br><br>CONCLUSION: The microclimate temperature has increased significantly over the years, and mosquitoes are gradually adapting to this rising temperature. Temperature negatively correlates with the extrinsic incubation period of the parasite. As the temperature increases, the development of the parasite in An. stephensi will be faster because of a decrease in EIP, thus requiring relatively fewer days, posing a risk for disease transmission and a hindrance to malaria elimination efforts.},
}
@article {pmid38491185,
year = {2024},
author = {Jiao, N and Luo, T and Chen, Q and Zhao, Z and Xiao, X and Liu, J and Jian, Z and Xie, S and Thomas, H and Herndl, GJ and Benner, R and Gonsior, M and Chen, F and Cai, WJ and Robinson, C},
title = {The microbial carbon pump and climate change.},
journal = {Nature reviews. Microbiology},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
pmid = {38491185},
issn = {1740-1534},
abstract = {The ocean has been a regulator of climate change throughout the history of Earth. One key mechanism is the mediation of the carbon reservoir by refractory dissolved organic carbon (RDOC), which can either be stored in the water column for centuries or released back into the atmosphere as CO2 depending on the conditions. The RDOC is produced through a myriad of microbial metabolic and ecological processes known as the microbial carbon pump (MCP). Here, we review recent research advances in processes related to the MCP, including the distribution patterns and molecular composition of RDOC, links between the complexity of RDOC compounds and microbial diversity, MCP-driven carbon cycles across time and space, and responses of the MCP to a changing climate. We identify knowledge gaps and future research directions in the role of the MCP, particularly as a key component in integrated approaches combining the mechanisms of the biological and abiotic carbon pumps for ocean negative carbon emissions.},
}
@article {pmid38490001,
year = {2024},
author = {Leal Filho, W and Dinis, MAP and Nagy, GJ and Fracassi, U and Aina, YA},
title = {A ticket to where? Dwindling snow cover impacts the winter tourism sector as a consequence of climate change.},
journal = {Journal of environmental management},
volume = {356},
number = {},
pages = {120554},
doi = {10.1016/j.jenvman.2024.120554},
pmid = {38490001},
issn = {1095-8630},
abstract = {Climate change affects human activities, including tourism across various sectors and time frames. The winter tourism industry, dependent on low temperatures, faces significant impacts. This paper reviews the implications of climate change on winter tourism, emphasising challenges for activities like skiing and snowboarding, which rely on consistent snowfall and low temperatures. As the climate changes, these once taken-for-granted conditions are no longer as commonplace. Through a comprehensive review supported by up-to-date satellite imagery, this paper presents evidence suggesting that the reliability of winter snow is decreasing, with findings revealing a progressive reduction in snow levels associated with temperature and precipitation changes in some regions. The analysis underscores the need for concerted efforts by stakeholders who must recognize the reality of diminishing snow availability and work towards understanding the specific changes in snow patterns. This should involve multi-risk and multi-instrument assessments, including ongoing satellite data monitoring to track snow cover changes. The practical implications for sports activities and the tourism industry reliant on snow involve addressing challenges by diversifying offerings. This includes developing alternative winter tourism activities less dependent on snow, such as winter hiking, nature walks, or cultural experiences.},
}
@article {pmid38489074,
year = {2024},
author = {Xu, M and Bravo de Guenni, L and Córdova, JR},
title = {Climate change impacts on rainfall intensity-duration-frequency curves in local scale catchments.},
journal = {Environmental monitoring and assessment},
volume = {196},
number = {4},
pages = {372},
pmid = {38489074},
issn = {1573-2959},
abstract = {The increasing intensity and frequency of rainfall events, a critical aspect of climate change, pose significant challenges in the construction of intensity-duration-frequency (IDF) curves for climate projection. These curves are crucial for infrastructure development, but the non-stationarity of extreme rainfall raises concerns about their adequacy under future climate conditions. This research addresses these challenges by investigating the reasons behind the IPCC climate report's evidence about the validity that rainfall follows the Clausius-Clapeyron (CC) relationship, which suggests a 7% increase in precipitation per 1 °C increase in temperature. Our study provides guidelines for adjusting IDF curves in the future, considering both current and future climates. We calculate extreme precipitation changes and scaling factors for small urban catchments in Barranquilla, Colombia, a tropical region, using the bootstrapping method. This reveals the occurrence of a sub-CC relationship, suggesting that the generalized 7% figure may not be universally applicable. In contrast, our comparative analysis with Illinois, USA, an inland city in the north temperate zone, shows adherence to the CC relationship. This emphasizes the need for local parameter calculations rather than relying solely on the generalized 7% figure.},
}
@article {pmid38489036,
year = {2024},
author = {Kalita, B and Kumar, CJ and Hazarika, N and Baruah, KK and Borah, L},
title = {Exploring Climate Change Adaptation Practices and Agricultural Livelihoods among Rice Farmers of the Brahmaputra Valley in Northeast India.},
journal = {Environmental management},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
pmid = {38489036},
issn = {1432-1009},
support = {F.No.02/173/2019-20/MN/RP Dated: 05-12-2019//Indian Council of Social Science Research/ ; F.No.02/173/2019-20/MN/RP Dated: 05-12-2019//Indian Council of Social Science Research/ ; },
abstract = {Global climate change has seriously threatened agriculture and connected sectors, especially in developing countries like India. The Brahmaputra Valley in Assam, Northeast India, is vulnerable to climate change due to its agrarian economy, fragile geo-ecological setting, recurrent floods and droughts, and poor socioeconomic conditions of the farmers. The climate-induced hindrances faced by the rice farming community of this region and the local adaptation practices they employ have not been adequately studied. Therefore, we carried out a survey among 635 rice farmers across four agro-climatic zones of Assam, namely the Upper Brahmaputra Valley Zone, North Bank Plain Zone, Central Brahmaputra Valley Zone, and Lower Brahmaputra Valley Zone, to understand how they perceive and respond to climatic changes. The survey revealed that all the respondents have perceived an increase in ambient temperature, and 65% of the respondents have perceived a slight change in rainfall characteristics over the years. Most farmers reported adjusting the existing farming practices and livelihood choices to adapt to the changing climate. Farming adjustments were made mainly in terms of field preparation and management of water, rice variety, nutrients, and pests. Environmental variables like rainfall, flood, drought, and pest level, and socioeconomic variables like family size, education, farming experience, training, digital media exposure, and land area were found to influence farmers' adaptation choices. The findings imply that policies to strengthen flood, drought, pest management, education, land-use planning, agricultural training, and digital media applications in agriculture are needed for effective climate change adaptation in this region.},
}
@article {pmid38488478,
year = {2024},
author = {Perry, WB},
title = {They grow up so fast, especially when global warming is concerned.},
journal = {Journal of fish biology},
volume = {104},
number = {3},
pages = {507},
doi = {10.1111/jfb.15723},
pmid = {38488478},
issn = {1095-8649},
}
@article {pmid38488102,
year = {2024},
author = {Semenza, JC},
title = {Climate Change and Contagion: The Circuitous Impacts From Infectious Diseases.},
journal = {The Journal of infectious diseases},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1093/infdis/jiad571},
pmid = {38488102},
issn = {1537-6613},
}
@article {pmid38487936,
year = {2024},
author = {Wongpanarak, N and Langkulsen, U},
title = {Climate change and mental health in Northeast of Thailand.},
journal = {International journal of environmental health research},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {1-16},
doi = {10.1080/09603123.2024.2328741},
pmid = {38487936},
issn = {1369-1619},
abstract = {Climate-induced health hazards are increasingly evident and frequent, with mental health emerging as a critical concern. Our study focuses on assessing mental health challenges related to climate variability in Northeastern Thailand. Using descriptive cross-sectional analysis and the International Statistical Classification of Diseases and Related Health Problems 10th Revision (ICD-10), we analyzed mental health morbidity from 2018 to 2022. High average monthly temperatures exceeding 30°C and exposure to floods or droughts elevate the risk of mental health challenges. To address these risks, a holistic approach integrating Sustainable Development Goals and mental health initiatives is essential. This approach should prioritize understanding the impacts of climate change on the environment and human health. Supporting marginalized communities with indigenous knowledge and evidence-based programs can effectively prioritize sustainable mental health support, especially for vulnerable populations, fostering progress in human development and wellbeing.},
}
@article {pmid38487656,
year = {2024},
author = {von Gal, A and Fabiani, G and Piccardi, L},
title = {Climate change anxiety, fear, and intention to act.},
journal = {Frontiers in psychology},
volume = {15},
number = {},
pages = {1341921},
doi = {10.3389/fpsyg.2024.1341921},
pmid = {38487656},
issn = {1664-1078},
abstract = {Climate change anxiety (CCA) is an emerging yet not clearly defined construct. Here, we examine the relationship between CCA and climate change-related fear in response to messages differently framing uncertainty and anticipation concerning climate change, exploring how the former differs from general anxiety measures. To this purpose, young and healthy volunteers were assigned to three different framing conditions. Their emotional responses as well as eco-emotions and beliefs about climate change were collected. By employing a Bayesian approach, we found that framing the consequences of climate change effectively induces heightened fear and that CCA strongly predicted fear levels, while general anxiety measures did not. Overall, these results reflect CCA's unique and specific nature in influencing climate change-related fear. Interestingly, we found fear to predict intention scores only following the framings that did not effectively induce action intentions, consistent with prior findings on fear without efficacy framing. Instead, reading about the negative consequences motivated action the most. Following this framing, we found that eco-anger, instead of fear, consistently predicted intentions to engage in climate action. These results emphasize the complex interplay between CCA, eco-emotions, efficacy, and behavioral engagement.},
}
@article {pmid38487362,
year = {2024},
author = {Murray, M and Wright, J and Araya-Ajoy, YG},
title = {Evolutionary rescue from climate change: male indirect genetic effects on lay-dates and their consequences for population persistence.},
journal = {Evolution letters},
volume = {8},
number = {1},
pages = {137-148},
pmid = {38487362},
issn = {2056-3744},
abstract = {Changes in avian breeding phenology are among the most apparent responses to climate change in free-ranging populations. A key question is whether populations will be able to keep up with the expected rates of environmental change. There is a large body of research on the mechanisms by which avian lay-dates track temperature change and the consequences of (mal)adaptation on population persistence. Often overlooked is the role of males, which can influence the lay-date of their mate through their effect on the prelaying environment. We explore how social plasticity causing male indirect genetic effects can help or hinder population persistence when female genes underpinning lay-date and male genes influencing female's timing of reproduction both respond to climate-mediated selection. We extend quantitative genetic moving optimum models to predict the consequences of social plasticity on the maximum sustainable rate of temperature change, and evaluate our model using a combination of simulated data and empirical estimates from the literature. Our results suggest that predictions for population persistence may be biased if indirect genetic effects and cross-sex genetic correlations are not considered and that the extent of this bias depends on sex differences in how environmental change affects the optimal timing of reproduction. Our model highlights that more empirical work is needed to understand sex-specific effects of environmental change on phenology and the fitness consequences for population dynamics. While we discuss our results exclusively in the context of avian breeding phenology, the approach we take here can be generalized to many different contexts and types of social interaction.},
}
@article {pmid38487311,
year = {2024},
author = {Vanderhoof, MK and Christensen, JR and Alexander, LC and Lane, CR and Golden, HE},
title = {Climate Change Will Impact Surface Water Extents and Dynamics Across the Central United States.},
journal = {Earth's future},
volume = {12},
number = {2},
pages = {1-31},
doi = {10.1029/2023ef004106},
pmid = {38487311},
issn = {2328-4277},
abstract = {Climate change is projected to impact river, lake, and wetland hydrology, with global implications for the condition and productivity of aquatic ecosystems. We integrated Sentinel-1 and Sentinel-2 based algorithms to track monthly surface water extent (2017-2021) for 32 sites across the central United States (U.S.). Median surface water extent was highly variable across sites, ranging from 3.9% to 45.1% of a site. To account for landscape-based differences (e.g., water storage capacity, land use) in the response of surface water extents to meteorological conditions, individual statistical models were developed for each site. Future changes to climate were defined as the difference between 2006-2025 and 2061-2080 using MACA-CMIP5 (MACAv2-METDATA) Global Circulation Models. Time series of climate change adjusted surface water extents were projected. Annually, 19 of the 32 sites under RCP4.5 and 22 of the 32 sites under RCP8.5 were projected to show an average decline in surface water extent, with drying most consistent across the southeast central, southwest central, and midwest central U.S. Projected declines under surface water dry conditions at these sites suggest greater impacts of drought events are likely in the future. Projected changes were seasonally variable, with the greatest decline in surface water extent expected in summer and fall seasons. In contrast, many north central sites showed a projected increase in surface water in most seasons, relative to the 2017-2021 period, likely attributable to projected increases in winter and spring precipitation exceeding increases in projected temperature.},
}
@article {pmid38487255,
year = {2024},
author = {Ali, AE and Millington, R and Darnell, S and Smith, T},
title = {Policy vs. practice in sport and climate change: the perspectives of key actors in global sport and international development.},
journal = {Frontiers in sports and active living},
volume = {6},
number = {},
pages = {1297739},
pmid = {38487255},
issn = {2624-9367},
abstract = {Despite widespread, scientifically supported recognition of the scope of the climate crisis, and policies in place connecting sport to sustainable development, there remain concerns that the environment and climate change are rarely acknowledged within SDP activity and that even when they are, it is unclear how such policies are implemented, and to what effect. This raises the question of how and why the climate crisis and the attendant relationships between sport and sustainable development are understood and operationalized (or not) by stakeholders within the SDP sector. In this paper, therefore, we explore various perspectives and tensions around the environment and climate crisis within the SDP sector. To do so, we draw on interviews with SDP policy-makers (primarily from the United Nations and the International Olympic Committee) and SDP practitioners living and working in the global South in order to gauge the place of the environment and climate change in their everyday SDP policy-making, programming and practices. Overall, the data shows that while SDP stakeholders recognize the urgency of the climate crisis, the need for action, and the policy agenda linking sport to sustainable development, significant barriers, tensions and politics are still in place that prevent consistent climate action within SDP. Policy commitments and coherence are therefore needed in order to make climate action a core feature of SDP activity and practice.},
}
@article {pmid38486116,
year = {2024},
author = {de Souza, WM and Weaver, SC},
title = {Effects of climate change and human activities on vector-borne diseases.},
journal = {Nature reviews. Microbiology},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
pmid = {38486116},
issn = {1740-1534},
abstract = {Vector-borne diseases are transmitted by haematophagous arthropods (for example, mosquitoes, ticks and sandflies) to humans and wild and domestic animals, with the largest burden on global public health disproportionately affecting people in tropical and subtropical areas. Because vectors are ectothermic, climate and weather alterations (for example, temperature, rainfall and humidity) can affect their reproduction, survival, geographic distribution and, consequently, ability to transmit pathogens. However, the effects of climate change on vector-borne diseases can be multifaceted and complex, sometimes with ambiguous consequences. In this Review, we discuss the potential effects of climate change, weather and other anthropogenic factors, including land use, human mobility and behaviour, as possible contributors to the redistribution of vectors and spread of vector-borne diseases worldwide.},
}
@article {pmid38486108,
year = {2024},
author = {},
title = {Extinction drives the climate-change-induced reshuffling of forest plant communities.},
journal = {Nature ecology &amp; evolution},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
pmid = {38486108},
issn = {2397-334X},
}
@article {pmid38485989,
year = {2024},
author = {Chemura, A and Gleixner, S and Gornott, C},
title = {Dataset of the suitability of major food crops in Africa under climate change.},
journal = {Scientific data},
volume = {11},
number = {1},
pages = {294},
pmid = {38485989},
issn = {2052-4463},
abstract = {Understanding the extent and adapting to the impacts of climate change in the agriculture sector in Africa requires robust data on which technical and policy decisions can be based. However, there are no publicly available comprehensive data of which crops are suitable where under current and projected climate conditions for impact assessments and targeted adaptation planning. We developed a dataset on crop suitability of 23 major food crops (eight cereals, six legumes &amp; pulses, six root &amp; tuber crops, and three in banana-related family) for rainfed agriculture in Africa in terms of area and produced quantity. This dataset is based on the EcoCrop model parameterized with temperature, precipitation and soil data and is available for the historical period and until mid-century. The scenarios used for future projections are SSP1:RCP2.6, SSP3:RCP7.0 and SSP5:RCP8.5. The dataset provides a quantitative assessment of the impacts of climate change on crop production potential and can enable applications and linkages of crop impact studies to other socioeconomic aspects, thereby facilitating more comprehensive understanding of climate change impacts and assessment of options for building resilience.},
}
@article {pmid38485718,
year = {2024},
author = {Georges, V and Vaz, S and Carbonara, P and Fabri, MC and Fanelli, E and Follesa, MC and Garofalo, G and Gerovasileiou, V and Jadaud, A and Maiorano, P and Marin, P and Mytilineou, C and Orejas, C and Del Mar Otero, M and Smith, CJ and Thasitis, I and Lauria, V},
title = {Mapping the habitat refugia of Isidella elongata under climate change and trawling impacts to preserve Vulnerable Marine Ecosystems in the Mediterranean.},
journal = {Scientific reports},
volume = {14},
number = {1},
pages = {6246},
pmid = {38485718},
issn = {2045-2322},
abstract = {The bamboo-coral Isidella elongata is a key habitat-forming species in the deep Mediterranean Sea. This alcyonacean is listed as an indicator of Vulnerable Marine Ecosystems (VMEs) and as Critically Endangered due to bottom trawling impacts. In this work, a modeling approach was used to predict and map the habitat suitability of I. elongata in the Mediterranean Sea under current environmental conditions. Occurrence data were modeled as a function of environmental parameters. Using climate change scenarios and fishing effort data, the risk of climate change and fisheries impacts on habitat suitability were estimated, and climate refugia were identified. A drastic loss of habitat is predicted, and climate change scenarios suggest a loss of 60% of suitable habitats by 2100. In the central Mediterranean, climate refugia overlapped with active fishing grounds. This study represents the first attempt to identify hot spots for the protection of soft bottom Vulnerable Marine Ecosystems for the entire Mediterranean Sea, and highlights areas most at risk from trawling. This work is relevant to the objectives of the EU Marine Strategy Framework and Maritime Spatial Planning Directives, the Biodiversity Strategy for 2030 regarding priority areas for conservation.},
}
@article {pmid38485623,
year = {2024},
author = {Zuo, Z and Qiao, L and Zhang, R and Chen, D and Piao, S and Xiao, D and Zhang, K},
title = {Importance of soil moisture conservation in mitigating climate change.},
journal = {Science bulletin},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1016/j.scib.2024.02.033},
pmid = {38485623},
issn = {2095-9281},
abstract = {A troubling feedback loop, where drier soil contributes to hotter climates, has been widely recognized. This study, drawing on climate model simulations, reveals that maintaining current global soil moisture levels could significantly alleviate 32.9% of land warming under low-emission scenarios. This action could also postpone reaching critical warming thresholds of 1.5 °C and 2.0 °C by at least a decade. Crucially, preserving soil moisture at current levels could prevent noticeable climate change impacts across 42% of the Earth's land, a stark deviation from projections suggesting widespread impacts before the 2060s. To combat soil drying, afforestation in mid-to-low latitude regions within the next three decades is proposed as an effective strategy to increase surface water availability. This underscores the substantial potential of nature-based solutions for managing soil moisture, benefiting both climate change mitigation and ecological enhancement.},
}
@article {pmid38485467,
year = {2024},
author = {Nasr, A and Ivanov, OL and Björnsson, I and Johansson, J},
title = {The need for nonuniform risk acceptability across climate change scenarios.},
journal = {Risk analysis : an official publication of the Society for Risk Analysis},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1111/risa.14293},
pmid = {38485467},
issn = {1539-6924},
support = {//Trafikverket 2016-008, 2019-027/ ; //VINNOVA 2018-00611/ ; //Svenska Forskningsr&#xe5;det Formas 2015-00451/ ; },
abstract = {Climate change risk assessment studies focus on identifying and analyzing different risks considering several climate change scenarios and on evaluating the cost-effectiveness of different adaptation measures. However, risk acceptability is often not reflected on in the context of climate change risk studies. Noting that the different climate change scenarios depict drastically contrasting images of the future in terms of population growth, economic development, and changes to life expectancy, this article uses risk acceptance criteria that are based on socioeconomic considerations to highlight the need for nonuniform risk acceptability across climate change scenarios. For this purpose, the optimum implied cost of averting a fatality derived based on the life quality index concept and the value of a quality-adjusted life year derived based on the time principle of acceptable life risk are assessed in three different climate change scenarios for Sweden. Additionally, an illustrative example that assesses the acceptable probability of failure of a steel rod under axial tension in the different climate change scenarios is presented. It is shown that risk acceptance criteria can vary considerably across the different climate change scenarios (e.g., more than 190% variation in the acceptable probability of failure for Sweden in the considered example). This article demonstrates that the ability of societies to afford risk-reducing measures may vary considerably across the different climate change scenarios. Hence, it can be concluded that (1) in the context of climate change risk assessments, risk acceptance criteria need to be developed to account for the different climate change scenarios, and (2) these criteria may vary considerably across the different climate change scenarios. Finally, relevant challenges and research needs are also provided.},
}
@article {pmid38484608,
year = {2024},
author = {Cervini, C and Naz, N and Verheecke-Vaessen, C and Medina, A},
title = {Impact of predicted climate change environmental conditions on the growth of Fusarium asiaticum strains and mycotoxins production on a wheat-based matrix.},
journal = {International journal of food microbiology},
volume = {416},
number = {},
pages = {110658},
doi = {10.1016/j.ijfoodmicro.2024.110658},
pmid = {38484608},
issn = {1879-3460},
abstract = {Fusarium asiaticum is a predominant fungal pathogen causing Fusarium Head Blight (FHB) in wheat and barley in China and is associated with approximately £201 million in annual losses due to grains contaminated with mycotoxins. F. asiaticum produces deoxynivalenol and zearalenone whose maximum limits in cereals and cereals-derived products have been established in different countries including the EU. Few studies are available on the ecophysiological behaviour of this fungal pathogen, but nothing is known about the impact of projected climate change scenarios on its growth and mycotoxin production. Therefore, this study aimed to examine the interacting effect of i) current and increased temperature (25 vs 30 °C), ii) drought stress variation (0.98 vs 0.95 water activity; aw) and iii) existing and predicted CO2 concentrations (400 vs 1000 ppm) on fungal growth and mycotoxin production (type B trichothecenes and zearalenone) by three F. asiaticum strains (CH024b, 82, 0982) on a wheat-based matrix after 10 days of incubation. The results showed that, when exposed to increased CO2 concentration (1000 ppm) there was a significant reduction of fungal growth compared to current concentration (400 ppm) both at 25 and 30 °C, especially at 0.95 aw. The multi-mycotoxin analysis performed by LC-MS/MS qTRAP showed a significant increase of deoxynivalenol and 15-acetyldeoxynivalenol production when the CH024b strain was exposed to elevated CO2 compared to current CO2 levels. Zearalenone production by the strain 0982 was significantly stimulated by mild water stress (0.95 aw) and increased CO2 concentration (1000 ppm) regardless of the temperature. Such results highlight that intraspecies variability exist among F. asiaticum strains with some mycotoxins likely to exceed current EU legislative limits under prospected climate change conditions.},
}
@article {pmid38484115,
year = {2024},
author = {Zhao, G and Kim, H and Yang, C and Chung, YG},
title = {Leveraging Machine Learning To Predict the Atmospheric Lifetime and the Global Warming Potential of SF6 Replacement Gases.},
journal = {The journal of physical chemistry. A},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1021/acs.jpca.3c07339},
pmid = {38484115},
issn = {1520-5215},
abstract = {The global warming potential (GWP) is a relative measure of the capability of a molecule to trap the Earth's infrared radiation as heat. The measurement or prediction of the GWP of a molecule is based on two factors: the radiative efficiency and atmospheric lifetime of a molecule. While the calculation of the radiative efficiency of a molecule using the computational chemistry approach, such as density functional theory (DFT), is well-established and robust, the development of a computational approach to estimate the atmospheric lifetime remains challenging and limited to date. In this contribution, we developed a machine learning (ML) approach to estimate a molecule's atmospheric lifetime and GWP100 based on electronic and geometrical features. We benchmarked the state-of-the-art computational workflow with the developed ML model in estimating the atmospheric lifetime and GWP100. The developed ML model outperforms the existing approach with the mean absolute error values of 0.234 (ML-predicted atmospheric lifetime) and 0.249 (direct ML model for GWP100) compared with 0.535 (Atkinson's method) and 0.773 (Kazakov et al.) from previous works. The developed models were used to screen >7000 molecules in PubChem and bigQM7 data sets in a search for SF6 replacement gas for the electric industry and identified 84 potential candidates.},
}
@article {pmid38481856,
year = {2024},
author = {Hosni, EM and Al-Khalaf, AA and Nasser, MG and ElShahed, SM and Alashaal, SA},
title = {Locustamigratoria (L.) (Orthoptera) in a warming world: unravelling the ecological consequences of climate change using GIS.},
journal = {Biodiversity data journal},
volume = {12},
number = {},
pages = {e115845},
pmid = {38481856},
issn = {1314-2828},
abstract = {The migratory locust, Locustamigratoria (L.), a significant grasshopper species known for its ability to form large swarms and cause extensive damage to crops and vegetation, is subject to the influence of climate change. This research paper employs geographic information system (GIS) and MaxEnt ecological modelling techniques to assess the impact of climate change on the distribution patterns of L.migratoria. Occurrence data and environmental variables are collected and analysed to create predictive models for the current and future distribution of the species. The study highlights the crucial role of climate factors, particularly temperature and precipitation, in determining the locust's distribution. The MaxEnt models exhibit high-performance indicators, accurately predicting the potential habitat suitability of L.migratoria. Additionally, specific bioclimatic variables, such as mean temperature and annual precipitation, are identified as significant factors influencing the species' presence. The generated future maps indicate how this species will invade new regions especially in Europe. Such results predict the risk of this destructive species for many agriculture communities as a direct result of a warming world. The research provides valuable insights into the complex relationship between locust distribution and environmental factors, enabling the development of effective strategies for locust management and early warning systems to mitigate the impact on agriculture and ecosystems.},
}
@article {pmid38481649,
year = {2023},
author = {Ripoche, M and Irace-Cima, A and Adam-Poupart, A and Baron, G and Bouchard, C and Carignan, A and Milord, F and Ouhoummane, N and Pilon, PA and Thivierge, K and Zinszer, K and Chaumont, D},
title = {Current and future burden from Lyme disease in Québec as a result of climate change.},
journal = {Canada communicable disease report = Releve des maladies transmissibles au Canada},
volume = {49},
number = {10},
pages = {446-456},
pmid = {38481649},
issn = {1188-4169},
abstract = {CONTEXT: Environmental changes will foster the spread of Ixodes scapularis ticks and increase the incidence of Lyme disease in Québec in the coming years. The objective of this study is to estimate the epidemiological and clinical burden and part of the current economic burden of Lyme disease in Québec and to estimate the number of cases expected by 2050.<br><br>METHODS: Cases of Lyme disease reported in Qu&#xe9;bec from 2015 to 2019 were used to describe their demographic, geographical and clinical characteristics and the cost of their initial care. Three incidence rate scenarios were then developed to estimate the number of cases expected by 2050, based on demographic and climate projections.<br><br>RESULTS: From 2016 to 2019, 1,473 cases of Lyme disease were reported in Qu&#xe9;bec. Over 90% of those cases were acquired in two regions of southern Qu&#xe9;bec (Estrie and Mont&#xe9;r&#xe9;gie), while the individuals infected were residents from all over Qu&#xe9;bec. The average age of cases is 44 years and 66% of infections were at the localized stage, the first stage of Lyme disease. The cost of initial care is estimated at an average of $182 CAN per patient ($47 CAN at the localized stage and $443 CAN at the disseminated stage). According to projections, over 95% of the Qu&#xe9;bec population will live in a climate zone conducive to the establishment of ticks by 2050, with a number of cases acquired in Qu&#xe9;bec being 1.3 to 14.5 times higher than in 2019, depending on the incidence rate scenario used.<br><br>CONCLUSION: The epidemiological burden is concentrated primarily in southern Qu&#xe9;bec, but the clinical and economic burden is already distributed throughout the province. The projections for 2050 should help the regions of Qu&#xe9;bec adapt and optimize public health protection measures.},
}
@article {pmid38481118,
year = {2024},
author = {Varshney, RK and Barmukh, R and Bentley, A and Nguyen, HT},
title = {Exploring the genomics of abiotic stress tolerance and crop resilience to climate change.},
journal = {The plant genome},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {e20445},
doi = {10.1002/tpg2.20445},
pmid = {38481118},
issn = {1940-3372},
}
@article {pmid38480802,
year = {2024},
author = {Birkenbach, M and Egloff, B},
title = {Effects of matching climate change appeals to personal values.},
journal = {Scientific reports},
volume = {14},
number = {1},
pages = {6128},
pmid = {38480802},
issn = {2045-2322},
abstract = {The stronger people hold self-enhancing (that is, egoistic or hedonic) values, the less they tend agree with pro-environmental efforts. An exploratory (N = 901) and a confirmatory study (N = 404) examined the effectiveness of pro-environmental messages matched to individuals' values. Findings indicate that strong endorsement of self-transcendent (that is, altruistic or biospheric) values is associated with unspecific endorsement of pro-environmental messages, while individuals endorsing self-enhancement values respond positively only to value-matched appeals.},
}
@article {pmid38478574,
year = {2024},
author = {Mulopo, C and Abimbola, S and Onkoba, N and Schmidt, BM},
title = {A planetary health perspective on the translation of climate change research into public health policy and practice: A scoping review protocol.},
journal = {PloS one},
volume = {19},
number = {3},
pages = {e0295931},
pmid = {38478574},
issn = {1932-6203},
abstract = {BACKGROUND: Climate Change (CC) emanating from anthropocentric human activities is a great threat to the quality of human life and well-being worldwide. The translation of CC research evidence can play a critical role in promoting the formulation of climate-sensitive policies to equip public health systems for CC-associated disaster preparedness, response, and management. This scoping review seeks to explore knowledge translation approaches for promoting, the uptake, and use of CC research evidence in public health policy and practice.<br><br>METHODS: This scoping review will be conducted according to the guidelines of Arksey and O'Malley. A search strategy will be developed for published articles in PubMed, CINAHL, and Scopus databases and for grey literature in the World Health Organization, Planetary Health Alliance, and the University of the Western Cape repositories.<br><br>DISCUSSION: The proposed scoping review will gather existing evidence on the relationship between knowledge translation, CC research, and public health decision-making. This will provide insights into research and practice gaps, and recommendations will be made to ensure effective knowledge translation for CC related decision-making.},
}
@article {pmid38478572,
year = {2024},
author = {Ayalon, L},
title = {Age differences in the context of climate change: Does exposure to a fake consensus statement make a difference?.},
journal = {PloS one},
volume = {19},
number = {3},
pages = {e0298219},
doi = {10.1371/journal.pone.0298219},
pmid = {38478572},
issn = {1932-6203},
abstract = {The present study examined whether people of different age groups respond differently to a true versus fake consensus statement concerning climate change. In total, 309 participants were randomly exposed to a true consensus statement about climate change and 311 were exposed to a false statement. Subsequently, respondents were asked to respond to items about attitudes, feelings, and behavioral intentions concerning climate change. Compared with younger people, older persons are significantly more concerned about climate change, more likely to report that climate change is real and more willing to take climate change action. Nevertheless, older persons also are more likely to be willing to post both fake and truthful information about climate change, thus, possibly serving as spreaders of both fake and truthful information. The findings suggest that it is younger people who will benefit from further education about climate change and older people who may benefit from education about the spread of information in social media. Our findings also suggest that simply providing individuals with consensus information has only limited impact on their climate change attitudes, feelings and behavioral intentions.},
}
@article {pmid38478484,
year = {2024},
author = {Mitterwallner, V and Steinbauer, M and Mathes, G and Walentowitz, A},
title = {Global reduction of snow cover in ski areas under climate change.},
journal = {PloS one},
volume = {19},
number = {3},
pages = {e0299735},
doi = {10.1371/journal.pone.0299735},
pmid = {38478484},
issn = {1932-6203},
abstract = {Ongoing climate change substantially alters snowfall patterns with severe but diverging consequences for global ski areas. A global assessment as well as the investigation of potential implications for mountain ecosystems is currently lacking. We quantify future trends in natural snow cover days under different climate change scenarios until 2100 in seven major global skiing regions and discuss implications for mountainous biodiversity by analysing how natural snow cover days relate to regional human population density. Within all major skiing regions, snow cover days are projected to decrease substantially under every assessed climate change scenario. Thirteen percent of all current ski areas are projected to completely lose natural annual snow cover and one fifth will experience a reduction of more than 50% by 2071-2100 relative to historic baselines. Future skiable areas will concentrate in less populated areas, towards continental regions and inner parts of the mountain ranges. As skiable areas will be located at greater distances to highly populated areas in the future, we expect an expansion of infrastructure and increasing intervening actions (i.e., artificial snowmaking, slope grooming) to prolong snow duration. Our results are concerning for both the recreational and economic value of skiing as well as for mountain biodiversity since vulnerable high-altitude species might be threatened by space reductions with ski area expansion.},
}
@article {pmid38477572,
year = {2024},
author = {Garcia-Bustos, V},
title = {Is Candida auris the first multidrug-resistant fungal zoonosis emerging from climate change?.},
journal = {mBio},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {e0014624},
doi = {10.1128/mbio.00146-24},
pmid = {38477572},
issn = {2150-7511},
abstract = {The emergence and evolutionary path of Candida auris poses an intriguing scientific enigma. Its isolation from a pet dog's oral cavity in Kansas, reported by White et al. (T. C. White, B. D. Esquivel, E. M. Rouse Salcido, A. M. Schweiker, et al., mBio 15:e03080-23, 2024, https://doi.org/10.1128/mbio.03080-23), carries significant implications. This discovery intensifies concerns about its hypothetical capacity for zoonotic transmission, particularly considering the dog's extensive human contact and the absence of secondary animal/human cases in both animals and humans. The findings challenge established notions of C. auris transmissibility and underscore the need for further investigation into the transmission dynamics, especially zooanthroponotic pathways. It raises concerns about its adaptability in different hosts and environments, highlighting potential role of environmental and animal reservoirs in its dissemination. Critical points include the evolving thermal tolerance and the genetic divergence in the isolate. This case exemplifies the necessity for an integrated One Health approach, combining human, animal, and environmental health perspectives, to unravel the complexities of C. auris's emergence and behavior.},
}
@article {pmid38477222,
year = {2024},
author = {Casu, A and Camardo Leggieri, M and Toscano, P and Battilani, P},
title = {Changing climate, shifting mycotoxins: A comprehensive review of climate change impact on mycotoxin contamination.},
journal = {Comprehensive reviews in food science and food safety},
volume = {23},
number = {2},
pages = {e13323},
doi = {10.1111/1541-4337.13323},
pmid = {38477222},
issn = {1541-4337},
abstract = {Climate change (CC) is a complex phenomenon that has the potential to significantly alter marine, terrestrial, and freshwater ecosystems worldwide. Global warming of 2°C is expected to be exceeded during the 21st century, and the frequency of extreme weather events, including floods, storms, droughts, extreme temperatures, and wildfires, has intensified globally over recent decades, differently affecting areas of the world. How CC may impact multiple food safety hazards is increasingly evident, with mycotoxin contamination in particular gaining in prominence. Research focusing on CC effects on mycotoxin contamination in edible crops has developed considerably throughout the years. Therefore, we conducted a comprehensive literature search to collect available studies in the scientific literature published between 2000 and 2023. The selected papers highlighted how warmer temperatures are enabling the migration, introduction, and mounting abundance of thermophilic and thermotolerant fungal species, including those producing mycotoxins. Certain mycotoxigenic fungal species, such as Aspergillus flavus and Fusarium graminearum, are expected to readily acclimatize to new conditions and could become more aggressive pathogens. Furthermore, abiotic stress factors resulting from CC are expected to weaken the resistance of host crops, rendering them more vulnerable to fungal disease outbreaks. Changed interactions of mycotoxigenic fungi are likewise expected, with the effect of influencing the prevalence and co-occurrence of mycotoxins in the future. Looking ahead, future research should focus on improving predictive modeling, expanding research into different pathosystems, and facilitating the application of effective strategies to mitigate the impact of CC.},
}
@article {pmid38476980,
year = {2023},
author = {Vicedo-Cabrera, AM and de Schrijver, E and Schumacher, DL and Ragettli, MS and Fischer, EM and Seneviratne, SI},
title = {The footprint of human-induced climate change on heat-related deaths in the summer of 2022 in Switzerland.},
journal = {Environmental research letters : ERL [Web site]},
volume = {18},
number = {},
pages = {074037},
pmid = {38476980},
issn = {1748-9326},
abstract = {Human-induced climate change is leading to an increase in the intensity and frequency of extreme weather events, which are severely affecting the health of the population. The exceptional heat during the summer of 2022 in Europe is an example, with record-breaking temperatures only below the infamous 2003 summer. High ambient temperatures are associated with many health outcomes, including premature mortality. However, there is limited quantitative evidence on the contribution of anthropogenic activities to the substantial heat-related mortality observed in recent times. Here we combined methods in climate epidemiology and attribution to quantify the heat-related mortality burden attributed to human-induced climate change in Switzerland during the summer of 2022. We first estimated heat-mortality association in each canton and age/sex population between 1990 and 2017 in a two-stage time-series analysis. We then calculated the mortality attributed to heat in the summer of 2022 using observed mortality, and compared it with the hypothetical heat-related burden that would have occurred in absence of human-induced climate change. This counterfactual scenario was derived by regressing the Swiss average temperature against global mean temperature in both observations and CMIP6 models. We estimate 623 deaths [95% empirical confidence interval (95% eCI): 151-1068] due to heat between June and August 2022, corresponding to 3.5% of all-cause mortality. More importantly, we find that 60% of this burden (370 deaths [95% eCI: 133-644]) could have been avoided in absence of human-induced climate change. Older women were affected the most, as well as populations in western and southern Switzerland and more urbanized areas. Our findings demonstrate that human-induced climate change was a relevant driver of the exceptional excess health burden observed in the 2022 summer in Switzerland.},
}
@article {pmid38476656,
year = {2023},
author = {Kaseya, J and Alimi, Y and Aluso, A and Habtemariam, MK and Crowell, TA and Ngongo, AN and Kebede, Y and Ndembi, N},
title = {Tackling the twin threats of pandemics and climate change: An agenda for action.},
journal = {Journal of public health in Africa},
volume = {14},
number = {10},
pages = {2868},
pmid = {38476656},
issn = {2038-9922},
}
@article {pmid38476251,
year = {2024},
author = {Orlov, A and Schleypen, J and Aunan, K and Sillmann, J and Gasparrini, A and Mistry, MN},
title = {A better integration of health and economic impact assessments of climate change.},
journal = {Environmental research letters : ERL [Web site]},
volume = {19},
number = {3},
pages = {031004},
pmid = {38476251},
issn = {1748-9326},
abstract = {Climate change could lead to high economic burden for individuals (i.e. low income and high prices). While economic conditions are important determinants of climate change vulnerability, environmental epidemiological studies focus primarily on the direct impact of temperature on morbidity and mortality without accounting for climate-induced impacts on the economy. More integrated approaches are needed to provide comprehensive assessments of climate-induced direct and indirect impacts on health. This paper provides some perspectives on how epidemiological and economic impact assessments could be better integrated. We argue that accounting for the economic repercussions of climate change on people's health and, vice versa, the consequences of health effects on the economy could provide more realistic scenario projections and could be more useful for adaptation policy.},
}
@article {pmid38473163,
year = {2024},
author = {Fernández, I and Larrán, AM and de Paz, P and Riesco, MF},
title = {The Direct Effects of Climate Change on Tench (Tinca tinca) Sperm Quality under a Real Heatwave Event Scenario.},
journal = {Animals : an open access journal from MDPI},
volume = {14},
number = {5},
pages = {},
doi = {10.3390/ani14050778},
pmid = {38473163},
issn = {2076-2615},
support = {REPHEAT project (PID2021-127782OA-I00)//MCIN/AEI/10.13039/501100011033, by "ERDF A way of making Europe", by the "European Union", and the "European Union Next Generation EU/PRTR/ ; I417 project, Ayuda a proyectos de investigaci&#xf3;n ULE//University of Le&#xf3;n/ ; Optimizaci&#xf3;n integral de los sistemas productivos en acuicultura: revalorizaci&#xf3;n de materias primas locales en piensos y en cr&#xed;a de especies en potencial desarrollo (OPTI-ACUA)//ERDF/ ; MICIU and the European Social Fund, "The European Social Fund invests in your future"//Ram&#xf3;n y Cajal (Ref. RYC2018-025337-I) contract/ ; },
abstract = {Global aquaculture growth will most probably face specific conditions derived from climate change. In fact, the most severe impacts of these changes will be suffered by aquatic populations in restrictive circumstances, such as current aquaculture locations, which represent a perfect model to study global warming effects. Although the impact of temperature on fish reproduction has been characterized in many aspects, this study was focused on recreating more realistic models of global warming, particularly considering heatwave phenomena, in order to decipher its effects on male gametes (spermatozoa). For this purpose, thermal stress via a heatwave simulation (mimicking a natural occurring heatwave, from 24 to 30 °C) was induced in adult tench (Tinca tinca) males and compared with a control group (55.02 ± 16.44 g of average body wet weight). The impact of the thermal stress induced by this climate change event was assessed using cellular and molecular approaches. After the heatwave recreation, a multiparametric analysis of sperm quality, including some traditional parameters (such as sperm motility) and new ones (focus on redox balance and sperm quality biomarkers), was performed. Although sperm concentration and the volume produced were not affected, the results showed a significant deleterious effect on motility parameters (e.g., reduced progressive motility and total motility during the first minute post-activation). Furthermore, the sperm produced under the thermal stress induced by this heatwave simulation exhibited an increased ROS content in spermatic cells, confirming the negative effect that this thermal stress model (heatwave recreation) might have had on sperm quality. More importantly, the expression of some known sperm quality and fertilization markers was decreased in males exposed to thermal stress. This present study not only unveils the potential effects of climate change in contemporary and future fish farming populations (and their underlying mechanisms) but also provides insights on how to mitigate and/or avoid thermal stress due to heatwave events.},
}
@article {pmid38473057,
year = {2024},
author = {Ma, Q and Wan, L and Shi, S and Wang, Z},
title = {Impact of Climate Change on the Distribution of Three Rare Salamanders (Liua shihi, Pseudohynobius jinfo, and Tylototriton wenxianensis) in Chongqing, China, and Their Conservation Implications.},
journal = {Animals : an open access journal from MDPI},
volume = {14},
number = {5},
pages = {},
doi = {10.3390/ani14050672},
pmid = {38473057},
issn = {2076-2615},
support = {sxxycq-2021-086//Chongqing Municipal National Key Project for the Supplementary Survey of Protected Terrestrial Wildlife/ ; },
abstract = {The Wushan Salamander (Liua shihi), Jinfo Salamander (Pseudohynobius jinfo), and Wenxian Knobby Salamander (Tylototriton wenxianensis) are rare national Class II protected wild animals in China. We performed MaxEnt modeling to predict and analyze the potential distribution and trends of these species in Chongqing under current and future climate conditions. Species distribution data were primarily obtained from field surveys, supplemented by museum collections and the existing literature. These efforts yielded 636 records, including 43 for P. jinfo, 23 for T. wenxianensis, and 570 for L. shihi. Duplicate records within the same 100 m × 100 m grid cell were removed using ENMTools, resulting in 10, 12, and 58 valid distribution points for P. jinfo, T. wenxianensis, and L. shihi, respectively. The optimization of feature class parameters (FC) and the regularization multiplier (RM) were applied using R package "ENMeval 2.0" to establish the optimal model with MaxEnt. The refined models were applied to simulate the suitable distribution areas for the three species. The results indicate that the current suitable habitat area for L. shihi accounted for 9.72% of the whole region of the Chongqing municipality. It is projected that, by 2050, the proportion of suitable habitat will increase to 12.54% but will decrease to 11.98% by 2070 and further decline to 8.80% by 2090. The current suitable habitat area for P. jinfo accounted for 1.08% of the whole region of the Chongqing municipality, which is expected to decrease to 0.31%% by 2050, 0.20% by 2070, and 0.07% by 2090. The current suitable habitat area for T. wenxianensis accounted for 0.81% of the whole region of the Chongqing municipality, which is anticipated to decrease to 0.37% by 2050, 0.21% by 2070, and 0.06% by 2090. Human disturbance, climate variables, and habitat characteristics are the primary factors influencing the distribution of three salamander species in Chongqing. The proximity to roads significantly impacts L. shihi, while climate conditions mainly affect P. jinfo, and the distance to water sources is crucial for T. wenxianensis. The following suggestions were made based on key variables identified for each species: (1) For L. shihi, it is imperative to minimize human disturbances and preserve areas without roads and the existing vegetation within nature reserves to ensure their continued existence. (2) For P. jinfo, the conservation of high-altitude habitats is of utmost importance, along with the reduction in disturbances caused by roads to maintain the species' ecological niche. (3) For T. wenxianensis, the protection of aquatic habitats is crucial. Additionally, efforts to mitigate the impacts of road construction and enhance public awareness are essential for the preservation of this species and the connectivity of its habitats.},
}
@article {pmid38473046,
year = {2024},
author = {Marín Navas, C and Delgado Bermejo, JV and McLean, AK and León Jurado, JM and Camacho Vallejo, ME and Navas González, FJ},
title = {Modeling Climate Change Effects on Genetic Diversity of an Endangered Horse Breed Using Canonical Correlations.},
journal = {Animals : an open access journal from MDPI},
volume = {14},
number = {5},
pages = {},
doi = {10.3390/ani14050659},
pmid = {38473046},
issn = {2076-2615},
support = {MCIN/AEI/10.13039/501100011033//European Union/ ; },
abstract = {The historical increase in the occurrence of extreme weather events in Spain during the last thirty years makes it a perfect location for the evaluation of climate change. Modeling the effects of climate change on domestic animals' genetic diversity may help to anticipate challenging situations. However, animal populations' short life cycle and patent lack of historical information during extended periods of time drastically compromise the evaluation of climate change effects. Locally adapted breeds' gene pool is the base for their improved resilience and plasticity in response to climate change's extreme climatic conditions. The preservation of these domestic resources offers selection alternatives to breeders who seek such improved adaptability. The Spanish endangered autochthonous Hispano-Arabian horse breed is perfectly adapted to the conditions of the territory where it was created, developed, and widespread worldwide. The possibility to trace genetic diversity in the Hispano-Arabian breed back around seven decades and its global ubiquity make this breed an idoneous reference subject to act as a model for other international populations. Climate change's shaping effects on the genetic diversity of the Hispano-Arabian horse breed's historical population were monitored from 1950 to 2019 and evaluated. Wind speed, gust speed, or barometric pressure have greater repercussions than extreme temperatures on genetic diversity. Extreme climate conditions, rather than average modifications of climate, may push breeders/owners to implement effective strategies in the short to medium term, but the effect will be plausible in the long term due to breed sustainability and enhanced capacity of response to extreme climate events. When extreme climatic conditions occur, breeders opt for mating highly diverse unrelated individuals, avoiding the production of a large number of offspring. People in charge of domestic population conservation act as catalyzers of the regulatory changes occurring during breeds' climate change adaptive process and may identify genes conferring their animals with greater adaptability but still maintaining enhanced performance. This model assists in determining how owners of endangered domestic populations should plan their breeding strategies, seeking the obtention of animals more resilient and adapted to climate-extreme conditions. This efficient alternative is focused on the obtention of increased profitability from this population and in turn ensuring their sustainability.},
}
@article {pmid38472589,
year = {2024},
author = {Chen, Y and Wang, Y},
title = {Retraction Note: The green wave for climate: overcoming financial intermediation challenges in climate change mitigation through credit subsidies.},
journal = {Environmental science and pollution research international},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1007/s11356-024-32883-0},
pmid = {38472589},
issn = {1614-7499},
}
@article {pmid38472400,
year = {2024},
author = {Li, L and Chen, Z and Wang, B and Fan, J and Lu, T and Lv, K},
title = {Response of upper tropospheric water vapor to global warming and ENSO.},
journal = {Scientific reports},
volume = {14},
number = {1},
pages = {5995},
pmid = {38472400},
issn = {2045-2322},
support = {No. 20202BABL213033//Jiangxi Provincial Natural Science Foundation/ ; No. SKLGED2021-2-2//State Key Laboratory of Geodesy and Earth's Dynamics/ ; No. DHBK2018006//PhD early development program of East China University of Technology/ ; No. 41904031//National Natural Science Foundation of China/ ; No. 42374040//National Natural Science Foundation of China/ ; No. 42061077//National Natural Science Foundation of China/ ; },
abstract = {The upper tropospheric water vapor is a key component of Earth's climate. Understanding variations in upper tropospheric water vapor and identifying its influencing factors is crucial for enhancing our comprehension of global climate change. While many studies have shown the impact of El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and global warming on water vapor, how they affect the upper tropospheric water vapor remains unclear. Long-term, high-precision ERA5 specific humidity data from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) provided the data foundation for this study. On this basis, we successfully obtained the patterns of global warming (Independent Component 1, IC1) and ENSO (Independent Component 2, IC2) by employing the strategy of independent component analysis (ICA) combined with non-parametric optimal dimension selection to investigate the upper tropospheric water vapor variations and responses to ENSO and global warming. The results indicate that global warming and ENSO are the primary factors contributing to water vapor variations in the upper troposphere, achieving the significant correlations of 0.87 and 0.61 with water vapor anomalies respectively. Together, they account for 86% of the global interannual variations in water vapor. Consistent with previous studies, our findings also find positive anomalies in upper tropospheric water vapor during El Niño years and negative anomalies during La Niña years. Moreover, the influence extent of ENSO on upper tropospheric water vapor varies with the changing seasons.},
}
@article {pmid38472196,
year = {2024},
author = {Klein, SG and Roch, C and Duarte, CM},
title = {Systematic review of the uncertainty of coral reef futures under climate change.},
journal = {Nature communications},
volume = {15},
number = {1},
pages = {2224},
pmid = {38472196},
issn = {2041-1723},
support = {BAS\1\1071-01-01 awarded to CMD//King Abdullah University of Science and Technology (KAUST)/ ; BAS\1\1071-01-01 awarded to CMD//King Abdullah University of Science and Technology (KAUST)/ ; BAS\1\1071-01-01 awarded to CMD//King Abdullah University of Science and Technology (KAUST)/ ; },
abstract = {Climate change impact syntheses, such as those by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, consistently assert that limiting global warming to 1.5 °C is unlikely to safeguard most of the world's coral reefs. This prognosis is primarily based on a small subset of available models that apply similar 'excess heat' threshold methodologies. Our systematic review of 79 articles projecting coral reef responses to climate change revealed five main methods. 'Excess heat' models constituted one third (32%) of all studies but attracted a disproportionate share (68%) of citations in the field. Most methods relied on deterministic cause-and-effect rules rather than probabilistic relationships, impeding the field's ability to estimate uncertainty. To synthesize the available projections, we aimed to identify models with comparable outputs. However, divergent choices in model outputs and scenarios limited the analysis to a fraction of available studies. We found substantial discrepancies in the projected impacts, indicating that the subset of articles serving as a basis for climate change syntheses may project more severe consequences than other studies and methodologies. Drawing on insights from other fields, we propose methods to incorporate uncertainty into deterministic modeling approaches and propose a multi-model ensemble approach to generating probabilistic projections for coral reef futures.},
}
@article {pmid38471874,
year = {2024},
author = {Xu, Y and Pan, YC and Zou, B and Zheng, ZW and Guo, ZD},
title = {[Quantitative Assessment of the Impact of Climate Change on the Growing Season of Vegetation Gross Primary Productivity in the Middle and Lower Reaches of the Yangtze River].},
journal = {Huan jing ke xue= Huanjing kexue},
volume = {45},
number = {3},
pages = {1615-1628},
doi = {10.13227/j.hjkx.202304152},
pmid = {38471874},
issn = {0250-3301},
abstract = {Quantitatively determining the direct, indirect, and comprehensive effects of climatic factors on the growing season of the vegetation GPP (GPPGS) in the middle and lower reaches of the Yangtze River at the regional and vegetation type scales can provide a scientific basis for the management and restoration of regional vegetation resources under the background of global climate change. Using MODIS GPP data, meteorological data, and vegetation type data, combined with Theil-Sen Median trend analysis and the Mann-Kendall significance test, the spatiotemporal characteristics of the GPPGS in the middle and lower reaches of the Yangtze River were investigated at different temporal and spatial scales. Path analysis was used to further reveal the direct, indirect, and comprehensive effects of climate factors on GPPGS variation in different vegetation types. The results showed that:① from 2000 to 2021, the vegetation GPPGS in the middle and lower reaches of the Yangtze River showed a fluctuating upward trend, with a rising rate (in terms of C, same below) of 2.70 g·(m[2]·a)[-1] (P<0.01). The GPPGS of different vegetation types all showed a significant upward trend (P<0.01), with shrubs having the highest upward rate of 3.31 g·(m[2]·a)[-1] and cultivated vegetation having the lowest upward rate of 2.54 g·(m[2]·a)[-1]. ② The proportion of the area with an upward trend in GPPGS in the middle and lower reaches of the Yangtze River was 88.11%. The proportion of the area with an upward trend in GPPGS was greater than 84% for all different vegetation types, with shrubs (49.76%) and cultivated vegetation (44.36%) having significantly higher proportions of the area with an upward trend than that in other vegetation types. ③ The path analysis results showed that precipitation and the maximum temperature had a significant positive direct effect on vegetation GPPGS (P<0.05), whereas solar radiation had a non-significant positive effect (P ≥ 0.05). The indirect effects of maximum temperature, precipitation, and solar radiation on vegetation GPPGS were all non-significantly negative (P ≥ 0.05). Under the combined effects of direct and indirect influences, precipitation and maximum temperature had a non-significant positive effect on vegetation GPPGS (P ≥ 0.05), whereas solar radiation had a non-significant negative effect on vegetation GPPGS (P ≥ 0.05). Among different vegetation types, precipitation was the main climate factor affecting the changes in GPPGS of cultivated vegetation, whereas the maximum temperature was the main climate factor affecting the changes in GPPGS of coniferous forests, broad-leaved forests, shrubs, and grasslands. ④ The changes in vegetation GPPGS in the middle and lower reaches of the Yangtze River were mainly influenced by the direct effects of maximum temperature, precipitation, and solar radiation, with the direct effect of precipitation dominating 56.72% of the changes in GPPGS. The research results can provide a reference for quantifying the carbon sequestration potential of vegetation in the middle and lower reaches of the Yangtze River and formulating ecological restoration governance policies tailored to local conditions under the background of global climate change.},
}
@article {pmid38467690,
year = {2024},
author = {Barcellos, C and Matos, V and Lana, RM and Lowe, R},
title = {Climate change, thermal anomalies, and the recent progression of dengue in Brazil.},
journal = {Scientific reports},
volume = {14},
number = {1},
pages = {5948},
pmid = {38467690},
issn = {2045-2322},
support = {224694/Z/21/Z/WT_/Wellcome Trust/United Kingdom ; },
abstract = {Dengue is rapidly expanding its transmission area across Brazil and much of South America. In this study, data-mining techniques were used to identify climatic and demographic indicators that could explain the recent (2014-2020) and simultaneous trends of expansion and exacerbation of the incidence in some regions of Brazil. The previous circulation of the virus (dengue incidence rates between 2007 and 2013), urbanization, and the occurrence of temperature anomalies for a prolonged period were the main factors that led to increased incidence of dengue in the central region of Brazil. Regions with high altitudes, which previously acted as a barrier for dengue transmission, became areas of high incidence rates. The algorithm that was developed during this study can be utilized to assess future climate scenarios and plan preventive actions.},
}
@article {pmid38467431,
year = {2024},
author = {Seehusen, DA and Bowman, MA and Britz, J and Ledford, CJW},
title = {A Focus on Climate Change and How It Impacts Family Medicine.},
journal = {Journal of the American Board of Family Medicine : JABFM},
volume = {37},
number = {1},
pages = {1-3},
doi = {10.3122/jabfm.2023.230448R0},
pmid = {38467431},
issn = {1558-7118},
abstract = {This issue highlights climate change, its effects on patients, and actions clinicians can take to make a difference for their patients and communities. The issue also includes several reports on current trends in family physician practice patterns and the influence of practice structure. Four articles focus on controlled or illicit substances. Noteworthy among them is the description of an innovative yet simple device that allows patients to safely discard unused opioids. Other research covers adverse childhood experiences (ACEs), smoking cessation programs, and the impact of Medicare reimbursement rates on influenza vaccination.},
}
@article {pmid38467362,
year = {2024},
author = {Zubir, MA and Kamyab, H and Vasseghian, Y and Hashim, H and Zhi, OM and Abdullah, SR and Yusuf, M and Kapran, B and Kori, AH and Nasri, NS and Hoang, HY},
title = {Optimizing refuse-derived fuel production from scheduled wastes through Aspen plus simulation: Perspective in the context of climate change.},
journal = {Environmental research},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {118617},
doi = {10.1016/j.envres.2024.118617},
pmid = {38467362},
issn = {1096-0953},
abstract = {This study aims to improve the quality of fuel with high calorific value namely Sfuel - a commercial high-quality refuse-derived fuel (RDF) from hazardous waste via modifying the process design and operating parameters of thermal conversion process. The study analyses key parameters of RDF quality, such as calorific value and heavy metal content, before and after process modifications based on the combination of experimental and simulation using Aspen Plus. In this study, the temperature and pressure of the simulation system are varied from 100 to 700 °C and from 1 to 5 bar, respectively. Findings indicate that there are a total of eleven heavy metals and 179 volatile compounds in the "Sfuels". The quality of the targeted product is greatly improved by the metal evaporation at high temperatures and pressures. However, the calorific value of RDF significantly decreases at 700 °C due to a large amount of the carbon content being evaporated. Although the carbon content at high temperatures is significantly lost, the heat from the vapour stream reactor outlet, which is reused to preheat the nitrogen gas stream supplied to the system, reduces energy consumption while improving the thermal conversion efficiency of the system. Besides, low pressure along with high temperature are not the optimal conditions for quality Sfuels improvement by thermal conversion. Results also indicate that electric heating is more economically efficient than natural gas heating. This study contributes to the context of climate change by providing insights into the optimization of RDF production, which can help to reduce the environmental impact of waste disposal and maximizing energy efficiency.},
}
@article {pmid38466843,
year = {2024},
author = {Armour, KC and Proistosescu, C and Dong, Y and Hahn, LC and Blanchard-Wrigglesworth, E and Pauling, AG and Jnglin Wills, RC and Andrews, T and Stuecker, MF and Po-Chedley, S and Mitevski, I and Forster, PM and Gregory, JM},
title = {Sea-surface temperature pattern effects have slowed global warming and biased warming-based constraints on climate sensitivity.},
journal = {Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America},
volume = {121},
number = {12},
pages = {e2312093121},
doi = {10.1073/pnas.2312093121},
pmid = {38466843},
issn = {1091-6490},
support = {AGS-1752796//NSF/ ; NA20OAR4310391//NOAA/ ; DE-SC0022110//Department of Energy/ ; },
abstract = {The observed rate of global warming since the 1970s has been proposed as a strong constraint on equilibrium climate sensitivity (ECS) and transient climate response (TCR)-key metrics of the global climate response to greenhouse-gas forcing. Using CMIP5/6 models, we show that the inter-model relationship between warming and these climate sensitivity metrics (the basis for the constraint) arises from a similarity in transient and equilibrium warming patterns within the models, producing an effective climate sensitivity (EffCS) governing recent warming that is comparable to the value of ECS governing long-term warming under CO[Formula: see text] forcing. However, CMIP5/6 historical simulations do not reproduce observed warming patterns. When driven by observed patterns, even high ECS models produce low EffCS values consistent with the observed global warming rate. The inability of CMIP5/6 models to reproduce observed warming patterns thus results in a bias in the modeled relationship between recent global warming and climate sensitivity. Correcting for this bias means that observed warming is consistent with wide ranges of ECS and TCR extending to higher values than previously recognized. These findings are corroborated by energy balance model simulations and coupled model (CESM1-CAM5) simulations that better replicate observed patterns via tropospheric wind nudging or Antarctic meltwater fluxes. Because CMIP5/6 models fail to simulate observed warming patterns, proposed warming-based constraints on ECS, TCR, and projected global warming are biased low. The results reinforce recent findings that the unique pattern of observed warming has slowed global-mean warming over recent decades and that how the pattern will evolve in the future represents a major source of uncertainty in climate projections.},
}
@article {pmid38464763,
year = {2024},
author = {Wang, JX and Liu, XQ},
title = {Climate change, ambient air pollution, and students' mental health.},
journal = {World journal of psychiatry},
volume = {14},
number = {2},
pages = {204-209},
pmid = {38464763},
issn = {2220-3206},
abstract = {The impact of global climate change and air pollution on mental health has become a crucial public health issue. Increased public awareness of health, advancements in medical diagnosis and treatment, the way media outlets report environmental changes and the variation in social resources affect psychological responses and adaptation methods to climate change and air pollution. In the context of climate change, extreme weather events seriously disrupt people's living environments, and unstable educational environments lead to an increase in mental health issues for students. Air pollution affects students' mental health by increasing the incidence of diseases while decreasing contact with nature, leading to problems such as anxiety, depression, and decreased cognitive function. We call for joint efforts to reduce pollutant emissions at the source, improve energy structures, strengthen environmental monitoring and gover-nance, increase attention to the mental health issues of students, and help student groups build resilience; by establishing public policies, enhancing social support and adjusting lifestyles and habits, we can help students cope with the constantly changing environment and maintain a good level of mental health. Through these comprehensive measures, we can more effectively address the challenges of global climate change and air pollution and promote the achievement of the United Nations Sustainable Development Goals.},
}
@article {pmid38463879,
year = {2024},
author = {Bagh, T and Fuwei, J and Khan, MA},
title = {From risk to resilience: Climate change risk, ESG investments engagement and Firm's value.},
journal = {Heliyon},
volume = {10},
number = {5},
pages = {e26757},
pmid = {38463879},
issn = {2405-8440},
abstract = {In line with Sustainable Development Goals, firms are increasingly incorporating Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) considerations in their investment strategies. The effect of firms' climate change risk (FCCR) on firms' Value (FV), and how such investment engagements moderate this effect, is a prominent subject of debate among scholars, investors, and policymakers. To examine these dynamics, we analyze a dataset of 1771 United States (US)-listed firms from 2006 to 2021 to quantify the effect of FCCR on FV. We use the generalized method of moments model to achieve our objectives. The major findings are summarized as follows: First, FCCR has a negative and significant effect on FV. Second, ESG investments positively and significantly influence FV. Third, ESG investments significantly moderate the FCCR-FV relationship. We confirm our estimations are robust under different estimations strategies. Finally, this article provides a fresh perspective on risk management with significant policy implications for investors, managers, and regulators in the US. We suggest that ESG investing is an important strategic catalyst for US firms.},
}
@article {pmid38462088,
year = {2024},
author = {Panneerselvam, B and Charoenlerkthawin, W and Ekkawatpanit, C and Namsai, M and Bidorn, B and Saravanan, S and Lu, XX},
title = {Climate change influences on the streamflow and sediment supply to the Chao Phraya River basin, Thailand.},
journal = {Environmental research},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {118638},
doi = {10.1016/j.envres.2024.118638},
pmid = {38462088},
issn = {1096-0953},
abstract = {This study investigates the effects of climate change on the sediment loads of the Ping and Wang River basins and their contribution to the sediment dynamics of the lower Chao Phraya River basin in Thailand. The various climate models under different Representative Concentration Pathways (RCPs) scenarios are employed to project sediment loads in future. The findings indicate a significant increase in river flow approximately 20% in the Ping River (PR) and 35% in the Wang River (WR) by the mid-21st century and continuing into the distant future. Consequently, this is expected to result in sediment loads up to 0.33 × 10[6] t/y in the PR and 0.28 × 10[6] t/y in the WR. This escalation is particularly notable under the RCP 8.5 scenario, which assumes higher greenhouse gas emissions. Additionally, the research provides insights into the potential positive implications for the Chao Phraya Delta's coastal management. Without further damming in the Ping and Wang River basins, the anticipated rise in sediment supply could aid in mitigating the adverse effects of land subsidence and sea-level rise, which have historically caused extensive shoreline retreat in the delta region, particularly around Bangkok Metropolis. The paper concludes that proactive adaptation strategies are required to manage the expected changes in the hydrological and sediment regimes to protect vulnerable coastal zones and ensure the sustainable management of the Chao Phraya River Basin in the face of climate change.},
}
@article {pmid38463717,
year = {2022},
author = {Zavaleta-Cortijo, C and Cade, J and Ford, J and Greenwood, DC and Carcamo, C and Silvera-Ccallo, R and Fernandez-Neyra, C and Lancha-Rucoba, G and Pizango-Tangoa, M and Pizango-Inuma, R and Chanchari-Huiñapi, J and Velez-Quevedo, J and Inuma-Tangoa, N and Antazu, T and Miranda-Cuadros, M and Aparco, JP and Aro-Guardia, P and Verastegui, M and Morales-Ancajima, V and Bressan, T and Miranda, JJ},
title = {Does food biodiversity protect against malnutrition and favour the resilience to climate change-related events in Amazon Indigenous communities? A protocol for a mixed methods study.},
journal = {Wellcome open research},
volume = {7},
number = {},
pages = {246},
pmid = {38463717},
issn = {2398-502X},
abstract = {Background : Undernutrition is projected to be a major consequence of climate change. Biodiversity could enhance climate change resilience by improving nutritional outcomes and providing healthy food resources during and/or after climate-related events. For Indigenous populations who currently base their diet on local biodiversity, rapid climate changes may affect their ability to produce, access or gather food and consequently impact their nutritional status. There is a knowledge gap regarding whether nutritional status among Indigenous populations is better among those who consume a diet with greater biodiversity than those who have a diet with low biodiversity. Objective : This study aims to investigate the role of food biodiversity (FBD) in nutritional resilience to extreme flooding events of Shawi Amazon Indigenous adults living in Peruvian communities that have experienced extreme floods in the past five years. Methods : This study will use a mixed-method sequential explanatory design. The quantitative component includes a cross-sectional survey to assess the association between food biodiversity (FBD) and the prevalence of anaemia in adults aged 15 to 60 years old (n=365). Anaemia will be evaluated using blood hemoglobin and serum ferritin. FBD will be measured with a food frequency questionnaire and a 24-hour dietary recall. Soil-transmitted helminth infections, malaria, and inflammatory biomarkers will also be evaluated. The qualitative component will include a community-based participatory approach to investigate the role of FBD in the responses to extreme floods. Male (n=14) and female (n=14) participants, previously identified in the quantitative phase with high and low levels of FBD, will be invited to participate in a Photovoice activity and semi-structured interviews. A analytical framework for climate change resilience will be used to integrate the data. Discussion : Findings will be integrated to identify nutritional resilience indicators that can inform adaptative interventions to changing climatic conditions in the Amazon and that respect Indigenous worldviews.},
}
@article {pmid38461120,
year = {2024},
author = {Ocampo-Peñuela, N},
title = {Context-dependent bird body mass responses to climate change.},
journal = {Trends in ecology &amp; evolution},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1016/j.tree.2024.02.010},
pmid = {38461120},
issn = {1872-8383},
abstract = {Previous studies demonstrated decreasing body size of birds in response to rising temperatures. Recently, Neate-Clegg et al. documented that birds have been becoming larger in an Afromontane forest over four decades. This highlights the complexity of morphological responses to climate, the importance of context, and the need to study phenomena in a diversity of regions.},
}
@article {pmid38461016,
year = {2024},
author = {Gupta, S and Couillard, S and Digby, G and Tse, SM and Green, S and Penz, E},
title = {Climate Change and Inhaler Selection in Patients With Respiratory Disease.},
journal = {Chest},
volume = {165},
number = {3},
pages = {503-506},
doi = {10.1016/j.chest.2023.09.025},
pmid = {38461016},
issn = {1931-3543},
}
@article {pmid38460688,
year = {2024},
author = {Simantiris, N},
title = {The impact of climate change on sea turtles: Current knowledge, scientometrics, and mitigation strategies.},
journal = {The Science of the total environment},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {171354},
doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.171354},
pmid = {38460688},
issn = {1879-1026},
abstract = {Sea turtles are one of the most significant groups of marine species, playing a key role in the sustainability and conservation of marine ecosystems and the food chain. These emblematic species are threatened by several natural and anthropogenic pressures, and climate change is increasingly reported as one of the most important threats to sea turtles, affecting sea turtles at all stages of their life cycle and at both their marine and coastal habitats. The effect of climate change is expressed as global warming, sea-level rise, extreme storms, and alterations in predation and diseases' patterns, posing a potentially negative impact on sea turtles. In this systematic review, the author presented the current knowledge and research outcomes on the impact of climate change on sea turtles. Moreover, this study determined trends and hotspots in keywords, country collaborations, authors, and publications in the field through a scientometric analysis. Finally, this article reviewed proposed mitigation strategies by researchers, marine protected area (MPA) managers, and non-governmental organizations (NGOs) to reduce the impact of climate change on the conservation of sea turtles.},
}
@article {pmid38460328,
year = {2024},
author = {Guo, J and Li, FY and Tuvshintogtokh, I and Niu, J and Li, H and Shen, B and Wang, Y},
title = {Past dynamics and future prediction of the impacts of land use cover change and climate change on landscape ecological risk across the Mongolian plateau.},
journal = {Journal of environmental management},
volume = {355},
number = {},
pages = {120365},
doi = {10.1016/j.jenvman.2024.120365},
pmid = {38460328},
issn = {1095-8630},
abstract = {Land use/land cover (LULC) change and climate change are interconnected factors that affect the ecological environment. However, there is a lack of quantification of the impacts of LULC change and climate change on landscape ecological risk under different shared socioeconomic pathways and representative concentration pathways (SSP-RCP) on the Mongolian Plateau (MP). To fill this knowledge gap and understand the current and future challenges facing the MP's land ecological system, we conducted an evaluation and prediction of the effects of LULC change and climate change on landscape ecological risk using the landscape loss index model and random forest method, considering eight SSP-RCP coupling scenarios. Firstly, we selected MCD12Q1 as the optimal LULC product for studying landscape changes on the MP, comparing it with four other LULC products. We analyzed the diverging patterns of LULC change over the past two decades and observed significant differences between Mongolia and Inner Mongolia. The latter experienced more intense and extensive LULC change during this period, despite similar climate changes. Secondly, we assessed changes in landscape ecological risk and identified the main drivers of these changes over the past two decades using a landscape index model and random forest method. The highest-risk zone has gradually expanded, with a 30% increase compared to 2001. Lastly, we investigated different characteristics of LULC change under different scenarios by examining future LULC products simulated by the FLUS model. We also simulated the dynamics of landscape ecological risks under these scenarios and proposed an adaptive development strategy to promote sustainable development in the MP. In terms of the impact of climate change on landscape ecological risk, we found that under the same SSP scenario, increasing RCP emission concentrations significantly increased the areas with high landscape ecological risk while decreasing areas with low risk. By integrating quantitative assessments and scenario-based modeling, our study provides valuable insights for informing sustainable land management and policy decisions in the region.},
}
@article {pmid38459374,
year = {2024},
author = {Chaikin, S and Riva, F and Marshall, KE and Lessard, JP and Belmaker, J},
title = {Marine fishes experiencing high-velocity range shifts may not be climate change winners.},
journal = {Nature ecology &amp; evolution},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
pmid = {38459374},
issn = {2397-334X},
support = {RGPIN-2019-04239//Canadian Network for Research and Innovation in Machining Technology, Natural Sciences and Engineering Research Council of Canada (NSERC Canadian Network for Research and Innovation in Machining Technology)/ ; 101060072//EC | European Commission - Executive Agency for SMEs | Competitiveness of Enterprises and Small and Medium-sized Enterprises (COSME)/ ; },
abstract = {Climate change is driving the global redistribution of species. A common assumption is that rapid range shifts occur in tandem with overall stable or positive abundance trends throughout the range and thus these species may be considered as climate change 'winners'. However, although establishing the link between range shift velocities and population trends is crucial for predicting climate change impacts it has not been empirically tested. Using 2,572 estimates of changes in marine fish abundance spread across the world's oceans, we show that poleward range shifts are not necessarily associated with positive population trends. Species experiencing high-velocity range shifts seem to experience local population declines irrespective of the position throughout the species range. High range shift velocities of 17 km yr[-1] are associated with a 50% decrease in population sizes over a period of 10 yr, which is dramatic compared to the overall stable population trends in non-shifting species. This pattern, however, mostly occurs in populations located in the poleward, colder, portion of the species range. The lack of a positive association between poleward range shift velocities and population trends at the coldest portion of the range contrasts with the view that rapid range shifts safeguard against local population declines. Instead, our work suggests that marine fishes experiencing rapid range shifts could be more vulnerable to climatic change and therefore should be carefully assessed for conservation status.},
}
@article {pmid38459284,
year = {2024},
author = {Li, L and Peng, Q and Li, Z and Cai, H},
title = {Evolution of drought characteristics and propagation from meteorological to agricultural drought under the influences of climate change and human activities.},
journal = {Environmental science and pollution research international},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
pmid = {38459284},
issn = {1614-7499},
support = {2021YFD1900700//National Key R&amp;D Program of China/ ; 52179046//National Natural Science of China/ ; },
abstract = {Understanding the propagation of agricultural droughts (AD) is important to comprehensively assess drought events and develop early warning systems. The present study aims to assess the impacts of climate change and human activities on drought characteristics and propagation from meteorological drought (MD) to AD in the Yellow River Basin (YRB) over the 1950-2021 period using the Standardized Precipitation Evapotranspiration Index (SPEI) and Standardized Soil Moisture Index (SSMI). In total, the YRB was classified into three groups of catchments for spring wheat and four groups of catchments for winter wheat based on different human influence degrees (HId). In addition, the entire study period was divided into periods with natural (NP), low (LP), and high (HP) impacts of human activities, corresponding to 1950-1971, 1972-1995, and 1996-2021, respectively. The results demonstrated the significance and credibility of the application of the natural and human-impacted catchment comparison method for drought characteristics and propagation from meteorological to agricultural drought in the YRB. Winter wheat showed a more pronounced drying trend than spring wheat under both MD and AD. The results showed meteorological drought intensity (MDI) and agricultural drought intensity (ADI) intensified for spring and winter wheat in NP, with correspondingly a short propagation time, followed by those in the LP and HP in catchments minimally impacted by human activities. On the other hand, increases in the MDI and ADI, as well as in their times, for both spring and winter wheat were observed from the LP to the HP in all catchments. The MDI, ADI, and their propagation times for winter wheat generally showed greater fluctuations than those for spring wheat. Human activities increasingly prolonged the drought propagation time. In contrast, climate change insignificantly shortened the drought propagation time.},
}
@article {pmid38458942,
year = {2024},
author = {Campos, L and Chimeno-Viñas, MM and Carretero-Gómez, J and Santos, L and Cabrera-Rayo, A and Valdez, PR and Gómez-Huelgas, R and , },
title = {Recommendations of the Spanish-Portuguese Internal Medicine services in the fight against climate change and environmental degradation.},
journal = {Revista clinica espanola},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1016/j.rceng.2024.02.005},
pmid = {38458942},
issn = {2254-8874},
abstract = {Facing the severity of the impact of climate change and environmental degradation on human health, 32 Internal Medicine societies, colleges, and associations of 29 Spanish and Portuguese-speaking countries issue a consensus document in which they call for the implication of doctors and all health professionals in the global fight against the causes of these changes. This commitment requires the cooperation of health-related organizations, elaboration and implementation of good environmental sustainability practices, greater awareness of professionals and population, promotion of education and research in this area, increasing climate resilience and environmental sustainability of health systems, combating inequalities and protecting the most vulnerable populations, adopting behaviors that protect the environment, and claiming Internal Medicine as a core specialty for empowerment of the health system to respond to these challenges.},
}
@article {pmid38456714,
year = {2024},
author = {},
title = {Waterborne Diseases That Are Sensitive to Climate Variability and Climate Change.},
journal = {The Pediatric infectious disease journal},
volume = {43},
number = {4},
pages = {354},
doi = {10.1097/INF.0000000000004276},
pmid = {38456714},
issn = {1532-0987},
}
@article {pmid38455535,
year = {2024},
author = {Haider, S and Karim, MR and Islam, MS and Megumi, TA and Rahnama, QS},
title = {Extreme weather events and Spatio-temporal characterization of climate change variables in Bangladesh during 1975-2019.},
journal = {Heliyon},
volume = {10},
number = {5},
pages = {e27118},
doi = {10.1016/j.heliyon.2024.e27118},
pmid = {38455535},
issn = {2405-8440},
abstract = {Bangladesh is susceptible to climate change, thus a detailed study, including the analyses of trends, sub-trends, extreme events and indices was conducted to obtain a complete picture of the climate change pattern in Bangladesh utilizing daily rainfall, maximum, minimum and average temperature data of 26 stations from 1975 to 2019 using R 4.0.2 software. For the trend analysis Mann Kendal (MK), modified Mann Kendall (mMK), Innovative Trend Analysis (ITA) and Sen's slope methods were used. Sub-trend analysis was conducted using ITA. Standard Anomaly Index (SAI) has been used to identify the frequency and severity of extreme events. ClimPACT2 software was used to check the homogeneity and calculate the extremes of temperature and rainfall data. Our analysis showed that during the last four decades, climate variables changed their patterns and trend heterogeneously over Bangladesh. Most stations showed decremental rainfall trend when central part of the country showed a substantial decrease. The northern and central parts of the country showed significant growth of trend for annual average temperature. The temperature in the monsoon season increased, whereas those in dry season decreased. The rainfall and maximum temperature were inversely related during monsoon whereas during dry season both of them decrease. The pre-monsoon and post-monsoonal rainfall also showed decreasing trends, indicating prevailing drought conditions especially in northern and central parts of the country. The SAI analysis showed alternating drought and wet years in almost all the stations. In the past 20 years, the country's western region experienced more drought years than before whereas the coastal region experienced more wet years. The analysis of climate extreme indices suggests that, Consecutive Dry Days (CDD), Hot Days (TX90P) and Hot Nights (TN90P) show significant increasing trend throughout the country. The agricultural productivity, water resource management and food security are anticipated to benefit from this study.},
}
@article {pmid38454541,
year = {2024},
author = {Carlassara, M and Khorramnejad, A and Oker, H and Bahrami, R and Lozada-Chávez, AN and Mancini, MV and Quaranta, S and Body, MJA and Lahondère, C and Bonizzoni, M},
title = {Population-specific responses to developmental temperature in the arboviral vector Aedes albopictus: Implications for climate change.},
journal = {Global change biology},
volume = {30},
number = {3},
pages = {e17226},
doi = {10.1111/gcb.17226},
pmid = {38454541},
issn = {1365-2486},
support = {//2022J45MLL/ ; PE00000007//NextGeneration EU-MUR PNRR Extended Partnership/ ; },
abstract = {The increase of environmental temperature due to current global warming is not only favouring the expansion of the distribution range of many insect species, but it is also changing their phenology. Insect phenology is tightly linked to developmental timing, which is regulated by environmental temperatures. However, the degree to which the effects of developmental temperatures extend across developmental stages and their inter-stage relationships have not been thoroughly quantified in mosquitoes. Here, we used the mosquito Aedes albopictus, which is an aggressive invasive species and an arboviral vector, to study how developmental temperature influences fitness across developmental stages, thermal traits, energy reserves, transcriptome and Wolbachia prevalence in laboratory-reared populations originally collected from either temperate or tropical regions. We show that hatchability, larval and pupal viability and developmental speed are strongly influenced by temperature, and these effects extend to wing length, body mass, longevity and content of water, protein and lipids in adults in a population-specific manner. On the contrary, neither adult thermal preference nor heat resistance significantly change with temperature. Wolbachia density was generally lower in adult mosquitoes reared at 18°C than at other tested temperatures, and transcriptome analysis showed enrichment for functions linked to stress responses (i.e. cuticle proteins and chitin, cytochrome p450 and heat shock proteins) in mosquitoes reared at both 18 and 32°C. Our data showed an overall reduced vector fitness performance when mosquitoes were reared at 32°C, and the absence of isomorphy in the relationship between developmental stages and temperature in the laboratory population deriving from larvae collected in northern Italy. Altogether, these results have important implications for reliable model projections of the invasion potentials of Ae. albopictus and its epidemiological impact.},
}
@article {pmid38454097,
year = {2024},
author = {Hutmacher, F and Reichardt, R and Appel, M},
title = {Motivated reasoning about climate change and the influence of Numeracy, Need for Cognition, and the Dark Factor of Personality.},
journal = {Scientific reports},
volume = {14},
number = {1},
pages = {5615},
pmid = {38454097},
issn = {2045-2322},
abstract = {Human information processing is not always rational but influenced by prior attitudes, a phenomenon commonly known as motivated reasoning. We conducted two studies (N1 = 556, N2 = 1198; UK samples) investigating motivated reasoning in the context of climate change with a focus on individual differences as potential moderating factors. While previous research investigated motivated reasoning regarding the debate whether climate change is anthropogenic, we focused on current discourses about the effectiveness of different countermeasures. To this end, participants evaluated fictitious scientific data on the effectiveness of regulations to reduce CO2 emissions. In both studies, participants exhibited motivated reasoning as indicated by the observation that prior attitudes about CO2 reduction policies predicted evaluation of the scientific data. The degree of motivated reasoning was not related to individual difference variables, namely the ability to understand and reason with numbers (Numeracy), the willingness to show this ability (Need for Cognition), and the tendency to maximize one's individual utility (Dark Factor of Personality). However, numeracy was associated with a less biased interpretation of the presented information. Our research demonstrates that motivated reasoning is a general phenomenon, and points to numerical training as one way to improve reasoning.},
}
@article {pmid38456148,
year = {2022},
author = {Masri, S and Jin, Y and Wu, J},
title = {Compound Risk of Air Pollution and Heat Days and the Influence of Wildfire by SES across California, 2018-2020: Implications for Environmental Justice in the Context of Climate Change.},
journal = {Climate (Basel, Switzerland)},
volume = {10},
number = {10},
pages = {},
doi = {10.3390/cli10100145},
pmid = {38456148},
issn = {2225-1154},
abstract = {Major wildfires and heatwaves have begun to increase in frequency throughout much of the United States, particularly in western states such as California, causing increased risk to public health. Air pollution is exacerbated by both wildfires and warmer temperatures, thus adding to such risk. With climate change and the continued increase in global average temperatures, the frequency of major wildfires, heat days, and unhealthy air pollution episodes is projected to increase, resulting in the potential for compounding risks. Risks will likely vary by region and may disproportionately impact low-income communities and communities of color. In this study, we processed daily particulate matter (PM) data from over 18,000 low-cost PurpleAir sensors, along with gridMET daily maximum temperature data and government-compiled wildfire perimeter data from 2018-2020 in order to examine the occurrence of compound risk (CR) days (characterized by high temperature and high PM2.5) at the census tract level in California, and to understand how such days have been impacted by the occurrence of wildfires. Using American Community Survey data, we also examined the extent to which CR days were correlated with household income, race/ethnicity, education, and other socioeconomic factors at the census tract level. Results showed census tracts with a higher frequency of CR days to have statistically higher rates of poverty and unemployment, along with high proportions of child residents and households without computers. The frequency of CR days and elevated daily PM2.5 concentrations appeared to be strongly related to the occurrence of nearby wildfires, with over 20% of days with sensor-measured average PM2.5 > 35 μg/m[3] showing a wildfire within a 100 km radius and over two-thirds of estimated CR days falling on such days with a nearby wildfire. Findings from this study are important to policymakers and government agencies who preside over the allocation of state resources as well as organizations seeking to empower residents and establish climate resilient communities.},
}
@article {pmid38455276,
year = {2022},
author = {Islam, MR and Bulut, U and Feria-Arroyo, TP and Tyshenko, MG and Oraby, T},
title = {Modeling the Impact of Climate Change on Cervid Chronic Wasting Disease in Semi-Arid South Texas.},
journal = {Frontiers in epidemiology},
volume = {2},
number = {},
pages = {889280},
doi = {10.3389/fepid.2022.889280},
pmid = {38455276},
issn = {2674-1199},
abstract = {Chronic wasting disease (CWD) is a spongiform encephalopathy disease caused by the transmission of infectious prion agents. CWD is a fatal disease that affects wild and farmed cervids in North America with few cases reported overseas. Social interaction of cervids, feeding practices by wildlife keepers and climate effects on the environmental carrying capacity all can affect CWD transmission in deer. Wildlife deer game hunting is economically important to the semi-arid South Texas region and is affected by climate change. In this paper, we model and investigate the effect of climate change on the spread of CWD using typical climate scenarios. We use a system of impulsive differential equations to depict the transmission of CWD between different age groups and gender of cervids. The carrying capacity and contact rates are assumed to depend on climate. Due to the polygamy of bucks, we use mating rates that depend on the number of bucks and does. We analyze the stability of the model and use simulations to study the effect of harvesting (culling) on eradicating the disease, given the climate of South Texas. We use typical climate change scenarios based on published data and our assumptions. For the climate indicator, we calculated and utilized the Standard Precipitation Evapotranspiration Index (SPEI). We found that climate change might hinder the efforts to reduce and effectively manage CWD as it becomes endemic to South Texas. The model shows the extinction of the deer population from this region is a likely outcome.},
}
@article {pmid38453382,
year = {2024},
author = {Martinez, PA and Teixeira, IBDF and Siqueira-Silva, T and da Silva, FFB and Lima, LAG and Chaves-Silveira, J and Olalla-Tárraga, M&#xc5; and Gutiérrez, JM and Amado, TF},
title = {Climate change-related distributional range shifts of venomous snakes: a predictive modelling study of effects on public health and biodiversity.},
journal = {The Lancet. Planetary health},
volume = {8},
number = {3},
pages = {e163-e171},
doi = {10.1016/S2542-5196(24)00005-6},
pmid = {38453382},
issn = {2542-5196},
abstract = {BACKGROUND: Climate change is expected to have profound effects on the distribution of venomous snake species, including reductions in biodiversity and changes in patterns of envenomation of humans and domestic animals. We estimated the effect of future climate change on the distribution of venomous snake species and potential knock-on effects on biodiversity and public health.<br><br>METHODS: We built species distribution models based on the geographical distribution of 209 medically relevant venomous snake species (WHO categories 1 and 2) and present climatic variables, and used these models to project the potential distribution of species in 2070. We incorporated different future climatic scenarios into the model, which we used to estimate the loss and gain of areas potentially suitable for each species. We also assessed which countries were likely to gain new species in the future as a result of species crossing national borders. We integrated the species distribution models with different socioeconomic scenarios to estimate which countries would become more vulnerable to snakebites in 2070.<br><br>FINDINGS: Our results suggest that substantial losses of potentially suitable areas for the survival of most venomous snake species will occur by 2070. However, some species of high risk to public health could gain climatically suitable areas for habitation. Countries such as Niger, Namibia, China, Nepal, and Myanmar could potentially gain several venomous snake species from neighbouring countries. Furthermore, the combination of an increase in climatically suitable areas and socioeconomic factors (including low-income and high rural populations) means that southeast Asia and Africa (and countries including Uganda, Kenya, Bangladesh, India, and Thailand in particular) could have increased vulnerability to snakebites in the future, with potential effects on public human and veterinary health.<br><br>INTERPRETATION: Loss of venomous snake biodiversity in low-income countries will affect ecosystem functioning and result in the loss of valuable genetic resources. Additionally, climate change will create new challenges to public health in several low-income countries, particularly in southeast Asia and Africa. The international community needs to increase its efforts to counter the effects of climate change in the coming decades.<br><br>FUNDING: German Research Foundation, Conselho Nacional de Desenvolvimento Cient&#xed;fico e Tecnol&#xf3;gico, Coordena&#xe7;&#xe3;o de Aperfei&#xe7;oamento de Pessoal de N&#xed;vel Superior, German Centre for Integrative Biodiversity Research, Ministerio de Ciencia e Innovaci&#xf3;n de Espa&#xf1;a, European Regional Development Fund.},
}
@article {pmid38452750,
year = {2024},
author = {Bowman, WS and Schmidt, RJ and Sanghar, GK and Thompson Iii, GR and Ji, H and Zeki, AA and Haczku, A},
title = {"Air That Once Was Breath" Part 1: Wildfire-Smoke-Induced Mechanisms of Airway Inflammation - "Climate Change, Allergy and Immunology" Special IAAI Article Collection: Collegium Internationale Allergologicum Update 2023.},
journal = {International archives of allergy and immunology},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {1-17},
doi = {10.1159/000536578},
pmid = {38452750},
issn = {1423-0097},
abstract = {BACKGROUND: Wildfires are a global concern due to their wide-ranging environmental, economic, and public health impacts. Climate change contributes to an increase in the frequency and intensity of wildfires making smoke exposure a more significant and recurring health concern for individuals with airway diseases. Some of the most prominent effects of wildfire smoke exposure are asthma exacerbations and allergic airway sensitization. Likely due to the delayed recognition of its health impacts in comparison with cigarette smoke and industrial or traffic-related air pollution, research on the composition, the mechanisms of toxicity, and the cellular/molecular pathways involved is poor or non-existent.<br><br>SUMMARY: This review discusses potential underlying pathological mechanisms of wildfire-smoke-related allergic airway disease and asthma. We focused on major gaps in understanding the role of wildfire smoke composition in the development of airway disease and the known and potential mechanisms involving cellular and molecular players of oxidative injury at the epithelial barrier in airway inflammation. We examine how PM2.5, VOCs, O3, endotoxin, microbes, and toxic gases may affect oxidative stress and inflammation in the respiratory mucosal barrier. We discuss the role of AhR in mediating smoke's effects in alarmin release and IL-17A production and how glucocorticoid responsiveness may be impaired by IL-17A-induced signaling and epigenetic changes leading to steroid-resistant severe airway inflammation.<br><br>KEY MESSAGE: Effective mitigation of wildfire-smoke-related respiratory health effects would require comprehensive research efforts aimed at a better understanding of the immune regulatory effects of wildfire smoke in respiratory health and disease.},
}
@article {pmid38452511,
year = {2024},
author = {Katsaros, K and Marggraf, C and Ebi, KL and Buyana, K and Hashizume, M and Lung, SC and Murray, V and Thiam, S and Huang-Lachmann, JT},
title = {Exploring interconnections: A comprehensive multi-country analysis of climate change, energy demand, long-term care, and health of older adults.},
journal = {Maturitas},
volume = {184},
number = {},
pages = {107961},
doi = {10.1016/j.maturitas.2024.107961},
pmid = {38452511},
issn = {1873-4111},
abstract = {Challenges faced by many countries are energy insecurity, climate change, and the health and long-term care of growing numbers of older people. These challenges are increasingly intersecting with rising energy prices, aging populations, and an increased frequency and intensity of extreme climate events. This paper gives a deeper understanding of the current and predicted interconnections among these challenges through narrative-driven content and thematic analysis from workshops with a diverse group of international stakeholders from the Global North and Global South. Narratives emerged highlighting a complex nexus of interconnections and presenting critical action areas. Targeted local and global policies and interventions are needed to alleviate stress on health systems, encourage the integrated uptake of clean energy sources, and uphold social justice across all economies. Professionals can use this work to inform the design and implementation of effective interventions and increase the resilience of older adults by better preparing for systemic risks.},
}
@article {pmid38453519,
year = {2024},
author = {Kaseya, J and Dereje, N and Tajudeen, R and Ngongo, AN and Ndembi, N and Fallah, MP},
title = {Climate change and malaria, dengue and cholera outbreaks in Africa: a call for concerted actions.},
journal = {BMJ global health},
volume = {9},
number = {3},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1136/bmjgh-2024-015370},
pmid = {38453519},
issn = {2059-7908},
}
@article {pmid38452300,
year = {2024},
author = {Fielding, JE},
title = {Our Catastrophe in Waiting: Climate Change.},
journal = {American journal of public health},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {e1-e3},
doi = {10.2105/AJPH.2024.307575},
pmid = {38452300},
issn = {1541-0048},
}
@article {pmid38452067,
year = {2024},
author = {Malanoski, CM and Farnsworth, A and Lunt, DJ and Valdes, PJ and Saupe, EE},
title = {Climate change is an important predictor of extinction risk on macroevolutionary timescales.},
journal = {Science (New York, N.Y.)},
volume = {383},
number = {6687},
pages = {1130-1134},
doi = {10.1126/science.adj5763},
pmid = {38452067},
issn = {1095-9203},
abstract = {Anthropogenic climate change is increasing rapidly and already impacting biodiversity. Despite its importance in future projections, understanding of the underlying mechanisms by which climate mediates extinction remains limited. We present an integrated approach examining the role of intrinsic traits versus extrinsic climate change in mediating extinction risk for marine invertebrates over the past 485 million years. We found that a combination of physiological traits and the magnitude of climate change is necessary to explain marine invertebrate extinction patterns. Our results suggest that taxa previously identified as extinction resistant may still succumb to extinction if the magnitude of climate change is great enough.},
}
@article {pmid38451371,
year = {2024},
author = {Torsoni, GB and de Oliveira Aparecido, LE and Lorençone, PA and Lorençone, JA and de Lima, RF and de Souza Rolim, G},
title = {Climatic zoning of yerba mate and climate change projections: a CMIP6 approach.},
journal = {International journal of biometeorology},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
pmid = {38451371},
issn = {1432-1254},
abstract = {Yerba mate (Ilex paraguariensis) is renowned for its nutritional and pharmaceutical attributes. A staple in South American (SA) culture, it serves as the foundation for several traditional beverages. Significantly, the pharmaceutical domain has secured numerous patents associated with this plant's distinctive properties. This research delves into the climatic influence on yerba mate by leveraging the CMIP6 model projections to assess potential shifts brought about by climate change. Given its economic and socio-cultural significance, comprehending how climate change might sway yerba mate's production and distribution is pivotal. The CMIP6 model offers insights into future conditions, pinpointing areas that are either conducive or adverse for yerba mate cultivation. Our findings will be instrumental in crafting adaptive and mitigative strategies, thereby directing sustainable production planning for yerba mate. The core objective of this study was to highlight zones optimal for Ilex paraguariensis cultivation across its major producers: Brazil, Argentina, Paraguay, and Uruguay, under CMIP6's climate change forecasts. Our investigation encompassed major producing zones spanning the North, Northeast, Midwest, Southeast, and South of Brazil, along with the aforementioned countries. A conducive environment for this crop's growth features air temperatures between 21 to 25 °C and a minimum precipitation of 1200 mm per cycle. We sourced the current climate data from the WorldClim version 2 platform. Meanwhile, projections for future climatic parameters were derived from WorldClim 2.1, utilizing the IPSL-CM6A-LR model with a refined 30-s spatial resolution. We took into account four distinct socio-economic pathways over varying timelines: 2021-2040, 2041-2060, 2061-2081, and 2081-2100. Geographic information system data aided in the spatial interpolation across Brazil, applying the Kriging technique. The outcomes revealed a majority of the examined areas as non-conducive for yerba mate cultivation, with a scanty 12.25% (1.5 million km[2]) deemed favorable. Predominantly, these propitious regions lie in southern Brazil and Uruguay, the present-day primary producers of yerba mate. Alarming was the discovery that forthcoming climatic scenarios predominantly forecast detrimental shifts, characterized by escalating average air temperatures and diminishing rainfall. These trends portend a decline in suitable cultivation regions for yerba mate.},
}
@article {pmid38450925,
year = {2024},
author = {Vacquié-Garcia, J and Spitz, J and Hammill, M and Stenson, GB and Kovacs, KM and Lydersen, C and Chimienti, M and Renaud, M and Méndez Fernandez, P and Jeanniard du Dot, T},
title = {Foraging habits of Northwest Atlantic hooded seals over the past 30 years: Future habitat suitability under global warming.},
journal = {Global change biology},
volume = {30},
number = {3},
pages = {e17186},
doi = {10.1111/gcb.17186},
pmid = {38450925},
issn = {1365-2486},
support = {//Conseil Regional Aquitaine (ECOMM Excellence Chair)/ ; },
abstract = {The Arctic is a global warming 'hot-spot' that is experiencing rapid increases in air and ocean temperatures and concomitant decreases in sea ice cover. These environmental changes are having major consequences on Arctic ecosystems. All Arctic endemic marine mammals are highly dependent on ice-associated ecosystems for at least part of their life cycle and thus are sensitive to the changes occurring in their habitats. Understanding the biological consequences of changes in these environments is essential for ecosystem management and conservation. However, our ability to study climate change impacts on Arctic marine mammals is generally limited by the lack of sufficiently long data time series. In this study, we took advantage of a unique dataset on hooded seal (Cystophora cristata) movements (and serum samples) that spans more than 30 years in the Northwest Atlantic to (i) investigate foraging (distribution and habitat use) and dietary (trophic level of prey and location) habits over the last three decades and (ii) predict future locations of suitable habitat given a projected global warming scenario. We found that, despite a change in isotopic signatures that might suggest prey changes over the 30-year period, hooded seals from the Northwest Atlantic appeared to target similar oceanographic characteristics throughout the study period. However, over decades, they have moved northward to find food. Somewhat surprisingly, foraging habits differed between seals breeding in the Gulf of St Lawrence vs those breeding at the "Front" (off Newfoundland). Seals from the Gulf favoured colder waters while Front seals favoured warmer waters. We predict that foraging habitats for hooded seals will continue to shift northwards and that Front seals are likely to have the greatest resilience. This study shows how hooded seals are responding to rapid environmental change and provides an indication of future trends for the species-information essential for effective ecosystem management and conservation.},
}
@article {pmid38450832,
year = {2024},
author = {Zapata-Hernández, G and Gajardo-Rojas, M and Calderón-Seguel, M and Muñoz, AA and Yáñez, KP and Requier, F and Fontúrbel, FE and Ormeño-Arriagada, PI and Arrieta, H},
title = {Advances and knowledge gaps on climate change impacts on honey bees and beekeeping: A systematic review.},
journal = {Global change biology},
volume = {30},
number = {3},
pages = {e17219},
doi = {10.1111/gcb.17219},
pmid = {38450832},
issn = {1365-2486},
support = {ANID - FONDEF ID21I10422//Comisi&#xf3;n Nacional de Investigaci&#xf3;n Cient&#xed;fica y Tecnol&#xf3;gica/ ; ANID - FSEQ210033//Comisi&#xf3;n Nacional de Investigaci&#xf3;n Cient&#xed;fica y Tecnol&#xf3;gica/ ; FONDAP-ANID 1522A0001//Comisi&#xf3;n Nacional de Investigaci&#xf3;n Cient&#xed;fica y Tecnol&#xf3;gica/ ; //Pontificia Universidad Cat&#xf3;lica de Valpara&#xed;so/ ; },
abstract = {The Western honey bee Apis mellifera is a managed species that provides diverse hive products and contributing to wild plant pollination, as well as being a critical component of crop pollination systems worldwide. High mortality rates have been reported in different continents attributed to different factors, including pesticides, pests, diseases, and lack of floral resources. Furthermore, climate change has been identified as a potential driver negatively impacting pollinators, but it is still unclear how it could affect honey bee populations. In this context, we carried out a systematic review to synthesize the effects of climate change on honey bees and beekeeping activities. A total of 90 articles were identified, providing insight into potential impacts (negative, neutral, and positive) on honey bees and beekeeping. Interest in climate change's impact on honey bees has increased in the last decade, with studies mainly focusing on honey bee individuals, using empirical and experimental approaches, and performed at short-spatial (<10 km) and temporal (<5 years) scales. Moreover, environmental analyses were mainly based on short-term data (weather) and concentrated on only a few countries. Environmental variables such as temperature, precipitation, and wind were widely studied and had generalized negative effects on different biological and ecological aspects of honey bees. Food reserves, plant-pollinator networks, mortality, gene expression, and metabolism were negatively impacted. Knowledge gaps included a lack of studies at the apiary and beekeeper level, a limited number of predictive and perception studies, poor representation of large-spatial and mid-term scales, a lack of climate analysis, and a poor understanding of the potential impacts of pests and diseases. Finally, climate change's impacts on global beekeeping are still an emergent issue. This is mainly due to their diverse effects on honey bees and the potential necessity of implementing adaptation measures to sustain this activity under complex environmental scenarios.},
}
@article {pmid38450825,
year = {2024},
author = {Journeaux, KL and Boddy, L and Rowland, L and Hartley, IP},
title = {A positive feedback to climate change: The effect of temperature on the respiration of key wood-decomposing fungi does not decline with time.},
journal = {Global change biology},
volume = {30},
number = {3},
pages = {e17212},
doi = {10.1111/gcb.17212},
pmid = {38450825},
issn = {1365-2486},
support = {NE/L002434/1//Natural Environment Research Council/ ; },
abstract = {Heterotrophic soil microorganisms are responsible for ~50% of the carbon dioxide released by respiration from the terrestrial biosphere each year. The respiratory response of soil microbial communities to warming, and the control mechanisms, remains uncertain, yet is critical to understanding the future land carbon (C)-climate feedback. Individuals of nine species of fungi decomposing wood were exposed to 90 days of cooling to evaluate the medium-term effect of temperature on respiration. Overall, the effect of temperature on respiration increased in the medium term, with no evidence of compensation. However, the increasing effect of temperature on respiration was lost after correcting for changes in biomass. These results indicate that C loss through respiration of wood-decomposing fungi will increase beyond the direct effects of temperature on respiration, potentially promoting greater C losses from terrestrial ecosystems and a positive feedback to climate change.},
}
@article {pmid38448240,
year = {2024},
author = {de Jarnette, J},
title = {Climate Change Psychological Distress: An Underdiagnosed Cause of Mental Health Disturbances.},
journal = {Journal of the American Board of Family Medicine : JABFM},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.3122/jabfm.2023.230169R1},
pmid = {38448240},
issn = {1558-7118},
abstract = {The majority of climate change research and policy centers around the physical health effects of planetary degradation. The mental health impacts of climate change are just now starting to be elucidated and discussed more commonly among mental health providers and policymakers. There is a huge area of opportunity in primary care to discuss and address climate anxiety in patients, many of whom may not be forthcoming in discussing how climate anxiety is contributing to their mental health.},
}
@article {pmid38447729,
year = {2024},
author = {Borchers-Arriagada, N and Schulz-Antipa, P and Conte-Grand, M},
title = {Future fire-smoke PM2.5 health burden under climate change in Paraguay.},
journal = {The Science of the total environment},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {171356},
doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.171356},
pmid = {38447729},
issn = {1879-1026},
abstract = {Recent years have seen a rise in wildfire and extreme weather activity across the globe, which is projected to keep increasing with climate-induced conditions. Air pollution, especially fine particulate matter (PM2.5) concentration, is heavily affected by PM2.5 emissions from wildfire activity. Paraguay has been historically suffering from fires, with an average of 2.3 million hectares burnt per year during the 2003-2021 period. Annual PM2.5 concentration in Paraguay is 13.2 μg/m[3], more than double the recommended by the WHO. We estimate that, historically, almost 40 % of fine air particulates can be attributed to fires. Using a random forest algorithm, we estimated future fire activity and fire related PM2.5 under different climate change scenarios. With global warming, we calculated that fire activity could increase by up to 120 % by 2100. Annual fire smoke PM2.5 from fires is expected to increase by 7.7 μg/m[3] by 2100. Under these conditions, Paraguay is expected to suffer an increase in 3500 additional deaths per year attributable to fire smoke PM2.5 by 2100. We estimate the economic cost of fire smoke-related mortality by 2100 at US $ 5600 million, equivalent to 2.6 % of Paraguay's GDP, excluding other health- and productivity-related impacts on society.},
}
@article {pmid38447452,
year = {2024},
author = {Li, Z and Guo, X and Ma, Y and Hu, B and Yang, Y and Tian, H and Liu, X and Meng, N and Zhu, J and Yan, D and Song, H and Bao, B and Li, X and Dai, X and Zheng, Y and Jin, Y and Zheng, H},
title = {The hidden risk: Changes in functional potentials of microbial keystone taxa under global climate change jeopardizing soil carbon storage in alpine grasslands.},
journal = {Environment international},
volume = {185},
number = {},
pages = {108516},
doi = {10.1016/j.envint.2024.108516},
pmid = {38447452},
issn = {1873-6750},
abstract = {Climate change is endangering the soil carbon stock of alpine grasslands on the Qinghai-Tibetan Plateau (QTP), but the limited comprehension regarding the mechanisms that sustain carbon storage under hydrothermal changes increases the uncertainty associated with this finding. Here, we examined the relative abundance of soil microbial keystone taxa and their functional potentials, as well as their influence on soil carbon storage with increased precipitation across alpine grasslands on the QTP, China. The findings indicate that alterations in precipitation significantly decreased the relative abundance of the carbon degradation potentials of keystone taxa, such as chemoheterotrophs. The inclusion of keystone taxa and their internal functional potentials in the two best alternative models explained 70% and 63% of the variance in soil organic carbon (SOC) density, respectively. Moreover, we found that changes in chemoheterotrophs had negative effects on SOC density as indicated by a structural equation model, suggesting that some specialized functional potentials of keystone taxa are not conducive to the accumulation of carbon sink. Our study offers valuable insights into the intricate correlation between precipitation-induced alterations in soil microbial keystone taxa and SOC storage, highlighting a rough categorization is difficult to distinguish the hidden threats and the importance of incorporating functional potentials in SOC storage prediction models in response to changing climate.},
}
@article {pmid38448236,
year = {2024},
author = {Wolk, D and Porter, R},
title = {Climate Change and Policy Reforms: A View from the Primary Care Clinic.},
journal = {Journal of the American Board of Family Medicine : JABFM},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.3122/jabfm.2023.230209R1},
pmid = {38448236},
issn = {1558-7118},
}
@article {pmid38446893,
year = {2024},
author = {Devanand, A and Falster, GM and Gillett, ZE and Hobeichi, S and Holgate, CM and Jin, C and Mu, M and Parker, T and Rifai, SW and Rome, KS and Stojanovic, M and Vogel, E and Abram, NJ and Abramowitz, G and Coats, S and Evans, JP and Gallant, AJE and Pitman, AJ and Power, SB and Rauniyar, SP and Taschetto, AS and Ukkola, AM},
title = {Australia's Tinderbox Drought: An extreme natural event likely worsened by human-caused climate change.},
journal = {Science advances},
volume = {10},
number = {10},
pages = {eadj3460},
doi = {10.1126/sciadv.adj3460},
pmid = {38446893},
issn = {2375-2548},
abstract = {We examine the characteristics and causes of southeast Australia's Tinderbox Drought (2017 to 2019) that preceded the Black Summer fire disaster. The Tinderbox Drought was characterized by cool season rainfall deficits of around -50% in three consecutive years, which was exceptionally unlikely in the context of natural variability alone. The precipitation deficits were initiated and sustained by an anomalous atmospheric circulation that diverted oceanic moisture away from the region, despite traditional indicators of drought risk in southeast Australia generally being in neutral states. Moisture deficits were intensified by unusually high temperatures, high vapor pressure deficits, and sustained reductions in terrestrial water availability. Anthropogenic forcing intensified the rainfall deficits of the Tinderbox Drought by around 18% with an interquartile range of 34.9 to -13.3% highlighting the considerable uncertainty in attributing droughts of this kind to human activity. Skillful predictability of this drought was possible by incorporating multiple remote and local predictors through machine learning, providing prospects for improving forecasting of droughts.},
}
@article {pmid38446875,
year = {2024},
author = {Muhammad, A and Qureshi, AZ and Farhan, M and Oduoye, MO and Shehzad, F and Imran, M},
title = {Emergency trauma care: Pakistan's preparedness amidst the growing impact of rapid climate change.},
journal = {International journal of surgery (London, England)},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1097/JS9.0000000000001231},
pmid = {38446875},
issn = {1743-9159},
}
@article {pmid38444097,
year = {2024},
author = {Paek, HJ and Hove, T},
title = {Mechanisms of Climate Change Media Effects: Roles of Risk Perception, Negative Emotion, and Efficacy Beliefs.},
journal = {Health communication},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {1-10},
doi = {10.1080/10410236.2024.2324230},
pmid = {38444097},
issn = {1532-7027},
abstract = {In the context of climate change communication, this study explores the process through which exposure to media messages about a risk leads to recommended behavioral intentions. We propose a model of this process based on the Extended Parallel Process Model (EPPM) and the Risk Perception Attitude (RPA) framework. Our model analyzes how risk perception, negative emotion, and efficacy beliefs mediate and moderate the effects of media messages on people's intention to engage in pro-environmental behaviors. A national survey among 1,000 adults in South Korea was analyzed, and the fitting of PROCESS Models 4 and 15 yielded four main findings. First, media exposure was directly and positively related to risk perception, negative emotion, and pro-environmental behavioral intention. However, the significant relation between media exposure and behavioral intention was partly conditional upon efficacy beliefs. Second, risk perception and negative emotion were also significantly related to behavioral intention conditional upon efficacy beliefs. Third, efficacy beliefs significantly moderated the relation between risk perception and behavioral intention, but not between negative emotion and behavioral intention. Fourth, efficacy beliefs served as a moderator for the indirect effect of media exposure on behavioral intention via risk perception and negative emotion.},
}
@article {pmid38443699,
year = {2024},
author = {Kazemi Garajeh, M and Haji, F and Tohidfar, M and Sadeqi, A and Ahmadi, R and Kariminejad, N},
title = {Spatiotemporal monitoring of climate change impacts on water resources using an integrated approach of remote sensing and Google Earth Engine.},
journal = {Scientific reports},
volume = {14},
number = {1},
pages = {5469},
pmid = {38443699},
issn = {2045-2322},
abstract = {In this study, a data-driven approach employed by utilizing the product called JRC-Global surface water mapping layers V1.4 on the Google Earth Engine (GEE) to map and monitor the effects of climate change on surface water resources. Key climatic variables affecting water bodies, including air temperature (AT), actual evapotranspiration (ETa), and total precipitation, were analyzed from 2000 to 2021 using the temperature-vegetation index (TVX) and Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) products. The findings demonstrate a clear association between global warming and the shrinking of surface water resources in the LUB. According to the results, an increase in AT corresponded to a decrease in water surface area, highlighting the significant influence of AT and ETa on controlling the water surface in the LUB (partial rho of - 0.65 and - 0.68, respectively). Conversely, no significant relationship was found with precipitation and water surface area (partial rho of + 0.25). Notably, the results of the study indicate that over the past four decades, approximately 40% of the water bodies in the LUB remained permanent. This suggests a loss of around 30% of the permanent water resources, which have transitioned into seasonal water bodies, accounting for nearly 13% of the total. This research provides a comprehensive framework for monitoring surface water resource variations and assessing the impact of climate change on water resources. It aids in the development of sustainable water management strategies and plans, supporting the preservation and effective use of water resources.},
}
@article {pmid38443642,
year = {2024},
author = {Libonati, R},
title = {Megafires are here to stay - and blaming only climate change won't help.},
journal = {Nature},
volume = {627},
number = {8002},
pages = {10},
doi = {10.1038/d41586-024-00641-4},
pmid = {38443642},
issn = {1476-4687},
}
@article {pmid38438633,
year = {2024},
author = {de Alencar, AS and da F Lira, C and Rosado, BHP and de F Mansano, V},
title = {Twenty-five years of Open-Top Chambers in tropical environments: where, how, and what are we looking at regarding flora response to climate change?.},
journal = {Planta},
volume = {259},
number = {4},
pages = {82},
pmid = {38438633},
issn = {1432-2048},
abstract = {Open-Top Chambers should be more used in tropical ecosystems to study climate change effects in plants as they are still insufficient to extract plant response patterns in these ecosystems. Understanding flora response to climate change (CC) is critical for predicting future ecosystem dynamics. Open-Top Chambers (OTCs) have been widely used to study the effects of CC on plants and are very popular in temperate ecosystems but are still underused in tropical regions. In this systematic review, we aimed to discuss the use of OTCs in the study of the effects of different agents of climate change on tropical flora by presenting scientometric data, discussing the technical aspects of its use and enumerating some observations on plant response patterns to climatic alterations in the tropics. Our analysis indicated that the bottleneck in choosing an OTC shape is not strictly related to its purpose or the type of parameter modulated; instead, passive or active approaches seem to be a more sensitive point. The common critical point in using this technique in warmer regions is overheating and decoupling, but it can be overcome with simple adaptations and extra features. The most frequently parameter modulated was CO2, followed by O3 and temperature. The plant families with more representatives in the studies analyzed were Fabaceae, Myrtaceae, and Poaceae, and the most represented biome was tropical and subtropical moist broadleaf forests. In conclusion, OTCs are a valuable and feasible tool to study CC effects on various tropical ecosystems, regardless of structure, active/passive approach, or other technical features. One of the primary advantages of this methodology is its applicability for in situ use, eliminating the need for plant transplantation. We encourage studies using OTC experimental design for plant conservation in the tropics.},
}
@article {pmid38438043,
year = {2024},
author = {Tang, Z and Sng, KTH and Zhang, Y and Carrasco, LR},
title = {Climate change market-driven poleward shifts in cropland production create opportunities for tropical biodiversity conservation and habitat restoration.},
journal = {The Science of the total environment},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {171198},
doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.171198},
pmid = {38438043},
issn = {1879-1026},
abstract = {Although the impacts of climate change on the yields of crops have been studied, how these changes will result in the eventual realized crop production through market feedbacks, has received little attention. Using a combination of attainable yield predictions for wheat, rice, maize, soybean and sugarcane, computable general equilibrium and land rent models, we project market impacts and crop-specific land-use change up to 2100. The results show a general increase in crop prices in tropical regions and a decrease in sub-tropical and temperate regions. Land-use change driven by market feedbacks generally amplify the effects on crop production of climate change on yields. Wheat, maize and sugarcane are projected to experience the most expansion especially in Canada and Russia, which also present the highest potential for habitat conversion-driven carbon emissions. Conversely, Latin America presents the highest extinction potential for birds, mammals and amphibians due to cropland expansion. Climate change is likely to redistribute agricultural production, generating market-driven land-use feedback effects which could, counterintuitively, protect global biodiversity by shifting global food production towards less-biodiverse temperate regions while creating substantial restoration opportunities in the tropics.},
}
@article {pmid38437901,
year = {2024},
author = {Neokye, EO and Wang, X and Thakur, KK and Quijon, P and Nawaz, RA and Basheer, S},
title = {Climate change impacts on oyster aquaculture - Part I: Identification of key factors.},
journal = {Environmental research},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {118561},
doi = {10.1016/j.envres.2024.118561},
pmid = {38437901},
issn = {1096-0953},
abstract = {Oysters are enriched with high-quality protein and are widely known for their exquisite taste. The production of oysters plays an important role in the local economies of coastal communities in many countries, including Atlantic Canada, because of their high economic value. However, because of the changing climatic conditions in recent years, oyster aquaculture faces potentially negative impacts, such as increasing water acidification, warming water temperature, high salinity, invasive species, algal blooms, and other environmental factors. Although a few isolated effects of climate change on oyster aquaculture have been reported in recent years, it is not well understood how climate change will affect oyster aquaculture from a systematic perspective. In the first part of this study, we present a systematic review of the impacts of climate change and some key environmental factors affecting oyster production on a global scale. The study also identifies knowledge gaps and challenges. In addition, we present key research directions that will facilitate future investigations.},
}
@article {pmid38438315,
year = {2024},
author = {Francis, DL and Reddy, SSP and Logaranjani, A and Chopra, SS},
title = {Climate change and oral health: Assessing the impacts and developing strategies for adaptation.},
journal = {Oral diseases},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1111/odi.14922},
pmid = {38438315},
issn = {1601-0825},
}
@article {pmid38437577,
year = {2024},
author = {Gaugler, JE},
title = {Climate Change and Aging.},
journal = {The Gerontologist},
volume = {64},
number = {3},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1093/geront/gnae006},
pmid = {38437577},
issn = {1758-5341},
}
@article {pmid38436104,
year = {2024},
author = {Ranta, A and Kang, J and Saad, A and Wasay, M and Béjot, Y and Ozturk, S and Giroud, M and Reis, J and Douwes, J},
title = {Climate Change and Stroke: A Topical Narrative Review.},
journal = {Stroke},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1161/STROKEAHA.123.043826},
pmid = {38436104},
issn = {1524-4628},
abstract = {The impacts of accumulating atmospheric greenhouse gases on the earth's climate are now well established. As a result, there have been increases in ambient temperatures and resultant higher frequency and duration of temperature extremes and other extreme weather events, which have been linked to a wide range of adverse health outcomes. This topical narrative review provides a summary of published evidence on the links between climate change and stroke. There is consistent evidence of associations between stroke incidence and mortality and increasing ambient temperature and air pollution. Associations have also been shown for changes in barometric pressure, wildfires, and desert dust and sandstorms, but current evidence is limited. Flooding and other extreme weather events appear to primarily cause service disruption, but more direct links to stroke may emerge. Synergies between dietary changes that reduce stroke risk and may also reduce carbon footprint are being explored. We also discuss the impact on vulnerable populations, proposed pathophysiologic mechanisms, mitigation strategies, and current research priorities. In conclusion, climate change increasingly impacts the stroke community, warranting elevated attention.},
}
@article {pmid38436037,
year = {2023},
author = {Breitner-Busch, S and Mücke, HG and Schneider, A and Hertig, E},
title = {Corrigendum: Impact of climate change on non-communicable diseases due to increased ambient air pollution.},
journal = {Journal of health monitoring},
volume = {8},
number = {Suppl 4},
pages = {121},
doi = {10.25646/11831},
pmid = {38436037},
issn = {2511-2708},
abstract = {[This corrects the article on p. 103-121 in vol. 8, PMID: 37799533.].},
}
@article {pmid38434744,
year = {2023},
author = {Hoernke, K and Shrestha, A and Pokhrel, B and Timberlake, T and Giri, S and Sapkota, S and Dalglish, S and Costello, A and Saville, N},
title = {Children in All Policies (CAP) 2030 Citizen Science for Climate Change Resilience: a cross-sectional pilot study engaging adolescents to study climate hazards, biodiversity and nutrition in rural Nepal.},
journal = {Wellcome open research},
volume = {8},
number = {},
pages = {570},
doi = {10.12688/wellcomeopenres.18591.1},
pmid = {38434744},
issn = {2398-502X},
abstract = {BACKGROUND: Young people will suffer most from climate change yet are rarely engaged in dialogue about it. Citizen science offers a method for collecting policy-relevant data, whilst promoting awareness and capacity building. We tested the feasibility and acceptability of engaging Nepalese adolescents in climate change and health-related citizen science.<br><br>METHODS: We purposively selected 33 adolescents from two secondary schools in one remote and one relatively accessible district of Nepal. We contextualised existing apps and developed bespoke apps to survey climate hazards, waste and water management, local biodiversity, nutrition and sociodemographic information. We analysed and presented quantitative data using a descriptive analysis. We captured perceptions and learnings via focus group discussions and analysed qualitative data using thematic analysis. We shared findings with data collectors using tables, graphs, data dashboards and maps.<br><br>RESULTS: Adolescents collected 1667 biodiversity observations, identified 72 climate-change related hazards, and mapped 644 geolocations. They recorded 286 weights, 248 heights and 340 dietary recalls. Adolescents enjoyed learning how to collect the data and interpret the findings and gained an appreciation of local biodiversity which engendered 'environmental stewardship'. Data highlighted the prevalence of failing crops and landslides, revealed both under- and over-nutrition and demonstrated that children consume more junk foods than adults. Adolescents learnt about the impacts of climate change and the importance of eating a diverse diet of locally grown foods. A lack of a pre-established sampling frame, multiple records of the same observation and spurious nutrition data entries by unsupervised adolescents limited data quality and utility. Lack of internet access severely impacted feasibility, especially of apps which provide online feedback.<br><br>CONCLUSIONS: Citizen science was largely acceptable, educational and empowering for adolescents, although not always feasible without internet access. Future projects could improve data quality and integrate youth leadership training to enable climate-change advocacy with local leaders.},
}
@article {pmid38434121,
year = {2024},
author = {Gupta, K},
title = {Impact of Climate Change, Environmental Toxins and Pollution on the AOFOG region: What can OBGYNs do?.},
journal = {Journal of obstetrics and gynaecology of India},
volume = {74},
number = {1},
pages = {22-26},
doi = {10.1007/s13224-024-01958-w},
pmid = {38434121},
issn = {0971-9202},
abstract = {Climate change is occurring rapidly, and this crisis should now be recognized as a "global emergency". It is one of the major global health threats brought about by global warming, resulting from human activity due in large part to increasing levels of greenhouse gases. The ongoing climate crisis poses significant risks to women, pregnant mothers, unborn fetuses and offspring, who were exposed in-utero to climate stressors, especially those in marginalized communities where effects are magnified. A focus on education, research, and advocacy in responding to changing health consequences and global awareness are key to educating our professional healthcare providers, patients, the lay public, key personnel in the government and other leaders, and by making the changes necessary to address this crisis. Building on the pillars that FIGO has identified (advocacy, research interpretation, capacity building, and education), and following the footsteps of the FIGO Committee on "Climate Change and Toxic Environmental Exposures", the baby steps yet focussed efforts taken by AOFOG through its recently formed "Climate Change &amp; Pollution Working Group" will be highlighted in this review article. After all, investing in the health of women is investing in the health of current and future generations, and we, as healthcare providers along with health professional organizations should be in the forefront of environmental health advocacy to save the present generation and future generations through engagement as public opinion leaders.},
}
@article {pmid38433967,
year = {2024},
author = {Liu, S and Liu, Y and Teschke, K and Hindell, MA and Downey, R and Woods, B and Kang, B and Ma, S and Zhang, C and Li, J and Ye, Z and Sun, P and He, J and Tian, Y},
title = {Incorporating mesopelagic fish into the evaluation of conservation areas for marine living resources under climate change scenarios.},
journal = {Marine life science &amp; technology},
volume = {6},
number = {1},
pages = {68-83},
doi = {10.1007/s42995-023-00188-9},
pmid = {38433967},
issn = {2662-1746},
abstract = {UNLABELLED: Mesopelagic fish (meso-fish) are central species within the Southern Ocean (SO). However, their ecosystem role and adaptive capacity to climate change are rarely integrated into protected areas assessments. This is a pity given their importance as crucial prey and predators in food webs, coupled with the impacts of climate change. Here, we estimate the habitat distribution of nine meso-fish using an ensemble model approach (MAXENT, random forest, and boosted regression tree). Four climate model simulations were used to project their distribution under two representative concentration pathways (RCP4.5 and RCP8.5) for short-term (2006-2055) and long-term (2050-2099) periods. In addition, we assess the ecological representativeness of protected areas under climate change scenarios using meso-fish as indicator species. Our models show that all species shift poleward in the future. Lanternfishes (family Myctophidae) are predicted to migrate poleward more than other families (Paralepididae, Nototheniidae, Bathylagidae, and Gonostomatidae). In comparison, lanternfishes were projected to increase habitat area in the eastern SO but lose area in the western SO; the opposite was projected for species in other families. Important areas (IAs) of meso-fish are mainly distributed near the Antarctic Peninsula and East Antarctica. Negotiated protected area cover 23% of IAs at present and 38% of IAs in the future (RCP8.5, long-term future). Many IAs of meso-fish still need to be included in protected areas, such as the Prydz Bay and the seas around the Antarctic Peninsula. Our results provide a framework for evaluating protected areas incorporating climate change adaptation strategies for protected areas management.<br><br>SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION: The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1007/s42995-023-00188-9.},
}
@article {pmid38433966,
year = {2024},
author = {Glamuzina, B and Vilizzi, L and Piria, M and Žuljević, A and Cetinić, AB and Pešić, A and Dragičević, B and Lipej, L and Pećarević, M and Bartulović, V and Grđan, S and Cvitković, I and Dobroslavić, T and Fortič, A and Glamuzina, L and Mavrič, B and Tomanić, J and Despalatović, M and Trkov, D and Šćepanović, MB and Vidović, Z and Simonović, P and Matić-Skoko, S and Tutman, P},
title = {Global warming scenarios for the Eastern Adriatic Sea indicate a higher risk of invasiveness of non-native marine organisms relative to current climate conditions.},
journal = {Marine life science &amp; technology},
volume = {6},
number = {1},
pages = {143-154},
doi = {10.1007/s42995-023-00196-9},
pmid = {38433966},
issn = {2662-1746},
abstract = {UNLABELLED: Globally, marine bioinvasions threaten marine ecosystem structure and function, with the Mediterranean Sea being one of the most affected regions. Such invasions are expected to increase due to climate change. We conducted a risk screening of marine organisms (37 fishes, 38 invertebrates, and 9 plants), both extant and 'horizon' (i.e., not present in the area but likely to enter it). Based on expert knowledge for the Eastern Adriatic Sea coasts of Slovenia, Croatia, and Montenegro, screenings were conducted under both current and predicted climate conditions indicating with an increase in sea surface temperature and salinity of the Adriatic Sea together with changes in precipitation regime. Our aims were to: (1) identify non-native extant and horizon marine species that may pose threats to native biodiversity and (2) evaluate the risk of invasiveness of the selected species under current and predicted climate conditions. Of the 84 species screened, there was an increase in those ranked as 'high risk' from 33 (39.3%) under current climate conditions and to 47 (56.0%) under global warming scenarios. For those ranked as 'very high' risk, the increase was from 6 (7.1%) to 21 (25.0%). Amongst the screened species, the already established high-risk species Pacific oyster Magallana gigas and Atlantic blue crab Callinectes sapidus represent a threat to ecosystem services. Given the under-representation of marine species in the current European Union List, the species we have ranked as high to very high risk should be included.<br><br>SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION: The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1007/s42995-023-00196-9.},
}
@article {pmid38433030,
year = {2024},
author = {Wang, H and Chen, J and Qiu, M and Shi, Z and Zhang, S and Dong, G and Ma, S and Ai, T and Ren, G and Chen, F},
title = {Climate change drove the route shift of the ancient Silk Road in two distinct ways.},
journal = {Science bulletin},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1016/j.scib.2024.02.025},
pmid = {38433030},
issn = {2095-9281},
abstract = {Although climate change has convincingly been linked to the evolution of human civilization on different temporal scales, its role in influencing the spatial patterns of ancient civilizations has rarely been investigated. The northward shift of the ancient Silk Road (SR) route from the Tarim Basin (TB) to the Dzungarian Basin during ∼420-850 CE provides the opportunity to investigate the relationship between climate change and the spatial evolution of human societies. Here, we use a new high-resolution chironomid-based temperature reconstruction from arid China, combined with hydroclimatic and historical datasets, to assess the possible effects of climate fluctuations on the shift of the ancient SR route. We found that a cooling/drying climate in the TB triggered the SR route shift during ∼420-600 CE. However, a warming/wetting climate during ∼600-850 CE did not inhibit this shift, but instead promoted it, because of the favorable climate-induced geopolitical conflicts between the Tubo Kingdom and the Tang Dynasty in the TB. Our findings reveal two distinct ways in which climate change drove the spatial evolution of human civilization, and they demonstrate the flexibility of societal responses to climate change.},
}
@article {pmid38432382,
year = {2024},
author = {Rhymes, JM and Evans, D and Laudone, G and Schofield, HK and Fry, E and Fitzsimons, MF},
title = {Biochar improves fertility in waste derived manufactured soils, but not resilience to climate change.},
journal = {The Science of the total environment},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {171387},
doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.171387},
pmid = {38432382},
issn = {1879-1026},
abstract = {We present a soil manufactured from waste materials, which could replace the use of peat and topsoil in plant production and reduce the pressure on natural soil resources. We tested the effect of the manufactured soil on ecosystem functions and microbial communities with and without plants present, and with and without biochar addition (Experiment 1). The resilience of the soil in response to drought and flooding, and also the effect of biochar was also tested (Experiment 2). Biochar increased soil C and N regardless of plant presence and negated the effect of the plant on soil peroxidase enzyme activity. The manufactured soil was largely resilient to drought, but not flooding, with negative impacts on microbial communities. Results indicate that biochar could improve soil properties, but not resilience to climatic perturbations. Results suggest that manufactured soils amended with biochar could offer a useful alternative to natural soil in many contexts.},
}
@article {pmid38431988,
year = {2024},
author = {Carlson, JM and Foley, J and Fang, L},
title = {Climate change on the brain: Neural correlates of climate anxiety.},
journal = {Journal of anxiety disorders},
volume = {103},
number = {},
pages = {102848},
doi = {10.1016/j.janxdis.2024.102848},
pmid = {38431988},
issn = {1873-7897},
abstract = {Climate change is a global crisis impacting individuals' mental health. Climate anxiety is an emerging area of interest within popular culture and the scientific community. Yet, little is known about the mechanisms underlying climate anxiety. We provide evidence that climate anxiety is related to gray matter volume in the midcingulate cortex as well as its level of functional connectivity with the insula cortex. These neuroanatomical and neurofunctional features of climate anxiety are involved in identifying and anticipating potential threats within the environment and preparing an appropriate action response to such threats. These neural correlates align with those observed in anxiety disorders. Yet, climate anxiety itself as well as the neural correlates of climate anxiety were related to pro-environmental behavior. This may suggest that the midcingulate and insula are part of a network linked to an adaptive aspect of climate anxiety in motivating behavioral engagement.},
}
@article {pmid38431165,
year = {2024},
author = {de Souza, SS and Bruce, KHR and da Costa, JC and Pereira, D and da Silva, GS and Val, AL},
title = {Effects of climate change and mixtures of pesticides on the Amazonian fish Colossoma macropomum.},
journal = {The Science of the total environment},
volume = {922},
number = {},
pages = {171379},
doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.171379},
pmid = {38431165},
issn = {1879-1026},
abstract = {Several studies highlighted the complexity of mixing pesticides present in Amazonian aquatic environments today. There is evidence that indicates that ongoing climate change can alter the pattern of pesticide use, increasing the concentration and frequency of pesticide applications. It is known that the combination of thermal and chemical stress can induce interactive effects in aquatic biota, which accentuates cell and molecular damage. However, considering that the effects of climate change go beyond the increase in temperature the objective of this study was to evaluate the effect of climate change scenarios proposed by 6 th IPCC report and a mixture of pesticides on the tambaqui (Colossoma macropomum). The hypothesis of this study is that the negative effects will be accentuated by the combination of an extreme climate changes scenario and a mixture of pesticides. To test the hypothesis, juvenile tambaqui were exposed to a combination of four pesticides (chlorpyrifos, malathion, carbendazim and atrazine) in two scenarios, one that simulates current environmental conditions and another that predicted the environmental scenario for the year 2100. Fish were subjected to the experimental conditions for 96 h. At the end of the experiment, samples of blood, gills, liver, brain, and muscle were obtained for hematological, genotoxic, biochemical, and histopathological analyses. The results demonstrate that environmentally realistic concentrations of pesticides, when mixed, can alter the biochemical responses of tambaqui. The extreme scenario promotes hematological adjustments, but impairs branchial antioxidant enzymes. There is an interaction between the mixture of pesticides and the extreme scenario, accentuating liver tissue damage, which demonstrates that even increased activity of antioxidant and biotransformation enzymes were not sufficient to prevent liver damage.},
}
@article {pmid38430562,
year = {2024},
author = {Borge, M and Ellis, CJ},
title = {Interactions of moisture and light drive lichen growth and the response to climate change scenarios - experimental evidence for Lobaria pulmonaria.},
journal = {Annals of botany},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1093/aob/mcae029},
pmid = {38430562},
issn = {1095-8290},
abstract = {BACKGROUND AND AIMS: There is growing interest in the functional ecology of poikilohydric nonvascular photoautotrophs (NVPs), including 'cryptogamic' bryophytes and lichens. These organisms are structurally important in many ecosystems, contributing substantially to ecosystem function and services, while also being sensitive to climate change. Previous research has quantified the climate change response of poikilohydric NVPs using predictive bioclimatic models with standard climate variables including precipitation totals and temperature averages. This study aimed for an improved functional understanding of their climate change response based on their growth rate sensitivity to moisture and light.<br><br>METHODS: We conducted a 24-month experiment to monitor lichen hydration and growth. We accounted for two well-known features in the ecology of poikilohydric NVPs, and exemplified here for a structurally dominant lichen epiphyte, Lobaria pulmonaria: (i) sensitivity to multiple sources of atmospheric moisture including rain, condensed dew-formation and water vapour, and (ii) growth determined by the amount of time hydrated in the light, driving photosynthesis, referred to as the Iwet hypothesis.<br><br>KEY RESULTS: First, we found that even within an oceanic high-rainfall environment, lichen hydration was better explained by vapour pressure deficit (VPD) than precipitation totals. Second, growth at a monthly resolution was positively related to the amount of time spent hydrated in the light, and negatively related to the amount of time spent hydrated in the dark.<br><br>CONCLUSIONS: Using multimodel averaging to project growth models for an ensemble of future climate change scenarios, we demonstrated reduced net growth for L. pulmonaria by the late 21st Century, explained by extended climate dryness and lichen desiccation for periods when there is otherwise sufficient light to drive photosynthesis. The results further emphasise a key issue of photoperiodism when constructing functionally relevant models to understand the risk of climate change, especially for poikilohydric NVPs.},
}
@article {pmid38430368,
year = {2024},
author = {Sommer, B and von Querfurth, S},
title = {"In the end, the story of climate change was one of hope and redemption": ChatGPT's narrative on global warming.},
journal = {Ambio},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
pmid = {38430368},
issn = {1654-7209},
abstract = {AI chatbots such as ChatGPT help people produce texts. According to media reporting, these texts are also used for educational purposes. Thus, AI influences people's knowledge and perception of current issues. This paper examines the narrative of ChatGPT's stories on climate change. Our explorative analysis reveals that ChatGPT's stories on climate change show a relatively uniform structure and similar content. Generally, the narrative is in line with scientific knowledge on climate change; the stories convey no significant misinformation. However, specific topics in current debates on global warming are conspicuously missing. According to the ChatGPT narrative, humans as a species are responsible for climate change and specific economic activities or actors associated with carbon emissions play no role. Analogously, the social structuration of vulnerability to climate impacts and issues of climate justice are hardly addressed. ChatGPT's narrative consists of de-politicized stories that are highly optimistic about technological progress.},
}
@article {pmid38429332,
year = {2024},
author = {Bottino, MJ and Nobre, P and Giarolla, E and da Silva Junior, MB and Capistrano, VB and Malagutti, M and Tamaoki, JN and de Oliveira, BFA and Nobre, CA},
title = {Amazon savannization and climate change are projected to increase dry season length and temperature extremes over Brazil.},
journal = {Scientific reports},
volume = {14},
number = {1},
pages = {5131},
pmid = {38429332},
issn = {2045-2322},
abstract = {Land use change and atmospheric composition, two drivers of climate change, can interact to affect both local and remote climate regimes. Previous works have considered the effects of greenhouse gas buildup in the atmosphere and the effects of Amazon deforestation in atmospheric general circulation models. In this study, we investigate the impacts of the Brazilian Amazon savannization and global warming in a fully coupled ocean-land-sea ice-atmosphere model simulation. We find that both savannization and global warming individually lengthen the dry season and reduce annual rainfall over large tracts of South America. The combined effects of land use change and global warming resulted in a mean annual rainfall reduction of 44% and a dry season length increase of 69%, when averaged over the Amazon basin, relative to the control run. Modulation of inland moisture transport due to savannization shows the largest signal to explain the rainfall reduction and increase in dry season length over the Amazon and Central-West. The combined effects of savannization and global warming resulted in maximum daily temperature anomalies, reaching values of up to 14 °C above the current climatic conditions over the Amazon. Also, as a consequence of both climate drivers, both soil moisture and surface runoff decrease over most of the country, suggesting cascading negative future impacts on both agriculture production and hydroelectricity generation.},
}
@article {pmid38429286,
year = {2024},
author = {Lenton, TM and Abrams, JF and Bartsch, A and Bathiany, S and Boulton, CA and Buxton, JE and Conversi, A and Cunliffe, AM and Hebden, S and Lavergne, T and Poulter, B and Shepherd, A and Smith, T and Swingedouw, D and Winkelmann, R and Boers, N},
title = {Publisher Correction: Remotely sensing potential climate change tipping points across scales.},
journal = {Nature communications},
volume = {15},
number = {1},
pages = {1917},
doi = {10.1038/s41467-024-45881-0},
pmid = {38429286},
issn = {2041-1723},
}
@article {pmid38429277,
year = {2024},
author = {Williams, E and Funk, C and Peterson, P and Tuholske, C},
title = {High resolution climate change observations and projections for the evaluation of heat-related extremes.},
journal = {Scientific data},
volume = {11},
number = {1},
pages = {261},
pmid = {38429277},
issn = {2052-4463},
support = {72DFFP19CA00001//United States Agency for International Development (U.S. Agency for International Development)/ ; 72DFFP19CA00001//United States Agency for International Development (U.S. Agency for International Development)/ ; 80NSSC19K0686//National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA)/ ; 80NSSC19K0686//National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA)/ ; 80NSSC22K0470//National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA)/ ; },
abstract = {The Climate Hazards Center Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 climate projection dataset (CHC-CMIP6) was developed to support the analysis of climate-related hazards, including extreme humid heat and drought conditions, over the recent past and in the near-future. Global daily high resolution (0.05°) grids of the Climate Hazards InfraRed Temperature with Stations temperature product, the Climate Hazards InfraRed Precipitation with Stations precipitation product, and ERA5-derived relative humidity form the basis of the 1983-2016 historical record, from which daily Vapor Pressure Deficits (VPD) and maximum Wet Bulb Globe Temperatures (WBGTmax) were derived. Large CMIP6 ensembles from the Shared Socioeconomic Pathway 2-4.5 and SSP 5-8.5 scenarios were then used to develop high resolution daily 2030 and 2050 'delta' fields. These deltas were used to perturb the historical observations, thereby generating 0.05° 2030 and 2050 projections of daily precipitation, temperature, relative humidity, and derived VPD and WBGTmax. Finally, monthly counts of frequency of extremes for each variable were derived for each time period.},
}
@article {pmid38428851,
year = {2024},
author = {Park, EJ and Bae, J and Kim, J and Yoon, JU and Do, W and Yoon, JP and Shon, HS and Kang, Y and Kim, HY and Cho, AR},
title = {Reducing the carbon footprint of operating rooms through education on the effects of inhalation anesthetics on global warming: A retrospective study.},
journal = {Medicine},
volume = {103},
number = {9},
pages = {e37256},
doi = {10.1097/MD.0000000000037256},
pmid = {38428851},
issn = {1536-5964},
abstract = {Environmental concerns, especially global warming, have prompted efforts to reduce greenhouse gas emissions. Healthcare systems, including anesthesia practices, contribute to these emissions. Inhalation anesthetics have a significant environmental impact, with desflurane being the most concerning because of its high global warming potential. This study aimed to educate anesthesiologists on the environmental impact of inhalation anesthetics and assess changes in awareness and practice patterns, specifically reducing desflurane use. This study included data from patients who underwent surgery under general anesthesia 1 month before and after education on the effects of inhalation anesthetics on global warming. The primary endpoint was a change in inhalational anesthetic use. Secondary endpoints included changes in carbon dioxide equivalent (CO2e) emissions, driving equivalent, and medical costs. After the education, desflurane use decreased by 50%, whereas sevoflurane use increased by 50%. This shift resulted in a reduction in the overall amount of inhalational anesthetics used. The total CO2e and driving-equivalent values decreased significantly. The cost per anesthesia case decreased, albeit to a lesser extent than expected. Education on the environmental impact of inhalation anesthetics has successfully altered anesthesiologists' practice patterns, leading to reduced desflurane usage. This change has resulted in decreased CO2e emissions and has had a positive effect on mitigating global warming. However, further research is required to assess the long-term impact of such education and the variability in practice patterns across different institutions.},
}
@article {pmid38428437,
year = {2024},
author = {Kenyon, G},
title = {Remote First Nations communities face climate change pressures.},
journal = {The Lancet. Microbe},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1016/S2666-5247(24)00048-X},
pmid = {38428437},
issn = {2666-5247},
}
@article {pmid38428181,
year = {2024},
author = {Cappelli, F and Costantini, V and D'Angeli, M and Marin, G and Paglialunga, E},
title = {Local sources of vulnerability to climate change and armed conflicts in East Africa.},
journal = {Journal of environmental management},
volume = {355},
number = {},
pages = {120403},
doi = {10.1016/j.jenvman.2024.120403},
pmid = {38428181},
issn = {1095-8630},
abstract = {While socioeconomic and institutional factors are crucial in explaining the onset and evolution of conflicts, recent research suggests that climate change is a further indirect driver acting as a "threat multiplier". This paper focuses on the concept of vulnerability to both climate change and conflicts to explain why some locations are more likely to engage in armed conflicts than others in the presence of a similar level of exposure to climatic changes. In particular, by means of a Spatial Autoregressive Model, we identify a set of local-specific vulnerability factors that increase conflict risk in East Africa. We employ a georeferenced database with a resolution of 25 × 25 km, covering the period 1997-2016. Results from our analysis provide some interesting insights: first, climate change does not increase conflict risk per se, but only in the presence of pre-existing vulnerabilities. Second, resource access and socioeconomic factors play a key role in driving the climate-conflict nexus especially in urban areas. In particular, vulnerability is increased whenever power is not distributed in such a way as to ensure an equitable distribution of resources. Overall, our findings suggest that, by addressing vulnerability factors that prevent adaptive capacity and an equitable distribution of resources, societies may benefit in terms of both diminished conflict risk and alleviation of climate change impacts.},
}
@article {pmid38426609,
year = {2024},
author = {Backus, GA and Clements, CF and Baskett, ML},
title = {Restoring spatiotemporal variability to enhance the capacity for dispersal-limited species to track climate change.},
journal = {Ecology},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {e4257},
doi = {10.1002/ecy.4257},
pmid = {38426609},
issn = {1939-9170},
support = {1655475//National Science Foundation/ ; },
abstract = {Climate refugia are areas where species can persist through climate change with little to no movement. Among the factors associated with climate refugia are high spatial heterogeneity, such that there is only a short distance between current and future optimal climates, as well as biotic or abiotic environmental factors that buffer against variability in time. However, these types of climate refugia may be declining due to anthropogenic homogenization of environments and degradation of environmental buffers. To quantify the potential for restoration of refugia-like environmental conditions to increase population persistence under climate change, we simulated a population's capacity to track their temperature over space and time given different levels of spatial and temporal variability in temperature. To determine how species traits affected the efficacy of restoring heterogeneity, we explored an array of values for species' dispersal ability, thermal tolerance, and fecundity. We found that species were more likely to persist in environments with higher spatial heterogeneity and lower environmental stochasticity. When simulating a management action that increased the spatial heterogeneity of a previously homogenized environment, species were more likely to persist through climate change, and population sizes were generally higher, but there was little effect with mild temperature change. The benefits of heterogeneity restoration were greatest for species with limited dispersal ability. In contrast, species with longer dispersal but lower fecundity were more likely to benefit from a reduction in environmental stochasticity than an increase in spatial heterogeneity. Our results suggest that restoring environments to refugia-like conditions could promote species' persistence under the influence of climate change in addition to conservation strategies such as assisted migration, corridors, and increased protection.},
}
@article {pmid38426250,
year = {2024},
author = {Grant, A},
title = {The science of climate change and the effect of anaesthetic gas emissions.},
journal = {Anaesthesia},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1111/anae.16253},
pmid = {38426250},
issn = {1365-2044},
}
@article {pmid38426249,
year = {2024},
author = {Slingo, JM and Slingo, ME},
title = {The science of climate change and the effect of anaesthetic gas emissions: a reply.},
journal = {Anaesthesia},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1111/anae.16268},
pmid = {38426249},
issn = {1365-2044},
}
@article {pmid38425973,
year = {2024},
author = {Afzal, F and Das, A and Chatterjee, S},
title = {Drawing the Linkage Between Women's Reproductive Health, Climate Change, Natural Disaster, and Climate-driven Migration: Focusing on Low- and Middle-income Countries - A Systematic Overview.},
journal = {Indian journal of community medicine : official publication of Indian Association of Preventive &amp; Social Medicine},
volume = {49},
number = {1},
pages = {28-38},
doi = {10.4103/ijcm.ijcm_165_23},
pmid = {38425973},
issn = {0970-0218},
abstract = {BACKGROUND: One of the most important aspects of women's well-being and welfare is RSH (reproductive and sexual health). Reproductive health is not an exception to the threat that CCC (climate change and climate crisis) poses to numerous facets of public health. Firstly, the present review seeks to identify the influence of climatic changes, natural disasters, and climate-driven migration on RSH. Secondly, to identify knowledge gaps regarding the same.<br><br>MATERIAL AND METHODS: Two databases (Scopus and PubMed) were scanned using Boolean operation. The literature search aimed to find records pertaining to topics of RSH and climate change. Using the PRISMA-ScR method, records were screened and shortlisted based on established inclusion criteria. This literature search was carried out in November 2022. In the shortlisted records, preference for the comprehensive review articles was given.<br><br>RESULTS: The present review is based on 38 records that collectively revealed that climate crisis and natural disasters have many negative impacts on female reproductive health. These effects are observed in different phases of life, ranging from teenage to menopause. The unique strength of the present review is that it draws a relationship between female reproductive health and the direct as well as indirect effects of the CCC. The available literature about LMICs is predominantly confined to drought, flood, and earthquake. Disasters like tsunamis, cyclones, and avalanches remain unexplored.<br><br>CONCLUSION: From the available literature, it is quite evident that CCC has an adverse effect on a woman's reproductive life as well as a bearing on future generations' health. Filling these knowledge gaps is pivotal for designing more effective disaster and health policies. Policymakers should take into consideration these detrimental effects while designing health schemes and policies for females.},
}
@article {pmid38425794,
year = {2024},
author = {Opačić, N and Radman, S and Dujmović, M and Fabek Uher, S and Benko, B and Toth, N and Petek, M and Čoga, L and Voća, S and Šic Žlabur, J},
title = {Boosting nutritional quality of Urtica dioica L. to resist climate change.},
journal = {Frontiers in plant science},
volume = {15},
number = {},
pages = {1331327},
doi = {10.3389/fpls.2024.1331327},
pmid = {38425794},
issn = {1664-462X},
abstract = {INTRODUCTION: More than ever, traditional agricultural practices need a shift towards more resilient, sustainable, modern and adaptable practices that benefit the health of the planet and people. Today's consumers are constantly on the lookout for novel, highly nutritious foods that have a positive impact on their overall health and well-being. Nettle (Urtica dioica L.) is gaining recognition not only as a popular medicinal plant, but also as a desirable green leafy vegetable rich in phytonutrients. As it is difficult and even expensive to control the quality standards of wild-collected plants, the implementation of sustainable cultivation methods, especially hydroponics, with effective greenhouse management could be a possible solution to obtain a standardized product with high nutritional value. Therefore, the aim of this study was to investigate the effects of four nutrient solutions differing in the content of macro- and micronutrients (especially nitrogen, potassium, calcium, magnesium and iron) and two consecutive cuts on the number of leaves, yield, nitrate and mineral content and the content of specialized metabolites of stinging nettle from a floating hydroponic system.<br><br>METHODS: Nettle plants were cultivated in a hydroponic system using the floating hydroponics technique. The two-factorial experiment was performed with nutrient solution and consecutive cuts as factors.<br><br>RESULTS: The highest yield (2.49 kg/m2) was achieved after the 1st cut with plants cultivated in the nutrient solution with higher nutrient concentration. All tested nutrient solutions resulted in high levels of minerals and bioactive compounds in the plant material (ascorbic acid content of 102.30 mg/100 g fw and total phenolics content of 465.92 mg GAE/100 g fw), confirming floating hydroponics as a sustainable approach for cultivating nettle with enhanced nutritional value and antioxidant potential.<br><br>CONCLUSION: It is important to highlight that the nutrient solution with the lowest nutrient composition yielded the highest concentrations of calcium (5.54%) and iron (180.67 mg/kg dw). Furthermore, it exhibited elevated levels of specific phenolic compounds, including caffeoylmaleic acid, ellagic acid, ferulic acid, naringin, and rutin trihydrate. Notably, this solution demonstrated the lowest nitrate content (4225.33 mg/kg fw) in the plant material. Therefore, it can be recommended as a preferable formulation for hydroponic nettle cultivation.},
}
@article {pmid38425789,
year = {2024},
author = {Talukder, B and Schubert, JE and Tofighi, M and Likongwe, PJ and Choi, EY and Mphepo, GY and Asgary, A and Bunch, MJ and Chiotha, SS and Matthew, R and Sanders, BF and Hipel, KW and vanLoon, GW and Orbinski, J},
title = {Complex adaptive systems-based framework for modeling the health impacts of climate change.},
journal = {The journal of climate change and health},
volume = {15},
number = {},
pages = {100292},
doi = {10.1016/j.joclim.2023.100292},
pmid = {38425789},
issn = {2667-2782},
abstract = {INTRODUCTION: Climate change is a global phenomenon with far-reaching consequences, and its impact on human health is a growing concern. The intricate interplay of various factors makes it challenging to accurately predict and understand the implications of climate change on human well-being. Conventional methodologies have limitations in comprehensively addressing the complexity and nonlinearity inherent in the relationships between climate change and health outcomes.<br><br>OBJECTIVES: The primary objective of this paper is to develop a robust theoretical framework that can effectively analyze and interpret the intricate web of variables influencing the human health impacts of climate change. By doing so, we aim to overcome the limitations of conventional approaches and provide a more nuanced understanding of the complex relationships involved. Furthermore, we seek to explore practical applications of this theoretical framework to enhance our ability to predict, mitigate, and adapt to the diverse health challenges posed by a changing climate.<br><br>METHODS: Addressing the challenges outlined in the objectives, this study introduces the Complex Adaptive Systems (CAS) framework, acknowledging its significance in capturing the nuanced dynamics of health effects linked to climate change. The research utilizes a blend of field observations, expert interviews, key informant interviews, and an extensive literature review to shape the development of the CAS framework.<br><br>RESULTS AND DISCUSSION: The proposed CAS framework categorizes findings into six key sub-systems: ecological services, extreme weather, infectious diseases, food security, disaster risk management, and clinical public health. The study employs agent-based modeling, using causal loop diagrams (CLDs) tailored for each CAS sub-system. A set of identified variables is incorporated into predictive modeling to enhance the understanding of health outcomes within the CAS framework. Through a combination of theoretical development and practical application, this paper aspires to contribute valuable insights to the interdisciplinary field of climate change and health. Integrating agent-based modeling and CLDs enhances the predictive capabilities required for effective health outcome analysis in the context of climate change.<br><br>CONCLUSION: This paper serves as a valuable resource for policymakers, researchers, and public health professionals by employing a CAS framework to understand and assess the complex network of health impacts associated with climate change. It offers insights into effective strategies for safeguarding human health amidst current and future climate challenges.},
}
@article {pmid38425367,
year = {2023},
author = {Quattrocchi, G and Christensen, E and Sinerchia, M and Marras, S and Cucco, A and Domenici, P and Behrens, JW},
title = {Aerobic metabolic scope mapping of an invasive fish species with global warming.},
journal = {Conservation physiology},
volume = {11},
number = {1},
pages = {coad094},
doi = {10.1093/conphys/coad094},
pmid = {38425367},
issn = {2051-1434},
abstract = {Climate change will exacerbate the negative effects associated with the introduction of non-indigenous species in marine ecosystems. Predicting the spread of invasive species in relation to environmental warming is therefore a fundamental task in ecology and conservation. The Baltic Sea is currently threatened by several local stressors and the highest increase in sea surface temperature of the world's large marine ecosystems. These new thermal conditions can further favour the spreading of the invasive round goby (Neogobius melanostomus), a fish of Ponto-Caspian origin, currently well established in the southern and central parts of the Baltic Sea. This study aims to assess the thermal habitat suitability of the round goby in the Baltic Sea considering the past and future conditions. The study combines sightings records with known physiological models of aerobic performance and sea surface temperatures. Physiological models read these temperatures, at sighting times and locations, to determine their effects on the aerobic metabolic scope (AMS) of the fish, a measure of its energetic potential in relation to environmental conditions. The geographical mapping of the AMS was used to describe the changes in habitat suitability during the past 3 decades and for climatic predictions (until 2100) showing that the favourable thermal habitat in the Baltic Sea has increased during the past 32 years and will continue to do so in all the applied climate model predictions. Particularly, the predicted new thermal conditions do not cause any reduction in the AMS of round goby populations, while the wintertime cold ranges are likely expected to preserve substantial areas from invasion. The results of this research can guide future monitoring programs increasing the chance to detect this invader in novel areas.},
}
@article {pmid38424345,
year = {2024},
author = {Ghosh, AK and Azan, A and Basu, G and Bernstein, J and Gillespie, E and Gordon, LB and Krishnamurthy, S and LeFrancois, D and Marcus, EN and Tejani, M and Townley, T and Rimler, E and Whelan, H and , },
title = {Building Climate Change into Medical Education: A Society of General Internal Medicine Position Statement.},
journal = {Journal of general internal medicine},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
pmid = {38424345},
issn = {1525-1497},
support = {1K08HL163329/HL/NHLBI NIH HHS/United States ; },
abstract = {Building expertise in climate and planetary health among healthcare professionals cannot come with greater urgency as the threats from climate change become increasingly apparent. Current and future healthcare professionals-particularly internists-will increasingly need to understand the interconnectedness of natural systems and human health to better serve their patients longitudinally. Despite this, few national medical societies and accreditation bodies espouse frameworks for climate change and planetary health-related education at the undergraduate (UME), graduate (GME), and continuing (CME) medical education level. As a community of medical educators with an enduring interest in climate change and planetary health, the Society of General Internal Medicine (SGIM) recognizes the need to explicitly define structured educational opportunities and core competencies in both UME and GME as well as pathways for faculty development. In this position statement, we build from the related SGIM Climate and Health position statement, and review and synthesize existing position statements made by US-based medical societies and accreditation bodies that focus on climate change and planetary health-related medical education, identify gaps using Bloom's Hierarchy, and provide recommendations on behalf of SGIM regarding the development of climate and planetary health curricula development. Identified gaps include (1) limited systematic approach to climate and planetary health medical education at all levels; (2) minimal emphasis on learner-driven approaches; (3) limited focus on physician and learner well-being; and (4) limited role for health equity and climate justice. Recommendations include a call to relevant accreditation bodies to explicitly include climate change and planetary health as a competency, extend the structural competency framework to climate change and planetary health to build climate justice, proactively include learners in curricular development and teaching, and ensure resources and support to design and implement climate and planetary health-focused education that includes well-being and resiliency.},
}
@article {pmid38423136,
year = {2024},
author = {Li, D and Wang, X and Jiang, K and An, R and Li, Y and Liu, D},
title = {The impact of climate change and the conservation of the keystone Asian honeybee using niche models and systematic prioritization.},
journal = {Journal of economic entomology},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1093/jee/toae018},
pmid = {38423136},
issn = {1938-291X},
support = {2022NY-131//Key R&amp;D Project in Shaanxi Province/ ; 31971431//National Natural Science Foundation of China/ ; },
abstract = {Global warming has seriously disturbed the Earth's ecosystems, and in this context, Asian honeybee (Apis cerana) has experienced a dramatic decline in recent decades. Here, we examined both direct and indirect effects of climate change on A. cerana through ecological niche modeling of A. cerana, and its disease pathogens (i.e., Chinese sacbrood virus and Melissococcus plutonius) and enemies (i.e., Galleria mellonella and Vespa mandarinia). Ecological niche modeling predicts that climate change will increase the potential suitability of A. cerana, but it will also cause some of the original habitat areas to become unsuitable. Outbreak risks of Chinese sacbrood disease and European Foulbrood will increase dramatically, while those of G. mellonella and V. mandarinia will decrease only slightly. Thus, climate change will produce an unfavorable situation for even maintaining some A. cerana populations in China in the future. Genetic structure analyses showed that the A. cerana population from Hainan Island had significant genetic differentiation from that of the mainland, and there was almost no gene flow between the 2, suggesting that urgent measures are needed to protect the unique genetic resources there. Through taking an integrated planning technique with the Marxan approach, we optimized conservation planning, and identified potential nature reserves (mainly in western Sichuan and southern Tibet) for conservation of A. cerana populations. Our results can provide insights into the potential impact of climate change on A. cerana, and will help to promote the conservation of the keystone honeybee in China and the long-term sustainability of its ecosystem services.},
}
@article {pmid38422852,
year = {2024},
author = {Absalan, F and Hatam, F and Prévost, M and Barbeau, B and Bichai, F},
title = {Climate change and future water demand: Implications for chlorine and trihalomethanes management in water distribution systems.},
journal = {Journal of environmental management},
volume = {355},
number = {},
pages = {120470},
doi = {10.1016/j.jenvman.2024.120470},
pmid = {38422852},
issn = {1095-8630},
abstract = {The global change in surface water quality calls for increased preparedness of drinking water utilities. The increasing frequency of extreme climatic events combined with global warming can impact source and treated water characteristics such as temperature and natural organic matter. On the other hand, water saving policies in response to water and energy crisis in some countries can aggravate the situation by increasing the water residence time in the drinking water distribution system (DWDS). This study investigates the individual and combined effect of increased dissolved organic carbon (DOC), increased temperature, and reduced water demand on fate and transport of chlorine and trihalomethanes (THMs) within a full-scale DWDS in Canada. Chlorine and THM prediction models were calibrated with laboratory experiments and implemented in EPANET-MATLAB toolkit for prediction in the DWDS under different combinations of DOC, temperature, and demand. The duration of low chlorine residuals (<0.2 mg/L) and high THM (>80 μg/L) periods within a day in each scenario was reported using a reliability index. Low-reliability zones prone to microbial regrowth or high THM exposure were then delineated geographically on the city DWDS. Results revealed that water demand reduction primarily affects chlorine availability, with less concern for THM formation. The reduction in nodal chlorine reliability was gradual with rising temperature and DOC of the treated water and reducing water demand. Nodal THM reliability remained unchanged until certain thresholds were reached, i.e., temperature >25 °C for waters with DOC <1.52 mg/L, and DOC >2.2 mg/L for waters with temperature = 17 °C. At these critical thresholds, an abrupt network-wide THM exceedance of 80 μg/L occurred. Under higher DOC and temperature levels in future, employing the proposed approach revealed that increasing the applied chlorine dosage (which is a conventional method used to ensure sufficient chlorine coverage) results in elevated exposure toTHMs and is not recommended. This approach aids water utilities in assessing the effectiveness of different intervention measures to solve water quality problems, identify site-specific thresholds leading to major decreases in system reliability, and integrate climate adaptation into water safety management.},
}
@article {pmid38424143,
year = {2024},
author = {Singh, AP and De, K and Uniyal, VP and Sathyakumar, S},
title = {Unveiling of climate change-driven decline of suitable habitat for Himalayan bumblebees.},
journal = {Scientific reports},
volume = {14},
number = {1},
pages = {4983},
pmid = {38424143},
issn = {2045-2322},
abstract = {Insect pollinators, especially bumblebees are rapidly declining from their natural habitat in the mountain and temperate regions of the world due to climate change and other anthropogenic activities. We still lack reliable information about the current and future habitat conditions of bumblebees in the Himalaya. In this study, we used the maximum entropy algorithm for SDM to look at current and future (in 2050 and 2070) suitable habitats for bumblebees in the Himalaya. We found that the habitat conditions in the Himalayan mountain range do not have a very promising future as suitable habitat for most species will decrease over the next 50 years. By 2050, less than 10% of the Himalayan area will remain a suitable habitat for about 72% of species, and by 2070 this number will be raised to 75%. During this time period, the existing suitable habitat of bumblebees will be declined but some species will find new suitable habitat which clearly indicates possibility of habitat range shift by Himalayan bumblebees. Overall, about 15% of the Himalayan region is currently highly suitable for bumblebees, which should be considered as priority areas for the conservation of these pollinators. Since suitable habitats for bumblebees lie between several countries, nations that share international borders in the Himalayan region should have international agreements for comprehensive pollinator diversity conservation to protect these indispensable ecosystem service providers.},
}
@article {pmid38424076,
year = {2024},
author = {Cox, PM and Williamson, MS and Friedlingstein, P and Jones, CD and Raoult, N and Rogelj, J and Varney, RM},
title = {Emergent constraints on carbon budgets as a function of global warming.},
journal = {Nature communications},
volume = {15},
number = {1},
pages = {1885},
pmid = {38424076},
issn = {2041-1723},
support = {742472//EC | EU Framework Programme for Research and Innovation H2020 | H2020 Priority Excellent Science | H2020 European Research Council (H2020 Excellent Science - European Research Council)/ ; 821003//EC | Horizon 2020 Framework Programme (EU Framework Programme for Research and Innovation H2020)/ ; },
abstract = {Earth System Models (ESMs) continue to diagnose a wide range of carbon budgets for each level of global warming. Here, we present emergent constraints on the carbon budget as a function of global warming, which combine the available ESM historical simulations and future projections for a range of scenarios, with observational estimates of global warming and anthropogenic CO2 emissions to the present day. We estimate mean and likely ranges for cumulative carbon budgets for the Paris targets of 1.5 °C and 2 °C of global warming of 812 [691, 933] PgC and 1048 [881, 1216] PgC, which are more than 10% larger than the ensemble mean values from the CMIP6 models. The linearity between cumulative emissions and global warming is found to be maintained at least until 4 °C, and is consistent with an effective Transient Climate Response to Emissions (eTCRE) of 2.1 [1.8, 2.6] °C/1000PgC, from a global warming of 1.2 °C onwards.},
}
@article {pmid38424068,
year = {2024},
author = {Heckman, RW and Pereira, CG and Aspinwall, MJ and Juenger, TE},
title = {Physiological Responses of C4 Perennial Bioenergy Grasses to Climate Change: Causes, Consequences, and Constraints.},
journal = {Annual review of plant biology},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1146/annurev-arplant-070623-093952},
pmid = {38424068},
issn = {1545-2123},
abstract = {C4 perennial bioenergy grasses are an economically and ecologically important group whose responses to climate change will be important to the future bioeconomy. These grasses are highly productive and frequently possess large geographic ranges and broad environmental tolerances, which may contribute to the evolution of ecotypes that differ in physiological acclimation capacity and the evolution of distinct functional strategies. C4 perennial bioenergy grasses are predicted to thrive under climate change-C4 photosynthesis likely evolved to enhance photosynthetic efficiency under stressful conditions of low [CO2], high temperature, and drought-although few studies have examined how these species will respond to combined stresses or to extremes of temperature and precipitation. Important targets for C4 perennial bioenergy production in a changing world, such as sustainability and resilience, can benefit from combining knowledge of C4 physiology with recent advances in crop improvement, especially genomic selection. Expected final online publication date for the Annual Review of Plant Biology, Volume 75 is May 2024. Please see http://www.annualreviews.org/page/journal/pubdates for revised estimates.},
}
@article {pmid38424058,
year = {2024},
author = {Mewes, L and Tuitjer, L and Dirksmeier, P},
title = {Exploring the variances of climate change opinions in Germany at a fine-grained local scale.},
journal = {Nature communications},
volume = {15},
number = {1},
pages = {1867},
pmid = {38424058},
issn = {2041-1723},
abstract = {How and why climate change opinions vary within countries at a small geographic scale is rarely investigated. Previous research has focused on public opinions at the individual or national level, leaving local differences within countries and their underlying factors largely unexplored. The lack of research at subnational levels is problematic, as adaptation and mitigation policies depend on collective support and action involving multiple stakeholders at the local scale. It is thus crucial to identify geographic differences in climate change opinions and to unravel their determinants at a fine-grained local scale. We examine public CCOs across 4,667 municipalities in Germany by relying on a representative survey of households. Here we show substantial and systematic differences in public climate change opinions across locations that manifest between urban vs. rural and prospering vs. declining areas. Besides these geographic features, more complex historical and cultural differences between places play an important role.},
}
@article {pmid38422269,
year = {2024},
author = {Rajabalinejad, A and Nozari, N and Badr, BR},
title = {The effect of climate change on agricultural production in Iran.},
journal = {Brazilian journal of biology = Revista brasleira de biologia},
volume = {83},
number = {},
pages = {e277383},
doi = {10.1590/1519-6984.277383},
pmid = {38422269},
issn = {1678-4375},
abstract = {The issue of climate change caused by global warming has become a major concern and challenge around the world, requiring comprehensive countermeasures. Agriculture is the most affected part of climate change and Iran's agriculture economy is at risk because of hot and dry and damages due global climate changes. This study investigates the effects of climatic variables temperature, such as precipitation, carbon and dioxide emission on total crop production in Iran from 1971 to 2020 using a fully modified conventional least squares econometric model (FMOLS). Chemical fertilizer and crop area variables, as well as fixed capital in agricultural have machinery, also been used as indicators of technology. The results showed that all variables had a significant effect on production. The average annual temperature and total annual rainfall its had an inverse U-shaped relationship with production, and were significant. Fertilizer and crop area variables had a positive effect, while CO2 had a negative relationship on total crop production in Iran. The findings of this study can be used to provide strategic plans for policymakers in the face of climate change. It is suggested that the government invest more in the mechanization of the agricultural sector and provide facilities and credits with priority given to farmers' education and the use of temperature-resistant varieties, and also act regionally against climate change.},
}
@article {pmid38422144,
year = {2024},
author = {Wang, H and Liu, J and Klaar, M and Chen, A and Gudmundsson, L and Holden, J},
title = {Anthropogenic climate change has influenced global river flow seasonality.},
journal = {Science (New York, N.Y.)},
volume = {383},
number = {6686},
pages = {1009-1014},
doi = {10.1126/science.adi9501},
pmid = {38422144},
issn = {1095-9203},
abstract = {Riverine ecosystems have adapted to natural discharge variations across seasons. However, evidence suggesting that climate change has already impacted magnitudes of river flow seasonality is limited to local studies, mainly focusing on changes of mean or extreme flows. This study introduces the use of apportionment entropy as a robust measure to assess flow-volume nonuniformity across seasons, enabling a global analysis. We found that ~21% of long-term river gauging stations exhibit significant alterations in seasonal flow distributions, but two-thirds of these are unrelated to trends in annual mean discharge. By combining a data-driven runoff reconstruction with state-of-the-art hydrological simulations, we identified a discernible weakening of river flow seasonality in northern high latitudes (above 50°N), a phenomenon directly linked to anthropogenic climate forcing.},
}
@article {pmid38422027,
year = {2024},
author = {Ortega, MA and Cayuela, L and Griffith, DM and Camacho, A and Coronado, IM and Del Castillo, RF and Figueroa-Rangel, BL and Fonseca, W and Garibaldi, C and Kelly, DL and Letcher, SG and Meave, JA and Merino-Martín, L and Meza, VH and Ochoa-Gaona, S and Olvera-Vargas, M and Ramírez-Marcial, N and Tun-Dzul, FJ and Valdez-Hernández, M and Velázquez, E and White, DA and Williams-Linera, G and Zahawi, RA and Muñoz, J},
title = {Climate change increases threat to plant diversity in tropical forests of Central America and southern Mexico.},
journal = {PloS one},
volume = {19},
number = {2},
pages = {e0297840},
doi = {10.1371/journal.pone.0297840},
pmid = {38422027},
issn = {1932-6203},
abstract = {Global biodiversity is negatively affected by anthropogenic climate change. As species distributions shift due to increasing temperatures and precipitation fluctuations, many species face the risk of extinction. In this study, we explore the expected trend for plant species distributions in Central America and southern Mexico under two alternative Representative Concentration Pathways (RCPs) portraying moderate (RCP4.5) and severe (RCP8.5) increases in greenhouse gas emissions, combined with two species dispersal assumptions (limited and unlimited), for the 2061-2080 climate forecast. Using an ensemble approach employing three techniques to generate species distribution models, we classified 1924 plant species from the region's (sub)tropical forests according to IUCN Red List categories. To infer the spatial and taxonomic distribution of species' vulnerability under each scenario, we calculated the proportion of species in a threat category (Vulnerable, Endangered, Critically Endangered) at a pixel resolution of 30 arc seconds and by family. Our results show a high proportion (58-67%) of threatened species among the four experimental scenarios, with the highest proportion under RCP8.5 and limited dispersal. Threatened species were concentrated in montane areas and avoided lowland areas where conditions are likely to be increasingly inhospitable. Annual precipitation and diurnal temperature range were the main drivers of species' relative vulnerability. Our approach identifies strategic montane areas and taxa of conservation concern that merit urgent inclusion in management plans to improve climatic resilience in the Mesoamerican biodiversity hotspot. Such information is necessary to develop policies that prioritize vulnerable elements and mitigate threats to biodiversity under climate change.},
}
@article {pmid38421797,
year = {2024},
author = {Lokmic-Tomkins, Z and Friel, G and Rodríguez, DEC and Huffling, K},
title = {Why COP28 outcomes matter: insights on addressing climate change, fossil fuels, and global health resilience.},
journal = {Contemporary nurse},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {1-4},
doi = {10.1080/10376178.2024.2322987},
pmid = {38421797},
issn = {1839-3535},
}
@article {pmid38421348,
year = {2024},
author = {Rezza, G},
title = {Climate change and the spread of Aedes mosquito-borne viruses in Europe.},
journal = {Pathogens and global health},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {1-2},
doi = {10.1080/20477724.2024.2323842},
pmid = {38421348},
issn = {2047-7732},
abstract = {Several outbreaks of chikungunya and dengue occurred on Mediterranean coasts during the hot season in the last two decades. Aedes albopictus was the vector involved in all the events. As a consequence of climate change, the 'Tiger' mosquito is now spreading through central Europe, and in the summer of 2023, for the first time, mosquito control measures were implemented in Paris to prevent autochthonous transmission of dengue. Rapid changes in the distribution of tropical disease vectors need to be taken into account in future risk assessment activities.},
}
@article {pmid38421157,
year = {2024},
author = {Li, L and Pang, YZ and Sun, GQ and Ruan, S},
title = {Impact of Climate Change on Vegetation Patterns in Altay Prefecture, China.},
journal = {Mathematical medicine and biology : a journal of the IMA},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1093/imammb/dqae002},
pmid = {38421157},
issn = {1477-8602},
abstract = {Altay Prefecture, a typical arid region in northwestern China, has experienced the climate transition from warming-drying to warming-wetting since 1980s and has attracted widespread attention. Nonetheless, it is still unclear how climate change has influenced the distribution of vegetation in this region. In this paper, a reaction-diffusion model of the climate-vegetation system is proposed to study the impact of climate change (precipitation, temperature and carbon dioxide concentration) on vegetation patterns in Altay Prefecture. Our results indicate that the tendency of vegetation growth in Altay Prefecture improved gradually from 1985 to 2010. Under the current climate conditions, the increase of precipitation results in the change of vegetation pattern structures, and eventually vegetation coverage tends to be uniform. Moreover, we found that there exists an optimal temperature where the spot vegetation pattern structure remains stable. Furthermore, the increase in carbon dioxide concentration induces vegetation pattern transition. Based on four climate change scenarios of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (CMIP6), we used the power law range (PLR) to predict the optimal scenario for the sustainable development of the vegetation ecosystem in Altay Prefecture.},
}
@article {pmid38420456,
year = {2024},
author = {Wan, Y and Chen, S and Liu, J and Jin, L},
title = {Brownfield-related studies in the context of climate change: A comprehensive review and future prospects.},
journal = {Heliyon},
volume = {10},
number = {4},
pages = {e25784},
pmid = {38420456},
issn = {2405-8440},
abstract = {The global climate change events are expected to augment the vulnerability of persistent organic pollutants within the global brownfield areas to a certain extent, consequently heightening the risk crises faced by these brownfields amidst the backdrop of global environmental changes. However, studies addressing brownfield risks from the perspective of climate change have received limited attention. Nonetheless, the detrimental consequences of brownfield risks are intrinsically linked to strategies for mitigating and adapting to sustainable urban development, emphasizing the critical importance of their far-reaching implications. This relevance extends to concerns about environmental quality, safety, health risks, and the efficacy of chosen regeneration strategies, including potential secondary pollution risks. This comprehensive review systematically surveys pertinent articles published between 1998 and 2023. A selective analysis was conducted on 133 articles chosen for their thematic relevance. The findings reveal that: (1) Under the backdrop of the climate change process, brownfield restoration is necessitated to provide scientific and precise guidance. The integration of brownfield considerations with the dynamics of climate change has progressively evolved into a unified framework, gradually shaping a research paradigm characterized by "comprehensive + multi-scale + quantitative" methodologies; (2) Research themes coalesce into five prominent clusters: "Aggregation of Brownfield Problem Analysis", "Precision Enhancement of Brownfield Identification through Information Technology", "Diversification of Brownfield Reutilization Assessment", "Process-Oriented Approaches to Brownfield Restoration Strategies", and "Expansion of Ecological Service Functions in Brownfield Contexts"; (3) Application methodologies encompass five key facets: "Temporal and Spatial Distribution Patterns of Pollutants", "Mechanisms and Correlations of Pollution Effects", "Evaluation of Pollution Risks", "Assessment of Brownfield Restoration Strategies", and "Integration of Brownfield Regeneration with Spatial Planning". Future brownfield research from the climate change perspective is poised to reflect characteristics such as "High-Precision Prediction, Comprehensive Dimensionality, Full-Cycle Evaluation, Low-Risk Exposure, and Commitment to Sustainable Development".},
}
@article {pmid38419768,
year = {2024},
author = {Kempf, M},
title = {A dataset to model Levantine landcover and land-use change connected to climate change, the Arab Spring and COVID-19.},
journal = {Data in brief},
volume = {53},
number = {},
pages = {110198},
pmid = {38419768},
issn = {2352-3409},
abstract = {The Levant is highly vulnerable to climate change and experiences prolonged heat waves that have led to societal crises and population displacement. In addition, the region has been impacted by further socio-political turmoil at least since 2010, including the Syrian civil war and currently the escalation of the so-called Israeli-Palestinian Conflict, which strained neighbouring countries like Jordan due to the influx of Syrian refugees and increases population vulnerability to governmental decision-making. Jordan, in particular, has seen rapid population growth and significant changes in land-use and infrastructure, leading to over-exploitation of the landscape through irrigation and unregulated construction activity. This article uses climate data, satellite imagery, and land cover information in a multicomponent trend analysis to illustrate the substantial increase in construction activity and to highlight the intricate relationship between climate change predictions and current socio-political development in the Levant. The analyses were performed using annual and seasonal composites of MODIS (Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer) NDVI (Normalized Difference Vegetation Index) datasets with a spatial resolution of 250 m compared to climate indices of the GLDAS (Global Land Data Assimilation System) Noah Land Surface Model L4 dataset for the period 2001-2023. Surface reflectance and climatic parameters were then evaluated on the basis of socio-cultural factors, such as population dynamics, governmental decision-making, water withdrawal regulations, and built-up change as a result of large-scale migration processes. All analyses were conducted using R-software and can be reproduced and replicated using the code and the data provided in this article and the repository.},
}
@article {pmid38419409,
year = {2024},
author = {Squires, E and Whiting, L and Petty, J},
title = {Effects of climate change on the health of children and young people.},
journal = {Nursing standard (Royal College of Nursing (Great Britain) : 1987)},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.7748/ns.2024.e12308},
pmid = {38419409},
issn = {2047-9018},
abstract = {The effects of climate change, such as air pollution and extreme heat events, can adversely affect the physical and mental health of children and young people at all ages. This article explores the effects of climate change on children and young people's development and explains the effects of air pollution and heatwaves on their health. The article also discusses how children and young people are knowledgeable and concerned about the effects of climate change and can offer new perspectives on addressing these effects. Finally, the authors consider the role of nurses in raising awareness of the adverse effects of climate change on children's health, incorporating climate change in their practice and promoting opportunities for children's involvement in healthcare decision-making, strategies and policy development.},
}
@article {pmid38418986,
year = {2024},
author = {John, L and Shekede, MD and Gwitira, I and Mazhindu, AN and Pfukenyi, DM and Chikerema, S},
title = {Modelling climate change impacts on the spatial distribution of anthrax in Zimbabwe.},
journal = {BMC public health},
volume = {24},
number = {1},
pages = {632},
pmid = {38418986},
issn = {1471-2458},
abstract = {BACKGROUND: In Zimbabwe, anthrax is endemic with outbreaks being reported almost annually in livestock, wildlife, and humans over the past 40 years. Accurate modelling of its spatial distribution is key in formulating effective control strategies. In this study, an Ensemble Species Distribution Model was used to model the current and future distribution of anthrax occurrence in Zimbabwe.<br><br>METHODS: Bioclimatic variables derived from the Beijing Climate Centre Climate System Model were used to model the disease. Collinearity testing was conducted on the 19 bioclimatic variables and elevation to remove redundancy. Variables that had no collinearity were used for anthrax habitat suitability modelling. Two future climate change scenarios for different Representative Concentration Pathways (RCP), RCP4.5 and RCP8.5 were used. Model evaluation was done using true skill, Kappa statistics and receiver operating characteristics.<br><br>RESULTS: The results showed that under current bioclimatic conditions, eastern and western districts&#xa0;of Zimbabwe were modelled as&#xa0;highly suitable, central districts moderately suitable and southern parts marginally suitable for anthrax occurrence. Future predictions demonstrated that the suitable (8%) and highly suitable (7%) areas for anthrax occurrence would increase under RCP4.5 scenario. In contrast, a respective decrease (11%) and marginal increase (0.6%) of suitable and highly suitable areas for anthrax occurrence were predicted under the RCP8.5 scenario. The percentage contribution of the predictors varied for the different scenarios; Bio6 and Bio18 for the current scenario, Bio2, Bio4 and Bio9 for the RCP4.5 and Bio3 and Bio15 for the RCP8.5 scenarios.<br><br>CONCLUSIONS: The study revealed that areas currently suitable for anthrax should be targeted for surveillance and prevention. The predicted future anthrax distribution can be used to guide and prioritise surveillance and control activities and optimise allocation of limited resources. In the marginally to moderately suitable areas, effective disease surveillance systems and awareness need to be put in place for early detection of outbreaks. Targeted vaccinations and other control measures including collaborative 'One Health' strategies need to be implemented in the predicted highly suitable areas. In the southern part where a high decrease in suitability was predicted, continued monitoring would be necessary to detect incursions early.},
}
@article {pmid38417512,
year = {2024},
author = {Fernández, S and Arce, G and García-Alaminos, &#xc1; and Cazcarro, I and Arto, I},
title = {Climate change as a veiled driver of migration in Bangladesh and Ghana.},
journal = {The Science of the total environment},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {171210},
doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.171210},
pmid = {38417512},
issn = {1879-1026},
abstract = {People living in deltaic areas in developing countries are especially prone to suffer the effects from natural disasters due to their geographical and economic structure. Climate change is contributing to an increase in the frequency and intensity of extreme events affecting the environmental conditions of deltas, threatening the socioeconomic development of people and, eventually, triggering migration as an adaptation strategy. Climate change will likely contribute to worsening environmental stress in deltas, and understanding the relations between climate change, environmental impacts, socioeconomic conditions, and migration is emerging as a key element for planning climate adaptation. In this study, we use data from migration surveys and econometric techniques to analyse the extent to which environmental impacts affect individual migration decision-making in two delta regions in Bangladesh and Ghana. The results show that, in both deltas, climatic shocks that negatively affect economic security are significant drivers of migration, although the surveyed households do not identify environmental pressures as the root cause of the displacement. Furthermore, environmental impacts affecting food security and crop and livestock production are also significant as events inducing people to migrate, but only in Ghana. We also find that suffering from environmental stress can intensify or reduce the effects of socioeconomic drivers. In this sense, adverse climatic shocks may not only have a direct impact on migration but may also condition migration decisions indirectly through the occupation, the education, or the marital status of the person. We conclude that although climate change and related environmental pressures are not perceived as key drivers of migration, they affect migration decisions through indirect channels (e.g., reducing economic security or reinforcing the effect of socioeconomic drivers).},
}
@article {pmid38418475,
year = {2024},
author = {Gurung, K and Field, KJ and Batterman, SA and Poulton, SW and Mills, BJW},
title = {Geographic range of plants drives long-term climate change.},
journal = {Nature communications},
volume = {15},
number = {1},
pages = {1805},
pmid = {38418475},
issn = {2041-1723},
support = {NE/S009663/1//RCUK | Natural Environment Research Council (NERC)/ ; },
abstract = {Long computation times in vegetation and climate models hamper our ability to evaluate the potentially powerful role of plants on weathering and carbon sequestration over the Phanerozoic Eon. Simulated vegetation over deep time is often homogenous, and disregards the spatial distribution of plants and the impact of local climatic variables on plant function. Here we couple a fast vegetation model (FLORA) to a spatially-resolved long-term climate-biogeochemical model (SCION), to assess links between plant geographical range, the long-term carbon cycle and climate. Model results show lower rates of carbon fixation and up to double the previously predicted atmospheric CO2 concentration due to a limited plant geographical range over the arid Pangea supercontinent. The Mesozoic dispersion of the continents increases modelled plant geographical range from 65% to > 90%, amplifying global CO2 removal, consistent with geological data. We demonstrate that plant geographical range likely exerted a major, under-explored control on long-term climate change.},
}
@article {pmid38415003,
year = {2023},
author = {Alibudbud, RC},
title = {Climate change and mental health in the Philippines.},
journal = {BJPsych international},
volume = {20},
number = {2},
pages = {44-46},
pmid = {38415003},
issn = {2056-4740},
abstract = {The mental health repercussions of the climate crisis are observed annually in the Philippines, one of the world's most climate-vulnerable countries. This paper explores these repercussions by examining the aftermath of Typhoon Haiyan. It shows that mental health problems persisted beyond the typhoon's immediate aftermath among a large number of survivors. Since the mental health system was fragile, the affected community improved their mental health services through the help of local and international non-governmental organisations. Nonetheless, several challenges must be addressed as the country faces the climate crisis.},
}
@article {pmid38414958,
year = {2023},
author = {Kaya, AA and Aydin, A and Bağcivan, G},
title = {Climate change in Türkiye and its impact on oncology nurses.},
journal = {Ecancermedicalscience},
volume = {17},
number = {},
pages = {1623},
pmid = {38414958},
issn = {1754-6605},
abstract = {Climate change threatens human life and health by negatively affecting the basic components of health such as clean air, safe drinking water, nutritious food supply, and safe shelter. Türkiye is a country that is largely exposed to climate change with its cosmopolitan location, which is a bridge between Asia and Europe. Due to climate change, serious effects are seen in all sectors from energy to agriculture, from the economy to health. Climate change is defined as the most important global health threat of the next century, and the problems it brings are seen as the most important pressure factor for the life opportunities of future generations. Food and fresh water availability, rising sea levels, abnormal weather events, migration, and diseases are thought to affect human health. A multidisciplinary approach is required to adapt to climate change's health effects and reduce its negative health effects. In addition, it is predicted that diseases that are about to disappear will re-emerge and become threats. It is thought that as a result of the contamination of food and water resources with the changing ecosystem, some infections will increase and society will face them. Nurses are both affected by climate change and its effects on public health. Nurses who remain in this situation have a great role in providing effective awareness for raising public awareness. In recent years, oncology clinics have not been affected by fire, earthquakes, and pandemics in our country. In this respect, it can be stated that the health service in Turkish oncology clinics is carried out uninterruptedly and by experts in the field. We learned during the pandemic that the whole world is unprepared for the future effects of climate change. In this direction, nurses should think about solutions for the problems related to climate change in the future.},
}
@article {pmid38414956,
year = {2023},
author = {Samba, VL and Mezgebu, E and Habtes, H and Oti, NO and Mangongolo, BM and Bafumba, R and Burns, K and Sierra, MFO and Challinor, J and de Villiers, M},
title = {Climate change and oncology nursing: the African perspective.},
journal = {Ecancermedicalscience},
volume = {17},
number = {},
pages = {1621},
pmid = {38414956},
issn = {1754-6605},
abstract = {Climate change is impacting the lives of millions around the world and exacerbating existing challenges in healthcare globally. Although Africa contributes only 2%-3% of global greenhouse gas emissions, it suffers a disproportionate share of the environmental impact. High-income countries dominate the global discourse on climate change, while their continued utilisation of extractive policies exacerbates climate hazards and impacts economies in regions not responsible for the damage. Cancer is on the rise and constitutes a significant public health burden in low- and middle-income countries, yet little is known about the impact of climate change on oncology nursing on the African continent. To address the ways that climate change is exacerbating existing challenges and adding new difficulties for oncology care, it is essential that the expertise of professionals working in settings that are most impacted by the threats of climate change is amplified if climate crisis risks are to be effectively mitigated. Seven African oncology nurses from across sub-Saharan Africa were reflexively interviewed by voice over internet protocol (VOIP) in English to learn about their understanding of climate change and experiences with its impact on nursing care. Using a conceptual framework to map the impact of climate change on health and considering the vulnerability and social capacity of patients with cancer, our findings show how existing challenges to oncology nursing care are exacerbated by climate change on the continent. Food insecurity, national economic dependency on the agricultural sector, economic inequality, social vulnerability and isolation, transportation challenges, and the immunocompromised status of patients with cancer are all key concerns for oncology nurses in this context. We also present the nurses' specific recommendations for governments, hospital authorities, and oncology nurses regarding climate change mitigation, adaptation, and event response strategies. With this work, we aim to lay a foundation for further investigation and action to mitigate the oncoming challenges of climate disaster for oncology nurses across sub-Saharan Africa and the patients and families they care for.},
}
@article {pmid38414950,
year = {2023},
author = {Hawaamdah, J and Fowler, M},
title = {The impact of climate change on cancer nursing in Palestine.},
journal = {Ecancermedicalscience},
volume = {17},
number = {},
pages = {ed129},
pmid = {38414950},
issn = {1754-6605},
abstract = {Cancer is the third leading cause of death in Palestine, with many cancers diagnosed at a late stage. In contrast to the developed world, two thirds of cancer diagnoses occur between the ages of 15 and 64, moreover, 10% of all cancer diagnoses occur in children under the age of 10 (compared to 0.05% of all new cancer diagnoses in the UK). Cancer nursing as a speciality in Palestine is newly established in the last 5 years; partly helped by the introduction of the Higher Diploma in Cancer and Palliative Care Nursing, and more recently the delivery of the first intake of the Master of Science in Cancer and Palliative Care Nursing at Bethlehem University. There are many challenges faced by cancer patients and nurses in Palestine; there is only one facility in the West Bank that delivers radiotherapy, 2 PET-CT scanners for the whole of the West Bank, with no PET-CT or radiotherapy facilities in Gaza. There are 2 haematology units in the West Bank that perform autologous stem cell transplants for adults and any haematology patient (adult or child) requiring an allogeneic stem cell/bone marrow transplant has to be referred to neighbouring Israel or Jordan. Climate change might have both a direct and indirect impact on the growth of cancers and on cancer treatment and oncology nurses. Over the last 150 years the planet has warmed by over one degree Celsius resulting in disastrous consequences for the environment. Nurses make up the largest number of the healthcare workforce and are ideally placed to have a positive impact on the global warming crisis due to their leadership roles as well as their work in health promotion. They equally do a lot to help cancer patients to deal with its effects and often care for patients from marginalised groups. It is important for nurses to take the lead and move immediately to make health systems more resistant to climate change.},
}
@article {pmid38414942,
year = {2023},
author = {Arias, NM and Durán, &#xc1;AA and Lozano, MYR and de la Serna, CDLR and Olarte-Sierra, M&#xcd;F and Challinor, J and Arbelaez, YVG and Díaz, MYM and Rodríguez, LDR},
title = {Climate change and cancer: an oncology nurse perspective in two Colombian regions.},
journal = {Ecancermedicalscience},
volume = {17},
number = {},
pages = {1620},
pmid = {38414942},
issn = {1754-6605},
abstract = {Given the lack of publications and public policies addressing the relationship between climate change and cancer care in Colombia, we present an exploration of the perspectives and communication practices of a group of nurses from Valle del Cauca and Antioquia. We provide a context based on the available literature on climate change and general health then provide an overview of cancer in the country. Next, we present how oncology nurses have incorporated information about strategies their patients can use to mitigate the effects of climate change on their health. We highlight the centrality of patient-centered communication using a framework from the US National Cancer Institute) and the fundamental role nurses have in patients' experiences throughout their treatment. We conclude with the need to investigate oncology nurse communication practices in other Colombian hospitals, with consideration of culture, cancer stigma, barriers to care and other factors that may influence successful climate change mitigation and to better understand how other Latin American oncology nurses are addressing this serious challenge.},
}
@article {pmid38414932,
year = {2023},
author = {Tanay, MA and Quiambao-Udan, J and Soriano, O and Aquino, G and Valera, PM},
title = {Filipino nurses' experiences and perceptions of the impact of climate change on healthcare delivery and cancer care in the Philippines: a qualitative exploratory survey.},
journal = {Ecancermedicalscience},
volume = {17},
number = {},
pages = {1622},
pmid = {38414932},
issn = {1754-6605},
abstract = {BACKGROUND: Because of its geographical location, the Philippines is vulnerable to the effects of climate change and almost all types of natural hazards such as typhoons, earthquakes, and volcanic eruptions. Cancer is one of the leading causes of death in the Philippines and is one of the major public health concerns. Little is known about how climate change affects cancer services in the Philippines. As the biggest workforce in most institutions, having awareness and knowledge about disaster preparedness and management among nurses can help in reducing the devastating effects of natural disasters on health services. Thus, it is important to understand Filipino nurses' experiences and perception of the impact of climate change on healthcare delivery and cancer care in the Philippines.<br><br>AIM: This study explored Filipino nurses' experiences and perception of the impact of climate change on healthcare delivery and cancer care in the Philippines.<br><br>METHODS: This is a descriptive qualitative exploratory study. Participants were recruited using the snowballing technique and completed an online survey. Forty-six nurses who were working in Luzon, Philippines at the time of the data collection were included in the analysis. Data were analysed using thematic analysis.<br><br>FINDINGS: Three themes were identified, namely: (1) effects of climate change causing disruption and delay in provision of patient care, (2) impact of climate change on nurses and a deep sense of duty, and (3) perceived impact on patients with cancer.<br><br>CONCLUSION: Our study findings contribute to the existing literature that focuses on the impact of climate change-related events such as typhoons and floods on healthcare services and nursing staff. Several areas of cancer care are also impacted, particularly delays in treatment such as chemotherapy. Despite the challenges, the nurses in our study demonstrated a deep sense of commitment in carrying out their roles.},
}
@article {pmid38413648,
year = {2024},
author = {Chen, K and de Schrijver, E and Sivaraj, S and Sera, F and Scovronick, N and Jiang, L and Roye, D and Lavigne, E and Kyselý, J and Urban, A and Schneider, A and Huber, V and Madureira, J and Mistry, MN and Cvijanovic, I and , and Gasparrini, A and Vicedo-Cabrera, AM},
title = {Impact of population aging on future temperature-related mortality at different global warming levels.},
journal = {Nature communications},
volume = {15},
number = {1},
pages = {1796},
pmid = {38413648},
issn = {2041-1723},
support = {820655//EC | Horizon 2020 Framework Programme (EU Framework Programme for Research and Innovation H2020)/ ; 101032087//EC | EU Framework Programme for Research and Innovation H2020 | H2020 Priority Excellent Science | H2020 Marie Sk&#x142;odowska-Curie Actions (H2020 Excellent Science - Marie Sk&#x142;odowska-Curie Actions)/ ; MR/V034162/1//RCUK | Medical Research Council (MRC)/ ; },
abstract = {Older adults are generally amongst the most vulnerable to heat and cold. While temperature-related health impacts are projected to increase with global warming, the influence of population aging on these trends remains unclear. Here we show that at 1.5 °C, 2 °C, and 3 °C of global warming, heat-related mortality in 800 locations across 50 countries/areas will increase by 0.5%, 1.0%, and 2.5%, respectively; among which 1 in 5 to 1 in 4 heat-related deaths can be attributed to population aging. Despite a projected decrease in cold-related mortality due to progressive warming alone, population aging will mostly counteract this trend, leading to a net increase in cold-related mortality by 0.1%-0.4% at 1.5-3 °C global warming. Our findings indicate that population aging constitutes a crucial driver for future heat- and cold-related deaths, with increasing mortality burden for both heat and cold due to the aging population.},
}
@article {pmid38411915,
year = {2024},
author = {Ibrahim, AE and Salem, HA and Abdelhalim, A},
title = {Environmental implications of three Pleurotus strain growths for water remediation in the perspective of climate change in New Egyptian Delta.},
journal = {Environmental science and pollution research international},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
pmid = {38411915},
issn = {1614-7499},
abstract = {Recently, the integrated different interdisciplinary studies derived the environmental solutions of the climate change impacts (e.g., cultivation, wastewater treatment, and managing groundwater resources) (Mesalhy et al. 2020, and Gobashy et al. 2021). Thus, this paper focused on the application of bioremediation to maximize the use of wastewater for new reclamation areas in the Northwest Egyptian desert (New Egyptian Delta (NED). In the NED project, the drainage water samples collected from Nile Delta drains will provide the main unconventional water resources for irrigation through the new Hammam canal. Therefore, three Pleurotus strains were grown moderately on two natural media, the first containing Salvia L. (sage) extract (MDA) and the second containing Thymus vulgaris L. (origanum thymus Kuntze, Thymus collinus Salisb) (TDA) extract replacing potato infusions in standard PDA. Pleurotus ostreatus (Jacquin; Kummer) strain records the highest growth among the three tested fungi on modified media. PO records 4.49 and 4.41 cm on (MDA) and (TDA), respectively. There is a marked decrease in the majority of heavy metal concentrations on sterile drainage water amended with PD broth and inoculated with three tested Pleurotus strains individually. At the end of the incubation period, Pleurotus ostereatus which expressed in abbreviation (PO) are more efficient in the removal of Al, Co, Cr, and Ni by 53.15, 95.87, 58.47, and 85.07%; respectively. Pleurorotus pulmonarius (Fr.) which symbolized (PP) is more potent in the removal of Cd, Si, Sn, Sr, and V by 70.37, 56.59, 41.19, 52.78, and 96.24%; respectively. Pleurotus floridanus (NZOR) which indicated as (PF) is actively over the former species in the removal of Ba, Fe, and Mo by 87.84, 46.67, and 97.34%; respectively. Cu, Mn, Pb, As, and Se could not be detected as the control sample recorded measurements below 0.009 mg L[-1]. An unexpected increase in Zn among the different treatments was detected from 05.04 to 07.01%.},
}
@article {pmid38411188,
year = {2024},
author = {Canaday, FT and Georas, SN and Croft, DP},
title = {Examining the impact of air pollution, climate change, and social determinants of health on asthma and environmental justice.},
journal = {Current opinion in pulmonary medicine},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1097/MCP.0000000000001065},
pmid = {38411188},
issn = {1531-6971},
abstract = {PURPOSE OF REVIEW: In this review, we discuss the current literature examining the impact air pollution and climate change has on asthma onset, control, and exacerbation. This review also addresses the risk of exposure to specific disproportionately affected communities, highlighting health disparities in exposure and asthma outcomes.<br><br>RECENT FINDINGS: Recent studies have shifted from highlighting the associations between asthma exacerbations and indoor and outdoor air pollution. Studies are now focused on confirming the association of asthma incidence from these same exposures. Many studies have linked particulate matter to adverse asthma outcomes, however, the pollutant exposures that pose the greatest risk and the effect of natural disasters fueled by climate change are under current study. Some studies have observed that the true burden that pollutant exposures have on asthma outcomes occurs at the intersection of exposure and vulnerability. Future studies in this area will address social determinants of health, societal factors such as redlining and other systemic racism practices.<br><br>SUMMARY: Although decades of research support the causal link between gaseous and particulate air pollution and the exacerbation of preexisting asthma, recent studies suggest air pollution can cause incident (new onset) asthma. Studies have started to focus on the underlying drivers of poor outcomes in asthma. Many of the structural impediments to high quality asthma care at the society level (e.g. poverty, redlining, systemic racism) also are risk factors for worsened climate events and air pollution exposure. The individuals in these disproportionately affected groups are doubly affected by worsened exposure and worsened access to care for the resultant asthma exacerbations or incident asthma. More research is needed to understand the specific climate and air pollution mitigation efforts where disproportionately affected communities would derive the most benefit.},
}
@article {pmid38410793,
year = {2024},
author = {Mehlenbacher, AR and Doody, S and Eckert, C and Mehlenbacher, B},
title = {Prolepsis and Rendering Futures in Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change Reports.},
journal = {Written communication},
volume = {41},
number = {2},
pages = {352-377},
pmid = {38410793},
issn = {0741-0883},
abstract = {Rhetorical figures of speech provide important analytical frames to chart how arguments operate within genres and within genre ecologies. Varieties of the figure prolepsis allow for the rendering of future time or fact in the present, which can be a powerful rhetorical inducement toward social and political action. In this article, we examine how anticipatory arguments drawn from complex data shape a key genre for public and policy-facing work on the climate crisis-the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change's Synthesis Report's (SYR) Statement for Policy Makers (SPM). We examine how the rhetorical figure of prolepsis operates within this genre to understand the anticipatory arguments and logics emerging from the synthesis of scientific findings and their reporting. Pairing figural studies and Rhetorical Genre Studies, we further offer an approach to investigate how these patterned operations of language might intersect in their rhetorical workings.},
}
@article {pmid38409378,
year = {2024},
author = {Liu, S and Zhou, Z and Liu, J and Li, J and Jia, Y and Wang, H and Xu, C},
title = {Impact of climate change on water quality evolution in cold regions using a water-heat-nitrogen processes coupled model.},
journal = {Environmental science and pollution research international},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
pmid = {38409378},
issn = {1614-7499},
support = {51679257//the Natural Science Foundation of China/ ; SKR-2022056//Major scientific and technological projects of the Ministry of Water Resources/ ; 2021YFC3000205//the National Key Research and Development Program of China/ ; WR110145B0072023//China Institute of Water Resources and Hydropower Basic Research Funds Special Project/ ; },
abstract = {Cold regions are particularly vulnerable to climate change. Thus, evaluating the response of water quality evolution to climate change in cold regions is vital for formulating adaptive countermeasures for pollution control under changing climatic conditions. Taking the Songhua River Basin (SRB) in Northeast China as the target area, we designed a water-heat-nitrogen coupled model based on the principle of water and energy transfer and nitrogen cycle processes model (WEP-N) in cold regions. The impact of climate change on pollution load and water quality was analyzed during the freezing, thawing, and non-freeze-thaw periods by taking the sudden change point (1998) of precipitation and runoff evolution in the SRB as the cut-off. The ammonia nitrogen load at Jiamusi station, the outlet control station in the SRB, was decreased by 1502.9 t in the change period (1999-2018) over the base period (1956-1998), with a - 9.2% decrease due to climate change. Compared to the ammonia nitrogen load during the base period, the ammonia nitrogen load decreased by - 171.3, - 506.9, and - 824.8 t during the freezing, thawing, and non-freeze-thaw periods, respectively, while the coefficient of variation showed an increasing trend during three periods, especially during the freezing and thawing periods. However, the water quality changes differed among periods owing to varying runoff during the year. Meanwhile, increasing runoff and decreasing ammonia nitrogen load improved water quality at Jiamusi station during the freezing period. During the thawing and non-freeze-thaw period, the water quality deteriorated due to the decrease in runoff more than the decrease in ammonia nitrogen load. Hence, the impact of climate change on water quality during thawing and non-freeze-thaw periods should be monitored to potentially offset the human influence on pollution control. The difference in the rate of change of the proportion of Class IV water between the two models with or without the soil freeze-thaw mechanism was 15.9%. The result shows that the application of a model that does not consider the freeze-thaw mechanism might slightly exaggerate the impact of climate change on water quality.},
}
@article {pmid38409318,
year = {2024},
author = {Conradi, T and Eggli, U and Kreft, H and Schweiger, AH and Weigelt, P and Higgins, SI},
title = {Reassessment of the risks of climate change for terrestrial ecosystems.},
journal = {Nature ecology &amp; evolution},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
pmid = {38409318},
issn = {2397-334X},
support = {01LL1801A//Bundesministerium f&#xfc;r Bildung und Forschung (Federal Ministry of Education and Research)/ ; },
abstract = {Forecasting the risks of climate change for species and ecosystems is necessary for developing targeted conservation strategies. Previous risk assessments mapped the exposure of the global land surface to changes in climate. However, this procedure is unlikely to robustly identify priority areas for conservation actions because nonlinear physiological responses and colimitation processes ensure that ecological changes will not map perfectly to the forecast climatic changes. Here, we combine ecophysiological growth models of 135,153 vascular plant species and plant growth-form information to transform ambient and future climatologies into phytoclimates, which describe the ability of climates to support the plant growth forms that characterize terrestrial ecosystems. We forecast that 33% to 68% of the global land surface will experience a significant change in phytoclimate by 2070 under representative concentration pathways RCP 2.6 and RCP 8.5, respectively. Phytoclimates without present-day analogue are forecast to emerge on 0.3-2.2% of the land surface and 0.1-1.3% of currently realized phytoclimates are forecast to disappear. Notably, the geographic pattern of change, disappearance and novelty of phytoclimates differs markedly from the pattern of analogous trends in climates detected by previous studies, thereby defining new priorities for conservation actions and highlighting the limits of using untransformed climate change exposure indices in ecological risk assessments. Our findings suggest that a profound transformation of the biosphere is underway and emphasize the need for a timely adaptation of biodiversity management practices.},
}
@article {pmid38408778,
year = {2024},
author = {Taylor, L},
title = {Dengue fever: Brazil rushes out vaccine as climate change fuels unprecedented surge.},
journal = {BMJ (Clinical research ed.)},
volume = {384},
number = {},
pages = {q483},
doi = {10.1136/bmj.q483},
pmid = {38408778},
issn = {1756-1833},
}
@article {pmid38408683,
year = {2024},
author = {Kumar, A and Mushtaq, M and Kumar, P and Sharma, DP and Gahlaut, V},
title = {Insights into flowering mechanisms in apple (Malus × domestica Borkh.) amidst climate change: An exploration of genetic and epigenetic factors.},
journal = {Biochimica et biophysica acta. General subjects},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {130593},
doi = {10.1016/j.bbagen.2024.130593},
pmid = {38408683},
issn = {1872-8006},
abstract = {Apple (Malus × domestica Borkh.) holds a prominent position among global temperate fruit crops, with flowering playing a crucial role in both production and breeding. This review delves into the intricate mechanisms governing apple flowering amidst the backdrop of climate change, acknowledging the profound influence of external and internal factors on biennial bearing, flower bud quality, and ultimately, fruit quality. Notably, the challenge faced in major apple production regions is not an inadequacy of flowers but an excess, leading to compromised fruit quality necessitating thinning practices. Climate change exacerbates these challenges, rendering apple trees more susceptible to crop failure due to unusual weather events, such as reduced winter snowfall, early spring cold weather, and hailstorms during flowering and fruit setting. Altered climatic conditions, exemplified by increased spring warming coupled with sub-freezing temperatures, negatively impact developing flower buds and decrease overall crop production. Furthermore, changing winter conditions affect chilling accumulation, disrupting flower development and synchronicity. Although the physiological perception of apple flowering has been reviewed in the past, the genetic, epigenetic, and multi-omics regulatory mechanisms governing floral induction and flowering are still rarely discussed in the case of apple flowering. This article comprehensively reviews the latest literature encompassing all aspects of apple flowering, aiming to broaden our understanding and address flowering challenges while also laying a solid foundation for future research in developing cultivars that are ideally adapted to climate change.},
}
@article {pmid38408245,
year = {2024},
author = {Moore, MP and Nalley, SE and Hamadah, D},
title = {An evolutionary innovation for mating facilitates ecological niche expansion and buffers species against climate change.},
journal = {Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America},
volume = {121},
number = {10},
pages = {e2313371121},
doi = {10.1073/pnas.2313371121},
pmid = {38408245},
issn = {1091-6490},
support = {NA//CU | University of Colorado Denver (UC Denver)/ ; NA//Living Earth Collaborative/ ; },
abstract = {One of the drivers of life's diversification has been the emergence of "evolutionary innovations": The evolution of traits that grant access to underused ecological niches. Since ecological interactions can occur separately from mating, mating-related traits have not traditionally been considered factors in niche evolution. However, in order to persist in their environment, animals need to successfully mate just as much as they need to survive. Innovations that facilitate mating activity may therefore be an overlooked determinant of species' ecological limits. Here, we show that species' historical niches and responses to contemporary climate change are shaped by an innovation involved in mating-a waxy, ultra-violet-reflective pruinescence produced by male dragonflies. Physiological experiments in two species demonstrate that pruinescence reduces heating and water loss. Phylogenetic analyses show that pruinescence is gained after taxa begin adopting a thermohydrically stressful mating behavior. Further comparative analyses reveal that pruinose species are more likely to breed in exposed, open-canopy microhabitats. Biogeographic analyses uncover that pruinose species occupy warmer and drier regions in North America. Citizen-science observations of Pachydiplax longipennis suggest that the extent of pruinescence can be optimized to match the local conditions. Finally, temporal analyses indicate that pruinose species have been buffered against contemporary climate change. Overall, these historical and contemporary patterns show that successful mating can shape species' niche limits in the same way as growth and survival.},
}
@article {pmid38406755,
year = {2023},
author = {Bevan, J and Blyth, R and Russel, B and Austin, I and Butler, M and Cheung, HC and Holtgrewe, L and Shah, V},
title = {Climate change and sustainability teaching in UK medical education - a national audit.},
journal = {Future healthcare journal},
volume = {10},
number = {Suppl 3},
pages = {138-139},
pmid = {38406755},
issn = {2514-6645},
}
@article {pmid38404209,
year = {2024},
author = {Fragnière, Y and Champoud, L and Küffer, N and Braillard, L and Jutzi, M and Wohlgemuth, T and Kozlowski, G},
title = {Cliff-edge forests: Xerothermic hotspots of local biodiversity and models for future climate change.},
journal = {Global change biology},
volume = {30},
number = {2},
pages = {e17196},
doi = {10.1111/gcb.17196},
pmid = {38404209},
issn = {1365-2486},
abstract = {Cliffs are remarkable environments that enable the existence of microclimates. These small, isolated sites, decoupled from the regional macroclimate, play a significant role in maintaining species biodiversity, particularly in topographically homogeneous landscapes. Our study investigated the microclimate of south-exposed forests situated at the edge of sandstone cliffs in the western part of the North Alpine Foreland Basin in Switzerland and its role in local forest community composition. Using direct measurements from data loggers, as well as vegetation analyses, it was possible to quantify the microclimate of the cliff-edge forests and compare it with that of the surrounding forests. Our results highlighted the significant xerothermic and more variable nature of the cliff-edge forest microclimate, with a mean soil temperature up to 3.72°C warmer in the summer, higher annual (+28%) and daily (+250%) amplitudes of soil temperature, which frequently expose vegetation to extreme temperatures, and an 83% higher soil drying rate. These differences have a distinct influence on forest communities: cliff-edge forests are significantly different from surrounding forests. The site particularities of cliff edges support the presence of locally rare species and forest types, particularly of Scots pine. Cliff edges must therefore be considered microrefugia with a high conservation value for both xerothermic species and flora adapted to more continental climates. Moreover, the microclimate of cliff-edge forests could resemble the future climate in many ways. We argue that these small areas, which are already experiencing the future climate, can be seen as natural laboratories to better answer the following question: what will our forests look like in a few decades with accelerated climate change?},
}
@article {pmid38403891,
year = {2024},
author = {Terasaki Hart, DE and Wang, IJ},
title = {Genomic architecture controls multivariate adaptation to climate change.},
journal = {Global change biology},
volume = {30},
number = {2},
pages = {e17179},
doi = {10.1111/gcb.17179},
pmid = {38403891},
issn = {1365-2486},
support = {//Bezos Earth Fund/ ; DEB1845682//Division of Environmental Biology/ ; //University of California, Berkeley/ ; },
abstract = {As climate change advances, environmental gradients may decouple, generating novel multivariate environments that stress wild populations. A commonly invoked mechanism of evolutionary rescue is adaptive gene flow tracking climate shifts, but gene flow from populations inhabiting similar conditions on one environmental axis could cause maladaptive introgression when populations are adapted to different environmental variables that do not shift together. Genomic architecture can play an important role in determining the effectiveness and relative magnitudes of adaptive gene flow and in situ adaptation. This may have direct consequences for how species respond to climate change but is often overlooked. Here, we simulated microevolutionary responses to environmental change under scenarios defined by variation in the polygenicity, linkage, and genetic redundancy of two independent traits, one of which is adapted to a gradient that shifts under climate change. We used these simulations to examine how genomic architecture influences evolutionary outcomes under climate change. We found that climate-tracking (up-gradient) gene flow, though present in all scenarios, was strongly constrained under scenarios of lower linkage and higher polygenicity and redundancy, suggesting in situ adaptation as the predominant mechanism of evolutionary rescue under these conditions. We also found that high polygenicity caused increased maladaptation and demographic decline, a concerning result given that many climate-adapted traits may be polygenic. Finally, in scenarios with high redundancy, we observed increased adaptive capacity. This finding adds to the growing recognition of the importance of redundancy in mediating in situ adaptive capacity and suggests opportunities for better understanding the climatic vulnerability of real populations.},
}
@article {pmid38403549,
year = {2024},
author = {Datta, P and Datta, R and Lewis, K and Hurlbert, M},
title = {Youth response to climate change: Learning from Indigenous land-based camp at the Northern Saskatchewan Indigenous Communities, Canada.},
journal = {Explore (New York, N.Y.)},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1016/j.explore.2024.02.003},
pmid = {38403549},
issn = {1878-7541},
abstract = {This paper represents Youth's involvement in land-based learning in Indigenous culture camps (LLICP) in a powerful and innovative approach to addressing the pressing global issue of climate change. Following Indigenist and relational approaches, we (Indigenous and non-Indigenous youth and educators) explore the critical aspects of this initiative, highlighting its significance and potential impact. Indigenous communities have long held a deep connection with the land and possess traditional knowledge that is invaluable in combating climate change. The LLICP initiative involves organizing cultural camps designed for youth from diverse backgrounds to learn from Indigenous elders and community leaders about the vital relationship between the environment and Indigenous cultures. The LLICP provides a unique opportunity for young people to engage with Indigenous wisdom, traditional practices, and land-based teachings. Through Indigenous elders and knowledge-keepers guidelines, we learned a holistic understanding of sustainable living, biodiversity conservation, and the importance of preserving ecosystems. Our learning helped us, particularly our youths, to become proactive stewards of the environment and advocates for climate action. The LLICP fosters cross-cultural understanding and collaboration, encouraging a sense of unity among youths. The LLICP inspires innovative solutions to climate-related challenges and empowers youth to take leadership roles in their communities, advocating for sustainable policies and practices. The LLICP offers a powerful means of engaging young people in the fight against climate change while respecting and honoring Indigenous knowledge and heritage. It is a promising step towards a more sustainable and resilient future for all.},
}
@article {pmid38403295,
year = {2024},
author = {Vanalli, C and Mari, L and Casagrandi, R and Gatto, M and Cattadori, IM},
title = {Helminth ecological requirements shape the impact of climate change on the hazard of infection.},
journal = {Ecology letters},
volume = {27},
number = {2},
pages = {e14386},
doi = {10.1111/ele.14386},
pmid = {38403295},
issn = {1461-0248},
abstract = {Outbreaks and spread of infectious diseases are often associated with seasonality and environmental changes, including global warming. Free-living stages of soil-transmitted helminths are highly susceptible to climatic drivers; however, how multiple climatic variables affect helminth species, and the long-term consequences of these interactions, is poorly understood. We used experiments on nine trichostrongylid species of herbivores to develop a temperature- and humidity-dependent model of infection hazard, which was then implemented at the European scale under climate change scenarios. Intestinal and stomach helminths exhibited contrasting climatic responses, with the former group strongly affected by temperature while the latter primarily impacted by humidity. Among the demographic traits, larval survival heavily modulated the infection hazard. According to the specific climatic responses of the two groups, climate change is expected to generate differences in the seasonal and spatial shifts of the infection hazard and group co-circulation. In the future, an intensification of these trends could create new opportunities for species range expansion and co-occurrence at European central-northern latitudes.},
}
@article {pmid38402970,
year = {2024},
author = {Saygin, H and Tilkili, B and Karniyarik, S and Baysal, A},
title = {Culture dependent analysis of bacterial activity, biofilm-formation and oxidative stress of seawater with the contamination of microplastics under climate change consideration.},
journal = {The Science of the total environment},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {171103},
doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.171103},
pmid = {38402970},
issn = {1879-1026},
abstract = {Temperature changes due to climate change and microplastic contamination are worldwide concerns, creating various problems in the marine environment. Therefore, this study was carried out to discover the impact of different temperature of seawater exposed to different types of plastic materials on culture dependent bacterial responses and oxidative characteristics. Seawater was exposed to microplastics obtained from various plastic materials at different temperature (-18, +4, +20, and +35 °C) for seven days. Then microplastics were removed from the suspension and microplastic-exposed seawater samples were analyzed for bacterial activity, biofilm formation and oxidative characteristics (antioxidant, catalase, glutathione, and superoxide dismutase) using Gram-negative Pseudomonas aeruginosa and Gram-positive Staphylococcus aureus. The results showed that the activity and biofilm formation of Pseudomonas aeruginosa and Staphylococcus aureus were affected through oxidative stress by catalase, glutathione, and superoxide dismutase due to the microplastic deformation by temperature changes. This study confirms that temperature changes as a result of climate change might influence microplastic degradation and their contamination impact in seawater in terms of bacterial metabolic and oxidation reactions.},
}
@article {pmid38402963,
year = {2024},
author = {Regev, S and Carmel, Y and Schlabing, D and Gal, G},
title = {Climate change impact on sub-tropical lakes ecosystem - Lake Kinneret as a case study.},
journal = {The Science of the total environment},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {171163},
doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.171163},
pmid = {38402963},
issn = {1879-1026},
abstract = {Climate change is anticipated to alter lake ecosystems by affecting water quality, potentially resulting in loss of ecosystem services. Subtropical lakes have high temperatures to begin with and are expected to exhibit higher temperatures all year round which might affect the thermal structure and ecological processes in a different manner than lakes in temperate zones. In this study the ecosystem response of the sub-tropical Lake Kinneret to climate change was explored using lake ecosystem models. Projection reliability was increased by using a weather generator and ensemble modelling, confronting uncertainty of both climate projections and lake models. The study included running two 1D hydrodynamic-biogeochemical models over one thousand realizations of two gradual temperature increase scenarios that span over 49 years. Our predictions show that an increase in air temperature would have subtle effects on stratification properties but may result in considerable changes to biogeochemical processes. Water temperature rise would cause a reduction in dissolved oxygen. Both of these changes would produce elevated phosphate and lowered ammonium concentrations. In turn, these changes are predicted to modify the phytoplankton community, expressed chiefly in increased cyanobacteria blooms at the expense of green phytoplankton and dinoflagellates; these changes may culminate in overall reduction of primary production. Identification of these trends would not be possible without the use of many realizations of climate scenarios. The use of ensemble modelling increased prediction reliability and highlighted elements of uncertainty. Though we use Lake Kinneret, the patterns identified most likely indicate processes that are expected in sub-tropical lakes in general.},
}
@article {pmid38401561,
year = {2024},
author = {Bagcchi, S},
title = {Climate change recognised in World malaria report 2023.},
journal = {The Lancet. Infectious diseases},
volume = {24},
number = {3},
pages = {e157},
doi = {10.1016/S1473-3099(24)00091-4},
pmid = {38401561},
issn = {1474-4457},
}
@article {pmid38397707,
year = {2024},
author = {Stilita, G and Charlson, F},
title = {Keeping Sane in a Changing Climate: Assessing Psychologists' Preparedness, Exposure to Climate-Health Impacts, Willingness to Act on Climate Change, and Barriers to Effective Action.},
journal = {International journal of environmental research and public health},
volume = {21},
number = {2},
pages = {},
doi = {10.3390/ijerph21020218},
pmid = {38397707},
issn = {1660-4601},
abstract = {Evidence of the impact of climate change on mental health is growing rapidly, and healthcare professionals are being called to be active participants in protecting the population's health. Yet, little is known about psychologists' understanding of climate-health impacts and their role in mitigation actions. We surveyed Australian psychologists (N = 59) to examine preparedness in identifying and managing the impact of climate change on mental health, exposure to climate-health impacts, willingness to act, and barriers to acting on climate change. Data was analysed through descriptive and associative methods. We found that participants are not prepared to identify and manage mental health presentations related to climate change, and they are not engaged in climate change mitigation. We identified that a lack of knowledge of climate-health impacts and tackling and mitigation strategies, in addition to ethical concerns, were the main barriers to engagement with communication and advocacy. With the impacts of climate change on mental health expected to soar, there is a clear and urgent need to prepare the psychological workforce to address this public health issue by establishing professional education programs and reframing climate change as a health crisis.},
}
@article {pmid38397701,
year = {2024},
author = {Neves, JMM and Belo, VS and Catita, CMS and Oliveira, BFA and Horta, MAP},
title = {Modeling of Human Rabies Cases in Brazil in Different Future Global Warming Scenarios.},
journal = {International journal of environmental research and public health},
volume = {21},
number = {2},
pages = {},
doi = {10.3390/ijerph21020212},
pmid = {38397701},
issn = {1660-4601},
support = {001//Coordena&#xe7;&#xe3;o de Aperfeicoamento de Pessoal de N&#xed;vel Superior/ ; },
abstract = {Bat species have been observed to have the potential to expand their distribution in response to climate change, thereby influencing shifts in the spatial distribution and population dynamics of human rabies cases. In this study, we applied an ensemble niche modeling approach to project climatic suitability under different future global warming scenarios for human rabies cases in Brazil, and assessed the impact on the probability of emergence of new cases. We obtained notification records of human rabies cases in all Brazilian cities from January 2001 to August 2023, as reported by the State and Municipal Health Departments. The current and future climate data were sourced from a digital repository on the WorldClim website. The future bioclimatic variables provided were downscaled climate projections from CMIP6 (a global model ensemble) and extracted from the regionalized climate model HadGEM3-GC31-LL for three future socioeconomic scenarios over four periods (2021-2100). Seven statistical algorithms (MAXENT, MARS, RF, FDA, CTA, GAM, and GLM) were selected for modeling human rabies. Temperature seasonality was the bioclimatic variable with the highest relative contribution to both current and future consensus models. Future scenario modeling for human rabies indicated a trend of changes in the areas of occurrence, maintaining the current pace of global warming, population growth, socioeconomic instability, and the loss of natural areas. In Brazil, there are areas with a higher likelihood of climatic factors contributing to the emergence of cases. When assessing future scenarios, a change in the local climatic suitability is observed that may lead to a reduction or increase in cases, depending on the region.},
}
@article {pmid38395450,
year = {2024},
author = {Teshome, M},
title = {Charting the systemic and cascading impacts of climate change on marine food systems and human health.},
journal = {BMJ global health},
volume = {8},
number = {Suppl 3},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1136/bmjgh-2023-014638},
pmid = {38395450},
issn = {2059-7908},
}
@article {pmid38394879,
year = {2024},
author = {Mumoli, N and Evangelista, I and Capra, C and Mantegazza, P and Cei, F},
title = {West Nile virus neuroinvasive disease: An emerging climate-change related sneaky syndrome.},
journal = {Journal of infection and public health},
volume = {17},
number = {4},
pages = {609-611},
doi = {10.1016/j.jiph.2024.02.008},
pmid = {38394879},
issn = {1876-035X},
}
@article {pmid38394793,
year = {2024},
author = {Giacoletti, A and Bosch-Belmar, M and Mangano, MC and Tantillo, MF and Sarà, G and Milisenda, G},
title = {Predicting the effect of fouling organisms and climate change on integrated shellfish aquaculture.},
journal = {Marine pollution bulletin},
volume = {201},
number = {},
pages = {116167},
doi = {10.1016/j.marpolbul.2024.116167},
pmid = {38394793},
issn = {1879-3363},
abstract = {Aquaculture industry represents a continuously growing sector playing a fundamental role in pursuing United Nation's goals. Increasing sea-surface temperatures, the growth of encrusting species and current cage cleaning practices proved to affect the productivity of commercial species. Here, through a Dynamic Energy Budget application under two different IPCC scenarios, we investigate the long-term effects of Pennaria disticha fragments' on Mytilus galloprovincialis' functional traits as a result of cage cleaning practices. While Climate-Change did not exert a marked effect on mussels' Life-History traits, the simulated effect of cage cleanings highlighted a positive effect on total weight, fecundity and time to commercial size. West-Mediterranean emerged as the most affected sector, with Malta, Montenegro, Morocco, Syria, Tunisia and Turkey between the top-affected countries. These outcomes confirm the reliability of a DEB-approach in projecting at different spatial and temporal scale eco-physiological results, avoiding the limitation of short-term studies and the difficulties of long-term ones.},
}
@article {pmid38394170,
year = {2024},
author = {Siiba, A and Kangmennaang, J and Baatiema, L and Luginaah, I},
title = {The relationship between climate change, globalization and non-communicable diseases in Africa: A systematic review.},
journal = {PloS one},
volume = {19},
number = {2},
pages = {e0297393},
pmid = {38394170},
issn = {1932-6203},
abstract = {Climate change and non-communicable diseases (NCDs) are considered the 21st Century's major health and development challenges. Both pose a disproportionate burden on low- and middle-income countries that are unprepared to cope with their synergistic effects. These two challenges pose risks for achieving many of the sustainable development goals (SDGs) and are both impacted by globalization through different pathways. While there are important insights on how climate change and or globalization impact NCDs in the general literature, comprehensive research that explores the influence of climate change and or globalization on NCDs is limited, particularly in the context of Africa. This review documents the pathways through which climate change and or globalization influence NCDs in Africa. We conducted a comprehensive literature search in eight electronic databases-Web of Science, PubMed, Scopus, Global Health Library, Science Direct, Medline, ProQuest, and Google Scholar. A total of 13864 studies were identified. Studies that were identified from more than one of the databases were automatically removed as duplicates (n = 9649). Following the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses (PRISMA) guidelines, a total of 27 studies were eventually included in the final review. We found that the impacts of climate change and or globalization on NCDs act through three potential pathways: reduction in food production and nutrition, urbanization and transformation of food systems. Our review contributes to the existing literature by providing insights into the impact of climate change and or globalization on human health. We believe that our findings will help enlighten policy makers working on these pathways to facilitate the development of effective policy and public health interventions to mitigate the effects of climate change and globalization on the rising burden of NCDs and goal 3 of the SDG, in particular.},
}
@article {pmid38392517,
year = {2024},
author = {Zhao, Q and Li, H and Chen, C and Fan, S and Wei, J and Cai, B and Zhang, H},
title = {Potential Global Distribution of Paracoccus marginatus, under Climate Change Conditions, Using MaxEnt.},
journal = {Insects},
volume = {15},
number = {2},
pages = {},
doi = {10.3390/insects15020098},
pmid = {38392517},
issn = {2075-4450},
support = {31872272//Qing Zhao/ ; 202103021224331//Hufang Zhang/ ; },
abstract = {The papaya mealybug, Paracoccus marginatus, is an invasive pest species found all over the world. It is native to Mexico and Central America, but is now present in more than 50 countries and regions, seriously threatening the economic viability of the agricultural and forestry industry. In the current study, the global potential distribution of P. marginatus was predicted under current and future climatic conditions using MaxEnt. The results of the model assessment indicated that the area under the curve of the receiver operating characteristic (ROC-AUC) was 0.949, while the TSS value was 0.820. The results also showed that the three variables with the greatest impact on the model were min temperature of coldest month (bio6), precipitation of wettest month (bio13), and precipitation of coldest quarter (bio19), with corresponding contributions of 46.8%, 31.1%, and 13.1%, respectively. The results indicated that the highly suitable areas were mainly located in tropical and subtropical regions, including South America, southern North America, Central America, Central Africa, Australia, the Indian subcontinent, and Southeast Asia. Under four climate scenarios in the 2050s and 2070s, the area of suitability will change very little. Moreover, the results showed that the area of suitable areas in 2070s increased under all four climate scenarios compared to the current climate. In contrast, the area of suitable habitat increases from the current to the 2050s under the SSP370 and SSP585 climate scenarios. The current study could provide a reference framework for the future control and management of papaya mealybug and other invasive species.},
}
@article {pmid38392304,
year = {2024},
author = {Daunoras, J and Kačergius, A and Gudiukaitė, R},
title = {Role of Soil Microbiota Enzymes in Soil Health and Activity Changes Depending on Climate Change and the Type of Soil Ecosystem.},
journal = {Biology},
volume = {13},
number = {2},
pages = {},
doi = {10.3390/biology13020085},
pmid = {38392304},
issn = {2079-7737},
abstract = {The extracellular enzymes secreted by soil microorganisms play a pivotal role in the decomposition of organic matter and the global cycles of carbon (C), phosphorus (P), and nitrogen (N), also serving as indicators of soil health and fertility. Current research is extensively analyzing these microbial populations and enzyme activities in diverse soil ecosystems and climatic regions, such as forests, grasslands, tropics, arctic regions and deserts. Climate change, global warming, and intensive agriculture are altering soil enzyme activities. Yet, few reviews have thoroughly explored the key enzymes required for soil fertility and the effects of abiotic factors on their functionality. A comprehensive review is thus essential to better understand the role of soil microbial enzymes in C, P, and N cycles, and their response to climate changes, soil ecosystems, organic farming, and fertilization. Studies indicate that the soil temperature, moisture, water content, pH, substrate availability, and average annual temperature and precipitation significantly impact enzyme activities. Additionally, climate change has shown ambiguous effects on these activities, causing both reductions and enhancements in enzyme catalytic functions.},
}
@article {pmid38390416,
year = {2024},
author = {Marczak, M and Wierzba, M and Kossowski, B and Marchewka, A and Morote, R and Klöckner, CA},
title = {Emotional responses to climate change in Norway and Ireland: a validation of the Inventory of Climate Emotions (ICE) in two European countries and an inspection of its nomological span.},
journal = {Frontiers in psychology},
volume = {15},
number = {},
pages = {1211272},
doi = {10.3389/fpsyg.2024.1211272},
pmid = {38390416},
issn = {1664-1078},
abstract = {There is an increasing research interest in emotional responses to climate change and their role in climate action and psycho-social impacts of climate change. At the same time, emotional experience of climate change is multidimensional and influenced by a variety of factors, including the local cultural context. Here, we contribute to the scientific debate about this topic with original quality-controlled data from the general populations in Norway (N = 491) and Ireland (N = 485). We investigate the cross-cultural validity and the nomological span of eight distinct emotional responses to climate change - climate anger, climate contempt, climate enthusiasm, climate powerlessness, climate guilt, climate isolation, climate anxiety, and climate sorrow - measured using the recently introduced Inventory of Climate Emotions. We first validate the 8-factor structure of the Norwegian and English language versions of the ICE. Subsequently, we demonstrate a high degree of cross-cultural measurement invariance for these eight climate emotions. Finally, we explore the relationships between these emotional responses and a range of theoretically relevant variables. In this final step, we show that climate emotions are differentially linked to climate change perceptions, support for mitigation policies, socio-demographic factors, feelings of loneliness and alienation, environmental activism, and the willingness to prioritize the natural environment over one's immediate self-interests. Some of these links are also differentiated by the cultural context. This research presents further evidence for the structural, cross-cultural, and concurrent validity of climate emotions as postulated in the ICE framework. Moreover, it provides tools in the form of validated Norwegian and English language versions of the ICE, the complete R code for the validation analysis, as well as an informed basis for cross-cultural research on emotional responses to climate change.},
}
@article {pmid38390402,
year = {2023},
author = {Biresselioglu, ME and Savas, ZF and Demir, MH and Kentmen-Cin, C},
title = {Tackling climate change at the city level: insights from Lighthouse Cities' climate mitigation efforts.},
journal = {Frontiers in psychology},
volume = {14},
number = {},
pages = {1308040},
doi = {10.3389/fpsyg.2023.1308040},
pmid = {38390402},
issn = {1664-1078},
abstract = {INTRODUCTION: The link between lifestyles and Greenhouse Gas (GHG) emissions has prioritized climate mitigation strategies of cities worldwide. As cities have increasingly generated GHG emissions by their industrial and transportation activities, their role in climate mitigation has gained prominence. Cities' climate mitigation policies to reduce the GHG intensity of their residents' daily lives are one of their significant efforts to tackle climate change. Lighthouse Cities (LCs), in particular, have emerged as remarkable actors in promoting lifestyle changes for their residents.<br><br>METHODS: This study examines climate mitigation strategies of LCs of Climate CAMPAIGNers project, including Baku, Vilnius, Lahti, Izmir, Trujillo, Athens, Linz, Milan, Cape Town, Dublin, and Skopelos, addressing lifestyle changes by conducting an expert survey in 11 LCs involving 89 respondents. The findings of the expert survey are comparatively analyzed across 11 LCs.<br><br>RESULTS: The results show that experts form Lighthouse Cities identify increasing awareness and information provision as a significant component of climate mitigation policies. Concerning lifestyle changes, strategies toward energy efficiency and sustainable mobility are highlighted as the primary areas to be prioritized.<br><br>DISCUSSION: This study enhances the understanding of cities' capacity to reduce their residents' GHG emissions. The findings can be utilized to identify and tailor policies for supporting the Lighthouse Cities in their climate change mitigation efforts and provide pointers for selecting the lifestyle changes that can be promoted and prioritized in Lighthouse Cities.},
}
@article {pmid38390091,
year = {2024},
author = {Sinore, T and Wang, F},
title = {Impact of climate change on agriculture and adaptation strategies in Ethiopia: A meta-analysis.},
journal = {Heliyon},
volume = {10},
number = {4},
pages = {e26103},
doi = {10.1016/j.heliyon.2024.e26103},
pmid = {38390091},
issn = {2405-8440},
abstract = {Ethiopia is a rainfall-based agricultural country that is susceptible to the impacts of climate change and risk. Floods and droughts, which happen more frequently and intensely, significantly and negatively influence agricultural production. The objective of the meta-analysis is to identify impacts on various sectors, adaptation strategies, and the challenges of climate change in the Ethiopian context. Twenty-three peer-reviewed articles were identified from ScienceDirect and Web of Science, followed by PRISMA guidelines, and analyzed using Stata version 13. The results reveal that climate change negatively impacts agriculture (by changing crop suitability, phenology, and productivity), the environment, and society, resulting from shifting temperature and rainfall patterns. Temperature variations, patterns of precipitation, and severe weather conditions have profound implications for agricultural productivity, water resources, ecosystems, and human well-being, which are multifaceted and interlinked. In addition, the reviewed articles informed us that farmers have used different coping strategies in response to climate change, such as soil and water conservation, agroforestry practices, integrated soil fertility management, small-scale irrigation, the application of improved crop varieties, the use of improved livestock, mixed cropping, early and late planting, and the practice of income-generating activities. The random effects meta-regression result shows that effective implementation of the above-mentioned practices reduces the risk of climate change in different sectors. The assessment also points out many challenges to the realization of these approaches, such as the lack of financing, institutional support, insufficient stakeholder involvement, ecological and sociocultural factors, and limited access to weather information. The meta-analysis concludes that addressing challenges requires holistic and integrated approaches that encompass adaptation strategies, sustainable land and water management, and social resilience-building to help the resilience of Ethiopian communities and ecosystems in the face of a changing climate.},
}
@article {pmid38388162,
year = {2024},
author = {Muhia, J and Rethlefsen, ML and Rossington, B and Wedmore, F and Pattnaik, A and Smith, R and Schroter, S},
title = {Health journal coverage of climate change and health: a bibliometric study.},
journal = {BMJ global health},
volume = {9},
number = {2},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1136/bmjgh-2023-014498},
pmid = {38388162},
issn = {2059-7908},
abstract = {OBJECTIVES: To find what proportion of a broad set of health journals have published on climate change and health, how many articles they have published, and when they first published on the subject.<br><br>DESIGN: Bibliometric study.<br><br>SETTING AND PARTICIPANTS: We conducted electronic searches in Ovid MEDLINE ALL for articles about climate change and human health published from 1860 to 31 December 2022 in 330 health journals. There were no limits by language or publication type. Results were independently screened by two raters for article eligibility.<br><br>RESULTS: After screening there were 2932 eligible articles published across 253 of the 330 journals between 1947 and 2022; most (2795/2932; 95%) were published in English. A few journals published articles in the early 90s, but there has been a rapid increase since about 2006. We were unable to categorise the types of publication but estimate that fewer than half are research papers. While articles were published in journals in 39 countries, two-thirds (1929/2932; 66%) were published in a journal published in the UK or the USA. Almost a quarter (77/330; 23%) of the journals published no eligible articles, and almost three-quarters (241/330; 73%) published five articles or fewer. The publication of joint editorials in over 200 journals in 2021 and 2022 boosted the number of journals publishing something on climate change and health. A third of the (112/330; 34%) journals in our sample published at least one of the joint editorials, and almost a third of those (32/112; 29%) were publishing on climate change and health for the first time.<br><br>CONCLUSIONS: Health journals are rapidly increasing the amount they publish on climate change and health, but despite climate change being the major threat to global health many journals had until recently published little or nothing. A joint editorial published in multiple journals increased coverage, and for many journals it was the first thing they published on climate change and health.},
}
@article {pmid38388161,
year = {2024},
author = {Araos, M and Wolfe, M},
title = {The climate missing: identifying bodies and preventing disappearances linked to climate change.},
journal = {BMJ global health},
volume = {9},
number = {2},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1136/bmjgh-2023-014767},
pmid = {38388161},
issn = {2059-7908},
}
@article {pmid38385958,
year = {2024},
author = {Dobor, L and Baldo, M and Bílek, L and Barka, I and Máliš, F and Štěpánek, P and Hlásny, T},
title = {The interacting effect of climate change and herbivory can trigger large-scale transformations of European temperate forests.},
journal = {Global change biology},
volume = {30},
number = {2},
pages = {e17194},
doi = {10.1111/gcb.17194},
pmid = {38385958},
issn = {1365-2486},
support = {Reg. No A_11_22/43960/1312/3166//Fakulta lesnick&#xe1; a d&#x159;eva&#x159;sk&#xe1;, &#x10c;esk&#xe1; Zem&#x11b;d&#x11b;lsk&#xe1; Univerzita v Praze/ ; 101000574//HORIZON EUROPE Framework Programme/ ; QK23020039//N&#xe1;rodn&#xed; agentura pro zem&#x11b;d&#x11b;lsk&#xfd; v&#xfd;zkum/ ; CZ.02.1.01/0.0/0.0/16_019/0000803//Ministerstvo &#x160;kolstv&#xed;, Ml&#xe1;de&#x17e;e a T&#x11b;lov&#xfd;chovy/ ; APVV-19-0319//Ministerstva &#x161;kolstva, v&#xfd;skumu, v&#xfd;voja a ml&#xe1;de&#x17e;e SROV/ ; VEGA 1/0624/21//Ministerstva &#x161;kolstva, v&#xfd;skumu, v&#xfd;voja a ml&#xe1;de&#x17e;e SROV/ ; },
abstract = {In many regions of Europe, large wild herbivores alter forest community composition through their foraging preferences, hinder the forest's natural adaptive responses to climate change, and reduce ecosystem resilience. We investigated a widespread European forest type, a mixed forest dominated by Picea abies, which has recently experienced an unprecedented level of disturbance across the continent. Using the forest landscape model iLand, we investigated the combined effect of climate change and herbivory on forest structure, composition, and carbon and identified conditions leading to ecosystem transitions on a 300-year timescale. Eight climate change scenarios, driven by Representative Concentration Pathways 4.5 and 8.5, combined with three levels of regeneration browsing, were tested. We found that the persistence of the current level of browsing pressure impedes adaptive changes in community composition and sustains the presence of the vulnerable yet less palatable P. abies. These development trajectories were tortuous, characterized by a high disturbance intensity. On the contrary, reduced herbivory initiated a transformation towards the naturally dominant broadleaved species that was associated with an increased forest carbon and a considerably reduced disturbance. The conditions of RCP4.5 combined with high and moderate browsing levels preserved the forest within its reference range of variability, defining the actual boundaries of resilience. The remaining combinations of browsing and climate change led to ecosystem transitions. Under RCP4.5 with browsing effects excluded, the new equilibrium conditions were achieved within 120 years, whereas the stabilization was delayed by 50-100 years under RCP8.5 with higher browsing intensities. We conclude that forests dominated by P. abies are prone to transitions driven by climate change. However, reducing herbivory can set the forest on a stable and predictable trajectory, whereas sustaining the current browsing levels can lead to heightened disturbance activity, extended transition times, and high variability in the target conditions.},
}
@article {pmid38383630,
year = {2024},
author = {Grossman, D},
title = {Scientists under arrest: the researchers taking action over climate change.},
journal = {Nature},
volume = {626},
number = {8000},
pages = {710-712},
pmid = {38383630},
issn = {1476-4687},
}
@article {pmid38382598,
year = {2024},
author = {Lamacova, A and Ledvinka, O and Bohdalkova, L and Oulehle, F and Kreisinger, J and Vlnas, R},
title = {Response of spring yield dynamics to climate change across altitude gradient and varied hydrogeological conditions.},
journal = {The Science of the total environment},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {171082},
doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.171082},
pmid = {38382598},
issn = {1879-1026},
abstract = {Springs offer insights into groundwater dynamics. Long-term monitoring of spring yields can reflect the response of groundwater storage to climate change. We analyzed the yield trends of 136 springs across 18 hydrogeological regions in Czechia from 1971 to 2020. The trend-free pre-whitening Mann-Kendall test and linear mixed-effects models were used to assess environmental impacts on spring yields. Overall, 71 % of the springs showed no long-term trends, 28 % exhibited decreasing trends, and 1.5 % showed increasing trends in annual spring yields. Altitude has been demonstrated as a contributing factor influencing spring responses to climate change. Lowland springs (<300 m a.s.l.) exhibited the highest proportion of decreasing annual trends (41 %), while uplands (300-600 m a.s.l.) and highlands (>600 m a.s.l.) showed declines in 26 % and 25 % of springs, respectively. Moreover, highlands recorded a 7 % yield increase, indicating a complex interplay between altitude and spring response to climatic factors. A strong positive correlation was found between precipitation and yields (p < 0.01), whereas temperature increases negatively affected spring yields (p < 0.01). The interaction between temperature changes and region transmissivity highlighted the vulnerability of springs in low-transmissivity regions, predominantly those in crystalline and flysch bedrock areas, to climatic shifts. Generally, these regions have lower spring yields compared to the high-transmissivity areas of the Cretaceous basins. Although these lower-yield regions are not used as a primary water source for large areas, unlike regions with high-transmissivity bedrock, they provide water resources for local supply. Analysis of annual spring maxima frequencies revealed a shift in the culmination of maxima occurrences from April to March, with a significant decrease in April (p < 0.05) and May (p < 0.1) and an increase in March (p < 0.05), suggesting a change in spring yield seasonality. The 2015-2020 drought significantly accelerated declining spring yield trends across hydrogeological regions.},
}
@article {pmid38381579,
year = {2024},
author = {Cramer, H},
title = {The Health Impacts of Climate Change: Can Whole Health Help Us Cope?.},
journal = {Journal of integrative and complementary medicine},
volume = {30},
number = {2},
pages = {93-94},
doi = {10.1089/jicm.2024.0005},
pmid = {38381579},
issn = {2768-3613},
}
@article {pmid38380960,
year = {2024},
author = {Jia, C and Cao, Q and Wang, Z and van den Dool, A and Yue, M},
title = {Climate change affects the spread of typhoid pathogens.},
journal = {Microbial biotechnology},
volume = {17},
number = {2},
pages = {e14417},
doi = {10.1111/1751-7915.14417},
pmid = {38380960},
issn = {1751-7915},
support = {2022YFC2604201//National Program on Key Research Project of China/ ; 861917 - SAFFI//European Union's Horizon 2020 Research and Innovation Programme/ ; },
abstract = {Typhoid fever is caused by Salmonella enterica serotype Typhi (Salmonella Typhi). Syndromes in patients vary from asymptomatic carriers to severe or death outcomes, which are frequently reported in African and Southeast Asian countries. It is one of the most common waterborne transmission agents, whose transmission is likely impacted by climate change. Here, we claimed the evidence and consequences of climate-related foodborne and waterborne diseases have increased and provided possible mitigations against Typhoidal Salmonella dissemination.},
}
@article {pmid38380518,
year = {2024},
author = {Budin-Ljøsne, I and Nordeng, Z and Schwarze, PE and Rao-Skirbekk, S},
title = {Linking climate change adaptation and public health: perspectives of Norwegian policymakers.},
journal = {Scandinavian journal of public health},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {14034948241229486},
doi = {10.1177/14034948241229486},
pmid = {38380518},
issn = {1651-1905},
abstract = {AIMS: To explore the perspectives of selected Norwegian climate and health policymakers working at national and municipality level regarding how health is accounted for in climate change adaptation plans.<br><br>METHODS: Semi-structured digital interviews were conducted with representatives from eight municipalities participating in a national network for climate change adaptation, one political unit and five national public administrations working in climate, health, environment, preparedness, and civil protection.<br><br>RESULTS: Municipalities coordinate the development of climate change adaptation plans with support from key national actors. Although municipalities were experienced in preparing for extreme climate events and securing infrastructure, limited consideration was given to health in the climate change adaptation work. Such integration was hindered by lack of resources and knowledge regarding what to do, and lack of collaboration between municipality sectors. To connect climate change adaptation and health better, the representatives suggested providing evidence-based information regarding health impacts of climate change, developing concrete tools including warning systems, and implementing regional, national, and international projects to map the impact of climate change and raise capacity. The representatives called for more stringent national guidelines for the integration of health in climate change adaptation, and pinpointed that lessons learnt from the COVID-19 pandemic will enable municipalities to be better prepared and more adaptable in the future.<br><br>CONCLUSIONS: Governmental authorities should provide more concrete guidance regarding the integration of health in climate change adaptation plans. Public health authorities have a central role to play in supporting such endeavours.},
}
@article {pmid38378759,
year = {2024},
author = {Laimighofer, J and Formayer, H},
title = {Climate change contribution to the 2023 autumn temperature records in Vienna.},
journal = {Scientific reports},
volume = {14},
number = {1},
pages = {4213},
pmid = {38378759},
issn = {2045-2322},
abstract = {Global monthly mean temperature continuously broke records in the year 2023 since June till October. This also happened widespread at September and October in Austria, but monthly temperature records on a local scale, such as in the mid latitudes like Austria, show less persistence than global or continental averages. This makes the autumn temperature extremes in Vienna (Austria) even more striking. Considering the compound occurrence of such an event at actual climate results in a return period of 324 years, which makes it extraordinary itself. Considering climate change, the compound event of two consecutive extreme high temperature records in autumn 2023 yields return periods of about 10,000 years until the second half of the twentieth century, which partly exceeds the length of the Holocene. Focusing on moderate compound extremes of the last 10 years (2014-2023), these reach return periods of 100 years up to 1960, but are now likely to happen every 15 years. Compound extremes in summer (July and August) present a higher decrease of the return period in Vienna over the last 250 years, possible leading to even more severe impacts on ecosystems and society.},
}
@article {pmid38378146,
year = {2024},
author = {Enriquez-Urzelai, U and Gvoždík, L},
title = {Impacts of behaviour and acclimation of metabolic rate on energetics in sheltered ectotherms: a climate change perspective.},
journal = {Proceedings. Biological sciences},
volume = {291},
number = {2017},
pages = {20232152},
doi = {10.1098/rspb.2023.2152},
pmid = {38378146},
issn = {1471-2954},
abstract = {Many ectothermic organisms counter harsh abiotic conditions by seeking refuge in underground retreats. Variations in soil hydrothermal properties within these retreats may impact their energy budget, survival and population dynamics. This makes retreat site choice a critical yet understudied component of their strategies for coping with climate change. We used a mechanistic modelling approach to explore the implications of behavioural adjustments and seasonal acclimation of metabolic rate on retreat depth and the energy budget of ectotherms, considering both current and future climate conditions. We used a temperate amphibian, the alpine newt (Ichthyosaura alpestris), as a model species. Our simulations predict an interactive influence of different thermo- and hydroregulatory strategies on the vertical positioning of individuals in underground refuges. The adoption of a particular strategy largely determines the impact of climate change on retreat site choice. Additionally, we found that, given the behavioural thermoregulation/hydroregulation and metabolic acclimation patterns considered, behaviour within the retreat has a greater impact on ectotherm energetics than acclimation of metabolic rate under different climate change scenarios. We conclude that further empirical research aimed at determining ectotherm behavioural strategies during both surface activity and inactivity is needed to understand their population dynamics and species viability under climate change.},
}
@article {pmid38378140,
year = {2024},
author = {Franke, A and Beemelmanns, A and Miest, JJ},
title = {Are fish immunocompetent enough to face climate change?.},
journal = {Biology letters},
volume = {20},
number = {2},
pages = {20230346},
doi = {10.1098/rsbl.2023.0346},
pmid = {38378140},
issn = {1744-957X},
abstract = {Ongoing climate change has already been associated with increased disease outbreaks in wild and farmed fish. Here, we evaluate the current knowledge of climate change-related ecoimmunology in teleosts with a focus on temperature, hypoxia, salinity and acidification before exploring interactive effects of multiple stressors. Our literature review reveals that acute and chronic changes in temperature and dissolved oxygen can compromise fish immunity which can lead to increased disease susceptibility. Moreover, temperature and hypoxia have already been shown to enhance the infectivity of certain pathogens/parasites and to accelerate disease progression. Too few studies exist that have focussed on acidification, but direct immune effects seem to be limited while salinity studies have led to contrasting results. Likewise, multi-stressor experiments essential for unravelling the interactions of simultaneously changing environmental factors are still scarce. This ultimately impedes our ability to estimate to what extent climate change will hamper fish immunity. Our review about epigenetic regulation mechanisms highlights the acclimation potential of the fish immune response to changing environments. However, due to the limited number of epigenetic studies, overarching conclusions cannot be drawn. Finally, we provide an outlook on how to better estimate the effects of realistic climate change scenarios in future immune studies in fish.},
}
@article {pmid38375273,
year = {2024},
author = {Dong, WS and Ismailluddin, A and Yun, LS and Ariffin, EH and Saengsupavanich, C and Abdul Maulud, KN and Ramli, MZ and Miskon, MF and Jeofry, MH and Mohamed, J and Mohd, FA and Hamzah, SB and Yunus, K},
title = {The impact of climate change on coastal erosion in Southeast Asia and the compelling need to establish robust adaptation strategies.},
journal = {Heliyon},
volume = {10},
number = {4},
pages = {e25609},
pmid = {38375273},
issn = {2405-8440},
abstract = {Climate change alters the climate condition and ocean environment, leading to accelerated coastal erosion and a shift in the coastline shape. From previous studies, Southeast Asia's coastal region is suffering from severe coastal erosion. It is most sensitive and vulnerable to climate change, has broad and densely populated coastlines, and is under ecological pressure. Efforts to systematically review these studies are still insufficient despite many studies on the climate change linked to coastal erosion, the correlation between coastal erosion and coastal communities, and the adaptative measures to address these issues and their effectiveness in Southeast Asia. Therefore, by analyzing the existing literature, the purpose of this review was to bridge the knowledge gap and identify the link between climate change and coastal erosion in Southeast Asia in terms of sea-level rise, storm surge, and monsoon patterns. The RepOrting standards for Systematic Evidence Syntheses (ROSES) guided the study protocol, including articles from the Scopus and Dimension databases. There were five main themes considered: 1) climate change impact, 2) contributing factors to coastal erosion, 3) coastal erosion impact on coastal communities, 4) adaptation measure and 5) effectiveness of adaptation measure using thematical analysis. Subsequently, nine sub-themes were produced from the themes. Generally, in Southeast Asia, coastal erosion was reflected by the rising sea level. Throughout reviewing past literature, an interesting result was explored. Storm surges also had the potential to affect coastal erosion due to alterations of the atmospheric system and seasonal monsoon as the result of climate change. Meanwhile, an assessment of current erosion control strategies in relation to the relative hydrodynamic trend was required to avoid the failure of defence structures and the resulting danger to coastal communities. Systematically reviewing the existing literature was critical, hence it could significantly contribute to the body of knowledge. It provides valuable information for interested parties, such as authorities, the public, researchers, and environmentalists, while comprehending existing adaptation practices. This kind of review could strategize adaptation and natural resource management in line with coastal communities' needs, abilities, and capabilities in response to environmental and other change forms.},
}
@article {pmid38375085,
year = {2024},
author = {Acosta-Motos, JR and Franco-Navarro, JD and Gómez-Bellot, MJ and Álvarez, S},
title = {Editorial: Crop resistance mechanisms to alleviate climate change-related stress.},
journal = {Frontiers in plant science},
volume = {15},
number = {},
pages = {1368573},
pmid = {38375085},
issn = {1664-462X},
}
@article {pmid38374809,
year = {2024},
author = {Ahdoot, S and Baum, CR and Cataletto, MB and Hogan, P and Wu, CB and Bernstein, A and , and , and , and , },
title = {Climate Change and Children's Health: Building a Healthy Future for Every Child.},
journal = {Pediatrics},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1542/peds.2023-065504},
pmid = {38374809},
issn = {1098-4275},
abstract = {The warming of our planet matters to every child. Driven by fossil fuel-generated greenhouse gas emissions, climate conditions stable since the founding of modern pediatrics in the mid-nineteenth century have shifted, and old certainties are falling away. Children's physical and mental health are threatened by climate change through its effects on temperature, precipitation, and extreme weather; ecological disruption; and community disruption. These impacts expose and amplify existing inequities and create unprecedented intergenerational injustice. Fossil fuel extraction and combustion cause harm today and reach centuries into the future, jeopardizing the health, safety, and prosperity of today's children and future generations. Appreciating the unique vulnerability of their patients, pediatricians have become leading health advocates for climate actions necessary to protect all living and future children. Policies that reduce reliance on fossil fuels and promote cleaner air, facilitate walking and bicycling, encourage more sustainable diets, increase access to nature, and develop more connected communities lead to immediate gains in child health and equity, and build a foundation for generations of children to thrive.},
}
@article {pmid38374808,
year = {2024},
author = {Ahdoot, S and Baum, CR and Cataletto, MB and Hogan, P and Wu, CB and Bernstein, A and , and , and , and , },
title = {Climate Change and Children's Health: Building a Healthy Future for Every Child.},
journal = {Pediatrics},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1542/peds.2023-065505},
pmid = {38374808},
issn = {1098-4275},
abstract = {Observed changes in temperature, precipitation patterns, sea level, and extreme weather are destabilizing major determinants of human health. Children are at higher risk of climate-related health burdens than adults because of their unique behavior patterns; developing organ systems and physiology; greater exposure to air, food, and water contaminants per unit of body weight; and dependence on caregivers. Climate change harms children through numerous pathways, including air pollution, heat exposure, floods and hurricanes, food insecurity and nutrition, changing epidemiology of infections, and mental health harms. As the planet continues to warm, climate change's impacts will worsen, threatening to define the health and welfare of children at every stage of their lives. Children who already bear higher burden of disease because of living in low-wealth households and communities, lack of access to high quality education, and experiencing racism and other forms of unjust discrimination bear greater risk of suffering from climate change hazards. Climate change solutions, advanced through collaborative work of pediatricians, health systems, communities, corporations, and governments lead to immediate gains in child health and equity and build a foundation for generations of children to thrive. This technical report reviews the nature of climate change and its associated child health effects and supports the recommendations in the accompanying policy statement on climate change and children's health.},
}
@article {pmid38374402,
year = {2024},
author = {Pratt, C and Mahdi, Z and El Hanandeh, A},
title = {'Climate Healing Stones': Common Minerals Offer Substantial Climate Change Mitigation Potential.},
journal = {Environmental management},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
pmid = {38374402},
issn = {1432-1009},
abstract = {This review proposes that mineral-based greenhouse gas (GHG) mitigation could be developed into a substantial climate change abatement tool. This proposal was evaluated via three objectives: (1) synthesise literature studies documenting the effectiveness of geological minerals at mitigating GHG emissions; (2) quantify, via meta-analysis, GHG magnitudes that could be abated by minerals factoring-in the carbon footprint of the approach; and (3) estimate the global availability of relevant minerals. Several minerals have been effectively harnessed across multiple sectors-including agriculture, waste management and coal mining-to mitigate carbon dioxide/CO2 (e.g., olivine), methane/CH4 (e.g., allophane, gypsum) and nitrous oxide/N2O (e.g., vermiculite) emissions. High surface area minerals offer substantial promise to protect soil carbon, albeit their potential impact here is difficult to quantify. Although mineral-based N2O reduction strategies can achieve gross emission reduction, their application generates a net carbon emission due to prohibitively large mineral quantities needed. By contrast, mineral-based technologies could abate ~9% and 11% of global CO2 and CH4 anthropogenic emissions, respectively. These estimates conservatively only consider options which offer additional benefits to climate change mitigation (e.g., nutrient supply to agricultural landscapes, and safety controls in landfill operations). This multi-benefit aspect is important due to the reluctance to invest in stand-alone GHG mitigation technologies. Minerals that exhibit high GHG mitigation potential are globally abundant. However, their application towards a dedicated global GHG mitigation initiative would entail significant escalation of their current production rates. A detailed cost-benefit analysis and environmental and social footprint assessment is needed to ascertain the strategy's scale-up potential.},
}
@article {pmid38374295,
year = {2024},
author = {Silva, T and Lopes, A and Vasconcelos, J and Chokhachian, A and Wagenfeld, M and Santucci, D},
title = {Thermal stress and comfort assessment in urban areas using Copernicus Climate Change Service Era 5 reanalysis and collected microclimatic data.},
journal = {International journal of biometeorology},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
pmid = {38374295},
issn = {1432-1254},
support = {UI/BD/152225/2021//Funda&#xe7;&#xe3;o para a Ci&#xea;ncia e a Tecnologia/ ; EXPL/GES AMB/0280/2021.//Funda&#xe7;&#xe3;o para a Ci&#xea;ncia e a Tecnologia/ ; 945307//H2020 Research and innovation/ ; },
abstract = {In this initial study of a research project, this paper seeks to understand the thermal conditions in the cities of Lisbon and Munich, specifically focusing on Urban Heat Island intensity and on thermal comfort using the Universal Thermal Climate Index modeling data at the Local Climate Zone scale. Based on these datasets, Munich has exhibited more unfavourable thermal conditions than Lisbon. In terms of UHII, both cities have shown that low, medium, and high rise compact urban areas and bare rock or paved areas have the highest values, while sparsely built areas have the lowest. These results differ from the UTCI, which indicates that in Lisbon and Munich, these sparsely built areas as well as areas with low plants and vegetation are the most uncomfortable. In Munich, the population was exposed to very strong heat stress, while Lisbon experienced strong heat stress conditions. Conversely, low, medium, and high rise compact urban areas and densely wooded areas in Munich, and scattered trees areas and large low-rise urban areas in Lisbon, have demonstrated the lowest monthly mean and average maximum values. These results will be further explored in future studies in the city of Lisbon and cross-checked with data obtained from roving missions. This will enable a more detailed temporal and local analysis.},
}
@article {pmid38374186,
year = {2024},
author = {Qiao, H and Peterson, AT and Myers, CE and Yang, Q and Saupe, EE},
title = {Ecological niche conservatism spurs diversification in response to climate change.},
journal = {Nature ecology &amp; evolution},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
pmid = {38374186},
issn = {2397-334X},
support = {NE/V011405/1//RCUK | Natural Environment Research Council (NERC)/ ; Prize//Leverhulme Trust/ ; },
abstract = {Lengthy debate has surrounded the theoretical and empirical science of whether climatic niche evolution is related to increased or decreased rates of biological diversification. Because species can persist for thousands to millions of years, these questions cross broad scales of time and space. Thus, short-term experiments may not provide comprehensive understanding of the system, leading to the emergence of contrasting opinions: niche evolution may increase diversity by allowing species to explore and colonize new geographic areas across which they could speciate; or, niche conservatism might augment biodiversity by supporting isolation of populations that may then undergo allopatric speciation. Here, we use a simulation approach to test how biological diversification responds to different rates and modes of niche evolution. We find that niche conservatism promotes biological diversification, whereas labile niches-whether adapting to the conditions available or changing randomly-generally led to slower diversification rates. These novel results provide a framework for understanding how Earth-life interactions produced such a diverse biota.},
}
@article {pmid38373458,
year = {2024},
author = {Tchonkouang, RD and Onyeaka, H and Nkoutchou, H},
title = {Assessing the vulnerability of food supply chains to climate change-induced disruptions.},
journal = {The Science of the total environment},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {171047},
doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.171047},
pmid = {38373458},
issn = {1879-1026},
abstract = {Climate change is one of the most significant challenges worldwide. There is strong evidence from research that climate change will impact several food chain-related elements such as agricultural output, incomes, prices, food access, food quality, and food safety. This scoping review seeks to outline the state of knowledge of the food supply chain's vulnerability to climate change and to identify existing literature that may guide future research, policy, and decision-making aimed at enhancing the resilience of the food supply chain. A total of 1526 publications were identified using the SCOPUS database, of which 67 were selected for the present study. The vulnerability assessment methods as well as the adaptation and resilience measures that have been employed to alleviate the impact of climate change in the food supply chain were discussed. The results revealed a growing number of publications providing evidence of the weakening of the food supply chain due to climate change and extreme weather events. Our assessment demonstrated the need to broaden research into the entire food supply chain and various forms of climatic variability because most studies have concentrated on the relationships between climatic fluctuations (especially extreme rainfall, temperatures, and drought) and production. A lack of knowledge about the effects of climate change on the food supply chain and the underlying socio-economic consequences could result in underperformance or failure of the food supply chain.},
}
@article {pmid38373453,
year = {2024},
author = {Liu, B and Liu, Z and Li, C and Yu, H and Wang, H},
title = {Geographical distribution and ecological niche dynamics of Crassostrea sikamea (Amemiya, 1928) in China's coastal regions under climate change.},
journal = {The Science of the total environment},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {171061},
doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.171061},
pmid = {38373453},
issn = {1879-1026},
abstract = {Global climate change drives species redistribution, threatening biodiversity and ecosystem heterogeneity. The Kumamoto oyster, Crassostrea sikamea (Amemiya, 1928), one of the most promising aquaculture species because of its delayed reproductive timing, was once prevalent in southern China. In this study, an ensemble species distribution model was employed to analyze the distribution range shift and ecological niche dynamics of C. sikamea along China's coastline under the current and future climate scenarios (RCP 2.6-8.5 covering 2050s and 2100s). The model results indicated that the current habitat distribution for C. sikamea consists of a continuous stretch extending from the coastlines of Hainan Province to the northern shores of Jiangsu Province. By the 2050s, the distribution range will stabilize at its southern end along the coast of Hainan Province, while expanding northward to cover the coastal areas of Shandong Province, showing a more dramatic trend of contraction in the south and invasion in the north by the 2100s. In RCP8.5, the southern end retracts to the coasts of Guangdong, whereas the northern end covers all of China's coastal areas north of 34°N. C. sikamea can maintain relatively stable ecological niche characteristics, while it may occupy different ecological niche spaces under future climate conditions. Significant niche expansion will occur in lower temperature. We concluded C. sikamea habitats are susceptible to climate change. The rapid northward expansion of C. sikamea may open new possibilities for oyster farming in China, but it will also have important consequences for the ecological balance and biodiversity of receiving areas. It's imperative that we closely examine and strategize to address these repercussions for a win-win situation.},
}
@article {pmid38373438,
year = {2024},
author = {Gaudreau, C and Guillaumie, L and Jobin, &#xc9; and Diallo, TA},
title = {Nurses and Climate Change: A Narrative Review of Nursing Associations' Recommendations for Integrating Climate Change Mitigation Strategies.},
journal = {The Canadian journal of nursing research = Revue canadienne de recherche en sciences infirmieres},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {8445621241229932},
doi = {10.1177/08445621241229932},
pmid = {38373438},
issn = {1705-7051},
abstract = {BACKGROUND: According to the World Health Organization, climate change is the greatest challenge of the twenty-first century. It is already affecting the health of many Canadians through extreme heat, wildfires and the expansion of zoonotic diseases. As trusted professionals, nurses are in favourable position to take action on climate change.<br><br>PURPOSE: To document the recommendations issued by Quebec, Canadian, American and international nursing associations regarding nursing practices that address climate change or environmental issues.<br><br>METHODS: This narrative review was conducted by establishing a list of environmental and general nursing associations in the geographical areas of interest through Google searches as well as by retrieving documents about climate change or environmental issues published by these organizations on their websites. Data related to the documents' characteristics and recommended nursing roles were then extracted.<br><br>RESULTS: The review identified 13 nurses' organizations and 20 documents describing 37 recommendations for nurses in seven socioecological areas: individual, patient-focused, workplace, nursing associations, public health organizations, political and education.<br><br>CONCLUSIONS: There is a gap between the breadth of roles that nurses may be called upon to play in addressing climate change and the degree to which relevant organizations are prepared to create the required conditions for them to do so. Several lessons emerged, including that the urgency of the climate crisis requires clear guidelines on how nurses can integrate climate change and its resultant health concerns into practice through nurses' associations, education and bottom-up nursing innovations. Funding is required for such initiatives, which must also prioritize health inequalities.},
}
@article {pmid38373299,
year = {2024},
author = {Thanekar, U and Sacks, G and Ruffini, O and Reeve, B and Blake, MR},
title = {Local government stakeholders' perceptions of potential policy actions to influence both climate change and healthy eating in Victoria: A qualitative study.},
journal = {Health promotion journal of Australia : official journal of Australian Association of Health Promotion Professionals},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1002/hpja.848},
pmid = {38373299},
issn = {1036-1073},
abstract = {ISSUE ADDRESSED: Climate change is a defining public health issue of the 21st century. Food systems are drivers of diet-related disease burden, and account for 30% of global greenhouse gas emissions. Local governments play a crucial role in improving both the healthiness and environmental sustainability of food systems, but the potential for their actions to simultaneously address these two issues is unclear. This study aimed to explore the perceptions of Australian local government stakeholders regarding policy actions simultaneously addressing healthy eating and climate change, and the influences on policy adoption.<br><br>METHODS: We conducted 11 in-depth semi-structured interviews with stakeholders from four local governments in Victoria, Australia. Data were analysed using reflexive thematic analysis. We applied Multiple Streams Theory (MST) 'problem', 'politics and 'policy' domains to explain policy adoption influences at the local government level.<br><br>RESULTS: Key influences on local government action aligned with MST elements of 'problem' (e.g., local government's existing risk reports as drivers for climate change action), 'policy' (e.g., budgetary constraints) and 'politics' (e.g., local government executive agenda). We found limited evidence of coherent policy action in the areas of community gardens, food procurement and urban land use.<br><br>CONCLUSION: Barriers to further action, such as resource constraints and competing priorities, could be overcome by better tailoring policy action areas to community needs, with the help of external partnerships and local government executive support. SO WHAT?: This study demonstrates that Victorian local stakeholders believe they are well-positioned to implement feasible and coherent interventions that address both healthy eating and climate.},
}
@article {pmid38372993,
year = {2024},
author = {Beggs, PJ},
title = {Thunderstorm Asthma and Climate Change.},
journal = {JAMA},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1001/jama.2023.26649},
pmid = {38372993},
issn = {1538-3598},
}
@article {pmid38372926,
year = {2024},
author = {Roy, P and Pal, SC and Chakrabortty, R and Chowdhuri, I and Saha, A and Ruidas, D and Islam, ARMT and Islam, A},
title = {Climate change and geo-environmental factors influencing desertification: a critical review.},
journal = {Environmental science and pollution research international},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
pmid = {38372926},
issn = {1614-7499},
abstract = {The problem of desertification (DSF) is one of the most severe environmental disasters which influence the overall condition of the environment. In Rio de Janeiro Earth Summit on Environment and Development (1922), DSF is defined as arid, semi-arid, and dry sub-humid induced LD and that is adopted at the UNEP's Nairobi ad hoc meeting in 1977. It has been seen that there is no variability in the trend of long-term rainfall, but the change has been found in the variability of temperature (avg. temp. 0-5 °C). There is no proof that the air pollution brought on by CO2 and other warming gases is the cause of this rise, which seems to be partially caused by urbanization. The two types of driving factors in DSF-CC (climate change) along with anthropogenic influences-must be compared in order to work and take action to stop DSF from spreading. The proportional contributions of human activity and CC to DSF have been extensively evaluated in this work from "qualitative, semi-quantitative, and quantitative" perspectives. In this study, we have tried to connect the drives of desertification to desertification-induced migration due to loss of biodiversity and agriculture failure. The authors discovered that several of the issues from the earlier studies persisted. The policy-makers should follow the proper SLM (soil and land management) through using the land. The afforestation with social forestry and consciousness among the people can reduce the spreading of the desertification (Badapalli et al. 2023). The green wall is also playing an important role to reduce the desertification. For instance, it was clear that assessments were subjective; they could not be readily replicated, and they always relied on administrative areas rather than being taken and displayed in a continuous space. This research is trying to fulfill the mentioned research gap with the help of the existing literatures related to this field.},
}
@article {pmid38372475,
year = {2024},
author = {Xie, L and Wu, X and Li, X and Chen, M and Zhang, N and Zong, S and Yan, Y},
title = {Impacts of climate change and host plant availability on the potential distribution of Bradysia odoriphaga (Diptera: Sciaridae) in China.},
journal = {Pest management science},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1002/ps.7977},
pmid = {38372475},
issn = {1526-4998},
support = {ZR2020MC046//Natural Science Foundation of Shandong Province/ ; 31970401//National Natural Science Foundation of China/ ; 31401957//National Natural Science Foundation of China/ ; 31501847//National Natural Science Foundation of China/ ; },
abstract = {BACKGROUND: Chinese chives (Allium tuberosum Rottler ex Sprengel) are favored by consumers because of its delicious taste and unique fragrance. Bradysia odoriphaga (Diptera: Sciaridae) is a main pest that severely harms Chinese chives and other Liliaceae's production. Climate change may change the future distribution of B. odoriphaga in China. In this study, the CLIMEX was employed to project the potential distribution of B. odoriphaga in China, based on China's historical climate data (1987-2016) and forecast climate data (2021-2100).<br><br>RESULTS: Bradysia odoriphaga distributed mainly between 19.8&#xb0;&#x2009;N-48.3&#xb0;&#x2009;N and 74.8&#xb0;&#x2009;E-134.3&#xb0;&#x2009;E, accounting for 73.25% of the total mainland area of China under historical climate conditions. Among them, the favorable and highly favorable habitats accounted for 30.64% of the total potential distribution. Under future climate conditions, B. odoriphaga will be distributed mainly between 19.8&#xb0;&#x2009;N-49.3&#xb0;&#x2009;N and 73.8&#xb0;&#x2009;E-134.3&#xb0;&#x2009;E, accounting for 84.89% of China's total mainland area. Among them, the favorable and highly favorable habitats will account for 35.23% of the total potential distribution, indicating an increase in the degree of fitness. Areas with relatively appropriate temperature and humidity will be more suitable for the survival of B. odoriphaga. Temperature was a more important determinant of the climatic suitability of the pest B. odoriphaga than humidity. Host plants (Liliaceae) availability also had impact on climate suitability in some regions.<br><br>CONCLUSIONS: These projected potential distributions will provide supportive information for monitoring and early forecasting of pest outbreaks, and to reduce future economic and ecological losses. &#xa9; 2024 Society of Chemical Industry.},
}
@article {pmid38371414,
year = {2024},
author = {Rubio-Casal, AE and Ibrahim, MFM},
title = {Editorial: Physiological traits and stress detection in crops during global climate change: availability and sustainable use of water resources.},
journal = {Frontiers in plant science},
volume = {15},
number = {},
pages = {1371044},
pmid = {38371414},
issn = {1664-462X},
}
@article {pmid38370953,
year = {2023},
author = {Torales, J and Castaldelli-Maia, JM and Ventriglio, A and Barrios, I and Almirón-Santacruz, J and García, O and Caycho-Rodríguez, T and Day, G and Menon, V and Sri, A and Persaud, A and Bhugra, D},
title = {The CAPE (Compassion, Assertive Action, Pragmatism, and Evidence) vulnerability index - Second Edition: Putting mental health into foreign policy to address globalization, conflict, climate change, and natural disasters.},
journal = {Industrial psychiatry journal},
volume = {32},
number = {Suppl 1},
pages = {S15-S31},
pmid = {38370953},
issn = {0972-6748},
abstract = {BACKGROUND: The CAPE Vulnerability Index serves as a worldwide foreign policy indicator that implies which countries should get assistance first. It provides an evidence-based, well-structured, and well-reasoned strategy for employing aid in bilateral arrangements with mental health as a basis.<br><br>OBJECTIVE: The second edition of the CAPE VI has been developed to identify which nations should get priority foreign aid.<br><br>MATERIALS AND METHODS: We considered various indices or measures at the country level reflecting the average national health status or factors influencing public health. To make our choice, we used 26 internationally accessible and verified indicators. For the study, we have scored the countries according to these indices and prioritized those with the worst scores.<br><br>RESULTS: The CAPE Vulnerability Index is based on the number of times a country is ranked among the low-scoring nations. It is based on nine parameters and is an independent measure even though there may be a correlation with similar indices such as life expectancy, disability-adjusted life years(DALYs), physician numbers, and gross domestic product(GDP).<br><br>CONCLUSION: We concluded that low-scoring countries were fragile or failed states, such as nations where governments lack complete oversight or power, are often oppressive and corrupt, have allegations of violations of human rights, or are marked by political turmoil in different forms, drawbacks from severe environmental damage, severe impoverishment, inequalities, cultural and racial divisions, cannot supply fundamental amenities, are victims of terrorism, and so on. To address these essential problems impacting fragile nations, administrations, aid donors, local organizations, mental health specialists, and associations should collaborate.},
}
@article {pmid38370864,
year = {2024},
author = {Kowalcyk, M and Dorevitch, S},
title = {A Framework for Evaluating Local Adaptive Capacity to Health Impacts of Climate Change: Use of Kenya's County-Level Integrated Development Plans.},
journal = {Annals of global health},
volume = {90},
number = {1},
pages = {15},
pmid = {38370864},
issn = {2214-9996},
mesh = {Humans ; *Climate Change ; Kenya ; *Disasters ; Health Promotion ; Social Planning ; },
abstract = {BACKGROUND: Health National Adaptation Plans were developed to increase the capacity of low- and middle-income countries (LMICs) to adapt to the impacts of climate change on the health sector. Climate and its health impacts vary locally, yet frameworks for evaluating the adaptive capacity of health systems on the subnational scale are lacking. In Kenya, counties prepare county integrated development plans (CIDPs), which contain information that might support evaluations of the extent to which counties are planning climate change adaptation for health.<br><br>OBJECTIVES: To develop and apply a framework for evaluating CIDPs to assess the extent to which Kenya's counties are addressing the health sector's adaptive capacity to climate change.<br><br>METHODS: CIDPs were analyzed based on the extent to which they addressed climate change in their description of county health status, whether health is noted in their descriptions of climate change, and whether they mention plans for developing climate and health programs. Based on these and other data points, composite climate and health adaptation (CHA) scores were calculated. Associations between CHA scores and poverty rates were analyzed.<br><br>FINDINGS: CHA scores varied widely and were not associated with county-level poverty. Nearly all CIDPs noted climate change, approximately half mentioned health in the context of climate change and only 16 (34%) noted one or more specific climate-sensitive health conditions. Twelve (25%) had plans for a sub-program in both adaptive capacity and environmental health. Among the 24 counties with plans to develop climate-related programs in health programs, all specified capacity building, and 20% specified integrating health into disaster risk reduction.<br><br>CONCLUSION: Analyses of county planning documents provide insights into the extent to which the impacts of climate change on health are being addressed at the subnational level in Kenya. This approach may support governments elsewhere in evaluating climate change adaptation for health by subnational governments.},
}
@article {pmid38370553,
year = {2024},
author = {Crino, OL and Bonduriansky, R and Martin, LB and Noble, DWA},
title = {A conceptual framework for understanding stress-induced physiological and transgenerational effects on population responses to climate change.},
journal = {Evolution letters},
volume = {8},
number = {1},
pages = {161-171},
pmid = {38370553},
issn = {2056-3744},
abstract = {Organisms are experiencing higher average temperatures and greater temperature variability because of anthropogenic climate change. Some populations respond to changes in temperature by shifting their ranges or adjusting their phenotypes via plasticity and/or evolution, while others go extinct. Predicting how populations will respond to temperature changes is challenging because extreme and unpredictable climate changes will exert novel selective pressures. For this reason, there is a need to understand the physiological mechanisms that regulate organismal responses to temperature changes. In vertebrates, glucocorticoid hormones mediate physiological and behavioral responses to environmental stressors and thus are likely to play an important role in how vertebrates respond to global temperature changes. Glucocorticoids have cascading effects that influence the phenotype and fitness of individuals, and some of these effects can be transmitted to offspring via trans- or intergenerational effects. Consequently, glucocorticoid-mediated responses could affect populations and could even be a powerful driver of rapid evolutionary change. Here, we present a conceptual framework that outlines how temperature changes due to global climate change could affect population persistence via glucocorticoid responses within and across generations (via epigenetic modifications). We briefly review glucocorticoid physiology, the interactions between environmental temperatures and glucocorticoid responses, and the phenotypic consequences of glucocorticoid responses within and across generations. We then discuss possible hypotheses for how glucocorticoid-mediated phenotypic effects might impact fitness and population persistence via evolutionary change. Finally, we pose pressing questions to guide future research. Understanding the physiological mechanisms that underpin the responses of vertebrates to elevated temperatures will help predict population-level responses to the changing climates we are experiencing.},
}
@article {pmid38370552,
year = {2024},
author = {Nomoto, H and Fior, S and Alexander, J},
title = {Competitors alter selection on alpine plants exposed to experimental climate change.},
journal = {Evolution letters},
volume = {8},
number = {1},
pages = {114-127},
pmid = {38370552},
issn = {2056-3744},
abstract = {Investigating how climate change alters selection regimes is a crucial step toward understanding the potential of populations to evolve in the face of changing conditions. Previous studies have mainly focused on understanding how changing climate directly influences selection, while the role of species' interactions has received little attention. Here, we used a transplant experiment along an elevation gradient to estimate how climate warming and competitive interactions lead to shifts in directional phenotypic selection on morphology and phenology of four alpine plants. We found that warming generally imposed novel selection, with the largest shifts in regimes acting on specific leaf area and flowering time across species. Competitors instead weakened the selection acting on traits that was imposed directly by warming. Weakened or absent selection in the presence of competitors was largely associated with the suppression of absolute means and variation of fitness. Our results suggest that although climate change can impose strong selection, competitive interactions within communities might act to limit selection and thereby stymie evolutionary responses in alpine plants facing climate change.},
}
@article {pmid38370544,
year = {2024},
author = {Urban, MC and Swaegers, J and Stoks, R and Snook, RR and Otto, SP and Noble, DWA and Moiron, M and Hällfors, MH and Gómez-Llano, M and Fior, S and Cote, J and Charmantier, A and Bestion, E and Berger, D and Baur, J and Alexander, JM and Saastamoinen, M and Edelsparre, AH and Teplitsky, C},
title = {When and how can we predict adaptive responses to climate change?.},
journal = {Evolution letters},
volume = {8},
number = {1},
pages = {172-187},
pmid = {38370544},
issn = {2056-3744},
abstract = {Predicting if, when, and how populations can adapt to climate change constitutes one of the greatest challenges in science today. Here, we build from contributions to the special issue on evolutionary adaptation to climate change, a survey of its authors, and recent literature to explore the limits and opportunities for predicting adaptive responses to climate change. We outline what might be predictable now, in the future, and perhaps never even with our best efforts. More accurate predictions are expected for traits characterized by a well-understood mapping between genotypes and phenotypes and traits experiencing strong, direct selection due to climate change. A meta-analysis revealed an overall moderate trait heritability and evolvability in studies performed under future climate conditions but indicated no significant change between current and future climate conditions, suggesting neither more nor less genetic variation for adapting to future climates. Predicting population persistence and evolutionary rescue remains uncertain, especially for the many species without sufficient ecological data. Still, when polled, authors contributing to this special issue were relatively optimistic about our ability to predict future evolutionary responses to climate change. Predictions will improve as we expand efforts to understand diverse organisms, their ecology, and their adaptive potential. Advancements in functional genomic resources, especially their extension to non-model species and the union of evolutionary experiments and "omics," should also enhance predictions. Although predicting evolutionary responses to climate change remains challenging, even small advances will reduce the substantial uncertainties surrounding future evolutionary responses to climate change.},
}
@article {pmid38370543,
year = {2024},
author = {Edelsparre, AH and Fitzpatrick, MJ and Saastamoinen, M and Teplitsky, C},
title = {Evolutionary adaptation to climate change.},
journal = {Evolution letters},
volume = {8},
number = {1},
pages = {1-7},
pmid = {38370543},
issn = {2056-3744},
abstract = {When the notion of climate change emerged over 200 years ago, few speculated as to the impact of rising atmospheric temperatures on biological life. Tens of decades later, research clearly demonstrates that the impact of climate change on life on Earth is enormous, ongoing, and with foreseen effects lasting well into the next century. Responses to climate change have been widely documented. However, the breadth of phenotypic traits involved with evolutionary adaptation to climate change remains unclear. In addition, it is difficult to identify the genetic and/or epigenetic bases of phenotypes adaptive to climate change, in part because it often is not clear whether this change is plastic, genetic, or some combination of the two. Adaptive responses to climate-driven selection also interact with other processes driving genetic changes in general, including demography as well as selection driven by other factors. In this Special Issue, we explore the factors that will impact the overall outcome of climate change adaptation. Our contributions explain that traits involved in climate change adaptation include not only classic phenomena, such as range shifts and environmentally dependent sex determination, but also often overlooked phenomena such as social and sexual conflicts and the expression of stress hormones. We learn how climate-driven selection can be mediated via both natural and sexual selection, effectively influencing key fitness-related traits such as offspring growth and fertility as well as evolutionary potential. Finally, we explore the limits and opportunities for predicting adaptive responses to climate change. This contribution forms the basis of 10 actions that we believe will improve predictions of when and how organisms may adapt genetically to climate change. We anticipate that this Special Issue will inform novel investigations into how the effects of climate change unfold from phenotypes to genotypes, particularly as methodologies increasingly allow researchers to study selection in field experiments.},
}
@article {pmid38370540,
year = {2024},
author = {Nadeau, CP and Urban, MC},
title = {Macroecological predictors of evolutionary and plastic potential do not apply at microgeographic scales for a freshwater cladoceran under climate change.},
journal = {Evolution letters},
volume = {8},
number = {1},
pages = {43-55},
pmid = {38370540},
issn = {2056-3744},
abstract = {Rapid evolutionary adaptation could reduce the negative impacts of climate change if sufficient heritability of key traits exists under future climate conditions. Plastic responses to climate change could also reduce negative impacts. Understanding which populations are likely to respond via evolution or plasticity could therefore improve estimates of extinction risk. A large body of research suggests that the evolutionary and plastic potential of a population can be predicted by the degree of spatial and temporal climatic variation it experiences. However, we know little about the scale at which these relationships apply. Here, we test if spatial and temporal variation in temperature affects genetic variation and plasticity of fitness and a key thermal tolerance trait (critical thermal maximum; CTmax) at microgeographic scales using a metapopulation of Daphnia magna in freshwater rock pools. Specifically, we ask if (a) there is a microgeographic adaptation of CTmax and fitness to differences in temperature among the pools, (b) pools with greater temporal temperature variation have more genetic variation or plasticity in CTmax or fitness, and (c) increases in temperature affect the heritability of CTmax and fitness. Although we observed genetic variation and plasticity in CTmax and fitness, and differences in fitness among pools, we did not find support for the predicted relationships between temperature variation and genetic variation or plasticity. Furthermore, the genetic variation and plasticity we observed in CTmax are unlikely sufficient to reduce the impacts of climate change. CTmax plasticity was minimal and heritability was 72% lower when D. magna developed at the higher temperatures predicted under climate change. In contrast, the heritability of fitness increased by 53% under warmer temperatures, suggesting an increase in overall evolutionary potential unrelated to CTmax under climate change. More research is needed to understand the evolutionary and plastic potential under climate change and how that potential will be altered in future climates.},
}
@article {pmid38369993,
year = {2024},
author = {},
title = {Correction to: Impact of climate change on animal health and welfare.},
journal = {Animal frontiers : the review magazine of animal agriculture},
volume = {14},
number = {1},
pages = {61},
doi = {10.1093/af/vfae002},
pmid = {38369993},
issn = {2160-6064},
abstract = {[This corrects the article DOI: 10.1093/af/vfy030.].},
}
@article {pmid38367154,
year = {2024},
author = {Mullineaux, ST and McKinley, JM and Marks, NJ and Doherty, R and Scantlebury, DM},
title = {A nose for trouble: ecotoxicological implications for climate change and disease in Saiga antelope (S. t. tatarica).},
journal = {Environmental geochemistry and health},
volume = {46},
number = {3},
pages = {93},
pmid = {38367154},
issn = {1573-2983},
support = {Internal Grant//Prof. John Glover Memorial Fund, Queen's University Belfast (QUB)/ ; },
mesh = {Animals ; *Antelopes/microbiology ; Climate Change ; Kazakhstan ; *Environmental Pollutants ; },
abstract = {In recent decades, Saiga antelope (Saiga t. tatarica) mass die-offs have become more common. The mass die-off of 2015 in central Kazakhstan, recorded 140,000 individual deaths across multiple herds. Previously, research has shown atmospheric humidity, the bacterium Pasteurella multocida serotype B, and resultant haemorrhagic septicaemia, were the primary cause. However, other synergistic factors may have impacted this process. Here we use a multivariate compositional data analysis (CoDA) approach to assess what other factors may have been involved. We show a pollutant linkage mechanism where relative humidity and dewpoint temperature combine with environmental pollutants, potentially toxic elements (e.g., Hg, As), complex carbon compounds (e.g., Acetone, Toluene), and inorganic compounds (e.g., CHx, SO2) which affected the Saiga during the calving season (start and peak) and at the onset of the mass die-off. We suggest a mechanism for this process. Upon arrival at their carving grounds, the Saiga experienced a sudden precipitation event, a spike in temperatures, and resultant high humidity occurs. The infectious bacterium P. multocida serotype B then spreads. Further, environmental pollutants contained within steppe soils are released to the air, forming localised smog events, these synergistically combine, and mass die-off occurs.},
}
@article {pmid38365312,
year = {2024},
author = {Sarfaty, M},
title = {How Physicians Should Respond to Climate Change.},
journal = {Journal of the American Board of Family Medicine : JABFM},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.3122/jabfm.2023.230405R1},
pmid = {38365312},
issn = {1558-7118},
abstract = {Urgent warnings about the existential threat of climate change are coming from leaders in nearly every sector of society, including virtually all climate scientists, notable heads of civil governments around the globe, the world's top religious leaders, prestigious medical journals, as well as principals of the largest financial firms. Surveys show that the majority of U.S. physicians in several specialties are caring for patients who are experiencing direct health harms due to climate change. In public platforms, physicians are expressing their awareness that this public health crisis places everyone at risk, but many people are at greater risk, including children, pregnant women, people with chronic health conditions, elders, and those who experience environmental injustice or live in harm's way. Physicians should respond to this crisis with meaningful activities performed within the context of their current roles. The role of medical care provider is the best known role. But, throughout their careers, physicians have ongoing responsibilities as educators of colleagues, trainees, and patients. They are influential employees of medical institutions, trusted experts who exercise civic responsibility, and sources of guidance for public policymakers. Physicians and other health professionals, individually and through their organizations, also work to influence our societal response to the challenge of climate change. The first annual Lancet Journal Countdown Report in 2016 tracking health indicators of climate change stated that climate change had the potential to wipe out all public health gains of the last half century, but it also presents a tremendous opportunity to save lives and improve health. All physicians should work toward the latter outcome.},
}
@article {pmid38365309,
year = {2024},
author = {Hertenstein Perez, A},
title = {Climate Change: How Will Family Physicians Rise to the Challenge?.},
journal = {Journal of the American Board of Family Medicine : JABFM},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.3122/jabfm.2022.220013R1},
pmid = {38365309},
issn = {1558-7118},
}
@article {pmid38365281,
year = {2024},
author = {Burns, PA and Mutunga, C},
title = {Addressing the Impact of Climate Change on Sexual and Reproductive Health Among Adolescent Girls and Young Women in Low- and Middle-Income Countries.},
journal = {Global health, science and practice},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.9745/GHSP-D-23-00374},
pmid = {38365281},
issn = {2169-575X},
}
@article {pmid38365060,
year = {2024},
author = {Zhang, T and Liu, H and Lu, Y and Wang, Q and Loh, YC and Li, Z},
title = {Impact of climate change on coastal ecosystem: A comparative analysis among four largest coastline covering countries.},
journal = {Environmental research},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {118405},
doi = {10.1016/j.envres.2024.118405},
pmid = {38365060},
issn = {1096-0953},
abstract = {Climate change and coastal ecosystems have become challenging subjects for world sustainability. Humans, animals, and other ocean habitats are primarily affected by the harmful changes in climate. Coastal ecosystems support biodiversity and a wide range of species that serve as habitats for many commercially important fish species and enhance human activities in coastal areas. By engaging in coastal outdoor activities, individuals can experience numerous physical and mental health benefits, foster environmental awareness. This study provided valuable insights into the importance of coastal outdoor activities and their potential to improve our quality of life. This study undertook a challenging subject where we graphically and econometrically analyze the relationship and linkages among coastal indicators with other climate-concerning factors. The study comprises the ordinary regression and comparative analysis among the four largest coastline countries in the world. The study took a sample from Canada, Indonesia, Norway, and the Russian Federation from 1990 to 2022. The data is selected on a convenient basis. Results declared that each country has its unique challenges and opportunities in mitigating adverse climate change and retaining a sustainable coastal ecosystem. The study surprisingly revealed that climate change insignificantly affects the coastal ecosystem in Indonesia and the Russian Federation while it inversely affects the coastal ecosystem in Canada and Norway, showed that climate change on average declines coastal production by 0.0041922 and 0.0261104 in Canada and Norway respectively. The detailed review is given in the results section; however, the pooling analysis proved that at the aggregate level, a one percent increase in climate change caused a 0.02266-tonne decline in coastal ecosystems in the four largest coastline nations. There is a need for policies tend to increase CAP activities by implementing practical marine protected areas. Furthermore, scientific research and monitoring will be beneficial in restoring coastal sustainability.},
}
@article {pmid38365058,
year = {2024},
author = {Reddy, NM and Saravanan, S and Paneerselvam, B},
title = {Integrating conceptual and machine learning models to enhance daily-Scale streamflow simulation and assessing climate change impact in the watersheds of the Godavari basin, India.},
journal = {Environmental research},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {118403},
doi = {10.1016/j.envres.2024.118403},
pmid = {38365058},
issn = {1096-0953},
abstract = {This study examined and addressed climate change's effects on hydrological patterns, particularly in critical places like the Godavari River basin. This study used daily gridded rainfall and temperature datasets from the Indian Meteorological Department (IMD) for model training and testing, 70% and 30%, respectively. To anticipate future hydrological shifts, the study harnessed the EC-Earth3 data, presenting an innovative methodology tailored to the unique hydrological dynamics of the Godavari River basin. The Sacramento model provided initial streamflow estimates for Kanhargaon, Nowrangpur, and Wairagarh. This approach melded traditional hydrological modeling with advanced multi-layer perceptron (MLP) capabilities. When combined with parameters like lagged rainfall, lagged streamflow, potential evapotranspiration (PET), and temperature variations, these initial outputs were further refined using the Sac-MLP model. A comparison with Sacramento revealed the superior performance of the Sac-MLP model. For instance, during training, the Nash Sutcliffe efficiency (NSE) values for the Sac-MLP witnessed an improvement from 0.610 to 0.810 in Kanhargaon, 0.580 to 0.692 in Nowrangpur, and 0.675 to 0.849 in Wairagarh. The results of the testing further corroborated these findings, as evidenced by the increase in the NSE for Kanhargaon from 0.890 to 0.910. Additionally, Nowrangpur and Wairagarh experienced notable improvements, with their NSE values rising from 0.629 to 0.785 and 0.725 to 0.902, respectively. Projections based on EC-Earth3 data across various scenarios highlighted significant shifts in rainfall and temperature patterns, especially in the far future (2071-2100). Regarding the relative change in annual streamflow, Kanhargaon projections under SSP370 and SSP585 for the far future indicate increases of 584.38% and 662.74%. Similarly, Nowrangpur and Wairagarh are projected to see increases of 98.27% and 114.98%, and 81.68% and 108.08%, respectively. This study uses EC-Earth3 estimates to demonstrate the Sac-MLP model's accuracy and importance in climate change water resource planning. The unique method for region-specific hydrological analysis provides vital insights for sustainable water resource management. This research provides a deeper understanding of climate-induced hydrological changes and a robust modeling approach for accurate predictions in changing environmental conditions.},
}
@article {pmid38365041,
year = {2024},
author = {Cannone, N and Malfasi, F},
title = {Climate change triggered synchronous woody plants recruitment in the last two centuries in the treeline ecotone of the Northern Hemisphere.},
journal = {The Science of the total environment},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {170953},
doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.170953},
pmid = {38365041},
issn = {1879-1026},
abstract = {Climate change triggers several ecosystem responses, including woody plant encroachment. We analyse woody plant recruitment across the treeline ecotone (the forest-tundra ecotone) of the Northern Hemisphere (NH) over an extended period (1801-2010) and its relation with atmospheric CO2 and air temperature. We detected a synchronous trend of woody plant recruitment across the NH, indicating a major climatic and environmental change, triggered by a combination of CO2 fertilization and air temperature changes. The drivers of woody plant recruitment changed with time: CO2 fertilization was the main driver in the period 1801-1950, while air temperature was the main driver after 1950, despite the drastic acceleration of CO2 increase in the last decades. These data support the hypothesis that we are shifting from a fertilization-dominated to a warming-dominated period. The temporal patterns of woody plant recruitment are consistent with the occurrence of the 1980 regime shift, a major change occurred in the Earth's biophysical systems. Indeed, the recruitment drop promoted by the 1960s-1980s air cooling, was followed by an intensive recruitment increase triggered by the restart of air warming in the last decades. The largest sensitivity and fastest resilience of evergreen and Pinaceae to the restart of air warming allows to hypothesize that, among the woody plant functional and taxonomic groups, they could perform the largest expansion also in future decades.},
}
@article {pmid38365017,
year = {2024},
author = {Esteban-Cantillo, OJ and Menendez, B and Quesada, B},
title = {Climate change and air pollution impacts on cultural heritage building materials in Europe and Mexico.},
journal = {The Science of the total environment},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {170945},
doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.170945},
pmid = {38365017},
issn = {1879-1026},
abstract = {Climate and air pollution have adverse effects on cultural heritage building materials. However, the quantified damage due to modeled changes in climate and air pollution is still poorly studied. Here, we review first the damage affecting these materials and the associated damage equations in the literature. Across all relevant studies (n = 87), we found only nine independent equations to estimate different damage categories, mainly limited to limestones. Then, by using current meteorological data and future bias-corrected CMIP6 climate and air pollution data at high resolution (1 km; historical and business-as-usual scenario) and applying these equations, we quantified the relative contributions of climate and air pollution changes on the building materials of eight cultural heritage sites of the European project Sustainable COnservation and REstoration of built cultural heritage (SCORE) from 2020 to 2100. On average across the sites, a significant decrease in damage is projected in surface recession (-10 % ± 10 %), biomass accumulation (-20 % ± 18 %), and wind-rain erosion (-7 % ± 6 %) in response to future climate and air pollution changes, except in the regions where precipitation substantially increases (Northern Europe). A large uncertainty in the relative magnitude of the damage to built cultural heritage materials was found for the same site, changes in surface recession vary up to a 40 % difference across the equations. Moreover, thermal expansion and lifetime multiplier equations project an increase in the related damage while all the other types of damage are significantly reduced. Finally, in general, but not systematically, climate-induced damage was found to be predominant over the pollution-induced one. Our results allow prioritizing cultural heritage maintenance decisions in regions where damage will further increase. Beyond simulated damages which are still limited use, we urge more campaign studies to determine real in situ damage in different climate locations to validate or build the best equations.},
}
@article {pmid38364534,
year = {2024},
author = {Omri, A and Boubaker, S},
title = {When do climate change legislation and clean energy policies matter for net-zero emissions?.},
journal = {Journal of environmental management},
volume = {354},
number = {},
pages = {120275},
doi = {10.1016/j.jenvman.2024.120275},
pmid = {38364534},
issn = {1095-8630},
abstract = {Achieving the global decarbonization goal under global conflicts is becoming more uncertain. Within this context, this article seeks to examine the effects of global environmental management and efforts to achieve this goal. Specifically, it investigates the role of democracy, control of corruption, and civil society participation as mechanisms that moderate the impact of environmental policy and legislation, particularly clean energy policy and climate change legislation (laws and regulations), on carbon emissions in highly polluted countries. The empirical results show that (i) the effects of democracy-clean energy policies and climate change legislation are relatively small in reducing carbon emissions; (ii) the effect of controlling corruption-climate change regulations is strong in reducing emissions, meaning that governments with higher control of corruption are more effective at enacting and executing laws and regulations dealing with environmental challenges which help achieve desirable environmental outcomes; (iii) strong civil society participation helps the execution of clean energy policies and climate change legislation to curb emissions, and (iv) the robustness check also provides strong evidence that higher control of corruption can contribute to the effectiveness of these policies and legislation in reducing carbon emissions. Overall, these findings suggest that the efficiency of well-designed environmental policy and legislation should be supported by a combination of higher civil society participation and greater control of corruption that can efficiently enforce such policies and legislation.},
}
@article {pmid38361158,
year = {2024},
author = {Wight, AJ},
title = {Why is Latin America on fire? It's not just climate change, scientists say.},
journal = {Nature},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1038/d41586-024-00471-4},
pmid = {38361158},
issn = {1476-4687},
}
@article {pmid38360727,
year = {2024},
author = {Li, G and Törnqvist, TE and Dangendorf, S},
title = {Real-world time-travel experiment shows ecosystem collapse due to anthropogenic climate change.},
journal = {Nature communications},
volume = {15},
number = {1},
pages = {1226},
pmid = {38360727},
issn = {2041-1723},
abstract = {Predicting climate impacts is challenging and has to date relied on indirect methods, notably modeling. Here we examine coastal ecosystem change during 13 years of unusually rapid, albeit likely temporary, sea-level rise (> 10 mm yr[-1]) in the Gulf of Mexico. Such rates, which may become a persistent feature in the future due to anthropogenic climate change, drove rising water levels of similar magnitude in Louisiana's coastal wetlands. Measurements of surface-elevation change at 253 monitoring sites show that 87% of these sites are unable to keep up with rising water levels. We find no evidence for enhanced wetland elevation gain through ecogeomorphic feedbacks, where more frequent inundation would lead to enhanced biomass accumulation that could counterbalance rising water levels. We attribute this to the exceptionally rapid sea-level rise during this time period. Under the current climate trajectory (SSP2-4.5), drowning of ~75% of Louisiana's coastal wetlands is a plausible outcome by 2070.},
}
@article {pmid38360325,
year = {2024},
author = {Weeda, LJZ and Bradshaw, CJA and Judge, MA and Saraswati, CM and Le Souëf, PN},
title = {How climate change degrades child health: A systematic review and meta-analysis.},
journal = {The Science of the total environment},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {170944},
doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.170944},
pmid = {38360325},
issn = {1879-1026},
abstract = {BACKGROUND: Children are more vulnerable than adults to climate-related health threats, but reviews examining how climate change affects human health have been mainly descriptive and lack an assessment of the magnitude of health effects children face. This is the first systematic review and meta-analysis that identifies which climate-health relationships pose the greatest threat the children.<br><br>OBJECTIVES: We reviewed epidemiologic studies to analyse various child-health outcomes due to climate change and identify the relationships with the largest effect size. We identify population-specific risks and provide recommendations for future research.<br><br>METHODS: We searched four large online databases for observational studies published up to 5 January 2023 following PRISMA (systematic review) guidelines. We evaluated each included study individually and aggregated relevant quantitative data. We used quantitative data in our meta-analysis, where we standardised effect sizes and compared them among different groupings of climate variables and health outcomes.<br><br>RESULTS: Of 1301 articles we identified, 163 studies were eligible for analysis. We identified many relationships between climate change and child health, the strongest of which was increasing risk (60&#x202f;% on average) of preterm birth from exposure to temperature extremes. Respiratory disease, mortality, and morbidity, among others, were also influenced by climate changes. The effects of different air pollutants on health outcomes were considerably smaller compared to temperature effects, but with most (16/20&#x202f;=&#x202f;80&#x202f;%) pollutant studies indicating at least a weak effect. Most studies occurred in high-income regions, but we found no geographical clustering according to health outcome, climate variable, or magnitude of risk. The following factors were protective of climate-related child-health threats: (i) economic stability and strength, (ii) access to quality healthcare, (iii) adequate infrastructure, and (iv) food security. Threats to these services vary by local geographical, climate, and socio-economic conditions. Children will have increased prevalence of disease due to anthropogenic climate change, and our quantification of the impact of various aspects of climate change on child health can contribute to the planning of mitigation that will improve the health of current and future generations.},
}
@article {pmid38359382,
year = {2024},
author = {Hajat, S and Gampe, D and Petrou, G},
title = {Contribution of Cold Versus Climate Change to Mortality in London, UK, 1976-2019.},
journal = {American journal of public health},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {e1-e5},
doi = {10.2105/AJPH.2023.307552},
pmid = {38359382},
issn = {1541-0048},
abstract = {Objectives. To quantify past reductions in cold-related mortality attributable to anthropogenic climate change. Methods. We performed a daily time-series regression analysis employing distributed lag nonlinear models of 1 203 981 deaths in Greater London, United Kingdom, in winter months (November-March) during 1976 to 2019. We made attribution assessment by comparing differential cold-related mortality impacts associated with observed temperatures to those using counterfactual temperatures representing no climate change. Results. Over the past decade, the average number of cold days (below 8 °C) per year was 120 in the observed series and 158 in the counterfactual series. Since 1976, we estimate 447 (95% confidence interval = 330, 559) annual cold-related all-cause deaths have been avoided because of milder temperatures associated with climate change. Annually, 241 cardiovascular and 73 respiratory disease deaths have been avoided. Conclusions. Anthropogenic climate change made some contribution to reducing previous cold-related deaths in London; however, cold remains an important public health risk factor. Public Health Implications. Better adaptation to both heat and cold should be promoted in public health measures to protect against climate change. In England, this has been addressed by the development of a new year-round Adverse Weather and Health Plan. (Am J Public Health. Published online ahead of print February 15, 2024:e1-e5. https://doi.org/10.2105/AJPH.2023.307552).},
}
@article {pmid38358612,
year = {2024},
author = {Hough, E and Cohen Tanugi-Carresse, A},
title = {Supporting Decarbonization of Health Systems-A Review of International Policy and Practice on Health Care and Climate Change.},
journal = {Current environmental health reports},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
pmid = {38358612},
issn = {2196-5412},
abstract = {PURPOSE OF REVIEW: Healthcare is a significant contributor of carbon emissions, which contribute to climate change. There has been an increased focus on the role healthcare should play in reducing emissions in recent years. This review, completed in September and October 2022, explored national commitments among 73 countries to reduce emissions from healthcare and the policies and delivery plans that exist to support their implementation.<br><br>RECENT FINDINGS: Whilst some countries such as Norway, Columbia, and Australia are working to understand current emissions and develop plans to reduce them, few have published delivery plans for meeting national targets. Broader policies and reports published to date provide a clear set of actions that healthcare can take to reduce emissions. However, more research, innovation, and service redesign will be needed to close the gap to net zero healthcare. Some health systems are already taking action to reduce their emissions. However, national incentives, including standardized metrics and reporting, can help drive broader action and pace of delivery.},
}
@article {pmid38358512,
year = {2024},
author = {Sloane, DR and Ens, E and Wunungmurra, Y and Mununggurr, L and Falk, A and Wunungmurra, R and Gumana, G and Towler, G and Preece, D and , },
title = {Can Exclusion of Feral Ecosystem Engineers Improve Coastal Floodplain Resilience to Climate Change? Insight from a Case Study in North East Arnhem Land, Australia.},
journal = {Environmental management},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
pmid = {38358512},
issn = {1432-1009},
abstract = {Global climate change can interact with local drivers, such as ecosystem engineers, to exacerbate changes in ecosystem structure and function, with socio-ecological consequences. For regions of Indigenous interest, there may also be cultural consequences if species and areas affected are culturally significant. Here we describe a participatory approach between the Indigenous (Yolngu) Yirralka Rangers and non-Indigenous researchers that explored the interaction between sea level rise and feral ungulate ecosystem engineers on culturally significant floodplains in the Laynhapuy Indigenous Protected Area (IPA), northern Australia. A feral ungulate exclusion fence array (12 fenced and 12 unfenced plots) was stratified by elevation/salinity to disentangle the effects of salinity and ungulates on floodplain soil and vegetation. We found that exclusion of feral ungulates improved ground cover vegetation, which, according to our literature-derived ecosystem process model, may enhance soil trapping and reduce evapotranspiration to provide the antecedent conditions needed to improve floodplain resilience to sea level rise. The mid-zone of the supratidal floodplain study site was suggested as the region where the benefits of fencing were most pronounced after two years and ground cover species diversity was highest. Ongoing monitoring is required to investigate whether removal of feral ungulates can increase resilience against sea level rise and recruitment of eco-culturally significant Melaleuca species. An interview with a key Yolngu Traditional Owner of the study site demonstrated the importance and effectiveness of the partnership. Yolngu land owners and rangers were active co-researchers and will decide if, when and how to integrate results into feral ungulate management and climate adaptation responses, highlighting the importance of industry-university partnerships in maximising biocultural conservation outcomes.},
}
@article {pmid38358493,
year = {2024},
author = {Mishra, BR and Vogeti, RK and Jauhari, R and Raju, KS and Kumar, DN},
title = {Boosting algorithms for projecting streamflow in the Lower Godavari Basin for different climate change scenarios.},
journal = {Water science and technology : a journal of the International Association on Water Pollution Research},
volume = {89},
number = {3},
pages = {613-634},
doi = {10.2166/wst.2024.011},
pmid = {38358493},
issn = {0273-1223},
abstract = {The present study investigates the ability of five boosting algorithms, namely Adaptive Boosting (AdaBoost), Categorical Boosting (CatBoost), Light Gradient Boosting (LGBoost), Natural Gradient Boosting (NGBoost), and eXtreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost) for simulating streamflow in the Lower Godavari Basin, India. Monthly rainfall, temperatures, and streamflow from 1982 to 2020 were used for training and testing. Kling Gupta Efficiency (KGE) was deployed to assess the ability of the boosting algorithms. It was observed that all the boosting algorithms had shown good simulating ability, having KGE values of AdaBoost (0.87, 0.85), CatBoost (0.90, 0.78), LGBoost (0.95, 0.93), NGBoost (0.95, 0.95), and XGBoost (0.91, 0.90), respectively, in training and testing. Thus, all the algorithms were used for projecting streamflow in a climate change perspective for the short-term projections (2025-2050) and long-term projections (2051-2075) for four Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs). The highest streamflow for all four SSPs in the case of NGBoost is more than the historical scenario (9382 m[3]/s), whereas vice-versa for the remaining four. The effect of ensembling the outputs of five algorithms is also studied and compared with that of individual algorithms.},
}
@article {pmid38358427,
year = {2024},
author = {Boyacioglu, H and Gunacti, MC and Barbaros, F and Gul, A and Gul, GO and Ozturk, T and Kurnaz, ML},
title = {Impact of climate change and land cover dynamics on nitrate transport to surface waters.},
journal = {Environmental monitoring and assessment},
volume = {196},
number = {3},
pages = {270},
pmid = {38358427},
issn = {1573-2959},
abstract = {The study investigated the impact of climate and land cover change on water quality. The novel contribution of the study was to investigate the individual and combined impacts of climate and land cover change on water quality with high spatial and temporal resolution in a basin in Turkey. The global circulation model MPI-ESM-MR was dynamically downscaled to 10-km resolution under the RCP8.5 emission scenario. The Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) was used to model stream flow and nitrate loads. The land cover model outputs that were produced by the Land Change Modeler (LCM) were used for these simulation studies. Results revealed that decreasing precipitation intensity driven by climate change could significantly reduce nitrate transport to surface waters. In the 2075-2100 period, nitrate-nitrogen (NO3-N) loads transported to surface water decreased by more than 75%. Furthermore, the transition predominantly from forestry to pastoral farming systems increased loads by about 6%. The study results indicated that fine-resolution land use and climate data lead to better model performance. Environmental managers can also benefit greatly from the LCM-based forecast of land use changes and the SWAT model's attribution of changes in water quality to land use changes.},
}
@article {pmid38357589,
year = {2024},
author = {Truong, AT and Edwards, MS and Long, JD},
title = {Season-specific impacts of climate change on canopy-forming seaweed communities.},
journal = {Ecology and evolution},
volume = {14},
number = {2},
pages = {e10947},
pmid = {38357589},
issn = {2045-7758},
abstract = {Understory assemblages associated with canopy-forming species such as trees, kelps, and rockweeds should respond strongly to climate stressors due to strong canopy-understory interactions. Climate change can directly and indirectly modify these assemblages, particularly during more stressful seasons and climate scenarios. However, fully understanding the seasonal impacts of different climate conditions on canopy-reliant assemblages is difficult due to a continued emphasis on studying single-species responses to a single future climate scenario during a single season. To examine these emergent effects, we used mesocosm experiments to expose seaweed assemblages associated with the canopy-forming golden rockweed, Silvetia compressa, to elevated temperature and pCO2 conditions reflecting two projected greenhouse emission scenarios (RCP 2.6 [low] &amp; RCP 4.5 [moderate]). Assemblages were grown in the presence and absence of Silvetia, and in two seasons. Relative to ambient conditions, predicted climate scenarios generally suppressed Silvetia biomass and photosynthetic efficiency. However, these effects varied seasonally-both future scenarios reduced Silvetia biomass in summer, but only the moderate scenario did so in winter. These reductions shifted the assemblage, with more extreme shifts occurring in summer. Contrarily, future scenarios did not shift assemblages within Silvetia Absent treatments, suggesting that climate primarily affected assemblages indirectly through changes in Silvetia. Mesocosm experiments were coupled with a field Silvetia removal experiment to simulate the effects of climate-mediated Silvetia loss on natural assemblages. Consistent with the mesocosm experiment, Silvetia loss resulted in season-specific assemblage shifts, with weaker effects observed in winter. Together, our study supports the hypotheses that climate-mediated changes to canopy-forming species can indirectly affect the associated assemblage, and that these effects vary seasonally. Such seasonality is important to consider as it may provide periods of recovery when conditions are less stressful, especially if we can reduce the severity of future climate scenarios.},
}
@article {pmid38357383,
year = {2024},
author = {Zhu, H},
title = {Geoengineering: proactive measures to tackle climate change.},
journal = {National science review},
volume = {11},
number = {4},
pages = {nwad271},
doi = {10.1093/nsr/nwad271},
pmid = {38357383},
issn = {2053-714X},
abstract = {As of 20 August, 2023, extensive parts of northern China including the capital city of Beijing had experienced arguably the hottest summer in recent years, recording consecutive days of high temperatures at or near 40°C. Against this backdrop, National Science Review (NSR) organized a web forum on a climate-related topic that needs more exposure to Chinese public and researchers alike: geoengineering. Compared to commonly-known methods to address climate change such as emission reduction, geoengineering proposes to take much more proactive measures such as injecting aerosol into the stratosphere to increase solar reflection, implementing iron fertilization in the ocean to promote microbial growth, and capturing and liquifying CO2 and injecting it directly into exhausted oil fields. The forum was hosted by Prof. Tong Zhu of Peking University with four panelists. Together, they introduced the scientific backgrounds and implementations of these proactive measures and discussed the pros and cons anticipated by researchers so far. Fei Chai () Professor, College of Ocean and Earth Sciences, Xiamen University Zhijun Jin () Professor, SONOPEC Petroleum Exploration and Production Research Institute; Dean, Institute of Energy, Peking University; Dean, Peking University Ordos Research Institute of Energy Shawchen Liu () Professor, Institute for Environmental and Climate Research, Jinan University Jianhua Xu () Associate Professor, Department of Environmental Management, College of Environmental Sciences and Engineering and Institute for Global Health and Development, Peking University Tong Zhu () (Chair) Professor, College of Environmental Sciences and Engineering, Peking University.},
}
@article {pmid38356916,
year = {2024},
author = {Huber, CJ and Eichler, A and Mattea, E and Brütsch, S and Jenk, TM and Gabrieli, J and Barbante, C and Schwikowski, M},
title = {High-altitude glacier archives lost due to climate change-related melting.},
journal = {Nature geoscience},
volume = {17},
number = {2},
pages = {110-113},
pmid = {38356916},
issn = {1752-0894},
abstract = {Global warming has caused widespread surface lowering of mountain glaciers. By comparing two firn cores collected in 2018 and 2020 from Corbassière glacier in Switzerland, we demonstrate how vulnerable these precious archives of past environmental conditions have become. Within two years, the soluble impurity records were destroyed by melting. The glacier is now irrevocably lost as an archive for reconstructing major atmospheric aerosol components.},
}
@article {pmid38356539,
year = {2024},
author = {Javan, K and Darestani, M},
title = {Assessing environmental sustainability of a vital crop in a critical region: Investigating climate change impacts on agriculture using the SWAT model and HWA method.},
journal = {Heliyon},
volume = {10},
number = {3},
pages = {e25326},
pmid = {38356539},
issn = {2405-8440},
abstract = {Drought is an occurrence that brings about significant changes to the structure of areas. Its influence is especially noticeable in important regions with dry and semi-dry weather patterns, leading to a range of difficulties including interruptions in food distribution systems, lack of water, health problems, economic declines, increased migration, and inadequate energy supply. The Ardabil plain, located in Asia and the northern-western region of Iran, plays a pivotal role in crop productions within an arid environment and holds significant political importance for the country. The main objective of this study is to enhance environmental sustainability in this critical and vulnerable region, particularly in anticipation of imminent droughts. The study focuses on examining the financial impacts on agriculture and selection a crop using the SWAT model, HWA method and climate scenarios under the RCP8.5 pathway for the future period (2040-2050). Results for the near future indicate a notable decline in rainfall of around 38 %, a reduction in wheat production by approximately 25 %, and an increase in temperature of around 30 %. At present, the Ardabil Plain produces a total of 284,182 tons of wheat, with 204,980 tons from irrigated crops and 79,202 tons from rain-fed crops. However, the projected future scenario indicates a decrease in total wheat production to 202,926 tons, with 153,855 tons from irrigated crops and 49,071 tons from rain-fed crops. This decline in production is expected to lead to a total net income loss of approximately -$139,372,437, with -$87,690,344 attributed to irrigated crops and -$51,682,092 to rain-fed crops. The comprehensive hierarchy of crop choices yielded by the HWA method is outlined as follows: barley holds a superior position, followed by wheat, soybeans, and potatoes. The study findings suggest that the availability of water sources in certain regions may prompt a shift in farming land from the north to the south of the plain to promote environmental sustainability.},
}
@article {pmid38356032,
year = {2024},
author = {Hassaan, MA and Abdrabo, MAKA and Hussein, HA and Ghanem, AAA and Abdel-Latif, H},
title = {Potential impacts of climate change on renewable energy in Egypt.},
journal = {Environmental monitoring and assessment},
volume = {196},
number = {3},
pages = {268},
pmid = {38356032},
issn = {1573-2959},
abstract = {The need for renewable energy sources is recently necessitated by attaining sustainability and climate change mitigation. Accordingly, the use of renewable energy sources has been growing rapidly during the last two decades. Yet, the potentials of renewable energy sources are generally influenced by several climatic factors that either determine the source of energy such as wind speed in the case of wind power or affect the performance of system such as the reduction in solar PV power production due to temperature increase. This highlights the need for assessing climate change impacts on renewable energy sources in the future to ensure their reliability and sustainability.This paper is intended to assess impacts of climate change on wind and solar potential energy in Egypt by the year 2065 under RCP 8.5 scenario. For this purpose, a GIS-based methodology of three main steps was applied. The results revealed that solar energy potential in Egypt is expected to be relatively less vulnerable to climate change compared to wind energy. In this respect, it was found that while wind energy potential was estimated to range ± 12%. By the year 2065 under RCP 8.5 scenario, PV module power is expected to decrease by about 1.3% on average. Such assessment can assist in developing more sustainable and flexible renewable energy policy in Egypt.},
}
@article {pmid38355774,
year = {2024},
author = {Gounaridis, D and Newell, JP},
title = {The social anatomy of climate change denial in the United States.},
journal = {Scientific reports},
volume = {14},
number = {1},
pages = {2097},
pmid = {38355774},
issn = {2045-2322},
abstract = {Using data from Twitter (now X), this study deploys artificial intelligence (AI) and network analysis to map and profile climate change denialism across the United States. We estimate that 14.8% of Americans do not believe in climate change. This denialism is highest in the central and southern U.S. However, it also persists in clusters within states (e.g., California) where belief in climate change is high. Political affiliation has the strongest correlation, followed by level of education, COVID-19 vaccination rates, carbon intensity of the regional economy, and income. The analysis reveals how a coordinated social media network uses periodic events, such as cold weather and climate conferences, to sow disbelief about climate change and science, in general. Donald Trump was the strongest influencer in this network, followed by conservative media outlets and right-wing activists. As a form of knowledge vulnerability, climate denialism renders communities unprepared to take steps to increase resilience. As with other forms of misinformation, social media companies (e.g., X, Facebook, YouTube, TikTok) should flag accounts that spread falsehoods about climate change and collaborate on targeted educational campaigns.},
}
@article {pmid38355342,
year = {2024},
author = {Dağlı, E and Reyhan, FA and Kırca, A&#x15e;},
title = {Midwives' views about the effects of climate change on maternal and child health: A qualitative study.},
journal = {Women and birth : journal of the Australian College of Midwives},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1016/j.wombi.2024.02.001},
pmid = {38355342},
issn = {1878-1799},
abstract = {BACKGROUND: Midwives have important responsibilities to protect the health of mothers and children from the negative effects of climate change.<br><br>AIM: This research was conducted to determine how midwives perceived climate change, the effects of climate change on maternal and child health, and what midwives could do to combat these effects.<br><br>METHODS: The research was designed as a case study, one of the qualitative research designs. The research sample consisted of 11 midwives selected by snowball sampling, which is one of the non-random sampling methods.<br><br>FINDINGS: The data obtained were collected under five main themes. The themes were determined as "(I) the causes of climate change, (II) concerns about the consequences of climate change, (III) the effects of climate change on mother-child health, (IV) measures to mitigate the effects of climate change, and (V) midwives' role in protecting mother-child health against the effects of climate change."<br><br>CONCLUSION: Midwives are knowledgeable about climate change. They are aware of the effects of climate change on maternal and child health and they are doing some practices in this regard (breastfeeding, promoting the regulation of fertility and adequate/balanced nutrition, etc.). Midwives are aware of the importance of the midwifery profession in raising awareness of the individual and society, in addressing the effects of climate change on human health and in reducing the negative effects of climate change on health, and they want to take action at the national level (with the support of the midwifery organization and the state) for the sustainability of health.},
}
@article {pmid38354804,
year = {2024},
author = {Wu, Y and Li, F and Zhang, J and Liu, Y and Li, H and Zhou, B and Shen, B and Hou, L and Xu, D and Ding, L and Chen, S and Liu, X and Peng, J},
title = {Spatial and temporal patterns of above- and below- ground biomass over the Tibet Plateau grasslands and their sensitivity to climate change.},
journal = {The Science of the total environment},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {170900},
doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.170900},
pmid = {38354804},
issn = {1879-1026},
abstract = {The sensitivity of grassland above- (AGB, gC m[-2]) and below-ground biomass (BGB, gC m[-2]) to climate has been shown to be significant on the Tibetan Plateau, however, the spatial patterns and sensitivity of biomass with altitudinal change needs to be quantitated. In this study, large data sets of AGB and BGB during the peak growth season, and the corresponding geographical and climate conditions in the grasslands of the Tibetan Plateau between 2001 and 2020 were analyzed, and modelled using a Cubist regression trees algorithm. The mean values for AGB and BGB were 61.3 and 1304.3 gC m[-2], respectively, for the whole region over the two decades. There was a significant change in spatial AGB of 64.8 % on the Plateau (P < 0.05, with areas where AGB increased being twice as large as areas where AGB decreased), while BGB did not change significantly in majority the of the region (≥ 90.1 %, P > 0.05). In general, the areas where AGB showed positive partial correlations with precipitation were larger than the areas where AGB had positive correlations with temperature (P < 0.05). However, these trends varied depending on the climatic conditions: in the wetter regions, temperature had a greater effect on the size of the areas with positive AGB responses than precipitation (P < 0.05), while precipitation had a greater effect on the size of areas with positive BGB changes than temperature (P < 0.05). In the drier areas, however, precipitation affected the AGB response significantly compared to temperature (P < 0.05), while temperature influenced the BGB response greater than precipitation (P < 0.05). The response and sensitivity of grassland biomass to temperature and precipitation varied according to the altitude of the Plateau: the response and sensitivity were stronger and more sensitive at medium altitudes, and weak at the higher or lower altitudes. Likely, this phenomenon was resulted from the natural selection of plants to maintain the efficient use of resources during un-favourable and stressed conditions for maximum plant development and growth. These findings will help assess the ecological consequences of global climate change for the grasslands of the Tibetan Plateau, particularly in those regions with highly variable altitudes.},
}
@article {pmid38352020,
year = {2024},
author = {Bartlett, VL and Doernberg, H and Mooghali, M and Gupta, R and Wallach, JD and Nyhan, K and Chen, K and Ross, JS},
title = {Published research on the human health implications of climate change between 2012 and 2021: cross sectional study.},
journal = {BMJ medicine},
volume = {3},
number = {1},
pages = {e000627},
pmid = {38352020},
issn = {2754-0413},
abstract = {OBJECTIVE: To better understand the state of research on the effects of climate change on human health, including exposures, health conditions, populations, areas of the world studied, funding sources, and publication characteristics, with a focus on topics that are relevant for populations at risk.<br><br>DESIGN: Cross sectional study.<br><br>DATA SOURCES: The National Institute of Environmental Health Sciences climate change and human health literature portal, a curated bibliographical database of global peer reviewed research and grey literature was searched. The database combines searches of multiple search engines including PubMed, Web of Science, and Google Scholar, and includes added-value expert tagging of climate change exposures and health impacts.<br><br>ELIGIBILITY CRITERIA: Inclusion criteria were peer reviewed, original research articles that investigated the health effects of climate change and were published in English from 2012 to 2021. After identification, a 10% random sample was selected to manually perform a detailed characterisation of research topics and publication information.<br><br>RESULTS: 10&#x2009;325 original research articles were published between 2012 and 2021, and the number of articles increased by 23% annually. In a random sample of 1014 articles, several gaps were found in research topics that are particularly relevant to populations at risk, such as those in the global south (134 countries established through the United Nations Office for South-South Cooperation) (n=444; 43.8%), adults aged 65 years or older (n=195; 19.2%), and on topics related to human conflict and migration (n=25; 2.5%) and food and water quality and security (n=148; 14.6%). Additionally, fewer first authors were from the global south (n=349; 34.4%), which may partly explain why research focusing on these countries is disproportionally less.<br><br>CONCLUSIONS: Although the body of research on the health effects of climate change has grown substantially over the past decade, including those with a focus on the global south, a disproportionate focus continues to be on countries in the global north and less at risk populations. Governments are the largest source of funding for such research, and governments, particularly in the global north, need to re-orient their climate and health research funding to support researchers in the global south and to be more inclusive of issues that are relevant to the global south.},
}
@article {pmid38351276,
year = {2024},
author = {Hosseini, N and Ghorbanpour, M and Mostafavi, H},
title = {Habitat potential modelling and the effect of climate change on the current and future distribution of three Thymus species in Iran using MaxEnt.},
journal = {Scientific reports},
volume = {14},
number = {1},
pages = {3641},
pmid = {38351276},
issn = {2045-2322},
abstract = {Over the course of a few decades, climate change has caused a rapid and alarming reshaping of species habitats, resulting in mass extinction, particularly among sensitive species. In order to investigate the effects of climate change on species distribution and assess habitat suitability, researchers have developed species distribution models (SDMs) that estimate present and future species distribution. In West Asia, thyme species such as T. fedtschenkoi, T. pubescens, and T. transcaucasicus are rich in thymol and carvacrol, and are commonly used as herbal tea, spice, flavoring agents, and medicinal plants. This study aims to model the distribution of these Thymus species in Iran using the MaxEnt model under two representative concentration pathways (RCP 4.5 and RCP 8.5) for the years 2050 and 2070. The objective is to identify the crucial bioclimatic (n = 5), edaphic (n = 1), and topographic (n = 3) variables that influence their distribution and predict how their distribution might change under various climate scenarios. The findings reveal that the most significant variable affecting T. fedtschenkoi and T. pubescens is altitude, while soil organic carbon content is the primary factor influencing the distribution of T. transcaucasicus. The MaxEnt modeling demonstrates excellent performance, as indicated by all the area under the curve (AUC) values exceeding 0.9. Based on the projections, it is expected that these three thyme species will experience negative area changes in the coming years. These results can serve as a valuable tool for developing adaptive management strategies aimed at enhancing protection and sustainable utilization in the context of global climate change. Special attention should be given to conserving T. fedtschenkoi, T. pubescens, and T. transcaucasicus due to their significant habitat loss in the future.},
}
@article {pmid38349724,
year = {2024},
author = {Ogden, NH and Dumas, A and Gachon, P and Rafferty, E},
title = {Estimating the Incidence and Economic Cost of Lyme Disease Cases in Canada in the 21st Century with Projected Climate Change.},
journal = {Environmental health perspectives},
volume = {132},
number = {2},
pages = {27005},
doi = {10.1289/EHP13759},
pmid = {38349724},
issn = {1552-9924},
abstract = {BACKGROUND: Lyme disease (LD) is emerging in Canada owing to the range expansion of the tick vector Ixodes scapularis (I. scapularis).<br><br>OBJECTIVES: Our objective was to estimate future LD incidence in Canada, and economic costs, for the 21st century with projected climate change.<br><br>METHODS: Future regions of climatic suitability for I. scapularis were projected from temperature output of the North American Coordinated Regional Climate Downscaling Experiment regional climate model ensemble using greenhouse gas Representative Concentration Pathways (RCPs) 4.5 and 8.5. Once regions became climatically suitable for ticks, an algorithm derived from tick and LD case surveillance data projected subsequent increasing LD incidence. Three scenarios (optimistic, intermediate, and pessimistic) for maximum incidence at endemicity were selected based on LD surveillance, and underreporting estimates, from the United States. Health care and productivity cost estimates of LD cases were obtained from the literature.<br><br>RESULTS: Projected annual LD cases for Canada ranged from 120,000 to >500,000 by 2050. Variation in incidence was mostly due to the maximum incidence at endemicity selected, with minor contributions from variations among climate models and RCPs. Projected annual costs were substantial, ranging from CA$0.5&#x2009;billion to $2.0&#x2009;billion a year by 2050. There was little difference in projected incidence and economic cost between RCPs, and from 2050 to 2100, because projected climate up to 2050 is similar for RCP4.5 and RCP8.5 (mitigation of greenhouse gas emissions captured in RCP4.5 does not impact climate before the 2050s) and by 2050 the most densely populated areas of the study region are projected to be climatically suitable for ticks.<br><br>CONCLUSIONS: Future incidence and economic costs of LD in Canada are likely to be substantial, but uncertainties remain. Because densely populated areas of Canada are projected to become endemic under conservative climate change scenarios, mitigation of greenhouse gas emissions is unlikely to provide substantial health co-benefits for LD. https://doi.org/10.1289/EHP13759.},
}
@article {pmid38348625,
year = {2024},
author = {Briedis, M and Hahn, S and Bauer, S},
title = {Duration and variability of spring green-up mediate population consequences of climate change.},
journal = {Ecology letters},
volume = {27},
number = {2},
pages = {e14380},
doi = {10.1111/ele.14380},
pmid = {38348625},
issn = {1461-0248},
support = {aka 326315//Academy of Finland/ ; lzp-2019/1-0242//Latvijas Zin&#x101;tnes Padome/ ; lzp-2023/1-0233//Latvijas Zin&#x101;tnes Padome/ ; NSF 1927743//National Science Foundation/ ; SNF 31BD30_184120//Schweizerischer Nationalfonds zur F&#xf6;rderung der Wissenschaftlichen Forschung/ ; NWO E10008//Nederlandse Organisatie voor Wetenschappelijk Onderzoek/ ; BelSPO BR/185/A1/GloBAM-BE//Belgian Federal Science Policy Office/ ; },
abstract = {Single phenological measures, like the average rate of phenological advancement, may be insufficient to explain how climate change is driving trends in animal populations. Here, we develop a multifactorial concept of spring phenology-including the onset of spring, spring duration, interannual variability, and their temporal changes-as a driver for population dynamics of migratory terrestrial species in seasonal environments. Using this conceptual model, we found that effects of advancing spring phenology on animal populations may be buffered or amplified depending on the duration and interannual variability of spring green-up, and those effects are modified by evolutionary and plastic adaptations of species. Furthermore, we compared our modelling results with empirical data on normalized difference vegetation index-based spring green-up phenology and population trends of 106 European landbird finding similar associations. We conclude how phenological changes are expected to affect migratory bird populations across Europe and identify regions that are particularly prone to suffer population declines.},
}
@article {pmid38347450,
year = {2024},
author = {Ndetei, DM and Wasserman, D and Mutiso, V and Shanley, JR and Musyimi, C and Nyamai, P and Munyua, T and Swahn, MH and Weisz, JR and Osborn, TL and Bhui, K and Johnson, NE and Pihkala, P and Memiah, P and Gilbert, S and Javed, A and Sourander, A},
title = {The perceived impact of climate change on mental health and suicidality in Kenyan high school students.},
journal = {BMC psychiatry},
volume = {24},
number = {1},
pages = {117},
pmid = {38347450},
issn = {1471-244X},
abstract = {BACKGROUND: Climate change has psychological impacts but most of the attention has been focused on the physical impact. This study was aimed at determining the association of climate change with adolescent mental health and suicidality as reported by Kenyan high school students.<br><br>METHODS: This was a cross sectional study with a sample size of 2,652. The participants were high school students selected from 10 schools in 3 regions of Kenya. A questionnaire was used to assess climate change experiences, mental health problems, and suicidality of the youth. Data were analyzed descriptively and with logistic regression to determine various associations of the different variables and the predictors of the various scores of SDQ and suicidality at 95% CI.<br><br>RESULTS: Significant differences were observed between gender and two of the threats of climate change - worry and being afraid as subjectively experienced by the participants. Females were more worried and afraid of climate change than males. On univariate and multivariate logistic regression, we found that various experiences of climate change were significantly associated with various scores of SDQ and much fewer of the experiences predicted SDQ scores. The same pattern was reflected in suicidality.<br><br>CONCLUSION: Climate change appears to be associated with mental health concerns and suicidality according to Kenyan high school students' reports with gender differences in some associations.},
}
@article {pmid38347357,
year = {2024},
author = {Zoungrana, BJ and Ouedraogo, B and Yanogo, IP},
title = {Potential impact of future climate change on grassland cover in Burkina Faso.},
journal = {Environmental science and pollution research international},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
pmid = {38347357},
issn = {1614-7499},
support = {91797877//DAAD climapAfrica programme/ ; 01LG1001A//WASCAL-LANDSURF/ ; },
abstract = {The objective of this study was to analyse the potential impact of future climate change on grassland cover in Burkina Faso. MODIS NDVI 250 m time series were used to monitor changes in grassland over 2000-2022. The random forest regression (RFR) model was fit by regressing reference data of grassland cover against current climatic and other environmental predictors to predict the current grassland cover map (2022). Projected climate model data of CMIP6 used under SSP 126 and SSP 585 scenarios were integrated into the fit RFR model to predict future change. The results revealed that grassland areas were largely dominated by non-significant productivity change (55%) during 2000-2022. In this period, grassland area knew more increased productivity (35%) than decrease (10%). Burkina Faso is predicted to face more decreased areas of grassland cover than increase by 2061-2080 under SSP 126 and SSP 585 scenarios. The findings of this study can help to set up appropriate adaptation measures to combat climate change in Burkina Faso.},
}
@article {pmid38346629,
year = {2024},
author = {Zaffaroni, FT and Sandoval, AE and Marti, GA and Cheli, GH},
title = {First winter record of Latrodectus mirabilis (Araneae: Theridiidae) in arid Patagonia: a consequence of climate change and urbanization?.},
journal = {Acta tropica},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {107147},
doi = {10.1016/j.actatropica.2024.107147},
pmid = {38346629},
issn = {1873-6254},
abstract = {Cases of araneism reported in the province of Chubut (Argentina) have tripled in the last two decades, and almost 80 % of them involve Latrodectus mirabilis (Holmberg) (Araneae: Theridiidae). According to descriptions of the life cycle of this species in Argentina, the low temperatures typical of autumn-winter cause the death of all adult spiders, so that no adult specimens of L. mirabilis are observed in winter. Field samplings, observations by the Grupo de Entomología Patagónica (GENTPAT, IPEEC CCT CENPAT CONICET), and citizen reports for more than 15 years suggested a similar cycle in northeastern Patagonia. However, for the last three consecutive years, we have recorded adult females in the field throughout the Patagonian winter. Some of these individuals even survived the winter and were alive the following spring. The purpose of this note is to report the field presence of adult female specimens of L. mirabilis in the outskirts of the city of Puerto Madryn (Chubut, Argentina) during the last three consecutive winters corresponding to the years 2021, 2022 and 2023; and to note that at least two of them survived the winter, arriving alive (and in good condition) the following spring. Given the medical importance of this spider, the publication of this information, the context of the findings, and their ecological implications will help to prevent its spread and reduce the likelihood of accidents.},
}
@article {pmid38343776,
year = {2024},
author = {Tigano, A and Weir, T and Ward, HGM and Gale, MK and Wong, CM and Eliason, EJ and Miller, KM and Hinch, SG and Russello, MA},
title = {Genomic vulnerability of a freshwater salmonid under climate change.},
journal = {Evolutionary applications},
volume = {17},
number = {2},
pages = {e13602},
pmid = {38343776},
issn = {1752-4571},
abstract = {Understanding the adaptive potential of populations and species is pivotal for minimizing the loss of biodiversity in this era of rapid climate change. Adaptive potential has been estimated in various ways, including based on levels of standing genetic variation, presence of potentially beneficial alleles, and/or the severity of environmental change. Kokanee salmon, the non-migratory ecotype of sockeye salmon (Oncorhynchus nerka), is culturally and economically important and has already been impacted by the effects of climate change. To assess its climate vulnerability moving forward, we integrated analyses of standing genetic variation, genotype-environment associations, and climate modeling based on sequence and structural genomic variation from 224 whole genomes sampled from 22 lakes in British Columbia and Yukon (Canada). We found that variables for extreme temperatures, particularly warmer temperatures, had the most pervasive signature of selection in the genome and were the strongest predictors of levels of standing variation and of putatively adaptive genomic variation, both sequence and structural. Genomic offset estimates, a measure of climate vulnerability, were significantly correlated with higher increases in extreme warm temperatures, further highlighting the risk of summer heat waves that are predicted to increase in frequency in the future. Levels of standing genetic variation, an important metric for population viability and resilience, were not correlated with genomic offset. Nonetheless, our combined approach highlights the importance of integrating different sources of information and genomic data to formulate more comprehensive and accurate predictions on the vulnerability of populations and species to future climate change.},
}
@article {pmid38343590,
year = {2024},
author = {Wanga, VO and Ngarega, BK and Oulo, MA and Mkala, EM and Ngumbau, VM and Onjalalaina, GE and Odago, WO and Nanjala, C and Ochieng, CO and Gichua, MK and Gituru, RW and Hu, GW},
title = {Projected impacts of climate change on the habitat of Xerophyta species in Africa.},
journal = {Plant diversity},
volume = {46},
number = {1},
pages = {91-100},
pmid = {38343590},
issn = {2468-2659},
abstract = {Climate change poses a serious long-term threat to biodiversity. To effectively reduce biodiversity loss, conservationists need to have a thorough understanding of the preferred habitats of species and the variables that affect their distribution. Therefore, predicting the impact of climate change on species-appropriate habitats may help mitigate the potential threats to biodiversity distribution. Xerophyta, a monocotyledonous genus of the family Velloziaceae is native to mainland Africa, Madagascar, and the Arabian Peninsula. The key drivers of Xerophyta habitat distribution and preference are unknown. Using 308 species occurrence data and eight environmental variables, the MaxEnt model was used to determine the potential distribution of six Xerophyta species in Africa under past, current and future climate change scenarios. The results showed that the models had a good predictive ability (Area Under the Curve and True Skill Statistics values for all SDMs were more than 0.902), indicating high accuracy in forecasting the potential geographic distribution of Xerophyta species. The main bioclimatic variables that impacted potential distributions of most Xerophyta species were mean temperature of the driest quarter (Bio9) and precipitation of the warmest quarter (Bio18). According to our models, tropical Africa has zones of moderate and high suitability for Xerophyta taxa, which is consistent with the majority of documented species localities. The habitat suitability of the existing range of the Xerophyta species varied based on the climate scenario, with most species experiencing a range loss greater than the range gain regardless of the climate scenario. The projected spatiotemporal patterns of Xerophyta species help guide recommendations for conservation efforts.},
}
@article {pmid38343000,
year = {2024},
author = {Alibudbud, R},
title = {Climate change and equitable development in the Philippines.},
journal = {Journal of public health (Oxford, England)},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1093/pubmed/fdae019},
pmid = {38343000},
issn = {1741-3850},
}
@article {pmid38341970,
year = {2024},
author = {Tse, H},
title = {Challenges for pumping station design in water industries: An overview of impacts from climate change and energy crisis.},
journal = {Water research},
volume = {253},
number = {},
pages = {121250},
doi = {10.1016/j.watres.2024.121250},
pmid = {38341970},
issn = {1879-2448},
abstract = {Uncertain climate change and increasing energy cost become the pressing challenges for either new design or refurbishment of pumping stations in water and wastewater industries. These challenges make more complex to the design work for optimal solutions in meeting current scenarios, unplanned operational behaviors and unpredicted failure. The climate change affects the water level dramatically in dry and wet seasons, stressing and weakening the operation of pumping stations beyond its original flow capability and hydraulic performance. In addition, increasing energy cost from energy crisis poses another challenge on design work for planning the suitable pump sizing, type, configuration, and technologies to make pumping stations more energy and carbon efficient without degrading its full pumping capacity. By surveying relevant pumping-related journals or guidelines after 2000, this paper provides an overview and checklist of design considerations, engineering experience and essential comparisons to mitigate impacts from climate and energy scenarios that help engineers plan and design the most common raw water and sewage pumping stations with higher sustainability and better resilient in future.},
}
@article {pmid38341269,
year = {2024},
author = {Money, NP},
title = {Fungal thermotolerance revisited and why climate change is unlikely to be supercharging pathogenic fungi (yet).},
journal = {Fungal biology},
volume = {128},
number = {1},
pages = {1638-1641},
doi = {10.1016/j.funbio.2024.01.005},
pmid = {38341269},
issn = {1878-6146},
abstract = {Thermotolerance has been viewed as an uncommon characteristic among the fungi and one of the reasons that less than 1% of the described species operate as opportunistic pathogens of humans. Growth at 37°C is certainly a requirement for a fungus that invades the body core, but tens of thousands of nonpathogenic species are also able to grow at this temperature. Ergo, body temperature does not serve as a thermal barrier to the development of infections by many harmless fungi. The absence of other virulence factors must be more demanding. This observation raises questions about the hypothetical links between climate change and the increasing number of life-threatening human mycoses. Given the widespread distribution of fungal thermotolerance and the 1°C (2°F) increase in global temperature over the last 140 years it seems unlikely that the warming climate has driven the evolution of more virulent strains of fungi. More compelling explanations for the changes in the behavior of fungi as disease agents include their adaptation to the widening use of azole antifungals in hospitals and the wholesale application of millions of tons of the same class of heterocyclic chemicals in agriculture. On the other hand, climate change is having a significant effect on the spread of human mycoses by extending the geographical range of pathogenic fungi. A related increase in fungal asthma caused by spore inhalation is another likely consequence of planetary change.},
}
@article {pmid38340856,
year = {2024},
author = {Cheng, W and Feng, Q and Xi, H and Yin, X and Cheng, L and Sindikubwabo, C and Zhang, B and Chen, Y and Zhao, X},
title = {Modeling and assessing the impacts of climate change on groundwater recharge in endorheic basins of Northwest China.},
journal = {The Science of the total environment},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {170829},
doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.170829},
pmid = {38340856},
issn = {1879-1026},
abstract = {Climate change imposing additional stressors on groundwater resources globally, thereby predicting groundwater recharge (GR) changes is crucial to sustainably managing water resources, especially in the arid endorheic basins. Groundwater in the Endorheic Basins of Northwest China (NWEB) is potentially impacting regional socio-economic output and ecosystem stability due to the imbalance between supply and extraction exacerbated by climate change. Hence, recognizing the impacts of climate change on past and future GR is imperative for groundwater supply and sustainable groundwater management in the NWEB. Here, the impact of historical (1971-2020) and projected (2021-2100) climate changes on GR across the entire NWEB and three distinctive landscape regions (i.e., mountainous, oasis, and desert) were assessed. A coupled distributed hydrologic model (CWatM-HBV model), which integrates the Community Water Model (CWatM) and the HBV model, was run with three shared socioeconomic pathways (SSP1-2.6, SSP2-4.5, and SSP3-7.0) forcing from 10 general circulation models (GCMs) to simulate and analyze the interannual and seasonal variations of GR, along with their driving factors. Over the past 50 years, both precipitation and runoff have undergone significant increases, and leading to a dramatic rise in GR (0.09 mm yr[-1]). The future annual growth rate of GR is projected to range from 0.01 to 0.09 mm yr[-1] from SSP1-2.6 to SSP3-7.0 across the entire NWEB, with the majority of the increase expected during the spring and summer seasons, driven by enhanced precipitation. GR from the mountainous region is the primary source (accounting for approximately 56-59 %) throughout the NWEB with the greatest increase anticipated. Precipitation and runoff have significant influences on GR in mountainous areas, and the impact of precipitation on GR is expected to increase over time. Changes in GR in oasis and desert areas are mainly limited by precipitation variation and increase in the SSP2-4.5 and SSP3-7.0 scenario. Additionally, the processes of glacial retreat and permafrost degradation will complicate the GR dynamics although the process is largely interfered with by anthropogenic environmental changes, especially in oasis-desert systems. The average annual recharge in the NWEB was 8.9 mm in the historical period and 13.6 ± 4.1 mm in the future. Despite an increase in GR due to climate change, groundwater storage is likely to continue to decline due to complex water demands in the NWEB. This study highlights the significance of future precipitation changes for GR and contributes to the understanding of the influence of climate change on groundwater systems and advances the sustainable management of water resources.},
}
@article {pmid38337983,
year = {2024},
author = {Ramírez, CF and Cavieres, LA and Sanhueza, C and Vallejos, V and Gómez-Espinoza, O and Bravo, LA and Sáez, PL},
title = {Ecophysiology of Antarctic Vascular Plants: An Update on the Extreme Environment Resistance Mechanisms and Their Importance in Facing Climate Change.},
journal = {Plants (Basel, Switzerland)},
volume = {13},
number = {3},
pages = {},
doi = {10.3390/plants13030449},
pmid = {38337983},
issn = {2223-7747},
support = {1211231//Fondecyt/ ; RT13-16//INACH/ ; ACT210038//ANILLO/ ; FB210006//CENTRO BASAL/ ; },
abstract = {Antarctic flowering plants have become enigmatic because of their unique capability to colonize Antarctica. It has been shown that there is not a single trait that makes Colobanthus quitensis and Deschampsia antarctica so special, but rather a set of morphophysiological traits that coordinately confer resistance to one of the harshest environments on the Earth. However, both their capacity to inhabit Antarctica and their uniqueness remain not fully explained from a biological point of view. These aspects have become more relevant due to the climatic changes already impacting Antarctica. This review aims to compile and update the recent advances in the ecophysiology of Antarctic vascular plants, deepen understanding of the mechanisms behind their notable resistance to abiotic stresses, and contribute to understanding their potential responses to environmental changes. The uniqueness of Antarctic plants has prompted research that emphasizes the role of leaf anatomical traits and cell wall properties in controlling water loss and CO2 exchange, the role of Rubisco kinetics traits in facilitating efficient carbon assimilation, and the relevance of metabolomic pathways in elucidating key processes such as gas exchange, nutrient uptake, and photoprotection. Climate change is anticipated to have significant and contrasting effects on the morphophysiological processes of Antarctic species. However, more studies in different locations outside Antarctica and using the latitudinal gradient as a natural laboratory to predict the effects of climate change are needed. Finally, we raise several questions that should be addressed, both to unravel the uniqueness of Antarctic vascular species and to understand their potential responses to climate change.},
}
@article {pmid38337932,
year = {2024},
author = {Ali, S and Basit, A and Umair, M and Makanda, TA and Shaik, MR and Ibrahim, M and Ni, J},
title = {The Role of Climate Change and Its Sensitivity on Long-Term Standardized Precipitation Evapotranspiration Index, Vegetation and Drought Changing Trends over East Asia.},
journal = {Plants (Basel, Switzerland)},
volume = {13},
number = {3},
pages = {},
doi = {10.3390/plants13030399},
pmid = {38337932},
issn = {2223-7747},
abstract = {Droughts have become more severe and frequent due to global warming. In this context, it is widely accepted that for drought assessments, both water supply (rainfall) and demand (standardized precipitation evapotranspiration index, SPEI) should be considered. Using SPEI, we explored the spatial-temporal patterns of dry and wet annual and seasonal changes in five sub-regions of East Asia during 1902-2018. These factors are linked to excess drought frequency and severity on the regional scale, and their effect on vegetation remains an important topic for climate change studies. Our results show that the SPEI significantly improved extreme drought and mostly affected the SPEI-06 and SPEI-12 growing seasons in East Asia during 1981-2018. The dry and wet annual SPEI trends mostly affect the five sub-regions of East Asia. The annual SPEI had two extremely dry spells during 1936-1947 and 1978-2018. Japan, South Korea, and North Korea are wet in the summer compared to other regions of East Asia, with drought frequency occurring at 51.4%, respectively. The mean drought frequencies in China and Mongolia are 57.4% and 54.6%. China and Mongolia are the driest regions in East Asia due to high drought frequency and duration. The spatial seasonal analysis of solar radiation (SR), water vapor pressure (WVP), wind speed (WS), vegetation condition index (VCI), temperature condition index (TCI), and vegetation health index (VHI) have confirmed that the East Asia region suffered from maximum drought events. The seasonal variation of SPEI shows no clear drying trends during summer and autumn seasons. During the winter and spring seasons, there was a dry trend in East Asia region. During 1902-1990, a seasonal SPEI presented diverse characteristics, with clear wet trends in Japan, Mongolia, and North Korea in four different growing seasons, with dry trends in China and South Korea. During 1991-2018, seasonal SPEI presented clear dry trends in Japan, Mongolia, and North Korea in different growing seasons, while China and South Korea showed a wet trend during the spring, autumn, and winter seasons. This ecological and climatic mechanism provides a good basis for the assessment of vegetation and drought-change variations within East Asia. An understandings of long-term vegetation trends and the effects of rainfall and SPEI on droughts of varying severity is essential for water resource management and climate change adaptation. Based on the results, water resources will increase under global warming, which may alleviate the water scarcity issue in the East Asia region.},
}
@article {pmid38337453,
year = {2024},
author = {De Vita, A and Belmusto, A and Di Perna, F and Tremamunno, S and De Matteis, G and Franceschi, F and Covino, M and , },
title = {The Impact of Climate Change and Extreme Weather Conditions on Cardiovascular Health and Acute Cardiovascular Diseases.},
journal = {Journal of clinical medicine},
volume = {13},
number = {3},
pages = {},
doi = {10.3390/jcm13030759},
pmid = {38337453},
issn = {2077-0383},
abstract = {Climate change is widely recognized as one of the most significant challenges facing our planet and human civilization. Human activities such as the burning of fossil fuels, deforestation, and industrial processes release greenhouse gases into the atmosphere, leading to a warming of the Earth's climate. The relationship between climate change and cardiovascular (CV) health, mediated by air pollution and increased ambient temperatures, is complex and very heterogeneous. The main mechanisms underlying the pathogenesis of CV disease at extreme temperatures involve several regulatory pathways, including temperature-sympathetic reactivity, the cold-activated renin-angiotensin system, dehydration, extreme temperature-induced electrolyte imbalances, and heat stroke-induced systemic inflammatory responses. The interplay of these mechanisms may vary based on individual factors, environmental conditions, and an overall health background. The net outcome is a significant increase in CV mortality and a higher incidence of hypertension, type II diabetes mellitus, acute myocardial infarction (AMI), heart failure, and cardiac arrhythmias. Patients with pre-existing CV disorders may be more vulnerable to the effects of global warming and extreme temperatures. There is an urgent need for a comprehensive intervention that spans from the individual level to a systemic or global approach to effectively address this existential problem. Future programs aimed at reducing CV and environmental burdens should require cross-disciplinary collaboration involving physicians, researchers, public health workers, political scientists, legislators, and national leaders to mitigate the effects of climate change.},
}
@article {pmid38336703,
year = {2024},
author = {Litke, NA and Poß-Doering, R and Fehrer, V and Köppen, M and Kümmel, S and Szecsenyi, J and Wensing, M},
title = {Building climate resilience: awareness of climate change adaptation in German outpatient medical practices.},
journal = {BMC health services research},
volume = {24},
number = {1},
pages = {184},
pmid = {38336703},
issn = {1472-6963},
support = {01VSF20029//Innovation Fund of the Federal Joint Committee (G-BA)/ ; 01VSF20029//Innovation Fund of the Federal Joint Committee (G-BA)/ ; 01VSF20029//Innovation Fund of the Federal Joint Committee (G-BA)/ ; 01VSF20029//Innovation Fund of the Federal Joint Committee (G-BA)/ ; 01VSF20029//Innovation Fund of the Federal Joint Committee (G-BA)/ ; 01VSF20029//Innovation Fund of the Federal Joint Committee (G-BA)/ ; },
abstract = {BACKGROUND: Climate change is seen as the biggest health threat of the twenty-first century. Making outpatient medical practices resilient is therefore crucial to protect vulnerable groups and maintain quality of care. Awareness is a precondition for action. This study aims to explore awareness (knowledge, experience and attention) of climate change adaptation among stakeholders of outpatient medical practices.<br><br>METHODS: Semi-structured interviews and focus groups with stakeholders of outpatient medical practices were conducted. The qualitative data were analysed in a two-step Thematic Analysis process.<br><br>RESULTS: In total, n&#x2009;=&#x2009;40 stakeholders participated in two focus groups and 26 interviews. The findings show a mixed degree of awareness in outpatient medical practices. The spectrum ranged from a passive role with curative acting only, handing over responsibility to others and a low perceived self-efficacy to a proactive and responsible implementation of adaptation strategies. Participants who saw the need and responsibility of climate change adaptation in medical practices perceived low additional workload. In general, implementation of climate change adaptation measures and general awareness of climate change adaptation appeared to be depending on a certain tension for change and a higher self-efficacy.<br><br>CONCLUSION: Medical practices, and specifically primary care, plays a crucial role in climate change adaptation, and awareness needs to be increased further in order to cope with consequences of climate change. To facilitate this, there should be a strong emphasis on climate change adaptation strategies being part of outpatient care provider roles rather than being perceived as an "add-on" to already high workloads.},
}
@article {pmid38335601,
year = {2024},
author = {Alam, A and Banna, H and Alam, AW and Bhuiyan, MBU and Mokhtar, NB},
title = {Climate change and geopolitical conflicts: The role of ESG readiness.},
journal = {Journal of environmental management},
volume = {353},
number = {},
pages = {120284},
doi = {10.1016/j.jenvman.2024.120284},
pmid = {38335601},
issn = {1095-8630},
abstract = {This study examines the relationship between climate change vulnerability and geopolitical risk using data on 42 countries from 1995 to 2021. Utilising two distinct indices, the climate vulnerability index (CVI) and the country-specific geopolitical risk (CGPR) indices, we find that countries with high vulnerability to climate change are more likely to experience geopolitical conflicts. Further analysis reveals that country-level overall economic, social, and governance (ESG) readiness significantly mitigates this detrimental effect. This moderation is mainly attributed to the social and governance readiness measures. Additional tests indicate that the mitigating role of ESG is more pronounced for countries with high institutional governance. These results remain resilient through a set of endogeneity tests using matched samples of countries generated through propensity score matching (PSM) estimation. Our findings suggest that addressing climate vulnerability is crucial to promoting global peace and geopolitical stability.},
}
@article {pmid38335594,
year = {2024},
author = {Garcia, X and Estrada, L and Saló, J and Acuña, V},
title = {Blueing green water from forests as strategy to cope with climate change in water scarce regions: The case of the Catalan river basin District.},
journal = {Journal of environmental management},
volume = {353},
number = {},
pages = {120249},
doi = {10.1016/j.jenvman.2024.120249},
pmid = {38335594},
issn = {1095-8630},
abstract = {Water scarcity in Mediterranean basins is a critical concern exacerbated by climate change and afforestation of abandoned lands. This study addresses the impact of forest management on water availability, specifically blue water, at a regional scale. Utilizing the SWAT + model, we assess water yield increases resulting from various forest thinning scenarios (light, moderate, heavy) and compare benefits to costs. Our approach incorporates site-specific marginal values of water yield, accounting for urban water supply abstractions. The findings reveal the efficacy of hydrological-oriented forest management in alleviating water scarcity. Thinning intensity positively correlates with water yield, with coniferous forests exhibiting the greatest response and deciduous forests the least. Emphasizing blue water enhancement as a significant co-benefit in forest management planning, our study underscores the economic advantages. Particularly valuable in certain areas, this approach can offset a substantial portion of associated costs. Spatially explicit results enable optimal resource allocation, facilitating efficient planning and prioritization of intervention areas for successful hydrological-oriented strategies. In conclusion, our study not only highlights the economic benefits of forest management in enhancing water availability but also offers actionable insights for sustainable and effective hydrological-oriented planning amid escalating water scarcity.},
}
@article {pmid38334016,
year = {2024},
author = {Hosseini, N and Mostafavi, H and Sadeghi, SMM},
title = {Impact of climate change on the future distribution of three Ferulago species in Iran using the MaxEnt model.},
journal = {Integrated environmental assessment and management},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1002/ieam.4898},
pmid = {38334016},
issn = {1551-3793},
abstract = {The decline of habitats supporting medicinal plants is a consequence of climate change and human activities. In the Middle East, Ferulago angulata, Ferulago carduchorum, and Ferulago phialocarpa are widely recognized for their culinary, medicinal, and economic value. Therefore, this study models these Ferulago species in Iran using the MaxEnt model under two representative concentration pathways (RCP4.5 and RCP8.5) for 2050 and 2070. The objective was to identify the most important bioclimatic (n = 6), edaphic (n = 4), and topographic (n = 3) variables influencing their distribution and predict changes under various climate scenarios. Findings reveal slope percentage as the most significant variable for F. angulata and F. carduchorum, while solar radiation was the primary variable for F. phialocarpa. MaxEnt modeling demonstrated good to excellent performance, as indicated by all the area under the curve values exceeding 0.85. Projections suggest negative area changes for F. angulata and F. carduchorum (i.e., predictions under RCP4.5 for 2050 and 2070 indicate -34.0% and -37.8% for F. phialocarpa, and -0.3% and -6.2% for F. carduchorum; additionally, predictions under RCP 8.5 for 2050 and 2070 show -39.0% and -52.2% for F. phialocarpa, and -1.33% and -9.8% for F. carduchorum), while for F. phialocarpa, a potential habitat increase (i.e., predictions under RCP4.5 for 2050 and 2070 are 23.4% and 11.2%, and under RCP 8.5 for 2050 and 2070 are 64.4% and 42.1%) is anticipated. These insights guide adaptive management strategies, emphasizing conservation and sustainable use amid global climate change. Special attention should be paid to F. angulata and F. carduchorum due to anticipated habitat loss. Integr Environ Assess Manag 2024;00:1-14. © 2024 SETAC.},
}
@article {pmid38332537,
year = {2024},
author = {Gallegos, C and Hodgins, KA and Monro, K},
title = {Temperature and sex shape reproductive barriers in a climate change hotspot.},
journal = {Evolution; international journal of organic evolution},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1093/evolut/qpae012},
pmid = {38332537},
issn = {1558-5646},
abstract = {Climate change is altering species ranges and reproductive interactions in existing ranges, offering species new scope to mate and hybridize. The outcomes will depend on how environmental factors shape reproductive barriers across life stages, yet this is rarely assessed across the environments that species encounter in nature. We assess prezygotic and postzygotic barriers, and their dependence on temperature and parental sex, in species of a reef-building tubeworm (Galeolaria) from a fast-warming biodiversity hotspot in southern Australia. By replicating pure and reciprocal hybrid crosses across five temperatures spanning species' thermal ranges, we estimate thermal tolerance curves (defining niches) for crosses and reproductive isolation at each temperature. By also replicating crosses at three life stages, we partition the contributions of prezygotic barriers at fertilization, postzygotic barriers at embryogenesis, and postzygotic barriers at larval development to reproductive isolation. We show that barriers are weaker at fertilization and embryogenesis, but stronger and more temperature-sensitive at larval development, as species diverge in thermal niche. Asymmetry of barriers between parental sexes, moreover, suggests a complex interplay between niche differentiation and maternal inheritance. Our findings point to a key role for temperature in reproductive isolation, but also challenges for predicting the fate of isolation in future climates.},
}
@article {pmid38331945,
year = {2024},
author = {Erazo, D and Grant, L and Ghisbain, G and Marini, G and Colón-González, FJ and Wint, W and Rizzoli, A and Van Bortel, W and Vogels, CBF and Grubaugh, ND and Mengel, M and Frieler, K and Thiery, W and Dellicour, S},
title = {Contribution of climate change to the spatial expansion of West Nile virus in Europe.},
journal = {Nature communications},
volume = {15},
number = {1},
pages = {1196},
pmid = {38331945},
issn = {2041-1723},
support = {UL1 TR001863/TR/NCATS NIH HHS/United States ; },
abstract = {West Nile virus (WNV) is an emerging mosquito-borne pathogen in Europe where it represents a new public health threat. While climate change has been cited as a potential driver of its spatial expansion on the continent, a formal evaluation of this causal relationship is lacking. Here, we investigate the extent to which WNV spatial expansion in Europe can be attributed to climate change while accounting for other direct human influences such as land-use and human population changes. To this end, we trained ecological niche models to predict the risk of local WNV circulation leading to human cases to then unravel the isolated effect of climate change by comparing factual simulations to a counterfactual based on the same environmental changes but a counterfactual climate where long-term trends have been removed. Our findings demonstrate a notable increase in the area ecologically suitable for WNV circulation during the period 1901-2019, whereas this area remains largely unchanged in a no-climate-change counterfactual. We show that the drastic increase in the human population at risk of exposure is partly due to historical changes in population density, but that climate change has also been a critical driver behind the heightened risk of WNV circulation in Europe.},
}
@article {pmid38331534,
year = {2024},
author = {Madaniyazi, L and Armstrong, B and Tobias, A and Mistry, MN and Bell, ML and Urban, A and Kyselý, J and Ryti, N and Cvijanovic, I and Ng, CFS and Roye, D and Vicedo-Cabrera, AM and Tong, S and Lavigne, E and Íñiguez, C and da Silva, SDNP and Madureira, J and Jaakkola, JJK and Sera, F and Honda, Y and Gasparrini, A and Hashizume, M and , },
title = {Seasonality of mortality under climate change: a multicountry projection study.},
journal = {The Lancet. Planetary health},
volume = {8},
number = {2},
pages = {e86-e94},
doi = {10.1016/S2542-5196(23)00269-3},
pmid = {38331534},
issn = {2542-5196},
abstract = {BACKGROUND: Climate change can directly impact temperature-related excess deaths and might subsequently change the seasonal variation in mortality. In this study, we aimed to provide a systematic and comprehensive assessment of potential future changes in the seasonal variation, or seasonality, of mortality across different climate zones.<br><br>METHODS: In this modelling study, we collected daily time series of mean temperature and mortality (all causes or non-external causes only) via the Multi-Country Multi-City Collaborative (MCC) Research Network. These data were collected during overlapping periods, spanning from Jan 1, 1969 to Dec 31, 2020. We projected daily mortality from Jan 1, 2000 to Dec 31, 2099, under four climate change scenarios corresponding to increasing emissions (Shared Socioeconomic Pathways [SSP] scenarios SSP1-2.6, SSP2-4.5, SSP3-7.0, and SSP5-8.5). We compared the seasonality in projected mortality between decades by its shape, timings (the day-of-year) of minimum (trough) and maximum (peak) mortality, and sizes (peak-to-trough ratio and attributable fraction). Attributable fraction was used to measure the burden of seasonality of mortality. The results were summarised by climate zones.<br><br>FINDINGS: The MCC dataset included 126&#x2008;809&#x2008;537 deaths from 707 locations within 43 countries or areas. After excluding the only two polar locations (both high-altitude locations in Peru) from climatic zone assessments, we analysed 126&#x2008;766&#x2008;164 deaths in 705 locations aggregated in four climate zones (tropical, arid, temperate, and continental). From the 2000s to the 2090s, our projections showed an increase in mortality during the warm seasons and a decrease in mortality during the cold seasons, albeit with mortality remaining high during the cold seasons, under all four SSP scenarios in the arid, temperate, and continental zones. The magnitude of this changing pattern was more pronounced under the high-emission scenarios (SSP3-7.0 and SSP5-8.5), substantially altering the shape of seasonality of mortality and, under the highest emission scenario (SSP5-8.5), shifting the mortality peak from cold seasons to warm seasons in arid, temperate, and continental zones, and increasing the size of seasonality in all zones except the arid zone by the end of the century. In the 2090s compared with the 2000s, the change in peak-to-trough ratio (relative scale) ranged from 0&#xb7;96 to 1&#xb7;11, and the change in attributable fraction ranged from 0&#xb7;002% to 0&#xb7;06% under the SSP5-8.5 (highest emission) scenario.<br><br>INTERPRETATION: A warming climate can substantially change the seasonality of mortality in the future. Our projections suggest that health-care systems should consider preparing for a potentially increased demand during warm seasons and sustained high demand during cold seasons, particularly in regions characterised by arid, temperate, and continental climates.<br><br>FUNDING: The Environment Research and Technology Development Fund of the Environmental Restoration and Conservation Agency, provided by the Ministry of the Environment of Japan.},
}
@article {pmid38331295,
year = {2024},
author = {Mehdi-Schulz, B and Zoboli, O and Schürz, C and Strenge, E and Lima, EM and Parajka, J and Wang, C and Zessner, M and Schönhart, M},
title = {The impacts of climate change on nitrogen losses to the environment in Austria: A dual model analysis across spatial and temporal scales to support policy decisions.},
journal = {The Science of the total environment},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {170730},
doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.170730},
pmid = {38331295},
issn = {1879-1026},
abstract = {The amounts and pathways of reactive nitrogen (Nr) losses in Austria into the surface water, soil, and atmosphere were determined under four climate change scenarios for the period 2041-2070. Two nutrient models were used to undertake the analysis at two different scales. Firstly, a semi-empirical, conceptual model (MONERIS) was setup for Austria to calculate the overall annual Nr surpluses, categorise flows of Nr, and identify regional hotspots of Nr losses. Secondly, a physically based eco-hydrological model (SWAT) was setup in three agricultural catchments to determine the hydrological processes related to Nr transport and quantify the amounts transported by various pathways in cropland at a detailed spatial and temporal resolution. The agricultural N surplus calculations for Austria were revised and used as input data for both models. The MONERIS and SWAT simulated inorganic N loads transported into waterbodies are overall similar, with average differences for the subsurface inorganic N loads of ±3 kg ha[-1] yr[-1] and for surface inorganic N loads of +0.4 to -0.03 kg ha[-1] yr[-1]. Crop level N losses under future climate scenarios was contingent upon the fertilizer type, the crop grown and its accumulated biomass, as well as the type of climate scenario (wet or dry). In the SWAT model, an examination of the sensitivity of the input data (climate data and parameter values) found the dominant contribution to the sensitivity of simulated monthly discharge was from the climate data (69 % to 98 %). For simulating N loads, the climate scenarios contributed 30 % to 89 % of the sensitivity. Simulating Nr flows under climate scenarios is policy relevant to assess critical areas of N losses and identify future N transport pathways. Using a dual-model approach saves on resources required to set up a complex, data intensive model at a large scale, and can focus on critical catchments in detail.},
}
@article {pmid38327685,
year = {2024},
author = {Lamouille-Hébert, M and Arthaud, F and Datry, T},
title = {Climate change and the biodiversity of alpine ponds: Challenges and perspectives.},
journal = {Ecology and evolution},
volume = {14},
number = {2},
pages = {e10883},
doi = {10.1002/ece3.10883},
pmid = {38327685},
issn = {2045-7758},
abstract = {Inland waters are among the most threatened biodiversity hotspots. Ponds located in alpine areas are experiencing more rapid and dramatic water temperature increases than any other biome. Despite their prevalence, alpine ponds and their biodiversity responses to climate change have been poorly explored, reflecting their small size and difficult access. To understand the effects of climate change on alpine pond biodiversity, we performed a comprehensive literature review for papers published since 1955. Through analysis of their geographic distribution, environmental features, and biodiversity values, we identified which environmental factors related to climate change would have direct or indirect effects on alpine pond biodiversity. We then synthesized this information to produce a conceptual model of the effects of climate change on alpine pond biodiversity. Increased water temperature, reduced hydroperiod, and loss of connectivity between alpine ponds were the main drivers of biodiversity geographic distribution, leading to predictable changes in spatial patterns of biodiversity. We identified three major research gaps that, if addressed, can guide conservation and restoration strategies for alpine ponds biodiversity in an uncertain future.},
}
@article {pmid38327370,
year = {2023},
author = {Lamelas-Lopez, L and Gabriel, R and Ros-Prieto, A and Borges, PAV},
title = {SLAM Project - Long Term Ecological Study of the Impacts of Climate Change in the natural forest of Azores: VI - Inventory of Arthropods of Azorean Urban Gardens.},
journal = {Biodiversity data journal},
volume = {11},
number = {},
pages = {e98286},
doi = {10.3897/BDJ.11.e98286},
pmid = {38327370},
issn = {1314-2828},
abstract = {BACKGROUND: The data we present are part of the long-term project SLAM (Long Term Ecological Study of the Impacts of Climate Change in the natural forest of Azores) aiming to assess the impact of biodiversity erosion drivers on Azorean native biota, using long-term ecological data. Additionally to SLAM (Sea, Land and Air Malaise) traps, nocturnal Active Aerial Searching and nocturnal Foliage Beating methods were used to sample, between 2017 and 2018, the arthropod biodiversity on two historical urban gardens of Azores, the "Jardim Botânico" of Faial Island and "Jardim Duque da Terceira" of Terceira Island.<br><br>NEW INFORMATION: We provided an inventory of arthropods collected between 2017 and 2018 in two urban gardens of Faial and Terceira Islands (Azores). A total of 8342 specimens were collected, in which 7493 specimens were identified to species/subspecies level (Faial n = 3296; Terceira n = 4197). The identified specimens belong to four classes, 15 orders, 80 families and 159 species and subspecies of arthropods. A total of 84 species and subspecies are considered introduced (n = 2454 specimens), 50 native non-endemic (n = 4444 specimens), eight endemic (n = 217) and 17 have an indeterminate origin (n = 378). This study also revises the arthropod inventory of these Azorean gardens, by adding/updating the taxonomic names of three orders, ten families and 22 species.},
}
@article {pmid38327350,
year = {2023},
author = {Wallon, S and Melo, C and Tsafack, N and Elias, RB and Borges, PAV},
title = {Assessing the effects of climate change on arthropod abundance in Azorean pastures: PASTURCLIM project's baseline monitoring data.},
journal = {Biodiversity data journal},
volume = {11},
number = {},
pages = {e103723},
doi = {10.3897/BDJ.11.e103723},
pmid = {38327350},
issn = {1314-2828},
abstract = {BACKGROUND: The data we present are part of the project PASTURCLIM (Impact of climate change on pasture's productivity and nutritional composition in the Azores). The project aims to assess the consequences of climate change (e.g. temperature increase) on the grass production and its quality for forage, as well as to assess changes in the arthropod communities associated with the Azorean intensive pastures. An in situ experiment was set up using Open Top Chambers (OTCs), in order to simulate an increasing of temperature (average of +1.2ºC) on pastures. In this contribution, we present the data relative to the arthropod sampling.<br><br>NEW INFORMATION: We provide an inventory of all arthropods recorded inside OTCs and in control plots in three intensively managed pastures dominated by grasses in Terceira Island (Azores): two of them dominated by ryegrass, Loliummultiflorum Lam. (Poaceae), located respectively at 186 m and 301 m above sea level; and one field dominated by common velvetgrass, Holcuslanatus L. (Poaceae), located at an altitude of 385 m.A total of 41351 specimens were collected. Organisms collected belong to four classes, 15 orders, 60 families and 171 species/morphospecies (including 34 taxa identified only at order, family or genus level). Therefore, for only 137 taxa, we have a scientific name associated (n = 38918). A total of 75% of the species (n = 129 species) are considered introduced (including all the species with indeterminate colonisation status that are possibly also exotic species (n = 7622)), representing 71% of the total abundance (n = 29664 specimens). A total of 19% of the species (n = 33 species) are considered native non-endemic representing 28% of the total abundance (n = 11608 specimens). Only one endemic species was sampled, the wolf spider Pardosaacorensis Simon, 1883 (1% of the species), representing 0.2% of the total abundance (n = 79 specimens). Spiders (5056 specimens) and beetles (18310 specimens) were the dominant taxa representing, respectively, 20 and 78 morphospecies.Since the main aim of this study was to have a better knowledge on arthropod communities present in Azorean pastures under a simulated temperature increase, the principal novelty of this paper is the contribution with distribution and abundance data to a baseline knowledge on the future consequences of climate changes on arthropod communities in Azorean pastures.},
}
@article {pmid38326687,
year = {2024},
author = {Jin, Z and Zhao, H and Xian, X and Li, M and Qi, Y and Guo, J and Yang, N and Lü, Z and Liu, W},
title = {Correction to: Early warning and management of invasive crop pests under global warming: estimating the global geographical distribution patterns and ecological niche overlap of three Diabrotica beetles.},
journal = {Environmental science and pollution research international},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1007/s11356-024-32349-3},
pmid = {38326687},
issn = {1614-7499},
}
@article {pmid38325513,
year = {2024},
author = {Morshed, SR and Fattah, MA and Kafy, AA and Alsulamy, S and Almulhim, AI and Shohan, AAA and Khedher, KM},
title = {Decoding seasonal variability of air pollutants with climate factors: A Geostatistical approach using multimodal regression models for informed climate change mitigation.},
journal = {Environmental pollution (Barking, Essex : 1987)},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {123463},
doi = {10.1016/j.envpol.2024.123463},
pmid = {38325513},
issn = {1873-6424},
abstract = {In response to changes in climatic patterns, a profound comprehension of air pollutants (AP) variability is vital for enhancing climate models and facilitating informed decision-making in nations susceptible to climate change. Earlier research primarily depended on limited models, potentially neglecting intricate relationships and not fully encapsulating associations. This study, in contrast, probed the spatiotemporal variability of airborne particles (CO, CH4, SO2, and NO2) under varying climatic conditions within a climate-sensitive nation, utilizing multiple regression models. Spatial and seasonal AP data were acquired via the Google Earth Engine platform, which indicated elevated AP concentrations in primarily urban areas. Remarkably, the average airborne particle levels were lower in 2020 than in 2019, though they escalated during winter. The study employed linear regression, Pearson's correlation (PC), Spearman rank correlation models, and Geographically Weighted Regression (GWR) models to probe the relationship between pollutant variability and climatic elements such as rainfall, temperature, and humidity. Across all seasons, APs showed a negative correlation with rainfall while displaying positive correlations with temperature and humidity. The GWR and PC models produced the most reliable results from all the models employed, with the GWR model superseding the rest. Moreover, heightened aerosol levels were detected within a rainfall range of 600 mm/season, a temperature range of 25-30 °C, and humidity levels of 75 %-85 %. Overall, this study emphasizes the growing levels of APs in correlation with meteorological changes. By adopting a comprehensive approach and considering multiple factors, this research provides a more sophisticated understanding of the relationship between AP variability and climatic shifts.},
}
@article {pmid38324680,
year = {2024},
author = {Vlasceanu, M and Doell, KC and Bak-Coleman, JB and Todorova, B and Berkebile-Weinberg, MM and Grayson, SJ and Patel, Y and Goldwert, D and Pei, Y and Chakroff, A and Pronizius, E and van den Broek, KL and Vlasceanu, D and Constantino, S and Morais, MJ and Schumann, P and Rathje, S and Fang, K and Aglioti, SM and Alfano, M and Alvarado-Yepez, AJ and Andersen, A and Anseel, F and Apps, MAJ and Asadli, C and Awuor, FJ and Azevedo, F and Basaglia, P and Bélanger, JJ and Berger, S and Bertin, P and Białek, M and Bialobrzeska, O and Blaya-Burgo, M and Bleize, DNM and Bø, S and Boecker, L and Boggio, PS and Borau, S and Bos, B and Bouguettaya, A and Brauer, M and Brick, C and Brik, T and Briker, R and Brosch, T and Buchel, O and Buonauro, D and Butalia, R and Carvacho, H and Chamberlain, SAE and Chan, HY and Chow, D and Chung, D and Cian, L and Cohen-Eick, N and Contreras-Huerta, LS and Contu, D and Cristea, V and Cutler, J and D'Ottone, S and De Keersmaecker, J and Delcourt, S and Delouvée, S and Diel, K and Douglas, BD and Drupp, MA and Dubey, S and Ekmanis, J and Elbaek, CT and Elsherif, M and Engelhard, IM and Escher, YA and Etienne, TW and Farage, L and Farias, AR and Feuerriegel, S and Findor, A and Freira, L and Friese, M and Gains, NP and Gallyamova, A and Geiger, SJ and Genschow, O and Gjoneska, B and Gkinopoulos, T and Goldberg, B and Goldenberg, A and Gradidge, S and Grassini, S and Gray, K and Grelle, S and Griffin, SM and Grigoryan, L and Grigoryan, A and Grigoryev, D and Gruber, J and Guilaran, J and Hadar, B and Hahnel, UJJ and Halperin, E and Harvey, AJ and Haugestad, CAP and Herman, AM and Hershfield, HE and Himichi, T and Hine, DW and Hofmann, W and Howe, L and Huaman-Chulluncuy, ET and Huang, G and Ishii, T and Ito, A and Jia, F and Jost, JT and Jovanović, V and Jurgiel, D and Kácha, O and Kankaanpää, R and Kantorowicz, J and Kantorowicz-Reznichenko, E and Kaplan Mintz, K and Kaya, I and Kaya, O and Khachatryan, N and Klas, A and Klein, C and Klöckner, CA and Koppel, L and Kosachenko, AI and Kothe, EJ and Krebs, R and Krosch, AR and Krouwel, APM and Kyrychenko, Y and Lagomarsino, M and Lamm, C and Lange, F and Lee Cunningham, J and Lees, J and Leung, TY and Levy, N and Lockwood, PL and Longoni, C and López Ortega, A and Loschelder, DD and Lu, JG and Luo, Y and Luomba, J and Lutz, AE and Majer, JM and Markowitz, E and Marsh, AA and Mascarenhas, KL and Mbilingi, B and Mbungu, W and McHugh, C and Meijers, MHC and Mercier, H and Mhagama, FL and Michalakis, K and Mikus, N and Milliron, S and Mitkidis, P and Monge-Rodríguez, FS and Mora, YL and Moreau, D and Motoki, K and Moyano, M and Mus, M and Navajas, J and Nguyen, TL and Nguyen, DM and Nguyen, T and Niemi, L and Nijssen, SRR and Nilsonne, G and Nitschke, JP and Nockur, L and Okura, R and Öner, S and Özdoğru, AA and Palumbo, H and Panagopoulos, C and Panasiti, MS and Pärnamets, P and Paruzel-Czachura, M and Pavlov, YG and Payán-Gómez, C and Pearson, AR and Pereira da Costa, L and Petrowsky, HM and Pfattheicher, S and Pham, NT and Ponizovskiy, V and Pretus, C and Rêgo, GG and Reimann, R and Rhoads, SA and Riano-Moreno, J and Richter, I and Röer, JP and Rosa-Sullivan, J and Ross, RM and Sabherwal, A and Saito, T and Sarrasin, O and Say, N and Schmid, K and Schmitt, MT and Schoenegger, P and Scholz, C and Schug, MG and Schulreich, S and Shreedhar, G and Shuman, E and Sivan, S and Sjåstad, H and Soliman, M and Soud, K and Spampatti, T and Sparkman, G and Spasovski, O and Stanley, SK and Stern, JA and Strahm, N and Suko, Y and Sul, S and Syropoulos, S and Taylor, NC and Tedaldi, E and Tinghög, G and Huynh, LDT and Travaglino, GA and Tsakiris, M and Tüter, &#x130; and Tyrala, M and Uluğ, &#xd6;M and Urbanek, A and Valko, D and van der Linden, S and van Schie, K and van Stekelenburg, A and Vanags, E and Västfjäll, D and Vesely, S and Vintr, J and Vranka, M and Wanguche, PO and Willer, R and Wojcik, AD and Xu, R and Yadav, A and Zawisza, M and Zhao, X and Zhao, J and Żuk, D and Van Bavel, JJ},
title = {Addressing climate change with behavioral science: A global intervention tournament in 63 countries.},
journal = {Science advances},
volume = {10},
number = {6},
pages = {eadj5778},
doi = {10.1126/sciadv.adj5778},
pmid = {38324680},
issn = {2375-2548},
abstract = {Effectively reducing climate change requires marked, global behavior change. However, it is unclear which strategies are most likely to motivate people to change their climate beliefs and behaviors. Here, we tested 11 expert-crowdsourced interventions on four climate mitigation outcomes: beliefs, policy support, information sharing intention, and an effortful tree-planting behavioral task. Across 59,440 participants from 63 countries, the interventions' effectiveness was small, largely limited to nonclimate skeptics, and differed across outcomes: Beliefs were strengthened mostly by decreasing psychological distance (by 2.3%), policy support by writing a letter to a future-generation member (2.6%), information sharing by negative emotion induction (12.1%), and no intervention increased the more effortful behavior-several interventions even reduced tree planting. Last, the effects of each intervention differed depending on people's initial climate beliefs. These findings suggest that the impact of behavioral climate interventions varies across audiences and target behaviors.},
}
@article {pmid38323730,
year = {2024},
author = {Remple, H and Kalogirou, MR and Dahlke, S and Hunter, KF},
title = {Understanding nurses' experience of climate change and then climate action in Western Canada.},
journal = {Journal of advanced nursing},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1111/jan.16094},
pmid = {38323730},
issn = {1365-2648},
support = {//City of Vernon/ ; },
abstract = {AIM: To understand nurses' personal and professional experiences with the heat dome, drought and forest fires of 2021 and how those events impacted their perspectives on climate action.<br><br>DESIGN: A naturalistic inquiry using qualitative description.<br><br>METHOD: Twelve nurses from the interior of British Columbia, Canada, were interviewed using a semi-structured interview guide. Thematic analysis was employed. No patient or public involvement.<br><br>RESULTS: Data analysis yielded three themes to describe nurses' perspective on climate change: health impacts; climate action and system influences. These experiences contributed to nurses' beliefs about climate change, how to take climate action in their personal lives and their challenges enacting climate action in their workplace settings.<br><br>CONCLUSIONS: Nurses' challenges with enacting environmentally responsible practices in their workplace highlight the need for engagement throughout institutions in supporting environmentally friendly initiatives.<br><br>IMPACT: The importance of system-level changes in healthcare institutions for planetary health.},
}
@article {pmid38322902,
year = {2024},
author = {Maar, M and Larsen, J and Butenschön, M and Kristiansen, T and Thodsen, H and Taylor, D and Schourup-Kristensen, V},
title = {Impacts of climate change on water quality, benthic mussels, and suspended mussel culture in a shallow, eutrophic estuary.},
journal = {Heliyon},
volume = {10},
number = {3},
pages = {e25218},
doi = {10.1016/j.heliyon.2024.e25218},
pmid = {38322902},
issn = {2405-8440},
abstract = {Climate change is a global problem that causes severe local changes to marine biota, ecosystem functioning, and ecosystem services. The Limfjorden is a shallow, eutrophic estuary influenced by episodic summer hypoxia with an important mussel fishery and suspended mussel culture industry. Three future climate change scenarios ranging from low greenhouse gas emissions (SSP1-2.6), to intermediate (SSP2-4.5) and very high emissions (SSP5-8.5) were combined with nutrient load reductions according to the National Water Plans to investigate potential impacts on natural benthic mussel populations and suspended mussel culture for the two periods 2051-2060 and 2090-2099, relative to a reference period from 2009 to 2018. The FlexSem model combined 3D hydrodynamics with a pelagic biogeochemical model, a sediment-benthos model, and a dynamic energy budget - farm scale model for mussel culture. Model results showed that the Limfjorden was sensitive to climate change impacts with the strongest responses of physics and water quality in the worst case SSP5-8.5 scenario with no nutrient reductions. In the two low emissions scenarios, expected improvements of bottom oxygen and Chlorophyll a concentrations due to reduced nutrient loads were counteracted by climate change impacts on water physics (warming, freshening, stronger stratification). Hence, higher nutrient reductions in the Water Plans would be needed to reach a good ecological status under the influence of climate change. Suspended mussel culture was intensified in all scenarios showing a high potential harvest, whereas the benthic mussels suffered from reduced food supply and hypoxia. Provided the environmental changes and trends in social demands, in the future, it is likely that suspended mussel cultivation will become the primary source of mussels for the industry. Model scenarios can be used to inform managers, mussel farmers, fishermen, and the local population on potential future changes in bivalve harvesting and ecosystem health, and to find solutions to mitigate climate change impacts.},
}
@article {pmid38322857,
year = {2024},
author = {Astuti, PK and Ayoob, A and Strausz, P and Vakayil, B and Kumar, SH and Kusza, S},
title = {Climate change and dairy farming sustainability; a causal loop paradox and its mitigation scenario.},
journal = {Heliyon},
volume = {10},
number = {3},
pages = {e25200},
doi = {10.1016/j.heliyon.2024.e25200},
pmid = {38322857},
issn = {2405-8440},
abstract = {It is arguable at this time whether climate change is a cause or effect of the disruption in dairy farming. Climate change drastically affects the productive performance of livestock, including milk and meat production, and this could be attributed to the deviation of energy resources towards adaptive mechanisms. However, livestock farming also contributes substantially to the existing greenhouse gas pool, which is the causal of the climate change. We gathered relevant information from the recent publication and reviewed it to elaborate on sustainable dairy farming management in a changing climatic scenario, and efforts are needed to gather this material to develop methods that could help to overcome the adversities associated with livestock industries. We summarize the intervention points to reverse these adversities, such as application of genetic technology, nutrition intervention, utilization of chemical inhibitors, immunization, and application of metagenomics, which may help to sustain farm animal production in the changing climate scenario.},
}
@article {pmid38322823,
year = {2024},
author = {Chen, Y and Palta, JA},
title = {Editorial: Root structure and function adapting to climate change.},
journal = {Frontiers in plant science},
volume = {15},
number = {},
pages = {1365263},
doi = {10.3389/fpls.2024.1365263},
pmid = {38322823},
issn = {1664-462X},
}
@article {pmid38321694,
year = {2023},
author = {Chang, M and Li, M and Xu, W and Li, X and Liu, J and Stoks, R and Zhang, C},
title = {Microplastics increases the heat tolerance of Daphnia magna under global warming via hormetic effects.},
journal = {Ecotoxicology and environmental safety},
volume = {249},
number = {},
pages = {114416},
doi = {10.1016/j.ecoenv.2022.114416},
pmid = {38321694},
issn = {1090-2414},
abstract = {The ecological risk assessment of microplastics under global warming receives increasing attention. Yet, such studies mostly focused on increased mean temperatures (MT), ignoring another key component of global warming, namely daily temperature fluctuations (DTF). Moreover, we know next to nothing about the combined effects of multigenerational exposure to microplastics and warming. In this study, Daphnia magna was exposed to an environmentally relevant concentration of polystyrene microplastics (5 μg L[-1]) under six thermal conditions (MT: 20 ℃, 24 ℃; DTF: 0 ℃, 5 ℃, 10 ℃) over two generations to investigate the interactive effects of microplastics and global warming. Results showed that microplastics had no effects on Daphnia at standard thermal conditions (constant 20 °C). Yet, microplastics increased the fecundity, heat tolerance, amount of energy storage, net energy budget and cytochrome P450 activity, and decreased the energy consumption when tested under an increased MT or DTF, indicating a hormesis effect induced by microplastics under warming. The unexpected increase in heat tolerance upon exposure to microplastics could be partly explained by the reduced energy consumption and/or increased energy availability. Overall, the present study highlighted the importance of including DTF and multigenerational exposure to improve the ecological risk assessment of microplastics under global warming.},
}
@article {pmid38320700,
year = {2024},
author = {Nilsson, J and Ernfors, M and Prade, T and Hansson, PA},
title = {Cover crop cultivation strategies in a Scandinavian context for climate change mitigation and biogas production - Insights from a life cycle perspective.},
journal = {The Science of the total environment},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {170629},
doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.170629},
pmid = {38320700},
issn = {1879-1026},
abstract = {Cover crop cultivation can be a vital strategy for mitigating climate change in agriculture, by increasing soil carbon stocks and resource efficiency within the cropping system. Another mitigation option is to harvest the cover crop and use the biomass to replace greenhouse gas-intensive products, such as fossil fuels. Harvesting cover crop biomass could also reduce the risk of elevated N2O emissions associated with cover crop cultivation under certain conditions, which would offset much of the mitigation potential. However, harvesting cover crops also reduces soil carbon sequestration potential, as biomass is removed from the field, and cultivation of cover crops requires additional field operations that generate greenhouse gas emissions. To explore these synergies and trade-offs, this study investigated the life cycle climate effect of cultivating an oilseed radish cover crop under different management strategies in southern Scandinavia. Three alternative scenarios (Incorporation of biomass into soil; Mowing and harvesting aboveground biomass; Uprooting and harvesting above- and belowground biomass) were compared with a reference scenario with no cover crop. Harvested biomass in the Mowing and Uprooting scenarios was assumed to be transported to a biogas plant for conversion to upgraded biogas, with the digestate returned to the field as an organic fertiliser for the subsequent crop. The climate change mitigation potential of cover crop cultivation was found to be 0.056, 0.58 and 0.93 Mg CO2-eq ha[-1] in the Incorporation, Mowing and Uprooting scenario, respectively. The Incorporation scenario resulted in the highest soil carbon sequestration, but also the greatest soil N2O emissions. Substitution of fossil diesel showed considerable mitigation potential, especially in the Uprooting scenario, where biogas production was highest. Sensitivity analysis revealed a strong impact of time of cover crop establishment, with earlier establishment leading to greater biomass production and thus greater mitigation potential.},
}
@article {pmid38320578,
year = {2024},
author = {Papies, EK and Nielsen, KS and Soares, VA},
title = {Health psychology and climate change: time to address humanity's most existential crisis.},
journal = {Health psychology review},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {1-31},
doi = {10.1080/17437199.2024.2309242},
pmid = {38320578},
issn = {1743-7202},
abstract = {Climate change is an ongoing and escalating health emergency. It threatens the health and wellbeing of billions of people, through extreme weather events, displacement, food insecurity, pathogenic diseases, societal destabilisation, and armed conflict. Climate change dwarfs all other challenges studied by health psychologists. The greenhouse gas emissions driving climate change disproportionately originate from the actions of wealthy populations in the Global North and are tied to excessive energy use and overconsumption driven by the pursuit of economic growth. Addressing this crisis requires significant societal transformations and individual behaviour change. Most of these changes will benefit not only the stability of the climate but will yield significant public health co-benefits. Because of their unique expertise and skills, health psychologists are urgently needed in crafting climate change mitigation responses. We propose specific ways in which health psychologists at all career stages can contribute, within the spheres of research, teaching, and policy making, and within organisations and as private citizens. As health psychologists, we cannot sit back and leave climate change to climate scientists. Climate change is a health emergency that results from human behaviour; hence it is in our power and responsibility to address it.},
}
@article {pmid38320018,
year = {2023},
author = {Takvorian, KS and Hardin, CC and Muller, D and Ling, E and Vining, T and Normand, SL and Sacks, CA},
title = {Of Climate Change and Competing Risks.},
journal = {NEJM evidence},
volume = {2},
number = {1},
pages = {EVIDstat2200319},
doi = {10.1056/EVIDstat2200319},
pmid = {38320018},
issn = {2766-5526},
abstract = {Of Climate Change and Competing Risks This Stats, STAT! animated video explores the concept of competing risks - and discusses why it is so important for investigators to consider whether the occurrence of one event can prevent or change the likelihood of the occurrence of another.},
}
@article {pmid38319880,
year = {2022},
author = {Ebi, KL},
title = {Methods for Quantifying, Projecting, and Managing the Health Risks of Climate Change.},
journal = {NEJM evidence},
volume = {1},
number = {8},
pages = {EVIDra2200002},
doi = {10.1056/EVIDra2200002},
pmid = {38319880},
issn = {2766-5526},
abstract = {Quantifying Health Risks of Climate ChangeA rapidly increasing literature base is quantifying associations between climate change and health outcomes. Here, Ebi reviews methods for quantifying, projecting, and managing the health risks of climate change.},
}
@article {pmid38319263,
year = {2022},
author = {Solomon, CG and Salas, RN and Malina, D and Sacks, CA and Hardin, CC and Prewitt, E and Lee, TH and Rubin, EJ},
title = {Fossil-Fuel Pollution and Climate Change - A New NEJM Group Series.},
journal = {NEJM evidence},
volume = {1},
number = {7},
pages = {EVIDe2200139},
doi = {10.1056/EVIDe2200139},
pmid = {38319263},
issn = {2766-5526},
abstract = {Fossil-Fuel Pollution and Climate ChangeThe editors announce a new NEJM Group series on climate change and the increasingly urgent health and care delivery challenges we face. Articles will appear in the New England Journal of Medicine, in NEJM Evidence, and in NEJM Catalyst Innovations in Care Delivery.},
}
@article {pmid38319260,
year = {2022},
author = {Keswani, A and Akselrod, H and Anenberg, SC},
title = {Health and Clinical Impacts of Air Pollution and Linkages with Climate Change.},
journal = {NEJM evidence},
volume = {1},
number = {7},
pages = {EVIDra2200068},
doi = {10.1056/EVIDra2200068},
pmid = {38319260},
issn = {2766-5526},
abstract = {Air Pollution Impacts and Climate Change LinksAs part of the NEJM Group series on climate change, Keswani and colleagues review the linkages between climate change and air pollution and suggest strategies that clinicians may use to mitigate the adverse health impacts of air pollution.},
}
@article {pmid38315469,
year = {2024},
author = {Méndez, M and Pastor, M and Lesaca, AC},
title = {Climate Change, Migration, and Health Disparities at and Beyond the US-Mexico Border.},
journal = {JAMA},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1001/jama.2024.0228},
pmid = {38315469},
issn = {1538-3598},
}
@article {pmid38314167,
year = {2024},
author = {Mayrhofer, M},
title = {Framing UN Human Rights Discourses on Climate Change: The Concept of Vulnerability and its Relation to the Concepts of Inequality and Discrimination.},
journal = {International journal for the semiotics of law = Revue internationale de semiotique juridique},
volume = {37},
number = {1},
pages = {91-117},
doi = {10.1007/s11196-023-10092-1},
pmid = {38314167},
issn = {1572-8722},
abstract = {The concept of vulnerability is widely used in human rights policy documents, reports, and case law focusing on the impacts of climate change on human rights. In academic discussions, the concept, however, has also sparked a discussion on its benefits and challenges for the advancement of human rights, especially concerning the principles of equality and non-discrimination. This article aims at contributing to this debate from a frame-analytical perspective. In social sciences, frame-analysis is a form of discourse analysis which focuses on the consequences of different concepts for legal, political, and social discussions and norms. With the example of selected UN documents on different human rights issues in the context of climate change, the article, firstly, analyzes whether and how the concept of vulnerability is defined in the documents and why it is used in the documents. Secondly, it is elaborated to which individuals and groups the concept is applied. Thirdly, it is discussed how vulnerability is conceptualized in relation to or in distinction to the concepts of inequality and discrimination. In a further section it is analyzed what narratives are mobilized by the frame of vulnerability. The article concludes that from a discourse-analytical perspective the frame of vulnerability mobilizes problematic narratives which has gendered and racialized implications for those labeled vulnerable.},
}
@article {pmid38313817,
year = {2024},
author = {Duan, Q and Zheng, X and Gan, Z and Lyu, D and Sha, H and Lu, X and Zhao, X and Bukai, A and Duan, R and Qin, S and Wang, L and Xi, J and Wu, D and Zhang, P and Tang, D and He, Z and Jing, H and Kan, B and Wang, X},
title = {Relationship Between Climate Change and Marmot Plague of Marmota himalayana Plague Focus - the Altun Mountains of the Qinghai-Xizang Plateau, China, 2000-2022.},
journal = {China CDC weekly},
volume = {6},
number = {4},
pages = {69-74},
doi = {10.46234/ccdcw2024.015},
pmid = {38313817},
issn = {2096-7071},
abstract = {INTRODUCTION: Plague is a zoonotic disease that occurs naturally in specific geographic areas. Climate change can influence the populations of the plague host or vector, leading to variations in the occurrence and epidemiology of plague in animals.<br><br>METHODS: In this study, we collected meteorological and plague epidemiological data from the Marmota himalayana plague focus in the Altun Mountains of the Qinghai-Xizang Plateau. The data spanned from 2000 to 2022. We describe the climatic factors and plague epidemic conditions and we describe their analysis by Pearson's correlation.<br><br>RESULTS: During the period from 2000 to 2022, the isolation rates of Yersinia pestis (Y.pestis) from marmots and fleas were 9.27% (451/4,864) and 7.17% (118/1,646), respectively. Additionally, we observed a positive rate of F1 antibody of 11.25% (443/3,937) in marmots and 18.16% (142/782) in dogs. With regards to climate, there was little variation, and a decreasing trend in blowing-sand days was observed. The temperature in the previous year showed a negative correlation with the Y. pestis isolation rate in marmots (r=-0.555, P=0.011) and the positive rate of F1 antibody in marmots (r=-0.552, P=0.012) in the current year. The average annual precipitation in the previous two years showed a positive correlation with marmot density (r=0.514, P=0.024), while blowing-sand days showed a negative correlation with marmot density (r=-0.701, P=0.001). Furthermore, the average annual precipitation in the previous three years showed a positive correlation with the isolation rate of Y. pestis from marmots (r=0.666, P=0.003), and blowing-sand days showed a negative correlation with marmot density (r=-0.597, P=0.009).<br><br>CONCLUSIONS: The findings of this study indicate that there is a hysteresis effect of climate change on the prevalence of plague. Therefore, monitoring climate conditions can offer significant insights for implementing timely preventive and control measures to combat plague epidemics.},
}
@article {pmid38312714,
year = {2024},
author = {Wright, CY and Kapwata, T and Naidoo, N and Asante, KP and Arku, RE and Cissé, G and Simane, B and Atuyambe, L and Berhane, K},
title = {Climate Change and Human Health in Africa in Relation to Opportunities to Strengthen Mitigating Potential and Adaptive Capacity: Strategies to Inform an African "Brains Trust".},
journal = {Annals of global health},
volume = {90},
number = {1},
pages = {7},
doi = {10.5334/aogh.4260},
pmid = {38312714},
issn = {2214-9996},
abstract = {BACKGROUND: Africa faces diverse and complex population/human health challenges due to climate change. Understanding the health impacts of climate change in Africa in all its complexity is essential for implementing effective strategies and policies to mitigate risks and protect vulnerable populations. This study aimed to outline the major climate change-related health impacts in Africa in the context of economic resilience and to seek solutions and provide strategies to prevent or reduce adverse effects of climate change on human health and well-being in Africa.<br><br>METHODS: For this narrative review, a literature search was conducted in the Web of Science, Scopus, CAB Abstracts, MEDLINE and EMBASE electronic databases. We also searched the reference lists of retrieved articles for additional records as well as reports. We followed a conceptual framework to ensure all aspects of climate change and health impacts in Africa were identified.<br><br>RESULTS: The average temperatures in all six eco-regions of Africa have risen since the early twentieth century, and heat exposure, extreme events, and sea level rise are projected to disproportionately affect Africa, resulting in a larger burden of health impacts than other continents. Given that climate change already poses substantial challenges to African health and well-being, this will necessitate significant effort, financial investment, and dedication to climate change mitigation and adaptation. This review offers African leaders and decision-makers data-driven and action-oriented strategies that will ensure a more resilient healthcare system and safe, healthy populations-in ways that contribute to economic resiliency.<br><br>CONCLUSIONS: The urgency of climate-health action integrated with sustainable development in Africa cannot be overstated, given the multiple economic gains from reducing current impacts and projected risks of climate change on the continent's population health and well-being. Climate action must be integrated into Africa's development plan to meet the Sustainable Development Goals, protect vulnerable populations from the detrimental effects of climate change, and promote economic development.},
}
@article {pmid38310941,
year = {2024},
author = {Names, GR and Grindstaff, JL and Westneat, DF and Heidinger, BJ},
title = {Climate change and its effects on body size and shape: the role of endocrine mechanisms.},
journal = {Philosophical transactions of the Royal Society of London. Series B, Biological sciences},
volume = {379},
number = {1898},
pages = {20220509},
doi = {10.1098/rstb.2022.0509},
pmid = {38310941},
issn = {1471-2970},
abstract = {In many organisms, rapidly changing environmental conditions are inducing dramatic shifts in diverse phenotypic traits with consequences for fitness and population viability. However, the mechanisms that underlie these responses remain poorly understood. Endocrine signalling systems often influence suites of traits and are sensitive to changes in environmental conditions; they are thus ideal candidates for uncovering both plastic and evolved consequences of climate change. Here, we use body size and shape, a set of integrated traits predicted to shift in response to rising temperatures with effects on fitness, and insulin-like growth factor-1 as a case study to explore these ideas. We review what is known about changes in body size and shape in response to rising temperatures and then illustrate why endocrine signalling systems are likely to be critical in mediating these effects. Lastly, we discuss research approaches that will advance understanding of the processes that underlie rapid responses to climate change and the role endocrine systems will have. Knowledge of the mechanisms involved in phenotypic responses to climate change will be essential for predicting both the ecological and the long-term evolutionary consequences of a warming climate. This article is part of the theme issue 'Endocrine responses to environmental variation: conceptual approaches and recent developments'.},
}
@article {pmid38310790,
year = {2024},
author = {Rodriguez, M and Fu, G and Butler, D and Yuan, Z and Cook, L},
title = {The effect of green infrastructure on resilience performance in combined sewer systems under climate change.},
journal = {Journal of environmental management},
volume = {353},
number = {},
pages = {120229},
doi = {10.1016/j.jenvman.2024.120229},
pmid = {38310790},
issn = {1095-8630},
abstract = {Climate change is currently reshaping precipitation patterns, intensifying extremes, and altering runoff dynamics. Particularly susceptible to these impacts are combined sewer systems (CSS), which convey both stormwater and wastewater and can lead to combined sewer overflow (CSO) discharges during heavy rainfall. Green infrastructure (GI) can help mitigate these discharges and enhance system resilience under historical conditions; however, the quantification of its effect on resilience in a future climate remains unknown in the literature. This study employs a modified Global Resilience Analysis (GRA) framework for continuous simulation to quantify the impact of climate change on CSS resilience, particularly CSOs. The study assesses the efficacy of GI interventions (green roofs, permeable pavements, and bioretention cells) under diverse future rainfall scenarios based on EURO-CORDEX regional climate models (2085-2099) and three Representative Concentration Pathways (2.6, 4.5, 8.5 W/m[2]). The findings underscore a general decline in resilience indices across the future rainfall scenarios considered. Notably, the total yearly CSO discharge volume increases by a range of 145 % to 256 % in response to different rainfall scenarios. While GI proves effective in increasing resilience, it falls short of offsetting the impacts of climate change. Among the GI options assessed, green roofs routed to pervious areas exhibit the highest adaptive capacity, ranging from 9 % to 22 % at a system level, followed by permeable pavements with an adaptation capacity between 7 and 13 %. By linking the effects of future rainfall scenarios on CSO performance, this study contributes to understanding GI's potential as a strategic tool for enhancing urban resilience.},
}
@article {pmid38310733,
year = {2024},
author = {Reis, J and Buguet, A and Radomski, M and Stella, AB and Vásquez, TC and Spencer, PS},
title = {Neurological patients confronting climate change: A potential role for the glymphatic system and sleep.},
journal = {Journal of the neurological sciences},
volume = {458},
number = {},
pages = {122900},
doi = {10.1016/j.jns.2024.122900},
pmid = {38310733},
issn = {1878-5883},
abstract = {Interest in the health consequences of climate change (global warming, heatwaves) has increased in the neurological community. This review addresses the impact of elevated ambient temperatures and heatwaves on patients with neurological and mental health disorders, including multiple sclerosis, synucleinopathies, dementia, epilepsies, mental health, and stroke. Patients with such conditions are highly vulnerable during heatwaves because of functional disorders affecting sleep, thermoregulation, autonomic system reactivity, mood, and cognitive ability. Several medications may also increase the risk of heatstroke. Special attention is devoted to the involvement of common underlying mechanisms, such as sleep and the glymphatic system. Disease prevention and patient care during heatwaves are major issues for caregivers. Beyond the usual recommendations for individuals, we favor artificially induced acclimation to heat, which provides preventive benefits with proven efficacy for healthy adults.},
}
@article {pmid38309598,
year = {2024},
author = {Skevaki, C and Nadeau, KC and Rothenberg, ME and Alahmad, B and Mmbaga, BT and Masenga, GG and Sampath, V and Christiani, DC and Haahtela, T and Renz, H},
title = {Impact of climate change on immune responses and barrier defense.},
journal = {The Journal of allergy and clinical immunology},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1016/j.jaci.2024.01.016},
pmid = {38309598},
issn = {1097-6825},
abstract = {Climate change is not just jeopardizing the health of our planet, but it is increasingly impacting our immune health. There is an expanding body of evidence that climate-related exposures, such as air pollution, heat, wildfires, extreme weather events, and biodiversity loss significantly disrupt the functioning of the human immune system. These exposures manifest in a broad range of stimuli including antigens, allergens, heat stress, pollutants, microbiota changes, and other toxic substances. Such exposures pose a direct and indirect threat to our body's primary line of defense, the epithelial barrier, affecting its physical integrity and functional efficacy. Furthermore, these climate-related environmental stressors can hyper-stimulate the innate immune system and influence adaptive immunity, notably in terms of developing and preserving immune tolerance. The loss or failure of immune tolerance can instigate a wide spectrum of non-communicable diseases such as autoimmune conditions, allergy, respiratory illnesses, metabolic diseases, obesity, and others. As the evidence continues to unravel, there is a need for additional research in climate change and immunology that covers diverse environments in different global settings, employing modern biological and epidemiological tools.},
}
@article {pmid38309363,
year = {2024},
author = {Pessarrodona, A and Howard, J and Pidgeon, E and Wernberg, T and Filbee-Dexter, K},
title = {Carbon removal and climate change mitigation by seaweed farming: A state of knowledge review.},
journal = {The Science of the total environment},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {170525},
doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.170525},
pmid = {38309363},
issn = {1879-1026},
abstract = {The pressing need to mitigate the effects of climate change is driving the development of novel approaches for carbon dioxide removal (CDR) from the atmosphere, with the ocean playing a central role in the portfolio of solutions. The expansion of seaweed farming is increasingly considered as one of the potential CDR avenues among government and private sectors. Yet, comprehensive assessments examining whether farming can lead to tangible climate change mitigation remain limited. Here we examine the results of over 100 publications to synthesize evidence regarding the CDR capacity of seaweed farms and review the different interventions through which an expansion of seaweed farming may contribute to climate change mitigation. We find that presently, the majority of the carbon fixed by seaweeds is stored in short-term carbon reservoirs (e.g., seaweed products) and that only a minority of the carbon ends up in long-term reservoirs that are likely to fit within existing international accounting frameworks (e.g., marine sediments). Additionally, the tiny global area cultivated to date (0.06 % of the estimated wild seaweed extent) limits the global role of seaweed farming in climate change mitigation in the present and mid-term future. A first-order estimate using the best available data suggests that, at present, even in a low emissions scenario, any natural carbon removal capacity provided by seaweed farms is likely to be offset by their emissions (median balance net emitter: -0.11 Tg C yr[-1]; range -2.07-1.95 Tg C yr[-1]), as most of a seaweed farms' energy and materials currently depend on fossil fuels. Enhancing any potential CDR though seaweed farming will require directing harvested biomass to long-term carbon storage products, expanding farming outside traditional cultivation areas, decarbonizing of supply chains, and developing robust models tracing the fate of seaweed carbon. This will present novel scientific (e.g., verifying permanence of seaweed carbon), engineering (e.g., developing farms in wave exposed areas), and economic challenges (e.g., increase market demand, lower costs, decarbonize at scale), many of which are only beginning to be addressed.},
}
@article {pmid38308483,
year = {2024},
author = {Okonofua, F},
title = {Climate change and women's health: Call for research and innovations.},
journal = {African journal of reproductive health},
volume = {28},
number = {1},
pages = {9-12},
doi = {10.29063/ajrh2024/v28i1.1},
pmid = {38308483},
issn = {1118-4841},
abstract = {Climate change has featured repeatedly in the most recent discourses on global development1. Several global conferences have been held in recent times to discuss and reach consensus on ways to ameliorate the causes and address the consequences of climate change worldwide. These conferences, now called "Conference of the Parties (COP) to the United Nations Framework on Climate change" have taken place in many countries over the last couple of years. The most recent conferences included COP26 and COP27 which took place in Glasgow, UK 2021 and Sham El Sheikh, Egypt in 2022 respectively. The COP28, which took place in Dubai, UAE in 2023 focused on the theme "unite, act, deliver", and was attended by over 85,000 participants.},
}
@article {pmid38308433,
year = {2024},
author = {Zurynski, Y and Fisher, G and Wijekulasuriya, S and Leask, E and Dharmayani, PNA and Ellis, LA and Smith, CL and Braithwaite, J},
title = {Bolstering health systems to cope with the impacts of climate change events: A review of the evidence on workforce planning, upskilling, and capacity building.},
journal = {The International journal of health planning and management},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1002/hpm.3769},
pmid = {38308433},
issn = {1099-1751},
support = {ID9100002//National Health and Medical Research Council/ ; ID1176620//National Health and Medical Research Council/ ; },
abstract = {BACKGROUND: As global CO2 emissions continue to rise and the 'era of global boiling' takes hold, the health workforce must cope with the challenge of providing care to increasing numbers of patients affected by climate change-related events (e.g., hurricanes, wildfires, floods). In this review, we describe the impacts of these events on the health workforce, and strategies responding to these challenges.<br><br>METHODS: This rapid systematic review was guided by the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic reviews and Meta-Analyses and a registered protocol (PROSPERO CRD42023433610). Eight databases were searched in May 2022 and again in June 2023. Empirical studies discussing climate change and workforce policy, planning, preparedness, and capacity were included. Inductive thematic analysis of extracted data was conducted.<br><br>RESULTS: From the 60 included studies, two categories emerged: the impacts of climate events on the health workforce (n&#xa0;=&#xa0;39), and workforce responses to and preparations for climate events (n&#xa0;=&#xa0;58). Thirty-seven studies reported on both categories. Four impact themes were identified: absenteeism, psychological impacts, system breakdown, and unsafe working conditions; and six responses and preparations themes: training/skill development, workforce capacity planning, interdisciplinary collaboration, role flexibility, role incentivisation, and psychological support.<br><br>CONCLUSION: This review provides an overview of some of the deleterious impacts of climate events on the health workforce, as well as potential strategies for the health workforce to prepare or respond to climate events. Future studies should assess the implementation and effectiveness of these strategies to ensure a continuously improving healthcare system, and a well-supported health workforce.},
}
@article {pmid38308010,
year = {2024},
author = {Mahmoud, MR and Roushdi, M and Aboelkhear, M},
title = {Potential benefits of climate change on navigation in the northern sea route by 2050.},
journal = {Scientific reports},
volume = {14},
number = {1},
pages = {2771},
pmid = {38308010},
issn = {2045-2322},
abstract = {Climate change has been inducing a continuous increase in temperatures within the Arctic region, consequently leading to an escalation in the rates of Arctic ice depletion. These changes have profound implications for navigation along the Arctic Northern Sea Route (NSR). However, access to the NSR is constrained to specific temporal intervals when the sea ice thickness reaches a threshold that permits safe passage of ships. This research employs climate change model simulations and the Polar Operational Limit Assessment Risk Indexing System framework to investigate the navigational feasibility of diverse ship types along NSR during the calendar years 2030, 2040, and 2050, under SSP2-4.5 and SSP5-8.5 scenarios. Different ship categories were analyzed within the context of these two scenarios. Results indicate considerable variation in the navigability of different ship categories across different scenarios and years. In general, polar ships demonstrate a higher navigational potential throughout most of the year, while pleasure crafts are constrained to specific periods. These findings bear significant implications for the future of shipping along the NSR. As Arctic ice continues to melt, NSR is anticipated to become more accessible to ships, albeit with navigational availability remaining contingent on the ship category and seasonal considerations.},
}
@article {pmid38307262,
year = {2024},
author = {Guo, X and Zhang, P and Yue, Y},
title = {Prediction of global wheat cultivation distribution under climate change and socioeconomic development.},
journal = {The Science of the total environment},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {170481},
doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.170481},
pmid = {38307262},
issn = {1879-1026},
abstract = {Socioeconomic and climate change are both essential factors affecting the global cultivation distributions of crops. However, the role of socioeconomic factors in the prediction of future crop cultivation distribution under climate change has been rarely explored. Motivated by revealing the future global wheat cultivation distribution that couplings socioeconomic factors and climate change, the MaxEnt-SPAM approach was proposed by the present study. Furthermore, the spatial and temporal patterns of global wheat cultivation in the near-term (2011-2040), the mid-term (2041-2070), and long-term (2071-2100) under the scenarios of RCP2.6-SSP1, RCP4.5-SSP2, and RCP8.5-SSP3 were predicted. It indicates that the predictive accuracy of the proposed approach could be over 80 %, with a significant positive correlation (p < 0.01) between the predicted global wheat cultivation and multiple known datasets. Socio-economic development significantly altered the potential distribution of global wheat cultivation driven by climate change. Socio-economic development seems to benefit wheat cultivation in the Southern Hemisphere especially Central and East Africa, while the Northern Hemisphere may have witnessed a decline in future cultivation areas. It is noteworthy that heightened profitability stimulated interest in expanding wheat cultivation efforts within pivotal countries/regions positioned in the Southern Hemisphere. In the long-term period, the potential wheat cultivation area was reduced by 7 % under the RCP2.6-SSP1 scenario, while it expanded by 8 % and 2 % under the RCP4.5-SSP2 and RCP8.5-SSP3 scenarios, respectively. A global decline in wheat production of 16 %, 3 %, and 3 % was observed in the long-term under the RCP2.6-SSP1, RCP4.5-SSP2, and RCP8.5-SSP3 scenarios respectively. The present study emphasized the importance of integrating socio-economic factors into crop distribution predictions under climate change. Our findings indicated significant temporal adjustments in the future global distribution of wheat cultivation and offered a comprehensive perspective on how socioeconomic factors interacted with climate change to influence global wheat cultivation.},
}
@article {pmid38306288,
year = {2024},
author = {Terry, JCD and O'Sullivan, JD and Rossberg, AG},
title = {Schrödinger's Range-Shifting Cat: How Skewed Temperature Dependence Impacts Persistence with Climate Change.},
journal = {The American naturalist},
volume = {203},
number = {2},
pages = {161-173},
doi = {10.1086/728002},
pmid = {38306288},
issn = {1537-5323},
abstract = {AbstractThe majority of species display strongly asymmetric responses to climatic variables, yet most analytic models used to investigate how species will respond to climate change assume symmetric responses, with largely unknown consequences. Applying a known mapping of population dynamical equations onto corresponding well-studied problems from quantum mechanics, we extend analytical results to incorporate this asymmetry. We derive expressions in terms of parameters representing climate velocity, dispersal rate, maximum growth rate, niche width, high-frequency climate variability, and environmental performance curve skew for three key responses: (1) population persistence, (2) lag between range displacement and climate displacement, and (3) location of maximum population sensitivity. We find that asymmetry impacts these climate change responses, but surprisingly, under our model assumptions, the direction (i.e., warm skewed or cool skewed) of performance curve asymmetry does not strongly contribute to either persistence or lags. Conservation measures to support range-shifting populations may have most benefit near their environmental optimum or where the environmental dependence is shallow, irrespective of whether this is the leading or trailing edge. A metapopulation simulation corroborates our results. Our results shed fresh light on how key features of a species' environmental performance curve can impact its response to climate change.},
}
@article {pmid38305639,
year = {2024},
author = {Cook, M and Critchlow, N and O'Donnell, R and MacLean, S},
title = {Alcohol's contribution to climate change and other environmental degradation: a call for research.},
journal = {Health promotion international},
volume = {39},
number = {1},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1093/heapro/daae004},
pmid = {38305639},
issn = {1460-2245},
abstract = {Climate change is the single biggest health threat facing humanity. The production, distribution and consumption of many fast-moving consumer goods contribute substantially to climate change, principally through releasing greenhouse gas emissions. Here we consider just some of the ways that alcohol-already a key contributor to an array of health, social and economic burdens-exacerbates environmental harms and climate change. We explore current evidence on alcohol production as a resource- and energy-intensive process, contributing to significant environmental degradation through water usage and other carbon emission costs. We argue that the impacts of alcohol production on climate change have been minimally explored by researchers. Yet the extent of the unfolding catastrophe beholds us to consider all available ways to mitigate unnecessary emissions, including from products such as alcohol. We then turn to suggestions for a research agenda on this topic, including investigations of commercial determinants, inequalities and product advice to help consumers choose lower-carbon options. We conclude by arguing that public health researchers already have an array of methodological expertise and experience that is well placed to produce the evidence needed to inform regulation and efforts by alcohol producers and consumers to minimize their contributions to environmental harms.},
}
@article {pmid38303693,
year = {2024},
author = {Zhang, J and Chen, H and Wang, M and Liu, X and Peng, C and Wang, L and Yu, D and Zhu, Q},
title = {An optimized water table depth detected for mitigating global warming potential of greenhouse gas emissions in wetland of Qinghai-Tibetan Plateau.},
journal = {iScience},
volume = {27},
number = {2},
pages = {108856},
doi = {10.1016/j.isci.2024.108856},
pmid = {38303693},
issn = {2589-0042},
abstract = {Climate change and human activities have intensified variations of water table depth (WTD) in wetlands around the world, which may strongly affect greenhouse gas emissions. Here, we analyzed how emissions of CO2, CH4, and N2O from the Zoige wetland on the Qinghai-Tibetan Plateau (QTP) vary with the WTD. Our data indicate that the wetland shows net positive global warming potential (11.72 tCO2-e ha[-1] yr[-1]), and its emissions of greenhouse gases are driven primarily by WTD. Our analysis suggests that an optimal WTD exists, which at our study site was approximately 18 cm, for mitigating increases in global warming potential from the wetland. Our study provides insights into how climate change and human acitivies affect greenhouse gas emissions from alpine wetlands, and they suggest that water table management may be effective at mitigating future increases in emissions.},
}
@article {pmid38303639,
year = {2024},
author = {Filippini, T and Paduano, S and Veneri, F and Barbolini, G and Fiore, G and Vinceti, M},
title = {Adverse human health effects of climate change: an update.},
journal = {Annali di igiene : medicina preventiva e di comunita},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.7416/ai.2024.2595},
pmid = {38303639},
issn = {1120-9135},
abstract = {BACKGROUND: The world is currently facing a process of climate change, which may adversely impact human health in many different ways. The safety of food, water and urban environments is endangered by the consequences of climate change. Sea level and temperature rise, along with more frequent and longer heat waves, represent only a few of the effects of climate change. The increased risk of extreme climate events (e.g., cyclones, droughts and floods) is another serious public health issue. These adverse effects are enhanced in areas and countries not having the capacity to effectively deal with climate change.<br><br>STUDY DESIGN: We primarily aimed at summarizing the impacts of climate change on public health. A further aim was to identify the most concerning consequences of this phenomenon and the vulnerability factors that amplify the negative effects of climate change.<br><br>METHODS: PubMed and other literature databases were used as literature sources for this narrative review based on the search terms 'climate change' and 'diseases categories' up to January 2024, in order to assess the most recent and relevant scientific evidence about the relation between climate change and public health, identify knowledge gaps and priorities for future research. We also screened the websites of major agencies devoted to human health protection and environmental health.<br><br>RESULTS AND CONCLUSIONS: Climate change appears to induce a broad spectrum of generally adverse effects on public health. It may increase the risk of infectious diseases, psychiatric disorders, cancer and other diseases. Currently, we are not effectively counteracting this phenomenon, since pollutant and greenhouse gas emissions have been increasing alongside temperatures. A host of measures are required in order to prevent and fight climate change and related health effects. These include the adoption of a holistic approach and the collaboration of different kinds of expertise in order to design more effective strategies. Special attention should be paid to those who live in disadvantaged countries, and those who are more vulnerable to the adverse health consequences of climate change.},
}
@article {pmid38302699,
year = {2024},
author = {},
title = {A glacier's 'memory' is fading because of climate change.},
journal = {Nature},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
pmid = {38302699},
issn = {1476-4687},
}
@article {pmid38301477,
year = {2024},
author = {Tao, Z and Liu, Y and Li, S and Li, B and Fan, X and Liu, C and Hu, C and Liu, H and Li, Z},
title = {Global warming potential assessment under reclaimed water and livestock wastewater irrigation coupled with co-application of inhibitors and biochar.},
journal = {Journal of environmental management},
volume = {353},
number = {},
pages = {120143},
doi = {10.1016/j.jenvman.2024.120143},
pmid = {38301477},
issn = {1095-8630},
abstract = {The application of nitrification inhibitors (nitrapyrin) and urease inhibitors (N-(N-butyl) thiophosphoric triamide) under conventional water resources has been considered as an effective means to improve nitrogen utilization efficiency and mitigate soil greenhouse gas emissions. However, it is not known whether the inhibitors still have an inhibitory effect under unconventional water resources (reclaimed water and livestock wastewater) irrigation and whether their use in combination with biochar improves the mitigation effect. Therefore, unconventional water resources were used for irrigation, with groundwater (GW) control. Nitrapyrin and N-(N-butyl) thiophosphoric triamide were used alone or in combination with biochar in a pot experiment, and CO2, N2O, and CH4 emissions were measured. The results showed that irrigation of unconventional water resources exacerbated global warming potential (GWP). All exogenous substance treatments increased CO2 and CH4 emissions and suppressed N2O emissions, independent of the type of water, compared to no substances (NS). The inhibitors were ineffective in reducing the GWP whether or not in combination with biochar, and the combined application of inhibitors with biochar further increased the GWP. This study suggests that using inhibitors and biochar in combination to regulate the greenhouse effect under unconventional water resources irrigation should be done with caution.},
}
@article {pmid38299979,
year = {2024},
author = {Fonseca, SNS},
title = {Overview of invasive fungal infections in children in South America - the threat of resistant Candida species and the role of climate change in the new geographic distribution of endemic systemic mycosis.},
journal = {Current opinion in pediatrics},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
pmid = {38299979},
issn = {1531-698X},
abstract = {PURPOSE OF REVIEW: Invasive fungal infection (IFI) in children is a growing problem with crescent morbidity and mortality, well recognized in developed countries, affecting mainly immunocompromised children, including neonates and children in intensive care units. The burden of IFI in South American children is less well comprehended. In addition, the current epidemiology of endemic systemic mycoses in children may have changed over time.<br><br>RECENT FINDINGS: Candida spp. infections are very prevalent in South America hospitalized children, especially in neonates, in a rate far superior compared to developed countries. C. auris, has already been responsible for outbreaks in neonates and children in Venezuela and Colombia. Sporotrichosis is well established as an urban zoonosis in impoverish families. Paracoccidioidomycosis and histoplasmosis are affecting new areas of Brazil, probably due to climate change, deforestation, and human migration.<br><br>SUMMARY: This review aims to unveil the real dimension of these infections in South American children. Hopefully, the awareness brought by this review will help healthcare professionals to recognize IFI more easily and it will provide support for getting more resources for IFI treatment and prevention.},
}
@article {pmid38298893,
year = {2024},
author = {Rodríguez, V and Bartholomäus, A and Witzgall, K and Riveras-Muñoz, N and Oses, R and Liebner, S and Kallmeyer, J and Rach, O and Mueller, CW and Seguel, O and Scholten, T and Wagner, D},
title = {Microbial impact on initial soil formation in arid and semiarid environments under simulated climate change.},
journal = {Frontiers in microbiology},
volume = {15},
number = {},
pages = {1319997},
doi = {10.3389/fmicb.2024.1319997},
pmid = {38298893},
issn = {1664-302X},
abstract = {The microbiota is attributed to be important for initial soil formation under extreme climate conditions, but experimental evidence for its relevance is scarce. To fill this gap, we investigated the impact of in situ microbial communities and their interrelationship with biocrust and plants compared to abiotic controls on soil formation in initial arid and semiarid soils. Additionally, we assessed the response of bacterial communities to climate change. Topsoil and subsoil samples from arid and semiarid sites in the Chilean Coastal Cordillera were incubated for 16 weeks under diurnal temperature and moisture variations to simulate humid climate conditions as part of a climate change scenario. Our findings indicate that microorganism-plant interaction intensified aggregate formation and stabilized soil structure, facilitating initial soil formation. Interestingly, microorganisms alone or in conjunction with biocrust showed no discernible patterns compared to abiotic controls, potentially due to water-masking effects. Arid soils displayed reduced bacterial diversity and developed a new community structure dominated by Proteobacteria, Actinobacteriota, and Planctomycetota, while semiarid soils maintained a consistently dominant community of Acidobacteriota and Proteobacteria. This highlighted a sensitive and specialized bacterial community in arid soils, while semiarid soils exhibited a more complex and stable community. We conclude that microorganism-plant interaction has measurable impacts on initial soil formation in arid and semiarid regions on short time scales under climate change. Additionally, we propose that soil and climate legacies are decisive for the present soil microbial community structure and interactions, future soil development, and microbial responses.},
}
@article {pmid38298726,
year = {2024},
author = {Vallée, A},
title = {Green hospitals face to climate change: Between sobriety and resilience.},
journal = {Heliyon},
volume = {10},
number = {2},
pages = {e24769},
doi = {10.1016/j.heliyon.2024.e24769},
pmid = {38298726},
issn = {2405-8440},
abstract = {Climate change poses a critical challenge to global health, influencing social and environmental determinants such as housing, air and water quality, and food security. This article explores the profound impact of climate change on health, projecting an additional 250,000 annual deaths from various climate-related diseases between 2030 and 2050. Healthcare systems significantly contribute to global carbon emissions. The concept of the "Green Hospital" is introduced as a paradigm shift in healthcare, focusing on optimizing resource efficiency and minimizing environmental impact. This concept encompasses renewable energy integration, natural lighting, sustainable materials, green roofs, and smart building management systems. Several challenges remain major, such as medical waste management, water conservation, chemical use, pollution, and plastic usage in healthcare settings. Moreover, obstacles to green hospital initiatives should be resolved, including system redundancy, regulatory compliance, operational demands, financial constraints, and cultural resistance. Conclusively, an urgent reformation of healthcare systems is needed to align with eco-friendly and sustainable practices, highlighting the necessity to reduce CO[2] emissions and manage resources and waste more effectively to meet the evolving health needs of a growing and aging global population.},
}
@article {pmid38298502,
year = {2024},
author = {The Lancet Regional Health-Americas, },
title = {Viruses, bacteria, vectors, and climate change: how worried should the Americas be?.},
journal = {Lancet regional health. Americas},
volume = {29},
number = {},
pages = {100675},
doi = {10.1016/j.lana.2024.100675},
pmid = {38298502},
issn = {2667-193X},
}
@article {pmid38296360,
year = {2024},
author = {The Lancet Hiv, },
title = {Effect of climate change on the HIV response.},
journal = {The lancet. HIV},
volume = {11},
number = {2},
pages = {e63},
doi = {10.1016/S2352-3018(24)00009-2},
pmid = {38296360},
issn = {2352-3018},
}
@article {pmid38295640,
year = {2024},
author = {Dar, AA and Chen, Z and Rodríguez-Rodríguez, S and Haghighat, F and González-Rosales, B},
title = {Assessing greenhouse gas emissions in Cuban agricultural soils: Implications for climate change and rice (Oryza sativa L.) production.},
journal = {Journal of environmental management},
volume = {353},
number = {},
pages = {120088},
doi = {10.1016/j.jenvman.2024.120088},
pmid = {38295640},
issn = {1095-8630},
abstract = {Assessing the impact of greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions on agricultural soils is crucial for ensuring food production sustainability in the global effort to combat climate change. The present study delves to comprehensively assess GHG emissions in Cuba's agricultural soil and analyze its implications for rice production and climate change because of its rich agriculture cultivation tradition and diverse agro-ecological zones from the period of 1990-2022. In this research, based on Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) approach the empirical findings depicts that in short run, a positive and significant impact of 1.60 percent % in Cuba's rice production. The higher amount of atmospheric carbon dioxide (CO2) levels improves photosynthesis, and stimulates the growth of rice plants, resulting in greater grain yields. On the other hand, rice production index raising GHG emissions from agriculture by 0.35 % in the short run. Furthermore, a significant and positive impact on rice production is found in relation to the farm machinery i.e., 3.1 %. Conversely, an adverse and significant impact of land quality was observed on rice production i.e., -5.5 %. The reliability of models was confirmed by CUSUM and CUSUM square plot. Diagnostic tests ensure the absence of serial correlation and heteroscedasticity in the models. Additionally, the forecasting results are obtained from the three machine learning models i.e. feed forward neural network (FFNN), support vector machines (SVM) and adaptive boosting technique (Adaboost). Through the % MAPE criterion, it is evident that FFNN has achieved high precision (91 %). Based on the empirical findings, the study proposed the adoption of sustainable agricultural practices and incentives should be given to the farmers so that future generations inherit a world that is sustainable, and healthy.},
}
@article {pmid38297010,
year = {2024},
author = {Shahid, H and Hyder, S and Naeem, M and Sehar, A and Gondal, AS and Rizvi, ZF and Iqbal, R and Habib Ur Rahman, M and Alwahibi, MS and Elshikh, MS and Ayaz, M and Arslan, M and de Los Santos-Villalobos, S and Montoya-Martínez, AC},
title = {Impact of climate change on potential distribution of Dickeya zeae causal agent of stalk rot of maize in Sialkot district Pakistan.},
journal = {Scientific reports},
volume = {14},
number = {1},
pages = {2614},
pmid = {38297010},
issn = {2045-2322},
abstract = {Maize (Zea mays) is an influential crop in its production across the world. However, the invasion of many phytopathogens greatly affects the maize crop yield at various hotspot areas. Of many diseases, bacterial stalk rot of maize caused by Dickeya zeae results in severe yield reduction, thus the need for efficient management is important. Further, to produce epidemiological information for control of disease outbreaks in the hot spot regions of Sialkot District, Punjab Pakistan, extensive field surveys during 2021 showed that out of 266 visited areas, the highest disease incidence ranging from 66.5 to 78.5% while the lowest incidence was ranging from 9 to 20%. The Maxent modeling revealed that among 19 environmental variables, four variables including temperature seasonality (bio-4), mean temperature of the wettest quarter (bio-8), annual precipitation (bio-12), and precipitation of driest month (bio-14) were significantly contributing to disease distribution in current and coming years. The study outcomes revealed that disease spread will likely increase across four tehsils of Sialkot over the years 2050 and 2070. Our findings will be helpful to policymakers and researchers in devising effective disease management strategies against bacterial stalk rot of maize outbreaks in Sialkot, Pakistan.},
}
@article {pmid38294708,
year = {2024},
author = {Miller, E},
title = {The Black Saturday bushfire disaster: found poetry for arts-based knowledge translation in disaster risk and climate change communication.},
journal = {Arts &amp; health},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {1-16},
doi = {10.1080/17533015.2024.2310861},
pmid = {38294708},
issn = {1753-3023},
abstract = {This research uses the arts-based research method of found poetry, the creation of poem-like prose from existing text, to share the lived experience of the 2009 Black Saturday bushfire disaster in Australia which killed 173 people. After outlining the processes, this paper applies found poetry to an existing text: Peg Fraser's book, Black Saturday. Five found poems are shared, each conveying a different element of the disaster experience: "Armageddon," "Go - GET OUT," "Bushfire Chook," "Resisting the Poetry Tree," and "Lucky". Compared to normal prose, there is an authentic and vulnerable vibrancy to the language of these found poems, which offer unexpected visceral insight into the bushfire experience - the fear, the heat, the confusion, the anger, and the loss. Poetry, which resonates and draws people in emotionally, has significant potential as arts-based knowledge translation in disaster risk and climate change communication.},
}
@article {pmid38294223,
year = {2024},
author = {Jutla, A and Filippelli, GM and McMahon, KD and Tringe, SG and Colwell, RR and Nguyen, H and Imperiale, MJ},
title = {One Health, climate change, and infectious microbes: a joint effort between AGU and ASM to understand impacts of changing climate and microbes on human well-being across scales.},
journal = {mSphere},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {e0003524},
doi = {10.1128/msphere.00035-24},
pmid = {38294223},
issn = {2379-5042},
}
@article {pmid38293573,
year = {2024},
author = {Gouvêa, L and Fragkopoulou, E and Legrand, T and Serrão, EA and Assis, J},
title = {Range map data of marine ecosystem structuring species under global climate change.},
journal = {Data in brief},
volume = {52},
number = {},
pages = {110023},
doi = {10.1016/j.dib.2023.110023},
pmid = {38293573},
issn = {2352-3409},
abstract = {Data on contemporary and future geographical distributions of marine species are crucial for guiding conservation and management policies in face of climate change. However, available distributional patterns have overlooked key ecosystem structuring species, despite their numerous ecological and socioeconomic services. Future range estimates are mostly available for few species at regional scales, and often rely on the outdated Representative Concentration Pathway scenarios of climate change, hindering global biodiversity estimates within the framework of current international climate policies. Here, we provide range maps for 980 marine structuring species of seagrasses, kelps, fucoids, and cold-water corals under present-day conditions (from 2010 to 2020) and future scenarios (from 2090 to 2100) spanning from low carbon emission scenarios aligned with the goals of the Paris Agreement (Shared Socioeconomic Pathway 1-1.9), to higher emissions under reduced mitigation strategies (SSP3-7.0 and SSP5-8.5). These models were developed using state-of-the-art and advanced machine learning algorithms linking the most comprehensive and quality-controlled datasets of occurrence records with high-resolution, biologically relevant predictor variables. By integrating the best aspects of species distribution modelling over key ecosystem structuring species, our datasets hold the potential to enhance the ability to inform strategic and effective conservation policy, ultimately supporting the resilience of ocean ecosystems.},
}
@article {pmid38293486,
year = {2024},
author = {Kapruwan, R and Saksham, AK and Bhadoriya, VS and Kumar, C and Goyal, Y and Pandey, R},
title = {Household livelihood resilience of pastoralists and smallholders to climate change in Western Himalaya, India.},
journal = {Heliyon},
volume = {10},
number = {2},
pages = {e24133},
doi = {10.1016/j.heliyon.2024.e24133},
pmid = {38293486},
issn = {2405-8440},
abstract = {Smallholders and pastoralists are particularly vulnerable to the impacts of climate change due to their high reliance on socio-ecological systems for their livelihood. Building their resilience to these adverse effects of climate change is crucial for mitigating their vulnerabilities, especially in remote and fragile ecosystems. This study aims to assess the climate change livelihood resilience of smallholders and pastoralists in the Indian Himalayas. We build a livelihood resilience index, using the three dimensions of resilience, namely assimilative capacity, autopoiesis and cognitive ability, and weighed using entropy-TOPSIS approach The dimensions of resilience was estimated through indicators by a household survey of 289 randomly selected respondents across the three districts of Garhwal Himalayas. The results showed that the livelihood resilience of smallholders was greater than pastoralists. Among pastoralists, settlement brought positive changes to their livelihood, opening the gateway to access basic facilities. Key findings of the study indicate that public policy should focus towards information accessibility, encouraging environmental awareness and conservation, promoting social inclusion and cooperatives, and fostering grass root organization structures like forest-level organisation through informality to strengthen the resilience of communities to climate change.},
}
@article {pmid38292427,
year = {2024},
author = {Lepawsky, J},
title = {Climate change induced water stress and future semiconductor supply chain risk.},
journal = {iScience},
volume = {27},
number = {2},
pages = {108791},
doi = {10.1016/j.isci.2024.108791},
pmid = {38292427},
issn = {2589-0042},
abstract = {Climate change is a driver of water stress risk globally. Semiconductor manufacturing requires large volumes of water. Existing research at the intersection of water stress risk and semiconductor manufacturing offers snapshots of current conditions but has not investigated how future climate scenarios may impact semiconductor supply chain security. This study combines location data for semiconductor manufacturing facilities with data on specific customer-supplier networks and with data for global water stress risk under three climate scenarios for the years 2030 and 2040. Results suggest that 40 percent of existing facilities, 24-40 percent of facilities under construction, and 40-49 percent of facilities announced since early 2021 are in basins of high- or extremely high water stress risks in 2030 and 2040. Network dynamics mean that water stress risks could cascade from individual firms or regions of concern to systemically throughout the network, thus negatively impacting semiconductor supply chain security globally.},
}
@article {pmid38291300,
year = {2024},
author = {Carlson, CJ},
title = {After millions of preventable deaths, climate change must be treated like a health emergency.},
journal = {Nature medicine},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
pmid = {38291300},
issn = {1546-170X},
}
@article {pmid38290010,
year = {2024},
author = {Solis Araya, C},
title = {Intersections between climate change and mental health: New challenges for the development of care services.},
journal = {Medwave},
volume = {24},
number = {1},
pages = {},
doi = {10.5867/medwave.2024.01.2809},
pmid = {38290010},
issn = {0717-6384},
}
@article {pmid38286803,
year = {2024},
author = {Sadoine, ML and Zinszer, K and Liu, Y and Gachon, P and Fournier, M and Dueymes, G and Dorsey, G and Llerena, A and Namuganga, JF and Nasri, B and Smargiassi, A},
title = {Predicting malaria risk considering vector control interventions under climate change scenarios.},
journal = {Scientific reports},
volume = {14},
number = {1},
pages = {2430},
pmid = {38286803},
issn = {2045-2322},
abstract = {Many studies have projected malaria risks with climate change scenarios by modelling one or two environmental variables and without the consideration of malaria control interventions. We aimed to predict the risk of malaria with climate change considering the influence of rainfall, humidity, temperatures, vegetation, and vector control interventions (indoor residual spraying (IRS) and long-lasting insecticidal nets (LLIN)). We used negative binomial models based on weekly malaria data from six facility-based surveillance sites in Uganda from 2010-2018, to estimate associations between malaria, environmental variables and interventions, accounting for the non-linearity of environmental variables. Associations were applied to future climate scenarios to predict malaria distribution using an ensemble of Regional Climate Models under two Representative Concentration Pathways (RCP4.5 and RCP8.5). Predictions including interaction effects between environmental variables and interventions were also explored. The results showed upward trends in the annual malaria cases by 25% to 30% by 2050s in the absence of intervention but there was great variability in the predictions (historical vs RCP 4.5 medians [Min-Max]: 16,785 [9,902-74,382] vs 21,289 [11,796-70,606]). The combination of IRS and LLIN, IRS alone, and LLIN alone would contribute to reducing the malaria burden by 76%, 63% and 35% respectively. Similar conclusions were drawn from the predictions of the models with and without interactions between environmental factors and interventions, suggesting that the interactions have no added value for the predictions. The results highlight the need for maintaining vector control interventions for malaria prevention and control in the context of climate change given the potential public health and economic implications of increasing malaria in Uganda.},
}
@article {pmid38286069,
year = {2024},
author = {Tang, Z and Wang, P and Li, Y and Sheng, Y and Wang, B and Popovych, N and Hu, T},
title = {Contributions of climate change and urbanization to urban flood hazard changes in China's 293 major cities since 1980.},
journal = {Journal of environmental management},
volume = {353},
number = {},
pages = {120113},
doi = {10.1016/j.jenvman.2024.120113},
pmid = {38286069},
issn = {1095-8630},
abstract = {The growing incidence of urban flood disasters poses a major challenge to urban sustainability in China. Previous studies have reported that climate change and urbanization exacerbate urban flood risk in some major cities of China. However, few assessments have quantified the contributions of these two factors to urban flood changes in recent decades at the nationwide scale. Here, surface runoff caused by precipitation extremes was used as the urban flood hazard to evaluate the impacts of climate change and urbanization in China's 293 major cities. This study assessed the contributions of these drivers to urban flood hazard changes and identified the hotspot cities with increased trends under both factors during the past four decades (1980-2019). The results showed that approximately 70% of the cities analyzed have seen an increase of urban flood hazard in the latest decade. Urbanization made a positive contribution to increased urban flood hazards in more than 90% of the cities. The contribution direction of climate change showed significant variations across China. Overall, the absolute contribution rate of climate change far outweighed that of urbanization. In half of the cities (mainly distributed in eastern China), both climate change and urbanization led to increased urban flood hazard over the past decade. Among them, 33 cities have suffered a consecutive increase in urban flood hazard driven by both factors.},
}
@article {pmid38285933,
year = {2024},
author = {Lewin, PJ and Wynn, J and Arcos, JM and Austin, RE and Blagrove, J and Bond, S and Carrasco, G and Delord, K and Fisher-Reeves, L and García, D and Gillies, N and Guilford, T and Hawkins, I and Jaggers, P and Kirk, C and Louzao, M and Maurice, L and McMinn, M and Micol, T and Morford, J and Morgan, G and Moss, J and Riera, EM and Rodriguez, A and Siddiqi-Davies, K and Weimerskirch, H and Wynn, RB and Padget, O},
title = {Climate change drives migratory range shift via individual plasticity in shearwaters.},
journal = {Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America},
volume = {121},
number = {6},
pages = {e2312438121},
doi = {10.1073/pnas.2312438121},
pmid = {38285933},
issn = {1091-6490},
support = {RPG-2020-311//Leverhulme Trust/ ; BB/M011224/1//UKRI | Biotechnology and Biological Sciences Research Council (BBSRC)/ ; RYC-2012-09897//Ministerio de Ciencia e Innovaci&#xf3;n (MCIN)/ ; JCI-2010-07639//Ministerio de Ciencia e Innovaci&#xf3;n (MCIN)/ ; PCIG09-GA-2011-293774//Marie Curie Career Integration Grant/ ; LIFE07NAT / E / 000732//LIFE+ INDEMARES/ ; LIFE15 IP ES 012 INTEMARES//LIFE IP INTEMARES/ ; },
abstract = {How individual animals respond to climate change is key to whether populations will persist or go extinct. Yet, few studies investigate how changes in individual behavior underpin these population-level phenomena. Shifts in the distributions of migratory animals can occur through adaptation in migratory behaviors, but there is little understanding of how selection and plasticity contribute to population range shift. Here, we use long-term geolocator tracking of Balearic shearwaters (Puffinus mauretanicus) to investigate how year-to-year changes in individual birds' migrations underpin a range shift in the post-breeding migration. We demonstrate a northward shift in the post-breeding range and show that this is brought about by individual plasticity in migratory destination, with individuals migrating further north in response to changes in sea-surface temperature. Furthermore, we find that when individuals migrate further, they return faster, perhaps minimizing delays in return to the breeding area. Birds apparently judge the increased distance that they will need to migrate via memory of the migration route, suggesting that spatial cognitive mechanisms may contribute to this plasticity and the resulting range shift. Our study exemplifies the role that individual behavior plays in populations' responses to environmental change and highlights some of the behavioral mechanisms that might be key to understanding and predicting species persistence in response to climate change.},
}
@article {pmid38285233,
year = {2024},
author = {Akbari, A and Sadoddin, A and Asgari, H},
title = {A framework for modeling an agronomic system's vulnerability to climate change with reflections from the Caspian coastal agro-ecological zone of Iran.},
journal = {Environmental monitoring and assessment},
volume = {196},
number = {2},
pages = {210},
pmid = {38285233},
issn = {1573-2959},
abstract = {Assessing the vulnerability of different sectors to climate change has great importance in determining the appropriate adaptation measures to deal with climate change impacts on a river basin scale. In this research, using a framework for modeling the agronomic system vulnerability to climate change, vulnerability assessment under different scenarios was conducted for the Gorganrud River Basin located in the agro-ecological zone of the Caspian coastal plain of Iran. Considering exposure, susceptibility, and lack of resilience components, 12 indicators were chosen and quantified for both agronomic-environmental and socio-economic aspects. The SSM-iCrop2 model was used to simulate crop yield under current and climate change scenarios across the basin. The analysis indicates that in the current condition, the vulnerability level is different across the watersheds of the Gorganrud River Basin. By applying the climate change scenarios, agronomic system vulnerability would increase in the basin to some extent, particularly in Madarsu and Tilabad watersheds attributed with high vulnerability (0.63 and 0.61, respectively). This justifies the need to implement adaptation plans for encountering water shortage in the future. The analysis also suggests that the vulnerability of the agronomic system for adaptation scenarios characterized by less water consumption under climate change conditions is going to be slightly different from the vulnerability under the climate change scenarios. Due to an increase in agronomic system vulnerability under climate change scenarios, coupled with the fact that most watersheds (except Chehelchai, Nardin, and Narmab) are moderately vulnerable even under current conditions, policymakers and planners should promote crop and livelihood diversification programs aiming to prevent an increase in agronomic vulnerability.},
}
@article {pmid38285056,
year = {2024},
author = {Traidl-Hoffmann, C and John, SM and Zink, A},
title = {[Climate change gets under the skin].},
journal = {Dermatologie (Heidelberg, Germany)},
volume = {75},
number = {2},
pages = {91-92},
doi = {10.1007/s00105-023-05290-8},
pmid = {38285056},
issn = {2731-7013},
}
@article {pmid38284299,
year = {2024},
author = {Denis, V and Ferrier-Pagès, C and Schubert, N and Coppari, M and Baker, DM and Camp, EF and Gori, A and Grottoli, AG and Houlbrèque, F and Maier, SR and Mancinelli, G and Martinez, S and Yalçın Özdilek, &#x15e; and Radice, VZ and Ribes, M and Richter, C and Viladrich, N and Rossi, S},
title = {Heterotrophy in marine animal forests in an era of climate change.},
journal = {Biological reviews of the Cambridge Philosophical Society},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1111/brv.13053},
pmid = {38284299},
issn = {1469-185X},
support = {//Greenland Self Rule Governments/ ; CA20102//European Cooperation in Science and Technology/ ; LA/P/0101/2020//Portuguese national funds from the FCT - Foundation for Science and Technology/ ; UIDB/04326/2020//Portuguese national funds from the FCT - Foundation for Science and Technology/ ; UIDP/04326/2020//Portuguese national funds from the FCT - Foundation for Science and Technology/ ; 841875//Marie Curie Individual Global Fellowship-Horizon 2020 European Framework Programme/ ; //Greenland Research Council/ ; 101036515//EU Horizon Europe/ ; 111-2628-M-002-007-MY3//National Science and Technology Council/ ; },
abstract = {Marine animal forests (MAFs) are benthic ecosystems characterised by biogenic three-dimensional structures formed by suspension feeders such as corals, gorgonians, sponges and bivalves. They comprise highly diversified communities among the most productive in the world's oceans. However, MAFs are in decline due to global and local stressors that threaten the survival and growth of their foundational species and associated biodiversity. Innovative and scalable interventions are needed to address the degradation of MAFs and increase their resilience under global change. Surprisingly, few studies have considered trophic interactions and heterotrophic feeding of MAF suspension feeders as an integral component of MAF conservation. Yet, trophic interactions are important for nutrient cycling, energy flow within the food web, biodiversity, carbon sequestration, and MAF stability. This comprehensive review describes trophic interactions at all levels of ecological organisation in tropical, temperate, and cold-water MAFs. It examines the strengths and weaknesses of available tools for estimating the heterotrophic capacities of the foundational species in MAFs. It then discusses the threats that climate change poses to heterotrophic processes. Finally, it presents strategies for improving trophic interactions and heterotrophy, which can help to maintain the health and resilience of MAFs.},
}
@article {pmid38283581,
year = {2023},
author = {Myhre, SL and Scobie, M and Meriläinen, E and Kelman, I and Gopinathan, U},
title = {Climate Change, Community Action, and Health in the Anglophone Caribbean: A Scoping Review.},
journal = {Public health reviews},
volume = {44},
number = {},
pages = {1605843},
doi = {10.3389/phrs.2023.1605843},
pmid = {38283581},
issn = {0301-0422},
abstract = {Objective: This scoping review investigates the status of research focusing on the nexus of community action, climate change, and health and wellbeing in anglophone Caribbean Small Island Developing States (SIDS). Methods: This review was guided by Arksey and O'Malley framework and utilized the PRISMA-ScR checklist. We searched Medline/OVID, PsychInfo, VHL, Sociological Abstracts, Google Scholar, and Scopus to capture interdisciplinary studies published from 1946 to 2021. Results: The search yielded 3,828 records of which fourteen studies met the eligibility criteria. The analysis assessed study aim, geographic focus, community stakeholders, community action, climate perspective, health impact, as well as dimensions including resources/assets, education/information, organization and governance, innovation and flexibility, and efficacy and agency. Nearly all studies were case studies using mixed method approaches involving qualitative and quantitative data. Community groups organized around focal areas related to fishing, farming, food security, conservation, and the environment. Conclusion: Despite the bearing these areas have on public health, few studies explicitly examine direct links between health and climate change. Research dedicated to the nexus of community action, climate change, and health in the anglophone Caribbean warrants further study.},
}
@article {pmid38282357,
year = {2024},
author = {Isopp, B},
title = {The politics of politicization: Climate change debates in Canadian print media.},
journal = {Public understanding of science (Bristol, England)},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {9636625231220226},
doi = {10.1177/09636625231220226},
pmid = {38282357},
issn = {1361-6609},
abstract = {Politicization is frequently employed as an analytic concept to explain the relationships between politics and media coverage of climate change. However, relatively few works explore how different notions of politicization are mobilized by actors in media discourses themselves. This article does so via a framing analysis of climate change coverage in Canadian newspapers. I investigate how different relationships between science and politics are conceived and associated with varying positions on climate change. In particular, I examine a supposition in science and technology studies that the media remains committed to deficit models and thus uncritically reproduces the authority of science. Scientistic discourses exist but among a diversity of politicization framings. A key finding is that the strongest appeals to scientific neutrality are associated with climate skepticism. This casts light on the nuanced, strategic "politics of politicization" in climate change debates. A more fine-grained and reflexive approach to politicization discourses can help identify productive interventions.},
}
@article {pmid38280592,
year = {2024},
author = {Středová, H and Fukalová, P and Chuchma, F and Haberle, J and Středa, T},
title = {Nitrates directive restriction: To change or not to change in terms of climate change, that is the question.},
journal = {The Science of the total environment},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {170381},
doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.170381},
pmid = {38280592},
issn = {1879-1026},
abstract = {The positive effect of nitrogen fertilization in agriculture inevitably increases residual nitrogen losses. Water pollution led to legal restrictions of some farm practices within the framework of the Nitrates Directive of the EU. Nevertheless, even several decades later, the situation has not improved significantly. We present a possible science-based explanation of such a state and provide it to farmers and government as a support for environmental management settings. This study aimed to compare an established approach to implementing the Nitrates Directive, specifically the climate-based zoning of nitrogen fertilization restrictions using data from the mid-20th century. We evaluated this approach by juxtaposing the initial climate data with more recent data spanning from 1991 to 2020. Subsequently, we examined this zoning framework from the perspective of the non-vegetative period, characterized by temperatures below 5 °C, which is widely acknowledged as a critical threshold for nitrogen intake by plants. We found out that i) the employed climate-born zoning does not correspond to recent climate data; ii) nonvegetation period is longer than nitrogen fertilization restrictions. Therefore, despite a noteworthy 22 day reduction in the nonvegetation period from 1961/1962 to 2019/2020, we cast doubt on the notion that the period limiting nitrogen fertilizer application should also be shortened, while admitting that there are other abiotic and biotic factors affecting nitrogen behaviour within the ecosystem.},
}
@article {pmid38279578,
year = {2024},
author = {Fekih-Romdhane, F and Malaeb, D and Postigo, A and Sakr, F and Dabbous, M and Khatib, SE and Obeid, S and Hallit, S},
title = {The relationship between climate change anxiety and psychotic experiences is mediated by death anxiety.},
journal = {The International journal of social psychiatry},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {207640231221102},
doi = {10.1177/00207640231221102},
pmid = {38279578},
issn = {1741-2854},
abstract = {BACKGROUND: As climate change persists, accelerates, and intensifies, and since mitigating factors are absent, mental health impacts are expected to follow the same patterns. Therefore, it appears of utmost importance to deepen and broaden the knowledge and understanding of how and through which mechanisms climate change anxiety (CCA) may interplay with mental health outcomes. Based on the stress-vulnerability model of psychosis, the present study proposed to examine the relationship between CCA and psychotic experiences (PEs), and to test the theoretically-driven hypothesis that death anxiety acts as a mediator in this relationship.<br><br>METHOD: This study adopted a cross-sectional approach involving a sample of young adults aged 18 to 35&#x2009;years (mean age&#x2009;=&#x2009;24.56&#x2009;&#xb1;&#x2009;22.49 years; 63.9% females) originating from, and residing in Lebanon.<br><br>RESULTS: The results of the mediation analysis showed that death anxiety partially mediated the association between CCA and PEs. Higher CCA was significantly associated with higher death anxiety; higher death anxiety was significantly associated with more PEs. Finally, higher CCA was directly and significantly associated with more PEs.<br><br>CONCLUSION: Drawing from the present preliminary findings, the key tentative recommendation is that addressing death anxiety might alleviate the association between CCA and PEs. In addition, government decision-makers need to recognize the necessity of considering climate change implications on mental health in policy and decision-making.},
}
@article {pmid38278955,
year = {2024},
author = {Naumova, EN},
title = {Tipping points, still-points, and missing points in the public health agenda for climate change, food safety and food security.},
journal = {Journal of public health policy},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
pmid = {38278955},
issn = {1745-655X},
}
@article {pmid38278227,
year = {2024},
author = {He, Y and Xiong, W and Hu, P and Huang, D and Feurtado, JA and Zhang, T and Hao, C and DePauw, R and Zheng, B and Hoogenboom, G and Dixon, LE and Wang, H and Challinor, AJ},
title = {Climate change enhances stability of wheat-flowering-date.},
journal = {The Science of the total environment},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {170305},
doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.170305},
pmid = {38278227},
issn = {1879-1026},
abstract = {The stability of winter wheat-flowering-date is crucial for ensuring consistent and robust crop performance across diverse climatic conditions. However, the impact of climate change on wheat-flowering-dates remains uncertain. This study aims to elucidate the influence of climate change on wheat-flowering-dates, predict how projected future climate conditions will affect flowering date stability, and identify the most stable wheat genotypes in the study region. We applied a multi-locus genotype-based (MLG-based) model for simulating wheat-flowering-dates, which we calibrated and evaluated using observed data from the Northern China winter wheat region (NCWWR). This MLG-based model was employed to project flowering dates under different climate scenarios. The simulated flowering dates were then used to assess the stability of flowering dates under varying allelic combinations in projected climatic conditions. Our MLG-based model effectively simulated flowering dates, with a root mean square error (RMSE) of 2.3 days, explaining approximately 88.5 % of the genotypic variation in flowering dates among 100 wheat genotypes. We found that, in comparison to the baseline climate, wheat-flowering-dates are expected to shift earlier within the target sowing window by approximately 11 and 14 days by 2050 under the Representative Concentration Pathways 4.5 (RCP4.5) and RCP8.5 climate scenarios, respectively. Furthermore, our analysis revealed that wheat-flowering-date stability is likely to be further strengthened under projected climate scenarios due to early flowering trends. Ultimately, we demonstrate that the combination of Vrn and Ppd genes, rather than individual Vrn or Ppd genes, plays a critical role in wheat-flowering-date stability. Our results suggest that the combination of PpdD1a with winter genotypes carrying the vrn-D1 allele significantly contributes to flowering date stability under current and projected climate scenarios. These findings provide valuable insights for wheat breeders and producers under future climatic conditions.},
}
@article {pmid38278166,
year = {2024},
author = {The Lancet Microbe, },
title = {Treating the symptoms of climate change.},
journal = {The Lancet. Microbe},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1016/S2666-5247(24)00014-4},
pmid = {38278166},
issn = {2666-5247},
}
@article {pmid38277456,
year = {2024},
author = {Zonneveld, KAF and Harper, K and Klügel, A and Chen, L and De Lange, G and Versteegh, GJM},
title = {Climate change, society, and pandemic disease in Roman Italy between 200 BCE and 600 CE.},
journal = {Science advances},
volume = {10},
number = {4},
pages = {eadk1033},
doi = {10.1126/sciadv.adk1033},
pmid = {38277456},
issn = {2375-2548},
abstract = {Records of past societies confronted with natural climate change can illuminate social responses to environmental stress and environment-disease connections, especially when locally constrained high-temporal resolution paleoclimate reconstructions are available. We present a temperature and precipitation reconstruction for ~200 BCE to ~600 CE, from a southern Italian marine sedimentary archive-the first high-resolution (~3 years) climate record from the heartland of the Roman Empire, stretching from the so-called Roman Climate Optimum to the Late Antique Little Ice Age. We document phases of instability and cooling from ~100 CE onward but more notably after ~130 CE. Pronounced cold phases between ~160 to 180 CE, ~245 to 275 CE, and after ~530 CE associate with pandemic disease, suggesting that climate stress interacted with social and biological variables. The importance of environment-disease dynamics in past civilizations underscores the need to incorporate health in risk assessments of climate change.},
}
@article {pmid38276808,
year = {2024},
author = {Quilty, S and Lal, A and Honan, B and Chateau, D and O'Donnell, E and Mills, J},
title = {The Impact of Climate Change on Aeromedical Retrieval Services in Remote Northern Australia: Planning for a Hotter Future.},
journal = {International journal of environmental research and public health},
volume = {21},
number = {1},
pages = {},
doi = {10.3390/ijerph21010114},
pmid = {38276808},
issn = {1660-4601},
abstract = {It is known that environmental heat is associated with increased morbidity manifesting as increasing demand on acute care health services including pre-hospital transport and emergency departments. These services play a vital role in emergency care, and in rural and remote locations, where resource capacity is limited, aeromedical and other retrieval services are a vital part of healthcare delivery. There is no research examining how heat impacts remote retrieval service delivery. The Northern Territory (NT) of Australia is characterised by very remote communities with limited acute healthcare capacities and is a region subject to regular extreme tropical heat. In this study, we examine the relationship between aeromedical retrievals and hot weather for all NT retrievals between February 2018 and December 2019. A regression analysis was performed on the number of retrievals by clinical reason for retrieval matched to the temperature on the day of retrieval. There was a statistically significant exposure response relationship with increasing retrievals of obstetric emergencies in hotter weather in the humid climate zone and surgical retrievals in the arid zone. Retrieval services appeared to be at capacity at all times of the year. Given that there are no obstetric services in remote communities and that obstetric emergencies are a higher triage category than other emergencies (i.e., more urgent), such an increase will impede overall retrieval service delivery in hot weather. Increasing surgical retrievals in the arid zone may reflect an increase in soft tissue infections occurring in overcrowded houses in the hotter months of the year. Given that retrieval services are at capacity throughout the year, any increase in demand caused by increasing environmental heat will have broad implications for service delivery as the climate warms. Planning for a hotter future must include building resilient communities by optimising local healthcare capacity and addressing housing and other socioeconomic inequities that amplify heat-related illness.},
}
@article {pmid38275724,
year = {2023},
author = {Xiao, F and Liu, Q and Qin, Y},
title = {Predicting the Potential Distribution of Haloxylon ammodendron under Climate Change Scenarios Using Machine Learning of a Maximum Entropy Model.},
journal = {Biology},
volume = {13},
number = {1},
pages = {},
doi = {10.3390/biology13010003},
pmid = {38275724},
issn = {2079-7737},
abstract = {Haloxylon ammodendron (H. ammodendron) is a second-class protected plant of national significance in China that is known for its growth in desert and semidesert regions, where it serves as a desert ecosystem guardian by playing a substantial role in maintaining ecosystem structure and function. The changing global climate has substantially altered the growth conditions for H. ammodendron. This study focuses on identifying the key variables influencing the distribution of H. ammodendron and determining their potential impact on future distribution. We employed the Maxent model to evaluate the current climate suitability for H. ammodendron distribution and to project its future changes across various shared socioeconomic pathway (SSP) scenarios. Our findings indicate that precipitation during the warmest quarter and precipitation during the wettest month are the most influential variables affecting the potentially suitable habitats of H. ammodendron. The highly suitable habitat area for H. ammodendron currently covers approximately 489,800 km[2]. The Maxent model forecasts an expansion of highly suitable H. ammodendron habitat under all future SSP scenarios, with the extent of unsuitable areas increasing with greater global warming. The increased highly suitable habitats range from 40% (SSP585) to 80% (SSP126) by the 2070s (2060-2080). Furthermore, our results indicate a continued expansion of desertification areas due to global warming, highlighting the significant role of H. ammodendron in maintaining desert ecosystem stability. This study offers valuable insights into biodiversity preservation and ecological protection in the context of future climate change scenarios.},
}
@article {pmid38273578,
year = {2024},
author = {Losciale, R and Day, JC and Rasheed, MA and Heron, SF},
title = {The vulnerability of World Heritage seagrass habitats to climate change.},
journal = {Global change biology},
volume = {30},
number = {1},
pages = {e17113},
doi = {10.1111/gcb.17113},
pmid = {38273578},
issn = {1365-2486},
abstract = {Seagrass is an important natural attribute of 28 World Heritage (WH) properties. These WH seagrass habitats provide a wide range of services to adjacent ecosystems and human communities, and are one of the largest natural carbon sinks on the planet. Climate change is considered the greatest and fastest-growing threat to natural WH properties and evidence of climate-related impacts on seagrass habitats has been growing. The main objective of this study was to assess the vulnerability of WH seagrass habitats to location-specific key climate stressors. Quantitative surveys of seagrass experts and site managers were used to assess exposure, sensitivity and adaptive capacity of WH seagrass habitats to climate stressors, following the Climate Vulnerability Index approach. Over half of WH seagrass habitats have high vulnerability to climate change, mainly from the long-term increase in sea-surface temperature and short-term marine heatwaves. Potential impacts from climate change and certainty scores associated with them were higher than reported by a similar survey-based study from 10 years prior, indicating a shift in stakeholder perspectives during the past decade. Additionally, seagrass experts' opinions on the cumulative impacts of climate and direct-anthropogenic stressors revealed that high temperature in combination with high suspended sediments, eutrophication and hypoxia is likely to provoke a synergistic cumulative (negative) impact (p < .05). A key component contributing to the high vulnerability assessments was the low adaptive capacity; however, discrepancies between adaptive capacity scores and qualitative responses suggest that managers of WH seagrass habitats might not be adequately equipped to respond to climate change impacts. This thematic assessment provides valuable information to help prioritize conservation actions, monitoring activities and research in WH seagrass habitats. It also demonstrates the utility of a systematic framework to evaluate the vulnerability of thematic groups of protected areas that share a specific attribute.},
}
@article {pmid38273577,
year = {2024},
author = {Li, WB and Teng, Y and Zhang, MY and Shen, Y and Liu, JW and Qi, JW and Wang, XC and Wu, RF and Li, JH and Garber, PA and Li, M},
title = {Human activity and climate change accelerate the extinction risk to non-human primates in China.},
journal = {Global change biology},
volume = {30},
number = {1},
pages = {e17114},
doi = {10.1111/gcb.17114},
pmid = {38273577},
issn = {1365-2486},
support = {2023YFF0805800//National Key Research and Development Projects of the Ministry of Science and Technology of China/ ; 3230015//National Natural Science Foundation of China/ ; 31821001//National Natural Science Foundation of China/ ; 32201263//National Natural Science Foundation of China/ ; XDB31000000//Strategic Priority Research Program of Chinese Academy of Sciences/ ; XDA23080000//Strategic Priority Research Program of Chinese Academy of Sciences/ ; 2022M720142//China Postdoctoral Science Foundation/ ; },
abstract = {Human activity and climate change affect biodiversity and cause species range shifts, contractions, and expansions. Globally, human activities and climate change have emerged as persistent threats to biodiversity, leading to approximately 68% of the ~522 primate species being threatened with extinction. Here, we used habitat suitability models and integrated data on human population density, gross domestic product (GDP), road construction, the normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI), the location of protected areas (PAs), and climate change to predict potential changes in the distributional range and richness of 26 China's primate species. Our results indicate that both PAs and NDVI have a positive impact on primate distributions. With increasing anthropogenic pressure, species' ranges were restricted to areas of high vegetation cover and in PAs surrounded by buffer zones of 2.7-4.5 km and a core area of PAs at least 0.1-0.5 km from the closest edge of the PA. Areas with a GDP below the Chinese national average of 100,000 yuan were found to be ecologically vulnerable, and this had a negative impact on primate distributions. Changes in temperature and precipitation were also significant contributors to a reduction in the range of primate species. Under the expected influence of climate change over the next 30-50 years, we found that highly suitable habitat for primates will continue to decrease and species will be restricted to smaller and more peripheral parts of their current range. Areas of high primate diversity are expected to lose from 3 to 7 species. We recommend that immediate action be taken, including expanding China's National Park Program, the Ecological Conservation Redline Program, and the Natural Forest Protection Program, along with a stronger national policy promoting alternative/sustainable livelihoods for people in the local communities adjacent to primate ranges, to offset the detrimental effects of anthropogenic activities and climate change on primate survivorship.},
}
@article {pmid38273565,
year = {2024},
author = {Wei, L and Sanczuk, P and De Pauw, K and Caron, MM and Selvi, F and Hedwall, PO and Brunet, J and Cousins, SAO and Plue, J and Spicher, F and Gasperini, C and Iacopetti, G and Orczewska, A and Uria-Diez, J and Lenoir, J and Vangansbeke, P and De Frenne, P},
title = {Using warming tolerances to predict understory plant responses to climate change.},
journal = {Global change biology},
volume = {30},
number = {1},
pages = {e17064},
doi = {10.1111/gcb.17064},
pmid = {38273565},
issn = {1365-2486},
support = {FORMICA 757833/ERC_/European Research Council/International ; },
abstract = {Climate change is pushing species towards and potentially beyond their critical thermal limits. The extent to which species can cope with temperatures exceeding their critical thermal limits is still uncertain. To better assess species' responses to warming, we compute the warming tolerance (ΔTniche) as a thermal vulnerability index, using species' upper thermal limits (the temperature at the warm limit of their distribution range) minus the local habitat temperature actually experienced at a given location. This metric is useful to predict how much more warming species can tolerate before negative impacts are expected to occur. Here we set up a cross-continental transplant experiment involving five regions distributed along a latitudinal gradient across Europe (43° N-61° N). Transplant sites were located in dense and open forests stands, and at forest edges and in interiors. We estimated the warming tolerance for 12 understory plant species common in European temperate forests. During 3 years, we examined the effects of the warming tolerance of each species across all transplanted locations on local plant performance, in terms of survival, height, ground cover, flowering probabilities and flower number. We found that the warming tolerance (ΔTniche) of the 12 studied understory species was significantly different across Europe and varied by up to 8°C. In general, ΔTniche were smaller (less positive) towards the forest edge and in open stands. Plant performance (growth and reproduction) increased with increasing ΔTniche across all 12 species. Our study demonstrated that ΔTniche of understory plant species varied with macroclimatic differences among regions across Europe, as well as in response to forest microclimates, albeit to a lesser extent. Our findings support the hypothesis that plant performance across species decreases in terms of growth and reproduction as local temperature conditions reach or exceed the warm limit of the focal species.},
}
@article {pmid38273561,
year = {2024},
author = {Silberberger, MJ and Koziorowska-Makuch, K and Reiss, H and Kędra, M},
title = {Trophic niches of macrobenthos: Latitudinal variation indicates climate change impact on ecosystem functioning.},
journal = {Global change biology},
volume = {30},
number = {1},
pages = {e17100},
doi = {10.1111/gcb.17100},
pmid = {38273561},
issn = {1365-2486},
support = {2019/35/D/NZ8/01282//Narodowe Centrum Nauki/ ; },
abstract = {Benthic food-web structure and organic matter (OM) utilization are important for marine ecosystem functioning. In response to environmental changes related to the ongoing climate change, however, many benthic species are shifting their ranges to colder regions, which may lead to altered community composition, but it remains largely unknown how it will affect ecosystem functioning. Here, stable isotope analysis was used to study benthic OM utilization and food-web structure and to assess whether their spatial patterns reflect today's community differentiation among biogeographic regions and depth zones. Benthic fauna and OM mixtures were collected from two depth zones (100-150 m vs. 200-250 m) within a temperate, two sub-Arctic, and an Arctic fjord along a latitudinal gradient (59-78° N) that was used as a space-for-time substitution to assess the impact of climate change. Our results showed that Arctic and temperate communities are functionally different. Arctic communities were characterized by a strong resource partitioning among different feeding types, irrespective of depth zone. In contrast, all feeding types in temperate communities seemed to rely on sedimentary OM. The sub-Arctic presented a transition zone. In the sub-Arctic, shallower communities resembled Arctic communities, suggesting a functional transition between temperate and sub-Arctic regions. Deeper sub-Arctic communities resembled temperate communities, suggesting a functional transition between the sub-Arctic and Arctic regions. This implies that the regions north of the current transitions (deep Arctic and shallow sub-Arctic) are most likely to experience functional changes related to an altered OM utilization in benthic food webs in response to climate change.},
}
@article {pmid38273545,
year = {2024},
author = {Carreira, C and Joyce, PWS and Morán, XAG and Carvalho, S and Falkenberg, L and Lønborg, C},
title = {Too hot to handle? An urgent need to understand climate change impacts on the biogeochemistry of tropical coastal waters.},
journal = {Global change biology},
volume = {30},
number = {1},
pages = {e17074},
doi = {10.1111/gcb.17074},
pmid = {38273545},
issn = {1365-2486},
support = {1127-00033B//Danmarks Frie Forskningsfond/ ; },
abstract = {Tropical regions contain ecologically and socio-economically important habitats, and are home to about 3.8 billion people, many of which directly depend on tropical coastal waters for their well-being. At the basis of these ecosystems are biogeochemical processes. Climate change is expected to have a greater impact in the tropics compared to temperate regions because of the relatively stable environmental conditions found there. However, it was surprising to find only 660 research articles published focusing on the impact of climate change on the biogeochemistry of coastal tropical waters compared to 4823 for temperate waters. In this perspective, we highlight important topics in need of further research. Specifically, we suggest that in tropical regions compared to temperate counterparts climate change stressors will be experienced differently, that organisms have a lower acclimation capacity, and that long-term baseline biogeochemical datasets useful for quantifying future changes are lacking. The low number of research papers on the impacts of climate change in coastal tropical regions is likely due to a mix of reasons including limited resources for research and limited number of long time series in many developing tropical countries. Finally, we propose some action points that we hope will stimulate more studies in tropical coastal waters.},
}
@article {pmid38273531,
year = {2024},
author = {Sierra, CA and Ahrens, B and Bolinder, MA and Braakhekke, MC and von Fromm, S and Kätterer, T and Luo, Z and Parvin, N and Wang, G},
title = {Carbon sequestration in the subsoil and the time required to stabilize carbon for climate change mitigation.},
journal = {Global change biology},
volume = {30},
number = {1},
pages = {e17153},
doi = {10.1111/gcb.17153},
pmid = {38273531},
issn = {1365-2486},
support = {862695//Horizon 2020 Framework Programme/ ; //Swedish University of Agricultural Sciences/ ; //Max Planck Society/ ; //International Max Planck Research School for Global Biogeochemical Cycles/ ; },
abstract = {Soils store large quantities of carbon in the subsoil (below 0.2 m depth) that is generally old and believed to be stabilized over centuries to millennia, which suggests that subsoil carbon sequestration (CS) can be used as a strategy for climate change mitigation. In this article, we review the main biophysical processes that contribute to carbon storage in subsoil and the main mathematical models used to represent these processes. Our guiding objective is to review whether a process understanding of soil carbon movement in the vertical profile can help us to assess carbon storage and persistence at timescales relevant for climate change mitigation. Bioturbation, liquid phase transport, belowground carbon inputs, mineral association, and microbial activity are the main processes contributing to the formation of soil carbon profiles, and these processes are represented in models using the diffusion-advection-reaction paradigm. Based on simulation examples and measurements from carbon and radiocarbon profiles across biomes, we found that advective and diffusive transport may only play a secondary role in the formation of soil carbon profiles. The difference between vertical root inputs and decomposition seems to play a primary role in determining the shape of carbon change with depth. Using the transit time of carbon to assess the timescales of carbon storage of new inputs, we show that only small quantities of new carbon inputs travel through the profile and can be stabilized for time horizons longer than 50 years, implying that activities that promote CS in the subsoil must take into consideration the very small quantities that can be stabilized in the long term.},
}
@article {pmid38273525,
year = {2024},
author = {Coulon, N and Elliott, S and Teichert, N and Auber, A and McLean, M and Barreau, T and Feunteun, E and Carpentier, A},
title = {Northeast Atlantic elasmobranch community on the move: Functional reorganization in response to climate change.},
journal = {Global change biology},
volume = {30},
number = {1},
pages = {e17157},
doi = {10.1111/gcb.17157},
pmid = {38273525},
issn = {1365-2486},
support = {//Mus&#xe9;um National d'Histoire Naturelle/ ; },
abstract = {While spatial distribution shifts have been documented in many marine fishes under global change, the responses of elasmobranchs have rarely been studied, which may have led to an underestimation of their potential additional threats. Given their irreplaceable role in ecosystems and their high extinction risk, we used a 24-year time series (1997-2020) of scientific bottom trawl surveys to examine the effects of climate change on the spatial distribution of nine elasmobranch species within Northeast Atlantic waters. Using a hierarchical modeling of species communities, belonging to the joint species distribution models, we found that suitable habitats for four species increased on average by a factor of 1.6 and, for six species, shifted north-eastwards and/or to deeper waters over the past two decades. By integrating species traits, we showed changes in habitat suitability led to changes in the elasmobranchs trait composition. Moreover, communities shifted to deeper waters and their mean trophic level decreased. We also note an increase in the mean community size at maturity concurrent with a decrease in fecundity. Because skates and sharks are functionally unique and dangerously vulnerable to both climate change and fishing, we advocate for urgent considerations of species traits in management measures. Their use would make it better to identify species whose loss could have irreversible impacts in face of the myriad of anthropogenic threats.},
}
@article {pmid38273519,
year = {2024},
author = {Nelson, GC and Vanos, J and Havenith, G and Jay, O and Ebi, KL and Hijmans, RJ},
title = {Global reductions in manual agricultural work capacity due to climate change.},
journal = {Global change biology},
volume = {30},
number = {1},
pages = {e17142},
doi = {10.1111/gcb.17142},
pmid = {38273519},
issn = {1365-2486},
abstract = {Manual outdoor work is essential in many agricultural systems. Climate change will make such work more stressful in many regions due to heat exposure. The physical work capacity metric (PWC) is a physiologically based approach that estimates an individual's work capacity relative to an environment without any heat stress. We computed PWC under recent past and potential future climate conditions. Daily values were computed from five earth system models for three emission scenarios (SSP1-2.6, SSP3-7.0, and SSP5-8.5) and three time periods: 1991-2010 (recent past), 2041-2060 (mid-century) and 2081-2100 (end-century). Average daily PWC values were aggregated for the entire year, the growing season, and the warmest 90-day period of the year. Under recent past climate conditions, the growing season PWC was below 0.86 (86% of full work capacity) on half the current global cropland. With end-century/SSP5-8.5 thermal conditions this value was reduced to 0.7, with most affected crop-growing regions in Southeast and South Asia, West and Central Africa, and northern South America. Average growing season PWC could falls below 0.4 in some important food production regions such as the Indo-Gangetic plains in Pakistan and India. End-century PWC reductions were substantially greater than mid-century reductions. This paper assesses two potential adaptions-reducing direct solar radiation impacts with shade or working at night and reducing the need for hard physical labor with increased mechanization. Removing the effect of direct solar radiation impacts improved PWC values by 0.05 to 0.10 in the hottest periods and regions. Adding mechanization to increase horsepower (HP) per hectare to levels similar to those in some higher income countries would require a 22% increase in global HP availability with Sub-Saharan Africa needing the most. There may be scope for shifting to less labor-intensive crops or those with labor peaks in cooler periods or shift work to early morning.},
}
@article {pmid38273513,
year = {2024},
author = {Wei, J and Xu, F and Cole, EF and Sheldon, BC and de Boer, WF and Wielstra, B and Fu, H and Gong, P and Si, Y},
title = {Spatially heterogeneous shifts in vegetation phenology induced by climate change threaten the integrity of the avian migration network.},
journal = {Global change biology},
volume = {30},
number = {1},
pages = {e17148},
doi = {10.1111/gcb.17148},
pmid = {38273513},
issn = {1365-2486},
support = {201906210103//China Scholarship Council/ ; 41471347//National Natural Science Foundation of China/ ; 42301055//National Natural Science Foundation of China/ ; },
abstract = {Phenological responses to climate change frequently vary among trophic levels, which can result in increasing asynchrony between the peak energy requirements of consumers and the availability of resources. Migratory birds use multiple habitats with seasonal food resources along migration flyways. Spatially heterogeneous climate change could cause the phenology of food availability along the migration flyway to become desynchronized. Such heterogeneous shifts in food phenology could pose a challenge to migratory birds by reducing their opportunity for food availability along the migration path and consequently influencing their survival and reproduction. We develop a novel graph-based approach to quantify this problem and deploy it to evaluate the condition of the heterogeneous shifts in vegetation phenology for 16 migratory herbivorous waterfowl species in Asia. We show that climate change-induced heterogeneous shifts in vegetation phenology could cause a 12% loss of migration network integrity on average across all study species. Species that winter at relatively lower latitudes are subjected to a higher loss of integrity in their migration network. These findings highlight the susceptibility of migratory species to climate change. Our proposed methodological framework could be applied to migratory species in general to yield an accurate assessment of the exposure under climate change and help to identify actions for biodiversity conservation in the face of climate-related risks.},
}
@article {pmid38273510,
year = {2024},
author = {Shen, X and Shen, M and Wu, C and Peñuelas, J and Ciais, P and Zhang, J and Freeman, C and Palmer, PI and Liu, B and Henderson, M and Song, Z and Sun, S and Lu, X and Jiang, M},
title = {Critical role of water conditions in the responses of autumn phenology of marsh wetlands to climate change on the Tibetan Plateau.},
journal = {Global change biology},
volume = {30},
number = {1},
pages = {e17097},
doi = {10.1111/gcb.17097},
pmid = {38273510},
issn = {1365-2486},
support = {ZDBS-LY-7019//Key Research Program of Frontier Sciences, Chinese Academy of Sciences/ ; 42230516//National Natural Science Foundation of China/ ; 41971065//National Natural Science Foundation of China/ ; 20210101104JC//Natural Science Foundation of Jilin Province/ ; TED2021-132627 B-I00//Spanish Government grant/ ; 2019235//Youth Innovation Promotion Association of the Chinese Academy of Sciences/ ; },
abstract = {The Tibetan Plateau, housing 20% of China's wetlands, plays a vital role in the regional carbon cycle. Examining the phenological dynamics of wetland vegetation in response to climate change is crucial for understanding its impact on the ecosystem. Despite this importance, the specific effects of climate change on wetland vegetation phenology in this region remain uncertain. In this study, we investigated the influence of climate change on the end of the growing season (EOS) of marsh wetland vegetation across the Tibetan Plateau, utilizing satellite-derived Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) data and observational climate data. We observed that the regionally averaged EOS of marsh vegetation across the Tibetan Plateau was significantly (p < .05) delayed by 4.10 days/decade from 2001 to 2020. Warming preseason temperatures were found to be the primary driver behind the delay in the EOS of marsh vegetation, whereas preseason cumulative precipitation showed no significant impact. Interestingly, the responses of EOS to climate change varied spatially across the plateau, indicating a regulatory role for hydrological conditions in marsh phenology. In the humid and cold central regions, preseason daytime warming significantly delayed the EOS. However, areas with lower soil moisture exhibited a weaker or reversed delay effect, suggesting complex interplays between temperature, soil moisture, and EOS. Notably, in the arid southwestern regions of the plateau, increased preseason rainfall directly delayed the EOS, while higher daytime temperatures advanced it. Our results emphasize the critical role of hydrological conditions, specifically soil moisture, in shaping marsh EOS responses in different regions. Our findings underscore the need to incorporate hydrological factors into terrestrial ecosystem models, particularly in cold and dry regions, for accurate predictions of marsh vegetation phenological responses to climate change. This understanding is vital for informed conservation and management strategies in the face of current and future climate challenges.},
}
@article {pmid38273491,
year = {2024},
author = {Qian, H and Wang, Y},
title = {Predicting microbial adaptability to climate change in the Anthropocene.},
journal = {Global change biology},
volume = {30},
number = {1},
pages = {e17122},
doi = {10.1111/gcb.17122},
pmid = {38273491},
issn = {1365-2486},
}
@article {pmid38273487,
year = {2024},
author = {Wiens, JJ and Zelinka, J},
title = {How many species will Earth lose to climate change?.},
journal = {Global change biology},
volume = {30},
number = {1},
pages = {e17125},
doi = {10.1111/gcb.17125},
pmid = {38273487},
issn = {1365-2486},
abstract = {Climate change may be an important threat to global biodiversity, potentially leading to the extinction of numerous species. But how many? There have been various attempts to answer this question, sometimes yielding strikingly different estimates. Here, we review these estimates, assess their disagreements and methodology, and explore how we might reach better estimates. Large-scale studies have estimated the extinction of ~1% of sampled species up to ~70%, even when using the same approach (species distribution models; SDMs). Nevertheless, worst-case estimates often converge near 20%-30% species loss, and many differences shrink when using similar assumptions. We perform a new review of recent SDM studies, which show ~17% loss of species to climate change under worst-case scenarios. However, this review shows that many SDM studies are biased by excluding the most vulnerable species (those known from few localities), which may lead to underestimating global species loss. Conversely, our analyses of recent climate change responses show that a fundamental assumption of SDM studies, that species' climatic niches do not change over time, may be frequently violated. For example, we find mean rates of positive thermal niche change across species of ~0.02°C/year. Yet, these rates may still be slower than projected climate change by ~3-4 fold. Finally, we explore how global extinction levels can be estimated by combining group-specific estimates of species loss with recent group-specific projections of global species richness (including cryptic insect species). These preliminary estimates tentatively forecast climate-related extinction of 14%-32% of macroscopic species in the next ~50 years, potentially including 3-6 million (or more) animal and plant species, even under intermediate climate change scenarios.},
}
@article {pmid38272055,
year = {2024},
author = {den Exter, A},
title = {Bringing Climate Change to Strasbourg. The Convention and Healthy Environment Claims.},
journal = {European journal of health law},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {1-18},
doi = {10.1163/15718093-bja10119},
pmid = {38272055},
issn = {1571-8093},
abstract = {Climate change profoundly impacts all aspects of human life, including health. International fora and nation States recognise the importance of urgently cutting greenhouse gas emissions as a primary cause of global warming. States' commitment to alter climate change has resulted in several treaty documents referring explicitly to human rights obligations. But what exactly are States' obligations under climate change treaty law and other human rights treaties? And what is the judiciary's role when confronted with the right to health violations and systemic deficiencies relating to climate change? Can climate change litigation give individual citizens a remedy to right to health violations and reduce the impact of climate change?},
}
@article {pmid38271163,
year = {2024},
author = {Schuster, R and Gregory, K and Moller, T and Koesten, L},
title = {"Being Simple on Complex Issues" - Accounts on Visual Data Communication about Climate Change.},
journal = {IEEE transactions on visualization and computer graphics},
volume = {PP},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1109/TVCG.2024.3352282},
pmid = {38271163},
issn = {1941-0506},
abstract = {Data visualizations play a critical role in both communicating scientific evidence about climate change and in stimulating engagement and action. To investigate how visualizations can be better utilized to communicate the complexities of climate change to different audiences, we conducted interviews with 17 experts in the fields of climate change, data visualization, and science communication, as well as with 12 laypersons. Besides questions about climate change communication and various aspects of data visualizations, we also asked participants to share what they think is the main takeaway message for two exemplary climate change data visualizations. Through a thematic analysis, we observe differences regarding the included contents, the length and abstraction of messages, and the sensemaking process between and among the participant groups. On average, experts formulated shorter and more abstract messages, often referring to higher-level conclusions rather than specific details. We use our findings to reflect on design decisions for creating more effective visualizations, particularly in news media sources geared toward lay audiences. We hereby discuss the adaption of contents according to the needs of the audience, the trade-off between simplification and accuracy, as well as techniques to make a visualization attractive.},
}
@article {pmid38270699,
year = {2024},
author = {Singh, S and Singh, R and Priyadarsini, S and Ola, AL},
title = {Genomics empowering conservation action and improvement of celery in the face of climate change.},
journal = {Planta},
volume = {259},
number = {2},
pages = {42},
pmid = {38270699},
issn = {1432-2048},
abstract = {Integration of genomic approaches like whole genome sequencing, functional genomics, evolutionary genomics, and CRISPR/Cas9-based genome editing has accelerated the improvement of crop plants including leafy vegetables like celery in the face of climate change. The anthropogenic climate change is a real peril to the existence of life forms on our planet, including human and plant life. Climate change is predicted to be a significant threat to biodiversity and food security in the coming decades and is rapidly transforming global farming systems. To avoid the ghastly future in the face of climate change, the elucidation of shifts in the geographical range of plant species, species adaptation, and evolution is necessary for plant scientists to develop climate-resilient strategies. In the post-genomics era, the increasing availability of genomic resources and integration of multifaceted genomics elements is empowering biodiversity conservation action, restoration efforts, and identification of genomic regions adaptive to climate change. Genomics has accelerated the true characterization of crop wild relatives, genomic variations, and the development of climate-resilient varieties to ensure food security for 10 billion people by 2050. In this review, we have summarized the applications of multifaceted genomic tools, like conservation genomics, whole genome sequencing, functional genomics, genome editing, pangenomics, in the conservation and adaptation of plant species with a focus on celery, an aromatic and medicinal Apiaceae vegetable. We focus on how conservation scientists can utilize genomics and genomic data in conservation and improvement.},
}
@article {pmid38268967,
year = {2023},
author = {Smith, RL and Terriquez, J and Thoma, E and Gonzalez, MA and Johnson, D and Buenning, H and Kremer, F and Carpenter, JD and Clark, NN},
title = {Climate Change, Extreme Events, and Their Potential Effects on Aboveground Storage Tanks.},
journal = {EM (Pittsburgh, Pa.)},
volume = {2023},
number = {},
pages = {},
pmid = {38268967},
issn = {1088-9981},
}
@article {pmid38268699,
year = {2024},
author = {Tabo, Z and Kalinda, C and Breuer, L and Albrecht, C},
title = {Exploring the interplay between climate change and schistosomiasis transmission dynamics.},
journal = {Infectious Disease Modelling},
volume = {9},
number = {1},
pages = {158-176},
pmid = {38268699},
issn = {2468-0427},
abstract = {Schistosomiasis, a neglected tropical disease caused by parasitic worms, poses a major public health challenge in economically disadvantaged regions, especially in Sub-Saharan Africa. Climate factors, such as temperature and rainfall patterns, play a crucial role in the transmission dynamics of the disease. This study presents a deterministic model that aims to evaluate the temporal and seasonal transmission dynamics of schistosomiasis by examining the influence of temperature and rainfall over time. Equilibrium states are examined to ascertain their existence and stability employing the center manifold theory, while the basic reproduction number is calculated using the next-generation technique. To validate the model's applicability, demographic and climatological data from Uganda, Kenya, and Tanzania, which are endemic East African countries situated in the tropical region, are utilized as a case study region. The findings of this study provide evidence that the transmission of schistosomiasis in human populations is significantly influenced by seasonal and monthly variations, with incidence rates varying across countries depending on the frequency of temperature and rainfall. Consequently, the region is marked by both schistosomiasis emergencies and re-emergences. Specifically, it is observed that monthly mean temperatures within the range of 22-27 °C create favorable conditions for the development of schistosomiasis and have a positive impact on the reproduction numbers. On the other hand, monthly maximum temperatures ranging from 27 to 33 °C have an adverse effect on transmission. Furthermore, through sensitivity analysis, it is projected that by the year 2050, factors such as the recruitment rate of snails, the presence of parasite egg-containing stools, and the rate of miracidia shedding per parasite egg will contribute significantly to the occurrence and control of schistosomiasis infections. This study highlights the significant influence of seasonal and monthly variations, driven by temperature and rainfall patterns, on the transmission dynamics of schistosomiasis. These findings underscore the importance of considering climate factors in the control and prevention strategies of schistosomiasis. Additionally, the projected impact of various factors on schistosomiasis infections by 2050 emphasizes the need for proactive measures to mitigate the disease's impact on vulnerable populations. Overall, this research provides valuable insights to anticipate future challenges and devise adaptive measures to address schistosomiasis transmission patterns.},
}
@article {pmid38268613,
year = {2024},
author = {Gule, TT and Hailu, BT and Lemma, B},
title = {The Ripple Effect of Climate Change: Assessing the Impacts on Water Quality and Hydrology in Addis Ababa City (Akaki Catchment).},
journal = {Scientifica},
volume = {2024},
number = {},
pages = {8824622},
pmid = {38268613},
issn = {2090-908X},
abstract = {This research aimed to evaluate the effects of climate change on the hydrology and water quality in the Akaki catchment, which provides water to Addis Ababa, Ethiopia. This was performed using the soil and water assessment tool (SWAT) model and an ensemble of four global climate models under two Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSP) emission scenarios from Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (CMIP6). The climate data were downscaled and bias-corrected using the CMhyd tool and calibrated and validated using the SWAT-CUP software package. Change points and patterns in annual rainfall and temperature were determined using the homogeneity test and Mann-Kendell trend test. Water quality data were obtained from Addis Ababa Water and Sewerage Authority (AAWSA), and more samples were taken and analyzed in accordance with APHA recommended procedures. The SWAT model output was then used to assess the impacts of climate change on hydrological components and water quality. Rainfall increased by 19.39 mm/year under SSP2-4.5 and 12.8 mm/year under SSP8.5. Maximum temperature increased by 0.03°C/yr for SSP2-4.5 and 0.04°C/yr for SSP5-8.5. Minimum temperature increased by 0.03°C/yr under SSP2-4.5 and 0.07°C/yr under SSP5-8.5. This warming will augment the evapotranspiration rate which in turn will have a negative impact on the freshwater availability. Streamflow will increase by 5% under SSP2-4.5 and 9.49% under SSP5-85 which may increase sporadic flooding events. Climate change is expected to contribute to the deterioration of water quality shown by 61%, 36%, 79%, 115%, and 70% increased ammonia, chlorophyll-a, nitrite, nitrate, and phosphorus loadings, respectively, from 2022. The increase in temperature results in increases in nutrient loading and a decrease in dissolved oxygen. Overall, this research demonstrated the vulnerability of the catchment to climate change. The findings of this research can offer vital knowledge to policymakers on possible strategies for the sustainable management of water.},
}
@article {pmid38266897,
year = {2024},
author = {Musarrat Anita, W and Uttajug, A and Tesoro Seposo, X and Sudo, K and Nakata, M and Takemura, T and Takano, H and Fujiwara, T and Ueda, K},
title = {Interplay of climate Change and air pollution- projection of the under-5 mortality attributable to ambient particulate matter (PM2.5) in South Asia.},
journal = {Environmental research},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {118292},
doi = {10.1016/j.envres.2024.118292},
pmid = {38266897},
issn = {1096-0953},
abstract = {Ambient fine particulate matter (PM2.5) pollution is a leading health risk factor for children under- 5 years, especially in developing countries. South Asia is a PM2.5 hotspot, where climate change, a potential factor affecting PM2.5 pollution, adds a major challenge. However, limited evidence is available on under-5 mortality attributable to PM2.5 under different climate change scenarios. This study aimed to project under-5 mortality attributable to long-term exposure to ambient PM2.5 under seven air pollution and climate change mitigation scenarios in South Asia. We used a concentration-risk function obtained from a previous review to project under-5 mortality attributable to ambient PM2.5. With a theoretical minimum risk exposure level of 2.4 μg/m[3], this risk function was linked to gridded annual PM2.5 concentrations from atmospheric modeling to project under-5 mortality from 2010 to 2049 under different climate change mitigation scenarios. The scenarios were developed from the Aim/Endues global model based on end-of-pipe (removing the emission of air pollutants at the source, EoP) and 2 °C target measures. Our results showed that, in 2010-2014, about 306.8 thousand under-5 deaths attributable to PM2.5 occurred in South Asia under the Reference (business as usual) scenario. The number of deaths was projected to increase in 2045-2049 by 36.6% under the same scenario and 7.7% under the scenario where EoP measures would be partially implemented by developing countries (EoPmid), and was projected to decrease under other scenarios, with the most significant decrease (81.2%) under the scenario where EoP measures would be fully enhanced by all countries along with the measures to achieve 2 °C target (EoPmaxCCSBLD) across South Asia. Country-specific projections of under-5 mortality varied by country. The current emission control strategy would not be sufficient to reduce the number of deaths in South Asia. Robust climate change mitigation and air pollution control policy implementation is required.},
}
@article {pmid38265114,
year = {2024},
author = {Wang, SP and Stefanovic, N and Orfali, RL and Aoki, V and Brown, SJ and Dhar, S and Eichenfield, LF and Flohr, C and Ha, A and Mora, C and Murase, JE and Rosenbach, M and Srinivas, SM and Thyssen, JP and Wei, ML and Irvine, AD and Abuabara, K},
title = {Impact of climate change on atopic dermatitis: A review by the International Eczema Council.},
journal = {Allergy},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1111/all.16007},
pmid = {38265114},
issn = {1398-9995},
abstract = {Atopic dermatitis (AD), the most burdensome skin condition worldwide, is influenced by climatic factors and air pollution; however, the impact of increasing climatic hazards on AD remains poorly characterized. Leveraging an existing framework for 10 climatic hazards related to greenhouse gas emissions, we identified 18 studies with evidence for an impact on AD through a systematic search. Most climatic hazards had evidence for aggravation of AD the impact ranged from direct effects like particulate matter-induced AD exacerbations from wildfires to the potential for indirect effects like drought-induced food insecurity and migration. We then created maps comparing the past, present, and future projected burden of climatic hazards to global AD prevalence data. Data are lacking, especially from those regions most likely to experience more climatic hazards. We highlight gaps important for future research: understanding the synergistic impacts of climatic hazards on AD, long-term disease activity, the differential impact on vulnerable populations, and how basic mechanisms explain population-level trends.},
}
@article {pmid38264966,
year = {2024},
author = {Brady Bates, O and Freeman, N},
title = {Comment on: Climate change is a health issue. The general practitioner and planetary health by Stoffers &amp; Muris 2023.},
journal = {The European journal of general practice},
volume = {30},
number = {1},
pages = {2298332},
doi = {10.1080/13814788.2023.2298332},
pmid = {38264966},
issn = {1751-1402},
}
@article {pmid38264538,
year = {2023},
author = {Sahu, SK and Chen, L and Liu, S and Xing, J and Mathur, R},
title = {Effect of Future Climate Change on Stratosphere-to-Troposphere-Exchange Driven Ozone in the Northern Hemisphere.},
journal = {Aerosol and air quality research},
volume = {23},
number = {12},
pages = {1-15},
pmid = {38264538},
issn = {1680-8584},
abstract = {Future estimates of atmospheric pollutant concentrations serve as critical information for policy makers to formulate current policy indicators to achieve future targets. Tropospheric burden of O3 is modulated not only by anthropogenic and natural precursor emissions, but also by the downward transport of O3 associated with stratosphere to troposphere exchange (STE). Hence changes in the estimates of STE and its contributions are key to understand the nature and intensity of future ground level O3 concentrations. The difference in simulated O3 mixing ratios with and without the O3-Potential Vorticity (PV) parameterization scheme is used to represent the model estimated influence of STE on tropospheric O3 distributions. Though STE contributions remain constant in Northern hemisphere as a whole, regional differences exist with Europe (EUR) registering increased STE contribution in both spring and winter while Eastern China (ECH) reporting increased contribution in spring in 2050 (RCP8.5) as compared to 2015. Importance of climate change can be deduced from the fact that ECH and EUR recorded increased STE contribution to O3 in RCP8.5 compared to RCP4.5. Comparison of STE and non-STE meteorological process contributions to O3 due to climate change revealed that contributions of non-STE processes were highest in summer while STE contributions were highest in winter. EUR reported highest STE contribution while ECH reported highest non-STE contribution. None of the 3 regions show consistent low STE contribution due to future climate change (< 50%) in all seasons indicating the significance of STE to ground level O3.},
}
@article {pmid38264336,
year = {2024},
author = {Fang, HQ and Zhang, PF and Xu, SW and Xu, T and He, B and Wang, E and Dong, CW and Yang, QS},
title = {The ecological suitability area of Cirsium lineare (Thunb.) Sch.-Bip. under future climate change in China based on MaxEnt modeling.},
journal = {Ecology and evolution},
volume = {14},
number = {1},
pages = {e10848},
pmid = {38264336},
issn = {2045-7758},
abstract = {Many kinds of medicinal ingredients occur in Cirsium lineare that have good clinical efficacy, conferring on this species its high medicinal development value. However, with a rapidly changing global climate, it is increasingly imperative to study the factors affecting the habitat distribution and survival of species. We predicted the current and future distribution areas of suitable habitats for C. lineare, analyzed the importance of environmental variables in influencing habitat shifts, and described the alterations to suitable habitats of C. lineare in different periods (modern, 2050s, and 2070s) and scenarios (RCP2.6, RCP4.5, and RCP8.5). The results show that, under the current climate, the total suitable area of C. lineare is about 2,220,900 km[2], of which the highly suitable portion amounts to ca. 292,600 km[2]. The minimum temperature of the coldest month, annual precipitation, and mean daily temperature range are the chief environmental variables affecting the distribution of habitat for C. lineare. In the same period, with rising greenhouse gas emission concentrations, the total suitable area will increase. In general, under future climate change, the suitable habitat for C. lineare will gradually migrate to the west and north, and its total suitable area will also expand. The results of this experiment can be used for the conservation and management of the wild resources of C. lineare. We can choose suitable growth areas to protect the medicinal resources of C. lineare through in situ conservation and artificial breeding.},
}
@article {pmid38264027,
year = {2023},
author = {Li, J and Deng, C and Duan, G and Wang, Z and Zhang, Y and Fan, G},
title = {Potentially suitable habitats of Daodi goji berry in China under climate change.},
journal = {Frontiers in plant science},
volume = {14},
number = {},
pages = {1279019},
pmid = {38264027},
issn = {1664-462X},
abstract = {INTRODUCTION: Goji berry (Lycium barbarum L.) is a famous edible and medicinal herb worldwide with considerable consumption. The recent cultivation of goji berries in the Daodi region was seriously reduced due to increased production costs and the influence of policy on preventing nongrain use of arable land in China. Consequently, production of Daodi goji berry was insufficient to meet market demands for high-quality medicinal materials. Searching for regions similar to the Daodi region was necessary.<br><br>METHODS: The MaxEnt model was used to predicted the current and future potential regions suitable for goji berry in China based on the environmental characteristics of the Daodi region (including Zhongning County of Zhongwei prefecture-level city, and its surroundings), and the ArcGIS software was used to analyze the changes in its suitable region.<br><br>RESULTS: The results showed that when the parameters were FC = LQHP and RM = 2.1, the MaxEnt model was optimal, and the AUC and TSS values were greater than 0.90. The mean temperature and precipitation of the coldest quarter were the most critical variables shaping the distribution of Daodi goji berries. Under current climate conditions, the suitable habitats of the Daodi goji berry were 45,973.88 km[2], accounting for 0.48% of China's land area, which were concentrated in the central and western Ningxia Province (22,589.42 km[2]), and the central region of Gansu Province (18,787.07 km[2]) bordering western Ningxia. Under future climate scenarios, the suitable area was higher than that under current climate conditions and reached the maximum under RCP 6.0 (91,256.42 km[2]) in the 2050s and RCP 8.5 (82,459.17 km[2]) in the 2070s. The expansion regions were mainly distributed in the northeast of the current suitable ranges, and the distributional centroids were mainly shifted to the northeast. The moderately and highly suitable overlapping habitats were mainly distributed in Baiyin (7,241.75 km[2]), Zhongwei (6,757.81 km[2]), and Wuzhong (5, 236.87 km[2]) prefecture-level cities.<br><br>DISCUSSION: In this stduy, MaxEnt and ArcGIS were applied to predict and analyze the suitable habitats of Daodi goji berry in China under climate change. Our results indicate that climate warming is conducive to cultivating Daodi goji berry and will not cause a shift in the Daodi region. The goji berry produced in Baiyin could be used to satisfy the demand for high-quality medicinal materials. This study addresses the insufficient supply and guides the cultivation of Daodi goji berry.},
}
@article {pmid38263390,
year = {2024},
author = {Cordero, RR and Feron, S and Damiani, A and Carrasco, J and Karas, C and Wang, C and Kraamwinkel, CT and Beaulieu, A},
title = {Extreme fire weather in Chile driven by climate change and El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO).},
journal = {Scientific reports},
volume = {14},
number = {1},
pages = {1974},
pmid = {38263390},
issn = {2045-2322},
support = {ACT210046//Agencia Nacional de Investigaci&#xf3;n y Desarrollo/ ; },
abstract = {A string of fierce fires broke out in Chile in the austral summer 2023, just six years after the record-breaking 2017 fire season. Favored by extreme weather conditions, fire activity has dramatically risen in recent years in this Andean country. A total of 1.7 million ha. burned during the last decade, tripling figures of the prior decade. Six of the seven most destructive fire seasons on record occurred since 2014. Here, we analyze the progression during the last two decades of the weather conditions associated with increased fire risk in Central Chile (30°-39° S). Fire weather conditions (including high temperatures, low humidity, dryness, and strong winds) increase the potential for wildfires, once ignited, to rapidly spread. We show that the concurrence of El Niño and climate-fueled droughts and heatwaves boost the local fire risk and have decisively contributed to the intense fire activity recently seen in Central Chile. Our results also suggest that the tropical eastern Pacific Ocean variability modulates the seasonal fire weather in the country, driving in turn the interannual fire activity. The signature of the warm anomalies in the Niño 1 + 2 region (0°-10° S, 90° W-80° W) is apparent on the burned area records seen in Central Chile in 2017 and 2023.},
}
@article {pmid38263298,
year = {2024},
author = {Evans, M},
title = {Coping with climate change could be a matter of what building you're in.},
journal = {Nature},
volume = {625},
number = {7996},
pages = {633},
doi = {10.1038/d41586-023-03934-2},
pmid = {38263298},
issn = {1476-4687},
}
@article {pmid38263163,
year = {2024},
author = {Obringer, R and Nateghi, R and Knee, J and Madani, K and Kumar, R},
title = {Urban water and electricity demand data for understanding climate change impacts on the water-energy nexus.},
journal = {Scientific data},
volume = {11},
number = {1},
pages = {108},
pmid = {38263163},
issn = {2052-4463},
support = {1832688//National Science Foundation (NSF)/ ; 1826161//National Science Foundation (NSF)/ ; },
abstract = {As the climate crisis intensifies, it is becoming increasingly important to conduct research aimed at fully understanding the climate change impacts on various infrastructure systems. In particular, the water-electricity demand nexus is a growing area of focus. However, research on the water-electricity demand nexus requires the use of demand data, which can be difficult to obtain, especially across large spatial extents. Here, we present a dataset containing over a decade (2007-2018) of monthly water and electricity consumption data for 46 major US cities (2018 population >250,000). Additionally, we include pre-processed climate data from the North American Regional Reanalysis (NARR) to supplement studies on the relationship between the water-electricity demand nexus and the local climate. This data can be used for a number of studies that require water and/or electricity demand data across long time frames and large spatial extents. The data can also be used to evaluate the possible impacts of climate change on the water-electricity demand nexus by leveraging the relationship between the observed values.},
}
@article {pmid38262229,
year = {2024},
author = {Watson, TPG and Tong, M and Bailie, J and Ekanayake, K and Bailie, RS},
title = {Relationship between climate change and skin cancer and implications for prevention and management: a scoping review.},
journal = {Public health},
volume = {227},
number = {},
pages = {243-249},
doi = {10.1016/j.puhe.2023.12.003},
pmid = {38262229},
issn = {1476-5616},
abstract = {OBJECTIVES: This study aimed to explore the published research on the relationship between climate change and skin cancer and the implications for prevention, management and further research.<br><br>STUDY DESIGN: Scoping review.<br><br>METHODS: This scoping review following JBI methodology reviewed English articles identified in searches of MEDLINE, Embase, CINAHL, Web of Science and Scopus on 14 April 2023. The screening of articles was completed by two independent reviewers. Data were extracted by a single reviewer and checked by another. A causal pathway diagram was iteratively developed throughout the review and was used to categorise the findings.<br><br>RESULTS: The search identified 1376 papers, of which 45 were included in the final review. Nine papers reported primary research, and 36 papers were reviews, perspectives, commentaries, editorials, or essays. The papers examined climate change influencing behaviours related to ultraviolet exposure (30 papers), ambient temperature (21 papers) and air pollution (five papers) as possible risk factors; occupational, rural, and contextual factors affecting skin cancer (11 papers); and prevention and access to health care in the context of climate change (seven papers). Most papers were published in journals in subject areas other than health.<br><br>CONCLUSIONS: This review identified ultraviolet radiation, occupation, rising temperature, individual behaviour and air pollution as possible influences on skin cancer rates. Furthermore, it highlights the complexity and uncertainties in the relationship between climate change and skin cancer and the need for further research on this relationship, including primary epidemiological research and reviews that follow recognised review guidelines and include assessment of health services and social determinants in the causal pathways of this relationship.},
}
@article {pmid38261913,
year = {2024},
author = {Ullah, S and Khattak, SR and Ullah, R and Fayaz, M and Han, H and Yoo, S and Ariza-Montes, A and Raposo, A},
title = {Unveiling the global nexus: Pandemic fear, government responses, and climate change-an empirical study.},
journal = {Heliyon},
volume = {10},
number = {1},
pages = {e23815},
doi = {10.1016/j.heliyon.2023.e23815},
pmid = {38261913},
issn = {2405-8440},
abstract = {This study examined the relationships between pandemic fear, government responses, and climate change using a time-series dataset from January 1, 2020, to December 31, 2020. By employing an auto-regressive distributed lag (ARDL) approach, the results revealed that pandemic fear significantly impacts climate change, while government responses to COVID-19 negatively influence climate change in the long run. Climate change and government responses significantly positively affect pandemic fear in the long run. Moreover, we found a bidirectional causality between government responses and climate change, unidirectional causality from government responses to pandemic fear, and no Granger causality between pandemic fear and climate change. Our findings have some important policy implications. Governments must encourage coordination, enhance crisis responses, and consider revising economic metrics to maintain environmental sustainability. The COVID-19 experience can inform strategies for reducing CO2 emissions and investing in green economies and healthcare to prepare for future challenges.},
}
@article {pmid38260935,
year = {2024},
author = {de Melo Viríssimo, F and Stainforth, DA and Bröcker, J},
title = {The evolution of a non-autonomous chaotic system under non-periodic forcing: A climate change example.},
journal = {Chaos (Woodbury, N.Y.)},
volume = {34},
number = {1},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1063/5.0180870},
pmid = {38260935},
issn = {1089-7682},
abstract = {In this article, we approach the problem of measuring and interpreting the mid-term climate of a non-autonomous chaotic dynamical system in the context of climate modeling. To do so, we use a low-dimensional, conceptual model for the Earth system with different timescales of variability and subjected to non-periodic external forcing. We introduce the concepts of an evolution set and its distribution, which are dependent on the starting state of the system, and explore their links to different types of initial condition uncertainty and the rate of external forcing. We define the convergence time as the time that it takes for the evolution distribution of one of the dependent variables to lose memory of its initial condition. We suspect a connection between convergence times and the classical concept of mixing times, but the precise nature of this connection needs to be explored. These results have implications for the design of influential climate and Earth system model ensembles and raise a number of issues of mathematical interest.},
}
@article {pmid38259528,
year = {2023},
author = {Newberry Le Vay, J and Cunningham, A and Soul, L and Dave, H and Hoath, L and Lawrance, EL},
title = {Integrating mental health into climate change education to inspire climate action while safeguarding mental health.},
journal = {Frontiers in psychology},
volume = {14},
number = {},
pages = {1298623},
pmid = {38259528},
issn = {1664-1078},
abstract = {Climate change is the greatest threat humanity faces, and puts at risk the mental health and wellbeing of children and young people. Climate change education must equip children and young people with the knowledge, skills and resilience to live in an uncertain future, sustainably take relevant climate action and work in climate careers. As attention on climate change education grows, this is a critical moment for the mental health community to ensure mental health and wellbeing considerations are embedded. Critically, appropriate integration of mental health can enable these very necessary goals of equipping children and young people to live and work in a future where climate change looms large. This paper explores why promoting good mental health and wellbeing and building psychological resilience can help achieve climate change education outcomes, and why not doing so risks harming children and young people's mental health. It also explores how integrating discussions about emotions, mental health, and coping strategies within climate change education can be a route into wider discussions about mental health, to support children and young people in the context of rising mental health needs. Learning from an existing approach to promoting good mental health and wellbeing in schools (the 'whole school approach') provides the opportunity to explore one avenue through which such an integrated approach could be implemented in practice. Identifying appropriate mechanisms to integrate mental health into climate change education will require co-design and research with educators and young people, and addressing systemic barriers facing the schools sector.},
}
@article {pmid38257877,
year = {2023},
author = {Deshpande, G and Beetch, JE and Heller, JG and Naqvi, OH and Kuhn, KG},
title = {Assessing the Influence of Climate Change and Environmental Factors on the Top Tick-Borne Diseases in the United States: A Systematic Review.},
journal = {Microorganisms},
volume = {12},
number = {1},
pages = {},
doi = {10.3390/microorganisms12010050},
pmid = {38257877},
issn = {2076-2607},
abstract = {In the United States (US), tick-borne diseases (TBDs) have more than doubled in the past fifteen years and are a major contributor to the overall burden of vector-borne diseases. The most common TBDs in the US-Lyme disease, rickettsioses (including Rocky Mountain spotted fever), and anaplasmosis-have gradually shifted in recent years, resulting in increased morbidity and mortality. In this systematic review, we examined climate change and other environmental factors that have influenced the epidemiology of these TBDs in the US while highlighting the opportunities for a One Health approach to mitigating their impact. We searched Medline Plus, PUBMED, and Google Scholar for studies focused on these three TBDs in the US from January 2018 to August 2023. Data selection and extraction were completed using Covidence, and the risk of bias was assessed with the ROBINS-I tool. The review included 84 papers covering multiple states across the US. We found that climate, seasonality and temporality, and land use are important environmental factors that impact the epidemiology and patterns of TBDs. The emerging trends, influenced by environmental factors, emphasize the need for region-specific research to aid in the prediction and prevention of TBDs.},
}
@article {pmid38256775,
year = {2024},
author = {Vieira, TL and Barbosa-Silva, RG and Acosta, AL and van den Berg, C},
title = {Expanding the Distribution of Prosthechea jauana (Orchidaceae) in the Pantepui and Highlighting the Urgent Need for Conservation Strategies in the Region in Face of Climate Change.},
journal = {Plants (Basel, Switzerland)},
volume = {13},
number = {2},
pages = {},
doi = {10.3390/plants13020222},
pmid = {38256775},
issn = {2223-7747},
support = {473244/2017-4//National Council for Scientific and Technological Development/ ; },
abstract = {Prosthechea jauana has been recognized as an orchid species endemic to the Venezuelan tepui. The first record of P. jauana in Brazil is presented here, also from a tepui in the Southern phytogeographical district of Pantepui in the Serra do Aracá, at the northern border of the Amazonas state. A detailed morphological description and images of the specimen are presented, as well as an updated distribution map, preliminary conservation status assessment, and taxonomic notes about the species. In addition, we provide species' distribution models for P. jauana based on current and future bioclimatic data. Future projections suggest that the geographic distribution of P. jauana will likely be severely affected, with ~79% of its suitable habitat being reduced by 2041-2060 and ~92% by 2061-2080. Prosthechea jauana could represent a flag species and an example of how climate change may affect the endemic Pantepui flora.},
}
@article {pmid38256729,
year = {2024},
author = {Sanhueza, T and Hernández, I and Sagredo-Sáez, C and Villanueva-Guerrero, A and Alvarado, R and Mujica, MI and Fuentes-Quiroz, A and Menendez, E and Jorquera-Fontena, E and Valadares, RBDS and Herrera, H},
title = {Juvenile Plant-Microbe Interactions Modulate the Adaptation and Response of Forest Seedlings to Rapid Climate Change.},
journal = {Plants (Basel, Switzerland)},
volume = {13},
number = {2},
pages = {},
doi = {10.3390/plants13020175},
pmid = {38256729},
issn = {2223-7747},
support = {ID23I10303//Fondo de Fomento al Desarrollo Cientifico y Tecnologico/ ; DI23-0058; DI23-3009; and PP23-0038//by the Direcci&#xf3;n de Investigaci&#xf3;n Universidad de La Frontera/ ; 3200774//M.I.M thanks ANID Fondecyt/ ; },
abstract = {The negative impacts of climate change on native forest ecosystems have created challenging conditions for the sustainability of natural forest regeneration. These challenges arise primarily from abiotic stresses that affect the early stages of forest tree development. While there is extensive evidence on the diversity of juvenile microbial symbioses in agricultural and fruit crops, there is a notable lack of reports on native forest plants. This review aims to summarize the critical studies conducted on the diversity of juvenile plant-microbe interactions in forest plants and to highlight the main benefits of beneficial microorganisms in overcoming environmental stresses such as drought, high and low temperatures, metal(loid) toxicity, nutrient deficiency, and salinity. The reviewed studies have consistently demonstrated the positive effects of juvenile plant-microbiota interactions and have highlighted the potential beneficial attributes to improve plantlet development. In addition, this review discusses the beneficial attributes of managing juvenile plant-microbiota symbiosis in the context of native forest restoration, including its impact on plant responses to phytopathogens, promotion of nutrient uptake, facilitation of seedling adaptation, resource exchange through shared hyphal networks, stimulation of native soil microbial communities, and modulation of gene and protein expression to enhance adaptation to adverse environmental conditions.},
}
@article {pmid38254352,
year = {2024},
author = {van Hassel, F and Bovenkerk, B},
title = {Bringing Back a Scientific and Updated Approach to Wildlife Conservation: A Response. Reply to Beltrán, J.F.; Rodríguez-Rodríguez, E.J. Relying on Incomplete Information Can Lead to the Wrong Conclusions. Comment on "van Hassel, F.; Bovenkerk, B. How Should We Help Wild Animals Cope with Climate Change? The Case of the Iberian Lynx. Animals 2023, 13, 453".},
journal = {Animals : an open access journal from MDPI},
volume = {14},
number = {2},
pages = {},
doi = {10.3390/ani14020184},
pmid = {38254352},
issn = {2076-2615},
abstract = {We are pleased that our paper on the need to extend climate justice to animals [...].},
}
@article {pmid38261386,
year = {2022},
author = {Atwoli, L and Erhabor, GE and Gbakima, AA and Haileamlak, A and Ntumba, JK and Kigera, J and Laybourn-Langton, L and Mash, R and Muhia, J and Mulaudzi, FM and Ofori-Adjei, D and Okonofua, F and Rashidian, A and El-Adawy, M and Sidibé, S and Snouber, A and Tumwine, J and Yassien, MS and Yonga, P and Zakhama, L and Zielinski, C},
title = {COP27 Climate Change Conference: urgent action needed for Africa and the world.},
journal = {The Lancet. Rheumatology},
volume = {4},
number = {12},
pages = {e814-e816},
doi = {10.1016/S2665-9913(22)00314-9},
pmid = {38261386},
issn = {2665-9913},
}
@article {pmid38253826,
year = {2024},
author = {Jin, Z and Zhao, H and Xian, X and Li, M and Qi, Y and Guo, J and Yang, N and Lü, Z and Liu, W},
title = {Early warning and management of invasive crop pests under global warming: estimating the global geographical distribution patterns and ecological niche overlap of three Diabrotica beetles.},
journal = {Environmental science and pollution research international},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
pmid = {38253826},
issn = {1614-7499},
support = {2021YFC2600400//National Key R&amp;D Program of China/ ; caascx-2022-2025-IAS//Technology Innovation Program of Chinese Academy of Agricultural Sciences/ ; },
abstract = {Invasive alien pests (IAPs) pose a major threat to global agriculture and food production. When multiple IAPs coexist in the same habitat and use the same resources, the economic loss to local agricultural production increases. Many species of the Diabrotica genus, such as Diabrotica barberi, Diabrotica undecimpunctata, and Diabrotica virgifera, originating from the USA and Mexico, seriously damaged maize production in North America and Europe. However, the potential geographic distributions (PGDs) and degree of ecological niche overlap among the three Diabrotica beetles remain unclear; thus, the potential coexistence zone is unknown. Based on environmental and species occurrence data, we used an ensemble model (EM) to predict the PGDs and overlapping PGD of the three Diabrotica beetles. The n-dimensional hypervolumes concept was used to explore the degree of niche overlap among the three species. The EM showed better reliability than the individual models. According to the EM results, the PGDs and overlapping PGD of the three Diabrotica beetles were mainly distributed in North America, Europe, and Asia. Under the current scenario, D. virgifera has the largest PGD ranges (1615 × 10[4] km[2]). In the future, the PGD of this species will expand further and reach a maximum under the SSP5-8.5 scenario in the 2050s (2499 × 10[4] km[2]). Diabrotica virgifera showed the highest potential for invasion under the current and future global warming scenarios. Among the three studied species, the degree of ecological niche overlap was the highest for D. undecimpunctata and D. virgifera, with the highest similarity in the PGD patterns and maximum coexistence range. Under global warming, the PGDs of the three Diabrotica beetles are expected to expand to high latitudes. Identifying the PGDs of the three Diabrotica beetles provides an important reference for quarantine authorities in countries at risk of invasion worldwide to develop specific preventive measures against pests.},
}
@article {pmid38253099,
year = {2024},
author = {Bejagam, V and Sharma, A and Wei, X},
title = {Projected decline in the strength of vegetation carbon sequestration under climate change in India.},
journal = {The Science of the total environment},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {170166},
doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.170166},
pmid = {38253099},
issn = {1879-1026},
abstract = {Tropical vegetation plays a critical role in terrestrial carbon budget and supply many ecological functions such as carbon sequestration. In recent decades, India has witnessed an increase in net primary productivity (NPP), an important measure of carbon sequestration. However, uncertainties persist regarding the sustainability of these land carbon sinks in the face of climate change. The enhanced NPP is driven by the strong CO2 fertilization effect (CFE), but the temporal patterns of this feedback remain unclear. Using the carbon flux data from the Earth System Models (ESMs), an increasing trend in NPP was observed, with projections of NPP to 2.00 ± 0.12 PgCyr[-1] (25 % increase) during 2021-2049, 2.36 ± 0.12 PgCyr[-1] (18 % increase) during 2050-2079, and 2.67 ± 0.07 PgCyr[-1] (13 % increase) during 2080-2099 in Indian vegetation under SSP585 scenario. This suggests a significant decline in the NPP growth rate. To understand the feedback mechanisms driving NPP, the relative effects of CFE and warming were analyzed. Comparing simulations from the biogeochemically coupled model (BGC) with the fully coupled model, the BGC model projected a 74.7 % increase in NPP, significantly higher than the 55.9 % increase projected by the fully coupled model by the end of the century. This indicates that the consistent increase in NPP was associated with CO2 fertilization. More importantly, results reveal that the decrease in the NPP growth rate was due to the declining contribution of CFE at a rate of -0.62 % per 100 ppm CO2 increase. This decline could be attributed to factors such as nutrient limitations and high temperatures. Additionally, significant shifts in the strength of carbon sinks in offsetting the CO2 emissions were identified, decreasing at a rate of -1.15 % per decade. This decline in the strength of vegetation carbon sequestration may increase the societal dependence on mitigation measures to address climate change.},
}
@article {pmid38253093,
year = {2024},
author = {Thakur, D and Altman, J and Jandova, V and Fibich, P and Münzbergová, Z and Dolezal, J},
title = {Global warming alters Himalayan alpine shrub growth dynamics and climate sensitivity.},
journal = {The Science of the total environment},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {170252},
doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.170252},
pmid = {38253093},
issn = {1879-1026},
abstract = {Global climate change is having significant effects on plant growth patterns and mountain plants can be particularly vulnerable to accelerated warming. Rising temperatures are releasing plants from cold limitation, such as at high elevations and latitudes, but can also induce drought limitation, as documented for trees from lower elevations and latitudes. Here we test these predictions using a unique natural experiment with Himalayan alpine shrub Rhododendron anthopogon and its growth responses to changing climate over a large portion of its latitudinal and elevational ranges, including steep precipitation and temperature gradients. We determined growth dynamics during the last three decades, representing period of accelerated warming, using annual radial growth increments for nine populations growing on both wet and warm southern localities and drier and cold northern localities in the Himalayas along elevation gradients encompassing the lower and upper species range limits. A significant growth increase over past decades was observed after controlling for confounding effect of shrub age and microsites. However, the magnitude of increase varied among populations. Particularly, populations situated in the lower elevation of the northernmost (cold and dry) locality exhibited most substantial growth enhancement. The relationship between growth variability and climate varied among populations, with the populations from the coldest location displaying the strongest responsiveness to increasing minimum temperatures during July. Minimum temperatures of April and August were the most important factor limiting the growth across most populations. Potential warming-induced drought limitation had no significant impact on growth variation in any part of the species geographic range. Overall, our findings indicate that plant growth is continuously increasing in recent decades and growth-climate relationships are not consistent across populations, with populations from the coldest and wettest localities showing stronger responses. The observed patterns suggest that dwarf-shrubs benefit from ongoing warming, leading to increased shrubification of high elevation alpine ecosystems.},
}
@article {pmid38252786,
year = {2024},
author = {Rodríguez-Osiac, L and Silva-Santa Cruz, I},
title = {Climate change and malnutrition are a public health challenge.},
journal = {Medwave},
volume = {24},
number = {1},
pages = {},
doi = {10.5867/medwave.2024.01.2806},
pmid = {38252786},
issn = {0717-6384},
}
@article {pmid38250438,
year = {2023},
author = {Janni, M and Maestri, E and Gullì, M and Marmiroli, M and Marmiroli, N},
title = {Plant responses to climate change, how global warming may impact on food security: a critical review.},
journal = {Frontiers in plant science},
volume = {14},
number = {},
pages = {1297569},
pmid = {38250438},
issn = {1664-462X},
abstract = {Global agricultural production must double by 2050 to meet the demands of an increasing world human population but this challenge is further exacerbated by climate change. Environmental stress, heat, and drought are key drivers in food security and strongly impacts on crop productivity. Moreover, global warming is threatening the survival of many species including those which we rely on for food production, forcing migration of cultivation areas with further impoverishing of the environment and of the genetic variability of crop species with fall out effects on food security. This review considers the relationship of climatic changes and their bearing on sustainability of natural and agricultural ecosystems, as well as the role of omics-technologies, genomics, proteomics, metabolomics, phenomics and ionomics. The use of resource saving technologies such as precision agriculture and new fertilization technologies are discussed with a focus on their use in breeding plants with higher tolerance and adaptability and as mitigation tools for global warming and climate changes. Nevertheless, plants are exposed to multiple stresses. This study lays the basis for the proposition of a novel research paradigm which is referred to a holistic approach and that went beyond the exclusive concept of crop yield, but that included sustainability, socio-economic impacts of production, commercialization, and agroecosystem management.},
}
@article {pmid38249558,
year = {2023},
author = {Souf, IB and Saidani, M and Ben Larbi, M and M'Hamdi, N},
title = {Editorial: Farm animal welfare and climate change: methods of assessment and mitigation.},
journal = {Frontiers in veterinary science},
volume = {10},
number = {},
pages = {1343934},
pmid = {38249558},
issn = {2297-1769},
}
@article {pmid38249031,
year = {2024},
author = {Wang, K and Xu, M and Zhao, L},
title = {Plasticity of Life-History Traits and Adult Fitness of Fall Webworm in Relation to Climate Change.},
journal = {Insects},
volume = {15},
number = {1},
pages = {},
doi = {10.3390/insects15010024},
pmid = {38249031},
issn = {2075-4450},
support = {No. 32171803//National Natural Science Foundation of China/ ; },
abstract = {Temperature is an important environmental factor influencing the life-history traits of ectotherms. This study investigated the effects of larval-rearing temperature (21, 23, 25, and 27 °C) on the life-history traits and adult fitness of the fall webworm, Hyphantria cunea, an economically important invasive pest of China. With the increase in temperature during the larval stage, the larval developmental duration was significantly shortened, and the body mass was significantly increased, as was that of the body mass and size of pupae. The carbohydrate and lipid content of pupae significantly decreased with increasing larval-rearing temperature, whereas the protein content significantly increased. Adult body size and egg production increased significantly with increasing larval-rearing temperature, whereas there was no significant difference in egg diameter. These results indicate that H. cunea demonstrates life-history traits plasticity. In addition, the increase in fecundity would maintain a stable population size of H. cunea under higher temperatures. Such characteristics could enable H. cunea to spread to the more southern, warmer areas of China, posing an increased risk to the forestry industry in these regions.},
}
@article {pmid38248693,
year = {2024},
author = {Shoib, S and Das, S and Zaidi, I and Chandradasa, M},
title = {Climate change and Indigenous mental health in Australia: In the aftermath of the defeat of the Voice referendum.},
journal = {The International journal of social psychiatry},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {207640231221091},
doi = {10.1177/00207640231221091},
pmid = {38248693},
issn = {1741-2854},
abstract = {INTRODUCTION: This manuscript delves into the intricate connection between climate change and Indigenous mental health in Australia, with a focus on the aftermath of the defeat of the 'Voice' referendum. Climate change, recognized for its broad impact on mental health determinants, poses heightened risks to vulnerable communities, including Indigenous populations. The defeat of 'The Voice' referendum adds complexity, highlighting concerns about the lack of meaningful rights for the First Peoples of Australia. The bushfires further underscore ecological consequences, affecting Indigenous ecosystems and intensifying existing environmental challenges. Climate change exacerbates existing health challenges for Indigenous peoples, introducing new issues like ecological sorrow and anxiety.<br><br>METHODOLOGY: The manuscript advocates for prioritized research in Indigenous communities to explore the link between climate change and mental health. It emphasizes interdisciplinary and collaborative research, giving voice to those directly affected by climate change. The lack of trust between Indigenous populations and authorities, along with the implications on self-determination, is crucial research focus.<br><br>RESULTS: Renewable energy emerges as a potential solution deeply ingrained in Indigenous practices. The manuscript discusses challenges in achieving eco-friendly resettlement, emphasizing collaboration difficulties between the government and remote communities. The indigenous worldview, with its interconnectedness, is crucial for sustainable strategies.<br><br>Indigenous perspectives on planetary health are crucial, emphasizing the importance of Indigenous knowledge in shaping effective climate policies. The manuscript stresses dialogues between policymakers and Indigenous elders for formulating respectful land laws. It calls for global attention to the role of Indigenous peoples as biodiversity caretakers and urges recognition of their knowledge in climate change. Future directions include data collection for ecosystem protection, improving mental health outcomes post-climate events, and supporting impacted communities. Mental health care approaches in remote communities and practitioner training for climate-related issues are emphasized. The manuscript calls for increased funding for interdisciplinary research to understand the long-term impact of climate change on mental health, especially among vulnerable populations.},
}
@article {pmid38248506,
year = {2023},
author = {Rom, WN},
title = {Annals of Education: Teaching Climate Change and Global Public Health.},
journal = {International journal of environmental research and public health},
volume = {21},
number = {1},
pages = {},
doi = {10.3390/ijerph21010041},
pmid = {38248506},
issn = {1660-4601},
abstract = {The climate crisis is a health emergency: breaking temperature records every successive month, increasing mortality from hurricanes/cyclones resulting in >USD150 billion/year in damages, and mounting global loss of life from floods, droughts, and food insecurity. An entire course on climate change and global public health was envisioned, designed for students in public health, and delivered to Masters level students. The course content included the physical science behind global heating, heat waves, extreme weather disasters, arthropod-related diseases, allergies, air pollution epidemiology, melting ice and sea level rise, climate denialism, renewable energy and economics, social cost of carbon, and public policy. The methods included student engagement in presenting two air pollution epidemiological or experimental papers on fossil fuel air pollution. Second, they authored a mid-term paper on a specific topic in the climate crisis facing their locale, e.g., New York City. Third, they focused on a State, evaluating their climate change laws and their plans to harness renewable wind, solar, storage, nuclear, and geothermal energy. Students elsewhere covered regional entities' approach to renewable energy. Fourth, the global impact was presented by student teams presenting a country's nationally determined contribution to the Paris Climate Agreement. Over 200 Master's students completed the course; the participation and feedback demonstrated markedly improved knowledge and evaluation of the course over time.},
}
@article {pmid38248488,
year = {2023},
author = {Stewart, AE and Chapman, HE and Davis, JBL},
title = {Anxiety and Worry about Six Categories of Climate Change Impacts.},
journal = {International journal of environmental research and public health},
volume = {21},
number = {1},
pages = {},
doi = {10.3390/ijerph21010023},
pmid = {38248488},
issn = {1660-4601},
abstract = {The occurrence of severe and extreme weather events that have been attributed to a changed climate system and the widespread dissemination of the impacts of these events in the media can lead people to experience concern, worry, and anxiety, which we examined in two studies. In Study 1, we observed that people more frequently expressed worry than anxiety about the impacts of climate change in six areas. People were more frequently worried and anxious about the effects of climate change on future generations and about societal responses (or lack of a response) to climate change. The levels of anxiety that people expressed were significantly higher than the worry people reported when anxiety was their modal response. In Study 2, we observed that both climate change worry and anxiety were negatively correlated with psychological distance from climate change. Overall, climate change worry and psychological distance significantly predicted climate-sustainable behaviors. Our study was among the first to use developed measures of climate change worry, anxiety, and psychological distance to examine peoples' responses across some of the possible impact and consequence areas of climate change.},
}
@article {pmid38248440,
year = {2023},
author = {Bosch-Belmar, M and Milanese, M and Sarà, A and Mobilia, V and Sarà, G},
title = {Effect of Acute Thermal Stress Exposure on Ecophysiological Traits of the Mediterranean Sponge Chondrilla nucula: Implications for Climate Change.},
journal = {Biology},
volume = {13},
number = {1},
pages = {},
doi = {10.3390/biology13010009},
pmid = {38248440},
issn = {2079-7737},
support = {101060072//Erasmus+ InterMED project, and Horizon 2020 ACT- NOW project/ ; },
abstract = {As a result of climate change, the Mediterranean Sea has been exposed to an increase in the frequency and intensity of marine heat waves in the last decades, some of which caused mass mortality events of benthic invertebrates, including sponges. Sponges are an important component of benthic ecosystems and can be the dominant group in some rocky shallow-water areas in the Mediterranean Sea. In this study, we exposed the common shallow-water Mediterranean sponge Chondrilla nucula (Demospongiae: Chondrillidae) to six different temperatures for 24 h, ranging from temperatures experienced in the field during the year (15, 19, 22, 26, and 28 °C) to above normal temperatures (32 °C) and metabolic traits (respiration and clearance rate) were measured. Both respiration and clearance rates were affected by temperature. Respiration rates increased at higher temperatures but were similar between the 26 and 32 °C treatments. Clearance rates decreased at temperatures >26 °C, indicating a drop in food intake that was not reflected by respiration rates. This decline in feeding, while maintaining high respiration rates, may indicate a negative energy balance that could affect this species under chronic or repeated thermal stress exposure. C. nucula will probably be a vulnerable species under climate change conditions, affecting its metabolic performance, ecological functioning and the ecosystem services it provides.},
}
@article {pmid38248134,
year = {2024},
author = {Gianfredi, V and Mazziotta, F and Clerici, G and Astorri, E and Oliani, F and Cappellina, M and Catalini, A and Dell'Osso, BM and Pregliasco, FE and Castaldi, S and Benatti, B},
title = {Climate Change Perception and Mental Health. Results from a Systematic Review of the Literature.},
journal = {European journal of investigation in health, psychology and education},
volume = {14},
number = {1},
pages = {215-229},
doi = {10.3390/ejihpe14010014},
pmid = {38248134},
issn = {2254-9625},
abstract = {Climate change is one of the main global challenges and influences various aspects of human health. Numerous studies have indeed demonstrated an association between extreme climate-related events and physical and mental health outcomes, but little is still known about the association between the perception/awareness of climate change and mental health. In accordance with the PRISMA 2020 guidelines, a search was conducted on PubMed and Scopus. The protocol was registered on PROSPERO. The included studies were original observational studies published in English, reporting the association between the perception/awareness of climate change and mental health. A total of 3018 articles were identified. A total of 10 observational studies were included. The period covered in the included studies ranged between 2012 and 2022. Climate change perception is consistently associated with adverse mental health effects across different types of estimates. In particular, the studies identified an association between a higher level of perception/awareness of climate change and depression, anxiety, eco-anxiety, stress, adjustment disorder, substance use, dysphoria, and even thoughts of suicide. Qualitative data underscore the impact on daily activities, contributing to feelings of loss and suicidal ideation. Moreover, climate change perception correlates with lower well-being and resilience. The association between awareness of climate change and mental health is a complex and still poorly explored phenomenon. The main limitations are the high heterogeneity in terms of exposure assessment and data reporting, which hinders quantitative analysis. These results show that climate change perception impacts mental health. Better understanding the phenomenon represents an opportunity to inform public health interventions that promote mental well-being.},
}
@article {pmid38246386,
year = {2024},
author = {Zhang, T and Yang, J and Winrich, A and Will, RE and Zou, CB},
title = {Trade-off of ecosystem productivity and water use related to afforestation in southcentral USA under climate change.},
journal = {The Science of the total environment},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {170255},
doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.170255},
pmid = {38246386},
issn = {1879-1026},
abstract = {The increase of tree canopy cover due to woody plant encroachment and tree plantations modifies both carbon and water dynamics. The tradeoffs between ecosystem net primary productivity (NPP) and water use with increasing tree cover in different climate conditions, particularly under future climate scenarios, are not well understood. Within the climate transition zone of the southern Great Plains, USA, we used the Soil and Water Assessment Tool+ (SWAT+) to investigate the combined impacts of increasing tree cover and climate change on carbon and water dynamics in three watersheds representing semiarid, subhumid, and humid climates. Model simulations incorporated two land use modifications (Baseline: existing tree cover; Forest +: increasing evergreen tree cover), in conjunction with two climate change projections (the RCP45 and the RCP85), spanning two time periods (historic: 1991-2020; future: 2070-2099). With climate change, the subhumid and humid watersheds exhibited a greater increase in evapotranspiration (ET) and a corresponding reduction in runoff compared to the semi-arid watershed, while the semi-arid and subhumid watersheds encountered pronounced losses in water availability for streams (>200 mm/year) due to increasing tree cover and climate change. With every 1 % increase in tree cover, both NPP and water use efficiency were projected to increase in all three watersheds under both climate change scenarios, with the subhumid watershed demonstrating the largest increases (>0.16 Mg/ha/year and 170 %, respectively). Increasing tree cover within grasslands, either through woody plant expansion or afforestation, boosts ecosystem NPP, particularly in subhumid regions. Nevertheless, this comes with a notable decrease in water resources, a concern made worse by future climate change. While afforestation offers the potential for greater NPP, it also brings heightened water scarcity concerns, highlighting the importance of tailoring carbon sequestration strategies within specific regions to mitigate unintended repercussions on water availability.},
}
@article {pmid38244018,
year = {2024},
author = {Licari, FW and Patil, S},
title = {Climate change and the unforeseen challenges for dental practice.},
journal = {Journal of the American Dental Association (1939)},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1016/j.adaj.2023.12.005},
pmid = {38244018},
issn = {1943-4723},
}
@article {pmid38243236,
year = {2024},
author = {Sprague, NL and Uong, SP and Zonnevylle, H and Chatterjee, T and Hernández, D and Rundle, AG and Ekenga, CC},
title = {The CHANGE (Climate Health ANalysis Grading Evaluation) tool for weight of evidence reviews on climate change and health research.},
journal = {Environmental health : a global access science source},
volume = {23},
number = {1},
pages = {7},
pmid = {38243236},
issn = {1476-069X},
abstract = {BACKGROUND: Climate change has been identified as one of the biggest threats to human health. Despite this claim, there are no standardized tools that assess the rigor of published literature for use in weight of evidence (WOE) reviews. Standardized assessment tools are essential for creating clear and comparable WOE reviews. As such, we developed a standardized tool for evaluating the quality of climate change and health studies focused on evaluating studies that quantify exposure-response relationships and studies that implement and/or evaluate adaptation interventions.<br><br>METHODS: The authors explored systematic-review methodology to enhance transparency and increase efficiency in summarizing and synthesizing findings from studies on climate change and health research. The authors adapted and extended existing WOE methods to develop the CHANGE (Climate Health ANalysis Grading Evaluation) tool. The resulting assessment tool has been refined through application and subsequent team input.<br><br>RESULTS: The CHANGE tool is a two-step standardized tool for systematic review of climate change and health studies of exposure-response relationships and adaptation intervention studies. Step one of the CHANGE tool aims to classify studies included in weight-of-evidence reviews and step two assesses the quality and presence of bias in the climate change and health studies.<br><br>CONCLUSION: The application of the CHANGE tool in WOE reviews of climate change and health will lead to increased comparability, objectivity, and transparency within this research area.},
}
@article {pmid38242484,
year = {2024},
author = {Liu, Y and Zhang, X and Du, X and Du, Z and Sun, M},
title = {Alpine grassland greening on the Northern Tibetan Plateau driven by climate change and human activities considering extreme temperature and soil moisture.},
journal = {The Science of the total environment},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {169995},
doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.169995},
pmid = {38242484},
issn = {1879-1026},
abstract = {Alpine grassland is among the world's most vulnerable ecosystems, characterized by a high sensitivity to climate change (CC) and human activities (HA). Quantifying the relative contributions of CC and HA to grassland change plays a crucial role in safeguarding grassland ecological security and devising sustainable grassland management strategies. Although there were adequate studies focusing on the separate impacts of CC and HA on alpine ecosystem, insufficient attention has been given to investigating the effects of extreme temperatures and soil moisture. In this study, the spatiotemporal variations of alpine grassland were analyzed based on MODIS NDVI during the growing season from 2000 to 2020 in Naqu, using partial least squares regression and residual analysis methods to analyze the importance of climate factors and the impacts of CC and HA on grassland change. The results show that the NDVI during the growing season in Naqu exhibited an increasing trend of 0.0046/10a. At the biome scale, the most significant and rapid increase was observed in alpine desert and alpine desert grassland. Extreme temperature and soil moisture (SM) exerted a more significant importance on alpine grassland at whole scale. SM always showed a significant importance at biome and grid scale. The contributions of CC and HA to the change during the growing season were calculated as 0.0032/10a and 0.0015/10a, respectively, accounting for 68.05 % and 31.05 %. CC dominated the increase in NDVI during the growing season; HA contributed positively to NDVI in most areas of Naqu. The results are expected to enhance our understanding of grassland variations under CC and HA and provide a scientific basis for future ecological conservation in alpine regions.},
}
@article {pmid38242478,
year = {2024},
author = {Shah, S and Ilyas, M and Bian, S and Yang, FL},
title = {Discussion: Harnessing microbiome-mediated adaptations in insect pollinators to mitigate climate change impact on crop pollination.},
journal = {The Science of the total environment},
volume = {915},
number = {},
pages = {170145},
doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.170145},
pmid = {38242478},
issn = {1879-1026},
abstract = {Insect pollinators, vital for agriculture and biodiversity, face escalating threats from climate change. We argue and explore the pivotal role of the microbiomes in shaping adaptations of insect pollinator resilience amid climate-induced challenges (climate change and habitat alteration). Examining diverse taxonomic groups, we unravel the interplay between insect physiology, microbiomes, and adaptive mechanisms. Climate-driven alterations in microbiomes impact insect health, behavior, and plant interactions, posing significant effects on agricultural ecosystems. We propose harnessing microbiome-mediated adaptations as a strategic approach to mitigate climate change impacts on crop pollination. Insights into insect-pollinator microbiomes offer transformative avenues for sustainable agriculture, including probiotic interventions (use of EM PROBIOTIC) and microbiome engineering (such as engineering gut bacteria) to induce immune responses and enhanced pollination services. Integrating microbiome insights into conservation practices elucidates strategies for preserving pollinator habitats, optimizing agricultural landscapes, and developing policies to safeguard pollinator health in the face of environmental changes. Finally, we stress interdisciplinary collaboration and the urgency of understanding pollinator microbiome dynamics under climate change in future research.},
}
@article {pmid38242308,
year = {2024},
author = {Varjani, S and Vyas, S and Su, J and Siddiqui, MA and Qin, ZH and Miao, Y and Liu, Z and Ethiraj, S and Mou, JH and Ki Lin, CS},
title = {Nexus of food waste and climate change framework: Unravelling the links between impacts, projections, and emissions.},
journal = {Environmental pollution (Barking, Essex : 1987)},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {123387},
doi = {10.1016/j.envpol.2024.123387},
pmid = {38242308},
issn = {1873-6424},
abstract = {This communication explores the intricate relationship between food waste and climate change, considering aspects such as impacts, projections, and emissions. It focuses on the pressing issue of waste generation and its potential consequences if current trends persist, and emphasises the importance of efficient solid waste management in improving environmental quality and fostering economic development. It also highlights the challenges faced by developing countries in waste collection and disposal, drawing comparisons with the waste utilisation methods used by developed nations. The review delves into the link between food waste and climate change, noting the paradoxical situation of food wastage against the backdrop of global hunger and malnutrition. It underscores the scientific evidence connecting food waste to climate change and its implications for food security and climate systems. Additionally, it examines the environmental burden imposed by food waste, including its contribution to greenhouse gas emissions and the depletion of resources such as energy, water, and land. Besides environmental concerns, this communication also highlights the ethical and socioeconomic dimensions of food waste, discussing its influence on Sustainable Development Goals, poverty, and social inequality. The communication concludes by advocating for collective action and the development of successful mitigation strategies, technological solutions, and policy interventions to address food waste and its climate impacts. It emphasises the need for collaboration, awareness, and informed decision-making to ensure a more sustainable and equitable future.},
}
@article {pmid38242065,
year = {2024},
author = {Balakrishnan, JV and Bailey, RT and Jeong, J and Park, S and Abitew, T},
title = {Quantifying climate change impacts on future water resources and salinity transport in a high semi-arid watershed.},
journal = {Journal of contaminant hydrology},
volume = {261},
number = {},
pages = {104289},
doi = {10.1016/j.jconhyd.2023.104289},
pmid = {38242065},
issn = {1873-6009},
abstract = {High salinity mobilization and movement from salt-laden deposits in semi-arid landscapes impair soils and water resources worldwide. Semi-arid regions worldwide are expected to experience rising temperatures and lower precipitation, impacting water supply and spatio-temporal patterns of salinity loads and affecting downstream water quality. This study quantifies the impact of future climate on hydrologic fluxes and salt loads in the Gunnison River Watershed (GRW) (14,608 km[2]), Colorado, using the APEX-MODFLOW-Salt hydro-chemical watershed model and three different CMIP5 climate models projection downscaled by Multivariate Adaptive Constructed Analogs (MACA) for the period 2020-2099. The APEX-MODFLOW-Salt model accounts for the reactive transport of major salt ions (SO4[2-], Cl[-], CO3[2-], HCO3[-], Ca[2+], Na[+], Mg[2+], and K[+]) to streams via surface runoff, rainfall erosional runoff, soil lateral flow, quick return flow and groundwater-stream exchange. Model results are analyzed for spatial and temporal trends in water yield and salt loading pathways. Although streamflow is primarily derived from surface runoff (65%), the predominant source of salt loads is the aquifer (73%) due to elevated concentrations of groundwater salt. Annual salt loading from the watershed is 582 Mkg, approximately 10% of the salt load in the Colorado River measured at Lee's Ferry, AZ. For future climate scenarios, annual salt loads from the watershed increased between 4.1% and 9.6% from the historical period due to increased salt loading from groundwater and quick return flow. From the results, applying the APEX-MODFLOW-Salt model with downscaled future climate forcings can be a helpful modeling framework for investigating hydrology and salt mobilization, transport, and export in historical and predictive settings for salt-affected watersheds.},
}
@article {pmid38240844,
year = {2024},
author = {Günster, C and Schmuker, C},
title = {[Health and climate change-what is the potential of real-world data?].},
journal = {Bundesgesundheitsblatt, Gesundheitsforschung, Gesundheitsschutz},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
pmid = {38240844},
issn = {1437-1588},
abstract = {This article addresses the question of how climate change may affect health and to what extent real-world data can contribute to research in this topic area. Climate change is altering the environmental and living conditions of humankind, and has thus also become a relevant health problem. The increase in extreme weather events, changes in exposure to UV and air pollution, and the climate-associated spread of allergens or novel pathogens are significantly changing the spectrum of diseases and the need for medical care in the population. However, in Germany, only few findings on the consequences for the healthcare system and on particularly affected population groups exist so far. Real-world data (primary data, register data, and administrative data) in combination with environmental exposure data and other relevant data (e.g., socio-economic data) have the potential to significantly advance research on the health consequences of climate change. This paper identifies changes in environmental and living conditions and associated health risks. It describes the databases that are generally available for analysing health effects of climate change. A concrete example is used to show how individual health data (in this case claims data of the statutory health insurance), environmental exposure data and other data can be successfully combined. Finally, the article offers a comprehensive overview of open research questions that can be answered with real-world data.},
}
@article {pmid38240743,
year = {2024},
author = {Marsland, R and Staples, J},
title = {Time for a Focus on Climate Change and Health.},
journal = {Medical anthropology},
volume = {43},
number = {1},
pages = {1-4},
doi = {10.1080/01459740.2023.2293125},
pmid = {38240743},
issn = {1545-5882},
}
@article {pmid38240262,
year = {2024},
author = {Goldfarb, DS},
title = {Nephrologists should talk to their patients about climate change.},
journal = {Current opinion in nephrology and hypertension},
volume = {33},
number = {2},
pages = {170-173},
doi = {10.1097/MNH.0000000000000956},
pmid = {38240262},
issn = {1473-6543},
}
@article {pmid38237786,
year = {2024},
author = {Altman, J and Fibich, P and Trotsiuk, V and Altmanova, N},
title = {Global pattern of forest disturbances and its shift under climate change.},
journal = {The Science of the total environment},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {170117},
doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.170117},
pmid = {38237786},
issn = {1879-1026},
abstract = {Forests are continuously altered by disturbances. Yet, knowledge of global pattern of forest disturbance agents, its drivers, and shifts under changing climate remain scarce. Here we present a meta-analysis of current and projected (+2° and + 4 °C) distribution of forest disturbance agents causing immediate tree mortality (i.e., fire, pest outbreak, hydro-geomorphic, and wind) at country, continental, biome, and global scales. The model including combination of climatic (precipitation of driest quarter, actual evapotranspiration, and minimum temperature), geographical (distance to coast and topography complexity), and forest characteristics (tree density) performs better than any other model in explaining the distribution of disturbance agents (R[2] = 0.74). We provide global maps (0.5° × 0.5°) of current and potential future distribution of forest disturbance agents. Globally, the most frequent disturbance agent was fire (46.09 %), followed by pest outbreak (23.27 %), hydro-geomorphic disturbances (18.97 %), and wind (11.67 %). Our projections indicate spatially contrasting shifts in disturbance agents, with fire and wind risk increase between ~50°S and ~ 40°N under warming climate. In particular, the substantial increase in fire risk, exceeding 31 % in the most affected areas, is projected over Mediterranean, the western and southeast USA, African, Oceanian, and South American forests. On the other hand, pest outbreak and hydro-geomorphic disturbances are projected to increase in more southern (> ~ 50°S) and northern (> ~ 40°N) latitudes. Our findings are critical for understanding ongoing changes and developing mitigation strategies to maintain the ecological integrity and ecosystem services under shifts in forest disturbances. We suggest that projected shifts in the global distribution of forest disturbance agents needs to be considered to future models of vegetation or carbon sink dynamics under projected climate change.},
}
@article {pmid38236442,
year = {2024},
author = {Liu, J and Wang, M and Pang, X and Yan, X and Chen, X and Tian, J},
title = {Assessment of the response characteristics of pollution load in Huntai Basin under climate change.},
journal = {Environmental monitoring and assessment},
volume = {196},
number = {2},
pages = {173},
pmid = {38236442},
issn = {1573-2959},
abstract = {This study establishes a calibrated SWAT (Soil and Water Assessment Tool) model for the Huntai Basin, driven by SSP126, SSP245, SSP585, and multi-model ensemble (MME) models in CMIP6 (Coupled Model Intercomparison Project-6), to investigate the effects of climate change on hydrological processes and pollution load in the Huntai Basin. The results show that the annual mean temperature and the annual precipitation will gradually increase. The nitrogen and phosphorus pollution loads in the basin exhibit a trend of decreasing-increasing-decreasing. The correlation between the nitrogen-phosphorus pollution load and the hydrological process strengthens with increasing radiative forcing. In the four scenarios, CO2 is a primary driving factor that contributes greatly to nitrogen and phosphorus pollution. The main differences are in the total driving factors, and SSP126 and SSP245 are less than those of other models. The total phosphorus and total nitrogen pollution in different climate models were higher than the average level during the benchmark period, except for ammonia nitrogen pollution, which was lower. The nitrogen and phosphorus pollution in SSP126 and SSP245 modes will reach the maximum in 2040s, and the pollution in other periods will be lower than that in SSP585 and MME scenarios. In the long run, the development state between SSP126 and SSP245 may be better appropriate for the Huntai Basin's future sustainable development. This paper analyzes the occurrence and influencing factors of nitrogen and phosphorus pollution under climate change to provide reference to the protection of water environment under changing environments.},
}
@article {pmid38236429,
year = {2024},
author = {Sanz-Mas, M and Ubalde-López, M and Borràs, S and Brugueras, S and Continente, X and Daher, C and Marí-Dell'Olmo, M and López, MJ},
title = {Adapting Schools to Climate Change with Green, Blue, and Grey Measures in Barcelona: Study Protocol of a Mixed-Method Evaluation.},
journal = {Journal of urban health : bulletin of the New York Academy of Medicine},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
pmid = {38236429},
issn = {1468-2869},
support = {GBG_AS2C//Urban Innovative Actions/ ; 2017SGR1526//Ag&#xe8;ncia de Gesti&#xf3; d'Ajuts Universitaris i de Recerca/ ; CEX2018-000806-S//Ministerio de Ciencia e Innovaci&#xf3;n/ ; CEX2018-000806-S//Ministerio de Ciencia e Innovaci&#xf3;n/ ; CEX2018-000806-S//Ministerio de Ciencia e Innovaci&#xf3;n/ ; },
abstract = {Under the framework of the Urban Innovative Actions program of the European Commission, in 2020, 11 primary schools in Barcelona were transformed into climate shelters by implementing green, blue, and grey measures. Schoolyards were also opened to the local community to be used during non-school periods. Here we present the study protocol of a mixed-method approach to evaluate the effectiveness of the interventions in terms of improving environmental quality and health for users. We evaluated school level through the following: (1) quantitative pre-post quasi-experimental study, and (2) qualitative evaluation. The quantitative study included measures of (a) environmental variables (collected via low-cost and non-low-cost sensors), (b) students' health and well-being (collected via health questionnaires, attention levels test, and systematic observations), and (c) teachers' health and well-being (collected via thermal comfort measurements and health questionnaires). The qualitative methods evaluated the perceptions about the effects of the interventions among students (using Photovoice) and teachers (through focus groups). The impact of the interventions was assessed at community level during summer non-school periods through a spontaneous ethnographic approach. Data collection started in August 2019 and ended in July 2022. The evaluation provides the opportunity to identify those solutions that worked and those that need to be improved for future experiences, as well as improve the evaluation methodology and replication for these kinds of interventions.},
}
@article {pmid38235528,
year = {2024},
author = {Staples, K and Neville, PJ and Richardson, S and Oosthuizen, J},
title = {Development of a regional climate change model for Aedes vigilax and Aedes camptorhynchus (Diptera: Culicidae) in Perth, Western Australia.},
journal = {Bulletin of entomological research},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {1-14},
doi = {10.1017/S0007485323000561},
pmid = {38235528},
issn = {1475-2670},
abstract = {Mosquito-borne disease is a significant public health issue and within Australia Ross River virus (RRV) is the most reported. This study combines a mechanistic model of mosquito development for two mosquito vectors; Aedes vigilax and Aedes camptorhynchus, with climate projections from three climate models for two Representative Concentration Pathways (RCPs), to examine the possible effects of climate change and sea-level rise on a temperate tidal saltmarsh habitat in Perth, Western Australia. The projections were run under no accretion and accretion scenarios using a known mosquito habitat as a case study. This improves our understanding of the possible implications of sea-level rise, accretion and climate change for mosquito control programmes for similar habitats across temperate tidal areas found in Southwest Western Australia. The output of the model indicate that the proportion of the year mosquitoes are active increases. Population abundances of the two Aedes species increase markedly. The main drivers of changes in mosquito population abundances are increases in the frequency of inundation of the tidal wetland and size of the area inundated, increased minimum water temperature, and decreased daily temperature fluctuations as water depth increases due to sea level changes, particularly under the model with no accretion. The effects on mosquito populations are more marked for RCP 8.5 when compared to RCP 4.5 but were consistent among the three climate change models. The results indicate that Ae. vigilax is likely to be the most abundant species in 2030 and 2050, but that by 2070 Aedes camptorhynchus may become the more abundant species. This increase would put considerable pressure on existing mosquito control programmes and increase the risk of mosquito-borne disease and nuisance biting to the local community, and planning to mitigate these potential impacts should commence now.},
}
@article {pmid38234437,
year = {2024},
author = {Mikula, P and Askeyev, OV and Askeyev, AO and Askeyev, IV and Morelli, F and Menzel, A and Tryjanowski, P},
title = {Climate change is associated with asynchrony in arrival between two sympatric cuckoos and both host arrival and prey emergence.},
journal = {Royal Society open science},
volume = {11},
number = {1},
pages = {231691},
pmid = {38234437},
issn = {2054-5703},
abstract = {Matching the timing of spring arrival to the breeding grounds with hosts and prey is crucial for migratory brood parasites such as cuckoos. Previous studies have focused mostly on phenological mismatch between a single cuckoo species and its hosts but information regarding climate-driven mismatch between multiple sympatric cuckoo species and their hosts and invertebrate prey is still lacking. Here, we analysed long-term data (1988-2023) on the first arrival date of two declining migratory cuckoo species and their 14 migratory host species breeding in sympatry and prey emergence date in Tatarstan (southeast Russia). We found that the common cuckoo (Cuculus canorus; wintering in Africa) generally arrived on breeding grounds earlier than the oriental cuckoo (Cuculus optatus; wintering in southeast Asia and Australia). Both cuckoos have advanced their arrival dates over 36 years but less than their hosts, potentially resulting in an increasing arrival mismatch between cuckoos and their hosts. Moreover, cuckoo arrival advanced less than the emergence date of their prey over time. These observations indicate that climate change may disrupt co-fluctuation in the phenology of important life stages between multiple sympatric brood parasites, their hosts and prey with potential cascading consequences for population dynamics of involved species.},
}
@article {pmid38233070,
year = {2024},
author = {Muro, A and Czajkowski, S and Hall, KL and Neta, G and Weaver, SJ and D'Angelo, H},
title = {Climate Change Harm Perception Among U.S. Adults in the NCI Health Information National Trends Survey, 2022.},
journal = {American journal of health promotion : AJHP},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {8901171241228339},
doi = {10.1177/08901171241228339},
pmid = {38233070},
issn = {2168-6602},
abstract = {PURPOSE: To examine associations between 1) sociodemographics and 2) trust in health information sources with climate change harm perception.<br><br>METHODS: Weighted adjusted logistic regression models examined correlates of climate change harm perception (harm vs no harm/don't know) among a nationally representative sample of U.S. adults (2022, n = 5585).<br><br>RESULTS: Sixty-four percent of U.S. adults believed climate change will harm their health. College education (vs high school or less) (AOR 1.7, 95% CI&#x2009;1.3, 2.2) and having greater trust in doctors (AOR 1.4, 95% CI&#x2009;1.2, 1.7), scientists (aOR 1.8, 95% CI 1.6, 2.0), and government health agencies (AOR 1.7, 95% CI 1.5, 1.9) for health information were associated with believing climate change harms health. Conversely, greater trust in religious organizations was associated with 16% lower odds of believing climate change harms health (95% CI .74, .94).<br><br>CONCLUSIONS: Climate change harm perception varied by sociodemographics and trust in health information source. Health communication delivered via alternative and diverse channels could expand the reach of climate and health messaging and ultimately increase public awareness and support for measures to mitigate the health impacts of climate change.},
}
@article {pmid38232746,
year = {2024},
author = {Greenwald, R and Laures-Gore, JS and Nogueira, LM},
title = {The Intersectionality of Climate Change and Post-Stroke Aphasia.},
journal = {Seminars in speech and language},
volume = {45},
number = {1},
pages = {46-55},
doi = {10.1055/s-0043-1777858},
pmid = {38232746},
issn = {1098-9056},
abstract = {Persons with communication disabilities including persons with post-stroke aphasia (PWAs) possess a vulnerability to climate change as a result of their communication impairments. The disproportionate effects of climate change are likely to exacerbate preexisting inequities in social determinants of health. Communication disability intersecting with other characteristics subject to discrimination (e.g., race, age, sex, income) may lead to inequities in climate-related adaptive capacity. This article echoes earlier concerns related to climate change and further educates healthcare professionals about the impact of climate change on the global human population, with particular consideration of PWAs. The aims of this article are the following: (1) to broaden the understanding of aphasiologists and clinicians caring for PWAs about climate change and the contributions of human activity (anthropogenic) to this crisis; (2) to describe climate change and its impact on health; (3) to detail the intersectionality of climate and health; (4) to explore climate change and its potential effects on PWAs; and (5) to offer hope through emissions reduction, adaptation, resilience, and immediate change.},
}
@article {pmid38232434,
year = {2024},
author = {Sihombing, RI and Mondal, S and Ray, A and Lee, MA and Lu, QH},
title = {Recent global climate change effects: A study of Eleutheronema rhadinum in Chang-Yuen Ridge, Taiwan.},
journal = {Marine environmental research},
volume = {195},
number = {},
pages = {106352},
doi = {10.1016/j.marenvres.2024.106352},
pmid = {38232434},
issn = {1879-0291},
abstract = {This study investigated the potential effects of climatic oscillations on CPUE of Eleutheronema rhadinum (East Asian fourfinger threadfin), a commercially valuable fish species in East Asia. Fishery data from Chang-Yuen Ridge between 2015 and 2022 was analyzed in conjunction with four climatic oscillation indices that were lagged by up to 5 years. The results revealed a fluctuating CPUE associated with the 1-year-lagged Ocean Niño Index (ONI lag 1) and 1-year-lagged Southern Oscillation Index (SOI lag 1) suggesting a potential effect between climatic oscillation indices and East Asian fourfinger threadfin CPUE. These findings can provide insights into the association between East Asian fourfinger threadfin abundance and climatic oscillations in Chang-Yuen Ridge, Taiwan; the insights are valuable for fishery management amidst changing climate conditions.},
}
@article {pmid38233672,
year = {2024},
author = {Daoust, L},
title = {Climate change and nutritional adequacy.},
journal = {Nature food},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1038/s43016-024-00918-x},
pmid = {38233672},
issn = {2662-1355},
}
@article {pmid38232258,
year = {2023},
author = {Blanco-Villafuerte, L and Hartinger, SM},
title = {Impact of climate change on the health of peruvians: challenges and strategies for a comprehensive response.},
journal = {Revista peruana de medicina experimental y salud publica},
volume = {40},
number = {2},
pages = {130-131},
doi = {10.17843/rpmesp.2023.402.12998},
pmid = {38232258},
issn = {1726-4642},
}
@article {pmid38232072,
year = {2024},
author = {Cogen, JD and Perkins, A and Mockler, B and Barton, KS and Schwartz, A and Boos, M and Radhakrishnan, A and Rai, P and Tandon, P and Philipsborn, R and Grow, HM and , },
title = {Pediatric Resident and Program Director Views on Climate Change and Health Curricula: A Multi-Institution Study.},
journal = {Academic medicine : journal of the Association of American Medical Colleges},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1097/ACM.0000000000005633},
pmid = {38232072},
issn = {1938-808X},
abstract = {PURPOSE: The American Academy of Pediatrics emphasized in a 2007 policy statement the importance of educating trainees on the impacts of climate change on children's health, yet few studies have evaluated trainee knowledge and attitudes about climate change-related health effects in children. This multi-institution study assessed pediatric resident and program director 1) knowledge/attitudes on climate change and health, 2) perspectives on the importance of incorporating climate and health content into pediatric graduate medical education, and 3) preferred topics/activities to include in climate and health curricula.<br><br>METHOD: This mixed-methods study employed an anonymous cross-sectional survey of pediatric residents and residency program directors from Association of Pediatric Program Directors (APPD) Longitudinal Educational Assessment Research Network (LEARN)-affiliated programs. Multivariable regression models and factor analyses were used to examine associations among resident demographics and resident knowledge, attitudes, and interest in a climate change curriculum. A conventional content analysis was conducted for the open-ended responses.<br><br>RESULTS: Eighteen programs participated in the study with all program directors (100% response rate) and 663 residents (average response rate per program 53%, overall response rate 42%) completing respective surveys. Of program directors, only 3 (17%) felt very or moderately knowledgeable about the association between climate change and health impacts. The majority of residents (n = 423, 64%) agreed/strongly agreed that physicians should discuss global warming/climate change and its health effects with patients/families, while only 138 residents (21%) agreed/strongly agreed that they were comfortable talking with patients and families about these issues. Most residents (n = 498, 76%) and program directors (n = 15, 83%) agreed/strongly agreed that a climate change curriculum should be incorporated into their pediatrics training program.<br><br>CONCLUSIONS: Pediatric residents and program directors support curricula that prepares future pediatricians to address the impact of climate change on children's health; however, few programs currently offer specific training, despite identified needs.},
}
@article {pmid38232061,
year = {2024},
author = {Frisbie, SH and Mitchell, EJ and Molla, AR},
title = {Sea level rise from climate change is expected to increase the release of arsenic into Bangladesh's drinking well water by reduction and by the salt effect.},
journal = {PloS one},
volume = {19},
number = {1},
pages = {e0295172},
doi = {10.1371/journal.pone.0295172},
pmid = {38232061},
issn = {1932-6203},
abstract = {BACKGROUND: Over 165,000,000 people live in Bangladesh; approximately 97% of Bangladeshis drink well water. Approximately 49% of Bangladesh's area has drinking well water with arsenic (As) concentrations that exceed the 10 micrograms per liter (μg/L) World Health Organization (WHO) guideline. This exposure to a potent carcinogen is a significant threat to public health. About 21% of Bangladesh is flooded each year during a typical monsoon season. As climate change progresses, sea levels will continue to rise, and the area and duration of these annual floods will increase. We hypothesize that these consequences of climate change can increase the release of arsenic from sediments into Bangladesh's drinking well water.<br><br>METHODS: Drinking well water samples were collected during a national-scale survey in Bangladesh. The dissolved oxygen concentration, oxidation-reduction potential, specific conductance, pH, and temperature were measured at sampling with calibrated portable electronic sensors. The arsenic concentration was measured by the silver diethyldithiocarbamate method.<br><br>RESULTS: As the concentration of dissolved oxygen decreases, the concentration of arsenic increases (p-value = 0.0028). Relatedly, as the oxidation-reduction potential decreases, the concentration of arsenic increases (p-value = 1.3&#xd7;10-5). This suggests that arsenic is released from sediments into Bangladesh's drinking well drinking water by reduction. As the specific conductance increases, the concentration of arsenic increases (p-value = 0.023). This suggests that arsenic is also released from sediments into water by the salt effect.<br><br>CONCLUSIONS: Rising sea levels can cause a decrease in the dissolved oxygen concentration and oxidation-reduction potential of the underlying aquifer; this should increase the dissolution of insoluble arsenate (H3-xAs(V)O4x-) in sediments by reduction. This, in turn, should release soluble arsenite (H3-xAs(III)O3x-) into the drinking well water. Rising sea levels can cause an increase in the salt concentration of the underlying aquifer; this should increase the release of arsenic from sediments into the drinking well water by the salt effect.},
}
@article {pmid38231833,
year = {2023},
author = {Mertz, L},
title = {NASA Takes on Climate Change: Focusing Tech From Space to Earth.},
journal = {IEEE pulse},
volume = {14},
number = {5},
pages = {6-11},
doi = {10.1109/MPULS.2023.3344080},
pmid = {38231833},
issn = {2154-2317},
abstract = {When the Voyager 1 spacecraft was hurtling past Neptune to points beyond, its camera swung back to snap an image of Earth, a tiny spot of light in the vast, dark expanse. That 1990 image offered a stark reminder of just how vulnerable our planet is. The U.S. National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA) remains focused on space exploration today, but is also providing an Earth-side role, notably in understanding climate change and how it affects human health, and in inspiring new research and products to help people cope with varying weather patterns and the threats they bring.},
}
@article {pmid38229555,
year = {2024},
author = {Álvarez, HA and Ruano, F},
title = {Phenotypic plasticity of a winter-diapause mechanism copes with the effects of summer global warming in an ectothermic predator.},
journal = {Biology letters},
volume = {20},
number = {1},
pages = {20230481},
doi = {10.1098/rsbl.2023.0481},
pmid = {38229555},
issn = {1744-957X},
abstract = {To adapt to changes in temperature, animals tend to invest more energy in thermal tolerance to enhance survival, which can have simultaneous costs on plastic traits. Would a decrease in genetic variability, due to global warming, affect the ability of populations with existing metabolic regulatory mechanisms to cope with extreme temperatures? To address this question, we conducted a series of experiments based on the A1B scenario of global warming, assessing within-population genetic variance in (a) morphological traits, (b) metabolic rate allometries, and (c) survival of a winter-diapausing predator ectotherm. Our study focused on the lacewing species Chrysoperla pallida, using both exogamic and endogamic artificial genetic lines. We discovered that both lines use their winter-diapausing phenotype to adapt to summer extreme temperatures caused by extreme heating conditions, but the exogamic line is prone to express phenotypic plasticity in metabolic scaling, with a trade-off between body size and mandible size, i.e. larger individuals tended to develop smaller mandibles to better survive. These findings highlight the significance of substantial phenotypic plasticity and pre-existing metabolic regulatory mechanisms in enabling ectotherms to cope with potential extreme heating occurring in global warming.},
}
@article {pmid38228330,
year = {2024},
author = {Stancliffe, R and Eling, J and Barker, J},
title = {Climate change is a clear and present danger to health, says UKHSA.},
journal = {BMJ (Clinical research ed.)},
volume = {384},
number = {},
pages = {q66},
doi = {10.1136/bmj.q66},
pmid = {38228330},
issn = {1756-1833},
}
@article {pmid38228793,
year = {2024},
author = {Marmontel, M and Fleischmann, A and Val, A and Forsberg, B},
title = {Safeguard Amazon's aquatic fauna against climate change.},
journal = {Nature},
volume = {625},
number = {7995},
pages = {450},
doi = {10.1038/d41586-024-00114-8},
pmid = {38228793},
issn = {1476-4687},
}
@article {pmid38227667,
year = {2024},
author = {Hogan, JA and Domke, GM and Zhu, K and Johnson, DJ and Lichstein, JW},
title = {Climate change determines the sign of productivity trends in US forests.},
journal = {Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America},
volume = {121},
number = {4},
pages = {e2311132121},
doi = {10.1073/pnas.2311132121},
pmid = {38227667},
issn = {1091-6490},
support = {21-JV-11242305-097//USDA | U.S. Forest Service (FS)/ ; },
abstract = {Forests are integral to the global land carbon sink, which has sequestered ~30% of anthropogenic carbon emissions over recent decades. The persistence of this sink depends on the balance of positive drivers that increase ecosystem carbon storage-e.g., CO2 fertilization-and negative drivers that decrease it-e.g., intensifying disturbances. The net response of forest productivity to these drivers is uncertain due to the challenge of separating their effects from background disturbance-regrowth dynamics. We fit non-linear models to US forest inventory data (113,806 plot remeasurements in non-plantation forests from ~1999 to 2020) to quantify productivity trends while accounting for stand age, tree mortality, and harvest. Productivity trends were generally positive in the eastern United States, where climate change has been mild, and negative in the western United States, where climate change has been more severe. Productivity declines in the western United States cannot be explained by increased mortality or harvest; these declines likely reflect adverse climate-change impacts on tree growth. In the eastern United States, where data were available to partition biomass change into age-dependent and age-independent components, forest maturation and increasing productivity (likely due, at least in part, to CO2 fertilization) contributed roughly equally to biomass carbon sinks. Thus, adverse effects of climate change appear to overwhelm any positive drivers in the water-limited forests of the western United States, whereas forest maturation and positive responses to age-independent drivers contribute to eastern US carbon sinks. The future land carbon balance of forests will likely depend on the geographic extent of drought and heat stress.},
}
@article {pmid38224937,
year = {2024},
author = {Ueta, H and Kodera, S and Sugimoto, S and Hirata, A},
title = {Projection of future heat-related morbidity in three metropolitan prefectures of Japan based on large ensemble simulations of climate change under 2 °C global warming scenarios.},
journal = {Environmental research},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {118202},
doi = {10.1016/j.envres.2024.118202},
pmid = {38224937},
issn = {1096-0953},
abstract = {Recently, global warming has become a prominent topic, including its impacts on human health. The number of heat illness cases requiring ambulance transport has been strongly linked to increasing temperature and the frequency of heat waves. Thus, a potential increase in the number of cases in the future is a concern for medical resource management. In this study, we estimated the number of heat illness cases in three prefectures of Japan under 2 °C global warming scenarios, approximately corresponding to the 2040s. Based on the population composition, a regression model was used to estimate the number of heat illness cases with an input parameter of time-dependent meteorological ambient temperature or computed thermophysiological response of test subjects in large-scale computation. We generated 504 weather patterns using 2 °C global warming scenarios. The large-scale computational results show that daily amount of sweating increased twice and the core temperature increased by maximum 0.168 °C, suggesting significant heat strain. According to the regression model, the estimated number of heat illness cases in the 2040s of the three prefectures was 1.90 (95%CI: 1.35-2.38) times higher than that in the 2010s. These computational results suggest the need to manage ambulance services and medical resource allocation, including intervention for public awareness of heat illnesses. This issue will be important in other aging societies in near future.},
}
@article {pmid38224891,
year = {2024},
author = {Jiao, K and Liu, Z and Wang, W and Yu, K and Mcgrath, M and Xu, W},
title = {Carbon cycle responses to climate change across China's terrestrial ecosystem: Sensitivity and driving process.},
journal = {The Science of the total environment},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {170053},
doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.170053},
pmid = {38224891},
issn = {1879-1026},
abstract = {Investigations into the carbon cycle and how it responds to climate change at the national scale are important for a comprehensive understanding of terrestrial carbon cycle and global change issues. Contributions of carbon fluxes to the terrestrial sink and the effects on climate change are still not fully understood. In this study, we aimed to explore the relationship between ecosystem production (GPP/SIF/NDVI) and net ecosystem carbon exchange (NEE) and to investigate the sensitivity of carbon fluxes to climate change at different spatio-temporal scales. Furthermore, we sought to delve into the carbon cycle processes driven by climate stress in China since the beginning of the 21st century. To achieve these objectives, we employed correlation and sensitivity analysis techniques, utilizing a wide range of data sources including ground-based observations, remote sensing observations, atmospheric inversions, machine learning, and model simulations. Our findings indicate that NEE in most arid regions of China is primarily driven by ecosystem production. Climate variations have a greater influence on ecosystem production than respiration. Warming has negatively impacted ecosystem production in Northeast China, as well as in subtropical and tropical regions. Conversely, increased precipitation has strengthened the terrestrial carbon sink, particularly in the northern cool and dry areas. We also found that ecosystem respiration exhibits heightened sensitivity to warming in southern China. Moreover, our analysis revealed that the control of terrestrial carbon cycle by ecosystem production gradually weakens from cold/arid areas to warm/humid areas. We identified distinct temperature thresholds (ranging from 10.5 to 13.7 °C) and precipitation thresholds (approximately 1400 mm yr[-1]) for the transition from production-dominated to respiration-dominated processes. Our study provides valuable insights into the complex relationship between climate change and carbon cycle in China.},
}
@article {pmid38225426,
year = {2024},
author = {},
title = {European monitoring of genetic diversity must expand to detect impacts of climate change.},
journal = {Nature ecology &amp; evolution},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
pmid = {38225426},
issn = {2397-334X},
}
@article {pmid38225425,
year = {2024},
author = {Pearman, PB and Broennimann, O and Aavik, T and Albayrak, T and Alves, PC and Aravanopoulos, FA and Bertola, LD and Biedrzycka, A and Buzan, E and Cubric-Curik, V and Djan, M and Fedorca, A and Fuentes-Pardo, AP and Fussi, B and Godoy, JA and Gugerli, F and Hoban, S and Holderegger, R and Hvilsom, C and Iacolina, L and Kalamujic Stroil, B and Klinga, P and Konopiński, MK and Kopatz, A and Laikre, L and Lopes-Fernandes, M and McMahon, BJ and Mergeay, J and Neophytou, C and Pálsson, S and Paz-Vinas, I and Posledovich, D and Primmer, CR and Raeymaekers, JAM and Rinkevich, B and Rolečková, B and Ruņģis, D and Schuerz, L and Segelbacher, G and Kavčič Sonnenschein, K and Stefanovic, M and Thurfjell, H and Träger, S and Tsvetkov, IN and Velickovic, N and Vergeer, P and Vernesi, C and Vilà, C and Westergren, M and Zachos, FE and Guisan, A and Bruford, M},
title = {Monitoring of species' genetic diversity in Europe varies greatly and overlooks potential climate change impacts.},
journal = {Nature ecology &amp; evolution},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
pmid = {38225425},
issn = {2397-334X},
support = {PID2020-118028GB-I00//Ministerio de Econom&#xed;a, Industria y Competitividad, Gobierno de Espa&#xf1;a (Ministerio de Econom&#xed;a, Industria y Competitividad)/ ; 160022/F40 NINA//Norges Forskningsr&#xe5;d (Research Council of Norway)/ ; 2020-01290//Svenska Forskningsr&#xe5;det Formas (Swedish Research Council Formas)/ ; 2019-05503//Vetenskapsr&#xe5;det (Swedish Research Council)/ ; },
abstract = {Genetic monitoring of populations currently attracts interest in the context of the Convention on Biological Diversity but needs long-term planning and investments. However, genetic diversity has been largely neglected in biodiversity monitoring, and when addressed, it is treated separately, detached from other conservation issues, such as habitat alteration due to climate change. We report an accounting of efforts to monitor population genetic diversity in Europe (genetic monitoring effort, GME), the evaluation of which can help guide future capacity building and collaboration towards areas most in need of expanded monitoring. Overlaying GME with areas where the ranges of selected species of conservation interest approach current and future climate niche limits helps identify whether GME coincides with anticipated climate change effects on biodiversity. Our analysis suggests that country area, financial resources and conservation policy influence GME, high values of which only partially match species' joint patterns of limits to suitable climatic conditions. Populations at trailing climatic niche margins probably hold genetic diversity that is important for adaptation to changing climate. Our results illuminate the need in Europe for expanded investment in genetic monitoring across climate gradients occupied by focal species, a need arguably greatest in southeastern European countries. This need could be met in part by expanding the European Union's Birds and Habitats Directives to fully address the conservation and monitoring of genetic diversity.},
}
@article {pmid38224556,
year = {2024},
author = {Yohannessen, K},
title = {Climate change impacts childhood.},
journal = {Medwave},
volume = {24},
number = {1},
pages = {},
doi = {10.5867/medwave.2024.01.2805},
pmid = {38224556},
issn = {0717-6384},
}
@article {pmid38224060,
year = {2024},
author = {Pardon, MK and Dimmock, J and Chande, R and Kondracki, A and Reddick, B and Davis, A and Athan, A and Buoli, M and Barkin, JL},
title = {Mental health impacts of climate change and extreme weather events on mothers.},
journal = {European journal of psychotraumatology},
volume = {15},
number = {1},
pages = {2296818},
doi = {10.1080/20008066.2023.2296818},
pmid = {38224060},
issn = {2000-8066},
abstract = {Background: The perinatal period is a time of increased vulnerability for perinatal mood and anxiety disorders (PMADs). Emotional trauma is a risk factor for PMAD development and is common among survivors of extreme weather events (EWEs), which are becoming more frequent and intense as the climate crisis progresses. EWE-related stress and anxiety have not been extensively studied in the perinatal population. However, the limited available data suggest a negative impact of EWE exposure on perinatal mental health, warranting further investigation and investment.Objective: To address this knowledge gap, we interviewed new Australian mothers to understand how EWEs affect the mental health of the perinatal population.Method: Australian mothers (18 years of age or older) with a baby under 12 months of age were recruited to participate in a single virtual focus group session (seven group sessions were run in total) and complete an anonymous survey. Participants were asked questions regarding their concerns about extreme weather and its impact, as well as their general maternal functioning. Maternal functioning, depression, and climate distress were measured via the survey.Results: The study sample comprised 31 Australian mothers (Mage = 31.74, SD = 4.86), predominantly located in Queensland. Findings from the focus groups suggested six key themes; however, of focus to this study are three themes related to maternal mental health: health and well-being, helplessness and avoidant coping, and resilience and adaptation. Predominant subthemes focused on trauma resulting from EWE exposure, economic and heat concerns, social isolation, hopelessness about the future, and feelings of resilience.Conclusions: The evidence linking adverse perinatal mental health outcomes with climate change and EWEs highlights the urgent need for interventions in this context to protect perinatal mental health and well-being. By acknowledging the traumatic impact of these experiences on mothers, this study supports advocacy for policies that specifically address this issue.},
}
@article {pmid38221868,
year = {2024},
author = {Montoro, J and Antolín-Amérigo, D and Artés, M and Izquierdo-Domínguez, A and Zapata, JJ and Mur, P and Carrillo, T and Antépara, I and Feo, F and Moral, A and Valero, A},
title = {Impact of climate change-related environmental factors on the allergens production and the epidemiology and severity of allergic pathologies.},
journal = {Journal of investigational allergology &amp; clinical immunology},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {0},
doi = {10.18176/jiaci.0988},
pmid = {38221868},
issn = {1018-9068},
abstract = {BACKGROUND: Allergic disease affects up to 40% of the global adult population, a proportion that is increasing with environmental changes related to global warming.<br><br>METHODS: We undertook a systematic review of the literature to identify and evaluate the current evidence of the impact of climate change-related environmental factors on the allergen production and the epidemiology and severity of allergic pathologies. PECO criteria were established and guided the literature searches of the PubMed and Cochrane databases (Jan 1, 2016 to Dec 31, 2021). Study outcomes were categorized and grouped to facilitate data synthesis. Outcomes were classified as significant (statistical significance <0.05), non-significant (p>0.05) or undetermined (p value not reported). Study quality was assessed using MMAT analysis.<br><br>RESULTS: Of 195 studies, 40 were considered relevant and 9 of them provided data to be included in the data quantitative synthesis. Environmental factors, including the presence of pollutants, temperature, and drought, influenced the type, volume, and timing of exposure to local aeroallergens. The most relevant environmental factor was the presence of environmental pollutants, of which tropospheric ozone was the most frequently associated to changes in allergen production, prevalence, and severity of allergic disease. Also, several publications demonstrated the impact of environmental factors on the healthcare burden.<br><br>CONCLUSIONS: Climate-change related environmental factors increased allergic disease in terms of prevalence, severity, and healthcare burden due to alterations in allergen exposure (volume and type) with the presence of pollutants such as ozone being the most commonly reported driver of such increase.},
}
@article {pmid38221599,
year = {2024},
author = {Walter, TG and Bricknell, LK and Preston, RG and Crawford, EGC},
title = {Climate Change Adaptation Methods for Public Health Prevention in Australia: an Integrative Review.},
journal = {Current environmental health reports},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
pmid = {38221599},
issn = {2196-5412},
abstract = {PURPOSE OF REVIEW: Climate change poses a serious threat to human health and well-being. Australia is not immune to the public health impacts and continues to be underprepared, putting the population health at risk. However, there is a dearth in knowledge about how the Australian public health system will address the impacts of climate change.<br><br>RECENT FINDINGS: This integrative review synthesises tools, frameworks, and guidance material suitable for climate change adaptation from a preventive public health perspective. The literature search was conducted in electronic databases MEDLINE, PubMed, CINAHL, and Web of Science. Of 4507 articles identified, 19 articles met the inclusion criteria that focused on operational methods in public health and excluded the clinical context and reactive disaster response approaches. This review revealed that Australia is ill-prepared to manage climate change adverse health impacts due to ineffective adaptation strategies. The review highlights that Australia urgently requires effective adaptation strategies such as undertaking a National Adaptation Plan process and an improved understanding in managing complex health risks. Taking this action will strengthen the public health system and build health resilience especially for vulnerable populations. These findings will help understand and develop of the necessary adaptive strategies in Australia.},
}
@article {pmid38221585,
year = {2024},
author = {Marzouk, M and Azab, S},
title = {Modeling climate change adaptation for sustainable coastal zones using GIS and AHP.},
journal = {Environmental monitoring and assessment},
volume = {196},
number = {2},
pages = {147},
pmid = {38221585},
issn = {1573-2959},
abstract = {The world is currently confronting one of its biggest environmental challenges: combating climate change. Coastal zones are one of the areas thought to be most sensitive to current and future climate change threats. The paper integrates Remote Sensing (RS), Geographic Information System (GIS) techniques, and Multi-Criteria Decision Analysis (MCDA) to detect vulnerable areas from climate change impacts in coastal zones in order to recommend adaptation systems in new coastal zones that can withstand various climatic changes. The proposed decision-making framework was developed in three phases: 1) climate data collection and processing; 2) Coastal Climate Impact Assessment (CCIA) model development; and 3) implementation and adaptation system selection. The climate data collection and processing phase involves determining the most significant climate change parameters and their indicators that affect coastal zone stability, extracting climatic data indicators from different climate database sources, and prioritizing the selected indicators. The indicators' weights were estimated using the Analytical Hierarchy Process (AHP) through a questionnaire survey shared with experts in climate change impacts. A CCIA model development phase involves the formulation of the proposed model using GIS technique to discover the vulnerable areas according to the most dominant impact. The implementation and adaptation system selection phase involves the application of the framework to Al-Alamein New City in Egypt. A sensitivity analysis was conducted to measure the behavior of several climate change parameters to identify the most critical parameter for climate change in Al-Alamein New City. The results showed that the geology of the region is the most crucial component influenced by climate change. It is capable of producing a very sensitive area in the coastal zone while also taking other factors into account. When creating new urban neighborhoods, the erosion of the shoreline is the least important factor to consider. This is because coastal deterioration is caused by both the influence of metrological data on the region and the impact of human activity. Shoreline deterioration will be reduced if climate conditions are maintained while limiting the impact of human activities. To adapt to the long-term effects of climate change on coastal zones, a combination of soft and hard protection systems should be considered.},
}
@article {pmid38220075,
year = {2024},
author = {Akhter, N and Aqeel, M and Shazia, and Irshad, MK and Shehnaz, MM and Lee, SS and Noman, A and Syed, A and Bokhari, A and Bahkali, AH and Wong, LS},
title = {Differential capacity of phragmites ecotypes in remediation of inorganic contaminants in coastal ecosystems: Implications for climate change.},
journal = {Environmental research},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {118127},
doi = {10.1016/j.envres.2024.118127},
pmid = {38220075},
issn = {1096-0953},
abstract = {Remediating inorganic pollutants is an important part of protecting coastal ecosystems, which are especially at risk from the effects of climate change. Different Phragmites karka (Retz) Trin. ex Steud ecotypes were gathered from a variety of environments, and their abilities to remove inorganic contaminants from coastal wetlands were assessed. The goal is to learn how these ecotypes might help reduce the negative impacts of climate change on coastal environments. The Phragmites karka ecotype E1, found in a coastal environment in Ichkera that was impacted by residential wastewater, has higher biomass production and photosynthetic pigment content than the Phragmites karka ecotypes E2 (Kalsh) and E3 (Gatwala). Osmoprotectant accumulation was similar across ecotypes, suggesting that all were able to successfully adapt to polluted marine environments. The levels of both total soluble sugars and proteins were highest in E2. The amount of glycine betaine (GB) rose across the board, with the highest levels being found in the E3 ecotype. The study also demonstrated that differing coastal habitats significantly influenced the antioxidant activity of all ecotypes, with E1 displaying the lowest superoxide dismutase (SOD) activity, while E2 exhibited the lowest peroxidase (POD) and catalase (CAT) activities. Significant morphological changes were evident in E3, such as an expansion of the phloem, vascular bundle, and metaxylem cell areas. When compared to the E3 ecotype, the E1 and E2 ecotypes showed striking improvements across the board in leaf anatomy. Mechanistic links between architectural and physio-biochemical alterations are crucial to the ecological survival of different ecotypes of Phragmites karka in coastal environments affected by climate change. Their robustness and capacity to reduce pollution can help coastal ecosystems endure in the face of persistent climate change.},
}
@article {pmid38219874,
year = {2024},
author = {Li, WJ and Chen, PP and Sui, LY and Sun, SC},
title = {Temporal genetic variation mediated by climate change-induced salinity decline, a study on Artemia (Crustacea: Anostraca) from Kyêbxang Co, a high altitude salt lake on the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau.},
journal = {Gene},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {148160},
doi = {10.1016/j.gene.2024.148160},
pmid = {38219874},
issn = {1879-0038},
abstract = {The Qinghai-Tibet Plateau is one of the areas the richest in salt lakes and Artemia sites. As a result of climate warming and wetting, the areas of salt lakes on the plateau have been increasing, and the salinities have decreased considerably since 1990s. However, the impact of salinity change on the genetic diversity of Artemia is still unknown. Kyêbxang Co is the highest (4620 m above sea level) salt lake currently with commercial harvesting of Artemia resting eggs in the world, and harbors the largest Artemia population on the plateau. Its salinity had dropped from ∼67 ppt in 1998 to ∼39 ppt in 2019. Using 13 microsatellite markers and the mitochondrial cytochrome oxidase submit I (COI) gene, we analyzed the temporal changes of genetic diversity, effective population size and genetic structure of this Artemia population based on samples collected in 1998, 2007 and 2019. Our results revealed a steady decline of genetic diversity and significant genetic differentiation among the sampling years, which may be a consequence of genetic drift and the selection of decreased salinity. A decline of effective population size was also detected, which may be relative to the fluctuation in census population size, skewed sex ratio, and selection of the declined salinity. In 2007 and 2019, the Artemia population showed an excess of heterozygosity and significant deviation from Hardy-Weinberg Equilibrium (p < 0.001), which may be associated with the heterozygote advantage under low salinity. To comprehensively understand the impact of climate warming and wetting on Artemia populations on the plateau, further investigation with broad and intensive sampling are needed.},
}
@article {pmid38219754,
year = {2024},
author = {Araf, Y and Akter, M and Zhai, J and Zheng, C and Hossain, MG},
title = {Emerging health implications of climate change: dengue outbreaks and beyond in Bangladesh.},
journal = {The Lancet. Microbe},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1016/S2666-5247(23)00366-X},
pmid = {38219754},
issn = {2666-5247},
}
@article {pmid38218627,
year = {2024},
author = {Paek, HJ and Oh, HJ and Hove, T},
title = {Differential effects of digital media platforms on climate change risk information-sharing intention: A moderated mediation model.},
journal = {Risk analysis : an official publication of the Society for Risk Analysis},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1111/risa.14270},
pmid = {38218627},
issn = {1539-6924},
support = {HY-2022-3591//Hanyang University/ ; },
abstract = {This study analyzes the mechanisms through which risk messages about climate change lead to people's risk information-sharing intention, and how digital media platform type serves as a context that moderates those mechanisms. Our analysis is informed by the influence of presumed influence (IPI) model, and we adapt and expand that model in three ways. First, we apply the concept of perceived media reach to the context of digital media platforms, specifically news aggregators and social networking sites. Second, we integrate the two mediators of risk perception and presumed influence. Third, we examine potential moderating roles of digital media platforms in the IPI model. An online survey was conducted among 1000 South Korean adults, and a moderated mediation model (PROCESS Macro Model 59) generated the following results. (1) Perceived media reach was positively related to both mediators-risk perception and presumed influence. (2) By way of those two mediators, perceived reach significantly led to information-sharing intention. (3) Presumed influence, but not risk perception, was significantly related to information-sharing intention. (4) Digital media platforms moderated the relation between perceived reach and risk perception: the role of content-related risk perception was more pronounced in news aggregators, while the role of context-related presumed influence was greater in social networking sites. Theoretical and practical implications for risk communication are discussed.},
}
@article {pmid38218470,
year = {2024},
author = {Cai, C and Hammerman, NM and Pandolfi, JM and Duarte, CM and Agusti, S},
title = {Influence of global warming and industrialization on coral reefs: A 600-year record of elemental changes in the Eastern Red Sea.},
journal = {The Science of the total environment},
volume = {914},
number = {},
pages = {169984},
doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.169984},
pmid = {38218470},
issn = {1879-1026},
abstract = {The Red Sea has been recognized as a coral reef refugia, but it is vulnerable to warming and pollution. Here we investigated the spatial and temporal trends of 15 element concentrations in 9 coral reef sediment cores (aged from the 1460s to the 1980s AD) to study the influence of global warming and industrialization on the Eastern Red Sea coral reefs. We found Na, Ca, Cr, Fe, Co, Ni, and Sr concentrations were higher in the northern Red Sea (i.e., Yanbu), whereas Mg, P, S, Mn, and Cd concentrations were higher in the southern Red Sea (i.e., Thuwal &amp; Al Lith) reef sediments. In the central (i.e., Thuwal) to southern (i.e., Al Lith) Red Sea, the study revealed diverse temporal trends in element concentrations. However, both reef sedimentation rates (-36.4 % and -80.5 %, respectively) and elemental accumulation rates (-49.4 % for Cd to -12.2 % for Zn in Thuwal, and -86.2 % for Co to -61.4 % for Cu in Al Lith) exhibited a declining pattern over time, possibly attributed to warming-induced thermal bleaching. In the central to northern Red Sea (i.e., Yanbu), the severity of thermal bleaching is low, while the reef sedimentation rates (187 %), element concentrations (6.7 % for S to 764 % for Co; except Na, Mg, Ca, Sr, and Cd), and all elemental accumulation rates (190 % for Mg to 2697 % for Co) exponentially increased from the 1970s, probably due the rapid industrialization in Yanbu. Our study also observed increased trace metal concentrations (e.g., Cu, Zn, and Ni) in the Thuwal and Al Lith coral reefs with severe bleaching histories, consistent with previous reports that trace metals might result in decreased resistance of corals to thermal stress under warming scenarios. Our study points to the urgent need to reduce the local discharge of trace metal pollutants to protect this biodiversity hotspot.},
}
@article {pmid38216582,
year = {2024},
author = {Liu, M and Yang, L and Su, M and Gong, W and Liu, Y and Yang, J and Huang, Y and Zhao, C},
title = {Modeling the potential distribution of the energy tree species Triadica sebifera in response to climate change in China.},
journal = {Scientific reports},
volume = {14},
number = {1},
pages = {1220},
pmid = {38216582},
issn = {2045-2322},
support = {QD2021A37//the Scientific research initiation project of Mianyang Normal University/ ; QD2023A01//the Scientific research initiation project of Mianyang Normal University/ ; XNYB22-05//the Foundation of Key Laboratory of Southwest China Wildlife Resources Conservation (Ministry of Education)/ ; 2023NSFSC0140//Natural Science Foundation of Sichuan, China/ ; ESP201302//the open project from the Ecological Security and Protection Key Laboratory of Sichuan Province/ ; ESP2204//Ecological Security and Protection Key Laboratory of Sichuan Province&#xff0c;Mianyang NormalUniversity/ ; },
abstract = {As an important woody oilseed species in China, Triadica sebifera is not only concerned with the substitution of traditional energy sources, but also plays a considerable role in coping with energy shortages. Accurately predicting the potential geographic distribution of Triadica sebifera in China and understanding its ecological needs are crucial for alleviating the energy crisis and effectively implementing energy substitution strategies. In this study, the potential geographic distribution of Triadica sebifera in China at contemporary and future periods was predicted based on the distribution data of Triadica sebifera in China and the environmental factor variables by Maxent model and ArcGIS software. The combination of important factors governing the potential geographic distribution of Triadica sebifera was assessed by the contribution of environmental factor variables. The accuracy of Maxent model's predictions was assessed by AUC values, TSS values and Kappa statistics. The results show that: High AUC and TSS values indicate high accuracy and performance of the model. The crucial environmental factors limiting the potential geographic distribution of Triadica sebifera are the temperature factor (mean air temperature of the driest quarter), precipitation factor (precipitation of the coldest quarter, precipitation of the wettest month), and the intensity of human activities (hf). The total suitable area for Triadica sebifera is 233.64 × 10[4] km[2], primarily located in Yunnan, Sichuan, Hubei, Guizhou, Jiangxi, Guangdong province and Guangxi Zhuang Autonomous Region; its high suitability area is 30.89 × 10[4] km[2], accounting for 13.22% of the total suitable area, mainly distributed in Jiangxi, Sichuan and Hunan provinces in the shape of a cake. Under the four typical greenhouse gas emission concentration patterns in the 2050s and 2070s, the areas of high and medium suitable areas for Triadica sebifera will increase, while the area of its low suitable area will decrease. However, the total suitable area will remain relatively unchanged. Its potential suitable habitats show a trend of shifting towards lower latitudes and southeast regions. The study predicted the pattern of Triadica sebifera under different climate change conditions, which can provide guidance for future cultivation of Triadica sebifera as well as for biofuel development and utilization.},
}
@article {pmid38215724,
year = {2024},
author = {Mazzola, G and Patterson, D and Tahzib, F},
title = {Public health role in litigation to address climate change.},
journal = {European journal of public health},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1093/eurpub/ckad221},
pmid = {38215724},
issn = {1464-360X},
}
@article {pmid38213328,
year = {2024},
author = {Vásquez, VN and Kueppers, LM and Rašić, G and Marshall, JM},
title = {Erratum: Publisher Correction: wMel replacement of dengue-competent mosquitoes is robust to near-term climate change.},
journal = {Nature climate change},
volume = {14},
number = {1},
pages = {106},
doi = {10.1038/s41558-023-01797-z},
pmid = {38213328},
issn = {1758-678X},
abstract = {[This corrects the article DOI: 10.1038/s41558-023-01746-w.].},
}
@article {pmid38212575,
year = {2024},
author = {Chen, Y and Möth, S and Winter, S and Willemen, L and Schwarz, N},
title = {Exploring Winegrowers' Behaviours and Ecological Impacts Under Climate Change and Policy Scenarios-Examples from Three European Winegrowing Regions.},
journal = {Environmental management},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
pmid = {38212575},
issn = {1432-1009},
support = {E10004//Netherlands Organisation for Scientific Research (NWO)/ ; E10004//Netherlands Organisation for Scientific Research (NWO)/ ; E10004//Netherlands Organisation for Scientific Research (NWO)/ ; I 4025-B32//Austrian Science Fund/ ; I 4025-B32//Austrian Science Fund/ ; },
abstract = {Viticulture is an example of a socio-ecological system that poses serious challenges for sustainable soil management and pesticide use, with various interactions between winegrowers' decision-making and ecological consequences. This study introduces an agent-based model (ABM) on winegrowers' decision on inter-row management and pesticide use. The ABM builds upon an empirical study of winegrowers' decision-making in European viticultural landscapes and has been built for three case study regions: Leithaberg (Austria), Palatinate (Germany) and Târnave (Romania). The ABM allows for analysing potential effects of policy instruments including mandatory vegetation cover in the inter-rows, the reduction of fungicide use and ban of insecticides against Lobesia botrana. The effects of policies differ between the case study regions, indicating how important the local context is for effective policies. For example, policies aiming at higher inter-row vegetation cover had the strongest effects on vegetation cover, landscape aesthetics and soil loss in Târnave since many vineyards are currently intensively tilled and there exist no policies supporting inter-row vegetation cover in Romania.},
}
@article {pmid38212426,
year = {2024},
author = {Cho, MS and Park, J},
title = {Spatiotemporal lake area changes influenced by climate change over 40 years in the Korean Peninsula.},
journal = {Scientific reports},
volume = {14},
number = {1},
pages = {1144},
pmid = {38212426},
issn = {2045-2322},
abstract = {Water resources in lakes of the Korean Peninsula play a significant role in society and ecosystems in both South and North Korea. This study characterized spatiotemporal changes in the lake area during the dry season (March-May) in the Korean Peninsula over the last 40 years. The satellite images (Landsat 5-9) were used to derive annual areas of 975 lakes during the dry season from 1984 to 2023. Our analysis indicated that the MNDWI is the optimal remote sensing-based index for delineating lake areas in the Korean Peninsula, with an overall accuracy of 92.3%. Based on the selected index, the total lake areas of the dry seasons have increased from 1070.7 km[2] in 1984 to 1659.3 km[2] in 2023, mainly due to newly constructed dam reservoirs. While the detailed changes in lake area vary, we found divergent results based on their sizes. The large lakes (> 10 km[2]) showed their area increased by 0.0473 km[2] (0.1%) every year and have more influences from climate change. On the contrary, the small lakes (≤ 10 km[2]) have area decreases by 0.0006-0.006 km[2] (0.15-0.5%) every year and have less influence from climate change. This study shows that the spatiotemporal lake area changes are determined by either climate change or human activity.},
}
@article {pmid38211866,
year = {2024},
author = {Siddique, MT and García Molinos, J},
title = {Risk from future climate change to Pakistan's protected area network: A composite analysis for hotspot identification.},
journal = {The Science of the total environment},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {169948},
doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.169948},
pmid = {38211866},
issn = {1879-1026},
abstract = {As climate change becomes a primary driver of global ecosystem deterioration and biodiversity loss, protected areas (PAs) are posed to play a crucial conservation role. At a global scale, 17 % of land is currently covered by PAs; a figure expected to reach 30 % by 2030 under the UN post-2020 global biodiversity framework. However, focusing only on the percent coverage of PAs without assessing their efficacy may not accomplish the intended conservation goals. Here, we present the first assessment of the risk from climate change to existing PAs and non-protected lands across Pakistan by combining data on the local exposure and vulnerability of 409 species of birds, mammals, reptiles and amphibians to multidimensional changes in climate by mid (2040-2060) and late (2061-2080) century under two climate emission scenarios (RCP4.5 and RCP8.5). We find that between 7 % (2050 RCP4.5) and 19 % (2080 RCP8.5) of the current network of PAs, mostly located in the eastern and southeastern parts of the country, are projected to be under future extreme risk (i.e., highly exposed areas containing highly vulnerable communities). Importantly, hotspots of risk within these PAs are projected to significantly expand over time and with increasing severity of the scenario. In contrast, PAs in the northern part of the country are projected to remain under moderate to low risk. Results are subject to variability across the country reflecting interesting differences in climate change exposure and species vulnerability between protected and non-protected lands. Importantly, significantly lower level of risks from future climate change are projected for PAs than non-protected lands across emission scenarios and periods suggesting potential candidate areas for the future expansion of the country's PA network. Our analysis provides novel insights that can help inform conservation decisions and management at a time when the country is investing in ambitious efforts to expand its network of protected areas.},
}
@article {pmid38207135,
year = {2024},
author = {Peschel, AR and Shaw, RG},
title = {Comparing the Predicted versus Realized Rate of Adaptation of Chamaecrista fasciculata to Climate Change.},
journal = {The American naturalist},
volume = {203},
number = {1},
pages = {14-27},
doi = {10.1086/727507},
pmid = {38207135},
issn = {1537-5323},
abstract = {AbstractFisher's fundamental theorem of natural selection (FTNS) can be used in a quantitative genetics framework to predict the rate of adaptation in populations. Here, we estimated the capacity for a wild population of the annual legume Chamaecrista fasciculata to adapt to future environments and compared predicted and realized rates of adaptation. We planted pedigreed seeds from one population into three prairie reconstructions along an east-to-west decreasing precipitation gradient. The FTNS predicted adaptation at all sites, but we found a response to selection that was smaller at the home and westernmost sites and maladaptive at the middle site because of changes in the selective environment between generations. However, mean fitness of the progeny generation at the home and westernmost sites exceeded population replacement, which suggests that the environment was sufficiently favorable to promote population persistence. More studies employing the FTNS are needed to clarify the degree to which predictions of the rate of adaptation are realized and its utility in the conservation of populations at risk of extinction from climate change.},
}
@article {pmid38205585,
year = {2024},
author = {Slingo, JM and Slingo, ME},
title = {The science of climate change and the effect of anaesthetic gas emissions.},
journal = {Anaesthesia},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1111/anae.16189},
pmid = {38205585},
issn = {1365-2044},
abstract = {The dedication of the international anaesthetic community to reducing the environmental impact of healthcare is important and to be celebrated. When this is underpinned by robust science, it has the potential to make a real difference. However, volatile anaesthetic agents have been widely promoted in the medical literature as damaging to the climate, leading to a drive to remove them from clinical practice. This is based on notional 'CO2 -equivalent' values created using the simple emission metric known as the global warming potential. Here, we assert that when proper consideration is given to the science of climate change, volatile anaesthetic gas emissions cannot be simply equated to real carbon dioxide emissions, and that their climate impact is vanishingly small. This paper gives anaesthetists a framework to make informed choices founded on climate science and calls for attention to be refocused on the urgent need to reduce the real carbon dioxide emissions associated with healthcare.},
}
@article {pmid38205028,
year = {2024},
author = {Wood Hansen, O and van den Bergh, J},
title = {Environmental problem shifting from climate change mitigation: A mapping review.},
journal = {PNAS nexus},
volume = {3},
number = {1},
pages = {pgad448},
pmid = {38205028},
issn = {2752-6542},
abstract = {Climate change mitigation will trigger major changes in human activity, energy systems, and material use, potentially shifting pressure from climate change to other environmental problems. We provide a comprehensive overview of such "environmental problem shifting" (EPS). While there is considerable research on this issue, studies are scattered across research fields and use a wide range of terms with blurred conceptual boundaries, such as trade-off, side effect, and spillover. We identify 506 relevant studies on EPS of which 311 are empirical, 47 are conceptual-theoretical, and 148 are synthetic studies or reviews of a particular mitigation option. A systematic mapping of the empirical studies reveals 128 distinct shifts from 22 categories of mitigation options to 10 environmental impacts. A comparison with the recent IPCC report indicates that EPS literature does not cover all mitigation options. Moreover, some studies systematically overestimate EPS by not accounting for the environmental benefits of reduced climate change. We propose to conceptually clarify the different ways of estimating EPS by distinguishing between gross, net, and relative shifting. Finally, the ubiquity of EPS calls for policy design which ensures climate change mitigation that minimizes unsustainability across multiple environmental dimensions. To achieve this, policymakers can regulate mitigation options-for example, in their choice of technology or location-and implement complementary environmental policies.},
}
@article {pmid38202431,
year = {2023},
author = {Ainsworth, A and Drake, DR},
title = {Hawaiian Treeline Ecotones: Implications for Plant Community Conservation under Climate Change.},
journal = {Plants (Basel, Switzerland)},
volume = {13},
number = {1},
pages = {},
pmid = {38202431},
issn = {2223-7747},
support = {(http://pi-casc.soest.hawaii.edu/index.php)//Pacific Islands Climate Adaptation Science Center/ ; (http://www.botany.hawaii.edu/)//University of Hawai'i at M&#x101;noa Botany Department/ ; (https://www.nps.gov/training/hoalstmagrant.htm)//National Park Service Albright-Wirth Grant/ ; },
abstract = {Species within tropical alpine treeline ecotones are predicted to be especially sensitive to climate variability because this zone represents tree species' altitudinal limits. Hawaiian volcanoes have distinct treeline ecotones driven by trade wind inversions. The local climate is changing, but little is known about how this influences treeline vegetation. To predict future impacts of climate variability on treelines, we must define the range of variation in treeline ecotone characteristics. Previous studies highlighted an abrupt transition between subalpine grasslands and wet forest on windward Haleakalā, but this site does not represent the diversity of treeline ecotones among volcanoes, lava substrates, and local climatic conditions. To capture this diversity, we used data from 225 plots spanning treelines (1500-2500 m) on Haleakalā and Mauna Loa to characterize ecotonal plant communities. Treeline indicator species differ by moisture and temperature, with common native species important for wet forest, subalpine woodland, and subalpine shrubland. The frequency or abundance of community indicator species may be better predictors of shifting local climates than the presence or absence of tree life forms per se. This study further supports the hypothesis that changes in available moisture, rather than temperature, will dictate the future trajectory of Hawaiian treeline ecotone communities.},
}
@article {pmid38202376,
year = {2023},
author = {Lal, R and Chauhan, S and Kaur, A and Jaryan, V and Kohli, RK and Singh, R and Singh, HP and Kaur, S and Batish, DR},
title = {Projected Impacts of Climate Change on the Range Expansion of the Invasive Straggler Daisy (Calyptocarpus vialis) in the Northwestern Indian Himalayan Region.},
journal = {Plants (Basel, Switzerland)},
volume = {13},
number = {1},
pages = {},
pmid = {38202376},
issn = {2223-7747},
abstract = {Human-induced climate change modifies plant species distribution, reorganizing ecologically suitable habitats for invasive species. In this study, we identified the environmental factors that are important for the spread of Calyptocarpus vialis, an emerging invasive weed in the northwestern Indian Himalayan Region (IHR), along with possible habitats of the weed under current climatic scenarios and potential range expansion under several representative concentration pathways (RCPs) using MaxEnt niche modeling. The prediction had a high AUC (area under the curve) value of 0.894 ± 0.010 and a remarkable correlation between the test and expected omission rates. BIO15 (precipitation seasonality; 38.8%) and BIO1 (annual mean temperature; 35.7%) had the greatest impact on the probable distribution of C. vialis, followed by elevation (11.7%) and landcover (6.3%). The findings show that, unlike the current situation, "high" and "very high" suitability areas would rise while less-suited habitats would disappear. All RCPs (2.6, 4.5, 6.0, and 8.5) indicate the expansion of C. vialis in "high" suitability areas, but RCP 4.5 predicts contraction, and RCPs 2.6, 6.0, and 8.5 predict expansion in "very high" probability areas. The current distribution of C. vialis is 21.59% of the total area of the state, with "medium" to "high" invasion suitability, but under the RCP 8.5 scenario, it might grow by 10% by 2070. The study also reveals that C. vialis may expand its niche at both lower and higher elevations. This study clarifies how bioclimatic and topographic factors affect the dispersion of invasive species in the biodiverse IHR. Policymakers and land-use managers can utilize the data to monitor C. vialis hotspots and develop scientifically sound management methods.},
}
@article {pmid38201183,
year = {2024},
author = {Erdogan, S and Kartal, MT and Pata, UK},
title = {Does Climate Change Cause an Upsurge in Food Prices?.},
journal = {Foods (Basel, Switzerland)},
volume = {13},
number = {1},
pages = {},
pmid = {38201183},
issn = {2304-8158},
abstract = {Climate change is the reason behind most contemporary economic problems. The rising inflationary pressures in the food sector are one of these problems, and stable food prices are a necessity for economic development and social cohesion in societies. Therefore, this study analyzes the relationship between food prices and climate change in Nigeria by using various non-linear and quantile-based methods and data from 2008m5 to 2020m12. The empirical findings indicate that (i) there is a time- and frequency-based dependence between food prices and some explanatory variables, including climate change (i.e., temperature). (ii) At higher quantiles, temperature, oil prices, food exports, monetary expansion, global food prices, agricultural prices, and fertilizer prices stimulate food prices. (iii) The increase in food prices due to the rise in temperature and the difficulties in agriculture indicate that the heatflation phenomenon is present in Nigeria. The evidence outlines that Nigerian decisionmakers should adopt a national food security policy that considers environmental, agricultural, and monetary factors to stabilize food prices.},
}
@article {pmid38200803,
year = {2023},
author = {Sake, B and Volkmann, N and Kemper, N and Schulz, J},
title = {Heat Stress Trends in Regions of Intensive Turkey Production in Germany-A Challenge in Times of Climate Change.},
journal = {Animals : an open access journal from MDPI},
volume = {14},
number = {1},
pages = {},
pmid = {38200803},
issn = {2076-2615},
support = {n.a.//Tierseuchenkasse Niedersachsen/ ; },
abstract = {This study analyzed trends of enthalpy and the temperature-humidity index (THI) over a period of 50 years in outer air, which lead to severe heat stress in turkeys. Weather station data from 15 German districts with high densities of turkey production were used to investigate the heat input into the barns. Therefore, the parameters of enthalpy and THI with specified thresholds were used for heat stress assessment. Trends in extreme weather situations where these thresholds were exceeded were analyzed and tested for significance using the Mann-Kendall test. In all districts, the heat load increased between 1973 and 2022 for both parameters. Statistically significant heat stress trends were found in 9 of the 15 districts for enthalpy and 14 out of 15 districts for THI. Thus, the established THI thresholds seem to be more sensitive for the detection of heat stress than the chosen enthalpy values. As heat stress is an important issue and a rising concern in times of climate change, farmers and constructors of farm animal facilities should take this into account in future sustainable work.},
}
@article {pmid38199377,
year = {2024},
author = {Allegri, E and Zanetti, M and Torresan, S and Critto, A},
title = {Pluvial flood risk assessment for 2021-2050 under climate change scenarios in the Metropolitan City of Venice.},
journal = {The Science of the total environment},
volume = {914},
number = {},
pages = {169925},
doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.169925},
pmid = {38199377},
issn = {1879-1026},
abstract = {Pluvial flood is a natural hazard occurring from extreme rainfall events that affect millions of people around the world, causing damages to their properties and lives. The magnitude of projected climate risks indicates the urgency of putting in place actions to increase climate resilience. Through this study, we develop a Machine Learning (ML) model to predict pluvial flood risk under Representative Concentration Pathways (RCP) 4.5 and 8.5 for future scenarios of precipitation for the period 2021-2050, considering different triggering factors and precipitation patterns. The analysis is focused on the case study area of the Metropolitan City of Venice (MCV) and considers 212 historical pluvial flood events occurred in the timeframe 1995-2020. The methodology developed implements spatio-temporal constraints in the ML model to improve pluvial flood risk prediction under future scenarios of climate change. Accordingly, a cross-validation approach was applied to frame a model able to predict pluvial flood at any time and space. This was complemented with historical pluvial flood data and the selection of nine triggering factors representative of territorial features that contribute to pluvial flood events. Logistic Regression was the most reliable model, with the highest AUC score, providing robust result both in the validation and test set. Maximum cumulative rainfall of 14 days was the most important feature contributing to pluvial flood occurrence. The final output is represented by a suite of risk maps of the flood-prone areas in the MCV for each quarter of the year for the period 1995-2020 based on historical data, and risk maps for each quarter of the period 2021-2050 under RCP4.5 and 8.5 of future precipitation scenarios. Overall, the results underline a consistent increase in extreme events (i.e., very high and extremely high risk of pluvial flooding) under the more catastrophic scenario RCP8.5 for future decades compared to the baseline.},
}
@article {pmid38198451,
year = {2024},
author = {Ji, H and Wei, X and Ma, D and Wang, X and Liu, Q},
title = {Predicting the global potential distribution of two major vectors of Rocky Mountain Spotted Fever under conditions of global climate change.},
journal = {PLoS neglected tropical diseases},
volume = {18},
number = {1},
pages = {e0011883},
doi = {10.1371/journal.pntd.0011883},
pmid = {38198451},
issn = {1935-2735},
abstract = {Rocky Mountain spotted fever is a tick-borne disease that is highly dangerous but often overlooked by the public. To prevent the spread of the disease, it is important to understand the distribution patterns of its vectors' suitable areas. This study aims to explore the potential global suitability of areas for the vectors of Rocky Mountain spotted fever, including Dermacentor variabilis and Amblyomma cajennense under both historical and future climate scenarios. The study also seeks to investigate the impact of climatic factors on the distribution patterns of these vectors. Data on species distribution were downloaded from the Global Biodiversity Information Facility, Web of Science and PubMed database. The climatic variables were downloaded from WorldClim Global Climate Database. The Maximum Entropy Model was used to evaluate the contribution of monthly precipitation, monthly maximum temperature, monthly minimum temperature, elevation, and nineteen other climatic variables to vector survival, as well as to predict the suitable area for the vectors. We found that D. variabilis is distributed in North America, while A. cajennense is mainly distributed in South America, but all other continents except Antarctica have a suitable distribution. D. variabilis is more likely to survive in temperate regions, and A. cajennense is more likely to survive in tropical zones. D. variabilis is more sensitive to temperature, whereas A. cajennense is sensitive to both temperature and precipitation, and A. cajennense prefers tropical regions with hot and humid characteristics. The high suitable areas of both vectors were almost expanded in the ssp5-8.5 scenario, but not so much in the ssp1-2.6 scenario. Highly suitable areas with vectors survival should be strengthened with additional testing to prevent related diseases from occurring, and other highly suitable areas should be alert for entry and exit monitoring to prevent invasion and colonization of vectors.},
}
@article {pmid38198444,
year = {2024},
author = {Mohanty, RB and Mishra, AK and Mishra, K and Yadava, AK and Quamar, MF and Barua, IC and Kar, R},
title = {Early onset of aridity in the past millennium: Insights from vegetation dynamics and climate change in the alpine, cold-desert region of Trans Himalaya, India.},
journal = {PloS one},
volume = {19},
number = {1},
pages = {e0295785},
pmid = {38198444},
issn = {1932-6203},
mesh = {*Climate Change ; Himalayas ; India ; *Advance Directives ; Cognition ; Trees ; },
abstract = {Palynological analysis of surface soil and sub-surface sediments from the outwash plain of Hamtah Glacier, Lahaul-Spiti, India, has brought out the vegetation and climatic changes in the area during the last 1580 years. The arboreal and non-arboreal pollen ratio (AP/NAP) has been used to demarcate the different vegetation and climatic zones, complemented by the frequencies of the broad-leaved taxa. Lower values of thermophilous, broad-leaved arboreal taxa, indicate that the region experienced cold-arid conditions between 1580 and 1330 yr BP (AD 370-620); which can be related to the Dark Ages Cold Period (DACP). Thereafter, between 1330 and 950 yr BP (AD 620-1000), a rejuvenation of the broad-leaved elements reflects the initiation of a comparatively warm and moist phase, marking the Medieval Climatic Anomaly (MCA) in the region. The warm-moist phase was, however, short-lived, and from 950 yr BP to the Present (AD 1000 onwards), the region saw a return to cold-arid conditions, as evidenced by a sharp fall in the AP/NAP ratio. This cold-arid phase was, nevertheless, punctuated by a warm-moist period during 790 to 680 yr BP (AD 1160-1270), which marks the terminal phase of the MCA. After the termination of the MCA, the Little Ice Age (LIA) is well-marked in the area. The culmination of the long cold-arid regime is characterized by warmer conditions over the last 160 years, which is the manifestation of the Current Warm Period (CWP). Magnetic susceptibility (χlf) and sediment geochemistry (Weathering Index of Parker) were also attempted to have a multi-proxy approach, and show a general compatibility with the palynological data. The palaeoclimatic evidences suggest shorter warm periods and extended colder phases during the last 1580 years; in this high-altitude, cold-desert, Trans Himalayan region.},
}
@article {pmid38196071,
year = {2024},
author = {Kumar, S and Prabhakar, M and Bhardwaj, DR and Thakur, CL and Kumar, J and Sharma, P},
title = {Altitudinal and aspect-driven variations in soil carbon storage potential in sub-tropical Himalayan forest ecosystem: assisting nature to combat climate change.},
journal = {Environmental monitoring and assessment},
volume = {196},
number = {2},
pages = {126},
pmid = {38196071},
issn = {1573-2959},
mesh = {Carbon ; *Climate Change ; *Ecosystem ; Environmental Monitoring ; Forests ; Nitrogen ; Soil ; },
abstract = {Forest soils serve as the greatest sink of terrestrial carbon (C) and have a significant impact on worldwide or regional C cycling. By reducing emissions and enhancing the C storage in forests, the environmental monitoring function of a forest ecosystem may be ensured. The study focused on measuring the densities of major nutrients in soil to gain insight into the C and nitrogen dynamics of the Himalayan sub-tropical forest ecosystem of India besides supplementing the information about the C storage potential of these forest soils. The study examined the physico-chemical properties and nutrient densities across three altitudinal ranges viz., 600-800 m (A1), 800-1000 m (A2) and 1000-1200 m (A3) and two aspects, i.e. Northern (N) and Southern (S) in a randomized complete block design and data collection was done from 24 main sample plots (3 altitudinal ranges × 2 aspects × 4 replications). The soil pH, electrical conductivity, and bulk density observed a decreasing pattern with an increase in altitude, whereas a reverse trend was observed in soil organic C (SOC), total nitrogen and available phosphorus. The SOC and total nitrogen densities ranged from 20.08 to 48.35 Mg ha[-1] and 2.56 to 4.01 Mg ha[-1], respectively in an increasing trend from A1 to A3. The northern aspect exhibited significantly higher SOC and nitrogen densities than the southern aspects. The C storage potential of forest soils followed the order A1 < A2 < A3 with significantly higher potential (nearly 1.5 times) compared to those on the southern aspect. There was a consistently significant increase in the C:N ratio (CNR) with a maximum value (10.51) at A3 and minimum value (8.37) at A1, however the effect of aspect remained insignificant. This research underscores the importance of considering altitude and aspect when planning forest restoration efforts, as these factors have a substantial influence on soil properties, C storage potential and CNR. Understanding the significance of CNR is critical, as it serves as a key indicator of greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions from forest soils. Ultimately, these findings empower policymakers and conservationists to make informed decisions that can contribute to the sustainable management of Himalayan forests and the global fight against climate change.},
}
@article {pmid38191706,
year = {2024},
author = {Wong, C},
title = {Antibiotic resistance is a growing threat - is climate change making it worse?.},
journal = {Nature},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
pmid = {38191706},
issn = {1476-4687},
}
@article {pmid38191355,
year = {2024},
author = {Hieronimi, A and O'Reilly, F and Schneider, M and Wermuth, I and Schulte-Körne, G and Lagally, L and Bose-O'Reilly, S and Danay, E},
title = {A Germany-wide survey of caregiving professionals on climate change and mental health of children and adolescents - factors influencing their relevance rating of extreme weather event associated mental health impairments.},
journal = {BMC public health},
volume = {24},
number = {1},
pages = {120},
pmid = {38191355},
issn = {1471-2458},
mesh = {Child ; Humans ; Adolescent ; Mental Health ; Climate Change ; *Extreme Weather ; *Intellectual Disability ; Germany/epidemiology ; },
abstract = {INTRODUCTION: Climate change presents a significant risk for the mental and physical health of young people. In order to identify and properly care for potential mental health impairments from extreme weather events, the relevance of these impairments must be assessed as high by the professional groups providing care for children and adolescents. This raises the question of which factors influence the individual relevance assessment of caretaking professionals?<br><br>METHODS: Data was collected creating and conducting a Germany-wide online questionnaire via LimeSurvey. The questionnaire was addressed to professionals providing care for children and adolescents, in this case medical and therapeutic personnel as well as school and pedagogical personnel. Professional associations, chief physicians and school principals were contacted as multipliers and asked to forward the questionnaire to their members and staff. The data was analyzed using the R statistical software, and multiple linear regressions were performed to test the hypotheses.<br><br>RESULTS: Overall, 648 questionnaires were taken into analysis. Approximately 70% of the participants considered climate change-induced impacts on the mental health of children and adolescents due to extreme weather events as relevant. Experiencing heat, storm, heavy precipitation, flood/flooding, and/or avalanches/mudflows made a modest yet significant contribution to explaining higher relevance assessments. In contrast, there was no evidence to suggest that an urban working environment increases the relevance assessment.<br><br>CONCLUSION: The described influence of experiencing extreme weather events should not be regarded as the sole factor leading to higher relevance ratings. A more comprehensive understanding of the factors influencing relevance assessments is necessary to address key aspects of risk communication and increase risk awareness.},
}
@article {pmid38190897,
year = {2024},
author = {Grossi, F and Lagasio, M and Napoli, A and Provenzale, A and Tepsich, P},
title = {Phytoplankton spring bloom in the NW Mediterranean Sea under climate change.},
journal = {The Science of the total environment},
volume = {914},
number = {},
pages = {169884},
doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.169884},
pmid = {38190897},
issn = {1879-1026},
abstract = {The spring phytoplankton bloom is the main event influencing ecosystem richness in the pelagic realm of the Northwestern Mediterranean Sea (NW Med Sea). The Marine Strategy Framework Directive requires the achievement of a good ecological status for the pelagic habitat, and phytoplankton bloom phenology has been used as an indicator of the status of offshore waters. In this work we investigate interannual changes in the timing and magnitude of the phytoplankton bloom in the NW Med Sea, using phenological metrics. Daily maps of Chl-a concentration from 1998 to 2022 obtained by CMEMS were used to analyse bloom phenological metrics in 5 representative sites in the area. Chlorophyll-a data from 1998 to 2007 were used for determining the climatological behaviour, while 2008-2022 was identified as the study period. For this latter period, yearly spring bloom were identified and interannual variability and overall trends were analysed for each of the phenological metrics considered. Winter oceanographic and meteorological data were analysed to investigate possible correlations with the subsequent spring bloom. The frequency of anomalous years is increasing, both for bloom intensity and sea temperature. Bloom analysis revealed a negative trend only in some areas, but a steep decrease in the last 7 years was noticeable for all sites considered. Correlations of the Chl-a concentration during bloom with oceanographic variables revealed the importance of temperature, both marine and atmospheric, while Mixed Layer Depth played a lesser role. This work contributes to a better understanding of the dynamics of an area already under severe threat from human activities.},
}
@article {pmid38190876,
year = {2024},
author = {Carneiro, IM and Széchy, MTM and Bertocci, I and Paiva, PC},
title = {Impact of a nuclear power station effluent on marine forests: A case study in SE Brazil and insights for global warming scenarios.},
journal = {Environmental pollution (Barking, Essex : 1987)},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {123323},
doi = {10.1016/j.envpol.2024.123323},
pmid = {38190876},
issn = {1873-6424},
abstract = {One of the main disturbances caused by coastal nuclear power plants is the discharge of thermal effluents capable of affecting a number of marine systems, including macroalgal forests that support key ecosystem services such as carbon uptake, fisheries increment and coastal protection. This study aimed at describing the long-term trend (1992-2022) in the abundance of Sargassum forests from sites located inside and outside areas affected by the thermal effluent discharged by the Brazilian Nuclear Power Station (BNPS) and at evaluating the relationship between Sargassum cover and different components of seawater. This information is interesting to provide insights on whether and how Sargassum populations would likely be affected by increasing temperature due to climate change. We detected a long-term decline in Sargassum cover inside, but not outside the area affected by the BNPS thermal plume. Mean summer surface seawater temperature above 30 °C was identified as an important factor driving the decline of Sargassum abundance, confirming experimental data for Sargassum populations from other regions of the Brazilian coast. This study highlights the impact caused by decades of discharge of the BNPS thermal effluent on Sargassum forests, which leads to predict the likely disappearance of marine forests under a climate change scenario in other sites situated in warm temperate regions.},
}
@article {pmid38190290,
year = {2024},
author = {Logie, CH and Toccalino, D and MacKenzie, F and Hasham, A and Narasimhan, M and Donkers, H and Lorimer, N and Malama, K},
title = {Associations between climate change-related factors and sexual health: A scoping review.},
journal = {Global public health},
volume = {19},
number = {1},
pages = {2299718},
doi = {10.1080/17441692.2023.2299718},
pmid = {38190290},
issn = {1744-1706},
mesh = {Humans ; *Sexual Health ; *Sexually Transmitted Diseases/epidemiology ; Climate Change ; *HIV Infections/epidemiology ; Sex Education ; },
abstract = {There is growing attention to the ways in which climate change may affect sexual health, yet key knowledge gaps remain across global contexts and climate issues. In response, we conducted a scoping review to examine the literature on associations between climate change and sexual health. We searched five databases (May 2021, September 2022). We reviewed 3,183 non-duplicate records for inclusion; n = 83 articles met inclusion criteria. Of these articles, n = 30 focused on HIV and other STIs, n = 52 focused on sexual and gender-based violence (GBV), and n = 1 focused on comprehensive sexuality education. Thematic analysis revealed that hurricanes, drought, temperature variation, flooding, and storms may influence HIV outcomes among people with HIV by constraining access to antiretroviral treatment and worsening mental health. Climate change was associated with HIV/STI testing barriers and worsened economic conditions that elevated HIV exposure (e.g. transactional sex). Findings varied regarding associations between GBV with storms and drought, yet most studies examining flooding, extreme temperatures, and bushfires reported positive associations with GBV. Future climate change research can examine understudied sexual health domains and a range of climate-related issues (e.g. heat waves, deforestation) for their relevance to sexual health. Climate-resilient sexual health approaches can integrate extreme weather events into programming.},
}
@article {pmid38189102,
year = {2024},
author = {Hamlaci Baskaya, Y and Unlu Bidik, N and Yolcu, B},
title = {The effect of level of anxiety about climate change on the use of feminine hygiene products.},
journal = {International journal of gynaecology and obstetrics: the official organ of the International Federation of Gynaecology and Obstetrics},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1002/ijgo.15324},
pmid = {38189102},
issn = {1879-3479},
support = {//T&#xfc;rkiye Bilimsel ve Teknolojik Ara&#x15f;t&#x131;rma Kurumu/ ; },
abstract = {OBJECTIVE: The purpose of this study was to evaluate the relationship between women's menstrual hygiene product use and their level of concern around climate change as well as to identify the variables influencing this relationship.<br><br>METHODS: In all, 978 women between the ages of 18 and 49 who were of reproductive age participated in this descriptive cross-sectional study. The CHERRIES criteria were followed in conducting the online survey. Data were gathered using the "personal information form" and the Climate Change Anxiety Scale for Women's Health The data were analyzed using descriptive analysis, multiple linear regression, and logistic regression.<br><br>RESULTS: Women were more prone to using throwaway goods than eco-friendly, sanitary goods when their climate change worry level was lower. Age, education level, region of residence, and the intensity of menstrual bleeding have an impact on the hygiene products used during the menstrual cycle, whereas environmental pollution in the area of residence and a woman's allergy status have an impact on the level of climate change anxiety concerning a woman's health.<br><br>CONCLUSION: Women who are worried about how climate change will affect their health prefer to purchase sustainable/eco-friendly items. Starting in adolescence, women can receive advice about the use of sustainable products from health experts who are primarily responsible for women's health.},
}
@article {pmid38187346,
year = {2024},
author = {Gyimah, J and Hayford, IS and Nyantakyi, G and Adu, PS and Batasuma, S and Yao, X},
title = {The era of global warming mitigation: The role of financial inclusion, globalization and governance institutions.},
journal = {Heliyon},
volume = {10},
number = {1},
pages = {e23471},
pmid = {38187346},
issn = {2405-8440},
abstract = {Several efforts have been undertaken by environmentalists, nations, and various international organizations towards the fight against carbon emissions. The continuity of the environment has been one of the main concerns of the international system and state and non-state actors and government institutions are encouraged to play their roles effectively. Therefore, the study assesses the effect of financial inclusion, globalization, and government institutions on carbon emissions. The study used data from 1996 to 2021 and employed FMOLS model for the analysis. The findings of the study confirm the pollution halo hypothesis implying globalization promotes environmental sustainability. However, financial inclusion and government institutions have no significant effect on global warming mitigation. Nevertheless, institutional governance encourages global warming while political stability promotes the fight against global warming, the effect of economic governance is not significant. Renewable energy and economic growth exhibit positive and negative effect, respectively, on environmental sustainability. The findings suggest the encouragement of the rule of law, political stability, and an effective low carbon trading system as part of the policy implications.},
}
@article {pmid38187286,
year = {2024},
author = {Mellisse, BT and Tolera, M and Derese, A},
title = {Traditional homegardens change to perennial monocropping of khat (Catha edulis) reduced woody species and enset conservation and climate change mitigation potentials of the Wondo Genet landscape of southern Ethiopia.},
journal = {Heliyon},
volume = {10},
number = {1},
pages = {e23631},
pmid = {38187286},
issn = {2405-8440},
abstract = {Smallholder farmers in the Wondo Genet were forced to switch from long-standing, diverse traditional home gardens to monoculture khat production due to increasing population pressure-induced farmland constraints. The composition of woody species and the biomass carbon stock are thought to drop as homegardens transition from polyculture to monoculture; however there is little quantitative evidence to support this claim. This study was started to assess the effects on woody species, enset, and biomass carbon of converting traditional homegardens to a fast spreading perennial monocropping of khat (Catha edulis Forskal). In 10 m × 10 m (100m2) plots from 43 farms with neighboring land use patterns for each homegarden and khat, woody species and enset were inventoried, the total number of tree, shrub, and enset species counted, as well as the height and diameter of each species measured. To determine the biomass carbon stock of each land use type, both general and species-specific allometric equations are used. Simpson's diversity index, Shannon-Wiener, and Shannon equitability were used to evaluate the diversity of enset and woody species. There were 27 different types of woody species identified, with trees making up 67 % of the total and shrubs accounting for 33 %. Shannon, Simpson, and the richness of woody species all decreased by 46 %, 51 %, and 38 %, respectively, in comparison to residential gardens. For homegardens and khat, respectively, the mean Evenness values were 0.876 and 0.539. In homegardens, Coffea arabica was the most valuable woody species, followed by Cordia africana Lam, Persea americana, Eucalyptus camaldulensis, and Grevillea Robusta. In contrast, Catha edulis was the most valuable woody species in the Khat land use type, followed by Coffea arabica, Croton macrostachyus Del, and Cordia africana. In comparison to homegardens, the above-ground, below-ground, and total biomass carbon reported in khat land use types were reduced by 18 %, 63 %, and 42 %, respectively. Grevillea and Eucalyptus species made up 51 % of the total biomass carbon stock in the homegardens, which suggests that khat and quickly expanding fast-growing plants have displaced native woody species.Understanding the long-term effects of agro-biodiversity loss requires greater research on the implications of the decline in woody species diversity and biomass carbon stock on soil fertility and sustainable farming. This is due to the numerous functions that woody species and enset play.},
}
@article {pmid38185141,
year = {2024},
author = {Penserini, L and Moretti, A and Mainardis, M and Cantoni, B and Antonelli, M},
title = {Tackling climate change through wastewater reuse in agriculture: A prioritization methodology.},
journal = {The Science of the total environment},
volume = {914},
number = {},
pages = {169862},
doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2023.169862},
pmid = {38185141},
issn = {1879-1026},
abstract = {Water shortages, exacerbated by climate change, are posing a major global challenge, particularly impacting the agricultural sector. A growing interest is raised towards reclaimed wastewater (RWW) as an alternative irrigation source, capable of exploiting also the nutrient content through the fertigation practice. However, a prioritization methodology for selecting the most appropriate wastewater treatment plants (WWTPs) for implementing direct RWW reuse is currently missing. Such prioritization would benefit water utilities, often managing several WWTPs, and policymakers in optimizing economic asset allocation. In this work, a prioritization framework is proposed to evaluate WWTPs' suitability for implementing direct RWW reuse considering both WWTP and surrounding territory characteristics. This procedure consists of four key steps. Firstly, a techno-economic model was developed, in which monthly mass balances on water and nutrients are solved by matching crop requirements, rainfall conditions, and effluent characteristics. Economic suitability was quantified considering economic benefits due to savings in freshwater resource, mineral fertilizers and avoided greenhouse gases emissions, but also losses in crop yield due to RWW salinity content. Secondly, a classification procedure was coded to select representative WWTPs among a set of WWTPs, based on their size, presence of nutrient removal processes, and type of crops in their surroundings. The techno-economic model was then applied to these selected WWTPs. Thirdly, input parameters' relevance in determining WWTP suitability for RWW reuse was ranked. Finally, scenario analyses were conducted to study the influence of rainfall patterns and nutrient treatment removal on the RWW reuse feasibility. The type of crops surrounding the WWTPs and RWW salinity content resulted to be crucial elements in determining WWTPs suitability for RWW reuse implementation. The proposed methodology proved to be an effective support tool for policymakers and water utilities to assess the techno-economic feasibility of direct RWW reuse, generalizing results to several combinations of WWTPs and crops.},
}
@article {pmid38184618,
year = {2024},
author = {Lenton, TM and Abrams, JF and Bartsch, A and Bathiany, S and Boulton, CA and Buxton, JE and Conversi, A and Cunliffe, AM and Hebden, S and Lavergne, T and Poulter, B and Shepherd, A and Smith, T and Swingedouw, D and Winkelmann, R and Boers, N},
title = {Remotely sensing potential climate change tipping points across scales.},
journal = {Nature communications},
volume = {15},
number = {1},
pages = {343},
pmid = {38184618},
issn = {2041-1723},
support = {RPG-2018-046//Leverhulme Trust/ ; RPG-2018-046//Leverhulme Trust/ ; RPG-2018-046//Leverhulme Trust/ ; 4000123681/18/INB//European Space Agency (ESA)/ ; 951288//EC | EC Seventh Framework Programm | FP7 Ideas: European Research Council (FP7-IDEAS-ERC - Specific Programme: "Ideas" Implementing the Seventh Framework Programme of the European Community for Research, Technological Development and Demonstration Activities (2007 to 2013))/ ; 820970//EC | Horizon 2020 Framework Programme (EU Framework Programme for Research and Innovation H2020)/ ; 820970//EC | Horizon 2020 Framework Programme (EU Framework Programme for Research and Innovation H2020)/ ; 01LS2001A//Bundesministerium f&#xfc;r Bildung und Forschung (Federal Ministry of Education and Research)/ ; 01LS2001A//Bundesministerium f&#xfc;r Bildung und Forschung (Federal Ministry of Education and Research)/ ; 956170//EC | EU Framework Programme for Research and Innovation H2020 | H2020 Priority Excellent Science | H2020 Marie Sk&#x142;odowska-Curie Actions (H2020 Excellent Science - Marie Sk&#x142;odowska-Curie Actions)/ ; },
abstract = {Potential climate tipping points pose a growing risk for societies, and policy is calling for improved anticipation of them. Satellite remote sensing can play a unique role in identifying and anticipating tipping phenomena across scales. Where satellite records are too short for temporal early warning of tipping points, complementary spatial indicators can leverage the exceptional spatial-temporal coverage of remotely sensed data to detect changing resilience of vulnerable systems. Combining Earth observation with Earth system models can improve process-based understanding of tipping points, their interactions, and potential tipping cascades. Such fine-resolution sensing can support climate tipping point risk management across scales.},
}
@article {pmid38184245,
year = {2024},
author = {Wu, A and Xiong, X and Zhou, G and Barmon, M and Li, A and Tang, X and Liu, J and Zhang, Q and Liu, S and Chu, G and Zhang, D},
title = {Climate change-related biodiversity fluctuations and composition changes in an old-growth subtropical forest: A 26-yr study.},
journal = {The Science of the total environment},
volume = {914},
number = {},
pages = {169899},
doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.169899},
pmid = {38184245},
issn = {1879-1026},
abstract = {The detection and attribution of biodiversity change is of great scientific interest and central to policy effects aimed at meeting biodiversity targets. Yet, how such a diverse climate scenarios influence forest biodiversity and composition dynamics remains unclear, particularly in high diversity systems of subtropical forests. Here we used data collected from the permanent sample plot spanning 26 years in an old-growth subtropical forest. Combining various climatic events (extreme drought, subsequent drought, warming, and windstorm), we analyzed long-term dynamics in multiple metrics: richness, turnover, density, abundance, reordering and stability. We did not observe consistent and directional trends in species richness under various climatic scenarios. Still, drought and windstorm events either reduced species gains or increased species loss, ultimately increased species turnover. Tree density increased significantly over time as a result of rapid increase in smaller individuals due to mortality in larger trees. Climate events caused rapid changes in dominant populations due to a handful of species undergoing strong increases or declines in abundance over time simultaneously. Species abundance composition underwent significant changes, particularly in the presence of drought and windstorm events. High variance ratio and species synchrony weaken community stability under various climate stress. Our study demonstrates that all processes underlying forest community composition changes often occur simultaneously and are equally affected by climate events, necessitating a holistic approach to quantifying community changes. By recognizing the interconnected nature of these processes, future research should accelerate comprehensive understanding and predicting of how forest vegetation responds to global climate change.},
}
@article {pmid38183918,
year = {2024},
author = {Demiralay, S and Wang, Y and Chen, C},
title = {Geopolitical risks and climate change stocks.},
journal = {Journal of environmental management},
volume = {352},
number = {},
pages = {119995},
doi = {10.1016/j.jenvman.2023.119995},
pmid = {38183918},
issn = {1095-8630},
abstract = {This paper aims to examine the impact of geopolitical risk (GPR), threats (GPT) and acts (GPA) on returns and volatilities of regional climate change stocks under different market conditions, employing quantile regressions. Our main results suggest that climate change stock returns positively (negatively) respond to GPR in bullish (bearish) market states, however the effect is not uniform across the regions. The volatilities mainly show a positive response to geopolitical tensions; geopolitical acts appear to have a more pronounced impact on volatilities than geopolitical threats. We further find that GPR leads to higher volatility during the Russia-Ukraine war, creating heightened uncertainty. Overall, the results reveal that geopolitical risks have an asymmetric and heterogenous impact on climate change stocks. The results provide significant insights and implications for financial market participants and policy makers.},
}
@article {pmid38179074,
year = {2024},
author = {Dickinson, ER and McFarland, C and Toïgo, C and Michael Scantlebury, D and Stephens, PA and Marks, NJ and Morgan, ER},
title = {Host movement dominates the predicted effects of climate change on parasite transmission between wild and domestic mountain ungulates.},
journal = {Royal Society open science},
volume = {11},
number = {1},
pages = {230469},
pmid = {38179074},
issn = {2054-5703},
abstract = {Climate change is shifting the transmission of parasites, which is determined by host density, ambient temperature and moisture. These shifts can lead to increased pressure from parasites, in wild and domestic animals, and can impact the effectiveness of parasite control strategies. Understanding the interactive effects of climate on host movement and parasite life histories will enable targeted parasite management, to ensure livestock productivity and avoid additional stress on wildlife populations. To assess complex outcomes under climate change, we applied a gastrointestinal nematode transmission model to a montane wildlife-livestock system, based on host movement and changes in abiotic factors due to elevation, comparing projected climate change scenarios with the historic climate. The wildlife host, Alpine ibex (Capra ibex ibex), undergoes seasonal elevational migration, and livestock are grazed during the summer for eight weeks. Total parasite infection pressure was more sensitive to host movement than to the direct effect of climatic conditions on parasite availability. Extended livestock grazing is predicted to increase parasite exposure for wildlife. These results demonstrate that movement of different host species should be considered when predicting the effects of climate change on parasite transmission, and can inform decisions to support wildlife and livestock health.},
}
@article {pmid38177137,
year = {2024},
author = {Lachs, L and Donner, SD and Mumby, PJ and Bythell, JC and Humanes, A and East, HK and Guest, JR},
title = {Author Correction: Emergent increase in coral thermal tolerance reduces mass bleaching under climate change.},
journal = {Nature communications},
volume = {15},
number = {1},
pages = {281},
doi = {10.1038/s41467-023-44537-9},
pmid = {38177137},
issn = {2041-1723},
}
@article {pmid38176779,
year = {2024},
author = {Ziska, LH},
title = {Climate change, plant composition, and human nutrition.},
journal = {The American journal of clinical nutrition},
volume = {119},
number = {1},
pages = {3-4},
doi = {10.1016/j.ajcnut.2023.11.002},
pmid = {38176779},
issn = {1938-3207},
mesh = {Humans ; *Climate Change ; *Nutritional Status ; Plants ; },
}
@article {pmid38176553,
year = {2024},
author = {Filippini, M and Segadelli, S and Dinelli, E and Failoni, M and Stumpp, C and Vignaroli, G and Casati, T and Tiboni, B and Gargini, A},
title = {Hydrogeological assessment of a major spring discharging from a calcarenitic aquifer with implications on resilience to climate change.},
journal = {The Science of the total environment},
volume = {913},
number = {},
pages = {169770},
doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2023.169770},
pmid = {38176553},
issn = {1879-1026},
abstract = {Groundwater is a vital source of freshwater, serving ecological, environmental, and societal needs. In regions with springs as a predominant source, such as the Northern Apennines (Italy), resilience of these springs to climate-induced recharge changes is crucial for water supply and ecosystem preservation. In this study, Nadìa Spring in the Northern Apennines is examined through an unprecedented array of multidisciplinary analyses to understand its resilience and unique characteristics. The Nadìa Spring's exceptional response, characterized by a sustained base flow even in the face of drought, is attributed to a combination of factors including a substantial groundwater reservoir, a complex network of faults/fractures, slope instabilities, and karst dissolution. The investigation reveals a dual porosity system in the aquifer, consisting of fast-flow conduits and a diffuse fracture network. While fast-flow conduits contribute to rapid responses during high-flow conditions, the diffuse system becomes predominant during low-flow periods. This dual porosity structure helps the spring maintain a consistent base flow in the face of climate-induced recharge fluctuations. The study shows that Nadìa Spring exhibits remarkable resilience to year-to-year variations in recharge, as evidenced by stable minimum discharge values. While the spring has undergone a decline in discharge over the past century due to long-term climate change, it is becoming more resilient over interdecadal timescales due to transition to a diffuse drainage system that mitigates the impact of reduced recharge. The availability of a century-long spring discharge monitoring was a crucial piece of information for understanding the spring's discharge response and drawing conclusions about its long-term resilience to recharge fluctuations. Continuing long-term monitoring and research in the future will be essential to validate and expand upon these findings in the context of changing climatic conditions. This research serves as a model for assessing strategic groundwater discharge points in geological settings similar to the Northern Apennines.},
}
@article {pmid38176406,
year = {2024},
author = {Carl, J and Abu-Omar, K and Bernard, P and Lohmann, J and White, P and Peters, J and Sahlqvist, S and Ma, J and Duncan, M and Barnett, LM},
title = {Physical Literacy in the Context of Climate Change: Is There a Need for Further Refinement of the Concept?.},
journal = {Journal of physical activity &amp; health},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {1-4},
doi = {10.1123/jpah.2023-0714},
pmid = {38176406},
issn = {1543-5474},
abstract = {The concept of physical literacy (PL) has witnessed enormous popularity in recent years and has undergone substantial theoretical evolvement during the last 2 decades. However, the research field pertaining to PL has not yet initiated discussions around the challenges of climate change and the alignment with conceptualizations of planetary health. Therefore, we argue that the consideration of an "ecological domain" for individual physical activity, in the form of ecological awareness, would further evolve the concept. We illustrate how to potentially integrate adjustments within the most frequent PL definitions of the field (eg, those in Australia, Canada, England, Ireland, the United States, or by the International Physical Literacy Association) without questioning the entire integrity of these elaborate conceptualizations. An ecological domain of PL would not only interact with the postulated physical, cognitive, psychological/affective, and social domains of PL but also have important implications for the (re)design of interventions and practices in physical activity contexts. We call the scientific community, both on national and international scales, to intensify the discussions and initiate a research agenda involving an "ecological domain" of PL.},
}
@article {pmid38175881,
year = {2024},
author = {Sidik, S},
title = {Plant waste buried at sea to fight climate change.},
journal = {Science (New York, N.Y.)},
volume = {383},
number = {6678},
pages = {11-12},
doi = {10.1126/science.adn8377},
pmid = {38175881},
issn = {1095-9203},
abstract = {Carbon in forestry or agriculture debris could remain locked on sea floor for centuries.},
}
@article {pmid38175830,
year = {2024},
author = {Hannah, E and Etter-Phoya, R and Lopez, M and Hall, S and O'Hare, B},
title = {Impact of higher-income countries on child health in lower-income countries from a climate change perspective. A case study of the UK and Malawi.},
journal = {PLOS global public health},
volume = {4},
number = {1},
pages = {e0002721},
pmid = {38175830},
issn = {2767-3375},
abstract = {Climate change is the number one threat to child health according to the World Health Organisation. It increases existing inequalities, and lower-income countries are disproportionately affected. This is unjust. Higher-income countries have contributed and continue to contribute more to climate change than lower-income countries. This has been recognised by the United Nations Committee on the Rights of the Child, which has ruled that states can be held responsible if their carbon emissions harm child rights both within and outside their jurisdiction. Nevertheless, there are few analyses of the bilateral relationship between higher- and lower-income countries concerning climate change. This article uses the UK and Malawi as a case study to illustrate higher-income countries' impact on child health in lower-income countries. It aims to assist higher-income countries in developing more targeted policies. Children in Malawi can expect more food insecurity and reduced access to clean water, sanitation, and education. They will be more exposed to heat stress, droughts, floods, air pollution and life-threatening diseases, such as malaria. In 2019, 5,000 Malawian children died from air pollution (17% of under-five deaths). The UK needs to pay its 'fair share' of climate finance and ensure adaptation is prioritised for lower-income countries. It can advocate for more equitable and transparent allocation of climate finance to support the most vulnerable countries. Additionally, the UK can act domestically to curtail revenue losses in Malawi and other lower-income countries, which would free up resources for adaptation. In terms of mitigation, the UK must increase its nationally determined commitments by 58% to reach net zero and include overseas emissions. Land use, heating systems and renewable energy must be reviewed. It must mandate comprehensive scope three emission reporting for companies to include impacts along their value chain, and support businesses, multinational corporations, and banks to reach net zero.},
}
@article {pmid38175631,
year = {2024},
author = {Ebi, KL and Hess, JJ},
title = {Introduction to JAMA Climate Change and Health Series.},
journal = {JAMA},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1001/jama.2023.25878},
pmid = {38175631},
issn = {1538-3598},
}
@article {pmid38175629,
year = {2024},
author = {McDermott, MM and Bibbins-Domingo, K},
title = {Climate Change and Health-A New JAMA Series.},
journal = {JAMA},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1001/jama.2023.27809},
pmid = {38175629},
issn = {1538-3598},
}
@article {pmid38174047,
year = {2023},
author = {Poczai, P and D'Agostino, N and Deanna, R and Portis, E},
title = {Editorial: Solanaceae VIII: biodiversity, climate change and breeding.},
journal = {Frontiers in genetics},
volume = {14},
number = {},
pages = {1348372},
pmid = {38174047},
issn = {1664-8021},
}
@article {pmid38171455,
year = {2024},
author = {Russo, D and Jones, G and Polizzi, M and Meola, V and Cistrone, L},
title = {Higher and bigger: How riparian bats react to climate change.},
journal = {The Science of the total environment},
volume = {913},
number = {},
pages = {169733},
doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2023.169733},
pmid = {38171455},
issn = {1879-1026},
abstract = {The altitudinal distribution of animals and changes in their body size are effective indicators of climate change. Bats are sensitive to climate change due to their dependence on temperature during critical life stages. However, long-term studies documenting responses over extended periods are rare. We present a 24-year investigation of Myotis daubentonii, a riparian bat known for altitudinal sexual segregation, along a river course in Central Italy. While males occupy the entire river course, females are confined to downstream warmer areas supporting successful reproduction due to improved foraging site productivity. In 2000, females were absent above 900 m a.s.l in our study area. We hypothesise that a) this altitude threshold is now higher, due to thermal gradient changes along the river course; and b) thermoregulatory costs for reproductive females have declined, leading to increased energy investment in offspring and subsequent generational growth in bat body size. Confirming our hypotheses, females exhibited a 175-m upward shift in altitude limit. Furthermore, we found a concurrent increase in body size (but not condition). Temperatures increased in the 24 years, likely allowing females to extend their range to higher elevations and favouring an increase in newborn body mass. Riparian vegetation remained unchanged, excluding habitat quality changes as the cause for the observed responses. The rapid female elevation rise might imply future disruption of established social structures, altering intra- and intersexual competition for roosts and food. Given the global decline in insect populations, larger bats might face future difficulties in finding food to sustain their body size, increasing mortality. However, the full impact of such changes on bat fitness remains unexplored and warrants further investigation, including other bat populations. This knowledge is crucial for informing conservation in the face of ongoing climate change and preserving the ecosystem services bats deliver in riparian ecosystems.},
}
@article {pmid38169258,
year = {2024},
author = {Shah, IH and Manzoor, MA and Jinhui, W and Li, X and Hameed, MK and Rehaman, A and Li, P and Zhang, Y and Niu, Q and Chang, L},
title = {Comprehensive review: Effects of climate change and greenhouse gases emission relevance to environmental stress on horticultural crops and management.},
journal = {Journal of environmental management},
volume = {351},
number = {},
pages = {119978},
doi = {10.1016/j.jenvman.2023.119978},
pmid = {38169258},
issn = {1095-8630},
abstract = {Global climate change exerts a significant impact on sustainable horticultural crop production and quality. Rising Global temperatures have compelled the agricultural community to adjust planting and harvesting schedules, often necessitating earlier crop cultivation. Notably, climate change introduces a suite of ominous factors, such as greenhouse gas emissions (CGHs), including elevated temperature, increased carbon dioxide (CO2) concentrations, nitrous oxide (N2O) and methane (CH4) ozone depletion (O3), and deforestation, all of which intensify environmental stresses on crops. Consequently, climate change stands poised to adversely affect crop yields and livestock production. Therefore, the primary objective of the review article is to furnish a comprehensive overview of the multifaceted factors influencing horticulture production, encompassing fruits, vegetables, and plantation crops with a particular emphasis on greenhouse gas emissions and environmental stressors such as high temperature, drought, salinity, and emission of CO2. Additionally, this review will explore the implementation of novel horticultural crop varieties and greenhouse technology that can contribute to mitigating the adverse impact of climate change on agricultural crops.},
}
@article {pmid38168943,
year = {2024},
author = {Noronha, PM},
title = {How badly does climate change affect coral? I dive to find out.},
journal = {Nature},
volume = {625},
number = {7993},
pages = {208},
doi = {10.1038/d41586-023-04092-1},
pmid = {38168943},
issn = {1476-4687},
mesh = {Animals ; *Anthozoa ; *Climate Change ; Coral Reefs ; Ecology ; Marine Biology ; Polynesia ; *Research Personnel ; Diving ; },
}
@article {pmid38168757,
year = {2024},
author = {Sato, H and Mizoi, J and Shinozaki, K and Yamaguchi-Shinozaki, K},
title = {Complex plant responses to drought and heat stress under climate change.},
journal = {The Plant journal : for cell and molecular biology},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1111/tpj.16612},
pmid = {38168757},
issn = {1365-313X},
support = {20K06700//Japan Society for the Promotion of Science/ ; 22K15137//Japan Society for the Promotion of Science/ ; JP22H0425 (PAGS)//Japan Society for the Promotion of Science/ ; LT000162/2018-L3//Human Frontier Science Program/ ; },
abstract = {Global climate change is predicted to result in increased yield losses of agricultural crops caused by environmental conditions. In particular, heat and drought stress are major factors that negatively affect plant development and reproduction, and previous studies have revealed how these stresses induce plant responses at physiological and molecular levels. Here, we provide a comprehensive overview of current knowledge concerning how drought, heat, and combinations of these stress conditions affect the status of plants, including crops, by affecting factors such as stomatal conductance, photosynthetic activity, cellular oxidative conditions, metabolomic profiles, and molecular signaling mechanisms. We further discuss stress-responsive regulatory factors such as transcription factors and signaling factors, which play critical roles in adaptation to both drought and heat stress conditions and potentially function as 'hubs' in drought and/or heat stress responses. Additionally, we present recent findings based on forward genetic approaches that reveal natural variations in agricultural crops that play critical roles in agricultural traits under drought and/or heat conditions. Finally, we provide an overview of the application of decades of study results to actual agricultural fields as a strategy to increase drought and/or heat stress tolerance. This review summarizes our current understanding of plant responses to drought, heat, and combinations of these stress conditions.},
}
@article {pmid38167644,
year = {2024},
author = {Gano, D and Bearer, CF},
title = {Trends in prenatal and pediatric viral infections, and the impact of climate change.},
journal = {Pediatric research},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1038/s41390-023-02986-4},
pmid = {38167644},
issn = {1530-0447},
}
@article {pmid38167217,
year = {2024},
author = {Brubacher, LJ and Chen, TT and Longboat, S and Dodd, W and Peach, L and Elliott, SJ and Patterson, K and Neufeld, H},
title = {Climate change, biodiversity loss, and Indigenous Peoples' health and wellbeing: a systematic umbrella review protocol.},
journal = {Systematic reviews},
volume = {13},
number = {1},
pages = {8},
pmid = {38167217},
issn = {2046-4053},
mesh = {Humans ; *Climate Change ; Systematic Reviews as Topic ; *Indigenous Peoples ; Population Groups ; Research Design ; },
abstract = {BACKGROUND: Research that examines the intersections of Indigenous Peoples' health and wellbeing with climate change and biodiversity loss is abundant in the global scholarship. A synthesis of this evidence base is crucial in order to map current pathways of impact, as well as to identify responses across the global literature that advance Indigenous health and wellbeing, all while centering Indigenous voices and perspectives. This protocol details our proposed methodology to systematically conduct an umbrella review (or review of reviews) of the synthesized literature on climate change, biodiversity loss, and the health and wellbeing of Indigenous Peoples globally.<br><br>METHODS: A multidisciplinary team of Indigenous and non-Indigenous scholars will conduct the review, guided by an engagement process with an Indigenous Experts group. A search hedge will be used to search PubMed&#xae;, Scopus&#xae;, Web of Science&#x2122;, CINAHL (via EBSCOHost&#xae;), and Campbell Collaboration databases and adapted for use in grey literature sources. Two independent reviewers will conduct level one (title/abstract) and level two (full-text) eligibility screening using inclusion/exclusion criteria. Data will be extracted from included records and analyzed using quantitative (e.g., basic descriptive statistics) and qualitative methods (e.g., thematic analysis, using a constant comparative method).<br><br>DISCUSSION: This protocol outlines our approach to systematically and transparently review synthesized literature that examines the intersections of climate change, biodiversity loss, and Indigenous Peoples' health and wellbeing globally.<br><br>This protocol was registered with the International Prospective Register of Systematic Reviews (PROSPERO) on April 24, 2023 (registration number: CRD42023417060).},
}
@article {pmid38166500,
year = {2024},
author = {Johnston, FH and Williamson, G and Borchers-Arriagada, N and Henderson, SB and Bowman, DMJS},
title = {Climate Change, Landscape Fires, and Human Health: A Global Perspective.},
journal = {Annual review of public health},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1146/annurev-publhealth-060222-034131},
pmid = {38166500},
issn = {1545-2093},
abstract = {Landscape fires are an integral component of the Earth system and a feature of prehistoric, subsistence, and industrial economies. Specific spatiotemporal patterns of landscape fire occur in different locations around the world, shaped by the interactions between environmental and human drivers of fire activity. Seven distinct types of landscape fire emerge from these interactions: remote area fires, wildfire disasters, savanna fires, Indigenous burning, prescribed burning, agricultural burning, and deforestation fires. All can have substantial impacts on human health and well-being directly and indirectly through (a) exposure to heat flux (e.g., injuries and destructive impacts), (b) emissions (e.g., smoke-related health impacts), and (c) altered ecosystem functioning (e.g., biodiversity, amenity, water quality, and climate impacts). Minimizing the adverse effects of landscape fires on population health requires understanding how human and environmental influences on fire impacts can be modified through interventions targeted at individual, community, and regional levels. Expected final online publication date for the Annual Review of Public Health, Volume 45 is April 2024. Please see http://www.annualreviews.org/page/journal/pubdates for revised estimates.},
}
@article {pmid38165543,
year = {2024},
author = {Zhao, X and Li, X},
title = {The role of green finance in mitigating climate change risks: a quantitative analysis of sustainable investments.},
journal = {Environmental science and pollution research international},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
pmid = {38165543},
issn = {1614-7499},
abstract = {The dire problem of climate change has garnered more attention in recent years and, with it, the necessity of reducing its damaging effects on the environment. Nevertheless, despite the green finance index's (GFI) potential advantages in combating climate change, empirical studies on the subject's consequences have been few, mostly because of the index's restricted data availability. This study's primary goal is to close this gap by employing panel data analysis to investigate the environmental effects of GFI in China between 2004 and 2021. Econometric methods like the Driscoll-Kraay standard error and other robustness test models are used to look into the links between political risk, green finance, the ecological footprint, and the economic complexity index. According to the research findings, there is a 0.31% and 0.81% decrease in ecological footprint resulting from the implementation of GFI and rises in GDP (gross domestic product). These results suggest that these strategies could play a major role in establishing a sustainable environment. However, in the chosen countries, the ecological footprint increases by 0.81% and 0.80%, respectively, due to the presence of political risk and economic complexity. This study suggests that government involvement is necessary to reduce carbon footprints and protect the ecosystem, based on these empirical findings. Implementing green financing initiatives, fostering technological development, economic diversification, and fostering a stable political environment are all ways to achieve sustainable investments.},
}
@article {pmid38163826,
year = {2024},
author = {Seth, P and Sebastian, J},
title = {Plants and global warming: challenges and strategies for a warming world.},
journal = {Plant cell reports},
volume = {43},
number = {1},
pages = {27},
pmid = {38163826},
issn = {1432-203X},
support = {Ramalingaswami fellowship program//Department of Biotechnology (DBT), Government of India/ ; },
mesh = {*Global Warming ; *Plants ; Climate Change ; Acclimatization ; Temperature ; },
abstract = {In this review, we made an attempt to create a holistic picture of plant response to a rising temperature environment and its impact by covering all aspects from temperature perception to thermotolerance. This comprehensive account describing the molecular mechanisms orchestrating these responses and potential mitigation strategies will be helpful for understanding the impact of global warming on plant life. Organisms need to constantly recalibrate development and physiology in response to changes in their environment. Climate change-associated global warming is amplifying the intensity and periodicity of these changes. Being sessile, plants are particularly vulnerable to variations happening around them. These changes can cause structural, metabolomic, and physiological perturbations, leading to alterations in the growth program and in extreme cases, plant death. In general, plants have a remarkable ability to respond to these challenges, supported by an elaborate mechanism to sense and respond to external changes. Once perceived, plants integrate these signals into the growth program so that their development and physiology can be modulated befittingly. This multifaceted signaling network, which helps plants to establish acclimation and survival responses enabled their extensive geographical distribution. Temperature is one of the key environmental variables that affect all aspects of plant life. Over the years, our knowledge of how plants perceive temperature and how they respond to heat stress has improved significantly. However, a comprehensive mechanistic understanding of the process still largely elusive. This review explores how an increase in the global surface temperature detrimentally affects plant survival and productivity and discusses current understanding of plant responses to high temperature (HT) and underlying mechanisms. We also highlighted potential resilience attributes that can be utilized to mitigate the impact of global warming.},
}
@article {pmid38162537,
year = {2023},
author = {Wutich, A and Thomson, P and Jepson, W and Stoler, J and Cooperman, AD and Doss-Gollin, J and Jantrania, A and Mayer, A and Nelson-Nuñez, J and Walker, WS and Westerhoff, P},
title = {MAD Water: Integrating Modular, Adaptive, and Decentralized Approaches for Water Security in the Climate Change Era.},
journal = {WIREs. Water},
volume = {10},
number = {6},
pages = {},
pmid = {38162537},
issn = {2049-1948},
support = {P42 ES030990/ES/NIEHS NIH HHS/United States ; },
abstract = {Centralized water infrastructure has, over the last century, brought safe and reliable drinking water to much of the world. But climate change, combined with aging and underfunding, is increasingly testing the limits of-and reversing gains made by-these large-scale water systems. To address these growing strains and gaps, we must assess and advance alternatives to centralized water provision and sanitation. The water literature is rife with examples of systems that are neither centralized nor networked, but still meet water needs of local communities in important ways, including: informal and hybrid water systems, decentralized water provision, community-based water management, small drinking water systems, point-of-use treatment, small-scale water vendors, and packaged water. Our work builds on these literatures by proposing a convergence approach that can integrate and explore the benefits and challenges of modular, adaptive, and decentralized ("MAD") water provision and sanitation, often foregrounding important advances in engineering technology. We further provide frameworks to evaluate justice, economic feasibility, governance, human health, and environmental sustainability as key parameters of MAD water system performance.},
}
@article {pmid38161310,
year = {2024},
author = {Parums, DV},
title = {Editorial: Climate Change and the Spread of Vector-Borne Diseases, Including Dengue, Malaria, Lyme Disease, and West Nile Virus Infection.},
journal = {Medical science monitor : international medical journal of experimental and clinical research},
volume = {29},
number = {},
pages = {e943546},
pmid = {38161310},
issn = {1643-3750},
mesh = {Humans ; Climate Change ; *West Nile Fever/epidemiology ; Ecosystem ; *Malaria/epidemiology ; *Vector Borne Diseases ; *Lyme Disease/epidemiology ; *Dengue/epidemiology ; },
abstract = {The major health threats from climate change include increasing temperatures, air pollution, extreme weather events, changes in the spread of infectious diseases, antimicrobial resistance, emerging pathogens, and an increase in vector-borne disease. Between October and December 2023, in 200 medical journal, epidemiologists, clinicians, healthcare policymakers, and journal editors published an emergency call to action to health professionals, the United Nations, and political leaders on climate change and its effects on the ecosystem and human health. Also, in December 2023, the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) published its sixth Assessment Report (AR6) that summarizes current knowledge, impacts, and health risks from climate change, as well as suggestions for mitigation and adaptation. For over a decade, the IPCC has reported that the prevalence of vector-borne diseases has increased and highlighted the importance of monitoring dengue, malaria, Lyme disease, West Nile virus infection, and other vector-borne diseases. This editorial aims to provide an update on the association between climate change and the spread of vector-borne diseases and highlights the urgent need for public health and disease prevention and treatment strategies to control the rise in vector-borne diseases.},
}
@article {pmid38160946,
year = {2023},
author = {Ranieri, E and D'Onghia, G and Lopopolo, L and Gikas, P and Ranieri, F and Gika, E and Spagnolo, V and Herrera, JA and Ranieri, AC},
title = {Influence of climate change on wastewater treatment plants performances and energy costs in Apulia, south Italy.},
journal = {Chemosphere},
volume = {350},
number = {},
pages = {141087},
doi = {10.1016/j.chemosphere.2023.141087},
pmid = {38160946},
issn = {1879-1298},
abstract = {This paper studies the influence of temperature and of rainfall intensity and the effect of such variations on the treatment efficiencies and on the electrical consumptions in seven medium-large size Wastewater Treatment Plants (WWTPs) in Apulia in South Italy (Bari, Barletta, Brindisi, Lecce, Foggia, Andria and Taranto). It has been observed, in the considered WWTPs, a slight but clear increase of the incoming flow due to the increase in rainfall intensity, which results to an increase of the energy consumption per incoming volume. The impact of the climate change to the incoming flow, during the last five years (2016-2020), has been assessed indicating that an increase in rainfall intensity results to an increase of the WWTPs energy consumptions per wastewater treated volume. More specifically, for a specific WWTP (Lecce) it was found that the electrical consumption increases from 0.36 kw/m[3] to 0.51 kw/m[3] when the rainfall intensity was increased from 0.8 mm/min to 2.9 mm/min. Some adaption measures have been considered to upgrade the existing WWTP so to mitigate the energy increase and to limit the global effects of climate change.},
}
@article {pmid38160824,
year = {2023},
author = {Bamorovat, M and Sharifi, I and Aflatoonian, MR and Salarkia, E and Agha Kuchak Afshari, S and Pourkhosravani, M and Karamoozian, A and Khosravi, A and Aflatoonian, B and Sharifi, F and Divsalar, H and Amiri, B and Shirzadi, MR},
title = {A prospective longitudinal study on the elimination trend of rural cutaneous leishmaniasis in southeastern Iran: Climate change, population displacement, and agricultural transition from 1991 to 2021.},
journal = {The Science of the total environment},
volume = {913},
number = {},
pages = {169684},
doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2023.169684},
pmid = {38160824},
issn = {1879-1026},
abstract = {Leishmaniasis is a complex disease. Any change in weather conditions affects the humans' social and agricultural expansion and, consequently, the parasite's life cycle in terms of ecology, biodiversity, social stigma, and exclusion. This population-based prospective longitudinal investigation was conducted between 1991 and 2021 in a well-defined CL (cutaneous leishmaniasis) focus in Bam County, southeastern Iran. A robust health clinic and health surveillance system were responsible for the ongoing systematic documentation, detection, identification, and management of CL cases. The exponential smoothing method via the state space model was used in the univariate time series. The TTR, smooth, and forecast packages were used in R software. Landsat satellite images from 1991, 2001, 2011, and 2021 were employed in the physical development. During this period, the temperature increased while the rainfall and humidity decreased. The findings showed a downward trend in the standardized drought index. Also, the results showed that climate warming and ecological changes profoundly affected the area's agricultural patterns and topographical features. Furthermore, the last three decades witnessed an elimination trend for zoonotic CL (ZCL) and the predominance of anthroponotic CL (ACL). The present findings showed that the critical factors in the predominance of ACL and elimination of ZCL were rising temperature, drought, migration, unplanned urbanization, earthquake, and agrarian reform. The wall-enclosed palm tree gardens excluded the primary ZCL reservoir host. They controlled the disease while providing suitable conditions for the emergence/re-emergence of ACL in the newly established settlements and the unplanned ecozone. Therefore, robust health infrastructures, sustained financial support, and evidence-based research studies are crucial to facilitating the necessary surveillance, monitoring, and evaluation to control and eliminate the disease.},
}
@article {pmid38159933,
year = {2023},
author = {Ma, F and Cao, J and Wang, Y and Vigne, SA and Dong, D},
title = {Dissecting climate change risk and financial market instability: Implications for ecological risk management.},
journal = {Risk analysis : an official publication of the Society for Risk Analysis},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1111/risa.14265},
pmid = {38159933},
issn = {1539-6924},
support = {2022NSFSC0917//Natural Science Foundation of Sichuan Province/ ; 72071162//National Natural Science Foundation of China/ ; 72073109//National Natural Science Foundation of China/ ; },
abstract = {This research investigates the impact of climate challenges on financial markets by introducing an innovative approach to measure climate risk, specifically the aggregate climate change concern (ACCC) index. The study aims to assess and quantify the potential influence of climate change and risk-related factors on the performance and dynamics of financial markets. In this paper, concern is defined as the attention paid to the risk of climate change and the associated negative consequences. The findings demonstrate that the aggregate index exhibits robust predictability of market risk premiums, both within the sample and out-of-sample. By comparison, the index contains additional information beyond 14 economic predictors and 12 risk/uncertainty indexes in forecasting stock market return. In addition, the index proves valuable for mean-variance investors in asset allocation, leading to significant economic gains. The study identifies the index's ability to capture the reversal of temporary price crashes caused by overreactions to climate change risk. Furthermore, it exhibits stronger return forecasting capability for green stocks, non-state-owned enterprise (non-SOE) stocks, and stocks in regions with low air pollution. Particularly during periods of low air pollution and relaxed regulation, the index displays an enhanced ability to forecast returns. The study's findings provide valuable insights for policymakers and financial institutions as they address 21st-century environmental challenges. Moreover, these findings can inform the design of adaptive measures and interventions aimed at mitigating ecological risks and promoting sustainable economic growth.},
}
@article {pmid38159743,
year = {2023},
author = {Bonsoms, J and Oliva, M and Alonso-González, E and Revuelto, J and López-Moreno, JI},
title = {Impact of climate change on snowpack dynamics in coastal Central-Western Greenland.},
journal = {The Science of the total environment},
volume = {913},
number = {},
pages = {169616},
doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2023.169616},
pmid = {38159743},
issn = {1879-1026},
abstract = {Snow patterns in ice-free areas of Greenland play important roles in ecosystems. Within a changing climate, a comprehensive understanding of the snow responses to climate change is of interest to anticipate forthcoming dynamics in these areas. In this study, we analyze the future snowpack evolution of a polar maritime Arctic location, Qeqertarsuaq (Disko Island, Central-Western Greenland). A physically-based snow model (FSM2) is validated and forced with CMIP6 projections for SSP2-4.5 and SSP5-8.5 greenhouse gasses emission scenarios, using two models: CanESM5 and MIROC6. The future snowpack evolution is assessed through four key seasonal (October to May) snow climate indicators: snow depth, snow days, snowfall fraction and ablation rate. Comparison against the observed air temperature for the reference climate period demonstrates superior accuracies for MIROC6 SSP2.4-5, with anomalies at 19 %, compared to CanESM5 SSP5.8-5 (25 %) and CanESM5 SSP2.4-5 (78 %). In terms of precipitation, CanESM5 SSP2.4-5 and SSP2.4-5 exhibit smaller anomalies against the observed data (5 %) in contrast to MIROC6 SSP2.4-5 (15 %) and MIROC6 SSP2.8-5 (17 %). Results demonstrate distinct snowpack responses to climate change depending on the model and emission scenario. For CanESM5, seasonal snow depth anomalies with respect to the reference period range from - 38 % (SSP2-4.5, 2040-2050 period) to - 74 % (SSP5-8.5, 2090-2100 period). MIROC6 projects lower snowpack reductions, with a decrease ranging from - 38 % (SSP2-4.5, 2040-2050 period) to - 57 % (SSP5-8.5, 2090-2100 period). Similar reductions are anticipated for snowfall and snow days. Changes in the snowpack evolution are primarily driven by positive trends in downwelling longwave radiation and air temperature. The projected increase in precipitation by the mid to late 21st century will lead to more frequent rain-on-snow events, intensifying snowpack melting. These findings help enhance the comprehension of future snow dynamics in the ice-free zones of Greenland, as well as the associated hydrological and ecological changes.},
}
@article {pmid38159738,
year = {2023},
author = {Tziouvalekas, M and Noulas, C and Thalassinos, G and Shaheen, SM and Rinklebe, J and Antoniadis, V},
title = {Temperature-induced changes in DTPA-extractable trace elements: Predicting the potential impact of climate change on the availability of soil elements.},
journal = {Chemosphere},
volume = {350},
number = {},
pages = {141064},
doi = {10.1016/j.chemosphere.2023.141064},
pmid = {38159738},
issn = {1879-1298},
abstract = {The extraction of trace elements from soil with DTPA is a widely used protocol across laboratories. There is a possible "hidden" discrepancy regarding the results obtained from the extractions, i.e., ambient laboratory temperature and soil properties. In this study, the possible influence of these factors on the extractability of the available forms of Cu, Fe, Pb, Mn, Ni, and Zn, measured with DTPA were studied. Α series of extractions was carried out on a soil sample under normal laboratory temperatures, which fluctuated throughout the year, from 15 to 33.9 °C. In other 144 soil samples, the prevailing physico-chemical properties of soil were evaluated (pH, organic C, clay, CaCO3) that affected the percentage of DTPA extractability relative to the pseudo-total determined content. A strong positive correlation of all metals versus increased ambient temperature was found. Cu had an R[2] of 0.897, Fe 0.970, Mn 0.957, Ni 0.938, Pb 0.876, and, Zn 0.922, all highly significant. Extracted Mn exhibited a 6.5-fold increase at the highest temperature of 33.9 [ο]C compared to the lowest. Similar increasing trend was observed for Fe, and Ni, and smaller for Cu, Zn, and Pb. Inherent soil properties affected the percentage of extractability relative to the total content: extractability of Cu, Fe, Mn, and Ni was affected negatively by pH, and the extractability of the studied metals with CaCO3 content. Other soil properties (organic C and clay/sand content) also had an effect, not as pronounced as that of pH and CaCO3. This signifies the necessity of employing standard conditions for routine extractions such as DTPA so that data may be comparable. Also these identified discrepancies may have consequences in the extractability and availability of soil micronutrients and toxic elements regarding climate change. This study aspires to play the role of an initial step towards more robust investigations that would suggest ways of correcting temperature and soil characteristics discrepancies across laboratories.},
}
@article {pmid38159371,
year = {2023},
author = {Contreras, A and Blanchard, MA and Mouguiama-Daouda, C and Heeren, A},
title = {When eco-anger (but not eco-anxiety nor eco-sadness) makes you change! A temporal network approach to the emotional experience of climate change.},
journal = {Journal of anxiety disorders},
volume = {102},
number = {},
pages = {102822},
doi = {10.1016/j.janxdis.2023.102822},
pmid = {38159371},
issn = {1873-7897},
abstract = {Research on the emotional experience of climate change has become a hot topic. Yet uncertainties remain regarding the interplay between climate change-related emotions (i.e., eco-anxiety, eco-anger, eco-sadness), general emotions (i.e., regardless of climate change), and pro-environmental behaviors. Most previous research has focused on cross-sectional studies, and eco-emotions in everyday life have seldom been considered. In this preregistered study, 102 participants from the general population rated their eco-emotions (i.e., eco-anxiety, eco-anger, eco-sadness), general emotions (i.e., anxiety, anger, sadness), and pro-environmental intentions and behaviors daily over a 60-day period. Using a multilevel vector autoregressive approach, we computed three network models representing temporal (i.e., from one time-point to the next), contemporaneous (i.e., during the same time-frame), and between-subject (i.e., similar to cross-sectional approach) associations between variables. Results show that eco-anger was the only predictor of pro-environmental intentions and behaviors over time. At the contemporaneous level, the momentary experience of each eco-emotion was associated with the momentary emotional experience of the corresponding general emotion, indicating the distinctiveness of each eco-emotion and the correspondence between its experience and that of its general, non-climate-related emotion. Overall, our findings 1) emphasize the driving role of eco-anger in prompting pro-environmental behaviors over time, 2) suggest a functional and experiential distinction between eco-emotions, and 3) provide data-driven clues for the field's larger quest to establish the scientific foundations of eco-emotions.},
}
@article {pmid38159188,
year = {2023},
author = {Dai, T and Dai, X and Lu, H and He, T and Li, W and Li, C and Huang, S and Huang, Y and Tong, C and Qu, G and Shan, Y and Liang, S and Liu, D},
title = {The impact of climate change and human activities on the change in the net primary productivity of vegetation-taking Sichuan Province as an example.},
journal = {Environmental science and pollution research international},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
pmid = {38159188},
issn = {1614-7499},
support = {Grant No. 2023YFS0435//the Key Research and Development Program of Sichuan Province/ ; Grant No. 2022-LHYJ-02-0201//the Yangtze River Joint Research Phase II Program/ ; Grant No. SKLGP2022Z007//State Key Laboratory of Geohazard Prevention and Geoenvironment Protection/ ; },
abstract = {Vegetation is an essential component of terrestrial ecosystems, influenced by climate change and human activities. Quantifying the relative contributions of climate change and human activities to vegetation dynamics is crucial for addressing global climate change. Sichuan Province is one of the essential ecological functional areas in the upper reaches of the Yangtze River, and its vegetation change is of great significance to the environmental function and ecological security of the Yangtze River Basin and southwest China. In this paper, the modified Carnegie-Ames-Stanford Approach(CASA) model was used to estimate the monthly NPP (Net Primary Productivity) of vegetation in Sichuan Province from 2000 to 2018, and the univariate linear regression analysis was used to analyze the temporal and spatial variation of vegetation NPP in Sichuan Province from 2000 to 2018. In addition, taking vegetation NPP as an index, Pearson correlation analysis, partial correlation analysis, and second-order partial correlation analysis were carried out to quantitatively analyze the contribution of climate change and human activities to vegetation NPP. Finally, the Hurst index and nonparametric Man-Kendall significance test were used to predict the future change trend of vegetation NPP in Sichuan Province. The results show that (1) from 2000 to 2018, the NPP of vegetation in Sichuan Province has a significant increasing trend (Slope = 6.09gC·m[-2]·a[-1]), with a multi-year average of 438.72 gC·m[-2]·a[-1], showing a trend of low in the east and high in the middle. The response of vegetation NPP to altitude is different at different elevations; (2) the contribution rates of climate change and human activities to vegetation NPP change are 4.12gC·m[-2]·a[-1] and 1.97gC·m[-2]·a[-1], respectively. In contrast, the impact of human activities on NPP is more significant than climate change. Human activities are the main factors affecting vegetation restoration and degradation in Sichuan Province. However, the positive contribution to NPP change is less than climate change; (3) the future vegetation NPP change trend in Sichuan Province is mainly rising, and the same direction change trend is much larger than the reverse change trend. The areas with an increasing trend in the future account for 89.187% of the total area. This research helps understand the impact of climate change and human activities on vegetation change in Sichuan Province. It offers scientific bases for vegetation restoration and ecosystem management in Sichuan and the surrounding areas.},
}
@article {pmid38157574,
year = {2024},
author = {Kurniawan, TA and Liang, X and Goh, HH and Dzarfan Othman, MH and Anouzla, A and Al-Hazmi, HE and Chew, KW and Aziz, F and Ali, I},
title = {Leveraging food waste for electricity: A low-carbon approach in energy sector for mitigating climate change and achieving net zero emission in Hong Kong (China).},
journal = {Journal of environmental management},
volume = {351},
number = {},
pages = {119879},
doi = {10.1016/j.jenvman.2023.119879},
pmid = {38157574},
issn = {1095-8630},
abstract = {In recent years, food waste has been a global concern that contributes to climate change. To deal with the rising impacts of climate change, in Hong Kong, food waste is converted into electricity in the framework of low-carbon approach. This work provides an overview of the conversion of food waste into electricity to achieve carbon neutrality. The production of methane and electricity from waste-to-energy (WTE) conversion are determined. Potential income from its sale and environmental benefits are also assessed quantitatively and qualitatively. It was found that the electricity generation from the food waste could reach 4.33 × 10[9] kWh annually, avoiding equivalent electricity charge worth USD 3.46 × 10[9] annually (based on US' 8/kWh). An equivalent CO2 mitigation of 9.9 × 10[8] kg annually was attained. The revenue from its electricity sale in market was USD 1.44×10[9] in the 1[st] year and USD 4.24 ×10[9] in the 15[th] year, respectively, according to the projected CH4 and electricity generation. The modelling study indicated that the electricity production is 0.8 kWh/kg of landfilled waste. The food waste could produce electricity as low as US' 8 per kW ∙ h. In spite of its promising results, there are techno-economic bottlenecks in commercial scale production and its application at comparable costs to conventional fossil fuels. Issues such as high GHG emissions and high production costs have been determined to be resolved later. Overall, this work not only leads to GHG avoidance, but also diversifies energy supply in providing power for homes in the future.},
}
@article {pmid38155894,
year = {2023},
author = {Holdsworth, J and Hunte, SA and Barker, K and Sherin, J and Rao, M and Maharaj, SB},
title = {Safeguarding the Caribbean's future: making the case to research the direct and indirect impacts of climate change on youth mental health and wellbeing.},
journal = {Frontiers in public health},
volume = {11},
number = {},
pages = {1322831},
pmid = {38155894},
issn = {2296-2565},
mesh = {Humans ; Adolescent ; *Mental Health ; *Climate Change ; West Indies ; Caribbean Region ; Ethnicity ; },
abstract = {This article makes a call for attention to paid on the development of a research agenda for studying the impact of climatic events on youth mental health in the Caribbean. It details the climate injustices that the region faces and the potential mental health problem which can arise from climatic events. It makes a call for interdisciplinary research and a multi stakeholder approach to dealing with this potential issue.},
}
@article {pmid38155313,
year = {2023},
author = {Jemec Auflič, M and Bezak, N and Šegina, E and Frantar, P and Gariano, SL and Medved, A and Peternel, T},
title = {Climate change increases the number of landslides at the juncture of the Alpine, Pannonian and Mediterranean regions.},
journal = {Scientific reports},
volume = {13},
number = {1},
pages = {23085},
pmid = {38155313},
issn = {2045-2322},
support = {J1-3024//Javna Agencija za Raziskovalno Dejavnost RS/ ; },
abstract = {During the next few decades, changes in rainfall frequency and magnitude are expected to have major impacts on landscape evolution, social, and economic aspects of human society. We focus on seasonal rainfall variations by the end of the twenty-first century to define affected landslide-prone areas, future landslide alerts and the impact of landslides on landscape development in the juncture of the Alpine, Pannonian, and Mediterranean region. A moderate and a worst-case climate scenario from CMIP5 global climate simulations were considered to determine the impact of rainfall on the two most common types of landslides in region, shallow and deep-seated landslides. The observed changes in the occurrence of shallow landslides are significant, especially in the winter months, where we can expect more landslide-prone areas compared to the baseline period. Shallow landslides will have a greater impact on the landscape in spring and summer than deep-seated landslides, especially in vineyards.},
}
@article {pmid38154197,
year = {2023},
author = {Shiganova, TA and Alekseenko, EV and Mirzoyan, ZA and Kazmin, AS},
title = {Prediction of ctenophore Beroe ovata Bruguiere, 1789 habitat expansion and control of invading Mnemiopsis leidyi Agassiz, 1865 in the Ponto-Caspian basin associated with climate change.},
journal = {Marine environmental research},
volume = {194},
number = {},
pages = {106315},
doi = {10.1016/j.marenvres.2023.106315},
pmid = {38154197},
issn = {1879-0291},
abstract = {The seas of Ponto-Caspian basin (Black, Azov and Caspian) are exposed to species invasions, including harmful ctenophore Mnemiopsis leidyi A. Agassiz, 1865 and its predator Beroe ovata Bruguière, 1789. Current environmental conditions of invasive ctenophores M. leidyi and B. ovata occurrence, development and variability in the Ponto-Caspian basin have been compiled, based on own field observations and published data. Analysis of climatological data on basic environmental parameters (water temperature, salinity, chlorophyll concentration) and modeling approach were used to predict favourable for both ctenophores conditions, and changes of those conditions, associated with the climate variations. The role of B. ovata as a bio-controller of M. leidyi population has been assessed. Several climate change scenarios have been considered in this study i.e., uniform increase/decrease of SST throughout the year by 2 °C and only spring temperatures increase/decrease by 2 °C. The most sensitive to increase in SST in terms of M. leidyi reproduction duration are the western coast of the Black Sea and the Southern and Middle Caspian. On the other hand, B. ovata reproduction duration is expected to increase in several areas, including the northern coast of the Black Sea and the Southern and Middle Caspian. The coastal areas of the Black Sea and the transitional regions between the Southern and Middle Caspian are exposed to an earlier start of M. leidyi reproduction during warmer springs. Regarding B. ovata, the whole Black Sea is vulnerable to spring SST changes, but in the Caspian Sea B. ovata extends its reproduction duration only in the Middle Caspian during warmer springs. Since B. ovata consumes mostly M. leidyi, it is an important biocontrolling agent of M. leidyi, harmless for the ecosystem.},
}
@article {pmid38154019,
year = {2023},
author = {Fagan, MJ and Vanderloo, LM and Banerjee, A and Ferguson, LJ and Lee, EY and O'Reilly, N and Rhodes, RE and Spence, JC and Tremblay, MS and Faulkner, G},
title = {Assessing Support for Policy Actions With Co-Benefits for Climate Change and Physical Activity in Canada.},
journal = {Journal of physical activity &amp; health},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {1-10},
doi = {10.1123/jpah.2023-0617},
pmid = {38154019},
issn = {1543-5474},
abstract = {BACKGROUND: Calls to action addressing the interconnections between physical (in)activity and the climate crisis are increasing. The current study aimed to investigate public support for policy actions that potentially have co-benefits for physical activity promotion and climate change mitigation.<br><br>METHODS: In 2023, a survey through the Angus Reid Forum was completed by 2507 adults living in Canada. Binary logistic regressions were conducted. Separate models were created to reflect support or opposition to the 8 included policy items. Several covariates were included in the models including age, gender, political orientation, physical activity levels, income, urbanicity climate anxiety, and attitudes surrounding physical activity and climate change. The data were weighted to reflect the gender, age, and regional composition of the country.<br><br>RESULTS: Most individuals living in Canada strongly or moderately supported all actions (ranging from 71% to 85%). Meeting the physical activity guidelines, higher self-reported income, and scoring high on personal experience of climate change were associated with higher odds of supporting the policy actions related to climate actions.<br><br>CONCLUSIONS: Most adults living in Canada support policies that align with the recommended policy actions related to physical activity and climate change. National campaigns enhancing awareness and understanding of the bidirectional relationship between physical activity and climate change are warranted, and these should consider the consistent demographic differences (eg,&#xa0;gender, age, and political orientation) seen in public support for physical activity-related policies.},
}
@article {pmid38153979,
year = {2023},
author = {Nadig, RR and Deepak, B and Neelamegam, V and Moussa, G and Raman, R},
title = {Global warming impact of fluorinated gases in ophthalmic surgeries at a tertiary eye center in India.},
journal = {Indian journal of ophthalmology},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.4103/IJO.IJO_1775_23},
pmid = {38153979},
issn = {1998-3689},
abstract = {PURPOSE: Global warming is one of the greatest health threats of the 21st century. The ophthalmic sector contributes to the emission of greenhouse gases, thus altering the natural environment. There is currently no data on global emissions of fluorinated gases in ophthalmic surgery. This retrospective study from 2017 to 2021 aims to report the carbon dioxide (CO2) equivalence of sulfur hexafluoride (SF6), hexafluoroethane (C2F6), and octafluoropropane (C3F8) at a tertiary eye center.<br><br>METHODS: Data collected from 1842 surgical procedures that used injections of fluorinated gases were analyzed. Environmental impact (global warming potential over 100 years) was calculated by converting milliliters to grams by using modified ideal gas law at standard temperature and pressure for the canisters and then to their CO2 equivalence.<br><br>RESULTS: Though 70% of surgeries used C3F8, the least greenhouse effect causing fluorinated gas, the total carbon emission was 1.4 metric tons. The most common indication was macular hole surgery (36.86%).<br><br>CONCLUSION: This study paves a step toward analyzing the problem statement, thus awakening us to contemplate options to make ophthalmic surgeries greener.},
}
@article {pmid38153573,
year = {2023},
author = {Kim, SU and Han, HR and Lee, HH and Lim, JM and Park, SJ and Jeon, S and Kang, N and Park, WP and Hong, CO},
title = {Net global warming potential index rather than soil carbon stock change could provide better understanding of the carbon balance in soil systems.},
journal = {Environmental science and pollution research international},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
pmid = {38153573},
issn = {1614-7499},
support = {PJ01500002//Rural Development Administration, Republic of Korea/ ; },
abstract = {This study was conducted to determine the soil organic carbon (SOC) stock change factor for green manure crops that was developed by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) Tier 2 method and compare this with the net global warming potential (GWP) index that is used to evaluate the contribution of green manuring to global warming. Four treatments were barley (Hordeum vulgare L.; B), hairy vetch (Vicia villosa R.; HV), a barley/hairy vetch mixture (BHV) and a conventional treatment (C). The aboveground biomass of green manure crops was incorporated into the soil on 25 May 2018, 26 April 2019, 29 April 2020, 30 April 2021 and 2 May 2022. Maize (Zea mays L.) was transplanted as the subsequent crop after the incorporation of green manures. SOC stock decreased with green manures, even though carbon input with green manures, including B, HV and BHV, was greater than that with C. The mean value of the SOC stock change factor for green manure crops, including B, HV and BHV was 0.627 and was significantly lower than that of the C. However, the net GWP also decreased with the incorporation of green manure crops, and the mean value of the relative net GWP index across B, HV and BHV was 0.853. These conflicting results were caused by different estimation methods between annual SOC change (△SOC) and net GWP. The estimation of SOC stock change using △SOC suggested by the IPCC method may overestimate the contribution of green manure crops to global warming. The net GWP method with comprehensive input and output of carbon in the soil system could provide a better understanding of the carbon balance in soil systems. In the current study, the comparison of △SOC and net GWP was conducted for at one site of upland soil for 5 years. Therefore, further research on estimating the effect of green manure crops on net GWP in various types of soil for longer years should be conducted.},
}
@article {pmid38151206,
year = {2023},
author = {Sheer, A and Fahad Sardar, M and Younas, F and Zhu, P and Noreen, S and Mehmood, T and Ur Rahman Farooqi, Z and Fatima, S and Guo, W},
title = {Trends and social aspects in the management and conversion of agricultural residues into valuable resources: A comprehensive approach to counter environmental degradation, food security, and climate change.},
journal = {Bioresource technology},
volume = {394},
number = {},
pages = {130258},
doi = {10.1016/j.biortech.2023.130258},
pmid = {38151206},
issn = {1873-2976},
abstract = {The circular economy is essential as it encourages the reuse and recycling of resources while reducing waste, which ultimately helps to reduce environmental pollution and boosts economic efficiency. The current review highlights the management of agricultural and livestock residues and their conversion into valuable resources to combat environmental degradation and improve social well-being. The current trends in converting agricultural residues into useful resources emphasize the social benefits of waste management and conversion. It also emphasizes how waste conversion can reduce environmental degradation and enhance food security. Using agricultural residues can increase soil health and agricultural output while reducing pollution, greenhouse gas emissions, and resource depletion. Promoting sustainable waste-to-resource conversion processes requires a combination of strategies that address technical, economic, social, and environmental aspects. These multiple strategies are highlighted along with prospects and considerations.},
}
@article {pmid38150315,
year = {2023},
author = {Kivimäki, M and Batty, GD and Pentti, J and Suomi, J and Nyberg, ST and Merikanto, J and Nordling, K and Ervasti, J and Suominen, SB and Partanen, AI and Stenholm, S and Käyhkö, J and Vahtera, J},
title = {Climate Change, Summer Temperature, and Heat-Related Mortality in Finland: Multicohort Study with Projections for a Sustainable vs. Fossil-Fueled Future to 2050.},
journal = {Environmental health perspectives},
volume = {131},
number = {12},
pages = {127020},
pmid = {38150315},
issn = {1552-9924},
mesh = {Humans ; Temperature ; *Hot Temperature ; Climate Change ; Finland/epidemiology ; Fossils ; *Cardiovascular Diseases ; Mortality ; },
abstract = {BACKGROUND: Climate change scenarios illustrate various pathways in terms of global warming ranging from "sustainable development" (Shared Socioeconomic Pathway SSP1-1.9), the best-case scenario, to 'fossil-fueled development' (SSP5-8.5), the worst-case scenario.<br><br>OBJECTIVES: We examined the extent to which increase in daily average urban summer temperature is associated with future cause-specific mortality and projected heat-related mortality burden for the current warming trend and these two scenarios.<br><br>METHODS: We did an observational cohort study of 363,754 participants living in six cities in Finland. Using residential addresses, participants were linked to daily temperature records and electronic death records from national registries during summers (1 May to 30 September) 2000 to 2018. For each day of observation, heat index (average daily air temperature weighted by humidity) for the preceding 7 d was calculated for participants' residential area using a geographic grid at a spatial resolution of 1km&#xd7;1km. We examined associations of the summer heat index with risk of death by cause for all participants adjusting for a wide range of individual-level covariates and in subsidiary analyses using case-crossover design, computed the related period population attributable fraction (PAF), and projected change in PAF from summers 2000-2018 compared with those in 2030-2050.<br><br>RESULTS: During a cohort total exposure period of 582,111,979 summer days (3,880,746 person-summers), we recorded 4,094 deaths, including 949 from cardiovascular disease. The multivariable-adjusted rate ratio (RR) for high (&#x2265;21&#xb0;C) vs. reference (14-15&#xb0;C) heat index was 1.70 (95% CI: 1.28, 2.27) for cardiovascular mortality, but it did not reach statistical significance for noncardiovascular deaths, RR=1.14 (95% CI: 0.96, 1.36), a finding replicated in case-crossover analysis. According to projections for 2030-2050, PAF of summertime cardiovascular mortality attributable to high heat will be 4.4% (1.8%-7.3%) under the sustainable development scenario, but 7.6% (3.2%-12.3%) under the fossil-fueled development scenario. In the six cities, the estimated annual number of summertime heat-related cardiovascular deaths under the two scenarios will be 174 and 298 for a total population of 1,759,468 people.<br><br>DISCUSSION: The increase in average urban summer temperature will raise heat-related cardiovascular mortality burden. The estimated magnitude of this burden is >1.5 times greater if future climate change is driven by fossil fuels rather than sustainable development. https://doi.org/10.1289/EHP12080.},
}
@article {pmid38149877,
year = {2023},
author = {Leung, M},
title = {Invited Perspective: Climate Change and Reproductive Health-the Perils of Oversimplification.},
journal = {Environmental health perspectives},
volume = {131},
number = {12},
pages = {121307},
pmid = {38149877},
issn = {1552-9924},
mesh = {*Climate Change ; *Reproductive Health ; },
}
@article {pmid38149642,
year = {2023},
author = {Kelley, JC and Tsai, JH},
title = {Protecting Outdoor Workers From Climate Change Impacts Through Interdisciplinary Collaboration.},
journal = {Workplace health &amp; safety},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {21650799231221136},
doi = {10.1177/21650799231221136},
pmid = {38149642},
issn = {2165-0969},
}
@article {pmid38147648,
year = {2024},
author = {Li, Y and Sun, M and Yang, X and Yang, M and Kleisner, KM and Mills, KE and Tang, Y and Du, F and Qiu, Y and Ren, Y and Chen, Y},
title = {Social-ecological vulnerability and risk of China's marine capture fisheries to climate change.},
journal = {Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America},
volume = {121},
number = {1},
pages = {e2313773120},
pmid = {38147648},
issn = {1091-6490},
support = {00035796//Pew Charitable Trusts (PCT)/ ; },
mesh = {Animals ; *Fisheries ; *Conservation of Natural Resources ; Climate Change ; Social Environment ; China ; Ecosystem ; Fishes ; },
abstract = {Climate change is a new disrupter to global fisheries systems and their governance frameworks. It poses a pressing management challenge, particularly in China, which is renowned as the world's largest fishing country and seafood producer. As climate change continues to intensify in the region and climate awareness grows within the country's national policy, the need to understand China's fisheries' resilience to the escalating climate crisis becomes paramount. In this study, we conduct an interdisciplinary analysis to assess the vulnerability and risk of China's marine capture fisheries in response to climate change. This study employs a spatially explicit, indicator-based approach with a coupled social-ecological framework, focusing on 67 species and 11 coastal regions. By integrating diverse sets of climatic, ecological, economic, societal, and governance indicators and information, we elucidate the factors that could hinder climate adaptation, including a limited understanding of fish early life stages, uncertainty in seafood production, unequal allocation and accessibility of resources, and inadequate consideration of inclusive governance and adaptive management. Our results show that species, which have managed to survive the stress of overfishing, demonstrate a remarkable ability to adapt to climate change. However, collapsing stocks such as large yellow croaker face a high risk due to the synergistic effects of inherent biological traits and external management interventions. We emphasize the imperative to build institutional, scientific, and social capacity to support fisheries adaptation. The scientific insights provided by this study can inform fisheries management decisions and promote the operationalization of climate-resilient fisheries in China and other regions.},
}
@article {pmid38147243,
year = {2023},
author = {Wang, W and Zhang, J and Li, J},
title = {Research on urban three-dimensional greening design from the perspective of climate change-a case study of Beilin District, Xi'an, Shaanxi Province, China.},
journal = {Environmental science and pollution research international},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
pmid = {38147243},
issn = {1614-7499},
support = {2021JM-372//General Program of Shaanxi Natural Science Foundation/ ; 2022HZ1347//Joint project of research on major theoretical and practical issues in social science circles of Shaanxi Province/ ; 2022HZ1493//Joint project of research on major theoretical and practical issues in social science circles of Shaanxi Province/ ; },
abstract = {Climate change is an important issue for cities today and in the future. At present, China has a large population and complex climate conditions, and cities are also vulnerable to the adverse effects of climate change (Tian, Environ Sustain Dev 6: 153-155 2020). Three-dimensional greening can not only improve the green space system of a city but also have a far-reaching impact on the ecology, image, and economic benefits of a city. Therefore, the study of urban three-dimensional greening is an effective means to deal with climate change strategies. By exploring the influence of traditional greening and three-dimensional greening on Local Climate in Beilin District of Xi'an, Shaanxi Province, the mechanism of three-dimensional greening on urban ecological environment was discussed, and the ecological theory, urban three-dimensional greening theory, and urban local climate zone (LCZ) were referred to. Based on the methods of national climate monitoring, ENVI-met simulation, and field independent measurement, this paper selected a research sample site in the east section of Jianshe Road, Beilin District, Xi'an City, Shaanxi Province, China, and applied ENVI-met software to simulate the thermal stress relationship among building exterior surfaces, plants, and air in the street; quantified the overall ecology of the area; and used measuring instruments. The influence of different types of greening in the base on the site temperature, humidity, CO2 (carbon dioxide) concentration, wind speed, and other climate factors data was, respectively, measured and analyzed. The grid analysis was used to compare the traditional greening and three-dimensional greening, then the numerical differences of each impact factor were sorted out, and the effect of three-dimensional greening on the improvement of urban ecological environment was discussed by analyzing the climate factors with greater impact. The results show that (1) three-dimensional greening plus traditional greening is the most beneficial mode; (2) in the same environment, according to the parameter of 1.5 m from the ground in the model environment, it can be seen that the temperature of the space treated with three-dimensional greening of buildings is reduced by 3.5-3.6 ℃ compared with the control group, the relative humidity is different by 7-8%, the CO2 concentration is reduced by about 5%, and the spatial wind speed is relatively small. (3) When the urban green coverage rate is more than 40%, the improvement of temperature is more obvious, if it reaches 50%, the cool phenomenon in summer can be fundamentally changed. From the perspective of human perception, the PMV index increased by 0.27 on average. This paper discusses and analyzes the three-dimensional greening of urban streets in Beilin District, Xi'an City, Shaanxi Province, China, and studies its influence on urban ecology to different degrees. The conclusions are as follows: Different types of greening have different degrees of influence on urban climate. Meanwhile, the experimental results of this paper show that in cities like Xi'an, Shaanxi Province, China, where summer is hot, adding three-dimensional greening to traditional street greening can significantly improve the environmental microclimate, which is an effective means to cope with climate change, improve the site environment, and stabilize the urban ecosystem.},
}
@article {pmid38146054,
year = {2023},
author = {Sun, H and Wang, L},
title = {A framework for assessing the impacts of land-use/cover change and climate change on wheat productivity under 1.5 and 2.0 °C warming at watershed scale.},
journal = {Journal of the science of food and agriculture},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1002/jsfa.13237},
pmid = {38146054},
issn = {1097-0010},
support = {//Strategic Priority Research Program of Chinese Academy of Sciences (XDB40000000)/ ; //National Natural Science Foundation of China (42171043; 41977012)/ ; //State Key Laboratory of Loess and Quaternary Geology, Institute of Earth Environment, CAS (SKLLQG1718)/ ; },
abstract = {BACKGROUND: Irrigation is used extensively to enhance grain production and ensure food security. Many studies have used crop models and global climate models to study the variation of irrigated crop yield in the context of climate change. But most considered the influence of direct climate change but neglected the influence of irrigation water availability, which is affected by land-use/cover change (LUCC) and indirect climate change, on irrigated crop yield. This study therefore developed a framework including Patch-generating Land Use Simulation model, Soil and Water Assessment Tool, Agricultural Production Systems sImulator Model, and global climate models for exploring the impacts of LUCC, direct climate change, and indirect climate change on wheat yield in a typical watershed.<br><br>RESULTS: Both LUCC and climate change caused increased runoff from October to May, and thus increased the irrigation water availability, by 51.6 and 30.7&#x2009;mm per growing season under 1.5 and 2.0&#x2009;&#xb0;C warming, respectively. The combined influence of LUCC, direct, and indirect climate change increased wheat yield by about 18.5% and 15.5% in the context of 1.5 and 2.0&#x2009;&#xb0;C warming, respectively. The relative contribution of LUCC, indirect climate change and direct climate change to yield was 4.7%, 41.2%, and 54.1% under 1.5&#x2009;&#xb0;C warming, and 13.1%, 28.7%, and 58.2% under 2.0&#x2009;&#xb0;C warming, respectively.<br><br>CONCLUSION: We suggest that changes in irrigation water availability should be considered from a watershed perspective when simulating the influence of climate change on crop yield, especially regional crop production estimation. &#xa9; 2023 Society of Chemical Industry.},
}
@article {pmid38145682,
year = {2023},
author = {Lu, WX and Wang, ZZ and Hu, XY and Rao, GY},
title = {Incorporating eco-evolutionary information into species distribution models provides comprehensive predictions of species range shifts under climate change.},
journal = {The Science of the total environment},
volume = {912},
number = {},
pages = {169501},
doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2023.169501},
pmid = {38145682},
issn = {1879-1026},
abstract = {As climate changes increasingly influence species distributions, ecosystem functions, and biodiversity, the urgency to understand how species' ranges shift under those changes is great. Species distribution models (SDMs) are vital approaches that can predict species distributions under changing climates. However, SDMs based on the species' current occurrences may underestimate the species' climatic tolerances. Integrating species' realized niches at different periods, also known as multi-temporal calibration, can provide an estimation closer to its fundamental niche. Based on this, we further proposed an integrated framework that combines eco-evolutionary data and SDMs (phylogenetically-informed SDMs) to provide comprehensive predictions of species range shifts under climate change. To evaluate our approach's performance, we applied it to a group of related species, the Chrysanthemum zawadskii species complex (Anthemidae, Asteracee). First, we investigated the niche differentiation between species and intraspecific lineages of the complex and estimated their rates of niche evolution. Next, using both standard SDMs and our phylogenetically-informed SDMs, we generated predictions of suitability areas for all species and lineages and compared the results. Finally, we reconstructed the historical range dynamics for the species of this complex. Our results showed that the species and intraspecific lineages of the complex had varying degrees of niche differentiation and different rates of niche evolution. Lineage-level SDMs can provide more realistic predictions for species with intraspecific differentiation than species-level models can. The phylogenetically-informed SDMs provided more complete environmental envelopes and predicted broader potential distributions for all species than the standard SDMs did. Range dynamics varied among the species that have different rates of niche evolution. Our framework integrating eco-evolutionary data and SDMs contributes to a better understanding of the species' responses to climate change and can help to make more targeted conservation efforts for the target species under climate change, particularly for rare species.},
}
@article {pmid38145145,
year = {2023},
author = {Duffy, J},
title = {Climate Change as a Risk Factor for Food Insecurity in Spain.},
journal = {Health and human rights},
volume = {25},
number = {2},
pages = {103-104},
pmid = {38145145},
issn = {2150-4113},
mesh = {Humans ; *Climate Change ; Spain ; *Human Rights ; Food Insecurity ; Food Supply ; Risk Factors ; },
}
@article {pmid38145132,
year = {2023},
author = {Viveros-Uehara, T},
title = {Climate Change and Economic Inequality: Are We Responding to Health Injustices?.},
journal = {Health and human rights},
volume = {25},
number = {2},
pages = {191-197},
pmid = {38145132},
issn = {2150-4113},
mesh = {Humans ; *Climate Change ; *Human Rights ; Socioeconomic Factors ; },
}
@article {pmid38144288,
year = {2023},
author = {Dube, K and Nhamo, G},
title = {Evaluating climate Change's impact on hydroelectricity in the Zambezi river basin.},
journal = {Heliyon},
volume = {9},
number = {12},
pages = {e23235},
pmid = {38144288},
issn = {2405-8440},
abstract = {This study investigates the effects of climate change on energy security in Africa, specifically focusing on the Upper and Lower Zambezi Basin. Data from the Kariba River basin sub-catchments, annual reports, the Climate Data Store, and Teal Tool Earth's country-by-country climate data were analysed through quantitative and qualitative data analysis techniques. The Mann-Kendal Trend Analysis was used to analyse time series and test the significance of changes to the climate. The historical climate and hydrological data analysis showed evidence of a slight increase in average rainfall amounts in the Zambezi River Basin but with high rainfall variability in some areas. Despite droughts increasing in frequency, there is a general increase in hydrological annual average water flow in the Zambezi River at two of the three sample sites. The increased water flow through the region could be attributed to population growth-induced land clearance and the degradation of wetlands in Angola's highlands. Although there is an increase in hydrological water flow into Kariba, there are water shortages for hydroelectricity generation due to increased generation capacity, resulting in increased demand for more water than in previous years. The unsustainable water abstraction to meet growing energy demands contributes to low water levels in the lake. The study recommends energy diversification and new hydroelectricity where the potential exists in the basin to reduce over-reliance on Lake Kariba with care not to disrupt the basin's hydrology and other economic activities. The study results provide insight into the potential effects of climate change on energy security in Africa.},
}
@article {pmid38142727,
year = {2023},
author = {Chhaya, RS and Nag, R and Cummins, E},
title = {Quantitative risk ranking of mycotoxins in milk under climate change scenarios.},
journal = {Environmental research},
volume = {245},
number = {},
pages = {117979},
doi = {10.1016/j.envres.2023.117979},
pmid = {38142727},
issn = {1096-0953},
abstract = {Mycotoxins are toxic fungal metabolites that may occur in crops. Mycotoxins may carry-over into bovine milk if bovines ingest mycotoxin-contaminated feed. Due to climate change, there may be a potential increase in the prevalence and concentration of mycotoxins in crops. However, the toxicity to humans and the carry-over rate of mycotoxins from feed to milk from bovines varies considerably. This research aimed to rank emerging and existing mycotoxins under different climate change scenarios based on their occurrence in milk and their toxicity to humans. The quantitative risk ranking took a probabilistic approach, using Monte-Carlo simulation to take account of input uncertainties and variabilities. Mycotoxins were ranked based on their hazard quotient, calculated using estimated daily intake and tolerable daily intake values. Four climate change scenarios were assessed, including an Irish baseline model in addition to best-case, worst-case, and most likely scenarios, corresponding to equivalent Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) scenarios. This research prioritised aflatoxin B1, zearalenone, and T-2 and HT-2 toxin as potential human health hazards for adults and children compared to other mycotoxins under all scenarios. Relatively lower risks were found to be associated with mycophenolic acid, enniatins, and deoxynivalenol. Overall, the carry-over rate of mycotoxins, the milk consumption, and the concentration of mycotoxins in silage, maize, and wheat were found to be the most sensitive parameters (positively correlated) of this probabilistic model. Though climate change may impact mycotoxin prevalence and concentration in crops, the carry-over rate notably affects the final concentration of mycotoxin in milk to a greater extent. The results obtained in this study facilitate the identification of risk reduction measures to limit mycotoxin contamination of dairy products, considering potential climate change influences.},
}
@article {pmid38141648,
year = {2024},
author = {Venkatesan, P},
title = {Increase in Vibrio spp infections linked to climate change.},
journal = {The Lancet. Infectious diseases},
volume = {24},
number = {1},
pages = {e18},
doi = {10.1016/S1473-3099(23)00767-3},
pmid = {38141648},
issn = {1474-4457},
mesh = {Humans ; Climate Change ; *Vibrio Infections/epidemiology ; *Vibrio ; },
}
@article {pmid38141112,
year = {2023},
author = {Chukwuka, AV and Omogbemi, ED and Adeogun, AO},
title = {Habitat sensitivity in the West African coastal area: inferences and implications for regional adaptations to climate change and ocean acidification.},
journal = {Environmental monitoring and assessment},
volume = {196},
number = {1},
pages = {79},
pmid = {38141112},
issn = {1573-2959},
mesh = {Humans ; *Ecosystem ; *Climate Change ; Ocean Acidification ; Hydrogen-Ion Concentration ; Environmental Monitoring ; Seawater ; Carbon ; },
abstract = {This study focuses on assessing coastal vulnerability and habitat sensitivity along the West African coast by delineating hotspots based on surface temperature, pH, chlorophyll-a, particulate organic carbon, and carbonate concentrations between 2018 and 2023 depending on data availability. Initial exploration of these variables revealed two distinct focal points i.e., the Togo-Nigerian coastal stretch and the stretch from Sierra Leone to Mauritania. Lower pH trends (acidification) in surface waters were observed off the West African coast, particularly in areas around the south-south Niger Delta in Nigeria and the coastal regions of Guinea and Guinea Bissau. Sea surface temperature analysis revealed highest temperatures (27-30°C) within Nigeria to Guinea coastal stretch, intermediate temperatures (24-27°C) within the Guinea Bissau and Senegal coastal stretch, and the lowest temperatures off the coast of Mauritania. Furthermore, correlation analysis between sea surface temperature and calcite concentration in the Mauritania-Senegal hotspot, as well as between overland runoff and particulate organic carbon in the Togo-Nigeria hotspot, revealed strong positive associations (r>0.60) and considerable predictive variability (R[2] ≈ 0.40). From the habitat sensitivity analysis, certain regions, including Cape Verde, Côte d'Ivoire, Nigeria, Senegal, and Sierra Leone, exhibited high sensitivity due to environmental challenges and strong human dependence on coastal resources. Conversely, Gambia, Guinea, Guinea-Bissau, Liberia, and Togo displayed lower sensitivity, influenced by geographical-related factors (e.g. coastal layout, topography, etc.) and current levels of economic development (relatively lower industrialization levels). Regional pH variations in West African coastal waters have profound implications for ecosystems, fisheries, and communities. Addressing these challenges requires collaborative regional policies to safeguard shared marine resources. These findings underscore the link between ecosystem health, socioeconomics, and the need for integrated coastal management and ongoing research to support effective conservation.},
}
@article {pmid38140463,
year = {2023},
author = {Martos de la Fuente, GC and Viñegla, B and Illana Rico, E and Fernández Ocaña, AM},
title = {Study of the Photosynthesis Response during the Gradual Lack of Water for 14 Olea europaea L. subsp europaea Cultivars and Their Adaptation to Climate Change.},
journal = {Plants (Basel, Switzerland)},
volume = {12},
number = {24},
pages = {},
pmid = {38140463},
issn = {2223-7747},
support = {ref 101000427//GEN4OLIVE "Mobilization of Olive GenRes through pre-breeding activities to face the future challenges and development of an intelligent interface to ensure a friendly information availability for end users"./ ; },
abstract = {Understanding the tolerance of plants to drought and their gradual response to lack of water is a multifaceted challenge that requires a combination of scientific research and technological innovation. Selecting naturally drought-tolerant plants and knowing their response to photosynthesis in a wide range of water availability opens a door to making decisions about the suitability of different cultivars to be implanted in specific geographical areas, based on their tolerance to drought and light absorption capacity. In this work, photosynthesis-light curves were carried out using a LiCor LI-6800 IRGA device, applying increasing light intensities to plants of 14 olive cultivars, either under control conditions (no water stress) or subject to moderate and severe water deficits. The plants were grown in a culture chamber under controlled conditions for photoperiod, air humidity, temperature, and carbon dioxide concentration. For each cultivar, the electronic transference ratio (ETR) in response to light was also obtained. Different equations were used to fit experimental data allowing us to calculate, with a regression coefficient above 0.95, different photosynthetic parameters such as the maximum photosynthetic capacity, the photosynthetic efficiency, the number of electrons or the number of photons to assimilate a molecule of CO2, and the effect of the lack of water on these parameters. This work represents the first contribution of the response to photosynthesis of many olive cultivars subjected to moderate and severe drought conditions. The parameters described, and the results provided, pave the road for subsequent work related to plant physiology and other areas of science and technology, and allow us to objectively compare the tolerance to water stress in these fourteen olive cultivars.},
}
@article {pmid38140451,
year = {2023},
author = {Yang, J and Fu, Z and Xiao, K and Dong, H and Zhou, Y and Zhan, Q},
title = {Climate Change Potentially Leads to Habitat Expansion and Increases the Invasion Risk of Hydrocharis (Hydrocharitaceae).},
journal = {Plants (Basel, Switzerland)},
volume = {12},
number = {24},
pages = {},
pmid = {38140451},
issn = {2223-7747},
support = {32260046//National Science Foundation of China/ ; 202141004//Joint Open Funding of Hubei Key Laboratory of Economic Forest Germplasm Improvement and Resources Comprehensive Utilization/ ; },
abstract = {Climate change is a crucial factor impacting the geographical distribution of plants and potentially increases the risk of invasion for certain species, especially for aquatic plants dispersed by water flow. Here, we combined six algorithms provided by the biomod2 platform to predict the changes in global climate-suitable areas for five species of Hydrocharis (Hydrocharitaceae) (H. chevalieri, H. dubia, H. laevigata, H. morsus-ranae, and H. spongia) under two current and future carbon emission scenarios. Our results show that H. dubia, H. morsus-ranae, and H. laevigata had a wide range of suitable areas and a high risk of invasion, while H. chevalieri and H. spongia had relatively narrow suitable areas. In the future climate scenario, the species of Hydrocharis may gain a wider habitat area, with Northern Hemisphere species showing a trend of migration to higher latitudes and the change in tropical species being more complex. The high-carbon-emission scenario led to greater changes in the habitat area of Hydrocharis. Therefore, we recommend strengthening the monitoring and reporting of high-risk species and taking effective measures to control the invasion of Hydrocharis species.},
}
@article {pmid38137936,
year = {2023},
author = {Wood, PL and Wood, MD and Kunigelis, SC},
title = {Pilot Lipidomics Study of Copepods: Investigation of Potential Lipid-Based Biomarkers for the Early Detection and Quantification of the Biological Effects of Climate Change on the Oceanic Food Chain.},
journal = {Life (Basel, Switzerland)},
volume = {13},
number = {12},
pages = {},
pmid = {38137936},
issn = {2075-1729},
abstract = {Maintenance of the health of our oceans is critical for the survival of the oceanic food chain upon which humanity is dependent. Zooplanktonic copepods are among the most numerous multicellular organisms on earth. As the base of the primary consumer food web, they constitute a major biomass in oceans, being an important food source for fish and functioning in the carbon cycle. The potential impact of climate change on copepod populations is an area of intense study. Omics technologies offer the potential to detect early metabolic alterations induced by the stresses of climate change. One such omics approach is lipidomics, which can accurately quantify changes in lipid pools serving structural, signal transduction, and energy roles. We utilized high-resolution mass spectrometry (≤2 ppm mass error) to characterize the lipidome of three different species of copepods in an effort to identify lipid-based biomarkers of copepod health and viability which are more sensitive than observational tools. With the establishment of such a lipid database, we will have an analytical platform useful for prospectively monitoring the lipidome of copepods in a planned long-term five-year ecological study of climate change on this oceanic sentinel species. The copepods examined in this pilot study included a North Atlantic species (Calanus finmarchicus) and two species from the Gulf of Mexico, one a filter feeder (Acartia tonsa) and one a hunter (Labidocerca aestiva). Our findings clearly indicate that the lipidomes of copepod species can vary greatly, supporting the need to obtain a broad snapshot of each unique lipidome in a long-term multigeneration prospective study of climate change. This is critical, since there may well be species-specific responses to the stressors of climate change and co-stressors such as pollution. While lipid nomenclature and biochemistry are extremely complex, it is not essential for all readers interested in climate change to understand all of the various lipid classes presented in this study. The clear message from this research is that we can monitor key copepod lipid families with high accuracy, and therefore potentially monitor lipid families that respond to environmental perturbations evoked by climate change.},
}
@article {pmid38137891,
year = {2023},
author = {Ramos Aguila, LC and Li, X and Akutse, KS and Bamisile, BS and Sánchez Moreano, JP and Lie, Z and Liu, J},
title = {Host-Parasitoid Phenology, Distribution, and Biological Control under Climate Change.},
journal = {Life (Basel, Switzerland)},
volume = {13},
number = {12},
pages = {},
pmid = {38137891},
issn = {2075-1729},
support = {2022B1111230001//Key Research and Development Program of Guangdong Province/ ; 41977287, 32101342, 31971459//National Natural Science Foundation of China/ ; 2021M703259, 2021M703260, 2021M693220//China Postdoctoral Science Foundation/ ; },
abstract = {Climate change raises a serious threat to global entomofauna-the foundation of many ecosystems-by threatening species preservation and the ecosystem services they provide. Already, changes in climate-warming-are causing (i) sharp phenological mismatches among host-parasitoid systems by reducing the window of host susceptibility, leading to early emergence of either the host or its associated parasitoid and affecting mismatched species' fitness and abundance; (ii) shifting arthropods' expansion range towards higher altitudes, and therefore migratory pest infestations are more likely; and (iii) reducing biological control effectiveness by natural enemies, leading to potential pest outbreaks. Here, we provided an overview of the warming consequences on biodiversity and functionality of agroecosystems, highlighting the vital role that phenology plays in ecology. Also, we discussed how phenological mismatches would affect biological control efficacy, since an accurate description of stage differentiation (metamorphosis) of a pest and its associated natural enemy is crucial in order to know the exact time of the host susceptibility/suitability or stage when the parasitoids are able to optimize their parasitization or performance. Campaigns regarding landscape structure/heterogeneity, reduction of pesticides, and modelling approaches are urgently needed in order to safeguard populations of natural enemies in a future warmer world.},
}
@article {pmid38136865,
year = {2023},
author = {Song, X and Jiang, Y and Zhao, L and Jin, L and Yan, C and Liao, W},
title = {Predicting the Potential Distribution of the Szechwan Rat Snake (Euprepiophis perlacea) and Its Response to Climate Change in the Yingjing Area of the Giant Panda National Park.},
journal = {Animals : an open access journal from MDPI},
volume = {13},
number = {24},
pages = {},
pmid = {38136865},
issn = {2076-2615},
support = {32300358//National Natural Science Foundation of China/ ; 32370456//National Natural Science Foundation of China/ ; 22NSFSC0011//Key Project of Natural Sciences Foundation of Sichuan Province/ ; },
abstract = {Climate change is a significant driver of changes in the distribution patterns of species and poses a threat to biodiversity, potentially resulting in species extinctions. Investigating the potential distribution of rare and endangered species is crucial for understanding their responses to climate change and for the conservation of biodiversity and ecosystem management. The Szechwan rat snake (Euprepiophis perlacea) is an endemic and endangered species co-distributed with giant pandas, and studying its potential distribution contributes to a better understanding of the distribution pattern of endangered species. In this study, we confirmed seven presence points of this species in the Yingjing Area of the Giant Panda National Park, and selected eleven key factors to predict the potential distribution of E. perlacea under current and future scenarios using MaxEnt models. Our study consistently achieved AUC values exceeding 0.79, meeting the precision requirements of the models. The results indicated that the high potential distribution area of E. perlacea is mainly located near Yunwu mountain and the giant panda rewilding and reintroduction base, accounting for approximately 12% of the protected area. Moreover, we identified the primary environmental factors influencing the distribution of E. perlacea as the distance from streams and the slope degree, with their contribution rates exceeding 41% and 31%, respectively. In comparison to the current scenario, the potential habitat range for E. perlacea did not show an overall reduction in the context of future climate scenarios. To ensure the long-term preservation of E. perlacea, it is advisable to validate its actual distribution based on the models' results. Particular attention should be given to safeguarding its core distribution areas and raising awareness among residents within the potential distribution range about the conservation of E. perlacea.},
}
@article {pmid38136807,
year = {2023},
author = {Cartron, JE and Triepke, FJ and Stahlecker, DW and Arsenault, DP and Ganey, JL and Hathcock, CD and Thompson, HK and Cartron, MC and Calhoun, KC},
title = {Climate Change Habitat Model Forecasts for Eight Owl Species in the Southwestern US.},
journal = {Animals : an open access journal from MDPI},
volume = {13},
number = {24},
pages = {},
pmid = {38136807},
issn = {2076-2615},
abstract = {The high-resolution forecasting of vegetation type shifts may prove essential in anticipating and mitigating the impacts of future climate change on bird populations. Here, we used the US Forest Service Ecological Response Unit (ERU) classification to develop and assess vegetation-based breeding habitat profiles for eight owl species occurring in the foothills and mountains of the Southwestern US. Shifts in mapped habitat were forecast using an ecosystem vulnerability model based on the pre-1990 climate envelopes of ERUs and the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change's (IPCC) A1B moderate-emission scenario for the future climate. For five of the eight owl species, the regional breeding habitat extent was projected to decline by at least 60% by 2090. Three species, the boreal owl (Aegolius funereus; at the trailing edge of its distribution), flammulated owl (Psiloscops flammeolus), and northern pygmy-owl (Glaucidium gnoma), were projected to experience the steepest habitat loss rates of 85%, 85%, and 76%, respectively. Projected vegetation shifts overlaid with well-documented flammulated owl breeding populations showed the complete or near complete loss of habitat by 2090 in areas of montane forest currently supporting dense aggregations of owl territories. Generalist or lower-elevation owl species were predicted to be less impacted, while, for the whiskered screech-owl (Megascops trichopsis), the contraction of the current habitat was nearly offset by a projected northward expansion. In general, the results of this study suggest high exposure to climate change impacts for the upper-elevation forest owls of semi-arid Southwestern North America. Long-distance migration and low natal philopatry may prove important to some montane owl populations in adapting to the regional loss of habitat.},
}
@article {pmid38135310,
year = {2023},
author = {Merino-Urrutia, W and Cárcamo-Fuentes, C and Peña, M and Martinez-Zapata, MJ},
title = {Contribution of hospitals and clinical services to global warming: protocol for a scoping review.},
journal = {BMJ open},
volume = {13},
number = {12},
pages = {e072227},
pmid = {38135310},
issn = {2044-6055},
mesh = {Humans ; *Global Warming ; Hospitals ; Climate Change ; *Greenhouse Gases ; Research Design ; Systematic Reviews as Topic ; Review Literature as Topic ; },
abstract = {INTRODUCTION: Climate change is one of the greatest threats to public health today, placing considerable pressure on the healthcare sector. During patient care processes, hospital facilities contribute to greenhouse gas emissions through the use of greater resources and higher energy consumption. Consequently, there is growing interest among researchers, universities, organisations and governments to study the impact of the healthcare sector on the environment and to develop strategies to mitigate its effects. The aim of this scoping review is to determine the extent and nature of current literature on global warming from hospitals and clinical services, and ways in which they contribute to its effect. Planning and execution of future research are possible once those areas with existing gaps are identified.<br><br>METHODS AND ANALYSIS: A broad literature search will be carried out to illustrate the ways in which hospitals and clinical services, processes and activities contribute to climate change. Our protocol was drafted using the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic reviews and Meta-Analyses extension for Scoping Reviews. The final protocol was registered prospectively with the Open Science Framework. All identified studies indexed in Medline, Scopus and Embase will be examined.<br><br>ETHICS AND DISSEMINATION: This project is literature-based research; therefore, it does not require ethical approval. The results will be presented to researchers as well as policymakers in this particular area, via conferences, webinars, podcasts and online events. A peer-reviewed publication will be submitted to specific journals of interest.},
}
@article {pmid38135098,
year = {2023},
author = {Ahmad, T and Kumar, N and Kumar, A and Mubashir, M and Bokhari, A and Paswan, BK and Qiblawey, H},
title = {Unveiling the potential of membrane in climate change mitigation and environmental resilience in ecosystem.},
journal = {Environmental research},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {117960},
doi = {10.1016/j.envres.2023.117960},
pmid = {38135098},
issn = {1096-0953},
abstract = {Carbon capture technologies are becoming increasingly crucial in addressing global climate change issues by lowering CO2 emissions from industrial and power generation activities. Post-combustion carbon capture, which uses membranes instead of adsorbents, has emerged as one of promising and environmentally friendly approaches among these technologies. The operation of membrane technology is based on the premise of selectively separating CO2 from flue gas emissions. This provides a number of different benefits, including improved energy efficiency and decreased costs of operation. Because of its adaptability to changing conditions and its low impact on the surrounding ecosystem, it is an appealing choice for a diverse array of uses. However, there are still issues to be resolved, such as those pertaining to establishing a high selectivity, membrane degradation, and the costs of the necessary materials. In this article, we evaluate and explore the prospective applications and roles of membrane technologies to control climate change by post-combustion carbon capturing. The primary proposition suggests that the utilization of membrane-based carbon capture has the potential to make a substantial impact in mitigating CO2 emissions originating from industrial and power production activities. This is due to its heightened ability to selectively absorb carbon, better efficiency in energy consumption, and its flexibility to various applications. The forthcoming challenges and potential associated with the application of membranes in post-carbon capture are also discussed.},
}
@article {pmid38131822,
year = {2023},
author = {Leite, &#xc2; and Lopes, D and Pereira, L},
title = {Pro-Environmental Behavior and Climate Change Anxiety, Perception, Hope, and Despair According to Political Orientation.},
journal = {Behavioral sciences (Basel, Switzerland)},
volume = {13},
number = {12},
pages = {},
pmid = {38131822},
issn = {2076-328X},
abstract = {The main objective of this paper is to assess pro-environmental behavior, climate change anxiety, perception, hope, and despair in different political orientations. Our specific aims included to assess the validity of all the instruments used; to assess whether the factor structure of the scales were valid across political orientations; to evaluate their reliability; to assess differences concerning age, gender, and political orientation; to learn the variables that explain pro-environmental behavior; and to evaluate the moderating role of climate change perception, despair, and hope in the relationship between climate change anxiety and pro-environmental behavior. Confirmatory factor analyses (CFAs), multi-group CFAs (to calculate measurement invariance), multiple linear regressions, and moderations were performed. Results showed that pro-environmental behavior and climate change hope achieved the four assessed levels of invariance across different political orientations; climate change anxiety achieved the first three levels of invariance; and climate change perception and climate change despair achieved configural invariance. Climate change anxiety, personal experience with climate change, and climate change perception (total, reality, and consequences) presented higher values for the left political orientation than for the right or the center. Climate change anxiety variables contributed most to explaining pro-environmental behaviors. Hope, despair, and climate change perception (consequences) moderated the relationship between climate change anxiety and pro-environmental behavior. These results open up new avenues for investigation, specifically to understand why high levels of anxiety lead to more pro-environmental behaviors.},
}
@article {pmid38131729,
year = {2023},
author = {Matlack, M and Covert, H and Shankar, A and Zijlmans, W and Abdoel Wahid, F and Hindori-Mohangoo, A and Lichtveld, M},
title = {Development of a Pilot Literacy Scale to Assess Knowledge, Attitudes, and Behaviors towards Climate Change and Infectious Disease Dynamics in Suriname.},
journal = {International journal of environmental research and public health},
volume = {20},
number = {24},
pages = {},
pmid = {38131729},
issn = {1660-4601},
support = {D43 TW009340/TW/FIC NIH HHS/United States ; U01 TW010087/TW/FIC NIH HHS/United States ; U2R TW010104/TW/FIC NIH HHS/United States ; D43TW009340/TW/FIC NIH HHS/United States ; },
mesh = {Animals ; Humans ; Female ; Climate Change ; Suriname ; Health Knowledge, Attitudes, Practice ; Mosquito Vectors ; *Communicable Diseases/epidemiology ; *Health Literacy ; *Aedes ; Surveys and Questionnaires ; Reproducibility of Results ; Psychometrics ; },
abstract = {Prior research has shown that climate literacy is sparse among low- and middle-income countries. Additionally, no standardized questionnaire exists for researchers to measure climate literacy among general populations, particularly with regards to climate change effects on vector-borne diseases (VBDs). We developed a comprehensive literacy scale to assess current knowledge, attitudes, and behaviors towards climate change and VBD dynamics among women enrolled in the Caribbean Consortium for Research in Environmental and Occupational Health (CCREOH) cohort in Suriname. Items were generated by our research team and reviewed by a group of six external climate and health experts. After the expert review, a total of 31 climate change and 21 infectious disease items were retained. We estimated our sample size at a 10:1 ratio of participants to items for each scale. In total, 301 women were surveyed. We validated our scales through exploratory (n = 180) and confirmatory factor analyses (n = 121). An exploratory factor analysis for our general Climate Change Scale provided a four-construct solution of 11 items. Our chi-squared value (X[2] = 74.32; p = 0.136) indicated that four factors were sufficient. A confirmatory factor analysis reinforced our findings, providing a good model fit (X[2] = 39.03; p = 0.23; RMSEA = 0.015). Our Infectious Disease Scale gave a four-construct solution of nine items (X[2] = 153.86; p = 0.094). A confirmatory factor analysis confirmed these results, with a chi-squared value of 19.16 (p = 0.575) and an RMSEA of 0.00. This research is vitally important for furthering climate and health education, especially with increases in VBDs spread by Aedes mosquitoes in the Caribbean, South America, and parts of the southern United States.},
}
@article {pmid38128674,
year = {2023},
author = {Nakulopa, F and Bärlund, I and Borchardt, D},
title = {How a reservoir modulates downstream water quality under declining upstream loading and progressing climate change.},
journal = {The Science of the total environment},
volume = {912},
number = {},
pages = {169460},
doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2023.169460},
pmid = {38128674},
issn = {1879-1026},
abstract = {Reservoirs regulate water flow and pollutant transport in catchments. However, climate change can significantly impact their ability to perform this function. This study analysed a multi-decadal time series of data to examine the complex relationship between climate and nutrient pollution trends in the Möhne reservoir catchment. The study aimed at understanding the effect of the reservoir on downstream nutrient pollution in the face of a changing climate. The analysis revealed that upstream nutrient concentrations were higher than downstream, indicating a general nutrient-trapping effect of the reservoir. Upstream stations exhibited a declining trend in total nitrogen (TN) and total phosphorus (TP) concentrations. This was due to improved wastewater management and reduced nutrient mobilisation resulting from decreasing surface runoff and streamflow. At the downstream station, whereas TN concentrations decreased, TP concentrations mildly increased. These opposite downstream trends were likely due to rising temperatures and declining dissolved oxygen concentration within the reservoir, which might have favoured nitrogen denitrification and internal phosphorus loading, causing the decline and increase in downstream TN and TP concentrations, respectively. The contrasting downstream TN and TP trends alter the nutrient stoichiometry, which can profoundly affect the ecosystem's biogeochemical functioning. Therefore, in a warming climate, reservoirs may modulate nitrogen and phosphorus nutrients differently, leading to ecological discontinuities along river networks due to changes in TN-to-TP ratios. The study highlights the need to develop adaptable and precise nutrient pollution management strategies in reservoir catchments to address the challenges of climate change effectively.},
}
@article {pmid38128210,
year = {2024},
author = {Karamidehkordi, E and Karimi, V and Hallaj, Z and Karimi, M and Naderi, L},
title = {Adaptable leadership for arid/semi-arid wetlands conservation under climate change: Using Analytical Hierarchy Process (AHP) approach.},
journal = {Journal of environmental management},
volume = {351},
number = {},
pages = {119860},
doi = {10.1016/j.jenvman.2023.119860},
pmid = {38128210},
issn = {1095-8630},
abstract = {Adverse socio-economic and environmental impacts of climate change on wetlands have enforced the international community and many nations to develop adaptive policies for wetland management, which require effective leadership to influence relevant stakeholders. This study identifies and prioritizes leadership functions and theories for climate change adaptation (CCA) in wetlands ecosystems, particularly in arid and semi-arid regions. A mixed qualitative-quantitative research methodology was applied through focus groups and a survey with a sample of national, sub-national, and local experts on wetlands management and climate change in Iran. The Analytic Hierarchy Processing (AHP) technique identified the political-administrative (weight = 0.245), adaptive (W = 0.244), and enabling (W = 0.237) functions for CCA, respectively, as three prioritized leadership functions, followed by the dissemination function (W = 0.102), which emphasizes the necessity of applying and enhancing leaders' social capacities, knowledge, communication skills, and personal networks to facilitate social learning and actions regarding CCA in local communities and among relevant organizations. It is necessary to overcome structural and functional barriers for leaders and their followers to information access and involvement in participatory decision-making platforms. Moreover, network and communication leadership theories (W = 0.368) and sustainable leadership perspectives (W = 0.362), respectively, have the highest priority among leadership theories and are crucial for establishing participatory decision-making among relevant stakeholders and applying adaptive strategies for wetlands governance under climate change conditions. The reconceptualization of leadership as a complex adaptive notion draws attention to the social complexities and emerging characteristics of leadership in contemporary societies and organizations. The understanding of leaders' and followers' networks and identifying the core role of leaders provides a foundation for developing leadership functions and theories beyond hierarchical, individualistic, and one-way concepts of leadership.},
}
@article {pmid38128082,
year = {2023},
author = {Green, C and Joyce, A and Hutton, RW and Dembek, K and Carey, G},
title = {A systems science leverage point analysis of climate change advocacy.},
journal = {Health promotion international},
volume = {38},
number = {6},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1093/heapro/daad168},
pmid = {38128082},
issn = {1460-2245},
mesh = {Humans ; *Climate Change ; *Public Health ; Australia ; Government ; Policy ; },
abstract = {Failure of governments across the world to address climate change has fuelled social movements focused on climate-related policy and action. Research analysing these movements has focused mainly on the types of strategies employed including blockades and occupations, marches and petitions, divestment, boycotts and litigation as well as how groups are framing climate change as a problem. What has been largely missed are the ways these groups are framing the change they want to see, that is their demands to governments. Not all demands and actions have the same potential to create the changes needed to mitigate climate change. Used in public health and health promotion, the systems science Intervention Level Framework (ILF) is a tool that can help analyse to what extent different demands have the leverage to create change in a system. We use the ILF to analyse 131 demands from 35 different climate-related advocacy groups in Australia. Results show demands are more focused on lower system leverage points, such as stopping particular projects, rather than on more impactful leverage points, such as the governance structures that determine climate-related policy and decision-making mechanisms. Further, the results highlight the lack of attention on public health related topics of transport and food systems. This paper shows how a systems science framework used in health promotion, the ILF, could enable climate advocacy groups to more effectively target demands to achieve more impactful outcomes from governments, corporations and the public.},
}
@article {pmid38127155,
year = {2023},
author = {Raulf, M},
title = {[Climate change and type I allergies at the workplace].},
journal = {Dermatologie (Heidelberg, Germany)},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
pmid = {38127155},
issn = {2731-7013},
abstract = {The consequences of climate change, the increasing frequency, duration and intensity of extreme events such as excessive drought, heat waves, large-scale forest fires, heavy rainfall and associated flooding also affect workers' conditions in the workplace in many ways. Allergic diseases of the respiratory tract and skin due to workplace exposure can also arise or be influenced by direct and indirect consequences of climate change. This affects outdoor workers not only through increased exposure to pollen allergens, but also through climate-related increases in typical workplace allergens. As an indirect effect of climate change, manufacturing processes and exposure at workplaces are changing, which can also cause new sensitization and allergies. Lifestyle changes, which are primarily intended to contribute to climate protection and sustainability, can also lead to new or changed products and thus to changed manufacturing processes and exposures in the workplace, so this should also be considered an indirect effect of climate change on the health of workers. The emergence of new occupational sources of sensitization due to new or changed allergen exposures must be considered in the context of occupational health and safety and requires proactive measures to protect workers.},
}
@article {pmid38126264,
year = {2023},
author = {Padullés Cubino, J and Lenoir, J and Li, D and Montaño-Centellas, FA and Retana, J and Baeten, L and Bernhardt-Römermann, M and Chudomelová, M and Closset, D and Decocq, G and De Frenne, P and Diekmann, M and Dirnböck, T and Durak, T and Hédl, R and Heinken, T and Jaroszewicz, B and Kopecký, M and Macek, M and Máliš, F and Naaf, T and Orczewska, A and Petřík, P and Pielech, R and Reczyńska, K and Schmidt, W and Standovár, T and Świerkosz, K and Teleki, B and Verheyen, K and Vild, O and Waller, D and Wulf, M and Chytrý, M},
title = {Evaluating plant lineage losses and gains in temperate forest understories: a phylogenetic perspective on climate change and nitrogen deposition.},
journal = {The New phytologist},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1111/nph.19477},
pmid = {38126264},
issn = {1469-8137},
support = {2020-BP-00013//Ag&#xe8;ncia de Gesti&#xf3; d'Ajuts Universitaris i de Recerca/ ; APVV-19-0319//Agent&#xfa;ra na Podporu V&#xfd;skumu a V&#xfd;voja/ ; RVO 67985939//Akademie V&#x11b;d &#x10c;esk&#xe9; Republiky/ ; 871128//EU Horizon 2020-funded eLTER PLUS project/ ; 19-28491X//Grantov&#xe1; Agentura &#x10c;esk&#xe9; Republiky/ ; DEB 2213567//National Science Foundation/ ; },
abstract = {Global change has accelerated local species extinctions and colonizations, often resulting in losses and gains of evolutionary lineages with unique features. Do these losses and gains occur randomly across the phylogeny? We quantified: temporal changes in plant phylogenetic diversity (PD); and the phylogenetic relatedness (PR) of lost and gained species in 2672 semi-permanent vegetation plots in European temperate forest understories resurveyed over an average period of 40 yr. Controlling for differences in species richness, PD increased slightly over time and across plots. Moreover, lost species within plots exhibited a higher degree of PR than gained species. This implies that gained species originated from a more diverse set of evolutionary lineages than lost species. Certain lineages also lost and gained more species than expected by chance, with Ericaceae, Fabaceae, and Orchidaceae experiencing losses and Amaranthaceae, Cyperaceae, and Rosaceae showing gains. Species losses and gains displayed no significant phylogenetic signal in response to changes in macroclimatic conditions and nitrogen deposition. As anthropogenic global change intensifies, temperate forest understories experience losses and gains in specific phylogenetic branches and ecological strategies, while the overall mean PD remains relatively stable.},
}
@article {pmid38125843,
year = {2023},
author = {Barteit, S and Colmar, D and Nellis, S and Thu, M and Watterson, J and Gouwanda, D and Bärnighausen, T and Su, TT},
title = {Developing Climate Change and Health Impact Monitoring with eHealth at the South East Asia Community Observatory and Health and Demographic Surveillance Site, Malaysia (CHIMES).},
journal = {Frontiers in public health},
volume = {11},
number = {},
pages = {1153149},
pmid = {38125843},
issn = {2296-2565},
mesh = {Humans ; Malaysia/epidemiology ; Climate Change ; Reproducibility of Results ; *Pulmonary Disease, Chronic Obstructive/epidemiology ; *Asthma ; *Telemedicine ; Demography ; Asia, Eastern ; },
abstract = {BACKGROUND: Malaysia is projected to experience an increase in heat, rainfall, rainfall variability, dry spells, thunderstorms, and high winds due to climate change. This may lead to a rise in heat-related mortality, reduced nutritional security, and potential migration due to uninhabitable land. Currently, there is limited data regarding the health implications of climate change on the Malaysian populace, which hinders informed decision-making and interventions.<br><br>OBJECTIVE: This study aims to assess the feasibility and reliability of using sensor-based devices to enhance climate change and health research within the SEACO health and demographic surveillance site (HDSS) in Malaysia. We will particularly focus on the effects of climate-sensitive diseases, emphasizing lung conditions like chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) and asthma.<br><br>METHODS: In our mixed-methods approach, 120 participants (>18&#x2009;years) from the SEACO HDSS in Segamat, Malaysia, will be engaged over three cycles, each lasting 3&#x2009;weeks. Participants will use wearables to monitor heart rate, activity, and sleep. Indoor sensors will measure temperature in indoor living spaces, while 3D-printed weather stations will track indoor temperature and humidity. In each cycle, a minimum of 10 participants at high risk for COPD or asthma will be identified. Through interviews and questionnaires, we will evaluate the devices' reliability, the prevalence of climate-sensitive lung diseases, and their correlation with environmental factors, like heat and humidity.<br><br>RESULTS: We anticipate that the sensor-based measurements will offer a comprehensive understanding of the interplay between climate-sensitive diseases and weather variables. The data is expected to reveal correlations between health impacts and weather exposures like heat. Participant feedback will offer perspectives on the usability and feasibility of these digital tools.<br><br>CONCLUSION: Our study within the SEACO HDSS in Malaysia will evaluate the potential of sensor-based digital technologies in monitoring the interplay between climate change and health, particularly for climate-sensitive diseases like COPD and asthma. The data generated will likely provide details on health profiles in relation to weather exposures. Feedback will indicate the acceptability of these tools for broader health surveillance. As climate change continues to impact global health, evaluating the potential of such digital technologies is crucial to understand its potential to inform policy and intervention strategies in vulnerable regions.},
}
@article {pmid38125465,
year = {2023},
author = {Zhao, X and Pan, F and Ma, X and Raza, SA and Zhou, X},
title = {New challenges in mitigating climate change: Digital teaching for the sustainable development and innovation.},
journal = {Heliyon},
volume = {9},
number = {12},
pages = {e22829},
pmid = {38125465},
issn = {2405-8440},
abstract = {The phenomenon of climate change has become a global challenge that affects human activities in many ways. Exploring the sustainability and innovativeness of digital education is an important reference for the further implementation of science and education strategies and positive effects on climate change mitigation. This study designed two questionnaires for basic and tertiary education to address variability in education and collected 523 samples for basic education and 412 samples for tertiary education respectively. Using digital teaching practices and digital teaching quality as mediators, structural equation modelling (SEM) was used to examine the impact of digital education on sustainability and innovation in education. Research shows that digital teaching and learning in basic and higher education can significantly contribute to the two-way development of educational sustainability and innovation, through digital teaching and learning practices. Digital teaching practice and digital teaching quality in higher education play a complete mediating role, while basic education only plays a partial mediating role. Higher education emphasizes digital teaching and learning practice processes and teaching quality, and most students hope that online teaching and learning can be further integrated with offline education to form a new model of education. This study will help government departments understand the pedagogical reality of digital education at a deeper level and provide ideas for the subsequent sustainable development and educational innovation of digital teaching. It can also provide new ideas for climate change mitigation and sustainable development.},
}
@article {pmid38124219,
year = {2023},
author = {Stahl, RG and Boxall, A and Brix, K and Landis, WG and Stauber, JL and Moe, SJ},
title = {Incorporating climate change model projections into ecological risk assessments to help inform risk management and adaptation strategies: synthesis of a SETAC Pellston Workshop®.},
journal = {Integrated environmental assessment and management},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1002/ieam.4883},
pmid = {38124219},
issn = {1551-3793},
abstract = {The impacts of global climate change are not yet well integrated with the estimates of the impacts of chemicals on the environment. This is evidenced by the lack of consideration in national or international reports that evaluate the impacts of climate change and chemicals on ecosystems, and the relatively few peer-reviewed publications that have focused on this interaction. In response, a 2011 Pellston Workshop® was held on this issue and resulted in seven publications in Environmental Toxicology and Chemistry. Yet, these publications did not move the field towards climate change and chemicals as important factors together in research or policy making. Here we summarize the outcomes of a second Pellston Workshop® on this topic held in 2022, that included climate scientists, environmental toxicologists, chemists, and ecological risk assessors from 12 countries and various sectors. Participants were charged to assess where climate models can be applied to evaluating potential exposure and ecological effects at geographical and temporal scales suitable for ecological risk assessment, and thereby be incorporated into adaptive risk management strategies. We highlight results from the workshop's five publications included in the special series "Incorporating Global Climate Change into Ecological Risk Assessments: Strategies, Methods and Examples". We end this summary with the overall conclusions and recommendations from participants.},
}
@article {pmid38124128,
year = {2023},
author = {Kost, GJ and Füzéry, AK and Caratao, LKR and Tinsay, S and Zadran, A and Ybañez, AP},
title = {Using geographic rescue time contours, point-of-care strategies, and spatial care paths to prepare island communities for global warming, rising oceans, and weather disasters.},
journal = {International journal of health geographics},
volume = {22},
number = {1},
pages = {38},
pmid = {38124128},
issn = {1476-072X},
mesh = {Humans ; Point-of-Care Systems ; Global Warming ; *Disasters ; Weather ; *Myocardial Infarction ; Patient Care Planning ; },
abstract = {OBJECTIVES: To perform geographic contour analysis of sea and land ambulance rescue times in an archipelago subject to super typhoons; to design point-of-care testing strategies for medical emergencies and weather disasters made more intense by global warming and rising oceans; and to assess needs for prehospital testing on spatial care paths that accelerate decision making, increase efficiency, improve outcomes, and enhance standards of care in island nations.<br><br>METHODS: We performed needs assessments, inspected healthcare facilities, and collected ambulance rescue times from professionals in the Bantayan Archipelago, Philippines. We mapped sea/land ambulance rescue routes and time contours. To reveal gaps, we statistically compared the fastest and slowest patient rescue times from islands/islets and barangays to the District Hospital on Bantayan Island. We developed spatial care paths (the fastest routes to care) for acute myocardial infarction, community care, and infectious diseases. We generated a compendium of prehospital diagnostic testing and integrated outcomes evidence, diagnostic needs, and public health goals to recommend point-of-care strategies that build geographic health resilience.<br><br>RESULTS: We observed limited access to COVID-19 assays, absence of blood gas/pH testing for critical care support, and spatial gaps in land and airborne rescues that worsened during inclement weather and sea swells. Mean paired differences (slowest-fastest) in ambulance rescue times to the District Hospital for both islands and barangays were significant (P&#x2009;<&#x2009;0.0001). Spatial care path analysis showed where point-of-care cardiac troponin testing should be implemented for expedited care of acute myocardial infarction. Geospatial strengths comprised distributed primary care that can be facilitated by point-of-care testing, logical interisland transfers for which decision making and triage could be accelerated with onboard diagnostics, and healthcare networks amenable to medical advances in prehospital testing that accelerate treatment.<br><br>CONCLUSIONS: Point-of-care testing should be positioned upstream close to homes and island populations that have prolonged rescue time contours. Geospatially optimized point-of-need diagnostics and distributed prehospital testing have high potential to improve outcomes. These improvements will potentially decrease disparities in mortality among archipelago versus urban dwellers, help improve island public health, and enhance resilience for increasingly adverse and frequent climate change weather disasters that impact vulnerable coastal areas. [350 words].},
}
@article {pmid38123078,
year = {2023},
author = {Yang, Y and Wang, Y and Cong, N and Wang, N and Yao, W},
title = {Impacts of the Three Gorges Dam on riparian vegetation in the Yangtze River Basin under climate change.},
journal = {The Science of the total environment},
volume = {912},
number = {},
pages = {169415},
doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2023.169415},
pmid = {38123078},
issn = {1879-1026},
abstract = {As the largest hydroelectric project in the world, the Three Gorges Dam (TGD) is expected to have significant environmental and ecological impacts on riparian vegetation in the Yangtze River Basin (YRB). However, existing studies have mainly focused on small segments of the YRB. In addition, few studies have quantified the responses of riparian vegetation to both climatic factors and dam construction. In this study, we investigated riparian vegetation dynamics over the entire YRB before, during, and after the construction of TGD from 1982 to 2015 using the normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI). Furthermore, the effects of climatic factors and dam construction on riparian vegetation were quantitatively analyzed using path analysis. The results demonstrate that the YRB has experienced a generally greening trend after TGD construction. The impacts of climate change on riparian vegetation have exhibited notable spatial heterogeneity and temperature is the main climatic factor that affects riparian vegetation growth. Moreover, TGD becomes the major contributor to riparian vegetation dynamics in the YRB after TGD construction. TGD has not only directly enhanced riparian vegetation but also indirectly affected riparian vegetation by regulating the microclimate. This study highlights the significance of anthropogenic interference when evaluating the relationships between riparian vegetation and climatic factors, providing useful insights for the effective management and conservation of large-scale riparian ecosystems.},
}
@article {pmid38123051,
year = {2023},
author = {Li, B and Yang, X and Wang, Y and Rady, A and Zhang, Y},
title = {Intrinsic relationship of outdoor activities between climate change and coastal management: Fresh evidence from the spatial analysis of China.},
journal = {Environmental research},
volume = {244},
number = {},
pages = {117961},
doi = {10.1016/j.envres.2023.117961},
pmid = {38123051},
issn = {1096-0953},
abstract = {By utilizing the mediation effect model and the spatial Durbin model, this research investigates the influence that environmental restrictions have had on marine pollution in 38 coastal prefecture-level cities from the years 2000-2018. In order to gain a comprehensive understanding of the effect that environmental legislation has on contamination in offshore regions as well as its primary goal, the research takes a variety of different approaches into consideration. Following are the findings from the study; Firstly, pollution levels in coastal marine areas tend to rise at first and then fall when environmental laws are enacted, illustrating a non-linear pattern known as an inverted "U" shape. In order to improve the maritime environment through environmental legislation, it is crucial to support new green technologies. There is a "U" shaped linkage amongst environmental legislation and development of environmentally friendly technologies. Spatial spillover effects may allow for the regulation of coastal city environments to affect marine pollution in neighboring areas. Secondly, there is also an inverted "U" pattern visible in the impact trajectory of this effect. According to the results of this research, it is crucial to set up a strict and factually sound regulatory framework in the field of marine environmental governance. It is also suggested that local context be taken into account while crafting environmental regulating regulations. Also, it's crucial to promote development, dissemination, and use of green technology by completely capitalizing on the innovation's conduction effect. Thirdly, promoting cooperation efforts among areas to avoid and control such pollution is essential, and the transfer and management of offshore pollution between regions must be a top priority.},
}
@article {pmid38116505,
year = {2023},
author = {Xu, R and Yu, P and Liu, Y and Chen, G and Yang, Z and Zhang, Y and Wu, Y and Beggs, PJ and Zhang, Y and Boocock, J and Ji, F and Hanigan, I and Jay, O and Bi, P and Vargas, N and Leder, K and Green, D and Quail, K and Huxley, R and Jalaludin, B and Hu, W and Dennekamp, M and Vardoulakis, S and Bone, A and Abrahams, J and Johnston, FH and Broome, R and Capon, T and Li, S and Guo, Y},
title = {Climate change, environmental extremes, and human health in Australia: challenges, adaptation strategies, and policy gaps.},
journal = {The Lancet regional health. Western Pacific},
volume = {40},
number = {},
pages = {100936},
pmid = {38116505},
issn = {2666-6065},
abstract = {Climate change presents a major public health concern in Australia, marked by unprecedented wildfires, heatwaves, floods, droughts, and the spread of climate-sensitive infectious diseases. Despite these challenges, Australia's response to the climate crisis has been inadequate and subject to change by politics, public sentiment, and global developments. This study illustrates the spatiotemporal patterns of selected climate-related environmental extremes (heatwaves, wildfires, floods, and droughts) across Australia during the past two decades, and summarizes climate adaptation measures and actions that have been taken by the national, state/territory, and local governments. Our findings reveal significant impacts of climate-related environmental extremes on the health and well-being of Australians. While governments have implemented various adaptation strategies, these plans must be further developed to yield concrete actions. Moreover, Indigenous Australians should not be left out in these adaptation efforts. A collaborative, comprehensive approach involving all levels of government is urgently needed to prevent, mitigate, and adapt to the health impacts of climate change.},
}
@article {pmid38116504,
year = {2023},
author = {Pourzand, F and Bolton, A and Salter, C and Hales, S and Woodward, A},
title = {Health and climate change: adaptation policy in Aotearoa New Zealand.},
journal = {The Lancet regional health. Western Pacific},
volume = {40},
number = {},
pages = {100954},
pmid = {38116504},
issn = {2666-6065},
abstract = {Recent extreme weather events attributable to climate change have major implications for policy. Here we summarize and evaluate the current state of climate change adaptation policy, from a health perspective, for Aotearoa New Zealand, based on government sources. Legislation relating to both environmental management and health are currently subject to major reforms. At present, adaptation policy emphasises protection of health care facilities from climate extremes; there is insufficient attention paid to broader determinants of health. We argue for greater health input into adaptation planning. Without intersectoral collaboration, contributions from diverse communities, and better support of indigenous solutions, climate change policy is unlikely to achieve effective health outcomes and there is a risk that climate change will exacerbate inequities. We recommend that the Climate Change Commission engage formally and directly with health bodies to strengthen the Commission's advice on the implications of climate change, and of national climate change policies, on health and equity. Climate resilient development does not occur without better public health. For this reason, the health sector has a critical role in the development and implementation of adaptation policy.},
}
@article {pmid38116501,
year = {2023},
author = {Aik, J and Ang, L and Gunther, SH and Tang, C and Lee, JKW and Seow, WJ},
title = {Climate change and population health in Singapore: a systematic review.},
journal = {The Lancet regional health. Western Pacific},
volume = {40},
number = {},
pages = {100947},
pmid = {38116501},
issn = {2666-6065},
abstract = {UNLABELLED: Gaseous emissions have contributed to global warming, an increase in the frequency of extreme weather events and poorer air quality. The associated health impacts have been well reported in temperate regions. In Singapore, key climate change adaptation measures and activities include coastal and flood protection, and mitigating heat impacts. We systematically reviewed studies examining climate variability and air quality with population health in Singapore, a tropical city-state in South-East Asia (SEA), with the aim to identify evidence gaps for policymakers. We included 14 studies with respiratory illnesses, cardiovascular outcomes, foodborne disease and dengue. Absolute humidity (3 studies) and rainfall (2 studies) were positively associated with adverse health. Extreme heat (2 studies) was inversely associated with adverse health. The effects of mean ambient temperature and relative humidity on adverse health were inconsistent. Nitrogen dioxide and ozone were positively associated with adverse health. Climate variability and air quality may have disease-specific, differing directions of effect in Singapore. Additional high quality studies are required to strengthen the evidence for policymaking. Research on effective climate action advocacy and adaptation measures for community activities should be strengthened.<br><br>FUNDING: There was no funding source for this study.},
}
@article {pmid38116500,
year = {2023},
author = {Ji, JS and Xia, Y and Liu, L and Zhou, W and Chen, R and Dong, G and Hu, Q and Jiang, J and Kan, H and Li, T and Li, Y and Liu, Q and Liu, Y and Long, Y and Lv, Y and Ma, J and Ma, Y and Pelin, K and Shi, X and Tong, S and Xie, Y and Xu, L and Yuan, C and Zeng, H and Zhao, B and Zheng, G and Liang, W and Chan, M and Huang, C},
title = {China's public health initiatives for climate change adaptation.},
journal = {The Lancet regional health. Western Pacific},
volume = {40},
number = {},
pages = {100965},
pmid = {38116500},
issn = {2666-6065},
abstract = {China's health gains over the past decades face potential reversals if climate change adaptation is not prioritized. China's temperature rise surpasses the global average due to urban heat islands and ecological changes, and demands urgent actions to safeguard public health. Effective adaptation need to consider China's urbanization trends, underlying non-communicable diseases, an aging population, and future pandemic threats. Climate change adaptation initiatives and strategies include urban green space, healthy indoor environments, spatial planning for cities, advance location-specific early warning systems for extreme weather events, and a holistic approach for linking carbon neutrality to health co-benefits. Innovation and technology uptake is a crucial opportunity. China's successful climate adaptation can foster international collaboration regionally and beyond.},
}
@article {pmid38116497,
year = {2023},
author = {Linh Tran, NQ and Cam Hong Le, HT and Pham, CT and Nguyen, XH and Tran, ND and Thi Tran, TH and Nghiem, S and Ly Luong, TM and Bui, V and Nguyen-Huy, T and Doan, VQ and Dang, KA and Thuong Do, TH and Thi Ngo, HK and Nguyen, TV and Nguyen, NH and Do, MC and Ton, TN and Thu Dang, TA and Nguyen, K and Tran, XB and Thai, P and Phung, D},
title = {Climate change and human health in Vietnam: a systematic review and additional analyses on current impacts, future risk, and adaptation.},
journal = {The Lancet regional health. Western Pacific},
volume = {40},
number = {},
pages = {100943},
pmid = {38116497},
issn = {2666-6065},
abstract = {This study aims to investigate climate change's impact on health and adaptation in Vietnam through a systematic review and additional analyses of heat exposure, heat vulnerability, awareness and engagement, and projected health costs. Out of 127 reviewed studies, findings indicated the wider spread of infectious diseases, and increased mortality and hospitalisation risks associated with extreme heat, droughts, and floods. However, there are few studies addressing health cost, awareness, engagement, adaptation, and policy. Additional analyses showed rising heatwave exposure across Vietnam and global above-average vulnerability to heat. By 2050, climate change is projected to cost up to USD1-3B in healthcare costs, USD3-20B in premature deaths, and USD6-23B in work loss. Despite increased media focus on climate and health, a gap between public and government publications highlighted the need for more governmental engagement. Vietnam's climate policies have faced implementation challenges, including top-down approaches, lack of cooperation, low adaptive capacity, and limited resources.},
}
@article {pmid38112854,
year = {2023},
author = {Ngarega, BK and Chaibva, P and Masocha, VF and Saina, JK and Khine, PK and Schneider, H},
title = {Application of MaxEnt modeling to evaluate the climate change effects on the geographic distribution of Lippia javanica (Burm.f.) Spreng in Africa.},
journal = {Environmental monitoring and assessment},
volume = {196},
number = {1},
pages = {62},
pmid = {38112854},
issn = {1573-2959},
mesh = {Humans ; *Climate Change ; *Lippia ; Environmental Monitoring ; Africa ; Ecosystem ; Plants ; },
abstract = {Lippia javanica is a typical indigenous plant species mostly found in the higher elevation or mountainous regions in southern, central, and eastern Africa. The ongoing utilization of the species for ethnobotanical applications and traditional uses, coupled with the changing climate, increases the risk of a potential reduction in its geographic distribution range in the region. Herein, we utilized the MaxEnt species distribution modelling to build the L. javanica distribution models in tropical and subtropical African regions for current and future climates. The MaxEnt models were calibrated and fitted using 286 occurrence records and six environmental variables. Temperatures, including temperature seasonality [Bio 4] and the maximum temperature of the warmest month [Bio 5], were observed to be the most significant determinants of L. javanica's distribution. The current projected range for L. javanica was estimated to be 2,118,457 km[2]. Future model predictions indicated that L. javanica may increase its geographic distribution in western areas of the continent and regions around the equator; however, much of the geographic range in southern Africa may shift southwards, causing the species to lose portions of the northern limits of the habitat range. These current findings can help increase the conservation of L. javanica and other species and combat localized species loss induced by climate change and human pressure. We also emphasize the importance of more investigations and enhanced surveillance of traditionally used plant species in regions that are acutely susceptible to climate change.},
}
@article {pmid38111977,
year = {2023},
author = {Mancini, G and Santini, L and Cazalis, V and Reşit Akçakaya, H and Lucas, PM and Brooks, TM and Foden, W and Marco, MD},
title = {A standard approach for including climate change responses in IUCN Red List assessments.},
journal = {Conservation biology : the journal of the Society for Conservation Biology},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1111/cobi.14227},
pmid = {38111977},
issn = {1523-1739},
abstract = {The International Union for Conservation of Nature (IUCN) Red List is a central tool for extinction risk monitoring and influences global biodiversity policy and action. But, to be effective, it is crucial that it consistently accounts for each driver of extinction. Climate change is rapidly becoming a key extinction driver, but consideration of climate change information remains challenging for the IUCN. Several methods can be used to predict species' future decline, but they often fail to provide estimates of the symptoms of endangerment used by IUCN. We devised a standardized method to measure climate change impact in terms of change in habitat quality to inform criterion A3 on future population reduction. Using terrestrial nonvolant tetrapods as a case study, we measured this impact as the difference between the current and the future species climatic niche, defined based on current and future bioclimatic variables under alternative model algorithms, dispersal scenarios, emission scenarios, and climate models. Our models identified 171 species (13% out of those analyzed) for which their current red-list category could worsen under criterion A3 if they cannot disperse beyond their current range in the future. Categories for 14 species (1.5%) could worsen if maximum dispersal is possible. Although ours is a simulation exercise and not a formal red-list assessment, our results suggest that considering climate change impacts may reduce misclassification and strengthen consistency and comprehensiveness of IUCN Red List assessments. This article is protected by copyright. All rights reserved.},
}
@article {pmid38111862,
year = {2023},
author = {Harcourt, R and Dessai, S and Bruine de Bruin, W and Taylor, A},
title = {A social science research agenda to accelerate public engagement in climate change adaptation.},
journal = {Frontiers in psychology},
volume = {14},
number = {},
pages = {1286525},
pmid = {38111862},
issn = {1664-1078},
abstract = {Recent studies find that people in high-income countries now think of climate change impacts, such as flooding or periods of high temperature, as being of immediate relevance and concern. Individuals and households can take adaptation actions to help limit the severity of harm caused when climate impacts occur, for example, they could make adjustments to their homes such as installing flood gates or sun shades, or they could adapt their behavior such as staying indoors during the hottest part of the day. However, so far adaptation is not yet happening at the speed or scale needed to adequately prepare for the climate impacts already being experienced or those projected for the coming decades. Here, we propose an agenda for future social science research that would further our understanding of how best to increase engagement and action in climate change adaptation.},
}
@article {pmid38110409,
year = {2023},
author = {Shu, EG and Porter, JR and Hauer, ME and Sandoval Olascoaga, S and Gourevitch, J and Wilson, B and Pope, M and Melecio-Vazquez, D and Kearns, E},
title = {Integrating climate change induced flood risk into future population projections.},
journal = {Nature communications},
volume = {14},
number = {1},
pages = {7870},
pmid = {38110409},
issn = {2041-1723},
abstract = {Flood exposure has been linked to shifts in population sizes and composition. Traditionally, these changes have been observed at a local level providing insight to local dynamics but not general trends, or at a coarse resolution that does not capture localized shifts. Using historic flood data between 2000-2023 across the Contiguous United States (CONUS), we identify the relationships between flood exposure and population change. We demonstrate that observed declines in population are statistically associated with higher levels of historic flood exposure, which may be subsequently coupled with future population projections. Several locations have already begun to see population responses to observed flood exposure and are forecasted to have decreased future growth rates as a result. Finally, we find that exposure to high frequency flooding (5 and 20-year return periods) results in 2-7% lower growth rates than baseline projections. This is exacerbated in areas with relatively high exposure to frequent flooding where growth is expected to decline over the next 30 years.},
}
@article {pmid38109562,
year = {2024},
author = {Perret, DL and Evans, MEK and Sax, DF},
title = {A species' response to spatial climatic variation does not predict its response to climate change.},
journal = {Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America},
volume = {121},
number = {1},
pages = {e2304404120},
pmid = {38109562},
issn = {1091-6490},
support = {//Brown University Department of Ecology, Evolution, and Organismal Biology/ ; //Institute at Brown for Environment and Society/ ; //American Philosophical Society (APS)/ ; MSP-ECA 1802893//National Science Foundation (NSF)/ ; },
mesh = {Humans ; *Climate Change ; *Trees/physiology ; Ecosystem ; Pinus ponderosa ; Forecasting ; },
abstract = {The dominant paradigm for assessing ecological responses to climate change assumes that future states of individuals and populations can be predicted by current, species-wide performance variation across spatial climatic gradients. However, if the fates of ecological systems are better predicted by past responses to in situ climatic variation through time, this current analytical paradigm may be severely misleading. Empirically testing whether spatial or temporal climate responses better predict how species respond to climate change has been elusive, largely due to restrictive data requirements. Here, we leverage a newly collected network of ponderosa pine tree-ring time series to test whether statistically inferred responses to spatial versus temporal climatic variation better predict how trees have responded to recent climate change. When compared to observed tree growth responses to climate change since 1980, predictions derived from spatial climatic variation were wrong in both magnitude and direction. This was not the case for predictions derived from climatic variation through time, which were able to replicate observed responses well. Future climate scenarios through the end of the 21st century exacerbated these disparities. These results suggest that the currently dominant paradigm of forecasting the ecological impacts of climate change based on spatial climatic variation may be severely misleading over decadal to centennial timescales.},
}
@article {pmid38108013,
year = {2023},
author = {Colón Carrión, N and Macchiavelli Girón, S},
title = {From the classroom to