@article {pmid39799162, year = {2025}, author = {Olim, ST and Nickoloff, A and Moffat, LJ and Weaver, AJ and Eby, M}, title = {Mitigating anthropogenic climate change with aqueous green energy.}, journal = {Scientific reports}, volume = {15}, number = {1}, pages = {1700}, pmid = {39799162}, issn = {2045-2322}, support = {Climate Action and Awareness Fund//Government of Canada/ ; Climate Action and Awareness Fund//Government of Canada/ ; Discovery Grant//Natural Sciences and Engineering Research Council of Canada/ ; Discovery Grant//Natural Sciences and Engineering Research Council of Canada/ ; Discovery Grant//Natural Sciences and Engineering Research Council of Canada/ ; Discovery Grant//Natural Sciences and Engineering Research Council of Canada/ ; }, abstract = {Reaching net zero emissions and limiting global warming to 2 °C requires the widespread introduction of technology-based solutions to draw down existing atmospheric levels and future emissions of CO2. One such approach is direct air CO2 capture and storage (DACCS), a readily available, yet energy-intensive process. The combination of DACCS and ocean thermal energy conversion (OTEC) allows for independently powered carbon capture plants to inject concentrated carbon into deep marine sediments where storage is generally safe and permanent. OTEC is a form of electricity production that exploits the temperature difference between deep and shallow ocean waters, and can power DACCS on floating platforms at a price competitive with coal-generated electricity. Here we highlight the scale of the challenge facing society. We show that a safe and sustainable level of OTEC-generated electricity powering DACCS for 70 years could result in up to a 35% decrease in the relative global mean temperature warming compared to a business-as-usual emissions scenario.}, }
@article {pmid39798797, year = {2025}, author = {Xu, Y and Tang, Y and Wang, C and Luo, Z}, title = {Key environmental predictors of Noctiluca scintillans distribution in the China sea and its climate change response.}, journal = {Environmental pollution (Barking, Essex : 1987)}, volume = {367}, number = {}, pages = {125672}, doi = {10.1016/j.envpol.2025.125672}, pmid = {39798797}, issn = {1873-6424}, abstract = {Noctiluca scintillans is one of the most common harmful algal species worldwide. In this study, a MaxEnt model was constructed to calculate the present and future habitat suitability of N. scintillans in the China Sea. A comprehensive evaluation index of variable importance was defined to measure the importance of key predictors in the model, and offshore distance, long-term average minimum primary productivity, water depth, long-term average minimum temperature, and minimum salinity were determined as the dominant drivers. The HAB index that was constructed by integrating the carrying capacity and habitat suitability characteristics was used to measure the risk of harmful algal blooms (HABs). The index indicated that high-risk areas of HABs caused by N. scintillans occurred around Hainan Island, Taiwan Island, the coastal areas of Guangdong, Fujian, and Zhejiang provinces, and the eastern nearshore area of Weihai in Shandong. Regardless of the greenhouse gas emission scenario, the occurrence of N. scintillans red tides was predicted to persist until 2100. Moreover, the total area of the HABs high zone was predicted to increase under RCP2.6 and decrease under RCP8.5, and the center of the integrated HABs high zone was predicted to be concentrated in the central area of the entire China Sea spanning 15°N to 33°N.}, }
@article {pmid39795365, year = {2025}, author = {Baltazar, M and Castro, I and Gonçalves, B}, title = {Adaptation to Climate Change in Viticulture: The Role of Varietal Selection-A Review.}, journal = {Plants (Basel, Switzerland)}, volume = {14}, number = {1}, pages = {}, pmid = {39795365}, issn = {2223-7747}, support = {UI/BD/150730/2020//Fundação para a Ciência e Tecnologia/ ; PD/00122/2012//Fundação para a Ciência e Tecnologia/ ; UIDB/04033/2020//Fundação para a Ciência e Tecnologia/ ; LA/P/0126/2020//Fundação para a Ciência e Tecnologia/ ; }, abstract = {Viticulture faces unprecedented challenges due to the rapidly changing climate, particularly in regions like the Mediterranean Basin. Consequently, climate change adaptation strategies are crucial in viticulture, with short-term strategies being widely used despite increasing concerns about their sustainability, and long-term strategies considered promising, though costly. A promising but understudied strategy is varietal selection, as grapevines exhibit vast intervarietal diversity with untapped potential for climate-resilient varieties. By integrating research across plant physiology, biochemistry, histology, and genetics, we can better understand the traits behind the grapevine's capability for adaptation. Several traits, including morphological, physiological, and molecular aspects, have been shown to be crucial in adapting to environmental stresses such as drought and heat. By studying the abundant grapevine intervarietal diversity, the potential for viticulture adaptation to climate change through varietal selection is immense. This review article focuses on the potential of varietal selection in the adaptation of viticulture to climate change. For this, we will delve into the research regarding how climate affects grapevine growth and grape quality and how the grapevine responds to stress conditions, followed by a summary of different climate change adaptation strategies of viticulture. Finally, we will focus on varietal selection, discussing and summarizing different studies surrounding grapevine variety behaviour.}, }
@article {pmid39795346, year = {2024}, author = {Yao, W and Wang, Z and Fan, Y and Liu, D and Ding, Z and Zhou, Y and Hu, S and Zhang, W and Ou, J}, title = {Prediction of Potential Habitat Distributions and Climate Change Impacts on the Rare Species Woonyoungia septentrionalis (Magnoliaceae) in China Based on MaxEnt.}, journal = {Plants (Basel, Switzerland)}, volume = {14}, number = {1}, pages = {}, pmid = {39795346}, issn = {2223-7747}, support = {MCHC-SC20232028//National Key Wildlife and Plant Conservation Project for Central Forestry and Grassland Transfer Payments/ ; }, abstract = {Changes in species' habitats provide important insights into the effects of climate change. Woonyoungia septentrionalis, a critically endangered species endemic to karst ecosystems, has a highly restricted distribution and is a key biological resource. Despite its ecological importance, the factors influencing its habitat suitability and distribution remain poorly understood. This study employed ecological niche modeling to predict the potential distribution of Woonyoungia septentrionalis across China and analyzed shifts in centroid location to explore migration pathways under current and future climate scenarios. The model exhibited high predictive accuracy (AUC = 0.988), indicating its robustness in assessing habitat suitability. Under current climatic conditions, Woonyoungia septentrionalis is predominantly found in the Guizhou-Guangxi border region, southeastern Yunnan, eastern Sichuan, southeastern Tibet, and parts of Chongqing, Hunan, and Hubei. Among these, the Guizhou-Guangxi border represents the primary suitable habitat. Temperature factors, particularly bio6 (minimum temperature of the coldest month) and bio7 (annual temperature range), were the most significant determinants of habitat suitability, contributing 43.29% and 12.65%, respectively. Soil cation exchange capacity (CEC) accounted for 15.82%, while precipitation had a relatively minor impact. Under future climate scenarios, suitable habitats for Woonyoungia septentrionalis are projected to shrink and shift toward higher altitudes and latitudes, increasing the risk of extinction due to the "mountain trap" effect, where migration is constrained by limited habitat at higher elevations. Stable habitats, particularly in Libo (Guizhou) and Huanjiang (Guangxi), are identified as critical refugia. We recommend prioritizing shrinking and stable habitats in Guizhou, Guangxi, and Yunnan for in situ conservation. Ex situ conservation efforts should focus on areas identified based on key environmental factors and predicted migration pathways to ensure the species' long-term survival. This study provides both theoretical and practical guidance for the conservation of this species and its vulnerable habitat.}, }
@article {pmid39795327, year = {2024}, author = {Lu, K and Liu, M and Feng, Q and Liu, W and Zhu, M and Duan, Y}, title = {Predicting the Global Distribution of Nitraria L. Under Climate Change Based on Optimized MaxEnt Modeling.}, journal = {Plants (Basel, Switzerland)}, volume = {14}, number = {1}, pages = {}, pmid = {39795327}, issn = {2223-7747}, support = {32060095, 32300324 and 32460323//the National Natural Science Foundation of China/ ; 2022YFF1303301//The National Key R&D Program of China/ ; YLKJ-2024-RCZD-001//Yulin Major Science and Technology Project Special Project/ ; CXY 2021-81 and CXY 2023-164//Yulin Industry-University-Research Project/ ; 2023-JC-QN-0252//Natural Science Basic Research Program of Shaanxi Province/ ; 2022PTJB010//Shaanxi Province "Four subjects and One Union" Sandy Land Ecological Protection and Restoration and Sand Industry Joint Research Center/ ; }, abstract = {The genus of Nitraria L. are Tertiary-relict desert sand-fixing plants, which are an important forage and agricultural product, as well as an important source of medicinal and woody vegetable oil. In order to provide a theoretical basis for better protection and utilization of species in the Nitraria L., this study collected global distribution information within the Nitraria L., along with data on 29 environmental and climatic factors. The Maximum Entropy (MaxEnt) model was used to simulate the globally suitable distribution areas for Nitraria L. The results showed that the mean AUC value was 0.897, the TSS average value was 0.913, and the model prediction results were excellent. UV-B seasonality (UVB-2), UV-B of the lowest month (UVB-4), precipitation of the warmest quarter (bio18), the DEM (Digital Elevation Model), and annual precipitation (bio12) were the key variables affecting the distribution area of Nitraria L, with contributions of 54.4%, 11.1%, 8.3%, 7.4%, and 4.1%, respectively. The Nitraria L. plants are currently found mainly in Central Asia, North Africa, the neighboring Middle East, and parts of southern Australia and Siberia. In future scenarios, except for a small expansion of the 2030s scenario model Nitraria L., the potential suitable distribution areas showed a decreasing trend. The contraction area is mainly concentrated in South Asia, such as Afghanistan and Pakistan, North Africa, Libya, as well as in areas of low suitability in northern Australia, where there was also significant shrinkage. The areas of expansion are mainly concentrated in the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau to the Iranian plateau, and the Sahara Desert is also partly expanded. With rising Greenhouse gas concentrations, habitat fragmentation is becoming more severe. Center-of-mass migration results also suggest that the potential suitable area of Nitraria L. will shift northwestward in the future. This study can provide a theoretical basis for determining the scope of Nitraria L. habitat protection, population restoration, resource management and industrial development in local areas.}, }
@article {pmid39795291, year = {2024}, author = {Nie, T and Liu, X and Chen, P and Jiang, L and Sun, Z and Yin, S and Wang, T and Li, T and Du, C}, title = {Characterizing Droughts During the Rice Growth Period in Northeast China Based on Daily SPEI Under Climate Change.}, journal = {Plants (Basel, Switzerland)}, volume = {14}, number = {1}, pages = {}, pmid = {39795291}, issn = {2223-7747}, support = {LH2023E109//Natural Science Foundation Project of Heilongjiang Province/ ; 52079028//National Natural Science Foundation Project of China/ ; 2021-KYYWF-0019//Basic Scientific Research Fund of Heilongjiang Provincial Universities/ ; AWR2021002//Opening Project of Key Laboratory of Efficient Use of Agricultural Water Resources, Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs of the People's Republic of China/ ; GZC20230668//Postdoctoral Fellowship Program of CPSF/ ; }, abstract = {In agricultural production, droughts occurring during the crucial growth periods of crops hinder crop development, while the daily-scale standardized precipitation evapotranspiration index (SPEI) can be applied to accurately identify the drought characteristics. In this study, we used the statistical downscaling method to obtain the daily precipitation (Pr), maximum air temperature (Tmax) and minimum air temperature (Tmin) during the rice growing season in Heilongjiang Province from 2015 to 2100 under the SSP1-2.6, SSP2-4.5 and SSP5-8.5 in CMIP6, to study the spatial and temporal characteristics of drought during the rice growing season in cold region and the effect of climate change on drought characteristics. The potential evapotranspiration (PET0) was calculated using the regression correction method of the Hargreaves formula recommended by the FAO, and the daily SPEI was calculated to quantitatively identify the drought classification. The Pearson correlation coefficient was used to analyze the correlation between the meteorological factors (Pr, Tmax, Tmin), PET0 and SPEI. The results showed that: (1) Under 3 SSP scenarios, Pr showed an increasing trend from the northwest to the southeast, Tmax showed an increasing trend from the northeast to the southwest, and higher Tmin was mainly distributed in the east and west regions. (2) PET0 indicated an overall interannual rise in the three future SSP scenarios, with higher values mainly distributed in the central and western regions. The mean daily PET0 values ranged from 4.8 to 6.0 mm/d. (3) Under SSP1-2.6, rice mainly experienced mild drought and moderate drought (-0.5 ≥ SPEI > -1.5). The predominant drought classifications experienced were mild, moderate, and severe drought under SSP2-4.5 and SSP8.5 (-0.5 ≥ SPEI > -2.0). (4) The tillering stage experienced the highest drought frequency and drought intensity, with the longest drought lasting 24 days. However, the heading flower stage had the lowest drought frequency and drought intensity. The drought barycenter was mainly in Tieli and Suihua. (5) The PET0 was most affected by the Tmax, while the SPEI was most affected by the Pr. This study offers a scientific and rational foundation for understanding the drought sensitivity of rice in Northeast China, as well as a rationale for the optimal scheduling of water resources in agriculture in the future.}, }
@article {pmid39794993, year = {2024}, author = {Ferronato, G and Simonetto, A and Gilioli, G and Zecconi, A}, title = {Modeling Mastitis Risk Management Effects on Dairy Milk Yield and Global Warming Potential.}, journal = {Animals : an open access journal from MDPI}, volume = {15}, number = {1}, pages = {}, pmid = {39794993}, issn = {2076-2615}, support = {2020-4135//Fondazione Cariplo/ ; }, abstract = {Mastitis represents a significant challenge for dairy farming, resulting in economic losses and environmental impacts. This study assesses a model for the evaluation of the impact of mastitis on dairy productivity and Global Warming Potential (GWP) under diverse management scenarios. The model considers a range of factors, including bedding materials, milking systems, health surveillance, and overcrowding. The results of the simulation demonstrate that effective management, encompassing the utilization of sand bedding, and the presence of an annual herd health monitoring plan have the potential to reduce the prevalence of mastitis and enhance milk yield by up to 10% in milking parlors and 7% in automatic milking systems. At the herd level, the GWP ranged from 1.37 to 1.78 kg CO2eq/kg Fat- and Protein-Corrected Milk (FPCM), with the use of sand bedding resulting in a 14% reduction in GWP, while the utilization of non-composted manure-based materials led to an increase of 12%. The occurrence of overcrowding and a lack of adequate cleanliness in resting areas were found to have a markedly detrimental impact on both productivity and the environmental performance of cows. These findings illustrate the dual benefits of enhanced mastitis management, namely improved milk production and reduced environmental impact. They offer valuable insights for farmers and policymakers alike.}, }
@article {pmid39794528, year = {2025}, author = {Andriuzzi, W}, title = {Dispersal under climate change.}, journal = {Nature ecology & evolution}, volume = {9}, number = {1}, pages = {4}, doi = {10.1038/s41559-024-02607-1}, pmid = {39794528}, issn = {2397-334X}, }
@article {pmid39794004, year = {2025}, author = {Butler, CD and Rao, M}, title = {What "dose" of anxiety is needed to awaken transformative action on climate change?.}, journal = {BMJ (Clinical research ed.)}, volume = {388}, number = {}, pages = {q2584}, doi = {10.1136/bmj.q2584}, pmid = {39794004}, issn = {1756-1833}, }
@article {pmid39793647, year = {2025}, author = {Ge, W and Prime, NS and Smith, SJ and Liu, J and Ren, Y and Zhou, Y and Wu, H and Wang, X and Chen, G}, title = {The short-term comprehensive impact of the phase-out of global coal combustion on air pollution and climate change.}, journal = {Environmental pollution (Barking, Essex : 1987)}, volume = {367}, number = {}, pages = {125669}, doi = {10.1016/j.envpol.2025.125669}, pmid = {39793647}, issn = {1873-6424}, abstract = {With the continuous intensification of global warming, the reduction and ultimate phase-out of coal combustion is an inevitable trend in the future global energy transformation. This study comprehensively analyzed the impact of phasing out coal combustion on global emissions and concentrations of air pollutants, radiative fluxes, meteorology and climate using Community Earth System Model 2 (CESM2). The results indicate that after the global phase-out of coal combustion, there is a marked decrease in the concentrations of sulfur dioxide (SO2), nitrogen oxides (NOx) and fine particulate matter (PM2.5), with some regions experiencing a reduction of exceeding 50%. There is no significant change in global ozone (O3) concentration. There are decreasing AOD and positive radiative fluxes globally in the short term, though the cloud contributes minor negative radiative fluxes. The global air temperature may increase by approximately (0.02 ± 0.15) °C on average with regional and seasonal variations, and the precipitation may potentially increase by approximately (2.7 ± 40.6) mm yr[-1] globally and over 20% in equatorial regions in the short term. But combined with the decreasing trend of cloud water content in the Northern Hemisphere, it indicates a potential increase in the extremity of precipitation events. This study provides references for global control of air pollution, mitigation strategies of climate change, and transformation of energy structures under the objective of "carbon neutrality", such as focusing on the negative climate impacts of exacerbating regional warming and increasing extreme precipitation resulting from the rapid reduction of aerosols in the short term.}, }
@article {pmid39793502, year = {2025}, author = {Sadyrov, S and Isaev, E and Tanaka, K and Murata, A and Sidle, RC}, title = {High-resolution assessment of climate change impacts on the surface energy and water balance in the glaciated Naryn River basin, Central Asia.}, journal = {Journal of environmental management}, volume = {374}, number = {}, pages = {124021}, doi = {10.1016/j.jenvman.2024.124021}, pmid = {39793502}, issn = {1095-8630}, abstract = {Mountain regions of Central Asia are experiencing strong influences from climate change, with significant reductions in snow cover and glacial reserves. A comprehensive assessment of the potential consequences under the worst-case climate scenario is vital for adaptation measures throughout the region. Water balance analysis in the Naryn River basin was conducted for the baseline period of 1981-2000 including potential changes under the worst-case SSP5-8.5 scenario for 2077-2096 by combining high-resolution (5 km) regional climate projections with fully distributed glacio-hydrological (1 km) modeling. Results showed that with the complete degradation of glaciers and increase in evapotranspiration, the overall runoff will decrease by 16%, and in the upper basins, the reduction will exceed 40%. The maximum snow water equivalent (SWE) is projected to decrease by 17%, and the seasonal peak of SWE will occur one month earlier. The transition from snow to rain will significantly affect lower regions, increasing extremes in peak runoff and causing 10-year recurrence interval events to occur every 3-4 years. Moreover, extreme runoff in high mountainous areas will increase due to intensified snowmelt and increased rainfall extremes. Additionally, a gradient of surface soil temperature change of 0.1 °C per 100 m elevation gain was observed, suggesting a potential snow-albedo feedback effect that could further amplify the warming, especially at higher altitudes. This study provides a robust analytical framework to assess the complex responses of mountain ecosystems to the impacts of climate change, with the potential of widespread application for addressing the challenges facing these critical regions.}, }
@article {pmid39793128, year = {2025}, author = {Jiménez-Bonilla, A and Rodríguez-Rodríguez, M and Yanes, JL and Gázquez, F}, title = {Impact of climate change on permanent lakes in a semiarid region: Southwestern Mediterranean basin (S Spain).}, journal = {The Science of the total environment}, volume = {961}, number = {}, pages = {178305}, doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.178305}, pmid = {39793128}, issn = {1879-1026}, abstract = {In recent decades, many wetlands in the Mediterranean watershed have dried up. We forecast the impact of climate change on the hydrology of three permanent lakes in a semiarid areo of the southwestern Mediterranean region. To achieve this, we applied daily water balance models to calculate variations in water levels and validated our approach using actual lake level measurements spanning over 20 years. To delve into groundwater/lake interactions, we calculated several hydrological indices and compared evaporation with the water level drop during extremely dry periods. After validating the three hydrological models, we applied the RCP 4.5 and RCP 8.5 climate change scenarios. We found Zóñar Lake highly resilient to climate changes because of groundwater contributions, resulting in minimal lake level oscillations even during periods of low rainfall. However, spring management and/or groundwater extractions may affect the lake hydroperiod. The Amarga and Grande lakes have weaker lake/groundwater interactions and show significant water lake level fluctuations, making them more sensitive to climate change. Indeed, our model predict that these lakes will transition into semipermanent or seasonal playa-lakes by mid-21th century. We found that deep and spring and/or groundwater-fed lakes are less vulnerable to climate changes. These results highlight the importance of developing robust hydrogeological models in such water bodies, focusing on the climate changes vulnerability of wetlands in semiarid regions, in order to formulate an integrated strategy for water resources management.}, }
@article {pmid39793053, year = {2025}, author = {Karatayev, VA and Munch, SB and Rogers, TL and Reuman, DC}, title = {Climate change could amplify weak synchrony in large marine ecosystems.}, journal = {Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America}, volume = {122}, number = {1}, pages = {e2404155121}, doi = {10.1073/pnas.2404155121}, pmid = {39793053}, issn = {1091-6490}, support = {2205794//National Science Foundation (NSF)/ ; 1714195//National Science Foundation (NSF)/ ; 2023474//National Science Foundation (NSF)/ ; NA//James S. McDonnell Foundation (JSMF)/ ; }, mesh = {*Climate Change ; *Ecosystem ; Animals ; *Population Dynamics ; *Fishes/physiology ; Invertebrates/physiology ; Aquatic Organisms/physiology ; California ; Models, Biological ; }, abstract = {Climate change is increasing the frequency of large-scale, extreme environmental events and flattening environmental gradients. Whether such changes will cause spatially synchronous, large-scale population declines depends on mechanisms that limit metapopulation synchrony, thereby promoting rescue effects and stability. Using long-term data and empirical dynamic models, we quantified spatial heterogeneity in density dependence, spatial heterogeneity in environmental responses, and environmental gradients to assess their role in inhibiting synchrony across 36 marine fish and invertebrate species. Overall, spatial heterogeneity in population dynamics was as important as environmental drivers in explaining population variation. This heterogeneity leads to weak synchrony in the California Current Ecosystem, where populations exhibit diverse responses to shared, large-scale environmental change. In contrast, in the Northeast U.S. Shelf Ecosystem, gradients in average environmental conditions among locations, filtered through nonlinear environmental response curves, limit synchrony. Simulations predict that environmental gradients and response diversity will continue to inhibit synchrony even if large-scale environmental extremes become common. However, if environmental gradients weaken, synchrony and periods of large-scale population decline may rise sharply among commercially important species on the Northeast Shelf. Our approach thus allows ecologists to 1) quantify how differences among local communities underpin landscape-scale resilience and 2) identify the kinds of future climatic changes most likely to amplify synchrony and erode species stability.}, }
@article {pmid39792824, year = {2025}, author = {Gulhan, D and Bahrami, B and Deroy, O}, title = {Studying attention to IPCC climate change maps with mobile eye-tracking.}, journal = {PloS one}, volume = {20}, number = {1}, pages = {e0316909}, pmid = {39792824}, issn = {1932-6203}, mesh = {Humans ; *Climate Change ; *Attention/physiology ; *Eye-Tracking Technology ; Male ; Female ; Adult ; Young Adult ; Eye Movements/physiology ; Anxiety/psychology ; }, abstract = {Many visualisations used in the climate communication field aim to present the scientific models of climate change to the public. However, relatively little research has been conducted on how such data are visually processed, particularly from a behavioural science perspective. This study examines trends in visual attention to climate change predictions in world maps using mobile eye-tracking while participants engage with the visualisations. Our primary aim is to assess engagement with the maps, as indicated by gaze metrics. Secondary analyses assess whether social context (as social viewing compared to solitary viewing) affects these trends, the relationship between projection types and visual attention, compare gaze metrics between scientific map and artwork viewing, and explore correlations between self-reported climate anxiety scores and attention patterns. We employed wearable, head-mounted eye-tracking to collect data in relatively naturalistic conditions, aiming to enhance ecological validity. In this research, participants engaged with ten world maps displaying near- and far-term climate projections across five data categories, adapted from the online interactive atlas provided by the International Panel on Climate Change (IPCC). To compare scientific information processing with aesthetic perception, participants also viewed two large-scale artworks. Responses to the Climate Change Anxiety Scale (CCAS) were also collected. Participants viewed the displays alone (single-viewing condition, N = 35) or together with a partner (paired-viewing condition, N = 12). Results revealed that the upper parts of the maps, particularly the continental Europe, received significant attention, suggesting a Euro-centric bias in viewing patterns. Spatial gaze patterns were similar between single and paired conditions, indicating that the visual attributes of the maps predominantly shaped attention locations. Although dwell times were comparable, the paired condition showed higher fixation counts, shorter average fixation durations, and longer scanpaths, suggesting a potentially dissociable viewing strategy and more exploratory viewing patterns influenced by social interaction. No substantial differences were observed in attention across projection timeframes or types, although individual variations were noted. Artwork viewing exhibited notably shorter average fixation durations compared to climate map viewing, potentially reflecting different visual engagement styles. Despite positive linear correlations among the four CCAS subscales, there was no apparent correlation between CCAS scores and main gaze metrics, indicating a lack of a direct relationship between self-reported anxiety and gaze behaviour. In summary, visual attention to climate change visualisations appears to be mainly influenced by the inherent visual attributes of the maps, but the social context may subtly influence visual attention. Additionally, the comparison with aesthetic viewing highlights relatively distinct attentional patterns in scientific versus aesthetic engagements.}, }
@article {pmid39790456, year = {2025}, author = {Fan, YC and Yuan, YQ and Yuan, YC and Duan, WJ and Gao, ZQ}, title = {Research progress on the impact of climate change on wheat production in China.}, journal = {PeerJ}, volume = {13}, number = {}, pages = {e18569}, pmid = {39790456}, issn = {2167-8359}, mesh = {*Triticum/growth & development ; *Climate Change ; China ; Agriculture/methods ; Crops, Agricultural/growth & development ; Seasons ; }, abstract = {It is crucial to elucidate the impact of climate change on wheat production in China. This article provides a review of the current climate change scenario and its effects on wheat cultivation in China, along with an examination of potential future impacts and possible response strategies. Against the backdrop of climate change, several key trends emerge: increasing temperature during the wheat growing season, raising precipitation, elevated CO2 concentration, and diminished radiation. Agricultural disasters primarily stem from oscillations in temperature and precipitation, with the northern wheat region being mostly affected. The impact on wheat production is manifested in a reduction in the area under cultivation, with the most rapid reduction in spring wheat, and a shift in the center of cultivation to the west. Furthermore, climate change accelerates the nutritional stage and shortens phenology. Climate change has also led to an increase in yields in the Northeast spring wheat region, the Northern spring wheat region, the Northwest spring wheat region, and the North China winter wheat region, and a decrease in yields in the middle and lower reaches of the Yangtze River winter wheat region, the Southwest winter wheat region, and the South China winter wheat region. To cope with climate change, Chinese wheat can adopt adaptation strategies and measures such as breeding different wheat varieties for different wheat-growing regions, implementing differentiated farmland management measures, promoting regional ecological farmland construction, and establishing scientific monitoring and early warning systems. While future climate change may stimulate wheat yield potential, it could cause climate-induced issues such as weeds, diseases, and pests worsen, thereby posing challenges to the sustainability of farmland. Moreover, it is essential to conduct comprehensive research on pivotal areas such as the microscopic mechanism of climate change and wheat growth, the comprehensive influence of multiple climate factors, and the application of new monitoring and simulation technologies. This will facilitate the advancement of related research and provide invaluable insights.}, }
@article {pmid39790104, year = {2025}, author = {Wang, L and Liu, Y and Zhao, L and Lu, X and Huang, L and Jin, Y and Davis, SJ and Aghakouchak, A and Huang, X and Zhu, T and Qin, Y}, title = {Unraveling climate change-induced compound low-solar-low-wind extremes in China.}, journal = {National science review}, volume = {12}, number = {1}, pages = {nwae424}, pmid = {39790104}, issn = {2053-714X}, abstract = {China's pursuit of carbon neutrality targets hinges on a profound shift towards low-carbon energy, primarily reliant on intermittent and variable, yet crucial, solar and wind power sources. In particular, low-solar-low-wind (LSLW) compound extremes present a critical yet largely ignored threat to the reliability of renewable electricity generation. While existing studies have largely evaluated the impacts of average climate-induced changes in renewable energy resources, comprehensive analyses of the compound extremes and, particularly, the underpinning dynamic mechanisms remain scarce. Here we show the dynamic evolution of compound LSLW extremes and their underlying mechanisms across China via coupling multi-model simulations with diagnostic analysis. Our results unveil a strong topographic dependence in the frequency of compound LSLW extremes, with a national average frequency of 16.4 (10th-90th percentile interval ranges from 5.3 to 32.6) days/yr, when renewable energy resources in eastern China are particularly compromised (∼80% lower than that under an average climate). We reveal a striking increase in the frequency of LSLW extremes, ranging from 12.4% under SSP126 to 60.2% under SSP370, primarily driven by both renewable energy resource declines and increasingly heavily-tailed distributions, resulting from weakened meridional temperature (pressure) gradient, increased frequency of extremely dense cloud cover and additional distinctive influence of increased aerosols under SSP370. Our study underscores the urgency of preparing for significantly heightened occurrences of LSLW events in a warmer future, emphasizing that such climate-induced compound LSLW extreme changes are not simply by chance, but rather projectable, thereby underscoring the need for proactive adaptation strategies. Such insights are crucial for countries navigating a similar transition towards renewable energy.}, }
@article {pmid39788890, year = {2025}, author = {Zhao, G and Kim, H and Yang, C and Chung, YG}, title = {Correction to "Leveraging Machine Learning To Predict the Atmospheric Lifetime and the Global Warming Potential of SF6 Replacement Gases".}, journal = {The journal of physical chemistry. A}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, doi = {10.1021/acs.jpca.5c00016}, pmid = {39788890}, issn = {1520-5215}, }
@article {pmid39788051, year = {2025}, author = {Sponagel, C and Weik, J and Witte, F and Back, H and Wagner, M and Ruser, R and Bahrs, E}, title = {Climate change mitigation potential and economic evaluation of selected technical adaptation measures and innovations in conventional arable farming in Germany.}, journal = {Journal of environmental management}, volume = {374}, number = {}, pages = {123884}, doi = {10.1016/j.jenvman.2024.123884}, pmid = {39788051}, issn = {1095-8630}, abstract = {Agriculture accounts for a large proportion of global greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions. It is therefore crucial to identify effective and efficient GHG mitigation potentials in agriculture, but also in related upstream sectors. However, previous studies in this area have rarely undertaken a cross-sectoral assessment. There is also a gap in research on the GHG mitigation potential of innovations such as green ammonia in arable farming at a larger spatial scale. The study therefore aimed to analyze how selected technological adaptations or innovations can be used to contribute to efficient and effective cross-sectoral GHG mitigation in conventional arable farming systems. Germany, one of the largest agricultural producers and contributors of GHG emissions from agriculture in the EU, was chosen as a case study. The GHG mitigation potential and abatement cost of four selected measures were analyzed using an integrated land use model and life cycle assessment. Their GHG mitigation potential varied between 0.3 Mt CO2-eq. for nitrification inhibitors under lower mitigation rate assumptions and 4.7 Mt CO2-eq. for green ammonia with upper mitigation rate assumptions on GHG emission impacts, i. e. rather high mitigation. While crop varieties based on new genomic technologies (NGT) were introduced at no GHG abatement cost, the average mitigation costs ranged from 48 € for the use of nitrification inhibitors (upper mitigation rate) to 1233 € per t CO2-eq. for N sensors (lower mitigation rate). There were also regional differences due to different land use structures, regional farm sizes, economic and agronomic conditions. Based on these results we recommend for agricultural and environmental policy to foster the use of nitrification inhibitors due to the identified GHG reduction potential and the comparatively low GHG abatement costs. Additionally, the use of green ammonia in fertilizer production should be further promoted. Although the results are exemplary for Germany, they can be very informative for other EU Member States with comparable socio-economic and agronomic conditions.}, }
@article {pmid39787218, year = {2025}, author = {Pillar, VD and Overbeck, GE}, title = {Grazing can reduce wildfire risk amid climate change.}, journal = {Science (New York, N.Y.)}, volume = {387}, number = {6730}, pages = {eadu7471}, doi = {10.1126/science.adu7471}, pmid = {39787218}, issn = {1095-9203}, mesh = {Animals ; Humans ; *Climate Change ; Ecosystem ; Grassland ; *Herbivory ; Poaceae ; Smoke/adverse effects ; *Wildfires ; Risk ; }, abstract = {Over half of Earth's land surface is covered with fire-prone vegetation, with grassy ecosystems-such as grasslands, savannas, woodlands, and shrublands-being the most extensive. In the context of the climate crisis, scientists worldwide are exploring adaptation measures to address the heightened fire risk driven by more frequent extreme climatic conditions such as droughts and heatwaves, as well as by non-native plant invasions that increased fuel loads and altered fire regimes. Although fire is intrinsic to grassy ecosystems, rising exposure to wildfire smoke harms human health and the environment. Here, we argue that grazing management in grassy ecosystems could help reduce wildfire risk and its consequences.}, }
@article {pmid39786478, year = {2025}, author = {Sattar, T and Mirza, NF and Javed, MA and Nasar-U-Minallah, M and Malik, S}, title = {Changing pattern of urban landscape and its impact on thermal environment of Lahore; Implications for climate change and sustainable development.}, journal = {Environmental monitoring and assessment}, volume = {197}, number = {2}, pages = {151}, pmid = {39786478}, issn = {1573-2959}, mesh = {*Climate Change ; *Urbanization ; *Environmental Monitoring/methods ; *Sustainable Development ; *Geographic Information Systems ; *Cities ; Temperature ; Conservation of Natural Resources/methods ; Pakistan ; }, abstract = {Rapid urbanization in Lahore has dramatically transformed land use and land cover (LULC), significantly impacting the city's thermal environment and intensifying climate change and sustainable development challenges. This study aims to examine the changes in the urban landscape of Lahore and their impact on the Urban thermal environment between 1990 and 2020. The previous studies conducted on Lahore lack the application of Geospatial artificial intelligence (GeoAI) to quantify land use and land cover, which is successfully covered in this study. This study analyzes how urban sprawl has driven LULC shifts and assesses their direct impact on Land Surface Temperature (LST) using Geographic Information System (GIS) and remote sensing techniques. Landsat imagery, processed using Google Earth Engine (GEE), was employed for LULC classification and LST calculation, ensuring high accuracy through multi-level change detection and a thorough accuracy assessment. Pearson's correlation was also calculated in this study to assess the impact of decreased green cover on LST. The findings highlight a substantial decrease in green cover, from 1,292.8 km[2] in 1990 to 754 km[2] in 2020, alongside a marked increase in built-up areas, expanding from 262 km[2] to over 550 km[2]. Additionally, barren land showed significant growth, while water bodies diminished. The spatiotemporal analysis of LST indicates a considerable rise in high-temperature zones, specifically the industrial zones, with areas exceeding 40 °C expanding from 2 km[2] to 1,075 km[2] over the study period. A strong positive correlation between increased urbanization and rising LST, particularly in areas within a 10 to 40 km radius of the Central Business District (CBD), is evident. The overall accuracy of LULC classification surpassed 94%, with the kappa coefficient above 92%, ensuring the robustness of the results. Future research should focus on evaluating the long-term socioeconomic impacts of urban sprawl and LST increment while developing heat mitigation strategies. Recommendations include adopting sustainable urban planning practices prioritizing green infrastructure, energy-efficient building designs, and policies promoting environmental preservation. This study offers valuable insights for policymakers and underscores the urgency of balancing urban growth with strategies that mitigate thermal stress, combat climate change, and foster sustainable development in Lahore.}, }
@article {pmid39781276, year = {2025}, author = {Feng, X and Wang, X and Jia, L and Yuan, W and Lu, M and Liu, N and Wu, F and Cai, X and Wang, F and Lin, CJ}, title = {Influence of global warming and human activity on mercury accumulation patterns in wetlands across the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau.}, journal = {National science review}, volume = {12}, number = {1}, pages = {nwae414}, pmid = {39781276}, issn = {2053-714X}, abstract = {Wetlands in the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau are a unique and fragile ecosystem undergoing rapid changes. We show two unique patterns of mercury (Hg) accumulation in wetland sediments. One is the 'surface peak' in monsoon-controlled regions and the other is the 'subsurface peak' in westerly-controlled regions. The former is attributed to the combined effects of increasing anthropogenic emissions and climate-induced changes in the cryosphere and wetland hydrology in the last 100-150 years. The climate changes in westerly-controlled regions in the last 50-70 years led to a fluctuation in hydrology and Hg peak in the sediment subsurface. The increase in legacy Hg input from soil erosion has largely enhanced the Hg accumulation rate in wetlands since the 1950s, especially in the proglacial wetlands. We highlight that accelerated glacier melting and permafrost thawing caused by global warming have altered geomorphology and hydrology, and affected Hg transport and accumulation in wetlands.}, }
@article {pmid39780586, year = {2025}, author = {Locatelli, B and Lavorel, S and Colloff, MJ and Crouzat, E and Bruley, E and Fedele, G and Grêt-Regamey, A and Plieninger, T and Andersson, E and Abbott, M and Butler, J and Devisscher, T and Djoudi, H and Dubo, T and González-García, A and Karim, PG and Múnera-Roldán, C and Neyret, M and Quétier, F and Salliou, N and Walters, G}, title = {Intertwined people-nature relations are central to nature-based adaptation to climate change.}, journal = {Philosophical transactions of the Royal Society of London. Series B, Biological sciences}, volume = {380}, number = {1917}, pages = {20230213}, pmid = {39780586}, issn = {1471-2970}, support = {//Biodiversa+/ ; //Université Grenoble Alpes/ ; ANR-24-PEFO; ANR-22-EXSO//Agence Nationale de la Recherche/ ; //Future Cities Lab Global/ ; }, mesh = {*Climate Change ; Humans ; *Ecosystem ; Biodiversity ; Conservation of Natural Resources ; }, abstract = {Adaptation to climate change is a social-ecological process: it is not solely a result of natural processes or human decisions but emerges from multiple relations within social systems, within ecological systems and between them. We propose a novel analytical framework to evaluate social-ecological relations in nature-based adaptation, encompassing social (people-people), ecological (nature-nature) and social-ecological (people-nature) relations. Applying this framework to 25 case studies, we analyse the associations among these relations and identify archetypes of social-ecological adaptation. Our findings revealed that adaptation actions with more people-nature relations mobilize more social and ecological relations. We identified four archetypes, with distinct modes of adaptation along a gradient of people-nature interaction scores, summarized as: (i) nature control; (ii) biodiversity-based; (iii) ecosystem services-based; and (iv) integrated approaches. This study contributes to a nuanced understanding of nature-based adaptation, highlighting the importance of integrating diverse relations across social and ecological systems. Our findings offer valuable insights for informing the design and implementation of adaptation strategies and policies.This article is part of the discussion meeting issue 'Bending the curve towards nature recovery: building on Georgina Mace's legacy for a biodiverse future'.}, }
@article {pmid39780106, year = {2025}, author = {Dias, IMAV and Grande, AJ and Jardim, PTC and Machado, AAV and Soratto, J and da Rosa, MI and Ceretta, LB and Roever, L and Zourntos, X and Harding, S}, title = {Indigenous university students' perceptions regarding nature, their daily lives and climate change: a photovoice study.}, journal = {BMC public health}, volume = {25}, number = {1}, pages = {90}, pmid = {39780106}, issn = {1471-2458}, mesh = {Humans ; *Climate Change ; *Students/psychology/statistics &amp; numerical data ; Female ; Male ; Universities ; Young Adult ; *Photography ; Brazil ; Adult ; Qualitative Research ; Nature ; Indians, South American/psychology ; Ecosystem ; Adolescent ; }, abstract = {BACKGROUND: Climate change has severe health impacts, particularly for populations living in environmentally sensitive areas such as riversides, slopes, and forests. These challenges are exacerbated for Indigenous communities, who often face marginalisation and rely heavily on the land for their livelihoods. Despite their vulnerability, the perspectives of Indigenous populations on climate change and its impacts remain underexplored, creating a critical gap in the literature. This study explored the perceptions of Indigenous Brazilian university students on how climate change affects their daily lives and gathered their insights on potential adaptations to mitigate climate change-related impacts.<br><br>METHODS: Using a participatory arts-based approach, participants captured photographs reflecting their lived experiences with climate change. Follow-up interviews provided a narrative framework for qualitative analysis, enabling participants to articulate the strengths and concerns of their communities while transcending cultural and linguistic barriers.<br><br>RESULTS: The study revealed key themes, including (1) the fragility of ecosystems critical to Indigenous livelihoods, (2) the erosion of traditional knowledge systems due to environmental and social disruptions, and (3) the need for community-driven strategies to protect territories and preserve cultural identities. Participants highlighted the interconnectedness of their cultural values with environmental stewardship, emphasising the importance of maintaining these relationships as a form of resilience.<br><br>CONCLUSION: This study underscores the importance of protecting Indigenous territories and respecting their cultural identities to safeguard their survival and traditions. The voices of Indigenous university students provided valuable insights into community-based adaptations and strategies for mitigating the impacts of climate change.}, }
@article {pmid39778418, year = {2024}, author = {Gao, T and Liu, J}, title = {Building bidirectional, signed, and weighted interaction network among microbes: Comment on "Topological change of soil microbiota networks for forest resilience under global warming" by Gong et al.}, journal = {Physics of life reviews}, volume = {52}, number = {}, pages = {178-179}, doi = {10.1016/j.plrev.2024.12.010}, pmid = {39778418}, issn = {1873-1457}, }
@article {pmid39778236, year = {2025}, author = {Speck, CL and Newlove, CM and DiPietro Mager, NA and Mager, JN}, title = {Opinions about climate change, health, and pharmacy education among pharmacy faculty and administrators in the United States: A cross-sectional survey.}, journal = {Currents in pharmacy teaching &amp; learning}, volume = {17}, number = {3}, pages = {102251}, doi = {10.1016/j.cptl.2024.102251}, pmid = {39778236}, issn = {1877-1300}, abstract = {BACKGROUND: The pharmacy profession must address climate change and its impact on health. Student pharmacists should be made aware of roles in sustainability, education, patient care, and advocacy; yet, pharmacy educators' perceptions of climate change and health may impact the extent and quality of education provided.<br><br>OBJECTIVE: The primary objective was to assess pharmacy educators' beliefs regarding climate change and whether its effects on health should be included in Doctor of Pharmacy curricula. Secondary objectives were to identify potential barriers, helpful materials, and current and future tactics to provide this content.<br><br>METHODS: An electronic survey was sent to faculty and administrators of U.S.-based, fully-accredited Doctor of Pharmacy programs (n&#xa0;=&#xa0;139) in February 2024 collecting opinions and demographic information.<br><br>RESULTS: A total of 764 usable surveys were completed, representing 135 programs. Nearly 87&#xa0;% of respondents thought climate change is happening. More thought climate change harms human health (74.7&#xa0;%) than thought climate change was relevant to pharmacists/pharmacy practice (51.6&#xa0;%, p&#xa0;<&#xa0;0.001) or pharmaceutical scientists/pharmaceutical sciences (57.2&#xa0;%, p&#xa0;<&#xa0;0.001). Perceived importance of including specific topics in pharmacy education ranged from 58&#xa0;% (loss of biodiversity) to 80&#xa0;% (disaster preparedness/response). Respondents indicated they would be most likely to use case studies (61.2&#xa0;%) and active learning exercises (57.5&#xa0;%) if they were available. Ninety-seven percent perceived at least one challenge to incorporating climate change and health in curricula.<br><br>CONCLUSIONS: There is a need to increase knowledge and awareness among pharmacy educators regarding the connection between climate change, health, and pharmacy practice to prepare student pharmacists to protect public health.}, }
@article {pmid39776988, year = {2024}, author = {Soomro, S and Zhou, D and Charan, IA}, title = {The effects of climate change on mental health and psychological well-being: Impacts and priority actions.}, journal = {Global mental health (Cambridge, England)}, volume = {11}, number = {}, pages = {e118}, pmid = {39776988}, issn = {2054-4251}, abstract = {Climate anxiety has a negative impact on the mental health and psychological well-being of the vulnerable population. The goal is to assess many factors that affect mental health and psychological well-being, as well as how climate change affects mental health in Pakistan's vulnerable population. This study provides evidence-based insights into the long- and medium-term impacts of extreme weather events on mental health. To obtain information on these variables, this research uses a quantitative approach and a cross-sectional survey design with a multivariate regression model for empirical tests on a sample of parents and children with an impact on mental health from climate change anxiety. Results indicate that individuals who experience shock climate change anxiety and its effects on mental health and psychological well-being. Climate change can have detrimental effects on children's mental health. (1) Children's Stress Index (CSI): (2) climate change anxiety (CCA), (3) generalised anxiety disorder (GAD) and (4) major depression disorder (MDD), as reported by the children with mental health outcomes. The findings of this study show that climate change has a stressful effect on mental health. The article concludes with a discussion on strategies to address the anticipated mental health issues among children due to climate change.}, }
@article {pmid39776685, year = {2024}, author = {Krzysiak, MK and Świątalska, A and Plis-Kuprianowicz, E and Konieczny, A and Bakier, S and Tomczuk, K and Larska, M}, title = {Fatal Sarcoptes scabiei and Demodex sp. co-infestation in wolves (Canis lupus) at the Białowieża National Park, Poland - is it a consequence of climate change?.}, journal = {Journal of veterinary research}, volume = {68}, number = {4}, pages = {551-562}, pmid = {39776685}, issn = {2450-7393}, abstract = {INTRODUCTION: In winter 2021/2022, a wolf population in the primeval Białowieża Forest in Poland was struck by an outbreak of severe mange caused by mixed infestations of Sarcoptes and Demodex mites. We present an epidemiological analysis of this mange which caused significant morbidity and mortality.<br><br>MATERIAL AND METHODS: Ten sites known for wolf activity were monitored by camera trapping. A diagnostic necropsy and testing of a young wolf was performed to determine the causes of death.<br><br>RESULTS: Five young wolves with severe alopecia of the entire body and some other individuals with minor to medium mange lesions were identified by the camera surveillance. The necropsy of the carcass revealed emaciation, dehydration and anaemia with starvation as the cause of death, likely attributable to severe infestation with Sarcoptes scabiei and Demodex sp. mites. Rabies and infections with Borreliella sp., Anaplasma sp., Ehrlichia sp., Francisella tularensis, Babesia sp. and tick-borne encephalitis virus were excluded by specific tests.<br><br>CONCLUSIONS: The described analysis is the first documented co-infestation of this kind in wolves. The outbreak coincided with very mild winter conditions with a high average minimum temperature, which may have favoured mite survival outside the host, and light snowfall, which may have influenced the wolves' ability to hunt. Other potential drivers of the outbreak could be the large proportion of wetland terrain, increasing number of wolves in the area and anthropogenic pressure on their habitats including the migration crisis at the Polish-Belarusian border and the increased presence of military and border forces, even despite the relief from the anthropogenic pressure from tourism due to the COVID-19 lockdown.}, }
@article {pmid39775886, year = {2025}, author = {Bartošová, L and Hájková, L and Pohanková, E and Možný, M and Balek, J and Zahradníček, P and Štěpánek, P and Dížková, P and Trnka, M and Žalud, Z}, title = {Differences in phenological term changes in field crops and wild plants - do they have the same response to climate change in Central Europe?.}, journal = {International journal of biometeorology}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, pmid = {39775886}, issn = {1432-1254}, support = {CZ.02.01.01/00/22_008/0004635//Ministerstvo &#x160;kolstv&#xed;, Ml&#xe1;de&#x17e;e a T&#x11b;lov&#xfd;chovy/ ; }, abstract = {Phenological shifts in wild-growing plants and wild animal phenophases are well documented at many European sites. Less is known about phenological shifts in agricultural plants and how wild ecosystem phenology interacts with crop phenology. Here, we present long-term phenological observations (1961-2021) from the Czech Republic for wild plants and agricultural crops and how the timing of phenophases differs from each other. The phenology of wild-growing plants was observed at various experimental sites with no agriculture or forestry management within the Czech Hydrometeorological Institute observations. The phenological data of the crops were collected from small experimental plots at the Central Institute for Supervising and Testing in Agriculture. The data clearly show a tendency to shift to earlier times during the observation period. The data also show some asynchrony in phenological shifts. Compared with wild plants, agricultural crops showed more expressive shifts to the start of the season. Phenological trends for crop plants (Triticum aestivum) showed accelerated shifts of 4.1 and 5.1 days per decade at low and middle altitudes, respectively; on the other hand, the average phenological shift for wild plants showed smaller shifts of 2.7 and 2.9 days per decade at low and middle altitudes, respectively. The phenophase ´heading´ of T. aestivum showed the highest correlation with maximum temperatures (r = 0.9), followed by wild species (with r = 0.7-0.8) and two remaining phenophases of T. aestivum jointing and ripening (with r = 0.7 and 0.6). To better understand the impacts of climate on phenological changes, it is optimal to evaluate natural and unaffected plant responses in wild species since the phenology of field crops is most probably influenced not only by climate but also by agricultural management.}, }
@article {pmid39775873, year = {2025}, author = {Schilcher, AV and Geerling, G}, title = {[Climate change and ocular surface diseases].}, journal = {Die Ophthalmologie}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, pmid = {39775873}, issn = {2731-7218}, abstract = {BACKGROUND: The ocular surface is directly exposed to environmental influences. Noxae that have already been identified for the ocular surface are heat, air dryness, pollutant gases, fine dust particles and ultraviolet radiation.<br><br>METHODS: The current literature was used to investigate the relationship between frequent ocular surface diseases and various environmental factors and to analyze their development over the years.<br><br>RESULTS: Epidemiological studies on dry eye disease and allergic conjunctivitis have shown an increase in the incidences in recent years. Environmental pollutants have been identified as disease triggers. In addition, the prolonged pollen season and increased pollen concentrations are also risk factors. There is also a&#xa0;higher prevalence of pterygium in population groups with high UV exposure. Other diseases with potential environmental pathogenesis are acute photokeratitis, photoconjunctivitis and malignant melanoma of the conjunctiva.<br><br>CONCLUSION: For ocular surface diseases, large epidemiological cohorts have shown climate-related increases in the incidence. A&#xa0;further increase in environmentally associated noxious substances can be expected in the coming decades. In addition to measures to mitigate climate change, the underlying mechanisms of disease development and new approaches to prevention and treatment, such as room humidification, air filters or contact lenses with UV filters, should be investigated.}, }
@article {pmid39775827, year = {2025}, author = {Estravis-Barcala, M and Gaischuk, S and Gonzalez-Polo, M and Martinez-Meier, A and Gutiérrez, RA and Yanovsky, MJ and Bellora, N and Arana, MV}, title = {Effect of temperature on circadian clock functioning of trees in the context of global warming.}, journal = {The New phytologist}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, doi = {10.1111/nph.20342}, pmid = {39775827}, issn = {1469-8137}, support = {//Instituto Milenio iBio/ ; 2019-PD-E6-I116//Instituto Nacional de Tecnolog&#xed;a Agropecuaria/ ; 2023-PD-L01-I085//Instituto Nacional de Tecnolog&#xed;a Agropecuaria/ ; PIP 2020-11220200102254CO//Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Cient&#xed;ficas y T&#xe9;cnicas/ ; ICN2021_044//Millennium Science Initiative Program/ ; PICT 2011/2250//Agencia Nacional de Promoci&#xf3;n de la Investigaci&#xf3;n, el Desarrollo tecnol&#xf3;gico y la Innovaci&#xf3;n, Argentina/ ; PICT 2017/2656//Agencia Nacional de Promoci&#xf3;n de la Investigaci&#xf3;n, el Desarrollo tecnol&#xf3;gico y la Innovaci&#xf3;n, Argentina/ ; PICT 2020/02146//Agencia Nacional de Promoci&#xf3;n de la Investigaci&#xf3;n, el Desarrollo tecnol&#xf3;gico y la Innovaci&#xf3;n, Argentina/ ; }, abstract = {Plant survival in a warmer world requires the timely adjustment of biological processes to cyclical changes in the new environment. Circadian oscillators have been proposed to contribute to thermal adaptation and plasticity. However, the influence of temperature on circadian clock performance and its impact on plant behaviour in natural ecosystems are not well-understood. We combined bioinformatics, molecular biology and ecophysiology to investigate the effects of increasing temperatures on the functioning of the circadian clock in two closely related tree species from Patagonian forests that constitute examples of adaptation to different thermal environments based on their altitudinal profiles. Nothofagus pumilio, the species from colder environments, showed a major rearrangement of its transcriptome and reduced ability to maintain rhythmicity at high temperatures compared with Nothofagus obliqua, which inhabits warmer zones. In altitude-swap experiments, N. pumilio, but not N. obliqua, showed limited oscillator function in warmer zones of the forest, and reduced survival and growth. Our findings show that interspecific differences in the influence of temperature on circadian clock performance are associated with preferred thermal niches, and to thermal plasticity of seedlings in natural environments, highlighting the potential role of a resonating oscillator in ecological adaptation to a warming environment.}, }
@article {pmid39775408, year = {2025}, author = {McMichael, C and Powell, T and Piggott-McKellar, AE and Yee, M}, title = {Climate change and the planned relocation of people: A longitudinal analysis of Vunidogoloa, Fiji.}, journal = {Ambio}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, pmid = {39775408}, issn = {1654-7209}, support = {DP190100604//Australian Research Council/ ; HJ2-194R-18//National Gegraphic Society/ ; }, abstract = {Rising sea levels under a changing climate will cause permanent inundation, flooding, coastal erosion, and saltwater intrusion. An emerging adaptation response is planned relocation, a directed process of relocating people, assets, and infrastructure to safer locations. Climate-related planned relocation is an unfolding process, yet no longitudinal studies have examined outcomes over time. Vunidogoloa, a low-lying coastal village in Fiji, relocated to higher land in 2014. This paper considers the dynamic outcomes of relocation, based on qualitative data collected between 2015 and 2023. It examines: residents' changing experience of climate and environmental risk; governance and decision-making processes over time; improved access to many resources and services along with incomplete infrastructure; opportunities and threats to health; and changing social organization and place-based values. The paper foregrounds change over time and provides in-depth examination of dynamic planned relocation experiences and (mal)adaptation outcomes in Vunidogoloa, Fiji.}, }
@article {pmid39775267, year = {2025}, author = {Maya, MA and Suresh, V}, title = {The impact of climate change on the nearly threatened taxa Elaeocarpus munroi (Wight) Mast. inhabiting in the forest of the Western Ghats.}, journal = {Environmental monitoring and assessment}, volume = {197}, number = {2}, pages = {146}, pmid = {39775267}, issn = {1573-2959}, support = {08/675(003)/2018-EMR-1//CSIR-JRF/ ; }, mesh = {*Climate Change ; *Conservation of Natural Resources ; *Endangered Species ; *Forests ; Ecosystem ; Environmental Monitoring ; Biodiversity ; }, abstract = {Elaeocarpus munroi (Wight) Mast., commonly called Nilgiri Marble Tree, is a nearly threatened taxa as per the International Union for Conservation of Nature (IUCN). This species is endemic to the southern Western Ghats. The present study examines its spatial distribution across the sky islands of the Western Ghats under different climate scenarios (1900-2100) using four shared socioeconomic pathways (SSPs). Species distribution modeling was conducted using ensemble techniques in R, along with various ecological niche modeling algorithms. The present study examines the past, present, and future distribution of E. munroi across the Western Ghats. Historical projections indicated that the highest habitat suitability areas for the species were in the southern and central regions of the Western Ghats. The model projections for the species from 2021 to 2100 indicate a noticeable northward shift in habitat suitability. As climate scenarios change, the central and northern regions of the Western Ghats are becoming more suitable for it. This anticipated shift poses a potential threat to the species persistence, as the availability of suitable habitats decline in its historically preferred southern range. This range shift, coupled with E. munroi's near-threatened status, emphasizes the urgent need for its conservation interventions. This study pioneers efforts to understand and mitigate the impacts of climate change on E. munroi. This, in turn, offers a foundation for developing targeted conservation strategies in this ecologically important region. The findings highlight the importance of integrating climate change into conservation planning and management practices to safeguard the future of species like E. munroi within the broader ecosystem they inhabit. This study contributes to the growing body of research addressing the complex interplay between climate change and biodiversity conservation, thereby underscoring the need for collaborative and proactive approaches to mitigate the adverse effects of climate change.}, }
@article {pmid39774305, year = {2025}, author = {Erhart, S and Szabó, S and Erhart, K}, title = {Integrating Pollutant registers for the climate change risk evaluation of industrial companies in Australia, Europe and North America.}, journal = {Scientific reports}, volume = {15}, number = {1}, pages = {1207}, pmid = {39774305}, issn = {2045-2322}, abstract = {We present a methodology to develop the integrated climate change transition and physical risk assessment of industrial companies in Europe, Northern America and Australia. There is an increasingly important need for effective large-scale climate change risk assessment solutions with more governments aligning their company reporting regulations with the Task Force on Climate-related Financial Disclosures recommendations. In this paper, we measure key aspects of climate change risks of industrial firms on the globe and vice versa. The study provides valuable insights into climate risk exposure for companies, investors, and consumers, offering a pioneering approach by integrating data from major international registers. We analyse data from 70,000 companies and their 170,000 plants, which report to fragmented Pollutant Release and Transfer Registers and Greenhouse Gas Reporting Programs. For our assessment, transition risks are measured in terms of reported greenhouse gas emissions, while physical risks calculated for all company plant locations in terms of historical cooling energy needs, flood exposure and photovoltaic power potential. We show that climate change transition and physical risks are not correlated, therefore climate change risks are variably felt across different factors. The research contributes to the evolving landscape of climate risk management and highlights the need for standardized methodologies in the face of impending regulatory changes.}, }
@article {pmid39774176, year = {2025}, author = {Zhou, J and Li, W and Ciais, P and Gasser, T and Wang, J and Li, Z and Zhu, L and Han, M and He, J and Sun, M and Liu, L and Huang, X}, title = {Contributions of countries without a carbon neutrality target to limit global warming.}, journal = {Nature communications}, volume = {16}, number = {1}, pages = {468}, pmid = {39774176}, issn = {2041-1723}, abstract = {Bioenergy with carbon capture and storage (BECCS) is a key negative emission technology for climate mitigation. Some countries have made no commitment to carbon neutrality but are viewed as potential BECCS candidates (hereafter, non-CN countries). Here we analyze contributions of these countries to global climate mitigation with respect to BECCS using an Earth system model with explicit representations of bioenergy crops. Switchgrass cultivation in these non-CN countries can further remove atmospheric CO2 by 9.1 ± 2.8 and 19.9 ± 5.2 PgC in the low-warming and overshot scenarios, resulting in an extra biogeochemical cooling effect of 0.01 ± 0.04 to 0.02 ± 0.06 °C. This cooling is largely counterbalanced by the biophysical warming, but the net effect is still an extra cooling. The non-CN countries play a more important role in the low-warming scenario than in the overshoot scenario, despite the inequality of temperature change among countries. Our study highlights the importance of a global system for climate mitigation.}, }
@article {pmid39773978, year = {2025}, author = {Thompson, HM and Sheffield, P and Shakeel, O and Wood, NM and Miller, MD}, title = {Climate change will impact childhood cancer risks, care and outcomes.}, journal = {BMJ paediatrics open}, volume = {9}, number = {1}, pages = {}, doi = {10.1136/bmjpo-2024-003123}, pmid = {39773978}, issn = {2399-9772}, }
@article {pmid39773181, year = {2025}, author = {Adams, N and Dias, T and Skeen, HR and Pegan, T and Willard, DE and Winger, B and Ruegg, K and Weeks, BC and Bay, R}, title = {Genetic and morphological shifts associated with climate change in a migratory bird.}, journal = {BMC biology}, volume = {23}, number = {1}, pages = {3}, pmid = {39773181}, issn = {1741-7007}, mesh = {Animals ; *Climate Change ; *Animal Migration ; *Songbirds/genetics/anatomy &amp; histology/physiology ; Body Size/genetics ; Genome-Wide Association Study ; Beak/anatomy &amp; histology ; Biological Evolution ; Wings, Animal/anatomy &amp; histology ; }, abstract = {BACKGROUND: Rapid morphological change is emerging as a consequence of climate change in many systems. It is intuitive to hypothesize that temporal morphological trends are driven by the same selective pressures that have established well-known ecogeographic patterns over spatial environmental gradients (e.g., Bergman's and Allen's rules). However, mechanistic understanding of contemporary morphological shifts is lacking.<br><br>RESULTS: We combine morphological data and whole genome sequencing from a four-decade dataset in the migratory bird hermit thrush (Catharus guttatus) to test whether morphological shifts over time are accompanied by genetic change. Using genome-wide association, we identify alleles associated with body size, bill length, and wing length. Shifts in morphology and concordant shifts in morphology-associated alleles over time would support a genetic basis for the observed changes in morphology over recent decades, potentially an adaptive response to climate change. In our data, bill size decreases were paralleled by genetic shifts in bill size-associated alleles. On the other hand, alleles associated with body size showed no shift in frequency over time.<br><br>CONCLUSIONS: Together, our results show mixed support for evolutionary explanations of morphological response to climate change. Temporal shifts in alleles associated with bill size support the hypothesis that selection is driving temporal morphological trends. The lack of evidence for genetic shifts in body size alleles could be explained by a large role of plasticity or technical limitations associated with the likely polygenic architecture of body size, or both. Disentangling the mechanisms responsible for observed morphological response to changing environments will be vital for predicting future organismal and population responses to climate change.}, }
@article {pmid39772738, year = {2025}, author = {Couper, LI and Dodge, TO and Hemker, JA and Kim, BY and Exposito-Alonso, M and Brem, RB and Mordecai, EA and Bitter, MC}, title = {Evolutionary adaptation under climate change: Aedes sp. demonstrates potential to adapt to warming.}, journal = {Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America}, volume = {122}, number = {2}, pages = {e2418199122}, doi = {10.1073/pnas.2418199122}, pmid = {39772738}, issn = {1091-6490}, support = {DEB-2011147//NSF (NSF)/ ; R35GM133439//HHS | NIH (NIH)/ ; R01AI168097//HHS | NIH (NIH)/ ; R01AI102918//HHS | NIH (NIH)/ ; }, mesh = {*Aedes/genetics/physiology ; Animals ; *Climate Change ; *Biological Evolution ; Adaptation, Physiological/genetics ; Genetic Variation ; Mosquito Vectors/genetics/physiology ; Thermotolerance/genetics ; Hot Temperature ; }, abstract = {Climate warming is expected to shift the distributions of mosquitoes and mosquito-borne diseases, promoting expansions at cool range edges and contractions at warm range edges. However, whether mosquito populations could maintain their warm edges through evolutionary adaptation remains unknown. Here, we investigate the potential for thermal adaptation in Aedes sierrensis, a congener of the major disease vector species that experiences large thermal gradients in its native range, by assaying tolerance to prolonged and acute heat exposure, and its genetic basis in a diverse, field-derived population. We found pervasive evidence of heritable genetic variation in mosquito heat tolerance, and phenotypic trade-offs in tolerance to prolonged versus acute heat exposure. Further, we found genomic variation associated with prolonged heat tolerance was clustered in several regions of the genome, suggesting the presence of larger structural variants such as chromosomal inversions. A simple evolutionary model based on our data estimates that the maximum rate of evolutionary adaptation in mosquito heat tolerance will exceed the projected rate of climate warming, implying the potential for mosquitoes to track warming via genetic adaptation.}, }
@article {pmid39772178, year = {2024}, author = {Branda, F and Cella, E and Scarpa, F and Slavov, SN and Bevivino, A and Moretti, R and Degafu, AL and Pecchia, L and Rizzo, A and Defilippo, F and Moreno, A and Ceccarelli, G and Alcantara, LCJ and Ferreira, A and Ciccozzi, M and Giovanetti, M}, title = {Wolbachia-Based Approaches to Controlling Mosquito-Borne Viral Threats: Innovations, AI Integration, and Future Directions in the Context of Climate Change.}, journal = {Viruses}, volume = {16}, number = {12}, pages = {}, pmid = {39772178}, issn = {1999-4915}, mesh = {*Wolbachia/physiology ; *Climate Change ; Animals ; *Mosquito Control/methods ; *Mosquito Vectors/microbiology/virology ; *Vector Borne Diseases/prevention &amp; control/transmission ; Humans ; Zika Virus Infection/prevention &amp; control/transmission ; Culicidae/virology/microbiology ; Dengue/prevention &amp; control/transmission ; Aedes/microbiology/virology ; Ecosystem ; }, abstract = {Wolbachia-based mosquito control strategies have gained significant attention as a sustainable approach to reduce the transmission of vector-borne diseases such as dengue, Zika, and chikungunya. These endosymbiotic bacteria can limit the ability of mosquitoes to transmit pathogens, offering a promising alternative to traditional chemical-based interventions. With the growing impact of climate change on mosquito population dynamics and disease transmission, Wolbachia interventions represent an adaptable and resilient strategy for mitigating the public health burden of vector-borne diseases. Changes in temperature, humidity, and rainfall patterns can alter mosquito breeding habitats and extend the geographical range of disease vectors, increasing the urgency for effective control measures. This review highlights innovations in Wolbachia-based mosquito control and explores future directions in the context of climate change. It emphasizes the integration of Wolbachia with other biological approaches and the need for multidisciplinary efforts to address climate-amplified disease risks. As ecosystems shift, Wolbachia interventions could be crucial in reducing mosquito-borne diseases, especially in vulnerable regions. AI integration in Wolbachia research presents opportunities to enhance mosquito control strategies by modeling ecological data, predicting mosquito dynamics, and optimizing intervention outcomes. Key areas include refining release strategies, real-time monitoring, and scaling interventions. Future opportunities lie in advancing AI-driven approaches for integrating Wolbachia with other vector control measures, promoting adaptive, data-driven responses to climate-amplified disease transmission.}, }
@article {pmid39769614, year = {2024}, author = {Yu, Y and Li, Z}, title = {Predicting the Potential Distribution of Cheirotonus jansoni (Coleoptera: Scarabaeidae) Under Climate Change.}, journal = {Insects}, volume = {15}, number = {12}, pages = {}, pmid = {39769614}, issn = {2075-4450}, support = {32070471 and 31702039//National Natural Science Foundation of China/ ; 2023GDASQNRC-0209//GDAS Special Project of Youth Talent/ ; 2023A04J1483//Guangzhou Basic and Applied Basic Research Foundation/ ; //Project of the Guangdong Forestry Bureau (2023 Wildlife monitoring program)/ ; }, abstract = {Cheirotonus jansoni (Jordan, 1898), a beetle species of ecological and ornamental significance, is predominantly found in southern China. With limited dispersal ability, it is classified as a Class 2 protected species in China. In this study, the widely employed maximum entropy (MaxEnt) model and the ensemble Biomod2 model were applied to simulate C. jansoni habitat suitability in China under current environmental conditions based on available distribution data and multiple environmental variables. The optimized MaxEnt model demonstrated improved accuracy and robust predictive capabilities, making it the preferred choice for simulating dynamic changes in potentially suitable habitats for C. jansoni under future climate scenarios. Protection gaps were further identified through analyses of the overlap between nature reserves and highly suitable areas for C. jansoni. The established models indicated that this species primarily resides in southeastern mountainous regions of China below 2000 m, with a preferred altitude of 1000-2000 m. Future climate scenarios suggest a reduction in the overall suitable habitat for C. jansoni with an increase in temperature, underscoring the urgent need for enhanced conservation efforts for this beetle species.}, }
@article {pmid39769532, year = {2024}, author = {Zhang, L and Yang, C and Xie, G and Wang, P and Wang, W}, title = {Assessment of the Potential Suitable Habitat of Apriona rugicollis Chevrolat, 1852 (Coleoptera: Cerambycidae) Under Climate Change and Human Activities Based on the Biomod2 Ensemble Model.}, journal = {Insects}, volume = {15}, number = {12}, pages = {}, pmid = {39769532}, issn = {2075-4450}, support = {2024AFB254//Natural Science Foundation of Hubei Province/ ; 31672327//National Natural Science Foundation of China/ ; }, abstract = {Effective use of species distribution models can assess the risk of spreading forest pests. In this study, based on 434 occurrence records and eight environmental variables, an ensemble model was applied to identify key environmental factors affecting the distribution of Apriona rugicollis Chevrolat, 1852 and predict its potential habitat and its relative areas of change under current and future climatic conditions. The results indicate that humidity, solar radiation, topography, and human activities were the main factors influencing the distribution of A. rugicollis. Under the current climate scenario, suitable habitats are mainly concentrated in East Asia, including North Korea, South Korea, Japan, Myanmar, Vietnam, and China. Under future climate scenarios, the area of suitable habitat for A. rugicollis gradually increases, especially in China and Japan, which are at high risk of spreading. In addition, the suitable habitat of A. rugicollis will expand northeastward to higher latitudes. The results of this study provide an important scientific basis for policymakers to formulate strategies for monitoring and controlling A. rugicollis in response to climate change.}, }
@article {pmid39767407, year = {2024}, author = {Brink, N and Mansoor, K and Swiers, J and Lakhoo, DP and Parker, C and Nakstad, B and Sawry, S and Aunan, K and Otto, IM and Chersich, MF}, title = {Scoping Review of Climate Change Adaptation Interventions for Health: Implications for Policy and Practice.}, journal = {International journal of environmental research and public health}, volume = {21}, number = {12}, pages = {}, pmid = {39767407}, issn = {1660-4601}, support = {101003966//European Union Horizon 2020/ ; }, mesh = {*Climate Change ; Humans ; Health Policy ; }, abstract = {Climate change is among the greatest threats to health in the 21st century, requiring the urgent scaling-up of adaptation interventions. We aim to summarise adaptation interventions that were funded by the Belmont Forum and the European Union, the largest global funders of climate change and health research. A systematic search was conducted (updated February 2023) to identify articles on adaptation interventions for health within this funding network. The data extracted included study characteristics, types of interventions, and study outcomes. The results were synthesised narratively within the PRISMA-ScR guidelines. A total of 197 articles were screened, with 37 reporting on adaptation interventions. The majority of interventions focused on the general population (n = 17), with few studies examining high-risk populations such as pregnant women and children (n = 4) or migrants (n = 0). Targeted interventions were mostly aimed at behavioural change (n = 8) and health system strengthening (n = 6), while interventions with mitigation co-benefits such as nature-based solutions (n = 1) or the built environment (n = 0) were limited. The most studied climate change hazard was extreme heat (n = 26). Several studies reported promising findings, principally regarding interventions to counter heat impacts on workers and pregnant women and improving risk awareness in communities. These findings provide a platform on which to expand research and public health interventions for safeguarding public health from the effects of climate change.}, }
@article {pmid39767390, year = {2024}, author = {Wang, J and DasSarma, S}, title = {Contributions of Medical Greenhouse Gases to Climate Change and Their Possible Alternatives.}, journal = {International journal of environmental research and public health}, volume = {21}, number = {12}, pages = {}, doi = {10.3390/ijerph21121548}, pmid = {39767390}, issn = {1660-4601}, mesh = {*Greenhouse Gases/analysis ; *Climate Change ; Humans ; Global Warming ; Air Pollutants/analysis ; }, abstract = {Considerable attention has recently been given to the contribution of the greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions of the healthcare sector to climate change. GHGs used in medical practice are regularly released into the atmosphere and contribute to elevations in global temperatures that produce detrimental effects on the environment and human health. Consequently, a comprehensive assessment of their global warming potential over 100 years (GWP) characteristics, and clinical uses, many of which have evaded scrutiny from policy makers due to their medical necessity, is needed. Of major interest are volatile anesthetics, analgesics, and inhalers, as well as fluorinated gases used as tamponades in retinal detachment surgery. In this review, we conducted a literature search from July to September 2024 on medical greenhouse gases and calculated estimates of these gases' GHG emissions in metric tons CO2 equivalent (MTCO2e) and their relative GWP. Notably, the anesthetics desflurane and nitrous oxide contribute the most emissions out of the major medical GHGs, equivalent to driving 12 million gasoline-powered cars annually in the US. Retinal tamponade gases have markedly high GWP up to 23,500 times compared to CO2 and long atmospheric lifetimes up to 10,000 years, thus bearing the potential to contribute to climate change in the long term. This review provides the basis for discussions on examining the environmental impacts of medical gases with high GWP, determining whether alternatives may be available, and reducing emissions while maintaining or even improving patient care.}, }
@article {pmid39765755, year = {2024}, author = {Hurtado-Bautista, E and Islas-Robles, A and Moreno-Hagelsieb, G and Olmedo-Alvarez, G}, title = {Thermal Plasticity and Evolutionary Constraints in Bacillus: Implications for Climate Change Adaptation.}, journal = {Biology}, volume = {13}, number = {12}, pages = {}, doi = {10.3390/biology13121088}, pmid = {39765755}, issn = {2079-7737}, abstract = {The ongoing rise in global temperatures poses significant challenges to ecosystems, particularly impacting bacterial communities that are central to biogeochemical cycles. The resilience of wild mesophilic bacteria to temperature increases of 2-4 °C remains poorly understood. In this study, we conducted experimental evolution on six wild Bacillus strains from two lineages (Bacillus cereus and Bacillus subtilis) to examine their thermal adaptation strategies. We exposed the bacteria to gradually increasing temperatures to assess their thermal plasticity, focusing on the genetic mechanisms underlying adaptation. While B. subtilis lineages improved growth at highly critical temperatures, only one increased its thermal niche to 4 °C above their natural range. This finding is concerning given climate change projections. B. cereus strains exhibited higher mutation rates but were not able to grow at increasing temperatures, while B. subtilis required fewer genetic changes to increase heat tolerance, indicating distinct adaptive strategies. We observed convergent evolution in five evolved lines, with mutations in genes involved in c-di-AMP synthesis, which is crucial for potassium transport, implicating this chemical messenger for the first time in heat tolerance. These insights highlight the vulnerability of bacteria to climate change and underscore the importance of genetic background in shaping thermal adaptation.}, }
@article {pmid39765448, year = {2025}, author = {Gonzalez, A and Sim, A}, title = {From conflict to care: Reframing our understanding and response to adverse childhood experiences in the polycrisis era of war, displacement, and climate change.}, journal = {Child abuse &amp; neglect}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {107225}, doi = {10.1016/j.chiabu.2024.107225}, pmid = {39765448}, issn = {1873-7757}, }
@article {pmid39765406, year = {2025}, author = {Cai, Y and Irie, H and Damiani, A and Itahashi, S and Takemura, T and Khatri, P}, title = {Corrigendum to "Detectability of the potential climate change effect on transboundary air pollution pathways in the downwind area of China" [Sci. Total Environ. 939 (2024) 173490].}, journal = {The Science of the total environment}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {178356}, doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.178356}, pmid = {39765406}, issn = {1879-1026}, }
@article {pmid39765175, year = {2025}, author = {Rodriguez-Flores, S and Muñoz-Robles, C and Quevedo Tiznado, JA and Julio-Miranda, P}, title = {Assessment of watershed health, integrating environmental, social, and climate change criteria into a fuzzy logic framework.}, journal = {The Science of the total environment}, volume = {960}, number = {}, pages = {178316}, doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.178316}, pmid = {39765175}, issn = {1879-1026}, abstract = {Spatio-temporal analyses of environmental and social criteria in the context of climate change, facilitate understanding of how historical and current conditions have influenced watershed health. Previous studies have analyzed watershed health, but very few have integrated fuzzy logic with the CRITIC method (Criteria Importance Through Intercriteria Correlation), which enables us to explore alternatives to improve watershed performance. The objective of this study was to evaluate changes in watershed health through historical and projected climate change scenario in the tropical Santa Cruz watershed in Aquismón, S.L.P., Mexico (1985-2027) considering environmental criteria (hydrological and sediment connectivity, runoff, flooding, drought, landscape fragmentation) and social criteria (indigenous population density, human impact on biodiversity, health index, income index, education index). The results indicate that spatio-temporal changes can alter the Watershed Health Score (WHS) from a value of 2.69 to 6.90, particularly in areas with precarious social conditions. Moreover, the study reveals how weighting evolves overt time, as seen in the case of landscape fragmentation, whose value increased 0.0113 to 0.254. This study shows how objective methods such as CRITIC can be integrated through fuzzy logic to analyze the spatio-temporal evolution of watershed problems without the need for a large number of experts to weight the variables (subjective methods). This method can subsequently be applied and reproduced in different zones or watersheds where there is no certainty as to which criteria have the greatest influence and thus enable decisions for watershed management or restoration.}, }
@article {pmid39764609, year = {2025}, author = {Wu, X and MacKenzie, MD and Yang, J and Lan, G and Liu, Y}, title = {Climate Change Drives Changes in the Size and Composition of Fungal Communities Along the Soil-Seedling Continuum of Schima superba.}, journal = {Molecular ecology}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {e17652}, doi = {10.1111/mec.17652}, pmid = {39764609}, issn = {1365-294X}, support = {2022JBGS04//Research Project of Baishanzu National Park/ ; 2023JBGS06//Research Project of Baishanzu National Park/ ; //Fundamental Research Funds for the Central Universities of China/ ; 32071645//National Natural Science Foundation of China/ ; 32471613//National Natural Science Foundation of China/ ; }, abstract = {Plant microbiomes have a major influence on forest structure and functions, as well as tree fitness and evolution. However, a comprehensive understanding of variations in fungi along the soil-plant continuum, particularly within tree seedlings, under global warming is lacking. Here, we investigated the dynamics of fungal communities across different compartments (including bulk soil and rhizosphere soil) and plant organs (including the endosphere of roots, stems and leaves) of Schima superba seedlings exposed to experimental warming and drought using AccuITS absolute quantitative sequencing. Our results revealed that warming and drought significantly reduced the number of specific fungal amplicon sequence variants (ASVs) in the bulk soil and rhizosphere soil, respectively. Variations in fungal communities were mainly explained by compartments and plant organs, with the composition of endophytic fungal communities within leaves (primarily attributed to species gain or loss) being most influenced by climate change. Moreover, warming significantly reduced the migration of Ascomycota, soil saprotrophs, wood saprotrophs and yeasts from the bulk soil to the rhizosphere soil but increased that of plant pathogens from the roots to the stems. Drought significantly decreased the absolute abundances of Chytridiomycota, Glomeromycota and Rozellomycota, as well as the migration of ectomycorrhizal fungi from the bulk soil to the rhizosphere soil but increased that of plant pathogens. Warming could indirectly reduce leaf area by increasing the diversity of leaf pathogens. These findings have potential implications for enhancing the resilience and functioning of natural forest ecosystems under climate change through the manipulation of plant microbiomes, as demonstrated in agroecosystems.}, }
@article {pmid39764182, year = {2024}, author = {De Guzman, RB and Malik, M and Singh, N and Ho-Fung Loong, H and Mohan, A}, title = {Lung cancer in Asia: the impact of climate change.}, journal = {EClinicalMedicine}, volume = {74}, number = {}, pages = {102680}, pmid = {39764182}, issn = {2589-5370}, abstract = {The escalating global threat of climate change is becoming more evident. The climate crisis intersects with another major challenge: lung cancer. With Asia already bearing half the global cancer burden, the impact of climate-related events on health and on lung cancer care specifically are profound. There can potentially be critical implications on the overall landscape of lung cancer care-from screening and early detection, to management and treatment. In 2022, the deadliest flooding events occurred in India and Pakistan. Extreme weather events such as cyclones and typhoons cause damage to healthcare facilities and disrupt transportation networks. These impede access to vital treatments, causing delays, thus worsening patients' conditions. Most low and middle-income countries (LMICs) have disparities in healthcare infrastructure, resources, and workforce distribution that result in limited access to comprehensive care. This fragmented healthcare system in many Asian countries pose additional challenges. Adaptation and mitigation strategies are crucial for minimizing these impacts on cancer care. Addressing this complex interplay demands urgent, collaborative, and multidisciplinary efforts to safeguard healthcare and ensure access to uninterrupted care amid climate-related challenges.}, }
@article {pmid39763496, year = {2024}, author = {The Lancet Regional Health-Americas, }, title = {Navigating the intricate links between migration, climate change, and food insecurity in Latin America and the Caribbean.}, journal = {Lancet regional health. Americas}, volume = {40}, number = {}, pages = {100967}, doi = {10.1016/j.lana.2024.100967}, pmid = {39763496}, issn = {2667-193X}, }
@article {pmid39763494, year = {2024}, author = {Batista, C and Knipper, M and Sedas, AC and Farante, SV and Wainstock, D and Borjas-Cavero, DB and Araya, KR and Arteaga España, JC and Yglesias-González, M}, title = {Climate change, migration, and health: perspectives from Latin America and the Caribbean.}, journal = {Lancet regional health. Americas}, volume = {40}, number = {}, pages = {100926}, pmid = {39763494}, issn = {2667-193X}, abstract = {This article delves into the complex relationship between climate change, migration patterns, and health outcomes in Latin America and the Caribbean (LAC). While the severe impact of climate change on health in LAC is widely acknowledged, the article sheds light on the often-overlooked multiple effects on migration and the well-being of migrants. These impacts encompass poverty, food and water insecurity, and adverse physical and mental health outcomes. Our paper, guided by a rights-based framework, aims to identify key trends, challenges, and opportunities that can contribute to enhanced knowledge and generate questions to support future research. By emphasizing the need for collaborative efforts across sectors, including public and private entities, civil society, and academic institutions, we aim to address the nuanced intersections of climate change, migration, and health impacts in the region. This approach prioritises the needs of the most vulnerable, including migrants, establishing a framework for mitigation and adaptation that ensures equitable outcomes.}, }
@article {pmid39763488, year = {2024}, author = {Werner, K}, title = {The need to (climate) adapt: perceptions of German sports event planners on the imperative to address climate change.}, journal = {Frontiers in sports and active living}, volume = {6}, number = {}, pages = {1505372}, pmid = {39763488}, issn = {2624-9367}, abstract = {INTRODUCTION: While the impact of anthropogenic climate change on sports and the subsequent need for adaptation to evolving climatic conditions are acknowledged, there remains a notable paucity of scientific inquiry within the realm of sports and sports event studies specifically addressing climate change and its ramifications for event planning and management. Existing studies predominantly stem from health, medical, weather and climate science and mostly focus on mega-events and elite athlete contexts. Moreover, they often only focus on one specific impact (e.g., extreme heat) without providing a comprehensive summary or overview of all eminent impacts, resulting risks and potential adaptation strategies. This study aims to explore how (German) sports events are impacted by climate change and identify measures for organizers to address these impacts.<br><br>METHODS: Following a comprehensive literature review, semi-structured interviews with event planners and organizers in Germany were conducted, ranging from small local events to weekly league competitions to national championships and major events.<br><br>RESULTS: The findings demonstrate that climate change adaptation is not yet a primary focus in the German sports event context. While some planners, especially those of large-scale events, have started implementing adaptation measures, others are only beginning to address the issue.<br><br>DISCUSSION: The study discusses the challenges that sports event organizers face in adjusting to the adverse effects of climate change and also examines specific adaptation strategies. The paper emphasizes the imperative for organizers to incorporate climate adaptation measures more effectively into routine event planning and management processes, and provides practical guidelines to achieve this integration.}, }
@article {pmid39762690, year = {2025}, author = {Ickovics, JR and Astbury, K and Campbell, M and Carrión, D and James, H and Sinha, N and Ong, A and Dubrow, R and Seto, KC and Vlahov, D}, title = {Indicators from The Lancet Countdown on Health and Climate Change: Perspectives and Experience of City Leaders from 118 Cities.}, journal = {Journal of urban health : bulletin of the New York Academy of Medicine}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, pmid = {39762690}, issn = {1468-2869}, abstract = {Rapid urbanization and escalating climate crises place cities at the critical juncture of environmental and public health action. Urban areas are home to more than half of the global population, contributing ~ 75% of global greenhouse gas emissions. Structured surveys were completed by 191 leaders in city governments and civil society from 118 cities in 52 countries (February-April 2024). Data aggregated to report one response per city. The survey utilized framework and indicators established by The 2023 Lancet Countdown on Health and Climate Change. (1) Health hazards, exposures, impacts: two-thirds of cities identify extreme heat, flooding, and air pollution of "high concern," with health impacts for residents. (2) Adaptation, planning, resilience for health: Although 60% of cities have climate resilience plans, only 22.9% of cities have plans that concurrently address climate and health. Essential resources, municipal systems, and cross-sector collaborations are limited. (3) Mitigation actions and health co-benefits: 90% of cities reported air pollution from multiple sources; only 38% monitor air quality. Energy, food, and transportation systems are sub-optimal to mitigate climate concerns. (4) Economics and finance: 92% of cities report climate change-related economic losses; they plan to increase investments though resources remain constrained. (5) Public and political engagement: City leaders report minimal knowledge sharing among media, national/local government, scientific community, business community, and residents. Results underscore urgency for action and highlight solutions, providing a roadmap for cities to enhance resilience, safeguard public health, and promote social equity.}, }
@article {pmid39762384, year = {2025}, author = {Tollefson, J}, title = {Earth shattered heat records in 2023 and 2024: is global warming speeding up?.}, journal = {Nature}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, pmid = {39762384}, issn = {1476-4687}, }
@article {pmid39761681, year = {2025}, author = {Hesselman, M and Patterson, DW and Phelan, AL and Meier, BM and Tahzib, F and Gostin, LO}, title = {Ensuring health at the heart of climate change Advisory Opinion.}, journal = {Lancet (London, England)}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, doi = {10.1016/S0140-6736(24)02815-0}, pmid = {39761681}, issn = {1474-547X}, }
@article {pmid39759884, year = {2024}, author = {Gould, CA and Gentile, LE and Sbiroli, E and Berger, M and Philipsborn, R}, title = {Editorial: Climate change is a children's health hazard.}, journal = {Environmental research, health : ERH}, volume = {2}, number = {4}, pages = {040201}, pmid = {39759884}, issn = {2752-5309}, support = {EPA999999/ImEPA/Intramural EPA/United States ; }, abstract = {As temperatures defy heat records, it is difficult to ignore the implications of climate change for public health, including impacts on population health more specifically. In short, climate change is happening now and presents an immediate hazard to human health on a global scale. Age-related health effects are an inalienable truth; physiology is relatively universal, and so are the ways in which our bodies respond to different types and levels of exposures to environmental stressors at different lifestages. Children are uniquely vulnerable to climate change stressors not only due to their physical and developmental immaturity, but also because they generally rely on adult caretakers for the fundamentals of survival. This article is the summary piece accompanying a special issue of Environmental Research: Health. It compiles new studies on children's vulnerability to climate change as well as studies exploring climate adaptation strategies to promote and protect child health. In this special issue, we see how these concepts are reflected repeatedly in empirical data domestically and internationally. For example, the special issue includes articles investigating linkages between climate change and health hazards such as asthma, injuries, and malnutrition. While local context is extremely important, many of the health effects may be extrapolated to other communities around the world.}, }
@article {pmid39759371, year = {2024}, author = {Khalaf, SMH and Alqahtani, MSM and Ali, MRM and Abdelalim, ITI and Hodhod, MS}, title = {Using MaxEnt modeling to analyze climate change impacts on Pseudomonas syringae van Hall, 1904 distribution on the global scale.}, journal = {Heliyon}, volume = {10}, number = {24}, pages = {e41017}, pmid = {39759371}, issn = {2405-8440}, abstract = {Pseudomonas syringae is a pathogenic bacterium that poses a significant threat to global agriculture, necessitating a deeper understanding of its ecological dynamics in the context of global warming. This study investigates the current and projected future distribution of P. syringae, focusing on the climatic factors that influence its spread. To achieve this, we employed Maximum Entropy (MaxEnt) modeling based on Geographic Information Systems (GIS) to analyze species occurrence records alongside relevant climate data. The MaxEnt model was calibrated using 75 % of the occurrence data, with the remaining 25 % reserved for validation. The model's performance was meticulously assessed utilizing the area under the curve (AUC) and true skill statistics (TSS), resulting in an AUC score of 0.92, indicating excellent predictive capability. Our analysis identified key climatic parameters-temperature, precipitation, and humidity-that significantly affect the presence of P. syringae. Notably, our findings project an expansion of the bacterium's geographic range in the coming decades, with optimal conditions shifting toward the poles. This research underscores the significant influence of climate change on the distribution of P. syringae and provides valuable insights for developing targeted disease management strategies. The anticipated increase in bacterial infections in crops highlights the urgent need for proactive measures to mitigate these effects.}, }
@article {pmid39759337, year = {2024}, author = {Belay, B and Diriba, D and Senbeta, F}, title = {Estimation of GHGs emission from traditional kilns charcoal production in northwestern Ethiopia: Implications on climate change.}, journal = {Heliyon}, volume = {10}, number = {24}, pages = {e41015}, pmid = {39759337}, issn = {2405-8440}, abstract = {Rural areas in Ethiopia serve as the primary source of charcoal for urban populations, mainly produced using traditional kilns. However, this traditional method significantly contributes to greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions, exacerbating climate change and deforestation. While banning charcoal production is not currently feasible in Ethiopia because of the lack of affordable alternative energy sources (fuel), improving the efficiency of the traditional production system can mitigate the climate impact caused by charcoal production. This study assessed GHG emissions from traditional charcoal production in Awi zone, northwestern Ethiopia, using primary data from 18 sample kilns and secondary data from literature values. Employing a carbon balance approach, we estimated that, on average, 63 % of the original wood carbon was lost as gaseous products, resulting in 1671 g of carbon released per kg of charcoal produced in Awi zone. Our results also indicate that the average primary global warming impact (PGWI) for the 18 sample kilns was found to be 7.6 kg CO2-eq per kg of charcoal produced. Within this, the less efficient kiln production system, constituting 6 out of the sample, contributed 1.5 times more to global warming (9.43 kg CO2-eq per kg of charcoal produced) compared to the more efficient kiln system (6.25 kg CO2-eq per kg of charcoal produced for the same number of kilns). The policy implication of our finding is that any interventions aiming at mitigating climate change through reduction of GHG emissions from charcoal production must focus on improving the conversion efficiency of the traditional kiln currently used in addition to promoting the use of sustainably harvested wood.}, }
@article {pmid39759313, year = {2024}, author = {Usman, U and Yang, X and Nasir, MI}, title = {Role of climate change in economic uncertainty of Pakistan: New approach with qualitative comparative analysis.}, journal = {Heliyon}, volume = {10}, number = {24}, pages = {e40889}, pmid = {39759313}, issn = {2405-8440}, abstract = {Globally, the effects of climate change are becoming more pronounced. Simultaneously, concerns associated with climate change effects have garnered widespread attention. The motive of this study is to know about the prominent antecedents of climate abnormalities in Pakistan, which may lead to economic abnormality and instability. The core objectives of this research are to: identify the abrupt changes in the climate of Pakistan, know about the level of disruption towards economic conditions due to climate change, detect the aggregate consequences of climate change on the economy of Pakistan, and finally take steps to hedge the abnormalities resulting from the abnormal climate changes. The accomplices employed qualitative methods to gather information. Fuzzy set Qualitative comparative analysis (fsQCA) and semi-organized talks to thoroughly separate each plaintiff's extensive knowledge and opinions. For this study, a sample of 30 experienced economic analysts and climate change experts from Pakistan were chosen. The study's findings verified that several important antecedents, including the nature of climate change abnormalities, are identified in the research. This study explored methods to address these abnormalities and was conducted with professional guidance to meet sustainable development goals related to climate change. Scholars and experts are advised to adopt more systematic approaches to mitigate the risks due to the complex and variable combination situations that led to the climate change risks in Pakistan and the surrounding area.}, }
@article {pmid39758984, year = {2024}, author = {Ross, PM and Pine, C and Scanes, E and Byrne, M and O'Connor, WA and Gibbs, M and Parker, LM}, title = {Meta-analyses reveal climate change impacts on an ecologically and economically significant oyster in Australia.}, journal = {iScience}, volume = {27}, number = {12}, pages = {110673}, pmid = {39758984}, issn = {2589-0042}, abstract = {Global oceans are warming and acidifying because of increasing greenhouse gas emissions that are anticipated to have cascading impacts on marine ecosystems and organisms, especially those essential for biodiversity and food security. Despite this concern, there remains some skepticism about the reproducibility and reliability of research done to predict future climate change impacts on marine organisms. Here, we present meta-analyses of over two decades of research on the climate change impacts on an ecologically and economically valuable Sydney rock oyster, Saccostrea glomerata. We confirm with high confidence that ocean acidification (OA) has a significant impact on the size and mortality of offspring of S. glomerata, ocean warming (OW) impacts size, and transgenerational exposure of adults to OA has positive benefits for offspring. These meta-analyses reveal gaps in understanding of OW and transgenerational plasticity on an ecologically and economically significant oyster species to ensure sustainability of this iconic oyster in Australia.}, }
@article {pmid39758434, year = {2025}, author = {Wei, X and Bohnett, E and An, L}, title = {Assessing U.S. public perceptions of global warming using social survey and climate data.}, journal = {MethodsX}, volume = {14}, number = {}, pages = {103081}, pmid = {39758434}, issn = {2215-0161}, abstract = {This paper presents a methodological approach for assessing the relationship between weather patterns, regional climate trends, and public perceptions of global warming in the United States with control of socioeconomic, political, and ideological variables. We combined social survey data from the Gallup Poll Social Series (GPSS) with environmental data from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) and the PRISM Climate Group. Logistic regression models were employed, enhanced by Eigenvector Spatial Filtering (ESF) to address spatial autocorrelation. This approach allowed us to examine how both short-term weather conditions and long-term climate changes impact public concerns about global warming. Notably, the perception of warmer winters emerged as a critical factor influencing attitudes, highlighting the importance of perceived environmental changes in shaping public opinion.•We combined survey data on public perceptions with high-resolution weather and climate data.•We applied logistic regression models with Eigenvector Spatial Filtering to control for spatial autocorrelation.•Our analysis emphasized both physical climate measures and perceived climate changes.}, }
@article {pmid39757897, year = {2025}, author = {Liu, OR and Kaplan, IC and Hernvann, PY and Fulton, EA and Haltuch, MA and Harvey, CJ and Marshall, KN and Muhling, B and Norman, K and Pozo Buil, M and Rovellini, A and Samhouri, JF}, title = {Climate Change Influences via Species Distribution Shifts and Century-Scale Warming in an End-To-End California Current Ecosystem Model.}, journal = {Global change biology}, volume = {31}, number = {1}, pages = {e70021}, pmid = {39757897}, issn = {1365-2486}, support = {NA20OAR4310507//Climate Program Office/ ; 2019-69817//David and Lucile Packard Foundation/ ; }, mesh = {*Climate Change ; *Ecosystem ; Animals ; California ; *Fishes/physiology ; *Biomass ; Fisheries ; Temperature ; Models, Theoretical ; Climate Models ; Models, Biological ; Animal Distribution ; Global Warming ; Pacific Ocean ; }, abstract = {Climate change can impact marine ecosystems through many biological and ecological processes. Ecosystem models are one tool that can be used to simulate how the complex impacts of climate change may manifest in a warming world. In this study, we used an end-to-end Atlantis ecosystem model to compare and contrast the effects of climate-driven species redistribution and projected temperature from three separate climate models on species of key commercial importance in the California Current Ecosystem. Adopting a scenario analysis approach, we used Atlantis to measure differences in the biomass, abundance, and weight at age of pelagic and demersal species among six simulations for the years 2013-2100 and tracked the implications of those changes for spatially defined California Current fishing fleets. The simulations varied in their use of forced climate-driven species distribution shifts, time-varying projections of ocean warming, or both. In general, the abundance and biomass of coastal pelagic species like Pacific sardine (Sardinops sagax) and northern anchovy (Engraulis mordax) were more sensitive to projected climate change, while demersal groups like Dover sole (Microstomus pacificus) experienced smaller changes due to counteracting effects of spatial distribution change and metabolic effects of warming. Climate-driven species distribution shifts and the resulting changes in food web interactions were more influential than warming on end-of-century biomass and abundance patterns. Spatial projections of changes in fisheries catch did not always align with changes in abundance of their targeted species. This mismatch is likely due to species distribution shifts into or out of fishing areas and emphasizes the importance of a spatially explicit understanding of both climate change effects and fishing dynamics. We illuminate important biological and ecological pathways through which climate change acts in an ecosystem context and end with a discussion of potential management implications and future directions for climate change research using ecosystem models.}, }
@article {pmid39756840, year = {2025}, author = {The Lancet Haematology, }, title = {Haematology and climate change.}, journal = {The Lancet. Haematology}, volume = {12}, number = {1}, pages = {e1}, doi = {10.1016/S2352-3026(24)00381-8}, pmid = {39756840}, issn = {2352-3026}, }
@article {pmid39755861, year = {2025}, author = {Motesaddi, S and Mohseni-Bandpei, A and Nasseri, M and Rafiee, M and Hashempour, Y}, title = {Climate change impact on water treatment plants: analysis of chlorophyll-a levels and process performance.}, journal = {Environmental science and pollution research international}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, pmid = {39755861}, issn = {1614-7499}, support = {IR.SBMU.PHNS.REC.1395.6//Shahid Beheshti University of Medical Sciences/ ; }, abstract = {Climate change significantly impacts the risk of eutrophication and, consequently, chlorophyll-a (Chl-a) concentrations. Understanding the impact of water flows is a crucial first step in developing insights into future patterns of change and associated risks. In this study, the Statistical DownScaling Model (SDSM)-a widely used daily downscaling method-is implemented to produce downscaled local climate variables, which serve as input for simulating future hydro-climate conditions using a hydrological model. The vulnerability of water quality, particularly Chl-a concentrations in the Latyan Dam and Tehranpars Water Treatment Plant (TWTP) is assessed through six fuzzy regression models under three scenarios: RCP2.6, RCP4.5, and RCP8.5. Projections indicate an increase in minimum temperatures for the Jajrood watershed ranging from 92 to 93%. Seasonal forecasts suggest significant precipitation during the dry season. The HYMOD model predicts increases in streamflow of approximately 97%, 90%, and 92% by 2050 under RCP2.6, RCP4.5, and RCP8.5, respectively, indicating a heightened risk of flooding that poses economic, health, and environmental concerns. Among the six fuzzy regression models, FGR1, FGR3, and FGR4 demonstrated the most favorable results in modeling Chl-a output from the TWTP. In conclusion, while Chl-a concentrations in the effluent of the TWTP are only slightly influenced by climate change, the effects on streamflow patterns are significant. These findings highlight serious future water quality challenges and increased vulnerability of water resources due to climate change.}, }
@article {pmid39755721, year = {2025}, author = {Khalil, HH and Abdrabo, MA and Hassaan, MA and Elshemy, MM}, title = {Integrated approach for estimating climate change impacts on CO2 sink capacity of inland waterbodies using hydrodynamic modelling and GIS analysis.}, journal = {Scientific reports}, volume = {15}, number = {1}, pages = {762}, pmid = {39755721}, issn = {2045-2322}, abstract = {As one of their key regulatory ecosystem functions, inland lakes serve as CO2 sinks. The CO2 sink capacity of inland lakes depends on their water temperature and salinity as well as their water volume which are all highly sensitive to climate conditions. This paper aims to quantitatively estimate the change in the CO2 sink capacity of Wadi El-Rayan Lakes under climate change scenarios. For this purpose, an integrated approach combining CO2 solubility modelling, hydrodynamic simulations (Delft3D-FLOW) and GIS analysis was employed. According to the developed approach, CO2 solubility under variable temperature and salinity is mathematically modelled and this model is further used with the developed hydrodynamic model data for Wadi El-Rayan Lakes (temperature, salinity and water depth) to estimate their CO2 sink capacities. CO2 sink capacity is estimated for 2014 and 2050 under two Representative Concentration Pathways (RCPs) 2.6 and 8.5. Afterwards, the alteration in CO2 sink capacities due to climate change is determined using the modified hydrodynamic model. The results revealed that by 2050, the lakes would lose about 23-25% of their capacities compared to that of 2014 according to RCP 2.6 and 8.5, respectively.}, }
@article {pmid39755063, year = {2025}, author = {Yamuza-Magdaleno, A and Jiménez-Ramos, R and Cavijoli-Bosch, J and Brun, FG and Egea, LG}, title = {Ocean acidification and global warming may favor blue carbon service in a Cymodocea nodosa community by modifying carbon metabolism and dissolved organic carbon fluxes.}, journal = {Marine pollution bulletin}, volume = {212}, number = {}, pages = {117501}, doi = {10.1016/j.marpolbul.2024.117501}, pmid = {39755063}, issn = {1879-3363}, abstract = {Ocean acidification (OA) and global warming (GW) drive a variety of responses in seagrasses that may modify their carbon metabolism, including the dissolved organic carbon (DOC) fluxes and the organic carbon stocks in upper sediments. In a 45-day full-factorial mesocosm experiment simulating forecasted CO2 and temperature increase in a Cymodocea nodosa community, we found that net community production (NCP) was higher under OA conditions, particularly when combined with warming (i.e., synergistic effect). Moreover, under OA conditions, an increase in aboveground biomass and photosynthetic shoot area was recorded. Interestingly, DOC fluxes were reduced when exposed to OA; however, an increase occurred when both factors acted together (i.e., antagonistic effect), which was attributable to increased DOC release by plants. Our results suggest that C. nodosa populations in temperate latitude may favor blue carbon service in future scenarios of OA and GW by increasing the NCP, the DOC export with lower labile:recalcitrant ratio, and accumulating more organic carbon in upper sediments. These findings offer additional arguments for the urgent need to protect and conserve this valuable ecosystem.}, }
@article {pmid39754884, year = {2024}, author = {Iqbal, S and Li, Y and Xu, J and Worthy, FR and Gui, H and Faraj, TK and Jones, DL and Bu, D}, title = {Smallest microplastics intensify maize yield decline, soil processes and consequent global warming potential.}, journal = {Journal of hazardous materials}, volume = {486}, number = {}, pages = {136993}, doi = {10.1016/j.jhazmat.2024.136993}, pmid = {39754884}, issn = {1873-3336}, abstract = {Microplastic pollution seriously affects global agroecosystems, strongly influencing soil processes and crop growth. Microplastics impact could be size-dependent, yet relevant field experiments are scarce. We conducted a field experiment in a soil-maize agroecosystem to assess interactions between microplastic types and sizes. Microplastics were added to soils used for maize cultivation: either polyethylene or polystyrene, of 75, 150, or 300 µm size. Overall, we found that microplastic contamination led to increased soil carbon, nitrogen and biogeochemical cycling. Polyethylene contamination was generally more detrimental than polystyrene. Smallest polyethylene microplastics (75 µm) were associated with two-fold raised CO2 and N2O emissions - hypothetically via raised microbial metabolic rates. Increased net greenhouse gases emissions were calculated to raise soil global warming potential of soils. We infer that MPs-associated emissions arose from altered soil processes. Polyethylene of 75 µm size caused the greatest reduction in soil carbon and nitrogen pools (1-1.5 %), with lesser impacts of larger microplastics. These smallest polyethylene microplastics caused the greatest declines in maize productivity (∼ 2-fold), but had no significant impact on harvest index. Scanning electron microscopy indicated that microplastics were taken up by the roots of maize plants, then also translocated to stems and leaves. These results raise serious concerns for the impact of microplastics pollution on future soil bio-geochemical cycling, food security and climate change. As microplastics will progressively degrade to smaller sizes, the environmental and agricultural impacts of current microplastics contamination of soils could increase over time; exacerbating potential planetary boundary threats.}, }
@article {pmid39754352, year = {2025}, author = {Rodriguez, MD and Bay, RA and Ruegg, KC}, title = {Telomere Length Differences Indicate Climate Change-Induced Stress and Population Decline in a Migratory Bird.}, journal = {Molecular ecology}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {e17642}, doi = {10.1111/mec.17642}, pmid = {39754352}, issn = {1365-294X}, support = {006784//National Science Foundation Graduate Research Fellowship Program/ ; 62591-443863//National Geographic Society/ ; 1942313//National Science Foundation/ ; }, abstract = {Genomic projections of (mal)adaptation under future climate change, known as genomic offset, faces limited application due to challenges in validating model predictions. Individuals inhabiting regions with high genomic offset are expected to experience increased levels of physiological stress as a result of climate change, but documenting such stress can be challenging in systems where experimental manipulations are not possible. One increasingly common method for documenting physiological costs associated with stress in individuals is to measure the relative length of telomeres-the repetitive regions on the caps of chromosomes that are known to shorten at faster rates in more adverse conditions. Here we combine models of genomic offsets with measures of telomere shortening in a migratory bird, the yellow warbler (Setophaga petechia), and find a strong correlation between genomic offset, telomere length and population decline. While further research is needed to fully understand these links, our results support the idea that birds in regions where climate change is happening faster are experiencing more stress and that such negative effects may help explain the observed population declines.}, }
@article {pmid39753724, year = {2025}, author = {Yang, K and Luo, K and Zhang, J and Qiu, B and Wang, F and Xiao, Q and Cao, J and He, Y and Yang, J}, title = {Estimating forest aboveground carbon sink based on landsat time series and its response to climate change.}, journal = {Scientific reports}, volume = {15}, number = {1}, pages = {589}, pmid = {39753724}, issn = {2045-2322}, support = {32260390//National Natural Science Foundation of China/ ; 32260390//National Natural Science Foundation of China/ ; 32260390//National Natural Science Foundation of China/ ; 32260390//National Natural Science Foundation of China/ ; 32260390//National Natural Science Foundation of China/ ; YNWR-QNBJ-2020-164//"Young Top Talents" special project of the high-level talent training support program of Yunnan province, China, in 2020/ ; YNWR-QNBJ-2020-164//"Young Top Talents" special project of the high-level talent training support program of Yunnan province, China, in 2020/ ; YNWR-QNBJ-2020-164//"Young Top Talents" special project of the high-level talent training support program of Yunnan province, China, in 2020/ ; YNWR-QNBJ-2020-164//"Young Top Talents" special project of the high-level talent training support program of Yunnan province, China, in 2020/ ; YNWR-QNBJ-2020-164//"Young Top Talents" special project of the high-level talent training support program of Yunnan province, China, in 2020/ ; LXXK-2023Z06//Innovation Programs of Southwest Forestry University/ ; LXXK-2023Z06//Innovation Programs of Southwest Forestry University/ ; LXXK-2023Z06//Innovation Programs of Southwest Forestry University/ ; LXXK-2023Z06//Innovation Programs of Southwest Forestry University/ ; LXXK-2023Z06//Innovation Programs of Southwest Forestry University/ ; }, abstract = {Accurately estimating forest carbon sink and exploring their climate-driven mechanisms are critical to achieving carbon neutrality and sustainable development. Fewer studies have used machine learning-based dynamic models to estimate forest carbon sink. The climate-driven mechanisms in Shangri-La have yet to be explored. In this study, a genetic algorithm (GA) was used to optimize the parameters of random forest (RF) to establish dynamic models to estimate the carbon sink intensity (CSI) of Pinus densata in Shangri-La and analyze the combined effects of multi-climatic factors on CSI. We found that (1) GA can effectively improve the estimation accuracy of RF, the R[2] can be improved by up to 34.8%, and the optimal GA-RF model R[2] is 0.83. (2) The CSI of Pinus densata in Shangri-La was 0.45-0.72 t C·hm[- 2] from 1987 to 2017. (3) Precipitation has the most significant effect on CSI. The combined weak drive of precipitation, temperature, and surface solar radiation on CSI was the most dominant drive for Pinus densata CSI. These results indicate that dynamic models can be used for large-scale long-term estimation of carbon sink in highland forest, providing a feasible method. Clarifying the driving mechanism will provide a scientific basis for forest resource management.}, }
@article {pmid39753640, year = {2025}, author = {Lee, SH and An, LS and Kim, HK}, title = {Risk-based bridge life cycle cost and environmental impact assessment considering climate change effects.}, journal = {Scientific reports}, volume = {15}, number = {1}, pages = {725}, pmid = {39753640}, issn = {2045-2322}, support = {RS-2023-00250727//Korea Agency for Infrastructure Technology Advancement/ ; RS-2023-00250727//Korea Agency for Infrastructure Technology Advancement/ ; RS-2023-00250727//Korea Agency for Infrastructure Technology Advancement/ ; }, abstract = {To enhance sustainability and resilience against climate change in infrastructure, a quantitative evaluation of both environmental impact and cost is important within a life cycle framework. Climate change effects can lead performance deterioration in bridge components during their operational phase, highlighting the necessity for a risk-based evaluation process aligned with maintenance strategies. This study employs a two-phase life cycle assessments (LCA) framework. First, risk assessments are conducted to evaluate the impact of climate change on steel plate girder bridges and prestressed concrete (PSC) girder bridges under identical structural conditions. The reduction in flexural strength of steel plate girders and PSC girders due to changes in environmental variables such as temperature and relative humidity, induced by various climate change scenarios, was evaluated analytically. Subsequently, life cycle environmental impact and cost assessments were performed, including maintenance outcomes derived from risk assessments. The findings revealed that the environmental impact and cost could increase by approximately 12.4% when climate change is considered, compared to scenarios where it is not taken into account. Sensitivity analyses were performed to identify the key factors influencing environmental impact and cost. The analysis determined that the frequency of preventive maintenance, the recycling rate, and environmental cost coefficient weight in the life cycle assessment significantly affected the results.}, }
@article {pmid39753474, year = {2024}, author = {Jia, F and Cai, W and Geng, T and Gan, B and Zhong, W and Wu, L and McPhaden, MJ}, title = {Transition from multi-year La Niña to strong El Niño rare but increased under global warming.}, journal = {Science bulletin}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, doi = {10.1016/j.scib.2024.12.034}, pmid = {39753474}, issn = {2095-9281}, abstract = {El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) exhibits a strong asymmetry between warm El Niño and cold La Niña in amplitude and temporal evolution. An El Niño often leads to a heat discharge in the equatorial Pacific conducive to its rapid termination and transition to a La Niña, whereas a La Niña persists and recharges the equatorial Pacific for consecutive years preconditioning development of a subsequent El Niño, as occurred in 2020-2023. Whether the multiyear-long heat recharge increases the likelihood of a transition to a strong El Niño remains unknown. Here, we show that such a transition is rare but more likely under transient greenhouse warming. In boreal spring and early summer after a multiyear La Niña, despite a substantial recharge in the western Pacific, thermocline remains anomalously shallow and sea surface temperature (SST) remains anomalously cold in the equatorial central Pacific. The cold conditions inhibit an ensuing eastward movement of atmosphere deep convection out of the warm western Pacific, delaying onset of ocean-atmosphere coupling, and hence growth of an El Niño. Under a high emission scenario, such a transition is still rare but more than twice as likely. The projected change is consistent with a projected weakening in climatological zonal SST gradient that promotes the eastward movement of atmosphere convection and a projected intensification in upper-ocean stratification of the equatorial Pacific that enhances the ocean-atmosphere coupling. Our result provides predictive insight of El Niño after multiyear La Niña, and advances our understanding of ENSO transition under greenhouse warming.}, }
@article {pmid39752940, year = {2025}, author = {Ricciardi, G and Callegari, G and Leone, MF}, title = {20∗20∗60: A multilevel climate change analysis framework.}, journal = {Journal of environmental management}, volume = {373}, number = {}, pages = {123733}, doi = {10.1016/j.jenvman.2024.123733}, pmid = {39752940}, issn = {1095-8630}, abstract = {Cities worldwide have established plans and policies to achieve climate-neutral and climate-resilient objectives in recent decades. Researches have demonstrated that Climate Change Action Plans generally fail to include mitigation and adaptation approaches in their planning processes, despite their importance. A proposed multilevel assessment of Climate Change Action Plans, urban regeneration, and building projects was used to analyze the ten cities most sustainable in terms of developing environmental strategies, including local climate action to determine the degree of adaptation and mitigation integration in cutting-edge contexts and to identify measures that show synergies and co-benefits for urban design practices. Climate Change Action Plans, urban regeneration and building projects have been evaluated through scoring methods to determine firstly the level of integration among adaptation and mitigation and secondly the most used urban design solutions that addresses both approaches. Almost all of Climate Change Action Plans have "moderate" and "early" integration, with the most advanced in North American cities including Toronto, Montreal, New York, and San Francisco. Climate Change Action Plans partly influence urban regeneration projects. Among the cities studied, Royal Seaport and Hammarby Sjöstad in Stockholm stand out as the most advanced in terms of including measures for both mitigating and adapting to climate change, as well as the extent of activities carried out. North American building projects have the highest adaptation and mitigation strategies. Climate Change Action Plans, urban regeneration initiatives, and building projects analyzed have displayed measures to include both climate change mitigation and climate change adaptation benefits into urban design.}, }
@article {pmid39752819, year = {2025}, author = {Liu, J and Liu, X and Zhu, A and Wang, X and Yu, Q and Chen, L and Al-Musawi, TJ and Aasal, M}, title = {Prioritization of climate change mitigation strategies for coastal regions using the Analytic Hierarchy Process.}, journal = {Marine pollution bulletin}, volume = {212}, number = {}, pages = {117516}, doi = {10.1016/j.marpolbul.2024.117516}, pmid = {39752819}, issn = {1879-3363}, abstract = {This study utilizes the Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP) to prioritize climate change mitigation strategies for coastal regions systematically. The AHP, a robust data-driven decision-making framework, was employed to evaluate five strategies: Mangrove Restoration, Zoning and Building Codes, Seawalls, Coral Reef Protection, and Relocation Programs. The analysis revealed that Mangrove Restoration emerged as the most effective strategy, achieving the highest score of 0.65 due to its significant environmental impact and long-term sustainability. Zoning and Building Codes followed closely with a score of 0.58, showcasing their cost-effectiveness and regulatory advantages. While effective in urban areas, Seawalls ranked third with a score of 0.48, indicating limitations in social acceptance. Coral Reef Protection and Relocation Programs scored 0.46 and 0.38, respectively, reflecting their higher costs and resource intensity. The findings underscored the importance of prioritizing strategies that balance ecological health and socio-economic feasibility, offering actionable recommendations for policymakers and stakeholders. This research identifies key challenges such as balancing ecological health, socio-economic feasibility, and resource limitations. Our framework addresses these by integrating multi-criteria evaluation, presenting novel prioritization insights for climate adaptation strategies in coastal regions.}, }
@article {pmid39752384, year = {2025}, author = {Bajaj, K and Mehrabi, Z and Kastner, T and Jägermeyr, J and Müller, C and Schwarzmüller, F and Hertel, TW and Ramankutty, N}, title = {Current food trade helps mitigate future climate change impacts in lower-income nations.}, journal = {PloS one}, volume = {20}, number = {1}, pages = {e0314722}, pmid = {39752384}, issn = {1932-6203}, mesh = {*Climate Change ; *Food Supply ; *Commerce ; Humans ; *Developing Countries ; Food Security ; Crops, Agricultural/growth &amp; development/economics ; }, abstract = {The risk of national food supply disruptions is linked to both domestic production and food imports. But assessments of climate change risks for food systems typically focus on the impacts on domestic production, ignoring climate impacts in supplying regions. Here, we use global crop modeling data in combination with current trade flows to evaluate potential climate change impacts on national food supply, comparing impacts on domestic production alone (domestic production impacts) to impacts considering how climate change impacts production in all source regions (consumption impact). Under 2°C additional global mean warming over present day, our analysis highlights that climate impacts on national supply are aggravated for 53% high income and 56% upper medium income countries and mitigated for 60% low- and 71% low-medium income countries under consumption-based impacts compared to domestic impacts alone. We find that many countries are reliant on a few mega-exporters who mediate these climate impacts. Managing the risk of climate change for national food security requires a global perspective, considering not only how national production is affected, but also how climate change affects trading partners.}, }
@article {pmid39752293, year = {2025}, author = {Mengesha, NA and Sarnyai, Z}, title = {The mental health impact of climate change on Pacific Islanders: A systematic review focused on sea level rise and extreme weather events.}, journal = {Australasian psychiatry : bulletin of Royal Australian and New Zealand College of Psychiatrists}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {10398562241312865}, doi = {10.1177/10398562241312865}, pmid = {39752293}, issn = {1440-1665}, abstract = {OBJECTIVE: This systematic review investigates the impact of climate change on the mental health of Pacific Island Nations (PINs), with a focus on identifying culturally tailored interventions and appropriate research methodologies to address these impacts.<br><br>METHOD: A systematic review of peer-reviewed literature up to May 18, 2024, was conducted using the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis (PRISMA) protocol and the Population, Interest Area, and Context (PICo) framework. Empirical studies on the impact of climate change on mental health in PINs were evaluated by using the Quality Assessment Tool for Studies with Diverse Designs (QATSDD).<br><br>RESULTS: Six studies from the Solomon Islands, Cook Islands, and Tuvalu were identified, indicating significant mental health impacts from sea level rise (SLR) and extreme weather events with compounding and mitigating effects across diverse groups. The Skills for Life Adjustment and Resilience (SOLAR) program was highlighted as a promising culturally adapted intervention.<br><br>CONCLUSION: Climate change significantly impacts mental health, particularly in PIN communities facing SLR and Extreme Weather Events (EWE). Culturally sensitive interventions, local knowledge, and further research are vital to mitigate these effects and support well-being.}, }
@article {pmid39752257, year = {2025}, author = {Nieves, M and Jansen, K}, title = {Worry related to climate change in Brazilian adults.}, journal = {Trends in psychiatry and psychotherapy}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, doi = {10.47626/2237-6089-2024-0905}, pmid = {39752257}, issn = {2238-0019}, abstract = {INTRODUCTION: Climate change is happening, and feeling anxiety can be seen as a natural response to it. Climate anxiety is the worry about the climate crisis and could be related to specific emotions and thoughts. The aim of this study was to assess the prevalence of worry about climate change, and to describe the emotions and thoughts associated to it in Brazilian adults.<br><br>METHOD: Cross-sectional study with participants aged between 18-42 years (n=323). Data were collected online using the questionnaire developed by Hickman and colleagues, which assesses the worry, thoughts and feelings about climate change.<br><br>RESULTS: 88.5% were worried about climate change. The feelings of sadness, powerlessness, fear and anxiety were reported more often among those who were worried. The most frequent thoughts were: "People have failed to take care of the planet", "The future is frightening", "My family's security will be threatened" and "Humanity is doomed".<br><br>DISCUSSION: In this sample, the majority of the individuals were concerned about climate change, and they showed more negative emotions and thoughts when compared to individuals that were not concerned. Future studies should take care to not understand natural worries and anxiety responses to climate change as pathological.}, }
@article {pmid39748788, year = {2025}, author = {Karl, S and Brandt, L and Luykx, JJ and Dom, G}, title = {Impact of climate change, biodiversity loss, and pollution on the incidence and manifestation of depressive and anxiety disorders.}, journal = {Current opinion in psychiatry}, volume = {38}, number = {1}, pages = {35-40}, doi = {10.1097/YCO.0000000000000971}, pmid = {39748788}, issn = {1473-6578}, mesh = {Humans ; *Climate Change ; *Anxiety Disorders/epidemiology ; *Biodiversity ; *Depressive Disorder/epidemiology/etiology ; *Environmental Pollution/adverse effects ; Incidence ; }, abstract = {PURPOSE OF REVIEW: Climate change, biodiversity loss, and pollution present a major threat to health. Although emphasis has been put on physical health impacts, evidence on the mental health consequences is now also accumulating quickly. Given the rapid developments in the field, this article provides an expert opinion on the emerging research.<br><br>RECENT FINDINGS: Umbrella reviews are adding more high-level evidence on the associations of environmental crises and mental health. Individual studies are focusing on specific aspects of environmental crises and mental health, shedding light on potential direct links between climate change and mental health. Further studies are aiming to quantify individual burden and societal cost of the environmental crises and mental health nexus and to identify those most at risk for negative mental health outcomes. Many studies focus on eco-emotions, attempting to characterize them further, provide tools for quantification, and to determine their effect on functioning.<br><br>SUMMARY: Although the accumulating research on the impacts of environmental change on depression and anxiety is filling important knowledge gaps, important questions remain, for example concerning the risk factors for the development of mental health disorders caused by ecological crises, tailored preventive strategies, and concerning the effects of biodiversity loss on mental health. Health systems need to further develop responses to these environmental crises.}, }
@article {pmid39748787, year = {2025}, author = {Gondek, TM}, title = {Climate change, socioeconomic transition and mental health.}, journal = {Current opinion in psychiatry}, volume = {38}, number = {1}, pages = {1-2}, doi = {10.1097/YCO.0000000000000974}, pmid = {39748787}, issn = {1473-6578}, }
@article {pmid39748023, year = {2025}, author = {Khajehali, M and Safavi, HR and Nikoo, MR and Najafi, MR and Alizadeh-Sh, R}, title = {A copula-based multivariate flood frequency analysis under climate change effects.}, journal = {Scientific reports}, volume = {15}, number = {1}, pages = {146}, pmid = {39748023}, issn = {2045-2322}, abstract = {Floods are among the most severe natural hazards, causing substantial damage and affecting millions of lives. These events are inherently multi-dimensional, requiring analysis across multiple factors. Traditional research often uses a bivariate framework relying on historical data, but climate change is expected to influence flood frequency analysis and flood system design in the future. This study assesses the projected changes in flood characteristics based on eight downscaled and bias-corrected General Circulation Models (GCMs) that participated in the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6. The analysis considers two emission scenarios, including SSP2-4.5 and SSP5-8.5 for far-future (2070-2100), mid-term future (2040-2070), and historical (1982-2012) periods. Downscaled GCM outputs are utilized as predictors of the machine learning model to simulate daily streamflow. Then, a trivariate copula-based framework assesses flood events in terms of duration, volume, and flood peak in the Kan River basin, Iran. These analyses are carried out using the hierarchical Archimedean copula in three structures, and their accuracy in estimating the flood frequencies is ultimately compared. The results show that a heterogeneous asymmetric copula offers more flexibility to capture varying degrees of asymmetry across different parts of the distribution, leading to more accurate modeling results compared to homogeneous asymmetric and symmetric copulas. Also it has been found that climate change can influence the trivariate joint return periods, particularly in the far future. In other words, flood frequency may increase by approximately 50% in some cases in the far future compared to the mid-term future and historical period. This demonstrates that flood characteristics are expected to show nonstationary behavior in the future as a result of climate change. The results provide insightful information for managing and accessing flood risk in a dynamic environment.}, }
@article {pmid39746258, year = {2025}, author = {Filho, WL and Lütz, JM and Totin, E and Ayal, D and Mendy, E}, title = {Obstacles to implementing indigenous knowledge in climate change adaptation in Africa.}, journal = {Journal of environmental management}, volume = {373}, number = {}, pages = {123678}, doi = {10.1016/j.jenvman.2024.123678}, pmid = {39746258}, issn = {1095-8630}, abstract = {In a climate change context, indigenous and local knowledge includes the use of traditional practices, crop varieties, and land management techniques that have evolved in response to local climatic conditions. This inter-generational transfer of knowledge is crucial for maintaining and adapting these practices to meet the challenges posed by climate change. Despite the many advantages of using indigenous knowledge in climate change adaptation in Africa, its implementation faces several obstacles. Understanding these obstacles is crucial for integrating indigenous knowledge with scientific approaches to enhance climate resilience effectively. This paper offers an analysis of some of the most critical obstacles that hinder the use of indigenous and local knowledge in climate change adaptation in African countries.}, }
@article {pmid39746200, year = {2024}, author = {Editors, T}, title = {Vote in November for Science: Kamala Harris has plans to improve health, boost the economy and mitigate climate change. Donald Trump has threats and a dangerous record.}, journal = {Scientific American}, volume = {331}, number = {4}, pages = {56}, doi = {10.1038/scientificamerican112024-5YgImqHdG6rmUBPlrrmMCF}, pmid = {39746200}, issn = {0036-8733}, }
@article {pmid39745966, year = {2025}, author = {Voosen, P}, title = {Earth's clouds are shrinking, boosting global warming.}, journal = {Science (New York, N.Y.)}, volume = {387}, number = {6729}, pages = {17}, doi = {10.1126/science.adv6047}, pmid = {39745966}, issn = {1095-9203}, abstract = {Narrowing storm bands may be a surprising and dangerous new feedback of climate change.}, }
@article {pmid39744323, year = {2024}, author = {Agrawal, N and Chunletia, RS and Badigannavar, AM and Mondal, S}, title = {Role of alanine aminotransferase in crop resilience to climate change: a critical review.}, journal = {Physiology and molecular biology of plants : an international journal of functional plant biology}, volume = {30}, number = {12}, pages = {1935-1953}, pmid = {39744323}, issn = {0971-5894}, abstract = {Alanine aminotransferase (AlaAT) is a crucial enzyme present in various isoforms. It is playing vital role in both humans and plants. This concise review focuses on the role of AlaAT in plants, particularly on preharvest sprouting, hypoxia, nitrogen use efficiency, abiotic and biotic stress tolerance. The molecular genetics of AlaAT, including gene identification and the impact on plant yield and its physiology, is discussed. Notably, the major dormancy gene Qsd1/SD1 governing AlaAT synthesis has been characterized and cloned in various crops. This review emphasizes the current understanding of AlaAT and its influence on plants, covering mechanisms regulating preharvest sprouting, hypoxia, drought tolerance, salt tolerance, biotic resistance and nitrogen use efficiency. Identifying a protein with multidimensional roles in crop plants is very important. Modern biotechnological approaches can alter such candidate gene/protein for superior varieties development. Overall, the review gives an understanding of the uncovered area of AlaAT and the challenge of climatic change triggers in plants. In the future, the potential of genome editing in AlaAT through enhancer insertion and rapid stabilization through speed breeding will impart resilience to crop plants against climate change.}, }
@article {pmid39742829, year = {2024}, author = {Heo, S and Choi, HM and D Berman, J and Bell, ML}, title = {Temperature, violent crime, climate change, and vulnerability factors in 44 United States cities.}, journal = {Environment international}, volume = {195}, number = {}, pages = {109246}, doi = {10.1016/j.envint.2024.109246}, pmid = {39742829}, issn = {1873-6750}, abstract = {Biological and psychological theories suggest complex impacts of heat on aggression and violence. Most previous studies considered temporal intervals of months to years and assumed linear associations. Evidence is needed on daily impacts of temperature on crime, applying non-linear models across different locations. This observational study examined non-linear relationships between daily summer temperature (May-September) and violent crime in 44 cities across 33 US states, 2005-2022. We calculated city-specific average temperature for the event day and previous day (lag0-1) and daily temperature anomalies (deviation from 1985 to 2010 average) using PRISM data. The Uniform Crime Reporting Program data were used to calculate daily city-specific number of violent crimes (n = 2,447,458 incidents). Generalized additive modeling was used to estimate relative risks (RRs) of violent crime. We identified three distinctive shapes (J-shaped, inverted J-shaped, linear) for relationships. The inverted J-shaped curve, indicating higher crime rates at high temperatures below extremely hot temperatures, was most predominant (26 cities). Across all cities, violent crime was 1.03 times higher at high compared to moderate temperatures (90th vs. 50th percentiles) (RR 1.03, 95 % CI: 1.02-1.04). Violent crime was also higher at moderate compared to cold temperatures (50th vs. 10th percentiles) [RR 1.04 (95 % CI: 1.03-1.06)], whereas risk did not differ between extremely high and hot temperature (99th vs. 90th percentiles). Risk during hot days versus moderate temperature days was significantly lower for cities with lower latitude, higher median temperature, higher urban greenspace, and higher percentage of occupied housing units with air conditioners. Risk was higher in cities with 90th percentile temperature anomalies that deviated from the historical temperature record, suggesting implications of climate change on heat-related violence. High daily temperatures are associated with violent crime with differences across locations. Disparities in risks by city-level social and environmental characteristics have implications for climate change strategies.}, }
@article {pmid39742763, year = {2024}, author = {Danisman, GO and Bilyay-Erdogan, S and Demir, E}, title = {Economic uncertainty and climate change exposure.}, journal = {Journal of environmental management}, volume = {373}, number = {}, pages = {123760}, doi = {10.1016/j.jenvman.2024.123760}, pmid = {39742763}, issn = {1095-8630}, abstract = {This paper explores how economic uncertainty affects firms' climate change exposure. We use an extensive sample from 24 countries from 2002 to 2021. Employing a novel measure of firm-level climate change exposure developed by Sautner et al. (2023b), we empirically demonstrate that prior to the Paris Agreement in 2015, economic uncertainty leads to a decrease in climate change disclosures. However, after the Paris Agreement, our findings reveal a positive association between economic uncertainty and climate change exposure. The positive disclosure effect is primarily driven by higher climate-related opportunities and regulatory exposures. Our findings are robust when we employ alternative definitions for economic uncertainty, alternative samples, additional firm-level and country-level control variables, and alternative methodologies. We find that institutional and foreign ownership positively moderates the association between economic uncertainty and climate change exposure after the Paris Agreement. Further analysis investigates the moderating impact of country-level environmental performance indicators. We present novel empirical evidence suggesting that firms operating in countries with less climate vulnerability, higher readiness, more stringent environmental policies, superior climate protection performance, and higher environmental litigation risk tend to have higher climate change exposure in uncertain times.}, }
@article {pmid39742527, year = {2024}, author = {Monteiro, JCL and Ribeiro, SP and Vieira Duarte, R and Lira-Noriega, A and Rojas-Soto, OR and Carneiro, M and Reis, AB and Coura-Vital, W}, title = {The Human Footprint and Climate Change Shape Current and Future Scenarios of Visceral Leishmaniasis Distribution in Doce River Basin in Brazil.}, journal = {The American journal of tropical medicine and hygiene}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, doi = {10.4269/ajtmh.24-0442}, pmid = {39742527}, issn = {1476-1645}, abstract = {The identification of factors that influence the distribution of visceral leishmaniasis (VL) is key for future surveillance and control. This study sought to understand how environmental and climate variables can interfere with VL expansion in the Doce River basin located in Brazil. This ecological study explored the influence of anthropogenic, environmental, and climatic factors on VL expansion. Ecological niche modeling was used to assess the current situation and predict the future spread of the disease. The study used 855 human cases of VL recorded in the Doce River basin from 2001-2018 and analyzed them within the context of climatic and environmental variables. To model the current and future distributions, MaxEnt with the kuenm R package was used. To model the future projections, the global climate model of the National Centre for Meteorological Research (CNRM-CM6-1) was used as well as two Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSP370 and SSP585) for 2021-2040 and 2061-2080. Variables that contributed to the VL distribution were the human footprint index (62.6%), isothermality (28.1%), precipitation during the wettest month (6.4%), and temperature during the hottest month (3.8%). Future climate change scenarios showed areas suitable for the disease increasing over time (by about 7% between 2021 and 2041 and about 12% between 2061 and 2080) and the maintenance of the disease in places already considered endemic. Our results demonstrate the importance of anthropic and climatic factors in VL expansion. We hope that these results will contribute to boosting surveillance and vector control programs along the Doce River basin.}, }
@article {pmid39741933, year = {2024}, author = {Ponte, N and Alves, F and Vidal, DG}, title = {"We are not ready for this": physicians' perceptions on climate change information and adaptation strategies - qualitative study in Portugal.}, journal = {Frontiers in public health}, volume = {12}, number = {}, pages = {1506120}, pmid = {39741933}, issn = {2296-2565}, mesh = {Humans ; Portugal ; *Climate Change ; *Qualitative Research ; Male ; *Physicians/psychology ; Female ; *Health Policy ; Attitude of Health Personnel ; Adult ; Interviews as Topic ; Middle Aged ; Perception ; }, abstract = {BACKGROUND: Climate change presents several challenges to public health and its professionals. This article aims to fill a significant gap in the current literature by understanding physicians' perceptions of their role in educating others about health adaptation to climate change. It also explores their knowledge of health policies related to this issue in Portugal and their perceived influence on the development of adaptation policies at both local and national levels within the health sector.<br><br>METHODS: To this end, we applied a qualitative and case study approach, interviewing 13 physicians in Portugal, including general practitioners and specialists. The data was collected using a semi-structured interview script, and a content analysis was performed to categorize the responses and gain a comprehensive understanding of the phenomenon.<br><br>RESULTS: The main results of this study highlight the need for a more systematic approach to training physicians, including the relationship between climate change and health. Concerning policies, this research highlights the need for more consistent communication and precise guidelines for dealing with the impacts of climate change on public health.<br><br>CONCLUSION: As the first exploratory study focusing on Portuguese physicians, this research provides unique insights into their views on the potential to influence patient behavior and health policy. Importantly, it offers valuable recommendations for health policy strategies, particularly in awareness-raising and training plans for these professionals, thereby demonstrating the research's practical implications.}, }
@article {pmid39741276, year = {2024}, author = {Li, T and Guo, J and Hu, G and Cao, F and Su, H and Shen, M and Wang, H and You, M and Liu, Y and Gurr, GM and You, S}, title = {Zinc finger proteins facilitate adaptation of a global insect pest to climate change.}, journal = {BMC biology}, volume = {22}, number = {1}, pages = {303}, pmid = {39741276}, issn = {1741-7007}, mesh = {Animals ; *Climate Change ; *Moths/physiology/genetics ; *Zinc Fingers ; Insect Proteins/metabolism/genetics ; Adaptation, Physiological/genetics ; Thermotolerance ; }, abstract = {BACKGROUND: Global climate change significantly impacts ecosystems, particularly through temperature fluctuations that affect insect physiology and behavior. As poikilotherms, insect pests such as the globally devastating diamondback moth (DBM), Plutella xylostella, are especially vulnerable to rising temperatures and extreme heat events, necessitating effective adaptive mechanisms.<br><br>RESULTS: Here we demonstrate the roles of zinc finger proteins (ZFPs) in mediating thermal adaptability in DBM. We utilized a comprehensive approach involving cloning and bioinformatics analysis of three ZFPs, PxZNF568, PxZNF93, and PxZNF266, measurement of their expression levels in hot-evolved and control strains, and assessment of catalase enzymatic activity and total antioxidant capacity. We also employed CRISPR/Cas9 technology to create five stable homozygous knockout strains to elucidate ZFP functions in high-temperature tolerance. Survival rates under high-temperature stress and the critical thermal maxima (CTMax) of the knockout strains were significantly lower than the wild-type strain, and exhibited marked decreases in antioxidant capacity.<br><br>CONCLUSION: Findings reveal the importance of ZFPs in thermal adaptability of DBM, contributing critical insights for future pest management strategies in the context of a warming climate and laying the foundation for further exploration of ZFP functionality in agricultural pest control.}, }
@article {pmid39740621, year = {2024}, author = {Vasilakou, K and Nimmegeers, P and Yao, Y and Billen, P and Van Passel, S}, title = {Global spatiotemporal characterization factors for freshwater eutrophication under climate change scenarios.}, journal = {The Science of the total environment}, volume = {959}, number = {}, pages = {178275}, doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.178275}, pmid = {39740621}, issn = {1879-1026}, abstract = {Nutrient enrichment of water bodies can lead to eutrophication, which poses a global threat to freshwater ecosystems, affecting biodiversity and water quality. While human activities have accelerated eutrophication, climate change further complicates the dynamics of nutrient cycling and ecosystem responses. Here, we provide global, spatially explicit freshwater eutrophication characterization factors, at an annual resolution from 2021 up to 2099 based on eight different climate change scenarios. A substantial spatial and temporal variability is identified, with higher characterization factors observed in tropical and arid regions, as well as densely populated areas, revealing a location-specific influence of climate change on eutrophication impacts. A comparison between different Representative Concentration Pathway scenarios suggests that climate change intensifies the eutrophication impact of phosphorus and its fluctuations, with hotspots identified in central and south America, Australia, southeastern Asia, central Africa and eastern Europe. Results highlight the importance of spatially- and temporally-explicit characterization factors, especially in prospective life cycle assessments. Finally, novel insights are provided into the complex interactions between nutrient fate, hydrological dynamics, and climate change, crucial for the development of phosphorus emission control strategies and the protection of freshwater ecosystems.}, }
@article {pmid39740574, year = {2024}, author = {Yu, T and Wen, Y and Dong, PP and Sun, MK and Qian, SE and Schootman, M and Vaughn, MG and Xu, SL and Huang, HH and Shan, FW and Zhu, SF and Wang, JY and Li, C and Gui, ZH and Liu, RQ and Hu, LW and Lin, LZ and Lin, Z and Dong, GH}, title = {The association between anthropogenic heat and parent-report symptoms of childhood attention deficit hyperactivity disorder in China: A novel perspective reflecting climate change.}, journal = {International journal of hygiene and environmental health}, volume = {264}, number = {}, pages = {114518}, doi = {10.1016/j.ijheh.2024.114518}, pmid = {39740574}, issn = {1618-131X}, abstract = {Anthropogenic climate change will have a negative impact on worldwide well-being over and above the direct consequences of rising average temperatures. But anthropogenic heat (AH) relationship with childhood attention deficit hyperactivity disorder (ADHD) is unknown. To assess the relationship with AH exposure and childhood ADHD symptoms in the context of global climate change, this study was conducted in a cross-sectional survey from April 2012 to May 2018 in the northeastern, northwestern, and southern regions of China, with a total enrollment of 179,846 children aged 6-18 years. Exposure to AH was evaluated by gathering socioeconomic and energy usage data along with nighttime light data from satellites and data on the Normalized Difference Vegetation Index. This encompassed four types of AH exposure: industrial processes, transportation, buildings, and human metabolism. The statistical analysis used generalized linear mixed-effects modeling to determine the association between the types of AH exposure and childhood ADHD symptoms. The mean (SD) age of the 179,846 study participants was 11.7 (2.9) years, and 7343 participants (4.1%) had ADHD symptoms. In adjusted models, increased levels of AH exposure per IQR from total AH, industry, transportation, buildings, and human metabolism all increased the odds of ADHD (odds ratios, 3.60 [95% CI, 3.42, 3.80]; 5.71 [95% CI, 5.32, 6.14]; 1.79 [95% CI, 1.75, 1.84]; 2.10 [95% CI, 2.03, 2.17]; 1.95 [95% CI, 1.89, 2.02]). The association remained robust after various sensitivity analyses. Prolonged exposure to AH is associated with the development of ADHD symptoms in children.}, }
@article {pmid39739703, year = {2024}, author = {Riantini, M and Mardiharini, M and Saptana,  and Sudjarmoko, B and Kasymir, E and Nur'aini, LG and Anindita, SH and Syukur, M and Zulham, A and Wardono, B and Ardana, IK and Indrawanto, C and Wahyudi, A}, title = {Livelihood vulnerability household fishermen household due to climate change in Lampung Province, Indonesia.}, journal = {PloS one}, volume = {19}, number = {12}, pages = {e0315051}, pmid = {39739703}, issn = {1932-6203}, mesh = {Humans ; *Climate Change ; Indonesia ; *Income ; *Fisheries ; *Family Characteristics ; Male ; Adult ; Female ; Surveys and Questionnaires ; Middle Aged ; Animals ; }, abstract = {The livelihood of small-scale fishers is highly dependent on marine resources and coastal areas while the condition of marine waters is increasingly unpredictable due to seasonal uncertainty and extreme weather due to climate variability. This condition has a negative impact on fish catches and the income of small-scale fishermen. The study results were obtained through interviews with respondents using a structured questionnaire. Sampling was carried out using multistage random sampling based on the type and number of ships controlled (1 GT-5GT). The total sample of respondents interviewed was 166 fishing households, consisting of 36 respondents from Bandar Lampung City, 65 respondents from South Lampung Regency, and 65 respondents from Tanggamus Regency. Data was evaluated using three analysis methods, namely household income structure, indicators of income vulnerability, and adaptation mechanisms. Income structure and income vulnerability use a quantitative approach, while adaptation mechanisms use a qualitative approach. The results of this empirical study found that the source of income of traditional capture fisher households is from: fishing business (on the farm) averaged 82.22%, in Tanggamus Regency, the proportion reached 86.22%. The income vulnerability index of traditional capture fisher households (LVI-IPCC value) in Bandar Lampung City and South Lampung Regency is positive (0.39 and 0.36). The income vulnerability index of traditional fishermen in Tanggamus Regency is negative -0.29. Fishermen employ an adaptation mechanism that engaged the five fundamental facets of income capital, namely natural capital, human capital, physical capital, financial capital, and social capital.}, }
@article {pmid39739527, year = {2025}, author = {Smith, ME and Bommarco, R and Vico, G}, title = {Rethinking Crop Rotational Benefits Under Climate Change: Beyond the Growing Season.}, journal = {Global change biology}, volume = {31}, number = {1}, pages = {e70012}, pmid = {39739527}, issn = {1365-2486}, abstract = {Here, we provide a commentary on “Changes in the yield effect of the preceding crop in the US Corn Belt under a warming climate” recently published in Global Change Biology. Crop rotational diversity has recently been gaining interest for its role in climate change adaptation; however, the focus has been on climatic conditions in the growing season . This study uses data from over a wide area and an important cropping system to demonstrate that the benefits of a different preceding crop for both corn and soybean depended on both growing season and non‐growing conditions.}, }
@article {pmid39739228, year = {2024}, author = {Ahmad, D and Faridullah, F and Irshad, M and Bacha, AUR and Hafeez, F and Iqbal, A and Ullah, Z and Afridi, MN and Alrefaei, AF and Nazir, R}, title = {Climate change projections for Diamer Division in lesser Himalayas using multi-global climate model ensemble.}, journal = {Environmental science and pollution research international}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, pmid = {39739228}, issn = {1614-7499}, abstract = {Pakistan, like many other regions around the world, is experiencing the impacts of climate change, particularly in its northern region. These changes have adverse impacts on ecosystems and biodiversity. Herein, we have investigated future projections of temperature and precipitation trends for three periods historical (HT = 1975-2005), near-term (NT = 2010-2029), and mid-term (MT = 2030-2050) using climate model intercomparison projects along with global climate models (GCMs) including RCP4.5 and RCP8.5. The historical records spanning from 1975 to 2005 reveal that the Chilas region has a notable rise of 8 °C in maximum temperature (Tmax), whereas the Astore district exhibited a trend of decreasing temperatures. When examining the projected temperature trends using GCMs (RCP4.5 and RCP8.5), the Chilas region is predicted to undergo a further increase of 6 °C in Tmax. In contrast, the Babusar region is projected to observe a significant decrease of 2 °C for the period between 2010 and 2050. Additionally, the precipitation results obtained from historical-based analysis for the period 1975 to 2005 indicated that the Babusar area exhibited increased precipitation patterns to 20 mm on an annual basis. Similarly, the Astore region has the most significant decline in precipitation, with a reduction of 40 mm annually. The predicted precipitation patterns for the period between 2010 and 2050 under the RCP8.5 revealed that the Babusar region has maximum precipitation (25 mm). Conversely, the Astore region exhibited reduced precipitation patterns, recording minimum precipitation (40 mm). In the results from RCP4.5, the precipitation showed a similar pattern with a maximum of 35 mm and a minimum of 15 mm in the Babusar and Astore, respectively. The region's glaciers, snow cover, and land use systems are deteriorated by these changes in temperature and precipitation patterns. The increased winter and decreased summer precipitation under varied temperatures and precipitation cause land degradation, forest, and water resources. The cumulative impacts result in individuals experiencing poverty and raising concerns about the region's long-term viability.}, }
@article {pmid39737741, year = {2025}, author = {Chatten, A and Grieve, I and Meligoniti, E and Hayward, C and Pilakouta, N}, title = {Predicting the Effects of Climate Change on the Fertility of Aquatic Animals Using a Meta-Analytic Approach.}, journal = {Ecology letters}, volume = {28}, number = {1}, pages = {e70054}, pmid = {39737741}, issn = {1461-0248}, mesh = {Animals ; Female ; Male ; *Aquatic Organisms/physiology ; *Climate Change ; *Fertility ; Reproduction ; Temperature ; }, abstract = {Given that reproductive physiology is highly sensitive to thermal stress, there is increasing concern about the effects of climate change on animal fertility. Even a slight reduction in fertility can have consequences for population growth and survival, so it is critical to better understand and predict the potential effects of climate change on reproductive traits. We synthesised 1894 effect sizes across 276 studies on 241 species to examine thermal effects on fertility in aquatic animals. Our meta-analysis revealed that external fertilisers tend to be more vulnerable to warming than internal fertilisers, especially in freshwater species. We also found that increased temperature is particularly detrimental for gametes and that under certain conditions, female fertility is more sensitive to warming than male fertility, challenging the prevailing view that males are more vulnerable. This work provides valuable new insights into the effects of temperature on fertility, with potential consequences for population viability.}, }
@article {pmid39737522, year = {2024}, author = {Sun, R and Fay, R and Ventura, F and Şen, B and Barbraud, C and Delord, K and Krumhardt, K and Jenouvrier, S}, title = {Climate Change Impacts Pair-Bond Dynamics in a Long-Lived Monogamous Species.}, journal = {Ecology letters}, volume = {27}, number = {12}, pages = {e14555}, pmid = {39737522}, issn = {1461-0248}, support = {1840058//Division of Antarctic Sciences/ ; }, mesh = {*Climate Change ; Animals ; Female ; Male ; Pair Bond ; Birds/physiology ; }, abstract = {Climate change can influence populations of monogamous species by affecting pair-bond dynamics. This study examined the impact of climate on widowhood and divorce, and the subsequent effects on individual vital rates and life-history outcomes over 54 years in a snow petrel (Pagodroma nivea) population. We found that environmental conditions can affect pair-bond dynamics both directly and indirectly. Divorce was adaptive, occurring more frequently after breeding failure and leading to improved breeding success. Divorce probabilities also increased under severe climatic conditions, regardless of prior breeding success, supporting the 'Habitat-mediated' mechanisms. Overall, pair-bond disruptions reduced subsequent vital rates and lifetime outcomes. Climate forecasts from an Atmosphere-Ocean General Circulation Model projected increased male widowhood rates due to decreased sea ice negatively affecting female survival, despite considerable uncertainty. These findings highlight the importance of environmentally induced changes in demographic and pair-bond disruption rates as crucial factors shaping demographic responses to climate change.}, }
@article {pmid39737344, year = {2024}, author = {Mills, JD and Gulcebi, MI and Allatt, J and Amos, A and Atkinson, J and Berwick, J and Clayton, S and Dijk, DJ and Doell, KC and Ebi, K and Fleischer, CC and Hajat, S and Howarth, C and Jones, O and Maslin, M and Page, L and Romanello, M and Vanhala, L and Sisodiya, SM}, title = {Climate change and neurological diseases: report from the Hot Brain 2: Climate Change and Brain Health meeting, 2024.}, journal = {BMJ neurology open}, volume = {6}, number = {2}, pages = {e000929}, pmid = {39737344}, issn = {2632-6140}, }
@article {pmid39736933, year = {2024}, author = {Deniz, &#xd6; and Aragona, F and Murphy, BA and Tümer, K&#xc7; and Bozacı, S and Fazio, F}, title = {Climate change impact on blood haemogram in the horse: a three-year preliminary study.}, journal = {Frontiers in veterinary science}, volume = {11}, number = {}, pages = {1482268}, pmid = {39736933}, issn = {2297-1769}, abstract = {INTRODUCTION: The global climatic changes pose a substantial threat to the well-being and productivity of both humans and animals.<br><br>METHODS: This study examined the impact of climate changes during different seasons over a 3-year monitoring period (2021-2023) on various blood parameters including, white blood cells (WBC), neutrophils, basophils, eosinophils, lymphocytes, and monocytes, hematocrit (HCT), hemoglobin (HGB), red blood cells (RBC), platelets (PLT), mean corpuscular hemoglobin concentration (MCHC), mean corpuscular volume (MCV), and mean corpuscular hemoglobin (MCH). The study focused on 25 Thoroughbred mares located in Kastamonu-T&#xfc;rkiye. Thermal and hygrometric parameters, including ambient temperature, relative humidity, and ventilation, were collected. Subsequently, Temperature-Humidity index (THI) was computed. Blood samples were collected on the first day of every month from January 2021 to December 2023 and used for a complete blood count analysis. Between 2021 and 2023, changes in environmental indicators were correlated to changes in hematological parameters.<br><br>RESULTS: Two-way for repeated measures ANOVA revealed a significant seasonal fluctuation (<0.0001) in ambient temperature, relative humidity, and THI. There was a reduction in RBC (<0.01), and MCH (<0.01) every year, HGB (<0.0001) in summer 2021, 2022 and in summer and autumn 2023. HCT (<0.0001), MCV (<0.01), showed decreasing values in autumn 2022 and 2023. MCHC values showed increasing values in July and August 2021, 2022 and in June 2023. WBC levels increased throughout the spring periods of 2021 and 2022. In April 2021, there were elevated levels of lymphocytes and monocytes (<0.0001) respectively.<br><br>DISCUSSION: These findings could be helpful to promote the monitoring of physiological status both for the assessment of welfare status and for diagnostic purposes for the evaluation of possible disease outbreaks due to climate change in veterinary medicine.}, }
@article {pmid39735428, year = {2024}, author = {Daraz, U and Khan, Y and Alsawalqa, RO and Alrawashdeh, MN and Alnajdawi, AM}, title = {Impact of climate change on women mental health in rural hinterland of Pakistan.}, journal = {Frontiers in psychiatry}, volume = {15}, number = {}, pages = {1450943}, pmid = {39735428}, issn = {1664-0640}, abstract = {BACKGROUND: Climate change significantly impacts global well-being, with rural and agricultural communities, particularly women, bearing a disproportionate burden. In Pakistan's Malakand Division, women face increased mental health challenges due to environmental stressors such as temperature rise, extreme weather, and environmental degradation. These stressors are expected to exacerbate issues like stress, anxiety, and depression. Understanding their effects on rural women's mental health is crucial for developing effective intervention strategies.<br><br>METHODOLOGY: This study employs quantitative methodologies to assess the impact of climate change on the mental health of rural women in Malakand Division, focusing on Dir Upper, Dir Lower, and Shangla districts. A cross-sectional design was used, with a sample size of 600 women selected through multistage cluster sampling for geographic representation. Data were collected using structured questionnaires addressing stress, anxiety, and community dynamics. Data were analyzed using multiple regression, structural equation modeling (SEM), ANOVA, and logistic regression.<br><br>RESULTS: The results revealed that climate change factors-temperature increase (&#x3b2; = 0.42, p < 0.01), extreme weather events (&#x3b2; = 0.36, p < 0.01), precipitation changes (&#x3b2; = 0.31, p < 0.05), and environmental degradation (&#x3b2; = 0.28, p < 0.05)-significantly impacted rural women's mental health. High levels of stress (72%), anxiety (68%), and depression (56%) were reported. Social support (&#x3b2; = -0.45, p < 0.01), community cohesion (&#x3b2; = -0.37, p < 0.05), access to resources (&#x3b2; = -0.39, p < 0.01), and cultural norms (&#x3b2; = -0.33, p < 0.05) were key factors mitigating the effects of climate stress. Gender disparities were evident, with women showing higher mental health challenges compared to men in similar conditions.<br><br>CONCLUSION: The study concludes that climate change significantly exacerbates mental health issues for rural women. It highlights the need for gender-sensitive, community-based interventions that address both climate adaptation and mental health. Strengthening community resilience, improving access to resources, and investing in healthcare and education are vital for enhancing well-being in the face of climate change.}, }
@article {pmid39735425, year = {2024}, author = {Shariff, Y and Mushtaq, M and Shah, SMA and Malik, H and Abdullah, M and Jamil, MU and Rehman, A and Hudaib, M and Manahil,  and Ahad, AU and Mughal, S and Eljack, MMF}, title = {Insight into the Environmental Health Consciousness of Medical Students Regarding the Perceived Impacts of Climate Change on Human Health.}, journal = {Environmental health insights}, volume = {18}, number = {}, pages = {11786302241310031}, pmid = {39735425}, issn = {1178-6302}, abstract = {Climate change represents an unprecedented global public health crisis with extensive and profound implications. The Lancet Commission identified it as the foremost health challenge of the 21st century. In 2015, air pollution alone caused approximately 9 million premature deaths worldwide. Climate change also exacerbates extreme weather events, displacement, mental health disorders, disease vectors, food insecurity, and malnutrition, particularly impacting vulnerable developing countries like Pakistan due to its agricultural reliance, diverse topography, and limited resources. This study assesses Pakistani medical students' perceptions of climate change's health impacts. Conducted in February 2024, a cross-sectional survey of 632 students using a standardized questionnaire was employed via online Google Forms. The questionnaire was validated and an Exploratory Factor Analysis identified seven subscales of environmental health consciousness. The mean participant age was 21.17 years, with a balanced gender distribution. Students showed high environmental health consciousness (Mean = 35.6, SD = 5.2), with 88% attributing climate change to human activities and 89.1% anticipating serious future health impacts. Significant concerns included air quality-related illness (91%), water-availability illness (86%), healthcare disruption (85%), cold-related illness (83%), and flooding-related displacement (87%). Psychological impacts were acknowledged by 68%. Household income, age, and gender were significant predictors. These results highlight the need for integrating climate change and health education into medical curricula to prepare future healthcare providers.}, }
@article {pmid39734774, year = {2024}, author = {Remsö, A and Bäck, H and Aurora Renström, E}, title = {Gender differences in climate change denial in Sweden: the role of threatened masculinity.}, journal = {Frontiers in psychology}, volume = {15}, number = {}, pages = {1450230}, pmid = {39734774}, issn = {1664-1078}, abstract = {Previous research in the Western world shows that men are in general more likely than women to deny human-induced climate change or certain aspects of it. We hypothesize that threatened masculinity contributes to such gender differences in Sweden. Threatened masculinity refers to the perception that a man's masculinity is being challenged, undermined, or devalued, often due to societal changes that advance women's rights. Given that environmental care and concern are typically associated with femininity, men who perceive that masculinity is threatened may be more likely to deny climate change to restore a sense of masculinity. Across three cross-sectional online surveys with representative samples of Swedish adults (total N = 2,476), men were more likely to deny climate change than women. Threatened masculinity-measured by belief in a shift in sexism and belongingness with men's rights activists-predicted climate change denial. In line with our hypothesis, belief in a sexism shift and, to a lesser extent, belongingness with men's rights activists mediated from gender to climate change denial. Hence threatened masculinity contributes to a higher tendency among men compared to women to deny climate change in these samples. This research adds to the understanding of gender gaps in environmental attitudes found in many Western countries and highlights climate change denial as a potential correlate of the growing gender-related polarization observed in these contexts.}, }
@article {pmid39733681, year = {2024}, author = {Nag, SK and Ghosh, BD and Das, BK and Sarkar, UK}, title = {Wetlands function as carbon sink: Evaluation of few floodplains of middle Assam, northeast India in the perspective of climate change.}, journal = {Journal of environmental management}, volume = {373}, number = {}, pages = {123841}, doi = {10.1016/j.jenvman.2024.123841}, pmid = {39733681}, issn = {1095-8630}, abstract = {Floodplain wetlands are biologically rich and productive ecosystems that can capture carbon (C) from the atmosphere through macrophytes and phytoplanktons and hold it in soil for a long time thus playing a critical role in mitigating climate change. The Assam state of India has about 1392 floodplain wetlands engulfing around 100,000 ha area in the Brahmaputra and Barak River basin. In the present study, five different wetlands in the middle Assam viz., 47-Morakolong, Jaliguti, Charan, Chatla, and Urmal were chosen for the estimation of C capture and its storage in soil. The net primary planktonic productivity (NPP) of Chatla was much higher (300mgC/m[3]/hr) than other wetlands where it ranged around 100-150 mgC/m[3]/hr. Macrophyte coverage was highest (80%) in Chatla followed by Urmal (50%) and 30% in others. Total organic carbon (TOC) content in water was also significantly higher in Chatla than in others. The C content at different depths of the soil (upper 15 and 15-30 cm) of the wetlands varied widely from 1.3 to 7% and in absolute terms, the total C accumulated in top 30 cm varied from 12.65 to 76.95 MgC/ha. The amount of C in upper 30 cm of corresponding upland sites was estimated to be 8.8-33.62 MgC/ha. Thus, wetlands are superior in terms of C accumulation and storage in their soil compared to the corresponding upland sites. If properly managed, the wetlands can be very effective in capturing and storing C and offset GHG emission and global warming to a great extent.}, }
@article {pmid39733659, year = {2024}, author = {Aaserud, KN and Marí-Dell'Olmo, M and Palència, L and Carrere, J and López, MJ and Oliveras, L}, title = {Energy poverty and health inequalities in Barcelona: A cross-sectional trends study in the context of COVID-19, energy crisis and climate change, 2016-2021.}, journal = {Health &amp; place}, volume = {91}, number = {}, pages = {103401}, doi = {10.1016/j.healthplace.2024.103401}, pmid = {39733659}, issn = {1873-2054}, abstract = {The aim of this study was to analyse the time trends in Barcelona before and during the adverse context of COVID-19, energy crisis, and climate change in 1) the energy poverty (EP) prevalence; 2) the association between EP and health and 3) the impact of EP on health, according to the axes of inequality (sex, age, social class, and country of birth). We conducted a cross-sectional trends study using data from the 2016 and 2021 Barcelona Health Survey. This study clearly recognizes that EP continues to be an important public health problem in the context of Barcelona. The results show that EP did increase somewhat, though not as sharply as hypothesized in the current adverse context. Neither did it have as large consequences on the effects of EP on health as we expected to see. However, it demonstrates that there is still a strong association between EP and poor health, particularly in vulnerable groups such as people born in LMI countries and manual workers, who experienced an increase in the impact of EP on poor health outcomes, which suggests increasing health inequalities.}, }
@article {pmid39730691, year = {2024}, author = {Chen, Y and Luo, C and Huang, X and Li, W and Yan, H and Ji, H and Zhou, J and Liao, H}, title = {Prediction of change in suitable habitats of Senna obtusifolia and Senna tora under climate change.}, journal = {Scientific reports}, volume = {14}, number = {1}, pages = {30904}, pmid = {39730691}, issn = {2045-2322}, support = {32270410//National Natural Science Foundation of China/ ; }, mesh = {*Climate Change ; *Senna Plant ; *Ecosystem ; Conservation of Natural Resources/methods ; }, abstract = {Senna obtusifolia (L.) Irwin &amp; Barneby and Senna tora (L.) Roxb represent important medicinal resources in traditional Chinese medicine for more than two millennia. Sustainable resource utilization and preservation strategies for Senna species necessitate a thorough understanding of the climatic factors governing their distribution patterns. Therefore, this study aimed to identify the key climate variables shaping the current and potential future global distribution of both Senna species. To achieve this, the MaxEnt ecological niche model was employed, integrating species occurrence data with relevant environmental variables. The results indicated that Bio13 and Bio14 were the most critical variables affecting distribution of S. tora, while Bio6 and Bio14 were crucial for S. obtusifolia. The moderate and high suitability habitats of S. obtusifolia and S. tora consist of ca. 189.69 × 10[4] km[2] and 129.07 × 10[4] km[2], respectively, under current situation. Moreover, the global distribution of both species under various climate scenarios revealed that the suitable habitats of both Senna species will reach the maximum during the 2081-2100 period under the SSP585 scenario. Projections across all four climate scenarios indicate a general northward migration in the core distribution of both Senna species. Intriguingly, the observed high degree of ecological niche overlap between the two species aligns with their close phylogenetic relationship. These findings provide valuable insights into the potential future distribution and ecological niche of Senna species, informing sustainable utilization and preservation strategies for Senna resources.}, }
@article {pmid39730584, year = {2024}, author = {Wang, D and Zhang, Y and Yousefi, N}, title = {Urban Water-Energy consumption Prediction Influenced by Climate Change utilizing an innovative deep learning method.}, journal = {Scientific reports}, volume = {14}, number = {1}, pages = {30931}, pmid = {39730584}, issn = {2045-2322}, abstract = {The growing global demand for water and energy has created an urgent necessity for precise forecasting and management of these resources, especially in urban regions where population growth and economic development are intensifying consumption. Shenzhen, a rapidly expanding megacity in China, exemplifies this trend, with its water and energy requirements anticipated to rise further in the upcoming years. This research proposes an innovative Convolutional Neural Network (CNN) technique for forecasting water and energy consumption in Shenzhen, considering the intricate interactions among climate, socio-economic, and demographic elements. The proposed approach integrates a CNN model with an Enhanced Gorilla Troops Optimization (EGTO) algorithm to demonstrate superior performance compared to other leading methods in terms of accuracy and reliability. The results show a strong correlation between the simulated and observed data, with a correlation coefficient of 0.87 for water consumption and 0.91 for energy consumption, indicating a high level of agreement between the simulated and real-world data. Also, it is indicated that the new technique can accurately forecast water and energy consumption, achieving a mean absolute error (MAE) of 0.63 and a root mean square error (RMSE) of 0.58, respectively. The research indicates that the suggested approach can promote policymakers and stakeholders in making well-informed decisions by delivering precise predictions of water and energy usage. This, in turn, can facilitate better resource distribution, minimize waste, and promote greater sustainability. The study emphasizes the necessity of incorporating climate change and socio-economic factors into the forecasting process and showcases the proposed method's potential to aid decision-making in this domain.}, }
@article {pmid39730220, year = {2024}, author = {Dai, H and Ji, JS and Wang, S and Zhao, B}, title = {Impact of climate change shocks on health risks attributed to urban residential PM2.5 in China.}, journal = {Science bulletin}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, doi = {10.1016/j.scib.2024.12.018}, pmid = {39730220}, issn = {2095-9281}, }
@article {pmid39729698, year = {2024}, author = {Schwartz, SA}, title = {Humanity's precognititon: Climate change and the decline of democracy.}, journal = {Explore (New York, N.Y.)}, volume = {21}, number = {1}, pages = {103104}, doi = {10.1016/j.explore.2024.103104}, pmid = {39729698}, issn = {1878-7541}, }
@article {pmid39728332, year = {2024}, author = {Vallese, C and Di Nuzzo, L and Francesconi, L and Giordani, P and Spitale, D and Benesperi, R and Gheza, G and Mair, P and Nascimbene, J}, title = {Bedrock-Dependent Effects of Climate Change on Terricolous Lichens Along Elevational Gradients in the Alps.}, journal = {Journal of fungi (Basel, Switzerland)}, volume = {10}, number = {12}, pages = {}, pmid = {39728332}, issn = {2309-608X}, support = {"BRIOCOLL", CUP H53C17000240005, 2017//Research Fund of the Betrieb Landesmuseen, of the Autonomous Province of Bozen/Bolzano)/ ; }, abstract = {In this study, we focused on the bedrock-dependent effects of climate change on terricolous lichen communities along elevational gradients in the Alps. In particular, we contrasted between carbonatic and siliceous bedrock, hypothesizing more favourable conditions on siliceous than on carbonatic bedrock, where dryer conditions may exacerbate the effects of climate change. To test this hypothesis, we compared terricolous lichen diversity patterns between the two bedrock types in terms of (1) species richness, (2) beta-diversity, (3) proportion of cryophilous species, and (4) functional diversity, also testing the effect of the elevational gradient as a proxy for expected climate warming. Our results indicate that the most cold-adapted part of the terricolus lichen biota of the Alps could be especially threatened in the near future, mainly on carbonatic bedrock. Actually, contrasting diversity patterns were found between carbonatic and siliceous bedrock, clearly revealing a bedrock-dependent effect of climate change on terricolous lichens of the Alps. As hypothesized, siliceous bedrock hosts a richer lichen biota than carbonatic bedrock, reflecting a general richness pattern at the national level. In general, siliceous bedrock seems to be less prone to rapid pauperization of its lichen biota, providing more suitable climatic refugia that can mitigate the effects of climate warming on terricolous lichens.}, }
@article {pmid39727185, year = {2024}, author = {Bernal-Bello, D and Gallego-Torrero, P and Morales-Ortega, A}, title = {Cutaneous larva migrans outside the tropics - A clue to global warming?.}, journal = {The journal of the Royal College of Physicians of Edinburgh}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {14782715241310288}, doi = {10.1177/14782715241310288}, pmid = {39727185}, issn = {2042-8189}, }
@article {pmid39727128, year = {2024}, author = {Wang, WQ and Yang, B and Li, XW and Liang, YL and Li, JY}, title = {[Impact of climate change on the potential geographical distribution of Hippophae rhamnoides subsp. sinensis].}, journal = {Ying yong sheng tai xue bao = The journal of applied ecology}, volume = {35}, number = {10}, pages = {2813-2821}, doi = {10.13287/j.1001-9332.202410.025}, pmid = {39727128}, issn = {1001-9332}, mesh = {*Hippophae/growth &amp; development ; *Climate Change ; China ; *Ecosystem ; Conservation of Natural Resources ; Models, Theoretical ; }, abstract = {Hippophae rhamnoides subsp. sinensis is an important resource plant with considerable medicinal, economic, and ecological value, and an indicator species in the transition zones between forests and grasslands. Predicting the potential geographic distribution of H. rhamnoides subsp. sinensis under climate change can reveal the responses of China's grassland and forest to global climate change, which is of significance for the conservation and development of its resources. We utilized distribution data of H. rhamnoides subsp. sinensis to predict its suitable habitats under future climate change based on the Biomod2 ensemble model, and analyzed the trend of land use type change in these habitats in conjunction with remote sensing data of land use types in China in 2020. The results showed that the Biomod2 ensemble model significantly improved the accuracy and precision of predicting H. rhamnoides subsp. sinensis compared to single models. The distribution of H. rhamnoides subsp. sinensis was primarily concentrated on both sides of the diagonal from Liaoning to Tibet, situated in forest-grassland ecotone. Under the SSP126 scenario, the suitable habitats for H. rhamnoides subsp. sinensis would initially expand and then contract. Under the SSP585 scenario, they would show a continuous expansion trend. In the context of global warming, the suitable habitats for H. rhamnoides subsp. sinensis would expand. By 2050 and 2070, the area of suitable habitats for H. rhamnoides subsp. sinensis in grasslands would increase, while areas currently occupied by forests, croplands, and developed land would continue to decrease. Under future climate change, the distribution center of H. rhamnoides subsp. sinensis would migrate towards higher-altitude grassland areas. Among the environmental factors affecting the distribution of H. rhamnoides subsp. sinensis, climate variables were predominant, with the highest contribution of rainfall during the warmest season.}, }
@article {pmid39727127, year = {2024}, author = {Cao, Y and Li, H and Zhang, CH and Li, YY and Wu, JQ and Chai, XY and Niu, JZ and Tao, YJ}, title = {[Spatiotemporal dynamics of forest cover and its response to climate change in Shandong Province, China during 2000-2022.].}, journal = {Ying yong sheng tai xue bao = The journal of applied ecology}, volume = {35}, number = {10}, pages = {2803-2812}, doi = {10.13287/j.1001-9332.202410.024}, pmid = {39727127}, issn = {1001-9332}, mesh = {China ; *Climate Change ; *Forests ; *Environmental Monitoring/methods ; *Conservation of Natural Resources ; Trees/growth &amp; development ; Spatio-Temporal Analysis ; Remote Sensing Technology ; Ecosystem ; Forecasting ; }, abstract = {Accurately capturing the spatiotemporal dynamics of regional forest cover and its response to climate change is of great significance for forest resource management and ecological environment protection. We used statistical methods such us linear regression and correlation analysis, as well as remote sensing change monitoring to investigate the spatiotemporal dynamics of forest cover and its response to climate change from 2000 to 2022 in Shandong Province based on MODIS VCF products and meteorological data. The results showed that the forest co-verage and forest area in Shandong Province increased from 43.0% and 197.06×10[4] hm[2] in 2000 to 43.1% and 326.08×10[4] hm[2] in 2022, respectively. Spatially, forest coverage grew stepwise from the southwest and northwest to the center and east of Shandong. 90.6% of the forest area of Shandong Province experienced a relative increase in forest cover during 2000-2022. Most of the increased area was concentrated in the central southern mountains and hills and the eastern low mountains and hills. The area expansion of forest cover was primarily located in the lowland areas of Liaocheng, Dezhou, Heze, Jining, and Binzhou, which accounted for 52.3% of the provincial forest area. There was a positive correlation between forest coverage and air temperature, but a negative correlation between forest coverage and precipitation. Air temperature was the main climatic factor influencing the shift in forest coverage during the study period.}, }
@article {pmid39726958, year = {2024}, author = {Tang, S and Struik, PC and Ren, J and Wang, C and Jin, K}, title = {Editorial: Exploring the effects of human activities and climate change on soil microorganisms in grasslands.}, journal = {Frontiers in microbiology}, volume = {15}, number = {}, pages = {1515648}, pmid = {39726958}, issn = {1664-302X}, }
@article {pmid39726892, year = {2024}, author = {Kaufman, C and Daly, T and Santi, MF}, title = {A case from Argentina on the ethical imperative to prioritize children in the health and climate change research agenda.}, journal = {Ethics, medicine, and public health}, volume = {32}, number = {}, pages = {}, pmid = {39726892}, issn = {2352-5525}, }
@article {pmid39726081, year = {2024}, author = {Meherali, S and Nisa, S and Aynalem, YA and Kennedy, M and Salami, B and Adjorlolo, S and Ali, P and Silva, KL and Aziato, L and Richter, S and Lassi, ZS}, title = {Impact of Climate Change on Adolescents' Health Outcomes: An Evidence Gap Map Review.}, journal = {Journal of adolescence}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, doi = {10.1002/jad.12455}, pmid = {39726081}, issn = {1095-9254}, support = {//This project was supported by World Universities Network Research Development Funds (WUN RDF), Grant # RES0061104. The funding agency played no role in developing and publishing this manuscript./ ; }, abstract = {BACKGROUND: The evolving impact of climate change on adolescents' health is a pressing global concern. Climate change's effects on their physical, mental, and social well-being worsen unique developmental challenges for adolescents. This study aims to map existing evidence, identify gaps, and highlight research and intervention needs.<br><br>METHODS: Following Campbell standards, an evidence gap map (EGM) review was conducted. We searched for global studies on adverse climate events and adolescents aged 10-19 using five databases such as Medline, EMBASE, Global Health, CINAHL, and Scopus from September 1946 to June 01, 2023. Two independent reviewers completed the screening using Covidence software, and a critical appraisal of all included studies. EGM was developed using EPPI Mapper software, which presents a comprehensive overview of climate events and their impact on adolescents' health outcomes. This study protocol was registered in the International Platform of Registered Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis (INPLASY) (# INPLASY202410119).<br><br>FINDINGS: We included 44 studies that explored the impact of climate change on adolescents' health. Most included studies were from Asia (35), with limited evidence from Africa, Australia, and South America (one study each). Earthquakes, hurricanes, and tornadoes were the major climate events impacting adolescents' health and well-being globally (37 studies). However, wildfires, droughts, and extreme heat got less attention. Most studies reported climate change's impact on adolescents' mental health (44), with few studies reporting the effect on physiological and psychosocial aspects of adolescents' health and well-being (10).<br><br>CONCLUSION: The systematic examination reveals significant evidence gaps, particularly in Africa, Australia, and South America, and in climate events like wildfires, droughts, and extreme heat. Most studies focus on mental health, with limited research on physiological and psychosocial aspects. These gaps highlight key areas for future research and targeted interventions at the intersection of adolescent health and climate change.}, }
@article {pmid39725544, year = {2025}, author = {Naughton, M and Round, T and Payne, R}, title = {Climate change and primary care: how to reduce the carbon footprint of your practice.}, journal = {The British journal of general practice : the journal of the Royal College of General Practitioners}, volume = {75}, number = {750}, pages = {23-25}, pmid = {39725544}, issn = {1478-5242}, }
@article {pmid39725443, year = {2024}, author = {Klapka, CS and Barbosa, BB and Magalhães, AR and Carioca, AAF and Lourenço, BH and Gomes, SM and Martins de Carvalho, A}, title = {Exploring the effects of climate change on child malnutrition: protocol for a scoping review.}, journal = {BMJ open}, volume = {14}, number = {12}, pages = {e090285}, pmid = {39725443}, issn = {2044-6055}, mesh = {Child, Preschool ; Humans ; Infant ; *Child Nutrition Disorders/epidemiology ; *Climate Change ; Pediatric Obesity/epidemiology ; Research Design ; Systematic Reviews as Topic ; }, abstract = {INTRODUCTION: Rapid climate changes in the early 21st century have triggered a global syndemic intertwining obesity, undernutrition and climate change, profoundly affecting health, especially children. Despite increasing research, a significant gap persists in understanding the mechanisms linking climate change to child malnutrition, particularly in children under 5 years old. This protocol proposes a scoping review to address this gap, with the aim of mapping the available evidence on the relationship between climate change and malnutrition among children under 5 years old.<br><br>METHODS AND ANALYSIS: This scoping review will be conducted according to the Joanna Briggs Manual for Evidence Synthesis, and the results will be reported in accordance with the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic reviews and Meta-Analyses extension for Scoping Reviews (PRISMA-ScR) checklist to ensure a replicable process. The search will be conducted using MEDLINE (PubMed), Web of Science, Scopus and Embase databases. The studies to be included will be selected according to the inclusion and exclusion criteria defined based on the Population, Concept and Context technique. The study population will consist of children under 5 years old, with a focus on examining the impact of climate change on health outcomes related to nutrition, obesity and undernutrition. Original articles in English, Spanish and Portuguese will be selected without any restrictions on the publication year. Two researchers will independently select the articles and extract the data. The results will be presented through narrative synthesis.<br><br>ETHICS AND DISSEMINATION: This study relies on analysing existing scientific literature and does not require ethical approval. The outcomes of this scoping review will be submitted for publication in a peer-reviewed journal, with a preference for open access.<br><br>STUDY REGISTRATION: OSF (osf.io/swt4b).}, }
@article {pmid39725249, year = {2024}, author = {Bilgin, E}, title = {Beyond being a rheumatologist: Environment, climate change, and carbon footprint - We need an action!.}, journal = {Autoimmunity reviews}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {103737}, doi = {10.1016/j.autrev.2024.103737}, pmid = {39725249}, issn = {1873-0183}, }
@article {pmid39722867, year = {2024}, author = {Pauliuk, S and Carrer, F and Heeren, N and Hertwich, EG}, title = {Scenario analysis of supply- and demand-side solutions for circular economy and climate change mitigation in the global building sector.}, journal = {Journal of industrial ecology}, volume = {28}, number = {6}, pages = {1699-1715}, pmid = {39722867}, issn = {1088-1980}, abstract = {Residential and non-residential buildings are a major contributor to human well-being. At the same time, buildings cause 30% of final energy use, 18% of greenhouse gas emissions (GHGE), and about 65% of material accumulation globally. With electrification and higher energy efficiency of buildings, material-related emissions gain relevance. The circular economy (CE) strategies, narrow, slow, and close, together with wooden buildings, can reduce material-related emissions. We provide a comprehensive set of building stock transformation scenarios for 10 world regions until 2060, using the resource efficiency climate change model of the stock-flow-service nexus and including the full CE spectrum plus wood-intensive buildings. The 2020-2050 global cumulative new construction ranges from 150 to 280 billion m[2] for residential and 70-120 billion m[2] for non-residential buildings. Ambitious CE reduces cumulative 2020-2050 primary material demand from 80 to 30 gigatons (Gt) for cement and from 35 to 15 Gt for steel. Lowering floor space demand by 1 m[2] per capita leads to global savings of 800-2500 megatons (Mt) of cement, 300-1000 Mt of steel, and 3-10 Gt CO2-eq, depending on industry decarbonization and CE roll-out. Each additional Mt of structural timber leads to savings of 0.4-0.55 Mt of cement, 0.6-0.85 Mt of steel, and 0.8-1.8 Mt CO2-eq of system-wide GHGE. CE reduces 2020-2050 cumulative GHGE by up to 44%, where the highest contribution comes from the narrow CE strategies, that is, lower floorspace and lightweight buildings. Very low carbon emission trajectories are possible only when combining supply- and demand-side strategies. This article met the requirements for a gold-gold JIE data openness badge described at http://jie.click/badges.}, }
@article {pmid39722757, year = {2024}, author = {Ali, A and Shaikh, A and Sethi, I and Surani, S}, title = {Climate change and the emergence and exacerbation of infectious diseases: A review.}, journal = {World journal of virology}, volume = {13}, number = {4}, pages = {96476}, pmid = {39722757}, issn = {2220-3249}, abstract = {Experts expressed severe concerns over the possibility of increasing burden of infectious diseases as the planet's climate began to change years ago. There have been increased rates of climate-related catastrophes and as global temperatures rise, emergence of certain viruses has become a serious concern. Vectors are susceptible to changing temperatures as they exhibit innate responses to thermal stress to increase survivability. Climate change impacts virus reservoirs, increasing transmission rates of vectors. Vector-borne diseases have already witnessed increasing numbers compared to before. Certain non-endemic areas are encountering their first-ever infectious disease cases due to increasing temperatures. Tick-borne diseases are undergoing transformations provoking a heightened prevalence. Food-borne illnesses are expected to increase owing to warmer temperatures. It is important to recognize that climate change has a multivariable impact on the transmission of viruses. With climate change comes the potential of increasing interspecies interactions promoting jumps. These factors must be considered, and an informed strategy must be formulated. Adaptation and mitigation strategies are required to curb these diseases from spreading. Despite significant evidence that climate change affects infectious diseases, gaps in research exist. We conducted this review to identify the potential role climate change plays in the emergence of new viruses.}, }
@article {pmid39722593, year = {2024}, author = {Verrico, B and Preston, JC}, title = {Historic rewiring of grass flowering time pathways and implications for crop improvement under climate change.}, journal = {The New phytologist}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, doi = {10.1111/nph.20375}, pmid = {39722593}, issn = {1469-8137}, support = {IOS-2120732//Division of Integrative Organismal Systems/ ; }, abstract = {Grasses are fundamental to human survival, providing a large percentage of our calories, fuel, and fodder for livestock, and an enormous global carbon sink. A particularly important part of the grass plant is the grain-producing inflorescence that develops in response to both internal and external signals that converge at the shoot tip to influence meristem behavior. Abiotic signals that trigger reproductive development vary across the grass family, mostly due to the unique ecological and phylogenetic histories of each clade. The time it takes a grass to flower has implications for its ability to escape harsh environments, while also indirectly affecting abiotic stress tolerance, inflorescence architecture, and grain yield. Here, we synthesize recent insights into the evolution of grass flowering time in response to past climate change, particularly focusing on genetic convergence in underlying traits. We then discuss how and why the rewiring of a shared ancestral flowering pathway affects grass yields, and outline ways in which researchers are using this and other information to breed higher yielding, climate-proof cereal crops.}, }
@article {pmid39721548, year = {2024}, author = {Liu, F and Masago, Y}, title = {Assessing the geographical diversity of climate change risks in Japan by overlaying climatic impacts with exposure and vulnerability indicators.}, journal = {The Science of the total environment}, volume = {959}, number = {}, pages = {178076}, doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.178076}, pmid = {39721548}, issn = {1879-1026}, abstract = {Understanding multifaceted climate change risks and their interconnections is essential for effective adaptation strategies, which require comprehensive assessments of both climatic impact variations and social-environmental exposures/vulnerabilities. This study examines these interconnections and creates multitier delineations of future climate risks across Japan by overlaying homogeneous impact zones (HIZs) with exposure-vulnerability complexes (EVCs). We delineated eight EVC regions, each exhibiting similar patterns of exposure and vulnerability, via multivariate clustering and similarity search on the basis of future population and land cover/use data. Under the Shared Socioeconomic Pathway 5 scenario, 8.07 % of Japan's area was identified as urban, 66.18 % as forest, and 16.66 % as agricultural land, depending on vulnerability and exposure characteristics. We then spatially intersected these EVCs with six HIZs, which represent common patterns of multisectoral climatic impact variations. This intersection revealed low geographical correspondence between climatic impact variations and exposure-vulnerability factors, indicating high spatial variability in climate risk across Japan. The use of EVCs helps identify areas with anticipated climate change risks. The spatial nexus between HIZs and EVCs underscores the geographical complexity and diversity of climate risks, revealing regions with high-impact variations alongside significant exposures and vulnerabilities. For example, urban EVCs highlight critical issues such as heat-related mortality and flood damage. By mapping these impact variations while focusing on exposure and vulnerability disparities, insights from HIZs and EVCs can inform future climate risk management and effective adaptation strategies at the national and regional levels.}, }
@article {pmid39721139, year = {2024}, author = {Lorenz, C and de Azevedo, TS and Chiaravalloti-Neto, F}, title = {Effects of climate change on the occurrence and distribution of Western equine encephalitis virus in South America.}, journal = {Public health}, volume = {239}, number = {}, pages = {1-8}, doi = {10.1016/j.puhe.2024.12.031}, pmid = {39721139}, issn = {1476-5616}, abstract = {OBJECTIVES: The Western equine encephalitis virus (WEEV) is a globally relevant vector-borne pathogen that causes encephalitis. The role of environmental variables in the epidemiology of WEEV has become greater in the context of climate change. In December 2023, a significant resurgence of WEEV began in South America, with major ongoing outbreaks in Argentina and Uruguay. In this study, we employed a machine learning algorithm to model the distribution of WEEV in South America, considering both present and future scenarios.<br><br>STUDY DESIGN: Ecological retrospective study.<br><br>METHODS: We conducted a modelling study to identify areas with the highest prevalence of WEEV in South America, based on confirmed human and equine cases during the 2023/2024 outbreak and climatic variables. Our analysis utilised Maxent software, a machine learning algorithm for species distribution modelling.<br><br>RESULTS: Our results indicate that environmental variables, particularly thermal seasonality and annual rainfall, can directly influence the occurrence of WEEV, leading to increased virus incidence. Consequently, high-risk areas may shift in the future. Countries, such as Paraguay, Venezuela, Colombia, and various regions in Brazil, particularly the Northeast, Midwest, and the Pantanal biomes, will be significantly impacted, drastically altering the current distribution of WEEV.<br><br>CONCLUSIONS: The ongoing WEEV outbreak in South America is concerning because it coincides with migratory bird stopovers. These birds are natural hosts that can spread the virus to unaffected areas. Our results will help to identify priority areas for developing preventive measures and establishing epidemiological surveillance.}, }
@article {pmid39720947, year = {2024}, author = {Ohse, B and Jansen, D and Härdtle, W and Fichtner, A}, title = {Interactive effects of nitrogen deposition and climate change on a globally rare forest geophyte.}, journal = {Plant biology (Stuttgart, Germany)}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, doi = {10.1111/plb.13758}, pmid = {39720947}, issn = {1438-8677}, support = {01LC1312A//Bundesamt f&#xfc;r Naturschutz/ ; //Bundesministerium f&#xfc;r Umwelt, Naturschutz und nukleare Sicherheit/ ; //Bundesministerium f&#xfc;r Bildung und Forschung/ ; }, abstract = {Nitrogen (N) deposition and climate change are both known to threaten global biodiversity. However, we still have a limited understanding of how interactions between these global change drivers affect individuals and populations of specialist species, such as geophytes, within their natural habitat. We explored possible interactive effects of N, drought, and warming on population vitality (mean leaf length, leaf density, flowering probability) and morpho-physiological traits (e.g., leaf and bulb size, N allocation to leaves and bulbs) of the globally rare forest geophyte Gagea spathacea (Liliaceae) in deciduous forests of northern Germany by applying experimental N addition across a climate gradient over a 5-year period. Mean leaf growth and leaf density were not affected by N addition but were enhanced by warmer and drier conditions in the months before leaf emergence. N addition increased N allocation of individual plants towards their subterranean bulbs. Importantly, effects of N addition on morpho-physiological traits depended on warming and drought, with N-fertilized plants showing increased leaf length and decreased specific leaf and bulb N concentration after drier autumns and warmer winters. This indicates that N deposition may partially compensate for increased N demands during warming-induced growth, although this growth-promoting interaction effect is not (yet) reflected in population vitality. Our results highlight the importance of considering multiple global environmental change drivers and a whole plant perspective (above- and belowground traits) to predict long-term growth responses of (endangered) forest spring geophytes and to develop adapted long-term protection strategies.}, }
@article {pmid39719578, year = {2024}, author = {Mramba, RP and Mapunda, PE}, title = {Perceived indicators of climate change in Tanzania: insights from the university of Dodoma students.}, journal = {BMC ecology and evolution}, volume = {24}, number = {1}, pages = {149}, pmid = {39719578}, issn = {2730-7182}, mesh = {*Climate Change ; Tanzania ; Humans ; *Students/psychology ; Male ; Female ; Universities ; Young Adult ; Adult ; Adolescent ; }, abstract = {BACKGROUND: Understanding local communities' knowledge and insights is essential for developing effective mitigation and adaptation strategies for climate change. The young generation often brings new perspectives on climate change, demonstrating a growing awareness of its impacts and innovative ideas for sustainable solutions. By engaging youth in climate action we foster future leadership, empowering them as active participants in shaping long-term climate resilience. Higher education plays a pivotal role in raising awareness about climate change and fostering environmentally responsible behaviour among citizens. Thus, the study assessed climate change indicators in Tanzania by gathering insights from university students, leveraging their understanding of the local challenges posed by climate change.<br><br>RESULTS: Out of the 486 sampled students, 80% were aware of climate change and could identify its indicators in their home regions. The primary perceived indicators of climate change reported by the respondents included increasing temperatures, crop failures, and the disappearance of native plant species. Respondents from the coastal zone ranked rising temperatures and increased rainfall as the most significant indicators, while those from the Kilimanjaro region emphasised crop failure. Additionally, respondents from the central zone highlighted the disappearance of native plant species. Conversely, respondents from the arid central zone believed that climate change has resulted in reduced rainfall and an increase in drought occurrences. Furthermore, socio-demographic factors such as gender, home region, and academic year influenced students' awareness of climate change. A lower proportion (0.78) of male students demonstrated knowledge of climate change compared to female students (0.91) (p&#x2009;=&#x2009;0.001). Additionaly, a lower proportion (0.71) of students from urban areas demonstrated knowledge of climate change compared to students from rural areas (0.85) (p&#x2009;<&#x2009;0.001). Moreover, students in their final year of study exhibited greater awareness of climate change than those in lower years, highlighting the significance of the formal education system in imparting knowledge about climate change.<br><br>CONCLUSIONS: This study underscores the role of higher education in fostering climate awareness and youth engagement through education and outreach. Additionally, it supports SDG 13: "Climate Action" and SDG 4: "Quality Education by promoting informed participation and sustainable solutions among young people".}, }
@article {pmid39718692, year = {2024}, author = {Padmavathy, SR and Santhappan, JS and Prabakaran, R and Kim, SC and Chockalingam, MP and Al-Shahri, ASA}, title = {R290-Hydrofluoroolefin based low global warming potential refrigerant mixtures for room air conditioner: An energy, exergy, and environmental (3E) analysis.}, journal = {Environmental science and pollution research international}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, pmid = {39718692}, issn = {1614-7499}, abstract = {Among the numerous residential appliances, window or split air conditioners are the most prevalent. The hydrochlorofluorocarbon and hydrofluorocarbon refrigerants used in those systems are causing a serious threat to the environment. In this study, R290-hydrofluoroolefin (HFO) mixtures are proposed as replacements for high-GWP substances (R410A and R22) in window air conditioning (WAC) units. Low-flammability alternatives like R290-R1234yf (50:50 and 60:40 by mass) and R290-R1234ze(E) (50:50 and 60:40 by mass) mixtures were considered promising refrigerants for this study. Using the REFPROP 10.0 refrigerant database and MATLAB-based mathematical modelling, the energy and exergy performance of a WAC unit with proposed and existing refrigerants was investigated. The results demonstrated that R290-HFO mixers performed well, with coefficients of performance that were 5.1-11.9% and 10.8-17.0% higher than those of R22 and R410A, respectively. In a similar fashion, the exergy efficiency of the WAC system increased by 3.1% to 6.2%, with reductions in total exergy degradation and power consumption of 7.1% to 12.2% and 5.1% to 10.1%, respectively. An assessment of the total equivalent warming impact revealed that the use of R290-HFO compounds results in CO2 emissions that are between 7.1 and 12.2% less than those of R22. Mini or microchannel heat exchangers for conventional evaporators and condensers can further decrease the predicted refrigerant change quantity for these mixtures, keeping it well below the IEC 60335-2-89 limit for flammable refrigerants.}, }
@article {pmid39717849, year = {2025}, author = {Akhigbe, RE and Oyedokun, PA and Akhigbe, TM and Hamed, MA and Fidelis, FB and Omole, AI and Adeogun, AE and Akangbe, MD and Oladipo, AA}, title = {The consequences of climate change and male reproductive health: A review of the possible impact and mechanisms.}, journal = {Biochemistry and biophysics reports}, volume = {41}, number = {}, pages = {101889}, pmid = {39717849}, issn = {2405-5808}, abstract = {A global decline in male fertility has been reported, and climate change is considered a major cause of this. Climate change refers to long-term shifts in temperatures and weather patterns, and results from greenhouse gas emissions like carbon dioxide and methane that act as a blanket wrapped around the earth, trapping heat and elevating temperatures. Sad to say, the consequences of climatic variation are beyond the dramatic elevated temperature, they include cold stress, increased malnutrition, air pollution, cardiovascular diseases respiratory tract infections, cancer, sexually transmitted infections, mental stress, and heat waves. These negative effects of climate change impair male reproductive function through multiple pathways, like ROS-sensitive signaling, suppression of steroidogenic markers, and direct damage to testicular cells. The present study aimed to describe the impact of the consequences of climate change on male reproductive health with details of the various mechanisms involved. This will provide an in-depth understanding of the pathophysiological and molecular basis of the possible climatic variation-induced decline in male fertility, which will aid in the development of preventive measures to abate the negative effects of climate change on male reproductive function.}, }
@article {pmid39715936, year = {2024}, author = {Brush, M and Lewis, MA}, title = {Eruptive Insect Outbreaks from Endemic Populations Under Climate Change.}, journal = {Bulletin of mathematical biology}, volume = {87}, number = {1}, pages = {16}, pmid = {39715936}, issn = {1522-9602}, support = {18202//Genome Canada/ ; L20TF//Genome Alberta/ ; U22004//fRI Research/ ; PDF - 568176 - 2022//Natural Sciences and Engineering Research Council of Canada/ ; }, mesh = {Animals ; *Climate Change/statistics &amp; numerical data ; *Coleoptera/physiology ; *Models, Biological ; *Population Dynamics/statistics &amp; numerical data ; *Mathematical Concepts ; *Forests ; Population Density ; Pinus/parasitology ; Trees/growth &amp; development ; }, abstract = {Insects, especially forest pests, are frequently characterized by eruptive dynamics. These types of species can stay at low, endemic population densities for extended periods of time before erupting in large-scale outbreaks. We here present a mechanistic model of these dynamics for mountain pine beetle. This extends a recent model that describes key aspects of mountain pine beetle biology coupled with a forest growth model by additionally including a fraction of low-vigor trees. These low-vigor trees, which may represent hosts with weakened defenses from drought, disease, other bark beetles, or other stressors, give rise to an endemic equilibrium in biologically plausible parameter ranges. The mechanistic nature of the model allows us to study how each model parameter affects the existence and size of the endemic equilibrium. We then show that under certain parameter shifts that are more likely under climate change, the endemic equilibrium can disappear entirely, leading to an outbreak.}, }
@article {pmid39715651, year = {2024}, author = {Day, M}, title = {Policy makers must tackle public health, biodiversity, water, food, and climate change together, says major report.}, journal = {BMJ (Clinical research ed.)}, volume = {387}, number = {}, pages = {q2855}, doi = {10.1136/bmj.q2855}, pmid = {39715651}, issn = {1756-1833}, }
@article {pmid39712870, year = {2024}, author = {Kirchmeier-Young, MC and Malinina, E and Barber, QE and Garcia Perdomo, K and Curasi, SR and Liang, Y and Jain, P and Gillett, NP and Parisien, MA and Cannon, AJ and Lima, AR and Arora, VK and Boulanger, Y and Melton, JR and Van Vliet, L and Zhang, X}, title = {Human driven climate change increased the likelihood of the 2023 record area burned in Canada.}, journal = {NPJ climate and atmospheric science}, volume = {7}, number = {1}, pages = {316}, pmid = {39712870}, issn = {2397-3722}, abstract = {In 2023, wildfires burned 15 million hectares in Canada, more than doubling the previous record. These wildfires caused a record number of evacuations, unprecedented air quality impacts across Canada and the northeastern United States, and substantial strain on fire management resources. Using climate models, we show that human-induced climate change significantly increased the likelihood of area burned at least as large as in 2023 across most of Canada, with more than two-fold increases in the east and southwest. The long fire season was more than five times as likely and the large areas across Canada experiencing synchronous extreme fire weather were also much more likely due to human influence on the climate. Simulated emissions from the 2023 wildfire season were eight times their 1985-2022 mean. With continued warming, the likelihood of extreme fire seasons is projected to increase further in the future, driving additional impacts on health, society, and ecosystems.}, }
@article {pmid39712434, year = {2024}, author = {Van de Vuurst, P and Qiao, H and Soler-Tovar, D and Escobar, LE}, title = {Climate change linked to vampire bat expansion and rabies virus spillover.}, journal = {Ecography}, volume = {2024}, number = {10}, pages = {}, pmid = {39712434}, issn = {0906-7590}, abstract = {Bat-borne pathogens are a threat to global health and in recent history have had major impacts on human morbidity and mortality. Examples include diseases such as rabies, Nipah virus encephalitis, and severe acute respiratory syndrome (SARS). Climate change may exacerbate the emergence of bat-borne pathogens by affecting the ecology of bats in tropical ecosystems. Here, we report the impacts of climate change on the distributional ecology of the common vampire bat Desmodus rotundus across the last century. Our retrospective analysis revealed a positive relationship between changes in climate and the northern expansion of the distribution of D. rotundus in North America. Furthermore, we also found a reduction in the standard deviation of temperatures at D. rotundus capture locations during the last century, expressed as more consistent, less-seasonal climate in recent years. These results elucidate an association between D. rotundus range expansion and a continental-level rise in rabies virus spill-over transmission from D. rotundus to cattle in the last 50 years of the 120-year study period. This correlative study, based on field observations, offers empirical evidence supporting previous statistical and mathematical simulation-based studies reporting a likely increase of bat-borne diseases in response to climate change. We conclude that the D. rotundus rabies system exemplifies the consequences of climate change augmentation at the wildlife-livestock-human interface, demonstrating how global change acts upon these complex and interconnected systems to drive increased disease emergence.}, }
@article {pmid39711593, year = {2024}, author = {Wen, Z and Yan, K and Zhang, M and Ma, R and Zhu, X and Duan, Q and Jiang, X}, title = {Predicting the potential distribution of Astragali Radix in China under climate change adopting the MaxEnt model.}, journal = {Frontiers in plant science}, volume = {15}, number = {}, pages = {1505985}, pmid = {39711593}, issn = {1664-462X}, abstract = {INTRODUCTION: Astragali Radix is the dried root of Astragalus mongoliae or Astragalus membranaceus, a leguminous plant. Since ancient times, Astragali Radix has been widely used in Chinese traditional Chinese medicine. As people become more health-conscious, the market demand for Astragali Radix grows and its popularity is increasing in the international market. As an important medicinal plant, the growth of Astragali Radix is strongly influenced by environmental conditions. In order to meet the market demand for high quality Astragali Radix herbs, it is necessary to search and find areas suitable for the growth of Astragali Radix.<br><br>METHODS: In this study, we assessed the potential impacts of climate change on the distribution of the Chinese medicinal plant Astragali Radix using the maximum entropy (MaxEnt) model in combination with a geographic information system(GIS). Distribution data and environmental variables were analyzed to predict suitable areas for Astragali Radix under the SSP126, SSP245 and SSP585 scenario for current and future (2041-2060, 2061-2080, 2081-2100). Jackknife is used to assess the importance of environmental variables, and environmental variables with a model contribution greater than 5% were considered to be the main drivers.<br><br>RESULTS: The results showed that the current area of suitable area for Astragali Radix is 188.41 km[2], and the three climate scenarios show an increasing trend in the future, with a maximum of 212.70 km[2]. North China has always been the main suitable area, while the area of suitable area in Southwest China is decreasing, and Xinjiang will be developed as a new suitable area in the future. Annual precipitation (41.6%), elevation (15.9%), topsoil calcium carbonate (14.8%), annual mean temperature (8.3%), precipitation seasonality (8%) and topsoil pH (6%) contributed more to the model and were the main environmental influences on the distribution of Astragali Radix. In addition, the centroids of the suitable areas shifted northward under all three climate scenarios, indicating a migratory response to global warming.<br><br>DISCUSSION: Our study found that suitable area of Astragali Radix has been expanding for most of the time in each period of the three climate scenarios compared with the current situation. In the future, humans can focus on enhancing the cultivation techniques of Astragali Radix in these suitable areas. This study provide a scientific basis for the development of planting strategies and spatial distribution management of Astragali Radix. It helps to optimize the selection of planting areas and resource conservation of Chinese herbs.}, }
@article {pmid39710522, year = {2024}, author = {Wang, W and Shi, K and Iestyn Woolway, R and Zhang, Y}, title = {Chinese ice-lake line shifts under climate change.}, journal = {Science bulletin}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, doi = {10.1016/j.scib.2024.12.013}, pmid = {39710522}, issn = {2095-9281}, }
@article {pmid39710224, year = {2024}, author = {Kim, S and Damialis, A and Charalampopoulos, A and Voelker, DH and Rorie, AC}, title = {The Effect of Climate Change on Allergen and Irritant Exposure.}, journal = {The journal of allergy and clinical immunology. In practice}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, doi = {10.1016/j.jaip.2024.12.019}, pmid = {39710224}, issn = {2213-2201}, abstract = {As the effects of anthropogenic climate change have become more apparent, the influences of climate and extreme weather events on health have continued to gain attention. The fact Earth has warmed over the past century is indisputable and the rate of warming is more alarming. As a result of anthropogenic climate change an alteration in the air mixture has occurred over time. These changes have increased human exposures to respiratory irritants such as ground level ozone, volatile organic compounds, nitrogen dioxide, sulfur dioxide, carbon monoxide, and polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons. A significant amount of research has investigated the effects of climate change on aeroallergens which has shown elevated temperatures and increased carbon dioxide (CO2) levels have produced prolonged and more robust pollen seasons for most taxa studied. In addition, it appears possible that exposure of some plants to air pollution may result in more allergenic pollen. Increased human exposures to these respiratory irritants and aeroallergens appears to disproportionality effect vulnerable populations throughout the world. It is essential to understand climate change is more than an environmental inconvenience and realize the effects to human health are directly related and conceivably immeasurable. It's vital to conduct additional research related to climate change and health which is collaborative, multisectoral and transdisciplinary. There should be a focus on risk reduction, mitigation and preparedness for climate change and extreme weather events for all populations around the globe.}, }
@article {pmid39709840, year = {2024}, author = {Uguen, M and Gaudron, SM and Seuront, L}, title = {Plastic pollution and marine mussels: Unravelling disparities in research efforts, biological effects and influences of global warming.}, journal = {The Science of the total environment}, volume = {959}, number = {}, pages = {178078}, doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.178078}, pmid = {39709840}, issn = {1879-1026}, abstract = {The ever-growing contamination of the environment by plastics is a major scientific and societal concern. Specifically, the study of microplastics (1 μm to 5 mm), nanoplastics (< 1 μm), and their leachates is a critical research area as they have the potential to cause detrimental effects, especially when they impact key ecological species. Marine mussels, as ecosystem engineers and filter feeders, are particularly vulnerable to this type of pollution. In this study, we reviewed the 106 articles that focus on the impacts of plastic pollution on marine mussels. First, we examined the research efforts in terms of plastic characteristics (size, polymer, shape, and leachates) and exposure conditions (concentration, duration, species, life stages, and internal factors), their disparities, and their environmental relevance. Then, we provided an overview of the effects of plastics on mussels at each organisational levels, from the smaller scales (molecular, cellular, tissue and organ impacts) to the organism level (functional, physiological, and behavioural impacts) as well as larger-scale implications (associated community impacts). We finally discussed the limited research available on multi-stressor studies involving plastics, particularly in relation to temperature stress. We identified temperature as an underestimated factor that could shape the impacts of plastics, and proposed a roadmap for future research to address their combined effects. This review also highlights the impact of plastic pollution on mussels at multiple levels and emphasises the strong disparities in research effort and the need for more holistic research, notably through the consideration of multiple stressors, with a specific focus on temperature which is likely to become an increasingly relevant forcing factor in an era of global warming. By identifying critical gaps in current knowledge, we advocate for more coordinated interdisciplinary and international collaborations and raise awareness of the need for environmental coherence in the choice and implementation of experimental protocols.}, }
@article {pmid39709544, year = {2024}, author = {Cerceo, EA and Liu, KT and Brown, EKH and Chen, C}, title = {The impact of climate change induced natural disasters on healthcare: Rethinking intravenous fluids.}, journal = {Journal of hospital medicine}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, doi = {10.1002/jhm.13578}, pmid = {39709544}, issn = {1553-5606}, }
@article {pmid39709494, year = {2024}, author = {Seastedt, H and Schuetz, J and Perkins, A and Gamble, M and Sinkkonen, A}, title = {Impact of urban biodiversity and climate change on children's health and well being.}, journal = {Pediatric research}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, pmid = {39709494}, issn = {1530-0447}, abstract = {In recent decades, biodiversity loss has greatly impacted planetary and human health. Children are at additional risk of adverse effects due to unique biological, developmental, and behavioral factors, as well as their longer exposure to an altered planet as a function of their young age. These effects are heightened for children living in vulnerable socioeconomic conditions. Here, we review the role of biodiversity loss on accelerating the consequences of climate change from the perspective of pediatric health. With the loss of biodiversity's protective role against the consequences of climate change, the adverse effects of the changing planet are impacting pediatric health. For example, trees provide shelter against heat waves, unsealed soil and wetlands mitigate flooding, and rewilded green space hosts high microbial richness and consequently supports immune and mental health. The effects of the loss of biodiversity may impact the discovery and development of novel pharmaceuticals and thus the future of children's medicine as a whole. We also highlight areas for further study and detail efforts that have been made to restore biodiversity, with the aim to improve the current and future health of local pediatric populations. IMPACT: Loss of biodiversity is occurring at a rapid pace affecting the health of the planet and disproportionately pediatric health. This paper describes the role of biodiversity loss in accelerating the impact of climate change on children's health, and highlights particularly vulnerable populations. This paper details steps that can be taken to maintain and restore biodiversity at the local and global levels to protect these populations and pediatric health in general.}, }
@article {pmid39709184, year = {2024}, author = {Solé, D and Camargos, PAM}, title = {Childhood health on a planet threatened by climate change.}, journal = {Jornal de pediatria}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, doi = {10.1016/j.jped.2024.12.002}, pmid = {39709184}, issn = {1678-4782}, }
@article {pmid39708739, year = {2024}, author = {Ejaz, MR and Jaoua, S and Lorestani, N and Shabani, F}, title = {Global climate change and its impact on the distribution and efficacy of Bacillus thuringiensis as a biopesticide.}, journal = {The Science of the total environment}, volume = {958}, number = {}, pages = {178091}, doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.178091}, pmid = {39708739}, issn = {1879-1026}, abstract = {This study is the first modeling exercise to assess the impacts of climate change on the current and future global distribution of Bacillus thuringiensis (Bt). Bt is a common Gram-positive, rod-shaped bacterium widely distributed in various environments, including soil and water. It is widely recognized as a source of effective and safe agricultural biopesticides for pest management in various climatic regions globally. In the present work, ensemble species distribution models were developed for Bt based on the generalized linear model (GLM), generalized boosting model (GBM), random forest (RF), and maximum entropy (MaxEnt) under two distinct scenarios, SSP2-4.5 (optimistic) and SSP5-8.5 (pessimistic) for the year of 2050, 2070, and 2090. The performance of our models was evaluated based on true skill statistics (TSS) and the area under the receiver-operator curve (AUC) indices. Both AUC and TSS values were observed in an acceptable range, with AUC at 0.84 and TSS at 0.512, respectively. Results indicate that most of the areas currently suitable for Bt will likely remain stable in the future, particularly Central America, Central and South Africa, South Asia, and parts of Oceania. Norway, Peru, and the UK will have notable habitat gains by 2090 based on SSP2-4.5 and SSP5-8.5 scenarios. On the contrary, Serbia, Guinea, Poland, Croatia, Spain and Romania showed notable losses under both scenarios. Our results underscore Bt potential to improve pest control, crop yields, and environmental sustainability, especially in regions where agriculture is predominant. Our research highlights the need to understand ecological dynamics for future conservation and agricultural planning in the face of climate change.}, }
@article {pmid39708470, year = {2024}, author = {Zhang, X and Feng, JC and Le, C and Chen, X and Diao, Y}, title = {Shellfish and algae: Climate change mitigation through green and valuable foods.}, journal = {The Science of the total environment}, volume = {959}, number = {}, pages = {177987}, doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.177987}, pmid = {39708470}, issn = {1879-1026}, abstract = {Food safety issues have become increasingly severe, while the global population continues to grow. Shellfish and algae (SA), as sustainable and environmentally friendly foods, have great significance in helping countries worldwide achieve the goal of carbon neutrality. However, there is still a gap in quantitatively evaluating the carbon neutrality of SA farming. To address this gap, this study evaluated global SA farming, including aspects of carbon sinks, the drivers of carbon removal, value-added ecosystem services, and the performance of carbon reduction mechanisms. Results revealed that (1) 16.57 Mt. CO2-eq/yr were sequestered worldwide via SA farming during 2000-2020, wherein Asia was the dominant contributor to SA carbon sinks due to the abundance of production. (2) Product values were the main drivers for carbon sinks via SA farming. (3) The annual added value of SA was 501.40 million dollars during 2000-2020, of which algae farming accounted for the highest proportion. Mussel and laver were promising due to their excellent ability for carbon removal and added value. (4) It is estimated that SA farming can reduce carbon within a range from 47.72 Mt. CO2-eq/yr to 1539.95 Mt. CO2-eq/yr in 2021-2035. In general, the farming of SA is a promising way to respond to the call for carbon neutrality and food safety assurance worldwide, while the preference for mussel and laver can be further explored.}, }
@article {pmid39708314, year = {2025}, author = {Kramer, C and Page, JR and Flint, J and Flint, M}, title = {Using Animal Welfare Framing as an Effective Approach to Communicating Climate Change-A Review.}, journal = {Veterinary medicine and science}, volume = {11}, number = {1}, pages = {e70154}, pmid = {39708314}, issn = {2053-1095}, support = {//One Welfare and Sustainability Center/ ; }, mesh = {*Climate Change ; *Animal Welfare ; Animals ; Communication ; }, abstract = {INTRODUCTION: Climate change and its effects continue to threaten the stability of environments worldwide, impacting nearly every species. Although framing is an established technique in climate communication science, little has been done in communicating the climate change effects from an animal welfare perspective.<br><br>OBJECTIVES: The primary objective of this article is to present the synthesis of evidence in existing literature on the effects of communicating climate change as an animal welfare issue.<br><br>METHODS: A systematic approach was taken based on the PRISMA (Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic reviews and Meta-Analyses) scoping review guidelines and utilizing a hybridized ProPheT-PICOS Model with modifications. Using search strings, scholarly databases within the Web of Science platform were systematically searched for English-language climate change literature that included animal welfare concepts. Articles were imported into Covidence and inclusion and exclusion criteria were then used to select articles for further analysis.<br><br>RESULTS: Of an initial 4080 studies, only two papers were identified that used animal welfare framing to discuss climate change based on the inclusion/exclusion criteria.<br><br>CONCLUSION: Further research should attempt to understand and approach framing climate change concerning current understanding by geographic location and culture to close research gaps and mitigate bias in the context of climate change and its effects on animal welfare.}, }
@article {pmid39706877, year = {2024}, author = {Zhang, Y and Hu, J and Wang, C and Wang, Y and Ji, M and Ma, F and Lu, Y}, title = {Estimating global geographical distribution and ecological niche dynamics of Ammannia coccinea under climate change based on Biomod2.}, journal = {Scientific reports}, volume = {14}, number = {1}, pages = {30579}, pmid = {39706877}, issn = {2045-2322}, support = {2021YFC2600400//National Key Research and Development Program of China/ ; no//Project Strengthening coordinated approaches to reduce invasive alien species (IAS) threats to globally significant agrobiodiversity and agroecosystems in China/ ; no//Project Strengthening coordinated approaches to reduce invasive alien species (IAS) threats to globally significant agrobiodiversity and agroecosystems in China/ ; }, mesh = {*Climate Change ; *Ecosystem ; Oryza/growth &amp; development ; Introduced Species ; Plant Weeds/growth &amp; development ; Biodiversity ; Geography ; Agriculture/methods ; }, abstract = {Invasive alien plants pose a significant threat to biodiversity and the agricultural economy. The invasive weed (Ammannia coccinea) competes with rice in paddy fields, potentially threatening rice production. Despite the crucial need to estimate the global geographical distribution and ecological niche dynamics of A. coccinea for effective early warning, control strategies, and global rice security, relevant research remains scarce. This study utilized the Biomod2 platform, which integrates multiple single models into ensemble model, incorporating environmental and species data to analyze the distribution range shifts of A. coccinea under current and future climate scenarios. It also quantified and analyzed shifts in the species' ecological niche across these climate scenarios. The results indicated that the potential suitable areas for A. coccinea were mainly in Southern North America, northern and south-eastern South America, south-western Europe, the Middle East, central Africa, western Asia, south-eastern Asia, with a gradual increase in mid-high suitability habitat over time and radiation levels. While the overall ecological niche of A. coccinea remains stable, minor shifts are expected under future conditions. Temperature, precipitation, and the human impact index were the key factors influencing the future distribution of A. coccinea. Climate change contributes to the expansion of A. coccinea's highly suitable areas and shifts its ecological niche. Organizations efforts should focus on preventing the spread of A. coccinea in regions where its potential distribution overlaps with key rice production areas. The findings of this study provide critical insights into the global distribution and ecological niche dynamics of A. coccinea, aiding in the development of early warning and control strategies to mitigate its impact on biodiversity, agriculture, and particularly rice production under future climate scenarios.}, }
@article {pmid39706095, year = {2024}, author = {Suhardono, S and Lee, CH and Suryawan, IWK}, title = {Valuation of marine integrated disaster management amidst global warming in Southern Coast of Java, Indonesia.}, journal = {Marine pollution bulletin}, volume = {211}, number = {}, pages = {117446}, doi = {10.1016/j.marpolbul.2024.117446}, pmid = {39706095}, issn = {1879-3363}, abstract = {This research explores the valuation of integrated disaster management in the coastal regions of Southern Java, Indonesia, a locale increasingly threatened by the impacts of global warming, which exacerbates marine disasters such as earthquakes and tsunamis. Employing a choice experiment methodology, the study assesses the willingness to pay among local households for various strategies designed to enhance earthquake preparedness. Three distinct scenarios are examined, each reflecting varying levels of integration and sophistication: (1) Educational empowerment and localized alert integration, which emphasizes community education and rapid, self-directed evacuation practices tailored to the immediate onset of tsunamis following seismic events. This scenario advocates for the '20-20-20' rule, underscoring self-evacuation as the most dependable survival method; (2) Strategic evacuation enablement, focusing on the logistics of evacuation and infrastructure development to facilitate timely community response; and (3) Integrated marine disaster management, which merges educational, technological, logistical, and ecological elements into a comprehensive strategy.}, }
@article {pmid39704563, year = {2024}, author = {Kish-Doto, J and Francavillo, GR}, title = {Public health professionals' views on climate change, advocacy, and health.}, journal = {Journal of communication in healthcare}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {1-10}, doi = {10.1080/17538068.2024.2441547}, pmid = {39704563}, issn = {1753-8076}, abstract = {BACKGROUND: Public health professionals (PHPs) are seeing an increased impact of climate change on the physical and mental health of their communities. Diverse climate change strategies and interventions are needed to equitably protect people's health. Yet, limited information exists on U.S. health professionals' willingness to communicate with the public about climate change and act on the issue.<br><br>METHODS: We used a pre-existing survey to assess the willingness of 173 PHPs to participate in climate change advocacy. Variables included beliefs, attitudes and risk perceptions of climate change, perceptions of the local impact of climate change on health, communication barriers and resources for communicating about climate change and health, and the perceived role of PHPs in mitigating climate change.<br><br>RESULTS: Key findings included: (1) Belief in climate change is not unanimous among PHPs; (2) PHPs are worried about climate change (93.3%) and agree the issue of climate change is of personal importance (97.1%); (3) Participants are seeking resources/trainings (57.8%) on climate change (4)The main barriers of advocating for climate change are lack of time (54.3%) and knowledge (46.3%); (5)) Respondents acknowledge health impacts due to weather-related events are caused by human activities (83.2%) and (6) views of climate change are determined by willingness to advocate and take action to mitigate climate change (R[2] = .251; p = < .001).<br><br>CONCLUSIONS: Although the majority of PHPs believe climate change is happening, this belief is not unanimous and steadfast. Opportunities remain on how health professionals can better inform, educate, and empower others about climate change and health.}, }
@article {pmid39703746, year = {2025}, author = {Edward, M and Heniedy, AM and Saminu, A and Florence Mary, JJ and Ahmed, DA and Engmann, ST and Onyeaghala, C and Shah, S}, title = {Climate change and contagion: the emerging threat of zoonotic diseases in Africa.}, journal = {Infection ecology &amp; epidemiology}, volume = {15}, number = {1}, pages = {2441534}, pmid = {39703746}, issn = {2000-8686}, abstract = {This article investigates the escalating occurrence of zoonotic diseases in Africa, attributing their spread to climate change and human activities. Africa's unique combination of biodiversity, reliance on animal husbandry, and swift urbanization heightens its susceptibility. Climate change disrupts ecosystems and animal habitats, intensifying human-wildlife interactions. Urbanization, inadequate sanitation, and insufficient healthcare infrastructure further facilitate disease spread. Climate-induced displacement adds another layer of complexity. Mitigation strategies include improving surveillance systems, fostering early detection via point-of-care diagnostics and digital contact tracing, and investing in vaccines and therapeutics. Our purpose of this is to advocate for sustainable land use, robust community-level public health systems, international cooperation, and resource-sharing. We also emphasize the need for effective vector-control policies, dedicated research funding, and annual awareness, vaccination, and early detection campaigns in endemic regions.}, }
@article {pmid39701899, year = {2024}, author = {Sedik, S and Egger, M and Hoenigl, M}, title = {Climate Change and Medical Mycology.}, journal = {Infectious disease clinics of North America}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, doi = {10.1016/j.idc.2024.11.002}, pmid = {39701899}, issn = {1557-9824}, abstract = {This review explores how climate change influences fungal disease dynamics, focusing on emergence of new fungal pathogens, increased antifungal resistance, expanding geographic ranges of fungal pathogens, and heightened host susceptibility. Rising temperatures and altered precipitation patterns enhance fungal growth and resistance mechanisms, complicating treatment efforts. Climate-driven geographic shifts are expanding the range of diseases like Valley fever, histoplasmosis, and blastomycosis. Additionally, natural disasters exacerbated by climate change increase exposure to fungal pathogens through environmental disruptions and trauma. Many of those impacts affect primarily those already disadvantaged by social determinants of health putting them at increased risk for fungal diseases.}, }
@article {pmid39701550, year = {2024}, author = {Urrutia-Pereira, M and Solé, D}, title = {Impact of climate change and air pollution on childhood respiratory health.}, journal = {Jornal de pediatria}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, doi = {10.1016/j.jped.2024.11.007}, pmid = {39701550}, issn = {1678-4782}, abstract = {OBJECTIVE: To assess the impact of climate change and air pollution on children's respiratory health.<br><br>DATA SOURCE: Narrative review of articles published in English, Portuguese, French, and Spanish in the last decade in the following databases: PubMed, Google Scholar, EMBASE, and SciELO. The keywords used in this search were: climate changes OR air pollution OR indoor pollutants OR wildfires AND human health OR children OR exposome.<br><br>DATA SYNTHESIS: Increases in extreme weather events, such as heat waves, forest fires, floods, droughts, hurricanes, and dust storms, put children's respiratory system health at greater risk.<br><br>CONCLUSIONS: The growing global increase in respiratory diseases in recent decades raises questions about the impact of environmental factors resulting from industrialization, urbanization, and climate change on the individual's exposome. Understanding it better is a key point for better treatment.}, }
@article {pmid39701540, year = {2024}, author = {Prates-Baldez, D and Ornell, FR and Scherer, JN and Diefenthaeler, SM and Kapczinski, F and Balanzá-Martínez, V and Hauck, S}, title = {Climate Change and Mental Health: The Urgent Warning of Brazil and Spain's 2024 Catastrophic Floods.}, journal = {Spanish journal of psychiatry and mental health}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, doi = {10.1016/j.sjpmh.2024.12.001}, pmid = {39701540}, issn = {2950-2853}, }
@article {pmid39701527, year = {2024}, author = {Rotz, CA and Mitloehner, F}, title = {United States Dairy Farms and Global Warming.}, journal = {Journal of dairy science}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, doi = {10.3168/jds.2024-25360}, pmid = {39701527}, issn = {1525-3198}, abstract = {Several metrics have developed for combining the warming effects of various greenhouse gases (GHG). The metric used can affect the life cycle assessment and comparison of dairy production systems due to the weighting placed on long- versus short-lived gases in the atmosphere. Global warming potential with a time horizon of 100 years (GWP-100) has become the standard but metrics are also available for other time horizons. Metrics for 20-, 100- and 500-year horizons gave average farmgate emission intensities of 2.08, 0.98 and 0.50 kg CO2e/kg of fat-and-protein-corrected-milk produced for current US dairy farms. Compared with the use of GWP metrics, which represent energy absorption, use of global temperature-change potential (GTP), combined global temperature-change potential (CGTP) or global warming potential star (GWP*) reduced the warming effect of methane relative to other GHG. These metrics representing temperature change reduced the warming potential of US dairy farms by 17 to 49% compared with the use of GWP-100. The metrics used also affected the comparison of individual production systems providing different life cycle assessments of management practices. Use of GWP-100 metrics indicated that warming from GHG emissions of US dairy farms increased 11-15% between 1971 and 2020, while the use of GTP, CGTP and GWP* metrics showed little or no effect on global temperature change over the 50-year period. Use of GWP-100 metrics indicated that GHG emissions related to milk production on dairy farms represented 1.6% of all US GHG emissions in 2020 while use of other metrics ranged from 0.9 and 1.8%. Although all approaches for representing the integrated warming impact of GHG have benefits and challenges, approaches such as CGTP and GWP* that account for the rate of methane emission relative to the oxidation rate in the atmosphere provide a more process-based assessment of the long-term impact of dairy farms on global temperature and perhaps a more scientifically sound approach for assessing strategies to mitigate the warming effect of dairy farms.}, }
@article {pmid39700750, year = {2024}, author = {Angelini, R and Lima, MAL and Lira, AS and Lucena-Frédou, F and Frédou, T and Bertrand, A and Giarrizzo, T and Steenbeek, J and Coll, M and Keppeler, FW}, title = {The projected impacts of climate change and fishing pressure on a tropical marine food web.}, journal = {Marine environmental research}, volume = {204}, number = {}, pages = {106909}, doi = {10.1016/j.marenvres.2024.106909}, pmid = {39700750}, issn = {1879-0291}, abstract = {Small-scale fisheries, especially those from developing countries, are vital for millions. Understanding the impact of environmental and human factors on fish stocks and yields and how they might change is crucial to ensure the sustainable use of aquatic resources. We developed an ecosystem model using Ecopath and Ecosim (EwE) to investigate changes in target species biomass and ecosystem attributes over 83 years (2017-2100) caused by different scenarios of fishing pressure and ocean warming in the Brazilian Northeastern continental shelf. The simulations considered three IPCC climate change scenarios (RCP2.6 [0.42 °C], RCP4.5 [1.53 °C], and RCP8.5 [4.02 °C]) and four fishing pressure scenarios: two with increased pressure (10% and 30%) and two with decreased pressure (-10% and -30%). The Ecopath model indicated that the Brazilian Northeastern continental shelf ecosystem is a grazing-based system with high biomass in macroalgae and detritus compartments, supporting a diverse community of consumers. Our simulations projected overall reductions in the biomass of target species, mainly under extreme climate change. Increasing temperatures and fishing efforts reduced the biomass of large predatory species and the food web length in several scenarios. Although projected changes in ecological network and information metrics were of lower magnitude, results predicted declines in production/respiration ratio, material cycling, and ascendency (variable related to trophic specialization, internalization, and material cycling) with climate change. These declines were likely linked to increased respiration rates, metabolic costs, and lower trophic efficiency with elevated temperatures. Together, our results show how climate change and fishing pressure can change the structure of coastal ecosystems, potentially leading to undesirable alternative states for fisheries. Our approach demonstrates the effectiveness of ecosystem-based modeling in projecting likely trajectories of change, which can be especially useful for resource management in data-limited conditions.}, }
@article {pmid39700686, year = {2024}, author = {Beevers, S and Assareh, N and Beddows, A and Stewart, G and Holland, M and Fecht, D and Liu, Y and Goodman, A and Walton, H and Brand, C and Evangelopoulos, D and Wood, D and Vu, T and Dajnak, D}, title = {Climate change policies reduce air pollution and increase physical activity: Benefits, costs, inequalities, and indoor exposures.}, journal = {Environment international}, volume = {195}, number = {}, pages = {109164}, doi = {10.1016/j.envint.2024.109164}, pmid = {39700686}, issn = {1873-6750}, abstract = {The burden of diseases attributable to air pollution is comparable to those of global health risks such as unhealthy diets and tobacco smoking, with many air pollution sources also emitting climate heating gases. In this UK study we estimated the co-benefits of Net Zero (NZ) climate policy on the health benefits of air pollution reduction, increased active travel, outdoor exposure inequalities and indoor air pollution changes. The study focused on two of the largest UK sources, road transport and building heating, with comparisons made between NZ and UK existing policy, referred to as Business as Usual (BAU). Particulate matter (PM2.5), Nitrogen Dioxide (NO2) and Ozone (O3) projections were made between 2019 and 2050, with emphasis placed upon the NZ co-benefits in 2030 and 2040. We compared the UK BAU scenarios with the Climate Change Committee's (CCC) Balanced Net Zero Pathway (BNZP) and Widespread Innovation (WI) pathway. Compared to BAU predictions, BNZP assumptions lead to more electric vehicles, reduced vehicle km, more low carbon building heating, and reduced emissions of NO2 and PM2.5. By 2040 under BNZP, relative to BAU, the buildings sector was predicted to be three times more effective at reducing PM2.5 than road transport. To help reduce the inequality gap the NZ building transition was tailored toward those most in need. Outdoor air pollution exposure inequalities prevailed across the socioeconomic spectrum, especially for NO2, but were less pronounced due in part to NZ policies. Core air quality health benefits for the BNZP buildings sector were £21.3 billion (16.4 to 26.2) by 2050 and £98.4 billion (75.7 to 121.1) by 2154. For the transport sector the health benefits were £9.1 billion (7.0 to 11.2) by 2050 and £36.5 billion (28.1 to 44.9) by 2154. NZ building sector operating costs did not achieve break-even via efficiency savings, but with Greenhouse Gas (GHG) (lower benefits) break-even was achieved in 2052. With additional air pollution health benefits, building-sector time to break-even improved by between 3.1 (2.5 to 4.7) and 6.3 (4.7 to 7.6) years to between 2046 and 2049. Analysis found that removing gas cooking at home, for NZ, may result in greater concentration reductions than outdoor air pollution for NO2. Net Zero health and economic co-benefits are large, as are the changes needed, requiring political leadership and public engagement. Our findings are relevant to other countries facing the NZ transition.}, }
@article {pmid39700540, year = {2024}, author = {Varling, AS and Chrysochoidis, V and Bisinella, V and Valverde-Pérez, B and Christensen, TH}, title = {Climate change impacts of biological treatment of liquid digestate from the anaerobic digestion of food waste.}, journal = {Waste management (New York, N.Y.)}, volume = {193}, number = {}, pages = {339-349}, doi = {10.1016/j.wasman.2024.12.013}, pmid = {39700540}, issn = {1879-2456}, abstract = {The liquid fraction of digestate (LFD) from anaerobic digestion of food waste contains high nitrogen concentrations, and in some countries, the LFD is treated as wastewater. We modelled alternative LFD treatments, including pretreatment with the partial nitritation Anammox (PNA) process. The PNA effluent is discharged to the sewers to undergo further treatment by conventional nitrification and (post- or pre-) denitrification. Life-cycle inventories were developed for the LFD treatment alternatives, including N2O emissions and electricity consumption estimates. The climate change (CC) impact was estimated using life cycle assessment in three different energy systems ranging from fossil-based to fully renewable. In the fossil energy system, pretreatment with PNA was attractive, while in the more renewable energy systems, the PNA process did not improve the CC account due to high N2O emissions. Pre-denitrification is the most attractive LFD treatment technology in a fully renewable energy system. Linking the LFD treatment to the anaerobic digestion of food waste showed that LFD treatment is a significant contributor to the overall CC account. As we move towards less fossil-based electricity, the anaerobic digestion of food waste constitutes a CC load of 350-450 kg CO2-eq/tonne biowaste, of which up to a third can be attributed to the LFD treatment. The N2O emissions are the main contributor, constituting up to 50 % in a fossil-based energy system and even higher in a renewable energy system. We conclude that the LFD treatment must be addressed in assessing anaerobic digestion when the LFD is discharged to the sewer. Our study also points to the need to find alternative ways of managing the LFD.}, }
@article {pmid39699788, year = {2024}, author = {Khoualfia, A and Bardi, W}, title = {The effect of climate change on economic growth in European countries: an empirical evidence from Panel ARDL approach.}, journal = {Environmental science and pollution research international}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, pmid = {39699788}, issn = {1614-7499}, abstract = {This paper examined the impact of climate change on economic growth using panel data from 20 European countries during the period 1990-2020 and the estimation techniques of cointegration and the ARDL model. The empirical results reveal that precipitation; labour force and CO2 emissions have a positive effect on long-term economic growth in sample countries. However, temperature, foreign direct investment, and urbanization have a negative effect on growth over the same period. Therefore, our study highlights the complex links between climate, demographic, and economic developments in European countries over the past three decades. Urbanizations, as a driver of urban development, and FDI, indicators of economic attractiveness, influence not only economic dynamics but also environmental impacts, exacerbating the challenges of CO2 emissions and climate change.}, }
@article {pmid39699057, year = {2024}, author = {Martin, D and Brewster, P and Crowley, ST}, title = {Preparing for stormy weather: building VA health system resilience for dialysis emergency preparedness in the era of climate change.}, journal = {Current opinion in nephrology and hypertension}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, doi = {10.1097/MNH.0000000000001054}, pmid = {39699057}, issn = {1473-6543}, abstract = {PURPOSE OF REVIEW: Climate change has been implicated as the driver for the increasing number, intensity, duration, and consequences of catastrophic weather events. As a result of extreme weather events, climate change has also been implicated as an important mediator of adverse kidney health outcomes, not only increasing the risk for the development of acute and chronic kidney diseases, but also disrupting the delivery of critical kidney health services. In particular, the delivery of dialysis services during major emergencies remains an ongoing and increasing problem, with a recognized need for improved emergency preparedness and disaster management (EP-DM) strategies to mitigate the increased risk of morbidity and mortality associated with missed dialysis treatment.<br><br>RECENT FINDINGS: There are increasing reports detailing the challenges of kidney dialysis care in times of crisis, to include those resulting from both man-made and natural disasters. Optimized management of the high-risk vulnerable dialysis patient population must include both facility-facing comprehensive continuity of operations and emergency response plans, and ongoing patient-facing emergency preparedness education.<br><br>SUMMARY: This review discusses the adverse impact of climate change-related natural disasters on the delivery of dialysis services, and the evolving EP-DM strategies developed and implemented by the Veterans Health Administration (VA) to optimize the care and well being of the vulnerable end stage kidney disease (ESKD) patient population.}, }
@article {pmid39698452, year = {2024}, author = {Li, X and Wu, T and Kang, C and Zhang, X and Zhang, J and Yang, C and Yuan, Q and Zhou, T and Xiao, C}, title = {Simulation of Pseudostellaria heterophylla distribution in China: assessing habitat suitability and bioactive component abundance under future climate change scenariosplant components.}, journal = {Frontiers in plant science}, volume = {15}, number = {}, pages = {1498229}, pmid = {39698452}, issn = {1664-462X}, abstract = {BACKGROUND: Pseudostellaria heterophylla is used in traditional Chinese medicine, so ensuring an adequate supply of plant material with high levels of bioactive components is important.<br><br>METHODS: Using an optimized maximum entropy niche model and assays of bioactive components from cultivation samples, this study started from the plant's natural distribution area and estimated correlations of ecological factors with not only abundance of the plant but also abundance of polysaccharides and heterophyllin B. These correlations were combined with the spatial analysis function in ArcGIS to generate maps of the suitability of different habitats in China for cultivating P. heterophylla under current climate conditions and different models of climate change.<br><br>RESULTS: The following ecological factors emerged as particularly important for habitat suitability: precipitation of driest month and driest quarter, annual precipitation, annual mean temperature, temperature seasonality, and mean temperature of coldest quarter, contributing to a cumulative total of 87%. Under current climate conditions, optimum habitats of P. heterophylla were mainly distributed in the southwestern region (Guizhou) and eastern regions (Anhui, Zhejiang, Fujian, Jiangsu) of China, and only 0.197&#xd7;10[6] km[2] of these areas were optimum habitat. In future climate change scenarios, the optimal habitat area of P. heterophylla exhibited an increase across different time periods under the SSP5-8.5 climate scenario. By the 2090s, distribution area of high heterophyllin B content under SSP5-8.5 climate scenarios will increase significantly, distribution area of high polysaccharide content had little change under all three climate scenarios (SSP 1-2.6, 2-4.5, 5-8.5). The center of mass of suitable habitat migrates southwestward under scenario SSP 1-2.6 and SSP 2-4.5, while it migrates northward under scenario SSP 5-8.5. Under the three climate scenarios, the center of mass of suitable habitat migrated consistently with that of high polysaccharide content but differed from that of high heterophyllin B content.<br><br>CONCLUSION: These findings provide a crucial foundation for cultivating P. heterophylla with superior medicinal properties, developing adaptive management strategies to enhance conservation efforts, and ensuring sustainable utilization in the face of global climate change.}, }
@article {pmid39698095, year = {2024}, author = {Kumar, S and Khanduri, VP}, title = {Impact of climate change on the Himalayan alpine treeline vegetation.}, journal = {Heliyon}, volume = {10}, number = {23}, pages = {e40797}, pmid = {39698095}, issn = {2405-8440}, abstract = {The Himalayan alpine treeline varies depending on altitude and aspects, supporting a variety of plant species. In recent years, climate changes have exerted pressure on the vegetation in this region, challenging its adaptation to rapidly changing environmental conditions. This systematic review commenced by formulating a research question on the impact of climate change on Himalayan alpine treeline vegetation and conducted a thorough literature search, adhering to the PRISMA protocol. The rising temperatures, altered precipitation patterns, and other climate-related factors have initiated an upward shift in the treeline that threatens the unique biodiversity of the region. Indeed, in various parts of the Himalayas, there is evidence of the treeline moving upwards, altering plant regeneration and growing season, and impacting soil properties. There is a shift of vegetation ranging from 0.80 to 503.00 m in Himalayan treeline regions have been reported in various studies. Abies spectabilis and Betula utilis are the most sensitive, showing the highest upward shifts due to climate change. The repercussions of climate change on the Himalayan alpine treeline are anticipated to have significant ecological implications. Most species at the Himalayan alpine treeline exhibit poor regeneration status, while some others reveals good, fair, or no regeneration. Consequently, new regeneration patterns are emerging. Changes in soil temperature and physicochemical properties due to climate warming are ultimately affecting Himalayan alpine treeline vegetation. Additionally, shifts in the growing season and phenophases of various tree species have also been observed. The profound and far-reaching impacts of climate change on the Himalayan alpine treeline necessitates implementing mitigation and adaptation strategies to safeguard the delicate alpine ecosystems of the region.}, }
@article {pmid39697837, year = {2024}, author = {Dodd, S and Kragh-Furbo, M and Davies, J and Butterfield, S and Morris, A and Brown, H}, title = {Health impacts of climate change in the UK: A qualitative synthesis detailing the conjuncture of social structure, extreme weather, and mental health.}, journal = {SSM. Qualitative research in health}, volume = {6}, number = {}, pages = {100475}, pmid = {39697837}, issn = {2667-3215}, abstract = {This qualitative synthesis explores the experiences of UK communities facing growing health risks from climate change and extreme weather. The eight included studies show the profound impacts of extreme weather events such as floods on mental health, including challenges to self-identity and anxiety from the fear of flooding returning. Included data reveal individual and household impacts of extreme weather are mediated by a complex interaction of institutional support, community support, gender inequalities and personal agency. These factors are assessed against the backdrop of broader concepts in the social science and adaptation literature, including the role of the state, the inseparability of nature and society, the overlooked role of social structure, and environmental justice. It is argued that the use of qualitative synthesis methods in this topic area allows for an interconnected and context-sensitive analysis of the health impacts of climate change facing communities, diverging from other analytical approaches through inclusion of considerations such as social power, community dynamics, and the inter-relation of institutional action, community cohesion and individual agency. The resulting findings show how locally specific and highly contextual qualitative data can be used by those seeking to understand health risks from climate change within a locality.}, }
@article {pmid39697146, year = {2024}, author = {Clark, CM and Coughlin, JG and Phelan, J and Martin, G and Austin, K and Salem, M and Sabo, RD and Horn, K and Thomas, RQ and Dalton, RM}, title = {Winners and Losers From Climate Change: An Analysis of Climate Thresholds for Tree Growth and Survival for Roughly 150 Species Across the Contiguous United States.}, journal = {Global change biology}, volume = {30}, number = {12}, pages = {e17597}, doi = {10.1111/gcb.17597}, pmid = {39697146}, issn = {1365-2486}, mesh = {*Climate Change ; United States ; *Trees/growth &amp; development ; *Temperature ; Forests ; Rain ; }, abstract = {Changes in temperature and precipitation are already influencing US forests and that will continue in the future even as we mitigate climate change. Using spatiotemporally matched data for mean annual temperature (MAT) and mean annual precipitation (MAP), we used simulated annealing to estimate critical thresholds for changes in the growth and survival of roughly 150 tree species (153 spp. for growth, 159 spp. for survival) across the conterminous United States (CONUS). We found that growth of nearly one-third of tree species assessed (44 spp.) decreased with any increase in MAT (42-49 species), whereas fewer responded negatively to projected regional trends in MAP (< 20 species each in the east and west). Hypothetical increases in temperature (+1°C, +2°C) increased average annual growth in the Central East and Pacific Northwest and decreased growth over large areas of the Rockies and Southeast, while decadal survival generally decreased with temperature. Average annual growth and decadal survival had unfavorable associations with projected precipitation, generally decreasing with wetter conditions (+25%) in the east and decreasing with drier conditions (-25%) in the west. Beyond these averages, there were species that positively and negatively responded nearly everywhere across the CONUS, suggesting changes in forest composition are underway. We identified only eight species out of ~150 assessed that were tolerant to increases in temperature, and 24 species in the east and seven in the west were tolerant to regionally specific trends in precipitation (increases in the east and decreases in the west). We assessed confidence on a 5-point scale (1-5) for five aspects of uncertainty. Average confidence scores were generally high, though some species and metrics had low confidence scores especially for survival. These findings have significant implications for the future national forest carbon sink and for conservation efforts in the face of climate change.}, }
@article {pmid39696553, year = {2024}, author = {Cosh, SM and Williams, SE and Lykins, AD and Bartik, W and Tully, PJ}, title = {Detecting and classifying eco-anxiety: development of clinical cut-off scores for the climate change anxiety scale.}, journal = {BMC psychology}, volume = {12}, number = {1}, pages = {738}, pmid = {39696553}, issn = {2050-7283}, mesh = {Humans ; Adult ; *Climate Change ; Female ; Male ; Young Adult ; Adolescent ; *Anxiety/diagnosis/psychology ; Australia ; Psychiatric Status Rating Scales/standards ; Depression/diagnosis/psychology ; Stress, Psychological/diagnosis/psychology ; Psychological Distress ; }, abstract = {BACKGROUND: Climate change anxiety, that is worry and fear in relation to the awareness of the impacts of climate change, is widely observed around the world. Some evidence suggests that while climate change anxiety can, at times, be adaptive, a growing body of research has reported that climate change anxiety is also related to a range of negative mental health outcomes and psychological distress. Currently, however, there is limited ability to assess for elevated levels of climate change anxiety and to identify those who may need support. The present study, therefore, aimed to develop clinical cut-off scores on a measure of climate change anxiety.<br><br>METHODS: A largely representative sample of Australian young adults (aged 16-25&#xa0;years) completed measures of psychological distress (Depression, Anxiety and Stress Scale-21) and the Climate Change Anxiety Scale. Markers of clinically meaningful psychological distress - elevated depression, anxiety, and stress symptoms-were used to classify cases. Receiver Operating Characteristics analyses were performed to assess the predictive ability of the indicators of psychological distress (mild, moderate, severe, and extremely severe thresholds of anxiety, depression, and stress symptoms) for detecting climate change anxiety and to ascertain optimal cut-off scores.<br><br>RESULTS: The Area Under the Curve was acceptable to moderate for detecting climate change anxiety across all analyses. Across symptom severity thresholds and markers of psychological distress, based on consideration of balancing sensitivity and specificity, results consistently suggested that a cut-score of 21 was indicative of mild-moderate climate change anxiety, with a cut-off score of 23 indicating severe-extremely severe climate change anxiety.<br><br>CONCLUSIONS: The proposed cut-offs can feasibly be used to identify those with elevated climate change anxiety. Use of these cut-off scores can inform research as well as be used to guide screening, assessment, and inform clinical practice. Results also highlight a high rate of climate change anxiety in young adults.}, }
@article {pmid39696199, year = {2024}, author = {Turzáková, J and Kohanová, D and Solgajová, A and Sollár, T}, title = {Association between climate change and patient health outcomes: a mixed-methods systematic review.}, journal = {BMC nursing}, volume = {23}, number = {1}, pages = {900}, pmid = {39696199}, issn = {1472-6955}, abstract = {INTRODUCTION: Climate change poses significant threats to the environment, biodiversity, and socioeconomic stability worldwide. Its impact on human health, particularly within healthcare systems, is growing in concern. Nurses, as front-line healthcare workers, play a crucial role in addressing climate-related health risks. However, there is a gap in understanding nursing perspectives on climate change and its implications for patient health outcomes.<br><br>AIM: To synthesize empirical evidence on the association between climate change and patient health outcomes from a nursing perspective.<br><br>METHODS: A mixed-methods systematic review was conducted following the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses (PRISMA). The search was carried out in January 2024 in six scientific databases including CINAHL, PubMed, Scopus, ProQuest, Web of Science, and OVID Nursing. Studies focusing on climate change and patient health outcomes from a nursing perspective were included. Data extraction, quality appraisal, and synthesis were performed systematically.<br><br>RESULTS: The systematic review included 18 studies of a mainly quantitative nature. Three main themes emerged as follows: Climate Healthcare Interplay; Future Nurses as Agents of Change; and Navigating Sustainability Challenges in Nursing. These themes highlighted nurses' awareness of the interrelation between climate and health, the need for environmental education in nursing, and the challenges that hinder sustainable nursing practices.<br><br>CONCLUSION: This review underscores the importance of integrating climate change topics into nursing education and fostering organizational support for sustainable nursing practices. Addressing these challenges is essential for nurses to mitigate the health risks posed by climate change effectively.}, }
@article {pmid39694671, year = {2024}, author = {Niedzwiedz, CL and Olsen, JR and Rizeq, J and Afework, T and Hill-Harding, CKV and Shaw, RJ and Thomas, R and Kariuki, SM and Katikireddi, SV and Weaver, AJ and Martin, G and Parr, H and Papies, EK}, title = {Coming to terms with climate change: a glossary for climate change impacts on mental health and well-being.}, journal = {Journal of epidemiology and community health}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, doi = {10.1136/jech-2024-222716}, pmid = {39694671}, issn = {1470-2738}, abstract = {Climate change is a major threat to global health. Its effects on physical health are increasingly recognised, but mental health impacts have received less attention. The mental health effects of climate change can be direct (resulting from personal exposure to acute and chronic climatic changes), indirect (via the impact on various socioeconomic, political and environmental determinants of mental health) and overarching (via knowledge, education and awareness of climate change). These impacts are unequally distributed according to long-standing structural inequities which are exacerbated by climate change. We outline key concepts and pathways through which climate change may affect mental health and explore the responses to climate change at different levels, from emotions to politics, to highlight the need for multilevel action. We provide a broad reference to help guide researchers, practitioners and policy-makers in the use and understanding of different terms in this rapidly growing interdisciplinary field.}, }
@article {pmid39694592, year = {2025}, author = {Ford, CA}, title = {SAHM and the IAAH Respond to Climate Change and Need to Promote Agency Among Adolescents and Young Adults.}, journal = {The Journal of adolescent health : official publication of the Society for Adolescent Medicine}, volume = {76}, number = {1}, pages = {1}, doi = {10.1016/j.jadohealth.2024.10.005}, pmid = {39694592}, issn = {1879-1972}, }
@article {pmid39694400, year = {2024}, author = {Wang, N and Liu, S}, title = {Modeling of periodic input Ornstein-Uhlenbeck temperature-tick-borne disease transmission coupling mechanism under climate change.}, journal = {Acta tropica}, volume = {261}, number = {}, pages = {107490}, doi = {10.1016/j.actatropica.2024.107490}, pmid = {39694400}, issn = {1873-6254}, abstract = {Given the rapid increase in climate change, investigating the impact of climate change on the transmission mechanism of tick-borne diseases is imperative. In order to fully capture the influence of the seasonal variation of temperature, environmental disturbances and the co-feeding transmission on the spread of tick-borne diseases, we propose a novel stochastic dynamical model that couples the mean-reverting Ornstein-Uhlenbeck temperature equation with periodic input to the tick-borne disease model. Through theoretical analysis, we derive sufficient conditions for the extinction of tick populations and the eradication of tick-borne diseases, as well as the stochastic persistence conditions of the system. In numerical simulations, we find that the periodic Ornstein-Uhlenbeck temperature equation can effectively fit the actual temperature data in low, medium, and high latitude regions of China. In risk assessment, we find that at the spatial perspective, low-latitude areas have a higher risk of tick-borne diseases, requiring enhanced control measures; from a temporal perspective, compared to the past, the current stage presents a greater risk of tick-borne diseases when preventive measures are not implemented. Additionally, we observe that larger noise of environment for tick populations favors the extinction of tick populations, while smaller temperature fluctuations, noise on infected hosts and ticks, as well as higher temperature regression rate, are more likely to lead to the extinction of tick-borne diseases. These findings provide crucial insights into understanding the impact of climate change on the transmission mechanism of tick-borne diseases.}, }
@article {pmid39693697, year = {2024}, author = {Tiitta, I and Kopra, J and McDermott-Levy, R and Jaakkola, JJK and Kuosmanen, L}, title = {Climate change perceptions among nursing students: A comparative study between Finland and the United States.}, journal = {Nurse education today}, volume = {146}, number = {}, pages = {106541}, doi = {10.1016/j.nedt.2024.106541}, pmid = {39693697}, issn = {1532-2793}, abstract = {INTRODUCTION: Nurses play a key role in combating climate change-related health risks by promoting adaptation and mitigation strategies. Their efforts are essential in educating patients and communities about the health impacts of climate change and sustainable healthcare practices. Nursing curricula are evolving to include climate change and sustainability. The goal is to prepare future nurses to effectively address climate change factors affecting health and to support the transition towards more sustainable healthcare systems.<br><br>AIM: To study the perceptions of nursing students in Finland and the United States (U.S.) regarding climate change, focusing on their awareness and attitudes.<br><br>DESIGN: A quantitative, cross-sectional study.<br><br>METHOD: In this study climate change awareness, concern, motivation, and behavior patterns of Finnish and U.S nursing students were surveyed and analyzed. Data were collected from an online survey using the Climate Health and Nursing Tool (CHANT). The data were collected from Finnish students (n&#xa0;=&#xa0;351) from February to June 2023 and for comparison we examined data collected from U.S. (n&#xa0;=&#xa0;352) in 2022. Data were analyzed using SPSS and AMOS program.<br><br>RESULTS: U.S. nursing students were found to have higher factor loadings, indicating a stronger connection between the measured factors and their related concepts compared to Finnish nursing students. Finnish students also received good factor loadings, but differences appeared in the correlations between awareness, concern, and motivation, and in the consistency of behavior at home and at work.<br><br>CONCLUSIONS: Findings from study indicate that U.S. students have higher overall awareness but weaker links between awareness and workplace behavior, whereas Finnish nursing students show more consistent behavior both personally and professionally. Nursing faculty could use this knowledge to engage nursing students in learning about the impact of climate change on human health and prepare future nurses to meet challenges of climate change on patient populations.}, }
@article {pmid39692556, year = {2024}, author = {Laverentz, DM and Young, E}, title = {Creating a Public Service Announcement as a Teaching Strategy to Advocate for Populations at Risk due to Climate Change.}, journal = {Nursing education perspectives}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, pmid = {39692556}, issn = {1536-5026}, abstract = {The 2022 National League for Nursing Vision Statement, Climate Change and Health, identified gaps in nursing education regarding the issue of climate change and its impact on at-risk populations. Our innovative teaching strategy requires nursing students to use clinical judgment to synthesize ideas and communicate the health risks of climate change for population at risk in a brief video or public service announcement. This teaching strategy can prepare nursing students to advocate for population health.}, }
@article {pmid39691193, year = {2024}, author = {Wanjala, G and Pius, LO and Strausz, P and Kusza, S}, title = {Leveraging Agri-advocacy to promote animal genetic diversity for climate change mitigation: Kenya and Tanzania perspective.}, journal = {Heliyon}, volume = {10}, number = {23}, pages = {e40851}, doi = {10.1016/j.heliyon.2024.e40851}, pmid = {39691193}, issn = {2405-8440}, abstract = {The role that genetic diversity in animal genetic resources (AnGR) plays in mitigating the effects of climate change on the global protein supply is of the utmost significance. East Africa historically played a pivotal role in the dispersal of domesticated livestock species across the African continent. At present, it maintains a substantial contribution to worldwide biodiversity as a result of its reservoir of a diverse array of AnGR, characterized by genetic and species diversity. A considerable reduction in the genetic diversity of AnGR has been documented in numerous studies, giving rise to concerns regarding the sustainability of animal protein supply in the face of climate change. The objective of this article is to outline prospective roles that advocacy and management organizations specializing in AnGRs may undertake to aid in the conservation of AnGR genetic diversity in East Africa. Moreover, it provides a prospective framework and structure for advocacy that extends from the farmers, to the higher-level (regional farmers association). We believe that advocating for the promotion of genetic diversity at the regional level will have a significant impact at the national and further at global scale.}, }
@article {pmid39690524, year = {2024}, author = {Groover, A and Holbrook, NM and Polle, A and Sala, A and Medlyn, B and Brodersen, C and Pittermann, J and Gersony, J and Sokołowska, K and Bogar, L and McDowell, N and Spicer, R and David-Schwartz, R and Keller, S and Tschaplinski, TJ and Preisler, Y}, title = {Tree drought physiology: critical research questions and strategies for mitigating climate change effects on forests.}, journal = {The New phytologist}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, doi = {10.1111/nph.20326}, pmid = {39690524}, issn = {1469-8137}, support = {89243022SSC0000//Biological and Environmental Research/ ; //Northern Research Station/ ; 1856450//NSF-IOS/ ; 1029588//USDA NIFA/ ; //New Phytologist Trust/ ; //US Forest Service/ ; //National Science Foundation and the Department of Energy's Next Generation Ecosystem Experiment-Tropics/ ; ERKP886//Center for Bioenergy Innovation (CBI), US Department of Energy, Office of Science, Biological and Environmental Research Program/ ; 2222348//NSF ORCC/ ; }, abstract = {Droughts of increasing severity and frequency are a primary cause of forest mortality associated with climate change. Yet, fundamental knowledge gaps regarding the complex physiology of trees limit the development of more effective management strategies to mitigate drought effects on forests. Here, we highlight some of the basic research needed to better understand tree drought physiology and how new technologies and interdisciplinary approaches can be used to address them. Our discussion focuses on how trees change wood development to mitigate water stress, hormonal responses to drought, genetic variation underlying adaptive drought phenotypes, how trees 'remember' prior stress exposure, and how symbiotic soil microbes affect drought response. Next, we identify opportunities for using research findings to enhance or develop new strategies for managing drought effects on forests, ranging from matching genotypes to environments, to enhancing seedling resilience through nursery treatments, to landscape-scale monitoring and predictions. We conclude with a discussion of the need for co-producing research with land managers and extending research to forests in critical ecological regions beyond the temperate zone.}, }
@article {pmid39690499, year = {2024}, author = {Fu, Z and Zhan, Q and Lenoir, J and Wang, S and Qian, H and Yang, J and Sun, W and Mbuni, YM and Ngumbau, VM and Hu, G and Yan, X and Wang, Q and Chen, SC and Zhou, Y}, title = {Climate change drives plant diversity attrition at the summit of Mount Kenya.}, journal = {The New phytologist}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, doi = {10.1111/nph.20344}, pmid = {39690499}, issn = {1469-8137}, support = {SAJC202401//Scientific Research Program of Sino-Africa Joint Research Center/ ; 32370217//National Natural Science Foundation of China/ ; 32470225//National Natural Science Foundation of China/ ; jxsq2023101079//Thousand Talents Program of Jiangxi Province/ ; }, }
@article {pmid39690189, year = {2024}, author = {Yu, H and van de Pas, R and Stanojev, J}, title = {How climate change is changing calendars - and what to do about it.}, journal = {Nature}, volume = {636}, number = {8043}, pages = {571}, doi = {10.1038/d41586-024-04190-8}, pmid = {39690189}, issn = {1476-4687}, }
@article {pmid39689533, year = {2024}, author = {S, L and Laukka, V and Silvennoinen, K}, title = {Climate change impacts of municipal water sector and mitigation pathways: A national scale analysis and perspectives to carbon neutrality.}, journal = {Journal of environmental management}, volume = {373}, number = {}, pages = {123732}, doi = {10.1016/j.jenvman.2024.123732}, pmid = {39689533}, issn = {1095-8630}, abstract = {The growing concern on global warming has pushed to set ambitious targets of carbon neutrality or net zero at the water sector. Meanwhile, poor data availability has been reported to restrict the national assessment of climate impacts and mitigation strategies in water sector. In national greenhouse gas (GHG) inventories, water sector is embedded in other sectors' emissions making it difficult to monitor separately. This study presents a national scale evaluation of climate change impacts for water sector in Finland based on life cycle analysis (LCA). In addition, the effectiveness of currently available emission reduction measures is evaluated by scenario analysis until the year 2035. According to the results, the life cycle climate change impacts from the Finnish municipal water sector were 0,67 (0,46-0,88) million tonnes CO2-eq./year (142.8 (98.9-187.1) kg CO2-eq./person/year). Drinking water services accounted for 12.5-13.9 % and wastewater services 86.1-87.4 % of the total emissions. With currently feasible emission reduction measures, the climate change impacts could be reduced approximately 14-30 % in total by 2035. The aim of carbon neutrality in the water sector was found to be unrealistic to achieve with existing and currently feasible measures for Finland and thus significant new emission mitigation measures are needed. The vague definition of carbon neutrality and system boundary of water sector as well as the uncertainties related to the assessment of direct emissions, undermine the credibility of the ambitiously set target. Prioritizing emission offsets to reach the target may inadvertently lead to unintended negative consequences due to the limitations and incompleteness of offset methods.}, }
@article {pmid39689528, year = {2024}, author = {Huang, W and Wang, Z and Qu, F and Zhao, C and Zheng, M and Zhang, Z and Liu, S and Xu, Q and Zhang, X and Zhao, L}, title = {Global distribution pattern and conservation of the cosmopolitan cold-water coral species Desmophyllum dianthus under climate change.}, journal = {Journal of environmental management}, volume = {373}, number = {}, pages = {123674}, doi = {10.1016/j.jenvman.2024.123674}, pmid = {39689528}, issn = {1095-8630}, abstract = {Global climate change impacts marine ecosystems differently across oceanic regions and depths. Thus, understanding how widespread key species adapt globally and locally to multidimensional climate change is crucial for targeted conservation. This study focuses on the cosmopolitan cold-water coral (CWC) Desmophyllum dianthus using ecological niche models (ENMs) to explore climate adaptation and conservation strategies. The findings indicated that D. dianthus occupied a broad ecological niche but had low ecological niche overlap across populations, suggesting local adaptations and supporting population-level ENMs. The models predicted that over 80% of D. dianthus suitable habitats would persist under SSP1-2.6 and SSP5-8.5 climate scenarios by the 2100s, potentially increasing to 95% as new habitats emerge, demonstrating its robust adaptability. However, localized environmental shifts could precipitate habitat losses in areas like the Reykjanes Ridge, Rockall Plateau, Mediterranean Sea, and Patagonian Shelf. We also applied Linkage Mapper to identify potential ecological corridors that intertwined nearshore macrohabitat patches with deep-sea stepping-stone habitats such as escarpments, seamounts, and ridges, maintaining population connectivity. Despite this, the habitats and ecological corridors of D. dianthus remained largely unprotected, with vulnerable portions lying outside of marine protected areas (MPAs), thus underscoring the urgent need for more MPA. These spatial-temporal predictions provide essential insights for the conservation and management of cosmopolitan CWC D. dianthus and serve as a benchmark for the adaptive survival of similar taxa.}, }
@article {pmid39689240, year = {2024}, author = {Bellizzi, S and Darwish, M and Elnakib, S}, title = {Impact of displacement due to climate change on female genital mutilations.}, journal = {Journal of travel medicine}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, doi = {10.1093/jtm/taae154}, pmid = {39689240}, issn = {1708-8305}, }
@article {pmid39689234, year = {2024}, author = {Palvi, A and Lindström, L and Margus, A}, title = {Simulated winter climate change reveals greater cold than warm temperature tolerance in Chrysolina polita (Coleoptera: Chrysomelidae).}, journal = {Environmental entomology}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, doi = {10.1093/ee/nvae120}, pmid = {39689234}, issn = {1938-2936}, support = {//Entomological Society of Finland/ ; //Societas Biologica Fennica Vanamo/ ; }, abstract = {Climate change is expected to lead to rising winter temperatures in temperate zones, coinciding with a decrease in winter snow cover. Insects adapted to winter conditions in the temperate zone might be exposed to changing winter conditions and higher temperature fluctuations, which can affect diapause and mortality. We studied the effects of climate change on Chrysolina polita, a temperate zone species overwintering as an adult in the shallow surface of the soil. We tested the effects of increased and fluctuating temperature on the mortality and body composition of the beetles in a laboratory environment, as well as the effects of snow cover removal on the mortality and body mass in field conditions. We found that in the laboratory study, a 2 °C increase in mean temperature increased mortality and resulted in increased lipid consumption, whereas temperature fluctuation caused desiccation of the beetles but did not affect mortality compared to the control condition. In the field study, the snow removal caused the mean soil temperature to decrease by 3 °C and fluctuate (ranging from -26.4 to 2.5 °C compared to a range of -1.7 to 0.5 °C in the control), yet these differences did not affect beetle mortality or body mass. We conclude that C. polita exhibits greater resistance to cold temperatures than to higher temperatures during diapause. Therefore, the rising temperatures associated with climate change can pose challenges for overwintering.}, }
@article {pmid39687868, year = {2024}, author = {Frazier, AN and Beck, MR and Waldrip, H and Koziel, JA}, title = {Connecting the ruminant microbiome to climate change: insights from current ecological and evolutionary concepts.}, journal = {Frontiers in microbiology}, volume = {15}, number = {}, pages = {1503315}, doi = {10.3389/fmicb.2024.1503315}, pmid = {39687868}, issn = {1664-302X}, abstract = {Ruminant livestock provide meat, milk, wool, and other products required for human subsistence. Within the digestive tract of ruminant animals, the rumen houses a complex and diverse microbial ecosystem. These microbes generate many of the nutrients that are needed by the host animal for maintenance and production. However, enteric methane (CH4) is also produced during the final stage of anaerobic digestion. Growing public concern for global climate change has driven the agriculture sector to enhance its investigation into CH4 mitigation. Many CH4 mitigation methods have been explored, with varying outcomes. With the advent of new sequencing technologies, the host-microbe interactions that mediate fermentation processes have been examined to enhance ruminant enteric CH4 mitigation strategies. In this review, we describe current knowledge of the factors driving ruminant microbial assembly, how this relates to functionality, and how CH4 mitigation approaches influence ecological and evolutionary gradients. Through the current literature, we elucidated that many ecological and evolutionary properties are working in tandem in the assembly of ruminant microbes and in the functionality of these microbes in methanogenesis. Additionally, we provide a conceptual framework for future research wherein ecological and evolutionary dynamics account for CH4 mitigation in ruminant microbial composition. Thus, preparation of future research should incorporate this framework to address the roles ecology and evolution have in anthropogenic climate change.}, }
@article {pmid39687319, year = {2024}, author = {Chen, M and Henderson, M and Liu, B and Zhou, W and Ma, R and Huang, W and Dou, Z}, title = {Winter climate change mediates the sensitivity of vegetation leaf-out to spring warming in high latitudes in China.}, journal = {Frontiers in plant science}, volume = {15}, number = {}, pages = {1476576}, doi = {10.3389/fpls.2024.1476576}, pmid = {39687319}, issn = {1664-462X}, abstract = {Global warming has significantly altered plant phenology by advancing the timing of leaf emergence, impacting vegetation productivity and adaptability. Winter and spring temperatures have commonly been used to explain spring phenology shifts, but we still lack a solid understanding of the effects of interactions between conditions in different seasons. This study utilizes normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI) and meteorological data to examine the effects of changes in winter and spring temperatures and precipitation on the start of the vegetation growing season (SOS) at high latitudes in China from 1982 to 2015. We found that SOS in Northeast China, as a whole, showed a weak advancing trend (moving earlier in the year), but with obvious regional differences. Even within the same vegetation type, changes in SOS were faster in the cold north (1.9 days/decade) and the cold and dry northwest (1.6 days/decade) than the regional averages for deciduous needleleaf forests (DNF; 1.2 days/decade) and grasslands (0.6 days/decade). Increases in spring temperatures dominate forest SOS advancement, while grassland SOS is mainly influenced by winter and spring precipitation. Decreases in winter minimum temperature (Tmin) enhance the spring temperature sensitivity of SOS. The way that winter precipitation regulates the spring temperature sensitivity of SOS differs among vegetation types: increasing sensitivity in grasslands but suppressing it in DNF. The moderating effects of winter conditions account for the greatest part of the regional differences in the magnitude of change in SOS. Our findings highlight that, although rising spring temperatures significantly affect SOS, winter Tmin and precipitation are crucial for understanding spatial SOS differences, particularly in cold, arid high-latitude regions. Winter conditions play an essential role in regulating the response of vegetation SOS to spring climate at high latitudes. These results suggest that considering the moderating effect of winter climate can facilitate more accurate predictions of temperature-driven phenological changes under future climate change.}, }
@article {pmid39683145, year = {2024}, author = {Yue, C and Li, H and Shi, X}, title = {Geographical Distribution Dynamics of Acorus calamus in China Under Climate Change.}, journal = {Plants (Basel, Switzerland)}, volume = {13}, number = {23}, pages = {}, pmid = {39683145}, issn = {2223-7747}, support = {2022SY06//Zhejiang Forestry Science and Technology Project/ ; 2022C02038//"Pioneer" and "Leading Goose" R&amp;D Program of Zhejiang/ ; 2023F1068-4//Zhejiang Provincial Scientific Research Institute Special Project/ ; }, abstract = {Acorus calamus, a perennial emergent herb, is highly valued for its ornamental appeal, water purification ability, and medicinal properties. However, there is a significant contradiction between the rapidly increasing demand for A. calamus and the diminishing wild resources. Understanding its geographical distribution and the influence of global climate change on its geographical distribution is imperative for establishing a theoretical framework for the conservation of natural resources and the expansion of its cultivation. In this study, 266 distribution records of A. calamus and 18 selected key environmental factors were utilized to construct an optimal MaxEnt model via the ENMeval package. We simulated the potential geographical distributions under current conditions and under three different climate scenarios (SSP126, SSP370, and SSP585) in the 2050s, 2070s, and 2090s. Additionally, we employed the jackknife method and response curves to identify the environmental factors with the greatest influence on the distribution of A. calamus, and their response intervals. The results indicate that the regularization multiplier (RM) of 3.5 and the feature combinations (FC) of linear (L), quadratic (Q), hinge (H), and product (P) are the optimal model parameter combinations. With these parameters, the model predictions are highly accurate, and the consistency of the results is significant. The dominant environmental factors and their thresholds affecting the distribution of A. calamus are the precipitation of the wettest month (≥109.87 mm), human footprint (≥5.39), annual precipitation (≥388.56 mm), and mean diurnal range (≤12.83 °C). The primary land use types include rivers and channels, reservoirs and ponds, lakes, urban areas, marshes, other constructed lands, rice fields, forested areas, and shrublands. Under current climate conditions, the suitable geographical distribution of A. calamus in China is clearly located east of the 400 mm precipitation line, with high- and low-suitability areas covering 121.12 × 10[4] km[2], and 164.20 × 10[4] km[2], respectively. Under future climate conditions, both high- and low- suitability areas are projected to increase significantly, whereas unsuitable areas are expected to decrease, with the centroid of each suitability zone shifting northward. This study provides a theoretical foundation for sustainable utilization, future production planning, and the development of conservation strategies for wild germplasm resources of A. calamus.}, }
@article {pmid39683140, year = {2024}, author = {Abubakar, I and Pantović, JP and Šinžar-Sekulić, JB and Sabovljević, MS}, title = {Modeling the Distribution of the Rare and Red-Listed Halophytic Moss Species Entosthodon hungaricus Under Various Climate Change Scenarios in Serbia.}, journal = {Plants (Basel, Switzerland)}, volume = {13}, number = {23}, pages = {}, pmid = {39683140}, issn = {2223-7747}, abstract = {Entosthodon hungaricus is a rare moss species of the salty grasslands in Serbia. It is threatened with extinction due to habitat destruction and loss, although it reproduces sexually. In this study, we tested different models predicting its distribution under several climate scenarios over the next 8 decades. All models tested indicated a reduction in range to varying extents. Due to the specific substrate type as well as the predicted loss owing to the climate change, shifting is not an option for the survival of this species; and, therefore, it deserves special attention for its conservation and management.}, }
@article {pmid39683139, year = {2024}, author = {Matsumura, M and Watanabe, Y and Tada, H and Murai, K}, title = {Cytoplasm of the Wild Species Aegilops mutica Reduces VRN1 Gene Expression in Early Growth of Cultivated Wheat: Prospects for Using Alloplasmic Lines to Breed Varieties Adapted to Global Warming.}, journal = {Plants (Basel, Switzerland)}, volume = {13}, number = {23}, pages = {}, pmid = {39683139}, issn = {2223-7747}, support = {23K05171//Japan Society for the Promotion of Science/ ; }, abstract = {In a warm winter due to climate warming, it is necessary to suppress early flowering of autumn-sown wheat plants. Here, we propose the use of cytoplasmic genome effects for this purpose. Alloplasmic lines, or cytoplasmic substitution lines, of bread wheat (Triticum aestivum) have cytoplasm from a related wild Aegilops species through recurrent backcrossing and exhibit altered characteristics compared with the euplasmic lines from which they are derived. Thus, alloplasmic lines with Aegilops mutica cytoplasm show delayed flowering compared with lines carrying normal cytoplasm. In the wheat flowering pathway, VERNALIZATION 1 (VRN1) encodes an APETALA1/FRUITFULL-like MADS box transcription factor that plays a central role in the activation of florigen genes, which induce floral meristems in the shoot apex. Here, we compared expression of VRN1 alleles in alloplasmic and euplasmic lines after vernalization. We found that alloplasmic wheat showed a lower level of VRN1 expression after vernalization compared with euplasmic wheat. Thus, nuclear-cytoplasm interactions affect the expression levels of the nuclear VRN1 gene; these interactions might occur through the pathway termed retrograde signaling. In warm winters, autumn-sown wheat cultivars with spring habit can pass through the reproductive growth phase in very early spring, resulting in a decreased tiller/ear number and reduced yield performance. Here, we present data showing that an alloplasmic line of 'Fukusayaka' can avoid the decrease in tiller/ear numbers during warm winters, suggesting that this alloplasmic line may be useful for development of varieties adapted to global warming.}, }
@article {pmid39683133, year = {2024}, author = {Li, S and Gao, J and Guo, P and Zhang, G and Ren, Y and Lu, Q and Bai, Q and Lu, J}, title = {Spatio-Temporal Heterogeneity of Ecological Quality in a Typical Dryland of Northern China Driven by Climate Change and Human Activities.}, journal = {Plants (Basel, Switzerland)}, volume = {13}, number = {23}, pages = {}, pmid = {39683133}, issn = {2223-7747}, support = {2022YFF130320203//The Sub-project of the National Key Research and Development Program of China/ ; 2022EEDSKJZDZX020-3//The Science and Technology Major Special Project of Erdos/ ; }, abstract = {With the intensification of climate change and anthropogenic impacts, the ecological environment in drylands faces serious challenges, underscoring the necessity for regionally adapted ecological quality evaluation. This study evaluates the suitability of the original Remote Sensing Ecological Index (oRSEI), modified RSEI (mRSEI), and adapted RSEI (aRSEI) in a typical dryland region of northern China. Spatio-temporal changes in ecological quality from 2000 to 2022 were analyzed using Theil-Sen median trend analysis, the Mann-Kendall test, and the Hurst exponent. Multiple regression residual analysis quantified the relative contributions of climate change and human activities to ecological quality changes. Results showed that (1) the aRSEI was the most suitable index for the study area; (2) observed changes exhibited significant spatial heterogeneity, with improvements generally in the inner areas of the Yellow River and declines in the outer areas; and (3) changes in ecological quality were primarily driven by climate change and human activities, with human activities dominating from 2000 to 2011 and the influence of climate change increasing from 2012 to 2022. This study compares the efficacy of RSEIs in evaluating dryland ecological quality, identifies spatio-temporal change patterns, and elucidates driving mechanisms, offering scientific evidence and policy recommendations for targeted conservation and restoration measures to address future changes in dryland regions.}, }
@article {pmid39681731, year = {2024}, author = {Jauch, AS and Ach, T}, title = {[Climate change as a factor in the development of retinal diseases: a critical review].}, journal = {Die Ophthalmologie}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, pmid = {39681731}, issn = {2731-7218}, abstract = {The climate change has multiple effects on health. The eyes are not exempt from these effects and components of climate change, such as the temperature, UV radiation or air pollution that can have a relevant impact on retinal pathologies can be worked out. The alterations to the retina include UV light-induced retinal damage, age-related macular degeneration (AMD), choroidal melanoma, diabetic retinopathy, retinal detachment and vascular occlusion. Overall, there is an urgent need for prospective multicenter studies to be able to further analyze the specific impact of components of climate change on the retina.}, }
@article {pmid39680617, year = {2024}, author = {Jayakumar, JM and Martinez-Urtaza, J and Brumfield, KD and Jutla, AS and Colwell, RR and Cordero, OX and Almagro-Moreno, S}, title = {Climate change and Vibrio vulnificus dynamics: A blueprint for infectious diseases.}, journal = {PLoS pathogens}, volume = {20}, number = {12}, pages = {e1012767}, pmid = {39680617}, issn = {1553-7374}, mesh = {*Vibrio vulnificus/pathogenicity ; *Climate Change ; Humans ; *Vibrio Infections/transmission/microbiology/epidemiology ; Animals ; Disease Outbreaks ; Communicable Diseases/transmission/epidemiology/microbiology ; }, abstract = {Climate change is having increasingly profound effects on human health, notably those associated with the occurrence, distribution, and transmission of infectious diseases. The number of disparate ecological parameters and pathogens affected by climate change are vast and expansive. Disentangling the complex relationship between these variables is critical for the development of effective countermeasures against its effects. The pathogen Vibrio vulnificus, a naturally occurring aquatic bacterium that causes fulminant septicemia, represents a quintessential climate-sensitive organism. In this review, we use V. vulnificus as a model organism to elucidate the intricate network of interactions between climatic factors and pathogens, with the objective of identifying common patterns by which climate change is affecting their disease burden. Recent findings indicate that in regions native to V. vulnificus or related pathogens, climate-driven natural disasters are the chief contributors to their disease outbreaks. Concurrently, climate change is increasing the environmental suitability of areas non-endemic to their diseases, promoting a surge in their natural populations and transmission dynamics, thus elevating the risk of new outbreaks. We highlight potential risk factors and climatic drivers aggravating the threat of V. vulnificus transmission under both scenarios and propose potential measures for mitigating its impact. By defining the mechanisms by which climate change influences V. vulnificus disease burden, we aim to shed light on the transmission dynamics of related disease-causing agents, thereby laying the groundwork for early warning systems and broadly applicable control measures.}, }
@article {pmid39680536, year = {2024}, author = {Wang, X and Zhu, J and Pan, P}, title = {Spatiotemporal dynamics of grassland aboveground biomass in northern China and the alpine region: Impacts of climate change and human activities.}, journal = {PloS one}, volume = {19}, number = {12}, pages = {e0315329}, pmid = {39680536}, issn = {1932-6203}, mesh = {*Grassland ; *Biomass ; China ; *Climate Change ; Humans ; Human Activities ; Seasons ; Spatio-Temporal Analysis ; Temperature ; }, abstract = {Grassland plays a crucial role in the global cycles of matter, energy, water and, climate regulation. Biomass serves as one of the fundamental indicators for evaluating the ecological status of grassland. This study utilized the Carnegie-Ames-Stanford Approach (CASA) model to estimate Net Primary Productivity (NPP) from meteorological data and the Global Inventory Monitoring and Modeling System (GIMMS) Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) remote sensing data for northern China's temperate and alpine grasslands from 1981 to 2015. NPP was subsequently converted into aboveground biomass (AGB). The dynamic changes in grassland AGB were analyzed, and the influence of climate change was examined. The results indicate strong agreement between AGB estimations from the CASA model and Gill method based on field-measured AGB, confirming the model's reliability for these regions. The dynamic changes in AGB exhibited a significant increasing trend of 1.31 g/m2. Grazing intensity (GI), soil moisture, and mean annual precipitation are identified as key factors influencing changes in grassland AGB. Our findings indicate that precipitation and soil moisture are the primary drivers of AGB accumulation during the growing season (spring, summer, and autumn), while temperature plays a critical role in supporting biomass accumulation during winter. Higher temperatures in winter contributes to increased AGB in the following spring, particularly in desert steppe and alpine meadow ecosystems. These insights highlight the complex interaction between climate factors and human activities in shaping grassland productivity across different seasons.}, }
@article {pmid39680132, year = {2024}, author = {Garzone, D and Templin, S and Finger, RP}, title = {[From ozone depletion to the lens: effects of climate change on cataract progression].}, journal = {Die Ophthalmologie}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, pmid = {39680132}, issn = {2731-7218}, abstract = {The incidence of cataract is expected to increase, primarily due to an aging population. However, human-induced environmental changes may also contribute. In this narrative review, we explore the connection between climate change, the depletion of the ozone layer, and modifiable risk factors for cataract development such as UV light exposure and pollution-related factors. Finally, we discuss preventative measures at both the individual and the societal level, including strategies to improve cataract care and reduce the carbon footprint of cataract surgery.}, }
@article {pmid39679384, year = {2024}, author = {Khosravi, M and Mojtabaeian, SM and Sarvestani, MA}, title = {A Systematic Review on the Outcomes of Climate Change in the Middle-Eastern Countries: The Catastrophes of Yemen and Syria.}, journal = {Environmental health insights}, volume = {18}, number = {}, pages = {11786302241302270}, pmid = {39679384}, issn = {1178-6302}, abstract = {The Middle East is facing serious climate change challenges, rendering it as one of the most affected regions worldwide. This paper aimed to investigate the outcomes of climate change in the Middle East. In 2024, a qualitative study was conducted employing a methodology that integrated systematic review for data collection and thematic analysis for data analysis. Such integration of the approaches provided valuable insights into the findings within the literature in a comprehensive and categorized format. PubMed, Scopus, ProQuest, and the Cochrane Database of Systematic Reviews were searched for relevant studies published between 2000 and 2024. The quality of these studies was assessed using the AACODS (Accuracy, Coverage, Objectivity, Date, Significance) checklist. The data extracted from the included studies underwent a thematic analysis utilizing Braun and Clarke's methodology. After completing the screening process, a total of 93 papers were deemed suitable for inclusion in the study. The quality assessment of these selected studies demonstrated a notably high standard, particularly in terms of authority, accuracy, coverage, objectivity, and significance. Moreover, minimal levels of bias were observed within the included studies. Subsequent thematic analysis of the findings from the systematic review identified 6 overarching themes: "Human Health Outcomes," "Animal Health Outcomes," "Plant Health Outcomes," "Ecological Outcomes," "Economic Outcomes," and "Political Outcomes." The study revealed ecological outcomes as the most prevalent consequences of climate change in the Middle East, including alterations in habitat distribution, temperature increase, water scarcity, and more. The outcomes seemed to be interconnected, exacerbating each other. Yemen and Syria had faced severe consequences, leading to political unrest and humanitarian crises in which Yemen ranking among the most water-stressed nations globally, while Syria contending with millions of displaced individuals living in dire conditions.}, }
@article {pmid39678153, year = {2024}, author = {Liang, Y and Gillett, NP and Monahan, AH}, title = {Accounting for Pacific climate variability increases projected global warming.}, journal = {Nature climate change}, volume = {14}, number = {6}, pages = {608-614}, pmid = {39678153}, issn = {1758-678X}, abstract = {Observational constraint methods based on the relationship between the past global warming trend and projected warming across climate models were used to reduce uncertainties in projected warming by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Internal climate variability in the eastern tropical Pacific associated with the so-called pattern effect weakens this relationship and has reduced the observed warming trend over recent decades. Here we show that regressing out this variability before applying the observed global mean warming trend as a constraint results in higher and narrower twenty-first century warming ranges than other methods. Whereas the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change assessed that warming is unlikely to exceed 2 °C under a low-emissions scenario, our results indicate that warming is likely to exceed 2 °C under the same scenario, and hence, limiting global warming to well below 2 °C will be harder than previously anticipated. However, the reduced uncertainties in these projections could benefit adaptation planning.}, }
@article {pmid39677918, year = {2024}, author = {Mockler, BK and Perkins, A and Obremskey, A and Boos, M and Cogen, JD and Tandon, PS and Grow, HM}, title = {Incorporating Climate Change Action Into Pediatric Residency Training Results in Institutional Change.}, journal = {Journal of graduate medical education}, volume = {16}, number = {6 Suppl}, pages = {161-162}, pmid = {39677918}, issn = {1949-8357}, }
@article {pmid39677917, year = {2024}, author = {Philipsborn, R and McShane, M and Marwah, H and Cogen, J and Barnes, M and Osta, A and Grow, HM}, title = {Proposing Standards for Pediatricians on Climate Change and Health: Leveraging the Entrustable Professional Activity Framework.}, journal = {Journal of graduate medical education}, volume = {16}, number = {6 Suppl}, pages = {159-160}, pmid = {39677917}, issn = {1949-8357}, }
@article {pmid39677915, year = {2024}, author = {McShane, M and Kumar, S and Zuniga, L}, title = {Implementing and Assessing Climate Change Education in a Pediatrics Residency Curriculum.}, journal = {Journal of graduate medical education}, volume = {16}, number = {6 Suppl}, pages = {92-98}, pmid = {39677915}, issn = {1949-8357}, mesh = {*Internship and Residency ; Humans ; *Climate Change ; *Curriculum ; *Pediatrics/education ; *Education, Medical, Graduate ; Surveys and Questionnaires ; Health Knowledge, Attitudes, Practice ; }, abstract = {Background For physicians to effectively combat the growing health crisis that is climate change, they should begin learning during medical training about its health implications. However, there is little data on residents' knowledge of the climate crisis, and even less data regarding the effectiveness and acceptability of climate change education in graduate medical training programs. Objective To incorporate a new educational session on the health implications of climate change into a residency curriculum and evaluate the acceptability of the session and its effects on residents' knowledge, attitudes, and perceptions of the topic. Methods In July 2021, a 90-minute, interactive, small-group format educational session on the health implications of climate change was incorporated into the first-year curriculum of a pediatric residency program. From July 2021 through June 2023, resident participants completed pre- and post-session surveys that assessed their knowledge, attitudes, and perceptions regarding health implications of climate change. Likert scale data were analyzed using Wilcoxon signed-rank tests. Results Of the 109 residents scheduled to participate, 50 (46%) completed both the pre- and post-session surveys. Session participation increased residents' self-reported knowledge of how climate change impacts health and how physicians can act as climate advocates. Ninety-eight percent of all post-session respondents (58 of 59) agreed that they would recommend the session to other residents. With 3 facilitators, the monthly session required ≤4 hours of preparation and ≤12 hours of direct teaching time per facilitator each academic year. Conclusions A single educational session improved residents' self-reported knowledge of the health implications of climate change and was well-received by participants.}, }
@article {pmid39677914, year = {2024}, author = {Robohm, JS and Shih, G and Stenger, R}, title = {Climate Change Curriculum in a Network of US Family Medicine Residency Programs.}, journal = {Journal of graduate medical education}, volume = {16}, number = {6 Suppl}, pages = {78-85}, pmid = {39677914}, issn = {1949-8357}, mesh = {*Internship and Residency ; *Family Practice/education ; Humans ; *Curriculum ; *Climate Change ; Surveys and Questionnaires ; *Education, Medical, Graduate ; United States ; }, abstract = {Background Physicians require climate-related training, but not enough is known about actual or desired training at the graduate medical education level. Objective To quantify the climate curriculum provided within a network of family medicine residency programs in the Northwestern United States, to assess barriers to adoption of climate curricula, and to identify preferred climate-related content, delivery methods, and program actions. Methods In fall 2021, residents and faculty in a family medicine residency network responded to a 25-item, anonymous, online survey about climate-related training within their programs. Likert scales were used to assess the extent of current and desired climate curricula in respondent programs, and a paired samples t test was used to compare them. Drop-down menus and frequencies were used to identify top barriers to integration of a climate curriculum, and preferred curricular content, delivery methods, and program actions. Results Responses were received from 19.3% (246 of 1275) of potential respondents. Nearly ninety percent (215 of 240) reported little or no climate content in their programs. Respondents desired significantly more climate-related training (t[237]=18.17; P<.001; Cohen's d=1.18) but identified several barriers, including insufficient time/competing curricular priorities (80.7%, 192 of 238), concern about the political/controversial nature of the topic (27.3%, 65 of 238), and perceived irrelevance (10.9%, 26 of 238). More respondents selected integration of climate content throughout relevant didactics (62.2%, 145 of 233) than other delivery methods. Over 42% of respondents selected each of the climate-related topics and program actions suggested. Conclusions Despite a number of barriers, most family medicine faculty and residents desire significantly more climate-related content in their training curricula.}, }
@article {pmid39677911, year = {2024}, author = {Khan, A and Berenji, M and Cloeren, M and Solomon, G and Goldman, R}, title = {Climate Change and Health: Occupational and Environmental Medicine at the Frontlines.}, journal = {Journal of graduate medical education}, volume = {16}, number = {6 Suppl}, pages = {49-52}, pmid = {39677911}, issn = {1949-8357}, }
@article {pmid39677909, year = {2024}, author = {Cois, A and Kirkpatrick, S and Herrin, R}, title = {Climate Change Curricula in US Graduate Medical Education: A Scoping Review.}, journal = {Journal of graduate medical education}, volume = {16}, number = {6 Suppl}, pages = {69-77}, pmid = {39677909}, issn = {1949-8357}, mesh = {Humans ; *Curriculum ; United States ; *Climate Change ; *Education, Medical, Graduate ; Internship and Residency ; }, abstract = {Background Climate change threatens humanity's health and well-being. While climate change topics have been increasingly incorporated into undergraduate medical education, it is unclear to what extent they have been incorporated into graduate medical education (GME) curricula in the United States. Objective To examine how climate change has been incorporated into GME curricula in the United States. Methods We conducted a scoping review of published literature from January 2013 through November 2023. PubMed and Scopus were searched, with articles assessed by 3 reviewers in a blinded fashion. Resources were included if they described how climate change is incorporated into GME curricula in the United States, and if they discussed topics such as disaster medicine, mass casualty events, environmental medicine, public health, health policy, wilderness medicine, quality improvement, and sustainability. Articles were analyzed using descriptive numerical analysis and qualitative assessment to identify article characteristics and themes. Results The inclusion criteria generated 17 articles that examined climate change incorporation into GME curricula and curriculum interventions covering topics used for inclusion. The most common type of article (5 of 17, 29%) employed surveys of program directors on the inclusion of climate-related topics. Conclusions Published accounts of climate-related topics in US GME program curricula are few. More content is found in topics related to emergency medicine. Curricula frameworks have been proposed for pediatric and internal medicine residency programs, but we know little about their efficacy. Future scholarship should fill these gaps to educate learners to improve health care sustainability and resiliency.}, }
@article {pmid39677908, year = {2024}, author = {Yeo, A and Lui, JK}, title = {The Need to Emphasize Inhaler Education in Residency and Fellowship Training in the Era of Climate Change.}, journal = {Journal of graduate medical education}, volume = {16}, number = {6 Suppl}, pages = {19-21}, pmid = {39677908}, issn = {1949-8357}, }
@article {pmid39677907, year = {2024}, author = {Moya-Smith, T and Gordon, J and Radejko, T and Weinstock, R}, title = {Planetary Health and Climate Change Committee: A Resident-Led Initiative for Education, Advocacy, and Action.}, journal = {Journal of graduate medical education}, volume = {16}, number = {6 Suppl}, pages = {45-48}, pmid = {39677907}, issn = {1949-8357}, }
@article {pmid39677904, year = {2024}, author = {Nwanaji-Enwerem, JC and Ayankola, OJ and Avakame, EF}, title = {Assessing Physician Climate Change Competency via Medical Licensing and Board Examinations: Lessons From Integrating Ultrasound Topics in Emergency Medicine.}, journal = {Journal of graduate medical education}, volume = {16}, number = {6 Suppl}, pages = {22-24}, pmid = {39677904}, issn = {1949-8357}, }
@article {pmid39677902, year = {2024}, author = {Knox, K and Getzin, A and Oliver, KS and Gillet, V and Hanus, K and Simpson, D}, title = {A "Climate +1" Approach to Teach Resident Physicians and Faculty the Effects of Climate Change on Patient Health.}, journal = {Journal of graduate medical education}, volume = {16}, number = {6 Suppl}, pages = {152-153}, doi = {10.4300/JGME-D-24-00047.1}, pmid = {39677902}, issn = {1949-8357}, }
@article {pmid39677896, year = {2024}, author = {Padgett, CL and Ventre, SJ and Orrange, SM}, title = {Development and Implementation of a Climate Change and Health Curriculum Into Pediatric Residency Education.}, journal = {Journal of graduate medical education}, volume = {16}, number = {6 Suppl}, pages = {125-128}, pmid = {39677896}, issn = {1949-8357}, mesh = {*Internship and Residency ; Humans ; *Curriculum ; *Pediatrics/education ; *Climate Change ; Education, Medical, Graduate ; }, abstract = {Background There is an increasing body of evidence demonstrating the impacts of climate change on health. Physicians recognize the significance but feel unprepared to address it. Despite a call to action from prominent medical organizations, climate change and health (CCH) education has remained sparse. Objective To describe the development and feasibility of a formal climate change curriculum tailored to pediatric residency programs and to assess residents' pre-intervention knowledge and self-reported comfort with this topic. Methods We created a longitudinal, single-institution CCH curriculum for pediatric and combined internal medicine-pediatrics residents. Implementation and evaluation began in May 2023 and is ongoing. Several educational strategies are utilized, and assessment tools include knowledge- and attitudes-based assessments, case-based exercises, reflective writing, grading rubrics, and patient encounter assessments. Feasibility was tracked. Results Sixty-one residents were eligible for participation at the beginning of the study. Pre-intervention knowledge-based assessments were completed by 14 of the 61 residents (23.0%), and attitude-based questions were completed by 12 residents (19.7%). Baseline knowledge assessment showed varied proficiency in CCH topics, and attitudes data showed that while most respondents felt CCH education was important (11 of 12, 91.7%), no respondents felt "very comfortable" discussing these topics with patients. In the first year of the curriculum, after residents applied knowledge in a small-group, case-based exercise, most groups were graded as "not yet competent" in all categories utilizing a rubric. Conclusions This study demonstrates that a CCH curriculum can be feasibly designed and implemented.}, }
@article {pmid39677895, year = {2024}, author = {Dresser, C and Wiskel, T and Giudice, C and Humphrey, K and Storr, L and Balsari, S}, title = {A Graduate Medical Education Fellowship in Climate Change and Human Health: Experience and Outcomes From the First 5 Years.}, journal = {Journal of graduate medical education}, volume = {16}, number = {6 Suppl}, pages = {129-134}, pmid = {39677895}, issn = {1949-8357}, mesh = {Humans ; *Fellowships and Scholarships ; *Climate Change ; *Education, Medical, Graduate ; United States ; Emergency Medicine/education ; Internship and Residency ; }, abstract = {Background Climate change is affecting health and health care, but most physicians lack formal training on climate change. There is a need for graduate medical education (GME) programs that prepare physician leaders to address its health impacts. Objective To describe the development and iterative piloting of a GME fellowship in climate change and health and to assess fellows' academic output and public engagement before and after fellowship matriculation. Methods A GME training program was developed and implemented at an emergency medicine department in a US teaching hospital in collaboration with affiliated academic centers. Participants consisted of emergency physicians from the United States and abroad. Program duration and format were adjusted to meet individual career goals. Outcomes assessed include program completion, postgraduation professional roles, and academic outputs and public engagement before and after fellowship matriculation (2019-2023), compared via paired t tests. Results Five fellows have matriculated; 2 have graduated, while 3 remain in training. Costs and in-kind support include salaries, faculty time, research support, travel to conferences, and tuition for a public health degree. Fellows averaged 0.26 outputs per month before matriculation (95% CI 0.01-0.51) and 2.13 outputs per month following matriculation (95% CI 0.77-3.50); this difference was significant via 2-tailed t test (alpha=.05, P=.01). Subanalyses of academic output and public engagement reveal similar increases. Following matriculation, 186 of 191 (97.4%) of outputs were related to climate change. Conclusions For the 5 fellows that have enrolled in this GME climate change fellowship, academic and public engagement output rates increased following fellowship matriculation.}, }
@article {pmid39677889, year = {2024}, author = {Moon, C and Braganza, S and Bathory, E}, title = {Incorporating Climate Change Education Into Residency: A Focus on Community Risks and Resources.}, journal = {Journal of graduate medical education}, volume = {16}, number = {6 Suppl}, pages = {86-91}, pmid = {39677889}, issn = {1949-8357}, mesh = {Humans ; *Internship and Residency ; *Climate Change ; *Education, Medical, Graduate ; *Curriculum ; Surveys and Questionnaires ; Family Practice/education ; Male ; Female ; Pediatrics/education ; Academic Medical Centers ; }, abstract = {BACKGROUND: Graduate medical education (GME) focused on climate change (CC) health effects is essential. However, few CC education evaluations exist to guide residency programs looking to implement CC content.<br><br>OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the effect of an education session on residents' self-reported knowledge of CC health effects and confidence utilizing local CC anticipatory guidance and community resources with patients.<br><br>METHODS: A CC session was integrated into the pediatric, family medicine, and social medicine curricula at an urban academic medical center in 2023. A convenience sample of residents participated in 1 of 4 nonrandomized case-based or lecture-based sessions. Pre- and post-session 5-question Likert-scale surveys were used for assessment and analyzed using paired t tests.<br><br>RESULTS: Sixty-eight of 108 eligible residents completed the surveys (28 case-based, 40 lecture-based, 63% response rate). Residents' understanding and confidence to engage with patients on CC health effects after the educational session improved (Q1 mean difference 1.3, t 67=9.85, 95% CI 1.04-1.57, P<.001; Q2 1.5, t 67=9.98, 95% CI 1.20-1.82, P<.001; Q3 1.8, t 67=12.84, 95% QI 1.54-2.11, P<.001; Q4 2.1, t 67=16.25, 95% CI 1.84-2.36, P<.001; Q5 2.1, t 67=16.28, 95% CI 1.86-2.38, P<.001).<br><br>CONCLUSIONS: Resident self-reported understanding of the health effects of CC and confidence utilizing local CC anticipatory guidance and resources with patients increased after a CC education session.}, }
@article {pmid39677455, year = {2024}, author = {Zaninotto, P and Wu, YT and Prina, M}, title = {ClimateMind50+ a comprehensive short questionnaire to measures climate change knowledge, worries, preparedness, behaviours, and involvement of adults aged 50 and over.}, journal = {medRxiv : the preprint server for health sciences}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, doi = {10.1101/2024.12.02.24318302}, pmid = {39677455}, abstract = {The ClimateMind50+ questionnaire is a tailored instrument to assess the knowledge, concerns, preparedness, behaviours, and involvement of individuals aged 50 and above. Older adults are particularly vulnerable to climate-related hazards such as extreme heat, flooding, and severe storms, yet their perspectives and contributions to climate resilience remain underrepresented in research. The systematic development of the ClimateMind50+ involved rigorous cognitive testing with diverse participants, ensuring clarity, accessibility, and relevance. The tool is designed for versatility in administration-face-to-face, via telephone, or self-completion-facilitating its integration across various research contexts. Cognitive testing highlighted the need for clear wording, simplified response scales, and age-appropriate framing of questions. For instance, questions on climate preparedness and sustainable practices were refined to capture lifetime actions ("ever") rather than limited timeframes, enhancing their relevance for older respondents. Additionally, the questionnaire effectively explores older adults' engagement in climate actions, from individual behavioural changes to advocacy and activism, challenging stereotypes of passivity in this demographic. By providing nuanced insights into the experiences of older adults and their potential contributions to climate mitigation and adaptation, the ClimateMind50+ offers a robust foundation for climate change research among older people. Its deployment can support policymaking and community initiatives aimed at reducing climate risks while promoting sustainable and healthy aging practices. This innovative tool underscores the importance of amplifying the voices of older adults in climate discourse and harnessing their capacities for fostering resilience.}, }
@article {pmid39676232, year = {2024}, author = {Flickinger, HD and Dukes, JS}, title = {A Review of Theory: Comparing Invasion Ecology and Climate Change-Induced Range Shifting.}, journal = {Global change biology}, volume = {30}, number = {12}, pages = {e17612}, doi = {10.1111/gcb.17612}, pmid = {39676232}, issn = {1365-2486}, mesh = {*Climate Change ; *Introduced Species ; Ecosystem ; Animals ; Animal Distribution ; Ecology ; }, abstract = {Human actions have led to large-scale shifts in the distributions of species, which have accelerated over recent decades. Two contributing factors include the introduction of non-native species to new regions, and more recently, the shift of species into new ranges to track a human-altered climate. While the context of these species redistributions is different, we argue here that scientists studying the effects of either invasion or range shifting are interested in the same underlying mechanistic questions: (1) What traits make a species likely to survive in a new location? and (2) Which recipient ecosystems are likely to support a newly arrived species? A survey of the theoretical literature surrounding these topics demonstrates the usefulness of this comparison and highlights key differences between range shifting and invasion in factors including genetic diversity, climatic tolerance, local adaptation, and coevolutionary history. This review does not support the blanket application of an invasion framework to climate change-induced range shifts. However, we suggest the use of modified invasion theories, experimental designs, and risk assessments could aid in predicting outcomes and prioritizing management resources for climate-threatened species.}, }
@article {pmid39675732, year = {2024}, author = {Lopes, MC}, title = {Climate change and its impact on children and adolescents sleep.}, journal = {Jornal de pediatria}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, doi = {10.1016/j.jped.2024.10.009}, pmid = {39675732}, issn = {1678-4782}, abstract = {OBJECTIVE: This review discusses the impact of climate change on sleep, anxiety, and eating in the pediatric population.<br><br>DATA SOURCE: This is a nonsystematic literature review based on a search using PubMed and MeSH terms in titles and abstracts with these keywords: climate change, sleep, greenhouse effect, children, and adolescents.<br><br>DATA SYNTHESIS: Climate change events are associated with human intervention in the ecosystem, having a strong impact on cognitive functions, physical and mental health, as well as subjective well-being, particularly in youth. Climate change is caused by human activity with changes in the composition of the global atmosphere caused by emissions of gases, such as carbon dioxide, which increase the greenhouse effect. This review discusses the impact of climate change on sleep, anxiety, and feeding in the pediatric population.<br><br>CONCLUSIONS: Early detection of vulnerability conditions, along with adaptation strategies is necessary to address climate stressors with a focus on healthy sleep and eco-anxiety. Pediatrics has an important role to play in protecting healthy sleep in children.}, }
@article {pmid39675333, year = {2024}, author = {Marshall, E and Keem, JL and Penman, TD and Di Stefano, J}, title = {Simulating fuel management for protecting regional biodiversity under climate change.}, journal = {Journal of environmental management}, volume = {373}, number = {}, pages = {123731}, doi = {10.1016/j.jenvman.2024.123731}, pmid = {39675333}, issn = {1095-8630}, abstract = {Climate change is resulting in larger, more frequent, and more severe wildfires which have increasingly negative impacts on people and the environment. Under these circumstances, it is critical to determine whether fire management actions can mitigate biodiversity impacts under future fire regimes. However, it is currently unclear how changing climate and management interact to influence the spatial distribution of risks to biodiversity. We used fire simulations to quantify the influence of 13 fuel management strategies on animal biodiversity in the Otways, southeastern Australia, under four alternative climate scenarios. Our management strategies include combinations of prescribed burning, mulching, and strategic fuel breaks modelled in various spatial configurations and frequencies. We assessed the capacity of treatments to reduce risk of fire to animal biodiversity by quantifying changes to extent burnt, wildfire frequency and wildfire severity. All management strategies reduced the average annual area burnt across the landscape, however, there was considerable variability over time and under different climate models. Similarly, spatial shifts in fire frequency and severity in some cases resulted in the shifting of fires away from some areas of high value to animals. There is no one size fits all management strategy for reducing impacts to biodiversity under variable future climates. However, all the strategies tested here reduced median impacts relative to a do-nothing approach for at least some aspects of the fire regime or for animal biodiversity. We highlight the importance of evaluating fire management effectiveness against a range of metrics to ensure multiple objectives are met under the increasingly unknown climate conditions we can expect going forward.}, }
@article {pmid39675324, year = {2024}, author = {Zelli, E and Ellis, J and Pilditch, C and Rowden, AA and Anderson, OF and Geange, SW and Bowden, DA and Stephenson, F}, title = {Identifying climate refugia for vulnerable marine ecosystem indicator taxa under future climate change scenarios.}, journal = {Journal of environmental management}, volume = {373}, number = {}, pages = {122635}, doi = {10.1016/j.jenvman.2024.122635}, pmid = {39675324}, issn = {1095-8630}, abstract = {Vulnerable Marine Ecosystems (VMEs) are recognised as having high ecological significance and susceptibility to disturbances, including climate change. One approach to providing information on the location and biological composition of these ecosystems, especially in difficult-to-reach environments such as the deep sea, is to generate spatial predictions for VME indicator taxa. In this study, the Random Forest algorithm was used to model the spatial distribution of density for 14 deep-water VME indicator taxa under current environmental conditions and future climate change scenarios (SSP2-4.5 and SSP3-7.0) within the New Zealand Territorial Sea and Exclusive Economic Zone (100-1500 m water depth) to evaluate potential changes in the location and distribution of density of these taxa over time. Overall, our species distribution models performed well for all taxa (mean AUC = 0.82; TSS = 0.56; r = 0.40) and predicted a considerable average reduction in density (54%) and habitat extent (61%), by the end of the 21st century under both climate change scenarios. Nevertheless, models identified regions that might serve as internal refugia (approximately 158,000 km[2]), where some taxa are predicted to maintain the high densities predicted for current-day environmental conditions under future climatic conditions, and external refugia (approximately 121,000 km[2]) where taxa were predicted to expand into new locations by the end of the 21st century. Our results represent a significant step forward as they provide predictions of the distribution of taxa densities, rather than just occurrence, under both present and future climatic conditions. Furthermore, these findings carry implications for ecosystem management and spatial planning, suggesting current marine spatial protection measures may not offer adequate protection to VME indicator taxa in the face of climate change. Additionally, activities like bottom trawling, present or future, may jeopardize climate refugia viability. Thus, a comprehensive assessment of cumulative effects on VME indicator taxa is recommended to establish effective protection measures for potential climate refugia, ensuring the continuity of essential ecosystem services.}, }
@article {pmid39674917, year = {2024}, author = {Behrens, G and Skellern, M and McGushin, A and Kelly, P and Kearney, THG}, title = {Making climate change a national health priority: Australia's first National Health and Climate Strategy.}, journal = {The Medical journal of Australia}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, doi = {10.5694/mja2.52552}, pmid = {39674917}, issn = {1326-5377}, }
@article {pmid39674206, year = {2024}, author = {Zhu, Z and Zhang, T and Benmarhnia, T and Chen, X and Wang, H and Wulayin, M and Knibbs, LD and Yang, S and Xu, L and Huang, C and Wang, Q}, title = {Estimating the burden of temperature-related low birthweight attributable to anthropogenic climate change in low-income and middle-income countries: a retrospective, multicentre, epidemiological study.}, journal = {The Lancet. Planetary health}, volume = {8}, number = {12}, pages = {e997-e1009}, doi = {10.1016/S2542-5196(24)00242-0}, pmid = {39674206}, issn = {2542-5196}, mesh = {*Climate Change ; Humans ; *Infant, Low Birth Weight ; Female ; Pregnancy ; *Developing Countries/statistics &amp; numerical data ; Retrospective Studies ; Infant, Newborn ; Hot Temperature/adverse effects ; Cold Temperature/adverse effects ; Temperature ; }, abstract = {BACKGROUND: Pregnant individuals are particularly susceptible to non-optimal temperatures due to their physiological status. Moreover, pregnancy is a crucial period for programming fetal health. Quantifying the impact of non-optimal temperature exposure and the contribution of anthropogenic climate change is crucial for mitigating and adapting to climate-related health risks. However, this has not been thoroughly studied in pregnant individuals in low-income and middle-income countries (LMICs).<br><br>METHODS: Using data from 511&#x2008;449 births across 31 LMICs from 1990 to 2018, we linked climate simulations (with and without anthropogenic forcing) to spatiotemporally resolved temperature data and birthweight records. We assessed the association between heat and cold exposure (ie, >90th and <10th percentile of temperature by region) during pregnancy and birthweight across different regions. We then used temperature simulations from both historically forced and natural-only forced climate models to estimate changes in exposure due to anthropogenic climate change and to quantify the burden of temperature-related low birthweight (ie, a birthweight <2500 g) attributable to anthropogenic climate change.<br><br>FINDINGS: Heat exposure during pregnancy, compared with the optimal temperature range, was associated with an increased risk of low birthweight in several regions: southern Asia (odds ratio 1&#xb7;41, 95% CI 1&#xb7;34-1&#xb7;48), western Africa (1&#xb7;12, 1&#xb7;02-1&#xb7;24), and eastern Africa (1&#xb7;40, 1&#xb7;27-1&#xb7;55). Cold exposure increased the risk of low birthweight in central Africa (1&#xb7;31, 1&#xb7;10-1&#xb7;56), southern Africa (1&#xb7;18, 1&#xb7;02-1&#xb7;36), and eastern Africa (1&#xb7;14, 1&#xb7;02-1&#xb7;26). Anthropogenic climate change contributed to approximately 59&#xb7;2% (95% CI 16&#xb7;6-94&#xb7;3), 89&#xb7;0% (51&#xb7;0-100&#xb7;0), and 77&#xb7;3% (27&#xb7;0-100&#xb7;0) of heat-related low birthweight cases in southern Asia, western Africa, and eastern Africa, respectively. Conversely, in regions where cold exposure was predominant, anthropogenic climate change reduced the burden of low birthweight.<br><br>INTERPRETATION: Our study provides quantitative estimates of the contribution of anthropogenic climate change to the low birthweight burden in LMICs. These findings can inform strategies for climate mitigation and adaptation in LMICs and help reduce global health inequalities.<br><br>FUNDING: National Natural Science Foundation of China.}, }
@article {pmid39674199, year = {2024}, author = {van Bavel, B and Berrang-Ford, L and Moon, K and Gudda, F and Thornton, AJ and Robinson, RFS and King, R}, title = {Intersections between climate change and antimicrobial resistance: a systematic scoping review.}, journal = {The Lancet. Planetary health}, volume = {8}, number = {12}, pages = {e1118-e1128}, doi = {10.1016/S2542-5196(24)00273-0}, pmid = {39674199}, issn = {2542-5196}, mesh = {*Climate Change ; Humans ; Drug Resistance, Microbial ; Anti-Bacterial Agents/pharmacology ; Animals ; Drug Resistance, Bacterial ; }, abstract = {Climate change and antimicrobial resistance (AMR) present crucial challenges for the health and wellbeing of people, animals, plants, and ecosystems worldwide, yet the two are largely treated as separate and unrelated challenges. The aim of this systematic scoping Review is to understand the nature of the growing evidence base linking AMR and climate change and to identify knowledge gaps and areas for further research. We conducted a systematic search of the peer-reviewed literature in Scopus, Web of Science, and PubMed on 27 June, 2022. Our search strategy identified and screened 1687 unique results. Data were extracted and analysed from 574 records meeting our inclusion criteria. 222 (39%) of these reviewed articles discussed harmful synergies in which both climate change and AMR exist independently and can interact synergistically, resulting in negative outcomes. Just over a quarter (n=163; 28%) of the literature contained general or broad references to AMR and climate change, whereas a fifth (n=111; 19%) of articles referred to climate change influencing the emergence and evolution of AMR. 12% of articles (n=70) presented positive synergies between approaches aimed at addressing climate change and interventions targeting the management and control of AMR. The remaining literature focused on the shared drivers of AMR and climate change, the trade-offs between climate actions that have unanticipated negative outcomes for AMR (or vice versa), and, finally, the pathways through which AMR can negatively influence climate change. Our findings indicate multiple intersections through which climate change and AMR can and do connect. Research in this area is still nascent, disciplinarily isolated, and only beginning to converge, with few documents primarily focused on the equal intersection of both topics. Greater empirical and evidence-based attention is needed to investigate knowledge gaps related to specific climate change hazards and antimicrobial resistant fungi, helminths, protists, and viruses.}, }
@article {pmid39674157, year = {2024}, author = {Boudreault, J and Campagna, C and Lavigne, &#xc9; and Chebana, F}, title = {Projecting the overall heat-related health burden and associated economic costs in a climate change context in Quebec, Canada.}, journal = {The Science of the total environment}, volume = {958}, number = {}, pages = {178022}, doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.178022}, pmid = {39674157}, issn = {1879-1026}, abstract = {Extreme heat represents a major health risk for the world's population, that is amplified by climate change. However, the health costs associated with these heat events have only been little studied. To stimulate the implementation of effective interventions against extreme heat, a more comprehensive economic valuation of these health impacts is crucial. In this study, a general framework for assessing historical and projected heat-related health costs is presented and then applied to the province of Quebec (Canada). First, heat-related mortality and morbidity, as well as the number of extreme heatwaves, were computed for a historical (∼2000) and projected (∼2050) period under two shared socioeconomic pathways (SSP). Then, these heat-related numbers were converted into 1) direct healthcare costs, 2) indirect productivity costs and 3) intangible societal costs, using the best available cost information. Results showed that historical heat-related health costs were respectively 15M$, 5M$ and 3.6G$ (in 2019 Canadian dollars) annually for the direct, indirect and intangible components in Quebec, Canada. Under a middle-of-the-road scenario (SSP2-4.5), there was a 3-fold increase in total costs due to climate and population change (10.9G$ annually), while under a pessimistic scenario (SSP5-8.5), the increase was 5-fold (17.4G$). Total costs were mostly driven by intangible impacts, such as loss of life (∼90-95%) and of well-being during heatwaves (∼5-10%). Given that heat-related health costs are already significant, and likely to increase substantially in the future, this study has demonstrated the vital need to reduce its burden now and in the future by adopting more measures to mitigate climate change and adapt to heat.}, }
@article {pmid39673116, year = {2024}, author = {Hosseini, Z and Gholami, M and Bonyadi, Z}, title = {Impact of Climate Change on Human Health.}, journal = {Iranian biomedical journal}, volume = {28}, number = {7}, pages = {78}, pmid = {39673116}, issn = {2008-823X}, mesh = {Humans ; *Climate Change ; }, abstract = {INTRODUCTION: One of the challenges of the 21st century is climate change, a detrimental consequence of industrial growth and urbanization and one of the major environmental concerns of this century. Climate change has influenced various aspects of human life. Therefore, this study aimed to examine the effects of climate change on human health.<br><br>SEARCH STRATEGY: The study reviewed 32 articles between 2011 and 2023. Research was conducted using databases such as Google Scholar and ScienceDirect, employing keywords such as "climate change," "weather changes," "human health," and "disease."<br><br>RESULTS: Studies indicated that climate change and global warming could directly or indirectly cause many health problems. It was estimated that between 2030 and 2050, climate change will result in about 25,000 additional deaths per year due to malnutrition, malaria, diarrhea, and heat stress. Research conducted from 2011 to 2023 showed that climate change can contribute to the emergence or exacerbation of certain diseases and health issues. Among these health problems were changes in certain seasonal diseases, the spread of infectious diseases such as malaria and waterborne illnesses, and issues related to insects. Additionally, cardiovascular diseases, strokes, cholera, asthma, allergies, respiratory diseases, skin cancer, and bladder cancer were of concern. Other health issues included those caused by food and nutrition, heat-related illnesses, emerging fungal infections, heat stress, associated disorders, and complications arising from occupational exposures in hot outdoor environments. Mental health and stress-related disorders were also significant. Recent studies indicated that 37% of deaths associated with heat waves during the warmer months were linked to climate change. Furthermore, there was a notable correlation between climatic parameters and mortality rates from cardiovascular and respiratory diseases, with statistical significance at the 95% and 99% levels.<br><br>CONCLUSION AND DISCUSSION: Our findings revealed that global warming is causing significant climate changes, which can change the pattern of weather-related diseases. Although many factors contribute to the occurrence of diseases, extreme heat, increased sun exposure, and cold nights in regions with adverse weather conditions can lead to a rise in the prevalence and progress of human diseases.}, }
@article {pmid39671486, year = {2024}, author = {Li, J and Dong, S and Zhao, G and Cawood, PA and Johnston, ST and Zhang, J and Xin, Y and Wang, J}, title = {Cretaceous coastal mountain building and potential impacts on climate change in East Asia.}, journal = {Science advances}, volume = {10}, number = {50}, pages = {eads0587}, pmid = {39671486}, issn = {2375-2548}, abstract = {Crustal thickness and elevation variations control mountain building and climate change at convergent margins. As an archetypal Andean-type convergent margin, eastern Asia preserves voluminous magmas ideal for quantifying these processes and their impacts on climate. Here, we use Sr/Y and Ce/Y proxies to show that the crust experienced alternating thickening and thinning during the Late Mesozoic. We identify a noticeably thickened (50 to 55 kilometers) crust associated with tectonic shortening at 120 to 105 million years, corresponding to a >2500-meter-high coastal mountain range. Using climate simulation with the Community Earth System Model, we demonstrate that the mountain uplift changed Asian atmospheric circulation and precipitation patterns, increased inland aridity (~15%), and prompted the eastward desert expansion, contributing substantially to the arid zonal belt across mid- to low-latitude Asia. These findings-compatible with independent geological, geophysical, and climatic observations-have global implications for broadening our understanding of Earth-system interactions in the Cretaceous greenhouse world.}, }
@article {pmid39670664, year = {2024}, author = {Naylor, R and Shaw, E}, title = {Atmospheres of influence: the role of journal editors in shaping early climate change narratives.}, journal = {British journal for the history of science}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {1-20}, doi = {10.1017/S0007087424001304}, pmid = {39670664}, issn = {1474-001X}, support = {Rockefeller Archive Center Research Stipend//Rockefeller Archive Center/ ; Legacies Grant//Royal Meteorological Society/ ; }, abstract = {The role of editorial staff in shaping early climate change narratives has been underexplored and deserves more attention. During the 1970s, the epistemological underpinnings of the production of knowledge on climate change were contested between scientists who favoured computer-based atmospheric simulations and those who were more interested in investigating the long-term history of climatic changes. Although the former group later became predominant in the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change during the 1980s, the latter had a sizable influence over climate discourse during the 1970s. Of these, one of the key popularizers of climate discourse during the 1970s was the British climatologist Hubert Lamb (1913-97). The correspondence between Lamb and journal editors who gatekept and curated different audiences helped craft resonant messages about climate change and its potential effects, and we explore Lamb's interactions with editors of Nature, the UNESCO Courier, The Ecologist and Development Forum in the 1973-4 period. Through understanding how climate change discussion was influenced by editors, we gain an insight into how such narratives had to be adjusted to fit into pre-existing discourses before their importance was more widely established, and how these adjustments helped shape conceptualizations of climate change as a global, human-caused phenomenon and a source of universal threat.}, }
@article {pmid39670274, year = {2024}, author = {Li, X and Wang, Z and Wang, S and Qian, Z}, title = {MaxEnt and Marxan modeling to predict the potential habitat and priority planting areas of Coffea arabica in Yunnan, China under climate change scenario.}, journal = {Frontiers in plant science}, volume = {15}, number = {}, pages = {1471653}, pmid = {39670274}, issn = {1664-462X}, abstract = {INTRODUCTION: Coffea arabica (Arabica coffee) is an important cash crop in Yunnan, China. Ongoing climate change has made coffee production more difficult to sustain, posing challenges for the region's coffee industry. Predictions of the distribution of potentially suitable habitats for Arabica coffee in Yunnan could provide a theoretical basis for the cultivation and rational management of this species.<br><br>METHODS: In this study, the MaxEnt model was used to predict the potential distribution of suitable habitat for Arabica coffee in Yunnan under current and future (2021-2100) climate scenarios (SSP2-4.5, SSP3-7.0, and SSP5-8.5) using 56 distributional records and 17 environmental variables and to analyze the important environmental factors. Marxan model was used to plan the priority planting areas for this species at last.<br><br>RESULTS: The predicted suitable and sub-suitable areas were about 4.21&#xd7;10[4] km[2] and 13.87&#xd7;10[4] km[2], respectively, accounting for 47.15% of the total area of the province. The suitable areas were mainly concentrated in western and southern Yunnan. The minimum temperature of the coldest month, altitude, mean temperature of the wettest quarter, slope, and aluminum saturation were the main environmental variables affecting the distribution of Arabica coffee in Yunnan Province. Changes in habitat suitability for Arabica coffee were most significant and contracted under the SSP3-7.0 climate scenario, while expansion was highest under the SSP5-8.5 climate scenario. Priority areas for Arabica coffee cultivation in Yunnan Province under the 30% and 50% targets were Pu'er, Xishuangbanna, Honghe, Dehong, and Kunming.<br><br>DISCUSSION: Climate, soil, and topography combine to influence the potential geographic distribution of Arabica coffee. Future changes in suitable habitat areas under different climate scenarios should lead to the delineation of coffee-growing areas based on appropriate environmental conditions and active policy measures to address climate change.}, }
@article {pmid39670262, year = {2024}, author = {Liu, M and Liu, X and Song, Y and Hu, Y and Yang, C and Li, J and Jin, S and Gu, K and Yang, Z and Huang, W and Su, J and Wang, L}, title = {Tobacco production under global climate change: combined effects of heat and drought stress and coping strategies.}, journal = {Frontiers in plant science}, volume = {15}, number = {}, pages = {1489993}, pmid = {39670262}, issn = {1664-462X}, abstract = {With the intensification of global climate change, high-temperature and drought stress have emerged as critical environmental stressors affecting tobacco plants' growth, development, and yield. This study provides a comprehensive review of tobacco's physiological and biochemical responses to optimal temperature conditions and limited irrigation across various growth stages. It assesses the effects of these conditions on yield and quality, along with the synergistic interactions and molecular mechanisms associated with these stressors. High-temperature and drought stress induces alterations in both enzymatic and non-enzymatic antioxidant activities, lead to the accumulation of reactive oxygen species (ROS), and promote lipid peroxidation, all of which adversely impact physiological processes such as photosynthetic gas exchange, respiration, and nitrogen metabolism, ultimately resulting in reduced biomass, productivity, and quality. The interaction of these stressors activates novel plant defense mechanisms, contributing to exacerbated synergistic damage. Optimal temperature conditions enhance the activation of heat shock proteins (HSPs) and antioxidant-related genes at the molecular level. At the same time, water stress triggers the expression of genes regulated by both abscisic acid-dependent and independent signaling pathways. This review also discusses contemporary agricultural management strategies, applications of genetic engineering, and biotechnological and molecular breeding methods designed to mitigate adverse agroclimatic responses, focusing on enhancing tobacco production under heat and drought stress conditions.}, }
@article {pmid39669705, year = {2024}, author = {Ross, AG and Connolly, K and Vögele, S and Kuckshinrichs, W}, title = {A macro-level analysis of the socio-economic impacts of climate change driven water scarcity: Incorporating behavioural and resilience aspects.}, journal = {Water research X}, volume = {23}, number = {}, pages = {100223}, pmid = {39669705}, issn = {2589-9147}, abstract = {Recognising the urgent need to address water scarcity resulting from climate change, there is a growing push to enhance the resilience of water (and related) systems. For instance, policymakers are now urging companies to shift from short-term focused strategies towards long-term approaches to effectively manage water scarcity. This paper utilises a custom-built dynamic multisectoral model to assess the socio-economic impacts at a macro-level of temporary water scarcity. The focus of the analysis is to identify the effects that varying levels of investment foresight may have on economic resilience. Specifically, the model incorporates often overlooked factors such as behavioural and resilience aspects. By considering these key elements, a more comprehensive understanding of the system-wide implications of water scarcity on the broader economy is provided. The analysis shows how firms' foresight, or lack thereof, impacts their response to water scarcity and the subsequent impact on the economy. Sector-specific analyses shed light on the potential negative impacts of water scarcity on sectors like agriculture, food, and electricity production and distribution. Yet, the analysis also reveals that certain sectors can benefit from competitiveness effects, which can mitigate the adverse economic implications of water scarcity. However, it should be noted that these sectors may contribute to a catch-up effect on water use. The policy recommendations arising from this research emphasise the promotion of anticipation and preparedness among firms. It is crucial to prioritise resilience-building measures in all sectors, whether they directly rely on water or not.}, }
@article {pmid39667695, year = {2024}, author = {Moreira, FDS and Rodrigues, GD and Morales, DF and Donalisio, MR and Kremer, FS and Krüger, RF}, title = {Effects of climate change on the distribution of Molossus molossus and the potential risk of Orthohantavirus transmission in the Neotropical region.}, journal = {Acta tropica}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {107497}, doi = {10.1016/j.actatropica.2024.107497}, pmid = {39667695}, issn = {1873-6254}, abstract = {Molossus molossus is a widely distributed neotropical bat species in the Americas, often found in urban areas. This study evaluated climate change effects on the potential geographic distribution of M. molossus, a natural host of zoonotic pathogens such as Orthohantavirus, in the Neotropical region. Using ecological niche modeling (ENM), models were generated for current (1970-2000) and future (2070) climate scenarios based on two Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSP2-4.5 and SSP5-8.5) and two Global Circulation Models (MPI-ESM1-2-LR and IPSL-CM6A-LR). Results indicated that in the current scenario, warm and coastal areas of the Neotropics are suitable for M. molossus occurrence. Risk areas for Orthohantavirus transmission were mapped by overlapping the probability of urban expansion with projections of climatic suitability for the bat. For both future scenarios (2070), projections indicate an expansion of suitable climatic areas for M. molossus over urban expansion zones, specifically in Brazil, Paraguay, Peru, Ecuador, Costa Rica, Honduras, El Salvador, Guatemala, Belize, Mexico, the United States, Cuba, Haiti, the Dominican Republic, and Puerto Rico. However, projections also indicate the Lesser Antilles under climate threat, considering that no climatic suitability areas will remain. These findings provide important information for planning surveillance and mitigation actions for zoonotic risks associated with M. molossus, considering climate change impacts on its geographic distribution in the Neotropical region.}, }
@article {pmid39667387, year = {2024}, author = {Gordon-Strachan, GM and Parker, SY and Harewood, HC and Méndez-Lázaro, PA and Saketa, ST and Parchment, KF and Walawender, M and Abdulkadri, AO and Beggs, PJ and Buss, DF and Chodak, RJ and Dasgupta, S and De Santis, O and Guthrie-Dixon, NG and Hassan, S and Kennard, H and Maharaj, SB and Marshall, KG and McFarlane, SR and McKenzie, KS and Moradi-Lakeh, M and Murphy, M and Mycoo, MA and Ng Shiu, R and O'Hare, MB and Oura, CAL and Owfi, F and Owfi, A and Polson, KA and Rabbaniha, M and Robinson, EJZ and Smith, DC and Tabatabaei, M and Tuiasosopo, LL and Romanello, M}, title = {The 2024 small island developing states report of the Lancet Countdown on health and climate change.}, journal = {The Lancet. Global health}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, doi = {10.1016/S2214-109X(24)00421-2}, pmid = {39667387}, issn = {2214-109X}, }
@article {pmid39667158, year = {2024}, author = {Boschetti, T and Segadelli, S and Gori, F and Antolini, G and Bellini, L and Raso, A and Selmo, E and Barbieri, M and Iacumin, P and Guidetti, E and Gargini, A}, title = {A preliminary study on the effects of rainfall-related conditions on chromium increase in ultramafic-hosted springs: A possible climate change concern?.}, journal = {The Science of the total environment}, volume = {958}, number = {}, pages = {177826}, doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.177826}, pmid = {39667158}, issn = {1879-1026}, abstract = {This study investigates the impact of intense rainfall on chromium concentrations in five springs discharging from ultramafic rocks in the Northern Apennines (Italy), which are used for drinking water supply through integration into the local water network. Total chromium concentration increased significantly in response to heavy rain, exceeding the WHO drinking water guideline value (up to 80 μg/L) in one spring and the forthcoming 2036 EU target of 25 μg/L in all the springs. This increase could be attributed to a synergistic combination of factors: i) the reduction of Cr(VI) to Cr(III) by natural organic matter (NOM) in soil and transport as NOM-Cr(III) colloids and/or during the oxidation of magnetite to ferrihydrite in the aquifer; ii) the abundance of detrital ultramafic material in the study area, which may store Cr(III)-bearing colloids too; iii) a triggering effect of first intense rainfall after a 20 dry consecutive days period (wet-dry cycle). Moreover, the persistence of a high Cr(III) concentration in the aquifer even a month after the intense rainfall event aligns with previous laboratory studies on NOM-Cr(III) colloidal stability, which showed that such colloids are highly stable and can persist in solution for at least 20 days.}, }
@article {pmid39663613, year = {2024}, author = {Jung, Y}, title = {Climate Change and Nursing.}, journal = {Journal of Korean Academy of Nursing}, volume = {54}, number = {4}, pages = {475-477}, pmid = {39663613}, issn = {2093-758X}, }
@article {pmid39663537, year = {2024}, author = {Pavia, G and Branda, F and Ciccozzi, A and Romano, C and Locci, C and Azzena, I and Pascale, N and Marascio, N and Quirino, A and Gigliotti, S and Divenuto, F and Matera, G and Giovanetti, M and Casu, M and Sanna, D and Ceccarelli, G and Ciccozzi, M and Scarpa, F}, title = {The issue of climate change and the spread of tropical diseases in Europe and Italy: vector biology, disease transmission, genome-based monitoring and public health implications.}, journal = {Infectious diseases (London, England)}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {1-16}, doi = {10.1080/23744235.2024.2437027}, pmid = {39663537}, issn = {2374-4243}, abstract = {BACKGROUND: Climate change significantly influences the distribution and severity of tropical diseases. Rising temperatures, changing precipitation patterns, and extreme weather events are transforming the habitats of vectors like mosquitoes and ticks, promoting their proliferation and geographic spread. These changes have facilitated the resurgence of diseases such as malaria, dengue, and chikungunya fever in previously unaffected areas, including parts of Europe and Italy.<br><br>OBJECTIVE AND METHODS: This review aims to explore the relationship between climate change and the spread of vector-borne and tropical parasitic diseases across Europe, with a particular focus on Italy. Recent studies are analyzed to identify emerging trends in disease transmission influenced by shifting climates. Genome-based monitoring and predictive models incorporating climatic and ecological data are highlighted as methods to enhance disease surveillance and preparedness.<br><br>RESULTS: The analysis reveals a clear link between climate change and altered disease patterns. The proliferation of vectors into new territories is associated with increased incidence of diseases. Genome-based tools demonstrate their utility in tracking the evolution of pathogens, particularly regarding changes in virulence, drug resistance, and adaptability to new climates. Predictive models have proven effective in anticipating outbreaks and supporting timely public health interventions.<br><br>CONCLUSIONS: To mitigate the risks posed by climate-induced changes in disease dynamics, continuous monitoring and international collaboration are essential. Strengthening health systems' resilience through mitigation and adaptation strategies is crucial for preventing future epidemics. These insights contribute to the development of sustainable long-term policies for managing tropical diseases in the context of climate change, ensuring timely responses to public health emergencies.}, }
@article {pmid39662415, year = {2024}, author = {Carli, A and Centritto, M and Materassi, A and Killi, D and Marino, G and Raschi, A and Haworth, M}, title = {Heat stress reduces stomatal numbers in Ginkgo biloba: Implications for the stomatal method of palaeo-atmospheric [CO2] reconstruction during episodes of global warming.}, journal = {The Science of the total environment}, volume = {958}, number = {}, pages = {177962}, doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.177962}, pmid = {39662415}, issn = {1879-1026}, abstract = {The stomata of fossil plants are commonly used as proxies to reconstruct palaeo-atmospheric carbon dioxide concentrations (palaeo-[CO2]). Stomatal reconstruction of palaeo-[CO2] during global greenhouse periods or episodes of global warming, are particularly important to our understanding of the role of CO2 as a climate system driver. However, the efficacy of the 'stomatal method' for palaeo-[CO2] reconstruction depends upon the strength of the inverse relationship between stomatal number and the [CO2] in which the leaf developed. However, the impact of heat stress on stomatal initiation and development are largely unknown. Ginkgo biloba, a living fossil species, seedlings were grown in controlled environment chambers under 20/25 °C and 30/35 °C night/day temperature regimes. Heat stress in the 30/35 °C treatment impaired photosynthetic function, decreased stomatal conductance (Gs), and reduced stomatal index (SI), indicative of lower stomatal initiation. Modelled theoretical Gs did not correlate with observed measured Gs, undermining the utility of palaeo-[CO2] reconstructions based on stomatal diffusion modelling. The lower stomatal initiation of G. biloba leaves from the higher temperature resulted in greater estimates of [CO2] based on SI values using the nearest living equivalent and SI-[CO2] transfer function approaches. Heat stress may diminish the effectiveness of the stomatal method in reconstructing palaeo-[CO2] during intervals of global warming marked by floral turnover in Earth history.}, }
@article {pmid39662414, year = {2024}, author = {Fu, Z and Zhang, Y and Liu, Y and Jiang, X and Guo, H and Wang, S and Li, Z}, title = {Climate change driven land use evolution and soil heavy metal release effects in lakes on the Qinghai Tibet Plateau.}, journal = {The Science of the total environment}, volume = {958}, number = {}, pages = {177898}, doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.177898}, pmid = {39662414}, issn = {1879-1026}, abstract = {In recent decades, global warming has intensified hydrological cycles, raising concerns about the impacts of climate change on hydrological processes, water quality, and water resources across various temporal and spatial scales. These changes significantly affect water resource management and environmental protection policies and may also influence the ecological health and socio-economic well-being of lake regions. Qinghai Lake, the largest inland lake and a major water source reservoir in China, plays a crucial role in the ecological security of the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau. However, in recent years, with the ongoing development of the economy and society throughout the province, there has been an increase in algal blooms in the nearshore area of Qinghai Lake, with the affected area expanding annually. There is currently no clear consensus on the causes of eutrophication in lakes, and comprehensive, in-depth research on how different land use types-critical to the material migration and transformation processes of natural water bodies-affects water quality and ecological security, as well as the interactions between nutrients and heavy metals, is lacking. Therefore, it is essential to monitor and understand the effects of climate change on lakes and to develop adaptive strategies to mitigate and respond to these impacts amidst rapid economic and social development. The lake environmental pollution early warning system developed in this study provides a scientific research paradigm for lake water pollution control and offers valuable data support for policymakers in formulating ecological protection and development strategies.}, }
@article {pmid39661910, year = {2024}, author = {Taboun, O and DesRoche, C and Hanneman, K}, title = {Imperative for a health-centred focus on climate change in radiology.}, journal = {Journal of medical imaging and radiation oncology}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, doi = {10.1111/1754-9485.13813}, pmid = {39661910}, issn = {1754-9485}, abstract = {Climate change negatively impacts individual and population-level health through multiple pathways, including poor air quality, extreme heat and changes in infectious disease. These health effects will lead to higher health system and medical imaging utilisation. At the same time, the delivery of radiology services generates substantial greenhouse gas emissions. Mitigation strategies to reduce the environmental impact of medical imaging and adaptation strategies to build resiliency to current and future impacts of climate change in radiology should be centred on human health. A health-centred response in radiology reinforces the role of radiologists as physicians and emphasises the opportunity for medical imaging to promote health and advance our understanding of climate-related health effects. This review discusses the need for a health-centred focus on climate change in radiology, including the effects of climate change on human health and health systems, intersection of climate change with health equity, health benefits of climate action and opportunities to leverage medical imaging to improve human health.}, }
@article {pmid39661524, year = {2024}, author = {Clayton, S and Crandon, T}, title = {Climate Change and Mental Health.}, journal = {Annual review of clinical psychology}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, doi = {10.1146/annurev-clinpsy-081423-025932}, pmid = {39661524}, issn = {1548-5951}, abstract = {Climate change negatively threatens mental health through acute, chronic, indirect, and vicarious pathways. Though these psychological consequences will be felt globally, specific populations are at increased risk. This article describes the complex and diverse ways in which climate change can affect mental health and the resulting challenges that health care services will inevitably face. In responding to these threats, both prevention and intervention are urgently needed. Although mitigating the extent of climate change is crucial, we can also foster resilience to climate change-the ability to manage, respond to, and prepare for climate-related adversity-at the systemic, community, and individual levels. The mental health field must prepare for the significant burden that climate change will place on population health and well-being in the long term. In this review, we aim to inform and provide examples of how decision makers, the mental health discipline, and mental health professionals can respond.}, }
@article {pmid39661413, year = {2024}, author = {Vineis, P and Mangone, L and Belesova, K and Tonne, C and Alfano, R and Strapasson, A and Millett, C and Jennings, N and Woods, J and Mwabonje, O}, title = {Integration of Multiple Climate Change Mitigation Actions and Health Co-Benefits: A Framework Using the Global Calculator.}, journal = {Environmental health perspectives}, volume = {132}, number = {12}, pages = {125001}, pmid = {39661413}, issn = {1552-9924}, mesh = {*Climate Change ; Humans ; Greenhouse Gases/analysis ; Models, Theoretical ; }, abstract = {BACKGROUND: The Global Calculator is an open-source model of the world's energy, land, and food systems. It is a pioneering online calculator to project the impact of interventions to mitigate climate change on global temperature. A few studies have been conducted to evaluate the health co-benefits of climate change mitigation, though they are still fragmentary.<br><br>OBJECTIVES: Our objectives are to identify which sectors could yield the greatest results in terms of climate change mitigation and suggest whether existing evidence could be used to weight mitigation actions based on their ancillary impacts on human health or health co-benefits.<br><br>METHODS: Using the International Energy Agency (IEA) 4DS scenario as a referent (i.e., the "4-degree Celsius increase scenario"), we simulated changes in different policy "levers" (encompassing 43 potential technological and behavioral interventions, grouped by 14 sectors) and assessed the relative importance of each lever in terms of changes in annual greenhouse gas emissions in 2050 and cumulative emissions by 2100. In addition, we examined existing estimates for the health co-benefits associated with different interventions, using evidence from the Lancet Pathfinder and four other tools.<br><br>DISCUSSION: Our simulations suggest that-after accounting for demographic change-transition from fossil fuels to renewables and changes in agriculture, forestry, land use, and food production are key sectors for climate change mitigation. The role of interventions in other sectors, like carbon capture and storage (CCS) or nuclear power, is more modest. Our work also identifies mitigation actions that are likely to have large health co-benefits, including shifts to renewable energy and changes in land use as well as dietary and travel behaviors. In conclusion, some of the sectors/interventions which have been at the center of policy debate (e.g., CCS or nuclear power) are likely to be far less important than changes in areas such as dietary habits or forestry practices by 2050. https://doi.org/10.1289/EHP14906.}, }
@article {pmid39660613, year = {2025}, author = {Özkan, A and Kolcu, M and Yilmaz, A and Akbaş, G}, title = {Is Ecological Anxiety Due to Climate Change Associated With the Fertility Preferences of Women?.}, journal = {Journal of evaluation in clinical practice}, volume = {31}, number = {1}, pages = {e14265}, doi = {10.1111/jep.14265}, pmid = {39660613}, issn = {1365-2753}, support = {//The authors received no specific funding for this work./ ; }, mesh = {Humans ; Female ; *Climate Change ; Adult ; *Anxiety/psychology ; Middle Aged ; Adolescent ; Young Adult ; *Fertility ; Surveys and Questionnaires ; }, abstract = {BACKGROUND: Eco-anxiety caused by climate change, which is a significant public health problem, has negative effects on sexual and reproductive health, and these effects are expected to increase continuously. This study was conducted to determine the relationship between eco-anxiety caused by climate change and the fertility preferences of women.<br><br>METHODS: This descriptive study was conducted between June and August 2024 with 491 women at the ages of 18 to 49 who were registered at a family health center. A personal information form, the Attitudes toward Fertility and Childbearing Scale, and the Hogg Eco-Anxiety Scale were used to collect data.<br><br>RESULTS: The mean total AFCS score of the participants was 66.1&#x2009;&#xb1;&#x2009;14.2, while their mean total HEAS score was 27.1&#x2009;&#xb1;&#x2009;7.0. There was a weak negative correlation between the AFCS scores and HEAS scores of the participants (r&#x2009;=&#x2009;-0.124, p&#x2009;=&#x2009;0.006).<br><br>CONCLUSION: As the ecological anxiety levels of women increased, their attitudes toward childbearing became more negative.}, }
@article {pmid39660563, year = {2024}, author = {Niebel, D and Tso, S and Parker, ER and Rosenbach, M and Tan, E and Thio, HB and Coates, S and Andersen, LK and Wolstencroft, PW and Hecker, C and Saha, S and de Berker, D}, title = {Dermatological societies and their climate change and sustainability commitment through 2024.}, journal = {Journal of the European Academy of Dermatology and Venereology : JEADV}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, doi = {10.1111/jdv.20488}, pmid = {39660563}, issn = {1468-3083}, }
@article {pmid39660373, year = {2024}, author = {Byrne, M and Lamare, MD}, title = {Climate change and polar marine invertebrates: life-history responses in a warmer, high CO2 world.}, journal = {The Journal of experimental biology}, volume = {227}, number = {23}, pages = {}, doi = {10.1242/jeb.245765}, pmid = {39660373}, issn = {1477-9145}, support = {AAD#3134//Australian Antarctic Division/ ; MBIE ANTA1801//Antarctic Science Platform/ ; NZARI RFP 2016-1//New Zealand Antarctic Research Institute/ ; }, mesh = {Animals ; *Climate Change ; *Invertebrates/physiology ; *Carbon Dioxide/metabolism ; *Aquatic Organisms/physiology ; Life History Traits ; Arctic Regions ; Seawater/chemistry ; Oceans and Seas ; Antarctic Regions ; }, abstract = {Polar marine invertebrates serve as bellwethers for species vulnerabilities in the face of changing climate at high latitudes of the Earth. Ocean acidification, warming/heatwaves, freshening, sea ice retreat and productivity change are challenges for polar species. Adaptations to life in cold water with intensely seasonal productivity has shaped species traits at both poles. Polar species have life histories often characterised as K-strategist or K-selected (e.g. slow growth and development, larval hypometabolism) that make them sensitive to climate stress and altered seasonal productivity. Moderate warming results in faster development and can have positive effects on development, up to a limit. However, ocean acidification can retard development, impair skeletogenesis and result in smaller larvae. Given the fast pace of warming, data on the thermal tolerance of larvae from diverse species is urgently needed, as well as knowledge of adaptive responses to ocean acidification and changes to sea ice and productivity. Predicted productivity increase would benefit energy-limited reproduction and development, while sea ice loss negatively impacts species with reproduction that directly or indirectly depend on this habitat. It is critical to understand the interactive effects between warming, acidification and other stressors. Polar specialists cannot migrate, making them susceptible to competition and extinction from range-extending subpolar species. The borealisation and australisation of Arctic and Antarctic ecosystems, respectively, is underway as these regions become more hospitable for the larval and adult life-history stages of lower-latitude species. Differences in biogeography and pace of change point to different prospects for Arctic and Antarctic communities. In this Commentary, we hypothesise outcomes for polar species based on life history traits and sensitivity to climate change and suggest research avenues to test our predictions.}, }
@article {pmid39659729, year = {2024}, author = {Kolanowska, M and Scaccabarozzi, D}, title = {Does Climate Change Pose a Threat to the Guild Mimicry System of Australian Orchids?.}, journal = {Ecology and evolution}, volume = {14}, number = {12}, pages = {e70633}, pmid = {39659729}, issn = {2045-7758}, abstract = {Global warming is one of the biggest threats to global biodiversity causing not only changes in the patterns of precipitation and temperature but also disturbing ecological interactions. The aim of our study was to forecast the effect of climate change on the distribution of food-deceptive orchid species whose pollination strategy relies on a strict association with pollinators and co-occurring rewarding Faboideae plants. We used the ecological niche modeling approach to evaluate future overlap of the suitable niches of studied orchid species with the predicted distribution of their ecological partners. Models were made based on two different global circulation models (FIO, CNRM). CNRM projections predict expansion of orchids' geographical range. In contrast, FIO prediction is less optimistic, forecasting species range contraction. The studied Faboideae species showed different responses to predicted global warming with no consistent patterns in how their suitable niches might change. Most climate change projections and scenarios of the future modifications of temperature and precipitation patterns do not predict significant loss of suitable niches of Trichocolletes bees (Colletidae) pollinating Diuris species. However, global warming has the potential to disrupt interactions between the studied orchids and their co-occurring pea plants by altering the overlap of their geographical ranges which can further disturb pollination success. CNRM projections predict an overall loss of Faboideae within the potential geographical range of Diuris brumalis. Conversely, FIO projections suggest a less extensive predicted divergence. Our simulations offer suggestions for conservation strategies of orchids and potentially for other species that have a similar pollination strategy. The areas indicated here as suitable in the future for the occurrence of all ecological partners can be important climate refugia to consider in local conservation plans. The approach used in our study can serve as a model for understanding the potential effects of climate change on the strength of the pollination system via food deception.}, }
@article {pmid39659442, year = {2024}, author = {Olazabal, M and Amorim-Maia, AT and Alda-Vidal, C and Goodwin, S}, title = {What is limiting how we imagine climate change adaptation?.}, journal = {Current opinion in environmental sustainability}, volume = {71}, number = {}, pages = {101476}, pmid = {39659442}, issn = {1877-3435}, abstract = {Imaginaries of adaptation are currently dominated by technocratic, homogenous, top-down approaches that hinder sustainable, just, and effective adaptation worldwide. We have identified three practices that contribute to this problem: (1) an assumption of universality in adaptation; (2) a neglect of pluralistic knowledge systems and values; and (3) an oversimplification of adaptation processes. These three practices have been found to lead to reproductions of vulnerabilities, unsustainable outcomes, or ephemeral changes. New ways of conceptualising and doing adaptation are necessary to expand imaginaries and visions around what adaptation can and cannot be. Through two examples (everyday adaptations and nature-based solutions), our review indicates that expanding or adopting alternative imaginaries of adaptation can help localise adaptation practice, particularly by acknowledging the need for multiple forms of knowledge and the iterative nature of adaptation governance processes.}, }
@article {pmid39658970, year = {2024}, author = {Hossain, N}, title = {Climate change and reproductive health.}, journal = {JPMA. The Journal of the Pakistan Medical Association}, volume = {74}, number = {12}, pages = {2053-2054}, doi = {10.47391/JPMA.24-96}, pmid = {39658970}, issn = {0030-9982}, }
@article {pmid39658190, year = {2024}, author = {Bellizzi, S}, title = {The health of Internally Displaced People (IDPs), between conflicts and the increasing role of climate change.}, journal = {Journal of travel medicine}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, doi = {10.1093/jtm/taae151}, pmid = {39658190}, issn = {1708-8305}, abstract = {Globally, the number of IDPs has jumped from 50.3 to 75.9 million in the past 5 years, and their displacement is increasingly driven by climate-change, replacing conflicts as main factor in 2023. This underscores the need to further explore the nexus of climate change, health, migration, and to mobilize support.}, }
@article {pmid39657712, year = {2024}, author = {Potestio, L and Martora, F and Villani, A and Megna, M}, title = {Climate change and the role of dermatologists: a call to action.}, journal = {Clinical and experimental dermatology}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, doi = {10.1093/ced/llae526}, pmid = {39657712}, issn = {1365-2230}, }
@article {pmid39655783, year = {2025}, author = {Geiger, N and Swim, JK and Fraser, J}, title = {With a little help from my friends: Social support, hope and climate change engagement.}, journal = {The British journal of social psychology}, volume = {64}, number = {1}, pages = {e12837}, pmid = {39655783}, issn = {2044-8309}, support = {//National Science Foundation/ ; }, mesh = {Humans ; *Climate Change ; *Social Support ; *Hope ; Female ; Male ; Adult ; Middle Aged ; Young Adult ; Intention ; }, abstract = {Hope is a future-oriented emotion that attunes people to the possibility of positive change, and thus could potentially catalyse societal engagement with climate change. A recent meta-analysis suggests that the relationship between hope and climate action is most robust when the target of hope is climate engagement (i.e. action hope) rather than climate change more broadly. Yet, this previous meta-analysis also suggests that fostering action hope and climate engagement may be challenging via typical short media messages used in many studies. Here we consider an alternative source of action hope: receiving social support. Two studies tested whether social support motivates climate action via increased action hope. Study 1 (correlational online survey, pre-registered, N = 887) demonstrates that, as predicted, both instrumental and emotional support predict intentions to take civic action and these effects are explained by action hope. Study 2 (field study, Neducators = 84, Ncontacts = 520) mostly replicates and extends these findings in a field setting, demonstrating that social support recipients' action hope is also associated with social support reported by support providers (here, environmental educators) and that this action hope again explains a possible relationship between social support and climate engagement.}, }
@article {pmid39654331, year = {2024}, author = {Yazdani, M and Amiri Sabouri, S and Anvari, M and Raesi, R}, title = {Investigating the Effects of Climate Change on the Prevalence of Dengue Fever.}, journal = {Iranian biomedical journal}, volume = {28}, number = {7}, pages = {58}, pmid = {39654331}, issn = {2008-823X}, mesh = {*Climate Change ; *Dengue/epidemiology/transmission ; Humans ; Animals ; *Aedes/virology ; Prevalence ; Mosquito Vectors/virology ; Dengue Virus ; }, abstract = {INTRODUCTION: Climate change is any change in weather parameters such as temperature and rainfall for a long time and may be caused by natural factors or human activities. Today, climate change has unwanted consequences for health worldwide, and dengue fever is among these diseases. Dengue (bone-breaking fever) is the most common disease transmitted by the Aedes mosquito infected with dengue virus worldwide, affecting more than 200 million people every year. This disease is characterized by fever, malaise, headache, and rash. The present study aimed to investigate the effects of climate change on the prevalence of dengue fever.<br><br>SEARCH STRATEGY: The search for keywords such as "dengue fever", "climate change", and "Aedes" was performed in the PubMed database and Google Scholar search engine and their Persian equivalents in the internal databases such as SID and CIVILICA from 2010 to 2024. In the initial search, 259 articles were extracted and included in the study, followed by reviewing 26 articles.<br><br>RESULTS: Weather influenced dengue in three aspects: the virus, vector, and transmission environment. The virus underwent part of its development within the vector mosquito, and its life cycle was dependent on temperature, rainfall, and humidity. Two mosquitoes, Aedes aegypti and Aedes albopictus, adapted to human habitations by laying eggs in both natural (tree holes) and artificial (water tanks, pots, bottles, and containers) environments. Heavy rainfall washed away these eggs and larvae from these reservoirs; however, stagnant water can create ideal breeding conditions. An increase in temperature accelerates the reproduction and growth rates of mosquitoes while also shortening the virus's incubation period. Conversely, if temperatures exceed 44 &#xb0;C, the risk of dengue transmission diminishes due to the desiccation of mosquito breeding sites. During the cold period,adult mosquitoes died, but their eggs survived. High relative humidity also increased the metabolic process in adult mosquitoes. Therefore, in the wet season, the incidence of dengue was the highest, and the disease was less common in the dry season. Also, climate change weakened human immunity against the disease.<br><br>CONCLUSION AND DISCUSSION: Climate change influences the transmission of the disease by changing the geographic range of the vector, increasing reproduction, biting, and shortening the incubation period. Solutions such as the development of renewable energy sources and the enhancement of public awareness should be implemented to address climate change.}, }
@article {pmid39653762, year = {2024}, author = {Lang, W and Zhang, Y and Li, X and Meng, F and Liu, Q and Wang, K and Xu, H and Chen, A and Peñuelas, J and Janssens, IA and Piao, S}, title = {Phenological divergence between plants and animals under climate change.}, journal = {Nature ecology &amp; evolution}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, pmid = {39653762}, issn = {2397-334X}, support = {41988101//National Natural Science Foundation of China (National Science Foundation of China)/ ; 41988101//National Natural Science Foundation of China (National Science Foundation of China)/ ; 41988101//National Natural Science Foundation of China (National Science Foundation of China)/ ; 41988101//National Natural Science Foundation of China (National Science Foundation of China)/ ; }, abstract = {Climate change has altered the timing of recurring biological cycles in both plants and animals. Phenological changes may be unequal within and among trophic levels, potentially impacting the intricate interactions that regulate ecosystem functioning. Here we compile and analyse a global dataset of terrestrial phenological observations, including nearly half a million time series for both plants and animals. Our analysis reveals an increasing phenological asynchronization between plants and animals from 1981 to 2020, with a stronger overall advancement of late-season phenophases for plants than for animals. Almost 30% of temporal variations in plant phenophases can be explained by the timing of the preceding phenophases. This temporal dependency allows the advancement caused by warming to accumulate and propagate through seasons, advancing later phenophases more than earlier phases. By contrast, animals rely on various environmental cues and resource-tracking strategies to initiate their life-cycle activities, which weakens their cross-phenophase linkage and undermines the effect of warming. Our results suggest that future warming may increase phenological asynchronization between plants and animals and potentially disturb trophic interactions and ecosystem stability.}, }
@article {pmid39653707, year = {2024}, author = {Monastersky, R}, title = {The climate-crusading lawyer who sued Switzerland over global warming - and won.}, journal = {Nature}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, doi = {10.1038/d41586-024-03897-y}, pmid = {39653707}, issn = {1476-4687}, }
@article {pmid39653490, year = {2024}, author = {Anelli, P and Haidukowski, M and Ferrara, M and Kisikkaya, A and Pembeci, C and Ozer, H and Mulè, G and Loi, M and Moretti, A and Susca, A}, title = {Monitoring fungi and mycotoxin potential in pistachio nuts of Turkish origin: A snap-shot for climate change scenario.}, journal = {Fungal biology}, volume = {128}, number = {8 Pt B}, pages = {2431-2438}, doi = {10.1016/j.funbio.2024.07.009}, pmid = {39653490}, issn = {1878-6146}, mesh = {*Pistacia/microbiology ; Turkey ; *Mycotoxins/metabolism/analysis ; *Climate Change ; *Aspergillus/metabolism/genetics/isolation &amp; purification/classification ; Aflatoxins/metabolism/analysis ; Nuts/microbiology ; Aspergillus flavus/genetics/metabolism/classification/isolation &amp; purification ; }, abstract = {Pistachio (Pistacia vera L.) is an economically important tree nut. Due to its nutritional properties and health benefits, it is considered a healthy food and thus widely consumed worldwide. However, fungal contamination of the commodities has received considerable attention because of possible contamination by toxigenic fungi, important source of mycotoxins, resulting from secondary metabolism and hazards to health consumer. Members of the genus Aspergillus, mainly Aspergillus flavus and Aspergillus niger, are reported as occurring most frequently on pistachio nuts, because able to grow in the presence of low amounts of water and to produce mycotoxins (aflatoxins and ochratoxins), that are well known for their harmful health effects on humans. Monitoring the contaminating fungal species is particularly worthy of note also in climate change scenario, allowing to notice changes in fungal population composition through the time. This study aimed to contribute to collect data about fungal population and mycotoxins occurred in pistachio samples collected in Turkey: prevalence of 2 species, A. flavus and Aspergillus tubingensis, was assessed. The A. flavus strains consisted of a mixed population of aflatoxin producers and non-producing strains in vitro, with evidence of a new genotype in gene cluster within strains of aflatoxin non-producing chemotype.}, }
@article {pmid39652547, year = {2024}, author = {Bayatvarkeshi, M and Imteaz, MA and Kisi, O and Farahani, M and Ghabaei, M and Al-Janabi, AMS and Hashim, BM and Al-Ramadan, B and Yaseen, ZM}, title = {Correction: Drought trends projection under future climate change scenarios for Iran region.}, journal = {PloS one}, volume = {19}, number = {12}, pages = {e0315634}, pmid = {39652547}, issn = {1932-6203}, abstract = {[This corrects the article DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0290698.].}, }
@article {pmid39651912, year = {2024}, author = {Lucas, RAI}, title = {Using environmental and exercise physiology to address gender inequalities in climate change and occupational health research.}, journal = {Experimental physiology}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, doi = {10.1113/EP091456}, pmid = {39651912}, issn = {1469-445X}, abstract = {Climate change is a health-risk and health-inequity multiplier with excessive heat exposure a direct climate change impact already affecting the health and livelihood of billions globally. Women face greater risks and burdens from climate change impacts. Biological sex may or may not influence an individual's thermoregulatory capacity, heat tolerance or heat susceptibility. However at a population level, sex differences in physiological characteristics (anthropometrics, aerobic capacity, etc.) likely affect thermoregulatory capacity. Still, gender appears to play the most significant role in heat exposure and resulting health impacts. For climate change resilience and adaptation strategies to be effective, public health and occupational guidance/governance must be based on comprehensive and representative evidence. The current dearth of empirical evidence on how excessive heat exposure affects women prohibits this. Environmental and exercise physiology can help address this lack of empirical evidence by adhering to inclusive research guidelines. This paper is based on a symposium presentation given at Physiology 2023 in Harrogate, UK. Using a multi-year cohort study on industrial agricultural workers (the Adelante Initiative) as a case study, this review discusses the role of environmental and exercise physiology in generating inclusive research and evidence to inform occupational and public health guidance/governance for climate change resilience and adaptation, specifically heat exposure.}, }
@article {pmid39651651, year = {2024}, author = {Salehi Sahl Abadi, A and Mohsenian, A and Alboghobeish, A and Esmaeili, SV and Bahmanipour, S and Hashemi, M}, title = {Symptoms and Diseases Related to Occupational Health Caused by Climate Change: A Systematic Literature Review.}, journal = {Iranian biomedical journal}, volume = {28}, number = {7}, pages = {41}, pmid = {39651651}, issn = {2008-823X}, mesh = {Humans ; *Climate Change ; *Occupational Health ; Occupational Diseases/epidemiology/etiology ; }, abstract = {INTRODUCTION: One of the duties of occupational health engineers is to maintain and improve the physical health of employees. Climate change can cause various symptoms and diseases in workers. The importance of climate change has led to the slogan of World Occupational Safety and Health Day in 2024 being related to the effects of climate change on occupational health. This study aimed to investigate the symptoms and diseases related to occupational health caused by climate change.<br><br>SEARCH STRATEGY: The protocol of this study was prepared and presented according to the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analysis (PRISMA) guidelines. Relevant keywords between 2000 and 2024 were searched in authoritative academic databases (PubMed, Scopus, Web of Science, ScienceDirect, and Google Scholar) to identify studies. Scientifically valid studies retrieved by two researchers were reviewed based on inclusion and exclusion criteria, and duplicate and irrelevant articles were excluded. Based on the purpose of the study, the necessary information was extracted from the selected articles and analyzed with a descriptive approach.<br><br>RESULTS: In this systematic review, 29 eligible studies were examined. Climate change resulted in various symptoms and diseases in workers. Symptoms caused by climate change in workers included heat stress, heatstroke, fatigue, dehydration, headache, thirst, heat rash, collapse, muscle cramps, excessive sweating, visual disturbances, and reduced chemical tolerance. Additionally, based on the results of various studies, climate change affected chronic kidney diseases, skin cancer, cardiovascular dysfunction, and infectious and contagious diseases such as malaria and Lyme. Our results showed the effect of climate change on workers' cardiorespiratory health problems, including asthma, lung cancer, heart attacks, stroke, and other cardiovascular diseases. Furthermore, heat-related death was the most significant consequence of climate change on workers.<br><br>CONCLUSION AND DISCUSSION: Climate change causes various symptoms and diseases in workers, negatively affecting their occupational health. Considering the results of the current research and the importance of the subject, occupational health engineers and other individuals related to workers' health should take necessary measures.}, }
@article {pmid39650546, year = {2024}, author = {Zhang, L and Wang, P and Xie, G and Wang, W}, title = {Impacts of Climate Change Conditions on the Potential Distribution of Anoplophora glabripennis and Its Host Plants, Salix babylonica and Salix matsudana, in China.}, journal = {Ecology and evolution}, volume = {14}, number = {12}, pages = {e70692}, pmid = {39650546}, issn = {2045-7758}, abstract = {The Anoplophora glabripennis (Motschulsky) is a phytophagous pest that is seriously endangering Salix babylonica Linn. and S. matsudana Koidz. Poor control can damage local ecosystems, resulting in economic losses and management risks. In the context of climate change, the climatic ecological niche of organisms is no longer compatible with the surrounding environment. To mitigate the effects of climate change, some organisms respond adaptively to climate change through different mechanisms and in different ways. In this study, an optimized MaxEnt model was used to explore the potential distribution areas of A. glabripennis and its host plants, S. babylonica and S. matsudana, in response to current and future climate and to determine their movement routes and relative dynamics. The results show that the optimized model exhibits the lowest complexity and excellent prediction accuracy. It is important to note that both temperature and precipitation are the main environmental factors affecting the distribution of suitable habitats for A. glabripennis and its host plants. This is evidenced by the mean temperature of the warmest quarter and precipitation of the wettest month being the main environmental factors affecting the distribution of suitable habitats for the host plants. Similarly, the minimum temperature of the coldest month and precipitation seasonality are the primary bioclimatic variables constraining the dispersal of A. glabripennis. Under climate change, the suitable areas of both S. babylonica and S. matsudana are declining, while the suitable areas of A. glabripennis are expanding in future climates. Furthermore, three species exhibited a proclivity for migration to higher latitudes in response to climate change. In conclusion, this study contributes to our understanding of the biogeographic characteristics of these A. glabripennis, S. babylonica, and S. matsudana and provides a basis for the formulation of timely conservation strategies to reduce the potential impacts of climate change. This is of great significance for the rational management, utilization, and protection of forest ecosystems in China.}, }
@article {pmid39649959, year = {2024}, author = {Mwalwimba, IK and Manda, M and Ngongondo, C}, title = {The role of indigenous knowledge in disaster risk reduction and climate change adaptation in Chikwawa, Malawi.}, journal = {Jamba (Potchefstroom, South Africa)}, volume = {16}, number = {2}, pages = {1810}, pmid = {39649959}, issn = {1996-1421}, abstract = {UNLABELLED: The role of indigenous knowledge in disaster risk reduction (DRR) and climate change adaptation cannot be underestimated. It acts as a preparedness and response tool to climate change-related impacts such as floods, droughts and strong winds. However, inadequate studies about indigenous knowledge in Malawi is a major challenge when dealing with extreme climatic conditions. Learning from indigenous knowledge systems, by investigating first what local communities know and have, can improve the understanding of local conditions and can provide a productive context for activities designed to help communities reduce vulnerability to climate change impacts. This paper assessed the role of indigenous knowledge systems in DRR and climate change variability and adaptation strategies in Chikwawa district. The study used a participatory research approach involving interactive research methods such as focus group discussions (FGDs), key informant interviews and participant observations. Data from key informants and FGDs were analysed thematically. The study revealed various indigenous knowledge which communities in the Chikwawa district use to respond to climate-related impacts such as floods. Some of these include hippopotamus relocating from the river to the village, extreme hissing of pythons in nearby forests, buffaloes and zebras wreaking havoc in the villages and crocodiles flocking to the village.<br><br>CONTRIBUTION: The study concludes that indigenous knowledge provides the basis for problem-solving approaches for local communities, hence, a need to document it at a wider scale.}, }
@article {pmid39649021, year = {2024}, author = {Mousavi, FS and Shenagari, M and Reza Hashemnia, SM and Zandi, M}, title = {Climate change and arboviruses_a growing threat to public health.}, journal = {New microbes and new infections}, volume = {62}, number = {}, pages = {101532}, pmid = {39649021}, issn = {2052-2975}, }
@article {pmid39650338, year = {2022}, author = {Rodrigue, B and Bulonvu, F and Imani, G and Akonkwa, D and Gahigi, A and Klein, JA and Marchant, R and Cuni-Sanchez, A}, title = {Climate change and hunter-gatherers in montane eastern DR Congo.}, journal = {Climate and development}, volume = {14}, number = {5}, pages = {431-442}, pmid = {39650338}, issn = {1756-5537}, abstract = {Mountain environments experience more rapid changes in temperature than lower elevations. However, little is known about the climatic changes already observed in African mountains, or the adaptation strategies used by hunter-gatherer communities. Semi-structured interviews were administered to 100 Twa hunter-gatherers living around Mt Kahuzi in eastern Democratic Republic of the Congo (DR Congo). We also organized 10 focus-group discussions with Tembo farmers living in the same area and we gathered historical from Kamembe meteorological station. Twa respondents perceived reduced rainfall and fog, and increased temperatures. They also reported reduced crop yields and abundance of forest products (caterpillars, mushrooms, honey). Tembo perceptions of climatic changes and impacts agreed with the Twa. Meteorological data available shows reduced rainfall and increased temperatures - but there are no records on fog. Despite being aware of climatic changes and impacts, Twa are not using any adaptation strategy, while Tembo farmers are using some (as they own land for farming or animal rearing, and are more business minded). For the Twa, their socioeconomic condition create high sensitivity to climate change and constrain adaptive capacity. To help the Twa, we recommend the use of "science with society" (SWS) participatory approach.}, }
@article {pmid39648627, year = {2024}, author = {Andrzejak, M and Knight, TM and Plos, C and Korell, L}, title = {Changes in reproduction mediate the effects of climate change and grassland management on plant population dynamics.}, journal = {Ecological applications : a publication of the Ecological Society of America}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {e3063}, doi = {10.1002/eap.3063}, pmid = {39648627}, issn = {1051-0761}, support = {//Helmholtz Association/ ; FZT 118//Deutsches Zentrum f&#xfc;r integrative Biodiversit&#xe4;tsforschung Halle-Jena-Leipzig/ ; //Alexander von Humboldt Foundation/ ; }, abstract = {Climate change is one of the largest threats to grassland plant species, which can be modified by land management. Although climate change and land management are expected to separately and interactively influence plant demography, this has been rarely considered in climate change experiments. We used a large-scale experiment in central Germany to quantify the effects of grassland management, climate change, and their joint effect on the demography and population growth rate of 11 plant species all native to this temperate grassland ecosystem. We parameterized integral projection models with five years of demographic data to project population growth rate. We hypothesized that plant populations perform better in the ambient than in the future climate treatment that creates hotter and drier summer conditions. Further, we hypothesized that plant performance interactively responds to climate and land management in a species-specific manner based on the drought, mowing, and grazing tolerances as well as the flowering phenology of each species. Due to extreme drought events, over half of our study species went quasi extinct, which highlights how extreme climate events can influence long-term experimental results. We found no consistent support for our expectation that plants perform better in ambient compared with future climate conditions. However, several species showed interactive responses to the treatments, indicating that optimal management strategies for plant performance are expected to shift with climate change. Changes in population growth rates of these species across treatments were mostly due to changes in plant reproduction. Experiments combined with measuring plant demographic responses provide a way to isolate the effects of different drivers on the long-term persistence of species and to identify the demographic vital rates that are critical to manage in the future. Our study suggests that it will become increasingly difficult to maintain species with preferences for moister soil conditions, and that climate and land use can interactively alter demographic responses of the remaining grassland species.}, }
@article {pmid39647962, year = {2024}, author = {Beydon, M and Roeser, A and Costedoat-Chalumeau, N and de Sainte-Marie, B and Nguyen, Y and , }, title = {[Impact of climate change on immune-mediated inflammatory diseases].}, journal = {La Revue de medecine interne}, volume = {45}, number = {12}, pages = {739-743}, doi = {10.1016/j.revmed.2024.11.016}, pmid = {39647962}, issn = {1768-3122}, }
@article {pmid39647300, year = {2024}, author = {Zhou, X and Xing, S and Xu, J and Tian, J and Niu, A and Lin, C}, title = {Impacts of climate change risk and economic policy uncertainty on carbon prices: Configuration analysis from a complex system perspective.}, journal = {Journal of environmental management}, volume = {373}, number = {}, pages = {123622}, doi = {10.1016/j.jenvman.2024.123622}, pmid = {39647300}, issn = {1095-8630}, abstract = {Despite a vast amount of research examining the antecedent variables of carbon prices, the impact of climate change risk on carbon prices has been rarely explored. This study adopted a complex system perspective and applied NCA and fsQCA models to analyze regional climate physical risk (CPR) and climate transition risk (CTR) from a complex system perspective. The results suggested that the primary factors affecting the Hubei carbon price included coal prices, market regulation, and national carbon market prices, and carbon prices could be higher in response to higher levels of economic policy uncertainty (EPU) combined with other factors. By comparing the changes of independent variables before and after the opening of the national carbon market, it was found that lower CPR and CTR were conducive to higher carbon prices; the former has received early attention but the latter has been neglected. The findings from this study provided theoretical and practical insight to inform government regulation of carbon prices and decision-making for carbon market stakeholders. The government should pay attention to the impacts of climate change risks and EPU on carbon prices because these factors could significantly undermine the incentive and economic effectiveness of the carbon market.}, }
@article {pmid39645595, year = {2024}, author = {Talepour, N and Tahmasebi Birgani, Y and Jaafarzadeh, N and Goudarzi, G}, title = {Advanced Prediction of PM10 Trends Using ANN-NARX Under CMIP6 Climate Change Scenarios.}, journal = {Iranian biomedical journal}, volume = {28}, number = {7}, pages = {3}, pmid = {39645595}, issn = {2008-823X}, mesh = {*Particulate Matter/analysis ; *Climate Change ; *Neural Networks, Computer ; Iran ; Climate Models ; Forecasting ; Seasons ; Environmental Monitoring/methods ; }, abstract = {INTRODUCTION: As climate change continues to reshape our environment, accurately forecasting air quality becomes essential for developing effective public health and environmental strategies. This study investigates changes in particulate matter (PM10) concentrations under the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways of the Climate Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (CMIP6).<br><br>METHODS AND MATERIALS: Historical climatic data (1998-2014) were collected to establish baseline conditions, and vital climatic variables-maximum and minimum temperatures, precipitation, and radiation-were gathered between 2013 and 2022 from the Iran Meteorological Organization. The Long Ashton Research Station Weather Generator (LARS-WG 6.0) software was used to perform statistical downscaling, generating high-resolution time series datasets from the historical climatic data. The MIROC6 atmospheric circulation models simulated future climate scenarios using three Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs) from the sixth IPCC Assessment Report (AR6): optimistic (SSP1-2.6), intermediate (SSP2-4.5), and pessimistic (SSP3-7.0). Monthly PM10 concentrations were obtained from MODIS satellite images. An Artificial Neural Network Nonlinear Autoregressive with Exogenous Input (ANN-NARX) model was developed using the collected climatic variables as predictors, and this model was used to estimate PM10 concentrations for the period 2023-2042 under each SSP scenario.<br><br>RESULTS: In various SSP scenarios, PM10 levels were assessed between 2023 and 2042. An increase in PM10 was observed across all scenarios, particularly during the hotter months of summer and spring over the next 20 years. The SSP2-4.5 scenario showed minimal change, maintaining levels close to historical data. In contrast, SSP3-7.0 exhibited significant increases in PM10, especially during the warmer months of summer and spring. Sensitivity analysis identified radiation and maximum temperature as critical factors influencing PM10 predictions, with sensitivity plots showing a notable increase in MSE when these factors were removed. The ANN-NARX model demonstrated satisfactory performance across the training, validation, and testing sets, with RMSE values ranging from 0.15 to 0.30, MAE values from 0.10 to 0.35, and MSE values from 0.01 to 0.1, and R values from 0.91 to 0.92.<br><br>CONCLUSION AND DISCUSSION: The study concluded that PM10 concentrations in Ahvaz were significantly influenced by radiation and maximum temperature. The anticipated temperature increases under various SSP scenarios suggest a potential decline in future air quality, with expected rises in PM10 levels. These findings underscore the urgent need for effective air quality management and climate adaptation strategies in Ahvaz.}, }
@article {pmid39645544, year = {2024}, author = {Blázquez, S and Papadimitriou, VC and Albaladejo, J and Jiménez, E}, title = {Atmospheric reaction of CH2=CHCH2OCF2CHF2 with OH radicals and Cl atoms, UV and IR absorption cross sections, and global warming potential.}, journal = {Environmental science and pollution research international}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, pmid = {39645544}, issn = {1614-7499}, support = {SBPLY/19/180501/000052//Junta de Comunidades de Castilla-La Mancha/ ; SBPLY/23/180225/000054//Junta de Comunidades de Castilla-La Mancha/ ; 2022-GRIN-34143//Universidad de Castilla-La Mancha/ ; }, abstract = {In this work, the rate coefficients for OH radical, k1(T), and Cl atom, k2(T), reaction with allyl 1,1,2,2-tetrafluoroethyl ether, CH2=CHCH2OCF2CHF2, were studied as a function of temperature and pressure in a collaborative effort made between UCLM, Spain, and LAPKIN, Greece. OH rate coefficients were determined in UCLM, between 263 and 353 K and 50-600 Torr, using the absolute rate method of pulsed laser photolysis-laser-induced fluorescence technique, while Cl kinetics were studied in temperature (260-363 K) and pressure (34-721 Torr) ranges, using the relative rate method of the thermostated photochemical reactor equipped with Fourier transform infrared spectroscopy as the detection technique. In both OH and Cl reactions, a negative temperature dependence of the measured rate coefficients was observed, which is consistent with complex association reactions. The temperature dependence of OH rate coefficients was found to be well represented by the following expression: k1(T) = (2.30 ± 0.35) × 10[-12] exp[(544 ± 46) K/T] cm[3] molecule[-1] s[-1]. In the case of the Cl-initiated reaction, a slight curvature was observed in the Arrhenius plot for k2(T), and the kinetic data were fitted to a modified Arrhenius expression: k2(T) = (4.42 ± 0.32) × 10[-16] T[2] exp[(610 ± 22) K/T] cm[3] molecule[-1] s[-1]. No pressure dependence was observed in either case. These results are consistent with a complex reaction mechanism that is not uncommon in radical association reactions to the unsaturated bond. As part of this work, UV (200-400 nm) and infrared absorption spectra (500-3200 cm[-1]) were also measured to further evaluate CH2=CHCH2OCF2CHF2 atmospheric impact. Atmospheric lifetimes with respect to OH radical and Cl atom reactions were estimated to be 19.8 h and 38 days, respectively, showing that OH radicals dominate atmospheric oxidation. CH2=CHCH2OCF2CHF2 is a very weak absorber in the solar actinic region, while its relatively low radiative efficiency in the atmospheric IR window, 0.0034 W m[-2] ppbv[-1], and the short lifetime led to a very low GWP value relative to CO2, 1.2 × 10[-2] and 3.3 × 10[-3], at time horizons of 20 and 100 years, respectively.}, }
@article {pmid39644633, year = {2024}, author = {Chandrani, S and Drishanu, D and Vaishnavi, G and Gunaseelan, S and Ashokkumar, B and Bharathi, KSU and Chew, KW and Varalakshmi, P}, title = {Role of macroalgal blue carbon ecosystems in climate change mitigation.}, journal = {The Science of the total environment}, volume = {958}, number = {}, pages = {177751}, doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.177751}, pmid = {39644633}, issn = {1879-1026}, abstract = {This review explicitly emphasizes the important yet unnoticed potential of macroalgae, such as seaweeds and kelps, as a powerful nature-based solution for climate change mitigation, with greater focus on the Indian Ocean seaweed diversity and efforts towards their conservation and management. Despite the IPCC's recognition of Blue Carbon ecosystems, seaweed ecosystems remain largely excluded from carbon accounting and policy frameworks. Herein, we specifically focus on the immense capacity of macroalgae globally and in the Indian Ocean coastal communities to sequester carbon, support marine biodiversity, and provide a range of ecosystem services. Through comprehensive analysis of existing literature on the primary productivity, species distribution and carbon sequestration capabilities of seaweeds, we highlight their pivotal role in carbon capture and utilization within a circular economy model. This review explores the ecosystem services provided by both wild and cultivated seaweeds, advocating for innovative applications and responsible management practices to maximize their climate mitigation potential. Our investigation identifies significant knowledge gaps and barriers in the conservation of economically significant, dwindling populations of seaweeds in the Indian Ocean and the integration of seaweed ecosystems into blue carbon policies, including the need for standardized classification, valuation, and long-term conservation strategies. Further, we address the impact of anthropogenic activities on wild seaweed biodiversity and the necessity for reliable carbon removal technologies to support seaweed aquaculture beds. This review urges policy reform, increased research and funding to this critical area. We aim to accentuate the importance of a blue economy in establishing carbon-neutral markets and effective climate change mitigation by improving the classification, finance and governance of seaweed ecosystem services.}, }
@article {pmid39644427, year = {2024}, author = {Goodwin, S and Olazabal, M and Castro, AJ and Pascual, U}, title = {A relational turn in climate change adaptation: Evidence from urban nature-based solutions.}, journal = {Ambio}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, pmid = {39644427}, issn = {1654-7209}, support = {LCF/BQ/DI20/11780006//'la Caixa' Foundation/ ; MCIN/AEI/10.13039/501100011033///Mar&#xed;a de Maeztu excellence accreditation 2018-2022/ ; IMAGINE adaptation/ERC_/European Research Council/International ; 101039429/ERC_/European Research Council/International ; }, abstract = {The emergence of nature-based solutions (NbS) in science, policy, and practice signals a paradigmatic shift in urban climate change adaptation, yet empirical investigations into its impact on adaptation definitions and progress tracking remain scarce. Addressing this gap, we conducted thematic analysis on semi-structured interviews (n = 15) with practitioners responsible for implementing and evaluating urban NbS in different countries. We provide a nuanced understanding of urban adaptation goals within urban NbS according to the insights from these practitioners, extending beyond hazard mitigation and towards cultivating and strengthening relationships between humans and nature. Tracking adaptation progress towards such relational adaptation goals requires acknowledging knowledge pluralism and the diversity of human-nature relations. We propose an alternative definition of adaptation supported by our data that aims to foster a more holistic approach to urban climate adaptation that accounts for the potential benefits of urban NbS across interconnected climate, biodiversity, and social goals.}, }
@article {pmid39642429, year = {2024}, author = {Coscia, TM and Di Maio, F and Zio, E}, title = {A modelling framework to analyze climate change effects on radionuclide aquifer contamination.}, journal = {Journal of contaminant hydrology}, volume = {269}, number = {}, pages = {104470}, doi = {10.1016/j.jconhyd.2024.104470}, pmid = {39642429}, issn = {1873-6009}, abstract = {Non-stationarity of climatic variables (e.g., temperature and precipitation) due to Climate Change (CC) can affect the migration processes of radionuclides released from nuclear activities. In this paper, a framework of analysis is developed to predict the evolution in time of contaminant concentration and fluence under different Climatic Boundary Conditions (CBCs) of precipitation scenarios provided by a climate model integrated with an accurate physical coupled hydraulic-transport model. A case study is worked out with respect to the migration of a radioactive contaminant ([232]Th) at Kirtland Air Force Base (Albuquerque, New Mexico, USA), for which the different CBCs considered are: i) stationary and ii) non-stationary precipitation. The effects of such alternative hypotheses on the physical modelling results are analysed, using a cross-wavelet analysis. It is shown that fluence is strongly affected by precipitation extremes, more than concentration, and it is claimed that a daily scale on the information and data of CBCs is necessary to model, with sufficient accuracy, the migration process and properly assess the impact of future CC on groundwater contamination.}, }
@article {pmid39642076, year = {2024}, author = {Munro, N}, title = {Climate Change and Emerging Infectious Diseases: A Precarious Relationship.}, journal = {AACN advanced critical care}, volume = {35}, number = {4}, pages = {325-333}, doi = {10.4037/aacnacc2024290}, pmid = {39642076}, issn = {1559-7776}, mesh = {Humans ; *Communicable Diseases, Emerging/transmission/epidemiology/prevention &amp; control ; *Climate Change ; United States/epidemiology ; Male ; Middle Aged ; Adult ; Female ; Animals ; Aged, 80 and over ; Aged ; }, abstract = {Climate change is apparent. Temperatures are rising. Floods are more frequent and devastating. Climate changes can favor the development of emerging infectious diseases. The number of animal reservoirs and vector hosts can increase, further spreading pathogens. Many emerging infectious diseases were not historically considered major threats in US but have become a major concern in US territories and various states. In June 2024, the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention issued a Health Alert Network advisory about an increase in local transmission of dengue fever. Preventing the transmission of emerging infectious diseases has become a focus of regulatory agencies. Nurse education at all levels should include infectious diseases and be coordinated with local, state, and regional institutions. Emerging infectious diseases are now formidable challenges to health care.}, }
@article {pmid39642075, year = {2024}, author = {Shelby, LA}, title = {Developing a Green Nursing Practice in a Profession That Contributes to Climate Change: One Nurse's Journey.}, journal = {AACN advanced critical care}, volume = {35}, number = {4}, pages = {310-319}, doi = {10.4037/aacnacc2024804}, pmid = {39642075}, issn = {1559-7776}, mesh = {*Climate Change ; Humans ; Female ; Male ; Adult ; Middle Aged ; Nurse's Role ; United States ; Nursing Staff, Hospital/psychology ; Critical Care Nursing/standards ; }, abstract = {The health care industry accounts for 5% of global greenhouse gas emissions, with hospitals being the largest contributor. Critical care units create 3 times the greenhouse emissions of other hospital patient care units. Health care contributions to environmental harm include medical waste disposal, toxicant exposure, and pollutants. Integrating green practices into hospitals, especially in intensive care units, can seem overwhelming, with barriers including time constraints, lack of leadership and organizational support, and ignorance of green practices. Nursing is a socially responsible discipline committed to improving the health of individuals and communities; values of environmental stewardship and the desire to minimize poor health outcomes caused by climate change do not always align with hospital policies or clinician practices. This article addresses how nurses can confront the complex environmental problems in the workplace, apply sustainability principles to develop a green nursing practice, and collectively influence the future of national and global health.}, }
@article {pmid39642070, year = {2024}, author = {Pate, MFD and Slota, M}, title = {Climate Change and Environmental Sustainability in Acute and Critical Care.}, journal = {AACN advanced critical care}, volume = {35}, number = {4}, pages = {308-309}, doi = {10.4037/aacnacc2024154}, pmid = {39642070}, issn = {1559-7776}, }
@article {pmid39642069, year = {2024}, author = {Pate, MFD}, title = {Climate Change: Time for Hospitals to Respond.}, journal = {AACN advanced critical care}, volume = {35}, number = {4}, pages = {320-324}, doi = {10.4037/aacnacc2024134}, pmid = {39642069}, issn = {1559-7776}, mesh = {*Climate Change ; Humans ; Disaster Planning ; Hospitals ; United States ; }, abstract = {Alarm bells are sounding internationally as climate change impacts planet Earth and its inhabitants. Health care organizations must consider the role they play in working toward environmental sustainability in terms of mitigation, resilience, leadership, and equity. Institutions need to address the effects of climate change on the physical health and mental well-being of patients and their families as well as employees. Awareness of the complexities of sustainability initiatives and disaster management related to inclement weather and weather-related events is critical for health care organizations to avoid precipitating the illnesses and diseases they endeavor to prevent and heal.}, }
@article {pmid39641952, year = {2024}, author = {Anderer, S}, title = {Climate Change Inaction Poses Record-Breaking Health Risks.}, journal = {JAMA}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, doi = {10.1001/jama.2024.24263}, pmid = {39641952}, issn = {1538-3598}, }
@article {pmid39641917, year = {2024}, author = {Cheng, KJ and Shi, J and Pogorelov, TV and Capponi, S}, title = {Investigating the Bromoform Membrane Interactions Using Atomistic Simulations and Machine Learning: Implications for Climate Change Mitigation.}, journal = {The journal of physical chemistry. B}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, doi = {10.1021/acs.jpcb.4c04930}, pmid = {39641917}, issn = {1520-5207}, abstract = {Methane emissions from livestock contribute to global warming. Seaweeds used as food additive offer a promising emission mitigation strategy because seaweeds are enriched in bromoform─a methanogenesis inhibitor. Therefore, understanding bromoform storage and production in seaweeds and particularly in a cell-like environment is crucial. As a first step toward this aim, we present an atomistic description of bromoform dynamics, diffusion, and aggregation in the presence of lipid membranes. Using all-atom molecular dynamics simulations with customized CHARMM-formatted bromoform force field files, we investigate the interactions of bromoform and lipid bilayer across various concentrations. Bromoform penetrates membranes and at high concentrations forms aggregates outside the membrane without affecting membrane thickness or lipid tail order. Aggregates outside the membrane influence the membrane curvature. Within the membrane, bromoform preferentially localizes in the membrane hydrophobic core and diffuses the slowest along the membrane normal. Employing general local-atomic descriptors and unsupervised machine learning, we demonstrate the similarity of bromoform local structures between the liquid and aggregated forms.}, }
@article {pmid39641333, year = {2024}, author = {Sowunmi, AO and Eze, OI and Osadolor, U and Iseolorunkanmi, A and Adeloye, D}, title = {Leveraging AI and data science to mitigate the respiratory health impacts of climate change in Africa: Organisation, costs, and challenges.}, journal = {Journal of global health}, volume = {14}, number = {}, pages = {03051}, pmid = {39641333}, issn = {2047-2986}, }
@article {pmid39641194, year = {2024}, author = {Logie, CH and MacNeil, A}, title = {Climate change and extreme weather events and linkages with HIV outcomes: recent advances and ways forward.}, journal = {Current opinion in infectious diseases}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, pmid = {39641194}, issn = {1473-6527}, abstract = {PURPOSE OF REVIEW: Discuss the recent evidence on climate change and related extreme weather events (EWE) and linkages with HIV prevention and care outcomes.<br><br>RECENT FINDINGS: We identified 22 studies exploring HIV prevention and care in the context of EWE. HIV prevention studies examined sexual practices that increase HIV exposure (e.g., condomless sex, transactional sex), HIV testing, and HIV recent infections and prevalence. HIV care-related outcomes among people with HIV included clinical outcomes (e.g., viral load), antiretroviral therapy adherence and access, HIV care engagement and retention, and mental and physical wellbeing. Pathways from EWE to HIV prevention and care included: structural impacts (e.g., health infrastructure damage); resource insecurities (e.g., food insecurity-related ART adherence barriers); migration and displacement (e.g., reduced access to HIV services); and intrapersonal and interpersonal impacts (e.g., mental health challenges, reduced social support).<br><br>SUMMARY: Studies recommended multilevel strategies for HIV care in the context of EWE, including at the structural-level (e.g. food security programs), health institution-level (e.g., long-lasting ART), community-level (e.g. collective water management), and individual-level (e.g., coping skills). Climate-informed HIV prevention research is needed. Integration of EWE emergency and disaster preparedness and HIV services offers new opportunities for optimizing HIV prevention and care.}, }
@article {pmid39640687, year = {2024}, author = {Arogundade, S and Hassan, AS and Mduduzi, B}, title = {Is climate change hindering the economic progress of Nigerian economy? Insights from dynamic models.}, journal = {Heliyon}, volume = {10}, number = {20}, pages = {e39288}, pmid = {39640687}, issn = {2405-8440}, abstract = {This study investigates the link between climate change and economic growth in Nigeria from 1961 to 2022. To provide a robust analysis that facilitates a nuanced examination of this dynamic relationship, this study employs state-of-the-art econometric approaches, including autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL), fully modified least squares (FMOLS), novel quantile autoregressive distributed lag (QARDL), and time-varying causality. The empirical results of this study are as follows: (1) the impact of climate change on economic growth is not felt in the short run. However, climate change negatively influences economic growth in Nigeria in the long run, (2) the elasticity of climate change increases across the conditional quantile economic growth, (3) unidirectional causality from climate change to economic growth across different time dimensions. These empirical outcomes advocate for a proactive and adaptive policy framework, emphasising the need for the Nigerian government to adopt climate-smart policies.}, }
@article {pmid39640009, year = {2024}, author = {David, JO}, title = {Decolonizing climate change response: African indigenous knowledge and sustainable development.}, journal = {Frontiers in sociology}, volume = {9}, number = {}, pages = {1456871}, pmid = {39640009}, issn = {2297-7775}, abstract = {BACKGROUND: Anthropogenic Global Warming (AGW) poses a critical challenge necessitating effective global climate change mitigation efforts. However, the pervasive influence of scientism in AGW discourse often marginalizes Indigenous perspectives crucial for addressing climate impacts, particularly in Africa where adaptive capacity is limited.<br><br>OBJECTIVE: This study, rooted in Transformative Learning Theory and Ubuntu philosophy, employs critical qualitative research methods to examine how scientism shapes AGW discourse epistemologically and ethically. It explores the hindrances posed by climate change denialism and ecomodernism due to scientism while advocating the integration of African Indigenous Knowledge Systems (AIKs) into climate response strategies, particularly within the African education landscape.<br><br>METHODS: Drawing on the theoretical frameworks of Transformative Learning and Ubuntu philosophy, and informed by critical qualitative research methodology, this research analyzes the role of scientism in AGW discourse. It investigates its implications for Education for Sustainable Development (ESD) and discusses arguments for the inclusion of AIK in educational and policy frameworks.<br><br>RESULTS: The study reveals that scientism perpetuates epistemological biases that undervalue AIK, thereby impeding comprehensive climate response strategies. Pathways are proposed that promote AIK integration and mainstreaming, thereby decolonizing climate response efforts and enhancing ESD within Africa's educational institutions.<br><br>CONCLUSION: Integrating insights from AIK, construed in terms of 'exemplary ethical communities' (EEC), into climate change responses is pivotal for fostering inclusive and effective strategies. This approach not only addresses the ethical imperatives of decolonization but also enhances resilience and sustainability in climate-vulnerable regions.<br><br>SIGNIFICANCE: This study contributes to scholarship by highlighting the urgent need to diversify climate response strategies through the inclusion of AIK. By advocating for the integration of wisdom from EECs, it advances discussions on decoloniality within climate change discourse, emphasizing the importance of Indigenous knowledge in global sustainability efforts.}, }
@article {pmid39639289, year = {2024}, author = {Geffert, K and Voss, S and Rehfuess, E and Rechel, B}, title = {The role of the public health service in the implementation of heat health action plans for climate change adaptation in Germany: A qualitative study.}, journal = {Health research policy and systems}, volume = {22}, number = {1}, pages = {161}, pmid = {39639289}, issn = {1478-4505}, mesh = {Humans ; *Climate Change ; Germany ; *Qualitative Research ; *Public Health ; *Health Policy ; Hot Temperature ; Health Plan Implementation ; Heat Stress Disorders/prevention &amp; control ; Federal Government ; }, abstract = {BACKGROUND: In response to climate change-induced increases in heat periods, the WHO recommends the implementation of heat health action plans (HHAPs). In Germany, HHAPs are implemented neither comprehensively nor nationwide. Several recommendations have identified the public health service (PHS) at municipal and federal state levels as a key actor regarding to heat and health. Therefore, this study aimed at assessing the role of the PHS in implementing HHAPs at municipal and federal state levels in Germany.<br><br>METHODS: We conducted a policy document analysis to assess the legal basis for the work of the PHS in the 16 federal states in Germany. Furthermore, we conducted semi-structured interviews with 16 experts from within and outside the PHS to explore their perceptions of the PHS in the implementation of HHAPs. The interviews were analysed using reflective thematic analysis.<br><br>RESULTS: The policy document analysis revealed that heat is not mentioned in any of the federal states' regulatory frameworks for the PHS, while tasks related to environment and health are addressed, but tend to remain vague. The interviews confirmed that there is currently no clearly defined role for the PHS in implementing HHAPs in Germany and that the actual role primarily depends on the local setting. Main barriers and facilitators could be assigned to three levels (individual, organizational and political), and two overarching contextual factors (awareness of the need for adaptation and existence of other public health emergencies) influenced the implementation of HHAPs across all levels. At the individual level, motivation, knowledge and competencies, and previous experience were possible barriers or enablers. At the organizational level, administrative structures, financial and human resources, leadership and networks were barriers or facilitators, while at the political level they included legislation and political decisions.<br><br>CONCLUSIONS: The PHS could and should be a relevant actor for implementing measures addressing health and climate change locally, in particular because of its focus on vulnerable populations. However, our findings suggest that the legal basis in the federal states of Germany is insufficient. Tailored approaches are needed to overcome barriers such as rigid, non-agile administrative structures and competing priorities, while taking advantage of facilitators such as awareness of relevant actors.}, }
@article {pmid39637590, year = {2024}, author = {Couto, S and Rodrigues, S and Patrão, R and Vieira, M and Antunes, SC and Pinheiro, C}, title = {Impact of cigarette butts elutriates on Artemia franciscana in a climate change context.}, journal = {Marine pollution bulletin}, volume = {211}, number = {}, pages = {117345}, doi = {10.1016/j.marpolbul.2024.117345}, pmid = {39637590}, issn = {1879-3363}, abstract = {Cigarette butts (CBs) are major worldwide pollutants, posing environmental challenges, especially in the current climate crisis. Hence, this study examined the biological responses of Artemia franciscana to smoked (SCBs) and non-smoked (nSCBs) cigarette butt elutriates with increased temperatures. Acute (0.188-4.0 CBs/L, 48 h) and sub-chronic (0.03125-0.5 CBs/L, 7 d) assays were performed, exposing nauplii to two temperatures (25.0 ± 1.0 °C, guideline; and 30.0 ± 1.0 °C, according to IUCN (2017) and European Environment Agency (2023) projections). High acute toxicity was observed: LC50 = 3.98 SCBs/L and an LC50 = 0.94 nSCBs/L at 25.0 °C, with increased toxicity for SCBs (LC50 = 1.26 SCBs/L) at 30.0 °C. The sub-chronic exposure showed that the temperature increase affected the organisms' biological responses to CBs by disturbing the activity of acetylcholinesterase (AChE) and the antioxidant enzymes catalase (CAT) and glutathione S-transferases (GSTs), inducing oxidative damage (thiobarbituric acid reactive substances - TBARS) and influencing energy metabolism (lactate dehydrogenase - LDH). A. franciscana's biological responses emphasize the importance of mitigating CBs pollution by understanding these ecotoxicological implications in a warming world.}, }
@article {pmid39637542, year = {2024}, author = {Zhang, X and Zhang, S and Fang, L and Zhang, C and Li, X}, title = {The impacts of socioeconomic development and climate change on long-term nutrient dynamics: A case study in Poyang Lake.}, journal = {The Science of the total environment}, volume = {957}, number = {}, pages = {177843}, doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.177843}, pmid = {39637542}, issn = {1879-1026}, abstract = {The anthropogenic activities associated with rapid socioeconomic development affect global climate change and the water quality of lake ecosystems. However, the impacts of socioeconomic and climate changes on lake nutrient dynamics require additional study. In this study, we used a long-term dataset (1987-2021) of Poyang Lake to identify the nutrient dynamics and assess the impacts of social and climatic factors on nutrient concentrations. The filtering trajectory method (FTM) suggested that in Poyang Lake, nutrients first increased and then decreased, with TP reaching its highest value of 157 μg/L in 2015. The study employs a combination of structural equation modeling (SEM) and FTM to identify the complex interactions between socio-economic and climatic factors affecting nutrient concentrations in Poyang Lake. The SEM results revealed that socioeconomic factors rather than climate change determined the long-term changes in TN and TP. Additionally, FTM results verified that GDP, urbanization (Ur) and P-fertilizer (Pfer) were the key drivers of TN; Ur, population (P), and sewerage treatment rate (STR) were the primary factors of TP. Through generalized additive models (GAMs), we observed that GDP accounted for 86 % of the temporal variability in TN and 45.7 % of that in TP, exhibiting inverted U-shaped relationships with both TN and TP. Air temperature (AT), a climatic factor accounted for only 44.6 % and 14.8 % of the variation in TN and TP, respectively. In addition, Pfer explained 66.0 % of the variation in TN, and STR explained 50.4 % of the variation in TP with a peak TP at the STR threshold of approximately 80 %. Our findings highlight the importance of Pfer and STR as critical indicators for watershed nutrient management. The identification of key temporal drivers and nutrient trajectories provides a scientific basis for developing management strategies. The results highlight coordinated control strategies for water pollution and carbon reduction as essential measures for mitigating climate change.}, }
@article {pmid39637503, year = {2024}, author = {Dyderski, MK and Paź-Dyderska, S and Jagodziński, AM and Puchałka, R}, title = {Shifts in native tree species distributions in Europe under climate change.}, journal = {Journal of environmental management}, volume = {373}, number = {}, pages = {123504}, doi = {10.1016/j.jenvman.2024.123504}, pmid = {39637503}, issn = {1095-8630}, abstract = {Key European tree species are expected to contract their ranges under changing climate, thus there is a need to assess range shifts for other native tree species that could fill their forest niche. Recent studies have focused on economically important species, revealing a wide range of shifts in their distribution worldwide and highlighting several pathways for potential future changes. We aimed to quantify changes in projected ranges and threat levels by the years 2041-60 and 2061-80, for 20 European temperate forest tree species under four climate change scenarios. We compared ten standard stock tree species with ten alternative stock species, that are less frequent and less preferred by managers. We combined distribution data from several sources for each tree species and developed species distribution models using MaxEnt and seven bioclimatic variables. We applied these models to projections of future climate from four global circulation models, under four Shared Socioeconomic Pathways and for near and middle terms: 2041-60 and 2061-80. We also assessed the relationships between predicted range contraction and their functional traits. Analysis of MaxEnt models divided the studied tree species into three groups: non-threatened (Sorbus torminalis, Ulmus minor, Tilia platyphyllos, Acer pseudoplatanus, Prunus avium, and Carpinus betulus), partially threatened (U. laevis, Betula pendula, Quercus robur, Q. petraea, A. platanoides, Fagus sylvatica, Fraxinus excelsior, T. cordata, Alnus glutinosa, and U. glabra), and the most threatened (Abies alba, Larix decidua, Picea abies, and Pinus sylvestris). For the last group, almost half of the range contraction will occur earlier (2041-2060) compared to our previous predictions (2061-2080). The proportion of range contraction decreased with increasing specific leaf area, leaf area, leaf nitrogen content, seed mass, and specific stem density while it increased with increasing height. Our study provides novel predictions of shifts in climatic optima under the most recent climate change scenarios, which would be useful for evidence-based conservation and management of European forests. The near-term predicted threats to the main standard stock tree species call for intensified preparation for incoming changes. We recommend splitting the silvicultural risks over a wider range of tree species, also including alternative stock species.}, }
@article {pmid39636977, year = {2024}, author = {Urban, MC}, title = {Climate change extinctions.}, journal = {Science (New York, N.Y.)}, volume = {386}, number = {6726}, pages = {1123-1128}, doi = {10.1126/science.adp4461}, pmid = {39636977}, issn = {1095-9203}, mesh = {Animals ; *Amphibians ; Australia ; *Biodiversity ; *Climate Change ; Conservation of Natural Resources ; *Extinction, Biological ; South America ; *Fresh Water ; Hot Temperature ; New Zealand ; }, abstract = {Climate change is expected to cause irreversible changes to biodiversity, but predicting those risks remains uncertain. I synthesized 485 studies and more than 5 million projections to produce a quantitative global assessment of climate change extinctions. With increased certainty, this meta-analysis suggests that extinctions will accelerate rapidly if global temperatures exceed 1.5°C. The highest-emission scenario would threaten approximately one-third of species, globally. Amphibians; species from mountain, island, and freshwater ecosystems; and species inhabiting South America, Australia, and New Zealand face the greatest threats. In line with predictions, climate change has contributed to an increasing proportion of observed global extinctions since 1970. Besides limiting greenhouse gases, pinpointing which species to protect first will be critical for preserving biodiversity until anthropogenic climate change is halted and reversed.}, }
@article {pmid39636468, year = {2024}, author = {Shamim, T and Bhat, MS and Alam, A and Ahsan, S and Sheikh, HA}, title = {Evaluation of drought events using multiple drought indices under climate change in the Upper Indus Basin.}, journal = {Environmental monitoring and assessment}, volume = {197}, number = {1}, pages = {27}, pmid = {39636468}, issn = {1573-2959}, mesh = {*Droughts ; *Climate Change ; *Environmental Monitoring ; India ; Temperature ; Rain ; }, abstract = {Spatiotemporal variations in drought events were examined through multiple drought indices in the Upper Indus Basin (UIB) during the 1980-2020 period using observed climate data of precipitation, temperature (T max., T min., and T mean), and potential evapotranspiration (PET) from 16 meteorological stations. Software like ClimPACT2 (to quality check data and generate SPI, SPEI, and CDD drought indices), DrinC (to generate AI, eRDI and PD drought indices), CMhyd (to bias correct NASA POWER gridded data), and ArcGIS (to map extreme drought years) were used in this study. It was revealed that precipitation decreased at 30 mm/decade and maximum and minimum temperatures increased at 0.132 °C/decade and 0.23 °C/decade, aridity increased by decreasing aridity index at 0.15/decade, and number of consecutive dry days increased at 2 days/decade. All drought indices reflected decreasing trends, indicating a warming and drying climatic regime. The eRDI drought index analysis revealed that droughts have occurred for 12.6 years in the last four decades, and mild droughts (15%) are more common, followed by moderate droughts (9.4%), severe droughts (4.7%), and extreme droughts (2.4%). The study provides comparisons of drought patterns under changing climate in three distinct climatic and physical regions of UIB, i.e., Jammu, Kashmir, and Ladakh, and reveals that the UIB is not free from droughts.}, }
@article {pmid39636217, year = {2024}, author = {Mills, J and Romagnolo, A and Battaglia, G and Eyal, S and Gulcebi, MI and Macrohon, B and Sisodiya, SM and Vezzani, A and , }, title = {Exploring the impact of climate change on epilepsy: Insights from the 15th European Epilepsy Congress.}, journal = {Epilepsia}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, doi = {10.1111/epi.18208}, pmid = {39636217}, issn = {1528-1167}, support = {//Epilepsy Society/ ; }, }
@article {pmid39635119, year = {2024}, author = {Havea, PH and Su, B and Liu, C and Kundzewicz, ZW and Wang, Y and Wang, G and Jing, C and Jiang, H and Yang, F and Mata'afa, FN and Jiang, T}, title = {Wind and solar energy in Small Island Developing States for mitigating global climate change.}, journal = {iScience}, volume = {27}, number = {10}, pages = {111062}, pmid = {39635119}, issn = {2589-0042}, abstract = {Despite contributing less than 1% of global greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions, Small Island Developing States (SIDS) have the potential to drive global mitigation actions by advocating for ambitious emission reduction targets, promoting renewable energy solutions, and advancing sustainable development practices. The adoption of onshore-offshore wind and solar energy in 39 SIDS, which are currently experiencing the adverse effects of climate change, presents a significant opportunity. By harnessing renewable energy sources, these countries can effectively mitigate GHG emissions, enhance energy security, and build resilience. This approach aligns with the renewable energy roadmap outlined at the 28[th] Conference of Parties (COP) of the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC), facilitating a transition from fossil fuels to renewable energy sources. However, realizing such prospects requires collaboration among policymakers, industry stakeholders, and researchers to address multiple technical, economic, and environmental issues. Through this joint effort, the untapped potential of wind and solar energy can be fully harnessed, offering a pragmatic solution to actively mitigate climate change and the issues faced in these regions.}, }
@article {pmid39634440, year = {2024}, author = {Turan Gökçe, D and Arı, D and Ata, N and Gökcan, H and İdilman, R and Ülgü, MM and Harputluoglu, M and Akarsu, M and Karasu, Z and Ayvalı, MO and Birinci, &#x15e; and Akdoğan Kayhan, M}, title = {Mushroom Intoxication in Türkiye: A Nationwide Cohort Study Based on Demographic Trends, Seasonal Variations, and the Impact of Climate Change on Incidence.}, journal = {The Turkish journal of gastroenterology : the official journal of Turkish Society of Gastroenterology}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, doi = {10.5152/tjg.2024.24368}, pmid = {39634440}, issn = {2148-5607}, abstract = {BACKGROUND/AIMS: Mushroom intoxication poses a considerable public health risk due to its potential for severe toxicity and fatality. This study aims to investigate demographic trends, diagnostic locations, and mortality rates of patients with mushroom intoxication.<br><br>MATERIALS AND METHODS: This retrospective cohort study utilized data from the National Electronic Database of the Turkish Ministry of Health. The study focused on patients without chronic liver disease or prior liver transplantation presenting with mushroom intoxication between 2018 and 2023. Demographic information, diagnostic locations, and mortality rates were analyzed, considering a six-year period to ensure even seasonal distribution.<br><br>RESULTS: Among 30459 individuals admitted with mushroom intoxication, 44.75% were male, with a mean age of 45.84 years. The Black Sea, Marmara, and Central Anatolia regions had the highest number of cases, with specific cities like Tokat, Bolu, Yozgat, and Kastamonu having the highest rates per 100,000 population in 2022. Mushroom intoxication predominantly occurred in May, June, October, and November. Hospitalization occurred in 8.9% of cases, with a 6.6% mortality rate within 90 days and 1.3% progressing to liver transplantation. Notably, mushroom intoxication cases increased by 130% in the first half of 2023, particularly in May and June, correlating with increased rainfall.<br><br>CONCLUSION: Mushroom intoxication is a serious public health issue, with morbidity and mortality influenced by climate factors. The study highlights a significant increase in cases in the first half of 2023, potentially linked to heightened rainfall and climate change.}, }
@article {pmid39633076, year = {2024}, author = {Challa, V and Renganathan, M}, title = {Assessment of climate change impact on meteorological variables of Indravati River Basin using SDSM and CMIP6 models.}, journal = {Environmental monitoring and assessment}, volume = {197}, number = {1}, pages = {22}, pmid = {39633076}, issn = {1573-2959}, mesh = {*Climate Change ; *Rivers/chemistry ; India ; *Environmental Monitoring ; Climate Models ; Temperature ; }, abstract = {Climate change, one of the most pressing issues of the twenty-first century, threatens the long-term stability and short-term variability of water resources. Variations in precipitation and temperature will influence runoff and water availability, creating significant challenges as demand for potable water increases. This study addresses a critical literature gap by employing the Statistical Downscaling Model (SDSM) to downscale Global Climate Model (GCM) outputs for the Indravati River Basin, India. Maximum temperature (Tmax), minimum temperature (Tmin), and precipitation (PCP) were statistically downscaled, improving the spatial resolution of coarse GCM data. The model established strong predictor-predictand relationships, offering enhanced local-scale climate projections for the basin. This work provides critical insights into regional climate change impacts in a previously underexplored area. The study projected the meteorological variables (Tmax, Tmin, and PCP) for Chindnar, Jagdalpur, and Pathagudem stations using four GCMs, namely CanESM5, MPI-ESM1-2-HR, EC-Earth3, and NorESM2-LM for the baseline period (1990-2014). The Correlation Coefficient-values (R-values) range from 0.75 to 0.91 for maximum temperature, 0.85 to 0.96 for minimum temperature, and 0.71 to 0.83 for precipitation were achieved using SDSM. The best-performed MPI-ESM1-2-HR model was used to project maximum temperature, minimum temperature, and precipitation for 2024-2054 (2040s) and 2055-2085 (2070s) under SSP4.5 and SSP8.5 scenarios using SDSM. The downscaled results revealed significant shifts in meteorological patterns, highlighting the basin's sensitivity to different socio-economic pathways and future climate conditions. The percentage monthly, seasonal, and annual variations of Tmax, Tmin, and PCP were analysed based on each scenario and time period to suggest remedial measures for future floods and droughts.}, }
@article {pmid39633005, year = {2024}, author = {Agulles, M and Marbà, N and Duarte, CM and Jordà, G}, title = {Mediterranean seagrasses provide essential coastal protection under climate change.}, journal = {Scientific reports}, volume = {14}, number = {1}, pages = {30269}, pmid = {39633005}, issn = {2045-2322}, abstract = {Seagrasses are vital in coastal areas, offering crucial ecosystem services and playing a relevant role in coastal protection. The decrease in the density of Mediterranean seagrasses over recent decades, due to warming and anthropogenic stressors, may imply a serious environmental threat. Here we quantify the role of coastal impact reduction induced by seagrass presence under present and future climate. We focus in the Balearic Islands, a representative and well monitored region in the Mediterranean. Our results quantify how important the presence of seagrasses is for coastal protection. The complete loss of seagrasses would lead to an extreme water level (eTWL) increase comparable to the projected sea level rise (SLR) at the end of the century under the high end scenario of greenhouse gases emissions. Under that scenario, the eTWL could increase up to ~ 1.4 m, with 54% of that increase attributed to seagrass loss. These findings underscore the importance of seagrass conservation for coastal protection.}, }
@article {pmid39632362, year = {2024}, author = {Yang, HY and Wu, CF and Tsai, KH}, title = {Projections of Climate Change Impact on Acute Heat Illnesses in Taiwan: Case-Crossover Study.}, journal = {JMIR public health and surveillance}, volume = {10}, number = {}, pages = {e57948}, pmid = {39632362}, issn = {2369-2960}, mesh = {Taiwan/epidemiology ; Humans ; *Climate Change ; Male ; Female ; Adult ; Middle Aged ; Heat Stress Disorders/epidemiology/prevention &amp; control ; Cross-Over Studies ; Aged ; Adolescent ; Child, Preschool ; Child ; Infant ; Forecasting ; Young Adult ; Hot Temperature/adverse effects ; Acute Disease/epidemiology ; }, abstract = {BACKGROUND: With global warming, the number of days with extreme heat is expected to increase and may cause more acute heat illnesses. While decreasing emissions may mitigate the climate impacts, its effectiveness in reducing acute heat illnesses remains uncertain. Taiwan has established a real-time epidemic surveillance and early warning system to monitor acute heat illnesses since January 1, 2011. Predicting the number of acute heat illnesses requires forecasting temperature changes that are influenced by adaptation policies.<br><br>OBJECTIVE: The aim of this study was to estimate the changes in the number of acute heat illnesses under different adaptation policies.<br><br>METHODS: We obtained the numbers of acute heat illnesses in Taiwan from January 2011 to July 2023 using emergency department visit data from the real-time epidemic surveillance and early warning system. We used segmented linear regression to identify the join point as a nonoptimal temperature threshold. We projected the temperature distribution and excess acute heat illnesses through the end of the century when Taiwan adopts the "Sustainability (shared socioeconomic pathways 1-2.6 [SSP1-2.6])," "Middle of the road (SSP2-4.5)," "Regional rivalry (SSP3-7.0)," and "Fossil-fueled development (SSP5-8.5)" scenarios. Distributed lag nonlinear models were used to analyze the attributable number (AN) and attributable fraction (AF) of acute heat illnesses caused by nonoptimal temperature.<br><br>RESULTS: We enrolled a total of 28,661 patients with a mean age of 44.5 (SD 15.3) years up to July 2023, of whom 21,619 (75.4%) were male patients. The nonoptimal temperature was 27 &#xb0;C. The relative risk of acute heat illnesses with a 1-degree increase in mean temperature was 1.71 (95% CI 1.63-1.79). In the SSP5-8.5 worst-case scenario, the mean temperature was projected to rise by +5.8 &#xb0;C (SD 0.26), with the AN and AF of acute heat illnesses above nonoptimal temperature being 19,021 (95% CI 2249-35,792) and 89.9% (95% CI 89.3%-90.5%) by 2090-2099. However, if Taiwan adopts the Sustainability SSP1-2.6 scenario, the AN and AF of acute heat illnesses due to nonoptimal temperature will be reduced to 12,468 (95% CI 3233-21,704) and 62.1% (95% CI 61.2-63.1).<br><br>CONCLUSIONS: Adopting sustainable development policies can help mitigate the risk of acute heat illnesses caused by global warming.}, }
@article {pmid39631335, year = {2024}, author = {Patra, SR and Chu, HJ and Aman, MA}, title = {Utilizing deep learning to investigate the impacts of climate change on groundwater dynamics and pumping variability.}, journal = {The Science of the total environment}, volume = {957}, number = {}, pages = {177784}, doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.177784}, pmid = {39631335}, issn = {1879-1026}, abstract = {Climate change occasionally leads to unprecedented groundwater level decline. This study investigates the impacts of climate change on groundwater level and pumping electricity consumption concurrently over an agricultural region in Central Taiwan. A hybrid deep learning model i.e., CNN-LSTM was employed to predict future groundwater level and pumping electricity using monthly precipitation and average temperature as exogenous inputs from 2007 to 2021. We adopted future projections for these climate inputs from the latest CMIP6 climate models spanning 15 years (2022-36) for shared socioeconomic pathways (SSPs) scenarios (SSP245 and SSP585). Results revealed that the groundwater level fluctuations in the region are indirectly influenced by climate-induced pumping, as evidenced by exacerbated energy consumption for groundwater extraction during periods of high temperatures and reduced precipitation. Future projections imply that pumping electricity is expected to rise by 2.5-5 % while groundwater level may decline by more than 1 m due to a reduction in average precipitation of about 50-150 mm and a rise in temperature of about 0.7-1.3 °C, respectively over the next 15 years (2022-36). Most notable impacts are witnessed for irrigation-intensive regions such as mid and distal fans. This study necessitates the need to collect and involve pumping along with climate information for a more pragmatic assessment of future groundwater level that may indirectly threaten the food and water security in the region through proficient management of groundwater resources.}, }
@article {pmid39631333, year = {2024}, author = {Munz, L and Mosimann, M and Kauzlaric, M and Martius, O and Zischg, AP}, title = {Storylines of extreme precipitation events and flood impacts in alpine and pre-alpine environments under various global warming levels.}, journal = {The Science of the total environment}, volume = {957}, number = {}, pages = {177791}, doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.177791}, pmid = {39631333}, issn = {1879-1026}, abstract = {Exploring the impacts of extreme weather events has gained increased attention in recent years after repeated record-breaking events, such as unprecedented river flood events in central Europe in summer 2021. After the flood event, risk management institutions, such as for example, fire brigades, civil protection units, or natural hazard experts asked if it was possible to predict the impacts of such an unprecedented event ex-ante and if similar events could occur elsewhere or if climatic changes can even worsen extreme flood events. Here, we present an approach to explore storylines of physically plausible extreme river flood events in a warming climate. The simulated flood events are based on extreme precipitation events selected from re-forecast archives. River discharge, flood processes, and their impacts on people and infrastructure are simulated for nine storylines under five global warming levels for the alpine and pre-alpine headwater catchments of the main rivers in northern Switzerland. The precipitation intensity was increased linearly with global warming according to the Clausius-Clapeyron relation. The coupled hydrological-hydraulic simulations show that the increase in peak discharge is higher than the increase in precipitation. The flood impacts increase non-linearly with higher global warming levels. The results show that record-breaking, high-impact river floods are possible under the current atmospheric conditions, and climate change substantially aggravates flood impacts. The simulations show a broad range of potential outcomes of flood impact storylines depending on the simulated scenario and local conditions. This leads to the conclusion that storylines of extreme flood events are a valuable tool to explore, describe, and communicate extreme events. Still, the inherent challenge is the communication of the representativeness of a particular storyline and, hence, the practical consequences that should or should not be derived. We, therefore, suggest considering storylines of events with a range of magnitudes and different spatiotemporal precipitation patterns to comprehend the possible range of outcomes and select appropriate storylines out of the set for risk communication.}, }
@article {pmid39627068, year = {2024}, author = {Lu, N and Qin, J}, title = {Double-edged impact of climate change on global solar power.}, journal = {Science bulletin}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, doi = {10.1016/j.scib.2024.11.030}, pmid = {39627068}, issn = {2095-9281}, }
@article {pmid39626388, year = {2024}, author = {Han, Q and Zhang, P and Keeffe, G and Zhang, S}, title = {Evaluating and improving the connectivity of China's protected area networks for facilitating species range shifts under climate change.}, journal = {Journal of environmental management}, volume = {373}, number = {}, pages = {123535}, doi = {10.1016/j.jenvman.2024.123535}, pmid = {39626388}, issn = {1095-8630}, abstract = {Contemporary climate change is causing spatial redistributions of many species, potentially undermining the effectiveness of existing protected areas (PAs). This raises concerns about whether current PAs are connected enough to capture climate-induced range shifts and how to expand PAs to support this ecological process. Hence, we conducted a national-scale assessment of climate connectivity for the terrestrial PAs across mainland China. We found that most PAs are structurally connected to cool ones through low human impact (LHI) areas along temperature gradients. The connected PA networks could enable species to migrate and avoid an average climate warming of 2.9 °C under moderate emission scenario. Nevertheless, less than half (46.2%) of the PAs have achieved successful climate connectivity. To facilitate climate-induced range shifts, we identified priority areas for conservation based on their importance in supporting connections between PAs. Our study provides spatially explicit assessments of the connectivity of PA networks for range shifts and emphasizes the necessity to consider climate connectivity in the planning of PAs at regional scales.}, }
@article {pmid39626387, year = {2024}, author = {Du, B and Wang, Y and Fang, Z and Liu, G and Tian, Z}, title = {Spatiotemporal modeling and projection framework of rainfall-induced landslide risk under climate change.}, journal = {Journal of environmental management}, volume = {373}, number = {}, pages = {123474}, doi = {10.1016/j.jenvman.2024.123474}, pmid = {39626387}, issn = {1095-8630}, abstract = {Global warming is expected to exacerbate extreme rainfall events, potentially increasing the risk of landslides. While landslides have been extensively studied, much of the focus has been on developing static frameworks for landslide susceptibility, with relatively little exploration of spatiotemporal modeling. Furthermore, previous studies have often overlooked the spatiotemporal impacts of climate change and dynamic socio-economic factors on landslide susceptibility and risk. This has resulted in a lack of understanding of how landslide risk will evolve in the future. Consequently, this study proposes a modeling approach to simulate the dynamics of landslide susceptibility and exposure population over the next 80 years. The approach involves a series of novel modeling experiments using rainfall-induced landslide data collected over the past decade in Jiangxi Province, using a GAMs that considers the effects of spatial relationships and spatio-temporal cross-validation, with an AUC of 0.885 and an error rate of 15.32%, and combining with the CMIP6 precipitation data to the direct effect of climate change on landslide susceptibility. In addition, a dynamic risk prediction model combining static and dynamic populations was developed to provide a more comprehensive understanding of future landslide impacts. This research framework serves as a scientific foundation and valuable reference for comprehending the effects of climate change on landslide hazards and their management in urban planning and risk mitigation. It aims to inform the development of more effective strategies to mitigate potential losses from future landslide risks.}, }
@article {pmid39624954, year = {2024}, author = {Li, Y and Wang, J and Shen, C and Zhou, G and Delgado-Baquerizo, M and Ge, Y}, title = {Microbial Diversity Losses Constrain the Capacity of Soils to Mitigate Climate Change.}, journal = {Global change biology}, volume = {30}, number = {12}, pages = {e17601}, doi = {10.1111/gcb.17601}, pmid = {39624954}, issn = {1365-2486}, support = {42177274//National Natural Science Foundation of China/ ; XDA0440203//Strategic Priority Research Program of the Chinese Academy of Sciences/ ; GZC20232889//Postdoctoral Fellowship Program of CPSF/ ; 2019QZKK0306//Second Tibetan Plateau Scientific Expedition and Research Program/ ; 2019QZKK0308//Second Tibetan Plateau Scientific Expedition and Research Program/ ; SKLURE2022-1-3//State Key Laboratory of Urban and Regional Ecology/ ; }, mesh = {*Soil Microbiology ; *Climate Change ; *Biodiversity ; *Temperature ; Microbiota ; Soil/chemistry ; Carbon Dioxide/analysis/metabolism ; Bacteria/metabolism/classification ; }, abstract = {Soil microbes may adapt to climate warming, potentially reducing the warming-induced increase in microbial carbon emissions such as carbon dioxide, and thereby helping to mitigate climate change. Yet, soil microbes are subjected to various global change stresses (e.g., warming, drought, flooding, and land-use changes), altering their biodiversity, which challenges microbial adaptation to climate change. Here, we created microbial diversity gradients in microcosms at two different temperatures using soils from a 2000-km field survey. We found that reduced microbial diversity weakens the thermal adaptation of soil microbial respiration and can further enhance the microbial respiratory temperature sensitivity over time. Our analyses further revealed that the negative impact of microbial diversity losses is linked to the decline of keystone microbial taxa, which can adapt to temperature changes and are crucial for the community's ability to compensate for the temperature-driven effects on soil respiration in the long term. Taken together, our study provides new insights into the key role of microbial diversity in driving the thermal response of soil heterotrophic respiration, suggesting that any global change-driven shifts in microbial diversity can have critical consequences for the future of carbon stocks.}, }
@article {pmid39623422, year = {2024}, author = {Aggrey, S and Varela, E and Batumike, R and Cuni-Sanchez, A}, title = {Climate change perceptions and adaptation by Sebei pastoralists in Mount Elgon, Uganda: a qualitative survey.}, journal = {Journal of ethnobiology and ethnomedicine}, volume = {20}, number = {1}, pages = {102}, pmid = {39623422}, issn = {1746-4269}, mesh = {Uganda ; *Climate Change ; Humans ; Male ; Female ; Cross-Sectional Studies ; Middle Aged ; Adult ; Animals ; Animal Husbandry ; Aged ; Qualitative Research ; Focus Groups ; Surveys and Questionnaires ; Perception ; Cattle ; Agriculture ; }, abstract = {BACKGROUND: Pastoralists' sedentarisation and agriculturalisation might increase their vulnerability to climate change impacts, but few studies have investigated if this is the case in mountain areas. In Uganda, little is known about how Sebei pastoralists have perceived and adapted to such changes. This study sought to establish perspectives of Sebei pastoralists on climate change in terms of its occurrence and impacts as well as access to livelihood assets and or opportunities to withstand such challenges.<br><br>METHOD: This study was conducted in Mount Elgon areas of Uganda. A cross-sectional study design was employed using qualitative approaches. Data were collected using focus-group discussions with men and women village elders to assess their perceptions regarding climatic changes, impacts and adaption strategies used. Data were analysed using thematic and content analysis approaches. All analyses were done using NVivo version 14.<br><br>RESULTS: Respondents reported changes in the amount and distribution of rainfall, fog and temperatures, with negative impacts on fodder availability, milk production and pests and diseases. Study participants mentioned using several adaptation strategies with regard to animal rearing, crop farming and livelihood diversification. Among others, participants reduced herd size, migrated longer distances, stored wild grass, used crop residues as feed and increased 'self-medication' of their cattle.<br><br>CONCLUSIONS: Access to funds, markets and technical advice were the main barriers to adaptation identified. Institutional support-now only focused on improved breeds-should consider the multiple strategies used by pastoralists, and the constraints they highlighted, including the need for mutual learning space.}, }
@article {pmid39621680, year = {2024}, author = {Yuh, YG and N'Goran, KP and Kross, A and Heurich, M and Matthews, HD and Turner, SE}, title = {Monitoring forest cover and land use change in the Congo Basin under IPCC climate change scenarios.}, journal = {PloS one}, volume = {19}, number = {12}, pages = {e0311816}, pmid = {39621680}, issn = {1932-6203}, mesh = {*Climate Change ; *Forests ; *Conservation of Natural Resources ; Congo ; Algorithms ; }, abstract = {The Congo Basin tropical forests are home to many endemic and endangered species, and a global hotspot for forest fragmentation and loss. Yet, little has been done to document the region's rapid deforestation, assess its effects and consequences, or project future forest cover loss to aid in effective planning. Here we applied the Random Forest (RF) supervised classification algorithm in Google Earth Engine (GEE) to map and quantify decadal changes in forest cover and land use (LCLU) in the Congo Basin between 1990 and 2020. We cross-validated our LCLU maps with existing global land cover products, and projected our validated results to 2050 under three climate change scenarios, using the Multiperceptron Artificial Neural Network and Markov chain algorithms of the Idrissi Land Change modeller from TerrSet. We found that, over 5.2% (215,938 km2), 1.2% (50,046 km2), and a 2.1% (86,658 km2) of dense forest cover were lost in the Congo Basin between 1990-2000, 2000-2010, and 2010-2020, totaling approximately 8.5% (352,642 km2) loss estimated between 1990-2020. For the period 2020-2050, we estimated a projected 3.7-4.0% (174,860-204,161 km2) loss in dense forest cover under all three climate change scenarios (i.e., 174,860 km2 loss projected for SSP1-2.6, 199,608 km2 for SSP2-4.5, and 204,161 km2 for SSP5-8.5), suggesting that approximately 12.3-12.6% (527,502 km2-556,803 km2) of dense forest cover could be lost over a 60-year period (1990-2050). Our study represents a novel application of spatial modeling tools and Machine Learning algorithms for assessing long-term deforestation and forest degradation within the Congo Basin, under human population growth and IPCC climate change scenarios. We provide spatial and quantitative results required for supporting long-term deforestation and forest degradation monitoring within Congo Basin countries, especially under the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC) REDD+ (Reduce Emissions from Deforestation and Forest Degradation) program.}, }
@article {pmid39621618, year = {2024}, author = {Ureta, C and Ramírez-Barrón, M and Ruán-Soto, F and Kolb, M and Martínez-Cruz, AL and Gasparello, G and Sánchez-Cordero, V}, title = {Impact of climate change on the distribution of insectivorous bats: Implications for small-scale farming in southern Mexico.}, journal = {PloS one}, volume = {19}, number = {12}, pages = {e0310623}, pmid = {39621618}, issn = {1932-6203}, mesh = {Animals ; *Chiroptera/physiology ; *Climate Change ; Mexico ; *Agriculture ; *Ecosystem ; Pest Control ; }, abstract = {Bats provide important ecosystem services for agriculture, such as pest control, a function that is particularly relevant for small-scale farmers. However, climate change is causing a decrease in bat populations. To assess the potential impacts of climate change on insectivorous bats and the implications on small-scale farming of indigenous communities in the Chiapas Highlands in southern Mexico we developed a three-step protocol: (1) projecting distribution shifts of insectivorous bats under climate change scenarios using non-dispersal and limited-full dispersal assumptions, (2) using official information to estimate the average economic value of conducting chemical pest control in crops at a state level, (3) surveying small-scale farmers to estimate the local economic value of pest control and determine how bats are perceived by small-scale farmers. Our models project shifts in bat species due to climate change. Given that new suitable climatic areas are also projected, if we assume a limited-full dispersal scenario, bats might not be as at risk by climate change, but shifting their distribution to more suitable habitats will probably affect the dynamic of the ecosystem service they provide. The official estimated value of chemical pest control is $15.15 USD/ha, while the estimated cost resulting from a hybrid survey with small-scale farmers was $47.53 USD/ha. The difference in cost could be related to an overuse of insecticides for pest control or an increase in price due to reduced accessibility. Sixty percent of surveyed farmers perceived a decline in bat populations, 68% were unaware of the benefits that bats provide to their crops, 51% believe that bats are mainly hematophagous, and 10% recognize that people harm or kill bats. A new approach including communicating small-scale farmers in their native languages the benefits that insectivorous bats provide along with a pest management strategy for the efficient use of insecticides needs to be implemented.}, }
@article {pmid39621546, year = {2024}, author = {Mendes, SB and Nogales, M and Vargas, P and Olesen, JM and Marrero, P and Romero, J and Rumeu, B and González-Castro, A and Heleno, R}, title = {Climb forest, climb: diverse disperser communities are key to assist plants tracking climate change on altitudinal gradients.}, journal = {The New phytologist}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, doi = {10.1111/nph.20300}, pmid = {39621546}, issn = {1469-8137}, support = {CEECINST/00152/2018/CP1570/CT0014//Funda&#xe7;&#xe3;o para a Ci&#xea;ncia e a Tecnologia/ ; LA/P/0092/2020//Funda&#xe7;&#xe3;o para a Ci&#xea;ncia e a Tecnologia/ ; UIDB/04004/2020//Funda&#xe7;&#xe3;o para a Ci&#xea;ncia e a Tecnologia/ ; SFRH/BD/144414/2019//Funda&#xe7;&#xe3;o para a Ci&#xea;ncia e a Tecnologia/ ; PID2022-137906NB-I00//Ministerio de Ciencia, Innovaci&#xf3;n y Universidades/ ; }, abstract = {Climate change is forcing species to shift their distribution ranges. Animal seed dispersers might be particularly important in assisting plants tracking suitable climates to higher elevations. However, this role is still poorly understood due to a lack of comprehensive multi-guild datasets along elevational gradients. We compiled seed dispersal networks for the five altitudinal vegetation belts of the Tenerife Island (0-3718 m above sea level) to explore how plant and animal species might facilitate the mutual colonisation of uphill habitats under climate change. The overall network comprised 283 distinct interactions between 73 plant and 27 animal species, with seed dispersers offering viable pathways for plants to colonise upper vegetation belts. A pivotal role is played by a lizard as island-level hub, while four birds and one introduced mammal (rabbit) are also important connectors between belts. Eleven plant species were empirically found to be actively dispersed to elevations beyond their current known range, with observed vertical dispersal distances largely surpassing those required to escape climate change. Furthermore, over half of the plants arriving at higher elevations were exotic. Functionally diverse disperser communities are crucial for enabling plants tracking climate change on mountains, but exotic plants might particularly benefit from this upward lift.}, }
@article {pmid39621246, year = {2025}, author = {Alkan, Z and Karataş, B and Sepil, A}, title = {Evaluation of global warming effects on juvenile rainbow trout: focus on immunohistochemistry and osmoregulation.}, journal = {Fish physiology and biochemistry}, volume = {51}, number = {1}, pages = {1-13}, pmid = {39621246}, issn = {1573-5168}, support = {# FDK-10854//Van Yuzuncu Y&#x131;l University, Scientific Research Projects Department/ ; # FDK-10854//Van Yuzuncu Y&#x131;l University, Scientific Research Projects Department/ ; # FDK-10854//Van Yuzuncu Y&#x131;l University, Scientific Research Projects Department/ ; }, mesh = {Animals ; *Oncorhynchus mykiss/physiology/metabolism ; *Global Warming ; *Osmoregulation ; *Gills/metabolism ; Immunohistochemistry ; Salinity ; Osmolar Concentration ; Temperature ; }, abstract = {The negative effects of global warming also directly affect aquatic populations. Consequences such as evaporation due to chronic temperature increase, increase in salinity, and increase in stock density per unit volume are potential stress factors. While creating the trial design, an attempt was made to simulate the effects of global warming, especially on species living in salty and brackish water biotopes. In this study, changes in the gills of rainbow trout (Oncorhynchus mykiss) acclimated to 0, 20, and 38 ‰ of saline in the laboratory were examined histologically and immunohistochemically and blood serum osmolarity. In addition, the water temperature was changed, and experiments were carried out at 16, 19, and 22 °C for each salinity group in parallel with the increase in salinity. However, to simulate the decrease in water volume and intensive stocking due to the potential impact of climate change, the study was carried out using 15 fishes in low-volume aquariums (45 L). Tap water that had been kept for at least 3 days was used in the aquariums. To protect the water quality, independent aquariums with sponge filters were used, and since the aim was to keep dissolved oxygen low, no ventilation system other than the sponge filter was used. In order to minimize the deterioration in water quality during the trial, a 15% water change was performed by performing a bottom flush every 4 days and water of the same temperature and salinity was added as much as the reduced volume. In addition, since increasing stock density due to temperature increase and water decrease will cause the amount of dissolved oxygen to decrease, pure oxygen was not entered into any tank throughout the experiment, and the concentration was requested to be at a low level (7 ± 0.13 mg/L) in all groups. The trials were terminated at the end of the 71st day. Increased serum osmolarity values were observed due to the increase in salinity, and the highest serum osmolarity value was measured at 644 mOsm/kg in the 38 ‰ salinity group. Differences between the groups were found to be statistically significant (p < 0.05). It was observed that the number of cells containing Na[+]/K[+]-ATPase increased depending on salinity. Also, the number of chloride cells reached the maximum level in the 38 ‰ salinity group. Due to increasing salt levels, an increase in mucus cells, limited onset hyperplasia, aneurysm, lamellar separation, and necrosis were observed in the gill tissue.}, }
@article {pmid39620702, year = {2024}, author = {Joshi, M and Joshi, A and Bartter, T}, title = {The impact of climate change on respiratory health: current understanding and knowledge gaps.}, journal = {Current opinion in pulmonary medicine}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, doi = {10.1097/MCP.0000000000001145}, pmid = {39620702}, issn = {1531-6971}, abstract = {PURPOSE OF REVIEW: To present an overview of the impact of climate change upon human respiratory health.<br><br>RECENT FINDINGS: Climate change is directly impacting air quality. Particulate matter clearly increases mortality rates. Ozone, a longstanding suspect in climate-related injury, turns out not to have the major impact that had been projected at current levels of exposure. The key factors in global warming have been clearly identified, but while these factors collectively cause deleterious changes, a close look at the literature shows that it is unclear to what extent each factor individually is a driver of a specific process. This article summarizes some of those studies.<br><br>SUMMARY: A better understanding of which components of climate change most impact human health is needed in order to re-define environmental standards. PM2.5 needs to be broken down by chemical composition to study the differential impacts of different sources of PM2.5. The detection and study of climate-related changes in respiratory infectious diseases is in a state of relative infancy.}, }
@article {pmid39620095, year = {2024}, author = {Alberto, RP and Teano, JA and Paz-Alberto, AM and Tangonan, MAB and Villamar, HJE and Clement, S and Montagnes, DJS and Morse, AP}, title = {Impacts of climate change on mangrove subsistence fisheries: a global review.}, journal = {Marine life science &amp; technology}, volume = {6}, number = {4}, pages = {610-630}, pmid = {39620095}, issn = {2662-1746}, abstract = {UNLABELLED: Climate change will impact coastal ecosystems, threatening subsistence fisheries including those in mangrove forests. Despite their global contributions and roles in nutrition and cultural identity, mangrove subsistence fisheries are poorly studied. Here, we offer a foundation for improving the management of mangrove subsistence fisheries to deal with the impending effects of climate change. This multidisciplinary review-drawing on organismal biology, ecology, fisheries, and social science-focuses on the climate impacts relevant to mangrove ecosystems: heat waves, low-category, and high-category typhoons. First, we provide an overview of the mangroves, their harvestable stocks (fish, crustaceans, molluscs), and the fishers, offering an understanding of how they may be affected by relevant environmental variables; i.e., shifts in temperature, salinity, oxygen, flooding, and sediments. Then, we examine the potential effects of climate change on mangrove stocks and fishers, indicating the scope of impending changes. By combining the above information, we develop a simple model that forecasts the number of "fishing-days" lost by fishers due to climate change over the next decade (between 11 and 21 days will be lost per year per fisher). This indicates which aspects of climate change will have the greatest impacts on stocks and fishers. We found that high-category typhoons had more impacts than heat waves, which in turn had a greater impact than low-category typhoons). Finally, recognising gaps in our knowledge and understanding, we offer recommendations for approaches for future work to improve our predictions.<br><br>SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION: The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1007/s42995-024-00231-3.}, }
@article {pmid39619845, year = {2024}, author = {Cao, G and Yuan, X and Shu, Q and Gao, Y and Wu, T and Xiao, C and Xu, J and Zhang, Y}, title = {Prediction of the potentially suitable areas of Eucommia ulmoides Oliver in China under climate change based on optimized Biomod2 and MaxEnt models.}, journal = {Frontiers in plant science}, volume = {15}, number = {}, pages = {1359271}, pmid = {39619845}, issn = {1664-462X}, abstract = {Eucommia ulmoides Oliver is a medicinal plant of significant economic importance. Its cortex has been employed for centuries to alleviate various conditions such as lumbar pain, knee pain, and osteoporosis. Additionally, E. ulmoides possesses substantial industrial value. With the growing demand for this medicinal herb, ensuring its sustainable supply has become imperative. Climate change has caused habitat restrictions or migration of medicinal plants. Therefore, predicting the impact of climate change on the distribution of E. ulmoides is crucial for its conservation and sustainable use. This study evaluated the potential distribution of E. ulmoides across China under various climate change scenarios since the last interglacial period by modeling suitable areas based on 257 distribution records and 19 major environmental factors related to E. ulmoides. The model selection process initially identified the MaxEnt model as the most suitable. The optimized MaxEnt model, with RM = 2.0 and FC = LQHPT settings, generated the most precise predictions. Results indicate that the minimum temperature of the coldest month, annual mean temperature, and annual precipitation significantly affect the distribution of E. ulmoides. Under current environmental conditions, highly suitable areas for E. ulmoides are found in Southwest and Southeast China, with a total suitable habitat area of 23.12 × 10[4] km[2]. However, the range of suitable habitat has shifted due to global warming's negative impact. Under different climate scenarios, suitable areas for E. ulmoides have either increased or decreased, with expansions primarily in high-latitude regions. Future climate scenarios predict shifts in the centroid of suitable E. ulmoides habitat towards Yichang City in Hubei Province. The findings of this study support the development, artificial cultivation, and conservation of E. ulmoides resources.}, }
@article {pmid39619840, year = {2024}, author = {Muhammad, A and Kong, X and Zheng, S and Bai, N and Li, L and Khan, MHU and Fiaz, S and Zhang, Z}, title = {Exploring plant-microbe interactions in adapting to abiotic stress under climate change: a review.}, journal = {Frontiers in plant science}, volume = {15}, number = {}, pages = {1482739}, pmid = {39619840}, issn = {1664-462X}, abstract = {Climatic change and extreme weather events have become a major threat to global agricultural productivity. Plants coexist with microorganisms, which play a significant role in influencing their growth and functional traits. The rhizosphere serves as an ecological niche encompassing plant roots and is a chemically complex environment that supports the growth and development of diverse plant-interactive microbes. Although plant-microbe interactions have been extensively investigated however, limited exploration have been made how abiotic stresses affect the structure and assembly of microbial communities in the rhizosphere. This review highlights climate change influence on plant growth, functional traits, and microbial communities. It explores plant mechanisms for mitigating abiotic stress, such as removing reactive oxygen species (ROS), regulating antioxidant activity and indole-3-acetic acid (IAA) production, and controlling growth-inhibitory ethylene levels through colonization by bacteria producing ACC deaminase. Additionally, we elaborated the systematic communicatory network steered by hormonal crosstalk and root exudation, which can modulate and initiate the dialogues between plants and surrounding microbes. This network ultimately promotes the chemotactic movement of microbes towards the rhizosphere, facilitating their early colonization. Finally, we reviewed the recent advancements for understanding how plant-microbe interactions foster resilience under climate stress.}, }
@article {pmid39619424, year = {2024}, author = {Palombo, D}, title = {Business, Human Rights and Climate Change: The Gradual Expansion of the Duty of Care.}, journal = {Oxford journal of legal studies}, volume = {44}, number = {4}, pages = {889-919}, doi = {10.1093/ojls/gqae023}, pmid = {39619424}, issn = {0143-6503}, abstract = {This article investigates how human rights considerations are increasingly shaping tort law by focusing on the gradual expansion of the duty of care in business and human rights cases. For decades, victims have attempted to hold parent companies to account for extraterritorial human rights abuses committed by their foreign subsidiaries. Recently, the Supreme Court ruled that UK courts have jurisdiction over such business and human rights cases. These cases are not only jurisdictional. They also contributed to developing the duty of care case law on parental liability. But how much can human rights considerations stretch the boundaries of tort law? The article analyses the case of climate change litigation to assess whether a further development in tort law jurisprudence would be necessary to hold corporations accountable for their contribution to climate change.}, }
@article {pmid39618829, year = {2024}, author = {Scirocco, T and Eman, KU and Raviglione, MC and Kazi, GN}, title = {The time to act is now if we are to reduce the impact of climate change on global health.}, journal = {Public health action}, volume = {14}, number = {4}, pages = {137-138}, pmid = {39618829}, issn = {2220-8372}, }
@article {pmid39618413, year = {2024}, author = {Gougherty, AV and Prasad, AM and Peters, MP and Matthews, SN and Adams, BT}, title = {Climate Change and the Emergence of No-Analog Forest Assemblages in North America.}, journal = {Global change biology}, volume = {30}, number = {12}, pages = {e17605}, doi = {10.1111/gcb.17605}, pmid = {39618413}, issn = {1365-2486}, mesh = {*Climate Change ; *Forests ; North America ; *Trees ; Phylogeny ; Biodiversity ; Models, Theoretical ; }, abstract = {Future climate change is expected to result in tree species shifting their geographic distributions in ways that could reorganize species into assemblages with no contemporary analog. These projected no-analog forests raise concern as their ecological function could similarly shift, which may challenge established conservation and management efforts. Here, we implement a community-level modelling approach to identify the key climatic and topographic drivers of forest composition in North America, and then use these models to predict the distribution of "disappearing" and "novel" forest assemblages in future climate. We applied this modelling technique to both the taxonomic and phylogenetic composition of forest trees, to identify where species turnover may be greatest, and whether species are likely to be replaced with close relatives. Our work shows that approximately 11.9% of contemporary North American forests have low predicted similarity to future forests, and 26.2% of future forests could be compositionally novel compared with contemporary forests, but there was substantial geographic variability in the magnitude of these metrics across the continent. High-elevation regions in the west tend to be nearest to their closest compositional analog, suggesting these regions may be most likely to realize the future predicted composition. This work provides a new approach to understanding how forest composition may shift in future climates in a way that avoids the need for individual species predictions and extends climate-matching approaches with meaningful biological data.}, }
@article {pmid39616913, year = {2024}, author = {Pan, B and Tian, H and Pan, B and Zhong, T and Xin, M and Ding, J and Wei, J and Huang, HJ and Tang, JQ and Zhang, F and Feng, NX and Mo, CH}, title = {Investigating the environmental dynamics of emerging pollutants in response to global climate change: Insights from bibliometrics-based visualization analysis.}, journal = {The Science of the total environment}, volume = {957}, number = {}, pages = {177758}, doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.177758}, pmid = {39616913}, issn = {1879-1026}, abstract = {The environmental dynamics of emerging pollutants were profoundly influenced by global climate change, attracting widespread attention to this complex interaction. However, single studies or reviews were insufficient to grasp, clarify, and predict the evolutionary characteristics and coupling patterns of emerging pollutants under global climate change. Here, 2389 research articles collected from the Web of Science Core Collection database for the period 2000-2023 were analyzed using systematic bibliometric visual analysis software. Results suggested a rapid growth trend in this field study, particularly accelerating after 2015. The United States, China, the United Kingdom, and Spain led in the volume of publications, forming a multidisciplinary research network centered on environmental science. Wastewater treatment, personal care products, pharmaceuticals, and heavy metals were identified as current research hotspots, with climate change emerging as the most prominent keyword. Research focus gradually shifted from single pollutants to multi-pollutant composite effects, from local issues to global-scale assessments, and from phenomenon description to mechanism analysis and risk evaluation. It is concluded that climate change is reshaping the environmental behaviors and ecological risks of emerging pollutants, and multidisciplinary, multi-scale research methods are urgent need. Future research is suggested to strengthen interdisciplinary collaboration, integrate climate and pollutant migration models, and investigate impacts of extreme climate events in depth.}, }
@article {pmid39616896, year = {2024}, author = {Cui, Y}, title = {GLMY homology theory meets idopNetwork: Dissecting soil microbiota resilience under forest thinning and climate change.}, journal = {Physics of life reviews}, volume = {52}, number = {}, pages = {44-45}, doi = {10.1016/j.plrev.2024.11.016}, pmid = {39616896}, issn = {1873-1457}, }
@article {pmid39616782, year = {2024}, author = {Chen, X and Li, M and Zhang, Z}, title = {Climate change challenges coastal blue carbon restoration in China.}, journal = {Journal of environmental management}, volume = {373}, number = {}, pages = {123502}, doi = {10.1016/j.jenvman.2024.123502}, pmid = {39616782}, issn = {1095-8630}, abstract = {Coastal blue carbon has become an emerging natural climate solution (NCS) that offers significant potential for mitigating global climate change while providing various ecosystem services. However, blue carbon ecosystems, including mangroves, tidal salt marshes, and seagrass meadows, are susceptible to the impacts of climate change, which in turn affects their potential to mitigate climate change. In this study, we employed the MaxEnt to evaluate the potential suitable areas and carbon sink potential of China's Coastal blue carbon ecosystem under three climate scenarios for the present and projected conditio ns in 2050. Our results reveal that China's coastal blue carbon ecosystems have an estimated carbon sequestration potential of 8.65 ∗ 10[5] t/a. Specifically the potential annual carbon sequestration of mangroves is 1.457 ∗ 10[5] t/a, tidal salt marshes is 6.714 ∗ 10[5] t/a, and seagrass is 4.769 ∗ 10[4] t/a. By 2050, due to climate change, the annual carbon sequestration potential of China's coastal blue carbon is projected to decrease by 0.733-2.351 ∗ 10[5] t/a, representing an 8-27 % reduction from the current levels. Furthermore, the distribution of potential suitable areas for these blue carbon ecosystems is expected to shifted to different degrees, among which the potential suitable areas of mangrove will be transferred to the greatest extent, showing a trend of northward expansion. Future conservation and restoration efforts for blue carbon ecosystems ought to consider the impact of climate change and fully utilize the potential of blue carbon.}, }
@article {pmid39616391, year = {2024}, author = {Zanaty, N and Ibrahim, N and Ramadan, HK and Ahmad, AA and Saad-Hussein, A}, title = {Significance of climate change in the emergence of human fascioliasis in Upper Egypt.}, journal = {Tropical diseases, travel medicine and vaccines}, volume = {10}, number = {1}, pages = {24}, pmid = {39616391}, issn = {2055-0936}, abstract = {BACKGROUND: Climate change in the upcoming years will raise the health burden of zoonotic parasites. As a liver fluke, Fasciola depends on certain climate conditions to complete its life cycle and is significantly influenced by climate changes. We aimed to investigate the relationship between the increasing prevalence of human fascioliasis and climate changes in Upper Egypt.<br><br>METHODS: Records of Fasciola cases in Assiut Governorate in Upper Egypt were evaluated between September 2018 and March 2023. The annual and monthly climate parameters of the region's temperature and humidity acquired from ERA5 and FLDAS were investigated between 2000 and 2023.<br><br>RESULTS: A total of 303 patients were included. The mean age was 33.9&#x2009;&#xb1;&#x2009;17.4 years; 57.1% were females, and the majority were rural residents. Positive correlations were found between temperature and the recorded cases in 2018, 2020, 2021, and 2022 (r&#x2009;=&#x2009;0.92, 0.41, 0.61, and 0.60, respectively). In 2018 and 2022, humidity and Fasciola frequency had a significant positive correlation (r&#x2009;=&#x2009;0.97 and 0.49, respectively). An outbreak of fascioliasis was recorded in September 2018, coinciding with the peak temperature and high humidity levels, exceeding the average climatology range from 2000 to 2017. The recorded cases exhibited a seasonal pattern, with peaks in hot, humid summer and autumn.<br><br>CONCLUSION: The rise of human fascioliasis in Upper Egypt is influenced by local climate characteristics. A climate-based map of Fasciola distribution using forecast risk models is needed to predict future outbreaks and for better control.}, }
@article {pmid39616216, year = {2024}, author = {Lazoglou, G and Papadopoulos-Zachos, A and Georgiades, P and Zittis, G and Velikou, K and Manios, EM and Anagnostopoulou, C}, title = {Identification of climate change hotspots in the Mediterranean.}, journal = {Scientific reports}, volume = {14}, number = {1}, pages = {29817}, pmid = {39616216}, issn = {2045-2322}, support = {101081276//PREVENT project funded from the European Union's Horizon Europe Research and Innovation Program/ ; }, abstract = {The Mediterranean region has long been identified as a climate change hotspot. However, within the Mediterranean, there are smaller sub-areas that exhibit a higher risk of climate change and extremes. Previous research has often focused on indices based on mean climate values, yet extremes are typically more impactful on humans and ecosystems. This study aims to identify the most vulnerable sub-areas of the Mediterranean as climate change hotspots using two indices: the newly introduced Mediterranean Hotspot Index (MED-HOT) and the well-defined Regional Climate Change Index (RCCI). The MED-HOT focuses on extreme high maximum and minimum temperatures, rainfall, and drought, while RCCI assesses changes in mean climate conditions. By combining these indices, we provide an identification of Mediterranean hotspots, capturing both mean climate shifts and extremes. The spatiotemporal variation of both indices across the Mediterranean region is presented and the 20 subregions are categorized into distinct groups. The results reveal that the southeastern Mediterranean is at high risk according to both indices. Additionally, southern Italy is identified as high risk due to changes in mean climate (RCCI), while the northern part is at risk due to extreme events (MED-HOT). The Iberian Peninsula and Greece are also highlighted as vulnerable areas requiring extra attention.}, }
@article {pmid39615017, year = {2024}, author = {Basukala, AK and Eschenbach, A and Rasche, L}, title = {Effect of irrigation canal conveyance efficiency enhancement on crop productivity under climate change in Nepal.}, journal = {Environmental monitoring and assessment}, volume = {196}, number = {12}, pages = {1282}, pmid = {39615017}, issn = {1573-2959}, mesh = {*Climate Change ; Nepal ; *Agricultural Irrigation/methods ; *Crops, Agricultural/growth &amp; development ; *Oryza/growth &amp; development ; *Zea mays/growth &amp; development ; Triticum/growth &amp; development ; Agriculture/methods ; }, abstract = {Nepal is expanding its irrigation facilities as an adaptive measure to climate change; however, the current canal conveyance efficiency (CCE) is low with significant water losses. In this study, we assess the potential impact of increasing CCE on the productivity of rice, maize, and wheat under different climate change scenarios (SSP1-2.6, SSP3-7.0, and SSP5-8.5), utilizing three bias-adjusted general circulation models. The study simulates potential yields at ecoregion levels for two periods: near future (2023 to 2050) and end-century (2075 to 2100). Management scenarios include the following: (1) business as usual, (2) CCE at 30%, (3) CCE at 50%, and (4) CCE at 70%. The results indicate that increasing CCE to 30%, coupled with expanded irrigated areas and adjusted fertilization rates, could boost yields by three tons per hectare across all three crops at the national level. Further increasing CCE to 50% could yield additional increases of up to 0.6 t/ha of maize and 1.2 t/ha of rice in the terai region. A CCE of 70% results in further increases of up to 2.1 t/ha of rice and 1.2 t/ha of maize. The benefits of improved CCE vary by location, with the subtropical terai region experiencing the most and the mountain regions showing the least. We conclude that there is potential to increase yields by increasing CCE to 70% in the terai region, 50% in the hill region, and 30% in the mountains. Wheat appears to benefit the least from improved CCE. This work highlights efficient irrigation as a reliable adaptive measure for future climate change in Nepal.}, }
@article {pmid39612795, year = {2024}, author = {Suárez-Mozo, NY and Moulatlet, GM and Pérez-Ceballos, R and Capparelli, MV}, title = {Variation in mangrove species diversity across gradients of climate-change-induced environmental conditions and hydrological restoration.}, journal = {Journal of environmental management}, volume = {373}, number = {}, pages = {123476}, doi = {10.1016/j.jenvman.2024.123476}, pmid = {39612795}, issn = {1095-8630}, abstract = {Increasing drought, elevated temperatures, and salinization are significant challenges to reestablishing species in mangrove restoration areas. In this study, we assessed how the diversity of two key mangrove faunal groups, molluscs and brachyuran crustaceans (hereafter referred to as crabs), varies across a gradient of disturbed, restored, and natural (undisturbed) mangroves. We also explored what are the environmental factors driving these variations in ten sites across the southern Gulf of Mexico, one of the global regions with the largest mangrove coverage. A total of 15 species were recorded (10 mollusks and 5 crabs), with higher abundance in natural (612 individuals) than in restored (554 individuals) or degraded (98 individuals) sites. Community structure analyses revealed that certain species were restricted to specific restoration conditions. For example, the crab Minuca vocator was found only in restored sites, while the mollusc Vitta virginea was exclusive to natural sites. In contrast, species like the crab Minuca rapax were present across all site types. Salinity emerged as the primary environmental factor influencing community structure, with disturbed sites exhibiting significantly higher salinity levels than restored and natural sites. All sites were classified as hypersaline, presenting challenges for species that cannot tolerate such conditions. This study provides a valuable baseline for understanding the ecological conditions that influence on the success of mangrove restoration, offering insights on the effects of environmental factors driving species diversity in this ecosystem.}, }
@article {pmid39612704, year = {2024}, author = {Istvánovics, V and Honti, M and Clement, A and Kravinszkaja, G and Pósfai, M and Torma, P}, title = {Chloride and sodium budgets of a shallow freshwater lake - Current status and the impact of climate change.}, journal = {The Science of the total environment}, volume = {957}, number = {}, pages = {177616}, doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.177616}, pmid = {39612704}, issn = {1879-1026}, abstract = {The large, shallow Lake Balaton (Hungary) has experienced rapid salinization since the 1970s. This study investigated the causes of salinization and aimed at predicting the effects of climate change. Monthly mass balance models for chloride and sodium were calibrated using water balance and water quality monitoring data (1976-2022) to analyze the effects of climate change (2022-2100) through ensemble modeling under the IPCC RCP 4.5 scenario. Current (2016-2020) emission inventories were developed for both chloride and sodium. The long-term (1921-2022) emission inventory of chloride was used to build a simplified chloride balance model for the catchment. Historical salinization occurred with almost constant external loading, in parallel with the increasing water residence times. According to the mass balance model, 18-28 % of the cumulative chloride and sodium loads has been accumulated in lake sediments, potentially slowing recovery of the lake from salinization. Climate change was predicted to aggravate salinization by further reducing the water balance surplus. Even the extremely high chloride concentrations of the future will remain well below the drinking water limit, but they may adversely affect the aquatic ecosystem. Both agriculture and road deicing contributed about one-third of current chloride emissions. Wastewater accounted for <20 % due to significant wastewater diversion to adjacent catchments. The rapid intensification of Hungarian agriculture from the mid-1960s, followed by a sudden economic collapse in 1990, resulted in a large emission peak of chloride in the 1970-80s, providing a unique opportunity to estimate the long-term retention of chloride in the catchment. We estimated that 30 % of the chloride emitted since 1921 may still be present in groundwater/soils.}, }
@article {pmid39612041, year = {2024}, author = {Katznelson, E and Malkani, K and Zhang, R and Patel, S}, title = {Impact of Climate Change on Cardiovascular Health.}, journal = {Current atherosclerosis reports}, volume = {27}, number = {1}, pages = {13}, pmid = {39612041}, issn = {1534-6242}, mesh = {Humans ; *Climate Change ; *Cardiovascular Diseases/epidemiology ; Air Pollution/adverse effects ; }, abstract = {PURPOSE OF REVIEW: Climate change is profoundly impacting cardiovascular disease through rising temperatures, more extreme weather events, and worsening air pollution. This review analyzes how these factors affect cardiovascular health.<br><br>RECENT FINDINGS: Extreme heat and cold cause physiological changes, including increasing the risk of blood clots, faster heart rates, and inflammation. Air pollution and wildfire smoke lead to oxidative stress and systemic inflammation, leading to heightened cardiovascular risk. Extreme weather disrupts healthcare access, complicating chronic condition management and negatively impacts people from lower socioeconomic communities. Climate-related stressors also affect mental health, which in turn impacts cardiovascular health. Long-term changes, such as food insecurity and migration, further strain heart health due to poor diets and psychological stress. Cardiologists must understand these risks to better support and treat patients in our changing climate.}, }
@article {pmid39611976, year = {2024}, author = {Riyaz, Z and Khan, ST}, title = {Nitrogen fixation by methanogenic Archaea, literature review and DNA database-based analysis; significance in face of climate change.}, journal = {Archives of microbiology}, volume = {207}, number = {1}, pages = {6}, pmid = {39611976}, issn = {1432-072X}, mesh = {*Nitrogen Fixation/genetics ; *Archaea/genetics/metabolism/classification ; *Climate Change ; *Soil Microbiology ; Phylogeny ; Databases, Nucleic Acid ; Methane/metabolism ; DNA, Archaeal/genetics ; }, abstract = {Archaea represents a significant population of up to 10% in soil microbial communities. The role of Archaea in soil is often overlooked mainly due to its unculturability. Among the three domains of life biological nitrogen fixation (BNF) is mainly a trait of Eubacteria and some Archaea. Archaea mediated processes like BNF may become even more important in the face of global Climate change. Although there are reports on nitrogen fixation by Archaea, to best of our knowledge there is no comprehensive report on BNF by Archaea under environmental stresses typical to climate change. Here we report a survey of literature and DNA database to study N2-fixation among Archaea. A total of 37 Archaea belonging to Methanogens of the phylum Euryarchaeota within the class Methanococcus, Methanomicrobia Methanobacteria, and Methanotrophic ANME2 lineages either contain genes for BNF or are known to fix atmospheric N2. Archaea were found to have their nif genes arranged as clusters of 6-8 genes in a single operon. The genes code for commonly found Mo-nitrogenase while in some archaea the genes for alternative metal nitrogenases like vnf were also found. The nifHDK gene similarity matrices show that Archaea shared the highest similarity with the nifHDK gene of anaerobic Clostridium beijerinckii. Although there are various theories about the origin of N2-fixation in Archaea, the most acceptable is the origin of N2-fixation first in bacteria and its subsequent transfer to Archaea. Since Archaea can survive under extreme environmental conditions their role in BNF should be studied especially in soil under environmental stress.}, }
@article {pmid39611672, year = {2024}, author = {Dumbuya, S and Chabinga, R and Ferede, MA and Saber, M}, title = {Climate change impacts on maternal health and pregnancy outcomes in Africa.}, journal = {Journal of water and health}, volume = {22}, number = {11}, pages = {2113-2131}, pmid = {39611672}, issn = {1477-8920}, mesh = {Humans ; Female ; *Climate Change ; Pregnancy ; Africa ; *Pregnancy Outcome/epidemiology ; *Maternal Health ; }, abstract = {The review examines how climate change adversely affects maternal health and pregnancy outcomes in Africa, a region particularly vulnerable to climate-related disasters. It highlights the increased incidence of tropical and waterborne illnesses due to climate change, disproportionately impacting expectant mothers. The study thoroughly evaluates the effects of extreme weather events like heatwaves and floods on maternal health, both directly and indirectly. It underscores significant gaps in policy and research within African health sectors regarding these issues. Key findings reveal that maternal death rates remain alarmingly high, with risks like preterm birth, stillbirth, and maternal hypertension exacerbated by climate change. The review calls for urgent action, including enhanced research, increased funding for climate adaptation, and the integration of maternal health into broader climate resilience strategies. Additionally, it emphasizes the need for greater awareness and international collaboration to strengthen health systems in Africa, particularly addressing the vulnerabilities of pregnant women. This work aims to enhance understanding among policymakers and researchers about the critical health impacts of climate change on pregnant women in Africa.}, }
@article {pmid39611671, year = {2024}, author = {Moon, MP}, title = {The silent threat: Unveiling climate change's water and health challenges in Bangladesh.}, journal = {Journal of water and health}, volume = {22}, number = {11}, pages = {2094-2112}, pmid = {39611671}, issn = {1477-8920}, mesh = {Bangladesh/epidemiology ; *Climate Change ; Humans ; Water Supply ; Public Health ; Drinking Water/analysis ; Water Quality ; Communicable Diseases/epidemiology ; }, abstract = {Bangladesh faces a growing number of issues, such as limited sources of potable water and health hazards that are either directly or indirectly linked to climate change. In total, 16 publications from 2007 to 2024 were manually screened for inclusion in this systematic review. The articles were divided into three categories: climate and water, climate and health, and climate, water, and health. Due to the climate change, 20 million individuals in Bangladesh have been suffering from water- and health-related illness. The results showed that among Bangladeshi vulnerable groups, cholera, infant diarrhea, pneumonia, dengue, malaria, mental illness, hypertension, cardiovascular disease, cerebrovascular disease, and an increase in communicable diseases like water-, vector-, and food-borne infections, along with malnutrition, are common. Further findings of the study include health risks, water-related risks, and difficulties in determining the consequences of climate change. This review study focuses on Bangladesh, a developing country, and the correlation between climate change and the dangers of water and health-related diseases. The findings of this study have substantial implications for risk assessment, water quality, climate change, and public health, especially in poor nations, as well as for policymakers and academicians in these fields.}, }
@article {pmid39611321, year = {2024}, author = {Khanal, S and Shrestha, R and Boeckmann, M}, title = {Examining health equity in Nepal's climate change and health policies through the lens of environmental justice: insights from a content analysis.}, journal = {Global health action}, volume = {17}, number = {1}, pages = {2432069}, doi = {10.1080/16549716.2024.2432069}, pmid = {39611321}, issn = {1654-9880}, mesh = {Nepal ; *Climate Change ; Humans ; *Health Equity ; *Health Policy ; *Environmental Justice ; Socioeconomic Factors ; Qualitative Research ; Vulnerable Populations ; }, abstract = {BACKGROUND: Climate change presents a multifaceted challenge with unequal health implications, particularly for vulnerable populations with limited adaptive capacity. Socioeconomic factors are intricately linked with environmental health outcomes and environmental factors significantly exacerbate existing health inequities. Health equity as a goal of environmental justice can address these issues.<br><br>OBJECTIVE: To examine the integration of health equity within climate change and health policy documents in Nepal.<br><br>METHODS: Using a qualitative content analysis approach based on Schlosberg's framework of environmental justice, we analyzed the coverage of health equity considerations in climate and health policies, assessing aspects of distribution, recognition, and participation.<br><br>RESULTS: Twenty-one national-level policies, strategies, and plans/guidelines on climate change and health were analyzed. Nepal's policy documents lack clear definitions of health equity in relation to climate change, and related terms are used inconsistently. Health vulnerability is often addressed broadly rather than specifically. Health equity-related statements from environmental justice viewpoint vary across sectors. Many documents emphasize equitable distribution of resources and benefits, with participation in decision-making processes being the least discussed.<br><br>CONCLUSIONS: In Nepal, lack of shared understanding of health equity across sectors hinders coordinated policy efforts. There is an urgent need to expand climate change responses to consider specific health vulnerabilities. By positioning health equity as a key element of environmental justice, this study provides a broader perspective on climate change-related health equity that could encourage collaborative action between the environment and health sectors.}, }
@article {pmid39609135, year = {2024}, author = {González, AG and Forja, J and Santos-Echeandía, J and Blasco, J and Torres-Padrón, M}, title = {Editorial for climate change and oceans.}, journal = {The Science of the total environment}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {177683}, doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.177683}, pmid = {39609135}, issn = {1879-1026}, }
@article {pmid39608899, year = {2024}, author = {Katey, D and Zanu, S}, title = {Climate change and population aging: The role of older adults in climate change mitigation.}, journal = {Journal of aging studies}, volume = {71}, number = {}, pages = {101274}, doi = {10.1016/j.jaging.2024.101274}, pmid = {39608899}, issn = {1879-193X}, mesh = {Humans ; *Climate Change ; Aged ; *Aging ; }, abstract = {This paper explores the intersection of climate change, population aging, and community resilience, focusing on the potentially powerful roles of older adults in climate change mitigation efforts, particularly in developing countries. Through a brief review of relevant literature in the fields of environmental studies, gerontology, and community development, the paper examines the vulnerabilities of older adults to climate change impacts and their potential contributions to adaptation and mitigation strategies. By integrating findings from some existing literature, the paper contributes to ongoing conversations about the inclusivity of climate change actions and the empowerment of marginalized groups. Our suggestions include harnessing the traditional knowledge and leadership of older adults and empowering them to act as climate change activists within their communities. Additionally, the paper suggests encouraging older adults to organize community capacity-building workshops that advocate for environmentally sustainable initiatives. We conclude by emphasizing that neglecting older adults in the climate change discourse risks exacerbating entrenched social inequalities and overlooks the potentially valuable resources and knowledge that older adults can contribute toward climate change mitigation and adaptation. This therefore calls for the recognition of older adults as vital agents of change and empowering them through inclusive development policies, programs, and initiatives. Future research should investigate the long-term impacts of inviting older adults into climate change mitigation efforts, and the barriers that may hinder their active engagement.}, }
@article {pmid39608242, year = {2024}, author = {Saqib, SE and Yaseen, M and Yang, SH and Ali, S and Visetnoi, S}, title = {Farmers' adaptation to climate change in Pakistan: Can their climate risk management strategies lead to sustainable agriculture?.}, journal = {Journal of environmental management}, volume = {373}, number = {}, pages = {123447}, doi = {10.1016/j.jenvman.2024.123447}, pmid = {39608242}, issn = {1095-8630}, abstract = {Farming communities in many developing nations are facing the impacts of climate change, characterized by greater variability and frequency of extreme weather events, which threaten their livelihoods and the agricultural sector as a whole. Agricultural sustainability is at risk when farmers engage in off-farm activities to protect their economic future and combat climate change. This study aimed to identify the determinants of off-farm management activities adoption and highlight the issues faced by farmers after their adoption in agriculture. The data were collected data through a questionnaire survey from 360 farm households in Pakistan. The study utilized a stepwise probit regression to analyse the adoption of land use and migration-based diversification as risk management strategies. The results indicated that marital status, household size, risk perception of rains, floods, drought, and extreme weather were the factors determining the adoption of land use and migration-based diversification as risk management strategies. However, livestock showed a negative association with the adoption of these strategies. Moreover, the study identified crop failure as the primary reason to adopt off-farm strategies, followed by rising production costs. The results showed that farmers were managing climate change risks at the cost of farmland, labour loss, and increased production costs. The study is unique in its focus on the unanticipated negative effects of this adaptation. The findings emphasize the need for investment in climate-smart agriculture and financial assistance for farmers. Building a sustainable agricultural system needs more than just adaptation: long-term practices and financial protections to stabilize farmers' incomes and help rural areas develop.}, }
@article {pmid39607982, year = {2024}, author = {Yang, YX and Wang, M and Wu, XY and Zhou, YN and Qiu, J and Cai, X and Li, ZH}, title = {The chromosome-level genome assembly of an endangered herb Bergenia scopulosa provides insights into local adaptation and genomic vulnerability under climate change.}, journal = {GigaScience}, volume = {13}, number = {}, pages = {}, pmid = {39607982}, issn = {2047-217X}, support = {32470392//National Natural Science Foundation of China/ ; 23JHZ009//Basic Research Project of Shaanxi Academy of Fundamental Science/ ; 2022ZDLSF06-02//Key Program of Research and Development of Shaanxi Province/ ; }, mesh = {*Climate Change ; *Endangered Species ; *Genome, Plant ; *Adaptation, Physiological/genetics ; Polymorphism, Single Nucleotide ; Genomics/methods ; Genetics, Population ; Chromosomes, Plant/genetics ; }, abstract = {BACKGROUND: Global climate change poses severe threats to biodiversity and ecosystem stability. Rapid climate oscillations potentially lead to species geographic range shifts, population declines, and even extinctions. The rare and endangered species, being critical components of regional biodiversity, hold the key to understanding local adaptation and evolutionary processes shaping species distributions. Therefore, assessing the evolutionary mechanisms of local adaptation and population vulnerability under climate change is crucial for developing conservation strategies of endangered species.<br><br>RESULTS: In this study, we assembled a high-quality, chromosome-level genome of the rare and endangered herb Bergenia scopulosa in the Qinling Mountains in East Asia and resequenced 37 individual genomes spanning its entire geographic distributional ranges. By integrating population genetics, landscape genomics, and climate datasets, a substantial number of adaptive single-nucleotide polymorphism loci associated with climate variables were identified. The genotype-environment association analysis showed that some cold-tolerant genes have played pivotal roles in cold environmental adaptation of B. scopulosa. These findings are further corroborated through evolutionary analysis of gene family and quantitative PCR validation. Population genomic analysis revealed 2 distinct genetic lineages in B. scopulosa. The western lineage showed higher genomic vulnerability and more rare cold-tolerance alleles, suggesting its heightened sensitivity to impending climate shifts, and should be given priority conservation in the management practices.<br><br>CONCLUSIONS: These findings provide novel insights into local adaptation and genomic vulnerability of B. scopulosa under climate change in the Qinling Mountains in East Asia. Additionally, the study also offers valuable guidance for formulating conservation strategies for the rare and endangered plants.}, }
@article {pmid39607905, year = {2024}, author = {Lachs, L and Bozec, YM and Bythell, JC and Donner, SD and East, HK and Edwards, AJ and Golbuu, Y and Gouezo, M and Guest, JR and Humanes, A and Riginos, C and Mumby, PJ}, title = {Natural selection could determine whether Acropora corals persist under expected climate change.}, journal = {Science (New York, N.Y.)}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {eadl6480}, doi = {10.1126/science.adl6480}, pmid = {39607905}, issn = {1095-9203}, abstract = {Marine heatwaves are intensifying under climate change, exposing populations of reef-building corals to mass mortality and intense selective pressure. It remains unknown whether adaptation can keep pace with warming and maintain reef functioning. We have developed an eco-evolutionary metapopulation model for Acropora, an ecologically important yet highly threatened coral taxon. We find that although corals have some adaptation capacity, they will suffer severe heatwave-induced declines over the coming decades. For a future where emissions lead to ~3°C of global warming, natural selection could allow populations to persist, albeit in severely depleted states with elevated extinction risk and potential loss of ecosystem functioning. Yet, for thermally sensitive coral populations to thrive post-2050 demands rapid reductions of greenhouse gas emissions that limit global warming to 2°C.}, }
@article {pmid39607839, year = {2024}, author = {Orievulu, KS and Buczkowska, M and Iwuji, CC}, title = {Does climate change threaten delivery of HIV care in resource-limited settings?.}, journal = {Current opinion in infectious diseases}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, pmid = {39607839}, issn = {1473-6527}, abstract = {PURPOSE OF REVIEW: Extreme weather events (EWEs) pose a challenge to achieving UNAIDS goal of eliminating HIV as a public health threat by 2030. This review summarizes recent findings describing the disruption of HIV services by EWEs and discusses strategies for a resilient HIV care programme in resource-limited settings.<br><br>RECENT FINDINGS: EWEs impact each component of the continuum of care - HIV testing, linkage to treatment, viral suppression and other HIV prevention services. EWEs disrupt healthcare provision either through impacting the ability of the healthcare system to deliver care because of infrastructure damage and increased workload or by limiting people's ability to seek healthcare because of access challenges and forced displacements. This culminates in disengagement from care, poor treatment adherence and increase in HIV disease progression with more vulnerable groups such as women and young people being more adversely impacted.<br><br>SUMMARY: Most people affected by or at risk of HIV reside in resource-poor settings which are the region with the least capacity to adapt to climate change. Few recent studies with very limited geographical coverage show that EWEs affect the delivery of HIV care in this setting. Climate adaptation and mitigation policies are required to protect health in resource-limited settings.}, }
@article {pmid39606844, year = {2024}, author = {Soomro, S and Zhou, D and Charan, IA}, title = {Investigating Associations Between Climate Change Anxiety and Children's Mental Health in Pakistan: Impacts and Priority Actions - CORRIGENDUM.}, journal = {Disaster medicine and public health preparedness}, volume = {18}, number = {}, pages = {e294}, doi = {10.1017/dmp.2024.328}, pmid = {39606844}, issn = {1938-744X}, }
@article {pmid39606748, year = {2024}, author = {Magalhães, AFA}, title = {Climate change and its impacts on the world of work.}, journal = {Revista brasileira de medicina do trabalho : publicacao oficial da Associacao Nacional de Medicina do Trabalho-ANAMT}, volume = {22}, number = {3}, pages = {e2024223}, doi = {10.47626/1679-4435-2024-223}, pmid = {39606748}, issn = {1679-4435}, }
@article {pmid39605176, year = {2024}, author = {Rodrigues-Filho, CAS and Costa, FRC and Schietti, J and Nogueira, A and Leitão, RP and Menger, J and Borba, G and Gerolamo, CS and Avilla, SS and Emilio, T and de Castilho, CV and Bastos, DA and Rocha, EX and Fernandes, IO and Cornelius, C and Zuanon, J and Souza, JLP and Utta, ACS and Baccaro, FB}, title = {Multi-Taxa Responses to Climate Change in the Amazon Forest.}, journal = {Global change biology}, volume = {30}, number = {11}, pages = {e17598}, doi = {10.1111/gcb.17598}, pmid = {39605176}, issn = {1365-2486}, support = {//Funda&#xe7;&#xe3;o de Amparo &#xe0; Pesquisa do Estado do Amazonas/ ; //Conselho Nacional de Desenvolvimento Cient&#xed;fico e Tecnol&#xf3;gico/ ; //Coordena&#xe7;&#xe3;o de Aperfei&#xe7;oamento de Pessoal de N&#xed;vel Superior/ ; }, mesh = {*Climate Change ; Animals ; *Biodiversity ; *Birds/physiology ; *Forests ; *Ants/physiology ; *Fishes/physiology ; Brazil ; Droughts ; Arecaceae/physiology/growth &amp; development ; Seasons ; }, abstract = {Tropical biodiversity is undergoing unprecedented changes due to the hydrological cycle intensification, characterized by more intense droughts and wet seasons. This raises concerns about the resilience of animal and plant communities to such extremes and the existence of potential refugia-areas theorized to safeguard biological communities from adverse climate impacts. Over 20 years of monitoring in Central Amazonia, we investigated the short-term and long-term effects of hydrological cycle intensification on bird, fish, ant, and palm communities. We explored whether the 'insurance effect' of climate trends (droughts buffered by preceded wet seasons) or 'environmental refugia' (droughts or floods buffered by topographic features) could lessen the impact of climate events on community composition, richness, evenness, and species rank. Pronounced abundance changes were observed among animal species, whereas palm species showed relative temporal stability. Birds and fish were more affected by the immediate and long-term severity of droughts and wet periods, while ants responded primarily to short-term drought impacts. Conversely, palm communities exhibited delayed responses to climate extremes, primarily in long-term comparisons. As expected, the proposed 'insurance effect' mitigates the long-term impacts of extreme climate events on animal and plant community trends. However, less extreme hydrological conditions linked to topographic features did not provide effective 'environmental refugia' for animals or plants during adverse climate conditions. These outcomes underscore the complex and varied biological responses to ongoing climate change, challenging the prevailing assumptions about the efficacy of environmental refugia and highlighting the nuanced resilience of biodiversity in Central Amazonia.}, }
@article {pmid39604352, year = {2024}, author = {Xu, L and Feiner, ZS and Frater, P and Hansen, GJA and Ladwig, R and Paukert, CP and Verhoeven, M and Wszola, L and Jensen, OP}, title = {Asymmetric impacts of climate change on thermal habitat suitability for inland lake fishes.}, journal = {Nature communications}, volume = {15}, number = {1}, pages = {10273}, pmid = {39604352}, issn = {2041-1723}, mesh = {Animals ; *Lakes ; *Climate Change ; *Ecosystem ; *Fishes/physiology ; *Temperature ; Seasons ; }, abstract = {Climate change is altering the thermal habitats of freshwater fish species. We analyze modeled daily temperature profiles from 12,688 lakes in the US to track changes in thermal habitat of 60 lake fish species from different thermal guilds during 1980-2021. We quantify changes in each species' preferred days, defined as the number of days per year when a lake contains the species' preferred temperature. We find that cooler-water species are losing preferred days more rapidly than warmer-water species are gaining them. This asymmetric impact cannot be attributed to differences in geographic distribution among species; instead, it is linked to the seasonal dynamics of lake temperatures and increased thermal homogenization of the water column. The potential advantages of an increase in warmer-water species may not fully compensate for the losses in cooler-water species as warming continues, emphasizing the importance of mitigating climate change to support effective freshwater fisheries management.}, }
@article {pmid39603819, year = {2024}, author = {Wang, BX and Li, CJ and Zhou, ZF and Yao, YX and Wang, XY and Zhong, K and Yang, HQ and Wei, JR and Huai, WX}, title = {Forecasting the distribution range of Hylurgus ligniperda (Fabricius) (Coleoptera: Curculionidae) in the present and future under the influence of climate change.}, journal = {Journal of economic entomology}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, doi = {10.1093/jee/toae254}, pmid = {39603819}, issn = {1938-291X}, support = {2021YFD1400300//National Key Research and Development Program of China/ ; }, abstract = {Hylurgus ligniperda (Fabricius) is an important pest that attacks Pinus species in China. It impacts the vitality of local pine vegetation, reduces the ability to prevent windbreak and sand fixation, and causes ecological loss. MaxEnt and ArcGIS are used to predict and analyze the changes in suitable distribution areas of H. ligniperda under current and future climate scenarios, based on 12 climate factor datasets and 1,001 field distribution data points for this pest. The environmental variables used significantly influence the potential distribution of H. ligniperda. Highly suitable areas of this beetle are located in western Europe, central Asia, and the southeastern regions of Oceania, with sporadic occurrences across North America, South America, and Africa. Highly suitable areas in China occur across the east, central south, and southwest regions. There is a significant increase in the high and medium suitability areas, while the area of low suitability decreases under the 4 future climate scenarios (SSP126, SSP245, SSP370, and SSP585). The suitable distribution area for H. ligniperda shows an overall trend of moving northwestward. The purpose of this current study is to provide important theoretical support for the prevention and management of this pest by predicting and analyzing suitable distribution areas under current and future climate scenarios.}, }
@article {pmid39603267, year = {2024}, author = {Song, C and Liu, Q and Ma, X and Liu, J}, title = {The impacts of climate change on the potential distribution of Cacopsylla chinensis (Hemiptera: Psyllidae) in China.}, journal = {Journal of economic entomology}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, doi = {10.1093/jee/toae255}, pmid = {39603267}, issn = {1938-291X}, support = {32202284//National Natural Science Foundation of China/ ; 2022ZDYF122//Key Research and Development Project of Shanxi Province/ ; 202203021222176//Natural Science Foundation of Shanxi Province/ ; SXBYKY2023017//Excellent Doctoral Award of Shanxi Province for Scientific Research Project/ ; 2023BQ31//Scientific Research Foundation of Shanxi Agricultural University/ ; }, abstract = {Cacopsylla chinensis is an oligophagous pest and has become one of the main pests that cause yield loss in commercial pear orchards in China. Predicting the impact of climate change on the distribution range of C. chinensis is crucial for its effectively preventing and managing. In this study, we collected 102 geographic distribution information of C. chinensis with 8 selected crucial environmental variables to simulate its potential suitable habitats. On this basis, the parameter-optimized maximum entropy model was utilized to predict the potential effect of future climate variation on its distribution, considering various socio-economic pathway scenarios and 3 Earth system models. The findings showed that the current total potential suitable area for C. chinensis was 578.29 × 104 km2, which accounts for 60.24% of China's territory. In the total area, the suitability areas of low, medium, and high were 308.21 × 104 km2, 118.50 × 104 km2, and 151.58 × 104 km2, respectively. Among them, the high suitability areas are mainly distributed in Anhui, Beijing, Chongqing, Hebei, Henan, Hubei, Jiangsu, Liaoning, Shandong, Shanxi, Shaanxi, Sichuan, and Tianjin. Furthermore, our predictions suggest that the potentially suitable areas for this pest will increase by 8.49-35.02% under various future climate change conditions in China. The findings will be propitious to understand the linkage between C. chinensis niches and the relevant environment. It also provides valuable insights for developing future pest management strategies.}, }
@article {pmid39601566, year = {2024}, author = {Buchwald, AG and Boudova, S}, title = {Invited Perspective: Climate Change and Maternal Mental Health-Looking beyond High-Income Countries.}, journal = {Environmental health perspectives}, volume = {132}, number = {11}, pages = {111301}, pmid = {39601566}, issn = {1552-9924}, }
@article {pmid39600923, year = {2024}, author = {He, Q and Tian, S and Hua, J and Liu, Z and Liu, Y and Jin, T and Xu, J}, title = {Land Use and Climate Change Accelerate the Loss of Habitat and Ecological Corridor to Reeves's Pheasant (Syrmaticus reevesii) in China.}, journal = {Ecology and evolution}, volume = {14}, number = {11}, pages = {e70618}, pmid = {39600923}, issn = {2045-7758}, abstract = {Human activity and climate change are widely considered to be primarily responsible for the extinction of Galliformes birds. Due to a decline in population, the Reeves's pheasant (Syrmaticus reevesii), a member of the Galliformes family, was recently elevated to first-class national protected status in China. However, determining the causal factors of their extinction and carrying out protection measures appear to be challenging owing to a lack of long-term data with high spatial and temporal resolutions. Here, based on a national field survey, we used habitat suitability models and integrated data on geographical environment, road development, land use, and climate change to predict the potential changes in the distribution and connectivity of the habitat of Reeves's pheasant from 1995 to 2050. Furthermore, ecological corridors were identified using the minimum cumulative resistance (MCR) model. The prioritized areas for habitat restoration were determined by integrating the importance indices of ecological sources and corridors. Our results indicated that both land use and climate change were linked to the increased habitat loss for the Reeves's pheasant. In more recent decades, road construction and land use changes have been linked to a rise in habitat loss, and future climate change has been predicted to cause the habitat to become even more fragmented and lose 89.58% of its total area. The ecological corridor for Reeves's pheasant will continue to decline by 88.55%. To counteract the negative effects of human activity and climate change on the survivorship of Reeves's pheasant, we recommend taking immediate actions, including bolstering cooperation among provincial governments, restoring habitats, and creating ecological corridors among important habitats.}, }
@article {pmid39600252, year = {2024}, author = {Grupstra, CGB and Meyer-Kaiser, KS and Bennett, MJ and Andres, MO and Juszkiewicz, DJ and Fifer, JE and Da-Anoy, JP and Gomez-Campo, K and Martinez-Rugerio, I and Aichelman, HE and Huzar, AK and Hughes, AM and Rivera, HE and Davies, SW}, title = {Holobiont Traits Shape Climate Change Responses in Cryptic Coral Lineages.}, journal = {Global change biology}, volume = {30}, number = {11}, pages = {e17578}, doi = {10.1111/gcb.17578}, pmid = {39600252}, issn = {1365-2486}, support = {2048589//The National Science Foundation's Division of Ocean Sciences/ ; 2048678//The National Science Foundation's Division of Ocean Sciences/ ; }, mesh = {*Anthozoa/microbiology/physiology ; Animals ; *Climate Change ; *Coral Reefs ; *Symbiosis ; Microbiota ; Dinoflagellida/physiology ; }, abstract = {As ocean warming threatens reefs worldwide, identifying corals with adaptations to higher temperatures is critical for conservation. Genetically distinct but morphologically similar (i.e. cryptic) coral populations can be specialized to extreme habitats and thrive under stressful conditions. These corals often associate with locally beneficial microbiota (Symbiodiniaceae photobionts and bacteria), obscuring the main drivers of thermal tolerance. Here, we leverage a holobiont (massive Porites) with high fidelity for C15 photobionts to investigate adaptive variation across classic ("typical" conditions) and extreme reefs characterized by higher temperatures and light attenuation. We uncovered three cryptic lineages that exhibit limited micro-morphological variation; one lineage dominated classic reefs (L1), one had more even distributions (L2), and a third was restricted to extreme reefs (L3). L1 and L2 were more closely related to populations ~4300 km away, suggesting that some lineages are widespread. All corals harbored Cladocopium C15 photobionts; L1 and L2 shared a photobiont pool that differed in composition between reef types, yet L3 mostly harbored unique photobiont strains not found in the other lineages. Assemblages of bacterial partners differed among reef types in lineage-specific ways, suggesting that lineages employ distinct microbiome regulation strategies. Analysis of light-harvesting capacity and thermal tolerance revealed adaptive variation underpinning survival in distinct habitats: L1 had the highest light absorption efficiency and lowest thermal tolerance, suggesting that it is a classic reef specialist. L3 had the lowest light absorption efficiency and the highest thermal tolerance, showing that it is an extreme reef specialist. L2 had intermediate light absorption efficiency and thermal tolerance, suggesting that is a generalist lineage. These findings reveal diverging holobiont strategies to cope with extreme conditions. Resolving coral lineages is key to understanding variation in thermal tolerance among coral populations, can strengthen our understanding of coral evolution and symbiosis, and support global conservation and restoration efforts.}, }
@article {pmid39599428, year = {2024}, author = {Dominguez, DLE and Cirrincione, MA and Deis, L and Martínez, LE}, title = {Impacts of Climate Change-Induced Temperature Rise on Phenology, Physiology, and Yield in Three Red Grape Cultivars: Malbec, Bonarda, and Syrah.}, journal = {Plants (Basel, Switzerland)}, volume = {13}, number = {22}, pages = {}, pmid = {39599428}, issn = {2223-7747}, support = {06/A708 Res. 4142/2019-R, 0130/2019//National University of Cuyo and Corporation of Viticulture from Argentina (COVIAR) Project No 0130/ ; }, abstract = {Climate change has significant implications for agriculture, especially in viticulture, where temperature plays a crucial role in grapevine (Vitis vinifera) growth. Mendoza's climate is ideal for producing high-quality wines, but 21st-century climate change is expected to have negative impacts. This study aimed to evaluate the effects of increased temperature on the phenology, physiology, and yield of Malbec, Bonarda, and Syrah. A field trial was conducted over two seasons (2019-2020 and 2020-2021) in an experimental vineyard with an active canopy heating system (+2-4 °C). Phenological stages (budburst, flowering, fruit set, veraison, harvest), shoot growth (SG), number of shoots (NS), stomatal conductance (gs), chlorophyll content (CC), chlorophyll fluorescence (CF), and water potential (ψa) were measured. Additionally, temperature, relative humidity, light intensity, and canopy temperature were recorded. Heat treatment advanced all phenological stages by approximately two weeks, increased SG and NS, and reduced gs and ψa during the hottest months. CC and CF remained unaffected. The treatment also resulted in lower yields, reduced acidity, and increased °Brix in both seasons. Overall, rising temperatures due to climate change advance the phenological phases of Malbec, Syrah, and Bonarda, leading to lower yields, higher °Brix, and lower acidity, although physiological variables remained largely unchanged.}, }
@article {pmid39599384, year = {2024}, author = {Xiao, X and Li, Z and Ran, Z and Yan, C and Chen, J}, title = {Impact of Climate Change on Distribution of Endemic Plant Section Tuberculata (Camellia L.) in China: MaxEnt Model-Based Projection.}, journal = {Plants (Basel, Switzerland)}, volume = {13}, number = {22}, pages = {}, pmid = {39599384}, issn = {2223-7747}, support = {32400179//National Natural Science Foundation of China/ ; 2022 (072)//Guizhou Provincial Basic Research Program (Natural Science)/ ; }, abstract = {Sect. Tuberculata, as one of the endemic plant groups in China, belongs to the genus Camellia of the Theaceae family and possesses significant economic and ecological value. Nevertheless, the characteristics of habitat distribution and the major eco-environmental variables affecting its suitability are poorly understood. In this study, using 65 occurrence records, along with 60 environmental factors, historical, present and future suitable habitats were estimated using MaxEnt modeling, and the important environmental variables affecting the geographical distribution of sect. Tuberculata were analyzed. The results indicate that the size of the its potential habitat area in the current climate was 1.05 × 10[5] km[2], and the highly suitable habitats were located in Guizhou, central-southern Sichuan, the Wuling Mountains in Chongqing, the Panjiang Basin, and southwestern Hunan. The highest probability of presence for it occurs at mean diurnal range (bio2) ≤ 7.83 °C, basic saturation (s_bs) ≤ 53.36%, temperature annual range (bio7) ≤ 27.49 °C, -7.75 °C < mean temperature of driest quarter (bio9) < 7.75 °C, annual UV-B seasonality (uvb2) ≤ 1.31 × 10[5] W/m[2], and mean UV-B of highest month (uvb3) ≤ 5089.61 W/m[2]. In particular, bio2 is its most important environmental factor. During the historical period, the potential habitat area for sect. Tuberculata was severely fragmented; in contrast, the current period has a more concentrated habitat area. In the three future periods, the potential habitat area will change by varying degrees, depending on the aggressiveness of emissions reductions, and the increase in the potential habitat area was the largest in the SSP2.6 (Low-concentration greenhouse gas emissions) scenario. Although the SSP8.5 (High-concentration greenhouse gas emissions) scenario indicated an expansion in its habitat in the short term, its growth and development would be adversely affected in the long term. In the centroid analysis, the centroid of its potential habitat will shift from lower to higher latitudes in the northwest direction. The findings of our study will aid efforts to uncover its originsand geographic differentiation, conservation of unique germplasms, and forestry development and utilization.}, }
@article {pmid39596892, year = {2024}, author = {Liu, L and Liang, S and Xie, C and Liu, J and Zheng, Y and Xue, J}, title = {Predicting the Potential Distribution of Aralia chinensis L. (Wild Vegetable) in China Under Different Climate Change Scenarios.}, journal = {Biology}, volume = {13}, number = {11}, pages = {}, pmid = {39596892}, issn = {2079-7737}, support = {Qian.ke He Ji. chu [2020]1Y389//Guizhou Provincial Science and Technology Program Project/ ; }, abstract = {Global climate change has a main impact on the distribution of plants. Aralia chinensis L. is economically valuable, making it necessary to predict the impact of climate change on its distribution. It is important for researching the effects of climate change on A. chinensis distribution to achieve sustainable utilization. Based on 340 occurrence records of A. chinensis covering all known provinces and 58 environmental factor data, we used MaxEnt to simulate the potential distribution of A. chinensis under current and different future climate scenarios, analyzing the key environmental variables affecting its distribution. The results were as follows: (1) Suitable A. chinensis habitats under current and different future climate scenarios were mainly distributed in the southern region of China, east of the Hu Huanyong line. (2) Annual precipitation, minimum temperature during the coldest month, precipitation during the driest month, and slope were the key environmental variables affecting its potential distribution, and annual precipitation was more important. (3) Suitable habitat areas were projected to increase under different future climate scenarios and expand westward and northward while shrinking in the central regions, such as Hubei and Hunan. The results provide a theoretical reference for the conservation and cultivation of A. chinensis.}, }
@article {pmid39595748, year = {2024}, author = {Haque, F and Lampe, FC and Hajat, S and Stavrianaki, K and Hasan, SMT and Faruque, ASG and Ahmed, T and Jubayer, S and Kelman, I}, title = {Heat Index: An Alternative Indicator for Measuring the Impacts of Meteorological Factors on Diarrhoea in the Climate Change Era: A Time Series Study in Dhaka, Bangladesh.}, journal = {International journal of environmental research and public health}, volume = {21}, number = {11}, pages = {}, pmid = {39595748}, issn = {1660-4601}, mesh = {Bangladesh/epidemiology ; Humans ; *Diarrhea/epidemiology ; Child, Preschool ; Male ; Female ; Infant ; *Climate Change ; *Hot Temperature/adverse effects ; Child ; *Hospitalization/statistics &amp; numerical data ; Adolescent ; Adult ; Young Adult ; Middle Aged ; Humidity ; Infant, Newborn ; Aged ; }, abstract = {Heat index (HI) is a biometeorological indicator that combines temperature and relative humidity. This study aimed to investigate the relationship between the Heat Index and daily counts of diarrhoea hospitalisation in Dhaka, Bangladesh. Data on daily diarrhoea hospitalisations and meteorological variables from 1981 to 2010 were collected. We categorised the Heat Index of >94.3 °F (>34.6 °C), >100.7 °F (>38.2 °C) and >105 °F (>40.6 °C) as high, very high and extremely high Heat Index, respectively. We applied a time series adjusted generalised linear model (GLM) with negative binomial distribution to investigate the effects of the Heat Index and extreme Heat Index on hospitalisations for diarrhoea. Effects were assessed for all ages, children under 5 years old and by gender. A unit higher HI and high, very high and extremely high HI were associated with 0.8%, 8%, 7% and 9% increase in diarrhoea hospitalisations in all ages, respectively. The effects varied slightly by gender and were most pronounced in children under 5 years old with a rise of 1°F in high, very high and extremely high HI associated with a 14.1% (95% CI: 11.3-17.0%), 18.3% (95% CI: 13.4-23.5%) and 18.1% (95% CI: 8.4-28.6%) increase of diarrhoea, respectively. This suggests that the Heat Index may serve as an alternative indicator for measuring the combined effects of temperature and humidity on diarrhoea.}, }
@article {pmid39595724, year = {2024}, author = {Nuvolari-Duodo, I and Dolcini, M and Buffoli, M and Rebecchi, A and Dall'Ò, G and Monticelli, C and Vertua, C and Brambilla, A and Capolongo, S}, title = {Integrated Climate Change Mitigation and Public Health Protection Strategies: The Case of the City of Bologna, Italy.}, journal = {International journal of environmental research and public health}, volume = {21}, number = {11}, pages = {}, pmid = {39595724}, issn = {1660-4601}, mesh = {Italy ; *Climate Change ; *Public Health ; *Cities ; Humans ; *Greenhouse Gases/analysis ; Air Pollution/prevention &amp; control/analysis ; Built Environment ; Renewable Energy ; }, abstract = {INTRODUCTION: The ongoing process of global warming, driven by the escalating concentration of greenhouse gases generated by human activities, especially in urban areas, significantly impacts public health. Local authorities play an important role in health promotion and disease prevention, and some aim to achieve net-zero greenhouse gas emissions. There is a consistent action underway to reach this goal, hence the need for mapping and implementing effective strategies and regulations.<br><br>MATERIALS AND METHODS: This study includes the analysis of policy guidelines adopted by the city of Bologna, consulted in March and April 2024. Bologna is one of the 100 cities committed to achieving climate neutrality by 2030, 20 years ahead of the EU target. To identify the strategies adopted to mitigate climate change, the following methodology was used: (i) the systematic mapping of sources and spatial planning documents; (ii) the extrapolation of goals, measures, and target indicators; and (iii) the development of an overall matrix.<br><br>RESULTS: The main findings of the study and their connection to public health pertain to the identification of key macro-areas contributing to the reduction of greenhouse gas emissions, while reducing the impact of climate change on health: (1) built environment and renewable energy sources, (2) transport and mobility, (3) energy, (4) green areas and land use, and (5) citizen support. Within these five macro-areas, 14 goals have been identified, to which a total of 36 measures correspond, and, finally, a target indicator is determined, mainly with respect to the reduction of tons of CO2 equivalent per year.<br><br>CONCLUSIONS: In order to protect public health, it is evident that buildings and urban activities should not produce carbon emissions throughout their lifecycle. This paper presents a method to evaluate municipal policies regarding dual-impact solutions that address both environmental protection through sustainability strategies and public health, in compliance with the Health in All Policies (HiAP) approach.}, }
@article {pmid39595682, year = {2024}, author = {Alarcón Garavito, GA and Toncón Chaparro, LF and Jasim, S and Zanatta, F and Miliou, I and Bampa, M and Huebner, G and Keck, T}, title = {The Impact of Climate Change on the Mental Health of Populations at Disproportionate Risk of Health Impacts and Inequities: A Rapid Scoping Review of Reviews.}, journal = {International journal of environmental research and public health}, volume = {21}, number = {11}, pages = {}, pmid = {39595682}, issn = {1660-4601}, support = {NA//UCL Cities Partnership Programme in the UCL Global Engagement Office/ ; 212264/Z/18/Z/WT_/Wellcome Trust/United Kingdom ; NA//Royal Society/ ; EP/R035288/1//the Centre for Research Into Energy Demand Solutions/ ; EP/Y010078/1//the Energy Demand Research Centre/ ; NA//the National Institute for Health and Care Research Applied Research Collaboration North Thames/ ; }, mesh = {*Climate Change ; Humans ; *Mental Health ; Health Status Disparities ; }, abstract = {The impacts of climate change on mental health are starting to be recognized and may be exacerbated for populations at disproportionate risk of health impacts or inequalities, including some people living in low- and middle-income countries, children, indigenous populations, and people living in rural communities, among others. Here, we conduct a rapid scoping review of reviews to summarize the research to date on climate impacts on the mental health of populations at disproportionate risk. This review highlights the direct and indirect effects of climate change, the common mental health issues that have been studied related to climate events, and the populations that have been studied to date. This review outlines key gaps in the field and important research areas going forward. These include a need for more systematic methodologies, with before-and-after comparisons or exposure/non-exposure group comparisons and consistent mental health outcome measurements that are appropriately adapted for the populations being studied. Further research is also necessary in regard to the indirect effects of climate change and the climate effects on indigenous populations and populations with other protected and intersecting characteristics. This review highlights the key research areas to date and maps the critical future research necessary to develop future interventions.}, }
@article {pmid39592666, year = {2024}, author = {Alisoltani, T and Shafiepour Motlagh, M and Ashrafi, K}, title = {Concurrent heat stress and air pollution episodes by considering future projection of climate change.}, journal = {Scientific reports}, volume = {14}, number = {1}, pages = {29301}, pmid = {39592666}, issn = {2045-2322}, abstract = {The simultaneous effect of heat stress and air pollutants such as ozone can cause many health issues in cities. The situation exacerbates in the context of climate change and temperature rise. Furthermore, ground-level ozone, worsened by climate change, needs investigation for effective management. Therefore, this study projects heat stress and ozone levels in two Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (CMIP6) climate scenarios, SSP245 and SSP585. Results indicate heightened heat stress with increased ozone levels, especially in severe climate scenarios like SSP585. Besides, the study shows that in the SSP245 and SSP585 scenarios, the seasonal shift of high Heat Index (HI) values as well as high ozone concentrations is happening toward the previous months of June-July-August (JJA). High values in the HI classification and the Maximum Daily 8-hour average (MDA8) ozone happen sooner in the March-April-May (MAM) months than the expected JJA months. Furthermore, in the SSP585 scenario, the HI classification above 105 (very hot equal to danger category) is 10% high in all months in comparison to the SSP245 scenario. The study emphasizes the importance of understanding the interactions between heat stress and ozone pollution for implementing effective adaptation and mitigation measures.}, }
@article {pmid39592293, year = {2024}, author = {Gao, G and Li, B and Niklas, KJ and Huang, Y and Xu, M and Liu, G and Fu, B}, title = {Deep soil carbon pool responses to climate change in the Chinese Loess Plateau.}, journal = {Science bulletin}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, doi = {10.1016/j.scib.2024.11.014}, pmid = {39592293}, issn = {2095-9281}, }
@article {pmid39592275, year = {2024}, author = {Chatziparasidis, G and Kantar, A and Rafailia Chatziparasidi, M and Fouzas, S and Bush, A and Chang, A}, title = {The potential effects of climate change on non-cystic fibrosis bronchiectasis in children.}, journal = {Paediatric respiratory reviews}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, doi = {10.1016/j.prrv.2024.10.002}, pmid = {39592275}, issn = {1526-0550}, abstract = {Climate change may have devastating effects on the pathogenesis of non-cystic fibrosis bronchiectasis in children since it affects the biological cycle of the respiratory pathogens and alters the human respiratory defense mechanisms. Bronchiectasis in children has been identified as an emerging global epidemic that has attracted the attention of the medical community over recent years. Pediatric pulmonologists should be aware of the consequences of climate change on children with bronchiectasis and plan strategies to ameliorate these effects.}, }
@article {pmid39591794, year = {2024}, author = {Khalil, MIM and Shaala, RS and Mousa, EFS and Zoromba, MA and Atta, MHR}, title = {Examining the associations between emotionally charged reactions toward climate change and self-care, quality of life among older adults, coping mechanisms, and pro-environmental practices.}, journal = {Geriatric nursing (New York, N.Y.)}, volume = {61}, number = {}, pages = {353-363}, doi = {10.1016/j.gerinurse.2024.11.013}, pmid = {39591794}, issn = {1528-3984}, abstract = {AIM: To examine the associations between emotionally charged reactions to climate change, self-care, quality of life among older adults, coping mechanisms, and pro-environmental practices.<br><br>BACKGROUND: Older adults often face unique challenges in coping with climate change and its detrimental effect on self-care and quality of life. They may be particularly vulnerable to this pressing global issue.<br><br>METHOD: A multi-center, descriptive, correlational approach from three governorates in Egypt. A convenience sample of 609 older adults answered the Inventory of Climate Emotions, the Older People's Quality of Life-Brief, the Self-care Ability Scale for the Elderly, the Pro-Environmental Practices Assessment, and the Coping Scale with Climate Change.<br><br>RESULTS: The overall emotionally charged reactions to the idea of climate change showed a negative correlation with both the older adults' QoL total score (r = -.762) and the Self-care Ability Scale (r = -.775), yet a positive correlation with Pro-environmental Practices (r = .692) and Coping Strategies (r = .992). The regression analyses revealed that emotions explain a substantial variance in the older adult's quality of life (85.6%) and self-care (79.7%), as well as their pro-environmental actions (72%) and coping strategies (38.8%).<br><br>The research underscores climate change's significant emotional and psychological ramifications on older adults, yielding valuable insights for geriatric nursing practice. The findings can facilitate the development of precise interventions to promote self-care, bolster coping strategies, and advocate for pro-environmental conduct among older adults. Understanding these associations can contribute to the enhancement of quality of life and the fortification of resilience. The research implications may offer pivotal guidance for geriatric nursing education, clinical protocols, and community initiatives dedicated to fortifying older adults' mental well-being, contending with the repercussions of climate change.}, }
@article {pmid39591716, year = {2024}, author = {Yue, F and Liu, D and Xiong, L and Chen, J and Chen, H and Yin, J}, title = {Understanding the roles of climate change, land use and land cover change and water diversion project in modulating water- and carbon-use efficiency in Han River Basin.}, journal = {Journal of environmental management}, volume = {373}, number = {}, pages = {123445}, doi = {10.1016/j.jenvman.2024.123445}, pmid = {39591716}, issn = {1095-8630}, abstract = {Water-use efficiency (WUE) and carbon-use efficiency (CUE) are critical indicators of ecosystem function and hydrologic processes, reflecting the water-carbon flux exchange rate. Climatic variables, land use and land cover change (LUCC) and water diversion project (WDP) have altered water-carbon cycle; however, their roles in modulating WUE and CUE remain uncertain. To explore these effects, a framework is proposed and Han River basin (HRB) in China is selected as a case study including the data sets from both remote sensing and in situ observations during 2000-2020. The process-based Regional Hydro-Ecological Simulation System model and a supervised machine learning model are applied to simulate the impacts of climatic variables, LUCC and WDP on WUE and CUE, which are conducted by designing four experiments. We find that no significant WUE and CUE trends attributed to contrasting trends in the dry (October to March) and wet (April to September) seasons. Temperature variations greatly affect WUE and CUE, with WUE decreasing in the wet season and increasing in the dry season due to minimum temperature changes. LUCC has litter impacts on WUE and CUE changes. From 2014 to 2020, the middle route of the South-to-North WDP decreased WUE by 0.22 gCkg[-1]H2O in the middle-low HRB's wet season, slightly affecting CUE. Seasonal CUE was stable, with the largest decrease of 0.04 in the upper HRB during the wet season. The WDP also increased WUE sensitivities to minimum and maximum temperatures, while CUE sensitivities remained constant. Our case study has proven that the proposed framework is an effective way to understand the roles of climate change and WDP in modulating WUE and CUE.}, }
@article {pmid39591675, year = {2024}, author = {Shi, Y and Liu, Y and Shan, X and Chen, Y and Jin, X and Han, Q and Pakhomov, EA}, title = {Climate change induced first record of Porpita porpita (Linnaeus, 1758) in the Yellow Sea, China.}, journal = {Marine pollution bulletin}, volume = {210}, number = {}, pages = {117333}, doi = {10.1016/j.marpolbul.2024.117333}, pmid = {39591675}, issn = {1879-3363}, abstract = {In August 2021, the blue button Porpita porpita, typically found in tropical and subtropical waters, was observed for the first time in the Yellow Sea. This study aimed to investigate the potential causes by analyzing the zooplankton community structure and the effects of water currents. The three stations, where P. porpita were recorded, were influenced by a warm and saline water tongue. The intruding current, which intensified during a La Niña event, also shaped the zooplankton community structure and distribution patterns. This research extends the known geographical distribution of P. porpita. The first observation of P. porpita in the Yellow Sea is likely attributable to the impacts of southeasterly winds and brought about by the intruding current, potentially suggesting ongoing region "tropicalization". Future studies will need to conduct a comprehensive analysis of additional surveys to better understand how the Yellow Sea pelagic ecosystem responds to climate change.}, }
@article {pmid39591627, year = {2024}, author = {Dunn, JA and Grekin, P and Darnton, JB and Soth, S and Austin, EJ and Woolworth, S and Bhatraju, EP and Gojic, A and Williams, EC and Hallgren, KA and Tsui, JI}, title = {Disruption of Opioid Treatment Program Services Due to an Extreme Weather Event: An Example of Climate Change Effects on the Health of Persons Who Use Drugs.}, journal = {Journal of addiction medicine}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, doi = {10.1097/ADM.0000000000001403}, pmid = {39591627}, issn = {1935-3227}, abstract = {Climate change and the opioid epidemic in combination may pose significant challenges for individuals with opioid use disorder due to potential disruptions in access to essential addiction treatment services caused by extreme weather events. Despite concerns over the escalating health impacts of climate change, limited research has documented and explored the vulnerability of patients enrolled in opioid treatment programs to disruptions caused by climate change and particularly extreme cold events. In this commentary, we describe the impact of a catastrophic flooding event during record-setting cold temperatures at an opioid treatment program in Seattle, WA. By examining this event, we highlight the potential vulnerabilities the methadone treatment infrastructure faces regarding climate change and future extreme weather events. In doing so, we hope to draw attention to a critical need for research that describes, plans for, and addresses disruptions to opioid use disorder treatment resulting from climate change-related weather events.}, }
@article {pmid39590496, year = {2024}, author = {Xiao, K and Ling, L and Deng, R and Huang, B and Cao, Y and Wu, Q and Ning, H and Chen, H}, title = {Projecting the Potential Global Distribution of Sweetgum Inscriber, Acanthotomicus suncei (Coleoptera: Curculionidae: Scolytinae) Concerning the Host Liquidambar styraciflua Under Climate Change Scenarios.}, journal = {Insects}, volume = {15}, number = {11}, pages = {}, pmid = {39590496}, issn = {2075-4450}, support = {2024AFB534//Natural Science Foundation of Hubei Province/ ; 202206010019//Key Projects of Guangzhou of Science and Technology Plan/ ; }, abstract = {Acanthotomicus suncei is a newly discovered bark beetle in China that significantly threatens the American sweetgum Liquidambar styraciflua. In recent years, this pest has spread from its original habitat to many surrounding cities, causing substantial economic and ecological losses. Considering the wide global distribution of its host, Liquidambar styraciflua, this pest is likely to continue to spread and expand. Once the pest colonizes a new climatically suitable area, the consequences could be severe. Therefore, we employed the CLIMEX and Random Forests model to predict the potential suitable distribution of A. suncei globally. The results showed that A. suncei was mainly distributed in Southern China, in South Hokkaido in Japan, Southern USA, the La Plata Plain in South America, southeastern Australia, and the northern Mediterranean; these areas are located in subtropical monsoon, monsoonal humid climates, or Mediterranean climate zones. Seasonal rainfall, especially in winter, is a key environmental factor that affects the suitable distribution of A. suncei. Under future climates, the total suitable area of A. suncei is projected to decrease to a certain extent. However, changes in its original habitat require serious attention. We found that A. suncei exhibited a spreading trend in Southwest, Central, and Northeast China. Suitable areas in some countries in Southeast and South Asia bordering China are also expected to show an increased distribution. The outward spread of this pest via sea transportation cannot be ignored. Hence, quarantine efforts should be concentrated in high-suitability regions determined in this study to protect against the occurrence of hosts that may contain A. suncei, thereby avoiding its long-distance spread. Long-term sentinel surveillance and control measures should be carried out as soon as A. suncei is detected, especially in regions with high suitability. Thus, our findings establish a theoretical foundation for quarantine and control measures targeting A. suncei.}, }
@article {pmid39590441, year = {2024}, author = {Rahimi, E and Jung, C}, title = {A New SDM-Based Approach for Assessing Climate Change Effects on Plant-Pollinator Networks.}, journal = {Insects}, volume = {15}, number = {11}, pages = {}, doi = {10.3390/insects15110842}, pmid = {39590441}, issn = {2075-4450}, support = {RS-2023-00232847//RDA Korea/ ; NRF-2018R1A6A1A03024862//National Research Foundation of Korea/ ; }, abstract = {Current methods for studying the effects of climate change on plants and pollinators can be grouped into two main categories. The first category involves using species distribution models (SDMs) to generate habitat suitability maps, followed by applying climate change scenarios to predict the future distribution of plants and pollinators separately. The second category involves constructing interaction matrices between plants and pollinators and then either randomly removing species or selectively removing generalist or specialist species, as a way to estimate how climate change might affect the plant-pollinator network. The primary limitation of the first approach is that it examines plant and pollinator distributions separately, without considering their interactions within the context of a pollination network. The main weakness of the second approach is that it does not accurately predict climate change impacts, as it arbitrarily selects species to remove without knowing which species will truly shift, decline, or increase in distribution due to climate change. Therefore, a new approach is needed to bridge the gap between these two methods while avoiding their specific limitations. In this context, we introduced an innovative approach that first requires the creation of binary climate suitability maps for plants and pollinators, based on SDMs, for both the current and future periods. This step aligns with the first category of methods mentioned earlier. To assess the effects of climate change within a network framework, we consider species co-overlapping in a geographic matrix. For this purpose, we developed a Python program that overlays the binary distribution maps of plants and pollinators, generating interaction matrices. These matrices represent potential plant-pollinator interactions, with a '0' indicating no overlap and a '1' where both species coincide in the same cell. As a result, for each cell within the study area, we can construct interaction matrices for both the present and future periods. This means that for each cell, we can analyze at least two pollination networks based on species co-overlap. By comparing the topology of these matrices over time, we can infer how climate change might affect plant-pollinator interactions at a fine spatial scale. We applied our methodology to Chile as a case study, generating climate suitability maps for 187 plant species and 171 pollinator species, resulting in 2906 pollination networks. We then evaluated how climate change could affect the network topology across Chile on a cell-by-cell basis. Our findings indicated that the primary effect of climate change on pollination networks is likely to manifest more significantly through network extinctions, rather than major changes in network topology.}, }
@article {pmid39589787, year = {2024}, author = {Martínez-Lüscher, J and Matus, JT and Gomès, E and Pascual, I}, title = {Toward understanding grapevine responses to climate change: a multistress and holistic approach.}, journal = {Journal of experimental botany}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, doi = {10.1093/jxb/erae482}, pmid = {39589787}, issn = {1460-2431}, abstract = {Recent research has extensively covered the effects of climate change factors, such as elevated CO2, rising temperatures and water deficit, on grapevine (Vitis spp.) biology. However, the assessment of the impacts of multiple climate change-related stresses on this crop remains complex due to the large number of interactive effects among environmental factors and the regulatory mechanisms that underlie these effects. Consequently, there is a substantial discrepancy between the number of studies conducted with a single or two factors simultaneously, and those with a more holistic approach. This review focuses on how climate change factors will coexist across the viticultural areas of the globe and summarises the main interactive mechanisms affecting crop performance. We highlight how the rise in temperatures will be enhanced when dealing with specific periods, such as the ripening months. Changes in crop phenology in response to temperature have been a major focus of most studies. However, how these physiological shifts may result in deleterious effects on yield and quality deserves further research. Rising temperatures will most certainly continue to represent the most imminent threat to viticulture due to its effects on grape phenology, composition and crop water requirements. Nevertheless, elevated CO2 may offer some relief through increased water use efficiency, as recent studies have shown. Within the repertoire of regulatory mechanisms that plants possess, hormones play a major role explaining the effects of combined stresses due to their crosstalk. In fact, growth regulators fine tune stress responses depending on the multiple stresses present. The paper focuses on the multistress responses mediated by ABA and jasmonate, and on the intricate interconnections of signalling among the different plant hormones.}, }
@article {pmid39588645, year = {2024}, author = {Khraishah, H and Ostergard, RL and Nabi, SR and De Alwis, D and Alahmad, B}, title = {Climate Change and Cardiovascular Disease: Who Is Vulnerable?.}, journal = {Arteriosclerosis, thrombosis, and vascular biology}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, doi = {10.1161/ATVBAHA.124.318681}, pmid = {39588645}, issn = {1524-4636}, abstract = {Climate change involves a shift in earth's climate indicators over extended periods of time due to human activity. Anthropogenic air pollution has resulted in trapping heat, contributing to global warming, which contributes to worsening air pollution through facilitating oxidizing of air constituents. It is becoming more evident that the effects of climate change, such as air pollution and ambient temperatures, are interconnected with each other and other environmental factors. While the relationship between climate change components and cardiovascular disease is well documented in the literature, their interaction with one another along with individuals' biological and social risk factors is yet to be elucidated. In this review, we summarize that pathophysiological mechanisms by ambient temperatures directly affect cardiovascular health and describe the most vulnerable subgroups, defined by age, sex, race, and socioeconomic factors. Finally, we provide guidance on the importance of integrating climate, environmental, social, and health data into common platforms to inform researchers and policies.}, }
@article {pmid39588352, year = {2024}, author = {Liu, T and Cai, H and Zhang, G}, title = {Assessment of Climate Change Impacts on the Distribution of Endangered and Endemic Changnienia amoena (Orchidaceae) Using Ensemble Modeling and Gap Analysis in China.}, journal = {Ecology and evolution}, volume = {14}, number = {11}, pages = {e70636}, pmid = {39588352}, issn = {2045-7758}, abstract = {Climate change has significant impacts on the distribution of orchids. The endemic and endangered orchids are more susceptible to climate change than widely distributed orchids. To date, little is known concerning the response of endangered Changnienia amoena, endemic to China, to different climate scenarios. Here, we build an ensemble model comprising random forest model, maximum entropy model, and gradient boosting model in Biomod2 package to project its potential distribution in China, evaluate its current protective effectiveness, and identify its conservation gaps in China by determining the C. amoena population range within the natural protected areas. The outcomes showed that the four key environmental factors influencing its distribution were mean diurnal temperature range, minimum temperature of the coldest month, temperature seasonality, and precipitation of the warmest quarter. This orchid was currently distributed mainly in southern Anhui, central and western Hubei, western Hunan, southern Shaanxi, and eastern Sichuan province. The total suitable area of C. amoena was 58.33 × 10[4] km[2], only accounting for 6.08% of China's total territory, which is larger than known. However, only 4.48% of the suitable area is located within national nature reserves and 3.33% within provincial nature reserves, respectively. During the last inter glacial and mid-holocene, its suitable areas were larger than the current. Under six future climate scenarios, its suitable areas may decrease averagely by 2.26% relative to the current, with severe habitat fragmentation. Collectively, the centroid of C. amoena is expected to shift towards the southeast in the future. Therefore, our findings demonstrate that climate change has an adverse effect on its potential distribution. We recommend expanding protected areas or establishing new conservation sites for C. amoena in China. Furthermore, our study can help to inform the development of conservation management strategies for other endangered Chinese endemic orchids under climate change.}, }
@article {pmid39588015, year = {2024}, author = {Hundal, H}, title = {Climate change and health: a focal point for medical education.}, journal = {Canadian medical education journal}, volume = {15}, number = {5}, pages = {166}, doi = {10.36834/cmej.79438}, pmid = {39588015}, issn = {1923-1202}, }
@article {pmid39588005, year = {2024}, author = {Namyatova, AA and Dzhelali, PA and Tyts, VD and Popkov, AA}, title = {Climate change effect on the widely distributed Palearctic plant bug species (Insecta: Heteroptera: Miridae).}, journal = {PeerJ}, volume = {12}, number = {}, pages = {e18377}, pmid = {39588005}, issn = {2167-8359}, mesh = {Animals ; *Heteroptera/physiology/growth &amp; development ; *Climate Change ; Europe ; Asia ; Temperature ; Ecosystem ; }, abstract = {Insects are poikilothermic organisms and temperature increase usually accelerates their development rates, population and distribution area growth. Therefore, it is assumed that global warming can be beneficial for the pests and other widespread species at least in the relatively cool temperate zones. However, climate change's effect on the widespread species in the Palearctic remains poorly studied. This work was performed on three plant bug species (Insecta: Heteroptera: Miridae), at present inhabiting Europe and Asia. Liocoris tripustulatus is known from the Western Palearctic, Lygocoris pabulinus occupies the territories from Western Europe to South Asia, Lygus punctatus is distributed from Northern Europe to the Far East. In this paper, it is tested whether temperature rise is positively connected with the area of preferred climatic conditions for those species, and explores the particular climatic variables which can be limiting for the distribution of those species. Maxent software was used for the environmental niche modeling and to find the variables with significant contribution to the climatic models for the studied species. Based on those models, areas with preferred climatic conditions over different periods were calculated in QGIS. Principal component analysis and logistic regression were performed to find the variables highly contributing to the differences between the species. The results contradict the assumption that temperature growth alone can be a predictor for the widespread species and pest distribution range change. All species differ in suitable climatic conditions and their area dynamics in time, and the temperature affects each species differently. Only Liocoris tripustulatus might significantly expand its distribution area by 2070 due to the climate change. The areas in Asia and above the polar circle will be more suitable by that time for all three species than now. However, conditions in Europe might be less suitable for Lygocoris pabulinus and Lygus punctatus in the future. Both, temperature and precipitation variables, can be important for shaping distribution of Liocoris tripustulatus and Lygocoris pabulinus. Mean annual temperature and temperature in winter, most probably, limit the distribution of at least Liocoris tripsutulatus and Lygus punctatus, but changes in this variable affect those two species differently.}, }
@article {pmid39587814, year = {2024}, author = {Sümen, A and Kublay, Y and Adibelli, D}, title = {Evaluation of Adult Individuals' Climate Change Concern and Mental Well-Being Levels in Türkiye: A Descriptive and Correlational Study.}, journal = {Public health nursing (Boston, Mass.)}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, doi = {10.1111/phn.13493}, pmid = {39587814}, issn = {1525-1446}, abstract = {OBJECTIVES: This study was conducted to determine the relationship between climate change concerns and mental well-being levels in adult individuals.<br><br>DESIGN: A descriptive and correlational study.<br><br>SAMPLE: The study was conducted with 513 adult individuals who applied to primary healthcare institutions between May and October 2022 in T&#xfc;rkiye.<br><br>MEASUREMENTS: The research data were collected face-to-face using an introductory information form, the Climate Change Worry Scale (CCWS), and the Warwick-Edinburgh Mental Well-Being Scale (WEMWBS).<br><br>RESULTS: Among the occupations of the adults participating in the survey, the group most affected by climate change was greenhouse cultivation with 30.8%. The top three most common events experienced by the participants in the study are forest fire (40.6%), earthquake (29.2%), and flood (19.7%). In the study, the mean CCWS score of adults was 33.92 &#xb1; 10.27 and the mean WEMWBS score was 50.20 &#xb1; 11.88. A positive correlation was found between the total, anxiety, and feeling of helplessness sub-dimensions of the CCWS and the mean score of WEMWBS (p < 0.001). The mean scores of CCWS and WEMWBS of the participants who stated that they experienced an extraordinary event related to climate change, who had a relative who experienced these events, who followed these events from the media, and the mean scores of CCWS of those who experienced these events themselves were found to be significantly higher (p < 0.05). The mean scores of CCWS and WEMWBS were higher for those who experienced forest fire and flood disasters; CCWS for those who experienced tornado; and WEMWBS for those who experienced earthquake and storm/hurricane (p < 0.05).<br><br>CONCLUSIONS: One of the most important results of the study is that there is a positive relationship between the sub-dimensions of helplessness due to climate concern and the level of mental well-being. It is important to increase climate change awareness activities at individual and community levels.}, }
@article {pmid39587060, year = {2024}, author = {Szinai, JK and Yates, D and Sánchez-Pérez, PA and Staadecker, M and Kammen, DM and Jones, AD and Hidalgo-Gonzalez, P}, title = {Climate change and its influence on water systems increases the cost of electricity system decarbonization.}, journal = {Nature communications}, volume = {15}, number = {1}, pages = {10050}, pmid = {39587060}, issn = {2041-1723}, support = {DE-SC0016605//U.S. Department of Energy (DOE)/ ; }, abstract = {The electric sector simultaneously faces two challenges: decarbonization to mitigate, and adaptation to manage, the impacts of climate change. In many regions, these challenges are compounded by an interdependence of electricity and water systems, with water needed for hydropower generation and electricity for water provision. Here, we couple detailed water and electricity system models to evaluate how the Western Interconnection grid can both adapt to climate change and develop carbon-free generation by 2050, while accounting for interactions and climate vulnerabilities of the water sector. We find that by 2050, due to climate change, annual regional electricity use could grow by up to 2% from cooling and water-related electricity demand, while total annual hydropower generation could decrease by up to 23%. To adapt, we show that the region may need to build up to 139 GW of additional generating capacity between 2030 and 2050, equivalent to nearly thrice California's peak demand, and could incur up to $150 billion (+7%) in extra costs.}, }
@article {pmid39586449, year = {2024}, author = {Lin, Y and Gabrielsen, GW and Lu, Z and Huang, Q and Huang, P and Ke, H and Cai, M}, title = {Local Contributions and Climate Change Effects on Organochlorine Pesticide Levels in Soil and Sediments in Svalbard.}, journal = {Environmental pollution (Barking, Essex : 1987)}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {125386}, doi = {10.1016/j.envpol.2024.125386}, pmid = {39586449}, issn = {1873-6424}, abstract = {The Arctic region, including Svalbard, faces unique environmental challenges from the presence and persistence of organochlorine pesticides (OCPs), pollutants known for their long-range atmospheric transport and potential local sources. In Svalbard, the melting of sea ice and glaciers due to climate change may release OCPs trapped over decades, while human activities in the area could contribute additional local contamination. This study aimed to identify and quantify different sources of OCPs in soil and marine sediments at Svalbard. Samples were collected from Kongsfjorden, Rijpfjorden, and in Ny-Ålesund. The concentrations of 23 OCPs in sediments sampled were in the range of 0.36 to 0.90 ng/g, which were lower than those in the soils from Ny-Ålesund (0.28 ng/g to 3.6 ng/g). The highest OCP levels were detected at locations near the research station in Ny-Ålesund, where local contamination from research activities, mining, and dumpsites could occur. Hexachlorobenzene (HCB) were the most prominent compound, followed by various DDTs and HCHs. Dignostic ratios and the Positive Matrix Factorization (PMF) model were employed to determine the primary sources of OCPs. The results from modeling showed that historically used pollutants were the primary contributor, accounting for 90% of OCPs present, while recently input OCPs were a minor contributor. However, newly input pollutants significantly contributed to HCHs (43%). It is suggested that the contribution of legacy OCPs mainly comes from the melting of sea ice and glaciers. This was especially true for Rijpfjorden (95%), while it was also significant for Kongsfjorden (55%). The local contamination and fresh inputs played a substantial role in the area near the research station in Ny-Ålesund. The study emphasizes the importance of secondly source, especially the role of melting sea ice and glaciers as well as local contaminations as sources of OCPs in Svalbard's marine sediment, which highlight the urgent need to address the impact of climate change on the Arctic environment.}, }
@article {pmid39584747, year = {2024}, author = {Jackson, JS and Slay, SL and Tarter, SL}, title = {Climate Change Impact on Outdoor Organizations Today.}, journal = {Wilderness &amp; environmental medicine}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {10806032241296526}, doi = {10.1177/10806032241296526}, pmid = {39584747}, issn = {1545-1534}, abstract = {INTRODUCTION: Outdoor recreation and tourism providers, education programs, and outdoor recreation facilities are experiencing the effects of climate change and severe weather firsthand. This research assessed the impact that climate change was having on these operations in 2023.<br><br>METHODS: Respondents from 127 outdoor organizations completed an online survey assessing the impacts of climate change and severe weather. Any outdoor operation that owed a duty of care to clients who they take outdoors or host at their facilities was invited to participate. This included outdoor tourism and recreation providers, outdoor education programs (both school and expedition based), groups involved in conservation work, and facilities such as parks, ski areas, and other outdoor recreation facilities. Respondents were from Canada's far north to Mexico, with 14% from further international locations.<br><br>RESULTS: Climate change is having moderate to serious impacts on outdoor operations. Extreme heat and air quality were of primary concern, with storm event flooding, wildfires, snowpack, and changes in the ranges of disease-carrying insects top concerns. Fewer than half the operations have established criteria to aid in decision making, yet most had to revise operational plans in 2023 due to extreme weather.<br><br>CONCLUSIONS: There was pervasive uncertainty regarding decisions involving extreme heat and air quality, particularly the short-term health impacts on clients and the long-term health impacts on workers. There was uncertainty regarding trusted sources for guidance and the many overlapping or contradictory jurisdictional recommendations. Practical direction is required for operations and decision makers, as is further research specific to this sector's needs.}, }
@article {pmid39583903, year = {2024}, author = {Nybo, L and Flouris, AD}, title = {Temperature: A frontier journal in cross-scientific approaches to combat climate change.}, journal = {Temperature (Austin, Tex.)}, volume = {11}, number = {4}, pages = {299-301}, pmid = {39583903}, issn = {2332-8940}, }
@article {pmid39582854, year = {2024}, author = {Shikhani, M and Feldbauer, J and Ladwig, R and Mercado-Bettín, D and Moore, TN and Gevorgyan, A and Misakyan, A and Mi, C and Schultze, M and Boehrer, B and Shatwell, T and Barfus, K and Rinke, K}, title = {Combining a Multi-Lake Model Ensemble and a Multi-Domain CORDEX Climate Data Ensemble for Assessing Climate Change Impacts on Lake Sevan.}, journal = {Water resources research}, volume = {60}, number = {11}, pages = {e2023WR036511}, pmid = {39582854}, issn = {0043-1397}, abstract = {Global warming is shifting the thermal dynamics of lakes, with resulting climatic variability heavily affecting their mixing dynamics. We present a dual ensemble workflow coupling climate models with lake models. We used a large set of simulations across multiple domains, multi-scenario, and multi GCM- RCM combinations from CORDEX data. We forced a set of multiple hydrodynamic lake models by these multiple climate simulations to explore climate change impacts on lakes. We also quantified the contributions from the different models to the overall uncertainty. We employed this workflow to investigate the effects of climate change on Lake Sevan (Armenia). We predicted for the end of the 21st century, under RCP 8.5, a sharp increase in surface temperature (4.3 ± 0.7 K) and substantial bottom warming (1.7 ± 0.7 K) , longer stratification periods (+55 days) and disappearance of ice cover leading to a shift in mixing regime. Increased insufficient cooling during warmer winters points to the vulnerability of Lake Sevan to climate change. Our workflow leverages the strengths of multiple models at several levels of the model chain to provide a more robust projection and at the same time a better uncertainty estimate that accounts for the contributions of the different model levels to overall uncertainty. Although for specific variables, for example, summer bottom temperature, single lake models may perform better, the full ensemble provides a robust estimate of thermal dynamics that has a high transferability so that our workflow can be a blueprint for climate impact studies in other systems.}, }
@article {pmid39582513, year = {2024}, author = {Le Souëf, PN and Adachi, Y and Anastasiou, E and Ansotegui, IJ and Badellino, HA and Banzon, T and Beltrán, CP and D'Amato, G and El-Sayed, ZA and Gómez, RM and Hossny, E and Kalayci, &#xd6; and Morais-Almeida, M and Nieto-Garcia, A and Peden, DB and Phipatanakul, W and Wang, JY and Wan, IJ and Wong, G and Xepapadaki, P and Papadopoulos, NG}, title = {Global change, climate change, and asthma in children: Direct and indirect effects - A WAO Pediatric Asthma Committee Report.}, journal = {The World Allergy Organization journal}, volume = {17}, number = {11}, pages = {100988}, pmid = {39582513}, issn = {1939-4551}, abstract = {The twenty-first century has seen a fundamental shift in disease epidemiology with anthropogenic environmental change emerging as the likely dominant factor affecting the distribution and severity of current and future human disease. This is especially true of allergic diseases and asthma with their intimate relationship with the natural environment. Climate change-related variables including increased ambient temperature, heat waves, extreme weather events, air pollution, and rainfall distribution, all can directly affect asthma in children, but each of these variables also indirectly affects asthma via alterations in pollen production and release, outdoor allergen exposure or the microbiome. Air pollution, with its many and varied respiratory consequences, is likely to have the greatest effect, as it has increased globally due to rapid increases in fossil fuel combustion, global population, crowding, and megacities, as well as forest burning and trees succumbing to an increasingly hostile environment. Human activities have also caused substantial deterioration of the global microbiome with reductions in biodiversity for molds, bacteria, and viruses. Reduced microbiome diversity has, in turn, been associated with increases in Th2 allergic responses and allergic disease. The collective effect of these changes has already shifted allergy and asthma disease patterns. Given that changes in climate have been relatively small to date, the unavoidable, much greater shifts in climate in the future are concerning. Determining the relative scale of the direct versus indirect effects of climate change variables is needed if effective avoidance and adaptive measures are to be implemented. This would also require much more basic, epidemiological, and clinical research to understand the causal mechanisms, the most relevant climate factors involved, the regions most affected and, most importantly, effective and actionable adaptation measures. We suggest that allergy and respiratory health workers should follow current guidance to reduce present risks related to climate change and watch for new recommendations to reduce future risks. Since the respiratory system is the one most affected by climate change, they also need to call for more research in this area and show strong leadership in advocating for urgent action to protect children by reducing or reversing factors that have led to our deteriorating climate.}, }
@article {pmid39582375, year = {2024}, author = {Mechelli, A and Baecker, L and Bakolis, I and Stewart, R and Gasparrini, A and Smythe, M and White, M and Bridge, N}, title = {Climate change and mental health: overview of UK policy and regulatory frameworks to stimulate and inform future research and practice.}, journal = {The British journal of psychiatry : the journal of mental science}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {1-6}, doi = {10.1192/bjp.2024.216}, pmid = {39582375}, issn = {1472-1465}, support = {Wellcome Climate Impacts Award (Grant Ref: 228033//WT_/Wellcome Trust/United Kingdom ; }, abstract = {In the context of climate change, the impacts of extreme weather events are increasingly recognised as a significant threat to mental health in the UK. As clinicians and researchers with an interest in mental health, we have a collective responsibility to help understand and mitigate these impacts. To achieve this, however, it is vital to have an appreciation of the relevant policy and regulatory frameworks. In this feature article, a collaboration amongst mental health and policy experts, we provide an overview of the integration of mental health within current climate policies and regulations in the UK, including gaps and opportunities. We argue that current policy and regulatory frameworks are lacking in coverage, ambition, detail and implementation, as increases in weather extremes and their negative impacts on mental health outpace action. For example, across current national and local climate policies, there is almost no reference to the impacts of extreme weather events on mental health. Whilst alarming, this provides scope for future research to fill evidence gaps and inform policy and regulatory change. We call for mental health and policy experts to work together to improve our understanding of underlying mechanisms and develop practical interventions, helping to bring mental health within climate policy and regulatory frameworks.}, }
@article {pmid39582252, year = {2024}, author = {Griffiths, JS and Sasaki, M and Neylan, IP and Kelly, MW}, title = {The Potential for Experimental Evolution to Uncover Trade-Offs Associated With Anthropogenic and Climate Change Adaptation.}, journal = {Global change biology}, volume = {30}, number = {11}, pages = {e17584}, doi = {10.1111/gcb.17584}, pmid = {39582252}, issn = {1365-2486}, mesh = {*Climate Change ; *Biological Evolution ; *Adaptation, Physiological ; Animals ; Phenotype ; }, abstract = {Evolutionary responses to climate change may incur trade-offs due to energetic constraints and mechanistic limitations, which are both influenced by environmental context. Adaptation to one stressor may result in life history trade-offs, canalization of phenotypic plasticity, and the inability to tolerate other stressors, among other potential costs. While trade-offs incurred during adaptation are difficult to detect in natural populations, experimental evolution can provide important insights by measuring correlated responses to selection as populations adapt to changing environments. However, studies testing for trade-offs have generally lagged behind the growth in the use of experimental evolution in climate change studies. We argue that the important insights generated by the few studies that have tested for trade-offs make a strong case for including these types of measurements in future studies of climate adaptation. For example, there is emerging consensus from experimental evolution studies that tolerance and tolerance plasticity trade-offs are an often-observed outcome of adaptation to anthropogenic change. In recent years, these types of studies have been strengthened by the use of sequencing of experimental populations, which provides promising new avenues for understanding the molecular mechanisms underlying observed phenotypic trade-offs.}, }
@article {pmid39581955, year = {2024}, author = {Schlaepfer, DR and Chambers, JC and Urza, AK and Hanberry, BB and Brown, JL and Board, DI and Campbell, SB and Clause, KJ and Crist, MR and Bradford, JB}, title = {Declining ecological resilience and invasion resistance under climate change in the sagebrush region, United States.}, journal = {Ecological applications : a publication of the Ecological Society of America}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {e3065}, doi = {10.1002/eap.3065}, pmid = {39581955}, issn = {1051-0761}, support = {//USGS Ecosystems Mission Area Land Management Research Program/ ; //Rocky Mountain Research Station/ ; PL-117-58//Section 40804 Ecosystem Restoration of the Bipartisan Infrastructure Law (PL-117-58)/ ; //U.S. Bureau of Land Management/ ; //USGS Northwest Climate Adaptation Science Center/ ; }, abstract = {In water-limited dryland ecosystems of the Western United States, climate change is intensifying the impacts of heat, drought, and wildfire. Disturbances often lead to increased abundance of invasive species, in part, because dryland restoration and rehabilitation are inhibited by limited moisture and infrequent plant recruitment events. Information on ecological resilience to disturbance (recovery potential) and resistance to invasive species can aid in addressing these challenges by informing long-term restoration and conservation planning. Here, we quantified the impacts of projected future climate on ecological resilience and invasion resistance (R&amp;R) in the sagebrush region using novel algorithms based on ecologically relevant and climate-sensitive predictors of climate and ecological drought. We used a process-based ecohydrological model to project these predictor variables and resulting R&amp;R indicators for two future climate scenarios and 20 climate models. Results suggested widespread future R&amp;R decreases (24%-34% of the 1.16 million km[2] study area) that are generally consistent among climate models. Variables related to rising temperatures were most strongly linked to decreases in R&amp;R indicators. New continuous R&amp;R indices quantified responses to climate change; particularly useful for areas without projected change in the R&amp;R category but where R&amp;R still may decrease, for example, some of the areas with a historically low R&amp;R category. Additionally, we found that areas currently characterized as having high sagebrush ecological integrity had the largest areal percentage with expected declines in R&amp;R in the future, suggesting continuing declines in sagebrush ecosystems. One limitation of these R&amp;R projections was relatively novel future climatic conditions in particularly hot and dry areas that were underrepresented in the training data. Including more data from these areas in future updates could further improve the reliability of the projections. Overall, these projected future declines in R&amp;R highlight a growing challenge for natural resource managers in the region, and the resulting spatially explicit datasets provide information that can improve long-term risk assessments, prioritizations, and climate adaptation efforts.}, }
@article {pmid39581565, year = {2024}, author = {Nunes, ML and da Cunha, AJLA}, title = {Neurodevelopment and climate change.}, journal = {Jornal de pediatria}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, doi = {10.1016/j.jped.2024.10.005}, pmid = {39581565}, issn = {1678-4782}, abstract = {OBJECTIVE: This article aims to assess the impact of climate change, a reality already presents in the environment, on the neurodevelopment of both neurotypical and atypical children.<br><br>DATA SOURCES: A narrative review of the literature was carried out based on articles available in the PubMed database, published in the last five years using the keywords neurodevelopment and climate change, as well as websites of organizations dedicated to childhood such as UNICEF, the American Academy of Pediatrics and the Center for Developing Childhood at Harvard University.<br><br>SUMMARY OF FINDINGS: Children and adolescents are more directly affected by the effects of climate change due to their developmental stage and greater vulnerability. Prolonged exposure to air pollutants can affect brain development, resulting in cognitive and behavioral problems. Extreme weather events, such as floods, cyclones, and heat waves, can destroy essential infrastructure such as schools and hospitals, interrupting the educational process and access to health care. Changes in rainfall patterns and extreme droughts can affect food production, leading to malnutrition and food insecurity. Direct experience of natural disasters can cause stress and psychological trauma, affecting children's emotional and mental well-being.<br><br>CONCLUSIONS: Studies clearly demonstrate the potential impact of climate change on the neurodevelopment and mental health of children and adolescents. This topic should be part of the current agenda of pediatricians, not only treating the resulting illnesses but mainly acting on the front line and supporting proposals to attenuate the environmental disaster that has already occurred.}, }
@article {pmid39581564, year = {2024}, author = {Bustamante, MMDC}, title = {Climate change and children's health: resilience challenges for Brazil.}, journal = {Jornal de pediatria}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, doi = {10.1016/j.jped.2024.11.002}, pmid = {39581564}, issn = {1678-4782}, abstract = {OBJECTIVE: Three decades of evidence compiled by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) reports is clear about the unequivocal impacts of humans on the global climate system are unequivocal and the wide range of effects on natural, social, and economic systems. Studies on impacts, vulnerability, and adaptation present the current impact on health and future consequences under different climate and greenhouse gas emissions scenarios. This article discusses some of the impacts of climate change on children's health which represents one of the most vulnerable groups.<br><br>SOURCES: Evidence was sourced from recent scientific papers and reports referring to the potential impacts on children's health associated with the extreme events in Brazil observed in Brazil between 2023 and 2024 (heat waves and droughts, wildfires, and floods).<br><br>SUMMARY OF THE FINDINGS: Besides global warming, climate change is associated with more frequent and intense extreme events such as droughts, floods, and wildfires. Children and adolescents are particularly vulnerable due to physiological characteristics, interaction with exposure factors, and because they will live longer under changing conditions. Climate change projections and the intensification of impacts for Brazil highlight the adaptation challenges related to the protection of children under a changing climate and the role of the preparation of the country's health system, educators, and parents.<br><br>CONCLUSIONS: The article underscores the need for collaboration among policymakers, health professionals, and educators, as well as the communities, to effectively address the adaptation challenges and build resilience to protect children against the impacts of climate change.}, }
@article {pmid39581563, year = {2024}, author = {Veras, MM and Saldiva, PHN}, title = {Impact of air pollution and climate change on maternal, fetal and postnatal health.}, journal = {Jornal de pediatria}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, doi = {10.1016/j.jped.2024.10.006}, pmid = {39581563}, issn = {1678-4782}, abstract = {OBJECTIVE: Besides socioeconomic factors, environmental pollution, and climate change are contemporary threats to health. In this review, the authors present results from a recent comprehensive synthesis of existing research on the effects of air pollution and climate change on gestation, fetal development, and postnatal health.<br><br>DATA SOURCES: Findings from systematic reviews conducted over the past five years and available in PubMed were used.<br><br>SUMMARY OF FINDINGS: A vast and robust evidence exists on the association between air pollution exposures and negative outcomes. Gestational diabetes, hypertensive disorders of pregnancy, preeclampsia, spontaneous abortion, and maternal postpartum depression are reported. Fetal development and postnatal health are also impaired by exposures; low birth weight is a common finding from studies worldwide, but there are increased risks for malformations and impairments in neurodevelopment. While there are fewer studies on factors related to climate change, there is sufficient evidence regarding the direct and indirect effects on maternal health and fetal development. Increased risks for prematurity, low birth, and emergency room visits are associated with higher temperatures. Asthma incidence and infectious respiratory disease risks are also influenced by extreme weather events. It is essential to recognize the profound impact that environmental factors, such as air pollution and climate change can have on maternal health, fetal development, and neonatal health.<br><br>CONCLUSION: The data presented underscores the significant risks that environmental pollution poses during gestation, influencing not only maternal health but also the short- and long-term well-being of the child.}, }
@article {pmid39580551, year = {2024}, author = {Morant, D and Rochera, C and Picazo, A and Miralles-Lorenzo, J and Camacho-Santamans, A and Camacho, A}, title = {Ecological status and type of alteration determine the C-balance and climate change mitigation capacity of Mediterranean inland saline shallow lakes.}, journal = {Scientific reports}, volume = {14}, number = {1}, pages = {29065}, pmid = {39580551}, issn = {2045-2322}, support = {FPU16/01444//Spanish Ministry of Science Innovation and Universities/ ; CGL2015-69557-R//Agencia Estatal de Investigaci&#xf3;n/ ; }, abstract = {Saline shallow lakes may play an important role in carbon exchange with the atmosphere, but their alteration may change carbon balance and greenhouse gas emissions patterns. This study investigated the relationship between carbon metabolic processes and environmental factors, focusing on alterations in salinity, hydroperiod length, and trophic status. The results revealed that disruptions to natural salinity patterns, driven by hydrological changes and ecological degradation, enhanced carbon greenhouse gas emitting metabolisms. In contrast, well-preserved lakes demonstrated significantly higher carbon retention and climate mitigation capacities (-188 ± 412 g C m[-2] yr[-1]) compared to lakes with hydrological and trophic disturbances (-30 ± 141 g C m[-2] yr[-1]). These findings emphasize the relevance of the metabolic activity of saline shallow lakes and highlight the need for targeted management and restoration efforts to maximize their climate regulation potential. The insights gained from this study may also be applicable to similar ecosystems in other regions.}, }
@article {pmid39579524, year = {2024}, author = {Crosta, M and Cervini, C and Medina, A and Battilani, P}, title = {Impact of simulated climate change conditions on Aspergillus flavus biocontrol effectiveness in peanut-based medium and peanut seeds.}, journal = {International journal of food microbiology}, volume = {428}, number = {}, pages = {110981}, doi = {10.1016/j.ijfoodmicro.2024.110981}, pmid = {39579524}, issn = {1879-3460}, abstract = {Peanut is a legume widespread in the world, but its high susceptibility to Aspergillus flavus infection poses a significant challenge due to the risk of aflatoxin contamination. It is predicted that changing climatic conditions will result in warmer, drier periods with elevated CO2 levels, which promote the growth of A. flavus. The most effective pre-harvest mitigation strategy is the use of non-aflatoxigenic strains of biocontrol; however, future climatic conditions may influence the effectiveness of this practice. Thus, the objective of this study was to assess the impact of simulated climate change conditions on the efficacy of a non-aflatoxigenic A. flavus strain, the active agent of a biocontrol product, in reducing fungal growth and mycotoxin production. A range of temperature conditions (T = 25, 30, 35 °C), water activity (aw = 0.85, 0.90, 0.95) and CO2 concentration (400, 1000 ppm) were selected for investigation. The assay was conducted using three ratios of A. flavus spore suspensions (100 % aflatoxigenic, 100 % non-aflatoxigenic, 50/50 % aflatoxigenic:non-aflatoxigenic; 105 spores mL[-1]) inoculated in vitro on a peanut-based medium (PBM), and in situ on peanut seeds, and incubated for 10 days. Results of in vitro studies showed a significant influence of T and aw on fungal growth rates (μ), with a reduction when the aw decreased and T shifted from the fungus's optimum of 30 °C. The highest mycotoxin concentration was detected on PBM, with an aflatoxin B1 (AFB1) production by the aflatoxigenic strain in situ 50 % lower than in vitro. However, for all the treatments, the application of the biocontrol agent inhibited AFB1 production with a general reduction of 55 % in vitro and 71 % in situ, even though a significant increase in kojic acid production was observed. The effectiveness of the non-aflatoxigenic strain increased when T was raised up to 35 °C with higher AFB1 reductions both in vitro and in situ, of respectively 58 and 76 %. These observations provided the first evidence that climate change will not negatively influence the ability of the Italian A. flavus non-aflatoxigenic strain, which represents the biocontrol agent of the commercial product AF-X1, to reduce AFB1 contamination in peanuts.}, }
@article {pmid39579203, year = {2024}, author = {Thöne, M and Lask, J and Hennenlotter, J and Saar, M and Tsaur, I and Stenzl, A and Rausch, S}, title = {Potential impacts to human health from climate change: A comparative life-cycle assessment of single-use versus reusable devices flexible ureteroscopes.}, journal = {Urolithiasis}, volume = {52}, number = {1}, pages = {166}, pmid = {39579203}, issn = {2194-7236}, mesh = {Humans ; *Equipment Reuse ; *Ureteroscopes ; *Climate Change ; Carbon Dioxide/analysis ; Greenhouse Gases/analysis/adverse effects ; Disposable Equipment ; }, abstract = {Climate change poses a significant global health challenge, with medical procedures contributing substantially to CO2 emissions. Urology, as part of the broader healthcare sector, has begun integrating Planetary Health concepts to address this issue. While earlier studies have focused on Life Cycle Assessments (LCA) of urological procedures, these evaluations remain data-dependent, and insights into intra-hospital emissions are limited. This study introduces a methodical approach for analyzing intra-institutional processes of LCA for single-use and reusable flexible ureterorenoscopes (fURS). The LCA method was applied to assess the greenhouse gas emissions (CO2 equivalents, CO2-eq) generated across the life cycle of fURS, including production, use-phase, reprocessing, maintenance, and disposal. The study approximated the Global Warming Potential (GWP) per one-hour use and evaluated associated health impacts using the ReCiPe2016(H) method, which measures Disability-Adjusted Life Years (DALYs). Results showed that for reusable fURS, assuming 133 usages per device and maintenance after every 11th use, each application generated 1.24 kg CO2-eq, equivalent to 1.15E-06 DALYs. In contrast, single-use fURS generated 4.93 kg CO2-eq and 4.57E-06 DALYs per application. The production and reprocessing stages were identified as having the greatest environmental and health impacts. For reusable fURS, electricity required during refurbishment and use phases was a key contributor, whereas the production phase accounted for most of the impact in single-use devices. Overall, singleuse fURS had a substantially higher potential environmental and health impact than their reusable counterparts. This study underscores the environmental and health impacts of ureterorenoscopy and highlights the importance of incorporating Planetary Health principles into healthcare practices. It provides a foundation for further analyses and research, aiming to drive transformative action in the healthcare sector toward sustainability.}, }
@article {pmid39578743, year = {2024}, author = {Wiskel, T and Miles, TT and Fonteyn, M and Stevens, K and Heberlein, C and Matthews-Trigg, N and Dresser, C and Bernstein, A}, title = {Frontline clinic perspectives on climate change, human health, and resilience: a national cross-sectional survey.}, journal = {BMC primary care}, volume = {25}, number = {1}, pages = {399}, pmid = {39578743}, issn = {2731-4553}, support = {A43939//Biogen/ ; }, mesh = {Humans ; *Climate Change ; Cross-Sectional Studies ; United States ; *Resilience, Psychological ; Primary Health Care ; Female ; Surveys and Questionnaires ; Male ; Adult ; Attitude of Health Personnel ; Middle Aged ; Ambulatory Care Facilities ; }, abstract = {BACKGROUND: Frontline clinics - primary care clinics that predominantly serve low-income and socially disadvantaged communities - are facing increasing impacts from climate-related extreme events. This study evaluated staff perspectives at frontline clinics on the health risks of climate change, the impacts of extreme events on their clinics and patients, and their motivators to improve climate resiliency.<br><br>METHODS: A national, cross-sectional survey was conducted of staff working at frontline clinics including administrators, case workers, and providers across the United States. Survey questions assessed clinic and respondent attributes, knowledge of health risks of climate change, preferences for climate change educational and operational resources, and clinic and patient climate impacts and resilience. The survey was distributed electronically to a convenience sample of primary care clinics and to the National Association of Community Health Centers (NACHC) and National Association of Free and Charitable Clinics (NAFC) listservs. Data was collected from September to November of 2021. Respondents were current staff who consented to the survey. Responses were collected via Qualtrics, and the statistical analysis was completed using Stata.<br><br>RESULTS: A total of 430 surveys were completed representing clinics in 43 states. Most (82.0%) respondents reported human activities were causing climate change. Over half (52.8%) of respondents reported an operational disruption to their clinic from extreme events in the past 3 years, and another 54.4% had plans in place to address risks from extreme events. The most useful resources identified to improve operational resilience were checklists and planning guidance. Over half (52.0%) of respondents reported they were motivated to use these resources to improve clinic preparedness. Most (84.4%) providers and case workers reported that climate change impacted patient health, however only 36.2% discussed health risks with patients, with barriers including more pressing topics and time available. Another 55.7% of respondents reported they were motivated to learn ways to help patients prepare for extreme events.<br><br>CONCLUSIONS: Climate-related extreme events were reported to impact patient health and disrupt frontline clinic operations. Overcoming gaps in knowledge about climate change impacts on health and providing climate educational resources can engender motivation to improve clinic and patient resilience to climate change.}, }
@article {pmid39577952, year = {2024}, author = {Sun, W and Zhu, Z and Wang, L and Ren, R and Wang, L and Usman, M and Wang, J and Zhu, Y and Liu, X and Jiu, S and Gallusci, P and Wang, S and Liu, R and Zhang, C}, title = {Icewine fingerprint involved in latitude under climate change.}, journal = {Food research international (Ottawa, Ont.)}, volume = {197}, number = {Pt 2}, pages = {115305}, doi = {10.1016/j.foodres.2024.115305}, pmid = {39577952}, issn = {1873-7145}, mesh = {*Climate Change ; *Odorants/analysis ; *Volatile Organic Compounds/analysis ; China ; Fruit/chemistry ; Humans ; }, abstract = {Aroma plays a crucial role in determining icewine quality and influencing the profit of growers, but the influence of climate change on icewine sustainable production and the diversity of aroma volatiles in icewine among different regions are unknown. Here, we employed aroma volatiles of 8 Vidal icewines from 2 typical premium production regions (Liaoning in China and Ontario in Canada) and an emerging low-latitude mountainous area (Yunnan in China) to project future diversity and sustainability. We found that Ontario and Yunnan's icewines were characterized with intense apricot or peach and tropical fruit aromas, which was consistent with the excellent grade icewine around the world based on 225 icewine aroma datasets from 5 countries. Icewine from Liaoning was abundant with honey flavor. Moreover, projections suggested a northward trend of 3.5° N and 6° N in Ontario during near future (2021-2050) and far future (2070-2099) periods, respectively. However, Liaoning province might have more challenges for premium icewine production under the worst climate warming scenario. Notably, the lower latitude and higher altitude region, Yunnan province, would sustainable provide special premium icewine with a northward expansion of icewine production region to 28.5° N under climate change. The findings provide theoretical support in relieving climate change challenges to premium icewine availability and stability.}, }
@article {pmid39577913, year = {2024}, author = {Sisodiya, SM and Maslin, MA and Romanello, M and Hanna, MG}, title = {Effects of climate change on the brain: an environmental neurology perspective - Authors' reply.}, journal = {The Lancet. Neurology}, volume = {23}, number = {12}, pages = {1186-1187}, doi = {10.1016/S1474-4422(24)00441-1}, pmid = {39577913}, issn = {1474-4465}, }
@article {pmid39577912, year = {2024}, author = {Reis, J and Buguet, A and Radomski, MW and Román, GC and Spencer, PS}, title = {Effects of climate change on the brain: an environmental neurology perspective.}, journal = {The Lancet. Neurology}, volume = {23}, number = {12}, pages = {1185-1186}, doi = {10.1016/S1474-4422(24)00431-9}, pmid = {39577912}, issn = {1474-4465}, }
@article {pmid39577374, year = {2024}, author = {Paredes-Molina, FJ and Chaparro, OR and Navarro, JM and Büchner-Miranda, JA and Salas-Yanquin, LP and Cubillos, VM and Jaramillo, HN and Pechenik, JA and Averbuj, A and Bökenhans, V}, title = {Performance of Acanthina monodon juveniles under long-term exposure to predicted climate change conditions.}, journal = {Marine environmental research}, volume = {204}, number = {}, pages = {106855}, doi = {10.1016/j.marenvres.2024.106855}, pmid = {39577374}, issn = {1879-0291}, abstract = {The increase of anthropogenic CO2 in the Earth's atmosphere reduces the pH and raises the temperature of the oceans. The combination of both factors impacts the physiological responses and calcium carbonate structures of marine organisms. This study assessed the performance of the juvenile stage of the gastropod Acanthina monodon, after it was continuously exposed to treatments at two pCO2 levels (400 and 1200 μatm) at two temperatures (10 °C and 15 °C) during the periods of embryonic encapsulated development and the early post-hatching juvenile stage. Juvenile performance was evaluated by quantifying shell growth, survival, foot adhesion strength, shell breakage resistance, and oxygen consumption rates. The results indicate that the combination of increased temperature and decreased pH increased juvenile shell growth, while only the decrease in pH had a negative effect on shell strength. However, juveniles were able to attach more strongly to substrates following exposure to the higher temperature level. Furthermore, the interaction of treatments had no effect on the metabolic rate or survival of juveniles, suggesting a possible compensatory effect of the juveniles to the more adverse conditions to which they were exposed.}, }
@article {pmid39577328, year = {2024}, author = {MacLean, S and de Nicola, J and Cooper, K and Downey, H and Theobald, J and de Kleyn, L and Denham, T and Costello, E and Rickards, L}, title = {How does climate change impact people who use alcohol and other drugs? A scoping review of peer reviewed literature.}, journal = {The International journal on drug policy}, volume = {134}, number = {}, pages = {104649}, doi = {10.1016/j.drugpo.2024.104649}, pmid = {39577328}, issn = {1873-4758}, abstract = {BACKGROUND: The world has experienced devastating extreme weather events, alongside slow-onset processes including increasing temperature means, that scientists agree are manifestations of human-induced climate change. Even with radical action to reduce greenhouse gas emissions, effects of climate change will become increasingly severe.<br><br>OBJECTIVES: The aim of this review was to classify impacts of climate change for people who use alcohol and other drugs (AoD), as reflected in peer reviewed literature.<br><br>METHOD: A scoping review was conducted to achieve this. Included studies involved a human population, a climate change related exposure, and an AoD outcome. Studies were published in English between 1998 and November 2023. Exposure events of interest included extreme heat, fires, storms, floods, droughts, and longer-term environmental changes. 8,204 studies were screened, with 82 included for data extraction and narrative analysis.<br><br>RESULTS: Most papers describe increased AoD use, with smaller numbers showing decreased or unchanged substance use. Some studies identify unplanned withdrawal, changed drug markets, disrupted service access, specific physiological vulnerabilities of AoD users to extreme heat, and compounding effects on mental health. We note the relative absence of peer reviewed studies investigating impacts of climate change on AoD use in low-and middle-income countries. Further, few studies consider impacts that occur because of long-term or gradual climatic shifts such as environmental changes that are detrimental to livelihoods.<br><br>CONCLUSION: It is crucial to document effects of a changing climate on people who use AoD so that policy and services can meet future needs. We call for research to remedy gaps identified in this review.}, }
@article {pmid39576044, year = {2024}, author = {Aziz, M and Anjum, G}, title = {Transformative strategies for enhancing women's resilience to climate change: A policy perspective for low- and middle-income countries.}, journal = {Women's health (London, England)}, volume = {20}, number = {}, pages = {17455057241302032}, pmid = {39576044}, issn = {1745-5065}, mesh = {Humans ; *Climate Change ; Female ; *Developing Countries ; *Women's Health ; *Empowerment ; Pregnancy ; Health Policy ; Resilience, Psychological ; Women's Rights ; }, abstract = {This policy paper advocates for a transformative strategy to address the disproportionate impact of climate change on women in low- and middle-income countries (LMICs), emphasizing the need to integrate gender considerations into climate resilience initiatives. Recognizing the multifaceted nature of women's vulnerabilities, the paper calls for the dismantling of discriminatory socio-cultural norms and the enhancement of women's capacities through digital health literacy, political empowerment, and the protection of sexual and reproductive health rights. Focusing on the health implications of climate change, particularly for pregnant women and newborns, the paper promotes a multi-sectoral approach that strengthens health systems and encourages community-based interventions. It underscores the importance of incorporating gender perspectives into climate adaptation and mitigation strategies, advocating for tailored health services in LMICs, and promoting women's active involvement in climate-related decision-making processes. The methodology involves a qualitative, expert, and narrative synthesis of existing literature and policy analysis. The paper synthesizes existing research and policy recommendations to argue for a comprehensive policy framework and backs it with case studies from LMICs. This framework recognizes the complex interplay between women's vulnerabilities and climate change, advocating for women's empowerment as central to climate resilience efforts in LMICs. By integrating gender perspectives, enhancing health services for women, and fostering international collaboration, it proposes a holistic approach to mitigate the adverse effects of climate change on women's health and well-being. This approach not only acknowledges the specific challenges faced by women but also leverages their unique insights and experiences, positioning them as pivotal contributors to global climate resilience and sustainability efforts.}, }
@article {pmid39575137, year = {2024}, author = {Martins, FP and Paschoalotto, MAC and Closs, J and Bukowski, M and Veras, MM}, title = {The Double Burden: Climate Change Challenges for Health Systems.}, journal = {Environmental health insights}, volume = {18}, number = {}, pages = {11786302241298789}, pmid = {39575137}, issn = {1178-6302}, abstract = {Climate change presents significant challenges to human health and health systems, and there is a critical need for health systems to adapt and become more resilient in order to effectively mediate the impacts of climate change on population health. This paper analyzes existing academic literature to identify key themes, trends, and research gaps at the intersection of climate change and health systems. Utilizing a scoping review of 179 studies, we explore how health systems can enhance their resilience through effective governance, sustainable financing, resource generation, and adaptive service delivery. Our findings emphasize the importance of integrating climate considerations into health system governance, mobilizing innovative financial resources, and adapting infrastructure and workforce capacities to address climate-related health challenges. The study highlights the need for continued interdisciplinary research and targeted interventions to ensure health systems are equipped to promote equity and protect vulnerable populations in the face of climate change. These insights contribute to the development of climate-resilient health systems and identify crucial areas for future research.}, }
@article {pmid39571812, year = {2024}, author = {Martinez, A and Iglesias, G}, title = {Climate change and wind energy potential in South America.}, journal = {The Science of the total environment}, volume = {957}, number = {}, pages = {177675}, doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.177675}, pmid = {39571812}, issn = {1879-1026}, abstract = {Wind energy is crucial in mitigating greenhouse gas emissions and combating global warming. However, the economic viability of wind energy projects is tied to wind resources, which may be affected by climate change. The objective of this work is to investigate the evolution of wind energy resources in South America using the most up-to-date climate-change scenarios: the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways. Three scenarios are considered, corresponding to low, medium and high emissions pathways. A multi-model ensemble is constructed with Global Climate Models selected for their accuracy in the study region in a historical period. Results indicate that east of the Andes, in Brazil, Paraguay and Venezuela, substantial increases in average wind power density are expected, surpassing 100 % in certain areas and in the most pessimistic scenario (the fossil-fuelled development pathway). By contrast, significant reductions (up to ~50 %) are projected for certain areas west of the Andes: South Chile, Peru and the waters off West Colombia. South Chile has the windiest climate in the continent, which makes this reduction due to climate change all the more important. Even under the low-emissions scenario, the projected evolution in wind resources is relevant, which highlights the necessity of considering climate change in wind energy planning.}, }
@article {pmid39571314, year = {2024}, author = {Strauss, V and Paul, C and Dönmez, C and Burkhard, B}, title = {Carbon farming for climate change mitigation and ecosystem services - Potentials and influencing factors.}, journal = {Journal of environmental management}, volume = {372}, number = {}, pages = {123253}, doi = {10.1016/j.jenvman.2024.123253}, pmid = {39571314}, issn = {1095-8630}, abstract = {Carbon Farming (CF) decreases atmospheric CO2 concentrations by increasing carbon stocks in soils and biomass. In addition to mitigating climate change, CF measures provide co-benefits through the supply of additional ecosystem services (ES). Integrating such benefits into a comprehensive assessment may increase the attractiveness of CF measures, increase adoption rates, and ultimately benefit climate and ecosystems. However, site-specific and measure-specific characteristics influence the impacts of CF measures. A comprehensive overview over CF impacts is lacking. We therefore analyzed six CF measures on cropland in the European temperate zone: (1) cover cropping, (2) introducing legumes or semi-perennial crops into crop rotations, (3) conversion to short rotation coppice, (4) agroforestry, (5) afforestation of marginal cropland, and (6) partial rewetting of drained organic soils. Through a structured literature review, we derived on-site climate change mitigation potentials, impacts on the supply of ES, and economic trade-offs, as well as influencing factors causing spatial heterogeneities. Our results show that the climate change mitigation potential varies strongly between and within CF measures. All measures can boost the supply of regulating ecosystem services, while trade-offs exist mainly with provisioning services and economic returns. Spatially heterogeneous effects in ES supply depend on local ES demand. As proof of concept, we mapped expected beneficial ES effects from 4 selected ES positively impacted by the measure (4) agroforestry in a GIS environment for Germany, as well as opportunity costs as an economic trade-off. The results suggest that strong co-benefits can be expected in areas where opportunity costs are high. Moreover, the CF measures with the highest climate change mitigation potential also imply the highest systemic change of the farm system. This constitutes a strong economic hurdle to implementation. We argue that payments for ES are needed to incentivize CF adoption and harness the beneficial effects on climate and ecosystems. Our findings provide a comprehensive view on the effect of CF measures and may support effective European climate change mitigation policy.}, }
@article {pmid39570995, year = {2024}, author = {Alemu, FM and Mengistu, YA and Wassie, AG}, title = {Factor productivity impacts of climate change and estimating the technical efficiency of cereal crop yields: Evidence from sub-Saharan African countries.}, journal = {PloS one}, volume = {19}, number = {11}, pages = {e0310989}, pmid = {39570995}, issn = {1932-6203}, mesh = {*Climate Change ; Africa South of the Sahara ; *Edible Grain/growth &amp; development ; *Crops, Agricultural/growth &amp; development ; *Agriculture/methods ; Fertilizers ; Humans ; Crop Production/methods ; }, abstract = {The world aims to ensure environmental sustainability and consolidate agricultural factor productivity, yet the excruciating impact of climate change coincides and remains a persistent threat. Therefore, the study aims to estimate the technical efficiency of cereal crop yields and investigate the impacts of climate change on agricultural factor productivity. For this purpose, panel data from 35 sub-Saharan African countries between 2005 and 2020 was employed. For analysis, the pooled OLS and stochastic frontier models were employed. The results revealed that in the region, the average efficiency score for producing cereal crops between 2005 and 2020 was 83%. The stochastic frontier model results showed that labour contributed 51.5% and fertilizer contributed 5.7% to raising the technical efficiency of cereal crop yields, whereas arable land per hectare reduced the technical efficiency of cereal yields by 44.7%. The pooled OLS regression result showed that climate change proxies (CO2 and methane emissions) diminish land, labour, and fertilizers productivity at a 1% significance level, whereas GDP per capita boosts significantly the total factor productivity in agriculture. This confirmed how climate change reduced land, labour, and fertilizer input productivity. The results concluded that the region had a high level of technical efficiency; of which labour and fertilizer inputs contributed the largest share; however, their productivity has dwindled due to climate change. To increase cereal crop yield efficiency and limit the adverse effects of climate change on agricultural input productivity, the region should combine skilled and trained labour and fertilizer with sophisticated agriculture technologies, as well as adopt climate resistance technologies (weather- resistant variety seed and planting revolution mechanisms).}, }
@article {pmid39570336, year = {2024}, author = {Schoierer, J and Lehmann, H and Köster-Lange, J and Gerke, J}, title = {[Climate change-a health issue (also) for families and their young children?].}, journal = {Bundesgesundheitsblatt, Gesundheitsforschung, Gesundheitsschutz}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, pmid = {39570336}, issn = {1437-1588}, abstract = {Children can only grow up healthy on a healthy planet. Climate change threatens their health through rising temperatures and extreme weather events. In Germany, average temperatures have risen, leading to more frequent and intense heatwaves. This development particularly endangers children, whose thermoregulation is not yet fully developed. UV exposure increases the risk of skin cancer and eye damage. Extreme weather also negatively impacts children's mental health.Childcare, educational, and recreational facilities play a key role in managing the psychological and physical burdens of climate change. Resilient systems and facilities can promote stability and resilience and have a preventive effect. However, the adaptation of children's personal living context to climate change is still inadequate. It is essential to enhance the climate competence of those responsible in these environments through practical informational materials that enable them to not only be aware but also to actively establish protective measures. Health insurance companies can also play a crucial role in prevention by advising and supporting climate-friendly and health-promoting activities.Health promotion in environments with children has great potential to encourage climate-protective and climate-adaptive behavior and to establish it long term among children and families. Bringing about the necessary changes requires cross-sector collaboration between institutions, providers, authorities, health insurance companies, and civil society as well as between federal, state, and local governments.}, }
@article {pmid39567913, year = {2024}, author = {Cosh, SM and Ryan, R and Fallander, K and Robinson, K and Tognela, J and Tully, PJ and Lykins, AD}, title = {The relationship between climate change and mental health: a systematic review of the association between eco-anxiety, psychological distress, and symptoms of major affective disorders.}, journal = {BMC psychiatry}, volume = {24}, number = {1}, pages = {833}, pmid = {39567913}, issn = {1471-244X}, mesh = {Humans ; *Climate Change ; *Anxiety/psychology ; *Psychological Distress ; Mental Health ; Adult ; Female ; Male ; }, abstract = {BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES: The adverse impacts of climate change on mental health is a burgeoning area, although findings are inconsistent. The emerging concept of eco-anxiety represents distress in relation to climate change and may be related to mental health. The aim of this study was to explore the relationship between eco-anxiety with validated mental health outcomes, specifically psychological distress and symptoms of major affective disorders.<br><br>DESIGN: Systematic review.<br><br>METHODS: EBSCO, ProQuest, and Web of Science databases were searched to February 2024 for studies of adult samples quantifying eco-anxiety (exposure, i.e. fear, worry or anxiety in relation to climate change) and symptoms of psychological distress and major affective disorders (outcomes), as assessed by validated measures.<br><br>RESULTS: Full text review of 83 studies was performed, and k&#x2009;=&#x2009;35 studies were included in the review (N&#x2009;=&#x2009;45 667, 61% female, Mage 31.2 years). Consistently, eco-anxiety showed small to large positive correlations with mental health outcomes of psychological distress, depression symptoms, anxiety symptoms, and stress symptoms. However, results regarding post-traumatic stress disorder symptoms and pathological worry were mixed. Stronger associations were observed where eco-anxiety was operationalised as 'anxiety' rather than 'worry'.<br><br>CONCLUSIONS: Findings underscore that eco-anxiety is related to psychological burden. Greater consideration of eco-anxiety in assessment and treatment is needed in clinical practice and further policy development is warranted at the intersection of climate and health to address the mental health challenges posed by climate change.}, }
@article {pmid39567901, year = {2024}, author = {Amberger, O and Lemke, D and Christ, A and Müller, H and Schwappach, D and Geraedts, M and Müller, BS}, title = {Patient safety and climate change: findings from a cross-sectional survey in Germany.}, journal = {BMC public health}, volume = {24}, number = {1}, pages = {3233}, pmid = {39567901}, issn = {1471-2458}, mesh = {Humans ; Germany ; Cross-Sectional Studies ; Female ; *Climate Change ; Male ; Adult ; Middle Aged ; Aged ; *Patient Safety/statistics &amp; numerical data ; Young Adult ; Adolescent ; Socioeconomic Factors ; Surveys and Questionnaires ; Public Opinion ; }, abstract = {BACKGROUND: Patient safety has become a priority issue in health policy strategies in Germany in the last several years, and is especially important in the era of climate change. This study aimed to assess public perceptions about the patient safety impact of climate change and the demographic and socioeconomic factors influencing patient perception in Germany.<br><br>METHODS: A cross-sectional study was conducted in Germany in 2023, using data from the TK Monitor of Patient Safety. The TK Monitor of Patient Safety is a national survey of the population on the state of safety in medical care. Self-reported data were collected from 1,000 randomly selected adults living in Germany. Demographic and socioeconomic variables were regressed on climate change perception using an ordinal logistic regression approach.<br><br>RESULTS: Our results revealed that half of respondents are concerned about climate change affecting their health and 40% of the respondents would like to have climate-sensitive health counseling by their general practitioner. The results showed that demographic variables, such as gender and age, and socioeconomic variables, such as education level and income, are important factors influencing the perception of climate change-related patient safety risks. However, no association was found between urban/rural residence and patient perception.<br><br>CONCLUSIONS: Our study highlights patient safety as a public health concern in the era of climate change. The German public appears to view climate change as harmful to patient safety. Our findings also show that it is necessary to carry out diagnoses focused on demographic and socioeconomic factors to determine which aspects should be strengthened through programs aimed at reducing patient safety risks associated with climate change.}, }
@article {pmid39567782, year = {2024}, author = {Osborn, TJ and Kennedy, JJ}, title = {Revised historical record sharpens perspective on global warming.}, journal = {Nature}, volume = {635}, number = {8039}, pages = {560-561}, pmid = {39567782}, issn = {1476-4687}, }
@article {pmid39566630, year = {2024}, author = {de Freitas, CH and Coelho, RD and de Oliveira Costa, J and Sentelhas, PC}, title = {A bitter cup of coffee? Assessing the impact of climate change on Arabica coffee production in Brazil.}, journal = {The Science of the total environment}, volume = {957}, number = {}, pages = {177546}, doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.177546}, pmid = {39566630}, issn = {1879-1026}, abstract = {Brazil, the world's largest producer and exporter of Arabica coffee, faces increasing challenges from climate changes. To maintain the sustainability of this commodity, innovative management techniques will be essential. This study aimed to assess the impact of climate projections, considering two CMIP6 emission scenarios (SSP2-4.5 and SSP5-8.5) on the phenology and yield of Arabica coffee in 36 representative locations across Brazil for the periods 2041-2060, 2061-2080, and 2081-2100. Observed meteorological data from the BR-DWGD (Brazilian Daily Weather Gridded Data) and projected data from CLIMBra (Climate Change Dataset for Brazil) were employed. An agrometeorological model, calibrated for Brazilian conditions, estimated yield and phenology. Results indicate significant impacts on coffee cultivation areas, mainly due to rising temperatures and increased water deficits. Projections also suggest changes in coffee phenology, with anthesis advancing in colder regions and delaying in warmer areas, while maturation timing occurring earlier in all climates. Yield increases from CO2 fertilization were more pronounced in category C climates (Cfa, Cfb, Cwa, and Cwb), particularly in Cwb climates, reaching 2.9 bags ha[-1] (3.7 bags ha[-1] with irrigation) under the SSP2-4.5 scenario and 2.5 bags ha[-1] (3.5 bags ha[-1] with irrigation) under SSP5-8.5. However, higher temperatures and water deficits could cause severe yield losses, especially in Aw climates and under high-emission scenarios, where losses may reach 100 %. Irrigation will play an important role in mitigating yield losses, especially in northern regions such as northern Minas Gerais and Bahia, where yields could exceed 30 bags ha[-1]. While southern Minas Gerais, São Paulo, and northern Paraná are projected to have the highest yields, these regions also face greater uncertainty and variability. This study underscores the need for adaptive agricultural practices, the development of resilient coffee cultivars, and supportive research policies to ensure the sustainability of coffee farming in the face of climate change.}, }
@article {pmid39566260, year = {2024}, author = {Réalis-Doyelle, E and Guillard, J and Morati, R and Cottin, N and Reynaud, S and Naffrechoux, E}, title = {Impacts of paternal transmission of PCBs and global warming on the evolution of pace-of-life syndrome (POLS) during the early life stages of a cold stenothermic fish (Arctic charr).}, journal = {Aquatic toxicology (Amsterdam, Netherlands)}, volume = {277}, number = {}, pages = {107130}, doi = {10.1016/j.aquatox.2024.107130}, pmid = {39566260}, issn = {1879-1514}, abstract = {In the context of strong historical and climate anthropological pressure, we studied the impact of paternal transmission of PCBs on offspring of the stenothermic salmonid, Artic charr. Indeed, the transgenerational effects of maternal transmission are widely studied, unlike the paternal effect, which is often limited to epigenetic impacts. The study aims to test the effects of temperature and PCBs on the Artic charr (Salvelinus alpinus), whose population within the perialpine lakes has remained low for about a decade. A previous study (Realis-Doyelle et al., 2023) on the effect of maternal transmission of PCB, coupled with an increase in temperature, showed a collapse in offspring survival as well as morpho-anatomic disorders in Salvelinus alpinus. This study follows on from the previous one, we contaminated 21 males with intra-peritoneal PCB injection at three levels of concentration one month before spawning. Each male fertilised a pool of 12 female oocytes not contaminated with PCBs. Each fertilized pond was separated in two and incubated at 4.5°C and 8.5°C, respectively. To explore the effects, we have relied on the POLS theories that suggest a co-variation of traits of life. The results show no population collapse (∼50 % survival), in contrast to the maternal contamination study (∼12 % survival). We may issue the hypothesis that this smaller importance of paternal transmission is due to the synergic impact of PCB and temperature on fewer parameters, in particular for survival than female transmission.}, }
@article {pmid39566256, year = {2024}, author = {Bond, A and Walton, R and Rivett, G and Cardenas-Braz, D and Simon, L}, title = {Nourishing sustainability: Clinical nutrition's impact on climate change.}, journal = {Clinical nutrition (Edinburgh, Scotland)}, volume = {43}, number = {12}, pages = {331-340}, doi = {10.1016/j.clnu.2024.10.038}, pmid = {39566256}, issn = {1532-1983}, abstract = {INTRODUCTION: Preserving our planet's delicate balance is not merely a choice but a responsibility we owe to future generations, ensuring equitable, and sustainable world. The 2030 Agenda for Sustainable Development, adopted by all United Nations (UN) member states in 2015, offers a collective vision for global peace and prosperity. Central to this agenda are the 17 Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs), which call for unified action from all nations, irrespective of their developmental status, under a global partnership.<br><br>METHOD: This paper examines the SDGs' framework and its applicability to clinical nutrition (CN). We provide a comprehensive narrative review relating to the integration of SDGs in CN practices. Whilst recognising the importance of the SDG framework we elected to focus specifically upon the environmental aspects of CN care.<br><br>RESULTS: The analysis revealed that the SDGs provide a robust framework for promoting sustainability in clinical nutrition. Key findings highlight the interconnection between health improvement and other SDGs, such as poverty reduction and climate action. Effective CN practices contribute to broader sustainable development by ensuring better health outcomes, which in turn support economic growth and reduce inequalities. Additionally, strategies in CN that focus on reducing waste and improving resource efficiency align with environmental sustainability goals.<br><br>CONCLUSION: The 17 SDGs offer a comprehensive guide for advancing sustainability across various fields, including clinical nutrition. By adopting these goals, healthcare providers can implement holistic strategies that not only improve health outcomes but also support broader efforts to achieve global sustainability.}, }
@article {pmid39566213, year = {2024}, author = {Quadroni, S and Cesarini, G and De Santis, V and Galafassi, S}, title = {Interconnected impacts of water resource management and climate change on microplastic pollution and riverine biocoenosis: A review by freshwater ecologists.}, journal = {Journal of environmental management}, volume = {372}, number = {}, pages = {123363}, doi = {10.1016/j.jenvman.2024.123363}, pmid = {39566213}, issn = {1095-8630}, abstract = {The relationship between river hydrology and microplastic (MP) pollution is complex: increased discharge does not always mobilize more MPs, but floods can effectively flush out MPs from river catchments. Climate change and water resource management further influence MP pollution and its fate by altering river hydro-sedimentary regimes. This review investigates the interconnected impacts of these factors from a comprehensive perspective, focusing on how they affect MP concentration in freshwater ecosystems, particularly in regulated rivers and associated reservoirs. Our review reveals a scarcity of studies that jointly analyze the interrelated issues of MP pollution, water resource management, and climate change. Key findings indicate that variations in river discharge significantly influence MP mobilization, mainly depending on catchment land use, channel morphology, position within the catchment, and MP characteristics. Reservoirs function as both sinks and sources of MPs, underscoring their complex role in MP dynamics and the need for sustainable sediment management strategies. The increasing frequency of extreme weather events, driven by climate change, along with prolonged droughts intensified by water management practices, exacerbates MP pollution. These changes contribute to the local concentration of MPs, posing direct physical threats to aquatic organisms, particularly benthic species, through pollution and habitat alterations. Current policies on plastic pollution, water resources and climate change are underdeveloped, as these topics have been treated separately so far. In conclusion, this review provides perspectives on future research and policy directions to address challenges posed by MPs and to preserve rivers against multiple stressors.}, }
@article {pmid39565995, year = {2024}, author = {Wu, Y and Wen, B and Gasevic, D and Patz, JA and Haines, A and Ebi, KL and Murray, V and Li, S and Guo, Y}, title = {Climate Change, Floods, and Human Health.}, journal = {The New England journal of medicine}, volume = {391}, number = {20}, pages = {1949-1958}, doi = {10.1056/NEJMsr2402457}, pmid = {39565995}, issn = {1533-4406}, }
@article {pmid39565480, year = {2024}, author = {Agathokleous, E and Emberson, L and Pei, J and Kobayashi, K and Blande, JD and Cook, J and Fang, C and Han, Z and Ju, H and Knopf, O and Li, T and Liu, B and Liu, X and Masui, N and Masutomi, Y and McHugh, K and O'Neill, C and Pande, P and Rasheed, MU and Ruhanen, H and Shang, B and Tai, APK and Yamaguchi, M and Yu, Z and Yuan, X and Xu, Y and Zhao, C and Zhao, J and Zheng, H and Zhou, H and Feng, Z}, title = {Insights from the international workshop on "Adapting agriculture to climate change and air pollution".}, journal = {Environmental science and pollution research international}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, pmid = {39565480}, issn = {1614-7499}, abstract = {An international workshop on "Adapting Agriculture to Climate Change and Air Pollution" took place at Nanjing University of Information Science and Technology, Nanjing, China, during 23-27 October, 2023. Experts working in various multi-disciplinary areas of agroecosystem and environmental research gathered for academic communication and discussions. Two discussion groups focused on "agriculture under air pollution and climate change: current challenges and priorities for the future" and "adapting agriculture to air pollution and climate change: current status and next steps." Insights derived from the discussions are summarized in this article and include opinions about current issues, knowledge gaps' identification, and potential priorities and actions that could be taken. The first discussion mainly addresses ozone impact estimates; ozone metrics for impact and risk assessments; ozone monitoring; air pollution impacts and policy; and the pivotal role of agriculture and consumer choices. The second discussion covers adaptation and mitigation; greenhouse gases and energy efficiency; concerns about the link between adaptation and mitigation; local food, planetary-health diets and carbon footprint; irrigation and climate change adaptation; scientific evidence and policy-making; air pollution and crop adaptation; machine learning and crop modeling; and challenges faced by smallholder farmers and large-scale enterprises. Hence, this report could be useful for reseach, educational, and policy purposes, collating opinions of experts working in diverse research areas.}, }
@article {pmid39564491, year = {2024}, author = {Zhang, Y and Wang, M and Huang, M and Zhao, J}, title = {Innovative strategies and challenges mosquito-borne disease control amidst climate change.}, journal = {Frontiers in microbiology}, volume = {15}, number = {}, pages = {1488106}, pmid = {39564491}, issn = {1664-302X}, abstract = {The revival of the transmission dynamics of mosquito-borne diseases grants striking challenges to public health intensified by climate change worldwide. This inclusive review article examines multidimensional strategies and challenges linked to climate change and the epidemiology of mosquito-borne diseases such as malaria, dengue, Zika, chikungunya, and yellow fever. It delves into how the biology, pathogenic dynamics, and vector distribution of mosquitoes are influenced by continuously rising temperatures, modified rainfall patterns, and extreme climatic conditions. We also highlighted the high likelihood of malaria in Africa, dengue in Southeast Asia, and blowout of Aedes in North America and Europe. Modern predictive tools and developments in surveillance, including molecular gears, Geographic Information Systems (GIS), and remote sensing have boosted our capacity to predict epidemics. Integrated data management techniques and models based on climatic conditions provide a valuable understanding of public health planning. Based on recent data and expert ideas, the objective of this review is to provide a thoughtful understanding of existing landscape and upcoming directions in the control of mosquito-borne diseases regarding changing climate. This review determines emerging challenges and innovative vector control strategies in the changing climatic conditions to ensure public health.}, }
@article {pmid39563456, year = {2024}, author = {Huang, J and Guo, H}, title = {When a bleak future comes closer: interaction effects of emotion and temporal distance framing in climate change communication.}, journal = {BMC psychology}, volume = {12}, number = {1}, pages = {677}, pmid = {39563456}, issn = {2050-7283}, support = {GD22XXW07//The Philosophy and Social Science Foundation of Guangdong Province in China./ ; }, mesh = {*Climate Change ; Humans ; *Emotions ; Male ; Female ; Adult ; Fear/psychology ; Persuasive Communication ; Young Adult ; Hope ; Communication ; }, abstract = {Given the widespread use of emotional and distance framing in climate change communication, this study investigated how these strategies interact to influence perceptions and behaviors related to climate change. Guided by the Situational Theory of Problem Solving and through an experimental survey, the research revealed that fear-inducing messages led to greater recognition of problems and involvement when combined with short-term temporal frames, compared to hope-inducing messages. These findings suggest that the effects of emotional appeals are conditioned on the temporal distance of the issue highlighted in climate change communication, offering a more nuanced understanding of the differentiated effects of fear and hope appeals and practical insights for crafting persuasive messages.}, }
@article {pmid39562576, year = {2024}, author = {Wang, Z and Jing, Z and Song, F}, title = {Weakened large-scale surface heat flux feedback at midlatitudes under global warming.}, journal = {Nature communications}, volume = {15}, number = {1}, pages = {10020}, pmid = {39562576}, issn = {2041-1723}, support = {42325601//National Natural Science Foundation of China (National Science Foundation of China)/ ; tsqn201909052//Taishan Scholar Foundation of Shandong Province/ ; }, abstract = {The surface heat flux feedback, which refers to the response of surface heat flux anomaly to the underlying sea surface temperature anomaly (SSTA), is one of the key processes in air-sea interaction. It plays an important role in regulating various aspects of the climate system, ranging from local SSTA persistence to the global overturning circulation and major climate modes. Yet its change under greenhouse gas-induced warming remains unknown. Here, using an ensemble of global climate simulations under a high radiative forcing scenario, we demonstrate that the intensity of surface heat flux feedback for spatially large-scale SSTA at the midlatitudes is projected to halve by the end of the 21[st] century, compared to pre-industrial levels. Such weakening is primarily attributed to a more stabilized marine atmospheric boundary layer, which diminishes the air-sea thermal disequilibrium caused by SSTA. In a warming climate, the variance of midlatitude SSTA at large spatial scales is expected to be significantly enhanced in response to the weakened surface heat flux feedback.}, }
@article {pmid39562506, year = {2024}, author = {Soomro, S and Zhou, D and Charan, IA}, title = {Investigating Associations Between Climate Change Anxiety and Children's Mental Health in Pakistan: Impacts and Priority Actions.}, journal = {Disaster medicine and public health preparedness}, volume = {18}, number = {}, pages = {e277}, doi = {10.1017/dmp.2024.267}, pmid = {39562506}, issn = {1938-744X}, mesh = {Humans ; Pakistan/epidemiology ; *Climate Change/statistics &amp; numerical data ; *Anxiety/psychology/epidemiology/etiology ; Child ; Female ; Male ; Cross-Sectional Studies ; *Mental Health/statistics &amp; numerical data ; Adolescent ; Surveys and Questionnaires ; }, abstract = {OBJECTIVES: Climate anxiety has a negative impact on the mental health and psychological wellbeing of the vulnerable population. The goal is to assess many factors that affect mental health and psychological wellbeing, as well as how climate change affects mental health in Pakistan's vulnerable population.<br><br>METHODS: This study provides evidence-based insights on the long- and medium-term impacts of extreme weather events on mental health. To obtain information on these variables, this research uses a quantitative approach and a cross-sectional survey design with a multivariate regression model for empirical tests on a sample of parents and children with an impact on mental health from climate change anxiety.<br><br>RESULTS: Results indicate that individuals experience shock and climate change anxiety, and their effects on mental health and psychological wellbeing. Climate change can have detrimental effects on children's mental health. (1) disaster risk health (2) children's stress index (3) public health concerns, (4) climate change anxiety, (5) generalized anxiety disorder, and (6) major depression disorder, as reported by the children with mental health outcomes.<br><br>CONCLUSIONS: The findings of this study show that climate change has a stressful effect on mental health. The paper concludes with a discussion on strategies to address the anticipated mental health issues among children due to climate change.}, }
@article {pmid39562430, year = {2024}, author = {Vergotti, MJ and D'Olivo, JP and Brachert, TC and Capdevila, P and Garrabou, J and Linares, C and Spreter, PM and Kersting, DK}, title = {Reconstruction of long-term sublethal effects of warming on a temperate coral in a climate change hotspot.}, journal = {The Journal of animal ecology}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, doi = {10.1111/1365-2656.14225}, pmid = {39562430}, issn = {1365-2656}, support = {PEICTI 2021-2023//Spanish Ministry of Science and Innovation/ ; RYC2021-033576-I//Spanish Ministry of Science and Innovation/ ; 401447620//Deutsche Forschungsgemeinschaft/ ; PID2022-137539OA-C22//Spanish Ministry of Sciencie, Inovation and Universities/ ; 869710//Horizon 2020 Framework Programme/ ; //ICREA Academia/ ; CEX2019-000928-S//Severo Ochoa Centre of Excellence"/ ; }, abstract = {The impact of warming on zooxanthellate corals is widespread, from tropical to temperate seas, with its associated mortalities causing global concern. The temperate coral Cladocora caespitosa is the only zooxanthellate coral with reef building capacity in the Mediterranean Sea, a climate change hotspot with warming rates triple the global average. During the past two decades, C. caespitosa populations have suffered severe mortality events associated with marine heatwaves (MHWs). However, with monitoring efforts beginning, at best, in the 2000s, the occurrence of MHWs before that period, as well as the sublethal effects of these events remain poorly understood. Here, we use sclerochronology to reconstruct the histories of past stress events and long-term sublethal effects on C. caespitosa in three locations along a latitudinal gradient within the NW Mediterranean Sea, each with different environmental conditions. Skeletal extension, density and calcification rates were compared with the in situ seawater temperature of each site to assess their relationship. Furthermore, we assessed the occurrence of skeletal growth anomalies to reconstruct stress events between 1991 and 2021, a period that encompasses the onset and evolution of warming-related mass mortality events in the NW Mediterranean Sea. Our results reveal a positive association between calcification and temperature, following a latitudinal temperature gradient. However, the evolution of the likelihood distribution of growth rates in the warmest site (Columbretes Islands) since the 1990s indicates a decrease in linear extension and calcification rates during the most recent years. With the increase in the frequency of MHWs and growth anomalies during the last decade, this decline suggests recurrent physiological stress events. These results unravel information on the long-term impacts of warming on coral growth and highlight the potential of applying sclerochronology to reconstruct the sublethal effects of warming using C. caespitosa.}, }
@article {pmid39562035, year = {2024}, author = {Simpson, MJA}, title = {Defending our colleagues who take direct action on climate change.}, journal = {BMJ (Clinical research ed.)}, volume = {387}, number = {}, pages = {q2533}, doi = {10.1136/bmj.q2533}, pmid = {39562035}, issn = {1756-1833}, }
@article {pmid39561894, year = {2024}, author = {Fong, CR and Frazier, M and Clawson, G and Epperly, H and Froehlich, HE and Halpern, BS}, title = {Downscaled climate change threats to United States freshwater finfish aquaculture.}, journal = {The Science of the total environment}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {177596}, doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.177596}, pmid = {39561894}, issn = {1879-1026}, abstract = {Climate change threatens food production, yet gaps remain in our understanding of these threats to aquaculture, the fastest growing food production subsector. To build climate-resilient practices and policies we need to quantify and map current and future climate threats to aquaculture. Here, we explore how downscaled climate change [SSP 2 (eq. RCP 4.5) and SSP 5 (eq. RCP8.5), CMIP6] threats - including water scarcity, flooding, and increasing temperature - may directly affect United States (US) freshwater farmed fish (N = 7) based on their biological thermal tolerances and indirectly challenge the operations required for production, including to the human workforce. Aquaculture in the US is dominated by catfish, trout, and tilapia production and is widespread, with some form of finfish aquaculture present in every state and nearly half of all counties across the country. Given the current location of catfish, tilapia, bass, and carp in the US and their tolerance to warmer conditions, we find increasing temperatures are less likely to biologically impact these species negatively. In contrast, current trout, sturgeon, and perch production will be biologically threatened by rising temperatures. With respect to operational needs for facilities, increases in 'wet bulb' temperatures in the Southeast will regularly challenge human physiological limits and constrain worker capacity. Drought in the Southwest will also limit an intrinsically water dependent system, affecting nearly all taxa. While current areas of aquaculture will tend to become increasingly challenging for farmed fishes, new potential habitats will open up for nearly all species. Overall, in the absence of immediate greenhouse gas mitigation, there are several non-mutually exclusive climate adaptations, yet these adaptations can be extremely costly. Ultimately, freshwater aquaculture in the US is going to be under intense climate pressure, which may drive out small operations and cause the country to further increase dependence on international aquatic food imports.}, }
@article {pmid39561488, year = {2024}, author = {Tavakoli-Kolour, P and Sinniger, F and Morita, M and Hazraty-Kari, S and Nakamura, T and Harii, S}, title = {Shallow corals acclimate to mesophotic depths while maintaining their heat tolerance against ongoing climate change.}, journal = {Marine pollution bulletin}, volume = {209}, number = {Pt B}, pages = {117277}, doi = {10.1016/j.marpolbul.2024.117277}, pmid = {39561488}, issn = {1879-3363}, abstract = {Global warming poses a significant threat to coral reefs. It has been assumed that mesophotic coral ecosystems (MCEs, 30 to 150 m depths) may serve as refugia from ocean warming. This study examined the acclimation capacity and thermal tolerance of two shallow coral species, Porites cylindrica and Turbinaria reniformis, transplanted to mesophotic depths (40 m) for 12 months. Fragments from 5 and 40 m were exposed to control (28 °C), moderate (30 °C), and high (32 °C) temperatures over 14 days. MCE-acclimated fragments showed higher thermal thresholds and survival rates, delayed onset of bleaching, and less decline in photosynthesis efficiency (Fv/Fm) compared to shallow fragments. Both species maintained high thermal tolerance despite prolonged exposure to cooler temperatures of mesophotic depth. These findings suggest that low light intensity in MCEs can act as a modulator of bleaching, supporting the potential of these ecosystems as refugia for shallow corals in a rapidly changing world.}, }
@article {pmid39559604, year = {2024}, author = {Kalra, G and Nangia, T and Kumar, Y}, title = {Assessing the Impact of Climate Change on Early Childhood Caries Within the Framework of Sustainable Developmental Goal 13: A Scoping Review.}, journal = {Cureus}, volume = {16}, number = {10}, pages = {e71872}, pmid = {39559604}, issn = {2168-8184}, abstract = {Climate change, a significant factor in global health disparities, has been linked to numerous health issues, including oral health disorders such as dental caries and enamel hypoplasia. Sustainable Developmental Goal 13 (SDG 13) accentuates immediate action to battle climatic changes and their complications. This scoping review aimed to explore the existing evidence in the literature linking SDG 13 with Early Childhood Caries (ECC). The review was carried out following the PRISMA (Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses) guidelines. A rigorous search was done during the month of May 2024 using databases PubMed, Web of Science, Scopus, and Google Scholar with search MeSH terms related to climate change, Early Childhood Caries (ECC), and Sustainable Developmental Goal (SDG). Publications or abstracts were included only in English from 2015 onwards, with no restrictions on the type of study. A summary of the eligible studies was compiled, highlighting the countries where the research was conducted, the type of study designs used, the region, study aims, and key findings. Additionally, the study results were analyzed to determine whether SDG 13 was addressed. The initial search provided 74 articles, of which 51 were duplicates, yielding 23 for screening. After applying the eligibility criteria, seven studies were finally reviewed. Two of the seven studies included were from the African continent (Kenya and Nigeria), and one was a multi-centric study involving various continents, Africa (Nigeria &amp; Kenya), Asia (Saudi Arabia, Indonesia), and America (Canada, Brazil). Two other studies were conducted in the UK, China, and India, while one was from the USA and focused on how climate change impacts dental caries. Only three studies were found to be addressing SDG 13. The review established a plausible link between ECC and climate change factors, addressing the need to incorporate sustainable developmental strategies and eco-friendly preventive measures in pediatric dentistry.}, }
@article {pmid39559180, year = {2024}, author = {Verma, A and Suresh, V and Brar, M and Varma, A and Sah, S and Singh, MP and Mehta, R and Balaraman, AK and Pandey, S and Kanagala, SG}, title = {Re-emergence of Eastern equine encephalitis: A looming threat in the era of climate change.}, journal = {New microbes and new infections}, volume = {62}, number = {}, pages = {101521}, pmid = {39559180}, issn = {2052-2975}, }
@article {pmid39557958, year = {2024}, author = {Guo, J and Zhang, M and Bi, Y and Zhao, Z and Wang, R and Li, M}, title = {Spatiotemporal distribution prediction of the relict and endangered plant Tetraena mongolica in inner Mongolia, China under climate change.}, journal = {Scientific reports}, volume = {14}, number = {1}, pages = {28478}, pmid = {39557958}, issn = {2045-2322}, support = {S202410130007//Undergraduate Innovation and Entrepreneurship Training Program in Inner Mongolia Autonomous Region/ ; CARS-21//China Agriculture Research System of MOF and MARA/ ; }, mesh = {*Climate Change ; *Endangered Species ; China ; *Ecosystem ; Soil/chemistry ; Conservation of Natural Resources ; Spatio-Temporal Analysis ; }, abstract = {Climate change significantly affects the distribution of plant species, particularly that of relict plants. Tetraena mongolica Maxim. is a first-class endangered relict plant in China, primarily found in Inner Mongolia. This study explored the impact of multiple factors on its potential distribution under climate change. Considering a comprehensive set of 42 potential influencing variables, including climate, soil, net primary productivity (NPP), human activities, and topography, 29 variables were selected. The maximum entropy (MaxEnt) model was used to construct separate climate and soil niche models, and an "overlay function" was employed to construct a dual-suitability model. By establishing five different scenarios, we analyzed the effects of climate, human activities, and NPP on T. mongolica distribution. The results showed that climate is the most significant factor, soil constraints limit its distribution, and human activities reduce its suitable habitats. Although the direct influence of NPP is limited, it may indirectly affect T. mongolica distribution by improving habitat conditions. Future climate change is expected to sharply reduce suitable habitat areas, with the center of distribution migrating eastward. The study's findings imply that climate change, human activities, and soil conditions significantly impact the distribution and survival of the endangered plant T. mongolica, necessitating comprehensive conservation measures to mitigate habitat loss and ensure its preservation.}, }
@article {pmid39556954, year = {2024}, author = {Bergquist, M}, title = {A sender-message-receiver (SMeR) framework for communicating persuasive social norms - The case of climate change mitigation behavioral change.}, journal = {Current opinion in psychology}, volume = {61}, number = {}, pages = {101941}, doi = {10.1016/j.copsyc.2024.101941}, pmid = {39556954}, issn = {2352-2518}, abstract = {This review delves into the nuanced boundary conditions of social norms in fostering behavior change within the realm of climate action. Current research is examined within a "Sender - Message - Receiver (SMeR)" framework, which investigates factors such as group identification and group size that influence the effectiveness of social norms. Furthermore, it explores how cultural context, personal norms, emotions, and ambiguity shape individuals' responses to social norms-based messages. By illuminating these boundary conditions, the review provides insights into the complexities of social normative influence and offers guidance for designing more effective intervention techniques to promote behavioral change. Understanding these nuances is crucial for developing targeted strategies that resonate with diverse audiences and facilitate meaningful shifts toward a more environmentally sustainable future.}, }
@article {pmid39556170, year = {2024}, author = {Domdey, AJ and Thomas, SM}, title = {[Climate change and vector-borne disease-significance for intensive care and emergency medicine].}, journal = {Medizinische Klinik, Intensivmedizin und Notfallmedizin}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, pmid = {39556170}, issn = {2193-6226}, abstract = {Tropical diseases are becoming increasingly important in medical care in Germany due to climate change and the spread of vectors and viruses. The widely distributed Culex mosquitoes in Germany can transmit the West Nile virus, which causes West Nile fever. Severe neuroinvasive disease courses with acute flaccid paralysis, meningitis, and encephalitis are possible. The invasive tiger mosquito (Aedes albopictus) is increasingly establishing itself in Germany and is a potent vector of viruses that have so far occurred mainly in tropical-subtropical areas, including dengue and chikungunya virus. Severe dengue cases can manifest with hemorrhagic dengue fever, shock, or organ involvement. Dengue fever is currently still a travel-related disease in Germany. However, this may change in the context of climate change and increasing vector populations. Enhanced training and continuing education programs, as well as an expansion of diagnostic infrastructure and networking of health authorities and mosquito control, are crucial for optimal patient care.}, }
@article {pmid39554939, year = {2024}, author = {Sugden, SG and Merlo, G}, title = {What do Climate Change, Nutrition, and the Environment Have to do With Mental Health?.}, journal = {American journal of lifestyle medicine}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {15598276241280245}, pmid = {39554939}, issn = {1559-8284}, abstract = {Climate change is becoming the most significant global challenge and must be addressed on a global scale. At the time that this article is being written, the planetary heat in 2023 was the hottest on record. Similarly, the World Health Organization reports that 99% of the world's population lives in regions of unhealthy air pollution. Similarly, depression has become one of the leading causes of global mental and physical disabilities, and the impact of depression is predicted to only worsen over the next 25 years. It is interesting to note that climate experts often overlook the adoption of nutrition via a whole plant-based diet as a solution to both mental illness and climate change. In this review, we will touch upon the role of nutrition in gut microbiota and mental health, the impact diet has on greenhouse gases, the role of ultra-processed food, and environmental factors such as air pollution and increasing planetary heat and their growing impacts on mental health. In the end, the promotion of plant-based foods has the potential to improve personal mental and physical health while improving planetary health.}, }
@article {pmid39554920, year = {2024}, author = {Bernstein, A and Hunnes, DE}, title = {Food is Medicine Interventions and Climate Change.}, journal = {American journal of lifestyle medicine}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {15598276241275613}, pmid = {39554920}, issn = {1559-8284}, abstract = {Food is Medicine (FiM), also known as Food as Medicine, integrates food and nutrition interventions into health care delivery with the primary goal to improve population health and address diet-related health conditions. To date, there has been little focus on the relation between FiM and climate change despite FiM's involvement with 2 key drivers of climate change: health care delivery and food systems. FiM may be able to advance lifestyle medicine and population health objectives, as well as mitigate some of the health care and food-related drivers of climate change, by focusing on 4 key areas: (1) Increasing the absolute number and proportion of patients who follow plant-based diets; (2) reducing food waste; (3) reducing unnecessary health care utilization; and (4) lowering transportation-related greenhouse gas emissions related to food procurement. Measuring the ecological impact of FiM alongside clinical, utilization, and financial measures will require a different analytical approach than that used traditionally in health care. Ultimately, thoughtful, data-driven, and urgent interventions that span the food and health care sectors are needed to sustainably support not only FiM, but human, environmental, and planetary health as well.}, }
@article {pmid39554904, year = {2024}, author = {Cunningham, I and Kohlitz, J and Willetts, J}, title = {Designing for climate change: twenty-five design features to improve sanitation technology resilience in low- and middle- income countries.}, journal = {Mitigation and adaptation strategies for global change}, volume = {29}, number = {8}, pages = {82}, pmid = {39554904}, issn = {1573-1596}, abstract = {UNLABELLED: Climate change is exacerbating events such as floods and droughts, and trends including sea-level rise, leading to failures in sanitation technologies, increased public health risks and environmental pollution. To reduce these risks, it is crucial to incorporate climate resilience into sanitation technology designs. In this study, we reviewed academic and selected grey literature and identified 25 design features that can contribute to the technology's resilience to an increasingly volatile and extreme climate. Design features that were conceptually similar were collated into seven categories. These categories included: (i) avoid exposure to hazards, (ii) withstand exposure to hazards, (iii) enable flexibility, (iv) contain failures, (v) limit consequences of complete failure, (vi) facilitate fast recovery and (vii) features that provide resilience benefits beyond technological resilience. In this paper we define the categories and design features, and provide examples of each feature in practice. We also outline how the resilience design features can support sanitation designers and implementers to critique the climate resilience of sanitation technology, and prompt more resilient designs of sanitation technology.<br><br>SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION: The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1007/s11027-024-10177-7.}, }
@article {pmid39553695, year = {2024}, author = {Luo, B and Dou, X}, title = {Climate change, agricultural transformation and climate smart agriculture development in China.}, journal = {Heliyon}, volume = {10}, number = {21}, pages = {e40008}, pmid = {39553695}, issn = {2405-8440}, abstract = {Against the backdrop of increasingly severe global climate change, it has become an inevitable choice to promote the transformation of agriculture oriented to climate smart agriculture. The objective of this paper is to demonstrate realistic problem faced by China's agricultural transformation and identify key factors affecting agricultural development under the background of climate change. The paper constructs a linear econometric model and employes time series data from 1990 to 2019 to empirically test the impact of climate change and agricultural investment on agriculture in China. The results indicate that climate change has a negative impact on agriculture, while agricultural investment has a positive impact. Therefore, it is necessary to promote agricultural transformation oriented to climate smart agriculture. To this end, China must vigorously promote agricultural system reform, accelerate agricultural technological innovation, accelerate the development of agricultural big data and informatization, and strengthen financial support for agriculture.}, }
@article {pmid39553690, year = {2024}, author = {Ali, I and Shah, AA and Alotaibi, BA and Ali, A}, title = {Assessing the impacts of climate change on high mountain land-based livelihoods: An empirical investigation in District Nagar, Gilgit-Baltistan, Pakistan.}, journal = {Heliyon}, volume = {10}, number = {21}, pages = {e39877}, pmid = {39553690}, issn = {2405-8440}, abstract = {Land-based livelihoods in Pakistan's high mountain regions are highly vulnerable to climate change due to the complex interactions between people and their natural environment. This study uses a mixed-method approach to explore how climate change affects land-based livelihoods in the high mountain Nagar District, Pakistan. Data were collected using a structured household survey of 430 randomly selected farmers, supplemented by focus group discussions and key informant interviews. The findings reveal that 87.7 % of farmers have observed negative impacts of climate change, such as increased crop diseases, reduced water for irrigation, and lower crop yields. Bivariate results indicate that factors related to farming practices, such as farming experience and cropping zones, significantly influence farmers' perceptions of impacts. The study emphasizes the urgent need for targeted government intervention and agricultural planning to boost the resilience of farmers in Nagar District. It calls for improved irrigation, crop disease management, and support tailored to high-mountain farming practices. The research highlights the importance of developing adaptation strategies to protect vulnerable farming communities from climate change impacts and supports the need for effective autonomous adaptation measures. This research contributes to a better understanding of climate change impacts on high-mountain agriculture and emphasizes the need to safeguard vulnerable farming communities.}, }
@article {pmid39553670, year = {2024}, author = {Romaric Gninkplékpo, EL and Koura, BI and Lesse, P and Toko, I and Demblon, D and Houinato, MRB and Cabaraux, JF}, title = {Small ruminant farmers' feeding strategies to cope with climate change across five agroecological zones of Benin, West Africa.}, journal = {Heliyon}, volume = {10}, number = {21}, pages = {e39834}, pmid = {39553670}, issn = {2405-8440}, abstract = {This study aimed to understand feeding strategies used by small ruminant farmers to cope with climatic change in the five contrasting agroecological zones (AEZ) of the Benin Republic and to identify the determinants of adopting these strategies. A semi-structured questionnaire was used to conduct interviews with 400 smallholder farmers in the rural areas of Benin. Data was collected on production system characteristics, farmers' perception of climatic changes' impacts on livestock production, and their coping strategies. Cross tabulations with Chi[2] statistic and the non-parametric Kruskal Wallis test were used to compare farmers' perceptions and coping strategies between the five AEZ. Then, the binomial logistic regression was used to identify determinants of using a particular adaptive feeding strategy. The farmers perceived climatic changes as rainfall delays, increasing rainfall, less frequent drought periods during the rainy season, no change in sunshine duration, and no change in temperature. These changes negatively affected grassland biomass production (86.3 %, 86.3 % and 77.5 % of farmers in South Borgou, Plateau, Atacora chain AEZ, respectively) and water availability (100 %, 93.7 %, and 85 % of farmers in Oueme Valley, Plateau and Mekrou-penjari AEZ, respectively). Consequently, farmers mentioned decreased animal growth (58.8 % and 45 % of farmers in Plateau and South Borgou AEZ, respectively) and increased animal mortalities (43.8 % in Plateau AEZ). Farmers' current and future coping strategies varied significantly (p<0.05) among AEZ. These strategies included more diversification of feed resources used, more free wandering of animals, feeding intensification with supplements as current strategies, and new feed resource exploration and forage cultivation as future strategies. Logistic regression results showed that gender, education level, main activity, and the climatic and agroecological zones where the farm is located influenced the strategies used. The study showed that farmers understood climate change and its impact on production systems. In response, the common climate-smart feeding strategies adopted were mainly diversifying feed resources. Feed resources use strategies, and limitations to adopting these strategies, could be assessed in future studies.}, }
@article {pmid39553647, year = {2024}, author = {Mwelwa, D and Mwaanga, P and Nguvulu, A and Tena, TM and Taye, G}, title = {Assessment of catchment water resources allocation under climate change in Luwombwa sub-catchment, Zambia.}, journal = {Heliyon}, volume = {10}, number = {21}, pages = {e39962}, pmid = {39553647}, issn = {2405-8440}, abstract = {The uncertainty in climate change and high water demand pose pressure on the natural water resources supply. Not only does this require better understanding but also a call for immediate interventions, mitigation and adaptive measures. This study evaluates catchment water resources in the Luwombwa sub-catchment in Zambia through statistical analysis in the downscaling of past, present and future climatic variables from the CMIP6 climatic model. These variables are then integrated into WEAP - a semi-distributed hydrological and water evaluation model - to perform water demand and allocation scenario modelling. Mult-site calibration and validation were conducted on five selected micro-catchments within Luwombwa sub-catchment. The model performance was assessed usng the R[2], NSE and PBIAS as the objective functions. Satisfactory values of 92 % for R[2], 82 % for NSE and 6.9 % for PBIAS were achieved. This allowed for scenario modelling on water demand and allocation among competing users. Three future scenarios (2022-2050) were developed from the historical to baseline (1988-2022) and included state of water resources availability under climate change, expansion of irrigation area and impact of dam construction in the sub-catchment. The study reveals a decrease of 20 % in sub-catchment's water availability resulting from 9.3 % (equivalent to 4[o]C) rise in maximum temperature and 4.5 % reduction in rainfall within the entire sub-catchment. This is especially under the persistence of SSP370 climate variability scenario projections downscaled from four GCM models by the year 2050. The study further revealed that the change point for anticipated future climate extremes is likely to occur between 2027 and 2030. The results are indicative of downward trends in streamflow under climate change and socioeconomic development leading to increase in water value and water scarcity. The insights from the study are critical to inform formulation of effective catchment water resources management strategies such as the development of management plans and adapation measures in the face of climate change and the needs for different stakeholders involvement.}, }
@article {pmid39553624, year = {2024}, author = {Kim, M and Kim, S and Jeon, S}, title = {One in three or three in one: Integrating three competing theoretical models (TPB, VIP, and PADM) to explain the intentions to act/actions against climate change.}, journal = {Heliyon}, volume = {10}, number = {21}, pages = {e39337}, pmid = {39553624}, issn = {2405-8440}, abstract = {This study examines multidimensional factors affecting climate change response behavior. It constructs an integrated model based on the theory of planned behavior, value-identity-personal norms model, and protective action decision model, as a single theory cannot capture the complex nature of human behavior. Recent studies have shown that integrating theories include various influencing factors and indicate higher explanatory power. Therefore, this study uses an integrated model to identify multidimensional influencing factors. The fit of the integrated model was confirmed to be excellent (Chi-square = 1271.866, p = .000, GFI = 0.930, NFI = 0.940, RMSEA = 0.060, TLI = 0.937, SRMR = 0.059), and identity exhibited the greatest effect on personal norms, followed by intention on behavior. The integrated model suggests the following path: ecological value → identity → personal norms → stakeholder awareness → intention → behavior and then ecological value → identity → perceived behavioral control → risk awareness → intention → behavior. The results of the integrated model suggest that a multifaceted approach is necessary to promote climate change response behavior. Various factors, such as ecological value, identity, personal norms, stakeholder awareness, perceived behavioral control, and risk awareness, interact and influence behavior. Policies and programs that comprehensively consider these factors should be established.}, }
@article {pmid39553264, year = {2024}, author = {Apiratwarakul, K and Cheung, LW and Pearkao, C and Ienghong, K}, title = {The Impact of Global Warming on the Rise in Heat-Related Illnesses in Emergency Medical Services.}, journal = {Journal of multidisciplinary healthcare}, volume = {17}, number = {}, pages = {5211-5216}, pmid = {39553264}, issn = {1178-2390}, abstract = {PURPOSE: Global warming is one of the critical problems affecting health, society, and the economy. High temperatures are linked to an increase in heat-related illnesses, which have significantly impacted the public health system, particularly emergency medical services (EMS). Analyzing the pattern of heat-related illness cases in EMS can improve resource utilization and preparedness within the public health system.<br><br>PATIENTS AND METHODS: A retrospective study was conducted on EMS data from Srinagarind Hospital, Thailand, covering the summer months (February to May) from 2020 to 2024. Patients with heat-related illnesses were identified in the EMS database using the 10[th] revision of the International Classification of Diseases (ICD-10) version 2019, specifically codes under "T67 Effects of Heat and Light", which include heat stroke, heat syncope, heat cramps, heat exhaustion, and heat fatigue.<br><br>RESULTS: A total of 136 EMS operations from the hospital's database were analyzed. In the summer 2024 group, 95.7% (N=44) of the patients were male. The majority of EMS triage cases required resuscitation (P = 0.020). Outdoor activity was identified as a significant factor related to heat illness, with rates of 83.3%, 92.9%, 93.3%, 97.1%, and 93.5% over the five years of the study. The activation time was 1.30&#xa0;minutes for the summer of 2024 and 1.24&#xa0;minutes for the summer of 2023. Notably, the average scene time in the summer 2024 group was significantly longer at 25.2&#xa0;minutes, compared to 12.0&#xa0;minutes in the summer 2020 group (P<0.001).<br><br>CONCLUSION: Outdoor activity was the most significant risk factor associated with increased heat-related illnesses. Other contributing factors included male gender, age between 20-40 years, scene temperatures above 35&#xb0;C, and prolonged scene times exceeding 15&#xa0;minutes.}, }
@article {pmid39550165, year = {2024}, author = {Samarasekera, U}, title = {Elizabeth Kimani-Murage: exploring climate change and nutrition.}, journal = {Lancet (London, England)}, volume = {404}, number = {10466}, pages = {1916}, doi = {10.1016/S0140-6736(24)02471-1}, pmid = {39550165}, issn = {1474-547X}, }
@article {pmid39549750, year = {2024}, author = {Casati, T and Navarra, A and Filippini, M and Gargini, A}, title = {Assessing the long-term trend of spring discharge in a climate change hotspot area.}, journal = {The Science of the total environment}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {177498}, doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.177498}, pmid = {39549750}, issn = {1879-1026}, }
@article {pmid39548719, year = {2024}, author = {Chen, Y and Gao, Y and Zhang, Z and Zhan, A}, title = {Multi-Omics Inform Invasion Risks Under Global Climate Change.}, journal = {Global change biology}, volume = {30}, number = {11}, pages = {e17588}, doi = {10.1111/gcb.17588}, pmid = {39548719}, issn = {1365-2486}, support = {2022GDASZH-2022010106//GDAS Special Project of Science and Technology Development/ ; 2024A1515010914//Guangdong Basic and Applied Basic Research Foundation/ ; 42106098//National Natural Science Foundation of China/ ; 32061143012//National Natural Science Foundation of China/ ; 42276126//National Natural Science Foundation of China/ ; 32371753//National Natural Science Foundation of China/ ; }, mesh = {*Climate Change ; *Introduced Species ; *Genomics ; Urochordata/genetics ; Epigenomics ; Adaptation, Physiological/genetics ; Animals ; Multiomics ; }, abstract = {Global climate change is exacerbating biological invasions; however, the roles of genomic and epigenomic variations and their interactions in future climate adaptation remain underexplored. Using the model invasive ascidian Botryllus schlosseri across the Northern Hemisphere, we investigated genomic and epigenomic responses to future climates and developed a framework to assess future invasion risks. We employed generalized dissimilarity modeling and gradient forest analyses to assess genomic and epigenomic offsets under climate change. Our results showed that populations with genomic maladaptation did not geographically overlap with those experiencing epigenomic maladaptation, suggesting that genomic and epigenomic variations play complementary roles in adaptation to future climate conditions. By integrating genomic and epigenomic offsets into the genome-epigenomic index, we predicted that populations with lower index values were less maladapted, indicating a higher risk of future invasions. Native populations exhibited lower offsets than invasive populations, suggesting greater adaptive potentials and higher invasion risks under future climate change scenarios. These results highlight the importance of incorporating multi-omics data into predictive models to study future climate (mal)adaptation and assess invasion risks under global climate change.}, }
@article {pmid39546544, year = {2024}, author = {Gutierrez, L and Polidoro, B and Obura, D and Cabada-Blanco, F and Linardich, C and Pettersson, E and Pearce-Kelly, P and Kemppinen, K and Alvarado, JJ and Alvarez-Filip, L and Banaszak, A and Casado de Amezua, P and Crabbe, J and Croquer, A and Feingold, J and Goergen, E and Goffredo, S and Hoeksema, B and Huang, D and Kennedy, E and Kersting, D and Kitahara, M and Kružić, P and Miller, M and Nunes, F and Quimbayo, JP and Rivera-Sosa, A and Rodríguez-Martínez, R and Santodomingo, N and Sweet, M and Vermeij, M and Villamizar, E and Aeby, G and Alliji, K and Bayley, D and Couce, E and Cowburn, B and Nuñez Lendo, CI and Porter, S and Samimi-Namin, K and Shlesinger, T and Wilson, B}, title = {Half of Atlantic reef-building corals at elevated risk of extinction due to climate change and other threats.}, journal = {PloS one}, volume = {19}, number = {11}, pages = {e0309354}, pmid = {39546544}, issn = {1932-6203}, mesh = {Animals ; *Anthozoa/physiology ; *Climate Change ; *Coral Reefs ; Extinction, Biological ; Atlantic Ocean ; Conservation of Natural Resources ; Endangered Species ; }, abstract = {Atlantic reef-building corals and coral reefs continue to experience extensive decline due to increased stressors related to climate change, disease, pollution, and numerous anthropogenic threats. To understand the impact of ocean warming and reef loss on the estimated extinction risk of shallow water Atlantic reef-building scleractinians and milleporids, all 85 valid species were reassessed under the IUCN Red List Categories and Criteria, updating the previous Red List assessment of Atlantic corals published in 2008. For the present assessment, individual species declines were estimated based on the modeled coral cover loss (1989-2019) and projected onset of annual severe bleaching events (2020-2050) across the Atlantic. Species traits were used to scale species' relative vulnerability to the modeled cover declines and forecasted bleaching events. The updated assessments place 45.88%-54.12% of Atlantic shallow water corals at an elevated extinction risk compared to the previous assessments conducted in 2008 (15.19%-40.51%). However, coral cover loss estimates indicate an improvement in reef coverage compared to the historic time-series used for the 2008 assessments. Based on this, we infer that, although remaining dangerously high, the rate of Atlantic reef coral cover decline has surprisingly slowed in recent decades. However, based on modeled projections of sea-surface temperature that predict the onset of annual severe bleaching events within the next 30 years, we listed 26 (out of 85) species as Critically Endangered in the IUCN Red List. Each of these species had previously been listed under a lower threatened category and this result alone highlights the severe threat future bleaching events pose to coral survival and the reef ecosystems they support.}, }
@article {pmid39545367, year = {2024}, author = {Heuck, MK and Powell, JR and Kath, J and Birnbaum, C and Frew, A}, title = {Evaluating the Usefulness of the C-S-R Framework for Understanding AM Fungal Responses to Climate Change in Agroecosystems.}, journal = {Global change biology}, volume = {30}, number = {11}, pages = {e17566}, doi = {10.1111/gcb.17566}, pmid = {39545367}, issn = {1365-2486}, support = {DE220100479//Australian Research Council (ARC) Discovery Early Career Researcher Award (DECRA)/ ; FT190100590//Australian Research Council Future Fellowship/ ; }, mesh = {*Climate Change ; *Mycorrhizae/physiology ; *Agriculture ; *Ecosystem ; Symbiosis ; }, abstract = {Arbuscular mycorrhizal (AM) fungi play a key role in terrestrial ecosystems by forming symbiotic relationships with plants and may confer benefits for sustainable agriculture, by reducing reliance on harmful fertiliser and pesticide inputs and enhancing plant resilience against insect herbivores. Despite their ecological importance, critical gaps in understanding AM fungal ecology limit predictions of their responses to global change in agroecosystems. However, predicting climate change impacts on AM fungi is important for maintaining crop productivity and ecosystem stability. Efforts to classify AM fungi based on functional traits, such as the competitor, stress-tolerator, ruderal (C-S-R) framework, aim to address these gaps but face challenges due to the obligate symbiotic nature of the fungi. As the framework is still widely used, we evaluate its applicability in predicting global change impacts on AM fungal communities in agroecosystems. Chagnon's adaptation of the C-S-R framework for AM fungi aligns with some study outcomes (e.g., under the context of water limitation) but faces challenges when used in complex climate change scenarios, varying agricultural conditions and/or extreme climatic conditions. The reliance on a limited dataset to classify AM fungal families further limits accurate predictions of AM fungal community dynamics. Trait data collection could support a nuanced understanding of AM fungi and leveraging AM fungal databases could streamline data management and analysis, enhancing efforts to clarify AM fungal responses to environmental change and guide ecosystem management practices. Thus, while the C-S-R framework holds promise, it requires additional AM fungal trait data for validation and improvement of its predictive power. Conclusively, before designing experiments based on life-history strategies and developing new frameworks tailored to AM fungi a critical first step is to gain a comprehensive understanding of their traits.}, }
@article {pmid39545282, year = {2024}, author = {Biancolini, D and Pacifici, M and Falaschi, M and Bellard, C and Blackburn, TM and Ficetola, GF and Rondinini, C}, title = {Global Distribution of Alien Mammals Under Climate Change.}, journal = {Global change biology}, volume = {30}, number = {11}, pages = {e17560}, doi = {10.1111/gcb.17560}, pmid = {39545282}, issn = {1365-2486}, support = {//Sapienza Universit&#xe0; di Roma/ ; }, mesh = {*Climate Change ; *Introduced Species ; *Mammals/physiology ; Animals ; *Animal Distribution ; Biodiversity ; Ecosystem ; Models, Theoretical ; }, abstract = {The recent thematic Assessment Report on Invasive Alien Species and their Control of the Intergovernmental Science-Policy Platform on Biodiversity and Ecosystem Services reaffirmed biological invasions as a major threat to biodiversity. Anticipating biological invasions is crucial for avoiding their ecological and socio-economic impacts, particularly as climate change may provide new opportunities for the establishment and spread of alien species. However, no studies have combined assessments of suitability and dispersal to evaluate the invasion by key taxonomic groups, such as mammals. Using species distribution models, we estimated the potential effect of climate change on the future distributions of 205 alien mammal species by the year 2050 under three different climatic scenarios. We used species dispersal ability to differentiate between suitable areas that may be susceptible to natural dispersal from alien ranges (Spread Potential, SP) and those that may be vulnerable to alien establishment through human-assisted dispersal (Establishment Potential, EP) across 11 zoogeographic realms. Establishment Potential was generally boosted by climate change, showing a clear poleward shift across scenarios, whereas SP was negatively affected by climate change and limited by alien species insularity. These trends were consistent across all realms. Insular ecosystems, while being vulnerable to invasion, may act as geographical traps for alien mammals that lose climatic suitability. In addition, our analysis identified the alien species that are expected to spread or decline the most in each realm, primarily generalists with high invasive potential, as likely foci of future management efforts. In some areas, the possible reduction in suitability for alien mammals could offer opportunities for ecosystem restoration, particularly on islands. In others, increased suitability calls for adequate actions to prevent their arrival and spread. Our findings are potentially valuable in informing synergistic actions addressing both climate change and biological invasion together to safeguard native biodiversity worldwide.}, }
@article {pmid39544392, year = {2024}, author = {Zhang, L and Wang, P and Xie, G and Wang, W}, title = {Spatial Distribution Pattern of Aromia bungii Within China and Its Potential Distribution Under Climate Change and Human Activity.}, journal = {Ecology and evolution}, volume = {14}, number = {11}, pages = {e70520}, pmid = {39544392}, issn = {2045-7758}, abstract = {Aromia bungii is a pest that interferes with the health of forests and hinders the development of the fruit tree industry, and its spread is influenced by changes in abiotic factors and human activities. Therefore, exploring their spatial distribution patterns and potential distribution areas under such conditions is crucial for maintaining forest ecosystem security. This study analyzed the spatial differentiation characteristics of the geographic distribution pattern of A. bungii in China using Moran's I and the Getis-Ord General G index. Hot spot distribution areas were identified using Getis-Ord Gi*. An optimized MaxEnt model was used to predict the potential distribution areas of A. bungii within China under four shared economic pathways by combining multivariate environmental data: (1) prediction of natural environmental variables predicted under current climate models; (2) prediction of natural environmental variables + human activities under current climate models; and (3) prediction of natural environmental variables under the future climate models (2050s and 2070s). Meanwhile, MigClim was used to simulate the unoccupied suitable area in the presence of obstacles under future climate change. The results showed that human activities, minimum temperature of the coldest month, and precipitation of the wettest month had positive effects on the distribution of A. bungii. However, in the current period, human activities drastically reduced the survival area of A. bungii, and its suitable distribution area was mainly concentrated in the eastern and central regions of China. Under the influence of climate change in the future, the habitat of A. bungii will gradually increase. Additionally, the MigClim model indicates that the area unoccupied by A. bungii has been on a continuous increasing trend. This study provides a positive reference for the prevention and control of A. bungii and the maintenance of forest health and ecosystem security, and provides important theoretical guidance for researchers, policymakers, and governments.}, }
@article {pmid39543264, year = {2024}, author = {Koç, DE and Ustaoğlu, B and Biltekin, D}, title = {Effect of climate change on the habitat suitability of the relict species Zelkova carpinifolia Spach using ensembled species distribution modelling.}, journal = {Scientific reports}, volume = {14}, number = {1}, pages = {27967}, pmid = {39543264}, issn = {2045-2322}, mesh = {*Climate Change ; *Ecosystem ; Biodiversity ; Forests ; Algorithms ; }, abstract = {Zelkova carpinifolia is a Tertiary relict tree distributed in Hyrcanian and Colchic forests. Most of its habitat has been destroyed in the last century. This study aimed to model potentially suitable habitat areas for Zelkova carpinifolia from the past to the future. The Last Glacial Maximum (LGM) and Future (2061-2080) models include 19 bioclimatic variables from the CCSM4 global circulation model Pearson correlation coefficient was used to assess collinearity between variables and ten variables were selected for distribution modelling. Habitat suitability was estimated using the Biodiversity Modelling (BIOMOD) ensemble modelling method by combining the results of ten algorithm models using the R package "biomod2". The area under the curve (AUC) of the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve and true skills statistics (TSS) were calculated to evaluate the performance of the models. The contributions of the environmental variables were calculated separately for each algorithm model. According to the results obtained, the most effective bioclimatic variable in the distribution of the species is temperature seasonality (Bio4). The modelling results revealed that Zelkova carpinifolia survived in suitable refuge areas in western Asia during the LGM. These distribution areas have remained largely unchanged and even expanded. The future model results predict that the suitable habitats of the species will narrow in the Hyrcanian forests south of Caspian Sea and that more suitable conditions will be found around the Caucasus. Given the increasing destruction of these valuable plant species due to human activities and the expected negative impacts of climate change in the future, it is important to develop policies and strategies for the protection of Zelkova carpinifolia's habitat, the creation of nature reserves, and sustainability.}, }
@article {pmid39542490, year = {2024}, author = {Seto, I and Worby, N and Szurmak, J and Gerstle, D and Tough, R and Galloway, T}, title = {Measurement of climate change-related food (in)security and food sovereignty in Canada's northern communities and the circumpolar region: a scoping review protocol.}, journal = {BMJ open}, volume = {14}, number = {11}, pages = {e084403}, doi = {10.1136/bmjopen-2024-084403}, pmid = {39542490}, issn = {2044-6055}, mesh = {*Climate Change ; Humans ; Canada ; *Food Security ; Arctic Regions ; Research Design ; Systematic Reviews as Topic ; Food Supply ; }, abstract = {INTRODUCTION: Climate change impacts the circumpolar region (including northern Canada) at a greater magnitude than other parts of the world. This affects food (in)security as well as food sovereignty. This scoping review aims to map the methods of measuring food (in)security and food sovereignty across northern Canada and the circumpolar region in support of the Yukon Government's climate change adaptation strategy.<br><br>METHODS AND ANALYSIS: We will adhere to the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses extension for Scoping Reviews, and work will be conducted according to the Joanna Briggs Institute (JBI) manual chapter on scoping reviews. Academic librarians develop the academic literature and grey literature search strategies, and the search strategies are further revised through iterative stages of peer review. The search strategy includes 7 academic literature databases, 11 grey literature databases, over 50 websites and the University of Toronto Libraries catalogue. Covidence, an evidence synthesis software, will be used for screening and extraction. The extraction chart will be developed and piloted by our team. A minimum of two reviewers will conduct screening, and conflicts will be resolved through discussion. Data will be extracted by one reviewer and verified by a second. Conflicts will be resolved through discussion or by a third reviewer.<br><br>ETHICS AND DISSEMINATION: This project does not require ethical approval as it is secondary research; data will be extracted from published academic research papers, dissertations, and publicly available reports and documents. Our dissemination plan includes presentations at conferences, submission to international peer-reviewed journals and a workshop on the search strategies.}, }
@article {pmid39542472, year = {2024}, author = {Lehrer, L and Geiger, M and Sprengholz, P and Jenny, M and Temme, HL and Shamsrizi, P and Eitze, S and Betsch, C}, title = {Study protocol of the planetary health action survey PACE: a serial cross-sectional survey to assess the readiness to act against climate change.}, journal = {BMJ open}, volume = {14}, number = {11}, pages = {e091093}, doi = {10.1136/bmjopen-2024-091093}, pmid = {39542472}, issn = {2044-6055}, mesh = {Humans ; *Climate Change ; Cross-Sectional Studies ; Germany ; Surveys and Questionnaires ; Research Design ; Global Health ; Health Policy ; }, abstract = {INTRODUCTION: Climate change is a paramount global health threat with multifaceted implications. Societal change is required to mitigate the negative effects of climate change, as well as help people adapt to the associated health risks. This requires situation-specific, large-scale data to help scientists and policymakers understand public perceptions and behaviours and identify the levers to increase public readiness to act against climate change and protect health. The Planetary Health Action Survey (PACE) assesses this readiness to act as a regular monitoring of representative samples in Germany. The ongoing monitoring seeks to develop and refine an integrated conceptual model of the trait-like readiness to act, comprising policy acceptance, political participation and individual behaviours as indicators of the trait. It also proposes as set of determinants to explain different levels of readiness to act. This study protocol provides newly developed valid measurement instruments and the methodological details of the monitoring.<br><br>METHOD AND ANALYSIS: PACE assesses indicators of the readiness to act and a set of sociocognitive factors predicting the readiness to act in continuous cross-sectional data collections. The latter comprise climate change knowledge, trust in institutions, perceived health risks, self-efficacy, social norms and perceived effectiveness of policy measures. The online questionnaire is updated regularly. Data collection involves non-probabilistic quota samples from Germany (n&#x2248;1000 at each collection).<br><br>ETHICS AND DISSEMINATION: The project adheres to the ethical guidelines of the University of Erfurt and the German Research Foundation. Ethical clearance was granted by the University's Institutional Review Board (No #20220525/No #2024-01). Participants are guaranteed confidentiality and anonymity, and informed consent is obtained before participation. Results will be published in peer-reviewed journals. Additionally, we aim to inform and empower the public and support stakeholders (media, policymakers, climate protection organisations) in preparing climate communication and assisting policymakers through the project website including an interactive tool, detailed reports and short summaries for practitioners.}, }
@article {pmid39542151, year = {2024}, author = {Enukoha, C and Talbalaghi, A and Hassandoust, S and Fossati, F and Bazzoni, M and Parisato, S and Puccioni, D and Erbetta, L and Ghaffari, P}, title = {Interplay of climate change with physiological changes in adult Aedes albopictus.}, journal = {Acta tropica}, volume = {260}, number = {}, pages = {107467}, doi = {10.1016/j.actatropica.2024.107467}, pmid = {39542151}, issn = {1873-6254}, abstract = {The effect of unprecedented climate change conditions on the environment has attracted the attention of experts from various disciplines who wish to predict its evolution. This is due to its interaction with population health and people's quality of life. The emergence of vector-borne diseases (VBD) in Europe, particularly caused by invasive mosquitoes, has resulted in autochthonous transmission of Dengue and Chikungunya virus cases. In this contribution, we delve into the significant decline in the population of tiger mosquitoes and the noticeable reduction in their size, related to the changes that occur often in years with low rainfall and high temperatures during the summer months. This change can be traced to the morphology of the species, which has been analysed in this work and related to the possible enhanced transmission efficiency and susceptibility of vectors to VBD dissemination. Due to the greater susceptibility to pathogen replication and subsequent transmission of the pathogens to a host during blood feeding, these morphologically distinct species relatively seem to be an efficient vector. The relationship between the sizes of studied mosquitoes and rainfall levels requires more research by mathematical epidemiologists.}, }
@article {pmid39541399, year = {2024}, author = {Zavaleta-Cortijo, C and Silvera-Ccallo, R and Lancha-Rucoba, G and Chanchari, J and Inuma, N and Pizango, M and Morales-Ancajima, V and Miranda-Cuadros, M and Aparco, JP and Valdivia-Gago, A and Nunta-Guimaraes, R and Antazú, T and Velez-Quevedo, J and Fernandez-Neyra, C and Carcamo, C and Greenwood, D and Cade, J and Ford, JD and Harper, S and Miranda, JJ}, title = {Indigenous knowledge and leadership for climate change adaptation in nutrition.}, journal = {PLOS global public health}, volume = {4}, number = {11}, pages = {e0003917}, pmid = {39541399}, issn = {2767-3375}, }
@article {pmid39540846, year = {2024}, author = {Delanghe, J and Speeckaert, M and De Buyzere, M}, title = {Climate change, vitamin D and the viking abandonment in Greenland.}, journal = {Hormone molecular biology and clinical investigation}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, pmid = {39540846}, issn = {1868-1891}, }
@article {pmid39539803, year = {2024}, author = {Xie, X and Hao, M and Ding, F and Scheffran, J and Ide, T and Maystadt, JF and Qian, Y and Wang, Q and Chen, S and Wu, J and Sun, K and Ma, T and Jiang, D}, title = {The impacts of climate change on violent conflict risk: a review of causal pathways.}, journal = {Environmental research communications}, volume = {6}, number = {11}, pages = {112002}, pmid = {39539803}, issn = {2515-7620}, abstract = {The potential impacts of climate change on violent conflict are high on the agenda of scholars and policy makers. This article reviews existing literature to clarify the relationship between climate change and conflict risk, focusing on the roles of temperature and precipitation. While some debate remains, substantial evidence shows that climate change increases conflict risk under specific conditions. We examine four key pathways through which climate affects conflict: (i) economic shocks, (ii), agricultural decline, (iii) natural resources competition, and (iv) migration. Key gaps include limited long-term data, insufficient integrated studies, and the inadequate understanding of causal mechanisms, necessitating transdisciplinary research that addresses social vulnerability and underlying pathways.}, }
@article {pmid39539237, year = {2024}, author = {Singh, N and Wigmann, C and Vijay, P and Phuleria, HC and Kress, S and Majmudar, G and Kong, R and Krutmann, J and Schikowski, T}, title = {Combined Effect of Ambient Temperature and Relative Humidity on Skin Aging Phenotypes in the Era of Climate Change: Results From an Indian Cohort Study.}, journal = {Dermatitis : contact, atopic, occupational, drug}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, doi = {10.1089/derm.2024.0301}, pmid = {39539237}, issn = {2162-5220}, abstract = {Background: There is no doubt that global warming, with its extreme heat events, is having an increasing impact on human health. Heat is not independent of ambient temperature but acts synergistically with relative humidity (RH) to increase the risk of several diseases, such as cardiovascular and pulmonary diseases. Although the skin is the organ in direct contact with the environment, it is currently unknown whether skin health is similarly affected. Objective: While mechanistic studies have demonstrated the mechanism of thermal aging, this is the first epidemiological study to investigate the effect of long-term exposure to heat index (HI) as a combined function of elevated ambient temperature and RH on skin aging phenotypes in Indian women. Methods: The skin aging phenotypes of 1510 Indian women were assessed using the Score of Intrinsic and Extrinsic Skin Aging (SCINEXA™) scoring tool. We used data on ambient temperature and RH, combined into an HI with solar ultraviolet radiation (UVR), and air pollution (particulate matter <2.5 µm [PM2.5]; nitrogen dioxide [NO2]) from secondary data sources with a 5-year mean residential exposure window. An adjusted ordinal multivariate logistic regression model was used to assess the effects of HI on skin aging phenotypes. Results: HI increased pigmentation such as hyperpigmented macula on the forehead (odds ratios [OR]: 1.31, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.12, 1.54) and coarse wrinkles such as crow's feet (OR: 1.17, 95% CI: 1.05, 1.30) and under-eye wrinkles (OR: 1.3, 95% CI: 1.15, 1.47). These associations were robust to the confounding effects of solar UVR and age. Prolonged exposure to extreme heat, as indicated by high HI, contributes to skin aging phenotypes. Conclusion: Thus, ambient temperature and RH are important factors in assessing the skin aging exposome.}, }
@article {pmid39539050, year = {2024}, author = {Schulman, EB and Chen, K and Chang, AY}, title = {Exploring the health impacts of climate change: Challenges and considerations for health services research.}, journal = {Health services research}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, doi = {10.1111/1475-6773.14408}, pmid = {39539050}, issn = {1475-6773}, }
@article {pmid39537330, year = {2024}, author = {Falce, E}, title = {Time to talk to patients about climate change.}, journal = {BMJ (Clinical research ed.)}, volume = {387}, number = {}, pages = {q2444}, doi = {10.1136/bmj.q2444}, pmid = {39537330}, issn = {1756-1833}, }
@article {pmid39535985, year = {2024}, author = {Anjos, LJS and Gonçalves, GSR and Dutra, VAB and Rosa, AG and Santos, LB and Barros, MNR and de Souza, EB and de Toledo, PM}, title = {Brazil nut journey under future climate change in Amazon.}, journal = {PloS one}, volume = {19}, number = {11}, pages = {e0312308}, pmid = {39535985}, issn = {1932-6203}, mesh = {*Climate Change ; Brazil ; *Bertholletia ; Biodiversity ; Rainforest ; Ecosystem ; Conservation of Natural Resources ; }, abstract = {Climate change is among the principal threats to global terrestrial biodiversity, especially to megadiverse ecosystems such as the Amazon rainforest. In this study, we investigate how it could affect an iconic forest species-Bertholletia excelsa-(the Brazil nut) which has values in multiple dimensions in an Amazonian context. We used an ensemble from various distribution modeling methods designed for four different climate scenarios from CMIP6 by the end of the century. Then, we simulate how spatial dynamics under climate change, including explicitly dispersal events, can affect the persistence, colonization, and potential extinction of Bertholletia excelsa in the future. Our results show that by the end of the century there would be a generalized loss of suitability on the Amazon biome, regardless of the climate scenario evaluated, which could promote a significant loss (up to 94%) of the area available for the species via extinction. Our results also show that, in the future, the species would colonize higher altitudes in search of favorable conditions for its survival. Finally, we detected that areas that had previously become unsuitable because of climate change would have favorable conditions by the end of the century. Such an outcome could be useful in fostering an active restoration agenda that can mitigate the negative effects of climate change on species in this study.}, }
@article {pmid39534651, year = {2024}, author = {Orchinik, R and Dubey, R and Gershman, SJ and Powell, DM and Bhui, R}, title = {Learning from and about scientists: Consensus messaging shapes perceptions of climate change and climate scientists.}, journal = {PNAS nexus}, volume = {3}, number = {11}, pages = {pgae485}, pmid = {39534651}, issn = {2752-6542}, abstract = {Despite overwhelming scientific consensus on the existence of human-caused climate change, public opinion among Americans remains split. Directly informing people of scientific consensus is among the most prominent strategies for climate communication, yet the reasons for its effectiveness and its limitations are not fully understood. Here, we propose that consensus messaging provides information not only about the existence of climate change but also traits of climate scientists themselves. In a large (n = 2 , 545) nationally representative survey experiment, we examine how consensus information affects belief in human-caused climate change by shaping perceptions of climate scientist credibility. In the control group (n = 847), we first show that people learn both from and about climate scientists when presented with consensus and that perceived scientist credibility (especially skill) mediates up to about 40% of the total effect of consensus information on climate belief. We demonstrate that perceptions of climate scientists are malleable with two novel interventions that increase belief in climate change above and beyond consensus information.}, }
@article {pmid39534879, year = {2024}, author = {Molina, B and Palau, CE and Calvo-Gallego, J}, title = {Enriching Earth observation datasets through semantics for climate change applications: The EIFFEL ontology.}, journal = {Open research Europe}, volume = {4}, number = {}, pages = {133}, pmid = {39534879}, issn = {2732-5121}, abstract = {BACKGROUND: Earth Observation (EO) datasets have become vital for decision support applications, particularly from open satellite portals that provide extensive historical datasets. These datasets can be integrated with in-situ data to power artificial intelligence mechanisms for accurate forecasting and trend analysis. However, researchers and data scientists face challenges in finding appropriate EO datasets due to inconsistent metadata structures and varied keyword descriptions. This misalignment hinders the discoverability and usability of EO data.<br><br>METHODS: To address this challenge, the EIFFEL ontology (EIFF-O) is proposed. EIFF-O introduces taxonomies and ontologies to provide (i) global classification of EO data and (ii) linkage between different datasets through common concepts. The taxonomies specified by the European Association of Remote Sensing Companies (EARSC) have been formalized and implemented in EIFF-O. Additionally, EIFF-O incorporates:1.An Essential Climate Variable (ECV) ontology, defined by the Global Climate Observing System (GCOS), is embedded and tailored for Climate Change (CC) applications.2.The Sustainable Development Goals (SDG) ontology is included to facilitate linking datasets to specific targets.3.The ontology extends schema.org vocabularies and promotes the use of JavaScript Object Notation for Linked Data (JSON-LD) formats for semantic web integration.<br><br>RESULTS: EIFF-O provides a unified framework that enhances the discoverability, usability, and application of EO datasets. The implementation of EIFF-O allows data providers and users to bridge the gap between varied metadata descriptions and structured classification, thereby facilitating better linkage and integration of EO datasets.<br><br>CONCLUSIONS: The EIFFEL ontology represents a significant advancement in the organization and application of EO datasets. By embedding ECV and SDG ontologies and leveraging semantic web technologies, EIFF-O not only streamlines the data discovery process but also supports diverse applications, particularly in Climate Change monitoring and Sustainable Development Goals achievement. The open-source nature of the ontology and its associated tools promotes rapid adoption among developers.}, }
@article {pmid39533054, year = {2024}, author = {Aluja, M and Acosta, E and Enciso-Ortiz, E and Ortega-Casas, R and Altúzar-Molina, A and Camacho-Vázquez, C and Monribot-Villanueva, JL and Guerrero-Analco, JA and Pascacio-Villafán, C and Guillén, L}, title = {Expansion to new habitats and a new commercial host (Malus domestica) by Anastrepha ludens (Tephritidae) likely influenced by global warming.}, journal = {Scientific reports}, volume = {14}, number = {1}, pages = {27729}, pmid = {39533054}, issn = {2045-2322}, support = {FORDECYT-PRONACES/848296/2020//Mexican Consejo Nacional de Ciencia y Tecnolog&#xed;a - CONACYT currently CONAHCyT/ ; 2020-2022//Programa Nacional de Moscas de la Fruta (DGSV-SENASICA-SADER)/ ; }, mesh = {Animals ; *Malus/parasitology ; *Tephritidae/physiology/growth &amp; development ; *Global Warming ; *Ecosystem ; Mexico ; Fruit ; }, abstract = {Anastrepha ludens (Mexican fruit-fly) is a highly polyphagous fruit fly species (Tephritidae) attacking wild and commercial fruit from Mexico to Panama. Here we report on a recent habitat and host range expansion as A. ludens lately started to attack apples (Malus domestica) in Mexico, a phenomenon likely influenced by global warming. We document natural infestations in apple-growing regions in the States of Nuevo León and Hidalgo, Mexico where A. ludens has started to attack the cultivars 'Golden Delicious', 'Rayada' and 'Criolla'. No infestations were found in the apple-growing region of Zacatlán, Puebla. To determine apple cultivar susceptibility to the attack of this emerging pest, we ran forced infestation assays in enclosed fruit-bearing branches in all three apple-growing regions and studied the metabolome of all fruit. A clear pattern emerged indicating that the cultivar 'Golden Delicious' was the most susceptible, with 'Criolla' exhibiting complete resistance in one location (Puebla). Although A. ludens can develop in this new host, development rates (egg-adult) and adult emergence were affected when compared with the performance in the natural host 'Marsh' grapefruit. Warmer temperatures and specific secondary metabolites of some apple cultivars are likely contributing to the territorial and host expansion of A. ludens.}, }
@article {pmid39534119, year = {2024}, author = {Anantapong, K and Moura, HF and Udomratn, P and Persaud, A and Javed, A and Ramachandran, P and Castaldelli-Maia, JM and Torales, J and Ventriglio, A and Bhugra, D}, title = {Geopsychiatry: Climate change, migration, and mental health.}, journal = {Industrial psychiatry journal}, volume = {33}, number = {Suppl 1}, pages = {S257-S260}, pmid = {39534119}, issn = {0972-6748}, abstract = {Geopsychiatry, a newly emerging discipline within psychiatry, examines the influence of geopolitical determinants on mental health and mental illness. Geopolitical determinants include conflict and wars, global austerity, climate change, public health crises (such as the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19)), and migration. This study focuses on the two significant areas of climate change and migration. Climate change can affect mental health directly or indirectly in a variety of ways, including chronic (global warming) and acute (heat waves and environmental disasters) events. Certain groups of migrants, including migrating children, older migrants, refugees, and asylum seekers, are particularly vulnerable to developing psychiatric disorders. The convergence of climate change and migration is significantly complicating the already highly difficult situation for mental health services worldwide, particularly in low- and middle-income countries where access to care is limited. Despite this, the majority of studies examining mental health impacts of these events originate from high-income countries, and there is still a lack of effective preventive and treatment strategies. In 2023, the World Psychiatric Association (WPA) set up a Special Interest Group on Geopsychiatry with a clear and explicit aim to summarize current evidence and propose strategies to tackle geopolitical challenges on mental health. The Special Interest Group aims to support regional and local groups across all psychiatric disciplines and stakeholders dedicated to building local consensus, prioritizing research, crafting policies, and collating and sharing good clinical practices. With such significant effort, we can expand our understanding and collaboration on geopsychiatry and make changes to the care of people with geopolitical and mental health challenges around the globe.}, }
@article {pmid39533145, year = {2024}, author = {}, title = {Rice is not as nice with global warming.}, journal = {Nature}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, pmid = {39533145}, issn = {1476-4687}, }
@article {pmid39533141, year = {2024}, author = {Conroy, G}, title = {Global warming is on the cusp of crucial 1.5 °C threshold, suggest ice-core data.}, journal = {Nature}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, pmid = {39533141}, issn = {1476-4687}, }
@article {pmid39532753, year = {2024}, author = {Vilavan, S and Das, D and Ullah, H and Gade, SA and Ahmed, SF and Cha-Um, S and Praseartkul, P and Datta, A and Himanshu, SK}, title = {Exploring the impacts of climate change and identifying potential adaptation strategies for sustainable rice production in Thailand's Lower Chao Phraya Basin through crop simulation modeling.}, journal = {Environmental monitoring and assessment}, volume = {196}, number = {12}, pages = {1192}, pmid = {39532753}, issn = {1573-2959}, mesh = {*Oryza/growth &amp; development/genetics ; *Climate Change ; Thailand ; Crops, Agricultural/growth &amp; development ; Agriculture/methods ; Agricultural Irrigation/methods ; Models, Theoretical ; Crop Production/methods ; Environmental Monitoring/methods ; }, abstract = {The lower Chao Phraya River Basin (CPRB) in Thailand, a major rice-producing area, is grappling with increased water scarcity alongside more frequent floods and droughts, necessitating effective adaptation strategies to sustain agricultural productivity. This study assesses the impacts of climate change on rice yield and irrigation water use, using the DSSAT-CERES-Rice model. Based on these findings, potential genotype- and management-based adaptation strategies were recommended. The model was calibrated and evaluated using the data from field experiments conducted at the Asian Institute of Technology, Thailand during 2017-2018 and 2021-2022. The grain yield and irrigation water use between baseline (2010-2022) and future climate periods (early-century: 2023-2040, mid-century: 2041-2070, and late-century: 2071-2100) were compared. Future climate projections were based on five Global Climate Models (GCMs) from the NEX-GDDP-CMIP6 project under three scenarios (SSP126, SSP245, and SSP585). The model calibration and evaluation demonstrated very good performance statistics, with a d-index of 0.85 during both calibration and evaluation. The model simulations indicated that the maximum and minimum temperatures in the lower CPRB are projected to increase by ~ 2 °C and ~ 4 °C in the late century under SSP245 and SSP585, respectively. Consequently, rice yields are projected to decline by up to 33%, and irrigation water usage to increase by 53% under SSP585 by the late century. Based on the findings, the following major genotype- and management-based adaptation strategies are recommended: (1) Developing heat-tolerant rice cultivars to mitigate yield losses under future climate scenarios, (2) Developing rice cultivars with extended grain-filling duration to enhance both irrigation water use and yield, (3) Shifting the planting date 1-2 weeks earlier (from baseline planting date of 20 July), and shifting fertilizer application date 1-2 weeks earlier (from baseline fertilizer application date of 20 September) for the panicle initiation stage to improve yield, and (4) Optimizing irrigation thresholds (remaining soil water at which to irrigate) to reduce irrigation water use without compromising yield. Overall, the findings highlight the importance of genotype improvement and adaptive management practices in mitigating the adverse effects of climate change on rice production in the lower CPRB.}, }
@article {pmid39532604, year = {2024}, author = {Chen, B and Xu, X and Wang, S and Yang, T and Liu, Z}, title = {Corrigendum to "Carbon dioxide fertilization enhanced carbon sink offset by climate change and land use in Amazonia on a centennial scale" [Sci. Total Environ. 955 (2024) 176903].}, journal = {The Science of the total environment}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {177435}, doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.177435}, pmid = {39532604}, issn = {1879-1026}, }
@article {pmid39531521, year = {2024}, author = {de Souza, AC and Pires, AS and Donohue, K and de Mattos, EA}, title = {Will climate change constrain the altitudinal range of threatened species? Experimental evidence from a biodiversity hotspot.}, journal = {Plant biology (Stuttgart, Germany)}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, doi = {10.1111/plb.13734}, pmid = {39531521}, issn = {1438-8677}, support = {13864-1//Rufford Foundation/ ; }, abstract = {A fundamental goal in ecology and evolution is to explain the factors that shape species' abundance and range limits. Evaluating the performance of early life-stages across an altitudinal gradient can be valuable for understanding what factors shape range limits and for predicting how plant species may respond to climate change. To experimentally evaluate the presence of local adaptation in a threatened palm (Euterpe edulis) at early life-stages, we reciprocally sowed seeds at two contrasting elevations. In addition, to evaluate the effect of seed predation on E. edulis seed germination and seedling establishment, seed addition experiments were conducted at three different elevations. Our results showed no evidence of local adaptation in the early life-stages for the two E. edulis populations. We observed lower germination and seedling performance of both E. edulis populations at the low-elevation site. The exclusion of seed predation increased seedling establishment across all elevations. Seed predation and dry soil conditions were the main factors that constrained seedling establishment at the upper altitudinal limit and at the lower elevation, respectively. Climate change in the study area will result in warmer and drier environmental conditions. The lack of local adaptation and the lower performance of both E. edulis populations in warm and dry conditions, combined with a higher seed predation at the upper altitudinal limit, might cause an altitudinal range contraction, increasing the vulnerability of this threatened species to climate change.}, }
@article {pmid39531124, year = {2024}, author = {Phoeurn, CA and Degré, A and Oeurng, C and Ket, P}, title = {Evaluating the impact of climate change on yield and water use efficiency of different dry-season rice varieties cultivated under conventional and alternate wetting and drying conditions.}, journal = {Environmental monitoring and assessment}, volume = {196}, number = {12}, pages = {1190}, pmid = {39531124}, issn = {1573-2959}, mesh = {*Climate Change ; *Oryza/growth &amp; development ; *Agriculture/methods ; Seasons ; Biomass ; Water ; Environmental Monitoring/methods ; }, abstract = {This study is the first attempt to assess rice cultivation under alternate wetting and drying (AWD) and continuous flooding (CF) using the latest scenarios from the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), utilizing AquaCrop Model. Field experiments were conducted during the dry season 2023 to get the model calibration and validation input. We used two shared socioeconomic pathways scenarios (SSP3-7.0 and SSP5-8.5) developed within Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (CMIP6) and projected the rice growth during 2040-2070. The simulation results demonstrated the effectiveness of AquaCrop in capturing crop development across treatments and varieties. This model's accuracy in simulating canopy cover (nRMSE = 14-32.5%), time series biomass (nRMSE = 22-42.5%), grain yield (Pd = 4.36-24.38%), and total biomass (nRMSE = 0.39-18.98%) was generally acceptable. The analysis of future climate shows an increasing trend in the monthly average temperature by 0.8 °C (Tmin) and 1.3 °C (Tmax) in both scenarios. While ETo values were not anticipated, rainfall was expected to increase with average values of 5.62 mm to 11.25 mm. In addition, the study found that varieties with growing periods longer than 93 days after transplanting (DAT), such as CAR15 and Sen Kra Ob, were most impacted by heat stress conditions, leading to reduced yield, harvest index (HI), and water use efficiency (WUE). In our case, CAR15 and Sen Kra Ob grain yields were reduced by 53% and 8%, respectively. AWD maintains superior WUE compared with CF regardless of the type of varieties, suggesting this technique is a drought-adaptive strategy.}, }
@article {pmid39529493, year = {2024}, author = {Parnes, MF and Weiss, EM}, title = {Digital Mental Health Innovations in the Face of Climate Change: Navigating a Sustainable Future.}, journal = {Psychiatric services (Washington, D.C.)}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {appips20240327}, doi = {10.1176/appi.ps.20240327}, pmid = {39529493}, issn = {1557-9700}, abstract = {Climate change poses substantial challenges to mental health, with increased frequency of extreme weather events and environmental degradation exacerbating stress, anxiety, trauma, and existential concerns. Digital innovations, particularly artificial intelligence and digital phenotyping, offer promising avenues to mitigate climate-related mental health burdens. The integration of digital tools into climate-related mental health care necessitates careful consideration of issues of access to and adoption of solutions. Future research should evaluate the effectiveness and scalability of digital interventions to address the mental health impacts of climate change through collaborative efforts involving clinicians, environmental health specialists, bioethicists, policy makers, and technology developers.}, }
@article {pmid39528616, year = {2024}, author = {Aniye, HW and Bekele, T and Worku, W}, title = {Perception of smallholder farmers about climate change and its impacts on crop production across agroecological zones of the Gassera District, Southeastern Ethiopia.}, journal = {Scientific reports}, volume = {14}, number = {1}, pages = {27632}, pmid = {39528616}, issn = {2045-2322}, mesh = {Ethiopia ; *Climate Change ; *Farmers/psychology ; Humans ; Female ; Cross-Sectional Studies ; Male ; *Crop Production ; *Crops, Agricultural/growth &amp; development ; Adult ; Middle Aged ; Agriculture ; Rural Population ; Surveys and Questionnaires ; Perception ; Rain ; }, abstract = {Climate change and variability have threatened rainfed agriculture by affecting the livelihoods of rural communities in Ethiopia. The study area, Gassera District, is among the high-potential crop production areas of the Bale Zone and is severely impacted by recurrent droughts resulting from climate change. This study evaluated smallholder farmers' perceptions of significant climate change and its effects on food crop production across the agroecological zones of the Gassera District. A cross-sectional survey design was employed to collect data from 444 farm households via multistage random sampling techniques. Multiple linear regression (MLR) models were used for the data analysis. The results revealed that 98.5% of the interviewed farmers were aware of climate variability and that 51.6% understood its impact to a reasonable extent. However, over half of the farmers did not perceive climate change as the greatest threat to their livelihood. Most farmers experienced rain becoming more erratic, starting late, and ending early as medium climatic factors (60.4%, 68.1%, and 66.2%, respectively), affecting their crop production. The results revealed that rainfall had a negative and insignificant decreasing trend (2.92 mm/year). The annual mean temperature exhibited a positive and statistically significant increasing trend (Ρ < 0.01). Crop production is positively and linearly correlated with the amount of annual rainfall at the Ρ ≤ 0.05 level of significance. The findings revealed that the greatest crop yield loss was associated with lowland agroecology. The MLR results revealed that farmer agroecology, age, sex, and chemical use had substantial impacts on crop yield loss. We urge farmers to understand the long-term effects of climate change on their livelihoods.}, }
@article {pmid39525526, year = {2024}, author = {Plášek, V and Číhal, L and Müller, F and Pöltl, M and Wierzgoń, M and Ochyra, R}, title = {Newly found and rediscovered hornworts (Anthocerotophyta) in Poland: Indicators of climate change impact in Central Europe.}, journal = {PhytoKeys}, volume = {248}, number = {}, pages = {237-261}, pmid = {39525526}, issn = {1314-2011}, abstract = {In 2023, field research in south-western Poland led to the noteworthy discovery of two hornworts: Notothylasorbicularis, a species previously unrecorded in this country, and the rediscovery of Anthocerosneesii for the Polish bryoflora. These findings are significant as they suggest a response to climate change, which is facilitating the range expansion of hornworts within Central Europe. Detailed descriptions of the new localities for both species are provided, highlighting the specific environmental conditions and habitats where they were found. Distribution maps for Notothylasorbicularis and Anthocerosneesii in Poland are provided, as well as SEM micrographs of spores. Additionally, a key to the identification of Polish hornwort species is also included. Furthermore, a model projecting the potential future spread of these hornworts within Poland and the broader Central European region is presented. This model considers climatic variables and habitat availability, offering insights into possible range shifts. This study contributes to the growing body of evidence that climate change is a driving factor in the redistribution of bryophytes.}, }
@article {pmid39506664, year = {2024}, author = {Lindhe, N and Berg, M and Andersson, K and Andersson, G}, title = {Experiences of undergoing internet-delivered cognitive behavioural therapy for climate change-related distress: a qualitative study.}, journal = {BMC psychiatry}, volume = {24}, number = {1}, pages = {775}, pmid = {39506664}, issn = {1471-244X}, mesh = {Humans ; *Cognitive Behavioral Therapy/methods ; Male ; Female ; *Climate Change ; *Qualitative Research ; Adult ; Middle Aged ; *Adaptation, Psychological ; Psychological Distress ; Internet-Based Intervention ; Internet ; Stress, Psychological/therapy/psychology ; }, abstract = {BACKGROUND: Internet-delivered cognitive behavioural therapy (ICBT) has previously shown promise in effectively treating climate change-related distress. The aim of the present study was to investigate participants' experiences of undergoing a novel ICBT program targeting psychological symptoms associated with climate change.<br><br>METHODS: Telephone interviews were conducted with nine participants who had received eight weeks of ICBT for climate change-related distress. A semi-structured interview guide was used to gather information about participants' experiences of undergoing treatment. Data were transcribed and analyzed using thematic analysis.<br><br>RESULTS: The thematic analysis resulted in three overarching themes: (1) Same old feelings, brand new strategies, (2) Bumps in the road, and (3) Personalized climate engagement. Participants experienced that they had developed new coping strategies for handling their emotions, encountered challenges during the treatment period, and adapted their pro-environmental behaviour to their individual needs and circumstances.<br><br>CONCLUSIONS: The results indicate that participants were able to utilize the treatment material in different ways, resulting in a variety of emotional, cognitive, and behavioural changes. While the treatment was generally described as helpful, participants also raised some concerns regarding the treatment format. These findings can inform further development of ICBT targeting psychological symptoms associated with climate change.}, }
@article {pmid39525076, year = {2024}, author = {Khadilkar, A and Waddell, L and Acheson, ES and Ogden, NH}, title = {Perspectives on blastomycosis in Canada in the face of climate change.}, journal = {Canada communicable disease report = Releve des maladies transmissibles au Canada}, volume = {50}, number = {11}, pages = {400-411}, doi = {10.14745/ccdr.v50i11a04}, pmid = {39525076}, issn = {1188-4169}, abstract = {Blastomycosis is a disease of potentially varied presentations caused by thermally dimorphic fungi that appear as mold at ambient temperatures and transform to yeast at body temperature. Inhalation of aerosolized fungal spores represents the primary mode of transmission. Exposure may follow outdoor activities that disturb soil, which is warm, moist, acidic and rich in organic debris, particularly within forested areas and in proximity to waterways. Blastomycosis is endemic to several parts of Canada, but is only reportable in Ontario and Manitoba, with Northwestern Ontario being considered a hyperendemic area with average annual incidence rates of over 25 cases per 100,000 population. Delays in diagnosis and treatment are frequently observed as the symptoms and imaging findings of blastomycosis may initially be mistaken for community-acquired pneumonia, tuberculosis or malignancy, which can result in interim disease progression and worsening clinical outcomes. Risks from fungal infections such as blastomycosis are likely to increase with climate change-associated shifts in temperature and rainfall, and this may contribute to the geographic expansion of cases, a phenomenon that appears to be already underway. Further research investigating the ecological niche of Blastomyces and its climate sensitivity could help facilitate better modelling of the potential impacts of climate change on risks to Canadians and inform more effective methods of exposure prevention. Early clinical recognition and treatment of blastomycosis remain the key to minimizing morbidity and mortality.}, }
@article {pmid39524332, year = {2024}, author = {Arce, G and García-Alaminos, &#xc1; and Ortiz, M and Zafrilla, J}, title = {Attributing climate-change-related disaster displacement responsibilities along global production chains.}, journal = {iScience}, volume = {27}, number = {11}, pages = {111124}, doi = {10.1016/j.isci.2024.111124}, pmid = {39524332}, issn = {2589-0042}, abstract = {Climate change creates hostile living conditions in various regions, provoking climate-driven migration. The literature points to a polarization between the countries responsible for climate change and the regions suffering its consequences. Given this dichotomy, this study analyses the link between unsustainable consumption by world powers and the increasing vulnerability of some developing countries. We identify the most vulnerable countries to climate migrations and perform a responsibility assessment on environmental migration through historical consumption-based contributions to climate change. The main results show that the areas most vulnerable to climate migration are low-income countries from Asia and Africa, whereas the US, China, Japan, and Russia are the major economies responsible for climate change driving those migrations. According to our estimations, top responsible countries should contribute 0.2%-0.5% of their GDP to a global financial fund for climate migrants. This work supports the principle of climate justice regarding worldwide current challenges.}, }
@article {pmid39523661, year = {2024}, author = {Lin, XN and Ma, CY and Hu, LS and Liao, ML and Ma, LX and Teske, PR and Hoffmann, A and Dong, YW}, title = {Genomics-Informed Range Predictions Under Global Warming Reveal Reduced Adaptive Diversity Whilst Buffering Range Shifts for a Marine Snail.}, journal = {Global change biology}, volume = {30}, number = {11}, pages = {e17571}, doi = {10.1111/gcb.17571}, pmid = {39523661}, issn = {1365-2486}, support = {42025604//National Natural Science Foundation of China/ ; 42106112//National Natural Science Foundation of China/ ; 42106141//National Natural Science Foundation of China/ ; }, mesh = {Animals ; *Snails/genetics/physiology ; *Global Warming ; China ; *Genetic Variation ; Phylogeography ; Genomics ; Climate Change ; Adaptation, Physiological/genetics ; Ecosystem ; Animal Distribution ; }, abstract = {Understanding the genetic basis of local adaptation in thermal performance is useful for predicting species distribution shifts under anthropogenic climate change. Many species are distributed across multiple biogeographic regions, and the uniquely adapted populations in each region may respond to future ocean warming with distinct distribution changes. In the present study, we investigated phylogeographic patterns, thermal sensitivity, and genetic differentiation in the intertidal snail Littorina brevicula along China's coast. Whole-genome sequencing results based on a newly assembled chromosome-level genome revealed two genetic lineages, with a north-south divergence that is linked to the thermal environment. Within each lineage, individuals could be further subdivided into genetic subgroups that differ at key genomic loci underpinning differences in upper heat tolerance. Heat stress drives adaptive divergence across multiple levels of organization, from the individual to the biogeographic level. Taking into account genetic diversity associated with variation in heat tolerance, a physiological species distribution model (pSDM) was applied to predict the distributions of the different genetic subgroups in response to climate change. Both northern and southern lineages were predicted to experience declines in habitat suitability under a 4°C future warming scenario, and that a genotypic subset of snails from the southern lineage may even be driven to extinction. These findings illustrate that even when a species' range is maintained, it can nonetheless experience a significant decrease in adaptive diversity as a result of climate change. The integrated approach presented here, which considered both physiological and adaptive genetic variation at the level of individuals within a biogeographical context, provided new insights into how marine species can respond to global warming.}, }
@article {pmid39523014, year = {2024}, author = {Suzuki, H and Nunome, M and Yanase, T and Eto, T and Harada, M and Kinoshita, G}, title = {Impact of late Quaternary climate change on the demographic history of Japanese field voles and hares revealed by mitochondrial cytochrome b sequences.}, journal = {Genes &amp; genetic systems}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, doi = {10.1266/ggs.24-00145}, pmid = {39523014}, issn = {1880-5779}, abstract = {The mitochondrial cytochrome b gene of the Japanese field vole (Microtus montebelli), an herbivorous rodent, was subjected to an analysis of sequence variation with the objective of elucidating the population histories of this species. Construction of a phylogenetic tree revealed the existence of several region-specific lineages in Honshu and Kyushu, which were evenly separated from each other. In consideration of the documented time-dependent evolutionary rates of rodents, the estimated divergence times indicate that the region-specific lineages of M. montebelli emerged 160,000-300,000 years ago. In a haplotype network, the region-specific lineages from northern and central Honshu tended to show star-shaped clusters, with additional internal star-shaped clusters, indicative of two periods of population expansion. The onsets of the expansions were estimated to have occurred 15,000 and 10,000 years ago, respectively, suggestive of association with the two periods of rapid warming following the Last Glacial Maximum (LGM). In contrast, such predicted post-LGM expansion events were less pronounced in the southern lineages, implying latitudinal dependence of the effect of the LGM on population dynamics. Sado Island haplotypes exhibited a network with a star-shaped pattern and a 10,000-year-old expansion signal, surrounded by a Honshu haplotype cluster with a 15,000-year-old expansion signal, suggesting contribution of the post-LGM expansion events in the formation of the Sado population. A reanalysis of Cytb sequence of the Japanese hare (Lepus brachyurus), which has a similar geographic range to the voles, yielded results that were consistent with those of the vole analysis, confirming that the characteristics of the post-LGM expansion event were dependent on latitude, involved two successive expansion events, and enabled migration across deep straits. It seems reasonable to infer that the environmental changes that occurred during the warm periods following the LGM were a contributing factor in the expansion of the distribution range of newly emerged haplotype groups.}, }
@article {pmid39522871, year = {2024}, author = {Shen, Y and Dai, Y and Feng, Y and Peng, W and Liu, J and You, W and Luo, X and Ke, C and Chen, N}, title = {The weak association between hypoxia tolerance and thermal tolerance increases the susceptibility of abalone to climate change.}, journal = {Environmental research}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {120324}, doi = {10.1016/j.envres.2024.120324}, pmid = {39522871}, issn = {1096-0953}, abstract = {The simultaneous occurrence of high temperatures and hypoxia events caused mass die-offs of aquatic animals. It is crucial to investigate the relationship between hypoxia tolerance and thermal tolerance of aquatic animals to predict the biological and ecological outcomes under global climate change scenarios. In this study, the hypoxia tolerance and thermal tolerance of Pacific abalone, Haliotis discus hannai, were measured by methods based on adhesion capacity (hypoxia adhesion duration and heat adhesion duration) and heart rate fluctuations (breakpoint of dissolved oxygen and Arrhenius breakpoint temperature). Weak correlations were found between hypoxia tolerance and thermal tolerance (Spearman correlation, r = -0.09, P = 0.2069; Pearson correlation, r = -0.04, P = 0.3313). Furthermore, a total of 21 significant SNPs and 19 candidate genes (such as cubn, lrp6, gria2, rft2, and casp8) were identified to be associated with hypoxia tolerance of Pacific abalone by conducting whole genome resequencing and genome-wide association study (GWAS). But there was no overlap between candidate genes associated with hypoxia tolerance and candidate genes associated with thermal tolerance, validating the weak correlation between hypoxia tolerance and thermal tolerance. This study highlights that individuals with greater hypoxia tolerance do not necessarily have greater thermal tolerance. Global warming and hypoxia may pose a greater threat to population size and genetic diversity of some aquatic animals than previously believed.}, }
@article {pmid39522784, year = {2024}, author = {Feng, Z and Zhang, L and Tang, N and Li, X and Xing, W}, title = {Ensemble modeling of aquatic plant invasions and economic cost analysis in China under climate change scenarios.}, journal = {The Science of the total environment}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {177444}, doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.177444}, pmid = {39522784}, issn = {1879-1026}, abstract = {Pistia stratiotes, Eichhornia crassipes, Alternanthera philoxeroides, and Cabomba caroliniana are officially recognized as invasive aquatic plants in China. Accurately predicting their invasion dynamics under climate change is crucial for the future safety of aquatic ecosystems. Compared to single prediction models, ensemble models that integrate multiple algorithms provide more accurate forecasts. However, there has been a notable lack of research utilizing ensemble models to collectively predict the invasive regions of these four species in China. To address this gap, we collected and analyzed comprehensive data on species distribution, climate, altitude, population density, and the normalized difference vegetation index to accurately predict the future invasive regions and potential warnings for aquatic systems concerning these species. Our results indicate that suitable areas for invasive aquatic plants in China are primarily located in the southeastern region. Significant differences exist in the suitable habitats for each species: P. stratiotes and E. crassipes have broad distribution areas, covering most water systems in southeastern China, while C. caroliniana is concentrated in the middle and lower reaches of the Yangtze River and the estuaries of the Yangtze and Pearl Rivers. A. philoxeroides has an extensive invasion area, with the North China Plain projected to become a suitable invasion region in the future. The main factors influencing future invasions are human activities and climate change. In addition, under climate change, the suitable habitats for these invasive aquatic plants are expected to expand toward higher latitudes. We also estimated the economic costs associated with invasive aquatic plants in China using the Invacost database, revealing cumulative costs of US$5525.17 million, where damage costs (89.70 %) significantly exceed management costs (10.30 %). Our innovative approach, employing various ensemble algorithms and water system invasion forecasts, aims to effectively mitigate the future invasions and economic impacts of these species.}, }
@article {pmid39522195, year = {2024}, author = {Pérez-Cutillas, P and Salhi, A}, title = {Long-term hydroclimatic projections and climate change scenarios at regional scale in Morocco.}, journal = {Journal of environmental management}, volume = {371}, number = {}, pages = {123254}, doi = {10.1016/j.jenvman.2024.123254}, pmid = {39522195}, issn = {1095-8630}, abstract = {Morocco urgently needs an updated understanding of its water resources, considering the current knowledge's insufficient and uncertain state. Incorporating the latest Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs) is crucial for a more accurate and informed assessment. This study aims to bridge this gap by examining the hydrological dynamics of major basins, offering insights vital for strategic water resource management. To unravel Morocco's hydrological future, we employed an integrative methodology encompassing advanced spatial analyses, watershed hydrological modeling through the 'Water Yield' module of InVEST, and climate change scenario projections from CMIP6. Leveraging reputable databases for land cover, soil, and climate data, we ensured a robust foundation for the projections applied. This comprehensive approach facilitated a nuanced examination of water availability, considering the intricate interplay of various factors. The findings unveil a concerning projection, anticipating water yield declines between 23% and 51% by 2080 and 43%-61% by 2100 across the 12 basins. The northwest and north areas, currently endowed with better water availability, face the most substantial reductions. Economic repercussions loom, with potential losses ranging from -0.8 to -8.5 billion USD by 2100, urging strategic interventions to avert potential GDP declines of 2.8%-17.1%. The study highlights the scenario-dependent sensitivity of water supply to varying levels of climate change. In the context of the North African region, Morocco's hydroclimatic challenges assume heightened significance. As a pivotal player in the region, Morocco's water resource management impacts its socio-economic landscape as well as resonates regionally. The outcome of proactive measures and strategic planning can potentially set a precedent for neighboring countries grappling with similar hydrological uncertainties, fostering regional resilience in the face of escalating water stress. The study's insights, therefore, carry broader implications, positioning Morocco as a key influencer in shaping sustainable water management practices across North Africa.}, }
@article {pmid39521502, year = {2024}, author = {Prasad, A}, title = {Marina Romanello: tracking climate change and health.}, journal = {Lancet (London, England)}, volume = {404}, number = {10465}, pages = {1801}, doi = {10.1016/S0140-6736(24)02425-5}, pmid = {39521502}, issn = {1474-547X}, }
@article {pmid39520017, year = {2024}, author = {Li, M and Zheng, CF and Gao, XQ and Li, CH and Li, YX and Xia, XH and Yang, J and Zheng, YQ and Huang, P}, title = {Distinct Ecological Habits and Habitat Responses to Future Climate Change in Two Subspecies of Magnolia sieboldii K. Koch, a Tree Endemic to East Asia.}, journal = {Plants (Basel, Switzerland)}, volume = {13}, number = {21}, pages = {}, doi = {10.3390/plants13213097}, pmid = {39520017}, issn = {2223-7747}, support = {2022YFD2200100//National Key Research and Development Program/ ; 2005DKA21003//National Platform for Forestry and Grassland Genetic Resources/ ; }, abstract = {Magnolia sieboldii, an important ornamental tree native to East Asia, comprises two subspecies in distinct regions, with wild populations facing suboptimal survival. This study aimed to understand the potential habitat distribution of these subspecies under future climate-change conditions to support climate-adaptive conservation. The maximum entropy (MaxEnt) model was used with occurrence and environmental data to simulate the current and future suitable habitats under various climate scenarios. Precipitation in the warmest quarter played a crucial role in shaping the potential habitats of both subspecies; however, they exhibited different sensitivities to temperature-related variables and altitude. Magnolia sieboldii subsp. sieboldii is more sensitive to temperature seasonality and annual mean temperature, whereas Magnolia sieboldii subsp. japonica is more affected by altitude, mean temperature in the driest quarter, and isothermality. Currently, the subsp. sieboldii is predicted to have larger, more contiguous suitable habitats across northeastern China, the Korean Peninsula, and Japan, whereas the subsp. japonica occupies smaller, more disjunct habitats scattered in central and western Japan and the southern Chinese mountains. These two subspecies will respond differently to future climate change. Potentially suitable habitats for subsp. sieboldii are expected to expand significantly northward over time, especially under the SSP585 scenario compared with the SSP126 scenario. In contrast, moderately and highly suitable habitats for the subsp. japonica are projected to contract southward significantly. Therefore, we recommend prioritizing the conservation of the subsp. japonica over that of the subsp. sieboldii. Strategies include in situ and ex situ protection, introduction and cultivation, regional hybridization, and international cooperation. Our study offers valuable insights for the development of targeted conservation strategies for both subspecies of M. sieboldii to counteract the effects of climate change.}, }
@article {pmid39516678, year = {2024}, author = {Oo, NM and Weadick, CS and Murphy, L and O'Reilly, S}, title = {Climate change advocacy and cancer clinical trial organisations.}, journal = {BJC reports}, volume = {2}, number = {1}, pages = {49}, pmid = {39516678}, issn = {2731-9377}, abstract = {BACKGROUND: Climate change is a threat to human health; equally health care is a threat to climate change as it accounts for 4% of greenhouse gas emissions and 30% of the world's electronically stored data. 350,000 international trials are registered on ClinicalTrials.gov with ~27·5 million tonnes of emissions (equivalent to half of annual Danish emissions).<br><br>METHODS: In September 2023 climate awareness among cancer clinical trial organisations was assessed via a web-based scoping exercise.<br><br>RESULTS: Seventy-five organisations were identified of whom 46 had search tools on their websites. Eight out of 46 clinical trial groups had at least one parameter of commitment to climate change, and 38 organisations had none. Of 46 websites, 5 had climate change position statements or policies, 4 had a committee or task force, 1 provided patient education resources for climate change via video link, 7 included green initiative advice and 8 had publications addressing climate change. Only 5 were listed as members of Climate Change Consortiums.<br><br>CONCLUSIONS: Based on website assessment climate advocacy among cancer clinical trial organisations is low, and efforts to encourage climate engagement are needed.}, }
@article {pmid39516640, year = {2024}, author = {Schiller, JH}, title = {Climate change: why oncologists need to get involved.}, journal = {BJC reports}, volume = {2}, number = {1}, pages = {20}, pmid = {39516640}, issn = {2731-9377}, abstract = {A warming planet will have devasting effects on human health - including the care, diagnosis, prevention, and treatment of cancer patients. As oncology health care professionals, we have a moral and professional obligation to educate our peers, health systems, the public, and other stakeholders as to the dangers they can expect, and how they can be prevented or mitigated. There are numerous ways that we, as trusted messengers, can take action, either personally, locally, nationally, or by supporting non-profit organizations advocating for climate change and cancer. Impact of climate change on human health. Source: National Center for Environmental Health, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, https://www.cdc.gov/climateandhealth/effects/default.htm .}, }
@article {pmid39515386, year = {2024}, author = {Gustafson, EJ and Lucash, MS and Shvidenko, AZ and Sturtevant, BR and Miranda, BR and Schepaschenko, D and Matsumoto, H}, title = {Climate change and disturbance interact to alter landscape reflectivity (albedo) in boreal forests across a large latitudinal gradient in Siberia.}, journal = {The Science of the total environment}, volume = {956}, number = {}, pages = {177043}, doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.177043}, pmid = {39515386}, issn = {1879-1026}, abstract = {Boreal forests form the largest terrestrial biome globally. Climate change is expected to induce large changes in vegetation of high latitude ecosystems, but there is considerable uncertainty about where, when, and how those changes will occur. Such vegetation change produces major feedback to the climate system, including by modifying albedo (reflectivity). Our study used the LANDIS-II forest landscape model to project forest dynamics on four representative landscapes (1 M ha) for 280 years into the future under a range of climate scenarios across a broad latitudinal gradient in Siberia. The model estimated the albedo of the vegetation and any snow on each landscape grid-cell through time to quantify surface albedo change in response to climate change and disturbances. We found that the shortening of the snow-covered season (winter) decreased annual average albedo dramatically, and climate change facilitated the invasion of tundra by boreal trees in the northernmost landscape (reducing albedo in all seasons). However, in other landscapes, albedo increased in summer due to disturbances (fire, wind, insects, harvest), eliminating or reducing leaf area in the short-term, and in the mid-term by promoting more reflective forest types (deciduous, light conifers). This increased albedo was somewhat ephemeral and under climate change was overwhelmed by the shortening of the snow-covered season that greatly reduced albedo. We conclude that the primary driver of the overall reflectivity of boreal ecosystems is not vegetation, but rather, the length of the snow-covered season. Because climate change is likely to dramatically shorten the snow season, the concurrent reduction of albedo has the potential to act as a powerful positive feedback for climate change. Managing natural and anthropogenic disturbances may be the only tool with potential to mitigate the reduction of albedo by climate change in boreal ecosystems because management to encourage more reflective forest types has relatively small effect.}, }
@article {pmid39514920, year = {2024}, author = {Nankade, VA and Fand, BB and Lavhe, NV and Thube, SH and Gawande, SP and Nagrale, DT and Borkar, SL and Pillai, TS and Nikoshe, A and Prasad, YG}, title = {A GIS-coupled thermal response model for predicting the population growth potential of the red cotton bug, Dysdercus koenigii (Fabricius) (Hemiptera: Pyrrhocoridae) in India under climate change conditions.}, journal = {Journal of thermal biology}, volume = {125}, number = {}, pages = {104010}, doi = {10.1016/j.jtherbio.2024.104010}, pmid = {39514920}, issn = {0306-4565}, abstract = {Recently, the red cotton bug has become a significant menace to cotton in India. With the potential for increased habitat suitability due to predicted temperature rise of 2.5 °C under future climate change in India, this pest could become even more severe in certain regions. Addressing the knowledge gap on the temperature-driven population growth of this pest is crucial for developing a climate-resilient pest management strategy. In this study, life history data gathered at various constant temperatures (15 °C-35 °C) were used to estimate temperature thresholds and thermal requirements for the red cotton bug development. Stochastic estimation of life table parameters and validation with real-time weather data were performed. The phenology model, integrated into a geographic information system, projected the future pest status based on SSP126 temperature change scenarios for the year 2050. The temperatures between 8.35 and 10.83 °C were estimated as lower developmental thresholds for various immature life stages. The optimum and upper threshold temperatures estimated for different life stages ranged between 22.14 - 28.32 °C and 35.80-39.08 °C, respectively. Thermal requirements of 447.97° days for life cycle completion were estimated. The optimum immature survival rates (>70%) were observed at temperatures between 25 and 30 °C. The temperature-dependent decrease in generation times from 90.45 days (15 °C) to 25.44 days (35 °C) was observed, whereas maximum fecundity was recorded at 32 °C. Simulation at fluctuating temperatures across different cotton growing locations provided reasonably similar results on potential population increase (finite rate of increase: 0.99-1.04 females/female/day and a generation time of 44.25-83.97 days). Risk mapping highlighted moderate to high suitability (ERI >0.4, GI > 6, and AI >4) of various cotton growing areas under current climate, and projected shifts in suitability under future climate change. The study has generated information valuable for implementing effective and timely pest management strategies for red cotton bug. Integrating the field observations with model outputs can enhance a practical understanding of red cotton bug dynamics.}, }
@article {pmid39514745, year = {2024}, author = {Dhai, A}, title = {Climate change, extreme heat and heat waves.}, journal = {South African medical journal = Suid-Afrikaanse tydskrif vir geneeskunde}, volume = {114}, number = {11}, pages = {e2804}, pmid = {39514745}, issn = {2078-5135}, }
@article {pmid39510115, year = {2024}, author = {Cai, W and Zhang, C and Zhang, S and Bai, Y and Callaghan, M and Chang, N and Chen, B and Chen, H and Cheng, L and Dai, H and Fan, W and Guan, D and Hu, Y and Hu, Y and Hua, J and Huang, C and Huang, H and Huang, J and Huang, X and Ji, JS and Jiang, Q and Jiang, X and Kiesewetter, G and Li, T and Li, B and Liang, L and Lin, B and Lin, H and Liu, H and Liu, Q and Liu, Z and Liu, Z and Liu, Y and Lou, S and Lu, B and Lu, C and Luo, Z and Mi, Z and Miao, Y and Ren, C and Romanello, M and Shen, J and Su, J and Su, R and Sun, Y and Sun, X and Walawender, M and Wang, C and Wang, Q and Wang, Q and Warnecke, L and Wei, W and Wei, X and Wen, S and Xie, Y and Xiong, H and Xu, B and Yang, X and Yang, Y and Yao, F and Yu, L and Yu, W and Yuan, J and Zeng, Y and Zhang, J and Zhang, R and Zhang, S and Zhang, S and Zhao, M and Zhao, Q and Zhao, Q and Zheng, D and Zhou, H and Zhou, J and Zhou, Z and Luo, Y and Gong, P}, title = {The 2024 China report of the Lancet Countdown on health and climate change: launching a new low-carbon, healthy journey.}, journal = {The Lancet. Public health}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, doi = {10.1016/S2468-2667(24)00241-X}, pmid = {39510115}, issn = {2468-2667}, }
@article {pmid39505945, year = {2024}, author = {Wan, GZ and Li, QQ and Jin, L and Chen, J}, title = {Integrated approach to predicting habitat suitability and evaluating quality variations of Notopterygium franchetii under climate change.}, journal = {Scientific reports}, volume = {14}, number = {1}, pages = {26927}, pmid = {39505945}, issn = {2045-2322}, support = {2018FY100701//Ministry of Science and Technology of the People's Republic of China/ ; 2021GSMPAKL12//National Medical Products Administration/ ; 2021GSMPA008//Gansu Medical Products Administration/ ; 2022030014//National Administration of Traditional Chinese Medicine/ ; }, mesh = {*Climate Change ; *Ecosystem ; *Apiaceae/growth &amp; development ; Plants, Medicinal/chemistry/growth &amp; development ; Chromatography, High Pressure Liquid ; }, abstract = {The impact of climate change on medicinal plants has significantly altered their suitable environments, thereby affecting the quality of herbal medicines. Notopterygium franchetii (N. franchetii), a medicinal plant intricately linked to its natural habitat, exhibits substantial quality variations influenced by the ecological conditions of its native region. In this study, comprehensive field surveys were conducted to gather occurrence records and samples of N. franchetii. The Maxent model and ArcGIS software were employed to predict the suitable habitats of N. franchetii during different time periods. A high-performance liquid chromatography (HPLC) method was developed to establish the chemical fingerprints of 21 sample batches. Fourteen common peaks were subjected to cluster analysis, principal component analysis, and orthogonal partial least squares-discriminant analysis. The findings revealed quality variations correlated with their geographic origins, identifying peaks 10, 1, 14, 3, and 4 as crucial for quality differentiation. The study indicates that precipitation, temperature, and altitude significantly influence the distribution of N. franchetii. Under current climate conditions, the suitable habitat area for N. franchetii is estimated to be approximately 94,637.33 km[2]. However, projections under three future climate scenarios suggest a declining trend in suitable habitat areas. A quality zoning map of N. franchetii was developed, integrating a correlation model between chemical composition and environmental variables with the spatial analysis and visualization capabilities of ArcGIS. The high-quality regions for N. franchetii are predominantly located in the Gannan, Linxia, Dingxi, Longnan, and Wuwei districts. These research outcomes offer a valuable reference for identifying suitable cultivation areas and assessing the quality of N. franchetii in Gansu Province.}, }
@article {pmid39505398, year = {2024}, author = {Thiagarajan, K}, title = {How climate change made 2024 the deadliest year of dengue.}, journal = {BMJ (Clinical research ed.)}, volume = {387}, number = {}, pages = {q2391}, doi = {10.1136/bmj.q2391}, pmid = {39505398}, issn = {1756-1833}, }
@article {pmid39504385, year = {2024}, author = {Petrino, R and Garcia-Castrillo, L and Uccheddu, G and Meucci, L and Codecà, R}, title = {Awareness and preparedness of health systems and emergency medicine systems to the climate change challenges and threats: an international survey.}, journal = {European journal of emergency medicine : official journal of the European Society for Emergency Medicine}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, doi = {10.1097/MEJ.0000000000001196}, pmid = {39504385}, issn = {1473-5695}, abstract = {BACKGROUND AND IMPORTANCE: Climate change is widely recognised as a critical public health challenge.<br><br>OBJECTIVE: The objective of this study was to assess the awareness, preparedness and mitigation plans for climate change threats.<br><br>A cross-sectional observational study targeting emergency medical societies in different countries was conducted between 15 February and 15 March 2024.<br><br>INTERVENTION OR EXPOSURE: The survey featured 16 closed questions on climate change awareness, preparedness and risks. Focus groups of 4-6 members were organised by country. Results were correlated to income levels, United Nations (UN) regional classification and the World Risk Index.<br><br>OUTCOME MEASURE AND ANALYSIS: The questions were ranked using a Likert-like scale from 0 to 9 (9 being the highest). Descriptive statistics used central tendency estimators, and inferential analysis used chi-square and Kruskal-Wallis tests, with the significance level set at P&#x2005;<&#x2005;0.05.<br><br>RESULTS: Forty-two focus groups responded, representing 36 countries: 21 (50%) high-income, seven (16.7%) low-income, five (11.9%) lower middle-income and nine (21.4%) upper middle-income countries, representing 31 of the 22 UN regions. According to the World Risk Index, the respondent countries belonged to the different categories as follows: very low risk, 6 (14%); low risk, 8 (19%); medium risk, 5 (12%); high risk, 8 (19%) and very high risk, 14 (34%). The estimated impact of climate change on national health systems had a mean score of 6.75 (SD&#x2005;=&#x2005;2.16), while on Emergency Medical Systems was 6.96 (SD&#x2005;=&#x2005;2.05). Overall, assessment and preparedness measures were reported by just 21.4 and 37.6% of respondents, respectively. Analysis by income did not show significant differences, with the exception of food supply. The main differences in the analysis by region were the risks of extreme weather events, vector-borne diseases and wildfires, whereas the World Risk Index was food and chain of supplies. Education and integration of health services were indicated by all as the main mitigation actions.<br><br>CONCLUSION: Geographical position and country risk index influence risk perception among focus groups more than income economy, with vector-borne diseases, extreme weather events and food shortages being the threats with the most variability. The most important actions identified to mitigate Climate Change effects are educational and strategic plans.}, }
@article {pmid39503895, year = {2024}, author = {Beans, C}, title = {Can microbiome adaptations protect crops from pests and climate change?.}, journal = {Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America}, volume = {121}, number = {46}, pages = {e2421369121}, doi = {10.1073/pnas.2421369121}, pmid = {39503895}, issn = {1091-6490}, }
@article {pmid39503716, year = {2024}, author = {Eidmann, A and Geiger, F and Heinz, T and Jakuscheit, A and Docheva, D and Horas, K and Stratos, I and Rudert, M}, title = {Our Impact on Global Warming: A Carbon Footprint Analysis of Orthopaedic Operations.}, journal = {The Journal of bone and joint surgery. American volume}, volume = {106}, number = {21}, pages = {1971-1977}, doi = {10.2106/JBJS.24.00212}, pmid = {39503716}, issn = {1535-1386}, mesh = {*Carbon Footprint/statistics &amp; numerical data ; Humans ; *Global Warming ; *Orthopedic Procedures/statistics &amp; numerical data ; Carbon Dioxide/analysis ; }, abstract = {BACKGROUND: The health-care sector and particularly the surgical sector are major contributors to the exacerbation of the global climate crisis. Little is known about the carbon emissions caused by surgical procedures. Therefore, the aim of this study was to estimate the carbon footprint associated with common orthopaedic surgical procedures.<br><br>METHODS: Eight surgical procedures (total hip arthroplasty, total knee arthroplasty, knee arthroscopy, anterior cruciate ligament reconstruction, shoulder arthroscopy, elective foot surgery, revision hip arthroplasty, and revision knee arthroplasty) were selected for analysis. The inventory process was performed according to the Greenhouse Gas Protocol for all activity occurring in the operating room.<br><br>RESULTS: The carbon footprint (in CO2 equivalents, CO2e) ranged between 53.5 kg for knee arthroscopy and 125.9 kg for revision knee arthroplasty. Energy consumption accounted for 57.5% of all emissions, followed by other indirect emissions (38.8%) and direct emissions (3.7%). The largest single contributors were the supply chain (34.6%) and energy consumption for ventilation, heating, and air conditioning (32.7%).<br><br>CONCLUSIONS: Orthopaedic surgical procedures produce considerable amounts of CO2. Reduction in and greening of energy consumption, as well as the decarbonization of the supply chain, would have the greatest impact in reducing the carbon footprint of orthopaedic surgical procedures.<br><br>CLINICAL RELEVANCE: Orthopaedic surgical procedures contribute to the climate crisis by emitting relevant amounts of CO2. It should therefore be imperative for all orthopaedic surgeons to endeavor to find solutions to mitigate the environmental impact of their practice.}, }
@article {pmid39502915, year = {2024}, author = {Zhang, W and Wang, X and Shen, S and Zhao, Y and Hao, S and Jiang, J and Zhang, D}, title = {Analyzing the distribution patterns and dynamic niche of Magnolia grandiflora L. in the United States and China in response to climate change.}, journal = {Frontiers in plant science}, volume = {15}, number = {}, pages = {1440610}, pmid = {39502915}, issn = {1664-462X}, abstract = {INTRODUCTION: Magnolia grandiflora L. (southern magnolia) is native to the southeastern coastal areas of the United States, from North Carolina to eastern Texas (USDA Cold Hardiness Zone 8). It is currently widely cultivated in Zones 5-10 in the U.S. and in southern Yangtze River regions in China. Limited studies have examined the effects of climate change and human activities on the geographical distribution and adaptability of M. grandiflora during its introduction to China.<br><br>METHODS: We selected 127 occurrence points in the U.S. and 87 occurrence points in China, along with 43 environmental variables, to predict suitable habitat areas for M. grandiflora using present climate data (1970-2000) and projected future climate data (2050-2070) based on a complete niche ensemble model (EM) using the Biomod2 package. We also predicted the niche change of M. grandiflora in both countries using the 'ecospat' package in R.<br><br>RESULTS: The ensemble models demonstrated high reliability, with an AUC of 0.993 and TSS of 0.932. Solar radiation in July, human impact index, and precipitation of the wettest month were identified as the most critical variables influencing M. grandiflora distribution. The species shows a similar trend of distribution expansion under climate change scenarios in both countries, with predicted expansions towards the northwest and northeast, and contractions in southern regions.<br><br>DISCUSSION: Our study emphasizes a practical framework for predicting suitable habitats and migration of Magnoliaceae species under climate change scenarios. These findings provide valuable insights. for species conservation, introduction, management strategies, and sustainable utilization of M. grandiflora.}, }
@article {pmid39502661, year = {2024}, author = {Harris, MJ and Trok, JT and Martel, KS and Borbor Cordova, MJ and Diffenbaugh, NS and Munayco, CV and Lescano, AG and Mordecai, EA}, title = {Extreme precipitation, exacerbated by anthropogenic climate change, drove Peru's record-breaking 2023 dengue outbreak.}, journal = {medRxiv : the preprint server for health sciences}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, pmid = {39502661}, support = {D43 TW007393/TW/FIC NIH HHS/United States ; R01 AI102918/AI/NIAID NIH HHS/United States ; R01 AI168097/AI/NIAID NIH HHS/United States ; R35 GM133439/GM/NIGMS NIH HHS/United States ; }, abstract = {Anthropogenic forcing is increasing the likelihood and severity of certain extreme weather events, which may catalyze outbreaks of climate-sensitive infectious diseases. Extreme precipitation events can promote the spread of mosquito-borne illnesses by creating vector habitat, destroying infrastructure, and impeding vector control. Here, we focus on Cyclone Yaku, which caused heavy rainfall in northwestern Peru from March 7th - 20th, 2023 and was followed by the worst dengue outbreak in Peru's history. We apply generalized synthetic control methods to account for baseline climate variation and unobserved confounders when estimating the causal effect of Cyclone Yaku on dengue cases across the 56 districts with the greatest precipitation anomalies. We estimate that 67 (95% CI: 30 - 87) % of cases in cyclone-affected districts were attributable to Cyclone Yaku. The cyclone significantly increased cases for over six months, causing 38,209 (95% CI: 17,454 - 49,928) out of 57,246 cases. The largest increases in dengue incidence due to Cyclone Yaku occurred in districts with a large share of low-quality roofs and walls in residences, greater flood risk, and warmer temperatures above 24°C. Analyzing an ensemble of climate model simulations, we found that extremely intense March precipitation in northwestern Peru is 42% more likely in the current era compared to a preindustrial baseline due to climate forcing. In sum, extreme precipitation like that associated with Cyclone Yaku has become more likely with climate change, and Cyclone Yaku caused the majority of dengue cases across the cyclone-affected districts.}, }
@article {pmid39501834, year = {2024}, author = {Zhou, Q and Chen, J and Ma, J and Jiao, W and Liang, Z and Du, R and Pan, Y and Liu, L and Qian, Q and Sun, S and Ji, Y and Zhang, Z}, title = {Relationship between global warming and autism spectrum disorder from 1990 to 2019.}, journal = {BJPsych open}, volume = {10}, number = {6}, pages = {e198}, doi = {10.1192/bjo.2024.790}, pmid = {39501834}, issn = {2056-4724}, abstract = {BACKGROUND: Despite mounting evidence linking neurological diseases with climate change, the link between autism spectrum disorder (ASD) and global warming has yet to be explored.<br><br>AIMS: To examine the relationship between the incidence of ASD and global warming from 1990 to 2019 and estimate the trajectory of ASD incidence from 2020 to 2100 globally.<br><br>METHOD: We extracted meteorological data from TerraClimate between 1990 and 2019. To estimate the association between global ASD incidence and temperature variation, we adopted a two-stage analysis strategy using a generalised additive regression model. Additionally, we projected future ASD incidence under four representative shared socioeconomic pathways (SSPs: 126, 245, 370 and 585) by bootstrapping.<br><br>RESULTS: Between 1990 and 2019, the global mean incidence of ASD in children under 5 years old was 96.9 per 100 000. The incidence was higher in males (147.5) than in females (46.3). A 1.0 &#xb0;C increase in the temperature variation was associated with a 3.0% increased risk of ASD incidence. The association was stronger in boys and children living in a low/low-middle sociodemographic index region, as well as in low-latitude areas. According to the SSP585 scenario, by 2100, the children living in regions between 10 and 20&#xb0; latitude, particularly in Africa, will experience a 68.6% increase in ASD incidence if the association remains. However, the SSP126 scenario is expected to mitigate this increase, with a less than 10% increase in incidence across all latitudes.<br><br>CONCLUSIONS: Our study highlights the association between climate change and ASD incidence worldwide. Prospective studies are warranted to confirm the association.}, }
@article {pmid39501807, year = {2024}, author = {Garrido Zornoza, M and Caminade, C and Tompkins, AM}, title = {The effect of climate change and temperature extremes on Aedes albopictus populations: a regional case study for Italy.}, journal = {Journal of the Royal Society, Interface}, volume = {21}, number = {220}, pages = {20240319}, pmid = {39501807}, issn = {1742-5662}, support = {//Novo Nordisk Foundation Interdisciplinary Synergy Program/ ; //ICTP-IAEA/ ; }, mesh = {*Aedes/physiology ; Animals ; Italy ; *Climate Change ; *Mosquito Vectors/physiology ; Models, Biological ; Seasons ; Temperature ; }, abstract = {The Asian tiger mosquito, Aedes albopictus, has spread widely throughout Italy since its introduction, with significant public health implications. We examine how decadal temperature trends and sub-monthly heatwave events affect its climate-driven geographical distribution and temporal dynamics using a new regional-scale dynamical Aedes model. The model is calibrated using [Formula: see text] years of ovitrap data for Emilia-Romagna and reproduces the vector seasonality and, to a lesser extent, its inter-annual variability. Simulated vector density hotspots overlap with densely populated areas in Rome, Milan, Naples, Foggia, Catania, Palermo, Lecce, Cagliari, Genoa, Turin and large urban centres in Emilia-Romagna. Lower risk is simulated over the Central Apennine mountains and the Alps. At decadal time scale, we simulate a lengthening of the active mosquito season by 0.5-3 weeks per decade, with the vector becoming homodynamic in southern Italy. Depending on the climatic setting, heatwaves can increase or reduce vector populations and, in some locations, can temporarily decrease mosquito populations. Such decreases can be followed by a population rebound and overshoot. Given the model's skill in reproducing key spatio-temporal Ae. albopictus features, there is potential to develop an early warning system to inform control efforts at a national scale.}, }
@article {pmid39500894, year = {2024}, author = {Wen, Y and Guo, J and Wang, F and Hao, Z and Fei, Y and Yang, A and Fan, Y and Chan, FKS}, title = {Author Correction: A high-resolution dataset for future compound hot-dry events under climate change.}, journal = {Scientific data}, volume = {11}, number = {1}, pages = {1197}, doi = {10.1038/s41597-024-04054-w}, pmid = {39500894}, issn = {2052-4463}, }
@article {pmid39500447, year = {2024}, author = {Fagunwa, OE and Ashiru-Oredope, D and Gilmore, BF and Doherty, S and Oyama, LB and Huws, SA}, title = {Climate change as a challenge for pharmaceutical storage and tackling antimicrobial resistance.}, journal = {The Science of the total environment}, volume = {956}, number = {}, pages = {177367}, doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.177367}, pmid = {39500447}, issn = {1879-1026}, abstract = {The rise of antimicrobial resistance (AMR) remains a pressing global health challenge. Infections that were once easily treatable with first-line antimicrobials are becoming increasingly difficult to manage. This shift directly threatens the wellness of humans, animals, plants, and the environment. While the AMR crisis can be attributed to a myriad of factors, including lack of infection prevention and control measures, over-prescription of antimicrobials, patient non-compliance, and the misuse of antimicrobials, one aspect that has garnered less attention is the role of storage conditions of these medicines. The way medications, particularly antimicrobials, are transported and stored until the point of use can influence their efficacy and, subsequently, may impact the development of resistant microbial strains. This review delves deeper into the often-overlooked domain of climate change (CC) and antimicrobial storage practices and the potential effects. Inappropriate storage conditions, such as exposure to extreme temperatures, humidity or light, can degrade the potency of antimicrobials. When these compromised medicines are administered to patients or animals alike, they may not effectively eradicate the targeted pathogens, leading to partial survival of the pathogens. These surviving pathogens, having been exposed to sub-lethal doses, are more likely to evolve and develop resistance mechanisms. The review discusses the mechanism underlying this and underscores the implications of antimicrobial storage practices in relation to two of the most pressing global health challenges: AMR and CC. The review also presents specific case studies and highlights the importance of monitoring storage practices and supply chain surveillance. Furthermore, the importance of deploying genomic tools to understand the potential impact of storage conditions on the development of AMR is discussed, and antimicrobial storage highlighted as a crucial part of comprehensive strategies in the fight against AMR.}, }
@article {pmid39499291, year = {2024}, author = {de Oliveira Aparecido, LE and Torsoni, GB and Lorençone, PA and Lorençone, JA and de Souza Rolim, G}, title = {Barley vulnerability to climate change: perspectives for cultivation in South America.}, journal = {International journal of biometeorology}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, pmid = {39499291}, issn = {1432-1254}, abstract = {Barley (Hordeum vulgare) is a globally significant cereal crop, widely used in both food production and brewing. However, it is particularly vulnerable to climate change, especially extreme temperature fluctuations, which can severely reduce yields. To address this challenge, a detailed climate zoning study was conducted to assess the suitability of barley production areas across South America, considering both current conditions and future climate scenarios from the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC). The study utilized historical climate data along with projections from the CMIP6 IPSL-CM6A-LR model for the period 2021-2100. Several indices, such as evapotranspiration, were calculated, and factors like soil composition and topography were integrated into the classification of regions based on their agricultural potential. Critical variables in this assessment included temperature, precipitation, and water or thermal excess. The results showed that 6.59% of South America's territory is currently suitable for barley cultivation without additional irrigation, with these regions concentrated primarily in temperate southern areas. In contrast, 18.62% of the region is already unsuitable due to excessive heat. Projections under future climate scenarios indicate a shrinking of suitable areas, alongside an expansion of unsuitable regions. In the worst-case scenario, only 1.48% of the territory would remain viable for barley farming. These findings emphasize the crop's vulnerability to climate change, underscoring the urgency of developing agricultural adaptation strategies. The predicted contraction in suitable barley cultivation areas demonstrates the profound impact of climate change on agriculture and highlights the need for proactive measures to ensure sustainable barley production in South America.}, }
@article {pmid39498875, year = {2024}, author = {Adde, A and Külling, N and Rey, PL and Fopp, F and Brun, P and Broennimann, O and Lehmann, A and Petitpierre, B and Zimmermann, NE and Pellissier, L and Altermatt, F and Guisan, A}, title = {Projecting Untruncated Climate Change Effects on Species' Climate Suitability: Insights From an Alpine Country.}, journal = {Global change biology}, volume = {30}, number = {11}, pages = {e17557}, doi = {10.1111/gcb.17557}, pmid = {39498875}, issn = {1365-2486}, support = {//Board of the Swiss Federal Institutes of Technology/ ; //Swiss Federal Office for the Environment/ ; }, mesh = {*Climate Change ; *Biodiversity ; Switzerland ; Animals ; Conservation of Natural Resources ; }, abstract = {Climate projections for continental Europe indicate drier summers, increased annual precipitation, and less snowy winters, which are expected to cause shifts in species' distributions. Yet, most regions/countries currently lack comprehensive climate-driven biodiversity projections across taxonomic groups, challenging effective conservation efforts. To address this gap, our study evaluated the potential effects of climate change on the biodiversity of an alpine country of Europe, Switzerland. We used a state-of-the art species distribution modeling approach and species occurrence data that covered the climatic conditions encountered across the full species' ranges to help limiting niche truncation. We quantified the relationship between baseline climate and the spatial distribution of 7291 species from 12 main taxonomic groups and projected future climate suitability for three 30-year periods and two greenhouse gas concentration scenarios (RCP4.5 and 8.5). Our results indicated important effects of projected climate changes on species' climate suitability, with responses varying by the taxonomic and conservation status group. The percentage of species facing major changes in climate suitability was higher under RCP8.5 (68%) compared to RCP4.5 (66%). By the end of the century, decreases in climate suitability were projected for 3000 species under RCP8.5 and 1758 species under RCP4.5. The most affected groups under RCP8.5 were molluscs, algae, and amphibians, while it was molluscs, birds, and vascular plants under RCP4.5. Spatially, by 2070-2099, we projected an overall decrease in climate suitability for 39% of the cells in the study area under RCP8.5 and 10% under RCP4.5, while projecting an increase for 50% of the cells under RCP8.5 and 73% under RCP4.5. The most consistent geographical shifts were upward, southward, and eastward. We found that the coverage of high climate suitability cells by protected areas was expected to increase. Our models and maps provide guidance for spatial conservation planning by pointing out future climate-suitable areas for biodiversity.}, }
@article {pmid39498600, year = {2024}, author = {Castellani, P and Ferronato, N and Barbieri, J and Menya, E and Carnevale Miino, M and Torretta, V}, title = {Solid waste management in Ugandan developing cities: Material flow analysis and sustainable practices for reducing the global warming potential.}, journal = {Waste management &amp; research : the journal of the International Solid Wastes and Public Cleansing Association, ISWA}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {734242X241291940}, doi = {10.1177/0734242X241291940}, pmid = {39498600}, issn = {1096-3669}, abstract = {The introduction of appropriate solid waste management (SWM) strategies can foster the mitigation of waste open dumping and burning in low-income developing cities. In this work, the SWM system in Gulu (Uganda) has been studied, and a material flow analysis, also of informal flows of waste, has been carried out. Moreover, the effectiveness of the SWM system of St. Mary's Lacor Hospital in Gulu was evaluated. Waste has been characterized and a material flow analysis allowed to highlight the difference with the current situation in the remaining part of Gulu. The sustainable practices already implemented in the hospital compound were studied to be replicated in Gulu to mitigate SWM impact in terms of global warming potential. Inadequate financial resources pose a hurdle for Gulu municipality in managing municipal solid waste (MSW) effectively. The SWM system of the hospital demonstrated both financial and managerial competence, paving the way to promote waste recycling actions acting as a hub for fostering sustainable and health-conscious valourization technologies, while discouraging waste open burning and dumping. This study estimated that the total CO2-eq emissions from open dumping and open burning avoided in 2030-2050, if Gulu would appropriately dispose of MSW by 2030, are equal to about 17,000 metric tonnes per year (t year[-1]). This work suggests appropriate strategies to mitigate waste open burning in low-middle income countries. The results can be helpful for waste management planners and practitioners providing important information for the use of appropriate technologies in low-middle income developing cities.}, }
@article {pmid39498402, year = {2024}, author = {Ji, JS}, title = {China's health national adaptation plan for climate change: action framework 2024-2030.}, journal = {The Lancet regional health. Western Pacific}, volume = {52}, number = {}, pages = {101227}, pmid = {39498402}, issn = {2666-6065}, }
@article {pmid39498200, year = {2024}, author = {Zhu, DP and Yang, L and Li, YH and Huang, P and Yao, B and Kong, Z and Xiang, Y}, title = {Predicting the Potential Distribution of the Endangered Pyrethrum tatsienense in China Using an Optimized Maxent Model Under Climate Change Scenarios.}, journal = {Ecology and evolution}, volume = {14}, number = {11}, pages = {e70503}, pmid = {39498200}, issn = {2045-7758}, abstract = {Climate change can significantly impact the ecological suitability and diversity of species. Pyrethrum tatsienense, a critically endangered species in China, requires a thorough understanding of its habitat distribution and the environmental factors that affect it in the context of climate change. The Maxent algorithm was used to examine the key factors influencing the distribution of P. tatsienense in China, using data from 127 species occurrences and environmental variables from the Last Interglacial (LIG), Last Glacial Maximum (LGM), Mid-Holocene (MH), current, and future scenarios. The Maxent model was optimized utilizing the R package ENMeval, providing the most accurate predictions for suitable habitats across various scenarios. Results show that suitable regions for P. tatsienense encompass approximately 15.02% (14.42 × 10[5] km[2]) of China, predominantly on the Qinghai-Tibetan Plateau. The mean UV-B of the highest month (UVB3: 39.7%), elevation (elev: 28.7%), and the warmest season of precipitation (Bio18: 17.4%) are the major limiting factors for suitable habitat. The optimal species distribution ranges are identified as > 7500 J m[-2] day[-1] for UVB3, 2700-5600 m for elev, and 150-480 mm for Bio18. Predictions for the historical climate indicate the presence of refugia at the junction of Sichuan, Tibet, and Qinghai. The MH predictions show an increase in climatic suitability for P. tatsienense compared to the LIG and LGM, with an expansion of suitable areas westward. Future climate change scenarios indicate that the potential suitable habitat for P. tatsienense is expected to increase with increasing radiative forcing, with higher latitude regions becoming new marginally suitable habitats. However, predicted environmental changes in western Tibet may drive the loss of highly suitable habitats in the future. These findings enhance our understanding of how environmental factors impact the habitat suitability of P. tatsienense and provide valuable insights for developing effective management and conservation strategies for this important species.}, }
@article {pmid39498197, year = {2024}, author = {Liu, Y and Chen, L}, title = {Predicting the Impact of Climate Change on Corylus Species Distribution in China: Integrating Climatic, Topographic, and Anthropogenic Factors.}, journal = {Ecology and evolution}, volume = {14}, number = {11}, pages = {e70528}, pmid = {39498197}, issn = {2045-7758}, abstract = {This study investigates the impact of climate change on the distribution of Corylus species in China using the MaxEnt model. Key environmental variables, such as Bio6 (mean temperature of the coldest month) and human footprint, emerged as significant determinants of habitat suitability. The study reveals substantial shifts in suitable habitats due to global warming and increased precipitation, with notable expansion towards higher latitudes. Species like Corylus heterophylla Fisch. ex Bess. and Corylus mandshurica Maxim. demonstrate resilience in extreme conditions, highlighting the importance of specific ecological traits for conservation. Future projections under various SSP scenarios predict continued habitat expansion, emphasizing the need for targeted conservation strategies to address the critical role of human activities. This research highlights the complex interplay between climatic, topographic, and anthropogenic factors in shaping Corylus habitats, advocating for integrated adaptive management approaches to ensure their sustainability amid ongoing climate change.}, }
@article {pmid39497286, year = {2024}, author = {Corbin, JPM and Best, RJ and Garthwaite, IJ and Cooper, HF and Doughty, CE and Gehring, CA and Hultine, KR and Allan, GJ and Whitham, TG}, title = {Hyperspectral Leaf Reflectance Detects Interactive Genetic and Environmental Effects on Tree Phenotypes, Enabling Large-Scale Monitoring and Restoration Planning Under Climate Change.}, journal = {Plant, cell &amp; environment}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, doi = {10.1111/pce.15263}, pmid = {39497286}, issn = {1365-3040}, support = {DEB-1914433//National Science Foundation/ ; DEB-1340852//National Science Foundation/ ; DEB-1340856//National Science Foundation/ ; DEB-2017877//National Science Foundation/ ; DEB-2017895//National Science Foundation/ ; DBI-1126840//National Science Foundation/ ; }, abstract = {Plants respond to rapid environmental change in ways that depend on both their genetic identity and their phenotypic plasticity, impacting their survival as well as associated ecosystems. However, genetic and environmental effects on phenotype are difficult to quantify across large spatial scales and through time. Leaf hyperspectral reflectance offers a potentially robust approach to map these effects from local to landscape levels. Using a handheld field spectrometer, we analyzed leaf-level hyperspectral reflectance of the foundation tree species Populus fremontii in wild populations and in three 6-year-old experimental common gardens spanning a steep climatic gradient. First, we show that genetic variation among populations and among clonal genotypes is detectable with leaf spectra, using both multivariate and univariate approaches. Spectra predicted population identity with 100% accuracy among trees in the wild, 87%-98% accuracy within a common garden, and 86% accuracy across different environments. Multiple spectral indices of plant health had significant heritability, with genotype accounting for 10%-23% of spectral variation within populations and 14%-48% of the variation across all populations. Second, we found gene by environment interactions leading to population-specific shifts in the spectral phenotype across common garden environments. Spectral indices indicate that genetically divergent populations made unique adjustments to their chlorophyll and water content in response to the same environmental stresses, so that detecting genetic identity is critical to predicting tree response to change. Third, spectral indicators of greenness and photosynthetic efficiency decreased when populations were transferred to growing environments with higher mean annual maximum temperatures relative to home conditions. This result suggests altered physiological strategies further from the conditions to which plants are locally adapted. Transfers to cooler environments had fewer negative effects, demonstrating that plant spectra show directionality in plant performance adjustments. Thus, leaf reflectance data can detect both local adaptation and plastic shifts in plant physiology, informing strategic restoration and conservation decisions by enabling high resolution tracking of genetic and phenotypic changes in response to climate change.}, }
@article {pmid39493443, year = {2024}, author = {Thompson, EJ and Alexander, SE and Moneghetti, K and Howden, EJ}, title = {The interplay of climate change and physical activity: Implications for cardiovascular health.}, journal = {American heart journal plus : cardiology research and practice}, volume = {47}, number = {}, pages = {100474}, pmid = {39493443}, issn = {2666-6022}, abstract = {Cardiovascular disease (CVD) is one of the top contributors to global disease burden. Meeting the physical activity guidelines can effectively control and prevent several CVD risk factors, including obesity, hypertension and diabetes mellitus. The effects of climate change are multifactorial and have direct impacts on cardiovascular health. Increasing ambient temperatures, worsening air and water quality and urbanisation and loss of greenspace will also have indirect effects of cardiovascular health by impacting the ability and opportunity to participate in physical activity. A changing climate also has implications for large scale sporting events and policies regarding risk mitigation during exercise in hot climates. This review will discuss the impact of a changing climate on cardiovascular health and physical activity and the implications for the future of organised sport.}, }
@article {pmid39493426, year = {2024}, author = {Betro', S}, title = {From eco-anxiety to eco-hope: surviving the climate change threat.}, journal = {Frontiers in psychiatry}, volume = {15}, number = {}, pages = {1429571}, pmid = {39493426}, issn = {1664-0640}, abstract = {INTRODUCTION: As the average global temperature increases, the effects of climate change worsen, through effects on worsening extreme events as well as exacerbating political, economic, and social turmoil (wars, conflicts, and migrations). This poses an existential risk to the survival of humans and non-humans. These effects are visible due to the impact on people's mental health and psychophysical well-being. This article aims to explore the growing phenomenon of psychoterratic syndromes, with focus on the effect of eco-anxiety on mental health. Furthermore, the relationship between eco-anxiety and behavior response (both individual and collective) in the climate crisis era is outlined.<br><br>METHODS: A research with interdisciplinary approach was carried out for recent literature and articles relating to psychoterratic syndromes and the effects of climate change on mental health.<br><br>RESULTS: The article explores the effects of climate change on mental health, including various research on the onset of new emotions in response to psychological effects to climate change, called psychoterratic syndromes (such as eco-anxiety, climate anxiety, solastalgia, eco-grief). Among these, eco-anxiety is the most popular term used for describing how people feel about climate change. However, the paradigm that described eco-anxiety only as a pathological emotion needs to be changed.<br><br>DISCUSSION: The article emphasizes the positive effect of eco-emotions and the need to stimulate people to move from a state of anxiety, which could bring apathy and resignation, toward eco-hope. Eco-hope could be an adaptive coping mechanism in people and communities, which is key to preventing, mitigating, and protecting mental and planetary health.}, }
@article {pmid39492842, year = {2024}, author = {Ouarda, TBMJ and Masselot, P and Campagna, C and Gosselin, P and Lavigne, &#xc9; and St-Hilaire, A and Chebana, F and Valois, P}, title = {Prediction of heatwave related mortality magnitude, duration and frequency with climate variability and climate change information.}, journal = {Stochastic environmental research and risk assessment : research journal}, volume = {38}, number = {11}, pages = {4471-4483}, pmid = {39492842}, issn = {1436-3240}, abstract = {UNLABELLED: Given the link between climatic factors on one hand, such as climate change and low frequency climate oscillation indices, and the occurrence and magnitude of heat waves on the other hand, and given the impact of heat waves on mortality, these climatic factors could provide some predictive skill for mortality. We propose a new model, the Mortality-Duration-Frequency (MDF) relationship, to relate the intensity of an extreme summer mortality event to its duration and frequency. The MDF model takes into account the non-stationarities observed in the mortality data through covariates by integrating information concerning climate change through the time trend and climate variability through climate oscillation indices. The proposed approach was applied to all-cause mortality data from 1983 to 2018 in the metropolitan regions of Quebec and Montreal in eastern Canada. In all cases, models introducing covariates lead to a substantial improvement in the goodness-of-fit in comparison to stationary models without covariates. Climate change signal is more important than climate variability signal in explaining maximum summer mortality. However, climate indices successfully explain a part of the interannual variability in the maximum summer mortality. Overall, the best models are obtained with the time trend and the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) used as covariates. No country has yet integrated teleconnection information in their heat-health watch and warning systems or adaptation plans. MDF modeling has the potential to be useful to public health managers for the planning and management of health services. It allows predicting future MDF curves for adaptive management using the values of the covariates.<br><br>SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION: The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1007/s00477-024-02813-0.}, }
@article {pmid39492632, year = {2024}, author = {Booth, EJ and Brauer, CJ and Sandoval-Castillo, J and Harrisson, K and Rourke, ML and Attard, CRM and Gilligan, DM and Tonkin, Z and Thiem, JD and Unmack, PJ and Zampatti, B and Beheregaray, LB}, title = {Genomic Vulnerability to Climate Change of an Australian Migratory Freshwater Fish, the Golden Perch (Macquaria ambigua).}, journal = {Molecular ecology}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {e17570}, doi = {10.1111/mec.17570}, pmid = {39492632}, issn = {1365-294X}, support = {DP150102903//Australian Research Council/ ; DP190102533//Australian Research Council/ ; FT130101068//Australian Research Council/ ; LP0667952//Australian Research Council/ ; DE190100636//Australian Research Council/ ; }, abstract = {Genomic vulnerability is a measure of how much evolutionary change is required for a population to maintain optimal genotype-environment associations under projected climates. Aquatic species, and in particular migratory ectotherms, are largely underrepresented in studies of genomic vulnerability. Such species might be well equipped for tracking suitable habitat and spreading diversity that could promote adaptation to future climates. We characterised range-wide genomic diversity and genomic vulnerability in the migratory and fisheries-important golden perch (Macquaria ambigua) from Australia's expansive Murray-Darling Basin (MDB). The MDB has a steep hydroclimatic gradient and is one of the world's most variable regions in terms of climate and streamflow. Golden perch are threatened by fragmentation and obstruction of waterways, alteration of flow regimes, and a progressively hotter and drying climate. We gathered a genomic dataset of 1049 individuals from 186 MDB localities. Despite high range-wide gene flow, golden perch in the warmer, northern catchments had higher predicted vulnerability than those in the cooler, southern catchments. A new cross-validation approach showed that these predictions were insensitive to the exclusion of individual catchments. The results raise concern for populations at warm range edges, which may already be close to their thermal limits. However, a population with functional variants beneficial for climate adaptation found in the most arid and hydrologically variable catchment was predicted to be less vulnerable. Native fish management plans, such as captive breeding and stocking, should consider spatial variation in genomic vulnerability to improve conservation outcomes under climate change, even for dispersive species with high connectivity.}, }
@article {pmid39492005, year = {2023}, author = {Hadley, K and Talbott, J and Reddy, S and Wheat, S}, title = {Impacts of climate change on food security and resulting perinatal health impacts.}, journal = {Seminars in perinatology}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {151842}, doi = {10.1016/j.semperi.2023.151842}, pmid = {39492005}, issn = {1558-075X}, abstract = {Climate change's impact on global food security is a pressing concern with profound consequences. Climate change disrupts the global food system through a number of mechanisms including extreme weather events, rising food prices, and compromised food quality. In this article, we explore the effect of climate change on food security and the resulting health impacts of poor nutrition on pregnant women and infants in the perinatal period. Inadequate nutrition during pregnancy raises the risk of vitamin deficiencies, obstetric complications, maternal mortality, and infant malnutrition. Climate change exacerbates these challenges and perpetuates intergenerational cycles of poor nutrition. Addressing these issues requires traditional approaches to combating the climate impacts on general food security as well as specific approaches to bridge the food security gender gap. Empowering women as key stakeholders is crucial for overcoming the complex barriers to food insecurity caused by climate change, as well as protecting the well-being of vulnerable populations during the perinatal period.}, }
@article {pmid39490022, year = {2024}, author = {Xu, W and Rhemtulla, JM and Luo, D and Wang, T}, title = {Common drivers shaping niche distribution and climate change responses of one hundred tree species.}, journal = {Journal of environmental management}, volume = {370}, number = {}, pages = {123074}, doi = {10.1016/j.jenvman.2024.123074}, pmid = {39490022}, issn = {1095-8630}, abstract = {Climate change is increasingly contributing to climatic mismatches, in which habitat suitability changes outpace the dispersal abilities of species. Climate niche models (CNM) have been widely used to assess such impacts on tree species. However, most studies have focused on either a single or a limited number of species, or have employed a fixed set of climate variables for multiple species. These limitations are largely due to the constraints of data availability, the complexity of the modeling algorithms, and integration approaches for the projections of diverse species. Therefore, whether specific climatic drivers determine the climatic niches of multiple tree species remains unclear. In this study, CNMs were developed for 100 economically and ecologically important tree species in China and were used to project their future distribution individually and collectively. Continentality was the predominant climate variable, affecting 71 species, followed by seasonal precipitation, which also significantly influenced over 50 species. Of the 100 tree species, the climate niche extent was projected to expand for 29 ("winners"), contract for 36 ("losers"), be stable for 27, and fluctuate for the remaining eight species. Principal component analysis showed that winners and losers were differentiated by geographic variables and the top five climatic variables, however, not by species type (deciduous vs. evergreen or conifer vs. broadleaf). The regions with the highest species richness were mainly distributed in the Hengduan Mountains, a global biodiversity hotspot, and were predicted to increase from 5.2% to 7.5% of the total area. Areas with low species richness were projected to increase from 33.0% to 42.4%. Significant shifts in species composition were anticipated in these biodiversity-rich areas, suggesting potential disruption owing to species reshuffling. This study highlights the urgent need for proactive forest management and conservation strategies to address the impacts of climate change on tree species and preserve ecological functions by mitigating climatic mismatches. In addition, this study establishes a framework to identify the common environmental drivers affecting niche distribution and evaluates the collective patterns of multiple tree species, thereby providing a scientific reference for enhanced forestry management and climate change mitigation.}, }
@article {pmid39489625, year = {2024}, author = {Siegrist, M and Berthold, A}, title = {The lasting effect of the Romantic view of nature: How it influences perceptions of risk and the support of symbolic actions against climate change.}, journal = {Risk analysis : an official publication of the Society for Risk Analysis}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, doi = {10.1111/risa.17672}, pmid = {39489625}, issn = {1539-6924}, abstract = {Culture can have a major impact on how we perceive different hazards. In the Romantic period, nature was described and portrayed as mysterious and benevolent. A deep connection to nature was perceived as important. We proposed that this romantic view would be positively related to people's risk perceptions of man-made hazards and, more specifically, to concerns about climate change. Further, we hypothesized that the Romantic perception of nature leads to a biased perception of natural hazards and that the moral component of action is of particular importance above and beyond the mere efficacy of the action. We conducted an online survey in Germany (N = 531), a country where Romanticism had a very widespread influence. The study shows that individuals with a Romantic view of nature perceived greater risks associated with climate change than those without such a view. In addition, those with a Romantic view of nature were more likely to support measures to reduce the risks of climate change, even when it is said that such measures are not effective. Finally, the study found a significantly higher positive correlation between Romantic views of nature and risk perceptions of man-made versus natural hazards. The results suggest that ideas developed during the Romantic era continue to influence hazard perception in Germany.}, }
@article {pmid39488541, year = {2024}, author = {Minev-Benzecry, S and Daru, BH}, title = {Climate change alters the future of natural floristic regions of deep evolutionary origins.}, journal = {Nature communications}, volume = {15}, number = {1}, pages = {9474}, pmid = {39488541}, issn = {2041-1723}, support = {2345994//National Science Foundation (NSF)/ ; 2416314//National Science Foundation (NSF)/ ; }, mesh = {*Climate Change ; *Biodiversity ; *Phylogeny ; *Biological Evolution ; Plants/genetics ; Phylogeography ; }, abstract = {Biogeographic regions reflect the organization of biotas over long evolutionary timescales but face alterations from recent anthropogenic climate change. Here, we model species distributions for 189,269 vascular plant species of the world under present and future climates and use this data to generate biogeographic regions based on phylogenetic dissimilarity. Our analysis reveals declines in phylogenetic beta diversity for years 2040 to 2100, leading to a future homogenization of biogeographic regions. While some biogeographic boundaries will persist, climate change will alter boundaries separating biogeographic realms. Such boundary alterations will be determined by altitude variation, heterogeneity of temperature seasonality, and past climate velocity. Our findings suggest that human activities may now surpass the geological forces that shaped floristic regions over millions of years, calling for the mitigation of climate impacts to meet international biodiversity targets.}, }
@article {pmid39488335, year = {2024}, author = {Corrêa, MP}, title = {Heatwaves, biodiversity and health in times of climate change.}, journal = {Jornal de pediatria}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, doi = {10.1016/j.jped.2024.10.002}, pmid = {39488335}, issn = {1678-4782}, abstract = {OBJECTIVES: This article discusses heatwaves (HWs), their definitions, and increasing frequencies associated with climate change, as well as their effects on human health, especially on children and vulnerable groups. It emphasizes the need for interdisciplinary studies to better understand the effects of HWs and preventive actions to mitigate the effects caused by this phenomenon.<br><br>DATA SOURCE: The data were obtained from recent studies, conducted in Brazil and abroad, on the impacts of HWs. The figures were attained with data provided by the Climate Change Knowledge Portal.<br><br>DATA SUMMARY: HWs are periods of extreme heat, modulated by climate phenomena such as El Ni&#xf1;o and the Pacific Decadal Oscillations. The frequency and intensity of HWs have increased since the 1950s, driven by climate change. HWs affect public health by increasing the risk of mortality from respiratory and cardiovascular diseases. Children are more vulnerable to problems such as fever caused by heatstroke, respiratory and kidney infections, as well as risks such as sudden infant death syndrome. Almost half of the HW episodes observed in South America in this century occurred in Brazil, mainly in socioeconomically vulnerable regions.<br><br>CONCLUSIONS: The increase in the number of HWs is a direct consequence of climate change and has severe impacts on public health and biodiversity. Vulnerable groups suffer more from these phenomena, and social inequalities aggravate the problems. It is essential to promote awareness, implement effective public policies and encourage interdisciplinary research to mitigate the effects of HWs on society.}, }
@article {pmid39488222, year = {2024}, author = {Romanello, M and Walawender, M and Hsu, SC and Moskeland, A and Palmeiro-Silva, Y and Scamman, D and Ali, Z and Ameli, N and Angelova, D and Ayeb-Karlsson, S and Basart, S and Beagley, J and Beggs, PJ and Blanco-Villafuerte, L and Cai, W and Callaghan, M and Campbell-Lendrum, D and Chambers, JD and Chicmana-Zapata, V and Chu, L and Cross, TJ and van Daalen, KR and Dalin, C and Dasandi, N and Dasgupta, S and Davies, M and Dubrow, R and Eckelman, MJ and Ford, JD and Freyberg, C and Gasparyan, O and Gordon-Strachan, G and Grubb, M and Gunther, SH and Hamilton, I and Hang, Y and Hänninen, R and Hartinger, S and He, K and Heidecke, J and Hess, JJ and Jamart, L and Jankin, S and Jatkar, H and Jay, O and Kelman, I and Kennard, H and Kiesewetter, G and Kinney, P and Kniveton, D and Kouznetsov, R and Lampard, P and Lee, JKW and Lemke, B and Li, B and Liu, Y and Liu, Z and Llabrés-Brustenga, A and Lott, M and Lowe, R and Martinez-Urtaza, J and Maslin, M and McAllister, L and McMichael, C and Mi, Z and Milner, J and Minor, K and Minx, J and Mohajeri, N and Momen, NC and Moradi-Lakeh, M and Morrisey, K and Munzert, S and Murray, KA and Obradovich, N and O'Hare, MB and Oliveira, C and Oreszczyn, T and Otto, M and Owfi, F and Pearman, OL and Pega, F and Perishing, AJ and Pinho-Gomes, AC and Ponmattam, J and Rabbaniha, M and Rickman, J and Robinson, E and Rocklöv, J and Rojas-Rueda, D and Salas, RN and Semenza, JC and Sherman, JD and Shumake-Guillemot, J and Singh, P and Sjödin, H and Slater, J and Sofiev, M and Sorensen, C and Springmann, M and Stalhandske, Z and Stowell, JD and Tabatabaei, M and Taylor, J and Tong, D and Tonne, C and Treskova, M and Trinanes, JA and Uppstu, A and Wagner, F and Warnecke, L and Whitcombe, H and Xian, P and Zavaleta-Cortijo, C and Zhang, C and Zhang, R and Zhang, S and Zhang, Y and Zhu, Q and Gong, P and Montgomery, H and Costello, A}, title = {The 2024 report of the Lancet Countdown on health and climate change: facing record-breaking threats from delayed action.}, journal = {Lancet (London, England)}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, doi = {10.1016/S0140-6736(24)01822-1}, pmid = {39488222}, issn = {1474-547X}, }
@article {pmid39492214, year = {2022}, author = {Locke, H and Bidle, KD and Thamatrakoln, K and Johns, CT and Bonachela, JA and Ferrell, BD and Wommack, KE}, title = {Marine viruses and climate change: Virioplankton, the carbon cycle, and our future ocean.}, journal = {Advances in virus research}, volume = {114}, number = {}, pages = {67-146}, doi = {10.1016/bs.aivir.2022.09.001}, pmid = {39492214}, issn = {1557-8399}, abstract = {Interactions between marine viruses and microbes are a critical part of the oceanic carbon cycle. The impacts of virus-host interactions range from short-term disruptions in the mobility of microbial biomass carbon to higher trophic levels through cell lysis (i.e., the viral shunt) to long-term reallocation of microbial biomass carbon to the deep sea through accelerating the biological pump (i.e., the viral shuttle). The biogeochemical backdrop of the ocean-the physical, chemical, and biological landscape-influences the likelihood of both virus-host interactions and particle formation, and the fate and flow of carbon. As climate change reshapes the oceanic landscape through large-scale shifts in temperature, circulation, stratification, and acidification, virus-mediated carbon flux is likely to shift in response. Dynamics in the directionality and magnitude of changes in how, where, and when viruses mediate the recycling or storage of microbial biomass carbon is largely unknown. Integrating viral infection dynamics data obtained from experimental models and field systems, with particle motion microphysics and global observations of oceanic biogeochemistry, into improved ecosystem models will enable viral oceanographers to better predict the role of viruses in marine carbon cycling in the future ocean.}, }
@article {pmid39492213, year = {2022}, author = {Fay, RL and Keyel, AC and Ciota, AT}, title = {West Nile virus and climate change.}, journal = {Advances in virus research}, volume = {114}, number = {}, pages = {147-193}, doi = {10.1016/bs.aivir.2022.08.002}, pmid = {39492213}, issn = {1557-8399}, abstract = {West Nile virus (WNV) is a mosquito-borne flavivirus with a global distribution that is maintained in an enzootic cycle between Culex species mosquitoes and avian hosts. Human infection, which occurs as a result of spillover from this cycle, is generally subclinical or results in a self-limiting febrile illness. Central nervous system infection occurs in a minority of infections and can lead to long-term neurological complications and, rarely, death. WNV is the most prevalent arthropod-borne virus in the United States. Climate change can influence several aspects of WNV transmission including the vector, amplifying host, and virus. Climate change is broadly predicted to increase WNV distribution and risk across the globe, yet there will likely be significant regional variability and limitations to this effect. Increases in temperature can accelerate mosquito and pathogen development, drive increases in vector competence for WNV, and also alter mosquito life history traits including longevity, blood feeding behavior and fecundity. Precipitation, humidity and drought also impact WNV transmissibility. Alteration in avian distribution, diversity and phenology resulting from climate variation add additional complexity to these relationships. Here, we review WNV epidemiology, transmission, disease and genetics in the context of laboratory studies, field investigations, and infectious disease models under climate change. We summarize how mosquito genetics, microbial interactions, host dynamics, viral strain, population size, land use and climate account for distinct relationships that drive WNV activity and discuss how these dynamic and evolving interactions could shape WNV transmission and disease under climate change.}, }
@article {pmid39492212, year = {2022}, author = {Montes, N and Pagán, I}, title = {Challenges and opportunities for plant viruses under a climate change scenario.}, journal = {Advances in virus research}, volume = {114}, number = {}, pages = {1-66}, doi = {10.1016/bs.aivir.2022.08.001}, pmid = {39492212}, issn = {1557-8399}, abstract = {There is an increasing societal awareness on the enormous threat that climate change may pose for human, animal and plant welfare. Although direct effects due to exposure to heat, drought or elevated greenhouse gasses seem to be progressively more obvious, indirect effects remain debatable. A relevant aspect to be clarified relates to the relationship between altered environmental conditions and pathogen-induced diseases. In the particular case of plant viruses, it is still unclear whether climate change will primarily represent an opportunity for the emergence of new infections in previously uncolonized areas and hosts, or if it will mostly be a strong constrain reducing the impact of plant virus diseases and challenging the pathogen's adaptive capacity. This review focuses on current knowledge on the relationship between climate change and the outcome plant-virus interactions. We summarize work done on how this relationship modulates plant virus pathogenicity, between-host transmission (which include the triple interaction plant-virus-vector), ecology, evolution and management of the epidemics they cause. Considering these studies, we propose avenues for future research on this subject.}, }
@article {pmid39481105, year = {2024}, author = {Vivion, M and Trottier, V and Bouhêlier, &#xc8; and Goupil-Sormany, I and Diallo, T}, title = {Misinformation About Climate Change and Related Environmental Events on Social Media: Protocol for a Scoping Review.}, journal = {JMIR research protocols}, volume = {13}, number = {}, pages = {e59345}, doi = {10.2196/59345}, pmid = {39481105}, issn = {1929-0748}, mesh = {*Climate Change ; *Social Media ; Humans ; *Communication ; Canada ; Review Literature as Topic ; }, abstract = {BACKGROUND: Climate change and related environmental events represent major global challenges and are often accompanied by the spread of misinformation on social media. According to previous reviews, the dissemination of this misinformation on various social media platforms requires deeper exploration. Moreover, the findings reported applied mainly to the context of the United States, limiting the possibility of extending the results to other settings.<br><br>OBJECTIVE: This study aims to assess the current state of knowledge about misinformation concerning climate change and related environmental events that are circulating on social media. More specifically, we will explore past and current themes, actors, and sources, and the dissemination of this misinformation within the Canadian context.<br><br>METHODS: This scoping review protocol follows the methodological approach developed by Arksey and O'Malley and advanced by Levac, complemented by the PRISMA-ScR (Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic reviews and Meta-Analyses extension for Scoping Reviews) checklist and the best practice guidance for the development of scoping review protocols. Following the identification of the research questions and assisted by a specialized librarian, we developed search strategies for selected bibliographic databases (MEDLINE, Embase, Web of Science, and GreenFILE) and for gray literature (Google and pertinent databases) searches. Bibliographic and gray literature will be searched to identify relevant publications. In total, 2 members of our team will use the review software Covidence (Veritas Health Innovation) to independently select publications to include in the review. Publications specifically addressing our research questions, peer-reviewed, evidence-based, and published from January 1, 2000, in the full-text version in English or French will be included. Data will be extracted from the included publications to chart, among other items, the years of publication, geographic areas, themes, actors, and sources of the climate change-related misinformation and conclusions reported. Our team will then synthesize the extracted data to articulate the current state of knowledge relating to our research inquiries.<br><br>RESULTS: The research questions were identified in January 2024. The search strategies were developed from January to March 2024 for MEDLINE, Embase, and Web of Science and in July 2024 for GreenFILE and gray literature. MEDLINE, Embase, and Web of Science searches were launched on March 26, 2024. The first of 2 rounds of selection of publications identified through these databases was achieved in April 2024.<br><br>CONCLUSIONS: This protocol will enable us to identify the evolution of themes, actors, and sources of misinformation regarding climate change and related environmental events on social media, including the latest platforms, and to potentially identify a context particular to Canada. As misinformation is known to undermine actions and public support in the fight against climate change, we intend to facilitate the targeting of efforts to combat misinformation related to climate change in an up-to-date and contextualized manner.<br><br>DERR1-10.2196/59345.}, }
@article {pmid39480628, year = {2024}, author = {Habibi, I and Achour, H and Bounaceur, F and Benaradj, A and Aulagnier, S}, title = {Predicting the future distribution of the Barbary ground squirrel (Atlantoxerus getulus) under climate change using niche overlap analysis and species distribution modeling.}, journal = {Environmental monitoring and assessment}, volume = {196}, number = {11}, pages = {1140}, pmid = {39480628}, issn = {1573-2959}, mesh = {Animals ; *Sciuridae ; *Climate Change ; *Ecosystem ; Morocco ; Algeria ; Environmental Monitoring/methods ; Spain ; Animal Distribution ; Conservation of Natural Resources ; Introduced Species ; }, abstract = {This study combines niche overlap analysis with species distribution modeling (SDM) to examine the niche dynamics of Atlantoxerus getulus, a ground squirrel native to Morocco and Algeria that has been introduced to the Canary Islands. We compiled 1272 records of A. getulus in its native and exotic ranges and five bioclimatic variables for present and future climate conditions for the years 2050 and 2070. We assessed the ecological niche of the species using exploratory and ordination analyses, followed by the prediction of its distribution using the SpatialMaxent model. Our results showed that the niches of A. getulus exhibited equivalence (p > 0.05) and significant similarity (p < 0.05) between the native and exotic ranges. No observed niche expansion in the exotic area is shown to be associated with complete niche stability. However, 90% of the niche in the Canary Islands remains unfilled, suggesting potential for further invasion. Our results highlighted habitat contractions ranging from 41% (SSP245-2050) to 60% (SSP585-2070), associated with a shift in the centroid of suitable habitat towards the Atlantic coast. These contractions are particularly severe in Algeria, where suitable habitats could disappear by 2050, contrasting with stable habitats maintained in the Canary Islands under all scenarios. Urgent habitat restoration in Algeria is crucial, including efforts to combat poaching. In Morocco, targeted in situ conservation is recommended, while in the Canary Islands, the focus should be on invasive species management and public awareness campaigns to prevent further spread.}, }
@article {pmid39485659, year = {2024}, author = {Ho, YS and Ouchi, A}, title = {Comments on "The economic impact of climate change: a bibliometric analysis of research hotspots and trends".}, journal = {Environmental science and pollution research international}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, pmid = {39485659}, issn = {1614-7499}, }
@article {pmid39485605, year = {2024}, author = {Elia, MR and Toygar, I and Tomlins, E and Bagcivan, G and Parsa, S and Ginex, PK}, title = {Climate change, climate disasters and oncology care: a descriptive global survey of oncology healthcare professionals.}, journal = {Supportive care in cancer : official journal of the Multinational Association of Supportive Care in Cancer}, volume = {32}, number = {11}, pages = {764}, pmid = {39485605}, issn = {1433-7339}, mesh = {Humans ; *Climate Change ; *Health Personnel/statistics &amp; numerical data/psychology ; Surveys and Questionnaires ; *Medical Oncology/statistics &amp; numerical data ; Male ; Female ; Disasters ; Neoplasms/therapy ; Adult ; Middle Aged ; Global Health ; Disaster Planning ; }, abstract = {PURPOSE: Climate disasters and climate change have implications for healthcare globally. As the number and intensity of climate disasters increase, it is important to understand the effects on healthcare. We conducted a global survey of oncology healthcare providers to identify awareness, experiences, and educational needs related to climate change.<br><br>METHODS: An existing climate and health survey was adapted to oncology. This IRB- approved, 30-item survey measured demographics, climate disaster awareness, effects on cancer care and educational needs. Healthcare professionals employed in oncology settings (practice, research, or academic) were eligible. The survey was disseminated via social media and professional organizations. Descriptive statistics were computed using SPSS.<br><br>RESULTS: 154 responses from 26 countries were received from nurses (56%), physicians (19%), and other healthcare professionals (25%). Common climate change-related events impacting oncology care were extreme heat (63.8%) and heavy rains (52.2%). Respondents reported their workplace has a disaster plan for climate-related weather events (50.4%) or has taken steps to prepare for a climate-related weather event (48.5%). Respondents were aware that the planet has warmed significantly (98.7%), that healthcare contributes to greenhouse gas emissions (98.6%) and reported wanting to learn more about how climate change affects cancer care (88.3%). Preferred educational modalities include webinars (69%), e-learning (55%), journal articles (48.3%), conferences (46.3%) and podcasts (38.9%).<br><br>CONCLUSIONS: This global survey is the first to identify the awareness, experiences, and educational needs of oncology healthcare professionals related to climate change and climate disasters. Healthcare providers are positioned to take leadership roles related to climate and health.}, }
@article {pmid39484957, year = {2024}, author = {Knowles-Bacon, M}, title = {Veterinary workplaces and climate change.}, journal = {The Veterinary record}, volume = {195}, number = {9}, pages = {392}, doi = {10.1002/vetr.4893}, pmid = {39484957}, issn = {2042-7670}, mesh = {*Climate Change ; Humans ; *Workplace ; United Kingdom ; Veterinary Medicine/organization &amp; administration ; Veterinarians/psychology ; Societies, Veterinary ; }, abstract = {BVA policy and public affairs manager Megan Knowles-Bacon introduces BVA's latest report, which explores how vet teams can help tackle climate change.}, }
@article {pmid39484699, year = {2024}, author = {Jiao, Y and Zhang, Y and Wang, X and Altshuler, I and Zhou, F and Fang, M and Rinnan, R and Chen, J and Wang, Z}, title = {Awakening: Potential Release of Dormant Chemicals from Thawing Permafrost Soils under Climate Change.}, journal = {Environmental science &amp; technology}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, doi = {10.1021/acs.est.4c06014}, pmid = {39484699}, issn = {1520-5851}, abstract = {Permafrost is a crucial part of the Earth's cryosphere. These millennia-old frozen soils not only are significant carbon reservoirs but also store a variety of chemicals. Accelerated permafrost thaw due to global warming leads to profound consequences such as infrastructure damage, hydrological changes, and, notably, environmental concerns from the release of various chemicals. In this perspective, we metaphorically term long-preserved substances as "dormant chemicals" that experience an "awakening" during permafrost thaw. We begin by providing a comprehensive overview and categorization of these chemicals and their potential transformations, utilizing a combination of field observations, laboratory studies, and modeling approaches to assess their environmental impacts. Following this, we put forward several perspectives on how to enhance the scientific understanding of their ensuing environmental impacts in the context of climate change. Ultimately, we advocate for broader research engagement in permafrost exploration and emphasize the need for extensive environmental chemical studies. This will significantly enhance our understanding of the consequences of permafrost thaw and its broader impact on other ecosystems under rapid climate warming.}, }
@article {pmid39483055, year = {2024}, author = {Annan, H and Baran, I and Litwin, S}, title = {Five I's of Climate Change and Child Health: A Framework for Pediatric Planetary Health Education.}, journal = {Pediatrics}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, doi = {10.1542/peds.2024-066064}, pmid = {39483055}, issn = {1098-4275}, }
@article {pmid39481911, year = {2024}, author = {Amoah, P and Oumarou Mahamane, AR and Byiringiro, MH and Mahula, NJ and Manneh, N and Oluwasegun, YR and Assfaw, AT and Mukiti, HM and Garba, AD and Chiemeke, FK and Bernard Ojuederie, O and Olasanmi, B}, title = {Genome editing in Sub-Saharan Africa: a game-changing strategy for climate change mitigation and sustainable agriculture.}, journal = {GM crops &amp; food}, volume = {15}, number = {1}, pages = {279-302}, doi = {10.1080/21645698.2024.2411767}, pmid = {39481911}, issn = {2164-5701}, mesh = {*Gene Editing/methods ; *Climate Change ; Africa South of the Sahara ; *Crops, Agricultural/genetics ; *Agriculture/methods ; *CRISPR-Cas Systems ; Plant Breeding/methods ; Plants, Genetically Modified/genetics ; Food Security ; }, abstract = {Sub-Saharan Africa's agricultural sector faces a multifaceted challenge due to climate change consisting of high temperatures, changing precipitation trends, alongside intensified pest and disease outbreaks. Conventional plant breeding methods have historically contributed to yield gains in Africa, and the intensifying demand for food security outpaces these improvements due to a confluence of factors, including rising urbanization, improved living standards, and population growth. To address escalating food demands amidst urbanization, rising living standards, and population growth, a paradigm shift toward more sustainable and innovative crop improvement strategies is imperative. Genome editing technologies offer a promising avenue for achieving sustained yield increases while bolstering resilience against escalating biotic and abiotic stresses associated with climate change. Clustered Regularly Interspaced Short Palindromic Repeats/CRISPR-associated protein (CRISPR/Cas) is unique due to its ubiquity, efficacy, alongside precision, making it a pivotal tool for Sub-Saharan African crop improvement. This review highlights the challenges and explores the prospect of gene editing to secure the region's future foods.}, }
@article {pmid39478602, year = {2024}, author = {Frantz, CM and Bushkin, L and O'Keefe, D}, title = {Evaluating the usefulness of Protection Motivation Theory for predicting climate change mitigation behavioral intentions among a US sample of climate change deniers and acknowledgers.}, journal = {BMC psychology}, volume = {12}, number = {1}, pages = {605}, pmid = {39478602}, issn = {2050-7283}, mesh = {Humans ; *Climate Change ; *Intention ; Male ; Female ; Adult ; *Motivation ; United States ; *Psychological Theory ; Young Adult ; Middle Aged ; }, abstract = {BACKGROUND: This paper summarizes data from 7 studies that used Protection Motivation Theory (PMT) to guide climate messaging with the goal of increasing climate-mitigating behavioral intentions. Together, the studies address 5 research questions. 1) Does PMT predict behavioral intentions in the context of climate change mitigation? 2) Does PMT work similarly for climate change deniers vs acknowledgers? 3) Are the effects of threat and efficacy additive or multiplicative? 4) Does adding measures of collective threat and efficacy improve the model accuracy for a collective problem like climate change? 5) Can threat and efficacy appraisals - and ultimately behavioral intentions - be shifted through climate messaging?<br><br>METHODS: Seven online experiments were conducted on US adults (N&#x2009;=&#x2009;3,761) between 2020 and 2022. Participants were randomly assigned to a control condition or to one of several experimental conditions designed to influence threat, efficacy, or both. Participants indicated their belief in climate change, ethnicity, gender, and political orientation. They completed measures of personal threat and efficacy, collective threat and efficacy, and behavioral intentions.<br><br>RESULTS: Multiple regressions, ANCOVAs, and effect sizes were used to evaluate our research questions. Consistent with PMT, threat and efficacy appraisals predicted climate mitigation behavioral intentions, even among those who denied climate change. Different interactions emerged for climate deniers and acknowledgers, suggesting that in this context threat and efficacy are not just additive in their effects (but these effects were small). Including measures of collective threat and efficacy only modestly improved the model. Finally, evidence that threat and efficacy appraisals can be shifted was weak and inconsistent; mitigation behavioral intentions were not reliably influenced by the messages tested.<br><br>CONCLUSIONS: PMT effectively predicts climate change mitigation behavioral intentions among US adults, whether they deny climate change or acknowledge it. Threat appraisals may be more impactful for deniers, while efficacy appraisals may be more impactful for acknowledgers. Including collective-level measures of threat and efficacy modestly improves model fit. Contrary to PMT research in other domains, threat and efficacy appraisals were not easily shifted under the conditions tested here, and increases did not reliably lead to increases in behavioral intentions.}, }
@article {pmid39477861, year = {2024}, author = {Devi, V and Fulekar, MH and Charles, B and Reddy, CS and Pathak, B}, title = {Predicting the habitat suitability and species richness of plants of Great Himalayan National Park under different climate change scenarios.}, journal = {Environmental monitoring and assessment}, volume = {196}, number = {11}, pages = {1136}, pmid = {39477861}, issn = {1573-2959}, mesh = {*Climate Change ; *Biodiversity ; *Ecosystem ; *Parks, Recreational ; *Plants ; India ; Conservation of Natural Resources ; Environmental Monitoring ; }, abstract = {This study elucidates the distribution of plants in Great Himalayan National Park (GHNP), India, in current and different future climate change scenarios. The distribution of plants and habitat suitability in GHNP due to climate change was analyzed by MaxEnt, species distribution model (SDM) algorithm. In this study, species presence records were retrieved through field survey and published literature. We have projected the distribution of 44 plant species using MaxEnt and tested whether GHNP is performing well in conserving the plant species. Initially, we have constructed a model for each species and created the habitat suitability map from average of ascii files and later we added the maps of all species in order to make binary map to show the species richness in the selected climate scenarios. The model was created using the HADGEM-2 global circulation model in 2050 and 2070 years by using climate change situations of RCP 2.6 and RCP 8.5. The area under curve (AUC) values in the final models of 44 plant species were in the range 0.70-0.97 that indicates statistically significant results. The model identified precipitation of driest month followed by altitude and annual mean temperature as most determining variables in the distribution of plants of GHNP in selected climate scenarios. In the present study, we found that overall suitable habitat increased for nine species, decreased for thirty-four, and unchanged for one plant species in terms of percent area change from current to future scenarios. So these nine species were found to be more adaptable towards changing climate than the other plant species in this study. The species richness was high in western and southwestern parts of GHNP in the current scenario, however under future climatic scenarios, species richness shows a decreasing trend. Based on our findings, it can be concluded that GHNP should be prioritized for conserving the plant species.}, }
@article {pmid39476548, year = {2024}, author = {Berg, A}, title = {Causal inference from high-dimensional static data in soil microbiota networks: Comment on "Topological change of soil microbiota networks for forest resilience under global warming" by Gong et al.}, journal = {Physics of life reviews}, volume = {51}, number = {}, pages = {281-282}, doi = {10.1016/j.plrev.2024.10.012}, pmid = {39476548}, issn = {1873-1457}, }
@article {pmid39471911, year = {2024}, author = {Pinto-Zevallos, DM and Blande, JD}, title = {Challenges of climate change and air pollution for volatile-mediated plant-parasitoid signalling.}, journal = {Current opinion in insect science}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {101290}, doi = {10.1016/j.cois.2024.101290}, pmid = {39471911}, issn = {2214-5753}, abstract = {Herbivore-induced plant volatiles (HIPVs) are reliable cues that parasitoids can use to locate host patches. Interactions mediated by plant volatile organic compounds (VOCs) are vulnerable to disturbance by predicted climate change and air pollution scenarios. Abiotic stress-induced VOCs may act as false signals to parasitoids. Air pollutants can disrupt signalling by degrading HIPVs at different rates and preventing the perception of olfactory signals by reducing the sensitivity of olfactory receptors or by occluding insect sensillae. As essential components of biological control programmes, efforts should be made to assess how different parasitoid species respond and adapt to HIPVs in predicted scenarios. Since providing parasitoid food sources is a promising practice for boosting biological control, parasitoid-flower interactions deserve attention.}, }
@article {pmid39469751, year = {2024}, author = {Leblanc, N and Légaré, AG and Diallo, T and Sasseville, M and Gadio, S and Lessard, L}, title = {Knowledge, Attitudes, and Perceptions of Quebec Nurses Relating to Climate Change in the Context of Their Practice with Children Aged 0 to 5 Years: A Cross-Sectional Descriptive Study.}, journal = {The Canadian journal of nursing research = Revue canadienne de recherche en sciences infirmieres}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {8445621241292171}, doi = {10.1177/08445621241292171}, pmid = {39469751}, issn = {1705-7051}, abstract = {STUDY BACKGROUND: Reducing children's vulnerability to climate change (CC) depends firstly on parents having the ability to adapt.<br><br>PURPOSE: The purpose of this study was to describe knowledge, attitudes, and perceptions of nurses in support of parents' ability to adapt to CC to protect the physical and psychosocial health of 0-5 year olds.<br><br>METHODS: A cross-sectional descriptive study was used. A total of 127 pediatric nurses from the province of Quebec completed an online questionnaire documenting nurses' knowledge, attitudes, and perceptions about CC.<br><br>RESULTS: A third of nurses have little or no knowledge of the health risks of CC for children, even though they consider it to be a major issue for children. Nurses perceive that parents don't generally consider their children to be among the most vulnerable to CC, trivialize their effects on their children's health, have little knowledge of the effects of CC mainly on their children's psychosocial health, know little about the means to use to protect them, and more readily seek help from family and friends to ensure their children's protection. Nurses affirm that they are responsible for discussing the health effects of CC with parents, introduce measures to reduce their effects, possess little knowledge and few skills for reducing their effects, and feel unprepared to deal with their effects in their practice.<br><br>CONCLUSIONS: Greater access to training on CC-related concepts is needed to increase nurses' knowledge. Nurses' perceptions must be validated with parents to promote optimal protection of children from CC.}, }
@article {pmid39469618, year = {2023}, author = {Viegas, S and Santos, JA and Kazmierczak, A and Assunção, R and Viegas, C and Martins, C}, title = {Training on the Impact of Climate Change on Public Health: Reflections and Lessons Learnt.}, journal = {Portuguese journal of public health}, volume = {41}, number = {3}, pages = {230-234}, pmid = {39469618}, issn = {2504-3145}, }
@article {pmid39468261, year = {2024}, author = {Tsiftsis, S and Štípková, Z and Rejmánek, M and Kindlmann, P}, title = {Predictions of species distributions based only on models estimating future climate change are not reliable.}, journal = {Scientific reports}, volume = {14}, number = {1}, pages = {25778}, pmid = {39468261}, issn = {2045-2322}, support = {L200872201//PPLZ Program/ ; }, abstract = {Changes in climate and land use are the most often mentioned factors responsible for the current decline in species diversity. To reduce the effect of these factors, we need reliable predictions of future species distributions. This is usually done by utilizing species distribution models (SDMs) based on expected climate. Here we explore the accuracy of such projections: we use orchid (Orchidaceae) recordings and environmental (mainly climatic) data from the years 1901-1950 in SDMs to predict maps of potential species distributions in 1980-2014. This should enable us to compare the predictions of species distributions in 1980-2014, based on records of species distribution in the years 1901-1950, with real data in the 1980-2014 period. We found that the predictions of the SDMs often differ from reality in this experiment. The results clearly indicate that SDM predictions of future species distributions as a reaction to climate change must be treated with caution.}, }
@article {pmid39468111, year = {2024}, author = {Al-Rawas, G and Nikoo, MR and Janbehsarayi, SFM and Hassani, MR and Imani, S and Niksokhan, MH and Nazari, R}, title = {Near future flash flood prediction in an arid region under climate change.}, journal = {Scientific reports}, volume = {14}, number = {1}, pages = {25887}, pmid = {39468111}, issn = {2045-2322}, support = {SR/DVC/CESR/22/01//Sultan Qaboos University/ ; }, abstract = {Flash floods represent a significant threat, triggering severe natural disasters and leading to extensive damage to properties and infrastructure, which in turn results in the loss of lives and significant economic damages. In this study, a comprehensive statistical approach was applied to future flood predictions in the coastal basin of North Al-Abatinah, Oman. In this context, the initial step involves analyzing eighteen General Circulation Models (GCMs) to identify the most suitable one. Subsequently, we assessed four CMIP6 scenarios for future rainfall analysis. Next, different Machine Learning (ML) algorithms were employed through H2O-AutoML to identify the best model for downscaling future rainfall predictions. Forty distribution functions were then fitted to the future daily rainfall, and the best-fit model was selected to project future Intensity-Duration-Frequency (IDF) curves. Finally, the Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) model was utilized with sub-daily time steps to make accurate flash flood predictions in the study area. The findings reveal that IITM-ESM is the most effective among GCM models. Additionally, the application of stacked ensemble ML model proved to be the most reliable in downscaling future rainfall. Furthermore, this study highlighted that floods entering urbanized areas could reach 20.33 and 20.70 m[[3]]/s under pessimistic scenarios during rainfall events with 100 and 200-year return periods, respectively. This hierarchical comprehensive approach provides reliable results by utilizing the most effective model at each step, offering in-depth insight into future flash flood prediction.}, }
@article {pmid39465289, year = {2024}, author = {Hansen, J}, title = {Public History: Infrastructure, Climate Change, and Radical Action.}, journal = {Technology and culture}, volume = {65}, number = {4}, pages = {1309-1321}, doi = {10.1353/tech.2024.a940471}, pmid = {39465289}, issn = {1097-3729}, mesh = {*Climate Change/history ; Humans ; *Motion Pictures/history ; History, 21st Century ; Technology/history ; United States ; }, abstract = {This essay reviews the 2022 American film How to Blow Up a Pipeline, examining its significance for historians of technology. The film highlights do-it-yourself technologies, the experiences of marginalized technology users, and the environmental consequences of infrastructures. Central to the discussion is the film's dystopian portrayal of infrastructure, which drives the characters to take extreme measures, such as the bombing of an oil pipeline, to raise awareness about climate change. While the film might seem to advocate for radical action, this review suggests that it offers historians an opportunity to engage with broader social issues and reflect on the methodological challenges within the history of technology.}, }
@article {pmid39469498, year = {2022}, author = {Viegas, S}, title = {Exposure Science in a Climate Change Scenario.}, journal = {Portuguese journal of public health}, volume = {40}, number = {1}, pages = {1-2}, pmid = {39469498}, issn = {2504-3145}, }
@article {pmid39465275, year = {2024}, author = {Muniz, AC and de Lemos-Filho, JP and Lovato, MB}, title = {Non-adaptedness and vulnerability to climate change threaten Plathymenia trees (Fabaceae) from the Cerrado and Atlantic Forest.}, journal = {Scientific reports}, volume = {14}, number = {1}, pages = {25611}, pmid = {39465275}, issn = {2045-2322}, mesh = {*Climate Change ; *Forests ; *Fabaceae/genetics ; Trees/genetics ; Adaptation, Physiological/genetics ; Ecosystem ; }, abstract = {Climate change is increasing species extinction risk. The ability of a species to cope with climate change can be quantified by projecting distribution models and by estimating the risk of non-adaptedness using genomic data. The Cerrado and the Atlantic Forest in Tropical South America are increasingly threatened by habitat loss and anthropogenic climate change. This work aims to evaluate the ecological and genomic vulnerability of Plathymenia taxa and its lineages, P. reticulata, a Cerrado species, and P. foliolosa, an Atlantic Forest species, to determine their current and future habitat suitability and the mismatch between current local adaptation with the expected climate changes. The species distribution models predicted a high range loss for the Plathymenia lineages. The genotype-environment association analyses showed that the Plathymenia lineages have populations adapted to different precipitation and temperature seasonality regimes. The genomic offset analyses predict a mismatch between local adaptations and future climate for the Plathymenia indicating a high risk of non-adaptedness, especially in the pessimistic scenario. Our results show an elevated extinction risk of the species due to climate change. We suggest reevaluating the extinction risk and management of the Plathymenia species separately based on their differences in vulnerability to climate change.}, }
@article {pmid39464979, year = {2024}, author = {Beri, D and Elkington, J and Moola, S and Bhaumik, S and Jagnoor, J}, title = {Impact of climate change on water-related physical events, consequent human migration, and burden of drowning in India: An evidence synthesis.}, journal = {Journal of family medicine and primary care}, volume = {13}, number = {9}, pages = {3552-3563}, pmid = {39464979}, issn = {2249-4863}, abstract = {INTRODUCTION: Disrupted weather patterns are associated with climate change. Between 2001 and 2018, nearly 74% of disasters were water-related, including floods and cyclones. Such water-related cataclysmic events increase the risk of drowning. We aimed to map evidence on the impact of climate change on water-related physical events, associated human migration, and drowning burden in India.<br><br>MATERIALS AND METHODS: We searched electronic databases, government reports, and relevant websites to map evidence on water-related physical events (including but not limited to sea-level rise, glacier bursts, lake bursts, floods, rainfall, cyclones, and droughts) and consequent human migration using narrative review approach, while drowning burden through scoping review approach. We summarized the results narratively.<br><br>RESULTS: Evidence from 48 studies and seven reports suggest that India will witness the greatest sea-level rise, significantly impacting poor coastal communities. An increase in droughts, cyclonic rainfall, storms, and floods, with increasing surface rainwater and streamflow water, due to melting glaciers is expected. Climate change-triggered migration is expected notably in northeast and south India, making farmers, drivers, street vendors, women, and youth most vulnerable. No direct evidence was identified on the impact of climate change, water-related disasters, meteorological events, or seasonal variations on drowning from India.<br><br>CONCLUSION: Our study highlights a significant gap in the availability of context-specific and localized data to improve disaster response and strengthen public health systems, especially for areas most vulnerable to climate change. There is an urgent need to generate new knowledge and understanding of climate change, water-related or meteorological events, and seasonal variations' impact on drowning burden as the level of risk remains unknown.}, }
@article {pmid39464280, year = {2024}, author = {Mao, X and Zheng, H and Luo, G and Liao, S and Wang, R and Tang, M and Chen, H}, title = {Climate change favors expansion of three Eucalyptus species in China.}, journal = {Frontiers in plant science}, volume = {15}, number = {}, pages = {1443134}, pmid = {39464280}, issn = {1664-462X}, abstract = {Eucalyptus has become one of the most widely planted species in tropical and subtropical regions in China, with important economic, ecological, and social values. However, it is currently unclear how climate change will affect different Eucalyptus species. Therefore, it is urgent to investigate the potential distribution and dynamics of Eucalyptus under current and future climate scenarios. In this study, we analyzed the potential distribution patterns of the three main Eucalyptus species (Eucalyptus grandis, Eucalyptus urophylla, and Eucalyptus tereticornis) under current and future climatic conditions (2041-2060 and 2061-2080) using the optimized MaxEnt model, which integrates a variety of environmental data including climate, topography, soil, and human influence. We also identified the main factors affecting the potential distributions of the three main Eucalyptus species. The model indicated that E. grandis exhibited heightened sensitivity to the mean temperature of the coldest quarter (7.0-20.0 °C) and annual mean temperature (11.9-24.2 °C), whereas E. urophylla displayed heightened sensitivity to precipitation of the warmest quarter (272-1694 mm) and annual precipitation (812-2624 mm). Conversely, E. tereticornis demonstrated heightened sensitivity to annual mean temperature (12.7-24.5 °C) and temperature seasonality (63.8-598.9). Under the current climate, E. tereticornis had the widest suitable distribution area (124.91 × 10[4] km[2]), followed by E. grandis (124.89 × 10[4] km[2]) and E. urophylla (119.81 × 10[4] km[2]). Under future climate change scenarios, the suitable ranges of E. grandis, E. urophylla and E. tereticornis will continue to expand. This study highlights the importance of climate change in Eucalyptus distribution and provides quantified potential distribution maps for three Eucalyptus species under current and future climate conditions in China. This research offers valuable scientific insights pertinent to the management and rational site selection for Eucalyptus plantations.}, }
@article {pmid39463739, year = {2024}, author = {Wang, Y and Yang, Y and Zhang, M}, title = {The influence of climate change on the potential distribution of Ageratum conyzoides in China.}, journal = {Ecology and evolution}, volume = {14}, number = {10}, pages = {e11513}, pmid = {39463739}, issn = {2045-7758}, abstract = {Ageratum conyzoides L., an invasive plant originating from South America, is characterized by rapid growth and strong ecological adaptability, posing a threat to China's ecosystems, agricultural industry, and biodiversity. In this study, we optimized the MaxEnt model using the ENMeval package and constructed an ensemble model using the Biomod2 package based on global geospatial distribution data of A. conyzoides and considering climate, soil, and topography factors. We simulated the potential suitable distribution of A. conyzoides in China at present and in the future (2041-2060, 2061-2080). Through multivariate environment similarity surface and most dissimilar variable analysis, we identified the main environmental variables influencing the distribution of A. conyzoides. Additionally, niche analysis elucidated temporal and spatial variations in A. conyzoides' climate niche. Our results demonstrate that the ensemble model, constructed from the top seven single models, outperforms the individual models in predicting the suitable habitat of A. conyzoides. The ensemble model achieved the true skill statistic (TSS) of 0.833 and the area under the subject curve (AUC) of 0.971, indicative of outstanding predictive performance. Presently, the suitable habitat of A. conyzoides in China primarily exists in the region between 18° and 28° N, covering approximately 1.47 million km[2]. The temperature annual range, precipitation of the wettest month, and mean temperature of the coldest quarter were identified as the primary environmental variables influencing its distribution, while soil and elevation variables had minor roles. Under future climate conditions, the suitable habitat of A. conyzoides is expected to expand northeastward, with the centroid of its habitat shifting northward as the climate warms. The migration speed of A. conyzoides is projected to increase with the degree of warming. Furthermore, the climate niche of A. conyzoides will undergo certain changes and may face both niche expansion and a decrease in niche overlap under different climate conditions.}, }
@article {pmid39461512, year = {2024}, author = {Adeyeri, OE and Folorunsho, AH and Adeliyi, TE and Ayegbusi, IK and Akinsanola, AA and Ndehedehe, CE and Ahmed, N and Babalola, TE}, title = {Climate change is intensifying rainfall erosivity and soil erosion in West Africa.}, journal = {The Science of the total environment}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {177174}, doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.177174}, pmid = {39461512}, issn = {1879-1026}, abstract = {Soil erosion is a critical environmental challenge with significant implications for agriculture, water quality, and ecosystem stability. Understanding its dynamics is essential for sustainable environmental management and societal welfare. Here, we analyze rainfall erosivity and erosion patterns across West Africa (WAF) during the historical (1982-2014), near future (2028-2060), and far future (2068-2100) periods under Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs 370 and 585). Using bias-corrected-downscaled (BCD) climate models validated against reference data, we ensure an accurate representation of rainfall-a key driver of erosivity (R-factor) and soil erosion. We compare Renard's approach and the Modified Fournier Index (MFI) to calculate the R-factor and note a strong correlation. However, Renard's method shows slightly lower accuracy in Sierra Leone, Guinea, and The Gambia, likely due to its inability to capture high-intensity, short-duration rainfall events. In contrast, the MFI, utilizing continuous rain gauge data, proves more reliable for these regions. We also attribute fluctuations in erosivity, such as those seen during the 2003 West Africa floods, to synoptic weather patterns influenced by multiple climate processes. Furthermore, our analysis reveals regions where future soil erosion could exceed 20 t/ha/yr due to climate change. Under the SSP 370 scenario, soil erosion in WAF is projected to rise by 14.84 % in the near future and 18.65 % in the far future, increasing further under SSP 585 to 19.86 % and 23.49 %, respectively. The most severe increases are expected in Benin and Nigeria, with Nigeria potentially facing a 66.41 % rise in erosion by the far future under SSP 585. These findings highlight the region's exposure to intensified climatic conditions and underscore the urgent need for targeted soil management and climate adaptation strategies to mitigate erosion's ecological and socioeconomic impacts.}, }
@article {pmid39460932, year = {2024}, author = {Alum, EU}, title = {Climate change and its impact on the bioactive compound profile of medicinal plants: implications for global health.}, journal = {Plant signaling &amp; behavior}, volume = {19}, number = {1}, pages = {2419683}, doi = {10.1080/15592324.2024.2419683}, pmid = {39460932}, issn = {1559-2324}, }
@article {pmid39460732, year = {2024}, author = {Zhang, FX and Li, HL and Wan, JZ and Wang, CJ}, title = {Identifying key monitoring areas for tree insect pest risks in China under climate change.}, journal = {Journal of economic entomology}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, doi = {10.1093/jee/toae215}, pmid = {39460732}, issn = {1938-291X}, support = {3190073//Fondecyt project/ ; }, abstract = {Climate change can exacerbate pest population growth, posing significant threats to ecosystem functions and services, social development, and food security. Risk assessment is a valuable tool for effective pest management that identifies potential pest expansion and ecosystem dispersal patterns. We applied a habitat suitability model coupled with priority protection planning software to determine key monitoring areas (KMA) for tree insect pest risks under climate change and used forest ecoregions and nature reserves to assess the ecological risk of insect pest invasion. Finally, we collated the prevention and control measures for reducing future pest invasions. The KMA for tree insect pests in our current and future climate is mainly concentrated in eastern and southern China. However, with climate change, the KMA gradually expands from southeastern to northeastern China. In the current and future climate scenarios, ecoregions requiring high monitoring levels were restricted to the eastern and southern coastal areas of China, and nature reserves requiring the highest monitoring levels were mainly distributed in southeastern China. Tree insect pest invasion assessment using ecoregions and nature reserves identified that future climates increase the risk of pest invasions in forest ecoregions and nature reserves, especially in northeastern China. The increased risk and severity of tree insect pest invasions require implementing monitoring and preventative measures in these areas. We effectively assessed the pest invasion risks using forest ecoregions and nature reserves under climate change. Our assessments suggest that monitoring and early prevention should focus on southeastern and northeastern China.}, }
@article {pmid39458873, year = {2024}, author = {Flores, A and Flores-Ortíz, CM and Dávila-Aranda, PD and Rodríguez-Arévalo, NI and Sampayo-Maldonado, S and Cabrera-Santos, D and Gianella, M and Ulian, T}, title = {The Germination Performance After Dormancy Breaking of Leucaena diversifolia (Schltdl.) Benth. Seeds in a Thermal Gradient and Its Distribution Under Climate Change Scenarios.}, journal = {Plants (Basel, Switzerland)}, volume = {13}, number = {20}, pages = {}, pmid = {39458873}, issn = {2223-7747}, support = {IG200323//Technological Research and Innovation Support Program (PAPIIT), UNAM/ ; }, abstract = {Climate change models predict temperature increases, which may affect germination, an important stage in the recruitment of individuals in agroecosystems. Therefore, it is crucial to conduct research on how temperature will impact the germination of multipurpose native species. Leucaena diversifolia (Schltdl.) Benth. is native to America and is commonly cultivated around the world due to having a high protein content in seeds, and their trees are used in agrosilvopastoral systems because they fix nitrogen and provide shade and cattle feed. However, climate change affects the critical phases of its life cycle and influences its growth, reproduction, phenology, and distribution. To assess the germination performance of Leucaena diversifolia under different temperatures throughout thermal times, we estimated germination variables and determined cardinal temperatures and thermal time; we also analysed germination and potential distribution under two climate change scenarios. We found significant variations in seed germination (78-98%) and differences in cardinal temperatures (Tb = 5.17 and 7.6 °C, To = 29.42 and 29.54 °C, and Tc = 39.45 and 39.76 °C). On the other hand, the sub-optimal and supra-optimal temperature values showed little differences: 51.34 and 55.57 °Cd. The models used showed variations in germination time for the analysed scenarios and the potential distribution. We confirm that the populations and distribution of L. diversifolia will be altered due to climate changes, but the species retains the ability to germinate under warmer conditions.}, }
@article {pmid39458826, year = {2024}, author = {Mir, R and Mircea, DM and Ruiz-González, MX and Brocal-Rubio, P and Boscaiu, M and Vicente, O}, title = {Cakile maritima: A Halophyte Model to Study Salt Tolerance Mechanisms and Potential Useful Crop for Sustainable Saline Agriculture in the Context of Climate Change.}, journal = {Plants (Basel, Switzerland)}, volume = {13}, number = {20}, pages = {}, pmid = {39458826}, issn = {2223-7747}, abstract = {Salinity is an increasing problem for agriculture. Most plant species tolerate low or, at best, moderate soil salinities. However, a small (<1%) proportion of species, termed halophytes, can survive and complete their life cycle in natural habitats with salinities equivalent to 200 mM NaCl or more. Cakile maritima is a succulent annual halophyte belonging to the Brassicaceae family; it is dispersed worldwide and mainly grows in foreshores. Cakile maritima growth is optimal under slight (i.e., 100 mM NaCl) saline conditions, measured by biomass and seed production. Higher salt concentrations, up to 500 mM NaCl, significantly impact its growth but do not compromise its survival. Cakile maritima alleviates sodium toxicity through different strategies, including anatomical and morphological adaptations, ion transport regulation, biosynthesis of osmolytes, and activation of antioxidative mechanisms. The species is potentially useful as a cash crop for the so-called biosaline agriculture due to its production of secondary metabolites of medical and nutritional interest and the high oil accumulation in its seeds. In this review, we highlight the relevance of this species as a model for studying the basic mechanisms of salt tolerance and for sustainable biosaline agriculture in the context of soil salination and climate change.}, }
@article {pmid39458793, year = {2024}, author = {Poudel, A and Adhikari, P and Adhikari, P and Choi, SH and Yun, JY and Lee, YH and Hong, SH}, title = {Predicting the Invasion Risk of the Highly Invasive Acacia mearnsii in Asia under Global Climate Change.}, journal = {Plants (Basel, Switzerland)}, volume = {13}, number = {20}, pages = {}, pmid = {39458793}, issn = {2223-7747}, support = {RS-2024-00400922//Ministry of Agriculture, Food and Rural Affairs/ ; }, abstract = {Acacia mearnsii, among the 100 worst invasive weeds worldwide, negatively impacts native biodiversity, agriculture, and natural ecosystems. Global climate change, characterized by rising temperatures and altered precipitation patterns, enhances the risk of A. mearnsii invasion in Asia, making it crucial to identify high-risk areas for effective management. This study performed species distribution modeling using the maximum entropy (MaxEnt) algorithm to predict the potential introduction and spread of A. mearnsii under various climate scenarios based on shared socio-economic pathways (SSP2-4.5 and SSP5-8.5). Currently, only 4.35% of Asia is invaded, with a high invasion risk identified in six countries, including Bhutan, Lebanon, and Taiwan, where more than 75% of their areas are threatened. Under future climate scenarios, 21 countries face invasion risk, among which 14 countries, such as Georgia, Laos, Republic of Korea, and Turkey, are at moderate to very high risk, potentially encompassing up to 87.89% of their territories. Conversely, Northern Asian countries exhibit minimal changes in invasion risk and are considered relatively safe from invasion. These findings underscore that climate change will exacerbate invasion risks across Asia, emphasizing the urgent need for robust management strategies, including stringent quarantine measures and control efforts, to mitigate the threat of A. mearnsii expansion.}, }
@article {pmid39455435, year = {2024}, author = {Casteli Figueiredo Gallardo, AL and Bond, A}, title = {A Nature-based Solutions Framework for Embedding Climate Change Mitigation and Adaptation into Urban Land Use Plans through Strategic Environmental Assessment (SEA).}, journal = {Environmental management}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, pmid = {39455435}, issn = {1432-1009}, support = {2023/14.497-6//Funda&#xe7;&#xe3;o de Amparo &#xe0; Pesquisa do Estado de S&#xe3;o Paulo/ ; }, abstract = {Climate change impacts comprise a particular challenge for authorities when reconciling the implications of land use planning decisions. Whilst Strategic Environmental Assessment (SEA) is typically applied to the development of urban land use plans, the selection of mitigation and adaptation strategies for climate change impacts can have knock-on effects on nature. However, Nature-based Solutions (NbSs) could provide an innovative means of addressing climate change mitigation and adaptation without these knock-on effects. The main aim of this research is therefore to propose a conceptual framework for embedding NbSs into the main stages of the SEA process to potentially enhance climate change mitigation and adaptation in urban land use planning. This is achieved through a systematic literature review of academic and grey literature sources, with subsequent content analysis. This study demonstrates the value of matching these manifold NbS approaches to climate change impacts potentially addressed in SEA process stages and suggests how this might be achieved in practice focusing on urban land use plans.}, }
@article {pmid39455129, year = {2024}, author = {An, M and Wei, YQ and He, WJ and Huang, J and Fang, X and Song, MF and Wang, B}, title = {[Impact of Climate Change and Human Activities on the Ecological Sensitivity of the Yangtze River Economic Belt].}, journal = {Huan jing ke xue= Huanjing kexue}, volume = {45}, number = {10}, pages = {5833-5843}, doi = {10.13227/j.hjkx.202311071}, pmid = {39455129}, issn = {0250-3301}, mesh = {China ; *Climate Change ; *Rivers ; *Ecosystem ; Human Activities ; Conservation of Natural Resources ; Humans ; Environmental Monitoring ; Economic Development ; }, abstract = {The increasing climate change and human activities exert their influence on the ecological sensitivity of the region individually and interactively. Therefore, a clear understanding of the impact of climate change and human activities on ecological sensitivity will enhance the resilience of the regional ecological environment and the level of sustainable development. This study took the Yangtze River Economic Belt, the first demonstration zone of China's ecological civilization construction, as the research object. Based on the meteorological, remote sensing, and statistical data of 130 cities in the whole region from 2001 to 2021, an index system of climate change, human activities, and ecological sensitivity was constructed. Response surface methodology （RSM） was used to explore the effects of climate and anthropogenic single factors and interactions on the ecological sensitivity in each region. The results showed that： ① The ecological sensitivity value of the belt fluctuated and rose in time, rising by 2.2% from 2001 to 2021. In terms of space, the overall spatial distribution was "high in the north and low in the south." In 2021, the proportion of severely and extremely sensitive cities in the Yangtze River Economic Belt reached nearly 50%. ② For a single factor, the distribution of the effect of the same factor had certain characteristics： The areas where the single factors of economic development, rainfall, and temperature had a positive impact on the ecological sensitivity were concentrated in the areas with higher or faster economic development, along and south of the Yangtze River. For the interaction factors, the effect of 78.6% of the factors on the ecological sensitivity was negative interaction, and the change of one factor level would change the direction of the effect of the other factor on the regional sensitivity. ③ The comprehensive ecological management area of the Yangtze River Economic Belt was divided based on the ecological sensitivity and climate sensitivity. The governance areas that needed priority improvement were clustered within the three urban agglomerations and their northern adjacent areas, which meant that the ecological sensitivity and climate sensitivity of a city had spillover effects. This study is expected to provide inspiration for the economic zone and even the national and global efforts in the field of regional ecological governance.}, }
@article {pmid39454798, year = {2024}, author = {Yang, F and Matthew, C and Pu, X and Li, X and Nan, Z}, title = {Patterns of foliar fungal diseases and the effects on aboveground biomass in alpine meadow under simulated climate change.}, journal = {The Science of the total environment}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {177026}, doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.177026}, pmid = {39454798}, issn = {1879-1026}, }
@article {pmid39452615, year = {2024}, author = {Duijvestein, M and Sidhu, R and Zimmermann, K and Carrington, EV and Hann, A and Sousa, P and Touw, HRW and van Hooft, JE and Müller, M}, title = {The United European Gastroenterology green paper-climate change and gastroenterology.}, journal = {United European gastroenterology journal}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, doi = {10.1002/ueg2.12698}, pmid = {39452615}, issn = {2050-6414}, abstract = {Climate change, described by the World Health Organization (WHO) in 2021 as 'the single biggest health threat facing humanity', causes extreme weather, disrupts food supplies, and increases the prevalence of diseases, thereby affecting human health, medical practice, and healthcare stability. Greener Gastroenterology is an important movement that has the potential to make a real difference in reducing the impact of the delivery of healthcare, on the environment. The WHO defines an environmentally sustainable health system as one which would improve, maintain or restore health while minimizing negative environmental impacts. Gastroenterologists encounter the impacts of climate change in daily patient care. Alterations in the gut microbiome and dietary habits, air pollution, heat waves, and the distribution of infectious diseases result in changed disease patterns affecting gastrointestinal and hepatic health, with particularly severe impacts on vulnerable groups such as children, adolescents, and the elderly. Additionally, women are disproportionally affected, since climate change can exacerbate gender inequalities. Paradoxically, while healthcare aims to improve health, the sector is responsible for 4.4% of global carbon emissions. Endoscopy is a significant waste producer in healthcare, being the third highest generator with 3.09 kg of waste per day per bed, contributing to the carbon footprint of the GI sector. Solutions to the climate crisis can offer significant health co-benefits. Steps to reduce our carbon footprint include fostering a Planetary Health Diet and implementing measures for greener healthcare, such as telemedicine, digitalization, education, and research on sustainable healthcare practices. Adhering to the principles of 'reduce, reuse, recycle' is crucial. Reducing unnecessary procedures, which constitute a significant portion of endoscopies, can significantly decrease the carbon footprint and enhance sustainability. This position paper by the United European Gastroenterology aims to raise awareness and outline key principles that the GI workforce can adopt to tackle the climate crisis together.}, }
@article {pmid39452401, year = {2024}, author = {Bian, H and Yu, S and Li, W and Lu, J and Jia, C and Mao, J and Fu, Q and Song, Y and Cai, P}, title = {Impact of Climate Change on Peach Fruit Moth Phenology: A Regional Perspective from China.}, journal = {Insects}, volume = {15}, number = {10}, pages = {}, pmid = {39452401}, issn = {2075-4450}, support = {202310397007, 202310397025//Innovation and Entrepreneurship Training Program for College Students at National Level/ ; N2023Z007//Nanping Academy of Resource Industrialization Chemistry Project/ ; N2023J004//Key Project of the Nanping Natural Fund/ ; 2023XQ019//Key Technological Innovation and Industrialization Project/ ; NP2021KTS04//Special Funds for Technological Representative/ ; }, abstract = {It is widely recognized that the phenology of insects, of which the life activities are closely tied to temperature, is shifting in response to global climate warming. This study aimed to investigate the impacts of climate change on the phenology of Carposina sasakii Matsumura, 1900 (Lepidoptera: Carposinidae) across large temporal and spatial scales, through collecting and systematically analyzing historical data on the pest's occurrence and population dynamics in China. The results showed that for overwintering adults, the first occurrence date in eastern, northwestern, and northern China has significantly advanced, along with the population peak in eastern and northwestern China. At the provincial level, the population peak date in Shandong province has also moved significantly earlier, as well as the population peak date in Shandong and Shaanxi and the end occurrence date in Ningxia. However, the population peak date in Jilin has experienced a delayed trend. For first-generation adults, the first occurrence date in northeastern, eastern, and central China has notably advanced, while the first appearance date in northwestern and northern China has significantly delayed. Additionally, the population peak in northwestern China has experienced significant delays, along with the final occurrence in northeastern and northwestern China. At the provincial level, the first occurrence date in Liaoning, Shandong, and Shanxi has significantly advanced, while Hebei has demonstrated a significant delay. The population peak time in Gansu and Shaanxi has displayed significant delays, and the end occurrence date in Liaoning, Shanxi, and Shaanxi has also shown significant delays. Furthermore, these findings integrated with the Pearson correlation results reveal spatial heterogeneity in C. sasakii's phenological responses to climate warming at both regional and provincial scales. The phenology of C. sasakii and their changing patterns with climate warming vary by geographical location. This study provides valuable information for the future monitoring, prediction, and prevention of peach fruit moths in the context of climate warming.}, }
@article {pmid39452396, year = {2024}, author = {Kim, SY and Lim, C and Kang, JH and Bae, YJ}, title = {The Effect of Climate Change on Indicator Wetland Insects: Predicting the Current and Future Distribution of Two Giant Water Bugs (Hemiptera: Belostomatidae) in South Korea.}, journal = {Insects}, volume = {15}, number = {10}, pages = {}, pmid = {39452396}, issn = {2075-4450}, abstract = {Giant water bugs (Hemiptera: Belostomatidae) are top predators in wetland ecosystems, serving as biological indicators of the health of lentic ecosystems and as effective biological control agents for freshwater snails and mosquitoes. This study aimed to predict the current and future distribution of two Korean giant water bugs, Appasus japonicus and Diplonychus esakii, under three climate change scenarios, contributing to the sustainable management of wetland ecosystems in South Korea. Using MaxEnt models, we employed seven climatic and three non-climatic variables to investigate the habitat preferences and distribution patterns of the species. The results revealed that A. japonicus is likely to experience a northward range contraction due to climate change, while D. esakii is predicted to expand its distribution northward without losing its current range. These responses may lead to occupancy turnover between the two species, potentially driving reassembly in aquatic organism community. Elevation was the primary factor influencing the distribution of A. japonicus, whereas annual mean temperature was the most informative variable for D. esakii, both factors derived under the current climate conditions. These findings suggest that both species are highly sensitive to climate change, with potential range shifts toward higher latitudes and elevations. This study provides insights into how climate change could impact two giant water bugs, thereby supporting future efforts to manage and conserve wetland ecosystems in this country.}, }
@article {pmid39452369, year = {2024}, author = {Cruz, TMP and Buchmann, SL and Prudic, KL}, title = {Buzzing towards Resilience: Investigating the Spatial Alignment of the Desert Pallid Bee, Centris pallida, and Its Host Plants in Response to Climate Change.}, journal = {Insects}, volume = {15}, number = {10}, pages = {}, pmid = {39452369}, issn = {2075-4450}, support = {1929499//National Science Foundation/ ; }, abstract = {Wild bees are vital for the pollination of native plants and crops, providing essential ecosystem services. Climate change is known to impact biodiversity and species distributions, but insects adapted to desert ecosystems may exhibit unique physiological, behavioral, and evolutionary responses. The desert pallid bee (C. pallida), a solitary bee native to the arid southwestern United States and northern Mexico, primarily forages on yellow palo verde (P. microphylla), blue palo verde (P. florida), and desert ironwood (O. tesota). This study used MaxEnt to estimate the current and projected geographical overlap of suitable habitats for C. pallida and its host plants. Here, we used MaxEnt to estimate the current and forecasted overlapping geographically suitable habitat of C. pallida with all three host plants. We forecasted potential environmentally suitable areas for each species to the year 2040 using the current distribution model and climate projections with moderate CO2 levels. We found a continued spatial alignment in the suitable area of the bee and its host plants with a 70% increase in the range overlap area, though shifted to higher average altitudes and a slight northern expansion. These findings may provide insight to stakeholders on the conservation needs of desert-dwelling pollinators.}, }
@article {pmid39452332, year = {2024}, author = {Wu, Y and Xu, D and Peng, Y and Zhuo, Z}, title = {Mapping Species Distributions of Latoia consocia Walker under Climate Change Using Current Geographical Presence Data and MAXENT (CMIP 6).}, journal = {Insects}, volume = {15}, number = {10}, pages = {}, pmid = {39452332}, issn = {2075-4450}, support = {20A007, 20E051, 21E040 and 22kA011//China West Normal University/ ; 2022NSFSC0986//Sichuan Province Science and Technology/ ; }, abstract = {Latoia consocia Walker is an important phytophagous pest that has rapidly spread across North China in recent years, posing a severe threat to related plants. To study the impact of climatic conditions on its distribution and to predict its distribution under current and future climate conditions, the MaxEnt niche model and ArcGIS 10.8 software were used. The results showed that the MaxEnt model performs well in predicting the distribution of L. consocia, with an AUC value of 0.913. The annual precipitation (Bio12), the precipitation of the driest month (Bio14), the temperature annual range (Bio7), and the minimum temperature of the coldest month (Bio6) are key environmental factors affecting the potential distribution of L. consocia. Under current climate conditions, L. consocia has a highly suitable growth area of 2243 km[2] in China, among which Taiwan has the largest high-suitable area with a total area of 1450 km[2]. With climate warming, the potential habitat area for L. consocia shows an overall decreasing trend in future. This work provides a scientific basis for research on pest control and ecological protection. A "graded response" detection and early warning system, as well as prevention and control strategies, can be developed for potentially suitable areas to effectively address this pest challenge.}, }
@article {pmid39452112, year = {2024}, author = {Zhang, Y and Yang, H and Jiamahate, A and Yang, H and Cao, L and Dang, Y and Lu, Z and Yang, Z and Bozorov, TA and Wang, X}, title = {Potential Ecological Distribution of the Beetle Agrilus mali Matsumura (Coleoptera: Buprestidae) in China under Three Climate Change Scenarios, with Consequences for Commercial and Wild Apple Forests.}, journal = {Biology}, volume = {13}, number = {10}, pages = {}, pmid = {39452112}, issn = {2079-7737}, support = {2022B03020//the Key Research and Development Project of Xinjiang Uygur Autonomous Region/ ; 2016YFC0501503-1-1//the National Key R&amp;D Program of China/ ; 201404403//the Special Fund for Forest Scientific Research in the Public Welfare/ ; }, abstract = {The apple jewel beetle (AJB), Agrilus mali Matsumura (Coleoptera: Buprestidae), is a dangerous pest of commercial apple orchards across China, the largest apple production country in the world, and has recently become invasive in the Xinjiang Uygur Autonomous Region (XUAR) of northwestern China, where wild apple forests also occur. This pest poses a serious threat to apple production and wild apple forests throughout the world. Global warming is expected to change the geographical distribution of A. mali in China, but the extent of this is unknown. Based on empirical data from 1951 to 2000, a MaxEnt model was used to forecast the ecological distribution of A. mali under three different climate scenarios projected in the fifth report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. The results showed that the most important variables were the maximum temperature of November, precipitation in January, and minimum temperatures in April. Under all climate scenarios, the forecasted suitable regions for A. mali in China will expand northward in the 2050s and 2070s. The forecasted highly suitable regions will be 1.11-1.34 times larger than they are currently, and their central distributions will be 61.57-167.59 km further north. These findings suggest that the range and damage caused by A. mali in China will increase dramatically in the future. Monitoring and management measures should be implemented urgently to protect both the commercial apple industry and wild apple resources.}, }
@article {pmid39451084, year = {2024}, author = {Roucka, TM}, title = {Dentistry's ethical responsibility to patients' overall health through sustainable practices and climate change awareness.}, journal = {General dentistry}, volume = {72}, number = {6}, pages = {17-19}, pmid = {39451084}, issn = {0363-6771}, }
@article {pmid39451046, year = {2024}, author = {Atta, MHR and El-Sayed, AAI and Taleb, F and Elsayed, SM and Al Shurafi, SO and Altaheri, A and Abdu Almoliky, M and Asal, MGR}, title = {The Climate-Asthma Connection: Examining the Influence of Climate Change Anxiety on Asthma Control and Quality of Life: A Multi-National Study.}, journal = {Journal of advanced nursing}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, doi = {10.1111/jan.16513}, pmid = {39451046}, issn = {1365-2648}, support = {PSAU/2024/R/1445//Prince Sattam bin Abdulaziz University/ ; }, abstract = {AIMS: This study aims to identify the impact of climate change anxiety and asthma control on asthmatics' quality of life and examine the moderating role of climate change anxiety in this linkage.<br><br>METHOD: A multi-national cross-sectional study was conducted in four Arabian countries on 1266 asthmatics selected by convenience sampling. Data were collected from November 2023 to February 2024 using a climate anxiety scale, mini-asthma quality of life questionnaire, and an asthma control questionnaire.<br><br>RESULTS: Climate anxiety was higher among middle-aged participants, as well as those with longer disease durations and previous hospitalisations. Climate anxiety showed strong negative correlations with asthma control (r&#x2009;=&#x2009;-0.704, p&#x2009;&#x2264;&#x2009;0.05) and asthma quality of life (r&#x2009;=&#x2009;- 0.638, p&#x2009;&#x2264;&#x2009;0.05). Climate anxiety and asthma control are powerful predictors of quality of life among asthmatics. Climate anxiety moderates the relationship between asthma control and quality of life, making it less positive (B&#x2009;=&#x2009;-0.094, p&#x2009;>&#x2009;0.001). Covariates such as gender, age, comorbidities, employment status, disease duration, and previous hospitalisation showed significant associations with asthma quality of life.<br><br>Assessment and mitigation of climate anxiety among asthmatics is a key strategy for controlling asthma and improving the quality of life. So, nurses must incorporate climate anxiety assessment into the care plan for asthmatics.<br><br>IMPACT: Climate change is a global concern, and insights into how climate-related psychological stressors exacerbate asthma symptoms and overall health outcomes are necessary. The findings provide actionable data for healthcare professionals to underscore the need for integrated healthcare approaches considering environmental and psychological factors.<br><br>REPORTING METHOD: This study adheres to strengthening the reporting of observational studies in epidemiology (STROBE) statement.<br><br>Clients with asthma across multiple nationalities actively contributed to our paper.}, }
@article {pmid39450078, year = {2024}, author = {Plantevin, M and Merpault, Y and Lecourt, J and Destrac-Irvine, A and Dijsktra, L and van Leeuwen, C}, title = {Characterization of varietal effects on the acidity and pH of grape berries for selection of varieties better adapted to climate change.}, journal = {Frontiers in plant science}, volume = {15}, number = {}, pages = {1439114}, pmid = {39450078}, issn = {1664-462X}, abstract = {Climate change is drastically modifying berry composition and wine quality across the world. Most wine regions with a history of winemaking are suffering from a loss of typicity and terroir expression because of climate change impact on berry components at harvest, including wine acidity, with total acidity decreasing and pH increasing. Such changes can have a major impact on wine stability and quality. One important option for adaptation is the selection of grapevine varieties better adapted to warmer and drier conditions. Weekly measurement of tartaric acid, malic acid, pH and titratable acidity from veraison until maturity were carried out on 51 varieties over seven years in two experimental plots. Varietal differences were shown for the rate of malic acid degradation during the ripening period, with some varieties metabolizing malic acid faster per unit of thermal time than others. Some varietal differences were also noticed regarding tartaric acid modulation, which can occur under exceptionally high temperatures. Differences in the dynamics of pH evolution in grape must over the growing season were evaluated and varieties characterized with regard to organic acids (tartaric acid and malic acid), inorganic compounds (cations) as well as pH levels and stability. This multi-trait approach allows the selection of grapevine varieties based on parameters linked to their acidity, which is of particular importance in the context of climate change.}, }
@article {pmid39449446, year = {2024}, author = {Portela Dos Santos, O and Perruchoud, &#xc9; and Pereira, F and Alves, P and Verloo, H}, title = {Measuring Nurses' Knowledge and Awareness of Climate Change and Climate-Associated Diseases: Systematic Review of Existing Instruments.}, journal = {Nursing reports (Pavia, Italy)}, volume = {14}, number = {4}, pages = {2850-2876}, pmid = {39449446}, issn = {2039-4403}, abstract = {BACKGROUND: As early as 1995, the Institute of Medicine suggested that nurses were inadequately prepared for and educated about climate change and its health consequences. The aim of this systematic review is to identify the most reliable, robust, and valid instruments for measuring nurses' knowledge and awareness of climate change and climate-associated diseases.<br><br>METHODS: Included studies were appraised using the Mixed-Methods Appraisal Tool and the Appraisal tool for Cross-Sectional Studies. The psychometrics and clinimetrics of the instruments were evaluated using the COSMIN Risk of Bias checklist and the COSMIN methodology for assessing content validity.<br><br>RESULTS: Medline, PubMed, Embase, CINAHL Ebesco, Cochrane Library Wiley, Web of Science Core Collection, Trip Database, JBI OVID SP, GreenFILE EBSCO, Google Scholar, ProQuest Dissertations and Theses Global, and DART-EU were consulted. The 14 studies retained identified eight different instruments evaluating attitudes, perceptions, environmental awareness, environmental sensitivity, environmental attitudes, behaviours, motivation, concern, optimism, and experience. This review is reported according to the PRISMA guidelines.<br><br>CONCLUSIONS: The New Ecological Paradigm Scale (NEPS) and the Climate, Health, and Nursing Tool (CHANT) are the most reliable, robust, and valid instruments for measuring nurses' knowledge and awareness of climate change and climate-associated diseases.}, }
@article {pmid39448839, year = {2024}, author = {Cael, BB and Bisson, K and Boss, E and Dutkiewicz, S and Henson, S}, title = {Author Correction: Global climate-change trends detected in indicators of ocean ecology.}, journal = {Nature}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, doi = {10.1038/s41586-024-08090-9}, pmid = {39448839}, issn = {1476-4687}, }
@article {pmid39448075, year = {2024}, author = {Roveri, G and Crespi, A and Eisendle, F and Rauch, S and Corradini, P and Steger, S and Zebisch, M and Strapazzon, G}, title = {Climate change and human health in Alpine environments: an interdisciplinary impact chain approach understanding today's risks to address tomorrow's challenges.}, journal = {BMJ global health}, volume = {8}, number = {Suppl 3}, pages = {}, doi = {10.1136/bmjgh-2023-014431}, pmid = {39448075}, issn = {2059-7908}, mesh = {Humans ; *Climate Change ; Altitude ; Europe ; }, abstract = {The European Alps, home to a blend of permanent residents and millions of annual tourists, are found to be particularly sensitive to climate change. This article employs the impact chain concept to explore the interplay between climate change and health in Alpine areas, offering an interdisciplinary assessment of current and future health consequences and potential adaptation strategies.Rising temperatures, shifting precipitation patterns and increasing extreme weather events have profound implications for the Alpine regions. Temperatures have risen significantly over the past century, with projections indicating further increases and more frequent heatwaves. These trends increase the risk of heat-related health issues especially for vulnerable groups, including the elderly, frail individuals, children and recreationists. Furthermore, changing precipitation patterns, glacier retreat and permafrost melting adversely impact slope stability increasing the risk of gravity-driven natural hazards like landslides, avalanches and rockfalls. This poses direct threats, elevates the risk of multi-casualty incidents and strains search and rescue teams.The environmental changes also impact Alpine flora and fauna, altering the distribution and transmission of vector-borne diseases. Such events directly impact healthcare administration and management programmes, which are already challenged by surges in tourism and ensuring access to care.In conclusion, Alpine regions must proactively address these climate change-related health risks through an interdisciplinary approach, considering both preventive and responsive adaptation strategies, which we describe in this article.}, }
@article {pmid39446240, year = {2024}, author = {Kar, G and Singh, AK and Datta, D}, title = {Potential impact of climate change on water productivity and water footprints of rice and wheat in the Indo-Gangetic plains of India.}, journal = {Environmental monitoring and assessment}, volume = {196}, number = {11}, pages = {1101}, pmid = {39446240}, issn = {1573-2959}, mesh = {India ; *Climate Change ; *Oryza/growth &amp; development ; *Triticum/growth &amp; development ; *Agriculture ; *Water Supply/statistics &amp; numerical data ; Crops, Agricultural/growth &amp; development ; Environmental Monitoring ; Water ; }, abstract = {Agriculture faces a significant problem as a result of the decline in per capita freshwater supply that has been observed over the past couple of decades. Better water management strategies are required in order to make agriculture water secure, environmentally sustainable, and economically attractive. The goal of this study was to develop water productivity scenarios for rice and wheat crops in India's Indo-Gangetic Plain (IGP) by analysing agricultural production from the perspective of water consumption. To pinpoint the areas that are hydrologically suitable for growing rice and wheat crops under RCP4.5 and RCP8.5 climate change scenarios, water footprints and water productivity have been mapped. The study found that changes in temperature trends under future climate scenarios are probably going to increase crop water requirements, leading to greater water footprints for IGP regions. Water risk hotspots have been identified in the IGP for the rice- and wheat-growing states of Uttar Pradesh, Punjab, and Haryana. In order to achieve food security in a sustainable way, attention should be given to increase the water productivity of both crops.}, }
@article {pmid39444644, year = {2024}, author = {Do, V and Parks, RM and Casey, JA and Goin, DE and Kioumourtzoglou, MA}, title = {Use, limitations, and future directions of mixtures approaches to understand the health impacts of weather- and climate change-related exposures, an under-studied aspect of the exposome.}, journal = {Exposome}, volume = {4}, number = {1}, pages = {osae007}, pmid = {39444644}, issn = {2635-2265}, abstract = {The exposome concept aims to account for the comprehensive and cumulative effects of physical, chemical, biological, and psychosocial influences on biological systems. To date, limited exposome research has explicitly included climate change-related exposures. We define these exposures as those that will intensify with climate change, including direct effects like extreme heat, tropical cyclones, wildfires, downstream effects like air pollution, power outages, and limited or contaminated food and water supplies. These climate change-related exposures can occur individually or simultaneously. Here, we discuss the concept of a climate mixture, defined as three or more simultaneous climate change-related exposures, in the context of the exposome. In a motivating climate mixture example, we consider the impact of a co-occurring tropical cyclone, power outage, and flooding on respiratory hospitalizations. We identify current gaps and future directions for assessing the effect of climate mixtures on health. Mixtures methods allow us to incorporate climate mixtures into exposomics.}, }
@article {pmid39442400, year = {2024}, author = {Kreibich, J and Bino, G and Zheng, H and Chiew, F and Glamore, W and Woods, J and Kingsford, RT}, title = {River regulation and climate change reduce river flows to major Australian floodplain wetland.}, journal = {Journal of environmental management}, volume = {370}, number = {}, pages = {122962}, doi = {10.1016/j.jenvman.2024.122962}, pmid = {39442400}, issn = {1095-8630}, abstract = {Freshwater ecosystems, including rivers and floodplain wetlands, face severe stress from unsustainable water resources development, with climate change exerting further pressure. This study compares the relative effects of river regulation and projected climate change on river flows to the semi-arid Lowbidgee Floodplain (3250 km[2]), the largest wetland ecosystem on the heavily regulated Murrumbidgee River, Australia's second longest river, within the Murray-Darling Basin. We modelled annual natural streamflow in the lower Murrumbidgee River before major dam constructions and water diversions (1890-1927), linking river flows to runoff from the upper Murrumbidgee catchment. Extending this analysis to the full rainfall-runoff dataset (1890-2018), we compared modelled natural flows to observed river flows affected by dams and water withdrawals. Additionally, we modelled climate change impacts on river discharge and overbank flows, which reduced inundation of riparian habitats. Current river regulation has reduced median annual streamflow by 43% from 2565 × 10[6] m[3] to 1490 × 10[6] m[3] during 1958-2018, relative to modelled natural flows, with a more pronounced 55% reduction in the last three decades (1988-2018). The return period of major overbank flows, essential for river-floodplain habitat connectivity, more than doubled from once every 2.0 years to once every 4.4 years (1916-2018). Mean climate change projections indicated an additional 7-10% decrease in median annual streamflow by 2047-2075, relative to 1977-2005. The annual duration of major floods declined from an average of 11.3 days under natural flow conditions to 4.5 days under the current regulated river flow regime, with a further reduction to 1.6-1.8 days (83-85% decrease) projected by 2047-2075, due to climate change. We recommend prioritising mitigation of river regulation effects, as these pose the most immediate threats to riverine ecosystems, including their native biodiversity, in the Murrumbidgee River catchment. Our 'natural flow' model offers critical insights for shaping environmental policy and managing environmental flows to mimic natural flow regimes, supporting the conservation and restoration of freshwater ecosystems, like the Lowbidgee Floodplain wetlands. Our approach is transferable to other large river systems globally, using available or modelled streamflow data.}, }
@article {pmid39442399, year = {2024}, author = {Eva, EA and Marzen, LJ and Lamba, J and Ahsanullah, SM and Mitra, C}, title = {Projection of land use and land cover changes based on land change modeler and integrating both land use land cover and climate change on the hydrological response of Big Creek Lake Watershed, South Alabama.}, journal = {Journal of environmental management}, volume = {370}, number = {}, pages = {122923}, doi = {10.1016/j.jenvman.2024.122923}, pmid = {39442399}, issn = {1095-8630}, abstract = {Changing land use/land cover (LULC) and climate substantially affect the hydrological components of a watershed. This study explored the future impact of the hydrological responses due to the changing LULC and climate on the Big Creek Lake watershed in Alabama, USA, from 2021 to 2050 using the Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT). Five climate model datasets were used under the moderate scenario (Representative Concentrative Pathways 4.5) and the extreme scenario (Representative Concentrative Pathways 8.5), and the datasets were downscaled and bias-corrected. In addition, changing the LULC of five categories was predicted by Cellular Automata Markov (CA- Markov). With these data combined with the elevation (Digital Elevation Model), soils, and weather data, the SWAT model was calibrated and validated for the studied watershed to quantify how climate change will affect streamflow, nitrogen, and phosphorus. Our results indicate streamflow will increase due to the 50-acre increase in urban LULC. As streamflow increases, the percolation, surface runoff, lateral flow, groundwater flow, and water yield will also increase because the streamflow impacts these hydrological components. Moreover, the increase rate in streamflow is the same for all the components for January, February, and March. Therefore, there is a strong correlation between these months. On the contrary, evaporation will be high in May, June, and July because of the increasing temperature and streamflow. However, the changes in the water hydrological parameters and total nitrogen and phosphorus will be more intense in RCP8.5 than in RCP4.5.}, }
@article {pmid39442151, year = {2024}, author = {Souza, IL and Cuzzuol, GRF and Meneses, LFT}, title = {Ecophysiological responses of bromelias in the restinga in simulated climate change scenarios.}, journal = {Brazilian journal of biology = Revista brasleira de biologia}, volume = {84}, number = {}, pages = {e285000}, doi = {10.1590/1519-6984.285000}, pmid = {39442151}, issn = {1678-4375}, mesh = {*Climate Change ; *Bromeliaceae/physiology ; Seasons ; Temperature ; Bromelia/physiology ; }, abstract = {We investigated the ecophysiological responses of the bromeliads Aechmea nudicaulis and Vriesea procera, seeking to assess their suitability to survive in a climate change scenario (optimistic scenario RCP 2.6 of the IPCC, 2021) in a Restinga environment. To carry out this investigation, we used open-top chambers (OTC). During a period of nine months (June 2022 to February 2023), the bromeliads A. nudicaulis and V. procera were subjected to the following treatments: treatment T: plants transplanted to the environmental conditions of the bare sand of the restinga and subjected to the microclimatic conditions of the OTC's; control C: plants transplanted to the environmental conditions of the bare sand of the restinga. The ecophysiological variables height, rosette diameter, relative water content, specific leaf area and total weight of the plants were evaluated. In addition, dead plants were counted. The OTC's showed an average increase in temperature and VPD (Vapor Pressure Deficit) of 1.6°C and 0.5 Kpa, respectively, and an average reduction in RH (relative humidity) of 5.3%. The results of this study indicated that the increase in local temperature that occurred between the sixth and seventh months evaluated (November and December) created limiting conditions that exceeded the tolerance capacity of the bromeliads studied. Furthermore, the climatic conditions of the OTCs intensified the damage that occurred in the plants, verified here by the reductions in the values of the ecophysiological attributes evaluated in the bromeliads studied. In addition, the high mortality rate (above 50%) reinforces the idea that the climatic conditions of the OTC's induced the bromeliads studied to a senescence process. Therefore, these results are important, as they indicate that even the most optimistic climate change scenario (IPCC 2021 RCP 2.6) can harm the growth and development of these bromeliads, which are essential for the structure and functioning of Restinga communities.}, }
@article {pmid39440447, year = {2024}, author = {Amin, SM and El-Monshed, AH and Khedr, MA and Awad, AGE and Atta, MHR}, title = {The Association between Emotional Responses to Climate Change, Antenatal Anxiety and Maternal-Fetal Attachment in Primigravida Women.}, journal = {Journal of advanced nursing}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, doi = {10.1111/jan.16549}, pmid = {39440447}, issn = {1365-2648}, abstract = {AIM: To investigate the association between emotional responses to climate change, antenatal anxiety, and maternal-fetal attachment in primigravida women.<br><br>DESIGN: A multi-site cross-sectional research design study.<br><br>METHODS: This study was conducted at four primary health care (PHC) facilities in Damanhur district, El-Behera, from February 2024 to April 2024. Two hundred eighty-five women completed a comprehensive questionnaire that included a Woman's Social and Reproductive Form, The inventory of climate emotions (ICE) scale, The Stirling Antenatal Anxiety Scale (SAAS) and the Maternal-Fetal Attachment Scale (MFAS-HU-20).<br><br>RESULTS: The study revealed that emotional responses to climate change show strong positive correlations with each other, ranging from 0.689 to 0.840, all significant at p&#x2009;<&#x2009;0.001 level. Additionally, antenatal anxiety demonstrates substantial positive correlations with emotional responses to climate change, albeit with associations ranging from 0.239 to 0.287, all significant at p&#x2009;<&#x2009;0.001 level. Moreover, maternal-fetal attachment displays substantial negative correlations with emotional responses to climate change, indicating that as emotional responses to climate change increase, maternal-fetal attachment tends to decrease. The correlations range from -0.263 to -0.426, all significant at p&#x2009;<&#x2009;0.001.<br><br>CONCLUSIONS: The emotional impact of climate change can adversely affect the bonding process between mother and fetus.<br><br>Healthcare professionals, including obstetricians, midwives, and mental health counsellors, should integrate climate-related emotional distress into their assessments and interventions. Providing targeted psychological support for expectant mothers.<br><br>IMPACT: The study's findings highlight the need for nursing to integrate climate-related emotional distress screening into prenatal care and for research to explore long-term effects and intervention effectiveness. In practice, healthcare providers should adopt holistic approaches that combine environmental and psychological support, developing comprehensive guidelines and community-based programs to support pregnant women.<br><br>REPORTING METHOD: The research adhered to that is STROBE.<br><br>Public contributions by women in community health centers.}, }
@article {pmid39440138, year = {2024}, author = {Frazão Santos, C and Agardy, T and Crowder, LB and Day, JC and Himes-Cornell, A and Pinsky, ML and Reimer, JM and Gissi, E}, title = {Ocean Planning and Conservation in the Age of Climate Change: A Roundtable Discussion.}, journal = {Integrative organismal biology (Oxford, England)}, volume = {6}, number = {1}, pages = {obae037}, pmid = {39440138}, issn = {2517-4843}, abstract = {Over recent years, recognition of the need to develop climate-smart marine spatial planning (MSP) has gained momentum globally. In this roundtable discussion, we use a question-and-answer format to leverage diverse perspectives and voices involved in the study of sustainable MSP and marine conservation under global environmental and social change. We intend this dialogue to serve as a stepping stone toward developing ocean planning initiatives that are sustainable, equitable, and climate-resilient around the globe.}, }
@article {pmid39440125, year = {2024}, author = {Macinnis-Ng, C and Ziedins, I and Ajmal, H and Baisden, WT and Hendy, S and McDonald, A and Priestley, R and Salmon, RA and Sharp, EL and Tonkin, JD and Velarde, S and Watene Ngāti Manu Te Hikutu Ngāti Whātua Ōrākei Tonga, K and Godsoe, W}, title = {Climate change impacts on Aotearoa New Zealand: a horizon scan approach.}, journal = {Journal of the Royal Society of New Zealand}, volume = {54}, number = {4}, pages = {523-546}, pmid = {39440125}, issn = {1175-8899}, abstract = {Many of the implications of climate change for Aotearoa (New Zealand) remain unclear. To identify so-far unseen or understudied threats and opportunities related to climate change we applied a horizon-scanning process. First, we collated 171 threats and opportunities across our diverse fields of research. We then scored each item for novelty and potential impact and finally reduced the list to ten threats and ten opportunities through a prioritisation process. Within the 20 items presented in this paper, we uncover a range of climate-related costs and benefits. Unexpected opportunities evolve from economic reorganisation and changes to perspectives. The threats we highlight include the overall failure to interconnect siloed policy responses, as well as those relating to extreme events and feedbacks, as well as pressures that undermine the coherence of society. A major theme of our work is that climate change effects in Aotearoa are likely to transgress the boundaries of research disciplines, industry sectors and policy systems, emphasising the importance of developing transdisciplinary methods and approaches. We use this insight to connect potential responses to climate change with Aotearoa's culture and geography.}, }
@article {pmid39440124, year = {2024}, author = {Milfont, TL and Athy, AE and Sibley, CG}, title = {Climate change profiles of New Zealanders over time: a one-year latent transition analysis of climate change beliefs and concern.}, journal = {Journal of the Royal Society of New Zealand}, volume = {54}, number = {4}, pages = {395-411}, pmid = {39440124}, issn = {1175-8899}, abstract = {Scientific evidence unequivocally shows that human activities cause climate change, but some people still deny it. Using New Zealand Attitudes and Values Study data from 2018 and 2019 (N = 34,733), we examined segmentation profiles regarding beliefs and concern about climate change ('Climate change is real', 'Climate change is caused by humans', 'I am deeply concerned about climate change'), the probabilities of transitioning to and from profiles over time, and the characteristics of individuals in each profile. Five profiles were identified with varying levels of climate change beliefs and concern. The largest profile (60.4% of respondents) had the highest levels of climate change beliefs and concern, while the smallest profile (3.7% of respondents) had the lowest. Over time, more people moved from profiles of lower into profiles of higher levels of climate change beliefs and concern. The profile with the highest levels was the most stable, with members having an 82.7% chance of staying in this profile over time. Compared to this group, members of the profile with the lowest levels of climate change beliefs and concern were more likely to be male, New Zealand European, parents, religious, and to endorse conservative and system-justifying ideologies. We discuss the implications of the findings.}, }
@article {pmid39440121, year = {2024}, author = {Lawrence, J and Wreford, A and Blackett, P and Hall, D and Woodward, A and Awatere, S and Livingston, ME and Macinnis-Ng, C and Walker, S and Fountain, J and Costello, MJ and Ausseil, AE and Watt, MS and Dean, SM and Cradock-Henry, NA and Zammit, C and Milfont, TL}, title = {Climate change adaptation through an integrative lens in Aotearoa New Zealand.}, journal = {Journal of the Royal Society of New Zealand}, volume = {54}, number = {4}, pages = {491-522}, pmid = {39440121}, issn = {1175-8899}, abstract = {Climate change is being felt across all human and natural systems in Aotearoa New Zealand and is projected to worsen this decade as impacts compound and cascade through natural system and sectoral dependencies. The effectiveness of adaptation is constrained by how fast greenhouse gas emissions are reduced globally, the pace of change, the frequency and progression of impacts, and the capacity of our natural, societal and political systems to respond. We explore how these systems and sectors interact with existing and projected climate change stressors by categorising climate change impacts (Trends and Events) and consequential thresholds (Thresholds), and by grouping systems and sectors by types (Typologies). This approach has identified commonalities and differences between the typologies which are illustrated with examples. Critical constraints and opportunities for adaptation have been identified to guide sector adaptation decision-making and for ongoing adaptation progress and effectiveness monitoring. Constraints are found across all sectors, and opportunities exist to address them through modelling and projections, monitoring frameworks, decision tools and measures, governance coordination and integration of the Māori worldview of the relationship between humans and nature. However, limits to adaptation exist and will increase over time unless all sectors and all nations urgently reduce their emissions.}, }
@article {pmid39440126, year = {2024}, author = {Villamor, GB and Wakelin, SJ and Clinton, PW}, title = {Climate change, risk perceptions and barriers to adaptation among forest growers in New Zealand.}, journal = {Journal of the Royal Society of New Zealand}, volume = {54}, number = {4}, pages = {433-448}, pmid = {39440126}, issn = {1175-8899}, abstract = {Climate change poses a significant challenge for forest growers. However, understanding climate change adaptation including the behaviour and decisions of forest growers remains unexplored in New Zealand, despite the forestry sector being a significant export leader and major contributor to regional economies. To explore this, we conducted surveys of 60 forest growers from organisations which collectively manage more than 70% of New Zealand's plantation forests. The results showed that 47% of the respondents perceived that climate change will affect their forest growing, and 60% perceived that climate change will increase wildfire frequency and pest and disease outbreaks. Only 21% of the respondents reported that they had taken adaptation measures directly. Lack of resources and motivation were among the barriers that respondents identified. A logistic regression analysis revealed that climate change perception, research to improve forest growers' adaptive capacity, climate change information, forest grower age and forestry experience are significantly associated with actual adaptation decisions. Risk perceptions central to protection motivation theory (e.g. vulnerability, probability and severity) were not linked to actual adaptation decisions, suggesting that widening adaptation analyses beyond individual perceptions as predictors of climate change adaptation may provide insights for fit-for-purpose climate change adaptation policies for the sector.}, }
@article {pmid39440105, year = {2024}, author = {Kaltsatou, A and Foster, J and Ikäheimo, TM}, title = {Editorial: Climate change and cardiovascular health.}, journal = {Frontiers in physiology}, volume = {15}, number = {}, pages = {1497232}, pmid = {39440105}, issn = {1664-042X}, }
@article {pmid39438576, year = {2024}, author = {Bolinesi, F and Rossetti, E and Mangoni, O}, title = {Author Correction: Phytoplankton dynamics in a shellfish farming lagoon in a deltaic system threatened by ongoing climate change.}, journal = {Scientific reports}, volume = {14}, number = {1}, pages = {24860}, doi = {10.1038/s41598-024-76161-y}, pmid = {39438576}, issn = {2045-2322}, }
@article {pmid39438071, year = {2024}, author = {Mariën, J and Mukomena, E and Tevuzula, VM and Leirs, H and Huyse, T}, title = {A century of medical records reveal earlier onset of the malaria season in Haut-Katanga induced by climate change.}, journal = {BMJ global health}, volume = {9}, number = {10}, pages = {}, doi = {10.1136/bmjgh-2024-015375}, pmid = {39438071}, issn = {2059-7908}, mesh = {*Climate Change ; *Malaria/history/epidemiology/transmission ; Humans ; *Seasons ; Democratic Republic of the Congo/epidemiology ; History, 20th Century ; }, abstract = {BACKGROUND: Despite worldwide efforts to eradicate malaria over the past century, the disease remains a significant challenge in the Democratic Republic of the Congo (DRC) today. Climate change is even anticipated to worsen the situation in areas with higher altitudes and vulnerable populations. This study in Haut-Katanga, a highland region, aims to evaluate the effectiveness of past control measures and to explore the impact of climate change on the region's distinct seasonal malaria pattern throughout the last century.<br><br>METHODS: We integrated colonial medical records (1917-1983) from two major mining companies (Union Mini&#xe8;re du Haut-Katanga and the G&#xe9;n&#xe9;rale des Carri&#xe8;res et des Mines) with contemporary data (2003-2020) from Lubumbashi. Concurrently, we combined colonial climate records (1912-1946) with recent data from satellite images and weather stations (1940-2023). We used Generalised Additive Models to link the two data sources and to test for changing seasonal patterns in transmission.<br><br>RESULTS: Malaria transmission in Haut-Katanga has fluctuated significantly over the past century, influenced by evolving control strategies, political conditions and a changing climate. A notable decrease in cases followed the introduction of dichlorodiphenyltrichloroethane (DDT), while a surge occurred after the civil wars ended at the beginning of the new millennium. Recently, the malaria season began 1-2 months earlier than historically observed, likely due to a 2-5&#xb0;C increase in mean minimum temperatures, which facilitates the sporogonic cycle of the parasite.<br><br>CONCLUSION: Despite contemporary control efforts, malaria incidence in Haut-Katanga is similar to levels observed in the 1930s, possibly influenced by climate change creating optimal conditions for malaria transmission. Our historical data shows that the lowest malaria incidence occurred during periods of intensive DDT use and indoor residual spraying. Consequently, we recommend the systematic reduction of vector populations as a key component of malaria control strategies in highland regions of sub-Saharan Africa.}, }
@article {pmid39436735, year = {2024}, author = {Schattman, RE and Merrill, SC and Tracy, WF}, title = {Shifts in geographic vulnerability of US corn crops under different climate change scenarios: corn flea beetle (Chaetocnema pulicaria) and Stewart's Wilt (Pantoea stewartii) bacterium.}, journal = {Environmental entomology}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, doi = {10.1093/ee/nvae099}, pmid = {39436735}, issn = {1938-2936}, support = {ME0-022332//USDA National Institute of Food and Agriculture/ ; }, abstract = {Changing climate patterns will likely affect insect pressure on many agricultural crops. Mild winters may decrease the number of insects that experience reduced fecundity or that are killed during hard freezes. This may result in larger populations in subsequent years and allow for range expansion. Direct effects from pests are compounded by indirect effects, such as crop damage resulting from insect-vectored diseases. Corn flea beetle (Chaetocnema pulicaria) infestations have both direct and indirect effects on crops. This beetle is a pest on all types of corn in the United States, including sweet corn and grain corn (sometimes referred to as dent corn). It is responsible for damage to plant foliage and also serves as the primary overwintering vector for Pantoea stewartii bacterium, which causes Stewart's Wilt, a disease that can severely impact the health and productivity of corn. Evidence suggests that warmer winters will contribute to a geographic range expansion for the corn flea beetle. Here we show the projected northward expansion of economically damaging crop losses caused by Stewart's Wilt: (A) from 1980 to 2011, (B) projected by mid-century, and (C) projected by end-century. Our work suggests that climate change and associated increasing winter temperatures in the United States will lead to a dramatic increase in the probability of severe damage from corn flea beetle across the United States, including the Corn Belt. Predicted increases in pest and disease pressure will have negative ramifications for corn production and are likely to exacerbate issues associated with specific management tactics, such as pesticide application.}, }
@article {pmid39435550, year = {2024}, author = {Rodrigues, T and Kratina, P and Setubal, RB and Ferro, JLS and Hideki Abe, D and Costa, LO and Casa Nova, C and Farjalla, VF and Pires, APF}, title = {Interaction Between Climate Change Scenarios and Biological Invasion Reveals Complex Cascading Effects in Freshwater Ecosystems.}, journal = {Global change biology}, volume = {30}, number = {10}, pages = {e17540}, doi = {10.1111/gcb.17540}, pmid = {39435550}, issn = {1365-2486}, support = {E-26/201.454/2022//Funda&#xe7;&#xe3;o Carlos Chagas Filho de Amparo &#xe0; Pesquisa do Estado do Rio de Janeiro/ ; E-26/210.070/2024//Funda&#xe7;&#xe3;o Carlos Chagas Filho de Amparo &#xe0; Pesquisa do Estado do Rio de Janeiro/ ; E-26/210.164/2019//Funda&#xe7;&#xe3;o Carlos Chagas Filho de Amparo &#xe0; Pesquisa do Estado do Rio de Janeiro/ ; E-26/211.988/2021//Funda&#xe7;&#xe3;o Carlos Chagas Filho de Amparo &#xe0; Pesquisa do Estado do Rio de Janeiro/ ; 88887.815076/2023-00//Coordena&#xe7;&#xe3;o de Aperfei&#xe7;oamento de Pessoal de N&#xed;vel Superior/ ; 88887.892174/2023-00//Coordena&#xe7;&#xe3;o de Aperfei&#xe7;oamento de Pessoal de N&#xed;vel Superior/ ; 310119/2018-9//Conselho Nacional de Desenvolvimento Cient&#xed;fico e Tecnol&#xf3;gico/ ; 423057/2021-9//Conselho Nacional de Desenvolvimento Cient&#xed;fico e Tecnol&#xf3;gico/ ; 008/2021//Fundo Brasileiro para a Biodiversidade/ ; }, mesh = {*Climate Change ; *Introduced Species ; *Biomass ; *Ecosystem ; *Fresh Water ; Animals ; *Invertebrates/physiology ; Zooplankton/physiology ; Food Chain ; }, abstract = {Climate change often facilitates biological invasions, leading to potential interactive impacts of these global drivers on freshwater ecosystems. Although climatic mitigation efforts may reduce the magnitude of these interactive impacts, we are still missing experimental evidence for such effects under multiple climate change scenarios within a multi-trophic framework. To address this knowledge gap, we experimentally compared the independent and interactive effects of two climate change scenarios (mitigation and business-as-usual) and biological invasion on the biomass of major freshwater trophic groups (phytoplankton, zooplankton, periphyton, macroinvertebrates, and a native macrophyte) and the decomposition rate of allochthonous material. Among the independent effects, we found that the business-as-usual climate treatment resulted in lower native macrophyte biomass and higher periphyton biomass compared to the climatic baseline and mitigation treatments. This indicates the potential of climate change to alter the relative dominance of different freshwater producers and demonstrates that climate mitigation efforts can counteract these effects. Biological invasion alone increased the biomass of chironomids, a dominant macroinvertebrate group in tropical freshwater ecosystems, demonstrating a compensatory effect on climate change. Climate change and biological invasion interactively reduced the decomposition rate of allochthonous detritus, likely mediated by the feeding preference of abundant chironomids for periphytic algae associated with the presence of non-native macrophytes. We concluded that (i) climatic mitigation can maintain climate baseline conditions in freshwater ecosystems, and (ii) the interactive effects between future climate scenarios and biological invasion are related to complex cascading interactions among trophic groups on ecosystem processes.}, }
@article {pmid39435398, year = {2024}, author = {Pitron, V and Witthöft, M and Lemogne, C and Léger, D and Clayton, S and Van den Bergh, O}, title = {How climate-change awareness can provoke physical symptoms.}, journal = {Frontiers in ecology and the environment}, volume = {22}, number = {1}, pages = {e2700}, pmid = {39435398}, issn = {1540-9295}, }
@article {pmid39435161, year = {2024}, author = {Kumar, P and Jayan, J and Jena, D and Rai, N and Sah, S and Mawejje, E}, title = {Valley fever on the rise: How climate change is fueling a public health crisis.}, journal = {New microbes and new infections}, volume = {62}, number = {}, pages = {101500}, pmid = {39435161}, issn = {2052-2975}, }
@article {pmid39434844, year = {2024}, author = {Theriot, MK and Olson, LE and Lanier, HC}, title = {Accounting for age: uncovering the nuanced drivers of mammal body-size responses to climate change.}, journal = {Journal of mammalogy}, volume = {105}, number = {3}, pages = {512-523}, pmid = {39434844}, issn = {0022-2372}, abstract = {Shifts in mean body size coinciding with environmental change are well documented across animal species and populations, serving as a widespread and complex indicator of climate-change response. In mammal research, identifying and disentangling the potential drivers of these trends (e.g., thermoregulation, resource availability) is hindered by treating adult size as fixed, ignoring morphological changes that occur throughout life in many species. However, observed population-level size trends may reflect underlying shifts in age structure (i.e., change in the proportion of older, potentially larger individuals in the population). Here, we assessed the role of age structure by explicitly evaluating age as a contributor to temporal variation in skull size (a proxy for body size) in 2 carnivorans, Canadian Lynx (Lynx canadensis) and American Marten (Martes americana). Using a series of linear and nonlinear models, we tested age in years (determined by cementum-layer analysis) as a predictor of skull size alongside other factors previously proposed to be important drivers of body-size trends, including population density for lynx and growing season conditions for martens. In both species, age was a significant predictor of skull size indicating a rapid year-to-year increase in young adult size that diminished in later adulthood. However, temporal shifts in age structure alone did not explain the observed changes in size over time, indicating that age structure acts in concert with other as-yet unidentified factors to drive body-size change. By explicitly evaluating the role of age, we can both refine models of temporal body-size trends and gain insights into size change as a signal of underlying demographic shifts-such as age-specific survivorship-providing a more holistic understanding of how mammals are responding to climate change.}, }
@article {pmid39434407, year = {2024}, author = {Kusmec, A and Schnable, PS}, title = {Phenological Adaptation Is Insufficient to Offset Climate Change-Induced Yield Losses in US Hybrid Maize.}, journal = {Global change biology}, volume = {30}, number = {10}, pages = {e17539}, doi = {10.1111/gcb.17539}, pmid = {39434407}, issn = {1365-2486}, support = {IOW04714//National Institute of Food and Agriculture/ ; 2017-67007-26175//USDA Agriculture and Food Research Initiative/ ; IOS-1842097//Division of Integrative Organismal Systems/ ; }, mesh = {*Zea mays/growth &amp; development/genetics/physiology ; *Climate Change ; United States ; Adaptation, Physiological ; Crops, Agricultural/growth &amp; development/genetics ; Seasons ; Climate Models ; Temperature ; }, abstract = {Climate change is projected to decrease maize yields due to warmer temperatures and their consequences. Studies using crop growth models (CGMs), however, have predicted that, through a combination of alterations to planting date, flowering time, and maturity, these yield losses can be mitigated or even reversed. Here, we examine three assumptions of such studies: (1) that climate has driven historical phenological trends, (2) that CGM ensembles provide unbiased estimates of yields under high temperatures, and (3) that the effects of temperature on yields are an emergent property of interactions between phenology and environment. We used data on maize phenology from the United States Department of Agriculture, a statistical model of maize hybrid heat tolerance derived from 80 years of public yield trial records across four US states, and outputs of an ensemble of CMIP6 climate models. While planting dates have advanced historically, we found a trend toward later planting dates after 2005 and no trend for silking or maturity, shifting more time into the reproductive period. We then projected maize yields using the historical model and crop calendars devised using three previously proposed adaptation strategies. In contrast to studies using CGMs, our statistical yield model projected severe yield losses under all three strategies. Finally, we projected maize yields accounting for historical genetic variability for heat tolerance, discovering that it was insufficient to overcome the negative effects of projected warming. These projections are driven by greater heat stress exposure under all crop calendars and climate scenarios. Combined with analysis of the internal sensitivities of CGMs to temperature, our results suggest that current projections do not adequately account for the effects of increasing temperatures on maize yields. Climate adaptation in the US Midwest must utilize a richer set of strategies than phenological adaptation, including improvements to heat tolerance and crop diversification.}, }
@article {pmid39434158, year = {2024}, author = {Cuervo, PF and Bargues, MD and Artigas, P and Buchon, P and Angles, R and Mas-Coma, S}, title = {Global warming induced spread of the highest human fascioliasis hyperendemic area.}, journal = {Parasites &amp; vectors}, volume = {17}, number = {1}, pages = {434}, pmid = {39434158}, issn = {1756-3305}, support = {101062347//Marie Sk&#x142;odowska-Curie Actions programme (Project RCN 242718, Horizon Europe, EC, Brussels)/ ; CIAPOS/2021/134//APOSTD/2022 (Generalitat Valenciana and European Social Fund)/ ; CB21/13/00056//CIBER de Enfermedades Infecciosas, ISCIII, Ministry of Science and Education, Madrid, Spain/ ; RD16/0027/0023//Red de Investigaci&#xf3;n de Centros de Enfermedades Tropicales -RICET- (ISCIII-Subdirecci&#xf3;n General de Redes y Centros de Investigaci&#xf3;n Cooperativa RETICS, Ministry of Health and Consumption, Madrid)/ ; 2016/099//PROMETEO Program, Programa of Ayudas para Grupos de Investigaci&#xf3;n de Excelencia, Generalitat Valenciana, Valencia, Spain/ ; PI16/00520//Health Research Project, Subprograma Estatal de Generaci&#xf3;n de Conocimiento de la Acci&#xf3;n Estrat&#xe9;gica en Salud (AES) y Fondos FEDER, Plan Estatal de Investigaci&#xf3;n Cient&#xed;fica y T&#xe9;cnica y de Innovaci&#xf3;n, ISCIII-MINECO, Madrid, Spain/ ; }, mesh = {*Fascioliasis/epidemiology/transmission ; Animals ; Humans ; *Global Warming ; *Endemic Diseases ; *Fasciola hepatica/physiology ; Bolivia/epidemiology ; Temperature ; Climate Change ; Seasons ; }, abstract = {BACKGROUND: Climate change is driving the occurrence of several infectious diseases. Within a One Health action to complement the ongoing preventive chemotherapy initiative against human fascioliasis in the Northern Bolivian Altiplano hyperendemic area, field surveys showed a geographical expansion of its lymnaeid snail vector. To assess whether climate change underlies this spread of the infection risk area, an in-depth analysis of the long-term evolution of climatic factors relevant for Fasciola hepatica development was imperative.<br><br>METHODS: We used monthly climatic data covering at least a 30-year period and applied two climatic risk indices, the water-budget-based system and the wet-day index, both of verified usefulness for forecasting fascioliasis transmission in this endemic area. To reveal the long-term trends of the climatic factors and forecast indices, we applied procedures of seasonal-trend decomposition based on locally weighed regression and trend analysis on the basis of linear models. To further demonstrate the changes detected, we depicted selected variables in the form of anomalies.<br><br>RESULTS: This study revealed a notorious climatic change affecting most of the hyperendemic area, with a strong impact on crucial aspects of the fascioliasis transmission. Trends in maximum and mean temperatures show significant increases throughout the endemic area, while trends in minimum temperatures are more variable. Precipitation annual trends are negative in most of the localities. Trends in climatic risk indices show negative trends at lower altitudes or when farther from the eastern Andean chain. However, monthly and yearly values of climatic risk indices indicate a permanent transmission feasibility in almost every location.<br><br>CONCLUSIONS: Warmer temperatures have enabled lymnaeids to colonize formerly unsuitable higher altitudes, outside the endemicity area verified in the 1990s. Further, drier conditions might lead to an overexploitation of permanent water collections where lymnaeids inhabit, favoring fascioliasis transmission. Therefore, the present preventive chemotherapy by annual mass treatments is in need to widen the area of implementation. This study emphasizes the convenience for continuous monitoring of nearby zones for quick reaction and appropriate action modification.}, }
@article {pmid39434138, year = {2024}, author = {Shrikhande, S and Wolf, J and Vert, C and Egorova, A and Neira, M and Prüss, A}, title = {World Health Organization repository of systematic reviews on interventions in environment, climate change and health: a new resource for decision makers, intervention implementers, and researchers.}, journal = {Environmental health : a global access science source}, volume = {23}, number = {1}, pages = {88}, pmid = {39434138}, issn = {1476-069X}, support = {801076//Marie Sk&#x142;odowska-Curie SSPH+ Global PhD Fellowship Programme in Public Health Sciences (GlobalP3HS) of the Swiss School of Public Health/ ; }, mesh = {*Climate Change ; Humans ; *World Health Organization ; Decision Making ; Environmental Health ; Databases, Factual ; Review Literature as Topic ; Environment ; }, abstract = {To facilitate the use of the mounting evidence on how human health is inextricably linked to the health of the planet and the urgent need for measures against the escalating triple planetary crisis, the WHO has developed a repository of systematic reviews on interventions in the area of environment, climate change and health (ECH). This commentary introduces the repository, describes its rationale and development, and points to potential future evolutions. The repository aims to provide a user-friendly tool for quickly finding systematic reviews and meta-analyses on specific ECH topics. The spreadsheet includes details on each systematic review, such as population, intervention type, control group, outcomes, and location, among other information. This supports effective assessment of the available evidence, potentially informing policy decisions across various sectors. The repository is a resource for anyone interested in the interlinkages between health and environment and is also targeted at decision makers, intervention implementers and researchers in order to identify priority issues and support evidence-based action. Furthermore, it can be used to identify areas in need of greater research. Additionally, systematic reviews of intervention effectiveness are often used for setting general guidelines and standards, for choosing the most promising intervention in a certain situation and for calculating the disease burden attributable to a specific environmental risk.}, }
@article {pmid39433977, year = {2024}, author = {Wang, J and Nikolaou, N and An der Heiden, M and Irrgang, C}, title = {High-resolution modeling and projection of heat-related mortality in Germany under climate change.}, journal = {Communications medicine}, volume = {4}, number = {1}, pages = {206}, pmid = {39433977}, issn = {2730-664X}, abstract = {BACKGROUND: Heat has become a leading cause of preventable deaths during summer. Understanding the link between high temperatures and excess mortality is crucial for designing effective prevention and adaptation plans. Yet, data analyses are challenging due to often fragmented data archives over different agglomeration levels.<br><br>METHOD: Using Germany as a case study, we develop a multi-scale machine learning model to estimate heat-related mortality with variable temporal and spatial resolution. This approach allows us to estimate heat-related mortality at different scales, such as regional heat risk during a specific heatwave, annual and nationwide heat risk, or future heat risk under climate change&#xa0;scenarios.<br><br>RESULTS: We estimate a total of 48,000 heat-related deaths in Germany during the last decade (2014-2023), and the majority of heat-related deaths occur during specific heatwave events. Aggregating our results over larger regions, we reach good agreement with previously published reports from Robert Koch Institute (RKI). In 2023, the heatwave of July 7-14 contributes approximately 1100 cases (28%) to a total of approximately 3900 heat-related deaths for the whole year. Combining our model with shared socio-economic pathways (SSPs) of future climate change provides evidence that heat-related mortality in Germany could further increase by a factor of 2.5 (SSP245) to 9 (SSP370) without adaptation to extreme heat under static sociodemographic developments assumptions.<br><br>CONCLUSIONS: Our approach is a valuable tool for climate-driven public health strategies, aiding in the identification of local risks during heatwaves and long-term resilience planning.}, }
@article {pmid39434981, year = {2023}, author = {Fei, C and Jägermeyr, J and McCarl, B and Contreras, EM and Mutter, C and Phillips, M and Ruane, AC and Sarofim, MC and Schultz, P and Vargo, A}, title = {Future climate change impacts on U.S. agricultural yields, production, and market.}, journal = {Anthropocene}, volume = {42}, number = {}, pages = {100386}, pmid = {39434981}, issn = {2213-3054}, abstract = {This study provides estimates of climate change impacts on U.S. agricultural yields and the agricultural economy through the end of the 21st century, utilizing multiple climate scenarios. Results from a process-based crop model project future increases in wheat, grassland, and soybean yield due to climate change and atmospheric CO2 change; corn and sorghum show more muted responses. Results using yields from econometric models show less positive results. Both the econometric and process-based models tend to show more positive yields by the end of the century than several other similar studies. Using the process-based model to provide future yield estimates to an integrated agricultural sector model, the welfare gain is roughly $16B/year (2019 USD) for domestic producers and $6.2B/year for international trade, but domestic consumers lose $10.6B/year, resulting in a total welfare gain of $11.7B/year. When yield projections for major crops are drawn instead from econometric models, total welfare losses of more than $28B/year arise. Simulations using the process-based model as input to the agricultural sector model show large future production increases for soybean, wheat, and sorghum and large price reductions for corn and wheat. The most important factors are those about economic growth, flooding, international trade, and the type of yield model used. Somewhat less, but not insignificant factors include adaptation, livestock productivity, and damages from surface ozone, waterlogging, and pests and diseases.}, }
@article {pmid39433740, year = {2024}, author = {Qie, J and Favillier, A and Liébault, F and Ballesteros Cánovas, JA and Lopez-Saez, J and Guillet, S and Francon, L and Zhong, Y and Stoffel, M and Corona, C}, title = {A supply-limited torrent that does not feel the heat of climate change.}, journal = {Nature communications}, volume = {15}, number = {1}, pages = {9078}, pmid = {39433740}, issn = {2041-1723}, abstract = {Debris-flow activity in the Alps is anticipated to undergo pronounced changes in response to a warming climate. Yet, a fundamental challenge in comprehensively assessing changes in process activity is the systematic lack of long-term observational debris-flow records. Here, we reconstruct the longest, continuous time series (1626-2020) of debris flows at Multetta, a supply-limited torrential system in the Eastern Swiss Alps. Relying on growth-ring records of trees that were damaged by debris flows, we do not detect significant changes in the frequency or magnitude over time. This seeming absence of a direct climatic influence on debris-flow initiation aligns with the regular distribution of repose time patterns, indicating a dependence of local process activity on sediment discharge and recharge. This stark difference in process behavior between our supply-limited site and transport-limited catchments has implications for assessing torrential hazard and risk mitigation in a context of global warming.}, }
@article {pmid39433545, year = {2024}, author = {Shigetomi, Y and Ishigami, A and Long, Y and Chapman, A}, title = {Curbing household food waste and associated climate change impacts in an ageing society.}, journal = {Nature communications}, volume = {15}, number = {1}, pages = {8806}, pmid = {39433545}, issn = {2041-1723}, support = {21H03673//MEXT | Japan Society for the Promotion of Science (JSPS)/ ; }, mesh = {Humans ; *Climate Change ; Japan ; *Family Characteristics ; Greenhouse Gases/analysis ; Aged ; Food ; Fruit ; Middle Aged ; Vegetables ; Garbage ; Aging ; Sustainable Development ; Young Adult ; Food Loss and Waste ; }, abstract = {We explored the intricate quantitative structure of household food waste and their corresponding life cycle greenhouse gas emissions from raw materials to retail utilizing a combination of household- and food-related economic statistics and life cycle assessment in Japan. Given Japan's status as a nation heavily impacted by an aging population, this study estimates these indicators for the six age brackets of Japanese households, showing that per capita food waste increases as the age of the household head increases (from 16.6 for the 20's and younger group to 46.0 kg/year for 70's and older in 2015) primarily attributed to the propensity of older households purchase of more fruits and vegetables. Further, the largest life cycle greenhouse gases related to food waste was 90.1 kg-CO2eq/year for those in their 60's while the smallest was 39.2 kg-CO2eq/year for 20's and younger. Furthermore, food waste and associated emissions are expected to decline due to future demographic changes imparted by an aging, shrinking population after 2020 until 2040. Specific measures focused on demographic shifts are crucial for Japan and other countries with similar dietary patterns and demographics to achieve related sustainable development goals through suppressing food waste and associated emissions under new dietary regimes.}, }
@article {pmid39433097, year = {2024}, author = {Costopoulou, D and Leondiadis, L and Rose, M}, title = {Climate change influence on the trends of BFRs in the environment and food.}, journal = {Chemosphere}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {143578}, doi = {10.1016/j.chemosphere.2024.143578}, pmid = {39433097}, issn = {1879-1298}, abstract = {Climate change poses new challenges for environmental protection and food safety. With reported consequences including warmer temperatures, melting of Alpine glaciers, higher sea levels, droughts, extreme rainfall events and increased surface UV radiation, concerns about the impact on food contaminants have been raised. While the effects of climate change on POPs were initially expected to have the biggest impact in the arctic region, given the intensity, frequency and spread of extreme weather events, global influence on environmental pollution and food safety is currently anticipated. Warmer temperatures are expected to enhance the volatilization of POPs and influence their partitioning between soil, sediment, water and atmosphere, enhancing their mobility and their potential for long-range atmospheric transport. Floods and strong winds can cause dilution but also spread of pollutants to wider areas. Limited data are available for the impact of climate change on BFRs levels, trends and toxicity. BFRs are widely used to protect people from fire hazards. Numerous BFR containing products are disposed in landfills where climate change could possibly induce increased leaching and resulting impacts on the food chain. Heat and UV exposure can lead to degradation of novel polymeric BFRs with adverse environmental effects. Long-term monitoring data are needed for feed, food and environmental compartments in order to evaluate climate change influence, which will also enable the development of prediction models specific for legacy and novel BFRs, for various climate change scenarios. Furthermore, there is a need to promote further discussion in the scientific community for the design of risk management and remediation activities for contaminated areas, in response to potential future conditions as the climate continues to change.}, }
@article {pmid39431553, year = {2024}, author = {Yesildere Saglam, H and Mizrak Sahin, B}, title = {The impact of climate change anxiety on premenstrual syndrome: A cross-sectional study.}, journal = {Journal of evaluation in clinical practice}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, doi = {10.1111/jep.14177}, pmid = {39431553}, issn = {1365-2753}, abstract = {OBJECTIVE: Climate change is thought to have possible effects on changes in the menstruation process, which covers an important period of time in women's lives. Our study aimed to determine the impact of climate change anxiety on premenstrual syndrome (PMS) in women of reproductive age.<br><br>METHODS: This is a cross-sectional study. The research was conducted online using various digital platforms between December 2023 and February 2024. This study was conducted on 456 women of reproductive age. The Personal Information Form, PMS Scale and Eco-Anxiety Scale were used for the data collection. The level of statistical significance was set at p&#x2009;<&#x2009;0.05.<br><br>RESULTS: The prevalence of PMS was 44.7%. The average score for the Eco-Anxiety Scale was 27.28&#x2009;&#xb1;&#x2009;6.44. A significant majority of participants (81.4%) stated that climate change would affect women's health, and 81.1% thought that they were affected by climate change. The Eco-Anxiety Scale scores were higher in women with PMS (p&#x2009;<&#x2009;0.05). The results of the binary logistic regression analysis showed that being affected by climate change (odds ratio [OR]&#x2009;=&#x2009;2.109, 95% confidence interval [CI]&#x2009;=&#x2009;1.045-4.259, p&#x2009;=&#x2009;0.035), age at menarche (OR&#x2009;=&#x2009;1.249, 95% Cl&#x2009;=&#x2009;1.073-1.453, p&#x2009;=&#x2009;0.004) and Eco-Anxiety Scale scores were significant predictors of PMS (OR&#x2009;=&#x2009;0.828, 95% Cl&#x2009;=&#x2009;0.791-0.867, p&#x2009;<&#x2009;0.001).<br><br>CONCLUSION: The results of our study showed that women with PMS had higher Eco-Anxiety Scale scores. Given the global effects of climate change, it is important to investigate its effects as a risk factor for the emergence of PMS. Furthermore, women's healthcare providers play an important and beneficial role in adapting to a changing climate; these efforts will have long-term impacts.}, }
@article {pmid39430176, year = {2024}, author = {Kumar, N and Latha Telagarapu, VM and Fornoni, A}, title = {Climate Change, Heat Stress, and Kidney Disease-Associated Mortality and Health Care Utilization.}, journal = {Kidney international reports}, volume = {9}, number = {10}, pages = {2844-2847}, pmid = {39430176}, issn = {2468-0249}, }
@article {pmid39430120, year = {2024}, author = {Azmat, MA and Zaheer, M and Shaban, M and Arshad, S and Hasan, M and Ashraf, A and Naeem, M and Ahmad, A and Munawar, N}, title = {Autophagy: A New Avenue and Biochemical Mechanisms to Mitigate the Climate Change.}, journal = {Scientifica}, volume = {2024}, number = {}, pages = {9908323}, pmid = {39430120}, issn = {2090-908X}, abstract = {Autophagy is a preserved process in eukaryotes that allows large material degeneration and nutrient recovery via vacuoles or lysosomes in cytoplasm. Autophagy starts from the moment of induction during the formation of a phagophore. Degradation may occur in the autophagosomes even without fusion with lysosome or vacuole, particularly in microautophagosomes. This process is arbitrated by the conserved machinery of basic autophagy-related genes (ATGs). In selective autophagy, specific materials are recruited by autophagosomes via receptors. Selective autophagy targets a vast variety of cellular components for degradation, i.e., old or damaged organelles, aggregates, and inactive or misfolded proteins. In optimal conditions, autophagy in plants ensures cellular homeostasis, proper plant growth, and fitness. Moreover, autophagy is essential during stress responses in plants and aids in survival of plants. Several biotic and abiotic stresses, i.e., pathogen infection, nutrient deficiency, plant senescence, heat stress, drought, osmotic stress, and hypoxia induce autophagy in plants. Cell death is not a stress, which induces autophagy but in contrast, sometimes it is a consequence of autophagy. In this way, autophagy plays a vital role in plant survival during harsh environmental conditions by maintaining nutrient concentration through elimination of useless cellular components. This review discussed the recent advances regarding regulatory functions of autophagy under normal and stressful conditions in plants and suggests future prospects in mitigating climate change. Autophagy in plants offers a viable way to increase plant resilience to climate change by increasing stress tolerance and nutrient usage efficiency.}, }
@article {pmid39429677, year = {2024}, author = {Bezgrebelna, M and Hajat, S and Njenga, S and Settembrino, MR and Vickery, J and Kidd, SA}, title = {Neoliberalism, Climate Change, and Displaced and Homeless Populations: Exploring Interactions Through Case Studies.}, journal = {Humanity &amp; society}, volume = {48}, number = {2-4}, pages = {107-129}, pmid = {39429677}, issn = {0160-5976}, abstract = {There is a growing attention to neoliberal policies and practices as they relate to climate change and housing within academic literature. However, the combined effects of neoliberal political and economic decisions on the interaction between climate change and displaced and homeless populations have not been substantially explored. In this paper, we identify and focus on three key re-emerging themes prevalent within neoliberal discourses: economic considerations, individualization, and short-termism. To examine the intersecting influence of climate change and these themes on vulnerable populations, the following case studies are discussed: displaced populations in the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) region, refugees in Kenya, and tiny homes programs in the U.S. and Canada. The diversified contexts and levels of analysis allow for more nuanced understanding of the variety of ways in which neoliberal influences and climate-induced events impact the most vulnerable populations. We argue for the need to change the framing of these issues, which are often presented in neoliberal terms and are driven by neoliberal logic. We then present potential avenues for resolving the identified issues, such as through systemic changes, development of long-term solutions, and focusing on community-based adaptation (CBA) programs.}, }
@article {pmid39428448, year = {2024}, author = {Sylvestre, F and Mahamat-Nour, A and Naradoum, T and Alcoba, M and Gal, L and Paris, A and Cretaux, JF and Pham-Duc, B and Lescoulier, C and Recouvreur, R and Ahmat, MM and Gaya, D}, title = {Strengthening of the hydrological cycle in the Lake Chad Basin under current climate change.}, journal = {Scientific reports}, volume = {14}, number = {1}, pages = {24639}, pmid = {39428448}, issn = {2045-2322}, abstract = {Central Sahel is affected by a reinforcement of rainfall since the beginning of 1990s. This increase in rainfall is affected by high inter-annual variability and is characterized by extreme rain events causing floods of unprecedented magnitude. However, few studies have been carried out on these extreme events. Moreover, with current climate change expected to strengthen the hydrological cycle, we don't know if these events could become more frequent. Here, we report the hydrological changes that currently occur in the Lake Chad basin. Based on ground observations and satellite data, we focused on the 2022 flood event, demonstrating that it was the most important event from the last 60 years, comparable to what occurred during the last wet period between the 1950s and the 1960s. We showed that under this precipitation regime and if warming is not regulated at a global scale, the return period of the 2022 major riverine flood is expected to be between 2 and 5 years. By using modelling experiments, our study also suggested that in the next decade, future flow rates of the main rivers draining the Lake Chad basin could reach the values observed in the 1950s. These results strongly suggest anticipating water management in a context of poor infrastructural development.}, }
@article {pmid39427625, year = {2024}, author = {Rahko, J and Alola, AA}, title = {The effects of climate change technology spillovers on carbon emissions across European countries.}, journal = {Journal of environmental management}, volume = {370}, number = {}, pages = {122972}, doi = {10.1016/j.jenvman.2024.122972}, pmid = {39427625}, issn = {1095-8630}, abstract = {To unravel the challenges in the global diffusion of climate-friendly technologies, this investigation analyzes the diffusion of climate change-related technologies across countries. By using an unbalanced panel of selected European countries over the period 1990-2020, this investigation quantifies the carbon dioxide (CO2) emission effects of the diffusion of climate change-related technologies that are mediated by imports, geographical and technological proximity and free diffusion of technologies. In this study, the effects of domestic development of climate change-related technologies, population and affluence are also accounted for, and the emission effects are estimated using a fixed-effects panel model with instrumental variables. The instrumental variable for foreign technology spillovers is based on the technology support policies adopted in foreign countries. As expected, international spillovers of climate-friendly technologies are negatively linked to CO2 emissions, thus promoting emission reductions across the region. Importantly, emission reductions in Europe are more strongly influenced by international technology spillovers than by domestic innovation activities. Moreover, while all the analyzed technology diffusion channels appear relevant, the results are the most robust regarding import-mediated technology spillovers. Insights from this study support policy recommendations, especially in the trade policy context.}, }
@article {pmid39426824, year = {2024}, author = {Horton, R}, title = {Offline: Rethinking the human costs of climate change.}, journal = {Lancet (London, England)}, volume = {404}, number = {10462}, pages = {1506}, doi = {10.1016/S0140-6736(24)02260-8}, pmid = {39426824}, issn = {1474-547X}, }
@article {pmid39426542, year = {2024}, author = {Hosseini, P and Bailey, RT}, title = {Mutual impact of salinity and climate change on crop production water footprint in a semi-arid agricultural watershed: Application of SWAT-MODFLOW-salt.}, journal = {The Science of the total environment}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {176973}, doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.176973}, pmid = {39426542}, issn = {1879-1026}, abstract = {Sustainable agriculture in intensively irrigated watersheds, particularly those in arid and semi-arid regions, requires enhanced management practices to maintain crop production, which depends on climate, available water resources, soil conditions, irrigation practices, and crop type. Among these factors, soil salinity and climate change are significant challenges to agricultural productivity. To investigate the long-term influence of salinity and climate change on crop production from 1999 to 2100 in irrigated semi-arid regions, we apply the water footprint (WF) concept using the hydro-chemical watershed model SWAT-MODFLOW-Salt, driven by five General Circulation Models (GCMs) and two climate scenarios (RCP4.5 and RCP8.5), to a 732 km[2] irrigated stream-aquifer system within the Lower Arkansas River Valley (LARV), Colorado, USA. The study focused on calculating the green (WFgreen), blue (WFblue), and total (WFtotal) crop production WFs for 29 crops in the region, with and without including salinity effect on crop yield. Results reveal that during the baseline period (1999-2009), the total annual average WFgreen, WFblue, and WFtotal increased by 7.6 %, 4.4 %, and 6.5 %, respectively, under salinity stress, as crops experienced reductions of up to 4.6 %, 1.6 %, and 2.3 % in green, blue, and total crop yield. The mutual impact of salinity and the worst-case climate model (IPSL_CM5A_MR) under the higher emission scenario (RCP8.5) led to a 3.3 %, 1.9 %, and 3 % increase in green, blue, and total crop production WFs. Furthermore, the study highlighted that the proportion of green, blue, and total crop production WFs in the LARV exceeded the world average. This discrepancy was attributed to various factors, including different spatial and temporal crop distribution, irrigation practices, soil types, and climate conditions. Notably, salinity stress affected green crop yield and green WF more significantly than blue crop yield and blue WF across all GCM models. This finding underscores the importance of prioritizing management practices to control salinity-associated challenges within the region.}, }
@article {pmid39426450, year = {2024}, author = {Okon, EM and Oyesiji, AA and Okeleye, DE and Kanonuhwa, M and Khalifa, NE and Eissa, EH and Mathew, RT and Eissa, MEH and Alqahtani, MM and Abdelnour, SA}, title = {The Escalating Threat of Climate Change-Driven Diseases in Fish: Evidence from a Global Perspective - A Literature Review.}, journal = {Environmental research}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {120184}, doi = {10.1016/j.envres.2024.120184}, pmid = {39426450}, issn = {1096-0953}, abstract = {Climate change has brought significant alterations to the aquatic environment, leading to the rapid spread of infectious fish diseases with increasing water temperatures. It is crucial to understand how aquatic pathogens will impact fish in the context of climate change. This study aimed to assess the effects of climate change on fish diseases globally. Data from 104 papers published between 2003 and 2022 were analyzed to identify recent trends in the field. The majority of the studies (54%) focused on parasites, particularly proliferative kidney disease, while 22% examined bacteria. The United States accounted for 19% of the studies, followed by Canada at 14%, covering a wide range of fish species. More research was published on farmed fish (54%) than wild fish (30%), with a higher emphasis on freshwater species (62%) compared to marine species (34%). Most published studies (64%) focused on the local environment rather than the farm level (7%). The findings highlight temperature as a significant threat to global aquaculture and fisheries, impacting the progression of fish diseases. These impacts could be exacerbated by factors such as pH, salinity, and ocean acidification, posing challenges to fish health. Therefore, there is a pressing need for enhanced research and management strategies to address these issues effectively in the future.}, }
@article {pmid39426089, year = {2024}, author = {Hubert, DL and Bentz, EJ and Mason, RT}, title = {Increased offspring size and reduced gestation length in an ectothermic vertebrate under a worst-case climate change scenario.}, journal = {Journal of thermal biology}, volume = {125}, number = {}, pages = {103990}, doi = {10.1016/j.jtherbio.2024.103990}, pmid = {39426089}, issn = {0306-4565}, abstract = {As global temperatures continue to rise, understanding the impacts of warming environments has become increasingly important. Temperature is especially relevant for ectothermic organisms which depend upon consistent and predictable annual temperature cycles for reproduction and development. However, additional research is required in this area to elucidate the potential impacts of climate change on future generations. To understand how projected increases in environmental temperatures may impact reproductive outcomes within natural populations of ectothermic vertebrates, we manipulated minimum ambient temperatures during gestation in Red-sided garter snakes (Thamnophis sirtalis parietalis). Wild snakes were collected in the Interlake region of Manitoba, Canada during their spring mating season and allowed to mate in controlled conditions. For the duration of gestation, mated females were placed into one of two ambient thermal conditions: temperatures emulating those found in the species' natural habitat or temperatures with a consistent 5 °C increase to match end-of-century climate change projections. We recorded observations for each litter and all neonates resulting from controlled mating trials. We observed no difference in litter sizes or birth rates between thermal conditions. However, we observed a significant reduction in gestation length and significant increase to neonate body mass and body condition associated with increased ambient temperatures. These results suggest that increased minimum temperatures during gestation may confer reproductive benefits for the northern populations of this species even under the most extreme current modeled warming predictions. We discuss the broader implications of this effect, including possible negative ecological outcomes.}, }
@article {pmid39426075, year = {2024}, author = {Celeghini, ECC and Baatsch-Nascimento, F and Bozzi, ADR and Garcia-Oliveros, LN and Arruda, RP}, title = {Bovine testicular heat stress: From climate change to effects on microRNA profile.}, journal = {Animal reproduction science}, volume = {270}, number = {}, pages = {107620}, doi = {10.1016/j.anireprosci.2024.107620}, pmid = {39426075}, issn = {1873-2232}, abstract = {Heat stress is caused by exposure of animals to high temperatures and humidity, outside their thermal comfort zone. This can have negative outcomes, including adversely affecting general well-being and reducing productive and reproductive performance. In males, heat stress can disrupt testicular thermoregulation, with deleterious effects on spermatogenesis and consequently, decreases in sperm quality and fertility potential. Thus, high environmental temperature is considered one of the most important factors that predisposes bulls to subfertility and has already been the subject of many studies, particularly in tropical or subtropical countries. It is essential to study effects of testicular heat stress in bulls, know the chronology of clinical and sperm findings, and understand the underlying pathophysiology. In addition, elucidating molecular mechanisms involved in heat stress and testicular function could provide the basis for effective, evidence-based strategies for selecting more thermotolerant animals. Excessive heat affects expression of messenger RNA (mRNA) and microRNA (miRNA) in sperm, which have important roles in regulating male fertility. Based on current trends in climate change, the incidence of chronically high temperatures that cause heat stress is expected to increase, posing increasing risks to health and survival of many species. The study of mRNAs and miRNAs can provide valuable insights to select animals that are more resilient to climate change. In addition to the search for more thermotolerant animals, other strategies to mitigate effects of heat stress include reproductive biotechniques and promotion of a better environment.}, }
@article {pmid39424825, year = {2024}, author = {Zahir, A and Ali, Z and Al-Shamayleh, AS and Bas, SRA and Mahmood, B and Al-Ghushami, AH and Adnan, R and Akhunzada, A}, title = {Enhanced climate change resilience on wheat anther morphology using optimized deep learning techniques.}, journal = {Scientific reports}, volume = {14}, number = {1}, pages = {24533}, pmid = {39424825}, issn = {2045-2322}, mesh = {*Triticum/growth &amp; development/physiology ; *Deep Learning ; *Climate Change ; *Flowers ; Plant Breeding/methods ; Heat-Shock Response ; Neural Networks, Computer ; Agriculture/methods ; Pollen ; }, abstract = {Wheat commands attention due to its significant impact on culture, nutrition, the economy, and the guarantee of food security. The anticipated rise in temperatures resulting from climate change is a key factor contributing to food insecurity, as it markedly reduces wheat harvests. Terminal heat stress mostly affects spike fertility in wheat, specifically influencing pollen fertility and anther morphology. This research especially focuses on the shape of anthers and examines the effects of heat stress. The DinoLite Microscope's high-resolution images are used to measure the length and width of wheat anthers. By using object identification techniques, the research accurately measures the length and width of each anther in images, offering valuable insights into the differences between various wheat varieties. Furthermore, Deep Learning (DL) methodologies are utilized to enhance agriculture, specifically employing record categorization to advance plant breeding management. Given the ongoing challenges in agriculture, there is a belief that incorporating the latest technologies is crucial. The primary objective of this study is to explore how Deep Learning algorithms can be beneficial in categorizing agricultural records, particularly in monitoring and identifying variations in spring wheat germplasm. Various Deep Learning algorithms, including Convolution Neural Network (CNN), LeNet, and Inception-V3 are implemented to classify the records and extract various patterns. LeNet demonstrates optimized accuracy in classifying the records, outperforming CNN by 52% and Inception-V3 by 70%. Moreover, Precision, Recall, and F1 Measure are utilized to ascertain accuracy levels. The investigation also enhances our comprehension of the distinct roles played by various genes in abiotic stress tolerance among diverse wheat varieties. The outcomes of the research hold the potential to transform agricultural practices by introducing a more effective, data-driven approach to plant breeding management.}, }
@article {pmid39423899, year = {2024}, author = {Cappa, P and Andreoli, V and La, C and Palacios-Abrantes, J and Reygondeau, G and Cheung, WWL and Zeller, D}, title = {Climate change undermines seafood micronutrient supply from wild-capture fisheries in Southeast Asia and Pacific Island countries.}, journal = {The Science of the total environment}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {177024}, doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.177024}, pmid = {39423899}, issn = {1879-1026}, abstract = {Marine ecosystem functions are affected by climate change impacts such as ocean warming, deoxygenation and acidification. These impacts drive changes in distributions and body size of fish species and directly affect fisheries. Wild-capture fisheries are crucial for providing nutrients, livelihoods, and employment in tropical Southeast Asia and Pacific Island countries, where coastal communities are highly vulnerable to climate change. We examined the impacts of climate change on fish stocks and nutrient availability of seven key micronutrients (calcium, Omega-3 fatty acids, iodine, iron, vitamin A, vitamin B12 and zinc) in Southeast Asia, Pacific Islands, and Oceania (Australia and New Zealand). We combined micronutrient demands by local human populations with Sea Around Us reconstructed catch time series and catch projections from a dynamic bioclimate envelope model for the 21st century. The model predicted a decline in the Maximum Catch Potential (MCP) within Exclusive Economic Zones for Oceania, Pacific Islands, and Southeast Asian countries. Under the 'strong mitigation' scenario, catch potential reductions ranged from a decline of 54-66 % in Oceania, 58-92 % in Pacific Islands, and 65-86 % in Southeast Asia by the mid to the end of the 21st century relative to the historical period, respectively. Under the 'no-mitigation' climate scenario, reductions were more severe, with a decline of 55-70 % in Oceania, 66-92 % in Pacific Islands, and 70-86 % in Southeast Asia for the same time periods. Our findings indicate that Australia and New Zealand are unlikely to meet the recommended nutrient intake demand for most micronutrients through their fisheries (not considering trade or aquaculture production), except for iodine and vitamin B12. Pacific Island countries will likely follow the same pattern while Southeast Asia is expected to face worsening deficits, except for iodine and vitamin B12. This study highlights the importance of incorporating nutritional considerations of seafood into national food, trade and economic policies.}, }
@article {pmid39423894, year = {2024}, author = {Bakker, W and Morel, T and Ozinga, W and Scheper, J and Vergeer, P}, title = {The relative importance of nitrogen deposition and climate change in driving plant diversity decline in roadside grasslands.}, journal = {The Science of the total environment}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {176962}, doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.176962}, pmid = {39423894}, issn = {1879-1026}, abstract = {Nitrogen deposition and climate change have been identified as major threats to the biodiversity of semi-natural grasslands. Their relative contribution to recent biodiversity loss is however not fully understood, and may depend on local site conditions such as soil type, which hampers efforts to prevent further decline. We used data from >900 permanent plots in semi-natural grasslands in Dutch roadsides to investigate whether trends in plant diversity and community composition (2004-2020) could be explained by: (1) nitrogen deposition (NHx and NOy) and climate change (winter degree days and summer drought), (2) the interactive effect of nitrogen deposition and climate change, and (3) the interactive effect of nitrogen deposition and climate change with soil type. Overall we observed a decline in plant diversity and an increased dominance of tall species and grasses. These changes were linked to winter warming, but not to changes in summer drought and nitrogen deposition. The effect of winter warming was more pronounced in areas with higher NOy deposition, but was consistent across different soil types. Our results suggest that winter warming will become an important driver of plant diversity loss by altering competitive interactions, which could have major repercussions for other trophic levels and ecosystem services. Future conservation and restoration of grassland biodiversity therefore requires management regimes that are adapted to winter warming.}, }
@article {pmid39421933, year = {2024}, author = {Fawad, M and Ullah, S and Xu, X}, title = {Climate-responsive telemedicine: Innovative strategy for enhancing healthcare in the face of climate change.}, journal = {Journal of global health}, volume = {14}, number = {}, pages = {03043}, pmid = {39421933}, issn = {2047-2986}, }
@article {pmid39421932, year = {2024}, author = {Ryding, S and McQueen, A and Klaassen, M and Tattersall, GJ and Symonds, MRE}, title = {Long- and short-term responses to climate change in body and appendage size of diverse Australian birds.}, journal = {Global change biology}, volume = {30}, number = {10}, pages = {e17517}, doi = {10.1111/gcb.17517}, pmid = {39421932}, issn = {1365-2486}, support = {RGPIN-2020-05089//Natural Sciences and Engineering Research Council of Canada/ ; DP190101244//Australian Research Council/ ; //Centre for Integrative Ecology, Deakin University/ ; }, mesh = {Animals ; *Climate Change ; Australia ; *Birds/physiology/anatomy &amp; histology ; *Body Size ; Wings, Animal/anatomy &amp; histology/physiology ; }, abstract = {Changes to body size and shape have been identified as potential adaptive responses to climate change, but the pervasiveness of these responses has been questioned. To address this, we measured body and appendage size from 5013 museum bird skins of 78 ecologically and evolutionary diverse Australian species. We found that morphological change is a shared response to climate change across birds. Birds increased relative bill surface area, tarsus length, and relative wing length through time, consistent with expectations of increasing appendage size as climates warm. Furthermore, birds decreased in absolute wing length, consistent with the expectation of decreasing body size in warmer climates. Interestingly, these trends were generally consistent across different diets and migratory and thermoregulatory behaviors. Shorter term responses to higher temperatures were contrary to long-term effects for appendages, wherein relative appendage size decreased after hotter years, indicating the complex selective pressures acting on birds as temperatures rise with climate change. Overall, our findings support the notion that morphological adaptation is a widespread response to climate change in birds that is independent of other ecological traits.}, }
@article {pmid39421520, year = {2024}, author = {George, N and Mahendran, P and Rajkumar, VL and Vivekanandan, VS and Thangavel, V and Elangovan, V and Palanisamy, Y and Poomalai, Y and Puvaneswaran, D}, title = {Climate Change Influence on Health Domains, a Public Perception from a District in South India - A Cross-sectional Study.}, journal = {Indian journal of community medicine : official publication of Indian Association of Preventive &amp; Social Medicine}, volume = {49}, number = {5}, pages = {752-758}, pmid = {39421520}, issn = {0970-0218}, abstract = {BACKGROUND: The effects of climate change have been evident throughout all domains of health such as physical, social, environmental, and mental. However, the lack of perception made it a grey topic among the public. The aim of the study was to determine the perception of climate change on physical, environmental, and mental domains of health and to find the association between the physical, environmental, and mental effects of climate change and its basic characteristics.<br><br>MATERIALS AND METHODS: This study was conducted in a cross-sectional design among the general population above 30 years in the field practice area [urban and rural] of tertiary care hospital Perambalur for a period of three months. The data were collected using a semi-structured questionnaire and the interviewer method, which includes sociodemographic characteristics along with questions on the perception of climate change effects on mental, physical, and environmental aspects. The regression models were used to analyze the odds of perception among the subjects with respect to the various domains of characteristics.<br><br>RESULTS: The study included 877 participants, where the majority of subjects perceived the effects of climate change on physical, mental, and environmental domains of health. The odds of having a higher perception were significant in regression analysis among people with higher/school education, agriculture occupation, and rural residence (P < 0.05).<br><br>CONCLUSION: Most of the study participants had an increased perception of climate change effects, making the subjects better candidates to impart adaptive strategies. Community-based programs have to be promoted to develop better comprehension and factual perception of climate change.}, }
@article {pmid39421457, year = {2022}, author = {Zeppetello, LRV and Raftery, AE and Battisti, DS}, title = {Probabilistic projections of increased heat stress driven by climate change.}, journal = {Communications earth &amp; environment}, volume = {3}, number = {1}, pages = {}, pmid = {39421457}, issn = {2662-4435}, support = {R01 HD070936/HD/NICHD NIH HHS/United States ; }, abstract = {The Heat Index is a metric that quantifies heat exposure in human beings. Here, using probabilistic emission projections, we show that changes in the Heat Index driven by anthropogenic CO2 emissions will increase global exposure to dangerous environments in the coming decades. Even if the Paris Agreement goal of limiting global warming to 2 °C is met, the exposure to dangerous Heat Index levels will likely increase by 50-100% across much of the tropics and increase by a factor of 3-10 in many regions throughout the midlatitudes. Without emissions reductions more aggressive than those considered possible by our statistical projection, it is likely that by 2100, many people living in tropical regions will be exposed to dangerously high Heat Index values during most days of each typical year, and that the kinds of deadly heat waves that have been rarities in the midlatitudes will become annual occurrences.}, }
@article {pmid39420232, year = {2024}, author = {Wang, T and Mao, D and Li, E and Hu, G and Feng, C and Liu, P and Yang, M and Deng, M and Li, Y}, title = {Non-stationarity of runoff and sediment load and its drivers under climate change and anthropogenic activities in Dongting Lake Basin.}, journal = {Scientific reports}, volume = {14}, number = {1}, pages = {24333}, pmid = {39420232}, issn = {2045-2322}, support = {U19A2051//the Joint Fund for Regional Innovation and Development of National Natural Science Foundation of China/ ; 23A0049//the Key Scientific Research Project of the Education Department of Hunan Province, China/ ; 20240101ST//the Research Foundation of the Department of Natural Resources of Hunan Province/ ; 21YBA035//the Philosophy and Social Sciences Fund of Hunan Province, China/ ; 5010002//the Construction Program for Fourteen Five-Year's Key Disciplines (Geography) of Hunan Province, China/ ; 42001024//the National Natural Science Foundation of China/ ; 21B0625//the Scientific Research Foundation of the Education Department of Hunan Province, China/ ; }, abstract = {Analysing non-stationarity in runoff and sediment load is crucial for effective water resource management in the Dongting Lake basin amid climate change and human impacts. Using the Mann-Kendall test, Generalized Additive Models for Location, Scale, and Shape framework, and Random Forest models, we evaluated non-stationarity and its drivers in the annual runoff and annual sediment load series at eight hydrological stations from 1961 to 2021. These stations include three inflow sites at the Jingjiang Three Outlets (Ouchi, Songzi, and Hudu Rivers), four inflow sites in the Four Rivers basin (Xiang, Zi, Yuan, and Li Rivers), and one outflow site at Chenglingji. Results revealed a significant decrease in annual runoff at the Three Outlets and Chenglingji, while the Four Rivers basin showed no significant trend. The non-stationary models with multiple physically-based covariates better captured non-stationarity compared to single covariate models. Annual rainfall was a key contributor to annual runoff in the Four Rivers basin, while reservoir storage capacity played a more dominant role in the Three Outlets. At Chenglingji station, both factors significantly influenced annual runoff. For annual sediment load, reservoir storage capacity emerged as the most critical factor across all regions. These findings provide a basis for improving runoff and sediment regulation in the Dongting Lake basin.}, }
@article {pmid39418703, year = {2024}, author = {Khalifa, M and Ullah, S and Abdelfattah, T}, title = {Mapping the influence: Institutional blockholder coordination and climate change risk disclosure.}, journal = {Journal of environmental management}, volume = {370}, number = {}, pages = {122788}, doi = {10.1016/j.jenvman.2024.122788}, pmid = {39418703}, issn = {1095-8630}, abstract = {This study investigates the relationship between institutional blockholder coordination, proxied by geographic proximity, and climate change risk disclosure. Using a sample of 2,887 firm-year observations for S&amp;P 500 companies from 2010 to 2022, we reveal that a firm's climate change risk disclosure decreases when its institutional blockholders are more coordinated. In addition, we find that the negative relationship between institutional blockholder coordination and climate change risk disclosure manifests more in firms with less diversified institutional blockholders, a smaller number of institutional blockholders, a prominent position to their blockholders, and more dedicated institutional blockholder ownership. Moreover, we find that the negative association between institutional blockholder coordination and climate change risk disclosure is more pronounced in firms with corporate general counsels, a non-concentrated customer base, higher asset tangibility, and those that are environmentally sensitive. Our main conclusion still holds after using an alternative measure for climate change risk disclosure as well as a battery of endogeneity tests. Finally, we propose that institutional blockholder coordination lessens climate change risk disclosure through the channel of increased performance-induced CEO dismissal. Collectively, this study provides insightful implications for academics, financial statement users, regulators, and policymakers.}, }
@article {pmid39418381, year = {2024}, author = {Jones, MW and Veraverbeke, S and Andela, N and Doerr, SH and Kolden, C and Mataveli, G and Pettinari, ML and Le Quéré, C and Rosan, TM and van der Werf, GR and van Wees, D and Abatzoglou, JT}, title = {Global rise in forest fire emissions linked to climate change in the extratropics.}, journal = {Science (New York, N.Y.)}, volume = {386}, number = {6719}, pages = {eadl5889}, doi = {10.1126/science.adl5889}, pmid = {39418381}, issn = {1095-9203}, abstract = {Climate change increases fire-favorable weather in forests, but fire trends are also affected by multiple other controlling factors that are difficult to untangle. We use machine learning to systematically group forest ecoregions into 12 global forest pyromes, with each showing distinct sensitivities to climatic, human, and vegetation controls. This delineation revealed that rapidly increasing forest fire emissions in extratropical pyromes, linked to climate change, offset declining emissions in tropical pyromes during 2001 to 2023. Annual emissions tripled in one extratropical pyrome due to increases in fire-favorable weather, compounded by increased forest cover and productivity. This contributed to a 60% increase in forest fire carbon emissions from forest ecoregions globally. Our results highlight the increasing vulnerability of forests and their carbon stocks to fire disturbance under climate change.}, }
@article {pmid39416895, year = {2024}, author = {Das, S and Choudhury, MR and Chatterjee, B and Das, P and Bagri, S and Paul, D and Bera, M and Dutta, S}, title = {Unraveling the urban climate crisis: Exploring the nexus of urbanization, climate change, and their impacts on the environment and human well-being - A global perspective.}, journal = {AIMS public health}, volume = {11}, number = {3}, pages = {963-1001}, pmid = {39416895}, issn = {2327-8994}, abstract = {The accelerating pace of urbanization, coupled with the intensifying impacts of climate change, poses unprecedented challenges to both the environment and human well-being. In this review, we delved into the intricate interaction between climate change and urbanization and the various effects they have on the environment and human well-being, shedding light on the emergent urban climate crisis. Urban areas serve as epicenters for diverse socio-economic activities, yet they also contribute significantly to global greenhouse gas emissions and environmental degradation. Through an interdisciplinary lens, we explored the root causes of the urban climate crisis, examining how rapid urbanization exacerbates climate change and vice versa. By synthesizing current research and case studies, we elucidate the various environmental and social ramifications of this nexus, ranging from urban heat island effects to heightened vulnerability to extreme weather events. Furthermore, we delve into the unequal distribution of climate risks within urban populations, highlighting the disproportionate burden borne by marginalized communities. Finally, the chapter presents strategies and interventions for mitigating and adapting to the urban climate crisis, emphasizing the imperative of holistic and equitable approaches that prioritize both environmental sustainability and human well-being. Overall, this review calls for concerted efforts to unravel the complexities of the urban climate crisis and forge a path toward resilient, sustainable, and equitable urban futures.}, }
@article {pmid39414961, year = {2024}, author = {Zhu, K and Song, Y and Lesage, JC and Luong, JC and Bartolome, JW and Chiariello, NR and Dudney, J and Field, CB and Hallett, LM and Hammond, M and Harrison, SP and Hayes, GF and Hobbs, RJ and Holl, KD and Hopkinson, P and Larios, L and Loik, ME and Prugh, LR}, title = {Rapid shifts in grassland communities driven by climate change.}, journal = {Nature ecology &amp; evolution}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, pmid = {39414961}, issn = {2397-334X}, support = {2244711//National Science Foundation (NSF)/ ; 2244711//National Science Foundation (NSF)/ ; 2306198//National Science Foundation (NSF)/ ; 2047239//National Science Foundation (NSF)/ ; 1628754//National Science Foundation (NSF)/ ; 99-35101-8234//United States Department of Agriculture | Agricultural Research Service (USDA Agricultural Research Service)/ ; }, abstract = {Many terrestrial plant communities, especially forests, have been shown to lag in response to rapid climate change. Grassland communities may respond more quickly to novel climates, as they consist mostly of short-lived species, which are directly exposed to macroclimate change. Here we report the rapid response of grassland communities to climate change in the California Floristic Province. We estimated 349 vascular plant species' climatic niches from 829,337 occurrence records, compiled 15 long-term community composition datasets from 12 observational studies and 3 global change experiments, and analysed community compositional shifts in the climate niche space. We show that communities experienced significant shifts towards species associated with warmer and drier locations at rates of 0.0216 ± 0.00592 °C yr[-][1] (mean ± s.e.) and -3.04 ± 0.742 mm yr[-][1], and these changes occurred at a pace similar to that of climate warming and drying. These directional shifts were consistent across observations and experiments. Our findings contrast with the lagged responses observed in communities dominated by long-lived plants and suggest greater biodiversity changes than expected in the near future.}, }
@article {pmid39414960, year = {2024}, author = {}, title = {Grassland communities rapidly respond to climate change to settle climatic debts.}, journal = {Nature ecology &amp; evolution}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, pmid = {39414960}, issn = {2397-334X}, }
@article {pmid39414843, year = {2024}, author = {Blinova, D and Emuru, R and Bagozzi, BE}, title = {Individual attendance data for over 30 years of international climate change talks.}, journal = {Scientific data}, volume = {11}, number = {1}, pages = {1134}, doi = {10.1038/s41597-024-03978-7}, pmid = {39414843}, issn = {2052-4463}, abstract = {The international community has formally negotiated over climate change since 1991. The annual meetings that host these negotiations have seen an ever-growing number of individuals representing countries, international organizations, or non-governmental organizations. These meetings and their attendees have accordingly become the focal point of international climate change cooperation for both the international community and scholars studying climate change politics. Yet, researchers have been unable to access and analyze comprehensive attendee-level data pertaining to these negotiations in terms of attendees' names, genders, job titles, delegations, divisions, and affiliations. In applying text-as-data techniques to attendance roster PDFs, we extract and build attendee-level datasets for all annual negotiations held under the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change and its precursor, 1991-2023. These data include original language and English-translated information on 27,470 unique delegations and 310,200 attendees over a 32-year period. Summaries and validations in turn highlight the promise of our data for the study of attendance patterns and characteristics across delegations and over time.}, }
@article {pmid39414103, year = {2024}, author = {Zhao, W and Ye, C and Li, J and Yu, X}, title = {Increased risk of antibiotic resistance in surface water due to global warming.}, journal = {Environmental research}, volume = {263}, number = {Pt 2}, pages = {120149}, doi = {10.1016/j.envres.2024.120149}, pmid = {39414103}, issn = {1096-0953}, abstract = {As the pace of global warming accelerates, so do the threats to human health, urgent priority among them being antibiotic-resistant infections. In the context of global warming, this review summarises the direct and indirect effects of rising surface water temperatures on the development of bacterial antibiotic resistance. First, the resistance of typical pathogens such as E. coli increased with average temperature. This is not only related to increased bacterial growth rate and horizontal gene transfer frequency at high temperatures but also heat shock responses and cumulative effects. Secondly, the acceleration of bacterial growth indirectly promotes antibiotic residues in surface water, which is conducive to the growth and spread of resistant bacteria. Furthermore, the cascading effects of global warming, including the release of nutrients into the water and the resulting increase of bacteria and algae, indirectly promote the improvement of resistance. Water treatment processes exposed to high temperatures also increase the risk of resistance in surface water. The fitness costs of antibiotic resistance under these dynamic conditions are also discussed, concluding the relationship between various factors and resistance persistence. It was expected to provide a comprehensive basis for mitigating antibiotic resistance in the face of global warming.}, }
@article {pmid39413807, year = {2024}, author = {Tang, T and Ge, HH and Ma, T and Hao, MM and Chen, S and Lv, CL and Qiu, YB and Wang, YH and Tian, Y and Chen, JJ and Yuan, S and Wang, Q and Jiang, D and Ding, FY and Liu, W and Fang, LQ}, title = {Global risk dynamics of Borrelia miyamotoi in the context of climate change.}, journal = {Environmental microbiology}, volume = {26}, number = {10}, pages = {e70000}, doi = {10.1111/1462-2920.70000}, pmid = {39413807}, issn = {1462-2920}, support = {42201497//National Natural Science Foundation of China/ ; 220211/WT_/Wellcome Trust/United Kingdom ; 2023YFC2605603//National Key Research and Development Program of China/ ; 2023000117//Youth Innovation Promotion Association of the Chinese Academy of Science/ ; }, mesh = {*Climate Change ; Animals ; *Ixodes/microbiology ; *Borrelia ; Humans ; *Ecosystem ; Borrelia Infections/epidemiology/microbiology ; Arachnid Vectors/microbiology ; }, abstract = {The impact of Borrelia miyamotoi on human health, facilitated by the expanding geographical distribution and increasing population of Ixodes ticks, remains obscure in the context of global climate change. We employed multiple models to evaluate the effect of global climate change on the risk of B. miyamotoi worldwide across various scenarios. The habitat suitability index of four primary vector tick species for B. miyamotoi, including Ixodes persulcatus, Ixodes ricinus, Ixodes pacificus and Ixodes scapularis, was projected using a boosted regression tree model, considering multiple shared socio-economic pathway scenarios over various time periods. The modelling analysis reveals that, apart from I. scapularis, future global warming will result in a northward shift in the other three vector tick species and a gradual reduction in suitable habitats. Random forest models indicate consistent changes in B. miyamotoi and its primary tick species, with potential risk areas shrinking and shifting northward, particularly in the eastern USA, northeastern and northern Europe and northeast Asia. These findings highlight the urgent need for enhanced active surveillance of B. miyamotoi infection in primary vector tick species across projected potential risk areas. The effect of climate change on B. miyamotoi distribution might have significant implications for public health decision-making regarding tick-borne pathogens.}, }
@article {pmid39412743, year = {2024}, author = {Ek, C and Hébert, JR and Friedman, DB and Porter, DE}, title = {Climate Change, Racism, and Food Insecurity: Cyclical Impacts of Stressors Exacerbate Health Disparities.}, journal = {Journal of racial and ethnic health disparities}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, pmid = {39412743}, issn = {2196-8837}, abstract = {INTRODUCTION: Disadvantaged populations have higher rates of chronic disease, including heart disease, cancer, and diabetes. Race, ethnicity, lower socioeconomic status, and poverty all contribute to these disproportionate rates. Other factors, including systemic racism, climate change, poor diet, lack of food access, and epigenetic influences, that are distributed and experienced differently across vulnerable populations also play a significant role in the development of chronic diseases. This comprehensive review of contributors to chronic diseases emphasizes a unique focus on these identified emerging factors.<br><br>METHODS: An ad hoc literature review using OVID Medline and Web of Science was conducted.<br><br>RESULTS: Findings from prior studies indicate that multiple stressors, both in isolation and in combination, and their negative impacts on both physical and mental health of minorities are exacerbated by climate change.<br><br>DISCUSSION: Various stressors dramatically increase chronic disease risk in minority groups. Recommendations for future research to elucidate the impacts of climatic, racial, and dietary adversity with minority populations are presented. Further study in this area is critical for achieving the UN Sustainable Development Goals and improving public health outcomes.}, }
@article {pmid39411671, year = {2024}, author = {Parija, SC}, title = {From the desk of editor-in-chief: Climate change and One Health Mission.}, journal = {Tropical parasitology}, volume = {14}, number = {2}, pages = {63-64}, pmid = {39411671}, issn = {2229-5070}, }
@article {pmid39410909, year = {2024}, author = {Aranda, I and Martin-Benito, D and Sánchez-Gómez, D and de Simón, BF and Gea-Izquierdo, G}, title = {Different drought-tolerance strategies of tree species to cope with increased water stress under climate change in a mixed forest.}, journal = {Physiologia plantarum}, volume = {176}, number = {5}, pages = {e14562}, doi = {10.1111/ppl.14562}, pmid = {39410909}, issn = {1399-3054}, support = {REMEDINAL TE (2018/EMT-4338, 2019-2023)//Comunidad de Madrid/ ; PID2019-110273RB-I00//Spanish Ministry of Science and Innovation/ ; PID2022-142746NB-I00//Spanish Ministry of Science and Innovation/ ; TED2021-131947B-100//Spanish Ministry of Science and Innovation/ ; }, mesh = {*Climate Change ; *Forests ; *Droughts ; *Trees/physiology ; *Pinus/physiology ; *Plant Leaves/physiology ; *Water/physiology/metabolism ; *Quercus/physiology ; Photosynthesis/physiology ; Dehydration ; Juniperus/physiology ; Adaptation, Physiological/physiology ; }, abstract = {Trees' functional strategies to cope with extreme drought are essential under climate change. In a mixed Mediterranean forest, we analyzed the functional strategy in response to drought of four co-occurring species (Pinus pinea, Pinus pinaster, Juniperus oxycedrus, and Quercus ilex) during two years. Specifically, we assessed functional traits related to tree water status, leaf water relations, and gas exchange. Different trait-syndrome metrics and the functional strategies under water stress observed suggested a species drought-tolerance differentiation, with the more anysohidric Q. ilex and J. oxycedrus showing a much higher drought tolerance than the more isohydric P. pinea and P. pinaster. All species recovered from negative leaf turgor reached during peak water stress in summer. Q. ilex and J. oxycedrus kept lower leaf osmotic potentials and lower sensitivity of leaf gas exchange and leaf photochemistry to water stress. In contrast, the pine species exhibited more drought-avoidant and water-conservative strategies, yet this behavior was less effective in mitigating water stress's impact on their physiology. The pine species were the most affected by drought, with prolonged near-zero net photosynthesis during summer. P. pinaster was more isohydric than P. pinea and exhibited a lower capacity to maintain leaf turgor. Physiological processes regulating leaf turgor under drought constitute a key functional strategy involved in the carbon and water-related mechanisms, ultimately inducing mortality under hot drought. The currently observed mortality dynamics for P. pinaster, and to a lower extent in P. pinea, may be exacerbated by loss of functional homeostasis.}, }
@article {pmid39410668, year = {2024}, author = {Park, MK and Baek, S and Jeong, DW and Kim, GS}, title = {Nurses' Perceptions and Behaviours Regarding Climate Change and Health: A Quantile Regression Analysis.}, journal = {Journal of advanced nursing}, volume = {}, number = {}, pages = {}, doi = {10.1111/jan.16535}, pmid = {39410668}, issn = {1365-2648}, support = {6-2022-0028//Mo-Im Kim Nursing Research Institute, Yonsei University College of Nursing/ ; 2020R1A6A1A03041989//National Research Foundation of Korea/ ; }, abstract = {AIMS: The aim of this study is to identify the factors associated with nurses' perceptions and behaviours related to climate change and health (PBCH) according to their PBCH levels.<br><br>DESIGN: A cross-sectional study was used.<br><br>METHODS: This study included a sample of 499 Korean nurses and adhered to the STROBE checklist. Data were collected from March 23 to May 10, 2023. Quantile regression analysis was performed, and PBCH levels were measured using the Korean version of the Climate Health and Nursing Tool.<br><br>RESULTS: Across all quantile groups, the experience of extreme weather events and awareness of climate change-coping facilitators were associated with PBCH. Differences were observed in factors associated with PBCH levels. Significant associations with PBCH were observed within the 75th percentile group, for having a religion, household income, and workplace climate friendliness. In the 25th percentile group, having a child, the number of sources for climate change-health-related information, and experience in setting climate change-health goals and strategies significantly influenced PBCH.<br><br>CONCLUSION: We propose a differentiated strategy by elucidating the factors associated with high and low quantiles of PBCH levels.<br><br>IMPLICATIONS: By verifying specific factors associated with PBCH levels, nurses can enhance their preparedness to respond to the health risks posed by climate change in their clients.<br><br>IMPACT: Identifying common factors associated with all quantiles of nurses is important for establishing universal PBCH characteristics. Recognising the distinctions between high and low PBCH levels can aid in developing tailored nursing strategies to enhance PBCH among nurses.<br><br>REPORTING METHOD: This study adhered to the STROBE guidelines.<br><br>No Patient or Public Contribution.}, }
@article {pmid39406272, year = {2024}, author = {Chen, B and Xu, X and Wang, S and Yang, T and Liu, Z and Falk, S}, title = {Carbon dioxide fertilization enhanced carbon sink offset by climate change and land use in Amazonia on a centennial scale.}, journal = {The Science of the total environment}, volume = {955}, number = {}, pages = {176903}, doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.176903}, pmid = {39406272}, issn = {1879-1026}, abstract = {The Amazon, the Earth's largest tropical forest, plays a critical role in the global carbon cycle, acting as a significant carbon sink. Recent studies, however, indicate a decline in its carbon sequestration capacity due to climate variability, intensive deforestation, and fires. This study aims to examine the impacts of these factors on the carbon dynamics of the Amazon over a centennial scale based on dynamic global vegetation models (DGVMs) of Trendy-v11. It was found that the Amazon region exhibited significant spatiotemporal variations in net land carbon (C) fluxes, and was a net C sink (40.02 ± 242.64 Tg C yr[-1]) during 1901-2021. The Amazonian net biome productivity (NBP) showed a 6-decades-scale shift from a decreasing trend (-3.78 Tg C yr[-2]) during 1901-1959 to an increasing trend (2.39 Tg C yr[-2]) during 1960-2021. The Amazonian NBP was negatively related to air temperature while positively related to dry-season precipitation during 1901-2021. Furthermore, the increase of atmospheric CO2 concentration during 1901-2020 enhanced Amazonian NBP by 36.40 ± 8.39 Pg C, which was largely offset by land use change (-18.84 ± 12.02 Pg C) and climate change (-10.03 ± 5.00 Pg C). Our findings underscore the critical need for sustainable management practices in the Amazon to enhance its C sink and preserve its function in the global climate sy